Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-21 | Stanford v. Arizona State -1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal come into Tempe off back to back upset wins over UCLA and Arizona. Unfortunately, underdogs off back to back upset wins over .750 (or better) conference foes have not been profitable over the last 31 years. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils snapped a six-game losing streak on Thursday with a 72-68 win over California. But they failed to cover the 9.5-point spread, which extended their ATS futility this season to 2-11 ATS. But this lack of success "in Vegas" has created point spread value here, and we'll take advantage of this value, and lay the small number. The Sun Devils are 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 meetings with Stanford, and 11-6 ATS as a home favorite vs. Stanford. And ASU is also 8-4-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back upset wins, including a perfect 3-0 ATS at home. Finally, the Sun Devils fall into a super NCAA Basketball system of mine which is 252-168 ATS since 1990, as well as a 2nd system which is 188-114 ATS. Take the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-21 | Tarleton St +7.5 v. Utah Valley | Top | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton State Texans + the points over Utah Valley. The Wolverines won, 73-60, here at home vs. Tarleton last night, as a 6.5-point home favorite. The line is a tad higher for this rematch, and we'll take the road underdog Texans. It's true that Tarleton has yet to win in WAC Conference play, at 0-5, while Utah Valley is undefeated, at 4-0. But teams with an undefeated conference record (at conference Game #5 forward) have only covered 38.1% vs. teams that were winless in conference play, if our unbeaten team wasn't favored by double-digits. Take the Texans + the points. |
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01-30-21 | Eastern Illinois +3 v. SE Missouri State | Top | 44-75 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Illinois Panthers + the points over Southeast Missouri. The Panthers are on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak, including a double-digit upset loss at Tennessee-Martin on Thursday. We'll take the Panthers this evening, as road underdogs off an upset loss, and 5 SU/ATS losses, overall, have cashed 64% since 1990. Take Eastern Illinois + the points. |
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01-30-21 | Air Force -3 v. San Jose State | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Air Force minus the points over San Jose State. This is a rematch of a game played two nights ago here, in San Jose. The Spartans upset Air Force in that game, 59-58. We'll lay the points with the Falcons in Round 2, as San Jose is a poor 10-23 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded opponents off a loss. Meanwhile, Air Force falls into a 149-92 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off upset defeats. Take the Falcons minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-21 | New Orleans +1.5 v. Southeastern Louisiana | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Privateers + the points over SE Louisiana. The Privateers fall into 72-20 and 153-88 ATS systems of mine, and we'll grab the points with New Orleans this afternoon. They come into this game off back to back road losses at Nicholls State and at Northwestern State. But New Orleans is a solid 33-16 ATS off back to back road losses, and 18-9 ATS their last 27 conference road games. Take the Privateers + the points. |
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01-30-21 | Tennessee State v. Austin Peay -9.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors minus the points over Tennessee State. The Governors will host Tennessee State this afternoon, and look to snap a 2-game home losing streak, after dropping games to Jacksonville State and Belmont over the previous seven days. That lowered Austin Peay's record to 8-6. But the good news for Austin Peay is that .500 (or better) teams, off back to back home losses, have gone 129-86, 60% ATS when priced between -5 and -15 points. Even better: the Governors are 29-9 ATS off a loss, when favored by 11 or less points (or PK), if they owned a winning record. Take Austin Peay minus the points. |
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01-30-21 | Delaware State v. Norfolk State -13 | Top | 66-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Norfolk State Spartans minus the points over Delaware State. The Spartans had won 4 straight before dropping back to back games at Coppin State last weekend. But I love them to bounce back at home this afternoon, as they'll face cellar-dwelling Delaware State. The Hornets have yet to win a game this season, as they are 0-10, including two home losses earlier to Norfolk State. We'll go against Delaware State this afternoon, as sub-.400 underdogs of more than 13 points have cashed just 26.6 percent since 1990 when playing with double-revenge against a foe off a SU/ATS loss. And the Hornets are also an awful 1-9 ATS their last 10 when getting 13+ points. Meanwhile, the Spartans are a solid 15-5 ATS off back to back ATS losses, and 7-1 ATS off back to back road losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-21 | Southern -3.5 v. Alcorn State | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern University Jaguars minus the points over Alcorn State. The Braves come into this game off 3 straight wins, while Southern has dropped its last two games -- both on the road -- to Alabama A&M and Alabama State. The Jaguars are now 3-6 on the season, but we'll lay the points with Southern as losing teams have gone 105-72 ATS as road favorites off back to back losses. And Alcorn State is a poor 1-8 ATS at home vs. losing teams. Take Southern. |
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01-30-21 | Auburn +14.5 v. Baylor | Top | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Baylor. Not many teams have been able to test the Bears this season, but I love Auburn in this game. The Tigers got off to a slow start, with 4 ATS losses out of the gate. But they've gone 9-3-1 ATS since then, including a perfect 6-0 ATS their last six. And this 6-game ATS win streak has coincided with arrival of freshman point guard Sharife Cooper, who was ruled eligible by the NCAA after he missed the season's first 11 games. Auburn's 88-82 win over 12th-ranked Missouri this week was most impressive. Bruce Pearl's Tigers were led by Cooper, who poured in 28 points, and added eight rebounds and seven assists. And Pearl's teams have gone 37-20-2 ATS against .790 (or better) opposition when not favored by 2+ points. Don't be surprised if this game goes down to the wire. Grab the points with Auburn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-29-21 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Utah. The Jazz blew out the Mavs, 116-104, on Wednesday night, but we'll come right back with Dallas in this rematch. The Jazz have now won and covered 10 straight. But NBA home teams on 10-game ATS win streaks have cashed just 1 of 15 if they covered by 5+ points in their previous game. And Dallas is a solid 112-66 ATS off a loss, if its opponent is off a win, including 20-10 ATS as a road underdog with revenge. Take the Mavericks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-29-21 | Nets -9 v. Thunder | Top | 147-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder return home off back to back upset wins over the Trail Blazers and Suns, and will welcome the Nets, who they defeated earlier this month in Brooklyn, 129-116. We'll go against OKC, and take the revenge-minded Nets, as underdogs have covered just 97 of 241 off back to back upset wins, if they were playing a non-division foe who it defeated earlier in the season. Additionally, the Nets are a super 42-19 ATS on the road when playing with revenge. Take Brooklyn minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-29-21 | Clippers v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 116-90 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Last night, Los Angeles went into Miami, and upset the Heat, 109-105, as a 5-point underdog. And that was L.A.'s eighth win in its last nine games. But off that win, we will fade the Clippers in this game, as they're 0-11 ATS as an underdog (or PK) in non-division games, if they pulled off an upset win in their previous game. Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-29-21 | Longwood -1 v. Presbyterian | Top | 49-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers minus the points over Presbyterian Blue Hose. Longwood has been installed as a small road favorite this evening, and we'll lay the points, as Presbyterian is a woeful 27.7% ATS when not getting 7+ points. Even better: the Blue Hose won 71-56 at High Point on Monday, but are a wallet-busting 3-10 ATS off a road win. And, finally, Longwood falls into a 103-53 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain road favorites with a losing record. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-28-21 | Eastern Illinois -8 v. Tenn-Martin | Top | 41-51 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Illinois Panthers minus the points over Tennessee-Martin. We played on the Panthers two nights ago, at home vs. SIU-Edwardsville, and came up short when the Panthers were upset by the Cougars, 87-74. That was Eastern Illinois' 2nd straight upset defeat, as they also lost, 65-54, at Tennessee St last Saturday. The good news, though, for tonight's game is that NCAA teams have cashed 61.8% on the road vs. conference foes, if they were off back to back double-digit upset losses. And if their opponent was off an upset win (as Tennessee-Martin is), then our 61.8% angle zooms to 71% since 1990. Lay the points with Eastern Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-28-21 | Belmont v. Austin Peay +5.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Belmont. The Governors will look to bounce back from Saturday's 76-70 upset loss at the hands of Jacksonville St., as a 4-point home favorite. They'll welcome the red-hot Bruins, who come into this game off a monstrous 52-point win against SIU-Edwardsville. And that was Belmont's 13th straight win, as well. Unfortunately, NCAA teams off 40-point SU/ATS wins are an awful 21.4% over the last 31 years as road favorites vs. foes off upset losses. And the Governors have cashed 63% since 1990 off an upset loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Take Austin Peay + the points. |
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01-28-21 | Bradley -5.5 v. Valparaiso | Top | 85-91 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over Valparaiso. The Crusaders upset Illinois State not once, but twice last weekend on the road. They're back home tonight to take on the 9-7 Braves. But Valpo is 0-9 ATS its last nine (and 10-24 ATS its last 34) off an upset win, if matched up against .534 (or better) opposition. Lay the points with Bradley. |
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01-27-21 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Utah. The Jazz have ripped off 9 straight wins (and covers), and now welcome the Mavericks for a 2-game series in Salt Lake City. The Mavericks are an awesome 88-48 ATS off a SU/ATS loss when they're playing an opponent off a win, including a terrific 35-11 ATS when Dallas owned a losing record, and its opponent had a winning record. Even better: Utah falls into a negative 13-42 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on extended win streaks. Take Dallas to upset the Jazz tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-21 | Kansas State +24.5 v. Baylor | Top | 59-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over Baylor. We picked Baylor at the start of the season (at 12-1 odds) to win this year's championship, so its 14-0 start hasn't surprised us. We did go against the Bears once this year, and got the $$$ with Alcorn St., as a 43-point underdog. And we'll also take the big number with the revenge-minded Wildcats tonight, as they lost, 100-69, earlier this season to Baylor. For technical support, consider that revenge-minded underdogs off a SU loss have gone 129-79 ATS vs. .850 (or better) foes, if our underdog lost the previous meeting by more than 21 points. Take Kansas State + the points. |
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01-27-21 | Boise State v. Colorado State +2.5 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Boise State. This is great matchup in Fort Collins tonight, as the Rams are 11-3, while Boise is 12-1. And these two teams will also get together on Friday night for a second game. We'll take Colorado State in this game, as home underdogs with a winning record have gone 130-96 ATS vs. foes on a 10-game (or longer) win streak, if that foe was off a 15-point SU/ATS win in its previous game. Take the Rams + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-21 | Drake v. Missouri State +4 | Top | 78-73 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears + the points over Drake. We played (and lost) on the Bears last night. But we will come right back with them in this rematch, as the Bears are 18-3-1 ATS at home when they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and priced from -1 to +5 points. And Drake, by virtue of its undefeated record, falls in negative 6-25 and 79-125 ATS systems of mine that go against undefeated road favorite. |
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01-27-21 | Wake Forest v. NC State -7 | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons upset Pitt, 76-75, on Saturday, and that was their 2nd straight ATS win. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack have lost their last four games, straight-up (and last five ATS). The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points with the Demon Deacons, and go against the ice-cold Wolfpack. But be careful. Since 1990, NCAA teams off 3 losses have gone 107-53 ATS as home favorites of -7 (or more points), when playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if that opponent also covered two games back. Take the Wolfpack to blow out Wake Forest. |
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01-27-21 | Western Carolina +2.5 v. VMI | Top | 61-87 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Carolina Catamounts plus the points over VMI. The Catamounts have lost their last five games, including the last three ATS. But off this string of bad games, we'll step in and take the points with Western Carolina as a road underdog. Indeed, road teams have gone 158-117 ATS off 5+ losses (and 3+ ATS losses), if they weren't getting 6+ points. And Western Carolina also falls into 83-29, 48-16 and 46-13 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Catamounts + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-21 | Vanderbilt +13 v. Florida | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Florida. The Commodores were blown out by 21 points, 92-71, at home, in their last game. But off that horrible defeat, we'll take the Commodores as a double-digit road underdog on Wednesday, as they're 8-0-1 ATS after giving up 85 points. And SEC double-digit underdogs are a powerful 108-57 ATS vs. .636 (or better) conference foes since 1990 after losing by more than 11 points in their previous game. Take Vanderbilt + the double-digits. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-21 | Georgia Tech v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech. This isn't your grandfather's Blue Devils team. Duke enters tonight on a 3-game losing streak and, even worse, a five-game ATS losing streak. And it's been almost 5 years since the last time Duke was on a 5-game ATS losing streak, and it's been more than 5 years since the Blue Devils had lost 3 games in a row. The reason, of course, is that Mike Krzyzewski's team has been a model of consistency. And nowhere is that evident more in how his team has responded off ATS losses. Indeed, dating back to 1997, Duke is 159-103 ATS in the regular season as a favorite on an ATS losing streak. And if the Devils were off 3 ATS losses, then our records zooms to 23-7 ATS. Even better: Georgia Tech has had little success vs. Duke over the years, as it's lost the last 13 games in a row, and 47 of the last 55. And the Yellow Jackets are a wallet-busting 18-35-1 ATS over their last 54 meetings with Duke. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-21 | Wizards +1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Houston Rockets. In their previous two games, the Rockets pulled upsets on the road, as they defeated Detroit, 103-102, as a 3-point dog, and Dallas, 133-108, as a 7-point dog. Houston's now back home to take on the Wizards, who lost by 20 at San Antonio on Sunday. We'll take Washington, as .400 (or worse) teams (like Houston) have covered just 29.6% since 1990 off back to back upset road wins, if they were matched up against an opponent off a double-digit loss. Take the Wizards. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Illinois -6.5 | Top | 87-74 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Illinois Panthers minus the points over SIU-Edwardsville. Eastern Illinois is 5-10 on the season, and comes into tonight's game on a 5-game losing streak, including an upset loss, 65-54, at Tennessee State, on Saturday. The knee-jerk reaction might be to try to fade the ice cold Panthers. But consider that sub-.400 teams are 23-2-2 ATS in the regular season, including 11-0 ATS their last 11, off an upset loss, if they were also on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak. Lay the points with Eastern Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-21 | Drake v. Missouri State +4 | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears + the points over Drake. This is an historic match-up -- at least in betting circles -- as the 11-0 ATS Bulldogs (13-0 straight-up) will take on the 7-1 ATS Bears (9-1 straight-up). And never in the last 31 years has there been a match-up of two teams with ATS records this good. If there will be a problem for Drake tonight, it very well could be the fact that they've not played in over three weeks due to the coronavirus. Among sports handicappers, there is always the debate of "rest vs. rust," and I personally have always believed that extended rest leads to "rusty" play -- especially with teams that were overperforming prior to their break. We'll fade Drake tonight, as it falls into negative 34-52, 126-182, and 63-158 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off SU/ATS wins. Additionally, .890 (or better) home underdogs have gone 11-0 ATS their last 11 when they were on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. Take Missouri State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -125 | 54 h 29 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Tampa Bay. Two weeks ago, in the Wild Card round, we played on the Rams to upset Seattle as our #1 Side Play in the opening round of the Playoffs. Then, last week, we tabbed Green Bay over the Rams as our top Side play in the quarterfinals. For the semi-finals, we'll once again take the Packers as our #1 play, and go against a Buccaneers team playing its 3rd straight road game. Last Saturday, the Ravens also were saddled with their 3rd straight road game, and they were annihilated by Buffalo, 17-3. In the NFL Playoffs, since 1980, teams playing their 3rd straight game on the road are a woeful 22-40-3 ATS. That doesn't bode well for Tampa Bay at Lambeau. And neither does the fact that Green Bay is an awesome 11-0 ATS with Aaron Rodgers under center, if the Packers weren't favored by 13+ points, and their opponent was off a point spread win, and playing their 2nd straight road game. Of course, it's true that Tampa Bay handed the Packers their worst loss of the seasons -- a 38-10 trouncing. But Green Bay has gone 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS with Rodgers at QB, when playing with revenge, and favored between -2 and -7 points. Take the Packers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-21 | Warriors +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-127 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Utah. The Jazz own the longest win streak in the league this season -- currently at 7 games. And they've also covered the spread in each of those seven victories. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on Utah tonight against a Warriors team off a 15-point upset loss to the Knicks on Thursday. But teams on a 5-game (or better) ATS win streak have only covered 38% over the last 31 years vs. foes off 15-point (or worse) upset losses. That bodes well for Steve Kerr's men tonight. As does the fact that Golden State is an awesome 16-0 ATS as a road underdog priced from +4.5 to +8.5, if it lost its previous game, and it was matched up against a winning opponent which won its previous game. Take Golden State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-21 | Denver +14 v. North Dakota State | Top | 58-84 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers + the points over North Dakota State. Minus their two leading scorers, the Pioneers were competitive in defeat last night. They were a big, double-digit underdog here, in Fargo, but managed to cover the point spread in a 70-58 loss -- their 11th straight, overall. I expect Denver's Jase Townsend to return from his ankle injury tonight, and his scoring will be welcome. We'll take the Pioneers + the points, as NCAA double-digit underdogs, off 10+ losses, have gone 198-143 ATS if they were playing with revenge, and their opponent wasn't off 3 SU/ATS losses. And Denver also falls into a 433-271 ATS system of mine which plays on certain sub-.200 teams to bounce back off losses. Take the Pioneers + the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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01-23-21 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Lipscomb -5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lipscomb Bisons minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast. Last night, the Eagles upset the favored Bisons, 79-69, as a 6.5-point road underdog. We'll back the home team tonight in the rematch, as NCAA home teams, with win percentages between .400 and .750 have covered 62.6% since 1990 off back to back upset losses at home. Lay the points with Lipscomb. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-21 | Cal Poly +17 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 44-67 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Irvine. These two teams battled here, in Irvine, last night, and the Anteaters came away with a 68-49 victory, as a 16-point home favorite. That moved Cal Irvine's season record to 5-4 SU and 5-3 ATS. Unfortunately, Cal Irvine is a poor 8-22 ATS when favored by more than 10 points against revenge-minded conference foes, if Irvine owned a winning ATS ledger. And Cal Poly has cashed 60% over the last 31 years as a double-digit dog off a double-digit defeat, when matched up against foes off back to back wins. Finally, Big West Conference home teams, off back to back ATS wins, have covered just 25.8% over the last 31 years vs. foes off 3 ATS losses. Take Cal Poly SLO + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-21 | Prairie View A&M v. Mississippi Valley State +18.5 | Top | 77-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils + the points over Prairie View. The Delta Devils are still looking for their first win this season, as they're 0-12 after getting annihilated by 41 points at Southern, on Monday. But NCAA underdogs of 11+ points have been reliable when playing at home off a loss by more than 38 points. Over the last 30 years, they've rebounded off such embarrassing defeats to cover 67% of the time. Take Mississippi Valley State + the points. |
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01-23-21 | Tenn-Martin +12 v. Morehead State | Top | 44-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks + the points over Morehead State. These two teams are headed in opposite directions: Morehead State has won its last six games, while the Skyhawks have dropped eight straight. But as is often my wont, I will go against the "hot" Eagles, and take the points with the "cold" Skyhawks. Indeed, Tennessee-Martin falls into several of my better contrarian angles, with records of 122-59 and 425-237 ATS since 1990. Also, in this series, the underdog has covered five of six when getting 11+ points. And Morehead has covered just 43 of 105 when favored by 6+ points. Take Tennessee-Martin. |
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01-23-21 | San Jose State +10 v. New Mexico | Top | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans + the points over New Mexico. These two Mountain West teams met Thursday here in St George, and the Lobos prevailed, 67-51, as an 8-point favorite, to snap a 2-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Spartans' own losing streak was extended to five games. The line is higher for this rematch, and we will happily take the points with the underdog Spartans. Indeed, New Mexico has covered just six of 24 off a double-digit "home" win. And San Jose falls into 82-30, 50-13 and 29-2 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off 3+ losses. Take San Jose + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-21 | Connecticut v. Creighton -8 | Top | 66-74 | Push | 0 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays minus the points over UConn. Both teams enter this game off upset losses: the Huskies fell at home, 74-70, as a 6.5-point favorite vs. St Johns, while Creighton was stunned here at home, by an identical 74-70 score, by Providence on Wednesday. And that was Creighton's 2nd straight defeat, as it also lost at Butler last Saturday. We'll take the Bluejays to bounce back today, as they're a terrific 18-0 straight-up, and 17-0-1 ATS when they were off exactly two losses, and favored by more than 3 points against conference foes. Take the Bluejays to blow out Connecticut. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-21 | Knicks v. Kings -4 | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the New York Knicks. Last night, Tom Thibodeau's troops pulled off their 3rd straight upset, as they whipped the Warriors, 119-104, as 5-point road underdogs. They're now installed as an underdog against the Sacramento Kings, who had last night off after dropping their 4th straight game on Wednesday, 115-96, vs. the Clippers. Unfortunately for the Knicks, teams off 3 straight upset wins are a poor 3-14 ATS their last 17 when not favored by more than 3 points. Even better: unrested teams off an upset win, and 3 ATS wins, overall, have cashed just 38% on the road since 1990 vs. foes off 3 ATS losses. Take Sacramento to blow out New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-21 | Nets -9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Cleveland. These two teams played two nights here, in Cleveland, and the Cavaliers came away with a 147-135 victory, in overtime. And that was the 2nd straight upset win earned by the Cavaliers, as they defeated the Knicks, 106-103, as a 2.5-point home dog last Friday. We'll go against Cleveland tonight, as Brooklyn is 42-17 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, including a perfect 14-0 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage between .450 and .572. And double-digit underdogs, off back to back upset wins, are a dreadful 52-83-3 ATS vs. non-division foes, including 10-25 ATS if their foe was playing with revenge. Lay the points with Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-21 | Southern Miss v. Texas-San Antonio -5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Southern Mississippi. UTSA returns home to the Alamo City to face Southern Miss after an 0-2 SU/ATS road trip at Louisiana Tech. Meanwhile, Southern Miss comes into the Lone Star State off back to back SU/ATS home wins over Middle Tennessee. We'll take the Roadrunners tonight, as they LOVE playing in front of their home faithful. Indeed, since February 2018, they're 19-5 ATS their last 24 at home, including a perfect 4-0 ATS vs. foes off 2 SU/ATS wins. And Texas San Antonio also falls into 251-167, 424-245 and 394-241 ATS systems of mine. Finally, the Golden Eagles are a wallet-busting 3-22-1 ATS as underdogs of less than 13 points (or PK) vs. sub-.720 foes, if the Golden Eagles were off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Roadrunners minus the points. |
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01-21-21 | Wichita State v. Memphis -3 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Wichita State. The Tigers return home off an upset loss at Tulsa on Sunday. Memphis was favored by 2 points in that game, yet fell by 1 point, 58-57. And that was Memphis' seventh straight ATS defeat. We'll take Penny Hardaway's men to break their ATS losing streak tonight, as NCAA teams off a conference road loss, that were on a 7-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, have gone 171-129 ATS, including 19-9 its last 28 vs. .666 (or better) foes. Additionally, the favorite has cashed 5 of 6 in this series. Lay the points with the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-21 | Suns -5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Houston. The Suns will finish up their 5-game road trip tonight, and look to bounce back off losses in their last two games -- both as road favorites. The good news for Phoenix is that it's 42-13-1 ATS off an upset road loss, including 11-2 ATS if they also lost two games back. And Houston is 0-8 ATS its last eight as home dogs of +4 (or more) points vs. winning opposition. Take Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-21 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Gardner-Webb -1 | Top | 57-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs minus the points over North Carolina Asheville. These two teams met here in Boiling Springs yesterday, and NC-Asheville came away with a 79-75 victory as a 1-point road favorite. We'll take the home team to avenge that home loss, as NCAA teams have gone 78-56 ATS in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the teams, if they lost at home in the first meeting, and were not an underdog of more than 1 point in that first game. Even better: Gardner-Webb has cashed 17 of 23 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, while Asheville has covered just 9 of 29 off an ATS win. Take Gardner-Webb. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-21 | Mercer -6 v. The Citadel | Top | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears minus the points over The Citadel. After an 8-0 start, the Bulldogs have lost their last three games (vs Furman, at VMI and at NC Greensboro). We played against The Citadel in two of those, and will play against them here, at home, this afternoon. Indeed, The Citadel is a wallet-breaking 0-6 ATS its last six, and 25-48 ATS its last 73 at home off 3+ losses. And it's 0-16-1 ATS its last 17 (and 14-37-1 its last 52) at home off a double-digit road loss. Lay the points with Mercer. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-19-21 | Central Michigan +15 v. Toledo | Top | 72-89 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 43 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Toledo. The Rockets lost SU/ATS in their last game, as they fell 95-94 to Akron. And that ended an 8-game win streak (and 7-game ATS win streak). Toledo is a poor 1-8 ATS at home off a loss, while the Chips are 28-16 ATS their last 44 MAC Conference games. Central Michigan also falls into a 424-244 ATS system of mine. Take CMU + the points. Good luck...Al McMordie. |
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01-18-21 | New Mexico +12 v. UNLV | Top | 46-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over UNLV. We were 7-1 in basketball over the weekend. Our one losing selection was on these Lobos against this same UNLV team when they played on Saturday here, at Thomas & Mack Center. The Rebels blew out the Lobos by 23 in that game but, at the risk of being stubborn, we'll come right back with New Mexico today. Notwithstanding its SU/ATS win on Saturday, UNLV is still a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS its last 13, and 39-71-3 ATS its last 113 at home vs. conference foes, if the Rebels were favored by more than 8 points. And if the Rebels were priced from -10 to -14.5 points vs. .500 (or worse) conference foes, then they've gone 2-19 ATS. Additionally, so far in 2021, NCAA road underdogs off exactly one loss, that lost earlier in the season to their opponent, and failed to cover in that previous defeat by more than 12 points, have gone 14-5 ATS, including 7-0 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points. Finally, home favorites of 12+ points, off back to back wins, have covered just 59 of 167 vs. Mountain West foes. Take New Mexico. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-18-21 | Suns -3 v. Grizzlies | Top | 104-108 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. When the Suns last took the court seven days ago, they suffered an upset road loss at the hands of the Washington Wizards, 128-107. That lowered Phoenix's record to 7-4 this season (4-3 road; 3-1 home), an impressive mark which includes road wins at Utah, Denver and Indiana. Phoenix has had the last week off due to the coronavirus protocols, so they'll be very well-rested when they take on the Grizzlies. Memphis took advantage of a Joel Embiid-less 76ers squad on Saturday to win its fourth straight game, 106-104. But the Grizz are still just 2-5 SU and 2-4-1 ATS at home this season. We'll lay the points with Phoenix, as .625 (or better) road favorites have covered 59% since 1991 if they played with at least 3 more days of rest than their opponent. Even better: the Suns are 10-0 ATS their last 10, and 42-12 ATS their last 54 off an upset road defeat. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-21 | Pacers v. Clippers -6 | Top | 96-129 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Indiana. Both of these teams come into tonight's game on win streaks. Indiana has won and covered two straight, while the Clippers have won each of their last three games. But the key factor for our play tonight is that Indiana won its last two games as an underdog. And the Pacers are a horrid 0-19 ATS off back to back covers as an underdog, if they've owned a win percentage greater than .575, and also won their previous game straight-up. Meanwhile, the Clippers are 91-63 ATS when favored, including 15-2 ATS vs. foes off an upset road win. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over New Orleans. This is a big revenge game for Tom Brady & Co., as they were blown out, 38-3, at home in the previous meeting. We played on New Orleans in that game, but will take Tampa Bay this evening. For technical support, consider that revenge-minded teams that lost by 30+ points earlier in the season, have gone 6-0 ATS as single-digit underdogs. Even better: Tom Brady's a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season by 13+ points, and 11-1 SU/ATS his last 12 games vs. division rivals when playing with revenge (regardless of the margin of defeat). And, finally, NFC South division teams have gone 10-0 ATS since 2003 when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season. Take Tampa Bay + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:05, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Cleveland. Last week, the Browns won their biggest game in decades when they went into Pittsburgh, and upset their rivals, 48-37, as a 5-point underdog. But off that huge win, we'll fade the Browns this afternoon. In general, I prefer to go against teams off big offensive playoff wins. And especially when such teams don't have great defenses to match their high-octane offenses. And Cleveland does not. The Browns are scoring 26.82 ppg this season, but also giving up the exact amount, on defense. In contrast, Kansas City only gives up 22.62 ppg. And to put the Browns' defense into context, consider that there have been just 6 NFL teams of 480 that made the playoffs over the last 41 seasons to have given up more than 26 points per game! We'll go against Cleveland, as NFL teams that scored more than 38 points in their previous game are 0-11 ATS on the road if they didn't have a better defense than their opponent. That doesn't bode well for Cleveland at Arrowhead this afternoon. Nor does the fact that teams that covered the spread by more than 13 points the previous week have cashed just 16% in the Playoffs vs. defending Super Bowl champions. And, finally, Andy Reid-coached teams have gone 67% ATS, including 6-2, 75% ATS in the Playoffs, when they were off a bye week, which gave Reid an extra week to prepare. Take the Chiefs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-21 | Knicks +8 v. Celtics | Top | 105-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Boston. In this Atlantic Division match-up, we'll take Tom Thibodeau's Knicks as a road underdog. After winning 5 of 6 games -- both SU and ATS -- the Knicks have hit the skids, with five straight losses (also both SU and ATS). But in none of those five games were the Knicks installed as an underdog of 6+ points (as they are this afternoon). And New York is 4-1 ATS their last five when getting 6+ points. Moreover, the Knicks fall into one of my favorite NBA systems today. it's cashed 80.9% over the last 31 years, and what we want to do is play on .375 (or better) rested road teams in division games, if they're an underdog of +5 (or more) points, and off five SU/ATS losses. Take New York + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-16-21 | Cleveland State v. Wright State -8 | Top | 49-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders minus the points over Cleveland State. These two teams met yesterday here, in Dayton, and the Raiders were upset by the Vikings, 66-64, as a 9.5-point favorite. We'll play on the Raiders to bounce back this evening, as they're 5-0 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, and they're 17-6 ATS off an upset loss when playing a foe off back to back wins. Finally, the Raiders fall into a 320-188 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off upset defeats. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-16-21 | New Mexico +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 54-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos plus the points over UNLV. For years, the UNLV Rebels have been one of the worst-performing point spread teams at home. And that's much to the chagrin of their fans who have lost a lot of money betting on them at the local casinos. Today, the Rebels have been installed as a double-digit favorite, notwithstanding the fact they've yet to win a Mountain West Conference game. We'll take New Mexico + the points, as UNLV is a dismal 1-11 ATS their last 12, and 38-71-3 ATS their last 112 at home vs. conference foes, if the Rebels were favored by more than 8 points. And if the Rebels were priced from -10 to -14.5 points vs. .500 (or worse) conference foes, then they've gone 1-19 ATS. Take New Mexico plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-16-21 | Rockets v. Spurs -7 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston. The Spurs blew a big 4th quarter lead vs. the Rockets on Thursday, and lost 109-105. After the game, coach Gregg Popovich questioned his players' effort. Certainly, his team heard his message, and will come out focused this evening. And San Antonio also generally does well in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 26-8 ATS their last 34 at home in this role (and 3-0 ATS vs. division rivals if the Spurs lost at home in the previous meeting). Take San Antonio to blow out Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-16-21 | Washington +15 v. UCLA | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over UCLA. The Bruins are undefeated in Pac-12 play with a 6-0 record (and 5-1 ATS), while Washington is bringing up the rear at 0-7 SU (and 1-6 ATS). We'll grab the points as NCAA teams have cashed 66.4% away from home , if they were off 4 SU/ATS losses, and were matched up against a .733 (or better) conference foe off at ATS win. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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01-16-21 | UAB v. Charlotte +2.5 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over UAB. Yesterday, the Blazers were embarrassed at home, 61-37, by Alabama-Birmingham. And Charlotte was actually favored in that game by 2 points. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment for this afternoon's game, so Charlotte is now the home underdog. And we will happily take the points with the 49ers in the rematch, as home teams off 8-point upset home losses have cashed 62.2% over the last 31 years when playing with revenge against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Even better: the 49ers are 10-1 ATS their last 11 as a home underdog. And they're 6-0-2 ATS their last eight off an upset defeat. Take the 49ers + the points to bounce back this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-16-21 | The Citadel v. VMI -4.5 | Top | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets minus the points over The Citadel. The Bulldogs are 7-1 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while VMI is 5-6, but a more-than-respectable 6-3 ATS. We'll go against The Citadel this afternoon, as .875 (or better) underdogs of more than 4 points (at Game 9 forward) have cashed just 65 of 165 games away from home, if they were on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. Additionally, VMI is 21-10 ATS vs. .770 (or better) opponents. Lay the points. |
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01-16-21 | Holy Cross v. Colgate -18.5 | Top | 55-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Holy Cross. We played on Holy Cross last Sunday as a double-digit underdog at Army, and were rewarded with an outright win by the Crusaders. But we will go against them this afternoon, as they're 0-11 ATS off a win. Even better: the Raiders are off a momentum-building 89-45 road win over Boston U., as a 5-point favorite. And NCAA teams that covered the spread by more than 38 points on the road in their previous game have gone 71% ATS since 1990. Lay the points with Colgate. |
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01-15-21 | Green Bay v. Detroit -3 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay. The Titans have gotten off to a miserable 0-4 start in Horizon League play, while Green Bay is 3-5 after winning its last three league games. We'll lay the points with Detroit tonight, as home favorites have cashed 59% since 1990 vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if our home team was 0-4 (or worse) in conference play. Take Detroit. |
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01-15-21 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama -2.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Appalachian State. On the surface, these two teams are going in opposite directions. The Jaguars are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Mountaineers have won and covered 3 straight. But NCAA favorites on 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks have covered 60% over the last 31 years vs. foes off 3-game SU/ATS winning streaks, including 68.4% if our favorite was off a double-digit loss in its previous game. With the Jaguars in off an 83-69 loss at Coastal Carolina, our 68.4% tightener is satisfied. Take South Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-15-21 | UAB v. Charlotte -1.5 | Top | 61-37 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers over UAB. This is the front-end of a 2-game series played here in Charlotte, and we'll take the homestanding 49ers. Charlotte is 5-5 this season after dropping its last game, 75-72, to Belmont Abbey, while UAB is 9-1. But the Blazers have lost each of their last three games ATS, which is not a positive signal for this game tonight. Inded, dating back to 1992, .895 (or better) College teams (at Game 8 forward) off back to back ATS defeats, have covered just 32 percent away from home against an opponent which wasn't a winning team, including 20% ATS if they weren't favored by 8+ points. Take Charlotte. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-15-21 | Charleston Southern +13.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over NC Asheville. The coronavirus has greatly impacted the schedules this college basketball season. Many leagues have gone to a format of two teams playing back to back games at a single venue. The Big South Conference is one of those. These two teams played here, in Asheville, yesterday, and the Bulldogs blew out the Buccaneers, 92-54. We'll take the underdog in this rematch, as Charleston Southern falls into 99-51, 422-236 and 153-101 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Additionally, this season, in these back to back games, teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points have covered 63%, while teams off straight-up losses by 25+ points have covered 67%. Take the Buccaneers + the points. |
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01-14-21 | Washington +14.5 v. USC | Top | 68-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over the Southern Cal Trojans. It's true that these two teams are going in opposite directions. Washington has lost its last six games (including 0-5 ATS its last 5), while USC is on a 4-game win streak. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the homestanding Trjoans, and lay the points. But consider that Washington is a solid 27-12 ATS off 3+ losses when playing an opponent off back to back wins. And road underdogs of +12 (or more) points, off 4 SU/ATS losses, have gone 123-59 ATS vs. .760 (or better) conference foes. Take the Huskies + the large number. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-14-21 | Purdue v. Indiana -3 | Top | 81-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Purdue. This Hoosier State rivalry has been one-sided of late, with the Boilermakers taking each of the last seven meetings. But this game sets up well for an Indiana victory. The Boilermakers pulled a big upset in their last game when they went into East Lansing, and defeated Michigan State, 55-54, as a 6-point underdog. Unfortunately, they're an awful 3-11 ATS off an upset win. And they're also a wallet-breaking 31-59-6 ATS as single-digit road underdogs. Meanwhile, Indiana is a terrific 65-38-2 ATS at home when not favored by more than 4 points, while Purdue has covered just 3 of 13 vs. double-revenge-minded foes it defeated twice the previous season. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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01-13-21 | Furman -14 v. The Citadel | Top | 94-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over The Citadel. The Bulldogs come into this game with a spotless 8-0 record (and a 4-0 ATS record). But the fact that they've had five non-lined games reveals the schedule has been filled with non-Division I foes. So, half of The Citadel's wins have come against the likes of Piedmont, Toccoa Falls, Columbia International, and Carver Bible, while the other half were versus NC A&T, Longwood, Presbyterian and UT-Chattanooga. Furman, on the other hand, is 8-3, but its three losses were road games against Cincinnati, Alabama and Winthrop. We'll go against the undefeated Bulldogs, as .850 (or better) double-digit home underdogs have covered just 31% over the past 25 seasons. Moreover, the pace of the game will play into the hands of the Paladins. One thing is certain about this afternoon's game: it will be high-scoring. Unlike, say, the "Runnin' Bulldogs" of Gardner-Webb, whose games "only" average 146 points, the Bulldogs of The Citadel REALLY LOVE to run, as their games, on average, total 162.50, while Furman's games average 153.54. Historically, Furman's been great in this point spread role, as the Paladins are a powerful 26-5 ATS as road favorites of -6+ points. Lay the big number. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-12-21 | Pacers +3 v. Warriors | Top | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Golden State. The Warriors are now 6-4 after back to back upset wins over the Clippers and Raptors. But favorites are a poor 37% ATS at home off back to back upset wins, if they won at home in their previous game, and were now matched up against a .500 (or better) foe. Take the Pacers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-12-21 | Alabama v. Kentucky -2 | Top | 85-65 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama. After an uncharacteristic 1-6 start to the 2020-21 season, the Wildcats have righted themselves in SEC Conference play with 3 straight wins to start the SEC schedule. And Saturday's win in Gainesville was their most impressive, as they upset Florida, 76-58, as a 5.5-point road underdog. The Wildcats are back home tonight to take on an Alabama team which has gotten off to a 4-0 SEC start. We'll take the home team, as Kentucky is a reliable 67-31-2 ATS at home when not favored by more than 14 points, if its opponent was off back to back wins! Meanwhile, Alabama falls into a negative 34% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 5+ wins. And the Crimson Tide are a poor 19-40 ATS off 5+ wins. Take Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-12-21 | Spurs -2 v. Thunder | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City. San Antone was blown out by Minnesota in the 2nd of a back-to-back series in Minneapolis. But off that blowout loss, we'll take Gregg Popovich's crew tonight, as they're 65-42 ATS as a road favorite off a SU loss where they failed to cover by double-digits. Meanwhile, the Thunder return home off a 5-game road trip in which they went 4-1 (including 3 upset wins over the last week). Unfortunately for the Thunder, underdogs off 3 upset road wins have covered just 40% over the past 31 years. Take San Antonio minus the points. |
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01-12-21 | Lakers v. Rockets +6 | Top | 117-100 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Los Angeles. The Rockets lost round 1 in this 2-game series vs. the champs, but we'll take them to win round 2 tonight. On Sunday, the Lakers blew out Houston here at the Toyota Center, 120-102. But Houston has covered 64% since 1990 as a home dog off a home loss, if their foe was off back to back wins. And the Lakers have covered just 29 of 94 regular season games vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if that foe was playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season to the Lakers. Take Houston in this home underdog role. |
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01-11-21 | Raptors +5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The 2019 Champion Raptors are now 2-7 SU/ATS after losing to the 2018 Champion Warriors last night, 106-105. But at least the Warriors are a respectable 6-4 SU/5-5 ATS. The Raptors will now travel up to Portland to take on a Trail Blazers team which won and covered two straight games for the first time all season, with SU/ATS wins over the T-Wolves and Kings. But it's worth noting that the point spread for tonight's game is the biggest underdog spread for Toronto all season. And the Raptors are 12-4 ATS over the last 4 regular seasons when getting 5+ points in a game. Meanwhile, Portland has covered just 6 of 21 off back to back ATS wins. And it also falls into a negative 35-91 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. foes off upset losses. Grab the points with Nick Nurse's men tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -115 | 228 h 9 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Monday, January 11, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Alabama. This selection certainly won't come as a surprise to anyone who joined us for our huge play on the Buckeyes + over Clemson. In my discussion of that game, I highlighted that Ohio State was 13-0 ATS its last 13 as underdogs of more than 3 points. Well, after its 49-28 blowout of Clemson, that mark is now 14-0 ATS its last 14. Ohio State just destroyed Trevor Lawrence & Co., so why not Mac Jones, DeVonta Smith, et al? It's true that Alabama didn't play its best game vs. Notre Dame. The Tide went up 28-7 on a Jones-to-Smith TD pass, with 4:58 left in the 3rd quarter, but never scored another TD. They did tack on a 4th quarter field goal, but a late touchdown by Notre Dame rewarded Irish bettors. I was one of those bettors, as I took Notre Dame + the large number. And we'll grab the points here, as well. For technical support, consider that .928 (or better) teams are 0-9 ATS in the post-season as a favorite of less than 13 points vs. foes off a momentum-building upset win. Additionally, I love playing on bowl underdogs with good defenses, and strong rushing attacks. This season, Ohio State's offensive YPR is 6.0, while Bama's is 5.1, and each gives up 3.2 YPR on defense. The Buckeyes' relative Total YPR is +0.927. With this as a backdrop, consider that Bowl underdogs of more than 4 points, with a powerful rushing attack that garners 6+ yards per rush, have cashed 89% in the bowls since 1993, while single-digit bowl underdogs have gone 123-83-3 ATS if their defense gave up 22 or less ppg, and their relative YPR (yards per rush) was better than their opponent's. Take Ohio State + the points in the Championship game on Monday, Jan. 11. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-10-21 | Lakers v. Rockets +3 | Top | 120-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Los Angeles. We played on the Rockets in their previous game, and were rewarded with a 42-point blowout win over Orlando -- Houston's best game of this young season. Going into Friday's contest, the Rockets were 2-4 SU/ATS, and had yet to win by double-digits. The Lakers also haven't been making too many friends "in Vegas," as they've only covered the spread in four of their 10 games, including 0-3 ATS their last three. These two teams met in last year's post-season tournament, and the Lakers won the 7-game series, 4-games-to-1 after the Rockets took the opening game. But Houston won 2 of last year's 3 regular season games, and I look for it to upset Los Angeles this evening, as well, as it falls into several of my very best post-season revenge systems. Even better: this will be Los Angeles' 3rd game in four nights, and LeBron James' teams have covered just 43% in his career when playing their 3rd game in four nights, if favored vs. winning opponents, while NBA teams have covered just 30 of their last 80 when playing their 3rd game in four nights, if they won the previous two games. Finally, the Rockets are a solid 26-14 ATS as rested home underdogs if they lost the previous meeting to their opponent. Grab the points with the home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-10-21 | Holy Cross +11.5 v. Army | Top | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Army. These two Patriot League rivals met yesterday in Worcester, Mass. and the Black Knights got the better of Holy Cross, with a 15-point road win, 83-68, as a 5.5-point favorite. That lowered Holy Cross' season point spread record to 2-1 ATS. But unlike many conferences this season, which are having their teams play two straight games against an opponent in the same location, the Patriot League has scheduled its back to back meetings in the traditional manner, with one home, and one away game. So, this game will be played at Army. We'll take the Crusaders in this afternoon's rematch, as they've covered 34 of 59 road games, and also fall into an 87-41 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road underdogs off SU/ATS losses. Even better: since 1991, teams off a loss in the first meeting of a "back-to-back" have covered the spread in the 2nd meeting 59% of the time, if they owned a winning ATS record on the season, including 10-1 ATS in 2021 if they failed to cover the spread in the first meeting by more than 8 points. Take Holy Cross. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Washington Football Team + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Football Team was fortunate it played in the NFC (L)East division this season, as it qualified for the Playoffs with a 7-9 record. But every team is 0-0 when the Playoffs start, so there's no reason Washington can't find success in this tournament. And, historically, mediocre teams have done VERY WELL in the NFL Playoffs, provided they played AT HOME. Indeed, sub-.560 NFL teams have gone 5-0-1 SU/ATS at home in the NFL playoffs, including outright wins as a +7.5-point underdog (Denver/Pitt, 2012) and as a +10-point home underdog (Seattle/N.O., 2011). In contrast, on the road, such teams have covered just 5 of 20 games. The Buccaneers erupted for 44 points last week, in a 17-point win over Atlanta. Unfortunately, NFL playoff teams have gone 34-51 ATS away from home after scoring 35+ points in their previous game (against an opponent which didn't score 35+ points in its previous game). And Tampa's opponent last week -- Atlanta -- had a defensive average of 24.66 ppg, so it wasn't surprising the Bucs were able to post a lot of points. But Tampa has struggled this season vs. foes (like Washington) with defensive averages of less than 21 ppg, as it's 0-4 ATS (compared to 9-3 ATS vs. foes with defenses that gave up 21+ ppg). Meanwhile, Washington has excelled vs. high-octane offenses (like Tampa's) that score at least 28 ppg, as it's 4-0 ATS (compared to 5-7 ATS vs. foes with offense that don't score 28+ ppg). And the Football Team held those 4 explosive offenses to just 17.75 ppg. Take Washington + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-09-21 | Spurs v. Wolves +6.5 | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over San Antonio. We played on the Spurs in each of their last two games, and were rewarded with upset wins over both the Clippers and Lakers. But off those two big upset wins, we will fade the Spurs as a road favorite tonight. Indeed, teams off back to back upset wins are a soft 42% as favorites vs. foes with losing SU/ATS records. And the Spurs have covered 12 of their last 39 when favored, including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie |
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01-09-21 | Hawks -5 v. Hornets | Top | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Charlotte. The Hornets come into this game off back to back upset wins over the Pelicans last night, and these Hawks on Wednesday. But off those two upset road wins, we'll fade Charlotte tonight, and take the revenge-minded Hawks. Since 1990, teams off back to back upset wins on the road have covered just 28% as a home underdog vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-09-21 | Rams +4 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over Seattle. These two teams met two weeks ago in Seattle, and the Seahawks won, 20-9, as a 1.5-point home favorite. The line for this game is slightly higher, given the injuries on the side of the Rams. I like the underdog here, as revenge-minded NFL underdogs off a SU win have cashed 80% in the Wild Card round vs. division foes. And the revenger in this NFC West division rivalry is 9-5 ATS, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog. Even better: the Rams own the superior defense, as it allows just 18.5 ppg (Seattle's defense allows 23.18). And Playoff underdogs of +4 or less points, with a defense which rates at least 4.5 ppg better, have covered 71% over the last 41 years. Take the Rams. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-09-21 | Idaho +14 v. Southern Utah | Top | 67-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Southern Utah. The Thunderbirds have won eight straight, while the Vandals have lost eight straight after Thursday night's game between these two teams, won by Southern Utah, 85-80, as a 14.5-point favorite. Still, Idaho easily covered the double-digit spread. But these two teams' divergent won/loss streaks have worked to create point spread value for the underdog. And we'll happily step in and take the points with Idaho, as it's 64-35 ATS on the road off a road loss, including 23-6 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. Meanwhile, Southern Utah is a horrid 14-36 ATS at home off an ATS defeat. I look for the Vandals to easily cover the spread here again this afternoon. Take Idaho + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-08-21 | Clippers v. Warriors +6 | Top | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over the LA Clippers. We played on Los Angeles on Wednesday, as a 4-point road favorite, and were rewarded with a 7-point victory. But we will take Golden State in this rematch, as it's 52-27-1 ATS vs. division rivals if it lost its previous game, while the Clippers are 13-35 ATS off a SU/ATS win, when favored by 4+ points vs. a revenge-minded foe. Grab the points with the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-08-21 | Raptors -5 v. Kings | Top | 144-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Sacramento. The Raptors have (unbelievably) gotten off to a 1-6 start this season. But there's no reason to panic. Their slow start is partly due to bad luck, as they could have won/covered three of their six SU/ATS losses. And a difficult schedule also hasn't helped. But tonight, the Raptors will play a team they're significantly better than, and I believe they'll take out their frustrations tonight, and blow out Sacramento. For technical support, consider that Toronto is 15-6 ATS off 3 ATS losses, including 12-2 ATS off a loss. And the Kings are 11-22 ATS as a home dog of more than 2 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with the Raptors. |
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01-08-21 | North Dakota +10.5 v. Oral Roberts | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over Oral Roberts. The Eagles have been installed as a double-digit home favorite following their back to back wins (and covers) at Nebraska-Omaha last weekend. But they're an awful 15-36 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, and 24-46 ATS off back to back wins. Grab the points with North Dakota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-08-21 | Magic v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 90-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Orlando. The Rockets check in off back to back SU/ATS losses to Dallas and Indiana, and have been installed as a home favorite vs. Orlando, which has won its last two games (both SU and ATS). We'll lay the points with the Rockets, as they've covered 58% off back to back losses, if they failed to cover their previous game, and their opponent is off back to back SU/ATS wins. Meanwhile, the Magic are a poor 52-74 ATS as single-digit underdogs vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Houston. |
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01-08-21 | Grand Canyon v. Tarleton St +10 | Top | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton St. Texans + the points over Grand Canyon. The Antelopes have gotten out to a 6-0 ATS start this season. But they're now favored by a significant amount on the road and, by my numbers, the line is inflated. And, even more important, is the fact that Grand Canyon has only covered the point spread by, on average, 4.83 ppg. And that number is exceptionally low for a team which has started a season with at least 6 ATS wins. Indeed, there have been 221 events where a team was 6-0 (or better) against the spread. And a 4.83 average line differential ranks 210th of the 221. That low number indicates that the Antelopes 6-0 ATS record is due more to randomness than their superior play. Not surprisingly, teams that start the season with a 6-0 ATS (or better) record have gone 8-24 ATS if their average line differential wasn't greater than 6.10. Take Tarleton St. + the points. |
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01-08-21 | Central Connecticut State +13.5 v. Bryant | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils + the points over Bryant. This is a rematch of a game played yesterday, won by Bryant, 93-68. But off that loss, we'll take the Blue Devils in the rematch. This season, because of COVID-19, it's commonplace for conferences to schedule back-to-back meetings between schools. And the team which lost the first meeting has covered the second 62 of 113 (55%). Even better: double-digit road underdogs are 146-109 ATS in the 2nd meeting when playing with revenge from a 25-point loss in the first meeting of the season. Take Central Connecticut St. |
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01-07-21 | Spurs +9 v. Lakers | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Perhaps the third time will be the charm for Gregg Popovich's men. They've played Los Angeles twice already this season, with both games in the Alamo City ending in defeat for the Silver and Black. But after getting blown out in Game #1, Game #2 went down to the wire for a 109-103 Lakers victory. We played on San Antone in that game as a 7-point underdog, and we'll play on them here, at Los Angeles. The Spurs come into this game off an upset win over the Clippers on Tuesday, and are now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this season. They're also 57-36 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 14-7 ATS when playing with double-revenge. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 26-43 ATS as a favorite in the regular season vs. a foe they defeated twice earlier in the season. Finally, San Antonio falls into a 90-40 ATS revenge system of mine. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-07-21 | Cincinnati +6 v. SMU | Top | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over SMU. The Bearcats lost at home, 70-66, to Tulsa this past Saturday. And that was Cincy's fifth straight defeat (and fourth straight as a favorite). Tonight, the Bearcats will be in Dallas to play an SMU team off a home loss to Houston (after starting the season with six straight wins). We'll grab the points with Cincinnati, as it's 23-10 ATS as an underdog off back to back losses. Even better: NCAA Basketball teams off 4+ upset losses have cashed 73.9% over the last 31 years. Grab the points with John Brannen's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-21 | Clippers -2 v. Warriors | Top | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Golden State Warriors. Steve Kerr's men must like the number 137, as that's been their point total in each of their last two games. They poured in 137 in a 31-point upset win over Sacramento on Monday, and also scored 137 vs. Portland the night before that, in a 15-point win. But off those back to back upsets, we'll fade Golden State tonight. And they will be welcoming a Clippers team in an ornery mood off an upset home loss yesterday to San Antonio. That was Los Angeles' 3rd loss of the season. In their previous defeats, they bounced back to win and cover vs. Minnesota (124-101) and Phoenix (112-107). L.A. is now 34-13 ATS off a loss, while the Warriors are a poor 18-33 ATS off a win. And NBA underdogs are a horrid 2-16 ATS after scoring 120+ in back to back upset wins. Take the Clippers tonight to crush Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-21 | Seton Hall v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 53-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Seton Hall. The Blue Jays have won their last four games, and are 8-2 SU on the season, though they failed to cover each of their last 3 games. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS after winning their last 3 games SU/ATS. We'll take Creighton to snap its ATS losing streak tonight as .800 (or better) home teams, at Game 11 forward, off 3+ wins, but 3+ ATS losses, have covered 69% since 1990 vs foes off an ATS win. And the Blue Jays are also 30-15 ATS at home off back to back ATS defeats, if they weren't favored by more than 12 points. Lay it. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-21 | Thunder +8 v. Pelicans | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over New Orleans. These two teams met last Thursday in Oklahoma, and the Pelicans blew out the Thunder, 113-80, as a 6-point road favorite. We'll take OKC in this re-match, as the Thunder are 18-7 ATS their last 25 when playing with revenge, including 8-0 ATS when priced from +4 to +10 points. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have covered just 8 of 22 as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes, and are 8-21 ATS at home off a SU loss. Finally, the Thunder fall into a 143-83 ATS revenge system of mine. Grab the points with OKC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-06-21 | Jazz -7 v. Knicks | Top | 100-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New York. The Knicks have won two straight -- both as big underdogs -- while the Jazz were blown out last night by 34 points in Brooklyn. It will be a short trip to Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks on Wednesday, and we'll lay the points with Utah. Since 1990, .563 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% after losing their previous game by more than 28 points, if their opponent was off back to back wins. And home dogs off upset road wins have cashed just 39% over the last 31 years vs. foes off upset road losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-21 | Wolves +11.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets blew out Minnesota, 124-109, on Sunday, in Minneapolis. But we'll take Minnesota in the rematch tonight. And, unlike Sunday's game, this will be played in Denver. That's good news for the T-Wolves, who are 20-2 ATS their last 22 in Denver, when priced as an underdog of +1.5 to +15 points. And, regardless of where the point spread is, the ROAD TEAM has gone 41-10-1 ATS its last 52 in this series! That's one reason I love Minnesota tonight. Another is that rested, revenge-minded double-digit underdogs are 300-234 ATS against division rivals. Take Minnesota + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +9 | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers bested Memphis here, on Beale Street, on Sunday, by a 108-94 count. That was the Lakers' 3rd straight road win. Unfortunately for the defending champs, they're a dreadful 110-163-4 ATS when favored by 8+ points against a revenge-minded opponent, including 21-58 their last 79 if they won by more than 5 points in the previous meeting. And the Lakers also fall into a negative 40-84 ATS system of mine which fades certain road favorites that were playing a revenge-minded foe. Take Memphis + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-21 | Northern Illinois +15 v. Ohio | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Ohio. The Bobcats' Jason Preston (16.8 ppg, 7.4 assists) won't play today due to a lower body injury, and that's enough for me to pull the trigger on the double-digit underdog Huskies. Northern Illinois is a fantastic 55-30 ATS as road underdogs of +8 (or more) points. Take the Huskies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-05-21 | Campbell v. Gardner-Webb -4 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs minus the points over Campbell. These two teams met here, in Boiling Springs, yesterday. And the Fighting Camels came away with a 70-61 upset win. Off that loss, we'll lay the points with the home team, as the Runnin' Bulldogs are 39-24 ATS their last 63. And they also fall into a 153-101 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain home (or neutral-sited) teams that were upset by their opponent previously in the season. Take Gardner-Webb. |
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01-05-21 | Winthrop v. Charleston Southern +16 | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Winthrop. The Eagles won Round 1 yesterday, 85-69, and covered by a point. We'll take Charleston Southern this afternoon in this rematch, as the Eagles have covered just 30.7% vs. foes off SU/ATS losses. And Winthrop also falls into a negative 41-84 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams vs. foes off SU/ATS losses. Take Charleston Southern + the points. |
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01-04-21 | Kings -2 v. Warriors | Top | 106-137 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Golden State. We had a big play on the Warriors last night, and were rewarded with an upset win by Steph Curry (62 points) and Co. against Portland. But off that win, we will fade Steve Kerr's crew tonight, as Golden State falls into negative 99-143, 56-118 and 33-70 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins. Even worse for the Warriors: Golden State is 17-33 ATS off a straight-up win, while Sacramento is 26-11 ATS on the road off a road loss. Lay the small number with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-04-21 | Wyoming v. Fresno State -2 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Wyoming. This is a rematch of a game played here on Saturday. The Cowboys upset the Bulldogs, 78-74, in that one, as a 2-point underdog. We'll play on the home team tonight, as Fresno is 10-0 ATS its last 10 conference games off a home loss, while Wyoming is a wallet-busting 29-66 ATS off a win away from home, if their opponent is off a straight-up loss. Take the Bulldogs minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-04-21 | Mavs +3 v. Rockets | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Houston. The Mavericks lost their previous game, last night, at Chicago, 118-108. And Dallas entered that game as a 4-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Rockets downed Sacramento, 102-94, as a 2-point home underdog on Saturday. We'll take the Mavericks to bounce back tonight, as they're 111-63 ATS off a loss, if matched up against an opponent which was off a win. And the Rockets are a woeful 1-13 ATS their last 14 off an upset win at home, if matched up against an opponent which failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game. Finally, the Rockets fall into negative 2-29, 31-69 and 13-54 ATS systems of mine. Take Dallas + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-04-21 | Southern Illinois +12 v. Drake | Top | 55-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Drake. The Salukis lost here yesterday, 73-55, so they will get a 2nd opportunity this evening to hand the Bulldogs their first loss of the season. We'll grab the points with the road underdog, as Missouri Valley Conference teams have gone 137-87 ATS when playing with revenge from an 18-point conference loss, provided they weren't favored by more than 3 points. Take Southern Illinois + the points. |
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01-04-21 | Winthrop v. Charleston Southern +14 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Winthrop. The Eagles are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS, while the Bucs are 1-5 SU and 0-5 ATS on the season after being upset twice by Hampton in their last two games. But off those two upset losses, we'll grab the points with the Bucs, as home teams off back to back upset losses are 107-77 ATS, including 20-9 ATS as an underdog. Take the Bucs. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles +4 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Washington. The Eagles suffered an upset loss to Dallas last week, as they succumbed 37-17, as a 4.5-point favorite. But off that defeat, we'll take Philly as a home underdog on Sunday night. Indeed, over the past 36 years, NFL underdogs (or PK) off an upset loss by more than 10 points have gone 123-78-5 ATS vs. division rivals. And the Football Team has covered just 59 of its last 158 games as a favorite, including 19 of 63 vs. division foes. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-21 | Stanford v. Arizona State -1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Tarleton St +7.5 v. Utah Valley | Top | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Eastern Illinois +3 v. SE Missouri State | Top | 44-75 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Air Force -3 v. San Jose State | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
01-30-21 | New Orleans +1.5 v. Southeastern Louisiana | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Tennessee State v. Austin Peay -9.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Delaware State v. Norfolk State -13 | Top | 66-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Southern -3.5 v. Alcorn State | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
01-30-21 | Auburn +14.5 v. Baylor | Top | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
01-29-21 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
01-29-21 | Nets -9 v. Thunder | Top | 147-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
01-29-21 | Clippers v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 116-90 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
01-29-21 | Longwood -1 v. Presbyterian | Top | 49-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
01-28-21 | Eastern Illinois -8 v. Tenn-Martin | Top | 41-51 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
01-28-21 | Belmont v. Austin Peay +5.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
01-28-21 | Bradley -5.5 v. Valparaiso | Top | 85-91 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Mavs +4 v. Jazz | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Kansas State +24.5 v. Baylor | Top | 59-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Boise State v. Colorado State +2.5 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Drake v. Missouri State +4 | Top | 78-73 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Wake Forest v. NC State -7 | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Western Carolina +2.5 v. VMI | Top | 61-87 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
01-27-21 | Vanderbilt +13 v. Florida | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
01-26-21 | Georgia Tech v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
01-26-21 | Wizards +1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
01-26-21 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Illinois -6.5 | Top | 87-74 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
01-26-21 | Drake v. Missouri State +4 | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -125 | 54 h 29 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Warriors +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-127 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Denver +14 v. North Dakota State | Top | 58-84 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Lipscomb -5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Cal Poly +17 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 44-67 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Prairie View A&M v. Mississippi Valley State +18.5 | Top | 77-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Tenn-Martin +12 v. Morehead State | Top | 44-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
01-23-21 | San Jose State +10 v. New Mexico | Top | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
01-23-21 | Connecticut v. Creighton -8 | Top | 66-74 | Push | 0 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
01-22-21 | Knicks v. Kings -4 | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
01-22-21 | Nets -9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
01-22-21 | Southern Miss v. Texas-San Antonio -5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
01-21-21 | Wichita State v. Memphis -3 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
01-20-21 | Suns -5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
01-20-21 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Gardner-Webb -1 | Top | 57-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
01-20-21 | Mercer -6 v. The Citadel | Top | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
01-19-21 | Central Michigan +15 v. Toledo | Top | 72-89 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 43 m | Show |
01-18-21 | New Mexico +12 v. UNLV | Top | 46-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
01-18-21 | Suns -3 v. Grizzlies | Top | 104-108 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
01-17-21 | Pacers v. Clippers -6 | Top | 96-129 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
01-17-21 | Knicks +8 v. Celtics | Top | 105-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Cleveland State v. Wright State -8 | Top | 49-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
01-16-21 | New Mexico +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 54-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Rockets v. Spurs -7 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Washington +15 v. UCLA | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
01-16-21 | UAB v. Charlotte +2.5 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
01-16-21 | The Citadel v. VMI -4.5 | Top | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Holy Cross v. Colgate -18.5 | Top | 55-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
01-15-21 | Green Bay v. Detroit -3 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
01-15-21 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama -2.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
01-15-21 | UAB v. Charlotte -1.5 | Top | 61-37 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
01-15-21 | Charleston Southern +13.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
01-14-21 | Washington +14.5 v. USC | Top | 68-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
01-14-21 | Purdue v. Indiana -3 | Top | 81-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
01-13-21 | Furman -14 v. The Citadel | Top | 94-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
01-12-21 | Pacers +3 v. Warriors | Top | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
01-12-21 | Alabama v. Kentucky -2 | Top | 85-65 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
01-12-21 | Spurs -2 v. Thunder | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
01-12-21 | Lakers v. Rockets +6 | Top | 117-100 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
01-11-21 | Raptors +5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
01-11-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -115 | 228 h 9 m | Show |
01-10-21 | Lakers v. Rockets +3 | Top | 120-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
01-10-21 | Holy Cross +11.5 v. Army | Top | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 5 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Spurs v. Wolves +6.5 | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Hawks -5 v. Hornets | Top | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Rams +4 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 31 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Idaho +14 v. Southern Utah | Top | 67-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Clippers v. Warriors +6 | Top | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Raptors -5 v. Kings | Top | 144-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
01-08-21 | North Dakota +10.5 v. Oral Roberts | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Magic v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 90-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Grand Canyon v. Tarleton St +10 | Top | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Central Connecticut State +13.5 v. Bryant | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
01-07-21 | Spurs +9 v. Lakers | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
01-07-21 | Cincinnati +6 v. SMU | Top | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Clippers -2 v. Warriors | Top | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Seton Hall v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 53-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Thunder +8 v. Pelicans | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Jazz -7 v. Knicks | Top | 100-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Wolves +11.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +9 | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Northern Illinois +15 v. Ohio | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Campbell v. Gardner-Webb -4 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Winthrop v. Charleston Southern +16 | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
01-04-21 | Kings -2 v. Warriors | Top | 106-137 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
01-04-21 | Wyoming v. Fresno State -2 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
01-04-21 | Mavs +3 v. Rockets | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
01-04-21 | Southern Illinois +12 v. Drake | Top | 55-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
01-04-21 | Winthrop v. Charleston Southern +14 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles +4 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |