Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-28-21 | Nationals v. Mets -206 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Washington at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. While the Mets are essentially out of the playoff race thanks to their current slump, I think we'll see them show some pride with Marcus Stroman on the hill on Saturday as they snap their four-game skid here at home against the lowly Nationals. Stroman was on the hill for the Mets last win, that coming against one of the best teams in baseball, the Dodgers, in Los Angeles last Sunday. Despite his team's struggles, Stroman continues to pitch well and I expect more of the same on Saturday. He owns a terrific 2.95 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over his last three outings with New York winning two of those games, including a 4-1 victory over Washington. Sean Nolin meanwhile has made two starts for the Nats and neither was good as he was tagged for seven earned runs on 14 hits in just seven innings of work. Expect the Mets bats to wake up and get to him early and often in this one. Take New York (5*). |
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08-28-21 | Cubs v. White Sox -1.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the White Sox -1.5 runs over the Cubs at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. The White Sox bats are on fire once again and I don't see Alec Mills and his 6.00 ERA and 1.67 WHIP over his last three starts slowing them down on Saturday night. Meanwhile, Sox starter Lance Lynn took a hard-luck no decision in Toronto earlier this week but Chicago remains 7-2 in his last nine outings, including an 8-6 victory over these same Cubs at Wrigley Field. Lynn owns a sparkling 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 14 home starts this season. With Lynn likely to work deep into the ball game and the White Sox bats in excellent form (27 runs last two games) to support him, look for a lopsided victory for the home side here. Take the White Sox -1.5 runs (6*). |
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08-28-21 | Brewers -144 v. Twins | 4-6 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Minnesota at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. The Brewers bats have been silent over the last two games, leading to rare consecutive losses for the previously red hot club. I look for them to bounce back on Saturday, however, as they hand the ball to Adrian Houser and his 8-2 team record in 10 previous road starts. Houser has done everything the Brewers have asked of him, posting a solid 3.59 ERA and 1.33 WHIP this season, guiding his team to 14 wins in 20 starts. You would have to go back five starts to May 21st to find the last time Milwaukee lost a Houser road outing. Meanwhile, Twins starter Charlie Barnes continues to struggle. He has posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in just shy of 19 innings this season with those numbers rising to 8.36 and 1.79 over his last three outings. Telling is the fact that he has topped out at three strikeouts while posting fewer than that in three of his four big league starts. Behind Barnes is a Twins bullpen that has generally been awful this season and entered last night's game with a collective 7.29 ERA and 1.71 WHIP over the last seven games. Take Milwaukee (5*). |
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08-28-21 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia -1.5 runs over Arizona at 6:05 pm et on Saturday. The D'Backs have put up plenty of offense in the first two games in this series but only managed a 1-1 split. I look for them to run out of gas on Saturday as they fall short of the desperate Phillies in the third game in this series. Philadelphia did well to bail itself out of a mess in the 11th inning last night, ultimately securing a 7-6 walk-off win. That should give it some much-needed confidence ahead of another very winnable game against the lowly Snakes on Saturday. Kyle Gibson has been terrific since joining the Phils and he'll be asked to step up with another solid performance here. He owns a 2.25 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over his last three outings. Meanwhile, Humberto Mejia is only being used as a stop-gap for a poor D'Backs rotation. He pitched reasonably well against the Pirates in his last start but has generally struggled in four career big league outings, allowing eight earned runs on 19 hits in only 15 innings of work. Behind him is an awful Arizona bullpen that showed its ugly side again last night. Take Philadelphia -1.5 runs (5*). |
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08-28-21 | Royals v. Mariners -148 | 4-2 | Loss | -148 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over Kansas City at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Mariners have dropped the first two games in this series in excruciating fashion but I look for them to bounce back on Saturday afternoon as they look to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Rookie Daniel Lynch will get the start for Kansas City. He has had some positive starts but all told has posted a 4.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, not to mention a 44.5% hard-hit ball percentage and .282 opponents batting average. Tyler Anderson has pitched well for the Mariners since coming over prior to the trade deadline. In his lone start here at T-Mobile Park he allowed just one earned run over 5 1/3 innings in a 2-1 victory over the Rangers. Look for him to step up here as the Mariners earn a much-needed victory. Take Seattle (5*). |
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08-28-21 | Hawaii v. UCLA UNDER 70.5 | Top | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 218 h 21 m | Show |
CFB on ESPN TV Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Hawaii and UCLA at 3:30 pm et on Saturday August 28th. This is being pegged as a shootout. That's not surprising considering Hawaii is known for its high-flying offensive ways (even if that hasn't necessarily held true in recent years) and UCLA has plenty of returning talent under the guidance of offensive guru Chip Kelly. I believe the total will prove to be too high, however, as the two teams could surprise defensively. Hawaii returns last year's defense virtually intact. Expect defensive-minded head coach Todd Graham to treat this as an excellent 'measuring stick game' right out of the gates against a quality UCLA offense. The Rainbow Warriors boast speed all over the defensive backfield and should be able to do a good job of limiting big plays down the field in this one. They're also well-positioned to minimize UCLA's effectiveness on the ground with a substantial defensive line led by NT Blessman Ta'ala. LB Darius Muasau is by no means a household name but he's a stud linebacker that led the team in tackles a year ago, including 4.5 sacks and 9.5 tackles for loss. Offensively, I expect Hawaii QB Chevan Cordeiro to do enough running to help keep drives alive, moving the chains and ultimately shortening this game by keeping the clock moving. Cordeiro isn't going to wow anyone with his arm and I don't expect him to be put in too many high-risk situations against an opportunistic UCLA defense here. Instead, look for him to take what the Bruins give him and rely on steady RB Calvin Turner to pound away on early downs. The Bruins have to replace their leading rusher from a year ago but outside of that, their offense is loaded. I simply question whether we'll see them hit the ground running right out of the gates in this non-conference Week 0 affair. QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been dealing with an undisclosed injury but is expected to be good to go for the season-opener. The ceiling is sky-high for this offense but as I mentioned, Hawaii has a capable defense that could make life at least a little bit difficult here. Defensively, UCLA loses Osa Odighizuwa to the NFL but returns the bulk of the defense that finished last season sixth in the Pac-12 in total defense and second in scoring defense. This is a season-opening matchup it can handle but I do think the Bruins could end up on the field a little more than they would like should the Warriors pound away as I would expect them to. That only serves to help our cause with the potential for long, clock-churning drives. Take the under (10*). |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton v. Montreal OVER 46.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Hamilton and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday. The CFL is off to a low-scoring start this season but now that we're into Week 4, I think we'll begin to see the offenses start to round into form. If this game were played a little later in the season I'm certain we'd be dealing with a total in the 50's. The Ti-Cats are expected to give Dane Evans the start at quarterback with Jeremiah Masoli sidelined. Remember, Evans took over the starting job for Masoli back in 2019 and actually started for them in the Grey Cup title game. He didn't look particularly sharp in relief of Masoli against the Riders two weeks ago but has had a couple of weeks of practice since then thanks to the bye week and I expect him to take advantage of the Als weakness, which happens to be their secondary. Hamilton has been banging its head against the wall trying to run the football so far this season so I think we'll see them take to the air more often in this one. On the flip side, the Als boast one of the most aggressive offenses in the CFL. We can expect to see QB Vernon Adams Jr. bomb away in this one and he should have ample time to operate in the pocket with the Ti-Cats undermanned on the defensive line. Take the over (10*). |
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08-27-21 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -225 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Arizona at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Phillies are reeling right now but as much as they've struggled to find wins lately, they're still in the N.L. playoff race. Thanks to playing in a weak N.L. East, they're looking up at just one team and that's the Atlanta Braves. They currently sit five games back of the division lead but with the Braves getting ready for a tough series against the red hot Giants this weekend, the opportunity is there to gain some ground. But they need to start winning. I think it happens on Friday night. Taylor Widener will take the ball for the D'Backs. We won with the 'over' in his most recent start. Note that the Phillies will be seeing him for the second time in as many weeks. They fell short by a 3-2 score the last time they faced him on August 27th. That was in Arizona. Note that the D'Backs are a miserable 17-49 on the road this season, outscored by an average margin of nearly two runs. Widener has struggled at night for whatever reason, posting a 5.21 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in eight starts. The D'Backs have won just three of those eight contests. Despite Arizona finding a bit of success lately, its bullpen remains unreliable. Snakes relievers entered last night's game sporting a 7.23 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over their last seven contests and proceeded to almost cough up an 8-2 ninth inning lead last night as well (they held on for an 8-7 victory). Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He has been terrific at home this season, posting a 3.32 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. While his ERA north of five in 15 nighttime starts leaves a lot to be desired, his WHIP sits at a respectable 1.22. Note that Nola should bring some confidence into this start after coming just one out short of a complete game against the Padres in his last outing, striking out 11 while issuing just two walks and giving up two earned runs on two hits. Nola has the benefit of having not faced the D'Backs since 2017 so a lot of their hitters have never seen him pitch. The Phillies bullpen has been uneven all season but has managed to convert 15 saves while blowing only nine here at home. Their numbers are of course far superior to those of the D'Backs. Take Philadelphia (6*). |
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08-27-21 | Colts v. Lions OVER 31.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 30 m | Show |
NFLX Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Indianapolis and Detroit a 7 pm et on Friday. With the Colts being known for their stout defense and the Lions pegged as potentially the worst team in football this season, not to mention coming off consecutive losses to open the preseason, it's not all that surprising that we're dealing with a low total in this 'meaningless' preseason tilt. I think there's reason to expect some offensive fireworks, however. Indianapolis is preparing to face a brutal early season schedule. The Colts won't be able to catch their breath until mid-October when they get a home layup against the Texans. With that in mind, they need to stay healthy, particularly on the defensive side of the football, coming out of this final preseason tilt. For that reason I wouldn't expect to see much of their defensive starters. That opens the door for the Lions to perhaps go into the season with a good feeling as they try to notch their first victory of the preseason. There is some continuity on the Lions side with David Blough and Tim Boyle having taken all of the snaps here in August game action. That should continue to be the case on Friday and I don't think it's necessarily a bad thing. Keep in mind, we did see a spark from the Detroit offense against the Steelers backups last week as they put up 20 points in the fourth quarter. The Colts have thrown the football around more than you might expect in the preseason as Jacob Eason and Sam Ehlinger continue to battle it out for the Week 1 starting job (and eventual backup to Carson Wentz, who has returned to practice). After attempting 37 passes in Week 1 of the preseason, Eason and Ehlinger combined to attempt 40 passes in Week 2. Head coach Frank Reich will want to see better execution from the offense here this week after they were held to just 12 points and zero touchdowns in last week's narrow 12-10 win over the Vikings. Indy did move the football in that contest, with the two quarterbacks combining to throw for over 200 yards. Take the over (10*). |
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08-26-21 | Dodgers v. Padres +122 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Year. My selection is on San Diego over Los Angeles at 9:10 pm et on Thursday. No one wants any part of the Padres in this spot but we do. Last night's game was pressure-packed. The 16-inning thriller left the Padres with yet another loss. Now I think that pressure is off. With their Wild Card lead having disappeared, no one is expecting San Diego to recover. However, the opportunity is still there and I expect it to salvage the finale of this series with the Dodgers on Thursday. It's rare that we can back Yu Darvish in an underdog role but that's the case here. He's back on the mound following a stint on the I.L. as he was dealing with back issues. That was clearly evident in his most recent start as he struggled against the lowly D'Backs. I don't believe Darvish would be back unless he felt he was ready and expect him to step in and perform well against the Dodgers, just as he has in three previous starts against them this season (3 ER allowed in 20 IP). The Padres could certainly use this game as a potential turning point, noting that Darvish has posted an 11-3 team record in 14 home starts this season Meanwhile, Los Angeles starter Max Scherzer has been lit up by the Padres twice already this season, allowing 11 ER in 10 2/3 IP. His teams are just 6-6 all-time in his 12 career outings against San Diego including a 2-2 mark in his four starts against the Pads' since 2019. Scherzer has yet to lose in four starts since joining the Dodgers but I think it comes here. Note that San Diego is still 44-28 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 0.5 runs per contest. L.A. has won 15 of its last 17 games - its best stretch of the season. I'll go the contrarian route here. Take San Diego (10*). |
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08-26-21 | Aces -10.5 v. Dream | Top | 78-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
WNBA Game of the Year. My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Atlanta at 7 pm et on Thursday. Atlanta gave Chicago all it could handle two nights ago but again fell short by six points to remain winless since returning from the Olympic break. Now with a host of key injuries and absences it will be hard-pressed to bounce back as it welcomes what is sure to be a fired up Aces squad coming off a tough loss in Connecticut. Las Vegas has already handled the Dream with ease once this season, rolling to a 118-95 win back on July 4th (we won with the Aces and the 'over' on that night). With A'ja Wilson coming off a ridiculous (and highly uncharacteristic) 1-of-15 shooting performance against an elite Sun squad two nights ago we can expect her to lead the bounce-back charge here. Note that the Aces also got poor performances from generally steady contributors in Jackie Young, Riquna Williams and Kelsey Plum in that loss. The Dream appeared headed for another blowout loss on Tuesday before they caught fire shooting the ball in the second half. That was of course after Chicago had already built up a sizable lead and let down its guard defensively. Things have gone downhill in a hurry for the Dream who didn't exactly start the season on the right foot. A suspension to Chennedy Carter has been key to their regression but the fact is, when you shoot below 41% from the field at home and average fewer than 79 points per game, you're not going to find much success in today's WNBA. Las Vegas has shown the ability to win by margin on the road this season. Two of its last three road victories have come by 16 points or more. Note that the Aces haven't suffered any sort of drop-off in execution defensively on the road this season, holding opponents to 80.3 points per game on 41.6% shooting. I suspect this will be a situation where the Aces clamp down on the Dream offense, ultimately opening things up for their offense to rebound off Tuesday's poor showing. Take Las Vegas (10*). |
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08-26-21 | Sparks v. Sun OVER 151 | 72-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Connecticut at 7 pm et on Thursday. After holding their four opponents to 59, 60, 71 and 62 points since the Olympic break (all victories) it would only be human nature for the Sun to suffer a bit of a defensive letdown here. That's especially true when you consider Los Angeles was just held to 68 points in a loss that was more lopsided than the final score indicated in Washington on Tuesday. Keep in mind, Los Angeles is as healthy as it has been all season. We've seen the Sparks alternate good and bad offensive showings since returning from the break and they should be in line for a better performance here than we saw against the Mystics two nights ago. Connecticut has been in a similar pattern of good followed by subpar offensive efforts since returning from the break. I fully expect the Sun, and Jonquel Jones in particular, to turn in a sharp shooting performance here, noting that Jones scored in single-figures for the first time all season against the Aces last time out. If Connecticut was able to put up 76 points against an elite Las Vegas squad, with Jones having an off night you can only imagine what it is capable of doing against a Sparks team playing their third game in five nights in three different cities. Look for the Sun to set the pace here but for the Sparks to be along for the ride as well as they help push this one 'over' the very reasonable total. Take the over (9*). |
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08-26-21 | Crvena Zvezda v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.0 goals between CFR Cluj and Red Star Belgrade at 2:30 pm et on Thursday. NOTE: I'm reccomending a play on the 'over' using the alternate total of 2.0 goals, laying about -175 to do so at the time of writing. This of course ensures we at least get a push should the match end on exactly two goals. If alternate totals are not available at your book, I would still suggest playing the 'over' at 2.25 goals. Red Star Belgrade is looking to advance in Europa League action after bitter disappointment in Champions League qualification. It should be well on its way after securing a 4-0 victory at home in the first leg of this matchup. Despite the seemingly comfortable lead, I don't expect Red Star to sit back and 'park the bus' in this one as an aggressive attacking CFR Cluj side should afford the Serbian superclub plenty of opportunities to expand its margin. Cluj are no strangers to high-scoring affairs, noting that they fell by an aggregate 4-2 score against Young Boys in their unglorious Champions League exit. The seven-time Romanian champions do still have to carry some confidence here as they've actually gone a perfect 6-0 in league play this season and will certainly want to put on a good show here at home. Note that for as well as Red Star has performed, it has already lost a pair of matches away from home in league play and has dropped four of its last six overall on the road. Cluj is expected to have forward Alexandru Paun back for this match following his one-game suspension. I see little reason for the Romanian side to hold anything back as it needs a small miracle to secure advancement from this tie. We'll without a doubt see changes to the Cluj lineup following an unfruitful effort in the first leg. Red Star will undoubtedly use this match as a step-off point as it looks to continue on in Europa League play while also tuning up prior to its return to league action. As I said, this is a squad that has an attacking mindset regardless the situation and I don't expect to see it satisfied with its 4-0 lead. I suspect there are at least three goals to be had in this match. Take the over 2.0 goals (6*). |
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08-26-21 | Zalgiris v. Bodo / Glimt OVER 3.25 | 0-1 | Loss | -127 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Zalgiris and Bodo Glimt at 12 noon et on Thursday. NOTE: I'm recommending a play on the 'over' using the alternate total of 2.5 goals (laying -195 at the time of writing). The standard total currently being offered is 3.0 goals. This is a Europa Conference League match. Bodo Glimt holds a considerable talent edge in this match yet the first leg ended in a 2-2 draw. I'm confident that result will have both sides come out with an attacking mindset in this one, noting that each of the previous two matches between these two squads has totaled exactly four goals (Bodo won 3-1 last September). The real question here is whether we believe Zalgiris can break through as the match price says it all with Bodo Glimt a considerable favorite. I believe it can do just that as Bodo has proven to be vulnerable on the back end - noting that it has seen at least three total goals scored in 10 of its last 16 matches, despite many of those matches coming against inferior opposition. We already witnessed Bodo Glimt become somewhat complacent in the second half in the first leg of this matchup and a similar situation is in the cards here - especially if/when they build a lead. They're capable of messing around as much as they'd like and still finding the back of the net on a couple of occasions here. Meanwhile, having already found a marker in each of the last two meetings, Zalgiris has a blueprint for denting the Bodo defense. I believe we'll see a worst-case scenario 2-1 result here and more likely higher-scoring affair. Take the over 2.5 goals (5*). |
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08-25-21 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. Both Walker Buehler and Blake Snell have pitched like aces here in August and I look for another well-pitched game as the two square off on Wednesday night at Petco Park. Buehler checks in sporting a 2.07 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 10 road starts this season. In four August starts he has allowed just five earned runs in 26 2/3 innings of work. Not surprisingly, the 'under' has cashed in three of those four games. Meanwhile, the Dodgers bullpen has posted a collective 0.91 WHIP while converting five saves without a single blown save over their last seven games. Blake Snell owns a 2.68 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 10 home starts this season with the 'under' cashing in eight of those games. He's had his share of issues at times this season but not against the Dodgers as he's given up just four earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. In six career starts against Los Angeles, Snell owns a 1.03 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has recorded a collective ERA north of five over its last seven games but a much more respectable 1.14 WHIP. Note that both bullpens enjoyed a day off on Monday so they should be relatively fresh here in the second game of this series. Take the under (9*). |
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08-25-21 | Rays v. Phillies OVER 8 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a low-scoring game between these two teams last night with just four total runs scored. I'm expecting to see a higher total reached in the first five innings alone on Wednesday, however. Ryan Yarbrough will get the start for Tampa Bay. He's been awful in three of his last four starts and checks in having allowed four home runs in his last two outings, covering a span of just 10 innings of work. The Phillies are obviously in desperate need of a spark right now and I think they get it as they face Yarbrough for the second time this season (they chased him after 4 1/3 innings in a 5-3 victory in late May). By playing the first five innings only we'll look to avoid a terrific Rays bullpen that has been lights out over the last seven games. Zack Wheeler will counter for Philadelphia. Like Yarbrough, he's struggled for the most part lately, allowing at least four earned runs in five of his last eight trips to the hill. The last time we saw Wheeler pitch here in Philadelphia he allowed two home runs over six innings against the Reds. On another favorable night for long balls at Citizens Bank Park, I expect him to get tagged again here. Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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08-25-21 | Tigers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and St. Louis at 1:15 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams have been involved in their share of low-scoring games recently but I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday afternoon in St. Louis. Tarik Skubal will take the ball for Detroit. He's pitched well over his last few starts but note that two of those came at home and the other came on the road against an awful Orioles team. Skubal still owns a less than impressive 5.11 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in nine road starts. Also note that he averages fewer than five innings per start on the road this season. That means we're likely to see plenty of a Tigers bullpen that has posted a collective 5.69 ERA and 1.61 WHIP away from home (entering last night's action). Jon Lester has been a complete train wreck this season and has done little to turn things around since joining the Cardinals. He has recorded a 5.08 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 12 home starts. Over his last three outings that ERA sits at 5.87 to go along with a 1.70 WHIP. His last 10 starts have resulted in 13, 21, 12, 14, 19, 8, 7, 11, 13 and 12 total runs - good for an average of 13 runs. Take the over (10*). |
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08-24-21 | Royals v. Astros -217 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Royals stayed hot, notching their fourth straight win in convincing fashion in the opener of this series in Houston last night. Look for the Astros to answer back on Tuesday as they avoid dropping their third game in a row in the midst of a playoff race. Brady Singer will take the ball for Kansas City. After making his last five starts at home, he'll head back out on the road where he has posted a 5.25 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in eight starts this season, with the Royals winning just two of those games. Note that Singer enters this start sporting a disastrous 10.21 ERA and 2.43 WHIP over his last three outings. The Royals bullpen has struggled at the best of times on the road this season, recording a collective 4.87 ERA and 1.41 WHIP entering last night's action. They haven't had an off day since August 12th and were forced to log another four innings last night with starter Daniel Lynch lasting only five frames. Luis Garcia will counter for the Astros. He's by no means a household name but he's pitched exceptionally well for Houston - particularly here at home where he owns a 1.92 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 10 starts with the Astros winning seven of those games. Houston has done a great job of supporting Garcia, plating a whopping 38 runs over his last six starts. Despite last night's loss, the Astros are still 14 games over .500 at home this season where they outscore opponents by well north of 1.0 run per game. After dropping three of four games in Kansas City last week, they can't afford to let another series slip away against the lowly Royals. Take Houston (5*). |
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08-24-21 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Miami at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Nationals may simply be playing out the string at this point but they're still hitting, having scored 38 runs over their last six games. I expect them to get involved in another high-scoring affair to open this series in Miami on Tuesday night. Erick Fedde will get the call for the Nats. He owns an ERA of nearly six and a 1.76 WHIP over his last three starts. The 'over' has cashed in each of his last four trips to the hill. Behind Fedde is a struggling Nats bullpen that owns a collective 6.75 ERA and 1.69 WHIP over their last seven contests. Jesus Luzardo will counter for Miami. He's struggled since coming over from Oakland, checking in with an 11.37 ERA and 2.37 WHIP over his last three starts. His last two outings have resulted in 24 and 20 total runs. Behind Fedde is a Marlins bullpen that has posted a collective 9.64 ERA and 1.97 WHIP over their last seven games. With the Marlins getting healthier lineup-wise of late, they won't shy away from a potential slugfest here. Take the over (10*). |
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08-24-21 | Angels v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | Top | 14-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
American League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Dylan Bundy has been marginally better (at times at least) for the Angels this season but here he'll face an Orioles lineup that will look to take their frustrations out on their former teammate - mired in an 18-game losing streak but having faced three straight opponents in the midst of playoff races. It's a different story here as the O's welcome the Angels, who just got swept by the Indians and sit out of the playoff race, two games under .500 on the season. Bundy owns an ugly 7.16 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 10 nighttime starts this season. He's failed to last through the fifth inning in six of his last seven outings. I do think the O's lineup is better than it has shown in recent weeks and its recent struggles have had more to do with the level of opposition it has faced than anything else (Red Sox, Rays and Braves). Again, I think we see the O's take their frustrations out on the Angels subpar pitching staff on Tuesday. Spenser Watkins will counter for Baltimore. He owns a terrible 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over his last three starts. In six nighttime outings this season he has recorded a 6.21 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. Meanwhile, the O's bullpen owns a collective 5.31 ERA and 1.37 WHIP at home this season. After being held to just two runs in a three-game sweep at the hands of the Indians look for the Angles to bust out at the plate in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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08-24-21 | Sparks v. Mystics +1.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Los Angeles at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The Sparks have reeled off four straight wins coming out of the Olympic break but I expect that streak to end here on Tuesday night in Washington. Keep in mind, L.A.'s four wins have come against the likes of Indiana, Atlanta (twice) and New York - three of the league's worst teams. The Mystics would also appear to fit in that category based on their 8-14 record but I expect them to rise to the occasion here. Note that Washington has had a tough slate of opponents since returning from the break, going up against the Aces (twice) and Mercury on the road before hosting the defending champion Storm on Sunday. While the Mystics dropped all four of those games SU they did manage to go 2-2 ATS with one of the missed covers coming by a single point. Washington will have to deal with the absence of leading scorer Tina Charles for this one but it got a big boost with the return of Elena Delle Donne last time out so Charles' injury doesn't serve as quite as much of a blow. If the Mystics are to have any hopes of climbing the Eastern Conference standings and making a run at the postseason they need to win games like this - the second instalment of a five-game homestand. Los Angeles has played just three road games since the middle of June, losing two of those. While the Sparks are finally healthy, I still don't consider them to be one of the league's elite teams. Note that despite holding the Liberty to 41.3% shooting on Sunday (and shooting better than 47% from the field themselves), they were still outrebounded by a 45-36 margin. They'll face a Mystics squad that managed to outrebound the Storm 48-45 despite shooting 36.8% from the field in Sunday's setback. The Sparks have dropped each of their last two visits to Washington and I look for the Mystics to get the better of them here as well. Take Washington (10*). |
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08-24-21 | Sky v. Dream UNDER 166.5 | Top | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
WNBA Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Atlanta at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are reeling right now with Chicago having lost back-to-back games on its home floor and Atlanta having gone 0-4 since returning from the Olympic break and winless over its last eight games. With both coming off subpar defensive efforts look for them to make a concerted effort to rectify that on Tuesday night in Atlanta. Chicago actually checks in as one of the league's better defensive teams but it gave up a whopping 101 points on 54% shooting against Minnesota last time out. The 'under' has cashed in seven of Chicago's 11 road games this season as the Sky have limited opponents to just 41.1% shooting away from home. Note that Atlanta managed to score just 69 points in its most recent game - a 15-point loss to Phoenix - despite getting above-average shooting performances from Crystal Bradford, Odyssey Sims and Aari McDonald (combined 18-of-36 shooting). I would anticipate some offensive regression from the Dream here, noting that they're without two of their best offensive players in Chennedy Carter (suspension) and Cheyenne Parker (personal). Chicago got monster offensive performances from Allie Quigley and Courtney Vandersloot in its loss to Seattle on Sunday as the duo combined to pour in 54 points. Note that Vandersloot had previously been held to just six points combined in the Sky's first two games after the Olympic break. The 'under' has gone 7-4 in Dream home games this season with those contests totaling an average of less than 164 points. The last time these two teams hooked up here in Atlanta they combined to score just 162 points back in May. That was with the two teams getting to the free throw line a whopping 60 times. Take the under (10*). |
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08-24-21 | Mariners v. A's -140 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Daytime Game of the Year. My selection is on Oakland over Seattle at 3:35 pm et on Tuesday. The A's have now dropped three games in a row after losing the opener of this brief two-game series by a 5-3 score last night. Expect them to bounce back on Tuesday afternoon. Chris Flexen will get the call for the Mariners. While the M's are 7-3 in his 10 road outings this season, he hasn't pitched particularly well, recording a 4.92 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. After a stretch that saw him give up just one home run in five starts, he's now allowed at least one long ball in four of his last five trips to the hill. The A's will be getting their third look at Flexen this season having had plenty of previous success, scoring seven earned runs on 13 hits while walking three times and striking out only four in 11 1/3 innings of work. Of course, Oakland has gotten even stronger offensively since the trade deadline which is notable as Flexen hasn't faced the A's since July 22nd. The Mariners bullpen hasn't been great on the road this season, entering last night's action sporting a collective 4.76 ERA and 1.37 WHIP with a whopping 16 blown saves. Cole Irvin issued a season-high four walks while matching a season-low with only one strikeout in his most recent start. Still, he managed to work six innings in an eventual 5-4 win over a playoff-bound White Sox club, on the road no less. Now he's back home where he owns a solid 3.72 ERA and 1.18 WHIP this season. Note that the A's haven't dropped an Irvin home start since back on May 30th against the Angels. They've reeled off five straight wins with Irvin on the hill here at the Coliseum since. Speaking of pitching at home, the A's bullpen entered last night's action having converted 16 saves while blowing only five here at home this season. Currently on the outside looking in (by a game) in the A.L. Wild Card hunt and with their division title hopes fading, look for the A's to earn a much-needed victory on Tuesday afternoon. Take Oakland (10*). |
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08-23-21 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
NFLX First Half Total of the Year. My selection is on the first half 'over' between Jacksonville and New Orleans at 8 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off losses in their respective preseason openers. Jags rookie QB Trevor Lawrence admitted he felt some nerves in his debut and it showed as he took a couple of early sacks and showed few flashes of the dominant college quarterback that warranted the number one overall pick in this year's draft. I expect him to settle down and turn in a much better performance on the fast track at the Superdome on Monday night. Lawrence will see the bulk of the early action under center but we should see Gardner Minshew get some first half reps as well. By playing the first half only we avoid getting too deep into the Jags QB rotation which also includes C.J. Beathard and Jake Luton - both threw touchdown passes late in last week's loss to the Browns but I wouldn't count on a repeat effort tonight. The Jags defense didn't look good against the Browns. Cleveland moved the football up and down the field at will, despite resting most of its key offensive starters. Jacksonville was actually fortunate to only give up 13 first half points in its preseason opener as the Browns lacked some execution at the end of drives. The damage could have been much worse. Here, I expect the Saints to make a concerted effort to push the football down the field with Jameis Winston expected to get the start under center. We saw Winston get more comfortable and start taking some deep shots as the game went on against the Ravens last week and I expect to see carry-over from that gameplan here. While this is a relatively high first half total by preseason standards, I don't think it's been set high enough. By playing the first half only we'll look to avoid putting our trust in the hands of Saints possible practice squad QB Trevor Siemian, who is expected to see plenty of second half action. Take the first half over (10*). |
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08-23-21 | White Sox -107 v. Blue Jays | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
A.L. First Five Innings Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over Toronto first five innings at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The White Sox didn't have a banner weekend in St. Petersburg, dropping two of three games against the Rays. I do expect them to get off to a strong start at the very least against the struggling Blue Jays on Monday. Lance Lynn will take the ball for Chicago. He's having another terrific season and checks in with a 2.27 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in eight road starts. While he'll be pitching on just four days' rest on Monday that's not a major concern as he's worked just nine innings combined in his last two starts. Lynn didn't get a victory in his lone previous start against Toronto this season but did pitch well, allowing just one earned run over seven innings, striking out nine along the way. By playing the first five innings only we'll look to avoid a White Sox bullpen that hasn't had a day off in a week-and-a-half. Alek Manoah will counter for Toronto. He labored through just three innings while allowing six earned runs in his most recent start. He'll be dealing with quite a bit of pressure in this start as the Blue Jays desperately need a strong outing to get back on track and keep their slim playoff hopes alive. I expect the White Sox to take advantage of facing Manoah for the second time this season. While he was on the mound for a 6-2 Jays win in Chicago back in early June, it's not as if he was dominant, striking out only four while allowing four hits and two walks over five innings. Take Chicago first five innings (10*). |
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08-23-21 | Rangers v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Boston at 1:10 pm et on Monday. I think an off day might have been the best thing for the Red Sox slumping offense yesterday and look for them to bust out against Kolby Allard and the Rangers pitching staff on Monday. With that being said, I'm not interested in paying the massive price to back Boston here so will instead play the 'over' as I do think the Rangers can do enough offensively to help this one 'over' the total. Kolby Allard has been tagged for a whopping 12 home runs in his last seven outings. On a warm afternoon in Boston we should see the ball carrying well at Fenway Park and I expect Allard to once again give up his fair share of long balls, noting that he has posted a 33% fly ball rate on batted balls this season. Allard checks in sporting a 5.64 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road this season. The Rangers bullpen meanwhile has recorded an ERA north of five and a 1.47 WHIP with only six saves converted and seven blown on the road this season. Nathan Eovaldi will counter for Boston. Like Allard he's had a tough time keeping the ball in the park lately, allowing six home runs over his last four outings. Behind Eovaldi is a Red Sox 'pen that has recorded a collective 4.84 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in day games this season and a 1.44 WHIP over its last seven contests. It's been feast or famine for the Rangers offense lately but they have plated at least seven runs in four of their last eight games. Take the over (10*). |
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08-22-21 | 49ers -5 v. Chargers | 15-10 | Push | 0 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco minus the points over Los Angeles at 7:30 pm et on Sunday. The Niners did a lot of good things but ultimately fell by a 19-16 score against Kansas City in their preseason opener. Meanwhile, the Chargers defeated the Rams despite scoring just 13 points last week. Los Angeles head coach Brandon Staley, along with the Chargers players, have made it clear that they don't care about the preseason (wins and losses anyway). Their starters will once again be on the sidelines for this one. Meanwhile, the 49ers should again give Jimmy Garropolo and Trey Lance extended looks in this one. All reports pointed to the fact that the Niners two quarterbacks looked sharp in 7-on-7 drills during joint practices with the Chargers this week and I expect to see some carry-over here. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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08-22-21 | 49ers v. Chargers OVER 34 | 15-10 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 7:30 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams were involved in fairly low-scoring games last week. While I'm not anticipating a shootout here, I do think we'll see enough offense to get 'over' the very reasonable total. All indications are that Niners quarterbacks Jimmy Garropolo and Trey Lance were impressive during 7-on-7 drills against the Chargers at their joint practices this week. With Los Angeles resting its starters on both sides of the football again here, we can expect to see progression from the San Francisco offense in this one. Meanwhile, the Chargers are giving QB Easton Stick the start in this one as he has an outside chance at leap-frogging veteran QB Chase Daniel for the backup job. Expect to see Los Angeles attempt more passes than we're accustomed to seeing in the preseason as head coach Brandon Staley evaluates his quarterbacks. Take the over (9*). |
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08-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Colorado at 3:10 pm et on Sunday. This game has slugfest written all over it on a hot day in Denver with the wind blowing out to right field. Off a low-scoring affair last night, look for a different story to unfold here. Taylor Widener takes the ball for the D'Backs. He has allowed at least one home run in six straight starts and three in his last two outings, spanning just 10 innings of work. Note that he hasn't lasted beyond the fifth inning in any of his last seven starts. The Arizona bullpen has of course been awful all season, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the road (entering last night's action). Jon Gray will counter for Colorado. He's been shaky since the trade deadline passed (his name was swirling around plenty of rumors at the time). He enters this start sporting an ERA north of six and a WHIP over 1.70 over his last three outings. While the Colorado bullpen has been better lately, it still owns an ugly 5.45 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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08-21-21 | Phillies v. Padres -157 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Philadelphia at 8:40 pm et on Saturday. If the Padres are to have any hope of staying in the playoff race, they need to start winning games. It really is as simple as that. After suffering a tough 4-3 loss to the Phillies last night, I look for them to get back in the win column here. Aaron Nola has been the weak link in the Phillies rotation. They've lost six of his last nine starts and he has posted a 5.56 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with a 5-8 team record on the road this season. Entering last night's game the Phillies bullpen had converted 14 saves but blown 11 on the road this season. Joe Musgrove turned in one of his worst outings of the season against the lowly D'Backs last time out. Look for him to make amends back at home where he owns a 2.43 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with a 7-5 team record in 12 starts this season. The Padres bullpen entered last night's action sporting a 2.61 ERA and 1.11 WHIP with 25 saves converted and only six blown at home. Take San Diego (7*). |
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08-21-21 | Titans v. Bucs -1 | 34-3 | Loss | -108 | 59 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay minus the points over Tennessee at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. The Bucs laid an egg in their preseason opener. After jumping ahead with a first quarter touchdown, their offense failed to reach the end zone again in a 19-14 loss against the Bengals, at home no less, last Saturday. Here, I look for a strong bounce-back performance from Bruce Arians' squad. While preseason results mean very little in the grand scheme of things (at least from a win-loss perspective), after a performance where they allowed four sacks and threw two interceptions, I think Arians will want to see a much cleaner performance from his team this week. The Titans on the other hand, rolled to a blowout win in Atlanta last Friday night. Mike Vrabel has still only managed a 3-6 preseason record in 2+ years guiding Tennessee. It's not as if the Titans backup QB duo of Logan Woodside and Matt Barkley was all that impressive in last week's win, it was more of a case of Atlanta not offering much resistance whatsoever. I expect a different story to unfold here. We go from the Bucs laying nearly a touchdown against the Bengals last week to now being virtually a pk'em against the Titans. I simply feel it's an overreaction to last week's 'meaningless' Week 1 preseason results. Take Tampa Bay (9*). |
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08-21-21 | Falcons v. Dolphins OVER 36.5 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show |
NFLX Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Miami at 7 pm et on Saturday. We're being afforded a relatively low total to work with here thanks to 'meaningless' Week 1 preseason results. The Falcons were absolutely crushed by the Titans by a 23-3 score, at home no less. It certainly wasn't a great look for new head coach Arthur Smith - the former Titans offensive coordinator. Let's not get too excited by that ugly performance though. We didn't see the Falcons offensive starters in that game. It remains to be seen whether the starters suit up for this one but I would expect to see at least some of the Falcons stars to at the very least make a cameo appearance in this one. Regardless, I think Atlanta has enough depth on offense to put up a much better performance than we saw last week. Projected third-string QB Feleipe Franks did do a good job of moving the football on the ground, racking up 76 rushing yards against Tennessee. Here, I think we'll see Smith dial up the offense a little with a more pass-heavy attack as the Falcons use this as a measuring-stick game against a good Dolphins defense. Miami's offense got off to a fine start against the Bears last Saturday but fizzled in the second half in a 17-13 loss. That certainly wasn't an ideal spot to unleash the offense in a tough matchup on the road against a quality Bears defense. It's a different story here as Miami prepares to face a middle of the road Falcons defense. Head coach Brian Flores guided his team to a 3-1 record in his preseason debut as a head coach in 2019. That included a 34-27 victory over these same Falcons in their preseason home opener. Flores knows what he has on defense. What he needs to find out here is what he has offensively, and like Smith, I look for him to dial up a more aggressive offensive gameplan in an effort to figure out where his team stands, especially with QB Tua Tagovailoa taking over the reins as the starter this year. With this total sitting where it is, we don't need an offensive shootout to cash this ticket. That warrants us stepping up to our top rating. Take the over (10*). |
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08-21-21 | Winnipeg v. Toronto OVER 43.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 56 h 52 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Toronto at 4 pm et on Saturday. We saw a low-scoring game between these two teams in Winnipeg last week - that's been the norm in CFL action so far this season, largely due to the absence of a preseason. Here, with both teams having two games under their belts, I look for them to perform better offensively in what I believe will be a high-scoring contest in Toronto. The Argos are expected to turn to QB Nick Arbuckle under center. He was injured to start the season. I think the plan always was for him to take over the reins from McLeod Bethel-Thompson. After showing some life in Week 1, we saw very little from the Toronto offense last week. That obviously had a lot to do with the elite nature of the Blue Bombers defense but also spoke to Bethel-Thompson's ineffectiveness. RB John White could miss this game due to a hip injury but if he does, that should only force Toronto to draw up more passing plays for Arbuckle, which might not be a bad thing as White ended up banging his head against the wall all night against a stout Bombers defensive front last week. Winnipeg is expected to get some help offensively with the possible return of RB Andrew Harris and WR Darvin Adams. Regardless whether one or both of those star players return, we can expect further progression from the Bombers offense after QB Zach Collaros turned in his strongest performance of the season against the Argos last week. Toronto does have an improved defense but both Charleston Hughes and Henoc Muamba have missed practice time this week and are questionable to play on Saturday. I think it's only a matter of time before we see a breakout performance from the Winnipeg offense, and this could very well be the spot as it makes the necessary adjustments after seeing the Argos new-look defense for the first time last Friday. With this being the lowest total on the Week 2 board, we don't need an offensive shootout to cash this 'over' ticket. I have the Bombers approaching 30 points in this one while the Argos should be able to do enough to help the final score up and 'over' the very reasonable number. Take the over (10*). |
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08-21-21 | Royals v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Chicago at 2:20 pm et on Saturday. With ideal weather conditions for the hitters (wind blowing out to left-center field) I expect a high-scoring affair at Wrigley Field on Saturday. Kris Bubic has given up five home runs in three August starts for the Royals. While the Cubs are shells of their former selves offensively, they are set up well to have a solid day at the plate on Saturday. Note that Chicago is a better hitting team both at home and against left-handed pitching this season. The Royals bullpen owns an ugly 4.98 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road this season. Chicago will give Keegan Thompson his first start since May. He fared ok in that start against the Dodgers but still only worked into the fifth inning. With Thompson unlikely to work deep into this game we should see plenty of the Cubs bullpen, which has been terrible lately, posting a 7.96 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over its last seven games. The Royals meanwhile busted out at the dish with multiple home runs yesterday and I expect some carry-over here. Take the over (8*). |
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08-20-21 | Montreal v. Calgary UNDER 45.5 | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Calgary at 9:30 pm et on Friday. We missed with the 'over' in the Als season-opening rout of the Elks in Edmonton last week. Here, I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' as they look to complete the Alberta sweep in Calgary. Montreal looked terrific on both sides of the football in last Saturday's dominant win. Here, they catch a break as the Stamps will be without QB Bo Levi Mitchell after he suffered a broken fibula back in Week 1 (before inexplicably trying to play through it last week). That leaves the Stamps offense limited here with little experience behind Mitchell. 24-year old Jake Maier out of Cal-Davis is expected to get the start. While he's saying all the right things, it remains to be seen how effective he can be, or how much of the gameplan the Stamps will give him to work with in his first start. Against a much-improved Als pass rush, I don't expect the Stamps to throw Maier completely into the fire. Look for them to run a fairly conservative offense in this one with plenty of runs and short passes. The Als secondary could still turn out to be their weakness but I'm not sure we'll see that unit get exposed this week. Despite the 0-2 start, Calgary's defense has held up exceptionally well through the first two games. I would certainly expect to see that unit rise to the occasion knowing the offense isn't at full strength for this one. The Stamps gave up just one touchdown against the Lions last week with that coming five minutes into the second quarter. From there, they limited B.C. to just a 29-yard fourth quarter field goal. We're seeing lower CFL totals after seven of the first eight games this season stayed 'under' the total. That's likely been a product of the team's seeing no preseason action this year. With the Als playing just their second regular season game, look for another relatively low-scoring affair here. Take the under (9*). |
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08-20-21 | Chiefs -2 v. Cardinals | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 8 m | Show |
NFLX TV Game of the Year. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Arizona at 8 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the short number with the Chiefs as they travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals in front of a national ESPN audience on Friday. Both of these teams were victorious by identical 19-16 scores last week as the Chiefs defeated the Niners in San Francisco and the Cardinals took down the Cowboys here at home. It's worth noting that Arizona's victory came thanks to a pair of Matt Prater field goals inside the game's final two minutes (foiling our play on the Cowboys plus the points). Kyler Murray is expected to see his first action of the preseason for the Cardinals. He has already stated that he 'hates the preseason' and puts virtually no stock in what happens on the field. With WRs DeAndre Hopkins and A.J. Green and RB James Conner on and off the field due to various ailments, he may not have his full compliment of weapons during what should be a brief appearance in the first half on Friday. Also note that depth WR Andy Isabella will miss this game due to Covid protocols. Behind Murray in the QB rotation is the capable but underwhelming duo of Colt McCoy and Chris Streveler. Note that the Cards went 1-3 in the preseason in their first year under head coach Kliff Kingsbury back in 2019. So they're in uncharted territory in a sense as they look for their second consecutive preseason win here. Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has said that he will play his starters for most, if not all of the first half on Friday. While it remains to be seen whether that means we'll see a full half from QB Pat Mahomes (probably not), I still think we're going to see Kansas City put forth a fairly serious effort (by preseason standards) as they look to go 2-0 on the road. The Chiefs offense will be facing a Cardinals defense that won't have the services of J.J. Watt or Chandler Jones. Kansas City doesn't have a top-flight QB rotation by any means but I do like the veteran presence of Chad Henne and Shane Buechele did show he can move the ball down the field with his arm and his legs in last week's victory (8-of-11 passing and three runs for 13 yards). I simply feel we'll see a little better execution from the Chiefs for four quarters than we will from the Cardinals as Kansas City is a road favorite for a reason. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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08-20-21 | Bengals v. Washington Football Team UNDER 35 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and Washington at 8 pm et on Friday. Both of these defenses seem to be considerably ahead of the offenses at this point of the preseason and I think we're dealing with a relatively low total for good reason. QB Joe Burrow didn't play in the Bengals preseason opener against the Bucs and he won't suit up this week either. That will once again leave this game in the hands of backup QB duo Brandon Allen and Kyle Shurmur. Neither lit it up in last week's win in Tampa, combining to complete just 19-of-29 passes for 185 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. With injuries on the offensive line, the Bengals will likely keep the offensive gameplan pretty simple in this one and it's not as if they have any true home run threats in the backfield as you go down the depth chart. The Bengals looked as good as any team defensively in their Week 1 victory, limiting Bucs quarterbacks to 17-of-39 passing for 130 yards while giving up just 29 rushing yards. It might be tough to duplicate that performance here, but I do expect another good effort from the Cincinnati 'D'. Washington looked good on defense against New England last Thursday, not allowing the Pats to reach the end zone until nearly four minutes into the fourth quarter. The Football Team suffered another late defensive breakdown on a 91-yard touchdown run inside the game's final two minutes but that was when they were deep into the depth chart. There's a bit of a QB battle brewing for the backup job behind Ryan Fitzpatrick and I think that could lead to more snaps for Taylor Heinecke and Kyle Allen (who recently returned from injury). Steven Montez was actually the most impressive of the bunch in last week's loss but it's unlikely he'll see as much playing time here. Regardless, with the starters not expected to get stretched out too much in Week 2, I'm not anticipating a big breakout performance from the Washington offense. Take the under (9*). |
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08-20-21 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Friday. With weather conditions favoring the hitters once again in Cincinnati on Friday night, I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair between the Marlins and Reds. Elieser Hernandez will get just his fourth start of the season for the Marlins. He'll be pitching on four days' rest after a solid outing against the Cubs last time out. Keep in mind, he has allowed a home run in each of his three starts this season and two of his three outings have come against bottom-dwelling teams in the Pirates and Cubs. Here, he faces a playoff-hungry Reds club that averages 5.5 runs per game at Great American Ballpark. The Marlins bullpen has of course been a train wreck lately, entering last night's action sporting a collective 8.77 ERA and 1.95 WHIP over their last seven games. Sonny Gray will counter for the Reds as he makes his third straight start on just four days' rest. He owns a 5.44 ERA and 1.46 WHIP at home this season. Behind him is a Reds bullpen that has been extremely overworked, having not had a day off since back on August 2nd. With the Marlins likely to have Jazz Chisholm back in the lineup on Friday, I expect them to put up a better effort at the dish than we saw last night. Take the over (10*). |
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08-20-21 | Storm -8 v. Liberty | 99-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Friday. The Storm were once again without USA Olympic Gold Medal winners Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart in the first of this two-game set two nights ago. Still, Seattle led that game by double-digits entering the fourth quarter. It couldn't make that lead stand up, however, as it was held to just seven points in a brutal fourth quarter on its way to a four-point loss. I expect a strong bounce-back performance with Bird and Stewart expected back in the lineup on Friday (note that Bird will be playing what could be her final game in here hometown of New York). Seattle has now dropped consecutive games coming out of the break but the fact that it was right there at the end of both of those games despite missing key cogs is encouraging. With championship pedigree, I'm confident we'll see the Storm bring their best effort on Friday. The Liberty shot an uncharacteristic 51.7% from the field in Wednesday's come-from-behind win. Note that they shoot worse than 44% at home this season. Interestingly, the SU winner has gone a perfect 23-0 ATS in all Liberty games this season. I certainly look for the Storm to get back on the winning side here, and believe they'll cover this reasonable spread. Take Seattle (10*). |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Elks are off to a very disappointing 0-2 start, especially considering their first two games were played at home, against seemingly inferior East Division opponents no less. Expect them to bounce back on Thursday as they hit the road for the first time this season and play their first division game. In Week 1, it was all about a lack of execution for Edmonton as it marched up and down the field but simply couldn't finish drives with touchdowns against the RedBlacks. Last week, the Elks were simply overmatched by an Alouettes squad that came out firing on all cylinders on both sides of the football, but particularly on defense as they were all over Elks QB Trevor Harris all night long. I think the case can certainly be made that the Elks overlooked the Als. They won't make the same mistake against the Lions, who are coming off an upset win on the road against the Stampeders. The news has now come out that Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell has a broken fibula and all indications are that he was playing hurt in last week's game against B.C. Credit for the Lions for coming up with the win, but let's not get too excited. They're still dealing with injury issues to starting QB Mike Reilly with reports from practice this week indicating that he is still having trouble pushing the football down the field. While he is expected to start on Thursday night you can take that news with a grain of salt as we've seen plenty of mystery around the QB position in B.C. already this season. While the Lions offensive line held up well last week, I still think it's an area of concern with big offseason acquisition Ryker Matthews sidelined due to a head injury. He isn't expected to be cleared to play this Thursday night. This one really comes down to whether we can trust the Elks offense. If Edmonton is going to turn things around, that's the area that needs to improve the most and I'm confident we'll see just that on the fast track at B.C. Place on Thursday. This is an ultra-talented group led by veteran QB Trevor Harris and WR Greg Ellingson. After being held to just one catch for one yard last week, I believe we can bank on a big bounce-back performance from Ellingson in particular. Harris was given no time to operate against the Als retooled pass rush but should find the going a little easier against the Lions this week. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 45.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and B.C. at 10 pm et on Thursday. The 'under' has gone 7-1 so far this CFL season and that's affording us with a very low total (relatively speaking) in Thursday's Week 3 opener between the Elks and Lions. The Elks offense has been non-existent so far this season. That's certainly surprising as they opened with a pair of home dates against East Division opponents in the RedBlacks and Alouettes. We did see Edmonton march the football up and down the field against Ottawa but it simply wasn't able to finish drives with 7's rather than 3's. Last week, the Elks certainly appeared to overlook the Als, and paid the price, unable to contend with Montreal's aggressive pass rush. Here, I do expect to see the Elks offense come alive on the fast track at B.C. Place. This is still an offense that features capable leaders at the skill positions on offense in QB Trevor Harris, WR Greg Ellingson and RB James Wilder. With Ellingson in particular coming off a brutal one-catch, one-yard performance last week, I expect a big bounce-back effort here. The Lions, like the Elks, boast incredible talent at the skill positions on offense but QB Mike Reilly's injury issues have held them back so far. They will welcome RB Shaq Cooper to the fold for the first time this season on Thursday, adding another level to what has the potential to be an explosive offense should Reilly be given time in the pocket to operate. As I said, I expect the Elks to break out offensively in this one while the Lions have already shown the ability to thrive in a catch-up role back in Week 1 (they nearly came all the way back from 31-0 down in a 33-29 loss). We don't need a true shootout to cash this ticket as we've been given a low total to work with. Take the over (9*). |
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08-19-21 | Mystics v. Mercury UNDER 164.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Phoenix at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Mercury have posted consecutive wins coming out of the Olympic break with both of those games going 'over' the total. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair on Thursday, however, as they welcome a Washington squad that checks in off back-to-back losses in Las Vegas. We won with the 'over' in the Mystics 10-point loss against the Aces two nights ago. They got baited into a couple of up-tempo affairs against a superior Las Vegas offense. I don't expect them to fall into the same trap here (keeping in mind, the Mercury offense certainly isn't on the same level as the Aces'). Note that Phoenix lost Skylar Diggins-Smith early in its four-point win over Indiana on Tuesday and it remains to be seen whether she'll be able to return or how effective she can be tonight. The key matchup here with be Mystics veteran Tina Charles going up against Brittney Griner. I actually think the two cancel each other out a little bit here as I'm not sure we'll see either go off offensively. While Phoenix is generally known for its offense, it has actually shot below 42% at home this season but has held its own defensively, limiting the opposition to 43.3% shooting here at home. Meanwhile, the Mystics, despite having scored 80 points or more in consecutive games in Las Vegas have shot just 42.5% as a team on the road this season, where they've managed just three wins in 11 games. Take the under (10*). |
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08-19-21 | Patriots v. Eagles +1.5 | 35-0 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over New England at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll make the case that the wrong team is being favored in this NFLX Week 2 kickoff matchup between the Patriots and Eagles. Yes, New England is 1-0 while Philadelphia checks in 0-1. You can be sure the Eagles are putting some emphasis on winning this game, which is their final home preseason game before wrapping up their exhibition schedule with a trip to New York to face the Jets next Friday. They actually got off to a terrific start in their opener against the Steelers last week jumping ahead 13-0 before the Steelers left them in the dust in the second half. That was a Pittsburgh squad that had a leg up having already played a preseason game. Here, the Eagles will have a more level playing field against New England with both teams having played just once. Mac Jones was the story for the Patriots last week as he impressed in a 22-13 win over the Washington Football Team. He could very well impress again this week but he's going to once again have to concede some playing time to projected starter Cam Newton, who hasn't looked particularly sharp this summer. RB Rhamondre Stevenson was also a big story for the Pats last week, putting the game away with a late 91-yard touchdown run. Keep in mind, outside of that big run he was held to just 4.0 yards per rush. As I mentioned, the Eagles did do a lot of good things in head coach Nick Sirianni's debut last week. We can expect QB Jalen Hurts to see more extensive playing time on Thursday night as Sirianni looks to give him some confidence running the offense after he made only a cameo appearance last week. Of course, Philadelphia boasts one of the stronger preseason quarterback rotations you'll find with Hurts followed by two experienced QB's in Joe Flacco and Nick Mullens. I like their depth at all of the skill positions on offense with impressive rookies WR Quez Watkins and RB Kenneth Gainwell likely to see plenty of action on Thursday as well. It's worth noting that while New England did manage to win by nine points last week, Washington did find some success passing the football, racking up 245 yards through the air - nearly doubling the Patriots production in that category. Washington also held a 22-16 first down edge. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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08-19-21 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 8 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. The Marlins are still undecided as to who will take the mound for the opener of this four-game series in Cincinnati. Regardless who does, I'm anticipating a relatively high-scoring affair. Cincinnati is coming off consecutive low-scoring games against the Cubs after an offensive explosion on Monday. Weather conditions have been favoring the hitters all week at already hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark and there's more of the same in the forecast for Thursday. Luis Castillo will make his third straight starts on just four days' rest. He's been laboring lately, allowing 11 earned runs on 12 hits over his last two outings, spanning just 10 innings of work. He's been tagged for at least a home run in four consecutive outings. Note that his last two starts against the Marlins have totaled 14 and 13 runs. Here, he'll be facing a Marlins club that is as close to full strength as it has been all season and is coming off a three-game series against Atlanta that saw 36 total runs scored. Behind Castillo is a Reds bullpen that hasn't had a day off since August 2nd. Not surprisingly they've struggled with an ERA north of six and a 1.160 WHIP over their last seven games. Worse still, the Marlins 'pen has posted a collective 8.77 ERA and 1.95 WHIP over their last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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08-19-21 | Angels v. Tigers +1.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -147 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit +1.5 runs over Los Angeles at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. The Angels will be looking for the sweep of the Tigers at Comerica Park on Thursday afternoon but I expect Detroit to have other ideas. Jose Quintana is back for our fading pleasure for the first time since late May. That's music to the ears of the Tigers as they've reeled off four straight wins over left-handed starters and actually own a winning record against southpaws this season. In fact, they're 23-8 when factoring in the +1.5 run-line in their last 31 games against LH starters. Quintana has of course been a train wreck this season, posting an ERA north of seven and a WHIP approaching two. Behind Quintana is an Angels bullpen that has been overworked this season and hasn't had a day off in over a week. Matt Manning got off to a brutal start for the Tigers this season but has shown signs of righting the ship lately. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in two of his last three starts and owns a respectable 3.15 ERA in four home starts this season. The Tigers are 3-1 in those four home starts with two of the victories coming against playoff contenders in the Cardinals and White Sox. Keep in mind, the Detroit bullpen, while also overworked has managed to convert 15 saves while blowing only six here at home this season. Take Detroit +1.5 runs (6*). |
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08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals +1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 runs over Milwaukee at 7:45 pm et on Wednesday. The Cardinals dropped the opener of this series by a 2-0 score last night as Corbin Burnes outdueled Adam Wainwright. We're being afforded the opportunity to back the Cardinals plus an insurance run in what should be another pitcher's duel on Wednesday and we'll take advantage. Freddy Peralta will take the ball for Milwaukee. The Brewers have won each of his last four starts. That's not their longest win streak with Peralta on the hill this season, however, as they actually won each of his five starts from May 16th to June 10th. It's worth noting though that they've yet to win five straight Peralta starts by multiple runs, something they'll be looking to do here. I expect them to fall short noting that they've won just once in Peralta's four previous starts against the Cardinals. In his lone previous outing here in St. Louis, the Brewers lost by a 5-2 score. Jack Flaherty will counter for St. Louis. He returned from injury to shut out the Royals over six innings in his last start. He's been positively dominant here at home this season, recording a 1.44 ERA and 0.72 WHIP with the Cardinals winning each of his previous four starts. Behind Flaherty is a Cards bullpen that has been terrific lately. They entered last night's game sporting a collective 2.70 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to toss three shutout innings in that 2-0 loss. Take St. Louis +1.5 runs (7*). |
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08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
N.L. Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a pitcher's duel between Corbin Burnes and Adam Wainwright to open this series last night and I expect more of the same as Freddy Peralta goes up against Jack Flaherty on Wednesday. Peralta checks in sporting a 2.60 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 10 road starts this season with the 'under' cashing in six of those games. Better still, he owns a 1.88 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in 11 nighttime starts. Note that he'll be facing a Cardinals lineup that is missing a couple of key bats in Paul DeJong (back) and Dylan Carlson (wrist). Jack Flaherty made a triumphant return to the Cards rotation last Friday night as he tossed six shutout innings against the Royals (we won with the 'under'). Flaherty has made four home starts this season, recording an incredible 1.44 ERA and 0.72 WHIP. He's faced the Brewers once this season, allowing just four hits over six shutout innings in a 2-0 victory back in May. Both bullpens are reliable enough to trust in this one. Much like last night's affair, I expect this one to have a 'playoff-type' feel and prove low-scoring once again. Take the under (10*). |
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08-18-21 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw last night's game get 'over' the total thanks to a late scoring flurry from the Angels. I don't expect 'over' backers to be so fortunate on Wednesday, however. It's interesting to note that the 'over' has gone 3-0-1 so far on the Tigers current homestand but the 'under' remains 37-22-2 here at Comerica Park this season. Weather conditions should favor the pitchers on Wednesday night with the winds blowing in from left. Shohei Ohtani will take the ball for the Angels. Los Angeles has done an excellent job of managing his arm down the stretch as he'll be making just his sixth start since the beginning of July. He's been in excellent form, allowing only six earned runs over his last five starts, working at least six innings in all five of those outings. He faced the Tigers once previously this season, allowing just one earned run over six innings back in June. Tarik Skubal will counter for Detroit. Like Ohtani, he brings excellent form into this start having not allowed a single earned run over 11 innings in his last two outings. The 'under' has cashed in seven of his 12 home starts this season as he has posted a soldi 3.51 ERA and 1.22 WHIP at Comerica Park. The Angels bullpen has turned things around after a rough start to the season and has converted 17 saves while blowing only seven on the road this season. The Tigers 'pen coughed it up last night but has still posted 15 saves while blowing only six at home. Take the under (6*). |
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08-18-21 | Indians v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Minnesota at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. We've seen the 'under' cash in each of the first two games in this series but I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday afternoon. First, it's worth mentioning that weather conditions favored the pitchers the last two nights but that flips to favor the hitters on Wednesday with warm temperatures and the wind blowing toward left field. Zach Plesac will take the ball for Cleveland. Having not had a day off since July (!), the Indians could certainly use a long outing from him on Wednesday but I'm not sure they'll get it. While he did pitch into the eighth inning in his most recent start, that actually works against him here as he makes his third straight start on just four days' rest. Note that Plesac has posted an ERA north of six over his last three outings and owns a very pedestrian 4.89 ERA in eight road starts this season. He's pitched just once here at Target Field, allowing five earned runs over seven innings in an 8-4 loss last September. Lewis Thorpe will get a spot start for the Twins. In three previous starts this season he has allowed six earned runs in 13 innings, managing to record only four strikeouts to go along with four walks and 13 hits allowed. With Thorpe unlikely to work deep into the game we're likely to see plenty of a Twins bullpen that owns a collective ERA nearing five at home this season. Take the over (6*). |
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08-17-21 | Pirates v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
MLB o/u Premier Play. My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a low-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Dodgers prevailed by a 2-1 score. I expect a much different story to unfold on Tuesday. Wil Crowe will take the ball for Pittsburgh. He's in a tough spot here, noting that he has posted a 6.10 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight road starts this season, most recently getting lit up for three home runs in his last road outing in Cincinnati. Dodger Stadium could very well play a bit like Great American Ballpark tonight with the wind blowing out to left-center and I expect the homer-happy Dodgers to take advantage of Crowe here. Note that Crowe has been tagged for six home runs in his last three road starts, covering a span of just 14 1/3 innings of work. Behind Crowe is a subpar Pirates bullpen that owns a 5.22 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night's action). David Price will get the nod for the Dodgers. He'll once again be on a short leash here, having yet to last more than 5 2/3 innings in a start this season. He hasn't fared particularly well in his last two home starts, allowing four home runs in 11 innings. With the Dodgers bullpen having not enjoyed a day off in over a week, with some extra innings affairs in the mix, there's reason to believe that the Pirates can scratch together some offense tonight. Note that they were threatening virtually all game long last night but simply couldn't break through. It's been feast or famine for the Buccos at the plate lately but worth noting that they're only a couple of days removed from exploding for 14 runs against the Brewers on Saturday. Take the over (10*). |
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08-17-21 | Mystics v. Aces OVER 170 | Top | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
WNBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Tuesday. This is a rematch of Sunday's wild 84-83 victory for the Aces. That game stayed 'under' the total and affords us a lower posted total to work with here on Tuesday. I believe it's the wrong move. It took a while, but the Aces got on track offensively after the long Olympic break, scoring 29 points in the fourth quarter of Sunday's victory. Now I expect to see plenty of carry-over from that strong finish here. Note that the Aces average north of 93 points per game at home this season on just shy of 49% shooting. There's certainly room for improvement after Sunday's 84-point effort. I do think the Mystics will be along for the ride in what should be an up-tempo affair on Tuesday night. They'll be in a foul mood after blowing a 14-point lead entering the fourth quarter on Sunday. With Elena Delle Donne still sidelined, I think the Mystics remain a bit underrated offensively with the duo of Ariel Atkins and Myisha Hines-Allen really stepping up as the season has progressed. Washington is unlikely to go away quietly in this one and that should result in a high-scoring affair in Las Vegas. Take the over (10*). |
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08-17-21 | Mets v. Giants -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over New York at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. The Giants took the opener of this series by a 7-5 score last night and I expect them to notch a second straight win over the Mets on Tuesday. While the Mets are still technically in the N.L. playoff hunt, they're facing an uphill battle. With their next nine games coming against either the Giants and Dodgers they likely won't remain in the playoff picture for long. Marcus Stroman takes the ball for New York on Tuesday. While he's pitched well, my concern is that he has lasted at least six innings in just one of his last 10 starts. That's not likely to change here as he pitches on just four days' rest. That leaves plenty of work for a tired Mets bullpen that has posted a 4.85 ERA and 1.31 WHIP with 13 saves converted and 11 blown on the road this season (entering last night's action). Logan Webb is one of the most underrated starters in baseball right now for the Giants. He checks in having allowed two earned runs or less in 10 consecutive starts. Unlike Stroman, he has shown the ability to work deep into games, working six innings in each of his last four starts and six of his last 10 overall. The Giants are a perfect 7-0 when Webb takes the ball at home this season, where he has recorded a stellar 1.62 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Behind Webb is a San Francisco bullpen that has converted 24 saves while blowing only six at home this season, combining to record an impressive 1.09 WHIP. Take San Francisco (7*). |
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08-17-21 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. Conditions favored the pitchers last night but a couple of big innings ended up spoiling our 'under' play. Here, we have arguably a better pitching matchup with conditions once again favoring the hurlers on a warm, muggy night at Oracle Park. I'm anticipating a low-scoring affair. Marcus Stroman will start for the Mets. He checks in sporting a 2.64 ERA and 1.02 WHIP on the road this season. Going back to July 16th, his last six starts have totaled just 5, 7, 2, 8, 6 and 5 runs. Meanwhile, Giants starter Logan Webb is quite simply one of the most underrated starters in baseball right now. He has given up two earned runs or less in 10 consecutive starts, with the 'under' going 7-3 over that stretch. In fact, each of his last five outings have stayed 'under' the total. He has posted an incredible 1.62 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in seven home starts this season with all seven of those games staying 'under' the total. Take the under (9*). |
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08-17-21 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 12 | 3-7 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Diego and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. We missed with our free play on the 'over' in this matchup last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Tuesday. Weather conditions will once again favor the hitters considerably in this one with warm temperatures and the wind blowing out to right-center field. Matt Strahm gets a spot start for the undermanned Padres pitching staff. He's been on the hill for just 5 1/3 innings this season and has allowed opponents to hit well north of .400. Note that he hasn't made a big league start since back in 2019. He faced the Rockies once in starting role that season and was lit up for six earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings in a 9-6 loss here at Coors Field. The Padres bullpen is beyond overworked at this point, having logged north of 500 innings on the season and 34 innings over the last seven games alone. We're starting to see some signs of regression as their relief corps has posted a collective 1.47 WHIP over those last seven contests. German Marquez will counter for Colorado. The Padres haven't enjoyed much success against him this season but his two previous starts against them came at pitcher-friendly Petco Park. In his last start against San Diego at Coors Field he allowed five earned runs on eight hits over just six innings last August. Note that Marquez has seen his ERA rise from 3.37 to 3.78 since the All-Star break. He'll pitch on just four days' rest on Tuesday after getting torched for seven earned runs over four innings against the Giants last time out. Even if Marquez is sharp tonight, it's unlikely he'll work much more than six innings, opening the door for a Rockies bullpen that has been awful at home this season, posting a collective 5.66 ERA and 1.51 WHIP with 13 saves converted and 12 blown. Take the over (9*). |
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08-17-21 | Astros -192 v. Royals | 1-3 | Loss | -192 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We missed with the Astros last night in a disappointing one-run loss but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them on Tuesday. Despite the loss, the Astros held on to their 2.5-game advantage atop the A.L. West as the second-place A's lost as well. Houston will give the nod to Framber Valdez on Tuesday. He'll be pitching on full rest for a sixth straight turn in the rotation and we've seen signs of encouragement lately. In his most recent outing he struck out eight - his highest total since his third start of the season. Valdez checks in sporting a 3.03 ERA and 1.14 WHIP with the Astros having won four of his six road starts. Behind Valdez is an Astros bullpen that had been performing well prior to last night's shaky performance. It's worth noting that Houston left its better arms in the 'pen in that 7-6 loss. Rookie Daniel Lynch will counter for Kansas City. While the Royals have won his last two starts, he hasn't pitched particularly well. In his most recent start he allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks in 4 2/3 innings against the Yankees. In four home starts this season he has posted a 7.00 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. The Kansas City bullpen has posted a collective 4.25 ERA and 1.26 WHIP with 13 saves converted and eight blown at home this season (entering last night's action). Take Houston (5*). |
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08-17-21 | Wings v. Sky OVER 166.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Chicago at 8 pm et on Tuesday. Dallas is coming off a disappointing 21-point rout at the hands of Connecticut as it returned to the court with a thud following the Olympic break. That poor performance did come against one of the league's best defensive teams though and I would expect a solid bounce-back effort from the Wings offense here. Chicago certainly appeared to overlook a Seattle Storm squad that was missing a number of key cogs on Sunday but managed to rally in the fourth quarter to force overtime before ultimately prevailing by a bucket, 87-85. It took a while to get going but once they did, the Sky poured in 26 points in the fourth quarter and I would expect to see some progression from their offense here against one of the league's weakest defensive teams in the Wings. Note that the last time these two teams met back in July they combined to score 191 points in a Wings home victory (we won with Dallas in that game). While this one might not reach that lofty total I do think it will eclipse the very reasonable number the books are offering. Take the over (8*). |
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08-17-21 | Cubs v. Reds -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati over Chicago at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Reds throttled the Cubs in the opener of this series last night (we won with the 'over') as they continue to put pressure on the Padres (who lost last night) in the N.L. Wild Card race. I look for Cincinnati to continue its winning ways against the reeling Cubs on Tuesday. Kyle Hendricks will take the ball for Chicago. He can't feel great about the team that's left around him although it's not as if he's been doing himself any favors with his recent performance either. Hendricks was lit up for nine earned runs on 11 hits over just four innings in a 17-4 loss to the Brewers last time out. Now he starts in Cincinnati where the Cubs have lost his last four starts. As I noted in yesterday's analysis, the Cubs bullpen is in absolute shambles right now. They entered last night's game sporting an 8.78 ERA and 1.77 WHIP over their last seven games and then proceeded to give up a whopping 11 earned runs in four innings. Cincinnati will counter for Vladimir Gutierrez. After a shaky stretch in the middle of the season, Gutierrez has once again turned things around, allowing only five earned runs over his last four starts, covering a span of 25 1/3 innings of work. Not surprisingly, the Reds won each of those four games (by a combined 37-11 margin). Gutierrez has faced the Cubs twice this season (both times prior to Chicago's sell-off at the trade deadline) and given up just three earned runs in 11 1/3 innings. The Reds bullpen certainly hasn't been great this season but does come into this one in relatively good shape having only had to work a combined 26 innings over their last eight games. Arguably their worst reliever, Heath Hembree, labored through 2/3 of an inning last night, allowing five earned runs so he likely won't be available tonight (that's not a bad thing). Take Cincinnati (7*). |
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08-16-21 | Mets v. Giants -180 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over New York at 9:45 pm et on Monday. The Mets are still technically in the N.L. playoff hunt but with just five wins in their last 17 games and now looking up at two teams in the N.L. East and even further back in the N.L. Wild Card picture, it's highly unlikely we'll see them playing in October. Look for the Giants to add to their misery on Monday. Rich Hill will take the ball for New York. You have to go all the way back to June to find the last time he lasted beyond the fifth inning. He's topped out at four strikeouts in his last five outings. Here, he'll be facing a Giants team that sits 22 games over .500 at home this season, where they average five runs per game. Behind Hill is a Mets bullpen that just hasn't been the same on the road this season, posting a collective 4.85 ERA and 1.43 WHIP with 13 saves converted and 11 blown. Kevin Gausman has recorded a 3.21 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 10 home starts this season with the Giants winning six of those games. While his recent results have been a little uneven, his stuff has still been there as he's struck out at least eight in two of his last three starts and in his last two outings, allowed just two earned runs in 11 innings with no home runs given up. The Giants bullpen entered yesterday's game sporting a collective 3.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with 22 saves converted and only six blown at home this season. Take San Francisco (5*). |
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08-16-21 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. We saw a very high-scoring game involving the Mets last night as they were blown out at home against the Dodgers. Here, as they hit the road to face the N.L. West leading Giants, I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair. Oracle Park in San Francisco has long been known as a pitcher's park and that should hold true on Monday night with cool temperatures and the wind blowing out - but to the deepest part of the park - favoring the pitchers. Rich Hill will start for the Mets. He has posted a 1.21 WHIP in 10 road starts this season and is trending to the 'under' right now having posted a 2-4-1 o/u mark in his last seven outings. The Giants have been a weaker offensive team against left-handed pitching this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game compared to their overall average of 4.9 runs per game. Kevin Gausman counters for San Francisco. He has posted a stellar 0.97 WHIP at home this season. Gausman checks in having allowed only two earned runs in 11 innings over his last two outings. Note that the Mets have scored more than five runs in a game just once since July 23rd. The probability of an offensive breakout here is relatively low. Take the under (8*). |
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08-16-21 | Padres -126 v. Rockies | 5-6 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Monday. The Padres looked awful to start their series in Arizona, dropping three straight games. That all changed yesterday though as Fernando Tatis Jr. returned to the lineup and San Diego rolled to an 8-2 victory on the strength of two Tatis home runs. They can't afford to let their foot off the gas here though as their grip on an N.L. Wild Card spot remains loose. The Rockies are of course just playing out the string at this point. They managed to win just one game on their six-game road trip to Houston and San Francisco. Yes, they've been a much better team at home this season but I think they'll be hard-pressed to outslug the Padres in this one. Ryan Weathers gets the start for San Diego. He's been awful lately and it all started with an ugly performance against these same Rockies on July 30th. Starting on the road might just be the best thing for him at this point, noting that he has posted a stellar 2.28 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 23 2/3 innings of work away from home this season. He'll have a short leash as usual on Monday. With this very short price, I think bettors are putting a little too much stock in the struggling Weathers starting. He could very well only make a cameo appearance should things not go his way early in this one. Antonio Senzatela will counter for Colorado. He owns a miserable 5.97 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in seven starts against N.L. West opponents this season including one outing against the Padres in which he was tagged for four earned runs in five innings. With weather conditions favoring the hitters on Monday night at what is already a hitter-friendly ballpark, I expect Senzatela to struggle against a Padres lineup that is downright scary with Fernando Tatis Jr. back in the mix. Of course, even if Senzatela comes up with a solid outing there's little reason to have faith in the Rockies bullpen, which has recorded a collective 5.58 ERA and 1.51 WHIP at home this season. Take San Diego (5*). |
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08-16-21 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 10 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Monday. Neither Cal Quantrill or Griffin Jax are household names, but both have been pitching exceptionally well lately and I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair featuring the two young starters on Monday. The Indians are of course coming off an 11-run outburst in Detroit yesterday. Performances like that have been few and far between for this fading club lately though, as they had been held to four runs or less in four of their last five games prior to yesterday's contest. Better than their offensive production was the fact that starter Triston McKenzie gave them eight strong innings, meaning only closer Emmanuel Clase (who hadn't pitched since August 10th) was used out of the bullpen, giving that group a much-needed rest (Cleveland hasn't had a day off since July 26th). Cal Quantrill is locked in for the Indians right now having allowed two earned runs or less in six consecutive starts. He's worked at least into the sixth inning in five straight and seven of his last eight outings. He enters this outing sporting a 3.14 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight nighttime starts, with the 'under' going 5-2-1 in those contests. Griffin Jax was shaky in his big league debut back in early July but has settled down considerably since, allowing just six earned runs in 20 1/3 innings over his last four outings. In his most recent start, Jax worked a career high six innings and struck out 10 against a red hot White Sox lineup. Behind Jax is an improving Twins bullpen that entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 3.72 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over their last seven games. Take the under (10*). |
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08-16-21 | Astros -148 v. Royals | 6-7 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Astros dropped the series finale against the Angels yesterday but that was after winning the first two games. Look for them to bounce back on Monday as they look to solidify their grip on the A.L. West Division lead. Jake Odorizzi will take the ball for Houston. While he owns an ugly ERA north of five on the road this season, his WHIP sits at a respectable 1.19. After a rough stretch, he bounced back in his most recent outing, allowing just three hits over five shutout innings against the Rockies. Behind Odorizzi is an Astros bullpen that has been lights out lately, entering yesterday's action sporting a collective 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over their last seven contests. Carlos Hernandez will counter for Kansas City. The left-hander has pitched well lately, allowing only two earned runs in 17 2/3 innings over his last three starts. Let's not get too excited though. He has topped out at four strikeouts in three of his last four outings. He's still averaging less than five innings per start which means we'll likely see plenty of the Royals bullpen, which owns a 4.39 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with 13 saves converted and eight blown at home this season. Take Houston (6*). |
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08-16-21 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The ball has been flying all over Great American Ballpark since mid-July but with the Reds coming off a week long road trip perhaps a lot of bettors have forgotten about their strong 11-4 o/u trend here at home. Over their last two homestands, the Reds have seen their games reach totals of 17, 11, 8, 26, 7, 7, 11, 8, 16, 12, 11, 11, 10, 14 and 5 runs - good for an average of 11.6 runs per game. With weather conditions once again favoring the hitters on Monday night, look for that 'over' trend to continue. The Cubs aren't scoring with much consistency right now but they did prove they're not completely lifeless at the dish when they plated 10 runs this past Friday night in Miami. A trip to Cincinnati could be good for them as they get to face Reds starter Wade Miley on Monday, noting that they've already seen him three times this season and have had some success, racking up 22 hits and eight walks in just 16 innings. They faced him once last year here in Cincinnati as well, chasing him before the end of the second inning but not before scoring five earned runs. I realize that this isn't the same Cubs squad post-trade deadline but there are still plenty of holdovers capable of giving Miley a rough ride on Monday. Rookie Justin Steele is one of the Cubs top pitching prospects but this isn't an ideal second big league start after he gave up a pair of home runs and three earned runs (while striking out just one) in five innings against the Brewers last week. Note that the Reds have scored at least six runs in eight of their last 12 games, plating 10 or more runs on three different occasions over that stretch. With Steele unlikely to work deep into this game we should see plenty of a Chicago bullpen that is in absolute shambles right now. Cubs relievers have posted a collective 8.78 ERA and 1.77 WHIP over their last seven games. Take the over (6*). |
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08-16-21 | Granada v. Villarreal -147 | 0-0 | Loss | -147 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villarreal over Granada at 2 pm et on Monday. Some will expect a letdown from Villarreal here after it fell on penalty kicks in the UEFA Super Cup against Chelsea last week. Instead, I see that as an excellent jumping off point as they kick off an important La Liga season on Monday. After finishing a somewhat disappointing seventh in La Liga action last year, Villarreal will have its sights set on loftier goals this year. Keep in mind, by winning the Europa League title over Manchester United, it has locked up a spot in 2021-22 Champions League play - all in all it's a very important season for the Yellow Submarine. Granada finished last season in ninth place in La Liga. That was actually a step back, however, as it had finished seventh the year previous, which marked its return to top level football in Spain. Note that while Granada has notched three victories in five preseason friendly matches, the last two victories came against the likes of Linense and Malaga. It will obviously be taking a significant step up in class here. If Villarreal is to improve on its standing over last year, it would certainly be well-served to pick up all three points in a match like this, especially considering it only managed a 2-2 draw the last time it met Granada. I expect to see the Yellow Submarine build off of its strong showing against Chelsea and get off to a winning start to the La Liga season with a win on Monday. Take Villarreal (5*). |
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08-15-21 | Dodgers v. Mets UNDER 8 | Top | 14-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
MLB Sunday Night Baseball First Five Innings Total of the Year. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Los Angeles and New York at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. After consecutive extra innings affairs, we'll look to avoid the bullpens in this one and play the 'first five innings' under the total. Max Scherzer will get his third start with the Dodgers after his most recent outing was cut short due to rain. Scherzer should have a live arm after working just 3 1/3 innings before the rain moved in earlier this week against the Phillies. Scherzer has not surprisingly pitched well in Dodger Blue, allowing just two earned runs while striking out 16 and walking just one in 10 1/3 innings of work since joining Los Angeles. He checks in sporting a 3.00 ERA and 1.03 WHIP on the road this season. The Mets are hoping Carlos Carrasco can pick them up after back-to-back one-run extra inning losses. After pitching reasonably well in his first two starts of the season he had a rough outing last time out. It was really the story of a bad start as he gave up consecutive singles before Juan Soto touched him up for a three-run home run to start the game. In limited work this season, Carrasco has posted an impressively-low 29.0% hard-hit ball percentage to go along with a 48.4% ground ball percentage. I look for him to bounce back here. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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08-15-21 | Yankees v. White Sox -174 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -174 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over New York at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. A letdown wasn't all that surprising after the White Sox beat the Yankees in thrilling fashion in the 'Field of Dreams' game on Thursday. New York got the better of Chicago last night but I look for the White Sox to answer back on Sunday afternoon. Nestor Cortes Jr. will take the ball for New York. He's pitched well in five starts this season, however he has allowed three home runs in his last two outings, covering a span of just 10 2/3 innings and will pitch on just four days' rest on Sunday. The White Sox are obviously a tough opponent, noting they entered yesterday's action 19 games over .500 at home this season, outscoring the opposition by 1.2 runs per game. Note that the Yankees bullpen entered last night's game having logged a whopping 34 innings over their last seven games and then proceeded to work another five in a 10-inning affair. While the New York relief corps has held up well, this is not an ideal spot. Lucas Giolito will counter for Chicago. He's coming off a stellar eight-inning performance against the Twins, allowing just one earned run. Here, he'll be pitching on a full five days' rest. He owns a solid 3.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 home starts this season. A stark contrast to the Yankees bullpen, the White Sox 'pen has worked among the fewest innings in baseball this season, a total of 369 entering last night's action. They've been at their best in day games this season, recording a collective 3.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with 14 saves converted and only six blown. Take Chicago (10*). |
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08-15-21 | Panthers v. Colts OVER 34 | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Carolina and Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers have a bit of a unique position battle going on at quarterback with P.J. Walker and Will Grier fighting for the backup job to Sam Darnold. Head coach Matt Rhule has indicated he may only keep two quarterbacks on the roster which means one of Walker or Grier could be left without a job at the end of the preseason. Here, I look for Carolina to go with a more pass-heavy attack than we're accustomed to seeing in the preseason as Rhule looks to evaluate his quarterbacks. Meanwhile, the Colts have a QB battle of their own with Jacob Eason and Sam Ehlinger fighting for the starting job - at least until Carson Wentz returns from injury. All indications are that both have impressed at training camp. We should see both get extended playing time in this one as head coach Frank Reich looks for some clarity as to who deserves the starting job in Week 1. This has certainly been a low-scoring preseason so far and that helps keep this total at a very reasonable number on Sunday afternoon. Take the over (10*). |
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08-14-21 | Seahawks v. Raiders OVER 37 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
NFLX Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Oakland at 9 pm et on Saturday. It's easy to forget that both of these teams have relatively high-scoring preseason track records after last year's exhibition schedule was scrapped entirely. That's not a real surprise as neither defense is great to begin with but get into the second and third levels in the depth chart and there are some real holes. There's a reason that this is one of the highest posted totals on the Week 1 NFLX board. Both sides do boast significant depth at the skill positions on offense. Perhaps one of the lone exceptions is the wide receiver position for Seattle. With that being said, that should lead to the Seahawks airing it out a little more than you might expect in this one as they evaluate the wide receivers that are battling for the number three spot behind DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. I like the QB rotations in this one and on the fast track at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, I'm anticipating a fairly high-scoring contest between these NFC-AFC West Division counterparts on Saturday night. Take the over (10*). |
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08-14-21 | Padres -200 v. Diamondbacks | 0-7 | Loss | -200 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Arizona at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. With the Reds breathing down their neck in the N.L. Wild Card race the Padres can ill afford to drop a third straight game to the lowly D'Backs on Saturday. Joe Musgrove will get the nod for San Diego. He's been the Padres most reliable starter lately, allowing two earned runs or less while working at least six innings in each of his last four starts. Over his last three outings he's struck out 23 while walking only five. The last two times Musgrove has faced the D'Backs he's tossed 13 innings of four-hit shutout ball. Behind Musgrove is a Padres bullpen that has fared well against division opponents, entering last night's action sporting a 2.81 ERA and 1.18 WHIP with 16 saves converted and only six blown. Rookie left-hander Tyler Gilbert will start for the D'Backs. He's worked out of the bullpen over the last few weeks and I wouldn't expect him to last deep into this game on Saturday. Of course, the Arizona bullpen has been awful this season, recording a collective 5.45 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with only nine saves converted and 11 blown here at home (entering last night's action). Take San Diego (5*). |
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08-14-21 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks OVER 46.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
CFL o/u Premier Play. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Edmonton at 7 pm et on Saturday. We've seen plenty of low-scoring games to open this CFL season - likely a product of their being no preseason this year. Here, I do think we'll see a little more offense as the Elks already have a game under their belts while the Als had an extra week of practice, and I expect them to be considerably stronger offensively than defensively once again. The Als certainly improved their pass rush in the offseason, with their big acquisition being former Elk Almondo Sewell. However, I do feel that Elks QB Trevor Harris should be able to get the ball out quickly enough to his talented group of wide receivers to find some offensive success in this one. There was plenty of rust last week as the Elks moved the football but couldn't finish drives with touchdowns. Against a weak Als secondary, there's reason to believe some of those field goal drives will turn into touchdowns here. The Als offense is virtually intact from 2019. There is top talent at all the skill positions, led by QB Vernon Adams Jr. and RB William Stanback. While the RedBlacks below average offense wasn't able to do much against Edmonton last week, I'm confident we'll see the Als open things up here. Keep in mind, when these two teams last met in the 2019 playoffs, we saw 66 total points scored. Take the over (10*). |
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08-14-21 | Reds v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
MLB o/u Premier Play. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. We missed with the 'over' in this matchup last night but despite a well-pitched game from both starters we still had an opportunity to cash with the potential 'over-clinching' run at the plate in the ninth inning. Here, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play, noting that weather conditions once again favor the hitters in Philadelphia. Luis Castillo gets the start for Cincinnati. We won with the 'over' in this most recent start - a 9-3 loss in Cleveland on Monday. Castillo will once again pitch on just four days' rest on Saturday - the third time he will have done so in his last four outings. He's now been tagged for five home runs in his last three starts and as I mentioned, conditions should favor the hitters at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Castillo checks in sporting a 5.40 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in eight of his 12 road starts this season. Behind Castillo is a Reds bullpen that held up well last night but has generally struggled this season, entering last night's action sporting a collective 4.51 ERA and 1.43 WHIP with 19 saves converted and 13 blown on the road this season. Note that the Reds haven't had a day off since August 2nd. Matt Moore will get a spot start for the Phillies on Saturday. He's generally been awful this season, posting a 9.30 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in five home starts. With Moore averaging just over four innings per start we're likely to see plenty of the Phillies bullpen. Their relief corps has posted a collective 4.82 ERA and 1.46 WHIP with 15 saves converted and nine blown at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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08-14-21 | Dolphins v. Bears -3.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 126 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Miami at 1 pm et on Saturday. The Bears are one of the biggest favorites on the NFL preseason Week 1 board and they're favored for a reason in my opinion. Chicago is in desperate need of a spark right out of the gate following another disappointing campaign. The Bears boast arguably the best QB rotation in the preseason with veterans Andy Dalton and Nick Foles book-ending potential standout rookie Justin Fields. Any or all of the three are capable of guiding the offense on touchdown drives against the Dolphins on Saturday. Meanwhile, Miami has already been dealing with a number of key injuries at training camp and I see it as a team that is simply looking to come out of this game unscathed injury-wise, with perhaps a few positive moments from QB Tua Tagovailoa to take away as well. The Dolphins may give veteran backup QB Jacoby Brissett the bulk of the snaps in this one but he's learning a new offense with unfamiliar faces after coming over from the Colts. The Dolphins are reportedly active in the trade market right now as they look for help on the offensive line. That's obviously not a good sign - again, they'll simply be looking to turn in a clean performance and avoid any more injuries and certainly won't look to put their quarterbacks under too much duress in this one. Expect a rather 'safe' offensive gameplan from the 'Fins in this one. |
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08-13-21 | Cowboys +1.5 v. Cardinals | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Arizona at 10 pm et on Friday. The Cowboys failed to reach the end zone in their preseason opener against the Steelers last week and that ugly loss in front of a national audience is a big reason why they're catching points against NFC West sleeper squad Arizona on Friday night. I do expect to see progression from Dallas in this one. The Cowboys offense struggled last week but that was expected as we rarely see sharp performances in the Hall of Fame Game and they were up against a Steelers defense that erased big plays by loading up the secondary as they looked to evaluate corners in that contest. The Cardinals obviously have plenty of starpower but their starters will likely see just a cameo appearance in this one. After Kyler Murray, we're likely to see journeyman QB Colt McCoy and former CFL standout Chris Streveler see the bulk of the snaps with the rest of the backups (and beyond) in this one. Neither instill a great deal of confidence against a Cowboys defense that has already seen game action, and also benefited from the opportunity to take part in joint practices with the Rams this past weekend. Take Dallas (10*). |
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08-13-21 | Astros -135 v. Angels | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Game of the Year. My selection is on Houston over Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Friday. We liked the Astros (understandably) earlier this week at home against the Rockies, cashing with them once in their two-game sweep. Here, I look for them to keep the positive momentum building as they continue to try to fend off the A's atop the A.L. West. Zack Greinke will get the nod for Houston on Friday. He's been terrific on the road this season, posting a 2.67 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with the Astros winning seven of his 10 starts. He's faced the Angels twice already this season, allowing just four earned runs in 14 innings with Houston winning both of those games. Behind Greinke is an Astros bullpen that has already had two days off this week and brings excellent form into this series having recorded a collective 1.35 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over its last seven games. Patrick Sandoval will counter for Los Angeles. He has quietly pitched well this season but has been a little weaker at home, where he has posted a 3.99 ERA and 1.28 WHIP with the Angels losing four of his seven starts. Since turning in his best outing of the season on July 24th in Minnesota, Sandoval has made two starts, allowing 11 hits and a whopping eight walks in just 10 2/3 innings. The Astros last saw the left-hander last August, tagging him for five earned runs on seven hits over just 2 2/3 innings in an 11-4 rout. The Angels bullpen has pitched better lately but is still an unreliable group, entering last night's action sporting a collective 4.80 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with 12 saves converted and nine blown at home this season. Note that they'll be playing their fifth game in the last four days on Friday. Take Houston (10*). |
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08-13-21 | Toronto +6.5 v. Winnipeg | 7-20 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. The Argos are coming off a stunning 23-20 win over the Stampeders on a last-minute field goal last week. Of course, that victory doesn't look quite as impressive after Calgary dropped a 15-9 decision at home against B.C. last night. With that being said, I do expect Toronto to once again turn in a quality performance away from home against the defending champion Blue Bombers on Friday night. I'm confident we'll see Toronto effectively shorten this game by pounding away with top-flight RB John White. Keep in mind, the Bombers will be without their best run stopped in Steve 'Stove' Richardson for this one while stud edge rushers Willie Jefferson and Jackson Jeffcoat are also questionable to suit up (I'm making this play with the expectation that both do play). Winnipeg got a tremendous performance from veteran QB Zach Collaros in last week's win over Hamilton. Collaros was comfortable in the pocket all night long thanks to a strong effort from the Winnipeg o-line. I do think we'll see him under duress far more often in this one, however. I still rate the Bombers as having one of the league's weaker wide receiving corps, especially with Darvin Adams and Ardarius Stewart sidelined due to injury. Take Toronto (8*). |
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08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 47.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. We've seen four of the first five CFL games this season stay 'under' the total - partly due to the fact that there were no preseason games this year. I expect that trend to continue for at least one more night on Friday. Look for Toronto to make every effort to effectively shorten this game by leaning on their rushing attack led by standout RB John White. With the Bombers missing elite run-stopper Steve 'Stove' Richardson, there's reason to believe the Boatmen can find some success moving the chains on the ground and ultimately putting together long, clock-churning drives. However, Toronto does have a relatively limited passing attack right now. Despite last week's victory, we didn't really see many big splash plays from QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson and the pass game. While the Bombers do employ an inexperienced secondary, I'm not convinced the Argos are well-equipped to take advantage. Winnipeg turned in a sharp offensive performance against Hamilton last week but should have its hands full against a revamped Argos defense that held Calgary to only 20 points last week, and has gotten healthier since. Take the under (8*). |
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08-13-21 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
MLB o/u Premier Play. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Cardinals are coming off a high-scoring affair to close out their series in Pittsburgh yesterday. Keep in mind, weather conditions were favorable for the hitters in that one as it was hot and humid with the wind blowing out. We're likely to see a different story on Friday with conditions favoring the pitchers and I look for Jack Flaherty and Mike Minor to take advantage. Flaherty will of course be returning to the rotation for the first time since May. There's no question he's ready to come back, keeping in mind his injury was actually to his left side rather than his throwing side. All indications are that he could have returned in the series in Pittsburgh but the Cards didn't want him hitting in an N.L. park. Here, he'll be able to focus solely on pitching and should fare well against a Royals club he has owned, facing them once in each of the last three seasons, allowing just two earned runs in 19 innings of work. While Flaherty isn't expected to be on a pitch count for this one, we could still see plenty of the Cardinals bullpen. That's not necessarily a bad thing as they've recorded a collective 2.40 ERA and 1.01 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown in 56 1/3 innings of work in interleague play this season. Entering yesterday's action they had posted a 1.02 WHIP over their last seven contests. Mike Minor will counter for Kansas City. After a long stretch of starting exclusively on four days' rest he has had a little more time off to rest his arm lately. He's struggled in his last couple of starts but both of those came on the road. Here at home, while his ERA north of five leaves a lot to be desired, he has posted a respectable 1.18 WHIP. In his last three home outings he has allowed eight earned runs in 18 2/3 innings. Note that the Cardinals check in averaging just 3.6 runs per game against left-handed pitching this season. Behind Minor is an improving Royals bullpen that enjoyed an off day yesterday and has posted a collective 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over the last seven games. Like the Cardinals, the Royals 'pen has also thrived in interleague play, recording a 2.56 ERA and 1.20 WHIP with six saves converted and only two blown. Take the under (10*). |
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08-13-21 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in the A's 17-0 rout of the Indians yesterday but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' as they continue their road trip in Texas on Friday. Cole Irvin gets the start for the A's. He's actually been getting stronger as the season goes on. He'll be facing the Rangers for the fourth time this season but his most recent outing against them was his best as he gave up just two earned runs over seven innings. Note that Texas has plated just 18 runs over its last nine games combined. Irvin has been at his best on the road, recording a 3.12 ERA and 1.13 WHIP with the 'under' cashing in eight of his 10 starts. The A's bullpen has been lights out lately, recording a collective 0.99 ERA and 0.73 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over their last seven games. Dane Dunning will counter for Texas. He's been a completely different pitcher here at the friendly confines of Globe Life Field. In 11 home outings he has posted a 2.51 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. He brings fine form into this starts having recorded a 3.37 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over his last three outings with the 'under' cashing in two of those. He last faced the A's back on July 1st in Oakland and didn't allow a single run over four innings. Behind Dunning is a Rangers bullpen that has also performed much better at home, sporting a collective 3.42 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Take the under (8*). |
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08-13-21 | Reds v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. While this looks like a fine starting pitching matchup at first glance, a deeper look leads me to believe we could be in for a relatively high-scoring affair on Friday night. The Phillies are actually coming off a low-scoring series against the Dodgers despite the fact that weather conditions certainly favored the hitters with heat, high humidity and the wind blowing out. That remains the case on Friday. Tyler Mahle has been pitching well for the Reds lately. However, here he'll be making his second straight start on four days' rest after working seven innings last time out. He's allowed just three home runs in 65 2/3 innings of work on the road this season but 15 in 58 innings pitched at home. Tonight, I would anticipate Citizens Bank Park playing a lot more like Great American Ballpark than usual due to the weather conditions. Mahle has faced the Phillies twice previously, allowing five earned runs including three home runs in just six innings. The Reds bullpen has held up well lately but can it really be trusted? Cincinnati's relief corps enters this game sporting a 5.28 ERA and 1.48 WHIP with 19 saves converted but 17 blown in night games this season. Zack Wheeler is a legitimate N.L. Cy Young contender but like Mahle, is in a bit of a tough spot here as he makes his third straight start on four days' rest. When you consider he's pitched at least into the eighth inning in each of his last two outings you can understand why his arm might not have quite as much life in it on Friday. We actually won with Wheeler in his last start as he tossed a complete game shutout against the Mets. Here, however, he'll face a Reds club that is heating up having scored 18 runs in their last two games and it's worth noting that Wheeler is by no means invincible as he had allowed seven earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his two previous starts before last Sunday's stellar outing. The Phillies bullpen hasn't been particularly sharp at home this season, recording a collective 4.82 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. In night games it has converted 17 saves while blowing 12. Take the over (9*). |
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08-13-21 | Titans v. Falcons | 23-3 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta over Tennessee at 7 pm et on Friday. Everyone is high on the Titans entering the 2021 season and for good reason. They added Julio Jones to an already dynamic offense and should be poised to go on another playoff run. That of course means little in the preseason, however. We're only likely to see cameo appearances from the Titans starters here. Note that Tennessee has only managed to win two of eight preseason games under the guidance of head coach Mike Vrabel going back to 2018. The Falcons have a new head coach in Arthur Smith and the former Titans offensive coordinator could certainly put a little extra stock in beating his former team here. I like the Falcons QB rotation a little more than that of the Titans with Feleipe Franks likely to see the bulk of the action in the second half. I like Franks mobility here as he should be able to extend plays against the Titans defensive backups. Keep in mind, Tennessee doesn't have an elite defense to begin with so when you get into the second and third level on the depth chart, there's reason for optimism when it comes to the Falcons offense. Take Atlanta (5*). |
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08-13-21 | Arsenal v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Brentford and Arsenal at 3 pm et on Friday. These two clubs have a lot to prove, albeit for different reasons, as they open the English Premier League season on Friday afternoon. For Arsenal, it can ill afford to drop three points against newly-promoted Brentford. There have been enough trying times for the Gunners in recent years, it will certainly be determined to at the very least stay level following a poor preseason showing. As for the Bees, this is obviously a triumphant day as it finds itself playing an EPL match for the first time in over 70 years. Brentford will without question find the going much tougher at this level than it did in the English Championship, where it sealed its promotion with a two-goal showing against Swansea City back in May. Staying level with Arsenal would obviously serve as a major victory for the Bees in front of their home faithul. Regardless, I feel we're in for a tightly-contested cagey affair on Friday with goals coming at a premium. Take the under (5*). |
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08-12-21 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
N.L. First Five Innings Total of the Month. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Colorado and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Thursday. The Giants just wrapped up a two-game sweep of the lowly D'Backs last night as they pounded away on an awful Arizona pitching staff. I expect they'll find the going a little tougher on Thursday as they face Rockies All-Star starter German Marquez. Meanwhile, the Rockies offense was non-existent in a two-game sweep at the hands of the Astros (they scored a grand total of one run). Expect more of the same against Giants improving young starter Logan Webb. Marquez got roughed up by the Giants in three starts earlier this season, but all three came before the second week of May, when the veteran right-hander was struggling mightily out of the gate. He's settled down since and enters this start sporting a 2.52 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 14 nighttime starts this season. Over his last two outings he's allowed just six hits and two earned runs in 12 innings of work. Speaking to his consistency, he has worked at least six innings in nine consecutive starts. I like the fact that he'll be pitching on a full five days' rest for the second consecutive start here. By playing the first five innings only we'll look to avoid a Rockies bullpen that is always a disaster waiting to happen, having posted a collective ERA north of five and a WHIP hovering around 1.50. Logan Webb will counter for San Francisco. He's quietly been one of the best pitchers on the Giants elite staff this season. Like Marquez, Webb got off to a shaky start this season and had a couple of rough early outings against these same Rockies. However, since giving up six earned runs in a start against Colorado back on May 5th, Webb has allowed two earned runs or less in nine consecutive outings. He's been outstanding here at home this season, posting a stellar 1.91 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts with all six staying 'under' the total. He's lasted six innings in each of his last three starts and like Marquez, has the benefit of pitching on a full five days' rest here. While the Giants bullpen has held up well, it's certainly worth noting that they haven't had an off day since back on July 26th. I'm not interested in testing the waters with that relief corps here, so we'll instead play the first five innings only. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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08-12-21 | Blue Jays v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Premier Play. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. We saw a high-scoring game between these two teams last night with the Blue Jays doing most of the heavy lifting. I expect a much different story to unfold on Thursday, however. Jose Berrios will make his third start with his new team. He's been lights out in the first two, allowing just one earned run while striking out 13 in 12 innings of work. He seemed to figure out the Angels lineup pretty well the last time he faced them in July (as a member of the Twins), allowing just two unearned runs over seven innings in a 2-1 loss. Note that Berrios has been at his best at night this season, recording a 2.26 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 20 starts. Behind Berrios is a Blue Jays bullpen that has been pitching well lately, recording a 2.05 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over their last seven games. They've converted 14 saves while blowing only five on the road this season. Shohei Ohtani will counter for Los Angeles. He'll be making just his fourth start since July 19th and first in over a week so there are no real concerns of a tired arm here. Note that Ohtani has posted a sparkling 1.79 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in nine home starts this season with the 'under' cashing in five of those games. While the Angels bullpen has struggled all season, the good news is Ohtani has lasted at least six innings in six of his last seven starts so we may not need a great deal of help from the Los Angeles relief corps here. Take the under (10*). |
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08-12-21 | BC v. Calgary -7 | 15-9 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Calgary minus the points over B.C. at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. Our two losses in CFL action last week came on plays involving these teams as we suffered an epic bad beat with the Riders in B.C.'s incredible comeback loss (but cover) while the Stampeders blew a second half lead (and cover) in a field goal loss to the Argos. Here, I like the way this one sets up as a big bounce-back game for the Stamps at home. B.C. had a miserable 2019 season and it might be in for a similar fate here in 2021 if Week 1 was any indication. Yes, give the Lions credit for not quitting and rallying back to nearly steal a win after falling behind 31-0 in the first half in Saskatchewan. However, the fact that it dug such a hole was telling. The Lions defense is saying all the right things heading into this one as it did hold an excellent Riders offense to just one second half point in last week's 33-29 loss, however that had everything to do with game flow. The Riders offense quite simply took its foot off the gas after building that 31-0 lead. B.C. won't be so fortunate here as the Stampeders come into this one in a foul mood after a disappointing season-opening loss at home. There were a lot of positives for Calgary to take away from last week's game. The offense was able to march the football up and down the field and just as easily could have put up 30+ point were it not for some miscues at the end of drives. That probably should have been expected with QB Bo Levi Mitchell missing considerable time in the 2019 season and then having no preseason games to get back in rhythm here this year. I do expect to see progression from the Calgary offense this week. Defensive, the Stamps were terrific last week, making a number of splash plays. Now they get too tee off on a weak Lions offensive line that will be without big offseason acquisition OL Ryker Matthews. Rookie QB Nathan Rourke is expected to start under center but don't be surprised if we see plenty of Michael Reilly as well. I'm not sure either are a great option at this point with Rourke still trying to learn the CFL game and Reilly clearly playing at less than 100%. Take Calgary (10*). |
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08-12-21 | Washington Football Team -2 v. Patriots | Top | 13-22 | Loss | -108 | 85 h 31 m | Show |
NFLX Game of the Week. My selection is on Washington minus the points over New England at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. If a road team is favored in Week 1 of the NFL preseason, there's usually a valid reason for it. I believe that statement holds true in this matchup as the Washington Football Team travels to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots. Washington head coach Ron Rivera sounds like he's taking the preseason seriously right out of the gate this season, indicating his starters are likely to see extended playing time on Thursday night. Whether or not that will actually be the case remains to be seen but regardless, I like the mentality he's building in his team that these preseason games are important. Here's a telling quote from Rivera from the weekend, “I think we have to grow and mature as a football team. I don’t think we can show up and automatically assume we’re gonna pick up where we left off last year.'' Washington boasts a very capable QB rotation with Ryan Fitzpatrick, Taylor Heinecke, Kyle Allen and Colorado U standout Steven Montez. The Patriots have been dealing with a number of injuries over the past week and will simply look to come out of this preseason opener healthy. Yes, rookie QB Mac Jones pushing veteran Cam Newton is a popular storyline at Patriots camp but the reality is Newton will more than likely begin the season as the starter, even though he has reportedly struggled in the early stages of training camp. He'll likely see only a cameo appearance on Thursday while Jones is still learning the offense and has spent more of his time working with the 'ones' at camp, and might struggle should he be on the field with backups on Thursday. Behind Newton and Jones will be veteran Brian Hoyer and Jake Dolegala. That duo inspires little confidence in the Pats ability to find much second half offensive success in this one. Take Washington (10*). |
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08-12-21 | Yankees v. White Sox -154 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday. While the Yankees wrapped up a series win in Kansas City yesterday the White Sox dropped a second straight game against the Twins. Here, I look for Chicago to rebound as it takes part in the 'Field of Dreams Game ' in Iowa. Andrew Heaney will get his third start as a member of the Yankees. The first two haven't gone particularly well as he's been tagged for eight earned runs including five home runs in 10 innings of work. Now he faces a White Sox lineup that loves hitting lefties and should be in a foul mood off yesterday's shutout loss. Note that Heaney has posted a 4.89 ERA in eight road starts this season with that number rising above five in nighttime outings. Given that he averages just a shade over five innings per start, the Yankees bullpen will undoubtedly be pressed into action. Keep in mind, the Yanks haven't had a day off since July 26th so we're talking about an overworked 'pen, a stark contrast to that of the White Sox, which I'll get to in a moment. Lance Lynn had his start pushed back a day for the White Sox. That's not a bad thing as he was going to have to pitch on four days' rest yesterday, a situation he's struggled in this season. Now he gets to pitch on full rest and does so away from home where he has posted a stellar 1.90 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 12 starts this season with the Sox winning seven of those games. Behind Lynn is a White Sox bullpen that I've been highlighting for weeks now has logged among the lowest total innings in all of baseball. This is a strong relief corps that should be in great shape down the stretch and I like their chances of taking care of the Yankees here. Take Chicago (5*). |
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08-12-21 | Tigers v. Orioles -136 | 6-4 | Loss | -136 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore over Detroit at 4:05 pm et on Thursday. The Tigers have been playing better baseball lately and have taken the first two games in this series. They're still going nowhere though, as they sit well out of playoff contention. Here, they'll be looking forward to heading home for a six-game homestand and I look for them to fall short in their attempt at wrapping up a series sweep in Baltimore on Thursdsay. Matt Manning is most definitely the weakest link in the Tigers rotation. It doesn't get much worse than a 9.13 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in five road starts this season with the Tigers losing all five of those games. The jury is still out as to whether Manning is capable of being a big league starter as he's topped out at four strikeouts in nine starts this season, recording a disappointing 23:13 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 42 2/3 innings pitched. With Manning averaging just 4.5 innings per start on the road this season we'll likely see plenty of the Tigers awful bullpen in this one. Detroit's 'pen has posted an ERA well north of five away from home this season and will likely be 'pitching from behind' in this one. John Means has been a bright spot in an otherwise dismal season for the Orioles. He's been outstanding in daytime starts this season, posting a 2.51 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in eight outings. Over his last two trips to the hill he's allowed just two earned runs in 11 innings, posting an 11:2 strikeout-to-walk ratio along the way. That included a start against these same Tigers on July 31st as he gave up only one earned run over six innings in a 5-2 win. The less said about the Orioles bullpen the better but I do expect them to be pitching with a large enough lead that they shouldn't play a major factor in the outcome of this contest. Take Baltimore (5*). |
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08-11-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. Last night's game between these two teams found its way 'over' the total thanks to extra innings. Tonight, I'm anticipating a more comfortable victory for 'over' backers. Spencer Howard gets the nod for Texas. He was the key piece coming back to the Rangers in the Kyle Gibson deal. While Howard has the potential to be a quality starter in the Rangers rotation for years to come, in the short-term he's likely to continue to struggle. Howard hasn't made it beyond the fourth inning in any of his eight starts this season. He made six starts during his rookie season a year ago and lasted five innings just once. That spells trouble as the Rangers bullpen has been awful on the road, posting a 5.36 ERA and 1.47 WHIP with only six saves converted and six blown entering last night's action. While they did eventually record a save in last night's game that was only after coughing up the lead in the ninth inning (the Mariners probably should have won the game in walk-off fashion as they loaded the bases with no outs) and then also giving up a run in the 10th. Tyler Anderson will counter for Seattle. While he's pitched reasonably well this season, I do think the Rangers can scratch together enough offense against him to help this one 'over' the total. Note that Anderson will be making his home debut for the Mariners after coming over prior to the trade deadline. The last time he pitched here at T-Mobile Park he was tagged for four earned runs in just four innings in a start last September. The Rangers have been a better offensive club against southpaws this season, averaging just shy of four runs per game. Take the over (7*). |
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08-11-21 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 10 | 10-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the second game of yesterday's double-header between these two teams and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Interestingly, that game last night featured just one total run after five innings (in a seven-inning game) but still found its way 'over' the total of 8.5. Weather conditions are once again expected to favor the hitters on Wednesday night with the wind strongly blowing out to right-center field. Corbin Burnes will take the ball for the Brewers. He'll be starting on just four days' rest for the first time since April on Wednesday. Note that he's allowed a home run in each of his last two starts. That's after giving up a grand total of just two home runs in his previous 16 outings. I'll also point out that he has topped out at six strikeouts in his last three starts. That's the longest such streak of the season where he didn't record more than seven strikeouts. Behind Burnes is a Brewers bullpen that has hit the wall a little bit lately, posting a collective 6.04 ERA and 1.74 WHIP over their last seven contests with three converted saves to go along with three blown. Jake Arrieta will counter for Chicago. He's been a train wreck lately, allowing 16 earned runs over his last four starts, covering a span of only 11 1/3 innings. He's given up at least one home run in seven straight starts and allowed a whopping three in his most recent outing. The Brewers will be getting their fourth look at Arrieta this season, having scored a whopping 28 runs in those previous three contests. The Cubs bullpen simply isn't the same unit is was a few weeks ago. Chicago's relief corps has posted a collective 5.33 ERA and 1.33 WHIP with only one converted save over its last seven games. Take the over (9*). |
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08-11-21 | Rays v. Red Sox -115 | Top | 8-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
A.L. East Game of the Year. My selection is on Boston over Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. It's put up or shut up time for the Red Sox. They lost the opener of this important three-game series against the team they're looking up at in the A.L. East standings. I expect them to answer back on Wednesday night. Josh Fleming will get the start for the Rays. It could be argued that he's been the weak link in the Rays rotation this season as they've only managed to go 5-5 in his 10 outings (that's telling considering they're 24 games over .500 overall). Fleming has made five road starts with the Rays winning only two of those games as he's posted a 6.67 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. While the Red Sox have struggled at times against left-handed pitching this season they've never had any trouble with Fleming, scoring six earned runs on 14 hits in just 9 1/3 innings. That's despite the fact that he's yet to make a start here at Fenway Park, where the weather conditions are expected to be favorable for the hitters again on Wednesday night. Nathan Eovaldi counters for Boston. He's been awful over his last two starts but both of those came on the road. He's been a different pitcher here at home where he's posted a 3.30 ERA and 1.13 WHIP with the Sox winning seven of his 13 starts this season. Note that over his last four home outings he has allowed just two earned runs in 29 innings of work. Eovaldi was roughed up by the Rays in his last start against them less than two weeks ago but that was in St. Petersburg. The last time he faced them here in Boston he allowed just one earned run in seven innings in a 9-2 victory back in April. Behind Eovaldi is a Red Sox bullpen that coughed one up last night but has generally been solid in night games this season, recording a collective 3.44 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with 28 converted saves and only 10 blown. Boston's relief corps has converted 16 of 23 save opportunities at home this season. Take Boston (10*). |
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08-11-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Premier O/U Play. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this one sets up as a high-scoring affair at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday night. We saw a relatively low-scoring game between these two teams in last night's series-opener but that was to be expected with Max Scherzer and Aaron Nola toeing the rubber. Here, we can anticipate a much different story to unfold. David Price will get the start for Los Angeles. After giving up two home runs in his most recent start (he's allowed two home runs in two of his last three outings) I won't be surprised if he gets caught trying to be a little 'too perfect' on Wednesday and the Phillies certainly have a lineup capable of punishing him for that. Note that Price has posted a 4.70 ERA over his last three outings and has topped out at four strikeouts in seven of his eight starts this season - clearly a shell of his former self. While he's pitched well in his career against Philadelphia, he hasn't faced the Phils since 2018. Here, he'll be pitching on just four days' rest, noting the last time he did that he allowed three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 9-6 loss to the lowly Rockies. The Dodgers bullpen will likely get plenty of work with Price averaging just a shade over four innings per start on the road this season. That relief corps has struggled a bit on the road this season, posting a 3.78 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with 13 saves converted and 10 blown (entering last night's action). Kyle Gibson will get his third start as a member of the Phillies and will pitch on just four days' rest for the second straight outing. While he's pitched well in his last two outings, those came against the Pirates and Mets. He'll be taking a step up in class here, noting that he was tagged for five earned runs including three home runs over just five innings in his last start against the Dodgers last August. Behind Gibson is a Phillies bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 4.80 ERA and 1.42 WHIP with 14 saves converted and nine blown at home this season. Finally, I'll note that weather conditions are expected to favor the hitters on Wednesday (as if often the case this time of year in Philadelphia) with warm temperatures and the wind blowing out to right-center field. Take the over (10*). |
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08-11-21 | White Sox -160 v. Twins | 0-1 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Minnesota at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. Expect the White Sox to bounce back after they saw their four-game winning streak come to an end last night. Impressive rookie Griffin Jax kept the Twins in the game long enough for them to rally for a 4-3 victory on Tuesday but here, they aren't likely to be so fortunate with another rookie, Bailey Ober, taking the ball. Ober will be facing the White Sox for the fifth time this season. He's pitched well in just one of his previous four outings against them. In the other three starts he's been tagged for 14 hits and 12 earned runs including six home runs in only 12 1/3 innings of work. With Ober averaging just 4.5 innings per start at home this season, the White Sox should see plenty of a Twins bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 5.14 ERA and 1.34 WHIP with only 12 saves converted and eight blown at home this season. We're talking about an overworked relief corps that hasn't had a day off in more than a week. Chicago will counter with Lance Lynn. The Sox have won five of his last six starts with the lone loss coming against these same Twins. Keep in mind, he did pitch well in that start against Minnesota and has generally owned the Twins this season, allowing only four earned runs in 24 innings of work. Lynn checks in with a 2.27 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in eight road starts this season with Chicago winning five of those games. Better still, he has posted a sparkling 1.38 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in nine daytime starts with Chicago winning six of those contests. Behind Lynn is a White Sox bullpen that has recorded a 3.77 ERA and 1.28 WHIP with 14 saves converted and only six blown in day games this season. Take Chicago (5*). |
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08-10-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -203 | 5-4 | Loss | -203 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over Texas at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. We're being asked to pay a steep price to back the Mariners on Tuesday but I believe it could be even higher. It's crunch time for Seattle coming off a tough series in the Bronx and it can ill afford to drop games against the lowly Rangers this week if it wants to stay in the A.L. playoff picture. I like the M's to at the very least get this series off to a winning start on Tuesday. Kolby Allard will take the ball for the Rangers. The Rangers have won just once in his 12 starts this season. He checks in sporting a 6.29 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road. In two previous starts against the Mariners this season he's been tagged for eight earned runs, including three home runs, in just seven innings of work. Allard isn't likely to get much help from the Rangers bullpen either. They've posted a collective 5.36 ERA and 1.47 WHIP with just six saves converted and six blown on the road this season. Rookie Logan Gilbert will counter for Seattle. While his personal results have been mixed, the Mariners have gone 11-3 in his 14 starts and I like the fact that he's posted an impressive 1.10 WHIP on the season. He labored through 5 2/3 innings against the Rangers in Texas last week but the Mariners still managed to win that game 9-5. Here, he catches Texas having gone 30 games under .500 on the road, outscored by an average margin of 2.0 runs per game. Gilbert generally has a short leash so we could see plenty from the Mariners bullpen in this one and that's not a bad thing. Their relief corps has posted a collective 3.37 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with 15 saves converted and only seven blown here at home this season. Take Seattle (4*). |
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08-10-21 | Rockies v. Astros -168 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston over Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Astros will be happy to face a team other than the Minnesota Twins after a rocky four-game series from Thursday-Sunday. Following an off day on Monday, I look for Houston to get back on track as it welcomes the Rockies for the opener of a quick two-game set on Tuesday. Jon Gray will take the ball for Colorado. He's been a much better pitcher at home compared to on the road this season, noting that he has posted a 4.40 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in nine outings away from home with the Rockies winning only two of those games. It's also worth mentioning that he'll be making his fourth start since July 25th as each of his last two starts were made on just four days' rest. He allowed eight hits in 6 2/3 innings last time out, his highest hit total allowed since back on May 17th. Gray did handle the Astros in his lone previous start against them this season but that came at home back in April, at a time when Houston was struggling at the plate having scored three runs or less in six of its last seven games. With Gray averaging just over five innings per start on the road this season we should see plenty of a bad Rockies bullpen that owns a collective 5.25 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with only eight saves converted and eight blown on the road this season. Jake Odorizzi will counter for Houston. He hasn't pitched well lately, there's no denying that. He's also faced a tough slate of starts lately, with three of his last four outings coming on the road against the White Sox, Mariners and Dodgers. In his last two home starts he's posted a 10:2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and allowed five earned runs without giving up a single home run in 10 2/3 innings. He'll have the advantage of facing the Rockies for the first time in his career on Tuesday. Behind Odorizzi is a solid Astros bullpen that has posted a collective 3.81 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 11 saves converted and only five blown at home this season. That relief corps has been lights out lately, recording a 1.42 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over their last seven contests. Take Houston (6*). |
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08-10-21 | Rockies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
N.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Astros had a tough time in a four-game series against the Twins from Thursday-Sunday, scoring only 16 runs in dropping three of four contests. Perhaps that letdown was to be expected after a tough road trip that took them through Seattle, San Francisco and Los Angeles, during which they enjoyed plenty of offensive success. Following a much-needed off day on Monday, I expect them to take their frustrations out on the Rockies on Tuesday, helping this one 'over' the very reasonable total. Jon Gray will get the start for the visiting Rockies. He's quite simply been a different pitcher on the road compared to at home this season, recording a 4.40 ERA and 1.43 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in five of his nine outings. Here, he's in a bit of a tough spot as he makes his fourth start since July 25th. We saw some signs of wear in his most recent start as he was tagged for eight hits in six innings - his highest hit total allowed since May 17th. Gray has had previous success against the Astros but has never faced them here in Houston. Behind Gray is an awful Rockies bullpen that has posted a collective 5.25 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with only eight saves converted and eight blown on the road this season. Over their last seven games they've recorded an ERA north of six. Jake Odorizzi will look to right the ship as he takes the ball for the Astros. He allowed a whopping four home runs in his most recent start and has been tagged for eight long balls in total in his last four outings. The 'over' has cashed in four of his six home starts as he's recorded a 5.56 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. While I do think he can turn things around to a certain extent in this start, it's highly unlikely that he'll shut the Rockies offense down completely. Despite Colorado's miserable road record this season, it has still managed to average north of three runs per game away from Coors Field and I believe that might be all we need from them to help this one 'over' the total. The Astros have a fine bullpen but I will point out that for whatever reason they've struggled in interleague play, posting a collective 6.05 ERA and 1.77 WHIP, albeit with a small sample size of only 44 2/3 innings. Take the over (10*). |
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08-10-21 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. With ideal hitting conditions at Wrigley Field on Tuesday night (wind is expected to be blowing out to center field) I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair between the Brewers and Cubs. Aaron Ashby will get his second start of the season for Milwaukee. His first came against Chicago as well and it didn't go swimmingly. Ashby was tagged for seven runs, four of them earned, and didn't manage to get out of the first inning. While it's tough to envision this start going any worse, it is certainly worth noting that the Cubs have been a better offensive club both at home and against left-handed pitching this season. While they're certainly not the same team they were pre-deadline, I still believe they're capable of a breakout offensive performance here and will certainly be eager to take their frustrations out on the Brewers pitching staff after facing a tough slate of starters in recent days. Behind Ashby is a Brewers bullpen that enters Tuesday's action sporting a collective 5.54 ERA and 1.65 WHIP over their last seven games with three saves converted and three blown. They've only managed to convert 11-of-20 save opportunities on the road this season. Alec Mills will counter for Chicago. After a strong start to the season he's wobbled a little lately, allowing 17 hits in 12 innings over his last two starts. Note that Mills has allowed a home run in each of his last three outings here at Wrigley Field and again, with ideal hitting conditions on Tuesday we could certainly see Mills fall victim to a long ball or two. The Brewers will be getting their fourth look at Mills going back to last August and the lone previous time they faced him this season, they chased him after four innings but not before he gave up a pair of earned runs including a home run, walked three and didn't strike out a single batter. The Cubs bullpen, like the Brewers, has struggled lately, recording a collective 5.60 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over its last seven games. While Chicago's relief corps has been solid at home this season, we're not talking about the same group that we were before the trade deadline. Take the over (8*). |
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08-10-21 | Ferencvaros v. Slavia Praha OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Slavia Prague and Ferencvaros at 1 pm et on Tuesday. Slavia Prague was stunned by a 2-0 score in the first leg of this Champions League qualifying matchup last week. Back at home, I certainly expect it to answer back but will it be enough to win on aggregate - it obviously has a serious uphill battle down two goals without an away goal to its credit. Needless to say, we should see Slavia Prague come out with an attacking mindset here. Ferencvaros is unlikely to roll over or settle into a defensive shell, despite the 2-0 advantage. Keep in mind, it has scored a whopping 13 goals in just five matches in the 2021 campaign. Going back to 2020 we find that it managed to find the back of the net in difficult matchups against the likes of Juventus, Barcelona and Dinamo Zagreb. Note that Slavia Prague remains vulnerable at the back-end with two key defenders sidelined, Ondrej Kudela due to a UEFA-imposed suspension and David Hovorka as a result of injury. If it wants to advance beyond this stage it will likely need to topple this total all on its own. Thankfully, that's not a requirement, however, with Ferencvaros likely to ripple the net at least once as well. Take the over (7*). |
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08-09-21 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
N.L. Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on San Diego -1.5 runs over Miami at 10:10 pm et on Monday. We won with the Padres yesterday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them as they open a series against the Marlins on Monday night. Zach Thompson will take the ball for Miami. Unfortunately, he's in a tough spot here, making his second consecutive start on just four days' rest. The Marlins are winless in his four road starts this season, where he's averaged just a shade over four innings per start. That spells trouble for an overworked Marlins bullpen that hasn't had a day off since July 29th. Note that Thompson has topped out at three strikeouts or less in three of his last four starts after posting six or more K's in four of his first five outings. Here, he'll be facing the Padres for the second time this season after suffering a 5-2 loss against them at home back on July 23rd. He lasted only five innings in that start, allowing three earned runs on six hits while striking out only three and walking one. Joe Musgrove will counter for San Diego. We actually cashed a ticket fading him in his most recent start in Oakland. That was no fault of his, however, as he allowed only one earned run on two hits over six innings. Now Musgrove is back home where he owns a 2.52 ERA and 1.00 WHIP this season. He faced the Marlins once this season, allowing two earned runs over six innings, also matched up against Thompson in that 5-2 win back on July 23rd. Like the Marlins 'pen, the Padres bullpen has also been overworked this season. However, they've still managed to pitch well, recording a collective 2.65 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with 23 saves converted and only seven blown here at home. Take San Diego -1.5 runs (10*). |
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08-09-21 | Reds v. Indians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Cleveland at 6:10 pm et on Monday. We missed with the Reds 'over' yesterday afternoon but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as they open a road trip in Cleveland on Monday. First, it's worth noting that the wind is expected to be blowing out to right-center field in this one, ideal conditions for the bats at Progressive Field. Luis Castillo will take the ball for the Reds. While he has certainly turned things around with a terrific stretch of performances, this is by no means an ideal spot as he starts on just four days' rest for the third consecutive outing. While the Indians struggled against Castillo in their first look at him back in 2019, they've figured him out since, scoring seven earned runs in just nine innings against him since last season, including a 9-2 victory here in Cleveland back in May. Behind Castillo is a Reds bullpen that really struggled in night games this season, posting a collective 5.45 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with 19 saves converted and 16 blown. Sam Hentges will get a spot start for the Indians. He's yet to find much success at the big league level and the jury is still out as to whether he's capable of rounding into a major league starter. In three home starts this season, the left-hander has recorded an ugly 9.31 ERA and 2.38 WHIP. That's despite tossing 4 2/3 shutout innings here in his big league debut back in mid-May. Hentges is averaging just under 3 2/3 innings per start and now faces a Reds club that has averaged a whopping seven runs per game over the last week. While the Indians bullpen has been solid this season, it has struggled in interleague play, recording a collective 4.92 ERA and 1.47 WHIP with only three saves converted and four blown in 56 2/3 innings of work. Take the over (10*). |
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08-08-21 | Angels v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
MLB Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on the Dodgers -1.5 runs over the Angels at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. The Dodgers bounced back from a disappointing extra innings loss on Friday with a come-from-behind 5-3 victory last night. I look for them to pick up right where they left off on Sunday as they wrap up the series win in convincing fashion. Reid Detmers will get a second straight turn in the rotation for the Angels despite pitching poorly in his big league debut. Detmers was actually favored in that start, at home against the A's, but ultimately lost the game by a lopsided 8-3 score. He gave up six hits and six earned runs, including two home runs, while striking out only two and walking two over 4 1/3 innings. It's hard to envision him faring much better against an even tougher opponent here. While the Angels bullpen has pitched better lately, this is by no means an ideal spot as they've posted a collective 5.26 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in day games this season. To make matters worse, the Halos inexplicably haven't had a day off since way back on July 21st. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will hand the ball to Walker Buehler. All he's done in 13 home starts this season is post a 2.16 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Better still, he has recorded a sparkling 0.47 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in three daytime outings with the Dodgers winning all three of those games. The Dodgers bullpen has of course been effective at home this season, recording a collective 3.50 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 18 saves converted and only nine blown (entering last night's action). Take the Dodgers -1.5 runs (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-28-21 | Nationals v. Mets -206 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
08-28-21 | Cubs v. White Sox -1.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
08-28-21 | Brewers -144 v. Twins | 4-6 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
08-28-21 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
08-28-21 | Royals v. Mariners -148 | 4-2 | Loss | -148 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
08-28-21 | Hawaii v. UCLA UNDER 70.5 | Top | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 218 h 21 m | Show |
08-27-21 | Hamilton v. Montreal OVER 46.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
08-27-21 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -225 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
08-27-21 | Colts v. Lions OVER 31.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 30 m | Show |
08-26-21 | Dodgers v. Padres +122 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
08-26-21 | Aces -10.5 v. Dream | Top | 78-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
08-26-21 | Sparks v. Sun OVER 151 | 72-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
08-26-21 | Crvena Zvezda v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
08-26-21 | Zalgiris v. Bodo / Glimt OVER 3.25 | 0-1 | Loss | -127 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
08-25-21 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
08-25-21 | Rays v. Phillies OVER 8 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
08-25-21 | Tigers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
08-24-21 | Royals v. Astros -217 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
08-24-21 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
08-24-21 | Angels v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | Top | 14-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
08-24-21 | Sparks v. Mystics +1.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
08-24-21 | Sky v. Dream UNDER 166.5 | Top | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
08-24-21 | Mariners v. A's -140 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
08-23-21 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
08-23-21 | White Sox -107 v. Blue Jays | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
08-23-21 | Rangers v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
08-22-21 | 49ers -5 v. Chargers | 15-10 | Push | 0 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
08-22-21 | 49ers v. Chargers OVER 34 | 15-10 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
08-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
08-21-21 | Phillies v. Padres -157 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
08-21-21 | Titans v. Bucs -1 | 34-3 | Loss | -108 | 59 h 39 m | Show | |
08-21-21 | Falcons v. Dolphins OVER 36.5 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show |
08-21-21 | Winnipeg v. Toronto OVER 43.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 56 h 52 m | Show |
08-21-21 | Royals v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
08-20-21 | Montreal v. Calgary UNDER 45.5 | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 34 m | Show | |
08-20-21 | Chiefs -2 v. Cardinals | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 37 h 8 m | Show |
08-20-21 | Bengals v. Washington Football Team UNDER 35 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 55 m | Show | |
08-20-21 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
08-20-21 | Storm -8 v. Liberty | 99-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show |
08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 45.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 4 m | Show | |
08-19-21 | Mystics v. Mercury UNDER 164.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
08-19-21 | Patriots v. Eagles +1.5 | 35-0 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 1 m | Show | |
08-19-21 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 8 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
08-19-21 | Angels v. Tigers +1.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -147 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals +1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
08-18-21 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
08-18-21 | Indians v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
08-17-21 | Pirates v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
08-17-21 | Mystics v. Aces OVER 170 | Top | 83-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
08-17-21 | Mets v. Giants -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
08-17-21 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
08-17-21 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 12 | 3-7 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
08-17-21 | Astros -192 v. Royals | 1-3 | Loss | -192 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
08-17-21 | Wings v. Sky OVER 166.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
08-17-21 | Cubs v. Reds -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
08-16-21 | Mets v. Giants -180 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
08-16-21 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
08-16-21 | Padres -126 v. Rockies | 5-6 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
08-16-21 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 10 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
08-16-21 | Astros -148 v. Royals | 6-7 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
08-16-21 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
08-16-21 | Granada v. Villarreal -147 | 0-0 | Loss | -147 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
08-15-21 | Dodgers v. Mets UNDER 8 | Top | 14-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
08-15-21 | Yankees v. White Sox -174 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -174 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
08-15-21 | Panthers v. Colts OVER 34 | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
08-14-21 | Seahawks v. Raiders OVER 37 | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
08-14-21 | Padres -200 v. Diamondbacks | 0-7 | Loss | -200 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
08-14-21 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks OVER 46.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
08-14-21 | Reds v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
08-14-21 | Dolphins v. Bears -3.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 126 h 34 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Cowboys +1.5 v. Cardinals | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 47 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Astros -135 v. Angels | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
08-13-21 | Toronto +6.5 v. Winnipeg | 7-20 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 47.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
08-13-21 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Reds v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Titans v. Falcons | 23-3 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
08-13-21 | Arsenal v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
08-12-21 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
08-12-21 | Blue Jays v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
08-12-21 | BC v. Calgary -7 | 15-9 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
08-12-21 | Washington Football Team -2 v. Patriots | Top | 13-22 | Loss | -108 | 85 h 31 m | Show |
08-12-21 | Yankees v. White Sox -154 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
08-12-21 | Tigers v. Orioles -136 | 6-4 | Loss | -136 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
08-11-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
08-11-21 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 10 | 10-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
08-11-21 | Rays v. Red Sox -115 | Top | 8-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
08-11-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
08-11-21 | White Sox -160 v. Twins | 0-1 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
08-10-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -203 | 5-4 | Loss | -203 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
08-10-21 | Rockies v. Astros -168 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
08-10-21 | Rockies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
08-10-21 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
08-10-21 | Ferencvaros v. Slavia Praha OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
08-09-21 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
08-09-21 | Reds v. Indians OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
08-08-21 | Angels v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |