At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (256) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (255). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (5-3) looks to build off their 37-34 win over Tampa Bay two weeks ago as a 3.5-point favorite. New Orleans (7-1) has won seven straight games after they defeated the Rams last Sunday by a 45-35 score as a small 1.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BENGALS PLUS THE POINTS: This is a letdown spot for the Saints after a three-game gauntlet at Baltimore and at Minnesota before last week’s showdown with the Los Angeles Rams. Now asking this team to cover the point spread by nearly a touchdown on the road against a possible playoff team is simply too much to ask. As it is, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning at least seven straight games. And while the Saints have covered the point spread in six straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. New Orleans has been getting off to fast starts as they scored 35 points in the first half last week against the Rams after racing out to a 17-13 lead the previous week against the Vikings — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games after scoring at least 17 points in the first-half of two straight games. Defense remains the biggest concern for this team as they allowed 483 total yards to the Rams last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Saints are second-to-last in the league by allowing 311.4 passing YPG — and they are also 28th in the NFL by allowing their opponents to score touchdowns in 71.4% of their Red Zone opportunities. Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. And while they almost blew their 27-9 halftime lead against the Buccaneers in their last game, they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 25 games after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. The Bengals needed to work on their play on the defensive side of the football during their bye week after allowing the Bucs to generate 576 yards against them in that furious second-half comeback. Cincinnati has allowed at least 451 yards in three straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 375 yards in three straight games. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. They stay at home where QB Andy Dalton has a 9-to-1 touchdown to interception ratio and where the team enjoys a +9 net turnover margin. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And Cincinnati enjoys the best Red Zone offense in the NFL statistically as they scoring touchdowns in 77% of their trips to the Red Zone.

FINAL TAKE: The Bengals will be without wide receiver A.J. Green in this game but I expect the team to still be able to move the ball on offense with a strategy focusing on running back Joe Mixon. These are too many points to pass up for a team that plays tough at home (and away from the lights of a prime-time game). 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Cincinnati Bengals (256) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (255). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Detroit Lions (265) plus the points versus the Chicago Bears (266). THE SITUATION: Detroit (3-5) has lost two straight games after their 24-9 loss in Minnesota last week as a 4.5-point underdog. Chicago (5-3) has won two games in a row after their 41-9 blowout win in Buffalo as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LIONS PLUS THE POINTS: Detroit will be playing with desperation with that bad loss in Minnesota following up a 28-14 loss at home to Seattle. The entire organization is under scrutiny from quarterback Matthew Stafford failing to throw a touchdown pass last week for the first time all season to the offensive line giving up a whopping ten sacks to the Vikings to Matt Patricia seemingly over his head as a rookie head coach to the team appearing to have punted on the season after trading away wide receiver Golden Tate. Expect this adversity to have rallied this team together — they should come out swinging in this game. As it is, the Lions have bounced back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 14 points — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after losing two straight games by at least two touchdowns. Detroit has also covered the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games on the road after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The trade of Tate should create more opportunities for their promising young wide receiver Kenny Golladay so I am not too worried about their offense. While the Lions averaged just 3.48 Yards-Per-Play against the Vikings defense, they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 32 games after failing to average more than 4.0 YPP in their last game. Furthermore, Detroit has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Lions have been reliable in situations like this as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Detroit is also 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in the month of November — and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against divisional rivals. Chicago is riding high with two straight wins by at least two touchdowns as they defeated the Jets by a 24-10 score before dispatching of a Nathan Peterman-led Bills team last week. Yet the Bears were actually outgained by a 264-190 yardage margin to Buffalo while managing a mere 11 first downs. Two defensive touchdowns and a +3 net turnover margin in that game masked a pretty mediocre performance by Mitchell Trubisky who passed for just 135 yards. My longer-term concern with this team is that head coach Matt Nagy is asking his young quarterback to do too much in lieu of establishing their ground game behind Jordan Howard. Expect a letdown in this game especially with the significant uptick in competition against a divisional opponent. Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread cover as a double-digit favorite — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after covering the point spread in two straight games when laying the points as the favorite. Additionally, not only have the Bears failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 28 points but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Chicago has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after enjoying a +2 or better net turnover margin. Moving forward, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago may win this game with this one being played at Soldier Field — but asking them to cover a point spread around a touchdown against an angry and desperate division rival (who remains alive in the NFC North playoff race) is too much to ask. Expect a close game that the Lions have a chance to steal. 25* NFC North Underdog of the Year with the Detroit Lions (265) plus the points versus the Chicago Bears (266). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (171) plus the points versus the Nevada Wolf Pack (172). THE SITUATION: Colorado State (3-6) has lost two games in a row after their 34-21 loss to Wyoming back on October 26th as a +3.5-point underdog. Nevada (5-4) pulled off their second-straight upset win with their 28-24 win at home over San Diego State two Saturdays ago as a +2-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS PLUS THE POINTS: The Wolf Pack upset the Aztecs just a week after they crushed Hawai’i on the road by a 40-22 score as a small +1.5-point underdog. Now Nevada finds themselves as two-touchdown favorites — but an emotional letdown for this team is likely. As it is, the Wolfpack have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win at home. Furthermore, Nevada has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a narrow win by 6 points or less. The Wolfpack were outgained by San Diego State by a decisive -159 net yards but rallied from a 24-15 halftime deficit by enjoying a +2 net turnover margin. Nevada has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a game where they enjoyed a +2 or better net turnover margin. The Wolf Pack have won three of their games this season by one scoring possession — and they are actually being outgained at home by -17.6 net YPG. Defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing 31.2 PPG due to a weak pass defense that ranks 108th in the nation by allowing 264.2 passing YPG. Colorado State should bounce-back from their loss at home to the Cowboys as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Rams went into the locker room at halftime trailing by just a 3-0 score — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than a field in the first-half of their last game. Colorado State was burdened by a -3 net turnover margin in their loss to Wyoming — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after enduring a -3 or worse net turnover margin in their last game. Head coach Mike Bobo needed the bye week at this point of the season with his team still fighting to become bowl eligible. The Rams’ defense shifted to a 4-3 formation in the offseason so an extra week of practice should help on that side of the football. Bobo also got an extra week of work with sophomore quarterback Collin Hill who has started the last two games after a long recovery from what has been two torn ACL injuries that have derailed him since being initially tapped to be the starting quarterback for this team in the fall of 2017. Despite this team’s struggles this season, Bobo has still overseen an explosive passing attack that ranks 15th in the nation by averaging 310.3 passing YPG. This potent passing game should keep the Rams competitive in this game — they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 expected higher-scoring games on the road where the Total is set at least at 63. And in their last 16 games played in the month of November under Bobo’s leadership, the Rams have covered the point spread 11 times.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado State has underachieved this season while Nevada has overachieved a bit. As both teams meet for their tenth game of the season coming off a bye week, expect the Rams to keep his game closer than expected. 25* CFB Mountain Western Conference Underdog of the Year with the Colorado State Rams (171) plus the points versus the Nevada Wolf Pack (172). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Boston College Eagles (122) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (121). THE SITUATION: Boston College (7-2) has won three games in a row with their 31-21 win at Virginia Tech last Saturday as a 2-point favorite. Clemson (9-0) remained undefeated last week with their 77-16 thrashing of Louisville as a 38-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE EAGLES PLUS THE POINTS: The Tigers are on a roll having not allowed more than 16 points while blowing out all four of their opponents by at least 34 points since their narrow 27-23 win at home over Syracuse. But Clemson may be due for some nervy moments tonight as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after winning their last four games by at least 17 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after not allowing more than 17 points in at least four straight games. The Tigers did generate 661 yards of offense against the Cardinals last week — but they are then just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Clemson has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have scored at least 136 points in their last two games. But the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after scoring at least 42 points in their last two games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Furthermore, Clemson has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing on field turf. Boston College will enter this game with momentum as they have covered the point spread in four straight games. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Boston College is also 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and they are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a point spread victory. The Eagles have the components to keep this game close by running the football and defending against the Tigers rushing attack. Led by A.J. Dillon, Boston College averages 283 rushing YPG on their home field while averaging 4.8 Yards-Per-Carry. Dillon should be able to keep the high-powered Tigers offense off the field. And the Eagles hold visiting teams to just 3.3 YPC — and this Clemson team has become very dependent on the run. Freshman QB Trevor Lawrence passed for only 59 yards last week on 12 passes — this will be the biggest game of his young career. Boston College is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. On their home field, the Eagles have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games while outscoring their opponents by +24.6 PPG and outgaining these guests by +207.0 net YPG. Boston College has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog getting 14.5 to 21 points.

FINAL TAKE: The weather will not be doing the Tigers any favors tonight with the temperature dropping below 40 degrees. With the BC faithful revved up to see their team pull the upset, expect a closer game than what is expected. 20* CFB Clemson-Boston College ABC-TV Special with the Boston College Eagles (122) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (121). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (199) minus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (200). THE SITUATION: LSU (7-2) looks to pick themselves off the mat after their embarrassing 29-0 shutout loss at home to Alabama last week where they were +14-point underdogs. Arkansas (2-7) comes off a 45-31 loss to Vanderbilt as a 1-point underdog two Saturdays ago.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS MINUS THE POINTS: LSU should rebound with a strong effort as they look to make the best of the rest of their season. Their players represent a football program that has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points. And while they surrendered 576 yards of offense to the Tide, LSU has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after allowing at least 450 yards. The Tigers have covered a decisive 10 of their last 12 games in SEC play — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. LSU has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November. Facing this Arkansas team may be just what the doctor ordered as the Razorbacks have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Arkansas has covered the point spread in four of their last five games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in at least two of their last three games. Additionally, the Razorbacks have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Arkansas generated 207 rushing yards in their loss to the Commodores while averaging 6.88 Yards-Per-Play in that game — but that does not bode well for them now. The Razorbacks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last game — and are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: While LSU was overwhelmed against Alabama last week, they will be motivated to play the role of the bully this week. The Razorbacks are in a major rebuild under first-year head coach Chad Morris. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the LSU Tigers (199) minus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (200). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (119) plus the points versus Pittsburgh Panthers (120). THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (4-4) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 31-21 loss to Boston College last week as a 2-point underdog. Pittsburgh (5-4) has won three of their last four games with their 23-13 upset win at Virginia last Friday as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HOKIES PLUS THE POINTS: Virginia Tech remains alive in the Coastal Division race with a 3-2 record in conference play — but they need to win out their games which starts with giving a second loss to this Panthers team that currently resides in first place with their 4-1 record in ACC play. The Hokies should respond with a strong effort this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after losing two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after losing two straight against conference rivals. Don’t blame junior quarterback Ryan Willis who completed 25 of 42 passes for 281 yards with three touchdown passes against the Eagles defense while adding another 49 yards on the ground. The transfer from Kansas has played well since stepping in for incumbent starter Josh Jackson who suffered a season-ending knee injury at the end of September. Willis has seen his wide receivers drop too many of his passes — and team turnovers have not helped the cause. Virginia Tech has lost the turnover battle in three straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 32 games after suffering a -1 or worse net turnover margin in at least two straight games. This is a very young defense that was rebuilding from their outstanding unit last season — but in defensive coordinator Bud Foster we trust to continue to get improvement out of his group. This is a team that is 3-1 on the road while outscoring their home hosts by +6.8 PPG — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7.5 points. Pittsburgh followed up their 54-45 upset win over Duke as a small 2-point favorite with that upset win at Virginia last Friday. But a letdown is likely for this team that is not used to being in control of their own destiny when it comes to the ACC conference championship. The Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after pulling off two straight upset wins. Pittsburgh has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. And while they held the Cavaliers to just 249 yards of offense, they have not covered the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last contest. Pitt has covered the point spread in four straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after covering the point spread in four of their last five games after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The Panthers are unreliable home favorites. They might be 4-1 on their home field but they are only outscoring their visitors by +0.4 net PPG — and they are being outgained in net yardage at home. Lastly, Pitt has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have been dangerous underdogs in the Pat Narduzzi regime — but this team has been an unreliable favorite as well with a defense that has not come close to taking on the characteristics of the Michigan State defenses that he served as the coordinator of. Look for a close game where taking the points with the underdog will offer plenty of value. 10* CFB Virginia Tech-Pittsburgh ESPNU Special with the Virginia Tech Hokies (119) plus the points versus Pittsburgh Panthers (120). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (194) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (193). THE SITUATION: Florida (6-3) looks to bounce-back from their 38-17 upset loss to Missouri last Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. South Carolina (5-3) has won two straight games with their 48-44 upset win at Ole Miss last week as a 2-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GATORS MINUS THE POINTS: Florida should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after an upset loss as a home favorite. The Gators have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss at home. Florida has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Gators have not forced a turnover in two straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after failing to force a turnover in their last game. Florida will be hosting a Gamecocks team that ranks 105th in the FBS with a -0.63 net turnover margin per game. Even after last week’s loss in the Swamp, the Gators are outscoring their visitors by +12.2 PPG at home. South Carolina looks due for a big emotional letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. Furthermore, the Gamecocks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 37 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a game where both teams scored at least 37 points. South Carolina did surrender a whopping 616 yards of offense to the Rebels last week — they were outgained by -108 net yards but pulled out the win due to a 90-yard kick off return for a touchdown. Run defense is an issue for their defense as they rank 86th in the FBS by allowing 182.0 rushing YPG. The Gamecocks stay on the road this week to play just their fourth game away from home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games with the Total set int he 52.5 to 56 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Florida will not only be looking to redeem themselves from last week’s upset loss but they will have revenge on their minds after losing to South Carolina last year by a 28-20 score. 10* CFB South Carolina-Florida ESPN Special with the Florida Gators (194) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (193). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (192) minus the points versus the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (191). THE SITUATION: Memphis (5-4) looks to build off their 59-41 win at East Carolina last week as an 11-point favorite. Tulsa (2-7) earned their second win of the season with their 49-19 win over UConn as an 18-point favorite over the hapless Huskies.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS MINUS THE POINTS: Memphis generated 639 yards of offense against the Pirates — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games after gaining at least 450 yards of offense in their last game. The Tigers possess the 8th most prolific offense in the nation as they are averaging 44.3 PPG and generating 535.6 total YPG. They also rank 6th in the FBS by averaging 267.2 rushing YPG — and they should run all over this Golden Hurricanes defense that ranks 118th in the nation by allowing 227.8 rushing YPG. Memphis did allow 556 yards to East Carolina last week — but they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Now the Tigers return home where they allow only 348.2 total YPG. Memphis is outscoring their visitors by +29.2 PPG and outgaining them by +275.4 net YPG. The Tigers’ offense has been unstoppable at home where they are putting up 52.4 PPG while averaging 623.6 total YPG. Memphis has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record on the road. Tulsa has been a major disappointment again this season — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. The Golden Hurricanes have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Their redshirt freshman quarterback Seth Boomer completed 9 of his 14 passes for just 168 yards — and Tulsa has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 0-4 with an average losing margin of -14.7 net PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Too much offense from this Memphis team — expect a blowout. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Memphis Tigers (192) minus the points versus the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (191). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (145) and the Indiana Hoosiers (146). THE SITUATION: Maryland (5-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 24-3 loss to Michigan State last week as a 3-point underdog. Indiana (4-5) has lost four games in a row with their 38-31 upset loss at Minnesota as a 2.5-point favorite two weeks ago.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: It has been feast or famine for the Terrapins on offense this season as they have scored 63 points against Illinois, 42 points against Minnesota and 34 points against Rutgers but managed only a field goal overall against Iowa and the Spartans. Perhaps the three touchdowns that Maryland scored against the mighty Michigan defense is the best line on their offensive resume. The Terrapins caught an angry Sparty last week that was embarrassed by the Wolverines in East Lansing the previous week. But Maryland has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Terrapins managed only 100 yards of offense against Michigan State — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to generate at least 275 yards in their last contest and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. Now Maryland goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 10 road games as an underdog getting no more than a field goal, the Terrapins have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Indiana has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a bye week. The Hoosiers surrendered 308 passing yards in that game — and the Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Indiana has scored 59 points over their last two games after they put up 28 points against Penn State. The Hoosiers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are fighting to become bowl eligible — and this level of desperation between mid-level teams can create high-scoring contests. Maryland upset Indiana last year by a 42-39 score as a +6.5-point underdog last season with the Total set in the 53.5 range. Expect another high-scoring affair. 25* CFB Big Ten Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (145) and the Indiana Hoosiers (146). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (113) minus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (114). THE SITUATION: Fresno State (8-1) has won seven straight games with their 48-3 win at UNLV last Saturday as a 27-point favorite. Boise State (7-2) has won four in a row with their 21-16 win over BYU last Saturday in a game where they were laying -11.5 points.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Fresno State should build off the momentum of their big win last week as they are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a victory by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs generated 466 yards in that contest — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 26 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Head coach Jeff Tedford’s stint in the Canadian Football League (after a brief turn in the NFL as an offensive consultant to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers) seems to have been a boon for his appreciation of the nuances of college football. The long-time Cal coach was always considered an offensive guru but he has done wonders with quarterback Marcus Maryion. The Oregon State transfer thrived under Tedford’s guidance last season as he completed 62.1% of his passes for 2726 passing yards while throwing 14 touchdown passes to just 5 interceptions. Maryion has been even better this season as he is completing 70.9% of his passes for 2416 passing yards with 20 TD passes and just 3 interceptions. He leads an offense that is 11th in the nation by scoring 40.4 PPG. Maryion should have success against a suspect Broncos pass defense that ranks 74th in the nation by allowing 234.4 passing YPG. But what has made this Fresno State program different than Tedford’s Cal teams — and why this group made an immediate turnaround from a 1-11 record in 2016 — is the outstanding play on defense. The Bulldogs returned seven starters from last year’s group that allowed only 17.9 PPG and just 320.6 total YPG which ranked 10th and 15th best in the nation. The 2017 defense made startling improvements under defensive coordinator Orlando Steinauer who Tedford brought down from the Hamilton Tiger-Cats of the CFL while proving once again the impact of good coaching. While Steinauer returned to the CFL this season, the defense has not missed a beat under last year’s linebacker coach in Bert Watts who took over coordinating the defense while maintaining Steinauer's aggressive tendencies. Fresno State is allowing only 12.3 PPG which is tied for 2nd in the nation while ranking 14th in the FBS while limiting their opponents to just 307.0 total YPG. Defense travels — and the Bulldogs 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games on the road which includes them covering then point spread in six of their last seven road games against teams with a winning record at home. Fresno State is outscoring their home hosts by +22.2 PPG due to their defense that is allowing only 9.6 PPG. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of November — and they have covered 4 straight games played on a Friday night. Boise State is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Broncos are led by four-year senior starting quarterback Brett Rypien who leads an offense that is 10th in the nation by averaging 319.8 passing YPG. But Rypien will face his biggest challenge of the season facing this Bulldogs’ pass defense that is 16th in the nation by allowing only 178.2 passing YPG while limiting opposing quarterbacks to completing just 48.1% of their passes and only 8 TD passes. Boise State has won four in a row after a loss at home by a 19-13 score to a San Diego State defense that has a similarly strong defense as the Bulldogs but lacks their explosiveness on offense. The Broncos have the allure of their blue field but that has not translated into a home-field advantage — or perhaps bettors have overvalued this intangible. Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: This is the third meeting between these two teams in less than a twelve-month period after these two teams split their two meetings last year. Fresno State certainly had this date circled since this is their first opportunity to avenge their 17-14 loss to Boise State that the Broncos’ hosted in the Mountain West Conference championship game last December 2nd. Look for the Bulldogs to avenge that loss with what appears to be an even better team than last year’s group in Tedford’s first season with the program. 25* CFB Friday ESPN2 Game of the Year with the Fresno State Bulldogs (113) minus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (107) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (108). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-2) has won three straight games with their 42-28 win over Tampa Bay on Sunday as a 6-point favorite. Pittsburgh (5-2-1) has won four in a row with their 23-16 upset win at Baltimore last Sunday as a +1.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS PLUS THE POINTS: After falling from a double-digit 4th quarter deficit to the Eagles to begin their current winning streak, Carolina has raced out to a 24-7 halftime lead against the Ravens before enjoying a 35-14 lead over the Buccaneers last week. The Panthers have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after owning a double-digit halftime lead in their last two games. Carolina has won the turnover battle in each of these last three games in part because they have not turned the ball over once during that span — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after winning the turnover battle in at least three straight games. The Panthers averaged 7.98 Yards-Per-Play against Tampa Bay — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in their last game. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 road games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. Furthermore, Carolina has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. Pittsburgh earned a big emotional win over their arch-rivals last week — but playing Baltimore always takes a physical toll out of the Steelers which will be compounded by them playing on a short week. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Steelers are just 2-2 this season on their home field — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home. Lastly, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Expect the Steelers to be a bit flat in this game — and Carolina is a very tough out. Expect a close game where taking the points will have value. 10* NFL Carolina-Pittsburgh Fox-TV Special with the Carolina Panthers (107) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (108). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-2) has won three straight games with their 42-28 win over Tampa Bay on Sunday as a 6-point favorite. Pittsburgh (5-2-1) has won four in a row with their 23-16 upset win at Baltimore last Sunday as a +1.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Steelers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games at home Over the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. Pittsburgh generated 395 yards in that game against the Ravens — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Steelers are 4th in the NFL by averaging 415.2 total YPG — and they are averaging 432.2 total YPG over their last three games. They return home where they are scoring 31.2 PPG — and their four home games are averaging 56.9 combined points scored. Ben Roethlisberger should have a big game against the suspect Panthers’ secondary that his allowing 250.9 passing YPG which ranks 19th in the NFL. Roethlisberger leads an offense that is averaging 313.6 passing YPG — and over his last sixteen starts, Big Ben is averaging 326.2 passing YPG while tossing 39 TD passes. He should have plenty of time to attack the Carolina defense. The Steelers’ offensive line is helping their QB get hit only 8.7% of their passing attempts which is tops in the NFL — and this offense ranks 2nd in the league by seeing their QB get sacked in only 3.1% of their passing attempts. The Panthers are bottom-ten in the league with their 21 team sacks. Pittsburgh has allowed 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total. The Steelers’ strong run defense will likely force Carolina into relying on the arm of Cam Newton. Pittsburgh has not allowed more than 74 rushing yards in each of their last three games. The Steelers have played 28 of their last 36 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in two straight games — and they have played 26 of their last 38 games Over the Total after holding their last three opponents to 75 or fewer rushing yards in at least three straight games. Carolina has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Panthers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Additionally, Carolina has played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. The Panthers scored five touchdowns in the first half against the Buccaneers before going into cruise control and finishing that game with 407 total yards of offense. Carolina has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after generating at least 400 yards in their last contest. Carolina is scoring 33.0 PPG over their last three games.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to be a high-scoring game. Newton only attempted 25 passes last week which was the second-lowest amount all season. He has tossed at least two TD passes in seven straight games. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (110) minus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (109). THE SITUATION: NC State (6-2) snapped their two-game losing streak last Saturday with their 47-28 win over Florida State as a 9.5-point favorite. Wake Forest (4-5) has lost three of their last four games with their 41-24 loss to Syracuse last week as a +6-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WOLFPACK MINUS THE POINTS: NC State raced out to a 31-14 lead at halftime last week against the Seminoles. Not only have they covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a win at home but they have also covered the point spread in 8 of theories 12 games after owning a lead by at least 20 points at the half of their last contest. The Wolfpack have scored 88 points over their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 37 points in their last game. Led by senior quarterback Ryan Finley who will relish this opportunity to boost his NFL resume on this nationally televised game, NC State is 9th in the nation by averaging 322.9 passing YPG. Finley should feast against the woeful Demon Deacons pass defense that ranks 118th in the nation by allowing 272.6 passing YPG. The Wolfpack stay at home where they are a perfect 5-0 with an average winning margin of +16.4 PPG while outgaining their opponents by +97.6 net YPG. NC State has only turned the ball over once in their last two games after not committing a turnover against Florida State. The Wolfpack have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not turning the ball over in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not turning the ball over more than once in two straight games. They will be hosting a Wake Forest team that is 101st in the nation by averaging a -0.56 net turnover margin per game. NC State has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a Thursday night. Wake Forest has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. The team lost their starting quarterback for the rest of the season this week when it was announced that freshman QB Sam Hartman would miss the rest of the year due to a leg injury. That means that sophomore Jamie Newman will get the start after he was beat out in the fall for the starting job. Newman has completed only 7 of his 15 passes this season while averaging just 5.0 Yards-Per-Attempt. That is a bad turn of events for this Demon Deacons team that has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning record as well as in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog. Additionally, Wake Forest has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on a Thursday night — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight trips to Raleigh to face the Wolfpack.

FINAL TAKE: NC State is looking reach ten wins this season to improve on their 9-4 record last year. One of their four losses last season was to this Wake Forest team that defeated them by a 30-24 score in Winston-Salem. Too much offensive firepower for the Wolfpack who should earn sweet revenge with a blowout win tonight. 10* CFB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (110) minus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (109). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (103) and the Northern Illinois Huskies (104). THE SITUATION: Toledo (5-4) has won two straight games with their 45-13 win over Ball State last Wednesday as a 19.5-point favorite. Northern Illinois (6-3) has won five straight games with their 36-26 win at Akron as a 6-point favorite last Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets scored one of their touchdowns by recovering a fumble in the end zone — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while they generated 531 yards of offense in that game, they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last game. Toledo rushed for 204 yards in that game against the Cardinals last week — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The team will likely continue to commit to establishing their ground game with junior quarterback Mitchell Guadagni likely out for this game with a shoulder injury. Sophomore Eli Peters will get his third start tonight — but he is struggling in the passing game as he is completing only 53.7% of his passes. Protecting Peters will also be an issue tonight as the Rockets have allowed 21 sacks this season — and the Huskies have compiled 32 QB sacks this season. Toledo has steadily improved on defense as they are allowing only 22.7 PPG over their last three games. They have also held their last three opponents to just 118.7 rushing YPG which is more than 50 YPG below their season average rush defense. The Under is 25-12-1 in the Rockets’ last 38 games against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of November. Northern Illinois generated 484 yards of offense in their win over the Zips — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Now the Huskies return home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Northern Illinois has also played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying no more than 7 points. The Huskies are led by their defense that ranks 29th in the nation by allowing only 21.7 PPG. That number drops to just 18.0 PPG when they are playing at home — and they have allowed only 17.7 PPG over their last three games while holding those opponents to just 327.7 total YPG. Northern Illinois thrives in stopping the run as they rank 13th in the nation by allowing only 103.8 rushing YPG. The Huskies limited Akron to just 35 rushing yards last week — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. But this Northern Illinois team struggles to create offensive as they rank 123rd in the FBS by scoring 19.2 PPG while also ranking 125th in the nation by generating only 309.4 total YPG. Only 139.1 of those yards come from their passing game which ranks 121st in the nation — yet they are only averaging 3.8 Yards-Per-Carry from their rushing attack. Playing at home has not helped this offense either as they are scoring only 18.0 PPG along with just 304.0 total YPG. The Huskies have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the month of November — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against MAC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 encounters between these two teams when playing at Northern Illinois. Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams that face significant albeit different challenges on offense. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (103) and the Northern Illinois Huskies (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) RedHawks (104) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (103). THE SITUATION: Miami (OH) (3-6) has lost two straight games with after their 51-42 loss at Buffalo last week as a +7-point underdog. Ohio (6-3) has won three straight — as well as five of their last six games — with their 59-14 win at Western Michigan as a 3-point favorite last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REDHAWKS PLUS THE POINTS: Miami (OH) generated 453 yards in their last to the Bulls. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. And while they surrendered 453 yards to Buffalo, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. This team returned sixteen starters from last year’s team that finished 5-7. Expectations were high for this team that lost four of those games last year by 5 points or less. This team has remained unable to close out games with another two of their losses being decided by one possession. They have covered the point spread in five of their last six contests as they have proved to be better to bettors than they have been in winning close contests. The Red Hawks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Despite their losing record, Miami (OH) is outgaining their opponents by +8.9 net YPG. An unfavorable schedule has not helped Chuck Martin’s team as they have played six of their first nine games on the road. This is the RedHawks’ just fourth game at home this season where they are outscoring their guests by +5.7 net PPG. Miami (OH) has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog. Senior quarterback Gus Ragland completed 20 of 35 passes for 313 yards against the Bulls defense last week — and he should have success against this Bobcats’ defense that is vulnerable to dynamic passing attacks. Ohio ranks 117th in the FBS by allowing 276.8 passing YPG. The Bobcats have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win on the road by at least four touchdowns. Ohio has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 50 points in their last game. The Bobcats have won three straight games by at least five touchdowns — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games after winning their last two games by at least 10 points against conference rivals. This team stays on the road where they are 2-3 this season while being outgained by -37.4 net YPG.

FINAL TAKE: While Ohio wants to win their annual Battle of the Bricks with their in-state rival Miami (OH), they know they have a date pending next week with Buffalo that will likely determine the winner of the MAC East Division. With things going so well for this team right now, they might be caught looking ahead. The RedHawks are better than their record suggests — and pulling an upset here would keep their hopes of becoming bowl eligible alive. 20* CFB Ohio-Miami (OH) ESPNU Special with the Miami (OH) RedHawks (104) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bulls (102) minus the points versus the Kent State Golden Flashes (101). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (8-1) has won four straight games with their 51-42 win over Miami (OH) last Tuesday as a 7-point favorite. Kent State (2-7) snapped their six-game losing streak last Tuesday when they upset Bowling Green on the road as a small 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLS MINUS THE POINTS: Buffalo should build off the momentum of their big win last week. The Bulls have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Buffalo generated 507 yards against the Red Hawks defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Bulls will not have the services of their best defensive player in the first half of this game with linebacker Khalil Hodge suspended after being flagged for a targeting penalty in last week’s game. But look for the other Buffalo defensive players to step up in his absence as this team has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Bulls have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games against conference opponents. And in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record, Buffalo has covered the point spread in all 4 games. Kent State was able to upset a Bowling Green team that is going in the wrong direction — but a letdown tonight is likely. The Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread victory. The Golden Flashes stay on the road this week where they are just 1-5 with an average losing margin of -29.7 PPG. They are being outgained by -168.2 total YPG. Kent State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Golden Flashes have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in the month of November.

FINAL TAKE: Buffalo will likely overwhelm the Golden Flashes tonight. Too much offensive firepower behind quarterback Tyree Jackson — and the defense should be motivated to play better after allowing 42 points last week which tied for the most points they surrendered all season. 10* CFB Kent State-Buffalo ESPNU Special with the Buffalo Bulls (102) minus the points versus the Kent State Golden Flashes (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (473) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (474). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (3-4) has lost three straight games with their 20-19 loss in London two Sundays ago against the Chargers as a +6.5-point underdog. Dallas (3-4) looks to rebound from their 20-19 loss in Washington two weeks ago as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TITANS PLUS THE POINTS: Tennessee has been resilient when facing adversity. They have covered the point spread 13 of their last 17 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, the Titans have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after suffering two straight losses — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after losing three of their last four games. Tennessee did have a strong offensive performance against the tough Chargers defense as they generated 390 yards of offense which helped them control the time of possession for 35:25 minutes. The Titans have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Tennessee has an outstanding defense that ranks 3rd in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 18.1 PPG. That number drops to just 16.5 PPG that they allow when playing on the road. And despite their 1-3 record on the road, they are outgaining their home hosts by +9.8 net YPG. The Titans held Malcolm Gordon and the Chargers rushing attack to just 47 yards in London — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. The stout Tennessee defense keeps them competitive — three of their four losses were determined by one scoring possession. The Titans gave covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Tennessee has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games against NFC opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight appearances on Monday Night Football. Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a loss to an NFC East rival. The team has high expectations for Amari Cooper after trading for him from the Raiders during their bye week. But Cooper underperformed in Oakland with his effort being an issue. Plus, the Cowboys plan to use Cooper on the outside where he can function as a deep threat despite his having more success with the Raiders running out of the slot position. Dallas is just 20th in the NFL by averaging 20.0 PPG — and they rank 27th in the NFL by averaging just 320.0 total YPG. The Cowboys defense has been stout but they took a hit this week with defensive lineman David Irving being declared out for about a month with a high ankle sprain. Dallas has not enjoyed a significant home field advantage as of late as they have failed to cover the point spread in 55 of their last 98 home games when laying a touchdown or less. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 appearances on Monday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: I do not think the addition of Cooper is the missing ingredient to make the Dallas offense function at a much higher level. Tennessee should keep this game close while having an opportunity to pull the upset. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month with the Tennessee Titans (473) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (473) and the Dallas Cowboys (474). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (3-4) has lost three straight games with their 20-19 loss in London two Sundays ago against the Chargers as a +6.5-point underdog. Dallas (3-4) looks to rebound from their 20-19 loss in Washington two weeks ago as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Titans have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while Tennessee generated 390 yards against the Chargers’ defense, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Titans are stagnant on offense as they average just 15.1 PPG along with only 280.9 total YPG with both those marks ranking 30th in the league. The formula for success for Mike Vrabel’s team is to ground-and-pound and rely on their defense to keep them in games. Tennessee holds their opponents to just 18.1 PPG which is the third-best mark in the league. They also signed a fullback in Ralston Fowler during their bye week which is a strong indicator that they are doubling-down on running the football. This approach helps them with the time of possession battle — they controlled the clock for over 35 minutes in their game against the Chargers. Moving forward, the Titans have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Cowboys have a strong defense of their own that holds their opponents to only 17.6 PPG which is the best mark in the NFL. It will be difficult for Tennessee to run against this defense that is 9th in the league by holding their opponents to just 96.3 rushing YPG. Dallas only managed 73 rushing yards in their loss to the Skins in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. The team hopes that the addition of Amari Cooper will jumpstart the offense by going them a legit number one wide receiver — but Cooper has underperformed over the last two seasons in Oakland has been more effective playing in the slot for the Raiders. The Cowboys have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with the number set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. Lastly, Dallas has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total in the second half of the season.

FINAL TAKE: This sets up to be a low-scoring game between two teams with strong defenses who want to run the ball. Even with the low Total, except this contest to finish below the number. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (473) and the Dallas Cowboys (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (471) and the New England Patriots (472). THE SITUATION: New England (6-2) has won five straight games with their 25-6 win at Buffalo on Monday as a -13.5-point favorite. Green Bay (3-3-1) has lost two of their last three games with their 29-27 loss in Los Angeles to the Rams last week as a +7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Green Bay has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, while the Packers gave up 416 yards of offense to the Rams, they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 12 of their last 14 road games after a straight-up loss where they still covered the point spread as an underdog. Furthermore, Green Bay has played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Packers have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog. And in their last 24 road games after a narrow loss by 3 points or less, Green Bay has played 19 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, the Packers have played 12 of their last 15 games on the road Over the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing on field turf that tends to reward speed. Green Bay has scored 60 points over their last two games — and they have then played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in each of their last two games. New England has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing on a short week after a game on Monday Night Football. Furthermore, the Patriots have generated at least 381 yards of offense in five straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in four straight games. They return home where they have played 25 of their last 33 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Green Bay is averaging 42 pass attempts to just 19 rushing attempts in their three road games this season. If the Packers ask Rodgers to pass on at least 69% of their plays on offense as those numbers suggest, this shapes up to be a game with plenty of possessions which will give both these offenses that average 25.0 PPG and 29.9 PPG respectively plenty of chances to put points on the board. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (471) and the New England Patriots (472). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (472) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (471). THE SITUATION: New England (6-2) has won five straight games with their 25-6 win at Buffalo on Monday as a -13.5-point favorite. Green Bay (3-3-1) has lost two of their last three games with their 29-27 loss in Los Angeles to the Rams last week as a +7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PATRIOTS MINUS THE POINTS: New England should be in prime form for this game as they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Sunday on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. The Patriots have a number of injuries heading into this game but it does look like at least Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon will play despite being listed questionable by Bill Belichick’s very liberal use of the NFL’s “questionable” designation. They return home where they are a perfect 4-0 while outscoring their visitors by +13.8 PPG and outgaining them by +99.5 net YPG. Tom Brady is leading an offense that is scoring 36.5 PPG at home where he is completing 69.9% of his passes while averaging 308 passing YPG and accounting for 12 all-purpose touchdowns. And during their five-game winning streak, the Patriots are scoring 36.4 PPG and converting 50.8% of their 3rd downs which are both the best marks in the NFL during that span. New England has covered the points spread in 7 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games when favored by not more than a touchdown. Additionally, the Patriots held the Bills to just 46 rushing yards last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 13 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. They also have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last contest. And with this being an expected high scoring game, New England has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. Green Bay looks to be at a crossroads after the Ty Montgomery controversy last week that culminated in him being shipped to Baltimore before the trade deadline. This veteran team may not respond well to the trade of Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix since he was playing at a very high level with the move suggesting that management does not believe the team has the potential to make a deep run in the playoffs this year. As it is, the Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Now this team goes on the road where they are winless in three contests while being outscored by -8.0 PPG due to their defense that is allowing 30.3 PPG. Green Bay allowed the Rams to generate 416 yards of offense (with Clinton-Dix) last week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This team is also allowing their opponents to average 4.68 Yards-Per-Carry which the Patriots will certainly take advantage. The Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. This will be Aaron Rodgers first game ever played in Foxboro as a professional — and that is an ominous circumstance for a quarterback that has led his team to win in just eight of his eighteen starts on the road against an AFC opponent. In those eighteen road games against the AFC, Rodgers has been sacked 50 times. Lastly, Green Bay has failed o cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: The Patriots looked flat on the road on Monday against the Bills — but they should play much better back at home tonight with the challenge of hosting Rodgers. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month with the New England Patriots (472) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (470) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (469). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (6-1) returns home after their 30-20 win in Minnesota last week as a -2.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (8-0) enters this game coming off their 29-27 win over Green Bay last week as a -7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE POINTS: I don’t love this situation for New Orleans as this is their third straight expected close game with the point spread in +/- 3-point range after they upset the Ravens on Baltimore before dispatching of the Vikings last week. But this Saints team has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after winning their last two games on the road. New Orleans has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win while going 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a point spread win — so this is a team more likely to build off their momentum rather than suffer an emotional letdown. This is the Saints’ just fourth game at home as well where they are a perfect 3-0 this season. Drew Brees is averaging 348 passing YPG in those three home games with eight touchdown passes and zero interceptions. In fact, Brees has led his team to victory in nine of their last ten games at home while putting up 32.5 PPG in those games. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 29 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And despite surrendering 423 yards to the Vikings last week, the Saints’ defense is steadily improving. New Orleans has allowed only 20.0 PPG over their last four contests while allowing just 74 rushing YPG on just 3.2 Yards-Per-Carry. Even better, the Saints are allowing opposing running backs to average just 2.87 YPC so they have the opportunity to slow down Todd Gurley. New Orleans has also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Saints have covered the point spread in 10 straight games in Weeks Five through Nine. Los Angeles (8-0) is in a difficult situation as they are playing their fourth game in their last five contests on the road. Not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after a win at home where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. The Rams generated 416 yards of offense last week against the Packers — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Rams may be the last remaining undefeated team in the league but four of their last five games have been decided by 7 points or less. The LA defense has also allowed at least 27 points in four of their last six games.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams’ defense is allowing opponents to average 4.8 Yards-Per-Carry. The Saints will have success running the football. Look for a few jet sweeps for Alvin Kamara in the first-half which will force the Los Angeles star-studded defensive line to do a lot of running — which could tire them out for the later stages of this game. 10* NFL LA Rams-New Orleans Fox-TV Special with the New Orleans Saints (470) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (457) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (458). THE SITUATION: Carolina (5-2) has won two straight — as well as four of their last five games — with their 36-21 upset win over Baltimore last Sunday as a +2.5-point underdog. Tampa Bay (3-4) has lost four of their last five games with their 37-34 loss in Cincinnati last week as a +3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCCANEERS PLUS THE POINTS: The Panthers may be due for a letdown after pulling off their second straight upset victory as their win over the Ravens followed up an upset win in Philadelphia the week before. Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. The Panthers have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning at least two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last contests. Carolina has not committed a turnover in two straight games which has allowed them win the turnover battle in both these upset wins. But the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after winning the turnover battle in two straight games. Carolina is unscathed in their four home games this year — but they are only outgaining these opponents by +5.3 net YPG. The Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow NFC South opponents. And in their last 9 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests. Tampa Bay should play hard for their veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick who appears to be the locker room favorite over turnover machine Jameis Winston. The Buccaneers’ defense has been a mess but their offensive led by coordinator Todd Monken has kept them in most games. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a point spread win — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the Bucs allowed 402 total yards to the Bengals last week, they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay is comfortable getting into a high-scoring game as they have covered the point spread in 8 straight games following a game where at least 80 points were scored. The Buccaneers have scored at least 26 points in three straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. On the road, Tampa Bay is scoring 30.2 PPG while averaging 482.0 total YPG. The Bucs have covered the points prawn in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have cord the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lastly, Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow NFC South opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after losing three of their last four games.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay’s prolific offense makes them a tough out against any opponent. While I do not expect them to pull the upset, they should keep this game close. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (457) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cleveland Browns (454) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (453). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (2-5-1) finally moved on from the disastrous Hue Jackson regime this week after their 33-18 loss in Pittsburgh as an +8.5-point underdog last Sunday. Kansas City (7-1) has won two straight games with their 30-23 win over Denver last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BROWNS PLUS THE POINTS: I expect an inspired effort from this Cleveland team that has probably grown sick and tired of the empty suit that is Jackson with his constant politicking rather than simply getting in the trenches to coach. After proclaiming that he was going to get more involved with the offense in the previous week, reports are that Jackson failed to follow through on that promise/threat. Now I think Gregg Williams is a raving lunatic — but I do expect the team to rally around him this week with this opportunity to stick it to the departed Jackson. The Browns have been sticky this year with three of their five losses being decided by a field goal. Cleveland’s defense has tons of talent — and they are allowing only 21.2 PPG at home. The Browns have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. And while they allowed 168 rushing yards last week, they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. This team returns home after playing their last two games on the road. Kansas City goes on the road after playing their last two games at home — and they are surrendering 32.8 PPG away from home. Run defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing their opponents to average 5.34 Yards-Per-Carry. The offense has been a machine for the Chiefs behind QB Patrick Mahomes — but they only generated 340 yards of offense last week against the Broncos which might provide a blueprint regarding how to slow down that group. They managed only 49 rushing yards on just 18 carries last week which risks them becoming too-pass dependent moving forward. Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Chiefs did average 8.09 Yards-Per-Play against the Broncos — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after averaging at least 6.0 Yards-Per-Play in their last game. KC has scored at least 30 points in their last three games while averaging 445.7 total YPG in those contests — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after averaging at least 400 YPG in their last three contests. Lastly, the Chiefs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November.

FINAL TAKE: Denver ran the ball 30 times for 189 yards which helped them keep that game close despite it being played in Arrowhead Stadium. Expect plenty of Nick Chubb and (finally) some Duke Johnson as the Browns look to ground and pound to keep this game close. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Cleveland Browns (454) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Jets (459) and the Miami Dolphins (460). THE SITUATION: New York (3-5) has lost two straight games after their 24-10 loss in Chicago as an +8.5-point underdog. Miami (4-4) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five games with their 42-23 loss at Houston two Thursdays ago.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jets have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. New York managed only 207 yards of offense in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after failing to generate at least 250 yards in their last game. The Jets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to gain more than 14 points in their last game. New York will be looking to avenge a 20-12 upset loss to the Dolphins back on September 16th where they were 3-point favorites — and they have played 22 of their last 37 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent. The Jets should be able to establish a strong ground game against this Dolphins defense that has surrendered 189 and 248 rushing yards in their last two games. Miami has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Texans generated 427 yards last week against this regressing Dolphins defense. Miami has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. In their last two games, the Dolphins have surrendered 37 PPG along with 442 total YPG. Miami returns home where they have played 19 of their last 26 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have also played 12 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Expect this rematch to be a higher scoring game than the first meeting between these two teams that saw only 32 combined points. 20* NFL Over/Under Situational Special with Over the Total in the game between the New York Jets (459) and the Miami Dolphins (460). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (456) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (455). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (4-4) has lost three straight games with their 36-21 upset loss at Carolina last week as a -2.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (4-2-1) has won three straight games with their 33-18 win versus Cleveland last week as an -8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAVENS MINUS THE POINTS: Baltimore has suffered upsets in two straight games as that loss to the Panthers was preceded by an upset loss at home to the Saints. This has been a tough stretch for this Ravens team — and this is a must-win situation for them. John Harbaugh’s team has been reliable when responding to adversity as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Baltimore has played four of their last five games on the road so returning home will help. The Ravens are outscoring their visitors by +18.6 PPG while outgaining them by +92.8 net YPG — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games when favored by no more than 3 points. Baltimore has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games against fellow AFC North opponents — and they are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games in the month of November. Pittsburgh remains inconsistent as they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Steelers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games on the road after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Games on the road in the 1 PM ET time slot have been the Kryptonite for Big Ben Roethlisberger as he averages 275.7 passing YPG in his last six road games in the first slate of Sunday afternoon games which is more than 40 yards below the Steelers’ 318 passing YPG average this season. He has tossed only 8 TD passes in those last six road games at 1 PM ET while also throwing six interceptions. Roethlisberger also struggles in Baltimore where the Steelers have lost seven of their last ten games while accounting for 17 turnovers while being sacked 29 times which occurs once every fourteen passing attempts. Pittsburgh has also lost six of their last seven games in Baltimore. Overall, the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against AFC North opponents — and they are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Ravens after losing by a 26-14 score at home back on September 30th. Lastly, this Pittsburgh team remains undisciplined in their play as they are last in the league in penalties and penalty yards — and this could make a big difference in an expected close game.

FINAL TAKE: Baltimore remains a very good team despite two straight losses to two of the best teams of the NFC. Look for this team to step up with a crucial victory back at home against their arch rival. 25* NFL AFC North Game of the Year with the Baltimore Ravens (456) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (455). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (374) minus the points versus the California Golden Bears (373). THE SITUATION: Washington State (7-1) has won four straight games with their 41-38 upset win at Stanford as a +2.5-point favorite last Saturday. California (5-3) has won two straight games with their 12-10 upset win over Washington last week as a +11.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS PLUS THE POINTS: Washington State usually builds off the momentum from victories as they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win as well as 22 of their last 28 games after a point spread victory. A letdown from Mike Leach’s team is unlikely as they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games after an upset victory over a Pac-12 rival. This team is tough to beat when the Leach’s Air Raid offense is cranking on all-cylinders as it is right now under the leadership of graduate transfer quarterback Gardner Minshew. The Cougars have scored at least 34 points in each of their last three games while averaging 475.7 total YPG in those three contests. Washington State has then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after scoring at least 31 points in two straight contests — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after averaging at least 475 YG in their last three games. Now the Cougars return home where they are 4-0 with an average winning margin of +21.0 PPG while outgaining their guests by +205.8 net YPG. While the offense is prolific, it is the play of the defense that makes this team different from past Leach teams. Washington State is holding their visitors to just 17.0 PPG along with only 282.7 total YPG this season. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 home games — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. California is the more likely team to suffer a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after an upset win over a Pac-12 rival. The Golden Bears ave also failed to cover the points spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a win by a field goal or less against a conference rival. Furthermore, Cal has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after a game where no more than 29 combined points were scored. The Golden Bears did hold the the Huskies to just 250 yards of offense last week — but they have failed to over the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home, Cal has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: It is a difficult challenge for the Golden Bears to stay competitive in two straight games where they are an underdog of at least a touchdown. Expect Cal to struggle to keep up with the powerful Cougars offense which should see Washington State eventually pull away. 20* CFB Saturday Late Show Bailout with the Washington State Cougars (374) minus the points versus the California Golden Bears (373). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (420) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (419). THE SITUATION: Alabama (8-0) remained undefeated this season with their 58-21 win at Tennessee as a -29.5-point favorite two weeks ago. LSU (7-1) looks to build off their 19-3 win over Mississippi State two weeks ago as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: This LSU team should play hard for head coach Ed Orgeron who they love playing for — and this is the atmosphere this football team craves for with it being a nationally televised night game in Death Valley. The Tigers are confident — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning four or five of their last six games. The stout LSU defense should keep them in this game. The Tigers rank 7th in the nation by allowing only 15.1 PPG — and they also rank 22nd in the FBS by holding their opponents to only 330.3 total YPG. LSU held the Bulldogs to just 260 yards of offense in their last game — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Tigers are also 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Grinding out low-scoring game is what this time wants to do as they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 33 games after a game where no more than 29 combined points were scored. LSU has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home. They also have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games in SEC play — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight conference games at home. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Alabama looks unbeatable right now — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 road games when laying 7.5 to 14 points. The Crimson Tide have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November. Alabama passed for 327 yards in their victory over the Volunteers — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after passing for at least 325 yards in their last game. And while they held Tennessee to just 258 yards of offense in that blowout win, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: LSU is loaded with talent that can hang with the Crimson Tide blue-chippers. Perhaps most importantly, their secondary can slow down the Alabama passing attack under Tua Tagavailoa to make this something the defending national champions have not experienced in a long time: a close game. It is simply too much to ask any great college football team to defeat another elite team by more than two touchdowns on their home field. 10* CFB Alabama-LSU CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (420) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (419). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (329) minus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (330). THE SITUATION: Kentucky (7-1) has won two straight games after their 15-14 upset victory in Missouri last Saturday as a +7.5-point underdog. Georgia (7-1) defeated Florida on the neutral traditional neutral field in Jacksonville last Saturday by a 36-17 score as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: It has been a magical year so far for head coach Mike Stoops in his sixth season in Lexington — but the Wildcats are likely to be exposed in this game. Kentucky upset Florida and Mississippi State in the first month of the season while those two programs adjusted to new head coaches. They needed a fourth-quarter special teams touchdown to force overtime in College Station before suffering their first loss of the season at Texas A&M. They returned home to only defeat Vanderbilt by a touchdown the next week before pulling the upset last week at Missouri. Even in that game, the Wildcats were trailing by a 14-3 score before they scored on a 67-yard punt return for a touchdown at the 5:18 mark of the 4th quarter. They then scored the winning touchdown on the last play of the game to steal that win to maintain their gaudy 7-1 record. But is the time when Stoops’ teams at Kentucky then take a step back. While the Wildcats have a 28-19 (60%) record before the month of November in Stoops’ tenure at Kentucky, that mark plummets to a 5-18 (.217) record from November to the end of the season for Stoops’ teams at Kentucky. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games in the month of November. Kentucky has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after winning five or six of their last seven games. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games at home. With sophomore Terry Wilson at quarterback, the Kentucky offense is not diverse enough to challenge an elite defense like the Bulldogs. The Wildcats average just 148.1 passing YPG which is 118th in the FBS. Georgia’s defense ranks 12th in the nation by allowing only 16.4 PPG. A victory in this game clinches the Bulldogs’ spot in the SEC Championship Game which keeps alive their dreams of getting back to the College Football Playoffs. Georgia gas covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a victory of at least 17 points — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record, Georgia has covered the point spread in 7 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: Look for the Bulldogs to expose this overachieving Wildcats team. 10* CFB Georgia-Kentucky CBS-TV Special with the Georgia Bulldogs (329) minus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (336) plus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (335). THE SITUATION: North Carolina (1-6) has lost four straight games with their 31-21 loss at Virginia last Saturday as a +7.5-point underdog. Georgia Tech (4-4) has won three of their last four games with their 49-28 upset win at Virginia Tech back on October 25th as a +3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TAR HEELS PLUS THE POINTS: It has been a disappointing season for North Carolina — and head coach Larry Fedora is clearly on the hot seat in his seventh season with the program. But this group is still playing hard for their head coach — three of their losses have been by a touchdown or less. The Tar Heels should continue to play hard this afternoon. North Carolina has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Tar Heels have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after suffering four straight losses. Due to a quirk in the scheduling, North Carolina returns home to play in just their third home game all season — and playing five of their first seven games on the road is a good way to stumble into another disappointing season. The Tar Heels split their two games at home so far this season — upsetting Pittsburgh by a 38-35 score as a 3-point underdog while losing by a 22-19 score to Virginia Tech as a +6.5-point dog. North Carolina has outgained these two opponents by a decisive 504.0 to 388.5 total YPG margin. North Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 home games with the Total set at 63 or higher. The Tar Heels have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. Georgia Tech likely played their best game of the season in their win in Blacksburg against the Hokies behind freshman Tobias Oliver who was elevated to the starting quarterback in that game. Some letdown is likely — and this team is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Yellow Jackets won that game despite their rookie attempting only one pass in that game. All 465 of their yards on offense were from their rushing attack — and they outrushed Virginia Tech by +353 yards. But Georgia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after outrushing their last opponent by at least +150 yards. The Yellow Jackets’ spread triple-option rushing attack does tend to travel — but this is not been a reliable road warrior. Not only has Georgia Tech failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set at 63 or higher but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: North Carolina has been a disappointment this season — but they did enter the season with the hopes to get back to a bowl game after their 3-9 season last year that followed this football team winning nineteen games in their previous two seasons. Playing just their third game at home this year, the Tar Heels are a hidden gem this afternoon. 25* CBB ACC Underdog of the Year with the North Carolina Tar Heels (336) plus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (335). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (396) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (395). THE SITUATION: Baylor (4-4) takes the field again after their embarrassing 58-14 loss at West Virginia back on October 25th as a +14.5-point underdog. Oklahoma State (5-3) looks to build off their 38-35 upset win over Texas as a +2.5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: Baylor was burnt early and often from turnovers in that Thursday night loss to the Mountaineers with sophomore quarterback Charlie Brewer throwing three interceptions before being benched in the first-half. The Bears walked to the locker room with a 41-0 deficit and ended the game with a -4 net turnover margin. But Baylor has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after trailing by at least 24 points — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after enduring a -4 or worse turnover margin in their last game. The Bears are also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 4 games after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored, Baylor has covered the point spread 3 times. Brewer was in the concussion protocol all week from a head injury he suffered in that game but he has been cleared to play in this game. This Bears team has been much improved this season in the second-year in head coach Matt Rhule’s tenure. Baylor returns home where they are 3-1 while outscoring their opponents by +9.2 PPG and outgaining them by +101.5 YPG due to their powerful offense that averages 502.5 total YPG. Oklahoma State snapped their two-game losing streak last Saturday with their upset win at home over the Longhorns — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset loss. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a wild game at home where both teams scored at least 31 points. Now Oklahoma State goes on the road for just the third time this season after enjoying a front-loaded schedule that has seen them pay six of their first eight games at home in Stillwater. The Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in the month of November — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when favored by 3.5 to 10 points

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Colorado Buffaloes (319) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (320). THE SITUATION: Colorado (5-3) has lost three straight games after their devastating 41-34 loss in overtime at home to Oregon State as 24-point favorites last Saturday. Arizona (4-5) snapped their two-game winning streak with a 44-15 upset win over Oregon as a 7-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUFFALOES PLUS THE POINTS: Colorado was cruising right along last week as a big favorite against the Beavers as they went into halftime with a 24-3 lead which they maintained entering the 4th quarter with the score at 31-10. But the Buffaloes never put Oregon State away who eventually clawed back to score a potential game-winning touchdown with just 30 seconds left in the game — but they missed the extra point which gave Colorado one more chance to win that game in overtime. However, the Buffaloes failed to take advantage of that second-chance as the Beavers scored a touchdown in overtime to steal that game as a road underdog of more than three touchdowns. Colorado may have lost a realistic chance to win the Pac-12 North to play for the Pac-12 Championship but head coach Mike MacIntyre still has plenty of reasons to motivate his team after they missed reaching a bowl game last year with a 5-7 record. The Buffaloes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. They also have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after enjoying a halftime lead of at least 17 points in their last game. And while they generated 536 yards of offense last week while averaging 7.15 Yards-Per-Play, Colorado has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after averaging at least 6.25 YPP. MacIntyre typically gets the most out of his team in expected close games as the Buffaloes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games as an underdog getting up to 3 points. Colorado has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a Friday night. Arizona pulled off their biggest win of the season in the first-year under new head coach Kevin Sumlin — but this inconsistent team may be due for a letdown. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after an upset victory — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in eight of their last twelve games after an upset win as a home underdog to a Pac-12 rival. Additionally, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a victory by at least 20 points. The Wildcats generated 465 yards in that game against the Ducks’ defense — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Arizona also held the Oregon offense to just 270 total yards which was more than 150 yards below their 421.7 total YPG defensive average which ranks just 90th in the FBS. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 2 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Arizona stays at home where they are 3-2 this season — but they are being outgained by their visitors by -7.8 net YPG. The Wildcats are 3-3 in conference play while outgaining these opponents by +17.1 net YPG — but that is overwhelmed by the Buffaloes who are outgaining their opponents by +47.0 net YPG despite their 2-3 record in Pac-12 pay. Arizona typically underachieves in expected close games as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: MacIntyre can also play the revenge card in this game after his team was upset by the Wildcats last year by a 45-42 score despite being a 6.5-point favorite at home. Arizona quarterback tore the Buffaloes defense apart by rushing for a whopping 327 yards in that game — but the junior has been slowed down by injuries this season which has limited his dual-threat capabilities. Expect Colorado to avenge that loss — but take the points for some insurance. 25* CFB Friday FS1-TV Game of the Year with the Colorado Buffaloes (319) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (308) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Oakland Raiders (307). THE SITUATION: Oakland (1-6) has lost three straight games with their 42-28 loss at home to Indianapolis last week as a +3.5-point underdog. San Francisco (1-7) has lost six straight games with their 18-15 upset loss at Arizona last Sunday as a -2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO THE 49ERS MINUS THE POINTS: The reeling Raiders have lost three straight games by at least two touchdowns — and that makes them an appealing contrarian option for some tonight. I am not sure the betting line is rewarding that contrarianism with any value with San Francisco only getting the standard home-field 3 points as the favorite — and it certainly is not now with the Raiders being bet to where they are now a small favorite in many locations. Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after suffering three straight losses by at least 10 points. The Raiders have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after losing three of their last four games. This offense is down two of their top weapons from the beginning of the season with wide receiver Amari Cooper traded to the Cowboys and running back Marshawn Lynch placed on Injured Reserve with a groin injury. Doug Martin will be the main running back for the Raiders despite his averaging below 3.0 Yards-Per-Carry in the last two seasons playing in Tampa Bay. Oakland goes back on the road where they are scoring only 13.0 PPG while averaging just 320.2 total YPG. The Raiders are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. The Raiders are unlikely to bounce-back with a strong effort after being thoroughly defeated in their last game (especially on a short week to regroup). The Colts outgained them by 114 net yards last week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after being outgained by at least 100 yards in their last contest. Oakland was outrushed by 119 yards in that loss last week — and they are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Raiders are last in the NFL by allowing 144.7 rushing YPG — and San Francisco should be able to take advantage of this deficiency considering that they are 6th in the NFL by averaging 133.6 rushing YPG. Both Matt Breida and Raheem Mostert are listed as questionable for the 49ers at running back but both are expected to play tonight. It is 50-50 if C.J. Beathard will take the field tonight given his injured right wrist. Yet even if third-stringer Nick Mullens has to be under center tonight, look for the 49ers to figure out a way to win this game — in head coach Kyle Shanahan we trust (when it comes to the offensive side of the ball, at least). San Francisco has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after a loss to a divisional rival by 7 points or less. Additionally, the 49ers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after an upset loss as a favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after an upset loss as a road favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog. Oakland has found many ways to lose in the 4th quarter so far this season — don’t be surprised if they find another way to lose this game. 10* NFL Oakland-San Francisco FOx-TV Special with the San Francisco 49ers (308) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Oakland Raiders (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). THE SITUATION: Oakland (1-6) has lost three straight games with their 42-28 loss at home to Indianapolis last week as a +3.5-point underdog. San Francisco (1-7) has lost six straight games with their 18-15 upset loss at Arizona last Sunday as a -2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raiders have lost three straight games by double-digits with that loss to the Colts. Oakland has played 32 of their last 46 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home including playing five of their last six games Under the Total after a loss by 10 or more points at home. The Raiders have also played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after suffering at least two straight double-digit losses. Oakland needs to play better on defense after surrendering 461 yards to Indianapolis. The Raiders have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 305 yards in their last games — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after giving up at least 30 points in their last game. Oakland will likely try to establish the run to help keep their defense off the field — the Raiders only had the ball for 23:30 minutes last week. This offense is down two of their top weapons from the beginning of the season with wide receiver Amari Cooper traded to the Cowboys and running back Marshawn Lynch placed on Injured Reserve with a groin injury. Doug Martin will be the main running back for the Raiders despite his averaging below 3.0 Yards-Per-Carry in the last two seasons playing in Tampa Bay. Oakland goes back on the road where they are scoring only 13.0 PPG while averaging just 320.2 total YPG. The Raiders have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road. San Francisco has played 23 of their last 40 games Under the Total after losing on the road to a divisional rival. They managed just 267 yards of offense against a not-so-great Arizona defense while blowing a 15-3 fourth-quarter lead. The 49ers are dealing with a host of injuries on that side of the ball with the most significant being to quarterback C.J. Beathard. The backup to Jimmy Garoppolo is dealing with an injured wrist to his throwing hand which leaves him 50-50 to play tonight as of this afternoon’s updates — so this looks like one of those situations where even if he plays, he will not be close to 100%. The third-stringer at QB in Nick Mullens who has yet to take a snap in a regular season game. The Niners are also dealing with injuries at running back with both Matt Breida and Raheem Mostert listed as questionable with injuries. Both are expected to play tonight — but the nagging high ankle sprain to Breida has kept him under 75 yards of rushing in five straight games. This won’t likely stop head coach Kyle Shanahan from trying to run the football as his team has attempted at least 30 rushes in three of their last four games — and they rank 6th in the NFL by averaging 133.6 rushing YPG. The 49ers should have some success in moving the chains against the Raiders defense that is last in the NFL by surrendering 144.7 rushing YPG. Yet San Francisco only scores 19.3 PPG when they are playing at home. Their defense does hold their opponents to just 326.0 total YPG when playing at home in Levi Stadium. Moving forward, the 49ers have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the month of November — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 games on a Thursday night Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: With both these teams struggling to move the ball on offense, expect these two teams hungry for a win attempt to win this game on the line of scrimmage. On the short week for both these teams, expect both coaches to look to go back to basics with the hopes of grinding out a win. That is a formula for a lower scoring game. 25* NFL Thursday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (313) and the Central Florida Knights (314). THE SITUATION: Temple (5-3) has won three straight games with their 24-17 win in overtime versus an undefeated Cincinnati team back on October 20th by a 24-17 score as a -2.5-point favorite. Central Florida (7-0) looks to extend their 20-game winning streak coming off their 37-10 win at East Carolina back on October 20th as a -21.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Knights may receive most of their attention because they hold the nation’s longest winning streak in the nation. Their offense also gets plenty of attention since it ranks 5th in the nation in scoring (44.4 PPG) and 6th in the nation in total offense (537.1 total YPG). But the Central Florida defense is not getting enough credit as that unit also ranks 5th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 18.1. PPG. And back on their home field, the Knights see that number drop to just 17.5 PPG — and they are limiting their visitors to just 324.0 total YPG. Central Florida has played 8 of their last 12 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. Additionally, the Knights have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This team has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Furthermore, Central Florida has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a bye week. Their starting quarterback McKenzie Milton is listed as questionable with head coach Josh Heupel indicating he will be a game-time decision after missing their last game with the Pirates with an ankle injury. Redshirt freshman Darriel Mack struggled to pass the ball in his absence as he only accounted for 69 passing yards — but it looks like Milton will be cleared to play in this game tonight. Regardless, look for the Knights to commit to running the football as they rank 7th in the FBS by averaging 261 rushing YPG. UCF generated 316 yards on the ground without Milton under center which helped them outrush East Carolina by +226 yards. The Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after outrushing their last opponent by at least +200 yards. Temple rushed for only 80 yards while giving the Bearcats their first loss of the season. They were without their star rusher, Ryquell Armstead, in that game — and he is questionable for this contest still with his ankle injury. Second-year head coach Geoff Collins is getting outstanding play out of his defense that has steadily improved this season much like last year. The Owls rank 23rd in the nation by holding their opponents to just 330.5 total YPG — and that number actually drops to a 300.7 total YPG mark when they are playing on the road. Over their last three games, Temple is holding their opponents to just 13.3 PPG along with only 263.7 total YPG. This strong play should continue as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. That game with Cincinnati finished Under the 47 point total, the Owls have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total following a game that finished Under the Total — and they have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. On offense, Temple is getting gritty but spotty play from their sophomore quarterback Anthony Russo who won the starting gig earlier this season but is completing only 56.5% of his passes while sporting a subpar 9:10 touchdown to interception ratio. The Owls will lean heavily on their outstanding pass defense that is 18th in the FBS with 24 sacks which has helped them rank 4th in the nation overall by allowing only 147.5 passing YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Because Milton has practiced this week, the Total has shot up to the 60 range after opening in the 56.6 range. Temple’s formula for defeating their second straight unbeaten opponent will be to slow down their offense and grind out a lower-scoring game. While the Owls may not have enough offensive firepower to pull out the upset, except their defense to keep them competitive while avoiding a shootout. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (313) and the Central Florida Knights (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kent State Golden Flashes (303) plus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (304). THE SITUATION: Kent State (1-7) has lost six straight games after their 24-23 loss in overtime to Akron two Saturdays ago as a +4.5-point underdog. Bowling Green (1-7) has lost five in a row with their 49-14 loss at Ohio on October 20th in a game where they were +16.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN FLASHES PLUS THE POINTS: The Falcons are a complete mess right now having fired their third-year head coach Mike Jinks after a loss at home to Western Michigan on October 13th. The players did not rally around interim head coach Carl Pelini last week as they were crushed at Ohio last week. Bowling Green has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games at home after a loss by at least 17 points. The Falcons only victory this season was an FCS school in Eastern Kentucky — and they have lost three of their four games in conference play by at least 15 points. Bowling Green returns home where they lost all five of their games last year. They are 1-3 at home this year by are being outscored by -11.5 net PPG while being outgained by -149.7 net YPG. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games at home — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games when favored by 3 points or less. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range, Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread 10 times. Kent State has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. The Golden Flashes have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss where they covered the point spread as an underdog. While this team has the same record as Bowling Green, there is more optimism with this football team under first-year head coach Sean Lewis who took over a team that also finished 2-10 last year as the Falcons did. Two of their losses in conference play were by just one point (including last week’s defeat) — and they have accounted for themselves pretty well in a 31-24 loss to Illinois and a 38-17 loss at Ole Miss earlier this season. Three of this team’s losses were by one scoring possession.

FINAL TAKE: Lewis can use as a motivating factor that the Golden Flashes lost to the Falcons by a 44-16 score on October 31st of last year. These are two teams moving in the opposite directions. 10* CFB Kent State-Bowling Green ESPNU Special with the Kent State Golden Flashes (303) plus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (275) and the Buffalo Bills (276). THE SITUATION: New England (5-2) has won four straight games with their 38-31 win over the Bears in Chicago last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. Buffalo (2-5) has lost two straight games with their 37-5 loss to Indianapolis as a 7-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 39 of their last 58 games Over the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored including seeing the Over in five of their last six games after a contest where at least 60 combined points were reached. The New England offense is clicking on all cylinders right now as they have scored at least 38 points in four straight games. The Patriots have then played a decisive 51 of their last 74 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Patriots have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in two straight games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight contests. But while New England is scoring 30.6 PPG, they are concerns with their defense that is allowing 25.6 PPG — and that number rises to 29.6 PPG they are giving up along with 449.3 total YPG to their home hosts. The Bears racked up 453 yards against the Patriots last week — and New England has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Patriots have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing on field turf. Buffalo has not scored more than 13 points in five of their last seven games — and they will be using a guy at quarterback who was sitting on his couch out of the league only a few weeks ago. Those are scary propositions for the Over. But be wary of expecting another low-scoring game from a team that has paid off five straight Under tickets. I expect Derek Anderson to be better at quarterback tonight than he was last week against the Colts where he completed 20 of 31 passes for 175 yards but threw three interceptions. Anderson will have LeSean McCoy at running back tonight as he has been cleared from the concussion protocol — and that will help as the Patriots are allowing 4.6 Yards-Per-Carry. If the Bills can reach their 16.5 PPG scoring average at home, then that should be enough to secure our Over bet. Buffalo has played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total on their home field — and they have also played 10 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the number in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Bills gave up 220 rushing yards to the Colts last week — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. And in their last 10 appearances on Monday Night Football, the game finished Over the Total 7 times.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 encounters in Buffalo Over the Total. I am not sure how the Bills will score in this game — and perhaps Anderson and Nathan Peterman will throw a bunch more interceptions tonight. One way or another, expect this game to finish Over the Total. 25* NFL AFC East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (275) and the Buffalo Bills (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (276) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (275). THE SITUATION: New England (5-2) has won four straight games with their 38-31 win over the Bears in Chicago last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. Buffalo (2-5) has lost two straight games with their 37-5 loss to Indianapolis as a 7-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BILLS PLUS THE POINTS: New England enjoyed a stacked schedule of three straight games at home where they scored a combined 117 points before traveling to Chicago last week. The Patriots are playing just their fourth game away from home tonight — and they are only 1-2 on the road with an average losing margin of -6.6 PPG. New England is being outgained by -152.0 net YPG when on the road which makes their position as a road favorite laying around two touchdowns pretty jarring. The Patriots are allowing home teams to score 29.3 PPG along with averaging 449.3 total YPG. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Patriots have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 road games when laying 7.5 to 14 points. Additionally, New England is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Monday Night Football. Buffalo has rebounded to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games after a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. The Bills have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread defeat. Buffalo’s loss to the Colts came on the heels of their 20-13 loss at Houston where they went into halftime with a 10-0 deficit. The Bills have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing two straight games. And while they fell behind by a 24-0 halftime score to Indianapolis last week, Buffalo has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after trailing by double-digits at halftime in two straight games. It will be Derek Anderson under center despite him laying on his couch earlier this month. The veteran completed 20 of 31 passes for 175 yards but threw three interceptions in that loss to the Colts. He should be better this week — and he will have LeSean McCoy at running back after he passed the concussion protocol yesterday. The Bills have not scored more than 13 points in four straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 39 games after failing to score more than 17 points in two straight games. A -3 net turnover margin helped to do Buffalo in last week to the Colts — but they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 home games after enduring a -3 or worse net turnover margin.

FINAL TAKE: This is just too many points to pass up on a home underdog facing a divisional rival. No bettor feels great about defending the Derek Anderson Experience tonight. Making money sometimes means having to back ugly teams. Remember, we are betting on point spreads — not on good or bad teams. 10* NFL New England-Buffalo ESPN Special with the Buffalo Bills (276) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (275). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (273) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (274). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (5-1) won their fifth straight game last week with their 24-23 win in Baltimore last week as a +2.5-point underdog. Minnesota (4-2-1) has won three straight games with their 37-17 win in New York against the Jets last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE POINTS: New Orleans will have revenge on their minds after losing to the Vikings in the playoffs last January on this same field on a last-second touchdown pass that spoiled their chances of playing in the NFC Championship Game in that fateful 29-24 loss to Minnesota. The Saints have won five straight games and they should build off the momentum of their nice win against a tough opponent like the Ravens on the road. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and this includes their last four straight games after a victory. New Orleans is playing outstanding run defense as they are holding their opponents to just 2.87 Yards-Per-Carry while leading the league by allowing only 108 rushing YPG. The Saints have not allowed more than 77 rushing yards in four straight games after Baltimore managed that amount last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 99 rushing yards in their last game. New Orleans did allow 351 yards overall to the Ravens — but they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Sean Payton’s team usually thrives this time of year as they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 26 games in the month of October. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning record at home. New Orleans certainly will not mind playing in the optimal conditions in the Vikings’ domed stadium — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Minnesota. The Vikings only generated 316 yards of offense in their 20-point win over the Jets. This team is missing two critical pieces on offense with running back Dalvin Cook and left tackle Riley Rieff both out for this game. Minnesota’s blowout again truth Jets was facilitated by a +4 net turnover margin last week — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after benefiting from a +4 or better net turnover margin in their last game. The Vikings defense is playing better after a slow start this season — they have not allowed more than 71 rushing yards in their last two games. But Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in two straight games. Lastly, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota signed quarterback Kirk Cousins to win games like this despite them pulling out their miracle win over the Saints in the playoffs last year. But this Saints team remains more powerful on offense improving on defense —and they will be a highly motivated team to get a small measure of revenge from last year’s heartbreaking loss. 10* NFL New Orleans-Minnesota NBC-TV Special with the New Orleans Saints (273) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (273) and the Minnesota Vikings (274). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (5-1) won their fifth straight game last week with their 24-23 win in Baltimore last week as a +2.5-point underdog. Minnesota (4-2-1) has won three straight games with their 37-17 win in New York against the Jets last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Saints have covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. New Orleans has also played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a narrow win by 3 points or less. Expect the Saints to once again focus on their ground game to win the Time of Possession battle which keeps their defense fresh while keeping a good offense off their home field. That was the formula for success last week against the Ravens as they ran the ball 39 times for 134 yards which helped them control Time of Possession for 33:31 minutes. New Orleans is also playing outstanding run defense as they are holding their opponents to just 2.87 Yards-Per-Carry while leading the league by allowing only 108 rushing YPG. The Saints have not allowed more than 77 rushing yards in four straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 99 rushing yards in two straight games. Their pass defense received a boost this week with the acquisition of cornerback Eli Apple — I expect him to get some time on the field in this game in obvious passing situations despite just joining the team. New Orleans stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total. The Saints have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of October. Minnesota has covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Additionally, the Vikings have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win on the road. Mike Zimmer’s team has stepped up their play on the defensive side of the football. Over their last three games, they are holding their opponents to just 18.3 PPG along with just 298.7 total YPG. This unit is also the top 3rd down in the NFL — and they will be getting a boost in this game with their elite defensive end Everson Griffen cleared to play again by the team after dealing with some off-the-field issues. The Vikings offense is undermanned with running back Delvin Cook out with a hamstring and left tackle Riley Reiff also out with a foot injury. Minnesota is only scoring 19.0 PPG on their home field while averaging 348.7 total YPG which is more than 30 yards below their season average. But their visitors are averaging just 296.0 total YPG. The Vikings have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 6 of the last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Minnesota offense exploded for 37 points last week, they have then played a decisive 36 of their last 52 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points — and this includes them playing seven of their last eight games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points. The Vikings had only 316 yards of offense in that win over the Jets but benefited from a +4 net turnover margin. Minnesota has then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where they had at least a +2 net turnover margin. And in their last 12 games as an underdog, the Vikings have played 8 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: While it might be tempting to think these two teams with potent passing attacks will get into a shootout, this shapes up to be a game where both teams will be looking to keep the other team’s offense off the field. 25* NFC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (273) and the Minnesota Vikings (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (269) minus the point(s) versus the Arizona Cardinals (270). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (1-6) has lost five straight games after their 39-10 loss to the LA Rams last Sunday as an 8-point underdog. Arizona (1-6) has lost two straight games with their 45-10 loss at home to Denver on Thursday Night Football last week as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 49ERS MINUS THE POINT(S): San Francisco will be playing with revenge on their minds from a 28-18 loss to the Cardinals three weeks ago. The Niners were 3-point favorites in that game and dominated the contest at the line of scrimmage by outgaining the Cardinals by +237 net yards but were stymied by a +5 net turnover margin to give that game away. The 49ers have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 34 games when attempting to avenge an upset loss. San Francisco should play better after being overwhelmed by the last remaining undefeated team in the league. The 49ers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss at home to an NFC West rival. Despite winning only one game, this team is playing hard for second-year head coach Kyle Shanahan despite the disappointing season-ending injury to quarterback Jimmy Garappolo. San Francisco has lost three of their games by one scoring possession. Second-year QB C.J. Beathard has been solid under center this year save for last week’s game with the Rams. He is supported by a rushing attack that is second in the NFL that averages 127 rushing YPG that will be getting Matt Breida back from injury for this contest. The Niners have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. San Francisco needs to do a better job protecting the football as they suffered a -4 net turnover margin last week after enduring a -3 net turnover margin two weeks ago in Green Bay - and that was the game after their turnover-fest against this Cardinals team. The 49ers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after suffering at least a -2 net turnover margin in three straight games. Now San Fran goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a losing record at home. The Niners have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games in Arizona against the Cardinals. Arizona has only forced seven turnovers in their other six games this season besides the game where they were gifted five times by these 49ers. The Cardinals’ offense is a complete mess as was painfully demonstrated in that Thursday night game where they managed only 223 yards of offense while surrendering two pick-six interceptions returned for touchdowns in just the first quarter of that game. That was too much for rookie head coach Steve Wilks who promptly fired offensive coordinator Mike McCoy. As if it is McCoy’s fault for a conservative game plan — this is the same offensive head coach who helped Peyton Manning in Denver along with Philip Rivers in San Diego thrive behind dynamic passing attacks. He was replaced by Bryon Leftwich who is considered a rising star in the coaching ranks. But Leftwich cannot fix a broken offensive line that was already one of the worst units in the league before left guard Mike Iupati suffered his shoulder injury that will keep him out for this game. Leftwich has no experience calling plays as well — save for some authority given to him during the preseason. The Cardinals are last in the NFL in rushing yards (64.6 YPG), total yards (220.9 YPG), 3rd down success rate (23.1%) and Big Plays (26). Leftwich can install flashier schemes for rookie quarterback Josh Rosen — but if the young QB still struggles to grasp the playbook, becoming more aggressive with this offensive line might be the quickest route for a season-ending injury for their franchise quarterback. Wilks is struggling in his first year as a head coach — and one of the benefits McCoy brought was years of coaching experience including a stint as the head coach with the Chargers. This is all bad news for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games when being listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: While both these teams have only won one game, the 49ers have been much more competitive in their games. Look for them to avenge their earlier loss to the Cardinals. 25* NFC West Game of the Month with the San Francisco 49ers (269) minus the point(s) versus the Arizona Cardinals (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (264) minus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (263). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (4-3) looks to bounce-back from their embarrassing 45-10 loss on Sunday night in Kansas City to the Chiefs by a 45-10 score. Tampa Bay (3-3) snapped their three-game losing streak last Sunday with their 26-23 win in overtime over Cleveland as a -3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BENGALS MINUS THE POINTS: Cincinnati should rebound with a strong effort in the bland 1 PM ET time slot away from the national spotlight of a prime-time game that apparently still plagues this football team. The Bengals have lost two straight games with that loss to the Chiefs following up their heartbreaking loss at home to the Steelers — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after losing their last two games. Cincinnati needs to play better on the defensive side of the football after allowing Kansas City to generate 551 yards of offense the week after the Steelers gained 481 yards. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Patrick Mahomes ripped this Cincy defense for 353 passing yards last week — but the Bengals have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after allowing at least 350 passing yards. They also have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 27 games at home after allowing at least 300 passing yards. Cincinnati has covered 5 of their last 7 games at home overall. On offense, the Bengals managed to generate only 239 yards against the Chiefs’ defense — but they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to gain more than 250 yards in their last game. Shipping in the Buccaneers defense might be just what the doctor ordered for Andy Dalton and company. Tampa Bay is last in the NFL by allowing 32.7 PPG — and this unit that is ravaged with injuries has been particularly soft against passing attacks. The Buccaneers are last in the NFL by allowing 327.5 passing YPG while also ranking last in the league by allowing 18 passing touchdowns. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging a 125.8 Passer Rating which is last in the NFL. Tampa Bay has suffered a season-ending injury to cornerback Vernon Hargreaves while placing middle linebacker Kwon Alexander on Injured Reserve. Sam linebacker Kendell Beckwith is out with an ankle injury while Gerald McCoy and Vinny Curry are dealing with injuries that have compelled the team to declare them out for this afternoon. Ouch. As it is, the Buccaneers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a point spread win. Tampa Bay is also 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of October. The Bucs offense is playing well with Jameis Winston again under center. After gaining 456 yards two weeks ago in Atlanta, Tampa Bay generated 456 yards of offense last week. But Tampa Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 400 yards in two straight games. But Winston’s return to starting quarterback has also seen plenty of turnovers. After a -2 net turnover margin against the Falcons, the Bucs had a -3 net turnover margin last week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after suffering a -2 net turnover margin in their last contest. Now this team goes on the road where they are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Back at home playing in this afternoon game, the Bengals should get back to their winning ways with a decisive victory. 20* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Cincinnati Bengals (264) minus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (263). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (159) minus the points versus the Nevada Wolf Pack (160). THE SITUATION: San Diego State (6-1) has won six games in a row with their 16-13 win over San Jose State last Saturday as a 25.5-point favorite. Nevada (4-4) returns home after their 40-22 upset win at Hawai’i last week as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE AZTECS MINUS THE POINTS: The Wolf Pack is likely due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Nevada outgained the Warriors by +110 net yards in that win — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games are outgaining their last opponent by at least +125 net yards. And while that game finished below the 67 point Total, the Wolf Pack have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Nevada’s “Pack Attack” version of the Air Raid offense generated 481 yards in that game while averaging 7.18 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. The Wolf Pack are facing a significant increase in competition in level of play from a defense tonight as the Aztecs rank 14th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 306.9 total YPG. In Nevada’s previous two games at home hosting Fresno State and Boise State, they averaged only 15.0 PPG while generating just 356.5 total YPG which was over 75 yards below their season average. But defense is the bigger concern for this team as they are allowing 32.1 PPG which is 98th in the FBS due mainly to a leaky secondary that is allowing 261.9 passing YPG which is 107th in the nation. This Wolf Pack team has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. San Diego State has not covered the point spread in three of their last four games — but they have covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four contests. They have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread loss while they have also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. Head coach Rocky Long’s team has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after winning a game where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. The Aztecs’ offense has dealt with two challenging injuries with senior quarterback Christian Chapman and junior running back Juwan Washington has been out since September with injuries. Junior quarterback Ryan Agnew completed only 7 passes of his 11 attempts for 86 yards last week while adding another 16 yards — but it is not like Chapman was a gunslinger before his injury. Agnew does offer the offense more of a rushing threat than Chapman does. The Aztecs offense has been successful using a committee of running backs that combined to accumulate 207 yards last week on 47 carries. Sophomore Chase Jasmin has rushed for 460 yards this season after gobbling up 79 yards on 19 carries last week while freshman Chance Bell added another 81 yards on the ground on 15 carries. This is San Diego State’s formula for success — and they are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Aztecs held the Spartans to only 62 rushing yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after outrushing their last opponent by at least +125 net yards. San Diego State has also turned the ball over once in each of the last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after not turning the ball over more than once in their last contest. This Rocky Long recipe has helped his team cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Aztecs have won twenty-five of their last twenty-nine games in Mountain West Conference play over the last four seasons because of their outstanding defense and a commitment to run the football and not risk turning the ball over. The San Diego State offense will be facing a 3-3-5 defensive formation that they practice against every day. Nevada was likely to bounce-back from their disappointing 3-9 season last year — but this is a football program that has steadily declined from the strong Chris Ault-coached era that concluded in 2012. 25* CFB Mountain West Conference Game of the Year with the San Diego State Aztecs (159) minus the points versus the Nevada Wolf Pack (160). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Mississippi State Bulldogs (174) plus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (173). THE SITUATION: Mississippi State (4-3) looks to bounce-back from their 19-3 loss at LSU last Saturday as a 5-point underdog. Texas A&M (5-2) has won three straight games after their 26-23 win at South Carolina two Saturdays ago as a -2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: The Bulldogs return home for this game where they are 3-1 this season with an average winning margin of +27.5 PPG. Mississippi State is scoring 37.0 PPG at home while averaging 461.2 total YPG. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 39 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Don’t blame the Mississippi State defense for their loss in Death Valley last week as they held LSU to just 239 yards of offense. The Bulldogs have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. This defense ranks 4th in the nation by allowing only 13.6 PPG — and they also rank 5th in the FBS by only surrendering 282.5 total YPG. This team usually exceeds expectations in expected low-scoring games as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record, Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 7 of these contests. Texas A&M may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after winning five or six of their last seven games. The Aggies have outgained their last two opponents by +181 net yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after outgaining their last two opponents by at least +175 net yards per contest. Now this team stays on the road for just their third game this season — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 road games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Texas A&M is also just 22-47-1 ATS in their last 70 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: While Mississippi State opened as the favorite, the betting action has installed them as small underdogs now — and that value is too good to pass up. 10* CFB Texas A&M-Mississippi State ESPN Special with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (174) plus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (173). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (125) and the Syracuse Orange (126). THE SITUATION: NC State (5-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week with their 41-7 loss at Clemson as an +18.5-point underdog. Syracuse (5-2) enters this game coming off a 40-37 win in overtime over North Carolina as a -9.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wolfpack have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points in their last game. NC State managed only 297 yards of offense against the Tigers in that game — and they have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Wolfpack are scoring 28.7 PPG this season — but the number drops to just 22.0 PPG in their two games on the road so far this year. NC State has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on the road. The Wolfpack did allow 471 yards to Clemson in that first loss of the season — but not only have they then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game while also seeing the Under go 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. NC State does have a good defense that ranks 31st in the nation by allowing 20.8 PPG. Syracuse has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also seen the Under go 9-2-1 in their last 12 games after a point spread setback. The Orange did generate 546 yards of offense in that game that needed overtime to resolve — but they have then see the Under go 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Syracuse allowed 500 yards to the Tar Heels in that contest as well — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Orange stay at home where they are making it difficult for opponents to move the football. Syracuse is allowing only 18.7 PPG in four contests at home. The Under is 11-3-1 in the Orange’s last 15 games home — and this includes the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: This Total has risen to the high-60s in large part because of the fast pace that this Syracuse engages in under head coach Dino Babers’s up-tempo system. But the Wolfpack head coach Dave Doreen will be well aware of this dynamic and look to slow the game down when his team has the football. NC State won last year’s meeting with the Orange by a 33-25 score which fell well below the 62.5 total. That was the 5th game finish Under the Total in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (125) and the Syracuse Orange (126). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (201) plus the points versus the Iowa State Cyclones (202). THE SITUATION: Iowa State (3-3) takes the field again after their 30-14 upset win at home over West Virginia as a +4.5-point favorite two Saturdays ago. Texas Tech (5-2) has five of their last six games with their 48-16 win over Kansas last Saturday as a -17.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED RAIDERS PLUS THE POINTS: Iowa State is due for a big letdown after pulling off their second straight upset victory against a Big 12 rival. Before upsetting the Mountaineers two weeks ago, the Cyclones traveled to Stillwater to upset Oklahoma State by a 48-42 score as a 10-point underdog. Iowa State has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after pulling off two straight upset victories. The Cyclones have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset victory by at least two touchdowns as a home underdog. Iowa State has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 after an upset win as a home underdog against a Big 12 rival. This Cyclones team does not boast a prolific offense as they rank 100th in the nation by scoring just 24.7 PPG and totaling 360.2 total YPG. Texas Tech can score — they rank 6th in the nation by scoring 43.9 PPG and they also rank 4th in the FBS by averaging 551.9 total YPG. The Red Raiders have covered the points spread in 12 of their last 14 games after playing a game at home — and this includes them covering the point spread in five of their last six games after a win on their home field. Additionally, Texas Tech generated 553 yards of offense in their win against the Jayhawks — and not only have they covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game but they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after generating at least 525 yards in their last game. This Red Raiders team has covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after covering the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Now Texas Tech goes back on the road where they have a 2-1 record — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. The offensive firepower of this Red Raiders team helps them be a dangerous underdog. Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa State is due for a letdown in this spot — and they are hosting a team they soundly defeated by a 31-13 score last October. The Red Raiders’ high-powered offense should keep them competitive in this game. 20* CFB Texas Tech-Iowa State ESPN2 Special with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (201) plus the points versus the Iowa State Cyclones (202). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (206) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (205). THE SITUATION: Clemson (7-0) remained undefeated last week with their 41-7 blowout win over NC State as a -17.5-point favorite. Florida State (4-3) has won three of their last four games with their 38-17 win over Wake Forest as a -10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SEMINOLES PLUS THE POINTS: The Tigers took care of business against the undefeated Wolfpack last week — but this team may be ripe for a letdown now. Clemson has failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after winning at least six straight games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least seven straight games in a row. The Tigers did generate 471 yards in that win over NC State — but they are 2-5-1 ATS In their last 8 games are gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Clemson has also failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after winning at least three straight games in a row against fellow ACC opponents. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 road games when they are laying more than two touchdowns. Florida State is steadily improving under first-year head coach Willie Taggart. The Seminoles typically build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite. Florida State has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after winning three of their last four games. The Seminoles generated 471 yards of offense against the Demon Deacons with their quarterback Deondre Francois completing 28 of 40 passes for 341 yards with two TD passes. Florida State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Seminoles defense is improving as well as they have not allowed more than 115 rushing yards in four straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in at least two straight games. They host this game where they are 3-1 at home this year — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Florida State will be looking to avenge a 31-14 loss to Clemson last year where they were getting 16 points as a road underdog. The Seminoles remain loaded with talent as they move in the new direction under Taggart. The Tigers have a freshman quarterback playing in a hostile environment with very high stakes at this point of the season with the College Playoff Rankings coming out on Tuesday. Expect a closer game than expected. 10* CFB Clemson-Florida State ABC-TV Special with the Florida State Seminoles (206) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (188) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Purdue Boilermakers (187). THE SITUATION: Michigan State (4-3) has lost two of their last three games after losing their rivalry game at home against Michigan last Saturday by a 21-7 score as a 7.5-point underdog. Purdue (4-3) has won four straight games after their huge 49-20 upset over Ohio State last Saturday night as a 12-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPARTANS MINUS (OR PLUS) THE POINT(S): That was the biggest wins in the first two years in head coach Jeff Brohm’s tenure at Purdue to upset the Buckeyes at home on national television. A letdown for this team is likely. As it is, the Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. After losing their first three games of the season to Northwestern, Eastern Michigan and Missouri, Purdue has won their last four contests. This team has raced out to fast starts in their last three games with halftime leads of 20-7 at Nebraska followed by a 29-7 lead at Illinois before taking Ohio State to the locker room at halftime with a 14-3 lead last week. But it is difficult to sustain these opening leads — and this Boilermakers team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after leading by double-digits at halftime in three straight games. Purdue is led by quarterback David Blough who is leading an offense that is 6th in the nation by averaging 337.6 passing YPG. The Boilermakers have averaged at least 328 passing yards in three straight games — and they have generated at least 516 total yards in those contests. But Purdue has then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after passing for at least 300 yards in three straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in three straight games. Blough passed for 378 yards last week against the Ohio State defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after passing for at least 375 yards in their last game. This team goes on the road for just the third time this season after relatively easy trips to Nebraska and Illinois — and it will be challenging to maintain their high level of proficiency in the passing game in the cold Michigan air this afternoon. The Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 road games as an underdog getting 7 or fewer points. Michigan State has lost three times this season which is a disappointment to head coach Mark Dantonio after he returned nineteen starters from last year’s team that finished 10-3 with a 42-17 win over Washington State in the Holiday Bowl. The Spartans were completely stymied on offense last week against the stout Wolverines defense as they managed only 95 total yards. Junior quarterback Brian Lewerke is out for this game after suffering a shoulder injury — so redshirt freshman Rocky Lombardi will be under center for this game. The 6’3 signal caller has a similar profile as Lewerke with his strong arm and mobility — so I do not expect much of a downgrade in the Michigan State offense. Lombardi will be throwing against a vulnerable Boilermakers’ pass defense that ranks 127th in the nation by allowing 296.4 passing YPG. Purdue allowed 546 yards in their win over the Buckeyes last week — and they rank 103rd in the nation by allowing 433.1 total YPG. The Spartans need to win this game in the trenches by flexing their muscles on defense. After returning nine starters and 86% of the tackles from last year’s unit that finished 7th in the nation by allowing 297.6 total YPG, this year’s group has taken a step back by allowing 355.3 total YPG which is 44th in the FBS. The Michigan State run defense has been outstanding as they second in the nation by allowing only 79.6 rushing YPG — but they are getting torched in the passing game by allowing 275.7 passing YPG which is 116th in the nation. The Sparty pass defense has improved in the last two weeks as they have allowed only 404 combined passing yards in their last two games against Penn State and Michigan. While the secondary has seen an injury to returning starter Josiah Scott at cornerback, Michigan State returned all five starters from their secondary last season so these have been proven players. Expect the Spartans to respond with a strong effort this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Michigan State has only covered the point spread twice in their seven games this season — but they have then covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: Purdue has benefitted from both a light and favorable schedule away from home so far this season — and their reliance on their passing attack will be harder to execute as the weather changes. Michigan State has underachieved at home this year — but this remains a talented team that will be angry after last week’s loss to the Wolverines. 25* CFB Big Ten Game of the Month with the Michigan State Spartans (188) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Purdue Boilermakers (187). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (120) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (119). THE SITUATION: UCLA (2-5) has won two straight games with their 31-30 win over Arizona last Saturday as a 10-point favorite. Utah (5-2) has won three straight games after their 41-28 win over USC as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS PLUS THE POINTS: Utah has registered double-digit victories in three straight games against Stanford, Arizona, and USC in a stretch where they have averaged at least 41 PPG. But head coach Kyle Whittingham’s team may be due for a letdown now as a double-digit road favorite — especially against a struggling UCLA team that they crushed by a 48-17 score last season. The Utes are 3-2 in Pac-12 play so far this season — but they are still an unimpressive 31-37 straight-up in their last sixty-eight games against Pac-12 competition over the last seven and a half seasons. Utah did hold the Trojans with their rookie quarterback J.T. Daniels to just 132 passing yards last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. The Utes go back on the road where they may have a 2-1 record but they are only outgaining their opponents by +0.4 net YPG. Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 road games when favored by 7.5 to 14 points. UCLA is playing better football in winning their last two games this season. First-year head coach Chip Kelly has cleaned house by removing many of the players he inherited from the bloated and underachieving Jim Mora era. This is now a very young team that Kelly and his staff are coaching up. The improvements are most pronounced on offense where they have scored 34.0 PPG in their last two games while averaging 405.5 total YPG. Kelly got a boost last week with the healthy return of quarterback Wilton Speight who completed 17 of 27 passes for 204 yards with two touchdown passes. The graduate transfer from Michigan may not be mobile but he can operate the Kelly up-tempo offense that emphasizes an efficient passing attack similar to the one that Nick Foles successfully executed for Kelly in his first year with the Philadelphia Eagles. Speight will likely get the start in this game after missing time since the opening game of the season after he took the practice snaps with the first team this week. Freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson is dealing with an arm issue which makes his questionable tonight but Kelly has said he might be under center for parts of this game. The Bruins’ defense has been opportunistic in their last two games as they have forced eight turnovers. UCLA leads the Pac-12 with a +6 turnover margin — and the atmosphere of this nationally televised night game may help coax some mistakes by the Utes. The Bruins have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. UCLA has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 24 games after losing five or six of their last seven contests, the Bruins have covered the point spread in 16 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Utah is primed for a letdown after three easy victories — especially after the highs of defeating Stanford and USC. Expectations are low for this young Bruins team right now — but there remains talent which makes them dangerous as they continue to develop under Kelly and his coaching staff that have not forgotten how to coach. Lastly, the ability for Kelly to call on their 31-point loss to the Utes last year will surely be a good motivator. 25* CFB Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the UCLA Bruins (120) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (119). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (122) plus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (121). THE SITUATION: Colorado State (3-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Friday with their 56-28 loss at Boise State as a +23.5-point underdog. Wyoming (2-6) has lost four in a row with their 24-16 loss at home to Utah State as a +13.5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS PLUS THE POINTS: Colorado State actually outgained the Broncos in that game by 489 to 472 yards. The Rams allowed a 74-yard punt return for a touchdown along with a 44-yard kickoff return for a touchdown while enduring a -3 net turnover margin to lose control of keeping that game close. Colorado State did not force a turnover in that game — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a game where they did not force a turnover. The Rams went into the locker room trailing by a 35-0 score — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. And while they allowed Boise State to pass for 322 yards in that loss, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last contest. Colorado State had covered point spread expectations in their previous two games before last week — and they have covered the point spread in a decisive of 55 of their last 85 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Head coach Mike Bobo is making a change at quarterback as he has tapped sophomore Collin Hill to be under center tonight after he completed 12 of 14 passes in relief last week for 135 passing yards. Hill won the starting job as a freshman last year but his career has been derailed by two torn ACLs over the last two seasons. He looks to be a big upgrade over K.J. Carta-Samuels who has been lackluster as the starter this year as a grad transfer from Washington. This is a team that defeated Arkansas and New Mexico on their home field — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games as an underdog getting 3 points or less. Wyoming has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to score at least 20 points. The Cowboys went into halftime with a 10-3 deficit against the Aggies — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to score more than a field goal in the first half of their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 1-3 with their lone winning being against an FCS school in Wofford. Wyoming has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Cowboys are scoring only 14.5 PPG away from home while generating a mere 292.2 total YPG on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 road games when laying the points. They have only covered the point spread once this season — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams opened as a small favorite but the betting action has been on the Cowboys which makes this a very nice value situation in the Battle for the Bronze Boot. 10* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Colorado State Rams (122) plus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (121). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (103) plus the points versus the Houston Texans (104). THE SITUATION: Miami (4-3) has lost three of their last four games with their 32-21 loss to Detroit as a 3-point underdog on Monday. Houston (4-3) has won four straight games with their 20-7 upset win at Jacksonville last week as a +3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DOLPHINS PLUS THE POINTS: The Texans are prime candidates for an emotional letdown after their big upset win on the road on Sunday. Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after an upset win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after an upset win over an AFC South rival. Furthermore, this inconsistent Texans team has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning their last two games under head coach Bill O’Brien. The Texans upset the Jaguars despite generating only 272 yards of offense with quarterback DeShaun Watson completing just 12 of 24 passes for 139 passing yards. The second-year pro is clearly not at 100% as he deals with a collapsed lung and broken rib. These injuries have limited his dual-threat capabilities as he has rushed for only 15 yards in his last two games. Houston returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games. The Texans have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against AFC opponents. And in their last 8 opportunities to play on a short-week on a Thursday, Houston has failed to cover the point spread 7 times. Miami has gotten surprisingly better play out of quarterback Brock Osweiler who seems to perform better in the role of relief pitcher rather than the heir apparent starter. Osweiler is completing 67.5% of his passes while averaging 8.2 Yards-Per-Attempt while tossing six TD passes to just two interceptions while Ryan Tannehill completed 65.9% of his passes while averaging 7.5 YPA with eight TD passes but 5 interceptions in his five starts before suffering his shoulder injury. Osweiler did a better job of getting the ball out of his hand as he did not take a sack against the Bears defense two weeks ago (but he did take four sacks last week against the Lions with his team playing from behind). On defense, the Dolphins have allowed their last two opponents to average 8.02 and 7.53 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 6.5 YPP. Miami dumped a few of their high-profile players with high salaries in the offseason — but I liked these moves because they left this group under head coach Adam Gase feisty with a better team environment.

FINAL TAKE: We need to remember that we are not betting for or against teams: we are betting for or against point spreads. Asking the Texans to win by a touchdown or more is simply too much to ask of them. Somehow, look for this Dolphins team that has embraced the concept of being the whole being stronger than the individual parts to keep this game close. 10* NFL Miami-Houston Fox-TV Special with the Miami Dolphins (103) plus the points versus the Houston Texans (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (103) and the Houston Texans (104). THE SITUATION: Miami (4-3) has lost three of their last four games with their 32-21 loss to Detroit as a 3-point underdog on Monday. Houston (4-3) has won four straight games with their 20-7 upset win at Jacksonville last week as a +3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dolphins have turned to Brock Osweiler at quarterback with Ryan Tannehill dealing with a shoulder injury. Osweiler was outstanding in his first start against the Bears where he led an offense that tallied 541 yards while averaging 7.21 Yards-Per-Play. The Miami offense slowed down last week against the Lions by generating 322 yards while averaging 6.44 YPP. The Dolphins have played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total after gaining at least 6.0 YPP in each of their last two games. Osweiler faces his toughest challenge yet against his former team with the Texans’ head coach Bill O’Brien and his defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel likely licking their chops to get after their former quarterback who was an utter flop after signing a big contract with them. Osweiler will also be limited tonight with his wide receiving unit being a M*A*S*H unit right now with DeVante Parker, Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson all out for this game. After playing their last two games at home, the Dolphins go on the road where they are scoring 14.5 PPG while averaging just 242.0 total YPG. Miami has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Additionally, the Dolphins have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. Furthermore, Miami is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games Under the Total when playing on a short-week Thursday game. Houston has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Texans won that game despite generating only 272 yards of offense with quarterback DeShaun Watson completing just 12 of 24 passes for 139 passing yards. The second-year pro is clearly not at 100% as he deals with a collapsed lung and broken rib. These injuries have limited his dual-threat capabilities as he has rushed for only 15 yards in his last two games. O’Brien wants his team grinding out low-scoring games as his team has not scored above 22 points more than once this year. The Texans have played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to pass for more than 150 yards in their last game under O’Brien. The Houston defense is playing quite well as they have only 12.0 PPG along with just 260.0 total YPG over their last three games. The Texans held the Jaguars to only 70 rushing yards on 22 carries — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. With Miami’s depleted wide receiving corps, they will commit to running the football — but they will go against a Houston defense that is holding opposing rushers to just 3.35 Yards-Per-Carry. The Dolphins have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home  — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Neither of these teams wants a higher scoring game — especially when both of these teams are playing on a short week. Expect a lower scoring game. 25* NFL Thursday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (103) and the Houston Texans (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (109) and the Georgia Southern (110). THE SITUATION: Appalachian State (5-1) has won five straight games with their 27-17 win over UL-Lafayette on Saturday by a 27-17 score as a -24.5-point favorite. Georgia Southern (6-1) has won four games in a row themselves after their 48-31 win at New Mexico State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mountaineers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival from the Sun Belt. They generated 258 yards on the ground in that win over the Ragin’s Cajuns — and they have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Appalachian State churns time off the clock which helps their outstanding defense stay fresh. The Mountaineers rank 8th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 294.8 total YPG — and they also rank 11th in the FBS by limiting their opponents to just 15.7 PPG. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games played on a Thursday night, they have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Georgia Southern has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win —an they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Eagles gained 389 rushing yards in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. This team will certainly look to run the ball again tonight to keep the Mountaineers’ offense the field. Georgia Southern is only allowing 19.3 PPG which ranks 24th in the nation. They return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Eagles have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a Thursday night.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight meetings Under the Total after Appalachian State won last year’s battle by a 27-6 score. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* CFB Appalachian State-Georgia Southern ESPNU O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (109) and the Georgia Southern (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (112) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (111). THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (4-2) looks to build off their 22-19 win at North Carolina back on October 13th as a 6.5-point favorite. Georgia Tech (3-4) looks to bounce-back from their 28-14 upset loss at home to Duke two Saturdays ago as a -1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HOKIES MINUS THE POINTS: Virginia Tech survived that game in Chapel Hills against the Tar Heels despite allowing 287 passing yards. The Hokies have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. After playing three of their last four games on the road, Virginia Tech returns home where they will be playing just their third game this season. The Hokies have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on their home field. This team will certainly benefit from the extra week to prepare for the unique Yellow Jackets spread triple option. The last time that Virginia Tech faced Georgia Tech off a bye week was in 2015 where they upset them on the road by a 2-point underdog by a 23-21 score. Defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s defense limited the Jackets rushing attack to just 161 rushing yards with subpar a 3.43 Yards-Per-Carry. Foster’s defense this season ranks 27th in the nation by allowing ply 123.0 rushing YPG — along with just 3.7 YPC. Foster’s defense will certainly benefit from the extra week to prepare for this offense. As it is, the Hokies have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a bye week. Georgia Tech (3-4) has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Yellow Jackets are just 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games away from home. Georgia Tech has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Virginia Tech will be motivated to avenge a 28-22 upset loss to this Georgia Tech team last year. This is an undervalued team as it not many upper echelon Power Conference teams that have only played at home twice this late into the season. The bye week should once again help Foster work his magic with his perennial outstanding defense. 10* CFB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Virginia Tech Hokies (112) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (113) plus the points versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (114). THE SITUATION: Baylor (4-3) looks to bounce-back from a 23-17 loss at Texas back on October 13th as a 14-point underdog. West Virginia (5-1) also looks to rebound from a 30-14 upset loss at Iowa State as a -4.5-point favorite two Saturdays.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: Baylor should play well tonight as they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. While the Bears have lost two of their last three games, they should gain confidence from playing the Longhorns close in Austin in their last game. Matt Ruhle’s team was just 1-11 last year in his first-year as the head coach in Waco. That team has ravaged with injuries — but yet they played much better than their final record indicated as they were only outgained by -40 net YPG despite losing eight of their nine games in Big 12 play. Baylor has a promising quarterback in sophomore Charlie Brewer who is leading an offense that is 11th in the nation by averaging 313.3 passing YPG — and the Bears are 18th in FBS in total offense by averaging 475.0 total YPG. Ruhle’s team is outgaining their opponents by +67.1 net YPG — and they are also outgaining their opponents when playing on the road by +21.3 net YPG. Baylor is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 road games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 14 points. West Virginia saw their undefeated season go by the wayside in that loss in Ames against the Cyclones which may have ruined their realistic chances of making the College Football Playoffs. The Mountaineers may be angry over that loss while still being galvanized with the fact that they still control their fate to win the Big 12 Conference Championship. But this team has not responded well to setbacks well under eighth-year head coach Dana Holgorsen. West Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after an upset loss — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in eleven of their last thirteen home games coming off an upset loss to a conference rival. The Mountaineers have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a double-digit upset loss as a road favorite. West Virginia was overwhelmed in that loss to Iowa State as they allowed 498 yards of offense while managing just 152 yards themselves. That is not a good sign for this game as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after being outgained by at least 225 yards. West Virginia’s struggles on offense are likely to continue as they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points. The extra week of rest and preparation in the Holgorsen regime has not served the Mountaineers well either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a bye week. West Virginia has also failed to cover the points spread in their last 4 games in the month of October.

FINAL TAKE: Despite everything that went wrong with the Bears last season, Baylor played the Mountaineers tough last year by losing by just a 38-36 score. They were trailing by a 38-13 sore before Ruhle put in Brewer in an attempt to spark the offense — and the freshman QB did by almost leading his team to the comeback victory. That experience should give this entire team confidence tonight — and the extra week Ruhle has had to help his defense scheme against the Holgorsen spread offense. 25* CFB Thursday FS1-TV Game of the Year with the Baylor Bears (113) plus the points versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (101) and the South Alabama Jaguars (102). THE SITUATION: Troy (5-2) enters this game coming off their 22-16 upset loss at Liberty back on October 13th as a 12-point favorite. South Alabama (2-5) looks to build off their 45-7 win over Alabama State as a 27.5-point favorite two Saturdays ago.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This team had a hole to fill at quarterback in the offseason with the graduation of a four-year starter in Brandon Silvers. Junior Kaleb Barker was the top quarterback on the depth chart — but he has suffered a season-ending ACL injury. That leaves head coach Neal Brown to should between sophomore Sawyer Smith and freshman Gunner Watson who have played against the Flames but combined to pass for just 160 yards. Troy has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. This team had to replace their top two running backs from last year in Jordan Chunn and Josh Anderson — top in line was junior Jamarius Henderson who averaged 7.9 Yards-Per-Carry last year but he has suspended indefinitely this season. That is a lot of attrition of offensive talent — and while the Trojans are scoring 33.7 PPG while averaging 413.6 total YPG, those numbers drop to 25.0 PPG along with just 338.3 total YPG in their three games on the road. Troy does hold their home hosts to just 22.7 PPG. The Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games on the road — and this includes them playing four of their last five road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, the Trojans have played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total in the month of October — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games in October overall. South Alabama has also experienced attrition at the quarterback position this season. The losses started in the spring when Dallas Davis left the program two days before the Spring Game. The senior had been the team’s starter in the previous two seasons. Fellow senior Cole Garvin was indefinitely suspended in mid-September leaving the team in the hands of senior Evan Orth who is leading an offense that is 113th in the nation by averaging just 343.0 total YPG. The Jaguars have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a bye week. South Alabama has held their three visiting teams to just 22.7 PPG along with only 343.7 total YPG. The Jaguars defense has not forced a turnover in their last two games — but they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a game where they did not force a turnover while also playing 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not forcing at least one turnover in each of their last two games. Additionally, the Under is 5-2-1 in South Alabama’s last 8 games in the month of October.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. With both teams dealing with less than ideal quarterback situations and both coaching staffs having extra time to scheme and prepare for these respective offenses, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (101) and the South Alabama Jaguars (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Giants (475) and the Atlanta Falcons (476). THE SITUATION: New York (1-5) takes the field again after an embarrassing 34-13 loss at home to Philadelphia as a +1.5-point underdog two Thursdays ago on national television. Atlanta (2-4) survived a 34-29 victory at home last Sunday against Tampa Bay as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Atlanta has played five straight Overs in a row — and while I considered the Under as a contrarian play, expecting another higher-scoring game is the sound choice tonight. The Over is 16-5-1 in the Falcons’ last 22 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The injuries on defense have simply decimated that unit for Atlanta — they rank second-to-last in the league by allowing 32.0 PPG while ranking 30th in the NFL by giving up 417.2 total YPG. Additionally, the Falcons rank last in the NFL by giving up 24 touchdowns so far this season — and they are last in the NFL by allowing their opponents to convert on 56.2% of their third downs so Eli Manning should have a good game tonight. As the injuries have mounted, Atlanta has allowed 35.0 PPG over their last four contests. The Falcons stay at home this week where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Over is 11-1-1 in Atlanta’s last 13 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 7 games on Monday Night Football, the Falcons have played 5 of these games Over the Total. New York (1-5) has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns — and they have also played 45 of their last 77 games Over the Total after a loss to a fellow NFC East rival. The Giants have also played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss this season. this team gets an important piece back on offense in tight end Evan Engram who has been out with a knee injury. His presence on the field should help Manning while opening things up for Odell Beckham Jr. and their rookie running back Saquon Barkley. The Giants passing game has not been bad with Manning under center — they rank 13th in the league by averaging 260.8 passing YPG. But New York is scoring only 19.5 PPG which is 27th in the NFL. Engram should really help their Red Zone offense. But defense remains a big problem for this team as they are allowing 27.0 PPG. Their lack of a pass rush will afford Matt Ryan plenty of time to find open targets — and two his preferred weapons (and complements to Julio Jones) in rookie Calvin Ridley and Mohamed Sanu who have upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. The Giants have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: While we were robbed of our Over last night in the Cincinnati-Kansas City game on Sunday Night Football, it would be foolish to react to that result with a knee-jerk Under. These high totals in the 50s don’t need much to finish below the number. But both of these defenses are struggling — and both of these offenses are primed to have good games. I will not be surprised if the Falcon score 30 points again which should put the Over in a good situation. 10* NFL NY Giants-Atlanta O/U ESPN Special with Over the Total in the game between the New York Giants (475) and the Atlanta Falcons (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the New York Giants (475) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (476). THE SITUATION: New York (1-5) takes the field again after an embarrassing 34-13 loss at home to Philadelphia as a +1.5-point underdog two Thursdays ago on national television. Atlanta (2-4) survived a 34-29 victory at home last Sunday against Tampa Bay as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS PLUS THE POINTS: New York has lost three straight games amidst internal drama about the play of Eli Manning. But this team gets an important piece back on offense in tight end Evan Engram who has been out with a knee injury. His presence on the field should help Manning while opening things up for Odell Beckham Jr. and their rookie running back Saquon Barkley. The Giants passing game has not been bad with Manning under center — they rank 13th in the league by averaging 260.8 passing YPG. But New York is scoring only 19.5 PPG which is 27th in the NFL. Engram should really help their Red Zone offense. As it is, the Giants have rebound to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss — and they are 13-6-2 ATS in the last 21 games after a double-digit loss at home. New York did generate 401 yards of offense against the reigning Super Bowl Champions while outgaining the Eagles by +22 yards. The Giants have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to score more than 14 points. New York trailed after the first thirty minutes of this game by a 24-6 score after going into halftime the previous week against Carolina by a 20-13 score. A better start tonight is critical — and this team has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games after allowing at least 17 points in the first half of their last two games. New York goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They also have covered the point spread in when playing with extra rest and preparation after playing a Thursday game. Perhaps facing the M*A*S*H unit which is this Falcons team is just what the doctor ordered. Injuries on defense have decimated that unit for Atlanta — they rank second-to-last in the league by allowing 32.0 PPG while ranking 30th in the NFL by giving up 417.2 total YPG. Additionally, the Falcons rank last in the NFL by giving up 24 touchdowns so far this season — and they are last in the NFL by allowing their opponents to convert on 56.2% of their third downs so Manning should have a good game tonight. As the injuries have mounted, Atlanta has allowed 35.0 PPG over their last four contests. The Falcons outlasted the Buccaneers last week despite allowing 510 yards of offense (389 passing yards) and getting outgained by -93 yards. They benefited from a +2 net turnover margin in that game. But that does not bode well for Atlanta tonight as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 30 home games after a win at home. Matt Ryan did lead Atlanta to outscore the Bucs in that game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Falcons have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after generating at least 400 yards in their last game. Additionally, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Falcons have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the month of October under head coach Dan Quinn.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are looking to salvage seasons that started with high expectations. Atlanta’s fall has been more devastation when considering they made the Super Bowl just two seasons ago but have now experienced seemingly insurmountable injuries. Add running back Devonta Freeman and their veteran kicker Matt Bryant who are also out for this game. The Giants are getting healthier — and they have played pretty well on the road where they are only being gained by -3.0 net YPG. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month with the New York Giants (475) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (463) and the Kansas City Chiefs (464). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (4-2) looks to bounce-back from their 28-21 upset loss to Pittsburgh last week as a -1.5-point favorite. Kansas City (5-1) looks to rebound as well from their narrow 43-40 loss at New England last Sunday night as +3.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Cincinnati has played their last two games Under the Total which might make the Under a tempting proposition tonight with the Total in the high-50s — but the Bengals have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. Cincinnati has also played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total in the month of October. The Bengals are putting up plenty of points as they are ninth in the NFL by scoring 29.0 PPG — and that number rises to them scoring 30.7 rushing YPG on the road. But Cincinnati is also surrendering 30.0 PPG when playing away from home. The Bengals have played 4 straight games Over the Total on the road. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 6 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, the Bengals have played 5 of these games Over the Total. Kansas City has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Led by QB Patrick Mahomes, this Andy Reid offense has opened up for them to be scoring 35.8 PPG this season. The Chiefs generated 446 yards last week against the Patriots while averaging 8.42 Yards-Per-Play — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.5 YPP. However, injuries on defense with Eric Berry not having taken the field and now Justin Houston out with a hamstring issue have contributed to them allowing 28.7 PPG which is the sixth most in the NFL. But Kansas City allowed a whopping 510 yards to New England in that game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 500 yards in their last game. Tom Brady passed for 327 yards in that contest a week after (the now benched for utter futility) Blake Bortles passed for 401 yards the previous week against this Chiefs defense. Kansas City has played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing at least 300 passing yards in two straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Betting totals involves anticipating the likely pace and tempo of the game in question. This is a high total in the 50s — but the Chiefs’ opponents are averaging 45 passing attempts per game which is the most in the NFL. These passing attempts produce bigger yardage plays as well as more stopped clocks which helps to create more scoring opportunities. Expect a high scoring game. 10* NFL Cincinnati-Kansas City O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (463) and the Kansas City Chiefs (464). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (463) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (464). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (4-2) looks to bounce-back from their 28-21 upset loss to Pittsburgh last week as a -1.5-point favorite. Kansas City (5-1) looks to rebound as well from their narrow 43-40 loss at New England last Sunday night as +3.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE THEN BENGALS PLUS THE POINTS: Cincinnati played good enough to finally defeat their AFC North rivals in the Steelers — but they gave Ben Roethlisberger too much time to engineer a game-winning drive after they tied the score up late in the 4th quarter. Marvin Lewis’ team should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. The Bengals have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after an upset loss as a home favorite to an AFC North rival. Cincinnati needs to play better on the defensive side of the football after allowing 369 passing yards to Pittsburgh. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. But this team is an underrated offensive machine under coordinator Bill Lazor as they rank 6th in the league by scoring 29.0 PPG. This scoring average rises to a 30.7 PPG mark when they are on the road — and they generating 417.3 total YPG away from home as well. Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. They also have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against AFC opponents. Kansas City saw their undefeated season end last week in front of a nationally televised audience — but this remains a team favored by the betting public with Patrick Mahomes almost pulling off the comeback win against the Patriots. The Chiefs have paid off bettors in all six of their games this season — but that is a dangerous bandwagon to jump on to now. As it is, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after riding a six-game point spread winning streak. The Chiefs offense is certainly dynamic as they have averaged at least 424 yards of offense with a 6.24 Yards-Per-Play average in each of their last three games. But the Chiefs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after averaging at least 400 yards in three straight games. Kansas City has also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in three straight games. But with all those passing attempts are also possibilities to turn the ball over — and Mahomes has thrown multiple interceptions in two straight games. The problem for this Chiefs team is their porous defense that is allowing 28.7 PPG which is the sixth-most in the league. Kansas City really misses their veteran leader Eric Berry in their secondary who does not appear close to returning to the field. They will also be without linebacker Justin Houston who is dealing with an injured hamstring.

FINAL TAKE: Despite losing to the Steelers last week, the Bengals are an underappreciated team in the AFC. Expect a close game with the points being very valuable. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month with the Cincinnati Bengals (463) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (464). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (474) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (473). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (1-5) comes off a heartbreaking 33-30 loss at Green Bay on Monday as a 9-point underdog. Los Angeles (6-0) remained the lone unbeaten team in the NFL with their 23-20 win in Denver last Sunday as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 49ERS PLUS THE POINTS: The Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread in as the favorite. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. This is a challenging situation for this Rams’ team as near double-digit favorite when considering that they are playing on the road for the third straight week. While Los Angeles is a power rushing team at their core that generated 270 rushing yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Despite their perfect record, the Rams are not playing great on the defensive side of the football. Over their last three games, they are allowing 27.3 PPG. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow NFC opponents. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against the Niners while also failing to cover the point spread in four of their last 5 trips to San Francisco. The 49ers may be disappointed with the late 4th quarter loss to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers on Monday but their ability to remain competitive despite the season-ending injury to Jimmy Garoppolo will boost their confidence in this game. C.J. Beathard led an offense that generated 401 yards of offense in that game — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. San Francisco almost stole that game despite a -3 net turnover margin after enduring a -5 net turnover margin the previous week in a loss to Arizona — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after having a -3 or worse net turnover margin in two straight games. The 49ers need to play better on defense after allowing 521 yards to Green Bay while giving up at least 27 points in the fifth straight game. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 500 yards — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 25 points in five straight games. Despite their record, the Niners have covered the point spread in two of their last three games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of the last three games. Lastly, the 49ers have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against fellow NFC West opponents.

FINAL TAKE: While it is understandable why bettors would want to take the better team in the Rams, it is difficult for even the best of teams to defeat a divisional rival on the road by double-digits. Expect this feisty 49ers team to keep things closer than expected. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Deal with the San Francisco 49ers (474) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (472) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Dallas Cowboys (471). THE SITUATION: Washington (3-2) looks to build off their 23-17 upset win over Carolina last week as a 1-point underdog. Dallas (3-3) hopes to build off their 40-7 blowout win over Jacksonville last Sunday as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SKINS PLUS THE POINTS: The Cowboys are feeling pretty good about themselves after thoroughly dominating the Jaguars last week — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 31 games after a victory at home by at least three touchdowns. Dallas has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a win by at least four touchdowns. Dallas is a perfect 3-0 at home where they are outscoring their opponents by +14.0 PPG — but it has been a completely different story when they go on the road where they are 0-3 with an average losing margin of -7.4 PPG. The Cowboys are scoring just 12.3 PPG away from home and generating a mere 275.7 total YPG while being outgained by -74.3 net YPG. The decline in offensive production is coming from Dak Prescott and their passing attack that is producing only 156 passing YPG on the road. And while this Dallas team has an underrated defense, they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 30 road games after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game. The Cowboys have also not covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Washington benefited from a +3 net turnover margin last week against the Panthers — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after enjoying a +2 or better net turnover margin in their last game. This team is doing a great job in protecting the football as they are second in the NFL with the fewest giveaways. The Skins did a great job of playing keep-away as they had a Time of Possession of 35:24 minutes in that game. But Washington will look to play better on defense after surrendering 6.03 Yards-Per-Play along with 269 passing yards. The Skins have covered the points spread in 10 of their last 15 games after allowing at least 6.5 YPP — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. Washington stays at home where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games at home with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Head coach Jay Gruden and the Skins coaching staff has certainly spent plenty of time in the offseason preparing for the Cowboys after losing their last four games against their NFC East rivals. Washington has not defeated Dallas since January 3rd of 2016 but that was in the Kirk Cousins era. The Skins have new hope to dispatch of their divisional rivals with Alex Smith under center. 25* NFC East Game of the Month with the Washington Redskins (472) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Dallas Cowboys (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (454) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (453). THE SITUATION: Chicago (3-2) looks to rebound from a 31-28 upset loss in overtime at Miami as a 7.5-point favorite. New England (4-2) comes off their triumphant 43-40 win over Kansas City last Sunday night as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: I thought Chicago would not enjoy playing in the Miami heat — and their defense allowed a whopping 541 yards of offense to a Brock Osweiler-led offense. Expect the stout Bears defense to play better this afternoon as they are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing at least 350 yards and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Furthermore, Chicago has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread defeat. Now this team returns home to Soldier Field where they are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games — and they are also 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 10 home games as an underdog, the Bears have covered the point spread in 9 of these games. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after a win at home where they scored at least 31 points. While the Patriots offense has cranked up over the last few weeks, their defense remains an issue after they allowed 446 yards to a Chiefs team that had no trouble moving the football in the second-half of their game last week. New England allows their home hosts to score 28.5 PPG along with 447.5 total YPG — and that was against Jacksonville and Detroit who are not exactly offensive juggernauts. Chicago head coach Matt Nagy should be able to pull out a nugget or two from what his former team did to this Patriots defense last week. New England sees their offense slow down when away from home as well — they are scoring just 15.0 PPG while averaging only 255.5 total YPG. Lastly, the Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: It might look easy to take the Patriots since they are laying only a field goal — but that is likely to suggest a wisdom in the point spread. Expect this New England team to struggle on the road after playing three straight games at home. 10* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Chicago Bears (454) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Jacksonville Jaguars (468) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (467). THE SITUATION: Jacksonville (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their ugly 40-7 upset loss at Dallas last week as a 3-point favorite. Houston (3-3) has won three straight games with their 20-13 win over Buffalo as a 10.5-point favorite last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAGUARS MINUS THE POINTS: I have no illusions about this Jacksonville team that seems to be a shadow of the group that almost upset New England in last year’s AFC Championship Game. The Jags have lost six of their last eleven games and have taken a (predictable) step back on defense. And the Blake Bortles situation only seems to be worsening before it reaches its inevitable end. That all said — and after getting burned on this team last week — we want to be investing in situations like this. This is an embarrassed team that has lost two straight games by at least 16 points — but they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Jacksonville has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing their last two games on the road, this team returns home where they are outscoring their opponents by +9.0 PPG and outgaining them by +167.6 net YPG. Bortles tends to play better on his home field where he is leading an offense that is generating 405.3 total YPG. The team traded for running back Carlos Hyde this week but he is not expected to suit up with the short turnaround — but they still have a capable running back in T.J. Weldon. While their offense managed only 204 yards last week, they ave then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. The Jags’ defense should also play better at home where they are limiting their opponents to just 13.7 PPG along with only 232.7 total YPG. Jacksonville is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Jaguars have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on their home field. And in their last 10 games against fellow AFC South opponents, Jacksonville has covered the point spread 7 times. Houston may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. The Texans won that game despite Deshaun Watson passing for only 142 net yards — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for more than 150 team yards. Watson is protected by one of the weakest offensive lines in the NFL — expect for him to be in trouble all afternoon against this stout and deep Jaguars defensive line. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Houston goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. And in their last 6 games against AFC South foes, the Texans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: Even if Jacksonville is just a .500 team at this point, they should play one of their best games of the season at home against a divisional rival. 25* NFL AFC South Game of the Month with the Jacksonville Jaguars (468) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (467). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (451) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (452). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (3-3) looks to bounce-back from a 21-0 shutout loss at home to Baltimore last Sunday as 2.5-point underdogs. Los Angeles (4-2) has won three straight games after their 38-14 triumph on the road at Cleveland as a small 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TITANS PLUS THE POINTS: Tennessee’s offense was simply dormant last week as they managed only 106 yards of offense against the stout Ravens defense. The Titans need to get back to running the football — Derrick Henry ran the ball only 7 times in that loss last week. The shutout loss should get the attention of the offense in practice and meetings this week. Tennessee has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to generate at least 275 yards of offense. The Titans have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and this includes then covering the point spread in six of their last eight contests after a setback. Tennessee also surrendered 361 yards of offense in that game to Baltimore — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 375 yards of offense. Defense is a strength of this team as the Titans ranked 3rd in the NFL by allowing only 17.8 PPG while also ranking 8th in the league by only giving up just 337.8 total YPG. These difficult trips to London test the character of teams — and I expect head coach Mike Vrabel’s team to respond with a strong effort. This team’s play on defense improves on the road as they limit their opponents to just 15.3 PPG and just 265.7 total YPG. Tennessee ranks 5th in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 214.7 passing YPG — so they should be able to slow down Phillip Rivers and the Chargers’ passing attack. The Titans have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Los Angeles has the difficult trip of traveling to London from the west coast — and they were already coming off a game on the road in Cleveland. A letdown looks possible for this Chargers team that is feeling pretty good about themselves right now. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Chargers are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while LA generated 449 yards of offense against the Browns defense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a spirited effort from this Titans team after their embarrassing performance last week. Their strong defense and a commitment to winning the game at the line of scrimmage should help them keep things close. 25* NFL London Calling Game of the Year with the Tennessee Titans (451) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (452). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Texas Mean Green (385) and the UAB Blazers (386). THE SITUATION: North Texas (6-1) has won two straight games coming off their 30-7 win over Southern Mississippi last Saturday as 7-point favorites. UAB (5-1) has won four in a row with their 42-0 shutout win at Rice last week as 17-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blazers are playing outstanding defense — they have allowed only 14 combined points over their last three games. They held the Owls to just 186 yards last week — and they should continue their strong play on the defensive side of the football. UAB has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win of at least three touchdowns against a Conference USA rival. Now this team returns home where they are holding their guests to just 10.3 PPG along with only 265.3 total YPG. The Blazers have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home field. Additionally, UAB has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of October. And while the Blazers put up 42 points last week, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. North Texas has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Mean Green also play stout defense as they rank 19th in the FBS by allowing only 17.6 PPG — and that number drops to just 16.0 PPG when they are playing on the road. UNT thrives in stopping the run as they rank 7th in the nation by allowing just 97.0 rushing YPG. They have allowed only 104 and 50 rushing yards respectively in each of their last two games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Mean Green have played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Toal after winning two straight games — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Lastly, UNT has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: The number is posted in the low-50s for this game given the strong offenses both these teams have along with the memory of the 46-43 barn-burner between these two teams last season with the Mean Green pulled out. Both of these defenses are much improved this season — expect a lower scoring game. 25* CFB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Texas Mean Green (385) and the UAB Blazers (386). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (368) minus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (367). THE SITUATION: Washington State (5-1) returns to the field off a bye week after they crushed Oregon State on the road two Saturdays ago by a 56-37 sore as an 18.5-point favorite. Oregon (5-1) comes off a big 30-27 upset win at Washington in overtime last week as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS MINUS THE POINTS: That was the biggest win so far in the first-year of new head coach Mario Cristobal at Oregon — but they may be due for a letdown now. The Ducks are just 3-13-1 ATS In their last 17 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a win on their home field. Oregon has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. The Ducks have benefited from only committing one turnover in each of their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after not committing more than one turnover in two straight games. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road with the number set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. Washington State (5-1) should build off the momentum of their win two weeks ago. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games after a point spread victory. Washington State has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Led by East Carolina transfer Gardner Minshew at quarterback, the Cougars are leading the nation by averaging 413.7 passing YPG. Minshew operating the Mike Leach Air Raid offense should have their way against this Ducks pass defense that is tied for 88th in the nation by allowing 239.0 passing YPG. Oregon allowed Stanford to pass for 327 yards against them — and that is not nearly as potent a passing offense as what they will have to deal with tonight. Experience and depth were concerns for the Ducks a cornerback entering the season — and this is, by far, their biggest test of the season. But what has helped push this football program to the next level has been a significant improvement of play on the defensive side of the football After ranking 16th in the nation last season by holding their opponents to just 323.3 total YPG, the Cougars have improved that number this year as they are holding their opponents to only 313.7 total YPG which ranks 15th in the FBS. Washington State has covered the point spread in 8 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Oregon has started strong with five wins in their first six games — but they have benefited from a sweetheart early schedule that saw five of those games at home. This is the Ducks just second game away from home. Washington State has won nineteen of their last twenty-three games at home over the last four seasons — and they are also a dominant 21-9 straight-up in Pac-12 play in the Leach era going back the last four seasons. Expect their offense to be too for this Oregon team. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Month with the Washington State Cougars (368) minus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (367). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington Huskies (370) minus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (369). THE SITUATION: Washington (5-2) looks to rebound from their 30-27 loss in overtime at Oregon in overtime last week as a 3.5-point favorite last Saturday. Colorado (5-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week in their 31-20 loss at USC as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HUSKIES MINUS THE POINTS: Washington should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. This Huskies team entered the season with legitimate national championship aspirations — but injuries and a very difficult schedule have likely derailed those plans. Their two losses to the Ducks and Auburn were by a combined 8 points. Both of those setbacks were away from home — now Washington returns home where they are undefeated while outscoring their opponents by +25.7 PPG while outgaining them by +247.9 net YPG. They are scoring 35.7 PPG while generating 489.2 total YPG on their home field this season. I was concerned about the status of running back Myles Gaskin with his shoulder injury but he has been upgraded to probable for this contest. The Huskies have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Colorado suffered their first loss of the season against the Trojans — but they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Buffaloes were expected to be better this season after suffering a 5-7 campaign last year — but this is not an elite football program at the same level as what Chris Petersen has built in Spokane. Colorado is just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 8 meetings with Washington, they have failed to cover the point spread in all 8 contests — and this includes four of these games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Look for the Huskies to take out their frustrations from last week on this Colorado team that surrendered 565 yards of offense on the road to a still winless Nebraska team. 10* CFB Colorado-Washington Fox-TV Special with the Washington Huskies (370) minus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (369). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (332) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (331). THE SITUATION: Michigan State (4-2) looks to build off the momentum of their 21-17 upset win at Penn State last Saturday as a +13.5-point underdog. Michigan (6-1) enters this rivalry game coming off a 38-13 blowout win at home over Wisconsin as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPARTANS PLUS THE POINTS: This contest is always the Super Bowl to this Michigan State team under head coach Mark Dantonio. The Spartans have covered the point spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two teams — and this includes them covering the point spread in the last 5 meetings in East Lansing. Michigan State has won four of these last five in-state battles as well as eight of their last ten encounters. They are likely to be more confident off their upset on the road in Happy Valley against the Nittany Lions — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after pulling off an upset win against a Big Ten opponent. The Spartans have also covered the point spread in 14 of the last 20 games after pulling off an upset win on the road. Dantonio had to be pleased with the performance of his team as they won the first down battle by a 25-14 margin while controlling the Time of Possession for 34:12 minutes. That is the formula for success for this Michigan State team — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a game where they gained at least 24 first downs while controlling the clock for at least 34 minutes. Junior quarterback Brian Lewerke passed for 259 yards in that contest — and the Spartans have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. They return home where they are scoring 29.3 PPG while outgaining their visitors by +84.0 net YPG. Dantonio loves his team in the underdog role — they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when getting the points. Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a victory by at least 20 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a point spread victory. The Wolverines enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin last week in their win over the Badgers — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a game where they had a +2 or better net turnover margin. And while Michigan has scored 80 points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after scoring at least 37 points in two straight games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are scoring just 18.5 PPG. Their offensive line has played better after being exposed by the Fighting Irish — but this remains the fundamental problem for this team under head coach Jim Harbaugh. That group will be challenged by a tough Spartans defensive line. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: Harbaugh will be overjoyed with just escaping East Lansing with a win given the struggles his teams have had in rivalry games in his tenure as the head coach in Ann Arbor. Expect a close game from a very good Sparty team that returned nineteen starters from their group that won ten games last year — including a 14-10 win in the Big House. 10* CFB Michigan-Michigan State Fox-TV Special with the Michigan State Spartans (332) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (384) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (383). THE SITUATION: TCU (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their 17-14 upset loss to Texas Tech as a 7.5-point favorite two Thursdays ago. Oklahoma (5-1) takes the field again after their 48-45 upset loss two Saturdays ago to Texas as a 7-point favorite in the Red River Rivalry.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HORNED FROGS PLUS THE POINTS: TCU began the season with College Playoff aspirations after returning perhaps the most talent ever on offense in head coach Gary Patterson’s eighteen seasons with the program. But a difficult schedule and a failure to protect the football has led to three losses so far this season. The Horned Frogs other two losses besides to the Red Raiders were to Ohio State and Texas who have combined to only lose one game this season. In fact, the combined record of those three teams that TCU has lost to is 17-3 this season — yet Patterson’s team entered halftime in leads in all three of those games. Turnovers are killing this team. They have suffered a -9 net turnover margin — they rank 125th in the nation with a -1.5 net turnover margin per game. Facing this Sooners’ team may be just what the doctor ordered as they have only forced five turnovers so far this season. This remains a good Horned Frogs team that is outscoring their opponents by +8.5 PPG while outgaining them by +102.4 net YPG. They have not scored more than 17 points in three straight games but playing at home will help in this game as they are scoring 28.5 PPG while averaging 430 net YPG on their home field. They should play better in this game as they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games when playing with extra rest and preparation after a game on a Thursday. This extra time will help quarterback Shawn Robinson who has been dealing with a shoulder issue despite completing 26 of 45 passes for 290 yards against Texas Tech in his last game. Additionally, TCU has not covered the point spread in their last three games — but they have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. Oklahoma saw their perfect season two weeks ago which might serve as a deflating loss. The Sooners defense surrendered 501 yards to the Longhorns in that loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. That loss compelled head coach Lincoln Riley to dismiss defensive coordinator Mike Stoops and elevate defensive line coach Ruffin McNeill to the position. The former Texas Tech defensive coordinator has a large task in front of him with a defensive unit that has finished outside the top-50 four times in the previous six seasons since Stoops returned to the program. Oklahoma ranks 97th in the nation by allowing 421.2 total YPG — and their porous pass defense is giving up 264.3 passing YPG. Until McNeill can improve the fundamentals of his players (like tackling), the Sooners are going to have to outscore their opponents — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while they have averaged at least 9.17 and 11.24 Yards-Per-Play in their last two games, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in two straight games. The Sooners have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games in expected high scoring games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Don’t be surprised if the TCU defense slows down the Oklahoma offense as that unit ranks 14th in the nation by allowing only 311.8 total YPG. The Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of October.

FINAL TAKE: After reaching the College Playoffs last year, this Oklahoma team looks fragile with their shaky defense and turmoil regarding the coaching change. While the Horned Frogs have suffered three disappointing losses, the pain of those setbacks would be erased if this team could avenge their two losses to Oklahoma last year including their 41-17 loss to the Sooners last December in the Big 12 Championship Game. Expect a close contest with TCU having a good chance to pull the upset. 25* CFB Big 12 Game of the Month with the TCU Horned Frogs (384) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (383). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the UNLV Rebels (310) plus the points versus the Air Force Falcons (309). THE SITUATION: UNLV (2-4) looks to rebound from a 59-28 loss at Utah State last Saturday as a 27-point underdog. Air Force (2-4) also looks to bounce-back from a 21-17 loss last Friday at San Diego State as an 11-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REBELS PLUS THE POINTS: This is a crucial game for UNLV in the fourth year under head coach Tony Sanchez. The former Bishop Gorman High School head coach entered this season on the hot seat with a 12-24 record in his first three seasons at UNLV. Fourteen starters returned from last year’s 5-7 team with some junior college transfers added to the mix — but so far the rebels only have wins over UTEP and Prairie Valley A&M on their resume. But there are reasons for optimism for the Rebels tonight. They return home where they are 2-1 with an average winning margin of +7.0 PPG. Sanchez usually is able to get his team to play better after an underwhelming performance as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The defense has been an issue as UNLV allowed the Aggies to generate 598 yards of offense a week after allowing 502 yards of offense at home to New Mexico. But the Rebels have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after allowing at least 450 yards in two straight contests. UNLV will benefit from having already played the Lobos who run a similar offense as the Falcons spread rushing attack. The Rebels did a solid job slowing down the run in that game as New Mexico averaged only 4.2 Yards-Per-Carry — but it was the passing game of the Lobos that did UNLV as they passed for 250 yards. Air Force is not as potent with their passing attack as I will detail below. Getting off to a better start will be important for the Rebels after Utah State raced out to a 42-0 lead at halftime last week. UNLV has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after trailing by at least two touchdowns in their last game. The Rebels will be without their incumbent starting quarterback Amani Rogers who is still dealing with a foot injury — but sophomore Max Gilliam has been capable in his absence. Gilliam completed 18 of 36 passes for 250 yards with three touchdown passes last week —and his ability to throw downfield may be just what his teams for this match-up against an Air Force team that ranks 76th in the nation by allowing their opponents to average 232.2 passing YPG. UNLV did get good injury news this week with their top running back Lexington Thomas was upgraded to probable after he suffered a concussion. Thomas has rushed 552 yards so far this season with six touchdowns. The Rebels are typically dangerous underdogs as they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games when getting 3.5 to 10 points — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games getting 7.5 to 10 points. And in their last 11 games played on a Friday night, UNLV is 7-3-1 ATS. Air Force may suffer a hangover after blowing their opportunity to pull off a big upset against the Aztecs as they held a 17-14 lead midway through the 4th quarter. As it is, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 33 games after a straight-up loss — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in ten of their last thirteen games after a defeat. Their top quarterback Donald Hammond III is likely out for this game with a serious injury he suffered last week which means that junior Isaiah Sanders will get the start for this game. Sanders is the least effective rushing quarterback on the Falcons’ depth chart but he is the best pure passer of the quarterbacking group. But this Air Force offense is not equipped to put up big yards in their passing game. Sanders is completing only 53.3% of his passes and the 7.6 Yards-Per-Attempt average is below Hammond’s 8.6 YPA this season. Sanders has thrown 45 of the Falcons’ 88 passes this season but he is responsible for both interceptions this team has seen on offense. Air Force stays on the road for the second straight week where they are 0-3 with an average losing margin of -6.7 net PPG — and they are being outgained by -53.7 net YPG. Air Force have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Falcons have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games when favored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 road games when laying 7.5 to 14 points. Air Force has only committed one turnover in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not committing more than one turnover in two straight games. Lastly, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games in Mountain West Conference play.

FINAL TAKE: Air Force may be flat in this game given their slow start and the disappointing loss last week while UNLV is playing a crucial game to salvage their season. Expect a close game. 25* CFB Friday CBS Sports Network Game of the Year with the UNLV Rebels (310) plus the points versus the Air Force Falcons (309). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Arizona Cardinals (302). THE SITUATION: Arizona (1-5) looks to bounce-back from their 27-17 loss at Minnesota last Sunday as a 10-point underdog. Denver (2-4) has lost four straight games after their 23-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss at home. They surrendered 444 yards to the Rams in their loss on Sunday — but they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now they go back on the road where they have 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Denver has also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record overall. The Broncos are scoring just 15 PPG away from home this season — and they are dealing with some tough injuries on their offensive line with left guard Ron Leary out the season with an Achilles injury and right tackle Jared Veldheer declared out tonight with a knee. Furthermore, Denver has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in the month of October. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Cardinals are also dealing with attrition on their offensive line with center A.Q. Shipley out the season with an ACL tear and both right guard Justin Pugh and left guard Mike Iupati out with injuries. These losses will make things even more difficult for an offense that is last in the NFL by averaging 220.3 total YPG while ranking second-to-last by scoring only 13.1 PPG. Arizona did allow 411 yards last week to the Vikings — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Cardinals return home where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and this includes them playing five of their last six home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: With both these teams struggling to move the football behind banged-up offensive lines, points will be hard to come by for both teams tonight. 10* NFL Denver-Arizona Fox-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Arizona Cardinals (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (302) plus the point(s) versus the Denver Broncos (301). THE SITUATION: Arizona (1-5) looks to bounce-back from their 27-17 loss at Minnesota last Sunday as a 10-point underdog. Denver (2-4) has lost four straight games after their 23-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS PLUS THE POINTS: Arizona should play better in this game as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. After playing their last two games on the road, the Cardinals return home where rookie quarterback Josh Rosen will be making his first start in front of the home fans. Rosen helps this offense because he has a better arm than Bradford which allows him the Arizona offense to design route schemes where the former UCLA star can hit tight windows. His pocket awareness also will help with their depleted offensive line. The Cardinals have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Arizona is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Denver is reeling with second-year head coach Vance Joseph on the hot seat after their encouraging 2-0 start and Broncos’ fans already clamoring for Chad Kelly to replace the struggling Case Keenum who has already thrown 8 interceptions to just 7 touchdown passes. But the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread setback. Denver’s once strong defense has fallen apart as they rank 27th in the league by allowing 407.3 total YPG. It is the run defense that has let the Broncos down as they have allowed a whopping 225.7 rushing YPG over their last three contests with opposing rushers averaging 7.6 Yards-Per-Carry. This could be the breakout game for the Cardinals running back David Johnson who hopes to reimagine his form from 2015 where he generated 2118 yards from scrimmage before seeing his last two seasons derailed by injury. The Broncos are last in the NFL by allowing 161.3 rushing YPG. They gave 270 rushing yards last week to the Rams en route to surrendering 444 yards overall — and they are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. To compound matters, the Broncos are dealing with a host of injuries including their spark-plug outside linebacker Shane Ray who has been declared out for this game with a knee. This team is also dealing with attrition on their offensive line with right tackle Jared Veldheer declared out tonight and left guard Ron Leary already on IR. Now Denver goes on the road on a short week where they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games. The Broncos have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These Thursday games are a test of a team’s character and a litmus test regarding the health of a team’s culture. These are two teams moving in opposite directions. Denver is in free-fall with injuries robbing Joseph of the opportunity to save his job. Arizona went through this last year but still managed to eke out an 8-8 season. Despite winning only one game so far this season, there is a sense of optimism with the Cardinals having gone younger after having the oldest roster in the league last year. Rosen and first-year head coach Steve Wilks offer this team hope which can be validated by the team earning their first win at home this season. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month with the Arizona Cardinals (302) plus the point(s) versus the Denver Broncos (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Arkansas State Red Wolves (304) minus the points versus the Georgia State Panthers (303). THE SITUATION: Arkansas State (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their 35-9 loss at home to Appalachian State last Tuesday as a +10.5-point favorite. Georgia State (2-4) looks to rebound as well from a 37-20 loss at Troy back on October 4th as a 17-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED WOLVES MINUS THE POINTS: Arkansas State has lost two straight games after their benchmark loss to the Mountaineers last week which will likely cost them a shot at winning the Sun Belt Conference title. But don’t expect this Red Wolves team to close up shop on this season under fifth-year head coach Blake Anderson. His teams have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after a loss. This team is playing better than record suggests — they are outgaining their opponents by +58.5 net YPG. Turnovers have been holding back this team as they are tied for 90th in the FBS by averaging -0.33 turnovers-per-game. It was a -3 net turnover margin that played a big role in their loss to Appalachian State last week. This remains a talented team led by senior quarterback Justice Hansen who leads an offense that is 23rd in the FBS by averaging 283.3 passing YPG. Hansen should have a big game against the inexperienced cornerbacks of the Panthers that are allowing opponents to average 247.3 passing YPG which is 98th in the FBS. The Red Wolves stay at home for this game where they are outgaining their visitors by +136.3 net YPG. Arkansas State has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. This team has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a Thursday night — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the month of October. Furthermore, the Red Wolves are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games in conference play. Georgia State is struggling on defense are they allowed 554 yards to the Trojans in their last game. The Panthers are 119th in the nation by allowing 491.5 total YPG. They are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Georgia State is also just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against conference opponents. This was a team that was 7-5 last season but all seven of their wins were against teams with a losing record — and those opponents had a combined record of 16-56. The Panthers returned only eleven starters from that team. This situation has the makings of a blowout when considering that Georgia State is being outscored by -11.9 PPG while being outgained by -125.8 net YPG. The Panthers stay on the road for their second straight game where they are winless in their three games while being outscored by -29.4 PPG. Georgia State is also being outgained by -241.6 total YPG away from home — and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: This Arkansas State still has bowl game aspirations — and they remain one of the better teams in the Sun Belt despite their bad loss to Appalachian State last week. Expect them to expose this Georgia State team. 25* CFB Thursday Night ESPNU Game of the Month with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (304) minus the points versus the Georgia State Panthers (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (277) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (278). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (1-4) has lost three in a row with their 28-18 upset loss to Arizona last week as a 3-point favorite. Green Bay (2-2-1) looks to bounce-back from a 31-23 loss in Detroit as a 1-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 49ERS PLUS THE POINTS: San Francisco should play much better tonight than they did last week. They have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after an upset loss to a divisional rival — and this includes them covering the point spread in six of their last nine games when that upset loss to an NFC West rival was when they were a home favorite. Head coach Mike Shanahan did get a solid game from quarterback C.J. Beathard running his offense. The second-year QB completed 34 of 54 passes for 349 yards in that game — and the Niners have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 300 yards in their last game. The 49ers go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Green Bay generated 521 yards of offense in their last loss to the Lions — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after generating at least 500 yards in their last game. Even in defeat, the Packers outgained the Lions by a whopping +257 yards — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. And Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Don’t be fooled by Green Bay’s good defensive numbers — they rank 4th in the NFL in total defense by allowing only 313.8 total YPG. But those numbers are skewed with their shutout victory at home over the hapless Buffalo offense two weeks ago. Take out that Bills game, the Packers are allowing 28.5 PPG along with 356.0 YPG. Lastly, Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Green Bay is being asked to lay too many points in this one. Expect the 49ers even with Beathard under center to keep this game closer than expected. 10* NFL San Francisco-Green Bay ESPN Special with the San Francisco 49ers (277) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (277) and the Green Bay Packers (278). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (1-4) has lost three in a row with their 28-18 upset loss to Arizona last week as a 3-point favorite. Green Bay (2-2-1) looks to bounce-back from a 31-23 loss in Detroit as a 1-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers went into the locker rooms trailing by a 24-0 score in that game — and they left up to 13 points off the board with their place-kicker Mason Crosby missing four field goals along with an extra point. The veteran kicker should rebound at home tonight with a better effort. Green Bay has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Packers have played 39 of their last 49 games Over the Total after failing to score more than a field in the first half of their last contest. And they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when allowing at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. Don’t be fooled by Green Bay’s good defensive numbers — they rank 4th in the NFL in total defense by allowing only 313.8 total YPG. But those numbers are skewed with their shutout victory at home over the hapless Buffalo offense two weeks ago. Take out that Bills game, then Packers are allowing 28.5 PPG along with 356.0 YPG. Green Bay has played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. They also have played a decisive 21 of their last 26 games Over the Total against fellow NFC opponents. The Packers have played 10 of their last 15 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Green Bay has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Francisco has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after an upset loss to a divisional rival — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The 49ers held the Cardinals to just 220 yards of offense — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 yards in their last game. San Francisco’s defense ranks 28th in the NFL by allowing 29.2 PPG — and that number rises to a 30.3 PPG mark when playing on the road. They rank 26th in the NFL with just 9 sacks — and they are averaging a sack in only 22 passing plays. Aaron Rodgers will likely have plenty of clean pockets against this Niners defense that is making hits on the quarterback in just 13.5% of opposing teams’ passing attempts. San Francisco has played four straight games Over the Total — and they have not only played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after playing an Over while also playing 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing two straight Overs. The 49ers have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points.

FINAL TAKE: Green Bay is scoring to score plenty of points in this one — but expect the 49ers offense to keep up find points against the overrated Packers’ defense. Niners’ QB C.J. Beathard was productive last week by completing 34 of 54 passes for 349 yards with TD passes. 25* NFL Monday Night Football O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (277) and the Green Bay Packers (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (276) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (275). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (5-0) remained undefeated last week with their 30-14 win over Jacksonville as a 3-point favorite. New England (3-2) has won two games in a row with their 38-24 win over Indianapolis last Thursday as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PATRIOTS MINUS THE POINTS: The Chiefs have covered the point spread in all five of their games this season with the last three occurring when they were laying the points as the favorite. Foxboro is where these point spread streaks go to die. As it is, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering point spread expectations in five straight games. The Chiefs have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in three straight games as the favorite. KC has scored at least 27 points in all five of their games this year — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 25 points in four straight games while also failing to cover the point spread in 3 of the last 4 games after scoring at least 25 points in five straight contests. And while they generated 424 yards in that win over Jacksonville last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. New England has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning record — and they are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They generated 438 yards of offense in their win over the Colts — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Patriots did surrender 439 yards in that game — but they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after allowing at least 350 yards as well. New England is also 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52 games in the month of October.

FINAL TAKE: Bill Belichick coached-teams are a perfect 23-0 at home when facing quarterbacks below the age of 25 — and while that does not take into account the point spread, his coaching staff has the benefit of a few extra days to prepare for Patrick Mahomes after their Thursday game last week. This will be a fired-up Patriots team that will remember the 42-27 beatdown they suffered at the hands of the Chiefs in Game One of last year. 10* NFL Kansas City-New England NBC-TV Special with the New England Patriots (276) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (275). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (275) and the New England Patriots (276). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (5-0) remained undefeated last week with their 30-14 win over Jacksonville as a 3-point favorite. New England (3-2) has won two games in a row with their 38-24 win over Indianapolis last Thursday as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Patrick Mahomes is an exciting young quarterback — but as the Denver Broncos have already shown, he can be slowed down. The second-year QB “only” threw for 304 yards in that game which was the last time the Chiefs were on the road two weeks ago — and they exposed some tendencies that the Patriots’ defensive staff can exploit. More importantly, Kansas City scored only 27 points in that game — and a similar effort would keep this game Under the Total. Mahomes still have some technique issues while being too eager to leave the pocket — and I expect the New England defense to use take advantage of these flaws his game. The more tape that gets created on these new starting QBs, the more opposing coaching staffs find areas to attack. It is telling that Mahomes has only thrown one touchdown pass in his last 95 passing attempts. The Chiefs offense was also responsible for seven offensive penalties the last time they played in front of a hostile environment in that Broncos game. As it is, Kansas City has 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after winning two straight games. The Chiefs game with the Broncos was their lowest scoring game of the season. Not only have they played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games but they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight contests. KC raced out to a 20-0 halftime lead against the Jaguars last week — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total owning a two-touchdown lead at halftime of their last game. The Chiefs have also played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. New England has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. The Patriots are going to play ball-control offense and keep-away to burn time off the clock to frustrate Mahomes (and his head coach Andy Reid who almost always gets stymied by this tactic in the playoffs). New England has gone to halftime in their last two games with 24-3 and 24-0 leads — and they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than a touchdown in the first half in two straight games. The Patriots generated 438 yards of offense last week against the Colts after gaining 449 yards in their previous game against the Dolphins — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 400 yards in two straight games. Furthermore, not only has New England played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road but they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of October.

FINAL TAKE: Look, I know that scoring is up — and we have successfully take a bunch Overs this year. But this just looks like irrational exuberance that this Total was bet up into the 60s at one point as if this is a Big 12 contest. Expect a lower scoring game. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (275) and the New England Patriots (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Jacksonville Jaguars (271) minus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (272). THE SITUATION: Jacksonville (3-2) has lost two of their last three games with their 30-14 loss in Kansas City last week as a 3-point underdog. Dallas (2-3) has also lost two of their last three games with their 19-16 loss in overtime in Houston last Sunday night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAGUARS MINUS THE POINTS: Jacksonville should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Jaguars have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Quarterback Blake Bortles did pass for 430 yards in that game while leading an offense that generated 502 yards of offense. But he also threw four interceptions which buried his team. He tends to play better after embarrassing efforts — and Jacksonville has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Jags surrendered 298 passing yards to the Chiefs in that game — but they are a decisive 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games after not allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. They should slam the door on this one-dimensional Cowboys’ offense that lacks credible targets in the passing game. Jacksonville will be able to play eight players in the box to slow down Ezekiel Elliott since Dallas cannot burn them down the field in the passing game given their outstanding cover corners led by Jalen Ramsey. Dallas (2-3) is a mess given the turmoil surrounding this team with the Dez Bryant fallout and now the questioning of head coach Jason Garrett after he decided to punt on 4th down in overtime against the Texans which contributed to that outright loss. Bad vibes in Big-D. They have not covered the point spread in two of their last three games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three contests. Frankly, they were fortunate to even see overtime against the Texans considering that they were outgained by a 462 to 292 margin in yards. Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. This Cowboys team also does not retain much of a home-field advantage in Jerry World either — in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: Bortles should do a better job protecting the football in this game where the offense does not have to play aggressively — this is his kind of game with the outstanding Jaguars’ defense leading the way. 25* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month with the Jacksonville Jaguars (271) minus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (270) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (269). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (5-0) remained undefeated this season with their 33-31 win in Seattle last week as a 7.5-point favorite. Denver (2-3) looks to bounce-back from their 34-16 loss in New York against the Jets as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: The Rams may get caught reading the press clippers regarding their supposed inevitable Super Bowl appearance this season. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road off a game they won but failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Los Angeles is certainly clicking on offense after generating 468 yards of offense last week against the Seahawks. The Rams have scored at least 33 points in all five of their games this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 30 points in five straight games. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. But defensive coordinator Wade Phillips is struggling with his defense despite all the high profile acquisitions in the offseason. The secondary is missing Aqib Talib who is on Injured Reserve which has left cornerback Marcus Peters too often exposed against number one wide receivers. Opposing QBs have throw 8 touchdown passes with zero interceptions over their last three games. The lack of a pass rush is not helping — your Super Bowl locks are actually last in the NFL with just ten sacks this season while ranking eighth from the bottom with just 24 hits on the quarterback. Yet it is the run defense that may be the biggest concern for this unit as they are allowing opposing rushers to average 4.86 Yards-Per-Carry. Denver will run the football to burn time off the clock to keep the Rams’ potent offense off the field. The Broncos are averaging 5.6 YPC which has resulted in 137 rushing YPG — so they should have success running the football. This formula almost worked against Kansas City two weeks ago as they held the lead until Patrick Mahomes engineered that late drive that allowed them to escape Mile High with a 27-23 win. Denver needs to play better on defense after allowing the Jets to generate 323 rushing yards en route to their overall 512 yards of offense. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 150 yards in their last game. And in their last 16 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game, Denver has covered the point spread in 11 of these contests. The Broncos do play better at home where they are 2-1 while outgaining their opponents by +38.3 net YPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams are laying too many points — expect Denver to keep this a close game. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Special with the Denver Broncos (270) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (269). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (258) plus (or minus) the points versus the Carolina Panthers (257). THE SITUATION: Carolina (3-1) has won two straight games with their 33-31 win over the Giants last Sunday as a 7-point favorite after Graham Gano nailed a 63-yard field goal as time expired in the fourth quarter. Washington (2-2) picks themselves off the mat on a short work week for them after they were humiliated on national television by a 43-19 score in New Orleans as a +5.5-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE WASHINGTON PLUS (OR MINUS) THE POINTS: The Skins should bounce-back with a strong effort as they are a better team than what they showed on Monday. Washington has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. The Skins have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Returning home will help where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. This team needs to get back to running the football as they attempted only 18 rushes for a measly 39 yards against the Saints. Chris Thompson ran the ball only 8 times for 17 yards. Washington has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Expect the Skins to play better on the defensive of the football as well after being torched by Drew Brees for 349 passing yards. The Skins have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 300 passing yards. And while New Orleans averaged 7.45 Yards-Per-Play, Washington has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing their last opponent to average at least 7.0 YPP. Carolina has won their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win while also failing to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after winning two straight games. The Panthers have scored 64 points in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. Carolina did surrender 432 yards to the Giants(!) offense last week — and they are just 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This is not a reliable road favorite as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games when laying no more than 3 points.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams are closer in quality than the point spread suggests. Don’t be shocked if Washington pulls the upset but take the points for some insurance. 20* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Washington Redskins (258) plus (or minus) the points versus the Carolina Panthers (257). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (262) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (261). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (2-2-1) is feeling pretty good about themselves after their 41-17 dismantlement of the M*A*S*H unit that is the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday as a 3.5-point favorite. Cincinnati (4-1) has won two straight games with their 27-17 win over Miami as a 6.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BENGALS MINUS THE POINTS: The Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Pittsburgh is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Steelers have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against AFC North opponents, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games. Cincinnati tends to play better with the confidence compiled from positive momentum. They have covered the point spread in two of their last three games — and not only have they covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win but they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after paying off bettors in two of their last three games. Additionally, the Bengals have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. And in their last 8 games against fellow AFC opponents, Cincinnati has covered the point spread all 8 times — and this includes four straight games against fellow AFC North foes.

FINAL TAKE: The Steelers have won the last six meetings between these two teams — so this is a huge game for the Bengals. Pittsburgh is making tons of mistakes this year but relying on Big Ben Roethlisberger to save them time and time again. Look for them to make one mistake too many against this Cincinnati team that is playing confident football with six big chips on their shoulder having not defeated the Steelers since the idyllic days of our innocence back on November 1st, 2015. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Cincinnati Bengals (262) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (256) plus the points versus the Chicago Bears (255). THE SITUATION: Chicago (3-1) has won three straight games after they dismantled Tampa Bay two weeks ago by a 48-10 score as a 3-point favorite. Miami (3-2) has lost two straight games with their 27-17 loss at Cincinnati as a 6.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DOLPHINS PLUS THE POINTS: The Bears are the toast of the NFL right now with their intimidating defense led by Khalil Mack and their new wave offense under rookie head coach Matt Nagy. But before we anoint this team as the reincarnation of the 1985 Bears, let’s remember that this team has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win at home at Soldier Field. Chicago has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a bye week. Nagy’s game planning was clicking on all cylinders against the Buccaneers defense as they raced out to an incomparable 38-3 lead at halftime of that game while generating a total of 483 yards of offense. But the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. They were some cracks in the armor of this Chicago defense as they surrendered 251 passing yards in that game — and they are then a decisive 18-39-1 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. And in their last 18 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of these contests. Miami will be looking to play better in this game after following up getting trounced in New England they blew a 14-0 halftime lead against the Bengals in Cincinnati last week. They were done in the second-half by a 22-yard interception return for a touchdown as well as a 19-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown. The Dolphins have rebounded to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after suffering two straight double-digit losses. Miami has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after not allowing more than a field in the first half of their last game. This is a scrappy group that head coach Adam Gase has kept together this season after they let go of some of their underperforming big personalities in this offseason. This team returns home where they are tough to play against. The Dolphins have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. UPDATE: the reports coming in late Saturday night is that QB Ryan Tannehill has an ankle sprain and is listed as questionable for this game. The point spread is moving is adjusting with the Dolphins getting more than 4 points in most locations. Brock Osweiler will go under center for Miami if Tannehill cannot go. While that is a downgrade, that is a QB with plenty of experience. The recipe for success with Miami remains winning this game on both sides of the line of scrimmage.

FINAL TAKE: I hate this situation for the Bears. I don’t like it when teams on hot streaks go into their bye week as it tends to cool off their momentum. And speaking of cooling off, this Chicago team will likely be dreaming of their hotel air conditioners or at least the crisp fall air in the Windy City about ten minutes into this game at South Beach where it remains hot as blazes. Former Miami Dolphin Brian Cox claimed that this Bears team is going to “melt” before this game is over — we have certainly seen the Patriots perform poorly in the Miami heat once it turns into fall in the north. The Dolphins should play very well in this game. 25* NFL Underdog of the Month with the Miami Dolphins (256) plus the points versus the Chicago Bears (255). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (207) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (208). THE SITUATION: Wyoming (2-4) has lost two straight games after their 17-13 loss at Hawai’i last Saturday as a 1-point underdog. Fresno State (4-1) looks to build off their 21-3 victory in Nevada against the Wolf Pack last Saturday as a 16.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 8-1-1 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Wyoming managed only 244 yards of offense against a suspect Hawai’i defense — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Despite having Josh Allen last year, the Cowboys averaged only 23.5 PPG (104th in the FBS) with just 286.0 total YPG (125th in the FBS) — and they are about the same this year under redshirt freshman QB Tyler Vander Waal as they are scoring 17.5 PPG (126th in the FBS) and averaging 292.5 total YPG (126th in the FBS) which is not an endorsement for the offensive line or skill position players with this program. The Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. This Wyoming team does play stout defense when away from Laramie as they are holding their home hosts to just 21.3 PPG along wit 346.7 total YPG. The Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Fresno State is playing outstanding defense this season as they rank 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 16.6 PPG. The Bulldogs have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival. The Under is also 21-7-1 in Fresno State’s last 29 games after a straight-up victory — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Bulldogs are scoring 40.2 PPG this season but only managed 271 yards of offense last week in Reno with that game finishing far below the 58.5 point total. Fresno State has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Wyoming will struggle to score points against this stour Bulldogs defense. Fresno State should win this game comfortably in what should be a low scoring game. 10* CFB Saturday Late Show O/u Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (207) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (208). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (156) minus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (155). THE SITUATION: USC (3-2) returns to the field after a bye week that followed their 24-20 win at Arizona back on September 29th as a 3.5-point favorite. Colorado (5-0) remained undefeated last week after their 28-21 win over Arizona State as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TROJANS MINUS THE POINTS: The Buffaloes have covered the point spread in their last two games as the favorite — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after covering the point spread in their previous two games as the favorite. Colorado has benefited from an easy schedule as Colorado State, Nebraska, New Hampshire, UCLA and then the Sun Devils last week do not have records better than .500 with the Cornhuskers and Bruins still yet to win a game this year. The Buffaloes are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Colorado has helped themselves by not committing a turnover in two straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games after not committing a turnover in their last game while also failing to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after not committing a turnover in two straight game. But the Buffaloes did not force a turnover last week either — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 27 games after failing to earn at least one takeaway in their last game. Now after playing their last three games at home, Colorado goes on the road for just the second time this season. The Buffaloes have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after winning their last two games at home. Colorado has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 road games when getting 3.5 to 7 points. USC responded to two losses at Stanford and Texas by winning two straight games against Pac-12 opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after winning two straight games against conference foes. The Trojans are also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread win. USC has played one of the most difficult sets of games this season — but this team is steadily improving. This team is beginning to enforce their will at the line of scrimmage after rushing for 253 yards against the Wildcats while limiting them to just 98 rushing yards. The Trojans have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game — and they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. USC has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after out-rushing their last opponent by at least +150 net yards. This commitment to rushing the football is making things easier for freshman quarterback J.T. Daniels who was an efficient 16 of 24 against Arizona for 197 passing yards. The Trojans have only forced three turnovers this year while never generating more than one turnover in a game. But USC has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after not generating more than one takeaway in at least three straight games.

FINAL TAKE: USC may have two losses — but they are the more battle-tested team. Colorado has benefited from a sweetheart early schedule which has featured only one game away from home. Look for this improving Trojans team to expose the Buffaloes. 25* CFB Pac-12 Game of the Month with the USC Trojans (156) minus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (155). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida International Golden Panthers (144) minus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (143). THE SITUATION: Florida International (3-2) takes the field again after their 55-9 blowout win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff two Saturdays ago. Middle Tennessee (3-2) pulled off their second straight upset victory last Friday with their 34-24 win at Marshall as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN PANTHERS MINUS THE POINTS: FIU should be prepared for this game with rest and momentum from their big week. Not only have the Golden Panthers covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, FIU has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home after a win by at least four touchdowns. The Golden Panthers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a bye week. FIU stays at home where they are scoring 48.7 PPG while averaging 492.0 total YPG. They are outscoring their visitors by +25.0 PPG while outgaining them by +102.0 net YPG. The Golden Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. FIU has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win on the road. The Blue Raiders have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. They stay on the road where they are just 1-2 while scoring only 16.0 PPG and averaging just 334.0 total YPG. They are being outscored by -20.0 PPG away from home while being outgained by -70.0 net YPG. Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range.

FINAL TAKE: FIU will be motivated to avenge a 37-17 loss to the Blue Raiders last October 7th. They are in a great position to knock off this Blue Raiders team that is looking to pull an upset for the third straight week after accomplishing this feat against FAU and Middle Tennessee as a 3-point underdog in both contests. The third time will likely not be the charm for Middle Tennessee. 20* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Florida International Golden Panthers (144) minus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (143). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (163) minus the points versus the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (164). THE SITUATION: Louisiana Tech (3-2) looks to bounce-back from a 28-7 loss at home to UAB as a 7-point favorite last week. UTSA (3-3) has won three straight games after their 20-3 upset win over Rice as a 1-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Skip Holtz’s team has been very reliable coming off disappointing losses. Louisiana Tech has rebounded to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Bulldogs have rebounded to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after a loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after a loss at home to a conference rival. Furthermore, Louisiana Tech has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after an upset loss as a home favorite. This is a good Bulldogs team whose fifteen returning starters last year is the most that Holtz has retained in his tenure in his six years with this program. The offense generated only 258 yards last week against the Blazers — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not gaining at least 275 yards in their last game while also covering the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. The offense is led by junior quarterback J’mar Smith who is the returning starting quarterback in Holtz’s tenure at Louisiana Tech. He is leading an offense that is averaging 260 passing YPG (40th in the FBS) — and he should find success against this Roadrunners defense that is 95th in the nation by allowing opponents to average 244.2 passing YPG. The Bulldogs churned out 417 yards in Death Valley against LSU which was the most any team has gained against the Tigers all season — so this offense should be able to play better tonight. The Louisiana Tech defense is also solid as they are holding their opponents to average -39 YPG below their season average. Overall, the Bulldogs are outgaining their opponents by +58.4 net YPG. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road. UTSA has won three straight games against Texas State, UTEP and then Rice last week — but these three opponents are a combined 0-14 in their other games against FBS opponents. The Roadrunners are doing little to move the football even against this weak opponents. They rank 122nd in the nation by scoring only 19.8 PPG — and they also rank 129th in the FBS by averaging just 250.5 total YPG. UTSA has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning two straight games against conference rivals — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, the Roadrunners have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where no more than 24 combined points were scored. They only generated 178 yards of offense against the Owls but benefitted from a +4 net turnover margin to help them eke out that game. But UTSA is just 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. The Roadrunners defense played well in that upset win as they held the Owls to just 222 yards of offense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after not allowing more than 250 yards while also failing to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 14 points. UTSA returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 straight home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The biggest question for QB Smith entering the season was whether he could improve his passing proficiency to be more in line with past Bulldogs teams under Holtz. Smith has met this challenge this year — the Louisiana Tech offense should be able to generate plenty of points against this Roadrunners defense. Expect the Bulldogs to bounce-back with a decisive win on the road against an overrated UTSA team. 25* CFB Conference USA Game of the Year with the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (163) minus the points versus the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (164). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (198) plus the points versus the Georgia At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (198) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (197). THE SITUATION: LSU (5-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-19 upset loss at Florida last Saturday as a 1-point underdog. Georgia (6-0) remained unbeaten this season with their 41-13 win over Vanderbilt as a 26-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: LSU was embarking on a potential game winning drive until quarterback Joe Burrow threw an interception that was returned for a 25-yard touchdown with just 1:45 minutes left in the fourth quarter. The Tigers went from needing just a field goal to win that game to suffering their first loss of the season. But the good news for head coach Ed Ogeron’s team is that they can still likely reach the College Football Playoffs if they win out the rest of their games — but they have no margin for error in this contest. LSU should be fired up to redeem themselves from their upset loss last week. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than 20 points in their last game. Burrow has improved the LSU offense after transferring from Ohio State — the Tigers are scoring 38.0 PPG at home while generating 439.0 total YPG. LSU is 3-0 at home with an average winning margin of +25.7 net PPG while outgaining these opponents by +106.0 net YPG. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after playing their last two games against conference opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against SEC foes. LSU has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in the month of October. Georgia passed for 341 yards last week in their victory over the Commodores — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to pass for at least 280 yards. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win by at least five touchdowns against a conference rival. Furthermore, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after winning their last three games against SEC opponents — including to fail to cover the point spread in three of these last four occasions. And while the Bulldogs have scored at least 38 points in all their games this season, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 37 points in four straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Things have gone pretty easy for Georgia this season — but this is a tough assignment to remain undefeated by playing in Death Valley against an angry Tigers team. Expect a close game. 10* CFB Georgia-LSU CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (198) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (197). Best of luck for us — Frank.Bulldogs (197). THE SITUATION: LSU (5-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-19 upset loss at Florida last Saturday as a 1-point underdog. Georgia (6-0) remained unbeaten this season with their 41-13 win over Vanderbilt as a 26-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: LSU was embarking on a potential game winning drive until quarterback Joe Burrow threw an interception that was returned for a 25-yard touchdown with just 1:45 minutes left in the fourth quarter. The Tigers went from needing just a field goal to win that game to suffering their first loss of the season. But the good news for head coach Ed Ogeron’s team is that they can still likely reach the College Football Playoffs if they win out the rest of their games — but they have no margin for error in this contest. LSU should be fired up to redeem themselves from their upset loss last week. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than 20 points in their last game. Burrow has improved the LSU offense after transferring from Ohio State — the Tigers are scoring 38.0 PPG at home while generating 439.0 total YPG. LSU is 3-0 at home with an average winning margin of +25.7 net PPG while outgaining these opponents by +106.0 net YPG. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after playing their last two games against conference opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against SEC foes. LSU has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in the month of October. Georgia passed for 341 yards last week in their victory over the Commodores — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to pass for at least 280 yards. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win by at least five touchdowns against a conference rival. Furthermore, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after winning their last three games against SEC opponents — including to fail to cover the point spread in three of these last four occasions. And while the Bulldogs have scored at least 38 points in all their games this season, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 37 points in four straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Things have gone pretty easy for Georgia this season — but this is a tough assignment to remain undefeated by playing in Death Valley against an angry Tigers team. Expect a close game. 10* CFB Georgia-LSU CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (198) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (197). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Rice Owls (196) plus the points versus the UAB Blazers (195). THE SITUATION: Rice (1-5) looks to bounce-back from a 20-3 upset loss to UTSA as a 1-point favorite. UAB (4-1) has won three in a row with their 28-7 upset win at Louisiana Tech as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE OWLS PLUS THE POINTS: Rice has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after an upset loss to a conference opponent as a home favorite. And while the Owls have not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 home games after only covering the point spread once in their last four games. Rice has also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 30 home games for losing four or five of their last six games. Don’t blame the Owls defense for that loss to the Roadrunners as they held them to just 178 yards of offense. Rice has then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. It was a -4 net turnover margin the did in the Owls in that contest — and that came after they committed three turnovers and the lost the turnover battle in their previous game at Wake Forest. The Owls have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after enduring a -4 or worse net turnover margin — and they have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 36 games after losing the turnover battle in two straight games. This team will keep fighting in the first season of new head coach Mike Bloomgren who is looking to establish a similar physical program like the one where he served as the offensive coordinator at Stanford. Rice has covered the point spread in 44 of their last 67 home games as the underdog. UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning four of their last five games. The Blazers are due for a letdown playing their second game on the road after pulling that upset. UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after a win on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 20 road games after a victory over a conference opponent. And in their last 7 road games after an upset victory over a conference rival as an underdog of at least 6 points, the Blazers have failed to cover the point spread in all 7 games. This team played great on the defensive side of the football — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Moving forward, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 24 road games as the favorite, the Blazers have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of these contests. 

FINAL TAKE: Rice are big home underdogs of at least two touchdowns in this game. UAB does not have the cache to reliably cover point spreads like this on the road — and the Owls should respond with a strong effort after their disappointing result last week. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Kickoff with the Rice Owls (196) plus the points versus the UAB Blazers (195). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (109) and the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (110). THE SITUATION: South Florida (5-0) remained undefeated last Saturday with their 58-42 win at UMass as a 14-point favorite. Tulsa (1-4) has lost four straight games after their 41-26 loss at Houston last Thursday as a +17.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulls have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 31 points — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. South Florida got 302 rushing yards from Jordan Cronkite on just 23 carries in that game — and he will get the ball plenty in this game against a Golden Hurricanes run defense that is 110th in the FBS by allowing 207.4 rushing YPG. This should ensure a running clock for much of this game — the Bulls have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. South Florida surrendered 401 passing yards last week to the Minutemen — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 passing yards in their last contest. Second-year head coach Charlie Strong will want a better effort from his defense. South Florida has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 42 points in their last contest. The Bulls stay on the road this week where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Tulsa has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after two straight losses. The Golden Hurricanes are playing better than their record indicates — they are outgaining their opponents by +16.8 net YPG. But turnovers are doing this team in as they rank 124th in the FBS by averaging -1.4 net turnovers per game. Tulsa turned the ball over three times in their last to the Cougars — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after committing at least three turnovers in their last game. Fourth-year head coach Philip Montgomery is sitting on a scalding hot seat after this poor start — so he has decided to go young at quarterback by naming Seth Boomer his starter tonight in lieu of an injured Luke Skipper who has been dealing with back issues. The redshirt freshman played against Houston last week — but he lacks the mobility of Skipper and is completing only 41.9% of his passes. The Golden Hurricanes will likely lean heavily on their ground game tonight — especially with Shamari Brooks healthy again and able to join Corey Taylor at running back after he missed last week’s game. Running the football will also protect the Tulsa defense that surrendered 312 rushing yards last week. The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 300 rushing yards in their last game. They allowed Houston to average 7.04 Yards-Per-Play in that game — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.25 YPP.  Despite these recent numbers, this is an improved Golden Hurricanes defense. They are allowing 380.0 total YPG which ranks 68th in the nation — but this is significantly better than the 528.9 total YPG they allowed last season which was 127th in the FBS. Moving forward, Tulsa has played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against fellow American Athletic Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: I considered Tulsa closely in this situation as I expect South Florida to underperform— but with the new QB under center for the Golden Hurricanes, the Under is a stronger play. Both teams will commit to running the football which will help our Under play. 25* CFB Friday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (109) and the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (103) minus the point(s) versus the New York Giants (104). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (2-3) has lost two straight games after their 23-21 loss at home to Minnesota last week as a 3.5-point favorite. New York (1-4) has also lost two in a row after their hearts were broken by Graham Gano’s 63-yard field goal which allowed the Panthers to steal a 33-31 victory in Carolina as a 7-point home favorite over the Giants.

REASONS TO TAKE THE EAGLES PLUS THE POINTS: The reigning Super Bowl Champions will be playing with a sense of desperation in this game playing on a short week after losing their last two games. As this team showed last year, they play their best football with their backs against the wall. And this is a gut check moment for this team with the injuries on offense with running backs Jay Ajayi and Darren Sproles out along with their All-Pro right tackle Lane Johnson now added to the injury list this morning with an ankle injury. But the strength of this Eagles team remains their depth along with their outstanding play on lines of scrimmage — and I find this component to be critical to level their record at 3-3 against this struggling Giants team. This team is still playing quality football — they have only lost these last two games by 5 combined points. Even with these injuries on offense, the Eagles generated 364 yards of offense against an angry Vikings’ defense that was embarrassed in their previous game against the Rams — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Philly defense gave up 298 passing yards to Minnesota — but they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Eagles are still playing stout on the defensive side of the football as they are allowing only 20.8 PPG which is 7th in the NFL. This defense ranks second in the league by only allowing 66.4 rushing YPG — and opposing rushers are averaging 2.78 YPC. This should help them play well on this short week — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on Thursday Night Football. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of October — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against fellow NFC opponents. Furthermore, the Eagles are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 trips to the Meadowlands to face the Giants. New York has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. The state of the Giants defense is a concern as they are allowing 124.4 rushing YPG which ranks 27th in the NFL. Those 31 points they scored against the Panthers were the first time that the Giants reached the 30-point threshold in their last 37 games. But this remains an unbalanced offense even with rookie Saquon Barkley as they are scoring only 20.8 PPG which is 23rd in the NFL while averaging just 75.6 rushing YPG which ranks 28th in the league. With tight end Evan Engram not yet recovered from his knee injury, quarterback Eli Manning has only three viable targets in the passing game in Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard along with Barkley out of the backfield. This lack of diversity should help defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz to dial up a good defensive game plan. Back at home in the Meadowlands, the Giants are scoring only 16.5 PPG while averaging just 311.5 total YPG. New York has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 26 home games as an underdog getting up to 3 points.

FINAL TAKE: In this gut check game played on a short week for both teams, coaching and team chemistry will play important roles in making small differences in this game. The defending Super Bowl Champions have a significant advantage in both those intangibles than this Giants’ team that has seen their internal squabbles about Manning’s declining skills go public. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Philadelphia Eagles (103) minus the point(s) versus the New York Giants (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (103) and the New York Giants (104). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (2-3) has lost two straight games after their 23-21 loss at home to Minnesota last week as a 3.5-point favorite. New York (1-4) has also lost two in a row after their hearts were broken by Graham Gano’s 63-yard field goal which allowed the Panthers to steal a 33-31 victory in Carolina as a 7-point home favorite over the Giants.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a gut check game for both these NFC East teams — and I look for both teams to attempt to impose their will at the line of scrimmage on this short week game. Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. The Eagles have lost these last two games by 5 combined points — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing their last two games by 6 points or less. Philly has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. The Eagles are banged up on offense especially with their rushing attack. Running back Jay Ajayi was put on Injured Reserve with his ACL injury while Darren Sproles will remain out for this game hamstring. Corey Clement will play but he is still dealing with a groin — and Philly’s All-Pro right tackle Lane Johnson was added the injury list this morning being questionable with an ankle. As it is, Philadelphia is scoring only 20.6 PPG which is 25th in the NFL. Yet despite this attrition, the Eagles are likely to try to run the ball behind Wendell Smallwood against this Giants’ defense that ranks 27th in the league by allowing 124.4 rushing YPG. Philadelphia is still playing stout on the defensive side of the football as they are allowing only 20.8 PPG which is 7th in the NFL. They have not allowed more than 77 rushing yards this season — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 99 rushing yards in five straight games. This defense ranks second in the league by only allowing 66.4 rushing YPG — and opposing rushers are averaging 2.78 YPC. But the Eagles did give up 298 passing yards last week — yet Philly has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing more than 250 passing yards in their last game. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Those 31 points they scored against the Panthers were the first time that the Giants reached the 30-point threshold in their last 37 games. But this remains an unbalanced offense even with rookie Saquon Barkley as they are scoring only 20.8 PPG which is 23rd in the NFL while averaging just 75.6 rushing YPG which ranks 28th in the league. Back at home in the Meadowlands, the Giants are scoring only 16.5 PPG while averaging just 311.5 total YPG. With tight end Evan Engram not yet recovered from his knee injury, quarterback Eli Manning has only three viable targets in the passing game in Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard along with Barkley out of the backfield. This lack of diversity should help defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz to dial up a good defensive game plan. Manning did pass for 326 yards last week against the Carolina defense — but they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards. New York returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total. The Giants have also played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total as an underdog — and this includes them playing eight of their last ten games Under the Total at home as an underdog. And in their last 5 games against fellow NFC East foes, the game finished Under the Total 4 times.

FINAL TAKE: The loser of this game finds themselves in a big hole in the NFC East standings. My expectation of both coaches wanting to be physical and win at the line of scrimmage should translate into both teams looking establish their rushing attack — and this will shorten the length of the game. 25* NFL NFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (103) and the New York Giants (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (106) minus the points versus the Texas Tech Red Raiders (105). THE SITUATION: TCU (3-2) looks to build off their 17-14 win over Iowa State back on September 29th as an 11-point favorite. Texas Tech (3-2) looks to rebound from their 42-34 loss to West Virginia as a 3.5-point favorite back on September 29th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HORNED FROGS MINUS THE POINTS: TCU has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Head coach Gary Patterson’s team needs to do a better job protecting the football as they have lost the turnover battle in four straight contests. They have endured a -2 net turnover or worse turnover in three straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after suffering a -2 net turnover margin in at least two straight games. Patterson’s teams at TCU have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a bye week. They stay at home where they scoring 33.3 PPG while outscoring their visitors by +13.0 PPG and outgaining them by +133.3 net YPG. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This is a team that entered the year with high expectations but turnovers derailed them in their loss to Ohio State and then Texas in back-to-back games. But now they host a Red Raiders team that has forced only seven turnovers — with seven of those takeaways occurring against an FCS team in Lamar. The Red Raiders had a -3 net turnover margin in their loss to the Mountaineers which ruined their 463 yards of offense that they accumulated against their defense. Texas Tech has gained at least 486 yards in all five of their games — but not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after gaining at least 405 yards in each of their last five contests. The Red Raiders have the best statistical offense in the nation as they average 591.4 total YPG based off a passing attack that averages 407.6 passing YPG. But they will be facing a stout Patterson Horned Frogs defense that is 12th in the nation in total defense (303.6 total YPG) while also ranking 22nd in the FBS by allowing only 178.0 passing YPG. But the Texas Tech defense remains a big weakness for Cliff Kingsbury’s team as they are allowing 447.6 total YPG (108th in the FBS) due to a porous pass defense that is surrendering 301.2 passing YPG (121st in the FBS). TCU held the Cyclones to just 3.53 Yards-Per-Play last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 3.75 YPP in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are dealing with quarterback injuries. The latest news for TCU is that their sophomore QB Shawn Robinson has been upgraded to probable with a shoulder injury but he still might not start the game in lieu of Pennsylvania transfer Michael Collins being under center for the Horned Frogs. The Red Raiders’ starting freshman quarterback Alan Bowman has been downgraded to doubtful with the lung injury he suffered last week which means sophomore Jeff Duffey will get the start. Duffey threw two of the offenses’ three interceptions last week. It is Texas Tech that is more dependent on their QB play so these collective issues help the Horned Frogs. 10* CFB Texas Tech-TCU ESPN Special with the TCU Horned Frogs (106) minus the points versus the Texas Tech Red Raiders (105). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Arkansas State Red Wolves (102) plus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (101). THE SITUATION: Appalachian State (3-1) has won three straight games with their 52-7 win over South Alabama back on September 25th. Arkansas State (3-2) looks to rebound from their 28-21 upset loss at Georgia Southern back on September 29th as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED WOLVES PLUS THE POINTS: Arkansas State lost the turnover battle against the Eagles in their last game while seeing three of their drives stall after failed 4th down conversion attempts. The Red Wolves outgained Georgia Southern by +82 net yards. Arkansas State has not covered the point spread in their last two games — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Red Wolves have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games coming off a bye week. This is a team returned twelve starters from last year’s group that finished 6-2 in Sun Belt play before losing to Middle Tennessee by just a 35-30 score in the Camellia Bowl. They are led by senior quarterback Justice Hansen who completed 38 of 50 passes for 376 yards against a talented Georgia Southern secondary. Arkansas State is tough at home where they have only lost once in conference play since 2015. The Red Wolves have won seven of their last eight opening games in Sun Belt Conference play on their home field. So far this season, Arkansas State is 2-0 with a +17.0 net PPG scoring margin while outgaining their opponents by +231.5 net YPG. This team has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. Appalachian State has won three straight games after beginning their season with that heartbreaking loss in overtime at Penn State. That high profile game may have the Mountaineers a bit overvalued in this situation — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after winning three straight games. Appalachian State went into halftime with a convincing 42-7 lead over the Jaguars in their last game but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after owning a halftime lead of at least 17 points in their last game. The Mountaineers’ spread rushing attack has helped them out-rush their last three opponents by +235.7 rushing YPG — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after outrushing their last three games by at least +125 rushing YPG. Arkansas State will benefit from the extra days of preparation for this unique offense. The Red Wolves did allow
348 rushing yards to Georgia Southern which may be scaring some bettors off. But Arkansas State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after allowing at least 300 rushing yards.

FINAL TAKE: Arkansas State’s other loss this season was at Alabama — so we can give them a pass on that one. This is a must-win game for them after losing to Georgia Southern in their last game — but head coach Blake Anderson has a team that can very much win the Sun Belt Conference title. They should play very well in this contest against an Appalachian State team that has not been challenged in games against Charlotte, Gardner Webb, and South Alabama after that game with the Nittany Lions. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (102) plus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (478) minus the points versus the Washington Redskins (477). THE SITUATION: Washington (2-1) returns to the field after their bye week after upsetting Green Bay two weeks ago by a 31-17 score as a 2.5-point underdog. New Orleans (3-1) enters this game coming off their 33-18 win at New York against the Giants as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE POINTS: The Skins are likely to suffer a letdown in this game as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit victory. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset win by at least two touchdowns as a home underdog. The extra week to rest and prepare is not likely to help the Skins considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a bye week. This Washington team has a good defense — but stopping the run is an issue that opponents with balanced offenses can exploit. The Skins were last in the NFL last season by allowing 134.1 rushing YPG. This season, the rush defense looks better on paper because they are only allowing 91 rushing YPG. However, opponents are only averaging 20 rushing attempts per game. The 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry average Washington is allowing this season is exactly the same mark they allowed last year. The Saints are seeing the return of running back Mark Ingram at just the right time after he served a four-game suspension. Additionally, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games when playing on Monday Night Football. New Orleans should build off the moment of their three-game winning straight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win on the road. The Saints have paid off bettors in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. New Orleans returns home after playing their last two games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 8 straight games after playing their last two games on the road. The Saints have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 28 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This is a good time to back New Orleans as well as they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games in the month of October.

FINAL TAKE: Expect the Saints to simply have too much on offense against this solid but unspectacular Washington team. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the New Orleans Saints (478) minus the points versus the Washington Redskins (477). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (477) and the New Orleans Saints (478). THE SITUATION: Washington (2-1) returns to the field after their bye week after upsetting Green Bay two weeks ago by a 31-17 score as a 2.5-point underdog. New Orleans (3-1) enters this game coming off their 33-18 win at New York against the Giants as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Saints have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. New Orleans generated 389 yards in that contest with the Giants — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Drew Brees leads a powerful offense that is scoring 34.2 PPG while averaging 418.2 total YPG — and they get running back Mark Ingram back from his four-game suspension which gives them a power running back while keeping the electric Alvin Kamara fresh. But the Saints’ defense has been another story — and they are allowing their visitors to score 33.0 PPG along with averaging 428.0 total YPG in the Superdome this season. New Orleans has played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Saints have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow NFC opponents — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on Monday Night Football. The New Orleans lack of a pass rush will likely give Washington quarterback Alex Smith plenty of time to pick apart their secondary. The Saints are fourth from the bottom of the league with just 18 hits on the quarterback and their nine sacks are 12th from the bottom. The Skins have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Washington has also played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total against fellow NFC opponents — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total in the month of October. Furthermore, the Skins have played 15 of their last 21 games on the road Over the Total — and this includes them playing seven of their last eight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is in the low-50s for this game. Scoring is up this season with the offseason rule changes helping the offenses in protecting the quarterback and in being more liberal in defining what a catch is. Plenty of these games are still finishing below the number — but both these teams tend to play higher-scoring games so I do expect this to be a shootout. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (477) and the New Orleans Saints (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (475) plus the points versus the Houston Texans (476). THE SITUATION: Dallas (2-2) looks to build off their 26-24 win over Detroit yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. Houston (1-3) earned their first victory of the season last Sunday with their 37-34 win in overtime at Indianapolis as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COWBOYS PLUS THE POINTS: The Cowboys got their ground game cranked up against the Lions. Running back Ezekiel Elliott ran the ball 25 times for 152 yards to the lead for the Dallas offense- The Cowboys have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game (although don’t be surprised if Elliott a nice game catching the ball out of the backfield). Dallas tends to raise their level of play in the month of October under head coach Jason Garrett — they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in October. Now the Cowboys go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Dallas defense is underrated — they are allowing only 20.0 PPG along with just 294.0 total YPG on the road so far this season. They are third in the NFL in sacks led by linebacker DeMarcus Lawrence who leads the league with his 5.5 sacks. He should feast on this terrible Texans offensive line that has allowed 45 hits to the quarterback which is the most in the NFL. Deshaun Watson has been sacked 17 times this year which is the second most in the NFL. He did pass for 375 yards while leading his offense to 466 total yards against the suspect Colts’ defense — but Houston has then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Texans got a jolt of confidence by earning their first win of the season — but they have then failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up victory. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

FINAL TAKE: While the Texans entered the season as a trendy dark horse Super Bowl team, bettors have not seen to have caught up to the fact that their weaknesses on their offensive line and defense most likely will limit what this team can do this season. Dallas is a solid football team with a good opportunity to win this game outright. 10* NFL Dallas-Huston NBC-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (475) plus the points versus the Houston Texans (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (475) and the Houston Texans (476). THE SITUATION: Dallas (2-2) looks to build off their 26-24 win over Detroit yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. Houston (1-3) earned their first victory of the season last Sunday with their 37-34 win in overtime at Indianapolis as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Dallas generated 414 yards of offense last week against the Lions — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. But now the Cowboys go back on the road where they are scoring just 10.5 PPG along with averaging only 267.5 total YPG. Dallas has played 21 of their last 27 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. The Cowboys defense surrendered 382 total yards last week — but they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Dallas defense is underrated — they are allowing only 20.0 PPG along with just 294.0 total YPG on the road so far this season. They are third in the NFL in sacks led by linebacker DeMarcus Lawrence who leads the league with his 5.5 sacks. He should feast on this terrible Texans offensive line that has allowed 45 hits to the quarterback which is the most in the NFL. Deshaun Watson has been sacked 17 times this year which is the second most in the NFL. He did pass for 375 yards while leading his offense to 466 total yards against the suspect Colts’ defense — but Houston has played 4 straight games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Texans have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while the underachieving Houston defense gave up 478 yards last week, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas lacks down-the-field targets at wide receiver while the Texans have one of the least capable offensive lines in the league. With these two offenses, both burdened by significant flaws, expect a lower scoring game. 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (475) and the Houston Texans (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (469) plus the points versus the San Francisco 49ers (470). THE SITUATION: Arizona has lost two straight games after their 20-17 loss to Seattle last Sunday as a +3.5-point underdog. San Francisco (1-3) looks to rebound from a 29-27 loss in Los Angeles to the Chargers as +10.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS PLUS THE POINTS: Arizona has bounced-back to cover the points spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss at home. Arizona remains the last remaining winless team in the NFL — but they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after losing their last two contests. They will certainly be playing with a level of desperation. And this team can find confidence in the encouraging play of quarterback Josh Rosen. The rookie completed 15 of 27 passes for 180 yards with a touchdown pass and no interceptions last week — and his ability to hit tight windows with his strong arm gives this offense a new dynamic that simply was not there with Sam Bradford. The improving hamstring of wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald helps matters as well. The Cardinals need to do a better job of protecting the football as they have lost the turnover battle in their last two games. Arizona has covered the point spread in 47 of their last 76 games after suffering a -1 or worse net turnover margin in two straight games. The Cardinals have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. San Francisco got a good game out of their second-year quarterback C.J. Beathard who passed for 298 yards while leading an offense that generated 364 yards of offense. But the 49ers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Arizona will benefit from getting recent tape on Beathard from last week. San Fran has issues on defense — after giving up 35 first-half points to Kansas City two weeks ago, they surrendered another 17 points in the first 24 minutes against the Chargers. The 49ers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after giving up at least 17 first-half points in two straight games. San Francisco returns home after playing their last two games on the road. But the Niners have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games at home — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after playing their last two games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona is playing solid football — they have lost their last two games by just five combined points. This should be another close game that the Cardinals can win with Rosen under center. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Arizona Cardinals (469) plus the points versus the San Francisco 49ers (470). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Chargers (468) minus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (467). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (2-2) looks to build off their 29-27 win over the 49ers last week as a 10.5-point favorite. Oakland (1-3) earned their first victory of the season last week with their 45-42 overtime win at home against Cleveland.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CHARGERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Raiders have been a hot mess under head coach Jon Gruden — they have been consistently disorganized while players and coaches are making too many mental mistakes. They were given a few gifts from the referees to survive that game with the Browns. But Oakland has then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win. The Raiders are generating plenty of offense — QB Derek Carr passed for 437 yards last week to lean an offense that gained 565 total yards. Carr passes for 325 yards in his previous game — but the Raiders have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 300 passing yards in two straight games. That offense has suffered a big blow with the need to place their veteran left tackle Donald Penn on Injured Reserve. Carr has not been nearly as effective when playing on the road where he has lost eight of his last nine games while committing 13 turnovers. While the Raiders may have a large contingent of fans at this game with it being played on Los Angeles where there is not a ton of love for the Chargers, this is still an unfamiliar playing environment for Carr. The Oakland offense will not have much room for error considering how terrible their defense is — they are allowing 30.7 PPG and the 123 points they have allowed is worst in the NFL. Their defense without Khalil Mack is last in both sacks and hits on the quarterback. Philip Rivers will have a clean pocket with all the time he needs to pick apart this Raiders’ secondary. Rivers enjoys a 15:2 touchdown to interception ratio over his last six starts going back to last season. The Chargers should play well in this game as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while LA allowed 288 passing yards to the 49ers, they are then 3-1-1 ATS after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Chargers are playing high-scoring games with all four of their contests seeing at least combined 51 points scored. But Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after seeing at least 50 combined points scored in four straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games after a game where both teams scored at least 24 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Raiders just surrendered 42 points to Baker Mayfield who was making his first professional start. Mayfield may have tons of potential — but Philip Rivers is a bad mad with plenty of healthy weapons right now. While the Chargers do not enjoy much of a favorable home crowd, these critics fail to appreciate that familiarity plays a large role in creating home field advantage. 25* NFL AFC West Game of the Month with the Los Angeles Chargers (468) minus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (467). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (460) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Denver Broncos (459). New York (1-3) looks to snap a three-game losing streak with their 31-12 loss in Jacksonville yesterday. Denver (2-2) looks to rebound from their 27-23 loss to Kansas City on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS PLUS (OR MINUS) THE POINT(S): The Broncos face a difficult situation traveling east to play in the 1 PM ET slot of games after playing on a short week. As it is, Denver is just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games when playing on a Sunday after a game for Monday Night Football. The Broncos have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Denver did generate 385 yards of offense in that game — but they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. QB Case Keenum is second in the NFL with six interceptions and he has not thrown a touchdown pass in three weeks. His 60.1 Passer Rating is third from the bottom of all NFL starting QBs. The Broncos defense surrendered 446 yards to the Chiefs in that game — and they are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This is Denver’s just second game away from home this year — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games on the road. New York will be desperate for a win after losing three straight games. They do return home to the Meadowlands for just the second time this season — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home. The offense only generated 178 yards last week — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after failing to generate at least 250 yards in their last game. It has been a trial by fire for Sam Darnold who played three games in the first eleven days of the season before then traveling to play the elite Jaguars defense last week. Don’t be surprised if the rookie steps up to play his best game of the season this afternoon. The Jets defense should play better as well — they rank in the top six in the league by holding their opponents to just 5.2 Yards-Per-Play and they have also forced 10 turnovers. New York has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Look for the Jets’ defense to step up and help New York end their three-game losing streak. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the New York Jets (460) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Denver Broncos (459). Best of luck for us — Frank.