At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, February 8, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks to go OVER the total. New England went 9-0 away from home this season, while Seattle went 8-1 away from home. And both teams had no problem putting up points on the road. The Patriots averaged 27.3, while the Seahawks averaged 24.2. Admittedly, both of these two teams have stellar defenses. Seattle gives up just 17.10 ppg, while New England's scoring defense is a smidge higher, at 17.30 ppg. But even though both have great defensive units, I foresee a higher-scoring game than anticipated. Indeed, NFL post-season games tend to be OVERS when two teams with very good defenses meet up. Since 1980, Playoff games between teams with scoring defenses that give up less than 20 ppg have gone 55.2% UNDER, while Playoff games between teams with scoring defenses that give up 20+ ppg have gone 57.9% OVER the total. Likewise, if both teams' scoring defenses give up, in the aggregate, LESS than 34.5 ppg, the OVER has cashed 60.4 percent since 1980, including 14-5 in Super Bowls. The Patriots are a decided underdog in the game. And they've gone 19-8 OVER the total when installed as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 25-15 OVER the total as a favorite, including 15-6 OVER when favored by more than 4 points. Finally, the OVER also falls into systems of mine with records of 24-1, 40-7, 39-20, 62-35, 50-13 and 54-15. Take the Patriots and Seahawks OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over Seattle.  The Rams won their first two playoff games, but failed to cover the point spread in each game.  They defeated Carolina, 34-31, and then survived in overtime to knock off Chicago, 20-17.  In contrast, Seattle was most impressive last week in its 41-6 thrashing of San Francisco.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to succumb to recency bias, and gravitate toward the Seahawks.  But we'll run the other way and grab the points with the underdog Rams.  Indeed, NFL underdogs have gone 32-21 ATS in the Playoffs following back-to-back ATS losses.  And teams off playoff wins by 35+ points have gone just 3-8 ATS in their next game.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks to go OVER the total.  NFC Conference Championship games have gone 23-9 OVER the total, including 13-1 OVER if the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Admittedly, the Rams/Bears game was very low-scoring, with just 37 points scored.  But the Rams had gone OVER the total in seven straight games prior to that one, which was played in inclement weather in Chicago.  This game won't have any weather issues, whatsoever.  Additionally, teams that scored 20 (or less) points in a Playoff victory have then gone 50-34-1 OVER the total in their next Playoff game.  Take the Rams/Seahawks OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 3:00 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over New England.  The Broncos suffered a bad break last week when #1 QB, Bo Nix, sustained an ankle injury toward the end of their win vs. Buffalo.  Jarrett Stidham will take over behind center in this AFC Championship game, so the Broncos have been installed as a home underdog.  We'll happily take the points with Denver, as it's 47-26-2 ATS as a home underdog (or PK).  Even better:  Denver is 55-13-3 ATS at home when it wasn't favored by more than 2 points, and its win percentage was NOT .333 worse than its opponent's win percentage.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Indiana.  This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium, so the 'Canes will have a home field advantage.  Indiana annihilated Alabama and Oregon by an aggregate score of 94-25 to reach this title game.  But off those two big wins -- where they covered the point spread by 27.5 and 31 points -- we'll fade the Hoosiers as a road favorite.  Indeed, undefeated teams, with a 6-0 (or better) record, have cashed just 33% on the road after a point spread win by 25+ points.  Likewise, .850 (or better) teams have cashed just 17.3% over the last 40 years after back to back covers by more than 24 points (at game 5 forward).  Finally, the Hurricanes have a very strong defense, and give up just 14 ppg.  Over the last 45 seasons, NCAA teams that allow less than 14.8 ppg, have gone 75-48 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog, including 11-1 ATS vs. foes off a point spread win by 23+ points.  We'll grab the points with the defensive underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Chicago/Los Angeles game.  Last week, the Rams survived a game effort by Carolina to win, 34-31.  And that was Los Angeles' 7th straight game to go OVER the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here.  But the Rams have gone 22-10 UNDER after giving up 27+ points in their previous game.  And NFL teams off 7 (or more) Overs in a row have proceeded to go UNDER 58% since 1980.  The Under also falls into 361-257-13 and 39-13-1 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Houston/New England game.  The Patriots have tended to play high-scoring games at home in the Playoffs, with the OVER going 11-5-1 in the last 17 games played in Foxborough in the post-season.  And the Patriots and Texans have also tended to play high-scoring games, as the OVER is 11-4 in this series, including 6-2 in games at New England, and 6-1 in games with O/U lines less than 45 points.  Admittedly, both teams have staunch defenses, with the Texans allowing 16.7 ppg, and the Patriots giving up 17.9 ppg.  But NFL Playoff games have gone 55.2% OVER since 1980 when both teams don't allow 20+ ppg.  Finally, the OVER falls into 34-5 and 44-13 Totals systems of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the OVER in the Seattle/San Francisco game.  These two teams met at the end of the regular season, and the Seahawks were victorious, 13-3.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game on Saturday night.  But be careful, as NFL games have gone 349-286-12 OVER the total if the season's previous meeting totaled less than 33 points.  Moreover, Playoff games with point spreads of 7 (or more) also tend to be higher scoring, going OVER the total 56% since 1980.  The Over also falls into 11-0 and 7-0 Playoff Totals systems of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over the New England Patriots.  The biggest key, for me, in this game is playoff experience at the quarterback position.  Yes, Justin Herbert has never WON a playoff game.  But he has been in two games.  The first was three seasons ago when the Chargers blew a 27-0 lead vs. Jacksonville, and fell, 31-30.  Then, last season, the Chargers were blown out by the Houston Texans.  Drake Maye, on the other hand, will taste the post-season for the very first time on Sunday.  Advantage:  Herbert.  This will also be the Patriots' first playoff game in four years.  I don't mind playing on an underdog in its initial playoff game which didn't reach the post-season the previous year.  But I don't like laying points with such teams.  The Chargers are 113-66-10 ATS as a road underdog of +2 (or more) points, including 35-15 ATS off back-to-back losses, and 6-2 ATS in the playoffs.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers plus the points over Philadelphia.  The 49ers come into this game off a 13-3 loss to rival, Seattle.  We'll take San Francisco to bounce back this afternoon as it's 102-64-4 ATS off a SU loss, if it wasn't an underdog of more than 3 points in that prior game.  Even better:  the Eagles are a soft 9-16 ATS when laying 6 (or more) points.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars have won their last eight games.  But long win streaks are not necessarily a good thing when it comes to covering point spreads in the Playoffs.  Indeed, since 1980, teams on 8-game (or better) win streaks have cashed just 35.1%.  Moreover, the Bills have been great as underdogs, dating back to Josh Allen's rookie season, as they're 20-12-2 ATS when catching points.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Panthers have been installed as a double-digit home underdog, and it's been very profitable to back double-digit home dogs in the NFL.  Indeed, they're 135-103 ATS since 1980, including a perfect 2-0 ATS in the Playoffs (in 2011, Seattle won outright, 41-36, over New Orleans; in 2021, the Commanders lost by just 8 vs. Tampa).  Take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers blew out Alabama, 38-3, last week, and are 14-0 this season, with one of their wins against this Ducks squad.  That earlier meeting was back in October, and Indiana prevailed, 30-20, as a 7-point road underdog in Eugene.  The Hoosiers are a perfect 10-0 vs. Big 10 foes this season, but I expect that streak to come to an end here, in Atlanta.  Indeed, NCAA teams off a cover by 8+ points, are a poor 37-84-4 ATS away from home vs. conference foes if they were not favored by 7, and owned a 4-0 (or better) record in conference games.  Even worse:  if their opponent was playing with revenge, they've covered just 12 of 52, including 0-7-1 ATS since 2021.  The Ducks are 34-16 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe at home, or on a neutral field.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  These two teams met earlier this season in Los Angeles, and the Chargers were victorious, 23-20.  I like the Broncos to avenge that defeat in this season finale.  Indeed, Denver will wrap up the #1 seed (and a bye into the quarterfinals) with a win over the Chargers.  We played against the Broncos on Christmas, and got the $$$ with the Chiefs as a double-digit underdog.  We'll switch gears, and take Denver here, as home teams, priced from -3.5 to -13.5 points, have cashed 90 of 149 if they won, but failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in their previous game.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Miami.  The Pats still have an outside shot at the #1 seed (and a bye into the quarterfinals).  New England has gone 32-13 ATS since 1980 in its final home game of the season, including 12-0 ATS their last 12 when priced from -8 to -17 points.  Take the Patriots.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs cannot be trusted to lay any points, as they're now 24-44-1 ATS their last 69 when favored by more than 3 points.  Take the Raiders to close out the season with a strong performance at home.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Tennessee.  The Jaguars have won seven straight heading into their final home game of the regular season.  And their last two wins both came on the road, at Denver, and at Indianapolis.  We'll lay the points on Sunday, as double-digit home favorites have cashed 59.2% off back to back road wins.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  Although these two teams won't be going to the Playoffs, the fates of the Buccaneers and Panthers rests on the shoulders of the Saints and Falcons.  Should Atlanta win, then Carolina will head to the post-season, while a Saints triumph would benefit Tampa.  Last week, the Falcons upset the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football.  Unfortunately, the Falcons generally don't play well in back-to-back home games, and are 13-36-3 ATS at home off a home win.  Even worse:  they're 1-9 ATS off an upset win as a 3-point (or greater) underdog.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Seattle Seahawks/San Francisco 49ers game.  This game will determine the NFC West division champion, and the #1 seed in the NFC Conference.  Since 2007, competitively-priced games (with point spreads of 3 or less) in the NFC West division have gone 54-25-2 UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look in this season finale, given the stakes for both teams.  The last two meetings of these rivals have seen scores of 20-17 and 17-13.  More of the same.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Carolina.  We played on the Panthers when they were a home underdog earlier this month vs. Tampa, and got the $$$ in a 23-20 upset win.  This re-match will be played in Tampa, and the Bucs are once again installed as the favorite, notwithstanding the fact that they've lost their last four games in a row, straight-up (and are 0-8 ATS their last eight).  We'll lay the points, as teams (like Tampa) riding 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks have gone 22-7 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't getting more than 6 points.  Take the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Arizona.  The Mustangs rate better in both offensive and defensive yards per rush than the Wildcats.  And underdogs have been profitable in the post-season if they rated better in each of those categories, and also had a relative YPR differential of at least 1.0 YPR.  SMU did stumble in its last regular season game, with a 38-35 loss at California as a 13.5-point road favorite.  But SMU is 7-0 ATS its last seven games off an upset loss, provided that game was played at home, or on a neutral field.  And NCAA teams have gone 14-0-1 ATS in the post-season off an upset loss as a favorite of 8+ points, if they were priced from -4 to +8.5 in the current game.  Take SMU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting between these SEC Conference rivals, 43-35.  We'll take Ole Miss in Round 2, as it's 27-10 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog when it owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Even better:  NCAA revenge-minded teams are 26-10 ATS in a season's 2nd meeting, provided it wasn't played on its opponent's field, including 19-3 ATS if it lost that prior meeting by 10 points or less.  In its October loss at Georgia, Ole Miss scored on each of its first five possessions, and was up 35-26 heading into the 4th quarter.  But the Bulldogs finished the game on a 17-0 run.  I like Mississippi to finish the job tonight.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Miami.  The Buckeyes will look to bounce back from their Big 10 Championship loss to Indiana.  I believe they will, as defending champs have gone 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 off an upset loss if they were currently matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State/Miami game to go OVER the total.  NCAA post-season games with O/U lines less than 43 points have gone Over 65.6%.  And I like this Playoff game to be relatively high scoring, as Ohio State has gone 6-2-1 Over its last 9 Bowl games, while Miami's 3-1 Over its last four.  The Over also falls into a 56-30 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Utah.  The Huskers have been installed as a huge underdog in this Las Vegas Bowl game.  It's generally not a good idea to lay a lot of points in Bowl games, as underdogs of 11 (or more) points have gone 68-49-1 ATS in the Bowls when playing at home, or on a neutral field.  Take Nebraska.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Nebraska/Utah. game.  The Las Vegas Bowl has seen the UNDER cash eight of the last 11 years.  And that's the way we'll look this afternoon, as the UNDER falls into a 105-64 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Texas.  The Longhorns defeated Michigan last season, so the Wolves play this game with revenge.  Texas is a terrible 1-8 ATS vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes when Texas was priced as a favorite of 13 or less points.  Take Michigan.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils have won and covered their last three games.  But ACC teams are a dreadful 17-43-2 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Arizona State.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores come into this game off 3 straight wins.  But SEC Conference teams have gone 5-14 ATS in the Bowls off a win, if they were priced from -3 to -7 points.  Take Iowa.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Illinois.  The Volunteers were 8-4 this season, but just 3-6 ATS, including a 45-24 blowout loss at the hands of rival Vanderbilt to end their 2025 campaign.  We'll lay the points with the Vols as favorites of -3 (or more) points have cashed 61.8% in the Bowls off a loss by 20+ points.  Take Tennessee.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Louisiana Tech.  The Chanticleers were crushed, 59-10, by James Madison to end their season.  But I like them to rebound here, in this Independence Bowl game, as NCAA teams have gone 8-0 ATS the last 15 post-seasons (and 15-4 ATS since 1980) off a loss by 45+ points.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Coastal Carolina/Louisiana Tech game.  The Chanticleers come into this game with a defense which is allowing 33.9 ppg and they've gone Over the total in each of their last 4 games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here.  But consider that teams have gone 58% UNDER the total in the post-season if they were on a 4-0 (or longer) OVER streak.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Atlanta/Los Angeles game.  The Falcons have played their last six Monday Night Football games UNDER the total, as have the Rams.  And while it's true that Los Angeles' last four games have all sailed over the total, Monday Night Football games have gone 65.1% UNDER since 1980 if a team had played its previous four games Over the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers + the points over Georgia Southern.  The Mountaineers' scoring defense rates 4.33 ppg better than that of the Eagles, who are giving up 34.1 ppg.  And Georgia Southern's scoring defense was the worst of any of the 64 teams playing in the post-season this year.  I don't like laying points with bad defensive teams in the Bowls.  Indeed, Bowl favorites (or PK) that surrender 30 (or more) ppg have covered just 36% since 1990 if they also had a worse scoring defense than their opponent.  Take Appalachian St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago/San Francisco game to go UNDER the total.  I like playing on the Under in match-ups between two good teams with .583 (or better) win percentages, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread less than 5 points, and the O/U line was greater than 49 points.  Since 1980, these games have gone UNDER 59.2%.  Take the Bears and 49ers UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over New England.  The Jets have been installed as a double-digit home dog.  Dating back to 1980, double-digit home dogs have gone 135-102 ATS, including 90-59 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Take the Jets.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Jacksonville.  The Colts have lost 5 straight games.  We'll grab the points with Indy this afternoon, as home dogs have cashed 57% of division games since 1980 in the season's final 3 weeks if they were off 5+ losses.  Take the Colts.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  This is the Titans' final home game of the season.  Since 1980, NFL teams with a worse record than their opponent, have cashed 56% in their final home game of the season when installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Jacksonville/Indianapolis game.  AFC South division games have gone 57% under in games with O/U lines greater than 44 points, including 67.2% if it was the 2nd meeting of the season.  Take the Colts and Jaguars Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Arizona game.  The Bengals' defense has been porous this season, giving up 30.53 ppg.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game this afternoon.  But NFL teams with defenses that allow 30+ points (at game 6 forward) have gone UNDER 57.7% since 1980 in games with O/U lines of 50+ points.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Carolina.  The Panthers scored a huge upset win last week when they upended division rival, Tampa Bay, as a 3-point home dog.  We'll fade Carolina at home this afternoon, as it has cashed just 27% at home off a division upset win, if its opponent was also off a SU win.  Meanwhile, Seattle is a solid 40-29-1 ATS vs. non-division foes off an upset win.  Lay the points with Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers won the first meeting of the season, 23-9, in Pittsburgh.  We'll take the Browns in the rematch, as the team playing with revenge has cashed 58% in this rivalry, including 64% ATS at home.  And NFL teams, priced from -2 to +9, have gone 16-0-1 ATS at home in the final 2 weeks of the regular season, if they were off 3+ losses, and their foe was off 2+ wins.  Take the Browns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New York Jets/New England game.  Fifteen of the last 20 meetings between these AFC East division rivals have gone UNDER the total, including 8-1 UNDER in games played at the Jets.  Additionally, The Jets have gone 22-11-2 UNDER in their final home game of the season, including 6-0-1 UNDER when the O/U line was between 41 and 45 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars over LSU.  The Tigers have a poor ground game, and only average 3.4 ypr.  I don't mind playing on such teams in Bowl games if they're getting 5+ points.  But when not getting 5+ points, Bowl teams with poor ground games cover just 38.5%.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers plus the points over Missouri.  The Cavaliers stumbled in the ACC Championship game, as they were upset by Duke, 27-20, as a 3.5-point favorite.  We'll take UVA to bounce back, as it's 76-55-2 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss, including 20-9-1 ATS if off an upset loss.  And SEC Conference teams are a soft 5-13-1 ATS in the Bowls off a SU win, if priced from -3 to -7 points.  Take Virginia.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over North Texas.  The Aztecs' defense is giving up just 12.58 ppg, which is 12.33 ppg less than the Mean Green's defense.  I like playing on underdogs in Bowl games with a scoring defense at least 7.5 ppg better than their foe.  Since 1990, they've cashed 60%.  Take the Aztecs + the points.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Clemson.  This Pinstripe Bowl game will be played at Yankee Stadium, in the Bronx, New York.  This is the 15th Pinstripe Bowl game, and favorites have gone 5-9 in the first 14.  The Tigers have also struggled as a Bowl favorite, including 2-9 ATS when priced from -1 to -6 points.  Likewise, ACC Conference teams have been subpar in the Bowls vs. Big 10 foes, including 3-15 SU and 4-14 ATS their last 18.  The Nittany Lions never lived up to their preseason #1 ranking, but righted themselves after losing QB Drew Allar to injury in their loss to Northwestern on October 11.  Since that game, they went 4-2 ATS (after going 0-5 ATS in their five FBS games to start the season).  Clemson falls into a negative 105-158 ATS Bowl system of mine, and we'll fade the Tigers on this Saturday.  Grab the points with Penn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, in the First Responder Bowl, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Florida International.  This game will be played in Dallas, Texas, just a few hours up I-35 from the Roadrunners campus.  So, UTSA will have a lot of supporters in the stands.  American Conference teams have dominated Conference USA foes, going 28-10 SU and 22-16 ATS, including 5-0 SU/ATS in the last five Bowl match-ups.  The Roadrunners stumbled at home in their final regular season game, losing to Army, 27-24, as an 8.5-point favorite.  We had a big play on Army in that game, but will switch gears and play on the Roadrunners off that SU loss.  Indeed, Texas-San Antonio is 16-1 ATS off a SU loss to a conference foe, including 3-0 in the post-season.  We'll lay the points with the Roadrunners, who fall into 139-82 and 105-65 ATS Bowl systems of mine.  Take Texas-San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs + the points over Denver.  The Chiefs were blown out last week, 26-9, by Tennessee.  We'll take KC at home today, as double-digit underdogs have gone 134-102 ATS since 1980.  And the Chiefs are 54-27 ATS vs. division rivals, if KC was off a SU loss.  Grab the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Dan Campbell's men are 32-12 ATS vs. foes NOT off a straight-up loss.  And Detroit is also 56-32-2 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a division rival which defeated Detroit in the season's first meeting.  With Detroit, indeed, playing with revenge from a 27-24 upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Lions this afternoon.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Washington game.  The Cowboys enter on a 3-0-1 OVER streak.  We'll look for a relatively low scoring game today, as Division games have gone UNDER 65.6% since 1980 if a team was on a 3-game (or longer) OVER streak, and the O/U line was 50+ points.  Take the Under.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over the California Golden Bears.  The Golden Bears upset SMU, 38-35, to end the season.  Unfortunately, the Bears are a brutal 0-12 ATS their last 12 FBS games (and 1-17 ATS their last 18 FBS games) off an upset win, if the point spread on their current game was 4 points or less.  Hawaii also won its regular season finale, and will play this Hawaii Bowl game in front of their home faithful.  And we will take Hawaii, as it's 13-0 ATS its last 13 FBS games at home when not laying more than 10 points, covering the point spread by an average of 13.73 ppg in those 13 ATS wins.  Hawaii is also 7-2 ATS in the Bowls when the line was less than 9 points, while California is 2-6 ATS its last eight Bowl games (0-3 ATS as an underdog).  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over San Francisco.  The Colts are 8-6, and have lost each of their last 4 games, including an 18-16 defeat at Seattle eight days ago, as a 13-point road underdog.  The Colts are 63-39-2 ATS off a SU loss, including 35-20-1 ATS as an underdog.  Even better:  .600 (or worse) home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 259-200-14 ATS in the final three weeks of the season, including 17-10 on Monday Night Football.  Take Indianapolis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Washington State/Utah State game.  This Famous Idaho Potato bowl game will be played on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium, in Boise, Idaho.  This Famous Idaho Potato Bowl has seen 14 of its last 18 games go OVER the total, including each of the last five seasons' match-ups.  Admittedly, the Cougars have played their last eight games under the total.  But teams off 8 or more unders have gone over the total in their next game more often than not.  Also, teams off back to back unders are 62-33 OVER in Bowl games with an O/U line of 52 or less.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over New England.  Baltimore has been dominant vs. winning opposition, if it was a non-division game, going 88-52-6 ATS, including 44-19-2 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points with John Harbaugh's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas/Houston game.  The Raiders were shutout, 31-0, last week by the Philadelphia Eagles.  And Las Vegas is averaging just 14 ppg this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game this afternoon, especially against Houston's terrific defense.  But we'll take the OVER, as the OVER falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which has cashed 64.4% since 1980.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit/Pittsburgh game to go UNDER the total.  The Steelers will not want to get into a shootout with the high-powered Lions' offense.  And when the Steelers have been decided underdogs, their games tend to be low-scoring.  Indeed, Pittsburgh has gone 27-14 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog of 6+ points, including 6-1 UNDER when the O/U line was 48+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Atlanta.  The Cardinals are playing their final home game of the season, and they enter on a 6-game losing streak.  I love Arizona to break their skein this afternoon, as they fall into 72-40, 32-3, and 119-65 "Last Home Game" systems of mine.  In addition, the Cards are 63-36 ATS at home off back-to-back losses, including 37-13 ATS if their foe was off an ATS win.  With the Falcons in off an upset win over Tampa Bay, we'll fade the Falcons on this Sunday.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Arizona/Atlanta game.  The Cardinals check into this afternoon's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to the Rams (45-17) and Texans (40-20).  We'll look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as NFL teams have gone 57.2% UNDER in games with O/U lines of 47+ points, if their two previous games each totaled 60+ points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver/Jacksonville game.  The Broncos outlasted Green Bay last Sunday, 34-26, while the Jaguars downed the Jets, 48-20.  We'll look for the defenses to assert themselves in this game, as each team is giving up less than 21 points per game.  Additionally, NFL games have gone 56% under if one of the two teams came off a high scoring game where 68+ points were scored, and its opponent's previous game totaled 60+ points.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Miami.  The Bengals were blasted, 24-0, by rival, Baltimore, last Sunday, while Miami fell on Monday night, 28-15, at Pittsburgh.  Off that shutout loss, we'll take Cincy to bounce back at Miami.  Indeed, teams off shutout losses have gone 83-52-5 ATS vs. foes also off a loss, including 41-21-1 ATS on the road.  The Bengals are 20-9-2 ATS their last 31 as a road favorite, Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Cowboys are playing their final home game of the season this afternoon, and will be looking to bounce back off blowout losses to Detroit and Minnesota.  Meanwhile, the Chargers come into this game off an upset win over rival, Kansas City.  We'll fade Los Angeles, and take Dallas, as NFL teams have cashed 62.1% in their final home game of the season, if they were off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Jets.  The Flyboys were blown out by Miami (34-10) and Jacksonville (48-20) in their last two games, while the Saints are on a 2-game win streak, with upset wins over the Buccaneers and Panthers.  We'll ride with New Orleans, as favorites off back to back wins have cashed 68% since 1980 vs. foes off back to back losses by more than 18 points.  Take New Orleans.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Buccaneers have lost their last two games, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six.  Unfortunately, I expect Tampa's winless ATS streak to reach seven games, as road favorites off back to back losses have cashed just 36.9% since 1980 in the season's final three weeks.  Take the home underdog Panthers + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Los Angeles game.  The Cowboys have played three straight high-scoring games, and each game went Over the total.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon as teams off 3 straight Overs where each game totaled more than 58 points, have gone UNDER 59.5% since 1980.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New Orleans/New York game.  The Saints have played nine of their last 10 games UNDER the total.  And the only game to go Over was their 24-20 win over Tampa Bay.  And that game only went Over by 2.5 points.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring Saints game.  Take the UNDER

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over James Madison.  The Ducks are 30-17-1 ATS in their last 48 FBS games, including 18-8 ATS when laying more than 14 points.  Meanwhile, big underdogs of +18 (or more) points have burned money in the post-season, going 5-11 ATS their last 16.  Over the last 3 seasons, the Ducks have gone 20-1 at home, with 13 of the 21 wins by 21+ points.  And they've won their 7 non-conference games by 39.7 ppg.  We'll fade the Dukes, as .818 (or better) underdogs of more than 9 points have covered just 35% of post-season games, if they weren't playing with revenge.  Take Oregon in a blowout.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies minus the points over Miami-Fla.  The Hurricanes come into this game off a 38-7 blowout win over Pittsburgh (their fourth straight win), while the Aggies lost at rival, Texas, 27-17, as a 3-point road favorite to end their regular season.  I look for the Aggies to redeem themselves here, at home, on Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, they're 24-9-2 ATS at home off a loss, if their opponent was off a win, including 9-2 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are a horrid 16-38 ATS when playing with rest, including 6-23 ATS off back-to-back wins.  Lay the points with Mike Elko's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners over Alabama.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Sooners prevailed, 23-21, as a 6-point road underdog in Tuscaloosa.  And that was the 2nd straight win by Oklahoma in this series, as they won here, in Norman, last season, 24-3, as a 14-point home underdog.  I look for Oklahoma to make it three-in-a-row this evening, with the most important factor being its home field.  Oklahoma has been especially dominant at home in big games where both teams had winning records.  Indeed, since 1980, the Sooners have gone 41-12 SU and 34-19 ATS in such match-ups when priced as a favorite of less than 15 points (or PK).  Take Oklahoma.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over North Carolina State.  The Tigers were upset by Navy, 28-17, to end the season.  Off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with Memphis this afternoon.  The Tigers are 28-17-1 ATS off an upset loss since 1980 (including 1-0 in the Bowls), while NC State is a nasty 0-13 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss when priced as a favorite of 9 points or less (or PK).  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, on Friday morning, our selection is on the Kennesaw St. Owls + the points over Western Michigan.  The Owls won their first Conference USA Championship with a 19-15 road win at Jacksonville St. in the title game.  And that was the Owls' 3rd straight win and cover.  We'll grab the points with Kennesaw, as underdogs have cashed 59% in the Bowls since 1980 off 3 SU/ATS wins, if they were matched up against an opponent also off a SU win.  Take the Owls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Arkansas St.  When these teams last met (in 2015), the Red Wolves blew out the Bears, 70-7.  But a lot has changed since then, as the Bears are now a Division 1 team, having joined Conference USA this season.  Missouri State had a successful first season as a Division 1 member, and went 7-5.  But the Bears lost their final two games to end the year, including an upset loss to Louisiana Tech on Thanksgiving weekend.  Over the last 3 years, the Red Wolves have played markedly better at home than away from home.  In Jonesboro, they've covered the spread by an average of 6.9 ppg.  But away from home, they've failed to cover the spread by 2.82 ppg (a difference of 9.72 ppg).  We'll take the Bears, as teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses to end the season have cashed 57% in the Bowls since 1980 if they weren't favored by 3+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, in the Veterans Bowl, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks + the points over Troy.  This game will be played in Montgomery, Alabama.  And both teams also hail from the State.  But even though they're just a 3 hour drive away, the two schools have not played since 2001.  That game was won by Troy, 21-3.  And the Trojans won all seven meetings between 1995-2001 (though Jacksonville State leads the all-time series).  The Gamecocks come into this game off a loss in the C-USA Title game, 19-15, to Kennesaw St.  But Jacksonville St. is 7-0-1 ATS at home, or on a neutral field, following a straight-up loss.  The Sun Belt Conference is a soft 18-26-1 ATS as a favorite in Bowl games.  And Troy also falls into a negative 104-163 ATS Bowl system of mine based on its negative yards per rush differential (the Gamecocks average 5.5 ypr, while Troy averages just 2.7 ypr).  Even worse for Troy:  it will be without leading rusher Tae Meadows (695 rushing yards, 6 TDs), as he entered the Transfer Portal.  Take the Gamecocks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Last week, the Steelers went into Baltimore and pulled off an upset win over their biggest rival, the Ravens, 27-22.  We'll fade Pittsburgh at home tonight, as home teams are a soft 49-79 ATS vs. losing opposition, if our home team won outright as a 4.5-point (or greater) underdog in its previous game (including 0-5 ATS on Monday Nights).  Grab the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Los Angeles game.  These two teams played very high-scoring games last week.  The Rams routed Arizona, 45-17, while Detroit downed Dallas, 44-30.  Regular season NFL games with O/U lines of 55+ points have gone 60-45 UNDER since 1980.  Even better:  games between two teams whose previous game each totaled more than 60 points have gone 55% Under since 1980.  The UNDER also falls into a totals system of mine which is 358-251-12.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over San Francisco.  The Titans have quietly covered four of their last five games, including a 31-29 upset win at Cleveland last week.  Tennessee is now 2-11 SU and 6-7 ATS.  San Francisco comes into this game with a 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS record, on the heels of a 3-Game SU/ATS win streak, in which the 49ers won each of the three games by more than 10 points.  We'll fade the 49ers this afternoon, as teams off 3 SU/ATS wins by more than 10 points have cashed just 37% of non-division games since 1980 vs. teams with a losing SU/ATS record.  The Titans are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs. the 49ers.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Carolina.  When we last saw the Panthers (two weeks ago), they pulled off the season's second-biggest upset when they knocked off the Los Angeles Rams, 31-28, as a 10-point underdog (Carolina also authored the season's biggest upset, when it won as a 12.5-point underdog at Green Bay).  We'll go against Carolina this afternoon, as road teams have covered just 42% over the last 46 years off a SU win as a double-digit underdog.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Los Angeles.  These two teams met in Week 1, and the Chargers defeated the Chiefs, 27-21.  We'll take KC to avenge that loss, as AFC West division teams are 125-81 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a foe with an ATS win percentage of .500 (or better), provided our revenge-minded team is not favored by more than 6 points.  Additionally, the Chiefs are 21-7 ATS at home off 3+ point spread defeats, provided their win percentage was greater than .333.  Finally, the Chargers upset the Eagles last Monday, 22-19, in Overtime.  But teams off wins over defending Super Bowl Champs as an underdog (or PK) have stumbled on the division road the following game, going 8-28 ATS since 1980, including 3-19 ATS as an underdog.  Take the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the New York Giants/Washington Commanders game.  This NFC East division rivalry has seen the UNDER go 33-17-2 in the last 52 meetings, including 10-1 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 45 points.  And when the game was in New York, the UNDER has gone 20-4-1, including 9-0-1 UNDER in the 2nd half of the season.  The UNDER also falls into a 166-116-7 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, the Jaguars upset their division rival, Indianapolis, 36-19, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  Jacksonville is back home this week, and laying double-digits to the Jets.  We'll fade the Jaguars, as home favorites of more than 4 points have cashed just 37% since 1980 off an upset home win.  Take New York.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Houston.  The Chiefs have their back against the wall, as they're 6-6 with four games remaining.  So, this is a 'must-win' game for the defending AFC Champs.  Kansas City is on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  But it's a super 21-6 ATS at home off three (or more) ATS losses, when it's owned a win percentage greater than 0.350, including 14-1 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS loss.  Houston comes into this Sunday night game off an upset win at division rival, Indianapolis.  However, the Texans are a terrible 9-16-2 ATS off a division upset win.  Take Kansas City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Arizona.  Last week, the Rams were stunned, 31-28, by the Carolina Panthers.  And Los Angeles was a 10-point road favorite in that game.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as road favorites have cashed 78% since 1980 after being upset as a double-digit road favorite.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Chicago.  The Packers have always had a good home field advantage at Lambeau Field.  But it's at its strongest late in the year when the weather turns.  And Green Bay has been especially good at home in its last 3 regular season games when favored vs. foes off a SU win, as it's gone 47-8 SU and 38-14-3 ATS, including 19-1 SU and 16-2-2 ATS vs. .555 (or better) opponents, and 23-1 SU and 19-2-3 ATS when priced from -5 to -10.5 points.  Green Bay is 29-6 SU and 26-9 ATS vs. the Bears in the last 35 meetings.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bengals pulled off a big upset on Thanksgiving night when they blew out Baltimore, 32-14.  Unfortunately, road teams have cashed just 22 of 56 following a win on Thanksgiving.  And Buffalo is 30-13-1 ATS in home games with point spreads of 7 or less points, if its opponent was off an upset win.  Finally, winning teams have gone 175-135 ATS as a home favorite vs. foes off double-digit upset wins.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Colts lost to Houston last week, and are tied with the Jaguars at 8-4, atop the AFC South division.  Indy is an eye-popping 62-38-2 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-0 ATS off an upset division defeat.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Ravens stumbled on Thanksgiving, with a loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.  The good news for John Harbaugh's men is that they're 13-5 ATS off an upset loss, including 9-0-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) teams like Pittsburgh.  For years, this was a tightly-contested series with 29 of 37 games being decided by 7 or less points.  But that started to change last year, with the Ravens winning the two most recent meetings by scores of 34-17 and 28-14.  Lay the points with Baltimore.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Cleveland.  Last week, the Titans scored a field goal on their opening possession, and never scored again, en route to a 25-3 loss to Houston.  It's true that the Titans have been a poor point spread team, going just 5-7 ATS this year (and 15-37-1 ATS their last 53).  But they're 4-0-1 ATS after scoring less than 6 points.  And the Browns have burned money as a favorite, going 34-54-4 ATS their last 92, including 11-32-1 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record.  Take Tennessee.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Washington game.  The Vikings have gone UNDER in four straight, on the heels of an offense which has scored 19, 17, 6 and 0 in the Vikings' last four games.  We'll look for a bounce today, and take the OVER, as teams have gone OVER after 3+ UNDERS if they scored less than 30 points across their three previous games.  The OVER also falls into a 177-125 Totals system of mine.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide upset Georgia earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with UGA in the rematch, as the Bulldogs are 21-3-2 ATS when favored by 24 points (or less) and playing with revenge.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the Miami-Ohio/Western Michigan game.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Broncos lost, 26-17, in Oxford, as a 2-point underdog.  That game went Over the total of 40 points by three.  This game has a higher O/U line, and we'll take the UNDER, as the 2nd meeting of two teams in a season has gone UNDER 65.3%.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders routed BYU, 29-7, last month.  We had a big play on the Red Raiders in that game, but will side with the Cougars this afternoon.  Indeed, the revenge-minded team has gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the Big 12 Title Game since 2018.  And Big 12 teams playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points have gone 28-11 ATS.  Take BYU.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over UNLV.  Last week, the Broncos edged Utah St., 25-24, but failed to cover the spread, while UNLV blew out rival, Nevada. The good news for Boise, here, is that it is 24-9-2 ATS its last 35 FBS games (and 68-46-4 its last 118) off a point spread loss, including 9-0 ATS its last 9 at home when not laying more than 7 points.  Additionally, Boise has dominated the Rebels, going 9-0 SU in their Mountain West Conference match-ups, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  We'll look for that dominance to continue tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over North Texas.  Last week, Tulane shut out Charlotte, 27-0, while North Texas trounced Temple, 52-25.  This game will be played at Yulman Stadium, in New Orleans.  The Green Wave are a super 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.  And they're 25-10-1 ATS their last 36 at home when not laying more than 7 points.  Even better:  in the post-season, home teams have gone 17-6 ATS when playing an opponent which scored 37+ points in its previous game.  Grab the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the North Texas/Tulane game.  This match-up has the highest over/under line of the 9 Title games this season.  Conference Championship games with O/U lines north of 64 points have gone 61% UNDER.  And the UNDER also falls into a 77-27 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Kennesaw St./Jacksonsville St. game.  Competitively-priced post-season games, with point spreads of 3 or less, and Over/Under lines between 56 and 62 points, have gone UNDER 61.3%.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a Totals system of mine which has gone 301-213.  Take the UNDER.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Troy.  The Dukes are giving up just 16 ppg on the season.   We'll lay the points, as favorites of -21 (or more) points have gone 52-26 ATS in conference games if their defense allowed less than 17 ppg (at Game 10 forward), and their opponent was off back-to-back wins.  Take James Madison.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Dallas.  The Lions have been an ATM machine since Dan Campbell arrived in Motown, and they're especially good when playing an opponent which is not off a loss.  In that situation, the Lions have gone 30-6 ATS so long as the Lions weren't favored by more than 7 points.  And if Detroit lost its previous game, then our 30-6 ATS stat zooms to 10-0 ATS.  With Detroit, indeed, off a loss last week to Green Bay, we'll lay the wood with the Lions on Thursday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Detroit game.  Both the Cowboys and Lions enter off high-scoring Thanksgiving Day games.  Detroit lost to Green Bay, 31-24, while Dallas upended Kansas City, 31-28.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game tonight, as Thursday Night games have gone UNDER 62% if both teams' previous game totaled 55+ points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a 358-250 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Denver.  Both of these teams had last week off.  Two Sundays ago, the Commanders lost in overtime to the Dolphins, while the Broncos upset the Kansas City Chiefs.  We'll fade Denver, as it's 0-19 ATS off a SU/ATS home win over a division rival, if it was not getting 4+ points in its current game.  That doesn't bode well for Bo Nix & Co. here.  Nor does the fact that rested home underdogs of 5+ points, with a sub-.333 win percentage, have cashed 69% since 1980.  We'll take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie