At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Texas Tech.  Both of these teams are undefeated (both SU and ATS).  We'll fade the Red Raiders, as they're an ugly 19-42-2 ATS in FBS games off back to back games where they won/pushed against the spread.  Likewise, teams playing the Utah Utes away from home have gone 16-25 ATS off back-to-back ATS wins/pushes in FBS games.  Utah falls into a 286-174 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks have been installed as a road favorite against the undefeated Tigers.  We'll grab the points, as SEC teams have gone 17-49-3 ATS on the road vs. undefeated teams with a 3-0 (or better) record, when priced from +4.5 to -14.5 points.  Take Memphis.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Iowa.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0, and have outscored their opponents by 27.0 ppg.  They're a home underdog in their Big 10 season opener, and we'll happily grab the points, as the Scarlet Knights are 10-1-3 ATS their last 14 off a SU win.  And Iowa is 2-8-1 ATS vs. foes with an .833 (or better) win percentage.  Take Rutgers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  Last week, the Dolphins were upset, 33-27, by the New England Patriots, while Buffalo blew out the New York Jets, 30-10.  We'll grab the points tonight with Miami, as double-digit underdogs off an upset loss to a division foe, have cashed 76.4 percent on the road vs. a division rival off a SU/ATS win.  Also, the Bills are 3-10-1 ATS their last 14 (and 65-90-3 ATS their last 148) off back to back point spread wins.  Take Miami + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  Last season, the Chargers defeated the Raiders twice, by scores of 22-10 and 34-20.  We'll grab the points with the Raiders, as double-revenge-minded underdogs (or PK) have gone 34-14-1 ATS in their home openers vs. division rivals.  And Monday Night road favorites of -5 points (or less) have gone 29-46-1 ATS their last 76 vs. division foes.  Finally, the Raiders fall into 27-5, 60-26 and 90-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home teams not favored by 3+ points.  Grab the points with Las Vegas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Philadelphia Eagles.  We cashed our NFL Game of the Year in the Super Bowl on Philly over KC, but will go with the revenge-minded Chiefs in this rematch.  Off its season-opening loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, Kansas City has been installed as a home underdog, and it is 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog (or PK) its last 27, including 4-0 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Even better:  defending Super Bowl champs have cashed just 32.3% off a home division win, when playing on the road vs. a non-division foe.  With Philly off a season-opening win over Dallas, we'll fade it at Arrowhead on Sunday.  Take KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins minus the points over New England.  Both the Dolphins and Patriots suffered Week 1 losses:  Miami was blown out, 33-8 by Indianapolis, while the Pats were upset, 20-13, by the Raiders.  We'll take the Dolphins to bounce back off that blowout loss, as NFL teams have cashed 61.8% in Week 2 off double-digit losses vs. foes off a single-digit defeat.  Additionally, the Dolphins have covered nine straight games vs. the Patriots.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  The Ravens suffered a horrible Week 1 loss when they blew a late 15-point lead vs. the Buffalo Bills, and fell, 41-40.  Off that heartbreaking defeat, we'll fade Baltimore in this AFC North divisional match-up.  Indeed, the underdog has cashed 58.8% in AFC North division games (and 68.7% when the favorite was off a SU loss).  Grab the points with Cleveland.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  Each of Dallas and New York come into this game off losses.  New York lost 21-6 at Washington, while Dallas was edged, 24-20, by Philadelphia.  I like the Giants as a road underdog, as they've gone 80-48-1 ATS away from home when matched up against a foe without a better record (including 17-5 ATS vs. division foes off a SU loss).  That bodes well for the G-Men.  As does the fact that Dallas is a dreadful 16-32 ATS as a home favorite vs. foes that don't own a worse record.  New York also falls into a 17-0 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Detroit.  The Lions lost at Green Bay to kick off 2025.  And they return home to host the Bears, who fell on Monday night to the Minnesota Vikings.  The Lions' offense sputtered last week, and especially their ground game, which gained just 46 yards on 22 carries (2.09 YPR).  Meanwhile, the Bears had great success on the ground vs. Minnesota, as they netted 119 yards on 26 carries (4.57 YPR).  We'll grab the points with Chicago, as underdogs (or PK) have cashed 66.6% since 1980 if they averaged greater than 4.0 YPR and their opponent averaged less than 3.0 YPR.  Additionally, NFC North division underdogs of 4+ points have gone 108-79-5 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Finally, Chicago also falls into a 121-56 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Texas State.  Last week, Arizona State was upset, 24-20, by Mississippi State.  Still, the Sun Devils have been terrific against the spread, dating back to September 23, 2023, which was Kenny Dillingham's first season as head coach.  They've gone 17-6-1 (73.9%) ATS, including a virtually perfect 9-1 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  I like ASU to bounce back Saturday night vs. Texas State.  The Bobcats did upset Texas-San Antonio, 43-36, last week.  But they're a brutal 9-27 SU and 12-22-1 ATS (with one non-lined game) off a straight-up win.  And Big 12 (or Big 8) teams off upset losses have cashed 64.2% as favorites since 1980 vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks won, 28-7, at Vandy last season, as a 6-point road favorite.  And that was the 16th straight loss by the Commodores to the Gamecocks.  We'll take Vandy + the points, as it has gone 20-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a game it failed to cover by more than 7 points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU.  Last week, the Gators lost outright, 18-16, as an 18-point home favorite to South Florida.  Still, Florida was 9-1 ATS its previous 10 games vs. FBS foes, so I wouldn't overreact to that upset loss.  Florida is also 103-79-2 ATS on the road, including 22-14-1 ATS off a SU loss.  And .500 (or better) SEC Conference teams have gone 97-54 ATS away from home off upset losses, when matched against foes with .500 (or better) point spread records.  Finally, LSU has covered just 30% of home games vs. SEC Conference foes off upset losses, if LSU was off a SU win.  So, we'll happily grab the points with the Gators in this SEC showdown.  Take Florida. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Notre Dame.  Last season, the Fighting Irish went into College Station and trounced Texas A&M, 23-13.  Unfortunately for Notre Dame, it's a nasty 14-33-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Irish won the previous meeting away from home.  Take the Aggies + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies are off to an 0-2 start.  And they're 1-6 SU/ATS their last seven, dating back to last season.  This Saturday evening, they'll welcome cross-state rival, Old Dominion, to Blacksburg.  And the Monarchs will be seeking revenge from a 37-17 thrashing last season.  We'll grab the points with ODU, as Va Tech is a woeful 11-27 ATS when favored by less than 15 points vs. revenge-minded foes.  The Monarchs also fall into a 205-112 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Mississippi.  Last year, the Rebels rolled into Fayetteville and annihilated Arkansas, 63-31.  With payback on its mind, we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded underdog on Saturday evening.  Indeed, Arkansas is 26-13-2 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference rival, if the Razorbacks owned a winning record.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Arkansas/Mississippi game.  Both the Razorbacks and the Rebels enter tonight's conference game with 2-0 records.  Arkansas is giving up just 10.5 ppg, and outscoring its foes by 43.5 ppg, while Ole Miss is allowing just 15 ppg, and is outscoring its opposition by 31.5 ppg.  I like the UNDER tonight, as Ole Miss has gone 15-0 UNDER the total when installed as a favorite in FBS games, when the O/U line was 61+, while Arkansas has gone 6-1 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog in SEC games.  Additionally, NCAA FBS games have gone 111-67 UNDER the total if both teams own a defense which gives up 16 (or less) points, and the O/U line was greater than 48 points.  And the Under also falls into an 87-34 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls have opened this season with two straight upset wins:  34-7 at home vs. Boise State in Week 1, as a 4-point dog, and 18-16, as an 18-point underdog at Florida last Saturday.  The Bulls are back on the road this week, and will take on the also-undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes.  We'll fade the Bulls, as NCAA teams have covered just 30% since 1980 away from home off back-to-back upset wins to start the season (and just 17% if off a win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Pittsburgh.  This is a big rivalry game, and the Mountaineers will be seeking revenge from a 38-34 upset loss to the Panthers last season.  The revenger has gone 14-6 ATS as an underdog in this series, and the revenger has also gone 9-2 ATS if it was upset the previous season.  Additionally, WVU is 16-8-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take the Mountaineers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Missouri State.  The Bears upset Marshall, 21-20, as a 6.5-point road underdog last week, while SMU was upset by Baylor, 48-45, in overtime, as a 3-point home favorite.  We'll lay the points with SMU, as ACC Conference teams have gone 50-15 ATS when favored by 8 (or more) vs. foes off upset wins.  Additionally, the Mustangs are 8-0 ATS their last eight (and 12-2-1 ATS their last 15) off an upset loss, when not getting more than 7 points. And SMU also falls into 150-57, 86-48 and 193-97 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Mustangs to blow out the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Washington State.  The Mean Green are off to a 2-0 start this season after blowing out Lamar, 51-0, and defeating Western Michigan, 33-30.  They're favored by single digits this week at home, vs. Washington State.  And North Texas is a dominant 27-2 SU and 22-7 ATS as a favorite off back-to-back wins.  The Mean Green also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 303-199 ATS since 1980.  Lay the points with North Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over USC.  The Boilers are 2-0 following wins over Ball State (31-0) and Southern Illinois (31-17).  We'll grab the double-digits with the home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of 8 (or more) points have cashed 59% off back to back wins by more than 7 points.  Take Purdue.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oregon St.  The Red Raiders are off to a great 2-0 start, after blowing out Kent State, 62-14, and are 2nd in scoring margin (54.0 points) behind only Oregon (56.0 points).  Texas Tech is 67-43-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 8 points, including 12-4-2 ATS if it won its previous game by 48+ points.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas Tech/Oregon State game.  The Red Raiders come into this afternoon's game off back-to-back high-scoring wins.  They pounded Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 67-7, and then crushed Kent State, 62-14.  They'll now host Oregon State, which lost two home games to California and Fresno State to start the season.  I like the UNDER, as non-conference games have gone UNDER 60.6% if a team averaged 52+ points on offense, and the O/U line was greater than 59.  The UNDER also falls into 129-63 and 144-75 totals systems of mine.  Take the Beavers and Red Raiders UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Troy Trojans + the points against Memphis.  The Tigers trounced Troy last season, 38-17, in Memphis.  This game, however, will be played at Troy.  And we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Trojans.  Indeed, Troy has cashed 75% as revenge-minded home underdogs vs. non-conference foes, while Memphis is a wallet-busting 36% as a road-favorite vs. revenge minded non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Oklahoma.  The Bryce Underwood era got off to a good start last week when the Wolverines defeated New Mexico State, 34-17.  Michigan will now travel to Norman to take on Oklahoma, which won, 35-3, vs. Illinois St in Week 1.  We'll grab the points with Michigan, as the Wolves are 34-25 ATS in the regular season as a road underdog.  And SEC Conference teams have covered just 30% over the last 45 years when favored by 3+ points at home vs. the Big 10.  Oklahoma also falls into a negative 18-48 ATS system of mine.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Rice.  Last week, the Owls upset Louisiana-Lafayette on the road, 14-12.  They're back home on Saturday evening to host cross-town rival, Houston.  We'll lay the points with the Cougars, as they've covered 75% since 1980 as a double-digit road favorite vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  And Rice is a woeful 44-63-3 ATS in non-conference games, when installed as an underdog.  The Owls also fall into a negative 24-84 ATS system of mine based on their victory last week.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Razorbacks blew out Alabama A&M last week, 52-7, while the Red Wolves defeated Southeast Missouri, 42-24.  We'll lay the points with Arkansas, as 21-point (or greater) favorites off a 45-point (or greater) win in their season opener have cashed 66% vs. non-conference foes.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a 130-69 ATS system of mine.  Take Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over South Florida.  The Bulls upended Boise State, 34-7, last week as a 5-point home dog.  Unfortunately, South Florida has covered just 30.7% as a road underdog after a double-digit cover its previous game.  And Florida falls into a 385-277 ATS momentum system of mine off its 55-0 whitewash of Long Island.  Lay the points with the Gators.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks were shutout, 17-0, last week by Wisconsin.  They're catching double digits vs. another Big 10 foe this week, and we'll back the homestanding Scarlet Knights.  Over the last 44 years, underdogs of 11+ points, off a shutout loss to start the season, have covered just 33% the following week.  Take Rutgers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Ole Miss.  Both of these teams won last week.  Ole Miss routed Georgia State, 63-7, while the Wildcats downed Toledo, 24-16.  Kentucky is a super 26-10 ATS as an underdog vs. .666 (or better) foes, including 6-0 ATS its last six.  And the Wildcats fall into one of my favorite systems which is 299-198 ATS since 1980.  Grab the points.

>At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Utah St.  Last week, Utah State won, 28-16, vs. UTEP.  But that game was in Logan; this will be in College Station.  And Texas A&M has dominated non-conference foes at Kyle Field, as it's 43-26 ATS, including 9-0 ATS its last nine when priced from -21.5 to -31.5 vs. foes off a SU win.  Lay the points with Texas A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas were a 2-TD underdog last Saturday at San Jose State, but stunned the Spartans, 16-14.  I look for a letdown in the Steel City on Saturday afternoon, as the Chips are an ugly 1-16 SU and 3-13-1 ATS off an upset win, when installed as a dog of 3+ points, including 0-6 ATS in non-conference games.  Pitt, meanwhile, is a solid 16-8 ATS when laying 3+ points vs. foes off an upset win.  The Panthers put up 61 points last week in their 61-9 pasting of cross-town rival, Duquesne.  And that big win has triggered a 226-129 ATS momentum system of mine.  Lay the points with the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Kennesaw State.  The Hoosiers did something last week it hardly did at all last season.  It failed to cover the point spread as a favorite.  Last season, Curt Cignetti's men went 9-2 ATS as a favorite.  But off that ATS loss, I look for Indiana to get back into the ATS win column on Saturday.  The Hoosier's are 4-0 ATS when laying more than 27.  And Big 10 Conference teams are an super 115-83 ATS when favored by more than 25 vs. a non-conference foe.  Take Indiana.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers opened their season with a 48-7 blowout of Coastal Carolina.  But that game was at home, in Charlottesville; this game will be in Raleigh.  And UVa has struggled on the road when not getting 3.5 (or more) points, as it's covered just 15 of 48.  Take the Wolfpack to blow Virginia out.

At 7:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Notre Dame.  Each of these teams had winning seasons a year ago.  Miami was 10-3, and earned a Pop-Tarts Bowl berth, where it lost, 42-41, to Iowa State.  Notre Dame, meanwhile, went 14-2, and reached the NCAA Championship game, where it fell to Ohio State, 34-23.  I like the Hurricanes, as home underdogs (or PK) have gone 13-1 ATS their last 14 (and 64.1% ATS the last 42 seasons) in season openers, if they neither owned a losing record, nor had a better win percentage than their opponent in the prior season.  Miami-Fla has done well as home underdogs, going 21-13 ATS, while Notre Dame is a wallet-busting 0-7 ATS as road favorites in its season openers.  Additionally, the Fighting Irish fall into negative systems of mine which have records of 31-65, 61-96, and 87-123 ATS.  Grab the points with Mario Cristobal's men.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over the Ohio State Buckeyes.  The Longhorns come into this season as the nation's #1-ranked team (in both the AP and Coaches polls).  Ohio State is #2 in the Coaches poll, and #3 in the AP poll.  These teams also met in the Playoffs last season, and Ohio State won that semifinal showdown with a 28-14 win as a 5.5-point favorite at the Cotton Bowl, in Dallas.  The Buckeyes then went on to win the National Championship with a victory over Notre Dame, 34-23.  I like Texas to avenge that loss, as revenge-minded teams have gone 10-0 ATS vs. defending National Champions, when priced from -4.5 to +6.5 points, if the previous meeting was in the post-season.  Even better:  SEC Conference teams have gone 46-22-1 ATS in their season opener if they were priced from +3.5 to -21 points, and had a .700 (or better) win percentage the previous season.  Grab the points with Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston State Bearkats + the points over Western Kentucky.  Both of these teams went 6-2 in Conference USA play last season, and are expected to have strong records this season (but not as strong as Liberty, which is projected to win Conference USA).  Overall, the Bearkats were 10-3, including a win over Georgia Southern in the New Orleans Bowl (31-24), while the Hilltoppers were 8-6, including a loss in the C-USA Championship game to Jacksonville St (52-12), and in the Boca Raton Bowl to James Madison (27-17).  In last season's lone meeting between these teams, Western Kentucky defeated Sam Houston, 31-14, in Huntsville.  There has been a change on the sideline for Sam Houston, as Phil Longo replaced K.C. Keeler as head coach in December.  Longo does have a history with the Bearkats, as he was the team's offensive coordinator from 2014-16, and was named the national Coordinator of the Year in 2016.  Importantly, in that 3-year period, Sam Houston St. went 34-10, and won the Southland Conference in two of those three seasons.  I like the underdog Bearkats + the points, as Western Kentucky's coach Tyson Helton (and his staff) will be at a slight disadvantage because there is no videotape of Longo (and his tendencies) with this Bearkats team.  Additionally, the Bearkats fall into 378-278 and 36-13 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Finally, Sam Houston St. is 10-4-1 ATS as an underdog since hitting the board as an FBS team in 2023.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, Feb. 9, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  At the start of the Playoffs, I predicted the Eagles would defeat the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, and I have no reason to run away from that prediction now.  Especially since Philly has been installed as the underdog.  I've always agreed with the adage that -- at least in the NFL -- "defense wins championships."  Admittedly, this Super Bowl 59 matches up two excellent defensive teams.  But Philly has been the league's best defensive team throughout the season, when assessed by the most important metrics.  For example, the Eagles ranked #2 in the league in scoring defense, with 303 points allowed.  And they fell just 2 points shy of the Los Angeles Chargers' defense, which allowed 301 points.  Kansas City ranked #4 in scoring defense, at 326 points allowed.  Then, in yards per game, the Eagles were #1, at 278.4 ypg, while the Chiefs were 9th, at 320.6 ypg.  And, finally, the Eagles were also #1 in yards per play, at 4.8 ypp, while the Chiefs ranked #12, at 5.4 ypp.  Most years, the team with the better scoring defense is installed as the favorite; here, it's the underdog.  And underdogs have gone 10-4 ATS in Super Bowls with the better scoring defense.  And Philly has gone 8-1 ATS as an underdog in the Playoffs with the better scoring defense.  Meanwhile, for all of Andy Reid's success, his teams have gone just 5-6 ATS when favored in the Playoffs, if they didn't own the better scoring defense (compared to 14-11-1 ATS when Reid's team DID own the better defense).  So, defense + underdog status is one reason why I favor the Eagles.  The other is that Philly has played relatively better than the Chiefs down the stretch, whether in the Playoffs, or in the last five games.  And, to be generous to the Chiefs, I will toss out their 38-0 loss to the Broncos in the season finale, when they rested their best players.  So far, in the Playoffs, KC has covered the point spread by an average of 2.0 ppg, while the Eagles have covered by an average of 12.5 ppg.  Then, over the teams' last five games (with the game vs. Denver tossed out), KC's average point spread differential was +7.2, while the Eagles' point spread differential was +12.5.  And these point spread differential statistics tie into a Super Bowl 'momentum' system of mine which has cashed 77.2%.  Finally, Philadelphia has the better scoring margin than Kansas City.  The Eagles have outscored their foes by an average of 10.5 ppg, while the Chiefs are at 3.73 ppg (or 6.05 ppg if the 38-0 loss is excepted).  Now, most of the time, the team with the better scoring margin has NOT been the underdog in the Playoffs.  That's been the case in 383 of the 490 post-season games played up to this point since 1980.  But in the games where they were installed as an underdog, they've gone 63-41-3 ATS since 1980.  Take Philadelphia + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Buffalo Bills.  We played on the Bills as a 1-point home dog last week, in part because of Buffalo's strong record at home in the Playoffs (now, 16-3 SU at home).  But it's been a completely different story for the Bills outside of Orchard Park.  Since 1980, the Bills have gone 3-15 SU and 4-13-1 ATS in the Playoffs when not in front of their home faithful.  And if Buffy's opponent owned a .714 (or better) win percentage, then our 4-13-1 ATS mark collapses to 0-9 SU/ATS.  The Chiefs (obviously) have excelled in the playoffs the last six seasons, with a 15-2 SU record, and a 12-4-1 ATS ledger.  And they're a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS when not laying 3 or more points.  And this success as an underdog or a short favorite has extended to the regular season, as well.  When one looks at KC's ATS record in all games, it is a sensational 24-9 SU/ATS when not favored by more than 3 points.  For this AFC Championship game, one of the key factors for me is the superiority of the Chiefs' defense.  KC is allowing just 18.88 ppg, while Buffalo is 2.17 points worse, at 21.05.  And, since 1980, in AFC Conference Championship games, favorites of less than 9 points, with scoring defenses at least 1.3 ppg better, have gone 11-1 SU/ATS.  Lay the points with the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Washington.  Last weekend, the Commanders put up a whopping 45 points and defeated Detroit, 45-31.  But off that offensive explosion, we'll fade the Commanders in this NFC Title game.  Indeed, since 1980, teams that scored 35 (or more) points in their previous game have cashed just 31.2% of Conference Championship games, when installed as an underdog.  Even better:  Philly plays this game with revenge from a 36-33 loss last month at Washington.  However, the good news for Philly is that it is 102-75 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Buffalo game.  This is a great match-up, as they're two of the 4 best scoring margin teams in the league (along with the Lions and Eagles).  The Ravens are outscoring their opponents by 9.50 ppg, while Buffalo has outscored its foes by 10.05 ppg.  I like playing on match-ups between elite teams Over the total, and especially when the O/U line projects the game to be relatively high-scoring, with a line of greater than 50 points.  Buffalo's home playoff games have gone OVER 13 of 17 since 1991.  Additionally, over the last 45 years, the Ravens have gone OVER in 60% of their games with O/U lines greater than 50, while the Bills have gone OVER in 57% of their games with O/U lines greater than 50.  Take the Over.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Baltimore.  It's not often you get the Bills priced as an underdog.  And at home, no less.  But that's the case today against the Ravens, who are 13-5 SU and 11-6-1 ATS.  We'll grab the points with Josh Allen & Co., as they're an awesome 19-4-2 ATS their last 25 (and 40-18-3 ATS their last 61) vs. foes with a winning SU/ATS record, if the Bills were not favored by 4+ points.  The Bills have also won 15 of their last 18 home playoff games, straight-up, including 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS when the game was competitively-priced with a point spread between PK and 4.5.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams to go OVER the total.  The Eagles come into this game off back-to-back low-scoring affairs.  They defeated the New York Giants, 20-13, to end the regular season.  And, then, they took care of business last week with a 22-10 win over Green Bay.  But off those two relatively low-scoring games, we'll look for a much higher-scoring game on Sunday.  Indeed, Philadelphia is 11-4 OVER the total its last 15 after going Under in two straight games.  And five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone OVER the total, including Philly's 37-20 triumph over the Rams back in November.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Eagles have completely dominated the Rams, with SU/ATS wins in each of the current and previous seasons.  And Philly is 8-1 SU its last nine vs. L.A., and 16-3-1 ATS its last 20 games in this series.  Some might be tempted to take Los Angeles because it was playing with double revenge from its 37-20 loss this season, and its 23-14 loss to the Eagles last season.  But NFL teams playing with double revenge have gone 11-27-2 ATS in the Playoffs if they weren't getting more than 7 points, and were not off an ATS loss.  Take Philly to blow out Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Houston.  We played on the Texans as a home underdog last week, and were rewarded with a blowout win, 32-12, over the L.A. Chargers.  But off that game, where the Texans covered by 22.5 points, we'll fade them on the road against the defending champs.  Since Andy Reid took over the coaching reins of the Chiefs, they've gone 35-24 ATS vs. foes that covered the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game, including 21-13 ATS at home.  That bodes well for Kansas City on Saturday.  As does the fact that NFL home favorites of more than 7 points, off a SU loss in their previous game, have gone 22-12 ATS in the Playoffs.  Finally, in Reid's years as a head coach with the Eagles and Chiefs, his teams have excelled when playing with a week of rest, as they've gone 33-7 SU and 25-15 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  These two teams met in Los Angeles earlier this season, and the Rams defeated Minnesota, 30-20.  And that was the 3rd straight win by the Rams in this series -- each time scoring 30+ points.  I like the Rams as an underdog, as they're 8-4 ATS their last 12 in this role.  Meanwhile, Minnesota is 28-40-4 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. non-division foes.  And it's 4-12 ATS its last 16 playoff games away from home.  Finally, the Rams fall into a 55-16 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with worse W/L records.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Philadelphia.  The Packers lost to the Chicago Bears, 24-22, as a 10-point favorite last weekend.  I like Green Bay to bounce back on Sunday, as it will play this game with revenge from a loss to the Eagles in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on opening weekend.  And revenge-minded teams have cashed 78% in the NFL playoffs vs. non-division foes, if our revenger was off an upset loss to end the regular season.  Additionally, the Packers are 21-12 ATS off a SU loss, while Philadelphia is 4-12-1 ATS its last 17 vs. foes off a SU loss (and 1-8 ATS its last 9 vs. foes off back-to-back losses).  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  This is arguably the league's best current rivalry.  And, like many heated rivalries, the underdog has barked loudly.  Indeed, the underdog has won 10 of the last 14 meetings in this series OUTRIGHT.  Even better:  when the underdog has also owned a worse W/L record, it's gone 13-0 ATS over the last 13 in this situation!  We'll grab the points with Mike Tomlin's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Chargers will be playing their 3rd straight road game on Saturday.  And that doesn't bode well, as teams playing their 3rd straight road game are a poor 27-43-3 ATS in the Playoffs.  Even worse:  favorites are a soft 49-66-1 ATS in their first playoff game of the season, if they weren't a playoff team the previous year.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Ohio St.  The Buckeyes have rebounded nicely off their upset loss to Michigan, with back to back blowout wins over Tennessee and Oregon.  Texas, meanwhile, has also rebounded off its SEC Championship game loss to Georgia with wins over Clemson and Arizona State (though it took overtime to defeat the Sun Devils).  I like Texas + the points, as SEC Conference teams have gone 55-29 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points in the Bowls, if they weren't off 3+ wins.  Even better:  Ohio State is a horrid 4-12 ATS away from Columbus, Ohio vs. SEC Conference foes, including 1-10 ATS when it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

 At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Notre Dame.  (No write-up as I have been evacuated due to the Los Angeles fires and am away from my data.)

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Minnesota/Detroit game.  The Lions have played their last 4 games OVER the total.  But off that string of high-scoring games, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday night.  Indeed, NFL teams off EXACTLY 4 Overs have gone 136-72-5 Under the total in division games with O/U lines greater than 36 points.  Take the Lions and Vikings UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Miami.  The Jets were blown out, 40-14, last week by Buffalo.  We'll take New York to rebound off that blowout loss, as NFL home dogs (or PK) with a losing record have gone 58-43 ATS in division games off a loss by more than 25 points.  Take the Jets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Sean McVay has signaled that he plays to rest his starters.  We'll fade Los Angeles, as it is a soft 18-31 ATS off back to back wins in McVay's coaching tenure, including 6-15 ATS at home.  Take Seattle.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Andy Reid won't play his starters in this meaningless game, so the Chiefs have been installed as a big underdog.  We'll take Denver to bounce back off its two losses to the Chargers and Bengals, as winning teams have gone 35-20 ATS when favored by more than 3 points against foes off back to back wins.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Buffalo.  The Bills defeated New England by 3 points two weeks ago.  We'll grab the points with New England, as it's 22-7-2 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Patriots.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta.  The Falcons have a negative scoring margin, at -1.75, but are laying north of a touchdown.  I don't like laying 7+ points with teams that have negative scoring margins, as they've cashed just 42.8% since 1980.  Take Carolina.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over Washington.  The Cowboys were blown out last week at Philly, while Washington won in overtime vs. Atlanta.  We'll grab the points with Dallas as the underdog in this NFC East division rivalry has gone 40-18-1 ATS if its opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  Take the Cowboys + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Philadelphia.  The Giants are an awesome 80-47-1 ATS away from home when it doesn't own the better W/L record, including 28-15 ATS vs. division foes.  Take New York.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points over New Orleans.  The Saints mustered just 10 points last week at home vs. the Las Vegas Raiders.  We'll fade New Orleans in this final game of the season, as road teams have cashed just 36% since 1980 vs. winning foes in the season finale after scoring 10 points or less at home in their previous game.  Take Tampa.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Chicago.  Green Bay lost last week to Minnesota.  We'll take the Packers at home vs. Chicago, as the Bears are 11-33 ATS on the road vs. winning foes that weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Take Green Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  We played against the Colts last week, and got the $$$ with New York, which upset Indy, 45-33.  We'll switch gears and play on the Colts this week, as they're a solid 61-36-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Indianapolis.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Indianapolis/Jacksonville game.  Indianapolis' division home games are 72-43-1 UNDER the total since 1990.  I look for another low-scoring game on this Sunday.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Philadelphia/New York game.  Last week, the Eagles put up 41 points vs. Dallas.  But off that offensive explosion, I expect Philly's offense to take a holiday on Sunday -- especially since their key personnel will be on the sidelines.  The Eagles are 21-8-1 Under after scoring 40+ points.  Even better:  the Giants are 53-26-1 UNDER in their last 80 games.  I won't fade those stats, and look for a very low-scoring game in Philadelphia on Sunday.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  This series has largely favored the Under, as the Under has gone 36-19-3 the last 58 meetings.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Sunday.  Also, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which is 346-240-12.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Under the total.  Pittsburgh has played 19 of its last 28 home games Under the total, including 9-0 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 41 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Cleveland.  The Browns upset the Ravens, 29-24, earlier this season.  We'll take Baltimore on Saturday, as Cleveland is 5-24 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Cleveland game.  The Ravens are 9-4-1 OVER their last 14 home games, while Cleveland is 13-5 Over their last 18 road games.  I look for another high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Over.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Buffalo.  The Flames have superior rushing stats, as they have rushed for 5.6 ypr on the season, and have allowed just 4.0 ypr.  In contrast, the Bulls have rushed for just 4.1 ypr, and have also allowed 4.0 ypr.  I'm not a fan of laying points in Bowl games to teams with the better rushing stats, and will happily grab the points with Liberty.  Take the Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, in the First Responder Bowl, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Texas State.  This is a quasi-home game for the Mean Green, as the game will be played in Dallas, a mere 40 miles from Denton, Texas.  In two previous seasons, the Mean Green played a Bowl game in Dallas (vs. UNLV (Jan 1, 2014) and vs. Army (Dec 27, 2016), and they covered the point spread in each game.  We'll grab the points with North Texas, and go against Texas St., as .500 (or better) Sun Belt Conference teams are a poor 16-37 ATS when favored vs. non-conference foes off a win.  And double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 94-77 ATS.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Ole Miss/Duke game.  The O/U line in this Gator Bowl opened at 53.5.  But it's a couple of points lower today, and the current O/U line has triggered two Bowl Totals systems of mine, with records of 46-23 and 95-59.  Twelve of the last 16 Bowl match-ups between the SEC and ACC Conferences have sailed OVER the total.  And we'll look for a high-scoring game in this Gator Bowl on Thursday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, on Wednesday, in the Rose Bowl quarterfinal matchup, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Oregon.  We played on Oregon in the regular season and it was a rare 5* play for me.  The Ducks rewarded us with a 32-31 upset win over the Buckeyes.  We'll switch gears, and take the Buckeyes in this rematch.  Ohio State is an awesome 11-1 ATS its last 12 (and 21-6 ATS its last 27) when playing with revenge when it wasn't favored by more than 6 points.  I look for Ryan Day's men to roast the Ducks.  Take Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Baylor.  The Bears have been installed as a favorite over LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with the Tigers, as SEC Conference teams have gone 65-41 ATS in the Bowls when getting 3+ points.  Meanwhile, Baylor has lost its last 3 Bowl games outright as a favorite.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Reliaquest Bowl at Tampa, Florida, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines reached their zenith this season when they upset rival, Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, as a 19.5-point underdog.  The Wolves have generally had letdowns following upset wins, including 3-11-1 ATS their last 15 after pulling an upset as an underdog of 4+ points (and, then, 0-6 ATS if their current opponent was playing with revenge).  Last year, the Wolverines bounced 'Bama out of the Playoffs in the semi-final game at the Rose Bowl.  We'll take the revenge-minded Crimson Tide minus the points this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the 49ers/Lions game.  Detroit enters this Monday night tilt off 3 straight high-scoring affairs, in which they scored 34, 42 and 34 points.  Off those 3 high scores, we'll look for the Lions + Niners to go UNDER, as Monday Night Football games have gone 70.5% Under if a team scored more than 30 points in each of its 3 previous games.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over Detroit.  These two teams met in last year's NFC conference championship game.  San Francisco won that game, 34-31, to reach the Super Bowl.  This season, the 49ers won't reach the post-season, while Detroit is the odds-on choice to represent the NFC in the title game.  I like the 49ers as a home underdog tonight.  It's San Francisco's final home game of the season, and it enters off back to back upset losses to the Rams and Dolphins.  San Francisco is a terrific 81-47-3 ATS off an upset loss.  And teams playing their final home game of the season on Monday Night Football have gone 33-21-1 ATS.  Take the 49ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Missouri.  The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the Bowl games.  Outside of the FBS Playoff loss by Indiana to Notre Dame, the Big 10 has rolled to a 5-0 ATS record in the Bowl games.  We'll look for that streak to continue this afternoon, as Iowa is an underdog with the better rush offense and rush defense.  The Hawkeyes are averaging 5.2 ypr compared to Missouri's 4.2 ypr.  And on defense, the Hawks allow 3.7 ypr compared to 4.0 ypr for Missouri's defense.  Iowa falls into a 159-100 ATS Bowl system of mine, based on these stats.  Grab the points with Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Washington Commanders.  Last week, Washington stormed back in the final seconds to defeat Philly, as a 3.5-point home dog.  Off that huge upset win over the division-leading Eagles, we'll fade Washington this evening.  The Commanders are a soft 86-120 ATS as a regular season home favorite.  Even worse:  home favorites off upset home wins have covered just 44% over 45 years.  Take Atlanta + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Miami.  The Browns have lost their last four games, both SU and ATS.  Still, I'll grab the points with the Browns, as in the final 2 weeks of the NFL season, home dogs have cashed 61.2% since 1980 off 4 SU/ATS losses.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Indianapolis.  This is the Giants' final home game of the season.  And home dogs have gone 77-49 ATS in their final home game off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take New York + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tennessee/Jacksonville game.  These two teams played a low-scoring game in the season's first meeting, with the Jaguars prevailing, 10-6.  I'll look for a relatively high-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL games have gone over the total 58.2% if the previous meeting totaled less than 35 points.  Take the Over.

At 5:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack ended their season with an upset win over rival, North Carolina, while ECU was upset by Navy, 34-20.  Unfortunately, the Wolfpack are a woeful 55-82-2 ATS away from home off a SU Win, including a wallet-busting 18-40 ATS vs. foes off an ATS loss.  But that's not the worst part.  If NC State's opponent failed to cover the spread by more than 13 points in its previous game, then our 18-40 stat tumbles to 2-18 ATS, including 0-8 ATS the last seven.  Grab the points with East Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns + the points over TCU.  The Cajuns lost at home, 31-3, to Marshall in the Sun Belt title game.  Still, Louisiana is a solid 10-3 SU and 7-4-1 ATS this season.  We'll take Louisiana to bounce back on Saturday, as Louisiana is a perfect 8-0-1 ATS following a home game where it failed to score 14+ points.  Additionally, underdogs of 3+ points, with a SU/ATS record greater than 0.600, have cashed 60.4% since 1980 off an upset loss.  Even better:  Big 12 Conference teams are a soft 19-29 ATS in the Bowls when laying more than 6 points.  And the Sun Belt Conference has gone 10-2 ATS vs. Big 12 Conference foes when installed as an underdog of +14 points (or less).  Finally, Louisiana-Lafayette falls into one of my favorite Bowl systems, which is 102-60-5 ATS since 1980.  Take the Cajuns on Saturday + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Boston College.  The Cornhuskers have done great as a favorite in the Bowls (10-4 ATS), and not-so-great when installed as an underdog (6-9 ATS).  The good news for the 'Huskers, then, in this Pinstripe Bowl, is that it's been installed as a favorite vs. the Eagles.  Boston College does come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Pitt and North Carolina.  But Nebraska is a super 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins if the Huskers weren't laying more than 11 points.  Finally, the Big 10 Conference has been dominant vs. the ACC in the Bowls, going 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite of 10 or less points.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Washington St. Cougars + the points over Syracuse.  The Cougars come into this game off 3 straight losses -- all as a favorite -- to New Mexico, Oregon St., and Wyoming.  But we'll step in and take the double-digits with Wazzu, as Bowl teams have cashed 60% over the last 45 years off 3 upset losses.  Even better:  the Orange are 0-7 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the Orange weren't getting more than 3 points.  Grab the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Commodores come into this Birmingham Bowl game off a season-ending loss to rival Tennessee, 36-23.  And that was Vandy's 3rd straight loss, overall.  We'll grab the points with the Commodores on Friday afternoon, as SEC Conference teams have gone 81-54 ATS in Bowl games since 1980 off a SU loss, including 37-14 ATS if they were getting more than 2 points.  Take Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Seattle.  Chicago will be playing its last home game of the season, and will seek to snap a long 9-game losing streak tonight.  Chicago falls into 13-1 and 72-26 ATS 'Last Home Game' systems of mine that play on certain teams in their final home game off SU losses.  Also, the Bears are a super 47-27 ATS at home off back to back losses, if they're not favored by more than 3 points.  Take the Bears + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Seattle Seahawks to go UNDER the total.  The Bears have been installed as a home dog in this game.  And Chicago has gone 38-22 UNDER when installed as a home dog, if the O/U line was between 41 and 48 points.  Additionally, the Seahawks are 68-51-1 UNDER as a road favorite.  I'll look for a low-scoring game on Thursday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs come into this game off a 27-19 victory over Houston, while the Steelers were blown out by Baltimore, 34-17.  We'll fade KC on Christmas, as defending Super Bowl champs are an awful 2-13 ATS on the road off a SU win, if they were playing a winning, non-division foe.  Even better:  the Steelers are an awesome 18-0 ATS off a SU loss, in which they gave up 30+ points, if they weren't getting 6+ points in their current game.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, in the Hawaii Bowl, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over San Jose St.  San Jose ended its regular season with a SU/ATS home win over Stanford, while South Florida lost, 35-28, to Rice.  We'll fade San Jose as a favorite tonight, as it has gone 10-23 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS win, including 3-11 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 13-6 ATS in Hawaii Bowl games, including 8-2 ATS vs. opponents off a SU win.  Finally, the Bulls fall into a 128-81 ATS Bowl system of mine which plays on certain teams off a SU loss.  Grab the points with South Florida.

At 11 am, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  Coastal Carolina is playing this Bowl game in its home stadium, and has been installed as a double-digit home underdog.  Dating back to 1981, double-digit dogs have rolled to a 90-71-3 ATS record in the Bowl games.  That bodes well for Coastal Carolina in this game.  As does the fact that the Chanticleers are 10-5 ATS as an underdog in non-conference games, while the Roadrunners are 3-8 as favorites vs. non-conference foes.  Grab the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Buccaneers pulled off a massive upset last week, when they pummeled the Los Angeles Chargers, 40-17.  But off that huge 23-point win, I'll fade Tampa, as NFL favorites are a dismal 85-109 ATS off a 10-point (or greater) upset win.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/New England game.  The Bills come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs vs. the Rams and Lions.  And Buffalo allowed 44 points to L.A. and 42 to Detroit.  I'll take the UNDER in this game, as NFL teams have gone 157-116 UNDER in games with O/U lines between 42.5 and 56, if they gave up more than 33 points in each of their two previous games.  Take New England + Buffalo Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  This is Seattle's last home game of the season.  And winning teams have cashed 60% since 1980 off a straight-up loss, if they were playing their final home game, and installed as an underdog (or PK).  Seattle's also 25-15 ATS its last 40 as a home dog, while the Vikings are a poor 54-72-5 ATS as a road favorite, including 6-14 ATS vs. winning foes.  Take the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Chicago game.  The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs vs. the Packers (34-31) and Bills (48-42).  Off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the UNDER, as NFL teams have gone 43-26 UNDER following two games where 65+ points were scored in each.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Philadelphia.  This is the Eagles' last road game of the season, and they have 2 more home games on deck.  Since 1990, NFL teams have cashed just 73 of 170 when they were playing their final road game with at least 2 more home games to go.  Additionally, the Commanders are 47-27 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, if the Commanders were also off a win.  Grab the points with the home underdog.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Bears have been installed as a home dog vs. Detroit, which defeated the Bears on Thanksgiving Day by 3 points.  We'll grab the points, as Chicago is a super 12-3 ATS as a home dog of +6 (or more) points, if it didn't cover the spread in either of its two previous games.  Additionally, in the season's final 3 games, NFL road teams with a win percentage > .800, have covered just 1 of 13 since 1986 vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if our home team was playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jets/Rams to go UNDER the total.  The line in this game has ticked up to 47, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Under, since it now falls into a super 334-238-12 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, the Rams are 42-22-4 Under vs. foes off 3+ Overs, including 11-0 Under their last 11 (and 20-3-3 Under their last 26) if the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Tennessee.  The Buckeyes lost yet again to rival Michigan, as the Wolverines stunned Ohio State, 13-10, in Columbus, to end the season.  The good news for the Buckeyes is that its season didn't end with that loss, and it has a great opportunity ahead of it to still win the NCAA Championship.  I look for Ohio State to get off on the right foot in this opening round game, as it has gone 59-28-3 ATS when scoring less than 25 points in its previous game.  Take Ohio St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.