|
10-12-25 |
Titans v. Raiders -3.5 |
Top |
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders minus the points over the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee earned an improbable 22-21 triumph last week at Arizona. But it was more of the Cardinals gifting the Titans a win than anything else. This is still a bad football team which has gone 8-27 SU and 8-26-1 ATS its last 35 games. Even worse: off a straight-up win, the Titans are 0-9 ATS their last nine. Take the Raiders.
|
|
10-12-25 |
Rams v. Ravens +7.5 |
Top |
17-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
43 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens + the points over the Los Angeles Rams. Baltimore was blown out last week, 44-10, by the Houston Texans, while the Rams were upset on Thursday Night Football by their division rival, San Francisco. I like Baltimore as a big home underdog, as NFL home dogs of +6 (or more) points have cashed 79.3% over the last 46 years vs. an opponent off a SU loss, if our home dog was blown out by more than 28 points in its previous game. That bodes well for Baltimore on Sunday. As does the fact that the Ravens are 70-34-2 ATS vs. foes off upset defeats, including 50-18-2 ATS in non-division games. Take the Ravens. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-12-25 |
Cardinals +7.5 v. Colts |
Top |
27-31 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Indianapolis. We played against the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ with the Titans in an upset win. We'll take Arizona to bounce back on Sunday, as it's 27-8-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if it was off a loss, and its foe was off a win. Take Arizona.
|
|
10-12-25 |
Patriots v. Saints +3.5 |
Top |
25-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the New England Patriots. The Patriots pulled off a huge win in Buffalo last Sunday night, as an underdog of more than 7 points. But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the upstart 3-2 Patriots on the road this week. Indeed, New Orleans has gone 73-41-3 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win, including 21-9 ATS vs. foes off upset wins. Grab the points with the Saints.
|
|
10-12-25 |
Seahawks +1 v. Jaguars |
Top |
20-12 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence & Co. are off to a fantastic 4-1 start following their 31-28 upset win over Kansas City this past Monday night. Meanwhile, the Seahawks stumbled as a home favorite vs. Tampa last Sunday, and fell by three points, 38-35. We'll take Seattle to bounce back, and look for the Jags to have a letdown after that Monday Night upset win over KC. Indeed, .800 (or better) teams off home upset wins have burned money for bettors, and especially when facing a winning team off a SU/ATS loss, as they've cashed just 28% over the last 46 years. And Seattle is 36-23 ATS off an upset loss when not favored by 2+ points the following week. Take the Seahawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Georgia -3.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
20-10 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Auburn. Dating back to September of last season, the Bulldogs are 3-11-2 ATS their last 16 vs. FBS competition. One of those point spread defeats was to this Auburn team, as Georgia won, 31-13, as a 21-point home favorite. The Bulldogs have now won eight straight in this series, and are 6-2 ATS in those games. They're also 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings. The point spreads for the last five meetings were -7.5, -14.5, -28, -14.5 and -21, so this number is relatively short from an historical perspective. Georgia has gone 49-36-1 ATS on the road when not laying more than 4 points. Take the Dawgs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Rice +10 v. UTSA |
Top |
13-61 |
Loss |
-108 |
26 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas-San Antonio. The Owls were upset last week as a 4-point favorite, 27-21, by Florida Atlantic. We'll take them to bounce back off that upset loss, as the Owls are 5-0 ATS their last five (and 17-5 ATS their last 22) off an upset loss. Even better: if they failed to cover the point spread by more than 9 points in that upset defeat, then our 17-5 mark zooms to 16-1 ATS. Rice also falls into a 219-112-3 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Take Rice + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
San Jose State v. Wyoming +2 |
Top |
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Jose St. The Cowboys are 1-3 ATS in their four FBS games this season, while San Jose St. is the mirror opposite at 3-1 ATS. But if one digs a little deeper, one would find that San Jose actually has a negative point spread differential this season, notwithstanding its 3-1 ATS mark. And Wyoming hasn't played all that poorly this season. Indeed, last week, it was a 4.5-point home underdog to 5-0 UNLV. The Cowboys did lose by 14, 31-17. But they also outyarded the Rebels by 100 yards (356-256). Three turnovers, however, were the Cowboys' undoing. Wyoming falls into a very good 77.5% ATS system of mine. We'll look for the Cowboys' QB, Kaden Anderson, to lead them to an upset win in Laramie. Grab the points. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Navy -10 v. Temple |
Top |
32-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over Temple. The Midshipmen will travel to Philadelphia to take on AAC Conference rival, Temple. And the Midshipmen have been dominant away from Annapolis, as they've gone 138-76-4 ATS, including a spectacular 91-31-3 ATS if they played at home their previous game. Navy leads the country with 317.4 rushing yards per game, and ranks #4 at 6.4 yards per rush. So, the Midshipmen match up well vs. a Temple rush defense which is surrendering 5.1 yards per rush. Last season, QB Blake Horvath ran roughshod over the Temple defense, gaining 234 total yards, as Navy annihilated the Owls, 38-11. More of the same this season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Old Dominion -14 v. Marshall |
Top |
24-48 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall. Last week, we played on Old Dominion -18.5 over Coastal Carolina, and the Monarchs blew the doors off the Chanticleers, 47-7. ODU has now won four straight games after losing its season opener to 5-0 Indiana. Importantly, the Monarchs covered the 23.5-point spread in that 27-14 loss to the Hoosiers. And ODU is 3-1 ATS in its four FBS games this season, with its only loss coming by a mere half-point. The Monarchs are 18-11-1 ATS their last 30, and lead the country with 6.8 yards per rush. They also rank #13 in defensive passing yards allowed (149.0), which doesn't bode well for a Thundering Herd offense which ranks #119 with 169 passing yards per game. ODU will be looking to avenge an upset loss at home to the Herd last season. The Monarchs were favored by 2.5, but lost, 42-35. That was the 7th straight defeat suffered by ODU vs Marshall. But this year, the Monarchs have a huge talent differential. I like ODU to avenge last season's defeat, as Marshall is a poor 49-67 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 2-12 ATS its last 14 if it won on the road the previous season. We'll lay the points with ODU at Marshall on Saturday afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
NC State v. Notre Dame -22.5 |
Top |
7-36 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over NC State. The Wolfpack crushed Campbell last week, 56-10, and are 4-2 on the season. The Irish are 3-2 after a 28-7 win over Boise State as a 22.5-point home favorite. NC State is a poor 47-75 ATS on the road if it did not lose its previous game, including 14-36 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread defeat. Take the Irish minus the points.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Nebraska -6.5 v. Maryland |
Top |
34-31 |
Loss |
-113 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Maryland. The Terrapins lost, but covered the point spread in last week's 24-20 loss to Washington. Maryland has been installed as a home underdog for the 2nd straight week. We'll lay the points with Nebraska, as it is 45-27 ATS as a road favorite vs. foes off an ATS win. The 'Huskers also fall into an 83-33 ATS system of mine. Take the Huskers.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Ball State v. Western Michigan -8.5 |
Top |
0-42 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Ball State. The Cardinals had lost 7 straight games vs FBS competition before pulling a big upset last week vs. Ohio. The Broncos, meanwhile, won their 3rd straight last week with a 21-3 blowout of UMass. Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its five FBS games this season. We'll lay the points as Mid-American Conference teams off upset wins have cashed just 39% as road underdogs vs. conference foes also off a SU/ATS win. Take the Broncos.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Calgary +3.5 v. Hamilton |
Top |
37-20 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over Hamilton. These two teams met in Week 1, and the Stamps upset the Ti-Cats, 38-26, as a 2.5-point underdog. Calgary has now won 25 of the last 32 meetings between these teams. It's true that Dave Dickenson's men were blown out, 38-24, last weekend by British Columbia. But CFL underdogs off a loss by 10+ points, and 4 SU/ATS losses overall, have cashed 64.5%. Additionally, Hamilton has cashed just 37% as a home favorite vs. foes off a double-digit loss. Grab the points with Calgary. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Washington State v. Ole Miss -32 |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Washington St. Ole Miss has been dominant in non-conference games when favored by 5+ points, as they've gone 6-0 ATS their last six (and 34-12-1 ATS their last 47), including 16-4 ATS when they were laying 23+ points. Take the Rebels to blow out the Cougars.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Ohio State v. Illinois +14.5 |
Top |
34-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Ohio State Buckeyes. Ohio State comes into this game with a spotless, 5-0 record. They've also gone 3-0-1 ATS in their FBS games this season. We'll fade Ohio State in Champaign, as defending champs have covered the spread just 34% away from home the past 46 seasons off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they were not favored by 16+ points. Take the Illini. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Alabama v. Missouri +3 |
Top |
27-24 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Alabama. The Tigers come into this game with a 5-0 record, while 'Bama is 4-1. We'll grab the points with the homestanding Tigers, as SEC home underdogs of less than 15 points, with an .888 (or better) record, have gone 33-15-3 ATS vs. conference foes. Additionally, Missouri falls into a system of mine which is 15-0-1 ATS its last 16 (and 31-6-2 ATS its last 39). Grab the points with the Tigers.
|
|
10-11-25 |
Miami-OH -11 v. Akron |
Top |
20-7 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Akron. The Zips pulled off a big upset over Central Michigan last Saturday, winning by 28-22, as a 7.5-point underdog. Akron is a wallet-busting 6-14-1 ATS off an upset win., including 1-8 ATS at home. Lay the points with Miami-Ohio.
|
|
10-11-25 |
UL-Lafayette v. James Madison -17.5 |
Top |
14-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Rajin' Cajuns upset Marshall, 54-51, last week. We'll fade the Cajuns in Harrisonburg, as they've gone 8-24-1 ATS off a win, in which they scored more than 30 points (and 2-13 ATS if they scored more than 40 in that win). Even worse: if the Cajuns owned a sub-.800 record, they've gone 0-11-1 ATS after scoring 30+ points in a win. Take the Dukes.
|
|
10-10-25 |
Aces v. Mercury +3.5 |
Top |
97-86 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. The Mercury lost 90-88, on Wednesday. Unfortunately, they lost more than just Game 3; they also lost Satou Sabally, who suffered a concussion. The upshot is that the Mercury have been installed as a home underdog for this elimination game. We'll take Phoenix, as WNBA teams have gone 3-33 straight-up away from home in the playoffs against the foe they just upset in the previous game. And if the team off the upset loss was not favored by 5+ games, then they've gone 11-1 ATS. Grab the points with the Mercury. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-09-25 |
Louisiana Tech v. Kennesaw State +6 |
Top |
7-35 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw State Owls + the points over Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs shut the Owls out last season, 33-0. We'll grab the points with Kennesaw, as NCAA teams have gone 137-100 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a shutout loss by more than 31 points. Even better: revenge-minded Conference USA teams are 108-70 ATS when installed as an underdog of +10 (or less) points at home vs. conference foes. Take Kennesaw + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-08-25 |
Aces v. Mercury -3.5 |
Top |
90-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury minus the points over Las Vegas. The Mercury dropped the first two games of this series in Las Vegas, including a 91-78 setback on Sunday, and return home for Game 3 on Wednesday night. We'll lay the points with Phoenix, as WNBA teams off a loss in the Finals by 4+ points have gone 12-0-1 ATS when they weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game. Additionally, the Mercury are 15-4 ATS their last 19 at home off a SU loss, if they weren't getting 4+ points in the current game. Take Phoenix to blow out Las Vegas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Lions v. Bengals +10.5 |
Top |
37-24 |
Loss |
-112 |
34 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Detroit. The Bengals are catching double-digits at home, and NFL teams have done quite well over the last 45 years as double-digit home dogs. And especially in non-division games, where they've gone 76-48-2 ATS. Take Cincy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Titans +7.5 v. Cardinals |
Top |
22-21 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Arizona Cardinals. The Titans were blanked, 26-0, by the Houston Texans last week. We'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as road underdogs have gone 70-49 ATS in non-division games after scoring 3 or less points. Take Tennessee.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Mercury +3.5 v. Aces |
Top |
78-91 |
Loss |
-115 |
33 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over Las Vegas. The Aces took Game 1, 89-86 (which was a push against the 3-point closing line). We'll take the points with the underdog Mercury to level the series with a Game 2 win. The Mercury are 22-8-1 ATS off a SU loss if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game, while the Aces are an atrocious 8-25-2 ATS off a playoff victory if the line in their current game was 9 points or less. Additionally, Phoenix is 15-6-1 the last 22 meetings at Las Vegas. Take the Mercury. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Texans v. Ravens +1.5 |
Top |
44-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
30 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens + the points over Houston. The Ravens were one of the favorites to reach the Super Bowl, but they're 1-3 and will be without QB Lamar Jackson for this game, and their next one. Cooper Rush will be under center on Sunday, and we'll grab the points with the home underdog Ravens. Indeed, home underdogs off a double-digit upset defeat have cashed 61.7% since 1980 vs. foes off double digit wins. Take Baltimore.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Dolphins v. Panthers +1.5 |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Miami Dolphins. The Panthers were pummeled last Sunday by the New England Patriots, 42-13. Off that blowout loss, we'll step in and take Carolina vs. the Dolphins this afternoon. NFL teams have gone 160-113-8 ATS off a blowout loss by more than 28 points when they weren't favored by 4+ points in their current game. Take the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-05-25 |
Vikings v. Browns +3.5 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
27 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Minnesota Vikings. Last week, in Dublin, the Vikings were upset, 24-21, by the Pittsburgh Steelers. Minnesota will try to rebound in London, on Sunday. But the Vikings are a horrid 2-18-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points away from home off an upset loss. Even worse, teams (like Cleveland) that failed to score 14+ points in each of their two previous games have cashed 60.2% as single-digit underdogs the past 45 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Browns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Miami-FL v. Florida State +5 |
Top |
28-22 |
Loss |
-111 |
84 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Miami-Florida. Last week, the Seminoles lost in overtime, 46-38, to the Virginia Cavaliers. Off that upset loss, we'll take FSU to bounce back, as it's 23-5 ATS at home or on a neutral field, off a point spread loss, when playing an opponent off an ATS win at home. Florida State lost its prior meeting vs. Miami, 36-14. We'll take the revenge-minded Seminoles on Saturday night, as they also fall into 87-41-3 and 82-35 ATS revenge systems of mine. Take Florida State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Mississippi State v. Texas A&M -14 |
Top |
9-31 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Mississippi St. The Aggies are off to a 4-0 start this season after dispatching Auburn last week, 16-10. Unfortunately for A&M bettors, the Aggies failed to cover the 6.5-point spread. We'll take A&M to get back into the point spread win column this week, as undefeated SEC teams have covered 61.1% as favorites in conference games off an ATS loss. That bodes well for the Aggies on Saturday night. As does the fact that they're 50-26 ATS when priced from -10 to -16 points. Take Texas A&M. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Texas Tech v. Houston +12.5 |
Top |
35-11 |
Loss |
-110 |
83 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders won their Big 12 opener with a blowout win over Utah, 34-10. And they blew out Oregon State, 45-14, in their game before that. But off those two big wins, we'll fade Texas Tech at Houston on Saturday night, as they've covered just 20 of 64 FBS games off back-to-back ATS wins (or ties) in FBS games. Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 73% of conference games as double-digit home dogs off back-to-back wins, if their opponent was not off an ATS defeat. Take Houston + the points. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Coastal Carolina v. Old Dominion -19 |
Top |
7-47 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Coastal Carolina. In their previous game, the Chanticleers upset South Alabama, 38-20, in Mobile. But off that huge win, we'll fade Coastal Carolina in their second Sun Belt Conference game on Saturday evening. Indeed, Sun Belt teams have cashed just 32.2% in Conference games after an upset win, if it was getting more than 3 points in its current game, and matched-up against a foe off a SU win. Additionally, the Monarchs fall into a 155-90 ATS system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Florida International +8 v. Connecticut |
Top |
10-51 |
Loss |
-108 |
80 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers plus the points over Connecticut. The Panthers were upset, 38-16, at home by Delaware in their last game. We'll back FIU off that upset defeat, as UConn has cashed just 29.4% as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes off a loss. Even better: Florida International falls into a very good 180-85 ATS system which plays on certain teams off SU losses. Take the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Virginia v. Louisville -7 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
80 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers stunned Florida State, 46-38, in overtime last week. But that upset win has set up the Cavs in a negative 96-175-4 system of mine. And Louisville has covered 65.2% over the past 45 years as favorites vs. foes off upset conference wins. Take the Cardinals.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Texas v. Florida +7 |
Top |
21-29 |
Win
|
100 |
80 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Texas. On the surface, one has two teams headed in opposite directions. The Gators are riding a 3-game losing streak, while the Longhorns have won their last three games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot 'Horns, and against the ice-cold Gators. But be careful, as Florida falls into an 86-45-1 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses vs. foes off wins. And Florida is 14-4 ATS as a home dog vs. SEC Conference rivals. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech -6.5 |
Top |
30-23 |
Loss |
-108 |
77 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Wake Forest. After starting the 2025 season 0-3 SU/ATS, with double-digit losses to South Carolina, Vanderbilt and Old Dominion, the Hokies rebounded with a 38-6 win over FCS Wofford, and then a 23-21 upset win at NC State last Saturday. Off that impressive win, Virginia Tech falls into several of my 'momentum' systems with records of 119-46-6, 189-107-6, and 239-133-8 ATS. The Hokies are also with 26-13 ATS off an upset win. Lay the points with the Hokies.
|
|
10-04-25 |
Iowa State v. Cincinnati -1 |
Top |
30-38 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats over the Iowa State Cyclones. We played on the Cyclones last week over Arizona, as our Big 12 Game of the Month, and were rewarded with a blowout 39-14 win. This week, we'll switch gears and fade ISU, as it is a poor 0-8 ATS away from home vs. .750 (or better) conference foes. Additionally, the Cyclones fall into negative 164-250 and 40-94 ATS systems. Take Cincinnati. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-03-25 |
Colorado State +6.5 v. San Diego State |
Top |
24-45 |
Loss |
-108 |
63 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over San Diego State. The Rams were upset last week by Washington State, 20-3, as a 4.5-point home favorite. The good news for Colorado State is that it now falls into a 'bounce-back' system of mine which has gone 219-111-3 ATS since 1980. Additionally, the Aztecs are 5-15 ATS at home when priced from -3.5 to -7 vs. conference foes. Take Jay Norvell's men on Friday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
10-01-25 |
Reds +1.5 v. Dodgers |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds +1.5 runs over the Los Angeles Dodgers. As they've been known to do, the Dodgers lulled us to sleep a bit in the first part of September (they went 10-10 in their first 20 games). But when they reached the end of the month with the post-season looming, the Dodgers kicked it into high gear and won their final five games, signaling their readiness for the playoffs. They kept it going in a Game 1 blowout last night, so now the Reds' backs are against the proverbial wall. The visitors will go with RHP Zack Littell in Game 2 tonight. Littell was acquired at the deadline from the Rays and he went undefeated (2-0) in 10 starts with Cincy since coming over. Most important for tonight is the fact that the Reds won Littell's last four starts and three of those were on the road (as tonight's is). The 29-year-old is sure to go out there with a "nothing to lose" attitude and although this will be his first-ever start at Dodger Stadium, he has a 3.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 14 relief appearances here. Littell's teams have also gone 27-13 (+9.3 net games) on the run-line in his 40 career starts. Finally, Cincinnati has gone 52-31 (+5.0 net games) as an underdog on the run-line this season, while the Dodgers are a wallet-busting 57-82 (minus 25.0 net games) as a favorite on the run-line. Take the Reds +1.5 runs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-30-25 |
Fever v. Aces -7.5 |
Top |
98-107 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points over Indiana. The Fever upset Las Vegas, 90-83, to force this 5th, and deciding game of this semifinal series. We'll lay the points with Las Vegas, as the Fever are a woeful 8-16 ATS their last 24 when getting more than 7 points. Additionally, .600 (or better) teams are 13-0 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, following a playoff game in which they surrendered more than 87 points. Take the Aces to blow out Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-29-25 |
Bengals +7.5 v. Broncos |
Top |
3-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Denver. The Bengals were blown out last week by the Minnesota Vikings, 48-10. We'll take Cincy to rebound on Monday, as underdogs more than 6 points have gone 203-153-3 ATS in regular season, non-division games off a loss by more than 18 points. Additionally, the Bengals are 23-6 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +10 points. Take the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Lynx +4.5 v. Mercury |
Top |
81-86 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the Phoenix Mercury. The Mercury upset top-seeded Minnesota on Friday to put a stranglehold on this series. Phoenix is now up 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-Five series. Even worse for Minnesota: it lost its best player, Napheesa Collier, in the final seconds of Game 3, and will need to go forward in the Playoffs without her. But in sports gambling, there's no such thing as a free lunch. And the oddsmakers have built Collier's absence into the point spread, and have adjusted this number 8.5 points. The Lynx are now a road underdog, whereas they were favored on the road in Game 3. I like Minnesota tonight. The Lynx also were without Collier for seven games in August, when she was out with an ankle sprain. They played a difficult schedule over that stretch, with six of the seven games against teams that went on to reach the Playoffs. They went 5-2 straight-up, and 3-3-1 ATS, including 2-1 SU/ATS against the defending champion, New York Liberty. And, importantly, they only lost one of the seven games by more than two points. That experience last month without Collier will serve Minnesota well tonight, and we'll grab the points with the Lynx. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Bears v. Raiders |
Top |
25-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
61 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders over the Chicago Bears. We played on the Bears last week as a 1-point home dog vs. Dallas, and got the $$$ in a 31-14 win. This week's game is also priced near PK'em, and we'll fade Chicago and take the homestanding Raiders. Indeed, Las Vegas is a sensational 13-1-1 ATS at home in 'win situation' games, with point spreads of 3 points or less. And Chicago is the opposite, with a 1-9-1 ATS record on the road in games with point spreads of 3 or less. Take Las Vegas.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Ravens -2.5 v. Chiefs |
Top |
20-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
61 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs. Both the Ravens and Chiefs have gotten off to a 1-2 start this season, so the loser of this game will be 1-3, and will have a lot of anxiety about reaching the post-season. Last week, Baltimore lost at home on Monday Night Football to Detroit, 38-30. But the good news for the Ravens is that they're 11-1-1 ATS off a straight-up loss, dating back to December 24, 2022 (and 7-0-1 ATS when not laying more than 7 points). Lay the points with John Harbaugh's men.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Aces v. Fever +4.5 |
Top |
83-90 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Indiana dropped Game 3 at home on Friday, and now finds itself in the precarious position of having to win two straight games to advance to the WNBA Championship. The good news for this Game 4 is that it will be at home. And the Fever have gone 12-6 straight-up, and 13-3-2 ATS their last 18 as a home underdog (and 16-3-1 ATS their last 20 as a home underdog off a straight-up loss). Meanwhile, the Aces are an atrocious 5-17-1 ATS as a favorite of 9 or less points off a playoff win. Take Indiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Eagles v. Bucs +3.5 |
Top |
31-25 |
Loss |
-108 |
58 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. Philly is undefeated to start the season, at 3-0. Unfortunately, defending Super Bowl champs have covered just 25% since 1980 when they were undefeated, and favored on the road vs. a winning foe. That bodes well for the Bucs as a home dog. As does the fact that Tampa Bay is 12-3 ATS as home dogs in non-division games. Grab the points with Baker Mayfield & Co. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Browns v. Lions -10 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Cleveland Browns. The Lions have been an ATM machine since hiring Dan Campbell as head coach. And especially against teams NOT off a straight-up loss, as Detroit has rolled to a 29-8-2 ATS record in those games. Detroit is also 14-2 ATS under Campbell vs. foes that covered the point spread by more than 10 points in their previous game. Take the Lions.
|
|
09-28-25 |
Panthers v. Patriots -5 |
Top |
13-42 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Carolina. We played against the Patriots last week, and took the Steelers -1.5 points. Pittsburgh rewarded us with a 21-14 victory. Still, New England played well enough in that game to win, as they actually outyarded Pittsburgh, 369-203, but committed five turnovers, which spelled defeat. We'll take New England to bounce back, as it's 52-26-1 ATS in the regular season off a SU loss, when not favored by 7+ points. Lay the points with the Patriots.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Alabama v. Georgia -2.5 |
Top |
24-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
111 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide won last year's meeting, 41-34, in Tuscaloosa. We'll take Georgia to avenge that defeat, as it's a wallet-fattening 20-3-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) when playing with revenge. Additionally, the Bulldogs fall into a 304-201 ATS system of mine. Take Georgia minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Oregon v. Penn State -3 |
Top |
30-24 |
Loss |
-120 |
111 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Oregon. The Nittany Lions will welcome the Oregon Ducks to Happy Valley on Saturday evening. In Oregon's first Big 10 season, last year, it ran the regular season table, and was undefeated (and ranked #1) going into the 12-team Playoffs. These two teams met in the Big 10 Championship game, and Oregon defeated PSU, 45-37, as a 3-point favorite. This year, it's James Franklin's men, who are favored. And Penn State has been dominant in the favorite role, going 44-4 SU and 33-14-1 ATS in its last 48 FBS games as the favorite. The Nittany Lions are also 20-14 ATS at home when playing with revenge, while Oregon is a poor 7-16-2 ATS as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge. Lay the points with the Nittany Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Arizona v. Iowa State -5.5 |
Top |
14-39 |
Win
|
100 |
110 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Arizona. The 3-0 Wildcats come into this game off a 23-17 home win over Kansas State, while the 4-0 Cyclones enter off a 24-16 victory at Arkansas State. Both teams had last week off to prepare for this Big 12 Conference battle, and we'll lay the points with the homestanding Cyclones. Key Stat: Arizona is 0-13 ATS away from home as an underdog off a SU/ATS win, if it was matched up against a .500 (or better) foe. Take the Cyclones. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Tulane -14 v. Tulsa |
Top |
31-14 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Tulsa. The Green Wave have been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. the Golden Hurricane. And that bodes well for Tulane, as it's 31-12 ATS its last 43 (and 82-54-2 ATS its last 138) as a favorite of less than 17 points, while Tulsa is a terrible 35-56-3 ATS as an underdog of 17 (or less) points vs. conference rivals. Over the last 4 seasons, Tulsa is 6-19 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in AAC Conference games (regardless of the point spread), while Tulane is 23-4 SU and 17-10 ATS. Lay the points with the Green Wave. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Ohio State v. Washington +9.5 |
Top |
24-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
106 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Ohio State. The Huskies are a perfect 3-0 this season, and have been installed as a home dog vs. the defending champion Buckeyes. We'll grab the points with Washington, as it's cashed 75% over the last 45 years as a home dog vs. conference foes, if Washington was off back-to-back wins. Even better: undefeated home dogs of more than 7 points have cashed 65.6% over the last 45 years off a win by 35+ points. With Washington in off a 59-24 victory over Washington State, we'll grab the points with the home underdog.
|
|
09-27-25 |
San Diego State v. Northern Illinois +3 |
Top |
6-3 |
Push |
0 |
106 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over San Diego State. The Aztecs pulled off the biggest upset last week, when they whitewashed California, 34-0, as a 14-point home underdog! Unfortunately for the Aztecs, they're 19-32 ATS off an upset win, including 8-21 ATS if they were an underdog of 5+ points in their previous game. Grab the points with Northern Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Arkansas State +2.5 v. UL-Monroe |
Top |
16-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
106 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves + the points over Louisiana Monroe. The Red Wolves were upset by Kennesaw State last week, 28-21, as a 5-point road favorite. We'll take Arkansas State to bounce back on Saturday, as it's cashed 75% on the road off an upset loss when matched up against a foe off a SU win. Take the Red Wolves + the points.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan -5.5 |
Top |
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
104 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas minus the points over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles had lost eight games in a row (dating back to last season) before last Saturday's 34-31 upset win over Louisiana-Lafayette. But off that emotional victory, we'll fade Eastern Michigan in Mount Pleasant, on Saturday afternoon. Indeed, the Eagles are an ugly 8-22 ATS off an upset win. Additionally, the Chippewas fall into 175-96-4 and 184-98-7 ATS systems of mine based, in part, on their 49-10 win last week over Wagner. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Utah State v. Vanderbilt -22.5 |
Top |
35-55 |
Loss |
-108 |
55 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 12:45 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Utah State. We played on Vanderbilt earlier this month in its 31-7 upset win in its SEC Conference opener at South Carolina. Then, last week, the Commodores returned home to Nashville and blew out Georgia State, 70-21. Off that 49-point blowout, the Commies are 4-0, and fall into several of my better 'momentum' systems. We'll lay the points on Saturday vs. the Aggies, as undefeated NCAA teams have gone 235-181 ATS in FBS games when favored by 21+ points, off a win by 21 or more points the previous week. Lay the wood with Vanderbilt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Duke -5 v. Syracuse |
Top |
38-3 |
Win
|
100 |
103 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Syracuse. The Orange pulled off a big upset on the road last week at ACC Conference rival, Clemson. The Orange were a 17.5-point underdog, yet won outright, 34-21. Off that upset win, we'll fade Syracuse on Saturday vs. Duke. Indeed, Syracuse is an atrocious 3-15 ATS as an underdog in conference games following an upset conference win. And Duke is 26-7 ATS away from home off a SU win, when it wasn't getting more than 3 points. Take the Blue Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-27-25 |
Notre Dame v. Arkansas +5.5 |
Top |
56-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
103 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Notre Dame. We played against Arkansas last week in Memphis, and got the $$$ with the Tigers, who upset Arkansas, 32-31. But off that upset loss, we'll back the Razorbacks in Fayetteville on Saturday afternoon. Indeed, Arkansas is an awesome 16-3 ATS off an upset road loss, including 8-1 ATS at home, while Notre Dame is a soft 18-27-1 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset losses. Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a super 83-40 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats. Grab the points with the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Toronto +10 v. BC |
Top |
22-27 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Toronto Argonauts + the points over British Columbia. The Lions put up 52 points in last week's win at Calgary. They've been installed as a big home favorite tonight, and we'll happily grab the points with the Argonauts. Indeed, CFL favorites of 7+ points have cashed just 28% following a game where they tallied more than 50 points. Take Toronto.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Lynx -3.5 v. Mercury |
Top |
76-84 |
Loss |
-115 |
40 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Phoenix. We played on the Mercury in Game 2, and got the $$$ when it upset the Lynx in overtime to level this series at 1 game apiece. We'll take Minnesota in Game 3, as the Lynx are 62-31-2 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 7-13-1 ATS at home in the Playoffs when playing a revenge-minded foe. Take the Lynx. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Aces v. Fever +4.5 |
Top |
84-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
38 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. Indiana has been exceptional as a home underdog, as it has gone 8-0-1 ATS its last nine (and 22-8-2 ATS its last 32). We'll grab the points with the Fever on Friday night, and look for them to bounce back off their 22-point loss in Game 2. Indeed, they're 14-0-1 ATS as a home dog off a SU loss when their win percentage was greater than .125. Take the Fever. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-26-25 |
Calgary +4.5 v. Montreal |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
37 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over Montreal. These two teams met in Alberta earlier this season, and the Alouettes upset the Stamps, 23-21, as a 5.5-point road underdog. We'll take Calgary to avenge that defeat, as road underdogs have cashed 70.3% when playing with revenge from a home upset loss if they were favored by more than 5 points in that earlier defeat. Take Calgary.
|
|
09-23-25 |
Mercury +7.5 v. Lynx |
Top |
89-83 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the Minnesota Lynx. These two teams were tied in Game 1 of this series heading into the 4th quarter, but the top-seeded Lynx pulled away in the 4th quarter for an 82-69 triumph. We'll fade Minnesota, as Playoff teams seeded #3 (or better) have gone 0-13 ATS as favorites of -5.5 (or more) points vs. 0.601 (or better) foes, if our favored team was off a SU/ATS win. Take the Mercury. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-21-25 |
Cowboys v. Bears +1.5 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Dallas Cowboys. The Bears were blown out by the Detroit Lions last week, 52-21. And that 31-point loss has set up Chicago is a very good 164-85 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off poor games. Even better: Chicago is a super 48-27-3 ATS at home off back-to-back losses when not laying more than 3 points, including 25-8-2 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-21-25 |
Broncos +3 v. Chargers |
Top |
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
71 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos lost at Indianapolis last week, 29-28, in a Pk'em game. And they also failed to cover the spread in Week 1 vs. the Tennessee Titans. I like the Broncos to reward their bettors this week, as NFL teams off a SU loss, that made the Playoffs the previous season, have cashed 64% as underdogs in Week 3 after starting a season winless ATS. Denver also falls into 76-31 and 99-51 ATS systems of mine. We'll grab the points with the Broncos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-21-25 |
Texans +2 v. Jaguars |
Top |
10-17 |
Loss |
-106 |
68 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Houston has gotten out of the gate slowly this season, with narrow losses at the Rams (14-9) and at home to the Buccaneers (20-19). We'll take the Texans to get into the Win Column in Week 3, as 0-2 NFL teams that owned a winning record each of the two previous seasons have cashed 62.9% the last 45 years off an upset loss in Week 2. And 0-2 NFL teams with a scoring margin of -3.0 (or better) have cashed 71% the past 15 years in Week 3. Take the Texans + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-21-25 |
Steelers -1.5 v. Patriots |
Top |
21-14 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the New England Patriots. The Steelers were upset at home, 31-17, by the Seattle Seahawks last week. We'll take Mike Tomlin's men to bounce back, as they're 44-19 ATS off a SU loss in which they gave up 31+ points. And they also fall into a very good 74-24 ATS system of mine. Grab the points with the Steelers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-21-25 |
Jets +7 v. Bucs |
Top |
27-29 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers have started the season 2-0, with road wins against Atlanta (as a PK), and against Houston (as a 2.5-point underdog). We'll fade Tampa back home on Sunday, as it has gone 26-43 ATS as a favorite off back-to-back wins. Meanwhile, the Jets are 27-18 ATS as an underdog off back to back losses vs. foes off back to back wins. New York also falls into a 149-84 ATS system of mine. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Sam Houston v. Texas -39 |
Top |
0-55 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Sam Houston State. The Longhorns have yet to cover the spread this season. But so have the Bearkats, who are 0-3 ATS this season, and 2-8 ATS their last 10, dating back to last year. We'll lay the big number with Texas, as it's 37-20 ATS when favored by 14 off an ATS loss. Take the Longhorns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
BYU v. East Carolina +6.5 |
Top |
34-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
72 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points against BYU. The Pirates come into this game off a 38-0 shutout win at Coastal Carolina last Saturday. Home teams have gone 120-94-9 ATS in the regular season off shutout road wins the previous week. And BYU is 21-32 ATS as a non-conference road favorite. Take East Carolina.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Illinois v. Indiana -5.5 |
Top |
10-63 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Illinois. The Hoosiers whitewashed Indiana State, 73-0, last week. We'll lay the points with Indiana in this Big 10 battle, as home teams favored by single digits have cashed 58% in conference games off a 60-point (or greater) offensive outburst their previous game. Lay the points.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Stanford v. Virginia -14.5 |
Top |
20-48 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal notched a rare win last week when they upset Boston College, 30-20, as a 14-point home underdog. Still, Stanford is a lousy 20-42-3 ATS its last 65. Take Virginia.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Marshall -2.5 v. Middle Tennessee State |
Top |
42-28 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee St. Both of these teams come into this game with 1-2 records following victories last Saturday. Marshall blew out Eastern Kentucky, 38-7, while the Blue Raiders stormed back from a 13-0 deficit in the fourth quarter to shock Nevada, 14-13. Marshall used to be in Conference USA, so it has a history against Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders did win the previous meeting, 34-28. But in this series, the loser of the prior meeting has gone 7-2 ATS. The Blue Raiders have NOT been good off point spread wins, as they've gone 3-13 ATS, including 0-7 ATS in games with single-digit point spreads, and 1-7 ATS off an upset win. Marshall falls into 204-113 and 169-95 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with the Thundering Herd. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Nevada +11 v. Western Kentucky |
Top |
16-31 |
Loss |
-108 |
72 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Western Kentucky. The Wolf Pack collapsed in the 4th quarter last week, and gave up two late touchdowns to Middle Tennessee to lose, 14-13. We'll take Nevada to bounce back, as it's 26-15 ATS in non-conference games off a SU loss, including 5-1 ATS off an upset loss. Take Nevada.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Temple +24 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets upset Clemson last week, 24-21, to move to 3-0 this season, while the Owls were blown out, 42-3, by Oklahoma. The Yellow Jackets are a poor 2-7-1 ATS at home in non-conference games off an upset win. And AAC Conference teams are 29-14-1 ATS as road underdogs of more than 20 points vs. foes not off a SU loss. Take Temple + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Auburn +6.5 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
68 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Oklahoma. Last year, the Sooners went into Auburn, and upset the Tigers, 27-21, as a 2-point road underdog. We'll take Auburn to give Oklahoma some payback on this Saturday. The Tigers are a solid 14-7 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss against a conference foe. And Oklahoma is 5-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset on the road. That bodes well for Auburn on Saturday afternoon. As does the fact that SEC Conference underdogs (or PK) have cashed 62.2% in their conference openers, provided their opponent wasn't playing with revenge. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Michigan v. Nebraska +2.5 |
Top |
30-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
68 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over the Michigan Wolverines. Nebraska was walloped by Michigan, here in Lincoln, 45-7, two years ago. But that was a Michigan team which went on to win the National Championship. This Wolverines team is not at that level, notwithstanding its 63-3 triumph last week vs. Central Michigan. Nebraska comes into this Big 10 Conference-opener with a defense which has allowed just 8.0 ppg this season. We'll grab the points with the 'Huskers, as single-digit home underdogs, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have cashed 57.2% since 1980. Additionally, the Wolves are a woeful 1-8 ATS after scoring 60+ points, including 0-5 ATS on the road. Take Nebraska. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
Purdue v. Notre Dame -25 |
Top |
30-56 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Purdue. Notre Dame reached the Championship game vs. Ohio State last January, but has stumbled to an 0-2 start this season. We played against the Irish in each of those games, and cashed Miami-Fla and Texas A&M. But we will switch gears and lay the points with Marcus Freeman's men on Saturday afternoon. Notre Dame has won nine straight games vs. its cross-state rival, including a 66-7 beatdown last season. I like the Irish to bounce back as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 19-7 ATS their last 26) as a losing team off back to back ATS defeats. They're also 6-1 ATS when priced from -21 to -28 points vs. their rival. Meanwhile, Purdue is a putrid 2-9 ATS when getting 14+ points vs. a foe off an upset loss. Take the Irish to blow out the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
|
09-20-25 |
UAB v. Tennessee -38 |
Top |
24-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 39 m |
Show
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At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over UAB. The Volunteers come into this game off an overtime loss to the Georgia Bulldogs. They'll step down in class on Saturday and take on the Blazers out of the AAC Conference. Tennessee is 12-1 ATS its last 13 vs. non-conference FBS schools. And UAB is 1-12-1 ATS off a straight-up win. With the Blazers in off a 31-28 victory over Akron, we'll lay the points with Tennessee.
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09-20-25 |
Bowling Green v. Louisville -25.5 |
Top |
17-40 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 58 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Bowling Green. The Cardinals had last week off to rest and prepare for this non-conference match-up vs. Bowling Green from the Mid-American Conference. The Falcons earned a nice upset win last week at home vs. Liberty, and are 2-1 on the season. We'll lay the points with the rested Cardinals, as Mid-American Conference teams have gone 0-14 ATS their last 14 (and 4-26 ATS their last 30) as road underdogs of 8+ points vs. rested non-conference foes. Additionally, the Cardinals fall into a super 175-95 ATS system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-20-25 |
North Texas -2 v. Army |
Top |
45-38 |
Win
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100 |
65 h 58 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army. This is a big revenge game for the Mean Green, who lost to Army last season, 14-3. The Black Knights would go on to a perfect 8-0 record in American Athletic Conference play. I expect tougher sledding for Army this season in the AAC, and we'll lay the points on Saturday with North Texas. Indeed, AAC road favorites (or PK) have gone 35-8 SU and 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge. And Army is an atrocious 29-53-2 ATS in FBS games when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 6-21 (22.2%) ATS at home. The Mean Green also fall into 135-61 and 38-15 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
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09-20-25 |
SMU +7 v. TCU |
Top |
24-35 |
Loss |
-108 |
65 h 55 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU. SMU has yet to cover the point spread this season, but I like it to get into the ATS win column at its cross-town rival, TCU. The road team has dominated this series "in Vegas," going 27-13-1 ATS, including 16-4 ATS when getting more than a field goal. Take the Mustangs + the points.
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09-20-25 |
Texas Tech v. Utah -3 |
Top |
34-10 |
Loss |
-108 |
65 h 55 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Texas Tech. Both of these teams are undefeated (both SU and ATS). We'll fade the Red Raiders, as they're an ugly 19-42-2 ATS in FBS games off back to back games where they won/pushed against the spread. Likewise, teams playing the Utah Utes away from home have gone 16-25 ATS off back-to-back ATS wins/pushes in FBS games. Utah falls into a 286-174 ATS 'momentum' system of mine. Lay the points.
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09-20-25 |
Arkansas v. Memphis +8 |
Top |
31-32 |
Win
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100 |
65 h 54 m |
Show
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At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Arkansas. The Razorbacks have been installed as a road favorite against the undefeated Tigers. We'll grab the points, as SEC teams have gone 17-49-3 ATS on the road vs. undefeated teams with a 3-0 (or better) record, when priced from +4.5 to -14.5 points. Take Memphis.
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09-19-25 |
BC +5.5 v. Calgary |
Top |
52-23 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 52 m |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions + the points over Calgary. The Lions have historically been a strong road underdog, cashing 57%. And when they've been priced from +3 to +7, they've gone 36-21-2 ATS (63.1%). That bodes well for British Columbia on Friday night. As does the fact that Calgary is a wallet-busting 11-29 ATS as a home favorite of 7 or less points. The Stamps fall into a negative 75-121-6 ATS system of mine. Grab the points with the Lions. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-19-25 |
Liberty +2.5 v. Mercury |
Top |
73-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 21 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty + the points over the Phoenix Mercury. New York was blown out in Game 2 on its home court, 86-60. But off that debacle, we'll take the Liberty as a road underdog on Friday. Indeed, in the Playoffs, WNBA road teams off losses by 20+ points have cashed 64%. And Phoenix is a dismal 2-9-1 ATS as a single-digit home favorite off a playoff win. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-19-25 |
Iowa v. Rutgers +3 |
Top |
38-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
49 h 58 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Iowa. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0, and have outscored their opponents by 27.0 ppg. They're a home underdog in their Big 10 season opener, and we'll happily grab the points, as the Scarlet Knights are 10-1-3 ATS their last 14 off a SU win. And Iowa is 2-8-1 ATS vs. foes with an .833 (or better) win percentage. Take Rutgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-19-25 |
Montreal -6.5 v. Toronto |
Top |
21-19 |
Loss |
-107 |
14 h 20 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Alouettes minus the points over the Toronto Argonauts. The defending champion Argonauts come into tonight's game on a 3-game win streak. Unfortunately for Toronto, it is a terrible 23-41-1 ATS at home off a win, while Montreal is 26-13-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. The Alouettes also fall into a super system of mine which is 22-0 ATS since 2006. Take Montreal. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-18-25 |
Storm v. Aces -8 |
Top |
73-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points over the Seattle Storm. We played against Las Vegas in Game 2, and the Storm upset Becky Hammon's crew, 86-83. That loss snapped the Aces' 17-game win streak. Unfortunately for the Storm, they're a wallet-busting 17-39 ATS on the road off an upset win, including 7-27 ATS vs. division rivals. And Seattle also falls into a negative 31-68-2 ATS Playoffs system of mine. Lay the points with the Aces. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-18-25 |
Dolphins +13 v. Bills |
Top |
21-31 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills. Last week, the Dolphins were upset, 33-27, by the New England Patriots, while Buffalo blew out the New York Jets, 30-10. We'll grab the points tonight with Miami, as double-digit underdogs off an upset loss to a division foe, have cashed 76.4 percent on the road vs. a division rival off a SU/ATS win. Also, the Bills are 3-10-1 ATS their last 14 (and 65-90-3 ATS their last 148) off back to back point spread wins. Take Miami + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-18-25 |
Fever v. Dream -7 |
Top |
87-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Dream minus the points over Indiana. We played on the Fever on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with a 77-60 upset win. But for this series-deciding Game 3, we'll lay the points with Atlanta. The Dream are 15-1 ATS their last 16 (and 141-105-1 ATS their last 247) when playing with revenge. And the Fever are 36-55-3 ATS away from home when installed as an underdog of +5 (or more) points. Atlanta also falls into my favorite Playoffs system, which is 60-25-3 ATS. Take the Dream. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
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09-17-25 |
Lynx v. Valkyries +10.5 |
Top |
75-74 |
Win
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100 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
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At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Golden State Valkyries + the points over Minnesota. The top-seeded Lynx made it look easy in Game 1 with a 101-72 blowout win. This 2nd game of this best-of-3 series will be played in the Bay Area, but 50 miles away from San Francisco, at San Jose's SAP Center. Unfortunately for Golden State, its home arena -- the Chase Center -- had already committed to host the Laver Cup tennis tournament. We'll grab the points with the Valkyries and fade the Lynx, as double-digit favorites have cashed just 28.1% when playing away from home vs. .360 (or better) foes. Even better: teams off 24-point (or worse) blowout losses in the first round of the Playoffs have bounced back to cover the spread 66% of the time. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-17-25 |
Mercury +2.5 v. Liberty |
Top |
86-60 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Mercury + the points over the New York Liberty. The Liberty won Game 1 of this 3-game series in overtime, 76-69. With its back against the wall, we'll take the underdog Mercury tonight, as New York is a nasty 23-56-1 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-7-1 ATS in the Playoffs. And the Mercury also fall into one of my favorite WNBA Playoff systems, which is 59-25 ATS. Grab the points with Phoenix. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
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09-16-25 |
Aces v. Storm +5.5 |
Top |
83-86 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 14 m |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Storm + the points over Las Vegas. The Aces blew out Seattle by 25 points in Game 1, 102-77. We'll take Seattle to bounce back off that debacle as it is 32-9-2 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss, if its foe was off a SU win, including 16-1-1 ATS its last 18. Additionally, Las Vegas falls into a negative 30-50 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 15-point (or better) blowout wins. Take the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-16-25 |
Dream v. Fever +4 |
Top |
60-77 |
Win
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100 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Fever + the points over the Atlanta Dream. The Dream are one of the better teams when playing with revenge, as they've gone 15-1 ATS their last 16 (and 141-105-1 ATS their last 247). But they're a dreadful 47-71-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe away from home, including 12-30 ATS as a favorite. Meanwhile, Indiana is a solid 14-5-1 ATS as a revenge-minded home underdog of less than 7 points. We'll take the Fever + the points, and look for them to level the series at 1-game apiece. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-15-25 |
Chargers v. Raiders +3.5 |
Top |
20-9 |
Loss |
-113 |
87 h 25 m |
Show
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At 10 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers. Last season, the Chargers defeated the Raiders twice, by scores of 22-10 and 34-20. We'll grab the points with the Raiders, as double-revenge-minded underdogs (or PK) have gone 34-14-1 ATS in their home openers vs. division rivals. And Monday Night road favorites of -5 points (or less) have gone 29-46-1 ATS their last 76 vs. division foes. Finally, the Raiders fall into 27-5, 60-26 and 90-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home teams not favored by 3+ points. Grab the points with Las Vegas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-14-25 |
Storm +6.5 v. Aces |
Top |
77-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
44 h 5 m |
Show
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At 10 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Seattle Storm + the points over the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces have now won 16 straight games, including back-to-back blowouts by 31 and 28 points to end the regular season. But this will be a difficult match-up for Las Vegas. The Storm and Aces met four times this season, and they split the season series, two games apiece. Importantly, Las Vegas' two wins were both by 5 points or less (which is less than Sunday's point spread), while Seattle's victories were by 20 and 7 points. We'll grab the points with Seattle, and fade Las Vegas, which is an atrocious 7-31 ATS as a home favorite of more than 3 points, if it was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Take the Storm. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-14-25 |
Eagles v. Chiefs +1.5 |
Top |
20-17 |
Loss |
-112 |
58 h 58 m |
Show
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At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Philadelphia Eagles. We cashed our NFL Game of the Year in the Super Bowl on Philly over KC, but will go with the revenge-minded Chiefs in this rematch. Off its season-opening loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, Kansas City has been installed as a home underdog, and it is 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog (or PK) its last 27, including 4-0 ATS off a straight-up loss. Even better: defending Super Bowl champs have cashed just 32.3% off a home division win, when playing on the road vs. a non-division foe. With Philly off a season-opening win over Dallas, we'll fade it at Arrowhead on Sunday. Take KC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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09-14-25 |
Patriots v. Dolphins -1.5 |
Top |
33-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
55 h 36 m |
Show
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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins minus the points over New England. Both the Dolphins and Patriots suffered Week 1 losses: Miami was blown out, 33-8 by Indianapolis, while the Pats were upset, 20-13, by the Raiders. We'll take the Dolphins to bounce back off that blowout loss, as NFL teams have cashed 61.8% in Week 2 off double-digit losses vs. foes off a single-digit defeat. Additionally, the Dolphins have covered nine straight games vs. the Patriots. Lay the points.
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