At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Mavs were upset here, at home, by Houston on Wednesday.  We'll take the Mavs to bounce back, as they're 41-20 ATS off a loss.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over Auburn.  The TSU Tigers were blown out by Houston, 83-48, in their last game.  We played on Houston in that one, but will switch gears and take Texas Southern tonight, as it's 11-0 ATS after scoring less than 64 points in its previous game.  And it's 22-2 ATS as an underdog of 26 or less points (or PK) vs. foes that own a winning SU/ATS record.  Take Texas Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Sixers were upset in their home opener, 90-88, by Milwaukee.  We'll take the revenge-minded 76ers at home tonight, as they're 38-20 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss, including 21-5 ATS when priced as a favorite of 7 or less points.  Take Philly.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions + the points over Cleveland State.  The Vikings have not been profitable when favored by 9 (or more) points in non-conference games, as they're 3-10 ATS, including 0-7 ATS off a SU win.  With the Vikings, indeed, off a win over Canisius in their most recent game, we'll fade Cleveland St. at a big favorite today.  Take the points with Pine Bluff.

At 3:15 pm, in the Paradise Jam tournament taking place in the Virgin Islands, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Howard.  Wyoming was upset by SE Louisiana in its last game.  We'll take Wyoming to bounce back this afternoon, as Howard is a horrid 9-25 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis minus the points over Tennessee St.  We played on the Tigers three days ago, at home, vs. Alabama A&M, and got the $$$ in an 11-point win.  But that game was at home; tonight's game at Banterra Center will be TSU's first game this season on the road.  And the Tigers are just 10-25-1 ATS their last 36 road games.  Take Southern Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina St. Bulldogs + the points over Kentucky.  The Wildcats come into this game off an upset loss at the hands of Michigan St.  We'll go against John Calipari's men, as they're 10-14 ATS their last 24 off an upset loss, and 2-7 ATS their last nine when favored by 31+ points.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers + the points over VCU.  This game will be played at Barclays Center, in Brooklyn, NY, as part of the Legends Classic.  The Panthers opened this tournament with a 91-60 blowout loss to Michigan, while VCU collapsed late against Arizona St, to fall, 63-59 (a game VCU led by 11 with less than 9 minutes left).  We'll grab the points with the Panthers, as ACC Conference teams, off blowout losses by 25+ points, have cashed 67% ATS since 1990 as underdogs in non-conference games.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over New Orleans.  These two teams met in Chicago just seven days ago, and the Bulls were defeated by four points, 115-111.  We'll take the Bulls in this rematch, as the Pelicans are a dreadful 59-96-2 ATS as a favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Texas Southern.  The Cougars are off to a 3-0 SU/ATS start this season, and have stifled their opponents by holding them to 25.8% shooting (40 for 155).  We'll lay the points as Houston is 27-6 ATS its last 33 when favored by 12+ points, including 8-0 ATS its last eight.  Take the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Toronto Raptors.  Miami comes into this game off an ATS loss in its most recent game (a 1-point win over Phoenix).  The Heat are a solid 116-72-2 ATS on the road off an ATS loss, including 64-33 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take Miami.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over UAB.  Presbyterian comes into this road game off back to back road losses.  I look for the Blue Hose to have a much better outcome tonight, as UAB has covered just 6 of 26 games vs. foes off back to back road losses.  Take Presbyterian + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates over Iowa.  Seton Hall is a terrific 19-3-1 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes when not laying 13+ points.  Take the Pirates.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Orlando.  We played against the Magic two nights ago, and got the $$$ with Charlotte, as the Hornets snapped their 7-game losing streak.  We'll go against Orlando again tonight, as it is a horrid 80-115 ATS at home off a home loss.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Oakland.  Toledo was upset last season by Oakland, 80-59.  We'll take the revenge-minded Rockets tonight, as Oakland has covered just 2 of its last 16 lined games.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Vols were upset by Colorado, 78-66, on Sunday.  But we'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as it's 44-19 ATS off a double-digit loss.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Vermont.  The Catamounts have not stepped up when playing on an opponent's home court, and especially not when installed as a road underdog.  Vermont is a poor 2-17 SU and 4-14-1 ATS its last 19 as a road underdog.  Lay the points with USC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Sacramento Kings.  The Kings upset the defending champion Warriors, 122-115, on Sunday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Sacramento tonight, as it's 56-92-5 ATS at home off an upset win.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Alabama St. Hornets + the points over San Jose St.  The Spartans blew out Bethesda, 90-68, on Sunday.  But off that high-scoring game, we'll fade San Jose, as it's 10-33 ATS after scoring 80+ points, including 0-9 ATS when not getting more than 2 points.  Take Alabama St.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Prior to the season, not much was expected from the Utah Jazz, after they jettisoned their two best players (Rudy Gobert; Donovan Mitchell).  Surprisingly, though, the Jazz have been terrific this season, as they're 10-5 SU/ATS.  But their success has been as an underdog, where they're 9-2 ATS.  As a favorite, Utah is 1-3 ATS.  We'll grab the points with the New York Knicks tonight, and go against a (now) overrated Utah team, which is starting to come back down to Earth, and has lost its last two games, straight-up.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Wisconsin.  The Badgers blew out the Phoenix last season, 72-34.  We'll take Green Bay as it's 61-24 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 13+ points.  Take Green Bay + the points tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Binghamton.  Binghamton comes into this game off an upset win over Marist.  But the Bearcats are 9-17 ATS off an upset win.  Take Maryland minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Colgate.  The Raiders upset the Orange, 100-85, last season, as an 11.5-point road underdog.  But prior to that upset defeat, the Orange had won the 54 previous meetings vs. Colgate, and hadn't lost to Colgate since now-head coach Jim Boeheim was a redshirt freshman for the Orange.  Syracuse may not win the next 54 games, but it will win this revenge match tonight.  Lay the points with Syracuse.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee State Tigers minus the points over Alabama A&M.  These two teams met in Huntsville last season, and the Bulldogs upset the Tigers, 82-73.  We'll take the revenge-minded home team tonght, as it falls into an 81-29 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Bulldogs are 22-38 ATS on the road off a SU loss.  Take the Tigers minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Troy.  The Seminoles were upset, 68-54, by Central Florida on Friday, and are now 0-2 on the season.  I love Florida State to bounce back tonight, as it's cashed 73% as a favorite in non-conference games since 1990 when it was off an upset loss, and also lost two games back.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have won two straight games -- both as underdogs -- but are in a prime letdown spot tonight.  Even worse, they're playing without rest against a rested opponent.  Boston is 13-2 ATS at home when rested against an unrested foe off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Orlando Magic.  The Hornets were blown out by Orlando by 20 points back on October 28.  But I love the Hornets in this revenge match, as they fall into a 206-104 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 19+ points vs. division rivals.  Additionally, the Magic are an awful 17-41-2 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Charlotte.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Stetson.  The Hatters stunned Florida State, 83-74, to open their season.  Off that upset win, we'll look for a letdown tonight vs. the Bulls, as South Florida's cashed 60% since 1990 at home vs. non-conference foes off an upset win.  Lay the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After starting the season 8-1, the Cavs are now on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll go against them here, as they're a wallet-busting 13-36-2 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 0-9-1 ATS vs. .420 (or worse) teams, as well as 0-9-1 ATS when favored by 7 or less points.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Hornets + the points over Pepperdine.  The Hornets come into this game off back to back blowout losses, as they lost by 41 to UAB, and by 38 to Southern Cal.  But off those losses, they now fall into a 710-496 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Hornets are 16-6 ATS off a loss, while Pepperdine is a soft 43-65 ATS at home in non-conference games.  Grab the points with Alabama State.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over the Portland State Vikings.  Portland will conclude a 3-game home stand tonight, and seek its 3rd straight win following victories over Lewis & Clark and Florida A&M.  The Pilots are 8-3 SU/ATS vs. their cross-state rival, while Portland State is 0-5 ATS its last 5 non-conference games.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  These two teams met in last year's playoffs, and the #2 seeded-Grizzlies bounced the T-Wolves in six games.  After that strong showing in last year's playoffs, the T-Wolves were expected to be a contender this season. But the T-Wolves are off to a somewhat disappointing 5-7 start. The season is a long one, though, so there's still time to right the ship.  We'll take the Timberwolves + the points tonight, as it falls into one of my favorite Playoff revenge angles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over Southern U.  Arizona annihilated Nicholls St on Monday, 117-75, and easily covered the 25-point spread.  Today, we'll lay the points, as the Wildcats are 30-2 SU and 23-7-1 ATS in their next game after winning a blowout by 39+ points.  Take Arizona minus the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Milwaukee Bucks.  San Antonio is 31-7 ATS off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an Eastern conference foe off a straight-up win, and not favored by more than 6 points.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  Both of these teams lost by 1 point in Game 1.  The Sooners fell, 52-51, to the Bearkats of Sam Houston State, while the Golden Lions lost, 73-72, to TCU.  Pine Bluff then bounced back on Wednesday to defeat Champion Baptist, 87-55, and will attempt to make it two-in-a-row tonight, in Norman.  We'll lay the points, as Oklahoma is 18-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in its previous game by more than 9 points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over St Joseph's.  This game will be played at Alumni Hall, in Annapolis, Maryland, and will be part of a double-header televised by the CBS Sports Network.  The Cougars blew out Northern Colorado, 83-36, on Monday.  And that continued a trend where the Cougars are 31-10 ATS as a favorite of -8.5 (or more) points, including 9-0 ATS its last nine.  Houston's also 26-9 ATS when playing on a neutral court.  Lay the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Alabama State.  Andy Enfield's Trojans lost their season opener to Enfield's former school -- Florida Gulf Coast University -- on Monday.  And USC was favored by 18 points!  We'll take the Trojans to bounce back off that debacle, as they've cashed 74.1% of their regular season, non-conference games off an upset loss.  Take the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Sacred Heart.  The Scarlet Knights blew out Columbia, 75-35 on Monday.  And we'll look for another blowout on this Thursday.  Key stat:  since 1990, Big 10 teams have cashed 60% after holding an opponent to 40 or less points.  The last three times these teams have met, the Knights have won by 23, 25 and 26 points.  And that dovetails with Sacred Heart's previous nine meetings vs. Big 10 schools, as it's lost by an average of 26 ppg.  I look for another blowout tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Clippers.  LeBron James and Anthony Davis are 'probable' tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Lakers.  The Lakers play this game with revenge from an earlier loss, 103-97, to the Clippers, and now fall into a 132-65 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Clippers check in off an upset loss over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  And that upset win has triggered 19-3 and 236-151 ATS systems of mine.  Los Angeles is also 16-7 ATS off 3 ATS losses.  Grab the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Chicago.  The Pelicans have lost their last four ATS, but I love them to bounce back tonight, at Chicago.  The Bulls are a dreadful 43-79 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Hampton.  These two schools have switched conference affiliation this season.  The Dukes left the Colonial Athletic Association for the Sun Belt Conference.  And the Pirates are now in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n, after departing the Big South Conference.  James Madison blew out Valley Forge, 123-38, on Monday, while the Pirates will be playing their first game tonight.  The Dukes fall into 34-13 and 134-72 ATS systems of mine, based on their Game 1 statistics.  And they're 28-13 ATS as double-digit home favorites vs. Colonial Athletic Ass'n foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Utah Jazz.  There's no question that the Jazz are the league's biggest surprise this season.  They're 8-3 after upsetting the Los Angeles Clippers and Los Angeles Lakers in L.A. last week.  And when installed as an underdog, Utah is a stunning 7-2 straight-up, and 8-1 ATS (the average point spread in those nine games was +5.6).  However, tonight, the Jazz are a favorite, rather than an underdog.  And Utah is 1-1 straight-up, and 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season.  We'll take Los Angeles tonight, as it's 63-40 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Lakers weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Dallas.  The Mavs went into Brooklyn last month, and defeated the Nets in overtime, 129-125.  We'll grab the points with Brooklyn in this rematch, as it's 12-0 ATS away from home as a an underdog of more than 3 points vs. a .620 (or better) foe, provided Brooklyn had a losing record, and was playing with revenge from a home loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Boston.  The Grizzlies have been installed as a home dog vs. the Celtics, who have won their last 2 games.  And Memphis is 10-0 ATS its last 10 at home vs. a foe off a win, if Memphis wasn't favored by 2+ points.  Take the Grizzlies + the points.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks are undefeated, at 9-0, and are the NBA's lone unbeaten team.  But their win streak should come to a halt tonight, as the Hawks are 10-0 ATS their last 10 at home vs. foes on a 4-game (or better) win streak.  Grab the points with Dejounte Murray & Co.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After opening the season with a loss in Toronto, the Cavaliers have ripped off 7 straight wins.  They're now a small road favorite at the 2-6 Lakers.  We'll take the points with the Lakers, as .440 (or worse) NBA teams have covered 66% since 1990, at Game 4 foward, if they were not getting 5+ points from an .875 (or better) foe.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Portland.  The Suns are 6-2 this season, with both losses coming at the hands of the Trail Blazers.  Last night, these two teams played on this floor, and the Suns were upset, 108-106, as an 12-point favorite.  We'll take Phoenix in this revenge match, as NBA favorites of -6 (or more) points that lost their previous game (to the same opponent), as a double-digit favorite, have covered the spread in the regular seasons 67% since 1990.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic pulled off a huge upset over the defending champion, Golden State, as a 9.5-point underdog.  They're now a home dog vs. Sacramento.  I look for a major letdown tonight, by Orlando, off that big win.  And the Magic fall into negative 13-36 and 156-241 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, the Kings are 38-25 ATS on the road off a road loss.  Lay the points with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls come into Boston off back to back SU/ATS wins, including a 106-88 blowout of Charlotte, as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday.  The Celts play this game with revenge from an 18-point loss in Chicago, on October 24.  We had a big play on the Bulls in that game, but will side with Boston, tonight.  The Celtics are a solid 66-35 ATS when playing with revenge from an 8-point (or worse) defeat, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 21-6 ATS off a loss vs. foes off a point spread cover by 10+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Portland.  Memphis comes into this game off back to back upset losses to Utah, and are now 4-3 on the season.  Meanwhile, the Blazers are off to a 5-1 start after blowing out Houston, 125-111.  They're a home underdog tonight, and that doesn't bode well, as .833 (or better) teams have cashed 25% since 1990 as a home dog or PK, if matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs went into Boston and upset the Celtics last week.  And, after defeating New York on Sunday, the Cavs have now won and covered five straight.  We'll take Boston tonight, as it is 75-47-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, if its opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Celtics.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met two days ago in Washington, and the Sixers won, 118-111.  We'll take Washington in this rematch, as the revenge-minded team in this series is 18-10 ATS since 2013.  And the Wizards are 81-52 ATS when playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Take the Wizards + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are on a 3-game win streak, and also have been the best team against the spread this season, as they're 5-0-1 ATS.  But when one looks at those games, one readily notices that not only has OKC been an underdog in each -- it's been a BIG underdog.  The Thunder's six point spreads this season have been +11, +9, +10, +5.5, +6.5, and +10.5.  Tonight, they're not a big underdog, but rather a favorite.  We saw a similar situation this past weekend in the NFL, when the Atlanta Falcons were favored by 4 points vs. Carolina, after starting the year 6-1 ATS -- all as an underdog.  And, of course, Atlanta didn't cover the spread when it switched roles, and became a favorite.  The Magic are a solid 14-4 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. foes off an upset win.  Grab the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Chicago.  The Nets sustained their fifth straight ATS loss last night in a 7-point win vs. Indiana (as an 8.5-point favorite).  But on this long ATS losing streak, we'll step in and take Brooklyn tonight, at home.  Indeed, the Nets are a sensational 35-13-2 ATS when they were on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including 11-1-1 ATS when priced from -1.5 to -7.5 points.  And the Bulls are a poor 11-24 ATS vs. foes on a 4-game (or worse) point spread losing streak.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  There are many surprises in this early NBA season, with the Jazz and Spurs (both at 5-2) perhaps leading the list.  Both Utah and San Antonio were expected to tank this season to compete for a shot at Victor Wembanyama in next year's draft lottery.  But each has discarded that proposition, and has stormed out of the gate.  Tonight, the Jazz will try to make it two-in-a-row at home vs. the Grizzlies, as they also beat Memphis, 124-123, here, on Saturday.  However, it's tough to pull off back to back upset wins in the regular season vs. an opponent.  And Memphis is 47-26-1 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a winning foe.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Milwaukee.  The Pistons blew out the defending champion, Golden State Warriors, 128-114, yesterday.  They're installed as a double-digit dog tonight vs. Milwaukee.  And double-digit road dogs, with a losing record, are 94-62 ATS off a SU win vs. .667 (or better) division foes.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana.  With apologies to the Lakers and Clippers, the Nets are easily the most disappointing team in the league.  They're 1-5 SU/ATS, and have failed to cover the spread by 10.33 ppg.  Only the Clippers (who are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS) have a worse point spread differential at minus 11.91.  But at least the Clippers have the fallback excuse of player injuries.  Tonight, the Nets will try to get back on track against the Pacers.  And should the Nets not already not have sufficient motivation, it won't hurt that this Pacers team already smashed the Nets two nights ago, 125-116, as an 11-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Nets, and take note of the fact that they had won each of the seven previous meetings before that defeat.  Even better:  the Nets are 10-1-1 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a home loss suffered against the same opponent in Brooklyn's previous game.  Finally, the Pacers are a poor 9-23-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Indiana covered the spread in the previous meeting.  Lay the points with Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Raptors will look to bounce back tonight from a 22-point loss to the 76ers.  We'll lay the points, as the Hawks are 49-91 ATS vs. rested foes off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And Toronto is 17-5 ATS off a loss by 12+ points, if Toronto owned a .500 (or better) WL percentage.  Take the Raptors.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Charlotte.  On Saturday, the Hornets upset the defending NBA champion Warriors,  120-113.  But off that huge upset win, as a 10-point underdog, we'll look for a major letdown tonight, as home underdogs have cashed just 39.7% since 1990 off an upset win over the defending champs.  Lay the points with Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets won their previous game, 117-101, over the Utah Jazz.  But off that blowout win, we'll fade Denver on the road, as it's an awful 5-24 ATS as a road favorite off a win by 9+ points.  Take Los Angeles.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  It's only Game 7, but this is the 3rd meeting already this season between these two clubs.  And that is the earliest that two teams have played their 3rd meeting, from as far back as my database goes (1990) -- but possibly for the history of the NBA.  The first two meetings were played in Minnesota, and the two teams split those, with the Spurs winning #1, and the T-Wolves prevailing in meeting #2.  San Antonio is now 4-2 on the season, and is one of the surprising teams thus far -- especially since the Spurs had the lowest projected season win total, and longest Championship odds for any of the 30 teams.  We'll grab the points with Gregg Popovich's crew, as San Antonio is 37-21 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Spurs.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Detroit game.  After scoring 123+ points in four of their first five games, the Warriors' offense took a holiday yesterday, as they lost 120-113 (in overtime), and the game went under the total of 233.5.  I'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today, as the Over/Under line is a tad inflated.  The Under also falls into 166-112 and 60-35 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers pulled off an upset win, at Boston, in overtime, on Friday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Cavaliers at home today.  Cleveland has struggled mightily in the role of a favorite, as it's 54-86 ATS its last 140.  And it also falls into a negative 48-85 ATS system of mine based on its upset win.  Grab the points with the Knicks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  This is a great match-up tonight in Milwaukee, as the 4-0 Bucks will take on the 4-1 Hawks.  We'll go against the undefeated Bucks, as teams with a 4-0 SU record have covered Game 5s just 40.2% since 1990, including 2-14 ATS their last 16.  Milwaukee's also 22-35 ATS vs. Atlanta, including 4-14 ATS when the Bucks were off back to back wins.  And the Hawks also fall into a 313-230 ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Sixers have dominated this series with 11 straight wins.  And they're 12-3 ATS the last 15 meetings.  Philadelphia is starting to right itself after an 0-3 SU/ATS start to the season.  Last night, even without Joel Embiid, Philly blew out Toronto, 112-90.  I look for the 76ers to continue to play well tonight.  And with Embiid now upgraded to 'probable,' that's all i need to pull the trigger on the 76ers.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks are the league's lone undefeated team, at 3-0.  But we will go against Milwaukee tonight, as it's a horrible 18-42-2 ATS at home in the regular season off 3 or more wins when matched up against a winning team.  Grab the points with New York.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  We played against Boston in its last game, and easily got the $$$ when Chicago routed it, 120-102.  But off that blowout loss, we'll lay the points with the Celtics tonight, as Boston has cashed 60% ATS in the regular season since 1990 as a favorite off an 18-point (or worse) upset loss.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Washington.  Indy was blown out, 124-109, by the Bulls on Wednesday.  But I look for it to rebound tonight, as it's cashed 63% since 2011 off a loss by more than 12 points, when matched up against .400 (or better) foes.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Atlanta.  These two teams met here, in Detroit, two nights ago, and the Pistons lost that game by five points.  We'll take Detroit in this rematch, as it's 20-8 ATS at home off a SU home loss, including 9-1 ATS when priced from +5 to +7 points.  And Atlanta is a horrid 6-16-1 ATS on the road off a road win.  Take Detroit + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Miami.  We played on the Heat last night (which was a rare 5* play), and were rewarded with a 21-point blowout victory.  But we will fade Miami off that win, as it will be playing without rest against a rested Warriors club.  And Golden State will be looking to make amends for its 134-105 blowout loss at the hands of the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday.  The good news for Steph Curry & Co. is that .500 (or worse) NBA favorites have cashed 82% over the last 33 seasons if they lost their previous game on the road by more than 17 points, and their opponent was off a road win by more than 17 points.  Additionally, the Warriors have cashed 64.7% as a favorite off a loss by 29+ points.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Clippers had one of their worst games in the last couple of years when they lost outright, 108-94, to the Thunder, as a 5.5-point road favorite.  They'll get a second bite at the apple tonight, in OKC, as the two teams will meet again in this rematch.  We'll take the Clippers to redeem themselves, as Los Angeles is 36-20-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, including 16-8 ATS when playing with revenge, and 10-2 ATS off a road game where it failed to cover the spread by 19.5+ points.  Even better, the Clippers are 12-2 ATS when playing an opponent in back to back games, if they lost the first meeting, and were not favored by more than 7 in the next meeting.  Meanwhile, OKC is 4-13 ATS at home when they also defeated their opponent in OKC's previous game.  And it's 5-15 ATS off an upset home win, when priced from -2 to +8.5.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Heat are off to a 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS start after earning the #1 seed in the Eastern conference last year.  Meanwhile, Portland is a super 4-0 following its 135-110 upset win over Denver (its 4th straight upset to start the season).  We'll take Miami tonight, as it's 62-30 ATS off an upset loss, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  And it's also 27-8 ATS on the road when on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are 18-44 ATS off a win over a division rival by more than 18 points, including 0-9 ATS if Portland wasn't favored by 4+ points in that previous game.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Houston.  We played on Houston two nights ago, and got the $$$ when it defeated the Jazz, 114-108.  We'll take Utah in this rematch, as the Jazz fall into a "right-back revenge" system of mine which is 107-62 ATS.  Moreover, Houston is 26-44-2 ATS off a point spread win.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The T-Wolves were blitzed by San Antonio on Monday, so they'll look for revenge tonight.  Minnesota was favored by 8.5 points in that game.  And that was San Antonio's 3rd straight upset win (it also upset Philly as a 13-point dog, and Indy as a 1.5 point dog).  Unfortunately for the Spurs, NBA underdogs off back to back upset wins as 7-point dogs, have covered just 6 of 28 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New York/Charlotte game.  The Hornets come into tonight's game having played 3 'overs' in a row.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as the Under falls into a 57% and 58% Totals systems of mine.  Also, Charlotte is 4-0 Under its last 4, and 20-9-2 Under its last 31 after playing 3 straight Overs.  Take the Under.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Portland.  The Nuggets pulled off an upset win yesterday in Los Angeles, and now return home to take on the Denver Nuggets.  We'll lay the points with Denver, as NBA road favorites off back to back wins have covered 59% since 1990 vs. unrested division rivals off upset road wins.  Lay the points with the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over Utah.  The Jazz have surprisingly opened the season with three straight upset wins.  But I look for that streak to come to a halt tonight, down in Houston.  Indeed, since 1990, winning teams off 3 upset wins have covered just 26.3% as underdogs vs. foes off a loss.  And the Jazz are also a wallet-breaking 5-19-1 ATS their last 25 on the road when not laying 3 or more points.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Boston.  We played against Chicago on Saturday, and were rewarded with a 128-96 blowout win by the Cleveland Cavs.  Tonight, we'll switch gears and play on Chicago, as it's cashed 73.9% in the regular season as underdogs off a loss by 32+ points.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Grizzlies were blown out, 137-96, in Dallas, on Saturday.  But off that debacle, we'll lay the points with Memphis here, at home, tonight.  The Grizzlies are a solid 22-8 ATS as a favorite off a loss by more than 20 points.  Take Memphis.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Miami Heat.  These two teams met on Saturday here, in Miami.  And the Heat edged the Raptors, 112-109, for their first win of the season.  Unfortunately for Miami, losing teams have covered just 32.1% since 1990 in the 2nd of back to back home meetings, if they won the first of the two meetings, straight-up.  Take Toronto + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Indiana.  The Sixers are off to a poor 0-3 start.  But I love Philly to bounce back strong tonight, on Monday, as winless, double-digit favorites have covered 71% over the past 33 seasons vs. foes not off back-to-back losses.  Lay the points with the Sixers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Clippers.  We played against Phoenix on Friday, and got the $$$ when the Trail Blazers upset them, 113-111, in overtime.  Tonight, we'll back the Suns, as they're 52-19 ATS off an upset road loss.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  We played against Golden State on Friday, and took Denver as our NBA Game of the Month.  And the Nuggets pulled off the upset win.  But we'll switch gears and take Golden State tonight, as it's 35-12 ATS at home vs. division rivals, if Golden State was off a straight-up loss.  Take the Warriors.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Portland.  The Blazers have opened the season with back-to-back upset wins over the Kings and Suns, while the Lakers dropped their first two games to the Warriors and Clippers.  We'll take Los Angeles as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 63% since 1990 vs. foes off back to back upset wins to start the season.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Chicago Bulls.  The Cavaliers have a big advantage tonight, in terms of rest.  Cleveland has had the last 2 days off, while Chicago had to play last night in Washington, against the Wizards.  Over the last 33 seasons, rested NBA teams have covered 70.2% in their 2nd game of the season, if their opponent was unrested, and our rested team was not favored by more than 3 points.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over San Antone.  The Spurs pulled off an upset win last night against the Indiana Pacers, while Philly lost its home opener to Milwaukee in its previous game.  The Sixers will get a 2nd crack at the apple here, at home, on Saturday evening.  We'll lay the points with Philly, as double-digit home favorites have covered 75% since 1990 off a loss in their home opener when matched up against a foe off a SU win.  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Phoenix.  The Trail Blazers are a solid 18-3 SU and 15-6 ATS in their home openers, including a perfect 5-0 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  Moreover, home dogs of +2.5 (or more) points have cashed 67% in their home openers since 1990 if they were not unrested, and their opponent was off a home win.  Grab the points with the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors opened up the season with a blowout win over LeBron James' Lakers, 123-109. And they'll look to make it two-in-a-row tonight against a team many feel will win the title.  The Nuggets are healthy this year, with Jamal Murray and Michael Porter, Jr. back on the court.  Unfortunately, their presence didn't lead to a good result in Game 1, as Denver was shellacked by the Utah Jazz, 123-102.  But off that embarrassing loss, we'll take Denver to bounce back tonight.  Indeed, the Nuggets are 28-11 ATS in the regular season off a loss by 15+ points, if their opponent was off a win by 7+ points.  Even better:  defending NBA champs -- who generally receive their championship rings in the opening game -- often have letdowns in Game 2, and are a soft 2-11 ATS in their 2nd game of the season if they were playing an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Boston Celtics.  Miami was upset, 116-108, by the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday.  We'll take the Heat to bounce back on Friday, as they're 44-13 ATS vs. conference rivals, if the Heat were off an upset loss, and their opponent was off a win.  Take Miami.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Toronto.  The Nets lost their first home game of the season, 130-108, to the New Orleans Pelicans.  Brooklyn is back at home for Game 2, and NBA home teams that were upset in their home opener typically do much better in their 2nd home game of the season, including 64.2% since 1990 vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  With Toronto in off a 108-105 victory over Cleveland, as a 2-point home favorite, we'll fade Toronto tonight, and lay the points with Brooklyn.

At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics on the MONEYLINE, to win straight-up, against the Golden State Warriors.  The Celtics come into this Game 6 -- an elimination game -- off back to back double-digit losses.  They fell by 10 points, 107-97, in Game 4.  And then they lost, 104-94, on Monday night in San Francisco.  We'll take Boston to level this series at 3 games apiece, as NBA teams, favored by 3+ points, have gone 56-11 straight up in the Playoffs (and 44-22-1 ATS) off back to back double-digit losses (including 12-2 straight-up in elimination games).  Even better:  the Warriors are 19-36 straight up (and 20-35 ATS) as road underdogs of less than 6 points, if they were off back to back wins.  And Boston has gone 13-2 straight-up (and 12-3 ATS) in the Playoffs off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they were not leading a playoff series.  Take the Celtics to win Game 6 straight-up.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 6 between Golden State and Boston.  The last 2 games resulted in 204 and 198 points, with each going 'under' the total by 9.5 and 13.0 points, respectively.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on this Thursday, as it falls into NBA totals systems of mine with records of 163-106, 74-43 and 169-95.  Additionally, Boston has gone 'under' in its last 4 elimination games (and 17 of its last 26 elimination games).  And the Warriors have gone 'under' in 5 of their last 7 playoff games as an underdog.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Golden State.  The Celtics and Warriors are tied at 2-games apiece after the Warriors' 107-97 victory in Game 4 on Friday.  We'll take Boston in this Game 5, as the Celtics are an awesome 17-0 ATS away from home in the Playoffs, when priced from -3.5 to +7.5, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game, and don't lead in the Playoff series.  Even better:  the Warriors have been horrible (26-62 ATS) off a point spread win, when matched up against a revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics roared back from a double-digit deficit to stun the Warriors, 120-108, in Game 1.  We'll lay the points with Golden State to rebound in Game 2, as the Warriors are 51-31 ATS when off a SU/ATS loss, and playing with revenge.  And they're 19-9 ATS when playing with double revenge against foes with a W/L percentage < .700.  Meanwhile, Boston is an awful 0-8 ATS on the road in the playoffs following a win, if its opponent's win percentage is .630 (or better).  Lay the points with Steph Curry & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 2 between Golden State and Boston.  The Celtics erupted for 40 points in the 4th quarter to rout the Warriors, 120-108, and take a 1-0 lead in the Finals.  Golden State will need to lock down on defense in this game, if it doesn't want to find itself in a 2-0 hole going back to Boston.  And the Warriors typically do just that.  In its 25 upset playoff defeats, it has held its opponent to a lower score 18 times.  And, not surprisingly, 18 of those 25 games have also gone 'under' the total.  Similarly, in the last 32 years of the Playoffs, teams off upset playoff defeats that gave up 120+ points in that upset loss, have then gone 'under' in the next game 58% of the time.  Take Game 2 'under' the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors.  Boston had to go the distance against the Miami Heat, while the Warriors snuffed out the Mavericks in just five games.  And I think the extra rest will benefit Golden State in this Game 1.  Additionally, the Western Conference has dominated the Eastern Conference in Game 1 of the NBA Finals when the Eastern team owned the worse regular season record.  Since 2005, our Eastern Conference teams have gone 0-13 straight-up and 1-12 ATS in these Game 1s of the NBA Finals, and have lost all 13 games by at least 8 points (average loss by 14.15 points).  Boston is an awful 6-13 ATS in its Game 1 road games, while the Warriors have excelled in their Game 1s (19-11 ATS last 30).  Take Golden State.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics -- on the moneyline -- over the Miami Heat.  The Heat will have home court advantage in this decisive 7th game.  But home teams NOT favored by 4+ points have gone 1-9 ATS in Game 7s since June 2005.  That doesn't bode well for Erik Spoelstra's men on Sunday.  Nor does the fact that Boston is 18-2 ATS away from home in the Playoffs if it didn't lead in the series, after failing to cover the spread in its previous game by more than 7 points.  We'll take the Celtics to win this game, as .660 (or worse) road teams are 77.4% ATS since 1990 after losing as a 5.5-point (or greater) favorite.  Take Boston on the moneyline.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on Game 6 between Boston and Miami to go Under the total.  These two teams have gone under the total by 30.5 points, and by 21.5 points in their last two games.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Friday, as teams that have gone under by 30+ points in their previous playoff game have continued to go under 60% of the time since 1990.  Take the under.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Boston Celtics.  These two teams have alternated wins and losses over the series' first four games, and I look for that to continue on Wednesday.  Indeed, NBA teams off a loss by 7+ points, and not favored by 7+ points, have gone 10-0 straight-up and 9-1 ATS in Game 5 of the Conference Finals since 1994, if the series was tied at 2-games apiece.  Even better:  Miami is 23-8 ATS in 'win situation' games with point spreads less than 3 points, if it was off a loss by 20+ points in its previous game.  And Boston is 0-15 straight-up, and 2-13 ATS in Playoff road games vs. .600 (or better) foes, if the Celtics were off a win by more than 11 points.  Take Miami in Game 5.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Miami Heat.  We played on Miami in Game 3, but will take the home-standing Celtics in Game 4.  With its 109-103 defeat, Boston has fallen behind in this series 2-games-to-1.  But home teams that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series have covered 64.7% since 1990, if they lost Game 3, and weren't an underdog of 4+ points in Game 4.  Moreover, the Celtics have gone 26-12-1 ATS in the Playoffs, if they trailed in a series, and failed to cover the previous game's spread by 6+ points.  And Miami has covered just 7 of 24 games as a road underdog in the Playoffs, if it led in a series.  Take Boston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.