|
03-29-25 |
Nets -1 v. Wizards |
Top |
115-112 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Washington Wizards. This is the 3rd meeting this season between these teams, and the Wizards won the first two -- both as underdogs. We'll take Brooklyn tonight, as it is 77-48-2 ATS on the road when playing with revenge. Additionally, Washington is a woeful 114-159 ATS at home vs. foes that it upset in the previous meeting. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-28-25 |
Purdue v. Houston -8 |
Top |
60-62 |
Loss |
-108 |
62 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Purdue. The 24-11 Boilermakers have been installed as a big underdog vs. the #1-seeded Cougars. And I don't want any part of Matt Painter's men in this role. Indeed, the Boilers are a brutal 59-97-7 ATS as an underdog, priced from +2.5 to +12.5 points, including 7-14 ATS in the post-season. Meanwhile, the Cougars have dominated .750 (or worse) foes, going 129-7 SU and 83-52 ATS the last 5 seasons (compared to 9-20 ATS their last 29 vs. foes with a W/L percentage greater than .750). Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-28-25 |
Warriors -13 v. Pelicans |
Top |
111-95 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans. Steph Curry missed the last 2 games and, not surprisingly, the Warriors dropped each game to Atlanta and Miami. But Curry returned to practice yesterday, and coach Steve Kerr is optimistic he will play tonight. The Pelicans, meanwhile, downgraded Zion Williamson to being out for this game. We'll lay the points with Golden State, as it is a terrific 155-101 ATS off a SU loss, if its opponent was off a SU win. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-28-25 |
Knicks v. Bucks -1 |
Top |
116-107 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the New York Knicks. The Bucks come into tonight's game off back to back road losses, at Phoenix and at Denver. We'll take Milwaukee here, at home, at Fiserv Center, as it is 61-29 ATS at home off back to back losses. Take the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
|
03-28-25 |
Clippers v. Nets +13.5 |
Top |
132-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. When these two teams last met, the Clippers annihilated the Nets, 126-67. We'll take Brooklyn to avenge that defeat, as it is 87-50 ATS in the regular season when playing with same-season revenge from a loss by more than 12 points. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-25 |
Arizona +9.5 v. Duke |
Top |
93-100 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils have been the 3rd best team relative to the point spread in this tourney, as they've covered the spread by an average of 10.75 ppg (Arkansas (+13.75) and Ole Miss (+13.5) rank as #1 and #2, respectively). This fact, coupled with the Blue Devils' regular season success (it's 24-12 ATS on the season, and has covered by an average of 4.51 ppg), has led to a slightly-inflated point spread for today's game, based on my numbers. I like the Wildcats dressed up as a revenge-minded underdog. These two teams met in Tucson earlier this season, and the Blue Devils emerged victorious, 69-55, as a 1.5-point road underdog. Arizona, however, is 14-2 SU and 11-4-1 ATS its last 16 games when playing with revenge. And Duke is a dreadful 1-6 ATS its last seven (and 7-20-1 ATS its last 28) when playing a revenge-minded foe Duke defeated on the road earlier in the season, provided Duke wasn't favored by 15+ points in the current game. Grab the points with the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-25 |
Rockets v. Jazz +13.5 |
Top |
121-110 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Jazz have been one of the better home dogs in the league over the years, with a 72-48 ATS mark. Tonight, they'll look to bounce back off a 140-103 blowout loss at home to Memphis. We'll take Utah, as home dogs of +4 (or more) points have cashed 60% since 1990 off a home loss by more than 30 points. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-25 |
Maryland +6.5 v. Florida |
Top |
71-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
35 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Florida. Going into this tournament, Florida was a point spread darling. It was 26-8 ATS, and covered the spread by an average of 5.73 ppg. Unfortunately for its backers, Florida has burned money in this tournament, going 0-2 ATS. I think that streak will reach three games on Thursday, as #1-seeds have gone 6-11-2 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round off back to back ATS losses. Moreover, the Big 10 has dominated the SEC in the NCAA Tournament "in Vegas," as it's gone 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings. And it's also 20-11-2 ATS the last 33 meetings when the Big 10 team has been the underdog. Take Maryland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-25 |
Pacers -11 v. Wizards |
Top |
162-109 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Washington. The Pacers lost at the buzzer, 120-119, to the Lakers last night, while the Wizards upset the Sixers, 119-114, in Philly. We'll fade the Wizards tonight, as unrested, double-digit home dogs have cashed just 30.7% of non-division games since 1990 off a SU win. Lay the points with Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-26-25 |
Clippers -3 v. Knicks |
Top |
126-113 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks. The 5-game win streak of the Clippers was snapped on Sunday when OKC defeated Los Angeles, 103-101. Meanwhile, New York enters off back to back double-digit wins over Wasington and Dallas. We'll take Los Angeles, as the Clippers are 13-5 ATS as a road favorite off a SU home loss, including 7-1 ATS vs. an opponent off a SU win. Lay the short number. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-26-25 |
Lakers +1 v. Pacers |
Top |
120-119 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakersver the Indiana Pacers. The Lakers are riding a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after getting blasted at home by Milwaukee and Chicago, and then on the road, at Orlando. The Lakers have covered 61.2% since 1990 on the road off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they failed to cover their previous game by 10+ points. And the Pacers are 27-55 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if Indy wasn't getting more than 8 points in the game. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-26-25 |
Illinois State -2 v. Cleveland State |
Top |
79-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, on Wednesday, in the Championship game of the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cleveland State. The Vikings won and covered last night, as a 5-point favorite over Florida Gulf Coast, while the Redbirds failed to get the $$$ when they won by just 5, as a 7-point favorite over Incarnate Word. The good news for the Redbirds here, is that they've cashed 61.1% in the post-season since 1990 when favored off an ATS loss. Meanwhile the Vikings are a wallet-busting 9-22 ATS their last 31 as underdogs in the post-season (compared to 8-3 ATS their last 11 as a favorite). Take the Redbirds minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-25-25 |
Mavs v. Knicks -9 |
Top |
113-128 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. Last night, the Mavs blew out Brooklyn, 120-101, while the Knicks had their 2nd straight day of rest. We'll take the well-rested Knicks on Tuesday, as they play with revenge from a 129-114 upset loss in Dallas earlier this season. And the Mavs are a miserable 0-8 ATS their last 8 (and 34-66-2 ATS their last 102) when playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season (including 4-28-1 ATS if the Mavs were off an ATS win). Lay the points with New York. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-25-25 |
Chattanooga v. Bradley -3 |
Top |
67-65 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over UT-Chattanooga. The Braves have been dominant here, in Peoria, as they've gone 54-8 SU and 38-19-2 ATS since November 27, 2021, including 16-3 ATS in non-conference games. We'll lay the points with Bradley. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-24-25 |
Lakers -4 v. Magic |
Top |
106-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Orlando. The Lakers were blasted, 146-115, at home by the Chicago Bulls, on Saturday. And L.A. was favored by 10.5 points in that game. That was the Lakers' 2nd straight defeat, as Milwaukee also blew them out, 118-89, before that. We'll take the Lakers to bounce back off those losses, as road favorites (or PK) off an upset home loss where they failed to cover the spread by more than 36 points, have bounced back to cover 78.5% since 1990. Even better: the Magic upset Los Angeles, 119-118, as a 5-point road underdog earlier this season. And L.A. is 57-35 ATS as a road favorite when playing with revenge. Finally, the Magic are a horrible 5-20 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes off back-to-back losses. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-23-25 |
Oregon v. Arizona -3.5 |
Top |
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Oregon. These two erstwhile Pac-12 members have a long history vs. each other. Last season, they met in the Pac-12 Tourney, and the Ducks upset the Wildcats, 67-59, as an 11.5-point underdog. We'll lay the points with Arizona, as #4-seeded teams have gone 21-7 ATS their last 28 vs. #5-seeded foes, including 13-3 ATS when laying more than 3 points. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-23-25 |
Colorado State v. Maryland -7.5 |
Top |
71-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Colorado State. The Rams are on an 11-game SU/ATS win streak. But we will fade them in this NCAA Tourney game on Sunday evening. Indeed, teams on 10-game (or better) ATS win streaks have covered just 40.7% in the post-season since 1990. And Mountain West Conference teams have gone 1-12 ATS vs. Big 10 foes in the post-season. Lay the points with Maryland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-23-25 |
Illinois State v. Presbyterian +5.5 |
Top |
78-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Illinois St. The Redbirds have been installed as a favorite in this game, played at Daytona Beach's Ocean Center. The Redbirds are a poor 33-58-2 ATS as a favorite of less than 8 points away from home, including 1-8 ATS their last nine. That bodes well for the Blue Hose on this Sunday. As does the fact that Presbyterian falls into 71-48, 47-12 and 26-9 ATS systems of mine. We'll grab the points with the Blue Hose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-23-25 |
76ers +10 v. Hawks |
Top |
119-132 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are barreling toward the Playoffs, as they sit in 7th at the moment. So, they'll have upwards of 2 chances to win just one game to punch their ticket to the Playoffs. And that's a big deal for Atlanta, as it doesn't own its 2025 first-round draft pick, so the last thing it wants to do is see its pick turn into a valuable draft asset. Today, the Hawks will host the league's most disappointing team -- Philadelphia. These two teams met here just 13 days ago, and the Sixers got inside the number in that game, with a 132-123 loss, as a 9.5-point underdog. I like them to get inside this big number once again, as Atlanta is a soft 53-70 ATS as a home favorite of -8 (or more) points off a SU win, when playing a foe off a SU loss. Take the 76ers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-23-25 |
Cavs -14.5 v. Jazz |
Top |
120-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Utah. The Cavs have hit the skids with a 4-game losing streak, and now sit 2 games in the loss column behind OKC in the race for the league's #1 record. I like Cleveland to bounce back today, as .560 (or better) favorites of -2.5 (or more) points have gone 20-7 ATS their last 27 off 4 (or more) losses. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-23-25 |
Baylor +12.5 v. Duke |
Top |
66-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 2:40 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over the Duke Blue Devils. The Bears fall into one of my favorite tourney systems, which has gone 23-1 ATS since 1995, as well as another tourney angle, which is 95-47 ATS. I am well-aware that the Bears have been poor ATS this season. But they've covered their last four. And they're 9-2 ATS their last 11 as a post-season underdog of +7 (or more) points. We'll take the double-digits with the Bears.
|
|
03-23-25 |
Oklahoma State +9.5 v. SMU |
Top |
85-83 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over SMU. The Cowboys have won the last 10 meetings with the Mustangs, and have gone 7-3 ATS. We'll happily grab the points, as Oklahoma St. has cashed 63% as an underdog of more than 9 points off a double-digit win, while SMU has cashed just 25% in the post-season when laying 9+ points. Take the Cowboys.
|
|
03-22-25 |
UCLA v. Tennessee -5 |
Top |
58-67 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over UCLA. The #2-seeded Volunteers fall into a 73-45 ATS tourney system of mine, and we'll lay the points over the #7-seeded Bruins. Since 1990, #2 seeds have dominated the #7-seeds, and especially when favored by 5 or more points, as they've gone 33-19 ATS. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-22-25 |
Gonzaga +5 v. Houston |
Top |
76-81 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs + the points over Houston. The Bulldogs have won nine straight 2nd Round NCAA Tourney games, and I like them as an underdog in this matchup vs. the #1-seeded Cougars. Indeed, since 1990, #8-seeds have gone 37-29 ATS in the NCAA Tourney vs. #1-seeds, including 8-1 ATS their last nine when the game was competitively priced with a point spread less than 6. Take Gonzaga.
|
|
03-22-25 |
Creighton v. Auburn -8.5 |
Top |
70-82 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Creighton. The Tigers were on a torrid 20-1 run when they went into College Station on March 4. We had a huge play on the Aggies +3.5 in that game, and they upset the then-#1-ranked Tigers, 83-72. The Tigers have not found their footing since, and have gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS. I look for them to snap out of their funk on this Saturday evening, as the Bluejays are a soft 26-52 ATS vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by more than 10 points in their previous game. Take Auburn.
|
|
03-22-25 |
Drake v. Texas Tech -6.5 |
Top |
64-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Drake. The favorite in match-ups between #3 and #11 seeds have gone 28-19 ATS. Additionally, Drake falls into a negative 18-51 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Lay the points with the Red Raiders.
|
|
03-22-25 |
Michigan v. Texas A&M -2.5 |
Top |
91-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Michigan. The Aggies are seeded #4 and enter off a 9-point win over Yale. Meanwhile, the Wolverines eked out a 3-point win over UC San Diego. We played on both of these teams on Thursday, and will go with the Aggies in this match-up. Since 1990, the favored team has gone 42-26 ATS in games played between #4 and #5 seeds. Take the Aggies.
|
|
03-22-25 |
Arkansas +7.5 v. St. John's |
Top |
75-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 2:40 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over St. John's. The 10th-seeded Razorbacks pulled off a mild upset when they upset Kansas, 79-72, on Thursday. Now, they'll battle with the #2-seeded Red Storm. We'll grab the points with Arkansas, as #10-seeds have dominated #2-seeds when they were getting 9 or less points, going 26-10-2 ATS since 1992, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins. St. John's is 1-7 ATS its last eight NCAA Tourney games. And it also falls into negative 3-27 and 0-16 ATS systems of mine. Finally, the Red Storm are riding a 10-game win streak, and have won their last four games by 21, 16, 16 and 30 points. Unfortunately, favorites of less than 16 points (or PK) have gone 24-45 ATS in the post-season off four straight wins by more than 11 points. Take the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-22-25 |
McNeese State v. Purdue -6 |
Top |
62-76 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over McNeese State. The 12th-seeded Cowboys upset the 5th-seeded Clemson Tigers, 69-67, on Thursday. We'll fade McNeese in this 2nd round game, as Purdue is 12-4 ATS in the NCAA Tourney when favored by 3+ points. And #12 seeds are 8-17 ATS their last 25 match-ups vs. #4 seeds in the post-season. Take Purdue. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Grizzlies +7 v. Clippers |
Top |
108-128 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Los Angeles. The Clippers have won both meetings this season vs. the Grizzlies. We'll take Memphis + the points, as the Clippers are a poor 31-53 ATS when favored by 4+ points vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Cavs -7.5 v. Suns |
Top |
112-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Phoenix. The Cavs are mired in a 3-game losing streak. We'll step in and take Cleveland to get back into the win column tonight, as it is 50-26-1 ATS off back-to-back losses, if it was favored by 6+ points against a losing team, including 11-2 ATS on the road. Take the Cavs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Nuggets v. Blazers -1 |
Top |
109-128 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers over the Denver Nuggets. The Blazers come into tonight's game off 3 straight wins over Toronto (105-102), Washington (112-97) and Memphis (115-99). Denver will play tonight's game without its best player, Nikola Jokic, so this point spread has been installed near Pk'em to reflect Jokic's absence. We'll take Portland, as it's 37-12 ATS off back to back home wins by more than 6 points. Take the Trail Blazers.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Xavier v. Illinois -3 |
Top |
73-86 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Xavier. The Musketeers come into this game off an 86-80 win over Texas, as a 2.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Illinois enters off an 88-65 loss to Maryland. We'll take the Illini, as they're 122-74 ATS off a point spread defeat, if their opponent was off a point spread win. Lay the points with Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Oklahoma v. Connecticut -4.5 |
Top |
59-67 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:25 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Oklahoma. The Huskies are certainly having a disappointing season, as they were one of the three favorites (along with Duke and Kansas) to win the title at the start of the season. Still, I have no desire to fade them in this initial tournament game. And, for technical support, consider that UConn is 12-0 ATS its last 12 non-conference games when favored by less than 8 points. And it's 41-21 ATS its last 62 post-season games vs. non-conference foes. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Pelicans v. Wolves -13.5 |
Top |
93-134 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over New Orleans. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games played between these teams -- both in Minneapolis. The Pelicans won on Wednesday, 119-115. We'll take the T-Wolves to avenge that loss, as they're 29-10 ATS when playing an opponent which defeated it in Minnesota in the prior meeting. Lay the points.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Troy State v. Kentucky -10.5 |
Top |
57-76 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Troy. The Trojans pulled off an upset over Arkansas St, 94-81, to win the Sun Belt Tournament. But off that big triumph, we'll fade the Trojans in the opening round of the Big Dance. Troy is a terrible 31-54 ATS off an upset win, including 17-41 ATS when it owned a W/L percentage greater than .400 (and, then, 3-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Meanwhile, Kentucky was buried, 99-70, by Alabama in the SEC Tournament. I like the 'Cats to bounce back, as they're 37-20-1 ATS in the post-season off a point spread loss, and 22-11 ATS after giving up 90+ points in their previous game. And Kentucky also falls into a 53-13 ATS Tourney system of mine which plays on certain teams off point spread defeats. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Vanderbilt v. St. Mary's -4 |
Top |
56-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
78 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:15 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tourney, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Gaels fell, 58-51, in the WCC Tourney title game to the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Off that loss, we'll step in and take St. Mary's as a favorite vs. Vandy. The Gaels are a solid 129-88-1 ATS as a favorite of 20 points (or less) off a point spread defeat. Take St. Mary's.
|
|
03-21-25 |
Robert Morris v. Alabama -22.5 |
Top |
81-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Robert Morris. The Crimson Tide were routed, 104-82, by Florida in the SEC Tourney. The good news for 'Bama is that it now will face Horizon League member, Robert Morris. The SEC has dominated the Horizon League, including 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS when the SEC team was off a SU loss. Moreover, Alabama falls into an 83-40-8 ATS Tourney system of mine. Lay the points.
|
|
03-20-25 |
Bucks -3 v. Lakers |
Top |
118-89 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Los Angeles. The Lakers won last night by 12 over Denver, and will be unrested vs. a rested Bucks team on Thursday. Milwaukee comes into this game off 2 losses. But it is 99-56-4 ATS in the regular season when playing off 2+ defeats. Additionally, the Lakers enter on a 3-game win streak. But they're a poor 116-148 ATS in the regular season off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with Milwaukee. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-20-25 |
Bulls +7 v. Kings |
Top |
128-116 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Sacramento. The Kings have been brutal at home off a SU/ATS win if they were playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Sacramento is 30-62 ATS in this situation. With the Kings in off a huge upset win over Cleveland, and the Bulls off a 127-121 SU/ATS loss to Phoenix, we'll take the road underdog Bulls tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-20-25 |
UC San Diego v. Michigan -2.5 |
Top |
65-68 |
Win
|
100 |
60 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over UC San Diego. After a 2-13 ATS skein, the Wolves ended the season strong with 3 upset wins in the Big 10 Tournament. We'll lay the points with Michigan, as teams off 3 upset wins to claim their conference crown have proceeded to go 11-4-1 ATS in their initial NCAA Tourney game vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Wolverines. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
03-20-25 |
Yale v. Texas A&M -7 |
Top |
71-80 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:25 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Yale. The Aggies were upset, 94-89, by rival, Texas, in the Big 12 Tourney. We'll take A&M to rebound on Thursday, as it has gone 31-7 ATS in non-conference games off a loss by less than 9 points (including 16-0 ATS when priced from +3 to -12 points). Take the Aggies.
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|
03-20-25 |
Arkansas v. Kansas -4 |
Top |
79-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Arkansas. Bill Self's Jayhawks were one of the favorites in the preseason to win the title (along with Duke and UConn). But only the Blue Devils among those three teams lived up to their billing. The Jayhawks went 21-12 this season, and were 15-18 ATS, including an 88-77 loss to Arizona in the Big 12 Tourney. I like the Jayhawks to bounce back in this first-round game, as they're 46-27 ATS in the post-season off an ATS loss (including 22-7 ATS their last 29 when favored by 9 or less). Lay the points with the Jayhawks.
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|
03-20-25 |
Montana v. Wisconsin -16.5 |
Top |
66-85 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 1:30 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Montana. The Badgers were upset by Michigan in the Big 10 Championship game, 59-53. Wisky is a solid 19-0 SU and 13-4-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, when favored by 8+ points vs. non-conference foes off a SU win. Meanwhile, Montana is 7-12 ATS vs. non-conference foes off an upset loss, including 1-4 ATS in the post-season. The Big 10 has dominated the Big Sky in the post-season, going 4-1 SU/ATS. Take the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
03-20-25 |
High Point v. Purdue -7.5 |
Top |
63-75 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 12:40 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over High Point. The Boilers were blasted, 86-68, by Michigan in the Big 10 Tourney. Matt Painter generally has his troops bounce back off bad games, as they're 63-33-3 ATS off a loss by 7+ points, dating back to his first season as head coach (2005-06). Meanwhile, the Panthers are on a 14-game win streak. Unfortunately, teams from the "added board" conferences (like the Big South) have gone 15-34 ATS away from home when they were on a 10-game (or better) win streak. Take the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
03-19-25 |
Loyola-Chicago v. San Jose State +2.5 |
Top |
73-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
37 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Loyola Chicago. The Ramblers lost to VCU in the Atlantic 10 Tourney semi-finals, 62-55, as a 9.5-point underdog, and will now travel west to play the Spartans. Loyola has covered the spread in its last four games, and has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Spartans. Unfortunately, they've covered just 7 of 20 as a road favorite off a SU loss. And Atlantic 10 Conference road favorites have gone 51-83-5 ATS off a point spread win. Meanwhile, San Jose is 10-3 its last 13 at home, and 15-6 its last 21 as an underdog. Take the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
03-19-25 |
Utah Valley v. San Francisco -7 |
Top |
70-79 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Utah Valley. The Dons have been dominant in their main home gym -- War Memorial Gym -- this season, as they've gone 16-0 (their lone home loss was at Chase Center vs. Gonzaga). They'll welcome the Wolverines to War Memorial on Wednesday. The Wolves were strong at home this season, as they covered the spread by an average of 10.5 ppg. But on the road, they were pedestrian, and covered by 0.21 ppg (for a 10.28 home/road point spread differential). Likewise, the Dons were also better at home (which bodes well for them tonight), as their home/road point spread differential was +5.07 ppg this season. Take San Francisco. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-19-25 |
Wizards v. Jazz -4.5 |
Top |
112-128 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Washington. We'll take the revenge-minded Jazz tonight, as they fall into a 117-72 ATS system of mine. What we want to do is play on the Jazz if they're rested, and favored at home by at least 2.5 points following a SU loss. With Utah off a 111-97 loss to Chicago on Monday, we'll play on the Jazz to bounce back tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-19-25 |
North Alabama v. Bradley -3.5 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over North Alabama. The Lions have been solid as a favorite, but have burned money as an underdog, including 3-13-1 ATS vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game. With Bradley off a 63-48 loss to Drake, as a 4-point dog, we'll lay the points with Bradley on Wednesday.
|
|
03-19-25 |
Furman v. North Texas -7.5 |
Top |
64-75 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Furman. North Texas was upset by UAB in the AAC Conference Tourney. We'll take North Texas minus the points, as Furman is a poor 7-12 ATS vs. foes off upset losses, including 1-4 ATS in non-conference games. Take the Mean Green minus the points.
|
|
03-19-25 |
Pistons v. Heat +5.5 |
Top |
116-113 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Detroit Pistons. On Monday, the Pistons blew out New Orleans, 127-81. Off that 46-point win, we'll fade Detroit on Wednesday. Indeed, the Pistons are a putrid 5-33-1 ATS off a win by more than 7 points, if their opponent was off a SU/ATS loss. And NBA teams off a win by more than 45 points have gone 8-22-5 ATS their last 35. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-19-25 |
Dayton v. Florida Atlantic +1.5 |
Top |
86-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
33 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls over Dayton. The Flyers are the higher-seeded team, but their home arena had a scheduling conflict, so they'll play this game in Boca Raton. We'll fade the Flyers, as they've covered just 35.2% as a non-conference road favorite over the last 35 years. Take the Owls.
|
|
03-19-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's +2.5 v. American |
Top |
83-72 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 6:40 pm, on Wednesday, in the "First Four" round of the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over American. The Mountaineers are currently riding a 6-game ATS win streak. And underdogs have gone 10-4-1 ATS in the First Four round of the NCAA Tourney when they were on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. The Mountaineers also play with revenge from two losses to the Eagles over the previous two seasons. Take Mount St. Mary's.
|
|
03-18-25 |
Cal-Riverside +10.5 v. Santa Clara |
Top |
62-101 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cal Riverside Highlanders + the points over Santa Clara. The Broncos hammered the Highlanders earlier this season, 96-54. We'll back Riverside in the revenge role, as double-digit dogs have gone 83-58 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 40+ points earlier in the season. Take Riverside. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-18-25 |
Bucks v. Warriors +3 |
Top |
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Milwaukee. Last night, we played against Golden State, and got the $$$ with Denver. Tonight, we'll switch gears and play on the Warriors as a home dog. Steph Curry won't play in this game, so the Warriors will be an underdog. The good news for them is that they are 38-16 ATS at home vs. .400 (or better) foes when the Warriors were off a loss, and weren't favored by more than 9 points. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-18-25 |
Chattanooga v. Middle Tennessee -2.5 |
Top |
109-103 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Chattanooga. These cross-state rivals are located just 101 miles apart. They've met 7 times in recent years, with the home team winning 5 of 7. We'll lay the points with Middle Tennessee, as it is 44-34-5 ATS in non-conference home games, including 19-10-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take the Blue Raiders.
|
|
03-18-25 |
St Francis PA +4 v. Alabama State |
Top |
68-70 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 6:40 pm, in the "First Four" round of the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the St. Francis Red Flash + the points over Alabama St. The Red Flash stunned Northeast Conference favorite, Central Connecticut St., 46-43, to punch their ticket into this NCAA Tourney. We'll ride the momentum from that win, as NCAA underdogs (or PK) have gone 51-35-1 ATS following an upset win over a #1-seed to win their conference tourney. Take St. Francis.
|
|
03-17-25 |
Nuggets +4.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
114-105 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Golden State. The Nuggets have lost their last three games to the point spread. We'll take Denver as an underdog at Golden State, as it has cashed 38 of 58 following 3 ATS losses, if it was playing a .400 (or better) foe. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-17-25 |
Grizzlies v. Kings |
Top |
122-132 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the New York Knicks. The Heat are on a 7-game losing streak, and they've dropped their last five to the point spread. We'll look for them to snap their streaks tonight, and get back into the win column at New York. The Heat are 60-26 ATS away from home when they've been on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And they're also 41-13 ATS on the road off a loss by 20+ points, when priced from +9.5 to -1.5 points. With Miami coming in off a 125-91 loss at Memphis, we'll take the Heat on Monday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-17-25 |
Pacers +11 v. Wolves |
Top |
132-130 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Minnesota. The Timberwolves have won their last 8 games, including a 128-102 blowout of Utah last night. We'll fade the Wolves as NBA teams off 5+ wins, including a win by more than 25 points in their previous game, have gone 27-58 ATS. Take the Pacers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-17-25 |
Heat +7.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
95-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the New York Knicks. The Heat are on a 7-game losing streak, and they've dropped their last five to the point spread. We'll look for them to snap their streaks tonight, and get back into the win column at New York. The Heat are 60-26 ATS away from home when they've been on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And they're also 41-13 ATS on the road off a loss by 20+ points, when priced from +9.5 to -1.5 points. With Miami coming in off a 125-91 loss at Memphis, we'll take the Heat on Monday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-16-25 |
Jazz +13.5 v. Wolves |
Top |
102-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. On the surface, we have two teams going in completely opposite directions. The T-Wolves are on a 7-game winning streak, while the Jazz are mired in an 8-game losing streak. The point spread, of course, is a great equalizer. And since 1990, NBA underdogs of more than 11 points, off 8+ losses, have gone 32-13 ATS vs. foes on a 5-game (or better) winning streak. We'll grab the points with the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-16-25 |
UAB v. Memphis -4.5 |
Top |
72-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 3:15 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over UAB. The top-seeded Tigers defeated #3-seed UAB in both meetings this season, 100-77 in Birmingham, and 88-81 in Memphis. It is often said by sports broadcasters that "it's tough to beat a team three times in a season." Well, it actually is not -- particularly after you've won the first two. Indeed, if one looks at College Basketball Conference Tourney Championship games, where one team won both regular season meetings, that team has gone 264-134, straight-up, in the title game. So, I'm not concerned about UAB's double-revenge. And especially given Memphis' domination in this series. The Tigers are 30-6 straight-up, and 26-9-1 ATS vs. UAB in the last 36 meetings, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -7.5 points. And Memphis is 8-3 ATS its last 11 Tourney title games, including 5-1 ATS as the #1-seeded team. Finally, the #3-seeds have gone 22-54 ATS their last 76 Conference Tourney Championship games. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Grand Canyon -3.5 v. Utah Valley |
Top |
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 11:40 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Utah Valley St. The #2 seed Antelopes are favored vs. the #1 seeded Wolverines. We'll fade Utah Valley, as #1 seeds have gone 18-26 ATS their last 44 in the Conference tourneys when installed as an underdog away from home. Take Grand Canyon minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Jacksonville State v. Liberty -6 |
Top |
67-79 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Jacksonville St. The #1 seeds have had the edge over the #2 seeds in the Conference Tourney title games when favored by more than 4 points, as they've gone 80-58-3 ATS since 1990. Take Liberty to blow out the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Louisville v. Duke -6 |
Top |
62-73 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Louisville. The Blue Devils come into this ACC Championship game off back to back ATS losses. We'll take Duke, as it's gone 74-48-1 ATS when laying more than 4 points off back to back ATS defeats. Lay the points.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Miami-OH v. Akron -5.5 |
Top |
74-76 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Miami-Ohio. We'll lay the points with Akron, as MAC Conference favorites of -4 (or more) points have gone 176-122-4 ATS vs. .636 (or better) conference foes off a conference win. Take the Zips.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Thunder v. Pistons +5 |
Top |
113-107 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Oklahoma City. The Pistons were stunned on Thursday by the Wizards, 129-125, as a 13-point favorite. But that was a bad set-up for Detroit, as it had just defeated Washington the game before, 123-103, so the Wizards had a revenge game two days later. We'll take Detroit to bounce back off that loss, as it is 20-9 ATS this season off a straight-up defeat, including 5-1 ATS as a home underdog. And, going back further finds Detroit 40-17 ATS in non-division games off a loss, including 12-1 ATS its last 13. Take the Pistons. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Capitals -1.5 v. Sharks |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
107 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals minus 1.5 goals over the San Jose Sharks. Washington was shut out, 3-0, by the Los Angeles Kings, on Thursday, while the Sharks handled the Chicago Blackhawks, 4-2. The Capitals also lost at home to the Sharks, 2-1, earlier this season. At the time, it was San Jose's 3rd straight win. But the Sharks have gone 8-31 since that huge upset. We'll take Washington to avenge that defeat, as it's 9-0 this season when playing with revenge. And it's also 17-5 off a loss in its previous game. Lay the 1.5 goals with Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-15-25 |
South Carolina State v. Norfolk State -1.5 |
Top |
65-66 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Norfolk St. Spartans minus the points over South Carolina St. Although the Scope Arena isn't Norfolk's home gym, it will have the intangible benefit of playing this title game in its home city. The Spartans lost at South Carolina State by three points in the most recent meeting. But they won the 15 games prior to that defeat. We'll lay the points with Norfolk this afternoon, as it falls into a 64-37 ATS Tourney system of mine. Take the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-15-25 |
Princeton +8 v. Yale |
Top |
57-59 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 11 am, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers + the points over Yale. The Tigers snapped a 6-game ATS losing streak with a 95-71 blowout win over Penn last weekend. This morning, they'll look to avenge a 27-point loss to the Bulldogs a month ago. And Ivy League teams have gone 39-14-1 ATS vs. conference foes when playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, if they weren't getting double-digits. Take Princeton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-14-25 |
East Carolina v. UAB -5 |
Top |
77-94 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over East Carolina. UAB was upset, 85-68, by Tulane at season's end. We'll lay the points with UAB tonight, as it has gone 38-23 ATS off an upset loss vs. foes off a SU win, while the Pirates have cashed just 33% of conference post-season games vs. foes off an upset loss. Take UAB. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
|
|
03-14-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's v. Merrimack -6.5 |
Top |
57-55 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors minus the points over Mount St. Mary's. The Mountaineers upset Marist yesterday. We'll fade the Mountaineers here, as Merrimack is a super 67% ATS vs. opponents off upset losses.
|
|
03-14-25 |
Cavs v. Grizzlies +2 |
Top |
133-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Cleveland. The Grizzlies lost earlier this season, 129-123. at Cleveland. We'll take Memphis tonight, as it is 74-45 ATS when it lost the prior meeting vs. its opponent, if Memphis currently owned a .600 (or better) record. Take the Grizz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-14-25 |
Celtics v. Heat +8.5 |
Top |
103-91 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston. Erik Spoelstra's Heat have lost their last five games, straight-up. And they've failed to cover the spread in their last three. The good news for Miami, tonight, is that it is 66-38-3 ATS off 3 ATS losses in a row, including 5-0 ATS their last five in this situation. We'll take Miami as a big home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-14-25 |
Tulsa v. North Texas -13.5 |
Top |
59-77 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Tulsa. North Texas is on a 3-game ATS losing streak. We'll lay the points, as they're a solid 41-23 ATS away from home off 3+ ATS losses, including 4-2 ATS in the post-season. Take North Texas.
|
|
03-14-25 |
George Washington v. George Mason -2.5 |
Top |
65-80 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over George Washington. George Mason is 27-13-2 ATS off 3+ ATS losses. And it is also 7-1 ATS its last eight post-season games off back to back ATS losses. Take the Patriots minus the points. Good luck, as always..Al McMordie.
|
|
03-14-25 |
Texas v. Tennessee -9.5 |
Top |
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Texas. The Vols hit the skids at the end of the season with four straight ATS losses. We'll take Tennessee to get back into the ATS win column, as SEC Conference teams have gone 223-169 ATS in conference games off 4+ ATS defeats. Take the Volunteers.
|
|
03-14-25 |
Ole Miss v. Auburn -12 |
Top |
57-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Mississippi. The Tigers suffered back to back upset losses at the end of the regular season. In Bruce Pearl's coaching career, his teams have cashed 65.5% off back to back losses, if they were playing a conference foe off a straight-up win, including a perfect 7-0 ATS away from home. Even better: SEC Conference teams have gone 105-67 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if they were playing an SEC foe with a winning conference record. Take Auburn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-14-25 |
St Bonaventure v. VCU -11 |
Top |
59-76 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 am, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over St. Bonaventure. The Rams were upset, 79-76, by Dayton to end their regular season. We'll take the Rams to bounce back this morning, as they're 33-21 ATS when favored in the post-season vs. a foe off a SU win. Lay the points.
|
|
03-13-25 |
UNLV +8 v. Utah State |
Top |
58-70 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Utah St. The Rebels will play tonight's tourney game on their home court -- the Thomas & Mack Center. We'll take UNLV as a home dog, as post-season home dogs have gone 33-16 ATS when they won their previous game by more than 8 points, including 6-0 ATS the last three years. Take the Rebels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-13-25 |
Cal Poly v. Cal-Riverside -4 |
Top |
96-83 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Riverside Highlanders minus the points over Cal Poly SLO. The Mustangs upset the Highlanders last month, 112-100. We'll take Riverside to avenge that loss, as it has gone 86-62 ATS away from home when playing with revenge, including a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS this season. Lay the points with Cal Riverside. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-13-25 |
Texas-San Antonio v. East Carolina -3.5 |
Top |
65-70 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates minus the points over Texas San Antonio. The Pirates won both meetings vs. the Roadrunners this season, and have won five straight overall in the series. East Carolina did lose its season-ending game at Florida Atlantic, but had won six of seven going into that game. The Roadrunners, on the other hand, have dropped seven of their last nine (though they ended their regular season with an upset win at Charlotte). We will fade UTSA, as it's 10-20 ATS as a single-digit underdog off a win, when playing a foe off a loss. And the Roadrunners also fall into a negative 20-56 ATS tourney system of mine. Lay the points with East Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-13-25 |
USC v. Purdue -9.5 |
Top |
71-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over USC. The Boilers ended their season with a thud, losing 88-80 at Illinois. We'll take Matt Painter's men to bounce back tonight, as they're 105-73 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss, including 14-7 in the post-season. Take Purdue.
|
|
03-13-25 |
Nevada +5.5 v. Colorado State |
Top |
59-67 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Colorado St. The Wolf Pack play this game with double-revenge from two losses earlier this season to the Rams. We'll grab the points, as Nevada has cashed 64% when playing with double-revenge in the post-season from two regular season losses. Grab the points.
|
|
03-13-25 |
Seattle University -5.5 v. Abilene Christian |
Top |
69-63 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Redhawks minus the points over Abilene Christian. The Redhawks were upset by the Wildcats, 75-59, last month. The good news for Seattle is that it's cashed 66% when favored, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. Lay the points tonight with Seattle.
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03-13-25 |
Mt. St. Mary's v. Marist -1.5 |
Top |
62-58 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 10 m |
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At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes minus the points over Mount St. Mary's. The Mountaineers defeated Marist, 62-52, on Saturday, and that was the fourth straight loss for the Red Foxes. We'll take Marist to rebound tonight, as NCAA teams have cashed 56% in the post-season since 1990 off a double-digit loss, if they were playing the same opponent in back to back games. Take the Red Foxes.
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03-13-25 |
Mississippi State v. Missouri -3.5 |
Top |
73-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Mississippi St. The Tigers ended their regular season on an 0-3 SU/ATS run. The good news for Mizzou this evening is that it's cashed 68% over the last 35 years away from home off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-13-25 |
La Salle v. St. Joe's -12 |
Top |
70-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joseph's Hawks minus the points over La Salle. The Hawks were upset by these Explorers on Saturday, 81-74, as a 9.5-point road favorite. But St. Joe's had covered 8 straight before that upset loss. The Hawks are a super 69-47 ATS off an upset loss. Lay the points.
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03-13-25 |
Morgan State v. Howard -2.5 |
Top |
91-90 |
Loss |
-118 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
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At 6 pm, our selection is on the Howard Bison minus the points over Morgan St. The Bison have lost four straight since defeating the Bears, 87-81, on February 22. And that was the 4th straight win by Howard against Morgan St. Howard has cashed 64% as a favorite off back to back losses. Lay the points with the Bison.
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03-13-25 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin -7.5 |
Top |
63-70 |
Loss |
-111 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
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At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Northwestern. The Badgers were shocked, 86-75, by Penn State, in an upset loss at home last Saturday, as an 11.5-point favorite. We'll take Wisky to bounce back, as it's gone 37-27 ATS off an upset loss at home. Lay the points.
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03-13-25 |
Georgia Tech +22.5 v. Duke |
Top |
70-78 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils were my preseason pick to win the National Championship (at 10-1 odds), and I still think they will win the title. But this is a big number for an ACC Conference tourney game. Dating back 35 seasons, ACC Conference tourney underdogs of +15 (or more) points have gone 12-7 ATS including 7-0 ATS since 2004. Take Georgia Tech.
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03-12-25 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -3.5 |
Top |
115-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
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At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The Nuggets have lost their first two meetings this season against the Timberwolves. But both of those games were played at Target Center; this game is at Ball Arena. Denver is a solid 53-34-2 ATS its last 89 when playing with double-revenge, including 7-1-2 ATS its last 10. And Minnesota is 10-20 ATS when playing a foe it defeated in the season's two prior meetings. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-12-25 |
Syracuse v. SMU -8.5 |
Top |
53-73 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Syracuse. The Mustangs come into this game off 4 ATS losses, while the Orange are off 2 SU/ATS wins. We'll side with SMU, and look for the Mustangs to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as ACC teams have cashed 59% off 2+ point spread defeats in the post-season, if they were favored by more than 4 points against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with SMU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-12-25 |
Seton Hall +10.5 v. Villanova |
Top |
55-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates + the points over Villanova. The Pirates were blasted, 81-50, by UConn on Saturday. We'll take Seton Hall to bounce back, as Big East teams have gone 33-15 ATS off a loss by 30+ points. Take the Pirates.
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03-12-25 |
Florida International v. Jacksonville State -7.5 |
Top |
56-65 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Florida International. The Panthers upset Western Kentucky yesterday, 64-61. But they've cashed just 40% in the post-season as an underdog off an upset win. Take the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-12-25 |
Utah Tech v. Utah Valley -12.5 |
Top |
57-74 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines minus the points over Utah Tech. We played on the Trailblazers yesterday vs. Southern Utah, and got the $$$ in a 7 point victory. But that game was at Burns Arena, on Utah Tech's campus. This game will be played in Las Vegas. And underdogs of +3 (or more) points, playing a neutral site game following a tourney win as a home favorite, have cashed just 38.7% in the conference tourneys since 1990. Utah Valley has gone 15-5 ATS its last 20 lined games, including 6-0 ATS when laying 9+ points. Take the Wolverines. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-12-25 |
Florida A&M v. Jackson State -5 |
Top |
76-91 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
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At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers minus the points over Florida A&M. The Tigers enter on a 6-game win streak. And they're also 16-8 ATS their last 24. The Tigers did lose the last meeting to the Rattlers. But Jackson St. is 10-5 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite. Lay the points.
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03-12-25 |
Mavs v. Spurs -5.5 |
Top |
116-126 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 15 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Dallas. This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these Southwest division rivals -- both played in the Alamo City. San Antone was upset, 133-129, as a 7-point favorite on Monday. We'll lay the points with the Spurs, as they're 60-32-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, including 23-8 ATS vs. division rivals. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
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03-12-25 |
Air Force +13 v. UNLV |
Top |
59-68 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over UNLV. The Rebels will be at home, at Thomas & Mack Center, for this game. Unfortunately, they're 44-80 ATS at home when favored by more than 8 points. Take the Falcons.
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