Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-31-19 | Nationals v. Reds UNDER 9 | 3-9 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Cincinnati on Friday night. Patrick Corbin will take the ball for the Nationals. He has worked at least six innings in four of his last five starts and is fresh off a complete game shutout victory over the Marlins. Note that he has worked at least into the eighth inning in two of three career starts here in Cincinnati. Tyler Mahle will counter for the Reds. He saw his streak of three consecutive starts lasting at least six innings end last time out against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. I think we'll see him bounce back here, however, noting that he has posted a miniscule 0.82 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in two home starts spanning 11 innings this season. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors +1.5 v. Raptors | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Toronto at 9:07 pm et on Thursday. I'll keep it simple in Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night. The Raptors are going to have an awfully tough time getting back up to the level that saw them rally from a big double-digit deficit in the second half of their series-clinching win against the Bucks last Saturday night. The Warriors have been off for what seems like an eternity now but I don't expect rust to play much of a factor. I'm sure they can't wait to get back on the floor and I actually like the fact that they open the Finals on the road for a change. A date with Kawhi Leonard and the red hot Raptors is not difficult at all to get up for and I think we'll see a complete effort from Golden State here, especially after dropping both regular season meetings with Toronto. Take Golden State (10*). |
|||||||
05-30-19 | Royals v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams were involved in a high-scoring series a couple of weeks ago but I expect to see a lower-scoring affair in Arlington on Thursday night. Jakob Junis has worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts. Only one of those five games went 'over' the total. Junis faced the Rangers once last season and gave up just three runs in six innings in a 3-2 loss. Mike Minor has quietly been getting the job done for the Rangers this season. The 'under' has gone 4-1 over his last five starts and 6-2 over his last eight trips to the hill. He loves pitching here in Arlington, where he has posted a 2.08 ERA in 34 2/3 innings of work this season. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-29-19 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. Expect a pitcher's duel at Dodgers Stadium on Wednesday night. Noah Syndergaard has worked at least into the sixth inning in five straight starts. He was roughed up by the Tigers, allowing five earned runs in his most recent start, but I'm confident we'll see him bounce back here. Meanwhile, Walker Buehler has really settled in after a poor start to the season for the Dodgers. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven straight starts, allowing one earned run or less in four of those outings. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-29-19 | Blues +150 v. Bruins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 150 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Boston at 8:08 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the Bruins in Game 1 of this series on Monday night but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the Blues to even things up in Game 2 on Wednesday. St. Louis obviously got off to a fine start in Game 1, jumping ahead 2-0 before the Bruins got back in the game and ultimately took full control. The Blues know they can hang with the Bruins, you could argue that if a couple of bounces went their way in the second period on Monday they would have ended up stealing the game. St. Louis has clearly faced plenty of adversity this season and I don't expect to see it back down from the challenge that now lies ahead. Behind a strong bounce-back performance from Jordan Binnington between the pipes, look for the Blues to get back at the B's on Wednesday night. Take St. Louis (10*). |
|||||||
05-29-19 | Cubs v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Minute Maid Park on Wednesday night. Kyle Hendricks will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in five straight starts, allowing one earned run or less in three of those outings. Meanwhile, Astros starter Wade Miley has gone into the sixth inning in seven of his last eight starts. In the lone game where he didn't work into the sixth he gave up just two earned runs over five innings and that outing came at hitter-friendly Fenway Park in Boston. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-29-19 | Indians +117 v. Red Sox | 14-9 | Win | 117 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Boston at 6:10 pm et on Wednesday. I like the value being offered with the struggling Indians here as they hand the ball to Shane Bieber, who has already previously been on the hill for a win here at Fenway Park last season, and comes in with a ton of confidence, having struck out 25 over his last two starts, spanning 14 innings of work. Ryan Weber makes his second start of the season for the Red Sox after tossing an effective six innings against the lowly Blue Jays last week. Note that was Weber's first big league start since making one start with the Mariners back in 2017. I'm not expecting big things from him moving forward and think the Indians can get to him in this contest. Take Cleveland (10*). |
|||||||
05-29-19 | Padres v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and New York at 1:05 pm et on Wednesday. A terrific pitching matchup is on deck at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday afternoon. Rookie Chris Paddack has been lights out for the Padres this season. He checks in having worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last seven starts, allowing three earned runs or less in all of those outings. James Paxton counters for the Yankees. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in six of his last eight starts going back to last season and has given up just three earned runs over his last four starts combined, spanning 22 2/3 innings. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-28-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. I'm not sure how many more opportunities we'll have to play the 'over' in Antonio Senzatela starts as he's been bad enough that his spot in the rotation is in doubt. With both of these teams swinging hot bats right now, there's little reason to believe the total will prove too high. Senzatela has been bad here at Coors Field, posting an ERA north of seven and a WHIP approaching two. With that being said, D'Backs starter Merrill Kelly has been even worse on the road, recording a 7.66 ERA and 2.10 WHIP. I don't believe either starter can keep the ball in the park on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over St. Louis at 8:08 pm et on Monday. I like the Bruins to win this series and it all starts with a win in the opener on Monday night. Boston has had a long layoff since sweeping the Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference Final but considering it had some key players banged up, I don't think that's a bad thing. The Blues are a quality, well-coached team playing their best hockey of the entire season but I don't believe they've faced a challenge like they will from the Bruins. This won't be a cakewalk for the B's by any means, but I believe the oddsmakers have come up a little short in pricing Boston tonight. Take Boston (10*). |
|||||||
05-25-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Toronto at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. Jumping out to a big early lead might have been part of the gameplan, but it certainly didn't work out in the Bucks favor on Thursday night as they let the Raptors back into the game and then Toronto took full control thanks to an all-world performance from Kawhi Leonard in the fourth quarter. While the Raptors bandwagon has filled up in a hurry, I'm not sure that's the right move from a betting perspective as the scene shifts back to Toronto on Saturday. Yes, the Raptors fan base is extremely hungry to watch their team finally break through and advance to the NBA Finals and the place will most definitely be 'rocking' on Saturday night. That doesn't guarantee a win, however. The Bucks clearly felt the pressure once things tightened up in Game 5 and I expect the same thing to happen to the Raptors with the weight of seemingly the entire city on their shoulders on Saturday. Going into this series I would have been shocked if you told me that the Bucks wouldn't win a game in Toronto. This is a team that has proven it can win on this floor this season, and one that has proven it can rise to the occasion in hostile environments. This had the feel of a series that was going to go the distance after Game 4 but that sentiment has changed with the Raptors stealing Game 5 on the road. Keep in mind, the Bucks were favored in the last game played on this floor. I'll grab the points with Milwaukee as its season hangs in the balance. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
|||||||
05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 94-100 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. We've seen this total continue to drop as the series has gone on. After a relatively low-scoring series-opener we won with the 'over' in Game 2 before getting burned by double-overtime with an 'under' ticket in Game 3. Here, I'll go back to the total and back the 'over' as I'm anticipating a strong performance from both offenses. Toronto relied heavily on its hot three-point shooting in Game 5 on Thursday. That performance really came out of left field with Fred Van Vleet in particular going off from beyond the arc. While I don't anticipate another lights out performance from three-point range, I am confident the Raps can improve on their shot-making in closer range, where they struggled mightily at times in Game 5. They were getting open looks all game long - this time around I look for them to knock those shots down. Meanwhile, the Bucks got off to a hot start but then fizzled on Thursday, perhaps feeling some of the pressure on their home floor. Here, I look for Giannis in particular to do a much better job of getting to the rim and forcing the issue. Kawhi has done a tremendous job defending him to this point, but with the Bucks backs against the wall, I do expect a big effort from the 'Greek Freak'. It all boils down to this total being too low - an overreaction to recent results in this series. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-24-19 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Oakland at 10:07 pm et on Friday. The Mariners are obviously struggling right now, fresh off a series sweep against the Rangers in hitter's paradise Arlington, where they could only muster four runs in the final two games. With Ryan Healy and Dee Gordon sidelined they're missing a couple of key bats in their order entering this series. Help is on the way with Kyle Seager expected to return, but not until tomorrow. The A's are in a tough spot, returning home following an eight-game road trip, albeit a successful one. Note that Oakland is averaging just 3.75 runs per game at home this season. Oakland checks in having allowed four runs or less in seven straight games. Not a pitcher's duel by any means here but Wade LeBlanc did pitch well against the A's in two starts last season, tossing 11 shutout innings. Dan Mengden just returned to the A's rotation and has given up five earned runs in 12 1/3 innings of work, but held the Tigers to only one earned run in seven innings last time out. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-24-19 | Braves v. Cardinals -145 | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Atlanta at 8:15 pm et on Friday. Tough spot for the Braves here as they travel after taking three of four games in San Francisco to face a Cardinals club that enjoyed an off-day yesterday, which came on the heels of a 10-run outburst against the Royals on Wednesday. Atlanta holds no edge on the mound here as Mike Foltynewicz has been their worst starter this season, going winless in five starts. Meanwhile, Miles Mikolas has been 'good enough' for the Cards, particularly here at home where he owns a 3.00 ERA in 33 innings of work. While St. Louis has struggled overall, it remains five games over .500 at home, where it averages over five runs per game. Take St. Louis (10*). |
|||||||
05-24-19 | Padres v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Toronto at 7:07 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Rogers Centre on Friday night. Joey Lucchesi will take the ball for the Padres. He has been outstanding over his last couple of starts, most recently needing only 77 pitches to work seven innings against the Pirates, allowing just two earned runs. Likewise, Trent Thornton also pitched well in his last start for the Jays, needing 87 pitches to work six innings against the White Sox, allowing one earned run. The Jays are averaging just under 3.5 runs per game at home this season, clearly not taking advantage of the hitter-friendly conditions at Rogers Centre. The Padres haven't been a whole lot better, averaging right around 4.2 runs per contest on the road, scoring four runs or less in seven of their last nine away from home. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -7 | 105-99 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Toronto at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. This is the simple call in Game 5 of this series as the straight-up winner has covered the spread in all of the Bucks playoff games to date and I'm quite confident we'll see Milwaukee bounce back in a big way back at home following a really poor performance in Game 4. The Raptors did what they had to do to even this series up and put some pressure on the Bucks but I'm not sure it's sustainable. Kawhi Leonard has done it all for the Raptors but wasn't called on quite as much in Game 4. He'll be the focal point again in Game 5 but I look for the Bucks to make the necessary adjustments to minimize his impact (as much as possible). I also think we'll see the Milwaukee offense shake loose after getting frustrated by the Raptors defense in Toronto. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Bucks -2 v. Raptors | 102-120 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Toronto at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. This is going to be a popular play on Tuesday but that doesn't mean it's the wrong one. I actually don't believe this game is going to be close. The Bucks turned in a pretty awful performance on Sunday night, yet they still managed to push the Raptors to double-overtime and it took a superhuman effort from Kawhi Leonard to earn Toronto the win. Here, I expect to see the Bucks to get off to a much stronger start, and stay composed for four quarters, unlike we saw on Sunday. The Raptors were in a must-win position in Game 3 and while they still desperately need to even this series before the scene shifts back to Milwaukee for Game 5, I'm not sure how much more they have in the tank. Note that the Bucks have played exceptionally well on the road this season, going 31-15. The straight-up winner has covered the spread in all 12 Bucks playoff games to date and I expect that to hold true with Milwaukee winning here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 1-5 | Win | 110 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Jose and St. Louis at 8:08 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' as the Blues aim to punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final on Tuesday night in St. Louis. I don't expect to see the Sharks roll over as they face elimination for the fifth time in these playoffs. They've obviously gone a perfect 4-0 in those elimination games so far, scoring a total of 15 goals. While San Jose is coming off a shutout loss, its biggest problem has been keeping the puck out of its own net, allowing at least three goals in four of its last five contests. With the Sharks dealing with a number of key injuries the Blues realize the opportunity that lies in front of them. I don't expect them to sit back. Look for a relatively high-scoring affair on Tuesday night. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 220 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 102 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Playoff Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Portland at 9:05 pm et on Monday. We've already cashed with the 'under' twice in this series, including in Game 3 on Saturday night. I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'over' on Monday, however, as the Warriors look to close out the Blazers and advance to the NBA Finals once again. We saw 209 total points in Game 3 despite the fact that the second half featured just 90 total points. That's not to mention the fact that the Warriors got just one three-pointer made from Klay Thompson and only two points from Andre Iguodala. In fact, the Warriors made only eight three-pointers as a team. Meanwhile, the Blazers saw Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum miss a combined 14 three-point shots and seven free throws. As expected, Seth Curry fell back to Earth, scoring just five points including one made three-pointer. I do expect Curry and the rest of the Blazers bench to perform much better on Monday night. This really is a bounce-back game in all aspects offensively for both teams. Even when the Warriors have had off nights, the Blazers still really haven't had any answers defensively. Meanwhile, for Portland this really is it. I at least expect to see it go down swinging, noting that the Blazers average north of 117 points per game at home this season. Remember, we did see a meeting total 236 points on this floor back in February with the Blazers pouring in 129 points. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 112-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'under' in Game 1 of this series and then cashed the 'over' in Game 2. Here, I think we see the zig-zag pattern continue and expect a lower-scoring affair on Sunday night in Toronto. Note that the two teams combined for 23 made three-pointers and 45 converted free throws in Game 2 - a game that totaled 228 points. With the scene shifting to Toronto I think we'll see the Raptors do a little better job of controlling the tempo and note that the Raps rank 12th in the league in the playoffs in pace rating. The Bucks and Raptors are 1-2 in the league in defensive rating in the postseason. It's never that appealing playing the 'under' in a game involving the Bucks as we know they like to push the pace. But if the Raps are going to make this a series at all, they need to get things settled down, something they've shown they can do already in this series, in their 108-100 loss in the opener. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Brewers v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Atlanta at 1:20 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon. Last night we saw a low-scoring affair between these two teams but remember, the opener featured 20 total runs. Brandon Woodruff will take the ball for the Brewers on Sunday. He's been pitching well but we're still talking about a pretty small sample size. It's not easy to keep the Braves bats down here in Atlanta, where they average over five runs per game. Prior to last night's game, the Brewers had scored 30 runs over their last four games. They'll get to face a struggling starter in Mike Foltynewicz this afternoon. He's been tagged for 13 earned runs over his last two starts, spanning 10 2/3 innings. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Los Angeles at 10:07 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Anaheim on Saturday night. The Royals couldn't solve Matt Harvey last night but should have an easier time against rookie Griffin Canning on Saturday. Canning gave up four earned runs on three home runs against the Orioles last time out. He has yet to last through the sixth inning in any of his three big league starts this season. Meanwhile, Royals starter Jakob Junis seems to be getting worse with each passing start, most recently allowing five runs, four of them earned over 4 1/3 innings against the Phillies. Junis' four road starts this season have averaged just under 10 total runs. With the Angels averaging well north of five runs per game at home this season, I'm comfortable backing the 'over' here. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Portland at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. After winning with the 'under' in the opener of this series we missed the mark with the same play in Game 2. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the 'under' one more time on Saturday night, however, as the scene shifts to Portland for Game 3. It's not likely we're going to see another 16-point contribution from Seth Curry on Saturday night. Nor do I believe the Blazers will allow Steph Curry to go off the way he did in Games 1 and 2 in Oakland. It's certainly worth noting that the Warriors rank just eighth in pace rating in these playoffs, while the Blazers sit 11th. The Warriors know that they can do a much better job defending the perimeter than we saw in Game 2. On the flip side, I'm confident we'll see Portland come up with its best defensive effort of the series in what is essentially a must-win game on Saturday night. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Dodgers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
MLB National League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Dodgers rolled behind a strong performance from Rich Hill last night. I'm not sure that we'll see Walker Buehler give them the same type of performance on Saturday, however. Buehler's four road starts this season have averaged north of 13 total runs. In 20 innings of work away from home he's been tagged for 12 earned runs. While Buehler has pitched well in two career starts against the Reds, he has never pitched at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark, where the Reds average just short of five runs per game this season. Tyler Mahle will counter for Cincinnati. After a tremendous first start against the Dodgers last season, he struggled when facing them earlier this year, giving up 11 hits and four earned runs over six innings. Los Angeles has been extremely consistent at the plate, scoring at least five runs in nine of its last 12 games. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Rays v. Yankees +114 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Tampa Bay at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. Off a come-from-behind win over the Rays last night I look for the Yankees to keep it going on Saturday afternoon as they send Masahiro Tanaka to the hill against Blake Snell. The Rays are just 1-2 in Snell's three road starts this season, averaging less than three runs of offensive production in those games. They've given him no more than three runs in any of his last four starts against the Yankees with Tampa Bay winning just once in those four contests. Meanwhile, Tanaka has been outstanding in his last two starts, allowing only three earned runs in his last 13 1/3 innings of work. The Yanks have given him seven runs to work with in each of his last two starts against the Rays. Take New York (10*). |
|||||||
05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215.5 | Top | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Milwaukee at 8:35 pm et on Friday. We were very fortunate to win with the Bucks thanks to a game-ending 10-0 run in Game 1 of this series. Here, I'll switch gears and back the 'over' as I expect both teams to get offensive production from more sources than we saw in the opener. Toronto went silent offensively in the closing minutes of Game 1 and we're talking about a Raptors squad that generally closes well. Don't count on the Raps getting a combined miserable shooting performance of 3-for-16 from Marc Gasol and Danny Green again. I'm also confident Toronto will get to the free throw line more than the 20 times we saw in Game 1. On the flip side, the Bucks will be better as well after Eric Bledsoe shot 3-of-12 from the field including 0-for-6 from beyond the arc. George Hill didn't score a single point off the bench. I could go on. The fact is, we're in for a higher-scoring game on Friday night as far as I'm concerned. Keep in mind, these two teams combined to score 233 and 239 points in a couple of regular season meetings. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-17-19 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Jose and St. Louis at 8:08 pm et on Friday. I really think it's only a matter of time before we see a shift in the totals in this series as all three games have sailed over the number. The Sharks have seemingly figured out Blues rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington. While Martin Jones has performed above expectations in goal for the Sharks throughout the postseason, he certainly hasn't looked quite as sharp in this series, and in the second period of Game 3 in particular. Both offenses are brimming with confidence right now and I really feel there's a good chance we see the losing side get to at least three in this one, which would obviously mean a winning ticket for us. Look for Tomas Hertl and Brent Burns in particular to play a role for the Sharks on Friday night. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-17-19 | Orioles v. Indians -182 | 5-1 | Loss | -182 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Baltimore at 7:10 pm et on Friday. Just because we're being asked to lay a lot of chalk doesn't mean there's not value to be had. In this case, I believe the Indians should be priced much higher against the Orioles. Cleveland isn't off to an ideal start this season but we've seen its offense come to life over the last couple of games and I expect the Tribe to enjoy another fine night at the plate against Dylan Bundy on Friday night. Much like last night's O's starter Dan Straily, Dylan Bundy really has no business being in a big league rotation right now. On the flip side, Indians starter Jefry Rodriguez has been terrific, posting a sub-3.00 ERA and is coming off an outstanding performance in Oakland in his last start. Save for Trey Mancini, the O's really don't have many imposing bats in their lineup. We'll catch the Indians on the upswing here. Take Cleveland (10*). |
|||||||
05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 218.5 | 111-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Portland and Golden State at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in Game 1 of this series on Tuesday night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 2 on Thursday. The Blazers were never able to find any sort of rhythm and ultimately couldn't break the 100-point mark despite getting to the free throw line 31 times and knocking down 27 of those attempts. While they'll undoubtedly shoot a little better from the field tonight, I'm not sure they're going to be able to break the Warriors down consistently. Golden State got a big night from Steph Curry in Game 1. Klay Thompson and Andre Iguodala should contribute more offensively in Game 2, but again will it be enough to topple the total? I'm not so sure. The oddsmakers clearly overadjusted the total following a high-scoring Game 7 between the Warriors and Rockets. Now they've moved it down slightly, but not enough in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-16-19 | Bruins -107 v. Hurricanes | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Carolina at 8:08 pm et on Thursday. I had this pegged as a sweep from the get-go and I'm not going to waver from that now that the Bruins have pushed the Canes to the brink of elimination. This series really has been no contest. Carolina offered some push-back in the first period of Game 3, as was to be expected in what was essentially a must-win game, but Tuukka Rask slammed the door once again and the Bruins prevailed. Now I'm just not sure how much the Canes have left in the tank, nor have the will to push this one back to Boston for a fifth game. Look for the Bruins to close things out in Raleigh. Take Boston (10*). |
|||||||
05-16-19 | Orioles v. Indians -1.5 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland -1.5 runs over Baltimore at 6:10 pm et on Thursday. I don't often lay 1.5 runs regardless of the situation, but I'm willing to make an exception here. Dan Straily really has no business being in a big league rotation. He's been lit up consistently this season. He hasn't lasted through the fifth inning in any of his last three starts, giving up 11 earned runs in his last 8 2/3 innings of work. Now he faces a Tribe lineup that busted out with a 9-0 win over the White Sox last time out to shake out of a bit of a funk. Trevor Bauer goes for the Indians and while he hasn't pitched well against Baltimore over the course of his career, he catches the 14-28 Orioles at a good time. The O's have plated three runs or less in five of their last six games and put up only five runs in their other contest over that stretch. This has the makings of a lopsided affair, as indicated by the run-line juice. Take Cleveland -1.5 (10*). |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Toronto at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. The Bucks got off to a slow start and fell in blowout fashion in their series opener against the Celtics last round but I expect a different story to unfold here as they host the Raptors in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Toronto is just two days removed from a thrilling seventh game victory over Philadelphia. The Raps didn’t exactly look like road warriors in that series against the 76ers and now they’ll face an even tougher challenge against a Bucks squad that can really get out and run at home. While I do believe this will be a competitive series and that the Raptors are capable of winning a game on this floor, I just don’t think this is the spot. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the under between Portland and Golden State at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I thought we saw an overadjustment to the total in Kevin Durant‘s absence in Game 6 of the Warriors series against the Rockets. Now we’re seeing an overadjustment in the other direction as the Warriors open their series with the Blazers in Oakland on Tuesday night. I’m confident Golden State will have an answer defensively for the dynamic duo of Lillard and McCollum. On the flip side I’m not sure the Blazers are getting enough credit for their defensive play. We’ve seen the Warriors look sluggish out of the gate in a series before. I’ll call for a lower-scoring affair than most are expecting on Tuesday. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Rangers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over between Texas and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Tuesday. This one has slugfest written all over it as the Rangers and Royals open their series on Tuesday night. The Shelby Miller reclamation project hasn’t gone well for the Rangers. He has struggled to work deep into ball games and enters this start sporting an ERA north of seven. Danny Duffy has posted much better numbers for the Royals but we’re dealing with a small sample size. The fact is both starters put a lot of men on base and I’m confident we’ll see the two lineups take advantage. The posted total for this one is predictably high but its warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Bruins +104 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Carolina at 8:08 pm et on Tuesday. The Bruins are absolutely peaking at the right one and have simply overmatched the upstart Hurricanes through the first two games of this series. I believe Game 3 on Tuesday night, while more competitive, should be an extension of what we’ve seen from these two teams so far in this series. The Canes have been dominant on home ice in these playoffs but the Bruins have been road warriors and I look for their experience to pay off in a big way here as they look to grab a 3-0 stranglehold in the series. Take Boston (10*). |
|||||||
05-12-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Toronto at 7 pm et on Sunday. Travel day on Sunday. Full writeups will return on Monday. The Raptors rarely make things easy on themselves in the playoffs and I expect nothing different here. We won with the 76ers in Game 6 on Thursday night and here I simply believe they’re being given too big of a cushion from the oddsmakers. Look for a competitive affair for four quarters. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
|||||||
05-11-19 | Phillies v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over between Philadelphia and Kansas City at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. Traveling this weekend. Full writeups will return on Monday. Take the over in this one as both offenses bounce back from quiet nights at the dish on Friday. Brad Keller has failed to last six innings in three of his last four starts while Zach Eflin is coming off two strong outings but both of those were at home against weak opposition. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -7 | 118-113 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Golden State at 9 pm et on Friday. The books have certainly adjusted the point spread accordingly with Kevin Durant ruled put for the Warriors but that won’t keep me from backing the Rockets once again here. We won with Houston in Game 5 as the Rockets just snuck inside the number. This time around I’m anticipating a more lopsided affair in favor of the home side. I’m just not sure we’ll see Golden State get much more than the 52 combined points it got from Steph Curry and Klay Thompson in Game 5. Knowing that they have Game 7 at home on deck i’m just not sure the desperation will be there for the Warriors. The intimidation factor really does scale back with Durant sidelined. Look for Houston to win this one going away. Take Houston (10*). |
|||||||
05-10-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Friday. We won with the over in the series opener between these two teams last night and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Friday. Both starters struggled in their most recent starts, and for Trevor Williams of the Pirates his issues go back a little further than that. Meanwhile Adam Wainwright isn’t the same dominant pitcher he once was for the Cards. We saw 21 total runs in last night’s game and while I’m not expecting that type of scoring onslaught here I do believe the total will prove too low. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | 101-112 | Win | 101 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. We’ve been on point over the last two games of this series cashing with the Raptors in Game 4 and the over in Game 5. I’ll go with the 76ers in Game 6 on Thursday night as I fully expect to see them turn in their best effort of the series with their backs against the wall. This has had the look of a seven-game series all the way and while the Raptors certainly came up big with a blowout win last time out that was a pretty desperate spot for them as while the series was tied they simply couldn’t afford to go down 3-2 heading to Philadelphia. Expect the 76ers to play with that desperation On Thursday. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Thursday. I’ll back the over in St. Louis on Thursday night as the Cards host the Pirates. Don’t be fooled by Cards starter Michael Wacha’s winning record. He hasn’t been pitching well but continues to live off a solid reputation built back in his rookie campaign. Meanwhile Pirates starter Joe Musgrove got off to a strong start this season but has struggled over his last few starts. I look for both offenses to bust out in this one. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I do believe the Rockets are capable of winning a game here in Oakland in this series and having evened things up at two games apiece, Wednesday could be their night. I'm really not sure the Warriors are going to perform much better offensively after getting 64 points from Steph Curry and Kevin Durant in a four-point loss in Game 4. Sure, they can get more from Klay Thompson but I do expect to see Houston do a good job once again of limiting the Warriors ability to get out and run and generate open looks. Keep in mind, the Rockets won twice on this floor during the regular season. I'll grab all the points I can get with Houston in this pivotal Game 5. Take Houston (10*). |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Jose over Colorado at 9 pm et on Wednesday. I'll gladly back the Sharks on home ice as they try to advance to the Western Conference Final with their second Game 7 victory of the playoffs. Credit Colorado for battling back to force a seventh game on home ice on Monday night. But let's face it, that game could have gone either way with the Avs getting production from their depth players in regulation time before Gabe Landeskog ended it early in overtime. The Sharks didn't bring their 'A' game as they were playing from behind for most of the night. Look for San Jose to do a much better job of taking control early, just as they have in two of three home games in this series so far. Solid value to back the more experienced team on home ice. Take San Jose (10*). |
|||||||
05-08-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rays -149 | 3-2 | Loss | -149 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Arizona at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Rays as they aim to continue their hot start to the season on Wednesday afternoon against the D'Backs. Charlie Morton will take the ball for Tampa Bay. He has been one of the premier pitchers in baseball since the start of the 2017 season, yet is rarely priced like it. The Rays have won four of his last five starts but he hasn't been priced north of -165 over that stretch. Robbie Ray is a formidable opponent for the Rays bats, but he has yet to really round into form this season, posting a 3.79 ERA through his first seven starts. Note that he is winless in a pair of afternoon starts, with the D'Backs giving him a grand total of two runs to work with. Runs could be tough to come by for the visitors again on Wednesday afternoon. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
|||||||
05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Dallas at 8:08 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Blues in an underdog role in Game 6 of this series as they forced a seventh and deciding game with a convincing 4-1 victory in Dallas. I'll go back to the well with the Blues again here as they head home, where they will be looking to make amends for a pair of losses suffered on this ice in this series. The Stars have done an excellent job on the road in these playoffs but are still just 23-19-5 in enemy territory this season. While Dallas is battling a number of injuries, including one to goaltender Ben Bishop after he took a slapshot to the collarbone in Game 6, the Blues check in relatively healthy. I like St. Louis to come up with one of its best efforts of the series and advance to the Western Conference Final. Take St. Louis (10*). |
|||||||
05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 89-125 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a throwback defensive slugfest between these two teams on Sunday afternoon as the Raptors picked up a much needed victory to even the series at two games apiece. Here, I look for both squads to come out aggressive and for the posted total to prove too low. The play of Tobias Harris and Ben Simmons is key for the 76ers. Both players have gone relatively quiet over the last couple of games but I really expect to see a big bounce-back performance shooting the basketball on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, the Raps came out aggressive in Game 4 and know that they'll need to play the same way in order to grab a 3-2 series lead. Toronto's bench remains invisible but head coach Nick Nurse didn't give them much floor time on Sunday, with the exception of Serge Ibaka, who was terrific. There's not a lot separating these two teams and while we could see another defensive affair, I simply feel that the oddsmakers have over-adjusted the total. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
05-07-19 | White Sox v. Indians -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 21 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Chicago at 6:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Indians suffered their second consecutive beatdown, this time at the hands of the White Sox on Monday night. I fully expect to see Cleveland bounce back on Tuesday, however, as it draws a favorable pitching matchup sending Jefry Rodriguez to the hill against Lucas Giolito. The White Sox busted out at the dish last night but haven't really been playing all that well and remain a losing club on the road. On the flip side, while the Indians have struggled their last couple of games, they're still a winning team at home and Jefry Rodriguez has pitched well in two starts for the club this season. Look for the Cleveland bats to wake up in time to get to Lucas Giolito. Take Cleveland (10*). |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -115 | 3-0 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Columbus over Boston at 7:08 pm et on Monday. This is it for the Blue Jackets and while teams don't always rise to the occasion with their backs against the wall in the postseason, I do think this Columbus squad will be up to the challenge on Monday night. The Jackets showed plenty of fight, even after falling behind by two goals late in Saturday's Game 5 in Boston. It's that level of fight that has me believing the Jackets can at least force a seventh and deciding game in this series. The Bruins top line has woken up over the last couple of games but as we've seen before in these playoffs, that trio can go silent again without much warning. Look for a stronger defensive effort from Columbus for 60 minutes on Monday night. Take Columbus (10*). |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'under' in Game 1 of this series before cashing the 'over' in Game 2. After not playing the total in Game 3 (which went 'over'), I'll go back to the well with the 'under' in Game 4 on Monday. First of all, I don't expect this one to be called quite as tightly as Friday's contest - a game that saw a combined 68 free throws, including 22 trips to the line from Giannis Antetokounmpo. Kyrie Irving was quick to call out the officials in his post-game press conference, and don't think for a second that won't have an effect on how Monday's game is called. Even with the parade to the free throw line, and both teams shooting well from both two-point and three-point range, Game 3 still "only" got to 239 total points. I don't see these two teams approaching that number in this pivotal matchup on Monday night. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-06-19 | Mariners v. Yankees -143 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Seattle at 6:35 pm et on Monday. The Mariners finally snapped their long losing streak with a blowout win in Cleveland yesterday afternoon but I look for them to go back to their losing ways on Monday night at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have exceeded expectations in spite of an injury-plagued roster. They're fresh off another quality win over the Twins yesterday afternoon and I expect them to keep it going with veteran CC Sabathia on Monday night. The Mariners will counter with a veteran of their own in Felix Hernandez and while he has pitched reasonably well, Seattle has managed only one win in his last four starts. Solid value with the Yanks at home to open this series. Take New York (10*). |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors +2 v. 76ers | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Philadelphia at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. Everyone has seemingly left the Raptors for dead after dropping back-to-back games to go down 2-1 in this series, with their Game 3 loss coming in particularly uninspiring fashion. I do expect to see Toronto bounce back on Sunday afternoon, however. Kyle Lowry in particular is in desperate need of a response following a complete no-show in Game 3 and I'm confident we'll see him come up big in his hometown. The Raptors are expected to be without Pascal Siakam for this one, which is certainly key, but that's already been factored into this line. I look for Toronto to do a much better of job of turning this into a slugfest. It was essentially a one-man team with Kawhi Leonard doing all of the heavy lifting in Game 3, but even with little to no support from his teammates, the Raps were still within striking distance heading into the fourth quarter. Expect a better all-around performance here. Take Toronto (10*). |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Blues +110 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Dallas at 3:08 pm et on Sunday. I'll gladly back the Blues at a plus-money return as they aim to stave off elimination at the hands of the Stars in Dallas on Sunday afternoon. This has had all the makings of a seven-game series from the get-go and I'm not about to waver from that, even with St. Louis facing elimination in enemy territory on Sunday. There's been very little separating these two teams in this series The difference makers have been Ben Bishop's stellar play in goal for the Stars and the fact that Dallas' best players have been its best players - something that can't be said for the Blues. With that being said, I'm confident we'll see the Blues big guns step up here. Take St. Louis (10*). |
|||||||
05-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rangers -127 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over Toronto at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. I just don't like the direction the Blue Jays are going right now, having scored just 14 runs in the first five games of their road trip. The Rangers were shut out in the opener of this series on Friday night but have scored at least four runs in six of their last seven contests. They're a winning team here at home, sitting at 11-7 on the season while the Jays check in 8-10 on the road and as I mentioned have struggled on their current road trip with just one victory in five tries. The pitching matchup is virtually a wash with both starters struggling at what is essentially the back-end of their respective careers. Take the home side here. Take Texas (10*). |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Jose over Colorado at 10:08 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Sharks as they look to take a pivotal Game 5 on home ice against the Avalanche on Saturday night. San Jose couldn't have played much worse in Game 4 so you have to expect a big bounce-back performance here. This has certainly been an even series all the way but one area of consistency for the Sharks has been the goaltending of Martin Jones and I'm confident we'll see him bring his 'A' game, much like he did in Game 6 against the Golden Knights last round. Solid value with the Sharks on home ice. Take San Jose (10*). |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Houston at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. This could still turn out to be a long series but I believe the Rockets are simply laying too many points on Saturday night. The first two games certainly could have gone either way with Golden State winning by four and six points. The Rockets are now actually 4-2 ATS against the Warriors this season. Golden State ranks first in offensive rating in the playoffs and while the Rockets have been tough defensively here at home, and will undoubtedly bring their best effort on Saturday night, I have to go with the value being offered to back the superior squad. Take Golden State (10*). |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and New York at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in last night's series-opener between these two clubs but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Jake Odorizzi will take the ball for the Twins. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in three straight starts, giving up only three earned runs over 18 1/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, J.A. Happ has worked at least 6 1/3 innings in three straight starts, allowing five earned runs on 14 hits over 20 1/3 frames. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -2 | 123-116 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Celtics are giving all the respect in the world to the Bucks, and rightfully so after Milwaukee answered back following an embarrassing series-opening loss at home. Here, I look for Boston to be the team to bounce back after a beatdown in Game 2. The Bucks have been the cream of the crop in the Eastern Conference this season but there's no question the Celtics are going to be a tough out. I like the spot here as there's really not a great deal of pressure on Boston after it earned a split in Milwaukee. It would have been a different story if the C's were returning home in an 0-2 hole, but instead they're very much in the series, and I'm confident we'll see them play loose and take the play to the Bucks on Friday night. Take Boston (10*). |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Friday. A bit of an under the radar solid pitching matchup here. Jorge Lopez struggled in his last start against the suddenly hot-hitting Angels, but prior to that had worked at least six innings in four consecutive starts. Matt Boyd has been the picture of consistency for the Tigers, going at least six frames in five straight starts, allowing three earned runs or less each time out. The Royals have plated three runs or less in three of their last five games while Detroit has scored just seven runs over its last three contests. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-03-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Both starters in this game, Kyle Gibson and James Paxton, have worked at least into the sixth inning in three consecutive outings. The Twins have plated 14 runs over their last two games but prior to that had scored a grand total of five runs over their last three contests. The injury-riddled Yankees are back home following a road trip out west, having scored just three runs over their last two games. The good news is, they've allowed only 18 runs in their last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Raptors -1 v. 76ers | 95-116 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Raptors are coming off arguably their worst performance of the playoffs to date in Game 2 of this series as they came out with no energy and were never able to recover as the 76ers evened the series up at one game apiece. Despite getting outrebounded 52-36 and spotting the 76ers 26 free throws compared to their own 15, the Raps still only lost by five points. Toronto actually managed to outscored Philadelphia in terms of both points in the paint (44-38) and on the fast break (18-13). It was really Toronto's usually reliable bench that let it down in Game 2. The Raps were actually + points with all five of their starters on the floor but outscored badly with their bench in the game. Toronto has been a quality road team all season and I don't believe there will be any sort of intimidation factor at play here. Take Toronto (10*). |
|||||||
05-02-19 | Padres v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Diego and Atlanta at 12:10 pm et on Thursday. Neither of these teams are tearing the cover off the ball right now and I'm anticipating another low-scoring affair on Thursday afternoon. Matt Strahm will take the ball for the Padres. He's been extremely effective and efficient this season and has worked at least six innings in each of his last two starts, giving up just three earned runs on six hits over 14 innings pitched. Note that San Diego has won each of his last two road starts. Mike Foltynewicz will counter for Atlanta. He's made just one start so far this season, that coming last week against Colorado. He didn't pitch all that poorly in that start, but still gave up four earned runs over six innings in a 9-5 loss to the Rockies. I expect him to improve on that effort here. His last start against the Padres resulted in just four total runs last season. As I mentioned, the Padres are by no means an elite offensive club, entering last night's game having plated four runs or less in 11 of their last 14 games. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars -119 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas over St. Louis at 9:38 pm et on Wednesday. This has all the makings of a seven-game series but for that to happen, the Stars need to bounce back with a victory on home ice on Wednesday night. I like their chances of doing just that. This has been an extremely even series to this point and going back to the start of January, the Stars actually hold a slight 4-3 edge. Since the beginning of 2018, Dallas has taken six of nine meetings with the Blues. This is a big bounce-back spot for Stars goaltender Ben Bishop in particular after he turned in an uncharacteristically inconsistent performance in Game 3. He's quite simply been one of the hottest goalies in hockey this year and I'm confident he'll rebound and stymie the Blues attack on Wednesday night. I also look for this to be the game where the Stars big boys step up and deliver a 'W'. Solid value with the Stars in a critical Game 4 on home ice. Take Dallas (10*). |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Portland at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series on Monday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' in Game 2 on Wednesday. Surprisingly enough, the Nuggets actually rank second-last in the playoffs in pace rating. Meanwhile, the Blazers sit middle of the pack in that department. We saw both teams shoot exceptionally well in the series opener but I'm confident both will make the necessary adjustments - the Blazers in particular, to keep things in check on Wednesday night. There's no question this has been a high-scoring series all season but now we're dealing with a number that matches the highest total we've seen in this matchup to date. I expect this to be a long, tightly-contested series, and with that in mind, I look for the defenses to settle in and play much better on Wednesday night. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Islanders +108 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on New York over Carolina at 7:08 pm et on Wednesday. The Islanders are down 2-0 in this series but they're by no means out of it. Each of the first two games could have gone either way and I'm confident we'll see the Isles bounce back with a victory in Raleigh on Wednesday. Perhaps we shouldn't be surprised that the Canes stole back-to-back games in Brooklyn. After all, the road team has now gone an incredible 7-1 in the last eight meetings in this series with the Isles being the only team to notch a victory on home ice. New York has been an outstanding road team this season, going 26-14-3 on the highway. The building will certainly be rocking, but I look for the Isles to feed off that hostile energy and get back in this series. Take New York (10*). |
|||||||
05-01-19 | Cubs v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-0 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Seattle at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Cubs offense certainly has the ability to bust out at the dish on any given night but consistency hasn't been their strong suit so far this season. On Wednesday, Chicago will hand the ball to Jon Lester. He has been terrific through four starts, giving up just five earned runs in 19 innings of work. He lasted only five innings in his most recent start, but needed only 79 pitches and gave up just one earned run. Lester hasn't allowed a single earned run in his last two starts against the Mariners but hasn't faced them since 2016. Marco Gonzalez is as underrated as they come for the Mariners. He comes in having worked at least into the sixth inning in all seven starts this season. Over his last two outings he has gone 14 innings and allowed just three earned runs. Gonzalez has been tagged for just one home run over his last six trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | Top | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'under' in Game 1 of this series on Sunday afternoon but now I think we're seeing a major overreaction from the books as the total has dropped considerably in advance of Game 2 on Tuesday. The Celtics put up 112 points on Sunday despite getting to the free throw line only eight times, grabbing only three offensive rebounds and knocking down just 13 three-pointers. While they did shoot better than 54% from the field, I actually think there's still some room for improvement. As for the Bucks, they're the one-seed in the East for a reason. Their 35-9 home record is no fluke. They'll make the necessary adjustments and Giannis won't get locked down the way he did in the series opener. Keep in mind, this is a team that scored 119+ in all four games during their opening round sweep of the Pistons. They hung 120 points on the C's in a previous meeting this season. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Denver at 10:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' as the Blazers and Nuggets open their series on Monday night in the Mile High City. Both of these teams opened last round with far lower-scoring games than expected but I look for a different story to unfold here. Keep in mind, the last meeting between these teams reached 223 points and saw a closing total of 219.5 back on April 7th. The Nuggets ended up finishing second-last in the league in pace rating in the opening round of the playoffs, but I fully expect to see that pace pick up against the Blazers. Note that Denver ranks third in the league in offensive rating during the postseason. While the Nuggets overall defensive numbers were fine against the Spurs, they rank just 11th in terms of defensive rating in the playoffs, two spots behind the Blazers first round opponent, the Oklahoma City Thunder. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
04-29-19 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Kansas City on Monday night as the Rays open their series with the Royals. Ryne Stanek will resume his starting role tonight and likely work an inning or two. Note that he has yet to allow an earned run in that starting role this season, covering 9 1/3 innings of work. Over that stretch he has allowed just three hits and issued only one walk. Brad Keller will counter for Kansas City. He has worked at least six innings in five of six starts this season. He did labor through his most recent outing - against these same Rays - needing 106 pitches to get through six innings, allowing five earned runs, but he will enter this start on six days' rest. That last start came on the road. Here at home he has worked 19 2/3 innings and allowed just four earned runs. The Rays have topped out at six runs over their last nine games, and they reached that total only once. Meanwhile, the Royals have plated three runs or less in six of their last nine contests. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-28-19 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Houston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Houston on Sunday night, noting that the 'under' has already gone 2-0-1 in this series. Carlos Carrasco will take the ball for the Indians. He was forced to leave his last start after just four innings due to knee discomfort but all indications are that he's good to go here. Note that he has tossed 11 innings of shutout ball over his last two starts, giving up just seven hits along the way. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last four outings against the Astros. Veteran Wade Miley continues to do a nice job for the Astros, having worked at least into the sixth inning in four of five starts this season. He has given up three earned runs or less in all five outings and has yet to throw more than 95 pitches in a start. The 'under' has gone a perfect 5-0 in his last five starts against Cleveland. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Milwaukee at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. While this certainly has the potential to turn into a track meet given all the offensive talent on the floor, I don't see it playing out that way in Sunday's series-opener. Both teams certainly held decisive edges in their first round series' and took full advantage of that winning in the minimum number of games, it is still worth pointing out that the Celtics and Bucks check in first and third respectively in the playoffs in defensive rating. While the Bucks are tops in terms of offensive rating, the Celtics actually sit just 12th (entering last night's action). I do feel that Boston's experience can pay off in this series and remember, the C's did an excellent job defensively against the Bucks in last year's thrilling seven-game series win, barely allowing them to get into the 100's on most nights. Needless to say, this series isn't going to be the cakewalk the Bucks experienced in the opening round. In the series-clincher, they got to the free throw line 41 times and shot better than 54% from the field. Different story here. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-27-19 | Spurs +6 v. Nuggets | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio plus the points over Denver at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab the points with the Spurs as they try to close out the Nuggets on Saturday night in Denver. I'm not sure we're going to see Denver improve much on its 103-point performance in Game 5. Yes, the Nuggets shot poorly from beyond the arc, but I am confident the Spurs can replicate their defensive performance here. This entire series has really been played at the Spurs preferred pace. So far in the playoffs, these two teams rank in the bottom two in terms of pace rating. The two teams have basically been mirror images of one another as far as both offensive and defensive ratings go. The favorite has covered in back-to-back games entering this one, but I look for that trend to reverse on Saturday. Take San Antonio (10*). |
|||||||
04-27-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. One big inning spoiled our 'under' play in the opener of this series last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday. Joe Musgrove will take the ball for the Pirates. He has pitched exceptionally well this season and checks in having worked at least six innings in eight straight starts going back to last season. In four outings so far this season Musgrove has given up just five earned runs in 26 1/3 innings of work. The Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw. He's made just two starts this season but both have been solid, as he has allowed only four earned runs on seven hits over 13 innings. I like the fact that Kershaw has needed to throw only 84 and 92 pitches in his first two outings. He has gone at least six innings in nine straight starts against the Pirates. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 15-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Texas and Seattle at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' in Seattle on Saturday night. Mike Minor will take the ball for the Rangers. He did allow four earned runs in his last start in Oakland, but for the most part, has been steady this season. Minor has worked at least six innings in four straight starts, allowing only six earned runs in 29 innings over that stretch. The 'under' has cashed in three of his last four outings as well. Mike Leake will counter for Seattle. He has worked at least six innings in four of five starts this season. Leake hasn't thrown more than 87 pitches in any of his last three outings. Also note that he has allowed two earned runs or less in five of six career starts against the Rangers. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-26-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Dodger Stadium on Friday night. Chris Archer will take the ball for the Pirates. He worked at least six innings in back-to-back starts before going just five frames last time out, but it's worth noting that he needed to throw just 83 pitches in that narrow 3-2 loss to the Giants. Archer has allowed just seven earned runs in four starts, spanning 23 innings of work this season. Hyun-Jin Ryu will counter for Los Angeles. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in three of four starts this season, giving up two earned runs or less in all four starts. Here, he'll be facing a Buccos lineup that hasn't been scoring with any sort of consistency. On the flip side, the Dodgers have plated three runs or less in five of their last eight games. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-26-19 | Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Clippers have had the edge in this series from a betting perspective, going 3-2 ATS through the first five games and we've been on board with them for two of those victories. Here, I won't hesitate to switch gears, however, as the Warriors certainly have that extra gear they can go to, and I'm certain they don't want to drag this series out any longer than it already has. The pressure is certainly on for Golden State to finish things off here after watching the Rockets take care of the Jazz and earn some welcome rest. The Clippers are deserving of a lot of credit for giving the Warriors all they handle but I don't think we'll see Golden State settle into the sort of lull it has displayed for stretches in Games 2 and 5. Take Golden State (10*). |
|||||||
04-26-19 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Friday night. Antonio Senzatela will take the ball for the Rockies. He has been quietly effective so far this season and checks in having worked at least six innings in both of his starts. Senzatela enters this start on five days' rest after throwing just 83 and 94 pitches in his first two outings. He needed only 82 pitches to get through five innings, allowing only two earned runs in a 5-3 Rockies victory here in Atlanta last season. Sam Fried will counter for Atlanta. We missed with the 'under' in his last start but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Fried continues to pitch well, having allowed just four earned runs over 24 1/3 innings spanning four starts this season. That includes a start against these same Rockies in which he didn't allow a single earned run over six innings, at Coors Field no less. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues -149 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this series sets up for the Blues, who have been arguably the best team in hockey over the last several months. St. Louis really didn't have a whole lot of trouble getting past a complete and playoff-seasoned Jets squad in round one. It's not as if the Blues didn't face any adversity, however, as they dropped both Games 3 and 4 on home ice after taking the first two games in Winnipeg. Their rally in the third period of Game 5 of that series was one for the ages. Dallas comes in on a serious roll as well, but let's face it, the Predators essentially rolled over, especially at the tail-end of that series. Look for the Blues to grabn the early series lead on the strength of another strong performance from rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington. Take St. Louis (10*). |
|||||||
04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 208 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
NBA First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and San Antonio at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. Unlike the Jazz-Rockets series which hasn't really come all that close to approaching the total in most games, this series has been different. The two games played in San Antonio actually reached 226 and 220 points, well north of the number we're dealing with tonight. Game 5 totaled only 198 points, but that was with the two teams making good on just 25 free throw attempts and the Spurs shooting 7-of-24 from beyond the arc, a number they should be able to improve on back at home with their season on the line. We've seen the total drop a couple of points from the closing number in Game 5 but I don't believe the move is warranted. In previous years I would look to play the 'under' with inflated totals later in series' but that is no longer the case. Take the over (10*). |
|||||||
04-25-19 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Thursday night. Caleb Smith will take the ball for the Marlins. We won with the 'under' in his most recent start against the Nationals. Smith has now worked six innings in three straight starts, giving up only four earned runs on 10 hits over 18 innings of work. That included a start against these same Phillies in which he tossed six shutout innings of one-hit ball. Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He should benefit from facing a Marlins lineup that has plated three runs or less in eight of their last nine games. Nola has been inconsistent but has at least worked into the sixth inning or deeper in two of his last three starts. He has been outstanding against the Marlins, limiting them to five earned runs on 19 hits in his last four outings against them, spanning 26 1/3 innings pitched. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-24-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -8 | 93-100 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Utah at 8 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the Jazz in their outright victory to stave off elimination on Sunday but I won't hesitate to switch gears and lay the points with the Rockets as they return home looking to close out Utah on Wednesday night. It was an off game for the Rockets to be sure, as they shot the ball poorly from all over the floor. Meanwhile, the Jazz turned in what was their most complete performance of the series to date, which was not surprising given the circumstances. With no interest in getting stretched out any further in this series, look for the Rockets to deliver the knockout blow on Wednesday night at home. Take Houston (10*). |
|||||||
04-24-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Carolina at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. The home teams swept last night's Game 7 matchups and I expect more of the same on Wednesday night as the defending champion Capitals host the Hurricanes. This has been a home-dominated series to be sure with the host winning all six games so far. There's little reason to believe that the Hurricanes can win a game here in Washington based on what we've seen in this series to date. Sure, they pushed the Caps to overtime in Game 2, but in watching that game I never really had the belief that they were going to prevail. Remember, the last time a game was played on this ice, the Caps steamrolled the Canes by a 6-0 score, potting a trio of power play goals. We're being asked to lay a very reasonable price with the superior team here. Take Washington (10*). |
|||||||
04-24-19 | Tigers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Fenway Park on Wednesday night. The Tigers will hand the ball to Tyson Ross. He has worked at least six innings in three straight starts, needing to throw no more than 92 pitches in any of those outings. The 'under' has gone 3-1 in Ross' four starts so far this season. He'll be facing a Red Sox lineup that simply hasn't gotten it going this season, scoring four runs or less in seven of their last nine games. Eduardo Rodriguez will counter for Boston. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in back-to-back starts, throwing just 93 and 94 pitches in those outings. Rodriguez has a solid track record against the Red Sox, working at least into the sixth in three of four career starts against them, giving up nine earned runs in 23 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Golden Knights +102 v. Sharks | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over San Jose at 10:08 pm et on Tuesday. I absolutely love the way this game sets up for the Golden Knights. The Sharks will be looking to pull off an improbable comeback victory in this series and while they do have home ice on their side, it's not as if the Knights aren't capable of winning in this building. There's no reason for the Knights to push the panic button after dropping back-to-back games - after all, Game 6 could have gone either way, and probably should have gone Vegas' way as it outshot San Jose by a wide margin. At the time of writing, the Sharks are a short favorite here, and I simply don't believe the line is warranted as Vegas is the superior team, and has an excellent leadership group which starts at the top with head coach Gerard Gallant. Take Vegas (10*). |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Luke Weaver has lasted beyond the fifth inning only once in four starts this season but that doesn't mean he hasn't been effective. Weaver checks in having allowed just five earned runs over 16 1/3 innings of work in his last three outings. The 'under' has gone 2-0-1 during that stretch. Over Weaver's last two starts he has struck out 17 while walking just one in 11 1/3 innings. Pirates ace Trevor Williams is one of the most underrated starters in baseball as far as I'm concerned. He has worked at least six innings in all four starts this season, giving up only seven earned runs in 24 1/3 innings pitched. Note that Williams hasn't thrown more than 98 pitches since way back on September 3rd last year. He has held the D'Backs to four earned runs in 12 innings in two career home starts against them, with the 'under' going 2-0. Take the under (9*). |
|||||||
04-23-19 | Braves v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. Kevin Gausman has quietly gotten the job done for the Braves through his first three starts this season, working at least into the sixth inning in all three trips to the hill, giving up just six earned runs in 19 2/3 innings of work. Gausman struck out 10 while walking only one over seven frames, needing only 99 pitches to get through his most recent start. Sonny Gray will counter for Cincinnati. He has worked at least six innings in two of his last three starts. His other start over that stretch saw him work four perfect innings of two-hit ball against the Marlins. Note that the 'under' has cashed in all four of Gray's starts this season. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-22-19 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | 91-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah plus the points over Houston at 10:35 pm et on Monday. After the Jazz were favored in Game 3 of this series on Saturday night, the line has flipped in advance of Game 4 - not surprising given the Rockets can deliver the knockout blow to Utah on Monday night in Salt Lake City. I don't expect the Jazz to go down without a fight, however, and will grab all the points I can get with them as they make their last stand on Monday. The Rockets have now won five straight meetings in this series but the Jazz do have two wins to their credit over Houston this season. There were certainly positives to take away from Saturday's loss, the least of which being the fact that Utah was in the game right down to the final whistle, actually leading but as many as eight points, and carrying a two-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. The Jazz won't shoot as poorly from the three-point line as they did in Game 3 (12-of-41). Look for that to be a difference-maker in this one. Take Utah (10*). |
|||||||
04-22-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 12-4 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Monday night. Zack Godley will take the ball for the D'Backs. His overall numbers haven't been great but I do like the fact that he has worked at least into the sixth inning in all four starts, and he's pitched well against the Pirates in his career, going six innings in each of his two outings against them, allowing only five earned runs in those 12 innings of work. Joe Musgrove will counter for the Buccos. He's worked into the seventh inning in all three starts this season, giving up only two earned runs on 13 hits over 20 1/3 innings pitched. Musgrove hasn't allowed a home run in his last five starts going back to last season. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians UNDER 8 | 11-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. I love the way this one sets up as a pitching duel between two young starts in Sam Fried and Shane Bieber on Sunday Night Baseball. Fried has been outstanding for the Braves, working six innings in three straight starts, allowing only two earned runs on 13 hits over 18 innings of work. Likewise, Bieber has worked at least six innings in three straight starts, allowing only three earned runs in 19 frames. The 'under' has cashed in each of his last three outings. Note that Bieber hasn't allowed a home run in his last two starts. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9.5 | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Golden State at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Clippers in Game 2 of this series but stayed away in Game 3 as the Warriors bounced back in a big way. Golden State is still one of the worst bets in the NBA and I won't hesitate to fade it again as it looks to grab a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. Los Angeles couldn't have played any worse in Game 3 as it shot just 37% from the field including 22% from beyond the arc. That wasn't unexpected as the Clips suffered a major hangover after that huge 31-point rally in Game 2. Here, I look for L.A. to get off to a better start and hang with the Warriors for four quarters. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
|||||||
04-21-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 104 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 1:10 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with the 'under' in this matchup last night but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Sunday. Stephen Strasburg will take the ball for the Nationals. He has thrown fewer than 100 pitches in back-to-back starts and checks in having worked at least six innings in three of four starts this season. He faced the Marlins twice last September, allowing only three earned runs in 10 innings of work. Trevor Richards will counter for Miami. He struggled against the Cubs last time out but had previous worked six innings in three straight starts, giving up just four earned runs on 10 hits over 18 frames. The 'under' is 3-2-1 in his last six trips to the hill. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-20-19 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Los Angeles at 9:07 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at Angel Stadium on Saturday night. Yusei Kikuchi will take the ball for the Mariners. He has worked six innings in three of his last four starts, allowing exactly three earned runs on five hits over each of his last two outings. I like how economical Kikuchi has been this season, having yet to throw more than 93 pitches in any of his five starts. Veteran Trevor Cahill will counter for Los Angeles. He was outstanding in his first start against Seattle this season, allowing just one earned run on three hits over six innings in a 2-1 loss back on April 2nd. Cahill had worked six innings in each of his first three outings this season before getting roughed up by Texas last time out. He has yet to throw more than 90 pitches in a start this year. Both teams broke out offensively in the opener of this series on Thursday but things settled back down last night and the Mariners have now scored five runs or less in five of their last six games while the Angels have plated four runs or less in three of their last four. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-20-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 3-9 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 6:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'under' in the opener of this series last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday. Max Scherzer will take the ball for the Nationals. He has now worked at least into the seventh inning in three of four starts this season and is coming off arguably his best outing of the campaign, needing only 98 pitches to go eight innings against the Pirates last time out, albeit in a 4-3 loss. In Scherzer's last three starts against the Marlins he has allowed only one earned run in 21 innings of work. Jose Urena will counter for the Marlins. After struggling in his first three starts he bounced back and allowed only one earned run over seven innings against the Phillies in his last outing. He gave up just five earned runs in 21 innings of work against the Marlins last season. As noted in last night's writeup, neither of these clubs are scoring with any consistency right now. The Nats have scored four runs or less in six of their last seven contests and the Marlins have plated a grand total of six runs over their last five games. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets +2 | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Philadelphia at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. I like the Nets to bounce back after dropping consecutive games to fall behind in this series. The 76ers were without Joel Embiid on Friday night but still managed to breeze past the Nets. It wasn't a focused or nearly desperate enough effort from the underdog Nets, but I expect to see them show a lot more pride and determination in what could amount to their last stand at home on Saturday afternoon. Keep in mind, the 76ers are a losing bet overall and just a .500 team on the road this season. The Nets come in off back-to-back ATS losses, but haven't dropped three in a row ATS since February 27th to March 2nd. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
|||||||
04-19-19 | Giants v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at PNC Park on Friday night. Madison Bumgarner has been the picture of consistency for the Giants so far this season, working at least six innings in all four starts. He has yet to throw 100 pitches in a start this season and enters this outing on five days' rest. The Pirates are winning but not scoring with much consistency, plating five runs or less in seven of their last eight contests. Jordan Lyles will take the ball for Pittsburgh. He has worked 11 innings this season, allowing only one earned run on six hits. In those two starts he threw just 80 and 87 pitches and hasn't made a start since April 10th so he should be fresh here. Note that the Giants have scored three runs or less in five of their last eight games overall. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-19-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
MLB N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' at Marlins Park on Friday night. Veteran Anibal Sanchez will take the ball for the Nationals. His overall numbers haven't been great this season, but I like the fact that he's worked at least into the sixth inning in back-to-back starts, allowing five earned runs over 12 2/3 frames. He'll face a Marlins club that hasn't scored in their last two games and have played a grand total of three runs during their four-game skid. Caleb Smith will counter for Miami. Like Sanchez, he has also been working deep into ball games, lasting six innings in each of his last two outings, allowing only three earned runs on five hits. The Nats' have scored four runs or less in five of their last six games overall. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +5 | 98-93 | Push | 0 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The oddsmakers are calling for a competitive affair between the Raptors and Magic on Friday night, and I'll side with them in this spot as Orlando should bounce back following a dreadful performance in Game 2. Despite the Raptors rout on Tuesday night at home, these two teams have split their six matchups this season. I don't believe the Magic will roll over and die with the series tied at one game apiece. Toronto is obviously the superior team, but Orlando has been the far better bet, going 46-37-1 ATS to date compared to the Raps 39-45 ATS mark. Take Orlando (10*). |
|||||||
04-18-19 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' at Petco Park on Thursday night. Tanner Roark will take the ball for the Reds. He's coming off his best start of the young season having allowed just one earned run on six hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Cardinals last time out. The 'under' has cashed in two of his first three starts this season and three of four career outings against the Padres. San Diego isn't producing runs with any consistency having plated four or less in six of its last eight contests. Rookie Chris Paddack will counter for the Padres. He has been consistent to say the least through three starts this season, allowing only two earned runs on six hits over 14 innings of work. Like Roark, the 'under' has cashed in two of Paddack's three outings. I like the fact that Paddack enters off five days' rest and has yet to throw more than 89 pitches in a start this season. Cincinnati has scored a grand total of 11 runs during its current four-game slide. Take the under (10*). |
|||||||
04-18-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Spurs | 108-118 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over San Antonio at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. I think we'll see the Nuggets play with some desperation in this game, even though they evened up the series in Game 2. The last game certainly could have gone either way with Denver rallying big in the fourth quarter to not only win but cover the spread. Much will be made of the fact that the Spurs have won 13 straight games at home against the Nuggets but I really don't believe the players will pay any mind to that. Note that Denver fell just one point short (and covered the spread) the last time it played here in San Antonio back in early March. The spread was considerably shorter in that game than the number we're dealing with here. Take Denver (10*). |
|||||||
04-17-19 | Jazz +7 v. Rockets | Top | 98-118 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Utah plus the points over Houston at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. After watching the Warriors stunning collapse in Game 2 of their matchup with the Clippers on Sunday night many have come to the conclusion that they're ripe for the picking in these playoffs, and that same majority also believes that the Rockets will be the team to ultimately dethrone the perennial champs. That's a narrative I believe is in play here with most forgetting that the Rockets still have some work to do before that, even if the opener of this series was no contest. I'm confident we'll see Utah bounce back with a much better effort on Wednesday night in Houston. This isn't a Jazz squad that rolled over at the end of the regular season. Utah entered the playoffs with some positive vibes and having split four regular season matchups with the Rockets, including a win here on this floor, I don't believe they'll be intimidated by the 0-1 hole, or the fact that they dropped Game 1 in blowout fashion. I'll grab all the points I can get with the Jazz here. Take Utah (10*). |
|||||||
04-16-19 | Thunder +2 v. Blazers | 94-114 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Blazers prevailed in a hard-fought series opener on Sunday but I fully expect to see the Thunder answer back and steal home court advantage with a victory on Tuesday night. There's no intimidation factor at play here as the Thunder have already won two games on this floor since the start of 2019. And there's no reason for Oklahoma City to be rattled after Game 1. After all, the Thunder aren't likely to shoot as poorly from the three-point line again (5-for-33 in Game 1). There were plenty of positives for the Thunder to take away from that loss as they outrebounded the Blazers, nearly doubled them in fast break points and also had a 14-point edge in the paint. This has all the makings of a long, back-and-forth series. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-31-19 | Nationals v. Reds UNDER 9 | 3-9 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
05-30-19 | Warriors +1.5 v. Raptors | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
05-30-19 | Royals v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
05-29-19 | Mets v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
05-29-19 | Blues +150 v. Bruins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 150 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
05-29-19 | Cubs v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
05-29-19 | Indians +117 v. Red Sox | 14-9 | Win | 117 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
05-29-19 | Padres v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
05-28-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
05-27-19 | Blues v. Bruins -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
05-25-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 94-100 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
05-24-19 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
05-24-19 | Braves v. Cardinals -145 | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
05-24-19 | Padres v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -7 | 105-99 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
05-21-19 | Bucks -2 v. Raptors | 102-120 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 1-5 | Win | 110 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 220 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 102 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 112-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
05-19-19 | Brewers v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
05-18-19 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
05-18-19 | Dodgers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
05-18-19 | Rays v. Yankees +114 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215.5 | Top | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
05-17-19 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
05-17-19 | Orioles v. Indians -182 | 5-1 | Loss | -182 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 218.5 | 111-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
05-16-19 | Bruins -107 v. Hurricanes | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
05-16-19 | Orioles v. Indians -1.5 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
05-14-19 | Rangers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
05-14-19 | Bruins +104 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
05-12-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
05-11-19 | Phillies v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -7 | 118-113 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
05-10-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | 101-112 | Win | 101 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
05-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
05-08-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
05-08-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
05-08-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rays -149 | 3-2 | Loss | -149 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 89-125 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
05-07-19 | White Sox v. Indians -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 21 h 0 m | Show | |
05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -115 | 3-0 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
05-06-19 | Mariners v. Yankees -143 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
05-05-19 | Raptors +2 v. 76ers | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
05-05-19 | Blues +110 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
05-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rangers -127 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
05-04-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
05-04-19 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
05-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -2 | 123-116 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
05-03-19 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
05-03-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
05-02-19 | Raptors -1 v. 76ers | 95-116 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
05-02-19 | Padres v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 11-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars -119 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
05-01-19 | Islanders +108 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
05-01-19 | Cubs v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-0 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | Top | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
04-29-19 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
04-28-19 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
04-27-19 | Spurs +6 v. Nuggets | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
04-27-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
04-27-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 15-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
04-26-19 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
04-26-19 | Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
04-26-19 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues -149 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 208 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
04-25-19 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
04-24-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -8 | 93-100 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
04-24-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
04-24-19 | Tigers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Golden Knights +102 v. Sharks | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
04-23-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
04-23-19 | Braves v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
04-22-19 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | 91-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
04-22-19 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 12-4 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians UNDER 8 | 11-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9.5 | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
04-21-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 104 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 3-9 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets +2 | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
04-19-19 | Giants v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
04-19-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +5 | 98-93 | Push | 0 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
04-18-19 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
04-18-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Spurs | 108-118 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
04-17-19 | Jazz +7 v. Rockets | Top | 98-118 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
04-16-19 | Thunder +2 v. Blazers | 94-114 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 29 m | Show |