Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-24-22 | Royals +185 v. Diamondbacks | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The D'Backs shook off the jet-lag following an eight-game road trip to deliver a 9-6 win over the Royals last night. I look for Kansas City to answer back on Tuesday. Yes, the Snakes have their best starter on the hill in Zac Gallen on Tuesday. He'll be making his second consecutive start on just four days' rest, however, and it might be tough to be completely focused here against a lowly interleague opponent in the Royals. Note that Arizona continues to give up a lot of runs. It has allowed 5+ runs in eight of its last nine games. The D'Backs are still just 11-11 at home this season, averaging only 3.5 runs per game while being outscored by 0.3 runs on average. The Royals check in off five straight losses and certainly want to salvage something from this two-game stop in Arizona before an off day followed by a four-game set in Minnesota. Rookie starter Jon Heasley has run into a couple of tough lineups in his first two starts this season, the Rangers and White Sox. In two career road starts he has given up just one earned run in 8 2/3 innings of work. Finally, we'll note that even after last night's win, the D'Backs are still just 2-11 in their last 13 interleague home games. Take Kansas City (8*). |
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05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 215.5 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
Western Conference Finals First Half Total of the Year. My selection is on the first half 'over' between Golden State and Dallas at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I get the feeling we're going to see both of these teams come out pretty loose with the series well in hand for the Warriors, up 3-0. The pace certainly wasn't there for a high-scoring game in Game 3 of this series, and it wasn't as Golden State secured a 109-100 victory and we cashed our play on the 'under'. With that being said, the fact that the game still got to 209 points was impressive considering the Warriors got off 81 field goal attempts and the Mavericks countered with just 75. Here, I look for the pace to tick up, particularly early on, noting that the previous time we saw an 'under' result in this series, the next game (Game 2) saw a whopping 130 points scored in the first half. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is an incredible 16-4 in the first half with the Warriors playing on the road with an opportunity to close out a playoff series, with that spot producing an average first half total of 116.0 points. Meanwhile, the Mavs have seen the first half 'over' go 22-10 when coming off three losses in their last four games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average first half total of 115.5 points. Take the first half over (10*). |
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05-24-22 | Fever v. Sky OVER 164.5 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Chicago at 8 pm et on Tuesday. We missed with the 'over' in Chicago's most recent game as it won by an 82-73 score in Washington on Sunday. The 'under' has now cashed in the Sky's last two games and has gone 3-0-1 in their last four overall. I expect a different story to unfold on Tuesday, however. Despite the 'under' streak, the Sky are 'filling it up' offensively and should only get stronger now that Kahleah Copper has returned and shook off the rust with a 5-of-11 shooting performance on Sunday. Chicago has knocked down 36, 31, 28, 30 and 34 field goals in five games this season. Indiana doesn't figure to offer much resistance. The Fever have allowed 31+ made field goals in six of their eight games this season. They were locked down in a rematch with Connecticut on Sunday, scoring only 70 points but I'm confident we'll see them improve on that number here. Note that Chicago is in a fairly obvious letdown spot here after holding two terrific offensive teams in Seattle and Washington to 74 and 73 points. Note that it did allow 70+ field goal attempts in those two contests. Indiana may be without NaLyssa Smith again on Tuesday but that's been factored into this total. Take the over (8*). |
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05-24-22 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Rangers | 1-4 | Loss | -250 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina +1.5 goals over New York at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The home team has won all three games so far in this series. In fact, the home team has now won all 10 of Carolina's playoff games to date. I believe that works in our favor here as we're able to grab the insurance goal with the Hurricanes on Tuesday night, noting that the home team hasn't won more than three consecutive games in this particular matchup since the 2016-17 season. While the Rangers took Game 3 of this series on Sunday (we won with New York in that game), you could certainly argue that the Hurricanes were the better team for much of the game, outshooting New York by a 44-33 margin. Carolina has already won twice at Madison Square Garden this season and checks in 25-20 away from home, outscoring opponents by 0.4 goals on average. When playing on the road off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, we've seen the Canes outscored the opposition by 0.3 goals on average, allowing just 2.5 goals per contest in that situation (33-game sample size). We're obviously being asked to play a steep price to grab the insurance goal with Carolina here, but I believe it's warranted. Take Carolina +1.5 goals (6*). |
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05-24-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Carolina and New York at 7 pm et on Tuesday. This series has been incredibly low-scoring - precisely what we expected after both teams got involved in far higher-scoring series' than anticipated in the opening round of the playoffs. I expect that trend to continue on Tuesday as we watch a pivotal Game 4 unfold. Note that the 'under' is 17-6 with the Canes coming off a loss by 2+ goals against a divisional opponent over the last three seasons and 22-11 when playing on the road off a loss of any margin against a divisional foe over the last two campaigns. Both situations are in play here after Sunday's 3-1 loss in Game 3 (we won with the Rangers in that contest). The Rangers, meanwhile, have been a streaky 'under' team all season, with the 'under' going 31-18 when coming off an 'under' result, as is the case here. The 'under' is also 11-4 when the Blueshirts play at home off a home victory, resulting in just 4.9 total goals on average in that situation. Take the under (8*). |
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05-24-22 | Dodgers v. Nationals +191 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Dodgers blew the doors off the Nationals last night which likely provides their backers on Tuesday with a false sense of security as they check in as a big favorite again here. The Nationals are catching Walker Buehler at the right time though, as he's been tagged for seven earned runs on 15 hits over his last two starts, spanning just 10 innings of work. He's failed to last beyond the fifth inning in three of his last four trips to the hill. The Dodgers are just 2-3 in Buehler's five career starts against Washington. He's pitched just once here in Washington, allowing seven runs, four of them earned, in 5 1/3 innings in an 11-4 loss back in 2019. The Nationals will counter with Josiah Gray. His numbers aren't great - in fact, at first glance they're pretty awful. However, he has worked at least into the sixth inning in six consecutive starts and the Nats have come away victorious in five of his eight outings this season. Here, we'll note that the Dodgers are just 1-2 after scoring 10+ runs in their previous game this season while the Nationals are 3-1 this season when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they allowed 10+ runs. Both situations are of course in play here after the Dodgers prevailed by a 10-1 score in last night's series-opener. Take Washington (9*). |
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05-23-22 | Sparks v. Aces UNDER 170 | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams have seen the 'over' cash in consecutive games but I look for a different story to unfold on Monday night in Sin City. The pace hasn't necessarily been there in the Sparks last two contests, with both teams getting off fewer than 70 field goal attempts on both occasions. The Sparks, however, shot the lights out in both games, knocking down 32 field goals in each. Here, I expect Los Angeles to face some resistance, noting that the Sparks - while known for their offensive prowess - have done a nice job defensively, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals and all four of those opponents to 70 or fewer field goal attempts. We've cashed some 'over' tickets in games involving the Sparks this season, noting that we expected them to struggle defensively out of the gate. Lately, we have seen them do a better job though, as they've limited four straight opponents to 70 or fewer FG attempts after allowing Indiana to get off 78 back in their second game of the season. While Las Vegas averages 91.7 points per game this season, it's worth noting that number drops to 83.9 points after scoring 90+ points in consecutive games over the last two seasons (23-game sample size), as is the case here. Also note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Sparks coming off four consecutive losses over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of just 135.7 points. Take the under (8*). |
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05-23-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -165 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
Second Round Puck-Line Game of the Year. My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Colorado at 9:30 pm et on Monday. We won with the Avalanche on Saturday as they skated to a 5-2 victory to grab a 2-1 series lead. I won't hesitate to go the other way on Monday, however, as the Blues look to answer back, just as they did in Game 2 of the series. Yes, St. Louis lost goaltender Jordan Binnington to an injury after a questionable play from Nazim Kadri in Game 3 on Saturday. Ville Husso is certainly a capable backup, however, noting that he actually began the playoffs as the starter before being replaced by Binnington following a couple of poor performances against the Wild. Prior to Game 2 of the opening round against Minnesota, Husso had gone a perfect 12-0 in his last 12 starts when factoring in the +1.5 puck-line, as we'll be using to our advantage here. Note that Colorado has allowed 4.1 goals per game, outscored by an average margin of 0.3 goals when coming off a road win in which it scored 4+ goals over the last two seasons (14-game sample size). Meanwhile, St. Louis checks in averaging 3.8 goals per contest and outscoring opponents by 0.5 goals on average when coming off two losses in its last three games this season (25-game sample size), as is the case here. This is obviously a critical game for the Blues as they're not likely to reel off three straight victories against a team as good as the Avalanche should they dig a 3-1 series hole. Note that St. Louis has responded well to adversity in these playoffs, notching victories on both previous occasions when trailing a series with those two wins coming by a combined 9-3 margin. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals (10*). |
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05-23-22 | Brewers +100 v. Padres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
N.L. Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee over San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Monday. I think the case can be made for the Brewers being the better team in this matchup, with the better starting pitcher on the mound, yet we're getting an underdog price as the Padres roll in off four consecutive victories capped off by a three-game sweep against the division rival Giants in San Francisco. We actually cashed a free play on the underdog Nationals in their win over the Brewers yesterday as Milwaukee looked like it had one foot already on the plane having easily won the first two games in that series against Washington. Here, we'll note that the Brewers are 12-9 on the road this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game. By contrast, the Padres are 10-7 at home, but have managed to score only 3.4 runs per contest. Brewers starter Adrian Houser has inexplicably struggled in two starts against the lowly Reds this season but has excelled against everyone else. He was a hard-luck loser against the Braves last time out, allowing just one unearned run over six innings in a 3-0 Brewers loss. Houser faced the Padres twice last season, allowing only two earned runs in 9 2/3 innings including a 4-2 Brewers victory here in San Diego. Nick Martinez gets another turn in the rotation for the Padres, out of necessity only. He's struggled to the tune of a 4.40 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season with those numbers rising to 5.22 and 1.50 in four home outings. The Brewers will be getting their first look at him here but so were the Cubs in his most recent start and they reached him for five earned runs in just four innings. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
Conference Finals First Half Total of the Year. My selection is on the first half 'under' between Miami and Boston at 8:30 pm et on Monday. We've seen the 'over' cash in each of the first three games of this series, not to mention the first half 'over' as well. I expect a different story to unfold on Monday, however. The last two games have seen these two teams take turns shooting the lights out. First it was a three-point barrage from the Celtics down 1-0 in the series in Game 2 and then an early all-out shooting assault from the Heat back in Boston in Game 3. Now, however, both teams are dealing with some key injuries with Jimmy Butler and Jayson Tatum among those getting banged-up in Game 3 on Saturday. Both will likely play on Monday but whether they're 100% healthy is up for debate. Note that the three regular season meetings between these two teams totalled just 84, 99 and 105 first half points - all staying 'under' the number we're dealing with tonight. Also note that the 'under' is 11-3 with the Celtics seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a home favorite this season, leading to an average first half total of just 98.3 points. The Heat have posted a very long-term 104-146 o/u mark in the first half across all playoff games over the last number of years. Take the first half under (10*). |
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05-23-22 | Blue Jays +108 v. Cardinals | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Monday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Blue Jays here after dropping a 3-2 decision against the Reds yesterday. It was still a positive homestand for Toronto as it won consecutive series' against Seattle and Cincinnati. You can be sure the Jays are acutely aware just how bad their most recent road trip went and they'll be looking to make amends for that as they head to St. Louis and Anaheim this week. We'll back Toronto with Jose Berrios starting on Monday. He comes off his best outing of the young season, tossing seven shutout innings against Seattle last week. Berrios' overall numbers aren't great this season but we certainly know what he's capable of and look for him to turn things around sooner rather than later. The Cardinals just finished beating up on the Pirates over a three-game series but aren't likely to find the same level of success in this much tougher matchup. Miles Mikolas has posted terrific numbers this season but has still only managed to post one team victory in three home starts. While he hasn't allowed many runs, he's also not fooling a lot of hitters, topping out at five strikeouts over his last three outings. Here, we'll note that the Blue Jays are 37-16 after scoring two runs or less in their previous game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.9 runs on average in that situation. Take Toronto (8*). |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 219 | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
Western Conference Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Dallas at 9 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in Game 2 of this series on Friday but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as the scene shifts to Dallas for Game 3 on Sunday. The pace didn't necessarily dictate such a high-scoring affair on Friday. Dallas got off just 78 field goal attempts in that game - the third time in the last five games it has been held to 78 or fewer FG attempts. Meanwhile, Golden State shot the lights out for the second straight game; an identical 46-of-82 shooting to what we saw in Game 1 in fact. Note that the Mavs have only allowed consecutive opponents to knock down 40+ field goals once previously in these playoffs. In their next game they held the Suns to just 94 points in a game that didn't even reach 200 (103-94 final score at home in Game 3 last round). While the Warriors do average 40 made field goals per contest on the road this season, they'll face a tough challenge here with Dallas allowing just 38-of-84 shooting on its home floor. Likewise, the Mavs average 39 made field goals on 85 attempts at home this season but will be up against a Warriors team that can play some defense as well, yielding their opponents just 39 made field goals on 86 attempts per game on the road this season. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a long-term 72-48 with the Warriors playing on the road off three consecutive ATS victories, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 10-1 with Dallas playing at home seeking revenge for a loss in which its opponent scored 110+ points this season, which is also the situation here. Take the under (10*). |
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05-22-22 | Flames v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Edmonton at 8 pm et on Sunday. We've seen two wild, high-scoring games to open this series but I expect a different story to unfold as the series shifts to Edmonton for Game 3 on Sunday. Note that the 'under' is 12-5 with the Flames coming off consecutive games in which they allowed 3+ goals this season. Likewise, the 'under' is 20-11 with the Oilers following the same scenario. The 'under' is also 18-9 with the Oilers playing at home off a road victory by 2+ goals over the last two seasons. The 'under' is actually a long-term 42-25 in the last 67 instalments of the 'Battle of Alberta' here in Edmonton. Take the under (7*). |
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05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -126 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco over San Diego at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Padres are already 'fat and happy' having won six of eight games on their current road trip. They've already defeated Giants starter Alex Wood right here in San Francisco once this season but I don't expect them to turn the trick for a second time here. Note that Wood is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in a pair of previous afternoon outings this season. Meanwhile, Padres starter MacKenzie Gore was used out of the bullpen earlier this week in Philadelphia, missing his turn in the starting rotation. Given how well Gore has pitched as a starter this season it was a bit of a head-scratching move, although I suppose San Diego is looking to limit his workload somewhat. I think there's a good chance we see Gore a little off having not started in nearly two weeks and the Giants are fully capable of taking advantage, noting that they're putting up 5.5 runs per game, going 5-3 against left-handed starting pitching this season. San Diego has won the first two games in this series but only owns a slight 3-2 edge here in San Francisco this season and an 11-10 advantage in games played in this park over the last three seasons. Look for the Giants to answer back here. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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05-22-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +105 | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Carolina at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. The Hurricanes have now won three games in a row - their longest such streak of the playoffs to date. Off a shutout victory in Game 2, I look for the Canes to suffer a letdown in Game 3 as the scene shifts to Madison Square Garden. Note that Carolina is a miserable 1-6 when coming off consecutive games in which it allowed one goal or less over the last two seasons, as is the case here. They're also a miserable 41-70 when coming off 3+ consecutive victories in the long-term picture. The Rangers are an impressive 8-1 when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they were shut out over the last two seasons. They've also 10-2 when coming off consecutive losses this season, which is also the situation here. Take New York (8*). |
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05-22-22 | Sky v. Mystics OVER 157.5 | Top | 82-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
WNBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Washington at 3 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'under' in the Mystics gritty road win over Atlanta two nights ago. I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'over' as they return home to host Chicago on Sunday. The Mystics were without Elena Delle Donne for Friday's game as she had a scheduled night off as she eases her way back from injury. She should be back in the lineup on Sunday to boost a deep Mystics offense that scored 78 points on Friday despite getting off just 55 field goal attempts and shooting a miserable 3-of-18 from three-point range. Note that Washington has put up 84+ points in all three home games this season. Chicago is coming off a low-scoring contest against Seattle, falling by a 74-71 score. The Sky have had plenty of time to get over that setback on Wednesday and I fully expect a stronger offensive performance here. The extra days off should have certainly served Allie Quigley well. The Sky sharp-shooter has been easing her way back into game action, contributing in just 15 points in 43 minutes of action in her two games back in the lineup. Candace Parker has been held to exactly 11 points in three straight games after scoring 21 in Chicago's season-opener. Like Quigley, I expect Parker to make a more significant contribution against the Mystics on Sunday. The Mystics were fortunate to give up 'only' 73 points in Friday's win considering Atlanta was able to get off 66 field goal attempts. Expect Chicago to improve on that number here. Take the over (10*). |
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05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Arizona at 2:20 pm et on Sunday. It's a true 'getaway day' for the D'Backs on Sunday as they'll hop on a plane immediately following today's game to head back home and open a two-game set with the Royals tomorrow night. They'll be playing their eighth game in seven days and haven't had a day off since May 12th so credit them for taking the first three games in this series, including yesterday's in come-from-behind fashion in extra innings. With all of that being said, I'm confident we'll see the Cubs, who had been playing well entering this series, salvaging the series-finale on Sunday afternoon at Wrigley Field. Wade Miley will get his third start of the season for Chicago after starting the campaign on the injured list. Remember, he went 12-7 with a 3.38 ERA in 28 starts with the Reds last season and showed signs of returning to form last time out, allowing just one hit while striking out six and not walking a single batter over seven shutout innings in a 9-0 victory over the Pirates right here in Chicago. D'Backs starter Merrill Kelly had the polar opposite experience in his most recent outing, torched for eight earned runs in just two innings of work against the Dodgers. Arizona has now lost his last two starts by a ridiculous 23-6 margin. While Kelly was on the mound for a pair of D'Backs victories over the Cubs last season, it's not as if he pitched particularly well, allowing six earned runs in 14 innings. Take Chicago (8*). |
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05-22-22 | Sun -11.5 v. Fever | 92-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Indiana at 2 pm et on Sunday. We saw the Sun turn in one of the worst quarters of defensive basketball we've seen them play in years on Friday night, allowing 34 points in the fourth quarter against the Fever. They still ended up winning the game by nine points. I don't expect to see a repeat of that performance here. The Sun not surprisingly had their way with the Fever defense as that game wore on. You'd be hard-pressed to find a weaker defensive team in the WNBA than the Fever as they continue what seems to be a never-ending rebuild. Credit them for shooting the lights out on Friday but with arguably their best offensive player, rookie NaLyssa Smith, likely to miss one more game (she's listed as doubtful for Sunday) I expect them to have a tough time keeping pace with a full-strength Sun squad on Sunday. Take Connecticut (8*). |
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05-22-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -167 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Boston at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the Mariners yesterday but certainly deserved a better fate as they built an early 5-0 lead but couldn't make it stand up in a 6-5 defeat. Yesterday's starter Chris Flexen disappointed once again but I don't expect the same from Logan Gilbert on Sunday. Gilbert has been brilliant for the Mariners so far this season, recording a 2.60 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in eight starts. Better still, he's posted a 1.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in five road outings. It's a much different story for Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi. He has seemingly come down with a case of the 'yips', allowing a whopping 14 home runs in 41 2/3 innings of work this season, including five in his most recent start against Houston. While the Mariners have lost three straight games here in Boston they have managed to plate 14 runs and they have to be salivating at the prospect of facing the struggling Eovaldi here, especially considering they reached him for four earned runs over five innings in an 8-2 victory here at Fenway Park last season. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (6*). |
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05-22-22 | Panthers -104 v. Lightning | 1-5 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 1:30 pm et on Sunday. As I've mentioned on numerous occasions previously, long winning streaks just aren't commonplace in the NHL Playoffs. Here, the Lightning will be looking to deliver a fifth consecutive victory after improbably taking Games 1 and 2 in Sunrise. Note that the Bolts are 2-6 after winning 4+ games in a row this season. I look for the Panthers to answer back on Sunday afternoon. Florida has now dropped consecutive games, its longest losing streak since dropping three in a row from February 22nd to 26th. The Cats are 13-2 after being held to one goal or less in their previous game over the last two seasons and 30-15 when playing on the road off a loss over the last three seasons. Take Florida (9*). |
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05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Boston at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. You're not going to win many games when your opponent knocks down 20+ three-pointers and the Heat found that out first hand on Thursday night. I do think we see Miami throw that result away and come back strong as the series shifts to Boston for Game 3 on Saturday, however. The Celtics aren't going to shoot the lights out again from long range here. Note that Miami has held opponents to an average of 37-of-84 shooting including 13 made threes per game on the road this season. The Heat, despite not holding serve in the first two games at home, have done a good job of limiting the Celtics opportunities, allowing 79 and 84 field goal attempts heading into Game 3. In fact, the C's have gotten off fewer than 90 field goal attempts in 13 consecutive games - a big reason they've gone just 2-3 ATS as a favorite over that stretch. Miami has now been held to fewer than 40 made field goals in consecutive games to open this series. It hasn't been kept under that number in three straight contests since March 23rd-26th. With that being said, I expect a positive response from the Heat here, noting that they've gone 18-6 ATS in an underdog role this season and check in 16-5 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss as a favorite over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Miami (10*). |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche -161 v. Blues | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 3 m | Show |
Central Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Colorado over St. Louis at 8 pm et on Saturday. We cashed our free play on the Blues puck-line in Game 2 of this series on Thursday but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the Avs as the series shifts to St. Louis on Saturday. After a dominant performance in Game 1 (Blues goaltender Jordan Binnington stood on his head in that overtime loss), Colorado was brought back to Earth in Game 2. That wasn't all that surprising, as I noted in my analysis that long winning streaks aren't all that commonplace in the NHL Playoffs (the Avs had won five games in a row to open the postseason). Now I look for Colorado to answer back, noting that it has gone 18-5 when seeking revenge for a loss in which it scored one goal or less over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.5 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Blues are just 5-12 in their last 17 games when tied in a playoff series and playing on home ice (including 0-1 in these playoffs), outscored by 0.8 goals on average in that spot. Take Colorado (10*). |
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05-21-22 | Lynx v. Wings UNDER 164 | 78-94 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Dallas at 8 pm et on Saturday. Both of these teams enter Saturday's contest off high-scoring affairs - in the case of Minnesota, consecutive high-scoring affairs. I expect a different story to unfold here. The Lynx have shot incredibly well in splitting the first two games of their three-game road trip, knocking down exactly 31 field goals and scoring exactly 87 points in each of those contests. Now, however, playing their third game in five nights in three different cities, I look for some regression. The Wings allowed 73 field goal attempts in Phoenix two nights ago but still prevailed by a 94-84 score. Note that Dallas had previously limited each of its first four opponents to 66 or fewer field goal attempts. For their part, the Lynx have held all six of their opponents to 70 or fewer FG attempts this season. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 24-11 with the Lynx playing on the road after consecutive games that totalled 165+ points, as is the case here. Take the under (8*). |
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05-21-22 | Mariners +148 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Game of the Week. My selection is on Seattle over Boston at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Mariners have dropped the first two games in this series but I look for them to answer back on Saturday afternoon at Fenway Park. Chris Flexen has received a ridiculous seven runs of support across his seven starts this season. Flexen has done his part, especially on the road where he has posted a 3.80 ERA, allowing three earned runs or less in all four of his outings. I expect the Mariners bats to finally step up for him on Saturday as they face Red Sox rookie Garrett Whitlock. He got off to a solid start this season, holding his first two opponents to just five hits and no earned runs over seven innings of work. Since then he's struggled, however, yielding seven earned runs including three home runs in 13 innings, covering a span of three starts. He'll be making just his second career start on four days' rest. The only previous time we saw him pitch on short rest he gave up a run on four hits and two walks and lasted just three innings in his lone loss of the season in Toronto. Note that the Red Sox bullpen hasn't fared particularly well in day games this season, recording a 5.53 ERA and 1.31 WHIP with just one save converted and three blown. In stark contrast, the Mariners 'pen has posted a 2.94 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in afternoon affairs. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-20-22 | Sparks v. Storm OVER 157 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Seattle at 10 pm et on Friday. We missed with the 'under' in Seattle's most recent game but did cash the 'over' the last time Los Angeles took the floor on Wednesday night against Minnesota. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively high-scoring affair and we're being afforded a very reasonable total, thanks in large part to the Storm coming off consecutive 'under' results. Seattle welcomed superstar Breanna Stewart back to the floor on Wednesday and she made an immediate impact, scoring 13 points on 5-of-12 shooting. I certainly expect a bigger contribution from her on Friday. Seattle has yet to really bust out offensively this season but it's coming. The Storm have gotten off 70+ field goal attempts in four straight games. In the only game where they didn't reach that mark they knocked down 35-of-66 field goal attempts in a season-opening 97-74 rout of Minnesota here at home. On the flip side, opponents have been 'filling it up' against Seattle so far this season, knocking down 31, 30, 36, 26 and 30 field goals in its first five games. Speaking of 'filling it up', the Sparks have allowed the opposition to make good on 36, 29, 24, 28 and 31 field goals in their first five games, allowing 77+ points in each contest. That's not surprising as I had Los Angeles pegged as one of the league's weakest defensive teams - at least early in the season. The good news is, the Sparks offense does appear much-improved, largely due to the acquisition of Liz Cambage. They bounced back from a subpar shooting effort against an elite and highly-motivated Connecticut squad, scoring 84 points on 32-of-67 shooting against Minnesota on Wednesday. They would likely prefer to turn this game into a bit of a slugfest but I expect them to get dragged into a track meet (by WNBA standards at least). Take the over (9*). |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Golden State at 9 pm et on Friday. The Mavericks not surprisingly struggled to get back up for Game 1 of this series after overcoming the top-seeded Suns in a come-from-behind victory last round. We won with the Warriors two nights ago but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Mavs here. Dallas actually did an alright job of slowing the Warriors offense in Game 1, holding it to just 82 field goal attempts. The Warriors quite simply shot the lights out. I'm not counting on a repeat performance here, however, noting that Golden State similarly shot 64% in a 142-112 Game 3 rout of Memphis last round before knocking down just 40% of its shots while eking out a 101-98 victory in Game 4. We know the Mavs are capable of better defensively, noting that they've held 10 of their last 14 opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals, going 9-5 ATS while suffering consecutive ATS losses only once over that stretch. Here, we'll also point out that Dallas is 9-1 ATS when coming off a loss by 20+ points this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 13.2 points in that situation. Golden State has now held consecutive opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals - the first time it has accomplished that feat all playoffs. It has also posted back-to-back ATS victories for the first time since starting its opening round series against Denver with three in a row. Take Dallas (8*). |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 214.5 | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Golden State at 9 pm et on Friday. We cashed our free play on the 'under' in Game 1 of this series and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 2 on Friday. While the Mavericks were blown out by 25 points in that game, the pace was actually probably to their liking. They limited the Warriors to just 82 field goal attempts in that game (I realize the lopsided nature of the contest had something to do with that) but Golden State quite simply shot the lights out, knocking down 46 of those attempts. One thing was evident in that game - this series isn't likely to be the same up-tempo matchup that we saw from the Warriors and Grizzlies last round. In that series, the Warriors got off 90+ field goal attempts in four of six games while allowing Memphis to attempt 91 or more field goals in all six contests. The Mavs, despite trailing by a considerable margin most of the way, only attempted 86 field goals in Game 1 of this series - pretty much par for the course as they've averaged 84 FG attempts per game on the road this season. While we can anticipate Dallas shooting better than it did in the series-opener (it made good on just 31 field goals), how much better remains to be seen as it did put up only 87 points on Wednesday despite a whopping 48 three-point attempts (it made 11) and 21 trips to the free throw line (five more than the Warriors). Perhaps a more conservative offensive gameplan will serve it well here, as I look for Dallas to lean on a much better defensive performance than we saw in the opener. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a perfect 8-0 with the Mavs coming off a game in which they scored 90 or fewer points over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of just 204.5 points. The 'under' is also 24-11 with Dallas seeking revenge for a double-digit loss against an opponent over the same stretch, leading to an average total of 212.0 points. Take the under (8*). |
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05-20-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Carolina at 8 pm et on Friday. Not surprisingly, things have tightened up considerably following a high-scoring opening round. This series is no exception as Game 1 produced just two goals in regulation time two nights ago. I expect more of the same on Friday. Carolina is as stingy as it gets at home, allowing just 2.1 goals per game with the 'under' going 26-18-2 in Raleigh this season. While the Rangers weren't able to grab a win in Game 1, it had to be encouraging to hold the Hurricanes to just a single goal in regulation time after struggling mightily to keep the puck out of their own net against Pittsburgh last round. Note that the 'under' is a long-term 40-23 with the Rangers playing on the road off a road loss against a division opponent, resulting in an average total of just 5.1 goals. The 'under' is also 17-7 with the Rangers on the road with the total set at 5.5 goals this season, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 5.3 goals. Carolina has seen the 'under' go 29-16 at home in division games over the same stretch, with that situation producing an average total of 5.2 goals. Take the under (8*). |
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05-20-22 | Mystics v. Dream UNDER 157.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Friday. The Dream have seen each of their last three games go 'over' the total but I look for a different story to unfold on Friday night in Atlanta. Note that the Dream's last two games have come against a perennially-rebuilding Indiana squad that simply hasn't shown much cohesiveness defensively in the early going this season. It's a different story on Friday as the Dream will welcome the Washington Mystics, who are looking like an elite defensive squad in the early going this season. The Mystics have held three of their last four opponents to 27 or fewer made field goals. They'll need to keep it up here as their offense could lag with Elena Delle-Donne sitting out and Myisha Hines-Allen questionable to play after being forced to leave their last game due to injury. While Washington's offense has been sharp this season, the pace hasn't really been there as it has gotten off fewer than 70 field goal attempts in four of five games - not surprisingly the 'under' has cashed in four of those five contests. It's an even more magnified story for the Dream as they've hoisted up 65 or fewer field goal attempts in four of five games. Take the under (8*). |
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05-20-22 | Fever v. Sun -15 | Top | 85-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Friday. Fresh off a 27-point rout of the Liberty in an early season revenge game last time out, I look for the Sun to continue their ascension on Friday night back home against Indiana. The Fever appear to be the worst defensive team in the WNBA, at least in the early stages of the season. A never-ending rebuild continues and while the Fever offense has shown signs of life, it might be hard-pressed to keep it going on Friday with highly-touted draft pick NaLyssa Smith now sidelined. Note that Indiana has allowed opponents to knock down 28+ field goals in all six games this season, holding only one opponent to fewer than 84 points. Even in its last two games when it limited Atlanta to just 57 and 63 field goal attempts it still got torched for 85 and 101 points. Connecticut is rested and ready having played just three games this season. We've seen the Sun round into form fairly quickly, bouncing back from a season-opening loss in New York to deliver two blowout wins. Connecticut's first three opponents have had a tough enough time just getting shots off let alone knocking them down. The Sun have limited their first three opponents to just 59, 54 and 52 FG attempts. Indiana will be hard-pressed to keep within arm's reach here. Take Connecticut (10*). |
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05-20-22 | Levante v. Rayo Vallecano UNDER 3 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Soccer Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Rayo Vallecano and Levante at 3 pm et on Friday. With their places already assured ahead of Friday's La Liga finale, I'm not anticipating much in the way of offensive fireworks in this one. Levante would be well-advised to play cautiously here, noting that it has failed to record a clean sheet in any of its last seven matches, giving up the first goal in six of those contests. The good news is, Rayo Vallecano isn't all that imposing offensively and enters this match having gone winless across its last four contests. Note also that Vallecano has seen six of its last eight contests stay 'under' 2.5 goals. It has enjoyed a successful campaign here at home this season, where it actually sits 10th in the La Liga table when only considering home matches. There, we've seen it yield just 18 goals in 18 matches - an impressive accomplishment in its own right. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-22 | Wings v. Mercury OVER 161.5 | 94-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Phoenix at 10 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams enter Thursday's showdown in Phoenix off consecutive 'under' results. I like the bounce-back spot for both offenses here. The Wings roster is loaded with shooters but the best of the bunch is Arike Ogunbowale and she's coming off a miserable performance against Washington. The Wings shot just 25-of-61 in that loss - which was a revenge game for Washington after Dallas defeated it on the road back in the second game of the season. We saw a similarly poor offensive effort from Dallas back in its season-opener against Atlanta but it successfully bounced back with a 94-point explosion against the aformentioned Mystics in its next game. The problem for the Wings - a common problem in recent years - has been slowing down opposing offenses. Dallas' opponents have been 'filling it up', knocking down 31, 29 and 34 field goals over its last three contests. That's despite the fact that the Wings opponents this season haven't really been pushing the pace. I expect Phoenix to do so on Thursday, however, as it looks to respond at home off a double-digit loss in Las Vegas. The Mercury made good on 36 and 33 field goals in their first three games but were bottled up in their last two contests, knocking down just 26 field goals on each occasion. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 9-1 with the Mercury coming off consecutive 'under' results over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 176.5 points. The 'over' is also 10-2 with Phoenix coming off a double-digit loss over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of 176.5 points. Take the over (8*). |
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05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 208 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Miami at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series as the oddsmakers quite simply missed the mark with a total just north of 200 points. Now I believe the betting marketplace has overreacted the other way, pushing this total closer to 210 points. Game 1 saw undisciplined defensive efforts from both teams, leading to a combined 66 free throw attempts. I expect nothing of the sort in Game 2 on Thursday. Both teams are fully capable of playing tough defense without needing to foul on every other possession. The pace certainly didn't dictate such a high-scoring contest in the series-opener, noting that the Celtics got off just 79 field goal attempts while the Heat got off only 80. Boston has now been held to 38 or fewer made field goals in three straight and five of its last seven games overall. On the flip side, however, the C's have held the opposition to 40 or fewer made field goals in eight straight games. You would have to go all the way back to Game 1 of the playoffs against Brooklyn to find the last time a C's opponent knocked down more than 41 field goals. The Heat have been even tougher defensively. They've limited nine consecutive opponents to 38 or fewer made field goals. Not surprisingly, the 'under' cashed in six of those nine games. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Arizona at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. While Arizona actually owns the better overall record this season, the Cubs just took two of three in the desert last week and are certainly playing the better baseball of the two teams right now, even though they're coming off a loss to the Pirates last night. Chicago will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman as he returns from a quad injury on Thursday. He had been pitching well prior to getting injured, allowing just two earned runs over his last two starts, covering a span of 13 innings. Missing the D'Backs series last week probably benefits him here as he faces the Snakes for the first time this season (he allowed three earned runs over six innings in a start in Arizona last year). It's a different story for D'Backs starter Zac Gallen. He faced the Cubs last week and pitched well, but still came up empty in a 4-2 loss. Chicago will be getting its third look at Gallen since the start of last season. His lone start here at Wrigley Field wasn't a good one as he was lit up for seven earned runs over just four innings last July. Interestingly enough, the Cubs were getting their second look at Gallen in less than a week on that occasion as well. As far as the bullpens go in this one it's really no contest as the Cubs relief corps has posted a 1.12 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over its last seven games while the D'Backs 'pen checks in sporting a 5.58 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Chicago (5*). |
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05-19-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 7 pm et on Thursday. We missed with the Panthers in Game 1. I can't help but think after grabbing an early 1-0 lead they thought the Lightning would just roll over, especially with Brayden Point sidelined and coming off a grueling seven-game series against the Leafs that saw them rally to win the final two games. That wasn't the case of course as Tampa Bay outmuscled Florida in a 4-1 victory. Now it's on the Panthers to bounce back and I expect them to do just that on Thursday. Note that Florida checks in an incredible 13-1 when coming off a game in which it scored one goal or less over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals on average in that spot. Perhaps better still, the Panthers are 20-3 when playing at home after allowing 3+ goals in consecutive games over the same stretch, outscoring opponents by 2.1 goals on average while putting up an incredible 4.7 goals per contest. We know this is a critical contest for the Panthers as they can ill afford to dig themselves an 0-2 hole the way they did against the Lightning in last year's opening round playoff series. As I've noted previously, long winning streaks just aren't commonplace in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. I suppose I should have taken my own advice in Game 1 of this series as the Panthers were looking for a fourth straight win. Now it's the Lightning that will be aiming to win a fourth consecutive game. I expect them to fall short. Take Florida (10*). |
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05-19-22 | Reds v. Guardians -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Cincinnati at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. I think the extra day off (last night's game was postponed) benefits the Guardians here as they look to right the ship off consecutive losses. The Reds could have enjoyed an off day today before heading opening a series in Toronto tomorrow night. Instead they're playing on 'getaway day' and in a tough spot at that with Tyler Mahle - who is winless with a 4.96 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in four career starts against Cleveland - taking the ball against Cal Quantrill. Quantrill has posted a perfect 8-0 team record over the last three seasons and 10-1 in his career when priced as a home favorite between -125 and -175, as is the case here at the time of writing. After working at least six innings in four consecutive starts, the extra off day probably wasn't the worst thing for the right-hander. Speaking of being priced between -125 and -175, the Guardians are an incredible 48-18 in that situation over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.7 runs on average. Finally, I'll note that the day off should serve the Cleveland bullpen well, noting that it had worked a collective 24 innings over its last seven games. By contrast, the Reds 'pen had worked just 19 2/3 innings over the same stretch, recording a poor 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Take Cleveland (7*). |
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05-18-22 | Sky v. Storm OVER 159.5 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Seattle at 10 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in Chicago's season-opening overtime loss to Los Angeles. Since then, the Sky have posted consecutive 'under' results. I expect a different story to unfold here as they continue their three-game road trip in Seattle on Wednesday. The Storm have been sorely missing Breanna Stewart, among others. While Stewart is unlikely to play on Wednesday (she's still in Covid protocol) they should have Epiphanny Prince back on the court. Coming off three straight losses, the Storm are desperate to get back on track here. The good news is, the pace has been there for a potential quick turn-around, noting that they've gotten off 76, 71 and 77 field goal attempts over the last three games. The shots simply haven't been falling. While Chicago is coming off consecutive wins, it hasn't exactly been playing lock-down defense in the early going this season. Its most recent opponent, the Minnesota Lynx, attempted only 59 field goals but still scored 78 points, shooting better than 49% from the field. I do think the Storm can find a way to push the pace a little more in this one, putting pressure on the Sky defense. Offensively, Chicago has been getting production from up and down its lineup. With that being said, Candace Parker has yet to really get going while Allie Quigley just made her season debut last time out and should improve on her 3-of-8, seven-point performance here. Despite having yet to get off more than 70 FG attempts in a game, Chicago has been filling up boxscores, making good on 36, 31 and 28 field goals in its first three games. Take the over (8*). |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Dallas at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Credit the Mavericks for rallying back from a 3-2 series deficit to oust the Suns in seven games, delivering an incredible knockout punch on the road in Game 7 on Sunday. There's no question, Dallas has been at its best when facing adversity in these playoffs (Game 2 without Luka Doncic in round one against Utah and Game 3 after digging an 0-2 hole last round against Phoenix come to mind). Here, I'm not convinced we'll see the Mavs best punch as both teams feel their way around Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Golden State has the benefit of playing at home, where it has gone 37-10 this season, outscoring opponents by 10.5 points per game, and also checks in well-rested but not likely rusty following just four off days. I like the fact that the Warriors come in seeking revenge for consecutive losses against the Mavs, noting that they've gone 24-12 ATS when playing with 'double-revenge' over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 5.9 points on average along the way. For their part, the Mavs check in just 4-6 ATS when coming off an outright underdog road victory this season, as is the case here, and 1-3 ATS when following up consecutive wins by 15+ points. Take Golden State (10*). |
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05-18-22 | White Sox -150 v. Royals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
A.L. First Five Innings Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago first five innings over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Royals got the better of the White Sox in the second half of yesterday's day-night double-header but I look for Chicago to answer back, at least early on, in Wednesday's contest. We'll play the first five innings only in this one as we're not all that interested in involving a White Sox bullpen that entered yesterday's action sporting an ERA north of eight and a WHIP approaching 1.80 over the last seven games. Lucas Giolito will get the start for Chicago on Wednesday. Covid quarantine gave him a couple of extra days off since his last outing, perhaps a good thing after he worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last three starts. He was sharp last time out, allowing just one earned run over seven innings in a 4-1 victory over the Guardians. Zack Greinke will counter for Kansas City. He'll be making his second consecutive start on four days' rest and struggled in his most recent outing, allowing five earned runs over 4 2/3 innings in Colorado. He's been tagged for 18 hits and seven earned runs over his last two starts, covering a span of just 10 1/3 innings. This will be Chicago's second look at Greinke in less than a month after reaching him for three earned runs over six innings in a 7-3 victory on April 27th. Look for the Sox to improve on those numbers early in this game. Take Chicago first five innings (10*). |
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05-18-22 | Cardinals v. Mets -186 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over St. Louis at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. Max Scherzer failed to find the win column against Seattle last time out. It was no fault of his as he allowed just one earned run in seven innings, lowering his ERA to 2.66 in the process. Unfortunately the Mets bats were silent on that night, falling by a 2-1 score. Jordan Hicks, meanwhile, is just hanging on in the Cardinals starting rotation, out of necessity only. He’s yet to last more than five innings in any of his five starts this season. He has allowed multiple runs and walks in four consecutive outings. Yesterday’s double-header between these two teams went according to plan with the favored side winning both games. More of the same here. Take New York (6*). |
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05-18-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Carolina at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I don't expect this series to play out anything like these two teams' high-scoring opening round series'. We inexplicably saw 7+ goals in all seven games between the Rangers and Penguins while the Canes saw six of their seven games against the Bruins total at least six goals. I expect the scoring to settle down considerably in the round two opener between these two squads on Wednesday, noting that the 'under' is 7-1 with the Rangers coming off an overtime win this season, resulting in an average total of just 4.7 goals. The 'under' is 28-16 with the Canes playing at home against division opponents over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of only 5.2 goals. The last time these two teams faced each other here in Raleigh, the Rangers skated to a low-scoring 2-0 victory back on March 30th. The 'under' checks in 6-5 in the last 11 meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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05-18-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -159 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over New York at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Long winning streaks aren't commonplace in the NHL Playoffs - at least not anymore. We saw evidence of that again last night as the Panthers failed to deliver a fourth straight victory, falling by a 4-1 score at home against the Lightning. Here, the Rangers will be aiming for their fourth consecutive win after rallying from a 3-1 series deficit to prevail in overtime in Game 7 against the Penguins last round. I expect them to fall short in Wednesday's series-opener. Carolina remains undefeated on home ice in these playoffs - an impressive accomplishment considering it faced a team that enjoyed plenty of road success during the regular season in the Bruins during the opening round. The Canes are now an incredible 33-12 on home ice this season, allowing a stingy 2.1 goals per game while outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average. They catch the Rangers in a favorable spot here, noting that New York has gone 5-14 when coming off three consecutive games scoring 3+ goals over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 goals in that situation. Take Carolina (8*). |
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05-17-22 | Lynx v. Sparks OVER 160 | Top | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Los Angeles at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday. As a perennial title contender, the Lynx certainly aren't accustomed to long losing streaks. They check into this game off four consecutive losses to open the season though. You would have to go all the way back to their season-opener against Seattle to find the last time they posted an 'over' result. I look for that to change here. Minnesota has seemingly gotten stronger with each passing game from an offensive standpoint and could potentially get Kayla McBride back in the lineup to give it an additional boost here. The Lynx have scored 74+ points in three of their four games this season and got to 78 points last time out despite getting off only 59 field goal attempts. We can anticipate the pace ticking up in this one as Los Angeles has yielded its opponents 70 (aided by overtime), 78, 69 and 70 field goal attempts in its first four games this season. The Sparks have been fortunate that their opponents haven't done a good job of taking advantage of all of those scoring opportunities - I think that's had more to do with shaky early season shooting rather than anything L.A. is doing defensively. Playing their fourth straight road game to open the campaign, it wasn't all that surprising to see the Sparks struggle offensively in Connecticut on Saturday. Off that 60-point performance I look for them to bounce back in their home-opener noting that Lynx opponents have been 'filling it up', making good on 35, 29, 31 and 28 field goals through four games. Take the over (10*). |
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05-17-22 | Twins v. A's +124 | 2-5 | Win | 124 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland over Minnesota at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Twins got the better of the A's for the fourth consecutive time this season last night. All four games have been close, and I look for Oakland to finally answer back on Tuesday night. While the Twins check in winners of two games in a row, they've now scored three runs or less in six of their last seven contests. They'll likely need all the runs they can get tonight as starter Dylan Bundy checks in having allowed 15 earned runs over just 9 2/3 innings of work in his last two outings. He's had a tough time against the A's lately as well, allowing 14 earned runs in just nine innings against them across three starts last season. Here, we'll play against the Twins noting that road teams that start a pitcher that averages less than five innings per start and allowed five or more runs in each of his last two starts have gone a miserable 13-52 over the last five seasons. A's starter James Kaprielian has strung together consecutive quality outings, allowing just three earned runs in 10 2/3 innings. He deserved a better fate in a 1-0 loss against the Twins earlier this season, allowing just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings in Minnesota. We'll confidently back the A's noting that home teams coming off a game in which they recorded four or less hits but have a bullpen with a collective ERA of 2.50 or lower over their last 10 games have gone 94-42 over the last five season including a 7-2 mark already this year. Take Oakland (8*). |
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05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 203.5 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Miami at 8:30 pm et on Tuesday. Of course much will be made of the elite nature of both of these defenses heading into this Eastern Conference Finals showdown. Both defenses are certainly deserving of respect, but I believe the oddsmakers have gone a little too far by setting this total in the low-200's - in fact, I think this will likely be the lowest posted total we see in this series. While the Celtics defense obviously held up well against the Bucks last round, some of that had to do with Milwaukee missing its best option outside of Giannis on offense in Khris Middleton. Without him the Bucks struggled to find consistent offensive production, despite being afforded plenty of opportunities, getting off 90+ field goal attempts in five of seven games in the series. If the Celtics allow the Heat to get up into that range in terms of field goal attempts, things could get ugly. You see the Heat have been filling boxscores for weeks, having knocked down 40+ field goals in 12 of their last 16 games overall. In the final two games against Philadelphia last round they had seven and five players score in double-figures. The question becomes whether Boston can do its part offensively to help this total along. I believe the answer is yes, as evidenced by the very short pointspread we're looking at in Game 1. The C's check in having scored 100+ points in 15 of their last 16 games. Despite the pace not always being there, they've made good on 40+ field goals in 10 of their last 16 games. They certainly would have got there in Game 7 against the Bucks were it not for the lopsided nature of that contest, giving them the ability to 'call off the dogs' late. Take the over (10*). |
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05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -1.5 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami minus the points over Boston at 8:45 pm et on Tuesday. I think there was a somewhat common line of thinking that whichever team prevailed in the Bucks vs. Celtics series would likely go on to represent the Eastern Conference in the NBA Finals. I don't feel the Heat are deserving of that disrespect - after all, we're talking about the number-one seed in the East and a team that has for the most part cruised through the first two rounds of the playoffs. Here, we're able to back Miami at a very short price despite the fact that it is home and rested while the Celtics are just one day removed from Game 7 of a grueling series against the defending champion Bucks. Note that while the Heat have shown they can prevail in any type of environment, winning high-scoring and low-scoring affairs, the Celtics are actually 0-2 SU and ATS when being held to 101 points or less in these playoffs. Miami has given up fewer than 100 points in seven of 11 games in these playoffs. While I'm not saying this one will turn into a slugfest, I do like the Heat's depth and flexibility regardless the type of contest that plays out on Tuesday. Note that Miami had at least five players score in double-figures in consecutive victories to close out the Sixers last round - a much different story than the Celtics last opponent, the Bucks, who obviously relied heavily on Giannis to do it all. Take Miami (9*). |
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05-17-22 | Giants v. Rockies +147 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over San Francisco at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Rockies have now dropped back-to-back and seven of their last eight games overall. That includes four losses against the Giants after dropping last night's series-opener by a 7-6 score. They're still 12-8 at home this season and I like the way they match up in a quick rematch between Alex Cobb and Chad Kuhl on Tuesday. Cobb got the better of the Rockies last week but that was in San Francisco. He's made just one road start this season, allowing three earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings in an eventual 5-4 loss to the Mets. Rockies starter Chad Kuhl had been pitching well prior to getting lit up by the Giants last week. He's made two home starts here at Coors Field, posting a 2.03 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in 13 1/3 innings of work. The Rockies have now lost Kuhl's last two starts. It's worth noting that Kuhl hasn't failed to guide his team to a victory in more than two straight starts since May 31st to June 12th last year. Since that three-start winless stretch he's made 13 more starts. The Rockies have now dropped 11 straight meetings with the Giants. Enough is enough. Look for them to get back in the win column here. Take Colorado (8*). |
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05-17-22 | Angels -121 v. Rangers | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over Texas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Rangers got the better of the Angeles in the opener of this series last night but I look for Los Angeles to answer back on Tuesday. Reid Detmers makes his return to the mound after tossing a no-hitter for the Angels in his last start. While he struggled in his first outing against the Rangers this season, allowing five earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings, he's looked like a different pitcher since, allowing only six earned runs in four starts, covering a span of 23 2/3 innings with the Angels winning three of those four games. While most will be expecting Detmers to suffer a letdown of sorts here, I believe that is more likely to happen to Rangers starter Taylor Hearn, who tossed five shutout innings last time out but will now pitch on just four days' rest. He has already made five home appearances this season and hasn't fared particularly well, recording a 3.97 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. This will be Los Angeles' fourth time facing Hearn since last September, having scored 10 runs off of him in 16 previous innings. As far as the bullpens go, the Angels relief corps has been lights out on the road this season, posting a 2.30 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with five saves converted and only one blown. The Rangers 'pen has recorded a 4.04 ERA and 1.27 WHIP here at home. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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05-17-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | 4-1 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The Lightning rallied to win consecutive games after falling behind 3-2 in the series against the Leafs last round, adding to Toronto's long history of playoff collapses. Now Tampa makes the short trip to Sunrise to face the in-state rival Panthers and I look for it to fall short in Game 1. Florida hasn't just been good at home this season, it has been dominant, going 36-8 while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.7 goals. The fact that Tampa took the most recent meeting between these two teams by an 8-4 score back in late April actually serves Florida well, noting that it has gone 15-3 when playing at home seeking revenge for a loss by 2+ goals against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that spot. The Panthers also own an incredible 15-2 record when playing at home off a victory this season, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.6 goals in that situation. Take Florida (8*). |
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05-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 128 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore +1.5 runs over New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees rolled to another lopsided victory last night - not unexpected as they opened this series against the reeling Orioles. Here, I do like the spot for the O's, however, as they get their third look at Jameson Taillon this season and noting that they've held their own and then some at home this season, going 9-8 while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.4 runs per game. Interestingly, the Yankees check in just 21-28 when playing on the road after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Also note that the O's fall into a situation where we back a team coming off three consecutive games with five or less hits but with a bullpen that has recorded a collective WHIP of less than 1.00 over their last five games. That situation has cashed at an impressive 37-14 clip over the last five seasons and is already 3-0 this year. While tonight's starter for Baltimore, Spenser Watkins, doesn't exactly instill a great deal of confidence, the O's have managed to win two of his three home starts this season with the lone loss coming by a single run. Take Baltimore +1.5 runs (8*). |
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05-16-22 | Twins v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
A.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring series finales on getaway day yesterday but I look for a different story to unfold at the Coliseum on Monday night. Note that the 'over' has gone 13-3 with the Twins coming off consecutive games in which they scored three runs or less over the last two seasons, with that situation resulting in an average total of 12.1 runs. In that situation this season, we've seen the Twins average 6.1 runs per game with an average total of 8.9 runs (nine-game sample size). The A's bats have been quiet but they should have ample opportunity to bust out here as they face Twins starter Chris Archer pitching on four days' rest. Archer has seen five of his six starts this season total at least eight runs. He's been tagged for at least one home run in five straight starts and checks in having allowed six earned runs on 10 hits over just seven innings of work in his last two outings. The A's will counter with rookie Zach Logue. He'll also be pitching on just four days' rest. He was terrific in his most recent start, tossing seven shutout innings but that came against the light-hitting Tigers. This will actually be his second start against Minnesota this season which I believe gives the Twins hitters an advantage. They reached him for a pair of home runs over five innings back on May 6th. Take the over (10*). |
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05-16-22 | Braves +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on Atlanta +1.5 runs over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Monday. The Braves let one get away against the Padres yesterday, eventually falling by a 7-3 score in extra innings. Atlanta's last winning series came last weekend against the Brewers and I look for it to get this return match in Milwaukee off to a positive start as well. Note that Atlanta checks in 31-13 when coming off a loss by 4+ runs over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.8 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Brewers are just 29-32, outscored by 0.6 runs on average, when playing at home after winning two of their last three games, which is the case here following a series win in Miami. Additionally, Atlanta has bounced back nicely following gut-wrenching losses, noting that it has allowed just 2.9 runs per game and outscored opponents by an average margin of 1.0 run when playing on the road after a game in which it blew a save over the last three seasons (18-game sample size), which is the situation here. Ian Anderson owns a 2-0 team record in two career outings against the Brewers while Freddy Peralta has recorded an even 2-2 team record in four career starts against Atlanta (both wins came by a single run so 0-4 when factoring in the +1.5 run-line). Take Atlanta +1.5 runs (10*). |
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05-16-22 | Astros +1.5 v. Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston +1.5 runs over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I'm anticipating a tight contest between the Astros and Red Sox on Monday as they renew acquaintances following last October's playoff series (which went Houston's way in six games). Here, we'll note that the Red Sox are just 8-14 when coming off a game in which they scored two runs or less over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.8 runs on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Astros have actually managed to outscore opponents by an average margin of 0.1 runs when priced as a road underdog between +100 and +150 over the same stretch (24-game sample size). While Boston has turned things around to a certain extent having won three of its last five games, Houston is in another stratosphere right now, having gone 11-2 while outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game so far in May. Astros starter Jake Odorizzi brings excellent form into this one having allowed just one earned run on six hits in 17 2/3 innings of work over his last three outings. Red Sox starter Garrett Whitlock got off to a solid start this season but has since faded, allowing five earned runs in just eight innings over his last two outings. Take Houston +1.5 runs (4*). |
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05-16-22 | Fiorentina v. Sampdoria UNDER 2.75 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Serie A Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Sampdoria and Fiorentina at 12:30 pm et on Monday. We cashed an 'under' play in a match involving Fiorentina last week and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. I like the setup in this one as Fiorentina sits in seventh place in the Serie A table, currently in line to qualify for Conference League play, but tied point-wise with eighth-place Atlanta. This is Fiorentina's match in hand. It will certainly want to come away with at least a point here but Sampdoria has proven to be a 'tough out' at home, with just a -6 goal differential. Fiorentina has been rather punchless away from home, sitting just 12th in the table when factoring in only those 'away' matches, where it owns a -7 goal differential. Note that Sampdoria is just four points clear of relegation in the Serie A table and could certainly use at least a point from this contest. It has seen six of its last seven matches stay 'under' 2.5 goals. Fiorentina will need to be careful here noting that it has conceded the first goal in four of its last five matches. This has generally been a high-scoring series with both sides finding the back of the net in each of the last 10 meetings. I believe that is only serving to provide us value with the 'under' here with that I consider to be distinctly different circumstances than we've seen in recent clashes. Take the under (10*). |
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05-15-22 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
First Round Western Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Calgary at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. We've already seen the three games played in Calgary in this series total just 3, 1 and 4 goals and I anticipate more of the same in Game 7 on Sunday. Nothing has come all that easy for the Flames in this series, despite the fact that they've outplayed the Stars most of the way. Dallas goaltender Jake Oettinger has stood on his head at times and as a result Calgary has managed to find the back of the net just 12 times through six games. The good news is, the Flames have been ultra-stingy defensively here at home all season, giving up only 2.3 goals per contest. Scoring has been an issue for the Stars on the road all season, averaging just 2.5 goals per game. When playing on the road following a home game over the last two seasons (27-game sample size), they've averaged just 2.2 goals per contest. Take the under (10*). |
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05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Sunday. We've seen these two teams trade blowouts over the last two games and I won't be surprised if we see more of the same in Game 7 on Sunday as the Suns return home looking to close out the Mavs. Dallas has reached a high-water mark of 40 made field goals in this series, failing to reach that number in any of the last three contests. In fact, the Suns have held the Mavs to fewer than 80 field goal attempts in three of the six games in this series. Meanwhile, Phoenix is coming off its ugliest shooting performance of the series in Game 6. We expected a response from the Mavs in that game and saw exactly that as they locked down the Suns potent offense. I expect a different story to unfold here, however, noting that the Suns are a terrific 10-2 ATS when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 11.9 points on average in that situation. They're also 24-11 ATS when coming off an outright loss as a favorite in their previous game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 9.0 points in that spot. Take Phoenix (8*). |
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05-15-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Philadelphia at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. The Dodgers have inexplicably dropped each of the first three games in this series but I do look for them to bounce back and salvage the finale on Sunday. Note that Los Angeles has averaged 6.1 runs per game and outscored the opposition by 2.0 runs on average when coming off four or five losses in their last six games over the last two seasons (29-game sample size), as is the case here. After giving up 8+ runs in their previous game they've averaged 6.2 runs per contest and outscored opponents by 1.1 runs on average over the same stretch (13-game sample size). On the flip side, the Phillies have allowed a whopping 6.8 runs per game and been outscored by 1.2 runs on average when coming off an 8+ run performance over the last two seasons (18-game sample size). Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola has posted a 7-14 team record when starting with his team coming off a victory, which is the situation here. Take Los Angeles (3*). |
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05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Boston at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Celtics (free play) in Game 6 of this series on Friday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and grab the points with the Bucks as the series shifts back to Beantown for a seventh-and-deciding game on Sunday afternoon. I really like the job the Bucks have done defensively in this series, even if it hasn't always translated to victories. They've held the Celtics to 87 or fewer field goal attempts in all six games so far. Were it not for they themselves being unable knock down their shots on Friday night, we would probably already be talking about the Bucks moving on to their next opponent. Save for a blowout defeat in Game 2 in Boston, Milwaukee has been able to get loose offensively, getting off 90+ FG attempts in four of six games in this series. And we've already seen the Bucks respond favorably in games they've 'needed' in this series, taking the series-opener by double-digits, grabbing the 2-1 series lead in Game 3 at home and then rallying to steal a pivotal Game 6 back in Boston. Expect the battle-tested Bucks to step up again here, noting that the Celtics are a woeful 6-18 ATS when playing at home off a double-digit win over the last two seasons. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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05-15-22 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 161 | 85-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Indiana at 3 pm et on Sunday. The Dream got crushed 96-73 by the high-flying Aces two nights ago but noting that they had held Dallas and Los Angeles to just 59 and 75 points in their first two games, I do look for them to come up with a positive response defensively on Sunday. Indiana stunned New York 92-86 in overtime on Friday. Keep in mind, the Fever scored just 76 points in regulation time in that contest. They've been held to 77 or fewer points in regulation time in three of their first four games this season, which is to be expected given their youthful roster. I'm not anticipating a great deal of offensive fireworks in this one. Take the under (8*). |
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05-15-22 | Red Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Texas at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. You would have to go back five games to find the Red Sox last 'under' result (with a couple of 'pushes' in the mix since). Last night we saw the Sox explode for 11 runs in a lopsided victory and now they'll look to complete the sweep on Sunday. I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair. Note that the 'under' is 10-1 with the Rangers having allowed 7+ runs in consecutive games over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of just 6.7 runs in that situation. Rangers starter Martin Perez has turned back the clock this season, posting a 2.10 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over the course of six starts this season. Austin Davis will get a spot start for the Red Sox. He isn't likely to work deep into the game but that's fine for our purposes as the Boston bullpen has posted a collective 1.98 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the under (7*). |
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05-15-22 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Detroit at 1:40 pm et on Sunday. Detroit is on an incredible run of 'under' results right now but I'll go the contrarian route and call for a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Sunday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 9-0 with the Orioles having scored three runs or less in four consecutive games over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 12.0 runs in that spot. Sunday's starter for the O's, Tyler Wells, has been awful in three road starts this season, posting an 8.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has been terrific this season but after going seven innings last time out and now starting on just four days' rest, I'm not anticipating a peak performance from him here. Note that the Tigers have seen an average total of 9.6 runs scored after a game in which their bullpen worked 6+ innings over the last three seasons (44-game sample size), as is the case here. Take the over (4*). |
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05-14-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -173 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -173 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
N.L. Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles over Philadelphia at 10:10 pm et on Saturday. The Dodgers desperately need Julio Urias to give them a lift as he starts after Walker Buehler had his outing moved up and struggled in last night's eventual 12-10 loss - the Dodgers third defeat in a row and fourth out of their last five. More than anything else, I'm eager to fade Phillies starter Ranger Suarez here. He'll be starting on just four days' rest for the third time this season. In his two previous outings on short rest this season he allowed 13 hits, five earned runs and two home runs while striking out seven and walking four in 11 innings. It's not as if Los Angeles isn't hitting right now - quite the opposite, in fact. The Dodgers have racked up 31 runs over their last four games. While the Phillies are hot right now, winners of three games in a row, they're still just 7-8 on the road this season. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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05-14-22 | Sparks v. Sun OVER 157 | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Connecticut at 7 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'under' in the Sparks most recent game as they fell by a 77-75 score in Atlanta. Here, I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'over' as they take on the Connecticut Sun on Saturday. Connecticut was stunned in a road loss in New York to open the season. The Sun looked out of sorts for much of that contest but should be much sharper here, and that should start with a strong offensive performance against what I consider to be one of the weaker defensive teams in the league in Los Angeles. The Sparks benefited from the Dream failing to take advantage of their scoring opportunities last time out (Atlanta shot 35% from the field) but isn't likely to be so fortunate against a first-rate Sun squad that has had a week off to prepare. I do like what I've seen from the L.A. offense in the early going with Liz Cambage obviously adding a much-needed dimension down low. This is a much deeper Sparks squad than we've seen in years' past and I'm confident we will see them bounce back following a poor shooting performance last time out (they were playing their third road game in six nights). Take the over (8*). |
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05-14-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over Boston at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. The home team has owned this series, winning all six games to date. I expect that trend to continue in Game 7 on Saturday as the Hurricanes wrap up the series on home ice. Note that Carolina checks in allowing just 2.1 goals per game and outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals on average when playing at home after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons (22-game sample size), as is the case here. The Canes have averaged an impressive 3.7 goals per game when seeking revenge for a road loss by 2+ goals over the same stretch (11-game sample size), which is also the situation here. Credit Boston for forcing a seventh-and-deciding game in this series but its victory in Game 6 was anything but unexpected (we won with the Bruins in that game). The fact is, none of the games in this series have been all that close with the home side dominating and there's little reason to expect anything different here. Take Carolina (6*). |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -8 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 33 h 48 m | Show |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Memphis at 10 pm et on Friday. We won with the Grizzlies the last time these two teams met on this floor in Game 4 earlier in the week. We followed that up with an easy winner with the 'over' in Game 5 on Wednesday. Here, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the Warriors - who we successfully backed in Game 3 last Saturday - as they look to close out this series back in San Francisco. Credit the Grizzlies for showing up and showing out in what will likely prove to be their home finale two nights ago, without Ja Morant no less. They're still without Ja and much like we saw in Game 4, I believe they'll have a tough time mounting enough offense to keep pace with the Warriors. Golden State checks in 8-1 ATS this season when playing at home seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent, outscoring the opposition by an incredible 19.6 points on average in that spot. The Warriors are also a long-term 23-7 ATS when playing at home after allowing 130 or more points in their previous game, as is the case here. For their part, the Grizzlies - despite the outright upset win on Wednesday - are a woeful 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when facing elmination in a playoff series. Take Golden State (10*). |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 218 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Memphis and Golden State at 10 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in Game 5 of this series on Wednesday but I'll go the other way and back the 'under' as the scene shifts to San Francisco for Game 6 on Friday. Here, we'll note that Memphis has posted a 5-16 o/u record when coming off a win by 30+ points in the long-term picture, as is the case here. The Grizzlies have now gotten off 91+ field goal attempts in all five games in this series but I believe this is the game where that tide turns, noting that Ja Morant remains sidelined and the Warriors will be intent on putting their foot down and wrapping this series up on their home floor. Keep in mind, Golden State has held opponents to just 37-of-87 shooting on average here at home this season. The Warriors have now allowed Memphis to knock down 40+ field goals in three straight games but that's their longest such streak since the first week of March. Again, I look for them to make amends here. The 'under' is 25-16 with the Warriors listed as a favorite of between 3.5 and 9.5 points this season, which is the situation here at the time of writing, leading to an average total of just 214.2 points. Take the under (9*). |
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05-13-22 | Flames v. Stars +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas +1.5 goals over Calgary at 9:30 pm et on Friday. We've won with the Flames in each of the last two games. While I'm still confident they'll win this series, I'm not sure it will come easy. Note that the Stars have certainly been a 'tough out' at home this season, going 28-15 while outscoring opponents by 0.4 goals on average. Using a long-term 125-game sample size, Dallas has outscored the opposition by 0.3 goals on average when playing at home seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent, as is the case here. As we've noted previously in this series, the Flames are just 6-20 the last 26 times they've led a playoff series, averaging just 2.2 goals per game and outscored by 0.6 goals on average in that situation. Take Dallas +1.5 goals (3*). |
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05-13-22 | Fever v. Liberty -6 | 92-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York minus the points over Indiana at 8 pm et on Friday. The Liberty opened the season with an impressive win over perennial championship contender Connecticut but couldn't follow it up, falling in a rout against Chicago four nights later. Here, I look for New York to bounce back as it hosts a constantly rebuilding Indiana squad that is in for a letdown off an upset win over Minnesota. I can't help but feel some regression is in order for the Fever after they got off 70+ field goal attempts and knocked down 30, 29 and 31 field goals in their first three games. New York on the other hand has plenty of room for improvement after attempting only 59 and 60 field goals in its first two contests (against two of the league's best teams). Defensively, we know the Liberty are capable after limiting the Sun to just 27-of-64 shooting in their most recent home game. Take New York (6*). |
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05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 211.5 | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Milwaukee at 7:30 pm et on Friday. The last two games in this series have both gone 'over' the total and we were on that play in each contest. Here, I'll go the other way, however, as the scene shifts back to Milwaukee for Game 6 on Friday night. Note that the Bucks have allowed the Celtics to make good on 42 field goals in each of the last two games. We haven't seen them allow 40+ made field goals in more than two consecutive games since back in March. On the flip side, Milwaukee has gotten off 90+ field goal attempts in four of five games in this series. With that being said, it has been held to 40 or fewer made field goals in all five games. That speaks to the effectiveness of the Celtics defense and we should see that again here as Boston faces elimination for the first time in these playoffs. Note that the 'under' is 38-23 with the Celtics seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. While the last two games in this series have been reasonably high-scoring, I still don't think anything is coming easy for either team offensively with most shots contested and four of five games in the series seeing one, if not both teams held to 10 or fewer made three-pointers. Take the under (7*). |
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05-12-22 | Wild +1.5 v. Blues | 1-5 | Loss | -255 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota +1.5 goals over St. Louis at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. We can anticipate the Wild bouncing back from consecutive 5-2 losses on Thursday night as they face elimination in St. Louis. Minnesota has gone a perfect 8-0 when coming off a loss against a division opponent in which it allowed 4+ goals over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.7 goals on average in that situation. Better still, the Wild are a perfect 9-0 when coming off a home loss by 2+ goals this season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.5 goals in that spot. When playing on the road off consecutive losses over the last two seasons, the Wild have posted an impressive 9-2 record, averaging 3.7 goals per game and outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals in that situation. We'll grab the insurance goal here but may not need it. Take Minnesota +1.5 goals (2*). |
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05-12-22 | Yankees v. White Sox -140 | 15-7 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over New York at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Yankees are riding another winning streak (three wins in a row so far) but I don't get the feeling this one will last nearly as long as their most recent (11 straight wins). First of all, the Yanks aren't hitting as well as they were during their last streak. They've scored a grand total of 12 runs over their last three games and just 17 runs over their last six contests. Here, we'll note that the Bronx Bombers are just 17-27 when playing on the road after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 0.5 runs in that situation. The White Sox check in 25-9 as a home favorite priced at -150 or less over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 2.1 runs on average in that situation. Better still, they're 45-17 when playing at home after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons, which is the situation here, averaging 5.1 runs per game and outscoring the opposition by 1.7 runs on average in that spot. With a red hot Dylan Cease on the mound (one earned run on five hits while striking out 19 in 12 innings last two starts) and facing Luis Gil making his first start of the season for a Yankees, this might be Chicago's best chance to take a game over the course of this four-game series. Take Chicago (4*). |
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05-12-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We've yet to see a team register consecutive wins in this series and I don't think that changes here as the Lightning face elimination on home ice. Note that Toronto is just 8-13 when playing on the road after scoring 3+ goals in four consecutive games over the last two seasons, allowing 3.9 goals per game and outscored by 0.3 goals on average in that situation. They've also gone just 8-12 when coming off a home win by one goal over that same stretch. Meanwhile, the Lightning check in an incredible 14-1 when playing at home after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.9 goals on average. They've also gone 24-5 when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent over the same stretch, averaging 3.7 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by 1.6 goals on average in that spot. Take Tampa Bay (6*). |
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05-12-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -122 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
Non-Division First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Boston over Carolina at 7 pm et on Thursday. Home ice advantage has mattered in this playoff series. That's actually an understatement as the home team has outscored the opposition by a 24-8 margin through the first five games with all five of those contests decided by 2+ goals. The Bruins did welcome Charlie McAvoy back from Covid protocols last time out but it wasn't enough as they dug themselves an early hole and never recovered. I expect a different story to play out on Thursday. Note that Boston has allowed just 1.9 goals per game and outscored opponents by 0.8 goals on average when playing at home after losing four or five of its last six games over the last two seasons (18-game sample size), as is the case here. On the flip side, the Canes have gone 16-25 when playing on the road after winning five or six of their last seven contests over the last three seasons, allowing 3.3 goals per game while being outscored by 0.4 goals on average in that spot. While it's not well-advised to employ such a hot-and-cold style, especially at this time of year, the Bruins have the talent on hand to 'flip the switch' so to speak. We saw it when the scene shifted to Boston earlier this season as the B's looked like a completely different team in Games 3 and 4 on home ice. Note that they check in 5-1 off a loss by 4+ goals this season and 10-4 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Take Boston (10*). |
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05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Miami at 7 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Heat in Game 5 of this series two nights ago - a never-in-doubt 35-point laugher. Here, I won't hesitate to go the other way, however, and back the 76ers as they look to force a seventh game in this series. The home side has won and covered in all five games in this series. Here, we'll look for the Sixers to extend that streak noting that they've gone 40-24 ATS when playing at home off an ATS loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 7.9 points in that situation. Better still, they're 22-11 ATS when coming off a game in which they scored 100 points or less over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 8.4 points on average in that spot. Off a 120-point explosion in Game 5, I don't see a lot of upside for the Heat offense here. Note that the Sixers have held them to 84 or fewer field goal attempts in each of the last four games, no small feat after Miami had gotten off 92+ FG attempts in three of its previous four contests prior to that stretch. The Heat quite simply shot the lights out on Tuesday. Philadelphia on the other hand, had an awful shooting night in Miami last time out but on a positive note did manage to get off a series-high 85 FG attempts. Note that the Sixers managed to score 99 and 116 points in winning both previous home games in this series despite attempting just 67 and 68 field goals. If they can find a way to get that pace up a bit again here, I'm confident they can hang a crooked number on the Heat. Take Philadelphia (9*). |
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05-11-22 | Stars v. Flames -208 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary over Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Wednesday. It may sound strange given the series is knotted at two games apiece, but no first round matchup has been as lopsided as this one. We won with the Flames in Game 4 on Monday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as the scene shifts back to Calgary for Game 5. The Flames fired a whopping 95 shots on goal over the course of Games 3 and 4 in Dallas but only managed to come away with one victory. They've outshot the Stars 150-106 in this series. I don't expect the tide to suddenly turn in Calgary, noting that the Stars average just 2.5 goals per game while being outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals on the road this season. They're a woeful 7-19 when heading out on the road following a home game over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.4 goals on average in that situation. The Flames good but not great 26-17 home record doesn't tell the whole story as they've averaged 3.7 goals per game on home ice while allowing just 2.3 on average. Take Calgary (4*). |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Memphis at 9:30 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a very low-scoring Game 4 between these two teams as Golden State prevailed by a 101-98 score (we won with the Grizzlies plus the points). I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday as the scene shifts back to Memphis for Game 5 - with the Grizz facing elimination. Note that Memphis has now been held to 41 or fewer made field goals in six straight games, its longest such streak of the entire season (previous was five). I do think there's a good chance we see the Grizzlies break out of their funk here, even without Ja Morant. Note that Memphis has had no shortage of scoring opportunities in this series, getting off 95, 91, 92 and 96 field goal attempts. The shots quite simply haven't been falling. Here, however, I expect to see the Warriors suffer a bit of a letdown defensively as they know this series is all but wrapped up (especially with Ja Morant all but ruled out for the playoffs). Note that the Grizzlies have posted impressive offensive numbers all season at home, averaging 44-of-94 shooting and they're certainly accustomed to playing without Ja Morant as he's missed a considerable amount of time due to injury. Of course, the Warriors have had their way with the Grizzlies defense in this series. They made good on just 36-of-90 field goal attempts in Game 4 but are just one game removed from knocking down 53 field goals in a 142-point outburst in Game 3. In the first two games here in Memphis they got off 93 and 95 FG attempts, hitting 40 or more of them in both contests. While two of the last three games in this series have stayed 'under' the total, I believe too much of an adjustment has been made here. Consider the last matchup here in Memphis - Game 2 of this series - saw a closing total of 227.5. You would have to go all the way back to April 2nd and 3rd to find the last time the Warriors saw consecutive games stay 'under' the total. Take the over (10*). |
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05-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Tigers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland +1.5 runs over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. The A's have taken two of the first three games in this unique five-game series and I look for them to give the slumping Tigers all they can handle again on Wednesday. Note that Oakland is 26-11 when playing on the road against left-handed starting pitching over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.4 runs on average in that spot. They're also 13-3 when playing on the road after being held to four runs or less in four consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by 2.0 runs on average. While the Oakland offense has been struggling, the Tigers have been even worse in that regard, scoring two runs or less in seven of their last eight games. Take Oakland +1.5 runs (3*). |
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05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and New York at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Game 5 often serves as the pivotal game in a series. In this particular case, it could bring an end to the series as the Penguins look to eliminate the Rangers in unceremonious fashion at Madison Square Garden. This series hasn't gone the way most expected. The four regular season matchups between these two teams produced just 1, 6, 5 and 3 goals. We've yet to see a game in this playoff series stay 'under' seven goals. I expect that to change with the Rangers facing elimination on Wednesday, however. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 16-8 with the Penguins playing on the road after consecutive wins by 2+ goals over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 4.8 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 28-15 with the Rangers seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of 5.9 goals. Better still, the 'under' is 26-11 when those two losses saw the opponent score 3+ goals, which is the situation here, resulting in an average total of only 5.8 goals in that spot. Take the under (8*). |
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05-11-22 | Sparks v. Dream UNDER 161.5 | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 7 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the Sparks season-opening 98-91 overtime win in Chicago but also cashed the 'under' in Atlanta's only previous game - a 66-59 victory in Dallas. Here, I believe we're working with an inflated total, largely due to Los Angeles' previous two games finding their way 'over' the total. The Sparks have shot exceptionally well in their first two games but I question whether they'll keep it up for a third consecutive road game to open the campaign. Liz Cambage has given the offense a big boost but the Dream to have plenty of bodies to throw at her and perhaps limit her effectiveness from the field. While the Dream were victorious in their season-opener, there were certainly signs that their offense will remain a work-in-progress. They knocked down just 20-of-63 field goal attempts against what will likely be a mediocre Wings defense. The fact that highly-touted draft pick Rhyne Howard led the team in scoring was encouraging but she had just 16 points. A top prospect from last year's draft class, Aari McDonald, continued to struggle, failing to knock down any of her three field goal attempts while scoring just one point in 17 minutes. The 'under' cashed in two of three meetings between these two teams last season. The only matchup that went 'over' the total still reached just 165 points and that was thanks only to both teams getting into the 80's in terms of FG attempts, something I don't anticipate seeing here. Take the under (10*). |
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05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
NBA First Half Game of the Year. My selection is on Phoenix minus the points first half over Dallas at 10 pm et on Tuesday. The Mavericks did an excellent job of getting back in this series, securing consecutive wins on their home floor to tie things up at two heading back to Phoenix. Now it's the Suns turn to respond and I expect them to get off to a strong start in Game 5 on Tuesday. Here, we'll note that the Mavs are 3-11 ATS in the first half when playing on the road off consecutive wins this season, outscored by an average margin of 4.9 points in that situation. The Suns meanwhile have gone 10-1 ATS in the first half when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss against an opponent this season, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by 10.7 points on average in that spot. It's not that Phoenix shot all that poorly in the last two games in Dallas, but it's outside shooting certainly let it down in Sunday's Game 4 as it made good on just nine three-point attempts. I'm convinced we'll see the Suns get off to at least a better start in this one (we won't worry about the Mavs potentially making the appropriate halftime adjustments by sticking with the first half only), noting that they were in a similar situation returning home tied at two games apiece against New Orleans last round and ended up jumping ahead 59-46 at halftime in Game 5. Take Phoenix first half (10*). |
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05-10-22 | Phillies v. Mariners +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Philadelphia at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. We missed badly with Seattle last night but did win with the 'over' in its 9-0 drubbing at the hands of the Phillies. I won't hesitate to come back with the Mariners again here, however, this time grabbing the insurance run as well. Note that Philadelphia is still a money-burning 18-28 in its last 46 Interleague games. It also checks in a woeful 7-18 when coming off a game in which it allowed one run or less over the last two seasons, outscored by 2.0 runs on average in that situation. For his part, tonight's starter Aaron Nola has posted a 7-17 team record in his last 24 nighttime outings. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 51-36 when priced between +125 and -125, as is the case here at the time of writing, outscoring opponents by 0.3 runs on average in that spot. They're also a profitable 29-23 after plating four runs or less in three consecutive games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.2 runs in that situation. Tonight's starter, Robbie Ray has averaged over six innings per start this season and has posted a terrific 1.02 WHIP in three home outings. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (5*). |
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05-10-22 | Astros v. Twins OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
American League Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are coming off a string of low-scoring games. That doesn't mean we'll see the same type of contest play out on Tuesday in Minnesota, however. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 26-14 with the Astros coming off a game in which they allowed one run or less over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 9.8 runs in that situation. The 'over' is also a long-term 207-160 with Houston playing on the road after allowing three runs or less in consecutive games, which is also the case here. As for Minnesota, it has seen the 'over' go 12-3 after plating four runs or less in four consecutive games over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of 11.0 runs scored in that spot. While we do have a fine pitching matchup here with Justin Verlander going up against Joe Ryan, I'm willing to bet on the bats waking from their slumber following a much-needed off day on Monday. Take the over (10*). |
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05-10-22 | 76ers v. Heat -3 | Top | 85-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Philadelphia at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. After getting crushed by 20 points in Game 3 in Philadelphia, the Heat played much better in Game 4 but simply couldn't withstand a shooting clinic from the 76ers as they knocked down over 54% of their field goal attempts in an eight-point victory. With the scene shifting back to Miami for Game 5 on Tuesday, I look for the Heat to regain their footing. Note that the Sixers actually got off just 67 and 68 field goal attempts in the two games in Philadelphia. They've been held to 84 or fewer FG attempts in all 10 playoff games to date. With so few opportunities and considering the Heat have held opponents to just 37-of-83 shooting here at home this season, I believe the Sixers will be in tough trying to keep within arm's reach in this one. Note that the Heat, while slowed in Philadelphia, have shown they can push the pace, getting off 92+ FG attempts in three of their last seven contests. While the Sixers have knocked down 40+ field goals just once in their last nine games the Heat have accomplished that feat four times in their last seven and 10 of their last 13 contests overall. On the flip side you would have to go back seven games to find the last time Miami allowed an opponent to make good on more than 38 field goals. Finally, we'll note that the Heat are 14-6 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss where their opponent scored 110+ points this season, outscoring the opposition by 6.8 points on average. Perhaps better still, Miami has outscored opponents by 11.1 points on average when seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent this season (12-game sample size). Take Miami (10*). |
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05-10-22 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Braves | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston +1.5 runs over Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Tuesday. The Red Sox have been a train-wreck this season, relatively-speaking, but I look for them to give the Braves all they can handle in Atlanta on Tuesday. Note that the Braves are just 4-10 when coming off a win this season, as is the case here, outscored by 0.7 runs on average in that situation. While the Red Sox are mired in a five-game losing streak at the moment, they've still outscored opponents by 2.3 runs on average when coming off three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons (14-game sample size). Perhaps Atlanta is the right team to turn it around against, or at least from the right division; the Red Sox are 16-4 in their last 20 games against N.L. East opponents, averaging 5.7 runs per game and outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.6 runs in those matchups. The Braves on the other hand are just 15-20 after scoring 8+ runs in their previous game over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.6 runs on average along the way. We'll grab the insurance run with the Red Sox here, largely due to their bullpen, which has already blown five saves this season. Take Boston +1.5 runs (3*). |
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05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Carolina at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The Bruins exploded for nine goals in Games 3 and 4 of this series, evening up proceedings at two games apiece. That was at home though. Now they go back on the road, where they average less than 3.0 goals per game this season and scored just three goals in Games 1 and 2 combined. The Hurricanes have been incredibly stingy at home this season, allowing just 2.1 goals per game in Raleigh. Not surprisingly, the 'under' has gone 24-18-1 here in Carolina. With all of that being said, we're still working with a '6' here as all four games in this series have gone 'over' the total. I expect that to change on Tuesday. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 18-8 with the Bruins having scored 4+ goals in consecutive games over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of only 5.3 goals. The 'under' is 16-6 with the Hurricanes playing at home after losing two of their last three contests over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 5.0 goals. While this playoff series has been high-scoring, it's worth noting that the previous three meetings between these two teams in Carolina all totalled four goals or less, including a 3-0 Canes victory earlier this season. Take the under (10*). |
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05-10-22 | Aces v. Mystics +5.5 | Top | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
WNBA Non-Conference Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Las Vegas at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are off to perfect 2-0 starts to the campaign. For the Aces, perhaps the hot start was to be expected as they've been one of the league's best teams for a number of years. While the Mystics are just a couple of years removed from a WNBA championship, they've been up and down as a franchise. I am high on Washington this season, however, already cashing one ticket with it in its season-opening rout of Indiana. Here, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the Mystics as I feel they have plenty of upside in this spot and will be out to make a statement that Sunday's double-digit win in Minnesota was no fluke. Washington has managed to go 2-0, scoring 84 and 78 points despite being held to fewer than 70 field goal attempts in each of its first two contests. That's not to mention the fact that the Mystics made good on just 31 and 29 of those attempts. Here, I expect them to be able to find a few more scoring opportunities against an Aces squad that has yielded its first two opponents 73 and 76 FG attempts. The Aces have won and covered as a favorite in consecutive games but now fall in a tough situation as they're a long-term 18-36 ATS when coming off consecutive wins over division opponents, as is the case here, and worse still, 1-10 ATS when following consecutive ATS wins over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 2.0 points in that latter situation. The Aces did take all three meetings against the Mystics last season but two of those wins came by three points or less. Finally, I'll point out that while Elena Delle Donne sat out Sunday's big win in Minnesota, she is expected back on the floor for Washington on Tuesday. Take Washington (10*). |
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05-10-22 | Aces v. Mystics OVER 163.5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Las Vegas and Washington at 7 pm et on Tuesday. The 'under' has cashed in each of the Mystics first two games this season while the Aces are coming off an 'under' result of their own on Sunday against Seattle. I expect a different story to unfold as these 2-0 teams square off in the nation's capital on Tuesday. Note that all three of last year's meetings between these squads topped the total we're working with here, with the low-water mark being 167 points. The 'over' is a long-term 68-30 with the Aces coming off a home win over a division opponent, as is the case here following Sunday's victory over the Storm. The Aces also check in allowing 82.5 points per game when coming off consecutive ATS wins over the last three seasons (11-game sample size), which is also the situation here. If the Mystics are to approach the 80-point mark here, you have to figure Las Vegas won't be far behind, noting that it is listed as a road favorite in this contest and has put up 106 and 85 points without hardly breaking a sweat in its first two games this season. For its part, Washington has scored 84 and 78 points despite getting off fewer than 70 field goal attempts in each of its first two contests, a number I expect it to eclipse here with Las Vegas having yielded its first two opponents 73 and 76 FG attempts. Take the over (9*). |
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05-09-22 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Monday. Everyone has all but written off the Grizzlies following Saturday's 144-114 drubbing - a game in which they also lost Ja Morant to an injury (he's doubtful to play on Monday). While I have no false illusions when it comes to the Grizz potentially winning this series, I do believe they can bounce back with a much stronger performance on Monday and ultimately take this one down to the wire. Even if Morant can't go, Memphis will have Dillon Brooks back on the floor following his one-game suspension. It's worth noting that the Grizzlies know how to play without Ja as he has missed plenty of time due to injury over the last couple of seasons. I like the fact that Memphis continues to find its opportunities in this series, getting off 95, 91 and 92 field goal attempts in the first three games. Golden State quite simply shot the lights out on Saturday, knocking down a ridiculous 63.1% of its field goal attempts. It happens when we're talking about a team led by the likes of Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. Memphis has proven to be a terrific 'bounce-back' team all season though, going a perfect 10-0 ATS when coming off a double-digit road loss, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 15.9 points on average in that situation. When seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent this season, the Grizzlies have gone 21-10 ATS, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 4.8 points. Take Memphis (10*). |
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05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners -115 | 9-0 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over Philadelphia at 9:40 pm et on Monday. Tough spot for the Phillies here as they travel across the continent after splitting a double-header against the division rival Mets yesterday. Meanwhile, the Mariners stay at home following a confidence-building walk-off win over the red hot Rays yesterday - a game that saw highly-touted pitching prospect George Kirby make an exceptional mound debut. Of course it's all for not if the M's can't keep it going on Monday as they had dropped six games in a row and 10 of their last 11 prior to yesterday's victory. Needless to say, I like their chances here. Ranger Suarez takes the ball for Philadelphia. He's not fooling anyone right now, having topped out at four strikeouts in his first five starts this season, issuing 10 walks in only 23 1/3 innings while also getting tagged for three home runs over his last two outings. With Suarez unlikely to work deep into the game given his poor recent command, we should see plenty of a Phillies bullpen that has posted a 5.47 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over its last seven games. Mariners starter Chris Flexen has pitched well this season, recording a 3.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP but has just one victory in his first four starts. That win came in his most recent home start as he allowed only one earned run over seven innings against the Royals in a 4-1 victory on April 22nd. The Mariners bullpen has posted an ugly 6.00 ERA over its last seven games but its collective 1.13 WHIP over that stretch tells a different story. Look for Seattle's turn-around to continue here. Take Seattle (6*). |
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05-09-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. 'Unders' have ruled the day for both of these teams lately but I look for a different story to unfold on Monday. Both starting pitchers will be facing their opponent for the second time in less than a week. While that's not generally a problem for the better pitchers in baseball, I don't feel that Elieser Hernandez of Humberto Castellanos fall into that category. Hernandez has had a miserable time locating his pitches in the early part of the season, issuing eight walks and giving up 27 hits in 24 1/3 innings of work. The D'Backs chased him after scoring five earned runs in four innings last week. Castellanos is off to an alright start for Arizona this season but I believe regression will soon be coming. He hasn't allowed a home run in 16 2/3 innings pitched this season after giving up six over his final five starts last season. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 11-1 with the D'Backs coming off three or more consecutive 'under' results over the last two seasons with that spot producing an average total of 12.6 runs. Over that same stretch, the 'over' has gone 37-23 with Arizona coming off a win, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 9.8 runs. Take the over (5*). |
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05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and Seattle at 9:40 pm et on Monday. The Mariners offense has run dry lately but off their first victory in a while, I think we'll see a reversal of course here on Monday. Note that the 'over' has gone a perfect 9-0 with Seattle having scored two runs or less in consecutive games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 11.0 runs in that situation. The Phillies meanwhile have seen the 'over' go a long-term 145-106 with an average total of 9.3 runs produced when coming off a loss against a division opponent in which they scored one run or less, which is also the situation here. Expect some offensive fireworks on Monday night in the Pacific Northwest. Take the over (4*). |
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05-09-22 | Rays v. Angels OVER 7.5 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Monday. The Rays were involved in a low-scoring game in Seattle yesterday, eventually falling by a 2-1 score in extra innings. The Angels, meanwhile, staged a late rally to walk it off against the Nationals. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively high-scoring affair. Note that the 'over' has gone a perfect 9-0 with the Rays playing on the road following a game that totalled four runs or less over the last two seasons with that spot producing an average total of 10.4 runs. The Angels have seen the 'over' cash at a 35-22 clip when playing as a home favorite over the same stretch, leading to an average total of 9.8 runs. Better still, the 'over' is 37-23 with Los Angeles facing left-handed starting pitching over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 9.8 runs. The Halos are off to an incredible start against left-handers this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game with the 'over' going 4-3-1. Take the over (5*). |
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05-09-22 | Flames -155 v. Stars | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary over Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Monday. We missed with the Flames in Game 3 of this series on Saturday but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 4 on Monday. Most expected this to be a relatively quick series with the Flames the heavy favorite heading in. It hasn't played out that way, however, with Dallas rebounding from a 1-0 loss in Game 1 with consecutive victories. While the Stars have gone an impressive 28-14 at home this season, nearly half of those 14 losses have come since March 12th, six of them to be exact. The Flames, meanwhile, have been one of the league's best road teams, going 25-17 while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.6 goals. Dallas checks in averaging just 2.5 goals per game while being outscored by 0.4 goals on average when coming off four or five wins in their last six games this season (35-game sample size), as is the case here. The Stars have also been outscored by 0.3 goals on average, allowing 3.4 goals per game when coming off a home win in which they scored 4+ goals over the last two seasons (26-game sample size), which is also the situation here. Take Calgary (3*). |
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05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 211.5 | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Milwaukee at 7:30 pm et on Monday. While we didn't get the result we wanted, missing with the 'over', the pace was absolutely there in Game 3 of this series on Saturday with both teams setting series-highs in terms of field goal attempts (Milwaukee had 99 and Boston 87). That was precisely what we were projecting noting how fast-paced and high scoring the two regular season meetings were here in Milwaukee. I expect more of the same on Monday, but this time I look for both teams to do a much better job of making good on their scoring opportunities. Boston in particular has struggled shooting the ball so far in this series, knocking down 28, 38 and 32 field goals through the first three games. Keep in mind, the Celtics average 41 made field goals per contest on the road this season and knocked down 42 in both road games last round. For its part, Milwaukee also averages 41 made field goals per game at home this season and has connected on 43, 49 and 40 field goals in three previous home matchups with Boston. Here, we'll note that despite Saturday's 'under' result, the 'over' remains 33-21 with the Celtics playing in an 'underdog' role over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 225.1 points. Take the over (10*). |
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05-09-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | 2-7 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Pittsburgh at 7 pm et on Monday. This series has been much higher-scoring than expected with the first three games totalling 7, 7 and 11 goals. Saturday's Game 3 here in Pittsburgh broke wide open early with the Penguins scoring four times in the first period alone (they led 4-1 entering the second period). I'm certain that neither team has been pleased with the way they've played defensively in this series. Keep in mind, the Rangers give up just 2.6 goals per game on the season while the Pens check in yielding an average of 2.8 goals per contest. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 14-4 with the Rangers playing on the road off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of only 4.9 goals. Meanwhile, the Penguins have seen the 'under' go 15-5 when playing at home off a win by 2+ goals over a division opponent over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of just 4.8 goals in that spot. Interestingly, the regular season saw three of four meetings between these two teams total five goals or less, including a 1-0 result in favor of the Penguins here in Pittsburgh. Remember, we saw a stretch of 3+ periods without a goal back in the series-opener last week before the Pens prevailed in triple-overtime. Take the under (8*). |
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05-09-22 | Rangers -104 v. Penguins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
NHL First Round Division Game of the Year. My selection is on New York over Pittsburgh at 7 pm et on Monday. I don't feel that we've seen the Rangers best performance yet in this series. Sure, there was a 5-2 victory in Game 2 but even in that contest, it didn't seem like the Blueshirts were in complete control. Off a 7-4 drubbing on Saturday - a game that featured a furious second period rally from New York after falling behind 4-1 after the first - I look for the Rangers to bounce back in a big way on Monday. A stunningly poor performance from likely Vezina Trophy winner Igor Shesterkin highlighted Game 3 on Saturday. He was pulled early in that contest, a rare sight for sure. I certainly expect the world class goaltender to rebound with a much better performance here. Note that the Rangers check in 15-6 after losing two of their last three games this season, outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals on average in that situation. Better still, they're 7-1 after losing five or six of their last seven contests over the last two seasons, as is the case here, averaging 4.0 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by 1.5 goals on average in that spot. When seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent this season they've allowed an average of only 1.7 goals per game while averaging 3.8 themselves, going 9-1 along the way. The last 37 times we've seen the Penguins play on home ice when leading a playoff series they've been outscored by an average margin of 0.2 goals. Take New York (10*). |
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05-09-22 | Roma v. Fiorentina UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Fiorentina and Roma at 2:45 pm et on Monday. With very little separating these two teams in the Seria A table and both on either side of the coveted top-seven places, I'm anticipating a cagey affair on Monday in Florence. Note that Fiorentina enters this match having lost four consecutive matches so it is in desperate need of taking something, anything away from this clash on Monday. Roma on the other hand will be looking to keep its three-match undefeated streak intact. I do feel that Fiorentina is a much better defensive squad that it has shown over its last four contests, noting that it has allowed a grand total of 20 goals in 17 home matches this season. Having conceded the first goal in four of its last five matches, I fully expect Fiorentina to take a fairly cautious approach for much of this one, especially when you consider it has dropped five straight meetings with Roma. This has been a relatively high-scoring series with six of the last seven meetings going 'over' 2.5 total goals but I think we have a different set of circumstances here, noting as I did earlier that there's much at stake here with Roma sitting in a tie for 6th/7th in the Serie A table and Fiorentina just three points back in eighth. Fiorentina actually ranks fourth in Serie A when only factoring in 'home' matches with an impressive +14 goal differential. Take the under (6*). |
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05-09-22 | Royals +1.5 v. Orioles | 1-6 | Loss | -180 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City +1.5 runs over Baltimore at 12:05 pm et on Monday. Interestingly, each of the Orioles last four wins have come by at least two runs. I don't believe that's a sustainable trend, especially here at home where runs have come at a premium due to the new field dimensions at Camden Yards. Here, we'll note that the Royals are 19-14 when playing on the road after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. The O's meanwhile are just 3-11 in their last 14 games when priced as a favorite of -110 or higher, which is also the situation here, outscored by 2.0 runs on average in that spot. Additionally, Baltimore is a woeful 18-53 in afternoon games over the same stretch, allowing 6.0 runs per game while being outscored by an average margin of 1.6 runs. Take Kansas City +1.5 runs (3*). |
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05-08-22 | Storm v. Aces OVER 175.5 | 74-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Sunday. Both of these teams got off to incredible starts to the season with Seattle registering a 97-74 win over Minnesota and Las Vegas cruising to a 106-88 rout of Phoenix. While both of those games sailed 'over' the total, the fact is both games could have been even higher-scoring but the opposition simply didn't take advantage of the bevy of scoring opportunities they were presented with. Seattle allowed Minnesota to get off a whopping 79 field goal attempts while Las Vegas yielded Phoenix 73 FG attempts. In what shapes up as another fast-paced game between two of the league's elite teams, I'm not sure the oddsmakers can set the total high enough. Take the over (8*). |
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05-08-22 | Suns -1.5 v. Mavs | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix over Dallas at 3:30 pm et on Sunday. The Mavericks showed up defensively in Game 3 of this series and delivered a much-needed 103-94 win. Phoenix only managed to get off 76 field goal attempts in that contest yet was still reasonably competitive. Compare that with Dallas, which got off 90 FG attempts but still only made good on 40 of those, noting the Mavs have now been held to 40 or fewer made field goals in six straight games. In stark contrast, prior to Friday's game the Suns had made good on 42+ field goals in 12 consecutive games. Here, I look for the Suns to make the necessary adjustments and take a strange-hold on this series, noting that they're an incredible 16-3 when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 11.4 points on average in that situation. Take Phoenix (7*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-24-22 | Royals +185 v. Diamondbacks | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 215.5 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
05-24-22 | Fever v. Sky OVER 164.5 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
05-24-22 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Rangers | 1-4 | Loss | -250 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
05-24-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
05-24-22 | Dodgers v. Nationals +191 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
05-23-22 | Sparks v. Aces UNDER 170 | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
05-23-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -165 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
05-23-22 | Brewers +100 v. Padres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
05-23-22 | Blue Jays +108 v. Cardinals | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 219 | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
05-22-22 | Flames v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -126 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
05-22-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +105 | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Sky v. Mystics OVER 157.5 | Top | 82-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Sun -11.5 v. Fever | 92-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -167 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Panthers -104 v. Lightning | 1-5 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
05-21-22 | Avalanche -161 v. Blues | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 3 m | Show |
05-21-22 | Lynx v. Wings UNDER 164 | 78-94 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
05-21-22 | Mariners +148 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
05-20-22 | Sparks v. Storm OVER 157 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 214.5 | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
05-20-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
05-20-22 | Mystics v. Dream UNDER 157.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
05-20-22 | Fever v. Sun -15 | Top | 85-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
05-20-22 | Levante v. Rayo Vallecano UNDER 3 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
05-19-22 | Wings v. Mercury OVER 161.5 | 94-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 208 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
05-19-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
05-19-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
05-19-22 | Reds v. Guardians -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
05-18-22 | Sky v. Storm OVER 159.5 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 13 m | Show | |
05-18-22 | White Sox -150 v. Royals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
05-18-22 | Cardinals v. Mets -186 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
05-18-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
05-18-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -159 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Lynx v. Sparks OVER 160 | Top | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
05-17-22 | Twins v. A's +124 | 2-5 | Win | 124 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 203.5 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -1.5 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Giants v. Rockies +147 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Angels -121 v. Rangers | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
05-17-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | 4-1 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 128 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
05-16-22 | Twins v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Braves +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Astros +1.5 v. Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
05-16-22 | Fiorentina v. Sampdoria UNDER 2.75 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
05-15-22 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
05-15-22 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 161 | 85-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Red Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
05-14-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -173 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -173 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
05-14-22 | Sparks v. Sun OVER 157 | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
05-14-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -8 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 33 h 48 m | Show |
05-13-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 218 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Flames v. Stars +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Fever v. Liberty -6 | 92-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 211.5 | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
05-12-22 | Wild +1.5 v. Blues | 1-5 | Loss | -255 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
05-12-22 | Yankees v. White Sox -140 | 15-7 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
05-12-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
05-12-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -122 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
05-11-22 | Stars v. Flames -208 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 218 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
05-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Tigers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
05-11-22 | Sparks v. Dream UNDER 161.5 | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Phillies v. Mariners +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
05-10-22 | Astros v. Twins OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
05-10-22 | 76ers v. Heat -3 | Top | 85-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Braves | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Aces v. Mystics +5.5 | Top | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
05-10-22 | Aces v. Mystics OVER 163.5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners -115 | 9-0 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Phillies v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Rays v. Angels OVER 7.5 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Flames -155 v. Stars | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 211.5 | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
05-09-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | 2-7 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Rangers -104 v. Penguins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
05-09-22 | Roma v. Fiorentina UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
05-09-22 | Royals +1.5 v. Orioles | 1-6 | Loss | -180 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
05-08-22 | Storm v. Aces OVER 175.5 | 74-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
05-08-22 | Suns -1.5 v. Mavs | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show |