Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 208.5 | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. We saw an incredibly low-scoring game (by today's NBA standards) in the opener of this series on Sunday as the Suns cruised to a 99-90 victory. I certainly expect to see the Lakers punch back on Tuesday night but Phoenix isn't going to roll over and has proven to be an incredibly efficient offensive team here at home this season, averaging 116.1 points per game on better than 49% shooting. Note that the 'over' has gone 23-11 with the Suns coming off two or more consecutive wins this season, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 225.7 points. Better still, the 'over' is 13-4 with the Suns coming off four or more straight victories over the last two seasons with an average total of 232.8 points in that spot. As for the Lakers, they've seen the 'over' cash at a 49-26 clip the last 75 times they've played on the road off a loss against a division opponent. Look for an answer from Lebron and A.D. off an off day on Sunday but the Suns should do their part to help this one 'over' the total as well. Take the over (10*). |
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05-25-21 | Sun v. Storm -3 | 87-90 | Push | 0 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Connecticut at 10 pm et on Tuesday. Connecticut has exceeded expectations and gotten off to a perfect 5-0 start keyed by consecutive wins over the Mercury and Aces - two of the league's best teams - to open this three-game road trip. I expect the Sun to finally get tripped up on Tuesday night, however, as they face a tall task against the defending champion Storm. Seattle has just one blemish on its record so far this season with that setback coming in the second half of a two-game set against the aforementioned Aces. Note that the Storm swept last year's two-game season series, winning both meetings by double-digits. They've gone 14-8 in the last 22 meetings in this series. The Sun should have the Storm's full attention for this one given their undefeated record. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-25-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair as the streaking Rangers head to Anaheim to face the Angels on Tuesday night. Left-hander Hyeon-Jong Yang will take the ball for the Rangers. He was terrific in his most recent start, allowing just three hits and two earned runs over 5 1/3 innings against the Yankees. Here, he'll face an Angels team that has performed well against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game on .268 hitting. Note that the 'over' has gone 9-3 in the Angels 12 games against southpaw starters. Yang hasn't shown the ability to work deep into ball games which opens the door for a Rangers bullpen that has posted a collective 5.67 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season. Texas will be getting its third look at Angels starter Andrew Heaney since the start of last season and it has enjoyed success against him, knocking the left-hander around for 11 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. The Rangers are 12-5 against southpaw starters this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game on .254 hitting. Heaney has postd a 6.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in four home starts this season with the 'over' going a perfect 4-0. Note that Heaney is averaging less than five innings per start this season which means we're likely to see plenty of an Angels bullpen that has posted a 5.00 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, not to mention six blown saves, at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -186 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This one sets up perfectly for the Hurricanes as they look to rebound on home ice after suffering consecutive overtime losses in Nashville. Note that the Predators are 0-6 off two straight one-goal wins over division opponents over the last three seasons, outscored by a wide average margin of 2.5 goals in that spot. They're also 10-23 when coming off consecutive victories over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals per game in that situation. As we noted at the start of this series, home ice would likely be the ultimate decider and so far it has been with the hosts winning all four games for a 2-2 series through five. With the Canes checking in 22-8 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.4 goals per game, look for them to gain the upper hand on Tuesday night. Take Carolina (10*). |
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05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Carolina at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This has turned out to be a very high-scoring series with three of the four games totaling seven goals or more. I expect things to tighten up considerably now that the series is all knotted at two games apiece, however. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Hurricanes playing at home after losing two of their last three games this season with that situation producing an average total of just 3.7 goals. The 'under' is also 10-2 with the Hurricanes at home off a one-goal loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of just 4.3 goals. For the Preds part, the 'under' has gone 11-3 when they play on the road after giving up three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons, with that spot producing an average total of just 4.9 goals. Despite the high-scoring nature of this playoff series, the 'under' remains 8-6 in the last 14 meetings in this series while five of the last seven matchups here in Raleigh have also gone 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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05-25-21 | Orioles v. Twins -196 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Baltimore at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Twins are doing their best to make up for lost time right now, winners of four of their last five games but still a long way from getting back into contention. I do like their chances of staying hot on Tuesday against the reeling Orioles. Baltimore has lost seven straight games. The O's bullpen was a strength earlier in the season but the wheels have come off lately with their relievers posting a collective 10.17 ERA and 2.22 WHIP over their last seven games. With tonight's starter Dean Kremer averaging just over four innings per start the O's woeful 'pen should be forced into extended duty again. Jose Berrios isn't off to a banner start for the Twins but despite his 5.48 ERA and 1.30 WHIP here at home, Minnesota has still managed to win three of his four outings at Target Field. Interestingly, most of Berrios' struggles have come in the daytime. In three night starts he has posted a sparkling 1.62 ERA and 0.66 WHIP. Berrios has certainly had the O's number over the course of his career, going 5-0 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.15 WHIP against them. Take Minnesota (9*). |
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05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Monday. The Blazers took the opener of this series, which shouldn't have come as a big surprise as they played exceptionally well down the stretch this season and they've been terrific on the road, going 23-14. Here, I expect the Nuggets to bounce back, however, noting that they've gone 25-12 at home this season, outscoring the opposition by an average of six points, and have taken seven of their last 10 home meetings with Portland. The Blazers have now won consecutive games in this series after the Nuggets had taken the previous two. Note that the Nuggets check in 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games when trailing a playoff series, outscoring the opposition by 6.9 points per game. They've also a terrific 13-4 ATS when coming off two more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 9.8 points. All respect to Portland, it was the better team in Game 1, but now it has accomplished its goal of earning at least a split here in Denver. Look for the Blazers to fall short on Monday. Take Denver (10*). |
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05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox -173 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
MLB on ESPN Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over St. Louis at 8:10 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off disappointing weekend series' with the Cardinals dropping two of three games against the rival Cubs and the White Sox getting swept by the Yankees in the Bronx. Here, I look for the White Sox to bounce back at home as they once again look to tee off on a left-handed starting pitcher. Chicago's success against southpaw starters has been well-documented. It checks in 9-3 against lefties this season, averaging a whopping 8.0 runs per game and hitting just shy of .300 as a team. Cards starter Kwang-Hyun Kim has given up just one earned run in five consecutive starts but he's generally labored through those outings, most recently lasting just 3 1/3 innings in a start against the Padres last Sunday. Now that opposing teams have a little more tape on Kim, we've seen them have some success. To say that the Cards bullpen has been struggling would be an understatement. Note that Kim has posted a 3.86 ERA and an inflated 1.46 WHIP in three road starts this season, averaging less than four innings per start. That's concerning as behind Kim is a Cards bullpen that has recorded a 7.46 ERA and 2.01 WHIP over their last seven contests. Veteran Lance Lynn will counter for Chicago. He's off to a terrific start, having posted a 1.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP through seven starts. Behind Lynn is a White Sox bullpen that has recorded a collective 3.38 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season. Take Chicago (10*). |
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05-24-21 | Heat +5 v. Bucks | 98-132 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami plus the points over Milwaukee at 7:35 pm et on Monday. We won with the Heat in the opener of this series on Saturday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. While the Bucks slogan is 'Fear the Deer', there was really nothing to fear for Miami in Game 1 of this series on Saturday. The Heat were right there for four quarters plus overtime and only fell short thanks to an incredible shot by Khris Middleton in the final second of OT. The fact that they were right there should be encouraging as the Heat certainly didn't play their best game - not by a longshot. So many easy shots - within 4-6 feet of the basket - were missed. Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo just couldn't buy a basket at times, missing a number of layups that could have easiliy been the difference in the game. I expect them to make amends here on Monday. Note that the Heat remain a winning team on the road this season and they'll certainly want to earn a split here in Milwaukee, knowing just how difficult it would be to come back from a 2-0 deficit, needing four wins in five games - a nearly insurmountable task against a team as good as the Bucks. Take Miami (10*). |
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05-24-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 222.5 | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Milwaukee at 7:35 pm et on Monday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series on Saturday as the two teams simply didn't knock down their shots in a rather sloppy contest. I'm expecting a sharper offensive effort from both squads here. Watching that game, it was truly incredible how many easy baskets were missed from the 4-6 foot range. When the dust settled, the Bucks shot 43.7% from the field while the Heat checked in at a dreadful 36.4%. Note that the 'over' has gone 18-7 with the Bucks coming off a home win this season with those contests totaling an average of 241.8 points. That's in addition to the fact that the 'over' is 11-3 with the Bucks coming off a straight-up victory but ATS loss, as is the case here, with that situation producing a whopping 244.6 total points on average. Take the over (10*). |
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05-24-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
NHL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Penguins took one on the chin on Saturday afternoon in Uniondale, suffering a lopsided 4-1 defeat to even the series up at two games apiece. Here, I look for Pittsburgh to answer back on home ice where it has gone 23-7 this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.4 goals. Note that Pittsburgh checks in 9-1 when revenging a road loss by two goals or more this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 2.3 goals in that spot. The Pens are also an incredible 16-2 at home off a loss over the last two seasons, holding a 1.8-goal scoring edge in that situation. This has been an incredibly tightly-contested series in recent years so it's no surprise at all that it's all tied up through four games. However, I do think home ice means something at this stage of the series and like the Pens to defend it here. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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05-24-21 | Rockies v. Mets -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Colorado at 7:10 pm et on Monday. These two teams appear to be heading in opposite directions with the Rockies coming off a sweep of the D'Backs and the Mets off a losing series against the Marlins. However, most of Colorado's success this season has come at home. The Rockies check in a miserable 2-17 on the road and don't figure to improve on that awful mark here. Austin Gomber was the main piece coming Colorado's way in the Nolan Arenado deal but so far he has disappointed. Gomber has posted an ugly 6.39 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season with Colorado dropping five of his six outings away from Coors Field. He did pitch well in this last two starts with both of those coming against the Padres. Every other opponent he has faced this season has seemingly had his number though. Note that Gomber averages just five innings per start which spells trouble for the Rockies as their bullpen has been awful, posting a 5.46 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the season. David Peterson will counter for New York. The Mets have won two of his three home starts so far this season where he has recorded a 3.95 ERA and an impressive 1.02 WHIP. Like Gomber, he has also struggled to work deep into ball games but the key difference is, the Mets 'pen has been terrific, posting a 3.70 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with those numbers getting much better at home, where they're recorded a 1.66 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 48 2/3 innings. Take New York (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
NBA First Round Blowout Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah minus the points over Memphis at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. The Grizzlies did well to take down the eight-seed with consecutive wins in the play-in tournament, including Friday's upset win over the Warriors in San Francisco. Here, however, I look for them to get a bit of a reality check against the well-rested Jazz. Utah has been positively dominant here at home this season, posting a 31-5 record while outscoring opponents by 13.2 points per game. While the Grizzlies were battling it out in a pair of close games against the Spurs and Grizzlies the Jazz were at home resting, and getting healthier with both Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley expected to play in Sunday's playoff-opener. Mitchell obviously gives the Jazz a major boost. Even without him, they still put up gawdy offensive numbers, scoring more than 120 points in four of their final seven games down the stretch. While Memphis has been locked in defensively this will undoubtedly be a difficult challenge against a Jazz squad that averages over 117 points per game and shoots better than 47% from the field at home this season. I'm concerned that the Grizzlies offense might not be able to keep pace here considering they check in having shot 44.4% or worse from the field in each of their last four contests. Take Utah (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Oilers -125 v. Jets | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 7:35 pm et on Sunday. Most didn't give the Jets much of a chance of even winning a game in this series let alone stealing the first two contests in Edmonton. But that's precisely what they did and now they return home with a chance to take full control of the series on Sunday night. I don't see it happening, however. Note that the Oilers are a perfect 7-0 when revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 8-1 this season on the road off a loss, outscoring opponents by 2.1 on average in that spot. Meanwhile, in an odd quirk, the Jets have gone a miserable 2-11 off an overtime win over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 2-8 after winning three or more games in a row over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.6 goals in that spot. Ordinarily the Jets would have a big edge playing at home in front of a raucous 'white out' crowd here in the postseason. Due to the pandemic that's simply not the case this year. Note that Winnipeg has gone just 13-15 on home ice this season. Look for the Oilers to get back in the series on Sunday night. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Bruins v. Capitals +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -222 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington +1.5 goals over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. This has been a tighter series than the 3-1 advantage for the Bruins would indicate. Facing elimination on Sunday night at home, I certainly expect the Capitals to give Boston all it can handle. Note that this marks the first time the Capitals have lost three games in a row since a four-game losing streak - their longest of the season - back in early February. Note that the Bruins are 2-8 on the road after allowing two goals or less in consecutive games this season, averaging just 2.1 goals and outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that situation. They also check in just 6-9 off a win by three goals or more this season. The Capitals, meanwhile, have allowed just 2.2 goals per game the last 15 times they've been at home facing elmination in a playoff game, outscored by just 0.1 goals in that situation. Washington has averaged a whopping 4.3 goals per game and outscored opponents by 1.2 goals on average after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons. Finally, I'll point out that the Caps are 5-4 in their last nine meetings with the Bruins here on home ice and despite dropping three of the first four games in this series have gone 10-9 in the last 19 meetings overall. Take Washington +1.5 goals (9*). |
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05-23-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and Nashville at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. This series has featured a couple of high-scoring games already but I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday afternoon in a pivotal Game 4 contest. Note that the 'under' has gone 15-4 the last 19 times the Hurricanes have played on the road leading a playoff series with those games totaling an average of just 4.4 goals. The 'under' is also 11-2 with the Predators playing at home having allowed three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 4.8 goals. On the flip side of that, the Preds have posted a 7-24 o/u mark when at home after scoring four goals or more in their last game over the last three seasons, with an average total of 4.9 goals. There's a lot on the line here as the Canes look to push the Preds to the brink of elmination heading back to Carolina while Nashville tries to even the series knowing it will need to still steal a game in Raleigh in order to win the series. Take the under (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Tigers v. Royals -141 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City over Detroit at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The Royals have finally been able to regain their footing, winning five of their last eight games overall and have an opportunity to grab a second straight series win here on Sunday against the Tigers. They'll be getting their third look at Tigers starter Casey Mize already this season and they've had some success against him, scoring eight earned runs off of him in just 10 2/3 innings. Mize hasn't been fooling many Royals hitters, having posted a 5:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio against them. Meanwhile, Royals lefty Kris Bubic gets another start after impressing against the Brewers earlier this week, allowing just one hit over six shutout innings. The Royals have now won three of his last four starts going back to last season. Both bullpens have been solid over the last week or so, but it's the Royals relief corps that has been better over the first couple of months of the season, posting a 3.48 ERA in daytime games compared to Detroit's 5.40 mark (entering yesterday's action). Take Kansas City (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Everton v. Manchester City UNDER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
English Premier League Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Everton and Manchester City at 11 am et on Sunday. We won with Everton in its 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton on Wednesday but missed with Man City in its last match - a stunning 3-2 loss against Brighton and Hove after it was handed a red card and forced to play a man down for the game's final 80+ minutes. Here, Man City has little to play for other than to try to get back on track prior to the Champions League Final against Chelsea next Saturday. We're not likely to see Man City's best lineup but it certainly has the depth to put forth a strong effort in its EPL home finale, regardless who it sends to the pitch on Sunday. While Everton still has much to play for as it tries to qualify for the Europa League - even if it is a longshot at this point. The Toffees need to take care of business and likely get all three points here and also receive some help. Their best chance likely comes by keeping this match level for as long as possible and hope for a late breakthrough with Man City shifting its focus to next Saturday. The problem for Everton is it has managed just four goals in its last six matches combined. It has scored more than a single goal just once in its last 14 matches - that coming against a poor Tottenham defense in a 2-2 draw on April 16th. Off a uncharacteristically high-scoring affair against Brighton, look for Man City to settle things down here and regain its positive form heading into the Champions League Final. Take the under (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Burnley +135 v. Sheffield United | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Burnley over Sheffield United at 11 am et on Sunday. While it hasn't been a banner EPL campaign for either of these outfits, Burnley has had the more positive outcome, avoiding relegation to the Championship. Off consecutive lopsided defeats at the hands of Leeds and Liverpool, I look for Burnley to make amends here in its season finale against last-place Sheffield United. Burnley has had a tendency to 'go for broke' so to speak. Prior to its last two setbacks it had delivered two wins in its previous three matches, scoring seven goals in the process. The Clarets do have the potential to move up to 16th position in the EPL by collecting all three points here and that's at least something to play for on the final day of the regular season. Shieffield United brings awful form into this contest having scored just one tally in its last four matches combined. We successfully faded the Blades on Wednesday as they were dominated throughout in a somewhat flattering 1-0 loss to Newcastle United. Here, another 1-0 setback is the most likely scenario to play out once again. Take Burnley (10*). |
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05-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Wild +109 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Vegas at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. Game 3 should have been pretty easy for the Wild to flush as they simply didn't show enough fight after jumping out to an early 2-0 lead and got burned by a superior Golden Knights squad. I do expect to see some push-back from Minnesota in what amounts to a virtual must-win game on Saturday night. Note that the Wild are a perfect 8-0 when coming off consecutive losses this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals in that situation. They're also 17-6 when coming off a home loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals per game in that spot. There's no reason for them to fold the tent here as they know they can skate with the Knights, having taken nine of the last 16 meetings overall including four of the last seven here in Minnesota. While I still have Vegas winning this series, I like the Wild to even things up on Saturday night. Take Minnesota (9*). |
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05-22-21 | Storm -6 v. Wings | Top | 100-97 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
WNBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Saturday. Dallas exploded for 94 points in its season-opening rout of Los Angeles last Friday night but should find the going much tougher as it returns home to host a Seattle squad that already appears to be in midseason form. The Storm are off to a 2-1 start with their lone loss coming in the second of a two-game set against Las Vegas. We should see the Seattle offense go off in this game as it faces a below-average Dallas defense that is missing a number of key cogs including two-way star Allisha Gray on Saturday. Arike Ogunbowale is an all-world talent for the Wings but she can't carry the team all on her own. I believe secondary scoring could be an issue moving forward with Gray sidelined as well as Satou Sabally. Seattle has taken five straight meetings in this series, going 4-1 ATS along the way. That includes a pair of double-digit wins in the bubble last summer. Note that the Storm check in an impressive 23-10 ATS after giving up 75 points or more in their last game over the last three seasons and 20-10 ATS against division opponents over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by more than 10 points per game in the latter situation. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-22-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
MLB A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. We saw a high-scoring contest between these two teams last night in Dunedin and I expect more of the same on Saturday. As expected, games played here in Dunedin have been generally high-scoring this season with the 'over' cashing at an 11-7 clip and an average total of nearly 11 runs. Shane McClanahan will take the ball for the Rays on Saturday. As opponents get more tape on the left-hander we're starting to see him struggle. Over his last two starts he has allowed seven earned runs on 10 hits over just 9 1/3 innings of work after he had given up only two earned runs in eight innings in his first two big league outings. The Jays are rolling along offensively right now having scored seven runs or more in four of their last five games. Robbie Ray will counter for Toronto. He's made great strides in terms of his command this season, issuing only two walks over his last five starts after handing out nine free passes in his first two outings. However, it seems to have come at the expense of his ability to keep the ball in the park. Ray has been lit up for 10 home runs in his last five starts, spanning 30 1/3 innings. The Rays have exploded offensively of late, scoring seven runs or more in six consecutive games. Take the over (10*). |
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05-22-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -167 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto over Montreal at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Credit the Canadiens for staging the Game 1 upset two nights ago, delivering a 2-1 victory despite getting outshot by a 36-30 margin. Even after losing John Tavares to a scary concussion, the Leafs shouldn't be down on themselves heading into Game 2 on Saturday night. They're still 18-11 at home this season and 6-3 in their last nine meetings with the Canadiens here in Toronto. They've been tremendous when revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, going 10-1 while outscoring the opposition by 1.3 goals on average. While the Leafs aren't necessarily known for their ability to overcome adversity, they're actually an impressive 23-11 the last 37 times they've been trailing a playoff series. The Canadiens check in 3-11 off a one-goal win over a division opponent over the last two seasons and 8-16 off a victory this season. Look for the Leafs to answer back in a big way on Saturday. Take Toronto (10*). |
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05-22-21 | Twins v. Indians -162 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Minnesota at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Twins took the opener of this series in blowout fashion last night but I look for the Indians to bounce back behind their ace, Shane Bieber on Saturday. Kenta Maeda will take the ball for Minnesota. He's been an absolute train wreck this season and checks in sporting a 6.75 ERA and 1.58 WHIP on the road where the Twins have won just one of his five starts. The Indians will be getting their fourth look at him since last August and most recently tagged him for five earned runs over 5 2/3 innings back on April 27th. As I mentioned, Shane Bieber gets the nod for Cleveland. He's coming off a subpar performance in Seattle last time out but should bounce back here at home where he owns a 2.70 ERA and 1.30 WHIP this season with the Indians winning each of his last two outings here. Cleveland is 8-2 in his 10 career starts against Minnesota but will be looking for some revenge here after the Twins beat them 3-1 at home against Bieber last September. Not only do the Indians have the decisive edge in terms of the starters, they also have a considerable edge in the bullpen where they own one of the best relief corps in baseball so far this season. Indians relievers have posted a collective 2.57 ERA (entering last night's action) this season while the Twins have posted an ERA right around six on the road. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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05-22-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -152 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Baltimore at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. Jon Lester doesn't instill much confidence with most bettors at this stage of his career but he's actually pitched pretty well in three home starts this season, recording a 2.25 ERA and 1.38 WHIP and he draws a favorable matchup against the struggling Orioles here. Baltimore has lost four straight and eight of its last nine games overall. O's starter Bruce Zimmermann continues to struggle at the big league level. He's allowed 10 earned runs over his last three starts, spanning just 13 innings of work. He owns a 5.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the road with the O's dropping two of this three starts. Behind Zimmermann is an O's bullpen that started the year strong but has now posted an ERA north of six over their last seven games. By contrast, the Nats' 'pen has posted a 2.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in day games this season. Take Washington (9*). |
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05-22-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Milwaukee at 2:05 pm et on Saturday. These two teams just met last Saturday with Milwaukee cruising to a 122-108 victory. That game stayed 'under' the total but this time around we're dealing with a considerably lower number. I believe it will prove too low. The Bucks can pretty much put up 120 points per game here at home in their sleep. They check in ranked seventh in the league in floor percentage here at home and third in possessions per game. Milwaukee also ranks third in the NBA in total rebounding percentage here at home - a big advantage over a Heat squad that ranks 19th in rebound rate on the road - which should allow it to push the pace here. I do believe Miami can afford itself some extra scoring opportunities in transition here as well given it ranks seventh in the league in steals per defensive play on the road and Milwaukee sits in the bottom half of the league in turnovers per possession at home. The 'under' cashed in three of five games in last year's playoff series although I would take that with a grain of salt as those contests were played in unique circumstances in the bubble in Orlando. While the 'under' went 2-1 in three regular season meetings this year - all three games actually went 'over' the number we're dealing with at the time of writing. Take the over (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Mariners v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-16 | Win | 103 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The Mariners offense is coming off a miserable series against the Tigers which included being no-hit for the second time this season. Perhaps a change of scenery will serve them well. They'll be getting their third look at Padres starter Chris Paddack since last August. The last time they faced him here in San Diego they touched him up for six earned runs over just five innings in an 8-3 victory. Note that the 'over' is 11-2 in Paddack's last 13 starts with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5 runs with those games totaling an average of 10.6 runs. Chris Flexen will take the ball for Seattle. The 'over' has cashed at a perfect 8-0 clip in his eight career road starts as an underdog with those contests reaching an average total of 13.0 runs. Both bullpens are solid, but with neither starter showing the ability to work deep into ball games (Flexen averages around 5 2/3 innings per start while Paddack lasts just 4 1/3 innings on average), there's a good chance they get over-extended in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Puck-Line Game of the Week. My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Colorado at 9:35 pm et on Friday. This series looks like it's over by all accounts after consecutive lopsided victories by the Avs but with the scene shifting to St. Louis for Game 3 I do look for the Blues to put up a fight. Note that Colorado is just 21-30 when playing on the road after scoring four goals or more in its last game over the last three seasons. Meanwhile, St. Louis checks in 11-2 when playing at home off consecutive losses by three goals or more, outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. The Blues have more than held their own here at home against the Avalanche over the last three seasons, taking six of the last eight meetings. We'll grab the insurance goal with St. Louis here as the price warrants such a play, noting the Avs managed just one win by more than a single goal in four tries here in St. Louis this season. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Jets v. Oilers -156 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
NHL First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Edmonton over Winnipeg at 9:05 pm et on Friday. This one sets up nicely for the Oilers as they look to bounce back following a disappointing 4-1 loss in Wednesday's series-opener. The Jets limped down the stretch losing nine of their final 12 regular season games including three against these same Oilers but perhaps that played a role in Edmonton taking a win for granted in Game 1. In fact, prior to Wednesday's contest, the Oilers had won six straight meetings with the Jets. Now it's the Oilers with all of the motivation as they look to even up the series before it shifts to Winnipeg for the next two games. Note that the Jets check in a miserable 3-13 after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. They're also just 6-17 when coming off a road victory by three goals or more over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.2 goals per game in that situation as well. Meanwhile, the Oilers check in 15-4 when coming off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons, averaging 3.8 goals per game while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that spot. They're 7-1 when coming off consecutive losses by two or more goals over the same stretch, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.0 goal. Give the Jets all the credit in the world for stealing Game 1 as they were actually outshot by a fairly wide margin but they're a gritty road team, having gone 18-11 away from home this season, and found a way to get the 'W'. However, now that they've accomplished what was likely their goal of earning at least a split in the first two games in Edmonton, look for the Oilers to answer back with a convincing victory of their own on Friday. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Play-In Tournament Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Memphis and Golden State at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We've seen the defense ramp up during the NBA Play-In Tournament and I expect that to continue on Friday night as the Grizzlies face the Warriors for the fourth time this season - this time with a playoff spot hanging in the balance. All three previous matchups have gone 'under' the total. In fact, eight of 10 meetings between these two teams over the last three season have gone 'under'. You would be hard-pressed to find two teams more locked in defensively right now. The Grizzlies have held six of their last seven opponents to 43.7% shooting or worse. On the flip side, however, Memphis has shot 44.4% or worse from the field itself in each of its last three contests. The Warriors have been even better than the Grizzlies defensively, holding 10 of their last 11 opponents to 46.5% shooting or worse. Memphis has seen the 'under' cash in seven of its last eight contests. Note that the 'under' is an incredible 13-1 with the Grizzlies playing on the road seeking revenge for a road loss by 10 points or more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of 208.4 points. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a perfect 8-0 the last eight times the Warriors have come off a road loss by three points or less, as is the case here, with those contests reaching an average total of just 213.1 points. With everything to play for on Friday night, I'm expecting a tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. First, it's certainly worth pointing out that these two bullpens have been lights out over the last week or so with Detroit's 'pen recording a collective 2.11 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over its last seven games and Kansas City's relief corps having posted a 0.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over that same stretch. Note also that the 'under' has gone 25-10 in Royals starter Mike Minor's last 35 starts with the total set between 8.5 and 10.0 runs, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of just 7.6 runs. Tigers starter Jose Urena has struggled in his last two outings but both of those came at home. He's been a better pitcher on the road, recording a 2.45 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. The Royals still aren't hitting, averaging just 3.7 runs per game over their last seven contests. Meanwhile, the Tigers check in averaging a paltry 2.7 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. The 'under' has cashed at a 10-2 clip when the Tigers face southpaw starters this season with those games averaging just 7.0 total runs. Take the under (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Red Sox are coming off a high-scoring come-from-behind victory over the Blue Jays last night while the Phillies were shut out by the Marlins and have now scored one run or less in four of their last seven games. Note that the 'under' has gone 25-11 in Phillies starter Aaron Nola's 36 career starts as a favorite priced at -150 or higher, as is the case here at the time of writing, with those games totaling an average of just 7.0 runs. Nola has faced the Red Sox three times previously, allowing just four earned runs in 22 innings of work with the 'under' cashing in all three of those games. Martin Perez is off to a somewhat surprising strong start for the Red Sox this season. He has recorded a 35.3% hard-hit ball percentage through 39 2/3 innings after turning in an incredible 29.7% hard-hit ball rate last year. Perez hasn't fared particularly well in three previous outings against the Phillies with an ERA north of four and a 1.30 WHIP, however, as I mentioned he's catching them at the right time here. Both bullpens have performed admirably of late, with the Red Sox relief corps entering last night's game sporting a 3.38 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over theirs last seven games and the Phillies 'pen having posted a sparkling 2.02 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under (9*). |
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05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -147 | 11-3 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Boston at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Red Sox rallied for a wild 8-7 victory over the Blue Jays last night to secure their second straight series win. I look for them to stumble here, however, as they head to Philadelphia to face a Phillies club that will be seeing red after consecutive losses against the Marlins including a 6-0 setback last night. Philadelphia has the right starter on the mound to turn things around tonight as Aaron Nola has posted a perfect 4-0 team record in four home starts this season, recording a 1.40 ERA and 0.90 WHIP along the way. He'll be happy to get back home after going winless in his last two starts, but those came on the road. Note that Nola also has a solid track record against the Red Sox having given up just four earned runs in 22 career innings pitched against them. Martin Perez will counter for the Red Sox. The Phillies just saw him late last September, scoring four earned runs on five hits and six walks over five innings in a 6-5 win right here in Philadelphia. Despite his 2.30 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the road, the Red Sox have only managed to win one of Perez's three road starts and that came against the lowly Twins back in the second week of April. Further supporting the Phillies here is their bullpen, which entered last night's action having posted a stellar 2.02 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over their last seven games. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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05-21-21 | Dream v. Fever OVER 160.5 | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Indiana at 7 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in the Dream's last game - an 85-77 loss to the Sky. Here, I'll go back to the well with the same play as Atlanta hits the road to face winless Indiana. Note that the 'over' has gone a perfect 6-0 with the Fever coming off a loss by 15 points or more over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 181.4 points. While the Dream did make positive strides offensively in their last game, scoring 77 points in a losing effort, there's still plenty of room for improvement. Chennedy Carter has been terrific but Atlanta is still waiting for highly-touted draft pick Aari McDonald to come alive. She's been held to a single point in her first two WNBA games but I do expect her to figure it out sooner rather than later. Note that Indiana checks in 10th in the WNBA in defensive rating this season, which should open up some opportunities for the Dream here. On the flip side, I expect Indiana to afford itself plenty of second chance looks here, ranking third in the league in rebounding percentage compared to the Dream's 11th. Last year's two meetings between these teams produced 170 and 192 points. Expect more of the same here. Take the over (10*). |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards UNDER 238 | 115-142 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Indiana and Washington at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. Most are expecting a track meet between these two teams on Thursday night and while that could very well turn out to be the case, I still believe the lofty total will prove too high. Keep in mind, the Wizards actually check into this one off four consecutive 'under' results. Scott Brooks actually has his team playing a bit of defense right now as they've held their last two opponents to worse than 40% shooting from the field. Going back further, six of their last seven opponents have shot 48.1% or worse from the field. Meanwhile, the Pacers check in having shot better than 50% in three straight games - their longest such streak of the season. The last time they accomplished that feat was back in late December and their next game cruised 'under' the total, reaching just 218 points. Lost in the Pacers tremendous offensive production has been their defensive play as they check in having held five of their last seven opponents to 45.7% or worse shooting. This has certainly been a high-scoring series with the 'over' cashing in all three previous meetings this season. However, just as we've seen with the 'under' cashing in three of four 'play-in' games so far, things tend to get a little tighter as the stakes get higher. Take the under (10*). |
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05-20-21 | Storm v. Lynx UNDER 164.5 | 90-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Minnesota at 8 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in Seattle's season-opening win over Las Vegas before cashing with the Aces in the rematch two nights ago. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as the Storm head to Minnesota to face the winless Lynx. Seattle has lit it up, scoring 177 points through two games but that was against an up-tempo Aces squad that was game for track meets. Here, I look for the Lynx to employ a different tempo against the Storm, noting that Minnesota checks in with the league's 12th-fastest pace going back to the preseason. The Lynx are clearly missing the services of Maya Moore, among others. They'll soon get Napheesa Collier back to boost their offense but not in time for Thursday's game. Kayla McBride, formerly a fan favorite with the Las Vegas Aces, was a nice offseason addition but she's better in a supporting role. She checks in having scored 33 points through two games. Natalie Achonwa is also expected to remain out on Thursday, leaving the Lynx with minimal scoring depth off the bench. While Seattle has thrived offensively so far this season, it will face a challenge against a Lynx squad looking to avoid an 0-3 start to the season. In Minnesota's lone previous home game it held a good Phoenix offense to 41% shooting overall and just 4-of-20 (20%) made threes. Note that two of the last three meetings between these two teams here in Minnesota have stayed 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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05-20-21 | Panthers +1.5 v. Lightning | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida +1.5 goals over Tampa Bay at 6:35 pm et on Thursday. While the Lightning certainly have a stangle-hold on this series up 2-0 heading back home, I don't expect the Panthers to simply roll over. They know they can skate with the Lightning here in Tampa, having split four meetings here this season, going 3-1 when factoring in the +1.5 puck-line. Florida has been a quality road team this season, checking in 17-11 while averaging 3.4 goals per game. The Panthers have gone 10-1 when revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that spot. They're also 14-4 after giving up three goals or more in consecutive games and 8-1 after being held to a goal or less in their previous contest this season. Going back over the last two seasons, Florida has averaged a whopping 4.5 goals per game after being held to a goal or less in its previous game. On the flip side, the Panthers have done a good job tightening things up when heading on the road off a home loss over the last two seasons, allowing just 2.6 goals per game in the 26 times that situation has come up. We'll grab the insurance goal here out of respect for the Lightning but certainly expect Florida to show some fight. Take Florida +1.5 goals (10*). |
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05-20-21 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Thursday. We've already seen 20 runs cross home plate in the first two games of this series and I expect more of the same on Thursday afternoon. Note that the Astros check in averaging 5.4 runs per game in day games this season and north of six runs per contest over the last week. Meanwhile, the A's average 5.0 runs per game in day contests and prior to getting shut down by Zack Greinke last night, they had plated six runs or more in three of their last four games. Here, the A's will get their third look at Astros starter Luis Garcia since last September. Garcia was solid in his first outing against the A's but in his next he didn't record a single out, issuing three walks before allowing a grand slam in the first inning. Note that Garcia owns a 4.61 ERA on the road this season where he averages fewer than five innings per start. That opens the door for an Astros bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 5.30 ERA on the road this season. Cole Irvin has posted solid overall numbers for the A's this season but again, there's some familiarity here as the Astros will face him for the third time this season. They've already touched him up for 12 hits and eight earned runs in 9 2/3 innings of work. Note that the A's bullpen entered last night's game having recorded a collective 7.30 ERA against division opponents this season and a 4.59 ERA here at home. Take the over (10*). |
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05-20-21 | Giants v. Reds -132 | 19-4 | Loss | -132 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati over San Francisco at 12:35 pm et on Thursday. The Giants have taken the first three games of this series, getting superb pitching from their starters and just enough offense to get by. While I'm not a big fan of backing teams looking to 'avoid the sweep', I do like the way this one sets up for the Reds. Keep in mind, San Francisco's last three victories have just been enough to move it one game over .500 on the road this season. Meanwhile, last night's loss dropped the Reds back to the .500 mark here at home. On a positive note, Cincinnati is averaging north of six runs per game here at home this season. Johnny Cueto gets the start for the Giants on Thursday. He has labored through his last two outings - both resulting in Giants losses at home against San Diego and at Pittsburgh. In those two starts he was tagged for seven earned runs on 16 hits in just 7 1/3 innings of work. Cueto is averaging just over five innings per start this season which opens the door for a bullpen that entered last night's action having posted a 5.17 ERA on the road this season. Tyler Mahle will counter for Cincinnati. The Reds have won each of his last four starts. He's winless in three career outings against the Giants but has never faced them here at home. While Mahle's overall numbers are solid this season, I am expecting some positive regression in one key area. Mahle recorded a 3.0% home run percentage in 47 2/3 innings last season but that number has bumped up to 4.0% this year. His 35.5% fly ball rate is the culprit but I certainly expect him to get that number down, noting that he owns a career 26.0% fly ball rate. Working behind Mahle is a Reds bullpen that has struggled overall this season but has certainly shown signs of turning it around, entering last night's action having posted a collective 2.48 ERA over their last seven games. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Colorado at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'under' in the opener of this series on Monday night and I'll go back to the well with the same play in Game 2 on Wednesday. Note that the 'under' has now cashed in six of the last nine meetings in this series here in Colorado. This one sets up well as another relatively low-scoring affair, noting that the Blues have posted an 0-8 o/u mark when on the road revenging a road loss against an opponent this season, which is obviously the case here following their Game 1 defeat, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.3 goals. The 'under' also checks in 16-6 after the Blues allow four goals or more in a game this season, with that situation producing an average total of 5.1 goals. For Colorado's part, it has seen the 'under' go 34-21 after scoring three goals or more in three consecutive games over the last three seasons. With Monday's 'under' result, the Avs have now seen the 'under' cash in five of their last six games overall. While they're known for their offense, they can play some defense as well, especially here at home where they give up just 1.9 goals per game this season. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
MLB Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle over Detroit at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Mariners were no-hit by Spencer Turnbull last night and unfortunately we were along for the ride as we backed them in a 5-0 loss. Here, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play, however, as Seattle hands the ball to highly-touted prospect Logan Gilbert for his second big league start. Gilbert was shaky in his debut against Cleveland last week, laboring through four innings in a 4-2 loss. Nerves were certainly a factor as Gilbert gave up a pair of home runs and also threw two wild pitches in that brief outing. There were positives to take away, however, as he struck out five and didn't issue a single walk. The fact that he 'only' allowed four runs was actually somewhat encouraging considering he didn't induce a single ground ball in the start. Gilbert draws a very manageable opponent here. While the Tigers have taken the first two games in this series they're still just 7-14 on the road this season and 11-19 against right-handed starting pitchers. Tarik Skubal and his winless record will get the start for Detroit on Tuesday. He checks in sporting an ugly 9.00 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in three road starts this season. The Tigers have lost all six of his starts here in 2021 and he's only managed to last an average of 4 2/3 innings. That opens the door for the possibility that we'll see extended work from a weak Tigers bullpen that has posted a collective 6.13 ERA this season including a 7.46 mark on the road. By contrast, the Mariners 'pen entered last night's action having recorded a 3.09 ERA here at home. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Jets v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Jets aren't the same team they were earlier this season. They ended the season by losing nine of their final 12 games, struggling to find consistent offensive production after losing one of their top guns, Nik Ehlers, to a season-ending injury. While Winnipeg did score nine goals in its final two regular season games, neither contest had any meaning in the playoff race. Prior to that, the Jets had been held to three goals or less in 11 of their last 13 games and two goals or fewer in six of their last eight contests. The Oilers offense is top-heavy as we know with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl shouldering most of the scoring load. Having taken the last six meetings in this series, they'll certainly have Winnipeg's full attention on Wednesday. Note that the Jets have allowed just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road revenging a loss against an opponent this season with those games totaling an average of only 5.3 goals. Note that we've seen just one of the last six meetings in this series total more than six goals with the Oilers allowing two goals or less in all six of those contests. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Central Division First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Carolina at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a relatively high-scoring game to open this series on Monday night as the Hurricanes cruised to a 5-2 victory. The Predators know they don't have the offensive firepower to keep pace in that type of high-scoring environment, however. Keep in mind, they average just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season while the Hurricanes allow only 2.1 goals per game on home ice. We should see a better defensive effort from the Preds here as they've given up just 2.6 goals per game when coming off a loss by three goals or more this season. Meanwhile, the 'Canes have posted an 8-19 o/u record the last 27 times they've been leading a playoff series, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go an incredible 13-1 when Carolina plays at home after losing two of its last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of only 4.4 goals. Finally, note that the 'under' is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these two teams here in Raleigh and 7-4 in their last 11 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 223.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Antonio and Memphis at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. The 'over' is a perfect 3-0 in this series this season but as is often the case, I don't think it's as simple as riding that trend to victory again here on Wednesday. These two teams obviously have a lot to play for here as the loser will be done for the season while the winner will advance to face the winner of the late game between the Warriors and Lakers. San Antonio limps into this contest having lost 10 of its last 12 games overall but I think legendary head coach Gregg Popovich will draw a strong defensive effort out of his down-trodden bunch here. Keep in mind, the Spurs have given up an average of just 106.6 points per game when revenging a loss against an opponent by 20 points or more over the last three seasons, as is the case here, with those games totaling an average of 218.7 points, well south of tonight's posted total. The Spurs might be catching the Grizzlies at the right time as Memphis' offense lagged a bit down the stretch, held to 111 points or less in nine of its final 13 games. For whatever reason, the Grizzlies were a weaker offensive team at home compared to on the road during the regular season, averaging just 110 points per game here in Memphis, with the 'under' cashing at a 22-14 clip. Note that the 'under' has gone 15-7 in Grizzlies games where the total has been set between 220 and 229.5 this season. The 'under' is also an incredible 12-1 the last 13 times the Grizzlies have been well-rested playing only their second game in the last five days, as is the case here, with those contests totaling an average of 217.1 points. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Sky v. Dream OVER 159 | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
WNBA Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Atlanta at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams turned in 'under' result in their season debuts with the Sky cruising to a 70-56 win over the Washington Mystics and the Dream falling by a 78-67 score against the Connecticut Sun. I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday night in Atlanta, however. Note that the 'over' is still 16-3 in the Sky's last 19 road games with those contests averaging a total of 170.8 points. Better still, the 'over' has gone a perfect 7-0 the last seven times Chicago has played consecutive road contests with those games totaling an average of 171.4 points. Much will be made about who is missing for the Sky in this one as both Allie Quigley and Stefanie Dolson are expected to miss. Keep in mind, both of those usual key contributors struggled in their season-opener, scoring a combined 11 points on a miserable 3-of-17 shooting. Their absence should simply mean more shots for the likes of Candace Parker and Kahleah Copper, who poured in 19 points in Chicago's season-opening win, showing the potential to build off of last year's breakout campaign. Atlanta saw four of five starters scoring in double-figures in its season-opening loss to Connecticut. That was certainly a tough matchup, as is this one, but I do look for improvement from the Dream offensively after they turned the ball over 13 times against the Sun. Highly-touted 2021 draft pick Aari McDonald struggled in her WNBA regular season debut after looking good in limited preseason action, scoring just one point on 0-for-4 shooting against the Sun. Expect the backcourt duo of McDonald and Chennedy Carter to make some noise in this one. Going back to the preseason, it's worth noting that the Sky and Dream check in T3rd and 5th, respectively, in terms of pace rating. The most recent meeting between these two teams resulted in 186 total points last September. Take the over (10*). |
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05-19-21 | White Sox v. Twins +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota +1.5 runs over Chicago at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. It could certainly be argued that this game means a little more to the Twins than it does to the White Sox. Minnesota is wrapping up a six-game homestand and needs a victory today to salvage a 3-3 record. Meanwhile, the White Sox are sitting comfortably atop the A.L. Central standings and haven't lost consecutive games since April 15th and 17th. I'll grab the insurance run with the Twins here, as I don't think we'll see Chicago score enough to cover the run-line in this spot. The White Sox have scored four runs or less in six of their last seven games and are without one of their best hitters in Jose Abreu for this series. By contrast, Minnesota has scored four runs or more in four straight games, crossing the plate 20 times over that stretch. Note that Chicago is averaging just 3.9 runs per game in 16 daytime games this season. Meanwhile, Minnesota has gone a miserable 8-16 in day games despite averaging 5.1 runs per game. Expect some positive regression to the mean record-wise in that department for the Twins moving forward. Lucas Giolito gets the start for Chicago on Wednesday. The Twins faced him three times last season and knocked him around for 12 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings of work. Giolito has certainly been off of his game this season, posting a 7.02 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four road starts. Twins starter Matt Shoemaker has been just as shaky although there is reason for encouragement after he worked six innings for the first time since his 2021 debut last time out against Oakland, and two starts back tossed five shutout innings against the Tigers. Shoemaker should bring some confidence to the table against the White Sox having allowed just six earned runs over his last three starts against them, spanning 20 1/3 innings. Chicago does own a slight bullpen edge in this matchup but it's worth noting that the Sox 'pen has compiled a collective ERA north of five in day games this season. Take Minnesota +1.5 runs (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Everton -114 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Everton over Wolverhampton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. Everton's struggles here at home have been well-documented. They own the 15th-best home record in the EPL and haven't collected three points here at Goodison Park since way back on March 1st when they defeated Southampton 1-0. But that's precisely why I like backing the Toffees here as they play their home finale before wrapping up EPL play with a difficult road match against Manchester City on Sunday. While Wolverhampton has virtually nothing to play for at this point, Everton is still trying to keep hope alive when it comes to qualifying for Europe. While it's a longshot, at least it's something to reach for in the final days of the EPL season. I mentioned Everton's 15th-best home record, well, Wolves own the 15th-best away record in the Premier League so this match does provide the Toffees with ample opportunity to end their home streak of futility. Last Saturday we watched Wolves turn in a lifeless performance in a match they should have gotten up for against Tottenham as they were trying to keep their chances of finishing in the top half of the Premier League table alive. Now we might just see an injury-ravaged Wolves squad look ahead to their own home finale against Manchester United on Sunday as they wind down a disappointing campaign. Take Everton (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tottenham over Aston Villa at 1 pm et on Wednesday. While it's certainly not the finish they were hoping for, Spurs can take stronger hold of sixth place in the EPL table with a victory over Aston Villa - a squad they've absolutely owned taking 12 of the last 13 meetings - on Wednesday. Tottenham cruised to a 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton last time out and has now reeled off three consecutive home victories, outscoring the opposition by an 8-1 margin along the way. Harry Kane has plenty to play for here as he sits even with Mo Salah for the EPL scoring lead. Note that there are expected to be around 10,000 fans in attendance for this match, adding a little extra emotion to an otherwise (relatively) meaningless match near the end of the EPL season. Aston Villa welcomed back Jack Grealish for its last match but still fell by a 3-2 score against Crystal Palace. They've been outscored 6-3 while settling for just a single point (coming by way of a draw with Everton) in their last three matches. With an opportunity to play spoiler against Chelsea coming up back at home on Sunday, there's a good chance Villa could lack some focus here. While the Spurs have proven to be leaky on the back-end at times this season, I'm not convinced Villa can take full advantage, even with Grealish back in the fold. Take Tottenham (9*). |
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05-18-21 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a one-sided game between these two teams to open this series last night, with just seven total runs scored - all coming from the Padres. While I look for San Diego to turn in another fine showing at the plate, I think Colorado can help us along in terms of getting 'over' the low total on Tuesday as well. These same two pitchers, Austin Gomber and Blake Snell, matched up last week in Colorado with the Rockies prevailing by a 3-2 score but I expect a different story to unfold here. Gomber has already logged a lot of innings in his first year with the Rockies and we've seen a strong home-road dichotomy play out. In four road outings, Gomber has posted an ugly 7.56 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, averaging just five innings per start. That opens the door for the Rockies dreadful bullpen to potentially be forced into extended duty on Tuesday, noting that unit entered last night's action sporting a collective 9.39 ERA over their last seven games. Gomber continues to struggle with his command having posted a walk rate north of 12% while also giving up a ton of fly balls, to the tune of a 30.9% fly ball rate - more than 7% higher than the MLB average. Blake Snell has had his own issues with command, also recording an inflated walk rate - a staggering 15.2%! Snell has been terrific here at home, posting a 2.29 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, but averaging less than five innings per start. It's certainly worth noting that the Rockies have gone 6-4 against left-handed starting pitching (compared to 9-23 against righties). Colorado is hitting .282 against southpaw starters this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -118 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
MLB A.L. Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Seattle over Detroit at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Mariners suffered a not-so-surprising letdown last night as they couldn't keep the positive momentum building after a series win over the Indians that was capped by a victory against Shane Bieber on Sunday. I do expect them to bounce back on Tuesday as they look to post their fifth win in their last six tries at home against Detroit. Spencer Turnbull will get the start for the Tigers. He pitched well in his most recent start but that was at home against a Royals club that was mired in a deep hitting slump. The Tigers have won two of Turnbull's five starts this season but both came at home with the other coming against the lowly Pirates. In two road outings, Turnbull has posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. In his lone previous start against the Mariners back in 2009, Seattle prevailed by a 7-2 score in Detroit. While the Tigers bullpen has shown some improvement lately, this is still a group capable of blowing up on any given night, entering last night's action sporting a collective 6.19 ERA this season. Justin Dunn will counter for the Mariners. His command issues continue to be a problem, with a walk rate north of 15%, however his stuff is good enough to fool most big league hitters, as evidenced by his .181 opponents batting average (that's on par with his career opponents BA). The Mariners have managed to win each of Dunn's two home starts this season. While he did labor through his last start, that came on the road as a +225 underdog against the Dodgers. I look for Dunn to bounce back here noting that the Tigers check in 10-19 against right-handed starters this season. The Mariners bullpen has generally been solid this season, particularly here at home where it entered last night's game with a collective 3.09 ERA. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Aces +1 v. Storm | 96-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Las Vegas over Seattle at 10 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'over' in Saturday's matchup between these two elite WNBA squads - a game Seattle won by a 97-83 score. The Storm turned in a near-perfect performance in that one, shooting 51% from the field and knocking down 12-of-27 (44%) of their three-point attempts. Here, I look for Las Vegas to answer back and finally exact some revenge after dropping four straight meetings in the series going back to last year's WNBA Finals. The Aces are certainly comfortable playing an up-tempo style, which they should be afforded once again on Tuesday night. Their downfall on Saturday was their inability to knock down outside shots, connecting on just 3-of-12 three-point attempts. Look for more of those shots to start falling on Tuesday as they earn a split in this two-game set in the Pacific Northwest, noting that Seattle is 10-25 ATS when coming off an upset win as a home underdog, outscored by an average margin of 7.4 points. Take Las Vegas (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -2 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Washington at 9:10 pm et on Tuesday. I simply feel this is a short line to back the Celtics here at home as they try to make amends for what has been a very disappointing season and earn their way into the playoffs with a victory here on Tuesday night. Boston does check in sporting a 21-15 home record and will have its full compliment of players back in the lineup, with the exception of Jaylen Brown, after missing a number of key starters in its last couple of regular season games. The Wizards have expended a ton of energy just to get to this point and I can't help but feel there's a bit of an exhale here, knowing they have two chances to advance given this is the 7-8 matchup in the East. Note that the Wiz are just 15-21 on the road this season, just 5-13 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3, outscored by an average margin of 5.9 points in that situation this season. They're also just 18-34 ATS on the road following an ATS loss over the last three seasons while Boston checks in 8-1 ATS after losing four of its last five games this season, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 6.0 points per game in that spot. The C's have also won four straight meetings against the Wizards here in Boston. Take Boston (9*). |
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05-18-21 | Lightning v. Panthers +119 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
NHL First Round Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Lightning got past the Panthers on a late goal from Brayden Point in Sunday's thrilling series-opener between these in-state rivals. I look for Florida to answer back with a victory on Tuesday night. The Panthers know just how difficult it would be to take four of the next five games should they fall into an 0-2 series hole on Tuesday. After all, Tampa Bay has taken 11 of the last 17 meetings in this series. The Panthers should remain confident here, however, noting that they've held their own against the Bolts this season, going 5-4 in nine meetings. With a win here on Tuesday, the Panthers would even up the series here in Sunrise over the last three seasons at five wins apiece. Note that Tampa Bay checks into this game having gone 0-4 when playing on the road off a one-goal road victory this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.8 goals while allowing 4.8 goals per game in that situation. In fact, the Lightning are just 19-23 when coming off a one-goal win regardless of the location over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Panthers have gone 14-3 after giving up four goals or more in their last game this season, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. They also check in a perfect 8-0 this season after a game where both teams scored at least four goals, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.9 goals while averaging 4.3 goals per game in that situation. At 20-9 on home ice this season, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal per game, I look for the Panthers to come up with a big effort to even this series on Tuesday night. Take Florida (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -133 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over New York at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. This would be a big spot for the Penguins at the best of times but when you consider they were swept by the Islanders in the opening round of the playoffs just two years ago, perhaps even more importance will be placed on getting the victory here. Sunday's series-opener obviously could have gone either way. Credit the Isles for sticking with it and scoring the overtime winner after coughing up a short-lived 3-2 lead late in the third period. Here, New York finds itself in a difficult spot having gone just 12-17 on the road this season where it averages only 2.1 goals per game. Even worse, the Isles average just 2.0 goals per game when playing on the road off a win this season, outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Pens own a tremendous 14-1 mark when at home revenging a one-goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals per game in that situation. Pittsburgh is 15-2 the last 17 times it has played at home following a loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals per game and averaging 4.2 goals per contest itself in that spot. Take Pittsburgh (9*). |
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05-18-21 | Lynx -1.5 v. Liberty | Top | 75-86 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
WNBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Tuesday. New York is off to a perfect 2-0 start to the season but is fortunate to have faced the lowly Indiana Fever twice, and it's worth noting it needed a last-second game-winning shot from Sabrina Ionescu to secure one of those victories. Minnesota suffered a narrow two-point loss in its home-opener against Phoenix but should bounce back here against a weaker opponent. Keep in mind, the Lynx have taken four of their last five meetings with the Liberty, sweeping last year's two matchups by 26 and 30-point margins. Minnesota is a perennial WNBA title contender and should be right there in the conversation this season with the addition of Kayla McBride, who contributed 17 points in the season-opener. Of course the Lynx will be even stronger once they get Napheesa Collier back from quarantine later this week but for now, I believe this is a matchup they can handle with the Liberty missing a number of key players as well. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Leicester v. Chelsea -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chelsea over Leicester City at 3:15 pm et on Tuesday. This is a big match for Chelsea as it looks to put consecutive defeats behind it while also avenging last Saturday's loss to Leicester City in the FA Cup Final. For the Blues, the fact is they had bigger fish to fry in the FA Cup Final, hungry for a top four spot in the EPL, not to mention the Champions League Final coming up a week from Saturday against Manchester City. Chelsea actually controlled proceedings against Leicester City in the FA Cup Final for the most part but simply couldn't break through in a 1-0 defeat. Here, I look for the Blues to come away more fortunate as third-place Leicester City suffers a letdown of sorts following consecutive victories (they defeated Manchester United 2-1 two matches back). There are a critical three points waiting for the winner here with both sides battling for a top-four spot but I like backing the Blues as the superior squad in bounce-back mode. Take Chelsea (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Manchester City -208 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-3 | Loss | -208 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Manchester City over Brighton & Hove Albion at 2 pm et on Tuesday. Manchester City didn't field its 'A' squad but won anyway, in a wild 4-3 affair against Newcastle on Saturday. Here, City is expected to begin ramping up toward its Champions League Final match against Chelsea a week from Saturday and I would anticipate seeing a stronger squad on the pitch in this away match. Ederson is expected back in goal after Scott Carson not surprisingly turned in a rather shaky performance against Newcastle. All indications are that Kevin De Bruyne will return to the starting XI for Wednesday's match as well. Brighton & Hove sits 17th in the EPL table and checks in off a 1-1 draw against 7th-place West Ham on Saturday. The last time these two squads met back in mid-January, Manchester City cruised to a rather uneventful 1-0 victory in a match that was more lopsided than the final score indicated with City controlling 65% of the possession and firing six shots on target compared to Brighton's one. Take Manchester City (9*). |
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05-17-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Colorado at 10:05 pm et on Monday. I don't expect the Blues to have an easy time keeping pace with the high-flying Avalanche offense in this series and they're well aware of that fact after losing five of eight regular season meetings, including three of four games played here in Denver. I do look for St. Louis to make a concerted effort to muck things up and knock the Avs off stride here in Monday's series-opener but it may come at the expense of their own offensive production. Note that five of the last eight meetings between these two teams here in Colorado have gone 'under' the total. The Avs wrapped up the regular season scoring 11 goals in consecutive victories over the lowly Kings, who were simply playing out the string. Things are obviously going to be a little tougher here. I will note that St. Louis did take the final two regular season matchups between these two including a 4-1 victory on April 26th (we won with the 'under' in that game), which sets us up well here as the Avs have posted a perfect 6-0 'under' record when revenging a loss by two goals or more this season with those contests totaling an average of just 4.0 goals. The Blues check in sporting a 7-19 o/u record when coming off consecutive home wins by two goals or more, as is the case here, with that spot producing an average total of 4.9 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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05-17-21 | Indians v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Monday. There are a number of factors that lead me to believe we're in for a high-scoring affair in Anaheim on Monday night. The Indians will certainly be eager to bring an end to their three-game skid and get back on track at the plate. This looks like an ideal spot to do just that against a poor Angels pitching staff. Patrick Sandoval will get the start for Los Angeles on Monday - his first of the season after being used as a long reliever. Sandoval has yet to figure it out at the big league level, posting a career 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. In 7 1/3 innings of relief duty this season he has recorded a 55.0% hard-hit ball percentage and a 92.4 mph exit velocity off opposing bats - both considerably north of the MLB average. He's struggled to keep the ball in the park throughout his career, posting an ugly 5.3% home run rate, which is 1.8% higher than the MLB average. Rookie Sam Hentges will counter for Cleveland. He was never able to perform particularly well at the minor league level and now his struggles have carried over to the big leagues as well. Opponents are hitting .316 off of Hentges in 13 2/3 innings this season and he's posted a 32.6% fly ball rate and 6.4% home run rate. He was bailed out time and time again by the Cubs in his last start but I don't think he'll be so fortunate here. Both teams possess struggling bullpens. The Indians got off to a great start in that department this season but have taken a negative turn lately. Meanwhile, the Angels 'pen has been awful from the drop here in 2021. Take the over (10*). |
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05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -179 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Central Division First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina over Nashville at 8:05 pm et on Monday. Nashville went on an incredible run from the middle of March on to earn a playoff spot but what is its reward? A date with the first-place Hurricanes in the opening round. As I noted in my playoff preview article, home ice is going to mean something in this series as the Hurricanes check in 20-8 in Raleigh this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals. While Nashville went 18-10 on home ice during the regular season, it was just 13-15 on the road, allowing 3.1 goals per game in the process. The Preds have had little recent success here in Raleigh, dropping five of the last six meetings in this series. While Nashville did close out the regular season with consecutive victories over the Canes, those both came at home, and Carolina had essentially already checked out on the regular season. Note that Nashville is now in a poor position, having gone 10-22 when coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.7 goals on average in that spot. Here, I expect to see a much different Canes squad, one that will be eager to get this postseason off to a positive start after such a disappointing early exit at the hands of the Bruins last year. While we're being asked to lay a fairly steep price to back Carolina here, I believe it could be even higher. Take Carolina (10*). |
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05-17-21 | Nationals v. Cubs -146 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Washington at 7:40 pm et on Monday. The Nationals secured a series win with a 3-0 shutout victory in Arizona yesterday. I look for them to get tripped up in the opener of a four-game series in Chicago on Monday, however. Jon Lester gets the nod for Washington. While he has posted a 2.25 ERA through three starts this season, I certainly don't believe that is sustainable. Lester has posted a 24.5% fly ball rate yet has inexplicably yet to allow a home run in 16 innings of work. Note that he has posted a home run rate 3.2% or higher in each of the last four seasons. Nearing the end of his career, Lester's strikeout rate continues to decline while his walk rate is on the way up. He has already handed out seven walks in 16 innings this season. Adbert Alzolay will counter for Chicago. Unlike Lester, Alzolay is just getting started. While the fact he has allowed four home runs in his last three starts is concerning, there are also positives to be taken away as he has held opposing hitters to a collective .184 batting average and recorded a 29.3% strikeout rate and 5.7% walk rate - all three marks considerably better than the MLB average. With their bullpen holding up well in the early going this season and the Cubs having posted an 8-3 record against left-handed starters, I'm willing to pay the reasonably lofty price to back them in this spot. Take Chicago (10*). |
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05-16-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans UNDER 223.5 | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and New Orleans at 9:10 pm et on Sunday. The Lakers turned in an energetic performance yesterday in Indiana, welcoming back both Lebron James and Anthony Davis and pouring in 122 points in a seven-point victory over the Pacers. We missed with the 'under' in that contest but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Sunday. The Pelicans season essentially ended when they lost Zion Williamson to injury and they check into this one having lost three games in a row, also having shot 46.9% or worse from the field in seven consecutive games. In addition to Zion's absence, Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball have missed time as well and are unlikely to play in Sunday's regular season finale. Off consecutive subpar defensive efforts against the Rockets and Pacers, I look for the Lakers to make a concerted effort to clamp down on the Pelicans offense here. Keep in mind, the 'under' is 22-12 with the Lakers on the road this season, where they've held opponents to 45.9% shooting. Take the under (10*). |
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05-16-21 | Rockets v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Atlanta at 7:10 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Hawks in their most recent game - a blowout victory over the Magic on Thursday. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as Atlanta looks to clamp down on the undermanned, but surging Rockets, and close out the regular season on a positive note. Atlanta is locked in defensively right now, having held its last two opponents to 44.6% and 38.3% shooting. The Hawks have been an underrated defensive team at home all season, in fact, holding the opposition to 45.4% shooting. Here, I don't see much reason for Atlanta to really push the pace, especially against a Rockets squad that has thrived offensively in that sort of environment lately, scoring 120+ points in three consecutive games. In fact, Houston, checks in riding a five-game ATS winning streak, culminating with an outright upset win over the Clippers at home on Friday. Kelly Olynyk has led the charge lately but I look for the Hawks interior defense to put the clamps on him here. Take the under (10*). |
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05-16-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | 117-128 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in Friday's matchup between these two teams. I actually feel we deserved a better fate in that one as the 76ers did exactly what we expected them to do, holding the Magic to under 40% shooting. Unfortunately, Philadelphia went off offensively in that one and ultimately sent the game just a bucket over the total. Here, we're likely to see a number of Philadelphia's stars sit out but I still expect the Sixers to go hard defensively and keep a weak Magic offense at bay. This is a Doc Rivers-coached team after all. Orlando has been woeful offensively on the road, averaging 102.2 points per game on a miserable 42.2% shooting this season. We have seen the Magic continue to play hard defensively, however, holding five straight opponents to under 49% shooting entering this contest. Despite their 18-16 o/u record away from home, they've actually held the opposition to a respectable 46.1% in the visitors role this season. Finally, note that the 'under' has cashed in six of the last nine meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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05-16-21 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 162.5 | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Connecticut at 7 pm et on Sunday. This total opened right around where I expected it - higher than it should be in my opinion. We won with Connecticut in its season-opening win in Atlanta on Friday. It faces a much tougher test here against a loaded Mercury squad that checks in off an upset win in Minnesota. The Mercury got off to a slow start offensively in that contest, scoring just 33 first half points before putting up 44 in the final 20 minutes. While Phoenix is known for its offensive prowess, it can play some defense as well, led by perhaps the league's toughest defending in Brittney Griner. The Mercury swatted nine blocks and made six steals against a quality Lynx squad on Friday, holding them to 40% shooting in the two-point victory. Meanwhile, the Sun allowed just 67 points on 36% shooting against an admittedly subpar Dream squad. While Connecticut did score 78 points in the victory, it was actually a rather sloppy performance as it turned the ball over 20 times. I would anticipate seeing the Sun do a better job of running their offense here, but likely not with the same level of production (they shot 44% overall and 44% from three-point range against Atlanta) against a tougher opponent here. Note that the 'under' has gone 56-32 the last 88 times the Mercury have come off an outright underdog victory on the road. The 'under' is 32-15 in the Sun's last 47 games as a home favorite of three points or less, as is the case here at the time of writing. Take the under (10*). |
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05-16-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
NHL West Division First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Vegas at 3 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'under' in the most recent meeting between these two teams but I'll go the other way and back the 'over' in this spot. While the Golden Knights are heavily favored to win this series I don't expect the Wild to back down one bit as the series opens in Las Vegas on Sunday afternoon. Note that Minnesota has actually taken four of the last seven meetings here at T-Mobile Arena and checks in a perfect 7-0, averaging 3.9 goals per game when coming off consecutive losses this season, as is the case here. The 'over' has gone 7-1 with the Wild revenging a home loss against an opponent this season, with that situation producing an average total of 7.3 goals. Interestingly, we've also seen the 'over' go 13-3 with the Knights playing just their second game in the last five days over the last two seasons, with an average total of 7.4 goals in that spot. The Knights have of course been dominant at home this season, skating to a 21-7 record while averaging 3.5 goals per game with the 'over' cashing at a 16-12 clip. After a very brief scoring lull in early April, the Knights went on a tear down the stretch, scoring four goals or more in 11 of their final 16 regular season games. Likewise, the Wild also picked up the pace offensively down the stretch, producing four goals or more in 10 of their last 14 contests. Take the over (10*). |
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05-16-21 | Mets v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Tampa Bay at 1:10 pm et on Sunday. |
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05-15-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Washington at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. 6's and even 6.5's have been commonplace in Capitals games this season but we're dealing with a lower total here in Saturday's playoff opener against the Bruins. Of course, we just saw these two teams skate to a very low-scoring 2-1 contest earlier this week on this same ice, but that result can essentially be thrown to the wayside as neither team iced a true NHL roster in what was a 'meaningless' game. Prior to that, the 'over' had cashed in four of the last six matchups between these two teams in Washington. The Bruins figured things out offensively down the stretch, displaying amazing consistency, scoring three goals or more in eight straight and 10 of their last 11 games overall prior to Tuesday's 2-1 loss against the Caps. Note that the 'over' has gone 14-7 with the Caps coming off an 'under' result this season, with those games totaling an average of 6.6 goals. We've also seen the 'over' go 15-6 with the Caps coming off a home win over a division opponent over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of 6.9 goals. Take the over (10*). |
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05-15-21 | Cubs -125 v. Tigers | 8-9 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Detroit at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Tigers had won four games in a row entering this series but fell in the opener last night by a 4-2 score and I look for them to suffer another loss on Saturday afternoon. Chicago will hand the ball to Trevor Williams who is off to a rather uneven start this season but has certainly shown glimpses of promise, allowing two earned runs or less in five of his first seven outings. He hasn't shown the ability to work deep into ball games but that's not as big of a concern when you consider the Cubs bullpen has been terrific, posting a collective ERA around 1.50 over their last seven games. On the flip side, the Tigers 'pen has recorded an ERA north of six this season. Tigers starter Jose Urena had a stretch of four straight starts working exactly seven innings but that wasn't a sustainable trend and to no one's surprise he was chased after just 4 1/3 innings last time out against Minnesota. The Cubs offense has been slumbering on this current road trip but certainly has the potential to bust out on any given day. Having allowed 19 hits and issued six walks over his last three starts spanning 18 1/3 innings, I believe the Cubs can get to Urena here and ultimately get into that weak Detroit bullpen to break this game open. Take Chicago (10*). |
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05-15-21 | Aces v. Storm OVER 166 | Top | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
WNBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Las Vegas and Seattle at 3 pm et on Saturday. This has the makings of a highly-entertaining season-opener for these two teams after Seattle swept Las Vegas in last year's WNBA Final. Both teams are at a little less than full strength to open this season, as is the case for most WNBA squads here in 2021. But both are also loaded with talent and return enough key cogs to get the season off to a fluent offensive start here on Saturday. If anything, the absence of C Mercedes Russell for the Storm should help open things up on the interior for Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the Storm are obviously brimming with explosive offensive talent led by Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart. The Storm have scored 84 points or more in four straight meetings and I expect them to surpass that number again here. Meanwhile, the Aces will be eager to gain an ounce of revenge and might just have the best offense in the entire league. Expect a high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Indiana at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. We haven't seen enough of an adjustment made to Pacers totals as they've now seen three of their last six games total 213 points or less. Indiana is injury-ravaged at the moment with lots of question marks around who will be able to play on Saturday afternoon. Regardless, I'm not anticipating a peak performance from the Pacers offense here against a good Lakers defense coming off a rather poor showing against the lowly Rockets last time out. Note that when these two teams last met back in early March, when the Lakers had a healthy Lebron James, we saw just 205 total points in a arrow Los Angeles victory. The Lakers might get some help today with Lebron James, Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder all potentially returning to the floor, but again, I'm not expecting a truly cohesive performance from a team that has been highly-inconsistent down the stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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05-14-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 217 | 97-122 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the 76ers 106-94 loss in Miami last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as Philadelphia looks to take another step toward locking up the number one seed in the Eastern Conference. The 76ers sit one game ahead of the Nets for top spot in the East with just this two-game home set against the lowly Magic remaining. I look for Philadelphia to clamp down defensively in this game after it allowed Miami to get off to a red hot start and cruise, shooting better than 50% from the field last night. Meanwhile, the 76ers haven't shot better than 48.8% from the field since May 5th in Houston. Note that Philadelphia held Orlando to just 92 points in its first meeting this season back on December 31st. That game totaled just 208 points and the Magic obviously had a lot more scoring punch on their roster at the time. Here, we find the Magic having shot 41.8% or worse from the field in five straight games and riding a three-game 'under' streak following last night's drubbing in Atlanta (we won with the Hawks in that game). Take the under (10*). |
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05-14-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Friday. We've seen some wild, high-scoring games in so-called 'meaningless' games here in the final stretch of the regular season and with the Leafs and Jets both capable of stuffing the scoresheet most are anticipating a similar result here. I'll go the other way and call for both teams to work on cleaning things up in Friday's regular season finale. All indications are that the goaltending matchup will featuring Jack Campbell and Connor Hellebuyck - the two teams' likely playoff starters as well. Frederik Andersen returned after an extended absence for the Leafs on Wednesday and struggled, allowing four goals in a loss to the Senators. Of course, he wasn't given a great deal of help in that game either. I do look for Toronto to tighten things up here, noting that it checks in having allowed just 2.6 goals per game on the road this season. The Jets have struggled to find offensive consistency since losing Nik Ehlers for the season. While they're coming off a five-goal outburst against the weary Canucks two nights ago, they've scored three goals or less in nine of their last 11 games overall. On a positive note, they have allowed three goals or less in four of their last five games. Note that the 'under' has cashed in four of the last six meetings between these two teams here in Winnipeg. The 'under' checks in 14-7 with the Leafs coming off two wins in their last three games this season, with that situation producing an average total of 5.6 goals and 16-8 with the Leafs having scored three goals or more in consecutive games this season, also resulting in an average total of 5.6 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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05-14-21 | Sun -2.5 v. Dream | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
WNBA Game of the Week. My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Friday. I actually like the prospects of both of these teams but Connecticut is the squad that has legitimate championship aspirations, even if the odds are long on the Sun reaching that pinnacle for the first time in franchise history. The Sun return most of their roster from a year ago - a team that got off to a slow start before eventually rounding into form and going on a deep playoff run. While the Sun won't have Alyssa or Jasmine Thomas for Friday's opener, they do have Jonquel Jones back after she opted-out of the 2020 campaign, and should also have the services of Briann January (for limited minutes at least) after there was some question whether she would be able to start the season due to Covid quarantine. Losing Alyssa Thomas for the season to a torn achilles was obviously a major blow, but I do feel the Sun have the depth to stay competitive, especially if rookie DiJonai Carrington can exceed (or even just meet) expectations following an impressive training camp. Look out for Brionna Jones as well as she took on a bigger role in Jonquel Jones' absence last season and comes off an incredible championship season in the Czech Republic League. Atlanta has the potential to improve considerably following its second consecutive losing season but I'm not sure we're going to see it all work right out of the gate. The Dream will be without Tiffany Hayes and Cheyenne Parker for their opener, which means they'll rely heavily on sophomore guard Chennedy Carter and third-overall draft pick Aari MacDonald. Head coach Nicki Collen bolted for Baylor on short notice, leaving the team under the guidance of interim coach Mike Petersen. With a lot of new pieces to work with, it will likely take some time to figure things out. The potential is there for the Dream to be one of the entertaining teams in the league with a guard-heavy rotation, but on night one of the regular season, I expect them to fall short against a more seasoned Sun squad. Take Connecticut (10*). |
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05-14-21 | Cubs v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Friday. These two teams are both coming off consecutive low-scoring affairs but I look for a different story to unfold as they open their series in Detroit on Friday night. Jake Arrieta will take the ball for Chicago. While this would appear to be a favorable bounce-back spot for him after he allowed seven earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings in his last start in Cincinnati, a closer look shows that the Tigers are actually seeing the ball well right now, having scored at least four runs in seven of their last eight games, and six runs or more in five of those contests. Arrieta is worse than the MLB average in terms of hard-hit ball percentage and exit velocity off opposing bats and has also recorded a poor 35.1% fly ball percentage. In keeping with a trend from the last couple of seasons, Arrieta has posted a home run percentage north of 3% so far this year - in fact he's trending toward his highest home run rate since back in his second big league season in 2011. Speaking of home runs allowed, Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has had an incredibly tough time keeping the ball in the park, recording a 37.8% fly ball percentage and 8.0% home run percentage. Keep in mind, he also posted a 6.7% home run rate in 32 innings of work last season, noting that the MLB average sits at 3.3% going back to the start of last season. The Cubs have crushed left-handed starting pitching this season, posting a 7-3 record and hitting .273 as a team and averaging 6.8 runs per game. Skubal has yet to make it through the sixth inning in any of his five starts this season which opens the door for plenty of work for the Tigers down-trodden bullpen, which entered yesterday's action having posted a collective 6.62 ERA this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-13-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Phoenix at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. This game sets up as a track meet with the Blazers playing the second of back-to-back nights off an upset win in Utah last night and the Suns returning home off a disappointing 0-2 road trip against the Lakers and Warriors. Portland got bogged down a bit offensively against a quality Jazz defense last night but should get plenty of good looks against a struggling Suns defense that checks in fourth-worst in the league in opponents floor percentage over their last three games. The Suns are in a prime bounce-back spot at home, where they average just shy of 117 points per game and shoot 49.5% as a team this season. They've absolutely torched the Blazers in two previous meetings this season, scoring 132 and 127 points. The 'over' has cashed in three of the last four meetings between these two teams here in Phoenix. The 'over' is 20-8 with Portland revenging a home loss against an opponent over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 239 points. Take the over (10*). |
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05-13-21 | Canucks +1.5 v. Flames | 1-4 | Loss | -180 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vancouver +1.5 goals over Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. We won by fading the Canucks last time out as they suffered a 5-0 wipeout at the hands of the Jets in Winnipeg on Tuesday night. Here, I'll switch gears and back Vancouver with an insurance goal as it continues its somewhat tedious stretch to the finish line on Thursday night in Calgary. Since dropping the first three meetings in lopsided fashion this season, the Canucks have answered back going 2-1 in their last three matchups with the Flames, with the lone defeat coming by a single goal. Here, we find the Canucks having gone 18-12 following a shutout loss under the guidance of head coach Travis Green, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.4 goals in that situation. Calgary, meanwhile, checks in just 7-16 when coming off a win by three goals or more over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that spot. The Flames are also a miserable 3-10 after scoring four goals or more in their previous game this season, outscored by 1.4 goals on average in that situation. Neither team has much to play for at this point and I believe we're getting a reasonable price to back the Canucks with an extra goal in our back pocket. Take Vancouver +1.5 goals (10*). |
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05-13-21 | Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. We missed with the 'under' in this matchup last night as the Avs poured it on early and cruised to a 6-0 victory, eclipsing the total by a half-goal. I'll go back to the well here, however, as I do expect the Kings to show some pride off an embarrassing loss and playing their regular season finale. Note that the Kings have allowed just 2.1 goals per game after losing their last game by three goals or more this season. Of course, the Avs are locked in defensively right now, having allowed two goals or less in four consecutive games, with three of those coming against the Kings. There's still reason for them to go all out here as they look to secure top spot in the West Division and draw an easier first round matchup against St. Louis (instead of Minnesota). With that being said, they will continue to be cautious with Nathan MacKinnon as he is expected to miss this game due to an undisclosed injury. Note that the 'under' is 20-8 with the Kings playing on the road revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less over the last two seasons with those games totaling an average of just 5.2 goals. Despite last night's 'over' result, the 'under' remains 4-2 in the last six meetings in this series here in Colorado and nine of the last 13 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-13-21 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 218.5 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Miami at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. The Heat have inexplicably seen the 'over' cash in each of their last 10 games but I believe that streak will be put in jeopardy as they host the defensive-minded 76ers on Thursday night. The first two meetings in this series this season were both high-scoring games but those came back in the second week of January. The 76ers are in excellent defensive form right now, having allowed just 104.6 points per game on 44% shooting over their last five contests. Note that they've posted a 13-22 o/u record away from home this season. The Heat enter this game having shot better than 50% in each of their last three games and a blazing 57.3% and 59.3% in sweeping consecutive games in Boston in their last two contests. That's certainly not a sustainable trend, noting that the Heat average 107.9 points per game on 46.7% shooting this season. In the long-term picture, the 'under' has gone 97-59 with the Heat coming off a game in which they shot 55% or better from the field, as is the case here. Take the under (10*). |
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05-13-21 | Magic v. Hawks -13 | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Orlando at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. The Hawks managed to wrap up a two-game sweep of the Wizards at home last night although it took a big fourth quarter rally to do so. Atlanta certainly didn't bring its 'A' game, perhaps a product of already having taken care of Washington on two previous occasions this season. The Hawks enter this game having shot better than 50% from the field in five of their last six games and they should absolutely go off against a Magic squad that is simply playing out the string at this point. Orlando has been bullied lately, allowing three of its last four opponents to shoot 48.5% or better while giving up 51 or more rebounds in three straight contests entering tonight's game. Last time out the Magic actually held the Bucks to 42.6% shooting but still lost by 12 points (they did manage to cover the spread). The Magic simply can't match the Hawks depth, as we saw in the most recent meeting, when Atlanta cruised to a 16-point win on April 20th. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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05-13-21 | Yankees v. Rays +1.5 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
A.L. Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay +1.5 runs over New York at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Rays as they try to avoid the series sweep at the hands of the Yankees on Thursday night. Tampa Bay has run into a couple of hot pitchers over the last two nights, unable to get anything going against Jordan Montgomery and Gerrit Cole. Here, it will benefit from facing what I would consider the weak link in the Yankees rotation in Jameson Taillon. The Yanks are just 2-4 with Taillon on the hill this season and he's posted an ugly 10.56 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in two road starts - both losses. We did see Taillon work into the seventh inning in his most recent start, but that was at home against the light-hitting Nationals and New York still lost the game 11-4 (we won with the underdog Nats in that game). Crafty veteran Rich Hill will take the ball for the Rays tonight. After a rough start to the season he has righted the ship over his last three starts, allowing just two earned runs on five hits over 15 innings of work. Hill has already guided the Rays to a victory against the Yankees this season, 10-5 back on April 9th. Hill's 4.66 home ERA is slightly misleading as he's recorded a stellar 0.98 WHIP here at Tropicana Field. Despite losing the first two games in this series, Tampa Bay is still 12-9 at home against New York over the last three seasons, and 5-3 overall against the Yankees here in 2021. I'll grab the insurance run with the Rays here as the very reasonable price warrants such a play. Take Tampa Bay +1.5 runs (10*). |
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05-13-21 | Giants v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Pittsburgh at 6:35 pm et on Thursday. |
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05-12-21 | Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
NHL West Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. The 'under' has ruled this series, cashing in four of the last five meetings in Colorado and nine of the last 12 matchups between these two teams overall. The Avs are absolutely locked in right now as they battle for top spot in the West Division - and the entire league. They've allowed two goals or less in three straight games, including consecutive 3-2 victories over the Kings in Los Angeles last week. Note that Colorado is allowing just 2.0 goals per game on home ice this season, where it has gone 19-6. The Kings check in having scored two goals or less in six of their last eight games. The 'under' has cashed in eight of their last 10 contests. Note that the 'under' has gone 32-17 the last 49 times the Kings have played on the road after losing three of their last four games, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 5.2 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go 25-12 with the Kings heading on the road following two or more straight home games over the last two seasons, with that spot resulting in an average total of only 5.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Avs have given up just 2.2 goals per game after winning three of their last four games this season, with the 'under' going 15-7 in that spot with an average total of just 5.1 goals. Colorado has also posted a 10-22 o/u record when playing at home off a one-goal win over the last two seasons. As much as the Kings would like to play spoiler here, they've managed to score just one goal in two previous games in Colorado this season. Take the under (10*). |
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05-12-21 | Wild v. Blues +1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. We can take advantage of a 'wrong team being favored' situation here in my opinion (at the time of writing anyway) as we're able to grab an insurance run with the enigmatic Blues on home ice in a spot where I do expect them to play well. Note that for as inconsistent as St. Louis has been, it does check in 14-2 over its last 16 games when factoring in the +1.5 puck-line. I've generally preferred to back the Blues off a win under head coach Craig Berube as they've fared much better in that spot than trying to regroup off a loss. Note that St. Louis is 44-24 the last 68 times it has come off a win, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition 0.8 goals on average. Better still, the Blues are 23-9 when coming off a one-goal win over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. Meanwhile, Minnesota has gone just 1-3 when hitting the road off of consecutive home victories this season, as is the case here. The Wild have allowed a whopping 3.6 goals per game after winning three of their last four games this season, outscored by 0.4 goals on average in that spot. The Blues are 3-2 in the last five meetings between these two teams here in St. Louis and have taken eight of the last 13 matchups overall in this series. Also note that four of six meetings this season have been decided by a single goal and of the two that weren't, one was played in Minnesota and the other went St. Louis' way by a 9-1 score. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals (9*). |
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05-12-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -6 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Washington at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. This is a brutal spot for the Wizards as they play a second straight game in Atlanta (following an off day yesterday) on the heels of a momentum-killing one-point loss here on Monday (note they outscored the Hawks by 16 points and scored 45 points in the fourth quarter, only to fall one point short). Washington has been battling hard to earn a spot in the NBA Play-in Tournament but how bad do they really want it apart from Russell Westbrook who continues to stuff the statsheet and chase individual records? The Hawks have won eight straight games here at home with the first seven of those victories coming by 12, 16, 15, 7, 11, 9 and 32-point margins prior to Monday's close call. Atlanta is in an excellent spot here having gone 8-1 ATS when playing at home off a home win this season, outscoring the opposition by 9.4 points on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Wizards check in allowing a whopping 122 points per game when playing with double-revenge, as is the case here after dropping the previous two meetings this season. The Wizards have been involved in so many tightly-contested games lately - I simply expect them to run out of gas in this spot. Keep in mind, Bradley Beal remains sidelined with a hamstring injury while the Hawks are as healthy as they've been in quite some time after dealing with numerous key injuries over the course of the season. The Hawks are a good defensive team that hasn't played like it over the last couple of games but I look for them to turn in a solid performance in that department here, noting they have held opponents to 45.6% shooting on their home floor this season. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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05-12-21 | Royals -144 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. It's time for the Royals to bring an end to their ugly losing streak. They fell just short last night, rallying from a 7-0 eighth inning deficit to lose 8-7 in walk-off fashion. A poor start from Brady Singer cost them in that game but I expect a much better showing from Danny Duffy, their number one starter almost by default, here on Wednesday. Duffy has posted a perfect 3-0 team record in three road starts this season, including a 4-0 victory over these same Tigers. He tossed five shutout innings of four-hit ball in that contest and the Royals will call on him for a similar performance here. Note that Kansas City has gone 46-24 with Duffy on the hill as a favorite priced at -150 or lower over the course of his career, outscoring the opposition by 1.2 runs per game in that situation. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 27-69 as a home underdog over the last two-plus seasons, outscored by an average margin of 2.6 runs. Note that they check in 2-7 against left-handed starters this season, hitting a woeful .192 as a team while averaging just 2.3 runs per game. I don't have a whole lot to say about Tigers starter Casey Mize. He's off to an up and down start to the season and while he has pitched well over his last couple of starts, his 7.27 ERA in two home starts (spanning 8 2/3 innings) is a concern. The Royals chased him before the end of the fifth inning, scoring six runs off of him in a lopsided victory back on April 23rd. While the Kansas City bullpen is a concern, the Tigers 'pen has been even worse, as we saw in last night's late collapse. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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05-12-21 | Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
North Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Montreal at 5:05 pm et on Wednesday. Monday's matchup between these two teams found its way 'over' the total as the Oilers prevailed 4-3 in overtime. That marked Edmonton's third straight 'over' result which is worth mentioning as it hasn't posted more than three consecutive 'overs' since a five-game streak back in the last week of January. While the Oilers are known for their offense, they can play some defense as well, having allowed three goals or less in eight of their last nine games overall. The Canadiens have scored three goals or less in six straight and 10 of their last 11 games overall and average just 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season. While they would certainly like to right the ship here off of four consecutive losses, that hasn't been a favorable spot for them in recent years, averaging just 2.5 goals per game while going 4-10 in that situation over the last two seasons. Note that the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 with the Oilers playing on the road after allowing three goals or more in three straight games over the last two seasons, with that situation totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. We've also seen the 'under' cash at an 11-3 clip with Edmonton playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in consecutive games this season, with an average total of just 4.9 goals in that spot. For Montreal's part, it has posted a 9-17 o/u record when revenging a same-season loss against an opponent this season with that situation producing an average total of 5.4 goals. The Habs have done a fairly solid job containing the Oilers offense in eight previous meetings this season, allowing just 2.3 goals per game. The 'under' has gone 4-2 in the last six meetings in Montreal and 7-5 in the last 12 matchups between these two teams overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-12-21 | Arsenal v. Chelsea -114 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Match of the Month. My selection is on Chelsea over Arsenal (three-way betting) at 3:15 pm et on Wednesday. Arsenal is coming off a 3-0 drubbing of West Brom on Sunday but let's face it, the Gunners haven't faced anyone of substance in EPL action since back on April 3rd, when they suffered a 3-0 loss at the hands of Liverpool. After failing to advance to the Europa League Final following a disappointing 0-0 draw in the second leg of its semi-final matchup with Villareal, there's simply little left to motivate this Arsenal side on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Chelsea would all but wrap up a spot in the EPL top-four with a victory here and brings excellent form having posted three straight victories overall and five wins in its last seven matches going back to mid-April. Chelsea has added fuel having dropped a 3-1 decision against the Gunners back in December. Of course, this has been a different Blues squad under the guidance of former PSG boss Thomas Tuchel. The Blues of course have an FA Cup Final match with Leicester coming up this weekend, not to mention the Champions League Final against Manchester City later this month. In other words, Chelsea has everything in front of it right now while Arsenal is simply playing out the string. Neither squad is fully fit entering this match but I'll give the considerable edge to the Blues with their superior depth. Take Chelsea (10*). |
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05-11-21 | Mariners +210 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Dodgers continue to struggle following another series loss over the weekend and I don't believe they're a gimme in this Interleague series-opener against the Mariners on Tuesday night. Yusei Kikuchi enters this start pitching well for Seattle, having worked seven innings in three of his last four starts, allowing only three earned runs on six hits over 14 innings in his last two outings. The Mariners are 2-1 when he takes the ball on the road this season, where he has recorded a 3.57 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. After a rough rookie campaign, we've seen Kikuchi settle down since the start of last season, holding opposing hitters to a collective .238 batting average last year and a .212 mark so far in 2021. Kikuchi has always induced ground balls at a solid rate, and checks in having recorded a 53.4% ground ball percentage this season - more than 10% higher than the MLB average. Walker Buehler will take the ball for Los Angeles. As well as he has pitched, the Dodgers are just 3-3 in his six starts, including 1-2 here at home. Interestingly, Buehler has posted a 45.6% hard-hit ball percentage so far this season. His walks are down but as he attacks more of the zone, it seems that opposing hitters are having a little more success getting good wood on the ball. Note that he posted an incredible .178 opponents batting average last season but that average is up to .234 this season. If the Mariners can chase Buehler here, they can get to a Dodgers 'pen that has struggled for the most part this season, recording a 4.10 ERA with that number rising to 5.84 over their last seven games. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 232 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Brooklyn and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. It's been defense-optional for the Nets much of the season under the guidance of first-year head coach Steve Nash, particularly on the road where they've allowed the opposition to shoot better than 47% from the field. Note that opponents are averaging 117 points per game with an average total of 239.2 points with the Nets playing as a road favorite this season. The 'over' has cashed at a 16-7 clip in that situation. On the flip side, the Bulls haven't seen the 'over' cash since April 26th against the Heat. They're healthy though, and I believe they have the personnel to give the Nets a run in what has the potential to be a very high-scoring affair on Tuesdaynight. Even Bulls sophomore Coby White has been contributing consistently at the offensive end of the floor lately, scoring 21 points or more in three of the last four games. With Zach LaVine back and seemingly getting stronger with each passing game (he scored 30 points in Sunday's win in Detroit), there's reason to believe the Bulls can put up some big offensive numbers down the stretch. Meanwhile, the Nets scored 125 points despite just 66 field goal attempts in Saturday's 125-119 win in Denver. That result snapped a four-game 'under' streak for Brooklyn, although it's worth noting that two of those four 'under' results would have gone 'over' the number we're dealing with here tonight. The last meeting between these two teams totaled just 222 points back on April 4th but the Nets were without Kevin Durant for that contest and Kyrie Irving made good on just 12 field goal attempts for 24 points. Here, I'll note that the Nets are averaging 120.8 points per game with an average total of 239.5 points when revenging a loss against an opponent as a favorite this season, as is the case here. The 'over' has still cashed in five of the last eight meetings in this series and I look for that trend to continue here. Take the over (10*). |
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05-11-21 | Canucks v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Revenge Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Last night's meeting between these two teams got off to a fast start with three goals in the first period but fizzled from there as Canucks goaltender Thatcher Demko stood on his head turning aside 39 of 40 shots in a 3-1 Vancouver victory. The Jets are struggling mightily right now but I do expect them to display some push-back here tonight and they should catch a break with Braden Holtby likely to get the nod in goal for Vancouver (the Canucks have yet to give a goaltender consecutive starts in a back-to-back spot this season). Of course, the veteran Holtby has struggled this season with a GAA well north of three and a save percentage under .900. We've seen the Canucks score three goals or more in three straight games and eight of 13 contests since returning to the ice following a long Covid-induced layoff last month. The 'over' checks in 18-8 with the Jets coming off a home loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with those contests totaling an average of 6.7 goals. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 21-11 with the Canucks following a game where four total goals or less were scored, with that spot producing an average total of 6.6 goals. We've seen the Canucks run out of gas defensively on long road trips in recent years, allowing 4.0 goals per game when playing a fourth consecutive road game over the last two seasons, with that situation producing 6.5 total goals on average. While the 'under' has cashed in six of the last seven meetings in this series, it's certainly worth noting that we've seen a number of 6's and 6.5's over that stretch. We're dealing with a more reasonable total here tonight. Take the over (10*). |
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05-11-21 | Royals -126 v. Tigers | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -126 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
MLB A.L. Central Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. |
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05-11-21 | Cubs +168 v. Indians | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Cleveland at 6:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Indians have been playing well lately, reeling off six wins in their last seven games but they were also just no-hit by Wade Miley two games back and following a couple of perhaps ill-timed off days, I'm willing to fade them here, even with ace Shane Bieber taking the ball. Cubs starter Adbert Alzolay is by no means a household name, but he enters this start pitching well, having allowed just four earned runs on seven hits over 11 innings in his last two outings - both resulting in Cubs victories. Alzolay has now held opposing hitters to a collective .192 batting average over the course of his big league career. He's improved on both his strikeout and walk percentages this season and now checks in sporting a K% nearly 7% higher than the MLB average for his career. After posting a walk percentage right around 15% in limited action in each of the last two seasons, he's dropped that number to 7.0% here in 2021. There's not much negative I can say about Indians ace Shane Bieber. He's off to another fine start this season, but Cleveland certainly isn't invincible when he takes the ball, noting they lost his last home start by a 2-1 score against the Yankees despite the fact he gave up just two runs over seven frames. Note also that the Indians are just 6-12 when playing at home after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last two seasons. Take Chicago (10*). |
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05-10-21 | Rangers +129 v. Giants | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. We won with the Rangers in Kyle Gibson's last start and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as they look to stay hot in San Francisco. Gibson is off to an incredible start and I believe this is another matchup he can handle on Monday night. He's always been a ground ball pitcher and has recorded a 52.2% ground ball percentage this season - more than 8% higher than the MLB average. He hasn't posted a fly ball percentage higher than 18.4% since his rookie season in 2013 and has held true to that so far this year with a 15.7% mark, nearly 7% lower than the MLB average. The Giants had their hot streak at the plate stopped by the Padres pitching staff in yesterday's 11-1 loss. Here, they'll try to keep pace with a Rangers club that has posted an incredible 11-4 record against left-handed starters this season. Alex Wood is the southpaw that will take the ball for San Francisco on Monday. Like Gibson, he's off to a fine start here in 2021 but I do believe that regression is coming and he draws a tough matchup here. After allowing opposing hitters to bat a collective .291 in 2019 and .304 in 2020, they've hit just .163 against him this season. That's not a sustainable trend. Keep in mind, this is a guy pitching for his third team in as many years. The Giants took a flyer on him this season, paying him $3M to earn a spot in the rotation. I'm simply willing to bet we see some of that regression to the mean starting on Monday against Texas. Take Texas (10*). |
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05-10-21 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies UNDER 228 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Southwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Memphis at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Pelicans continue to battle to earn their way into the play-in tournament but off a big come-from-behind win in Charlotte last night I can't help but feel a letdown could be in order here. Without Zion in the lineup, the Pelicans have been forced to change their identity a little bit and come in off consecutive stellar defensive efforts in his absence. In fact, the 'under' is now 8-1 in the Pelicans last nine games overall. The fact that New Orleans scored 118 and 144 points in two previous wins over the Grizzlies this season should certainly peak Memphis' interest heading into this one. Like New Orleans, Memphis also ramped up its defensive play last time out, holding Toronto to under 39% shooting in a 10-point victory. That was the second time in their last six games the Grizzlies held an opponent to fewer than 100 points - a true accomplishment in today's NBA. Note that the 'under' has gone 11-2 the last 13 times the Grizzlies have found themselves in a situation looking for revenge for a loss by 20 points or more, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 219.4 points. While the Pelicans have more serious injury concerns with Zion and Brandon Ingram sidelined, the Grizzlies have issues of their own with underrated scorer Grayson Allen ruled out for Monday's game. It's certainly worth noting that Grizzlies super-soph Ja Morant has been slumping a bit lately as well, scoring 12 points or less in four of his last seven games. Take the under (10*). |
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05-10-21 | Stars -130 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Blackhawks got the better of the Stars in a somewhat meaningless affair last night in Chicago but it's certainly worth noting that Dallas didn't quit, outshooting the Blackhawks by a wide margin of 39-25. I look for the Stars to wrap up an otherwise disappointing season with a victory on Monday night. It's easy to forget that the Stars reached the Stanley Cup Final in the Edmonton bubble last fall. While the 2021 campaign has certainly not gone their way, the same could be said for the Blackhawks. Here, Dallas is set up well, having gone 20-13 when revenging a loss where their opponent scored four goals or more over the last three seasons, allowing just 2.5 goals per game in that situation. The Blackhawks check in a miserable 2-9 at home off a win by two goals or more over a division opponent over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that spot. Worse still, Chicago is 0-6 when at home off consecutive wins over division opponents over the last three seasons, allowing a whopping 5.2 goals per game and outscored by 2.7 goals on average in that situation. While they have nothing but pride to play for, the Stars have generally done a good job of tightening things up in similar situations, allowing just 2.1 goals per game off a division loss by two goals or more over the last three seasons. Take Dallas (10*). |
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05-10-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NHL East Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Monday. We're likely only seeing a 5.5 here due to the fact that both teams are coming off 'over' results on Saturday and have generally been trending in that direction over the last week or so. I'm not anticipating a 'high-event' game on Monday night as the Isles wrap up their regular season schedule in Boston. New York snapped its three-game losing streak with a 5-1 victory over New Jersey on Saturday (we won with the Isles) but has still scored three goals or less in seven of its last nine games overall and checks in averaging a miserable 2.0 goals per game on the road this season. Boston has scored exactly four goals in back-to-back games and that plays into our favor here, noting that the 'under' has gone a perfect 5-0 after the B's have put up four goals or more in consecutive games this season, with those contests totaling an average of just 3.4 goals. The 'under' also checks in 8-2 with the Bruins playing at home following an 'over' result, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 5.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Isles have posted a 1-7 o/u mark when heading on the road following a home game this season, with those contests totaling an average of just 3.5 goals. We've also seen the 'under' cash at a 15-5 clip with the Isles coming off a victory by four goals or more over the last three seasons, with those games totaling an average of only 4.7 goals. Finally, the 'under' has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams in Boston and eight of their last 11 matchups overall. Take the under (10*). |
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05-10-21 | Reds v. Pirates +127 | 14-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Cincinnati at 6:35 pm et on Monday. We won with the Pirates in an underdog role yesterday as they avoided the sweep in Chicago. Here, we'll back them again as they return home and look to avenge an early season series sweep at the hands of the Reds. Cincinnati dropped below .500 on the season with Saturday's loss in Cleveland, one night after Wade Miley tossed a no-hitter. Here, the Reds will turn to Tyler Mahle, who is off to a terrific start this season. While Mahle has pitched well, the Reds really aren't hitting right now and have one of the weakest bullpens in the majors having posted a collective 5.77 ERA. Mitch Keller has gotten off to an uneven start for the Pirates this season but was terrific in his most recent outing, tossing 5 2/3 innings of two-hit, shutout ball in a 2-1 victory in San Diego. In Keller's lone previous start at home against the Reds he gave up just one earned run over six innings in a 3-2 Pirates victory. In fact, the Buccos check in 9-4 in their last 13 games against the Reds here at PNC Park. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames UNDER 6 | 1-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Calgary at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. The 'under' has cashed in four straight games involving the Flames and I look for that trend to continue on Sunday in Calgary. The Flames have gone 6-5 over their last 11 games, allowing four goals or less in all 11 of those contests and two goals or less in eight of those games. Offensively, Calgary has scored a grand total of just five goals over its last four games and faces a Sens squad that has played better defensively of late, giving up three goals or less in six straight and 11 of their last 12 games overall. While the Sens did score four goals in last night's victory in Winnipeg, they check in averaging only 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. I don't see this as a peak performance spot for Ottawa here, also noting that Calgary allows only 2.4 goals per game after giving up four or more goals over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames -190 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary over Ottawa at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. While both of these teams are simply playing out the string at this point, I believe the spot favors the Flames as they look to bounce back from a shutout loss against the Jets last time out and aim to revenge four consecutive losses against the Senators, including a 4-2 loss here in Calgary in their most recent meeting on April 19th. Note that Calgary is a perfect 6-0 when revenging consecutive losses in which their opponent scored at least three goals this season, outscoring the opposition by 2.3 goals on average in that spot. They're also 45-24 after giving up four goals or more in their last game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.9 goals in that situation. While the Sens are certainly playing some of their best hockey right now, they're still just 9-18 on the road this season where they allow right around four goals per game. The Flames check in having gone 6-5 over their last 11 games, giving up two goals or less in eight of those contests. Despite dropping the last meeting here, they've won three of the last five matchups between these two teams in Calgary. Take Calgary (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 208.5 | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
05-25-21 | Sun v. Storm -3 | 87-90 | Push | 0 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
05-25-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -186 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
05-25-21 | Orioles v. Twins -196 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox -173 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
05-24-21 | Heat +5 v. Bucks | 98-132 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
05-24-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 222.5 | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
05-24-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
05-24-21 | Rockies v. Mets -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
05-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
05-23-21 | Oilers -125 v. Jets | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
05-23-21 | Bruins v. Capitals +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -222 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
05-23-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
05-23-21 | Tigers v. Royals -141 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
05-23-21 | Everton v. Manchester City UNDER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
05-23-21 | Burnley +135 v. Sheffield United | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
05-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Wild +109 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
05-22-21 | Storm -6 v. Wings | Top | 100-97 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
05-22-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
05-22-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -167 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
05-22-21 | Twins v. Indians -162 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
05-22-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -152 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
05-22-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
05-21-21 | Mariners v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-16 | Win | 103 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
05-21-21 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
05-21-21 | Jets v. Oilers -156 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
05-21-21 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -147 | 11-3 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
05-21-21 | Dream v. Fever OVER 160.5 | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards UNDER 238 | 115-142 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
05-20-21 | Storm v. Lynx UNDER 164.5 | 90-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
05-20-21 | Panthers +1.5 v. Lightning | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
05-20-21 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
05-20-21 | Giants v. Reds -132 | 19-4 | Loss | -132 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
05-19-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
05-19-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
05-19-21 | Jets v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
05-19-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 223.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
05-19-21 | Sky v. Dream OVER 159 | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
05-19-21 | White Sox v. Twins +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
05-19-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Everton -114 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
05-19-21 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
05-18-21 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
05-18-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -118 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
05-18-21 | Aces +1 v. Storm | 96-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -2 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
05-18-21 | Lightning v. Panthers +119 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -133 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
05-18-21 | Lynx -1.5 v. Liberty | Top | 75-86 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
05-18-21 | Leicester v. Chelsea -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
05-18-21 | Manchester City -208 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-3 | Loss | -208 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
05-17-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
05-17-21 | Indians v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -179 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
05-17-21 | Nationals v. Cubs -146 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
05-16-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans UNDER 223.5 | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
05-16-21 | Rockets v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
05-16-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | 117-128 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
05-16-21 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 162.5 | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
05-16-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
05-16-21 | Mets v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
05-15-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
05-15-21 | Cubs -125 v. Tigers | 8-9 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
05-15-21 | Aces v. Storm OVER 166 | Top | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
05-14-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 217 | 97-122 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
05-14-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
05-14-21 | Sun -2.5 v. Dream | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
05-14-21 | Cubs v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
05-13-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
05-13-21 | Canucks +1.5 v. Flames | 1-4 | Loss | -180 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
05-13-21 | Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
05-13-21 | 76ers v. Heat UNDER 218.5 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
05-13-21 | Magic v. Hawks -13 | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
05-13-21 | Yankees v. Rays +1.5 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
05-13-21 | Giants v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
05-12-21 | Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
05-12-21 | Wild v. Blues +1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
05-12-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -6 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
05-12-21 | Royals -144 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
05-12-21 | Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
05-12-21 | Arsenal v. Chelsea -114 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
05-11-21 | Mariners +210 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 232 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
05-11-21 | Canucks v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
05-11-21 | Royals -126 v. Tigers | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -126 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
05-11-21 | Cubs +168 v. Indians | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
05-10-21 | Rangers +129 v. Giants | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
05-10-21 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies UNDER 228 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
05-10-21 | Stars -130 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
05-10-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
05-10-21 | Reds v. Pirates +127 | 14-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames UNDER 6 | 1-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames -190 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |