At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Connecticut.  The Eagles are 1-5 on the season, and have been installed as a small favorite vs. the Huskies.  We'll lay the points, as .200 (or worse) teams have cashed 70% of home non-conference games, at Game 5 forward, if they were not getting more than 1 point.  Moreover, UConn is 7-18 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back losses, including 0-7 ATS if the Huskies were off a SU win.  Take Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Bowling Green.  Last week, the Falcons upset Toledo, 28-23, as an 11-point home dog.  The Falcons are back home this weekend, and have been installed as a favorite vs. the Chips.  We'll grab the points with Central Michigan and go against BGSU.  Indeed, Mid-American Conference teams have cashed just 21.7% in home conference games off a home upset win vs. a conference foe.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Utah State/San Jose State game.  The Spartans have played their last three FBS games Over the total, including a 35-28 loss at Wyoming last Saturday.  But off those 3 OVERS, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday, as the Spartans have gone 61% to the Under when they were on a 2-game (or better) Over streak.  Additionally, the Aggies have played their last four FBS games OVER the total.  But they fall into a System of mine which has cashed 59% and has the UNDER.  Take the Aggies/Spartans UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Cardinals had last week off following their 30-27 upset loss vs. the Virginia Cavaliers, while Miami also enters with rest following its 28-22 win at Florida State.  Over the last 46 seasons, Louisville has been a profitable 59% as road underdogs vs. .666 (or better) conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are a horrid 12-30 ATS at home in conference games off a SU/ATS win, including 0-7 ATS with rest.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Bengals have lost four straight.  We'll fade Pittsburgh, as it has covered just one of its last 10 road games when it was off back to back SU/ATS wins, and favored by more than 3 vs. a foe off back to back losses.  The Bengals covered as an underdog last week vs. the Packers, and they're now 17-6 ATS their last 23 when getting more than 2 points, including 7-0 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  the underdog is now 53-39 ATS in AFC North division games.  And home teams have gone 7-0 ATS their last 7 Thursday NFL games vs. division rivals (and 18-7 ATS their last 25) when they entered off 3+ losses.  Grab the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Chiefs lost a thriller on Monday Night Football in Jacksonville, while the Lions defeated the Cincinnati Bengals by two touchdowns last week.  Detroit's explosive offense is leading the league at 34.8 ppg, while KC is averaging 25.0 ppg.  Andy Reid's Chiefs, though, have been great vs. foes with much better offenses (at least 4.9 ppg better), as the Chiefs have gone 18-2-1 ATS in those games, including 8-0-1 ATS when favored by 2+ points.  Take KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions to go UNDER the total.  Each of these two teams comes into tonight's game off very high-scoring affairs.  Detroit crushed Cincy, 37-24, while KC lost at Jacksonville, 31-28.  Over the last 46 years, games have gone UNDER 55% when both teams were involved in high-scoring games of more than 54 points, if the O/U line was less than 54 points.  That bodes well for the UNDER.  As does the fact that the Chiefs are 15-0 UNDER following a loss on the road if the O/U line was greater than 48 points in the current game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  Last week, the 49ers upset their division rival, Los Angeles, in overtime, 26-23.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the 49ers in Tampa this week.  San Francisco has covered just 41% over the last 46 years on the road following a division upset win.  Lay the points with Baker Mayfield & Co.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers to go UNDER the total.  Fifteen of the last 22 games in this series have gone UNDER the total, including their meetings each of the last two seasons (27-14; 23-20) that were won by the 49ers.  These two teams both pulled off upsets last week, and did so in a high-scoring game which went over the total.  The 49ers stunned the Rams, 26-23, while the Bucs went into Seattle and knocked off the Seahawks, 38-35.  That was the 3rd straight Over for Tampa Bay, and the 2nd straight Over for San Francisco.  We'll look for the offenses to take a holiday this afternoon, as teams (like Tampa) off three games that totaled more than 51 points have proceeded to go Under 61% when matched up against foes off back-to-back Overs.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders minus the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Tennessee earned an improbable 22-21 triumph last week at Arizona.  But it was more of the Cardinals gifting the Titans a win than anything else.  This is still a bad football team which has gone 8-27 SU and 8-26-1 ATS its last 35 games.  Even worse:  off a straight-up win, the Titans are 0-9 ATS their last nine.  Take the Raiders.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Baltimore was blown out last week, 44-10, by the Houston Texans, while the Rams were upset on Thursday Night Football by their division rival, San Francisco.  I like Baltimore as a big home underdog, as NFL home dogs of +6 (or more) points have cashed 79.3% over the last 46 years vs. an opponent off a SU loss, if our home dog was blown out by more than 28 points in its previous game.  That bodes well for Baltimore on Sunday.  As does the fact that the Ravens are 70-34-2 ATS vs. foes off upset defeats, including 50-18-2 ATS in non-division games.  Take the Ravens.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Indianapolis.  We played against the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ with the Titans in an upset win.  We'll take Arizona to bounce back on Sunday, as it's 27-8-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if it was off a loss, and its foe was off a win.  Take Arizona.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the New England Patriots.  The Patriots pulled off a huge win in Buffalo last Sunday night, as an underdog of more than 7 points.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the upstart 3-2 Patriots on the road this week.  Indeed, New Orleans has gone 73-41-3 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win, including 21-9 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Grab the points with the Saints.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  Trevor Lawrence & Co. are off to a fantastic 4-1 start following their 31-28 upset win over Kansas City this past Monday night.  Meanwhile, the Seahawks stumbled as a home favorite vs. Tampa last Sunday, and fell by three points, 38-35.  We'll take Seattle to bounce back, and look for the Jags to have a letdown after that Monday Night upset win over KC.  Indeed, .800 (or better) teams off home upset wins have burned money for bettors, and especially when facing a winning team off a SU/ATS loss, as they've cashed just 28% over the last 46 years.  And Seattle is 36-23 ATS off an upset loss when not favored by 2+ points the following week. Take the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Carolina game.  The Cowboys' defense ranks as one of the league's worst, as it is giving up 30.8 ppg.  Not surprisingly, three of its five games have gone Over the total.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as teams that allow 30+ points on defense have gone UNDER 57.2% the last 46 seasons, at Game 6 forward.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Baltimore/Los Angeles game.  The Ravens have gone Over in each of their five games this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game on Sunday, especially after the Ravens gave up an ungodly 44 points to the Texans last week.  But be careful, as teams that gave up 35+ points in their previous game, and are on a streak of 4+ Overs in a row, have proceeded to go Under the total 58% since 1980.  We'll take the UNDER.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Utah State/Hawaii game to go UNDER the total.  The Rainbow Warriors tend to play lower-scoring games on the island, as they are 18-10 UNDER the total their last 28 at home, including 9-2 UNDER when the O/U line has been north of 55 points.  The UNDER falls into a totals system of mine, which has cashed 58.9%.  Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  Dating back to September of last season, the Bulldogs are 3-11-2 ATS their last 16 vs. FBS competition.  One of those point spread defeats was to this Auburn team, as Georgia won, 31-13, as a 21-point home favorite.  The Bulldogs have now won eight straight in this series, and are 6-2 ATS in those games.  They're also 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.  The point spreads for the last five meetings were -7.5, -14.5, -28, -14.5 and -21, so this number is relatively short from an historical perspective.  Georgia has gone 49-36-1 ATS on the road when not laying more than 4 points.  Take the Dawgs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  The Owls were upset last week as a 4-point favorite, 27-21, by Florida Atlantic.  We'll take them to bounce back off that upset loss, as the Owls are 5-0 ATS their last five (and 17-5 ATS their last 22) off an upset loss.  Even better:  if they failed to cover the point spread by more than 9 points in that upset defeat, then our 17-5 mark zooms to 16-1 ATS.  Rice also falls into a 219-112-3 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Jose St.  The Cowboys are 1-3 ATS in their four FBS games this season, while San Jose St. is the mirror opposite at 3-1 ATS.  But if one digs a little deeper, one would find that San Jose actually has a negative point spread differential this season, notwithstanding its 3-1 ATS mark.  And Wyoming hasn't played all that poorly this season.  Indeed, last week, it was a 4.5-point home underdog to 5-0 UNLV.  The Cowboys did lose by 14, 31-17.  But they also outyarded the Rebels by 100 yards (356-256).  Three turnovers, however, were the Cowboys' undoing.  Wyoming falls into a very good 77.5% ATS system of mine.  We'll look for the Cowboys' QB, Kaden Anderson, to lead them to an upset win in Laramie.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tennessee/Arkansas game.  Arkansas has gone over the total in all four of its FBS games this season, while Tennessee is also 4-0 to the over.  The result is that the oddsmakers have installed a very high number for this total (the 3rd highest in all of college football this season).  By my math, it's too high.  And for technical support, consider that NCAA Conference games between two teams who are both 3-0 (or better) OVER the total in their FBS games have actually gone UNDER 66% of the time.  Take the Razorbacks and Volunteers UNDER.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over Temple.  The Midshipmen will travel to Philadelphia to take on AAC Conference rival, Temple.  And the Midshipmen have been dominant away from Annapolis, as they've gone 138-76-4 ATS, including a spectacular 91-31-3 ATS if they played at home their previous game.  Navy leads the country with 317.4 rushing yards per game, and ranks #4 at 6.4 yards per rush.  So, the Midshipmen match up well vs. a Temple rush defense which is surrendering 5.1 yards per rush.  Last season, QB Blake Horvath ran roughshod over the Temple defense, gaining 234 total yards, as Navy annihilated the Owls, 38-11.  More of the same this season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  Last week, we played on Old Dominion -18.5 over Coastal Carolina, and the Monarchs blew the doors off the Chanticleers, 47-7.  ODU has now won four straight games after losing its season opener to 5-0 Indiana.  Importantly, the Monarchs covered the 23.5-point spread in that 27-14 loss to the Hoosiers.  And ODU is 3-1 ATS in its four FBS games this season, with its only loss coming by a mere half-point.  The Monarchs are 18-11-1 ATS their last 30, and lead the country with 6.8 yards per rush. They also rank #13 in defensive passing yards allowed (149.0), which doesn't bode well for a Thundering Herd offense which ranks #119 with 169 passing yards per game.  ODU will be looking to avenge an upset loss at home to the Herd last season.  The Monarchs were favored by 2.5, but lost, 42-35.  That was the 7th straight defeat suffered by ODU vs Marshall.  But this year, the Monarchs have a huge talent differential.  I like ODU to avenge last season's defeat, as Marshall is a poor 49-67 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 2-12 ATS its last 14 if it won on the road the previous season.  We'll lay the points with ODU at Marshall on Saturday afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over NC State.  The Wolfpack crushed Campbell last week, 56-10, and are 4-2 on the season.  The Irish are 3-2 after a 28-7 win over Boise State as a 22.5-point home favorite.  NC State is a poor 47-75 ATS on the road if it did not lose its previous game, including 14-36 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread defeat.  Take the Irish minus the points.

At 3:30, our selection is on Air Force/UNLV to go UNDER the total.  Only 2 of UNLV's previous 59 games vs. FBS schools have had an O/U line this high.  I think it's too high.  The Rebels have gone UNDER in seven of their last eight games.  And they're 22-12 UNDER their last 34 games with O/U lines of 59+ points.  The UNDER also falls into a 59.0% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Marshall/Old Dominion game.  Last week, the Thundering Herd gave up 54 points in a 54-51 loss at Louisiana-Lafayette.  Off that high-scoring defeat, we'll take this afternoon's game to go UNDER the total, as teams off high-scoring losses where 92+ points were scored, have gone UNDER 56.4% in their following game.  Take Marshall/ODU Under.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Maryland.  The Terrapins lost, but covered the point spread in last week's 24-20 loss to Washington.  Maryland has been installed as a home underdog for the 2nd straight week.  We'll lay the points with Nebraska, as it is 45-27 ATS as a road favorite vs. foes off an ATS win.  The 'Huskers also fall into an 83-33 ATS system of mine.  Take the Huskers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals had lost 7 straight games vs FBS competition before pulling a big upset last week vs. Ohio.  The Broncos, meanwhile, won their 3rd straight last week with a 21-3 blowout of UMass.  Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its five FBS games this season.  We'll lay the points as Mid-American Conference teams off upset wins have cashed just 39% as road underdogs vs. conference foes also off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Broncos.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Washington St.  Ole Miss has been dominant in non-conference games when favored by 5+ points, as they've gone 6-0 ATS their last six (and 34-12-1 ATS their last 47), including 16-4 ATS when they were laying 23+ points.  Take the Rebels to blow out the Cougars.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Ohio State Buckeyes.  Ohio State comes into this game with a spotless, 5-0 record.  They've also gone 3-0-1 ATS in their FBS games this season.  We'll fade Ohio State in Champaign, as defending champs have covered the spread just 34% away from home the past 46 seasons off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they were not favored by 16+ points.  Take the Illini.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this game with a 5-0 record, while 'Bama is 4-1.  We'll grab the points with the homestanding Tigers, as SEC home underdogs of less than 15 points, with an .888 (or better) record, have gone 33-15-3 ATS vs. conference foes.  Additionally, Missouri falls into a system of mine which is 15-0-1 ATS its last 16 (and 31-6-2 ATS its last 39).  Grab the points with the Tigers.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Akron.  The Zips pulled off a big upset over Central Michigan last Saturday, winning by 28-22, as a 7.5-point underdog.  Akron is a wallet-busting 6-14-1 ATS off an upset win., including 1-8 ATS at home.  Lay the points with Miami-Ohio.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Rajin' Cajuns upset Marshall, 54-51, last week.  We'll fade the Cajuns in Harrisonburg, as they've gone 8-24-1 ATS off a win, in which they scored more than 30 points (and 2-13 ATS if they scored more than 40 in that win).  Even worse:  if the Cajuns owned a sub-.800 record, they've gone 0-11-1 ATS after scoring 30+ points in a win.  Take the Dukes.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers/Washington game UNDER the total.  This game will be played in Seattle, and the Scarlet Knights are 30-14 UNDER the total on the road (compared to 25-11 OVER when they were not playing on an opponent's home field). Rutgers also falls into a 215-150-1 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the South Florida/North Texas game.  These two teams are both off to great starts.  South Florida is 4-1, with its only loss at undefeated Miami-Fla, while North Texas is 5-0.  The Mean Green have gone 91-70 UNDER the total vs. conference foes.  And the UNDER also falls into 90-35 and 120-93 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw State Owls + the points over Louisiana Tech.  The Bulldogs shut the Owls out last season, 33-0.  We'll grab the points with Kennesaw, as NCAA teams have gone 137-100 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a shutout loss by more than 31 points.  Even better:  revenge-minded Conference USA teams are 108-70 ATS when installed as an underdog of +10 (or less) points at home vs. conference foes.  Take Kennesaw + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Detroit.  The Bengals are catching double-digits at home, and NFL teams have done quite well over the last 45 years as double-digit home dogs.  And especially in non-division games, where they've gone 76-48-2 ATS.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and Los Angeles Chargers UNDER the total.  The Chargers are playing great defense this season.  They rank #3 in yards allowed (270), #4 in points per game (17.75), and #2 in touchdowns allowed (6).  The Chargers have played their last three games UNDER the total, and I look for that streak to hit 4 in a row, as the UNDER falls into a 58.9% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  The Titans were blanked, 26-0, by the Houston Texans last week.  We'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as road underdogs have gone 70-49 ATS in non-division games after scoring 3 or less points.  Take Tennessee.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Houston/Baltimore game.  Last week, the Texans got off the schneid and shut out the Tennessee Titans, 26-0, at home.  They'll try to make it two-in-a-row on Sunday afternoon.  But this game will be played in Baltimore.  And road teams off home wins where they recorded a shutout have generally not played well on defense, as they've given up an average of 24.8 ppg.  Not surprisingly, the OVER has cashed 68.5% in those games.  The Over also falls into one of my favorites totals systems, which is 264-179-8.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas/New York Jets game.  Last week, I had my NFL Sunday Night Total of the Year on the Cowboys/Packers Over, and was rewarded with a 40-40 final.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, especially since the Jets' defense is giving up 30 ppg.  But be careful, as NFL games have gone under 61.2 percent the last 45 years when a team came off a game where more than 65 points were scored, and it was playing a team with a poor defense that gave up 30 ppg.  Take the UNDER.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens + the points over Houston.  The Ravens were one of the favorites to reach the Super Bowl, but they're 1-3 and will be without QB Lamar Jackson for this game, and their next one.  Cooper Rush will be under center on Sunday, and we'll grab the points with the home underdog Ravens.  Indeed, home underdogs off a double-digit upset defeat have cashed 61.7% since 1980 vs. foes off double digit wins.  Take Baltimore.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Panthers were pummeled last Sunday by the New England Patriots, 42-13.  Off that blowout loss, we'll step in and take Carolina vs. the Dolphins this afternoon.  NFL teams have gone 160-113-8 ATS off a blowout loss by more than 28 points when they weren't favored by 4+ points in their current game.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Last week, in Dublin, the Vikings were upset, 24-21, by the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Minnesota will try to rebound in London, on Sunday.  But the Vikings are a horrid 2-18-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points away from home off an upset loss.  Even worse, teams (like Cleveland) that failed to score 14+ points in each of their two previous games have cashed 60.2% as single-digit underdogs the past 45 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Browns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Miami-Florida.  Last week, the Seminoles lost in overtime, 46-38, to the Virginia Cavaliers.  Off that upset loss, we'll take FSU to bounce back, as it's 23-5 ATS at home or on a neutral field, off a point spread loss, when playing an opponent off an ATS win at home.  Florida State lost its prior meeting vs. Miami, 36-14.  We'll take the revenge-minded Seminoles on Saturday night, as they also fall into 87-41-3 and 82-35 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Aggies are off to a 4-0 start this season after dispatching Auburn last week, 16-10.  Unfortunately for A&M bettors, the Aggies failed to cover the 6.5-point spread.  We'll take A&M to get back into the point spread win column this week, as undefeated SEC teams have covered 61.1% as favorites in conference games off an ATS loss.  That bodes well for the Aggies on Saturday night.  As does the fact that they're 50-26 ATS when priced from -10 to -16 points.  Take Texas A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders won their Big 12 opener with a blowout win over Utah, 34-10.  And they blew out Oregon State, 45-14, in their game before that.  But off those two big wins, we'll fade Texas Tech at Houston on Saturday night, as they've covered just 20 of 64 FBS games off back-to-back ATS wins (or ties) in FBS games.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 73% of conference games as double-digit home dogs off back-to-back wins, if their opponent was not off an ATS defeat.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.   

At 6 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  In their previous game, the Chanticleers upset South Alabama, 38-20, in Mobile.  But off that huge win, we'll fade Coastal Carolina in their second Sun Belt Conference game on Saturday evening.  Indeed, Sun Belt teams have cashed just 32.2% in Conference games after an upset win, if it was getting more than 3 points in its current game, and matched-up against a foe off a SU win.  Additionally, the Monarchs fall into a 155-90 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers plus the points over Connecticut.  The Panthers were upset, 38-16, at home by Delaware in their last game.  We'll back FIU off that upset defeat, as UConn has cashed just 29.4% as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes off a loss.  Even better:  Florida International falls into a very good 180-85 ATS system which plays on certain teams off SU losses.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers stunned Florida State, 46-38, in overtime last week.  But that upset win has set up the Cavs in a negative 96-175-4 system of mine.  And Louisville has covered 65.2% over the past 45 years as favorites vs. foes off upset conference wins.  Take the Cardinals.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Texas.  On the surface, one has two teams headed in opposite directions.  The Gators are riding a 3-game losing streak, while the Longhorns have won their last three games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot 'Horns, and against the ice-cold Gators.  But be careful, as Florida falls into an 86-45-1 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses vs. foes off wins.  And Florida is 14-4 ATS as a home dog vs. SEC Conference rivals.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Notre Dame/Boise State game.  Notre Dame thrashed Arkansas last week, 56-13, while Boise State annihilated Appalachian St., 47-14.  The Irish have now gone OVER the total each of their first four games this season, and six straight games dating back to last season.  And going back to October 2022, the Irish are 28-11 Over the total.  But this O/U line is a bit too high based on my numbers.  Indeed, it is the 2nd highest O/U line of their last 40 games (the other 39 games averaged 48.71 points).  The Under falls into a 58% Totals system of mine which takes the Under in games between certain teams off high-scoring games.  And it also falls into 74.7% and 71.7% Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Wake Forest.  After starting the 2025 season 0-3 SU/ATS, with double-digit losses to South Carolina, Vanderbilt and Old Dominion, the Hokies rebounded with a 38-6 win over FCS Wofford, and then a 23-21 upset win at NC State last Saturday.  Off that impressive win, Virginia Tech falls into several of my 'momentum' systems with records of 119-46-6, 189-107-6, and 239-133-8 ATS.  The Hokies are also with 26-13 ATS off an upset win.  Lay the points with the Hokies.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats over the Iowa State Cyclones.  We played on the Cyclones last week over Arizona, as our Big 12 Game of the Month, and were rewarded with a blowout 39-14 win.  This week, we'll switch gears and fade ISU, as it is a poor 0-8 ATS away from home vs. .750 (or better) conference foes.  Additionally, the Cyclones fall into negative 164-250 and 40-94 ATS systems.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over San Diego State.  The Rams were upset last week by Washington State, 20-3, as a 4.5-point home favorite.  The good news for Colorado State is that it now falls into a 'bounce-back' system of mine which has gone 219-111-3 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Aztecs are 5-15 ATS at home when priced from -3.5 to -7 vs. conference foes.  Take Jay Norvell's men on Friday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Denver.  The Bengals were blown out last week by the Minnesota Vikings, 48-10.  We'll take Cincy to rebound on Monday, as underdogs more than 6 points have gone 203-153-3 ATS in regular season, non-division games off a loss by more than 18 points.  Additionally, the Bengals are 23-6 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +10 points.  Take the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Miami Dolphins/New York Jets game.  Over the last 45 seasons, AFC East division games, with point spreads of 3 or less, have gone 77-38-4 UNDER the total if the O/U line was 41+ points.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Monday night.  As does the fact that the UNDER falls into 63.4% and 60.3% Totals systems of mine.  Take the Jets/Dolphins UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Dallas/Green Bay game.  The Cowboys' defense is leaving a lot to be desired.  It gave up 31 points to the Chicago Bears last Sunday, which was the most points the Bears scored in their three games this season.  Likewise, it surrendered 37 points to the Giants in Week 2.  And the Giants scored less than 10 points in each of their other two games.  Dating back to last season, the Cowboys have allowed 439 points over their last 15 games, for an average of 29.26 ppg.  Fourteen of Dallas' last 22 games have sailed OVER the total.  And this Packers/Cowboys series has also seen the OVER cash in the last 5 meetings (and 18 of the last 24).  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders over the Chicago Bears.  We played on the Bears last week as a 1-point home dog vs. Dallas, and got the $$$ in a 31-14 win.  This week's game is also priced near PK'em, and we'll fade Chicago and take the homestanding Raiders.  Indeed, Las Vegas is a sensational 13-1-1 ATS at home in 'win situation' games, with point spreads of 3 points or less.  And Chicago is the opposite, with a 1-9-1 ATS record on the road in games with point spreads of 3 or less.  Take Las Vegas.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Both the Ravens and Chiefs have gotten off to a 1-2 start this season, so the loser of this game will be 1-3, and will have a lot of anxiety about reaching the post-season.  Last week, Baltimore lost at home on Monday Night Football to Detroit, 38-30.  But the good news for the Ravens is that they're 11-1-1 ATS off a straight-up loss, dating back to December 24, 2022 (and 7-0-1 ATS when not laying more than 7 points).  Lay the points with John Harbaugh's men.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs to go UNDER the total.  The Ravens are averaging 37 ppg, and all three of their games have sailed Over the total.  But Kansas City generally plays lower-scoring games, and has gone UNDER 19-8-1 vs. foes that average 29.5 (or more) points on offense.  The UNDER falls also into a 59% totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Rams/Indianapolis Colts game.  After giving up just 9 points to the Texans and 19 to the Titans, the Rams surrendered 33 last week to the Philadelphia Eagles, and lost, 33-26.  I expect a much better defensive showing on Sunday afternoon vs. Indianapolis.  Indeed, Los Angeles is 23-16-3 ATS and, importantly, 28-14 UNDER off a straight-up loss.  And it is also 21-6 UNDER after giving up 27+ points, and averaged just 18.03 ppg on defense in those 27 games, which illustrates that Sean McVay's men especially bounce back on defense after a bad outing.  Take the Rams and Colts UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  Philly is undefeated to start the season, at 3-0.  Unfortunately, defending Super Bowl champs have covered just 25% since 1980 when they were undefeated, and favored on the road vs. a winning foe.  That bodes well for the Bucs as a home dog.  As does the fact that Tampa Bay is 12-3 ATS as home dogs in non-division games.  Grab the points with Baker Mayfield & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our AFC South Total of the Year is on the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans to go OVER the total.  Twenty-seven of the last 44 meetings between these AFC South division rivals have gone OVER the total.  And that's the way we'll look in this match-up of winless, 0-3 teams.  After starting the year against a difficult slate of teams (Rams, Bucs, Jags), who all rank among the top 12 in defense, the Texans will get a bit of a breather this week when they face a Titans squad which is in the bottom six in defense, at 373 yards per game.  The Texans are 41-24 OVER the total at home after scoring less than 23 points in each of their two previous games.  Take the Titans/Texans OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Cleveland Browns.  The Lions have been an ATM machine since hiring Dan Campbell as head coach.  And especially against teams NOT off a straight-up loss, as Detroit has rolled to a 29-8-2 ATS record in those games.  Detroit is also 14-2 ATS under Campbell vs. foes that covered the point spread by more than 10 points in their previous game.  Take the Lions.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Carolina.  We played against the Patriots last week, and took the Steelers -1.5 points.  Pittsburgh rewarded us with a 21-14 victory.  Still, New England played well enough in that game to win, as they actually outyarded Pittsburgh, 369-203, but committed five turnovers, which spelled defeat.  We'll take New England to bounce back, as it's 52-26-1 ATS in the regular season off a SU loss, when not favored by 7+ points.  Lay the points with the Patriots.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Atlanta/Washington game.  Commanders QB, Jayden Daniels, will be sidelined for this game, so backup QB, Marcus Mariota will once again be under center.  Last week, Mariota was terrific, passing for 207 yards (15-for-21, one TD), and rushing for 40 yards and a TD.  Atlanta was whitewashed, 34-0, by Carolina last Sunday, so it will be looking to bounce back.  These teams met last season, and Washington emerged victorious, 30-24.  I expect a similarly-high-scoring game on Sunday, as Washington is 17-9 OVER as an underdog, while teams off a shutout loss have gone 29-17 OVER if the O/U line was 44 points or less.  The OVER also falls into a 262-178 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide won last year's meeting, 41-34, in Tuscaloosa.  We'll take Georgia to avenge that defeat, as it's a wallet-fattening 20-3-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) when playing with revenge.  Additionally, the Bulldogs fall into a 304-201 ATS system of mine.  Take Georgia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Oregon.  The Nittany Lions will welcome the Oregon Ducks to Happy Valley on Saturday evening.  In Oregon's first Big 10 season, last year, it ran the regular season table, and was undefeated (and ranked #1) going into the 12-team Playoffs.  These two teams met in the Big 10 Championship game, and Oregon defeated PSU, 45-37, as a 3-point favorite.  This year, it's James Franklin's men, who are favored.  And Penn State has been dominant in the favorite role, going 44-4 SU and 33-14-1 ATS in its last 48 FBS games as the favorite.  The Nittany Lions are also 20-14 ATS at home when playing with revenge, while Oregon is a poor 7-16-2 ATS as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge.  Lay the points with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Arizona.  The 3-0 Wildcats come into this game off a 23-17 home win over Kansas State, while the 4-0 Cyclones enter off a 24-16 victory at Arkansas State.  Both teams had last week off to prepare for this Big 12 Conference battle, and we'll lay the points with the homestanding Cyclones.  Key Stat:  Arizona is 0-13 ATS away from home as an underdog off a SU/ATS win, if it was matched up against a .500 (or better) foe.  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Tulsa.  The Green Wave have been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. the Golden Hurricane.  And that bodes well for Tulane, as it's 31-12 ATS its last 43 (and 82-54-2 ATS its last 138) as a favorite of less than 17 points, while Tulsa is a terrible 35-56-3 ATS as an underdog of 17 (or less) points vs. conference rivals.  Over the last 4 seasons, Tulsa is 6-19 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in AAC Conference games (regardless of the point spread), while Tulane is 23-4 SU and 17-10 ATS.  Lay the points with the Green Wave.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.   

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Ohio State.  The Huskies are a perfect 3-0 this season, and have been installed as a home dog vs. the defending champion Buckeyes.  We'll grab the points with Washington, as it's cashed 75% over the last 45 years as a home dog vs. conference foes, if Washington was off back-to-back wins.  Even better:  undefeated home dogs of more than 7 points have cashed 65.6% over the last 45 years off a win by 35+ points.  With Washington in off a 59-24 victory over Washington State, we'll grab the points with the home underdog.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over San Diego State.  The Aztecs pulled off the biggest upset last week, when they whitewashed California, 34-0, as a 14-point home underdog!  Unfortunately for the Aztecs, they're 19-32 ATS off an upset win, including 8-21 ATS if they were an underdog of 5+ points in their previous game.  Grab the points with Northern Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Red Wolves were upset by Kennesaw State last week, 28-21, as a 5-point road favorite.  We'll take Arkansas State to bounce back on Saturday, as it's cashed 75% on the road off an upset loss when matched up against a foe off a SU win.  Take the Red Wolves + the points.

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles had lost eight games in a row (dating back to last season) before last Saturday's 34-31 upset win over Louisiana-Lafayette.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade Eastern Michigan in Mount Pleasant, on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, the Eagles are an ugly 8-22 ATS off an upset win.  Additionally, the Chippewas fall into 175-96-4 and 184-98-7 ATS systems of mine based, in part, on their 49-10 win last week over Wagner.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Utah State.  We played on Vanderbilt earlier this month in its 31-7 upset win in its SEC Conference opener at South Carolina.  Then, last week, the Commodores returned home to Nashville and blew out Georgia State, 70-21.  Off that 49-point blowout, the Commies are 4-0, and fall into several of my better 'momentum' systems.  We'll lay the points on Saturday vs. the Aggies, as undefeated NCAA teams have gone 235-181 ATS in FBS games when favored by 21+ points, off a win by 21 or more points the previous week.  Lay the wood with Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Syracuse.  The Orange pulled off a big upset on the road last week at ACC Conference rival, Clemson.  The Orange were a 17.5-point underdog, yet won outright, 34-21.  Off that upset win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday vs. Duke.  Indeed, Syracuse is an atrocious 3-15 ATS as an underdog in conference games following an upset conference win.  And Duke is 26-7 ATS away from home off a SU win, when it wasn't getting more than 3 points.  Take the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Notre Dame.  We played against Arkansas last week in Memphis, and got the $$$ with the Tigers, who upset Arkansas, 32-31.  But off that upset loss, we'll back the Razorbacks in Fayetteville on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, Arkansas is an awesome 16-3 ATS off an upset road loss, including 8-1 ATS at home, while Notre Dame is a soft 18-27-1 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset losses.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a super 83-40 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Grab the points with the Razorbacks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Chicago game.  Both the Bears and Cowboys' games are averaging 60+ points this year.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game at Soldier Field, on Sunday.  But be careful, as NFL games have gone UNDER the total 60% over the last 45 years when both teams' games averaged 60+ points (at Game 3 forward).  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a 347-241 Totals system of mine.  We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Bears were blown out by the Detroit Lions last week, 52-21.  And that 31-point loss has set up Chicago is a very good 164-85 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off poor games.  Even better:  Chicago is a super 48-27-3 ATS at home off back-to-back losses when not laying more than 3 points, including 25-8-2 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Broncos lost at Indianapolis last week, 29-28, in a Pk'em game.  And they also failed to cover the spread in Week 1 vs. the Tennessee Titans.  I like the Broncos to reward their bettors this week, as NFL teams off a SU loss, that made the Playoffs the previous season, have cashed 64% as underdogs in Week 3 after starting a season winless ATS.  Denver also falls into 76-31 and 99-51 ATS systems of mine.  We'll grab the points with the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  Houston has gotten out of the gate slowly this season, with narrow losses at the Rams (14-9) and at home to the Buccaneers (20-19).  We'll take the Texans to get into the Win Column in Week 3, as 0-2 NFL teams that owned a winning record each of the two previous seasons have cashed 62.9% the last 45 years off an upset loss in Week 2.  And 0-2 NFL teams with a scoring margin of -3.0 (or better) have cashed 71% the past 15 years in Week 3.  Take the Texans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the New England Patriots.  The Steelers were upset at home, 31-17, by the Seattle Seahawks last week.  We'll take Mike Tomlin's men to bounce back, as they're 44-19 ATS off a SU loss in which they gave up 31+ points.  And they also fall into a very good 74-24 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with the Steelers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  The Buccaneers have started the season 2-0, with road wins against Atlanta (as a PK), and against Houston (as a 2.5-point underdog).  We'll fade Tampa back home on Sunday, as it has gone 26-43 ATS as a favorite off back-to-back wins.  Meanwhile, the Jets are 27-18 ATS as an underdog off back to back losses vs. foes off back to back wins.  New York also falls into a 149-84 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The Longhorns have yet to cover the spread this season.  But so have the Bearkats, who are 0-3 ATS this season, and 2-8 ATS their last 10, dating back to last year.  We'll lay the big number with Texas, as it's 37-20 ATS when favored by 14 off an ATS loss.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points against BYU.  The Pirates come into this game off a 38-0 shutout win at Coastal Carolina last Saturday.  Home teams have gone 120-94-9 ATS in the regular season off shutout road wins the previous week.  And BYU is 21-32 ATS as a non-conference road favorite.  Take East Carolina.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Illinois.  The Hoosiers whitewashed Indiana State, 73-0, last week.  We'll lay the points with Indiana in this Big 10 battle, as home teams favored by single digits have cashed 58% in conference games off a 60-point (or greater) offensive outburst their previous game.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal notched a rare win last week when they upset Boston College, 30-20, as a 14-point home underdog.  Still, Stanford is a lousy 20-42-3 ATS its last 65.  Take Virginia.

At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  Both of these teams come into this game with 1-2 records following victories last Saturday.  Marshall blew out Eastern Kentucky, 38-7, while the Blue Raiders stormed back from a 13-0 deficit in the fourth quarter to shock Nevada, 14-13.  Marshall used to be in Conference USA, so it has a history against Middle Tennessee.  The Blue Raiders did win the previous meeting, 34-28.  But in this series, the loser of the prior meeting has gone 7-2 ATS.  The Blue Raiders have NOT been good off point spread wins, as they've gone 3-13 ATS, including 0-7 ATS in games with single-digit point spreads, and 1-7 ATS off an upset win.  Marshall falls into 204-113 and 169-95 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Thundering Herd.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Wolf Pack collapsed in the 4th quarter last week, and gave up two late touchdowns to Middle Tennessee to lose, 14-13.  We'll take Nevada to bounce back, as it's 26-15 ATS in non-conference games off a SU loss, including 5-1 ATS off an upset loss.  Take Nevada.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets upset Clemson last week, 24-21, to move to 3-0 this season, while the Owls were blown out, 42-3, by Oklahoma.  The Yellow Jackets are a poor 2-7-1 ATS at home in non-conference games off an upset win.  And AAC Conference teams are 29-14-1 ATS as road underdogs of more than 20 points vs. foes not off a SU loss.  Take Temple + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Oklahoma.  Last year, the Sooners went into Auburn, and upset the Tigers, 27-21, as a 2-point road underdog.  We'll take Auburn to give Oklahoma some payback on this Saturday.  The Tigers are a solid 14-7 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss against a conference foe.  And Oklahoma is 5-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset on the road.  That bodes well for Auburn on Saturday afternoon.  As does the fact that SEC Conference underdogs (or PK) have cashed 62.2% in their conference openers, provided their opponent wasn't playing with revenge.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over the Michigan Wolverines.  Nebraska was walloped by Michigan, here in Lincoln, 45-7, two years ago.  But that was a Michigan team which went on to win the National Championship.  This Wolverines team is not at that level, notwithstanding its 63-3 triumph last week vs. Central Michigan.  Nebraska comes into this Big 10 Conference-opener with a defense which has allowed just 8.0 ppg this season.  We'll grab the points with the 'Huskers, as single-digit home underdogs, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have cashed 57.2% since 1980.  Additionally, the Wolves are a woeful 1-8 ATS after scoring 60+ points, including 0-5 ATS on the road.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Purdue.  Notre Dame reached the Championship game vs. Ohio State last January, but has stumbled to an 0-2 start this season.  We played against the Irish in each of those games, and cashed Miami-Fla and Texas A&M.  But we will switch gears and lay the points with Marcus Freeman's men on Saturday afternoon.  Notre Dame has won nine straight games vs. its cross-state rival, including a 66-7 beatdown last season.  I like the Irish to bounce back as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 19-7 ATS their last 26) as a losing team off back to back ATS defeats.  They're also 6-1 ATS when priced from -21 to -28 points vs. their rival.  Meanwhile, Purdue is a putrid 2-9 ATS when getting 14+ points vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take the Irish to blow out the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over UAB.  The Volunteers come into this game off an overtime loss to the Georgia Bulldogs.  They'll step down in class on Saturday and take on the Blazers out of the AAC Conference.  Tennessee is 12-1 ATS its last 13 vs. non-conference FBS schools.  And UAB is 1-12-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  With the Blazers in off a 31-28 victory over Akron, we'll lay the points with Tennessee.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tennessee/UAB game.  The Volunteers have been installed as a huge favorite of more than 5 touchdowns on Saturday vs. the Blazers.  And the Over/Under line is the highest of any FBS game so far this season.  We'll take the UNDER, as SEC Conference teams have gone UNDER 74% in games with O/U lines north of 65 points, if they were favored by 25+ points.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into an 74-24 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Cardinals had last week off to rest and prepare for this non-conference match-up vs. Bowling Green from the Mid-American Conference.  The Falcons earned a nice upset win last week at home vs. Liberty, and are 2-1 on the season.  We'll lay the points with the rested Cardinals, as Mid-American Conference teams have gone 0-14 ATS their last 14 (and 4-26 ATS their last 30) as road underdogs of 8+ points vs. rested non-conference foes.  Additionally, the Cardinals fall into a super 175-95 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army.  This is a big revenge game for the Mean Green, who lost to Army last season, 14-3.  The Black Knights would go on to a perfect 8-0 record in American Athletic Conference play.  I expect tougher sledding for Army this season in the AAC, and we'll lay the points on Saturday with North Texas.  Indeed, AAC road favorites (or PK) have gone 35-8 SU and 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Army is an atrocious 29-53-2 ATS in FBS games when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 6-21 (22.2%) ATS at home.  The Mean Green also fall into 135-61 and 38-15 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  SMU has yet to cover the point spread this season, but I like it to get into the ATS win column at its cross-town rival, TCU.  The road team has dominated this series "in Vegas," going 27-13-1 ATS, including 16-4 ATS when getting more than a field goal.  Take the Mustangs + the points.