04-29-25 |
Clippers -1.5 v. Nuggets |
Top |
115-131 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Denver. The Clippers were upset at home on Saturday, 101-99, when Aaron Gordon dunked in the game-winner at the buzzer. We'll take Los Angeles as a road favorite tonight, as it is 24-11 ATS as a road favorite off a home upset defeat. And it is 20-10 ATS on the road in the playoffs following a SU loss. Lay the points.
|
04-29-25 |
Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
115-131 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Clippers/Nuggets Game 5. We had our NBA Total of the Month on the UNDER in Game 3, and also played on the UNDER in Game 4. Those two games went under, as did Games 1 and 2. Indeed, these two teams have now gone 59-25-4 UNDER in the last 88 meetings. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. We'll take the UNDER once again, here, in Game 5, as the Nuggets have now played 20 of their last 27 playoff games under, while the Clippers are 26-16-2 under in their last 44 playoff games. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-29-25 |
Bucks +8 v. Pacers |
Top |
118-119 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Bucks were favored by 4 points in Game 4, yet were walloped by Indiana, 129-103. So, they failed to cover the spread by 30 points. We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back, as road underdogs have cashed 63% since 1990 in the playoffs following a home game where they failed to cover the spread by 30+ points. Take the Bucks.
|
04-28-25 |
Rockets +3.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
106-109 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry & Co. won on Saturday, 104-93, to take a 2-games-to-1 series lead in this first-round match-up. We'll take Houston to bounce back on this Monday. The Warriors are a woeful 43-98-3 ATS off a point spread win, when playing a revenge-minded foe. And the Rockets are 12-2 ATS as an underdog in the post-season of less than 5 points. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-28-25 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 199.5 |
Top |
106-109 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Houston game. We played on the UNDER in Game 3, and got the $$$ in a 104-93 Golden State win. That was the 7th straight game between these teams that has gone UNDER the total. And the UNDER is also 50-26 the last 76 meetings. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 6-0 UNDER their last six (and 25-10 UNDER their last 35) NBA Playoff games. We'll ride with the UNDER yet again in Game 4. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-27-25 |
Lakers +3 v. Wolves |
Top |
113-116 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers plus the points over Minnesota. The #3-seeded Lakers lost Game 3, 116-104. We'll take Los Angeles to bounce back, as #3 seeds have cashed 57.8% since 1990 in the first round of the playoffs following a SU/ATS loss to a #6 seed. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-27-25 |
Knicks v. Pistons -1.5 |
Top |
94-93 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over New York. These two teams have alternated victories through the first three games of this series. With Detroit down 2-games-to-1, and playing Game 4 at home, we'll lay the points with the Pistons. Indeed, home favorites down 2-games-to-1 have cashed 63.8% since 1990 off a SU/ATS loss in Game 3. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-26-25 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 203 |
Top |
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
65 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors to go UNDER the total. We played against Golden State in Game 2 and got the $$$ in a 15-point Rockets victory. Off that loss by the Warriors, we're going to take the UNDER in Game 3. Over the last 13 seasons, the Warriors have gone 33-12 UNDER off a playoff defeat, including 9-0 UNDER when the line was 207 (or less) points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-26-25 |
Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 212.5 |
Top |
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the under in the Denver/Los Angeles Clippers game. We cashed our NBA Total of the Month on the under in Game 3 of this series. And that under moved this Clippers/Nuggets series' record to 58-25-4 UNDER the total in the last 87 meetings. We will look for yet another low-scoring game this evening in Game 4, as the Nuggets have played 19 of their last 26 playoff games under, while the Clippers have gone 25-16-2 UNDER in their last 43 playoff games.. Take the under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-26-25 |
Cavs v. Heat UNDER 215.5 |
Top |
124-87 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total. The Cavs have scored 121 points in back-to-back wins to open this series. But off those two high-scoring games at home, we'll look for a lower-scoring affair on Saturday in Game 3. Indeed, NBA teams have gone 65% under since 1990 in road playoff games after back-to-back home playoff games where they scored more than 120 points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-25-25 |
Lakers v. Wolves -3 |
Top |
104-116 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. We'll lay the points with the 6th-seeded T-Wolves, as #6 seeds have gone 25-7 SU and 21-10-1 ATS when favored over #3-seeds in Game 3 of a series. Take Minnesota.
|
04-25-25 |
Lakers v. Wolves UNDER 206.5 |
Top |
104-116 |
Loss |
-108 |
54 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Minnesota/Los Angeles game. These two teams played unders in Games 1 and 2, and they've now played six straight unders this season. Even better: 19 of the last 25 meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the total. We'll look for that to continue in Game 3. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-25-25 |
Pacers v. Bucks -4.5 |
Top |
101-117 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana. Indy took Games 1 +2 by scores of 117-98 and 123-115. Off those two wins, we'll fade the Pacers in Game 3, as they're 29-62 ATS on the road vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 or less. Take Milwaukee.
|
04-24-25 |
Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 214.5 |
Top |
83-117 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Clippers game. The first two games of this series went under the total, and that's also the way we will look for Game 3. Indeed, these two teams have largely played low-scoring games when they've gotten together, as the UNDER is now 57-25-4 the last 86 meetings! Additionally, the Nuggets have played 18 of their last 25 playoff games under, while the Clippers have gone 24-16-2 UNDER in their last 42 playoff games. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-24-25 |
Knicks v. Pistons |
Top |
118-116 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks over the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons upset New York, 100-94, in Game 2. We'll fade Detroit off that win, as it is 10-36 ATS at home off a win by more than 5 points. Additionally, the Knicks are 69-28 ATS on the road off an upset loss, if matched up against a .500 (or better) foe. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-23-25 |
Warriors v. Rockets -2.5 |
Top |
94-109 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Golden State. The Warriors took Game 1, 95-85, as 1.5-point underdog. We'll take Houston in Game 2, as the Warriors are a woeful 43-97 ATS off a point spread win, if their opponent is playing with revenge. And they're 0-4 ATS on the road in Game 2 of a playoff series after winning Game 1. Even better for Houston: it is 10-1 ATS when favored (or PK) off an upset defeat. Lay the points with the Rockets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-22-25 |
Wolves v. Lakers -5.5 |
Top |
85-94 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The T-Wolves struck first in this first round playoff series, with a 117-95 win in Game 1. We'll fade Minnesota tonight, as it is a poor 43-76 ATS in match-ups between .500 (or better) foes, if the Wolves defeated their opponent by more than 8 points in the season's prior meeting. And the Wolves are also 15-27-1 ATS off an upset win by 8+ points. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 6-1 ATS off a playoff loss by 14+ points. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-13-25 |
Clippers v. Warriors -2.5 |
Top |
124-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. These two teams are locked in a tight battle for playoff seeding, so each team needs to win this afternoon. I favor the revenge-minded Warriors, as they're 43-21 ATS vs. division foes, if the Warriors are rested and have revenge, and both teams own winning records. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-13-25 |
Suns v. Kings -15 |
Top |
98-109 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Phoenix. The Suns snapped an 8-game losing streak with a blowout win over San Antonio, 117-98, on Friday. We played on Phoenix in that game, but will fade them on the road in this season finale. Sacramento needs a win to claim the 9th seed, and home court advantage vs. Dallas in the play-in tourney. The Kings are on a 2-game losing streak, but they're a solid 50-32 ATS off exactly 2 losses. Lay the points.
|
04-13-25 |
Hornets +12.5 v. Celtics |
Top |
86-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Boston. These two teams met Friday and the Celtics hammered the Hornets, 130-94. We'll take Charlotte in this revenge game, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 67% since 1990 if they lost to the same foe by more than 21 points in their previous game. Take Charlotte.
|
04-11-25 |
Rockets v. Lakers -9.5 |
Top |
109-140 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets are a woeful 0-13-1 ATS in their final road game of the season when they've owned a win percentage greater than 0.600. We'll fade Houston, and lay the points with the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-11-25 |
Warriors -13 v. Blazers |
Top |
103-86 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Portland. The Warriors were stunned, 114-111, by the 17-point underdog San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night. We'll take Golden State to bounce back, as it's 32-17 ATS on the road when it was upset as a favorite of -4.5 (or more) points in its previous game. Take the Warriors.
|
04-11-25 |
Spurs v. Suns -4 |
Top |
98-117 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. This is the Spurs' final road game of the season. And they're a poor 10-19-3 ATS in their final road game. It's also the Suns' final home game, and Phoenix is 13-7 ATS in its final home games when not favored by 6+ points. Take the Suns.
|
04-11-25 |
Thunder -10 v. Jazz |
Top |
145-111 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Utah. The Jazz upset Portland, 133-126, in their last game. We'll take OKC tonight, as it is 22-12-2 ATS as a road favorite, including 6-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset win. Lay the points with the Thunder.
|
04-11-25 |
Grizzlies v. Nuggets -6.5 |
Top |
109-117 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Nuggets lost their previous home game, 125-120, to Indiana. We'll take Denver, as it's 133-76 ATS at home when rested, if it lost its previous home game, straight-up, and was priced in the current game between +2.5 and -11 points. Take the Nuggets.
|
04-11-25 |
Raptors v. Mavs -11 |
Top |
102-124 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our Non-Conference Game of the Month is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. The Mavs lost their showdown with Luka Doncic and the Lakers on Wednesday, while the Raptors routed Charlotte, 126-96. We'll take Dallas to bounce back off that loss, as it's 176-115-8 ATS off a SU loss when matched-up against a foe off a SU win. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-11-25 |
Cavs v. Knicks -7.5 |
Top |
108-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland lost at Indiana, 114-112, last night. We'll fade the Cavs here, as they're 10-28-1 ATS on the road when playing without rest against a foe off a SU loss. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-11-25 |
Bucks v. Pistons -5.5 |
Top |
125-119 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Milwaukee. The Pistons lost by 21 to the Bucks in the season's prior meeting. We'll take Detroit to avenge that defeat as it's 14-9 ATS this season when playing with revenge, while the Bucks are a poor 27-52 ATS when installed as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points. Take the Pistons.
|
04-11-25 |
Hawks -11 v. 76ers |
Top |
124-110 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. We played on the Hawks last night at Brooklyn, and got the $$$ in its 133-109 win. That moved Atlanta to 28-4 its last 32 as a road favorite of -8 (or more) points. We'll back the Hawks again in that situation tonight. Lay the points.
|
04-10-25 |
Hawks -13 v. Nets |
Top |
133-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. This is an important game for the Hawks. Atlanta is battling the Bulls for the #8 seed, and needs two wins among its final three games to wrap it up. The Nets, on the other hand, have long since been eliminated from the Playoffs. Atlanta is 27-4-1 ATS as a road favorite of -8 (or more) points. Lay the wood. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-10-25 |
Cavs v. Pacers -9 |
Top |
112-114 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Pacers need one win (or one Milwaukee Bucks loss) to wrap up the #4 seed in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland has little to play for tonight, given it already owns the #1 seed. Indiana lost here, at home, to Cleveland by 10 points in the last meeting. We'll lay the points with the Pacers tonight, as they're 65-38-2 ATS when rested, and favored over a division foe it lost to in the season's prior meeting. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-09-25 |
Rockets v. Clippers -6.5 |
Top |
117-134 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Houston. The Rockets have wrapped up the #2 seed in the Western conference, while the Clippers are battling it out with the Nuggets, Warriors, Grizzlies and Timberwolves for the #4 seed and home court advantage in the first round. The Clippers play this game with revenge from a 117-106 home loss to Houston. The good news for the Clips is they're 79-52-1 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, if they lost the season's previous meeting by more than five points. Take L.A. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-09-25 |
Thunder v. Suns +11.5 |
Top |
125-112 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Oklahoma City. We played on the Thunder last night, and got the $$$ in its 16-point blowout win over the Lakers, 136-120. Oklahoma City went on a 24-4 run late in the game to secure the win. But off that emotional victory in its final home game of the season, we'll fade the Thunder on the road at Phoenix. The Suns still have faint hope of making the Play-In tournament, but will need to win tonight (and the Mavericks to lose) to keep that dream alive. Phoenix is a solid 120-72 ATS vs. unrested foes off a win, if the Suns weren't favored by 8+ points. Take the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-09-25 |
Nuggets -3.5 v. Kings |
Top |
124-116 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Sacramento. The Nuggets fired head coach Mike Malone on Tuesday, and installed David Adelman as interim head coach. I expect that to light a fire under this Nuggets team which has gone 0-4 SU/ATS its last four games (and 6-18 ATS its last 24). Denver is a strong 38-21 ATS off 3+ ATS losses, if matched-up against a .400 (or better) foe. Take the Nuggets.
|
04-09-25 |
Celtics v. Magic -3.5 |
Top |
76-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Boston. The Magic inched closer to securing the #7 seed with a win over the Atlanta Hawks last night. Tonight, they'll host the Celtics, who needed overtime to dispatch the New York Knicks on Tuesday. The Celtics are locked into the #2 seed, and have little incentive to play their starters the rest of the way. This will be Boston's final road game of the season, while it's Orlando's final home game. Lay the points.
|
04-08-25 |
Lakers v. Thunder -13.5 |
Top |
120-136 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Thunder laid about as big an egg as it could on Sunday when it was blown out, 126-99, at home by the Lakers. The good news for OKC is that it gets a 2nd bite at the apple on this Tuesday, as the Lakers will be back at Paycom Center tonight. This is the Thunder's final home game of the season, so I expect they will be well-motivated to not lose back-to-back home games. OKC is 22-11 ATS in its final home game of the season, including 9-1 ATS when playing with revenge, and 14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 4-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe playing its final home game. And they're 14-29-1 ATS as a road dog playing a foe they upset in the previous meeting. Take OKC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-07-25 |
Florida v. Houston UNDER 142 |
Top |
65-63 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:50 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in the Houston/Florida game. The Cougars have been installed as a small underdog on the opening line. And the Coogs are 23-9 UNDER the total when the O/U line was greater than 130, and they were an underdog/Pk. Even better: when the O/U line was priced from 137 to 146, Houston's gone UNDER in 45 of 58, including 7-0 UNDER their last seven when not favored by 5+ points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-07-25 |
Kings v. Pistons -7 |
Top |
127-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over the Sacramento Kings. The Pistons lost at home, 109-103, to Memphis, on Saturday, while Sacramento played Sunday, and upset the Cleveland Cavaliers. We'll back Detroit, as it's 22-12 ATS this season off a loss. Meanwhile, the Kings are a woeful 3-12 ATS when playing without rest, including 1-9 ATS vs. a rested foe. And their 15-33 ATS off a SU win, when playing a foe off a SU loss. Finally, Sacramento falls into negative 36-97 and 73-140-2 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-06-25 |
Pacers v. Nuggets -6 |
Top |
125-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Indiana. The Nuggets lost their most recent home game, 113-106, to San Antone. And they've lost three straight, overall, including a road game at Golden State, on Friday. We'll look for Denver to get back into the win column tonight, as it has gone 133-75 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11 points, if it also lost its most recent home game, straight-up. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-06-25 |
Suns +9 v. Knicks |
Top |
98-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over the New York Knicks. The Knicks went into Atlanta on Saturday, and hammered the Hawks, 121-105. Unfortunately, New York is 0-17 ATS when playing without rest vs. a rested foe. Grab the points with the Suns.
|
04-06-25 |
UCF v. Nebraska UNDER 159 |
Top |
66-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 5:30 pm, on Sunday, in the Crown Tourney championship game, our selection is on Nebraska/Central Florida UNDER the total. The Knights come into this game off back-to-back high-scoring victories over Cincinnati (88-80) and Villanova (104-98). Off those two wins, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday, as NCAA teams have gone 63.8% UNDER in games with O/U lines of 145+ points, after scoring a combined 182+ points in back-to-back post-season games that each Over the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-06-25 |
Lakers v. Thunder -8.5 |
Top |
126-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Thunder are 50-25-3 ATS this season, and only need to go 2-2 ATS over their final four games to attain the best point spread win percentage over the course of an 82-game regular season since 1990-91 (the year my database starts). Heretofore, the top ATS win percentage has been 65.4%, achieved by the Boston Celtics in 2007-08. We actually played against OKC in its last game, and got the $$$ with the Houston Rockets, which upset OKC, 125-111. That defeat snapped OKC's 11-game SU/ATS win streak. We'll look for the Thunder to bounce back off that upset loss, as they're 28-9 ATS at home vs. a foe off a SU win, including 10-0 ATS their last 10. Lay the points.
|
04-05-25 |
Wolves v. 76ers +16.5 |
Top |
114-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. This is a huge number for a team playing at home. And, since 1990, NBA home dogs getting north of 15 points have covered 61%. (In this situation, the 76ers have gone 5-0-1 ATS.) There's no denying that the 76ers have been horrible ATS this season (26-49-2 ATS). But that goes hand-in-hand with the oddsmakers installing them as an underdog at this price. And Philly, actually, has been profitable when getting more than 6 points (15-13-1 ATS), including 2-0-1 ATS when getting 14+ points. We'll take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-05-25 |
Florida v. Auburn UNDER 160.5 |
Top |
79-73 |
Win
|
100 |
104 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Florida/Auburn game. We have a relatively-high over/under line for this Final Four game between #1-seeded teams. And games between teams seeded #4 (or better) have gone 73% UNDER when the O/U line has been greater than 144 points, including 9-2 UNDER at the Elite Eight round, forward. Additionally, teams (like Florida) that average 84.5 (or more) points on offense have gone UNDER 70% in the NCAA Tournament if their previous NCAA Tourney game went Over the total. With Florida, indeed, coming off a high-scoring, 84-79 win over Texas Tech (which went Over the total of 159.5), we'll take the Florida/Auburn game UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-04-25 |
Mavs v. Clippers -9.5 |
Top |
91-114 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas. This is the first of back-to-back games between these teams in Los Angeles. Dallas is seemingly locked into the 9/10 seed, while the Clippers are currently seeded 8, but are just 2.5 games in back of the #3-seeded Nuggets, so they could land anywhere in that wide range. The Mavs come into this game off a win over Atlanta, but are an awful 35-67 ATS vs. .333 (or better) revenge-minded foes. With Los Angeles playing with revenge from a 16-point loss at Dallas, we'll lay the points with the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-04-25 |
Nuggets -1 v. Warriors |
Top |
104-118 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Golden State Warriors. It's hard to imagine a Steph Curry-led team would have lost nine straight games to a single opponent, but that's the case in this Warriors/Nuggets series. Denver even won the last meeting, less than three weeks ago, when it rested all its players, and was a 13.5-point road underdog. No matter...the Nuggets upset the Warriors, 114-105. I like Denver to stretch its win streak to 10 games in this series, as it will play an unrested Golden State squad off a win in Los Angeles last night. Denver is 10-0 SU its last 10 (and 20-3 SU its last 23) when rested and playing an unrested foe. Take the Nuggets.
|
04-04-25 |
Blazers v. Bulls -5.5 |
Top |
113-118 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland. The Bulls had the last two nights off following a 137-118 blowout of Toronto, while the Blazers played last night -- also vs. Toronto -- and notched a 112-103 win. We'll take the Bulls, as they are rested and will play with revenge from a 113-102 upset loss at Portland earlier this season. The Blazers are a wallet-busting 30-49 ATS on the road vs. rested, revenge-minded foes. Take Chicago.
|
04-04-25 |
Thunder v. Rockets +7.5 |
Top |
111-125 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets plus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC has ripped off 11 SU/ATS wins in a row. A lot of bettors won't want to step in front of this freight train, but I'm not one of those. Indeed, we had our NBA Game of the Month in March on these Rockets +10.5 at OKC, and got the $$$ in a 137-128 ballgame. We'll come right back with Houston as a home dog tonight. For those intimidated by OKC's 11-game SU/ATS win streak, consider that NBA teams on 11-game (or better) SU/ATS win streaks have gone a pedestrian 12-11 ATS since 1990, so that doesn't worry me. Houston is well-motivated to win, as it's locked in a battle with the Lakers and Nuggets for the #2 seed in the Western conference. Moreover, at Game 8 forward, .649 (or better) home dogs have cashed 57% since 1990 if both teams entered off SU wins. Take Houston.
|
04-04-25 |
Kings -10.5 v. Hornets |
Top |
125-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets covered the 15-point spread on Wednesday, at Indiana (by a single point). But that was their first ATS win in 7 games. Charlotte is 19-57 on the season, and is 2 games clear of the 21-55 Pelicans in the race for a bottom three finish, and the best odds to land Cooper Flagg. Sacramento, meanwhile, is one game ahead of the Suns for the final Play-In spot. The Kings have dropped their last three games, but are a solid 37-22 ATS off back to back losses. Lay the points.
|
04-03-25 |
Chattanooga v. Cal-Irvine -3.5 |
Top |
85-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Irvine Anteaters minus the points over UT Chattanooga. Russell Turner's Anteaters have been one of the best point spread teams the past 2 seasons. Last season, they went 19-14 ATS, and this season, they are 24-13 ATS. Cal Irvine has been especially strong as a favorite of 6 or less points, as they're 13-2 ATS in that subset. Chattanooga, meanwhile, is off 4 straight upset wins to reach this title game. Unfortunately, since 1990, teams off 4 straight upset wins are just 40% ATS in tourney championship games. Take Cal Irvine minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-03-25 |
Wolves -12.5 v. Nets |
Top |
105-90 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets upset Dallas, 113-109, on Monday. And they also won two games back, 115-112, vs. Washington. We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, as it's a brutal 28-57-2 ATS at home off an upset win, if it also won 2 games back. Lay the points with Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-03-25 |
Magic -13.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
109-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Washington. We played on the Wizards last night, as a 13.5-point underdog, and got the $$$ with them winning outright, 116-111, over Sacramento. We'll fade Washington tonight, as it is 27-55 ATS as a double-digit dog off an upset win, including 9-26 ATS when playing its 3rd game in four nights. Lay the points with Orlando.
|
04-03-25 |
Bucks v. 76ers +12.5 |
Top |
126-113 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers plus the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks are favored by double-digits tonight over Philly. We'll fade the Bucks, as they're 18-39-2 ATS when laying more than 8 points, including 1-7-1 ATS their last nine on the road. Take the 76ers.
|
04-02-25 |
Kings v. Wizards +13.5 |
Top |
111-116 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Sacramento Kings. Washington comes into this game off a 26-point loss here, at home, to Miami on Monday. We'll grab the points with the Wizards, as double-digit home dogs have gone 403-338-15 ATS off a loss, including 52-35-2 ATS off a loss by 26+ points, when playing with rest. And the Kings have burned money as a favorite this season, including 16-23-1 ATS their last 40. We'll take Washington as a big home dog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-25 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -2 |
Top |
140-139 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The Nuggets play this game with double-revenge from two losses to the T-Wolves. I like Denver as a small home favorite, as it's 7-2-1 ATS its last 10 (and 46-28-2 ATS its last 76) games where it was playing with double-revenge. Meanwhile, Minnesota is a dreadful 42-76 ATS in games between .500 (or better) teams when the T-Wolves won the season's prior meeting by more than 8 points. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-25 |
Chattanooga v. Loyola-Chicago -2.5 |
Top |
80-73 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers minus the points over UT-Chattanooga. The Mocs enter this semi-final game off 3 straight upset wins, as they knocked off Middle Tennessee, Dayton, and Bradley. Meanwhile, the Ramblers opened the Tourney with road wins over San Jose St. and San Francisco, before returning home to bomb Kent State, 72-62. I like Loyola in this match-up, and will fade Chattanooga off its trio of upset wins. Indeed, NIT Tourney teams have cashed just 30 percent off 3 upset wins since 1990. Additionally, the Ramblers are 37-15 ATS vs. foes off upset wins, including a perfect 10-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes when Loyola was not laying more than 6 points. And Chattanooga is 15-26 ATS as an underdog off an upset win. Lay the points with the Ramblers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-25 |
Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 |
Top |
134-125 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Golden State. The Warriors come into this game off a 42-point blowout of the Spurs. And they also bested Memphis when these teams last met, 121-113, in San Francisco. We'll fade GSW, as it is 42-95 ATS off a point spread win, if its opponent was playing with revenge. Take Memphis as a home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-25 |
76ers +14.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
91-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over New York. The Sixers have been a horrible team this year against the spread, as they're 26-47-2 ATS. But when one delves deeper into the numbers, they're exceptionally bad as a favorite (7-18 ATS) and as an underdog of +6 or less (4-18 ATS). When Philly has gotten more than 6 points, they've gone 15-11-1 ATS. Tonight, they're catching double-digits from the Knicks, who are 88-117-4 ATS when laying 9+ points, including 18-39-3 ATS inside the division. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
04-01-25 |
Blazers +5.5 v. Hawks |
Top |
127-113 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Atlanta. The Hawks upset the Milwaukee Bucks, 145-124, as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. We'll fade Atlanta tonight, as it is 6-26 ATS off an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog, when matched-up against a foe off a SU/ATS loss (including 0-14 ATS if the Hawks' win percentage was greater than .460). Take Portland.
|
04-01-25 |
Suns +6 v. Bucks |
Top |
123-133 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks are laying a big number tonight to Phoenix. We'll side with the Underdog Suns, as Milwaukee is a wallet-busting 30-53-3 ATS as a home favorite of -7 or more points. And Phoenix is a solid 16-7 ATS off 3 (or more) SU/ATS losses. Take the Suns + the points.
|
03-31-25 |
Nebraska v. Arizona State +6 |
Top |
86-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
132 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, in the CROWN Tournament, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Nebraska. Both of these teams come into this game on 5-game losing streaks. Since 1990, in post-season, non-conference tournaments, favorites have covered just 40% when they lost their five previous games. That doesn't bode well for Nebraska, here. Additionally, the Big 12 Conference is 18-11-1 ATS vs. the Big 10 in the post-season. I'll happily take the points with the Sun Devils, as they fall into a 48-13 ATS Tourney system of mine. Take Arizona State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-30-25 |
Pistons v. Wolves -6.5 |
Top |
104-123 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Detroit. The Pistons come into this evening's game off 3 straight wins (and 2 straight covers). Unfortunately, Detroit is a dreadful 9-33 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins, when priced from +8.5 to -3. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-30-25 |
Blazers +9 v. Knicks |
Top |
93-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the New York Knicks. Portland is riding an 0-3 SU/ATS losing streak. But the Blazers are 17-8-1 ATS on the road off 3 SU/ATS losses. And they also fall into a 90-30 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses. Grab the points.
|
03-30-25 |
Clippers v. Cavs -7 |
Top |
122-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Cavs will be seeking revenge this afternoon from a 132-119 beatdown at L.A. earlier this month. We'll lay the points with Cleveland, as L.A. is a lousy 82-127 ATS vs. .589 (or better) revenge-minded foes. Lay the points.
|
03-30-25 |
Tennessee v. Houston -3 |
Top |
50-69 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 2:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Tennessee. We were 3-1 on Friday, including winners on the Under in the Houston/Purdue game, and the Under in the Tennessee/Kentucky game. We also cashed the Under in the Michigan State/Ole Miss game, but lost on Houston. In this game, we're going to focus on the Side, rather than the total. Houston failed to cover the spread in its 62-60 triumph, while the Volunteers blew out Kentucky 78-65. And that was the Vols' 2nd straight point spread win, as it also got the $$$ in its 9-point win over UCLA. I like Houston here, as the Cougars are 41-19 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back ATS wins, provided Houston was not off back-to-back ATS wins. Additionally, #1 seeds have had the edge on #2 seeds in games where they've been favored by more than 2 points, going 25-10 SU and 22-13-1 ATS. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-29-25 |
Alabama v. Duke -6.5 |
Top |
65-85 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide scored 113 points in their win over BYU. But BYU is currently ranked #82 in defensive efficiency by Ken Pomeroy at his KenPom.com website; Duke allows just 62.5 ppg, and ranks #5. So, Alabama is going to have a much more difficult time at the offensive end vs. the Blue Devils. But that's just the start of Alabama's problems in this match-up. Duke ranks #1 in offensive efficiency, while Alabama is all the way down at #28 in defense. We'll lay the points with Duke, as favorites of more than 6 points that give up less than 66 points per game, have cashed 57% in the post-season vs. foes that scored 84+ in their previous game. Likewise, in the Elite Eight round, underdogs of 6.5 (or more) points are a horrid 2-19 SU and 7-13-1 ATS after scoring 75+ points in the Sweet 16 round. Take Duke. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-29-25 |
Heat v. 76ers +7.5 |
Top |
118-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Miami. Last month, the Heat upset the Sixers, 108-101. We'll take Philly to avenge that defeat, as it's 47-24 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss. Even better: the Heat are a horrid 33-57 ATS off a SU win, when they were playing a foe off a SU loss. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-29-25 |
Nets -1 v. Wizards |
Top |
115-112 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Washington Wizards. This is the 3rd meeting this season between these teams, and the Wizards won the first two -- both as underdogs. We'll take Brooklyn tonight, as it is 77-48-2 ATS on the road when playing with revenge. Additionally, Washington is a woeful 114-159 ATS at home vs. foes that it upset in the previous meeting. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-25 |
Purdue v. Houston -8 |
Top |
60-62 |
Loss |
-108 |
62 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Purdue. The 24-11 Boilermakers have been installed as a big underdog vs. the #1-seeded Cougars. And I don't want any part of Matt Painter's men in this role. Indeed, the Boilers are a brutal 59-97-7 ATS as an underdog, priced from +2.5 to +12.5 points, including 7-14 ATS in the post-season. Meanwhile, the Cougars have dominated .750 (or worse) foes, going 129-7 SU and 83-52 ATS the last 5 seasons (compared to 9-20 ATS their last 29 vs. foes with a W/L percentage greater than .750). Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-25 |
Purdue v. Houston UNDER 132.5 |
Top |
60-62 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Purdue game. Matt Painter's men typically play low-scoring games in this Tournament, as their last six (and nine of their last 10) have sailed UNDER the number. The UNDER falls into 68-36 and 15-4 Totals systems of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-25 |
Warriors -13 v. Pelicans |
Top |
111-95 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans. Steph Curry missed the last 2 games and, not surprisingly, the Warriors dropped each game to Atlanta and Miami. But Curry returned to practice yesterday, and coach Steve Kerr is optimistic he will play tonight. The Pelicans, meanwhile, downgraded Zion Williamson to being out for this game. We'll lay the points with Golden State, as it is a terrific 155-101 ATS off a SU loss, if its opponent was off a SU win. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-25 |
Knicks v. Bucks -1 |
Top |
116-107 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the New York Knicks. The Bucks come into tonight's game off back to back road losses, at Phoenix and at Denver. We'll take Milwaukee here, at home, at Fiserv Center, as it is 61-29 ATS at home off back to back losses. Take the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
03-28-25 |
Clippers v. Nets +13.5 |
Top |
132-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. When these two teams last met, the Clippers annihilated the Nets, 126-67. We'll take Brooklyn to avenge that defeat, as it is 87-50 ATS in the regular season when playing with same-season revenge from a loss by more than 12 points. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-28-25 |
Kentucky v. Tennessee UNDER 145 |
Top |
65-78 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats and Tennessee Volunteers to go UNDER the total. This is the 3rd meeting this season between these SEC Rivals. And 6 of the last 8 meetings have gone UNDER the total. Even better: 14 of the Wildcats' last 19 NCAA Tourney games have gone UNDER, while the Volunteers have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 9 NCAA Tourney games. Take the UNDER.
|
03-28-25 |
Ole Miss v. Michigan State UNDER 144 |
Top |
70-73 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels and Michigan State Spartans to go UNDER the total. The Spartans are 24-11 UNDER this season, including 3-1 UNDER in the post-season. And the Spartans are 23-16 UNDER their last 39 post-season games. Take the UNDER.
|
03-27-25 |
Arizona +9.5 v. Duke |
Top |
93-100 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils have been the 3rd best team relative to the point spread in this tourney, as they've covered the spread by an average of 10.75 ppg (Arkansas (+13.75) and Ole Miss (+13.5) rank as #1 and #2, respectively). This fact, coupled with the Blue Devils' regular season success (it's 24-12 ATS on the season, and has covered by an average of 4.51 ppg), has led to a slightly-inflated point spread for today's game, based on my numbers. I like the Wildcats dressed up as a revenge-minded underdog. These two teams met in Tucson earlier this season, and the Blue Devils emerged victorious, 69-55, as a 1.5-point road underdog. Arizona, however, is 14-2 SU and 11-4-1 ATS its last 16 games when playing with revenge. And Duke is a dreadful 1-6 ATS its last seven (and 7-20-1 ATS its last 28) when playing a revenge-minded foe Duke defeated on the road earlier in the season, provided Duke wasn't favored by 15+ points in the current game. Grab the points with the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-27-25 |
Rockets v. Jazz +13.5 |
Top |
121-110 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Jazz have been one of the better home dogs in the league over the years, with a 72-48 ATS mark. Tonight, they'll look to bounce back off a 140-103 blowout loss at home to Memphis. We'll take Utah, as home dogs of +4 (or more) points have cashed 60% since 1990 off a home loss by more than 30 points. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-27-25 |
Maryland +6.5 v. Florida |
Top |
71-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
35 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Florida. Going into this tournament, Florida was a point spread darling. It was 26-8 ATS, and covered the spread by an average of 5.73 ppg. Unfortunately for its backers, Florida has burned money in this tournament, going 0-2 ATS. I think that streak will reach three games on Thursday, as #1-seeds have gone 6-11-2 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round off back to back ATS losses. Moreover, the Big 10 has dominated the SEC in the NCAA Tournament "in Vegas," as it's gone 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings. And it's also 20-11-2 ATS the last 33 meetings when the Big 10 team has been the underdog. Take Maryland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-27-25 |
Pacers -11 v. Wizards |
Top |
162-109 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Washington. The Pacers lost at the buzzer, 120-119, to the Lakers last night, while the Wizards upset the Sixers, 119-114, in Philly. We'll fade the Wizards tonight, as unrested, double-digit home dogs have cashed just 30.7% of non-division games since 1990 off a SU win. Lay the points with Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-26-25 |
UAB v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 160 |
Top |
77-81 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cal Irvine/UAB game. Both of these teams come into tonight's game off a string of unders. UAB is 3-0-1 UNDER its last four, while Cal Irvine is 3-0 UNDER its last three. I like this game to follow the short-term trend of these teams, as the Anteaters are also 19-10 UNDER this season with O/U lines greater than 135. And NIT Tourney games priced between 155 and 165 point are 21-13 UNDER their last 44. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-26-25 |
Clippers -3 v. Knicks |
Top |
126-113 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks. The 5-game win streak of the Clippers was snapped on Sunday when OKC defeated Los Angeles, 103-101. Meanwhile, New York enters off back to back double-digit wins over Wasington and Dallas. We'll take Los Angeles, as the Clippers are 13-5 ATS as a road favorite off a SU home loss, including 7-1 ATS vs. an opponent off a SU win. Lay the short number. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-26-25 |
Lakers +1 v. Pacers |
Top |
120-119 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakersver the Indiana Pacers. The Lakers are riding a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after getting blasted at home by Milwaukee and Chicago, and then on the road, at Orlando. The Lakers have covered 61.2% since 1990 on the road off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they failed to cover their previous game by 10+ points. And the Pacers are 27-55 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if Indy wasn't getting more than 8 points in the game. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-26-25 |
Illinois State -2 v. Cleveland State |
Top |
79-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, on Wednesday, in the Championship game of the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cleveland State. The Vikings won and covered last night, as a 5-point favorite over Florida Gulf Coast, while the Redbirds failed to get the $$$ when they won by just 5, as a 7-point favorite over Incarnate Word. The good news for the Redbirds here, is that they've cashed 61.1% in the post-season since 1990 when favored off an ATS loss. Meanwhile the Vikings are a wallet-busting 9-22 ATS their last 31 as underdogs in the post-season (compared to 8-3 ATS their last 11 as a favorite). Take the Redbirds minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-25-25 |
Mavs v. Knicks -9 |
Top |
113-128 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. Last night, the Mavs blew out Brooklyn, 120-101, while the Knicks had their 2nd straight day of rest. We'll take the well-rested Knicks on Tuesday, as they play with revenge from a 129-114 upset loss in Dallas earlier this season. And the Mavs are a miserable 0-8 ATS their last 8 (and 34-66-2 ATS their last 102) when playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season (including 4-28-1 ATS if the Mavs were off an ATS win). Lay the points with New York. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-25-25 |
Chattanooga v. Bradley -3 |
Top |
67-65 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over UT-Chattanooga. The Braves have been dominant here, in Peoria, as they've gone 54-8 SU and 38-19-2 ATS since November 27, 2021, including 16-3 ATS in non-conference games. We'll lay the points with Bradley. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-24-25 |
Lakers -4 v. Magic |
Top |
106-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Orlando. The Lakers were blasted, 146-115, at home by the Chicago Bulls, on Saturday. And L.A. was favored by 10.5 points in that game. That was the Lakers' 2nd straight defeat, as Milwaukee also blew them out, 118-89, before that. We'll take the Lakers to bounce back off those losses, as road favorites (or PK) off an upset home loss where they failed to cover the spread by more than 36 points, have bounced back to cover 78.5% since 1990. Even better: the Magic upset Los Angeles, 119-118, as a 5-point road underdog earlier this season. And L.A. is 57-35 ATS as a road favorite when playing with revenge. Finally, the Magic are a horrible 5-20 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes off back-to-back losses. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
03-23-25 |
Oregon v. Arizona -3.5 |
Top |
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
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At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Oregon. These two erstwhile Pac-12 members have a long history vs. each other. Last season, they met in the Pac-12 Tourney, and the Ducks upset the Wildcats, 67-59, as an 11.5-point underdog. We'll lay the points with Arizona, as #4-seeded teams have gone 21-7 ATS their last 28 vs. #5-seeded foes, including 13-3 ATS when laying more than 3 points. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-23-25 |
Colorado State v. Maryland -7.5 |
Top |
71-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Colorado State. The Rams are on an 11-game SU/ATS win streak. But we will fade them in this NCAA Tourney game on Sunday evening. Indeed, teams on 10-game (or better) ATS win streaks have covered just 40.7% in the post-season since 1990. And Mountain West Conference teams have gone 1-12 ATS vs. Big 10 foes in the post-season. Lay the points with Maryland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-23-25 |
Illinois State v. Presbyterian +5.5 |
Top |
78-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Illinois St. The Redbirds have been installed as a favorite in this game, played at Daytona Beach's Ocean Center. The Redbirds are a poor 33-58-2 ATS as a favorite of less than 8 points away from home, including 1-8 ATS their last nine. That bodes well for the Blue Hose on this Sunday. As does the fact that Presbyterian falls into 71-48, 47-12 and 26-9 ATS systems of mine. We'll grab the points with the Blue Hose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-23-25 |
76ers +10 v. Hawks |
Top |
119-132 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
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At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are barreling toward the Playoffs, as they sit in 7th at the moment. So, they'll have upwards of 2 chances to win just one game to punch their ticket to the Playoffs. And that's a big deal for Atlanta, as it doesn't own its 2025 first-round draft pick, so the last thing it wants to do is see its pick turn into a valuable draft asset. Today, the Hawks will host the league's most disappointing team -- Philadelphia. These two teams met here just 13 days ago, and the Sixers got inside the number in that game, with a 132-123 loss, as a 9.5-point underdog. I like them to get inside this big number once again, as Atlanta is a soft 53-70 ATS as a home favorite of -8 (or more) points off a SU win, when playing a foe off a SU loss. Take the 76ers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-23-25 |
Cavs -14.5 v. Jazz |
Top |
120-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
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At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Utah. The Cavs have hit the skids with a 4-game losing streak, and now sit 2 games in the loss column behind OKC in the race for the league's #1 record. I like Cleveland to bounce back today, as .560 (or better) favorites of -2.5 (or more) points have gone 20-7 ATS their last 27 off 4 (or more) losses. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-23-25 |
Baylor +12.5 v. Duke |
Top |
66-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
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At 2:40 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over the Duke Blue Devils. The Bears fall into one of my favorite tourney systems, which has gone 23-1 ATS since 1995, as well as another tourney angle, which is 95-47 ATS. I am well-aware that the Bears have been poor ATS this season. But they've covered their last four. And they're 9-2 ATS their last 11 as a post-season underdog of +7 (or more) points. We'll take the double-digits with the Bears.
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03-23-25 |
Oklahoma State +9.5 v. SMU |
Top |
85-83 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over SMU. The Cowboys have won the last 10 meetings with the Mustangs, and have gone 7-3 ATS. We'll happily grab the points, as Oklahoma St. has cashed 63% as an underdog of more than 9 points off a double-digit win, while SMU has cashed just 25% in the post-season when laying 9+ points. Take the Cowboys.
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03-22-25 |
UCLA v. Tennessee -5 |
Top |
58-67 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over UCLA. The #2-seeded Volunteers fall into a 73-45 ATS tourney system of mine, and we'll lay the points over the #7-seeded Bruins. Since 1990, #2 seeds have dominated the #7-seeds, and especially when favored by 5 or more points, as they've gone 33-19 ATS. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-22-25 |
Gonzaga +5 v. Houston |
Top |
76-81 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
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At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs + the points over Houston. The Bulldogs have won nine straight 2nd Round NCAA Tourney games, and I like them as an underdog in this matchup vs. the #1-seeded Cougars. Indeed, since 1990, #8-seeds have gone 37-29 ATS in the NCAA Tourney vs. #1-seeds, including 8-1 ATS their last nine when the game was competitively priced with a point spread less than 6. Take Gonzaga.
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03-22-25 |
Creighton v. Auburn -8.5 |
Top |
70-82 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Creighton. The Tigers were on a torrid 20-1 run when they went into College Station on March 4. We had a huge play on the Aggies +3.5 in that game, and they upset the then-#1-ranked Tigers, 83-72. The Tigers have not found their footing since, and have gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS. I look for them to snap out of their funk on this Saturday evening, as the Bluejays are a soft 26-52 ATS vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by more than 10 points in their previous game. Take Auburn.
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03-22-25 |
Drake v. Texas Tech -6.5 |
Top |
64-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
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At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Drake. The favorite in match-ups between #3 and #11 seeds have gone 28-19 ATS. Additionally, Drake falls into a negative 18-51 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Lay the points with the Red Raiders.
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03-22-25 |
Michigan v. Texas A&M -2.5 |
Top |
91-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Michigan. The Aggies are seeded #4 and enter off a 9-point win over Yale. Meanwhile, the Wolverines eked out a 3-point win over UC San Diego. We played on both of these teams on Thursday, and will go with the Aggies in this match-up. Since 1990, the favored team has gone 42-26 ATS in games played between #4 and #5 seeds. Take the Aggies.
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03-22-25 |
Arkansas +7.5 v. St. John's |
Top |
75-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 2:40 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over St. John's. The 10th-seeded Razorbacks pulled off a mild upset when they upset Kansas, 79-72, on Thursday. Now, they'll battle with the #2-seeded Red Storm. We'll grab the points with Arkansas, as #10-seeds have dominated #2-seeds when they were getting 9 or less points, going 26-10-2 ATS since 1992, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins. St. John's is 1-7 ATS its last eight NCAA Tourney games. And it also falls into negative 3-27 and 0-16 ATS systems of mine. Finally, the Red Storm are riding a 10-game win streak, and have won their last four games by 21, 16, 16 and 30 points. Unfortunately, favorites of less than 16 points (or PK) have gone 24-45 ATS in the post-season off four straight wins by more than 11 points. Take the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-22-25 |
McNeese State v. Purdue -6 |
Top |
62-76 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over McNeese State. The 12th-seeded Cowboys upset the 5th-seeded Clemson Tigers, 69-67, on Thursday. We'll fade McNeese in this 2nd round game, as Purdue is 12-4 ATS in the NCAA Tourney when favored by 3+ points. And #12 seeds are 8-17 ATS their last 25 match-ups vs. #4 seeds in the post-season. Take Purdue. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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