At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (221) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (222). THE SITUATION: Wake Forest (6-6) became bowl eligible by winning two of their final three games after their 59-7 upset win at Duke as a 9.5-point underdog on November 24th. Memphis (8-5) saw their four-game winning snapped in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with their 56-41 loss to Central Florida back on December 1st where they were 1-point underdogs. These two teams meet in Alabama for the Birmingham Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DEMON DEACONS PLUS THE POINTS: It might be difficult for Memphis to pick themselves off the mat for this second-tier bowl game after they blew a 38-21 halftime to once again lose the Knights. There has been plenty of attrition over the last couple of weeks with three assistant coaches (including the offensive and defensive coordinator) taking new jobs and running back Darrell Henderson opting not to play in this game. The Tigers still have talent at running back — but it will be hard to replace his 1909 rushing yards that resulted in 22 touchdowns and an 8.9 Yards-Per-Carry average. Memphis has covered the point spread in six of their last eight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after a game where at least 80 combined points were scored. Memphis generated 583 yards of offense against UCF after gaining 610 yards in their previous game against Houston — but the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after gaining at least 575 yards in their last game while also failing to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after gaining at least 525 yards in two straight games. This is a team that ranked 92nd in the nation by allowing 31.5 PPG — and that number increased to 40.3 PPG in their six games away from home along with 513.0 Yards-Per-Game that they allowed their opponents to generate. This porous defense makes them precarious favorites — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 54 games when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games in the month of December — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against non-conference opponents. Wake Forest has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a game where at least 63 combined points were scored. The encouraging aspect from this Demon Deacons team down the stretch was the improved play of their defense. Over their last three games, their run defense got significantly better as they allowed only 307 combined rushing yards and held opposing rushers to just a 2.8 Yards-Per-Carry average. The Blue Devils managed only 105 rushing yards and 145 passing yards against this defense. Wake Forest has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last contest. Wake held a 31-7 halftime lead in that game as well — and they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 35 games after not allowing more than 7 points in the first-half of their last game. The offense is clicking by the continued improvement of sophomore quarterback Jamie Newman who took over under center after freshman Sam Hartman suffered a season-ending leg injury. He oversees an offense that ranks 31st in the nation by averaging 443.2 total YPG — and the Demon Deacons have scored 33.0 PPG over their last three games. Wake Forest has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 bowl games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field where they are underdogs. Together, these team trends produce our specific 145-53 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Wake Forest played the more difficult schedule with a full tilt of ACC opponents. The Demon Deacons will not have their star sophomore slot receiver in Greg Dortch who is out with an injured finger but their run-oriented spread offense should still move the ball against the Tigers defense. 10* CFB Wake Forest-Memphis ESPN Special with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (221) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (222). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (221) and the Memphis Tigers (222). THE SITUATION: Wake Forest (6-6) became bowl eligible by winning two of their final three games after their 59-7 upset win at Duke as a 9.5-point underdog on November 24th. Memphis (8-5) saw their four-game winning snapped in the Conference USA Championship Game with their 56-41 loss to Central Florida back on December 1st where they were 1-point underdogs. These two teams meet in Alabama for the Birmingham Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Memphis has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. The Tigers have covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. The offense took a hit with their star running back Darrell Henderson opting out of this game to avoid injury before making himself available for the NFL draft. But this Memphis offense still has Patrick Taylor and Tony Pollard in the backfield who combined to rush for 1455 yards with 20 touchdowns. The Tigers will be able to move the ball against this Demon Deacons defense that ranked 116th in the nation by allowing 465.3 total YPG. But Memphis has struggled to stop opposing offenses as well as they rank 92nd in the nation by giving up 31.5 PPG — and they gave up 40.3 PPG along with 513.0 Yards-Per-Game in their six games away from home. Central Florida generated 698 yards against them — and Memphis has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tigers have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Furthermore, Memphis has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the month of December. The Tigers have also played 30 of their last 46 games Over the Total in expected high-scoring games with the Total set at least at 63. Wake Forest has a powerful offense as well as they rank 31st in the nation by averaging 443.2 total YPG — and that number rises to 492.0 YPG along with 36.4 PPG in their five games on the road.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Western Michigan Broncos (220) plus the points versus the BYU Cougars (219). THE SITUATION: Western Michigan (7-5) enters the postseason coming off a 28-21 upset win over Northern Illinois as a 6.5-point underdog back on November 20th. BYU (6-6) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on November 24th with their 35-27 loss at Utah as a 10.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win at home. And while some teams may suffer an emotional letdown after an upset victory, I suspect that victory for this Broncos team will be galvanizing for them. Second year head coach Tim Lester fired his defensive coordinator before that game against the Huskies and the result was his defense played their best game of the season by only allowing 262 yards of offense. Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Broncos have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset victory as a home underdog — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after pulling an upset over a conference rival. Western Michigan dominated that Northern Illinois team that then went on to upset Buffalo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game as they out-gained them by +137 net yards. The Broncos have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after out-gaining their last opponent by at least +125 yards. The extra weeks of bowl practice should help in the continued development of freshman quarterback Kaleb Eleby who has started the last three games for the injured Jon Wassink. Eleby completed 19 of 35 passes for 285 yards against a stout Huskies defense — and he is completing 64.5% of his passes this season. Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after passing for at least 285 yards in their last game. And in their last 17 games on the road after losing three of their last four games, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 14 of these contests. BYU has questionable motivation issues after blowing a 20-0 halftime lead against their in-state rivals to close out the season. Losing that game cost the Cougars a more attractive bowl site — now they travel north to bland Boise to play a team not representing a Power Five conference. This BYU team has a host of distractions as well with some players out getting married with others out due to injuries and a number of players taking exams while on this trip. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a bye week. They also have a freshman at quarterback with Zach Wilson starting the last six games for the team when he was tapped by head coach Kalani Sitake to take over as the starter. BYU relies on their defense as they grind out games with an offense dedicated to running the ball and winning the battle at the line of scrimmage. While that is a consistent way to be be successful and stay competitive in all their games, it is not a reliable way to cover double-digit point spreads. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight bowl games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-24 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: This is the first bowl game for Western Michigan under head coach Lester after they were one of the few teams passed over despite having six wins last season. They should be motivated to make a statement in this game to close out their season. BYU has hire expectations as an independent modeling their program as the Notre Dame of the west. BYU’s defense may be the difference in this game — but they are laying way too many points as a double-digit favorite. 10* CFB BYU-Western Michigan ESPN Special with the Western Michigan Broncos (220) plus the points versus the BYU Cougars (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Western Michigan Broncos (220) plus the points versus the BYU Cougars (219). THE SITUATION: Western Michigan (7-5) enters the postseason coming off a 28-21 upset win over Northern Illinois as a 6.5-point underdog back on November 20th. BYU (6-6) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on November 24th with their 35-27 loss at Utah as a 10.5-point underdog. These two teams travel to Boise, Idaho for the Potato Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win at home. And while some teams may suffer an emotional letdown after an upset victory, I suspect that victory for this Broncos team will be galvanizing for them. Second-year head coach Tim Lester fired his defensive coordinator before that game against the Huskies and the result was his defense played their best game of the season by only allowing 262 yards of offense. Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Broncos have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset victory as a home underdog — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after pulling an upset over a conference rival. Western Michigan dominated that Northern Illinois team that then went on to upset Buffalo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game as they out-gained them by +137 net yards. The Broncos have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after out-gaining their last opponent by at least +125 yards. The extra weeks of bowl practice should help in the continued development of freshman quarterback Kaleb Eleby who has started the last three games for the injured Jon Wassink. Eleby completed 19 of 35 passes for 285 yards against a stout Huskies defense — and he is completing 64.5% of his passes this season. Western Michigan has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after passing for at least 285 yards in their last game. And in their last 17 games on the road after losing three of their last four games, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 14 of these contests. BYU has questionable motivation issues after blowing a 20-0 halftime lead against their in-state rivals to close out the season. Losing that game cost the Cougars a more attractive bowl site — now they travel north to bland Boise to play a team not representing a Power Five conference. This BYU team has a host of distractions as well with some players out getting married with others out due to injuries and a number of players taking exams while on this trip. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a bye week. They also have a freshman at quarterback with Zach Wilson starting the last six games for the team when he was tapped by head coach Kalani Sitake to take over as the starter. BYU relies on their defense as they grind out games with an offense dedicated to running the ball and winning the battle at the line of scrimmage. While that is a consistent way to be successful and stay competitive in all their games, it is not a reliable way to cover double-digit point spreads. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight bowl games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-24 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: This is the first bowl game for Western Michigan under head coach Lester after they were one of the few teams passed over despite having six wins last season. They should be motivated to make a statement in this game to close out their season. BYU has higher expectations as an independent team modeling their program as the Notre Dame of the west. BYU’s defense may be the difference in this game — but they are laying way too many points as a double-digit favorite. 10* CFB BYU-Western Michigan ESPN Special with the Western Michigan Broncos (220) plus the points versus the BYU Cougars (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Florida International Golden Panthers (217) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (218). FIU (8-4) looks to bounce-back from their 28-25 loss to Marshall as a 3.5-point underdog on November 25th. Toledo (7-5) has won two straight games after their 51-13 win over Central Michigan as a 19-point favorite on November 23rd.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN PANTHERS PLUS THE POINTS: FIU has rebounded to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss to a conference rival. The Golden Panthers will be without their starting quarterback James Morgan in this game as he has been declared out with an injury he sustained in that final game against the Thundering Herd. Junior Christian Alexander has experience under center this season and he will get the start tonight. He benefits from getting most of the starter’s reps in bowl practice — and he is the likely starter next season. He will also be protected by a good offensive line that allowed only 10 sacks this season. The Golden Panthers have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams outside the Mid-American Conference. FIU has also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games as an underdog. And while they have played five straight games Over the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 24 of their last 35 games after playing at least two straight Overs. Toledo has played two straight games Over the Total — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games after playing at least two straight Overs. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points. This Toledo team has a leaky defense which makes them precarious favorites now when laying at least a touchdown. They rank 94th in the nation by allowing 430.1 total YPG — and they are giving up 30.2 PPG. When playing away from home, the Rockets are being out-gained by -21.6 Yards-Per-Game. This is also a team playing with their second-string quarterback with sophomore Eli Peters now their starter after the season-ending injury to Mitchell Guadagni last month. Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against non-conference opponents. Lastly, the Rockets are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in the month of December — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when playing with more than two weeks of rest and preparation.

FINAL TAKE: I am adding this as a late play given the line movement on Toledo that has elevated the Golden Panthers to an underdog getting (at least) 7 points in most spots. The FIU offense will be fine with Alexander — especially against this porous Rockets defense. Too many points to lay. Both of these teams will be motivated to play in the Bahamas. Toledo was shutout by Appalachian State in the Dollar General Bowl last season but FIU was embarrassed in a 28-3 loss to Temple in the Gasparilla Bowl in a game where they had to rely on unprepared backup quarterbacks after an injury to senior QB Alex McGough. 10* CFB FIU-Toledo ESPN Special with the Florida International Golden Panthers (217) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (218). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Gasparilla Bowl between the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) and the South Florida Bulls (216). THE SITUATION: Marshall (8-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st with their 41-20 loss at Virginia Tech as a 3.5-point underdog. South Florida (7-5) has lost five straight games after their 38-10 loss to Central Florida as a 16.5-point favorite back on November 23rd. With this bowl game being moved from St. Petersburg to Raymond James Stadium on Tampa Bay, the Bulls playing in their home stadium for this bowl game.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 21-9-1 in South Florida’s last 31 games after a straight-up loss. The Bulls have also played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least 17 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least four touchdowns. Furthermore, not only has South Florida played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after suffering three straight losses to conference rivals but they have also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The big question for this team is whether or not junior quarterback Blake Barnett will be able to take the field in this game. The former Alabama QB injured his ankle two games ago which kept him out of that final game with UCF. Barnett is officially listed as questionable for this contest and while he has taken off his walking boot this week, there is little other indication that he is actually ready to play in this game. I suspect that second-year head coach Charlie Strong will not risk further injury to his likely incumbent starter who has not practiced for this game and who will not be at 100%. But even if he plays, he will be running an offense that has scored only 16.7 PPG over their last three contests while wavering only 296.0 total YPG over that span. South Florida will lean on their rushing attack that averaged 202.5 rushing YPG which was 34th best in the nation. But running the ball will be difficult against this Thundering Herd defense that ranks 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 105.3 rushing YPG — and they limit opposing rushers to just a 2.98 Yards-Per-Carry. The Bulls only managed to pass for 113 yards against Central Florida in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games at home Under the Total after a game where they failed to pass for at least 125 yards. South Florida has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home. Marshall has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 17 points. The Thundering Herd allowed the Hokies to average 7.09 Yards-Per-Play in their last game — but they have then played 25 of their last 36 games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Head coach Doc Holliday should see his defense rebound with a better game tonight as they rank 23rd in the nation by allowing just 336.9 total YPG while also ranking tied for 29th in the FBS by giving up only 22.0 PPG. Marshall did not force any Virginia Tech turnovers in their last game — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after not forcing a turnover in their last game. Furthermore, the Thundering Herd have played 7 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when favored by no more than 3 points. And in their last 7 bowl games, Marshall has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The challenges for the South Florida offense increased when their offensive coordinator, Sterlin Gilbert, left for the McNeese State head coaching job during bowl prep. Strong has tapped Justin Blake to be his interim play-caller despite his lack of experience with those duties. With the Total set in the low-50s, expect this to be a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Gasparilla Bowl between the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) and the South Florida Bulls (216). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (216) plus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) in the Gasparilla Bowl. THE SITUATION: Marshall (8-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st with their 41-20 loss at Virginia Tech as a 3.5-point underdog. South Florida (7-5) has lost five straight games after their 38-10 loss to Central Florida as a 16.5-point favorite back on November 23rd. With this bowl game being moved from St. Petersburg to Raymond James Stadium on Tampa Bay, the Bulls playing in their home stadium for this bowl game.

REASONS TO TAKE SOUTH FLORIDA PLUS THE POINTS: Not only are the Bulls 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit loss at home. Furthermore, South Florida has covered the point spread in 6 straight games at home after a loss by at least four touchdowns. It has almost been a month since the Bulls last played and second-year head coach Charlie Strong needed to take full advantage of bowl preparation as looks to build this team for next season. Things started very well for this team with second straight wins to begin the season — and a victory now will remove the bad taste that is in everyone’s mouth after this team dropped its last five games. South Florida has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with at least two weeks between games. The big question for this team is whether or not junior quarterback Blake Barnett will be able to take the field in this game. The former Alabama QB injured his ankle two games ago which kept him out of that final game with UCF. Barnett is officially listed as questionable for this contest and while he has taken off his walking boot this week, there is little other indication that he is actually ready to play in this game. I suspect that second-year head coach Charlie Strong will not risk further injury to his likely incumbent starter who has not practiced for this game and who will not be at 100%. The Bulls have only scored 27 combined points in their last two games — but they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after failing to score more than 17 points in two straight games. South Florida remains a football team that has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after winning three of their last four games. This is the Thundering Herd’s third straight game away from home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after playing a game on the road. There are some concerns with the Marshall defense after a suspect Virginia Tech offense that generated 454 yards of offense. The Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. While Marshall boasted an outstanding run defense this year, they did allow opponents to average 231.7 passing YPG against them which ranks 69th in the FBS. They also allowed home teams to average 372.8 total YPG against them which was over 35 more YPG than their season average. The Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road as the favorite. Additionally, Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games as the favorite. And in their last 7 games with the Total in the 49.5 to 56 point range, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: The Thundering Herd were flat in their opportunity to upset a vulnerable Virginia Tech team which would have been a nice accomplishment for them. Their motivation to play a true road game in Tampa Bay against a team on a five-game losing streak with a 10-win season no longer possible will be a big challenge for Holliday as a head coach. On the other side of the field, home field advantage should have helped Strong get his team focused on salvaging their season and building for next year. Taking the points with the underdog is where the value is for this situation. 10* CFB Marshall-South Florida ESPN Special with the South Florida Bulls (216) plus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) in the Gasparilla Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (214) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (213). THE SITUATION: San Diego State (7-5) limps into the bowl season having lost three straight games after their 31-30 upset loss at home to Hawai’i to end their regular season despite being an 18-point favorite in that game back on November 24th. Ohio (8-4) has won two straight games with their 49-28 win over Akron as a 24-point favorite back on November 23rd. These two football programs meet for the first time in the Frisco Bowl in Frisco, Texas tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE AZTECS PLUS THE POINTS: It was a strange season for San Diego State. After an opening week loss at Stanford, the Aztecs rattled off six-straight wins including impressive wins against Arizona State and at Boise State. But Rocky Long’s team was hit with the injury bug with starting quarterback Christian Chapman and running back Juwan Washington missing significant time with injuries — and that coincided with a difficult stretch of the season where they had challenging road games at Nevada and Fresno State. San Diego State lost three of four games down the stretch against Mountain West Conference rivals that were decided by just 15 combined points. The team was then flat in their season finale where they got upset by Hawai’i. But now Chapman and Washington are healthy again — and one thing this program has been under Long’s leadership is reliable when bouncing-back a from loss. The Aztecs have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games after a loss decided by 3 points or less — and they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games after a loss to a conference rival. Additionally, San Diego State has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games on the road after losing three of their last four games. Having Washington healthy should jumpstart this offense as he rushed for 870 yards with ten touchdowns despite playing in just eight games. The Aztecs are once again outstanding on the defensive side of the football where they rank 20th in the nation by limiting their opponents to only 327.4 total YPG. The Bobcats want to run the football as they rank 9th in the nation by rushing for 262.2 rushing YPG. But San Diego State ranks 4th in the nation by allowing only 94.5 rushing YPG this season — and opposing rushers averaged just 2.7 Yards-Per-Carry. The Aztecs faced six teams that qualified for bowl games this season — and those six teams averaged only 64.3 rushing YPG against this stout San Diego State defense. The Aztecs entered this season with a 32-9 record over their last three seasons. They are rarely an underdog under Long’s leadership — but when they are, they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when getting the points. Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bobcats preceded that 21-point win over the Zips with a 35-point win over Buffalo the previous week — but Frank Solich’s team has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after winning their last two games by at least three touchdowns. Ohio has also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when playing away from after winning their last two games by double-digits. The Bobcats out-rushed Akron by a whopping 349 net yards in their last game — but they have failed cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after out-rushing their last opponent by at least 200 yards. Ohio has benefited from averaging +1.08 net turnovers per game this season which is the 5th best mark in the nation. They have not committed more than one turnover in six straight games. But after playing their last two games at home, they go on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after not committing more than one turnover in three straight games. They will be facing an Aztecs team that has not committed a turnover in two straight games. The Bobcats thrived at home where they were a perfect 6-0 this season — but they were just 2-4 on the road while being out-gained by -30 net YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Ohio has reached a bowl game in nine of the last ten seasons under Solich while enjoying a 41-6 blowout win over UAB in the Bahamas Bowl last year. San Diego State has reached a bowl game in all eight years in Long’s tenure but fourteen returning starters will look to redeem themselves from a 42-35 upset loss to Army in the Armed Forces Bowl as a 7-point favorite. With the Aztecs healthy again, they are probably the better team in this game — and they will be doubly motivated to use this game to erase last year’s underwhelming performance as well as the poor effort over three weeks against Hawai’i. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year with the San Diego State Aztecs (214) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (213). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the UAB Blazers (212) minus the point(s) versus the Northern Illinois Huskies (211). THE SITUATION: UAB (10-3) won the Conference USA Championship with their 27-25 upset win at Middle Tennessee as a 1.5-point underdog back on December 1st. Northern Illinois (8-5) snapped a two-game losing streak on November 30th by upsetting Buffalo by a 30-29 score as a 3-point underdog to win the Mid-American Championship. These two conference champions meet in the Boca Raton Bowl in Florida tonight.

REASONS TO LAY THE POINTS WITH THE BLAZERS: Alabama-Birmingham should play well tonight as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games off win on the road against a conference opponent. UAB has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. And while the Blazers surrendered 456 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. This team is led by one of one most underrated head coaches in the nation in Bill Clark who pulled off a minor miracle getting this team to a bowl game for two straight seasons despite the football program disbanded in the previous two years. UAB is led by an outstanding defense that is 10th in the nation by allowing 17.3 PPG while also holding their opponents to only 300.2 total YPG which is 11th best in the FBS. The Blazers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 23 games when getting at least two weeks to prepare. And in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record, UAB has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. Northern Illinois is a strange team to handicap. On the one hand, the fact that they were outscored and out-gained by their opponents this season should throw up some red flags. On the other hand, the Huskies played one of the most difficult non-conference schedules in the nation with games against Iowa, Utah, Florida State, and BYU — so those negative numbers need to be taken with a grain of salt for this non-power five conference team. The offense has been an issue for this team as they rank 119th in the nation by scoring just 20.7 PPG and they also rank 122nd in the FBS by averaging only 325.0 total YPG. In situations like this, looking to the team trends helps illuminate things if we can get a sense of the personality of the team in question when faces situations like this. Northern Illinois’ win over Buffalo went Over the 51.5 point Total — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Huskies have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games with the over/under in that range. Furthermore, head coach Rod Carey is 0-5 in the five bowl games he has coached with an average losing margin of -25 PPG in those contests. While those results need to be taken with a grain of salt, it certainly is not a ringing endorsement for Carey’s vigor in getting his team ready to play in these postseason games. The Huskies are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games played on a neutral field — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games played on a neutral field as an underdog. At a certain point, we need to follow the numbers.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Illinois will certainly be motivated to end their bowl losing streak — and fourteen starters returned from last year’s team that was embarrassed by a 36-14 score to Duke in the Quick Lane Bowl. But UAB has sixteen starters back from last year’s team that got blown out by Ohio by a 41-6 score in the Bahamas Bowl. In hindsight, the Blazers may have just been happy to reach a bowl game since they were not playing football in the previous two seasons. Now this team travels to Florida with a conference championship and an opportunity to avenge that loss to another MAC opponent. I am trusting the team trends and the better defense in this bowl game. 10* CFB Boca Raton Bowl ESPN Special with the UAB Blazers (212) minus the point(s) versus the Northern Illinois Huskies (211). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (332) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (331). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-7) has lost five straight games after their 26-20 upset loss at Cleveland as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. New Orleans (11-2) enters this game coming off a 28-14 win at Tampa Bay last week as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS PLUS THE POINTS: Carolina has had this night circled on their calendar all season as it is their first opportunity to avenge being beaten three by the Saints last year. The Panthers lost both regular-season games to New Orleans before losing in the first round of the playoffs by a 31-26 score on the road in the Superdome. Carolina should play one of their best games of the season as they have rebounded to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. The Panthers remain alive in the NFC playoff hunt but they must win this game tonight. Quarterback Cam Newton is not at full strength as he is dealing with a shoulder issue that is limiting his ability to throw longer passes. Yet going deeper into the numbers, it is the not offense that has been holding this team back. Carolina is averaging only 21.3 PPG in their last three games despite averaging a robust 437.7 Yards-Per-Game over that span — that is almost 60 YPG above their season average. The 393 yards they generated last week against the Browns was the lowest offensive output in their last three games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 375 yards in three straight games. The Panthers out-gained Cleveland last week by 50 yards — in fact, they have out-gained their last four opponents despite losing all four games on the scoreboard. Carolina’s run defense is playing quite well at this point of the season. Over their last three games, they are allowing only 60 rushing YPG while holding opposing rushers to just a 3.05 Yards-Per-Carry average. The Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Carolina returns home where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games. New Orleans has covered the point spread in ten of their last eleven games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Saints have also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 40 games after a win on the road against a fellow NFC South rival. Despite their continued success, the New Orleans offense has slowed down a bit as they are averaging only 23.0 PPG along with just 262.0 total YPG over their last three games. Opposing defenses are finding success by focusing on taking away Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara in the passing game to make Drew Brees use his other less-talented passing targets. Defenses are also finding success by going into dime coverage on third down. These defensive adjustments are taking away the Saints explosiveness. Brees has passed for at least 200 yards just once in his last three games — and only six of his passes over those last three games have resulted in more than 20 yards. Lastly, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on Monday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: Carolina has been snake-bit during their losing streak — they are a better team than their losing record indicates. The Panthers should have a few tricks up their sleeve for this first opportunity to avenge their three losses to the Saints last season which defined their year. New Orleans may win this game — but it is difficult to defeat a divisional rival on the road by this many points that they are laying. 25* NFC South Game of the Year with the Carolina Panthers (332) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (331) and the Carolina Panthers (332). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-7) has lost five straight games after their 26-20 upset loss at Cleveland as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. New Orleans (11-2) enters this game coming off a 28-14 win at Tampa Bay last week as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Saints have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This team is playing outstanding defense as of late as they have not allowed more than 17 points in five straight games. Over their last three games, New Orleans is allowing only 14.7 PPG along with just 317.7 total YPG. Their defense also travels as they hold their home hosts to only 19.9 PPG on the road this season. The Saints have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road. But along with New Orleans continued improved play on defense has been a decline in the productivity of their offense. Over their last three games, the Saints are scoring only 23.0 PPG while averaging just 262.0 total YPG. Playing on grass tends to slow down the speed New Orleans has on offense that terrorizes opponents when playing on the field turf at home in the Superdome. The Saints have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on grass. Additionally, New Orleans has played 4 straight games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents — and they have also played 5 straight games Under the Total again streams with a losing record. Carolina has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Panthers only allowed 348 yards of offense to the Browns last week — but they allowed Cleveland to average 7.9 Yards-Per-Play. Carolina controlled the clock in that game as they were on offense for 33:50 minutes of that game — and they will certainly look to replicate that number tonight to keep the Saints’ offense off the field. The Panthers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 7.0 YPP in their last game. The Carolina offense is scoring only 21.3 PPG over their last three games with quarterback Cam Newton limited on the types of throws he can deliver given a shoulder injury. The Panthers have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the month of December.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when facing off in Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (331) and the Carolina Panthers (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Philadelphia Eagles (329) and the Los Angeles Rams (330). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (6-7) looks to rebound from their 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas last week as a 3.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (11-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped with their 15-6 loss in Chicago last Sunday night as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Philly will be turning to Nick Foles at quarterback with Carson Wentz dealing with back issues and likely to be put on the shelf for the rest of this season with their playoff hopes likely dashed. Foles started the first two games of the season with the Eagles scoring only 19 combined points in those two games. Philadelphia will likely to commit to running the football considering that they have won all six of their games this season when they attempt at least 27 rushes. Running the football will also serve to protect their injury-riddled defense that surrendered 576 yards against the Cowboys. The Eagles have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 500 yards in their last game. Philadelphia stayed competitive last week despite only managing to gain 256 yards of offense — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after being out-gained by at least 100 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Rams will likely look to run the football as well after struggling to move the football in the colder weather in Chicago — Todd Gurley ran the ball only 11 times last week. Los Angeles also needs to do better with their run defense after allowing the Bears to rush for 194 yards last week. The Rams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Los Angeles returns home where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Rams have also played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: With Los Angeles big favorites of almost two touchdowns, the Total remains in the low-50s for this game. With both teams running the football, expect this to be a lower-scoring game than expected. 25* NFL Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between Philadelphia Eagles (329) and the Los Angeles Rams (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (330) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (329). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (6-7) looks to rebound from their 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas last week as a 3.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (11-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped with their 15-6 loss in Chicago last Sunday night as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS MINUS THE POINTS: I don’t like passing up the opportunity to take an underdog getting near two touchdowns — but I hate this situation for this Eagles team that lost their realistic chances to make the playoffs with that devastating loss to the Cowboys. This team is ravaged with injuries on both sides of the football leaving just a shell of last year’s Super Bowl team. Philadelphia’s defense will be without middle linebacker Jordan Hicks and cornerback Sidney Jones who are both out with a calf and hamstring injuries respectively. They join defensive end Derek Barnett, defensive tackle Tim Jernigan, linebackers Mychal Kendricks and Paul Worrilow, strong safety Rodney McLeod, and cornerbacks Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills who are already on Injured Reserve. As it is, the Eagles are surrendering 139.7 rushing YPG over their last five contests while allowing opposing rushers to average 6.06 Yards-Per-Carry. On offense, Carson Wentz will not play in this game as he deals with a sore back and will likely put on the shelf for the rest of the season. Philly will turn to last year’s Super Bowl Most Valuable Player in Nick Foles to be their quarterback — but without offensive coaches Frank Reich and John DeFilippo from last year, this team will be unlikely to come close to recapturing the magic from last year’s playoff run. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a loss on the road. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. It was a minor miracle that Philly was able to stay competitive against Dallas last week when considering that they surrendered 576 yards of offense while being out-gained by -320 yards. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 305 ads in their last game. Philadelphia has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC opponents. Furthermore, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Rams rushed the ball only 13 times last week against the Bears for a mere 52 rushing yards — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles returns home where they are a perfect 6-0 with an average winning margin of +10.5 PPG while out-gaining their opponents by +96.1 YPG. Jared Goff has struggled as of late — but returning home will help where he owns an 18:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio while averaging 9.67 Yards-Per-Attempt. The Rams average 37.7 PPG at home — and their defense has allowed only 31 combined points in their last two games. LA has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 17 points in two straight games.

FINAL TAKE: The struggling reigning Super Bowl champions are catching the Rams on the wrong week. While I rarely like laying this many points in the NFL, the injuries this Eagles team has sustained makes the chances of a blowout likely. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Los Angeles Rams (330) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (329). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (327) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (328). THE SITUATION: New England (9-4) looks to bounce-back from being on the wrong end of the “Miracle in Miami” with their last second 34-33 loss to the Dolphins as a 9.5-point road favorite. Pittsburgh (7-5-1) has lost three straight games with their 24-21 loss in Oakland as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PATRIOTS MINUS THE POINTS: The Steelers will be without running back James Connor again this week after he was downgraded to doubtful for this game. His absence (along with LeVeon Bell no longer being eligible to play for this team) cripples the Pittsburgh offense. In their three-game losing streak, the Steelers are only rushing the ball in 25% of their plays leaving them terribly imbalanced. They ran the ball only 19 times last week for a mere 40 rushing yards with Jaylen Samuels not able to be as effective as the main rushing back. Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards. The Steelers have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Over their last three games, they are scoring just 22.7 PPG — and their defense is giving up 27.0 PPG. Pittsburgh does return home but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the month of December. New England has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games in the month of December. This is a must-win game for both teams — but it is Bill Belichick who is more reliable in getting his team focused to bounce-back after a loss. The Patriots are 45-19-1 ATS in their last 65 games after a straight-up loss — and they are also 39-19-2 ATS in their last 60 games after a point spread loss. New England stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games — and they have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Over their last three games, the Patriots are scoring 28.0 PPG while averaging 463.3 total YPG — they are outscoring their last three opponents by +9.0 PPG while out-gaining them by +120.6 net YPG. New England has also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Tom Brady owns the Steelers — he has led the Patriots to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with them while New England has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against them in Pittsburgh. In this important game for both teams off losses, expect both teams to stay true to form — and that means the Patriots play smart while the Steelers make costly mistakes. 20* NFL New England-Pittsburgh CBS-TV Special with the New England Patriots (327) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (325) and the San Francisco 49ers (326). THE SITUATION: Seattle (8-5) has won four straight games with their 21-7 win over Minnesota on Monday as a 3-point favorite. San Francisco (3-10) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 20-14 upset win over Denver as a 3-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. Seattle held the Vikings to just 77 rushing yards in that contest — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. The Seahawks are playing good defense as they are allowing only 16.7 PPG over their last three contests. Now they go on the road where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total. Seattle has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 6 road games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range, the Seahawks have played all 6 games Under the Total. San Francisco has lost nine of their last eleven games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight games. The 49ers have also failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven contests — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Niners are scoring only 15.0 PPG over their last three contests. But San Francisco is playing good defense at home where they are holding their opponents to just 295.2 total YPG. The 49ers have played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. This is a rematch of Seattle’s 43-16 victory over the Niners two weeks ago — and San Fran has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with same season revenge.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 encounters in San Francisco Under the Total. Expect another lower scoring game between these two teams with the Niners serving as hosts. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (325) and the San Francisco 49ers (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (308) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (307). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-6-1) has lost two straight games after their 21-7 loss at Seattle on Monday as a 3-point underdog. Miami (7-6) enters this game still buzzing off the “miracle in Miami” where they scored on a last-second hook-and-ladder play to pull a 34-33 upset over New England as a 9.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VIKINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Minnesota should play well this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 37 games after a straight-up loss. Their loss on Monday was preceded by a 24-10 loss in New England the previous week — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing two straight games by at least two touchdowns. Returning home will help where they are 4-2 while out-gaining their opponents by +91.1 net YPG. The Vikings hold their guests to just 19.3 PPG along with only 270.2 YPG. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 16  of their last 22 games on their home field. There should also be a better atmosphere on the sidelines after head coach Mike Zimmer fired offensive coordinator John DeFilippo and replaced him with Kevin Stefanski. DeFilippo was not a good personality fit with the demanding Zimmer who has a different philosophy. Stefanski is very highly regarded around the league and appears to be a better fit with Zimmer’s style. He takes over an offense for a team that has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games in the month of December. Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after an upset win over a divisional rival. Furthermore, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games off a home game where both teams scored at least 24 points. Now the Dolphins go back on the road where they are 1-5 with an average losing margin of -12.3 PPG while being out-gained by -116.3 net YPG. Miami allows their home hosts to score 29.5 PPG while gaining 400.3 total YPG. Defense is a concern for this team as they have surrendered at least 377 yards in four straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after allowing at least 375 yards in four straight games. They are allowing 430.3 total YPG over their last three contests. And in their last 11 games on the road, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread 9 times.

FINAL TAKE: The Vikings have endured a difficult stretch of games but remain alive in the NFC playoff hunt. Look for them to take out their frustrations on an overachieving Dolphins team that is not very good when playing away from south beach. 25* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year with the Minnesota Vikings (308) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (209) plus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (210). THE SITUATION: Middle Tennessee (8-5) has lost two of their last three games after they 27-25 loss to UAB at home in the Conference USA Championship Game two weeks ago as a 1.5-point favorite. Appalachian State (10-2) has won five straight games with their 30-19 win over Louisiana-Lafayette as a 17.5-point favorite in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game back on December 1st. These two teams meet in the Big Easy for the New Orleans Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUE RAIDERS PLUS THE POINTS: Head coach Rick Stockstill will have his team ready to play this bowl game with it being the final collegiate game for his son, Brent, as his starting quarterback. As it is, Middle Tennessee has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss — and this includes them covering the point spread in five of their last six games after a defeat. The Blue Raiders has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. That was a difficult situation for this Middle Tennessee team (that we jumped all over) as they ended up playing the Blazers in two straight weeks after qualifying for the conference championship game by defeating UAB the previous week. After out-rushing the Blazers by +132 yards in their victory, they were then out-rushed by -129 yards the next week in that rematch. The Blue Raiders have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after being out-rushed in their last opponent by at least 125 yards. This team has still won five of their last seven games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning four or five of their last six contests. They have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 6 games against Sun Belt Conference opponents, Middle Tennessee has covered the point spread 5 times. Appalachian State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. This team will be playing without their six-year head coach Scott Satterfield who left the program to take the Louisville head coaching job. Defensive line coach Mark Ivey will serve as the interim head coach for this game. This team may be due for a letdown after winning the Sun Belt Championship. They have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning their last two games by at least double-digits against conference rivals. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning at least four straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning at least eight of their last ten games.

FINAL TAKE: This is the eighth bowl back for Stockstill as the head coach of Middle Tennessee. The extra time to prepare for the Mountaineers spread offense should help the Blue Raiders defense. With Middle Tennessee having the benefit of a gunslinger at quarterback playing his final game, expect a close game. 10* CFB Saturday Late Show Bailout with the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (209) plus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (210). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (306) minus the points versus the Cleveland Browns (305). THE SITUATION: Denver (6-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Sunday with their 20-14 loss at San Francisco as a 3-point favorite. Cleveland (5-7-1) has won three of their last four games with their 26-20 upset win at home over Carolina last week as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS MINUS THE POINTS: Denver was caught flat last week after winning three straight games and playing a 49ers team that will be missing the playoffs. But the Broncos have rebounded to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after suffering an upset loss on the road as the favorite. Denver had covered point spread expectations in their three previous games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after covering two of their last three games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, returning home should help this team. They are playing outstanding run defense right now as they have held their last seven opponents to just a 3.58 Yards-Per-Carry mark song with only 72.7 rushing YPG. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after the first month of the season. They also have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents. Cleveland may be due for a letdown after pulling the upset at home against the reeling Panthers. The Browns have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. That game finished below the 47.5-point Total — but Cleveland has then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And while the Browns have played their last two games Under the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Cleveland is flirting with danger having lost the turnover battle in their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after suffering a -1 or worse turnover battle in two straight games. The Browns defense surrendered 393 yards to Carolina in their victory but they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. They have allowed their last three opponents to rush for 108 rushing YPG while averaging 5.06 YPC — and those are scary numbers when facing this Broncos team that is 7th in the NFL by averaging 130.2 rushing YPG. Cleveland now plays their third game in their last four contests on the road where they are 1-5 this season while surrendering 29.0 PPG along with 412.2 total YPG. The Browns are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games on the road while failing to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. And in their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents, Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Expect this Browns team to struggle in the high-altitude in Denver where the Broncos typically enjoy a significant home-field advantage. Both those teams remain technically alive in the playoff race — but it is Denver that has a more realistic chance of qualifying for the playoffs if they win their remaining games. 25* AFC Game of the Year with the Denver Broncos (306) minus the points versus the Cleveland Browns (305). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (305) and the Denver Broncos (306). THE SITUATION: Denver (6-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Sunday with their 20-14 loss at San Francisco as a 3-point favorite. Cleveland (5-7-1) has won three of their last four games with their 26-20 upset win at home over Carolina last week as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. And while Denver allowed 389 yards of offense in that game, they have then seen the Under go 7-0-1 in their last 8 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Broncos do return home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total — and they have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. This team has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, Denver has played 5 of these games Under the Total. Cleveland needs to play better defense in the first half after allowing 17 and 23 points in the first thirty minutes of their last two games. The Browns have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after allowing at least 17 points in the first-half in two straight games. Cleveland has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Browns have also seen the Under go 38-11-2 in their last 51 games in the month of December — and this includes them playing seven of their last ten games Under the Total in December contests.

FINAL TAKE: Denver’s formula for success is running the football — and Cleveland has run the ball more than 50% of the time in three of their last four games. Both teams looking to run the football will shorten this game which should help produce a lower-scoring contest. 10* NFL Cleveland-Denver NFL Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (305) and the Denver Broncos (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Eastern Michigan Eagles (207) plus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (208). Eastern Michigan (7-5) has won three straight games with their 28-20 win at Kent State as a 12.5-point favorite back on November 23rd. Georgia Southern (9-3) has won two straight contests after their 35-14 win at Georgia State back on November 24th as a 10-point favorite. These two teams face off in the Camellia Bowl in Birmingham, Alabama.

REASONS TO TAKE EASTERN MICHIGAN PLUS THE POINTS: These Eagles should build off their momentum of becoming bowl eligible with their November success. Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Eastern Michigan is led by a stout defense that ranks 32nd in the FBS by allowing only 22.0 PPG. This strong play has helped them stay competitive in almost all of their games. Despite facing teams playing in bowl games this season, five of their losses were decided by a combined 31 points with three of those losses by 3-point setbacks. Eastern Michigan’s defense has helped them play three straight Unders which is a good sign for them now. They have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after playing an Under — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after playing two straight Unders and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after playing three straight Unders. Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 17 games against non-conference opponents, Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread 14 times. Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning their last two games against conference rivals. This team relies on their spread rushing attack to move the football — they have generated 276 and 409 rushing yards in their last two games. But Georgia Southern has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 275 yards in two straight games. They have out-rushed their last two opponents by +182 and +335 yards in their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after out-rushing their last two opponents by at least +125 yards. But this Eagles’ offense is one-dimensional as they rank 127th in the FBS by averaging just 82.8 passing YPG. Georgia Southern is averaging 66 YPG below what their opponents typically allow per game. They will be facing an Eastern Michigan team that already has played a similar offense from Navy before having two weeks to prepare for this specific scheme. Lastly, Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games played on field turf.

FINAL TAKE: Eastern Michigan is extremely well-coached by Chris Creighton who gets the most out of his talent. With a strong defense with extra time to prepare for the Georgia Southern offense, expect another close game from this Eagles defense from the Mid-American Conference. 10* CFB Eastern Michigan-Georgia Southern ESPN Special with the Eastern Michigan Eagles (207) plus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (208). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (303) and the New York Jets (304). THE SITUATION: Houston (9-4) looks to bounce-back from their 24-21 upset loss to Indianapolis last week where they were a 4-point favorite. New York (4-9) enters this Saturday game coming off a 27-23 upset victory at Buffalo as a 4.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Texans’ offense stalled in that game as they generated only 315 yards at home against the Colts. Houston has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Texans did limit Indianapolis to just 50 rushing yards in that contest — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 rushing yards in their last game. Houston is 5th in the NFL by allowing only 88.2 rushing YPG — and they are holding their opponents to just a 3.35 Yards-Per-Carry average. Over their last three games, the Texans allowing only 18.0 PPG. Now after playing their last three games at home, Houston goes on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total when laying 3.5 to 7 points. Furthermore, the Texans have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 31 games played in the month of December, Houston has played 23 of these games Under the Total including nine of their last eleven. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. Furthermore, the Jets have also played 22 of their last 32 home games Under the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less. They did surrender 176 rushing yards to the Bills in that win — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The New York offense is riddled with injuries with running back Isaiah Crowell going on IR with a foot injury and wide receiver Quincy Enunwa being declared out with an ankle. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold is left without much help at the skill positions. He has only passed for 300 yards once in his ten starts and his lead running back is now third-stringer Elijah McGuire. The Jets have scored only 20.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging a mere 288.7 total YPG. Lastly, in their last 15 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored, New York has then played 10 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to be a low-scoring contest. The Jets’ offense was already limited before their rash of injuries. Houston has evolved into a run-first team to protect their offensive line (it is easier on that group to run block rather than offer pass protection). With the Texans on the road, they will lean even more on the road. 25* NFL Saturday Afternoon O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (303) and the New York Jets (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (303) minus the points versus the New York Jets (304). THE SITUATION: Houston (9-4) looks to bounce-back from their 24-21 upset loss to Indianapolis last week where they were a 4-point favorite. New York (4-9) enters this Saturday game coming off a 27-23 upset victory at Buffalo as a 4.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TEXANS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston has rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a narrow loss by 3 points or less against a divisional rival. Now the Texans look to start another winning streak on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record at home. Houston has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow AFC opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games with the Total set at 42.5 to 49. The Texans need to tighten up on defense after allowing 409.7 total YPG over their last three games — but they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after allowing at least 400 YPG over their last three contests. New York has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up victory. The Jets pulled the upset over Buffalo despite being out-gained by -120 net yards in that contest. The New York offense is riddled with injuries with running back Isaiah Crowell going on IR with a foot injury and wide receiver Quincy Enunwa being declared out with an ankle. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold is left without much help at the skill positions. He has only passed for 300 yards once in his ten starts and his lead running back is now third-stringer Elijah McGuire. The Jets have scored only 20.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging a mere 288.7 total YPG. Against the Bills, New York only gained 78 rushing yards — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last contest. Their defense also surrendered 368 yards in that game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest.

FINAL TAKE: I don’t love laying a touchdown with teams playing on the road — but the Texans will be dialed in for this game after suffering the upset at home last week. The Jets are facing a stiff uptick in competition this week with an angry Houston team as opposed to the Bills last week. 10* NFL Houston-NY Jets NFL Network Special with the Houston Texans (303) minus the points versus the New York Jets (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (206) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (205). Fresno State (11-2) won the Mountain West Conference Championship with their 19-16 upset win at Boise State in the snow as a 1.5-point underdog two weeks ago. Arizona State (7-5) has won four of their last five games with their 41-40 win at Arizona as a 1.5-point favorite back on November 24th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Fresno State should build off the momentum from that victory in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the points spread in 16 of their last 21 games after failing to score more than 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 20 points. That game finished below the 51.5 point total — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight road games after a game that finished Under the Total. This is a team that thrives on defense — they rank 2nd in the nation by allowing only 13.7 PPG while also ranking 17th in the FBS by giving up just 323.8 total YPG. Their defense travels as the Bulldogs are 5-2 on the road this season with an average winning margin of +15.3 PPG due to them only allowing 12.6 PPG away from home. This stout defense is a great complement to the Fresno State offense overseen by head coach Jeff Tedford who is considered an offensive guru and a quarterback whisperer with stints in the NFL and CFL following his coaching tenure at Cal. Senior quarterback Marcus McMaryion has passed for 3453 yards this season while posting an outstanding 25:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The coaching staff will be very familiar with the 3-3-5 defensive scheme they will see from Arizona State under defensive coordinator Danny Gonzales who came over from San Diego State which the Bulldogs compete against every year running the same defensive system. That is a good sign for a football team that has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference. Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after a victory on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 25 games on the road after winning four or five of their last six games. The Sun Devils have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Arizona State offense will be without their most dangerous weapon in wide receiver N’Keal Harry who is sitting out this game to keep himself healthy for the NFL draft that he is leaving school early to enter. First-year college head coach Herm Edwards looks to be using this game more as an opportunity to get his younger players experience for next season than a crucial contest that he wants his team to win. Sophomore quarterback Dillon Sterling-Cole is likely to get time in this game for senior QB Manny Wilkins. Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 bowl games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing on a neutral field. The Sun Devils have struggled away from Tempe this season as they have lost four of their six games on the road wheel being out-gained by -85 net YPG. Furthermore, over their last three contests, Arizona State has been out-gained by -67.6 net YPG. The Sun Devils are vulnerable against the pass as they rank 82nd in the nation by allowing 238.7 passing YPG — and the Bulldogs rank 25th in the FBS by averaging 274.2 passing YPG. Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams outside the Pac-12 — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of December.

FINAL TAKE: Tedford is 6-3 in his nine opportunities to coach in bowl games — and his team will be motivated to not only knock off a school from a Power-Five conference while earning a twelfth win this season which would be the most in program history. The Sun Devils have not been very good away from home and it looks like Edwards is using this game to prepare for next season. 20* CFB Arizona State-Fresno State ABC-TV Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (206) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (202). THE SITUATION: North Texas (9-3) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four games with their 24-21 win over UTSA as a 25-point favorite back on November 24th. Utah State (10-2) saw their ten-game winning streak snapped on that Saturday when they lost by a 33-24 score at Boise State as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MEAN GREEN PLUS THE POINTS: I do not like the dynamic from which Utah State enters this game. They suffered a deflating loss to the Broncos that ruined their Mountain West championship aspirations. As it is, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when bouncing back from a loss on the road to a conference rival. And while Utah State has not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The team is also without their head coach Matt Wells who left the program after that game to become the new head coach for Texas Tech. With interim head coach Frank Maile operating as a lame duck before Gary Andersen returns to the program to serve as the Aggies’ head coach again, it is questionable as to just how motivated this team will be for this game. Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games in the month of December. The Aggies have benefited from a +0.92 net turnover margin per game which is 8th best in the nation — but they did not force a turnover and suffered a -2 net turnover margin in that loss to Boise State. Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after failing to force a turnover in their last game. Defense is also a concern for this team as they have allowed 471.1 total YPG which is over 85 YPG above their season average. Teams can pass on this team as they rank 84th in the nation by giving up 240.1 passing YPG. This is also a team that thrives at home with a dominant 35-9 mark at home over the years. Both of the Aggies’ losses were on the road this year where they were out-gained away from home by -47.8 net YPG. Additionally, Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. North Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by 3 points or less against a Conference USA rival — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after winning two straight games against conference rivals. Furthermore, the Mean Green has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. North Texas may scare off some bettors considering that they have only covered the point spread once in their last eight games — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Led by quarterback Matt Fine who has passed for over 3700 yards this season while posting a sterling 27:5 touchdown-to-interception ratio, the Mean Green has generated 511 and 516 yards in each of their last two games. North Texas has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in two straight contests. Fine should find success against this Aggies pass defense as he leads an offense that ranks 11th in the nation by averaging 316.3 passing YPG. While the UNT pass defense is vulnerable, the Mean Green defense can make Utah State one-dimensional as they rank 15th in the nation by allowing only 113.5 rushing YPG. Lastly, North Texas has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against non-conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: North Texas has reached a bowl game in each of the first two seasons under third-year head coach Seth Littrell — but they have yet to win that final game. The Mean Green should be very motivated to earth their first bowl win under Littrell while reaching the ten-win milestone this season. 25* CFB New Mexico Bowl Special Feature with the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (202). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulane Green Wave (203) minus the points versus the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (204). THE SITUATION: Tulane (6-6) became bowl eligible by winning four of their last five games with their 29-28 victory over Navy on November 24th as a 5-point favorite. UL-Lafayette (7-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game where they lost at Appalachian State by a 17.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GREEN WAVE MINUS THE POINTS: Tulane will be very excited to be playing in their first bowl game since 2014 — and their first postseason game under third-year head coach Willie Fritz. The Green Wave were inches away from being bowl eligible last season before getting stuff on the goal line in their upset bid against SMU leaving them at 5-7 and ailing to become bowl eligible. This moment has been a long time coming for this program that returned fourteen starters from last year’s team. Tulane has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a narrow win at home by 3 points or less. The Green Wave have lost three games this season decided by 7 points or less. And while they have not covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. This team has improved on offense since Justin McMillan took over at quarterback. The graduate transfer from LSU has throw ten touchdown passes in his last five games after completing 18 of 29 passes for 291 yards with three TD passes against the Midshipmen while adding another touchdown with 51 rushing yards in that victory. The Green Wave have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Tulane did not force a turnover in that game — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to force at least one turnover in their last contest. This team led the American Athletic Conference by allowing just 5.4 Yards-Per-Play in conference games. They are particularly tough against the run as they ranked second in the AAC by allowing just 152.6 rushing YPG — and they held their opponents to only 3.95 Yards-Per-Carry. They held their opponents to 38 YPG below their offensive season average. Furthermore, the Green Wave have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 29 games when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. UL-Lafayette has covered the point spread in eight of their last ten games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. This is not a good matchup for this Ragin’ Cajuns team facing an opponent from a superior conference. UL-Lafayette relies on running the football so they will be playing into the strength of the Tulane defense — and they only average 208.0 passing YPG which is 89th in the FBS. The Ragin’ Cajun defense struggles to defend the run as they rank 107th in the nation by allowing 210.0 rushing YPG — and their opponents average 5.8 Yards-Per-Carry. They face a big challenge when facing this Green Wave offense that is 30th in the nation by averaging 208.3 rushing YPG. UL-Lafayette may be facing some new wrinkles as well after Fritz fired his offensive coordinator Doug Ruse after the Navy game. Alex Atkins will be calling the plays for this game. The Ragin’ Cajuns allowed their opponents to average 41 YPG above their offensive season average. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And while they have played two straight games Under the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing two straight Unders.

FINAL TAKE: I like the dynamic this Tulane team has entering this game with the challenge of a new offensive coordinator helping to focus their attention as they play their first bowl game in years. UL-Lafayette usually is tapped to play in the New Orleans Bowl in the opening Saturday of the bowl season. This Green Wave is more battle-tested having played in an American Athletic Conference that is significantly better than the Sun Belt. 25* CFB CBS Sports Network Game of the Year with the Tulane Green Wave (203) minus the points versus the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (302) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (301). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (10-3) has won three straight games as well as nine of their last ten games with their 26-21 win over Cincinnati as a 17-point favorite on Sunday. Kansas City (11-2) has won two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 27-24 win in overtime against Baltimore as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CHIEFS MINUS THE POINTS: Kansas City has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a victory at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning at least two straight games. The Chiefs stay at home on the short week giving them a nice situational advantage where they have won nine straight games. KC is 6-0 this season at home at Arrowhead Stadium while outscoring their visitors by +14.0 PPG. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Their defense has surrendered at least 24 points in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread 6 straight games after allowing at least 24 points in three straight games. The Chiefs also gave up 198 rushing yards to the Ravens — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Furthermore, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games against fellow AFC West opponents. Los Angeles is hit hard with injuries at running back with Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler listed as doubtful for this game with injuries which will make it difficult for either of them to play on a short week. The team will likely depend on Northwestern rookie Justin Jackson as their lead back tonight. That is not a good sign for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played in the month of December. The Chargers are an impressive 6-1 on the road this year but they are only out-gaining these opponents by +7.0 net YPG. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in their last 4 meetings with the Chiefs. They are playing with revenge from a 38-28 loss at home to Kansas City in the opening week of the season where they were installed as 3.5-point favorites. But the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 28 points.

FINAL TAKE: Look for the Chiefs to pull away in this game with the benefit of staying at home on this short week where they have been dominant this season. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Kansas City Chiefs (302) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (301) and the Kansas City Chiefs (302). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (10-3) has won three straight games as well as nine of their last ten games with their 26-21 win over Cincinnati as a 17-point favorite on Sunday. Kansas City (11-2) has won two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 27-24 win in overtime against Baltimore as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chargers have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning their last two games along with having played 7 straight games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games in a row. Los Angeles managed only 85 yards of rushing in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Chargers are hit hard with injuries at running back with Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler listed as doubtful for this game with injuries which will make it difficult for either of them to play on a short week. The team will likely depend on Northwestern rookie Justin Jackson as their lead back tonight. Los Angeles will lean on their defense for this game that is holding their last three opponents to just 260.3 total YPG which has translated into only 20.3 PPG. Overall, the Chargers rank seventh in the NFL by allowing only 331.8 total YPG. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing in the month of December — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a Thursday. Los Angeles has also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against fellow AFC West opponents. Kansas City is dealing with their own injuries on offense with running back Spencer Ware (replacing Kareem Hunt) and wide receiver Sammie Watkins both doubtful with injuries. The good news for the Chiefs is that it looks like the heart and soul of their defense in safety Eric Berry will make his debut this season after dealing with injuries all season. Kansas City has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win at home. The Chiefs did surrender 198 rushing yards in that game to the new-look Ravens rushing attack — but they have then played 24 of their last 32 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Kansas City does play much better defense when playing at home at Arrowhead Stadium. They hold their visitors to 356.5 total YPG at home which is -53.1 net YPG below their season average — and they hold their guests to only 18.7 PPG at home as compared to the 33.7 PPG they surrender when playing on the road. The Chiefs have played 17 of their last 24 home games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have also played 11 of their last 15 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Kansas City has played 10 of their last 15 home games Under the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher. And while the Chiefs have scored at least 26 points in all their games this season, they have then played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. Kansas City has generated at least 441 yards of offense in their last three games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 375 yards in three straight games. And while they have played their last three games Over the Total, the Chiefs have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Kansas City’s 38-28 victory as a 3.5-point road underdog in Week One of this season. In this rematch being played on a short week with both teams on their third-string running back from that initial game, expect a lower-scoring game this time around. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (301) and the Kansas City Chiefs (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (133) and the Seattle Seahawks (134). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-5-1) has lost two of their last three games with their 24-10 loss at New England as a 6-point underdog last Sunday. Seattle (7-5) has won three straight games with their 43-16 win over San Francisco as a 10-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Vikings managed only 278 yards of offense on the road against the Patriots with Minnesota only being on offense for 26:39 minutes of that game. Head coach Mike Zimmer may fire his offensive coordinator mid-game if John DeFilippo does not have his team run the football more tonight after weeks of criticism on this front resulted in a mere 13 rushing attempts last week. The Vikings did run the ball 29 times two weeks ago in their 24-17 win over the Packers — Minnesota needs to embrace this mentality against the Seahawks or risk Seattle being on offense for more than 35 minutes of this game happily burning time off the clock while keeping their defense fresh. As it is, the Vikings have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Patriots’ ability to control Time of Possession helped them rack of 471 yards of offense against the Vikings — but Minnesota has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Vikings rank 6th in the NFL with a total defense that allows 327.8 total YPG. Moving forward, the Vikings have played 22 of their last 36 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football. And in their last 4 games in the month of December, Minnesota has played all 4 of these games Under the Total. Seattle has scored at least 27 points in their last four games so the Vikings have to be concerned with that they have been able to do on offense. But the Seahawks have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they have also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. Furthermore, Seattle has played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in four straight contests. Head coach Pete Carroll has to remain focused on protecting his young defense that gave up 454 yards of offense last week to a 49ers team that generated 386 of those yards in the air. The Seahawks have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last contest. Moving forward, Seattle has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: In a game between two teams with playoff aspirations with head coaches with defensive backgrounds, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (133) and the Seattle Seahawks (134). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (134) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (133). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-5-1) has lost two of their last three games with their 24-10 loss at New England as a 6-point underdog last Sunday. Seattle (7-5) has won three straight games with their 43-16 win over San Francisco as a 10-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SEAHAWKS MINUS THE POINTS: Seattle has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory.  The Seahawks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 30 points. Seattle is clicking with a run-oriented offense. During their three-game winning streak, they are scoring 33.3 PPG — and they have scored at least 27 points in seven of their last eight games. Quarterback Russell Wilson has thrown at least two touchdown passes in all eight of those games to complement their ground game that leads the NFL by averaging 148.8 rushing YPG. The Seahawks have allowed 454 and 476 yards in their last two games — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. Seattle stays at home this week where they are outscoring their opponents by +6.2 PPG — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their 5 games at home. The Seahawks are also 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 games in the month of December. Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. This team is struggling on offense with Kirk Cousins not being able to do enough (especially in Prime Time games) to overcome a struggling offensive line along with a less than 100% Stephon Diggs who is slowed by a knee injury. The Vikings are scoring only 18.0 PPG over their last three games while generating only 320.7 total YPG. They stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. Minnesota has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. That is not a good sign when facing this Seahawks team that has not covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Seattle. And in their last 9 appearances on Monday Night Football, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

FINAL TAKE: Seattle certainly has the situational edge this week as they get to stay at home for the second-straight week while Minnesota travels west after a tough game on the east coast against the Patriots. These teams also seem to be moving in the opposite direction. Momentum along with home-field advantage should carry the Seahawks to a comfortable victory. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (134) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (133). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (120) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (119). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (11-1) has won three straight games with their 30-16 win at Detroit last week as a 10.5-point favorite. Chicago (8-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last week with their 30-27 upset loss in New York to the Giants as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: Chicago should respond with a strong effort in front of their home fans for this nationally-televised game. The Bears have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Chicago did generate 376 yards of offense with quarterback Chase Daniels under center — and they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Starter Mitchell Trubisky is slated to return tonight after missing the last two weeks with his injured shoulder. Now this team returns home where they are 5-1 this season while outscoring their visitors by +11.5 PPG and out-gaining them by +94.0 net YPG. The Bears’ offense has been potent when playing at home in Soldier Field where they are scoring 31.0 PPG while averaging 385.3 total YPG. Chicago is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games as the underdog. Los Angeles is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win. And while the Rams have scored at least 30 points in four straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 25 points in four straight games. It remains questionable if the Sean McVay offense will still click on all cylinders when playing in the expected temperatures in the 20s tonight. Quarterback Jared Goff is a California kid who has limited experience throwing the football in cold conditions. As it is, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 games against fellow NFC opponents, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

FINAL TAKE: The cold weather should play right into the hands of the Bears playing at home. Expect a close game where having the points with the underdog will be very valuable. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (120) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (119). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (119) and the Chicago Bears (120). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (11-1) has won three straight games with their 30-16 win at Detroit last week as a 10.5-point favorite. Chicago (8-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last week with their 30-27 upset loss in New York to the Giants as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears held the Giants to just 338 yards of offense but were plagued by a -2 net turnover margin which included an 8-yard interception that accounted for the seven of the points that New York scored. Chicago is 4th in the NFL by allowing only 20.1 PPG and just 317.9 rushing YPG. When playing at home in Soldier Field, the Bears see those numbers drop even further to allowing just 19.5 PPG along with only 291.3 total YPG. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and the Monsters on the Midway have also played 34 of their last 50 games at home Under the Total when an underdog of no more than 3 points. The Bears will be getting Mitchell Trubisky back at quarterback but it remains questionable how effective he will be given the injured throwing shoulder that kept him out the last two weeks. Trubisky has won four straight games that he started before tonight — but let’s keep that quality of competition in mind. Those wins against the Jets, Bills, Lions, Vikings were against opponents that entered the day with a weak 17-30-1 combined record. It is telling that Trubisky had only four touchdown passes against the four opponents. Moving forward, Chicago has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a road favorite. It will be cold in the Windy City tonight with temperates expected to be in the high-20s. The Bears have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. I expect this cold weather to bother quarterback Jared Goff who as a California kid growing up and in college at Cal has rarely been asked to play in this kind of weather. Goff played with the temperatures in the 20s earlier this season in Denver back on October 14th — and that was one of his worst games of the season as he completed just 14 of 28 passes for only 201 yards. He did not throw a touchdown pass in that game while throwing one interception and getting sacked five times. He will certainly be under pressure tonight from Khalil Mack and company who have accounted for 37 sacks on the quarterback this season. Look for the Rams to commit to Todd Gurley as they look to run the football to take pressure off Goff in these conditions against an elite defense. Goff is a finesse passer who cannot be expected to have the same touch in these conditions as he does when playing in warmer weather. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. The Rams have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win on the road. The good news for this football team is the return of Aqib Talib at cornerback. His absence helps explain why this LA defense has underachieved for much of the season as he offers the team their best cover corner. His presence on the field will likely make the Bears’ one-dimensional in their offensive attack. The Rams defense has been better on the road where they allow 22.5 PPG which is more than 2 points less than their 24.8 PPG season defensive average.
 
FINAL TAKE: Weather should play a role in this game between two teams from the NFC destined for the playoffs. Look for this game to become a defensive struggle. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (119) and the Chicago Bears (120). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (129) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (130). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (6-6) has won two straight games with their 28-13 win over Washington on Monday as a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas (7-5) has won four straight games with their triumphant 13-10 upset win over New Orleans back on November 29th as a 7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE EAGLES PLUS THE POINTS: The Cowboys acted like they won the Super Bowl two Thursdays ago with their upset win over the Saints on that short week. We had Dallas in that game — and the fringe benefit to that victory was that it set up this letdown situation. The Cowboys have been fortunate to reach their 7-5 record given that six of their victories have been decided by one scoring possession. They are only out-gaining their opponents by +13.6 net YPG. They have covered the point spread in four straight games along with five of their last seven — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. They held the Saints to just 176 yards of offense last week — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 205 total yards of offense. Dallas is also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing no more than 14 points in their last game. Philadelphia enters this critical game for them with momentum — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after winning two straight games. The Eagles have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a win at home against a divisional rival. They also have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after playing their last two games at home. Carson Wentz is heating up as he completed 27 of 39 passes against the Skins for 306 yards with two touchdown passes. Wentz loves facing NFC East foes against which he has a 7-1 record with a 17:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio while averaging 262.4 passing YPG along with a 106.2 Passer Rating. Wentz led his offense to 436 total yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 350 yards of offense in their last game. The defense has been the biggest issue for this team simply ravaged by injuries which was made even worse this week with the news that they placed cornerback Jalen Mills on Injured Reserve. The Eagles have allowed their last two opponents to average 6.03 and 7.31 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 road games after allowing at least 6.0 YPP in two straight games. The Philly run defense remains stout as they rank 10th in the NFL by allowing 103.7 rushing YPG — and asking Dak Prescott to beat them with his arm is the preferred strategy anyways. The reigning Super Bowl Champions are tough in expected close games as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: As opposed to last week when the Cowboys had the gigantic chip on their shoulder hosting the Saints on a ten-game winning streak, it is the Eagles now with something to prove in this game after Dallas won their proverbial Super Bowl to (temporarily) quell all their insecurities. Philadelphia is looking to avenge a 27-20 loss at home to the Cowboys back on November 11th despite being 7.5-point favorites in that game. Not only have the Eagles covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games on the road when playing with same-season revenge but they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging an upset loss where they were home favorites laying at least a touchdown. 25* NFC East Game of the Year with the Philadelphia Eagles (129) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (129) and the Dallas Cowboys (130). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (6-6) has won two straight games with their 28-13 win over Washington as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday Night Football. Dallas (7-5) has won four straight games after their 13-10 upset win over New Orleans as a 7.5-point underdog back on November 29th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after winning two straight games. And while Philadelphia has only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Defense is the concern for this team that has been ravaged with injuries with that unit. They allowed the Skins to average 6.03 Yards-Per-Play after the Giants and Saints averaged 7.31 and 7.91 YPP in their previous two games. But the Eagles have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.0 YPP in their last game while playing 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing 6.0 YPP in two straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing their last three opponents to average at least 6.0 YPP. Dallas has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning two straight games. The Cowboys held the Saints scoreless in the first-half of that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not giving up more than a field goal in the first half of their last game. Additionally, Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the Cowboys’ 27-20 victory over the Eagles back on November 11th where they were 7.5-point road dogs. Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss as a favorite laying at least 7 points. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (129) and the Dallas Cowboys (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (124) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (123). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (2-10) has lost three straight games with their 43-16 loss at Seattle last week as a 10-point favorite. Denver (6-6) has won three straight games with their 24-10 win at Cincinnati last week as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 49ERS PLUS THE POINTS: Returning home will help San Francisco after they played their last two games on the road. The 49ers are 2-3 at home this season but they are out-gaining these opponents by +60.6 net YPG. They average a robust 142.2 rushing YPG at home while converting on 45.3% of their 3rd down plays. Nick Mullens is playing well for this team under center as he has led an offense that has averaged 389.3 total YPG over their last three games. Against the Seahawks, Mullens completed 30 of 48 passes for 414 yards with two touchdown passes. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after passing for at least 300 yards in their last game. Reducing turnovers is critical for this team after they suffered a -2 or worse net turnover margin in three straight games. It is encouraging that the 49ers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after having a -2 or worse turnover margin in three straight contests. San Francisco has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. Denver has been leaning on their defense which has helped them play five straight Unders. But the Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Furthermore, Denver is just 5-12-1 ATS in their 18 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Broncos will be even more dependent on their rushing attack with the news of the season-ending torn Achilles injury to wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders. Denver rushed for 218 yards last week while out-rushing the Bengals by 1-7 nets yards. But the Bengals have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after rushing for at last 150 yards in their last game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after out-rushing their last opponent by at least 75 yards. Denver stays on the road again this week where they are being out-gained by 12.0 net YPG. There are growing concerns about the Broncos defense considering that they have allowed 439.0 total YPG over their last three games. Denver is only averaging 331.3 total YPG in those last three games.

FINAL TAKE: It is hard to win three straight games when you are being out-gained by more than 100 YPG in those contests. While the Broncos won the yardage battle versus Cincinnati, they were out-gained in their upset wins over the Chargers and the Steelers in the previous two weeks. Expect this to be a close game with the Niners being in a position to pull the upset — but take the points for some insurance. 10* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the San Francisco 49ers (124) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (123). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (113) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (114). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (10-2) takes the field again after their 13-10 loss at Dallas back on November 29th as a 7.5-point favorite that snapped their ten-game winning streak. Tampa Bay (5-7) has won two straight games after they upset Carolina at home last Sunday by a 24-17 score as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Saints have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss as a road favorite laying at least a touchdown. Don’t blame the defense for that loss as they held the Cowboys to just 308 yards of offense. The New Orleans defense is underrated. Not only do the Saints lead the NFL in rushing defense by limiting their opponents to just 75.3 rushing YPG, but they are also doing a fantastic job of pressuring the quarterback. Over their last four games, New Orleans has generated 20 sacks while registering 34 hits on the quarterback. They have only allowed more than 23 points once (to the Rams in that shootout) in their last nine games — and in their last three games, they are allowing just 12.3 PPG while giving up only 290.0 total YPG. The problem for the Saints against Dallas was the offense that managed to gain a mere 176 total yards. Look for New Orleans to deploy their preferred offensive strategy when playing on the road which is to run the football to burn clock and keep the opposing quarterback off the field. This should be a very effective strategy to limit Jameis Winston’s effectiveness. Since Week Nine, the Buccaneers are allowing 134.6 rushing YPG while seeing opposing rushers average 5.9 Yards-Per-Carry. Tampa Bay allowed the Panthers to generate 161 rushing yards against them last week on the heels of the 49ers rushing for 181 yards against them two weeks ago. The Saints have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. They also have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents. Tampa Bay upset Carolina last week despite only gaining 315 yards of offense against them. The Bucs have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning their last two games at home — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of December. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has played 4 straight games Under the Total at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 13 home games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher, the Bucs have played 11 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 14 of their last 20 meetings Under the Total — and this includes 8 of the last 10 encounters in Tampa Bay finishing below the number. The oddsmakers have installed an over/under the number in the mid-50s given the 48-40 shootout that the Bucs pulled out in an upset back on September 9th. The Saints’ defense has more to prove in this rematch than even the offense does after last week. 25* NFC South Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (113) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (107) plus the points versus the Houston Texans (108). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (6-6) looks to rebound from their humiliating 6-0 shutout loss on the road to Jacksonville last week despite being a 4-point favorite. Houston (9-3) has rattled off nine straight victories with their 29-13 win over Cleveland last week as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COLTS PLUS THE POINTS: Indianapolis should be very feisty in this game after being shutout — they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. If there is anything encouraging from that loss to the Jaguars, it was the continued improvement of the Colts defense that held Jacksonville to just 211 yards of offense. Over their last three games, Indianapolis has allowed only 13.3 PPG along with just 262.7 total YPG. Indy is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after not allowing more than 250 yards of offense in their last game. Additionally, the Colts have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last contest. Furthermore, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after a low-scoring game where neither team scored more than 14 points. This is a challenge for this team when facing this ferocious defense that has registered 34 sacks for the season. But this strong Colts’ offensive line has allowed only 14 sacks this season — so Andrew Luck should have an opportunity to find receivers this afternoon. Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. The Colts are also 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games against their AFC South rivals — and this includes them going 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Houston. The Texans generated 384 yards of offense last week against the Browns — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. But a concern for this team is their defense that allowed 428 yards to the Browns with rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield gaining 397 of those yards in the air. Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 305 yards in their last game. This shapes up to be a higher scoring game with the Total set in the low-50s — but this is not the type of game that this team prefers. The Texans have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. Furthermore, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the month of December under head coach Bill O’Brien.

FINAL TAKE: The Texans won the first meeting between these two teams back on September 30th by a 37-34 score despite that game being played in Indianapolis. The Colts have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. Don’t be surprised if Indy pulls the upset — but take the points for some nice insurance in what should be a close game. 25* AFC South Underdog of the Year with the  Indianapolis Colts (107) plus the points versus the Houston Texans (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (106) minus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (105). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (10-2) has won five of their last six games with their 40-33 win at Oakland last week as a 14-point favorite. Baltimore (7-5) has won three straight games with their 26-16 upset win at Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CHIEFS MINUS THE POINTS: Kansas City is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a point spread loss. The Chiefs did allow 442 yards of offense against the Raiders in that victory — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. Defense remains the thorn in this Kansas City team’s side as they allowed 455 yards in their loss two weeks ago in Los Angeles to the Rams — but they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. KC has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Now the Chiefs return home after being on the road for their last two games where they are a perfect 5-0 with an average winning margin of +16.2 PPG. Their defense plays much better at Arrowhead Stadium where they are giving up just 17.6 PPG as compared to the 33.7 PPG they allow on the road. KC also allows 49.4 fewer YPG at home when compared to their season average. The Chiefs have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games when laying 3.5 to 7 points on their home field. Additionally, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games against fellow AFC opponents — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December. Baltimore may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a win on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit win on the road. Baltimore’s defense shined in Atlanta last week by holding the Falcons to just 131 yards of offense. But the Ravens are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. And while the Ravens have allowed just 34, 67, and 48 rushing yards in each of their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in three straight games. Lamar Jackson continues to impress since being pressed into starting duty at quarterback with his threat with running the football giving a burst of energy to the Baltimore offense. The Ravens generated 25 first downs last week while controlling the time of possession for over 39 minutes — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a dominating effort where they had at least 25 first downs while dominating then clock for at least 34 minutes. But Baltimore has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, the Ravens have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

FINAL TAKE: This is the first big challenge for Jackson as a starter in the NFL playing in a hostile environment against a playoff team. I don’t like the dynamic for this Ravens team with Joe Flacco healthy again and looming on the sidelines. The Chiefs are undervalued when playing at home where their defense has been more effective. 20* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Kansas City Chiefs (106) minus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (105). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (103) plus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (104). THE SITUATION: Navy (3-9) enters their rivalry game coming off a 29-28 loss at Tulane as a 5-point underdog back on November 24th. Army (9-2) has won seven straight games with their 28-24 win over Colgate as an 11-point favorite back on November 17th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MIDSHIPMEN PLUS THE POINTS: Navy had dominated this series by winning fourteen straight meetings starting in 2002 but they have lost these last two encounters with their arch rival. This has been a lost season for head coach Ken Niumatalolu in his eleventh season with the Midshipmen. Expectations were certainly high that with nine returning starters (not uncommon for a service academy program) from last year’s 7-6 team that lost six of their last seven games that this year’s team would take a step back up. Instead, the rigors of playing in the American Athletic Conference has taken its toll on the win-loss record of this football team. Yet an upset win over the Black Knights would offer this team plenty of positive feelings going into next season. Senior Zach Abbey will be concluding his career this afternoon back at quarterback after initially being moved to wide receiver to start the season — and he should offer the team an emotional lift since he played the last time the Midshipmen won this rivalry game. Expect the strongest effort of the season from Niumatalolo’s team as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a loss on the road against a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 road games after a loss by 6 points or less. Navy has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing eight of their last ten games. The Midshipmen are doing a good job of protecting the football as they have won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. Navy has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 29 road games after enjoying a +1 or better turnover margin in at least two straight games. Army had a 14-0 halftime lead over Colgate in their last game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 3 points in the first-half of their last game. The Black Knights have not allowed more than 241 yards of offense in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in at least two straight games. Furthermore, Army has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games in games with the Total set no higher than 42. Lastly, the Black Knights have failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games after a bye week(s) — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on a neutral field as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The last four games between these two teams have been decided by 7 points or less. Expect another close game between these two rivals. 10* CFB Army-Navy CBS-TV Special with the Navy Midshipmen (103) plus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Navy Midshipmen (103) and the Army West Point Black Knights (104). THE SITUATION: Navy (3-9) enters their rivalry game coming off a 29-28 loss at Tulane as a 5-point underdog back on November 24th. Army (9-2) has won seven straight games with their 28-24 win over Colgate as an 11-point favorite back on November 17th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: These two teams have played 10 straight Unders — and there are a few fundamental reasons why that is the case. For starters, both teams run similar spread triple options — so the usual advantage that these teams enjoy during the regular season with facing opponents that are not as familiar with their unique offenses are gone in this matchup. Both these defenses practice against this offense every day. Second, both teams have extra weeks to prepare their defenses for the particular nuances of their opponent’s offense. In theory, this extra time could also be used to add a few wrinkles to the offenses. However, in practice, both these teams lack the personnel to all of the sudden start running the West Coast Offense (for example). Now, we cannot simply be zombies and automatically take the Under in each Army-Navy game. This year’s Total has dropped to the 40 point range which is the lowest number over those last ten encounters. Eventually, the Over will be the appropriate play. But when considering that five of the last six meetings between these two teams have not seen more than 38 combined points scored, I am still very comfortable taking the Under in this game. Army should slow down the Midshipmen rushing attack as they rank 12th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 106.5 rushing YPG. The Black Knights have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of December. Furthermore, Army has played 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing with a bye week — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing on grass. Navy has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total in the month of December. Additionally, the Midshipmen have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. Navy only scores 21.7 PPG when playing away from home — and they average just 310.4 total YPG on the road. Lastly, the Midshipmen have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.

FINAL TAKE: Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams in cold temperatures (but no snow) with Philadelphia forecasting to have their temp in the 30s. 25* CFB Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Navy Midshipmen (103) and the Army West Point Black Knights (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (101) and the Tennessee Titans (102). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (6-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 26-22 win over the New York Jets as a 10.5-point favorite. Jacksonville (4-8) ended their seven-game losing streak with their 6-0 shutout victory over Indianapolis as a 4-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Not only was the Jaguars’ shutout effort last week an outlier performance but so was their failure to score more than 6 points. Jacksonville has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after scoring no more than 6 points in their last game. The Jaguars have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing a game where less than 20 combined points were scored. Furthermore, Jacksonville has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game — and they have also played 32 of their last 47 games Over the Total after allowing less than 10 points in their last contest. The Jaguars limited the Colts to averaging a mere 3.90 Yards-Per-Play — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after holding their last opponent to averaging no better than 4.0 YPP. Additionally, Jacksonville has played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Moving forward, the Jaguars are looking to avenge a 9-6 loss to the Titans back on September 23rd where they were 10-point favorites at home. But Jacksonville has played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by a field goal or less — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss where they were laying at least 7 points as the home favorite. Tennessee has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. The Titans have failed to over the point spread in three straight games as well — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Tennessee did give up 156 rushing yards in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Titans run defense has become an issue as they have allowed over 150 rushing YPG over their last three games with opposing rushers averaging 5.57 Yards-Per-Carry. This defense will be facing Leonard Fournette who will be taking the field with “fresh legs” after not playing last Sunday. Tennessee stays at home where the Over is 39-18-2 in their last 59 games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while the Titans out-gained the Jets last week by +123 net yards, they have then played 17 of their last 23 home games Over the Total after out-gaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. Lastly, Tennessee has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total for Thursday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: Given the low-scoring result these two teams had in September and the shutout win for the Jaguars enjoyed on Sunday, this Total is under 40 tonight. While sometimes at low Total should not dissuade us from taking the Under, this game should (somehow) get into the 40s. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (101) and the Tennessee Titans (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (102) minus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (101). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (6-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 26-22 win over the New York Jets as a 10.5-point favorite. Jacksonville (4-8) ended their seven-game losing streak with their 6-0 shutout victory over Indianapolis as a 4-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TITANS MINUS THE POINTS: The Jaguars’ defense may have been inspired to make a statement with head coach Doug Marrone’s decision to end the Blake Bortles era last week with him being benched for Cody Kessler at quarterback. Jacksonville stepped up t shutout Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense while holding them to just 265 yards of offense. But this remains a lost season for the Jaguars who need to win their final four games just to get to an 8-8 record. Sure, Jacksonville can also try to motivate themselves to play the role of the spoiler — but that seems unlikely for this group at this point particularly with them playing on a short week. The Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games after an upset victory as a home underdog. Jacksonville is also 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Jags held Indy to averaging just 3.90 Yards-Per-Play in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 4.0 YPP in their last game. The bigger problem for this team remains their offense now reliant on Kessler running the show. He passed for just 150 yards in that game leading an offense that generated a mere 211 yards. Jacksonville was out-gained by 54 net yards even in that victory. The Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. While the Bortles narrative has received most of the attention this season, one of the biggest reasons why this team has underachieved this season has been that they have ravaged by injuries. Jacksonville has a whopping fifteen players on Injured Reserve at this point of the season including three of their opening day starters on the offensive line headlined by their All-Pro left guard Andrew Norwell. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 1-5 this season while being outscored by -9.3 PPG while allowing their home hosts to score 27.0 PPG. The Jags are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on the road. Furthermore, Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against fellow AFC South opponents — and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Titans. Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in three straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. The Titans held the Jets to just 124 passing yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Tennessee stays at home on this short week where they are 4-1 this season — and they are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games at home. Additionally, the Titans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games when favored by 7 points or less. The Tennessee defense is a top-nine unit in yards allowed while ranking 6th in the league by holding their opponents to only 20.4 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: I would put more credence into the potential role of the spoiler for the Jaguars if they had a whole week to prepare — instead, I suspect they rested on their laurels after stepping up last week against the Colts. Quarterback Marcus Mariota is playing better football as of late as he gets back to 100% health. Look for this tough Titans team to take care of business on their home field. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year with the Tennessee Titans (102) minus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (379) and the Philadelphia Eagles (380). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-5) has lost two straight games after their 31-23 win at Dallas back on Thanksgiving as a 7-point underdog. Philadelphia (5-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 25-22 win over the New York Giants as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Skins have been ravaged with injuries on the offensive side of the football. While the biggest lost player is quarterback Alex Smith, the attrition this team has suffered on their offensive line would devastate most teams. Washington has put four of their players that began the season on their two-deep depth chart on Injured Reserve with three of these players being starters — and their six-time Pro Bowl left tackle Trent Williams is questionable for tonight with rib and ankle injuries. The Skins are averaging 20.0 PPG for the season while scoring 19.1 PPG over their last three games and it is difficult seeing them putting up many more points than that. Adrian Peterson’s production has significantly declined as these injuries on the offensive line have mounted. Over the last month, the running back is averaging only 3.05 Yards-Per-Carry — and he has not reached 70 yards from scrimmage since October 28th. Washington rushed for just 80 yards against the Cowboys — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a game where they failed to rush for at least 90 yards. Furthermore, the Skins have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Quarterback Colt McCoy was a victim of this injured offensive line as well. He was sacked three times by Dallas while getting hitting eight times in that game. Washington has also been hit with injuries on defense but this unit is still playing well. For the season, the Skins rank 8th the NFL by allowing only 20.8 PPG led by a stout run defense that also ranks 8th in the league by allowing 100.3 rushing YPG. Over their last three games, Washington is allowing just 19.4 PPG — and they hold their home hosts to only 19.2 PPG. The Skins did allow 258 passing yards last week — but they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Washington has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Skins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Eagles defense gave up 276 passing yards along with 402 total yards of offense to the Giants — but they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. And while they allowed 7.31 Yards-Per-Play last week, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.0 YPP. Philly is riddled with injuries in their secondary — but it helps that they are only facing McCoy rather than Smith at quarterback tonight. The Eagles are still playing strong run defense that ranks 10th in the league by allowing 103.6 rushing YPG. But this Philly offense is scoring only 17.3 PPG along with just 319.3 total YPG over their last three games. Philadelphia stays at home where they are holding only scoring 20.2 PPG — but they are also holding their visitors to that number. The Eagles have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total with the number in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, Philly has played 7 straight home games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games — and they have played 8 straight home games Under the Total after playing an NFC East rival.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams have been hit very hard by the injury bug. Since the onus is on the offensive to execute plays to move the football, usually it is the defenses that look relatively better when injuries are spread out on both sides of the football. Expect a lower-scoring game between these two divisional rivals playing for the first time this season. 25* NFC East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (379) and the Philadelphia Eagles (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (379) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (380). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-5) has lost two straight games after their 31-23 win at Dallas back on Thanksgiving as a 7-point underdog. Philadelphia (5-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 25-22 win over the New York Giants as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REDSKINS PLUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia needed to rally from a 19-11 halftime deficit to get by the lowly Giants in that game. This is a team that has been decimated with injuries on both sides of the football. I count ten players on their original two-deep roster that have been placed on Injured Reserve. To make matters worse, running back Darren Sproles is not yet ready to take the field and defense will be without their best linebacker in Jordan Hicks who is listed as doubtful tonight with his calf injury. This is simply not the same team as the one that won the Super Bowl last year — and it also appears that the loss of assistant coaches Frank Reich and John DeFilippo who both took promotions in the offseason was significant. For those waiting for the Eagles to simply flip the switch and play better with the Super Bowl winners still on their roster, keep in mind that they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games at home. Furthermore, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against NFC East rivals — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December. Perhaps most noteworthy for tonight’s situation, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when favored laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Washington is going to play well tonight as they remain alive in the NFC East race and have had extra days to prepare for a divisional rival who swept them last season. The Skins have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing three of their last four contests. The Skins allowed 404 yards of offense against the Cowboys — but they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. Washington has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Colt McCoy did play pretty well at quarterback in his first start of the year playing for the injured Alex Smith. McCoy completed 24 of 38 passes for 268 yards with two touchdown passes — and the Skins have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But it was McCoy’s three interceptions that did Washington in against Dallas. The Skins endured a -3 net turnover margin in that game — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after suffering -2 or worse net turnover margin in their last game. Washington stays on the road where they are 3-2 this season — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight road games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The Skins have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Eagles — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 trips to Philadelphia. Expect them to play their struggling divisional rival tough tonight in what remains an important game in the NFC East race. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (379) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (354) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (353). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (8-3) has won seven of their last eight games with their 45-10 win over Arizona last week as a 14-point favorite. Pittsburgh (7-3-1) looks to bounce-back from their 24-17 upset loss at Denver as a 3-point favorite. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (8-3) has won seven of their last eight games with their 45-10 win over Arizona last week as a 14-point favorite. Pittsburgh (7-3-1) looks to bounce-back from their 24-17 upset loss at Denver as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE STEELERS MINUS THE POINTS: Pittsburgh returns home after playing the last two games on the road where they should play much better than their last two flat performances. The Steelers have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset loss. Big Ben Roethlisberger completed 41 of 56 passes for 462 yards against the Broncos last week while leading the offense to produce 527 total yards of offense which is a good harbinger for things to come tonight. Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 500 yards in their last game. Back at home, the Steelers are scoring 35.4 PPG while outscoring their opponents by +10.6 net PPG. Additionally, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning their last game by at least two touchdowns. The Chargers dominated the hapless Cardinals last week by out-gaining them by +265 yards — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after out-gaining their last opponent by at least +200 yards. LA generated 414 yards of offense in that game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Chargers are also 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Their offense took a major hit in that game when running back Melvin Gordon suffered a knee injury that will keep him out of tonight’s contest. That is not a good sign with the calendar turning to December where this team has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in this month.

FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh has scored at least 33 points in four of their five games at Heinz Field this season. With the Chargers being without one of their key offensive weapons in Gordon, Los Angeles lacks the firepower to keep up with an angry Steelers team. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers (354) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (353). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (353) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (354). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (8-3) has won seven of their last eight games with their 45-10 win over Arizona last week as a 14-point favorite. Pittsburgh (7-3-1) looks to bounce-back from their 24-17 upset loss at Denver as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chargers are playing outstanding defense right now — and that unit is even better now that Joey Bosa has returned after missing most of the season due to injury. Los Angeles has allowed less than 20 points in six of their last seven games. Over their last three games, the Chargers are allowing just 13.0 PPG along with only 263.7 total YPG. This strong defensive play should continue tonight as the Under is 35-16-1 in the LA’s last 52 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. The Chargers did generate 414 yards of offense last week against the Cardinals — but they have then seen the Under go 10-3-1 in their last 14 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. Unfortunately for this offense, they will be without their top running back, Melvin Gordon tonight who is out with a knee injury. Now the Chargers go back on the road where they are only averaging 368.0 total YPG which is 34 YPG below their season average. But the LA defense keeps them competitive away from home as they hold their opponents to just 18.5 PPG. The Chargers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh has only scored 37 combined points over their last two games. They are getting outstanding play from their defense that not only leads the NFL in sacks but is allowing only 20.3 PPG along with just 264.3 total YPG over their last three games. The Steelers have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after winning two of there last three games. Pittsburgh did generate 527 yards of offense last week while averaging 7.12 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game and they have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in their last game. Pittsburgh needs to get their rushing attack going again after only rushing for 75 yards in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to gain more than 75 rushing yards in their last contest. The Steelers have averaged 403.6 total YPG over their last three games — but they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after averaging at least 400 YPG in their last three games. Lastly, Pittsburgh has played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: The high Total set in the low-50s suggests that this shapes up to be a scoring fest. However, both these teams are playing great defense — scoring is going to be harder to come by for both teams. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (353) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (354). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (375) and the New England Patriots (376). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-4-1) has won five of their last seven games with their 24-17 win over Green Bay last week as a 3.5-point favorite. New England (8-3) has won seven of their last eight games with their 27-13 win at New York against the Jets last Sunday as a 12-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. New England generated 498 yards of offense against the Jets — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Patriots have averaged 405 Yards-Per-Game over their last three contests — but they have then played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after averaging at least 400 YPG over their last three contests. Yet despite that yardage, they are scoring just 22.7 PPG over their last three games. But the defense has kept up as they are only giving up 21.3 PPG in those three games. The Jets did pass for 264 yards against them last week — but they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. New England has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Minnesota has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total as an underdog. Kirk Cousins passed for 342 yards last week against the Packers defense — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after passing for at least 300 yards in their last game. But despite that effort last week, the Vikings are scoring only 22.7 PPG over their last three games while averaging 322.3 total YPG which is over 45 yards below their season average. But the Minnesota defense is tightening up as they are allowing only 17.0 PPG over their last three games along with just 257.0 total YPG. Lastly, the Vikings have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of December.

FINAL TAKE: The Patriots are playing more ball control on offense as of late — while the Vikings defense has stepped up their level of play. Expect a lower-scoring game. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (375) and the New England Patriots (376). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (362) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (361). THE SITUATION: Miami (5-6) has lost two straight games with their 27-24 loss at Indianapolis last week as a 9-point underdog. Buffalo (4-7) has won two straight games with their 24-21 upset victory over the Jaguars last Sunday as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DOLPHINS PLUS THE POINTS: Miami has played their last two games on the road but they return home where they are 4-1 this season. The Dolphins’ has a healthy Ryan Tannehill back at quarterback — and they score a healthy 24.0 PPG while averaging 349.2 total YPG. Miami has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last game on the road. Furthermore, while the Dolphins have allowed 7.11 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 6.5 Yards-Per-Play in two straight games. Buffalo (4-7) has pulled off two straight upset victories with their win over Jacksonville preceded by their 41-10 win in New York against the Jets where they were a touchdown underdog. But the Bills have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning two games in a row. Buffalo gave up 226 rushing yards last week to the Jaguars — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The Bills success over their last two games by running the football — they have gained 167 and 212 rushing yards in each of their last two games. But Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in two straight games. The Bills go back on the road where they are 2-4 while getting outscored by -8.9 PPG. Buffalo scores only 14.8 PPG away from home while averaging a mere 262.2 total YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Miami will also have revenge on their mind as they lost their last game with their AFC East rivals by a 22-16 score back on December 31st. 10* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Miami Dolphins (362) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (361). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (351) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (352). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (6-5) has won five straight games with their 27-24 win over Miami last week as a 9-point favorite. Jacksonville (3-8) has lost seven straight games with their 24-21 win at Buffalo as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars have hit rock bottom — so head coach Doug Marrone fired offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and benched quarterback Blake Bortles. But new offensive coordinator Scott Milanovich is still limited by the offensive talent available to him. Quarterback Cody Kessler has only played in thirteen NFL games in his career. And the team will be without running back Leonard Fournette who was suspended for one game for his roughhouse behavior in last week’s game with the Bills. Jacksonville is scoring only 17.9 PPG. But the maligned Jaguars’ defense has played much better at home where they are holding their opponents to just 16.2 PPG along with only 261.6 total YPG. Last week’s game with Buffalo went Over the 36.5 point Total — but Jacksonville has played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after playing a game that went Over. The Jaguars have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss. The Bills did rush for 167 yards last week — but the Jags have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Furthermore, Jacksonville has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing at home. And in their last 7 games against fellow AFC South opponents, the Jaguars have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Indianapolis has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Colts generated 455 yards of offense in that game, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Indy suffered a -2 net turnover margin in that game — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where they had a -2 or worse net turnover margin. The Colts defense has stepped up their level of play as of late as they have held their last three opponents to just 20.0 PPG along with only 330.7 total YPG. Andrew Luck has led an offense that has scored at least 27 points in six straight games — but they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in five straight games. Moving forward, Indianapolis has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range — and they have played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 12 games against fellow AFC South opponents, the Colts have played 9 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the Colts’ 29-26 win back on November 11th. While that game flew Over the 48 point Total, these two teams have still played 11 of their last 15 meetings Under the Total. Expect this rematch to be a lower-scoring game. 25* AFC South Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (351) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (352). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (366) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (365). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (5-6) has lost three straight games after their 35-20 loss to Cleveland as a 1-point underdog last week. Denver (5-6) has won two straight games after their 24-17 upset win over Pittsburgh last Sunday as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THEN BENGALS PLUS THE POINTS: Denver has pulled off two straight upsets as their underdog win over the Steelers last week came on the heels of their 23-22 upset victory in Los Angeles against the Chargers as a 7-point dog. But the Broncos may be due for a letdown as they go back on the road. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning two of their last three games. The Broncos allowed 527 yards of offense in their game with Pittsburgh — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Denver hits the road again where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games away from home. The Broncos have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games against AFC foes. And in their last 8 games in the month of December, Denver has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. Cincinnati is quickly losing control of their season — and things got worse this week with the announcement that quarterback Andy Dalton will miss the rest of the season with his thumb injury. But look for this team to play hard for head coach Marvin Lewis. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after losing three of their last four games. Cincinnati has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Jeff Driskel takes over at quarterback for this team — and he was solid last week in relief by completing 17 of 29 passes for 155 yards with a touchdown pass and no interceptions. He will have the benefit of wide receiver A.J. Green returning to the field this afternoon after he has missed the last few games with a foot injury. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against fellow AFC opponents — and they are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games in the month of December under Lewis.

FINAL TAKE: With the Broncos likely to experience a letdown traveling east for this early kickoff, taking the home team getting more than 4 points is too good to pass up. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Cincinnati Bengals (366) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (365). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Northwestern Wildcats (321) plus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (322). THE SITUATION: Northwestern (8-4) has won three straight games with their 24-16 win over Illinois as a 16-point favorite last week. Ohio State (11-1) has won four straight games with their triumphant 62-39 upset win over Michigan as a 3.5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WILDCATS PLUS THE POINTS: No one doubts the talent level with this Buckeyes team — but this team has been underachieving all season. The issues regarding Urban Meyer were a distraction for this team early on — but it just seems like the culture of this team has gone in the wrong direction considering their 29-point loss at Purdue along with a narrow victory at Maryland that might have been decided when the Terrapins decided to go for the win rather than the tie with a 2-point conversion attempt in overtime. Ohio State has much more talent than either of those teams — and they will be facing a Wildcats team that is more talented than either of those two Big Ten rivals. The Buckeyes played their best game of the season — or in many seasons — last week against their arch rival. The last time Ohio State was a home underdog was in 2011 when they hosted Wisconsin — and they had not been an underdog to the Wolverines since 2004. This was a team clearly motivated to make a statement. But emotional letdowns are common after big wins like that — and this Buckeyes’ team is particularly susceptible to inconsistency. Not only has Ohio State failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points. Furthermore, the Buckeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after winning their last four games. No tricks were saved on offense last week against the top statistical unit in the country — and Ohio State ripped the Michigan defense for 567 total yards while averaging 8.46 Yards-Per-Play. But the Buckeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after averaging at least 7.25 YPP. Failure to play fundamental football has been the biggest weakness for this team this season — it is as if the players have stopped listening to the coaches. The Michigan game was probably an exception with all the players on notice — but this defense ranks 67th in the nation by allowing 398.8 total YPG despite being loaded with NFL talent. It is even worse when they play away from home as they are allowing 470.2 total YPG when playing on the road. Northwestern is battle-tested with a 3-point loss to Michigan and a 10-point loss to Notre Dame. The Wildcats play strong defense as they rank tied for 29th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 21.7 PPG — and that marks drop to a mere 17.0 PPG when this team is playing away from home where they are a perfect 5-0 this year. Under head coach Pat Fitzgerald, this team is 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games in conference play — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. This team is the epitome of dangerous underdogs given their strong fundamental play. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games as a dog with nine outright wins. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games as a double-digit underdog — and they have seven outright wins in those games. Northwestern has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games as an underdog against Big Ten opponents with six of those games being where they pulled the upset.

FINAL TAKE: Ohio State needs a statement victory to overcome Oklahoma to reach the final four in the playoff race (assuming that Georgia does not upset Alabama). When in a similar situation in 2014, the Buckeyes responded by destroying Wisconsin by a 59-0 score. We had Ohio State in that game — but I don’t think this group can flip the switch the way this program could under Meyer a long four years ago. These two teams last played in late of October of last season where another uber-talented Buckeyes team only won by a 24-20 score. In this classic letdown spot, I look for Ohio State to struggle against a sound opponent. 25* CFB Fox-TV Game of the Year with the Northwestern Wildcats (321) plus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (322). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (317) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (318). THE SITUATION: Fresno State (10-2) reached the Mountain West Conference Championship Game with their 31-13 win over San Jose State last Saturday as 32-point favorites. Boise State (10-2) matched them last week with their 33-24 win over Utah State as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: Fresno State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread setback. The Bulldogs generated 515 yards of offense against the Spartans last week — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Led by quarterback Marcus McMaryion, Fresno State averages 282.8 passing YPG which is 23rd best in the nation. Pass defense is a vulnerability for the Broncos as they rank 79th in the nation by allowing 238.9 passing YPG. But where this Bulldogs team shines is on the defensive side of the football where they rank 2nd in the nation by allowing only 13.5 PPG — and they rank 17th in the nation by giving up 321.7 total YPG. Fresno State has been even stingier on the road as home teams are scoring just 12.0 PPG against them while averaging a mere 324.8 total YPG. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Additionally, Fresno State is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Boise State (10-2) has played two straight clean games when it comes to committing turnovers — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after not committing a turnover in their last game. The Aggies passed for 363 yards last week in that loss — and the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 325 passing yards in their last game. Boise State has scored 78 combined points in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 31 points in two straight games. They get to host this game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games on their blue home field. Furthermore, not only have the Broncos failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set in that range.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of a 24-17 upset win that Boise State pulled off back on November 9th as a 2-point underdog. After losing at home to San Diego State in October, the Broncos survived two games at home against the Bulldogs and BYU that were settled by one scoring possession before scoring with four (darn) seconds left in the game last week to pull away from Utah State. Look for Boise State’s good fortunes at home in close games to finally run out tonight against an opponent with an elite defense that will be motivated with double-revenge from not only this year but also losing in Boise in last year’s Mountain West Conference Championship Game. 25* CFB Saturday Night Special Feature with the Fresno State Bulldogs (317) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (320) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (319). THE SITUATION: Clemson (12-0) remained undefeated last week with their 56-35 win over South Carolina as a 25.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (7-5) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with their 24-3 loss at Miami as a 6-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers played their worst defensive season of the year last week against the Gamecocks as they allowed 600 yards of offense. 510 of those passing yards were in the air — but the Under is 3-0-1 in Clemson’s last 4 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. That game flew way over the 58.5 point total — and the Tigers have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Head coach Dabo Swinney will be demanding better play out of his defense the still ranks 7th in the nation by allowing 283.2 total YPG — and that unit ranks 4th in the FBS by giving up only 14.0 PPG. This defense played even better when they play away from home as they are allowing only 13.4 PPG along with just 262.6 total YPG on the road. But who many points with this powerful Clemson offense put up tonight as they approach being four-touchdown favorites after generating an incredible 744 yards of offense last week. Some insight to that question is that the Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Additionally, the Tigers have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. Pittsburgh has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 gamers after a point spread loss. The Under is also 14-6-1 in their last 21 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Panthers are run-dependent as they rank 17th in the nation by averaging 232.7 rushing YPG. But they will be running into one of the best defensive lines in the nation as Clemson ranks 2nd in the country by giving up only 84.8 rushing YPG. That will force the Panthers to rely on the passing arm of sophomore quarterback Kenny Pickett — but he is overseeing an offense that ranks 120th in the nation by averaging 153.4 passing YPG. Pitt has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Clemson has held six of their twelve opponents to 10 points or less this season. With the Panthers being so one-dimensional, it is difficult seeing them score many points tonight. 10* CFB Clemson-Pittsburgh ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (320) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (317) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (318). Georgia (11-1) has won five straight games with their 45-21 win over Georgia Tech as a 17-point favorite last week. Alabama (12-0) remained undefeated with their 52-21 win over Auburn last Saturday as a 25.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: Georgia is one of the few teams that take the field with the Crimson Tide with the confidence that they can pull off the victory. Thirteen starters return from the team that went into halftime of the National Championship Game last January with a 13-0 lead before losing that game in heartbreaking fashion in overtime by a 26-23 score. Alabama enjoys a significant talent advantage against most football teams in the country — but the Bulldogs are one of the few teams that can hang with their high-level players given their strong recruiting classes. Certainly, this is the game that this Georgia has wanted to play over the last eleven months. The Bulldogs enter this game with confidence as they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a win by at least three touchdowns. Georgia held the Yellow Jackets to just 219 yards of offense — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 6 straight games played on a neutral field — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of December. Alabama likely does have the same level of urgency to win this game against a revenge-minded Georgia team. The likelihood is that the Crimson Tide can still lose this game but still make into the College Football Playoff just as they did last year with one loss. Alabama did not commit a turnover last week in the Iron Bowl — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after not committing a turnover in their last game. And while the Crimson Tide have scored 111 combined points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 42 points in two straight games. Auburn was not able to challenge them in the passing game as they only managed 153 passing yards — but Bama has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Alabama has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 encounters with the Bulldogs.

FINAL TAKE: This Crimson Tide team looks invincible right now — but their non-conference schedule was light with Louisville being the high-profile game, in theory. LSU is a step below in class and Auburn took a step back as well. This is, by far, the biggest challenge this team has faced all season in facing Georgia. Expect a close game. 10* CFB Alabama-Georgia CBS-TV Special with the Georgia Bulldogs (317) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (309) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (310). THE SITUATION: Central Florida (11-0) continued their undefeated season last week with their 38-10 thrashing of South Florida on the road laying 16.5 points. Memphis (8-4) has won four straight games with their 52-31 win over Houston as a 9.5-point favorite last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: It was a Pyrrhic victory for the Knights last week with their third-year starting quarterback Mckenzie Milton suffering a season-ending knee injury. While UCF owns the nation’s longest winning streak, Milton started at quarterback in all twenty-four of those games. Head coach Josh Heupel now turns to redshirt freshman Darriel Mack to lead the team to the American Athletic Conference championship this afternoon. While the 6’3, 230-lb phenom oozes with physical talent, he is a complete unknown regarding his mental and emotional ability to handle the pressure of the moment. Mack completed only 5 of 14 passes for 81 yards in relief last week against the Bulls. Central Florida earned the right to host this game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as the favorite laying no more than 3 points. The Knights have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. There are two other areas of concern I have for this team. First, UCF has been very fortunate with the bouncing ball as they rank 2nd in the nation by averaging a +1.45 net turnover margin per game. Milton was excellent at protecting the football in both the passing and running game. Mack’s inexperience combined with the pressure of the moment may lead to a visit from the Regression Gods regarding this very favorable turnover ratio. Second, the Knights are very vulnerable in their run defense as they rank 109th in the nation by allowing 211.6 rushing YPG. Enter Darrell Henderson and the vaunted Memphis rushing attack. The Tigers are 5th in the nation by averaging 275.9 rushing YPG. Not only can this Memphis team move the chains by running the football but this can also keep their defense fresh. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a win over a conference rival. They generated 610 yards of offense last week against the Cougars defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 22 of their last 30 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 21 games in conference competition, Memphis is 15-5-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 60-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: The Tigers have lost twelve straight meetings with UCF including losing by a narrow 31-30 score earlier this year as a 4.5-point underdog to the Knights. The loss that stung, even more, was when they surrendered a late interception that served as the winning score in a 62-55 loss to UCF in last year’s American Athletic Conference Championship Game that was also played in Orlando. Memphis’ running game helps them play this team as tough as anyone during their 23-game winning streak. But with the injury to Milton, the Tigers have a great opportunity to earn some well-deserved measure of revenge against this team that has been a thorn in their side for years. 20* CFB Memphis-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the Memphis Tigers (309) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (310). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the California Golden Bears (334) plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (333). THE SITUATION: This game was rescheduled from a couple of weeks ago that was canceled due to the fires in northern California. California (7-4) enters the same having won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 33-21 win over Colorado as a 10.5-point favorite last week. Stanford (7-4) has won two straight games with their 49-42 win at UCLA as a 7-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: The Cardinal has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a win over a conference rival. Stanford averaged 7.01 Yards-Per-Play last week against the Bruins — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after gaining at least 6.75 YPP. The Cardinal has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 42 points in their last contest. But the concern for head coach David Shaw has to be his defense after UCLA shredded them for 528 yards of offense. Stanford has failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 525 yards. The Cardinal is just 3-2 on the road this year — but they are being out-gained by -106.2 net YPG due to their defense that is allowing home teams to average a whopping 482.0 total YPG. Cal should build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. The Bears defeated the Buffaloes last week despite generating only 211 yards of offense — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. Cal is 4-2 on their home field this season — and they have are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games on their home field. The Golden Bears have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. Furthermore, Cal has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-19-1 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: This is the best team at Cal in their last three seasons — and that makes this the best opportunity for this team to end the eight-game losing streak they have endured against their arch-rivals across the bay. Stanford only won this rivalry game last year by a 17-14 margin despite playing the game at home in Palo Alto as a 13.5-point favorite. Don’t be surprised if the Golden Bears pull the upset — but take the points for some insurance. 10* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the California Golden Bears (334) plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (333). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UAB Blazers (307) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (308). THE SITUATION: These two teams meet again in Murfreesboro for the second straight week after Middle Tennessee (8-4) won last Saturday’s game by a 27-3 score in an upset where they were 3-point underdogs. UAB (9-3) travels back looking to avenge that loss and to win the Conference USA Championship Game.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLAZERS PLUS THE POINTS: UAB had their spot in this championship game clinched before playing last week — but winning that game would have ensured that they hosted the conference championship game back in Birmingham. Perhaps head coach Bill Clark preferred to hold back some plays last week and ensure the opportunity to face these Blue Raiders again this week even if it meant playing on their home field? Either way, it looks pretty evident that Clark had the Blazers take their foot off the proverbial gas pedal after falling behind by a 13-3 score at halftime in that game. UAB managed only 89 yards of offense in that game. Clark is an outstanding coach who has pulled off a minor miracle to get this team to the conference championship game despite going on a two-year hiatus four years ago. Clark was rewarded on Friday with a big contract extension that makes him the highest paid football coach in Conference USA. He should have his team ready to play a great game. The Blazers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after suffering an upset loss by at least 17 points despite being favored in that game. UAB is also 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss as well as being 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a loss by at least 20 points — so this group has proven themselves to be very resilient under Clark’s leadership. Furthermore, the Blazers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when avenging a loss where they did not score more than 9 points — and they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when avenging a loss by at least three touchdowns to their opponent. UAB has lost their last two games with both those contests being played on the road. But the Blazers have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after losing their last two contests on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after suffering two straight losses on the road by double-digits. UAB should get their offense going this week — they rank 30th in the nation by averaging 207.5 rushing YPG. They are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game — and they are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. But where this team should really see improvements in this rematch is on the other side of the football where they rank 8th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 287.2 total YPG. UAB is also 9th in the FBS by allowing just 16.7 PPG — and they out-gain their home hosts when playing on the road by +46.7 net YPG. This stout defense has helped the Blazers cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Middle Tennessee may not be able to prevent themselves from suffering from a bit of a letdown after winning easily last week to earn their opportunity to win the conference championship. As it is, the Blue Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win at home by at least 17 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset win as an underdog. Middle Tennessee did not commit a turnover last week but that might not bode well for them now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing a game where they did not commit a turnover. The Blue Raiders get the opportunity to host this game at their Floyd Stadium where they are 5-0 this season — but they are only out-gaining their visitors by +35.8 net YPG. Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of December. And in their last 9 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Blue Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: I suspect that Clark kept a few tricks up his sleeve with the expectation that this rematch would be occurring this week. He will have a very eager and motivated team looking to redeem themselves from the thumping they received last week. It will be difficult for the Blue Raiders to maintain the intensity and sense of urgency that they displayed last week. 25* CFB Game of the Year with the UAB Blazers (307) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (311) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (312). THE SITUATION: Texas (9-3) has won three straight games with their 24-17 win at Kansas as a 15.5-point favorite last Friday. Oklahoma (11-1) has won six straight games after their 59-56 win at West Virginia as a 3-point/3.5-point favorite last Friday night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LONGHORNS PLUS THE POINTS: With Michigan losing last week, the Sooners are in a great position to reach the College Football Playoffs again this year if they can defeat their arch-rivals. But that pressure will be very heavy this afternoon. I know there are pundits on ESPN that describe the Oklahoma offense as the best one ever in College Football. Those dudes need to get a grip. Kyler Murray passed for 364 yards last week against the Mountaineers defense — but the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Additionally, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games played on a neutral field — and they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. The Sooners are playing with revenge on their mind with their lone loss this season being that 48-45 barnburner back on October 6th where they were 7-point favorites. But Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when looking to avenge a loss where they surrendered at least 42 points. And that is the rub: this Sooners’ defense is a mess. Head coach Lincoln Riley fired his defensive coordinator Mike Stoops after that game — but the defense has not improved. In fact, Oklahoma has allowed 623 YPG over their last three contests which is -182 net YPG worse than what they were allowing before that stretch. The Sooners have won their last three games by an average winning margin of 6 PPG — but they were favored by an average of 18 PPG so this defense has them significantly underachieving. Texas is 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams playing on a neutral field. Head coach Tom Herman should be able to oversee an offensive game plan that will be even more effective than the one that led to their victory in the first incarnation of the Red River Rivalry this season. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger has thrown 23 touchdown passes with only four interceptions. The Longhorns have lost three times this season with the losing margins being by just 5, 3 and 1 point. And Herman simply thrives when his teams are playing the role of the underdog as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 14 games as the dog which includes ten outright victories.

FINAL TAKE: Texas has covered the point spread in the last 6 meetings between these two teams — and the last five meetings have been decided by 7 points or less. The pressure to make the playoffs and the bad defense will likely lead to this being another close game. 10* CFB Texas-Oklahoma ABC-TV Special with the Texas Longhorns (311) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (312). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (313) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (314). THE SITUATION: UL-Lafayette (7-5) reached the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game with their 31-28 upset win at UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. Appalachian State (9-2) has won four games in a row with their 21-10 win over Troy last week as a 12-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mountaineers have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival. Appalachian State held the Trojans to just 223 yards of offense while winning the rushing battle by a decisive 139 net yards. The Mountaineers have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after out-rushing their last opponent by at least 125 yards. Appalachian State’s spread option offensive attack defines the program — but that aspect of their game should not distract from the outstanding defense that head coach Scott Satterfield has overseen in his sixth year with the program. Five starters returned to a defense that was tied for 21st in the nation by holding their opponents to just 20.2 PPG — and they also ranked 29th in total defense by allowing only 342.5 total YPG. This year’s unit has been even better as they rank 5th in the nation by allowing just 15.4 PPG — and they also rank 4th in the FBS by giving up only 278.2 total YPG. The Mountaineers are even stingier playing at home where they give up only 11.6 PPG along with just 271.4 total YPG — and over their last three games, this group is allowing a mere 11.3 PPG along with 259.7 total YPG. Appalachian State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total with the number set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. UL-Lafayette raced out to a 24-21 halftime lead against the Warhawks last week before hanging out to win by a 31-28 score. The Ragin’ Cajuns have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win by 3 points or less — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after scoring at least 24 points in the first-half of their last contest. UL-Lafayette has scored at least 31 points in three straight games — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 31 points in three straight games. Furthermore, the Ragin Cajuns have seen the Under go 17-8-1 in their last 26 games in Sun Belt Conference play — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. This championship game is a rematch of the October 20th meeting between these two teams that the Mountaineers won by a 27-17 score in their Kidd Brewer Stadium. The Ragin’ Cajuns did a pretty good job of slowing down the Appalachian State offense as they generated only 364 total yards which were over 118 yards below their season offensive average when playing at home. UL-Lafayette has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss on the road to their opponent.

FINAL TAKE: The Ragin Cajuns should play even better on defense in this rematch with the benefit of their experience facing this offensive scheme in October. UL-Lafayette ranks 104th in the nation by allowing 443.3 total YPG but they have allowed over -45 YPG less than that over their last three games. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. 25* CFB Conference Championships Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (313) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Marshall Thundering Herd (329) plus the points versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (330). THE SITUATION: Marshall (8-3) has won three straight games with their 28-25 win at Florida International as a 3.5-point favorite last Saturday. Virginia Tech (5-6) comes off a 34-31 win in overtime at home against Virginia as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE THUNDERING HERD PLUS THE POINTS: I hate this situation for the Hokies. This game is only being played because Virginia Tech’s game with East Carolina in September was canceled. The Hokies reached out to Marshall to arrange for this possible game if it was necessary for them to become bowl eligible — and with their upset win over Virginia last week, they need one more victory to reach a bowl game this year. So this is all happening for Virginia Tech to play in one more game — but that can also lead to plenty of pressure on this team that has underachieved all season. Frankly, the Hokies were very fortunate to earn the win over the Cavaliers last week. They scored on a fumble recovery for a touchdown early in that game to seize a 14-0 lead yet needed a second fumble recovery in the end zone to tie the game with under two minutes to go to force overtime which they did win. But Virginia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Hokies have been uninspired at home this season where they are just 2-4 while being outscored by -4.9 PPG — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home. What has happened to the Bud Foster-coached defense? They are allowing 435.4 total YPG this season which is 96th in the nation — and they are allowing 472.0 total YPG over their last three games. They do face a non-power conference opponent this afternoon — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against Conference USA opponents. Marshall is bowl bound with their eight wins — so one might question what they have at stake in this game. But head coach Doc Holliday will have his team licking their chops with this opportunity to knock off one of the heavyweight programs in their geographical region — there is a reason he agreed to take this game midyear. His teams have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games as an underdog. The Thundering Herd have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December. Furthermore, not only is Marshall 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games against teams outside Conference USA but they are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the ACC. The Thundering Herd are 4-1 on the road this year with an average winning margin of +6.6 PPG. Together, these team trends produce our specific 55-14-2 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: This extra game gives Marshall a chance to reach ten wins this season. All the pressure is on the Hokies — but the Herd gets to relish in their role as the spoiler. Don’t be surprised if they pull the upset — but take the points for some insurance. 10* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Marshall Thundering Herd (329) plus the points versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Utes (305) and the Washington Huskies (306). THE SITUATION: Utah (9-3) has won three straight games with their 35-27 win over BYU last Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite. Washington (9-3) has also won three in a row after they upset Washington State on the road last Friday as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Washington held the powerful Cougars offense to only 237 total yards in an outstanding defensive effort — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Huskies were one of my dark horse candidates to win the National Championship this season in large part because they returned nine starters from a stout group that was 5th in the nation by allowing only 16.1 PPG while ranking 8th in the FBS by holding their opponents to just 298.8 total YPG. This year’s defense ranks 8th in the FBS by allowing 16.5 PPG while also ranking 13th in the nation by limiting their opponents to 311.3 total YPG — so this group has only a slight decline in their outstanding numbers. What has held this Washington team back has been a disappointing offense that is scoring only 28.0 PPG (tied for 75th in the nation) after averaging 36.2 PPG last season with quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin as juniors. The offensive line has taken a step back this season with the unit suffering a big loss with the season-ending injury to senior left tackle Trey Adams who was projected as a potential top-ten pick in the NFL draft. The Huskies did generate 487 yards against the Cougars last week — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The formula for success for head coach Chris Petersen’s team is winning the war in the trenches. They have out-rushed their last three opponents by at least 100 yards — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after out-rushing their last three opponents by at least 100 yards. Washington has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 of their 10 games Under the Total as the favorite. Utah has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road after a victory on their home field. Furthermore, the Utes have played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Utah only gained 296 yards of offense against the Cougars but benefited from a 27-yard interception that they returned for a touchdown. The Utes have an elite defense that allows only 19.3 PPG (17th in the nation) — and they rank 15th in the FBS by only allowing 315.8 total YPG. Utah has the nation’s 5th best rushing defense that holds their opponents to only 100.3 rushing YPG — led by defensive line coach Gary Andersen who was a steal of a hire by head coach Kyle Whittingham after his stint at Oregon State soured last season. This is a rematch of the Huskies’ 21-7 victory over the Utes back on September 15th. Utah had junior Tyler Huntley under center for that game along with junior Zack Moss in their backfield — but both leaders on offense have since suffered season-ending injuries. For this rematch, the Utes will be using redshirt freshman Jason Shelley under center. While he has played well, he is likely a step back from Huntley who led an offense that only generated 261 yards with the one score. The defense did limit the Huskies to just 327 yards in that initial game — and I expect another gritty defensive performance. Utah has played 31 of their last 48 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: Utah knows they cannot get into a high-scoring affair with the Huskies given the injuries they have suffered on offense. This Washington team only scores 22.2 PPG in their six games away from home — so this game shapes up to be a low-scoring contest. 25* CFB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Utes (305) and the Washington Huskies (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (305) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (306). THE SITUATION: Utah (9-3) has won three straight games with their 35-27 win over BYU last Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite. Washington (9-3) has also won three in a row after they upset Washington State on the road last Friday as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UTES PLUS THE POINTS: In head coach Kyle Whittingham I trust to have his team ready to play this game. Utah has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The team has handled the adversity of losing starting quarterback Tyler Huntley and starting running back Zack Moss to season-ending injuries. During their three-game winning streak, the Utes are scoring 32.3 PPG while averaging 393.3 total YPG operating the Air-Raid spread offense under second-year offensive coordinator Troy Taylor. Utah has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against Pac-12 opponents — and they are also 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Utes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing on a neutral field. This Utah team is looking to avenge a 21-7 loss to the Huskies back on September 15th. Utah is very tough under Whittingham when motivated by revenge. The Utes have covered the point spread in 6 straight games when avenging a loss at home to their opponent. Furthermore, Utah has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games when avenging a loss by at least two touchdowns — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they failed to score at least 14 points. Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Huskies have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, while Washington gained 487 yards against the Cougars last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Huskies have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against Pac-12 rivals — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games as the favorite, Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: The Huskies were a dark horse National Championship contender for me to begin the season but the season-ending injury to left tackle Trey Adams has hampered their offensive line. Washington is just 3-3 away from home this season with losses at Oregon, California and in Atlanta against an Auburn team that has also disappointed. The Huskies may win this game — but I look for the Utes to be a very difficult out. 10* CFB Utah-Washington Fox-TV Special with the Utah Utes (305) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (303) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (304). Northern Illinois (7-5) limps into the Mid-American Conference Championship Game with their 28-21 upset loss at Western Michigan back on November 20th as a 6.5-point favorite. Buffalo (10-2) clinched their opportunity to win the conference championship with a 44-14 win at Bowling Green last Friday as a 16-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HUSKIES PLUS THE POINTS: Northern Illinois has suffered two straight upset losses in a row as their loss to the Broncos was preceded by a 13-7 upset loss at home to Miami (OH) as a 6.5-point favorite. But because the Huskies raced out to a 6-0 record in conference play, the team was in firm control of winning the MAC West Division despite then losing their last two games. There is no better way for Rod Carey’s team to erase the memory of these last two setbacks then by winning this game and winning their conference title. This team returned fourteen starters from last year’s group that finished 8-5. This is the team’s first trip back to Ford Field in Detroit to play in this game in the last three years. As usual, this is a battle-tested team that played Utah at home while also traveling to play Iowa, BYU and Florida State in their non-conference schedule. They should play very well tonight as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after a loss by 7 points or less against a conference opponent. Northern Illinois did allow 285 passing yards to Western Michigan in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. The Huskies are led by their outstanding defense that ranks 26th in the nation by allowing only 344.0 total YPG. They rank 13th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 107.0 rushing YPG. Northern Illinois has only allowed 94 rushing yards in each of their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in two straight games. The Huskies are due for some better luck when it comes to the bouncing ball that often determines turnovers as they have endured a -2 or worse net turnover margin in three straight games. But Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing the turnover battle in three straight games. Moving forward, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 33 road games in the month of November. Buffalo raced out to a 34-7 halftime lead over Bowling Green last week — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after holding at least a 24-point halftime lead in their last game. The Bulls are led by one of the best offensive lines in the country that helped them churn out 332 rushing yards against the Falcons meager defensive line (as we predicted when taking Buffalo in that game) — but this team has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after rushing for at least 300 yards in their last game. The Bulls held the Bowling Green offense to only 58 rushing yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last contest. But run defense is an issue for this team as their opponents are averaging 169.5 rushing YPG this season which is 74th in the nation. On paper, the Northern Illinois offense looks weak as they rank 124th in the FBS by averaging only 318.0 total YPG — but that mark rises over 50 YPG to a 369.0 total YPG mark in conference play. This is Buffalo’s third straight game away from home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when playing on a neutral field.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Illinois is in a better position to win this game given their experience in this game along with their brutal non-conference schedule and the extra days they have had to rest and prepare for this showdown. Their defense should frustrate a Bulls’ offense that ranks last in the MAC in Red Zone offense. This is the biggest football game for this Buffalo team perhaps in program history — they have not even played in a bowl game since 2013. 25* CFB Underdog of the Month with the Northern Illinois Huskies (303) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (301). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (10-1) has won ten straight games after their 31-17 win over Atlanta last Thursday as an 11.5-point favorite. Dallas (6-5) has won three games in a row with their 31-23 win over Washington at home last Thanksgiving as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COWBOYS PLUS THE POINTS: Dallas is playing with plenty of confidence right now — and the trade of Amari Cooper seems to be exactly what the doctor ordered to open up their offense. Cooper was spectacular on Thanksgiving by catching 8 balls for 180 yards with two touchdowns passes. Dallas generated 404 yards against the Skins in that game — not only have the Cowboys covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game but they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. Dallas has covered the point spread in each of their last three games — and they are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games after a point spread win while they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in three straight contests. The Cowboys stay at home where they are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +7.2 PPG while out-gaining their opponents by +55.8 net YPG. Dallas scored 26.2 PPG at home — and they have not allowed more than 28 points in all eleven games they have played this season. They have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 44 home games as the underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 home games getting 3.5 to 7 points. The Cowboys have also covered the point spread in 35 of their last 54 home games after winning three of their last four games. New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite in their last game. And while the Saints have raced out to at least a two-touchdown lead in each of their last three games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after holding double-digit halftime leads in three straight games. And while New Orleans has scored at least 30 points in five straight games, they have then failed to cover the points spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 25 points in their last five games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games on the road after scoring at least 25 points in their last three contests. Furthermore, the Saints have benefited from at least a +2 net turnover margin in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games are enjoying a +2 or better net turnover margin in at least three straight games. And in their last 8 games played on Thursday Night Football, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: The Saints may win their eleventh game in a row tonight — but they are likely in for a close game with a confident home team with plenty of momentum. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (10-1) has won ten straight games after their 31-17 win over Atlanta last Thursday as an 11.5-point favorite. Dallas (6-5) has won three games in a row with their 31-23 win over Washington at home last Thanksgiving as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: While the Saints offense that leads the NFL by scoring 37.2 PPG, the continued improved play of their defense too often gets the short shrift. New Orleans has allowed only 12.7 PPG over their last three games while limiting their last three opponents to just 282.0 total YPG. The Saints have not allowed more than 23 points in seven of their last eight games with the lone exception being their 45-35 shootout with the Rams. The New Orleans run defense leads the NFL by allowing only 73.2 YPG — and opposing rushers average just 3.6 Yards-Per-Carry. Nine of their last ten opponents have failed to rush for more than 100 yards — and their last three opponents have managed only 65 rushing YPG. The Saints pass rush has stepped as of late as well as they have combined for 13 sacks along with 25 hits on the quarterback over the last three weeks. This unit will be infused the return of their breakout rookie defensive lineman Marcus Davenport who has missed the last few weeks with a toe injury. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. The Saints have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. While New Orleans has scored at least 30 points in five straight games, they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in their last five contests. As the weather begins to turn, the Saints are starting to emphasize their rushing attack a bit more with Mark Ingram back in the mix after serving his four-game suspension. Drew Brees only attempted 22 passes last week against the Falcons. New Orleans only generated 312 yards of offense last week against the Atlanta defense. The Saints tend to run the ball more when they go on the road as well — they have played 8 of their last 13 games on the road Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. Dallas has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning three of their last four games. The formula for defeating the Saints will certainly be to run the ball to burn time off the clock and keep Brees off the field — Dallas is 5-1 this season when Ezekiel Elliott rushes for at least 100 yards. Despite last week’s offensive effort against the Skins, the Cowboys have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Dallas has an outstanding defense that is 3rd in the NFL by allowing just 19.4 PPG while also ranking 7th in the league by giving up a mere 331.1 total YPG. The Cowboys run defense ranks 5th in the NFL by allowing just 93.6 YPG — and they are allowing only 3.46 YPC. They held Washington to just 80 rushing yards — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Dallas has not allowed more than 28 points to an opponent all season. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these are going to attempt to run the football — yet both might be stymied in these efforts when facing their opposing strong run defenses. While that will likely lead to a course of events that will see more passing, the lack of an effective ground game will slow down these offenses. With the Total in the low-50s given the prowess of the Saints offense, expect a lower scoring game. 25* NFL Thursday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (273) and the Houston Texans (274). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (5-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last week with their 38-10 loss at Indianapolis as a 1-point underdog. Houston (7-3) has won seven straight games with their 23-21 win at Washington as a 3-point favorite last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Titans lost their defensive coordinator Dean Pees in the middle of their game with the Colts as he went to the hospital with a medical scare — that had to play a role in them allowing 397 yards of offense. Pees has been cleared to run the defense tonight for this game. Expect a better effort from this Tennessee defense that allows only 19.7 PPG along with 305.8 total YPG when they are playing on the road. The Titans have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 14 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least three touchdowns. Tennessee has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. But the Titans only score 16.3 PPG away from home while averaging a mere 297.2 total YPG. Tennessee has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Titans have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 6 games against fellow AFC South opponents, the game finished Under the Total all 6 times. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against AFC South foes. The Texans have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Houston’s previous game was also on the road in what resulted in a 19-17 win at Denver against the Broncos. The Texans have played 6 straight games Under the Total after winning two straight games by 6 points or less. Houston returns home where they are allowing only 19.7 PPG and just 317.5 total YPG. Since Week Five, the Texans are allowing only 17.5 PPG with an improved defense. Furthermore, Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of November. And in their last 5 appearances for Monday Night Football, the game finished Under the Total 4 times.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played back on September 16th with the Titans pulling off a 20-17 upset as the home underdog. Expect another lower-score game in this rematch. 25* AFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (273) and the Houston Texans (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (274) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (273). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (5-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last week with their 38-10 loss at Indianapolis as a 1-point underdog. Houston (7-3) has won seven straight games with their 23-21 win at Washington as a 3-point favorite last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TEXANS MINUS THE POINTS: Tennessee fell behind by a 24-3 score at halftime to the Colts which is not a good sign for them now. The Titans have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after allowing at least 24 points in the first-half of their last game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after trailing by at least two touchdowns at halftime of their last game. Additionally, Tennessee is just 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Now the Titans stay on the road where they are 2-4 this season while being outscored by -3.4 PPG. The anemic Tennessee offense scores only 16.3 PPG while averaging just 297.2 total YPG. It does look like quarterback Marcus Mariota will get the start tonight but he may not be at 100% given his stinger injury. That is not a good sign for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 23 games on the road. The Titans have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Houston. The Texans defense has stepped up their level of play as they are allowing only 17.5 PPG since Week Five. After playing on the road for the last two weeks, Houston returns home where they are 3-1 with an average winning margin of +6.0 PPG. Houston averages a robust 383.0 YPG at home while holding their opponents to just 19.7 PPG along with only 317.5 total YPG. Over their last three games, the Texans are scoring 28.0 PPG. This team will motivated to avenge a 20-17 upset loss at Tennessee back on September 16th as a 3-point favorite — and they have covered the points spread in 26 of their last 39 home games when playing with revenge. And in their last 5 games against AFC opponents, Houston has covered the point spread 4 times.

FINAL TAKE: The Texans will have additional motivation tonight as it is their first game since the passing of their owner Robert C. McNair. While he may not have been the most popular owner in the league (given some of his comments), the team will be playing with plenty of emotion. Look for this surging Houston team to overwhelm their AFC South rival. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Houston Texans (274) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (273). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (272) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (271). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (5-4-1) has lost two of their last three games after their 25-20 loss last Sunday night in Chicago to the Bears as a 2.5-point underdog. Green Bay (4-5-1) has lost three of their last four contests with their 27-24 loss in Seattle last Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VIKINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Minnesota has been incredibly resilient under head coach Mike Zimmer. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 35 games after a straight up loss. They return home where their defense thrives by holding their visitors to just 19.0 PPG along with 273.4 total YPG. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Minnesota is also a decisive 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 games on their home field. Additionally, the Vikings have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November. Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. And while they allowed 378 yards of offense to the Seahawks last week, they are then just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Green Bay stays on the road this week where they are winless in five games while being outscored by -8.2 PPG in those games due to them allowing 29.8 PPG with the fewest points allowed being 27 to their home hosts. The Packers are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games away from home. Furthermore, Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games in the month of November — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last games against NFC North foes.

FINAL TAKE: I don’t like where this Packers team is headed this season with head coach Mike McCarthy seemingly now a lame duck while Aaron Rodgers ignores his play selections at the line of scrimmage. Minnesota is also reeling — but their vastly superior roster depth should help them do what it takes to win this game in convincing fashion. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month with the Minnesota Vikings (272) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (271). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (271) and the Minnesota Vikings (272). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (5-4-1) has lost two of their last three games after their 25-20 loss last Sunday night in Chicago to the Bears as a 2.5-point underdog. Green Bay (4-5-1) has lost three of their last four contests with their 27-24 loss in Seattle last Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Green Bay’s defense is letting them down — but Aaron Rodgers has enough juice to keep his team in the game which is pushing games to finish Over the Total. The Packers allowed 378 yards of offense last week to the Seahawks — and they have then played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Green Bay generated 359 yards in that loss — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Packers stay on the road where they are allowing 29.8 PPG — and all five of their home hosts have scored at least 27 points which seems like a barometer for the Vikings tonight. Green Bay has played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total on the road. The Packers have also played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Green Bay has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Packers have also played 21 of their last 26 games Over the Total against NFC rivals — and this includes them playing four straight games Over the Total against fellow NFC North rivals. Minnesota fell behind last week by a 14-0 halftime score to the Bears — and they have played 23 of their last 38 games Over the Total after suffering a two-touchdown or worse halftime deficit in their last game which includes them playing three straight Overs in that situation. Quarterback Kirk Cousins enjoyed his best game of the season when these two teams met back on September 16th in that 29-29 tie. Cousins passed for 425 yards in that game while posting a season-high 118.8 Passer Rating and averaging 8.9 Yards-Per-Attempt.

FINAL TAKE: The loser of this game is in severe trouble to make the playoffs considering that tonight’s winner secures the tie-breaker between these two teams. That urgency should help push the final score over the number. 10* NFL Sunday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (271) and the Minnesota Vikings (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (269) and the Denver Broncos (270). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (7-2-1) has won six straight games with their 20-16 win over Jacksonville last week as a 4-point favorite. Denver (4-6) snapped their two-game losing streak last Sunday with their 23-22 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win on the road — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Denver allowed 479 yards in that contest — but the Under is then 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Broncos return home where they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against a team with a winning record on the road. Denver has also played 4 straight games Under the Total in the month of November. And in their last 6 games as an underdog, the Broncos have played 5 of these games Under the Total. They will certainly try to run the ball to burn time off the clock to keep the Steelers off the field. That is what the Jaguars did last week as Pittsburgh was only on offense for 22:20 minutes of that game. As a result, the Steelers generated only 323 yards of offense. Pittsburgh did hold Jacksonville to only 243 yards of offense — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. The Steelers defense has raised their level of play — over their last three games, they are allowing only 17.7 PPG along with just 251.0 total YPG. Now Pittsburgh goes back on the road where they have played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total — and they have also played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, not only have the Steelers played 30 of their last 43 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 45.5 or higher but they have also played 8 straight road games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Lastly, Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: The Steelers offense is not nearly as potent when playing on the road they are scoring 5.5 PPG below their season average. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (269) and the Denver Broncos (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (260) minus the points versus the Cleveland Browns (259). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (5-5) has lost two straight games with their 24-21 loss at Baltimore as a 6.5-point underdog. Cleveland (3-6-1) takes the field again after their 28-16 upset win over Atlanta two Sundays ago as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BENGALS MINUS THE POINTS: Cincinnati is a desperate for a win right now — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after losing three of their last four games. The defense has been the problem for this team. The 403 yards they allowed to the Ravens last week was actually a big improvement from the 509 and 576 yards they allowed in their previous two contests. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 375 yards in their last three contests — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after giving up at least 400 yards in their last two games. Cincinnati will once again be without wide receiver A.J. Green for this game but they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games against teams with a losing record. The Bengals have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC North opponents. Cleveland is just 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after their bye week. They go back on the road where they are on a twenty-five game losing streak. The Browns are 0-4 away from home this season with a -6.0 PPG losing margin due to allowing 31.2 PPG. Cleveland is being out-gained by -90.2 net YPG by their home hosts. The Browns are just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games played on field turf. Furthermore, Cleveland is just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against fellow AFC North opponents.

FINAL TAKE: The Bengals have dominated the Browns in the most recent Battle for Ohio showdowns. Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight clashes — and they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to Cincinnati. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Cincinnati Bengals (260) minus the points versus the Cleveland Browns (259). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (261) and the New York Jets (262). THE SITUATION: New England (7-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped two weeks ago with their 34-10 loss at Tennessee as a 6.5-point favorite. New York (3-7) has lost four straight games with their 41-10 loss to Buffalo two Sundays ago where they were a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. It is time for Bill Belichick and his coaching staff to get back to basics: run the football to burn time off the clock and protect their defense. New England has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. This is particularly the case when the Patriots go on the road where their offense is not nearly as explosive as it is in Foxboro. New England is scoring only 20.6 PPG on the road while averaging 312.6 total YPG — and those numbers are far below their 28.0 PPG scoring average along with the 377.2 total YPG they are averaging this season. The Patriots have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total — and they have also played 6 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, New England has played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after the first month of the season. The Patriots defense has been playing pretty well. Even after their bad effort against the Titans the last time out, they have held their last three opponents to score only 19.0 PPG while averaging just 362.0 total YPG. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East opponents. New York has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a double-digit upset loss at home. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold has been declared out for this game with his foot injury — so it will be the veteran Josh McCown under center for this game. What McCown bring in his savvy and knowledge to this position is mitigated by his limited physical skills. He completed 17 of 34 passes against the Bills but that only resulted in 135 yards of offense — and he threw two interceptions. The Jets have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. New York is scoring an anemic 8.7 PPG over their last three games while averaging just 229.3 total YPG. The Jets need to run the football to keep Tom Brady off the field. The Jets defense has been playing pretty well — they have held their last three opponents to just 338.0 total YPG. The Bills behind Matt Barkley (!) generated 451 yards against them in their last game — but they have played 38 of their last 60 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 13 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest, the Jets have played 9 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams this season — they last played on December 31st where the Patriots won by a 26-6 score. These two teams have played 4 straight games Under the Total — look for this afternoon showdown to make it five in a row. 25* AFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (261) and the New York Jets (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (264) minus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (263). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-4) has lost two straight games with their 20-19 upset loss at Detroit as a 4-point favorite last week. Seattle (5-5) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over Green Bay last week as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS MINUS THE POINTS: This is a crucial game for head coach Ron Rivera and his team. After losing at Pittsburgh by 31 points before their upset loss at Detroit, Carolina returns home where they are a perfect 5-0 with an average scoring margin of +9.8 PPG as compared to their 1-4 record when playing on the road. The turnover battle is dramatically different for the Panthers at home where they have a +10 net turnover margin as compared to their -5 net turnover margin when playing on the road. Carolina has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last two games on the road. Rivera should see a strong effort from his team. The Panthers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Carolina has covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after an upset loss as a road favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in their last two games. Additionally, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of November. Seattle has a difficult travel situation having to go out east to play at 1 PM ET contest. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. Defense is becoming a problem for this team as they have allowed 28.3 PPG along with 396.7 total YPG over their last three games. They allowed 311 passing yards to the Packers last week after giving up 307 passing yards the previous week to the Rams. Not only are the Seahawks just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 300 passing yards in two straight contests. They did hold Green Bay to just 48 rushing yards last week — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 50 rushing yards in their last game. Seattle is allowing their opponents to average 4.9 Yards-Per-Carry — and that is an ominous number when facing these Panthers that average 5.0 Yards-Per-Carry.

FINAL TAKE: Carolina has won ten straight games at home while averaging nearly 31 PPG over that stretch and allowing just 21 PPG in those games. Look for the Panthers to take their frustrations out on this young Seattle team. 20* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Carolina Panthers (264) minus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (263). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah State Aggies (181) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (182). THE SITUATION: Utah State (10-1) enters their final game of the regular season coming off a 29-24 win at Colorado State as a 30.5-point favorite. Boise State (9-2) enters this game coming off a 45-14 win at New Mexico as a 21-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE AGGIES PLUS THE POINTS: The close call with the Rams should get the attention of this team. Those 29 points were the second-fewest that Utah State has scored all season — and two of their touchdowns were scored on defense. The Aggies are second in the nation by scoring 49.3 PPG but they only had the ball for 17:55 minutes in that game against Colorado State. The weather did play a role in that contest — but that close call will help head coach Matt Wells communicate that his team can take nothing for granted tonight. Utah State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Aggies have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up victory. Utah State has been very good on the road this year where their only loss was a 7-point loss at East Lansing against Michigan State in their opening game of the season. The Aggies are 4-1 away from home this year while outscoring their hosts by +14.0 PPG. Utah State needs to play better on defense this week after allowing 506 yards to Colorado State last week. The Rams have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Utah State ranks 34th in the nation by allowing only 22.1 PPG. The Total is set in the high-60s for this game — and the Aggies have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games with the Total set at 63 or higher. Boise State had only scored 45 combined points in their previous two games at home against San Diego State and Fresno State before traveling to Albuquerque to face the Lobos last week. The Broncos are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Boise State held New Mexico and their run-based spread offense to just 103 passing yards (on just 14 pass attempts). The Broncos’ previous five opponents had generated at least 242 passing yards with that lowest number being from a run-oriented Air Force team that averaged 15.1 Yards-Per-Attempt in the air. Boise State allows 226.9 passing YPG which is just 63rd in the nation — and that likely spells trouble when now facing quarterback Jordan Love who leads an offense that is 22nd in the nation by averaging 282.1 passing YPG. The Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after not allowing more than 125 passing yards in their last game. Boise State enjoyed a +3 net turnover margin in that win over the Lobos after not committing a turnover in that game. But the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after a game where they did not commit a turnover. Boise State has also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games on their blue field at home. And in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: The winner of this game advances to the Mountain West Conference Championship Game — so the stakes could not be higher. The Aggies also will have revenge on their minds after getting blown out by the Broncos last year by a 41-14 score. Eighteen starters returned from that team. Wells’ teams in the past could not win close games — they entered this season having lost their last eight games decided by one scoring possession. But after that opening loss to Michigan State, Utah State has won their only two games decided by one score with the experience of this team finally paying off. Don’t be surprised if this team pulls the upset — but take the points for some insurance. 25* CFB Saturday ESPN Bailout Game of the Year with the Utah State Aggies (181) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (182). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (208) minus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (207). THE SITUATION: Iowa State (6-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last week with their 24-10 loss at Texas as a 1-point underdog. Kansas State (5-6) has won two in a row after their 21-6 upset win against Texas Tech as a 6.5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO LAY THE POINTS WITH THE CYCLONES: Iowa State should rebound with a strong effort on Senior Night. They have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. And while Iowa State only generated 210 yards of offense, they are then 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game — and they are also 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games after failing to gain at least 20 points in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they are 4-1 this season while outgaining their opponents by +61.0 net YPG. The Cyclones have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Matt Campbell’s team has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games when favored by 7.5 to 14 points — and this tightens to them covering six of their last seven games when laying more than 10 points but no more than two touchdowns. Kansas State can be a dangerous underdog under head coach Bill Snyder — but that rarely extends for two straight weeks. The Wildcats ave failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after an upset win as an underdog — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after an upset victory over a conference rival as an underdog getting at least 6 points. Furthermore, Kansas State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 0-4 this year with an average losing margin of -17.5 PPG due to a defense that allowed 34.2 PPG along with 499.5 total YPG. Together, these team trends produce our specific 112-34-3 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Some might argue that Iowa State has little to play for tonight after they saw their chances to play for the Big 12 Championship next week fall by the wayside with their loss to the Longhorns. Of course, these same pundits will talk about relative motivations for winning their bowl game next month. The fact is that the Cyclones would love to end their ten-game losing streak to the Wildcats with their last victory in this series coming all the way back in 2007. Iowa State lost a 20-19 heartbreaker to Kansas State in Manhattan last year — look for them to win by double-digits to earn some revenge. 10* CFB Kansas State-Iowa State FS1 Special with the Iowa State Cyclones (208) minus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (207). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (146) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (145). THE SITUATION: Miami (6-5) snapped a four-game losing streak last Saturday with their 38-14 win at Virginia Tech as a 6.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (7-4) has won four games in a row with their 34-13 win at Wake Forest as a 5.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HURRICANES MINUS THE POINTS: Miami has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a win by at least 17 points — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 27 games after not allowing more than 20 points — and this includes them covering the point spread in nine of these last eleven situations. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after losing four of their last five games. Head coach Mark Richt should be able to have his team very motivated to avenge a 24-12 loss at Pittsburgh last season as a 12-point favorite which ruined their perfect season and College Playoff aspirations. The Hurricanes get this rematch in South Beach where they are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +24.2 net PPG and out-gaining these opponents by +193.8 net YPG. While Miami’s offense comes to life at home, it is their defense that really shines as they limit their guests to just 14.8 PPG along with a mere 216.8 total YPG. Pittsburgh (7-4) may be caught looking ahead to the ACC Championship Game next week against Clemson. And after a cold few weeks in Pennsylvania, this Panthers team may be in for a shock playing in the still warm Florida weather. As it is, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning at least four straight games. Pittsburgh is also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And while the Panthers have generated 470 and 654 yards of offense in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after gaining at least 450 yards in two straight games. Pitt plays their third game on the road in their last four contests where they are just 2-3 while being out-gained by -46.2 net YPG. The Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 18 road games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range.

FINAL TAKE: With Pittsburgh looking ahead to Clemson, Miami should be very motivated to exact some revenge from their loss last season with this being Senior Day. 10* CFB Pittsburgh-Miami ESPN Special with the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (146) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (145). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (189) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (190). THE SITUATION: UAB (9-2) looks to bounce-back from a 41-20 loss at Texas A&M last Saturday as a 17-point underdog. Middle Tennessee (7-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with their step up in class against a team from the SEC last week in their 34-23 loss at Kentucky as a 16.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Don’t blame the Blue Raiders defense for their loss to the Wildcats as they held Kentucky to just 324 yards of offense. A -2 net turnover margin played a critical role in deciding that game. The Under is 7-1-1 in Middle Tennessee’s last 9 games after a straight-up loss. The Blue Raiders surrendered 203 rushing yards to Kentucky in that game — but the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Senior quarterback Brent Stockstill did pass for 293 yards in that game — but the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. Now Middle Tennessee returns home where they are allowing only 21.0 PPG which is 6.2 PPG lower than their season average. The Under is 8-1-1 in the Blue Raiders’ last 10 games at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Middle Tennessee has also played 9 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 52 point range. UAB has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. This team did surrender 41 points to the Aggies last week — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. UAB holds their home hosts to just 19.0 PPG along with only 294.2 total YPG when playing on the road. But the Blazers see their 31.9 PPG scoring margin for the season drop to just 26.6 PPG when playing away home. UAB has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Blazers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against fellow Conference USA opponents.

FINAL TAKE: UAB has clinched a spot in the Conference USA championship game next week — and they could face this Blue Raiders team again next week if they lose this game while FIU loses at Marshall (as now a home dog). The Blazers may hold back a trick or two on offense because of this possibility. UAB won last year’s game by a 25-23 score with that total set in the 55.5 range. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Conference USA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UAB Blazers (189) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (190). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Liberty Flames (180) minus the points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (179). THE SITUATION: Liberty (4-6) has lost three straight games with their 53-0 loss at Auburn last week. New Mexico State (3-8) has lost four of their last five contests with their 45-10 loss at BYU last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE FLAMES MINUS THE POINTS: Liberty returns home to close out their season where they are 3-1 this year. The Flames should respond with a strong effort under seven-year head coach Turner Gill. Liberty has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Flames managed only 134 yards of offense against the Tigers defense — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Liberty has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. And while Auburn rolled up 531 yards of offense against them, the Flames have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. New Mexico State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread setback. Furthermore, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points. Additionally, not only has New Mexico State failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to score at least 20 points but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 20 points. They stay on the road where they are just 1-5 this season while being outscored by -24.7 net PPG. They are allowing their hosts to score 44.3 PPG while generating over 500 YPG. The Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 71-15 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Liberty will have the extra motivation to avenge an upset loss to this New Mexico State team back on October 6th where they fell by a 49-41 score. The Aggies score only 19.7 PPG on the road so it will be difficult for them to keep up the pace in this rematch. It is hard to see what the motivation for this New Mexico State team will be either as they play out the string of this season. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Liberty Flames (180) minus the points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (179). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulane Green Wave (214) minus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (213). THE SITUATION: Tulane (5-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Thursday with their 48-17 loss at Houston as a 7.5-point underdog. Navy (3-8) snapped their seven-game losing streak with their 37-29 win over Tulsa last Saturday as 5-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GREEN WAVE MINUS THE POINTS: Tulane has failed to cover the point spread in their last two games — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in their last two contests. The Green Wave is also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. Now, this Tulane team returns home where they are outscoring their visitors by +7.4 PPG while out-gaining these opponents by +46.5 net YPG. The Green Wave have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 home games again teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Tulane has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games when favored in the 3.5 to 7.5 point range — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. The Green Wave are doing a good job of implementing head coach Willie Fritz’s run-first spread offense as they rank 25th in the nation by averaging 215.5 rushing YPG. This ground game should have plenty of success against the faltering Midshipmen defense that ranks 92nd in the nation by allowing 194.5 rushing YPG. It has been a lost season for this Navy team that returned only nine starters from a team that dropped six of their last seven games in the regular season last year. With this group not eligible for a bowl with just three wins, this team may be looking ahead for their rivalry game with Army. As it is, the Midshipmen are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Navy has been a disaster on the road this season where they are 0-6 with an average losing margin of -20.3 net PPG. They are also being out-gained by -154.1 net YPG in these six road games. The Midshipmen have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games. Navy has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Tulane needs this victory to become bowl eligible for the first time in Fritz’s three years with the program. They are also playing with revenge on their mind after losing to the Midshipmen last year by a 23-21 score. The Green Wave did limit Navy to just 194 rushing yards in that game as they contained their spread triple option to averaging just 3.73 Yards-Per-Carry. I like that Tulane had an extra two days of rest and preparation for this unique offense. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Game of the Year with the Tulane Green Wave (214) minus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (213). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (165) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (166). THE SITUATION: Georgia Tech (7-4) has won four straight games with their 30-27 win over Virginia last week as a 6.5-point favorite. Georgia (10-1) has won four in a row as well with their 66-27 win over UMass as a 41-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE YELLOW JACKETS PLUS THE POINTS: Georgia Tech is looking to avenge an ugly 38-7 loss to the Bulldogs last season. That was just the second time in the last fifteen meetings between these two teams that the game was decided by more than two touchdowns in this rivalry game. The Yellow Jackets usually play very well in Athens where they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Georgia. Georgia Tech is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a straight-up win. And while the Yellow Jackets have covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 road games after covering point spread expectations in five or six of their last seven contests. Additionally, Georgia Tech is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams outside the ACC. Georgia may get caught looking ahead to their rematch of the National Championship Game with Alabama next week in the SEC Championship Game. As it is, they may be due for a letdown. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 41 home games are winning their previous three games. This is Georgia’s third straight game at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 120 home games after playing at least their last two games at home. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after winning their last two games at home. And while Georgia has covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 128-45-4 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia used to attempt to schedule a team that ran an offense similar to the spread triple option that they will see from Paul Johnson’s team today — but they have not had that opportunity this season. The road team is 17-4-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between these two teams. Expect a close game once again between these two rivals with the Yellow Jackets much more invested in this contest. 10* CFB Big Dog Surprise with the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (165) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (166). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (142) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (141). THE SITUATION: West Virginia (8-2) looks to bounce-back from a 45-41 upset loss at Oklahoma State last week as a 6-point favorite. Oklahoma (10-1) has won five straight games with their 55-40 victory over Kansas last week as a 35-point favorite. The winner of this game earns the right to play Texas next week in the Big 12 Championship Game.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS PLUS THE POINTS: West Virginia had won three straight games before being upset by the Cowboys — but Dana Holgorsen’s team can redeem themselves from that loss with a win tonight. Led by Heisman Trophy candidate Will Grier at quarterback, the Mountaineers have a powerful offense that ranks 10th in the nation by averaging 502.0 total YPG. West Virginia has scored at least 41 points in four straight games and they generated 553 yards of offense last week against Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 525 yards in their last game. They return home where they are a perfect 5-0 while scoring 46.0 PPG and generating 540.2 total YPG. Grier leads a passing attack that is 5th in the nation by averaging 340.0 passing YPG — and he should have plenty of success against this Sooners’ pass defense that ranks 107th in the nation by allowing 263.6 passing YPG. Defense is an issue for this West Virginia team (as it is for all Big 12 teams). But they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Playing back in Morgantown should help this team as they are allowing only 13.8 PPG along with just 281.2 total YPG at home. West Virginia is outscoring their opponents by +32.8 net PPG while out-gaining their guests by +259 net YPG. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games as the underdog. West Virginia is also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win over a conference rival. The Sooners did generate 568 yards against the Jayhawks — they averaged 7.89 Yards-Per-Play in that game. Oklahoma had averaged 9.12 YPP in their previous game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last two games. The bigger concern for this team is on the other side of the football where they have allowed at least 40 points in three straight games. The Sooners are allowing 425.8 total YPG which not only ranks 87th in the nation but is -73.6 net YPG worse than what West Virginia allows. Oklahoma allowed the Kansas offense to generate 524 yards against them — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, not only have the Sooners failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Last year’s Oklahoma team allowed under 395 yards per game — yet head coach Lincoln Riley fired defensive coordinator Mike Stoops for that unit finishing outside the top-50 in defense for the sixth time since 2012. This defense appears even worse. Look for West Virginia to outscore this Sooners team back on their home field. 25* CFB Friday ESPN Game of the Year with the West Virginia Mountaineers (142) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (141). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (134) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (133). THE SITUATION: South Florida (7-4) has lost four straight games with their 27-17 loss at Temple as a 14-point underdog last week. Central Florida (10-0) remained undefeated with their 38-13 win at home against Cincinnati last Saturday night as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLS PLUS THE POINTS: South Florida can earn a signature win by giving the Knights their first loss of the season — and they will certainly be confident in this game after being upset by a 49-42 score to UCF in a back-and-forth affair last November despite being a 10.5-point favorite in that contest. Head coach Charlie Strong should get a strong effort from his team as USF is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight up loss. South Florida managed only 266 yards of offense against the Owls but they have a good chance to get their offense that ranks 27th in the nation by averaging 456.6 total YPG going in this game. The Bulls have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last contest — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. They return home where they are 4-1 this season after playing three of their last four games on the road. Playing a full 60 minutes will be one of the messages that Strong has for his players in this game after they went into the locker room against Temple with a 17-0 lead. The Bulls have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 28 games after enjoying at least a 17 point lead at halftime of their last game — and they have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games after not allowing more than a field goal in the first half of their last game. Additionally, South Florida has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the month of November. Central Florida defeated the Bearcats by 25 points despite only being on offense for 22:48 minutes of that game. The Knights only out-gained Cincinnati by 23 net yards. UCF may be undefeated but their suspect run defense is going to catch up with them sooner rather than later. The Knights rank 111th in the nation by allowing 213.2 rushing YPG. They have allowed their last three opponents to generate at least 226 rushing yards. Not only has UCF failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 225 rushing yards in their last game but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after allowing at least 225 rushing yards in three straight contests. They face a USF team that averages 203.1 rushing YPG this season. Central Florida has also benefited from a favorable schedule that has seen them play at home for their last three games. The Knights go on the road for just the fourth time this season with easy trips already in the books against UConn and East Carolina. Their closest game of the season came on the road where they defeated Memphis by a 31-30 score which demonstrated their vulnerability away from home. They are allowing their home hosts to average a whopping 490.7 total YPG. Central Florida is being asked to lay a bunch of points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 road games when laying 14.5 to 21 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 84-32-2 ATS combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: UCF has clinched their spot in the American Athletic Conference championship game next week — but a loss here in the “War on I-4” could ruin their hope to at least lay claim to the one non-Power Five conference New Years Day bowl slot. There is also the pressure this team faces in maintaining their two-year win streak. Expect the Bulls ground game to keep this game close. 10* CFB Central Florida-South Florida ESPN Special with the South Florida Bulls (134) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (133). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (124) minus the points versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers (123). THE SITUATION: Iowa (7-4) snapped their three-game losing streak last Saturday with their dominant 63-0 win at Illinois as a 15-point favorite. Nebraska (4-7) has won two straight as well as four of their last five games with their 9-6 win over Michigan State as a 1.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKEYES MINUS THE POINTS: Iowa should build off the momentum of their blowout victory. They have covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Hawkeyes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Head coach Kirk Ferentz’s team is one of the best defensive teams in the nation. They rank 9th in the FBS by allowing only 16.5 PPG — and they rank an even better 6th in the nation by giving up only 279.5 total YPG. After playing three of their last four games on the road, they return home to Iowa City for Senior Day where they are outscoring their opponents by +11.3 PPG due their stifling defense that limits their visitors to just 11.0 PPG along with a mere 243.8 total YPG. Iowa is also out-gaining their guests by +125.4 total YPG. The Hawkeyes are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games on their home field. Iowa has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Nebraska defeated Sparty in the snow last Saturday despite being outgained by -41 net yards. The Cornhuskers managed only 248 yards of offense against the Michigan State defense. That is not a good sign for this contest. Not only are they just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game but they are also 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to generate more than 275 yards of offense in that contest. Head coach Scott Frost’s team is also just 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games after a point spread victory. Not they finish their disappointing season on the road where they are 0-4 this year while being outscored by -17.7 net PPG and out-gained by -102.5 net YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Frost has to get his team into the weight room as he looks to change the nature of this Nebraska program. The Cornhuskers’ defense has plummeted over the years — these Blackshirts rank tied for 96th in the nation by allowing 434.8 total YPG. These soft defenses are the type of teams that the Hawkeyes expose in the Ferentz era — especially when playing at home in Kinnick Stadium. 25* CFB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Iowa Hawkeyes (124) minus the points versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers (123). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bulls (121) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (122). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (9-2) saw their five-game winning streak snapped back on November 14th with their 52-17 loss at Ohio as a small 2.5-point underdog. Bowling Green (3-8) has won two straight games after their 21-6 upset win at Akron as a 6.5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLS MINUS THE POINTS: Buffalo had the opportunity to clinch a spot in the Mid-American Conference championship game in that game with the Bobcats but they were simply flat and mentally unprepared for that game. We took Ohio in that midweek MACtion game — and we were rewarded with the Bobcats enjoying a +4 net turnover margin while out-gaining the Bulls by a whopping 646 to 277 yards advantage. Head coach Lance Leipold should have his team ready to play this afternoon — they have a big preparation edge with the extra days off and now facing a Falcons team playing on a short week from last Saturday. Buffalo still advances to face Northern Illinois next week in the MAC championship game with a victory this afternoon. Buffalo has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Furthermore, the Bulls have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Buffalo has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a losing record — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a losing record. The Bulls have one of the best offensive lines in the nation — they should overwhelm a Falcons team with a weak defensive line that has let their opponents average 275.8 rushing YPG which is 127th in the nation. Interim head coach Carl Pelini has seen his team upset Central Michigan and then Akron in their last two games — but the Chippewas are a hot mess at 1-10 this season and the Zips offense makes every defense look good as they rank 126th in the nation in total offense. Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Falcons return home where they have only won once in the last two seasons while allowing this year’s guests to score 39.0 PPG along with gaining 484.2 total yards of offense. Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-20 ATS combined angle for this situation. 

FINAL TAKE: This Buffalo team is angry and motivated — and their ground attack travels as they average 185 rushing YPG on 4.7 Yards-Per-Carry on the road. The Bulls should overwhelm this Bowling Green that has taken a few steps back which prompted the firing of their third-year head coach Mike Jinks. 20* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Buffalo Bulls (121) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (109) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (110). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (4-6) has lost two straight games with their 22-19 loss to Dallas as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. New Orleans (9-1) has won nine straight games with their 48-7 blowout victory over Philadelphia on Sunday as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE FALCONS PLUS THE POINTS: Atlanta managed only 80 rushing attempts on 18 carries in that loss to Dallas last week — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. The Falcons have suffered two straight upset losses with that loss to the Cowboys preceding an upset loss on the road to Cleveland where they were 6-point favorites. But don’t count out Atlanta to keep this game closer than expected in this rivalry game played on a short week. The Falcons know this Saints team very well — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games played for Thursday Night Football. Atlanta looks to avenge a 43-37 upset loss to New Orleans as a small 1.5-point favorite back on September 23rd — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when attempting to avenge an upset loss. The underdog in this series has now covered the point spread in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams which makes the opportunity to take all these points very enticing. New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games as a double-digit favorite — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 home games when laying 10.5 to 14 points. The Saints enjoyed a +3 net turnover margin against the Eagles last Sunday — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 32 of their last 46 home games after enjoying a +2 or better turnover in their last game. New Orleans may be due for a bit of a letdown after scoring at least 45 points in three straight games while enjoying a minimum halftime lead of 15 points in those three contests. But the Saints have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after enjoying a halftime lead of at least a touchdown in three straight games. Moving forward, New Orleans has failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing on Thursday Night Football. The Saints have also failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 53 of the last 87 home games against fellow NFC South foes.

FINAL TAKE: This New Orleans team is not at full strength with their left tackle Terron Armstead questionable with a shoulder along with their right guard Larry Warford still questionable dealing with the concussion protocol. The team will also be without their star rookie defensive end Marcus  Davenport who is dealing with a toe. The Falcons are getting too many points in a heated divisional rivalry game to pass up. 10* NFL Atlanta-New Orleans NBC-TV Special with the Atlanta Falcons (109) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (109) and the New Orleans (110). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (4-6) has lost two straight games with their 22-19 loss to Dallas as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. New Orleans (9-1) has won nine straight games with their 48-7 blowout victory over Philadelphia on Sunday as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Saints cranked out a whopping 546 yards of offense against the reigning Super Bowl champions — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. New Orleans defense did hold the Eagles to just 196 total yards of offense — but they have played 30 of their last 43 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Head coach Sean Payton has his offense push the pace when playing on the fast turf at home in the Superdome. Drew Brees has a perfect 16:0 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his five home games this year while averaging 350.8 passing YPG. The Saints are averaging 39.4 PPG when playing at home while allowing their visitors to manage 25.4 PPG to result in an average combined score well into the 60s. The Over is 19-8-1 in New Orleans’ last 28 home games. Furthermore, the Saints have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when a double-digit favorite. New Orleans is the hottest team in the league who have covered the point spread in eight straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in at least five straight games. The Saints have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against fellow NFC South rivals. Atlanta would surely like to run the ball to keep the Saints’ offense off the field but that will be difficult to accomplish with Devonta Freeman on Injured Reserve with his foot injury. The Falcons will not have the luxury of hoping to establish the run if they fall behind early to this New Orleans team that averages 22.4 first-half points when playing at home. Atlanta has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing on field turf. Additionally, the Falcons have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The injury-plagued Atlanta defense will have a difficult time slowing down the Saints offense after allowing their last two opponents to churn out 353 rushing yards while averaging 6.66 Yards-Per-Carry. The Falcons lack a credible pass rush — they rank in the bottom-five in the NFL by sacking the QB in just 4.8% of opponent pass attempts and they are just hitting the quarterback in 11.1% of their dropbacks. Matt Ryan still has most of his offensive weapons at his disposal in the passing game — so the Falcons should score their share of points as they try to keep pace with the New Orleans offense. Atlanta only generated 329 yards against Dallas last week but that was in large part because they had ten fewer offensive plays than what they typically enjoy. The Falcons still averaged 6.23 Yards-Per-Play against the Cowboys — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in their last game. Atlanta has played 14 of their last 18 road games Over the Total as a road underdog getting 10.5 to 14 points — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: New Orleans won the first meeting between these two teams back on September 23rd that the Saints won by a 43-37 score. That was the game where the Falcons began to produce better success in the Red Zone. Atlanta has scored at least 31 points five times this season — and head coach Dan Quinn will have to think that generating at least that many points will be necessary to pull the upset. That is a recipe for another high scoring game. 25* NFC South Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (109) and the New Orleans (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Mississippi Rebels (114) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (113). THE SITUATION: Mississippi (5-6) has lost four straight games with their 36-29 loss in overtime at Vanderbilt as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. Mississippi State (7-4) has won three of their last four games after enjoying their biggest victory of the season last week with their 52-6 blowout win over Arkansas as a 23.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REBELS PLUS THE POINTS: Ole Miss seemingly scored the winning touchdown in overtime before a penalty erased that play. It has been a disappointing season in the first-year under head coach Matt Luke who had the interim job last year after the program imploded when the actions of grifter Hugh Freeze came to light. The football program imposed a bowl ban for this year’s team — so this is the proverbial de-facto bowl game for this team with its nineteen seniors. In this rivalry game, don’t be surprised if Ole Miss plays their best game of the season. They have lost four games in a row — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after losing four straight games. They outgained the Commodores last week by a decisive 578 to 387 yardage margin but somehow found a way to lose that game. But this team plays their opponents close — they are out-gaining their opponents by +50.5 net YPG while out-gaining their last three opponents by +78.4 net YPG despite losing all three contests. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Ole Miss returns home where they are outscoring their out-gaining their opponents by +79.6 net YPG. This Rebels offense can score points on anyone. They rank 5th in the nation by averaging 539.7 total YPG — and they score 41.8 PPG while generating 572.3 total YPG when playing on their home field. Senior quarterback Jordan Ta’amu has passed for 3831 yards this season while tossing 19 touchdowns while throwing just seven interceptions. Ta’amu is second in the NFL by averaging 348.2 passing YPG — and he has a dynamic target in wide receiver A.J. Brown who has 1259 receiving yards this season. This duo makes Ole Miss a dangerous underdog — they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. The Rebels have also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home with the Total set int one 56.5 to 63 point range. Ole Miss has played their last two games Under the Total — but they have then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 40 games after playing their last two games Under the Total. And in their last 7 games played on a Thursday, the Rebels have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. Mississippi State may be due for a letdown after playing their best game of the season. That is not a good sign for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after winning three of their last four games. And while the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 29 of their last 44 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five of these last six situations. Furthermore, Mississippi State has failed to cover the points spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win over a conference rival. Don’t be surprised if turnovers play a role in this game. While the Bulldogs have not committed more than one turnover in four straight games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games when not experiencing more than one turnover in four straight contests. They go back on the road where they are 1-3 this season while being outscored by -10.0 net PPG. The problem for this team away from home is they are scoring only 10.2 PPG away from home. The hope of first-year head coach Joe Moorhead was that he could establish a vertical passing attack for senior quarterback Nick Fitzgerald. Instead, Mississippi State is completing only 44.7% of their pass attempts on the road while averaging a mere 121.0 passing YPG which is 60 YPG below their season average. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams without a winning percentage higher than 50% at home. Furthermore, the Bulldogs are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 trips to OIe Miss in the Egg Bowl.

FINAL TAKE: Mississippi State does bring a great defense into this game — but they will be facing a confident Rebels team that returned 15 starters (including Ta’amu and Brown) who pulled a 31-28 upset on the road as 14-point underdogs last season. This is where the hiring of Moorhead from Penn State where he was offensive coordinator may be a negative since as an outsider he lacks an appreciation for this rivalry game. The underdog has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Expect Ole Miss to keep this game closer than expected. 25* CFB SEC Game of the Year with the Mississippi Rebels (114) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (113). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (107) and the Dallas Cowboys (108). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 23-21 loss to Houston on Sunday as a 3-point underdog. Dallas (5-5) pulled off their second-straight upset victory on Sunday with their 22-19 win in Atlanta over the Falcons as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 9 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Dallas has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after winning two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Cowboys return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record overall. The Over/Under for this game is set in the low 40s — and Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. The Cowboys are looking to avenge a 20-17 loss to the Skins back on October 21st — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. Dallas has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow NFC East opponents. Washington has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Skins managed only 278 yards of offense against the Texans with the team losing their starting quarterback Alex Smith to that gruesome season-ending leg injury. Colt McCoy is forced into duty for this game. Washington goes on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. The Skins have also played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total with the number set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. And in their last 5 games against NFC East opponents, Washington has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: In this rematch of a game that saw only 37 combined points with the Skins having Alex Smith under center, expect a lower-scoring game. 10* NFL Washington-Dallas O/U Fox-TV Special with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (107) and the Dallas Cowboys (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (107) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (108). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 23-21 loss to Houston on Sunday as a 3-point underdog. Dallas (5-5) pulled off their second-straight upset victory on Sunday with their 22-19 win in Atlanta over the Falcons as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SKINS PLUS THE POINTS: The bigger news for Washington was the gruesome leg injury to quarterback Alex Smith that ended his season in eerily similar ways to what to Joe Theismann for the team over two decades ago. The offense is now in the hands of the nine-year veteran Colt McCoy. I am a bit more bullish on what McCoy can do running this offense than the general public. The former Texas star has 25 professional starts under his belt with a firm understanding of the Jay Gruden offense having been with the Skins for 4 1/2 seasons. McCoy does not have a strong arm — but neither does Smith. I expect McCoy to capably run the offense while limiting his mistakes and letting the stout Skins’ defense keep them in the game. I certainly expect Washington to play hard in this crucial NFC East contest. As it is, the Skins have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games on the road after a loss at home. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. Furthermore, the Skins have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games in the month of November — and they have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 trips to Dallas to face the Cowboys. Dallas returns home after pulling off two straight upset wins on the road against the Eagles and Falcons — but this remains a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after a win on the road by a field goal or less. This is not a franchise that handles short-term prosperity very well. The Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record at home. Dallas held Atlanta to just 324 yards of offense due in large measure to limiting them to 10 fewer snaps on offense versus their season average. The Cowboys have allowed their last two opponents to average 6.23 and 7.02 Yards-Per-Play — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after allowing their last two opponents to average at least 6.5 YPP. Dallas has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games played on a Thursday, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Four of Dallas’ five victories this season have been decided by one scoring possession. They may win this game — but this should be a close contest between divisional rivals with first-place and playoff positioning on the line. Taking the points will be valuable with a Washington team that should rally around each other after the injury to their starting quarterback. 25* NFC East Game of the Month with the Washington Redskins (107) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (105) and the Detroit Lions (106). THE SITUATION: Chicago (7-3) has won four games in a row with their 25-20 win over Minnesota as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. Detroit (4-6) snapped their three-game losing streak on Sunday with their 20-19 upset win over Carolina as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears will be challenged with the shortest turnaround in NFL history after playing the Sunday Night Football game before having to play the Thanksgiving Day kickoff game. The Chicago coaching staff lost almost a full day of recuperation and preparation from the typical team playing on a short week. Don’t be surprised if the Bears’ offense is sluggish to start this game — especially with Chase Daniel getting his first start at quarterback in a Bears uniform given the shoulder injury to Mitchell Trubisky. This is just the third career start for the 10-year veteran — and he has played in just two combined games in the last 2 1/2 seasons. Chicago churned out 24 first downs while controlling the clock for 34:19 minutes against the Vikings on Sunday — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a dominating game where they controlled the clock for at least 34 minutes while generating at least 24 first downs. This is a rematch of the Bears’ 34-22 win over the Lions back on November 11th — and Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games against divisional rivals. And while the Bears have scored at least 25 points in three straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games. Chicago’s defense should still play well on short rest and a fresh defensive game plan against the Lions. In their last three games, the Bears are allowing only 17.0 PPG along with just 279.0 total YPG. Chicago has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Bears have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on field turf — and they have played 5 of the last 7 games Under the Total when playing in a dome. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a narrow win at home by no more than a field goal. The Lions have also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road. The Lions’ offense has stalled to a near halt since trading away wide receiver Golden Tate. In their last three games, Detroit is scoring only 17.0 PPG along with managing a mere 274.3 total YPG. To make matters worse for quarterback Matthew Stafford, his second favorite target this season in wide receiver Marvin Jones is also doubtful with a knee injury. But perhaps the biggest injury this offense is dealing with is the knee injury of running back Kerryon Johnson. The rookie had sparked a rushing attack that this Lions team has not benefited from in years. But ever since they rushed for 248 yards as a team in a 32-21 win on the road at Miami, the Lions have not managed more than 94 rushing yards as a team in their last four games. Detroit has then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after not rushing for at least 100 yards in four straight games. And while they allowed 331 passing yards last week to the Panthers, the Lions have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: The defenses should have the advantage in this early contest given that these two teams just played earlier this month. Both offenses are missing key contributors from that game. Expect a lower scoring game in this rematch. 20* NFL Chicago-Detroit O/U CBS-TV Special with the Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (105) and the Detroit Lions (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (474) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (473). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (9-1) has won four straight games with their 26-14 win over Arizona last week as a 16.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (9-1) enters this game coming off a 36-31 win over Seattle last week as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS MINUS THE POINTS: The Chiefs have covered the point spread in eight of their ten games this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Kansas City has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after covering the point spread in eight of their last ten games. I have concerns about the KC pass defense that ranks second-to-last in the NFL by allowing 289.0 passing YPG. Overall, the Chiefs’ defense ranks 30th in the league by allowing 410.7 total YPG. It is this leaky defense that has Kansas City only out-gain their opponents by +12.4 net YPG. The Chiefs are actually being out-gained on the road by -17.4 net YPG. Additionally, while Kansas City has averaged at least 6.47 Yards-Per-Play, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in three straight games. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Chiefs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Los Angeles is out-gaining their opponents by +92.8 net YPG this season. The Rams are very tough when playing at home where they are 5-0 while outscoring their visitors by +12.0 PPG and out-gaining them by +133.8 net YPG. Quarterback Jared Goff has been outstanding when playing at home where he has a 14:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio while averaging a spectacular 10.2 Yards-Per-Passing-Attempt. It might be tempting to take the points with such a good team like the Chiefs — but history is not on the side of Andy Reid’s team. Road underdogs (or pick ‘ems) with winning records who have won at least eight of their last ten games have then failed to cover the point spread in 39 of the last 50 situations (78%) where those conditions applied. Furthermore, favorites who have won three of their last four games now facing a team that has won at least eight of their last ten games have then covered the point spread in 30 of the last 36 situations (83%) where these conditions applied.

FINAL TAKE: This Rams team is a bit more battle-tested with contests against the Saints and Minnesota on their resume. The best team the Chiefs have played is likely the Patriots who seem to have taken a step back this season. Kansas City also played the Steelers early in the season — but Pittsburgh was not playing nearly as well as they are right now. Look for Los Angeles to pull away from the Chiefs. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Los Angeles Rams (474) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (473) and the Los Angeles Rams (474). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (9-1) has won four straight games with their 26-14 win over Arizona last week as a 16.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (9-1) enters this game coming off a 36-31 win over Seattle last week as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: With the oddsmakers installing the total in the 63 range, this is the largest over/under in NFL history. Of course, numbers like this are not uncommon when betting College Football. With the number this high, it seems like the books are begging bettors to take the Under. I am not taking the bait. I see three reasons why this game is going over the number. First, the pace of this game will be fast. Both coaches like to play up-tempo on offense. Neither head coach is very concerned with controlling the time off possession. When both teams are playing fast, that will increase the number of possessions for both teams. Second, both head coaches will play this game aggressively since they both will likely think that they will need to score at least 30 points to win this game. This expectation helps make the Over a self-fulfilling prophecy. Los Angeles has scored at least 33 points in eight of their games while Kansas City has scored at least 30 points in eight of their contests. But Los Angeles has given up 31 points four times including in both of their last two games. Kansas City has allowed at least 27 points in four of their games. Third, since both teams struggle to stop the run, both offenses will have advantageous down-and-distance opportunities on second and third down which will maximize their play-calling flexibility. The Chiefs allow their opponents to average 5.11 Yards-Per-Carry while the Rams allow opposing rushers to average 4.92 Yards-Per-Carry. Second-and-five situations are great for the offense. Los Angeles has played 21 of their last 31 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Kansas City has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Lastly, the Chiefs have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total as the underdog.

FINAL TAKE: I think both of these teams have already played games that are likely blue prints for how this game will be played out. Kansas City fell behind early but kept pushing the pace before New England outlasted them by a 43-40 score. The Rams were not able to catch up in New Orleans after falling behind in what ended up being a 45-35 final score. With their rule changes in the offseason, this the product that the NFL wants — so don’t be surprised if the referees make some calls that benefit both offenses. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (473) and the Los Angeles Rams (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (457) plus the points versus the Chicago Bears (458). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (5-3-1) takes the field again having won four of their last five games with their 24-9 win over Detroit two weeks ago as a 4.5-point favorite. Chicago (6-3) has won three straight games after their 34-22 win over those same Lions last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VIKINGS PLUS THE POINTS: The Bears have benefited from a soft schedule which has included the Jets, the Bills and the Lions over their last three games. So while Chicago has won three straight games over those cupcakes, they have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games after winning three of their last four contests. And while the Bears were a touchdown or better favorites in those last three games, they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after covering the point spread as the favorite. Chicago averaged 7.73 Yards-Per-Play against the Lions last week — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after averaging at least 6.5 YPP in their last game. Furthermore, while the Bears have scored a combined 75 points in their last two games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 30 games after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. Moving forward, Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, in their last 7 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. Minnesota is the healthiest that they have been all season as they return from their bye week. They should play well building off the momentum of their blowout win over the Lions. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win over a divisional rival — and they are a decisive 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after a point spread victory. Minnesota goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games. The Vikings have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point Total. And Minnesota has also covered the point spread in their last 4 games in the month of November.

FINAL TAKE: Look for this surging Vikings team to expose the Bears to be not as good as the point spread advertises. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Minnesota Vikings (457) plus the points versus the Chicago Bears (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (457) and the Chicago Bears (458). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (5-3-1) takes the field again having won four of their last five games with their 24-9 win over Detroit two weeks ago as a 4.5-point favorite. Chicago (6-3) has won three straight games after their 34-22 win over those same Lions last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Chicago has scored 75 points over their last two games — both that explosion in points was built on a foundation of seven forced turnovers. While the Bears have averaged 33.0 PPG over their last three games, they have only averaged 329.0 total YPG over that span. Mitchell Trubisky did complete 23 of 30 passes for 355 yards against a Lions defense missing their best cover cornerback in Darius Slay — but Chicago has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after passing for at least 300 yards in their last game. The Chicago defense has been outstanding as of late — they have held their last three opponents to just 13.7 PPG along with a mere 255.7 total YPG. The Bears surrendered only 76 rushing yards last week to the Lions after giving up just 97 rushing yards the previous week against the Bills. Not only have Chicago then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game but they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not giving up at least 100 rushing yards in two straight games. Even better for this unit is that their star linebacker Khalil Mack is healthy again and will play tonight. The Bears host this game at Soldier Field where they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Minnesota has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after their bye week — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. The Purple People Eater Defense is cranking on all cylinders again with their stud defensive end Everson Griffen back in the mix. Over their last three games, the Vikings are allowing only 18.7 PPG along with just 247.3 total YPG. They should keep it going as they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 28 of their last 41 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Minnesota has played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total against fellow NFC North opponents — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total as the underdog.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 meetings Under the Total — including playing four straight Unders when playing in Chicago. Expect another lower scoring game between two teams whose true strengths lie on the defensive side of the football. 25* NFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (457) and the Chicago Bears (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (467) and the Los Angeles Chargers (468). THE SITUATION: Denver (3-6) has lost two straight games after their 19-17 loss to Houston two weeks ago despite being a 1-point underdog. Los Angeles (7-2) has won six straight games with their 20-6 win at Oakland last week as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Denver has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a favorite. The Broncos have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a bye week. Case Keenum did pass for 290 yards two weeks ago in a losing effort — but Denver has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Keenum will is dealing with a host of injuries on his offensive line with starters Ronald Leary and Matt Paradis along with backup Max Garcia unavailable for this game. The Broncos go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49.5 point range. Denver has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against AFC West foes. The Chargers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns — and the Under is also 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Los Angeles is allowing just 14.0 PPG over their last three games while not giving up 20 or more points in five straight games. But the Chargers are only scoring 21.7 PPG over their last three games. They retune home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total  — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Chargers have played three straight Unders, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played five straight games Under the Total when the Chargers are the home team. Expect another low-scoring game. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (467) and the Los Angeles Chargers (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (465) plus the points versus the New York Giants (466). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (3-6) has lost three straight games — as well as six of their last seven contests — with their 16-3 loss to Washington as a 3.5-point favorite last week. New York (2-7) snapped their five-game losing streak on Monday night with their 27-23 win in San Francisco as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCCANEERS PLUS THE POINTS: We had the Giants on Monday but we will quickly jump off the bandwagon with this team playing on a short week. New York has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread 13 of their last 16 games after a point spread win. They upset the 49ers despite being out-gained by -97 yards in that contest — and they lost the first down battle by a 24-17 margin. Now they return home where they are winless this season while being outscored by -12.0 PPG due to their anemic offense that scores only 14.7 PPG at home in the Meadowlands. The Giants have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games at home —and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. This team is not reliable in expected close games either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Tampa Bay dominated the Skins last week by generating 501 yards of offense. They not only outgained Washington by +215 net yards but also almost doubled their first downs by winning that battle by a 29 to 15 margin. A -4 net turnover margin ruined that game for the Bucs facing that Skins team facing massive injuries on their offensive line. Look for Tampa Bay to bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. They have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games after losing six or seven of their last eight games. Behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Buccaneers are scoring plenty of points. Tampa Bay is averaging 29.8 PPG on the road with 445.8 total YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Too much offense from Tampa Bay who should do a better job of limiting their turnovers this week. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Tampa Bay Buccaneers (465) plus the points versus the New York Giants (466). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (462) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (461). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (4-5) has won three straight games after their 29-26 win over Jacksonville as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. Tennessee (5-4) looks to build off their 34-10 upset win over New England as 6.5-point underdogs last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COLTS MINUS THE POINTS: The Titans have pulled off two straight upset wins as their victory over the Patriots was preceded by their 28-14 upset win at Dallas a 4-point underdog back on Monday Night Football. Tennessee looks due for a visit to Letdown City. As it is, they have failed to cover the points spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they are a decisive 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games after a straight-up win. The Titans did generate 385 yards of offense against the New England defense while averaging 6.31 Yards-Per-Play last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP. But now Tennessee goes back on the road where they are scoring only 17.6 PPG while averaging just 304.0 total YPG. The Titans are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams that do not have a winning percentage above .500 at home. Tennessee is also only 10-27-3 ATS in their last 40 games against teams with a losing record. This game has a high Total with the number creeping into the 50s — and this is not the type of game that the Titans do well in. Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. Indianapolis is one of the hottest teams in the league right now — and they have been propelled by their success in rushing the football. Over their last four games, they are averaging 162.5 rushing YPG while averaging 5.24 Yards-Per-Carry. Perhaps more importantly, they are averaging 30.5 rushing attempts per game over that span — and that commitment to running the ball pays dividends in ways that too many in the analytics community fail to grasp. Moving the chains helps the Colts defense by keeping them off the field and fresh. A credible ground game also helps quarterback Andrew Luck be more effective in the passing game. Luck has tossed at least three touchdown passes in six straight games — and he has his favorite weapon back in tight end Jack Doyle who had missed the first part of the season with an injury. Indianapolis enjoyed an outstanding draft this year with the tear top pick in guard Quentin Nelson out of Notre Dame really paying dividends. Luck has not been sacked in his last 189 pass attempts. Indianapolis has scored 71 points over their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. Additionally, the Colts have averaged at least 6.27 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last four games — and they have covered the point spread in 34 of their last 51 games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in their last two games — and they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in their last four games. Indy did allow 415 yards last week to a desperate Jaguars team — but they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Colts stay at home where they are scoring 30.7 PPG while averaging 400.0 total YPG — and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as the favorite. Lastly, the Colts are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games in the month of November.

FINAL TAKE: Indianapolis was swept by the Titans last season — so they surely had this date circled on their calendar as a critical point of their 2018-19 campaign. Of course, Andrew Luck was on the shelf last year. Their star quarterback has made a complete recovery from his array of injuries and finally has the support of a strong offensive line. Luck is playing the best football of his career — he should make the difference in this game. 25* AFC South Game of the Year with the Indianapolis Colts (462) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (461). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (454) minus the point versus the Dallas Cowboys (453). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (4-5) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last week in Cleveland where they lost by a 28-16 score despite being a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas (4-5) snapped their two-game losing streak last Sunday night with their 27-20 upset win at Philadelphia as a 7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE FALCONS MINUS THE POINTS: We had the Cowboys last week as a sizable underdog in a desperate situation for them — but I was immediately concerned with the satisfied look on the face of head coach Jason Garrett and the rest of this team after that win. As if this team is still not facing dire straits moving forward. Dallas remains very inconsistent — they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. They upset the Eagles despite being outgained in yardage by surrendering 421 yards of offense — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Injuries on defense remain a significant concern. The Cowboys will be without their best defensive player once again in linebacker Sean Lee. Dallas is allowing opposing quarterbacks to average a whopping +2.24 more Yards-Per-Attempt when Lee is not on the field. The Cowboys will also be without two starting defensive linemen in Taco Charlton and David Irving due to injuries. This satisfied Dallas team remains on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games. They are 1-4 on the road this season while being outgained by -43.2 net YPG due to their offense that is scoring only 16.2 PPG while averaging 312.0 total YPG when playing away from AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 39 games played in a dome. Atlanta got caught last week playing their second straight game on the road after a triumphant win in Washington the prior week (similar to the spot Dallas finds themselves). The Falcons got beat up by the Browns rushing attack which churned out 211 yards en route to 427 total yards of offense. I do expect head coach Dan Quinn to baton down the hatches with his team’s run defense — and the historical record supports this claim. Atlanta has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game — and they are 38-14-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last contest. The Falcons had only allowed 140 rushing yards overall in their previous two contests. Quinn has done a fantastic stitching together a defense that has been ravaged with injuries. Over their last three games, Atlanta is allowing only 20.7 PPG. The Falcons need to recommit to running the football after managing only 71 rushing yards on 19 carries last week — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after failing to rush for at least 75 yards in their last contest. Returning home will help the Atlanta offense where they are scoring 32.2 PPG while averaging 436.6 total YPG. Quarterback Matt Ryan has an incredible 14:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio when playing at home. Expect a big effort from this Falcons team that still feels alive in the NFC wildcard race. While Atlanta has only covered the point spread twice in their last seven games, they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November.

FINAL TAKE: This looks to be a de-facto elimination game in the NFC wildcard playoff race. Atlanta has home-field advantage. They have the better head coach in Dan Quinn over Jason Garrett. They have the better quarterback in Ryan versus Dak Prescott. And I expect them to more mentally prepared for this game. 20* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Atlanta Falcons (454) minus the point versus the Dallas Cowboys (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (455) and the Baltimore Ravens (456). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (5-4) has lost three of their last four games after their humiliating 51-14 loss to New Orleans last Sunday as 6-point underdogs. Baltimore (4-5) has lost three straight games with their 23-16 upset loss to Pittsburgh two weeks ago as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bengals have been a disaster on defense this season. They are allowing 456.5 total YPG which is not only last in the NFL but on pace to be worst mark ever in NFL history. After surrendering 130 points over their last three games, head coach Marvin Lewis fired defensive coordinator Teryl Austin who was a hot head coaching candidate for next season just a couple of months ago. Lewis will take over the defense which should result in the players being more accountable for their actions on and off the field. Injuries have hurt this unit — but futility of this magnitude indicates that the effort has not been there. Lewis will get some help on that side of the field with the firing of Hue Jackson who will serve as an assistant coach taking Austin’s place. While I know Jackson is a self-promoting clown most of the time, he is also someone with a long history of working with Lewis including serving on the defensive coaching staff with the Bengals after he was sacked from the Raiders. Jackson also brings plenty of perspective on the Ravens with them being a divisional rival. I expect immediate improvement on defense. They allowed 509 yards of offense to the Saints last week — but they have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Under is also 21-10-1 in Cincinnati’s last 32 games after giving up at least 30 points. The offense is limited still with wide receiver A.J. Green out so expect plenty of Joe Mixon and the Bengals rushing attack to keep the clock moving and protect this defense a bit by keeping them off the darn field. Cincinnati has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and this includes four straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Bengals have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total in the month of November. Baltimore will be starting rookie Lamar Jackson at quarterback with Joe Flacco still nursing a hip injury. I have seen nothing to indicate that Jackson is ready for this assignment yet — unless operating ineffective specialized packages now serves as an endorsement. The Ravens will likely struggle with their passing game with Jackson under center still not polished with that part of his game at the professional level. But the Baltimore defense remains stout as they allow only 16.0 PPG along with a mere 275.0 total YPG when playing at home. The Ravens have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a bye week. Furthermore. Baltimore has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of November — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against AFC North opponents.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of their game played back in the idyllic days of mid-September where the Bengals won by a 34-23 score with that Total set at 43. Things have changed. Expect a lower scoring game this time around. 25* AFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (455) and the Baltimore Ravens (456). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (378) minus the points versus Arizona Wildcats (377). THE SITUATION: Washington State (9-1) has won six straight games with their 31-7 win at Colorado last week as a 5.5-point favorite. Arizona (5-5) has won two straight games with their 42-34 win over that same Buffaloes team two Saturdays ago as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS MINUS THE POINTS: Washington State should continue to build off their momentum. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a victory by at least 20 points. The Cougars have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games after a point spread victory. Washington State returns home where they are a perfect 5-0 this season while outscoring their opponents by +18.0 PPG and out-gaining them by +189.0 net YPG. Led by quarterback Gardner Minshew, the Cougars lead the nation by averaging 392.3 passing YPG. He leads an offense that averages 473.4 total YPG when playing at home. But the improvement of this Washington State in the seventh year of head coach Mike Leach can be attributed to the play of their defense that is holding their visitors to just 16.2 PPG along with 284.4 total YPG. This strong defensive play helps explain why they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home. Arizona has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. But the Wildcats look due for a big letdown now having to go back on the road where they are just 1-3 this season. Arizona is being outscored by -9.8 net PPG away from home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games on the road. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after playing their last two games against fellow Pac-12 opponents — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games away from home after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. And in their last 10 games played in the month of November, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Washington State needs to win this game to make their impending showdown with Washington next week being the deciding game as to which team will represent the Pac-12 North Division in the Pac-12 Championship Game. The Cougars are unlikely to be looking ahead to that game as they will be motivated to avenge a 58-37 loss to the Wildcats last season. 25* CFB Pac-12 Game of the Year with the Washington State Cougars (378) minus the points versus Arizona Wildcats (377). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bearcats (353) plus the points versus the Central Knights (354). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (9-1) has won three straight games with their 35-23 win over South Florida last week as a 15-point favorite. Central Florida (9-0) remained one of four undefeated teams in the FBS with their 35-24 win over Navy as a 23.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARCATS PLUS THE POINTS: The Knights have won three straight games by at least 12 points after surviving a 31-30 victory at Memphis back on October 13th. But Central Florida has failed to cover then points read in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two straight games by double-digits over American Athletic Conference opponents. The UCF offense has averaged 6.81 and 8.29 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last two games. But despite being undefeated, the Knights are vulnerable to good rushing teams. They have allowed their last two opponents average a whopping 600 rushing yards in their last two games (374 and 226 rushing yards respectively). Central Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 225 rushing yards in two straight games. The Knights rank 104th in the nation by allowing 208.9 rushing YPG — and this Bearcats team is 19th in the nation by rushing for 235.8 rushing YPG. Cincinnati has generated at least 238 rushing yards in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after rushing for at least 225 yards in two straight games. The Bearcats have won their last two games by at least 12 points — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their 16 games after winning their last two games by double-digits against conference opponents. Both of those victories were at home — and Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after winning their last two games at home. The Bearcats have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread as the favorite in what was otherwise a straight-up win. Cincy goes back on the road where they are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +14.2 net PPG while out-gaining their home hosts by +109.2 net YPG. The Bearcats only loss this season was an overtime loss at Temple — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 23 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Even at home, Central Florida will be feeling the pressure of maintaining their perfect two-year run — and they also need to win this game to ensure they reach the American Athletic Conference championship game. But the Knights have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of November. 10* CFB Cincinnati-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the Cincinnati Bearcats (353) plus the points versus the Central Knights (354). Best of luck for us — Frank.