At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Clips were blown out at home by San Antone, 116-92, as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday.  But off that horrible loss, we'll lay the points with Los Angeles in Sacramento tonight.  Indeed, the Clippers are 57-35 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 28-12 ATS on the road.  Even better:  it plays this game with revenge from two losses to the Kings earlier this season.  And L.A. is a solid 64% in the regular season since 1990, if it owned a winning record, and was playing with double-revenge from two losses to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Dixie State.  These two Beehive State schools are located less than an hour from one another.  And this will be the 2nd meeting of the season.  The first go-round was won by the Trailblazers, 83-76, as a 10.5-point home underdog, on November 12.  We'll lay the points with the Thunderbirds in this re-match, as Southern Utah falls into a 66% ATS revenge system of mine.  And Southern Utah is also 4-0 ATS with revenge against a non-conference foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks plus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bison have been installed as a double-digit home favorite over their rival, and we'll take the points with the Fighting Hawks, as the underdog in this rivalry has cashed 9 of 13, including 5-1 ATS on the road (and the road teams are 7-3 ATS their last 10).  Take the Fighting Hawks + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celts come into this game off an upset loss to their division rival, Philadelphia, on Monday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Ime Udoka's men tonight, as the Celtics are a solid 48-24 ATS off an upset division loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS their last eight vs. foes off a straight-up win.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Mississippi Valley State.  The Delta Devils are 0-9 on the season, while UAB is 9-3 after dropping a home game to West Virginia on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with the Blazers, as they've covered the spread at home 68.5% vs. non-conference foes since 1990, if they were off a SU loss.  Take UAB minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over Prairie View A&M.  The Shockers were "shocked" here, at home, by North Texas, on Saturday.  But off that double-digit upset loss, we'll lay the wood with Wichita tonight, as it's covered 71% at home over the last 32 years off a double-digit upset defeat.  Take the Shockers minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Saint Francis (PA).  Both of these teams come into tonight's game off blowout losses.  Robert Morris lost by 26 at Bowling Green, while the Red Flash fell by 58 at Illinois.  Tonight, the Red Flash have been installed as a home favorite.  But it's a poor 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 5 (or more) points.  And it's 3-14 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss, including 0-5 ATS as a favorite.  Take the points with Robert Morris.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Valparaiso.  The Tribe has won just one of its 12 games this season, and has dropped its last five games SU/ATS.  But there's very good reason to think it will come inside this large number this afternoon, as Valparaiso is 0-13 ATS when priced as a favorite of -11.5 to -17.5 points vs. foes off back-to-back losses, provided Valpo wasn't off back to back losses.  Additionally, the Crusaders fall into a negative 106-186 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off SU/ATS wins.  Grab the points with William & Mary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Nicholls State.  The Beavers are 1-10 on the season after dropping their 10th straight game on Saturday, 83-73, to Texas A&M.  But teams on 10-game (or worse) losing streaks have covered 60.8% over the last 20 years when favored by more than four points.  Lay the points with Oregon State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Georgia State.  These two cross-town rivals met in last season's opening game, and the Panthers won, perhaps, the most exciting game of the NCAA season, as they down the Yellow Jackets, 123-120, in four overtimes.  Georgia Tech does come into this game off four straight losses.  But those games were against a quartet of power conference foes (Wisconsin, North Carolina, LSU and USC), of which all but the Tar Heels rank among the country's Top 25.  So, this will be a step-down-in-class for Georgia Tech, and we'll lay the points against a Panthers team which is 0-5 ATS on the road this season.  Additionally, Georgia State is an awful 1-15-1 ATS on the road vs. a revenge-minded foe off a double-digit SU/ATS loss.  Take Georgia Tech.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over SIU-Edwardsville.  The Jaguars had their 8-game win streak snapped on Friday, at Tarleton St.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Richie Riley's men tonight.  Indeed, since 1990, teams off an upset loss, which snapped an 8-game (or longer) win streak, have bounced back to cover the spread 60.6% of regular season games vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take South Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Miami Heat.  The Pacers will look to avenge an upset loss at home to the Heat 18 days ago.  Indiana was favored by 5.5 points in that game, yet fell by 9, 113-104.  The Pacers have gone 4-2 SU since that game, including a 122-113 victory over Detroit (as a 10-point favorite) their last time out.  But they've dropped their last two games to the spread.  Still, we'll lay the points with the Pacers, as they're 128-91 ATS  off a point spread defeat when favored, and playing with revenge against an opponent which defeated them earlier in the season.  Moreover, the Heat were upset on the road by Detroit in their last game.  Unfortunately, the Heat have burned money at home over the last 32 years after getting upset on the road in their previous game, and especially when matched up against a foe off back to back ATS losses.  In that situation, Miami's covered just 21% since 1990.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Elon.  Arkansas sprinted out to a 9-0 record before dropping games to Oklahoma and Hofstra in the last 10 days.  But I look for Eric Musselman's men to rebound tonight, as the Razorbacks are a reliable 86-53-3 ATS at home off a loss.  Even better:  NCAA teams with a win percentage of at least .818 have cashed 70.5% at home over the past 32 years vs. losing teams, if our home team was off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And Elon's a wallet-breaking 11-24-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss, including 2-11 ATS when getting more than 5 points.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on The Citadel minus the points over Manhattan.  In a matchup of "Bulldogs," The Citadel was upset last night by cross-state rival, South Carolina State, 74-57, as a 12-point home favorite, in the opening round of The Citadel Classic.  That upset loss shouldn't have come as too much of a surprise, as South Carolina State was looking to avenge a loss to The Citadel in Orangeburg a few weeks ago.  We'll take the Bulldogs to bounce back here, at home, tonight vs. the Jaspers, as it's 11-3 ATS its last 14 at home, or on neutral courts, while Manhattan is a woeful 0-7 ATS its last 7 vs. opponents off a double-digit loss.  Take The Citadel minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Davidson.  This game will be played on a neutral court, in Birmingham, AL.  Nate Oats' men do come into this game off three straight ATS losses.  But I look for 'Bama to get back into the (point spread) win column tonight, as the Crimson Tide is a solid 19-7-1 ATS away from home if it was on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  It's true that Bob McKillop has built a great program at Davidson over the last few decades, and he will be seeking his 21st straight winning season this year.  But one area he has NOT had much success is against the country's better teams, as Davidson is 10-48 straight-up, and 18-39-1 ATS as an underdog of +15 (or less) points (or PK) vs. .742 (or better) opposition.  Take Alabama to blow out the Wildcats.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over San Antonio.  The Kings were blown out, 136-117, by the Spurs in the Alamo City on November 10.  We'll take the Kings in this revenge match, as they're 93-64-3 ATS at home off a loss when playing with revenge from a loss by 10+ points.  Meanwhile, the Spurs fall into a negative 41-81 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Harvard.  Harvard comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, and has been installed as a huge favorite vs. the Crusaders.  But Harvard is a wallet-breaking 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  And Holy Cross has covered 61.7% since 1990 when getting more than 8 points, including 70% ATS if it was off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Holy Cross + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders + the points over Monmouth.  The Raiders come into this Gotham Classic game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Pittsburgh and St. John's, while the Hawks are off back to back SU/ATS wins over Pittsburgh and Yale.  Unfortunately for Monmouth, it's 1-8 ATS off back to back wins, when matched up against an opponent off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raiders + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons have been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. Robert Morris.  But Bowling Green hasn't been the most reliable favorite over the years.  Indeed, it's covered just eight of 41 games as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite, and 0-11-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Robert Morris.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are on an historic 13-game point spread win streak, and have covered by an average of 8.36 ppg (through 30 games).  To put this in perspective, going into Game 31 of a season, the 2nd best team (Boston, 2008) covered the spread by "just" 6.28 ppg.  So, Cleveland is a country mile ahead of that impressive Celtics team (which went on to win the NBA title).  Tonight, the Cavs will try to avenge a defeat to one of the only two teams to defeat it since Thanksgiving.  Cleveland and Milwaukee played back on Dec. 6, and the Bucks won that game, 112-104, as an 8.5-point favorite, so the Cavs eked out an ATS win.  But tonight (due to player absences), the Cavs have been installed as a road favorite.  But even though Milwaukee will be missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, and a few other key players, it isn't bereft of talent.  We'll take Milwaukee at this price, as Mike Budenholzer's men have won the last eight games SU, and they're also 8-2 ATS over the last 10 meetings with the Cavs.  Take Milwaukee + the points to snap Cleveland's 13-game ATS win streak.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Utah State.  This game will be played at the Sanford Pentagon, in Sioux Falls, SD.  Iowa will be looking to redeem itself after getting blown out by rival, Iowa State, 73-53, as a 5-point favorite, nine days ago.  Based on history, it should, as it's 41-24 ATS off a loss by more than 15 points, as well as 10-3 ATS after failing to cover by 23+ points (including 6-0 ATS when favored by more than 3).  Take Iowa minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Hofstra.  This game will be played at Simmons Bank Arena, in Little Rock tonight.  The Razorbacks were upset by Oklahoma last Saturday.  But they're a fantastic 31-15 ATS at home, or on a neutral court in non-conference games, if they were off a loss, including 13-2 ATS off an upset defeat.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a 65.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off upset losses.  Lay the points tonight with Arkansas.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Southern Utah.  The Wolverines have had an up-and-down season after starting the year ranked among the Top 5.  Juwan Howard's men have now lost games to Seton Hall, Arizona, North Carolina and Minnesota.  The last game (vs. Minnesota) was the least probable, as Michigan was a 13.5-point home favorite in that contest.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points this evening, as Michigan is 72-39-2 ATS its last 113 off a loss in its previous game, including 11-0-1 its last 12 (and 30-9-1 its last 40) when priced from -5.5 to -16 points.  Take the Wolverines.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Canisius Golden Griffins + the points over Buffalo.  This cross-town rivalry game will be played at KeyBank Center this afternoon, as part of a triple-header of hoops in downtown Buffalo.  Like many City rivalries, this one has been kind to the underdog, which has gone 12-6-1 ATS since 1993, including 6-2-1 ATS when getting more than 6 points.  We'll fade Buffalo today, as Mid-American Conference teams have covered just 71 of 173 as a double-digit favorite vs. losing opponents playing away from home, if such foe was off back to back SU/ATS losses.  With Canisius currently riding a 5-Game SU/ATS losing streak, we'll grab the double-digits with the Golden Griffins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Northern Colorado.  The Cougars lost here, at home, on Wednesday, 64-61, as a 7.5-point favorite.  After that defeat, Washington State's coach, Kyle Smith, questioned his team's toughness and grit when he fielded questions at the press conference.  So, I expect his men will have heard that criticism, and will respond today with a much better effort.  For technical support, consider that Wazzu is 38-19 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points off a loss, including a wallet-fattening 25-9 ATS vs. foes that don't have a winning record.  Moreover, the Northern Colorado Bears have gone 1-5-1 ATS their last seven games vs. the Pac-12 Conference and are 0-14 SU vs. the Pac-12 since 1990.  Lay the points with Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Minnesota.  We played on the Timberwolves this past Wednesday, and they rewarded us with an upset win over the Denver Nuggets.  But we will switch gears, and fade Minnesota tonight.  These two teams met earlier this season at Staples Center (now Crypto.com Arena), and the T-Wolves walloped the Lakers, 107-83, as a 2.5-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles in this revenge match, as the Lakers are 51-29 ATS as a road favorite, when playing with revenge, including 36-18 if they lost at home to their opponent in the prior meeting.  Even better:  Los Angeles is 47-25 ATS on the road vs. non-division losing teams off an upset win, while Minnesota is 0-12-1 ATS off an upset win by more than 7 points, if it was playing a non-division foe.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Utah.  We played on the Jazz in each of their last two games, and they rewarded us with blowout wins over Washington (123-98) and Los Angeles (124-10).  And that last victory was an emotional one for Utah, as it avenged their Playoffs ouster by the Clippers last spring.  Utah's now won eight straight, and has covered their last four.  But off that emotional win, we will fade the Jazz tonight.  Indeed, NBA teams that won by double-digits to avenge a Playoff series loss have had a letdown their next game when playing inferior teams with significantly worse win percentages (they've lost 82.3% since 1991).  The Spurs gave up 131 points in their last game -- a home loss to Charlotte.  And coach Gregg Popovich called out his team for their lack of competitiveness.  The Spurs typically respond well when their coach challenges them after a poor game, and they're 7-1-1 ATS their last nine after giving up 125+ points, and 6-0-1 ATS after a loss by 15+ points.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Jackson State.  Last season, the Bulldogs opened their campaign with 18 straight wins, and also covered their first 13.  This season, the Bulldogs covered their first lined game, on November 14, vs. South Dakota.  But they've gone 0-8 ATS since (4-4 straight-up).  Tonight, they're laying double-digits to Jackson St., who will be playing its 3rd straight game in in the State of Iowa.  Jackson State dropped the first two, as they fell by 10 points each to Northern Iowa and Iowa State.  We'll lay the points, as we note that Drake is 10-3 ATS at home when favored by 9 or more vs. non-conference foes off back to back losses.  And the Bulldogs also fall into a 65% ATS system of mine which takes certain double-digit favorites off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Drake.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Clippers upset the then-number 1-seeded Jazz in last year's Playoffs, so Utah would like nothing better than to avenge that post-season ouster tonight.  Utah's now won seven in a row, including a 123-98 blowout of Washington on Saturday.  We played on the Jazz in that game, and will roll with Utah again tonight.  The Jazz are 94-60-5 ATS at home vs. winning opponents, when rested, and off a win by 12+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Denver.   The Nuggets won at Minnesota earlier this season, 93-91, as a 1.5-point underdog.  And that extended the success of the road team in this series to 44-10 ATS.  We'll look for that series trend to continue tonight, and take the points with a T-Wolves team which was buoyed by the return of D'Angelo Russell (after a 3-game absence) on Sunday night.  Minnesota was a 3-point underdog in that game at Portland, and upset the Blazers, 116-111.  And the T-Wolves are now 9-3 ATS their last 12 games with Russell in the lineup.  Take Minnesota + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland.  These two teams met here last season, and the Ducks won, 80-41, as a 24.5-point favorite.  Oregon did lose at Pac-12 rival, Stanford, 72-69, on Sunday, which was its second straight loss, overall.  But the Ducks are 8-0 ATS their last eight home games vs non-conference foes, if the Ducks were off back to back losses.  Take the Ducks minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Lipscomb.  Both teams enter tonight's game on losing streaks.  The Bisons have dropped 4 straight, while the Seminoles have lost their last three (and also failed to cover their last four).  If there is a silver lining for Florida State, it's that its last two losses were narrow.  It lost by a single point to South Carolina this past Sunday, 66-65, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And it fell by 3 to Syracuse on the previous weekend.  Over the last 27 years, Florida State's gone 9-1 ATS as a favorite of more than 10 points off back to back losses.  And it's also been terrific off 3+ losses, as it's gone 41-20 ATS, overall.  We'll lay the points with Florida State, as it falls into a super 56-13 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off upset losses.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Rebels were stunned by Western Kentucky, 71-48, on Saturday, as a 5.5-point favorite, while Middle Tennessee St. won (and covered) at Tennessee-Martin.  We'll lay the points with Ole Miss, as NCAA teams off 20-point (or worse) upset losses to non-conference foes, have bounced back to cover 64.5% of the time since 1990 when matched up against another non-conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  Ole Miss is 22-9 ATS at home off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Hawks will look to bounce back off their home upset loss to the Houston Rockets, 132-126, as a 9.5-point favorite.  And that was Atlanta's 2nd straight upset defeat.  But rested road favorites are a solid 65-33 ATS off back to back upset defeats.  And the Hawks have also gone 77-47-2 ATS as a road favorite of more than 4 points, while Orlando is 0-16-2 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses, if the Magic weren't laying 3+ points.  Take the Hawks.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Fairfield.  The Stags are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak and have been installed as a big road favorite at Fairleigh Dickinson.  We'll fade Fairfield, as it's 10-23 ATS off 3 ATS wins (and 1-9 ATS off 4 ATS wins).  Take Fairleigh Dickinson + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Cal Davis.  Oregon State was blown out by 25 points here, at home, by Arizona in its last game (its 3rd straight loss by double-digits).  And that was also OSU's 3rd straight ATS loss.  We'll lay the points with the Beavers, as they fall into a 99-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, Pac-12 teams off back to back losses have gone 81-55-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes, including 38-18 ATS off a loss by more than 10 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers have generally been a very strong point spread team under coach Penny Hardaway, but they're 0-4 ATS over their last four games.  The good news for Memphis here, as a home underdog, is that it's 44-26-2 ATS under Coach Hardaway when not laying double-digits, including 3-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.  And Memphis has also cashed 65 percent over the last 32 years off 4+ ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide has covered just 5 of 17 as a non-conference road favorite.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers minus the points over Jackson State.  We played on the Tigers +19 over Iowa State on Sunday, and got the $$$ when they lost by just 10, 47-37, in a very low scoring game.  Unfortunately for Jackson St., underdogs haven't fared well following a game where they covered the spread, but mustered 37 or less points, as they've cashed just 27% over the last 32 years.  Even worse:  the Tigers have covered just 5 of their last 15 when getting 12+ points, while the Panthers are 19-8-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite, including 11-2 ATS against foes off double-digit losses.  Take Northern Iowa to blow out Jackson State.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Last night, Golden State went into Indiana and defeated the Pacers, 102-100.  But the Warriors didn't cover the point spread, and that extended its ATS losing streak to three games.  We'll fade Steph Curry & Co. tonight at Madison Square Garden, as the Warriors have covered just 3 of 17 off a win the previous day, if they were matched up against an opponent with a win percentage greater than .400 (and 0 of 7 as a favorite).  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Phoenix.  Devin Booker (23.2 ppg) was injured in Phoenix's win over Golden State, on November 30.  Since that game, the Suns have gone 3-1 without their scoring leader, but three of those games -- all wins -- were at home; the Suns lost their lone road game without Booker.  That doesn't bode well for tonight's game, in Los Angeles.  Admittedly, the Clippers are dealing with their own injury issues (Kawhi Leonard, Paul George).  But that hasn't stopped L.A. from entering tonight on a 3-game win streak.  We'll take the points with the home underdog Clippers, as Los Angeles is 16-10 its last 26 as an underdog, and also 8-3 its last 11 as a home dog.  And it's also won 13 straight regular season home games vs. the Suns, and is 9-0 ATS the last nine!  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Memphis.  Philly comes into this game off an impressive upset win over Golden State, which moved its record to 15-12, and has been installed as a road favorite tonight against the 16-11 Grizzlies.  The 76ers are 22-6 straight-up, and 17-9-2 ATS when favored on the road, including 9-3 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  And road favorites of -3 (or more) points, have cashed 65% vs. non-conference foes, with a better W/L record, over the last 32 years.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Cleveland State.  The Cowboys will welcome the Vikings to Stillwater this evening, and will look to bounce back off their upset loss here to Xavier their last time on the court.  Oklahoma State was favored by 3.5 vs. Xavier, but lost, 77-71, which lowered their record to 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS.  The good news for Oklahoma State tonight is that Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 as home favorites of more than 9 points in non-conference games, after failing to cover the spread by 9+ points in their previous game.  And, even better, the Cowboys are 43-14-3 ATS as a home, or neutral court favorite in non-conference games, if they owned a losing ATS record.  Take the Cowboys minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Celtics return home after a 1-4 west coast trip which saw them drop games to Utah, Phoenix, the Lakers and the Clippers.  Tonight, they'll host Milwaukee for the 2nd time this season.  And Boston defeated the Bucks in the first go-round, 122-113, as a 5.5-point favorite.  This game is priced near PK'em, and we'll take the home team, as Boston will be playing with 2 days of rest, while Milwaukee is unrested after winning yesterday in New York.  Over the last four seasons, the Celts have cashed 79% when playing with at 2 more days of rest than their opponent, while Milwaukee has gone 3-10 its last 13 when playing without rest.  Take Boston.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats plus the points over Baylor.  These two teams met in the Sweet 16 round of last year's NCAA Tournament, and Baylor won, 62-51, as a 7.5-point favorite.  We'll take Villanova in this revenge match, as it falls into several of my NCAA revenge systems.  Additionally, Jay Wright's Wildcats are a superb 28-12 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, if they owned a winning record.  Take Villanova.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones upset rival, Iowa, by a whopping 20 points (as a 5-point underdog).  But teams off such blowout upset wins have only covered 44% of non-conference games the past 32 years.  And Iowa State also has been poor as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games off an upset win, as it's covered just 25% of the time.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Fairfield.  We'll take the points in this matchup between the Colonial and Metro Atlantic conferences, as the Colonial teams have covered 64.3% of the time.  Even better:  Colonial Atheletic Ass'n teams have gone 39-17 ATS as home underdogs of +4 (or more) points, if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses, and matched up against a foe off back to back wins, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 when priced from +4.5 to +8 points.  Take William & Mary + the points.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.  These two teams have met twice already this season, with the last meeting on November 10 -- also here, at Madison Square Garden.  In that game, the Bucks emerged victorious, 112-100, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  We had a play on Milwaukee in that one, as the Bucks were playing with revenge from a 15-point loss in the season's first meeting.  But here, it's the Knicks playing with revenge, and they're a home underdog rather than a home favorite, so we will grab the points.  Milwaukee is a soft 2-8 ATS as a favorite of 6 or less points vs. revenge-minded foes that were upset in the prior meeting.  And New York is 11-0 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if it is also playing with revenge from an upset loss against a .500 (or better) foe.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Orleans.  After winning six straight games (5-0 ATS) to wind up November, the Aggies have opened December off back to back losses to Saint Mary's and BYU.  But we'll lay the points with Utah St. tonight, as it falls into a 70.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Moreover, the Aggies are a reliable 31-10 ATS when laying more than 8 points vs. a foe off a loss, and they're a perfect 9-0 ATS off back to back losses, when laying more than 12 points.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Cleveland.  The Kings have played very well since Luke Walton was fired, and Alvin Gentry hired as interim head coach.  The Kings have gone 5-4 under Gentry, compared to 6-11 under Walton.  Last night, though, Sacramento suffered a most difficult defeat.  It fell by 1 point at Charlotte when De'Aaron Fox missed two free throws with 2.4 seconds left -- and Fox (who led all scorers with 31 points) is a 74% free throw shooter!  Off that defeat, we'll take Sacramento to rebound tonight, as it's 27-12 ATS as a road underdog off a road loss, including 11-1 ATS when priced from +6 to +9.5 points.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Commonwealth.  The Monarchs will seek their 3rd straight win (and 4th straight cover) tonight when then welcome the Rams to Chartway Arena.  Old Dominion falls into a 95-43-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, home dogs (or PK) off back to back double-digit wins away from home have gone 25-6 ATS.  Take Old Dominion + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels have won their last three games, and have covered their last two.  But they're a wallet-busting 0-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins, and they're also an awful 3-13 ATS their last 16 when laying more than 9 points.  Meanwhile, Elon is a powerful 28-8 ATS as a road dog of more than 5 points when playing an opponent off back to back wins, including 12-0 ATS its last 12 when catching double digits.  Take Elon + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  Utah comes into this game off six straight wins, and has won those by an average of 17.67 ppg.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as the Jazz don't have letdowns off wins.  They're 64-41-1 ATS off a win, including 31-14 ATS vs. teams from the Eastern conference.  And, even more impressive is the fact they're 46-25-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, when not laying 10+ points.  The Jazz are 9-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 vs. the Wizards, including 4-1 SU/ATS here, in Washington.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama A&M.  Last year, Alabama A&M came into the Pete Hanna Center, and upset Samford, 78-76, as a 7-point road underdog.  But we'll take the revenge-minded home team this evening, as it falls into a 104-49 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Samford minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Saint Louis Billikens minus the points over Boston College.  The Eagles will look for their second straight upset win after shocking Notre Dame, 73-57, as a 4.5-point home dog.  But the Billikens will prove to be a tough foe today, as it will be looking to bounce back from a pair of upset losses.  Saint Louis doesn't lose many home games, and especially not back to back home games.  But that's what happened earlier this past week, as UAB and Belmont came into Chaifetz Arena, and exited with wins.  But the Billikens are 49-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Boston College is 1-8 ATS its last nine off an upset win.  Lay the points with St. Louis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin.  This is a great matchup in Columbus between the red-hot 8-1 Badgers, who have won and covered six straight, and the 7-2 Buckeyes.  We'll lay the points with Ohio State, as the Buckeyes fall into a terrific 385-242 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams favored over other winning teams.  Also, Wisconsin is an awful 24-50 ATS on the road vs. conference foes with an ATS win pct. less than .563, if the Badgers were getting less than 13 points.  And the Buckeyes are a fantastic 27-9 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, when matched against an opponent off a point spread cover.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Auburn.  This game will be played at State Farm Arena, in Atlanta, Georgia, in the Holiday Hoopsgiving Classic.  Both teams will be short-handed, as 18th-ranked Auburn will be without its head coach, Bruce Pearl, who will serve a 2-game suspension handed down by the NCAA, while Fred Hoiberg's 'Huskers will be without a couple of players due to the flu.  In its last game, the 'Huskers were blown out, 102-67, by Michigan.  But we'll take the 'Huskers + the points this morning, as Auburn is a horrid 15-45 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes that failed to cover the spread by 8+ points in their previous game, if Auburn wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take Nebraska + the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland's been the league's best point spread team this season, as it's covered nine straight heading into tonight, and is 20-6 ATS, overall.  And it's also covering the spread by an average of 7.59 ppg.  To put this extreme success into perspective, consider that never in the past 32 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes) has a team covered the spread by more than 6.76 ppg at Game 27 forward!  So, it's safe to say that the Cavs will come back down to Earth.  If, for no other reason than that the oddsmakers will (and already have) made adjustments to their number.  In that regard, we have this game tonight priced near PK'em.  The value is clearly on the side of the T-Wolves, who are 5-3 ATS their last eight home games, and have covered against the likes of Phoenix, Sacramento, Miami, San Antonio and Memphis.  It's been 20 games since the last time the Cavaliers were getting this much respect on the road by the oddsmakers.  But even when have been priced as a small underdog, or a favorite on the road, they've not done well, as they've gone 8-19 ATS their last 27.  Take the Timberwolves at home tonight to blow out Cleveland.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Kudos to Houston.  Like Lazarus, it's risen from the dead, and currently rides a seven-game win streak (which followed a 15-game losing streak).  Unfortunately, tonight's opponent is the Milwaukee Bucks, who were upset by Miami, 113-104, as a 6-point favorite, in their last game.  But the Bucks are an awesome 18-5 ATS after failing to cover their previous game by more than 14 points, when rested, and playing an opponent off a win (including a perfect 8-0 ATS when laying 8+ points).  Take the Bucks.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder come into tonight's game off an upset win at Toronto (their 2nd straight win), and are 8-16 on the season.  Meanwhile, Frank Vogel's Lakers were the preseason favorite to win the Western Conference, yet are floundering at 13-13.  Player absences and trying to integrate a bunch of new team members certainly has much to do with it.  But so does a lackadaisical attitude on the court.  Indeed, Vogel lamented after their loss to Memphis on Thursday that his team was too 'casual.'  However, there are several reasons to believe that won't be the case tonight, and that the Lakers will put forward a supreme effort.  First and foremost is the fact that the Thunder have defeated L.A. not once this season, but twice.  And in each game, the Lakers led by 19+ points before taking the pedal off the metal to allow an OKC comeback.  Then, the 2nd reason is that the Lakers were upset by Memphis last night.  For technical support, consider that the Lakers are 50-28 ATS as revenge-minded road favorites, including 13-1 ATS if their opponent was off an upset win.  Even better:  the Thunder are 8-28 SU and 14-22 ATS their last 36 home games vs. .500 (or better) opposition, including 0-9 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge, and also 0-8 ATS if OKC was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Murray State.  The Racers are 7-1 this season, but have largely played a cupcake schedule.  Indeed, this will be the first time this season that Murray has played a superior team, and been installed as an underdog.  Unfortunately, the Racers are 0-9 SU and 3-5-1 ATS their last nine as a dog.  And they're 4-44 SU and 17-29-2 ATS when getting 5+ points.  Memphis returns home after a 2-game road trip which saw it go 0-2 at SEC Conference schools, Georgia and Mississippi.  The good news for Penny Hardaway's men is that they're undefeated at home this season, and have won 11 straight (7-4 ATS) since last Christmas.  Even better:  Memphis is a reliable 37-15-2 ATS off back to back losses, including 13-2-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  With the Racers in off victories over Campbellsville and Middle Tennessee St., we'll lay the points with Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Monmouth.  The Hawks are red-hot, and have won and covered each of their last seven games.  But they're installed as a big road underdog tonight.  And road underdogs of +10 (or less) points have cashed just 38% of non-conference games over the last 32 years, if they were off 7+ wins, and 3+ covers.  That doesn't bode well for Monmouth.  Nor does the fact that St. John's is a solid 20-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes with a better record, if the Johnnies weren't favored by 11+ points.  Take St. John's.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Quin Snyder's men blew out the Sixers, 120-85, in Salt Lake City earlier this season.  We'll take Philly tonight in the rematch, as the 76ers are 11-0-1 ATS their last 12 home games when playing with revenge vs. Western Conference teams, if Philly owned a worse record.  And NBA revenge-minded home teams have cashed 66% since 1990 when playing a non-conference foe off a SU win.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe minus the points over Hampton.  The Tribe is 0-9 on the season vs. Division 1 foes (but did defeat Mary Baldwin, 87-50), but they were favored in just one of those nine Division 1 games.  And that was as a 2-point favorite vs. American.  Tonight, they'll step down-in-class, and host the Pirates, who are 3-6 on the season (but have also played a much easier schedule than has William & Mary).  We'll lay the points with William & Mary, as we note that, since 1990, teams installed as a favorite (or PK) have cashed 63.9% at Game 8 forward, if their win percentage was .100 (or worse).  Look for William & Mary to blow out Hampton.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Golden State.  The Blazers will be short-handed tonight, as McCollum and Lillard will be in street clothes.  But we'll still take the underdog, as they're playing with revenge from a 118-103 loss less than two weeks ago, and getting double-digits.  Golden State is a horrible 6-34-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if the Warriors were off a point spread win, and won by 15 or less points in the previous meeting.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Idaho St. Bengals + the points over California.  The Bengals have lost 7 straight games, including back to back home upset losses to Portland St and Northern Arizona last week.  We'll look for Idaho State to bounce back off those upset defeats, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 60% over the last 32 years off back to back home upset losses, if their opponent was off a point spread win.  Take the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Fresno State.  This is a great match-up tonight between the 9-0 Dons and 9-1 Bulldogs.  The Bulldogs, though, have played an exceptionally easy schedule, and San Francisco will be its toughest foe to date.  Fresno also has been generally poor vs. top-level clubs, as it's 33-62-3 ATS vs. .785 (or better) opponents, including 23-53-1 ATS when not getting more than 12 points.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Towson.  The Buckeyes return home tonight after dispatching Penn State, 76-64, in Happy Valley, on Sunday.  That triumph followed an upset of #1-ranked Duke, so the Buckeyes avoided a letdown, which speaks volumes for this team.  We'll lay the points tonight with Ohio State, as it's 21-5 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points off back to back wins, if matched up against a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech minus the points over Cornell.  The Hokies were upset, 80-61, by fellow ACC member, Wake Forest, on Saturday.  Tonight, the Hokies will welcome Cornell to Blacksburg, and ACC favorites of -8 (or more) points are 79% ATS since 1990 off a SU/ATS loss, if they failed to cover by 9+ points in their previous game, and are now matched up against a .714 (or better) foe.  Take the Hokies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Fairfield.  The Stags come into this game off back to back upset road wins, and have been installed as a double-digit home favorite vs. the Crusaders, who are on a 3-game losing streak.  We'll fade Fairfield, as favorites of more than 8 points have covered just 33.8% since 1990 off back to back upset road wins, if their opponent was off back to back losses.  Take Holy Cross + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Lipscomb + the points over Miami-Florida.  The Bisons are 5-4, but were blown out by 21 points by Chattanooga, on Sunday.  That defeat has triggered one of my favorite systems, which is 422-231 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, Miami is 2-8-1 ATS its last 11 (and 28-47-1 ATS its last 76) as a favorite, while Lipscomb is 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.  Take Lipscomb + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over North Florida.  It doesn't happen often that a 24-point home favorite loses by 15 points.  But that is exactly what the 14th-ranked Gators did on Monday night.  I expect Florida to be in an ornery mood tonight, and to take out their frustration on the Ospreys.  Since 2009, teams off upset losses as favorites of 20+ points, have bounced back to cover the spread 71% of the time.  Take the Gators.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on NC-Asheville + the points over Chattanooga.  These two teams met in Chattanooga on Nov. 14, and the Mocs blew out the Bulldogs, 75-45.  But Asheville has gone 4-0 ATS since that defeat, and I look for it to win its 5th straight ATS tonight.  Indeed, over the last 32 years, winning teams, playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, have covered 61.1% at home if they were off back to back wins, and also on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Take NC-Asheville.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels + the points over USC.  The Trojans opened their Pac-12 Conference schedule with big wins last week against Utah and Washington State, but will revert to a non-conference schedule for the next 15 days.  Tonight, the undefeated Trojans (8-0) will welcome the Colonels to the Galen Center, and have been installed as a big double-digit favorite.  Eastern Kentucky is 10-3 its last 13 as a road underdog, and it also falls into a 71.9% ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs vs. foes off wins.  Meanwhile, USC is a poor 2-10 ATS off 8 (or more) straight wins.  Take Eastern Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Dallas.  The Nets have been off for the last two days following their home upset loss to the Chicago Bulls.  Brooklyn's been installed as road favorite tonight, and we'll lay the points with the well-rested Nets.  Indeed, since 1990, .500 (or better) NBA teams with at least two days of rest, off a home loss, have cashed 62.1% as a road favorite (or PK) vs. non-winning opposition.  Take Brooklyn to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Old Dominion.  This is the 3rd straight road game for the Monarchs, who upset George Mason, in Fairfax, on Saturday.  Old Dominion was an 8.5-point road underdog in that game, but stunned the Patriots, 60-50.  We'll fade Old Dominion tonight, as it's an awful 22-47 ATS after a double-digit win away from home, if it wasn't favored by more than 13 points in its current game.  And it's 23-37 ATS off an upset win.  Even worse:  ODU is 1-9 ATS its last 10 vs. William & Mary, including 0-5 ATS on the road.  Take William & Mary + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are 7-2, but have yet to defeat a top-150 team.  Instead, their victories have come against Carlow, Old Dominion, George Mason, Eastern Mennonite, Wright State, and Florida Atlantic.  In contrast, the Cavaliers have already played top-tier teams like Houston, Providence, and Iowa, as well as mid-tier teams like Pittsburgh and Georgia.  The Dukes are a soft 5-24 SU and 10-19 ATS as a home dog of more than 5 points, while Virginia is 57-28 ATS on the road, including 24-9 ATS vs. foes with winning SU/ATS records.  Lay the points with Tony Bennett's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  Richard Pitino's Lobos went into Las Cruces in their last game, and upset the Aggies, 101-94, as 10.5-point road underdogs.  This rematch will be played at home, in Albuquerque, and the Lobos have been installed as a home underdog.  We'll take the revenge-minded road team, and lay the points, as home underdogs -- like New Mexico -- that are playing back to back games against the same opponent -- have covered just 38% over the last 32 years vs. foes that have winning SU/ATS records (New Mexico State is 5-3 SU and 4-3 ATS).  Also, the Aggies will have coach Chris Jans back on the sidelines for this one, as he missed that earlier game due to COVID-19 protocols.  The Lobos are a poor 9-20 ATS as underdogs off an upset win, including 1-8 ATS if they were an underdog of more than 4 points in that upset win.  Take New Mexico State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Columbia.  Colgate comes into this game off 3 straight upset losses, while Columbia checks in off a win and cover vs. Maine.  But the good news for Matt Langel's men tonight is that teams off 3 upset losses have covered 64.5% of non-conference games since 1990, including 76% if its opponent is off a SU/ATS win.  Take Colgate to blow out Columbia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State. the Nittany Lions will look to bounce back off their upset loss to Miami-Fla this past Wednesday.  And they will welcome Ohio State to Happy Valley on this Sunday evening.  Earlier this week, the Buckeyes upset #1-ranked Duke, 71-66, as a 3-point home underdog.  But off that emotional win, we'll fade the Buckeyes on the Big 10 Conference road.  Indeed, NCAA teams have covered just 14 of 39 off upset home wins over Duke, if they were on the conference road in their next game, including 1-8 ATS as a road favorite priced from -2 to -9.5 points.  And Penn State also falls into a 73-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams in conference games off upset defeats.  Take Penn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers have won each of their four previous games, including upset wins over their last three.  But this string of upsets sets up our play this afternoon, as winning teams have cashed just 35% as underdogs over the past 32 years off 3 upset wins.  Moreover, the Jazz are 78-48 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes, if Utah was off a point spread loss, and wasn't getting more than 3 points in the current game.  Take the Jazz to blow out Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks were at home yesterday, on Saturday afternoon, and blew out Tennessee-Martin, 81-64.  But they now have to play back to back days, and also take on a Chippewas team playing its home opener (after 7 road games to start its season).  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as home teams have covered 59% in their home openers, if they weren't laying 15 (or more) points, and their opponent was playing without rest.  And the Chippewas have cashed 63% at home since 1995 vs. non-conference foes when the Chips weren't laying more than 3 points.  Finally, Central Michigan falls into 31-4, 306-212, and 74-28 ATS systems of mine. Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls blew out Brooklyn, 118-95, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take Kevin Durant & Co. in this rematch, as the Nets are an awesome 65-27 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points.  And Brooklyn is 34-21 ATS in the regular season at home, in competitively-priced games with point spreads of less than 5 points.  Also, Brooklyn falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 59-22, 261-167 and 77-36 ATS.  Take the Nets to blow out the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix minus the points over High Point.  Elon enters this game off 5 SU/ATS losses, while the Panthers have covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points with High Point.  But road underdogs of +4 (or more) points, off 4 ATS wins, have covered just 39% since 1990 against foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take Elon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over St. Mary's.  Colorado State is off to an 8-0 start this season.  And it plays with big-time revenge from a 53-33 loss to the Gaels last season.  St. Mary's is also to a strong start, as it's 8-1, and has won and covered each of its last two games.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have covered just 21% since 1990 vs. revenge-minded teams that scored less than 37 points in the previous meeting.  And St. Mary's is a wallet-breaking 33-58 ATS as an underdog vs. foes that have winning SU and winning ATS records.  Lay the points with Colorado State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Campbell.  The Camels have won four straight, while VCU has dropped its last two.  But VCU is 35-2 SU and 26-9 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.  And it also falls into two super 66-22 and 93-53 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Davidson.  The Tribe and Wildcats are going in opposite directions.  William & Mary is 1-7 SU and 0-7 ATS to start this season, while Davidson is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS, including 4-0 SU/ATS its last four.  But we'll step in and take the large number of points with Bill and Mary, as it falls into 94-44 and 137-64 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off ATS losses.  Moreover, Davidson's a woeful 0-8 ATS its last eight, and 4-15 ATS its last 19, as a favorite of -14 (or more) points vs. foes off a point spread defeat.  This is the largest number of points that the Tribe has been given this season.  And it's 17-5 ATS as a road underdog of 9 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss.  Take William & Mary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over San Diego State.  Juwan Howard's men have largely disappointed this season, and were blown out by 21 points at North Carolina earlier this week.  The good news is that Michigan is 21-8-1 ATS its last 30, and 75-42-2 ATS its last 119 off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, Mountain West conference underdogs of 8+ points are 0-23 straight-up, and 8-15 ATS vs. the Big 10, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Take the Wolverines minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Nebraska.  Mike Woodson's men were upset in overtime, 112-110, at Syracuse, on Tuesday.  But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Indiana in its Big 10 season opener.  Over the last 32 seasons, the Hoosiers have cashed 71% off an upset road non-conference loss, and it's won and covered each of the last three meetings vs. the Hoosiers.  Even better: Nebraska is a horrid 3-43 SU and 11-33 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. an opponent off an upset defeat.  Take Indiana.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  These two teams met earlier this week, and the Suns bested Golden State, 104-96, as a home favorite.  But the Warriors will be at home in this rematch, and they'll also have the twin benefit of the Suns playing without rest (Phoenix defeated Detroit last night), as well as Devin Booker being injured.  We'll lay the points with Golden State, as it is 12-0-1 ATS at home off a loss vs. unrested division foes, provided the Warriors weren't an underdog of +7 (or more) points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Tulsa.  It's not often that the Broncos lose back to back games at home, but that's exactly what occurred over the last week.  But, over the last 26 seasons, Boise has not lost 3 straight games, if all three were at home.  That bodes well for them tonight.  As does the fact that it is 9-3 ATS at home off an upset loss, and also a perfect 6-0 straight-up, and 5-1 ATS off back to back upset losses.  Take Boise State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Cavs were upset by Iowa, 75-74, at the buzzer on Monday.  And that loss snapped UVa's 4-game win streak.  The good news for Tony Bennett's men tonight in their ACC Conference opener is that they are 18-0-1 ATS off a non-conference loss, when priced from -3 to -24.5 points.  Take Virginia minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs have run hot and cold this season, as they have enjoyed 8-game and 5-game ATS win streaks, but also lost five in a row, straight-up, earlier this season.  They're currently riding a 3-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS win streak), following huge blowout wins over Orlando (105-92), Dallas (114-96) and Miami (111-84).  But we will go against Cleveland tonight as a road underdog, as it falls into a negative 28% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  And the Wizards are also a solid 21-10 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Niagara Purple Eagles over the Monmouth Hawks.  In its last game, Monmouth shocked Cincinnati, 61-59, as a 10.5-point road underdog.  They'll try to win back-to-back road games tonight, but the going should be tough for King Rice's men.  For starters, the Hawks are a horrid 0-8 ATS their last 12 (and 1-12 ATS their last 13) on the road off a road win.  And Monmouth also falls into a negative 61-116 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off an upset victory.  Take the Purple Eagles.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Southern Cal.  The Utes lost to their rival, BYU, 75-64, on Saturday.  And that was Utah's first defeat after five wins to start the season.  But off that loss, we'll take Utah to rebound tonight vs. Southern Cal.  The Trojans pulled off an upset last Friday vs. San Diego State.  Unfortunately, the Trojans are 7-20, 26% ATS, off an upset win, if they were favored by more than 4 points in their current game.  And USC has only covered 3 of its last 17 games vs. the Utes.  Take Utah + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New Orleans.  The Mavs and Pelicans will play back to back games over the next few days, with Game 1 being played here, in New Orleans, and the rematch being played in Dallas, on Friday.  We'll take Dallas tonight, as it comes into this game off an upset loss at the hands of Cleveland, 114-96, on Monday.  Meanwhile, New Orleans blew out the Clippers by 19, 123-104.  However, Dallas is a super 124-76 ATS off a straight-up loss, if its opponent was off a straight-up win, including 18-6 ATS as a road favorite, and also 35-13 ATS in the regular season if the Mavs were off a double-digit loss, while their opponent was off a double-digit win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Albany.  The Wildcats blew out North Dakota, 84-42, on Sunday.  And that 42-point win has triggered a super 74% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins.  Even better:  Kansas State is 13-1 ATS its last 14, and 29-12-1 ATS its last 42, off a win by 20+ points, if its opponent was also off a win.   Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Georgia.  The Tigers were handed their first defeat of the season this past Friday, when it succumbed to Iowa State, 78-59.  But off that 19-point loss, we'll take the Tigers to bounce back, as they're 17-2 ATS their last 19 when not laying 13+ points, while the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS their last five.  And American Athletic teams have gone 41-27 ATS in non-conference games off an upset non-conference loss.  Take Memphis minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Wagner.  The #25-ranked Pirates will welcome the Seahawks to Newark this evening, and they'll no doubt be happy to see them, as Seton Hall has completely dominated this series.  Indeed, the last four years has witnessed the Pirates win by 33, 34, 40 and 21 points, and Seton Hall is 20-1 at home vs. Wagner!  The Seahawks did pull off an impressive upset at VCU in their last game.  But that was 18 days ago, as the Seahawks haven't played in almost three weeks, so any momentum which could have been gained from that victory has long since evaporated.  The Pirates have been impressive this season, as they own the only road win against a team then ranked among the top 5 (Michigan, Nov. 16).  And their only loss was a narrow 3-point defeat to Ohio State, which just defeated #1-ranked Duke last night.  The Pirates are 23-0 SU and 17-6 ATS at home when priced from -10.5 to -21 points.  Lay the points with Seton Hall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Stetson.  The Hatters upset the Owls last year, so Florida Atlantic will be out to avenge that defeat.  And I expect a focused effort tonight, as Florida Atlantic comes into tonight's game off back to back home losses.  The Owls have cashed 75% at home over the last 16 years if they were off back to back home defeats.  Take the Owls minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Hawaii.  The Broncos lost here, at home, to UC Irvine on Saturday, 69-64, as a 3.5-point home favorite, while Hawaii comes in off a loss -- but a point spread cover -- vs. South Alabama.  But after getting upset at home, we'll take the Broncos to bounce back tonight in this home game against Hawaii.  Over the last four seasons, the Broncos have cashed 74% off an ATS defeat, including 12-1 ATS vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Santa Clara.  And the Broncos also fall into a 72.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.