At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston.  The Jets lost to the Falcons, at home, last week, 13-8.  New York is back home for this game, and will host the upstart Texans, who are 7-5 on the season.  I like New York, as it's 23-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams if the Jets were at home in their previous game, but didn't win and cover the spread in that game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  These two teams met three weeks ago in Ford Field, and the Lions came away with a comeback win, 31-26.  We played on the Bears +7.5 in that game, and will take them as a home underdog today, on Sunday.  Chicago had last week off to rest and prepare for this division revenge match, while Detroit had a home game vs. the Saints.  The Lions are an atrocious 7-26-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. sub-.400 foes.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over the Navy Midshipmen.  Army defeated Air Force earlier this season, and will claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with a victory against Navy.  I like Army in this game, as it falls into a Military Series system of mine which is 33-10 ATS since 2006.  The Black Knights ended their season strong with 3 straight wins coming into this final game, including a 28-21 upset win at Coastal Carolina in their previous game.  Navy was blasted in its last game, 59-14, by SMU, and failed to cover the spread by 26 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Midshipmen in this game vs. rival, Army, as Navy has gone 13-5-2 ATS vs. Army when Navy was off an ATS win, but just 7-10 ATS when Navy was off an ATS loss.  And if Army was off a good game, where it covered the spread by 7+ points, then the Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS vs. Navy.  Finally, the Midshipmen have covered just 5 of 26 games when they weren't getting 10+ points vs. a non-conference foe off an upset win.  Take Army minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots Over the total.  The Over/Under in this game has been installed around 30 points, which is the lowest over/under number this season.  Historically, NFL games with over/under lines less than 31 have gone Over the total, as they've gone Over 82 percent since 1982.  Usually, when the Over/Under lines get down this low, it's due to weather.  Here, it's because of the Patriots' horrible offense.  New England has scored just 13 points over its three previous games.  But teams that have scored a combined 25 or less points over their previous 3 games, all of which have gone Under the total, have then proceeded to go over the total 76 of 128 games, or 59.3%.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Eagles have the best record in football, at 10-1, and have won 5 straight, yet are a home underdog vs. the 49ers.  Unfortunately, home dogs of 2 (or more) points, on a 5-game (or better) win streak, have covered just 41% since 2001.  And the 49ers are 30-14-1 ATS their last 45, including 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 vs. .700 (or better) foes.  I'll take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Panthers have won just once this season, and fired head coach Frank Reich on Monday.  Chris Tabor will take over as interim head coach.  We'll take Carolina + the points on Sunday, as underdogs have gone 54-31-2 ATS in NFC South division games if it was the first meeting of the season.  That bodes well for Carolina today.  As does the fact that Tampa's 15-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Commanders were trounced on Thanksgiving Day by Dallas, 45-10.  I like playing on Underdogs following a blowout loss by 14+ points on Thanksgiving, as they've cashed 67% in their next game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points, off a loss by more than 31 points, have cashed 67.6% over the last 34 years.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Detroit.  The Saints return home after back to back upset losses to the Vikings and Falcons on the road.  I'll take the Saints, as home teams have covered 61.2% since 1980 following back to back upsets as a road favorite.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/Detroit game.  The Lions were upset last week at home as a 9-point favorite vs. Green Bay.  We'll take the Under in their game at New Orleans, as road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off an upset loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 9-1 under their last 10 (and 52-29-1 under their last 82).  Take the Saints/Lions Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total.  The Chargers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and will need to reel off six straight wins, if they're to have any hope of making the playoffs.  Los Angeles is 39-17 Over the total on the road off back to back losses, and I look for a relatively high scoring game today.  Take the Over.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Florida State.  These two teams met last season, and Florida State went into Louisville and defeated the Cardinals, 35-31.  We'll take the Cards to avenge that defeat, as underdogs playing with revenge from a loss the previous season have gone 63% ATS in Conference Title games.  Even better:  the Cardinals lost to Kentucky, 38-31, last week.  But Louisville is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 17-3-1 ATS its last 21) off a point spread loss, and 15-5-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Meanwhile, Florida State is a poor 37-65 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Appalachian St.   The Trojans won this Sun Belt Title game last season, as they blew out Coastal Carolina, 45-26, as a 6-point home favorite.  Over the last 2 years, the Trojans have dominated Sun Belt play, as they've gone 14-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS when priced from -3 to -15 points.  Appalachian St., on the other hand, is 5-13 ATS its last 18 conference games.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise St.  The Rebels were upset here, at home, by San Jose St. last week.  We'll take UNLV as a home underdog and fade a Boise St. team which has covered just 1 of its last 12 road games vs. an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points with the Rebels.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Toledo.  These two teams met earlier this season, in Oxford, and the Rockets came away with a 21-17 win as a 2-point road favorite.  Revenge-minded teams have cashed 52% of Conference Title games since 1992, but Miami falls into my best revenge angle which is 25-1-1 ATS since 1994 (and 19-0 ATS since 2009).  Additionally, the Red Hawks are 11-1 ATS when playing with revenge when the line was less than 12 points.  And they're 22-10 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over New Mexico St.  These two teams met earlier this season in Lynchburg, and Liberty blew out the Aggies, 33-17.  This game will also be played on the Flames' home field.  The Flames are currently riding a 7-game home win streak.  And they're 9-4 ATS at home when priced from -6 to -20 points.  The Aggies are a poor 2-9 ATS on the road when priced from +8 to +13.5 points.  Take Liberty to blow out New Mexico St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Both teams come into this game off losses.  The Bears lost a heartbreaker last week to Detroit, 31-26, while Minny fell to the Broncos, 21-20.  Unfortunately for the Vikings, winning teams (like Minnesota) have burned money on Monday Night if they lost their previous game, as they've gone 63-81-3 ATS.  Even worse for Minnesota:  revenge-minded NFC North division teams have gone 105-74 ATS if they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and were also off a straight-up loss in their previous game.   With Chicago playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to the Vikings earlier this season, I'll take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers Under the total.  The Ravens have gone 16-7 Under their last 23 as a road favorite, while the Chargers have gone 16-7 Under as a home dog vs. AFC foes.  Additionally, this season, games involving home underdogs of less than 7 (or PK) have gone 39-16 Under.  I expect a relatively low scoring game.  Take the Ravens + Chargers Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Philadelphia.  This past Monday, the Eagles won an emotional game, as they upset the Chiefs, who defeated them in last year's Super Bowl.  Off that emotional game, I'll fade Philadelphia here, as teams that avenged a playoff loss with an upset win have cashed just 38.8% in their next game.  Take the Bills.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Patriots come into this road game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Giants enter off an upset win over the Washington Commanders.  I'll take New England, as it's 22-1 ATS on the road off a loss, if its opponent was off a win.  And road favorites (or PK) off 3 losses have covered 71.8% since 1980 vs. foes off a win.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Jacksonville/Houston game.  The Jaguars were upset by Houston, 37-20, in the first meeting, and that game went over the total.  I like taking regular season rematches of games with O/U lines of 47+ under the total if the favored team was upset in the first meeting, and that prior meeting went also went Over the total.  The rematches then have gone Under the total 61.1 percent since 1980.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Both the Panthers and the Titans were blown out in their last game.  Carolina lost by 33 at home to Dallas, while the Titans were routed by Jacksonville, 34-14.  I'll take the points with the Panthers, as they're 47-27 ATS as road underdogs vs. opponents that don't have a winning record.  Meanwhile, Tennessee is a terrible 16-34-3 ATS in non-division games, if the Titans weren't getting 3+ points, including 8-27 ATS if their opponent wasn't off a win.  Take Carolina.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies won (and covered) their 7th straight game with a stunning upset of Auburn, 31-0, as a 25-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico State, as single-digit underdogs, that pulled off major upsets over non-conference foes as double-digit underdogs, have covered just 33.9% since 1980 when playing an opponent off a straight-up win.  That doesn't bode well for the Aggies on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that they've covered just 32% at home off a SU win.  Take the Gamecocks minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie..

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Washington.  These two rivals will play for the Apple Cup on Saturday afternoon.  Last year, the Huskies won the trophy with a 51-33 triumph.  I like the Cougars to avenge that defeat as they're 18-4 ATS as a 14-point (or greater) underdog when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cougars racked up 56 points last week in a blowout victory over Colorado.  Off that offensive explosion, the Coogs fall into a 60% ATS momentum system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any revenge-minded team in its final game of the season, if it scored 55+ points in its previous game.  Take Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Arizona.  Last week, I had my strongest college football play of the season-to-date on Oregon against Arizona State, and was rewarded with a 49-13 blowout victory.  But off that 36-point loss, I like Arizona State to bounce back on this Saturday against its cross-state rival, Arizona.  The Wildcats are a horrible favorite, as they've gone 53-95-3 ATS, including 2-11 ATS vs. Arizona State.  Even worse for Arizona:  the Sun Devils will be playing with revenge from a 38-35 loss last season to the Wildcats. And the revenge-minded team has gone 18-6 ATS in this series if it was installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves exploded for 77 points last week, which was the most points tallied by a team vs. an FBS foe this season.  We'll fade Arkansas St., as teams that scored more than 7 points in a SU/ATS win over an FBS foe have covered just 31% the next week, if they weren't favored by 3 or more points.  Take Marshall.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars come into this game on a 4-game losing streak after falling at home, 31-24, to Oklahoma last Saturday.  Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is 8-3 after a SU/ATS win last week at Houston.  The Cowboys are an awesome 52-25 ATS when favored by 12+ points (and 29-6 ATS their last 35 when favored by 12+ points vs. foes off back to back losses).  Take the Cowboys to blow out BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over Louisiana Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns and Warhawks will both try to snap losing streaks as they end their seasons on Saturday.  La-Lafayette lost their 3rd straight last Saturday when Troy defeated it by 7, 31-24.  Meanwhile, the Warhawks come into this game on a 9-game losing streak after falling at Ole Miss, 35-3, last Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Monroe, as teams on 9-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 36-22 ATS in their final game of the season, if they were also playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Even better:  the road teams have dominated this Bayou State rivalry, as they've gone 19-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.  We'll take the underdog Warhawks on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Jimbo Fisher era is over in College Station, and Elijah Robinson is the interim coach.  At Robinson's press conference earlier this week, he said QB Max Johnson is day-to-day with a rib injury.  If Johnson is unable to go for the Aggies, then Jaylen Henderson will make his 3rd straight start.  Regardless who is under center for A&M, we'll lay the points with LSU.  Texas A&M is a terrible 27-68 ATS away from home vs. .636 (or better) foes in the regular season, including 3-20 ATS when priced from +4 to +11.  Lay the points with LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt.  The Blue Devils are 6-5, but have dropped their last two games, including an upset loss last week at Virginia.  We'll lay the points, as winning teams have gone 38-20 ATS in their final game of the season vs. conference foes, if they were off an upset loss, and back to back losses overall.  Take Duke.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  The Lobos upset Fresno St, 25-17, last week, as a 22-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico on Friday, as home teams have cashed just 39 of 114 after pulling off an upset win away from home and covering the spread in that win by 30+ points.  Lay the points with the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Jets were bombed by the Buffalo Bills last Sunday, 32-6, as an 8.5-point road underdog, while Miami downed the Las Vegas Raiders, 20-13, as a 13.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Flyboys to bounce back off that blowout loss, as home dogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-12 ATS off a 7-point (or worse) road loss when matched up against a foe off a 7-point (or greater) home win.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Friday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The 'Huskers sit at 5-6, and need to win on Friday to gain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Iowa already has become eligible, with its 8-3 record.  I like Nebraska's chances, as NCAA teams that need to win their final game of the season to gain Bowl eligibility have cashed 55% since 1980 if they were favored in their final game.  Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule has tabbed 3rd string QB Chubba Purdy as the starting QB for this game, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Cornhuskers, as Purdy delivered the best performance by a Nebraska QB all season in last week's OT loss at Wisconsin.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  This NFC East division rivalry is one of the fiercest rivalries in the league.  And the underdog has generally got the $$$, including a 40-16 ATS record if the favored team was not off a straight-up loss.  That bodes well for the Commanders on Thursday.  As does the fact that Dallas is 1-11 ATS its last 12 Thanksgiving Day games.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers under the total.  These two teams met earlier this season in Green Bay, and Detroit won that game, 34-20.  The Over/Under for that game was 45.5.  This Thanksgiving Day game has a higher number, and it is the highest over/under line for the Packers this season.  I look for a relatively low scoring game, as Green Bay has gone 13-5 under in games with O/U lines greater than 46 points.  Additionally, the under falls into 551-449, 383-287 and 94-49 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Buffalo/New York game.  These two teams met in Week 1, on Monday Night, and the Jets escaped with a 22-16 victory in overtime.  That game went under the total of 44.5.  We have a much lower number here, and I like the Over, as rematches of AFC East division games that went under the total in the first meeting have gone over the total more often than not in the 2nd meeting.  And the Bills are also 36-26 Over in games with O/U lines less than 42 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Carolina Panthers have been installed as a double-digit home underdog.   And double-digit home dogs have been money in the bank over the years, as they've gone 129-100-2 ATS.  And they've been especially strong in non-division games, with a 74-48 ATS record.  Take the Panthers.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Lions are a soft 29-54 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -10 points.  Additionally, the Bears will play this game with an extra 3 days to rest and prepare, as their last game was on Thursday, while Detroit played on Sunday.  I'll grab the points, as division road underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 89-72 ATS off a straight-up win.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over the Tennessee Titans.  This is Tennessee's 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams playing their 3rd straight on the road have gone 128-162 ATS since 1980, including 27-55-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) division foes.  The Titans have also gone 0-5 ATS their last five away from Nashville.  Meanwhile, the Jaguars fell to 6-3 after their 34-3 loss to the 49ers last Sunday.  But .666 (or better) teams have gone 8-0 ATS since 2016 following a game where they scored 3 points or less.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Washington Commanders.  These two teams met last month in the Meadowlands, and the Commanders scored just 7 points in a 14-7 defeat.  Now, they're laying more than that, which is the first time Washington has been favored by this many points in over 6 years.  And when they've been favored by 9 or more points, the Commanders are 4-14 ATS their last 18.  But it's not just as a big favorite that Washington has struggled.  The Commanders are also 15-45 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, including 0-2 ATS this season.  I generally don't like laying a lot of points with bad teams, and the Commanders certainly qualify.  Washington has been outscored by 5.70 ppg this season.  And teams with a negative scoring margin have gone 72-136-5 ATS when favored by 9 or more points against losing opposition.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Iowa State.  The Longhorns are 9-1, but come into this matchup off back to back games where they failed to cover the spread.  We'll take Texas to get the $$$ tonight, as it's 51-30 ATS following 2 games where it failed to cover the spread, including 13-1 ATS on the road vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Missouri.  The Tigers pulled off a huge upset last week when they trounced Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point home underdog.  We'll fade Florida, as winning NCAA teams off 29-point (or greater) upset wins have covered just 35% of Conference games since 1980 vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils upset UCLA last week, but are just 3-7 on the season.  We'll fade ASU off that upset win, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record have gone just 17-43-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points, including 0-12 ATS their last 12 as a dog of more than 13 points.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes are 10-0 after blowing out Michigan St, 38-3, last week.  Off that big win, we'll fade Ohio State, as undefeated NCAA teams are 5-19 ATS as favorites vs. conference foes in the regular season, at Game 11 forward, if they held their previous opponent to 7 or less points.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS when getting more than 23 points on the Big 10 road.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Tigers have their big rivalry game next week vs. Alabama, and they generally do well the game before that rivalry game, as they've gone 23-14 ATS.  Moreover, the Tigers come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they're 14-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 28 points, if Auburn was on a 2-game ATS win streak and playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers are a super 11-0 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -11.5 to -31, vs. Conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a nasty 3-11 ATS their last 14 at home vs. conference foes.  Take UCLA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Georgia.  The Volunteers were blown out, 36-7, by Missouri last week, while the defending champion Bulldogs remained undefeated with a 52-17 rout of Ole Miss.  We'll grab the points with Tennessee, as it's 9-0 ATS off a loss by 6+ points.  Additionally, defending NCAA Champions are a poor 29.0% ATS away from home off a win, if they weren't favored by more than 15 points, and their opponent was off a loss.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke.  Virginia might be 2-8 straight-up, but it's 7-3 "in Vegas," this season.  We'll ride Virginia as a home underdog this afternoon, as it's 19-7 ATS its last 26 as a home pup, including 7-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves enter on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, Sun Belt Conference home dogs of more than 3 points are a horrible 37-62 ATS off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane dropped its fifth straight game last weekend when it fell, 24-22, at Tulane (though it covered the spread).  We'll fade Tulsa as a short home underdog, as it's 3-10-1 ATS its last 14 conference games, including 1-5-1 ATS at home, and 1-8-1 ATS off a loss.  Meanwhile, North Texas is a solid 16-5-1 ATS in conference games, including 7-1 ATS as as favorite.  Take the Mean Green minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors come into this road game off back to back upset wins over Nevada and Air Force.  We'll fade Hawaii this afternoon, as it's 5-13 ATS as a road underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Take Wyoming.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out North Texas, 45-21, last week.  Unfortunately, SMU is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine (and 6-19-1 ATS its last 26) away from home off a 24-point (or greater) win.  Grab the points with Memphis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 51-10, by Texas A&M last week.  We'll lay the points and go against Southern Miss, as the Golden Eagles are 0-10 ATS when getting between 15.5 and 45 points vs. an opponent off an ATS loss.  Take Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats pulled off an upset last week when they went into Madison, and knocked off Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 12 point underdog.  We'll go against Northwestern, as Big 10 home dogs are a soft 37.3% in conference games since 1980 off an upset road win, if they covered the spread by 12+ points in that win.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the SMU/Memphis game.  Both of these teams have been scoring points in bunches over their last four games.  Memphis has averaged 48.25, while SMU has averaged 50.75.  And this offensive prowess has led to an inflated line based on my numbers.  The last 3 meetings between these teams have similarly had very high over/under lines, and have all gone under the total (by an average of 13.5 ppg), and I expect another relatively low scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan.  Maryland comes into this game off a road win at Nebraska.  Meanwhile, the Wolverines are 10-0, and ranked #3 in the country after their big win in Happy Valley last Saturday.  We'll fade the Maize and Blue, as double-digit road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 if they were undefeated, at Game 11 forward, and their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Terrapins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have covered six of their last seven, while the Huskies have lost their last two games -- both SU and ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Broncos.  But MAC Conference favorites, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have covered 60% since 1992 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And the Huskies are 46-30-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, including 8-1 ATS if the Huskies were off back to back defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  When we last saw Denver, it was upsetting rival Kansas City, 24-9, as a 7-point underdog.  We had our AFC West Division Game of the Year on Denver, so we were not surprised by the outright win.  But off that victory, we'll fade the Broncos here, as NFL road teams have cashed just 28% on Monday Nights the last 33 years off an upset home win.  Even worse:  Denver is 3-21 ATS off a SU/ATS home win over a division rival.  And it's a dreadful 2-13 SU and 3-11-1 ATS on the road when not getting double-digits.  Lay the points with Josh Allen & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Washington.  The Seahawks are 5-3 and tied for first place in the NFC West division standings.  They did lose by 34 points last week, but I love the Seahawks to bounce back on Sunday.  Since 1980, NFL teams with a .583 (or better) win percentage, that scored less than 6 points in their previous game, have gone 73-45-3 ATS including 11-0 ATS their last 11.  And the Seahawks are a solid 16-7 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points.  Lay the points with Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Dallas.  The Giants were blown out, 30-6, by the Las Vegas Raiders last week.  And they've now lost 2 straight, and haven't covered the point spread in either.  And they're 2-7 straight-up, and 2-6-1 ATS on the season.  The Giants and Cowboys met earlier this year, and Dallas annihilated New York, 40-0, for the worst shutout loss a team has suffered since the Chargers lost 45-0 to the Patriots in 2020.  We'll take New York to avenge that defeat, as underdogs of 14 (or more) points have gone 57–31-3 ATS off back to back losses, if they didn't cover the spread in those two losses, and lost by more than 7 points in their previous game.  Even better:  underdogs of +3 (or more) points that were shutout and lost the previous meeting by more than points have gone 44-25 ATS.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Green Bay game.  Both of these teams come into this game at Acrisure Stadium off a string of low-scoring games.  Pittsburgh has played its last 6 under, while Green Bay has gone under the total in 4 straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here.  But consider that teams off 6 or more Unders have actually gone OVER the total 106-84 since 1980.  We'll take the Packers and Steelers Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Oregon game.  The Oregon Ducks tend to go UNDER in games with big O/U lines, as they're 17-6 Under in games with lines of 72 (or more) points, including 6-0 Under their last six.  Take the Trojans and Ducks Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU. The Gators come into this road game off an upset home loss, 39-36, to Arkansas. We'll take the Gators to rebound off that upset defeat, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi.  The Bulldogs are trying to win their 3rd straight National Championship.  This week, the Rebels will look to snap Georgia's 36-game regular season win streak.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as they're 23-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points.  And they're 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS their last 11 vs. Ole Miss.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a big upset last Saturday, 10-7, as a 14-point road dog.  Can Stanford make it two-in-a-row?  It's unlikely, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record, that pulled off an upset as an 8-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game, have gone 13-49 SU and 17-42-1 ATS, including 0-21 SU and 2-19 ATS if they were getting more than 13 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Arkansas St.  South Alabama's QB, Carter Bradley, missed last week's game at Troy, and the Jaguars missed him greatly.  Troy blew out South Alabama, 28-10, as a 7 point favorite, and that was S. Alabama's 2nd straight blowout loss.  Bradley should be back under center on Saturday vs. Arkansas St.  And we'll lay the points with the homestanding Jaguars, who have covered 69% off back to back losses by more than 10 points, and 82% after failing to cover the point spread by 6+ points in their two previous games.  And the Jags are also 4-0 SU/ATS their last four meetings with the Red Wolves.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes over Rutgers.  Iowa is a spectacular 70-30-2 ATS in Big 10 Conference games when priced from -7 to +2 points.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies won, 13-7, last week, as a 3-point home favorite, while Western Kentucky went into El Paso, and defeated the Miners, 21-13.  We'll fade New Mexico St on the road Saturday, as it is an awful 28% ATS as a road dog off a home win, if matched up against an opponent off a win.  Even better:  the Hilltoppers are 39-21 ATS in conference games off a win, including 6-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys will be seeking their 6th straight win after upsetting rival Oklahoma last week.  We played on Oklahoma State in that game, but will go against them on Saturday, as a letdown is expected (the Cowboys have covered just 25% on the road after playing Oklahoma since 1980).  Also, Central Florida has gone 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if UCF wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over North Carolina State.  This is a big letdown spot for NC State after its two upset wins at home over Clemson and Miami.  Now, the Wolfpack are road favorites against a Deacons squad off back to back losses.  Since 1980, road favorites have covered just 28% off back to back upset wins as a home dog, if they were next matched up against a conference foe off back to back losses.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers notched a rare ATS win vs. Sun Belt conference foes last week in their 31-9 victory vs. Marshall.  Still, the Mountaineers are a poor 2-13 ATS their last 15 conference games, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Take Georgia State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Michigan.  The Nittany Lions are 8-1 this season, and are giving up just 11.8 ppg.  We'll grab the points with the defensive juggernaut, as home dogs of +3 (or more) points, that give up less than 12 ppg, have covered 73% since 1980, at Game 6 forward, if their win percentage was .888 (or better).  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers upset Wisconsin, 20-14, as a 7.5-point home dog last Saturday.  Unfortunately, losing Big 10 teams have only covered 30% since 1980 off an upset win as a home dog of more than 7 points, if they were matched up against foe off a SU win.  And Illinois has covered 63% since 1980 as a favorite vs. conference foes off a win.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Under in the SMU/North Texas game.  Mustangs QB Preston Stone is in the concussion protocol, and may miss Friday's game.  Regardless of whether he plays, we'll look for a low-scoring game, as it falls into 2 of my better totals systems, with records of 140-70 and 135-61.  Additionally, the last 2 meetings between these two Dallas Metroplex rivals have gone Under the total (by an average of 19 points).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago.  I can't lay points with a Chicago team which has won just 2 of its last 19 games.  The Bears are also a poor 23-37 ATS as a favorite, including 14-24 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  And the Panthers are 46-27 ATS as a road underdog vs. a non-winning foe.  I'll take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.   The Cajuns were upset, 37-17, by Arkansas State last Saturday, as a 7-point road favorite.  We played against Louisiana-Lafayette in that game, but will switch gears, and now play on the Cajuns at home.  In this game, the Cajuns will be seeking to avenge an upset loss suffered at the hands of Southern Miss last season.  Louisiana has gone 20-11 ATS off an upset loss, and is also 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders game. The New York Giants are averaging a league-low 11.8 ppg, and their last 6 games have gone Under the total. But in none of those 6 games were both Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones on the field. Barkley missed Game 3, 4 and 5, while Jones was sidelined for Games 6, 7, and 8. I expect a much better offensive performance for the Giants now that both will be in the backfield on Sunday. And the Over also falls into 43-24 and 93-69 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Indianapolis game.  The Colts' defense has been a sieve over the past three weeks, as they gave up 37 to Jacksonville, 38 to Cleveland, and 38 last week to New Orleans. After those three high-scoring games -- all of which went Over the total -- I'll take the Under in this game vs. Carolina. Since 1980, NFL games have gone Under the total 60% of the time, if a team gave up more than 30 points in each of its last three games, and all 3 went Over the total. Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  Matthew Stafford will be sidelined this afternoon, and the Rams will instead have Brett Rypien under center.  They'll be looking to bounce back from last week's 43-20 loss to Dallas.  We'll grab the points, as underdogs have gone 430-336-17 ATS in non-division games off a loss by more than 18 points.  And the Packers are a poor 3-12 ATS as a single-digit favorite, including 1-8 ATS in non-division games.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Please note that this game's start time is early Sunday morning, as it is being played in Frankfurt, Germany.  Last week, I had my AFC West Game of the Year on the Denver Broncos +7 over Kansas City, so I wasn't surprised that the Super Bowl champs were upset in that game. But I will switch gears and play on Kansas City in this contest, as defending champs have gone 14-1 ATS away from home off a loss, if they were playing a .700 (or better) opponent off a SU/ATS win. Lay the points with KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats upset Oregon State last Saturday, 27-24, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll fade Arizona as a home dog tonight, as it's 10-32 ATS as an underdog off an upset win the previous week.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over NC State.  We played on the Wolfpack last week, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, and were rewarded with a 24-17 upset win.  But off that big victory, I look for a letdown by Dave Doeren's men tonight.  NC State is a woeful 15-27 ATS in ACC Conference games off an upset conference win, including 7-23 ATS if it owned a winning record.  Lay the points with Miami-Fla.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Washington.  The Trojans have lost their last six games ATS, while Washington is 0-3-1 ATS its last four, so something has to give tonight.  It's hard to pass up the Trojans as a home underdog, and especially when getting a field goal or more, as USC is 16-7 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points, including 7-1 ATS when it failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take USC.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles are in 2nd place in the Sun Belt East division with a 3-1 record following a 44-27 blowout of Georgia State last week.  Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won just two of four conference games this season, and lost by 18 at home to Troy last week.  We'll take Texas State as a home favorite, as NCAA favorites (or PK) have covered 62% of conference games since 1980 if they did NOT have a winning conference record, and were off a SU/ATS loss, and were playing a foe off a SU/ATS win which had a .750 (or better) conference record.  Lay the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Nevada.  The Rainbows are 2-7 ATS this season, including 0-4 SU/ATS their last six.  Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Rainbows.  But consider that NCAA teams have covered 56% the last 41 years when they were on 4-game SU/ATS losing streaks, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 63% when our 'play-on' team wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over East Carolina.  Tulane stumbled out of the gate by losing to Ole Miss, but has reeled off six straight wins.  The Green Wave will try to make it seven-in-a-row this afternoon, in Greenville, against a Pirates team riding a 4-game losing streak (and a team which is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS vs. FBS schools).  Tulane is a solid 24-10 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes were upset last week, 12-10, by Minnesota, while the Wildcats pulled off an upset win vs. Maryland, 33-27, as a 14.5-point underdog.  We'll take Northwestern to win its second straight (and cover its 3rd straight), as it is 42-22 ATS as a single-digit underdog vs. foes off a loss.  Grab the points with the Wildcats.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma.  I love playing on Home Dogs that can score, and Okie State certainly fits the bill.  The Cowboys have tallied 39, 48 and 45 in their last three games.  We'll grab the points with Oklahoma State, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 34-14 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points.  Take the Cowboys.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles are 8-0 and ranked 4th in the country, while Pitt is 2-6 SU/ATS, including back to back SU/ATS losses at Wake Forest and at Notre Dame.  But the last time an undefeated team came calling and played Pitt here, on campus, was just three weeks ago, when the 6-0 Louisville Cardinals were handed their first loss of the season, 38-21, as a 7-point road favorite.  Pitt is understandably getting more points than that today, and we'll happily take the Panthers + the more than 3 touchdowns, as they fall into a 76.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. undefeated foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Pitt is 21-11 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points vs. conference foes.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Penn State.  The Maryland Terrapins will be looking to bounce back from last week's upset loss at Northwestern.  And they'll also be seeking revenge, as they were whitewashed, 30-0, by Penn State.  We'll take the points with the revenge-minded Terps, as Big 10 teams have gone 36-16 ATS when playing with shutout revenge, and installed as an underdog of less than 20 points.  Even better:  the Terrapins are 21-11 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas St Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns pulled off a big upset last week, as a 12-point road underdog, when they went into Mobile, and upset the South Alabama Jaguars, 33-20.  Unfortunately, teams off upset road wins as 12-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the next week just 38% since 1980, if they were on the road vs. an opponent off a win.  With Arkansas State, indeed, off a win last week, we'll grab the points with Butch Jones' men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Tigers have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Irish, and I'll happily take the points.  Indeed, it's hard to pass up Clemson as a home underdog (or PK), as it's gone 26-14 ATS in that role, including 9-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Even better:  the Irish come into Death Valley off back to back blowout home wins over USC (48-20) and Pittsburgh (58-7).  But Notre Dame is a nasty 1-13 ATS after back to back home wins by more than 10 points.  Take Clemson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Blue Devils will be thrilled to see Wake Forest in Durham tonight, as three of Duke's last four opponents are currently ranked among the nation's Top 20 (Notre Dame (#12), Florida State (#4), Louisville (#15)).  Not surprisingly, the Blue Devils lost all three games.  But Wake Forest is not an elite team, as the Demon Deacons are 1-4 in ACC Conference play.  And the Deacons are especially horrible against the pass, as they give up 256.5 passing yards per game (rank #112 of 130 in country, and dead last in the ACC).  So this will be a big step-down in class for Duke.  And when Duke's been installed as a favorite vs. an FBS (Division 1) school, it's gone 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 8-2 ATS its last 10.  Duke is also 9-0 SU/ATS its last nine as a home favorite of more than 10 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over San Francisco.  The 49ers come into this game off back to back upset losses, while Cincy has won its last 2, both straight-up, and ATS.  In most instances, I would be looking to play on the team off back to back upset losses.  And it's certainly true that the 49ers have excelled in that situation, going 11-5 ATS.  But my problem here is that I don't want to lay this many points to a dangerous and, in my mind, still undervalued Bengals team.  Indeed, dating back to the start of the 2021 season, the Bengals are 12-0 ATS when getting 2.5 or more points.  I won't fade those numbers.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  The Broncos lost at Kansas City 2 weeks ago, 19-8.  But they'll get a chance to avenge that defeat at home, on Sunday.  And I love playing on revenge-minded home underdogs that lost to their opponent in their previous game, or two games back, as they've covered 65.9% since 1980.  Even better:  AFC West division underdogs, playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, with a .500 (or worse) record, have gone 100-64-6 ATS.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Baltimore.  The Cardinals return home off back to back road games.  And they've played much better at home this season than on the road.  At home, Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg on offense, compared to 12.7 ppg on the road.  And Arizona has gone 2-1 ATS at home, compared to 1-3 ATS on the road.   Arizona is an awesome 31-7 ATS at home vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Arizona was not favored by 3 or more points.  And the Ravens are a wallet-busting 10-22-4 ATS on the road off a win by 19 or more points.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total.  The Cardinals have not been scoring on the road this season, but they have been scoring in bunches at home.  On the road, Arizona has averaged 12.7 ppg, and three of its four road games have gone under the total.  But it's been a different story in front of its home faithful, as Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg, and all three went over the total.  The Cardinals have gone over in 17 of their last 26 home games.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs to go Over the total.  The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off 3 straight unders, while the Broncos have played their last 2 under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with Denver scoring just 8 points in the season's first meeting.  But I'll take the Over, as the Chiefs are 25-13 Over the total following 3 or more unders.  And NFL games have gone Over the total 56% the past 20 seasons if a team scored 8 or less points in the season's prior meeting.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Houston.  The Texans come into this game off four straight covers -- all as an underdog.  But now, they're favored at Carolina.  And the last time Houston was favored, it didn't cover.  I don't like to play on teams as favorites following a string of covers as an underdog, as such teams generally don't do very well when they reverse roles from an underdog to a favorite.  Indeed, favorites of more than 2 points, off 3 straight dog covers have gone just 14-37 ATS, including 5-23 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints over Indianapolis.  Last week, I played on the Colts vs. the Browns, as I loved the situational spot for Indianapolis, as it was off a 17-point blowout loss to division rival, Jacksonville, while the Browns came in off that shocking upset win over the previously-undefeated 49ers.  But now the Colts are NOT off a SU/ATS loss, as they covered the spread in defeat vs. Cleveland.  And Indy is a super 46-21 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 3-0 ATS this season.  But when it's NOT off a SU/ATS loss, Indy has gone just 31-43-3 ATS.  Meanwhile, New Orleans is 60-35 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss, including 15-4 ATS their last 19.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.