At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Carolina Panthers have been installed as a double-digit home underdog.   And double-digit home dogs have been money in the bank over the years, as they've gone 129-100-2 ATS.  And they've been especially strong in non-division games, with a 74-48 ATS record.  Take the Panthers.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Lions are a soft 29-54 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -10 points.  Additionally, the Bears will play this game with an extra 3 days to rest and prepare, as their last game was on Thursday, while Detroit played on Sunday.  I'll grab the points, as division road underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 89-72 ATS off a straight-up win.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over the Tennessee Titans.  This is Tennessee's 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams playing their 3rd straight on the road have gone 128-162 ATS since 1980, including 27-55-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) division foes.  The Titans have also gone 0-5 ATS their last five away from Nashville.  Meanwhile, the Jaguars fell to 6-3 after their 34-3 loss to the 49ers last Sunday.  But .666 (or better) teams have gone 8-0 ATS since 2016 following a game where they scored 3 points or less.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Washington Commanders.  These two teams met last month in the Meadowlands, and the Commanders scored just 7 points in a 14-7 defeat.  Now, they're laying more than that, which is the first time Washington has been favored by this many points in over 6 years.  And when they've been favored by 9 or more points, the Commanders are 4-14 ATS their last 18.  But it's not just as a big favorite that Washington has struggled.  The Commanders are also 15-45 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, including 0-2 ATS this season.  I generally don't like laying a lot of points with bad teams, and the Commanders certainly qualify.  Washington has been outscored by 5.70 ppg this season.  And teams with a negative scoring margin have gone 72-136-5 ATS when favored by 9 or more points against losing opposition.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Iowa State.  The Longhorns are 9-1, but come into this matchup off back to back games where they failed to cover the spread.  We'll take Texas to get the $$$ tonight, as it's 51-30 ATS following 2 games where it failed to cover the spread, including 13-1 ATS on the road vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Missouri.  The Tigers pulled off a huge upset last week when they trounced Tennessee, 36-7, as a 2-point home underdog.  We'll fade Florida, as winning NCAA teams off 29-point (or greater) upset wins have covered just 35% of Conference games since 1980 vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils upset UCLA last week, but are just 3-7 on the season.  We'll fade ASU off that upset win, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record have gone just 17-43-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points, including 0-12 ATS their last 12 as a dog of more than 13 points.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes are 10-0 after blowing out Michigan St, 38-3, last week.  Off that big win, we'll fade Ohio State, as undefeated NCAA teams are 5-19 ATS as favorites vs. conference foes in the regular season, at Game 11 forward, if they held their previous opponent to 7 or less points.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS when getting more than 23 points on the Big 10 road.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over New Mexico State.  The Tigers have their big rivalry game next week vs. Alabama, and they generally do well the game before that rivalry game, as they've gone 23-14 ATS.  Moreover, the Tigers come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they're 14-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 28 points, if Auburn was on a 2-game ATS win streak and playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers are a super 11-0 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -11.5 to -31, vs. Conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a nasty 3-11 ATS their last 14 at home vs. conference foes.  Take UCLA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Georgia.  The Volunteers were blown out, 36-7, by Missouri last week, while the defending champion Bulldogs remained undefeated with a 52-17 rout of Ole Miss.  We'll grab the points with Tennessee, as it's 9-0 ATS off a loss by 6+ points.  Additionally, defending NCAA Champions are a poor 29.0% ATS away from home off a win, if they weren't favored by more than 15 points, and their opponent was off a loss.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke.  Virginia might be 2-8 straight-up, but it's 7-3 "in Vegas," this season.  We'll ride Virginia as a home underdog this afternoon, as it's 19-7 ATS its last 26 as a home pup, including 7-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves enter on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, Sun Belt Conference home dogs of more than 3 points are a horrible 37-62 ATS off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane dropped its fifth straight game last weekend when it fell, 24-22, at Tulane (though it covered the spread).  We'll fade Tulsa as a short home underdog, as it's 3-10-1 ATS its last 14 conference games, including 1-5-1 ATS at home, and 1-8-1 ATS off a loss.  Meanwhile, North Texas is a solid 16-5-1 ATS in conference games, including 7-1 ATS as as favorite.  Take the Mean Green minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors come into this road game off back to back upset wins over Nevada and Air Force.  We'll fade Hawaii this afternoon, as it's 5-13 ATS as a road underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Take Wyoming.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over SMU.  The Mustangs blew out North Texas, 45-21, last week.  Unfortunately, SMU is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine (and 6-19-1 ATS its last 26) away from home off a 24-point (or greater) win.  Grab the points with Memphis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 51-10, by Texas A&M last week.  We'll lay the points and go against Southern Miss, as the Golden Eagles are 0-10 ATS when getting between 15.5 and 45 points vs. an opponent off an ATS loss.  Take Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats pulled off an upset last week when they went into Madison, and knocked off Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 12 point underdog.  We'll go against Northwestern, as Big 10 home dogs are a soft 37.3% in conference games since 1980 off an upset road win, if they covered the spread by 12+ points in that win.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the SMU/Memphis game.  Both of these teams have been scoring points in bunches over their last four games.  Memphis has averaged 48.25, while SMU has averaged 50.75.  And this offensive prowess has led to an inflated line based on my numbers.  The last 3 meetings between these teams have similarly had very high over/under lines, and have all gone under the total (by an average of 13.5 ppg), and I expect another relatively low scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan.  Maryland comes into this game off a road win at Nebraska.  Meanwhile, the Wolverines are 10-0, and ranked #3 in the country after their big win in Happy Valley last Saturday.  We'll fade the Maize and Blue, as double-digit road favorites have covered just 27% since 1980 if they were undefeated, at Game 11 forward, and their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Terrapins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have covered six of their last seven, while the Huskies have lost their last two games -- both SU and ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Broncos.  But MAC Conference favorites, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have covered 60% since 1992 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And the Huskies are 46-30-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, including 8-1 ATS if the Huskies were off back to back defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  When we last saw Denver, it was upsetting rival Kansas City, 24-9, as a 7-point underdog.  We had our AFC West Division Game of the Year on Denver, so we were not surprised by the outright win.  But off that victory, we'll fade the Broncos here, as NFL road teams have cashed just 28% on Monday Nights the last 33 years off an upset home win.  Even worse:  Denver is 3-21 ATS off a SU/ATS home win over a division rival.  And it's a dreadful 2-13 SU and 3-11-1 ATS on the road when not getting double-digits.  Lay the points with Josh Allen & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Washington.  The Seahawks are 5-3 and tied for first place in the NFC West division standings.  They did lose by 34 points last week, but I love the Seahawks to bounce back on Sunday.  Since 1980, NFL teams with a .583 (or better) win percentage, that scored less than 6 points in their previous game, have gone 73-45-3 ATS including 11-0 ATS their last 11.  And the Seahawks are a solid 16-7 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points.  Lay the points with Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Dallas.  The Giants were blown out, 30-6, by the Las Vegas Raiders last week.  And they've now lost 2 straight, and haven't covered the point spread in either.  And they're 2-7 straight-up, and 2-6-1 ATS on the season.  The Giants and Cowboys met earlier this year, and Dallas annihilated New York, 40-0, for the worst shutout loss a team has suffered since the Chargers lost 45-0 to the Patriots in 2020.  We'll take New York to avenge that defeat, as underdogs of 14 (or more) points have gone 57–31-3 ATS off back to back losses, if they didn't cover the spread in those two losses, and lost by more than 7 points in their previous game.  Even better:  underdogs of +3 (or more) points that were shutout and lost the previous meeting by more than points have gone 44-25 ATS.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Green Bay game.  Both of these teams come into this game at Acrisure Stadium off a string of low-scoring games.  Pittsburgh has played its last 6 under, while Green Bay has gone under the total in 4 straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here.  But consider that teams off 6 or more Unders have actually gone OVER the total 106-84 since 1980.  We'll take the Packers and Steelers Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Oregon game.  The Oregon Ducks tend to go UNDER in games with big O/U lines, as they're 17-6 Under in games with lines of 72 (or more) points, including 6-0 Under their last six.  Take the Trojans and Ducks Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over LSU. The Gators come into this road game off an upset home loss, 39-36, to Arkansas. We'll take the Gators to rebound off that upset defeat, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi.  The Bulldogs are trying to win their 3rd straight National Championship.  This week, the Rebels will look to snap Georgia's 36-game regular season win streak.  We'll lay the points with Kirby Smart's men, as they're 23-6 ATS when priced from -7 to -20 points.  And they're 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS their last 11 vs. Ole Miss.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal pulled off a big upset last Saturday, 10-7, as a 14-point road dog.  Can Stanford make it two-in-a-row?  It's unlikely, as Pac-12 teams with a losing record, that pulled off an upset as an 8-point (or greater) underdog in their previous game, have gone 13-49 SU and 17-42-1 ATS, including 0-21 SU and 2-19 ATS if they were getting more than 13 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Arkansas St.  South Alabama's QB, Carter Bradley, missed last week's game at Troy, and the Jaguars missed him greatly.  Troy blew out South Alabama, 28-10, as a 7 point favorite, and that was S. Alabama's 2nd straight blowout loss.  Bradley should be back under center on Saturday vs. Arkansas St.  And we'll lay the points with the homestanding Jaguars, who have covered 69% off back to back losses by more than 10 points, and 82% after failing to cover the point spread by 6+ points in their two previous games.  And the Jags are also 4-0 SU/ATS their last four meetings with the Red Wolves.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes over Rutgers.  Iowa is a spectacular 70-30-2 ATS in Big 10 Conference games when priced from -7 to +2 points.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies won, 13-7, last week, as a 3-point home favorite, while Western Kentucky went into El Paso, and defeated the Miners, 21-13.  We'll fade New Mexico St on the road Saturday, as it is an awful 28% ATS as a road dog off a home win, if matched up against an opponent off a win.  Even better:  the Hilltoppers are 39-21 ATS in conference games off a win, including 6-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys will be seeking their 6th straight win after upsetting rival Oklahoma last week.  We played on Oklahoma State in that game, but will go against them on Saturday, as a letdown is expected (the Cowboys have covered just 25% on the road after playing Oklahoma since 1980).  Also, Central Florida has gone 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if UCF wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over North Carolina State.  This is a big letdown spot for NC State after its two upset wins at home over Clemson and Miami.  Now, the Wolfpack are road favorites against a Deacons squad off back to back losses.  Since 1980, road favorites have covered just 28% off back to back upset wins as a home dog, if they were next matched up against a conference foe off back to back losses.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers notched a rare ATS win vs. Sun Belt conference foes last week in their 31-9 victory vs. Marshall.  Still, the Mountaineers are a poor 2-13 ATS their last 15 conference games, including 0-7 ATS on the road.  Take Georgia State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Michigan.  The Nittany Lions are 8-1 this season, and are giving up just 11.8 ppg.  We'll grab the points with the defensive juggernaut, as home dogs of +3 (or more) points, that give up less than 12 ppg, have covered 73% since 1980, at Game 6 forward, if their win percentage was .888 (or better).  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers upset Wisconsin, 20-14, as a 7.5-point home dog last Saturday.  Unfortunately, losing Big 10 teams have only covered 30% since 1980 off an upset win as a home dog of more than 7 points, if they were matched up against foe off a SU win.  And Illinois has covered 63% since 1980 as a favorite vs. conference foes off a win.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Under in the SMU/North Texas game.  Mustangs QB Preston Stone is in the concussion protocol, and may miss Friday's game.  Regardless of whether he plays, we'll look for a low-scoring game, as it falls into 2 of my better totals systems, with records of 140-70 and 135-61.  Additionally, the last 2 meetings between these two Dallas Metroplex rivals have gone Under the total (by an average of 19 points).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago.  I can't lay points with a Chicago team which has won just 2 of its last 19 games.  The Bears are also a poor 23-37 ATS as a favorite, including 14-24 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  And the Panthers are 46-27 ATS as a road underdog vs. a non-winning foe.  I'll take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.   The Cajuns were upset, 37-17, by Arkansas State last Saturday, as a 7-point road favorite.  We played against Louisiana-Lafayette in that game, but will switch gears, and now play on the Cajuns at home.  In this game, the Cajuns will be seeking to avenge an upset loss suffered at the hands of Southern Miss last season.  Louisiana has gone 20-11 ATS off an upset loss, and is also 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders game. The New York Giants are averaging a league-low 11.8 ppg, and their last 6 games have gone Under the total. But in none of those 6 games were both Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones on the field. Barkley missed Game 3, 4 and 5, while Jones was sidelined for Games 6, 7, and 8. I expect a much better offensive performance for the Giants now that both will be in the backfield on Sunday. And the Over also falls into 43-24 and 93-69 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Indianapolis game.  The Colts' defense has been a sieve over the past three weeks, as they gave up 37 to Jacksonville, 38 to Cleveland, and 38 last week to New Orleans. After those three high-scoring games -- all of which went Over the total -- I'll take the Under in this game vs. Carolina. Since 1980, NFL games have gone Under the total 60% of the time, if a team gave up more than 30 points in each of its last three games, and all 3 went Over the total. Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  Matthew Stafford will be sidelined this afternoon, and the Rams will instead have Brett Rypien under center.  They'll be looking to bounce back from last week's 43-20 loss to Dallas.  We'll grab the points, as underdogs have gone 430-336-17 ATS in non-division games off a loss by more than 18 points.  And the Packers are a poor 3-12 ATS as a single-digit favorite, including 1-8 ATS in non-division games.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Please note that this game's start time is early Sunday morning, as it is being played in Frankfurt, Germany.  Last week, I had my AFC West Game of the Year on the Denver Broncos +7 over Kansas City, so I wasn't surprised that the Super Bowl champs were upset in that game. But I will switch gears and play on Kansas City in this contest, as defending champs have gone 14-1 ATS away from home off a loss, if they were playing a .700 (or better) opponent off a SU/ATS win. Lay the points with KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats upset Oregon State last Saturday, 27-24, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll fade Arizona as a home dog tonight, as it's 10-32 ATS as an underdog off an upset win the previous week.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over NC State.  We played on the Wolfpack last week, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, and were rewarded with a 24-17 upset win.  But off that big victory, I look for a letdown by Dave Doeren's men tonight.  NC State is a woeful 15-27 ATS in ACC Conference games off an upset conference win, including 7-23 ATS if it owned a winning record.  Lay the points with Miami-Fla.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Washington.  The Trojans have lost their last six games ATS, while Washington is 0-3-1 ATS its last four, so something has to give tonight.  It's hard to pass up the Trojans as a home underdog, and especially when getting a field goal or more, as USC is 16-7 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points, including 7-1 ATS when it failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in its previous game.  Take USC.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles are in 2nd place in the Sun Belt East division with a 3-1 record following a 44-27 blowout of Georgia State last week.  Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won just two of four conference games this season, and lost by 18 at home to Troy last week.  We'll take Texas State as a home favorite, as NCAA favorites (or PK) have covered 62% of conference games since 1980 if they did NOT have a winning conference record, and were off a SU/ATS loss, and were playing a foe off a SU/ATS win which had a .750 (or better) conference record.  Lay the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Nevada.  The Rainbows are 2-7 ATS this season, including 0-4 SU/ATS their last six.  Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Rainbows.  But consider that NCAA teams have covered 56% the last 41 years when they were on 4-game SU/ATS losing streaks, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 63% when our 'play-on' team wasn't getting 7+ points.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over East Carolina.  Tulane stumbled out of the gate by losing to Ole Miss, but has reeled off six straight wins.  The Green Wave will try to make it seven-in-a-row this afternoon, in Greenville, against a Pirates team riding a 4-game losing streak (and a team which is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS vs. FBS schools).  Tulane is a solid 24-10 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes were upset last week, 12-10, by Minnesota, while the Wildcats pulled off an upset win vs. Maryland, 33-27, as a 14.5-point underdog.  We'll take Northwestern to win its second straight (and cover its 3rd straight), as it is 42-22 ATS as a single-digit underdog vs. foes off a loss.  Grab the points with the Wildcats.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma.  I love playing on Home Dogs that can score, and Okie State certainly fits the bill.  The Cowboys have tallied 39, 48 and 45 in their last three games.  We'll grab the points with Oklahoma State, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points have gone 34-14 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points.  Take the Cowboys.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles are 8-0 and ranked 4th in the country, while Pitt is 2-6 SU/ATS, including back to back SU/ATS losses at Wake Forest and at Notre Dame.  But the last time an undefeated team came calling and played Pitt here, on campus, was just three weeks ago, when the 6-0 Louisville Cardinals were handed their first loss of the season, 38-21, as a 7-point road favorite.  Pitt is understandably getting more points than that today, and we'll happily take the Panthers + the more than 3 touchdowns, as they fall into a 76.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. undefeated foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Pitt is 21-11 ATS as a home dog of +3 (or more) points vs. conference foes.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Penn State.  The Maryland Terrapins will be looking to bounce back from last week's upset loss at Northwestern.  And they'll also be seeking revenge, as they were whitewashed, 30-0, by Penn State.  We'll take the points with the revenge-minded Terps, as Big 10 teams have gone 36-16 ATS when playing with shutout revenge, and installed as an underdog of less than 20 points.  Even better:  the Terrapins are 21-11 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas St Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns pulled off a big upset last week, as a 12-point road underdog, when they went into Mobile, and upset the South Alabama Jaguars, 33-20.  Unfortunately, teams off upset road wins as 12-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the next week just 38% since 1980, if they were on the road vs. an opponent off a win.  With Arkansas State, indeed, off a win last week, we'll grab the points with Butch Jones' men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Tigers have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Irish, and I'll happily take the points.  Indeed, it's hard to pass up Clemson as a home underdog (or PK), as it's gone 26-14 ATS in that role, including 9-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Even better:  the Irish come into Death Valley off back to back blowout home wins over USC (48-20) and Pittsburgh (58-7).  But Notre Dame is a nasty 1-13 ATS after back to back home wins by more than 10 points.  Take Clemson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Blue Devils will be thrilled to see Wake Forest in Durham tonight, as three of Duke's last four opponents are currently ranked among the nation's Top 20 (Notre Dame (#12), Florida State (#4), Louisville (#15)).  Not surprisingly, the Blue Devils lost all three games.  But Wake Forest is not an elite team, as the Demon Deacons are 1-4 in ACC Conference play.  And the Deacons are especially horrible against the pass, as they give up 256.5 passing yards per game (rank #112 of 130 in country, and dead last in the ACC).  So this will be a big step-down in class for Duke.  And when Duke's been installed as a favorite vs. an FBS (Division 1) school, it's gone 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 8-2 ATS its last 10.  Duke is also 9-0 SU/ATS its last nine as a home favorite of more than 10 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over San Francisco.  The 49ers come into this game off back to back upset losses, while Cincy has won its last 2, both straight-up, and ATS.  In most instances, I would be looking to play on the team off back to back upset losses.  And it's certainly true that the 49ers have excelled in that situation, going 11-5 ATS.  But my problem here is that I don't want to lay this many points to a dangerous and, in my mind, still undervalued Bengals team.  Indeed, dating back to the start of the 2021 season, the Bengals are 12-0 ATS when getting 2.5 or more points.  I won't fade those numbers.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  The Broncos lost at Kansas City 2 weeks ago, 19-8.  But they'll get a chance to avenge that defeat at home, on Sunday.  And I love playing on revenge-minded home underdogs that lost to their opponent in their previous game, or two games back, as they've covered 65.9% since 1980.  Even better:  AFC West division underdogs, playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, with a .500 (or worse) record, have gone 100-64-6 ATS.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Baltimore.  The Cardinals return home off back to back road games.  And they've played much better at home this season than on the road.  At home, Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg on offense, compared to 12.7 ppg on the road.  And Arizona has gone 2-1 ATS at home, compared to 1-3 ATS on the road.   Arizona is an awesome 31-7 ATS at home vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Arizona was not favored by 3 or more points.  And the Ravens are a wallet-busting 10-22-4 ATS on the road off a win by 19 or more points.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total.  The Cardinals have not been scoring on the road this season, but they have been scoring in bunches at home.  On the road, Arizona has averaged 12.7 ppg, and three of its four road games have gone under the total.  But it's been a different story in front of its home faithful, as Arizona has averaged 25.3 ppg, and all three went over the total.  The Cardinals have gone over in 17 of their last 26 home games.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs to go Over the total.  The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off 3 straight unders, while the Broncos have played their last 2 under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with Denver scoring just 8 points in the season's first meeting.  But I'll take the Over, as the Chiefs are 25-13 Over the total following 3 or more unders.  And NFL games have gone Over the total 56% the past 20 seasons if a team scored 8 or less points in the season's prior meeting.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Houston.  The Texans come into this game off four straight covers -- all as an underdog.  But now, they're favored at Carolina.  And the last time Houston was favored, it didn't cover.  I don't like to play on teams as favorites following a string of covers as an underdog, as such teams generally don't do very well when they reverse roles from an underdog to a favorite.  Indeed, favorites of more than 2 points, off 3 straight dog covers have gone just 14-37 ATS, including 5-23 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints over Indianapolis.  Last week, I played on the Colts vs. the Browns, as I loved the situational spot for Indianapolis, as it was off a 17-point blowout loss to division rival, Jacksonville, while the Browns came in off that shocking upset win over the previously-undefeated 49ers.  But now the Colts are NOT off a SU/ATS loss, as they covered the spread in defeat vs. Cleveland.  And Indy is a super 46-21 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 3-0 ATS this season.  But when it's NOT off a SU/ATS loss, Indy has gone just 31-43-3 ATS.  Meanwhile, New Orleans is 60-35 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss, including 15-4 ATS their last 19.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers over Minnesota.  The Vikings upset the 49ers on Monday Night Football, 22-17, as a 7-point underdog.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Minnesota in this game.  Since 1980, NFL favorites (or PK) off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points, have covered just 38%.  Even better:  in this NFC North division rivalry, teams off a SU/ATS win have gone just 10-24 ATS when their opponent was not off a SU/ATS win.  With Green Bay off a loss to Denver, we'll take the Packers to snap their losing streak.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the New York Jets.  The Jets come into this game off back-to-back upset wins over Denver and Philly and have covered 3 straight overall.  But the Jets are now favored for the first time all season, and on the road no less.  (I understand the two teams share the stadium, but it's still a Giants home game, and the Giants' season ticket holders will be in the stands.).  I don't like playing on NFL road favorites following back to back upset wins, as they've cashed just 35.7% the past 42 years.  And the Jets are also a poor 16-28 ATS off 3 ATS wins.  Take the Giants + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans and Carolina Panthers Under the total.  First-year Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans is starting to mold the Texans in his image.  The Texans have given up just 13.3 ppg their last three games, and all three went under the total.  And, dating back to his stint as defensive coordinator of the 49ers, 20 of his last 33 games have gone Under.  The Under is also 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these clubs, including a 24-9 win by Carolina two seasons ago.  Take the Under.

At 12 Midnite, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbows and San Jose State Spartans Under the total.  The last three meetings between these two foes have sailed UNDER the total.  The three games have averaged 43.3 ppg, and have gone Under the total by an average of 17 ppg.  I'll look for another low-scoring game on the Island, as nine of the last 12 Hawaii home games vs. Mountain West foes have gone Under.  And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 89-59 and 48-25. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over UNLV.  Both teams are 6-1 on the season, but Fresno is looking up at UNLV in the Mountain West standings, since Fresno's loss came in conference play, while UNLV lost at Michigan.  We'll lay the points with the home team, as road underdogs of +6 (or more) points that are undefeated in conference play have cashed just 43% since 1980 vs. conference foes that had lost at least one conference game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Oklahoma State.  The Bearcats are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak while Oklahoma State has won and covered its last three.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cowboys at home, in Stillwater.  But be careful, as teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have been solid on the road vs. conference foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 57.2% since 1980.  Even better:  since 1980, the Bearcats have covered 71% off back to back losses when playing a conference foe off back to back wins.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes had a big win last week in their showdown with Penn State.  Both teams entered with 6-0 records, and the Buckeyes won, 20-12, as a 4-point favorite.  But I expect a bit of a letdown in Madison, on Saturday, as undefeated teams have only covered 22% on the road the past 44 seasons (at Game 8 forward) following a win against another undefeated team, if our play-against team (here, Ohio State) wasn't favored by more than 4 points in its prior game.  Wisconsin is an awesome 18-3 ATS when getting more than 6 points from an undefeated team, including 9-0 ATS at home, or on a neutral field.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Boise State/Wyoming game UNDER the total.  These two teams generally play low-scoring contests, as the last four (and seven of the last eight) have gone UNDER the total.  Indeed, the last four meetings have averaged 34 points, and have gone under by an average of 13 ppg.  I look for another low-scoring game on Saturday evening.  Take the Under.

At 5 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Warhawks come into this game on a 5-game losing streak.  But they've played well in defeat, lately, as they covered their last two games by 17.5 and 6.5 points.  They'll now welcome a Red Wolves squad which defeated it, 45-28, last season, but is off back to back blowout SU/ATS losses.  I look for Monroe to snap its long losing streak, as revenge-minded teams, on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks, have gone 59-34 ATS when they weren't getting more than 5 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice.  The Green Wave have been road warriors of late, as they have now covered 10 straight away from New Orleans.  I won't step in front of this freight train.  And especially not with an Owls team which has covered just 7 of 24 as a double-digit home underdog.  Rice also falls into a negative 111-208 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off upset wins.  Lay the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over BYU.  The last two times these teams met, the Cougars were underdogs, but hammered the Longhorns by scores of 41-7 and 40-21.  I expect Texas to remember those upset losses, and exact a measure of revenge on Saturday afternoon, as NCAA favorites of 14 or more points have cashed 74% when they lost the two prior meetings (and weren't underdogs in those two losses).  Even better:  Texas has lost its last 2 games to the spread.  But it's cashed 72.2% as favorites of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Oregon.  The Utah Utes had an impressive win last week at USC, as they won, 34-32, as a 7-point road underdog.  It was the first time a team had scored more than 21 points on the defensive-minded Utes, who are giving up just 15 ppg on the season.  They now return home to take on the high-octane Ducks, who are averaging 47 ppg.  In match-ups between offensive-minded teams and defensive juggernauts, I tend to side with the defense -- and especially if installed as an underdog.  We'll play on the Utes as a home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of +4 (or more) points have covered 78% since 1980 (at Game 5 forward) if they gave up 15 ppg (or less) on defense, and their opponent averaged 45+ points on offense.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers come into this road game off back to back wins over William & Mary and North Carolina (as a 24-point underdog!).  Unfortunately, Virginia is a woeful 9-25 ATS on the road off back to back wins.  Take Miami.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson.  We played against the Tigers last Saturday at Miami, and will go against them on the road again, in Raleigh.  The Wolfpack lost their previous game, 24-3, at Duke, and play this game with revenge from a 10-point loss at Clemson last season.  The Tigers are a horrible 15-38-1 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded foe off a straight-up loss.  Take NC State.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights played well last week at Oklahoma, and covered the 17-point spread in defeat.  But now UCF has been installed as a big favorite vs. West Virginia, and the Knights have mightily struggled as a conference favorite of more than 3 points, going 4-19 ATS, including 0-9 ATS if UCF was off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, the Knights fall into a negative 62-125 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off losses.  Grab the points with WVU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners are riding high with an undefeated, 7-0 record, but have to travel to Lawrence to take on the rested Jayhawks, who had last week off to prepare for this game.  The Jayhawks are a solid 5-2 this season (including 2-2 in Big 12 play), and will be in a prime spot to pull the outright upset.  We'll grab the points, as rested home dogs of more than 7 points, with a .500 (or better) conference win percentage, have cashed 67.7% vs. undefeated conference foes.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Charlotte.  The 49ers pulled off a nice upset on the road last week, when they went into East Carolina, and shocked the Pirates, 10-7, as a 6-point road underdog.  And that moved Charlotte's road ATS record to 4-0 this season (and 6-0-1 ATS their last seven, dating back to last season).  Unfortunately, the 49ers have burned $$$ at home, as they've gone 0-3 ATS this year (and 1-9 ATS their last 10).  Florida Atlantic, meanwhile, laid an egg last week, as they were blown out, 36-10, by Texas-San Antonio.  But that blowout loss has triggered a very good 84-37 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off losses by 21+ points.  Lay the points with Florida Atlantic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Tampa Bay.  We played against Buffalo each of the past two weeks, and got the $$$ with New England last Sunday, and the New York Giants the week before.  We also played against Tampa Bay last week, and won our NFC South Game of the Year on Atlanta.  In this Thursday game, we will side with the homestanding Bills, and look for Josh Allen & Co. to bounce back from their disappointing game at New England.  Indeed, the Bills generally bounce back at home off losses, and especially in non-division games, where they've gone 55-31-4 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles over the Georgia State Panthers.  The Eagles come into this home game vs. Sun Belt rival, Georgia State, off back to back ATS losses, while the Panthers enter off back to back ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Panthers.  But be careful, as Sun Belt home teams have covered 70% off back to back ATS losses vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided our home team wasn't getting 3+ points.  Additionally, the Eagles are 21-9 ATS at home, including 9-0 ATS their last nine when priced from +2.5 to -9.5.  Take Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Jacksonville State.  The Gamecocks upset Western Kentucky, 20-17, as a 7.5-point home underdog last week.  They're now installed as a road favorite.  I'm not a big fan of playing on road favorites following an upset win as a home underdog, and especially not when they're matched up against a .500 (or better) foe, as they've cashed just 41.5% the past 44 years.  Even worse for the Gamecocks:  Conference USA favorites have cashed just 26% away from home the past 23 years following an upset win as an underdog of more than 7 points.  Grab the points with the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Liberty.  The Flames are 7-0 straight-up, including 3-0 in Conference USA play.  But Western Kentucky will be difficult to defeat in Bowling Green.  The Hilltoppers are 40-16 SU and 30-18 ATS at home over the past 10 seasons, including 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.  Admittedly, Western Kentucky played poorly last Tuesday, and lost outright to Jacksonville State, 20-17, as a 7.5-point road favorite.  But the Hilltoppers are an awesome 11-0 ATS as an underdog, priced from +3.5 to +9 points, off a straight-up loss.  And they're 9-2 ATS at home following 2+ road games.  Finally, Liberty falls into a negative 64-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain undefeated teams.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Kansas City.  The Chargers are a sensational 111-61 ATS as a road underdog of +2 or more points, including 29-9 ATS within the division when the Chargers have owned a losing record.  Los Angeles has covered 5 of the last six in this series with its only point spread loss as a 3-point underdog in overtime, when it lost by 6.  Take Los Angeles.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + over Green Bay.  The Denver Broncos come into this game at Mile High Stadium with a 1-5 record (.167), while Green Bay is slightly better, at 2-3 (.400), for a win percentage differential of .233.  We’ll take Denver as a home dog, as it is a jaw-dropping 50-14-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points, if its opponent didn’t have a win percentage differential of .333 (or better), including a perfect 13-0-2 ATS if the Broncos’ win percentage was .333 (or less).  Additionally, home underdogs on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 62% since 1980 vs. non-division foes off a loss.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers are 3-2 on the season, but it’s a phony 3-2, as they have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points per game, and they have failed to cover the point spread by an average of 4.5 points per game.  And they’ve been outyarded in every single game — even their three wins.  They defeated Cleveland by 4 points, but the Browns outgained them by 153 yards.  They won by 5 over the Raiders, but Las Vegas outgained them by 29 yards.  And then, in their last game, they defeated the Ravens by 7 but Baltimore outgained them by 46.  In contrast, the Rams have outscored their opponents by 3.5 points per game, and have covered the point spread by 5.16 points per game.  And they’ve outgained four of their 6 opponents, even the San Francisco 49ers, though they lost that game by 7.  I’ll lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Patriots have been installed as a big home underdog vs. their division rival.  And New England will be looking to snap a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll grab the points, as New England is 28-5 ATS as an underdog of 4+ points, when its W/L percentage was .400 (or less), and it was not off an ATS win, including 12-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Cleveland.  The Browns stunned the previously unbeaten San Francisco 49ers last week, when they won, 19-17, as a 9.5-point underdog.  But off that huge upset win, we’ll fade Cleveland as a road favorite.  Indeed, since 1984, .500 (or better) road favorites have covered just 27.5 percent off an upset win as a 5-point (or greater) underdog.  The Colts also come into this game off a blowout loss, and they’re 54-30 ATS off a straight-up defeat.  Take the Colts + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  This is the first meeting between these NFC South Division rivals, and underdogs have been great in games between NFC South Division rivals when it was the first meeting of the season, as they've gone 37-19-1 ATS.  Tampa's 3-9-1 ATS its last 13 as a favorite, and also 7-25-3 ATS off a loss in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 5.  Finally the Falcons are off an upset loss to Washington, and fall into a 163-105 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records off losses.  Take the Falcons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal came back from a 29-0 deficit to stun the Colorado Buffaloes, 46-43, as a 13.5-point underdog, in double-overtime last Saturday.  But off that huge upset win, we'll fade Stanford on Saturday night vs. UCLA.  The Cardinal are a wallet-breaking 1-8 ATS as a home underdog of more than 14 points, while UCLA is a reliable 14-6 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Even worse:  double-digit home underdogs have covered just 37.2 percent of conference games since 1980 off outright wins as a double-digit conference road underdog.  Take UCLA minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/Utah game.  Something's gotta give tonight, as USC is scoring 47.1 ppg, while Utah is giving up just 12.1.  Utah has played five of its six games Under the total this season.  And I'll look for another low-scoring Utes game, as NCAA football games have gone under 60.3% in match-ups between a great defense which gave up 15.5 (or less) points and a great offense (which scored 47+ points).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Clemson.  The 'Canes have had a tough couple of weeks.  First, they lost to Georgia Tech when their head coach, Mario Cristobal inexplicably ran a rushing play rather than kneeling down to end the game.  Miami fumbled.  Then Georgia Tech won miraculously on the game's final play.  Last week, the Hurricanes were competitive in defeat, and fell, 41-31, to the undefeated North Carolina Tar Heels.  This week, Miami is back home, and is an underdog vs. Clemson.  Miami is a super 18-4 ATS as an underdog of +10 (or less) points, if it was off a loss, and its opponent was off a win (and 6-0 ATS if Miami was off back to back losses).  Take the Hurricanes + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on Army and LSU to go Under the total.  The Black Knights are a rush-heavy team that has gone UNDER the total 64-47-1 their last 112 games.  This season, they've averaged 16.1 passing plays, and 47.8 rushing plays.  So, 74.7% of their plays have been on the ground, and that chews up the clock.  Army has gone 20-2 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog of +9 (or more) points (and 11-0 UNDER when getting more than 14).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Kansas State.  The Horned Frogs blew out BYU, 44-11, last week, as a 4.5-point favorite, for their best win of the season.  Now, they'll take on Kansas State, and the Frogs have had this game circled on their calendar for months.  When these two teams last met, Kansas State handed the Horned Frogs their first loss of the season when the Wildcats won, 31-28, in overtime, in the Big 12 Title game.  When playing with revenge, TCU is a solid 31-20 ATS as a road underdog, as well as 13-4 ATS off a win by more than 30 points.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Colorado State.  The Rebels are on a roll, as they've covered the spread in every game this season.  And outside of their road game against #2-ranked Michigan, they've scored 40+ points in every game this season.  That bodes well for UNLV, as home teams have covered 56.2% since 1980, if they were off 3 blowout wins by 17+ points, in which they scored 40+, and covered by 10+ points.  The Rebels should have no problem scoring on Colorado State, which ranks 127th of 130 teams in Total defense, giving up 462.7 yards per game.  Colorado State has also given up 40+ points in three of its five FBS games this season, and are also a poor 3-8 ATS on the road off a win.  Take UNLV.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Spartans minus the points over Utah State.  The Aggies had their 2-game win streak snapped by Fresno St last week, and are now 3-4 on the season.  Today, they'll travel to San Jose, and face a Spartans team looking for its first win in the series since 2008.  San Jose should, however, be confident, as it comes into this game off its first FBS win this season.  And it was impressive, as it went into New Mexico, and blew out the Lobos, 52-24, as a 6-point road favorite.  That bodes well for San Jose tonight, as single-digit home favorites have covered 58% of conference games off a road conference blowout by 28+ points, provided they covered the spread in that blowout by 21+ points.  Even better:  the Aggies are a soft 2-16 SU and 7-11 ATS when installed as a road underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Finally, the Spartans are 21-3 SU and 17-6 ATS as a favorite off a straight-up win, if they are playing an opponent off a loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  Both of these teams enter on 6-game win streaks, and this game could be a preview of the MAC Title game in December.  We played (and won) on Miami-Ohio three times this season, including each of the past 2 weeks.  But will switch gears this Saturday, and go against the RedHawks.  Last week, Toledo escaped Muncie, Indiana with a 13-6 victory over Ball State.  The good news for Toledo is that MAC Conference road favorites have gone 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS in conference games after scoring less than 14 points.  Take Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.