Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Cincinnati at 8:15 pm et on Sunday. With Tyler Huntley expected back under center, I think the Ravens will be able to better do what they were hoping to do last Sunday and that's churn out long, clock-churning drives while taking care of the football on offense, leaving the rest of the game up to their terrific defense. Baltimore's gameplan effectively got derailed thanks to four turnovers on offense in last week's matchup here in Cincinnati. Throwing the football 40+ times in a game with Anthony Brown at quarterback certainly wasn't 'plan A'. The Bengals offense has been rolling along but there is some reason for pause here. Long a sore spot on an otherwise outstanding offense, the Cincinnati offensive line will be without both La'el Collins and Alex Cappa on the right side. And it's going to be tough for the Bengals to rely on the backfield tandem of Joe Mixon and Semaje Perine to relieve the pressure against a Ravens defense that has been incredibly stout against the run. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Ravens coming off a game in which they lost the turnover battle by at least two over the last three seasons, as is the case here. That situation has produced an average total of only 31.7 points. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 19-6 with the Bengals coming off consecutive games in which they scored 17 or more first half points going all the way back to 1992, which is also the situation here. Cincinnati hasn't seen consecutive games go 'over' the total since November 6th and 20th (sandwiched around a bye week). Baltimore last posted two straight 'over' results way back in Weeks 2 and 3. I mention that as last Sunday's matchup did find its way 'over' the number. Take the under (8*). |
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01-15-23 | Thunder +4.5 v. Nets | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Brooklyn at 6:10 pm et on Sunday. It's going to take quite an effort to derail the Thunder given how they've been playing on this road trip. They check in off five straight ATS wins, knocking down 44 or more field goals in all five contests. In the same vein, they've held five straight opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. Meanwhile, the Nets are adjusting to life without Kevin Durant once again. They've made good on 39 or fewer field goals in three straight games. While Brooklyn owns the better overall record this season, Oklahoma City has been the far better bet, going 27-16 ATS. Having won by 21 points on this floor last January there's no intimidation factor at play. Take Oklahoma City (8*). |
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01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 48 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
Wild Card Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Minnesota at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. When these two teams met back on Christmas Eve they combined to score 51 points in a narrow 27-24 Giants victory. While we've seen a minor adjustment to the total in advance of this rematch, I don't believe it will prove to be enough to keep this one 'under' the total. This game once again pits two of the better and more aggressive offensive minds in the NFL today in head coaches Brian Daboll of the Giants and Kevin O'Connell of the Vikings. Over the course of the season, we saw the Giants offense evolve from a run-oriented, risk-averse unit to a far more aggressive, pass-heavy attack. Never was that more true than in the aforementioned game against the Vikings. In that contest, the G-Men threw the football 40+ times. That's not to say their ground game wasn't effective as well. They racked up 126 rush yards on only 21 attempts. While the Vikings bolstered their offense with the addition of TE T.J. Hockenson prior to the trade deadline, they elected to stand pat defensively and that could ultimately prove to be their downfall in the postseason. Strong safety Harrison Smith, arguably their best defender, continues to play hurt. They've had no answers for opposing passing games, nor have they been able to stop opposing running backs, both on the ground and through the air. I do have a lot of respect for the Giants defense but there's no denying this is a difficult matchup against a multi-faceted Vikings offense. As I mentioned, this has been an even more explosive Vikings offense since acquiring Hockenson from the Detroit. WR Justin Jefferson is as advertised, as is RB Dalvin Cook, who should once again feast on a Giants defense that has struggled to stop the run all season. New York does get back CB Adoree Jackson. It remains to be seen how effective he can be in his first game action since Week 11. Even facing blanket coverage in Week 16 against New York, Jefferson still went off to pace the Vikes offense. Expect a shootout here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-15-23 | Marist v. Niagara -5 | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Marist at 12 noon et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with Niagara on Sunday as it looks to snap its two-game losing streak with a home date against suddenly streaking Marist. The Red Foxes actually check into this contest off consecutive wins - both coming in outright underdog fashion. Let's keep things in perspective, though. Marist is still 6-9 on the season and has faced just the 355th most difficult schedule in the nation (according to KenPom). It's not that Niagara has faced all that tough of a schedule either - 287th in terms of adjusted strength of schedule. However, the Purple Eagles have gone 9-7 and would be 10-6 were it not for a late collapse against a tough Siena squad on Friday. Despite facing the tougher schedule, Niagara has made one more field goal per game, on two fewer attempts per contest, compared to Marist this season. Defensively, the two teams are close to a wash, with the exception being from beyond the arc, where the Red Foxes have allowed three more made threes on six additional attempts per game. The last time these two teams met last March, it was no contest as Niagara rolled to an 83-52 victory. While this rematch isn't likely to be as lopsided, I'm still confident we see the Purple Eagles get the win and cover. Take Niagara (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 135.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Utah and USC at 10:30 pm et on Saturday. I expect this game to be played at a snail's pace as Utah looks to 'ugly it up' in an effort to come away with something from this two-game road trip to Los Angeles. The Utes couldn't muster any sort of offense against the mighty Bruins of UCLA last time out and will be hard-pressed to do much better against another terrific defensive squad in USC on Saturday. The good news is, the Utes can play some defense (they rank 19th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom) - something we didn't necessarily see from them in the loss to UCLA. I expect Utah to step up defensively against a more manageable offensive opponent here and ultimately help keep this one 'under' the lofty total. Take the under (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Chargers -2 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
Wild Card Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points first half over Jacksonville at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I'm far more interested in backing the Chargers minus the short number in the first half rather than the full game in this one as head coach Brandon Staley's crunch-time coaching decisions have rightfully been called to question ever since he took over the gig. Here, I do think the Bolts have enough early advantages to take a lead into the locker room at halftime. Note that Los Angeles is 10-1 against the first half line when seeking revenge against an opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here after the Jaguars boat-raced the Chargers at SoFi Stadium earlier this season. Better still, the Chargers are a perfect 6-0 ATS in the first half when seeking revenge for a same-season loss against an opponent over the same stretch. In that situation, they've outscored opponents by an impressive average margin of 10.8 points in the first half. Meanwhile, the Jags are a woeful 0-7 ATS against the first half line when playing at home after a division game over the last three seasons, outscored by 10.0 points on average in that spot. I like the way this matchup sets up on paper for the Chargers as the Jags haven't been particularly stout against the pass this season and have struggled in particular defending opposing running backs that can catch the football. Of course the Bolts have one of the best in that department in Austin Ekeler, who enters the playoffs on a red hot tear. The same goes for QB Justin Herbert, who had a fantastic final two regular season games, tossing four touchdown passes. It's a different story for Jags sophomore QB Trevor Lawrence. He struggled down the stretch, even in last Saturday's must-win game against the Titans, which the Jags did manage to pull out by the skin of their teeth. Take Los Angeles first half (10*). |
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01-14-23 | Bradley v. Drake OVER 128.5 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Missouri Valley Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Bradley and Drake at 8 pm et on Saturday. This isn't the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament and as such I think we'll see a much looser, up-tempo game between these two conference powerhouses than what you would expect to see in March. We're talking about two of the best offensive teams in the MVC on paper. Bradley has certainly showed it over its last two games, scoring 88 and 91 points in wins over Valpo and Evansville. While the level of competition steps up here, I like the consistency Bradley has shown at the offensive end of the floor, making good on 27 or more field goals in six of its last seven games. Drake comes off of a pair of exceptional offensive performances as well, scoring 82 and 76 points in wins over Murray State and Illinois-Chicago. The most recent meeting between these two teams last February was a low-scoring affair but of note, we haven't seen consecutive 'under' results between these two teams since back in 2018-19. Take the over (10*). |
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01-14-23 | Celtics v. Hornets +8 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. I see this as an incredibly difficult spot for the Celtics to get up for as they look for their sixth straight victory after opening this road trip with a double-digit win in Brooklyn on Thursday. Keep in mind, Boston already took the first meeting between these two teams by a whopping 35 points back in late November. It catches Charlotte on a three-game losing streak and a woeful 1-6 SU over its last seven games. The Hornets actually haven't covered a spread in four games - the last time they did we were on board as they pulled off a stunning blowout win over the Bucks in Milwaukee. In stark contrast to the C's, the Hornets should have no trouble at all getting up for this front half of a two-game home set against Boston. Note that they'll be looking to avenge three straight losses suffered at the hands of the C's. While Boston is a long-term 87-119 ATS when coming off a road victory by 10 points or more, Charlotte is 199-156 ATS after losing at least two games in a row ATS. Noting that the Celtics are now without Jaylen Brown as he deals with an injury while the Hornets were without LaMelo Ball the last time these two teams squared off in November, I think we see a game that's closer than expected on Saturday. Take Charlotte (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Canadiens v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and New York at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Fairly straight-forward play here as I believe this total will prove too low with the Habs visiting the Islanders on Saturday. We should see something of a 'sling-shot' effect in terms of the Isles as they bust out after getting held down by two terrific defensive opponents in the Stars and Wild to open this homestand. With that being said, I don't have a lot of trust in the Isles to make things easy on themselves here, and that should lead to some scoring opportunities for the Habs. Montreal has sandwiched five and four-goal performances against the Blues and Predators around a shutout loss against the Kraken over the last week. The Habs haven't suffered much of a drop-off in offensive production on the road this season, averaging 2.6 goals per contest. The bad news, they're allowing a whopping 3.7 goals per game in a visitor's role. New York has scored just five goals during its four-game losing streak but is well-positioned to bounce back here, noting that it averages 3.0 goals per game on home ice this season. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Air Force v. Fresno State OVER 123 | 51-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Air Force and Fresno State at 7 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel this total will prove too low given the improvement Air Force has shown offensively, combined with the porous nature of both defenses. The Falcons have quietly been lighting it up, knocking down 24 or more field goals in seven of their last eight games. They hung 85 points on the board in a double-digit win over Colorado State last time out. Meanwhile, Fresno State has been getting absolutely torched defensively, allowing 27, 29 and 31 made field goals over its last three games. However, the line dictates a close affair in favor of the hometown Bulldogs here and that's reasonable when you consider Air Force has yielded more than 70 points in four straight games, allowing six straight opponents to knock down at least 23 field goals. I think we're in for a much higher-scoring game than most expect here. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Virginia v. Florida State OVER 131 | 67-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Virginia and Florida State at 4 pm et on Saturday. I don't think this is going to be the defensive slugfest that most are expecting in Tallahassee on Saturday afternoon. Virginia has been a bit different than we've come to expect this season, riding its offense a little more on the way to a 12-3 overall record. The Cavaliers enter this game having gotten into the 60's or 70's in terms of scoring in seven straight games. Florida State is in the middle of a tough campaign but has certainly played better basketball lately. The Seminoles check in having scored 73 or more points in six of their last seven contests. Florida State does continue to struggle defensively, however, yielding 28 or more made field goals in four of its last five games. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Troy State v. Appalachian State OVER 133.5 | 45-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Troy and Appalachian State at 4 pm et on Saturday. I think we're in for a barn-burner between these two teams on Saturday afternoon and that should lend itself to a relatively high-scoring affair. Both teams average in the mid-20's in terms of three-point attempts per game. There's certainly a wide range of outcomes in this contest given Troy's defensive ability and the pace that Appalachian State plays at but I believe the most likely one is a game where both teams approach or eclipse the 70-point mark. We're being given a relatively low total to work with largely due to the fact that the Trojans come in off consecutive low-scoring 'under' results. That of course has little bearing on today's matchup in particular. Take the over (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 141.5 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Penn and Dartmouth at 2 pm et on Saturday. A little too much respect being given to the Penn offense here. Dartmouth plays at a fast pace but doesn't shoot particularly well and is in line for some regression on Saturday. We've seen some high-scoring matchups between these two teams in recent years, but I don't think this will be one of them. Note that the last two meetings have seen totals posted in the 130's. I believe this number will prove too high as Penn ultimately stretches out the margin and takes the air out of the basketball in the second half. Take the under (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Heat | 95-111 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee plus the points over Miami at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. The Bucks dropped the front half of this two-game set in Miami on Thursday in what was essentially a throw-away game as they sat Giannis Antetokounmpo among others in an eventual six-point loss. That was a back-to-back situation off a win in Atlanta the night previous (which marked their second straight victory to open their current road trip). It should be a different story on Saturday as the Bucks look to take this opportunity to get right back at the Heat, who haven't won more than two games in a row since a four-game winning streak (that included victories over the lowly Rockets and Spurs) back in mid-December. Take Milwaukee (8*). |
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01-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 135.5 | Top | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Big Ten Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Wisconsin and Indiana at 1 pm et on Saturday. The 'over' has cashed in each of Wisconsin's last two games while Indiana has seen all three of its Big Ten contests sail 'over' the total, allowing 91, 84 and 85 points in the process. While the Badgers aren't exactly known for their offensive prowess, I do think they find the going much easier against the Hoosiers non-existent defense after facing Illinois and Michigan State in their last two games. On the flip side, it's desperation time for Indiana and at home in what is a stand-alone Big Ten matchup on Saturday afternoon, I do think we see it come to play. The Hoosiers offense hasn't necessarily been the problem, even if it is coming off a poor showing against Penn State last time out. Prior to that, Indiana had put up 89 and 83 points against Iowa and Northwestern, respectively. I think we see both teams approach or eclipse the 70-point mark in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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01-13-23 | Thunder v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 124-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Thunder exercised some demons against the 76ers in Philadelphia last night, winning in convincing, blowout fashion as a considerable underdog (we won with Oklahoma City in that game as well). Here, I believe they'll be hard-pressed to duplicate that effort as they play the second of back-to-back nights against the Bulls in Chicago. Chicago is fresh off a 100-97 loss in Washington two nights ago to wrap up a brief 0-2 road trip. A return home should help the Bulls cause, noting that they're 11-9 SU at the United Center and will be looking for their third straight victory in the Windy City on Friday. Of course, the Bulls will likely be without Demar Derozan for a second straight game after he exited Monday's loss in Boston with an injured quad muscle. Zach Lavine suffered a hand contusion in Wednesday's loss in Washington but is expected to be good to go on Friday. While I'm certainly not banking on it, I do think this could be a 'load management' spot for Thunder superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in a back-to-back situation. He has suited up for two back-to-backs previously this season but sat out the front half of the team's most recent two-game in two-night set on January 3rd. Note that the Thunder will be playing their seventh game in the last 11 nights, in five different cities on Friday night. While Oklahoma City did prevail last night in Philadelphia, that win snapped a six-game road losing streak. The Thunder are just 6-14 SU away from home this season. Also note that they're a miserable 3-14 ATS when coming off four or five wins in their last six games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 12.7 points in that situation. The Bulls are a long-term 121-90 ATS when coming off consecutive road losses. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-13-23 | Siena v. Niagara +2.5 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
MAAC Game of the Week. My selection is on Niagara minus the points over Siena at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the spot for Niagara here as it returns home following a tough five-point road loss at Manhattan last time out. The Purple Eagles simply appeared to run out of gas following a hard-fought win at Fairfield two nights earlier. Here, I look for a much sharper performance as they look to take down still-undefeated in MAAC play Siena, which rides in on a six-game winning streak. Note that Niagara is undefeated at home this season, having gone a perfect 5-0. The Purple Eagles have outscored the opposition by an average margin of 13.0 points on this floor. Siena actually checks in having won outright as an underdog in three consecutive road games. It's a different story here as the Saints enter as the road favorite for the first time this season. While the two teams have faced similar schedules this season (according to KenPom only 11 places separate the two teams in terms of adjusted strength of schedule), Niagara has proven to be the tougher defensive team. The Purple Eagles are giving up three fewer made field goals per game on just one less attempt allowed on average compared to the Saints. Offensively is virtually a wash with Siena holding perhaps the slightest of edges. Take Niagara (10*). |
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01-13-23 | Juventus v. Napoli UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Serie A Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Napoli and Juventus at 2:45 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up as a cagey, low-scoring affair between the top two sides in the Serie A table on Friday in Naples. You would have to go back eight matches between these two Italian rivals to find the last time a game totalled more than three goals with four of the last seven meetings staying 'under' 2.5 total goals. While Juventus finds itself as the decided underdog ahead of this clash, it has conceded a grand total of only four goals in seven 'away' matches in Serie A play this season. It's a similar story for Napoli from a defensive standpoint as it has allowed only six goals in eight home matches. Both squads enter in fine form, particularly at the back line. You'd be hard-pressed to find two teams with stronger defensive units, certainly in Italy. Napoli's four-man back line rates out about as high as it gets based on my own metrics. Juventus' back line rates only slightly lower but we can anticipate the visitors also playing a little more conservatively here, helping their cause in trying to contain Napoli's opportunistic attack up front. Since returning to league play post-World Cup, Napoli has given up one goal in two matches while Juventus has yet to concede through a pair of contests. Of note, you would have to go back six matches across all competitions to find the last time a game involving Juventus went 'over' 2.5 total goals. Take the under (10*). |
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01-12-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -128 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vegas over Florida at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. We'll fade the Panthers off Tuesday's thrilling 5-4 win over the Avalanche in Denver. Florida blew a 4-1 third period lead in the span of just six minutes in that game, but was rescued by Matthew Tkachuk's second goal of the game with 3:30 remaining to secure the win. The Panthers check in allowing 3.5 goals per game this season with that average rising to 3.7 going back to December 10th. While they've managed to go 2-1 on their current road trip that doesn't tell the whole story as they've been outscored 11-9 and remain just 9-14 away from home this season, where they've been outscored by an average margin of 0.8 goals. For the Golden Knights, this will be their first game action since January 7th when they dropped an ugly 5-1 decision against the Kings on home ice. That loss brought an end to a three-game winning streak that saw Vegas outscore the opposition 13-8. The Knights are just 12-10 on home ice this season but will have a good opportunity to improve on that mark over the next couple of weeks as they'll play each of their next five contests here on The Strip. While Florida has given up five goals or more in four of its last 10 games, Vegas' most recent contest marked the first time in nine games that it had allowed that many goals. I think we see a 'sling-shot' effect from the Knights here, who you can be sure are itching to get back on the ice after an extended layoff (and that most recent embarrassing loss). The home team has won all but one of eight previous all-time meetings in this series (Vegas won that game 7-2 in Sunrise) and we'll call for that trend to continue on Thursday. Take Vegas (8*). |
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01-12-23 | Mavs -3 v. Lakers | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Thursday. While the Lakers check in 5-1 over their last six games, I can't help but feel another slide is right around the corner. Their recent five-game winning streak had everything to do with their red hot shooting. They caught fire for a week or so but couldn't keep it going last time out as they connected on just 44% of their field goal attempts in a double-digit loss in Denver. I expect to see some carry-over effect from that poor performance here. Dallas checks in off consecutive losses, both SU and ATS, to open its current five-game road trip. No team wants to go winless in its two-game stop-over in Los Angeles, especially given the current vulnerable state of both the Clippers and Lakers. Here, we'll note that the Mavericks are 11-2 ATS when playing on the road off an upset loss away from home over the last three seasons. Dallas has outscored the opposition by an impressive average margin of 13.0 points in that situation. The Lakers continue to give up way too many easy buckets, having allowed 42 or more made field goals in an incredible 13 consecutive games. In stark contrast, Dallas has allowed just four of its last 10 opponents to knock down 42 or more field goals. Take Dallas (8*). |
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01-12-23 | Bucks v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. This is a classic fade spot for the Heat as they play the second of back-to-back nights off a win in Atlanta last night. In fact, Milwaukee will be looking for third straight win to open its current road trip. However, in a back-to-back spot and knowing it will have another shot at the Heat here in South Beach on Saturday, I'm not convinced we see the Bucks best effort on Thursday. Miami was undermanned but prevailed by a single point against Oklahoma City two nights ago. Here, the Heat should have Bam Adebayo back on the floor as they look to secure a second straight victory. Despite the ATS loss against the Thunder, the Heat remain a solid 6-3 ATS over their last nine contests. They're just 6-14 ATS at home this season, laying inflated numbers on most nights, but that's not the case here. At the very least, the Heat have managed to outscore the opposition by 0.3 points on average on their home floor (which is more than can be said about the Bucks on the road, as you'll read below). Milwaukee has been a better bet on the road than the Heat have been at home, but it still just 8-10 ATS on the highway, where it has been outscored by an average margin of 3.8 points. Note that Milwaukee has gone a woeful 21-37 ATS after winning four of its last five games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Miami (10*). |
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01-11-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS Bakersfield +9 | Top | 60-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
Big West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Cal State-Bakersfield plus the points over Cal-Santa Barbara at 10 pm et on Wednesday. In what projects as a low-scoring battle between these two Big West Conference foes, I'll grab all the points I can get with the underdog home side. Bakersfield checks in off a blowout road loss at Cal-Davis but has managed to cover the spread in each of its last two home contests. Santa Barbara rides an eight-game winning streak into this one but failed to cover for the first time in its last six lined games in a five-point victory at Cal-Poly last time out. You would have to go back eight games to find the last time Bakersfield allowed an opponent to get off more than 52 field goal attempts. You would have to go back the same number of games to find the last time one of its opponents knocked down more than 22 field goals. It all adds up to a lot of tightly-contested affairs. The argument can certainly be made that Bakersfield is the better defensive team in this matchup, especially when you consider it has faced the 203rd most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom, compared to Santa Barbara which has gone against the 319th toughest slate of opponents by the same metric. Bakersfield has dropped the last two meetings in this series by 12 and 19 points but that's after the first four were each decided by seven points or less. Take Cal State-Bakersfield (10*). |
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01-11-23 | Tulane v. SMU +5 | 97-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU plus the points over Tulane at 8 pm et on Wednesday. While Tulane enters this game off three consecutive wins, both SU and ATS, SMU checks in off back-to-back losses, also SU and ATS. Both of those Mustang losses came in blowout fashion, but they came in matchups against tougher opponents than they'll face here on Wednesday. That's been the story for SMU for much of the campaign as it has faced a grueling schedule - the 34th toughest in the nation according to KenPom. Tulane, on the other hand, has made the most of the 292nd most difficult schedule in the country by the same metric. Despite the wide disparity in strength of schedule, SMU has actually managed to post very similar defensive numbers to those of Tulane while only lagging slightly from an offensive standpoint. With little to choose between these two teams, I'll gladly grab the generous helping of points with the home side. Take SMU (8*). |
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01-11-23 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Celtics | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Boston at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. While most expected the Pelicans to take a nose-dive without Zion Williamson, that hasn't necessarily been the case. There was the 'shock to the system' game immediately following the Zion injury as the Pelicans fell by 15 points in Memphis. However, since then, they've lost by nine points against the red hot 76ers, won by 11 vs. Houston, lost by only six against the blistering Nets, lost by 10 against the Mavs in Dallas and most recently rolled to a 25-point rout of the Wizards. In other words, blowout losses have been few and far between. The Celtics aren't exactly setting the world on fire right now, in fact they're just 1-5 ATS over their last six games. This is actually a triple-revenge spot for the Pelicans as they've dropped all three meetings with the Celtics since the start of last season, including a 117-109 loss back in November. Here, we'll note that New Orleans is a solid 24-10 ATS after losing four or five of its last six games ATS over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 3.1 points on average in that situation. Take New Orleans (8*). |
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01-11-23 | New Hampshire v. Maine -3 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
America East Game of the Year. My selection is on Maine minus the points over New Hampshire at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Maine has lost five games in row entering this conference clash, yet two perhaps three of those five losses just as easily could have gone the Black Bears way. Maine has faced the 231st most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom - certainly not something to get too excited about. However, tonight's opponent, New Hampshire, has gone against the 329th toughest slate of opponents. The Wildcats are off a big outright underdog home win over Vermont as nine-point underdogs last time out. They've recorded back-to-back ATS wins just once this season, back in early December. Note that UNH is a miserable 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a win over an America East opponent, outscored by 5.3 points on average in that situation. Take Maine (10*). |
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01-11-23 | Furman v. Mercer +7 | Top | 84-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Mercer plus the points over Furman at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I really like the way this spot sets up for underdog Mercer, a team that's not all that accustomed to being in that role here at home. The Bears have lost four games in a row both SU and ATS but I fully expect them to bounce back here as they catch Furman off consecutive wins and covers, with the most recent coming on the road against East Tennessee State. Note that while Furman is 8-1 SU at home this season, it has only managed to split its eight road contests to date. Mercer is 4-3 on its home floor compared to 3-7 on the road. I'll also point out that Furman has faced the 313th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom - in other words, the Palladins have been padding their 12-5 record with a rather weak slate of opponents. I like the fact that despite facing the tougher schedule, the Bears have actually posted the better defensive numbers, allowing three fewer made field goals per game despite allowing just one less attempt per contest in comparison with the Palladins. You can be sure this is a game the Bears have had circled all season after dropping all three meetings with Furman last season. Take Mercer (10*). |
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01-10-23 | Panthers v. Avalanche -126 | 5-4 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over Florida at 9:35 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Avalanche in an underdog role in Edmonton on Saturday and I won't hesitate to come right back with them as they return home to face the Panthers on Tuesday. I don't believe this will be a 'one-and-done' situation when it comes to the Avs winning ways. Keep in mind, prior to Saturday's come-from-behind overtime victory, they had lost five straight games. They're just 9-10 on home ice this season but have managed to outscore the opposition by an average margin of 0.1 goal. Florida on the other hand has gone an abysmal 8-14 on the road, outscored by 0.9 goals on average along the way. Take Colorado (8*). |
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01-10-23 | Flames -155 v. Blues | 3-4 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary over St. Louis at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this spot sets up for the Flames as they look to get back on track following a disappointing overtime loss in Chicago on Sunday. Here, we'll fade the Blues off their stunning 3-0 win in Minnesota on Sunday. Keep in mind, the night previous we saw St. Louis skate to a 5-4 defeat at the hands of the lowly Canadiens. The Blues haven't managed to win consecutive games since mid-December. It's a different story for the Flames, who haven't lost consecutive games since mid-December. While they're just 7-13 on the road this season, they've actually been outscored by only 0.2 goals on average. Meanwhile, the Blues are 7-10 at home this season, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals. Take Calgary (8*). |
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01-10-23 | Pistons v. 76ers UNDER 229.5 | Top | 116-147 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Philadelphia at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams were just involved in a relatively high-scoring affair two nights ago as the 76ers rolled to a 123-111 win in Detroit. That's been the norm for the Sixers lately as they enter this game riding a four-game 'over' streak (which matches a season-high). With both teams playing their fifth game in five nights, I believe both would prefer a slower-paced affair in Tuesday's rematch. The Pistons quietly shot the lights out in Sunday's contest, knocking down 44-of-87 field goal attempts. I don't anticipate a repeat performance with the scene shifting to Philadelphia, noting the 76ers are allowing just 40 made field goals per game on average at home this season. In a similar vein, the Pistons are making good on just 39 field goals per contest on the road this season. Philadelphia knocked down 46-of-94 field goal attempts on Sunday. The 76ers have been pushing the pace lately, getting off 98, 92 and 94 FG attempts in their last three games. I just don't see that being a sustainable trend, noting that Philadelphia averages just 85 FG attempts per contest this season, with that number rising only slightly to 86 here at home. Take the under (10*). |
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01-10-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -145 | 5-3 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over New Jersey at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Devils on Saturday as they rallied from a 3-1 third period deficit to defeat the rival Rangers 4-3 in overtime. It was a fortunate win to be sure as the Rangers appeared to be in complete control for more than two-thirds of that contest. Here, we'll go the other way and fade the Devils as they head to Raleigh to face a Hurricanes squad that will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak. In fact, the Canes most recent win came against these same Devils by way of a shootout in Newark back on New Year's Day. While New Jersey has enjoyed plenty of road success this season, one of its three losses came on this ice. You would have to go back five meetings, all the way to 2019 to find the last time the Devils skated to a win over the Canes away from home. Take Carolina (8*). |
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01-10-23 | Oklahoma State +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Oklahoma State plus the points over Kansas State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this one sets up for Oklahoma State in an underdog role in Manhattan on Tuesday. The Cowboys check in just 9-6 on the season - a far cry from Kansas State's sterling 14-1 mark. However, Oklahoma State has faced the 24th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Kansas State ranks 87th in that department. In spite of that, the Cowboys have been the superior defensive team in my opinion, allowing two fewer made field goals on two more attempts per game compared to the Wildcats. It's rare that we see Kansas State win a game in this series by margin. You would have to go back seven meetings to find the the last time the Wildcats won by more than three points - all the way to February of 2019. On the heels of eight straight victories, the last three coming in ATS fashion as well including back-to-back upset wins at Texas and Baylor, I can't help but feel a letdown is in order for the Wildcats here. Take Oklahoma State (10*). |
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01-10-23 | VCU v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 137 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between VCU and Loyola-Chicago at 7 pm et on Tuesday. VCU enters this showdown off three consecutive 'over' results while Loyola-Chicago has seen each of its last four contests go 'over' the total. I look for a reversal of those trends on Tuesday, however. Neither team has faced all that difficult of a schedule this season according to KenPom - both teams rank well north of 200th in the country in that department. VCU is knocking down an average of 23 field goals per game with that number dropping to 21 away from home. While Loyola-Chicago has made good on an impressive 29 field goals per contest here at home, that's had everything to do with the slate of opponents it has faced. The Ramblers have hosted Fairleigh-Dickinson, Central Arkansas, Depaul, Wisconsin-Green Bay, Albany and George Washington to date. You could certainly argue this will be their toughest defensive test to date on their home floor. Take the under (10*). |
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01-10-23 | Ball State v. Ohio -2.5 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ohio minus the points over Ball State at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I like the way this spot sets up for Ohio at home as it looks to snap its brief two-game skid (both losses came on the road) at home against Ball State. The Cardinals are red hot - winners of seven straight games including two in a row ATS. However, they've faced the 271st toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. By contrast, Ohio has gone against the 181st most difficult slate of opponents by the same metric. I do feel the Bobcats can present a 'shock to the system' for the Cardinals as they like to push the pace, something Ball State certainly didn't see in a home game against Akron last time out. Here, we'll note that Ohio is an impressive 30-10 ATS when coming off consecutive road losses going all the way back to 1997. Take Ohio (8*). |
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01-09-23 | Florida A&M +16 v. Grambling State | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida A&M plus the points over Grambling at 8 pm et on Monday. No team in the country has faced as tough of a schedule as Florida A&M this season according to KenPom so perhaps it's not surprising that it checks in sporting an ugly 2-11 record. The Rattlers have lost five games in a row SU and back-to-back contests ATS following a three-game ATS winning streak. Grambling on the other hand has won consecutive games to improve to 9-6 on the campaign. It has faced the 186th most difficult schedule in the country. Noting that Grambling has managed to get off 46, 51 and 53 field goal attempts over its last three contests. I believe it will be hard-pressed to cover such a lofty pointspread here. Take Florida A&M (8*). |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia UNDER 64 | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'under' between TCU and Georgia at 7:30 pm et on Monday. Both CFP semi-final matchups ended up being high-scoring affairs and that's helping this total hold strong approaching the mid-60's. I believe it will prove too high. Lost in TCU's 51-point explosion against Michigan was the fact that it completed just 14-of-29 passes for 225 yards - the second straight games in which the Horned Frogs completed 18 or fewer passes. Their ground game has of course been dominant, led by RB Kendre Miller. It is worth noting that Miller suffered a minor MCL injury in that semi-final against Michigan and now goes against a Georgia defense that has held opponents to just 3.0 yards per rush this season. The Bulldogs check in having allowed more than 94 rushing yards just once in their last six games - that coming in the scare against Ohio State in the CFP semi-final (we won with the Buckeyes in that game). Note that TCU earned itself three extra offensive possessions against Michigan, turning the Wolverines over three times in that contest. They're unlikely to enjoy the same good fortune here, noting that Georgia has turned it over just once in each of its last four games. While the Bulldogs offense has enjoyed tremendous success over their last two games going back to the SEC Championship Game, here we'll note that the 'under' is 9-1 the last 10 times Georgia has played away from home off three straight 'over' results, as is the case here, leading to an average total of only 45.8 points. Take the under (10*). |
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01-08-23 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 41.5 | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Seattle at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The Seahawks offense has actually been struggling lately, despite last week's 23-6 win over the Jets here at home. The Rams down-trodden and injury-ravaged defense should be the cure for what ails them here, however. Teams have been running all over Los Angeles' defense since DT Aaron Donald and space-eater A'Shawn Robinson went down to injury. The Rams have given up 165, 138, 104 and 192 rush yards over their last four contests. That's not to say they've been any stronger against the pass either. Last week, the Chargers lit them up for 24-of-31 passing, good for 7.7 yards per pass attempt and two touchdowns. With all of his weapons at his disposal, Seahawks QB Geno Smith has the potential to go off in this one. The question becomes whether the Rams lukewarm offense can keep up in a potential shootout. They did find some success early in last week's game against the Chargers but once the margin got too large, they essentially took the air out of the football. I do expect a more competitive affair here, noting that the Rams will be looking to avenge an early-December home loss against the division-rival Seahawks. Keep in mind, Seattle hasn't won consecutive matchups in this series since 2016-17. Take the over (10*). |
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01-08-23 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Los Angeles at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The coaching change seemed to provide the Broncos with a spark last week as they fell just short in a near-upset in Kansas City. Here, I look for them to snap their two-game skid, while also wrecking Los Angeles' four-game winning streak in the process. This is a game Denver has almost certainly had circled on its calendar since dropping a tough 19-16 decision in a Thursday night game in Los Angeles back in mid-October. While it remains to be seen how much or if Chargers starters will play in this game, the Broncos do have most of their offensive weapons at their disposal. Of course, I use that term 'weapons' somewhat lightly given how they've performed with QB Russell Wilson running the show this season. Nevertheless, I like this spot fading the Chargers after they clinched a playoff berth last week. Take Denver (8*). |
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01-08-23 | Rider +6.5 v. Siena | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Rider plus the points over Siena at 2 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the underdog Broncs here as they look to snap their brief two-game skid (they've lost three in a row ATS) on the road against Siena on Sunday afternoon. The Saints have reeled off five consecutive victories both SU and ATS, including four outright wins as short underdogs (+3.5 points or less). I simply like the way Rider has limited its opponents scoring opportunities, even in losing efforts over the last two games, with its last two foes getting off just 49 and 55 field goal attempts. Siena has allowed two of its last three opponents to hoist up 60 or more FG attempts. On the flip side, the Saints have topped out at 53 or less FG attempts in five of their last six contests, making them difficult to trust laying a considerable number of points here. Take Rider (10*). |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons OVER 40.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll keep my analysis for this play short with kickoff quickly approaching. All indications are that Bucs QB Tom Brady and the rest of the starters will play in this game. How much remains to be seen. With that being said, I'll fade the Falcons five-game 'under' streak here, noting that the first matchup between these two teams got to 36 points despite little in the way of offensive fireworks - particularly from the Falcons. QB Desmond Ridder has shown me enough to believe he can put some numbers on the board against a banged-up Bucs defense here. Meanwhile, Brady has absolutely carved this Falcons pass defense since joining the Bucs. We're talking 350+ passing yards in four of five meetings going back to 2020. Take the over (8*). |
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01-07-23 | Avalanche +105 v. Oilers | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over Edmonton at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. The Avalanche are reeling right now, losers of five straight games including three in a row since welcoming back Nathan MacKinnon to the lineup. What better place to bounce back than Edmonton, where they've taken seven of the last 11 meetings. We actually won with the Oilers on Thursday night but see fit to fade them here, noting that they've gone a miserable 3-9 when following a win by two goals or more this season, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that situation. The Avs let one slip away after jumping ahead 2-0 on the Canucks two nights ago. I don't expect them to make the same mistake twice. Take Colorado (8*). |
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01-07-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs -7 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over New Orleans at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Mavericks against the Zion-less Pelicans here, with the latter finding themselves in a difficult back-to-back situation off last night's six-point home loss to the Nets. New Orleans has cooled off considerably following a hot start to the campaign, going just 5-8 ATS over its last 13 contests. The Mavs have dropped the cash in three straight games heading in and got blown out by the Celtics on their home floor two nights ago. I look for them to turn the tide here, noting that they're 23-11 ATS when playing at home after scoring 105 points or less in their last game over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition buy 9.8 points on average in that spot. Take Dallas (8*). |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
AFC West Game of the Month. My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points over Kansas City at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel the Raiders are a dangerous team with nothing to lose here in Week 18 of the regular season. We certainly saw plenty of fight from Las Vegas last Sunday as it gave San Francisco all it could handle but ultimately lost by a field goal for the second straight week. QB Jarrett Stidham gave the Raiders offense some life and I think we'll see some carry-over effect from last week's performance here. The Chiefs are just 6-10 ATS on the season, including 3-5 ATS away from home. Meanwhile, the Raiders check in an impressive 5-2 ATS here at Allegiant Stadium. While Kansas City has won four straight games, three of those contests could have gone either way. Who knows what the future holds for the Raiders franchise on many fronts, but here I look for them to give the division-rival Chiefs all they can handle in the regular season finale for both teams. Take Las Vegas (10*). |
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01-07-23 | Rangers v. Devils -118 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Jersey over New York at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. We'll fade the Rangers on Saturday afternoon as they carry a three-game winning streak into Newark to face the rival Devils. New Jersey suffered a 5-3 home loss against St. Louis last time out. I like the bounce-back spot here as they've hung tough in two previous meetings with New York this season, going 1-1 in a pair of matchups played in Manhattan. We'll note that the Rangers are a woeful 6-17 when playing on the road after scoring three goals or more in three straight games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 1.1 goal in that situation. Take New Jersey (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Heat v. Suns +1.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Miami at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I believe this is a 'wrong team favored' situation as the Heat head to Phoenix on Friday night. Miami had its brief two-game winning streak snapped at the hands of the Lakers in Los Angeles two nights ago. Here, they'll face a desperate Suns squad that has lost four straight and seven of their last eight games overall. I do think Phoenix carries some confidence into this game as it gave Cleveland all it could handle in a 90-88 road loss two nights ago. The Suns have gone back to work defensively, holding four straight opponents to 82 or fewer field goal attempts and their last two foes to just 36 and 30 made field goals. Phoenix has undoubtedly had this rematch with Miami circled on its calendar after dropping a one-point decision in South Beach back in November. Here, we'll note that the Heat are a woeful 3-13 ATS when playing on the road after winning four or five of their last six games ATS over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 2.2 points in that situation. Meanwhile, the Suns are 42-26 ATS when seeking revenge against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 6.5 points on average in that spot. Take Phoenix (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | 115-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Minnesota at 9:10 pm et on Friday. The Clippers got roasted by the Nuggets in Denver last night in a game that was never competitive. That makes it four consecutive losses for Los Angeles, three in a row ATS, but I look for it to bounce back on Friday night in Minnesota. The T'Wolves check in off two straight victories, which comes on the heels of six consecutive defeats. Minnesota is just 11-9 on its home floor this season, only outscoring foes by an average margin of 0.6 points. Off last night's less-than-taxing affair (Paul George played 13 minutes while Kawhi Leonard saw 18 minutes of floor time), look for the Clips to rebound here. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Islanders v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Calgary at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Flames are in uncharted territory from an o/u perspective, having seen the 'under' cash in five straight games - their longest such streak over the last 2+ seasons. The 'over' has gone 5-1 on the six occasions where their 'under' run reached four games over the last three campaigns, with that lone 'under' result coming in their most recent game in Winnipeg two nights ago (we won with the Jets in that contest). The 'under' has cashed in two of the Islanders first three games on their current road trip (we've successfully faded them in Seattle and Edmonton). Off a loss to the Oilers last night I do expect a better effort from the Isles here and it's worth noting that they've scored 6, 5, 5, 5, 2 and 6 goals. All three meetings between these two teams going back to last season have totalled exactly seven goals. You would have to go back six meetings here in Calgary - all the way to 2016 - to find the last time a game finished with fewer than six total goals. Take the over (10*). |
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01-06-23 | Hornets +11 v. Bucks | 138-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Bucks enter this game off consecutive wins both SU and ATS (we were on board for the first of those two victories) but they're just 2-3 ATS when laying double-digits this season and I expect them to have their hands full with the lowly Hornets on Friday night. Charlotte has lost three straight games both SU and ATS. Sometimes hitting the road isn't a bad thing and I believe that will be the case here after a 1-3 homestand. While Charlotte lost by 24 points against Memphis last time out, it's worth noting that it hasn't dropped consecutive games by double-digits since December 9th and 11th. That's only happened three times previously this season which is notable considering how many games the Hornets have lost (29). The Bucks are only outscoring opponents by an average margin of 2.0 points this season and while that number grows to 8.3 points here at home, that's still considerably lower than the pointspread we're working with tonight. On the flip side, as bad as things have gone for the Hornets, they've been outscored by an average margin of 7.1 points and that number only rises to 7.3 points on the road. In five meetings between these two teams going back to the start of last season, Milwaukee won by double-digits only once. Take Charlotte (8*). |
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01-06-23 | Knicks v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto minus the points over New York at 7:40 pm et on Friday. The Raptors are coming off an absolutely dreadful offensive display against Milwaukee two nights ago as they shot worse than 33% from the field yet still somehow rallied to force overtime in an eventual three-point loss. They check into this game off consecutive SU and ATS losses but I'm confident they'll bounce back against the division-rival Knicks on Friday. Note that New York has won three games in a row but those victories all came against down-trodden squads in the Rockets, Suns and Spurs, with the last two coming on their home floor. They're still just 2-5-1 ATS over their last eight games. You would have to go back 12 meetings here in Toronto - all the way to 2015 - to find the last time they won a game in Toronto. While laying points with the Raptors given their current state seems a little dicey, they've managed to cover the spread in all but two of their 16 straight-up victories this season, and both of those wins still came by four or more points. While the Raps are as healthy as they've been all season, the Knicks are without one of their best players, R.J. Barrett. This is a critical six-game homestand for the Raptors as it will likely decide whether or not they'll be 'selling' at the trade deadline. All is not lost after dropping the opener, I look for them to bounce back here. Take Toronto (10*). |
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01-06-23 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 129 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Ivy League Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Dartmouth and Yale at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the way this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Friday night. Dartmouth limps into this game on the heels of six consecutive losses, not to mention six straight 'under' results. The Big Green have done little to slow the pace of the opposition, allowing an average of 61 field goal attempts per game on the season. That spells trouble as Yale likes to push the pace, having hoisted up 60 or more FG attempts in six of its last eight games and gets a chance to show out here at home for the first time since November 30th (each of its last six games were played on the road). The Bulldogs check in off consecutive 'under' results. Note that both teams present a bit of a 'shock to the system' for the opposing defenses in this one as Dartmouth gets off an average of 26 three-point attempts per game while Yale hoists up 24 shots from beyond the arc per contest, with both teams having faced an average of only 19 attempts per game in that department. Last year's matchup between these two teams on Yale's home floor totalled 141 points, despite the two teams getting off just 53 (Dartmouth) and 50 (Yale) FG attempts. You would have to go back 10 meetings here at Yale - all the way to 2012 - to find the last time these two teams combined to score fewer than 130 points in a game against one another. Take the over (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Washington +19 v. Arizona | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Arizona at 11 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Washington in this spot as it hits the road off five consecutive home games (note that it has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games following consecutive home contests) and looks to snap its three-game SU and ATS skid against red hot Arizona. The Wildcats have reeled off seven straight wins but they're just 1-1-1 ATS over their last three contests. Factoring in tonight's lofty pointspread, you would have to go all the way back to 2016 to find the last time Arizona covered a number this high at home against Washington. As talented as the Wildcats are, they're still just 6-7 ATS in lined games this season. I believe they're being asked to lay too many points here. Take Washington (8*). |
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01-05-23 | Islanders v. Oilers -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton over New York at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. I like the way this spot sets up for the Oilers as they check in off consecutive losses (both on home ice) and host an Islanders squad that is fresh off a lopsided victory in Vancouver two nights ago. Here, we'll note that New York is a woeful 1-11 when playing on the road after scoring four goals or more away from home in its most recent contest over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 goals in that situation. The Oilers have undoubtedly had this game circled on their calendar since dropping a 3-0 decision on Long Island back in late November. The home team has now won each of the last three meetings in this series going back to the start of last season. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Portland State +6.5 v. Eastern Washington | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Big Sky Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Portland State plus the points over Eastern Washington at 9 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up for Portland State and perhaps more so as a fade of Eastern Washington, which rolls in on the heels of seven consecutive ATS wins. Portland State has won just once in its last five games although it was the underdog in all five contests so perhaps that was to be expected. The Vikings have faced the 54th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. By contrast, Eastern Washington has gone against the 131rd toughest slate of opponents. I like the consistency the Vikings have shown offensively, knocking down 29, 24, 26 and 23 field goals over their last four games while also limiting nine straight opponents to 58 or fewer field goal attempts. It's a different story for Eastern Washington, particularly at the defensive end of the floor as it has allowed three straight and four of its last five opponents to hoist up more than 60 field goal attempts. Portland State has lost five straight meetings in this series but three of those games were decided by five points or less and the other two were settled by eight points. I expect the Vikings to at the very least take this one down to the wire. Take Portland State (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Southern Miss v. UL - Lafayette -1.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Louisiana minus the points over Southern Miss at 8 pm et on Thursday. Color me unimpressed by Southern Miss' 13-2 record this season as it has faced the 316th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. The Golden Eagles ride into this game off consecutive victories while Louisiana has dropped each of its last three contests and four in a row ATS. Note that the Ragin' Cajuns have gone against the 175th toughest slate of opponents by the same strength of schedule metric. Louisiana owns a perfect 5-0 record at home this season where it has outscored opponents by just shy of 30.0 points per contest. This is obviously a tougher matchup although it's worth noting that Louisiana handled Southern Miss by 21 points in last season's lone meeting. Southern Miss started the season hot on the road but has now dropped two of its last three away from home, with the lone win coming as a -13.5-point favorite against Lamar. Take Louisiana (10*). |
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01-05-23 | Capitals -180 v. Blue Jackets | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Capitals coughed up a 3-2 lead in the back half of the third period and lost in overtime against the upstart Sabres two nights ago. While they've now lost two of their last three games in overtime, they've still collected at least a point in seven consecutive contests. I like their chances of adding to the Blue Jackets woes here, noting that Columbus has lost eight of its last nine games and is just 9-12 on home ice this season, where it has been outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals. While the Caps have gone 9-11 on the road, they have managed to outscore the opposition by 0.1 goal on average. Take Washington (8*). |
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01-05-23 | Purdue +1.5 v. Ohio State | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Purdue plus the points over Ohio State at 7 pm et on Thursday. Simple bounce-back play supporting the Boilermakers here as they look to rebound after losing outright at home against Rutgers last time out. Purdue has now dropped the cash in eight straight games and faces an Ohio State squad that has won three games in a row both SU and ATS. I simply feel the Boilermakers are the better team at both ends of the floor and will prove it with a convincing victory on Thursday. Take Purdue (8*). |
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01-05-23 | Maryland +6.5 v. Rutgers | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Maryland plus the points over Rutgers at 6:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Maryland here as it looks to snap a two-game ATS skid against a Rutgers squad that has won four in a row both SU and ATS. We missed the mark fading the Scarlet Knights last time out, but that was as big underdogs at Purdue. Off that upset victory, I do see fit to against Rutgers again here. Note that Maryland has faced the 100th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Rutgers checks in 179th by the same strength of schedule metric. The Terps shot a miserable 26.5% from the field in their last game - a blowout loss at Michigan. I don't think it will be difficult to put that uncompetitive affair behind them and rebound here. Take Maryland (8*). |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +5.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Brooklyn at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Nets look unstoppable right now having won 12 straight games. I don't think we'll see Chicago back down easily on Wednesday, however, noting that the Bulls already defeated the Nets in Brooklyn this season and have taken three of four matchups in this series going back to the start of last season. The Bulls are fresh off a tough overtime loss against the Cavs on Monday as Cleveland got an other-worldly performance from Donovan Mitchell. At 5-2-1 ATS over its last eight games, Chicago does continue to play well. Here, I think the Nets are in for a letdown after absolutely shooting the lights out (60% or better from the field) in consecutive games. While Chicago is just an even 9-9 on its home floor this season, it has managed to outscored the opposition by an average margin of 1.1 points. The Nets are 12-7 on the road but outscore opponents by just 1.9 points on average. I simply feel the Bulls are catching too many points here. Take Chicago (10*). |
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01-04-23 | New Mexico State +2.5 v. Stephen F Austin | 60-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Mexico State plus the points over Stephen F. Austin at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. This one sets up nicely for New Mexico State as it hits the road on the heels of consecutive losses SU and four in a row ATS. The sky is not falling for the Aggies, however, noting that they've faced an incredibly tough schedule this season - 58th most difficult in the nation according to KenPom. They're just 1-3 SU in true road games but 2-1-1 ATS with a pair of losses by three points or less. Stephen F. Austin is coming off four consecutive SU wins and two in a row ATS. Note that the Lumberjacks have faced the 284th toughest schedule in the country this season. They're a woeful 3-12 ATS when coming off two ATS wins in their last three games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. I like the fact that the Aggies, despite facing the much tougher schedule, have proven to be the better defensive team, holding opponents to the same number of made field goals per game (23) despite allowing five more field goal attempts per contest compared to SFA. Note that the road team took both meetings between these two squads last season. Take New Mexico State (8*). |
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01-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Georgia Tech plus the points over Miami at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up for Georgia Tech as it looks to snap Miami's nine-game winning streak on Wednesday night. The Hurricanes roll in red hot off consecutive ATS wins, including an outright underdog win over Virginia and most recently a double-digit road victory against Notre Dame. Still, we'll note that the Canes have faced just the 132nd most difficult schedule in the country this season while Georgia Tech has gone against the 70th toughest slate of opponents (according to KenPom). The Yellow Jackets will obviously be amped up for this matchup as they check in off consecutive blowout home losses against Clemson and Virginia. Things won't get any easier after this game with road tilts against Florida State and Notre Dame on deck. This is undoubtedly a matchup the Jackets have had circled after dropping both matchups against the Canes last season. Of note, they were listed a just three-point underdogs in last year's home meeting with Miami. Georgia Tech is a long-term 79-53 ATS when coming off a game in which it scored 60 points or less, as is the case here, and also 81-52 ATS when following consecutive losses against conference opponents. Take Georgia Tech (10*). |
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01-04-23 | Tulsa +13.5 v. Tulane | 77-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulsa plus the points over Tulane at 7 pm et on Wednesday. The wheels have come off for Tulsa lately as it checks in off three consecutive losses SU and riding an inexplicable 10-game ATS losing skid. I expect the Golden Hurricane to right the ship here, or at the very least give Tulane all it can handle. It's not as if the Green Wave have been rolling. They're just 2-10 ATS over their last 12 contests. While Tulsa hasn't exactly faced the best of the best, ranked 135th in the country in terms of strength of schedule according to KenPom, that's still far better than Tulane, which has faced the 311th most difficult slate of opponents. After getting blasted by 34 points as a short 3.5-point underdog against Tulane last year, I think we can count on Tulsa to bring its best effort here. Take Tulsa (8*). |
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01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boise State minus the points over San Jose State at 9 pm et on Tuesday. We'll lay the points with the Broncos as they look to bounce back from consecutive losses (both came on the road) when they host San Jose State on Tuesday. Boise State has lost only four game this season and three of those came away from home. Here in Boise, the Broncos check in 5-1 on the campaign, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 20.4 points. San Jose State rolls in off six straight ATS victories, including three in a row straight-up. All records aren't created equal in college hoops, however, as we note that the Spartans have faced the 194th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. Boise State checks in having gone against the 103rd toughest slate of opponents. The Broncos closed as a 22-point favorite in this same matchup last season. While they failed to cover that lofty pointspread, they still won by a comfortable 16-point margin. Take Boise State (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Virginia -5 v. Pittsburgh | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Virginia minus the points over Pittsburgh at 9 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark fading Pittsburgh in its most recent game as it staged a furious second half rally in an eventual upset win over North Carolina. The Panthers have now reeled off nine consecutive ATS wins but I look for that streak to end here against Virginia. The Cavaliers snapped their seven-game ATS skid with an 18-point road win over Georgia Tech last time out. Note that Virginia has faced the 54th most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom and has certainly held its own going 10-2 SU, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 11.2 points along the way. Pitt, meanwhile, has faced the country's 140th toughest schedule and while its 7-1 home record is impressive, it is perhaps less so when you consider the victory over North Carolina was the first of note, with it falling by 25 points in its lone previous step-up game at home against West Virginia back in November. Take Virginia (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Washington at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. Handicapping 101 dictates a play on the Bucks here as they host the Wizards in the second of a two-game set in Milwaukee after dropping Sunday's contest by 23 points (without Giannis in the lineup). The fact that Giannis was understandable as 'load management' came in to play following his 43-20 game in a win and cover against the T'Wolves two nights earlier. Milwaukee has admittedly struggled lately, losing five of its last six games, while the Wizards are riding a five-game winning streak. Here, we'll note though that the Wiz are 93-125 ATS when coming off an outright victory as a road underdog going all the way back to 1996. Worse still, they're 20-40 ATS when playing on the road off a double-digit win as an underdog over the same stretch, outscored by an average margin of 10.7 points in that situation. Despite their recent struggles, the Bucks remain a stellar 15-4 SU and 13-6 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 8.2 points on average. Take Milwaukee (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Flames v. Jets +104 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg over Calgary at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams enter this game riding two-game winning streaks but we'll choose to fade the Flames as they've been the more unreliable squad, not to mention the fact that they're just 7-10 on the road this season and will be up against a revenge-minded Jets squad. Winnipeg checks in 13-6 on home ice, where it has outscored the opposition by an average margin of 1.0 goal. The Flames are 2-6 when coming off consecutive wins this season and worse still, have gone 1-6 after posting victories in four or five of their last six contests here in the 22-23 campaign, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. Calgary took the first meeting between these two teams this season by a 3-2 score on home ice but it's worth noting that it hasn't won consecutive matchups in this series since the two teams met in a 'bubble' playoff series in Edmonton back in August of 2020. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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01-03-23 | LSU v. Kentucky -9 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kentucky minus the points over LSU at 8 pm et on Tuesday. Kentucky enters this contest riding an inexplicable 0-7 ATS skid but the Wildcats are favored by a considerable margin for good reason as they host LSU. The Tigers check in off an outright underdog win at Arkansas, snapping a three-game ATS losing streak of their own. Note that LSU has faced the 328th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. While Kentucky hasn't exactly faced a grueling slate, it has gone against the 169th toughest set of opponents. Here, we'll note that Kentucky has outscored the opposition by an average margin of 10.2 points when playing at home after losing consecutive games ATS over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Kentucky (8*). |
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01-03-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
MAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Buffalo plus the points over Ohio at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I really like the way this one sets up for Buffalo as it looks to rebound after suffering losses in three of its last four games. There's really no shame in that slide as the three losses came against Tulane, West Virginia and Michigan State with none of those contests coming at home. Even against Tulane the Bulls were seven-point underdogs. All told, Buffalo has faced the 23rd most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom. In stark contrast, Ohio has gone against the 196th toughest slate of opponents. In spite of that, Ohio is just 2-5 on the road while Buffalo checks in 4-1 on its home floor. This is undoubtedly a game the Bulls have had circled since dropping last year's matchup against the Bobcats by an ugly 74-53 score as a 2.5-point home favorite. In fact, Ohio has taken the last two meetings between these MAC schools but that's its longest win streak in this series since winning seven in a row over the Bulls from 2011 to 2014. Take Buffalo (10*). |
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01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on St. John's plus the points over Marquette at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. The Red Storm got off to a hot start this season but check into this matchup on the heels of three straight losses both SU and ATS. Shooting woes have cost them lately but I look for them to get that straightened out against Marquette on Tuesday. While the Golden Eagles have been terrific this season and check in off consecutive victories, including an outright underdog win at Villanova last time out, it's worth noting that they're still just an even 3-3 on the road (they've suffered only four losses the entire season so that's notable). Meanwhile, St. John's is 8-1 at home and will be eager to erase the memory of an 84-79 loss to Xavier the last time it took the floor here on December 28th. Note that the Red Storm are 20-8 ATS when playing at home after losing six or seven of their last eight games ATS going all the way back to 1997, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 8.6 points in that spot. Take St. John's (10*). |
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01-02-23 | Flyers v. Ducks -102 | 4-1 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Anaheim over Philadelphia at 10 pm et on Monday. We'll fade the Flyers off rare consecutive road wins over the Sharks and Kings. Philadelphia remains a woeful 6-14 on the road this season, outscored by 0.7 goals on average. Anaheim was embarrassed on home ice on Friday, dropping a 6-1 decision against the Predators. Keep in mind, the Ducks are just one game removed from a 3-2 home win over the Golden Knights. The Flyers have gone a miserable 11-30 when coming off two victories in their last three games over the last three seasons, outscored by 1.1 goal on average in that situation. Take Anaheim (8*). |
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01-02-23 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring results on Saturday as Vegas prevailed by a 5-4 score in a wild one against Nashville while Colorado welcomed Nathan MacKinnon back from injury but dropped a 6-2 decision against Toronto. Here, I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair as the 'under' has gone 19-9 with Vegas playing on the road after scoring five or more goals in their previous game over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 5.6 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the 'under' is a perfect 7-0 with the Avs coming off a home loss this season, leading to an average total of only 4.6 goals in that spot. We'll also note that the 'under' has cashed in 13 of 18 meetings between these two teams over the last three seasons, including a 3-2 Avs victory in the first matchup this season. Take the under (8*). |
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01-02-23 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 229 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Indiana at 7:10 pm et on Monday. The Pacers enter this game on the heels of three consecutive 'over' results - their longest such streak of the season to date. I don't believe tonight's opponent, the Toronto Raptors, will have any interest in getting involved in a track meet, noting that Indiana has shot the lights out over its last three games, putting up 129, 135 and 131 points in reeling off three straight victories. The first meeting between these two teams totalled just 222 points back in November. Toronto dropped that game by double-digits, pushing the pace to its own detriment, shooting just 37-of-94 from the field. After snapping its two-game skid with defense last time out (Toronto limited Phoenix to 35-of-71 shooting), I'm expecting the Raps be selective at the offensive end of the floor, noting that they've hoisted up 84 or fewer field goal attempts in three of their last four games. Having held the opposition to just 81 FG attempts on average on the road this season, Toronto's gameplan is fairly clear at this point. As I mentioned, the Pacers have been shooting the lights out. The pace hasn't necessarily been there for such high-scoring results though, noting that they've gotten off 88 or fewer FG attempts in four of their last five contests. Given we've seen point totals of 218, 191, 211, 222 and 222 in five meetings between these two teams going back to the start of last season, I believe tonight's total will once again prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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01-02-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -7 | Top | 65-64 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Rutgers at 7 pm et on Monday. The Boilermakers have been absolutely burning bettors for over a month now, going 0-6-1 ATS over their last seven contests going all the way back to November 30th. I expect that slump to end here, however, as they host seemingly red hot Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have reeled off three straight wins both SU and ATS but streaks aren't all created equal. Note that Rutgers has faced the 249th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. That's in stark contrast to Purdue, which has gone against the 128th most difficult slate of opponents. Both teams are coming off consecutive glorified scrimmages against overmatched opponents. Here, I can't help but feel Rutgers is in for a 'shock to its system' after getting off 67 and 75 field goal attempts in its last two games and now facing a Purdue squad that allows just 56 FG attempts per contest here at home this season. Take Purdue (10*). |
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01-02-23 | Tulane v. USC -1.5 | 46-45 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on USC minus the points over Tulane at 1 pm et on Monday. |
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01-01-23 | Islanders v. Seattle Kraken -115 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over New York at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Kraken here after they fell by a 7-2 score against the Oilers on Friday night. That marked Seattle's third straight loss while New York has won three games in a row entering this clash. Keep in mind, all three of those Islander victories came at home. They've dropped four of their last five on the road to fall under .500 away from home this season. The Isles also check in a woeful 6-16 when playing on the road after holding consecutive opponents to two goals or less over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. Take Seattle (8*). |
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01-01-23 | Rams v. Chargers OVER 41.5 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between the Rams and Chargers at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The 'under' has now cashed in four consecutive games involving the Chargers. As a result, we continue to see downward adjustments to their game totals with each passing week. This marks the lowest total we've seen in any game involving the Chargers this season and I believe it will prove too low. The Rams low-water mark in terms of point totals since Baker Mayfield took over at quarterback has been 12 points. That came in adverse conditions on the road at frosty Lambeau Field against the red hot Packers two weeks ago. I did feel that something 'clicked' for the Rams injury-ravaged offense against the Broncos last Sunday and think they can at least offer some shootout potential against a beatable Chargers defense here. There's been little to glean from the Chargers last two stout defensive performances as they came against the Titans (with a less-than-healthy Ryan Tannehill at quarterback) and Colts (with the ghost of Nick Foles at quarterback). This is still a defense that can be run on, and the Rams have shown some confidence in giving the ball to Cam Akers in recent weeks. On the flip side, the Rams defense is a shell of its former self, holding only two of its last seven opponents under 24 points (the Raiders and Broncos). The Chargers continue to sling the football all over the field and I think this is the game where they start finishing more of their drives with 7's rather than 3's. Take the over (8*). |
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01-01-23 | USC v. Washington State -1 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington State minus the points over USC at 3 pm et on Sunday. We won with Washington State in an underdog role on Friday as they fell just a point short of pulling the upset against UCLA. I won't hesitate to come right back with them on Sunday as they stay at home to host USC, which rides a seven-game SU and three-game ATS winning streak, including a double-digit win at Washington on Friday. We'll note again that the Cougars have faced the 20th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. USC has gone against the 128th toughest slate of opponents. Look for Washington State to snap its three-game skid on Sunday. Take Washington State (8*). |
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01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants -5.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on New York minus the points over Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Colts are going to be in tough playing on the road on a short week with a seemingly lame duck head coach in Jeff Saturday not to mention a journeyman quarterback nearing the end of his career in Nick Foles. Nothing worked for the Colts in Monday's loss to the Chargers - on either side of the football. Things aren't likely to get any better here as they hit the road to face the playoff-hungry Giants who are coming off a disappointing last-second loss against the Vikings last Sunday. Credit New York for hanging in there despite the red hot Minnesota offense racking up 270 yards through the air on 34 Kirk Cousins pass completions. While it never feels all that comfortable laying more than a field goal with an offensively-limited team such as the Giants, the fact is they've been winning by margin. Since opening the season with consecutive wins by a field goal or less, their last six victories have come by 8, 5, 4, 6, 8 and 8 points. That's four out of six victories by more than the spread we're dealing with this week (at the time of writing) with the other two coming against potential playoff-bound teams in the Packers and Ravens. I like the fact that Giants RB Saquon Barkley should be fresh for this one after a limited workload last Sunday in Minnesota (the Giants ran the football 21 times - their lowest rush attempt total since Thanksgiving in Dallas). Also helping New York's cause is the absence of one of Indianapolis' best defenders in slot corner Kenny Moore. Take New York (10*). |
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01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants UNDER 39 | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Indianapolis and New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. New York is coming off a relatively high-scoring affair in an indoor setting in Minnesota last Sunday. The Giants have seen consecutive games go 'over' the total only once previously this season though, that coming in a two-game stretch that saw them face the Lions and Cowboys - two distinctly different opponents than they'll face today in the down-trodden Colts. Indianapolis had a tough enough time just getting plays off let alone scoring with Nick Foles at the helm on Monday night against the Chargers. The Colts ran the ball only 14 times and threw it just 29 times in that 20-3 defeat. Needless to say, they'll be interested in shortening this game as much as they can to stay competitive on Sunday. The Giants would be wise to employ a similar gameplan given they've managed to win just once in their last six contests (they've played much better than that record would indicate going 4-2 ATS over that stretch). Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 8-1 with the Giants having lost four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of only 32.0 points in that spot. Take the under (10*). |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ohio State plus the points over Georgia at 8 pm et on Saturday. I believe this game has 'instant classic' potential as one-loss Ohio State challenges undefeated Georgia in the Peach Bowl on Saturday night. Ohio State checks in off consecutive ATS losses to end the regular season, including a stunning blowout defeat at the hands of rival Michigan, at home no less, in its finale. It's a much different story for Georgia as it rolled to a 50-30 win over LSU in the SEC Championship Game the last time it took the field earlier this month. Sure, the defending National Champion Bulldogs are undefeated, but they went largely untested over the course of the regular season and SEC Championship Game. This is only the second time all season they've been less than a double-digit favorite. The other occasion came against Tennessee in early November, when the Vols began a late season swoon. Ohio State only managed to cover the spread in one of its last four games from November on but it's worth noting that it forced only one turnover over that stretch. Georgia, for all of its strengths, does check in having turned the football over at least once in six straight and nine of its last 10 games overall. Here, we'll note that the Buckeyes are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games when playing away from home off a home loss and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 contests following a home defeat against a conference opponent. Take Ohio State (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Northern Colorado v. Idaho State | 83-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Colorado over Idaho State at 8 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Bears as they look to snap their three-game SU and two-game ATS losing streaks on Saturday. Idaho State checks in off consecutive ATS wins, including a 26-point rout of Northern Arizona last time out. Keep in mind, it has faced the 275th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom while Northern Colorado has gone against the 57th toughest slate of opponents. This is a true 'get right' spot for the Bears but isn't being priced like it at all. Take Northern Colorado (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Cavs v. Bulls UNDER 224.5 | Top | 103-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up as a lower-scoring game than most are expecting on Saturday. The Cavs have seen each of their last five games go 'over' the total while the Bulls enter riding a four-game 'over' streak. Note that both teams shot the lights out in their most recent game with Cleveland knocking down 50-of-96 field goal attempts and Chicago hitting 53-of-92. I'm certainly not anticipating a repeat performance from either team on Saturday. Despite its recent 'over' streak, Cleveland has held four straight opponents to 85 or fewer field goal attempts. It has allowed the opposition to knock down an average of only 39 field goals per contest on the road this season. Chicago yielded just 86 FG attempts in last night's double-digit win over the Pistons. It has now held five of its last six opponents to a reasonable 43 or fewer made field goals. The only previous matchup between these two teams this season reached 224 total points but it got there thanks to the Cavs exploding for 128. Take the under (10*). |
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12-31-22 | Senators v. Red Wings +103 | 2-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit over Ottawa at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We'll fade the Senators here as they look for their third straight win following a thrilling come-from-behind overtime victory in Washington two nights ago. Credit Ottawa for rallying from a 3-1 deficit in the second of back-to-backs on Thursday but the Sens remain 7-10 on the road this season where they've been outscored by an average margin of 0.5 goals per contest. Detroit had its two-game winning streak snapped in a 6-3 loss in Buffalo on Thursday although it did show some fight after falling behind big early on. That was a classic letdown spot for Detroit after it staged a furious rally to steal a victory in overtime in Pittsburgh the night previous. Here, I look for the Wings to regroup and pull back to even on home ice this season in the process. Take Detroit (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Cal-Riverside v. Long Beach State -2 | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Long Beach State minus the points over Cal-Riverside at 6 pm et on Saturday. We'll back Long Beach State to bounce back here off a tough two-point loss against Cal-San Diego last time out - its second straight ATS defeat. Riverside enters off consecutive wins, both SU and ATS and has faced the slightly tougher schedule this season according to KenPom (seven places higher than LBSU). However, the 49ers have done a considerably better job defensively, allowing just one more made field goal per game on six additional attempts on average. LBSU has also been better offensively, getting off three more field goal attempts per game and making good on all three. Take Long Beach State (8*). |
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12-31-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming +3.5 | Top | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Wyoming plus the points over New Mexico at 4 pm et on Saturday. Wyoming has more than just held its own against New Mexico in recent years, taking three of four meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2020-21 season. Here, the Cowboys will look to hand the Lobos their first loss of the season, and I'm confident they'll do just that on Saturday afternoon in Laramie. Note that Wyoming enters this game off three consecutive losses both SU and ATS. None of those games were played at home, where the Cowboys have reeled off consecutive wins (both SU and ATS), scoring more than 90 points on each occasion. New Mexico is a perfect 13-0 SU on the campaign and rides a three-game ATS winning streak into this showdown. However, the Lobos have only faced the 264th most difficult schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. For comparison's sake, Wyoming has faced the 185th toughest slate of opponents. Take Wyoming (10*). |
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12-31-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Nashville and Vegas at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Predators exploded for six goals in a rout of the lowly Ducks last night in Anaheim but I expect a different story to unfold as they head to Las Vegas to take on the Golden Knights in a New Year's Eve matinee affair on Saturday. Keep in mind, the Preds average only 2.7 goals per game on the road this season. Golden Knights home games have been remarkably low-scoring to date this season, averaging only 5.2 total goals per contest. We'll likely see Nashville backup goaltender Kevin Lankinen get the start in the crease in this back-to-back spot but that's not necessarily a bad thing as he has performed well this season, posting a .925 save percentage in nine games. The Knights should go back to Logan Thompson between the pipes after Adin Hill started their most recent game. Thompson has recorded a .916 save percentage on the campaign. Take the under (8*). |
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12-31-22 | St. Thomas v. South Dakota State -4 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Dakota State minus the points over St. Thomas at 3 pm et on Saturday. We successfully faded St. Thomas two nights ago as it dropped the cash for the first time in five games in a loss at South Dakota. Here, we'll fade the overvalued side again as it stays on the road to face South Dakota State. Note that St. Thomas checks in having faced the 338th toughest schedule in the nation this season. There's no comparison between these two teams in that regard as South Dakota State has gone against the 21st most difficult slate of opponents this season. You would have to go back five lined games, all the way to December 3rd, to find the last time South Dakota State covered the spread. That changes here. Take South Dakota State (8*). |
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12-31-22 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Winthrop -1.5 | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winthrop minus the points over UNC-Asheville at 2 pm et on Saturday. These two teams check in with opposite records on the campaign but not all records are created equal in college hoops with a large discrepancy in strength of schedule often in place. That's the case here as Asheville has faced the 255th toughest schedule in the country on its way to a 9-5 record while Winthrop has gone 5-9 facing the country's 75th most difficult slate of opponents. Winthrop enters this game riding a four-game losing streak but all four of those setbacks came on the road. Here, it catches UNC-Asheville in a prime letdown spot off a four-point home win (as a -1.5-point favorite) against Radford. We'll lay the short number with the Eagles. Take Winthrop (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Longwood v. Campbell +2 | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Campbell plus the points over Longwood at 2 pm et on Saturday. We'll fade Longwood as it hits the road on the heels of three consecutive ATS victories on Saturday. Note that it has faced the 327th toughest schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom. Campbell on the other hand has gone against the 262nd most difficult slate of opponents and is in a prime bounce-back spot here off three consecutive losses (two in a row ATS), returning home following an outright loss as a short road favorite at Presbyterian (it lost that game by only four points). Campbell's last two opponents have shot the lights out but that's unlikely here as Longwood as knocked down less than 43% of its field goal attempts in four of its last five games. Take Campbell (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -2.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on South Dakota minus the points over Western Illinois at 2 pm et on Saturday. We won with South Dakota two nights ago as it rolled to a win over St. Thomas. Here, I believe it faces another overvalued side in Western Illinois, which has faced the 307th toughest schedule in the country this season according to KenPom. In stark contrast, South Dakota has gone against the 132nd most difficult slate of opponents. The victory and cover over St. Thomas was South Dakota's first victory, SU or ATS, in its last five contests. I expect it to use that win as a jumping-off point here. Western Illinois checks in off consecutive ATS victories but lost by seven points at South Dakota State two nights back. Look for South Dakota to improve to a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS in the last six meetings in this series on Saturday. Take South Dakota (8*). |
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12-31-22 | Iowa -2.5 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa minus the points over Kentucky at 12 noon et on Saturday. While the Hawkeyes quarterback situation is a bit of a mess heading into this Bowl rematch against Kentucky, I can't be convinced that anyone in Iowa's QB room represents much of a downgrade from incumbent Spencer Petras. Iowa has completed more than 18 passes in a game only twice this season, to mixed results. While the Hawkeyes will be missing Petras amongst a laundry list of players sitting out, the argument could still be made that they're in better shape than the Wildcats in that regard. Here, we'll fade Kentucky off consecutive ATS wins to close out the regular season as it hung tough against mighty Georgia before laying waste to Louisville. Iowa had been rolling, winning four games in a row both SU and ATS before being stunned by Nebraska as a double-digit favorite on Black Friday. Give me the better defense and perhaps the offense that's better-suited to effectively shorten what shapes up as an ugly one with the total set in the low-30's. Take Iowa (8*). |
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12-30-22 | UCLA v. Washington State +8.5 | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington State plus the points over UCLA at 11 pm et on Friday. We'll grab all the points we can get with Washington State in this Pac-12 matchup as the Cougars look to snap their two-game skid - which represents their longest losing streak of the season. Washington State has fallen out of favor with bettors on the heels of three consecutive ATS losses, but I simply feel they're catching too many points here. UCLA has won eight straight games, including three in a row ATS heading in. The Bruins current three-game ATS win streak includes victories over Maryland and Kentucky but I can't help but feel that leaves them overvalued here. Note that while UCLA has faced a tough schedule - 69th most difficult in the nation according to KenPom - Washington State has gone against the 38th toughest. Take Washington State (10*). |
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12-30-22 | Blazers -2.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-118 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Portland minus the points over Golden State at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The Warriors have inexplicably gone on a three-game winning streak without a number of key contributors including Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins but I look for that run to end here against the Blazers. Portland snapped a three-game losing streak with a home win over Charlotte last time out. This is undoubtedly a game the Blazers have had circled after dropping all three meetings with the Warriors last season, including a 132-95 home loss in their most recent matchup last February. The Warriors have actually allowed their opponents to get off 94, 92 and 91 field goal attempts over the course of their three-game winning streak. Those three opponents just haven't been able to make good on their wealth of opportunities. I don't expect the Blazers to suffer a similar fate tonight. Portland 'got right' offensively last time out, knocking down 43-of-86 FG attempts and should keep it rolling here. Take Portland (10*). |
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12-30-22 | Coppin State +26 v. Rutgers | 57-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Coppin State plus the points over Rutgers at 8 pm et on Friday. I'm not convinced this is the easy layup most are projecting for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have delivered consecutive ATS wins and that's notable as they've yet to reel off three straight ATS wins at any point this season. Coppin State comes off consecutive ATS losses - also marking its longest such streak of the season. Here, we'll note that Coppin State has faced the 49th most difficult schedule in the nation this season according to KenPom. In stark contrast, Rutgers has gone against the 212th toughest slate. Take Coppin State (8*). |
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12-30-22 | Suns v. Raptors -2 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Phoenix at 7:40 pm et on Friday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Raptors here as they take the court at home for the second time in as many nights off a less-than-competitive affair against the Grizzlies last night. They're catching the Suns without Devin Booker which is obviously a positive for the hometown Raps. Phoenix has won just four of its last 13 games, largely due to a number of key injuries and off a 25-point rout in Washington, I don't expect it to pick itself up off the mat on Friday. Take Toronto (8*). |
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12-30-22 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -170 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over Florida at 7:35 pm et on Friday. We'll fade the Panthers off their seven-goal outburst against the lowly Canadiens last night. Carolina is the hottest team in the league right now, having won nine games in a row. While Florida checks in 7-12 on the road, allowing 3.7 goals per contest, Carolina has gone 11-4 on home ice, giving up just 2.7 goals per game. This is a game the Hurricanes have likely had circled on the calendar since dropping a 3-0 decision in Florida in the first meeting between the two teams this season back on November 9th. Take Carolina (8*). |
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12-30-22 | Wyoming v. Ohio -2 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ohio minus the points over Wyoming at 4:30 pm et on Friday. Wyoming was already going to be one of the weakest teams to take the field during Bowl season and now with a number of key injuries, transfers and opt-outs the Cowboys are in even rougher shape heading into this matchup with Ohio. While the Bobcats will be without QB Kurtis Rourke, I still like them to rebound following a disappointing loss in the MAC Championship Game against Toledo. It's easy to forget that Ohio had been rolling prior to that setback and I'm confident we'll see it bounce back and end its campaign on a winning note in Arizona on Friday. Take Ohio (8*). |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between South Carolina and Notre Dame at 3:30 pm et on Friday. This total has dropped considerably since the opener and rightfully so with both teams announcing a number of key offensive contributors will be opting-out, or transferring. The Gamecocks wrapped up the regular season with consecutive wild, high-scoring affairs - both going 'over' the total. Meanwhile, the Irish saw each of their last six contests go 'over' the total. With both teams missing the focal point of their offenses at the tight end position, I don't doubt we'll see a more run-centric attack from both squads, effectively shortening this game and keeping proceedings 'under' the still-lofty total. Take the under (8*). |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina v. Notre Dame -3 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Notre Dame minus the points over South Carolina at 3:30 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with Notre Dame as I'm not buying what South Carolina is selling off consecutive outright underdog wins over Tennessee and Clemson to close out the regular season. While much of the talk surrounds who won't be playing in this contest, the Irish still have a talent-laden squad looking to put a positive cap on an up and down season that most recently saw them fall by double-digits against USC. In a game where I expect both teams to employ a run-centric offensive gameplan, I'll gladly fade a Gamecocks squad that didn't travel well defensively, particularly against the run as they were torched for 5.4 yards per rush away from home. Look for Notre Dame to end Marcus Freeman's first season at the helm on a high note here. Take Notre Dame (8*). |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCLA minus the points over Pittsburgh at 2 pm et on Friday. The Bruins fell out of favor with many bettors thanks to an 0-3 ATS slide to close out the regular season. After starting the campaign 8-1, UCLA dropped two of its last three games SU to drop from what likely would have been a more prestigious Bowl game as well. I don't expect the Bruins to be short on motivation, however. Both teams are going to be missing a number of key contributors due to transfers and opt-outs, although the argument could be made that the Bruins are in slightly better shape in that regard, as indicated by the pointspread we're dealing with here. We'll lay the points. Take UCLA (8*). |
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12-30-22 | Maryland v. NC State | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on N.C. State minus the points over Maryland at 12 noon et on Friday. Maryland heads into this Bowl matchup off a 37-0 drubbing of Rutgers. The Terps didn't gain Bowl eligibility until the second-last game of the regular season. On a positive note, Maryland did go an even 6-6 ATS in lined contests during the regular season while N.C. State went a woeful 4-8 ATS. That's largely a product of everyone being so high on the Wolfpack going into this season. They delivered the cash in two of their first three contests and ultimately ended up being overvalued most of the way. That's not the case here as they're in a pk'em price range against Maryland. Here, we'll note that Maryland is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games following a win by 21 or more points against a conference opponent, as is the case here. Take N.C. State (8*). |
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12-30-22 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over Pittsburgh at 12 noon et on Friday. The Pitt Panthers enter this game riding an incredible eight-game ATS winning streak but I expect it to end here against the mighty Tar Heels of North Carolina. The Tar Heels have faced the much tougher schedule this season - 14th most difficult in the nation according to KenPom. In stark contrast, the Panthers have faced the 199th toughest schedule. North Carolina failed to deliver the cash last time out but just missed in a four-point victory (as a 5.5-point favorite) against Michigan. I expect a more straight-forward result on Friday. Take North Carolina (8*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
01-15-23 | Thunder +4.5 v. Nets | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 48 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
01-15-23 | Marist v. Niagara -5 | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 135.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Chargers -2 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
01-14-23 | Bradley v. Drake OVER 128.5 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
01-14-23 | Celtics v. Hornets +8 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Canadiens v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Air Force v. Fresno State OVER 123 | 51-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Virginia v. Florida State OVER 131 | 67-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Troy State v. Appalachian State OVER 133.5 | 45-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Pennsylvania v. Dartmouth UNDER 141.5 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Heat | 95-111 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 135.5 | Top | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
01-13-23 | Thunder v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 124-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
01-13-23 | Siena v. Niagara +2.5 | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
01-13-23 | Juventus v. Napoli UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
01-12-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -128 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
01-12-23 | Mavs -3 v. Lakers | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
01-12-23 | Bucks v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
01-11-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. CS Bakersfield +9 | Top | 60-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
01-11-23 | Tulane v. SMU +5 | 97-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
01-11-23 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Celtics | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
01-11-23 | New Hampshire v. Maine -3 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
01-11-23 | Furman v. Mercer +7 | Top | 84-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
01-10-23 | Panthers v. Avalanche -126 | 5-4 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
01-10-23 | Flames -155 v. Blues | 3-4 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
01-10-23 | Pistons v. 76ers UNDER 229.5 | Top | 116-147 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
01-10-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -145 | 5-3 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
01-10-23 | Oklahoma State +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
01-10-23 | VCU v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 137 | Top | 78-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
01-10-23 | Ball State v. Ohio -2.5 | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
01-09-23 | Florida A&M +16 v. Grambling State | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia UNDER 64 | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
01-08-23 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 41.5 | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
01-08-23 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
01-08-23 | Rider +6.5 v. Siena | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons OVER 40.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
01-07-23 | Avalanche +105 v. Oilers | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
01-07-23 | Pelicans v. Mavs -7 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
01-07-23 | Rangers v. Devils -118 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Heat v. Suns +1.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | 115-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Islanders v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
01-06-23 | Hornets +11 v. Bucks | 138-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
01-06-23 | Knicks v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
01-06-23 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 129 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Washington +19 v. Arizona | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
01-05-23 | Islanders v. Oilers -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Portland State +6.5 v. Eastern Washington | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Southern Miss v. UL - Lafayette -1.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
01-05-23 | Capitals -180 v. Blue Jackets | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
01-05-23 | Purdue +1.5 v. Ohio State | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
01-05-23 | Maryland +6.5 v. Rutgers | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls +5.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
01-04-23 | New Mexico State +2.5 v. Stephen F Austin | 60-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
01-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
01-04-23 | Tulsa +13.5 v. Tulane | 77-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Virginia -5 v. Pittsburgh | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Flames v. Jets +104 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
01-03-23 | LSU v. Kentucky -9 | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
01-03-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
01-02-23 | Flyers v. Ducks -102 | 4-1 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
01-02-23 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
01-02-23 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 229 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
01-02-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -7 | Top | 65-64 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
01-02-23 | Tulane v. USC -1.5 | 46-45 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
01-01-23 | Islanders v. Seattle Kraken -115 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
01-01-23 | Rams v. Chargers OVER 41.5 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
01-01-23 | USC v. Washington State -1 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants -5.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants UNDER 39 | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
12-31-22 | Ohio State +6 v. Georgia | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Northern Colorado v. Idaho State | 83-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Cavs v. Bulls UNDER 224.5 | Top | 103-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
12-31-22 | Senators v. Red Wings +103 | 2-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Cal-Riverside v. Long Beach State -2 | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | New Mexico v. Wyoming +3.5 | Top | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
12-31-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | St. Thomas v. South Dakota State -4 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Winthrop -1.5 | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Longwood v. Campbell +2 | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -2.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
12-31-22 | Iowa -2.5 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | UCLA v. Washington State +8.5 | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
12-30-22 | Blazers -2.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-118 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
12-30-22 | Coppin State +26 v. Rutgers | 57-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | Suns v. Raptors -2 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -170 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | Wyoming v. Ohio -2 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | South Carolina v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | South Carolina v. Notre Dame -3 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | Maryland v. NC State | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
12-30-22 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-76 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |