|
05-08-26 |
Sun +15.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
75-106 |
Loss |
-115 |
38 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun + the points over the New York Liberty. Connecticut has been installed as a huge underdog to open up the season, and we'll happily grab the double-digits. The Sun have covered 3 straight in this series, and they're also 7-1-1 ATS when getting 8+ points from the Liberty. Even better: New York is a nasty 16-39-1 ATS when favored by more than 10 points, including 0-9-1 ATS their last 10. Take Connecticut. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-07-26 |
Lakers +15.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
107-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Oklahoma City. The Lakers lost Game 1 by 18 points, and that was the 5th straight SU/ATS loss this season suffered by Los Angeles vs. OKC. And the average margin of defeat was 27 points. Still, we'll fade OKC tonight, as it's an atrocious 28-68 ATS off back-to-back wins, if it was playing a .500 (or better) revenge-minded foe off a SU loss. Even worse: the Thunder are 8-25 ATS in the Playoffs following back to back wins, if the previous triumph was by double-digits. And defending champs are 2-16 ATS in Game 2 of a Playoff series when laying more than 10 points. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-06-26 |
Wolves v. Spurs -9.5 |
Top |
95-133 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Game of the Year is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Minnesota. San Antonio was upset as a 10.5-point favorite in Game 1, 104-102, by the 6th-seeded Timberwolves. The Wolves, unfortunately, are a woeful 12-30 ATS on the road vs. .500 (or better) teams if the Wolves covered their previous game by more than 8 points. Moreover, The Spurs are 54-21-2 ATS off a straight-up home loss, if the Spurs were favored by 8+ points in that defeat (including 20-4 ATS when playing with revenge). With .740 (or better) home favorites of less than 11 points going 25-3 ATS off upset losses as double-digit favorites, we'll lay the points with the Spurs on Wednesday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-06-26 |
76ers +7 v. Knicks |
Top |
102-108 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over New York. The Knicks blew out Philly, 137-98, in Game 1. We'll take the Sixers to bounce back, as teams that lose Game 1 by more than 20 points have covered 56% in Game 2 since 1990 (including a perfect 7-0 ATS in the 2nd Round of the Playoffs the previous 10 years). Grab the points with the 76ers.
|
|
05-03-26 |
Raptors v. Cavs -7.5 |
Top |
102-114 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto. These two teams have each won 3 games on their home floor, and Game 7 will be played in Ohio. Advantage: Cavaliers. Additionally, home favorites of more than 3 points are 46-29-2 ATS in Game 7s, including 9-2 ATS their last 11 if they lost Game 6 by single-digits. And Toronto is 1-16 SU and 3-13-1 ATS when getting 7+ points from Cleveland, including 1-7-1 ATS in the Playoffs. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-02-26 |
76ers v. Celtics -7.5 |
Top |
109-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Boston held a 3-games-to-1 series lead, but suffered upset losses in the last two games. We'll take Boston to bounce back and blow out Philly in this Game 7, as Boston is 21-2-1 ATS when favored by 2+ points off back-to-back upset losses. Even better: the Celtics are 64-31 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 10+ points, if they were playing with double-revenge. And Philly is a poor 39-61 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning opposition. Since 1990, home teams favored by more than 3 points, with a win percentage differential of +0.033, have cashed 61.4% in the final game of tied playoff series. And home teams have cashed 75% of Game 7s in the 1st Round off an upset loss in Game 6. Lay the points with the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
05-01-26 |
Lakers +4 v. Rockets |
Top |
98-78 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Houston Rockets. Houston won Game 5 on the road to pull within 3-games-to-2 in this series. Unfortunately, home teams down 3-games-to-2, and off a win in Game 5, are a wallet-breaking 8-21 ATS, including 3-10 ATS in Round 1. The Rockets are 4-8 ATS this season off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, including 1-5 ATS at home. Grab the points with Los Angeles.
|
|
04-30-26 |
Celtics -5.5 v. 76ers |
Top |
93-106 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Boston lost Game 5 at home, 113-97, as a 10-point favorite. The Celtics are favored in Philly for Game 6, and we'll lay the points. Boston is 95-55-1 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points. And Top 3 seeds are 9-0 ATS in Game 6 of the first round of the playoffs when they're up 3-games-to-2. Lay the points.
|
|
04-29-26 |
Raptors v. Cavs -8.5 |
Top |
120-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. The #4-seeded Cavaliers lost both games north-of-the-border to Toronto, and this series is now tied at 2-games-apiece. That home sweep by the Raptors wasn't too much of a surprise, especially given that the Raptors are now 10-1 ATS their last 11 home games, and have covered the spread by 1.70 ppg at home for the season. Cleveland, meanwhile, is now 3-13-1 ATS its last 17 road games, and has failed to cover the spread on the road this season by 1.08 ppg. We'll lay the points with the homestanding Cavaliers, as home teams have cashed 61.7% in the Playoffs since 1990, if they were off back to back SU/ATS road playoff losses, and their opponent's Home point spread differential was +1.54 (or greater). Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-29-26 |
Magic v. Pistons -10 |
Top |
109-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over the Orlando Magic. The #1-seeded Pistons will need to win Games 5, 6 and 7 to advance to the quarterfinals. Detroit's been installed as a huge favorite in this 'must-win' Game 5. We'll lay the points, as home favorites have cashed 59.2% in the Playoffs since 1990 when down 3-games-to-1, and 60% in the playoffs when playing with revenge from 2 upset losses. Orlando is also 2-16 ATS when getting more than 9 points off a SU win, if it wasn't playing with revenge. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-27-26 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -10.5 |
Top |
113-125 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. Denver won Game 1, but dropped the next three games to put itself in a 'must-win' situation for this Game 5. We'll lay the points, as favorites of more than 4 points have cashed 65.2% in the NBA playoffs following 3+ losses. Take Denver.
|
|
04-27-26 |
Pistons -2.5 v. Magic |
Top |
88-94 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Orlando. The Magic won Game 3, 113-105, as a 2-point home dog. We'll fade the Magic tonight, as #8-seeded teams are a soft 58-74-2 ATS as underdogs in the playoffs following a SU/ATS win, including 14-27-2 ATS off an upset win by 8+ points. Take the Pistons.
|
|
04-26-26 |
Lakers v. Rockets -4.5 |
Top |
96-115 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Rockets are down 3-games-to-none in this series, with three straight upset defeats. We'll take Houston to bounce back in this Game 4, as home teams have gone 58-38-5 ATS in the post-season following 3 SU/ATS losses. And the Lakers are 179-254 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back losses, if the Lakers were not off back-to-back losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-25-26 |
Nuggets v. Wolves |
Top |
96-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Nuggets enter off back-to-back losses in Games 2 + 3. We'll take the Nuggets in this critical Game 4, as the road team is 62-26 ATS in this rivalry, including 18-3 ATS off back-to-back losses. Additionally, the T-Wolves are a terrible 46-82 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes they defeated by more than 8 points in the prior meeting, if both teams owned a .500 (or better) record. Finally, #3 seeds are 63.4% ATS in the Playoffs vs. #6 seeds, if the #3 seed was off back-to-back losses. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-25-26 |
Knicks -1.5 v. Hawks |
Top |
114-98 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 6:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Atlanta. The Knicks became just the second team to lose back-to-back playoff games by a single point when they fell, 109-108, to Atlanta in Game 3. We'll take the Knicks to bounce back, as Atlanta is 2-17 ATS in the Playoffs if its opponent was off an upset loss. And New York is 73-33 ATS off an upset loss, when matched up against a .500 (or better) foe. Lay the points.
|
|
04-24-26 |
Spurs -2 v. Blazers |
Top |
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers leveled the series at 1-game apiece on Tuesday with an upset win at San Antonio. We'll take the Spurs to bounce back, as they're 50-25 ATS in tied playoff series if they owned the better record, including 23-3 ATS if their foe was off an upset win. And San Antonio is 53-21 ATS off a home defeat if they were favored by 8+ points in that loss. Lay the points.
|
|
04-24-26 |
Lakers v. Rockets -8.5 |
Top |
112-108 |
Loss |
-112 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Los Angeles comes into this game 3 off back to back upset wins at home. We'll take Houston to bounce back, as the Lakers are 25-48 ATS if they upset their opponent in the previous meeting. And #4-seeded teams, up 2-games-to-none in a playoff series, have gone 11-23 ATS, including 4-15 ATS when getting 3+ points. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-24-26 |
Celtics -7 v. 76ers |
Top |
108-100 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Philadelphia. The Sixers stunned Boston as a double-digit underdog in Game 2. Unfortunately for Philly, it's 41-78 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes if the 76ers weren't favored by 3+ points. And Boston is 30-12 ATS its last 42 when playing with revenge, including 8-1 ATS in the post-season. And it is 24-4 ATS in the playoffs away from home, if it failed to cover the spread in its previous game by more than 7 points, and it did not lead in the series. Take the Celtics.
|
|
04-23-26 |
Nuggets -1.5 v. Wolves |
Top |
96-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
52 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The road team has dominated the Nuggets/Timberwolves series, going 62-25 ATS the last 87, including 28-6 ATS if it was off a straight-up loss. Even better: the Nuggets are 82-53 ATS off a SU home loss. With Denver checking in off a 119-114 defeat at Ball Arena, we'll take it in Game 3 on Thursday.
|
|
04-23-26 |
Cavs v. Raptors +3.5 |
Top |
104-126 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers won and covered the first two games of this series. Unfortunately, Cleveland is 58-97-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, including 3-9-1 ATS in the Playoffs. We'll grab the points with Toronto on Thursday night in Game 3.
|
|
04-23-26 |
Knicks +1.5 v. Hawks |
Top |
108-109 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks stunned the Knicks at Madison Square Garden, 107-106, on Monday. The series shifts to Atlanta for Game 3, and we'll take New York, as it's 91-45 ATS off a SU/ATS loss when playing a .500 (or better) foe with revenge from a home loss. Additionally, the Hawks are a horrid 1-17 ATS in the Playoffs when facing a foe off an upset loss. Take New York.
|
|
04-22-26 |
Magic v. Pistons -9 |
Top |
83-98 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Orlando. The Magic needed to "Play-Into" the Playoffs via the Play-in Round with a win over the Charlotte Hornets. Since the Play-In Round started in 2021, our Play-In teams have NOT done well in the first two games of a Playoff series. And especially not if they were matched up against a foe off an upset loss, as they've gone 0-9 SU/ATS. Detroit has been solid vs. .500+ foes following an upset loss, as Detroit's gone 40-27 ATS its last 67. And favorites of 9+ points have gone 77-51 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back games vs. the same foe, if they were upset in the previous game. Finally, the Magic are 1-7 ATS as an underdog if they led a Playoff series, and their opponent had yet to win a game. Lay the points with Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-21-26 |
Rockets -4.5 v. Lakers |
Top |
94-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
42 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Los Angeles. The #4-seeded Lakers upset Houston in Game 1, 107-98, as a home underdog. We will fade Los Angeles in Game 2 on Tuesday, as #4 seeds have gone 41-60-4 ATS in the Playoffs following an upset win, including 13-31-1 ATS at home. Additionally, the Lakers are a soft 99-128 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes. And Houston is 37-11 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if it wasn't getting more than 4 points. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-19-26 |
Blazers v. Spurs -10.5 |
Top |
98-111 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland. San Antone stumbled badly in its final regular season game when it was upset by Denver, 128-118, as a 9.5-point home favorite. Victor Wembanyama, though, didn't play in that game. And the Spurs are the league's 2nd best NBA defensive team when he's on the floor, but bottom 10 when he is not. The Spurs are 52-21-2 ATS off a home upset loss when they were favored by 8+ points in that defeat. That bodes well for the Silver and Black tonight. As does the fact that the Trail Blazers are a brutal 69-107-7 ATS in the Playoffs, including 24-45-3 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-19-26 |
Suns v. Thunder -14 |
Top |
84-119 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. The Thunder will start their defense of their championship this Sunday afternoon. And defending NBA Champs have gone 21-11-1 ATS in their initial Playoff game, including 16-6-1 ATS if their win percentage was .650 (or better). This is a revenge game for OKC, which was blown out, 135-103, by the Suns on the final day of the regular season. The Suns are a woeful 16-39 ATS vs. foes off upset losses, while OKC is a dominant 94-65-5 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 7-2 ATS their last nine playoff games, and 38-21-2 ATS when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-18-26 |
Raptors v. Cavs -8 |
Top |
113-126 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto. The Cavs have been installed as a big home favorite for this Game 1. And home favorites of -8 (or more) points have gone 106-83-2 ATS in Game 1 of a Playoff series, including 69-53-2 ATS in Round 1. Toronto is a terrible 2-12 SU and 2-11-1 ATS when catching more than 6 points in a Playoff game. Lay the points with the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-15-26 |
Magic +1.5 v. 76ers |
Top |
97-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Philadelphia 76ers. When these two teams last met, Philly defeated the Magic by 12, in Orlando, 103-91. We'll take the revenge-minded Magic, as Philadelphia is a putrid 40-78 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes, if the 76ers were NOT favored by 3+ points in the current game. And if the Sixers won the prior meeting by 8+ points, then our 78-40-3 stat zooms to 44-15-3 ATS. Since the Play-In Tournament started five years ago, the #7 seeds have stumbled to a 3-7 ATS mark vs. the #8 seeds. We'll take Orlando over Philadelphia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-13-26 |
Angels v. Yankees -1.5 |
Top |
10-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees -1.5 runs (+115) over the Los Angeles Angels. After a red-hot start to the season (7-1 in their first eight games) the Yankees haven't just cooled off, but it's more like they're in the deep freeze. New York has lost six of its last seven games, including the five-game losing streak it is currently on as it returns home to face the somewhat surprising Angels, who are 8-8. The fault for the Yankees mostly lies not with their pitching, but with their hitting. The Yankees rotation in particular has been solid. And in fact despite its recent struggles, New York still has the top starting pitching in the Majors (2.67 ERA in 15 starts). But on the flip side, the Yanks are only batting .202 -- the third-worst team average in the league. One of the pleasant surprises for New York will take the mound tonight as 26-year-old RH Will Warren gets his fourth start of the season. Warren is currently 1-0 with a 3.07 ERA with 14 strikeouts and five walks in 14 2/3 innings. The Yankees have won three of Warren's last four starts going back to September of last season. Take New York -1.5 runs, at an underdog price. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-12-26 |
Jazz v. Lakers -13 |
Top |
107-131 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Utah Jazz. Since the All-Star Break, the Jazz have gone 4-21 SU and 10-15 ATS. And three of their four wins were against other tanking teams (Grizzlies, Bucks, Wizards). One of those "accidental" wins was on Friday, when they routed the Grizzlies, 147-101. Memphis was on a 6-game losing streak, while the Jazz had lost their previous 10, so it was one of those games where one team was forced to win (even though it preferred to lose). We'll lay the points tonight with the Lakers, as underdogs of 6 (or more) points have cashed just 29.2% the last 25 seasons off wins by more than 35 points. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-12-26 |
Kings v. Blazers -17.5 |
Top |
110-122 |
Loss |
-112 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Sacramento. After defeated the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday, all Portland has to do to nab the #8 seed is defeat the lowly Kings. Sacramento is a woeful 3-13 SU and 4-12 ATS on the road in the season finale, including 0-5 SU/ATS when catching double-digits. And Portland is 35-6 SU and 26-14-1 ATS at home when laying more than 5 points. Take the Trail Blazers.
|
|
04-12-26 |
Nuggets v. Spurs -11.5 |
Top |
128-118 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Denver Nuggets. Eight days ago, the Nuggets outlasted the Spurs, 136-134, in overtime. And that was the 2nd straight upset win by Denver against San Antone. The Nuggets have continued to win since that game, and enter off a 20-point blowout of OKC on Friday. We'll fade Denver tonight, as it's a dismal 55-80 ATS on the road off a win by 9+ points. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 756-586-22 ATS vs. foes not off a point spread defeat. And they're 49-23 ATS when playing with double-revenge vs. .580 (or better) foes, including 32-10 ATS in the regular season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-12-26 |
Guardians v. Braves -1.5 |
Top |
1-13 |
Win
|
115 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:20 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves -1.5 runs over the Cleveland Guardians. Chris Sale won the NL Cy Young award two seasons ago when most thought he was well on the downward side of his career. Now after a 2025 campaign that saw injuries limit the veteran southpaw to just 21 games (20 starts), Sale is back healthy again for another run in 2026 at the age of 37. He's off to a solid if not spectacular start with a 2-1 record, 3.94 ERA, and 0.88 WHIP in three starts covering 16 innings (with 16 strikeouts and five walks). Start number four will come tonight against a Cleveland team that Sale is very familiar with from his early years in the American League with the White Sox. One thing's for sure, Sale loves pitching at his new home ballpark as in 26 games here at SunTrust Park (25 starts), Sale is 15-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 191 strikeouts and 33 walks in just under 159 innings. Despite the shutout loss on Saturday, the Braves are 7-2 in the last nine meetings with the Guardians. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-12-26 |
Bucks v. 76ers -14.5 |
Top |
106-126 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Sixers currently are in the #8 slot in the Eastern conference, and can rise as high as #6 if fortune shines on them today. Milwaukee, meanwhile, will be going fishing after this game after a season filled with turmoil. The Bucks have covered just six of their last 20 road games, including a 137-111 blowout loss at Detroit on Wednesday. The 76ers have quietly gone 15-1 SU and 11-5 ATS their last 16 games when favored by more than 3 points. Lay it.
|
|
04-12-26 |
Hawks v. Heat -9.5 |
Top |
117-143 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks reached their goal of avoiding the Play-in Round, and will be seeded #5 or #6, depending on today's results. Miami will be seeded #10. In its final home game of the season, Miami is 12-1 SU/ATS its last 13 when not laying 8+ points. Atlanta, meanwhile, is 7-26 SU and 9-20-2 ATS in its final road game of the season. The Hawks' top 6 rotation players are all listed as 'questionable" on the injury report, which signals Quin Snyder's intent to rest his players in this somewhat meaningless game. We'll take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-10-26 |
Clippers v. Blazers -1.5 |
Top |
97-116 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Los Angeles. This is a huge game for both teams, as they're locked in a battle for the #8 seed. We'll lay the points with the Blazers, as they're 16-8-1 ATS their last 25 at home, while the Clippers are on a 1-5-1 ATS run on the road. Additionally, in the final two games of the season, rested, home favorites have cashed 58% the past 36 seasons if they owned a .500 (or better) record, and were matched up against a foe off a SU loss. Take Portland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-10-26 |
Thunder v. Nuggets -10.5 |
Top |
107-127 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 3-0 vs. their division rival this season. We'll lay the points with Denver, as .650 (or better) teams have cashed 57% at home over the last 36 seasons when playing with triple revenge. Lay the points.
|
|
04-10-26 |
76ers -15 v. Pacers |
Top |
105-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Indiana. Philly was defeated last night, 113-102, at Houston, while Indiana blew out Brooklyn, 123-94. This is the 76ers' final road game of the season. And road favorites of -10 (or more) points have cashed 56% since 1990 in their final road game of the season, including 69% off an ATS defeat. Lay the points.
|
|
04-10-26 |
Raptors v. Knicks -6 |
Top |
95-112 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Toronto. New York is a solid 29-9 at home this season, and 25-13 ATS, including a 22-point win over the Raptors earlier this season. This is Toronto's final road game of the year, and it is 0-5 SU the last five seasons in its last road game. New York is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS the last five meetings vs. Toronto here, at Madison Square Garden. And they've won 12 straight vs. Toronto (9-2-1 ATS) regardless of the venue. Lay the points.
|
|
04-10-26 |
Cavs v. Hawks -7.5 |
Top |
102-124 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Cleveland. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these teams. Atlanta lost in Cleveland by six points on Wednesday. We'll take the revenge-minded Hawks at home tonight, as they're 151-99-6 ATS at home vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins. Lay the points.
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|
04-10-26 |
Pistons v. Hornets -3.5 |
Top |
118-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Detroit. The Hornets are a league-best 49-30-1 ATS this season, including 5-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge, and 23-12 ATS as a favorite. With Charlotte, indeed, playing with revenge from two losses to the Pistons earlier this season, we'll lay the points with Charles Lee's men tonight. Take the Hornets. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
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|
04-09-26 |
Lakers v. Warriors -4.5 |
Top |
119-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. The Lakers are injury-riddled and, as a result, on a 3-game losing streak. Two of those three defeats were to the NBA's best team (OKC), but those two losses also sandwiched a 134-128 setback in Dallas. And in the Mavericks' last 6 games, that is their only win, while their five losses have come by an average of 16.6 ppg. So, yes, the Lakers need to win tonight's game to help their Playoff seeding, while Golden State is locked into the #10 seed. And, yes, Steph Curry is questionable to play tonight. Regardless, we'll take the Warriors. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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|
04-08-26 |
Thunder v. Clippers +7 |
Top |
128-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Oklahoma City. The Clippers were blown out, 122-101, by OKC in the last meeting. The good news for the Clippers is that they are 8-2 ATS their last 10 as a revenge-minded home dog. This will be OKC's 3rd game in four nights, after blowing out the Lakers 123-87 last night. And it's 6-10 ATS this season when playing in that scheduling situation, including 3-7 ATS when playing without rest. Grab the points with the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-08-26 |
Blazers v. Spurs -3 |
Top |
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland. San Antonio is laying a short price at home tonight, as Victor Wembanyama suffered a rib contusion on Monday, and will be held out of this game. Luke Kornet will get the start at center for San Antone. The Spurs were upset at home by Portland, 115-110, in the prior meeting. We'll take San Antonio tonight, as it's 31-16 ATS at home when playing with revenge. Lay it.
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|
04-08-26 |
Bucks v. Pistons -18.5 |
Top |
111-137 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks lost last night (their 17th loss in 22 games), and this will be their 3rd game in four nights. Milwaukee is 8-14 ATS its last 22, and is a miserable 57-88 ATS when installed as an underdog of more than 2 points, including 39-63 ATS on the road. The Pistons have cashed 62% since 1990 as double-digit favorites vs. unrested foes. Lay the points with Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-08-26 |
Wolves v. Magic -7 |
Top |
120-132 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Minnesota. We played on the Timberwolves last night, but will fade them on the road in Orlando this evening. Minnesota has guaranteed itself a top-6 seed, so it will avoid the play-in round, while the Magic are still battling for seeding within the play-in round. After a 2-8 slide, the Magic have rebounded with three straight wins, including their best game in four weeks when they smashed Detroit, 123-107, as a 1.5-point home dog. We'll ride the momentum, as Orlando is 7-4 ATS this season after covering by double-digits, and 18-6 ATS the last three seasons as a favorite of 12 or less points after covering by double-digits. Lay the points.
|
|
04-07-26 |
Bucks -2 v. Nets |
Top |
90-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Brooklyn. When these teams last met, the Nets massacred Milwaukee, 127-82. With revenge from that 45-point beatdown, we'll take the Bucks tonight. Indeed, over the last 36 seasons, road favorites have cashed 64% when playing with revenge from a loss by 33+ points. And the Bucks are 40-24 ATS when favored in the regular season, and playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-07-26 |
Wolves -12.5 v. Pacers |
Top |
124-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Indiana Pacers. The T-Wolves were blown out at home, 122-108, on Sunday by Charlotte. And that was Minnesota's 3rd straight defeat, overall. We'll lay the points tonight with the T-Wolves, as rested, road favorites off 2+ losses are 442-365 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU loss. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-05-26 |
Clippers -12.5 v. Kings |
Top |
138-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 9:10, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento. When these two teams met last month, the Kings upset the Clippers, 118-109, as a 14-point underdog. We'll take the revenge-minded Clippers tonight, as road favorites have cashed 61% when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a 12-point (or greater) favorite. Even better: the Clippers are 9-5 ATS at Sacramento, including 5-1 ATS off a SU loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-05-26 |
Hornets v. Wolves +4 |
Top |
122-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over Charlotte. The T-Wolves have been installed as a home underdog vs. Charlotte tonight. And we'll happily grab the points, as Minny is 23-7-1 ATS its last 31 as a home dog, including 10-2-1 ATS off a SU loss. The T-Wolves have won the last 3 meetings vs. the Hornets by 21, 15 and 17 points. Take Minnesota to rout the Hornets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-04-26 |
West Virginia v. Creighton +1 |
Top |
87-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays over West Virginia. This is Creighton head coach, Greg McDermott's final season at the helm, and his players no doubt want to send him out on a winning note. They won the first game in this 8-team tournament, 82-69, vs. Rutgers. And they'll take on West Virginia this afternoon. The Mountaineers got by Stanford, 82-77, in Round 1. Unfortunately, WVU is 20-40 ATS off a straight-up win, including 0-6 SU/ATS their last six. That doesn't bode well for WVU. Nor does the fact that the Bluejays are 19-12 ATS their last 31 post-season games, while the Mountaineers are 18-27 ATS their last 45 post-season games. Take Creighton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-04-26 |
Wizards +17 v. Heat |
Top |
136-152 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Miami Heat. When these two teams last met, it was an historic night, as Bam Adebayo recorded the 2nd-highest point total (83) in a game, bested only by Wilt Chamberlain's 100. Miami won that game, 150-129. We'll take the Wizards as a big underdog in this re-match, as revenge-minded NBA underdogs are 65.8% ATS since 1990 if they allowed more than 144 points in the prior meeting. Grab the points with Washington. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-04-26 |
Oklahoma v. Baylor +1 |
Top |
82-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears over the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners were favored by 9 points in their opening round game vs. Colorado in this Crown Tournament, and they failed to cover the spread, winning by just four points. And that moved Oklahoma's record as a favorite to a dismal 34-53-1 ATS their last 88. They are once again installed as a favorite (albeit a small one) here, vs. Baylor. The Sooners are also a poor 4-12-1 ATS their last 17 non-conference games, while Baylor is 59-35-3 ATS its last 97 non-conference games. We'll side with the Bears in this near-PK'em affair. Take Baylor. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-03-26 |
Pelicans -5 v. Kings |
Top |
113-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Sacramento. The Pelicans enter tonight on a six-game losing streak. But all six games were against teams with winning records, and New Orleans was an underdog in each game. Here, they're the favorite. And New Orleans is 11-3 SU/ATS as a favorite this season, including 6-0 SU/ATS its last six. Meanwhile, the Kings have had another lost season, as they're 20-57 SU and 32-45 ATS. Sacramento did pull an upset against Toronto, north-of-the-border on Wednesday. But the Kings are a soft 16-27 ATS as a home dog off a win, if they were playing an opponent off a loss. The Pelicans have pounded the Kings of late, cashing 11 of the last 12 meetings, including both this season (120-94; 133-123). Lay the points with New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-03-26 |
Celtics v. Bucks +17 |
Top |
133-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Boston. When these two teams last met in March, the Celtics crushed the Bucks, 108-81. We'll take Milwaukee tonight, as it's 48-29-3 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by 15 (or more) points, including 34-14 ATS vs. an opponent off a SU win. Take the Bucks + the points.
|
|
04-03-26 |
Raptors -13 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
128-96 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Memphis. The Raptors enter tonight off losses to the Detroit Pistons and Sacramento Kings. We'll take Toronto to rebound off those losses, as it's 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS its last eight (and 169-122-6 ATS its last 297) off back to back losses. Lay the points with Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-03-26 |
Hawks v. Nets +16.5 |
Top |
141-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Atlanta. We played against Brooklyn on Tuesday night, and got the $$$ with Charlotte in a 117-86 blowout. But we will back Brooklyn here, as Atlanta is an atrocious 62-106 ATS vs. rested foes off 20+ point losses. Take the Nets + the points.
|
|
04-02-26 |
Spurs v. Clippers +4.5 |
Top |
118-99 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over San Antonio. The Spurs got by Golden State, 127-113, last night for their 26th win in their last 28 games (and 26th win in the 27 games that Victor Wembanyama has played). Certainly, not many teams have been competitive with the Spurs in this stretch. But one team which has given the Spurs all they can handle is the Los Angeles Clippers. On March 6, in San Antonio, the Clippers led the Spurs by 25 points before eventually falling, 116-112. And on March 16, here in Los Angeles, the Clippers played without Kawhi Leonard, and once again lost by four points, 119-115. Kawhi will play tonight, and the Clippers will have a scheduling advantage, as they had Wednesday off after losing to Portland by 10 on Tuesday night. Since 1990, the Spurs have cashed just 33% when playing without rest on the road against a .500 (or better) team off a loss by more than eight points. Take the Clippers.
|
|
04-02-26 |
Illinois State v. Auburn -6.5 |
Top |
66-88 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Illinois State. The Tigers have dominated non-conference foes, going 38-7 SU and 27-16-2 ATS their last 45, including 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS their last 12 when priced from -4 to -12 points. And Auburn is also 38-8 SU and 30-14 ATS as a favorite of -2 (or more) points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Meanwhile, Illinois St. is 6-22 SU and 10-18 ATS as an underdog of 7 (or less) points in the post-season. Likewise, the Missouri Valley Conference is a poor 16-31 ATS in the NIT Tournament as an underdog vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points with the Tigers. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
04-02-26 |
Tulsa +4 v. New Mexico |
Top |
74-69 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over New Mexico. The Golden Hurricane are 25-15-1 ATS in non-conference, post-season tournaments, including 9-0 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +5 points. That bodes well for Tulsa tonight. As does the fact that Mountain West Conference teams are a terrible 58-100-3 ATS vs. non-conference foes in the post-season when playing away from home. Grab the points with Tulsa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-31-26 |
Knicks +1 v. Rockets |
Top |
94-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks over Houston. New York comes into tonight's game off an 11-point loss at Oklahoma City. And that was New York's second straight defeat (after seven consecutive wins). The Knicks will look to get back into the win column tonight at the Toyota Center. The Rockets were expected to be a primary contender to wrest away OKC's crown, but instead have largely struggled this season, and sit in 6th place in the Western Conference. Houston is 45-29 SU and 30-42-2 ATS, with eight games remaining. The Rockets did blow out New Orleans, 134-102, in their previous game, but are a poor 10-17 ATS this season off a SU/ATS win. Even worse: if Houston's opponent was off a SU/ATS loss, then our 10-17 stat devolves to 1-12 ATS, including 0-5 ATS at home. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-31-26 |
Hornets -15.5 v. Nets |
Top |
117-86 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn comes into this game off a win over Sacramento, which snapped the Nets' 10-game losing streak. Brooklyn is 33-47-2 ATS off a SU win. And home dogs of more than 10 points are a poor 49-87-1 ATS vs. non-division foes. We'll fade Brooklyn this evening, as the Hornets have the league's 2nd best point spread record, at 45-29-1 ATS this season, including 25-12 ATS vs. opponents off a SU win. Take Charlotte. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-31-26 |
Suns v. Magic -2 |
Top |
111-115 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Phoenix. The Magic were massacred by the Toronto Raptors, 139-87, on Sunday. And the Magic suffered the embarrassing feat of being outscored 31-0 over a 7-minute, 48-second stretch in the first half, which was the worst scoreless run since the start of the play-by-play era in 1997. We'll take Orlando to bounce back off that debacle, as favored teams have gone 39-21 ATS off a loss by more than 40 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-30-26 |
Wolves -6.5 v. Mavs |
Top |
124-94 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. Dallas won its previous game, but that was as a road underdog. At home, Dallas has lost its last 10 games, straight-up, as an underdog (0-10 SU, 2-7-1 ATS). We'll lay the points with Minnesota, and look for it to bounce back off its 109-87 blowout loss vs. Detroit. Indeed, .600 (or better) teams have gone 172-142-3 ATS off a 20-point (or worse) loss, when matched-up against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-30-26 |
Flames v. Avalanche -1.5 |
Top |
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche minus 1.5 goals over the Calgary Flames. The Avalanche have locked up a post-season appearance -- their ninth season in a row that they will be in the playoffs -- but their work is not done yet. Colorado not only wants to hold on to the Central Division lead that it's had virtually all season, but it also wants to lock up the Presidents Trophy thereby getting home ice through the post-season. It lost its last game on Saturday to the Jets, however the Dallas Stars -- the only team with a chance at catching the Avs -- lost last night in Philly and have been stumbling badly down the stretch, having lost five of their last six overall. So the Avs still have a comfortable six point lead with 10 games to go (and two in hand over Dallas). The Avs are always favorites these days no matter who they play and that's certainly true tonight at home against the 31-42 Flames. The Avs have won seven of the last eight meetings with Calgary, with the lone loss coming in the last meeting. Take Colorado minus 1.5 goals. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-30-26 |
Suns -12.5 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
131-105 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Memphis. The Suns are the #1 point spread-covering team in the NBA this season, with a 45-28-1 record. And their best segment is as a road favorite, where they are 11-2 ATS. Meanwhile, Memphis is 26-36 ATS as a home underdog (or PK). Take the Suns minus the points.
|
|
03-30-26 |
Celtics v. Hawks -1 |
Top |
102-112 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Boston Celtics. These two teams met in Beantown last week, and Boston triumphed, 109-102. We'll take Atlanta to avenge that defeat, as the Hawks are 150-99 ATS at home vs. foes on a 3-game win streak. Take Atlanta.
|
|
03-29-26 |
Warriors v. Nuggets -11.5 |
Top |
93-116 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Golden State. The Warriors are on a 3-game win streak after getting by the Wizards on Friday night, 131-126. Denver, meanwhile, defeated Utah, 135-129, in its most recent game. The Nuggets lost to the Warriors, 128-117, in the previous meeting. We'll take the revenge-minded Nuggets, as they're 13-1-1 ATS their last 15 when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe, including 10-0-1 ATS if their opponent was off a straight-up win. And the Warriors are a woeful 16-31 ATS when catching more than 7 points. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-29-26 |
Clippers v. Bucks +14.5 |
Top |
127-113 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Milwaukee lost yesterday by 32 points to the San Antonio Spurs. And that was the Bucks' 3rd straight loss by more than 30 points. We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back this afternoon, as home dogs of 13+ points are 146-113-6 ATS, including 40-17-1 ATS when playing without rest, and 87-59-4 ATS off a SU/ATS loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-28-26 |
Purdue +6.5 v. Arizona |
Top |
64-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Arizona. The Boilermakers are a solid 16-8 ATS as an underdog in the NCAA Tournament, while the Wildcats are an awful 1-9-2 ATS in the NCAA Tourney off a SU/ATS win. That bodes well for Purdue tonight. As does the fact that the Boilermakers are 4-1 SU/ATS vs. Arizona since 2000, notwithstanding the fact Purdue was an underdog in every game. Finally, underdogs have cashed 66% in the NCAA Tourney's Elite 8 Round in match-ups between two teams that won their conference tournament. Take Purdue. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-28-26 |
Iowa +7.5 v. Illinois |
Top |
59-71 |
Loss |
-118 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Illinois. The #9-seeded Hawkeyes are this season's Cinderella after knocking out #1-seeded Florida in the 2nd Round, and #4-seeded Nebraska in the Sweet 16. Iowa will now look to avenge an earlier home loss this season to #3-seeded, Illinois. We'll grab the points as, in the Elite 8 Round, teams seeded #7 (or worse) have cashed 71.8% vs. better-seeded foes since 1990, including 4-0-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Even better: Iowa is 22-6 ATS when playing with revenge in the post-season, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points. Take Iowa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-26 |
Tennessee +4 v. Iowa State |
Top |
76-62 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Iowa St. The Cyclones' All-American, Joshua Jefferson, will once again be a game-time decision tonight, as he is recovering from an ankle injury. We'll take the underdog Volunteers regardless, as Big 12 teams are a poor 11-20-1 ATS in the Sweet 16, including 1-7 ATS vs. foes seeded #6 or worse. In contrast, the SEC Conference is 9-2 ATS its last 11 games in the Sweet 16, and 6-2-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 when seeded #6 or worse. And in Sweet 16 match-ups between #2 and #6 seeds, the #6 seed has gone 10-3-1 ATS when priced from +3 to +6.5 points. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-26 |
Heat v. Cavs -4.5 |
Top |
128-149 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Miami. We played on the Heat on Wednesday vs. the Cavs, and got the $$$ in a 17-point win. We will switch gears, and lay the points with Cleveland in this re-match. Miami is a miserable 7-29 SU and 10-25-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7 or less points when playing an opponent in back-to-back games, if Miami covered the spread in the prior game. And Cleveland is 14-4 SU/ATS vs. foes off upset wins, if the Cavs were not laying more than 5 points. Take Cleveland to blow out the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-27-26 |
St. John's +6.5 v. Duke |
Top |
75-80 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils blew out TCU last weekend, 81-58, as a 12-point favorite. Off that big win, we'll fade Duke this evening, as it's 2-14 ATS in the post-season after covering the spread by more than 8 points, if it was priced from -6 to -23 points. That bodes well for St. John's. As does the fact that the Big East Champion has gone 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS its last eight Sweet 16 Round games. Meanwhile, the ACC Champion is a dreadful 1-8 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round when favored by less than 8 points. Take St. John's + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-26-26 |
Texas v. Purdue -7.5 |
Top |
77-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Texas. The Boilermakers staggered a bit from January 7 thru March 12 when they went 11-7 SU and 4-14 ATS. But since then, they're 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS, with their only point spread loss coming by a mere half-point. And, most impressively, they beat the Michigan Wolverines in the Big 10 title game by eight points, and another Sweet 16 entrant, Nebraska, by 16 points in the Big 10 quarterfinals. Texas is not in the same class as those other teams. Indeed, the Longhorns' defensive rating is the worst of any of the remaining 16 teams (while Purdue's offensive rating is the best). I look for Purdue to trounce the Longhorns. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-25-26 |
Rockets v. Wolves |
Top |
108-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Minnesota. The Rockets were upset by the Chicago Bulls, 132-124, as a 9-point road favorite on Monday, while Minny went into Boston on Sunday, and stunned the Celtics, 102-92, as a 10-point dog. The Rockets will catch a break this evening by not having to see Anthony Edwards, as the All-Star is sidelined with a knee injury. Houston is 26-12 ATS its last 38 off an upset loss, while Minnesota is 17-30 ATS off an 8-point (or greater) upset win. Take the Rockets.
|
|
03-25-26 |
Nevada v. Auburn -9.5 |
Top |
69-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Nevada. The Mountain West Conference is a woeful 57-100-3 ATS in the post-season, when playing away from home vs. a non-conference foe, including 4-10 ATS vs. the SEC Conference, and 12-35 ATS when priced from +5 to +10.5 points. Take Auburn to rout the Wolf Pack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-25-26 |
Thunder v. Celtics +3 |
Top |
109-119 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Oklahoma City. The Celts are a sensational 27-11 ATS when playing with same-season revenge. And they're 90-48 ATS following a SU loss. Both of these are active in tonight's game, as Boston lost on Sunday to the T-Wolves, 102-92, and also play with revenge from a 2-point loss in Oklahoma City 13 days ago. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
03-25-26 |
Heat +3.5 v. Cavs |
Top |
120-103 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
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At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Cleveland. This is the first of two games played here, in Cleveland, between these teams (the next game is Friday). We'll take the underdog Heat in this one, as they'll be looking to snap a 5-game losing streak after getting manhandled by San Antonio, 136-111, on Monday. The Heat are 42-14 ATS on the road off a 20+ point loss, if priced from +9.5 to -1.5. And they're 78-49-4 ATS off back to back losses, when matched up against a foe off a SU win. Finally, Miami is 25-15 ATS in the last 40 meetings. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-25-26 |
Lakers -10 v. Pacers |
Top |
137-130 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Indiana. The Lakers were upset by Detroit, 113-110, on Monday, snapping its 9-game win streak, while Indiana went into Orlando and won outright, 128-126, as a double-digit underdog, snapping its 16-game losing streak. We'll take Luka Doncic & Co. to bounce back, as L.A. is 10-4 ATS its last 14 off an upset loss, while Indiana is a poor 8-15 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss. And double-digit home dogs have cashed just 31.1% over the last 36 years off an upset win, when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Lay the points.
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03-24-26 |
Kings +17.5 v. Hornets |
Top |
90-134 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Charlotte. The Kings lost 16 games in a row from January 18 to February 21. But since then, they've gone 7-7 SU/ATS, which must no doubt be frustrating to their fan base, which would prefer they lose games to improve their draft positioning. But coach Doug Christie refuses to engage in tanking. We'll grab the double-digits tonight, and go against a Charlotte team which is a poor 12-31-1 ATS at home off 3 SU/ATS wins. And the Hornets also fall into a negative 156-252-9 ATS system of mine which goes against certain double-digit favorites. Grab the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-22-26 |
Utah State v. Arizona -11.5 |
Top |
66-78 |
Win
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100 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
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At 7:50 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Utah State. Mountain West Conference teams have gone 20-40-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament when installed as an underdog, including 0-7 ATS when priced from +9 to +14 points. We'll take the Wildcats, who are 9-1 ATS their last 10 vs. Mountain West foes. And Arizona is also a dominant 18-2 SU and 15-5 ATS in the NCAA Tournament's second round. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
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03-22-26 |
Iowa v. Florida -10 |
Top |
73-72 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Iowa. We played on the Gators Friday, as our 1st Round Game of the Year, and easily got the $$$ in a 59-point blowout over Prairie View A&M. Top-seeded teams have gone 24-11 ATS in the NCAA Tourney after scoring 100+ points, including 11-0 ATS when priced from -7.5 to -10.5 points. Lay the wood with the Gators.
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03-22-26 |
UNLV v. Tulsa -4.5 |
Top |
66-77 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane minus the points over UNLV. The Rebels are a woeful 17-25 SU and 12-27-3 ATS in the post-season over their last 42 games. Admittedly, UNLV did go into the Bren Events Center, and defeat Cal-Irvine, 75-72, in the NIT Tourney's opening round. But the Rebels are horrid after a road win, going 32-57-1 ATS since December 2008. We'll fade UNLV, as it falls into a negative 98-163-5 ATS system of mine. Take Tulsa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-22-26 |
Seattle University v. Auburn -13 |
Top |
85-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
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At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Seattle. The SEC Conference has dominated teams from the West Coast Conference, going 53-28-2 ATS, including 31-12-2 ATS as a favorite, and 10-2 ATS in the post-season. Lay the points with Auburn
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03-22-26 |
St. John's v. Kansas +3.5 |
Top |
67-65 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
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At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over St. John's. The Red Storm enter off 7 straight wins (and 5 straight point spread victories) after a blowout win over Northern Iowa. Meanwhile, the Jayhawks frittered away a big lead vs. Cal Baptist on Friday, and failed to cover the point spread in a 68-60 win. Kansas is 46-32 ATS in the post-season off an ATS loss, and it's 51-31 ATS vs. foes on 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streaks. Take Kansas.
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03-22-26 |
Blazers +9 v. Nuggets |
Top |
112-128 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
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At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Denver Nuggets. When these teams met 30 days ago, the Nuggets blasted the Blazers, 157-103. We'll fade Denver this evening, as NBA teams have gone 24-48 ATS if they scored 145+ points in a win over their opponent in the season's prior meeting. And Portland is 31-9-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 10 points. Take the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-22-26 |
Kentucky +5.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
63-82 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
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At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Iowa State. The #2-seeded Cyclones got a tough break in their 108-74 romp over Tennessee St. when All-American, Joshua Jefferson, went down with an ankle injury. He is listed as questionable to play on Sunday. Regardless of Jefferson's availability, we're going with the underdog Wildcats. Kentucky earned an overtime win vs. Santa Clara in Round 1, made possible by a miraculous, buzzer-beating, half-court heave by Otega Oweh at the end of regulation. The Wildcats are a solid 16-8-1 ATS as underdogs in the post-season, including 10-1-1 ATS vs. foes with a scoring margin better than 14.7 ppg. And Iowa State falls into negative 0-18-2, 28-69-1 and 5-28-2 tourney systems of mine, based on its big win over the Tigers. Grab the points with Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-26 |
High Point v. Arkansas -11.5 |
Top |
88-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
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At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over High Point. The #12-seeded Panthers stunned Wisconsin as a double-digit underdog in Round 1. We'll fade High Point tonight, as teams seeded #12 to #14 are 2-28 SU and 8-22 ATS their last 30 in the 2nd round. That bodes well for Arkansas here. As does the fact that the Panthers are 1-9 ATS as an underdog in the post-season vs. a foe off a SU win. Take the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-26 |
Vanderbilt -1.5 v. Nebraska |
Top |
72-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
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At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Nebraska. The #5 seeded Commodores are favored over the #4 seeded Cornhuskers. We'll take Vandy, as teams seeded #5 (or worse) have gone 54-32-2 ATS as a favorite in the tourney's 2nd round. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-26 |
Clippers -7 v. Mavs |
Top |
138-131 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
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At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas. After winning four straight games, the Clippers have now dropped four in a row after back-to-back losses in New Orleans. The Clippers will finish their 3-game road trip tonight in Dallas, and we'll lay the points over Dallas. The Mavericks are a miserable 23-36 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off back-to-back losses. And home dogs are a wallet-busting 77-108-3 ATS when getting 5+ points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-26 |
VCU v. Illinois -10.5 |
Top |
55-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
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At 7:50 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over VCU. The Rams went into overtime in their upset win over North Carolina. We'll fade VCU tonight, as teams have gone 52-73-3 ATS in the Tournament after an overtime victory. Lay the points.
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03-21-26 |
Heat +2 v. Rockets |
Top |
122-123 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Heat come into this game off 3 straight losses (both SU and ATS) after losing at home to the Los Angeles Lakers, 134-126. Miami is a sensational 38-13 ATS on the road off 3 ATS losses, while Houston is a horrid 33-54-3 ATS when playing without rest. Take Miami + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-21-26 |
Texas v. Gonzaga -6 |
Top |
74-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
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At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Texas. The Longhorns have used the play-in round as a springboard to the Round of 32, as Texas upended NC State on Tuesday, and followed that up with an upset win over BYU on Thursday. We'll fade the Longhorns this evening, as teams that won a Play-In game have gone just 42.2% in the tourney as underdogs vs. foes off an ATS loss. Even better: number 3 seeds (like Gonzaga) have gone 10-1 ATS vs. 14 seeds, if our 3 seed was off back to back wins. Take Gonzaga.
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03-21-26 |
Texas A&M v. Houston -10.5 |
Top |
57-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
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At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Texas A&M. Houston is 16-0 SU and 12-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite in the post-season. And it is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win. We'll look for Kelvin Sampson's men to blow out Texas A&M. Lay the points.
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03-21-26 |
TCU v. Duke -11.5 |
Top |
58-81 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
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At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over TCU. The Horned Frogs upset Ohio State, 66-64, on Thursday. Off that upset win, we'll fade Jamie Dixon's men, as underdogs off an upset win are 81-115 ATS when seeded #9 or worse. Take Duke.
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03-21-26 |
St. Louis v. Michigan -12.5 |
Top |
72-95 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
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At 12:10 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over St. Louis. The Billikens blew out Georgia 102-77, as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday, while Michigan failed to cover the spread in its 101-80 win vs. Howard, as a 31-point favorite. We'll side with the Wolverines in this match-up, as underdogs of 7+ points have cashed just 37% in the NCAA Tournament the past 36 years after covering the spread in an NCAA tourney game by 10+ points, if its opponent failed to cover the spread in its previous tourney game by 10+ points. That bodes well for Dusty May's men. As does the fact that #1 seeds have cashed 73% in the NCAA Tournament after scoring 100+ points. Additionally, teams off upset wins in round 1 are a soft 41.5% in round 2. Finally, Michigan falls into 66-27 and 56-13 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with Michigan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-20-26 |
Furman v. Connecticut -20.5 |
Top |
71-82 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
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At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Furman. UConn lost in the Big East Tourney final to St. John's, 72-52, while Furman blew out E. Tennessee St., 76-61, to win the Southern Conference. UConn is a dominant 57-32 ATS vs. non-conference foes off wins by 9+ points. Take the Huskies.
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03-20-26 |
California Baptist v. Kansas -13.5 |
Top |
60-68 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
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At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Cal-Baptist. Kansas was smacked, 69-47, by Houston in the Big 12 Tourney. We'll take the Jayhawks on Friday night, as they're 35-8-1 ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, including 11-1 ATS when favored by 13+ points. Take the Jayhawks.
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03-20-26 |
Missouri v. Miami-FL -1.5 |
Top |
66-80 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
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At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Missouri. Miami was manhandled, 84-62, by Virginia, in the ACC Semifinals, while Missouri lost by 6 in the Big 12 Tourney to Kentucky. We'll take Miami-Fla as a small favorite, as Missouri is a dismal 2-9 ATS in non-conference tourneys, while Miami-Fla is 7-2 ATS in that situation. That bodes well for the Hurricanes. As does the fact that Missouri is 2-8 ATS vs. foes off losses by 20+ points. Finally, Miami-Fla falls into a 69-35 ATS system of mine which cashed last night on Texas A&M, and plays on certain teams off double-digit losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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03-20-26 |
Prairie View A&M v. Florida -35 |
Top |
55-114 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
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At 9:25 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Prairie View A&M. The defending champion Gators were blown out, 91-74, by Vanderbilt in the SEC Tourney. Off that debacle, we'll play on Florida, as it is 7-0 ATS its last seven following an upset blowout loss by 15+ points. We played on the Panthers in the First Four round, and cashed when they upset Lehigh, 67-55. That was Prairie View's 11th straight ATS win, dating back to February 16, and 8th straight-up win in a row. But underdogs of +6 (or more) points have cashed just 6 of 17 following an upset win in the First Four round. Even better: teams off upset wins have cashed just 42.1% over the last 36 years vs. foes off upset losses. Lay the points with the Gators. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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