A WHITE HOT 42-24 the L2+ weeks, Ben Burns has an AMAZING 30-13 RECORD his L43 top-rated bets. Overall, he's an AWESOME 145-89 since April 1st!
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The Bruins have been impressive with a 40-20 record in the second half of the season and playoffs. However, the Blues have been every bit as hot (42-22) as the Bruins in the second half. They're 4-1 their past five; the lone loss came by a single goal. While both teams have had an extended break, St. Louis has had a reasonable amount of time off while Boston has had "too much" time off. Indeed, the Bruins haven't played since May 16th! That said, I'll note that the Bruins are just 1-6 the past seven times that they played with three or more day's rest. The last meeting was decided by a single goal, a 2-1 win for the Blues. I see another close one. While I'm comfortable laying the extra juice for the valuable +1.5 goals, I also like St. Louis' chances of winning this one outright. Consider the Blues.
A WHITE HOT 42-24 the L2+ weeks, Ben Burns has an AMAZING 30-13 RECORD his L43 top-rated bets. Overall, he's an AWESOME 145-89 since April 1st! While his short-term stats are INCREDIBLE, insiders know that it's Ben's long-term success with top-rated bets which really separates him from the crowd. Top-rated hoops have produced $91K IN PROFITS! Top-rated MLB has generated $77K IN PROFITS!
PICKS IN PROGRESS
I'm playing TORONTO on the run-line. (+1.5 runs) Admittedly, Paddack has been great for San Diego. Thats caused them to be road favorites here and allows us to grab an extra +1.5 runs at a reasonable price. While I like Toronto's chances of winning outright, I also feel that the +1.5 runs could come in handy. The Jays have their own candidate (Vlad Jr) for Rookie Of The Year. Off a blowout loss, they're going to be extremely hungry to bounce back and close out a disappointing homestand with a victory. Note that the Jays are 4-2 the past six times that they attempted to avenge a home loss of 10 or more runs. Stroman has also pitched well all season and has allowed just one earned run in each of his past two starts. He's got a 2.81 ERA overall and a 2.45 mark at home. The UNDER is 7-4 when he's been on the mound. In four daytime starts, Stroman's ERA dips to 2.31. In a game where runs could well be at a premium, I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 with the desperate home team and expecting AT LEAST a "run-line cover."
I'm playing on SD/Toronto UNDER the total. Yesterday's game produced 23 runs. I don't even expect to see 1/3 as many in this one. Paddack has been outstanding for the Padres. He's 7-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. (Thats the best ERA through his first nine starts of any Padre pitcher in history.) The UNDER is a profitable 7-2 in his nine starts. Stroman has also pitched well all season and has allowed just one earned run in each of his past two starts. He's got a 2.81 ERA overall and a 2.45 mark at home. The UNDER is 7-4 when he's been on the mound. In four daytime starts, Stroman's ERA dips to 2.31. In three daytime starts, Paddack's ERA is an awesome 0.57, as he's allowed just one run. Opposing batters are hitting .082 against them in those games. Expect a low-scoring affair.
In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success.
As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee.
Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats.
From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.)
Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from.
The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ.
Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets.
Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998.
Achievements in Handicapping/Sports
Top Ranked NFL Handicapper
From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper.
10 Straight Super Bowl Winners
A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting.
Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective.
Biggest Win of 2016
The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding.
Systems Used For Handicapping
Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation.
Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections.
Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays
Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include:
Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day.
Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total.
Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day.
Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television.
Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year.