Free Sports Picks

10* FREE MLB PICK (Rockies/Royals UNDER 8.5)

The UNDER is worth a look in Tuesday's interleague showdown between the Rockies and Royals. Colorado is no where close to the offensive juggernaut they are at home on the road and I look for them to struggle to get much of anything going against KC's Danny Duffy, who has a 3.14 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 8 home starts. Rockies will send out Jon Gray, who is starting to regain his form. Gray has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and has now gone 5 straight starts where he's allowed 3 runs or less. UNDER is 20-7 in Duffy's last 27 home starts against at team that strikeouts out 7 or more times/game in the 2nd half of the season. It's also 32-19 in the Rockies last 51 after a loss and 22-11 in their last 33 against a left-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

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I'm recommending a play on the Phillies with Aaron Nola over Dan Straily (game-1 of the doubleheader).  Since June 21, the Phils are just 23-30. However, during the same stretch they're 7-4 when Nola toes the starting rubber, which shows just how effective he's been.  Nola held 10 straight opponents to 2 runs or less before a rough outing in SFO last time out.  I'm more of the belief it was an anomaly and not a sell sign.  The fact is, he was cruising along for the most part, before a bad 5th inning.  The righthander is back home tonight where the Phils have won each of his last three home starts and five of his last six.  Nola has allowed just 5 earned runs, 33 base runners, with 52 strikeouts in those six starts, spanning 42 1/3 IP.  That's a smoking-hot, 1.06 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and 11.06 K's per 9 IP ratio.  Dan Straily has watched his team lose each of his last seven starts and he's receiving little help from his offense.  It's hard to imagine he'll get the likely required help tonight.  Straily isn't eating up innings, failing to pitch six full in all but one of his last seven starts. The righthander's numbers on the road have not been good since the start of the 2014 campaign and not much has changed this season where his ERA sits north of 4.6.  With a potential pitching mismatch on hand, we'll recommend a play on Aaron Nola and the Phillies on Tuesday (game-1).  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer. 

The situation and schedule favors Ottawa in this one. Both teams played last Friday. The Redbacks "got healthy" with a momentum-building 37-18 win over Hamilton. With that game being played in southern Ontario, there was no travel between time zones. The Lions, on the other hand, are off a "deflating" 21-17 setback, on the West Coast, against Calgary. That close loss was preceded by a 41-8 thrashing at the hands of Saskatchewan. I think the Redblacks are probably catching them at the right time. Consider Ottawa. 

Free Pick on Cubs - 

Chicago scored 3-runs in the bottom of the 10th on Sunday to win 6-5 and finish off a 3-game sweep of the Blue Jays. The Cubs have won 6 of 8 overall and I look for them to keep it rolling in the series opener against the Reds on Tuesday. Chicago got a much-needed day off yesterday and are a strong 8-2 in their last 10 after an off day. 

Cubs will send out John Lackey, who might be their worst starter, but he's still a strong option for a No. 5 starter. Lackey has 10-wins on the season and has been much better of late. He's got a 3.31 ERA in his last 3 starts and has gone 7 straight outings allowing 3 runs or less (all 7 have been Cubs wins). Reds counter here with Homer Bailey, who is 4-6 with a 8.44 ERA and 2.043 WHIP in 11 starts. He's made 4 home starts and has a miserable 14.33 ERA and 2.572 WHIP (Reds 0-4). His last outing was at the Cubs, where he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits and 5 walks. 

It's also worth noting that in the Reds last game they managed just 1 runs in a 7-run loss to the Braves. Cincinnati is a mere 1-11 this season after scoring 1 run or fewer in their last game. Reds are also 4-12 in their last 16 vs a team with a winning record and 3-11 in Bailey's last 14 starts against a division opponent. Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Chicago! 

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Play - Jacksonville Jaguars (Game 254).

Edges - Jaguars: 3-0 SUATS all-time preseason home following a home loss… Panthers: 0-3 SUATS Game Three preseason… With the Jags playing with two extra days of rest advantage in this contest, we recommend a 1* play on Jacksonville.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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