At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  The Panthers were shut out, 26-0, by Jacksonville.  I look for Carolina to bounce back as teams off shutout losses have gone 66-40 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points.  Even better, over the last 44 years, home underdogs have cashed 58.0 ATS in the last 3 weeks of the season, if they were off an SU/ATS loss.  Finally, the Panthers fall into 145-67, 84-25 and 157-72 ATS systems of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans Under the total.  These two teams met earlier this season.  The Over/Under for that game was just 40 points. And it went over the total, as the two teams combined to score 51. This O/U line is significantly higher than the first meeting. I think it's too high. The Indianapolis Colts have not played a game with an Over/Under line this high in any of their last 30 games. And the Texans have only played two games this season with an over/under line north of 47 points. Both of those were 48, and Houston went under the total in each game. The Texans are 10-6 Under this season, and are 46-35 Under when the line was greater than 47 points. And the Colts are 86-59 under at home vs. division rivals, including 26-15 Under if the season's first meeting went Over the total.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  The Ravens are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS, and will be the #1 seed in the AFC following their 56-19 blowout of the Miami Dolphins.  The Steelers are still in the running for the Playoffs.  And though they can still get in with a loss (if the Broncos win and the Jaguars lose), their chances will be greatly improved with a win.  We'll lay the points with Pittsburgh, as it's 81-34 ATS vs. foes that scored 23+ points in their previous game, if that foe owned an ATS win pct. of .400 (or better).  Additionally, Baltimore is 2-10 ATS at home vs. the rival Steelers, if Baltimore had a winning record ATS.  Lay the points with Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Washington.  The Longhorns have the better ground game, as they're averaging 189 yards per game (compared to 125.2 by Washington).  And Texas' yards per rush is also favorable (4.9 vs 4.5).  All things being equal, I prefer to play on the team with the better ground game in the semifinals or championship games.  Indeed, the team with the better offensive YPR has gone 27-8 ATS their last 35.  That bodes well for Texas on Monday night.  As does the fact that Washington is a soft 6-12 ATS its last 18 as an underdog of 7 or less points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Texas game.  This game falls into my two best College Football Totals systems, which are 124-54 and 84-30.  Additionally, the Longhorns are surrendering just 17.54 ppg, and rank #11 in the country in defense.  This is the highest total they've had this season (and, in my estimation, too high).  Texas is 44-22 Under when the O/U line was greater than 58 points, while Washington is 26-18-3 Under with a line of 58+ points.  And, in the post-season, teams with defenses that give up less than 19 ppg are on a 60.5% under run when the O/U line was 53+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Alabama.  This is the 3rd straight season Michigan has made the College Football playoff, but the first that it entered as the #1 team in the country.  And its #1 ranking is warranted.  In 2021, Michigan was overmatched by a dominant Georgia team, which had a defense giving up just 9.5 ppg.  Then, last season, Michigan was really good, and led by its defense which was allowing just 13.3 ppg.  Unfortunately, they couldn't contain TCU's Quentin Johnson, and were burned for 51 points.  But this season, Michigan's defense has been the country's best (and the only defense to allow less than 10.0 ppg).  Texas' defense ranks 11th (17.54 ppg), Alabama's defense ranks 15th (18.38) and Washington's defense ranks 49th (23.62).  This is the 4th time a team was in the NCAA semifinals or championship game with a defense that gave up less than 10 ppg.  All three of the other teams won 15+ point blowouts, and covered by an average of 15.3 ppg.  The Wolverines are 26-13-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, including 14-3 ATS when not favored by 17+ points.  After knocking on the door the past 2 seasons, I expect Jim Harbaugh's men to bang it down this season.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers ended their regular season with 3 straight point spread defeats.  And now they've been installed as a sizable favorite vs. Iowa.  I don't want any part of Tennessee as a favorite, as NCAA teams have covered just 86 of 207 in the post season when favored by more than 1 points, if they were off back to back ATS losses to end the regular season.  Additionally, Iowa is 78-55-4 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 Bowl games.  Take the Hawkeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Monday, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over LSU.  The Badgers have been installed as a huge underdog vs. LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with Luke Fickell's men, as Wisconsin is 38-15-2 ATS its last 55 games when getting more than 6 points.  Even better:  its defense gives up 8.83 ppg less than LSU's defense.  And NCAA teams that give up 8.83 points less than their foes are on a 61.4% run in the post-season.  Take Wisconsin + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Kansas City.  The Bengals lost in the Playoffs to the Chiefs last season, so that will be added incentive for Zac Taylor's men on Sunday.  Both of these teams come into this game off losses.  Cincy was blown out by Pittsburgh on Saturday, while the Chiefs lost to the Raiders on Monday.  I like the underdog Bengals here, as they're 14-1 ATS when installed as an underdog of more than 2 points.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Detroit.  After losing to the Miami Dolphins last week, the Cowboys are now 1-12 ATS their last 13 on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. The good news for Dallas, then, in this game is that it is not on the road, and Detroit wasn't in the Playoffs last season. Dallas has played 5 games the past two seasons at home vs. winning clubs, and the Cowboys have won all 5, and have gone 3-2 straight-up. Even better: winning NFL teams have gone 41-20 ATS as a single-digit home favorite (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS road losses. Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Dallas game.  The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs, as they blew out Denver, 42-17, and won at Minnesota, 30-24.  But off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the Under on Saturday night, as Detroit has gone 62-42 Under off back to back Overs, including 8-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 52+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Wyoming.  The Rockets went 11-1 in the regular season, and reached the Mid-American Conference title game, where they lost to Miami-Ohio, 23-14.  Wyoming ended the season with back to back blowout wins to finish 8-4, but failed to reach the Mountain West championship game.  I like playing on .692 (or better) underdogs in the Bowls that played in their title game against opponents that did not reach their conference championship game.  Our Bowl underdogs have cashed 58.2%.  Moreover, favorites off back to back wins have gone 46-70-3 ATS away from home in the post-season vs. .846 (or better) opponents.  Take Toledo + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Florida St.  The Bulldogs were upset by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Georgia this afternoon, as Georgia is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Georgia wasn't getting 7+ points.  Even better:  undefeated teams (like Florida State), with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 21.4% since 1994 when getting more than 14 points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Maryland.  The Tigers suffered a heartbreaking loss to rival Alabama at season's end, and finished with a 6-6 record.  The good news for Auburn is that it will be able to redeem itself in this Music City Bowl game vs. Maryland.  And it's 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if it didn't own a winning record.  The Terrapins will play this game without star QB, Taulia Tagovailoa, who is their all-time leader in passing yards (11,356), as well as the Big 10's all time leader.  In his stead will be Billy Edwards Jr., who had a QB rating of 59.4 (compared to Tagovailoa's 73.6 rating).  I expect Maryland to drop off significantly on offense without Tagovailoa, and we'll lay the points with Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio St Buckeyes minus the points over Missouri.  Ryan Day's men had high hopes to be in the FBS playoffs.  They were ranked #1 in the country, but lost their season-ending game at Michigan, 30-24.  I look for Ohio State to bounce back off that defeat, as it's a super 16-5 ATS away from home off a loss.  Meanwhile, Missouri is 2-11 ATS in the post-season off a straight-up win, and 19-40 ATS off a win, if they were playing an opponent off a road loss.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Iowa St.  This game will be played at the Tigers' home field in Memphis, so the Tigers will have a very friendly crowd in their corner.  Memphis is a solid 13-5 ATS as a home underdog, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points, while Iowa State is a soft 5-8 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Grab the points with the homestanding Tigers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Notre Dame.  This Sun Bowl game's over/under line has been installed around 41 points.  And that bodes well for Oregon State, as it's 11-1 ATS in games with O/U lines < 52 points.  Additionally, Oregon State is 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog.  And the underdog has cashed in 30 of 39 Sun Bowls, including 7-0 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Beavers + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over the Clemson Tigers.  The Wildcats pulled off a big upset to end their season, with a 38-31 win over rival, Louisville.  Kentucky has been installed as an underdog this afternoon in the Gator Bowl, and we'll grab the points, as Kentucky is 35-18-1 ATS in non-conference games, if it won its previous game, straight-up, including 5-1-1 ATS off an upset win.  And Clemson has covered just 3 of 11 bowl games when favored by 3 or more points.  Finally, the SEC conference is a solid 69-50 ATS as a post-season underdog vs. non-conference foes, including 23-11 ATS vs. the ACC conference.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Alamo Bowl game to go Under the total.  This game will pit the Oklahoma Sooners vs. the Arizona Wildcats.  Each of these teams ended the season with high-scoring victories.  The Sooners put up 69 points in a 24-point win over TCU, while Arizona tallied 59 in a 36-point blowout of rival, Arizona St.  Dating back to 2013, match-ups between teams that scored 54+ points in their previous game have gone under 61% of the time.  Additionally, Arizona is 19-7 Under when the line has been 56+ points.  And the Under falls into a 139-62 Totals system of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  The Wildcats were a 9.5-point home favorite, but fell by 7 points, 42-35, to Iowa St at the end of the regular season.  But K-State is a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS off a loss since 2022, and 81-46-1 ATS off a loss since 1990 (including 17-1 ATS its last 18 when it failed to cover by 13+ points in its previous game).  Additionally, ACC Conference teams off a win have covered just 23% away from home vs. Big 12 foes off a loss.  We'll take the Wildcats to blow out NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over SMU.  This game will be played less than 5 miles from B.C.'s campus, at Fenway Park, so the crowd will be decidedly in the Eagles' corner.  The Mustangs are laying double-digits, which is always a high tariff in a Bowl game.  Indeed, double-digit dogs are 88-67 ATS in the Bowls since 1981.  Even worse:  when SMU has had a winning record, it's a miserable 10-41 ATS away from home when priced from +10.5 to -14 points.  Grab the points with Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Louisville.  The Trojans lost, 38-20, to rival UCLA at season's end.  We'll grab the points with the Trojans, as they're 25-10 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers have woefully underperformed in the Bowls, as they're 7-24 ATS including 0-14 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  Take North Carolina as a big underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Green Wave lost coach Willie Fritz to the University of Houston, and have a lot of player absences as well, which is why they're catching double-digits this afternoon.  We'll happily take the points, as double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 83-62 ATS at home, or on neutral fields.  Even better:  Tulane is 10-0 ATS away from home when not laying 10+ points.  Take the Green Wave.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas State.  This Lone Star State battle in the First Responder Bowl will take place in Dallas, Texas.  We'll grab the points with Rice, primarily because of its advantages on the defensive side of the ball.  Texas State ranks #104 in yards given up, at 414.3 (Rice is #55 at 370.1), and #116 in points allowed, at 33.83 (Rice is #66, at 26.67).  And Texas State's porous defense has triggered negative systems of mine that are 49-103, 34-76 ATS, and 26-60 ATS.  Finally, the Owls are 11-4 ATS as an underdog (or PK), while the Bobcats are a soft 10-16 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS vs. winning ATS foes.  Grab the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Gophers stumbled at the end of the season, with four straight losses (both SU and ATS).  But we'll still take them as a small favorite over a Mid-American Conference foe.  Big 10 Conference teams have excelled in the Bowls off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, as they've gone 13-4-1 ATS.  And teams off 3+ losses have gone 34-25-1 ATS in the Bowls since 1983.  Meanwhile, MAC Conference teams are a soft 14-30-3 ATS in the post-season vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total.  We played on each of these teams to go over the total last week, and cashed both, as the Raiders put up 63 points in a 63-21 win over the Chargers, while the Chiefs tallied 27 in a 27-17 victory over New England.  We'll come right back with the Over in this divisional matchup on Christmas Day as it falls into 67-35 and 109-57 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, six of the last seven meetings between these two rivals have gone OVER the total.  And those seven games have averaged 57.28 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Chicago Bears.  This is the 3rd time this season the Bears have been installed as a point spread favorite, and they've yet to cover in that role.  Even worse, Chicago is 23-38-2 ATS its last 63 games as a favorite, including 11-25-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 21-6-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including 13-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Grab the points with Arizona.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  I'm well aware of how poor Dallas has done vs. top-level teams.  But off its 21-point loss to Buffalo, we'll step in and take the Cowboys today.  Dallas is 22-12-1 ATS off a 20-point (or worse) loss when not getting 3+ points.  And the Cowboys also fall into a 97-52 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Washington Commanders Under the total.  Both of these teams come into this game with sub-.400 records.  The Jets are 5-9, while the Commanders are 4-10.  Late in the season, when two awful teams match-up, the games tend to be low-scoring, and have gone under the total 57.7% since 1980.  Additionally, the Jets were shutout, 30-0, at Miami last weekend.  And NFL teams off shutout losses have gone 42-27 under their last 69.  Take the under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over San Jose.  Coastal Carolina lost by 42 points in their final game of the season, as a 4-point underdog vs. James Madison.  We'll take the big underdog tonight, as Bowl underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered 67% the last 10 seasons.  Take Coastal Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Buffalo.  The Chargers were the 2nd team this NFL season to fall by 40+ points when they were crushed, 63-21, by the Raiders on Thursday Night Football.  Historically, teams do bounce back from such blowout losses when they play at home in their next game, but not when they take to the road.  At home, our teams have gone 34-25-2 ATS, while they they've faltered on the road, to the tune of 6-12-2 ATS.  The Chargers have been installed as a double-digit home dog, which also bodes well, as double-digit home dogs have gone 130-102-2 ATS.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles upset Buffalo, 24-11, to end their regular season.  Unfortunately, they're a paltry 7-18 ATS as an underdog away from home in non-conference games, if they were off a win, including 0-5 ATS off an upset win.  Take South Alabama minus the points.

At 4:30pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Cincinnati Bengals.  This is the Steelers' final home game of the season.  And they come into the game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We played against the Black and Gold last week, and got the $$$$ with the Colts.  But we'll switch gears today, and take the points with the home pup.  Indeed, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have covered 64% since 1980 in their final home game of the season.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Northern Illinois.  Butch Jones' men ended their regular season with a thud, as they lost, 35-21, to Marshall.  We'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back, as they're 11-2 ATS away from home off a double-digit conference defeat.  Take Arkansas St.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights have been installed as a favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl.  But Central Florida is a woeful 0-8 ATS its last 8 when priced from -3.5 to -7 points!  That doesn't bode well for UCF this evening.  Nor does the fact that Georgia Tech is 12-3 ATS its last 15 as an underdog (or PK), including 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss.  Take Georgia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Los Angeles game.  This game is a technical play, as it falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 65% over the last 44 seasons, as well as a 59% system.  Additionally, the Saints have held their last two opponents to 6 points each.  And NFL teams that have given up less than 13 points in their two previous games have gone 148-121-7 OVER.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks Under the total.  The Eagles' defense has not played well the last three weeks, as it's given up 34, 42 and 33 points.  Off those three dismal performance, we'll take the Eagles and Seahawks to go under the total, as NFL teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their 3 previous games have gone Under the total 59.5% since 1980.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Baltimore.  The Jaguars come into this Sunday Night game off back to back losses to Cincinnati and Cleveland. They'll now play their 3rd straight game vs. an AFC North division foe, as Baltimore will come into Jacksonville. Since 1980, winning teams (like the Jaguars) have cashed 61 percent at home off back to back losses, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point. Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Dallas.  Both Dallas and Buffalo scored their biggest wins of the season last Sunday. The Bills moved to 7-6 with a 20-17 win at Kansas City, while Dallas won at home, 33-13, vs. rival Philadelphia. That was Dallas' 5th straight win, overall. And four of those five wins came at home, including their last three. Now, the Cowboys have to take to the road, and play a Bills team which needs to keep winning to get into the Playoffs. I'll fade Dallas, as road teams off a home win, and 3 home games, overall, have gone 98-133-3 ATS. And the Cowboys are an ugly 1-10 ATS on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and Los Angeles Rams Under the total.  The Commanders had last week off to rest, and regroup after 4 straight losses where they gave up more than 28 points.  They lost 29-26 at Seattle.  Then the New York Giants upset them, 31-19.  On Thanksgiving, Dallas blew them out, 45-10, while Miami put up 45 in a 30-point win two weeks ago.   All four of those games went Over the total.  I like the Under in this game, as teams off 3 straight Overs where they gave up more than 30 points in each of those three games, have then gone under the total 60% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Rams had a high-scoring game at Baltimore last Sunday.  But Los Angeles is 14-3-1 Under following a game that went Over the total, including 11-0 Under if the O/U line was greater than 42 points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Commanders had last week off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Rams lost an overtime affair at Baltimore (but covered the spread in defeat).  The Rams are a poor 8-21 ATS off 3 ATS wins, including 0-8 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -11 points.  And they're 1-12 ATS vs. rested foes when priced from -3 to -13 points.  Admittedly, the Commanders were playing poorly going into their Bye Week, as they had dropped 4 straight games, including their last three ATS.  The good news is that rested underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 75% since 1990, if they had lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Kansas City.  Defending Super Bowl champs have not done well as road favorites vs. foes off a straight-up win, and especially not in non-division games, as they've gone 22-41 ATS since 1981, including 0-11 ATS when laying more than 7 points. Take New England + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Giants pulled off a big upset this past Monday at home vs. Green Bay, as they won 24-22 as a 6-point home underdog. But road teams have had letdowns off upset home wins, if they were an underdog of more than 5 points in that upset win. Since 1980, those teams have gone 88-126-6 ATS. Take the Saints.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  The first meeting between these NFC South division rivals was low-scoring, with just 34 point scored (Atlanta won, 24-10).  Since 1980, subsequent meetings between division rivals have gone Over the total 55% if the prior meeting totaled less than 36 points.  Take the Falcons and Panthers Over the total.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Kansas City game.  After scoring just 13 points over its three previous games, the New England offense broke out (for it, anyway) in a big way last Thursday.  It scored 21 first-half points, and coasted to a 21-18 victory in a game which went "over' by halftime.  We played on the Over in that Patriots/Steelers game, and will come right back with the Over in this Patriots/Chiefs game, as the number is still too low, by my math.  The Chiefs are also 24-10 Over their last 34 as road favorites of more than 6 points.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants/New Orleans Saints game.  The Giants had their 2nd best offensive performance of the season, in terms of yards gained, this past Monday.  New York rolled up 367 yards of offense, and tallied 24 points in an upset win of Green Bay.  That game easily went over the posted total of 37.5, and that was the 3rd time in its last four games that New York went Over the total (after playing 7 unders in a row prior to that).  New Orleans has had a similar arc.  After starting the season with 6 straight unders, it has now played Overs in four of its last seven.  We'll ride the current momentum, and look for another high-scoring game here.  Take the Giants and Saints Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog in this NFC South division contest.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs off 3+ losses have done well in the final 4 games of the regular season, with a 95-60-2 ATS record vs. sub-.666 opponents.  That bodes well for Carolina.  As does the fact that the Falcons have covered just 10 of 29 as road favorites.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over California.  The Red Raiders were annihilated in Austin, Texas, 57-7, at the end of their regular season.  But off that 50-point blowout loss, I expect Tech to bounce back in this bowl game and crush California.  Texas Tech is a super 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog, if it wasn't favored by double digits.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Boise St.  The Bruins were upset at home, 33-7, by California to end their regular season.  And the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points in that game.  Off that defeat, where they failed to cover the spread by 35.5 points, we'll take UCLA to rebound in this de facto home game (at SoFi Stadium), on Saturday.  UCLA is a stellar 29-12-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points in its previous game (including a perfect 4-0 ATS in the post-season).  And it's 31-17 ATS when playing in Los Angeles vs. non-conference foes, and not favored by 14+ points.  Meanwhile, Boise St. is a brutal 2-9-2 ATS away from home against foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with Chip Kelly's Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over New Mexico St.  The Bulldogs fell flat in the season's final weeks, as they lost their last three games (both SU and ATS).  We'll take Fresno to bounce back, as it's 9-0 ATS when it was off 3+ losses, and not getting more than 7 points from its opponent.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Colts were blown out, 34-14, by Cincinnati last week, as a 3-point road underdog.  So, Indianapolis failed to cover the spread by 17 points.  But that bodes well for them here, at home, vs. Pittsburgh, as the Colts are 35-10 ATS off a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread in that previous game by 8 or more points.  Take Indianapolis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Ragin' Cajuns ended their regular season by thumping rival, Louisiana Monroe, 52-21.  Unfortunately, the Cajuns are a horrid 0-10 ATS off a win by more than 17 points.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game.  The Chargers lost quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, so Easton Stick will get the start on Thursday night. Prior to last week's games, the Over/Under line on this game was projected to be 42.5, but the number has been significantly adjusted after the results of the Chargers' 24-7 loss to Denver, and the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings. I think the adjustment has been too severe. We will take the Over, as NFL games have gone Over the total 59% of the time, if each team's previous game went under, and each scored less than 10 points in its prior game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers have won 3 straight games -- each as an underdog.  They upset Kansas City last week, the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, and the Los Angeles Chargers at Lambeau Field before that.  But now the Packers are favored by the most points they've been all season.  And NFL road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins, have gone 4-17 ATS.  Even worse for Green Bay:  it's 2-10 ATS its last 12 as a favorite of -4 to -9.5 points, including 0-4 ATS on the road.  Take the Giants as the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/Philadelphia game.  The Eagles were destroyed by the San Francisco 49ers last week, 42-19.  We'll take the Philadelphia/Dallas game under the total, as the Eagles have gone 64-27 Under following a game which totaled 58 or more points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Eagles are the league's best team ATS, as they're 8-3-1 ATS this season.  They're also an awesome 21-8 ATS their last 29 vs. winning opponents off back to back wins.  Dallas, meanwhile, is great this season against bad teams, but has not stepped up against the league's best.  And the Cowboys are also a wallet-lightening 19-36-1 ATS vs. winning foes, including 2-14 ATS if Dallas was favored by less than 4 points, 11-26 ATS if Dallas was off a win, and 6-10 ATS if Dallas had revenge.  Take Philadelphia + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles game.  The Chargers went into Foxborough last Sunday and shut out the New England Patriots, 6-0.  That was the 3rd straight Under played by the Chargers, and those three games totaled 79 points combined.  I like the Over in this game, as teams off 3 straight unders, in 3 games that combined for 79 or less points, have proceeded to go over the total 65.2% of the time.  Take the Broncos and Chargers Over the total.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Denver.  The Broncos' 5-game win streak was snapped last Sunday by Houston, and I like the Chargers to hand Denver its 2nd straight loss this weekend.  The Broncos are a wallet-busting 0-13 ATS in 'win-situation' games with point spread of 3 or less, if the Broncos were on the road, and owned a win percentage > .350.  Meanwhile, the Chargers are 26-14 ATS in division games if they were off a straight-up win, and owned a losing record on the season.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  The Bills suffered a horrible loss in overtime against the Philadelphia Eagles two weeks ago, and they will be hard-pressed to make the Playoffs this season should they lose this game to the Kansas City Chiefs.  With their season likely on the line, we'll grab the points with Buffalo, which is 45-34-4 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 4-1 ATS with rest.  And it's 7-1-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an opponent with a better record.  Grab the points with Buffalo.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Bengals pulled off a huge upset last week on Monday Night Football when they won outright as a 10-point dog.  Unfortunately, teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have not done well the following week, as they've gone 81-106 ATS.  Take the Colts.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions Under the total.  These two teams played a couple of weeks ago, and the Lions won, 31-26.  That game was played at Detroit's Ford Field, which is a covered stadium, so the teams were not impacted by weather.  This Sunday, the weather outlook calls for 10 to 15 mile per hour winds, and 35 degree weather, which will contribute to a much lower-scoring game than the first meeting.  The Bears have gone 28-12 Under at home in the final 5 games of the season (when Chicago weather is at its worst), when the O/U line ranged from 39 to 48.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston.  The Jets lost to the Falcons, at home, last week, 13-8.  New York is back home for this game, and will host the upstart Texans, who are 7-5 on the season.  I like New York, as it's 23-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams if the Jets were at home in their previous game, but didn't win and cover the spread in that game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  These two teams met three weeks ago in Ford Field, and the Lions came away with a comeback win, 31-26.  We played on the Bears +7.5 in that game, and will take them as a home underdog today, on Sunday.  Chicago had last week off to rest and prepare for this division revenge match, while Detroit had a home game vs. the Saints.  The Lions are an atrocious 7-26-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. sub-.400 foes.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over the Navy Midshipmen.  Army defeated Air Force earlier this season, and will claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with a victory against Navy.  I like Army in this game, as it falls into a Military Series system of mine which is 33-10 ATS since 2006.  The Black Knights ended their season strong with 3 straight wins coming into this final game, including a 28-21 upset win at Coastal Carolina in their previous game.  Navy was blasted in its last game, 59-14, by SMU, and failed to cover the spread by 26 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Midshipmen in this game vs. rival, Army, as Navy has gone 13-5-2 ATS vs. Army when Navy was off an ATS win, but just 7-10 ATS when Navy was off an ATS loss.  And if Army was off a good game, where it covered the spread by 7+ points, then the Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS vs. Navy.  Finally, the Midshipmen have covered just 5 of 26 games when they weren't getting 10+ points vs. a non-conference foe off an upset win.  Take Army minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots Over the total.  The Over/Under in this game has been installed around 30 points, which is the lowest over/under number this season.  Historically, NFL games with over/under lines less than 31 have gone Over the total, as they've gone Over 82 percent since 1982.  Usually, when the Over/Under lines get down this low, it's due to weather.  Here, it's because of the Patriots' horrible offense.  New England has scored just 13 points over its three previous games.  But teams that have scored a combined 25 or less points over their previous 3 games, all of which have gone Under the total, have then proceeded to go over the total 76 of 128 games, or 59.3%.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Eagles have the best record in football, at 10-1, and have won 5 straight, yet are a home underdog vs. the 49ers.  Unfortunately, home dogs of 2 (or more) points, on a 5-game (or better) win streak, have covered just 41% since 2001.  And the 49ers are 30-14-1 ATS their last 45, including 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 vs. .700 (or better) foes.  I'll take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Panthers have won just once this season, and fired head coach Frank Reich on Monday.  Chris Tabor will take over as interim head coach.  We'll take Carolina + the points on Sunday, as underdogs have gone 54-31-2 ATS in NFC South division games if it was the first meeting of the season.  That bodes well for Carolina today.  As does the fact that Tampa's 15-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Commanders were trounced on Thanksgiving Day by Dallas, 45-10.  I like playing on Underdogs following a blowout loss by 14+ points on Thanksgiving, as they've cashed 67% in their next game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points, off a loss by more than 31 points, have cashed 67.6% over the last 34 years.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Detroit.  The Saints return home after back to back upset losses to the Vikings and Falcons on the road.  I'll take the Saints, as home teams have covered 61.2% since 1980 following back to back upsets as a road favorite.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/Detroit game.  The Lions were upset last week at home as a 9-point favorite vs. Green Bay.  We'll take the Under in their game at New Orleans, as road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off an upset loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 9-1 under their last 10 (and 52-29-1 under their last 82).  Take the Saints/Lions Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total.  The Chargers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and will need to reel off six straight wins, if they're to have any hope of making the playoffs.  Los Angeles is 39-17 Over the total on the road off back to back losses, and I look for a relatively high scoring game today.  Take the Over.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Florida State.  These two teams met last season, and Florida State went into Louisville and defeated the Cardinals, 35-31.  We'll take the Cards to avenge that defeat, as underdogs playing with revenge from a loss the previous season have gone 63% ATS in Conference Title games.  Even better:  the Cardinals lost to Kentucky, 38-31, last week.  But Louisville is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 17-3-1 ATS its last 21) off a point spread loss, and 15-5-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Meanwhile, Florida State is a poor 37-65 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Appalachian St.   The Trojans won this Sun Belt Title game last season, as they blew out Coastal Carolina, 45-26, as a 6-point home favorite.  Over the last 2 years, the Trojans have dominated Sun Belt play, as they've gone 14-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS when priced from -3 to -15 points.  Appalachian St., on the other hand, is 5-13 ATS its last 18 conference games.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise St.  The Rebels were upset here, at home, by San Jose St. last week.  We'll take UNLV as a home underdog and fade a Boise St. team which has covered just 1 of its last 12 road games vs. an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points with the Rebels.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Toledo.  These two teams met earlier this season, in Oxford, and the Rockets came away with a 21-17 win as a 2-point road favorite.  Revenge-minded teams have cashed 52% of Conference Title games since 1992, but Miami falls into my best revenge angle which is 25-1-1 ATS since 1994 (and 19-0 ATS since 2009).  Additionally, the Red Hawks are 11-1 ATS when playing with revenge when the line was less than 12 points.  And they're 22-10 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over New Mexico St.  These two teams met earlier this season in Lynchburg, and Liberty blew out the Aggies, 33-17.  This game will also be played on the Flames' home field.  The Flames are currently riding a 7-game home win streak.  And they're 9-4 ATS at home when priced from -6 to -20 points.  The Aggies are a poor 2-9 ATS on the road when priced from +8 to +13.5 points.  Take Liberty to blow out New Mexico St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Both teams come into this game off losses.  The Bears lost a heartbreaker last week to Detroit, 31-26, while Minny fell to the Broncos, 21-20.  Unfortunately for the Vikings, winning teams (like Minnesota) have burned money on Monday Night if they lost their previous game, as they've gone 63-81-3 ATS.  Even worse for Minnesota:  revenge-minded NFC North division teams have gone 105-74 ATS if they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and were also off a straight-up loss in their previous game.   With Chicago playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to the Vikings earlier this season, I'll take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers Under the total.  The Ravens have gone 16-7 Under their last 23 as a road favorite, while the Chargers have gone 16-7 Under as a home dog vs. AFC foes.  Additionally, this season, games involving home underdogs of less than 7 (or PK) have gone 39-16 Under.  I expect a relatively low scoring game.  Take the Ravens + Chargers Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Philadelphia.  This past Monday, the Eagles won an emotional game, as they upset the Chiefs, who defeated them in last year's Super Bowl.  Off that emotional game, I'll fade Philadelphia here, as teams that avenged a playoff loss with an upset win have cashed just 38.8% in their next game.  Take the Bills.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Patriots come into this road game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Giants enter off an upset win over the Washington Commanders.  I'll take New England, as it's 22-1 ATS on the road off a loss, if its opponent was off a win.  And road favorites (or PK) off 3 losses have covered 71.8% since 1980 vs. foes off a win.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Jacksonville/Houston game.  The Jaguars were upset by Houston, 37-20, in the first meeting, and that game went over the total.  I like taking regular season rematches of games with O/U lines of 47+ under the total if the favored team was upset in the first meeting, and that prior meeting went also went Over the total.  The rematches then have gone Under the total 61.1 percent since 1980.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Both the Panthers and the Titans were blown out in their last game.  Carolina lost by 33 at home to Dallas, while the Titans were routed by Jacksonville, 34-14.  I'll take the points with the Panthers, as they're 47-27 ATS as road underdogs vs. opponents that don't have a winning record.  Meanwhile, Tennessee is a terrible 16-34-3 ATS in non-division games, if the Titans weren't getting 3+ points, including 8-27 ATS if their opponent wasn't off a win.  Take Carolina.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies won (and covered) their 7th straight game with a stunning upset of Auburn, 31-0, as a 25-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico State, as single-digit underdogs, that pulled off major upsets over non-conference foes as double-digit underdogs, have covered just 33.9% since 1980 when playing an opponent off a straight-up win.  That doesn't bode well for the Aggies on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that they've covered just 32% at home off a SU win.  Take the Gamecocks minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie..

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Washington.  These two rivals will play for the Apple Cup on Saturday afternoon.  Last year, the Huskies won the trophy with a 51-33 triumph.  I like the Cougars to avenge that defeat as they're 18-4 ATS as a 14-point (or greater) underdog when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cougars racked up 56 points last week in a blowout victory over Colorado.  Off that offensive explosion, the Coogs fall into a 60% ATS momentum system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any revenge-minded team in its final game of the season, if it scored 55+ points in its previous game.  Take Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Arizona.  Last week, I had my strongest college football play of the season-to-date on Oregon against Arizona State, and was rewarded with a 49-13 blowout victory.  But off that 36-point loss, I like Arizona State to bounce back on this Saturday against its cross-state rival, Arizona.  The Wildcats are a horrible favorite, as they've gone 53-95-3 ATS, including 2-11 ATS vs. Arizona State.  Even worse for Arizona:  the Sun Devils will be playing with revenge from a 38-35 loss last season to the Wildcats. And the revenge-minded team has gone 18-6 ATS in this series if it was installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves exploded for 77 points last week, which was the most points tallied by a team vs. an FBS foe this season.  We'll fade Arkansas St., as teams that scored more than 7 points in a SU/ATS win over an FBS foe have covered just 31% the next week, if they weren't favored by 3 or more points.  Take Marshall.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars come into this game on a 4-game losing streak after falling at home, 31-24, to Oklahoma last Saturday.  Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is 8-3 after a SU/ATS win last week at Houston.  The Cowboys are an awesome 52-25 ATS when favored by 12+ points (and 29-6 ATS their last 35 when favored by 12+ points vs. foes off back to back losses).  Take the Cowboys to blow out BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over Louisiana Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns and Warhawks will both try to snap losing streaks as they end their seasons on Saturday.  La-Lafayette lost their 3rd straight last Saturday when Troy defeated it by 7, 31-24.  Meanwhile, the Warhawks come into this game on a 9-game losing streak after falling at Ole Miss, 35-3, last Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Monroe, as teams on 9-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 36-22 ATS in their final game of the season, if they were also playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Even better:  the road teams have dominated this Bayou State rivalry, as they've gone 19-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.  We'll take the underdog Warhawks on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Jimbo Fisher era is over in College Station, and Elijah Robinson is the interim coach.  At Robinson's press conference earlier this week, he said QB Max Johnson is day-to-day with a rib injury.  If Johnson is unable to go for the Aggies, then Jaylen Henderson will make his 3rd straight start.  Regardless who is under center for A&M, we'll lay the points with LSU.  Texas A&M is a terrible 27-68 ATS away from home vs. .636 (or better) foes in the regular season, including 3-20 ATS when priced from +4 to +11.  Lay the points with LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt.  The Blue Devils are 6-5, but have dropped their last two games, including an upset loss last week at Virginia.  We'll lay the points, as winning teams have gone 38-20 ATS in their final game of the season vs. conference foes, if they were off an upset loss, and back to back losses overall.  Take Duke.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  The Lobos upset Fresno St, 25-17, last week, as a 22-point road underdog.  We'll fade New Mexico on Friday, as home teams have cashed just 39 of 114 after pulling off an upset win away from home and covering the spread in that win by 30+ points.  Lay the points with the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Jets were bombed by the Buffalo Bills last Sunday, 32-6, as an 8.5-point road underdog, while Miami downed the Las Vegas Raiders, 20-13, as a 13.5-point home favorite.  We'll take the Flyboys to bounce back off that blowout loss, as home dogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-12 ATS off a 7-point (or worse) road loss when matched up against a foe off a 7-point (or greater) home win.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Friday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The 'Huskers sit at 5-6, and need to win on Friday to gain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Iowa already has become eligible, with its 8-3 record.  I like Nebraska's chances, as NCAA teams that need to win their final game of the season to gain Bowl eligibility have cashed 55% since 1980 if they were favored in their final game.  Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule has tabbed 3rd string QB Chubba Purdy as the starting QB for this game, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Cornhuskers, as Purdy delivered the best performance by a Nebraska QB all season in last week's OT loss at Wisconsin.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  This NFC East division rivalry is one of the fiercest rivalries in the league.  And the underdog has generally got the $$$, including a 40-16 ATS record if the favored team was not off a straight-up loss.  That bodes well for the Commanders on Thursday.  As does the fact that Dallas is 1-11 ATS its last 12 Thanksgiving Day games.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers under the total.  These two teams met earlier this season in Green Bay, and Detroit won that game, 34-20.  The Over/Under for that game was 45.5.  This Thanksgiving Day game has a higher number, and it is the highest over/under line for the Packers this season.  I look for a relatively low scoring game, as Green Bay has gone 13-5 under in games with O/U lines greater than 46 points.  Additionally, the under falls into 551-449, 383-287 and 94-49 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Buffalo/New York game.  These two teams met in Week 1, on Monday Night, and the Jets escaped with a 22-16 victory in overtime.  That game went under the total of 44.5.  We have a much lower number here, and I like the Over, as rematches of AFC East division games that went under the total in the first meeting have gone over the total more often than not in the 2nd meeting.  And the Bills are also 36-26 Over in games with O/U lines less than 42 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.