At 8:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between Boston and Miami.  The 2nd game of this Eastern Conference Finals barely went over the total of 215 (by one point), as Miami won, 111-105, as a 10-point road underdog.  We'll look for Sunday's game to go under the total, as Boston has gone UNDER 67% since 1991 as a road favorite off back to back losses, when the line was greater than 195 points.  Moreover, it is 10-2 UNDER off an upset home playoff defeat.  And it's 21-8 UNDER in the Playoffs when the O/U line is 183+ points, if Boston is off back to back defeats.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Denver.  It's been a case of "close, but no cigar" for the Los Angeles Lakers in this series.  They're down 2 games to none but haven't lost against the point spread in either of the first two games.  We'll lay the points with the Purple and Gold, and go against the #1-seeded Nuggets.  For technical support, consider that NBA #1 seeds have covered just 30 of 80 when up 2-games-to-none, and not laying more than 4 points.  And LeBron James' teams have gone 56-29 ATS in the Playoffs when favored by 2 or more points, if they did not have a series lead.  Lay the points with Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Miami.  The Celts lost here, at home, 123-116, on Wednesday to Erik Spoelstra's Heat.  And that was Boston's 3rd straight defeat at the hands of Miami.  We'll take Boston to bounce back from that loss, as it's an awesome 62-29 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if it failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in the prior meeting.  And it's 71-41-2 ATS off a home loss, if favored vs. a foe off a win.  Finally, Boston's a reliable 10-1 ATS its last 11 off an upset playoff defeat.  Lay the points with Jayson Tatum & Co. in Game 2.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

On Sunday, at 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston Celtics/Philadelphia 76ers Game 7.  These two Atlantic Division rivals played an exceptionally low scoring Game 6, won by Boston, 95-86.  We played on the under in that game, and easily won, as it went UNDER the total of 210.5 by 29.5 points.  Understandably, the number for this Game 7 has been set lower by the oddsmakers, but it's still too high.  Philadelphia has gone 31-17 UNDER away from home vs. division rivals, while Boston has gone 19-10 Under at home vs. division rivals when the O/U line was less than 213.  We'll once again take the UNDER in this rivalry playoff game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver/Phoenix game.  The Suns were blown out, 118-102, on Tuesday.  And that Game 5 went Under the total by 7.5 points.  We'll look for another low-scoring game in Phoenix, on Thursday, as Playoff games with O/U lines > 226 have gone UNDER 57.2%.  Moreover, the Suns have gone 12-7-1 UNDER following a 15-point (or worse) blowout defeat.  And they've also gone 12-6 UNDER in the Playoffs following a straight-up loss.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Celtics were upset at home, 115-103, as an 8-point home favorite on Tuesday.  We'll take Boston to bounce back, as it's 34-10 ATS following an upset loss to a division rival, if Boston was favored by 4+ points in that defeat.  And the Celtics are also 19-3 ATS away from home in the Playoffs, if they didn't lead in the series, and were off a home game where they failed to cover the spread by more than 7 points.  Take Boston.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/Philadelphia game.  The Celtics were a big favorite in this series vs. Philly.  But unless they win the next two games, they'll be sent packing by James Harden & Co.  Boston surrendered 116 & 115 in the last two games.  I look for the Celts to play a much better defensive game tonight, and for this to go under the total.  Indeed, Boston has gone under 7-1 following a loss in the Playoffs, if it was facing elimination.  And it's 6-1 UNDER off back to back Playoff losses.  Take the Under.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles.  The defending champs find themselves down 3-games-to-1 in this 'must-win' Game 5.  We'll lay the points with the Warriors, as NBA defending champs have covered 61% since 1990 in Games 5, 6 or 7 of a playoff series when facing elimination.  Even better:  the Warriors have covered 72.7% in the NBA Playoffs since 1990 when playing with double-revenge, while the Lakers are 0-8 straight-up, and 1-6-1 ATS in the Playoffs since 1990 when installed as an underdog of +5 (or more) points vs. a double-revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Golden State.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 5 between Golden State and Los Angeles.  The Warriors mustered just 101 points in defeat on Monday night.  That was the 2nd straight Under in this series, and we'll look for another relatively low-scoring game on Wednesday, as Golden State has now gone under 33-9 in the Playoffs following a loss in which it scored less than 110 points.  And the Under also falls into 141-85 and 201-114 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  Erik Spoelstra's men covered the point spread for the 7th straight time on Monday, when they defeated New York, 109-101, as a 4.5-point favorite.  But we'll go against Miami on Wednesday, as NBA Underdogs of +2 (or more) points, with a win percentage less than .666, have gone 37-73-3 ATS after covering the spread in 7+ games.  Lay the points with New York.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Los Angeles won Game 3 here, at Crypto.com Arena, 127-97.  We cashed the Under in that game, but will focus on the Side in this Game 4.  We'll grab the points with the Warriors, and go against a Lakers team which is an awful 14-51 ATS as a home favorite off a win, when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated by more than 7 points in the previous meeting.  Additionally, the Warriors are 58-39 ATS off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge.  And, finally, NBA road teams have cashed 73 percent since 1990 after losing a playoff game in which they scored less than 99, and surrendered more than 121.  Take the Warriors + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Boston.  The Celtics blew out Philly for the 2nd straight game on Friday, as they won 114-102, to take a 2-games-to-1 series lead.  We'll fade the Celtics in Game 4, as they're 0-8 ATS on the road in the playoffs off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they won their previous game by more than 11 points.  Even better:  home teams off a loss have cashed 65.4% since 1990 in the 2nd of back to back games vs the same foe, if each game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less.  Finally, Philly is 12-0 ATS its last 12 off back to back losses, if it wasn't favored by 8+ points.  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors.  The Warriors blew out LA in Game 2, 127-100, and leveled the series at 1 game apiece.  After giving up 127 points, we'll look for a much better defensive effort by the Lakers today, and for this game to go UNDER the total.  Indeed, teams off playoff losses in which they gave up 120+ points have gone 21-8 UNDER in their next game when the O/U line was 218+ points.  And the Lakers are 22-8 UNDER off a double-digit road playoff loss when the O/U line was 193+ points (and 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 208+ points).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets took care of business at home, as they won both games by double-digits, including a 97-87 win on Monday, in Game 2.  We'll fade Denver tonight on the road, as it's 27-58-1 ATS on the road off a win by more than eight points.  Additionally, home teams have gone 22-7 ATS when playing with at least 3 days' of rest off a road playoff loss.  Finally, #1-seeded teams up 2-games-to-none have covered just nine of 28 games as an underdog vs. teams seeded #4 (or worse).  Lay the points with Phoenix.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  LeBron James & Co. upset the Warriors on Tuesday.  We'll take Golden State to avenge that defeat, as the Lakers are 22-49 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset in the previous meeting.  And LeBron James' teams have gone 0-6 ATS in the Playoffs in his career off an upset win, if playing a sub-.640 foe.  Finally, the Warriors are 61-38 ATS vs. division rivals, if the Warriors were off a SU loss.  Lay the points with Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers are on a 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS streak, including an upset win over Boston in Game 1 on Monday.  We'll fade Philly tonight, as NBA underdogs of +8 (or more) points have gone 12-40 ATS vs. foes off a game where they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points.  Even worse for the Sixers:   they're 18-36 ATS as road underdogs of more than 4 points vs. .501 (or better) foes.  And, finally, the Celtics are 60-29 ATS when playing with double revenge, if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in the prior meeting.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers to go UNDER the total.  Boston has played its last five games over the total.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as Boston has gone UNDER 19-10 in the Playoffs off a home loss.  Meanwhile, Philly is 93-53 UNDER the total when playing a foe off 5+ overs.  And the Sixers have also gone UNDER in 15 of their last 21 playoff games, including 6-0 UNDER when the O/U line has been 216+ points.  Take the UNDER.  As always, good luck, Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami.  The Heat took Game 1, 108-101.  We'll lay the points with the Knicks in Game 2, as they're 81-38 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if playing with revenge from a home loss vs. a .500 (or better) foe.  Even better:  teams (like Miami) have covered just 23 of 65 away from home in the post-season after covering the spread in each of their three previous games by more than 7 points.  And #5-seeded teams (like New York) have gone 69-31-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Knicks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between Sacramento and Golden State.  Game 6 went comfortably under the total, as only 217 points were scored in Sacramento's 118-99 triumph.  We'll look for another low-scoring game at Golden 1 Center, as the Warriors have gone UNDER in 9 of their last 12 games when facing elimination, including 5-0 UNDER when not favored by more than 2 points.  And Golden State has also gone UNDER 31-9-1 in their last 41 Playoff games after a loss in which they failed to score 110 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Knicks took 3 of the 4 games vs. the Heat this season, and covered the point spread in both home games.  And here at Madison Square Garden, the Knicks are 11-4 ATS their last 15, including a perfect 9-0 ATS when not favored by 8 or more points.  Meanwhile, the Heat are 7-14 ATS their last 21 road games.  And underdogs of more than 3 points are 0-9 ATS their last nine away from home off 3 covers by 7+ points.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Lakers game.  Three of the last four games in this series have gone UNDER the total.  And the only game which did not -- Game 4 -- only went Over because of an Overtime session (the game was tied at 104 at the end of regulation).  Thus, the last four games produced 196, 212, 208, and 215 in regulation (an average of 207.75).  We'll look for yet another relatively low-scoring game tonight.  This Grizzlies/Lakers series has now seen 18 of the last 23 go Under the total, including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 224.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks shocked the Celtics in Boston to win Game 5, and close the gap in this series to 3-2.  Unfortunately for Atlanta, NBA home teams off a win in Game 5, but down 3-games-to-2, have gone 1-12 ATS in Game 6 when not favored by 2 or more points.  And the Celtics are 18-7 ATS in the Playoffs off an upset defeat, while the Hawks are 1-13 ATS in the Playoffs off an upset win.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Bucks have fallen in a 3-1 hole after dropping both games in Miami.  Still, the #1-seeded Bucks should have reason for optimism.  They had the #1 record in the league this season, and are 33-10 SU at home, with a 24-17-2 ATS record, including 11-2 SU and 9-3-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Even better, the Bucks are 53-22 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  Finally, in match-ups between .528 (or better) teams, underdogs off back to back upset home wins have gone 2-30 SU and 5-27 ATS.  Take Milwaukee to blow out the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat Under the total.  The Bucks have their proverbial backs against the wall in this Game 5, as they will be eliminated with a loss.  We'll look for this game to go Under the total, as Milwaukee has gone UNDER in 11 straight home games when facing elimination in the Playoffs.  Additionally, NBA Playoff series have gone Under 60% since 1990 if the road team won the Series' previous two games, and scored more than 116 in each of those two wins.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Grizzlies fell, 117-111, in overtime on Monday.  And they fell behind by 2 games in this 1st Round Playoff series.  We'll lay the points with Memphis, as #2-seeded teams have gone 17-6 ATS at home when down at least two games in a Playoff series.  And the Grizz are 9-2-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge.  Take Memphis minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Under in the New York Knicks/Cleveland Cavaliers game.  As my mother used to say, 'If it ain't broke, don't fix it.'  And that maxim could apply to the Over/Unders in this series.  We played on the Unders in Games 3 + 4, and easily won as those two games went under the total by 33 and 8 points, respectively.  And Games 1 + 2 also went under the total -- each by 17.5 points.  We'll ride the under once again, as the Cavaliers have now gone under in 6 straight games, and are 47-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 24-12 their last 36 meetings vs. New York, and in their last eight playoff games, overall. Additionally, the Knicks have gone Under 26-9 when leading in a playoff series.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Cavs did not have a good trip to the Big Apple, as they lost Games 3 + 4 to the Knicks to fall behind 3-games-to-1 in this series.  We'll take the Cavaliers to rebound on Wednesday, as they're 12-0 SU/ATS at home when priced from -3 to -12 off a loss if matched up against an opponent off a win.  Meanwhile, the Knicks are 1-9 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes off back to back losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  The Nuggets come into this game off a road loss in Game #4 to the Minnesota Timberwolves.  Still, they lead this series 3 games to 1, and will look to close out their division rival tonight.  Denver is 36-7 SU and 27-15-1 ATS at home this season, and have covered the spread by an average of 3.62 ppg.  Notably, against .500 (or better) teams, the Nuggets are riding a 19-2 SU and 18-3 ATS run at home!  Meanwhile, the T-Wolves are a poor 0-18 ATS their last 18 on the road vs. .500 (or better) teams following a T-Wolves cover by more than 8 points.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers and Memphis Grizzlies to go UNDER the total.  Game 3 totaled just 212 points, and went under the total of 221.5.  And that's continued a playoff trend, as LeBron James & the Lakers have gone under 20-12 in the Playoffs since he donned the purple-and-gold. Likewise, Memphis is 9-5 under its last 14 playoff games.  Additionally, these two teams tend to play relatively low-scoring games, as 17 of the last 21 meetings have gone UNDER the total (including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 225 points).  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game between these two teams.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Bucks lost Game 3, 121-99, which puts their back against the wall in this Game 4.  The last thing Milwaukee wants to do is fall behind 3-games-to-1 in this series.  The good news for Mike Budenholzer's men is that they're 6-1 ATS their last seven when trailing in a playoff series.  And they're 17-5 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  Finally, since 1990, NBA teams have cashed 76.4% after scoring less than 100 points in an upset Playoff loss, if they surrendered 115+ points in that previous game.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total.  The Milwaukee Bucks are the #1 overall seed in the Playoffs, but find themselves down 2-games-to-1 entering this critical Game 4.  Needless to say, a victory is of paramount importance to Milwaukee, as it surely doesn't want to fall behind by two games.  After giving up 121 points in Game 3, I expect a MUCH BETTER defensive effort by the Bucks here, in Game 4.  Indeed, road favorites off upset playoff losses have gone under 61% since 1990.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Sacramento game.  After Game 1 went Over the total by 11.5 points, Games 2 + 3 have reversed course, and have gone significantly UNDER.  Game 2 totaled 220 points, and fell under by 18.5, while Game 3 was even LOWER scoring, as only 211 points were scored, sending it Under by a staggering 30 points.  The oddsmakers have made an adjustment for this Game 4, but not by nearly enough points.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Sunday, as Playoff games have gone under 68.8% since 1992 when the O/U line was greater than 229 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers to go UNDER the total.  We played on the Under in Game 3, and it easily sailed under the total, in a 99-79 New York win.  And that game was the lowest-scoring Playoff game so far this post-season.  It went under the total of 211 by 33 points, and that followed the first two games of this series that each went under by 17.5 points.  The oddsmakers have adjusted the number downward for this Game 4, but it's by not enough points, as the value still resides squarely on the Under.  The Cavaliers have now gone under in 5 straight games, and are 46-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 23-12 their last 35 meetings vs. New York, and in their last seven playoff games, overall.  Even better, Cleveland has gone 30-11 Under the total following a game which totaled less than 192 points, while the Knicks have gone Under 25-9 when leading in a playoff series.  This will be a low-scoring game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  We played against the Lakers in Game 2, and got the $$$ with the Grizzlies in a blowout win.  We'll switch gears for this Game 3 and take the homestanding Lakers, who are 14-6 SU/ATS off a straight-up loss since December 27.  Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are 10-19 SU and 8-20-1 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes, including 0-12-1 ATS as an underdog!  Lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total.  The first two games of this series were very high-scoring.  Game 1, won by Miami, totaled 247 points, while Game 2 was taken easily by Milwaukee, 138-122.  Still, the Bucks have tended to play Unders in the Playoffs, as they had gone 11-2 Under their 13 previous Playoff games entering this post-season.  Likewise, Miami had gone Under 14-6 in its 20 previous Playoff games prior to this series.  I look for Saturday's game to be relatively low-scoring, as the Under falls into 106-62-9 and 94-55 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, the Heat are 6-1 Under their last 7 as a home dog, while Milwaukee is 9-1-1 Under as a road favorite when the O/U line was 227 or less.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The T-Wolves are down 2-games-to-none to Denver.  But the Nuggets are now on the road, where they've NOT been an elite team over the years.  Indeed, the Nuggets are a horrid 11-33 ATS on the road off back to back ATS losses, including 0-10 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  This season, Denver was under water away from home, with a 19-22 SU/ATS record, including 9-15 ATS as a road favorite.  The T-Wolves are 11-3 ATS their last 14 as a home underdog.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cleveland Cavaliers/New York Knicks game.  Games 1 + 2 have been extremely low-scoring.  Game 1 went to the Knicks by the score of 101-97, while Game 2 was won by Cleveland, 107-90.  The Over/Under lines were 215.5 and 214.5, so each game went under the total by a whopping 17.5 points.  The Cavaliers have now gone under in 4 straight games, and are 45-38-1 Under for the season.  And they've gone under 22-12 their last 34 meetings vs. New York, and in their last six playoff games, overall.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Friday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento.  We played on the Kings in Game 1, and passed Game 2.  But we will lay the points with the Warriors in this Game 3, as they're back in San Francisco.  This season, the Warriors have been dominant at home, and dreadful on the road, so it's no surprise they're down 2-games-to-0 with the first two games played in Sacramento.  But now, Golden State is back home, where it's 33-8 straight-up, and 27-13-1 ATS this season, including 10-2 ATS vs. .529 (or better) foes, and 15-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  And the Warriors are 45-23-1 ATS in the Playoffs when playing with revenge.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Philly 76ers.  Jacque Vaughn's men were blown out of Games 1 + 2.  But we'll grab the points with the home puppy in Game 3, as the 76ers are a woeful 12-27-1 ATS when favored by 10 or less points (or PK) on the road off back to back wins, when they've owned a win percentage of .625 (or greater).  Meanwhile, the Nets are a solid 60-29 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, when facing a foe off a 9-point (or greater) win, if the Nets weren't favored by more than 2 points.  Brooklyn also falls into 65-38, 92-55 and 161-106 ATS systems of mine that play on certain playoff teams off blowout losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  Milwaukee suffered a loss in Game 1, as Miami went into Fiserv Forum, and upset the Bucks, 130-117.  Trailing in a playoff series isn't unfamiliar territory for Milwaukee, so I don't expect that it will be discouraged.  Indeed, the Bucks are 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS in the Playoffs when they were trailing or tied in the series.  Even better:  off an upset playoff loss, the Bucks have gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS.  Meanwhile, Miami is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS off an upset playoff win.  Finally, the Bucks are a wallet-fattening 52-22-1 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 21-4 ATS when playing with rest off a home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers upset the Grizzlies on Sunday, 128-112, as a 5.5-point underdog, behind 29 points from Rui Hachimura, and 23 from Austin Reaves.  We'll take the Grizzlies on Wednesday to level the series at 1 game apiece, as NBA teams off playoff losses by more than 15 points that also failed to cover the spread by more than 20 in that defeat, have gone 106-76-1 ATS since 1991.  Even better:  Memphis is 8-2-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge, while the Lakers are a poor 5-24-1 ATS on the road when playing a foe they upset in the season's previous meeting.  Take the Grizzlies in Game #2.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Los Angeles.  Kawhi Leonard led the Clips to victory in Game 1 with 38 points, as Los Angeles upset Phoenix, 115-110.  We'll take the Suns to bounce back on Tuesday, as they're 62-30-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  And if it's a playoff game, then our 62-30 stat zooms to 11-1 ATS.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  New York upset the Cavaliers in Game 1, 101-97.  And that was Cleveland's 2nd straight upset defeat, overall.  We'll take the Cavs to bounce back in Game 2, as they've cashed 61.7% since 1990 off back to back upset losses, including 79% when priced as a favorite of less than 8 points.  Additionally, since 1990, favorites of less than 12 points have cashed 60% in the playoffs off back to back upset losses.  Lay the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  In the pandemic-impacted 2020 season, the Bucks were the number 1 seed, but were bounced out of the playoffs by the then-No. 5 seeded Heat.  However, since that series loss, Milwaukee has dominated the Heat here, at home, as the Bucks are 7-0 straight-up, and 5-2 ATS, with an average point spread differential of 10.3 ppg.  The Bucks come into Sunday's Game 1 vs. Miami off back to back losses in what were (admittedly) meaningless games.  This game, of course, is anything but meaningless.  And we'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as it's 52-21-1 ATS at home off back to back losses.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over the Golden State Warriors.  This season, the Kings have covered 3 of 4 vs. Golden State.  Coincidentally, these two teams met two games ago, and the Warriors won, 119-97, for their only point spread win of the season vs. Sacramento.  Notwithstanding that loss, since 2017, Sacramento is a super 18-8 ATS vs. the Warriors, including 10-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And Golden State is a horrid 32-72 ATS off a point spread win when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Finally, I just can't get behind the Warriors on the road tonight.  For the season, the Warriors are a woeful 11-30 straight-up, and 12-28-1 ATS away from San Francisco, including 2-14-1 ATS when the point spread was less than five points.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Heat were upset here, at home, by Atlanta in its initial Play-in round game.  We'll take Miami to bounce back, as it's 66-34-3 ATS as a winning team when rested, and favored by 4+ points off an upset loss.  Additionally, in the Playoffs or Play-in round, the Heat are 14-0 ATS their last 14 off an upset loss when facing a sub-.700 foe which won its previous game.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over New Orleans.  This is a huge game for both teams, as it will greatly impact their seeding in the Western conference.  We'll side with the homestanding T-Wolves, as New Orleans is a wallet-breaking 8-24-1 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points, including 1-13 ATS off a straight-up win.  Take the T-Wolves minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Lakers can finish anywhere from #6 to #8 in the Western conference, so they're incentivized to win this afternoon.  We'll lay the points with the rested Lakers, and go against an unrested Jazz team playing its 3rd game in four days.  The Jazz upset the Nuggets in Salt Lake City yesterday, as a 10-point home underdog.  Unfortunately for Utah, unrested teams have covered just 38 of 98 following an upset win as a 7-point (or greater) home underdog.  Take the Lakers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  Toronto comes into this game off back to back losses to the Boston Celtics.  And it will also seek to avenge a 7-point loss to these Bucks, at Milwaukee last month.  We'll lay the points with the Raptors, as they're 124-80-5 ATS off back to back losses, including 11-6-1 ATS this season, and 14-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a division rival.  Take Toronto.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Hawks were upset at home by the Philadelphia 76ers in their previous game, and are now a road underdog at Boston on this final day of the regular season.  We'll go against the Hawks, as road dogs have covered just 32.5% since 1990 in the final game of the season, if they were off an upset home loss.  Take the Celtics.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Miami Heat.  The Magic may not be headed toward the post-season.  But it's been a successful season by any measure.  Orlando's 34-47 SU and 45-33-3 ATS, including 30-15-3 ATS as an underdog of +4 (or more) points.  The Magic are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 meetings vs. Miami.  Take the Magic + the points.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The 76ers come into this game off an upset win over Atlanta as an 11.5-point underdog.  We'll fade Philly today, as .625 (or better) road underdogs have covered just 36% of division games since 1990 off an upset win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Brooklyn.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls have qualified for the Play-in round, while Dallas is still fighting to do the same.  The odds are against Dallas, of course, but hope does remain.  But that hope will be extinguished if it loses to the Bulls tonight.  Chicago will be playing its final road game of the season, and was blown out, 105-92, at Milwaukee, on Wednesday.  We'll go against the Bulls, as .450 (or better) underdogs have covered just 31 of 85 off a straight-up loss, when playing their final road game vs. foes off a win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Pelicans were blown out by 22 points when these teams last met.  New Orleans is playing its final home game of the season tonight, and it's well-motivated given that it is in 8th place, but can still finish as high as 5th (or as low as 9th).  The Knicks, on the other hand, are locked into the 5th seed in the Eastern conference.  For technical support, consider that NBA teams favored by more than 4 points in their final home game have covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 22-point (or worse) defeat.  Take New Orleans.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Nets reside in 6th place, and need to win to ensure they stay ahead of 7th-seeded Miami (and avoid the dreaded Play-in round).  Orlando, of course, has long since been eliminated from the Playoff hunt.  The Magic did, however, defeat Brooklyn, 119-106, less than two weeks ago.  I look for the Nets to avenge that loss, as they're 74-33 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a 13-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Brooklyn.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  This game means nothing to the Sixers, but a lot to the Hawks, who sit in 8th (but just 1 game ahead of 9th-seeded Toronto).  Thus, Philly's Joel Embiid is not expected to suit up, and others may be in street clothes, as well.  The Sixers are a poor 16-36 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning foes.  Take Atlanta to blow out Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland.  This game will be played at the Spurs' "home away from home" -- Austin, Texas.  The Spurs were blown out by the Phoenix Suns, 115-94, on Tuesday.  But we'll take them to bounce back tonight in this revenge game vs. Portland, as the Blazers blew them out by 20 points in the previous meeting.  San Antonio is 21-12 ATS as a home favorite when playing with revenge.  And it's 36-10-2 ATS off a loss by 18+ points, if it was favored by less than 8 points in its current game (including 21-3-2 ATS at home).  Take San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavs are locked into the #4 spot in the Eastern conference, so they'll have little incentive tonight.  Orlando is outside of the playoff picture, but is still competing hard.  The Magic are 45-31-3 ATS this season, including 9-1 ATS their last 10.  This is Orlando's final home game of the season, and it falls into a 94-54 system of mine which plays on certain teams in their last home game.  Lay the points with the Magic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Clippers come into tonight's game off a 122-114 loss to the Pelicans four days ago, while the Lakers won, 135-133, in overtime at Utah last night.  We'll lay the points with the well-rested Clippers tonight, as the Lakers are 45-71 ATS off a win, when playing on the road vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  There's no doubt the Mavericks' acquisition of Kyrie Irving has not yielded the intended benefits.  Still, hope remains that the team can qualify for the Play-in round.  But to do so, it will have to win at least two of its remaining three games (but likely all three).  And even a 3-0 mark might not be good enough to pass Oklahoma City.  The good news, though, for the Mavericks is that all three games are at home and they will be favored in each.  We'll lay the points tonight with Dallas, as it's 150-95-6 ATS off a loss when playing a foe off a win.  Take the Mavs.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Grizzlies won, 119-109, vs. Portland last night to sew up the league's best home record this season (35-6).  Unfortunately, they've been dreadful on the road this season, with a 15-23 SU and 13-23-2 ATS record, including 0-8 ATS as an underdog vs. winning teams.  Even worse, when not favored by more than 1 point on the road vs. winning teams, the Grizzlies have lost their last 15 games, straight-up (1-13-1 ATS).  Lay the points with New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bulls play this game with revenge from a 112-100 defeat.  And Chicago is 7-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a 12-point (or worse) defeat.  Meanwhile, Milwaukee falls into a negative 37% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams late in the season off double-digit wins.  We'll grab the points with the Bulls.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Lakers are making a final push for the Playoffs, and enter tonight's game on a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS streak.  This is a far cry from when these two teams met earlier in the season.  Utah took two meetings from the Lakers on November 4 and November 7 when the Lakers were in the midst of a 2-10 SU/ATS start to the season, while the Jazz were in the midst of a 10-3 SU/ATS start.  But now, it's the Jazz who are floundering, as they've lost six of their last seven games to fall out of the Playoff picture (if the season ended today).  The Lakers are 55-31 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets are a miserable 59-92 ATS on the road off a point spread win, including 11-32 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  With Houston in off a 134-109 blowout loss to the Lakers, and playing its final home game of the season, we'll take it to bounce back tonight.  Take Houston + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Portland.  The Blazers upset Memphis here, 122-112, when these teams last met.  We'll take the Grizzlies to avenge that loss, as they're 33-14 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss earlier in the season, including 17-4 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.

At 9:20 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Connecticut.  The line in this game opened at -6, but quickly spiked higher.  By my math, it's too high.  We'll grab the points with Brian Dutcher's Aztecs, as teams seeded #5 (or worse) have cashed 69% in the NCAA Tournament as underdogs from the Elite Eight round forward.  That bodes well for San Diego State in this Championship game.  As does the fact that SDSU is 62-38 ATS off a point spread loss when playing an opponent off a win  Grab the points with the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Denver.  The Warriors will seek to avenge a 17-point loss here to the Nuggets two months ago.  We'll grab the points, as the Warriors are 73-46 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss, including 9-0 ATS their last nine.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Bucks lost by 41 points to Boston on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as Milwaukee is 31-15-1 ATS as a favorite off a home defeat, including 7-0-1 ATS its last eight.  Take the Bucks.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Minnesota.  The Blazers come into this afternoon's game off 3 massive blowout losses to New Orleans (124-90), Sacramento (120-80) and Sacramento, again (138-114).  We'll take the points with Portland, as NBA teams off three straight 20-point defeats have covered 60.7% since 1990.  Take Portland.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut/Miami game Under the total.  After shooting just 30.4% in its opening round win (63-56) vs. Drake, Miami has shot the lights out in its last three games.  Miami scored 85 in its 2nd round win vs. Indiana, 89 in its Sweet 16 round victory over Houston, and 88 in its Elite Eight triumph over Texas.  The Hurricanes were a combined 94-of-179 (52.5%) from the floor in those three games.  Those numbers were well above Miami's season averages of 79.6 ppg and 48.5% FG shooting.  Indeed, in ACC Conference play this season, the Hurricanes shot 50% (or better) in less than half of their games.  And I expect their red-hot shooting to come down in this semi-final match-up vs. UConn, as the Huskies have allowed just 34.9 percent shooting (81-for-232) in their four NCAA Tournament wins.  Connecticut is 42-24 Under away from home vs. teams that convert 48% (or better) of their field goals.  And it's also gone Under 59.3% vs. foes that scored 85+ in their previous game, and 62% vs. foes that average more than 79 points per game.  This will be a relatively-low scoring game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  We played against Los Angeles last night, and got the $$$ with the Memphis Grizzlies, in a 108-94 victory.  We'll switch gears and take the Clippers tonight, as they're 44-29-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, including 11-4 ATS when playing without rest.  Even better:  the Pelicans upset the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, 107-88.  But Los Angeles is a solid 121-60-4 ATS on the road against foes off upset wins, if the Clippers were not favored by more than five points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Suns were our preseason pick (at 13-1 odds) to win the NBA title, and they are well-positioned to do it, now that Kevin Durant has returned to the lineup.  Durant made his home debut for his new team in Wednesday's 7-point win over the Timberwolves.  Now, the Suns will look for their 4th straight win, overall, as they'll host the Western Conference's #1 seed, Denver.  Phoenix is a solid 76-52 ATS as a home favorite vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Additionally, Denver has covered just 5 of 16 road games when getting more than 3 points, and it's 17-39 ATS when getting more than 4 points from Phoenix.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The T-Wolves have been installed as a small favorite in this critical Western Conference match-up.  Minnesota (39-38) sits a half-game ahead of the Lakers (38-38), as they battle down the stretch for Playoff (or Play-in round) positioning.  The Timberwolves have been horrid as a favorite when they've owned a .500 (or better) record, as they've gone 7-19 ATS.  The Lakers lost 4 weeks ago at home to Minnesota, but are 13-4 ATS their last 17 when playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season.  Take L.A.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings here, on Beale Street, between these teams.  The Clippers won, 141-132, on Wednesday, as a road underdog.  We'll take the Grizzlies in the revenge role, as they're 38-21-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss.

At 9:30 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament Championship game, our selection is on the UAB Blazers, on the moneyline, over North Texas.  This is the 4th meeting this season between these Conference USA rivals.  North Texas won the first two meetings, while UAB won the 3rd meeting, in the Conference USA tournament.  The Mean Green greatly favor a slow pace, as their games average 120.10 ppg, while UAB likes a more up-tempo pace, as its games average 151.55 ppg.  The first two meetings between these teams were played at a very slow pace.  Not surprisingly, the Mean Green won those regular season games.  The first was played at UAB on January 21, and North Texas upset the Blazers, 63-52, as a 3-point road underdog.  The pace was 62.8. Importantly, that game was played without Jelly Walker on the floor, as he was nursing a bruised foot.  Then, on February 9, the Mean Green won at home, as a 2.5-point favorite, 82-79.  That game went into double-overtime, so the high score is extremely misleading; it was tied, 62-62, at the end of regulation, and had a very slow pace of 57.1.  Walker scored 20 points in a losing effort.  The 3rd meeting, which was on March 10, had a much faster pace (68.1) than the prior two meetings, and UAB won, 76-69, as a 2-point favorite.  Although the final margin of victory was seven points, UAB was in complete control the entire way.  It sprinted out to a 22-2 start, and led by as many as 16 points in the 2nd half.  Jelly Walker dominated with 32 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists.  In this 4th meeting, I expect Walker to once again be the best player on the floor, and to lead UAB to the NIT Title.  UAB has gone 14-2 straight-up since Walker returned from injury.  Its two losses were the aforementioned double-overtime loss at North Texas, and the Conference USA Championship game vs. Florida Atlantic (which is playing on Saturday in the Final Four).  We'll take UAB on the moneyline.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Celts suffered a blowout loss to the Washington Wizards on Tuesday, so they'll look to bounce back tonight.  Boston is a solid 27-8 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 4 points; 14-4 ATS as a road underdog; and 35-15 ATS its last 50 vs. Milwaukee.  Grab the points with the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Ja Morant didn't suit up in last night's game here, at home, vs. Orlando.  But Damichael Cole -- the Grizzlies beat writer for the Memphis Commercial Appeal -- has reported that Morant will play tonight.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Memphis.  The Grizzlies have now won 12 straight home games, 3 shy of their franchise record, and are 43-20-2 ATS at home their last 65.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these clubs.  Chicago won by 10, 118-108, on Sunday, as a 4.5-point road underdog.  The Lakers are 52-32 ATS as revenge-minded road favorites, while the Bulls are 45-83 ATS at home vs. Western Conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take the Lakers.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have dropped six of their last seven, and they're now laying double-digits to the Houston Rockets.  Admittedly, Houston is a horrible team.  But I can't get behind Brooklyn as a big favorite.  The Nets are 11-28 ATS their last 39 when laying more than 9 points, including 3-17 ATS vs. sub-.309 teams.  Take Houston + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden St Warriors minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  Golden State comes into tonight's game off a rare home loss, as it fell, 99-96, on Sunday to the Minnesota Timberwolves.  We'll lay the points with Steve Kerr's men tonight, as they're 81-50 ATS off a straight-up loss, when playing an unrested foe, including 59-33-3 ATS at home.  And the Pelicans are 4-14 ATS on the road off a win, if playing an opponent off an upset loss.  Finally, over the past 10 years, the Pelicans are a woeful 2-20 straight-up, and 7-14-1 ATS at Golden State, including 0-8-1 ATS when priced from +6.5 to +10.5 points.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over the North Texas Mean Green.  The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the NIT Tourney since 1990, and especially at the 2nd round forward, where it's gone 54-33-3 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  We'll grab the points with the Badgers, as they're 34-13 ATS as a non-conference underdog/PK since 2004, and 9-0 ATS the past two years away from home when playing a non-conference foe, and not favored by 4+ points.  Meanwhile North Texas is 2-4 ATS vs. Big 10 opponents.  And Conference USA teams are a horrible 7-24 ATS away from home vs. Big 10 foes when not getting 14+ points.  Take Wisconsin + the points in this NIT semi-final game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  These two teams met earlier this month in Minneapolis, and the Wolves upset the Kings, 138-134, as a 4.5-point home underdog.  The NBA season has less than 10 games left, and both of these Western Conference foes are locked into tight battles for playoff positioning.  The Kings sit two games behind 2nd-seeded Memphis with eight to play, while Minnesota is in 7th place, a half-game behind 6th-seeded Golden State, and a half-game ahead of 8th-seeded New Orleans.  Last night, the T-Wolves upset the Warriors in San Francisco.  Not many teams go into Golden State's building and win.  And even less follow a victory up with another victory their next game.  Indeed, teams off wins at Golden State are 32-49-5 ATS, including 1-8 ATS their last nine.  Likewise, teams off a win over the Warriors (regardless of venue) are a poor 1-12 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Sacramento also falls into 150-70 and 488-347 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Spurs may be bereft of talent, but they still compete hard.  Today, they're playing the 4th of a 4-game road trip against a Celtics team which only beat them by 5 points earlier this season (as a 15-point favorite).  The Spurs are once again a massive underdog vs. Boston, which enters off back to back SU/ATS wins over Sacramento and Indiana.  We'll grab the points, as San Antonio is 90-58-2 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes that are off an ATS Win or Tie in their previous game.  And Boston is 9-20-2 ATS as a favorite following back-to-back covers as a favorite.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets blew out the Miami Heat last night, while the Magic were off for the 2nd straight night after upsetting New York here, on Thursday, 111-106.  We'll go against Brooklyn, as it's 14-25 ATS when playing without rest off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Magic have quietly covered five straight games to move their season ATS record to 41-30-3 ATS.  And home favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered 59% since 1990 in the final 10 games of the regular season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Creighton/San Diego State game.  Dating back to head coach Brian Dutcher's first season, San Diego State has gone 17-4 under its last 21 post-season games.  Likewise, Greg McDermott's Bluejays have gone 20-9 under their last 29 post-season games.  We'll look for this Elite 8 game to go UNDER the total, as the Aztecs have now played 13 of their last 14 games under the total, including 11-0 under since February 15.  Additionally, the quarterfinal rounds of the NCAA/NIT Tournaments have gone under 33-19 their last 52.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Mavs lost a game they really couldn't afford to lose on Friday when Charlotte went into American Airlines Center and stunned the Mavs, 117-109, as a 15.5-point underdog.  That was the biggest upset in the NBA this season.  Dallas is now in the precarious position of being 11th in the Western Conference standings, so it has to have a strong record over its last 8 games if it is to supplant any of the T-Wolves, Lakers, Pelicans or Thunder for a Play-in berth.  We'll lay the points with the Mavs in this revenge spot, as NBA teams have covered 59% on the road if they were playing back to back games against the same opponent, and failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in the previous game.  Moreover, the Hornets are 8-15-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, while Dallas is a super 58-29-2 ATS on the road when in the regular season when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over New Orleans.  The Pelicans blew out the Clippers, 112-91, in the last meeting.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as New Orleans is 0-12 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. a revenge-minded foe which New Orleans defeated earlier in the season.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  This is a great match-up between the two #1-seeded teams in their respective conferences.  Denver's been installed as a home favorite.  And we'll lay the points, as Milwaukee's 0-18 ATS since May 19, 2019 when getting more than 1 point, if it's owned a win percentage of .650 (or better).  And the Bucks are also 100-156-7 ATS off 3+ wins when playing a rested foe.  Take Denver.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs + the points over Connecticut.  The Huskies come into this game off three straight blowout wins over Iona (87-63), St Mary's (70-55) and Arkansas (88-65).  But off those three double-digit wins, we'll fade the Huskies in this Elite 8 Round.  Indeed, favorites of 5 points or less, off three straight wins by 7+ points, have covered just 6 of 28 Elite 8 Round games since 1995.  Additionally, the Huskies are a soft 15-23 ATS as a single-digit favorite off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And Gonzaga is 75-47-7 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .750.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets (39-34) and Heat (40-34) are in a tight battle for playoff seeding.  But the Nets are on a 5-game losing streak, and that doesn't bode well for them tonight.  Indeed, in the final 10 games of a season, in match-ups between winning teams with win percentages below .575, teams off back-to-back losses have covered just 16% over the past 25 seasons.  Even better:  the Heat are 9-0 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite of -1.5 (or more) points vs. winning foes.  Take Miami minus the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Philadelphia.  Golden State lost the first meeting of the season, 118-106.  But that game was in Philly.  Tonight's game is in San Francisco.  And the Warriors have been terrific at home this season, as they're 29-7 SU and have covered their last eight in a row.  We played on the 76ers two nights ago, and they rewarded us with a blowout win vs. the Chicago Bulls, 116-91.  We'll go against the Sixers here, as the Warriors are 14-0 ATS their last 14 at home vs. foes off wins by 12+ points.  And Philly is 15-34 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning opposition.  Finally, the home team is 40-23 ATS in this series, including 6-0 ATS the last six when playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the year.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Miami-Florida.  Jim Larranaga's men come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Unfortunately, the Hurricanes are a horrid 9-20 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even worse for Miami:  over the last 5 seasons, the ACC Conference has covered just eight of 27 games vs. the American Athletic Conference, including 0-4 ATS in the post-season!  Finally, Houston is a reliable 34-12-1 ATS vs. foes off ATS wins in their 2 previous games, provided Houston wasn't off back to back ATS wins in its 2 previous games.  Take the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over San Diego St.  The San Diego State Aztecs won the Mountain West Conference this season.  But the Mountain West has been a huge money-burner in the NCAA Tournament.  Over the last 24 seasons, its teams have gone 24-58 straight-up, and 26-55-1 ATS, including 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in the Sweet 16 round!  Similarly, San Diego State is 2-15 straight-up, and 5-11-1 ATS as in the NCAA/NIT Tournaments when not favored by more than 3 points.  Meanwhile, the SEC Conference has gone 30-3 SU and 23-10 ATS when favored by 7 or more points against a .723 (or better) foe off an NCAA tourney win.  Lay the points with Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these teams.  OKC won, 101-100, on Tuesday, as a 6.5-point road underdog.  The price is shorter tonight, as Paul George will be sidelined for Los Angeles.  We'll take the Clippers tonight, as home favorites have covered 62.2% vs. non-winning foes in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the teams, if our home favorite was upset at home in the first meeting.  Additionally, the Clippers have covered the spread 70% since 1990 as a home favorite when playing with double revenge at home off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points against Connecticut.  Arkansas upset the #1-seeded Kansas Jayhawks, 72-71, on Saturday, while 4th-seeded UConn blew out 5th-seeded St. Mary's, 70-55, on Sunday, as a 4-point favorite.  We'll grab the points with #8-seeded Arkansas, as it's 18-6 ATS as an underdog of 2+ points off a SU win.  And it's 20-9 ATS in non-conference games when not favored by 9+ points (including 11-4 ATS as an underdog).  Meanwhile, NCAA Tourney teams (like UConn) seeded #7 (or better), off an NCAA Tourney win, in which they covered the spread by more than 10 points, have gone 0-10 ATS vs. foes seeded #8 (or worse).  Take Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats over Utah Valley St.  The Wolverines will play host to the Cincinnati Bearcats tonight, and have been installed as a small favorite.  The Wolves have only covered 33% at home when not favored by 2+ points, and are also 1-6 ATS at home in non-conference games when not getting more than 5 points.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Chicago.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams.  Chicago won Round 1, 109-105.  We'll take the Sixers in the rematch, and note that they're 28-11 ATS their last 39 when not favored by 5+ points.  And Philly's 26-8 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores over the UAB Blazers.  The Blazers are on the road tonight in Nashville to take on Vandy, and the game has been installed as a 'Pk'em' (or near 'Pk'em' at the sportsbooks).  UAB has been miserable on the road when not getting more than 1 point, as it's gone 20-39 ATS, including 12-37-1 ATS when its opponent wasn't off a win by more than 10 points.  That doesn't bode well for UAB tonight.  Nor does the fact that Vandy is 45-22-4 ATS when not favored by 8+ points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Clippers have excelled at home (36-18 ATS) when the game has been projected to be high-scoring, with Over/Under lines north of 220 points.  But they've been horrible at home (18-34 ATS) in games with O/U lines at 220 or below.  The Over/Under line in this game has been installed at 236, so that bodes well for the home team.  As does the fact that the Clippers are 16-9 ATS vs. OKC when playing with revenge. Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Oregon.  The Ducks won back to back home games to kick off this tournament, as did the Badgers.  Today, Wisconsin will take to the road for the first time, and has been installed as an underdog.  That bodes well for Wisky, as it's 52-26-3 ATS in non-conference games when it's been the underdog, including 14-5-2 ATS in the post-season.  Grab the points with the Badgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.