At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Razorbacks come into this game in Starkville off a 34-10 loss to #8-ranked LSU.  And they'll be out for revenge as, last season, the Bulldogs upset Arkansas, 7-3, in Fayetteville.  We'll take Arkansas on Saturday afternoon, as it is a super 33-17-1 ATS on the SEC road when playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Razorbacks are 16-6-1 ATS in SEC games off a conference defeat, including 8-1-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  The Bulldogs are a poor 4-15-1 ATS their last 20 when not getting more than 21 points.  And they're 14-24-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  We'll lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Virginia.  North Carolina has lost four straight games, and is 0-5 ATS its last 5 FBS games.  Two weeks ago, the Tar Heels fell at home to Georgia Tech, 41-34, as a 3.5 point dog.  They'll travel to Charlottesville to face a Cavaliers squad on Saturday afternoon.  And UVa has covered its last four games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cavaliers, and against the ice-cold Tar Heels.  However, consider that NCAA teams on a 4-game (or better) ATS losing streak have cashed 56% since 1980 vs. foes on a 4-game (or better).  Virginia is a wallet-busting 34-65-4 ATS as a single-digit favorite against .400 (or better) foes.  Take the Tar Heels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise State.  These two teams met last season in the Mountain West Championship game, and Boise blew out UNLV, 44-20.  The Rebels have had this rematch circled on their calendar, and we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded home team.  Indeed, UNLV is a super 20-6 ATS at home, when playing with revenge, if it was priced from +3 to +14 points.  Even better:  the Rebels return home following back-to-back road games.  And UNLV is 7-0-1 ATS its last eight (and 17-7-1 ATS its last 25) home games after playing back-to-back on the road.  Take the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  Memphis won at Utah, 126-124, to tip-off its 2024-25 campaign.  It is back on the road for its 2nd game, and will take on a Rockets team which was upset at home, 110-105, by Charlotte in Game 1.  I like Houston to rebound off its loss, as NBA teams have cashed 62.0% as home favorites off an upset defeat in their home openers.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks took advantage of an injury-riddled 76ers squad, and blew out Philly, 124-109, to open the season.  We'll fade Milwaukee here, at home, as it's a soft 44-67-3 as a home favorite of less than 12 points following a win by 15+ points.  Moreover, NBA teams that win their season openers by 15+ points have covered just 38.2%.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Indiana.  New York was blasted, 132-109, by Boston on Tuesday.  But off that 23-point loss, we'll back New York tonight, as the Knicks are 17-5 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in their current game.  Even better:  these two teams met in last year's Playoffs, and the 6th-seeded Pacers upset the 2nd-seeded Knicks, 4-games-to-3, in the 2nd round.  I like the Knicks to avenge that Playoff ouster, as they fall into an 83% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks minus the points over Hamilton.  The Redblacks are locked into their 3rd place position in the East division, and will play at Toronto in the first round of the playoffs.  But that doesn't mean Ottawa will mail this game in.  The Redblacks have lost their last five games, so their coach, Bob Dyce, will want to right the ship heading into the post-season.  They will welcome the 7-10 Tiger-Cats to TD Place Stadium, and the Ti-Cats will miss the playoffs for the first time since 2017.  We will take Ottawa, as it plays with revenge from a 37-21 upset loss at Hamilton last month.  And CFL teams have gone 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 75% since 2006) in their final game of the regular season, if they were playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Boston Celtics.  This is Washington's season opener, and it's been installed as a double-digit home underdog vs. Boston, which won its season opener, 132-109, two nights ago.  We'll grab the points with Washington, as underdogs playing their season opener have cashed 64.5% since 1990 vs. opponents that already played their opener, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if its opponent scored 120+ points in its previous game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points have cashed 66.6% in their home openers, while favorites of -4+ points have gone 42.9% ATS in their road openers.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Gamecocks enter tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins, in which they've covered the spread by 31, 22, and 20 points, including wins in their last two games where they've scored 63 and 54 points.  We'll lay the points with the Gamecocks tonight, as home teams have cashed 58% in conference games the last 45 years after scoring more than 48 in each of their two previous games.  Take Jacksonville State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Boston Celtics.  We had Boston (at 4-1 odds) last season as our Preseason pick to win the NBA Title, and the Celtics rewarded us when they hoisted the Larry O'Brien Trophy in June.  And we came right back with Boston this month as our Preseason pick (at +325) to win the NBA Title in 2025.  But even though I have confidence in the Celtics over the long-term, I still want to go against them tonight, in this season opener, as division underdogs of +3.5 (or more) points have cashed 64% since 1991 in their season opener if they made the Playoffs the previous season.  Additionally, the Knicks are a solid 23-11 ATS in their road openers.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Pittsburgh. Last week, the Jets lost to the Buffalo Bills, 23-20, as a 1-point home dog. I like New York to bounce back this Sunday night, as road favorites of 7 or less points (or PK) have cashed 59.1% since Sept 29, 1992 off a SU loss if they were playing a foe off a SU win. Additionally, in Aaron Rodgers’ career starts, his teams have gone 58-31-1 ATS following a point spread defeat. And Rodgers has also gone 3-0 ATS vs. the Steelers. Lay the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Sunday, in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx forced a Game 5 with an 82-80 triumph on Friday night, in Minneapolis.  This game will be played in New York City, and the Liberty have been dominant at home when coming off a straight-up loss, as they have won their last 10 straight-up.  And they've also gone 12-6 ATS their last 18 at home off a SU loss.  Likewise, in the Playoffs the past two seasons, New York has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home off a SU loss.  Moreover, WNBA Game 5s have generally gone the way of the favored team, and especially when laying more than 3 points, as those clubs have cashed 73%.  We'll side with Sabrina Ionescu & Co. to blow out Minnesota.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Washington Commanders. Carolina was blown out by 18 points at home by the Falcons last week, while Washington lost by 7 at Baltimore. The Commanders are favored by more than a touchdown, which is the biggest number they’ve laid this season. Unfortunately for the Commanders, they’re 15-46 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, including 1-17 ATS when they were playing an opponent that failed to cover the spread by 10 or more points in its previous game. Take Carolina + the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Indianapolis Colts. Last week, the Colts upset the Tennessee Titans, 20-17, as a 2.5-point underdog. And that was the 3rd straight game that the Colts covered the point spread as an underdog. In this game, however, the Colts are favored. And NFL favorites (or PK’em teams) off 3 straight dog covers are a poor 50-71 ATS. Take Miami + the points.

At 9:30 am, in an early game played in London, England, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are playing back to back games across the pond. Last Sunday, they were favored vs. Chicago, but were blown out, 35-16. They're now 0-3 ATS this season as a favorite, and 12-23 ATS their last 35. I can't trust the Jaguars when laying points, especially given they've only won 2 of their previous 12 games, straight-up. Moreover, this NFL season, underdogs of more than 5 points have gone 19-8-1 ATS, including 17-5-1 ATS away from home. We'll take the Patriots + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points against Utah.  Both of these teams will be looking for redemption after getting upset in their previous game.  But we will look the way of the underdog in this game.  This season, TCU is 0-4 ATS as a favorite, but 1-0 ATS as an underdog in its five FBS games.  And Utah is 1-0 ATS this season when not favored, but 0-4 ATS this season when laying points.  We'll stick with these trends and play on TCU as a dog, as it falls into 126-46, 70-17 and 175-82 ATS systems of mine that take certain teams off upset losses, while Utah falls into a negative 49-127 ATS system of mine, based on its upset loss in its previous game.  Take the Horned Frogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Florida.  The Wildcats are licking their wounds after getting stomped at home by Vanderbilt last weekend.  We'll lay the points on the road with Kentucky, as SEC Conference teams have gone 61-39 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when matched up against an SEC foe off an ATS win.  Take Kentucky.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Iowa State.  The 9th-ranked Cyclones are undefeated, at 6-0, and will welcome UCF to Ames on Saturday night.  The Knights will be looking to bounce back off 3 straight upset losses, at the hands of Colorado, Florida and Cincinnati.  The good news for UCF is that college teams off 3 upset losses have cashed 73% since 1983 when installed as a road underdog vs. foes off a SU/ATS win (and 86% if they were getting more than 9 points).  Take Central Florida.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores come into this game off not 1, but 2 upsets over SEC Conference rivals -- each as a double-digit underdog.  Now, in a role reversal, they're laying double-digits to a non-conference foe.  But SEC Conference teams are an ugly 1-9-1 ATS off back-to-back upset wins.  And Vandy is also a wallet-busting 5-11 ATS when favored by 14+ points.  Take Ball State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions minus the points over the Montreal Alouettes.  It's true that each of these two teams is locked into its Playoff seed, so neither "needs" to win this game.  However, this is the Lions' final regular season game, while Montreal will play its final game next week.  Also, the Lions are making a quarterback change, as Vernon Adams, Jr. is returning after missing the previous eight games.  Adams was injured midway through the season, but was in contention for the Most Outstanding Player award at that time.  Adams was 171-for-266, for 2,544 yards, and 14 touchdowns in his eight games.  Nathan Rourke replaced Adams, and Rourke's production paled in comparison.  In his eight games, he was 136-for-209, for 1,781 yards, and four touchdowns.  So, even though B.C. doesn't "need" the game, it will certainly WANT to play well in its final game, and establish a rhythm with Adams back under center.  Also, defending Grey Cup champs have been poor in their final road game of the season, as they've cashed just 35.7%.  Lay the points with British Columbia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over USC.  The four Big 10 teams from the Pac-12 have been great at home (6-3 ATS), but terrible on the road (1-5 ATS) in conference games this season.  This week, USC will have to travel to Maryland to take on a Terrapins team looking to make amends for an embarrassing 37-10 loss last week to Northwestern, as an 11-point home favorite.  We'll grab the points, as home teams have cashed 61% the past 45 years off 13-point (or worse) defeats as favorites of 11+ points (including 20-10 ATS as a home underdog).  Take Maryland.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Texas Tech.  We played on the Red Raiders in their previous game, and were rewarded with a 28-22 upset win over Arizona, as a 6.5-point underdog.  But we'll fade Texas Tech off that upset win, as they're a soft 13-26 ATS following an outright win as a dog.  Meanwhile, the Bears were steamrolled by Iowa State, 43-21, in their previous game.  They're now getting points from Texas Tech in Lubbock, and we'll happily take Baylor dressed up as an underdog.  The Bears are a solid 24-8-2 ATS off a point spread loss, when matched up against foes with a win percentage greater than .600, including 17-3-1 ATS as a conference underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Houston.  Both of these teams come into this game with a week of rest.  Kansas lost, 35-31, at Arizona St., as a 2-point underdog, on October 5.  Meanwhile, the Cougars pulled off a massive upset in their previous game when they went into Fort Worth, and upset TCU, 30-19, as a 16-point underdog.  They're getting much less than that here, and we'll fade the Cougars, as single-digit underdogs have cashed just 42% in the last 45 seasons off an upset win as a 16-point (or greater) underdog.  Kansas is a solid 25-16 ATS as a home favorite, including a perfect 4-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  And Houston is a horrid 42-74-1 ATS vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Jayhawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice.  The Green Wave come into this game off two huge wins, as they defeated South Florida, 45-10, as as 4-point favorite.  And then they followed that up with a 71-20 demolition of UAB, as a 19.5-point favorite.  For the season, Tulane ranks #6 in the country in point spread differential, as it's covered its FBS games by an average of 13.8 ppg.  In contrast, the Owls rank as the 5th worst team in point spread differential, as it has failed to cover the spread by 13.1 ppg in its FBS games.  We'll fade Rice, as underdogs of 19+ points, that have failed to cover the spread by an average of at least 11.63 ppg, at Game 7 forward, have covered just 34%.  Lay the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Roadrunners are 2-0 at home, with wins over Kennesaw St (28-16) and Houston Christian (45-7), and 0-4 on the road.  The good news for Jeff Traylor's men, then, is that they've back home at the Alamodome on Saturday.  UTSA has covered 70% of its home conference games that were competitively-priced with point spreads of 5 or less, while Florida Atlantic is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 games where the spread was 5 or less.  Lay the points with the Roadrunners.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Northern Illinois.  The Rockets were upset at Buffalo, 30-15, as a 10.5-point road favorite last week.  Off that clunker, we'll take the Rockets at Northern Illinois this afternoon.  The Rockets are a super 14-6 ATS off an upset loss.  And, even better, NCAA teams with a .666 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 61.6% since 1980 as road underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 10 points.  Toledo is also 8-4 ATS at Northern Illinois, including 3-0 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Toronto.  The winner of this game will get a leg up in the race for the #2 seed in the East division (and the home field advantage in the initial playoff game).  So, both teams will greatly want to win.  We'll side with the underdog Redblacks, and go against an Argonauts squad which enters off an upset win over Winnipeg, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  Unfortunately for Toronto, home favorites off upset wins as an underdog of more than 3 points, have cashed just 30.7% vs. division foes off a SU loss.  Take Ottawa + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Virginia.  The Tigers have rebounded nicely after getting annihilated by Georgia, 34-3, in their season opener.  Since that debacle, they've gone 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS.  Their last two games were on the road, so Clemson will be excited to be back home in Death Valley, where they've covered 6 straight.  Meanwhile, Virginia hits the road after back to back ATS wins at home.  The Tigers are 18-11 ATS their last 29 games vs. Virginia.  And they've also cashed 61% of their home ACC games off back-to-back road games.  Finally, Virginia is 1-7 ATS on the road off back-to-back home ATS wins.  Take Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Arizona State. Last week, the Sun Devils pulled off an upset as a 6-point home dog when they upended Utah, 27-19. But off that upset win, we'll fade ASU on the road in Ohio. The Sun Devils are a wallet-lightening 7-18 ATS away from home off an upset win. And Cincy is 30-14 ATS as a home favorite of more than 3 points vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Bearcats to blow out the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over the BYU Cougars.  The Cougars are off to a 6-0 start this season, and have covered all five of their FBS games.  We'll go against the Cougars on Friday night, and grab the points with Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys were upset at home last week, 38-14, as a 3-point home favorite.  But Okie State is a solid 10-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss, when playing a foe off a SU win.  That bodes well for the Cowboys on Friday night.  As does the fact that BYU has covered just 25% since 1980 as a home favorite of =10 (or less) points, if BYU was off a SU/ATS win, and its opponent was off a SU/ATS loss.  Grab the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Denver. The Saints were blown out last week in quarterback Spencer Rattler’s first start, and lost 51-27 to the Tampa Bay Bucs. Denver also lost last week, as they fell by 7 to the Chargers as a home underdog. The Broncos are favored on the road, even though they are 9-22-1 ATS away from home when not getting 4 (or more) points. I’ll take the Saints to bounce back, as underdogs of less than 9 points have gone 39-22 ATS after giving up more than 48 points in their previous game. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the New York Liberty.  We played on the Liberty in Game 2, and were rewarded with an 80-66 blowout win.  But with Minnesota off that horrible game, we'll switch gears and play on the Lynx as a home underdog in Game 3.  Indeed, in the WNBA Finals, teams off losses by 14+ points have cashed 60% since 2006 (and 67% as home underdogs).  the Lynx are 12-6-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings with the Liberty, including 4-2 ATS this season.  Finally, the Lynx fall into 49-24 and 93-52 ATS Playoff systems of mine.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Sam Houston St. Bearkats minus the points over Western Kentucky.  This is a great match-up in Conference USA action, as both teams come into the game with undefeated (2-0) conference records.  I like the homestanding Bearkats, as they've covered the spread in four straight, including by 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  And this has triggered a solid 'momentum' system, as home teams off 2 wins and 4 straight covers have cashed 57.3% vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win, if our home team covered the spread in its two previous games by double-digits.  The Bearkats are 8-1 ATS their last nine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans enter this game with an 0-5 record vs. FBS opponents and a 1-4 ATS ledger.  And they've failed to cover the spread by 4.5 ppg.  I expect South Alabama to have a lot of success in the ground game, as it is averaging 7.1 ypr this season, while the Trojans are allowing 5.1 ypr in their six games.  Although both teams do enter this game off back-to-back ATS losses, the Jaguars are a solid 11-3 ATS in conference games off two ATS defeats.  Finally, the Jaguars fall into a 56-27 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Montreal.  The defending champion Alouettes are 11-3-1, and have already clinched the East division title, and a bye into the semi-final round of the playoffs.  So, its last three games of the regular season are a bit meaningless.  Meanwhile, Ottawa is sitting in 3rd place in the division, and will play Toronto in the first round of the playoffs.  That much is known.  But Ottawa can still leapfrog Toronto in the standings (they play next week) and host the playoff game.  So, this afternoon's game still has great meaning for the Redblacks.  We will grab the points with Ottawa, as defending Grey Cup champs (like Montreal) are a horrible 40-74-3 ATS when favored by more than 4 points, if they weren't off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  Montreal won the season's first two meetings by scores of 47-21 and 24-12.  But double-revenge-minded road dogs have cashed 82% in the regular season if they lost season's prior two meetings by more than 10 points.  Grab the points with Ottawa this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the New York Giants.  Cincy lost to the Baltimore Ravens, 41-38, in overtime last week, while the Giants upset the Seahawks, 29-20.  We'll take the Bengals to bounce back in the Meadowlands, on Sunday night, as they're 16-8-1 ATS as a road favorite, including 8-2 ATS off a SU loss.  Additionally, NFL teams off a SU loss, in which they scored more than 36 points, have covered 64.6%.  Finally, over the last 45 years, the Giants have covered just 39% of home non-division games, if they were off an upset win, and their opponent was off a SU loss.  Lay the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  The Broncos blew out Las Vegas, 34-18, last week.  They'll now host the rested Chargers, who had last week off to rest and regroup following their 17-10 loss to the defending champion Chiefs two weeks ago.  I'll take Los Angeles, as the Broncos are a brutal 4-18 ATS at home off an ATS win, if they were playing a .500 (or better) foe in their current game.  Additionally, each of these teams is playing the 2nd of back to back division contests.  And AFC West teams have covered 62% of division games, if they were off a division loss, and their opponent was off a division win.  Take L.A. minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx upset the Liberty, 95-93, in overtime, on Thursday to take a 1-0 series lead.  We'll lay the points with New York in Game 2, as home teams have cashed 64% in the WNBA Finals off a SU loss.  Additionally, the Liberty are 9-0 SU their last nine off a loss in their previous game, including 6-0 ATS their last six.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Eagles are 2-2 on the season, and have been outscored by 2.4 ppg. They're now favored by more than a touchdown against Cleveland, which is 1-4 SU/ATS.  I'm not a fan of laying 7+ points with teams that have negative scoring margins, and especially not against opponents with worse won/loss records, as our favorites have covered just 35.7% since 1980.  This season, underdogs in the +7 to +10 price range are a staggering 7-0 SU/ATS!  We'll grab the points with the Browns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning, in a game played in London, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Chicago.  The Bears blew out Carolina, 36-10, and that was their 2nd straight win and cover.  I'll fade Chicago in this game across the pond, as Chicago is a wallet-crushing 35-54 ATS off a win by more than 10 points, including 2-14-1 ATS away from home off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  And it is 0-8-1 ATS its last 9 after covering the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Commodores stunned #1-ranked Alabama last week, 40-35, as a 23-point home underdog. I look for a letdown on Saturday night in Lexington, as winning teams, off an upset win as an underdog of more than 18 points, have gone 2-18 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points vs. a foe off a SU win. That doesn't bode well for Vandy on Saturday. Nor does the fact that the Commodores are 0-8 SU/ATS as underdogs away from home off an upset win. Lay the points with Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Ohio State. The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship. They're currently ranked #3 in the country, and this game vs. the #2-ranked Buckeyes will go a long way toward determining the seeds in the 12-team tournament at season's end. We'll happily grab the points as home underdogs have gone 10-0-1 ATS their last 11 if they were off 5+ wins, and playing an undefeated foe. Likewise, home underdogs with scoring margins of 18+ points (like Oregon), off back to back wins, have cashed 65% since 1985 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Finally, the Ducks are 27-14 ATS in conference games off 4+ wins, while Ohio State is 1-5 ATS on the Big 10 road vs. undefeated foes, when the spread was 4 points or less. Take Oregon + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over BYU. We played against Arizona last Saturday, and cashed a huge play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were a 6.5-point underdog, and won that game outright, 28-22. Off that upset loss, we'll take the Wildcats to bounce back at BYU. Since 1980, the Cougars have covered just 25% as a home favorite off a SU win, vs. opponents off home upset defeats. Meanwhile, Arizona is an awesome 17-6 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss. Grab the points with Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over California. The Golden Bears suffered a heartbreaking loss, 39-38, to the undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes last Saturday. They now have to play another undefeated team -- the #22-ranked Panthers. We'll fade California, as it's an awful 0-8 ATS its last 8 (and 1-11 ATS its last 12) off a home game where it lost SU and covered the spread. And Pitt is 5-0 ATS its last 5 home games. Finally, at Game 6 forward, NCAA home teams with a win percentage greater than .750, have cashed 58% when favored by 7 or less points against foes off an ATS win. Lay the points with Pitt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Seattle Seahawks.  We played against the Niners last Sunday, and got the $$$ when Arizona pulled off a 24-23 upset, as a 7-point road underdog.  But off that big upset defeat, we'll take San Francisco to bounce back at Seattle.  Indeed, the Niners are a sensational 71-33-2 ATS off an upset loss, if they were favored by 3+ points in their previous game, including 28-7 ATS if the 49ers owned a losing record off the defeat.  San Francisco has also won five straight vs. the Seahawks (covering four of the five).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies have been competitive at home this season, with a narrow, 30-24, loss to Liberty (as a 22-point dog), and a 50-40 loss to New Mexico (as a 9.5-point dog).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Aggies were shut out, 48-0, by Fresno (as a 20-point dog), and blown out, 31-11, by Sam Houston St. (as a 15-point dog).  Taken together, the Aggies have covered the spread by an average of 7.75 ppg in their home FBS games, but have FAILED to cover the spread in their road FBS games by 16.5 ppg.  Given that this game is being played in Jacksonville, New Mexico St.'s home/road splits don't bode well for it on Wednesday night.  Even worse:  the Aggies are 21-42 ATS when getting 20+ points, including 0-5 ATS when rested.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  We played on the Sun in Game 4, on Sunday, and were reward with a 92-82 SU/ATS win.  This 5-game series is now tied at 2-games-apiece, and we'll side with the home team on Tuesday night.  Minnesota is an awesome 80-46-4 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if it was favored (or PK), including 10-5-1 ATS in the playoffs.  And the Lynx are also 58-31-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge, including 15-4 ATS if it lost its previous game by double-digits.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Cowboys come into this game off 3 straight ATS losses to the Saints, Ravens, and Giants, though they did win straight-up, 20-15, in the Thursday Night Football game vs. New York.  We'll take Dallas to get off the point spread schneid tonight, and grab the points with the underdog.  Indeed, Dallas is a solid 61.2% since 1980 off back-to-back ATS losses, if they won their previous game, straight-up (and 73% off 3 ATS losses).  Also, in NFL match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, underdogs of less than 6 points off 3 ATS losses have gone 68-46-3 ATS, including 31-9-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series.  We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%.  Even better:  the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat.  We'll lay the points with Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco.  The Cardinals were favored by 3.5 at home vs. Washington last Sunday, but were blown out 42-14.  Meanwhile, San Francisco smashed New England, 30-13.  We'll take Arizona to rebound , as road underdogs off double-digit upset losses have covered 63% since 1980 vs. division foes off double-digit wins.  That bodes well for Arizona.  As does the fact that San Francisco is 4-18 ATS at home when favored against an opponent not off a win.  Take the Cardinals + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas.  The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday.  I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship.  Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg.  That bodes well for the road team.  Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%.  With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%.  And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Jaguars have started the 2024 season with four straight losses.  We did play on the Jags last week, and were rewarded with an ATS win when the Jags fell by just four points, 24-20.  Here, they're favored vs. Indianapolis, and we'll lay the points, as winless teams (at Game 5 forward) have gone 83-59 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins over the New England Patriots.  Miami was embarrassed on Monday Night Football when they got blown out by Tennessee, 31-12, as a 2.5-point home favorite.  We'll look for the Fish to bounce back on Sunday, as underdogs (or Pk'em teams) off upset losses by more than 17 points on MNF have gone 10-1 ATS.  Even better:  the Patriots are a poor 0-8 SU/ATS vs. losing teams.  Take Miami.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Washington.  The Browns were a 2.5-point road favorite at Las Vegas, but were upset by the Raiders, 20-16.  They're now a road underdog at Washington, which comes into this game off back to back upset wins.  We'll grab the points with Cleveland as underdogs off upset losses have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off back to back upset wins.  Additionally, Washington is a woeful 31-72 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) vs. opponents that don't own a winning record.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago.  The Panthers were 2-15 last season, and scored just 13 points in their first two games this season before benching QB Bryce Young.  With Andy Dalton under center, the offense has looked much better, and the Panthers scored 36 at Las Vegas, and then put up 24 in defeat vs. Cincy.  This week, the Panthers have been installed as a road underdog at Chicago.  We'll grab the points, as Carolina is 49-30 ATS as a road dog vs. .500 (or worse) teams, including a perfect 8-0 ATS off a point spread loss, if their foe was off a SU win.  Additionally, the Bears are a brutal 43-64-4 ATS off a SU/ATS win if their foe was off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Panthers.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning (in a game played in London, England), our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Minnesota.  The Jets were upset, 10-9, by the Denver Broncos last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll take New York to bounce back on Sunday.  Indeed, Aaron Rodgers' teams have been terrific with him under center when coming off a SU/ATS loss, as they've gone 58-29 ATS, including 10-3 ATS as an underdog.  And Rodgers' teams have also gone 56-35 ATS in his starts vs. opponents off a SU/ATS win.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats stunned Utah, 23-10, as a 7.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade Arizona as a home favorite this weekend.  Indeed, the Wildcats are a woeful 4-17-1 ATS as a favorite off an outright win as an underdog (or PK), including 1-12 ATS when favored by 4+ points.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Miami-Fla.  Something's gotta give on Saturday night in Berkeley, as California owns the 12th-best scoring defense (12.7 ppg), while Miami owns the 2nd-best scoring offense (49.4 ppg).  I like the defensive-minded home dog, as California is 16-7-1 ATS its last 24 as a home dog, while Miami is 2-14 ATS away from home off an ATS loss.  Additionally, underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, with a defense that gives up < 14 ppg, have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take California.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Michigan.  This is a rematch of the National Championship game won by the Wolverines last January.  Michigan is off to a 3-1 start this season after downing Minnesota, 27-24, last Saturday, in Ann Arbor.  Meanwhile, Washington is 3-2, and enters off a tough loss at Rutgers last week.  We'll fade Michigan, as defending National Champs are a dismal 16-37 ATS away from home off back-to-back wins, when not favored by 7+ points (including 0-6 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss).  Lay the points with Washington.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Minnesota.  We played on the Gophers last week, and got the $$$ in a 27-24 loss to the Michigan Wolverines.  Minnesota is back home on Saturday, and will welcome the USC Trojans to Huntington Bank Stadium.  Unfortunately for the Gophers, they're a brutal 0-6 SU/ATS at home when not favored by 3+ points.  And Minnesota also falls into a negative 103-182-6 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams off losses.  Lay the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over San Jose St.  The Spartans are 3-0 ATS this season in its FBS games, after covering the spread at Washington State, in a 54-52 overtime defeat its last time on the field.  Meanwhile, Nevada is 2-2 ATS in its 4 FBS games, but did blow out FCS Eastern Washington, 49-16, its most recent game.  Even though San Jose is 3-0 ATS, we'll fade it on Saturday night, as the Spartans are a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS after covering the spread in its three previous games.  And Nevada is a solid 13-7 ATS vs. opponents that did cover the spread in each of their three previous games.  The Spartans also fall into a negative 24.1% ATS system of mine that fades certain home favorites off road losses.  Grab the points with Nevada.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Iowa State.  The Bears enter this game off an upset home loss to Big 12 Conference rival, BYU, last Saturday.  But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Bears to bounce back in Ames on Saturday night, as Baylor is a super 14-3-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss.  The Bears also play this game with revenge from a 30-18 loss in Waco last October.  And the revenger in this rivalry is 11-2-1 ATS, including 6-0-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles enter this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, including a 44-7 blowout loss at Jacksonville St. in their last game.  Officially, the Golden Eagles are 0-2 SU/ATS in their FBS games this season.  But they were on their way to another SU/ATS loss in their season opener at Kentucky, before that game was halted in the 3rd quarter due to lightning strikes.  Dating back to 2019, the Golden Eagles are 19-29 ATS, including 4-19 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  And they're also 0-9 ATS in home conference games off a double-digit non-conference loss.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Saskatchewan.  The Elks currently sit in 4th place in the West division, and need to win on Saturday to avoid being eliminated from playoff contention.  After covering six straight games, from August 3 to September 7, the Elks lost back-to-back games to Winnipeg, including a 55-27 defeat last Friday.  We'll take the Elks to bounce back off that debacle, as underdogs have gone 39-25-2 ATS off a loss by 28+ points.  Likewise, teams have cashed 78% following a road loss in which they gave up 55+ points.  Finally, the Roughriders are 0-10 ATS as a road favorite of less than 7 points vs. foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points with Edmonton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers + the points over Marshall.  Appalachian State got a much needed week off after losing to South Alabama 16 days ago.  The Mountaineers were favored by 8.5 points at home vs. the Jaguars, but fell behind, 28-0, in the 2nd quarter, and got buried, 48-14.  I like the Mountaineers to bounce back in Huntington.  App State is 12-4 ATS its last 16 as an underdog, and is 11-1 SU and 8-2 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  the Thundering Herd are a wallet-breaking 8-23 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Appalachian State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Syracuse.  The Rebels routed Fresno State, 59-14, last Saturday and are a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS this year.  Off that 45-point win, we'll ride with the Rebels on Friday night.  Syracuse will make the trek out West after starting the season with four straight home games.  The Orange hammered Holy Cross last week, 42-14, and are 3-1 on the season.  UNLV has been dominant in its non-conference games, going 21-7 ATS its last 28 vs. non-conference FBS foes.  Even better:  the Rebels are 15-0 ATS off a win by more than 28 points, if their opponent wasn't off an upset loss.  Lay the points with UNLV.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  We played on the Lynx in Game 2 for our WNBA Game of the Year, and got the $$$$ in a 7-point Lynx victory.  The best-of-five series is now level at 1-game apiece.  We'll take the Sun to win Game 3, as home favorites have cashed 75% in the Playoffs since 2006 if they split the first two games on the road, and failed to cover the spread in Game 2.  Even better:  Connecticut is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 Playoff games following a SU/ATS loss.  And Minnesota is a poor 3-11 ATS in the Playoffs off an ATS win.  Take the Sun minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Tampa Bay.  This is Atlanta's 3rd straight home game.  And perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm.  The Falcons didn't cover the spread two games back vs. Kansas City.  And they also didn't cover the closing line last week vs. New Orleans.  But home teams playing their 3rd straight home game, that failed to cover the spread in the previous two, have gone 65-42-3 ATS.  Additionally, Tampa blew out Philly last week, 33-16.  But road underdogs (or PK) off 14-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 111-166 ATS.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over the Troy Trojans.  Last season, the Trojans blew out the Bobcats, 31-13, in San Marcos.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bobcats tonight, as favorites of more than 7 points have gone 75-42-1 ATS their last 118 when playing away from home with revenge.  Additionally, Troy has been terrible in front of its home faithful, as it's gone 26-45-1 ATS its last 72 at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70.  We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat.  Even better:  the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York.  The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77.  We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss.  And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog.  Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs.  Grab the points with the Aces.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the Las Vegas Raiders.  The Browns were upset by the New York Giants last week, 21-15. I like Cleveland to bounce back, as it’s 13-2 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent which isn’t a winning team. Also, the Raiders have been horrible at home vs. losing teams when not getting 3 or more points, as they’ve gone 24-60 ATS. Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over Washington.  The Cardinals lost at home to Detroit, 20-13, last week, while the Commanders upset Cincy on Monday Night, 38-33.  We’ll take Arizona to bounce back at home, as it is 35-11 ATS at home off a home loss when it wasn’t favored by 6 or more points.  Take the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston.  The Jaguars were annihilated on Monday Night Football by the Buffalo Bills.  Buffalo scored touchdowns on its first 5 possessions, and had a 34-3 lead at halftime. The final score was 47-10, and the Jaguars are now 0-3 on the season. We’ll take Jacksonville to bounce back off that embarrassing loss, as underdogs have gone 48-28 ATS following a blowout loss on Monday Night Football by 20+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota.  Last week, the Vikings were a 1.5-point home dog, and they blew out Houston, 34-7. Minnesota is now 3-0 on the season. Unfortunately, undefeated teams off upset home wins by more than 20 points have gone 1-12 ATS when they weren’t favored by 4+ points. Even worse: the Vikings are 5-13 ATS on the division road when facing a foe with a .625 (or better) win percentage.  We’ll fade Minnesota as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over the New Orleans Saints.  When these two teams last met in the final week of the 2023 season, the Saints blew out the Falcons, 48-17. We’ll take Atlanta in this game, as NFL favorites off a SU loss, who are playing with revenge from a game where they gave up 48 or more points, have gone 10-1 ATS. Take the Falcons.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Philadelphia.  We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Saints on the road, 15-12. But they’re now playing their 2nd straight road game. And winning teams are a poor 68-95-5 ATS on the non-division road, if they won outright as a road underdog in their previous game, and their opponent wasn’t off a SU/ATS win. With Tampa off an upset loss to Denver, we’ll take the Bucs to bounce back here at home on Sunday.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Carolina.  The Bengals are one of the most disappointing teams in football, with an 0-3 record. But we’ll lay the points with Cincy and go against a Panthers team off a 36-22 upset win at Las Vegas. Indeed, winless favorites of more than 3 points have gone 28-11 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Denver.  There has only been one team to have covered as a favorite of 6 or more points this season.  And that was the New York Jets last week, when they blew out the Patriots, 24-3, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But, overall, favorites of -6 or more have gone 1-12 ATS this season.  Still, I like the Jets here as a big favorite, as NFL teams (like Denver) off 19-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 130-177-8 ATS in their next game.  And Denver is also 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 15-30 ATS its last 45) off an upset win when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Jets.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans have been installed as a huge underdog in East Lansing.  Unfortunately, Michigan State has been miserable in the role of a big dog, as they've covered just one of their last 11 when getting more than 13 points.  Ohio State is absolutely loaded with talent this season, and is the current favorite (at 7-2 odds) to win the National Championship.  The Buckeyes have completely dominated Sparty the last eight years, as they're 8-0 SU.  They're also 7-0 ATS over the last seven seasons vs. MSU, covering the spread by an average of 14.21 ppg.  And Ohio State is 75-48-4 ATS as a road favorite.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Stanford.  Last week, the Cardinal upset Syracuse in their maiden ACC Conference game, 26-24, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  Off that huge upset win, we will fade Stanford in Death Valley on Saturday night.  Stanford is a wallet-busting 25-41 ATS off an upset win, including 0-9 ATS when catching 13.5 (or more) points.  And Clemson is a sensational 23-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 8-0 ATS when favored by 19+ points.  The Tigers blew out NC State, 59-35, last Saturday.  And that bodes well for Dabo Swinney's men, as Clemson is 19-3 ATS after scoring more than 56 points.  Lay the wood with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  We played on the Wolverines last Saturday as a home underdog vs. Southern Cal, and were rewarded with a 27-24 upset victory.  This week, we'll switch gears and go against Sherrone Moore's men as a big favorite vs. the Gophers.  The Wolverines have gone 0-8-1 ATS at home following an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog.  Even worse:  after defeating USC at home, conference foes have covered just 15 of 46 conference games.  Finally, Big 10 Conference teams, after an upset home win the previous week, have gone 2-18 ATS at home vs. .600 (or worse) conference foes.  Look for U-M to suffer a letdown on Saturday.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over the NC State Wolfpack.  Last week, the Huskies were upset, 23-20, by Buffalo.  And that upset loss followed Northern Illinois' huge upset win at Notre Dame, as a 27.5-point road dog.  Certainly, it wasn't a surprise that the Huskies had a letdown following its win in South Bend.  After all, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame generally fall flat in their subsequent game.  But off its own upset defeat, we'll take Northern Illinois to bounce back on Tobacco Road against NC State.  The Huskies are a sensational 54-28-1 ATS as a road underdog.  And they're also 9-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-0 ATS on the road.  Meanwhile, NC State is a poor 3-13 ATS as a favorite/PK vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take N. Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over the Washington Huskies.  Washington comes into this game off a 24-5 blowout win over Northwestern, while Rutgers moved to 3-0 last week with an upset win, 26-23, at Virginia Tech.  Greg Schiano's Scarlet Knights have been installed as a small home favorite vs. the Huskies.  And we'll lay the points, as Rutgers is 18-9 ATS its last 27 as a favorite.  Additionally, Big 10 Conference teams are a woeful 35-58-3 ATS in their first road game of the season, if they were off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  Take the Scarlet Knights to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  Last week, Arizona annihilated the L.A. Rams, 41-10.  But off that high-scoring win, we'll fade Arizona as a home dog on Sunday.  Indeed, home teams have been poor (92-126-2 ATS) in non-division games off a win the previous week, in which they scored more than 40 points.  Additionally, the Lions are 21-6 ATS under coach Dan Campbell, if their opponent was not off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  The Rams were annihilated last week, 41-10, by Arizona.  But off that 31-point loss, we'll take the Rams as a huge home dog vs. San Francisco.  Indeed, NFL home dogs off losses by 27 (or more) points, have gone 161-113-4 ATS since 1980.  The Rams are also a solid 21-14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always.  Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Las Vegas.  The Panthers have been the worst offense in football to start the season.  They scored just 10 points in Week 1 and managed only 3 last week in their 2nd game.  Andy Dalton will get the start at QB this week for the Panthers, and we'll take the underdog, as teams that start the season 0-2 SU/ATS, while not scoring more than 10 points in either game, have gone 17-7 ATS in Week 3.  Additionally, teams (like the Raiders) off an upset win as an 8-point (or greater) underdog, have gone 44-59-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have been the most impressive team thus far, with blowout wins over the Panthers and Cowboys.  And New Orleans has scored 93 points across those two games.  But teams off back to back high scoring SU/ATS wins, in which they tallied 35 (or more) points in each game, have covered just 42 of 100 vs. foes off a SU loss.  With Philly, indeed, off an upset loss to the Falcons this past Monday, we'll grab the points with the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Kansas State.  The Cougars moved to 3-0 with a 34-14 blowout win in Laramie, as a 10-point road favorite vs. the Wyoming Cowboys last weekend.  BYU has been installed as a big home dog vs. the ranked Wildcats.  We'll grab the points, as undefeated home dogs with a 3-0 (or better) record, off a double-digit cover, have cashed 62.2% vs. conference foes since 1980.  And the Wildcats have covered just 11 of their last 34 games as road favorites.  Take BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Longhorns are ranked #1 in the country, and looked great with "backup" quarterback Arch Manning at the helm.  Texas smashed UTSA, 56-7, after erstwhile starter, Quinn Ewers, was injured in the 2nd quarter of that game.  Ewers was downgraded to "doubtful" for this week's game vs. the Warhawks, and we'll lay the points with Manning under center.  Texas is one of 3 teams with 3 SU/ATS wins vs. FBS competition this season (Pitt and Arizona St. are the other two).  Texas is 12-4-1 ATS when laying 32+ points vs. non-conference foes, while Monroe is a wallet-breaking 22-39 ATS in non-conference games when getting 24+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Boston College.  The Spartans are 3-0 after pounding Prairie View, 40-0, last weekend.  We'll take the Spartans + the points, as they're 47-25-2 ATS off a SU win, when playing on the road vs. winning foes.  Meanwhile, Boston College falls into a negative 63-130 ATS system of mine following its loss last week vs. Missouri.  Take Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia Southern.  Ole Miss has taken no prisoners this season.  It's 3-0 SU/ATS after blowout wins over Furman (76-0), Middle Tennessee (52-3) and Wake Forest (40-6).  I won't step in front of this freight train, as Ole Miss falls into a 133-84-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with big scoring margins.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Tennessee.  The 3-0 Sooners have been installed as a home underdog vs. 3-0 Tennessee.  And we'll happily take the points with the home team, as Oklahoma is a sensational 49-26-3 ATS at home when not favored by more than 21 points.  Additionally, the home teams have gone 193-145-9 ATS in matchups between top-level teams (with win percentages of .875+) that are both off 3+ wins.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Toledo.  Western Kentucky is a super 41-12 ATS when priced from -1 to +10 points vs. FBS competition.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog Hilltoppers.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  This Dallas metroplex rivalry has favored the underdog (24-15 ATS) and the revenge-minded team (21-14 ATS).  SMU falls into both categories on Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points with the Mustangs.  Additionally, TCU is a terrible 24-48-3 ATS vs. revenge-minded winning teams.  Take SMU.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Memphis.  Navy is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Bucknell (49-21) and Temple (38-11), while Memphis is 3-0 following wins over North Alabama (40-0), Troy (38-17) and Florida State (20-12).  The Midshipmen have been installed as a big home dog, and we'll grab the points.  Since 1980, home dogs of +8 (or more) points are 90-63 ATS in FBS games after back to back wins by > 7 points.  And Memphis is a miserable 13-37-2 ATS when favored by 13 or less points vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Navy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the USC Trojans.  The defending champs have gotten off to a slow start this season.  They're 2-1 SU, but 0-3 ATS.  Michigan has been installed as a home dog vs. USC, and we will happily grab the points.  USC has burned bettors' money over the years when installed as a road favorite of more than 4 points vs. foes off a win, as they've covered just 15 of 51.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream.  There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth.  Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season.  The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight.  Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana).  This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker.  We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams.  On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number.  Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening.  But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump.  They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points.  We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

The Bengals suffered the biggest upset loss in Week 1 when they lost to the Patriots as a 7.5-point favorite. But teams that get upset in Week 1 as favorites of more than 6 points tend to bounce back in Week 2, and have gone 27-10 ATS. Additionally, the Bengals are an awesome 14-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.