t 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over New York.  The Giants have won and covered four straight games, but they're now laying more than 7 points.  And, in their first nine games, the most they've been favored by is 3.5.  If the Giants were favored by 7.5 points in all their games this season, they would be 0-9 ATS (they haven't won a game by 8+ points yet).  We'll grab the points with Chicago, as the Bears fall into several of my favorite systems, including one which is 145-94 and another which 203-112 ATS since 1980.  Take Chicago + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Detroit.  The Lions upset division rival, Minnesota, in their last game.  But I look for a letdown this afternoon, as Detroit falls into a negative 56-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins over division foes.  The Lions are also a poor 33-53 ATS as favorites over .500 (or worse) non-division foes.  Take Jacksonville.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford.  This will be the 119th meeting in this rivalry known as "The Big Game."  And I love getting points with teams in rivalry games, provided they can move the football.  And California can certainly do that, as Davis Webb leads the 3rd most prolific passing offense this year in College Football.  It's true that California has lost its last three games, while Stanford is on a 3-game win streak.  But like with many heated rivalries, the records generally go out the window.  Besides, home teams have covered 61.3% the past 8 seasons off 3+ losses, if their win pct was .400 or better, including 75% when getting more than 6 points.  Take Cal.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Diego State.  The Aztecs come into this game with a 9-1 record, and are ranked #24 in the country.  They also snuck into the rankings earlier this season (their first time since 1995), but then promptly played their worst game of the season when they lost at South Alabama, 42-24, as 19.5-point favorites.  But they're on a six-game win streak, and have covered four straight games.  But this will be a very difficult game for San Diego State to win.  Wyoming is 7-3, with wins (and covers) in five of its last six games.  And Wyoming also falls into 137-63 and 72-26 ATS systems of mine that play against certain winning teams off big ATS wins.  This will be Wyoming's final home game of the season, and San Diego State is a poor 7-14 ATS vs. foes playing their final home game.  The Cowboys are 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS at home since last Thanksgiving, and need to win to keep pace with Boise State and New Mexico at the top of the conference's Mountain Division (all three teams are tied at 5-1).  Take the points with Wyoming.  Mountain West Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Michigan.  Last week, Jim Harbaugh's men suffered their first loss of the season, as they fell at the gun by a single point, 14-13, to the Iowa Hawkeyes.  Even worse for the Maize and Blue:  they may have also lost their starting QB, Wilton Speight, who broke his collarbone.  Regardless of who starts at QB for U-M, we're going to fade it on this Saturday.  And that's because teams off a loss as an 18-point (or bigger) favorite the previous week are an awful 29.7% ATS since 1980, including 2-14 ATS when priced from -17 to -24 points.  Take Indiana.  Underdog Shocker.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Buffalo.  The 14th-ranked Broncos are a spotless 10-0 this season, and are one of two remaining unbeaten teams (along with Alabama).   And their schedule conferred an advantage on them this week, as they haven't played for 11 days, while Buffalo will have had just seven days between its games.  And undefeated teams, with a record of 8-0 or better) have covered 75% at home in the regular season since 1988 when playing with extra rest.  With Western Michigan covering 13 of 15 against foes not off a SU/ATS win, we'll lay the points with the Broncos.  NCAA Roadkill.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Duke.  We played on the Panthers last week as our "Underdog Shocker," and were rewarded not just with a cover, but an outright win as a 21.5-point underdog vs. #2 ranked Clemson.  A lot of folks might look for a letdown on Saturday, but not me.  First, the Panthers will be at home, and when teams suffer letdowns, they tend to happen on the road.  And, second, Duke comes into this game off, arguably, a bigger win, as it defeated its absolute biggest rival -- 13th ranked North Carolina -- as a 10.5-point home underdog.  Like Pitt, Duke won that game by a single point (28-27), and road underdogs are an awful 38.5% since 1980 off wins as a double-digit dog, if they're matched up against a foe also off a win.  Take Pitt.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Oklahoma State.  This is a critical game for both of these teams.  The 13th ranked Cowboys are 6-1 in Conference play, and are trying to stay in position to win the Big 12 Championship, while TCU still needs to win at least one more game to become eligible for a bowl game.  The big factor for me is that TCU had last week off to rest and prepare, while Okie State was involved in a tough, 45-44 win vs. Texas Tech.  The Horned Frogs fall into several of my best systems that involve playing on rested teams against unrested foes (with records of 43-11, 73-21, 185-119 and 111-54 ATS).  Also, the Horned Frogs are a super 19-5 ATS when playing with rest in the regular season, including a perfect 8-0 ATS at home since 2007.  Take TCU. High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes pulled a big upset last week, when they stunned #3 ranked Michigan at the gun with a game-winning field goal.  Of course, we weren't stunned, as we had a huge Elite Info play on the Hawkeyes.  But we'll switch gears and take Illinois in a home underdog role on Saturday.  Indeed, home dogs are a strong 62.2% ATS over the past 37 years vs. foes off upsets as dogs of +15 or more points (and 75% when getting more than 8 points).  Take Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over UNLV.  We played on the Broncos last week vs. Hawaii, and easily got the $$$ when they blew out the Rainbow Warriors, 52-16, as 23-point favorites.  They've favored again by a large margin tonight, and we will once again lay it.  Boise State is 62-39 ATS off a double-digit conference win, and it's also playing its final home game of the season.  That bodes well for the Broncos, as they fall into 53-17, 90-59 and 49-13 ATS "last home game" systems of mine.  Meanwhile, UNLV checks in off a 69-66 upset win over Wyoming, which has triggered two negative systems of mine, with records of 45-102 and 56-100 ATS.  Even worse: the Rebels are a horrid 1-15 straight-up and 2-14 ATS since 2004 when playing against an opponent in its final home game of the season, including 0-8 ATS if the Rebels are playing with revenge from a loss the previous season!  Last year, Boise blew out UNLV by 28 points, as a 21-point favorite.  They'll get the win and cover again on Friday.  Take Boise State.  Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers minus the points over New Orleans.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Panthers were upset by Drew Brees & Co., 41-38, as a 3-point road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Carolina, as the revenger has covered 7 straight in this series.  Additionally, the Panthers fall into a super 64% ATS system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any team which was upset by its opponent earlier in the season, if it's also off an upset loss in its most recent game.  Last week, Carolina fell at home to the KC Chiefs, 20-17, as a 3-points favorite.  I look for the Panthers to rebound on Thursday night.  Lay the points.  NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Carolina/New Orleans game.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Saints won, 41-38, as a 3-point home underdog.  But NFL games have gone 'under' the total a solid 69.6% of the time since 1980 if the season's previous meeting had 55+ points scored, and the over/under line in the current game was 51+ points.  Take the 'under.' NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over Louisville, as Houston falls into 28-0, 41-4 and 56-20 ATS systems of mine.  This will be a very tough test for the Cardinals, who are stepping up greatly in class (from what they've experienced much of the season).  The Cardinals were favored by 35, 19, 32, 25 and 34 points in their five most recent games.  And none of those five foes currently have a winning record in ACC Conference play (they're a combined 8-23).  Now, they're going to be playing an out-of-conference foe in Houston, which is 8-2 on the season.  And one of the things I like to do is go against certain teams after playing three straight games where they were favored by 20+ points, if they're now stepping up in class against a much more competitive opponent.  Indeed, I have a 53-21 ATS system on Houston as a big underdog vs. Louisville tonight which encapsulates that theory.  Finally, the Cougars are 11-0-1 ATS as underdogs of +2 or more points since November 17, 2012.  Take the points with Houston.  NCAA Football Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas over Ohio.  The Bobcats have won and covered their last 3 games, while Central Michigan comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  But Central Michigan will be playing its final home game of the season tonight.  And I love betting on teams off a loss, if they're playing their final home game of the season, and they're off 3 ATS losses, overall, while their opponent is off 3 ATS wins.  Those home teams have covered 76.1% since 1980 when not laying more than 3 points.  The Chippewas also fall into 121-76, 66-41 and 55-15 ATS systems of mine.  Take Central Michigan.  Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons snapped a 7-game losing streak with a road win at Akron last Wednesday.  But that upset win has triggered several negative systems of mine, with records of 147-62, 159-69 and 162-75 ATS since 1980.  The key last week was that Akron coughed up the football six times.  But I wouldn't expect such good fortune to occur two weeks in a row.  And especially since Bowling Green has only won the turnover battle twice in its 10 games this season, while Kent State has only lost the turnover battle three times in its 10 games.  The Falcons are also a dismal 2-11 ATS following a game where they forced 5 or more turnovers.  Take Kent State. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over New England.  The Seahawks fall into several of my best systems, with records of 95-42, 174-96 and 146-67 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Patriots, with a record of 7-1 (.875) fall into several negative systems of mine, including one which is 38% ATS since 1999, and another which is 52-113 ATS since 1980.  That 38% ATS angle plays against favorites of more than 7 points in the 2nd half of the regular season, with an .875 (or better) record.  Take Seattle.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  Yes, the Steelers have lost their last three games, both straight-up and against the spread.  And, yes, the Cowboys have won and covered their last seven games, never failing to score at least 24 points in any of those wins.  But I look for Dallas' win streak to come to an end in the Steel City.  One of the things I love to do is go against NFL teams off 4 straight wins and covers, if they're on the road against a .500 or better team, and they scored 24 or more points in each of their previous four victories.  Our red-hot road teams in this situation have only covered 12 of 40 games since 1980, including 6-21 ATS when not favored by more than 3 points.  Even better for Pittsburgh:  it's 50-30 ATS vs. opponents with a win percentage greater than .730, including 39-20 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Take the Steelers.  Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the SF 49ers + the points over Arizona.  The Niners have lost 7 straight against the spread.  Even worse:  they've failed to cover their last three games by 21.5, 18 and 13 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against San Francisco, but teams that failed to cover their last three games by 10+ points are a super 69% as dogs of +4 or more points since 1980.  Take the points with San Francisco.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Niners/Cardinals game, as it falls into a 108-58 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, teams (like San Francisco) that have gone 'over' the total by 5+ points in each of their previous four games have gone 'under' in their next game 60% of the time since 1980 if the line was 44+ points.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami/San Diego game 'under' the total, as it falls into a 68% ATS systems of mine.  What we want to do is play on the under if one of the team's last game totaled more than 77 points, and its opponent's previous game totaled more than 49 points.  With the Chargers in off a 43-35 win over Tennessee, and the Dolphins in off a 27-23 victory over the Jets, we'll take the 'under' this afternoon.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Eagles are 4-4 on the season, but will have an opportunity to get back on the winning track at home following two losses on the road.   And home teams, with a .500 or better record, have been terrific over the past 37 years off back to back road defeats.  They’ve covered 88 of 150 games, 59 percent, including 32-8 ATS when matched up against an opponent which won, and covered the spread in its last game by 7 or more points.  Take Philadelphia.  NFL Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over the Chicago Bears.  Last week, Tampa Bay lost 43-28 to the Falcons.  But we'll grab the points with the Bucs, as home dogs have cashed 66% in non-division games the past 37 seasons after giving up more than 40 points in their previous game.  Take Tampa Bay.  NFL Underdog Shocker.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over California.  Mike Leach's Cougars have been dominant since stumbling out of the gate with an 0-2 record.  Since the, Wazzu has ripped off seven straight wins.  They've also covered five of their last eight games.  Their very best win was last week when they destroyed Arizona 69-7, as a 14-point favorite.  They'll now take on the defensively-challenged Bears, who gave up 66 points to Washington last week (and who have given up 47, 49, 45 and 66 points in their last four games).  I look for Washington State to blow the doors off of Cal, as Wazzu falls into 179-79, 116-40 and 15-1 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  And California is a dreadful 9-18 ATS when the O/U line is greater than 65 points.  Take Washington State.  Pac-12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan, as the Hawkeyes fall into 86-47, 130-69 and 135-63 ATS systems.  At the start of the season, I predicted that the University of Michigan would win the National Championship (at 12-1 odds).  Certainly, it is in great shape after starting the season 9-0.  But this will be its toughest road game of the season-to-date.  And Iowa comes into this game at Kinnick Stadium off back to back losses.  The Hawkeyes are a solid 11-2 ATS as home dogs of +3.5 or more points off back to back losses, and 30-17-1 ATS since 1980 off back to back ATS losses when not laying 5+ points.  Even better:  they're 32-10 ATS in Conference games off a road loss by more than 8 points (including 13-1 ATS since 2001).  Meanwhile, Michigan is a poor 10-25-1 ATS on the road off a Big 10 Conference win.  Take Iowa.  Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Arkansas.  Last week, Arkansas blew out Florida, 31-10, while the Tigers lost a very hard-fought game to Alabama.  The score in the LSU/Alabama game was 0-0 through three quarters, but Alabama scored 10 points in the fourth quarter to win 10-0.  I look for Louisiana State to bounce back off that shutout defeat, as road favorites of -3 or more points have covered 68% off a shutout loss over the past 37 years.  And, even though there’s nothing wrong with 68%, we can improve our stat to a perfect 100%, 11-0 ATS if our opponent won its last game by 4 or more points, which Arkansas did.  Take LSU minus the points.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors were shut out last year by Boise, 55-0.  And they also lost last week, 55-0, to San Diego State!  Hawaii has not been bouncing back off losses, lately, as it's 3-11 ATS its last 14 off a defeat.  Meanwhile, Boise's 71-44 ATS off a conference win, and it falls into a system of mine which is 14-0 ATS its last 14.  That angle plays on certain .801 (or better) teams off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with Boise.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over South Florida, as Memphis falls into 99-55 and 102-44 ATS systems of mine.  The Tigers got off the schneid last week when they smashed SMU 51-7, as a 3-point favorite, to move to 6-3 on the season.  And that big, 44-point blowout win is a 'buy signal' for me.  Especially when one looks at the South Florida defense, which has given up 46 and 45 points in its last two games, and over 30 ppg for the season.  Unfortunately for the Bulls, road favorites have only covered 34 of 100 games if their defense gives up 28+ points per game, and their opponent has a win percentage greater than .560.  Take Memphis.  Below the Radar Blowout.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over Texas San Antonio.  The Bulldogs have won six in a row, and covered their last five.  And I certainly won't step in front of this freight train, here, at home.  In its last five games, the Bulldogs have scored 55, 56, 44, 61 and 45 points!  That bodes well for La Tech today, as home teams have covered 61% of regular season conference games over the past 37 years if they're off 3 SU/ATS Wins, and scored 150+ points in those 3 victories.  Additionally, the Bulldogs are 25-12 ATS as a home favorite of -6+ points.  Take La Tech.  Conference USA Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The Tigers have lost their last 5 games (both SU and ATS), yet find themselves installed as a favorite vs. Vandy, which covered last week at Auburn (losing 23-16, as a 25-point dog).  It may look tough to take the Tigers, given how they've burned money in Vegas, but home favorites off ATS losses in each of their previous five games have covered a sensational 61% over the past 37 years vs. foes off an ATS win.  And Missouri's an awesome 25-8 ATS when favored at home off a loss.  Take the Tigers.  NCAA Football Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Clemson, as the Tigers fall into a negative 69-130 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain .900 (or better) teams off big wins.  Last week, the Tigers shut out Syracuse 54-0, but undefeated favorites of more than 18 points, off shutout wins, have only covered 36 of 100 at home since 1980.  And while Pittsburgh was blown out last week, 51-28, by Miami, I look for it to bounce back, as winning teams are 51-24 ATS double-digit road dogs vs. conference foes if they're off a conference road loss by more than 20 points.  Take Pittsburgh + the points.  Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers minus the points over Rice.  The 49ers are on a roll, as they've covered their last four games, including a stunning 38-27 win at Southern Miss last week, as a 17-point underdog.  Some might look for a letdown, but not me.  Since 1980, double-digit favorites are a super 60-37 ATS at home in Conference games following an upset win on the road as a dog of more than 6 points, if they're playing an opponent off a loss.  Rice comes into this game off back to back losses, and 3 straight ATS losses.  Lay the points with Charlotte.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over South Carolina.  It's true that the Gators are banged-up, including at the quarterback position, where Austin Appleby will get the start for an injured Luke Del Rio.  Regardless, we'll lay the points with Florida, as it falls into an 85-43 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to bounce back off a pointspread loss when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Additionally, the Gators' defense has been sensational at home this season.  In its 4 home games, it's allowed 7, 7, 0 and 14 points (7 ppg) compared to 25 ppg in its 3 games on its opponent's home field.  Meanwhile, in South Carolina's three road games, it has scored 13, 14 and 10 points (compared to 22.67 ppg in its home games).  Take Florida.  HIGH NOON HANGING!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.