At 4 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over USC.  The four Big 10 teams from the Pac-12 have been great at home (6-3 ATS), but terrible on the road (1-5 ATS) in conference games this season.  This week, USC will have to travel to Maryland to take on a Terrapins team looking to make amends for an embarrassing 37-10 loss last week to Northwestern, as an 11-point home favorite.  We'll grab the points, as home teams have cashed 61% the past 45 years off 13-point (or worse) defeats as favorites of 11+ points (including 20-10 ATS as a home underdog).  Take Maryland.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Texas Tech.  We played on the Red Raiders in their previous game, and were rewarded with a 28-22 upset win over Arizona, as a 6.5-point underdog.  But we'll fade Texas Tech off that upset win, as they're a soft 13-26 ATS following an outright win as a dog.  Meanwhile, the Bears were steamrolled by Iowa State, 43-21, in their previous game.  They're now getting points from Texas Tech in Lubbock, and we'll happily take Baylor dressed up as an underdog.  The Bears are a solid 24-8-2 ATS off a point spread loss, when matched up against foes with a win percentage greater than .600, including 17-3-1 ATS as a conference underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Houston.  Both of these teams come into this game with a week of rest.  Kansas lost, 35-31, at Arizona St., as a 2-point underdog, on October 5.  Meanwhile, the Cougars pulled off a massive upset in their previous game when they went into Fort Worth, and upset TCU, 30-19, as a 16-point underdog.  They're getting much less than that here, and we'll fade the Cougars, as single-digit underdogs have cashed just 42% in the last 45 seasons off an upset win as a 16-point (or greater) underdog.  Kansas is a solid 25-16 ATS as a home favorite, including a perfect 4-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  And Houston is a horrid 42-74-1 ATS vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Jayhawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice.  The Green Wave come into this game off two huge wins, as they defeated South Florida, 45-10, as as 4-point favorite.  And then they followed that up with a 71-20 demolition of UAB, as a 19.5-point favorite.  For the season, Tulane ranks #6 in the country in point spread differential, as it's covered its FBS games by an average of 13.8 ppg.  In contrast, the Owls rank as the 5th worst team in point spread differential, as it has failed to cover the spread by 13.1 ppg in its FBS games.  We'll fade Rice, as underdogs of 19+ points, that have failed to cover the spread by an average of at least 11.63 ppg, at Game 7 forward, have covered just 34%.  Lay the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Roadrunners are 2-0 at home, with wins over Kennesaw St (28-16) and Houston Christian (45-7), and 0-4 on the road.  The good news for Jeff Traylor's men, then, is that they've back home at the Alamodome on Saturday.  UTSA has covered 70% of its home conference games that were competitively-priced with point spreads of 5 or less, while Florida Atlantic is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 games where the spread was 5 or less.  Lay the points with the Roadrunners.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Northern Illinois.  The Rockets were upset at Buffalo, 30-15, as a 10.5-point road favorite last week.  Off that clunker, we'll take the Rockets at Northern Illinois this afternoon.  The Rockets are a super 14-6 ATS off an upset loss.  And, even better, NCAA teams with a .666 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 61.6% since 1980 as road underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 10 points.  Toledo is also 8-4 ATS at Northern Illinois, including 3-0 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Toronto.  The winner of this game will get a leg up in the race for the #2 seed in the East division (and the home field advantage in the initial playoff game).  So, both teams will greatly want to win.  We'll side with the underdog Redblacks, and go against an Argonauts squad which enters off an upset win over Winnipeg, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  Unfortunately for Toronto, home favorites off upset wins as an underdog of more than 3 points, have cashed just 30.7% vs. division foes off a SU loss.  Take Ottawa + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Virginia.  The Tigers have rebounded nicely after getting annihilated by Georgia, 34-3, in their season opener.  Since that debacle, they've gone 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS.  Their last two games were on the road, so Clemson will be excited to be back home in Death Valley, where they've covered 6 straight.  Meanwhile, Virginia hits the road after back to back ATS wins at home.  The Tigers are 18-11 ATS their last 29 games vs. Virginia.  And they've also cashed 61% of their home ACC games off back-to-back road games.  Finally, Virginia is 1-7 ATS on the road off back-to-back home ATS wins.  Take Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Arizona State. Last week, the Sun Devils pulled off an upset as a 6-point home dog when they upended Utah, 27-19. But off that upset win, we'll fade ASU on the road in Ohio. The Sun Devils are a wallet-lightening 7-18 ATS away from home off an upset win. And Cincy is 30-14 ATS as a home favorite of more than 3 points vs. foes off a SU win. Take the Bearcats to blow out the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over the BYU Cougars.  The Cougars are off to a 6-0 start this season, and have covered all five of their FBS games.  We'll go against the Cougars on Friday night, and grab the points with Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys were upset at home last week, 38-14, as a 3-point home favorite.  But Okie State is a solid 10-0 ATS as an underdog off an upset loss, when playing a foe off a SU win.  That bodes well for the Cowboys on Friday night.  As does the fact that BYU has covered just 25% since 1980 as a home favorite of =10 (or less) points, if BYU was off a SU/ATS win, and its opponent was off a SU/ATS loss.  Grab the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Denver. The Saints were blown out last week in quarterback Spencer Rattler’s first start, and lost 51-27 to the Tampa Bay Bucs. Denver also lost last week, as they fell by 7 to the Chargers as a home underdog. The Broncos are favored on the road, even though they are 9-22-1 ATS away from home when not getting 4 (or more) points. I’ll take the Saints to bounce back, as underdogs of less than 9 points have gone 39-22 ATS after giving up more than 48 points in their previous game. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx + the points over the New York Liberty.  We played on the Liberty in Game 2, and were rewarded with an 80-66 blowout win.  But with Minnesota off that horrible game, we'll switch gears and play on the Lynx as a home underdog in Game 3.  Indeed, in the WNBA Finals, teams off losses by 14+ points have cashed 60% since 2006 (and 67% as home underdogs).  the Lynx are 12-6-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings with the Liberty, including 4-2 ATS this season.  Finally, the Lynx fall into 49-24 and 93-52 ATS Playoff systems of mine.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Sam Houston St. Bearkats minus the points over Western Kentucky.  This is a great match-up in Conference USA action, as both teams come into the game with undefeated (2-0) conference records.  I like the homestanding Bearkats, as they've covered the spread in four straight, including by 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  And this has triggered a solid 'momentum' system, as home teams off 2 wins and 4 straight covers have cashed 57.3% vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win, if our home team covered the spread in its two previous games by double-digits.  The Bearkats are 8-1 ATS their last nine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans enter this game with an 0-5 record vs. FBS opponents and a 1-4 ATS ledger.  And they've failed to cover the spread by 4.5 ppg.  I expect South Alabama to have a lot of success in the ground game, as it is averaging 7.1 ypr this season, while the Trojans are allowing 5.1 ypr in their six games.  Although both teams do enter this game off back-to-back ATS losses, the Jaguars are a solid 11-3 ATS in conference games off two ATS defeats.  Finally, the Jaguars fall into a 56-27 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Montreal.  The defending champion Alouettes are 11-3-1, and have already clinched the East division title, and a bye into the semi-final round of the playoffs.  So, its last three games of the regular season are a bit meaningless.  Meanwhile, Ottawa is sitting in 3rd place in the division, and will play Toronto in the first round of the playoffs.  That much is known.  But Ottawa can still leapfrog Toronto in the standings (they play next week) and host the playoff game.  So, this afternoon's game still has great meaning for the Redblacks.  We will grab the points with Ottawa, as defending Grey Cup champs (like Montreal) are a horrible 40-74-3 ATS when favored by more than 4 points, if they weren't off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  Montreal won the season's first two meetings by scores of 47-21 and 24-12.  But double-revenge-minded road dogs have cashed 82% in the regular season if they lost season's prior two meetings by more than 10 points.  Grab the points with Ottawa this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the New York Giants.  Cincy lost to the Baltimore Ravens, 41-38, in overtime last week, while the Giants upset the Seahawks, 29-20.  We'll take the Bengals to bounce back in the Meadowlands, on Sunday night, as they're 16-8-1 ATS as a road favorite, including 8-2 ATS off a SU loss.  Additionally, NFL teams off a SU loss, in which they scored more than 36 points, have covered 64.6%.  Finally, over the last 45 years, the Giants have covered just 39% of home non-division games, if they were off an upset win, and their opponent was off a SU loss.  Lay the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Denver Broncos.  The Broncos blew out Las Vegas, 34-18, last week.  They'll now host the rested Chargers, who had last week off to rest and regroup following their 17-10 loss to the defending champion Chiefs two weeks ago.  I'll take Los Angeles, as the Broncos are a brutal 4-18 ATS at home off an ATS win, if they were playing a .500 (or better) foe in their current game.  Additionally, each of these teams is playing the 2nd of back to back division contests.  And AFC West teams have covered 62% of division games, if they were off a division loss, and their opponent was off a division win.  Take L.A. minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, in Game 2 of the WNBA Finals, our selection is on the New York Liberty minus the points over Minnesota.  The Lynx upset the Liberty, 95-93, in overtime, on Thursday to take a 1-0 series lead.  We'll lay the points with New York in Game 2, as home teams have cashed 64% in the WNBA Finals off a SU loss.  Additionally, the Liberty are 9-0 SU their last nine off a loss in their previous game, including 6-0 ATS their last six.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Eagles are 2-2 on the season, and have been outscored by 2.4 ppg. They're now favored by more than a touchdown against Cleveland, which is 1-4 SU/ATS.  I'm not a fan of laying 7+ points with teams that have negative scoring margins, and especially not against opponents with worse won/loss records, as our favorites have covered just 35.7% since 1980.  This season, underdogs in the +7 to +10 price range are a staggering 7-0 SU/ATS!  We'll grab the points with the Browns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning, in a game played in London, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Chicago.  The Bears blew out Carolina, 36-10, and that was their 2nd straight win and cover.  I'll fade Chicago in this game across the pond, as Chicago is a wallet-crushing 35-54 ATS off a win by more than 10 points, including 2-14-1 ATS away from home off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  And it is 0-8-1 ATS its last 9 after covering the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Commodores stunned #1-ranked Alabama last week, 40-35, as a 23-point home underdog. I look for a letdown on Saturday night in Lexington, as winning teams, off an upset win as an underdog of more than 18 points, have gone 2-18 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points vs. a foe off a SU win. That doesn't bode well for Vandy on Saturday. Nor does the fact that the Commodores are 0-8 SU/ATS as underdogs away from home off an upset win. Lay the points with Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Ohio State. The Ducks were my preseason pick (at 8-1 odds) to win the National Championship. They're currently ranked #3 in the country, and this game vs. the #2-ranked Buckeyes will go a long way toward determining the seeds in the 12-team tournament at season's end. We'll happily grab the points as home underdogs have gone 10-0-1 ATS their last 11 if they were off 5+ wins, and playing an undefeated foe. Likewise, home underdogs with scoring margins of 18+ points (like Oregon), off back to back wins, have cashed 65% since 1985 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Finally, the Ducks are 27-14 ATS in conference games off 4+ wins, while Ohio State is 1-5 ATS on the Big 10 road vs. undefeated foes, when the spread was 4 points or less. Take Oregon + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over BYU. We played against Arizona last Saturday, and cashed a huge play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders were a 6.5-point underdog, and won that game outright, 28-22. Off that upset loss, we'll take the Wildcats to bounce back at BYU. Since 1980, the Cougars have covered just 25% as a home favorite off a SU win, vs. opponents off home upset defeats. Meanwhile, Arizona is an awesome 17-6 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss. Grab the points with Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over California. The Golden Bears suffered a heartbreaking loss, 39-38, to the undefeated Miami-Fla Hurricanes last Saturday. They now have to play another undefeated team -- the #22-ranked Panthers. We'll fade California, as it's an awful 0-8 ATS its last 8 (and 1-11 ATS its last 12) off a home game where it lost SU and covered the spread. And Pitt is 5-0 ATS its last 5 home games. Finally, at Game 6 forward, NCAA home teams with a win percentage greater than .750, have cashed 58% when favored by 7 or less points against foes off an ATS win. Lay the points with Pitt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Seattle Seahawks.  We played against the Niners last Sunday, and got the $$$ when Arizona pulled off a 24-23 upset, as a 7-point road underdog.  But off that big upset defeat, we'll take San Francisco to bounce back at Seattle.  Indeed, the Niners are a sensational 71-33-2 ATS off an upset loss, if they were favored by 3+ points in their previous game, including 28-7 ATS if the 49ers owned a losing record off the defeat.  San Francisco has also won five straight vs. the Seahawks (covering four of the five).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Jacksonville St. Gamecocks minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies have been competitive at home this season, with a narrow, 30-24, loss to Liberty (as a 22-point dog), and a 50-40 loss to New Mexico (as a 9.5-point dog).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Aggies were shut out, 48-0, by Fresno (as a 20-point dog), and blown out, 31-11, by Sam Houston St. (as a 15-point dog).  Taken together, the Aggies have covered the spread by an average of 7.75 ppg in their home FBS games, but have FAILED to cover the spread in their road FBS games by 16.5 ppg.  Given that this game is being played in Jacksonville, New Mexico St.'s home/road splits don't bode well for it on Wednesday night.  Even worse:  the Aggies are 21-42 ATS when getting 20+ points, including 0-5 ATS when rested.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  We played on the Sun in Game 4, on Sunday, and were reward with a 92-82 SU/ATS win.  This 5-game series is now tied at 2-games-apiece, and we'll side with the home team on Tuesday night.  Minnesota is an awesome 80-46-4 ATS at home off a point spread loss, if it was favored (or PK), including 10-5-1 ATS in the playoffs.  And the Lynx are also 58-31-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge, including 15-4 ATS if it lost its previous game by double-digits.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Cowboys come into this game off 3 straight ATS losses to the Saints, Ravens, and Giants, though they did win straight-up, 20-15, in the Thursday Night Football game vs. New York.  We'll take Dallas to get off the point spread schneid tonight, and grab the points with the underdog.  Indeed, Dallas is a solid 61.2% since 1980 off back-to-back ATS losses, if they won their previous game, straight-up (and 73% off 3 ATS losses).  Also, in NFL match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, underdogs of less than 6 points off 3 ATS losses have gone 68-46-3 ATS, including 31-9-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  The Sun lost Games 2 + 3 (including an upset loss, 90-81, at home on Friday), and now trail 2-games-to-1 in this Best-of-5 semifinal series.  We'll lay the points, as home teams off a SU/ATS loss that face elimination in a 5-game playoff series have cashed 61.9%.  Even better:  the Sun have cashed 83% off an upset playoff defeat.  We'll lay the points with Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco.  The Cardinals were favored by 3.5 at home vs. Washington last Sunday, but were blown out 42-14.  Meanwhile, San Francisco smashed New England, 30-13.  We'll take Arizona to rebound , as road underdogs off double-digit upset losses have covered 63% since 1980 vs. division foes off double-digit wins.  That bodes well for Arizona.  As does the fact that San Francisco is 4-18 ATS at home when favored against an opponent not off a win.  Take the Cardinals + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the New York Liberty plus the points over Las Vegas.  The Aces staved off elimination in this 5-game series with a 95-81 blowout win over New York, on Friday.  I look for the Liberty to eliminate the Aces this afternoon, and end their bid for a 3rd straight championship.  Las Vegas has failed to cover the spread at home this season by an average of 3.43 ppg, while New York has covered the spread on the road by an average of 4.00 ppg.  That bodes well for the road team.  Also, the Liberty have been solid off a SU loss, covering 60%.  With respect to Playoff situations, WNBA teams off a SU/ATS win, that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series, have cashed just 20%.  And, finally, top-3 seeded WNBA teams have cashed 63% on the road off a SU/ATS road playoff loss.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Jaguars have started the 2024 season with four straight losses.  We did play on the Jags last week, and were rewarded with an ATS win when the Jags fell by just four points, 24-20.  Here, they're favored vs. Indianapolis, and we'll lay the points, as winless teams (at Game 5 forward) have gone 83-59 ATS vs. division rivals.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins over the New England Patriots.  Miami was embarrassed on Monday Night Football when they got blown out by Tennessee, 31-12, as a 2.5-point home favorite.  We'll look for the Fish to bounce back on Sunday, as underdogs (or Pk'em teams) off upset losses by more than 17 points on MNF have gone 10-1 ATS.  Even better:  the Patriots are a poor 0-8 SU/ATS vs. losing teams.  Take Miami.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Washington.  The Browns were a 2.5-point road favorite at Las Vegas, but were upset by the Raiders, 20-16.  They're now a road underdog at Washington, which comes into this game off back to back upset wins.  We'll grab the points with Cleveland as underdogs off upset losses have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off back to back upset wins.  Additionally, Washington is a woeful 31-72 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) vs. opponents that don't own a winning record.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Chicago.  The Panthers were 2-15 last season, and scored just 13 points in their first two games this season before benching QB Bryce Young.  With Andy Dalton under center, the offense has looked much better, and the Panthers scored 36 at Las Vegas, and then put up 24 in defeat vs. Cincy.  This week, the Panthers have been installed as a road underdog at Chicago.  We'll grab the points, as Carolina is 49-30 ATS as a road dog vs. .500 (or worse) teams, including a perfect 8-0 ATS off a point spread loss, if their foe was off a SU win.  Additionally, the Bears are a brutal 43-64-4 ATS off a SU/ATS win if their foe was off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Panthers.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning (in a game played in London, England), our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Minnesota.  The Jets were upset, 10-9, by the Denver Broncos last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll take New York to bounce back on Sunday.  Indeed, Aaron Rodgers' teams have been terrific with him under center when coming off a SU/ATS loss, as they've gone 58-29 ATS, including 10-3 ATS as an underdog.  And Rodgers' teams have also gone 56-35 ATS in his starts vs. opponents off a SU/ATS win.  Take New York + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats stunned Utah, 23-10, as a 7.5-point road underdog last Saturday.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade Arizona as a home favorite this weekend.  Indeed, the Wildcats are a woeful 4-17-1 ATS as a favorite off an outright win as an underdog (or PK), including 1-12 ATS when favored by 4+ points.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Miami-Fla.  Something's gotta give on Saturday night in Berkeley, as California owns the 12th-best scoring defense (12.7 ppg), while Miami owns the 2nd-best scoring offense (49.4 ppg).  I like the defensive-minded home dog, as California is 16-7-1 ATS its last 24 as a home dog, while Miami is 2-14 ATS away from home off an ATS loss.  Additionally, underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, with a defense that gives up < 14 ppg, have cashed 60% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take California.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Michigan.  This is a rematch of the National Championship game won by the Wolverines last January.  Michigan is off to a 3-1 start this season after downing Minnesota, 27-24, last Saturday, in Ann Arbor.  Meanwhile, Washington is 3-2, and enters off a tough loss at Rutgers last week.  We'll fade Michigan, as defending National Champs are a dismal 16-37 ATS away from home off back-to-back wins, when not favored by 7+ points (including 0-6 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss).  Lay the points with Washington.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Minnesota.  We played on the Gophers last week, and got the $$$ in a 27-24 loss to the Michigan Wolverines.  Minnesota is back home on Saturday, and will welcome the USC Trojans to Huntington Bank Stadium.  Unfortunately for the Gophers, they're a brutal 0-6 SU/ATS at home when not favored by 3+ points.  And Minnesota also falls into a negative 103-182-6 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams off losses.  Lay the points with the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over San Jose St.  The Spartans are 3-0 ATS this season in its FBS games, after covering the spread at Washington State, in a 54-52 overtime defeat its last time on the field.  Meanwhile, Nevada is 2-2 ATS in its 4 FBS games, but did blow out FCS Eastern Washington, 49-16, its most recent game.  Even though San Jose is 3-0 ATS, we'll fade it on Saturday night, as the Spartans are a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS after covering the spread in its three previous games.  And Nevada is a solid 13-7 ATS vs. opponents that did cover the spread in each of their three previous games.  The Spartans also fall into a negative 24.1% ATS system of mine that fades certain home favorites off road losses.  Grab the points with Nevada.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Iowa State.  The Bears enter this game off an upset home loss to Big 12 Conference rival, BYU, last Saturday.  But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Bears to bounce back in Ames on Saturday night, as Baylor is a super 14-3-2 ATS as an underdog in conference games off an upset loss.  The Bears also play this game with revenge from a 30-18 loss in Waco last October.  And the revenger in this rivalry is 11-2-1 ATS, including 6-0-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles enter this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, including a 44-7 blowout loss at Jacksonville St. in their last game.  Officially, the Golden Eagles are 0-2 SU/ATS in their FBS games this season.  But they were on their way to another SU/ATS loss in their season opener at Kentucky, before that game was halted in the 3rd quarter due to lightning strikes.  Dating back to 2019, the Golden Eagles are 19-29 ATS, including 4-19 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  And they're also 0-9 ATS in home conference games off a double-digit non-conference loss.  Lay the points with Louisiana-Lafayette.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Edmonton Elks + the points over Saskatchewan.  The Elks currently sit in 4th place in the West division, and need to win on Saturday to avoid being eliminated from playoff contention.  After covering six straight games, from August 3 to September 7, the Elks lost back-to-back games to Winnipeg, including a 55-27 defeat last Friday.  We'll take the Elks to bounce back off that debacle, as underdogs have gone 39-25-2 ATS off a loss by 28+ points.  Likewise, teams have cashed 78% following a road loss in which they gave up 55+ points.  Finally, the Roughriders are 0-10 ATS as a road favorite of less than 7 points vs. foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points with Edmonton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers + the points over Marshall.  Appalachian State got a much needed week off after losing to South Alabama 16 days ago.  The Mountaineers were favored by 8.5 points at home vs. the Jaguars, but fell behind, 28-0, in the 2nd quarter, and got buried, 48-14.  I like the Mountaineers to bounce back in Huntington.  App State is 12-4 ATS its last 16 as an underdog, and is 11-1 SU and 8-2 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Even better:  the Thundering Herd are a wallet-breaking 8-23 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Appalachian State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Syracuse.  The Rebels routed Fresno State, 59-14, last Saturday and are a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS this year.  Off that 45-point win, we'll ride with the Rebels on Friday night.  Syracuse will make the trek out West after starting the season with four straight home games.  The Orange hammered Holy Cross last week, 42-14, and are 3-1 on the season.  UNLV has been dominant in its non-conference games, going 21-7 ATS its last 28 vs. non-conference FBS foes.  Even better:  the Rebels are 15-0 ATS off a win by more than 28 points, if their opponent wasn't off an upset loss.  Lay the points with UNLV.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Connecticut Sun minus the points over the Minnesota Lynx.  We played on the Lynx in Game 2 for our WNBA Game of the Year, and got the $$$$ in a 7-point Lynx victory.  The best-of-five series is now level at 1-game apiece.  We'll take the Sun to win Game 3, as home favorites have cashed 75% in the Playoffs since 2006 if they split the first two games on the road, and failed to cover the spread in Game 2.  Even better:  Connecticut is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 Playoff games following a SU/ATS loss.  And Minnesota is a poor 3-11 ATS in the Playoffs off an ATS win.  Take the Sun minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Tampa Bay.  This is Atlanta's 3rd straight home game.  And perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm.  The Falcons didn't cover the spread two games back vs. Kansas City.  And they also didn't cover the closing line last week vs. New Orleans.  But home teams playing their 3rd straight home game, that failed to cover the spread in the previous two, have gone 65-42-3 ATS.  Additionally, Tampa blew out Philly last week, 33-16.  But road underdogs (or PK) off 14-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 111-166 ATS.  Take Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over the Troy Trojans.  Last season, the Trojans blew out the Bobcats, 31-13, in San Marcos.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bobcats tonight, as favorites of more than 7 points have gone 75-42-1 ATS their last 118 when playing away from home with revenge.  Additionally, Troy has been terrible in front of its home faithful, as it's gone 26-45-1 ATS its last 72 at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points over Connecticut.  The Sun upset the Lynx in Game 1 of this semi-final series, 73-70.  We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off that upset loss, as it is 79-47-4 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off a point spread defeat.  Even better:  the Lynx are 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 13-2-1 ATS their last 16) when favored and playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Finally, the Sun are a dismal 7-17 ATS off a SU win, when playing a revenge-minded foe in the Playoffs.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Aces + the points over New York.  The Liberty took Game 1 of this semi-final series, 87-77.  We'll take Becky Hammon's women to level the series at 1-game-apiece tonight, as the Aces are a solid 7-3 ATS their last 10 playoff games off an ATS loss.  And Las Vegas is also 44-32-4 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 31-19-3 ATS as an underdog.  Meanwhile, New York is a wallet-breaking 24-40 ATS as a home favorite off a double-digit win, including 0-4 ATS in the Playoffs.  Grab the points with the Aces.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns over the Las Vegas Raiders.  The Browns were upset by the New York Giants last week, 21-15. I like Cleveland to bounce back, as it’s 13-2 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an opponent which isn’t a winning team. Also, the Raiders have been horrible at home vs. losing teams when not getting 3 or more points, as they’ve gone 24-60 ATS. Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over Washington.  The Cardinals lost at home to Detroit, 20-13, last week, while the Commanders upset Cincy on Monday Night, 38-33.  We’ll take Arizona to bounce back at home, as it is 35-11 ATS at home off a home loss when it wasn’t favored by 6 or more points.  Take the Cardinals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Houston.  The Jaguars were annihilated on Monday Night Football by the Buffalo Bills.  Buffalo scored touchdowns on its first 5 possessions, and had a 34-3 lead at halftime. The final score was 47-10, and the Jaguars are now 0-3 on the season. We’ll take Jacksonville to bounce back off that embarrassing loss, as underdogs have gone 48-28 ATS following a blowout loss on Monday Night Football by 20+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota.  Last week, the Vikings were a 1.5-point home dog, and they blew out Houston, 34-7. Minnesota is now 3-0 on the season. Unfortunately, undefeated teams off upset home wins by more than 20 points have gone 1-12 ATS when they weren’t favored by 4+ points. Even worse: the Vikings are 5-13 ATS on the division road when facing a foe with a .625 (or better) win percentage.  We’ll fade Minnesota as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over the New Orleans Saints.  When these two teams last met in the final week of the 2023 season, the Saints blew out the Falcons, 48-17. We’ll take Atlanta in this game, as NFL favorites off a SU loss, who are playing with revenge from a game where they gave up 48 or more points, have gone 10-1 ATS. Take the Falcons.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Philadelphia.  We played on the Eagles last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Saints on the road, 15-12. But they’re now playing their 2nd straight road game. And winning teams are a poor 68-95-5 ATS on the non-division road, if they won outright as a road underdog in their previous game, and their opponent wasn’t off a SU/ATS win. With Tampa off an upset loss to Denver, we’ll take the Bucs to bounce back here at home on Sunday.  Grab the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Carolina.  The Bengals are one of the most disappointing teams in football, with an 0-3 record. But we’ll lay the points with Cincy and go against a Panthers team off a 36-22 upset win at Las Vegas. Indeed, winless favorites of more than 3 points have gone 28-11 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets minus the points over Denver.  There has only been one team to have covered as a favorite of 6 or more points this season.  And that was the New York Jets last week, when they blew out the Patriots, 24-3, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But, overall, favorites of -6 or more have gone 1-12 ATS this season.  Still, I like the Jets here as a big favorite, as NFL teams (like Denver) off 19-point (or greater) upset wins have gone 130-177-8 ATS in their next game.  And Denver is also 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 15-30 ATS its last 45) off an upset win when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Jets.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans have been installed as a huge underdog in East Lansing.  Unfortunately, Michigan State has been miserable in the role of a big dog, as they've covered just one of their last 11 when getting more than 13 points.  Ohio State is absolutely loaded with talent this season, and is the current favorite (at 7-2 odds) to win the National Championship.  The Buckeyes have completely dominated Sparty the last eight years, as they're 8-0 SU.  They're also 7-0 ATS over the last seven seasons vs. MSU, covering the spread by an average of 14.21 ppg.  And Ohio State is 75-48-4 ATS as a road favorite.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Stanford.  Last week, the Cardinal upset Syracuse in their maiden ACC Conference game, 26-24, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  Off that huge upset win, we will fade Stanford in Death Valley on Saturday night.  Stanford is a wallet-busting 25-41 ATS off an upset win, including 0-9 ATS when catching 13.5 (or more) points.  And Clemson is a sensational 23-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 8-0 ATS when favored by 19+ points.  The Tigers blew out NC State, 59-35, last Saturday.  And that bodes well for Dabo Swinney's men, as Clemson is 19-3 ATS after scoring more than 56 points.  Lay the wood with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  We played on the Wolverines last Saturday as a home underdog vs. Southern Cal, and were rewarded with a 27-24 upset victory.  This week, we'll switch gears and go against Sherrone Moore's men as a big favorite vs. the Gophers.  The Wolverines have gone 0-8-1 ATS at home following an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) underdog.  Even worse:  after defeating USC at home, conference foes have covered just 15 of 46 conference games.  Finally, Big 10 Conference teams, after an upset home win the previous week, have gone 2-18 ATS at home vs. .600 (or worse) conference foes.  Look for U-M to suffer a letdown on Saturday.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over the NC State Wolfpack.  Last week, the Huskies were upset, 23-20, by Buffalo.  And that upset loss followed Northern Illinois' huge upset win at Notre Dame, as a 27.5-point road dog.  Certainly, it wasn't a surprise that the Huskies had a letdown following its win in South Bend.  After all, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame generally fall flat in their subsequent game.  But off its own upset defeat, we'll take Northern Illinois to bounce back on Tobacco Road against NC State.  The Huskies are a sensational 54-28-1 ATS as a road underdog.  And they're also 9-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 5-0 ATS on the road.  Meanwhile, NC State is a poor 3-13 ATS as a favorite/PK vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take N. Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over the Washington Huskies.  Washington comes into this game off a 24-5 blowout win over Northwestern, while Rutgers moved to 3-0 last week with an upset win, 26-23, at Virginia Tech.  Greg Schiano's Scarlet Knights have been installed as a small home favorite vs. the Huskies.  And we'll lay the points, as Rutgers is 18-9 ATS its last 27 as a favorite.  Additionally, Big 10 Conference teams are a woeful 35-58-3 ATS in their first road game of the season, if they were off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent wasn't off a SU loss.  Take the Scarlet Knights to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  Last week, Arizona annihilated the L.A. Rams, 41-10.  But off that high-scoring win, we'll fade Arizona as a home dog on Sunday.  Indeed, home teams have been poor (92-126-2 ATS) in non-division games off a win the previous week, in which they scored more than 40 points.  Additionally, the Lions are 21-6 ATS under coach Dan Campbell, if their opponent was not off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  The Rams were annihilated last week, 41-10, by Arizona.  But off that 31-point loss, we'll take the Rams as a huge home dog vs. San Francisco.  Indeed, NFL home dogs off losses by 27 (or more) points, have gone 161-113-4 ATS since 1980.  The Rams are also a solid 21-14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always.  Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Las Vegas.  The Panthers have been the worst offense in football to start the season.  They scored just 10 points in Week 1 and managed only 3 last week in their 2nd game.  Andy Dalton will get the start at QB this week for the Panthers, and we'll take the underdog, as teams that start the season 0-2 SU/ATS, while not scoring more than 10 points in either game, have gone 17-7 ATS in Week 3.  Additionally, teams (like the Raiders) off an upset win as an 8-point (or greater) underdog, have gone 44-59-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have been the most impressive team thus far, with blowout wins over the Panthers and Cowboys.  And New Orleans has scored 93 points across those two games.  But teams off back to back high scoring SU/ATS wins, in which they tallied 35 (or more) points in each game, have covered just 42 of 100 vs. foes off a SU loss.  With Philly, indeed, off an upset loss to the Falcons this past Monday, we'll grab the points with the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Kansas State.  The Cougars moved to 3-0 with a 34-14 blowout win in Laramie, as a 10-point road favorite vs. the Wyoming Cowboys last weekend.  BYU has been installed as a big home dog vs. the ranked Wildcats.  We'll grab the points, as undefeated home dogs with a 3-0 (or better) record, off a double-digit cover, have cashed 62.2% vs. conference foes since 1980.  And the Wildcats have covered just 11 of their last 34 games as road favorites.  Take BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Longhorns are ranked #1 in the country, and looked great with "backup" quarterback Arch Manning at the helm.  Texas smashed UTSA, 56-7, after erstwhile starter, Quinn Ewers, was injured in the 2nd quarter of that game.  Ewers was downgraded to "doubtful" for this week's game vs. the Warhawks, and we'll lay the points with Manning under center.  Texas is one of 3 teams with 3 SU/ATS wins vs. FBS competition this season (Pitt and Arizona St. are the other two).  Texas is 12-4-1 ATS when laying 32+ points vs. non-conference foes, while Monroe is a wallet-breaking 22-39 ATS in non-conference games when getting 24+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Boston College.  The Spartans are 3-0 after pounding Prairie View, 40-0, last weekend.  We'll take the Spartans + the points, as they're 47-25-2 ATS off a SU win, when playing on the road vs. winning foes.  Meanwhile, Boston College falls into a negative 63-130 ATS system of mine following its loss last week vs. Missouri.  Take Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia Southern.  Ole Miss has taken no prisoners this season.  It's 3-0 SU/ATS after blowout wins over Furman (76-0), Middle Tennessee (52-3) and Wake Forest (40-6).  I won't step in front of this freight train, as Ole Miss falls into a 133-84-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with big scoring margins.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Tennessee.  The 3-0 Sooners have been installed as a home underdog vs. 3-0 Tennessee.  And we'll happily take the points with the home team, as Oklahoma is a sensational 49-26-3 ATS at home when not favored by more than 21 points.  Additionally, the home teams have gone 193-145-9 ATS in matchups between top-level teams (with win percentages of .875+) that are both off 3+ wins.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Toledo.  Western Kentucky is a super 41-12 ATS when priced from -1 to +10 points vs. FBS competition.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog Hilltoppers.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  This Dallas metroplex rivalry has favored the underdog (24-15 ATS) and the revenge-minded team (21-14 ATS).  SMU falls into both categories on Saturday evening, and we'll grab the points with the Mustangs.  Additionally, TCU is a terrible 24-48-3 ATS vs. revenge-minded winning teams.  Take SMU.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Memphis.  Navy is off to a 2-0 start, with wins over Bucknell (49-21) and Temple (38-11), while Memphis is 3-0 following wins over North Alabama (40-0), Troy (38-17) and Florida State (20-12).  The Midshipmen have been installed as a big home dog, and we'll grab the points.  Since 1980, home dogs of +8 (or more) points are 90-63 ATS in FBS games after back to back wins by > 7 points.  And Memphis is a miserable 13-37-2 ATS when favored by 13 or less points vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Navy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over the USC Trojans.  The defending champs have gotten off to a slow start this season.  They're 2-1 SU, but 0-3 ATS.  Michigan has been installed as a home dog vs. USC, and we will happily grab the points.  USC has burned bettors' money over the years when installed as a road favorite of more than 4 points vs. foes off a win, as they've covered just 15 of 51.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Sky + the points over the Atlanta Dream.  There are 3 teams vying for the final WNBA playoff berth.  Improbably, those three teams are all 13-25 on the season.  The Sky and Dream are two of the teams, and will play their next-to-last game of the season in Atlanta, tonight.  Washington is the other team, and will host the Liberty on Tuesday (before finishing at home with Indiana).  This is virtually a must-win for the Sky, as they currently rank #3 in the point differential tie-breaker.  We'll grab the points, as Atlanta is an awful 13-30 ATS when favored off a SU win vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Sparks + the points over the Seattle Storm.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back games between these teams.  On Wednesday, the Storm defeated the Sparks, 90-82, as a 12.5-point home favorite, but failed to cover the big number.  Seattle is laying a lot of wood again on this Sunday evening.  But the Storm have been mired in an extended point spread slump.  They're just 3-11 ATS their last 14, including 0-8 ATS when laying 7+ points.  We'll take the Sparks as a huge underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

The Bengals suffered the biggest upset loss in Week 1 when they lost to the Patriots as a 7.5-point favorite. But teams that get upset in Week 1 as favorites of more than 6 points tend to bounce back in Week 2, and have gone 27-10 ATS. Additionally, the Bengals are an awesome 14-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Interestingly, this is the 2nd straight week that the Detroit Lions will be playing an opponent it defeated in last year’s playoffs. Last week, Detroit covered by a half-point in overtime vs. the Rams. And I also like Detroit to cover the spread in this home game vs. Tampa Bay, which blew out Washington, 37-20, last Sunday. Under Dan Campbell, the Lions are 21-5-1 ATS when playing an opponent not off a straight-up loss.  And teams playing their road openers at Detroit have gone just 12-23-1 ATS, including 4-12-1 ATS off a win by 17+ points.  Take the Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville.  The Browns were upset at home by the Dallas Cowboys, 33-17, in Week 1.  I like playing on road teams in Week 2 off double-digit upset losses, as they have bounced back to cover 65.3%.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over New Orleans. The Saints had the biggest margin of victory in Week 1, with a 37-point triumph over Carolina. Now, they’re getting a whopping 6.5 points from Dallas. The knee-jerk reaction might be to grab those points with the Saints. But be careful, as teams off a 20-point (or greater) win in Week 1 are 0-9 ATS their last nine (and 24-42-6 ATS since 1982) when not favored by more than 3 points. I’ll lay the points with Dallas.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Washington Commanders.  Washington has long been horrible at home vs. non-winning teams, if Washington wasn’t an underdog of 2 or more points.  In this situation, Washington has gone 35-81 ATS.  The Giants were a 1-point home favorite last week and were blown out by Minnesota, 28-6.  I’ll take New York to bounce back, as division road underdogs off an upset loss by more than 10 points have gone 109-69 ATS.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Old Dominion.  The Hokies have started slowly this season, going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS after failing to get the $$$ last week in a 31-14 win over Marshall.  This evening, the Hokies will battle the Monarchs in Norfolk, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite.  We'll lay the points, as Va Tech is 11-4 ATS on the road off back to back ATS defeats.  And it also falls into a 152-89 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that have underperformed ATS on the season.  Lay the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Ball State.  The Cardinals have been installed as a massive underdog this afternoon vs. the #10-ranked Hurricanes.  And Ball State has been woeful as big underdogs, going 0-13 SU and 2-10-1 ATS when catching 21+ points, while Mid-American Conference teams are 14-25-1 ATS when installed as underdogs of > 34 points.  Take Miami-Fla.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Oregon State.  Dan Lanning's men have burned bettors the first two weeks, with ATS losses vs. Idaho and Boise State.  We'll look for a bounce-back on this Saturday, as the Ducks are a solid 20-10 ATS off back to back point spread defeats.  Additionally, Oregon is 6-0 ATS its last six, and 20-6-1 ATS its last 27 on the road vs. a foe off a SU win, if Oregon wasn't off a point spread win.  And the Ducks are 8-2-1 ATS in this rivalry when priced from -13.5 to -19.5 points.  We'll take the Ducks to blow out the Beavers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats over the Arizona State Sun Devils.  Last week, the Bobcats had a hugely impressive win, as they throttled Texas-San Antonio, 49-10, as a 2-point home favorite.  The Sun Devils also were victorious, with a 30-23 win at home vs. Mississippi State, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And that followed a home blowout win (48-7) over Wyoming to kick off the season.  We'll fade the Sun Devils in their first road game tonight, as road teams off back to back SU/ATS home wins over FBS teams to start the season have covered just 39.2% since 1980 when they weren't getting > 4 points.  Even better:  Arizona State is a wallet-busting 15-30-2 ATS on the road off back-to-back wins.  We'll take the homestanding Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Wings minus the points over the Chicago Sky.  Angel Reese sustained a season-ending wrist injury two nights ago vs. the Los Angeles Sparks.  Chicago won the prior meeting, 83-72, with Reese leading the way with 16 points and 18 rebounds.  Without Reese in the lineup, we'll look for Chicago to crushed this evening by Dallas.  The Sky have covered just 28% as a home dog vs. revenge-minded teams the Sky defeated at home in the previous meeting.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Atlanta Falcons have not had a winning season since 2017, while Pittsburgh has never had a losing season in Mike Tomlin's 17 years as the head coach.  However, I wouldn't be surprised if Tomlin's 17-season streak ended this year.  We'll lay the points with Atlanta, as NFL teams off back to back losing seasons have covered 80% over the last 43 years in Week 1, when favored (or PK) vs. an opponent off back to back winning seasons.  The Falcons are an awesome 19-6 ATS in their home openers, while the Steelers have started the season off slowly, going 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 season openers.  Lay the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  Last season, the Panthers lost both games to their division rival, including a 20-17 defeat in their home opener, and 28-6 in December.  I like playing on revenge-minded underdogs (or PK) in the season opener, as they've cashed 55.2% over the last 34 years.  Even better, if our team lost the previous game to its opponent by double-digits, and is now getting more than 3 points in Week 1, our revengers have cashed 62%.  The road team has dominated this division rivalry, with a 29-16-2 ATS record, including 20-8 ATS as an underdog, 14-3-1 ATS with revenge.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Buckeyes are loaded this season and are one of the favorites to win the NCAA Championship in January.  Ohio State is a reliable 38-22 ATS when priced from -17 to -44 points, including a perfect 3-0 ATS vs. Mid-American Conference foes.  And the Big 10 Conference has generally beat up on MAC opponents when the line was higher than -20 points, going 126-3 straight-up, and 76-53 ATS since 1980.  Lay the lumber with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders + the points over Edmonton.  The Stamps were blown out, 35-20 by Edmonton this past Monday.  We'll take the underdog Stamps, as Calgary has cashed 69.5% off a double-digit loss when playing with revenge.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over Sam Houston St.  Both of these teams kicked off 2024 with a blowout win.  UCF annihilated New Hampshire, 57-3, while the Bearkats routed Rice, 34-14, as a 9-point underdog.  We'll fade Sam Houston St. on Saturday, as teams that won by double-digits in their season opener as 9-point (or greater) underdogs have covered the spread in their next game just 34% since 1980.  Moreover, the Knights are 8-2 ATS their last 10 (including 5-0 ATS their last five) when favored by more than 7 vs. non-conference foes off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Marshall.  Last season, the Thundering Herd knocked off Va Tech in Huntington, 24-17.  The Hokies have long been a great bet when playing with revenge, as they're 58-36-2 ATS in that situation, including 22-9 ATS when coming off a SU loss.  And the Hokies are, indeed, coming off a loss, as they were upset by Vanderbilt, in overtime, last Saturday.  That bodes well for Virginia Tech on Saturday.  As does the fact that Marshall is a wallet-breaking 47-66-2 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 26-40-1 ATS on the road.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Maryland.  Last season, Maryland went into East Lansing, and blew out the Spartans, 31-9.  We'll take Michigan State as a revenge-minded road underdog, as the Terrapins have covered just 15 of their last 45 vs. revenge-minded foes.  Even better:  Big 10 underdogs of +10 or less points have cashed 61.3% when playing with revenge from a home loss the previous season.  Take Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders + the points over Winnipeg.   These two teams played six days ago in Regina, and the Roughriders were upset by the Blue Bombers, 35-33.  We'll take the revenge-minded Roughriders + the points, as road underdogs have cashed 73% off an upset home loss to a division rival in rematches of a game played the previous week.  Take Saskatchewan.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets opened the season with a stunning win over Florida State.  But then Boston College also knocked off the Seminoles this past Monday, so Georgia Tech's victory has lost some of its luster.  The Yellow Jackets have been installed as a road favorite at Syracuse.  But Georgia Tech has been woeful has a road fave, with a 2-9 ATS record.  Even worse for the Jackets:  ACC Conference road favorites have gone just 86-134-6 ATS vs. conference foes that weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Finally, the Orange are 28-11-1 ATS at home off a win, when matched up against a foe off back-to-back wins (including 10-0 ATS when priced from -3.5 to +6.5 points).  Take Syracuse + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Florida Atlantic.  Last week, Army blew out Lehigh, 42-7, while the Owls lost by six at Michigan State, 16-10, as a 13-point underdog.  Army has been installed as a road underdog vs. the Owls.  And we'll take the points, as Army is a solid 25-13-2 ATS as an underdog away from home, while Florida Atlantic is an awful 1-9 ATS at home vs. non-division foes.  Army also falls into 95-62 and 158-61 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams (like Florida Atlantic) off ATS wins.  Take the Black Knights.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Texas.  Last season, Michigan went 15-0 to win the National Championship.  This season, the Wolves were ranked #9 in the preseason poll, and got off to a slow start last week vs. Fresno.  Michigan won the game, 30-10, but didn't cover the spread.  I look for the Wolverines to bounce back with a stronger game on Saturday afternoon.  They've been installed as a home dog vs. #3-ranked Texas.  And defending champs have covered 69.5% since 1980 as an underdog off a point spread loss, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win (and 83% as home dogs).  Additionally, Texas has covered just 8 of 25 games as non-conference road favorites.  Grab the points.