Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the first five innings 'over' in the opener of this divisional series last night but could have also cashed the full game 'over' as the Guardians prevailed by an 8-2 score. I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'under' on Saturday, however, as we have a better starting pitching matchup to go along with the two red hot bullpens. Triston McKenzie will get the start for Cleveland. He actually owns a WHIP below 1.00 (at 0.98) but his FIP does sit north of 4.00 (at 4.22). McKenzie has managed to limit the damage by keeping his hits allowed down and strikeouts up, ultimately allowing just 3.2 runs per nine innings. Entering last night's action, the Guardians bullpen had posted a 1.85 ERA and 0.70 WHIP over the last seven games. They've converted 13 saves while blowing just six on the road this season. Veteran right-hander Johnny Cueto takes the ball for the White Sox. He's 'turned back the clock' this season, recording a 3.98 FIP and 1.18 WHIP while yielding just north of 2.9 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has performed exceptionally well lately, posting a sparkling 0.45 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Take the under (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I expect a well-pitched game between these N.L. West rivals on Friday. Logan Webb will take the ball for San Francisco. He’s quietly having another fine season, having recorded a 3.10 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while giving up only 3.14 runs per nine innings. The Giants bullpen had run into some tough times earlier this month but has since shown signs of turning it around, posting a collective 3.21 ERA over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). The Dodgers will give left-hander Tyler Anderson the start. While the Giants have hit left-handed starters well this season, Anderson is a ‘bet-on talent’ pitcher with a 3.33 FIP and 1.02 WHIP, yielding only 3.05 runs per nine innings. Los Angeles’ bullpen has been terrific all season and opened this series sporting a collective 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over the last seven contests. UPDATE: Both bullpens got hit hard in the Dodgers wild 9-6 victory last night. I’m confident we’ll see both relief corps’ bounce back on Friday. Take the under (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -151 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona over Washington at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Nationals continue to inexplicably trot out struggling left-hander Patrick Corbin every five turns in the rotation, despite his 4.65 FIP and 1.70 WHIP. They're 1-7 in his eight road outings to date this season, where he has posted a 7.19 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. I don't expect things to get any easier tonight as he faces a D'Backs club that has actually posted a winning record (14-13) against southpaw starters this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game along the way (compared to their 4.2 rpg overall scoring average). Behind Corbin is a Nationals bullpen that has been miserable on the road this season, recording a collective 5.94 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, converting just nine saves while blowing five. For a unit that was actually rolling along nicely prior to the All-Star break (2.78 ERA and 0.90 WHIP last seven games), I'm not convinced the time off will have served them well. Zac Gallen gets the call for the D'Backs. He checks in with a reasonable 3.99 FIP and 1.08 WHIP while yielding 3.84 runs per nine innings. Gallen allows 5.1 fewer hits and 0.5 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Corbin. Arizona's bullpen comes off a seven-game stretch in which it posted a respectable 3.74 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Here at home this season, the Snakes relief corps owns a 3.64 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Take Arizona (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 48 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Edmonton at 9 pm et on Friday. The Elks are coming off a wild, high-scoring, come-from-behind 32-31 victory over the Alouettes last week. After watching the Als defense get shredded by the lowly RedBlacks last night, it's clear that they have a bottom-tier defensive unit so perhaps we can take Edmonton's offensive outburst last week with a grain of salt. Here, the Elks will be up against arguably the league's best defense as they welcome the Blue Bombers to Commonwealth Stadium. Winnipeg has been locked-in defensively all season, allowing 22 points or less in all six games to date. Last week, they did allow 315 passing yards against the Stampeders but that was on 38 pass attempts, and they still held Calgary to only 19 points (we won with Winnipeg in that game). Edmonton will give QB Taylor Cornelius his second start of the season with Tre Ford still sidelined. Considering his tendency to turn the football over, they probably don't want Cornelius throwing the football 30+ times the way he did against Montreal last week. That would likely be a recipe for disaster against an elite Bombers defense. It's worth noting that Edmonton, despite yielding 31 points in last week's win, is coming off its best defensive effort of the season so far and has had an extra day to prepare for this one. Against Montreal, the Elks allowed 80 rushing yards (the first time they held an opponent under the 100-yard mark this season) and 241 passing yards, limiting the Als to 19 completions on 26 attempts. The Bombers enter this game a little banged-up with their RB depth being tested and standout WR Greg Ellingson listed as questionable and certainly not 100% healthy. As good as the Bombers have been, they've scored more than 26 points just once in six contests this season (we won with Winnipeg in that 43-22 dismantling of the Lions two games back). This looks like a 'win and move on' type of affair for the favored Bombers and I think that lends itself to a relatively low-scoring contest. Take the under (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
Interleague first five innings Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles +0.5 runs first five innings over Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. The Angels own a considerable starting pitching advantage in the opener of this interleague series in Atlanta on Friday. I don’t believe it’s being properly reflected in the ‘first five innings’ line and will take advantage by grabbing the insurance half-run with the visiting Halos. Shohei Ohtani appeared in the All-Star Game as a batter only, allowing him to start this series-opener on Friday. He’s done nothing but impress on the mound again this season, recording a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.27 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing just under 2.5 runs per nine innings. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid an Angels bullpen that has posted a 3.90 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over the last seven games and has converted just eight saves while blowing six on the road this season. The Braves are in slightly better current form in that department with their relief corps having recorded a 0.88 WHIP over the last seven contests. Charlie Morton will get the start for Atlanta on Friday. He’s logged a pedestrian 4.20 FIP and 1.25 WHIP this season, yielding 4.55 runs per nine innings along the way. Take Los Angeles +0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Cleveland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. These teams boast two of the hottest bullpens in baseball in terms of current form - or at least the form they showed entering the All-Star break. So rather than involve those two ‘pens, we’ll look to play the ‘over’ in the first five innings only as the hitters should feast on the starting pitchers working this one. Cal Quantrill has posted a very pedestrian 4.45 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the campaign, yielding 4.2 runs per nine innings. He’s giving up 2.7 walks per nine innings and doing little to make up for it in terms of strikeouts with just 5.6 per nine frames. Lucas Giolito has been even worse for the White Sox, despite the fact that he shut the Guardians down just last week. On the season, Giolito has recorded a 4.28 FIP and 1.40 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.10 runs per nine innings. He’s handing out 3.3 walks per nine innings on the season and I expect the Guardians to gain an ounce of revenge against the right-hander here. Take the first five innings over (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings over Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We have a considerable starting pitching advantage in this game as the Brewers send their ace, Corbin Burnes, to the hill against Antonio Senzatela of the Rockies. We’ll play the first five innings only as the Brewers bullpen has admittedly struggled lately, posting an inflated 7.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over the last seven games. While he did get off to a bit of a rocky start, Burnes has once again rounded into form this season, recording a 2.90 FIP and 0.90 WHIP on the campaign, giving up just 2.45 runs per nine innings. Antonio Senzatela is in the midst of another trying campaign having posted a respectable 3.86 FIP but an ugly 1.80 WHIP while allowing a whopping 5.55 runs per nine innings. He’s giving up a ridiculous 14.0 hits per nine frames this season and I expect the Brew Crew to take full advantage. Take Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings. |
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07-22-22 | Rays -120 v. Royals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We'll back the Rays on Friday night as they head to Kansas City to face the Royals. Drew Rasmussen will get the start for the visiting Rays. He's quietly putting together another fine season having posted a 3.74 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while yielding just north of 3.7 runs per nine innings. Behind Rasmussen is a Rays bullpen that likely benefited from the All-Star break having already logged 399 2/3 innings this season, including 31 innings over its last seven games. Despite the heavy workload, the Rays 'pen has held up well. It entered the break sporting a collective 3.48 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the last seven games and a 3.64 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the road this season. In stark contrast, the Royals relief corps' owns a 4.80 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home this season. Brad Keller gets the ball for the Royals on Friday. He's having another very Brad Keller-like campaign, recording a 4.22 FIP and 1.27 WHIP while allowing just north of 4.4 runs per nine innings. Take Tampa Bay (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Diego and New York at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We have a tremendous starting pitching matchup between these N.L. non-division foes on Friday night in Queens. Rather than sweat the bullpens, I’ll back the first five innings ‘under’ only in this one. Yu Darvish gets the call for the visiting Padres. He owns a 3.45 FIP and 0.99 WHIP and yields just over 3.4 runs per nine innings this season. He most recently faced the Mets in June and allowed just two hits over seven shutout innings and owns a career 2.76 ERA and 0.75 WHIP against them in seven starts. My big concern with the Padres is their bullpen, which has recorded a 5.66 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over the last seven games and a 4.43 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season. Max Scherzer has been dominant since returning from injury. He owns a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.37 FIP and 0.88 WHIP this season while giving up only 2.35 runs per nine frames. The veteran right-hander struggled in his most recent outing against San Diego late last September but still owns a 2.87 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Padres. Note that prior to that September start last year, he had The Mets bullpen has been solid lately but has been somewhat vulnerable here at home where it has posted a collective 3.57 ERA and blown six saves while converting 11. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-21-22 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco +0.5 runs first five innings over Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I certainly won't make a habit of fading the Dodgers but in this case I'm making an exception as I like the way this one sets up for the streaking Giants - at least early on. San Francisco will have a considerable edge in terms of the starting pitching matchup as it sends left-hander Carlos Rodon to the hill against Mitch White of the Dodgers. Rodon was named to the N.L. All-Star team but didn't pitch after taking the mound last weekend against the Brewers. He took a hard-luck no decision in that contest, allowing only one earned run over five innings in an eventual 3-2 loss. Rodon checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.14 FIP and 1.11 WHIP this season, yielding just 2.74 runs per nine innings. The reason I'm playing the first five innings only here is that the Giants bullpen has struggled, posting a collective 1.50 WHIP over the last seven games and a 4.04 ERA and 1.35 WHIP with just 11 saves converted and seven blown on the road this season. Mitch White has posted a 4.25 FIP and 1.29 WHIP this season, giving up 4.6 runs per nine innings. We have seen White stretched out a little more in terms of pitch count in recent starts and that actually works in our favor here as it likely keeps the terrific Dodgers bullpen out of the picture until after the fifth inning. Note that Los Angeles' relief corps owns a 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over the last seven games. I'll grab the half-run as insurance at a reasonable price with the Giants, taking advantage of the fact that line is being offered given I can make a strong case for the Giants being favored in this spot. Take San Francisco +0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 48 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
East Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Ottawa at 7 pm et on Thursday. We missed with the 'under' in the Alouettes stunning loss to the Elks last week but won with the 'over' in the RedBlacks narrow defeat at the hands of the Tiger-Cats. Here, I won't hesitate to back the 'under' as these two struggling East Division squads do battle in Ottawa on Thursday. Montreal allowed an early touchdown five minutes into the game against Edmonton last week but didn't give up another until the final four minutes of the second quarter. From there, the Als built a 31-12 lead before letting their guard down and allowing three unanswered touchdowns from the final four minutes of the third quarter on. Needless to say, Montreal's focus this week will be on turning in a complete 60 minute effort on the defensive side of the football. Note that the Als have actually held their last two opponents to a combined 37-of-61 passing and only gave up 82 rush yards on 23 attempts against Edmonton last week. They've been fortunate to score as many points as they have this season, noting they've gone four games without rushing for more than 87 yards while completing 19 or less passes in four of five contests. Ottawa has scored 17 points or less in three of its first five games this season. Since throwing for 380 and 331 yards in their first two games, the RedBlacks have been held to 162, 268 and 203 passing yards over their last three contests. They've yet to rush for more than 94 yards in a game this season. With the 'over' cashing in each of the Als last three games and Ottawa coming off an 'over' result against Hamilton, we're being offered a generous total here, especially considering you would have to go back four meetings in this series to find the last time a game totalled more than 43 points. Take the under (10*). |
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07-21-22 | Tigers -138 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit over Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Thursday. It's not often you see the Tigers as a road favorite but I believe the price is warranted on Thursday. Detroit will hand the ball to Tarik Skubal. He went through a rough stretch but has steadied himself over his last couple of outings and I expect him to pitch well again on Thursday. Note that he was in desperate need of a breather having made six of his last seven starts on just four days' rest. Skubal checks in sporting a 3.02 FIP and 1.20 WHIP this season. Behind Skubal is a Detroit bullpen that has posted a collective 3.02 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 12 saves converted and only five blown on the road this season. Zach Logue will counter for Oakland. He was on the mound for a 3-2 win over Houston in his return to the bigs last week. Keep in mind, he has posted an ERA north of five and a WHIP above 1.70 at the AAA level this season. In 29 2/3 innings of work at the major league level, Logue has recorded a 5.84 FIP and a 1.45 WHIP while yielding 5.16 runs per nine innings. Oakland's bullpen owns a 4.89 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with only six saves converted and six blown at home. Take Detroit (8*). |
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07-19-22 | American League +101 v. National League | 3-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the American League over the National League at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. |
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07-17-22 | Brewers v. Giants -164 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Milwaukee at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Giants have a significant pitching edge on Sunday as they hand the ball to Logan Webb against Aaron Ashby of the Brewers. Webb owns a 3.01 FIP and 1.11 WHIP this season, yielding only 3.14 runs per nine innings. Ashby on the other hand has posted a 3.99 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while allowing 4.9 runs per nine innings. With the Brewers bullpen struggling, having entered last night's contest sporting a 6.12 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over their last seven games, we'll fade them here. Take San Francisco (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
N.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and San Diego at 8:40 pm et on Saturday. I like the way this one sets up as a relatively high-scoring affair on Saturday night in San Diego. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Tyler Gilbert. While he's pitched well in his last couple of outings, his overall numbers this season still aren't good as he's recorded a 6.43 FIP and 1.26 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.7 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Sean Manaea. Oddly enough, the D'Backs will be seeing him for the fourth time already this season. Manaea checks in sporting a 3.99 FIP and 1.22 WHIP while giving up 4.28 runs per nine innings. A bigger concern than Manaea is the Padres bullpen, which entered last night's game with a 7.33 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over its last seven contests. For its part, the D'Backs 'pen has posted a 4.97 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Hamilton at 5 pm et on Saturday. We missed with the 'over' in the RedBlacks loss to the Riders last week but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play on Saturday as Ottawa heads to Hamilton to take on the Tiger-Cats. Both of these teams like to sling the ball all over the field. Ottawa checks in having attempted 34, 38, 27 and 33 passes over its last four contests. Hamilton has attempted 35, 51, 42 and 31 passes in its four games. With the RedBlacks once again missing two key defensive cogs in Patrick Levels and Abdul Kanneh and the Ti-Cats also likely to be without Simoni Lawrence, I believe we're in for an entertaining, relatively high-scoring affair on Saturday. Take the over (10*). |
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07-16-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Oakland at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Astros dropped the opener of this series last night but I expect them to have little trouble bouncing back on Saturday. Justin Verlander gets the start for Houston. He's been terrific this season, posting a 3.27 FIP and 0.87 WHIP while allowing only 2.7 runs per nine innings. He obviously holds an advantage over A's left-handed rookie Jared Koenig, who has struggled in limited action, recording a 6.44 FIP and 1.75 WHIP while giving up just shy of 6.4 runs per nine innings. The Astros bullpen entered last night's game sporting a 2.60 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over its last seven games while the A's relief corps had recorded a 4.23 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Mariners -138 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over Texas at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. The Mariners have had the Rangers number in this series, rallying for a win on Thursday before delivering an 8-3 victory last night. I look for them to continue their winning ways on Saturday as they own a considerable edge on the mound. Logan Gilbert gets the start for Seattle. He owns a 3.60 FIP and 1.17 WHIP this season while allowing only 3.14 runs per nine innings. It's been a much different story for Rangers starter Spencer Howard, albeit with a smaller sample size. He has posted a 7.77 FIP and 1.66 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings, allowing north of 8.6 runs per nine innings. The bullpen matchup has been even more lopsided lately with the Mariners relief corps having recorded a 1.61 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over its last seven games while Texas' 'pen checks in with a 6.68 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over the same stretch (entering last night's action). Take Seattle (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Reds v. Cardinals -156 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis first five innings over Cincinnati at 2:15 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Cardinals in the first five innings on Saturday afternoon as they send Miles Mikolas to the hill against rookie Nick Lodolo of the Reds. Mikolas is having another fine campaign having posted a 3.65 FIP and 0.98 WHIP while allowing just over 2.9 runs per nine innings. Lodolo has recorded a 4.14 FIP and 1.60 WHIP while yielding 4.44 runs per nine frames. I'll stick with the first five innings only, however, as the Cardinals bullpen has admittedly struggled lately while the Reds 'pen entered last night's action sporting a 2.70 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take St. Louis first five innings (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -179 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego first five innings over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Padres had a rocky trip to Colorado (no pun intended) but I look for them to bounce back on Friday against Arizona, at least early on. Yu Darvish will get the start for San Diego. He owns a 3.32 FIP and 0.99 WHIP this season, giving up only 3.38 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Friday, Madison Bumgarner, hasn't been nearly as effective, recording a 4.60 FIP and 1.35 WHIP, yielding 4.34 runs per nine innings. The reason I'm backing the Padres in the first five innings only is their struggling bullpen, which has posted an ugly 7.33 ERA and 1.97 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take San Diego first five innings (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Dodgers -180 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the Dodgers over the Angels at 9:35 pm et on Friday. We'll back the Dodgers with Clayton Kershaw on the hill against Patrick Sandoval of the Angels on Friday night. Kershaw is having a fine campaign, albeit limited by injury. He has recorded a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.57 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while holding opponents to just 2.54 runs per nine innings. Sandoval has had a solid season in his own right, posting a 3.00 FIP and 1.39 WHIP and giving up just 3.3 runs per nine frames. As far as the bullpens go, the edge belongs to the Dodgers as well as they've posted a collective 2.70 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention a 2.91 ERA and 1.10 WHIP on the road this season with nine converted saves and only two blown. The Angels 'pen has recorded a 4.01 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over its last seven contests and has converted 13 saves while blowing eight at home this season. Take the Dodgers (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Pirates +134 v. Rockies | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. The Pirates have been the very definition of a 'tough out' this season and I look for them to give the Rockies all they can handle on Friday. Jose Quintana will get the start for Pittsburgh. He has 'turned back the clock' this season, posting a 3.33 ERA and 1.31 WHIP while yielding just 3.9 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Friday, German Marquez, owns a 5.06 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while giving up north of 6.2 runs per nine innings. The later innings should belong to the Pirates as well, noting their bullpen has recorded a collective 3.37 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the last seven games while the Rockies 'pen has posted a 4.70 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Calgary at 8:30 pm et on Friday. This is the game of the season so far as the undefeated Stampeders travel to Winnipeg to face the 5-0 Blue Bombers. Calgary is coming off a 49-point explosion against the rival Edmonton Elks. It's worth noting that the Stamps didn't reach the end zone until just over four minutes remaining in the first half in that contest and that came on a complete defensive breakdown from the Elks defense as Malik Henry hauled in an 89-yard touchdown pass. From there, the Stamps returned a missed field goal for a touchdown less than two minutes into the second half and the rest was history as they routed the Elks by 43 points. The Blue Bombers aren't likely to be nearly as forgiving on Friday. Winnipeg is coming off a blowout win of its own but it was arguably more impressive as it came against the then-undefeated B.C. Lions, on the road no less. The Bombers are healthy and putting it all together right now as they've looked terrific on both sides of the football. They should have no trouble getting up for this game as they look to remain atop the West Division standings. While Calgary is on an impressive run, keep in mind, its four wins have come against the Alouettes (who just lost to the lowly Elks last night), the Ti-Cats (who are still winless at 0-4) and the aforementioned Elks (they check in 2-4 off last night's win). Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Atlanta and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This one sets up well for a high-scoring start as the Braves send Ian Anderson to the hill against Patrick Corbin of the Nationals. Anderson sports a 4.39 FIP and 1.51 WHIP on the season, yielding just shy of 5.1 runs per nine innings. Corbin has been even worse. He owns a 4.55 FIP and 1.67 WHIP on the campaign, giving up a whopping 6.65 runs per nine innings. We'll play the first five innings only as the two bullpens have admittedly been solid lately with both entering last night's action sporting sub-3.00 ERA's over the last seven contests. Look for the bats to come alive early on Friday. Take the first five innings over (9*). |
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07-15-22 | Phillies v. Marlins -157 | 2-1 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Friday. I think we have more of a starting pitching mismatch than most may realize in this game as the still-underrated Sandy Alcantara takes the ball for the Marlins against Kyle Gibson of the Phillies. The Marlins have been winning fairly consistently for weeks now while the Phillies enter this contest off four consecutive defeats. Gibson checks in sporting a 4.33 FIP and 1.23 WHIP while allowing north of 4.6 runs per nine innings. Alcantara on the other hand owns a sparkling 2.83 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding only 2.21 runs per nine frames. In direct comparison, Alcantara gives up 2.5 fewer hits and 0.9 fewer home runs per nine innings. While both bullpens have been effective, the Marlins do hold a slight edge in terms of recent form, posting a 1.57 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over the last seven games. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Milwaukee and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Thursday. You won't find a much better starting pitching matchup than this one as the Brewers send Corbin Burnes to the hill against Carlos Rodon of the Giants. Burnes got off to a bit of a shaky start this season but has since recovered, lowering his FIP to 2.99 and his WHIP to 0.89. He's allowing only 2.45 runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon has arguably been even better for the Giants. He checks in sporting a 2.14 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while yielding just shy of 2.8 runs per nine innings. I'll play the first five innings only here as I do have my reservations when it comes to the two bullpens. The Brewers 'pen has posted a collective 4.97 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over its last seven games while the Giants relief corps checks in with a solid 2.78 ERA but an alarming 1.81 WHIP over the same stretch. Interestingly, the Giants have converted just seven saves while blowing three at home this season. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Mariners v. Rangers -111 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Texas first five innings over Seattle at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Mariners are red hot right now, winners of 10 games in a row. While I'm not interested in fading them for the full game on Thursday due to their bullpen advantage, I will go against them in the first five innings. Marco Gonzales will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. It's worth noting that the Rangers have feasted on left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game while posting a 17-11 record. Gonzales owns an ugly 5.15 FIP and 1.31 WHIP while yielding 4.2 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Thursday, Rangers lefty Martin Perez, is headed for the All-Star Game as he's having a career year. He checks in with a 3.07 FIP and 1.18 WHIP, allowing only 3.14 runs per nine innings. As I mentioned, the Mariners do have an edge in the later innings as their bullpen has been lights out, posting a collective 1.57 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention the fact that they enjoyed a couple of days off earlier this week due to rain in Washington. The Rangers 'pen owns a 5.40 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take Texas first five innings (10*). |
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07-14-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 12-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. We have a terrific starting pitching matchup on tap between the White Sox and Twins on Thursday as Chicago sends Johnny Cueto to the hill against Sonny Gray of the Twins. Cueto tossed eight shutout innings in his most recent outing and now owns a 4.11 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, yielding just north of 3.0 runs per nine innings. Behind Cueto is a White Sox bullpen that has been lights out lately, posting a collective 0.47 ERA and 0.68 WHIP over the last seven games. Sonny Gray didn't have his best stuff for the Twins in his most recent start but I'm confident he'll bounce back here. He's had a nice comeback campaign, recording a 3.30 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Like the White Sox 'pen, the Twins relief corps has been effective lately, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 | 32-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We're seeing CFL totals creep up given the higher-scoring nature of the league compared to 2021. I believe this total will prove too high. The Elks are off to a 1-3 start and fresh off an embarrassing 49-6 beatdown at the hands of the rival Stampeders last week, at home no less. They'll turn to backup QB Taylor Cornelius for this game and that doesn't bode particularly well as he didn't play well in limited action last season. I don't expect Edmonton to throw him to the wolves in this one, not with a subpar supporting cast. Instead look for a rather conservative offensive gameplan as the Elks try to possess the football and keep their struggling defense fresh. The Alouettes had last week off to stew over a 41-20 loss to the Roughriders last time out. While they're by no means an elite defensive team, they're better than they showed in that game. Note that in their lone previous home game this season, they limited the same Riders squad to just 13 points. At 1-3 on the season, neither team is looking for style points here, they're simply aiming to get back in the win column and get back in the conversation in their respective division. Take the under (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Dodgers -148 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
My selection is on Los Angeles over St. Louis at 7:15 pm et on Thursday. The Cardinals blew a prime opportunity to clinch a series win over the Dodgers last night, blowing a 6-0 lead in an eventual 7-6 loss. Now they face a tough pitching matchup on Thursday as Los Angeles sends Tyler Anderson to the hill against Dakota Hudson. Anderson checks in sporting a 3.36 FIP and 1.03 WHIP this season, allowing 3.25 runs per nine innings. Note that the Cards are just 9-8 against left-handed starting pitchers, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are 40-19 against righties, averaging an impressive 5.3 runs per contest. They'll face Dakota Hudson on Thursday. He has recorded a 4.37 FIP and 1.38 WHIP while yielding 4.1 runs per nine frames. While the Cards 'pen has struggled lately to the tune of a 4.85 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over the last seven games, the Dodgers relief corps has posted a 2.66 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. Astros starter Cristian Javier certainly didn't have his best stuff in his most recent outing against the Royals. That doesn't change the fact that he's enjoying a terrific campaign, having posted a 3.06 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing only 3.01 runs per nine innings. He just faced the Angels two starts back and gave up only one earned run over seven innings and owns an incredible 2.04 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in three career starts against them. His counterpart on Wednesday will be Angels ace Shohei Ohtani. We successfully backed him in his most recent start against the Marlins but we'll take a different route and back the 'under' in this one. Ohtani owns a 2.43 FIP and 0.99 WHIP on the campaign, allowing only 2.56 runs per nine innings. The Astros bullpen has been terrific lately, posting a collective 2.55 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over its last seven games (entering last night's contest). While the Angels 'pen has struggled, I'm not overly concerned as Ohtani has the ability to work deep into the game, noting that he has lasted at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts and 7+ innings in three of his last five outings. Take the under (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Padres -159 v. Rockies | 6-10 | Loss | -159 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego 'first five innings' over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockies evened this series at a game apiece with a 5-3 victory last night. I expect the Padres to get the better of them on Wednesday, however, at least early on. We'll play San Diego in the first five innings only in this one as the Padres bullpen continues to struggle, entering last night's action sporting a 5.76 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over its last seven contests. I prefer to back the Padres bats against Rockies starter Chad Kuhl and with one of their best starters on the hill in Joe Musgrove over the first five frames. Musgrove checks in with a 3.13 FIP and 0.93 WHIP this season, yielding just 2.45 runs per nine innings. While Kuhl got off to a fine start, he's struggled lately, elevating his FIP to 4.29 and his WHIP to 1.35 in the process. Kuhl is giving up 4.23 runs per nine frames. He allows 2.5 more hits and 1.3 more walks per nine innings compared to Musgrove. Padres hitters have had plenty of success against Kuhl - the last two times they've faced him, once last year and once here in 2022, they've plated nine runs on 12 hits and 12 walks, not to mention a pair of home runs, in only eight innings. Take San Diego first five innings (8*). |
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07-13-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a couple of relatively low-scoring games between these two division rivals in yesterday's day-night double-header. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Lucas Giolito will take the ball for Chicago. He's had a tough season so far, posting a 4.45 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.4 runs per nine innings. Last time out he yielded five earned runs over 6 2/3 innings against the light-hitting Tigers. Note that he'll be making his second consecutive start on short (four days) rest on Wednesday. It's a similar story for Guardians starter Aaron Civale. He actually pitched well against the lowly Royals in his most recent outing but his overall numbers remain poor this season. Civale checks in sporting a 4.28 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while giving up almost 7.0 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has held up well lately but is getting into 'overworked' territory, noting that Chicago hasn't had a day off since June 30th and comes off the double-header yesterday. The Guardians 'pen coughed up three runs in last night's game and entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 6.35 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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07-13-22 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has firmly entrenched himself in the N.L. Cy Young Award conversation again this season, posting a 2.46 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while allowing only 2.84 runs per nine innings. He'll face a difficult challenge against the Blue Jays at hitter-friendly Rogers Centre on Wednesday, but I'm confident he'll be up for it. His counterpart will be Ross Stripling. Few expected Stripling to last this long in the Jays starting rotation this season and make no mistake, he's not only filling a role due to injuries (although that has factored in) - he's actually pitched well, sporting a 3.07 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while yielding just north of 3.6 runs per nine innings. We've finally seen the Blue Jays bullpen round back into form, checking into last night's contest with a 3.53 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over its last seven games. Meanwhile, the Phillies relief corps has been lights out, posting a 2.11 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Reds v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Cincinnati at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. After the Reds staged a stunning ninth inning rally to go from 3-0 down to 4-3 up in an eventual victory last night, it's payback time on Wednesday. The Yankees have now lost three games in a row, suffering through a bit of a pre-All-Star lull. I expect them to bounce back here against Reds journeyman starter Mike Minor. Things haven't gone well for the veteran left-hander in Cincinnati as he has posted a 6.79 FIP and 1.42 WHIP, allowing just shy of 3.0 home runs per nine innings this season. Opponents have reached him for north of 6.6 runs per nine frames. His counterpart on Wednesday will be Luis Severino. It hasn't been a clean road back from injury for the right-hander this season but there have been more ups than downs as he checks in sporting a 3.54 FIP and 1.02 WHIP, limiting opponents to just over 3.2 runs per nine innings while logging 84 innings so far in 2022. While the Yankees bullpen coughed one up last night, they entered that contest with a collective 2.60 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with 16 saves converted and only four blown here at home this season. In stark contrast, the Reds 'pen entered this series sporting a 5.36 ERA and 1.45 WHIP away from home. Take New York -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami over Pittsburgh at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. This will be a popular play on Wednesday but that doesn’t mean it’s the wrong one. The Pirates are suddenly hot, winners of four games in a row. They’ll be in tough on Wednesday though as they send JT Brubaker to the mound against Pablo Lopez of the Marlins. Brubaker’s 3.91 FIP isn’t awful but his 1.47 WHIP does leave a lot to be desired. Opponents have lit up the right-hander for 5.28 runs per nine innings this season. Lopez is having a fine campaign, having recorded a 3.60 FIP and 1.07 WHIP. He allows 2.2 fewer hits and 1.4 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Brubaker. Lopez has limited opponents to just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Note also that the Marlins should have the edge in the later innings, with their bullpen having posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.35 WHIP at home this season (entering last night’s action). The Pirates ‘pen has held up alright in this series, it did enter last night’s contest having posted a 7.17 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over the last seven games. Take Miami (10*). |
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07-13-22 | Brewers v. Twins -122 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Minnesota over Milwaukee at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday. We’ll back the Twins on Wednesday as they send Joe Ryan to the hill against Aaron Ashby of the Brewers. Ryan has posted a fairly pedestrian 3.86 FIP but a terrific 1.09 WHIP while giving up just north of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Behind Ryan is a Twins bullpen that entered last night’s action sporting a 3.10 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over the last seven games. Aaron Ashby has had an up-and-down campaign for the Brewers. He owns a 4.02 FIP and 1.43 WHIP and gives up 1.6 more hits and 1.5 more walks per nine innings compared to Ryan. Opponents have reached Ashby for north of 5.0 runs per nine frames. Meanwhile, the Brewers bullpen has recorded a 4.18 ERA and 1.56 WHIP over the last seven contests (entering last night’s game). Take Minnesota. Sean delivered the cash AGAIN in MLB action last night and he's back to extend his RED HOT 76-52 MLB run with another 10* TOP RATED big ticket release on Wednesday; grab a long-term picks pass today and don't miss a single winner from Murph! |
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07-12-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | 0-13 | Win | 105 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco -0.5 runs first five innings over Arizona at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll go back to the well fading D’Backs starter Dallas Keuchel on Tuesday in San Francisco. Keuchel was cut loose by the White Sox for good reason and checks into Tuesday’s start sporting a 5.19 FIP and 1.95 WHIP while allowing a ridiculous 8.75 runs per nine innings this season. The Giants figure to take advantage as they’re 16-10 against left-handed starters this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game (compared to their season scoring average of 4.7). Logan Webb has endured a bit of an up-and-down campaign for the Giants but there have undoubtedly been more ups than downs as he checks in with a 3.09 FIP and 1.11 WHIP, allowing just north of 3.3 runs per nine innings. San Francisco is a perfect 3-0 in Webb’s previous three career starts against the D’Backs, winning all three of those contests by at least two runs. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid a Giants bullpen that has admittedly struggled lately, entering this series with a 6.62 ERA and 2.15 WHIP over the last seven games. Take San Francisco -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-12-22 | Tigers +115 v. Royals | 7-5 | Win | 115 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll gladly fade Royals starter Kris Bubic on Tuesday as the Tigers get their third look at the right-hander this season. Bubic checks in with an ugly 5.75 FIP and 1.87 WHIP while allowing a whopping 7.4 runs per nine innings this season. It doesn’t get any better for the Royals in the later innings in this one either. Kansas City’s ‘pen owns a 6.39 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday’s action). The Tigers will hand the ball to rookie Beau Brieske. He’s struggled at times, as most rookie starters do, but in general has held up well for the Tigers, posting a 5.14 FIP but a 1.22 WHIP. He allows 3.12 fewer runs, 2.8 fewer hits and 3.0 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Bubic. The Tigers ‘pen entered this series sporting a terrific 2.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over the last seven games. They also entered the series having converted 11 saves while blowing only four on the road this season, recording a 2.92 ERA and 1.14 WHIP along the way. Take Detroit (9*). |
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07-12-22 | Dodgers -135 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles over St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Tuesday. While both of Tuesday’s starting pitchers are unproven and neither boasts all that large of a body of work this season, I’ll give the considerable edge to Mitch White of the Dodgers. White doesn’t generally work deep into ball games but he has been effective when he’s been on the hill, recording a 3.73 FIP and 1.15 WHIP while allowing 3.83 runs per nine innings. His counterpart, rookie Matthew Liberatore, has struggled for the most part, logging a 5.13 FIP and 1.74 WHIP while giving up 4.74 runs per nine innings. Liberatore checks in allowing 3.6 more hits, 1.7 more walks and 0.7 more home runs per nine innings compared to White. While the Cardinals bullpen has been lights out lately, the Dodgers have been more consistent in that department this season and for their part, have posted a collective 3.04 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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07-12-22 | Brewers v. Twins -130 | 6-3 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota first five innings over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. This is a tough spot for the Brewers as they look to rebound off consecutive losses against the lowly Pirates on the weekend. Jason Alexander will get the start for Milwaukee. He continues to labor through his rookie campaign having posted a 4.66 FIP and 1.72 WHIP while allowing 5.75 runs per nine innings. Behind Alexander is a Brewers bullpen that has struggled lately, posting a collective 4.18 ERA and 1.56 WHIP over the last seven games, however it has been terrific on the road this season, recording 23 saves while blowing only six while recording a 3.40 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, so we’ll look to avoid the potential late innings mismatch and play the first five innings only here (note that the Twins ‘pen has recorded just 11 saves while blowing eight at Target Field this season). Minnesota will give the start to Josh Winder. The rookie has impressed for the most part, logging a 4.09 FIP and 1.24 WHIP while limiting opponents to just under 3.6 runs per nine innings. Take Minnesota first five innings (8*). |
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07-12-22 | Mets v. Braves -148 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
N.L. Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta over New York at 7:20 pm et on Tuesday. While last night’s series opener between these two teams featured a matchup of two aces, Tuesday’s starting pitching matchup is more of a mismatch as the Mets send David Peterson to the hill against Spencer Strider of the Braves. Peterson has had an up-and-down campaign to be sure. He checks in sporting a 4.01 FIP and 1.27 WHIP while allowing north of 4.0 runs per nine innings. Braves rookie Strider has been a breakout star, recording a ridiculous 1.82 FIP and 0.98 WHIP while yielding just shy of 2.9 runs per nine frames. With the two bullpens a virtual wash, I’ll give the edge to Strider, not to mention the Braves bats in this one. Note that Atlanta has gone 21-9 against left-handed starting pitchers this season, averaging 5.7 runs per game while outscoring opponents by 1.9 runs on average in those contests. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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07-11-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
A.L. F5 Innings Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Oakland and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Monday. This game has all the makings of a high-scoring affair as two back-of-the-rotation starters take the ball in rookie Adrian Martinez of the A's and Spencer Howard of the Rangers. With that being said, we'll play the 'first five innings' only in this one as I do respect both bullpens, especially given their current form (A's 2.10 ERA and 1.01 WHIP L7 games and Rangers 2.66 ERA and 1.23 WHIP L7 games - both entering yesterday's action). Adrian Martinez has made three starts for the A's this season. He's been getting progressively worse it seems as his FIP has risen to 5.90 and his WHIP to 1.40. Perhaps most concerning is the fact that he's been tagged for 2.4 home runs per nine innings, despite not allowing a single long ball in his first big league start. The Mariners and Blue Jays have knocked him around for four home runs over his last two outings and I look for the Rangers to add to that total here. All told, Martinez checks in yielding 6.0 runs per nine innings. Although I do realize we're dealing with a small sample size of just 15 innings, Martinez previously recorded a 5.63 ERA and 1.41 WHIP at AAA Las Vegas this season, logging 64 innings. Spencer Howard has worked only 10 2/3 innings for the Rangers this year. With that being said, the numbers aren't good. He checks in with an 8.92 FIP and 1.88 WHIP. While we are likely to see some positive regression to the mean, keep in mind he logged a 4.72 FIP and 1.61 WHIP in 49 2/3 innings split between Philadelphia and Texas last season. For his career he's allowed just shy of 8.0 runs per nine innings in 101 innings of work. While the A's certainly aren't tearing the cover off the ball, they have proven to be a better offensive team on the road than at home this season, averaging 3.8 runs per game (compared to their season scoring average of 3.2 runs per contest). Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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07-11-22 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Monday. This is the best pitching matchup on Monday's board as the Mets send Max Scherzer to the hill for his second start since returning from injury. He was lights out in his first, tossing six innings of two-hit shutout ball while striking out 11 without issuing a single walk. That was against the Reds. He'll obviously be facing a tougher challenge here but I'm confident he'll be up for it. Scherzer checks in with a 2.62 FIP and 0.88 WHIP this season, allowing just 2.43 runs per nine innings. He might be facing the Braves at the right time. They mustered only four runs for the second straight game on Sunday, and needed 12 innings to get there, against the lowly Nationals no less. They've been held to four runs or less in four of their last five contests. Max Fried will counter for Atlanta on Monday. If you follow my plays regularly you know how high I am on the Braves ace. He's capable of matching Scherzer pitch-for-pitch having recorded a 2.50 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while yielding only 2.6 runs per nine innings this season. The Mets plated 10 runs in last Thursday's series-opener against the Marlins but proceeded to score a grand total of just seven runs over the next three games, going 1-2 along the way. Both bullpens are better than average in my opinion, with the Mets checking in with a 3.74 ERA and 1.25 WHIP on the road this season and the Braves sporting a 3.70 ERA and 1.24 WHIP at home (entering yesterday's action). Take the under (8*). |
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07-11-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and St. Louis at 7:15 pm et on Monday. This has been a very low-scoring series with just 10 runs scored through the first three games. I expect more of the same on Monday as we have a fine starting pitching matchup between Aaron Nola of the Phillies and Miles Mikolas of the Cardinals. Nola owns a 2.91 FIP and 0.93 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Behind Nola is a Phillies bullpen that has been terrific lately, posting a 1.61 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over the last seven games. Miles Mikolas is having a terrific year for the Cards as well. He has posted a 3.65 FIP and 0.99 WHIP, giving up just over 3.0 runs per nine frames. The St. Louis bullpen owns a sparkling 0.76 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a trio of high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold in Sunday night's series finale. Jameson Taillon will take the ball for the Yankees. He checks in sporting a 3.40 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, allowing only 3.63 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday night, Nick Pivetta, is coming off a rocky outing last time out but still sports a 3.64 FIP and 1.16 WHIP this season while yielding less than 3.7 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens have performed well lately with the Yankees relief corps having posted a collective 2.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over the last seven games and the Red Sox 'pen checking in with a 2.87 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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07-10-22 | Rays -140 v. Reds | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Interleague Game of the Week. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Cincinnati at 1:40 pm et on Sunday. After blowing a 3-0 eighth inning lead in an eventual 5-4 extra innings loss yesterday - their second straight defeat in this series - I look for the Rays to salvage Sunday's series finale before heading back home. Shane Baz will take the ball for Tampa Bay. He's now pitched 38 innings in his big league career, recording a 3.44 FIP and 0.98 WHIP while allowing just 2.61 runs per nine innings. It's been a bit more of a struggle for Reds rookie Nick Lodolo. He's worked 19 1/3 innings this season, recording a 4.03 FIP and 1.50 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.2 runs per nine frames. While the Rays don't hold a massive edge in the later innings with their bullpen struggling a bit lately, I do think they have enough of an advantage early to pay off for us on Sunday afternoon. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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07-10-22 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and New York at 1:40 pm et on Sunday. This is one of the best starting pitching matchups on Sunday's board as the Marlins send Sandy Alcantara to the hill against Taijuan Walker of the Mets. Alcantara is having a Cy Young Award-caliber campaign, having posted a 2.85 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding only 2.34 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday, Taijuan Walker, has impressed as well, posting a 3.09 FIP and 1.14 WHIP while giving up just under 3.0 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens have been reasonably effective lately, with the Marlins posting a collective 3.42 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over the last seven games and the Mets recording a sparkling 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-09-22 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. BC | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CFL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over B.C. at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Lions have arguably been the most impressive team in the CFL through the first month of the season, reeling off three straight wins while scoring a whopping 137 points. It's worth noting, however, that they've yet to play a team outside the East Division. There's no question, the West is best when it comes to the CFL - at least so far this season. The Lions should find that out on Saturday as they host 4-0 Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers are the two-time defending Grey Cup champions and look every bit the part of a championship contender again this year. Winnipeg is playing on a very short week here after dispatching the Argos by a score of 23-22 on Monday. I don't mind that though as I think it helps the Bombers stay focused on this business-like two-game road trip. The Lions were barely able to escape with a 34-31 win over the still-winless RedBlacks in Ottawa last week. We saw some regression from the B.C. defense in that game and now I think we see it from its offense as it takes on arguably the best defense in the CFL. This matchup was no contest last season as the Bombers swept the two-game series, including a 30-9 victory here in B.C. While the Lions are certainly a better team in 2022 I'm not convinced they've completely closed the gap. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-09-22 | Guardians -124 v. Royals | Top | 13-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
A.L. Central Game of the Year. My selection is on Cleveland over Kansas City at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. While Cleveland has been struggling lately I do expect it to find its way into the win column on Saturday as it sends Triston McKenzie to the hill against rookie Jon Heasley of the Royals. McKenzie is a bit of an enigma as he’s posted an inflated 4.58 FIP but an impressive 0.99 WHIP. I do like the fact that he allows more than a run less per nine innings compared to Heasley, not to mention 1.7 fewer hits and 2.3 fewer walks. Heasley has recorded a 5.30 FIP and 1.43 WHIP and has yielded just shy of 5.0 runs per nine innings. The Guardians will be getting their second look at him this season after delivering a 7-3 win back on May 30th. McKenzie has faced the Royals six times over the course of his career, posting a terrific 2.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP with the Guardians winning four of those games. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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07-09-22 | Rays v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The opener of this series featured a terrific pitching matchup but Saturday’s contest will feature two back of the rotation starters in Drew Rasmussen of the Rays and rookie Hunter Greene of the Reds. Rasmussen checks in with a 3.84 FIP and 1.17 WHIP, yielding right around 3.9 runs per nine innings. In other words, he’s likely to give up some runs, even against the lowly Reds (to their credit they do average 5.0 runs per game at home this season). We’ve been picking on the rookie Greene for much of the season and for good reason as he’s generally been awful, recording a 5.67 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while giving up 6.13 runs per nine innings. Behind Greene is a Reds bullpen that owns a 5.76 ERA and 1.52 WHIP while blowing six saves and converting only four at home this season (entering last night’s action). Take the over (10*). |
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07-09-22 | Rays -147 v. Reds | 4-5 | Loss | -147 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. You would have to go back six starts to find the last time the Reds posted a win in a game that rookie Hunter Greene started and that came against the lowly D’Backs. I expect Greene to be in tough again on Saturday as he brings his 5.67 FIP and 1.35 WHIP into this outing. Even if Greene does find some success, the Reds bullpen behind him has been awful at home the season, recording a collective 5.76 ERA and 1.52 WHIP while converting just four saves and blowing four (entering last night’s action). Rays starter Drew Rasmussen makes his return from a hamstring injury. Not a lot is likely to be asked of him on Saturday and that’s fine as the Rays bullpen has posted a 3.58 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the road this season. For his part, Rasmussen has recorded a 3.84 FIP and 1.17 WHIP. Last season, Rasmussen delivered a terrific 2.86 FIP and 0.97 WHIP. Take Tampa Bay (8*). |
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07-09-22 | Twins v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Texas at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. We saw a high-scoring affair between these two teams in the opener of this series last night. I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday. Devin Smeltzer has done nothing but impress for the Twins this season. While his 4.90 FIP leaves a lot to be desired, his 1.03 WHIP and 3.2 runs allowed per nine innings tell a different story. He's worked at least six innings and allowed a grand total of just four earned runs over his last three outings. Behind Smeltzer is a terrific Twins bullpen that has posted a 2.73 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over the last seven games. Speaking of bullpens, the Rangers 'pen has recorded a sparkling 2.19 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over that same stretch. Texas starter Martin Perez has 'turned back the clock' and is having a fantastic campaign. He checks in sporting a 2.84 FIP and 1.17 WHIP while allowing less than 2.8 runs per nine innings this season. Take the under (9*). |
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07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in this matchup last night but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'under' on Saturday afternoon. Rookie Garrett Hill will get his second start for the Tigers after tossing six impressive innings of one-run ball in his big league debut against the Guardians. Prior to the call-up, Hill had posted an ERA north of four but a respectable WHIP of 1.22 at the AAA level. He'll look to take advantage of a disappointing White Sox offense that has produced just 4.1 runs per game at home this season. Behind Hill is an underrated Tigers bullpen that owns a 2.90 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the road this season. Johnny Cueto will counter for Chicago. He didn't have his best stuff last time out but still held the Twins to only two earned runs over six innings. He checks in allowing just 3.45 runs per nine innings this season and has been terrific in three previous daytime outings, recording a 1.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has been up-and-down but let's keep things in perspective here as the Tigers, while scoring seven runs last night, still average only 2.8 runs per game on the road this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Giants +139 v. Padres | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Friday. You would have to go back 11 starts to find the last time Padres left-hander Blake Snell guided his team to a victory. You would also have to go back to September of 2020 to find the last time the Padres won consecutive games in a series against the division-rival Giants. I expect both streaks to remain intact on Friday. San Francisco 'opener' Sam Long has been somewhat of a good luck charm on the road. In his four career road starts, the Giants have gone a perfect 4-0. Long checks in with solid numbers this season, having recorded a 3.93 FIP and 1.02 WHIP while allowing only 2.37 runs per nine innings. It's been a much different story for Snell. He owns a 3.70 FIP and 1.46 WHIP while yielding 5.58 runs per nine innings. Walks continue to be a big issue. He's handing out north of five free passes per nine innings. I expect the Giants to take advantage on Friday. While the San Francisco bullpen has struggled lately, the Padres 'pen hasn't been all that reliable either, posting an ERA north of 5.00 over the last seven games. Take San Francisco (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 45 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Saskatchewan at 9:30 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in the RedBlacks wild 34-31 loss to the Lions last week and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Last year, the RedBlacks and Riders combined to score just 33 points in their lone meeting here in Regina. On paper, Ottawa is immensely improved offensively, even if it hasn't played out that way on the field through three games. The RedBlacks check in 0-3 on the campaign but certainly showed some signs of life in last week's narrow loss. The fact that they put up 31 points despite an off game from QB Jeremiah Masoli (14-of-27 passing) was encouraging. The concern here is that Ottawa is missing a number of key cogs in the defensive backfield, most notably Patrick Levels and Abdul Kanneh. After allowing B.C. QB Nathan Rourke to go off in last week's game (359 yards passing), it will be hard-pressed to bounce back playing on the road with an undermanned secondary. The RedBlacks aren't generating nearly enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks (they had just one sack last week) which opens the door for Riders QB Cody Fajardo to pick them apart on Friday. Saskatchewan just hung 41 points on Montreal in what was a quick revenge spot after getting blown out by the Alouettes the week previous. I don't think we've seen the Riders best offensively but it's been encouraging to see RB Jamal Morrow go off for a pair of 100+ yard rushing games already this season, including 103 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries last week. Note that Ottawa has been among the worst in the CFL at stopping the run, giving up just shy of 4.6 yards per rush this season. Take the over (10*). |
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07-08-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the opener of this series last night as the Tigers pulled out a narrow 2-1 victory. I'm expecting a much different story to unfold on Friday as Detroit sends Tarik Skubal to the mound against Lucas Giolito of the White Sox. Skubal's overall numbers this season are solid. He's posted a 3.09 FIP and 1.20 WHIP. However, the wheels have come off recently as he's allowed 23 earned runs over his last five starts, spanning just 23 1/3 innings of work. The White Sox don't figure to be the team he turns it around against as he owns a career 6.95 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in five starts against them. He lasted just four innings, allowing four earned runs, in a 10-1 loss to Chicago the only previous time he faced it this season. His counterpart Lucas Giolito has pitched better of late, but still owns a disappointing 4.52 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.3 runs per nine innings this season. Nothing seems to come easy for him against the Tigers, noting that you would have to go back eight starts to find the last time Giolito guided the White Sox to a win by 2+ runs in this series. While both bullpens have been reasonably effective lately, they're getting into 'overworked' territory having not had a day off since June 30th. Take the over (10*). |
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07-08-22 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Pirates were involved in a pair of low-scoring affairs against the Reds in yesterday's double-header in Cincinnati. I expect a different story to unfold as they open a divisional series in Milwaukee on Friday. J.T. Brubaker will get the call for the visiting Pirates. He checks in sporting a 3.92 FIP and 1.44 WHIP this season, yielding just shy of 5.3 runs per nine innings. An even bigger concern than Brubaker is the recent performance of the Buccos bullpen. Pittsburgh's relief corps has posted a collective 9.70 ERA and 2.08 WHIP over the last seven games and things won't get any easier following yesterday's double-header. Left-hander Aaron Ashby will take the ball for Milwaukee. He has recorded similarly pedestrian numbers to those of Brubaker with a 3.87 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while allowing 5.22 runs per nine innings. While not to the same degree of the Pirates' the Brewers 'pen has posted a 4.56 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 9 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. I really feel this is a game where the Braves can 'name their score' against a down-trodden Nationals pitching staff. With that being said, I don't have a lot of faith in Atlanta starter Charlie Morton, who has had an up-and-down campaign as a 38-year old. He was terrific in his most recent start, tossing seven shutout innings of one-hit ball but I question whether he can duplicate that performance as he makes his second consecutive start on just four days' rest (the only other time he did that this season he allowed four earned runs including two home runs in six innings at home against the light-hitting Pirates). Erick Fedde gets the start for Washington. He's having another very Erick Fedde-like season having posted a 4.33 FIP and 1.41 WHIP. Fedde averages only 5.0 innings per start and that's concerning as the Nats' bullpen has been extraordinarily bad on the road this season, recording a collective 6.22 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Speaking of bullpens, the Braves 'pen has posted a terrific 2.35 ERA over its last seven contests but a 1.48 WHIP over that stretch tells a different story. The Nats' bats were relatively quiet in a series in Philadelphia but they still perform considerably better on the road compared to at home this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Take the over (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Yankees -142 v. Red Sox | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Friday. This is a really difficult bounce-back spot for the suddenly reeling Red Sox as they face a pitching mismatch with the Yankees sending Nestor Cortes Jr. to the hill against rookie Connor Seabold. Cortes has been dominant at times this season, recording a 3.35 FIP and 0.95 WHIP while yielding only 2.54 runs per nine innings. It's been a much different story for Seabold, albeit with a small sample size of only two starts and 8 2/3 innings, as he's posted a 6.45 FIP and 2.08 WHIP while giving up a whopping 8.31 runs per nine frames. The later innings should belong to the visitors in this one as well as the Yankees bullpen has been lights out lately, recording a collective 1.37 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over the last seven games. The Red Sox 'pen has been effective lately as well but is reaching 'overworked' territory having logged 31 2/3 innings over the last seven games, without an off day since June 30th (the Yankees were off on Monday). Take New York (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Angels v. Orioles -137 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Orioles have reeled off five straight wins and I look for them to keep it going on Friday night against the fading Angels. We actually have a bit of a pitching mismatch on our hands here, even if Angels starter Reid Detmers is the one that has a no-hitter to his credit this season. He hasn't been able to regain that magic since, posting a 5.34 FIP on the season while allowing just shy of 4.7 runs per nine innings. Walks (3.3 per nine innings) and home runs (1.7 per nine innings) continue to be an issue for the left-hander. Note that the Orioles actually own a winning record against southpaw starters this season. Tyler Wells has been terrific over his last four starts, allowing just three earned runs in 22 innings of work. He checks in sporting a 4.08 FIP and 1.00 WHIP this season while allowing just 3.09 runs per nine innings. While the O's don't have a massive bullpen advantage, I do give them the slight edge in that department noting that they've posted a 2.48 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at home this season. Take Baltimore (8*). |
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07-08-22 | Rays -156 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -156 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Friday. Rays ace Shane McClanahan entered his start on June 3rd against the White Sox sporting a terrific 2.10 ERA. He's actually managed to lower that ERA in each and every start since (five starts to be exact), all the way to 1.74. Needless to say, I like his chances against the lowly Reds on Friday. His counterpart will be Luis Castillo. While he's having a fine season in his own right, he's coming off consecutive strong performances and now has to make a second straight start on just four days' rest. I just don't like his chances of stringing together a third consecutive lights out effort against a tough Rays lineup that got in a bit of a groove in Boston earlier this week. That's not to mention the Reds awful bullpen behind Castillo, which has recorded a collective 5.76 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at home this season. Take Tampa Bay (8*). |
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07-07-22 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 6.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Francisco and San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. This game will feature one of the best starting pitching matchups on Thursday’s board as the Giants send Logan Webb to the hill against Joe Musgrove of the Padres. Webb didn’t have his best stuff in his most recent outing against the White Sox but still hung in there for six innings, yielding three earned runs on six hits and just one walk. For the season, Webb has put up rock solid numbers with a 2.98 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing 3.5 runs per nine innings. Of course, Padres starter Joe Musgrove has firmly planted himself in the N.L. Cy Young Award conversation. He did allow three earned runs in his most recent start but that was over seven innings (while striking out 10) against a terrific Dodgers lineup. Musgrove checks in sporting a 3.10 FIP and 0.95 WHIP and has allowed only 2.64 runs per nine innings this season. We’ll play the first five innings only in this one simply due to the Giants bullpen being in terrible form having posted a 7.24 ERA and 1.72 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. I think the quiet nature of the Rockies bats over the course of a three-game series in Los Angeles may have lulled 'under' bettors into a false sense of security entering the opener of this four-game set in Arizona. We just saw this same starting pitching matchup between Austin Gomber and Dallas Keuchel last week and the rest was an 11-7 Rockies victory. I'm anticipating another relatively high-scoring affair here. While the Rockies bats have been slumbering, this should be an ideal breakout spot noting they're actually a .500 team against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game (that's 0.9 rpg higher than their season average). Keuchel has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this season, posting a 5.75 FIP and 2.11 WHIP in 41 1/3 innings of work split between Chicago (White Sox) and Arizona. Opponents have torched the veteran left-hander to the tune of 9.58 runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber hasn't been much better for the Rockies, recording a 4.89 FIP and 1.45 WHIP while yielding just shy of 6.8 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens offer little support in this case as the Colorado 'pen has posted a 5.26 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over the last seven games and the D'Backs relief corps owns a 5.87 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Tigers are flying high off a stunning four-game sweep of the Guardians. I do think they'll be hard-pressed to keep it going as a sizable underdog against the White Sox but rather than lay the big price with the White Sox here, we'll go with the 'under' in what I believe projects to be a relatively low-scoring affair. If Aaron Rodgers owns the Chicago Bears, Dylan Cease most certainly owns the Detroit Tigers. Cease has made 11 career starts against the Tigers with the White Sox winning 10 of those games and the right-hander posting a sparkling 1.91 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He brings excellent form into this outing having allowed only two earned runs over his last seven starts. For the season, Cease has posted a 2.73 FIP and 1.24 WHIP, allowing just shy of 3.6 runs per nine innings. Detroit will counter with rookie Beau Brieske. He's had an up-and-down campaign to be sure. With that said, he was finally able to start on a full five days' rest last time out and it showed as he matched a season-high going six innings while allowing just three earned runs against the Royals. Prior to that, Brieske's last three outings had come on just four days' rest. Brieske's overall numbers this year aren't good but we have seen flashes of brilliance (he allowed one earned run in five innings against the Dodgers, two earned runs in six innings against the Yankees and no earned runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays). Behind Brieske is a Tigers bullpen that has been lights out lately, recording a collective 1.30 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday's action). Take the under (7*). |
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07-07-22 | Cardinals v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta -0.5 runs first five innings over St. Louis at 7:20 pm et on Thursday. This is without question a starting pitching mismatch between two rookies that have been going in completely opposite trajectories this season. Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore has pitched reasonably well in a pair of home starts but the road has been a completely different story. Overall, he checks in sporting a 5.48 FIP and 1.79 WHIP. He's giving up too many hits (11.3 per nine innings), home runs (1.7) and certainly walks (4.8) and not missing nearly enough bats to make up for it (7.8 K's per nine innings). All told, opponents have lit up Liberatore for 5.66 runs per nine innings. Spencer Strider, meanwhile, has quietly put up Cy Young Award-caliber numbers in his rookie campaign with the Braves, posting an elite 2.00 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while yielding just under 3.2 runs per nine innings. We're not interested in messing with the bullpen matchup here (as good as Strider has been, he averages just 5.0 innings per start), as the Braves 'pen hasn't been as reliable as the Cards' relief corps, which checks in with a 1.40 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Take Atlanta -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-07-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox +1.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston +1.5 runs over New York at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. The Yankees are coming off a late offensive explosion in last night's 16-0 rout of the Pirates while the Red Sox just dropped consecutive games against the Rays. Here, I'll go the contrarian route and grab the insurance run with Boston as it opens this four-game series at Fenway Park. Gerrit Cole will take the ball for New York. He's been pitching well, which is to be expected. It's been a mixed bag for Cole recently in Boston, however, as he's made four starts here since the start of last season and has been tagged for a whopping seven home runs. The long ball has been an issue for Cole again this season as he has allowed 1.4 home runs per nine innings, including three in his last two starts. If you were to compare numbers between tonight's two starting pitchers you might be surprised that the Red Sox are such an underdog here. While Cole checks in with a 3.42 FIP and 1.01 WHIP and allows right around 3.0 runs per nine innings, Red Sox rookie starter Josh Winckowski has posted a 2.96 FIP and 1.39 WHIP while giving up 3.46 runs per nine innings. We're obviously talking about a smaller sample size when it comes to the rookie but I've been impressed by the way he's hung in there and given the Red Sox some quality outings. I mentioned Cole's issues with home runs, Winckowski has been the polar opposite, allowing just one big fly in 26 innings of work this season, despite four of his five starts coming at Fenway Park and Wrigley Field (two hitter-friendly parks). The Yankees bullpen is without question elite - perhaps the best in baseball - but the Red Sox relief corps has battled here at home this season as well, recording a collective 3.89 ERA and 1.19 WHIP (entering last night's action). Take Boston +1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-07-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Thursday. The Nationals will inexplicably give Joan Adon another turn in the starting rotation on Thursday, his first outing since coincidentally facing the same Phillies back on June 17th. That start didn’t go all that well for Adon as he was tagged for four earned runs on seven hits over five innings. The right-hander enters Thursday’s start sporting an ugly 5.26 FIP and 1.75 WHIP while allowing a whopping 7.27 runs per nine innings this season. Phillies starter Bailey Falter hasn’t been much better, albeit with a smaller sample size. He has recorded a 5.99 FIP and 1.42 WHIP while yielding 6.0 runs per game in 24 innings of work this season. Like Adon, Falter will be making his second start this season against Thursday’s opponent having allowed three earned runs on five hits including two home runs back in June. The presence of the Phillies red hot bullpen is the only thing that would give us some pause with this play, but I think that unit’s recent effectiveness is somewhat negated by the Nats’ awful relief corps which has posted a 6.48 ERA and 1.58 WHIP on the road this season. Take the over (10*). |
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07-07-22 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati at 2:10 pm et on Thursday. We should see runs aplenty in Game 1 of Thursday's day-night double-header featuring the Pirates and Reds at Great American Ballpark. We won with the 'over' in the Buccos 16-0 rout at the hands of the Yankees last night while also successfully fading the Reds in their 8-3 extra innings loss against the Mets. Here, we'll focus on the total as we have two starting pitchers on downward trajectories and quite simply two of the worst bullpens in baseball ready to take the field. Roansy Contreras got off to a fine start for the Pirates this season but the bloom is suddenly off the rose as he's seen his FIP rise to 5.09 and his WHIP to 1.46 while allowing 4.7 runs per nine innings on the campaign. With the Reds getting their second look at the rookie right-hander this season there's little reason for optimism heading into this start. Mike Minor will get another turn in the Reds rotation. He actually held up well in his most recent start, allowing just two earned runs over six frames against Atlanta but Cincinnati still gave up nine runs in a blowout loss. Overall, Minor has been generally awful this season, recording a 7.34 FIP and 1.48 WHIP while yielding just north of 6.8 runs per nine innings. I mentioned the two bullpens - Pittsburgh's relief corps checks in sporting a 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over the last seven games (and that's before last night's drubbing against the Yankees) while the Reds 'pen has posted an 8.44 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over the same stretch (also prior to giving up six runs in the 9th and 10th innings against the Mets last night). Take the over (9*). |
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07-06-22 | Royals v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Astros offense has been on fire lately but let's keep in mind this is a team that averages just 4.5 runs per game at home this season. As they look to post a ninth consecutive victory on Wednesday, I believe some regression at the plate could be in order. Royals starter Brad Keller will be tasked with cooling Houston off. He's actually been better than I anticipated this season, posting a 4.35 FIP and 1.33 WHIP. While those numbers aren't impressive by any means, Keller has been at his best lately, recording a 2.16 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over his last three outings. The Royals bullpen behind Keller owns an ugly ERA north of 5.00 over the last seven games but that doesn't tell the whole story as they've also posted a collective 1.16 WHIP over that stretch. Houston will hand the ball to Cristian Javier, who is quietly putting together an A.L. Cy Young-contending campaign. Javier has posted a sparkling 2.57 FIP and 0.96 WHIP while allowing just 2.58 runs per nine innings. Should the Houston bullpen be called upon here, we'll note that they've recorded a 0.88 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-06-22 | Mystics v. Dream +6 | 85-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Washington at 8 pm et on Wednesday. Washington has been far too soft defensively to warrant being a considerable road favorite against the Dream in Atlanta on Wednesday. The Mystics have allowed 30+ made field goals in six of their last nine games, despite seven of those opponents getting off fewer than 70 field goal attempts. Atlanta figures to take full advantage, noting that it has knocked down 31 and 33 field goals in its last two contests and has generally been forcing the issue offensively this season, hoisting up 70+ FG attempts in six of its last nine games. Defensively, we've seen the Dream tighten things up lately, limiting three of their last four opponents to 27 or fewer made field goals. Meanwhile, Washington has made good on fewer than 30 field goals in five of its last seven games overall. Take Atlanta (8*). |
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07-06-22 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Wednesday. I'm anticipating a well-pitched game from both sides on Wednesday as the Cardinals send Miles Mikolas to the hill against Max Fried of the Braves. Mikolas is having another fine season, recording a 3.49 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing just under 3.0 runs per nine innings. Perhaps even more impressive is the bullpen behind him - particularly of late - as the Cards relief corps' has posted a collective 1.40 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over the last seven games. While Mikolas has pitched well, Braves ace Max Fried has been even better. He checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.52 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while giving up only 2.75 runs per nine innings. The Braves bullpen hasn't been lights out lately but might not be asked to do too much here given the fact that Fried averages 6 1/3 innings per start this season. Take the under (9*). |
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07-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia -1.5 runs over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. How many more opportunities will we get to fade Nationals starter Josiah Gray? The Nats' were a home favorite in his most recent start against the Marlins and he missed the mark again, yielding six earned runs on 10 hits over 5 2/3 innings. Gray had admittedly been pitching well over a five-start stretch previously but that success wasn't sustainable. He checks in sporting a 4.99 FIP and 1.27 WHIP while allowing north of 4.3 runs per nine innings this season. Behind Gray is an awful Nats' bullpen that has recorded a collective 6.04 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last seven games and that's actually an improvement over their season numbers on the road (6.48 ERA and 1.58 WHIP). Philadelphia will counter with Aaron Nola. He's often the forgotten arm in a solid Phillies starting rotation but he continues to pitch effectively. Nola owns a 2.94 FIP and 0.92 WHIP this season, giving up only 3.21 runs per nine innings. The Philadelphia bullpen remains in terrific form, having posted a sparkling 1.17 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Philadelphia -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-06-22 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 9 | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The 'under' has cashed in each of the Yankees last three games and also in consecutive games involving the Pirates. I look for a reversal of that trend on Wednesday as New York sends Luis Severino to the mound against Mitch Keller of the Pirates. Severino hasn't pitched poorly by any means but he hasn't been lights out either. The right-hander checks in sporting a 3.65 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.5 runs per nine innings. Both his home runs and walks allowed per nine innings are up in comparison to his career averages, keeping in mind this would be his first full season since 2018. Mitch Keller has been as advertised for the Buccos this season, recording a 4.04 FIP and 1.53 WHIP while giving up just under 5.3 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates bullpen owns an ugly 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over the last seven games, leaving the door open for late runs in this one. Rather than lay the -1.5 runs at an inflated price with the Yankees, we'll go the totals route here. Take the over (8*). |
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07-06-22 | Mets -161 v. Reds | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on New York over Cincinnati a 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. We missed with the Mets last night as they couldn't muster any offense in Max Scherzer's return to the rotation, losing that game by a 1-0 score in walk-off fashion. They'll bounce back on Wednesday as they hand the ball to a rejuvenated David Peterson. The fact that New York is sending a left-handed starter to the hill is notable as the Reds have gone a woeful 7-16 against southpaws this season, including six consecutive losses heading into this one. Peterson has righted the ship after a rocky start to his campaign, lowering his FIP to 3.78 and his WHIP to 1.20 thanks to consecutive strong outings. While Peterson has yielded an ugly 3.4 walks per nine innings this season he hasn't handed out a single free pass over his last two starts. Graham Ashcraft will counter for Cincinnati. The books seems to be out on the rookie right-hander as he has struggled mightily over his last several outings (save for a solid performance against the reeling Giants). He owns a 4.15 FIP and 1.24 WHIP on the season, allowing north of 4.5 runs per nine innings. While the Reds bullpen held up well last night, that doesn't change the fact that they've recorded an awful 8.44 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over their last seven games. In stark contrast, the Mets 'pen has posted a 3.47 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over the same stretch. Take New York (10*). |
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07-06-22 | Angels -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 5-2 | Win | 101 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Miami at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the Marlins last night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Angels, on the run-line, on Wednesday. Los Angeles is struggling right now having lost four games in a row. After getting blown out in the first two of those four losses they've been close in the last two, dropping two and one-run decisions. Here, I expect them to finally get over the hump with Shohei Ohtani on the mound. Ohtani checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.52 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while allowing only 2.68 runs per nine innings. He's been lights out over his last few starts in particular, not allowing a single earned run over those three outings. It's been a much different story for Marlins starter Trevor Rogers. He has posted a 4.75 FIP and 1.59 WHIP while yielding just shy of 6.0 runs per nine frames this season. While the Marlins do have the advantage in the later innings given their bullpen's recent form, I'm not convinced that's enough to make the difference here. Noting that all but one of the Angels 16 road wins this season have come by 2+ runs, I'm comfortable laying the extra run with the Halos on Wednesday. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (10*). |
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07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Wednesday. The two bullpens stepped in and saved the day for 'under' bettors in this matchup last night. The A's have now seen the 'under' go 4-0-1 over their last five games. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however. Jose Berrios will get the start for the struggling Blue Jays. He's not having a good season - not by any stretch of the imagination. Berrios owns a 5.17 FIP and 1.43 WHIP and has been tagged for north of 5.7 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Wednesday, A's starter James Kaprielian, has arguably been even worse. He checks in sporting a 5.75 FIP and 1.38 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.6 runs per nine innings. While the two bullpens bring solid recent form into this contest, I'm not anticipating them delivering another clean sheet on Wednesday afternoon. Take the over (8*). |
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07-05-22 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Colorado at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. While we're talking about a smaller sample size innings-wise, there's really no comparison between Dodgers starter Mitch White and German Marquez of the Rockies. White has posted a 3.84 FIP and 1.19 WHIP this season and has had a bit of hard luck in allowing just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings. He's allowing 2.5 fewer hits, 0.6 fewer home runs and 0.5 fewer walks per nine innings compared to the veteran Marquez this season. Marquez sports a 4.98 FIP and 1.54 WHIP and yields north of 6.5 runs per nine innings. The bullpen comparison is no contest either as the Rockies relief corps has posted a collective 5.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the road while the Dodgers 'pen owns a 3.65 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-05-22 | Blue Jays -180 v. A's | 3-5 | Loss | -180 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. We'll take a flyer with Yusei Kikuchi and the Blue Jays on Tuesday, betting that Kikuchi's turnaround in his most recent start wasn't a fluke and perhaps the beginning of a positive stretch for the left-hander. Kikuchi allowed just one earned run over six innings in that victory over the Rays last time out. He should be happy to face a former divisional rival that he's had some success against in the A's on Tuesday, noting that Oakland checks in a woeful 9-18 while averaging just 3.0 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. A's spot starter Adrian Martinez had a nice outing against the light-hitting Tigers earlier in the campaign but his second start didn't go nearly as well as the Mariners reached him for seven earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings last time out. After getting baffled by left-hander Cole Irvin last night, look for the Blue Jays bats to wake up against the righty Martinez here. While the A's bullpen has been terrific lately, it still sports an ugly 5.12 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with four saves converted and six blown at home this season. The Jays 'pen has recorded a 3.23 ERA and 1.21 WHIP on the road. Take Toronto (8*). |
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07-05-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a low-scoring contest between these two N.L. Central rivals yesterday as the Brewers walked it off in a 5-2 extra innings victory. I expect a different story to unfold on Tuesday as the hitters should have plenty of success in this one. Cubs veteran right-hander Kyle Hendricks has had an up-and-down season, perhaps with more downs than ups. He owns a 4.75 FIP and 1.29 WHIP while allowing just shy of 4.8 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Jason Alexander. He's arguably been slightly worse than Hendricks, recording a 4.35 FIP and 1.70 WHIP while giving up 4.7 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens have been serviceable lately but are showing some signs of wear with neither team enjoying an off day since June 27th. The two 'pens have worked 32 and 28 2/3 innings, respectively, over the last seven games with the Cubs relief corps having posted a 3.37 ERA and 1.31 WHIP over that stretch and the Brewers checking in with a 3.45 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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07-05-22 | Sun -5 v. Wings | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
WNBA Game of the Year. My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Tuesday. While the Sun have won just twice in their last five games, including an narrow two-point victory over Washington last time out, I believe they're on the cusp of going on another run. Connecticut has certainly been 'filling it up' lately, knocking down 31, 27, 32 and 30 field goals over its last four games. Now it draws a favorable matchup against a Dallas defense that has yielded its last two opponents 34 and 37 made field goals (on 76+ attempts). In fact, the Wings have allowed 28+ made field goals in 10 of their last 11 contests. Only one of Connecticut's last five opponents has managed to knock down more than 27 field goals. I like the way the Sun have been limiting their opponents scoring opportunities, allowing fewer than 70 FG attempts in six consecutive games. While Dallas did make good on 33-of-66 FG attempts last time out against Los Angeles, it is just one game removed from shooting a miserable 17-of-59 against a subpar Minnesota defense. Dallas has made 30+ field goals only twice in its last five contests. Dallas snuck away with a victory in Connecticut in the first meeting between these two teams this season but revenge was sweet for the Sun as they won by 31 points two nights later. Here, we'll note that Connecticut is on a 19-6 ATS run against Western Conference opponents, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 8.4 points. Take Connecticut (10*). |
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07-05-22 | Mets -190 v. Reds | 0-1 | Loss | -190 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. The fact that we're able to back the Mets at better than a -200 price point (at the time of writing) represents value in my opinion as they welcome Mad Max Scherzer back to the hill against the lowly Reds. We won with New York last night and I see no reason not to go right back to the well here. Scherzer, prior to getting hurt, had posted a terrific 2.95 FIP and 0.95 WHIP this season, yielding only 2.72 runs per nine innings. There's little reason for the Mets to rush their ace back so I'm confident he's good to go here. Of course, behind Scherzer is a solid Mets bullpen that has posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over the last seven games. That's in stark contrast to the Reds 'pen, which owns a ridiculous 9.94 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over the same stretch and has blown five saves while converting only four at home this season. Rookie Nick Lodolo will counter Scherzer on Tuesday. He's only seen limited action so far but has not surprisingly struggled, posting a 4.61 FIP and 1.57 WHIP while allowing north of 5.5 runs per nine frames. Take New York (8*). |
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07-05-22 | Cardinals +130 v. Braves | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
N.L. Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on St. Louis over Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Tuesday. This is undoubtedly the Cardinals best opportunity to steal a win in this series as from here the starting pitching matchups only get tougher with the Braves sending Max Fried and impressive rookie Spencer Strider to the hill the next two days. On Tuesday, St. Louis will hand the ball to Andre Pallante. He's been quietly effective at the back-end of its rotation, posting a 4.10 FIP and 1.31 WHIP while allowing only 2.1 runs per nine innings this season. I like the fact that he's shown the ability to work relatively deep into ball games, lasting at least into the sixth inning in each of his last three starts. Behind Pallante is a Cardinals bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a 2.96 ERA and 1.06 WHIP over the last seven games. Ian Anderson will get the start for Atlanta. He's battled command issues all season, recording a 4.58 FIP and 1.52 WHIP while yielding north of 5.4 runs per nine innings. You would have to go back three Anderson starts to find the last time the Braves won a game with the right-hander on the mound. Atlanta's relief corps entered last night's contest with a 5.64 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, not to mention three blown saves (to go along with three converted) over its previous seven contests. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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07-05-22 | Angels v. Marlins -135 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Los Angeles at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Marlins enter this short two-game set against the Angels on a roll, having reeled off five straight victories - a streak that started with a come-from-behind win in St. Louis in which tonight's starter, Sandy Alcantara, tossed a complete game. The Angels have lost three consecutive games and will hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard on Tuesday. He's certainly pitched well but I believe the Halos have stretched him a little thin, leaving him in for 7+ innings in each of his last two outings. Syndergaard owns a 3.74 FIP and 1.18 WHIP this season while allowing 4.13 runs per nine innings. While those are solid numbers, they don't match up with Alcantara. The Marlins ace has recorded Cy Young Award-caliber numbers this season, with a 3.02 FIP and 0.95 WHIP while giving up only 2.5 runs per nine innings. It's a similar story as far as the two bullpens go as the Marlins are in better form, having posted a collective 3.48 ERA and 1.11 WHIP with four saves converted and one blown over their last seven games. The Angels 'pen has been overworked, called upon to log 30 innings over the last seven contests while recording a 4.50 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-05-22 | Mariners v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Tuesday. We have a fine starting pitching matchup as the Mariners and Padres wrap up their brief two-game interleague series on Tuesday afternoon in San Diego. Logan Gilbert will take the ball for Seattle. He's been terrific in his second big league season, posting a 3.46 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while allowing just 2.95 runs per nine innings. While the Mariners bullpen did cough up a couple of meaningless runs in the ninth inning yesterday, that unit has performed exceptionally well lately, recording a collective 2.21 ERA and 0.79 WHIP over the last seven games (prior to yesterday's contest). Padres starter Mike Clevinger is back in the bigs after missing the entire 2021 campaign due to injury and he seemingly hasn't missed a beat. He checks in with a 3.35 FIP and 1.10 WHIP, giving up just 3.1 runs per nine innings this season. That's all the more impressive when you consider he stumbled in his first two outings. Over his last four starts, Clevinger has allowed just two earned runs in 18 innings of work. While the Padres bullpen has struggled lately, its long-term track record gives me confidence, particularly here at home. Entering yesterday's game, the Pads' relief corps had recorded a collective 3.02 ERA and 0.90 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-04-22 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Monday. These two teams are coming off very different results on Sunday as the Twins failed to complete the sweep of the Orioles, falling by a 3-1 score at home, while the White Sox wrapped up an impressive sweep of the Giants in San Francisco, delivering a 13-4 victory. Here, I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair as these two A.L. Central rivals square off in Chicago. Dylan Bundy will take the ball for Minnesota. He's had an up-and-down season to be sure but does bring solid form into this start having allowed just four earned runs over his last three starts, spanning 19 innings of work. Bundy checks in sporting a 4.32 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the season but what I like about him is the fact that he doesn't walk a ton of batters, yielding just 1.8 walks per nine innings. White Sox starter Johnny Cueto is having a fine season, recording a 4.15 FIP and 1.17 WHIP while allowing just 3.5 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has posted the second best FIP in baseball over the last week, checking in with a 2.22 mark. For their part, Twins relievers have recorded a terrific 3.18 FIP over the same stretch, 11th best in the majors for that time frame. Take the under (10*). |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 7:30 pm et on Monday. While the two-time defending champion Blue Bombers are off to a perfect 3-0 start it's important to keep things in perspective as those three victories came against the RedBlacks and Tiger-Cats - two teams that have combined to go 0-7 to start the season. The Argos are coming off an embarrassing 44-3 road defeat at the hands of the red hot Lions. I'm confident they can make amends for that poor performance back home, where they opened the campaign with a narrow one-point win over the Alouettes. I had the Argos rated as one of the league's best defensive teams entering the season and saw nothing to change my mind in their season-opener. After getting blasted by the Lions there's certainly reason for pause, but I'm willing to give them a 'mulligan' for that poor effort and look for a positive response here. The Blue Bombers offense hasn't looked the same without RB Andrew Harris (who now plays for Toronto but is listed as questionable for this game due to injury). They've scored just 64 points through three games with QB Zach Collaros topping out at 21 pass completions (he's completed just 54-of-80 pass attempts so far this season). WR Nic Demski hauled in six catches for 96 yards last time out against Hamilton but he's now sidelined with an injury. As the two-time defending champs, Winnipeg is going to get every opponents' best punch and I expect nothing different on Monday. Take Toronto (8*). |
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07-04-22 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 169.5 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 7 pm et on Monday. The most recent meeting between these two teams totalled only 155 points so not surprisingly we're dealing with a lower posted total this time around. I'm not sure we've seen enough of an adjustment though. The Mercury have done a nice job of limiting their opponents scoring opportunities lately, allowing 67 or fewer field goal attempts in six straight games. They allowed 91 points in their most recent contest - a blowout loss against Chicago as the Sky quite simply shot the lights out (30-of-57 from the field). While Los Angeles has been 'filling it up' lately, making good on 37 and 30 field goals over its last two contests I expect it to run into a speedbump here. Note that the Sparks have tightened things up defensively, allowing 27 or fewer made field goals in three of their last four games. You would have to go back five games to find the last time Los Angeles allowed 70+ field goal attempts. With Phoenix playing its second game in three days and Los Angeles in a 3-in-4 situation, I'm not convinced either side will be interested in a track meet here. Take the under (10*). |
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07-04-22 | Mets -161 v. Reds | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Monday. The Mets have a significant advantage in a number of different departments in this game with starting pitching at the forefront. Taijuan Walker will take the ball for New York. He's been in excellent form, checking in with a 1.80 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts. Of course that's nothing new as Walker owns a 3.09 FIP and 1.17 WHIP, allowing just 2.85 runs per nine innings on the season. His counterpart on Monday will be Hunter Greene. His rookie season hasn't gone swimmingly as he's recorded a 5.53 FIP and 1.34 WHIP, yielding north of 5.8 runs per nine frames. The Reds bullpen behind Greene doesn't instill much confidence as that group entered yesterday's action having posted a 10.08 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over the last seven games. At home this season, Cincinnati has recorded only four saves while blowing four as well. In stark contrast, the Mets 'pen entered yesterday's play sporting a 3.37 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven games, recording three saves without blowing any over that stretch. Take New York (9*). |
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07-04-22 | Giants -175 v. Diamondbacks | 3-8 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Arizona at 6:10 pm et on Monday. We missed with the Giants yesterday as they dropped their third straight game against the White Sox, in blowout fashion no less. With that being said, I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them on Monday as they hit the road to face the division rival D'Backs in Arizona. San Francisco has a considerable starting pitching advantage in this one with Carlos Rodon going against Madison Bumgarner of the D'Backs. Rodon has been terrific this season - Cy Young-caliber even - recording a 2.29 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while allowing only 2.72 runs per nine innings. Bumgarner, meanwhile, owns a 4.70 FIP and 1.37 WHIP and has been tagged for north of 4.4 runs per nine innings. The bullpen matchup isn't any better for the Snakes. Their relief corps' entered yesterday's action sporting a 5.11 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the last seven games. The Giants 'pen had posted a 1.91 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over the same stretch. Take San Francisco (9*). |
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07-04-22 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Tampa Bay and Boston at 1:35 pm et on Monday. Most are expecting plenty of offensive fireworks on the Fourth of July at Fenway Park but I look for a different story to unfold as these two A.L. East rivals do battle. We have a sneaky-good starting pitching matchup here with the Rays sending Jalen Beeks to the hill against Michael Wacha of the Red Sox. Beeks has posted a 3.69 FIP and 1.08 WHIP in 33 1/3 innings of work this season, yielding only 2.7 runs per nine innings. Former Ray Michael Wacha has been more than serviceable for the Red Sox, recording a 3.97 FIP and 1.11 WHIP, giving up 2.94 runs per nine frames. The Rays just finished beating up on the Blue Jays pitching staff but I don't expect them to do the same against Boston. Given the total we're being offered in the first five innings, I don't feel we need to mess with the bullpens in this contest. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-04-22 | Rangers v. Orioles -103 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore first five innings over Texas at 1:05 pm et on Monday. Orioles starter Dean Kremer has done nothing but impress since laboring through his first start against the Guardians this season, allowing just one earned run over his last four outings, spanning 23 2/3 innings of work. Kremer checks in with an impressive 3.08 FIP and 1.14 WHIP in 28 innings this season, allowing only 1.61 runs per nine innings. Dane Dunning will counter for Texas on Monday. He's had a number of quality outings spoiled by a lack of run support and while that could very well turn out to be the issue again here, we'll note that Dunning's overall numbers aren't great. He has recorded a 4.03 FIP and 1.34 WHIP, giving up just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings. We're not interested in the bullpen matchup here as the O's relief corps has seemingly hit a wall lately while the Rangers 'pen has thrived. Instead we'll back the O's in the first five innings as they look to build on the momentum gained from yesterday's victory in Minnesota. Take Baltimore first five innings (8*). |
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07-03-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. St. Louis saw its three-game 'under' streak come to an end in a wild 7-6 victory over Philadelphia yesterday. Here, I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair. Adam Wainwright will take the ball for the Cardinals. He's having a 'turn back the clock' type of season, posting a 3.37 FIP and 1.25 WHIP, yielding less than 3.2 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Sunday will be Zack Wheeler. He's labored through his last couple of outings but his overall numbers are still terrific as he's recorded a 2.53 FIP and 1.10 WHIP, allowing just 3.33 runs per nine innings. While the Cardinals bullpen has inexplicably blown four saves over the last week it has still posted solid numbers, a collective 3.54 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over the last seven contests. The Phillies 'pen checks in sporting a 0.99 ERA and 0.62 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-03-22 | White Sox v. Giants -105 | 13-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Chicago at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito continues to labor through what has been a trying campaign so far as he checks into Sunday's start sporting a 4.78 FIP and 1.53 WHIP. He's giving up just shy of 5.6 runs per nine innings. With the bullpens a virtual wash in this matchup given recent form, I'm comfortable fading Giolito at nearly a pk'em price. John Brebbia is expected to get the start for the Giants, likely in an 'opener' role. Brebbia has pitched well this season, recording a 2.04 FIP and 1.20 WHIP in 33 1/3 innings of work. In fact, he's quietly been effective over the course of his big league career, with a 3.29 FIP and 1.16 WHIP across five seasons, working 226 2/3 innings. Take San Francisco (9*). |
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07-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
MLB First Five Innings Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Arizona and Colorado at 3:10 pm et on Sunday. The first two games in this series have not surprisingly been high-scoring but we have the best starting pitching matchup of the series on Sunday as the D'Backs send Zac Gallen to the hill against Chad Kuhl of the Rockies. I look for this one to get off to a much lower-scoring start at least. Gallen owns a 3.75 FIP and 1.05 WHIP this season, allowing just 3.67 runs per nine innings. He's coming off a poor performance in his most recent start but that was in a tough situation as he was facing the Padres for a second straight outing (in the span of less than a week). He's held the Rockies to two earned runs or less in seven of his eight career starts against them, including no runs over seven innings in his lone previous start against them this season. Chad Kuhl is quietly enjoying a terrific campaign in his first year with the Rockies. He's thrived at hitter-friendly Coors Field, posting a 2.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in six starts. Kuhl checks in with a 3.95 FIP and 1.31 WHIP, yielding 3.72 runs per nine innings. In his most recent start he tossed a complete game shutout against the Dodgers (we won with the 'under' in that game). Rather than deal with two subpar bullpens in this matchup, we'll stick with the first five innings 'under' only. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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07-02-22 | Red Sox -140 v. Cubs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Game of the Month. My selection is on Boston over Chicago at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. The Cubs got the better of the Red Sox yesterday afternoon but I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday. Josh Winckowski will take the ball for Boston on Saturday. While he’s only worked 20 innings at the big league level, he has impressed, posting a 3.38 FIP and 1.45 WHIP. He’s giving up only 3.6 runs per nine innings. Alec Mills will counter for the Cubs on Saturday. He has recorded 8.27 FIP and 1.73 WHIP in 17 1/3 innings of work this season. Opponents are averaging more than 10 runs per nine innings off of him this season (small sample size, I know). Look for Boston to get back at Chicago here. Take Boston (10*). |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan UNDER 46 | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Saskatchewan at 7 pm et on Saturday. Last week we saw these two teams combine to score 50 points in an Als blowout victory in Montreal. I expect a different story to unfold in Saturday's rematch in Regina. Note that the Als set the tone for that relatively high-scoring affair by returning the opening kickoff for a touchdown. The only offensive touchdown scored prior to garbage time inside the final two minutes of the fourth quarter came early in the second quarter on a Riders defensive breakdown (70-yard touchdown pass by Montreal). I expect a sharper performance from the Saskatchewan defense here at home. On the flip side, the Riders will be without WR Shaq Evans. Montreal has held up reasonably well defensively so far this season, yielding just 63 points through three games, despite playing two of its three contests on the road. While the Als will have QB Vernon Adams Jr. back in the fold for this one, I'm actually not certain that helps their offense as Trevor Harris filled in admirably over the last two games. Take the under (8*). |
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07-02-22 | Braves -167 v. Reds | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta over Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Braves on the run-line last night and I like them again in this one as they send rookie Spencer Strider to the hill against Tyler Mahle of the Reds. Strider continues to impress in his rookie campaign, posting a 2.20 FIP and 1.08 WHIP while yielding only 3.35 runs per nine innings. Mahle has labored through the season, recording a 3.38 FIP and 1.27 WHIP, giving up north of 4.7 runs per nine innings. The real issue for the Reds is their bullpen, which has struggled mightily, posting a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). The Braves ‘pen has recorded a collective 2.48 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with 13 saves converted and only three blown on the road this season. Take Atlanta (8*). |
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07-02-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles +1.5 runs over Houston at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. I like the advantage the Angels have with Saturday’s starting pitching matchup as they send Patrick Sandoval to the hill against Jose Urquidy. Sandoval has been quietly impressive, recording a 3.21 FIP and 1.37 WHIP this season, giving up only 3.05 runs per nine innings. Urquidy has disappointed, posting a 4.83 FIP and 1.37 WHIP while yielding 4.6 runs per nine frames. Note that the Los Angeles bullpen has been terrific, posting a collective 3.50 ERA and 1.05 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night’s action). The Astros ‘pen is in poor form right now, recording a 5.40 ERA and 1.80 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Los Angeles +1.5 runs (10*). |
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07-01-22 | Rangers v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Interleague First Five Innings Game of the Month. My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Texas at 7:10 pm et on Friday. The Mets are coming off a two-game sweep at home against the Astros but I look for them to rebound on Friday, at least early on, against the Rangers. Glenn Otto will get the start for Texas. He's had command issues this season and checks in with a 5.19 FIP and 1.51 WHIP, allowing more than five walks per nine innings. Opponents are averaging north of 5.5 runs per nine innings off of the right-hander. Mets starter Chris Bassitt should be happy to face the Rangers - an old A.L. West division rival from his days with the Oakland A's. Bassitt owns a 3.93 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, allowing right around 4.1 runs per nine innings. Note that he's pitched well lately, allowing only six earned runs over his last three starts, spanning 21 1/3 innings of work. By playing the first five innings only we'll look to avoid the bullpen matchup here as the Rangers relief corps has admittedly been terrific lately, recording a collective 1.59 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over its last seven games. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -151 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 48 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Rays -120 v. Royals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
07-21-22 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 48 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
07-21-22 | Tigers -138 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
07-19-22 | American League +101 v. National League | 3-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
07-17-22 | Brewers v. Giants -164 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Mariners -138 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Reds v. Cardinals -156 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -179 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Dodgers -180 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Pirates +134 v. Rockies | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Phillies v. Marlins -157 | 2-1 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Mariners v. Rangers -111 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
07-14-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 12-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 | 32-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Dodgers -148 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Padres -159 v. Rockies | 6-10 | Loss | -159 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
07-13-22 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Reds v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
07-13-22 | Brewers v. Twins -122 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
07-12-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | 0-13 | Win | 105 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
07-12-22 | Tigers +115 v. Royals | 7-5 | Win | 115 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
07-12-22 | Dodgers -135 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
07-12-22 | Brewers v. Twins -130 | 6-3 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
07-12-22 | Mets v. Braves -148 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
07-11-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
07-11-22 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
07-11-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
07-10-22 | Rays -140 v. Reds | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
07-10-22 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
07-09-22 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. BC | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
07-09-22 | Guardians -124 v. Royals | Top | 13-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
07-09-22 | Rays v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
07-09-22 | Rays -147 v. Reds | 4-5 | Loss | -147 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
07-09-22 | Twins v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Giants +139 v. Padres | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 45 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
07-08-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 9 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Yankees -142 v. Red Sox | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Angels v. Orioles -137 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
07-08-22 | Rays -156 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -156 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 6.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Cardinals v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox +1.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
07-07-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
07-07-22 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Royals v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Mystics v. Dream +6 | 85-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 9 | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
07-06-22 | Mets -161 v. Reds | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
07-06-22 | Angels -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 5-2 | Win | 101 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
07-05-22 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
07-05-22 | Blue Jays -180 v. A's | 3-5 | Loss | -180 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
07-05-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
07-05-22 | Sun -5 v. Wings | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
07-05-22 | Mets -190 v. Reds | 0-1 | Loss | -190 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
07-05-22 | Cardinals +130 v. Braves | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
07-05-22 | Angels v. Marlins -135 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
07-05-22 | Mariners v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
07-04-22 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
07-04-22 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 169.5 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
07-04-22 | Mets -161 v. Reds | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
07-04-22 | Giants -175 v. Diamondbacks | 3-8 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
07-04-22 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
07-04-22 | Rangers v. Orioles -103 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
07-03-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
07-03-22 | White Sox v. Giants -105 | 13-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
07-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
07-02-22 | Red Sox -140 v. Cubs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan UNDER 46 | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
07-02-22 | Braves -167 v. Reds | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
07-02-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
07-01-22 | Rangers v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |