Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-18-19 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Flames | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona +1.5 goals over Calgary at 4:05 pm et on Monday. The Flames have played six of their last seven games on the road and now return home one just one day rest following a big win in Pittsburgh on Saturday afternoon. The Coyotes have quietly won three of their last four games and I expect them to stay competitive against the Flames here in an early start matchup on Monday afternoon. Calgary has absolutely crushed Arizona in two previous meetings this season, outscoring the 'Yotes by a 13-2 margin while taking both matchups. Prior to that, the Coyotes had taken back-to-back meetings. I'll grab the extra goal in a game Arizona can keep close. Take Arizona (10*). |
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02-17-19 | Team LeBron v. Team Giannis OVER 311 | 178-164 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Team Lebron and Team Giannis at 8 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'over' in the Rising Stars Game on Friday night and I see no reason not to go right back to the well with the same play in Sunday's All-Star Game. The premise is the same. The two teams are loaded with offensive talent, and in this age of the NBA, we can only anticipate a track meet. There's really no incentive to play much defense in this game. The NBA has become a true offensive showcase and this is the 'grand daddy of them all' so to speak. Expect the losing squad to find its way well into the 150's in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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02-17-19 | Flyers -110 v. Red Wings | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Detroit at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Flyers just keep rolling along, fresh off a 6-5 overtime win over these same Red Wings yesterday afternoon. I like them to keep it rolling on Sunday as they wrap up a home-and-home series in Detroit. The Red Wings are really just playing out the string at this point. They own just two victories over their last six games, with both coming by a single goal. Yesterday marked the first time since January 18th they had scored more than three goals in a game. The Flyers on the other hand have had no difficulty scoring goals and I expect to see them outlast the Wings again on Sunday evening. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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02-16-19 | Blues -116 v. Avalanche | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Colorado at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Blues on Thursday night in Arizona and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the hottest team in the league again on Saturday afternoon in Denver. St. Louis hasn't lost a game since January 21st, when it suffered a 4-3 setback in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, Colorado just snapped an eight-game losing streak with a surprising 4-1 win in Winnipeg on Thursday night. The Jets quite simply didn't show up for that one and the Avs took full advantage. I certainly don't expect to see the playoff-hungry Blues lay down in this one, however. Note that the Blues have won both previous meetings between these two teams this season - both coming in overtime. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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02-16-19 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +6 | Top | 69-47 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
NCAAB ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Georgia Tech plus the points over Florida State at 2 pm et on Saturday. Wins rarely come easy for the Seminoles here in Atlanta, where they lost their last meeting by 22 points and their previous two victories on this floor came by two and four points. Florida State did take the first meeting between these two teams this season by 10 points, but that was thanks to an abysmal 28.3% shooting effort from the Yellow Jackets, including 3-of-21 from beyond the arc. The 'Noles enter this contest on the heels of three straight ATS wins. They haven't won four in a row ATS since starting last season with a perfect 7-0 ATS record in non-conference play. Georgia Tech has lost six straight games in ACC play to fall to 3-9 in-conference this season. With that being said, the Jackets have gone a solid 16-9 ATS overall this season. Take Georgia Tech (10*). |
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02-16-19 | Red Wings v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Philadelphia at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. The 'under' has gone 7-2 in the Red Wings last nine matchups and the play of veteran goaltender Jimmy Howard has been a big reason for that. He's expected to be between the pipes again on Saturday afternoon in Philadelphia and I believe he'll be up to the challenge of facing the surging Flyers. At the other end of the rink, rookie goaltender Carter Hart has been perhaps the team's biggest spark during their incredible turnaround. Philadelphia is certainly known for its offense, but it has actually held seven of its last 10 opponents to two goals or less in regulation time. Take the under (10*). |
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02-15-19 | World v. USA OVER 290 | 144-161 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Team USA and The World in the NBA Rising Stars Game at 9 pm et on Friday. I believe this total should be set north of 300 points to be completely honest. Track meets have become the norm in this game over the years and the 2019 edition should be no different. Both squads are loaded with talent and perhaps more importantly, athleticism. Last year's game was actually relatively low-scoring, reaching just 279 points as Team USA turned in a disappointing effort. Guys like Kuzma, Mitchell and Tatum are back and should be highly motivated to make amends. Expect a competitive affair all the way, which lends itself to a high-scoring affair in this setting. Take the over (10*). |
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02-15-19 | Oilers v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 150 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina -1.5 goals over Edmonton at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Oilers aren't close to turning things around right now. I actually believe things are even worse than they appear on paper. Edmonton has lost its last two games by a combined 8-3 score and I look for the Hurricanes to lay it on the Oilers on Friday night as well. Carolina breezed to a 4-1 win in Ottawa last time out. The Canes have had no trouble at all scoring lately and find themselves in another favorable spot here. Note that Carolina has gone 14-9-4 on home ice this season while the Oilers have won just once in their last four road games. Take Carolina -1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-14-19 | Blues -143 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Arizona at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. The Blues are the talk of the league right now, having rallied back from a miserable start to the season to climb right back into the playoff picture in the Western Conference. Riding a seven-game winning streak I look for their good fortunes to continue on Thursday night in the desert. Arizona has won back-to-back games and is certainly no pushover. However, the Coyotes are just 10-13-3 on home ice this season. To put it mildly, the 'Yotes don't possess much of a home ice advantage at all. Meanwhile, the Blues have really gotten themselves locked in on the road, going 14-9-3. Arizona has won three straight meetings in this series but prior to that the Blues absolutely owned the Coyotes. Note that they haven't met since December 1st. The Blues are a different team now. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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02-14-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Pelicans | 122-131 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Thunder as they try to stay hot heading into the All-Star break. It's worth noting that the straight-up winner has gone an incredible 31-2 in the Thunder's last 33 games overall. In other words, the spread simply hasn't played a factor. I do expect Oklahoma City to outlast the struggling Pelicans here. Note that the Thunder rank second in the NBA in pace rating and sixth in offensive rating over the last five games. They should be able to overwhelm a Pelicans squad that ranks 16th and 26th respectively in the same categories over the same time frame. This has been a relatively tight series with the last four meetings all decided by six points or less. With that being said, we're also dealing with a relatively low pointspread here, especially when you consider the disparity between these two teams in the standings. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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02-14-19 | Hornets v. Magic UNDER 216 | 89-127 | Push | 0 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Magic are red hot right now, having won six of their last seven games overall. However, off a perfect three-game homestand I can't help but think a letdown could be in order. Note that the Hornets actually rank 30th in the league in terms of pace over their last five games. The Magic on the other hand are in a tie for 10th in that department over the same time frame but again a letdown could be on the way here. What has been most impressive about the Magic's recent surge has been their defensive play. They rank third in the league in defensive rating over the last five games, sitting behind only the Pacers and Bucks. Both the Hornets and Magic do rank top 12 in terms of offensive rating over the last five games but both drop off considerably when you stretch that range out to the last 10 games. Take the under (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Wizards +11 v. Raptors | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Raptors may be the vastly superior team in this matchup as far as overall records go but the Wizards are actually just a half-game behind the Raps in terms of ATS marks. Toronto loaded up prior to the trade deadline, acquiring Marc Gasol in a blockbuster deal with Memphis. There's no question it's going to take Gasol some time to get acclimated, however, noting that he has split time with Serge Ibaka, playing off the bench, since joining Toronto. Washington put together back-to-back wins before dropping a nine-point decision in Detroit last time out. That result should have served to shake off most potential Wiz backers leading up to this one. The Raptors do check in having won five games in a row SU, but are just 3-5 ATS over their last eight contests. They rarely blow out the Wizards and I don't see it happening here either. Take Washington (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 221 | 148-139 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the Nets last game in Toronto on Monday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears here as Brooklyn makes the short trip to Cleveland to face the Cavs. While it's true the Nets rank number one in the league in pace rating over the last five games, the Cavs rank 27th and should be able to set the tempo to some extent here at home. While Brooklyn has been playing at a fast pace, its offensive efficiency has lagged as it ranks 26th in the league in that category over that same five-game stretch. The Cavs have been even worse in that regard, ranking 28th over that time frame. Both previous meetings between these two teams this season have easily stayed under the number we're working with tonight. Take the under (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. While the Bucks are known for their efficient, up-tempo offense, which has certainly busted out with some consistency recently, I believe the oddsmakers have this one priced right with the Pacers checking in as a small home underdog and anticipate a competitive affair all the way. I've been more impressed by both teams' defensive efficiency lately. In fact, over the last 10 games the Bucks rank first in the league in defensive rating while the Pacers check in ranked fourth. As I mentioned, the Bucks have been pushing the pace, ranked third in the league in pace over that same 10-game stretch but the Pacers are at home here, and should be able to impose their will to some extent and it's worth noting that they rank 25th in the league in pace over that same time frame. Indiana also ranks a less than impressive 21st in the league in offensive rating over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Real Madrid +100 v. Ajax Amsterdam | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Real Madrid over Ajax at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Real Madrid has rounded into form recently and should continue its march toward another potential Champions League title with a strong showing in the Netherlands on Wednesday. The possible absence of Ajax midfielder Frenkie de Jong would leave a major hole for the home side. Even if he does play, I still expect to see Real's experience pay off as it looks to gain an advantage before the scene shifts to Spain for the second leg. Take Real Madrid (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Borussia Dortmund v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Both sides are missing key cogs in advantage of the first let of this Champions League match on Wednesday. The fact that both squads are also coming off relatively high-scoring results last weekend has a lot of bettors lining up to back the 'over' here, which is just fine with us as we get a plus-money return to back the 'under' at a reasonable number. I'm anticipating a bit of a chess match between these two unfamiliar opponents. Take the under (10*). |
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02-12-19 | Maple Leafs -127 v. Avalanche | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. I full expect to see the Leafs bounce back from Sunday's strange 4-1 loss to the Rangers as they head to Denver to face the Avalanche on Tuesday night. I say Sunday's result was strange as the Leafs fired 50+ shots on goal in the game but simply couldn't make good on their opportunities. Toronto is still playing well, and everything I heard from the team following that setback was positive, leading me to believe they'll come back strong against the reeling Avalanche on Tuesday. Colorado has quite simply been one of the worst teams in the league over the last couple of months. It's highly unlikely they're going to dig themselves out of the hole and given this was a team with fragile confidence to begin with, they really have nowhere to turn right now. Take Toronto (10*). |
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02-12-19 | Lakers v. Hawks OVER 236 | 113-117 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. This may look like a high total at first glance, but I actually believe it could be even higher. The Lakers last two games have produced 257 and 263 total points. Meanwhile, the Hawks have given up 129 and 124 points over their last two games and have seen two of their last four contests total at least 249 total points. I just don't believe either of these teams will enter this game thinking they can do anything to slow the opposition. The Hawks are allowing opponents to shoot better than 48% from the field here at home this season. The Lakers have given up an average of over 128 points per game on 51% shooting over their last five contests. This shapes up as a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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02-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 226.5 | 125-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Brooklyn and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Monday. The Nets have really picked up the pace lately, playing among the quickest tempos in the NBA in recent weeks. The Raptors on the other hand are coming off a relatively low-scoring affair against the Knicks at MSG on Saturday night - Marc Gasol's first game with his new team (he came off the bench playing only 18 minutes). I don't believe the Raps will shy away from pushing the pace here and they should get plenty of open looks against a sagging Nets defense. Until Gasol gets fully acclimated I do think the Raps will be somewhat vulnerable defensively. The last meeting between these two teams produced 227 total points back on January 11th. My simple angle here is that pace and offensive efficiency alone should get this one 'over' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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02-10-19 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 222 | 118-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Golden State at 8:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' as the Warriors return home to host the Heat on Sunday night. Miami certainly isn't one of the league's elite offense teams, averaging right around 105 points per game this season. This isn't an ideal spot for the Heat as they play their third straight road game and face what will be a highly-motivated Warriors squad coming off a poor showing in Phoenix, albeit in a winning effort on Friday night. Keep in mind, none of the last four meetings in this series have eclipsed the total we're dealing with tonight. Take the under (10*). |
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02-10-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2.5 | 55-52 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Ohio State at 1 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams have been rather disappointing this season with Ohio State checking in 5-6 in conference play and Indiana sitting at 4-8. Both have seemingly turned the corner a bit lately, however, with Ohio State reeling off two straight wins heading in and Indiana coming off an upset win at Michigan State followed up by a narrow home loss to Iowa. The Hoosiers have outscored the opposition by an average margin of nearly 14 points here at home this season. Ohio State shoots just a shade north of 40% from the field on the road this season. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-09-19 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on USC minus the points over Colorado at 10 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Trojans on Saturday night as they host the Buffaloes in a Pac-12 showdown. There's not a lot to choose between these two teams as far as overall records go. I will point out, however, Colorado has not won here at the Galen Center since back in 2015 and that was an overtime win that easily could have gone either way. The Buffaloes check in off back-to-back SU and ATS victories. I just don't believe a third straight win is in the cards. USC is coming off a rare home loss, falling by seven points against Utah last time out. The Trojans have outscored the opposition by over 12 points per game here at home this season, holding them to just 66.2 points per game on 38% shooting. Take USC (10*). |
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02-09-19 | Hornets v. Hawks OVER 228.5 | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. The last two meetings between these two teams in Atlanta have gotten well into the 240's and I'm anticipating another 'defense-optional' affair on Saturday night. The Hornets are allowing just shy of 115 points per game on the road this season, yielding just under 48% shooting to the opposition. Meanwhile, the Hawks have been torched for around 118 points per contest at home, allowing opponents to shoot better than 48% from the field. Both teams are coming off poor showings, but both were also in tough situations with the Hornets playing the second of back-to-back nights and the Hawks returning home following a seven-game road trip. Take the over (10*). |
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02-09-19 | Auburn v. LSU -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
NCAAB SEC Game of the Year. My selection is on LSU minus the points over Auburn at 2 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with LSU as it tries to snap a three-game losing streak against the Auburn Tigers. The Bayou Bengals haven't defeated Auburn since 2016 although it's worth noting that they've been significant underdogs in each of the last three meetings. The shoe is on the other foot this time around as LSU is favored at the time of writing. Motivation should be high for LSU as it dropped its most recent home game as a 10-point favorite against Arkansas. Keep in mind, the Tigers are still 11-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by nearly 16 points per contest. Auburn checks in having won three in a row but it was favored by at least 8.5 points in all three of those games. The Tigers are just 1-4 SU in true road games, allowing nearly 80 points per game on just shy of 47% shooting. Take LSU (10*). |
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02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Miami at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I like the Kings here after they made moves to strengthen their team prior to the trade deadline. Unlike previous years where Sacramento was a seller, we saw it do some buying this year and I expect the players to get an emotional boost from that. Note that the Kings are already an impressive 17-11 straight-up at home this season. Here, they'll benefit from staying home for a fifth consecutive game. The Heat did win in Portland two nights ago, but that was their first victory in their last four games. They've actually posted three straight road wins but I believe some regression is in order. We've seen Miami post a strange home-road dichotomy this season, going 11-16 in South Beach but 14-11 on the road. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-08-19 | Bucks v. Mavs +8 | Top | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:35 pm et on Friday. The Bucks are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and certainly look unstoppable on the heels of five consecutive SU and ATS victories. However, here they'll be playing their seventh game in the last 13 nights in a seventh different city. The Mavs are no slouches here at home, where they own one of the strongest home court edges in the NBA, having gone 19-7 SU. Like the Bucks, the Mavs have also been tearing it up ATS, having reeled off five straight victories and gone 7-0-1 ATS over their last eight contests. The Bucks haven't won a game here in years. In last season's meeting on this floor the Mavs won by 32 points. Take Dallas (10*). |
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02-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +111 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New York over Carolina at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll take a shot with the Rangers on Friday night as they try to build off of Wednesday's shootout victory over the Bruins. New York has been a completely different team here at home, where it has scored just shy of three goals per game while giving up under 2.7. Keep in mind, this is the same team that has allowed over four goals per contest on the road. It's surely worth noting that the Canes are a miserable 5-25-1 in their last 31 meetings with the Rangers here at MSG. Playing the second of back-to-back nights, look for the Canes to have a tough time skating past the Broadway Blueshirts. Take New York (10*). |
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02-07-19 | San Francisco +18 v. Gonzaga | Top | 62-92 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
NCAAB WCC Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Thursday. Motivation should be high for the Dons as they try to avoid a third consecutive loss on the road in conference play. Their last two losses at San Diego and St. Mary's really could have gone either way. Despite those two setbacks, they're still a winning team on the road this season. Obviously Gonzaga is an elite team - a true national championship contender. With that being said, the Zags haven't been involved in a close game in months, essentially. They could actually use a bit of a sweat here and I think they get just that. Keep in mind, the Dons played even with the Bulldogs for a half in their previous meeting back on January 12th. Gonzaga shot better than 52% as a team in that game while San Francisco was completely off, hitting just 40.6% of their shots. I'm not about to call for an outright Dons victory here, but I am confident we'll see them stay inside the lofty pointspread. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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02-07-19 | Lakers v. Celtics -8.5 | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Celtics as they host the unraveling Lakers on Thursday night. Los Angeles is obviously in complete limbo right now with the trade deadline coming up in a few hours. Maybe the roster remains intact, or maybe it will be looking for players off the street to court a team on Thursday night in Boston. Either way, I'm confident we see the Celtics show up and win this one going away. Boston is rolling along nicely right now and the beat goes on against the disjoined Lakers. Take Boston (10*). |
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02-07-19 | Raptors -9 v. Hawks | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. No doubt the Raptors have been watching what the Bucks have been doing lately and after picking up a statement win in Philadelphia on Tuesday night, I look for them to build on that performance with another rock-solid effort against the Hawks on Thursday night. Atlanta is back home following a seven-game road trip that took it all over the map. The Hawks should be a little 'fat and happy' off back-to-back wins to close out that trip. Keep in mind, those victories came against the lowly Suns and Wizards. Take Toronto (10*). |
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02-07-19 | Wolves +2 v. Magic | 112-122 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. While these two teams boast similar overall records, I do feel there's a class difference that isn't being properly reflected in the line. The T'Wolves have been coming out on the wrong end of some close games lately, but I'm confident they do get it figured out tonight in Orlando. The Magic simply ran out of gas in Oklahoma City on Tuesday and I think they're a little worn down right now, showing some real inconsistency of late. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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02-06-19 | Rockets v. Kings +2.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Houston at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'm willing to bet against the Rockets winning three road games in a row on Wednesday night in Sacramento. Houston is coming off relatively lopsided victories in Utah and Phoenix but now heads to Sacramento where the Kings are playing excellent basketball. The Kings check in 17-10 straight-up at home this season, including a perfect 3-0 on their current homestand. It would be easy for the Rockets to look past the Kings to a return home after this one. That's especially true when you consider Houston already defeated Sacramento by 20 points in their lone previous meeting this season. The Rockets may own the superior SU record but the Kings have been a much better bet this season, going 31-22 ATS. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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02-06-19 | Georgetown v. Providence -3 | 76-67 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAB Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on Providence minus the points over Georgetown at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the points with the Friars in this matchup as they try to get back on track in Big East play following consecutive road losses. Providence just missed in the first of those two setbacks, losing by a bucket at Seton Hall. It suffered a bit of a hangover of sorts after that, falling by double-digits at DePaul last time out. I expect a solid bounce-back performance here at home, where the Friars have gone 9-3 straight-up this season. Georgetown hung tough for a while but ultimately fell by 12 points at Villanova on Monday night. The Hoyas have shown glimpses of brilliance this season, particularly in conference play. However, it's worth noting that Georgetown is just 1-8 in the last nine meetings in this series. That lone victory came in their most recent meeting back on January 12th but the Hoyas needed overtime to secure the 'W'. Take Providence (10*). |
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02-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 122-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Okahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. When these two teams met last week they combined to score a whopping 243 total points in a Thunder victory in Orlando. Perhaps the Magic were in an up-tempo mood after facing the likes of the Hawks, Wizards and Rockets in three of their four previous games heading into that one. Since then, we've seen back-to-back 'under' results from Orlando, moving their o/u mark to 23-30 on the season. The Thunder are back home following a three-game road trip out east that saw all three contests go 'over' the total (including that aforementioned win over the Magic). Orlando shoots below 44% as a team on the road this season and doesn't shoot particularly well from beyond the arc. The Thunder have held the opposition to 33.8% shooting from three-point range at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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02-05-19 | Florida State v. Syracuse -3 | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Florida State at 8 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this one sets up for Syracuse as it welcomes Florida State to the Carrier Dome. The Seminoles have climbed back to the .500 mark in ACC play thanks to three consecutive victories heading into this one. Keep in mind, the 'Noles are just 2-3 straight-up in five true road games this season. Florida State has never won here at the Carrier Dome, going 0-3, losing those games by 13, 13 and 10 points. Syracuse has suffered just one loss here at home in conference play and that came in a classic letdown/sandwich spot back on January 12th against Georgia Tech. The Orange were just a couple of days removed from a convincing win over Clemson before hitting the road to face Duke (a game they won) when they fell to the Yellow Jackets at the Carrier Dome. Syracuse has held the opposition to just 58.3 points per game on 37.6% shooting at home this season. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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02-05-19 | Islanders +1.5 v. Bruins | 1-3 | Loss | -190 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York +1.5 goals over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I don't often venture into this price range to back a team on the puck-line but in this particular case, I believe the move is warranted. The Islanders haven't lost a game in regulation time since January 12th. They haven't lost by more than a single goal since December 20th, and that was all the way across the continent in Las Vegas. Boston is coming off a 1-0 win in Washington on Sunday but remains just 2-5 over its last seven games. The Bruins have had their way with the Isles lately, but tonight I'm anticipating a competitive game all the way. Take New York +1.5 goals (10*). |
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02-04-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma +2.5 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Iowa State at 9 pm et on Monday. Absolutely huge spot for the Sooners here as they try to turn things around off back-to-back losses to Baylor and West Virginia. That loss to Baylor came in blowout fashion right here at home last Monday night so motivation will certainly be high as they host a rolling Iowa State squad on Monday night. The Cyclones. have won three games in a row and five of their last six overall, going 5-1 ATS over that stretch. Note that Oklahoma has held the opposition to 37.7% shooting at home this season. They check in a solid 8-2 straight-up at home while Iowa State is just an even 3-3 in true road games. This has been a home-dominated series and I like that trend to continue on Monday. Take Oklahoma (10*). |
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02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Denver at 7:05 pm et on Monday. Bettors will almost certainly be off the Pistons on Monday night after they absolutely imploded in the fourth quarter against the Clippers on Saturday afternoon at home. Here, they catch a favorable matchup, however, as they remain at home to wrap up a four-game homestand against the Nuggets. Denver is coming off a hard-fought one-point win at Minnesota on Saturday night. Now the Nuggets will be playing their fifth game in the last eight nights, with those five games coming in five different cities. Take Detroit (10*). |
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02-03-19 | Patriots -2 v. Rams | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over Los Angeles at 6:30 pm et on Sunday. I have a lot of respect for the Rams. I don't believe the missed pass interference call in that win over the Saints tarnishes their appearance in the Super Bowl one bit. But here's the thing - motivation has probably never been higher for the Patriots and Brady and Belichick in particular. I simply don't see this New England squad losing back-to-back Super Bowls, plain and simple. I will say that if the Rams had a healthy Cooper Kupp I may actually be leaning their way here. His absence means that much. RB C.J. Anderson has stolen some of Todd Gurley's thunder for the Rams but I don't expect Belichick's approach to waver one bit - he'll key on Gurley in this one and force Anderson and ultimately QB Jared Goff to beat them. I do expect Goff to play well in this game and the fast track in Atlanta does favor the Rams and their incredible team speed. With that being said, the Patriots come in with a big chip on their shoulder, whether self-manufactured or not, and I look for them to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy once again. Take New England (10*). |
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02-03-19 | Stanford -5.5 v. California | 84-81 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Stanford minus the points over California at 4 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Cardinal on Sunday afternoon as they travel to face the listless Bears in Berkeley. Stanford is playing some of its best basketball of the season right now, having won three of its last five games, shooting just shy of 51% from the field over that stretch. Cal continues to struggle, having dropped nine games in a row, staying within single-digits in only three of those games. Note that the Bears are shooting barely above 37% as a team over their last five games while allowing opponents to shoot north of 52%. Take Stanford (10*). |
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02-03-19 | Clippers v. Raptors OVER 229.5 | 103-121 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Toronto at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. The Raptors have had plenty of time to stew over Thursday's double-digit home loss to the Bucks and I expect to see them come out guns' blazing on Sunday afternoon as they aim to jump all over a Clippers squad playing its second the second game of back-to-backs out east. With that being said, the Clips have generally been fast starters this season, averaging nearly 30 points in the first quarter (and the second as well). They rallied back from a big halftime deficit to defeat the Pistons in Auburn Hills yesterday afternoon and I don't expect them to back down as a double-digit underdog in Toronto on Sunday. The last time these two teams met back in December the Clippers didn't bring their 'A' game and ultimately fell by 24 points. Expect a more competitive affair this time around and I believe that lends itself to a high-scoring game. Take the over (10*). |
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02-02-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -7 | 125-98 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Houston at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. The fact that this is a back-to-back spot for the Rockets has obviously been factored into this line. I actually feel the number is warranted, however, with Houston in a brutal spot here playing its second of back-to-backs in elevation. We won with the Jazz last night as they pulled away for a cover against the Hawks. I expect more of the same from Utah here. The fact of the matter is, the Rockets aren't a very good team right now. They have just four wins in their last eight games, with only one of those coming on the road, that against the lowly Knicks by just four points. Houston has fallen to 23-27-1 ATS on the season and owns just 10 straight-up victories in 24 road games. Utah is rolling along with 12 wins in its last 15 games. The Jazz have been extremely consistent at the offensive end of the floor over that stretch and should certainly have their way with the defense-optional Rockets. Note that Utah took the last meeting on this floor by 27 points back in early December. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-02-19 | Notre Dame +3 v. Boston College | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Notre Dame plus the points over Boston College at 2 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab the points with the Irish on Saturday afternoon as they aim to end their long losing streak at Boston College. Notre Dame has lost five straight and seven of its last eight games overall. However, it's worth noting that its last two setbacks have come as double-digit underdogs against Virginia and Duke so I'm not sure how much more could have been expected. Its previous three losses during its current skid all could have gone either way (decided by six points or less). Boston College has lost six of its last eight games but has managed to post victories in two of its last three games. It's been a long, long time since Boston College managed to beat Notre Dame. With motivation high for the Irish I believe the Eagles streak of futility with continue here. Take Notre Dame (10*). |
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02-01-19 | Rockets v. Nuggets OVER 227 | 122-136 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Denver at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Rockets don't play a great deal of defense at the best of times and now they head out on the road to play at altitude on Friday night in Denver and I'm anticipating a track meet. There hasn't been much of a difference between the way the Rockets have played defensively on the road or at home this season, allowing opponents to shoot better than 47% from the field. Likewise, the Nuggets shoot 47% as a team here at home, where they average over 111 points per game. These two teams just met back on January 7th and the result was a 125-113 Rockets victory in Houston. I do expect the Nuggets to return the favor here but rather than lay the points, I'll play the 'over' as the Rockets should play with plenty of fire following an ugly home loss to the undermanned Pelicans on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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02-01-19 | Hawks v. Jazz -11.5 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Atlanta at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We cashed a ticket fading the Hawks in their most recent game - a blowout loss in Sacramento on Wednesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as Atlanta remains on the road and plays at altitude in Salt Lake City on Friday night. The Hawks have to be a little road weary as they play their fifth game of this trip. They haven't been home in over a week while the Jazz are coming off a brief two-game trip that saw them win in Minnesota and lose in Portland. The Jazz are 15-9 at home this season and should have their way with a Hawks squad that gives up over 118 points per game on the road. The Hawks have taken two straight meetings in this series but don't count on a repeat performance here. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-01-19 | Maple Leafs -165 v. Red Wings | 2-3 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Leafs should come out with a lot of energy on Friday night following the acquisition of defenseman Jake Muzzin from the Kings. The Leafs are essentially 'all in' this season and the deal to acquire Muzzin is another sign of that. While there could be some rust here coming off over a week layoff, the Red Wings are in exactly the same boat. Home ice hasn't meant much to the Wings this season as they've gone 10-12-4 here at Little Caesars Arena. In fact, there's a good chance Leafs fans will outnumber Wings fans in this one. Detroit hasn't defeated Toronto here at home since December of 2017. I don't see anything changing here. Take Toronto (10*). |
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01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Dallas at 7 pm et on Thursday. We won (some pushed) with the Mavs in this same matchup last Friday night in Dallas but I won’t hesitate to switch gears this time around as the scene shifts to Auburn Hills on Thursday night. The Mavs did notch a very rare road victory last night but will be hard-pressed to follow it up with another one here against the revenge-minded Pistons. There’s no shame in the Pistons most recent loss, that coming against one of the league’s best teams in the Milwaukee Bucks. Solid value with the Pistons at home as a short favorite here. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-30-19 | Hawks v. Kings -5.5 | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Atlanta at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. This is an excellent spot to back the Kings as they return home to host a Hawks squad that is coming off an outright upset win over the Clippers in Los Angeles two nights ago. The Hawks are still not a good team and Sacramento has done a tremendous job of taking care of business against losing opposition this season, particularly at the betting window, where it has gone 16-5 ATS. The Kings aren’t going to land on most bettors’ radar on this night and I believe we’re being asked to lay a very reasonable number on their home floor. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-29-19 | 76ers -6.5 v. Lakers | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday. Tough spot for the undermanned Lakers here as they try to follow up a win over the lowly Suns but take a considerable step up in class against the 76ers. This is obviously a big building spot for the Sixers as they will continue on to face the Warriors in Oakland on Thursday night. After dropping their last game in Denver, they can ill afford another setback here as things could really start to snowball. I don’t often lay this many points on the road, but I believe the spot warrants a play with Philadelphia welcoming back Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler on Tuesday night. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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01-29-19 | Ball State +12 v. Buffalo | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
NCAAB MAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Ball State plus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Ball State may be just 2-5 in MAC play so far this season but four of those five losses could have truly gone either way and here we're being given a generous helping of points to work with as the Cardinals challenge the nationally-ranked Buffalo Bulls. Note that the road team has won three straight, four of five and six of the last nine meetings in this series. It's worth noting that three of the Bulls six ATS losses this season have come in their last four contests. Buffalo will be challenged here, facing a Ball State squad that averages over 78 points per game on 51.1% shooting on the road this season. Ball State is actually the slightly better free throw shooting team and can hold its own on the boards as well. Take Ball State (10*). |
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01-28-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas Tech minus the points over TCU at 9 pm et on Monday. The Red Raiders come into this game riding a four-game ATS losing streak but did snap a three-game straight-up losing skid with a 67-64 win over Arkansas last time out. Note that they're 11-1 SU at home this season, where they shoot just shy of 50% as a team while limiting the opposition to a ridiculous 32.8% shooting. They're outscoring opponents by over 21 points per contest on this floor. TCU is coming off back-to-back wins over Texas and Florida but both of those games could have gone either way. They're just 1-3 SU in true road games this season. Texas Tech is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Take Texas Tech (10*). |
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01-28-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -6 | Top | 77-47 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on Oklahoma minus the points over Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with Oklahoma in this contest as the Sooners aim to put an end to Baylor's four-game SU and ATS winning streak. Motivation will obviously be high for Oklahoma as it checks in a disappointing 3-4 in Big 12 play this season. Meanwhile, Baylor has won four of its first six games in conference play. Note that the Sooners have held the opposition to 36% shooting at home this season, while shooting an impressive 47% themselves. We won with Baylor on Saturday as it got past Alabama but I won't hesitate to switch gears here. Take Oklahoma (10*). |
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01-26-19 | Evansville +3.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 74-81 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
NCAAB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Evansville plus the points over Northern Iowa at 8 pm et on Saturday. Not a lot separates these two teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. In fact, they check in sporting identical conference records. With that being said, I believe Evansville has a little more upside and I'm confident the Purple Aces will hang tough for 40 minutes on Saturday night. Northern Iowa is 2-1 at home in MVC play but it averages just 61 points per game on 37.6% shooting on this floor this season. The Panthers also check in shooting a miserable 65% from the free throw line here at home. By contrast, the Purple Aces are shooting better than 74% from the charity stripe on the road. Take Evansville (10*). |
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01-26-19 | Alabama v. Baylor -3 | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Alabama at 12 noon et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Bears as they host the Crimson Tide on Saturday. Alabama is in a clear letdown spot after blowout out Ole Miss last time out. The Crimson Tide are still just an even 3-3 in conference play. This is of course a non-conference showdown - part of the SEC-Big 12 challenge. Alabama has gone just 2-3 straight-up in true road games this season where it allows nearly 72 points per game. Baylor rolls into this one off three straight victories, both SU and ATS. The Bears have held the opposition to just 61 points per game on 40.9% shooting at home this season. Take Baylor (10*). |
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01-25-19 | Pistons v. Mavs -4.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Detroit at 8:35 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Mavericks in this spot as they host the Pistons. Dallas has shown a strong home-road dichotomy this season, going 17-6 here at home compared to 4-20 on the road. I like the fact that the Mavs will have played six of their last nine games here at home while Detroit will be playing its seventh of its last 10 games on the road. The Pistons are coming off a win in New Orleans on Wednesday night, but keep in mind, that's a Pelicans squad that is currently playing without Anthony Davis. Detroit opened its current road trip with a blowout loss against the Wizards. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. These two teams may have similar straight-up records but I don't think there's any question the Magic carry more optimism and upside. Also consider that the Wizards are in a letdown spot here, even off a loss last night against the Warriors. That was a nationally-televised game and one that the Wiz were competitive in. Here, I don't believe Washington will be competitive, where it has gone a miserable 5-18 SU on the road this season. Also note that the Magic have taken the last two meetings on this floor by exactly nine points. Washington is being outscored by nearly 10 points per game on the road this season. Take Orlando (10*). |
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01-25-19 | Brown +7 v. Yale | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NCAAB Ivy League Game of the Year. My selection is on Brown plus the points over Yale at 7 pm et on Friday. Yale got the better of Brown last week week, on the road no less, prevailing by three points as a small favorite. The Bulldogs have now reeled off seven straight wins but went just 3-3 ATS in lined contests over that stretch. Brown saw its six-game losing streak come to an end last time out and the Bears will be highly-motivated to avoid an 0-2 hole in Ivy League play tonight. While Brown hasn't had much success on the road against Yale, it's not as if it has had its doors blown off with regularity either. Note that three of its last four games here were decided by single-digits - all straight-up losses for the Bears. Yale has shot the lights out here at home this season but it will face a challenge here with Brown limiting the opposition to 38.7% shooting on the road this season. The Bulldogs did shoot better than 47% against Brown last weekend, but still won by just three points. Take Brown (10*). |
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01-24-19 | St. Mary's v. BYU +1.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
NCAAB WCC Game of the Year. My selection is on BYU plus the points over St. Mary's at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Gaels and Cougars renew their rivalry on Thursday night after St. Mary's routed BYU earlier this month. I like the Cougars to get back at the Gaels here, as they host them for the first time since December 2017. St. Mary's enters this contest riding a four-game winning streak, both SU and ATS. The Gaels are off to a 4-1 start in WCC play, although it is worth noting that their lone loss came on the road, where they've gone just 2-2 SU in true road contests this season. BYU checks in 9-1 at home, where it averages just shy of 84 points per game on better than 48% shooting while holding the opposition to under 40% shooting. The Cougars are coming off a blowout loss at San Francisco. Perhaps they were caught looking ahead to this matchup, noting that they had won three games in a row previously. I understand the logic behind the Gaels being favored in this matchup, but I'm confident we'll see BYU defend its home floor. Take BYU (10*). |
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01-24-19 | Pelicans +12 v. Thunder | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Thunder have won three straight games both SU and ATS but I believe they're laying too many points in this spot. Keep in mind, Oklahoma City is outscoring the opposition by less than seven points per contest here at home this season. They haven't defeated the Pelicans by double-digits since way back in December of 2016. Mind you, the Pelicans are without Anthony Davis right now and have dropped four of their last six games overall. Over that stretch they've lost just one game by double-digits, however. The Thunder have not fared particularly well in this pointspread range at home in recent years. I'm confident we'll see the undermanned Pelicans stay inside the inflated number tonight. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-23-19 | Texas v. TCU -4 | Top | 61-65 | Push | 0 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on TCU minus the points over Texas at 7 pm et on Wednesday. This feels like a letdown spot for Texas off Saturday's thrilling home win over rival Oklahoma. Prior to that, the Longhorns had dropped three games in a row. TCU is coming off a 10-point loss at Kansas State and has now dropped three of its last four contests. However, the Horned Frogs are a terrific 8-1 straight-up at home this season, including a 31-point beatdown of West Virginia in their last game on this floor. They're averaging just shy of 82 points per game on better than 51% shooting at home this season. Meanwhile, Texas is putting up only 67.7 ppg on the road. Also note that TCU has won its last two home meetings with Texas by 16 and 15 points. Take TCU (10*). |
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01-22-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech | 61-63 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Notre Dame over Georgia Tech at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Sitting at 1-4 in conference play, this is obviously a big game for Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off back-to-back losses at North Carolina and at home against N.C. State but both of those games really could have gone either way. I'll go back to the loss at Chapel Hill in particular. The Irish didn't play all that well in that game, but still lost by just six points. Georgia Tech has not played well in its last two games, dropping back-to-back contests both SU and ATS at Clemson and at home against Louisville. The Yellow Jackets have played relatively well at home this season but I'm not sure they'll match Notre Dame's motivation level in this one. The Irish haven't won on this floor since 2015 but all three matchups here since have been very close. Take Notre Dame (10*). |
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01-21-19 | Creighton v. Georgetown -1.5 | Top | 91-87 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
NCAAB Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on Georgetown minus the points over Creighton at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the short number with Georgetown as it hosts a reeling Creighton squad on Monday night. The Blue Jays have lost four straight games and are giving up a whopping 82 points per game on just shy of 49% shooting on the road this season. Meanwhile, Georgetown will play with a lot of motivation here having dropped three straight meetings in this series, while also coming off a narrow 74-71 home loss to Marquette. The Hoyas are 9-3 at home this season, averaging north of 87 ppg on 45.6% shooting on this floor. Take Georgetown (10*). |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | 37-31 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over New England at 6:40 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Chiefs last weekend and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play this week as they host the Patriots in the AFC Championship. Home field means a lot in this matchup. We saw the Chiefs fall just short in a Sunday nighter in Foxborough earlier this season. I give Kansas City credit for sticking around in a hostile environment on that night. Not a lot went right for the Chiefs at times in that game, but they ultimately came just a hair short of pulling off the upset. Now the shoe is on the other foot as Kansas City gets New England at Arrowhead Stadium where it owns one of the strongest home field advantages in football. The Chiefs have been a completely different team here at home, particularly on the defensive side of the football. After manhandling the Colts surging offense last week, I believe they're in excellent position to contain Tom Brady and company this Sunday. On the flip side, the Chiefs can score on anyone and while the Patriots defense is playing well and has certainly been an opportunistic bunch, I'm confident in Kansas City's ability to mix things up through the air and on the ground and ultimately hang a crooked number on the scoreboard on Sunday. The Patriots absolutely annihilated the Chargers last week but won't be spotted a big early lead again here. The Chiefs get their revenge and advance to the Super Bowl. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -119 | 66 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Los Angeles at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. We cashed a ticket fading the Saints last week as they escaped with a narrow win over the Eagles. I won't hesitate to switch gears and back New Orleans this time around as they try to defeat the Rams for the second time this season, and advance to the Super Bowl for the first time in nearly a decade. Give the Rams credit as they made the red hot Cowboys look rather punchless in last week's dominant victory at home. But now they face a much tougher challenge as they travel to New Orleans, where the Saints own an incredible home field advantage. We didn't see the Saints bring their 'A' game offensively last week, but their defense more than made up for it with a particularly strong finish, keyed by a critical interception in the game's final minute. While the Saints run defense has been terrific this season, I do think the Rams will make some gains on the ground in this one. With that being said, I believe this game comes down to whether Rams QB Jared Goff can get it done against the Saints secondary, or at least keep pace with the legend on the other side in Drew Brees. I don't see it happening. The Saints offense has another gear that I expect to see it reach this Sunday. Unlike last week when their performance was a little disjointed, I look for New Orleans to come out strong and ultimately pull away for a win and cover to advance to the Super Bowl in Atlanta. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-19-19 | Dayton v. St Bonaventure +3 | Top | 89-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
NCAAB Atlantic-10 Game of the Year. My selection is on St. Bonaventure plus the points over Dayton at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this spot sets up for the Bonnies at home on Saturday afternoon. St. Bonaventure is coming off a double-digit loss at Rhode Island earlier this week but that's no big surprise as it has gone 0-6 on the road this season. Here at home, the Bonnies have been more productive, going 5-2 straight-up. In fact, in their most recent home game they beat St. Joe's by a lopsided 73-47 margin. While they haven't enjoyed much success in this particular matchup, I feel they catch Dayton in a good spot here. The Flyers saw their six-game winning streak come to an end last time out, suffering a narrow 76-71 loss at VCU. The Flyers are now a miserable 1-7 ATS over their last eight contests. Take St. Bonaventure (10*). |
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01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2 | 75-61 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ohio State minus the points over Maryland at 6:30 pm et on Friday. Just a huge motivational spot for the Buckeyes here as they try to get back to even in conference play and host the red hot Terps on Friday night. Maryland has reeled off six straight wins but actually knocked down only 16 field goal attempts against Wisconsin earlier this week. Note that four of their last six wins have come at home, and three of those came by four points or less. The Buckeyes are coming off three straight losses but do check in 8-2 SU at home this season, where they average over 80 points per game on just shy of 49% shooting. The Terps have taken four of the last five meetings in this series but the last time they hooked up on this floor, the Buckeyes rolled to a 91-69 win last January. Take Ohio State (10*). |
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01-17-19 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -6 | 58-56 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Peter's minus the points over Manhattan at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the Peacocks as they aim to build off a win over Marist and get past a reeling Manhattan squad on Thursday night. St. Peter's is 2-2 SU but 3-1 ATS in conference play this season and has an excellent opportunity to get back over the .500 mark here. Manhattan is coming off back-to-back blowout road losses in-conference and continues to struggle offensively, shooting below 40% as a team. Poor free throw shooting has really cost the Jaspers as they're connecting on just over 56% of their attempts from the charity stripe. It's also worth noting that Manhattan is allowing opponents to shoot 48% from the field on the road this season. Take St. Peter's (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Warriors | 140-147 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Warriors are fresh off a record-setting offensive performance in a rout in Denver last night but now find themselves in a tough spot returning home on no rest to host a surging Pelicans squad. Keep in mind, Golden State still isn't a good bet on the season having gone 19-25 ATS. The Pelicans haven't been much better but have been sharp lately, going 4-1 ATS over their last five games. They're coming off a key road win over the Clippers in Los Angeles. They haven't been able to stack many road victories on the campaign, but are actually getting outscored by barely over a single point away from home. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -1.5 | 129-109 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Utah at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up for the reeling Clippers, who check in having dropped three games in a row both SU and ATS. The Jazz are rolling, fresh off four consecutive wins but have actually dropped the cash in their last two games, and those came against the lowly Bulls and Pistons. Motivation will be high for the Clippers as they have also dropped three straight meetings against the Jazz. Their last win in this series did come right here in Los Angeles where they've gone 14-8 SU this season. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Spurs v. Mavs +1 | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas over San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Spurs were all the talk last week, capping off an incredible run with a thrilling double-overtime win over the Thunder on national TV. Since then, they've dropped back-to-back games at Oklahoma City and at home against Charlotte. I'm not convinced they'll regain their footing here on Wednesday night as they hit the road to face the upstart Mavs in Dallas. The Mavs are also coming off a loss but it was a close one (by five points) against the Warriors so I'm confident in their ability to bounce back here, noting that they've gone 16-5 straight-up at home this season. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-16-19 | Butler -2 v. DePaul | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Butler minus the points over DePaul at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. Butler is coming off back-to-back conference road losses to fall to 1-3 in conference play. Keep in mind, both of those games could have gone either way with the Bulldogs falling by a single point in each contest. I look for the Bulldogs to bounce back against a DePaul squad they've defeated in nine straight meetings. The Blue Demons are coming off back-to-back wins over Seton Hall and St. John's. Butler checks in winless on the road this season with some disappointing numbers both offensively and defensively, but as I mentioned, they've held their own away from home in conference play and will be highly-motivated to pick up a much-needed victory here on Wednesday night. Take Butler (10*). |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | 142-111 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Golden State at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. Like the value being offered with the Nuggets as a small home underdog against the Warriors on Tuesday night. Denver actually has the better straight-up record and the vastly superior ATS record in this matchup. Not only that, but the Nuggets have taken five of the last nine meetings in this series. The Warriors are getting plenty of support, however, as they come in on a four-game winning streak. Still they've only managed to go 2-2 ATS over that stretch, dropping the cash in both road games. Denver has been a little uneven lately, and comes off back-to-back ATS losses, but remains a profitable 4-3 ATS over its last seven contests. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-15-19 | Seton Hall v. Providence -1.5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Providence minus the points over Seton Hall at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. Seton Hall has taken three straight meetings in this series but I look for Providence to reverse that trend with a victory on Tuesday night. The Friars come in having dropped three straight games to open conference play. Prior to that they had won three games in a row both SU and ATS. Note that each of their last three losses have been relatively close including a six-point overtime loss at Georgetown last time out. Seton Hall checks in with just three ATS victories over its last eight contests. The Pirates have struggled to contain opposing offenses on the road this season allowing just shy of 74 points per game on 45.8% shooting. Take Providence (10*). |
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01-14-19 | Wisconsin +4 v. Maryland | 60-64 | Push | 0 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wisconsin plus the points over Maryland at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Badgers as they try to close the gap on Maryland in Big Ten play. Wisconsin is coming off an overtime loss on the road against Purdue last Thursday - marking its third loss in its last four games. Keep in mind, prior to that setback, the Badgers went on the road and won by 19 points as a small favorite at Penn State. Maryland is off to a red hot 5-1 start in conference play but its last two home wins have come by a combined five points. Wisconsin has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Take Wisconsin (10*). |
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01-13-19 | Eagles +8.5 v. Saints | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over New Orleans at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles got blown out of the water the last time they faced the Saints right here in New Orleans back on November 18th. However, much like last year, these Eagles are looking a lot different in January. QB Nick Foles has stepped in and relished the underdog role once again this year and I really do feel he’s a guy the entire team rallies around and they believe they can win with him under center. I liked some of the wrinkles the Eagles added to the offensive playbook against the Bears and it’s not as if they’re taking a step up in class, at least as far as the defense they’re facing goes, here in New Orleans. Playing against that vaunted Bears defense on the road was no easy task and the Eagles found a way to do just enough to secure a victory. The Saints are certainly tough to beat here at the Superdome but we don’t actually need the Eagles to win outright to cash this ticket. Keep in mind, during the regular season we saw the Buccaneers win outright and the Browns, Rams and Steelers all give the Saints serious scares here in New Orleans. If we know one thing about the Eagles, they’re not going to back down from a challenge and I’m confident they’ll find a way to hang around in this ball game. There are key matchups the Philadelphia offense can exploit against a good but not great Saints defense, enough so that they can stick around should this turn into a shootout. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Philadelphia and New Orleans at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with the ‘over’ in the Eagles win over the Bears last Sunday and also missed with the ‘over’ the last time Philadelphia played here in New Orleans back on November 18th. With that being said, I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as this one sets up as a shootout at the Superdome. The Eagles should come in believing they can score in this game after going up against one of the best defenses in football last week in Chicago. This is actually a more favorable matchup for the Philadelphia offense as it hits the fast track in New Orleans. I liked some of the changes we saw the Eagles make offensively against the Bears, bringing WR Golden Tate back into the picture, and I do feel Tate can have an even bigger game against a vulnerable Saints pass defense in the slot. It’s also worth noting that WR Alshon Jeffery matches up particularly well with whoever he lines up against on this Saints defense. On the flip side, we’ve got the Saints at home – we know they’re going to put points on the board. I give the Eagles undermanned defense a lot of credit as they have done an excellent job instilling a ‘next man up’ philosophy following a number of key injuries in their secondary. However, there’s a big difference between facing the Bears and young QB Mitch Trubisky and going up against one of the best quarterbacks of all-time in Drew Brees and a loaded Saints offense. I don’t believe the books have set this number high enough. Take the over (10*). |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 9 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Los Angeles and New England at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. We’re dealing with a fairly high total in this game but I’m anticipating a bit of a slugfest. The Chargers offense is somewhat limited with RB Melvin Gordon dealing with a myriad of injuries. Give him credit for sticking it out and turning in a solid performance against the Ravens last week but it’s really difficult to gauge just how much he has left in the tank for this one. I have felt all season that the Patriots possess an underrated defense that is capable of rising to the occasion when it needs to. This is certainly one of those spots where the Pats are going to need a peak performance from their defense as I’m really not sure how much success Tom Brady and company will have on offense against a talented and creative Chargers defense. Los Angeles defensive coordinator Gus Bradley pushed all the right buttons in last week’s dominant performance against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens run-first offense. The Chargers will face a much different challenge here but I do expect them to show up and play well again. Note that the Patriots scored 27 points or less in six of their final nine regular season games and they eclipsed that number against the likes of the Packers, Dolphins and Jets so it’s tough to envision them getting back to that level here. Take the under (10*). |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Loss | -118 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Los Angeles at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I’ve been a bit slower than most to come around on the Cowboys and did cash a ticket with the Seahawks (barely) in Dallas last Saturday night. With that being said, I see this as a fine matchup for Dallas and actually believe it is capable of pulling off the outright upset. The Rams look like the classic case of a team peaking too early. They closed out the regular season with just two wins in their last four games, and those victories came against the Cardinals and 49ers. As far as I’m concerned, this is a team that peaked in that classic Monday night shootout victory over the Chiefs back in mid-November. Playing last week might have actually been best for the Rams as it would have given them an opportunity to keep building. Instead they go from a standing start against a surging Cowboys squad that believes it can beat anyone right now. Dallas’ offense runs through RB Ezekiel Elliott and I’m confident he’s in for a big game against this beatable Rams defense. I really like what the Cowboys have going for them with Elliott consistently moving the chains and a tremendous defense that doesn’t give up many easy yards. The Rams have had time to add plenty of wrinkles to their offense and we’ll undoubtedly see that on Saturday night but I’m confident in Dallas’ ability to take some punches but remain on its feet. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs -5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Indianapolis at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Colts in last week’s blowout win in Houston but I won’t hesitate to go the other way and back the Chiefs as they kick off what they hope will be a Super Bowl run on Saturday afternoon. First of all, we know that Kansas City owns one of the strongest home field advantages in football playing at Arrowhead Stadium. For the Colts this will be their third consecutive road game in as many weeks while the Chiefs enjoyed a much-needed off week to open the playoffs. I’ve been high on Indianapolis for much of the season but there’s no question it benefited from a favorable schedule and here takes a big step up in class against a hungry, talented and highly-motivated Chiefs squad. Note that the Chiefs have been a far better defensive team at home, where they hold the opposition to around 18 points per game compared to north of 30 ppg on the road. The Colts offense is good but not great. That unit has certainly been buoyed by the schedule they’ve faced. The same goes for the Colts defense, which runs into a true juggernaut here. I’m confident we’ll see the Chiefs march up and down the field all afternoon long on Saturday. There were concerns after the Kareem Hunt suspension and subsequent release but as we’ve seen across the league in recent years, running back has become somewhat of a ‘plug-and-play’ position and I like what I’ve seen from a rejuvenated Damien Williams in the backfield. Maybe the Colts keep up in a track meet but I’m more confident in the Chiefs getting enough stops on defense as the game progresses to secure a comfortable victory. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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01-11-19 | Penguins v. Ducks +125 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Anaheim over Pittsburgh at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Ducks losing skid has gone on long enough, currently standing at nine games. It's worth noting that Anaheim's last win actually came against these same Penguins, in Pittsburgh no less, back on December 17th. The Ducks have now taken three consecutive meetings in this series, outscoring the Pens by a 13-5 margin. Anaheim desperately needs a victory here before heading out on a tough five-game road trip. Meanwhile, the Pens are 'fat and happy' following a 5-1 home win over the Panthers. Take Anaheim (10*). |
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01-11-19 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Jets | 2-4 | Loss | -126 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit +1.5 goals over Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Red Wings are coming off a disappointing homestand that saw them win just once in five games. In fact, they've won just once in their last nine games overall. I do like the way the spot sets up for them on Friday night, however, as they head to Winnipeg to face a Jets squad playing the second of back-to-backs, noting that Winnipeg hasn't defeated Detroit by more than a single goal since November of 2016. In four meetings since, the Red Wings actually hold a 13-10 edge in terms of scoring. Take Detroit +1.5 goals (10*). |
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01-11-19 | Iona v. Niagara -1 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Iona at 7 pm et on Friday. We cashed a ticket with ease fading Niagara in its last game, a double-digit loss on the road against Fairfield. That dropped the Purple Eagles to 0-2 in MAAC play this season but I expect them to get into the win column on Friday night as they host Iona. Both of these teams have a strong home-road dichotomy with Iona having yet to win on the road this season, going winless in five tries. The Gaels check in allowing over 91 points per game on 48.6% shooting on the road this season, opening the door for the Purple Eagles to get their offense in gear back at home where they've been a little uneven this season. Take Niagara (10*). |
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01-10-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights -122 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -122 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over San Jose at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. Two red hot teams will go head-to-head in Las Vegas on Thursday night but I like the Golden Knights to get the better of the Sharks here. Vegas has quietly gone on a run, reeling off seven straight victories, not allowing more than two goals in any of those victories. The Knights stellar home ice advantage is back as they've gone 15-3-3 here on the strip. The Sharks have won four games in a row but the last three of those came at home. They're just 10-9-3 on the road this season. Vegas has had San Jose's number since last year, taking seven of the last 10 meetings with two of the Sharks wins coming by way of overtime. Take Vegas (10*). |
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01-09-19 | Arizona State v. California +10 | 80-66 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on California plus the points over Arizona State at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Arizona State is coming off a blowout home win over Colorado last time out, earning its first victory in Pac-12 play. I expect a bit of a letdown here as a matchup with Cal won't yield a great deal of motivation, noting that the Golden Bears are 0-2 in conference play so far and the Sun Devils swept the season series last year. Cal checks in 5-2 on its home floor where it averages over 76 points per game on 46.6% shooting. Arizona State averages 70.5 ppg on just north of 36% shooting on the road. Take California (10*). |
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01-09-19 | Predators v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago +1.5 goals over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the insurance goal with the Blackhawks as they aim to upend the surging Predators on Wednesday night. Note that Nashville hasn't defeated Chicago by more than a single goal at the United Center since April of 2017, when it completed a stunning sweep of the then-number one seeded Blackhawks in the playoffs. Earlier this season Chicago did get the better of the Preds here on home ice winning by a 2-1 score. Also note that the 'Hawks have lost just one game by more than a single goal in their last six contests. Nashville is in a bit of a letdown spot coming off back-to-back blowout wins over the Canadiens and Maple Leafs. Take Chicago +1.5 goals (10*). |
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01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. With a blowout loss in Toronto suffered on Sunday night still fresh in their minds, I don't expect the Pacers to suffer any sort of letdown following last night's bounce-back win in Cleveland. Indiana has had some success here at TD Garden, coming away with straight-up victories in its last two stops. Also note that the Pacers took the lone previous meeting in this series this season by a single point in Indiana back in November. The Pacers check in having won seven of their last eight games overall. The Celtics are suddenly rolling, having won three straight games on their current homestand. Keep in mind, those wins came against the T'Wolves, Mavs and Nets. Note that the straight-up winner has gone a perfect 28-0 ATS in the Celtics last 28 games. If you're playing the Pacers, you might want to throw a little bit at the moneyline as well. Take Indiana (10*). |
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01-08-19 | Avalanche +145 v. Jets | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Jets own a tremendous home ice advantage and that has certainly held true in this series but it's not as if Winnipeg is playing its best hockey right now, having won just twice in its last five games. The Avalanche will be highly-motivated to steal a win on Tuesday, after finally bringing an end to their six-game losing streak last time out - in resounding fashion no less, defeating the Rangers by a 6-1 score. Note that during the Avs six-game skid they suffered just one loss by more than a single goal, that coming in a 6-4 setback in Arizona. In other words, the majority of those games really could have gone either way. Colorado has held its own on the road this season and will see this as an excellent 'measuring stick' game against a true Stanley Cup contender. Take Colorado (10*). |
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01-08-19 | Manhattan v. Marist UNDER 123 | 63-78 | Loss | -122 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Manhattan and Marist at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are coming off relatively high-scoring games and 'over' results. With that being said, both the Jaspers and Red Foxes have struggled to get out of the 50's on most nights this season and I'm expecting a return to 'normal' when they match up on Tuesday night. Manhattan is averaging just north of 52 points per game on 38% shooting on the road this season and runs into a Marist squad that will be highly-motivated after dropping its MAAC opener. The Jaspers have been vulnerable at the defensive end of the floor but I'm not sure Marist is prepared to take advantage. Note that the Red Foxes shoot below 43% as a team and right around 35% from three-point range at home this season and that's considering a small sample size of three games that includes an 82-point outburst against Columbia way back on November 10th. Take the under (10*). |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +5.5 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
NCAAF Game of the Month. My selection is on Clemson plus the points over Alabama at 8 pm et on Monday. This is the fourth straight year that the Tigers and Crimson Tide will meet in the College Football Playoff and after getting blown out in the semi-final last year, I fully expect Dabo Swinney's Tigers to respond with a strong performance here. I'll grab the points in what should be a far more competitive affair than we saw a year ago. Alabama has actually just covered one spread over its last four games, that coming in a 52-21 rout of Auburn back on November 24th. Meanwhile, Clemson rolls into this contest after blowing out Pitt in the ACC Championship Game and Notre Dame in the CFP semi-final. There's really not a lot more to say about this matchup than has already been said. I simply feel that taking the points is the right move in a game where there's little to separate two elite squads. Take Clemson (10*). |
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01-07-19 | Spurs v. Pistons +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over San Antonio at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Pistons as they catch the Spurs in a big-time letdown spot coming off a perfect homestand. San Antonio was certainly up for a three-game homestand featuring showdowns with the Celtics, Raptors (and Kawhi Leonard) and the Grizzlies. Now the Spurs will need to get back up for a trip out east to face the lowly Pistons. That's a tall task in my opinion. Detroit has struggled lately but still owns a winning record at home and will be high on motivation following a narrow five-point loss on this floor against Utah. The last time these two teams met at the Palace of Auburn Hills, the Pistons rolled to a 93-79 win last December. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-07-19 | Niagara v. Fairfield -4 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fairfield minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Monday. Fairfield is in desperate need of a victory here at home as it has opened the MAAC slate with consecutive losses. Both of those games could have gone either way at home against Rider and on the road against Iona. Fairfield is also off to a winless start in conference play, falling by 10 points at Manhattan. Note that the straight-up winner has gone 10-1 ATS in all Niagara games where the spread has been in single-digits this season, as is the case here. In the same situation, the SU winner has gone 7-2-1 ATS in all Fairfield games. Niagara hasn't won a game on this floor since February of 2015 and I don't see that trend changing here. Take Fairfield (10*). |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears OVER 41.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Philadelphia and Chicago at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. I would imagine the books will see plenty of support for the ‘under’ leading up to this matchup but I feel the total will prove too low. The common line of thinking is that a late afternoon January game at Soldier Field will be a defensive slugfest but the matchups indicate otherwise. The Eagles are injury-ravaged in their secondary and really up against it facing a versatile Bears offense that can beat you in a lot of different ways. Chicago is guided by one of the best offensive minds in football in head coach Matt Nagy and I’m confident he’ll have an excellent gameplan laid out for beating this undermanned Philadelphia defense. What the Eagles do have going for them is a gutsy QB in Nick Foles who despite playing hurt, should find a way to put some points on the board in this game with a number of weapons at his disposal. The Bears certainly possess an elite defense but they’re facing an Eagles offense that still has most of the key pieces from last year’s Super Bowl run and I don’t think we’ll see Philadelphia go away quietly. We don’t need a shootout to cash this ticket and that certainly plays into our favor. Take the over (10*). |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Los Angeles at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with the Ravens in this matchup as they catch the Chargers in a favorable matchup, playing an early afternoon game on the east coast on Sunday. The Ravens have already proven they can beat the Chargers, and they did so on the road no less, back before Christmas. Baltimore simply isn’t the same team it was earlier in the season. Since installing QB Lamar Jackson as the starting quarterback, the Ravens have gone run-heavy, in fact they’ve been the most run-heavy team in the league, playing keep-away against every opponent they’ve faced. I expect nothing different here, and I like the fact that they’re facing a Chargers squad that seemingly peaked too early this season, perhaps doing so on that Thursday night win in Kansas City in early December. I have a lot of confidence in the Ravens ability on both sides of the football, with their defense putting together an incredible body of work over the course of the entire season. Their ability to step up and finish off a surging Browns offense on the final season-saving drive last Sunday afternoon was tremendous. Look for them to build off of that performance here. Maybe I would have more confidence in Los Angeles were it not for all of the injuries do-it-all RB Melvin Gordon has dealt with. This is quite simply a beaten up Chargers offense right now, and one I can’t see walking into Baltimore and stealing a win on Sunday. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Dallas at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I’ll grab the points with the Seahawks as they have an excellent shot at ‘upsetting’ the Cowboys in Dallas. The Cowboys inexplicably showed up and played their starters most of the way on the road against the Giants last week (save for RB Ezekiel Elliott) and ultimately pulled out a victory on a miraculous Cole Beasley touchdown pass in the game’s final minute. Now they face a much tougher challenge and do so with a lot of pressure on them to win. Seattle is essentially playing with house money at this point. The Seahawks have exceeded all expectations after cleaning house and getting off to a sluggish start to the season. I love the evolution we’ve seen from the Seahawks offense over the course of the season with RB Chris Carson taking on a feature role. That should serve them well as they go against a Cowboys run defense that is good but not great, and showed signs of wearing down during the stretch run. Unlike the other west coast team on Wild Card Weekend (Chargers), the Seahawks benefit from getting a primetime game, and only have to travel two time zones east at that. Take Seattle (10*). |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans OVER 48 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Indianapolis and Houston at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. This one sets up as a high-scoring playoff showdown between two familiar division opponents. I don’t believe the Texans pass defense can do much to slow a red hot Colts aerial attack led by QB Andrew Luck. Buoyed by a relatively weak schedule, the Houston pass ‘D’ is a ‘paper tiger’ as far as I’m concerned. Look for the Colts to move the football at will through the air in the friendly confines of Reliant Stadium on Saturday afternoon. I do fully expect this to be a competitive affair, and if we project the Colts to move the football and put plenty of points on the board, the Texans are going to have to as well. Houston obviously does have offensive weapons, namely dual-threat QB DeShaun Watson and WR DeAndre Hopkins. The Colts defense has been good, but ultimately got here thanks to facing a rather limited Titans offense led by backup QB Blaine Gabbert last Sunday night. They will be taking a step up in class in this one. We saw a pair of relatively high-scoring affairs between these two teams during the regular season, and I expect nothing different here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-05-19 | Colts +2 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Houston at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. The Colts are arguably the league’s hottest team entering the playoffs and after winning with them last Sunday night in Tennessee, I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as they travel to face the Texans on Wild Card Saturday. The argument can certainly be made that the Colts are the healthier team entering this matchup and I really like the advantage they have with their passing game against a Texans pass defense that looks a lot better on paper than it does on the field. Houston really benefited from a favorable schedule as far as facing elite passing offenses goes. Here, it will face an uphill climb against a red hot Andrew Luck, who has done a tremendous job spreading the football around in this Colts offense. Defensively, the Colts quietly had one of the better units in the league over the course of the regular season, and this is a group that really came together down the stretch. The Texans are capable of putting some points on the board this game, but I believe they will be playing from behind much of the way, and I’m not convinced that they can make enough clutch plays down the stretch to secure a win. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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01-04-19 | Predators -182 v. Red Wings | 3-4 | Loss | -182 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nashville over Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Red Wings are reeling right now, losers of six straight games entering Friday's matchup with the Predators. This certainly isn't an ideal bounce-back matchup for the Wings as they host a Preds team that has busted out a six-game skid with back-to-back wins, outscoring the Caps and Flyers by a combined 10-3 score. I don't expect the Preds to overlook the Wings here with that long losing streak so close in the rear-view mirror. Detroit has no home ice advantage to speak of having gone 8-10-4 here this season. On Wednesday the Wings were spotted a 2-0 lead but still ended up losing by two goals against the Flames. Look for them to suffer a similar fate here. Take Nashville (10*). |
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01-04-19 | Jets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This will be a popular play on Friday night but that doesn't mean it's the wrong one. The Jets went through a bit of a scoring lull around the holidays but bounced back with a four-goal performance in a winning effort in Edmonton on New Year's even and I anticipate more success in Pittsburgh on Friday. Note that the Jets have scored 18 goals against the Penguins in five meetings dating back to the start of 2017. Pittsburgh enters this contest on a serious roll, having won seven games in a row. The Pens have scored 21 goals over their last four games including seven against the Rangers on Wednesday. It's worth noting that Penguins home games are averaging 6.8 total goals this season, where they've allowed 3.3 goals per game. Sometimes these showdowns between elite offensive teams fizzlie, but I don't think that will be the case at PPG Paints Arena on Friday. Take the over (10*). |
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01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 226 | 135-134 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. None of the last six meetings in this series have even come close to sniffing the posted total we're working with on Thursday night, but I'm not one bit surprised we're dealing with such a high number. It's the nature of today's NBA, with totals regularly reaching into the 220's and 230's. The Rockets continue to roll along without Chris Paul among others, but look at who they've faced lately. Houston's current five-game winning streak has come at the expense of the Spurs, Thunder, Celtics, Pelicans and Grizzlies, with four of those games coming at home. Elite defensive squads are few and far between in that mix. Meanwhile, the Warriors exploded for 132 points last time out, but that was against the lowly Suns. The 'under' has actually cashed in three of their last four contests. Take the under (10*). |
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01-03-19 | Hurricanes v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Carolina and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I’ll stick with the trends here as the Hurricanes have seen six of their last seven games stay ‘under’ the total while the Flyers are riding an incredible ‘under’ run, including their last three contests staying ‘under’, with Philadelphia scoring a grand total of only two goals in the process. It is of course also worth noting that these two teams just met in Carolina on New Year’s Eve, with Carolina skating to a low-scoring 3-1 victory. Tonight’s expected goaltending matchup will feature Petr Mrazek for the Canes and Michal Neuvirth for the Flyers. Mrazek has allowed eight goals over his last four games while Neuvirth came on in relief of rookie Carter Hart against the Canes earlier this week and turned aside all 23 shots he faced. Take the under (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-18-19 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Flames | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
02-17-19 | Team LeBron v. Team Giannis OVER 311 | 178-164 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
02-17-19 | Flyers -110 v. Red Wings | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
02-16-19 | Blues -116 v. Avalanche | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
02-16-19 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +6 | Top | 69-47 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
02-16-19 | Red Wings v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
02-15-19 | World v. USA OVER 290 | 144-161 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
02-15-19 | Oilers v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 150 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
02-14-19 | Blues -143 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
02-14-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Pelicans | 122-131 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
02-14-19 | Hornets v. Magic UNDER 216 | 89-127 | Push | 0 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Wizards +11 v. Raptors | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
02-13-19 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 221 | 148-139 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Real Madrid +100 v. Ajax Amsterdam | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
02-13-19 | Borussia Dortmund v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
02-12-19 | Maple Leafs -127 v. Avalanche | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
02-12-19 | Lakers v. Hawks OVER 236 | 113-117 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
02-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 226.5 | 125-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
02-10-19 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 222 | 118-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
02-10-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2.5 | 55-52 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
02-09-19 | Colorado v. USC -4.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
02-09-19 | Hornets v. Hawks OVER 228.5 | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
02-09-19 | Auburn v. LSU -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
02-08-19 | Bucks v. Mavs +8 | Top | 122-107 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
02-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +111 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
02-07-19 | San Francisco +18 v. Gonzaga | Top | 62-92 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
02-07-19 | Lakers v. Celtics -8.5 | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
02-07-19 | Raptors -9 v. Hawks | 119-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
02-07-19 | Wolves +2 v. Magic | 112-122 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
02-06-19 | Rockets v. Kings +2.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
02-06-19 | Georgetown v. Providence -3 | 76-67 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
02-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 122-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
02-05-19 | Florida State v. Syracuse -3 | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
02-05-19 | Islanders +1.5 v. Bruins | 1-3 | Loss | -190 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
02-04-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma +2.5 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
02-03-19 | Patriots -2 v. Rams | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
02-03-19 | Stanford -5.5 v. California | 84-81 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
02-03-19 | Clippers v. Raptors OVER 229.5 | 103-121 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
02-02-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -7 | 125-98 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
02-02-19 | Notre Dame +3 v. Boston College | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
02-01-19 | Rockets v. Nuggets OVER 227 | 122-136 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
02-01-19 | Hawks v. Jazz -11.5 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
02-01-19 | Maple Leafs -165 v. Red Wings | 2-3 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
01-30-19 | Hawks v. Kings -5.5 | 113-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
01-29-19 | 76ers -6.5 v. Lakers | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
01-29-19 | Ball State +12 v. Buffalo | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
01-28-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
01-28-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -6 | Top | 77-47 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
01-26-19 | Evansville +3.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 74-81 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
01-26-19 | Alabama v. Baylor -3 | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
01-25-19 | Pistons v. Mavs -4.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic -3.5 | 95-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
01-25-19 | Brown +7 v. Yale | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
01-24-19 | St. Mary's v. BYU +1.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
01-24-19 | Pelicans +12 v. Thunder | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
01-23-19 | Texas v. TCU -4 | Top | 61-65 | Push | 0 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
01-22-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech | 61-63 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
01-21-19 | Creighton v. Georgetown -1.5 | Top | 91-87 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | 37-31 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 12 m | Show | |
01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -119 | 66 h 44 m | Show |
01-19-19 | Dayton v. St Bonaventure +3 | Top | 89-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2 | 75-61 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
01-17-19 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -6 | 58-56 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Warriors | 140-147 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -1.5 | 129-109 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Spurs v. Mavs +1 | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
01-16-19 | Butler -2 v. DePaul | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | 142-111 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
01-15-19 | Seton Hall v. Providence -1.5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
01-14-19 | Wisconsin +4 v. Maryland | 60-64 | Push | 0 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
01-13-19 | Eagles +8.5 v. Saints | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 9 m | Show |
01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Loss | -118 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs -5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
01-11-19 | Penguins v. Ducks +125 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
01-11-19 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Jets | 2-4 | Loss | -126 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
01-11-19 | Iona v. Niagara -1 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
01-10-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights -122 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -122 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
01-09-19 | Arizona State v. California +10 | 80-66 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
01-09-19 | Predators v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
01-08-19 | Avalanche +145 v. Jets | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
01-08-19 | Manhattan v. Marist UNDER 123 | 63-78 | Loss | -122 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +5.5 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
01-07-19 | Spurs v. Pistons +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
01-07-19 | Niagara v. Fairfield -4 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears OVER 41.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 50 m | Show | |
01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 18 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans OVER 48 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
01-05-19 | Colts +2 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
01-04-19 | Predators -182 v. Red Wings | 3-4 | Loss | -182 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
01-04-19 | Jets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 226 | 135-134 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
01-03-19 | Hurricanes v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |