Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-13-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating a lopsided result in favor of the Dodgers on Saturday in Kansas City as they send Andrew Heaney to the hill against Brad Keller of the Royals. Heaney has been solid since returning from injury, posting a 2.34 FIP and 1.00 WHIP while holding the opposition to just 2.25 runs per nine innings this season. Behind Heaney is an elite Dodgers bullpen that brought terrific form into this series having recorded a collective 1.80 ERA and 0.72 WHIP over the last seven games. Brad Keller has endured another trying season for the Royals, recording a 4.35 FIP and 1.37 WHIP while giving up 4.9 runs per nine innings. Note that the Dodgers are 53-21 and average 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starting pitching this season. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled for much of the season and entered last night's action sporting a collective 4.57 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (10*). |
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08-13-22 | Phillies v. Mets -184 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. The Phillies took the opener of this series last night but I look for the Mets to answer back with their ace Jacob deGrom on the hill on Saturday. Aaron Nola will take the ball for the Phillies. He's having a terrific season in his own right but he's not on the same level as deGrom. Philadelphia has won just five of his 11 road starts this season. The Phillies bullpen, while solid lately, has posted a collective 4.21 ERA and 1.42 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night's action). deGrom has made a triumphant return to the Mets rotation, posting a 1.25 FIP and 0.47 WHIP in 10 2/3 innings of work. You would have to go back nine deGrom home starts to find the last time the Mets lost a game with him on the mound here at Citi Field. Included in that stretch was a victory over these same Phillies last June. While the Mets bullpen ultimately allowed the winning run in extra innings last night, it did enter that contest with a collective 3.62 ERA and 1.22 WHIP at home this season. Take New York (8*). |
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08-13-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. White Sox | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit +0.5 runs first five innings over Chicago at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. We'll grab the half-run of insurance with the Tigers in the first five innings on Saturday as I do feel they have an advantage in terms of the starting pitching matchup. Matt Manning will get the start for Detroit. He's logged only 20 innings so far this season but has made the most of them, recording a 4.27 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while allowing only 2.25 runs per nine innings. Last time out he tossed seven shutout innings against the Rays but the Tigers bullpen couldn't hold up in an eventual loss. That's been the story a lot lately as the Detroit 'pen has been downright awful and we'll look to avoid that relief corps by playing the first five innings only here. Lucas Giolito has been high on our fade list all season long and we won't reverse course here. Giolito checks in with a 4.28 FIP and 1.51 WHIP, allowing 5.25 runs per nine innings. The Tigers have already seen him twice this season, winning both of those games. They most recently plated five earned runs over 6 2/3 innings against Giolito right here in Chicago back on July 8th. Take Detroit +0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-12-22 | Pirates v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Week. My selection is on San Francisco -0.5 runs first five innings over Pittsburgh at 10:15 pm et on Friday. As we still don’t trust the Giants bullpen, we’ll back them in the first five innings only on Friday as they have a considerable starting pitching edge with All-Star Carlos Rodon taking the hill against Bryse Wilson of the Pirates. Rodon enters Friday’s start sporting a terrific 2.28 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while allowing only 3.02 runs per nine innings this season. He absolutely baffled the Pirates in a start against them earlier this season, tossing eight shutout innings of two-hit ball. Bryse Wilson is one of the weakest links in the Pirates rotation and that’s saying something. He has recorded a 5.06 FIP and 1.52 WHIP this season, yielding a whopping 6.82 runs per nine innings. There’s no real advantage for the Giants in the later innings of this one as their bullpen continues to under-achieve, having posted a collective 4.62 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention converting only 10 saves at home this season (four blown). Take San Francisco -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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08-12-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Oakland at 8:10 pm et on Friday. There’s quite simply no comparison between these two teams which lie at opposite ends of the A.L. West spectrum this season. The A’s will hand the ball to struggling rookie Adam Oller on Friday. He checks in with a 7.15 FIP and 1.79 WHIP while allowing just north of 8.2 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Friday will be Luis Garcia of the Astros. While not an elite starter by any stretch, he’s been more than serviceable in the Astros starting rotation, posting a 4.03 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while allowing 4.33 runs per nine innings this season. Houston’s bullpen has been lights out at home all season, recording a collective 2.01 ERA and 0.94 WHIP while converting 15 saves and blowing only five (entering yesterday’s action). Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-12-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. While the Royals are coming off a stunning series sweep of the division rival White Sox, I expect Friday’s result to be much more straightforward as they host the Dodgers. Los Angeles will send All-Star Tony Gonsolin to the mound for the series opener. He checks in with a 3.47 FIP and 0.89 WHIP this season, yielding only 2.38 runs per nine innings. Behind Gonsolin is a Dodgers bullpen that has posted a collective 1.80 ERA and 0.72 WHIP over the last seven games. The Royals will hand the ball to left-hander Daniel Lynch. He owns a 4.08 FIP and 1.52 WHIP while giving up just over 5.0 runs per nine innings on the campaign. The Kansas City bullpen did its best to cough up yesterday’s game against the White Sox but ultimately held on to finish the series sweep. Note that the Royals ‘pen owned a 4.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home this season, entering yesterday’s contest. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-12-22 | Phillies v. Mets -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York first five innings over Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We’ll back the Mets in the first five innings only on Friday as they have a considerable starting pitching edge with Max Scherzer taking the ball against Ranger Suarez of the Phillies. Scherzer is obviously enjoying another Cy Young Award-worthy season having recorded a 2.45 FIP and 0.90 WHIP while giving up only 2.16 runs per nine innings. Note that Scherzer will be looking for revenge after giving up three earned runs on 10 hits over six innings the last time he faced the Phillies back on May 8th. Ranger Suarez is having a fine season but his numbers certainly don’t compare to those of Scherzer. He has allowed 2.5 more hits and 1.7 more walks per nine innings compared to Scherzer this season. He’s also giving up nearly twice the runs at 4.31 per nine innings. The reason we’re playing the first five innings only here is that the Phillies bullpen has actually been better than the Mets’ over the last seven games, entering yesterday’s action sporting a collective 2.30 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over that stretch. Take New York first five innings (8*). |
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08-12-22 | Padres -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego -1.5 runs over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This one sets up exceptionally well for the Padres as they head to Washington to face the lowly Nationals on Friday. Mike Clevinger will take the ball for San Diego. He’s having a fine season having posted a 3.98 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while allowing just 3.74 runs per nine innings. Behind Clevinger is a Padres bullpen that has recorded a collective 3.52 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over the last seven games. Cory Abbott was awful in limited work for the Cubs last season and has been equally bad in 12 2/3 innings with the Nationals this year. Abbott checks in with an 8.88 FIP and 1.50 WHIP while allowing 5.68 runs per nine innings. The Nationals bullpen has struggled for much of the campaign and has certainly had a tough time lately, posting a collective 6.29 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take San Diego -1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-11-22 | Montreal v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
CFL Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. When these two teams met last week in Montreal, they combined to score 55 points in a 15-point Blue Bombers victory. Winnipeg has now scored 35 points in consecutive games but doesn't necessarily have the look of such an explosive offensive squad under the guidance of QB Zach Collaros. It has been the Bombers ground game that has exploded over the last two weeks but after running for their two highest yardage totals of the season, I look for a step back in that department here. We can't continue to project 150+ rushing yards when the Bombers are actually only running the ball around 20 times per game. Meanwhile, Winnipeg completed just 15-of-26 passes against the Alouettes last week and turned the football over four times. They'll be looking to clean things up here and I see this as more of a 'win and move on' type of contest for the Bombers. Montreal has tried to sling it all over the field over the last two games but it hasn't worked as it completed just 45-of-74 passes for 491 yards in those two contests, scoring a grand total of 37 points. Things obviously won't get any easier as the scene shifts to Winnipeg against the Bombers elite defense. Note that the 'under' is 19-4 with the Bombers playing at home off three consecutive ATS victories, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 44.3 points. Take the under (10*). |
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08-11-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -174 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona first five innings over Pittsburgh at 3:40 pm et on Thursday. The fact that we're still able to back Merrill Kelly at a sub -200 price against an opponent like the Pirates tells me he's still being undervalued. Here, rather than support the D'Backs for the full game, we'll get behind them in the first five innings only as there's no real advantage with their bullpen in the later innings. JT Brubaker will get the call for the visiting Pirates. He owns a 3.77 FIP and 1.52 WHIP while allowing 5.23 runs per nine innings this season. Note that Arizona will be seeing him for the second time this season after tagging him for five earned runs in four innings back in early June. Brubaker has allowed 2.6 more hits, 0.4 more home runs and 1.0 more walks per nine innings in comparison with Kelly. The D'Backs emerging ace has recorded a 3.18 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while yielding only 2.99 runs per nine innings on the campaign. He's faced the Buccos twice in his career, allowing four earned runs over 12 innings of work. Take Arizona first five innings (8*). |
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08-11-22 | White Sox -170 v. Royals | 3-5 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Kansas City at 2:10 pm et on Thursday. We missed with the White Sox last night as they squandered a 3-1 lead in an eventual 8-3 loss. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again on Thursday, however, as they send their ace Dylan Cease to the hill. Cease is obviously having a career year, having posted a 2.70 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while allowing only 2.71 runs per nine innings. While the White Sox bullpen coughed up the game last night, it still owns a solid 3.00 ERA and 1.15 WHIP on the road this season, converting 18 saves and blowing only seven. Veteran Zack Greinke will counter for the Royals. He continues to get knocked around having recorded a 4.42 FIP and 1.33 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.9 runs per nine innings on the campaign. The Royals bullpen behind him owns a collective 4.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home this season. Take Chicago (8*). |
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08-11-22 | Guardians v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams have been trending to the 'under' lately but I look for a different story to unfold in Thursday afternoon's series finale in Detroit. Zach Plesac will take the ball for the Guardians. He owns a 4.31 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while allowing 5.15 runs per nine innings. The Tigers will be seeing Plesac for the third time this season after knocking him around for four earned runs on 12 hits over just 9 2/3 innings in their first two looks. Rookie Garrett Hill will counter for Detroit. He checks in with a 5.51 FIP and 1.39 WHIP while giving up 5.12 runs per nine frames. The Guardians have already seen Hill once and while they didn't fare all that well in that contest (just one earned run on two hits over six innings), I look for improvement here. The Guardians bullpen has been fine lately but the Tigers relief corps has been awful, posting a collective 7.66 ERA and 1.88 WHIP over the last seven games. It's not as if Cleveland's 'pen has been untouchable on the road as it has recorded a 3.50 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the season. Take the over (10*). |
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08-10-22 | Cardinals -145 v. Rockies | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. We were concerned about a potential letdown from the Cardinals last night but backed them anyway and paid the price as they had their doors blown off by the Rockies. With that being said, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the visiting Cards again here. Jose Quintana will take the ball for St. Louis. He's enjoyed a terrific bounce-back season, posting a 3.27 FIP and 1.23 WHIP while allowing 3.63 runs per nine innings. Behind Quintana is a Cards bullpen that despite last night's poor performance still owns a 3.33 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven games. Kyle Freeland will counter for Colorado. He checks in with a 4.23 FIP and 1.36 WHIP this season, yielding just over 4.9 runs per nine innings. The Rockies bullpen behind him has struggled mightily of late, posting a 7.03 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take St. Louis (8*). |
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08-10-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Texas at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Astros added to the Rangers misery with a 7-5 victory last night and I anticipate more of the same on Wednesday. Texas will hand the ball to Glenn Otto. To say he's struggled this season would be an understatement. Otto checks in with a 5.19 FIP and 1.41 WHIP while allowing north of 5.5 runs per nine innings. He's given up 2.1 more hits, 0.5 more home runs and 2.9 more walks per nine innings compared to his counterpart on this night, Astros ace Justin Verlander. Verlander is having another terrific campaign, having posted a 2.98 FIP and 0.85 WHIP while holding the opposition to just shy of 2.3 runs per nine innings. He's an A.L. Cy Young Award candidate once again to be sure. Behind Verlander is an Astros bullpen that has been lights out lately and for much of the season, particularly at home. Over the last seven games, the Astros 'pen has recorded a collective 0.48 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Take Houston -1.5 runs (10*). |
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08-10-22 | White Sox -130 v. Royals | 3-8 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. We'll continue to fade Royals starter Kris Bubic as he takes the ball against Johnny Cueto of the White Sox on Wednesday. Cueto has 'turned back the clock' this season, posting a solid 4.02 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while giving up just under 3.10 runs per nine innings. Behind the veteran right-hander is a White Sox bullpen that is in excellent form, having posted a collective 1.80 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over the last seven games. On the road this season, the White Sox 'pen owns a 2.80 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with 18 saves converted and only seven blown. Bubic sports a 4.92 FIP and 1.54 WHIP while allowing north of 5.8 runs per nine frames. Keep in mind, the White Sox average 0.3 runs per game above their season scoring average when facing left-handed starting pitching this season. The Royals bullpen has logged a 4.57 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at home this season and a 3.92 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Chicago (9*). |
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08-10-22 | Braves -138 v. Red Sox | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Interleague Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta first five innings over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Braves got past the fading Red Sox last night and while I anticipate a similar result on Wednesday, rather than back them in the full game, we'll support them in the first five innings only here. Kyle Wright will take the ball for Atlanta. He's quietly having a terrific season, perhaps overshadowed by the exploits of Max Fried and standout rookie Spencer Strider. Wright checks in with a 3.75 FIP and 1.17 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.4 runs per nine innings. He'll be looking for revenge here after giving up six earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings in a start against Boston back in May. I'm willing to give him a mulligan for that poor outing based on his impressive performance overall this season. My concern with the Braves is their bullpen but we'll look to avoid that relief corps by playing the first five innings only. The Atlanta 'pen has posted a collective 5.18 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over the last seven games. Boston will give Nick Pivetta the start in this one. He owns a 4.16 FIP and 1.33 WHIP this season, yielding just over 4.5 runs per nine innings. Thanks to his previous days pitching for the Phillies in the N.L. East, the Braves will be seeing Pivetta for the sixth time since the start of 2019. He's given up at least four earned runs in four of his previous five starts against them. Take Atlanta first five innings (10*). |
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08-10-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Phillies | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami +1.5 runs over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. While we're being asked to lay a steep price to grab the insurance run with the Marlins here, the fact that we're able to get the +1.5 at all is a steal in my opinion. The case can certainly be made for the Marlins to be favored in this matchup but I will grab that insurance run as they've had a knack for finding ways to lose games lately. Sandy Alcantara will take the ball for Miami. He is of course one of the top contenders for the N.L. Cy Young Award this season having posted a 2.86 FIP and 0.94 WHIP while allowing just 2.27 runs per nine innings. After a shaky outing in Pittsburgh, Alcantara bounced back in a big way last time out, tossing a complete game shutout against the Reds (we won with the Marlins in that game). Noah Syndergaard will counter for the Phillies. He's having a fine season but certainly doesn't boast the same sort of numbers as Alcantara. The veteran right-hander sports a 3.85 FIP and 1.27 WHIP while giving up 4.24 runs per nine innings. Behind Syndergaard is a struggling Phillies bullpen that has recorded a collective 6.75 ERA and 1.71 WHIP over the last seven games. In stark contrast, the Marlins 'pen has posted a 1.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Miami +1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-10-22 | Nationals v. Cubs -165 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Washington at 2:20 pm et on Wednesday. The Nationals evened this series at a game apiece with a 6-5 victory last night at Wrigley Field but I look for the Cubs to answer right back on Wednesday. Josiah Gray will take the ball for Washington. He checks in with a 5.72 FIP and 1.31 WHIP this season while allowing just north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Behind Gray is an awful Nats bullpen that has posted a collective 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over the last seven games and has been generally awful on the road this season (5.56 ERA and 1.49 WHIP). Justin Steele will counter for the Cubs. The fact that he's a left-hander already gives him a leg up on the Nats, noting that they've gone a woeful 11-25 against southpaw starters this season. Steele enters this start with a 3.34 FIP and 1.41 WHIP having allowed just over 4.6 runs per nine innings. The Cubs bullpen has been a bright spot overall this season and checks in with a 3.90 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at home this season. Take Chicago (8*). |
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08-09-22 | Angels -175 v. A's | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The case could certainly be made for the Angels to be priced north of -200 in this contest and we may very well see the price get there by the time first pitch rolls around. Shohei Ohtani will get the start for the Angels. While he hasn't received the same amount of hype as he did a year ago when he did a little more with the bat, he's having another terrific campaign on the mound, posting Cy Young Award-caliber numbers - a 2.42 FIP and a 1.04 WHIP while allowing just 3.00 runs per nine innings. Behind Ohtani is an Angels bullpen that has been lights out lately, recording a collective 1.73 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.14 WHIP away from home this season. James Kaprielian will counter for Oakland. He's logged a disappointing 5.20 FIP and 1.29 WHIP while giving up north of 4.4 runs per nine innings this season. While the A's bullpen hasn't been bad lately, it certainly hasn't posted the same type of numbers as that of the Angels with a 4.28 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over the last seven contests. At home this season, Oakland relievers have combined to record a 4.64 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with just 11 saves converted and six blown. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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08-09-22 | Cardinals -160 v. Rockies | 5-16 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. While the Cardinals could certainly be ripe for a letdown off a sweep of the Yankees over the weekend, I believe their advantages on the mound are too strong to ignore in this particular matchup. Miles Mikolas will take the ball for St. Louis. He checks in with a 3.68 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while allowing just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings this season. Behind Mikolas is a Cards bullpen that has posted a collective 1.59 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over the last seven games. Meanwhile, the Rockies will turn to Ryan Feltner, who continues to labor through the 2022 season. He sports a 4.51 FIP and 1.45 WHIP while giving up 5.98 runs per nine innings. Perhaps even more problematic is the Rockies bullpen, which has logged an 8.15 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take St. Louis (8*). |
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08-09-22 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. While I realize the Reds don't have a wealth of starting pitching talent that's ready for the big league level right now, it's still hard to believe that they continue to trot out veteran left-hander Mike Minor every five days. To say that Minor has struggled this season would be an understatement. He checks in sporting a 6.57 FIP and 1.57 WHIP while yielding north of 6.8 runs per nine innings. We can no longer blame it on a small sample size either as he's logged 11 starts covering a span of 56 2/3 innings. The Mets will counter with Carlos Carrasco on Tuesday. He's pitched well lately, lowering his FIP to 3.44 and his WHIP to 1.28 and has given up just north of 3.8 runs per nine innings this season. Carrasco allows 1.0 fewer hits, 1.6 fewer walks and perhaps most importantly 1.6 fewer home runs per nine innings when compared to Minor this season. The reason we're laying the half-run with the Mets in the first five innings only again tonight (we won with the same play last night) is the fact that their bullpen has been unsteady lately, recording a collective 5.48 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over the last seven games. Over that same stretch, the Reds 'pen has posted a terrific 2.42 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-09-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Miami and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm anticipating a low-scoring start to this N.L. East showdown on Tuesday as the Marlins send an underrated Braxton Garrett to the hill against Zack Wheeler of the Phillies. Garrett enters Tuesday's start having lowered his FIP to 3.04 and his WHIP to 1.16, yielding just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings this season. He's struck out 11 batters twice in his last four starts, racking up 37 K's over his last four outings, covering a span of 22 2/3 innings. Wheeler has put up Cy Young Award-caliber numbers for the Phillies again this season, recording a 2.85 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while allowing under 3.0 runs per nine innings. He's worked exactly seven innings and given up two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts. The problem with playing the full game 'under' here isn't either starter, it's the bullpens. Miami's relief corps has already blown 13 saves away from home this season while Philadelphia's 'pen checks in with a 7.23 ERA and 1.88 WHIP over the last seven games. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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08-09-22 | Blue Jays -150 v. Orioles | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
MLB A.L. Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto over Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This one sets up exceptionally well as a bounce-back spot for the Blue Jays after last night's 7-4 loss here at Camden Yards. Alek Manoah will take the ball for Toronto. He's having a fine sophomore campaign having posted a 3.42 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while yielding just 2.8 runs per nine innings. He hasn't had his best stuff over his last couple of outings, but last time out that was still enough to guide the Jays to a 9-3 victory in Minnesota. The last time Manoah faced the Orioles he tossed six shutout innings back on June 13th. Prior to that he gave up just one earned run over seven frames against them last October. Kyle Bradish will counter for Baltimore. While the O's have had many young arms rise to the occasion this season, Bradish hasn't been one of them. He owns an ugly 5.15 FIP and 1.65 WHIP while giving up a whopping 6.71 runs per nine innings. The Jays saw him in June and tagged him for five earned runs on nine hits over just 4 1/3 innings. The bullpens are virtually a wash in this game so we'll confidently back the Jays based on their considerable starting pitching advantage. Take Toronto (10*). |
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08-08-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona -0.5 runs first five innings over Pittsburgh at 9:40 pm et on Monday. We have enough of a starting pitching advantage to support the D'Backs at an admittedly steep price point in the first five innings in Monday's series-opener against the Pirates. Pittsburgh will hand the ball to Tyler Beede. He's logged 41 2/3 innings this season and hasn't fared particularly well, recording a 4.36 FIP and 1.49 WHIP while giving up 4.1 runs per nine innings. In comparison with his counterpart on Monday, Zac Gallen, he has allowed 2.5 more hits and 1.5 more walks per nine innings. Gallen is having a fine season having posted a 3.68 FIP and 1.04 WHIP while allowing only 3.64 runs per nine innings. The only reason I hesitate to back the D'Backs for the full game here is the fact that the Pirates bullpen has been lights out lately, recording a collective 1.99 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over the last seven games. The D'Backs meanwhile have converted just 10 saves while blowing eight at home this season. Take Arizona -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-08-22 | Nationals v. Cubs -175 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Washington at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'll gladly back the Cubs at a sub -200 price in this matchup as they host the reeling Nationals on Monday. Anibal Sanchez's return to the Nationals rotation hasn't gone well as he checks in with a 7.02 FIP and 1.50 WHIP while allowing a whopping 8.1 runs per nine innings, albeit with a small sample size of just 20 innings. Behind Sanchez is a Nats bullpen that has struggled away from home all season and sports a 5.59 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over the last seven contests. Cubs starter Keegan Thompson has been an underrated commodity all season in my opinion, relatively speaking at least. He enters Monday's start with a 3.99 FIP and 1.27 WHIP, giving up an average of 4.06 runs per nine innings. The Cubs bullpen has held up well overall this season and checks in with a 3.04 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over the last seven games. Take Chicago (8*). |
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08-08-22 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The Mets are rolling right now and there's little reason to expect the Reds to serve as anything more than a speedbump on Monday. With that being said, New York's bullpen has struggled to the tune of an ERA north of 6.00 and a 1.56 WHIP over the last seven games and I like the way the starting pitching matchup sets up so we'll back it in the first five innings only here. Cincinnati will give Justin Dunn his first big league start of the season. He's struggled at the minor league level here in 2022, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 28 innings of work. Of course, he hasn't found much success at the big league level in his career either, most recently posting a 4.74 FIP and 1.31 WHIP with the Mariners last season. Chris Bassitt will counter for New York. He was terrific in his most recent start, tossing seven shutout innings against Washington. On the season he has recorded a 3.71 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.7 runs per nine innings. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-07-22 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
N.L. West Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. While these two teams are obviously loaded with offensive talent, I’m anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair in Sunday night’s series-finale in Los Angeles. Yu Darvish will take the ball for the Padres. He’s looking to bounce back from a shaky outing against a Rockies team that has seemingly had his number in recent years. Note that Darvish still owns a terrific 3.27 FIP and 0.99 WHIP this season, allowing just 3.3 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday will be left-hander Tyler Anderson of the Dodgers. Anderson should be pleased to be facing a Padres club that has had a tougher time producing runs against southpaw starters this season, averaging just 4.2 runs per game compared to their season scoring average of 4.4 rpg (entering last night’s action). Anderson checks in sporting a 3.36 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while limiting opponents to just 3.04 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens have been outstanding lately with the Padres relief corps entering last night’s action with a 1.09 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over its last seven games and the Dodgers logging an even better 0.98 ERA and 0.54 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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08-07-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and New York at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. This has the makings of one of the best starting pitching matchups on Sunday’s board as the Braves send impressive rookie Spencer Strider to the hill against Jacob deGrom of the Mets. Strider has turned heads in his rookie campaign, posting a 1.97 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing only 3.0 runs per nine innings. He faced the Mets back in mid-July and allowed just one earned run over 4 2/3 innings in a 4-1 Braves victory. Jacob deGrom will be making his second start back from injury. He didn’t miss a beat in his first start back, allowing just one earned run on three hits while striking out six and not walking a batter in five innings against the Nationals. While he does face a tougher opponent here, I’m confident he’ll be up for the challenge. As I noted in my analysis of last night’s play on the ‘under’ in this matchup, both bullpens headed into the weekend in fine form. Even off yesterday’s double-header, I’m confident they’ll both hold up well on Sunday. Take the under. |
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08-07-22 | White Sox v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Texas at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. I’m confident we’ll see the hitters feast on Sunday’s subpar starting pitchers as this series wraps on a high-scoring note in Texas. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito is in the midst of a massively disappointing campaign having posted a 4.34 FIP and 1.49 WHIP while allowing north of 5.4 runs per nine innings. While the bullpen behind him has been terrific lately, I’m not convinced it will be enough to make up for Giolito’s shortcomings here. Meanwhile, Rangers right-hander Spencer Howard has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. He owns a 6.90 FIP and 1.63 WHIP while giving up a whopping 7.08 runs per nine innings. The Texas bullpen hasn’t been much better lately, logging a collective 5.02 ERA and 1.33 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -165 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
My selection is on Arizona over Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. We’ll confidently get behind the D’Backs on Saturday as they have a considerable edge in terms of both the starting pitching and bullpen matchup against the Rockies. Antonio Senzatela gets the start for the visiting Rockies. He’s labored through the 2022 season, recording a 4.11 FIP and 1.71 WHIP while giving up north of 5.3 runs per nine innings. The D’Backs will be seeing the right-hander for the second time this season after chasing him following just two innings in an eventual 9-3 victory back on July 1st. Merrill Kelly will counter for Arizona. He has really come into his own lately, lowering his FIP to 3.11 and his WHIP to 1.13. Kelly has allowed just 3.02 runs per nine innings this season. While he’s not likely to win the award, he has at least put himself into the N.L. Cy Young conversation thanks to a terrific run of pitching. The D’Backs bullpen entered last night’s action sporting a collective 2.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention a 3.53 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at home this season. In stark contrast, the Rockies ‘pen owns a 5.87 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over the last seven contests (entering last night’s action). Take Arizona (10*). |
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08-06-22 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Milwaukee at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. We’ll take advantage of a subpar starting pitching matchup not to mention two fading bullpens as we back the ‘over’ in Saturday’s showdown between the Reds and Brewers in Milwaukee. Nick Lodolo will take the ball for Cincinnati. He owns a respectable 3.79 FIP but a disappointing 1.57 WHIP in 38 1/3 innings of work in his rookie season. Opponents have reached the left-hander for 4.7 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Aaron Ashby has posted a 3.75 FIP and 1.45 WHIP while giving up north of 5.1 runs per nine innings. As I mentioned, both bullpens have been anything but airtight lately with the Reds relief corps entering last night’s action sporting a collective 4.42 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over the last seven games and a 5.22 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the road this season. Milwaukee’s ‘pen entered the series with a 5.09 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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08-06-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and New York at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. We've seen a pair of high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold in Game 2 of Saturday's double-header in Queens. Max Fried will take the ball for Atlanta. He's having a Cy Young Award-caliber season having recorded a 2.47 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while giving up only 2.65 runs per nine innings. He issued a season-high five walks, giving up two earned runs over five innings in a 4-1 loss to the Mets the last time he faced them so he'll be looking for a little revenge here. Max Scherzer will counter for the Mets. He didn't have his best stuff against the Nationals last time out but still hung in there, working into the seventh innings in a lopsided victory. Scherzer owns a terrific 2.64 FIP and 0.93 WHIP this season while allowing only 2.33 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens are serviceable in this matchup. The Braves 'pen has posted a collective 3.08 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the road this season while the Mets relief corps owns a 3.57 ERA and 1.21 WHIP at home. Take the under (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Giants -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco -0.5 runs over Oakland at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. While Giants starter Carlos Rodon has struggled since the All-Star break, I’m anticipating a return to form against the A’s on Saturday. Rodon still owns a terrific 2.28 FIP and 1.07 WHIP on the season, giving up just 3.07 runs per nine innings. Here, he’ll face an A’s offense that averages only 3.2 runs per game against left-handed starting pitching this season. Adam Oller will take the ball for Oakland. He’s generally been awful this season, recording a 7.15 FIP and 1.73 WHIP while giving up a whopping 8.38 runs per nine innings. With the Giants bullpen struggling over an extended period (not to mention just 11 saves converted and eight blown on the road this season - entering last night’s action), we’ll look to back them in the first five innings only on Saturday. Take San Francisco -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Tigers | 1-9 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings over Detroit at 6:10 pm et on Saturday. The Rays own a considerable starting pitching advantage in this matchup as they hand the ball to their ace Shane McClanahan against Tigers rookie Garrett Hill. With the bullpens virtually a wash, we’ll lay the half-run with Tampa Bay in the first five innings only here. McClanahan is actually coming off one of his worst outings of the season, allowing five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work against Cleveland. I’m confident he’ll bounce back against the light-hitting Tigers on Saturday, noting that the left-hander owns a terrific 2.63 FIP and 0.83 WHIP while allowing only 2.43 runs per nine innings this season. Hill on the other hand has faded after a solid start, with his FIP rising to 5.65 and his WHIP to 1.35 while giving up an average of 5.88 runs per nine innings. Take Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia -0.5 runs first five innings over Washington at 6:05 pm et on Saturday. It’s not often we give the Phillies a decisive starting pitching advantage with Ranger Suarez on the mound but we will do so tonight as the left-hander takes the ball against fellow southpaw Patrick Corbin of the Nationals. Suarez checks in with a 3.83 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while allowing 4.26 runs per nine innings this season. Not great numbers by any means but certainly superior to those of Corbin who sports an ugly 4.66 FIP and 1.77 WHIP while yielding just shy of 7.5 runs per nine innings. Note that the Nationals have gone a woeful 11-24 against left-handed starting pitching this season. Given the fact that the Phillies bullpen has been struggling, posting a collective 7.71 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action), we’ll back them in the first five innings only on Saturday. Take Philadelphia -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Pittsburgh and Baltimore at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I’m anticipating a high-scoring start to this interleague contest as the Pirates send JT Brubaker to the hill against Austin Voth of the Orioles. Brubaker checks in with a 3.85 FIP and 1.49 WHIP on the season, allowing an average of 5.18 runs per nine innings. Voth has posted similar numbers with a 3.93 FIP and 1.59 WHIP while giving up just shy of 6.1 runs per nine innings. With the two bullpens thriving lately (the Buccos ‘pen entered last night’s action with a 2.16 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over the last seven games while the O’s relief corps posted a 3.42 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over the same stretch) we’ll look to play the ‘over’ in the first five innings only in this one. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Yankees -142 v. Cardinals | 3-4 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Friday. We’ll give the Yankees the considerable advantage in terms of both the starting pitching and the bullpen matchup in this one and the price is reasonable to back them. Nestor Cortes Jr. will take the ball for New York. He’s obviously enjoying a breakout season having posted a 3.35 FIP and 1.02 WHIP while giving up only 2.62 runs per nine innings. In comparison with his counterpart on Friday, Dakota Hudson, Cortes has given up 1.1 fewer hits and 1.9 fewer walks per nine innings this season. The Yankees bullpen has been outstanding all season and that has certainly been the case lately as they’ve recorded a collective 2.39 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last seven games. Hudson checks in with a 4.62 FIP and 1.36 WHIP this season, yielding just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings. Behind Hudson is a Cardinals bullpen that entered yesterday’s double-header against the Cubs having posted a collective 6.11 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take New York (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. For many of the same reasons we backed the ‘over’ in the opener of this series last night, we’ll go right back to the well with the same play on Friday. Rookie Josh Winckowski got off to a reasonably solid start for the Red Sox this season but the wheels have since come off. He checks in sporting a 5.09 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while allowing 5.2 runs per nine innings. Veteran Zack Greinke hasn’t been much better for the Royals. He owns a 4.47 FIP and 1.30 WHIP while giving up an average of 4.72 runs per nine innings. While the Red Sox bullpen has been serviceable lately, it’s by no means unbeatable having logged a 3.86 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with just 13 saves converted and 12 blown on the road this season (entering last night’s action). Meanwhile, the Royals bullpen owns a 4.59 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at home (also entering last night’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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08-05-22 | White Sox -173 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Texas at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Rangers narrowly took the opener of this series last night but I look for the White Sox to rebound on Friday. White Sox starter Dylan Cease continues to stake his claim as an A.L. Cy Young Award contender having posted a 2.70 FIP and 1.17 WHIP this season, allowing only 2.78 runs per nine innings. You would have to go back 13 starts, all the way to late-May, to find the last time Cease gave up more than a single earned run in an outing. His counterpart on Friday will be Glenn Otto of the Rangers. He’s mired in an awful rookie campaign, sporting a 5.30 FIP and 1.46 WHIP while giving up 5.75 runs per nine frames. Chicago should own the later innings in this game as well as its bullpen has been terrific lately, recording a collective 2.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take Chicago (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Braves v. Mets -135 | 9-6 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York first five innings over Atlanta at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We’ve had some success backing the Mets in the first five innings in recent games and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well again on Friday as they hand the ball to Taijuan Walker against Ian Anderson of the Braves. Anderson has arguably been the weak link in the Braves otherwise terrific rotation this season. He checks in with a 4.24 FIP and 1.51 WHIP on the campaign, yielding an average of 5.08 runs per nine innings. Mets starter Taijuan Walker is having an outstanding season, entering Friday’s game with a 3.35 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing less than 2.9 runs per nine innings. The issue with backing the Mets for the full game is their bullpen. They’ve struggled in that department lately with their ‘pen posting a collective 5.83 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take New York first five innings (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I’m expecting plenty of offense in this game on Friday as the Nationals send Josiah Gray to the mound against Kyle Gibson of the Phillies. Gray enters with an ugly 5.30 FIP and 1.28 WHIP while allowing 4.68 runs per nine innings. As he doesn’t have a tendency to last deep into ball games, we should see plenty of the Nationals bullpen, which checks in with a 5.46 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night’s action). Interestingly, Gibson allows an identical 4.68 runs per nine innings to that of Gray. He has posted a 4.43 FIP and 1.23 WHIP on the campaign. Behind Gibson is fading Phillies bullpen that entered last night’s action having recorded a collective 6.75 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 102 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Red Sox are coming off a low-scoring series against the Astros and have now seen each of their last four games stay 'under' the total. I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday, however. Nick Pivetta will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. After a strong stretch earlier this season, the wheels came off and he's never really been able to regain his footing. Pivetta has seen his FIP rise to 4.16 and his WHIP to 1.32 while allowing just under 4.5 runs per nine innings on the campaign. While the Red Sox bullpen has been serviceable, it has by no means been 'lights out', posting a collective 4.05 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Kris Bubic has seen his season unfold differently than Pivetta's as he got off to a difficult start but has settled down somewhat since. With that being said, his overall numbers are not good as he owns a 5.19 FIP and 1.60 WHIP while yielding north of 6.0 runs per nine frames. The Royals bullpen didn't give up a run yesterday in Chicago but prior to that had recorded a collective 5.14 ERA and 1.67 WHIP over the last seven contests. It has posted a 4.59 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. The Blue Jays have now seen each of their last seven games stay 'under' the total while you would have to go back five contests to find the last time Minnesota posted an 'over' result. I look for those trends to continue in the opener of a four-game series between the two teams tonight in Minnesota. Alek Manoah will get the start for Toronto. He's having a fine sophomore campaign having posted a 3.40 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while holding opponents to only 2.79 runs per nine innings. Behind Manoah is a Jays bullpen that has been locked in lately, recording a collective 1.57 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday's action). Sonny Gray has 'turned back the clock' in a sense for the Twins this season, posting a 3.41 FIP and 1.11 WHIP while giving up just over 3.5 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, the Twins bullpen has been fairly steady of late, logging a collective 3.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over the last seven games (also entering yesterday's action). Take the under (8*). |
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08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +6 | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Winnipeg at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We might have been a week early fading the Blue Bombers last Saturday as they were entrenched in a battle with the Stampeders but ultimately came away with a seven-point victory. Here, I expect them to have their hands full with the Alouettes in Montreal. The Als check in 2-5 on the season although all but one of their losses could have gone either way. Last week they couldn't muster enough offense in a 24-17 loss to the Ti-Cats (we won with the 'under' in that game). Keep in mind, they're just one game removed from putting up 40 points in a road victory in Ottawa. While Montreal checks in as healthy as it has been all season, Winnipeg continues to deal with some nagging injuries to key players. While all indications are that the Blue Bombers key cogs will be 'full go' for this one, there's no denying it's a tough scheduling spot playing on a short week after that hard-fought battle against Calgary last Saturday. Montreal, on the other hand, has been idle since last Thursday. The Als are 3-2 ATS in an underdog role this season and defeated the Bombers by 14 points as a 3.5-point underdog in their home matchup last year. Take Montreal (8*). |
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08-04-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Guardians | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -0.5 runs first five innings over Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. We'll back the Astros in the first five innings only on Thursday as their edge lies in the starting pitching matchup rather than in the later innings as the Guardians bullpen has been outstanding lately. Justin Verlander will get the start for Houston. He owns a 3.04 FIP and an even more impressive 0.87 WHIP while holding opponents to just 2.4 runs per nine innings this season. Zach Plesac, meanwhile, checks in with a 4.30 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the campaign while giving up just north of 5.0 runs per nine frames. Take Houston -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-04-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Diego -1.5 runs over Colorado at 4:10 pm et on Thursday. I'm comfortable laying the extra run with the Padres as they host the Rockies on Thursday afternoon in San Diego. Kyle Freeland will get the start for the Rockies. Interestingly, this will be his fourth start against the Padres this season and the Rockies have won each of the first three. I look for that streak to end here. Note that Freeland has posted a less than impressive 4.28 FIP and 1.34 WHIP this season while allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Behind Freeland is a Rockies bullpen that has hit the skids again, recording a collective 5.47 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over the last seven games, entering yesterday's action. Newly-signed Joe Musgrove will be looking to prove he's worth the monster contract the Padres just gave him. He's well-positioned to do just that having posted a 3.26 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while holding opponents to only 2.97 runs per nine innings this season. The Padres bullpen went through a recent rough stretch but has since turned it around again, recording a collective 3.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over the last seven games. Here at home this season, the Padres have converted 14 saves while blowing only five (entering yesterday's action). Take San Diego -1.5 runs (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings over Pittsburgh at 12:35 pm et on Thursday. |
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08-03-22 | Reds v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 117 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami -0.5 runs first five innings over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Reds have taken the first two games of this series but I look for the Marlins to bounce back with their ace on the hill on Wednesday. Veteran left-hander Mike Minor gets another turn in the Reds rotation out of necessity only. He owns a 6.74 FIP and 1.58 WHIP while giving up north of 7.0 runs per nine innings this season. While the Marlins have struggled to put runs on the board against left-handed starting pitching, I'm confident they can get to Minor in this one. Sandy Alcantara hasn't necessarily had his best stuff in his last couple of outings but his overall numbers tell the story as he has recorded a 2.87 FIP and 0.94 WHIP while holding opponents to just 2.41 runs per nine innings. After dealing a pair of key bullpen arms to Toronto, I'm only interested in backing the Marlins in the first five innings in this one. We have a decisive enough edge in terms of the starting pitching matchup to lay the half-run with Miami in the first half here. Take Miami -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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08-03-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Washington at 4:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Mets have a considerable starting pitching advantage in Wednesday's series finale in Washington as they hand the ball to Chris Bassitt against journeyman right-hander Anibal Sanchez of the Nationals. Bassitt is having another fine campaign having posted a 3.79 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while giving up only 3.91 runs per nine innings. He faced the Nats once back in April and tossed six shutout innings. Sanchez owns a 6.75 FIP and 1.40 WHIP while yielding a whopping 7.47 runs per nine innings. Here, he'll be starting on just four days' rest after getting tagged for six earned runs over 5 2/3 innings against the Cardinals last time out. There's no real edge in terms of the bullpens in this matchup, surprisingly enough. With that in mind, we'll lay the half-run with the Mets in the first five innings only. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-03-22 | Orioles v. Rangers -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over Baltimore at 2:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Rangers on Wednesday afternoon as they send a rejuvenated Martin Perez to the hill against Kyle Bradish of the Orioles. Bradish is having a tough campaign having posted a 5.32 FIP and 1.70 WHIP while giving up just shy of 7.2 runs per nine innings. He actually had some of his best stuff in his most recent start against the Reds but I'm not convinced he can string together a second straight quality outing here. Perez is of course enjoying a 'turn back the clock' type of season, recording a 3.07 FIP and 1.15 WHIP while holding the opposition to just 2.88 runs per nine innings. The Orioles saw the veteran left-hander once last season and managed to scratch out just one earned run in five innings. With the two bullpens comparable in terms of recent form and with the O's on the road and the Rangers at home, we'll confidently back the Rangers at home in this matinee affair. Take Texas (8*). |
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08-03-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia +1.5 runs over Atlanta at 12:20 pm et on Wednesday. I'll gladly grab the insurance run with the Phillies in the finale of this brief two-game series in Atlanta on Wednesday. Zack Wheeler will get the start for Philadelphia. He checks in sporting a 2.84 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while giving up only 3.09 runs per nine innings this season. In 23 career outings against Atlanta, Wheeler owns a solid 3.19 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Behind Wheeler is a Phillies bullpen that entered last night's action with a 3.52 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over its last seven games. On the road this season, the Phillies have converted 16 saves while blowing eight. Charlie Morton will counter for Atlanta. He has recorded a 4.07 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while giving up 4.5 runs per nine innings. The Phillies have already seen Morton three times previously this season, reaching him for 10 earned runs in 15 innings. The Atlanta bullpen has posted a collective 4.22 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven contests and has blown 10 saves (while making good on 18) at home this season, again entering last night's action. Take Philadelphia +1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Boston at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Astros should have the decided advantage both early and late in Tuesday’s game and we’ll confidently back them at a reasonable price. Rookie Kutter Crawford will take the ball for the visiting Red Sox. He checks in with a 3.72 FIP and 1.22 WHIP this season, giving up just north of 4.3 runs per nine innings. My concern here is that he’ll be starting on just four days’ rest for a second straight turn in the rotation. He turned in one of his best efforts of the season last time out against Cleveland. That was at home against a weaker opponent than he’ll face tonight, however. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Cristian Javier of the Astros. While his numbers have risen recently, he still owns a solid 3.39 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while yielding just 3.26 runs per nine innings this season. Meanwhile, the Astros bullpen behind Javier has been terrific, particularly at home. Entering this series, Houston’s relief corps had posted a collective 1.91 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 14 saves converted and only five blown here at Minute Maid Park. The Red Sox ‘pen entered the series with just 11 saves converted and 12 blown away from home this season. Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The White Sox posted their third straight ‘under’ result last night as they dropped a 2-1 decision to the Royals here at home. I’m anticipating a higher-scoring affair on Tuesday as Chicago sends a struggling Lucas Giolito to the hill against Brad Keller of Kansas City. Giolito is having a trying season to say the least. He has recorded a 4.45 FIP and 1.48 WHIP while giving up north of 5.5 runs per nine innings. Over his last two outings he has been tagged for nine earned runs on 15 hits over just eight innings of work. Royals starter Brad Keller checks in with a 4.26 FIP and 1.32 WHIP while yielding 4.68 runs per nine innings on the campaign. The White Sox haven’t had a great deal of success against him this season but will be seeing him for a third time on Tuesday and it’s not as if he’s really been fooling them as he has just six strikeouts in 14 innings against them. The two bullpens have struggled. Kansas City’s relief corps entered this series sporting a collective 5.25 ERA and 1.67 WHIP with no saves converted and two blown over its last seven games. Meanwhile, the White Sox ‘pen had recorded a 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over the same stretch and has just 13 saves converted and nine blown at home this season. Take the over (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
N.L. Central Game of the Year. My selection is on Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll back the Brewers in this one, but rather than support them over the full nine innings we’ll lay the half-run with them in the first five frames only as I like the starting pitching edge but there’s little advantage in terms of the two bullpens. Burnes owns a 2.93 ERA and 0.92 WHIP while giving up only 2.6 runs per nine innings this season. He’s faced the Pirates six times over the course of his career, recording a 2.27 ERA and 1.01 WHIP with the Brewers winning five of those games. The concern is, the Brewers bullpen has posted a 5.04 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over the last seven games. The Pirates ‘pen on the other hand has quietly turned it around after a rough stretch, recording a 2.96 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over its last seven contests. Bryse Wilson gets the start for Pittsburgh. He has endured a tough big league season having posted a 4.68 FIP and 1.60 WHIP while giving up a whopping 7.44 runs per nine innings. The Brewers will be seeing him for the second time and I expect them to have greater success after reaching him for just two earned runs over six innings in a 7-4 loss back on July 2nd. Note that despite that recent solid outing, in four career starts against Milwaukee, Wilson owns a 5.21 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Take Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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08-02-22 | Reds v. Marlins -128 | 2-1 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. I realize the fact that Marlins starter Braxton Garrett just struggled against these same Reds in his most recent outing but I'm willing to give him a mulligan for that poor start and expect him to bounce back and help his team snap its four-game slide on Tuesday. Garrett has actually posted solid numbers this season. He owns a 3.23 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while giving up 4.3 runs per nine innings. Behind Garrett is a Miami bullpen that has recorded a 3.70 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over the last seven contests. Graham Ashcraft will counter for Cincinnati. He has posted a 4.05 FIP and 1.42 WHIP while yielding just shy of 4.8 runs per nine innings in his rookie campaign. A concern for the Reds is a bullpen that has posted a collective 5.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road this season. Take Miami (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 5-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego -0.5 runs first five innings over Colorado at 4:10 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll back the Padres in the first five innings in Game 1 of this double-header on Tuesday in San Diego. The Padres have a significant starting pitching advantage in this one as they send Yu Darvish to the mound against Ryan Feltner. Darvish checks in with a 3.14 FIP and 0.97 WHIP this season, yielding just 3.24 runs per nine innings. The problem is the Padres bullpen has been struggling, recording a collective 4.87 ERA and 1.28 WHIP over the last seven games. We’ll look to avoid that unit by playing the first five innings only. Ryan Feltner will get the start for the Rockies. He has posted a 4.39 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while giving up north of 5.8 runs per nine innings this season. Note that Feltner has allowed 2.7 more hits, 0.7 more home runs and 0.6 more walks per nine innings compared to Darvish. Take San Diego -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-01-22 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. The Dodgers saw each of their last three games at hitter-friendly Coors Field stay 'under' the total while the Giants have posted just one 'over' result in their last five games overall. I look for those trends to continue in Monday's series-opener between these N.L. West rivals on Monday. Andrew Heaney will get his second start back from injury for the Dodgers. He had a nice return last week, tossing four shutout innings of one-hit ball against the Nationals. Here, we'll likely see the left-hander get stretched out a little more. In 19 1/3 innings of work this season, Heaney owns a terrific 2.40 FIP and 0.88 WHIP while giving up only 1.4 runs per nine innings (small sample size, I know). Behind Heaney is a Dodgers bullpen that owns a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP with 10 saves converted and only two blown on the road this season. Logan Webb will take the ball for the Giants. He didn't have his best stuff last time out in Arizona but still hung around for 6 1/3 innings, ultimately keeping his team in the game in an eventual 5-3 loss to the D'Backs. Webb has now lasted at least six innings in nine consecutive starts. On the season, Webb has recorded a 3.21 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. It's also worth noting that Webb owns a career 2.50 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in nine starts against the Dodgers. The only time he gave up more than two earned runs against them, we still saw that contest total only seven runs (in a 7-0 Dodgers win back in August 2020). You would have to go back six Webb starts against the Dodgers to find the last time a game went 'over' seven runs. I'll admit the Giants bullpen is a concern as it owns a collective 6.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over the last seven games. I do like the fact that it has logged just 19 2/3 innings over the last seven games, however, and it posted two shutout innings in last night's 4-0 blanking of the Cubs. The San Francisco relief corps has converted 10 saves while blowing only four at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I like the way this one sets up for the Mets, at least early on, as they head to Washington to open a series against the Nationals on Monday. Max Scherzer will take the ball for New York. He's been terrific since returning from injury, lowering his FIP to 2.50 and WHIP to 0.90 on the season. The Mets ace has allowed just 2.2 runs per nine innings this season. With that being said, there's no real advantage for the Mets in the later innings of this one as their bullpen has been good, but not on the same level as the Nats' relief corps lately. Washington's 'pen has posted a sparkling 1.11 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over the last seven games. At home this season, it has recorded a 3.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Patrick Corbin gets the start for Washington on Monday. To say his season has been a disaster might be an understatement. The left-hander owns a 4.62 FIP and 1.77 WHIP while yielding a whopping 7.43 runs per nine innings. The Mets last saw him back on May 31st and tagged him for seven earned runs on 12 hits over just 4 1/3 innings in a 10-0 rout. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 47.5 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Toronto at 5 pm et on Sunday. The RedBlacks remain winless on the season and they'll be hard-pressed to pick up their first victory in Toronto on Sunday. With that being said, rather than lay the points with the Argos here, we'll play the 'under' as I don't expect Ottawa to come close to approaching the 33 points it scored at home against Montreal last week. Ottawa has had an extended week to prepare for this game having not played since a week ago Thursday. That extra time off has allowed some of their defensive injuries to heal up and I certainly anticipate a better showing from that unit than we saw last week against the Alouettes. Note that prior to that contest, the RedBlacks had held four of their first five opponents to 28 points or less this season. Toronto probably doesn't want QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson slinging it all over the field the way he has the last two games against the Roughriders. In fact, the Argos have attempted 37+ passes in three consecutive games. Here, I look for them to make a concerted effort to 'manage' the game, controlling the clock and ultimately grinding down a very beatable RedBlacks squad. Speaking of QB play, Ottawa has never really been able to settle on a quarterback this season and that's lead to a very disjointed offensive attack. The RedBlacks aren't likely to make a lot of headway against an Argos defense that has steadily rounded into form and arguably sits just behind the Blue Bombers as the best defensive squad in the CFL. Since giving up 44 points in a rout against B.C. back in its second game of the season, Toronto has held its last three opponents to 23, 24 and 21 points. The Argos have allowed 100 yards rushing only once in five games and have limited four of five opponents to fewer than 300 passing yards. Take the under (8*). |
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07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago -0.5 runs first five innings over Oakland at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. We have a starting pitching mismatch in this game as the White Sox send their ace Dylan Cease to the hill against Adam Oller of the A's. Oller has been having a miserable rookie campaign having posted a 7.51 FIP and 1.86 WHIP while giving up a whopping 8.91 runs per nine innings. The A's bullpen behind him has actually been solid, however, with a 2.88 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the last seven games so we're not interested in the bullpen matchup here and will elect to fade the A's in 'first five innings' only. Dylan Cease is having a career year, recording a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.66 FIP and 1.19 WHIP. He's limited the opposition to only 2.85 runs per nine innings. Look for the White Sox to get the jump on the A's early in this contest. Take Chicago -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Atlanta at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. This has been a relatively low-scoring series to this point and I expect more of the same on Sunday. Merrill Kelly gets the start for the D'Backs. He has quietly put together a solid 2022 campaign, recording a 3.21 FIP and 1.15 WHIP while allowing only 3.19 runs per nine innings. Behind Kelly is a suddenly hot D'Backs bullpen that owns a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over the last seven games. Braves ace Max Fried has put up Cy Young Award-caliber numbers this season, posting a 2.48 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while yielding only 2.8 runs per nine frames. The Braves bullpen has recorded a 1.12 WHIP over the last seven games and a 3.40 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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07-30-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Los Angeles at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating plenty of offense as the Rangers and Angels continue their series in Anaheim on Saturday. Glenn Otto gets the start for the visiting Rangers. He owns a 5.19 FIP and 1.46 WHIP this season, yielding 5.64 runs per nine innings. Command has been a major issue has he has handed out 4.7 walks per nine innings. Chase Silseth hasn't been much better for the Angels. He has recorded a 5.84 FIP and 1.46 WHIP, knocked around for a whopping 10.2 hits per nine innings. Opponents have reached Silseth for 5.84 runs per nine frames. Both bullpens are hittable. The Rangers relief corps has posted a colelctive 4.69 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over the last seven games while the Halos 'pen owns a 4.27 ERA and 1.30 WHIP at home. The two teams have combined to blow 15 saves away and home, respectively. Take the over (10*). |
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07-30-22 | Cubs v. Giants -130 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco first five innings over Chicago at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. We'll back the Giants in the first five innings only in this one as we look to avoid their bullpen, which continues to struggle. I do like the advantage San Francisco has in terms of the starting pitching matchup. The Giants have been terrific against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game (compared to their season scoring average of 4.6 runs per game). They'll face Drew Smyly on Saturday. He owns a 4.45 FIP and 1.27 WHIP this season, giving up just north of 4.4 runs per nine innings. Jakob Junis will take the ball for San Francisco. He has recorded a 3.89 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while holding the opposition to just under 3.0 runs per nine innings. The problem for the Giants is their bullpen as it has posted a collective 7.58 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over the last seven games. As I said, we'll look to avoid that relief corps by backing the Giants in the first five innings only. Take San Francisco first five innings (8*). |
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07-30-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. We missed with the Dodgers on the run-line last night as a two-out, two-run single from Randal Grichuk ultimately cost us the win. With that being said, I won't hesitate to come right back with the same play on Saturday. Los Angeles will send Clayton Kershaw to the hill after he struggled against the Giants last time out (the Dodgers still won that game 7-4). Note that he has posted a 2.61 FIP and 0.95 WHIP this season, yielding just 2.61 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Kyle Freeland. He checks in sporting a 4.32 FIP and 1.36 WHIP, allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Freeland gives up 2.6 more hits and 1.0 more walks per nine innings compared to Kershaw this season. The Dodgers should have the advantage in the later innings of this one as well as their bullpen owns a collective 2.95 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the road this season while the Rockies 'pen has posted a 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP at home. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary plus the points over Winnipeg at 7 pm et on Saturday. I expect the Blue Bombers undefeated start to the season to finally come to an end on Saturday in Calgary. This is a quick revenge spot for the Stampeders after they dropped a 26-19 decision in Winnipeg two weeks ago. Calgary couldn't have played much worse in that game - on either side of the football - but still lost by just a touchdown, on the road no less. I certainly anticipate a sharper performance here at home, especially given they've had an extra week to prepare. Since that last meeting, the Blue Bombers rolled to a two-touchdown victory in Edmonton (we won with the 'under' in that game) while the Stamps enjoyed their bye week. Note that Winnipeg WR Greg Ellingson is banged-up and remains questionable to play on Saturday. Here, we'll note that the Stamps are a long-term 111-89 ATS when coming off an ATS loss and I look for them to improve on that mark on Saturday. Take Calgary (10*). |
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07-30-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
A.L. Game of the Month. My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 2:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Yankees on the run-line last night as they exploded in the eighth inning in an eventual lopsided victory, and I won’t hesitate to come right back with the same play on Saturday afternoon. Jon Heasley will take the ball for the Royals. His rookie campaign has been a disaster in many regards. He has posted a 5.49 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while giving up a whopping 5.85 runs per nine innings. Heasley isn’t likely to get much help from a Royals bullpen that owns a 4.84 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night’s action). Nestor Cortes Jr. will counter for New York. The All-Star has recorded a 3.41 FIP and 1.00 WHIP while yielding only 2.57 runs per nine innings this season. Unlike the Royals, the Yankees have a tremendous bullpen that owns a 2.78 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with 17 saves converted and only five blown at home this season. Take New York -1.5 runs (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. We’ll confidently back the Dodgers on Friday as they hand the ball to Julio Urias against Chad Kuhl of the Rockies. Urias enters with a 3.91 FIP and 1.00 WHIP this season, giving up just north of 3.3 runs per nine innings. He checks in allowing 2.4 fewer hits and 1.6 fewer walks per nine innings compared to his counterpart on Friday, Kuhl. Kuhl sports a 4.59 FIP and 1.44 WHIP this season. He got off to a fine start to his first campaign with the Rockies but things have gone downhill since. Note that he is allowing just shy of 4.7 runs per nine innings and faces a tall task in the Dodgers loaded lineup here. The bullpens are a mismatch as well as the Dodgers ‘pen has been terrific on the road this season, posting a collective 2.91 ERA and 1.10 WHIP (entering last night’s action), converting nine saves while blowing only two. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-29-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Oakland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. I’m expecting plenty of offense between the A’s and White Sox on Friday as they open a three-game series in Chicago. James Kaprielian has been the weak link in the A’s rotation this season, posting a 5.62 FIP and 1.32 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.9 runs per nine innings. Behind Kaprielian is an A’s bullpen that I expect to suffer some regression on this road trip following an extended stretch at home. The A’s ‘pen has just 14 saves converted compared to nine blown on the road this season. Veteran Lance Lynn has had an up-and-down return from injury to the White Sox starting rotation. He did pitch well over six innings against the Guardians last time out but I question whether he can follow it up with another quality outing here. Note that Lynn has posted a 4.34 FIP and 1.41 WHIP this season, allowing an ugly average of 7.07 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has been a mess lately, most recently coughing up Wednesday’s game in the ninth inning in Colorado. The Sox relief corps has posted a collective 6.35 ERA and 1.76 WHIP over the last seven games and hasn’t been much better as a whole at home this season, logging a 5.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Arizona at 7:20 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Braves following a disappointing series in Philadelphia. It’s been a much different story for his counterpart on Friday, Kyle Wright of the Braves. He checks in with a 3.32 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while holding the opposition to only 3.18 runs per nine innings. While Arizona does bring solid bullpen form into this series-opener, much of the recent success that it has enjoyed has come at home. On the road, the D’Backs have recorded a collective 5.18 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Braves ‘pen owns a 3.40 ERA and 1.17 WHIP at home this season. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Guardians v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I’m anticipating a well-pitched game from both sides in St. Petersburg on Friday night as the Guardians send Shane Bieber to the mound against Jeffrey Springs of the Rays. Bieber got roughed up early against the White Sox in his most recent start. I’m confident he’ll bounce back here, noting that he has posted a 3.07 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, allowing just shy of 3.8 runs per nine innings. Bieber has had moderate success against the Rays in his career, posting a 3.09 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in four career starts against them. Springs is having a fine campaign as well, recording a 3.58 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while holding the opposition to only 2.63 runs per nine frames. He’ll have the advantage of facing the Guardians for the first time in his career on Friday. This matchup features two capable bullpens with Cleveland’s relief corps having posted a collective 2.45 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action) and the Rays ‘pen having recorded a 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Even though he’s pitched well lately, we’ll continue to go against Royals starter Kris Bubic as we continue to anticipate some regression from recent form. On the season, Bubic has recorded a 5.08 FIP and 1.65 WHIP while giving up a whopping 6.19 runs per nine innings. He faced the Yankees once previously back in April and that start didn’t go particularly well as he was tagged for three earned runs on four hits, including two home runs, over five innings in a 12-2 loss. Gerrit Cole will counter for the Yankees on Friday. The All-Star is having another fine season having posted a 3.24 FIP and 1.02 WHIP while giving up only 3.17 runs per nine innings. He should be pleased to see the Royals, noting that he owns a 2.04 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in six career starts against them. The Yankees bullpen went through a bit of a rough patch recently but has since turned it around, posting a collective 3.54 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over the last seven games. For the season, the Yanks ‘pen has recorded a 2.88 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at home, converting 17 saves and blowing only five. Meanwhile, the Royals relief corps has posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road, converting 12 saves and blowing nine. Take New York -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Phillies v. Pirates +110 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
N.L. Game of the Week. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. While we gave the Phillies the edge in terms of starting pitchers in the opener of this series last night, it’s a different story on Friday as Philadelphia sends Bailey Falter to the hill against Jose Quintana of the Pirates. Falter continues to struggle having posted an ugly 6.18 FIP and 1.46 WHIP this season, allowing 6.0 runs per nine innings. We’ve yet to see Falter work beyond the fifth inning in any of his seven career big league starts, which opens the door for a Phillies bullpen that has posted a collective 5.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over the last seven games. Jose Quintana has ‘turned back the clock’ for the Pirates this season, putting himself into the conversation as a potential trade option for a contending team. He enters this start sporting a 3.27 FIP and 1.28 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.0 runs per nine innings. The Pirates bullpen has been solid lately, recording a collective 2.53 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Miami at 6:40 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams have been involved in their share of low-scoring games lately and I expect more of the same on Friday as New York sends Chris Bassitt to the hill against Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara. Bassitt has been quietly rolling along lately, working at least six innings while allowing three earned runs or less in six consecutive outings. For the season, Bassitt has posted a 3.74 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while giving up 3.8 runs per nine innings. Alcantara is one of the leading contenders for the N.L. Cy Young Award as he has recorded a 2.78 FIP and 0.90 WHIP, yielding only 2.24 runs per nine innings. He didn’t have his best stuff in his most recent start but still hung in there, allowing only two earned runs while striking out 10 over six innings in Pittsburgh. Both bullpens have been solid lately with the Mets relief corps posting a 3.58 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven games and the Marlins ‘pen recording a 3.25 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Rangers v. Angels -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Texas at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. The Rangers have been a major disappointment this season and that narrative has held true this week as they just got swept (again) by the Mariners. I don't see them picking themselves up off the mat for Thursday's series-opener against Shohei Ohtani and the Angels. While Ohtani's bat hasn't been quite as explosive as it was last season, his arm has been just as effective as he checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.41 FIP and 1.00 WHIP while allowing just under 2.9 runs per nine innings. He didn't have his best stuff in his most recent start in Atlanta but actually kept his team in the game for five solid innings before imploding (we cashed with the Angels +0.5 first five innings in that game). I expect him to bounce back here at home on Thursday. Ohtani's counterpart on Thursday will be Spencer Howard of the Rangers. He's been the polar opposite of Ohtani, recording an 8.01 FIP and 1.78 WHIP while giving up just under 7.5 runs per nine frames. Behind Howard is a Rangers bullpen that has posted a collective 5.84 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday's action). Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 49 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. The Alouettes are coming off four straight 'over' results and have been downright awful defensively in each of their last three games. They do earn a bit of a reprieve here against a struggling Tiger-Cats offense that has been held to 13 points or less in three of six games this season. Last week, Hamilton actually turned in one of its best offensive performances of the season, at least statistically speaking, but could still muster only 12 points in a loss to the Lions. The good news for Hamilton is, its defense has been getting stronger with each passing game. The Ti-Cats two lowest point totals allowed this season have come in their last two contests (they gave up 23 points in a win over Ottawa and 17 in a loss against B.C.). I don't have a lot of faith in either of these offenses finishing many drives with 7's on the board, noting that last year's three meetings totalled just 37, 43 and 35 points. Take the under (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit +1.5 runs first five innings over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I can't help but feel the Blue Jays are overvalued here, especially when you consider we can grab an insurance run with the Tigers in the first five innings at such a reasonable price. Tyler Alexander will get his first start for the Tigers since April. He suffered an injury and then when he returned to the bigs he was relegated to bullpen duty, and pitched reasonably well in that role. Alexander has posted a 4.32 FIP and 1.29 WHIP this season. While those numbers aren't all that impressive, they're certainly better than those of his counterpart on Thursday, Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi returns from the I.L. on Thursday and prior to that, things weren't going well as he had recorded a 5.82 FIP and 1.57 WHIP while giving up 5.95 runs per nine innings. Note that the Tigers average 4.0 runs per game against left-handed starting pitching this season compared to their season scoring average of just 3.2 rpg. The bullpens are essentially a wash with the Blue Jays holding a slight advantage in terms of recent form. With that in mind, we'll grab the +1.5 cushion with the Tigers in the first five innings. Take Detroit +1.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Phillies -190 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia first five innings over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Phillies are fresh off securing a series win over the Braves and I look for them to get off to a positive start against the Pirates on Thursday as well. With no real bullpen advantage in the later innings of this one, I'll back Philadelphia in the first five innings only here. Phillies ace Zack Wheeler has lived up to his billing this season, and then some. He's posted a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.77 FIP and 1.04 WHIP while allowing just 3.12 runs per nine innings. Wheeler has worked at least into the seventh inning in three of his last four starts overall. The Pirates will counter with Zach Thompson. Based on his performance this season, he may not be long for a big league rotation. Thompson has recorded a 5.31 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while yielding north of 5.2 runs per nine innings. Things don't figure to get any easier against a Phillies lineup that seemed to regain its form against a tougher Braves pitching staff than it will face in this matchup. Take Philadelphia first five innings (8*). |
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07-27-22 | Rangers -115 v. Mariners | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Week. My selection is on Texas first five innings over Seattle at 3:40 pm et on Wednesday. I’m not interested in the bullpen battle in this game as I give the Mariners a considerable edge in that department based on recent form. With that being said, I will back the Rangers in the first five innings as starter Jon Gray has been quietly effective lately and by all accounts catches the Mariners bats at the right time. Gray has lowered his FIP to 3.29 and his WHIP to 1.12 and gives up just under 3.8 runs per nine innings this season. He hasn't allowed an earned run over his last two outings, covering a span of 13 innings. It’s a much different story for Marco Gonzales of the Mariners. He has recorded a 5.28 FIP and 1.39 WHIP while allowing 4.58 runs per nine innings. Note that the Rangers have scored considerably more against left-handed starting pitching compared to righties over the course of the season. Look for Texas to control proceedings through five innings at the very least. Take Texas first five innings (10*). |
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07-27-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Washington at 3:10 pm et on Wednesday. We’ll confidently back the Dodgers minus the extra run as they give Andrew Heaney his first start in a long time after dealing with a shoulder injury. Heaney draws a favorable opponent in his return to the rotation in the Nationals and also has the edge against Washington starter Patrick Corbin, who continues to struggle through the 2022 campaign. Heaney has been working his way back in the minor league ranks and most recently fared well at the AAA level, posting a 1.23 ERA and 0.55 WHIP in two starts covering 7 1/3 innings at Oklahoma City. He’s logged 15 1/3 innings at the big league level this season, recording a 2.15 FIP and 0.85 WHIP while giving up only 1.76 runs per nine innings (small sample size, I know). Corbin has been discussed as a trade deadline target but I’m not sure why any teams would be interested considering his 4.61 FIP and 1.70 WHIP this season. He has allowed a whopping 6.96 runs per nine innings. As I’ve noted on multiple previous occasions, the Nats bullpen has been awful on the road this season, entering last night’s action sporting a 5.77 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Look for the Dodgers to wear out the Nats pitching staff in this one. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Giants -160 v. Diamondbacks | 3-7 | Loss | -160 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco first five innings over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. Monday’s pitching change for Arizona pushed starter Tyler Gilbert back to Tuesday’s game and that sets us up well with a play on the visiting Giants here. We’ll only trust them in the first five innings though, as their bullpen continues to struggle, entering this series with a 6.20 ERA and 1.67 WHIP over the last seven games. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for San Francisco. He’s put up Cy Young Award-caliber numbers this season with a 2.25 FIP and 1.14 WHIP, yielding just north of 3.0 runs per nine innings. What you really have to like about Rodon is his ability to keep the ball in the park, giving up just 0.4 home runs per nine innings. While his first career start against the D’Backs didn’t go well earlier this month, I’m willing to give him a pass for that poor outing as his full body of work this season tells a much different story. Tyler Gilbert has had a miserable campaign, posting a 5.93 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while allowing 5.64 runs per nine innings. Note that he’s even struggled at the AAA level this season, recording a 7.57 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 44 innings of work. Gilbert hasn’t been able to keep the ball in the park, allowing 2.3 home runs per nine innings in the minors and 2.1 HR/9 in the majors this year. The Giants will be seeing him for the second time this season and I’m confident they can get to him early. Take San Francisco first five innings (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The totals have been steadily coming down over the D'Backs last few games from 9.5 on Sunday to 9.0 on Monday and now 8.5 on Tuesday. Obviously that has a lot to do with the starting pitchers slated to take the mound, but in this case, I believe the total will prove too low. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for the visiting Giants. There's not a lot negative I can say about Rodon but I'm confident the D'Backs can scratch out enough offense against him (and the rest of the Giants pitching staff) to help this total along. Note that Rodon will be starting on just four days' rest here. The last time he did he gave up eight hits and three walks but limited the damage allowing just one earned run over five innings against Milwaukee. The D'Backs did get to him for four earned runs over five innings in their lone previous matchup this season. No bullpen has struggled worse than the Giants' lately as they check in sporting an ugly 8.24 ERA and 1.98 WHIP over their last seven games so the opportunity should be there for the D'Backs to score late even if they're silenced by Rodon early. I'm down on D'Backs starter Tyler Gilbert as he has posted a 5.93 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while allowing 5.64 runs per nine innings this season. San Francisco will get its second look at Gilbert this season after failing to deliver the knockout blow but having little trouble chasing him from the game after 3 2/3 innings earlier this month (Gilbert allowed four hits, one walk and one earned run while striking out only two in that outing. The D'Backs bullpen has posted excellent numbers lately but I will point out that they've had little pressure on them playing with big leads in the majority of those games. When pressed in a tight contest against the Nationals on Sunday they ultimately coughed up the game. Take the over (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Atlanta and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is one of the best starting pitching matchups on Tuesday’s board as the Braves hand the ball to standout rookie Spencer Strider against Aaron Nola of the Phillies. We’ll use the ‘first five innings’ to play the ‘under’ in this one. Strider has burst onto the scene with a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.05 FIP and 1.05 WHIP, holding opponents to just under 3.3 runs per nine innings. Here, he’ll have the advantage of facing the Phillies for the first time in his career. Nola is often found in Zack Wheeler’s shadow in the Phillies rotation but he’s been every bit as good as the Philadelphia ace this season. Nola owns a 2.82 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding just 3.2 runs per nine innings. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid a struggling Phillies bullpen that has recorded a collective 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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07-26-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
A.L. East Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings over Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I’ll back the Rays in the first five innings in Baltimore on Tuesday as they hand the ball to their ace and American League All-Star Game starter Shane McClanahan. The left-hander didn’t exactly have a banner performance in his lone inning of work in the All-Star Game but that doesn’t change the fact that he’s having a fantastic season, having posted a 2.42 FIP and 0.80 WHIP while giving up only 2.11 runs per nine innings. He should be happy to be facing the Orioles here, noting that he owns a 2.31 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in five career outings against them. Orioles starter Spenser Watkins hasn’t been nearly as successful against the Rays. In five career starts against them he owns an ugly 7.71 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Watkins has struggled as a whole this season, posting a 4.50 FIP and 1.37 WHIP, yielding just north of 4.6 runs per nine innings. This will be Tampa Bay’s sixth time seeing the right-hander since the start of last season and it’s worth noting that the Rays have been better against righties than lefties this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game against RH starting pitching compared to their 4.2 rpg overall. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid the bullpen matchup as the O’s have one of the best relief corps’ in baseball and bring terrific form into this series having recorded a 2.08 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s contest). The Rays on the other hand have blown exactly as many saves as they’ve converted on the road this season (nine). Take Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-26-22 | Marlins -107 v. Reds | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. With the Marlins bullpen holding an edge in this matchup and Pablo Lopez enjoying a much better campaign than Reds rookie Hunter Greene, I’ll back the visiting Fish on Tuesday in Cincinnati. Lopez owns a 3.75 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while yielding just shy of 3.4 runs per nine innings this season. His success certainly hasn’t come out of nowhere as Lopez has posted a career 3.79 FIP and 1.17 WHIP across five big league seasons. Greene may have a bright future for the Reds but right now big league hitters seem to have him figured out. After showing flashes of brilliance early in the season, he’s seen his FIP rise to 5.43 and his WHIP to 1.35 while giving up just under 5.9 runs per nine innings. Entering this series, the Reds bullpen had recorded a collective 5.34 ERA and 1.47 WHIP while converting just five saves and blowing six at home this season. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-25-22 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 5-7 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Monday. The Astros had no trouble sweeping aside the previously red hot Mariners in Seattle over the weekend and I look for them to keep it rolling as they head to Oakland to face the lowly A’s on Monday. Jake Odorizzi will get the start for Houston. He’s been quietly effective this season, posting a 3.44 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while giving up 4.31 runs per nine innings. That last number is somewhat concerning but negated by the fact he’ll be facing the light-hitting A’s on Monday. Oakland did find some success at the dish against the Rangers over the weekend but I do think it will find the going a little tougher against one of the best pitching staffs in baseball in the Astros. Adam Oller will get another spot start for the A’s on Monday. To say that he’s off to an awful start to his big league career would be an understatement. Oller has recorded a 7.92 FIP and 1.98 WHIP while yielding a whopping 9.22 runs per nine innings in 27 1/3 innings of work this season. He’s allowing 11.5 hits, 2.6 home runs and a ridiculous 6.3 walks per nine innings. While I do realize we’re talking about a small sample size, those are still alarming numbers. The A’s bullpen will likely be put to work early in this one and while it has held up well recently, it still entered yesterday’s action sporting a 4.83 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with only eight saves converted and six blown at home this season. In contrast, the Astros ‘pen converted its 17th road save yesterday (it has blown just six). Houston entered yesterday’s contest with a 3.65 ERA and 1.36 WHIP away from home. Take Houston -1.5 runs (9*). |
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07-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
N.L. Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. |
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07-25-22 | Pirates v. Cubs -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Pittsburgh at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Cubs are quietly rolling right now, winners of four straight games including a three-game sweep of the Phillies in Philadelphia over the weekend. Everything is clicking right now and I like their chances of keeping the good vibes going at home against the Pirates on Monday. Pittsburgh is coming off a tough 6-5 extra innings loss against the Marlins yesterday (we won with Miami in that game). Credit the Buccos for hanging tough against one of the best starting pitchers in baseball in Sandy Alcantara in that one but they simply weren't able to outlast the Marlins offense. JT Brubaker will get the start for the Pirates on Monday. He's been good but certainly not great for Pittsburgh this season, posting a 3.75 FIP and 1.42 WHIP while yielding 4.88 runs per nine innings. He puts far too many runners on base, noting that he's handed out 3.8 walks per nine innings. You would have to go back six road starts to find the last time the Pirates won with Brubaker on the hill. He's never helped the Buccos to wins in consecutive starts against the Cubs (he's faced them seven times) and that's worth noting as the Pirates won his most recent outing against Chicago by a 12-1 score back in June. The Cubs will be seeing Brubaker for the fourth time this season and the sixth time since the start of last year. Of bigger concern for the Pirates is their struggling bullpen. It couldn't keep the Marlins bats at bay late in yesterday's game and checks into Monday's contest having recorded a 4.94 ERA and 1.82 WHIP over the last seven games. That's in stark contrast to the Cubs bullpen, which owns a 1.42 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over the same stretch. Adrian Sampson gets the call to start for the Cubs on Monday. He's done everything that's been asked of him with the big club this year, recording a 3.65 FIP and 1.21 WHIP while allowing just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings. The Cubs have won three of his five starts despite a tough slate of opponents including the Cardinals and Brewers on the road and the Red Sox, Orioles and Mets at home. Take Chicago (8*). |
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07-25-22 | Rays -120 v. Orioles | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay first five innings over Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While I do like the Rays to bounce back from consecutive losses against the Royals as they head to Baltimore to open a series against the Orioles on Monday, I think the ‘first five innings’ is the way to play this one as I’ll concede a significant edge to the Baltimore bullpen in the later innings. Tampa Bay will start veteran right-hander Corey Kluber. He’s quietly putting together a fine campaign having recorded a 3.43 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while allowing just over 3.9 runs per nine innings this season. It’s been a much different story for his counterpart on Monday, Austin Voth. The Orioles right-hander remains in the rotation out of necessity only at this point. He’s posted a respectable 3.94 FIP but a 1.63 WHIP and gives up 3.3 more hits, 0.3 more home runs and 1.4 more walks per nine innings compared to Kluber this season. Opponents have reached Voth for an ugly 7.02 runs per nine innings. Take Tampa Bay first five innings (8*). |
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07-25-22 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Monday. This game has all the makings of a slugfest, even though it features two teams that aren’t exactly offensive juggernauts in the Marlins and Reds. Trevor Rogers will get the start for Miami. To say that he’s labored through his 18 starts this season would be an understatement. He has posted a 4.53 FIP and 1.55 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.9 runs per nine innings. He’ll be facing a Reds club that has fared much better offensively at home this season, entering yesterday’s action averaging 5.1 runs per game (compared to their 4.3 rpg overall). The Marlins bullpen coughed up a two-run ninth inning lead and almost let a 6-4 extra innings lead slip away yesterday in Pittsburgh. Miami’s ‘pen entered that contest having already blown 10 saves away from home this season, where it had recorded a collective 4.38 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Rookie Nick Lodolo will take the ball for Cincinnati. He remains in the Reds rotation out of necessity only. Note that he has posted a 4.86 FIP and 1.79 WHIP while allowing just north of 5.8 runs per nine innings in six starts this season. Behind Lodolo is a Reds bullpen that has posted a collective 5.43 ERA and 1.48 WHIP with only four saves converted and six blown at home this season (entering yesterday’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Mets | 5-8 | Loss | -190 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego +0.5 runs first five innings over New York at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the Mets in last night's disappointing 2-1 loss - the Padres second consecutive victory to open this series. Here, I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Padres with a half-run of insurance in the first five innings (or straight-up on the first five innings moneyline if that's the only line available at your book), as I can certainly make the case for the wrong team being favored - in the first five frames at least. While it's not a complete mismatch, there's no question Joe Musgrove of the Padres holds the edge in tonight's starting pitching matchup against Carlos Carrasco of the Mets. Musgrove has seen his FIP climb just north of 3.00 to 3.09 but he still owns a terrific 0.97 WHIP and yields just under 2.8 runs per nine innings. In comparison to Carrasco, Musgrove gives up 2.8 fewer hits, 0.2 fewer home runs and 0.4 fewer walks per nine innings. Carrasco checks in with a 3.51 FIP and 1.33 WHIP, giving up just shy of 4.3 runs per nine innings this season. The Padres have been slightly better in terms of offensive production against right-handed starting pitching and entered last night's action averaging 5.0 runs per game on the road this season (compared to 4.3 rpg overall). I don't want any part of the bullpen matchup in this one as the Padres relief corps entered last night's action sporting a collective 4.64 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over the last seven games while the Mets 'pen posted a 1.99 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over the same stretch. Take San Diego +0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Arizona at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. Our play on the first five innings 'over' in this matchup last night didn't go our way but I won't hesitate to come back with a similar play on Sunday - this time backing the 'over' for the full game as Washington sends Erick Fedde to the hill against Corbin Martin of the D'Backs. Fedde is in the midst of another trying campaign having posted a 4.98 FIP and 1.50 WHIP while allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Perhaps Nationals starters are trying to be a little too perfect on the road, noting that their bullpen entered last night's action sporting an ugly 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP away from home this season. The D'Backs have certainly feasted in Washington pitching in this series, plating 17 runs in two games. Corbin Martin will get another spot start for Arizona. In 14 1/3 innings of work this season, Martin has recorded a 2.42 FIP and 1.47 WHIP but has yielded a whopping 5.65 runs per nine innings. That low FIP has everything to do with the fact that he hasn't allowed a home run at the big league level this season. However, a quick look at his minor league stats shows he posted an ERA north of 5.00 and a 1.33 WHIP while allowing 1.4 home runs per nine innings at the AAA level this season. I'm confident the Nats' slumbering bats will wake up against Martin on Sunday. The D'Backs bullpen has managed to convert only seven saves while blowing six at home this season where it has recorded a pedestrian 3.65 ERA and 1.29 WHIP (entering last night's action). Take the over (10*). |
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07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a pair of well-pitched, low-scoring games between these two N.L. West rivals over the last two nights. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday, however. Alex Cobb will get the start for the visiting Giants. His number are a bit perplexing as he has posted a solid 3.00 FIP to go along with a 1.29 WHIP yet has allowed an ugly 5.37 runs per nine innings. That has a lot to do with the fact that he's kept the ball in the park, yielding just 0.6 runs per nine innings. The Dodgers red hot bats will obviously pose a challenge on Sunday, noting that they entered last night's contest averaging 6.7 runs over their last seven games. Interestingly, Cobb has never faced the Dodgers before in his career. All-Star Game starter Clayton Kershaw will take the ball for Los Angeles. His overall numbers this season are terrific as he owns a 2.48 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while allowing just shy of 2.3 runs per nine innings. If there's an opponent that could put a dent in his armor, it's the Giants. They entered last night's game averaging 5.4 runs per contest against left-handed starting pitching this season (compared to their season average of 4.8 rpg). They saw Kershaw in the second week of June, cashing him after four innings, scoring two runs on three hits and two walks. You would have to go back five Kershaw starts against San Francisco here at Dodger Stadium to find the last time a game totalled less than nine runs. The Giants bullpen hasn't fared any better post-All-Star break than it did before, entering last night's action sporting a 4.33 ERA and 1.56 WHIP over the last seven contests. Meanwhile, the Dodgers 'pen has been terrific this season but has been anything but perfect lately, recording a collective 4.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the last seven games (also entering last night's action). Take the over (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Houston at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. The Mariners went into the All-Star break as the hottest team in baseball and then their young star Julio Rodriguez put on a show in the Home Run Derby. All was well in Seattle, that is until the Astros rolled into town on Friday. Houston has taken the first two games in this series but I do look for Seattle to give it everything it can handle in Sunday's finale. Framber Valdez will take the ball for the visiting Astros. There's really not a lot negative I can point out when it comes to the All-Star pitcher. It is worth noting that he allows 0.5 more walks and 2.4 fewer strikeouts per nine innings this season compared to his counterpart on Sunday, Mariners left-hander Robbie Ray. You would have to go back three starts to find the last time the Astros won a game by 2+ runs with Valdez on the mound. Robbie Ray checks in with a 3.91 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.6 runs per nine innings this season. His 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings is a big reason for that FIP sitting near 4.00. Note that you would have to go back seven starts to find the last time the Mariners lost a game started by Ray. They're 8-2 in his 10 home starts when factoring in the +1.5 run-line this season. You have to go back four starts, all the way to 2016, to find the last time Ray didn't guide his team to victory when starting against the Astros. The later innings could belong to the Mariners in this one, noting that Seattle's bullpen entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 1.97 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last seven games and a 3.04 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home this season. The Astros 'pen has been outstanding in its own right, but did enter yesterday's game with an elevated 3.65 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (7*). |
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07-24-22 | Rays -140 v. Royals | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Kansas City at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The Royals evened this series at a game apiece with last night's bounce-back victory. I look for the Rays to answer back on Sunday. Jeffrey Springs will take the ball for Tampa Bay. The Rays may have found something in the left-hander as he's held up exceptionally well over 60+ innings this season, posting a 3.66 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while allowing just 2.53 runs per nine innings. Springs can pitch confidently here knowing that the bullpen behind him has recorded a collective 3.00 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with five saves converted and only one blown over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Kris Bubic will counter for Kansas City. He pitched about as well as could have been expected in his most recent start but the Royals still lost that game in Toronto. Bubic has recorded a 5.07 FIP and 1.73 WHIP this season, yielding an ugly 6.60 runs per nine innings. The Royals bullpen entered last night's game with a 4.76 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home this season. Take Tampa Bay (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. This has been a reasonably high-scoring series to this point but I'm anticipating a well-pitched finale on Sunday afternoon. Shane Bieber will get the start for the visiting Guardians. He checks in sporting a 2.74 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing just shy of 3.5 runs per nine innings this season. After a bit of a rocky stretch, Bieber faced these same White Sox just before the All-Star break and tossed a complete game, allowing just one run. He owns a 3.14 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road this season. Dylan Cease will counter for Chicago. He's been the most consistent starter in the White Sox rotation, entering this outing with a 2.68 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while yielding just a shade above 3.0 runs per nine innings on the campaign. As I noted in yesterday's analysis, both bullpens entered Saturday's action in tremendous form. Unfortunately the two relief corps suffered some regression in yesterday's double-header but I do think they can rebound should they be called upon here. Take the under (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Marlins -168 v. Pirates | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Pittsburgh at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. The fact that we're able to back Sandy Alcantara and the Marlins at a price better than -200 on Sunday afternoon in Pittsburgh tells me that the ace right-hander is still being undervalued. Alcantara has put together an impressive Cy Young Award-caliber campaign this season but he's done it out of the spotlight in Miami. He checks in with a 2.72 FIP and 0.90 WHIP while allowing just north of 2.2 runs per nine innings. Pirates starter Mitch Keller has done about as well as the team could have expected but that's not saying much. He owns a 3.87 FIP and 1.46 WHIP while yielding 4.75 runs per nine innings. Keller isn't likely to get a lot of help from a bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a 5.66 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over the last seven games and has converted just nine saves while blowing seven at home this season. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. The Angels offense has been lifeless lately with last night's loss extending its streak of scoring two runs or less to five games. They will face arguably the weakest link in the Braves starting rotation on Sunday though and I believe they can do their part to help this one 'over' the total. The Braves will get the opportunity to tee off on another left-hander, noting that they entered last night's action having gone 23-9 while averaging 5.7 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Reid Detmers will take the ball for the Angels on Saturday. He hasn't come close to regaining the form that saw him post a no-hitter earlier in the season. Overall, he owns a 4.82 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while yielding 4.11 runs per nine innings. Atlanta will start Ian Anderson. He's labored through the campaign, recording a 4.31 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while giving up a disappointing 4.89 runs per nine innings. After getting handcuffed by Charlie Morton and Kyle Wright over the last two nights, I think the Angels will be happy to see Anderson on the mound on Sunday. He owns a 5.31 ERA and 1.67 WHIP at home this season. Neither bullpen brings overwhelming form to the table on Sunday. The Angels have just eight converted saves while blowing six on the road this season while it may surprise you to find out that Atlanta has blown 10 saves (while converting 17) at home. Take the over (10*). |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Texas and Oakland at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. Break up the A’s! They’ve scored 10 runs over their last two games - both victories - and will look to keep the good vibes at the dish going on Saturday. I like their chances of doing so, at least early on, but I’m also confident the Rangers bats will come alive and do their part to help this one ‘over’ the first five innings total. Taylor Hearn will get the start for the Rangers. He checks in with a 4.57 FIP and 1.67 WHIP, allowing north of 10 hits and four walks per nine innings. Opponents have reached the left-hander for just shy of 6.2 runs per nine innings. James Kaprielian will counter for the A’s. After turning in a fine rookie campaign last year, he’s struggled in his sophomore big league season. Kaprielian has posted a 5.78 FIP and 1.36 WHIP and like Hearn, has struggled with his command, issuing north of four walks per nine innings. He’s also giving up just under 2.0 home runs and 5.22 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens entered this series sporting opposite recent results with the Rangers relief corps struggling and the A’s’ thriving. However, the Rangers ‘pen actually went into last night’s game with a collective 3.04 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road this season while the A’s ‘pen had posted a 4.84 ERA and WHIP at home. I don’t think we have enough of an edge either way to support a full game ‘over’ play, so we’ll go with the first five innings only here. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Washington and Arizona at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. These two teams boast bullpens that entered this series in excellent recent form so rather than play the full game ‘over’ the total, we’ll go with the first five innings only as the hitters draw a favorable starting pitching matchup. Journeyman starter Anibal Sanchez will get his second start for Washington. He labored through his first outing, allowing four earned runs on four hits, including two home runs. When we previously saw Sanchez he posted a 5.46 FIP and 1.66 WHIP while allowing just shy of 6.8 runs per nine innings in 53 innings of work for the Nats during the Covid-shortened 2020 campaign. His counterpart on Saturday will be Madison Bumgarner. The veteran left-hander isn’t exactly enjoying a banner campaign having recorded a 4.59 FIP and 1.40 WHIP. That’s about as much as the D’Backs probably expected from him as he nears the end of his storied big league career. Bumgarner checks in allowing just shy of 4.6 runs per nine innings this season. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Cleveland and Chicago at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. This play sets up similarly to last night’s play on the first five innings ‘over’ between these two teams as we have another favorable starting pitching matchup but will look to avoid the two bullpens, which have been performing exceptionally well lately, as I outlined in last night’s analysis. Konnor Pilkington will get another turn in the rotation for the Guardians. He has struggled in his rookie campaign, posting a 4.28 FIP and 1.64 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.4 runs per nine innings. The White Sox have once again been terrific against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (they average 4.4 rpg overall this season). Veteran Lance Lynn hasn’t come close to regaining the form that saw him contend for the A.L. Cy Young Award last season. He checks in with a 4.78 FIP and 1.50 WHIP in 36 innings of work, yielding a whopping 8.25 runs per nine innings. The last time the Guardians saw Lynn they torched him for eight earned runs on nine hits in just four innings back on July 11th. That was after seeing him four times last season, plating 14 runs in 22 innings. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-13-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
08-13-22 | Phillies v. Mets -184 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
08-13-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. White Sox | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
08-12-22 | Pirates v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
08-12-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
08-12-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Royals | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
08-12-22 | Phillies v. Mets -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
08-12-22 | Padres -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
08-11-22 | Montreal v. Winnipeg UNDER 48.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
08-11-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -174 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
08-11-22 | White Sox -170 v. Royals | 3-5 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
08-11-22 | Guardians v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
08-10-22 | Cardinals -145 v. Rockies | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
08-10-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
08-10-22 | White Sox -130 v. Royals | 3-8 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
08-10-22 | Braves -138 v. Red Sox | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
08-10-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Phillies | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
08-10-22 | Nationals v. Cubs -165 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
08-09-22 | Angels -175 v. A's | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
08-09-22 | Cardinals -160 v. Rockies | 5-16 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
08-09-22 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
08-09-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
08-09-22 | Blue Jays -150 v. Orioles | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
08-08-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
08-08-22 | Nationals v. Cubs -175 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
08-08-22 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
08-07-22 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
08-07-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
08-07-22 | White Sox v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -165 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
08-06-22 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
08-06-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Giants -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Tigers | 1-9 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Yankees -142 v. Cardinals | 3-4 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | White Sox -173 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Braves v. Mets -135 | 9-6 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
08-04-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 102 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +6 | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
08-04-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Guardians | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
08-04-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
08-04-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Reds v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 117 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
08-03-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Orioles v. Rangers -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
08-02-22 | Reds v. Marlins -128 | 2-1 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 5-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
08-01-22 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 47.5 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
07-30-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-30-22 | Cubs v. Giants -130 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
07-30-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
07-30-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Guardians v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Phillies v. Pirates +110 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Rangers v. Angels -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 49 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Phillies -190 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
07-27-22 | Rangers -115 v. Mariners | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
07-27-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Giants -160 v. Diamondbacks | 3-7 | Loss | -160 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
07-26-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
07-26-22 | Marlins -107 v. Reds | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 5-7 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
07-25-22 | Pirates v. Cubs -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Rays -120 v. Orioles | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Mets | 5-8 | Loss | -190 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Rays -140 v. Royals | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Marlins -168 v. Pirates | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show |