Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'over' went 2-0-1 when these two clubs met in a three-game series in Oakland earlier this month but it's not as if that series was particularly high-scoring as all three games totalled eight runs or less. Here, we're dealing with a higher total with the scene shifting to Boston and I believe it will prove too high. Jared Koenig gets the nod for the A's, making his second big league start. His first didn't go particularly well but it could have been worse. He lasted four innings, allowing four earned runs on five hits against a red hot Braves lineup, on the road no less. Koenig got the call-up after pitching exceptionally well at AAA this season, recording a 2.21 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 53 innings of work. After a shaky start to the season, Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta has really turned it around, lowering his FIP to 3.56 and his WHIP to 1.14. He's giving up just north of seven hits and right around 3.8 hits per nine innings. He's faced the A's twice since last season and on both occasions tossed seven shutout innings. With both teams checking in following an off-day on Monday, it should be all hands on deck as far as the bullpens go. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm not sure Max Fried gets nearly enough credit as he's clearly one of the best starting pitchers in baseball and has been for a number of years. We've seen more of the same from Fried this season as he has recorded an impressive 2.90 FIP and 1.04 WHIP, not to mention a near 6-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Meanwhile, the Nationals are forced to turn to Jackson Tetreault on short notice after Stephen Strasburg landed back in the I.L. Tetreault has posted a 4.19 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 58 innings of work at the AAA level this season. His strikeout-to-walk ratio sits just north of 2-1 and that's against AAA hitters. While the Braves bullpen owns an edge over the Nationals relief corps at the best of times, here we find Washington's 'pen overworked, having logged north of 30 innings over their last seven games. Even if Atlanta can't break it open early, I'm confident they will late. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees beat up on Cubs pitching all weekend long but after an off-day on Monday, I suspect they'll find the going much tougher against the Rays pitching staff on Tuesday. Corey Kluber will get the start for Tampa Bay. He's pitched well this season, including in a previous start against New York in which he gave up just one earned run over six innings back on May 28th. Kluber owns a 3.65 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, highlighted by just 1.5 walks per nine innings. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Yankees starter Gerrit Cole, who looks to bounce back from an ugly outing in Minnesota last week. In that start, Cole was rocked for seven earned runs including five home runs in just 2 1/3 innings. It happens. New York actually went on to win that game by a 10-7 score so no harm, no foul I suppose. In spite of that poor performance, Cole has still posted a solid 3.58 FIP and 1.08 WHIP this season. He's allowed just north of seven hits and 3.6 runs per nine innings. Note that Cole was on the mound for that game against Kluber on May 28th and he also gave up just one earned run over six innings. I like the fact that both teams follow an off-day here, giving their bullpens some much-needed rest. Both 'pens have performed well lately with the Rays relief corps recording a 1.23 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over their last seven games and the Yanks 'pen checking in with a 1.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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06-14-22 | Latvia -1.5 v. Liechtenstein | 2-0 | Win | 107 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Latvia -1.5 goals over Liechtenstein at 2:45 pm et on Tuesday. It's difficult enough for teams in the higher Nations League divisions to get up for these last matches prior to a much-needed summer break, let alone a bottom-feeding minnow such as Liechtenstein. While Latvia paces the D division, Liechtenstein sits at the bottom, having managed just one goal in three Nations League matches - that coming against fellow minnow Andorra. Latvia only managed to defeat today's opponent by a 1-0 score in their previous meeting on June 6th. It wasn't for lack of trying, however, as the Latvians pressed for 90 minutes, possessing the ball at a 62% clip while firing an incredible 20 shots from inside the box. They made a whopping 376 accurate passes in the match compared to 196 by Liechtenstein. While Liechtenstein does have the benefit of home field advantage for this rematch, I expect Latvia to be all-business as it looks to wrap up a perfect group stage in convincing fashion. Take Latvia -1.5 goals (9*). |
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06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 1:15 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a high-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Cardinals won by a 7-5 score. The 'over' has now cashed in three straight games involving the Cards and I expect that streak to continue in Game 1 of Tuesday's double-header in St. Louis. Pirates starter JT Brubaker hasn't pitched well this season, posting a 4.35 FIP and 1.42 WHIP. Interestingly, that FIP is actually lower than his career number of 4.71. Cards rookie Matthew Liberatore has been far worse, even though we are talking about a small sample size of just three starts. He has recorded a 7.45 FIP and 1.85 WHIP. He checks in allowing over 11 hits and five walks per nine innings. Add in two struggling bullpens and I'm counting on plenty of offense on Tuesday. Take the over (8*). |
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06-13-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
Interleague Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. Scoring runs hasn't been a problem for the Royals lately. Keeping their opponents' bats at bay has been. Kansas City checks in having scored 8, 7, 8 , 4 and 7 runs over its last five games, recording double-digit hit totals in each of those contests. On the flip side, they've been lit up for 10+ hits in seven of their last eight games, allowing 5+ runs on six occasions over that stretch. I expect more of the same on Monday, even as they travel to San Francisco to face a Giants club that has seen the 'under' go 5-0-2 over its last seven contests. After facing Clayton Kershaw and Julio Urias over the last two games, Royals starter Brady Singer will offer a welcome change of pace for the Giants on Monday. Singer is allowing well north of nine hits and just shy of two home runs per nine innings this season with a disappointing 4.16 FIP. He hasn't issued a single walk over his last three starts yet still gave up 13 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings, which is telling. Giants starter Alex Wood is coming off a dominant seven-inning performance against the Rockies last time out but those type of performances have been few and far between. He sports a 4.74 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in five home starts this season. Like Singer, he is also giving up north of nine hits per nine innings and while he's done a good job of keeping the ball in the park, he does yield 2.4 walks per nine innings. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is a long-term 36-17 when the Royals play on the road against N.L. West opponents with those games averaging 10.0 total runs. The 'over' is also 16-6 with the Giants coming off an underdog win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 8.3 runs. Take the over (10*). |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week. My selection is on Boston plus the points over Golden State at 9 pm et on Monday. Most had probably written the Warriors off at the end of the first half in Game 4 on Friday as they coughed up a second quarter lead and went into the break down by five points, looking down-trodden at best. From there, Steph Curry took over, lifting them to a much-needed victory to even this series at two games apiece. Now it's the Celtics turn to respond and I expect them to do just that on Monday. Note that Golden State knocked down 40 field goals for the first time in this series on Friday, but only got there thanks to getting off 91 field goal attempts. I don't expect that same pace to be there for the Warriors on Monday, however. In three meetings between these two teams in San Francisco this season, Boston has held Golden State to 86, 88 and 86 field goal attempts. It's certainly worth noting that the Celtics have allowed fewer than 40 made field goals in all seven games following a loss in these playoffs. They've also gone a perfect 7-0 in those contests. Note that Boston checks in 10-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss this season and 15-5 ATS when coming off an outright loss as a favorite, with both situations coming into play following Friday's 107-97 loss. Take Boston (10*). |
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06-13-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While it may not garner much attention, Monday's series-opener between the Marlins and Phillies features a tremendous starting pitching matchup between Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola. Alcantara is an early N.L. Cy Young candidate - or should be at least. He probably doesn't get enough press since he pitches in Miami where the Marlins haven't been relevant for years. All Alcantara has done is post a 1.61 ERA and 0.94 WHIP not to mention a sub-2.00 FIP (1.96). While his 2.6 walks per nine innings are somewhat concerning, he's negated those by allowing just 5.9 hits and striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. Aaron Nola is coming off one of his best outings of the young season for the Phillies. He has seen his ERA drop to 3.50 and WHIP to 0.88. He's right there with Alcantara with a 3.24 FIP. Nola does allow right around a hit more per nine innings than Alcantara but also issues just 1.2 walk on average. While both bullpens have had their issues at times this season, I don't rate either offense all that high and feel we're in for a pitcher's duel on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-13-22 | Israel v. Iceland OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Iceland and Israel at 2:45 pm et on Monday. I'll keep it simple with this play. These two countries just met on the pitch back on June 2nd and the result was a 2-2 draw. Israel has now gone 10 consecutive matches without recording a clean sheet and I expect that streak to remain intact as it travels to face Iceland for a rematch on Monday. It's a similar story for Iceland as it had conceded at least a goal in seven consecutive contests prior to posting a 1-0 victory over minnow San Marino in an international friendly on June 9th. Both sides are vulnerable at the back-end and both have what I would consider second-rate keepers between the sticks. I also feel that both offensive attacks are very underrated - Israel in particular. Note that the 'over' 2.5 has now come through in nine of Israel's last 10 matches while Iceland has conceded first in five of its last six contests, with both sides scoring in six of its last eight. We'll take a flyer with the 'over' at a generous return again here. Take the over (6*). |
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06-12-22 | Storm v. Wings UNDER 159.5 | Top | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Dallas at 4 pm et on Sunday. We're dealing with a considerably higher total than we saw in the front half of this two-game set between the Storm and Wings in Dallas on Friday. That game finished with a whopping 177 points. Keep in mind, these two teams just met last week in Seattle and reached only 119 points. I believe Sunday's total will prove too high. Seattle absolutely shot the lights out on Friday night, knocking down 37-of-67 field goal attempts. The Storm also turned in an uncharacteristically poor defensive performance, allowing 30 made field goals. Here, I look for Seattle to 'manage' proceedings somewhat as it continues a tough five-game in 10-night road trip. Dallas checks in averaging just 26-of-68 shooting here at home this season. On the flip side, the Wings have held opponents to 29-of-64 shooting in the host role and should make the necessary adjustments after getting lit up by the Storm on Friday. Note that the 'under' is 12-4 with the Storm coming off consecutive wins over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 153.8 points. Take the under (10*). |
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06-12-22 | Portugal v. Switzerland OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Switzerland and Portugal at 2:45 pm et on Sunday. No Cristiano Ronaldo, among others, for Portugal on Sunday but I still expect it to find the back of the net without much resistance from a Swiss side that has had a miserable time dealing with numerous key defensive absences and ailments in Nations League play. Switzerland is now winless in its last five matches, failing to post a clean sheet in any of those contests and I would anticipate a similar story unfolding here. I do, however, expect the Swiss to find some offensive success here after getting shut out by Spain last time out. Of course, that was their second straight match failing to score after a 4-0 drubbing at the hands of the same Portugal side they'll face on Sunday back on June 5th. They're likely to face a slightly weaker version this time around, however, opening the door for them to perhaps close the gap. With Portugal having struck first in five of its last six matches, Switzerland will undoubtedly come out with an attacking mindset here as it looks to finally break the seal again having not scored since a 2-1 loss to the Czech Republic on June 2nd. Take the over (10*). |
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06-12-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Miami at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. Marlins starter Edward Cabrera is off to a terrific start this season, allowing just one earned run in 12 innings of work. Of course, he's been able to pitch comfortably in both of those outings as his team's bats absolutely exploded, putting up 14 runs against Colorado and 12 runs against Washington. I expect a much different story to unfold today as the Marlins go up against Astros ace Justin Verlander. Verlander hardly pitched over the last two seasons but has come back strong here in 2022, posting a 2.13 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 71 2/3 innings of work. The Astros check in 7-1 over his last eight outings, winning four of those games by at least two runs, including a 4-1 victory over Seattle earlier this week - a game in which Verlander allowed only one earned run while striking out a season-high 12 in seven innings. Here, we'll note that the Marlins are a woeful 1-10 when coming off five consecutive games in which they allowed four runs or less over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by 2.5 runs on average in that situation. After dropping the first two games in this series we'll look for the Astros to bounce back big on Sunday. Take Houston -1.5 (10*). |
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06-11-22 | Aces v. Sparks UNDER 174.5 | 89-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Las Vegas and Los Angeles at 9 pm et on Saturday. The most recent meeting between these two teams saw the Aces set a WNBA three-point record in a 104-76 rout, easily cruising 'over' the posted total on that night. I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday, however, yet we're being afforded a considerably higher total. The Sparks have had a tough enough time just getting shots off lately, attempting only 56, 56 and 59 field goals over their last three games. That's obviously not going to cut it against a team as strong as the Aces. With that being said, I'm not convinced the Sparks are interested in getting involved in another track meet here. Las Vegas hasn't played in nearly a week, last taking the floor in an 84-78 win over Dallas last Sunday. Note that only one of the Aces last four games has managed to go 'over' the total we're working with tonight. Take the under (8*). |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
My selection is on New York +1.5 goals over Tampa Bay at 8 pm et on Saturday. The Lightning were left for dead in this series by some after digging an 0-2 hole entering Game 3 last Sunday. They also trailed Game 3 by two goals in the second period before rallying for a 3-2 victory. Save for their 4-1 Game 4 victory nothing has come all that easy for the Bolts in this series and that's to be expected as they're getting the Rangers best punch as they try to march on to their third straight Stanley Cup Final (and potential championship). I don't expect the Blueshirts to go away quietly on Saturday and we'll gladly grab the insurance goal as they try to stave off elimination. Note that New York checks in 11-3 after allowing 3+ goals in three consecutive games this season, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal on average in that situation. The Rangers have allowed just 1.6 goals per game and outscored opponents by 1.2 goals on average when playing on the road seeking revenge for three consecutive losses against an opponent over the last two seasons (11-game sample size), as is the case here. Finally, we'll note that Tampa Bay is just 2-7 and has been outscored by an average margin of 2.2 goals after winning eight or more of its last 10 games this season, which is also the situation here. Take New York +1.5 goals (10*). |
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06-11-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Miami at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Astros have had a miserable week so far but I look for them to bounce back from Friday's loss on Saturday afternoon against Miami. Framber Valdez has arguably been the Astros most reliable starter this season, going 6-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Braxton Garrett has made just one start for the Marlins this season but his career numbers aren't all that encouraging. In 45 career big league innings he has posted a 5.19 FIP, allowing 11 hits and 5.2 walks per nine innings. While his strikeout numbers are there, he's not likely going to get a loaded Astros lineup chasing too often on Saturday. We'll lay the extra run with Houston here, noting that it has won each of Valdez's last five starts by multiple runs. Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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06-11-22 | Brewers -159 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -159 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Washington at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. The Brewers finally have a true pitching mismatch in their favor on Saturday as they look to end their ugly seven-game losing streak. The Nats are just 8-12 against left-handed starters this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.1 runs in those games. They'll face a southpaw in Eric Lauer on Saturday. Lauer has posted a 3.68 FIP this season, compared to Patrick Corbin's 4.23 ledger. Lauer has also recorded a solid 1.11 WHIP. For his part, Corbin has posted a poor 1.76 WHIP. Layer also checks in allowing nearly five fewer hits while recording almost three more strikeouts per nine innings this season. Go up and down the list of categories and Lauer has been vastly superior to Corbin and I expect him to help the Brew Crew right the ship on Saturday afternoon. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego -1.5 runs over Colorado at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Rockies barely broke a sweat in taking two of three games from the slumping Giants in San Francisco. I suspect they'll find the going much tougher as they head to San Diego on Friday. Credit Chad Kuhl for holding up well for the Rockies after coming over from the Pirates in the offseason. It's not easy to go from making the majority of your starts at pitcher-friendly PNC Park in Pittsburgh to hitter's paradise Coors Field in Denver. He's not at the same level as Padres starter Joe Musgrove though, who belongs firmly in the N.L. Cy Young conversation based on early returns this season. While Kuhl has posted a 3.94 FIP, Musgrove checks in with a 2.76. Musgrove averages 1.4 fewer walks per nine innings while striking out 1.9 strikeouts more. That's not to mention the fact that Musgrove is giving up just 0.5 home runs per nine innings. Of course, starting pitching is only part of the equation and right now hitting appears to be a mismatch as well as the Padres have been absolutely raking lately, plating 42 runs in their last six games including 25 in taking two of three from the Mets here at Petco Park earlier this week. As I mentioned, the Rockies bats weren't exactly tearing the cover off the ball in San Francisco, they simply outlasted a Giants offense that simply isn't producing right now. Take San Diego -1.5 runs (9*). |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Finals First Half Game of the Year. My selection is on Golden State first half plus the points over Boston at 9 pm et on Friday. The Warriors didn't play particularly well in Game 3 of this series as the 'zig-zag' trend continued. Here, I look for a positive response from Golden State, at least early in Game 4 on Friday night. Note that the Warriors are 30-15 ATS in the first half after suffering a loss by 15+ points in their previous game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.0 point on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Celtics are a woeful 5-15 ATS in the first half when playing at home off a home victory this season, outscored by 0.1 points on average in that spot. I'm not willing to bet against the Celtics making the necessary halftime adjustments at home should they fall behind early in this one, instead we'll grab the points with Golden State in the first 24 minutes on Friday. Take Golden State first half (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Golden State and Boston at 9 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in Game 3 of this series on Wednesday but it wasn't nearly as straightforward as it should have been with the fourth quarter totalling just 34 points. I expect to see some carry-over from that low-scoring quarter of basketball in Game 4 on Friday night. Credit the Celtics for doing a great job of keeping the explosive Warriors offense in check so far in this series. They've held Golden State to 88, 86 and 78 field goal attempts through the first three games. They've also limited the Warriors to fewer than 40 made field goals in all three contests. You would have to go back eight games to find the last time Boston allowed an opponent to make good on 40+ field goals. On the flip side, note that Golden State has held eight straight opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts. Boston did knock down 43 field goals in Game 3 on Wednesday but we've seen positive responses from the Warriors defense in similar situations lately. The last three times they've allowed 40+ made field goals, the Warriors have held opponents to 34, 37 and 30 made field goals in their next game, yielding just 98 points per game in those three contests. The 'under' is 68-48 with Golden State coming off a loss over the last three seasons while the 'under' has gone 32-18 with Boston checking in as a favorite of between 3.5 and 9.5 points this season, as is the case at the time of writing. We'll continue to go against the adjustments made to the total in this series and call for a lower-scoring contest than expected on Friday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. The CFL made a number of offseason rule changes in an effort to increase scoring after it was down across the league, particularly in the early stages of last season. Last night, we saw the season-opener between the Alouettes and Stampeders total 57 points. With that being said, that result had more to do with the early execution of the two offenses than it did any rule changes. Here, I look for a different story to unfold as the Redblacks challenge the two-time defending champion Blue Bombers in Winnipeg on Friday. Ottawa overhauled its roster in the offseason as wholesale changes were necessary following a dismal 2021 campaign - particularly on the offensive side of the football. In comes former Tiger-Cats QB Jeremiah Masoli to run the offense, with plenty of other weapons added to the roster as well. One of those weapons will serve as the backfield leader in veteran RB William Powell. Unfortunately, he's injured and has been ruled out for Friday's game. I do think it will take some time for Masoli to mesh with his new receiving corps. This game serves as a 'baptism by fire' against perhaps the league's most dominant defense in Winnipeg. I don't expect the Redblacks to put too much on Masoli's plate here, even if they'd love to open things up right out of the gate. They can afford to stay somewhat conservative offensively because their defense has the chance to be terrific, with a number of new recruits on board. Keep in mind, the Redblacks defense was solid at times last season, it was simply on the field too much and injuries ultimately took their toll. I love the additions they made in the offseason with Patrick Levels and Money Hunter among those coming over from the Als in particular. Speaking of defense, the Blue Bombers are once again loaded in that department. That's certainly nothing new after they gave up a grand total of only 15 touchdowns all of last season. While the offense adds standout WR Greg Ellingson, it loses RB Andrew Harris. It remains to be seen whether RB Brady Oliveira can pick up the slack following Harris' departure - it will likely be more of a running back by committee situation in the early going. While the Bombers are favored heavily in this game, I do expect a hard-fought affair and believe the total will prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Storm -2.5 v. Wings | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
WNBA Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Friday. We missed with the Storm in the last meeting between these two teams last week as Seattle was trounced by 17 points, at home no less. The Wings have now taken the last two matchups in this series but I look for the Storm to get their revenge on Friday. This will be Dallas' first game back home since May 21st as it comes off a tough five-game road trip that saw it go 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. We saw some signs of tired legs from the Wings at the tail-end of that trip as they knocked down just 26 and 27 field goals in their last two games. In the latter performance they actually got off a whopping 78 field goal attempts against Las Vegas. That doesn't bode well as they prepare to face a stingy Storm defense that has allowed fewer than 70 field goal attempts in nine of its last 10 games. While Wings' opponents have been 'filling it up' lately, making good on 30+ field goals in three of their last four games, the Storm have limited four of their last five opponents to 26 or fewer made field goals. We'll note that Seattle is a long-term 104-77 ATS when coming off four or five losses ATS in their last six games, as is the case here. The best is yet to come from the Storm at both ends of the floor and I look for them to build off Tuesday's double-digit win over the Dream on Friday. Take Seattle (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. This game doesn't exactly feature a matchup of household names when it comes to the two starting pitchers. Not yet at least. Both young starters have impressed in the early going this season, however, and I'm counting on them both to hold up on Friday night also. Roansy Contreras got a very big taste of the big leagues last year, logging only three innings for the Pirates after a late season call-up. In those three innings he struck out four and walked only one without allowing a single earned run. He's picked up where he left off this season, giving up just five earned runs in 23 1/3 innings of work. He enters Friday's start with an impressive 3.18 FIP and 1.03 WHIP. He's allowing just over six hits per nine innings while striking out an average of 10 per nine innings. If you can believe it, Braves starter Spencer Strider has been even better. Like Contreras, he had a cup of coffee at the big league level last season, pitching just 2 1/3 innings. Here in 2022 he has recorded a terrific 2.19 FIP and 1.16 WHIP in 32 2/3 innings of work. He's striking out an incredible 13.5 hitters per nine innings while allowing just 5.5 hits. Command has been a bit of an issue as he walks five per nine innings but I'm not convinced the Pirates have the offense capable of making him pay. We're working with a fairly high total in this game by today's MLB standards. I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (8*). |
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06-10-22 | Brewers -157 v. Nationals | 5-11 | Loss | -157 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the pitching mismatch we have here with Aaron Ashby going for the reeling Brewers against Erick Fedde of the lowly Nationals. Both pitchers have logged a similar number of innings this season with Ashby working 46 and Fedde going 51 2/3. While Ashby has recorded a 3.16 FIP, Fedde checks in sporting a 4.44 FIP. Ashby allows 2.6 fewer hits per nine innings, slightly fewer home runs and walks per nine innings as well. He also averages 4.2 more strikeouts per nine innings than Fedde. While the Brewers have certainly been slumping, they are getting healthier with Willy Adames the most notable hitter to return to the lineup this week (he homered in yesterday's loss). They'll probably be happy to get on the road at this point after a miserable homestand that saw them drop six consecutive games after opening a series against the Padres with a win over a week ago. Milwaukee was able to get a head start to Washington following a matinee affair on Thursday while the Nationals travel north following a night game to wrap up their series in Miami. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the pitching matchup here as the D'Backs and Phillies open their series in the City of Brotherly Love on Friday evening. The D'Backs have to be a little road-weary at this point as they continue on their 10-game road trip on the opposite side of the country. Zac Gallen is certainly capable of giving them a lift on Friday though, noting that he has posted a terrific 3.25 FIP and 0.96 WHIP in 56 1/3 innings of work this season. Kyle Gibson hasn't been quite as impressive for the Phillies but that doesn't mean he hasn't pitched well. He enters Friday's start sporting a 3.46 WHIP and is right here with Gallen in terms of home runs and walks allowed per nine innings, not to mention strikeouts per nine innings. Where we do see a gap is in hits allowed per nine innings, as Gallen has given up 2.6 fewer. However, that should be somewhat negated by the fact that the Snakes aren't exactly an elite offensive club and I do feel Gibson is more than capable of taming their lineup here. The Phillies bats came alive against the reeling Brewers in Milwaukee but I believe they're in for a bit of a reality check against Gallen. It was enough of a struggle for the D'Backs to put together big innings against the lowly Reds and things certainly won't get any easier for them here. Expect runs to come at a premium on Friday. Take the under (8*). |
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06-10-22 | France -135 v. Austria | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Nations League Game of the Month. My selection is on France over Austria at 2:45 pm et on Friday. France has been rather unimpressive through its first two matches in Nations League action, coming away with just a single point thanks to a draw with Croatia last time out. We didn't see France's 'A' squad in that match but we're likely to here. Austria is off to an up-and-down start, delivering a 3-0 knockout punch against Croatia before falling to Denmark last time out. While it would certainly relish the opportunity to come away with at least a point here to improve its standing in the group, I expect it to be in tough. The Austrian starting XI is filled with Bundesliga talent, particularly at the back-end. I don't necessarily look at that as a positive - at least not as it prepares to go against a team like France. Note that the Austrians have found the back of the net in six consecutive matches across all competitions (since getting shut out by Denmark in World Cup Qualifying last October). I believe that streak could be in jeopardy here with France likely to go back to the experienced Hugo Lloris between the sticks on Friday. Note that the French have been first to score in five of their last six matches. This time I look for them to make it stand up for 90 minutes. Take France (10*). |
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06-09-22 | Montreal +3.5 v. Calgary | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Calgary at 9 pm et on Thursday. While the Alouettes reached the East semis against Hamilton last year, optimism isn't particularly high heading into the 2022 campaign, with more of the talk surrounding who isn't back rather than who is. Regardless, I like their opening week matchup as they head west to face a Calgary squad that many seem to be high on, but I'm not so easily convinced. QB Bo Levi Mitchell is one of the league's biggest stars but at 32 years old and coming off another injury-plagued season, I question whether he's all the way back. We saw him appear in just one preseason game, completing 3-of-10 passes for 37 yards. I realize preseason results can be taken with a grain of salt but that performance certainly wasn't all that encouraging. The Stamps offense will go as far as RB Kadeem Carey can take them - I'm just not sure there's enough there at the skill positions to provide a great deal of support. The addition of LB Cameron Judge from Toronto is intriguing but I would rate the Stamps defense as average at best, and then enter Week 1 missing a number of key cogs in the secondary due to various injuries, including newly-acquired DB Elie Bouka. It's also worth noting that Calgary is expected to be without punter Cody Grace for this game as well as he deals with a groin injury. Specials teams are an often overlooked but particularly important part of the game when handicapping the CFL and its unique rules. I'm high on the Als offense once again this year with RB William Stanback and WRs Eugene Lewis and Jake Weineke. The offense has the potential to be quite versatile once again with Trevor Harris capable of stepping in for Vernon Adams Jr. under centre should the latter falter. Take Montreal (10*). |
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06-09-22 | Lightning v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Tampa Bay and New York at 8:15 pm et on Thursday. We've been riding the 'under' in this series but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'over' as the scene shifts back to Madison Square Garden for Game 5 on Thursday. While I hesitate to say that the Bolts have 'solved' Rangers all-world goaltender Igor Shesterkin, they've certainly put a dent in his armor over the last couple of games, scoring six goals on the Hart Trophy candidate. Note that all six of those goals have come in the last four-and-a-half periods. Shesterkin has looked a little tired, and gets little relief here with just one day between games once again. The Rangers struggled to sustain any sort of offensive attack in the last two games in Tampa but we should see a different story unfold back in New York, noting that the Blueshirts average 3.4 goals per game on home ice and put nine pucks in the back of the net in Games 1 and 2. The Bolts haven't been nearly as stingy on the road as they've been at home this season, allowing 3.1 goals per contest. Note that the 'over' is 17-8 with the Lightning playing on the road off five or six wins over their last seven games this season, leading to an average total of 7.2 goals. Meanwhile, the Rangers have posted a 12-4 o/u mark when coming off a road loss over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of 7.3 goals in that spot. Take the over (10*). |
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06-09-22 | Spain v. Switzerland OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Switzerland and Spain at 2:45 pm et on Thursday. The Swiss are in tough right now, missing a number of key cogs at the back-end and things certainly won't get any easier against a Spanish side still hungry for its first victory in Nations League play on Thursday. With Fabian Schar, Nico Elvedi and Manuel Akanji all in line to miss Thursday's match, it's going to be awfully difficult for Switzerland to contend with Spain's offensive attack. While Spain is known for possessing the ball but not always fruitful in attack in recent years, it would be wise to apply all the pressure it can on Switzerland's leaky, undermanned defense. On the flip side, Switzerland was held off the scoreboard entirely in a 4-0 drubbing at the hands of Portugal last time out. I do think we see it respond with a favorable performance here in Geneva on Thursday. Note that it has managed to find the back of the net in three of its last four matches with Spain, despite receiving red cards in each of the last two meetings. Spain has allowed at least a goal in three of its last four matches going back to March, only managing to keep Iceland off the scoreboard in a friendly. I don't have a lot of confidence in underwhelming Spain keeper Unai Simon posting a clean sheet here. Take the over (10*). |
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06-09-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -157 | 8-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Philadelphia at 2:10 pm et on Thursday. The Brewers welcomed Willy Adames back to the lineup last night, but it wasn't close to enough as Milwaukee dropped its fifth consecutive game, falling 10-0 against the Phillies. Not only will the team be looking to bounce back on Thursday, but starting pitcher Corbin Burnes in particular. He was shelled over 3 2/3 innings against the Padres last time out, allowing five earned runs on eight hits. Chalk that up as an anomaly as Burnes still owns a 0.99 WHIP in five home starts this season. Better still, he has posted a 2.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 11 outings overall. That WHIP drops to 0.88 in four afternoon starts. Phillies starter Zach Eflin will look to make it four out of his last five quality outings, however, his only success this season has come at home. In four road outings he has posted a ridiculous 9.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Here, we'll note that the Phillies are just 9-20 when playing on the road after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 212.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 59 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Boston at 9 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series and the 'under' in Game 2. Both results were of the 'rocking chair' variety. Here, we'll continue to follow the zig-zag pattern for another game and back the 'over' as the scene shifts to Boston for Game 3 on Wednesday. The Warriors have now been held to fewer than 40 made field goals in each of the first two games of this series but still managed to score 108 and 107 points in those contests. Note that they haven't been held to less than 40 field goals in three consecutive games since March. After Golden State got off 88 and 86 field goal attempts in Games 1 and 2 I could certainly see the pace ticking up a bit here in Beantown, noting that Boston allowed Miami to attempt 92 and 90 field goals in Games 3 and 4 at home last round. Boston has allowed the opposition to get off 88+ field goal attempts in 10 of its last 14 games overall. Needless to say, the Celtics will be in bounce-back mode offensively after a dismal showing in Game 2. They managed to make good on just 30-of-80 field goal attempts in that contest after shooting a blistering 43-for-85 in Game 1. A return home should help, noting the C's have averaged 40 made field goals per contest at TD Garden this season. The lone regular season meeting between these two teams in Beantown saw neither team shoot particularly well with Golden State knocking down 39 field goals and Boston countering with 36, yet that contest still reached 218 total points. I believe an over-adjustment to the total has been made once again after the low-scoring result in Game 2. Take the over (10*). |
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06-08-22 | Phillies v. Brewers +1.5 | 10-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee +1.5 runs over Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'm surprised we're seeing the Brewers in an underdog role here but perhaps shouldn't be as the Phillies have reeled off five consecutive victories while Milwaukee checks in riding a four-game skid. I'll take advantage of the opportunity to grab an insurance run at what I consider to be a reasonable price with the home side on Wednesday. Note that Philadelphia is a miserable 8-20 when playing on the road after winning five or six of its last seven games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by 1.0 run on average in that situation. They're also just 20-37 after giving up two runs or less in their previous game over the same stretch, outscored by 1.2 runs on average in that spot. The Brewers seemingly have the right pitcher on the mound to stop their skid, noting they've gone 9-1 in Adrian Houser's last 10 starts in an underdog role. Meanwhile, the Phillies are just 7-15 the last 22 times Aaron Nola takes the ball following a victory in their previous game. Take Milwaukee +1.5 runs (8*). |
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06-08-22 | Sky v. Mystics -3 | 82-84 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Chicago at 8 pm et on Wednesday. Credit the Sky for shooting the lights out in Sunday's 91-82 victory over the Mystics - improving to 2-0 in this matchup this season. I don't expect a repeat performance as the scene shifts to Washington for Wednesday's rematch, however. Note that Chicago continues to afford its opponents a ton of scoring opportunities, relatively speaking. The Sky have seen each of their last seven opponents get off at least 70 field goal attempts. Washington managed 75 on Sunday - 10 more than Chicago - but couldn't make the most of them, unable to keep pace with a Sky squad that was blistering from the field (55%). Washington does continue to do a fine job of keeping down its opponents scoring opportunities, allowing 66 or fewer FG attempts in 10 of its last 11 games. On the flip side, even with Elena Delle Donne in and out of the lineup, the Mystics have been 'filling it up', knocking down 28, 33, 28 and 34 field goals over their last four contests. Here, we'll note that Chicago is a long-term 43-65 ATS after scoring 90+ points in its previous game, as is the case here. Take Washington (6*). |
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06-08-22 | Fever v. Sun UNDER 165.5 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Indiana and Connecticut at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Considering the first meeting between these two teams this season saw a closing total of just 156 points, we're dealing with a considerable adjustment to the number here. Keep in mind, that first matchup was the first of a two-game set between the two squads here in Connecticut with the second seeing a closing total of 161.5. Both games went 'over' the total although the second matchup reached just 162 points, which would have stayed 'under' the total we're dealing with tonight. I think we see a bit of 'game management' from the Sun as they play their fifth game in the last nine nights (in four different cities) on Wednesday (before hosting Chicago on Friday). Note that Indiana has gone cold on its current road trip, knocking down just 25 and 23 field goals in losses in New York and Atlanta. Connecticut held Indiana to just 63 field goal attempts in both previous meetings this season. The Fever shot the lights out in the first matchup before the Sun made the necessary adjustments prior to the second. While Connecticut has seen the 'over' cash in each of its last four games, the pace hasn't necessarily been there as the Sun have gotten off just 59 and 58 FG attempts in their last two contests. Look for Wednesday's total to prove to be too high. Take the under (8*). |
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06-08-22 | Poland v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Nations League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Belgium and Poland at 2:45 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in Belgium's 4-1 drubbing at the hands of the Netherlands in its Nations League opener last week and I won't hesitate to come right back with the same play here as it hosts Poland in Brussels on Wednesday. We certainly didn't see Belgium's 'A' game against Holland as it fielded a makeshift squad and lost Romelu Lukaku just 27 minutes into the match due to injury. It isn't expected to have standout goalkeeper Thibault Courtois for this contest and I'm confident in predicting another shaky performance from Club Brugge keeper Simon Mignolet in Courtois' absence. Poland didn't get a goal from Robert Lewandowksi but still managed to come away victorious by a 2-1 score against Wales last time out. I'm confident we'll see the all-world striker find the back of the net in this contest. Note that both teams have scored in six of Belgium's last seven matches across all competitions and not surprisingly, six of those seven contests went 'over' 2.5 total goals as well. After such a dismal showing against the Netherlands we can anticipate a positive response from Belgium here, particularly at home, but I'm not convinced it keeps a clean sheet against a confident Polish side that is undefeated in its last three matches. Take the over (10*). |
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06-07-22 | Dream v. Storm -7 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Atlanta at 10 pm et on Tuesday. I simply feel the Dream are in the wrong place at the wrong time on Tuesday night as they face a Storm squad coming off rare consecutive home losses. Seattle ran into a couple of red hot opponents in Dallas and Connecticut and suffered back-to-back defeats, as a favorite on both occasions. The Storm are favored again on Tuesday, and for good reason. Atlanta checks in off a nine-point victory over the lowly Indiana Fever. We've seen the Dream offense cool off over the last couple of games, making good on just 26 and 29 field goals. I'm not convinced they'll get a wealth of scoring opportunities in this one, noting that Seattle has held its last three opponents to just 65, 66 and 58 field goal attempts. Last time out, the Storm's opponent, an elite Connecticut Sun squad, shot the lights out - making good on 32 field goals. It happens. Seattle is still a top-flight defensive team, noting that it has held opponents to just 28-of-67 shooting on average here at home this season. Likewise, Atlanta has done a nice job of limiting its opponents opportunities lately, yielding 61 or fewer FG attempts in four of its last six games. Here, I expect Seattle to push the pace a little more than Atlanta's recent opponents, however, noting that the Storm have gotten off 70+ FG attempts in seven of their last nine contests. This is an ideal bounce-back spot for Seattle before it heads out on the road for a difficult five-game road trip. Take Seattle (8*). |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -164 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay over New York at 8 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Lightning in Game 3 of this series on Sunday as they rallied from a 2-0 deficit to prevail by a 3-2 score. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Tampa Bay again in Game 4 on Tuesday as it looks to knot this series at two games apiece before heading back to Manhattan. The Lightning are now 32-15 on home ice this season including 5-1 in the playoffs. While the Bolts are known for their offense, they've been as stingy as they come here on home ice, allowing just 2.6 goals per game this season while outscoring opponents by 0.9 goals on average. The same trend we used to support our play on Tampa Bay in Game 3 still works in Game 4 as the Bolts are now an incredible 16-1 when playing at home after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons, allowing just 1.7 goals per contest and outscoring opponents by 1.8 goals on average in that situation. The Rangers just haven't been the same team away from Madison Square Garden this season, posting a modest 27-22 record while failing to outscore their opponents on a per-game average. It seemed to me that the Lightning solved Rangers elite goaltender Igor Shesterkin as the game went on Sunday afternoon, peppering him with an incredible 52 shots on goal in that contest and finding the back of the net three times in the final 30 minutes. Expect some carry-over from that thrilling come-from-behind victory on Tuesday. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-07-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -108 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
N.L. Game of the Week. My selection is on Milwaukee over Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. This is a tough matchup for Phillies starter Ranger Suarez. The Brewers will be getting their second look at him this season. While they didn't have a ton of success against him last time around (they lost that game 4-2 in Philadelphia on April 22nd), it's not as if Suarez was dominant. He allowed four hits and issued three walks while striking out four over 4 2/3 innings of one-run ball in that game. I say it's a difficult matchup because Suarez has dealt with some command issues, particularly of late, as he's handed out seven walks in 8 2/3 innings over his last two starts and now faces a Brewers squad that ranks second in baseball in most pitches seen this season. In that vein, no team takes more first pitches than Milwaukee. They should be able to get Suarez's pitch count up early in this one and ultimately get into the Phillies weak bullpen fairly early. Note that Philadelphia's relief corps has posted a collective 4.71 ERA and 1.63 WHIP with just five saves converted and four blown on the road this season. Contrast that with the Brewers bullpen, which has recorded a 2.99 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, converting six saves while blowing just one here at home. Milwaukee will hand the ball to rookie Jason Alexander as he makes his second big league start. His first went well as he gave up just two earned runs over seven innings in a tough environment at Wrigley Field in Chicago. He should benefit from facing a Phillies club that ranks eight-worst in the majors in terms of chase percentage (that's the percentage of pitches outside of the zone that Phillies hitters swing at). Also note that Philadelphia ranks seventh-worst in the league in whiff percentage (percentage of pitches they swing-and-miss on without contact). Milwaukee is desperate for a win here off three straight losses to the Padres while Philadelphia is in a pretty obvious letdown spot off Sunday's stunning rally that helped complete a sweep of the reeling Angels and lead to a fourth straight win. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-07-22 | Lynx v. Liberty -2.5 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
WNBA Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on New York minus the points over Minnesota at 8 pm et on Tuesday. New York had its two-game win streak snapped at the hands of Minnesota on Sunday but I look for it to earn a quick ounce of revenge in Tuesday's rematch at Madison Square Garden. Minnesota's opponents have been 'filling it up', knocking down 31+ field goals in five of its last seven games with the low-water mark over that stretch being 28. Last time out, the Lynx shot the lights out but still won by 'only' seven points. The pace hasn't necessarily been there to match Minnesota's offensive production, noting that it has gotten off just 52, 60 and 63 field goal attempts over its last three games. I'm not convinced it can match the 31 made field goals it recorded on Sunday in Tuesday's rematch. I don't like what I've seen from the Lynx defensively as they've afforded their opponents far too many scoring opportunities, allowing 71 or more field goal attempts in four of their last five games. With New York coming off one of its best shooting efforts of the season on Sunday (it knocked down 32-of-71 FG attempts), I believe the door is open for it to hang a crooked number on the scoreboard on Tuesday. The Lynx have yet to string together consecutive victories this season and are 0-4 after scoring 80+ points, as is the case here. Take New York (10*). |
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06-07-22 | Diamondbacks +129 v. Reds | 8-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Reds routed the D'Backs in a rain-shortened seven-inning affair last night. I look for the Snakes to answer back on Tuesday. The only real difference between tonight's two young starting pitchers is the fact that Arizona left-hander Tyler Gilbert has a little more experience as he'll be making his ninth career big league start compared to Graham Ashcraft for the Reds who will toe the rubber for his fourth career start. Note that the Reds are just 6-11 against left-handed starters this season, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 runs in those contests. Ashcraft has pitched well in his first three outings but as time goes on opposing hitters will have a better idea of what to expect at the dish. Note that while he has given up just three earned runs in 17 2/3 innings as a starter this season he's only struck out nine while walking five. This will be his second time in the last three turns in the rotation starting on just four days' rest. Take Arizona (8*). |
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06-07-22 | Rangers +104 v. Guardians | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over Cleveland at 3:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Rangers suffered an excruciating loss against the Mariners on Sunday so perhaps last night's rain-out in Cleveland was a blessing in disguise as it gets them a little farther removed from that bad taste in their mouths. I don't really see any particular reason for the Guardians to be favored here in Game 1 of Tuesday's day-night double-header, noting that they're just 3-6 with Cal Quantrill on the mound this season, a stunning ledger when you consider how solid he's been all things considered. It has everything to do with the Guardians inability to consistently score runs and I suspect that could be a problem again this afternoon. Jon Gray has seemingly gotten stronger as the season goes on for the Rangers, working at least into the sixth inning in each of his last four starts. Interestingly, Texas has fared better on the road than at Globe Life Field, going an even 12-12 away from home while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.8 runs per game. We'll take a flyer on the Rangers in an underdog role here. Take Texas (8*). |
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06-07-22 | England v. Germany OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Germany and England at 2:45 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are coming off rather uninspiring Nations League openers with England falling 1-0 to Hungary in a stunner in Budapest and Germany settling for a 1-1 draw against an Italy squad that is a shell of its former self. I expect a different story to unfold on Tuesday as these two soccer powerhouses put on a show at Allianz Arena in Munich. Germany was fortunate to give up just a single goal against the Italians last time out. Its defense has appeared leaky at times while goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, while boasting an excellent track record, has struggled not only for his home country, but also for Bayern Munich in recent months. On the flip side, England didn't field its best squad against Hungary but we can anticipate changes to its lineup as it looks to avoid falling deeper into potential Nations League relegation on Tuesday. While I do feel England is rock solid at the back-end, it will be a difficult task trying to keep the German offense at bay for 90 minutes on Tuesday. Note that Germany remains undefeated in its last 10 matches across all competitions and has been first to score in five of its last six contests. Take the over (8*). |
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06-06-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
Western Conference Final Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Edmonton at 8 pm et on Monday. Bettors are still waiting for a return to the form that saw Game 1 of this series total a whopping 14 goals. We've cashed with the 'under' in each of the last two games and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in Game 4 on Monday as we haven't seen much of an adjustment to the total at all at most books. Both teams will be missing some offensive firepower in this one with Evander Kane suspended for one game for his hit on Nazem Kadri (who will also be sidelined due to injury). The Oilers have now allowed 4+ goals in four straight games - the first time they've done that since January. On the flip side, the Avs have scored 4+ goals in each of the first three games in this series - the first time they've scored four goals or more in three consecutive games since January as well. While I've been critical of Oilers goaltender Mike Smith at times, he certainly hasn't been the problem in this series. In fact, in Game 3 he kept Edmonton in the game early, making a number of key saves on an Avs two-man advantage. Meanwhile, Pavel Francouz has filled in admirably for an injured Darcy Kuemper for Colorado. With Leon Draisaitl clearly not 100% healthy, the Oilers haven't been quite as much of a handful offensively, Connor McDavid's exploits aside. Here, we'll note that Edmonton has posted a 6-15 o/u record when playing at home off a home loss by 2+ goals over the last two seasons with that situation totalling an average of just 5.2 goals. The 'under' is also 10-3 with the Oilers having allowed 4+ goals in consecutive games this season, resulting in an average total of 5.8 goals in that spot. Take the under (10*). |
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06-06-22 | Mariners v. Astros -154 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston over Seattle at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Mariners are 4-2 on their current road trip, delivering consecutive series victories over the Orioles and Rangers. Texas essentially handed Seattle the win yesterday, with a wild pitch resulting in the winning run in extra innings. I don't expect Houston to be in as giving of a mood on Monday. Note that the Astros have owned this series at home in recent years, taking 16 of 20 meetings at Minute Maid Park over the last three seasons. They swept the Mariners in a three-game series here at home earlier this season. With that being said, Seattle took two of three games from Houston in the Pacific Northwest last weekend so the Astros will be revenge-minded here. Robbie Ray won the American League Cy Young Award last year so the Mariners obviously expected big things from their offseason acquisition. However, to this point, the marriage hasn't gone well as Ray has posted a 4.93 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 11 starts. Worse still, on the road he's recorded a 5.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. The Astros check in 14-4 against left-handed starters this season. Cristian Javier will take teh ball for Houston. He loves facing the Mariners having yet to allow a single earned run in three previous starts against them, covering a span of 18 1/3 innings. Javier has made three home starts this season, posting a sparkling 0.53 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. Behind Javier is an Astros bullpen that has been lights out at home this season, recording a collective 1.35 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 66 2/3 innings of work, converting six saves while blowing just one. Take Houston (10*). |
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06-06-22 | Albania v. Iceland UNDER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Iceland and Albania at 2:45 pm et on Monday. Tough turnaround for Iceland here as it returns home from a trip to Israel that ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw. Things won't get any easier here as Iceland hosts Albania, which did not play its opening match which had been previously scheduled against Russia (for obvious reasons). Albania is the very definition of a 'tough out'. The difficulty for Albania here, however, is that it will be missing its two best attackers in Chelsea striker Armando Broja and Rey Manaj due to Covid protocols and injury, respectively. The Albanians are strong at the back-end, however, and will hope to scratch and claw their way to at least a point in this match. That would likely also be a favorable result in the eyes of Iceland. It certainly came away disappointed by the 2-2 draw in Israel if only because it led by a goal in the closing minutes before allowing the equalizer. With a rather punchless Albanian starting XI, Iceland may not find the same difficulty in keeping its opponent under wraps on Monday. Note that Iceland has gone winless across its last seven matches and has conceded first in five of its last six contests so it will certainly be focused on keeping its defensive shape in this one. Take the under (8*). |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Boston at 8 pm et on Sunday. We missed with our big play on the Warriors but did cash the 'over' in Game 1 of this series on Thursday. That was obviously a painful loss as Golden State entered the fourth quarter with a 12-point lead but couldn't make it stand up. Chalk it up to a case of the Celtics simply not missing from beyond the arc. Boston knocked down 21 three-pointers in that contest - similar to what we saw in Game 2 last round against the Heat. You may remember how Game 3 went as Miami controlled proceedings from the opening tip and cruised to an outright underdog road win. Here, the Warriors will look to bounce back on their home floor and I expect them to do just that. Note that Golden State is 25-12 ATS when seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 6.3 points on average in that situation. Boston made good on 43 field goals in Game 1 and that's notable as it hasn't posted consecutive 40+ field goal games since Games 4 and 5 against Milwaukee back in the second round. Note that it lost the second of those games both SU and ATS. Take Golden State (10*). |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Golden State at 8 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'over' in Game 1 of this series but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'under' in Game 2 on Sunday. The pace certainly wasn't there for a game in the 220's on Thursday. Both teams simply shot exceptionally well from three-point range - Boston in particular as it knocked down a whopping 21 threes. We saw a similar story unfold in Game 2 last round against Miami as the Celtics hit 20+ three-pointers in a 127-point explosion. They never scored more than 103 points again in that seven-game series. Note that Boston allows just 12 made threes per game on the road this season while Golden State gives up an identical 12 threes per contest at home. The Celtics have now held nine of their last 10 opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals - an incredible feat in today's NBA. The Warriors allowed Boston to make good on 43 field goals in the opener of this series but hasn't allowed consecutive opponents to hit more than 40 field goals since Game 5 against Memphis in the second round. In Game 6, Golden State held Memphis to just 96 points on 34 made field goals with that game easily staying 'under' the total. Take the under (9*). |
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06-05-22 | Mystics v. Sky OVER 156 | Top | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Chicago at 6 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' the last time these two teams met as they fell just short of the total with 155 points. We're actually dealing with an even lower posted total this time around as Washington enters this contest on a seven-game 'under' streak while Chicago has seen the 'under' cash in each of its last three games. Expect those streaks to end on Sunday. Washington is suddenly pushing the pace a bit, getting off 70+ field goal attempts in each of its last three games. It should be afforded plenty of scoring opportunities against the Sky, who have allowed 70+ field goal attempts in six straight contests. In the most recent meeting between these two teams Washington simply couldn't make good on its wealth of opportunities, knocking down just 27 of 72 FG attempts. The Mystics enter this game off three straight quality performances in which they made good on 28, 33 and 28 field goals. Chicago hasn't fared particularly well offensively in its last few games but back home, where it averages 31-of-70 shooting, I expect it to bounce back. Note that Washington, while a terrific defensive team, has still allowed 28 and 30 made field goals over its last two road contests. Take the over (10*). |
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06-05-22 | Wings v. Aces -6.5 | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Dallas at 6 pm et on Sunday. We missed fading the Wings in their most recent game as they stunned Seattle by double-digits on Friday night. I expect a different story to unfold as they continue their road trip in Las Vegas on Sunday. Note that Dallas' win on Friday had everything to do with Seattle coming out completely flat, ultimately making good on just 20-of-63 field goal attempts in that game. Here, the Wings aren't likely to be so fortunate against an Aces squad that has been absolutely filling it up (as usual), knocking down 31+ field goals in six straight games. While the Aces haven't exactly been dominant defensively - far from it, in fact- they do catch a favorable matchup here as Dallas wraps up a long five-game road trip, noting that it has made good on 28 or fewer field goals in three of its last four contests. Take Las Vegas (8*). |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week. My selection is on Tampa Bay over New York at 3 pm et on Sunday. As I've pointed out time and time again in these playoffs, long winning streaks just aren't commonplace in the NHL postseason. We saw that play out at the start of this series as the Rangers snapped Tampa's six-game winning streak with a victory in Game 1 (and then went on to win Game 2 as well). Now we'll look for the Lightning to bring an end to the Rangers four-game winning streak, noting that New York is just 5-15 when playing on the road after scoring 3+ goals in three consecutive games over the last two seasons, outscored by 1.4 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Lightning are an incredible 12-1 when playing at home seeking revenge for a one-goal loss against an opponent over the same stretch, outscoring the opposition by 2.2 goals on average. Tampa Bay also checks in 15-1 when playing at home coming off two losses in its last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.9 goals on average in that spot. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Tampa Bay at 3 pm et on Sunday. While the scene will shift to Tampa for Game 3 of this series on Sunday afternoon, I'm not convinced that means the floodgates will suddenly open for the Lightning and we'll see a high-scoring affair. Nothing has come easy for the Bolts through the first two games of this series and noting that Brayden Point remains sidelined, I don't see that changing on Sunday. They're going to need to grind it out and that's just fine as they've actually thrived playing that style at home this season, going 31-15 while allowing just 2.6 goals per game. On the flip side, we'll note that the Rangers average just 2.9 goals per game on the road this season and check in sporting an 11-19 o/u mark when coming off four wins in their last five games, as is the case here, leading to an average total of just 5.3 goals. The 'under' is 19-8 with New York playing on the road with the total set at 5.5 this season, resulting in an average total of only 5.2 goals. Take the under (6*). |
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06-05-22 | Slovenia v. Serbia -203 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Serbia over Slovenia at 2:45 pm et on Sunday. I understand bettors' hesitance to back Serbia at this price after it was held off the scoreboard entirely in a 1-0 loss against Norway in its Nations League opener. It probably deserved a better fate in that match, seemingly waking up a little too late to mount a comeback. Here, I look for the Serbians to make amends in a more favorable matchup against Slovenia. The Slovenians fell by a 2-0 score against Sweden. The Swedes had been slumbering so that was certainly a discouraging result for Slovenia, which did have the potential to come away with a point in that match but ultimately squandered it. Here, it travels to Belgrade where Serbia should be in a foul mood and eager to pick up all three points. Note that Slovenia has now gone consecutive matches without finding the back of the net and won't find the going any easier here. Take Serbia (6*). |
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06-05-22 | Astros -220 v. Royals | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Run-Line Game of the Week. My selection is on Houston over Kansas City at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The Astros got pummelled by the Royals yesterday, suffering a 6-0 defeat. I expect them to bounce right back on Sunday as they send Framber Valdez to the hill. Valdez is coming off a complete game victory in Oakland last time out. Incredibly by today's pitching standards, Valdez has worked at least seven innings in four straight starts. The Astros have won each of his last five trips to the hill. He'll be pitching on a full five days' rest here and noting that he owns a 1.40 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in six road starts this season, I expect him to fare well in this one. On the other side, Jon Heasley has lasted six innings just once in seven career big league starts. He hasn't been able to keep runners off the bases this season, issuing 16 walks and giving up 18 hits in just 19 1/3 innings. He's not a strikeout pitcher either, having topped out at five in his four outings this season. Add in the fact that the Royals bullpen owns a 5.36 ERA and 1.51 WHIP at home this season and this has all the makings of a rout. Take Houston -1.5 (10*). |
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06-05-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Toronto at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a pair of wild, high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold on Sunday afternoon. We have a sneaky-good starting pitching matchup with Devin Smeltzer going for the Twins against Kevin Gausman of the Jays. Smeltzer has done nothing but impress in four big league starts this season, recording a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Since getting tagged for four home runs in a start against Cleveland back in June 2019, he hasn't allowed another home run in his last nine MLB starts. He has also issued only four walks in 24 innings of work this season. Kevin Gausman has worked 26 1/3 innings in day games this season and has yet to allow a single home run across those four starts. While he's struggled in the past against the Twins, he hasn't faced them since 2018 when I think we can all agree he was a much different pitcher just getting his career started with the Orioles. While the Jays bullpen hasn't been great lately, I'm not as concerned about that relief corps against a depleted Twins lineup. On the flip side, the Twins 'pen has posted a collective 3.24 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the under (8*). |
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06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Colorado and Edmonton at 8 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'under' in Game 2 of this series and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as the series shifts to Edmonton on Saturday. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 14-7 with the Oilers having allowed 3+ goals in three consecutive games this season, as is the case here and also 9-3 when coming off back-to-back games giving up 4+ goals - also the situation tonight. In fact, the 'under' is a long-term 134-102 with Edmonton coming off consecutive contests in which it allowed 4+ goals. While the Avalanche have goaltending concerns with Darcy Kuemper potentially sidelined again, they have to feel pretty good about what backup Pavel Francouz gave them in Game 2, posting a shutout after the Oilers scored six times in Game 1. Despite dropping a 4-0 decision, Oilers goaltender Mike Smith held up far better in Game 2 than he did in the series-opener as he was once again peppered with 40 shots. We can anticipate Edmonton throwing everything it has at Colorado defensively in this one. You would have to go back four meetings here in Edmonton to find the last time the Avs scored more than three goals in a game on this ice. Take the under (8*). |
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06-04-22 | White Sox v. Rays -117 | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Chicago at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Rays added to the White Sox woes with a 6-3 drubbing last night. Chicago has now dropped four games in a row while Tampa Bay checks in on a three-game winning streak. While the pitching matchup looks like a wash on paper, I'll give Drew Rasmussen the edge at home on Saturday. The Rays have quietly gone 8-2 in his 10 starts this season and he has posted a stellar 2.10 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in five home outings. While the White Sox will be getting their second look at Rasmussen this season, the Rays will also be seeing Chicago starter Dylan Cease for the second time. They'll be out for revenge after dropping a 3-2 decision against Cease and the White Sox in Chicago back in mid-April. Note that Cease's lone previous start here in St. Petersburg didn't go so well as he allowed four earned runs and lasted just five innings in a 4-2 defeat back in 2019. As far as the bullpens go, it's no contest in terms of recent form. The Rays 'pen has recorded five saves while blowing just one over their last seven games. Here at home Tampa's relief corps has posted a 2.81 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with 11 saves converted and three blown. Meanwhile, the White Sox 'pen has posted a 5.27 ERA and 1.72 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
American League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. Boston cruised to a 7-2 victory in the opener of this series last night, adding to the A's misery here in Oakland. I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon as the Red Sox send Nick Pivetta to the hill against Paul Blackburn for the A's. After a rocky start to the season, Pivetta has gotten himself on a serious roll, allowing just six earned runs over 34 innings in his last five outings. He pitched here in Oakland last July 4th, striking out 10 over seven shutout innings of two-hit ball in a 1-0 Boston victory. Blackburn didn't make many mistakes last time out against Houston but he paid for the few he did, including a pair of home runs, allowing four earned runs on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss. In five daytime starts this season Blackburn has posted a 2.51 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, covering a span of 28 2/3 innings. He'll be facing the Red Sox for the first time in his career today. While both bullpens have struggled lately I do believe both relief corps' are better than their recent numbers indicate. We can also take solace in the fact that the A's average a woeful 2.6 runs per game at home while it's generally been a case of feast-or-famine for the Red Sox offense and after scoring exactly seven runs in consecutive games, I expect them to cool off against a solid pitcher in Blackburn on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-04-22 | England v. Hungary UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Hungary and England at 12 noon et on Saturday. While many of the early Nations League affairs have featured goals aplenty (and we've taken full advantage), I don't expect anything of that sort as England challenges Hungary on Saturday. The Three Lions have a number of injury doubts heading into this one. It does come in riding a nine-match undefeated streak, however, a run that has a good chance of remaining intact here. England's main focus at this point is on rounding into form ahead of November's World Cup in Qatar. While England has scored a whopping 20 goals across its last three matches, 10 of those came in a rout of San Marino last November. It obviously faces a much different challenge here. Hungary has seen four of its last six contests stay 'under' 2.5 total goals including a 1-1 draw against England last October. You would have to go back three matches to find the last time the Hungarians scored more than once in a match as it mustered just one goal across two contests against Serbia and Northern Ireland back in March. Noting that Hungary has gone the last four meetings with England without recording a clean sheet, I would anticipate it focusing on keeping its shape defensively in this one and waiting for an opportunity for veteran striker Adam Szalai to counter. I'm just not sure there will be a wealth of those chances here. Take the under (6*). |
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06-03-22 | Wings v. Storm -5.5 | Top | 68-51 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Dallas at 10 pm et on Friday. Seattle hasn't fared particularly well from an ATS perspective as a favorite over the last couple of seasons but that's had a lot to do with the fact that we've generally seen inflated prices when it comes to the perennial contenders. That's not the case anymore, as evidenced by tonight's line - note that in two home games against Dallas last year Seattle was favored by 9 and 9.5 points. The Storm are in a fine spot here, rested and at home on the heels of four consecutive wins, however they went just 2-2 ATS over that stretch, also helping to keep this line in check. Additionally, they'll be without Sue Bird once again due to Covid protocols on Friday. She's struggled in the early going this season anyway, in what is likely to be her WNBA swan song season. Dallas checks in off consecutive losses against Connecticut and Los Angeles. The Wings most recent setback was particularly concerning as they got off 74 field goal attempts - knocking down 33 of them - while holding the Sparks to just 56 FG attempts yet still fell short. The Wings have now allowed 31, 29, 29, 27, 34 and 36 made field goals in their six road games this season. Here, we'll note that Seattle is a long-term 103-75 ATS when coming off four or five ATS losses in their last six games, as is the case here. Take Seattle (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. We saw a wild, high-scoring slugfest between these two teams last night. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday. Max Fried continues to lead the Braves rotation, posting incredibly consistent numbers over the last few seasons. He checks in with a 2.37 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three road starts this season. While pitching at Coors Field is a challenge, I'm confident he'll be up for it, noting that he's lasted at least into the sixth inning in all 10 of his starts this season. Rockies starter Chad Kuhl is underrated to be sure. He has held up well at hitter-friendly Coors Field this season, recording a 1.04 WHIP in 16 1/3 innings of work. Eight of his nine starts this season have totalled eight runs or less. Note that Kuhl faced the Braves once last season as a member of the Pirates and the result was a 2-1 victory as he gave up just one earned run over six innings. The Rockies bullpen will always be a concern when it comes to playing 'unders' but I believe we're working with a high enough total that dealing with their relief corps is worth the risk. Take the under (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Most are looking to play the 'under' in this matchup between two lowly National League squads, pushing the total down from 8.0 to 7.5. I believe it will prove too low. We have a middle-of-the-road starting pitching matchup between Merrill Kelly and J.T. Brubaker. Kelly owns a 4.55 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in six nighttime starts this season and has really struggled lately, recording a ridiculous 10.50 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over his last three outings. J.T. Brubaker hasn't allowed a single earned run over his last two starts but let's not get too excited. In those two starts he worked 11 2/3 innings allowing 11 hits while issuing four walks and striking out only seven. They were favorable matchups to be sure, at home against the Rockies (who struggle mightily on the road) and at pitcher-friendly Petco Park in San Diego. Even if the starters don't struggle in this one, the bullpens are capable of blowing up in an instant. The D'Backs 'pen has posted a 5.31 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road this season. The Buccos relief corps owns a collective 4.15 ERA and 1.36 WHIP at home, converting only five saves while blowing four. Take the over (8*). |
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06-03-22 | Denmark v. France OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Soccer Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between France and Denmark at 2:45 pm et on Friday. When these two squads last met in 2018 they played to a 0-0 draw. I expect nothing of the sort on Friday, however, as they tangle in their Nations League opener. Of course, the stakes aren't nearly as high in this tournament as they are in the Euros or World Cup - not even close. So perhaps it's not surprising that yesterday's opening day slate of Nations League contests was fairly high-scoring. I expect more of the same here. France comes in riding a seven-match winning streak across all competitions. You would have to go back 10 matches to find its last defeat. Five of its last six contests have found their way 'over' 2.5 total goals. Likewise, Denmark has seen five of its last seven matches go 'over' 2.5 goals. Denmark is certainly no pushover - it sits 11th in the FIFA rankings and enters this contest having scored first in eight of its last 10 trips to the pitch. With key defender Simon Kjaer expected to miss this contest, the Danes may be a little think at the back and France is certainly capable of exposing any sort of weakness in that area of the field with Mbappe and Benzema capable of striking at any given moment. France can be vulnerable at the back-end as well, noting that just going back to last September you'll find the likes of Ivory Coast and Bosnia & Herzegovina have managed to find the back of the net against Les Bleus. We'll count on some offensive fireworks here. Take the over (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Netherlands v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Belgium and the Netherlands at 2:45 pm et on Friday. With goalkeeper Thibault Courtois officially ruled out due to a groin issue after leading Real Madrid to a Champions League title last Saturday, Belgium could prove vulnerable at the back-end (key defender Jason Denayer is also expected to miss). The Netherlands obviously boasts no shortage of attacking prowess and I'm confident both sides will be eager to push the pace here (these Nations League matches have a tendency to feature more offense than defense with far less on the line compared to World Cup and Euro tournaments for example). Note that Belgium has seen five of its last six matches go 'over' 2.5 goals while the Netherlands is undefeated across its last nine contests and has been 'first to score' in seven of its last eight (the same goes for Belgium). Take the over (8*). |
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06-03-22 | Cardinals +105 v. Cubs | Top | 14-5 | Win | 105 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
N.L. Central Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Chicago at 2:20 pm et on Friday. The Cubs got the better of the Cardinals in the opener of this series last night but I think they'll be in tough trying to make it two in a row against their division rivals on Friday. Marcus Stroman will make his third consecutive start on four days' rest after matching a season-high going seven innings in his last outing. He's struggled mightily in three home starts this season, posting a 6.28 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Cardinals saw him twice last season and had some success, scoring six runs, four of them earned, in 11 innings - both victories. Miles Mikolas struggled in his most recent start for St. Louis but his overall numbers are terrific this season. He's allowed a single earned run or less in five of his last six starts against Chicago and the Cards have won six of his nine career outings in this matchup. The bullpen matchup is virtually a wash overall this season but not recently as the Cubs relief corps has been awful over the last week or so, entering last night's contest sporting a 6.96 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over their last seven games. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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06-02-22 | Mets v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over New York at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. Sometimes a series just doesn't go the way you planned and that was certainly the case for the Dodgers against the Pirates as they were inexplicably swept, culminating with an 8-4 loss last night. Look for the Boys in Blue to bounce right back on Thursday as they welcome the red hot Mets to Chavez Ravine. New York has won six straight games entering this series, with all six victories coming at home - consecutive sweeps of the Phillies and Nationals. Taijuan Walker will start for New York on Thursday. He's shown a tremendous day-night dichotomy this season. In two daytime outings, spanning 14 innings, he hasn't allowed a single earned run. Nighttime outings have been a different story, however, as he's been tagged for 11 earned runs on 24 hits in just 21 innings of work. Tony Gonsolin will counter for Los Angeles. Forget the likes of Julio Urias, Walker Buehler and Clayton Kershaw (who has been on the shelf for a while now), Gonsolin has arguably been the Dodgers best starter this season. He's been particularly sharp here at home, posting a 1.29 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in four starts, covering 21 innings of work. Look for him to help Los Angeles snap its losing skid here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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06-02-22 | Sun +5 v. Aces | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Sun hung with the Aces for four quarters two nights ago but simply couldn't knock down enough shots to prevail (or cover), falling by eight points. Credit Connecticut for getting off 78 field goal attempts in that contest. I expect them to fare better offensively on Thursday as they look to salvage a split here in Sin City. The Aces held a 20-12 edge in terms of free throw attempts, making good on 10 more shots from the charity stripe. The Sun are generally a disciplined defensive team and I expect them to bounce back in that regard here on Thursday. Things can go south in a hurry for Connecticut considering this is the front-end of a back-to-back set against Las Vegas and Phoenix (both on the road). I'm confident we'll see the Sun rise to the occasion. Take Connecticut (8*). |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Boston at 9 pm et on Thursday. I get the feeling this might be the best price we get to back the Warriors at home all series. We just won with Boston in Game 7 of its Eastern Conference Finals showdown against Miami. Of course, the Celtics struggled to put the Heat away late in the fourth quarter of that contest. We saw the C's and Warriors split two regular season matchups with each team winning on the other's home court. I expect a different story to unfold in the opener of this series, however. Note that Boston was held to 36 or fewer made field goals in six of seven games against Miami last round. It had a tough enough time just getting shots off, attempting fewer than 80 field goals in five of the seven contests. The Warriors on the other hand have been locked-in offensively for months now. They enter this series having knocked down 40+ field goals in 16 of their last 21 games. On the flip side, they just held Dallas to 37 or fewer made field goals in four of five games in the Western Conference Finals. After an up-tempo series against the Grizzlies, they limited the Mavericks to 86 or fewer FG attempts in all five games last round. Regardless how this series plays out pace-wise, I expect Golden State to be comfortable. Here, we'll note that the Warriors are 9-1 ATS when playing at home seeking revenge for a double-digit loss against an opponent this season, as is the case here after dropping a lopsided 110-88 affair here in mid-March, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 13.3 points in that situation. Take Golden State (10*). |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors OVER 210.5 | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 84 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Golden State at 9 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in the Celtics Eastern Conference Finals Game 7 win over the Heat, getting there despite the total being set in the 190's. Here, I won't hesitate to go the other way as I expect this series between the C's and Warriors to play out much differently. The Celtics finally got off 80+ field goal attempts in Game 7 - 85 in fact - after being held under that number in four straight games against Miami. I'm sure the C's realize that they'll need to step up their offensive considerably against the Warriors as opposed to the banged-up Heat they faced last round. Golden State has incredibly knocked down 40+ field goals in 16 of its last 21 games. While the Warriors last series against Dallas was played at a relatively slow-pace (in stark contrast to their second round series against Memphis), the 'over' still managed to cash in three of five games. Here, we're dealing with a lower posted total than we saw at any point in that series against the Mavs. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is 36-22 with the Celtics checking in as an underdog over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of 224.7 points. The 'over' is also a long-term 117-80 with Golden State seeking revenge for a loss by 20+ points against an opponent, as is the case here after Boston rolled to a 110-88 win here in San Francisco back in mid-March. Take the over (9*). |
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06-02-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | 0-4 | Win | 129 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Colorado at 8 pm et on Thursday. Recency bias certainly plays a major factor when it comes to the playoffs, whether it be the NBA or the NHL. In this case, we just saw a wild, high-scoring affair that featured a whopping 14 goals in Game 1 and not only that, but the Avs lost starting goaltender Darcy Kuemper to an injury. We were unfortunately on the 'under' in that contest - not a wise call by any means - but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here with 7's offering a plus-money return and even some 7.5's popping up at some books. Note that the 'under' is 17-10 with the Oilers playing on the road following a game that totalled 7+ goals this season, resulting in an average total of just 6.4 goals. The 'under' is also 21-12 with Edmonton coming off consecutive games in which it allowed 3+ goals, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 6.2 goals. Take the under (9*). |
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06-02-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Avalanche | 0-4 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton +1.5 goals over Colorado at 8 pm et on Thursday. As I've mentioned time and time again during these playoffs, long winning streaks simply aren't commonplace in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. So it didn't come as a surprise that we saw Edmonton drop Game 1 of this series as it came in riding a four-game winning streak. Here, I look for the Oilers to answer back, noting they've gone 9-2 when playing on the road off a road loss by 2+ goals over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.6 goals on average in that situation. Perhaps even better still, they're 33-13 after allowing 5+ goals in their previous game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. After their dominant Game 1 performance, it's easy to forget that the Avalanche didn't win by more than a single goal in any of their three regular season meetings with the Oilers. Take Edmonton +1.5 goals (8*). |
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06-02-22 | Norway v. Serbia OVER 2 | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Serbia and Norway at 2:45 pm et on Thursday. Norway is coming off the tremendous disappointment of missing out on the World Cup, failing to qualify for November's tournament in Qatar. Not only did it not qualify but it stunningly failed to find the back of the net even once in its final two qualification matches. I look for the Norwegians to make amends on Thursday as they open Nations League play against Serbia. Of course, Serbia won't be easy to tame here at home, where it hasn't lost a single match since 2020. The Serbians should benefit from facing a Norwegian back-line that will be missing two key cogs in Omar Elabdellaoui and Kristoffer Ajer. While striker Duhan Vlahovic will not be on the pitch for Serbia it does have depth up front with Aleksandar Mitrovic and Luka Jovic more than capable of filling the void. While this match may feature some dry periods, both sides do possess that quick-strike ability that we're looking for when playing an 'over'. Take the over (8*). |
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06-02-22 | Sweden v. Slovenia UNDER 2 | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Slovenia and Sweden at 2:45 pm et on Thursday. On paper, Sweden should have its way with Slovenia. After all, the Swedes check in ranked 19th in the world by FIFA while Slovenia is 65th. However, Sweden has managed to score just one goal in its last four matches across all competitions. That lone goal came in extra time against the Czechs in World Cup qualifying. Each of Sweden's last five matches have totalled two goals or less. With Slovenia being the expected bottom-feeder in this Nations League group we can anticipate it simply looking to take something, anything from this match - perhaps one where the potential is there to at least gain a point. Interestingly, Slovenia is actually undefeated across its last four contests. A tentative start to the Nations League can be expected here and I envision both sides struggling to find more than a single goal. Take the under (6*). |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 8 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in the Rangers stunning 6-2 win over the Hurricanes in Game 7 of their Eastern Conference semi-final series on Monday. I won't hesitate to go the other way with the 'under' in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final on Wednesday night. The Lightning saw all four of their games against the in-state rival Panthers stay 'under' the total - a much different outcome than most were expecting. Likewise, the Rangers saw the first five games of their series against Carolina stay 'under' before things opened up in Games 6 and 7. While there will be plenty of offensive firepower on display in this series, I'm not sure we'll see it right out of the gate on Wednesday night. Note that the 'under' is 14-5 with the Lightning playing with double-revenge, as is the case here after the Rangers took the final two regular season meetings between these two teams, resulting in an average total of just 5.1 goals. The 'under' is also 29-15 with the Blueshirts playing at home after scoring 3+ goals in consecutive games over the last three seasons, which is also the situation here. New York allows just 2.3 goals per game at Madison Square Garden this season and it has a red hot, world-class goaltender in Igor Shesterkin. The Lightning have their own elite goaltender in Andrei Vasilevskiy and he posted a ridiculous .981 save percentage in Tampa Bay's four-game sweep of Florida. Expect goals to be tough to come by in the series-opener. Take the under (8*). |
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05-31-22 | Sun +5 v. Aces | 81-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Las Vegas at 9 pm et on Tuesday. |
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05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -129 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Colorado at 8 pm et on Tuesday. We're being offered a total of 7 at plenty of books leading up to Game 1 of the Western Conference Final between the Oilers and Avalanche. The 'over' cashed in four of the Oilers five games against the Flames last round. Credit the Oilers for taking it to their in-province rivals and ultimately prevailing in fewer games than most would have imagined. They'll face a much tougher challenge here, however. Colorado had to break a sweat but ultimately got past the Blues in six games last round. While the Avalanche boast a potent offense, it's important to note that their defensive play has been terrific as well. Note that the Avs have given up three goals or less in eight of 10 playoff games. They held the Oilers to two goals or less in consecutive meetings earlier this season before dropping a 6-3 decision in Edmonton very late in the regular season when they were already looking ahead to the playoffs, mired in a 1-6 slide to end the campaign. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 10-2 with the Oilers playing on the road after winning four consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of just 5.0 goals. This season, the 'under' is 9-3 with the Oilers playing on the road after consecutive games that totalled 7+ goals, which is also the situation here, resulting in an average total of 6.0 goals. Meanwhile, the Avs have seen the 'under' cash at a 14-3 clip when playing at home seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent by 2+ goals over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 5.3 goals. Take the under (10*). |
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05-31-22 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota first five innings over Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Tigers got past the Twins by a 7-5 score yesterday afternoon - a rare offensive outburst from Detroit, which averages just a shade over 3.0 runs per game at home this season. I look for Minnesota to answer back in Game 1 of Tuesday's day-night double-header. Devin Smeltzer will get another turn in the rotation for the Twins. He's coming off arguably the best start of his big league career as he tossed seven shutout innings of two-hit ball against the Royals last week. In three starts this season, Smeltzer has allowed just two earned runs in 17 1/3 innings of work. Rony Garcia gets his second start of the season for the Tigers out of necessity only as Detroit has six pitchers on the I.L. Garcia is in tough here as he faces the Twins for a second consecutive outing. While Detroit did prevail in his start against Minnesota last week, it had little to do with Garcia as he lasted only four innings, allowing three hits, two walks and two earned runs. Note that Garcia has allowed a home run in each of his last three appearances, including that outing against the Twins last week. Rather than mess with the Twins struggling bullpen here, we'll back them in the first five innings only on Tuesday afternoon. Take Minnesota first five innings (9*). |
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05-30-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 36 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Carolina at 8 pm et on Monday. We've been riding the 'under' throughout this series, with considerable success. Now that the genie is finally out of the bottle, so to speak, following the Rangers high-scoring 5-2 victory on Saturday night, I look for another relatively high-scoring contest in Game 7 on Monday night. The Canes fired a whopping 39 shots on goal in Saturday's loss but didn't really generate enough dangerous scoring chances to keep pace with the Blueshirts. That should change back at home. New York seemed to finally solve Canes goaltender Antti Raanta on Saturday, finding the back of the net three times on just 13 shots before he was replaced. Raanta has played as well as he has at any point of his career in these playoffs but you have to wonder if the clock could be striking midnight. The Rangers certainly boast plenty of firepower and have now scored 13 goals in taking three of the last four games in this series. The Canes are at home for Game 7, however, and I'm confident they can bounce back from their poor showing on Saturday, noting that they have scored 21 goals in their last five home contests following a loss, good for an average of over 4.0 goals per game. Take the over (10*). |
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05-29-22 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
My selection is on Boston moneyline over Miami at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Heat in the first half (and the full game 'over') in Game 6 of this series on Friday night. I couldn't help but feel that the betting marketplace was missing the mark with Miami installed as a big underdog in a series where either team is capable of rising up and delivering a dominant performance in any given contest. The Heat did well to stave off elimination in Boston but I expect the Celtics to respond and deliver the knockout blow in Miami on Sunday. Note that the Celtics were finally able to limit the Heat's scoring opportunities somewhat on Friday night, holding them to a series-low 78 field goal attempts. Miami simply shot the lights out, relatively-speaking. It's been a bit of a slog for the Boston offense at times in this series, struggling to get out of the 70's in terms of field goal attempts per game. However, we have seen them shown the ability to shoot exceptionally well also. Off a poor shooting night on Friday, I'm certainly anticipating a strong bounce-back performance on Sunday. Rather than lay the points with the C's on the road here, we'll back them at a very reasonable price on the moneyline. Having cashed a number of tickets with the scrappy Heat in this series already, I do have plenty of respect for them and don't expect them to get their doors blown off by any means. Take Boston moneyline (10*). |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 197.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Miami at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. Have we transported back in time? That's what it feels like working with a total in the 190's in advance of Game 7 between the Celtics and Heat on Sunday. Of course, what else would you expect as we're talking about two of the league's best defensive teams with a chance to advance to the NBA Finals on the line. We actually won with the 'over', making that play on a considerably higher posted total on Friday. While that game ultimately cruised 'over' the total, we certainly saw glimpses of what is to come in Game 7. The Celtics were held to just 72 field goal attempts in that contest - the fourth straight game in which they were limited to fewer than 80 FG attempts. On the flip side, we finally saw Boston limit Miami's scoring opportunities, holding it to 78 FG attempts after yielding 90+ in each of the previous three games. Miami shot exceptionally well when it matter early and late in Friday's game and both teams got to the free throw line 25+ times. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday, however, as the officials 'let them play' a little more in this seventh-and-deciding game. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 40-24 with Boston seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a favorite over the last three seasons while Miami has seen the 'under' go 14-4 when playing at home after losing two of its last three contests over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take the under (9*). |
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05-29-22 | Mercury v. Dream UNDER 164.5 | 54-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Atlanta at 12 noon et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in the Mercury's most recent game - a wild 99-94 loss in Los Angeles on Wednesday. While the pace wasn't necessarily there for such a high-scoring affair (Phoenix got off 66 field goal attempts and Los Angeles countered with 66), both teams shot the lights out. I expect a much different story to unfold as the Mercury stay on the road for a third straight game, facing the Dream in Atlanta on Sunday. Note that while Phoenix has seen its last three games go 'over' the total, Atlanta is coming off consecutive 'under' results. The Dream have held four of their last five opponents to 68 or fewer FG attempts with their last two opponents getting off only 55 and 60. While the Mercury have been struggling defensively, they've also run into three consecutive hot-shooting opponents with Dallas, Las Vegas and Los Angeles all knocking down 34+ field goals. Here, Phoenix catches a Dream squad that has made good on just 27 and 20 field goals over its last two contests and has been held to fewer than 29 made field goals in six of seven contests this season. The outlier was a non-competitive 101-79 victory over arguably the league's worst team in Indiana. Last year's three meetings between these two teams produced 173, 153 and 151 points. Note that the outlier saw Phoenix get off a ridiculous 90 FG attempts with both teams knocking down 35+ field goals. The fact that those numbers 'only' ended up leading to a total of 173 points was encouraging for our purposes today. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 14-5 with Phoenix coming off a game in which it scored 90+ points over the last three seasons, leading to an average total of 159.9 points. Take the under (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -106 | 6-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Toronto at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. The Angels coughed up a late lead in a 4-3 loss last night, their second defeat in a row at the hands of the Blue Jays and third straight overall. I look for them to finally snap out of it and get back in the win column on Saturday as they face a familiar foe on the mound in Yusei Kikuchi. The Halos are of course quite familiar with Kikuchi from his days with the division-rival Mariners. No team has give Kikuchi more trouble than Los Angeles. He owns a ridiculous 10.62 ERA and 2.26 WHIP against the Angels and we're not talking about numbers skewed by a small sample size. No, Kikuchi has faced L.A. seven times in his career, working 29 2/3 innings. While Kikuchi's overall numbers this season are fine, he has had a tough time finding any sort of rhythm, seemingly alternating good and bad outings. One thing we do know is that he hasn't pitched as well on the road with Toronto losing all four of his starts as he's posted a 3.64 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 17 1/3 innings pitched. Enough about Kikuchi, let's talk about Angels starter Michael Lorenzen. I've seen enough from Lorenzen this season to consider him underrated. He's worked at least six innings in five of his seven starts, recording a 3.05 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. In four home starts, those numbers drop to 2.38 and 0.93. Here, we'll note that Lorenzen has posted a terrific 14-5 team record in 19 career starts with his team coming off a loss while the Angels are a solid 29-21 after losing three of their last four games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -106 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
Metropolitan Division Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on New York over Carolina at 8 pm et on Saturday. Game 5 of this series was interesting as the Hurricanes jumped ahead 1-0 early before the Rangers quickly tied things up and then New York seemingly grabbed a 2-1 lead in the second period before that goal was called back. From there the tide turned back in the hometown Canes favor as they went on to score the next two goals in a 3-1 victory. Who knows how that contest would have played out were it not for the disallowed Rangers goal. New York certainly carried the play for much of the game, outshooting Carolina by a wide 34-17 margin. That was the fourth straight game in which the Rangers held the advantage in terms of shots on goal. I like New York to bounce back here at home, where it has gone an impressive 32-15 this season, outscoring opponents by 1.0 goal on average. The Canes are actually one of the weakest road teams remaining in the playoffs, with a 25-21 record, outscoring opponents by 0.4 goals on average but allowing just shy of 3.0 goals per contest. Note here that the Rangers are 11-3 when seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 1.3 goals on average in that spot. Better still, the Blueshirts are 7-1 when that road loss came by 2+ goals, which is the situation here, outscoring opponents by 1.3 goals on average along the way. The home team has now won all 12 games the Hurricanes have played in these playoffs. I'm not going to go against the grain here. Take New York (10*). |
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05-28-22 | Mystics v. Sun UNDER 156.5 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Connecticut at 7 pm et on Saturday. Washington has seen the 'under' cash in four straight games while Connecticut is riding a five-game 'over' streak. Obviously something has to give in this one. I have a lot of respect for both of these teams but in particular for their defense. Washington has been as stingy as it gets this season, holding opponents to just 25-of-64 shooting on average. While tonight's matchup is a difficult one, especially given Connecticut has scored 90+ points in four of its last five games, consider that the Mystics did already face arguably the league's best offensive team in the Las Vegas Aces earlier this season, and held up well, allowing only 76 points on 27-of-65 shooting. Connecticut's recent offensive surge has come against some of the league's weakest defensive teams in New York, Indiana (twice) and Dallas (twice). The Sun have been playing smothering defense as usual, holding six of seven opponents to 65 field goal attempts or fewer and four of those seven opponents to 24 or fewer made field goals. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with Washington playing on the road after winning three of its last four games ATS over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of just 151.8 points. The 'under' is 13-4 with Connecticut coming off a game that totalled 165+ points over the same stretch, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 152.5 points. Take the under (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Giants -170 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Giants dropped the opener of this series last night as they couldn't get anything off Reds rookie starter Graham Ashcraft. I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday as they go up against Reds starter Vlad Gutierrez who may not be long for the Cincinnati rotation given his results in the early stages of this season. Gutierrez has yet to last five innings in any of his seven starts this season. The one start the Reds managed to win they needed 14 runs to outlast the Brewers in a slugfest. Here at home, Gutierrez has made three starts this season, posting a 9.94 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 2/3 innings of work. While that is a small sample size, going back farther shows Gutierrez allowed 12 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings across his final three home starts last season. Alex Wood will take the ball for the Giants. You can be sure he's been itching to get back on the mound to make amends for his most recent outing, an ugly start in which he gave up five earned runs in three innings of work against the Padres. That start came at home. Wood has actually been better on the road this season, posting a 3-1 team record in four starts, recording a 3.66 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Here, we'll note that the Reds are a long-term loser when coming off a game in which they allowed one run or less, as is the case here, posting a 241-334 record while being outscored by 0.6 runs on average. Meanwhile, the Giants are 409-331 after losing five or six of their last seven games, which is also the situation here. Take San Francisco (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Real Madrid +0.5 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
Champions League Game of the Year. My selection is on Real Madrid +0.5 goals over Liverpool at 3 pm et on Saturday. There's something special about this Real Madrid squad. It hasn't faced an easy road to reach this Champions League Final - not by any stretch of the imagination. Los Blancos have had to outlast the likes of Paris Saint-Germain, Chelsea and Manchester City, erasing second half deficits in a number of matches thanks in large part to the heroics of one of the world's best players in Karim Benzema. Now comes arguably the toughest test of all as Liverpool has gone undefeated across its last 18 matches. I'm confident Real Madrid will be up for the challenge. I understand the overwhelming support for Liverpool in this match. After all, Real Madrid could certainly be considered 'lucky' to be here given the nature of its recent Champions League victories. Liverpool on the other hand hasn't left much doubt. There's also the matter of this match being played in France, rather than Madrid where Los Blancos delivered their unthinkable comeback victories. Note that while Los Blancos last two matches resulted in rather uninspiring draws against Cadiz and Real Betis, those lackluster performances weren't unexpected as they had already wrapped up the La Liga crown and were already preparing for this showdown with Liverpool. There's really nothing negative I can say about the Reds here. They field a tremendous level of talent across the board. If there is perhaps one advantage Real Madrid might have it is in the last line of defense as keeper Thibault Courtois has been outstanding and can tilt the scales in a match such as this. Liverpool keeper Alisson is elite in his own right but doesn't bring the same form as Courtois. While most are anticipating plenty of offensive fireworks in this one, I'm counting on a tight, low-scoring affair and that should favor underdog Real Madrid. We'll grab the half-goal as insurance as we should be in for another 'instant classic'. Take Real Madrid +0.5 goals (10*). |
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05-28-22 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Liverpool and Real Madrid at 3 pm et on Saturday. Last year's Champions League Final was a bit of a snoozer unless you're a real student of the game. Chelsea won that match by a 1-0 score over Manchester City. Oddly enough, I'm actually expecting another relatively low-scoring affair here but with that being said, I simply feel this total has been set too low. 'Low-scoring' is a relative term considering how these two squads have performed, particularly in Champions League play. Gone are the days of Real Madrid putting on routine defensive clinics in big matches such as this. Los Blancos have been pushing hard, often out of necessity after digging deep holes for themselves. You'd be hard-pressed to find a striker in better form than Karim Benzema right now. He possesses the ability to tilt the scales in Los Blancos' favor at any given moment. Of course, Liverpool plays an extremely aggressive, attacking brand of football. The Reds will look to pressure Real Madrid's oft-leaky defense early and often on Saturday. Regardless which team strikes first, an equalizer should never be far off. If there's an area to be exploited on Liverpool's side in might just be in goal where keeper Alisson is beatable in my opinion. Benzema and Vinicius Jr. have been clinical and should pose a major threat to the Reds last line of defense here. Take the over (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Brewers -112 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
MLB Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee over St. Louis at 2:15 pm et on Saturday. The Cardinals evened this series at a game apiece with a 4-2 victory last night. I look for the Brewers to answer back on Saturday. Adrian Houser didn't earn a win in his most recent start but he certainly did everything that was asked of him, allowing only one earned run over six frames in an eventual extra innings loss in San Diego. Since then, the Brewers have won three of their last four games. Houser certainly enjoys pitching against the Cardinals. He has allowed just two earned urns in 30 2/3 innings of work against them going back to the start of last season. The Brewers have won three of his five career starts here in St. Louis. Matthew Liberatore will get his second big league start for the Cardinals out of necessity only. He drew a favorable matchup against the light-hitting Pirates in his first career start last week but didn't fare well, allowing four earned runs on seven hits over just 4 2/3 innings. He wasn't exactly thriving at the AAA level prior to the call-up, posting a 3.83 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 40 innings of work. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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05-27-22 | Pirates v. Padres -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Pittsburgh at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Pirates just took two of three games from the Rockies prior to yesterday's off-day. That series came at home, however, where Pittsburgh has recorded 11 of its 18 victories this season. The Buccos are just 7-11 on the road, averaging a miserable 2.9 runs per game. Worse still, in their first road game following a homestand this season they've lost 6-1 in Milwaukee, 3-2 in Detroit and 9-0 in Chicago (against the Cubs) - an awful 0-3 while being outscored by a 18-3 margin. The Padres aren't likely to take it easy on them here, not after dropping consecutive low-scoring games against the Brewers earlier this week. Prior to that they had won five games in a row. Here, we'll note that San Diego is an exceptional 12-3 after scoring two runs or less in its previous game this season, outscoring opponents by 2.1 runs on average in that situation. Better still, the Pads' are 18-5 after being held to three runs or less in three straight games over the last two seasons, averaging 5.0 runs per game while outscoring the opposition by 1.4 runs on average in that situation. Pirates starter Jose Quintana is coming off his worst start of the season and his lone previous start here at Petco Park was not a good one as he was tagged for six runs, four of them earned, on seven hits over just three innings back in 2019. Padres starter Sean Manaea has shown the ability to work deep into games, lasting at least six innings in seven of his eight starts this season. He's shown a strong day-night dichotomy in his starts this season, faring much better under the lights with a 3.13 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 31 2/3 innings of work. Add in the Padres bullpen edge (they've posted a 3.15 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with five saves converted and only one blown at home this season) and I believe they might just be undervalued, even at a fairly steep price on paper on Friday night. Take San Diego (7*). |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Boston at 8:30 pm et on Friday. I think we're seeing a major overreaction when it comes to the total in Game 6 of this series after the last two games were exceptionally low-scoring (by today's NBA standards). While Game 5 totalled only 173 points, the pace was actually there - at least from the Heat as they got off a series-high 94 field goal attempts. They quite simply couldn't hit their shots. Now with their backs against the wall in Game 6, I'm confident we'll seem them bounce back on Friday. Here, we'll note that the Heat average an impressive 117.2 points per game when seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent this season, with that situation resulting in an average total of 221.4 points (12-game sample size). The Celtics have averaged 113.2 points per game off consecutive 'under' results this season, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 218.1 points (23-game sample size). Miami has held Boston to fewer than 80 FG attempts in three consecutive games. The last time that happened, Miami's next game totalled 222 points back on May 4th against Philadelphia. Take the over (10*). |
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05-27-22 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
Eastern Conference First Half Game of the Year. My selection is on Miami first half plus the points over Boston at 8:30 pm et on Friday. The Heat were embarrassed in the second half of Game 5 two nights ago, on their home floor no less. Most have completely written them off as the series shifts back to Boston for Game 6 - a potential elimination game for Miami having dug itself a 3-2 series hole. I do expect the Heat to come out fighting in this one, however, and will grab them with the generous handful of points in the first half on Friday night. Note that Miami has gone 13-5 ATS in the first half after losing consecutive games ATS this season, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an impressive 5.3-point margin in that situation. The Celtics on the other hand are a woeful 3-12 ATS in the first half when playing at home off consecutive ATS victories this season, outscored by 0.4 points on average in that spot. The last time we saw these teams meet in Boston in Game 4 the Celtics built an insurmountable 57-33 lead at halftime. The Heat did respond by leading by five at the half in Game 5 but it still wasn't enough as they couldn't keep it going in the second half. We won't worry about the second half on Friday, instead backing the Heat in the game's first 24 minutes as I expect them to give the Celtics their best punch, early on at least. Take Miami first half (10*). |
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05-27-22 | Avalanche -168 v. Blues | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
My selection is on Colorado over St. Louis at 8 pm et on Friday. The Avalanche couldn't close the deal in Game 5 on Wednesday, despite building a 3-0 lead and seemingly having proceedings in full control. While the Blues did well to battle back and ultimately win in overtime, I don't expect them to turn the trick again on Friday. Note that the Blues 'home ice advantage' has been virtually non-existent lately, 0-2 in this series and 2-5 over their last five games here in St. Louis. Colorado checks in 28-17 on the road this season where it has outscored opponents by an average margin of 0.5 goals. There's just not a lot for the Blues to hang their hat on here, even after Wednesday's thrilling victory, noting that they've been outshot 71-50 over the last two games and goaltender Ville Husso has performed admirably since taking over for an injured Jordan Binnington, but he's in no position to steal a game having allowed nine goals over the last two games. Take Colorado (10*). |
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05-26-22 | Oilers v. Flames -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Western Conference Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Calgary over Edmonton at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. The Flames ran into a buzz-saw in Edmonton, dropping both games to fall behind 3-1 in this series. In fact, the Oilers have won three games in a row since losing the series-opener by a 9-6 score. As I've noted previously, long winning streaks just aren't commonplace in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. We've seen it time and time again. Here, I look for the Flames to answer back on home ice, where they're 29-18 and outscore opponents by 1.3 goals on average this season. We'll also note that the Oilers are a woeful 2-12 the last 14 times they've played on the road after consecutive home wins by 2+ goals, as is the case here, outscored by 1.3 goals on average along the way. Take Calgary (10*). |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
Western Conference Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Dallas at 9 pm et on Thursday. Simply put, the Mavericks haven't found enough scoring opportunities to truly stay competitive in this series, noting that they've been held to 86, 78, 75 and 82 field goal attempts through the first four games. Fortunately, they shot the lights out in Game 4, staving off elimination for one game at least. The problem is, they haven't been able to stop the Warriors offense. Golden State enters Game 5 on Thursday having made good on 41, 46, 46, 38 and 41 field goals over its last five games. Unlike the Mavs, who have been held to fewer than 80 FG attempts in four of their last seven contests, the Warriors have gotten off 80+ in 12 straight games. Here, we'll note that Golden State is 8-1 ATS when playing at home seeking revenge for a double-digit loss against an opponent this season, outscoring the opposition by 13.6 points on average in that situation. Take Golden State (10*). |
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05-26-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -151 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday. We missed with the Hurricanes on the puck-line on Tuesday as they fell by a 4-1 score at Madison Square Garden. With the scene shifting back to Raleigh for Game 5 - where the Canes are a perfect 6-0 in these playoffs - I won't hesitate to come right back with them again here. Carolina has been incredibly stingy here at home this season, going 35-12 while allowing just 2.0 goals per contest. Needless to say, that's critical in a tight-checking, low-scoring series such as this one. New York checks in 26-20 on the road but has actually failed to outscore the opposition by any margin, allowing 2.9 goals per game. This is one of our preferred spots to back the Canes, noting that they've allowed just 2.1 goals per contest and outscored opponents by 0.9 goals on average when playing at home after losing two of their last three games over the last two seasons (23-game sample size). Take Carolina (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 165.5 | 94-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 10:30 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams have posted disappointing defensive numbers in the early going this season with Phoenix allowing just shy of 88 points per game and Los Angeles giving up just over 85 points per contest. Both have also faced very difficult schedules, however. The Mercury have already gone up against the league's best offensive team, the Las Vegas Aces, three times. Their other three games haven't been easy either, facing perennial championship contender Seattle twice and a surging Dallas squad in another. Meanwhile, the Sparks are coming off a difficult three-game in seven-night stretch that saw them face the Lynx, Storm and Aces in three different cities. I look for the scoring to finally settle down for both teams here, noting that last year's three meetings produced just 165, 146 and 167 points. Yes, two of those outcomes were right around the total we're dealing with tonight but I'm not convinced that either team wants to get involved in a track meet here, especially with both riding extended losing streaks (Phoenix has lost three in a row while Los Angeles has dropped five straight games). Take the under (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings under between Boston and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. Given last night's offensive fireworks most are probably expecting more of the same on Wednesday. I'll go the contrarian route, however, and call for this one to get off to a relatively quiet start. The Red Sox will hand the ball to crafty veteran left-hander Rich Hill. He's had plenty of time to get over an ugly (and short) outing against the Mariners last week. That start came at home. He's been much sharper on the road where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 1/3 innings of work this season. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito didn't have his best stuff last week in Kansas City but he still managed to get through five innings allowing only two earned runs. Keep in mind, that was Giolito's first start back after a brief stint on the Covid list. We've seen Giolito pitch well in a pair of previous home starts this season, recording a 2.77 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 13 innings. Rather than mess with the two bullpens, which have both been inconsistent this season, we'll call for the starters to keep things in check early on in this one. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Week. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Boston at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. The Heat had their doors blown off two nights ago in Boston, falling behind by an almost insurmountable deficit early and never recovering. That's not to say the opportunities weren't there, however. They actually got off 90 field goal attempts in the loss (compared to just 78 for the Celtics). In fact, the Celtics have been held to fewer than 80 field goal attempts in three of the first four games of this series and haven't reached 90 field goal attempts in a game since back on April 10th in Memphis. Boston has gone 1-5 ATS after attempting fewer than 80 field goals in consecutive games over the last three seasons. Here, we'll also note that Miami checks in 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less in a game this season, outscoring opponents by 13.3 points on average in that situation. The Celtics on the other hand are just 3-5 ATS when coming off a home win by 20+ points this season. Take Miami (10*). |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 203.5 | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Miami at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. We saw an exceptionally low-scoring game two nights ago in Boston - as we anticipated with a play on the first half 'under'. Here, I expect a different story to unfold as the scene shifts back to Miami for Game 5 on Wednesday. Note that the Heat were held to just 30 made field goals in Game 4. That's happened just three times previously this season with the 'over' cashing in their next game each and every time, resulting in an average total of 226 points, including Game 4 last round against Philadelphia - a contest that flew over the posted total of 208 with 224 points. Also note that the 'over' is 17-8 with the Celtics coming off a win by 15+ points this season, leading to an average total of 220.9 points. The 'over' is also a perfect 7-0 with Miami coming off a contest that totalled 190 points or less, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 226.3 points scored in that spot. The Celtics have been a slightly better offensive team on the road compared to at home this season, knocking down an average of 41 field goals per contest while for their part, the Heat average 40 made field goals per game at home. Take the over (9*). |
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05-25-22 | Blues +1.5 v. Avalanche | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Colorado at 8 pm et on Wednesday. We missed with the Blues on the puck-line in Game 4 of this series as they did well to battle back from a 4-1 deficit to get within a goal prior to the third period but ultimately fell by a 6-3 score. I do like them to make life difficult on the Avs in Wednesday's potential elimination game, noting that St. Louis checks in 10-3 when playing on the road seeking revenge for consecutive losses against an opponent over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. Perhaps better still, the Blues are 10-2 when coming off a game in which they gave up 6+ goals over the same stretch, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.3 goals in that situation. The Avs on the other hand are a long-term 53-64 when returning home following a road win by 2+ goals. Noting that St. Louis has been a 'tough out' on the road all season, actually outscoring opponents by 0.7 goals on average (remember it lost in overtime in Game 1 of this series before winning game 2 by a 4-1 score, I look for it to hang tough again here. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Astros | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland +1.5 runs over Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. We missed with the Guardians in Cal Quantrill's most recent start but probably deserved better as they led early and Quantrill did his part, pitching seven solid innings in an eventual 4-2 loss to the Reds. Quantrill has now worked at least six innings in five straight starts and owns a sub-1.20 WHIP on the season. He pitched reasonably well in his lone outing against the Astros last season, also working into the sixth inning and giving up only three earned runs in a tight 4-3 loss. Cristian Javier will counter for Houston. The Astros are just 5-7 against the -1.5 run-line in his 12 career home starts. He had his best stuff working in his most recent start but it still wasn't enough to secure a victory as the 'Stros fell by a 3-0 score at home against the Rangers. For the season, Javier owns a rather pedestrian 4.50 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The bullpens are a virtual wash between these two teams on the season. I do like the fact that the Guardians had an off day last Saturday (due to a rain-out) while the Astros haven't been idle since May 9th. They'll certainly have one eye on tomorrow's off-day. Note that Houston hasn't managed to win consecutive games against the Guardians by 2+ runs over the course of the last seven meetings with Cleveland going 5-2 when factoring in the +1.5 run-line over that stretch. Take Cleveland +1.5 runs (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
N.L. East First Five Innings Total of the Month. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Philadelphia and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Wednesday. Credit the Braves for putting up six runs including two in the ninth inning in last night's wild walk-off win over the Phillies. I'm not counting on another offensive outburst here, however. Note that Atlanta hasn't scored more than six runs in a game since May 8th. It has been held to four runs or less in six of its last nine contests. Tonight, the Braves will face Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez who will be happy to face a team other than the Dodgers after running into Los Angeles in each of his last two outings. Suarez checks in sporting a 2.50 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the road this season. Charlie Morton counters for Atlanta. He's settled down after a shaky start to the campaign, allowing just four earned runs in 16 1/3 innings over his last three trips to the hill. Morton owns a terrific 2.89 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home this season. He last faced the Phillies right here in Atlanta last September, delivering seven innings of shutout ball. Note that Morton has yielded just one home run in his last seven outings against Philadelphia. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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Sean Murphy ALL Sports Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
06-14-22 | Latvia -1.5 v. Liechtenstein | 2-0 | Win | 107 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
06-13-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
06-13-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 23 m | Show |
06-13-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
06-13-22 | Israel v. Iceland OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
06-12-22 | Storm v. Wings UNDER 159.5 | Top | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
06-12-22 | Portugal v. Switzerland OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
06-12-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
06-11-22 | Aces v. Sparks UNDER 174.5 | 89-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
06-11-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
06-11-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
06-11-22 | Brewers -159 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -159 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
06-10-22 | Storm -2.5 v. Wings | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
06-10-22 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Brewers -157 v. Nationals | 5-11 | Loss | -157 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | France -135 v. Austria | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
06-09-22 | Montreal +3.5 v. Calgary | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
06-09-22 | Lightning v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
06-09-22 | Spain v. Switzerland OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
06-09-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -157 | 8-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 212.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 59 h 11 m | Show |
06-08-22 | Phillies v. Brewers +1.5 | 10-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
06-08-22 | Sky v. Mystics -3 | 82-84 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
06-08-22 | Fever v. Sun UNDER 165.5 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
06-08-22 | Poland v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
06-07-22 | Dream v. Storm -7 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -164 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
06-07-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -108 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
06-07-22 | Lynx v. Liberty -2.5 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
06-07-22 | Diamondbacks +129 v. Reds | 8-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
06-07-22 | Rangers +104 v. Guardians | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
06-07-22 | England v. Germany OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
06-06-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
06-06-22 | Mariners v. Astros -154 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
06-06-22 | Albania v. Iceland UNDER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 216 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 58 h 51 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Mystics v. Sky OVER 156 | Top | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
06-05-22 | Wings v. Aces -6.5 | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Slovenia v. Serbia -203 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
06-05-22 | Astros -220 v. Royals | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
06-05-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
06-04-22 | White Sox v. Rays -117 | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
06-04-22 | England v. Hungary UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
06-03-22 | Wings v. Storm -5.5 | Top | 68-51 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
06-03-22 | Denmark v. France OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Netherlands v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
06-03-22 | Cardinals +105 v. Cubs | Top | 14-5 | Win | 105 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
06-02-22 | Mets v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
06-02-22 | Sun +5 v. Aces | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 56 m | Show |
06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors OVER 210.5 | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 84 h 44 m | Show | |
06-02-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | 0-4 | Win | 129 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
06-02-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Avalanche | 0-4 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
06-02-22 | Norway v. Serbia OVER 2 | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
06-02-22 | Sweden v. Slovenia UNDER 2 | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 34 m | Show | |
05-31-22 | Sun +5 v. Aces | 81-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -129 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
05-31-22 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
05-30-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 36 h 33 m | Show |
05-29-22 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 197.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
05-29-22 | Mercury v. Dream UNDER 164.5 | 54-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -106 | 6-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -106 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
05-28-22 | Mystics v. Sun UNDER 156.5 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Giants -170 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Real Madrid +0.5 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show |
05-28-22 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Brewers -112 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
05-27-22 | Pirates v. Padres -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
05-27-22 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
05-27-22 | Avalanche -168 v. Blues | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
05-26-22 | Oilers v. Flames -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
05-26-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -151 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Mercury v. Sparks UNDER 165.5 | 94-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 203.5 | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Blues +1.5 v. Avalanche | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Astros | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |