At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane had their 10-game win streak snapped last Sunday by North Texas.  We played on the Mean Green in that game, and will fade Tulsa again this afternoon, as it falls into a negative 429-645 ATS system of mine.  Take South Florida.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over George Washington.  The Ramblers come into this afternoon's game off back to back losses at home to Dayon and Davidson.  We'll take the Ramblers this afternoon at GW, as Loyola-Chicago is 26-13 ATS as a double-digit road underdog vs. conference foes, if the Rambers were off a SU loss.  Take Loyola-Chicago.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Dolphins minus the points over West Georgia.  The Dolphins have been installed as a small favorite this afternoon.  That bodes well for Jacksonville, as it's 33-20 ATS as a single-digit favorite.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over Arkansas St.  These two teams met less than a month ago, and the Red Wolves won, 89-70.  We'll take the revenge-minded Bobcats this afternoon, as they're 28-16 ATS when playing with same-season revenge, while the Red Wolves are 3-9 ATS vs. conference foes with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Texas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Villanova.  This series has been one-sided of late, as Marquette is 8-1 SU/ATS in the last nine meetings.  The Golden Eagles also fall into a 574-390-20 ATS system of mine.  Take Marquette as a home dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams + the points over Davidson.  The Wildcats come into this game off back to back wins, while the Rams enter off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Unfortunately for Davidson, it's cashed just 27% since 1990 off a win, when playing a foe off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Rhode Island.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Duke.  The Mustangs cracked the Top 25 off their win over North Carolina.  But they then lost at Clemson on Wednesday.  We'll take SMU to bounce back this afternoon in Durham, as it is 55-36-1 ATS when getting 12+ points, while Duke is 0-7 ATS its last seven when laying more than 9 points.  Take SMU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Minnesota.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these clubs.  Minnesota took Round 1, 131-122, at home.  But it's a road underdog this afternoon, and the Timberwolves are a terrible 2-8-1 ATS as an underdog in the 2nd of back-to-back regular season meetings, if they won the first game.  Take Cleveland.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Michigan.  The Badgers play this game with revenge from a loss in last season's Big 10 Tourney.  We'll grab the points, as Wisky is 47-15 ATS when playing with revenge vs. an .810 (or better) foe, provided the Badgers were not on a 3-game (or better) win streak.  Take Wisconsin + the points.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Houston.  Baylor comes into this contest off back to back SU/ATS losses.  The good news for the Bears is that they are 104-69-9 ATS off back to back losses, including 26-16-4 ATS as a home dog.  Take Baylor

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores have started the season 15-0.  But undefeated teams with a 15-0 (or better) record, have gone just 34-51-3 vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take LSU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers defeated the Chanticleers by 18 points last month, 67-49.  We'll take the revenge-minded Chanticleers this afternoon, as they fall into a 144-68 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that have lost their 3 previous games.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over DePaul.  UConn blew out DePaul, 72-54, in December.  And that was the 21st straight win by the Huskies over the Blue Demons.  UConn is also 15-3 ATS in the last 18 meetings.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Nebraska.  Assembly Hall is one of the toughest venues for visitors.  Since 1990, Indiana is 465-116 SU and 287-229-6 ATS at home.  And if Indiana's foe comes in off 3 straight wins, then the Hoosiers are 70-45 ATS.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Boston College.  The Cards were upset by Duke in their previous game.  And that marked their 2nd straight defeat.  We'll lay the points, as Louisville's cashed 65% as double-digit favorites off back to back losses.  Take the Cardinals.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Lakers had a showdown with the San Antonio Spurs for the #2 seed in the Western Conference but fell flat, and lost 107-91.  Still, after getting demolished by Houston on Christmas Day, the Lakers have played much better, with four wins in six games.  And their only two losses were to the #1 Eastern Conference seed (Detroit) and the #2 Western Conference seed (San Antone).  The key, of course, for the Lakers is their defensive effort.  This season, when the Lakers have allowed more than 120 points, they've gone 2-10 ATS.  But when they've allowed 120 or less, they've gone 16-5-2 ATS.  Their defense has allowed just 112.3 ppg since Christmas, when coach JJ Redick called out his players for their lack of effort.  Even with Austin Reaves sidelined, the Lakers will be able to handle Milwaukee tonight.  The Bucks rank next-to-last in rebounding; #20 in adjusted defensive rating; and #22 in adjusted offensive rating.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Memphis.  Both teams will miss significant personnel tonight.  The Thunder will be without MVP Shai-Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, while Ja Morant will sit for Memphis.  This is currently the most lopsided series in the league, with OKC owning a 15-game win streak vs. the Grizzlies (12-3 ATS).  The Thunder are 19-10 ATS their last 29 regular season road games, while Memphis is 10-23 ATS its last 33 regular season home games, including 3-13 ATS as an underdog.  We'll take Oklahoma City minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers blew out Alabama, 38-3, last week, and are 14-0 this season, with one of their wins against this Ducks squad.  That earlier meeting was back in October, and Indiana prevailed, 30-20, as a 7-point road underdog in Eugene.  The Hoosiers are a perfect 10-0 vs. Big 10 foes this season, but I expect that streak to come to an end here, in Atlanta.  Indeed, NCAA teams off a cover by 8+ points, are a poor 37-84-4 ATS away from home vs. conference foes if they were not favored by 7, and owned a 4-0 (or better) record in conference games.  Even worse:  if their opponent was playing with revenge, they've covered just 12 of 52, including 0-7-1 ATS since 2021.  The Ducks are 34-16 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe at home, or on a neutral field.  Take Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Toronto.  The Celtics stumbled against the Nikola Jokic-less Nuggets on Wednesday, and lost 114-110 at home, as a 9.5-point favorite.  We'll take Boston to bounce back off that bad game, as it's a stellar 76-33 ATS off a straight-up loss when matched-up against a sub-.666 foe.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Sacred Heart Pioneers + the points over Marist.  The Red Foxes returned home and blew out Iona on Sunday, 83-38, following back-to-back road losses at Quinnipiac and St. Peter's.  Marist is now 3-2 in MAA Conference play (3-0 at home; 0-2 on road).  Unfortunately for the Red Foxes, they're back on the road tonight.  And Marist is 0-5 SU/ATS their last five conference games away from home.  Sacred Heart, meanwhile, is 16-10 its last 26 home games, including 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.  Take the Pioneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints minus the points over Merrimack.  The Warriors have sprinted out to a 5-0 conference record.  But we'll fade them on the road tonight, as Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference teams have cashed just 32.6% on the conference road when they've owned an .800 (or better) conference record (at Conference Game #4 forward), including 0-8 ATS their last eight.  Take Siena minus the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Miami-Ohio.  This is a great match-up between two teams that are undefeated in Mid-American Conference play.  Toledo is 3-0; Miami-Ohio is 4-0.  Dating back to 1990, in conference match-ups between two teams with undefeated conference records of 3-0 (or better), the underdog has cashed 56%.  Even better:  the Rockets are a dominant 30-15-1 ATS vs. the RedHawks, including 14-3 ATS when Toledo's conference W/L percentage was .727 (or better).  We'll take Toledo.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers minus the points over Utah Tech.  The Lancers will be looking to bounce back from back-to-back losses to Texas Arlington and Tarleton State.  The good news for Cal Baptist is that it's 6-0 ATS its last six (and 15-2 ATS its last 17) off back-to-back losses when priced from -1.5 to -12.5 points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UTEP Miners + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Blue Raiders swept the season series, 2-games-to-none, last season, but both wins were narrow -- by 3 points, and by 1 point.  UTEP does come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  But we'll take the Miners as a home dog, as Middle Tennessee is a terrible 4-18-1 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 1-14-1 ATS if its foe was playing with revenge.  Take UTEP + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks minus the points over North Dakota.  The Mavericks were upset on Saturday by Kansas City, 73-66, as an 8.5-point home favorite.  And that was their 3rd straight loss, overall.  We'll take Omaha to rebound on Thursday, as it's cashed 65% of its conference games off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, North Dakota is a poor 15-25 ATS vs. conference foes off back-to-back losses.  Lay the points with Omaha.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds + the points over Utah Valley.  The Wolverines blew out the Thunderbirds by 41 points, 100-59, in the prior meeting.  We'll take Southern Utah, as revenge-minded WAC Conference teams, off a SU loss, have gone 159-104 ATS in conference games away from home if they lost the previous meeting by 10+ points.  Take the Thunderbirds.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Towson Tigers minus the points over Hofstra.  The Tigers will look to bounce back from an upset home loss last Saturday vs. Monmouth.  Towson was favored by 8 points in that game, but lost by 14, 62-48.  The good news for the Tigers is that they're 11-1 ATS their last 12 (and 20-6 ATS their last 26) at home off a point spread defeat.  Towson also falls into 61-30 and 286-189 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks have been installed as a road favorite tonight in Oxford.  But Arkansas is a wallet-breaking 104-169 ATS on the road when it wasn't getting 11+ points.  Ole Miss is 20-7-1 ATS at home vs. Arkansas.  Take the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah.  The Thunder were blown out by the Charlotte Hornets, 124-97, as a 16-point favorite on Monday.  And that was OKC's 2nd straight defeat.  We'll lay the points with the Thunder tonight, as defending champs have gone 82-52-1 ATS off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by 21+ points in that defeat.  Lay the big number with the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Iowa St.  The Cyclones have traditionally been a powerhouse at home (253-199-8 ATS), but have burned money on the road.  And if Iowa State was playing on the road vs. a revenge-minded foe off a SU/ATS loss, then the Cyclones have gone 24-33-2 ATS in conference games, including 4-13 ATS as a road favorite.  With Baylor playing with revenge from a loss last season to ISU, and also off a SU/ATS loss, we'll grab the points with the home underdog tonight.  Take Baylor.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the L.A. Clippers.  Since winning the NBA Cup, New York is 1-10 ATS, and it's also dropped its last four games, straight-up.  I expect New York to right itself on Wednesday, as it's 103-87 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses.  And it's a perfect 7-0 ATS when favored by more than 2 points off a blowout loss by more than 30 points.  Similarly, the Clippers are 0-8 ATS when getting 5+ points from a foe off a blowout loss by more than 25 points.  Take New York.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers were shocked, 104-100, by Charlotte on Saturday, as a 6-point road favorite.  Unfortunately, Wichita St. tends to not bounce back off upset losses when priced as a favorite of -9 to -14.5 points, going 2-9 ATS.  Wichita also falls into a negative 429-641 ATS system of mine.  Take Rice + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Washington.  The Sixers stumbled vs. Denver, and lost 125-124 on Monday.  We'll lay the points with Philly tonight, as it's 34-19 ATS when favored by 9+ points in non-division games off a SU loss.  Take the 76ers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Miami-Fla.  The Deacs enter tonight's game off 4 ATS losses.  We'll take Wake Forest to get back into the win column tonight, as single digit ACC Conference favorites (or PK) have gone 113-71 ATS off 4+ ATS losses.  Take the Demon Deacons.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over St. Louis.  The Rams have dominated the Billikens, going 6-1 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings, and 17-6 SU/15-8 ATS the last 23.  St. Louis is a soft 45-58 ATS as a road underdog.  Take Virginia Commonwealth.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams minus the points over La Salle.  The Rams enter tonight's game off 7 straight ATS losses.  We'll lay the points with Rhode Island, as teams on 7-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have cashed 57.3% at home since 1990 if they were a winning team, and matched-up against a losing team.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Texas.  Tennessee was upset by Arkansas, 86-75, in its last game.  The Volunteers are a solid 34-22 ATS off a double-digit upset defeat.  Take Tennessee.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over TCU.  The Jayhawks were upset by Central Florida on Saturday, 81-75, as a 4.5-point road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Kansas tonight, as it is 110-82 ATS off a SU loss, including 20-13 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Los Angeles.  After winning 5 straight games, SU/ATS, in mid-December, the Pelicans have now lost seven straight, going 1-6 ATS.  The Lakers, meanwhile, are off back-to-back home wins over the Memphis Grizzlies.  We'll fade L.A. as a road favorite, as it is 22-52 ATS as a road favorite off back to back home wins.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys minus the points over Central Florida.  The Knights have ripped off 11 straight wins, including an upset of Kansas in its previous game.  Unfortunately, UCF has covered just 27% of road conference games off an upset win.  Lay the points with Okie State.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines are having an historic season thus far.  Through 13 games, they're 13-0 SU and 9-4 ATS, and have covered the point spread by an average of 12.34 ppg in those 13 games.  In the 36 years of my database, no other team has had a point spread differential of 12.34 ppg this far into a season.  But when a team does what Michigan is doing, the number (eventually) catches up to it, and we're at that point now.  Michigan is laying a huge number at Penn State, which just played another very good team in Illinois, and covered that 15-point spread by 7, losing 73-65.  Likewise, Penn State was a 12-point home dog vs. Michigan St. back on December 13, and fell by just four, 76-72.  The Nittany Lions are 13-3 ATS their last 16 as home dogs of 8+ points.  Take Penn State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan + the points over Akron.  The Zips are favored north of 22 points vs. the Chippewas.  We'll grab the points with Central Michigan, as MAC Conference teams are a miserable 28-55-2 ATS when favored by more than 16.  Take Central Michigan.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks are 15-0 on the season.  But we will fade them as a huge favorite tonight, as 15-0 (or better) teams have gone just 27-45-1 ATS as a home favorite of 16 or less points.  The Broncos have covered nine of the last 12 in Oxford and we'll grab the double-digits with Western Michigan this evening.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Georgia.  The Gators play this game with revenge from a loss at Georgia, 88-83, last season.  Florida is 14-0 ATS its last 14 when playing with revenge when the line was 11 points or less.  And Georgia is an ugly 3-11 ATS as an underdog vs. revenge-minded SEC Conference foes.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Philadelphia.  The Sixers pulled off an upset win over division rival, New York, on Saturday.  But off that win, we'll fade Philly, which is 27-44-3 ATS off an upset, including 5-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Phoenix.  Last night, the Suns upset the OKC Thunder, 108-105.  We'll fade Phoenix off that huge upset win, as it is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings with Houston.  Meanwhile, the Rockets will be looking to redeem themselves after getting upset by Dallas on Saturday.  And the Rockets are a super 22-6 ATS off an upset loss, while the Suns are 12-35 ATS vs. foes off upset defeats.  Take Houston.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the McNeese St. Cowboys minus the points over Stephen F. Austin.  The Lumberjacks come into tonight's game on a 3-Game SU/ATS win streak.  We'll fade SF Austin, as it's cashed just 33% as an underdog off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And the Lumberjacks also fall into a negative 273-429 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Detroit.  The Knicks were upset by the 76ers on Saturday, 130-119.  We'll take New York to bounce back as it is 72-30 ATS off an upset loss, if matched-up against a .500 (or better) foe in its current game.  Take New York.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the College of Charleston Cougars minus the points over William & Mary.  The Cougars enter tonight's game on a 5-game win streak.  And they've also won six of the last seven meetings vs. William & Mary.  The Tribe has won and covered its last three games.  Unfortunately, it's only covered 40% since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS wins, if it wasn't getting 5+ points in its current game.  Charleston falls into a 284-189 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Nebraska.  The Cornhuskers are 14-0 this season.  But only one of those 14 games was played on an opponent's court, as is the case tonight when Nebraska visits Value City Arena.  Nebraska has generally struggled on the road, going 89-127-4 ATS, including 44-65-2 ATS off a SU win, while Ohio State is 87-73-1 ATS as a favorite at home in Big 10 games.  Lay the points.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  These two teams met earlier this season in Los Angeles, and the Chargers were victorious, 23-20.  I like the Broncos to avenge that defeat in this season finale.  Indeed, Denver will wrap up the #1 seed (and a bye into the quarterfinals) with a win over the Chargers.  We played against the Broncos on Christmas, and got the $$$ with the Chiefs as a double-digit underdog.  We'll switch gears, and take Denver here, as home teams, priced from -3.5 to -13.5 points, have cashed 90 of 149 if they won, but failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in their previous game.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Miami.  The Pats still have an outside shot at the #1 seed (and a bye into the quarterfinals).  New England has gone 32-13 ATS since 1980 in its final home game of the season, including 12-0 ATS their last 12 when priced from -8 to -17 points.  Take the Patriots.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs cannot be trusted to lay any points, as they're now 24-44-1 ATS their last 69 when favored by more than 3 points.  Take the Raiders to close out the season with a strong performance at home.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UTEP Miners + the points over Florida International.  UTEP has lost its last two games, SU/ATS, while the Panthers enter off an upset win over New Mexico St.  We'll take UTEP to bounce back off its losses, as it's 19-6 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss, if it also lost two games back, and its foe was off a win.  Meanwhile, the Panthers are a poor 7-19 ATS when laying 8+ points.  Take UTEP.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over the Tulsa Golden Hurricane.  The Golden Hurricane enter off a 97-48 demolition of Rice, where they covered the spread by 36.5 points.  I look for a letdown this afternoon at North Texas, as the Mean Green have gone 20-8 ATS vs. conference foes that covered the spread by 16+ points in their previous game.  And North Texas also falls into a 565-389-20 ATS system of mine, based on this season's stats.  Take the Mean Green.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Cleveland.  The Pistons were smacked, 116-95, by Cleveland, back in October.  Immediately after that loss, Detroit reeled off 13 wins in a row.  The Pistons were upset by the Heat, 118-112, on New Year's Day.  We'll take Detroit as a road dog this afternoon, as they're 9-0 ATS their last nine off a SU loss when installed as a road underdog of less than 6 points.  Take the Pistons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Connecticut.  The Huskies come into this game off a blowout win at Xavier on New Year's Eve, 90-67, while Marquette enters off a home loss to Seton Hall by six points, in a Pk'em game.  We'll take Marquette as a big road dog, as Big East road underdogs of +3 (or more) points, off a SU/ATS loss, have gone 216-147-8 ATS vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take Marquette.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the IU Indy Jaguars + the points over Wright St.  The Jaguars are on a 3-game losing streak, while the Raiders have won 3 straight.  We'll take the home dog Jaguars, as Wright St. is a woeful 30-54-3 ATS in conference games, if it was off a SU win, and its foe was off a SU loss.  Take IU Indy + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Tennessee.  The Jaguars have won seven straight heading into their final home game of the regular season.  And their last two wins both came on the road, at Denver, and at Indianapolis.  We'll lay the points on Sunday, as double-digit home favorites have cashed 59.2% off back to back road wins.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  Although these two teams won't be going to the Playoffs, the fates of the Buccaneers and Panthers rests on the shoulders of the Saints and Falcons.  Should Atlanta win, then Carolina will head to the post-season, while a Saints triumph would benefit Tampa.  Last week, the Falcons upset the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football.  Unfortunately, the Falcons generally don't play well in back-to-back home games, and are 13-36-3 ATS at home off a home win.  Even worse:  they're 1-9 ATS off an upset win as a 3-point (or greater) underdog.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Boise St.  The Aztecs lost to Boise St., 62-52, in last season's Mountain West Tournament.  San Diego St. is a super 53-35 ATS as a home favorite when playing with revenge.   Take San Diego St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds plus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Thunderbirds are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll step in and take Southern Utah as a home dog, as Texas Arlington is an atrocious 9-20 ATS as a favorite vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS losses., including 3-9 ATS as a road favorite.  And Texas Arlington is 3-13 ATS as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes off a SU loss.  Take Southern Utah + the points.

At 8:10 pm our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Chicago.  The Hornets lost a heartbreaker, 122-121, in Milwaukee last night, while the Bulls upset Orlando, 121-114.  These two teams played last month in Charlotte, and the Bulls escaped with a 129-126 win.  We'll take Charlotte to avenge that loss, as the Bulls are 96-130-2 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Bulls were off a SU win, and their foe was off a SU loss.  Grab the points with Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Colorado State.  The Antelopes are 15-3 ATS in conference games when priced from -5 to -9 points.  And they fall into a 429-272-14 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Knicks lost to Atlanta last night, which was their 2nd straight loss, overall.  And it didn't help that Karl-Anthony Towns missed the game because of a stomach issue, while Mitchell Robinson was held out because the team didn't want him to play on back-to-back days.  Robinson, then, is expected to play tonight.  And Towns could very well be back, if his stomach issue has subsided.  New York is a solid 31-16 ATS off back-to-back losses, including 14-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  With New York, indeed, playing with revenge from a home loss to Philly in December, we'll lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Longhorns enter on a 2-Game SU/ATS win streak, with blowout wins over Le Moyne (95-53) and Maryland-Eastern Shore (94-71).  We'll lay the points, as Texas is 55-30 ATS in regular season conference games off back to back double-digit wins, if they were not favored by 17+ points.  Take the Longhorns.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Carolina.  We played on the Panthers when they were a home underdog earlier this month vs. Tampa, and got the $$$ in a 23-20 upset win.  This re-match will be played in Tampa, and the Bucs are once again installed as the favorite, notwithstanding the fact that they've lost their last four games in a row, straight-up (and are 0-8 ATS their last eight).  We'll lay the points, as teams (like Tampa) riding 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks have gone 22-7 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't getting more than 6 points.  Take the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Appalachian St.  The Mountaineers upset Old Dominion, 81-73 on Wednesday.  We'll fade App State this afternoon, as it's cashed just 29.4% percent on the road off an upset win when installed as an underdog.  Lay the points with the Thundering Herd.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Eagles were upset by Longwood, 82-70, on Wednesday.  And they also lost at Texas Tech, 87-57, before that.  We'll take Winthrop to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 8-0-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, while the Runnin' Bulldogs are a soft 9-14 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Mississippi.  The Rebels covered the spread in their win over Alcorn State on Monday.  But it was just its second ATS win in its last 12 games this season.  Ole Miss did defeat Oklahoma by three points last year, but the Sooners covered the spread.  And Oklahoma has covered each of the last three meetings with the Rebels.  The Sooners also fall into a 78-28 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks are 14-0 this season, but ranked just 106th in Ken Pomeroy's NCAA Basketball rankings.  Meanwhile, Akron is 10-3, but ranked #56.  I like the Zips to hand Miami-Ohio its first loss of the season, as the Zips have dominated the series with 11 wins in the last 12 meetings (8-4 ATS).  Take Akron.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles have won their last eight games, covering four, while the Monarchs are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Eagles vs. the ice cold Monarchs.  But be careful, as home teams not getting 2+ points, off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 57% since 1990 vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Old Dominion.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs over the North Carolina Tar Heels.  SMU is 11-2 and enters this game off back to back blowout wins over Central Arkansas (99-82) and Cal State Fullerton (110-63).  The Mustangs are 57-34-3 ATS in conference games off back to back wins, if they weren't getting more than 4 points.  Take SMU.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats have covered their last three games, while Houston failed to cover on Monday vs. Middle Tennessee.  We'll lay the points with the Cougars, as they're 43-20 ATS vs. foes off back to back covers, if Houston was not off back to back ATS wins.  Take Houston.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Kansas.  The Knights are on a 10-game win streak, and play with revenge from a loss in the Big 12 Tournament last season.  Big 12 underdogs have cashed 58% when playing with revenge from a Big 12 Tourney loss.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn.  The Bulldogs have dropped the last five meetings vs. Auburn.  But they've won against the spread in each of the last three meetings.  We'll look for Georgia to stretch its ATS win streak in this series to four games, as Auburn is a poor 66-103-6 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies upset rival, Virginia, on Wednesday, while Wake Forest enters off back to back SU/ATS losses.  We'll take Wake Forest to bounce back, as it's cashed 67% as a home favorite off back to back losses, if it was matched-up against a conference foe off a SU win.  Take Wake Forest.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Alabama.  These two teams met in the SEC Tournament last season, and the Crimson Tide blew out Kentucky, 99-70.  We'll take the Wildcats today, as it is 46-27-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss in the prior season, including 13-5-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Virginia.  North Carolina State comes into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  UVA is a soft 27-38-2 ATS vs. foes on 3-game SU/ATS win streaks.  Take the Wolfpack minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Michigan St.  Both the 'Huskers and Spartans enter with identical 13-0 records.  And it's just the 3rd time in 36 years that two 13-0 (or better) teams played each other!  We'll take the 'Huskers, as home teams with a 7-0 (or better) record have gone 40-22 ATS if they weren't favored by 4+ points, and owned a winning ATS record.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Bucks were upset by the Washington Wizards in their last game.  Off that huge upset loss, we'll take the Bucks to bounce back on Friday.  Indeed, Milwaukee is 14-2-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they were favored by more than 8 points in that defeat, and their opponent is off an ATS win.  And Charlotte is 33-52 ATS as an underdog of more than 5 points vs. foes off an upset loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Arizona.  The Mustangs rate better in both offensive and defensive yards per rush than the Wildcats.  And underdogs have been profitable in the post-season if they rated better in each of those categories, and also had a relative YPR differential of at least 1.0 YPR.  SMU did stumble in its last regular season game, with a 38-35 loss at California as a 13.5-point road favorite.  But SMU is 7-0 ATS its last seven games off an upset loss, provided that game was played at home, or on a neutral field.  And NCAA teams have gone 14-0-1 ATS in the post-season off an upset loss as a favorite of 8+ points, if they were priced from -4 to +8.5 in the current game.  Take SMU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Louisville.  Stanford mustered just 40 points in its previous game -- a 47-40 loss to Notre Dame.  The good news for Stanford is that home dogs have cashed 67% of conference games since 1990 off an upset loss where they scored less than 44 points.  Take Stanford + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Hilltoppers were upset on Monday by Jacksonville St.  We'll take the Hilltoppers to bounce back, as they've covered 64% at home since 1990 off an upset loss when playing a foe off a SU win.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting between these SEC Conference rivals, 43-35.  We'll take Ole Miss in Round 2, as it's 27-10 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog when it owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Even better:  NCAA revenge-minded teams are 26-10 ATS in a season's 2nd meeting, provided it wasn't played on its opponent's field, including 19-3 ATS if it lost that prior meeting by 10 points or less.  In its October loss at Georgia, Ole Miss scored on each of its first five possessions, and was up 35-26 heading into the 4th quarter.  But the Bulldogs finished the game on a 17-0 run.  I like Mississippi to finish the job tonight.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Houston.  The Nets have been installed as a double-digit home dog tonight vs. the Rockets.  And home dogs of +10 (or more) points have gone 297-241-11 ATS off a SU loss, when matched-up against a foe off a SU win.  With Brooklyn off a 13-point loss to the Warriors, and the Rockets off a 7-point win vs. the Pacers, we'll grab the points with Brooklyn this evening.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Illinois State.  The Redbirds come into this game off a 3 SU/ATS wins over Southern Illinois, Indiana State and Drake.  We'll fade Illinois St. this afternoon, as it's 0-12 ATS at home or on a neutral court off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Purple Aces are 8-2 ATS their last 10 road games.  And Evansville falls into a 635-426-27 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with Evansville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Miami.  The Buckeyes will look to bounce back from their Big 10 Championship loss to Indiana.  I believe they will, as defending champs have gone 20-2-1 ATS their last 23 off an upset loss if they were currently matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with Ohio State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Toronto.  The Raptors come into this game off back to back upset wins as home dogs.  Unfortunately, .529 (or better) teams off back to back upset home wins, have cashed just 28 of 77 since 1990.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Wichita St.  The Blazers come into this game off back to back home blowout wins by 24 and 25 points over Cleveland St. and NC Asheville.  And those two triumphs moved UAB's home ATS record to 235-183-6 ATS since 1990, including 74-48 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win (which Wichita State is).  Lay the points with UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Joseph's Hawks + the points over St. Louis.  The Billikens come into this game off a stellar performance vs. Principia, where they won by 81, and held the Panthers to just 33 points.  Unfortunately, since 1980, NCAA teams have covered just 41% of conference games in the regular season after holding their previous opponent to less than 35 points.  Even better:  St. Joe's won its previous game by 22 points.  And road underdogs of more than 10 points have cashed 57.8% in regular season conference games after a win by more than 17 points.  Take St. Joe's.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Phoenix.  The Cavs have been scuffling for much of the season, and have been horrible against the spread this season.  But they are finally getting healthy, and they showed what they could do when the went into San Antonio and upset the red-hot Spurs in their last game.  We'll lay the points with Cleveland tonight, as it's back home to face a Phoenix Suns team also playing good basketball.  Cleveland falls into a 52-17 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing ATS records.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Utah.  The Huskers have been installed as a huge underdog in this Las Vegas Bowl game.  It's generally not a good idea to lay a lot of points in Bowl games, as underdogs of 11 (or more) points have gone 68-49-1 ATS in the Bowls when playing at home, or on a neutral field.  Take Nebraska.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Texas.  The Longhorns defeated Michigan last season, so the Wolves play this game with revenge.  Texas is a terrible 1-8 ATS vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes when Texas was priced as a favorite of 13 or less points.  Take Michigan.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Virginia.  The home team has gone 28-17-1 ATS in this commonwealth rivalry.  We'll take the home dog, as Va Tech falls into a very good 75-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Hokies.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Stony Brook Seawolves + the points over William & Mary.  Colonial Athletic Ass'n road underdogs of +9 (or more) points, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have gone 101-62 ATS.  Take Stony Brook

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins.  We'll take Dayton to halt that streak, as the Flyers are 21-6 ATS at home vs. foes off 3 (or more) SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane enter off 9 straight wins, while Rice will be looking to bounce back off an upset loss in its previous game.  We'll back the Owls, as Tulsa has covered just 2 of 12 games as a double-digit favorite vs. foes off upset defeats.  Additionally, the Owls fall into a 634-424 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils have won and covered their last three games.  But ACC teams are a dreadful 17-43-2 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Arizona State.