At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Buffalo/Kansas City game.  The last three meetings between these AFC Conference rivals (and six of the last eight) have sailed OVER the total.  And that's the way we'll look on this Sunday, as the Bills are 22-13 OVER as a home underdog, including 4-0 OVER their last four.  And KC is 80-56 OVER as a road favorite.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Los Angeles.  The Rams come into this afternoon's game off back to back wins over the Ravens and Jaguars, and are 5-2 on the season.  We'll fade Los Angeles as a double-digit favorite today, as the Rams are a soft 19-32 ATS off back to back wins under coach Sean McVay, including 7-15 ATS at home (and 0-5 ATS at home vs. .333 (or worse) foes).  Take New Orleans.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams to go OVER the total.  The Saints have been installed as a 2-touchdown favorite after getting blown out, 23-3, by Tampa in their last game.  We'll take the OVER as the Saints are 12-5 Over the total as a double digit under.  Additionally, teams that scored 6 (or less) points at home in their previous game have gone 10-0 OVER their last 10.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons plus the points over the New England Patriots.  We played against Atlanta last week, and got the $$$ with Miami when the Dolphins upset the Birds, 34-10.  And we also faded Atlanta two weeks ago and cashed the 49ers when they downed Atlanta, 20-10.  We'll switch gears this afternoon, and grab the points with the Falcons.  Admittedly, the Patriots have dominated this series, going 7-0 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings (including the overtime thriller in the Super Bowl nine seasons ago).  Still, I love this situational spot for Atlanta, as it falls into several of my best bounce-back angles, with records of 104-37, 176-101, 136-83 and 167-87 ATS.  New England also falls into negative 84-151 and 137-214 ATS systems of mine based on their season performance.  And the Patriots are a putrid 17-38-1 ATS at home following two games where they covered the spread by more than 7 points.  Take the Falcons.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Minnesota game.  This is the first meeting this season between these NFC North division rivals.  The Vikings come into this game off 5 straight OVERS, which has triggered a contrarian totals system of mine which is 112-72 since 1980.  Additionally, division games with O/U lines between 44-52 have gone 810-678 UNDER the total.  Take the Vikings/Lions UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Chicago Bears to go UNDER the total.  Five of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone UNDER, and we'll look for that to continue on Sunday.  The Bengals are 20-12 UNDER as a favorite when the O/U line has been 48+ points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Titans made a coaching change before last week's game when they fired Brian Callahan, and named Mike McCoy as interim head coach.  Teams that make mid-season head coaching changes relatively early in the season have generally seen immediate dividends with their new coach, and have covered the spread 69.7% in their first two games with the new hire.  Take Tennessee + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts to go UNDER the total.  The Steelers are a reliable 48-26 UNDER the total when the O/U line was 47+ points, including 6-0-1 UNDER their last four when installed as an underdog of +4 points (or less).  Take the Colts and Steelers Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New York/San Francisco game.  The Giants have gone 31-10 UNDER the total at home their last 41.  And when the O/U line has been 45+ points, the Under has cashed 10 in a row.  We'll look for another low-scoring game at the Meadowlands.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats have ripped off seven straight wins following a season-opening, 20-17 loss to Nebraska.  But Cincy was favored in all but one of those seven games (and by an average of 14.6 ppg).  Here, they're getting more than a touchdown.  The Bearcats are a brutal 10-20 ATS when installed as an underdog of 8+ points.  And they also fall into negative 87-141, 209-329 and 35-87 ATS systems of mine that fade certain good teams dressed up as an underdog.  Lay the points with Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tennessee/Oklahoma game.  This season, Tennessee's games have averaged 76.5 ppg.  In stark contrast, Oklahoma's games have averaged 40.8 ppg.  So, something will have to give on Saturday night.  I think Tennessee's offense will give way to Oklahoma's defense.  And, for technical support, in match-ups (at Game 8 forward) between teams whose games average less than 41 points and those whose games average 65+, the UNDER has prevailed 63.3% of the time.  Take the Sooners and Volunteers UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons enter this Saturday evening game off an upset win over SMU, and have won their last three games, while FSU has dropped its last four.  No matter, we'll happily lay the points with the Seminoles, as they're 23-7-1 ATS at home or on a neutral field off a point spread loss, when playing an opponent off a point spread win, including 13-2-1 ATS when favored by 7 or more points.  That bodes well for Florida State.  As does the fact that Wake is a woeful 12-18 ATS in ACC Conference games as an underdog off an upset conference win.  Finally, the clincher is that ACC teams are an awesome 53-17 ATS when favored by 8+ points vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets covered the point spread last week for the 3rd straight game, with a 41-16 win over Syracuse.  And they're now 8-0 on the season.  I'll fade Georgia Tech on Tobacco Road on Saturday, as ACC teams are a terrible 16-37-2 ATS when they were on a 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streak.  Grab the points with the Wolf Pack.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS as road favorites since September 2022, and their only ATS wins came by a half-point and by 1 point!  Even worse:  when not getting 8+ points away from home (including neutral field games), USC is an awful 33-67 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Mississippi.  The Rebels pulled off an upset last Saturday in Norman, when they outlasted Oklahoma, 34-26, as a 5-point underdog.  We will fade Ole Miss off that upset win, as it's a miserable 1-9 ATS as a favorite of less than 16 points in SEC Conference games off an upset win.  Ole Miss also falls into a negative 36% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upsets.  Take South Carolina.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Indiana.  I've played on the Hoosiers three times this season, and have won all three (vs. Kennesaw St., Illinois and UCLA).  This will be the first time I fade Curt Cignetti's powerhouse.  Indiana is a perfect 8-0 this season, and just walloped UCLA by 50 points.  That big win has triggered a letdown system of mine which has cashed 63.8% over the past 45 years.  The Terrapins' defense is allowing just 17.2 ppg this season, and I like their chances to stay within this big number at home.  Grab the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over Boise St.  Fresno was shut out, 23-0, last week by San Diego St.  We'll take Fresno to bounce back off that poor game, as NCAA road teams have gone 124-98-2 ATS off a home shutout loss.  Also, the Bulldogs are 21-7-1 ATS when catching 3+ points, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in this series.  Take Fresno.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New Mexico/UNLV game.  The Rebels enter off back-to-back OVERS.  And both of those games totaled 87+ points.  UNLV lost its last game, 56-31, at Boise St, and defeated Air Force, 51-48, before that.  Off those two exceptionally high-scoring games, we'll look for UNLV to go Under the total on Saturday, as NCAA teams have gone 56.1% Under if each of their two previous games totaled 87+ points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arizona State Devils + the points over Iowa State.  Kenny Dillingham's men were upset last week, 24-16, by Houston.  Starting QB, Sam Leavitt, was knocked out during the game, and replaced by Jeff Sims (formerly at Georgia Tech).  Sims will once again be under center in this game, as Leavitt remains out.  Also out for ASU will be WR Jordyn Tyson.  Still, the Sun Devils are a solid 20-10-2 ATS since Dillingham was hired as head coach, including 8-1-1 ATS in conference games off a SU loss.  Take ASU + the points.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Vanderbilt.  We played on the Commodores in their last two games, and got the $$$ with home wins over LSU and Missouri.  But off those two huge games, we'll fade Clark Lea's men on the road in Austin.  Indeed, SEC underdogs of less 13 points are 0-14 SU/ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins, if matched up against an SEC foe with a conference win percentage of .500 (or better).  Texas also falls into a very strong 150-79-3 ATS system of mine which fades certain great teams as underdogs.  Lay the points with the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the North Texas/Navy game.  Each of these teams enters off high-scoring wins (in games that totaled 74 points):  Navy defeated Florida Atlantic, 42-32, while North Texas blew out Charlotte, 54-20.  Off those results, we'll take this Saturday's game to go UNDER the total, as NCAA games have gone 58% Under if each of the two teams' previous games totaled 74 (or more) points, and the O/U line in the current game was 60+.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over Clemson.  The Tigers lost at home, 35-24, to SMU, as a 4-point favorite in their last game.  Unfortunately for Dabo Swinney's men, they've gone just 11-25-3 ATS as as favorite off an upset loss.  Duke is 10-3-1 ATS as an underdog in ACC Conference games.  Take the Blue Devils.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Ponies were upset last week, 13-12, in Winston-Salem by Wake Forest.  Off that upset loss, we'll play on SMU to rebound at home vs. Miami-Fla.  Indeed, SMU falls into an 88-43 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs to bounce back off upset losses.  Further, ACC Conference home dogs of less than 14 points are 200-128 ATS off a SU loss, if matched-up against a conference foe.  Take SMU.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Central Florida.  The Bears have hit the skids as they've lost their last five games ATS.  But teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered the spread more often than not over the last 46 years, and are currently riding a 9-0 ATS streak (and 14-1 ATS their last 15).  That bodes well for Baylor on Saturday.  Additionally, the Bears fall into 98-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses by more than 20 points.  With the Bears in off a 41-20 loss at Cincinnati, we'll lay the points with Baylor on Saturday.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Houston.  The Cougars come into this afternoon's game off back to back upsets of Arizona and Arizona State.  Unfortunately, Houston is a soft 21-35 ATS as a favorite off back to back ATS wins, including 4-14 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take WVU + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the Army/Air Force game.  These two rivals have now gone UNDER the total 11 straight games.  And by very wide margins.  Indeed, on average, their games have gone UNDER by 16.4 ppg.  Consider that the WINNING team has scored:  23, 20, 31, 21, 17, 17, 10, 21, 13, 23 and 20 points in those 11 games.  I'm not going into the teeth of this very strong trend.  Moreover, the UNDER falls into a 221-157 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over Sam Houston St.  This has been a nightmarish season for Phil Longo.  He was hired to replace K.C. Keeler following last year's 10-win season.  And all he has done is not win a single game.  Sam Houston is 0-7, and Longo is arguably the worst coach in NCAA Football.  In its last game, a 35-17 loss to UTEP, only 4,657 fans showed up to watch the game at Shell Energy Stadium (a drop of over 22,000 compared to last season).  Tonight, the Bearkats won't have to worry about the lack of fan support, since they'll be on the road in Ruston to take on the Bulldogs.  Louisiana Tech is having a winning season, at 4-3, but suffered disappointment last week when they were upset, 28-27, by Western Kentucky, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  That will keep the Bulldogs focused against the winless Bearkats.  As will the fact that La Tech is playing with revenge from a 9-3 loss to Sam Houston last season.  La Tech is 6-2 ATS as a favorite off an upset home loss.  And it's 27-13 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and Marshall Thundering Herd to go UNDER the total.  These two teams have met three times in the previous three seasons, and each game went under the total, with an average of 42.3 ppg.  The Chanticleers have gone 13-1 UNDER their last 14 (and 25-6 UNDER their last 31) regular season games when the O/U line was 55+ points.  Admittedly, Marshall has gone Under the total its last four games.  But its previous game only went Over because of double overtime.  Had it ended in regulation, it would have gone Under by 11.5 points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a 221-156 Totals system of mine.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Thursday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt Conference play after a 63-27 win over Old Dominion.  They're favored on the road tonight against a Bobcats team coming off a 40-37 upset loss, in overtime, at Marshall.  We'll take the Bobcats to bounce back, as home underdogs off upset losses have cashed 59.2% of conference games over the last 46 seasons vs. foes with a 4-0 (or better) conference record.  And Texas State has cashed 58.6% as an underdog in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Grab the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Indianapolis.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Colts trounced Tennessee by 21 points.  We'll take the Titans to avenge that defeat, as road underdogs of more than 13 points have cashed 66.1% since 1980 if matched up against a division rival which won the season's previous meeting by double-digits.  Take Tennessee.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Denver game.  The Cowboys' 7 games this season have averaged 61.1 ppg, and they've gone 5-2 Over the total.  In contrast, Denver games have averaged 41.4 ppg, and they've gone 5-2 UNDER the total.  And the Broncos are also 24-13 UNDER when the O/U line is north of 47 points.  So, something will have to give this afternoon, and I'm betting on a low-scoring game.  Indeed, at Game 7 forward, teams have gone 57% UNDER if their games averaged more than 61 ppg.  Take the UNDER.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tennessee/Indianapolis game.  These two teams played earlier this season, and the Colts were victorious, 41-20.  That game went over the total of 41.5 by 19.5 points.  The O/U line is significantly higher for this rematch, and we'll look for a much lower-scoring game this afternoon.  Since 1980, division games have gone 265-208 UNDER if the prior meeting went for 61+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans minus the points over San Francisco.  We played against Houston last week, and got the $$$ with Seattle in a 27-19 game.  That loss snapped the Texans' 2-game win streak, and they are now 2-4 on the season.  We also played on San Francisco, and were rewarded with a 20-10 victory against Atlanta.  Unfortunately for the 49ers, they're a horrible 1-13 ATS off a straight-up win.  Take Houston.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Cincinnati.  This is the most amount of points the Bengals have been favored by this season.  And it's noteworthy because Cincinnati's largest margin of victory this season has been just four points.  Admittedly, the Flyboys have lost seven straight games.  But NFL teams on 7-game (or worse) losing streaks have done very well when playing on the road vs. foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've gone 39-24 ATS.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Falcons were blown out last week, 31-6, by the Cleveland Browns.  Off that debacle, we'll step in and grab the points with Miami this weekend.  Since 1980, NFL road underdogs have cashed 57% in non-division games following a poor offensive performance where they scored less than 7 points.  Take Miami.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Chicago Bears.  The Bears come into this game off 4 SU/ATS wins.  But the Bears are a brutal 2-8 ATS off 4 (or more) ATS wins.  Baltimore's QB, Lamar Jackson, was upgraded to probable on Friday, which is all I need to pull the trigger on John Harbaugh's men.  Indeed, the Ravens have dominated winning teams outside Baltimore's division, as they've gone 87-52-6 ATS, including 45-15 ATS their last 60 if the Ravens were off a point spread loss.  With Baltimore off a 17-3 setback vs. the Rams in its previous game, we'll take Baltimore to bounce back on Sunday.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Houston.  We played on the Sun Devils last week, and got the $$$ in their upset win over then-undefeated Texas Tech.  We will come right back with Arizona State this weekend, and fade a Houston team also off an upset win (31-28 vs. Arizona).  The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS their last 10 (and 17-6 ATS their last 23) vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Arizona State minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies are historically a horrendous traveler.  And one of their worst situational spots is when they play away from College Station against good teams with a .636 (or better) win percentage.  Since 1980, Texas A&M is an ugly 27-70-1 ATS in these games, including 3-19 ATS when the Aggies were undefeated on the season.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal got a rare win last week, when they upset Florida State, 20-13.  But Stanford is 21-45-3 ATS its last 69, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 15+ points off a SU win.  Take Miami-Fla.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Georgia Southern/Arkansas State game.  The last two meetings between these Sun Belt rivals have flown over the total, with scores of 38-33 and 59-33.  The O/U lines in those games were 52.5 and 66.5, so they went over by 18.5 and 25.5 points, respectively.  Likewise, Georgia Southern's last two games have sailed over the total by 13 and 6 points.  We'll look for this trend to continue on Saturday night.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Bulldogs lost a heartbreaker last Saturday at Florida, 23-21.  Miss State was in position to kick the game-winning field goal, as it was on Florida's 29-yard-line with 29 seconds left in the game.  But QB Blake Shapen tossed an interception to put a nail into Miss State's coffin.  Off that emotional defeat, I look for the Bulldogs to have a letdown vs. Texas.  The Longhorns are 22-12 ATS as road favorites of less than 11 points.  Take Texas.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over BYU.  We played on the Cougars last week in their rivalry game vs. Utah, and got the $$$ with a 24-21 upset win.  This week, we'll look for an emotional letdown, and fade BYU off its upset win.  Indeed, it has gone just 14-23-1 ATS following an upset win, while the Cyclones are 11-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes off an upset win, if Iowa State was not laying more than 7 points.  Additionally, Big 12 (and Big 8 teams before that) have cashed just 34.1% on the road since 1980 off upset wins, if matched up against a foe off back-to-back losses.  Finally, the Cyclones fall into several of my favorite systems, including ones with records of 185-111, 149-78 and 35-10 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Missouri.  We played on the Commodores last week vs. LSU, and will come right back with them vs. Missouri.  Vandy is averaging north of 40 ppg, and is outscoring its foes by more than 21 ppg.  That bodes well for them at home this Saturday, as NCAA home teams have cashed 56.1% over the last 46 seasons, at Game 4 forward, if they were outscoring their foes by at least 17.9 ppg, and were not favored by 5+ points.  And if our home team entered off a SU/ATS win, and was installed as a favorite, then our 56.1 percent angle zooms to 62.6%.  Last week, Vandy snapped a 10-game losing streak to LSU.  This week, it will look to snap a 5-game losing streak to Missouri.  Take Vanderbilt minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Ball St.  The Cardinals upset Akron last week, 42-28, as a 2-point underdog.  We'll fade Ball State in DeKalb on Saturday afternoon, as Northern Illinois has gone 16-10 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset wins.  Moreover, the Huskies are playing this game with major revenge after losing to the Cardinals, 25-23, as a 13.5-point favorite last year.  And Ball St. is a brutal 8-15 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe if the Cardinals were not getting 7+ points.  Finally, Northern Illinois falls into a very good 61-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over San Diego St.  The Bulldogs are 5-2 on the season, but were blown out, 49-21, as a 6-point favorite in their last game by Colorado State.  We'll take Fresno to rebound off that bad game, as winning teams have cashed 60.4% at home off a conference defeat on the road by more than 20 points, if they were matched up in their current game against a conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Fresno St.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Northwestern.  The 'Huskers laid an egg last week at Minnesota.  Nebraska was favored by 6.5 points, but lost to the Gophers, 24-6.  We'll take Nebraska to bounce back at home vs. the Wildcats on Saturday, as Nebraska is a solid 41-23-1 ATS when favored by more than 5 points off a SU loss.  Even better:  if the 'Huskers were off an upset loss, and their opponent was off a SU win, the the 'Huskers have gone 9-0-1 ATS when priced from -3 to -10 points.  Nebraska falls into 63-18 and 108-57 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over UCLA.  Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are 17-0 SU and 12-5 ATS when installed as a favorite.  I won't step in front of this freight train, and especially not when it is favored off a bad game where it failed to cover the spread.  That's happened three times since Cignetti took over.  And his Hoosiers won those three games by scores of 77-3, 66-0, 56-9.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Ole Miss.  Brent Venables' Sooners are allowing just 9.4 ppg, and fall into a system of mine which is 70-30 ATS since 1980.  That angle plays on certain teams with defenses that allow less than 14 points per game.  Ole Miss has covered just 36% the last 46 seasons vs. SEC Conference foes with defenses that allow 10 ppg (or less).  Take Oklahoma.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Kansas St.  The Jayhawks will look to snap a 16-game losing streak in this series.  But Kansas has been an underdog in each of the last 15 games.  And the point spread in those 15 games averaged 15.9 points.  So, this is the first time since 2010 that Kansas's team has been equal (or better) than Kansas State.  The Jayhaws fall into a 98-47 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with the Jayhawks.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Northwestern/Nebraska game.  The Wildcats defeated Purdue last week, 19-0.  Off that very low-scoring game, we'll look for a reversal this Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, teams off games where 27 (or less) points were scored have proceeded to go 172-122 OVER the total.  Take the Wildcats/Cornhuskers Over.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Old Dominion/Appalachian St. game to go UNDER the total.  Both the Monarchs and Mountaineers come into this game off high-scoring affairs.  Old Dominion was blasted, 63-27, at James Madison last week, while the Mountaineers lost to Coastal Carolina, 45-37.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for this game to repeat those, and be high-scoring.  But be careful, as the UNDER has cashed 68.9% of games with O/U lines greater than 59 if both teams' previous games tallied 80+ points.  Take the UNDER.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the the UNDER in the Charlotte/North Texas St. game.  The Mean Green come into this evening's game off a string of high-scoring affairs.  Last week, they won 55-17, and their two previous games totaled 99 and 58 points (for an aggregate of 229 across the three games).  We'll look for a relatively low scoring game on Friday, as teams that played 3 games that combined, in the aggregate, for 229 points, including back-to-back OVERs in their two previous games, have proceeded to go UNDER 245-195 in their following game.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into one of my favorite systems which is 221-155.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Chargers got their season off to a 3-0 start, including impressive wins over the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos.  But the wheels have come off Jim Harbaugh's team this month, and they've failed to cover the spread in four straight.  Last week, the Chargers were blasted, 38-24, at home by the Indianapolis Colts.  We'll take Los Angeles to bounce back off that upset defeat, as .500 (or better) teams off 3 (or more) ATS losses in a row, including a failure to cover the spread by more than 15 points in their previous game, have cashed 72.9% vs. foes also off a point spread defeat.  Additionally, home teams with a winning record have cashed 55% since 1980 off a SU home loss, if they were not favored by 9+ points in their current game.  Take the Chargers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears over the New Mexico State Aggies.  The Bears come into this Conference USA game with an extra week of rest following their 22-20 win at Middle Tennessee 14 days ago.  Meanwhile, the Aggies lost a tough game last week at Liberty 30-27.  We'll back the well-rested Bears, as rested Conference USA teams have gone 86-54 ATS vs. unrested conference foes, if our rested team was not laying more than 2 points.  Even better:  the Aggies are a poor 26% ATS since 1980 off back to back ATS wins, if they didn't own a winning record, and were playing a foe off a SU win.  Finally, Missouri State falls into 167-87 and 42-11 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the Houston Texans.  We played on the Seahawks last week, and got the $$$ with a 20-12 win at Jacksonville.  Seattle is back home for this Monday night game vs. Houston, and we'll lay the points.  Indeed, home favorites with a .666 (or better) record have cashed 66.2 percent since 1980 in Monday Night non-division games, if they were off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Falcons pulled off a huge upset this past Monday night when they stunned the Buffalo Bills, 24-14, as a 3.5-point home underdog.  Off that big win, we'll fade Atlanta, as the Falcons are an ugly 0-9 ATS their last nine off an upset win as a 2.5-point (or greater) underdog.  The Falcons also fall into a negative 65-136 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Lay the points with San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Washington/Dallas game.  Dallas has been installed as a small favorite in this NFC East division rivalry.  And it also has the highest Over/Under line yet this NFL season.  We'll take the UNDER, as NFC East division games have gone 14-0 UNDER the total, with O/U lines greater than 47 points, if the home team was favored by 3 points or less (or PK).  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a 351-244 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the New York Giants.  Last week, the G-Men upset the defending champion Eagles, 34-17, as 7-point underdogs.  We'll fade New York off that emotional win, as underdogs of more than 3 points have cashed just 24% off an upset win over a defending champion where they covered the spread by more than 13 points.  Additionally, the Giants are a wallet-breaking 40% ATS over the last 46 seasons as road underdogs off home upset wins.  Lay the points with the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Chicago Bears.  Caleb Williams has authored three straight upset wins over the Dallas Cowboys, Las Vegas Raiders, and Washington Commanders.  Can he make it four straight ATS wins on this Sunday?  It's not likely, as favorites priced of -4 (or more) points have gone 1-10 ATS off three straight upset wins.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Eagles enter this weekend off back to back upset defeats to the Denver Broncos and the New York Giants.  We'll take Philly to bounce back as defending Super Bowl champs with a winning record, have cashed 89% of non-division games over the last 46 years off back to back upset losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the New England Patriots.  New England will be on the road for the 3rd successive week.  We'll fade New England, as teams playing their 3rd straight regular season game away from home have cashed just 44% over the last 46 seasons.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Kansas City.  Certainly, Andy Reid's Chiefs have been the most consistent NFL team over the last 6+ seasons, with 5 Super Bowl appearances and 3 Championships.  But they've also burned money when favored by more than 3 points.  And especially when they scored more than 28 points in their previous game, as they've gone 3-21 ATS their last 24.  The road underdog is 38-24 ATS in this rivalry.  Take the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Utah.  This is a great Top 25 match-up between Beehive State rivals.  Utah is 5-1, and ranked #23, while the Cougars are undefeated, at 6-0, and ranked #15.  We'll take the home underdog, as Big 12 home underdogs (or PK) -- and Big 8 before that -- have cashed 68.2% in conference games since 1980 off back to back wins, if their opponent wasn't off an ATS loss.  Even better:  the underdog in this heated rivalry has gone 26-11 ATS.  Grab the points with BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tennessee/Alabama game.  We played on the Tennessee/Arkansas game Under the total last Saturday, and got the $$$, as Tennessee bested Arkansas, 34-31, sending the game Under by 4 points.  For the season, the Volunteers are averaging 48.1 ppg, which ranks #1 in the country.  But Alabama has done well against offensive juggernauts, and its games vs. teams that average 39+ points have also gone 10-2 UNDER their last 12.  We'll look for a low-scoring game, as the UNDER falls into a 218-153 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the South Florida/Florida Atlantic game.  The Bulls' offense has been on a roll the past 3 games, as they've scored 180 combined points.  We'll take the Bulls and Owls UNDER, as NCAA teams off 3 games where a combined 170+ points were scored have gone 61.4% UNDER.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars almost knocked off #5-ranked Mississippi with the season's biggest upset, but lost, 24-21, as a 33-point road underdog.  I look for Washington State to suffer a letdown this week, and get blown out by Virginia, which had last week off, and will be well-rested.  The Cavaliers are riding a 4-game win streak, and have been installed as a big favorite vs. Wazzu this evening.  We'll lay the points, as UVA is 18-10-1 ATS when priced from -16 to -23, including 8-1 ATS off back-to-back wins, 3-0 when playing with rest, and 5-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Virginia.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Texas Tech.  Arizona State had a rare ATS loss its last time out, when it fell by a 42-10 score at Utah.  Still, ASU is 19-7-2 ATS its last 28 FBS games, including 8-1-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are a soft 3-11 ATS as an unrested road favorite, including 0-7 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes.  And they're 22-42-2 ATS off back to back FBS games where they did not fail to cover the point spread.  Take Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Temple.  The 49ers have pushed their previous two games, and were 0-3 ATS in their three FBS games prior to that.  But this poor ATS performance has set up Charlotte in a 72.4% ATS system of mine.  Temple is 1-7 ATS its last eight when priced from -10.5 to -25.5.  Take the 49ers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on North Texas St. and Texas-San Antonio to go UNDER the total.  Last week, North Texas was upset, 63-36, by South Florida.  Off that upset defeat, we'll look for the Mean Green to play much better defense this afternoon.  I like the UNDER, as NCAA Football games with O/U lines greater than 62 have gone 13-0 UNDER when one of its teams gave up more than 62 points in its previous game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Air Force/Wyoming game.  The Falcons lost, 51-48, at UNLV last Saturday.  Off that very high-scoring game, we'll take the Falcons and Cowboys to go UNDER this afternoon.  Indeed, Air Force falls into a 62.4% totals system of mine which plays on certain teams to go Under following high-scoring games.  Take Wyoming/Air Force Under.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Marshall/Texas State game.  The Bobcats were upset at home, 48-41, last week, as a 7-point home favorite, and I expect a better defensive effort this weekend.  We'll take the Bobcats and Thundering Herd to go UNDER this afternoon, as NCAA teams have gone UNDER 66.2% following an upset loss as a 5-point (or greater) favorite, if they gave up more than 47 points in that defeat.  Take the UNDER.

At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats defeated Penn State, 22-21, last Saturday.  We'll look for a letdown this afternoon, as Northwestern has covered just 22 of 64 FBS games when favored (or PK) off a SU win.  Take Purdue.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated ACC Conference records.  And Georgia Tech is undefeated for the season, as well, with a 6-0 mark.  We'll fade the Yellow Jackets as undefeated NCAA teams, at Game 6 forward, have cashed just 135 of 317 on the road vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Duke.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over LSU.  Vandy has lost 10 straight vs. LSU, but it was a double-digit underdog in each of those 10 defeats.  Here, Vandy is favored.  The Commodores are 12-6 ATS their last 18 FBS games.  And they've cashed 58% since 1980 as a favorite when playing with revenge.  Vandy also falls into a 59-30 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay it.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Connecticut.  The Eagles are 1-5 on the season, and have been installed as a small favorite vs. the Huskies.  We'll lay the points, as .200 (or worse) teams have cashed 70% of home non-conference games, at Game 5 forward, if they were not getting more than 1 point.  Moreover, UConn is 7-18 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back losses, including 0-7 ATS if the Huskies were off a SU win.  Take Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Bowling Green.  Last week, the Falcons upset Toledo, 28-23, as an 11-point home dog.  The Falcons are back home this weekend, and have been installed as a favorite vs. the Chips.  We'll grab the points with Central Michigan and go against BGSU.  Indeed, Mid-American Conference teams have cashed just 21.7% in home conference games off a home upset win vs. a conference foe.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Utah State/San Jose State game.  The Spartans have played their last three FBS games Over the total, including a 35-28 loss at Wyoming last Saturday.  But off those 3 OVERS, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday, as the Spartans have gone 61% to the Under when they were on a 2-game (or better) Over streak.  Additionally, the Aggies have played their last four FBS games OVER the total.  But they fall into a System of mine which has cashed 59% and has the UNDER.  Take the Aggies/Spartans UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Cardinals had last week off following their 30-27 upset loss vs. the Virginia Cavaliers, while Miami also enters with rest following its 28-22 win at Florida State.  Over the last 46 seasons, Louisville has been a profitable 59% as road underdogs vs. .666 (or better) conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are a horrid 12-30 ATS at home in conference games off a SU/ATS win, including 0-7 ATS with rest.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Bengals have lost four straight.  We'll fade Pittsburgh, as it has covered just one of its last 10 road games when it was off back to back SU/ATS wins, and favored by more than 3 vs. a foe off back to back losses.  The Bengals covered as an underdog last week vs. the Packers, and they're now 17-6 ATS their last 23 when getting more than 2 points, including 7-0 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  the underdog is now 53-39 ATS in AFC North division games.  And home teams have gone 7-0 ATS their last 7 Thursday NFL games vs. division rivals (and 18-7 ATS their last 25) when they entered off 3+ losses.  Grab the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Chiefs lost a thriller on Monday Night Football in Jacksonville, while the Lions defeated the Cincinnati Bengals by two touchdowns last week.  Detroit's explosive offense is leading the league at 34.8 ppg, while KC is averaging 25.0 ppg.  Andy Reid's Chiefs, though, have been great vs. foes with much better offenses (at least 4.9 ppg better), as the Chiefs have gone 18-2-1 ATS in those games, including 8-0-1 ATS when favored by 2+ points.  Take KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions to go UNDER the total.  Each of these two teams comes into tonight's game off very high-scoring affairs.  Detroit crushed Cincy, 37-24, while KC lost at Jacksonville, 31-28.  Over the last 46 years, games have gone UNDER 55% when both teams were involved in high-scoring games of more than 54 points, if the O/U line was less than 54 points.  That bodes well for the UNDER.  As does the fact that the Chiefs are 15-0 UNDER following a loss on the road if the O/U line was greater than 48 points in the current game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  Last week, the 49ers upset their division rival, Los Angeles, in overtime, 26-23.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the 49ers in Tampa this week.  San Francisco has covered just 41% over the last 46 years on the road following a division upset win.  Lay the points with Baker Mayfield & Co.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers to go UNDER the total.  Fifteen of the last 22 games in this series have gone UNDER the total, including their meetings each of the last two seasons (27-14; 23-20) that were won by the 49ers.  These two teams both pulled off upsets last week, and did so in a high-scoring game which went over the total.  The 49ers stunned the Rams, 26-23, while the Bucs went into Seattle and knocked off the Seahawks, 38-35.  That was the 3rd straight Over for Tampa Bay, and the 2nd straight Over for San Francisco.  We'll look for the offenses to take a holiday this afternoon, as teams (like Tampa) off three games that totaled more than 51 points have proceeded to go Under 61% when matched up against foes off back-to-back Overs.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders minus the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Tennessee earned an improbable 22-21 triumph last week at Arizona.  But it was more of the Cardinals gifting the Titans a win than anything else.  This is still a bad football team which has gone 8-27 SU and 8-26-1 ATS its last 35 games.  Even worse:  off a straight-up win, the Titans are 0-9 ATS their last nine.  Take the Raiders.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Baltimore was blown out last week, 44-10, by the Houston Texans, while the Rams were upset on Thursday Night Football by their division rival, San Francisco.  I like Baltimore as a big home underdog, as NFL home dogs of +6 (or more) points have cashed 79.3% over the last 46 years vs. an opponent off a SU loss, if our home dog was blown out by more than 28 points in its previous game.  That bodes well for Baltimore on Sunday.  As does the fact that the Ravens are 70-34-2 ATS vs. foes off upset defeats, including 50-18-2 ATS in non-division games.  Take the Ravens.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Indianapolis.  We played against the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ with the Titans in an upset win.  We'll take Arizona to bounce back on Sunday, as it's 27-8-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if it was off a loss, and its foe was off a win.  Take Arizona.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the New England Patriots.  The Patriots pulled off a huge win in Buffalo last Sunday night, as an underdog of more than 7 points.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the upstart 3-2 Patriots on the road this week.  Indeed, New Orleans has gone 73-41-3 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win, including 21-9 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Grab the points with the Saints.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  Trevor Lawrence & Co. are off to a fantastic 4-1 start following their 31-28 upset win over Kansas City this past Monday night.  Meanwhile, the Seahawks stumbled as a home favorite vs. Tampa last Sunday, and fell by three points, 38-35.  We'll take Seattle to bounce back, and look for the Jags to have a letdown after that Monday Night upset win over KC.  Indeed, .800 (or better) teams off home upset wins have burned money for bettors, and especially when facing a winning team off a SU/ATS loss, as they've cashed just 28% over the last 46 years.  And Seattle is 36-23 ATS off an upset loss when not favored by 2+ points the following week. Take the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Carolina game.  The Cowboys' defense ranks as one of the league's worst, as it is giving up 30.8 ppg.  Not surprisingly, three of its five games have gone Over the total.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as teams that allow 30+ points on defense have gone UNDER 57.2% the last 46 seasons, at Game 6 forward.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Baltimore/Los Angeles game.  The Ravens have gone Over in each of their five games this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game on Sunday, especially after the Ravens gave up an ungodly 44 points to the Texans last week.  But be careful, as teams that gave up 35+ points in their previous game, and are on a streak of 4+ Overs in a row, have proceeded to go Under the total 58% since 1980.  We'll take the UNDER.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Utah State/Hawaii game to go UNDER the total.  The Rainbow Warriors tend to play lower-scoring games on the island, as they are 18-10 UNDER the total their last 28 at home, including 9-2 UNDER when the O/U line has been north of 55 points.  The UNDER falls into a totals system of mine, which has cashed 58.9%.  Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  Dating back to September of last season, the Bulldogs are 3-11-2 ATS their last 16 vs. FBS competition.  One of those point spread defeats was to this Auburn team, as Georgia won, 31-13, as a 21-point home favorite.  The Bulldogs have now won eight straight in this series, and are 6-2 ATS in those games.  They're also 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.  The point spreads for the last five meetings were -7.5, -14.5, -28, -14.5 and -21, so this number is relatively short from an historical perspective.  Georgia has gone 49-36-1 ATS on the road when not laying more than 4 points.  Take the Dawgs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  The Owls were upset last week as a 4-point favorite, 27-21, by Florida Atlantic.  We'll take them to bounce back off that upset loss, as the Owls are 5-0 ATS their last five (and 17-5 ATS their last 22) off an upset loss.  Even better:  if they failed to cover the point spread by more than 9 points in that upset defeat, then our 17-5 mark zooms to 16-1 ATS.  Rice also falls into a 219-112-3 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Jose St.  The Cowboys are 1-3 ATS in their four FBS games this season, while San Jose St. is the mirror opposite at 3-1 ATS.  But if one digs a little deeper, one would find that San Jose actually has a negative point spread differential this season, notwithstanding its 3-1 ATS mark.  And Wyoming hasn't played all that poorly this season.  Indeed, last week, it was a 4.5-point home underdog to 5-0 UNLV.  The Cowboys did lose by 14, 31-17.  But they also outyarded the Rebels by 100 yards (356-256).  Three turnovers, however, were the Cowboys' undoing.  Wyoming falls into a very good 77.5% ATS system of mine.  We'll look for the Cowboys' QB, Kaden Anderson, to lead them to an upset win in Laramie.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tennessee/Arkansas game.  Arkansas has gone over the total in all four of its FBS games this season, while Tennessee is also 4-0 to the over.  The result is that the oddsmakers have installed a very high number for this total (the 3rd highest in all of college football this season).  By my math, it's too high.  And for technical support, consider that NCAA Conference games between two teams who are both 3-0 (or better) OVER the total in their FBS games have actually gone UNDER 66% of the time.  Take the Razorbacks and Volunteers UNDER.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over Temple.  The Midshipmen will travel to Philadelphia to take on AAC Conference rival, Temple.  And the Midshipmen have been dominant away from Annapolis, as they've gone 138-76-4 ATS, including a spectacular 91-31-3 ATS if they played at home their previous game.  Navy leads the country with 317.4 rushing yards per game, and ranks #4 at 6.4 yards per rush.  So, the Midshipmen match up well vs. a Temple rush defense which is surrendering 5.1 yards per rush.  Last season, QB Blake Horvath ran roughshod over the Temple defense, gaining 234 total yards, as Navy annihilated the Owls, 38-11.  More of the same this season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  Last week, we played on Old Dominion -18.5 over Coastal Carolina, and the Monarchs blew the doors off the Chanticleers, 47-7.  ODU has now won four straight games after losing its season opener to 5-0 Indiana.  Importantly, the Monarchs covered the 23.5-point spread in that 27-14 loss to the Hoosiers.  And ODU is 3-1 ATS in its four FBS games this season, with its only loss coming by a mere half-point.  The Monarchs are 18-11-1 ATS their last 30, and lead the country with 6.8 yards per rush. They also rank #13 in defensive passing yards allowed (149.0), which doesn't bode well for a Thundering Herd offense which ranks #119 with 169 passing yards per game.  ODU will be looking to avenge an upset loss at home to the Herd last season.  The Monarchs were favored by 2.5, but lost, 42-35.  That was the 7th straight defeat suffered by ODU vs Marshall.  But this year, the Monarchs have a huge talent differential.  I like ODU to avenge last season's defeat, as Marshall is a poor 49-67 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 2-12 ATS its last 14 if it won on the road the previous season.  We'll lay the points with ODU at Marshall on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack crushed Campbell last week, 56-10, and are 4-2 on the season.  The Irish are 3-2 after a 28-7 win over Boise State as a 22.5-point home favorite.  NC State is a poor 47-75 ATS on the road if it did not lose its previous game, including 14-36 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread defeat.  Take the Irish minus the points.

At 3:30, our selection is on Air Force/UNLV to go UNDER the total.  Only 2 of UNLV's previous 59 games vs. FBS schools have had an O/U line this high.  I think it's too high.  The Rebels have gone UNDER in seven of their last eight games.  And they're 22-12 UNDER their last 34 games with O/U lines of 59+ points.  The UNDER also falls into a 59.0% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Marshall/Old Dominion game.  Last week, the Thundering Herd gave up 54 points in a 54-51 loss at Louisiana-Lafayette.  Off that high-scoring defeat, we'll take this afternoon's game to go UNDER the total, as teams off high-scoring losses where 92+ points were scored, have gone UNDER 56.4% in their following game.  Take Marshall/ODU Under.