03-21-25 |
Grizzlies +7 v. Clippers |
Top |
108-128 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Los Angeles. The Clippers have won both meetings this season vs. the Grizzlies. We'll take Memphis + the points, as the Clippers are a poor 31-53 ATS when favored by 4+ points vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-21-25 |
Cavs -7.5 v. Suns |
Top |
112-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Phoenix. The Cavs are mired in a 3-game losing streak. We'll step in and take Cleveland to get back into the win column tonight, as it is 50-26-1 ATS off back-to-back losses, if it was favored by 6+ points against a losing team, including 11-2 ATS on the road. Take the Cavs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-21-25 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -1 |
Top |
109-128 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers over the Denver Nuggets. The Blazers come into tonight's game off 3 straight wins over Toronto (105-102), Washington (112-97) and Memphis (115-99). Denver will play tonight's game without its best player, Nikola Jokic, so this point spread has been installed near Pk'em to reflect Jokic's absence. We'll take Portland, as it's 37-12 ATS off back to back home wins by more than 6 points. Take the Trail Blazers.
|
03-21-25 |
Xavier v. Illinois -3 |
Top |
73-86 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Xavier. The Musketeers come into this game off an 86-80 win over Texas, as a 2.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Illinois enters off an 88-65 loss to Maryland. We'll take the Illini, as they're 122-74 ATS off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off a point spread win. Lay the points with Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-21-25 |
Oklahoma v. Connecticut -4.5 |
Top |
59-67 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:25 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Oklahoma. The Huskies are certainly having a disappointing season, as they were one of the three favorites (along with Duke and Kansas) to win the title at the start of the season. Still, I have no desire to fade them in this initial tournament game. And, for technical support, consider that UConn is 12-0 ATS its last 12 non-conference games when favored by less than 8 points. And it's 41-21 ATS its last 62 post-season games vs. non-conference foes. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-21-25 |
Pelicans v. Wolves -13.5 |
Top |
93-134 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over New Orleans. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games played between these teams -- both in Minneapolis. The Pelicans won on Wednesday, 119-115. We'll take the T-Wolves to avenge that loss, as they're 29-10 ATS when playing an opponent which defeated it in Minnesota in the prior meeting. Lay the points.
|
03-21-25 |
Troy State v. Kentucky -10.5 |
Top |
57-76 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Troy. The Trojans pulled off an upset over Arkansas St, 94-81, to win the Sun Belt Tournament. But off that big triumph, we'll fade the Trojans in the opening round of the Big Dance. Troy is a terrible 31-54 ATS off an upset win, including 17-41 ATS when it owned a W/L percentage greater than .400 (and, then, 3-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Meanwhile, Kentucky was buried, 99-70, by Alabama in the SEC Tournament. I like the 'Cats to bounce back, as they're 37-20-1 ATS in the post-season off a point spread loss, and 22-11 ATS after giving up 90+ points in their previous game. And Kentucky also falls into a 53-13 ATS Tourney system of mine which plays on certain teams off point spread defeats. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-21-25 |
Vanderbilt v. St. Mary's -4 |
Top |
56-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
78 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:15 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tourney, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Gaels fell, 58-51, in the WCC Tourney title game to the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Off that loss, we'll step in and take St. Mary's as a favorite vs. Vandy. The Gaels are a solid 129-88-1 ATS as a favorite of 20 points (or less) off a point spread defeat. Take St. Mary's.
|
03-21-25 |
Robert Morris v. Alabama -22.5 |
Top |
81-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Robert Morris. The Crimson Tide were routed, 104-82, by Florida in the SEC Tourney. The good news for 'Bama is that it now will face Horizon League member, Robert Morris. The SEC has dominated the Horizon League, including 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS when the SEC team was off a SU loss. Moreover, Alabama falls into an 83-40-8 ATS Tourney system of mine. Lay the points.
|
03-21-25 |
Robert Morris v. Alabama UNDER 166 |
Top |
81-90 |
Loss |
-108 |
75 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the UNDER in the Alabama/Robert Morris game. I like playing on Unders in the tournament when both the point spread and the over/under line are high. Indeed, NCAA Tourney games have gone 21-7 UNDER their last 28 when the O/U line was greater than 151, and the point spread was 11 (or higher). Additionally, the UNDER falls into a 43-16 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-20-25 |
Bucks -3 v. Lakers |
Top |
118-89 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Los Angeles. The Lakers won last night by 12 over Denver, and will be unrested vs. a rested Bucks team on Thursday. Milwaukee comes into this game off 2 losses. But it is 99-56-4 ATS in the regular season when playing off 2+ defeats. Additionally, the Lakers enter on a 3-game win streak. But they're a poor 116-148 ATS in the regular season off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with Milwaukee. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-20-25 |
Bulls +7 v. Kings |
Top |
128-116 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Sacramento. The Kings have been brutal at home off a SU/ATS win if they were playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Sacramento is 30-62 ATS in this situation. With the Kings in off a huge upset win over Cleveland, and the Bulls off a 127-121 SU/ATS loss to Phoenix, we'll take the road underdog Bulls tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-20-25 |
UC San Diego v. Michigan -2.5 |
Top |
65-68 |
Win
|
100 |
60 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over UC San Diego. After a 2-13 ATS skein, the Wolves ended the season strong with 3 upset wins in the Big 10 Tournament. We'll lay the points with Michigan, as teams off 3 upset wins to claim their conference crown have proceeded to go 11-4-1 ATS in their initial NCAA Tourney game vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Wolverines. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-20-25 |
Yale v. Texas A&M -7 |
Top |
71-80 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:25 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Yale. The Aggies were upset, 94-89, by rival, Texas, in the Big 12 Tourney. We'll take A&M to rebound on Thursday, as it has gone 31-7 ATS in non-conference games off a loss by less than 9 points (including 16-0 ATS when priced from +3 to -12 points). Take the Aggies.
|
03-20-25 |
Arkansas v. Kansas -4 |
Top |
79-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Arkansas. Bill Self's Jayhawks were one of the favorites in the preseason to win the title (along with Duke and UConn). But only the Blue Devils among those three teams lived up to their billing. The Jayhawks went 21-12 this season, and were 15-18 ATS, including an 88-77 loss to Arizona in the Big 12 Tourney. I like the Jayhawks to bounce back in this first-round game, as they're 46-27 ATS in the post-season off an ATS loss (including 22-7 ATS their last 29 when favored by 9 or less). Lay the points with the Jayhawks.
|
03-20-25 |
Montana v. Wisconsin -16.5 |
Top |
66-85 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 1:30 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Montana. The Badgers were upset by Michigan in the Big 10 Championship game, 59-53. Wisky is a solid 19-0 SU and 13-4-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, when favored by 8+ points vs. non-conference foes off a SU win. Meanwhile, Montana is 7-12 ATS vs. non-conference foes off an upset loss, including 1-4 ATS in the post-season. The Big 10 has dominated the Big Sky in the post-season, going 4-1 SU/ATS. Take the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-20-25 |
High Point v. Purdue -7.5 |
Top |
63-75 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 12:40 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over High Point. The Boilers were blasted, 86-68, by Michigan in the Big 10 Tourney. Matt Painter generally has his troops bounce back off bad games, as they're 63-33-3 ATS off a loss by 7+ points, dating back to his first season as head coach (2005-06). Meanwhile, the Panthers are on a 14-game win streak. Unfortunately, teams from the "added board" conferences (like the Big South) have gone 15-34 ATS away from home when they were on a 10-game (or better) win streak. Take the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-19-25 |
Loyola-Chicago v. San Jose State +2.5 |
Top |
73-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
37 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Loyola Chicago. The Ramblers lost to VCU in the Atlantic 10 Tourney semi-finals, 62-55, as a 9.5-point underdog, and will now travel west to play the Spartans. Loyola has covered the spread in its last four games, and has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Spartans. Unfortunately, they've covered just 7 of 20 as a road favorite off a SU loss. And Atlantic 10 Conference road favorites have gone 51-83-5 ATS off a point spread win. Meanwhile, San Jose is 10-3 its last 13 at home, and 15-6 its last 21 as an underdog. Take the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-19-25 |
Utah Valley v. San Francisco -7 |
Top |
70-79 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Utah Valley. The Dons have been dominant in their main home gym -- War Memorial Gym -- this season, as they've gone 16-0 (their lone home loss was at Chase Center vs. Gonzaga). They'll welcome the Wolverines to War Memorial on Wednesday. The Wolves were strong at home this season, as they covered the spread by an average of 10.5 ppg. But on the road, they were pedestrian, and covered by 0.21 ppg (for a 10.28 home/road point spread differential). Likewise, the Dons were also better at home (which bodes well for them tonight), as their home/road point spread differential was +5.07 ppg this season. Take San Francisco. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-19-25 |
Wizards v. Jazz -4.5 |
Top |
112-128 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Washington. We'll take the revenge-minded Jazz tonight, as they fall into a 117-72 ATS system of mine. What we want to do is play on the Jazz if they're rested, and favored at home by at least 2.5 points following a SU loss. With Utah off a 111-97 loss to Chicago on Monday, we'll play on the Jazz to bounce back tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-19-25 |
North Alabama v. Bradley -3.5 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over North Alabama. The Lions have been solid as a favorite, but have burned money as an underdog, including 3-13-1 ATS vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game. With Bradley off a 63-48 loss to Drake, as a 4-point dog, we'll lay the points with Bradley on Wednesday.
|
03-19-25 |
Furman v. North Texas -7.5 |
Top |
64-75 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Furman. North Texas was upset by UAB in the AAC Conference Tourney. We'll take North Texas minus the points, as Furman is a poor 7-12 ATS vs. foes off upset losses, including 1-4 ATS in non-conference games. Take the Mean Green minus the points.
|
03-19-25 |
Pistons v. Heat +5.5 |
Top |
116-113 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Detroit Pistons. On Monday, the Pistons blew out New Orleans, 127-81. Off that 46-point win, we'll fade Detroit on Wednesday. Indeed, the Pistons are a putrid 5-33-1 ATS off a win by more than 7 points, if their opponent was off a SU/ATS loss. And NBA teams off a win by more than 45 points have gone 8-22-5 ATS their last 35. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-19-25 |
Dayton v. Florida Atlantic +1.5 |
Top |
86-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
33 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls over Dayton. The Flyers are the higher-seeded team, but their home arena had a scheduling conflict, so they'll play this game in Boca Raton. We'll fade the Flyers, as they've covered just 35.2% as a non-conference road favorite over the last 35 years. Take the Owls.
|
03-19-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's +2.5 v. American |
Top |
83-72 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 6:40 pm, on Wednesday, in the "First Four" round of the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over American. The Mountaineers are currently riding a 6-game ATS win streak. And underdogs have gone 10-4-1 ATS in the First Four round of the NCAA Tourney when they were on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. The Mountaineers also play with revenge from two losses to the Eagles over the previous two seasons. Take Mount St. Mary's.
|
03-18-25 |
Cal-Riverside +10.5 v. Santa Clara |
Top |
62-101 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cal Riverside Highlanders + the points over Santa Clara. The Broncos hammered the Highlanders earlier this season, 96-54. We'll back Riverside in the revenge role, as double-digit dogs have gone 83-58 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 40+ points earlier in the season. Take Riverside. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-18-25 |
Bucks v. Warriors +3 |
Top |
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Milwaukee. Last night, we played against Golden State, and got the $$$ with Denver. Tonight, we'll switch gears and play on the Warriors as a home dog. Steph Curry won't play in this game, so the Warriors will be an underdog. The good news for them is that they are 38-16 ATS at home vs. .400 (or better) foes when the Warriors were off a loss, and weren't favored by more than 9 points. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-18-25 |
Chattanooga v. Middle Tennessee -2.5 |
Top |
109-103 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Chattanooga. These cross-state rivals are located just 101 miles apart. They've met 7 times in recent years, with the home team winning 5 of 7. We'll lay the points with Middle Tennessee, as it is 44-34-5 ATS in non-conference home games, including 19-10-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take the Blue Raiders.
|
03-18-25 |
St Francis PA +4 v. Alabama State |
Top |
68-70 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 6:40 pm, in the "First Four" round of the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the St. Francis Red Flash + the points over Alabama St. The Red Flash stunned Northeast Conference favorite, Central Connecticut St., 46-43, to punch their ticket into this NCAA Tourney. We'll ride the momentum from that win, as NCAA underdogs (or PK) have gone 51-35-1 ATS following an upset win over a #1-seed to win their conference tourney. Take St. Francis.
|
03-17-25 |
Nuggets +4.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
114-105 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Golden State. The Nuggets have lost their last three games to the point spread. We'll take Denver as an underdog at Golden State, as it has cashed 38 of 58 following 3 ATS losses, if it was playing a .400 (or better) foe. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-17-25 |
Grizzlies v. Kings |
Top |
122-132 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the New York Knicks. The Heat are on a 7-game losing streak, and they've dropped their last five to the point spread. We'll look for them to snap their streaks tonight, and get back into the win column at New York. The Heat are 60-26 ATS away from home when they've been on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And they're also 41-13 ATS on the road off a loss by 20+ points, when priced from +9.5 to -1.5 points. With Miami coming in off a 125-91 loss at Memphis, we'll take the Heat on Monday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-17-25 |
Pacers +11 v. Wolves |
Top |
132-130 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Minnesota. The Timberwolves have won their last 8 games, including a 128-102 blowout of Utah last night. We'll fade the Wolves as NBA teams off 5+ wins, including a win by more than 25 points in their previous game, have gone 27-58 ATS. Take the Pacers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-17-25 |
Heat +7.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
95-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the New York Knicks. The Heat are on a 7-game losing streak, and they've dropped their last five to the point spread. We'll look for them to snap their streaks tonight, and get back into the win column at New York. The Heat are 60-26 ATS away from home when they've been on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And they're also 41-13 ATS on the road off a loss by 20+ points, when priced from +9.5 to -1.5 points. With Miami coming in off a 125-91 loss at Memphis, we'll take the Heat on Monday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-16-25 |
Jazz +13.5 v. Wolves |
Top |
102-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. On the surface, we have two teams going in completely opposite directions. The T-Wolves are on a 7-game winning streak, while the Jazz are mired in an 8-game losing streak. The point spread, of course, is a great equalizer. And since 1990, NBA underdogs of more than 11 points, off 8+ losses, have gone 32-13 ATS vs. foes on a 5-game (or better) winning streak. We'll grab the points with the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-16-25 |
UAB v. Memphis -4.5 |
Top |
72-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 3:15 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over UAB. The top-seeded Tigers defeated #3-seed UAB in both meetings this season, 100-77 in Birmingham, and 88-81 in Memphis. It is often said by sports broadcasters that "it's tough to beat a team three times in a season." Well, it actually is not -- particularly after you've won the first two. Indeed, if one looks at College Basketball Conference Tourney Championship games, where one team won both regular season meetings, that team has gone 264-134, straight-up, in the title game. So, I'm not concerned about UAB's double-revenge. And especially given Memphis' domination in this series. The Tigers are 30-6 straight-up, and 26-9-1 ATS vs. UAB in the last 36 meetings, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -7.5 points. And Memphis is 8-3 ATS its last 11 Tourney title games, including 5-1 ATS as the #1-seeded team. Finally, the #3-seeds have gone 22-54 ATS their last 76 Conference Tourney Championship games. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-15-25 |
Grand Canyon -3.5 v. Utah Valley |
Top |
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 11:40 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Utah Valley St. The #2 seed Antelopes are favored vs. the #1 seeded Wolverines. We'll fade Utah Valley, as #1 seeds have gone 18-26 ATS their last 44 in the Conference tourneys when installed as an underdog away from home. Take Grand Canyon minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-15-25 |
Jacksonville State v. Liberty -6 |
Top |
67-79 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Jacksonville St. The #1 seeds have had the edge over the #2 seeds in the Conference Tourney title games when favored by more than 4 points, as they've gone 80-58-3 ATS since 1990. Take Liberty to blow out the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-15-25 |
Louisville v. Duke -6 |
Top |
62-73 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Louisville. The Blue Devils come into this ACC Championship game off back to back ATS losses. We'll take Duke, as it's gone 74-48-1 ATS when laying more than 4 points off back to back ATS defeats. Lay the points.
|
03-15-25 |
Miami-OH v. Akron -5.5 |
Top |
74-76 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Miami-Ohio. We'll lay the points with Akron, as MAC Conference favorites of -4 (or more) points have gone 176-122-4 ATS vs. .636 (or better) conference foes off a conference win. Take the Zips.
|
03-15-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's v. Iona UNDER 135.5 |
Top |
63-49 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on Iona and Mount St. Mary's to go UNDER the total. This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these teams, and the first two went UNDER the total. The Mountaineers also come into this game off four straight unders, as well as unders in 15 of their last 21 games. And their last three games have sailed under by an average of 13.3 ppg. Finally, Metro Atlantic Tourney games have gone under 37-16 since 2020. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
03-15-25 |
Thunder v. Pistons +5 |
Top |
113-107 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Oklahoma City. The Pistons were stunned on Thursday by the Wizards, 129-125, as a 13-point favorite. But that was a bad set-up for Detroit, as it had just defeated Washington the game before, 123-103, so the Wizards had a revenge game two days later. We'll take Detroit to bounce back off that loss, as it is 20-9 ATS this season off a straight-up defeat, including 5-1 ATS as a home underdog. And, going back further finds Detroit 40-17 ATS in non-division games off a loss, including 12-1 ATS its last 13. Take the Pistons. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-15-25 |
South Carolina State v. Norfolk State -1.5 |
Top |
65-66 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Norfolk St. Spartans minus the points over South Carolina St. Although the Scope Arena isn't Norfolk's home gym, it will have the intangible benefit of playing this title game in its home city. The Spartans lost at South Carolina State by three points in the most recent meeting. But they won the 15 games prior to that defeat. We'll lay the points with Norfolk this afternoon, as it falls into a 64-37 ATS Tourney system of mine. Take the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-15-25 |
Princeton +8 v. Yale |
Top |
57-59 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 11 am, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers + the points over Yale. The Tigers snapped a 6-game ATS losing streak with a 95-71 blowout win over Penn last weekend. This morning, they'll look to avenge a 27-point loss to the Bulldogs a month ago. And Ivy League teams have gone 39-14-1 ATS vs. conference foes when playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, if they weren't getting double-digits. Take Princeton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-14-25 |
East Carolina v. UAB -5 |
Top |
77-94 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over East Carolina. UAB was upset, 85-68, by Tulane at season's end. We'll lay the points with UAB tonight, as it has gone 38-23 ATS off an upset loss vs. foes off a SU win, while the Pirates have cashed just 33% of conference post-season games vs. foes off an upset loss. Take UAB. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
03-14-25 |
UC-Santa Barbara v. UC San Diego UNDER 142 |
Top |
51-69 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UC San Diego Tritons and Cal-Santa Barbara to go UNDER the total. The Gauchos have played 11 of their last 13 post-season games UNDER the total when the O/U line was greater than 134 points. That bodes well for a low-scoring game tonight. As does the fact that the Tritons have played 5 of their last six games UNDER. I'll look for a low-scoring game tonight.
|
03-14-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's v. Merrimack -6.5 |
Top |
57-55 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors minus the points over Mount St. Mary's. The Mountaineers upset Marist yesterday. We'll fade the Mountaineers here, as Merrimack is a super 67% ATS vs. opponents off upset losses.
|
03-14-25 |
Cavs v. Grizzlies +2 |
Top |
133-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Cleveland. The Grizzlies lost earlier this season, 129-123. at Cleveland. We'll take Memphis tonight, as it is 74-45 ATS when it lost the prior meeting vs. its opponent, if Memphis currently owned a .600 (or better) record. Take the Grizz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-14-25 |
Celtics v. Heat +8.5 |
Top |
103-91 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston. Erik Spoelstra's Heat have lost their last five games, straight-up. And they've failed to cover the spread in their last three. The good news for Miami, tonight, is that it is 66-38-3 ATS off 3 ATS losses in a row, including 5-0 ATS their last five in this situation. We'll take Miami as a big home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-14-25 |
North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 154 |
Top |
71-74 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Duke/North Carolina game. The Tar Heels have played their last 3 games UNDER the total, including a match-up in Chapel Hill against these Blue Devils. That prior meeting went UNDER by 9.5 point, while their next two games went under by 13 and 19.5 points, respectively. We'll look for another low-scoring game on Friday. Take the UNDER.
|
03-14-25 |
Tulsa v. North Texas -13.5 |
Top |
59-77 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa. North Texas is on a 3-game ATS losing streak. We'll lay the points, as they're a solid 41-23 ATS away from home off 3+ ATS losses, including 4-2 ATS in the post-season. Take North Texas.
|
03-14-25 |
George Washington v. George Mason -2.5 |
Top |
65-80 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over George Washington. George Mason is 27-13-2 ATS off 3+ ATS losses. And it is also 7-1 ATS its last eight post-season games off back to back ATS losses. Take the Patriots minus the points. Good luck, as always..Al McMordie.
|
03-14-25 |
Texas v. Tennessee -9.5 |
Top |
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Texas. The Vols hit the skids at the end of the season with four straight ATS losses. We'll take Tennessee to get back into the ATS win column, as SEC Conference teams have gone 223-169 ATS in conference games off 4+ ATS defeats. Take the Volunteers.
|
03-14-25 |
Ole Miss v. Auburn -12 |
Top |
57-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Mississippi. The Tigers suffered back to back upset losses at the end of the regular season. In Bruce Pearl's coaching career, his teams have cashed 65.5% off back to back losses, if they were playing a conference foe off a straight-up win, including a perfect 7-0 ATS away from home. Even better: SEC Conference teams have gone 105-67 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if they were playing an SEC foe with a winning conference record. Take Auburn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-14-25 |
St Bonaventure v. VCU -11 |
Top |
59-76 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 am, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over St. Bonaventure. The Rams were upset, 79-76, by Dayton to end their regular season. We'll take the Rams to bounce back this morning, as they're 33-21 ATS when favored in the post-season vs. a foe off a SU win. Lay the points.
|
03-13-25 |
UNLV +8 v. Utah State |
Top |
58-70 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Utah St. The Rebels will play tonight's tourney game on their home court -- the Thomas & Mack Center. We'll take UNLV as a home dog, as post-season home dogs have gone 33-16 ATS when they won their previous game by more than 8 points, including 6-0 ATS the last three years. Take the Rebels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-13-25 |
Cal Poly v. Cal-Riverside -4 |
Top |
96-83 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Riverside Highlanders minus the points over Cal Poly SLO. The Mustangs upset the Highlanders last month, 112-100. We'll take Riverside to avenge that loss, as it has gone 86-62 ATS away from home when playing with revenge, including a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS this season. Lay the points with Cal Riverside. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-13-25 |
Texas-San Antonio v. East Carolina -3.5 |
Top |
65-70 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates minus the points over Texas San Antonio. The Pirates won both meetings vs. the Roadrunners this season, and have won five straight overall in the series. East Carolina did lose its season-ending game at Florida Atlantic, but had won six of seven going into that game. The Roadrunners, on the other hand, have dropped seven of their last nine (though they ended their regular season with an upset win at Charlotte). We will fade UTSA, as it's 10-20 ATS as a single-digit underdog off a win, when playing a foe off a loss. And the Roadrunners also fall into a negative 20-56 ATS tourney system of mine. Lay the points with East Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-13-25 |
USC v. Purdue -9.5 |
Top |
71-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over USC. The Boilers ended their season with a thud, losing 88-80 at Illinois. We'll take Matt Painter's men to bounce back tonight, as they're 105-73 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss, including 14-7 in the post-season. Take Purdue.
|
03-13-25 |
Nevada +5.5 v. Colorado State |
Top |
59-67 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Colorado St. The Wolf Pack play this game with double-revenge from two losses earlier this season to the Rams. We'll grab the points, as Nevada has cashed 64% when playing with double-revenge in the post-season from two regular season losses. Grab the points.
|
03-13-25 |
Seattle University -5.5 v. Abilene Christian |
Top |
69-63 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Redhawks minus the points over Abilene Christian. The Redhawks were upset by the Wildcats, 75-59, last month. The good news for Seattle is that it's cashed 66% when favored, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. Lay the points tonight with Seattle.
|
03-13-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's v. Marist -1.5 |
Top |
62-58 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes minus the points over Mount St. Mary's. The Mountaineers defeated Marist, 62-52, on Saturday, and that was the fourth straight loss for the Red Foxes. We'll take Marist to rebound tonight, as NCAA teams have cashed 56% in the post-season since 1990 off a double-digit loss, if they were playing the same opponent in back to back games. Take the Red Foxes.
|
03-13-25 |
Mississippi State v. Missouri -3.5 |
Top |
73-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Mississippi St. The Tigers ended their regular season on an 0-3 SU/ATS run. The good news for Mizzou this evening is that it's cashed 68% over the last 35 years away from home off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-13-25 |
La Salle v. St. Joe's -12 |
Top |
70-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joseph's Hawks minus the points over La Salle. The Hawks were upset by these Explorers on Saturday, 81-74, as a 9.5-point road favorite. But St. Joe's had covered 8 straight before that upset loss. The Hawks are a super 69-47 ATS off an upset loss. Lay the points.
|
03-13-25 |
Morgan State v. Howard -2.5 |
Top |
91-90 |
Loss |
-118 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Howard Bison minus the points over Morgan St. The Bison have lost four straight since defeating the Bears, 87-81, on February 22. And that was the 4th straight win by Howard against Morgan St. Howard has cashed 64% as a favorite off back to back losses. Lay the points with the Bison.
|
03-13-25 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin -7.5 |
Top |
63-70 |
Loss |
-111 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Northwestern. The Badgers were shocked, 86-75, by Penn State, in an upset loss at home last Saturday, as an 11.5-point favorite. We'll take Wisky to bounce back, as it's gone 37-27 ATS off an upset loss at home. Lay the points.
|
03-13-25 |
Georgia Tech +22.5 v. Duke |
Top |
70-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils were my preseason pick to win the National Championship (at 10-1 odds), and I still think they will win the title. But this is a big number for an ACC Conference tourney game. Dating back 35 seasons, ACC Conference tourney underdogs of +15 (or more) points have gone 12-7 ATS including 7-0 ATS since 2004. Take Georgia Tech.
|
03-12-25 |
Montana v. Northern Colorado UNDER 148.5 |
Top |
91-83 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Northern Colorado/Montana game. The Bears have played their last 3 games under the total. And each has gone under by wide margins (20.5, 18.5 and 28.5 points). Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -3.5 |
Top |
115-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The Nuggets have lost their first two meetings this season against the Timberwolves. But both of those games were played at Target Center; this game is at Ball Arena. Denver is a solid 53-34-2 ATS its last 89 when playing with double-revenge, including 7-1-2 ATS its last 10. And Minnesota is 10-20 ATS when playing a foe it defeated in the season's two prior meetings. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Syracuse v. SMU -8.5 |
Top |
53-73 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Syracuse. The Mustangs come into this game off 4 ATS losses, while the Orange are off 2 SU/ATS wins. We'll side with SMU, and look for the Mustangs to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as ACC teams have cashed 59% off 2+ point spread defeats in the post-season, if they were favored by more than 4 points against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with SMU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Seton Hall +10.5 v. Villanova |
Top |
55-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates + the points over Villanova. The Pirates were blasted, 81-50, by UConn on Saturday. We'll take Seton Hall to bounce back, as Big East teams have gone 33-15 ATS off a loss by 30+ points. Take the Pirates.
|
03-12-25 |
Florida International v. Jacksonville State -7.5 |
Top |
56-65 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Florida International. The Panthers upset Western Kentucky yesterday, 64-61. But they've cashed just 40% in the post-season as an underdog off an upset win. Take the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Utah Tech v. Utah Valley -12.5 |
Top |
57-74 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines minus the points over Utah Tech. We played on the Trailblazers yesterday vs. Southern Utah, and got the $$$ in a 7 point victory. But that game was at Burns Arena, on Utah Tech's campus. This game will be played in Las Vegas. And underdogs of +3 (or more) points, playing a neutral site game following a tourney win as a home favorite, have cashed just 38.7% in the conference tourneys since 1990. Utah Valley has gone 15-5 ATS its last 20 lined games, including 6-0 ATS when laying 9+ points. Take the Wolverines. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Florida A&M v. Jackson State -5 |
Top |
76-91 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers minus the points over Florida A&M. The Tigers enter on a 6-game win streak. And they're also 16-8 ATS their last 24. The Tigers did lose the last meeting to the Rattlers. But Jackson St. is 10-5 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite. Lay the points.
|
03-12-25 |
USC -112 v. Rutgers |
Top |
97-89 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The Trojans were blown out, 90-63, by rival UCLA on Saturday. We'll take the Trojans to rebound off that debacle, as they're 75-53 ATS off a double-digit loss, if they weren't getting 3+ points in their current game. Additionally, the Trojans fall into a 73% ATS Tourney system of mine. Take USC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Mavs v. Spurs -5.5 |
Top |
116-126 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Dallas. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these Southwest division rivals -- both played in the Alamo City. San Antone was upset, 133-129, as a 7-point favorite on Monday. We'll lay the points with the Spurs, as they're 60-32-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, including 23-8 ATS vs. division rivals. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
03-12-25 |
Air Force +13 v. UNLV |
Top |
59-68 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over UNLV. The Rebels will be at home, at Thomas & Mack Center, for this game. Unfortunately, they're 44-80 ATS at home when favored by more than 8 points. Take the Falcons.
|
03-12-25 |
California v. Stanford -6 |
Top |
73-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over California. These two erstwhile Pac-12 schools are now doing battle in the ACC. Stanford has dominated its rival, including going 20-5 ATS at home, or on neutral courts, when priced from +3 to -9 points. Take Stanford.
|
03-12-25 |
Navy v. American -3 |
Top |
52-74 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the American Eagles minus the points over Navy. American lost to Navy two weeks ago, 68-60. We'll take the Eagles to avenge that defeat as they fall into a 73% ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams in Conference Tourney title games. Lay the points.
|
03-12-25 |
DePaul v. Georgetown -4 |
Top |
71-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas minus the points over DePaul. This is a rematch of a game played last Saturday, and won by DePaul as an underdog. We'll take Georgetown to avenge that defeat, as match-ups favor the upsettee when they play in the post-season for a second meeting in a row. Take Georgetown to bounce back off its upset loss.
|
03-12-25 |
Rider v. Quinnipiac -8.5 |
Top |
64-78 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Quinnipiac Bobcats minus the points over Rider. The Broncs pulled off an upset in the Tourney yesterday. But they're still a poor 7-14 ATS as an underdog off a win in the post-season. Take the Bobcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-12-25 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore +16.5 v. Norfolk State |
Top |
70-77 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over Norfolk St. The Hawks ended the season on a 5-1-1 ATS run, including a cover as a 13-point dog vs. these Spartans. Norfolk has NOT been good as a double-digit favorite, when not playing on its home court (Joseph G. Echols Hall), going 4-11-1 ATS. Grab the points with the Hawks.
|
03-12-25 |
Lamar v. McNeese State -13.5 |
Top |
54-63 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the McNeese State Cowboys minus the points over Lamar. The #1-seeded Cowboys are favored by double-digits over the #2-seeded Cardinals. We'll lay the points, as top seeds have cashed 70.8% in the post-season since 1990 when favored by double-digits over #2 seeds. Take McNeese.
|
03-12-25 |
Colorado v. West Virginia -6.5 |
Top |
67-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Colorado. The Buffaloes did pull off an upset in the opening round of the Big 12 Tourney yesterday. But they are still a brutal 39-57 ATS in the post-season. Take West Virginia.
|
03-12-25 |
Notre Dame v. North Carolina -9.5 |
Top |
56-76 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Notre Dame. The Tar Heels are 10-0 ATS in their initial ACC Tourney game the last 10 post-seasons. Lay the points.
|
03-11-25 |
Gonzaga -3 v. St. Mary's |
Top |
58-51 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's. The Bulldogs are favored tonight vs. the Gaels, notwithstanding the fact St. Mary's swept the season series. And that bodes well, given that WCC Conference teams have gone 97-60-6 ATS as a favorite of less than 13 points in this tournament since 2000, including 11-3 ATS if they lost each of the regular season's match-ups vs. their opponent. Take Gonzaga. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-25 |
Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 |
Top |
114-115 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Milwaukee. The Pacers play this game with double-revenge and have been installed as a home dog tonight. The Pacers are 13-6 their last 19 when playing with double-revenge. And they're 30-18-2 ATS their last 50 as home dogs, including 15-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-25 |
Youngstown State v. Robert Morris UNDER 139 |
Top |
78-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Youngstown State/Robert Morris game. These two teams met twice earlier this season. And both games went UNDER the total. The first meeting produced just 130 points, and sailed under by 10.5 points. Then, the 2nd meeting went under by 3.5 points. Overall, six of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone UNDER. The Penguins have played 9 of their last 13 post-season games UNDER the total, including the first two games in this Tourney. And those two flew under by 15 and 28.5 points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-25 |
St Francis PA v. Central Connecticut State -9.5 |
Top |
46-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut Blue Devils minus the points over St. Francis Pa. The Blue Devils have been one of the best point spread teams over the past two seasons. They're 20-9 ATS this year, and 36-21-1 ATS over the past two seasons, including 13-6 ATS off a point spread defeat. With the Blue Devils off an ATS loss on Saturday to Fairleigh-Dickinson, we'll lay the points this evening.
|
03-11-25 |
Delaware v. NC-Wilmington -7.5 |
Top |
72-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks minus the points over Delaware. The Blue Hens have won 4 straight tournament games to reach the Championship match vs. the Seahawks. And their last 3 wins have all come as an underdog. Unfortunately, the Blue Hens are 8-16 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Seahawks are 18-7 ATS in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Wilmington.
|
03-11-25 |
Sam Houston State v. UTEP -1.5 |
Top |
65-79 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners minus the points over Sam Houston St. UTEP lost to these Bearkats, 89-87, just five days ago. But it did win the season's first meeting, 81-72, in El Paso. We'll take UTEP this evening, as it's 5-0 ATS in the post-season, when favored and playing with revenge, provided it split the season series, 1 game apiece. Meanwhile, the Bearkats have cashed just 33% in the post-season when installed as an underdog. And, finally, the Miners fall into a 19-4 ATS system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-25 |
Utah Tech -4.5 v. Southern Utah |
Top |
72-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Tech Trailblazers minus the points over Southern Utah. The Trailblazers will have the benefit of playing this WAC Tourney game on their home court. And they also play with double-revenge from 2 losses to the Thunderbirds earlier this season. WAC Conference teams off a SU loss have covered 64.1% in the Tourney if they were playing with double-revenge. So, that bodes well for Utah Tech today. Additionally, the Thunderbirds managed just 39 points in their previous game -- a 23-point loss at home to Seattle. Off that debacle, we'll fade Southern Utah, as NCAA road teams have covered just 37.9% in the post-season off a game where they scored 45 or less points. Lay the points with Utah Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-11-25 |
Cincinnati -6.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
87-68 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Oklahoma State. These two teams met over the weekend in Stillwater, and the Cowboys upset the Bearcats, 78-67, as a 3.5-point home dog. We'll fade the Cowboys off that win, as they're a woeful 26-46 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes they defeated earlier in the season, if the Cowboys were not favored by more than 2 points in the current game. Lay the wood with the Bearcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-10-25 |
Incarnate Word v. Nicholls State -3 |
Top |
70-74 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls State Colonels minus the points over Incarnate Word. These teams met once in the regular season, and the Colonels came away with an 88-82 road win. The Colonels are 4-2 ATS as a favorite in the post-season, while the Cardinals are 1-3 ATS as an underdog in the post-season. The Cardinals upset SE Louisiana, 71-67, yesterday. But they're a soft 2-8 ATS off an upset win, when they were seeking revenge. And underdogs have cashed just 38.8% in the Southland Conference tournaments off an upset win. We'll lay the points with Nicholls State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-10-25 |
Wizards v. Raptors -6.5 |
Top |
104-119 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Washington. These two teams are playing the 2nd of back-to-back meetings. The Wizards won Round 1, 118-117, on Saturday, as a 4.5-point road underdog. We'll lay the points with Toronto tonight, as revenge-minded NBA teams have cashed 72% as a favorite since 1990 when playing the 2nd of back-to-back games vs. a foe with a win percentage less than .250. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-10-25 |
Arkansas State -1.5 v. Troy State |
Top |
81-94 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Troy. The Trojans come into this game riding a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, and they've been installed as a small underdog vs. the Red Wolves, who they upset last month, 71-70, as a 6.5-point road underdog. Unfortunately, NCAA teams on 5-game (or better) SU/ATS win streaks have cashed just 26 of 69 as underdogs of less than 8 points (or PK). The Red Wolves are also 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Trojans when priced from -5 to +10 points. And the Trojans are 17-25 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes they upset in the previous meeting. Lay the points with Arkansas State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-09-25 |
Washington State v. San Francisco -3.5 |
Top |
75-86 |
Win
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100 |
13 h 9 m |
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At Midnight, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Washington State. The Dons and Cougars traded home victories this season, with each also covering the spread on its home court. San Francisco was a pedestrian 15-14-1 (.517) ATS this season. And that doesn't bode well for the Cougars, as they've gone 62-100 ATS away from home vs. foes with a .532 (or worse) ATS win percentage. Washington State has also struggled as an underdog in its conference tourney games, going 6-12-1 ATS. Conversely, the Dons have excelled as a favorite in their Conference tourney games, going 13-6-1 ATS. San Francisco also falls into a 93-32 ATS post-season system of mine. Take San Francisco. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-09-25 |
St. Thomas -3 v. Nebraska-Omaha |
Top |
75-85 |
Loss |
-128 |
11 h 1 m |
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At 10 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over Nebraska-Omaha. The #2-seeded Tommies are favored over the #1-seeded Mavericks. And since 1990, when a #2 seed was favored over a #1 seed in the post-season, the #2 seed has cashed 59.4%. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-09-25 |
Monmouth v. College of Charleston -8 |
Top |
78-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the College of Charleston minus the points over Monmouth. The Hawks upset Charleston, 84-73, earlier this season. But Charleston had won each of the three prior meetings by an average of 16.3 ppg. We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Cougars.
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03-09-25 |
Troy State v. James Madison +2 |
Top |
79-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Troy. The Dukes were upset in their last game, 102-93, by Texas State. We'll grab the points, as the Trojans are a soft 31-42-1 ATS vs. foes off upset losses. Take James Madison.
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03-09-25 |
Weber State v. Northern Colorado -10.5 |
Top |
52-76 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
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At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Weber State. The Wildcats lost both meetings to the Bears this season. Unfortunately, the Wildcats are 7-10 ATS in the post season when playing with revenge, including 0-3 ATS when playing with double-revenge. Take the Bears minus the points.
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