At 8 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Revolutionaries + the points over St. Louis.  The Billikens blew out St. Bonaventure, 97-62, as an 8-point road favorite on Friday.  But off that huge win, we'll fade them as a double-digit home favorite tonight.  For technical support, consider that favorites of more than 9 points, off road covers by more than 23 points, have covered just 38.7% of conference games since 1990, including 3-21 ATS if they owned a win percentage greater than .905.  Take George Washington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Nebraska.  The Wolverines started the season like a house on fire, with a point spread differential of +12.34 through their first 13 games - a feat which no other team had achieved in the last 36 years.  Since then, Michigan is 0-6 ATS.  But that shouldn't be viewed as anything but "normal."  Indeed, the team with the 2nd best point spread differential to start a season was St. Mary's, which went 12-0 ATS to kick off the 2015-16 season, and covered by an average of 12.0 ppg through its first 12 games.  The Gaels then proceeded to go 1-9 ATS over their next 10 games.  The reality is that teams can only outperform the point spread for so long; the oddsmakers will adjust, and teams will come back down to earth.  But make no mistake:  Michigan is arguably the best team in the country.  Nebraska is also very good, and owns the 2nd best W/L record (behind Arizona), at 20-0.  However, I expect Michigan to make a statement tonight.  Lay the points.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  These two teams met here on Sunday, and the Timberwolves were trounced, 111-85.  We'll take Minnesota to avenge that 26-point loss, as they're 32-18 ATS vs. foes they lost to at home in the previous meeting.  And the Warriors are a woeful 46-100 ATS off an ATS win, if they were playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats are undefeated and ranked #1 in the country.  But Provo is a difficult venue for opponent to get a win vs. BYU, as the Cougars are 294-41 SU and 159-124-9 ATS over the last 21 years, including 41-21-6 ATS vs. conference foes off back-to-back wins.  And while it's true that the Cougars are 0-4 ATS their last four, it's also true that they're 22-5 ATS on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak when they weren't getting 4 (or more) points.  Take BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Cleveland.  These two teams met in Orlando on Saturday night, and Cleveland emerged victorious with a 119-105 win.  That was Orlando's 3rd straight defeat (both SU and ATS).  We'll take the Magic in Round 2 tonight, in Cleveland, as the Cavs are a poor 53-95-2 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State.  Penn State is 10-5 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these Big 10 rivals.  And we'll happily grab the points with PSU on this Monday, as the Nittany Lions are an awesome 73-36-3 ATS when getting more than 2 points.  Penn State also falls into 174-81-1 and 904-660-32 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Take the Nittany Lions + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Suns were upset, 110-103, by the Atlanta Hawks on Friday night.  Phoenix returns home today, and is an impressive 66-29-1 ATS off a road upset loss, including 27-9 ATS at home.  Miami blew out Utah, 147-116, last night, but is a soft 40-67 ATS off a SU win when playing a foe off a SU loss.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Toronto.  We played against OKC on Friday, and got the $$$ with the Indiana Pacers, who won outright as a 16-point underdog.  The Thunder are 15-5-1 ATS off a straight-up loss when matched-up against a .450 (or better) foe.  And defending champs are 14-3 ATS their last 17 off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite.  Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over Seattle.  The Rams won their first two playoff games, but failed to cover the point spread in each game.  They defeated Carolina, 34-31, and then survived in overtime to knock off Chicago, 20-17.  In contrast, Seattle was most impressive last week in its 41-6 thrashing of San Francisco.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to succumb to recency bias, and gravitate toward the Seahawks.  But we'll run the other way and grab the points with the underdog Rams.  Indeed, NFL underdogs have gone 32-21 ATS in the Playoffs following back-to-back ATS losses.  And teams off playoff wins by 35+ points have gone just 3-8 ATS in their next game.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:00 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over New England.  The Broncos suffered a bad break last week when #1 QB, Bo Nix, sustained an ankle injury toward the end of their win vs. Buffalo.  Jarrett Stidham will take over behind center in this AFC Championship game, so the Broncos have been installed as a home underdog.  We'll happily take the points with Denver, as it's 47-26-2 ATS as a home underdog (or PK).  Even better:  Denver is 55-13-3 ATS at home when it wasn't favored by more than 2 points, and its win percentage was NOT .333 worse than its opponent's win percentage.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are covering the spread by an average of 4.11 ppg this season.  But when you dig deeper, you see that this point spread success is largely at home, as they're covering the spread by 7.56 ppg at home, but actually are failing to cover the spread by 0.07 ppg in their road games.  Going back further finds the Owls at 11-17-2 ATS on the road the last 3 seasons, with a negative point spread differential of -2.61 ppg.  Florida Atlantic is an awful 17-34-1 ATS on the road off a SU win, including 4-18-1 ATS as an underdog (or PK).  Take South Florida minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Magic come into this game off back to back losses, while the Cavs enter off back to back wins.  We'll take Orlando, as it's 18-6-1 ATS at home off back to back losses when not favored by more than 4 points.  Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 1-8 ATS this season vs. foes off back to back losses, including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  And, looking back further, we find Cleveland 52-95-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Orlando also falls into 68-15 and 162-87 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Magic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags minus the points over Canisius.  Earlier this month, the Griffins upset Canisius, 85-81, as a 7-point home dog.  We'll take the Stags to avenge that upset loss, as they fall into a 200-122 ATS revenge system of mine.  Moreover, Metro Atlantic Athletic teams are 198-161 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points with Fairfield.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Boston College.  The Irish will look to snap a 5-game losing streak (and a 4-game ATS losing streak) today.  I look for them to do just that, as ACC Conference teams off 4 point spread defeats have gone 148-90 ATS when priced from +2 to -11 points.  Take Notre Dame to blow out Boston College.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Broncos play this game with revenge from a 29-point loss to the Chippewas.  And that blowout loss has set Western Michigan up in a 91-37 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from losses by more than 20 points.  Even better:  the Chips are a poor 42-57 ATS as a road underdog vs. revenge-minded foes, including 17-36 ATS if that foe was off a SU loss.  Take Western Michigan.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals minus the points over Portland St.  The Vikings are on a 6-game win streak.  And they're also 6-0-2 ATS their last eight.  But they fall into a negative 119-193 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams with stellar records.  Additionally, Big Sky Conference teams that have won 3 straight, and were also on 3-game (or better) ATS win streaks, have gone just 25-44-5 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  We'll lay the points with Idaho.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane blew out Rice earlier this season, 97-48, as a 12.5-point home favorite.  We'll take Rice in the revenge role this afternoon, as teams playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season have cashed 55 percent since 1990.  Even better:  if our 'play-on' team did not own a winning record, either SU or ATS, then our angle moves from 55 percent to 63%.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons + the points over Boise St.  We played against Air Force on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with Colorado St., in a 29-point blowout.  But off that 81-52 defeat, we'll switch gears and take the Falcons + the points this afternoon, as Boise is 6-15-1 ATS vs. conference foes off losses by 25+ points.  Take Air Force.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles + the points over North Dakota St.  The Golden Eagles come into this game off back to back upset losses to Nebraska-Omaha (73-62) and North Dakota (79-62).  They've been installed as a big home dog today vs. the Bison.  And the Golden Eagles are 10-0 ATS as a home dog off back to back ATS losses.  The Golden Eagles fall into a 262-142 ATS system of mine.  Take Oral Roberts.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors over St. Peters.  The Peacocks defeated Merrimack, 76-63, 13 days ago in Jersey City.  We'll lay the points with Merrimack in this re-match, as Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference road teams have cashed just 35.5% when they've owned a conference win percentage at .800 (or better) at Game 4 forward, including 24% when they won the season's first meeting.  Take Merrimack.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Illinois.  The Boilers were upset by UCLA, 69-67, on Tuesday.  We'll take Purdue to bounce back today, as it's 62-26 ATS at home in Big 10 Conference games when not laying double-digits, if they were off an ATS loss.  Take Purdue.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Binghamton Bearcats + the points over Maine.  The Black Bears upset Albany, 52-49, in their last night.  This afternoon, the Black Bears have been installed as a favorite over the Bearcats.  But Maine has consistently burned money as a favorite, going 0-3 ATS this season, and 1-8 ATS its last nine.  Meanwhile, Binghamton has been solid as an underdog of more than 2 points, with 27 ATS wins in its last 41, including 20-3 ATS vs. foes off a win.  Take the Bearcats + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Houston.  The Cougars come into this game off SU/ATS wins over Baylor, West Virginia and Arizona State.  We'll fade Houston, as the Red Raiders are a solid 48-32 ATS at home when they've owned a .789 (or better) win percentage, while Houston is a wallet-busting 24-38-2 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Texas Tech.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams + the points over George Mason.  These two teams met 3 weeks ago, and the Patriots defeated the Rams, 61-50.  The Patriots are currently riding a 9-game win streak, but fall into a negative 58-103 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on long win streaks that are playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Rhode Island.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Columbia Lions minus the points over Dartmouth.  The Lions enter this game off SU/ATS losses to Harvard, Brown and Yale.  They'll look to snap their 3-game losing streak this afternoon, and they've covered 67% since 1990 as a favorite off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Columbia.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Villanova.  UConn is riding a 14-game win streak.  But it's also 0-5 ATS its last five.  I like the Huskies this afternoon, as they're 21-9-2 ATS vs. foes off a SU win, if the Huskies were on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Nebraska.  The Gophers are a solid 32-17-2 ATS as a home underdog off a SU loss, provided they didn't cover the point spread in their previous game, including 24-7 ATS if the line was 6 points or less.  Take Minnesota.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Wofford Terriers + the points over Mercer.  These two teams met just 14 days ago, and the Bears bested Wofford, 109-97.  And that was the only time Mercer has defeated Wofford in the last eight meetings.  We'll take the Terriers to avenge that loss, as they're 7-1 ATS their last eight as an underdog (or PK) when playing with revenge.  Take Wofford.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  These two teams met in Indiana's season opener, and the Thunder came away with a 6-point win in overtime (as a 7.5-point road favorite).  Indiana is a solid 47-20 ATS as an underdog of more than 9 points when playing with revenge.  And the Pacers also fall into a 244-152-9 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit underdogs off losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats + the points over Akron.  The Zips are 15-4 on the season, and 6-1 inside the MAC, while the Bobcats are 11-9, and 5-3 in conference play.  I like Ohio as a home dog, as the Bobcats are a super 121-76 ATS at home when they didn't own a better record than their opponent.  Additionally, Akron falls into a negative 'letdown' system of mine, which is 72-133 ATS since 1990, based on the Zips' blowout win over Buffalo on Tuesday.  Take Ohio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Wolves have had an up-and-down January.  After winning six of seven games to start the month, they've now lost three in a row -- all on the road.  And their last loss was against the woeful Utah Jazz, as a 12.5-point road favorite.  The good news for the T-Wolves is they're back home tonight where they'll take on the Chicago Bulls.  Minnesota has won all three meetings vs. Chicago the last 2 seasons, and each win was by a wide margin.  Last month, Minnesota blew out the Bulls by 35 points, 136-101.  And its two wins last season were by 16 and 19 points.  Minnesota is 13-4 ATS its last 17 games following an upset loss, including 10-0 ATS when it wasn't favored by 11+ points.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels + the points over Merrimack.  The Gaels enter tonight on a 2-game losing streak, while the Warriors are on a 2-game win streak.  We'll take Iona as it is 15-6 ATS off back-to-back losses, including 6-0 ATS as an underdog (or PK).  And Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference teams (like Merrimack), with an .800 (or better) Conference win percentage (at Game 4 forward), are 36.2% ATS on the road vs. conference foes.  Take Iona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks are riding a 7-game win streak, and have won 16 of their last 17.  But they've not been making many friends "in Vegas," as they're 2-7-1 ATS their last 10.  NC Wilmington has been installed as a road underdog tonight against a Bill & Mary team which is perfect at home this season, going 7-0 SU (4-1 ATS).  The Tribe is also 20-2 SU its last 22 at home, and 10-3 ATS as a home favorite vs. foes off back-to-back wins (including 5-0 ATS its last five).  William and Mary is covering the spread by an average of 4.4 ppg at home this season, while the Seahawks have failed to cover the spread on the road by 1.07 ppg this season.  Lay the points with William & Mary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes over San Diego St.  The Antelopes don't lose very often at home.  Indeed, over the last 3 seasons, they've gone 40-3 SU at Global Credit Union Arena, including a 79-73 upset win over the Aztecs when these two teams last met.  Grand Canyon falls into a 162-89 ATS system of mine, and we'll back the Antelopes at home in this 'pk'em' contest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over North Texas.  The Roadrunners are on a long SU/ATS losing streak.  But they've been great, long-term, as road underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses, covering 70%.  Additionally, the Mean Green fall into a negative 658-903-32 ATS system of mine.  Take Texas San Antonio + the double-digits.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Brooklyn.  When the Knicks defeated the San Antonio Spurs in Las Vegas on December 16 to win the NBA Cup, it marked their sixth straight win and cover.  And New York was 19-7 SU and 18-8 ATS at that time.  But since winning that In-Season Tournament, the Knicks have hit the skids in a major way, going 7-11 SU and 3-15 ATS, including 0-4 SU/ATS their last four.  So, perhaps there's no opponent New York would rather see tonight than the Brooklyn Nets.  After all, New York has won 12 straight meetings vs. their Big Apple rival, going 8-3-1 ATS in those 12 games.  We'll lay the points with the Knicks, as .579 (or better) teams off 4 SU/ATS losses have gone 12-0 ATS their last 12.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Liberty.  The Hilltoppers were upset on Saturday, 81-65, by Kennesaw St., as an 8-point home favorite.  We'll take Western Kentucky to bounce back tonight, as it's 28-20 ATS at home off an upset loss, while Liberty has cashed 37% as a favorite (or PK) vs. a foe off an upset defeat.  Take WKU.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Wichita.  The Pirates were upset at home, on Sunday, by Charlotte, 73-70.  I like ECU to bounce back tonight, as it's 62% since 1990 as a double-digit underdog off an upset loss.  Moreover, Wichita comes into this game off a huge upset win as an 8-point underdog vs. South Florida.  But the Shockers have covered just 22% of their games the past 36 seasons when they were off an upset win, and their opponent was off an upset loss.  Take East Carolina.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Alabama Lions + the points over Queens, NC.  The Royals have been installed as a double-digit home favorite tonight vs. the Lions, who enter off back to back upset losses at the hands of North Florida and Jacksonsville.  We'll take North Alabama, as double-digit road underdogs have gone 105-78 ATS in conference games off back-to-back upset defeats.  Take the Lions.  Good luck, as always..Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Carolina Catamounts + the points over Mercer.  These two teams met in last season's Southern Conference Tournament, and the Bears upended the Catamounts by a single point, 67-66.  That will get the Catamounts' attention tonight, as will the fact they were upset in their most recent game by Chattanooga, 90-82.  We'll take Western Carolina to avenge that Tournament loss, as it has cashed 71% since 1990 when playing with revenge, if it was also off an upset defeat.  Take Western Carolina + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs + the points over Murray St.  These two teams met earlier this season in Murray, and the Racers bested the Bulldogs, 81-72.  We'll take Drake to avenge that defeat, as Missouri Valley teams are 130-97 ATS as home underdogs when playing with revenge from a SU/ATS loss earlier in the season.  Even better:  the Racers are 12-21-1 ATS as a road favorite, and 15-26-1 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes.  Grab the points with Drake.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Nuggets have more than stayed afloat since losing Nikola Jokic to injury.  They've won 7 of the 10 games he has been sidelined.  Jokic is still a couple of weeks away from returning, so the Nuggets are a home underdog tonight vs. the Lakers.  Denver lost its previous game -- also here at home -- by 23 points to the Charlotte Hornets.  We'll take Denver + the points tonight, as it is 53-24 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, if it wasn't getting 5+ points in its current game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado St. Rams minus the points over Air Force.  The Falcons have been the worst team over the last three years.  They're 9-63 SU and a ghastly 23-47-2 ATS, including 0-11 SU their last 11, and 0-4-1 ATS their last five.  Colorado State has gone 26-11-2 ATS in the last 39 meetings.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. Redhawks minus the points over Tennessee-Martin.  The Redhawks come into this game off three SU/ATS losses.  But they're 34-25-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including a perfect 3-0 ATS off three SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Skyhawks are a brutal 16-28-1 ATS as road underdogs vs. conference foes.  Lay the points with Southeast Missouri.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  These two teams met earlier this year, and the Rockets were upset by the Spurs, 121-110.  We'll lay the points with the Rockets, as the Spurs are a woeful 11-29 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, and installed as an underdog, including 1-8 ATS when playing without rest.  With the Spurs in off a 13-point victory over Utah last night, we'll fade San Antonio in Houston on Tuesday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over Loyola Chicago.  The Ramblers are mired in a horrible season.  They're 5-14 ATS and have failed to cover the point spread by a whopping 8.47 ppg.  They did defeat the Bonnies by 24 in the last meeting.  I expect St. Bonaventure to avenge that blowout loss this evening.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos upset Bowling Green in the previous meeting.  We'll take Bowling Green tonight, as the Broncos are 12-28 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a winning record, if the Broncos were off a SU loss, and their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Bowling Green.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Central Florida.  The Cyclones have a very strong home court.  And they're 90-52-2 ATS vs. conference foes with a winning record, if Iowa State was installed as a home favorite.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Seminoles are off to an 0-5 start in ACC Conference play after a 1-point loss to Wake Forest on Saturday.  Still, Florida St. covered the spread in that game as a 1.5-point home dog.  We'll take the Seminoles + the double-digits tonight, as they're 57-31-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off back-to-back losses.  And ACC Conference teams with an 0-5 (or worse) conference record have gone 48-30-1 ATS.  Take Florida St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks have yet to taste defeat this season, as they're 19-0, including 7-0 in Mid-American Conference play.  We'll fade Miami-OH tonight, as MAC Conference teams with a 7-0 (or better) Conference record have gone 5-20 ATS, including 1-14-1 ATS when priced from +3 to -13 points.  Additionally, Kent State is 32-13-3 ATS at home vs. .546 (or better) conference foes off a SU win, if Kent State was off an ATS loss.  Take the Golden Flashes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Detroit.  These two Eastern conference heavyweights have met three times this season.  All three games were close, with the Pistons winning the first and third meetings.  We'll take the revenge-minded Celtics as an underdog tonight, as it's 24-3 straight-up, and 21-6 ATS its last 27 games when playing with revenge, including a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS as an underdog/pk.  Meanwhile, Detroit is 7-18 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Finally, the Celtics fall into a 182-102 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Indiana.  This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium, so the 'Canes will have a home field advantage.  Indiana annihilated Alabama and Oregon by an aggregate score of 94-25 to reach this title game.  But off those two big wins -- where they covered the point spread by 27.5 and 31 points -- we'll fade the Hoosiers as a road favorite.  Indeed, undefeated teams, with a 6-0 (or better) record, have cashed just 33% on the road after a point spread win by 25+ points.  Likewise, .850 (or better) teams have cashed just 17.3% over the last 40 years after back to back covers by more than 24 points (at game 5 forward).  Finally, the Hurricanes have a very strong defense, and give up just 14 ppg.  Over the last 45 seasons, NCAA teams that allow less than 14.8 ppg, have gone 75-48 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog, including 11-1 ATS vs. foes off a point spread win by 23+ points.  We'll grab the points with the defensive underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Memphis.  The Roadrunners play with revenge from a 75-70 loss to Memphis last season.  But UTSA did cover the spread as an 8.5-point home dog.  They're catching north of 20 points today, and we'll grab the points with the road team.  Indeed, Texas-San Antonio is a super 48-25 ATS as an underdog (or PK) in Conference games, if they were playing with revenge, and off a SU loss.  Take Texas-San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over Oklahoma St.  The Wildcats are currently riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  But we'll step in and grab the points with K-State, as they fall into a 369-247-14 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Even better:  the Wildcats are 11-2-1 ATS as an underdog off 4+ ATS losses.  Take Kansas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Wizards are a double-digit underdog at Denver tonight, and were also double-digit dogs in both meetings last season.  But Washington won each of those two games, straight-up:  122-113 as an 11-point home dog, and 126-123 as a 12.5-point road underdog.  It's true that Denver is on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  However, Denver is a poor 82-103-2 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Golden Eagles enter tonight's game on a 7-game losing streak.  We'll back Oral Roberts as a home favorite, as home faves have gone 103-78-3 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they owned a losing record, and had lost their previous 7 games, straight-up.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over St. Mary's.  The Broncos are a perfect 10-0 SU at home this season.  And, dating back to last year, the Broncos are 12-6 ATS their last 18 home games.  Santa Clara falls into a 56-21 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We'll lay the points with the home team.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers are a poor 13-23 ATS as a road favorite of 7+ points.  Meanwhile, the Trojans fall into a 90-38 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Grab the points with USC.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks + the points over Portland St.  The Lumberjacks come into this evening's game off an 83-69 loss at Sacramento St.  We'll take the double-digits with NAU, as it is 32-23-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off a SU loss, while the Vikings fall into a negative 64-120 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with the Lumberjacks.

At 4:45 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. Redhawks minus the points over SIU Edwardsville.  The Cougars blew out the Redhawks by 21 points in the previous meeting.  We'll take the revenge-minded home team today, as SE Missouri is 30-16-1 ATS as a favorite in conference games, including 10-1 ATS when priced from -7 to -11 points.  And the Redhawks are also 23-13-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss of more than 20 points.  Take SE Missouri.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Nebraska.  The Wildcats come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Rutgers and Illinois.  We'll take Northwestern + the points, as it's a solid 75-56 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Nebraska is a nasty 2-12 ATS its last 14 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And Big 10 teams have gone 27-8 ATS at home vs. undefeated foes with a 9-0 (or better) record.  Take Northwestern + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Michigan.  After going 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS from November 24 thru January 2 (covering by an average of 18.05 ppg), the Wolverines are now 0-3 ATS in their last three games, and have failed to cover by 15.66 ppg.  We played against Michigan in two of those three ATS losses, and will fade them once again this afternoon.  Take Oregon + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Iowa.  The Hoosiers are 84-55-2 ATS at home when not favored by 4+ points.  Take Indiana to blow out Iowa.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Miami-Ohio.  The Bulls sprinted out to a 13-2 start this season but lost each of their last two games, SU/ATS.   Buffalo plays this game with revenge from a 15-point loss to Miami.  We'll grab the points, as Miami is a miserable 6-14 ATS as double-digit favorites vs. revenge-minded foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Buffalo.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Minnesota.  The Rockets were embarrassed here, at home, by the Thunder last night in a 111-91 drubbing, while the T-Wolves are off a 33-point win over Milwaukee.  I look for the Rockets to redeem themselves in front of their home faithful, as home favorites (or PK) have gone 40-24-2 ATS off a loss by 20+ points, provided their win percentage was greater than .600, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Cleveland.  These two teams met here in Philly on Wednesday, and Cleveland came away with a 133-107 blowout win.  We played on the Cavaliers as an underdog in that game, but will take the Sixers in the rematch.  Indeed, teams off home losses by 25+ points have cashed 62% if they were playing the same team in their next regular season game.  Lay the points with Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds + the points over Tarleton St.  The Texans come into this game off a home upset loss, 84-80, to Abilene Christian.  We'll fade Tarleton off that loss, as Southern Utah has cashed 60% as underdogs vs. foes off upset defeats.  And the Thunderbirds also fall into a 650-430-27 ATS system of mine.  Take Southern Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Oklahoma City.  These two teams met in the season opener, and the Thunder escaped with a 1-point win.  The Rockets are currently mired in a 6-game ATS losing streak, while OKC is currently riding a 4-game win streak.  But I like playing on rested, .620 (or better) home dogs of more than 4 points in the regular season vs. foes off a SU win, as they've cashed 59% since 1997.  The Rockets are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings vs. the Thunder.  And OKC is coming off its big emotional win over San Antonio.  Grab the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe minus the points over NC A&T.  The Tribe come into this game off an upset road loss at the hands of Drexel, 64-58.  But William & Mary is 11-2-3 ATS off an upset road loss, including 6-0-2 ATS at home.  Meanwhile, the Aggies  are a poor 19-30-2 ATS in conference games, including 11-19 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  William & Mary also falls into 169-93 and 323-223 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over Mercer.  The Bears come into this game off back-to-back high scoring, blowout wins over The Citadel (101-63) and Wofford (109-97), while VMI enters off back to back blowout losses to East Tennessee St. (81-67) and Furman (69-48).  We'll grab the points with VMI, as teams off two double-digit, blowout losses have cashed 64% over the last 36 seasons vs. foes off back to back, double-digit, blowout wins, in which they scored 100+ points.  Additionally, VMI is 51-36 ATS as an underdog of +5 (or more) points vs. winning opposition.  Take the Keydets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Washington comes into this game off 3 blowout losses by 21, 21 and 19 points.  They're catching double-digits tonight, and rested, double-digit road underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 60.2% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points with the Wizards.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Philadelphia 76ers.  These two teams will play back to back games here, in the City of Brotherly Love, with the 2nd meeting coming up on Friday.  The 76ers blew out Toronto, 115-102, on Monday, while the Cavaliers were upset, 124-112, by the woeful Utah Jazz that night.  And Cleveland was a 13-point home favorite in that game.  We'll take Cleveland to bounce back tonight, as road teams have gone 129-98 ATS off a loss as a double-digit favorite, if they were matched-up in their current game against a foe off a SU win.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes are 12-4 this season, and enter tonight's game on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, Colorado has cashed just 31.5% of its conference games since 1990 off 3 ATS wins, if it was a road underdog.  Even worse, when the Buffs owned a win percentage greater than .700, they've gone 22-63 ATS as a road underdog.  Take the Bearcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Bonnies have dominated the Hawks, with 17 wins in the last 19 meetings, including 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS when the point spread has been 6 points or less.  We'll take St. Bonaventure tonight, as the Bonnies fall into a 96-51 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back ATS losses.  Take St. Bonaventure.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Portland.  The Warriors come into this game off a 124-111 upset loss at home to Atlanta, as a 7-point favorite.  We'll take the Warriors to bounce back tonight, as they've gone 38-23 ATS at home off a home loss, in which they allowed more than 120 points.  The Warriors are also dressed up with revenge tonight, as they lost at Portland, 136-131, a month ago.  Golden State is a solid 70-52 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if it was playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Nebraska.  The Cornhuskers are a soft 22-32 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a SU win, while Oregon is a solid 40-19-1 ATS away from home when catching more than 4 points.  Nebraska also falls into a negative 35-94 ATS system of mine off its road win over the Indiana Hoosiers.  Take the Ducks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Creighton.  Georgetown lost to Seton Hall, 76-67, at home on Saturday.  We'll take Georgetown to bounce back, as Big East Conference road underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points have gone 245-177 ATS in conference games off a loss by more than 8 points.  Take the Hoyas.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Rockets were stunned, 111-98, by Sacramento on Sunday.  And the Rockets were a 14.5-point road favorite in that game.  Even worse:  it was their 3rd straight loss, as they also dropped back-to-back games at Portland.  Off that debacle, we'll lay the points with Houston tonight, as it is 22-9 ATS off an upset loss (and 10-2 ATS if they also lost two games back).  Take the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over San Antonio.  The Thunder have dropped the first three meetings to the Spurs this season.  We'll take OKC to (finally) get into the win column vs. Mitch Johnson's men, as home favorites of -5 (or more) points have cashed 63% in the regular season the last 36 seasons, if they were upset in each of the season's three prior meetings.  Additionally, the Thunder are 42-22 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they were off an ATS defeat in their previous game.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Seton Hall.  The Pirates are 8-14 ATS their last 22 as a home underdog.  And they've won just eight of the last 41 meetings vs. UConn, straight-up (17-24 ATS).  Seton Hall is also a soft 18-31 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off a point spread defeat.  Take UConn.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks have been installed as a huge, double-digit favorite tonight vs. the Chippewas.  Unfortunately for Miami-, Mid-American Conference home favorites of -15 (or more) points are a soft 77-104 ATS vs. revenge-minded conference foes.  With Central Michigan playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to Miami, we'll grab the double-digits with the Chips.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over George Mason.  The Ramblers will play this game with revenge on their mind from a 58-53 loss to George Mason last season.  The Patriots come into this game off an upset win over Virginia Commonwealth.  But George Mason is an ugly 9-27-2 ATS as a home favorite in conference games off an upset win, including 1-12-1 ATS vs. a revenge-minded foe.  And Loyola is 37-17 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  Take the Ramblers.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Sacramento.  The Kings upset Houston last night, 111-98, as a 14.5-point home underdog.  Off that huge upset win, we'll fade Sacramento vs. the Lakers tonight.  Indeed, since 1990, NBA teams have covered just 27.7% if they won the previous night as a 14-point (or greater) underdog.  The Lakers are 6-0 SU/ATS in the last six meetings vs. the Kings.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Toronto.  These two teams played here, in Toronto, last night, and the homestanding Raptors came away with a 116-115 win in overtime.  We'll take Philly to avenge that loss tonight, as it is 7-0 ATS its last seven (and 16-5-1 ATS its last 22) when playing the 2nd of back to back regular season games vs. the same opponent, if it lost the prior meeting.  Meanwhile, Toronto is 1-6 ATS in the 2nd meeting when playing back to back nights vs. the same opponent, if it won the previous game.  Take Philly.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over the New England Patriots.  The biggest key, for me, in this game is playoff experience at the quarterback position.  Yes, Justin Herbert has never WON a playoff game.  But he has been in two games.  The first was three seasons ago when the Chargers blew a 27-0 lead vs. Jacksonville, and fell, 31-30.  Then, last season, the Chargers were blown out by the Houston Texans.  Drake Maye, on the other hand, will taste the post-season for the very first time on Sunday.  Advantage:  Herbert.  This will also be the Patriots' first playoff game in four years.  I don't mind playing on an underdog in its initial playoff game which didn't reach the post-season the previous year.  But I don't like laying points with such teams.  The Chargers are 113-66-10 ATS as a road underdog of +2 (or more) points, including 35-15 ATS off back-to-back losses, and 6-2 ATS in the playoffs.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Nuggets come into tonight's game off a blowout loss to Atlanta, 110-87.  We'll take Denver to bounce back, as it's 79-49-3 ATS off a home defeat, including 32-15-1 ATS as an underdog.  Milwaukee, meanwhile, enters off an upset win over the Lakers.  But the Bucks are a soft 21-38-1 ATS off an upset win, including 8-20 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Phoenix.  The Wizards have been installed as a huge, double-digit road underdog tonight in the Valley of the Sun.  We'll grab the points as rested teams with a .500 (or worse) win percentage, have cashed 55.5% since 1990 as double-digit dogs off back to back SU/ATS losses, if their foe was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Grab the points with Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers plus the points over Philadelphia.  The 49ers come into this game off a 13-3 loss to rival, Seattle.  We'll take San Francisco to bounce back this afternoon as it's 102-64-4 ATS off a SU loss, if it wasn't an underdog of more than 3 points in that prior game.  Even better:  the Eagles are a soft 9-16 ATS when laying 6 (or more) points.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over UAB.  The Pirates come into this game off 3 straight losses, and have been installed as a huge home dog vs. UAB.  We'll grab the points, as East Carolina is an awesome 9-1 ATS its last 10 (and 36-22-1 ATS its last 59) as a home dog of +6 (or more) points vs. .600 (or better) foes.  Even better:  UAB is an ugly 22-41-2 ATS as a road favorite, including 6-21 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Finally, the Pirates fall into a 648-430 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars have won their last eight games.  But long win streaks are not necessarily a good thing when it comes to covering point spreads in the Playoffs.  Indeed, since 1980, teams on 8-game (or better) win streaks have cashed just 35.1%.  Moreover, the Bills have been great as underdogs, dating back to Josh Allen's rookie season, as they're 20-12-2 ATS when catching points.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, on Saturday, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal Irvine.  The Rainbow Warriors are 10-1 SU at home this season, and will look to avenge a pair of losses to the Anteaters last season.  Hawaii is off to a 3-1 start in Big West play, while Irvine is 5-0.  We'll take Hawaii, and fade Irvine, as underdogs with a 5-0 (or better) conference record have cashed just 79 of 191 vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over BYU.  This heated rivalry has been good to double-digit dogs, as they've gone 11-5 ATS.  Utah has also covered the last three meetings, and the Utes fall into 103-36 ATS system.  Take the Utes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Hornets have been installed as a road favorite tonight, and they're a stellar 21-12 ATS as a road favorite, including 10-2 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise St. Broncos + the points over Utah St.  The Broncos were upset at home, 75-58, by Grand Canyon on Wednesday.  Off that 17-point upset loss, we'll back Boise tonight, as it's 64-45-1 ATS off an upset loss, including 28-15-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Boise.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Indiana.  The Heat lost at Minnesota, 122-94, on Tuesday.  We'll take Miami to bounce back as it's 86-46 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS road loss.  Lay the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Houston Christian Huskies + the points over Stephen F. Austin.  The Huskies look to snap a losing streak this afternoon.  We'll grab the points, as Houston Christian is 40-28-2 ATS off back to back losses, while the Lumberjacks have covered just 14 of 35 vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take the Huskies + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Arkansas.  The Tigers were upset at home on Tuesday, 90-88, by Texas A&M.  We'll lay the small number with Auburn this evening, as it's 29-19-3 ATS in the regular season off a home upset loss.  Take Auburn.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento St. Hornets + the points over Portland St.  The Hornets come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  But they've cashed 71% ATS as road underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Vikings are a poor 25% vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Sacramento St. also falls into 120-61 and 980-759 ATS systems of mine.  Take Sacramento St.

At 4:30 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Panthers have been installed as a double-digit home underdog, and it's been very profitable to back double-digit home dogs in the NFL.  Indeed, they're 135-103 ATS since 1980, including a perfect 2-0 ATS in the Playoffs (in 2011, Seattle won outright, 41-36, over New Orleans; in 2021, the Commanders lost by just 8 vs. Tampa).  Take the Panthers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Arizona.  TCU is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as an underdog.  And it's 8-2 ATS its last 10 as a home underdog.  Take the Horned Frogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.