Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-21 | UC-Davis v. Oregon State -6 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Cal Davis. Oregon State was blown out by 25 points here, at home, by Arizona in its last game (its 3rd straight loss by double-digits). And that was also OSU's 3rd straight ATS loss. We'll lay the points with the Beavers, as they fall into a 99-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses. Additionally, Pac-12 teams off back to back losses have gone 81-55-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes, including 38-18 ATS off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Oregon State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +4.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
At 8 pm our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Alabama. The Tigers have generally been a very strong point spread team under coach Penny Hardaway, but they're 0-4 ATS over their last four games. The good news for Memphis here, as a home underdog, is that it's 44-26-2 ATS under Coach Hardaway when not laying double-digits, including 3-1-1 ATS as a home underdog. And Memphis has also cashed 65 percent over the last 32 years off 4+ ATS defeats. Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide has covered just 5 of 17 as a non-conference road favorite. Take the Tigers + the points. |
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12-14-21 | Jackson State v. Northern Iowa -13 | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers minus the points over Jackson State. We played on the Tigers +19 over Iowa State on Sunday, and got the $$$ when they lost by just 10, 47-37, in a very low scoring game. Unfortunately for Jackson St., underdogs haven't fared well following a game where they covered the spread, but mustered 37 or less points, as they've cashed just 27% over the last 32 years. Even worse: the Tigers have covered just 5 of their last 15 when getting 12+ points, while the Panthers are 19-8-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite, including 11-2 ATS against foes off double-digit losses. Take Northern Iowa to blow out Jackson State. |
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12-14-21 | Warriors v. Knicks +5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Golden State Warriors. Last night, Golden State went into Indiana and defeated the Pacers, 102-100. But the Warriors didn't cover the point spread, and that extended its ATS losing streak to three games. We'll fade Steph Curry & Co. tonight at Madison Square Garden, as the Warriors have covered just 3 of 17 off a win the previous day, if they were matched up against an opponent with a win percentage greater than .400 (and 0 of 7 as a favorite). Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-21 | Suns v. Clippers +3.5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Phoenix. Devin Booker (23.2 ppg) was injured in Phoenix's win over Golden State, on November 30. Since that game, the Suns have gone 3-1 without their scoring leader, but three of those games -- all wins -- were at home; the Suns lost their lone road game without Booker. That doesn't bode well for tonight's game, in Los Angeles. Admittedly, the Clippers are dealing with their own injury issues (Kawhi Leonard, Paul George). But that hasn't stopped L.A. from entering tonight on a 3-game win streak. We'll take the points with the home underdog Clippers, as Los Angeles is 16-10 its last 26 as an underdog, and also 8-3 its last 11 as a home dog. And it's also won 13 straight regular season home games vs. the Suns, and is 9-0 ATS the last nine! Take Los Angeles + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 91-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Memphis. Philly comes into this game off an impressive upset win over Golden State, which moved its record to 15-12, and has been installed as a road favorite tonight against the 16-11 Grizzlies. The 76ers are 22-6 straight-up, and 17-9-2 ATS when favored on the road, including 9-3 ATS vs. Western Conference foes. And road favorites of -3 (or more) points, have cashed 65% vs. non-conference foes, with a better W/L record, over the last 32 years. Take Philly minus the points. |
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12-13-21 | Cleveland State v. Oklahoma State -12 | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Cleveland State. The Cowboys will welcome the Vikings to Stillwater this evening, and will look to bounce back off their upset loss here to Xavier their last time on the court. Oklahoma State was favored by 3.5 vs. Xavier, but lost, 77-71, which lowered their record to 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS. The good news for Oklahoma State tonight is that Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 as home favorites of more than 9 points in non-conference games, after failing to cover the spread by 9+ points in their previous game. And, even better, the Cowboys are 43-14-3 ATS as a home, or neutral court favorite in non-conference games, if they owned a losing ATS record. Take the Cowboys minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-21 | Bucks v. Celtics +1 | Top | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Celtics return home after a 1-4 west coast trip which saw them drop games to Utah, Phoenix, the Lakers and the Clippers. Tonight, they'll host Milwaukee for the 2nd time this season. And Boston defeated the Bucks in the first go-round, 122-113, as a 5.5-point favorite. This game is priced near PK'em, and we'll take the home team, as Boston will be playing with 2 days of rest, while Milwaukee is unrested after winning yesterday in New York. Over the last four seasons, the Celts have cashed 79% when playing with at 2 more days of rest than their opponent, while Milwaukee has gone 3-10 its last 13 when playing without rest. Take Boston. |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 56 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Detroit. After coming close to victory five times, the Lions finally broke through at their sixth opportunity when they scored on the final play to upend division rival, Minnesota, 29-27. But off that emotional win, we will fade Detroit on the road this Sunday. They'll have the tall task of facing a Broncos club which lost, 22-9, last week at Kansas City to fall to 6-6 on the season. And Denver now sits one game behind 7th-seeded Buffalo for the final playoff berth in the bunched-up AFC Conference. Towards the end of the season (Game 13 forward), it's been very profitable -- 64% -- to play on .500 (or better) teams at home off a loss, when matched up against losing opponents off an upset win. Additionally, Denver's cashed 88% at home since 1980 off a loss by more than 7 points, if its opponent was off an upset win. And road dogs have cashed just 37% off an upset division win at home, when matched up against a non-division foe off a SU/ATS loss. Lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 36-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats plus the points over Baylor. These two teams met in the Sweet 16 round of last year's NCAA Tournament, and Baylor won, 62-51, as a 7.5-point favorite. We'll take Villanova in this revenge match, as it falls into several of my NCAA revenge systems. Additionally, Jay Wright's Wildcats are a superb 28-12 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, if they owned a winning record. Take Villanova. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-21 | Jackson State +19 v. Iowa State | Top | 37-47 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers + the points over Iowa State. The Cyclones upset rival, Iowa, by a whopping 20 points (as a 5-point underdog). But teams off such blowout upset wins have only covered 44% of non-conference games the past 32 years. And Iowa State also has been poor as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games off an upset win, as it's covered just 25% of the time. Take the Tigers + the points. |
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12-12-21 | Fairfield v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 70-47 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Fairfield. We'll take the points in this matchup between the Colonial and Metro Atlantic conferences, as the Colonial teams have covered 64.3% of the time. Even better: Colonial Atheletic Ass'n teams have gone 39-17 ATS as home underdogs of +4 (or more) points, if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses, and matched up against a foe off back to back wins, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 when priced from +4.5 to +8 points. Take William & Mary + the points. |
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12-12-21 | Falcons v. Panthers -2.5 | Top | 29-21 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers minus the points over Atlanta. These two teams met in Atlanta on Halloween, and the Panthers were installed as a 2.5-point road underdog. We played on Carolina in that game, and were rewarded with a 19-13 upset victory. Carolina dominated the game, as it outyarded the Falcons, 332-213, had more first downs (21-17), and controlled time of possession (35:23 to 24:37). For today's game, the Panthers will have an advantage of playing with an extra week of rest following its 33-10 upset loss at Miami two weeks ago. And the Panthers are a super 20-8 ATS in division games off an upset loss. Even better: they're 27-9-1 ATS off a double-digit loss, if they weren't getting 3+ points in their current game. Take Carolina minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +10 | Top | 33-13 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Seattle. The Texans come into this game off a horrible offensive performance, which saw them net just 84 rushing yards and 57 passing yards. And they scored 0 points. That was Houston's 2nd straight loss (both at home), so this game will conclude its 3-game home stand. Over the last 42 years, NFL home teams have done exceedingly well off back to back home losses, as they've cashed 61 percent, including the last seven in a row. And if our home team lost by more than 23 points in its previous game, then they've gone a perfect 9-0 ATS. The Seahawks are not deserving to lay this many points on the road. Seattle is 1-3 SU/ATS since QB Russell Wilson returned from injury, and averaged just 14.5 ppg in those four games. Seattle has a negative 0.83 scoring margin for the season. And at Game 5 forward, NFL teams with negative scoring margins of minus 0.25 (or worse) are a horrid 0-16 ATS as road favorites of -7 (or more) points when playing an opponent off a loss by 7+ points. Take Houston + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-21 | Bucks v. Knicks +4 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee. These two teams have met twice already this season, with the last meeting on November 10 -- also here, at Madison Square Garden. In that game, the Bucks emerged victorious, 112-100, as a 3.5-point road underdog. We had a play on Milwaukee in that one, as the Bucks were playing with revenge from a 15-point loss in the season's first meeting. But here, it's the Knicks playing with revenge, and they're a home underdog rather than a home favorite, so we will grab the points. Milwaukee is a soft 2-8 ATS as a favorite of 6 or less points vs. revenge-minded foes that were upset in the prior meeting. And New York is 11-0 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if it is also playing with revenge from an upset loss against a .500 (or better) foe. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-21 | New Orleans v. Utah State -18.5 | Top | 50-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Orleans. After winning six straight games (5-0 ATS) to wind up November, the Aggies have opened December off back to back losses to Saint Mary's and BYU. But we'll lay the points with Utah St. tonight, as it falls into a 70.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Moreover, the Aggies are a reliable 31-10 ATS when laying more than 8 points vs. a foe off a loss, and they're a perfect 9-0 ATS off back to back losses, when laying more than 12 points. Take Utah State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-21 | Kings +7 v. Cavs | Top | 103-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Cleveland. The Kings have played very well since Luke Walton was fired, and Alvin Gentry hired as interim head coach. The Kings have gone 5-4 under Gentry, compared to 6-11 under Walton. Last night, though, Sacramento suffered a most difficult defeat. It fell by 1 point at Charlotte when De'Aaron Fox missed two free throws with 2.4 seconds left -- and Fox (who led all scorers with 31 points) is a 74% free throw shooter! Off that defeat, we'll take Sacramento to rebound tonight, as it's 27-12 ATS as a road underdog off a road loss, including 11-1 ATS when priced from +6 to +9.5 points. Take the Kings + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-21 | VCU v. Old Dominion +5 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Commonwealth. The Monarchs will seek their 3rd straight win (and 4th straight cover) tonight when then welcome the Rams to Chartway Arena. Old Dominion falls into a 95-43-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, home dogs (or PK) off back to back double-digit wins away from home have gone 25-6 ATS. Take Old Dominion + the points. |
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12-11-21 | Elon +22.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over North Carolina. The Tar Heels have won their last three games, and have covered their last two. But they're a wallet-busting 0-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins, and they're also an awful 3-13 ATS their last 16 when laying more than 9 points. Meanwhile, Elon is a powerful 28-8 ATS as a road dog of more than 5 points when playing an opponent off back to back wins, including 12-0 ATS its last 12 when catching double digits. Take Elon + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-21 | Jazz -5 v. Wizards | Top | 123-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Washington Wizards. Utah comes into this game off six straight wins, and has won those by an average of 17.67 ppg. I won't step in front of this freight train, as the Jazz don't have letdowns off wins. They're 64-41-1 ATS off a win, including 31-14 ATS vs. teams from the Eastern conference. And, even more impressive is the fact they're 46-25-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, when not laying 10+ points. The Jazz are 9-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 vs. the Wizards, including 4-1 SU/ATS here, in Washington. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-21 | Alabama A&M v. Samford -13 | Top | 50-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama A&M. Last year, Alabama A&M came into the Pete Hanna Center, and upset Samford, 78-76, as a 7-point road underdog. But we'll take the revenge-minded home team this evening, as it falls into a 104-49 ATS revenge systems of mine. Take Samford minus the points. |
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12-11-21 | Boston College v. St. Louis -6.5 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Saint Louis Billikens minus the points over Boston College. The Eagles will look for their second straight upset win after shocking Notre Dame, 73-57, as a 4.5-point home dog. But the Billikens will prove to be a tough foe today, as it will be looking to bounce back from a pair of upset losses. Saint Louis doesn't lose many home games, and especially not back to back home games. But that's what happened earlier this past week, as UAB and Belmont came into Chaifetz Arena, and exited with wins. But the Billikens are 49-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Boston College is 1-8 ATS its last nine off an upset win. Lay the points with St. Louis. |
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12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin. This is a great matchup in Columbus between the red-hot 8-1 Badgers, who have won and covered six straight, and the 7-2 Buckeyes. We'll lay the points with Ohio State, as the Buckeyes fall into a terrific 385-242 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams favored over other winning teams. Also, Wisconsin is an awful 24-50 ATS on the road vs. conference foes with an ATS win pct. less than .563, if the Badgers were getting less than 13 points. And the Buckeyes are a fantastic 27-9 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, when matched against an opponent off a point spread cover. Lay the points with the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-21 | Nebraska +14 v. Auburn | Top | 68-99 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Auburn. This game will be played at State Farm Arena, in Atlanta, Georgia, in the Holiday Hoopsgiving Classic. Both teams will be short-handed, as 18th-ranked Auburn will be without its head coach, Bruce Pearl, who will serve a 2-game suspension handed down by the NCAA, while Fred Hoiberg's 'Huskers will be without a couple of players due to the flu. In its last game, the 'Huskers were blown out, 102-67, by Michigan. But we'll take the 'Huskers + the points this morning, as Auburn is a horrid 15-45 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes that failed to cover the spread by 8+ points in their previous game, if Auburn wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game. Take Nebraska + the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-10-21 | Panthers -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers minus 1.5 goals over the Arizona Coyotes. Aleksander Barkov left Florida's last game due to an undisclosed injury (though it was unrelated to his knee injury which sidelined him for eight games). But he practiced yesterday, and looks to be good-to-go tonight. Also, left wing Anthony Duclair has been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight. In net will be Sergei Bobrovsky for Florida (11-1-2, 2.41 GAA) and Scott Wedgewood for Arizona (3-5-1, 2.89 GAA). Arizona has scored 2 goals or less in seven of its last eight games, while Florida has scored 3 goals or more in eight of its last 10. Florida did lose its last game, 4-3, but is 42-20 after surrendering 4+ goals. And of the Coyotes' 20 losses this season, only five have been by just a single goal. There's just too much firepower on the Florida side. The Panthers rank 2nd (behind Colorado) with 3.80 goals per game. And when Arizona has played the 8 teams ranked among the upper 25% in goals scored per game (at least 3.3 per game), Arizona has gone 1-9. And zero of its nine losses were by a single goal (the average loss was 5.11 to 1.89). Take Florida minus 1.5 goals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves -1 | Top | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland's been the league's best point spread team this season, as it's covered nine straight heading into tonight, and is 20-6 ATS, overall. And it's also covering the spread by an average of 7.59 ppg. To put this extreme success into perspective, consider that never in the past 32 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes) has a team covered the spread by more than 6.76 ppg at Game 27 forward! So, it's safe to say that the Cavs will come back down to Earth. If, for no other reason than that the oddsmakers will (and already have) made adjustments to their number. In that regard, we have this game tonight priced near PK'em. The value is clearly on the side of the T-Wolves, who are 5-3 ATS their last eight home games, and have covered against the likes of Phoenix, Sacramento, Miami, San Antonio and Memphis. It's been 20 games since the last time the Cavaliers were getting this much respect on the road by the oddsmakers. But even when have been priced as a small underdog, or a favorite on the road, they've not done well, as they've gone 8-19 ATS their last 27. Take the Timberwolves at home tonight to blow out Cleveland. |
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12-10-21 | Bucks -8.5 v. Rockets | Top | 123-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets. Kudos to Houston. Like Lazarus, it's risen from the dead, and currently rides a seven-game win streak (which followed a 15-game losing streak). Unfortunately, tonight's opponent is the Milwaukee Bucks, who were upset by Miami, 113-104, as a 6-point favorite, in their last game. But the Bucks are an awesome 18-5 ATS after failing to cover their previous game by more than 14 points, when rested, and playing an opponent off a win (including a perfect 8-0 ATS when laying 8+ points). Take the Bucks. |
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12-10-21 | Lakers -5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder come into tonight's game off an upset win at Toronto (their 2nd straight win), and are 8-16 on the season. Meanwhile, Frank Vogel's Lakers were the preseason favorite to win the Western Conference, yet are floundering at 13-13. Player absences and trying to integrate a bunch of new team members certainly has much to do with it. But so does a lackadaisical attitude on the court. Indeed, Vogel lamented after their loss to Memphis on Thursday that his team was too 'casual.' However, there are several reasons to believe that won't be the case tonight, and that the Lakers will put forward a supreme effort. First and foremost is the fact that the Thunder have defeated L.A. not once this season, but twice. And in each game, the Lakers led by 19+ points before taking the pedal off the metal to allow an OKC comeback. Then, the 2nd reason is that the Lakers were upset by Memphis last night. For technical support, consider that the Lakers are 50-28 ATS as revenge-minded road favorites, including 13-1 ATS if their opponent was off an upset win. Even better: the Thunder are 8-28 SU and 14-22 ATS their last 36 home games vs. .500 (or better) opposition, including 0-9 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge, and also 0-8 ATS if OKC was off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Los Angeles minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-21 | Murray State v. Memphis -10.5 | Top | 74-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Murray State. The Racers are 7-1 this season, but have largely played a cupcake schedule. Indeed, this will be the first time this season that Murray has played a superior team, and been installed as an underdog. Unfortunately, the Racers are 0-9 SU and 3-5-1 ATS their last nine as a dog. And they're 4-44 SU and 17-29-2 ATS when getting 5+ points. Memphis returns home after a 2-game road trip which saw it go 0-2 at SEC Conference schools, Georgia and Mississippi. The good news for Penny Hardaway's men is that they're undefeated at home this season, and have won 11 straight (7-4 ATS) since last Christmas. Even better: Memphis is a reliable 37-15-2 ATS off back to back losses, including 13-2-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. With the Racers in off victories over Campbellsville and Middle Tennessee St., we'll lay the points with Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8.5 | Top | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Monmouth. The Hawks are red-hot, and have won and covered each of their last seven games. But they're installed as a big road underdog tonight. And road underdogs of +10 (or less) points have cashed just 38% of non-conference games over the last 32 years, if they were off 7+ wins, and 3+ covers. That doesn't bode well for Monmouth. Nor does the fact that St. John's is a solid 20-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes with a better record, if the Johnnies weren't favored by 11+ points. Take St. John's. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Vikes lost their last two games to fall to 5-7 on the season, but each of those two was on the road. Tonight, Minnesota is back home, and home favorites have gone 80-53 ATS in weekday games if they played their two previous games on the road. Even better: the Steelers upset their biggest rival (Baltimore) last Sunday, and are now 6-5-1 on the season. Unfortunately, winning teams have cashed 0 of 8 as underdogs of less than 6 points in Thursday games, if they were matched up against a losing opponent. Minnesota is also 12-0-1 ATS at home off a loss when matched up against .375 (or better) non-division foes. Lay the points with the Vikings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Utah Jazz. Quin Snyder's men blew out the Sixers, 120-85, in Salt Lake City earlier this season. We'll take Philly tonight in the rematch, as the 76ers are 11-0-1 ATS their last 12 home games when playing with revenge vs. Western Conference teams, if Philly owned a worse record. And NBA revenge-minded home teams have cashed 66% since 1990 when playing a non-conference foe off a SU win. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-21 | Hampton v. William & Mary -4 | Top | 54-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe minus the points over Hampton. The Tribe is 0-9 on the season vs. Division 1 foes (but did defeat Mary Baldwin, 87-50), but they were favored in just one of those nine Division 1 games. And that was as a 2-point favorite vs. American. Tonight, they'll step down-in-class, and host the Pirates, who are 3-6 on the season (but have also played a much easier schedule than has William & Mary). We'll lay the points with William & Mary, as we note that, since 1990, teams installed as a favorite (or PK) have cashed 63.9% at Game 8 forward, if their win percentage was .100 (or worse). Look for William & Mary to blow out Hampton. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-08-21 | Blazers +14.5 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Golden State. The Blazers will be short-handed tonight, as McCollum and Lillard will be in street clothes. But we'll still take the underdog, as they're playing with revenge from a 118-103 loss less than two weeks ago, and getting double-digits. Golden State is a horrible 6-34-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if the Warriors were off a point spread win, and won by 15 or less points in the previous meeting. Take Portland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-21 | Idaho State +13.5 v. California | Top | 46-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Idaho St. Bengals + the points over California. The Bengals have lost 7 straight games, including back to back home upset losses to Portland St and Northern Arizona last week. We'll look for Idaho State to bounce back off those upset defeats, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 60% over the last 32 years off back to back home upset losses, if their opponent was off a point spread win. Take the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-21 | Fresno State v. San Francisco -9 | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Fresno State. This is a great match-up tonight between the 9-0 Dons and 9-1 Bulldogs. The Bulldogs, though, have played an exceptionally easy schedule, and San Francisco will be its toughest foe to date. Fresno also has been generally poor vs. top-level clubs, as it's 33-62-3 ATS vs. .785 (or better) opponents, including 23-53-1 ATS when not getting more than 12 points. Take San Francisco. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-21 | Towson v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 74-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Towson. The Buckeyes return home tonight after dispatching Penn State, 76-64, in Happy Valley, on Sunday. That triumph followed an upset of #1-ranked Duke, so the Buckeyes avoided a letdown, which speaks volumes for this team. We'll lay the points tonight with Ohio State, as it's 21-5 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points off back to back wins, if matched up against a foe off an ATS win. Take the Buckeyes. |
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12-08-21 | Cornell v. Virginia Tech -17 | Top | 60-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech minus the points over Cornell. The Hokies were upset, 80-61, by fellow ACC member, Wake Forest, on Saturday. Tonight, the Hokies will welcome Cornell to Blacksburg, and ACC favorites of -8 (or more) points are 79% ATS since 1990 off a SU/ATS loss, if they failed to cover by 9+ points in their previous game, and are now matched up against a .714 (or better) foe. Take the Hokies. |
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12-08-21 | Holy Cross +14.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Fairfield. The Stags come into this game off back to back upset road wins, and have been installed as a double-digit home favorite vs. the Crusaders, who are on a 3-game losing streak. We'll fade Fairfield, as favorites of more than 8 points have covered just 33.8% since 1990 off back to back upset road wins, if their opponent was off back to back losses. Take Holy Cross + the points. |
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12-08-21 | Lipscomb +17.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Lipscomb + the points over Miami-Florida. The Bisons are 5-4, but were blown out by 21 points by Chattanooga, on Sunday. That defeat has triggered one of my favorite systems, which is 422-231 ATS since 1990. Additionally, Miami is 2-8-1 ATS its last 11 (and 28-47-1 ATS its last 76) as a favorite, while Lipscomb is 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog. Take Lipscomb + the points. |
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12-08-21 | North Florida v. Florida -26 | Top | 55-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over North Florida. It doesn't happen often that a 24-point home favorite loses by 15 points. But that is exactly what the 14th-ranked Gators did on Monday night. I expect Florida to be in an ornery mood tonight, and to take out their frustration on the Ospreys. Since 2009, teams off upset losses as favorites of 20+ points, have bounced back to cover the spread 71% of the time. Take the Gators. |
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12-08-21 | Chattanooga v. North Carolina-Asheville +8.5 | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on NC-Asheville + the points over Chattanooga. These two teams met in Chattanooga on Nov. 14, and the Mocs blew out the Bulldogs, 75-45. But Asheville has gone 4-0 ATS since that defeat, and I look for it to win its 5th straight ATS tonight. Indeed, over the last 32 years, winning teams, playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, have covered 61.1% at home if they were off back to back wins, and also on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. Take NC-Asheville. |
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12-07-21 | Eastern Kentucky +17.5 v. USC | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels + the points over USC. The Trojans opened their Pac-12 Conference schedule with big wins last week against Utah and Washington State, but will revert to a non-conference schedule for the next 15 days. Tonight, the undefeated Trojans (8-0) will welcome the Colonels to the Galen Center, and have been installed as a big double-digit favorite. Eastern Kentucky is 10-3 its last 13 as a road underdog, and it also falls into a 71.9% ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs vs. foes off wins. Meanwhile, USC is a poor 2-10 ATS off 8 (or more) straight wins. Take Eastern Kentucky + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-21 | Nets -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Dallas. The Nets have been off for the last two days following their home upset loss to the Chicago Bulls. Brooklyn's been installed as road favorite tonight, and we'll lay the points with the well-rested Nets. Indeed, since 1990, .500 (or better) NBA teams with at least two days of rest, off a home loss, have cashed 62.1% as a road favorite (or PK) vs. non-winning opposition. Take Brooklyn to bounce back tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-21 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs minus 1.5 goals over the Columbus Blue Jackets. These two teams haven't played since what was then called the "qualifying round" in the 2019-2020 playoffs. The Jackets came away with the upset victory in that one, taking the fifth and final game here in Toronto back on August 9, 2020, by a 3-0 margin. That's the last time Columbus' hockey team stepped foot in the Scotiabank Arena and this version appears to be quite inferior than that one of just a little more than a year ago. The Leafs had their recent five-game win streak snapped, losing on back-to-back nights to the Wild (in OT) and Jets. The latter loss two days ago was with Toronto's back-up goalie, rookie Joseph Woll, in net. Tonight, they'll be back to using regular #1 Jack Campbell. The veteran net-minder is leading the league in Wins (13), GAA (1.78), and saves PCT (.942) so the Leafs will no doubt be glad to have him back on the ice. The Blue Jackets are 19-40 in their last 59 games vs. teams with a winning record and 11-26 in their last 37 following a win. Take Toronto minus 1.5 goals. |
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12-07-21 | Old Dominion v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 74-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Old Dominion. This is the 3rd straight road game for the Monarchs, who upset George Mason, in Fairfax, on Saturday. Old Dominion was an 8.5-point road underdog in that game, but stunned the Patriots, 60-50. We'll fade Old Dominion tonight, as it's an awful 22-47 ATS after a double-digit win away from home, if it wasn't favored by more than 13 points in its current game. And it's 23-37 ATS off an upset win. Even worse: ODU is 1-9 ATS its last 10 vs. William & Mary, including 0-5 ATS on the road. Take William & Mary + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-21 | Virginia -5.5 v. James Madison | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over James Madison. The Dukes are 7-2, but have yet to defeat a top-150 team. Instead, their victories have come against Carlow, Old Dominion, George Mason, Eastern Mennonite, Wright State, and Florida Atlantic. In contrast, the Cavaliers have already played top-tier teams like Houston, Providence, and Iowa, as well as mid-tier teams like Pittsburgh and Georgia. The Dukes are a soft 5-24 SU and 10-19 ATS as a home dog of more than 5 points, while Virginia is 57-28 ATS on the road, including 24-9 ATS vs. foes with winning SU/ATS records. Lay the points with Tony Bennett's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-06-21 | New Mexico State -3.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico. Richard Pitino's Lobos went into Las Cruces in their last game, and upset the Aggies, 101-94, as 10.5-point road underdogs. This rematch will be played at home, in Albuquerque, and the Lobos have been installed as a home underdog. We'll take the revenge-minded road team, and lay the points, as home underdogs -- like New Mexico -- that are playing back to back games against the same opponent -- have covered just 38% over the last 32 years vs. foes that have winning SU/ATS records (New Mexico State is 5-3 SU and 4-3 ATS). Also, the Aggies will have coach Chris Jans back on the sidelines for this one, as he missed that earlier game due to COVID-19 protocols. The Lobos are a poor 9-20 ATS as underdogs off an upset win, including 1-8 ATS if they were an underdog of more than 4 points in that upset win. Take New Mexico State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -122 | 35 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over New England. Bill Belichick's men are currently riding a 6-game SU/ATS win streak, and have scored an average of 35.16 ppg (after averaging 20.83 ppg over their first 6 games). Meanwhile, the Bills are 3-3 over their previous six games, and have seen their offensive output drop from 34.4 ppg prior to those six games to 25.66 ppg over their last 6 outings. But I love Buffalo to bounce back on this Monday. Indeed, the Bills won both meetings vs. New England last season, and scored 38 and 24 points in those two games. And NFL teams (like New England) off 3 SU/ATS wins by 20+ points have covered just 1 of 14 regular season road games vs. winning opposition. Take Buffalo minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-21 | Columbia v. Colgate -20 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Columbia. Colgate comes into this game off 3 straight upset losses, while Columbia checks in off a win and cover vs. Maine. But the good news for Matt Langel's men tonight is that teams off 3 upset losses have covered 64.5% of non-conference games since 1990, including 76% if its opponent is off a SU/ATS win. Take Colgate to blow out Columbia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Denver. Going into Halloween weekend, each of these two teams was 3-4, and their prospects for reaching the postseason were diminished. But Denver has won 3 of 4 since, while KC is riding a 4-game win streak. So, the winner of this game will be atop the division (or tied), and be in control of its playoff destiny. We'll lay the points with Kansas City, and go against a Broncos club off an upset win as a home underdog last week. Since 1980, winning teams have gone 45-74-2 ATS on the road, if they were off a double-digit upset home win, and not favored by 7+ points in their current game. Moreover, KC has gone 28-16 ATS vs. foes that covered the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game. Lay the points with Patrick Mahomes & Co. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-21 | Ohio State v. Penn State +5.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State. the Nittany Lions will look to bounce back off their upset loss to Miami-Fla this past Wednesday. And they will welcome Ohio State to Happy Valley on this Sunday evening. Earlier this week, the Buckeyes upset #1-ranked Duke, 71-66, as a 3-point home underdog. But off that emotional win, we'll fade the Buckeyes on the Big 10 Conference road. Indeed, NCAA teams have covered just 14 of 39 off upset home wins over Duke, if they were on the conference road in their next game, including 1-8 ATS as a road favorite priced from -2 to -9.5 points. And Penn State also falls into a 73-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams in conference games off upset defeats. Take Penn State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-21 | Jazz -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 109-108 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers have won each of their four previous games, including upset wins over their last three. But this string of upsets sets up our play this afternoon, as winning teams have cashed just 35% as underdogs over the past 32 years off 3 upset wins. Moreover, the Jazz are 78-48 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes, if Utah was off a point spread loss, and wasn't getting more than 3 points in the current game. Take the Jazz to blow out Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-21 | Western Illinois v. Central Michigan +6 | Top | 97-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Western Illinois. The Leathernecks were at home yesterday, on Saturday afternoon, and blew out Tennessee-Martin, 81-64. But they now have to play back to back days, and also take on a Chippewas team playing its home opener (after 7 road games to start its season). We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as home teams have covered 59% in their home openers, if they weren't laying 15 (or more) points, and their opponent was playing without rest. And the Chippewas have cashed 63% at home since 1995 vs. non-conference foes when the Chips weren't laying more than 3 points. Finally, Central Michigan falls into 31-4, 306-212, and 74-28 ATS systems of mine. Take Central Michigan + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | Top | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Arizona Cardinals. In its last game, Arizona went into Seattle, and upset the Seahawks as a 4.5-point road underdog, 23-13. But off that division upset win, we will fade Arizona as a non-division road favorite. Indeed, the Cardinals have covered just 4 of 17 non-division games off an upset division win, in which they covered the spread by 10+ points (and NFL teams have covered just 186 of 430). Meanwhile, the Bears are an awesome 9-0 ATS as a home underdog of +6 (or more) points if they didn't cover the spread in either of their two previous games. With Chicago in off back to back ATS losses to Detroit and Baltimore, we'll grab the points with Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-21 | Chargers +3 v. Bengals | Top | 41-22 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Cincinnati. The Chargers were upset by division rival, Denver, 28-13, last Sunday, while Cincinnati blew out its division rival, Pittsburgh, here at home, 41-10. But off those results, we'll grab the points with the Chargers, as road teams have covered 72% of non-division games since 1982, if they were off an upset loss, and not getting more than 4 points from a foe off a home division blowout win by 15+ points. Additionally, Los Angeles is an awesome 47-21-1 ATS as a road underdog vs. .666 (or worse) teams off a win. Grab the points with the Chargers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 36 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan. Last week, we played on the Wolverines as a huge home underdog against Ohio State. And the Wolves routed the Buckeyes, 42-27, to snap an 8-game losing streak to their rival. But off that emotional, upset win, we will fade Jim Harbaugh's men on Saturday. Indeed, Michigan is 0-10-1 ATS its last 11 games off an upset win, if Michigan was getting at least 4 points in that prior game. That doesn't bode well for the Maize and Blue on Saturday. And neither does the fact that the favored team has gone 2-7-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference Title games. Or that Iowa is 17-5 ATS as a conference underdog of +7 (or more) points, if it owned a .666 (or better) win percentage. Finally, Michigan falls into negative 22-52 and 74-122 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins, while Iowa falls into a very good 35-6 ATS post-season system of mine based on its season stats. Take the Hawkeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | Bulls v. Nets -3 | Top | 111-107 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls blew out Brooklyn, 118-95, in the season's first meeting. We'll take Kevin Durant & Co. in this rematch, as the Nets are an awesome 65-27 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points. And Brooklyn is 34-21 ATS in the regular season at home, in competitively-priced games with point spreads of less than 5 points. Also, Brooklyn falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 59-22, 261-167 and 77-36 ATS. Take the Nets to blow out the Bulls. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | High Point v. Elon -4 | Top | 83-77 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix minus the points over High Point. Elon enters this game off 5 SU/ATS losses, while the Panthers have covered four straight. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points with High Point. But road underdogs of +4 (or more) points, off 4 ATS wins, have covered just 39% since 1990 against foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Take Elon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | St. Mary's v. Colorado State -4 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over St. Mary's. Colorado State is off to an 8-0 start this season. And it plays with big-time revenge from a 53-33 loss to the Gaels last season. St. Mary's is also to a strong start, as it's 8-1, and has won and covered each of its last two games. Unfortunately, NCAA teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have covered just 21% since 1990 vs. revenge-minded teams that scored less than 37 points in the previous meeting. And St. Mary's is a wallet-breaking 33-58 ATS as an underdog vs. foes that have winning SU and winning ATS records. Lay the points with Colorado State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | Campbell v. VCU -10 | Top | 61-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Campbell. The Camels have won four straight, while VCU has dropped its last two. But VCU is 35-2 SU and 26-9 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses. And it also falls into two super 66-22 and 93-53 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses. Lay the points. |
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12-04-21 | William & Mary +19.5 v. Davidson | Top | 46-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Davidson. The Tribe and Wildcats are going in opposite directions. William & Mary is 1-7 SU and 0-7 ATS to start this season, while Davidson is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS, including 4-0 SU/ATS its last four. But we'll step in and take the large number of points with Bill and Mary, as it falls into 94-44 and 137-64 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off ATS losses. Moreover, Davidson's a woeful 0-8 ATS its last eight, and 4-15 ATS its last 19, as a favorite of -14 (or more) points vs. foes off a point spread defeat. This is the largest number of points that the Tribe has been given this season. And it's 17-5 ATS as a road underdog of 9 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss. Take William & Mary. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | San Diego State v. Michigan -8 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over San Diego State. Juwan Howard's men have largely disappointed this season, and were blown out by 21 points at North Carolina earlier this week. The good news is that Michigan is 21-8-1 ATS its last 30, and 75-42-2 ATS its last 119 off a straight-up loss. Additionally, Mountain West conference underdogs of 8+ points are 0-23 straight-up, and 8-15 ATS vs. the Big 10, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss. Take the Wolverines minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 16 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Oklahoma State. This game is a rematch of a game played back in October, in Stillwater. The Cowboys were victorious at home in that game, 24-14, as a 3.5-point favorite. Both teams were victorious last weekend. The Bears edged Texas Tech, 27-24, as a 14-point home favorite, while Okie State outlasted its rival, Oklahoma, 37-33, as a 4-point home favorite. We'll grab the points with Dava Aranda's Bears, as they're 15-3-1 ATS off a point spread loss, including 8-0-1 ATS away from home. And they're also an awesome 13-2 ATS when playing with revenge, and not laying 7+ points. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 0-9 ATS away from home vs. .600 (or better) foes after playing their rival, Oklahoma, at home in Stillwater. Take Baylor + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-21 | Nebraska v. Indiana -11 | Top | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Nebraska. Mike Woodson's men were upset in overtime, 112-110, at Syracuse, on Tuesday. But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Indiana in its Big 10 season opener. Over the last 32 seasons, the Hoosiers have cashed 71% off an upset road non-conference loss, and it's won and covered each of the last three meetings vs. the Hoosiers. Even better: Nebraska is a horrid 3-43 SU and 11-33 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. an opponent off an upset defeat. Take Indiana. |
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12-03-21 | Suns v. Warriors -7 | Top | 96-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix. These two teams met earlier this week, and the Suns bested Golden State, 104-96, as a home favorite. But the Warriors will be at home in this rematch, and they'll also have the twin benefit of the Suns playing without rest (Phoenix defeated Detroit last night), as well as Devin Booker being injured. We'll lay the points with Golden State, as it is 12-0-1 ATS at home off a loss vs. unrested division foes, provided the Warriors weren't an underdog of +7 (or more) points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-21 | Tulsa v. Boise State -8.5 | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Tulsa. It's not often that the Broncos lose back to back games at home, but that's exactly what occurred over the last week. But, over the last 26 seasons, Boise has not lost 3 straight games, if all three were at home. That bodes well for them tonight. As does the fact that it is 9-3 ATS at home off an upset loss, and also a perfect 6-0 straight-up, and 5-1 ATS off back to back upset losses. Take Boise State minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 20 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks + the points over Utah. These two Pac-12 rivals met in Utah last month, and the Utes routed Oregon, 38-7. We had a big play on Utah in that game, as that was a stellar situation for the home team. But we will switch gears and take the revenge-minded Ducks in this rematch. Utah is a wallet-busting 6-23 ATS when favored (or PK) against a .571 (or better) revenge-minded foe. And Oregon is a powerful 24-7-1 ATS away from home as an underdog of +3 or less points, including a perfect 5-0 ATS in the post-season. Take the Ducks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-21 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -13.5 | Top | 56-57 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Cavs were upset by Iowa, 75-74, at the buzzer on Monday. And that loss snapped UVa's 4-game win streak. The good news for Tony Bennett's men tonight in their ACC Conference opener is that they are 18-0-1 ATS off a non-conference loss, when priced from -3 to -24.5 points. Take Virginia minus the points. |
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12-03-21 | Cavs v. Wizards -4 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland. The Cavs have run hot and cold this season, as they have enjoyed 8-game and 5-game ATS win streaks, but also lost five in a row, straight-up, earlier this season. They're currently riding a 3-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS win streak), following huge blowout wins over Orlando (105-92), Dallas (114-96) and Miami (111-84). But we will go against Cleveland tonight as a road underdog, as it falls into a negative 28% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins. And the Wizards are also a solid 21-10 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky v. UTSA +3 | Top | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Western Kentucky. Texas-San Antonio's 11-game win streak was snapped last weekend, when it lost, 45-23, as a 9.5-point road favorite to North Texas. But the good news for UTSA is that it's back home in the Alamodome on this Friday evening, where it will host Western Kentucky, a team it defeated, 52-46, as a 3.5-point road underdog, in October. And the Roadrunners have been installed as a home underdog for this rematch. That bodes well for Texas-San Antonio, as it's 13-3 ATS its last 16 as an underdog, including 5-0 ATS when off a double-digit loss, and also a perfect 5-0 ATS when getting 4 points or less. Even better: home underdogs with a .700 (or better) win percentage, off a loss by more than 20 points, have cashed 64% the past 42 years against conference foes off a win, including a perfect 10-0 ATS if that foe was playing with revenge. Take the Roadrunners + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-21 | Monmouth v. Niagara +2 | Top | 57-49 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Niagara Purple Eagles over the Monmouth Hawks. In its last game, Monmouth shocked Cincinnati, 61-59, as a 10.5-point road underdog. They'll try to win back-to-back road games tonight, but the going should be tough for King Rice's men. For starters, the Hawks are a horrid 0-8 ATS their last 12 (and 1-12 ATS their last 13) on the road off a road win. And Monmouth also falls into a negative 61-116 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off an upset victory. Take the Purple Eagles. |
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12-01-21 | Utah +7.5 v. USC | Top | 73-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Southern Cal. The Utes lost to their rival, BYU, 75-64, on Saturday. And that was Utah's first defeat after five wins to start the season. But off that loss, we'll take Utah to rebound tonight vs. Southern Cal. The Trojans pulled off an upset last Friday vs. San Diego State. Unfortunately, the Trojans are 7-20, 26% ATS, off an upset win, if they were favored by more than 4 points in their current game. And USC has only covered 3 of its last 17 games vs. the Utes. Take Utah + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-21 | Mavs -2.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 139-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New Orleans. The Mavs and Pelicans will play back to back games over the next few days, with Game 1 being played here, in New Orleans, and the rematch being played in Dallas, on Friday. We'll take Dallas tonight, as it comes into this game off an upset loss at the hands of Cleveland, 114-96, on Monday. Meanwhile, New Orleans blew out the Clippers by 19, 123-104. However, Dallas is a super 124-76 ATS off a straight-up loss, if its opponent was off a straight-up win, including 18-6 ATS as a road favorite, and also 35-13 ATS in the regular season if the Mavs were off a double-digit loss, while their opponent was off a double-digit win. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-21 | Albany v. Kansas State -16.5 | Top | 43-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Albany. The Wildcats blew out North Dakota, 84-42, on Sunday. And that 42-point win has triggered a super 74% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins. Even better: Kansas State is 13-1 ATS its last 14, and 29-12-1 ATS its last 42, off a win by 20+ points, if its opponent was also off a win. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-21 | Memphis -11 v. Georgia | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Georgia. The Tigers were handed their first defeat of the season this past Friday, when it succumbed to Iowa State, 78-59. But off that 19-point loss, we'll take the Tigers to bounce back, as they're 17-2 ATS their last 19 when not laying 13+ points, while the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS their last five. And American Athletic teams have gone 41-27 ATS in non-conference games off an upset non-conference loss. Take Memphis minus the points. |
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12-01-21 | Wagner v. Seton Hall -15 | Top | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Wagner. The #25-ranked Pirates will welcome the Seahawks to Newark this evening, and they'll no doubt be happy to see them, as Seton Hall has completely dominated this series. Indeed, the last four years has witnessed the Pirates win by 33, 34, 40 and 21 points, and Seton Hall is 20-1 at home vs. Wagner! The Seahawks did pull off an impressive upset at VCU in their last game. But that was 18 days ago, as the Seahawks haven't played in almost three weeks, so any momentum which could have been gained from that victory has long since evaporated. The Pirates have been impressive this season, as they own the only road win against a team then ranked among the top 5 (Michigan, Nov. 16). And their only loss was a narrow 3-point defeat to Ohio State, which just defeated #1-ranked Duke last night. The Pirates are 23-0 SU and 17-6 ATS at home when priced from -10.5 to -21 points. Lay the points with Seton Hall. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-21 | Stetson v. Florida Atlantic -5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Stetson. The Hatters upset the Owls last year, so Florida Atlantic will be out to avenge that defeat. And I expect a focused effort tonight, as Florida Atlantic comes into tonight's game off back to back home losses. The Owls have cashed 75% at home over the last 16 years if they were off back to back home defeats. Take the Owls minus the points. |
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11-30-21 | Hawaii v. Santa Clara -11.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Hawaii. The Broncos lost here, at home, to UC Irvine on Saturday, 69-64, as a 3.5-point home favorite, while Hawaii comes in off a loss -- but a point spread cover -- vs. South Alabama. But after getting upset at home, we'll take the Broncos to bounce back tonight in this home game against Hawaii. Over the last four seasons, the Broncos have cashed 74% off an ATS defeat, including 12-1 ATS vs. a foe off an ATS win. Lay the points with Santa Clara. And the Broncos also fall into a 72.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-21 | Montana v. Oregon -12.5 | Top | 47-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Montana. Dana Altman's men were blitzed by #12-ranked Houston last week, 78-49, in the Maui Invitational, played in Las Vegas. The Cougars shot 51.7% from the floor, and that was the 3rd straight Division 1 opponent which has shot better than 50% vs. the Ducks. And, with its game against Division 2 Chaminade excepted, the Ducks have allowed their last three Division 1 foes to exceed the 50% shooting mark. The silver lining -- if there is one -- is that all of those games were away from home. At the Matthew Knight Arena, the Ducks have played much better, as they're 2-0 SU, with a +6.00 point spread differential (compared to a -19.62 point spread differential away from home). Likewise, tonight's opponent, Montana, has played much better this season at home, in the friendly confines of Dahlberg Arena, than outside Missoula. Indeed, we played on Montana at home this past Friday, and got the $$$ when they smashed Southern Miss, 74-62. The Grizzlies are now 4-0 SU, and 3-0 ATS at home this season, and have covered the spread by 5.83 ppg. But away from home, they are 0-2 ATS, and have a negative point spread differential of -17.25. Going back further, we find that the Grizzlies are 12-23 ATS their last 35 away from Dahlberg Arena, including 2-10 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points. Meanwhile, the Ducks are 97-9 SU and 63-34 ATS at home, including a perfect 5-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a loss, in non-conference games, and also 56-4 SU and 44-16 ATS when priced from -4 to -15 points. Take Oregon to blow out Montana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-21 | Rams -1 v. Packers | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over the Green Bay Packers. We played against Green Bay last week, and took Minnesota as a home dog, and were rewarded with an upset win. And we'll once again go against Aaron Rodgers & Co. this afternoon -- primarily because the Rams are off back to back losses. Los Angeles comes into this game off an upset defeat last week at San Francisco, and they lost to the Titans two games back. And the Rams will also be playing this game with revenge from a loss to Green Bay in last year's playoffs. This season, teams playing with revenge from a playoff defeat have gone 6-1 ATS. And over the last 42 years, teams playing with Playoff revenge have cashed 59% if they were matched up against a non-division foe, and were off a road loss in their previous game. Even better: if our revenger also lost two games back, then our 59% stat zooms to 13-1 ATS since 1980. The Rams have been consistently very strong off losses under head coach Sean McVay. Since his hiring in 2017, the Rams are 16-7 SU and 14-8-1 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-1 ATS when not laying 3 or more points, 9-3 ATS on the road, and 3-1-1 ATS off back to back losses. Take the Rams. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-21 | UMKC v. Arkansas State -2.5 | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Kansas City. This game is being played as part of CollegeInsider.com's Eracism Invitational. It will be the 7th meeting between the two schools, and the Wolves lead the series 6-0. In its last game, Arkansas State was upset, 75-51, by Morehead State. But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back this afternoon. Arkansas State is 39-23-1 ATS off a loss by more than 15 points, including 7-0 ATS its last seven. And the Red Wolves also fall into 73-28 and 57-19 ATS systems of mine, based on their game vs. Morehead State. Lay the points with the Red Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 13-36 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over New England. The Titans' offense has struggled the last two weeks without Derrick Henry in the fold, as they had two of their three lowest offensive outputs of the season, and failed to cover vs. New Orleans and Houston (and lost to Houston outright, as a 10.5-point favorite). Meanwhile, the Patriots have been the hottest team in football, with five straight wins and covers, to move to 7-4 on the season. Unfortunately for Bill Belichick's men, NFL teams off 5 SU/ATS wins have gone 69-90-6 ATS in the regular season when favored. And teams -- like Tennessee -- off upset losses as favorites of more than 10 points, have gone 27-14 ATS, including 7-0 ATS when installed as an underdog of +4 to +9.5 points. Take the Titans as a road underdog. |
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11-28-21 | Jets +2.5 v. Texans | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston. The Texans snapped their 8-game losing streak last week when they upset Tennessee, 22-13, as a 10.5-point road underdog. But off that huge upset win, we will fade the Texans as a home favorite this afternoon. Since 1991, NFL teams off wins as a double-digit road underdog have gone 47-73-5 ATS, including 22-47-3 ATS vs. foes that don't have a winning record. Additionally, the Texans are a poor 19-32 ATS off an upset win. Take New York + the points. |
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11-28-21 | Falcons -1 v. Jaguars | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Jacksonville. The Falcons are 4-6, and have dropped back to back games, as they lost by 40 to Dallas, and 25 to New England. Yet they've been installed as a road favorite vs. Jacksonville. On the surface, it may look difficult to lay points on the road with Atlanta. But consider that NFL road teams have covered 65.3% over the past 42 seasons off back to back losses by more than 18 points, if their opponent was also off a SU loss. That bodes well for Matt Ryan & Co. this afternoon. As does the fact that .200 (or worse) teams, at Game 11 forward, have covered just 61 of 150 games if they weren't getting 4+ points. Finally, the Jaguars are a wallet-busting 9-28-1 ATS as single-digit home dogs vs. non-division foes. Lay the points with Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | California v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over California. Last week, the Bruins smashed cross-town rival, USC, by 29 points. And that succeeded a 24-point blowout of Colorado here, at the Rose Bowl. Tonight, they'll welcome the Golden Bears, who also won in blowout fashion last week, 41-11, against rival, Stanford. We'll lay the points with UCLA, as home teams off back to back blowout wins by 24+ points, have cashed 61.1% since 1980 vs. foes also off a blowout 24-point SU/ATS win. That bodes well for UCLA here. As does the fact that this will be the 3rd straight road game for Cal. And, unfortunately for the Bears, single-digit dogs off a conference win, have cashed just 18.7% of conference games, if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and their opponent was also off a win. Take UCLA to blow out the Bears. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -12.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New Orleans. These two teams met last night here, and the Pelicans stunned the Jazz, 98-87, as a 14-point road underdog. We'll take the Jazz in the rematch, as Utah has covered 75% since 1991 at home when playing with revenge vs. .600 (or worse) foes, if Utah was off a SU/ATS home loss in its previous game. Additionally, the Jazz fall into 117-58 and 140-84 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off upset defeats. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | Knicks +5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Atlanta. The Hawks notched their 7th straight win last night with a 32-point blowout of the Memphis Grizzlies. Meanwhile, the Knicks faced another hot team last night, and fell to the Phoenix Suns, who won their 15th straight. The Knicks last met the Hawks in the playoffs last season, and the Hawks ousted the Knicks with a 4-1 series win. We'll take New York in this revenge role, as it falls into a 97-40 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a playoff series defeat. Even better: teams (like Atlanta) on a 5-game (or better) win streak, that won their previous game by more than 25 points, have gone 0-17 ATS their last 17! Take the Knicks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | Kentucky v. Louisville -3 | Top | 52-21 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Kentucky. The Cards come into tonight's rivalry game off their two best games of the season. Two weeks ago, they routed Syracuse, 41-3, as a 3-point home favorite. And then they followed up that victory with a 62-22 destruction of Duke, in Durham. Faithful followers know I love playing on home teams that can score. And NCAA Football teams have cashed 65.3% at home since 1980 vs. foes off a SU win, if our home team was off back to back SU/ATS wins in which it scored more than 40 points, and it wasn't favored by more than 3 points in the current game. Take Louisville minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | West Virginia -15 v. Kansas | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Kansas. WVU is 5-6 on the season, and needs to win this afternoon to attain eligibility for a Bowl game. Kansas has played great the previous two weeks, as it won, 57-56, as a 31-point underdog at Texas. And then it covered the 21-point spread last week, in Fort Worth, vs. TCU (but lost 31-28). We'll fade Kansas here, as underdogs of more than 14 points, off back-to-back covers as an underdog by more than 14 points, have cashed just 30.3% since 1980. Take West Virginia to blow out the Jayhawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | UL-Monroe +22 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks + the points over the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns. On the surface, this looks like a mismatch, with the Warhawks on a 4-game losing streak, and the Cajuns on a 10-game win streak. But this Sun Belt conference rivalry has been dominated by the underdog, and especially the ROAD underdog, which has gone a staggering 16-0 ATS since 1998! And that's the way we'll look today, as Louisiana Lafayette also falls into a negative 80-153 ATS system of mine which fades certain .900 (or better) teams off point spread wins. Take Monroe + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | Lamar v. Texas Tech -26.5 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Lamar. The Red Raiders have sprinted out to a 5-0 record after walloping Nebraska-Omaha, 96-40, on Tuesday. We'll lay the points with Texas Tech as it is 52-4 SU and 30-10 ATS at home off a win by 12+ points, if it wasn't an underdog of 5+ points in its current game, including a perfect 8-0 ATS vs. .250 (or worse) opponents. Lay the points with the Red Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | Northwestern v. Illinois -6.5 | Top | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Northwestern. These two cross-state rivals have met 114 times, with the Wildcats winning each of the last six. But this is a great spot for Illinois to snap this losing streak, as it hasn't been favored by this many points since 2011. Indeed, it's been an underdog in eight of the last nine meetings (and, more often than not, a double-digit underdog). But this season, Northwestern is suffering through a down year, and enters this game on a 5-game losing streak. We'll lay the points, as revenge-minded teams have cashed 60% since 1981 when playing their final home game of the season against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) losing streak. Take Illinois. |
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11-27-21 | Hawaii v. Wyoming -10 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Hawaii. The Rainbows upset the Colorado State Rams last week, on the Island, but now will play at Laramie, in their season finale. Unfortunately for Hawaii, it's covered just 12 of 45 games off a win, if it was playing a conference foe also off a win. And the Cowboys are 6-0-2 ATS their last eight vs. foes off an upset win, as well as 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS at home vs. Hawaii. Take Wyoming. |
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11-27-21 | Maine v. Bradley -14.5 | Top | 39-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over Maine. Each of these teams has gotten off to slow starts this season. Bradley is 1-5 SU and 1-4 ATS, while Maine is 2-3 SU and 0-3 ATS. We'll step in and take Bradley today as a double-digit home favorite, as Missouri Valley Conference teams off 3+ losses, have gone 21-8 ATS when laying more than 3 points at home vs. non-conference foes. Take Bradley. |
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11-27-21 | Delaware State v. Long Island -12 | Top | 65-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Delaware State. The Sharks are 0-4 following their narrow defeat, 64-62, at St Peters, as a 9.5-point underdog. This will be the home opener for Long Island, and it will also be the first game in which it is favored, so it will no doubt be happy to see the Hornets today at Steinberg Wellness Center. Long Island has cashed 67% when laying 5+ points, while the Hornets are 1-10 ATS as a double-digit underdog vs. foes off a SU loss. And the Sharks fall into a 73.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of more than 8 points off a SU loss. Take Long Island. |
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11-27-21 | McNeese State v. Samford -6.5 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over McNeese State. The Cowboys and Bulldogs are playing in the Emerald Coast Classic this afternoon, in Niceville, FL. Yesterday, each of these teams pulled off victories. McNeese blew out St Francis (NY), 71-59, as a 2.5-point dog, while Samford edged NC A&T, 77-75. We'll lay the points with Samford, as it falls into a superb 115-49 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Take the Bulldogs minus the points. |
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11-27-21 | Coppin State v. East Carolina -15.5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates minus the points over Coppin State. The Eagles enter this afternoon's game in Greenville off seven straight ATS wins. But this ATS success has triggered a negative 58-98 ATS system of mine. Additionally, underdogs of more than 14 points, off 6 straight covers, have cashed just 34% since 1990. Take East Carolina. |
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11-27-21 | Richmond +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders + the points over Mississippi State. This game will be played in the Baha Mar Convention Center, in the Bahamas. Maryland and Louisville reached the championship game, while these two teams will meet in the consolation round. And it will be the 2nd meeting in 2021 between the schools. They actually met last year in the quarter-finals of the NIT Tournament, and Miss State hit a 3-pointer with 2 seconds left to lift it to a 68-67 victory. We'll take revenge-minded Richmond this afternoon, as it falls into a 73.9% ATS revenge system of mine. And the Spiders are also 16-9 ATS when installed as an underdog away from home, and playing with revenge vs. a non-conference foe. Take the Spiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan +7.5 | Top | 27-42 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Ohio State. The Buckeyes come into this game on a 9-game win streak, and have won their last two games by the scores of 59-31 and 56-7. But I believe Jim Harbaugh's men are in prime position to snap their 8-game losing streak to the Buckeyes. Michigan is 10-1 on the season, and has gone 9-2 ATS, while covering the spread by 8.18 ppg. U-M has been installed as a big home dog, and we'll grab the points, as we note that .700 (or better) teams, playing their final home game of the season, have cashed 71.8% in their final home game of the season against a conference foe off a double-digit win, if our home team was getting 7 or more points. Even better: road teams off back to back 38-point (or greater) wins have covered just 23.8% since 1980 in their final game of the season when matched up against a conference foe. Take Michigan + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-14-21 | UC-Davis v. Oregon State -6 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +4.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
12-14-21 | Jackson State v. Northern Iowa -13 | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
12-14-21 | Warriors v. Knicks +5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
12-13-21 | Suns v. Clippers +3.5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
12-13-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 91-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
12-13-21 | Cleveland State v. Oklahoma State -12 | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
12-13-21 | Bucks v. Celtics +1 | Top | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 56 h 15 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 36-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Jackson State +19 v. Iowa State | Top | 37-47 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Fairfield v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 70-47 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Falcons v. Panthers -2.5 | Top | 29-21 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +10 | Top | 33-13 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
12-12-21 | Bucks v. Knicks +4 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
12-11-21 | New Orleans v. Utah State -18.5 | Top | 50-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Kings +7 v. Cavs | Top | 103-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
12-11-21 | VCU v. Old Dominion +5 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Elon +22.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Jazz -5 v. Wizards | Top | 123-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Alabama A&M v. Samford -13 | Top | 50-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Boston College v. St. Louis -6.5 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
12-11-21 | Nebraska +14 v. Auburn | Top | 68-99 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
12-10-21 | Panthers -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves -1 | Top | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
12-10-21 | Bucks -8.5 v. Rockets | Top | 123-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
12-10-21 | Lakers -5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
12-10-21 | Murray State v. Memphis -10.5 | Top | 74-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8.5 | Top | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
12-09-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
12-09-21 | Hampton v. William & Mary -4 | Top | 54-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Blazers +14.5 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Idaho State +13.5 v. California | Top | 46-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Fresno State v. San Francisco -9 | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Towson v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 74-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Cornell v. Virginia Tech -17 | Top | 60-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Holy Cross +14.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Lipscomb +17.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
12-08-21 | North Florida v. Florida -26 | Top | 55-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Chattanooga v. North Carolina-Asheville +8.5 | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Eastern Kentucky +17.5 v. USC | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Nets -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Old Dominion v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 74-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
12-07-21 | Virginia -5.5 v. James Madison | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
12-06-21 | New Mexico State -3.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -122 | 35 h 20 m | Show |
12-06-21 | Columbia v. Colgate -20 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Ohio State v. Penn State +5.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Jazz -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 109-108 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Western Illinois v. Central Michigan +6 | Top | 97-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | Top | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
12-05-21 | Chargers +3 v. Bengals | Top | 41-22 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 36 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Bulls v. Nets -3 | Top | 111-107 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
12-04-21 | High Point v. Elon -4 | Top | 83-77 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
12-04-21 | St. Mary's v. Colorado State -4 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Campbell v. VCU -10 | Top | 61-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
12-04-21 | William & Mary +19.5 v. Davidson | Top | 46-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
12-04-21 | San Diego State v. Michigan -8 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 16 m | Show |
12-04-21 | Nebraska v. Indiana -11 | Top | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Suns v. Warriors -7 | Top | 96-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Tulsa v. Boise State -8.5 | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 20 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -13.5 | Top | 56-57 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Cavs v. Wizards -4 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Western Kentucky v. UTSA +3 | Top | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
12-03-21 | Monmouth v. Niagara +2 | Top | 57-49 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Utah +7.5 v. USC | Top | 73-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Mavs -2.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 139-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Albany v. Kansas State -16.5 | Top | 43-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Memphis -11 v. Georgia | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Wagner v. Seton Hall -15 | Top | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
12-01-21 | Stetson v. Florida Atlantic -5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
11-30-21 | Hawaii v. Santa Clara -11.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
11-29-21 | Montana v. Oregon -12.5 | Top | 47-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
11-28-21 | Rams -1 v. Packers | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
11-28-21 | UMKC v. Arkansas State -2.5 | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
11-28-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 13-36 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
11-28-21 | Jets +2.5 v. Texans | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
11-28-21 | Falcons -1 v. Jaguars | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
11-27-21 | California v. UCLA -6.5 | Top | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -12.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Knicks +5 v. Hawks | Top | 99-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Kentucky v. Louisville -3 | Top | 52-21 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
11-27-21 | West Virginia -15 v. Kansas | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
11-27-21 | UL-Monroe +22 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Lamar v. Texas Tech -26.5 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Northwestern v. Illinois -6.5 | Top | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Hawaii v. Wyoming -10 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Maine v. Bradley -14.5 | Top | 39-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Delaware State v. Long Island -12 | Top | 65-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
11-27-21 | McNeese State v. Samford -6.5 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Coppin State v. East Carolina -15.5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Richmond +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
11-27-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan +7.5 | Top | 27-42 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show |