At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over Denver.  The Raiders enter this AFC West division game with a 2-6 record, while Denver is atop the division with a 7-2 record.  We'll grab the points with the Raiders, as AFC West division teams have gone 146-89-7 ATS on the division road, if they owned a losing record, and were not favored by more than 3 points.  That bodes well for the Raiders.  As does the fact that Las Vegas has gone 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  And it is also 14-4 ATS as a road dog vs. Denver if Las Vegas was off a SU loss.  Take the Raiders + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder blew out the Los Angeles Clippers last night, 126-107, and will make the trek up the coast to take on the Trail Blazers in Portland.  OKC has won the last 16 meetings, but I love Portland tonight.  This will be the Thunder's 3rd game in 4 days, while Portland had last night off.  OKC falls into a negative 107-168 ATS system of mine which plays against certain unrested road teams.  Also, Portland is 29-15 ATS its last 44 as a home underdog, including 7-0 ATS its last seven as a division home dog.  Take the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over the East Texas A&M Lions.  The Lions blew out Arlington Baptist, 119-60, on Monday.  We'll fade East Texas A&M off that win, as it's a poor 9-18 ATS off a SU win, while the Lobos are 90-58 ATS at home, including 15-3 ATS their last 18 vs. foes off wins by more than 28 points.  Take New Mexico.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies minus the points over North Dakota State.  Last season, the Bison were the nation's #1 team in 3-point FG percentage last season, shooting 39.8% from long distance.  Unfortunately, their trio of sharp shooters -- Masen Miller (90 threes), Jacari White (88 threes) and Jacksen Moni (64 threes) -- all graduated.  The upshot is that North Dakota State returned just 20% of their minutes played and 14% of their scoring from last season.  The Bison lost, 67-65, at Oregon State on Monday, and shot just 6-for-31 from beyond the arc.  I like the Aggies on Wednesday night.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  Golden State lost at Indiana, 114-109, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Suns handed the San Antonio Spurs their first loss of the season the following night.  But off that big upset win, we'll fade the Suns in San Francisco on Tuesday.  Indeed, the Suns are a wallet-busting 7-31-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss, including 0-4-1 ATS if the Suns were off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Charlotte Hornets.  We played on the Hornets Sunday vs. Utah, and got the $$ in a 126-103 win, as a 1.5-point home underdog.  Tonight, the Hornets will be in New Orleans, and we will fade the Hornets, who are a horrible 15-27-3 ATS off an upset win when playing on the road vs. a non-conference foe.  Additionally, the Pelicans fall into a 41-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses by 25+ points.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Nets were blown out, 129-105, yesterday to fall to 0-6 on the season.  We'll step in and take Brooklyn off that loss, as winless teams have cashed 60.7% since 1990 as home dogs of more than 2 points if they were off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  Even better:  Minnesota is a miserable 41-66 ATS since 1990 as a favorite vs. foes off 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Grab the points with the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Bucknell.  These two teams met in Newark last season, and the Hens broke out to a 46-37 lead at halftime.  But the Bison took control in the second stanza, and routed the Hens, 48-27, in the game's final 20 minutes for an 85-73 win.  Patriot League Player of the Year, Noah Williamson (19 points; 12 rebounds), and Josh Bascoe (18 points) led the way in that game, but Williamson is now playing for Alabama, while Josh Bascoe graduated.  Bucknell will instead rely on guys like Ruot Bijiek, Amon Dorries and Jayden Williams.  I like the underdog Blue Hens in this game, as they fall into a system of mine which has cashed 71% since 1990.  Grab the points with Martin Ingelsby's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Seattle.  The Commanders were crushed, 28-7, on Monday Night Football by the Chiefs, and are now 3-5 on the season.  Jayden Daniels missed last week's game, but has been upgraded to 'probable' for this Sunday night contest.  We'll grab the points, as .375 (or better) underdogs of 7 (or less) points have cashed 78% since 1980 following a loss on Monday Night by more than 20 points.  Additionally, the Commanders fall into a 242-144 ATS system of mine.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Bulls.  We played on the Knicks two nights ago in Chicago, and lost, as the Bulls knocked off New York, 135-125.  We'll come right back with the Knicks at home tonight, as they're 38-18 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge.  New York also falls into 108-82, 97-47 and 307-182 ATS systems of mine that play on certain revenge-minded squads.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Hornets come into this evening's game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after last night's 122-105 setback here vs. Minnesota.  We'll take the Hornets to bounce back off that home loss, as Utah is an ugly 7-19 ATS vs. foes on a 3-Game SU/ATS losing streak.  Even better:  the Hornets fall into one of my favorite systems (143-70 ATS), which plays on certain teams off losses.  Lay the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Atlanta.  Both of these teams are dealing with injuries to key players.  Atlanta will be without Trae Young for at least four weeks, while Cleveland is currently without Darius Garland and Max Strus, and each of Donovan Mitchell, Sam Merrill, and Jarrett Allen are questionable to play.  We'll fade Atlanta, as it is a nasty 34-56-1 ATS vs. foes off a loss, including 7-20 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Cavaliers.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  The Bills have been installed as a home underdog vs. their rival (and post-season nemesis), Kansas City.  The Bills lost for the fourth straight time in last year's playoffs to the Chiefs since Patrick Mahomes became the QB.  But it's been a completely different story in the regular season, as the Bills are 5-1 SU/ATS vs. Mahomes, including 4-0 SU/ATS the last four meetings.  Last season's meeting was also here at home, and the Bills won, 30-21 as a 3-point favorite.  We'll happily take the points with Buffalo.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Los Angeles.  The Rams come into this afternoon's game off back to back wins over the Ravens and Jaguars, and are 5-2 on the season.  We'll fade Los Angeles as a double-digit favorite today, as the Rams are a soft 19-32 ATS off back to back wins under coach Sean McVay, including 7-15 ATS at home (and 0-5 ATS at home vs. .333 (or worse) foes).  Take New Orleans.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons plus the points over the New England Patriots.  We played against Atlanta last week, and got the $$$ with Miami when the Dolphins upset the Birds, 34-10.  And we also faded Atlanta two weeks ago and cashed the 49ers when they downed Atlanta, 20-10.  We'll switch gears this afternoon, and grab the points with the Falcons.  Admittedly, the Patriots have dominated this series, going 7-0 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings (including the overtime thriller in the Super Bowl nine seasons ago).  Still, I love this situational spot for Atlanta, as it falls into several of my best bounce-back angles, with records of 104-37, 176-101, 136-83 and 167-87 ATS.  New England also falls into negative 84-151 and 137-214 ATS systems of mine based on their season performance.  And the Patriots are a putrid 17-38-1 ATS at home following two games where they covered the spread by more than 7 points.  Take the Falcons.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Titans made a coaching change before last week's game when they fired Brian Callahan, and named Mike McCoy as interim head coach.  Teams that make mid-season head coaching changes relatively early in the season have generally seen immediate dividends with their new coach, and have covered the spread 69.7% in their first two games with the new hire.  Take Tennessee + the points.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats have ripped off seven straight wins following a season-opening, 20-17 loss to Nebraska.  But Cincy was favored in all but one of those seven games (and by an average of 14.6 ppg).  Here, they're getting more than a touchdown.  The Bearcats are a brutal 10-20 ATS when installed as an underdog of 8+ points.  And they also fall into negative 87-141, 209-329 and 35-87 ATS systems of mine that fade certain good teams dressed up as an underdog.  Lay the points with Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons enter this Saturday evening game off an upset win over SMU, and have won their last three games, while FSU has dropped its last four.  No matter, we'll happily lay the points with the Seminoles, as they're 23-7-1 ATS at home or on a neutral field off a point spread loss, when playing an opponent off a point spread win, including 13-2-1 ATS when favored by 7 or more points.  That bodes well for Florida State.  As does the fact that Wake is a woeful 12-18 ATS in ACC Conference games as an underdog off an upset conference win.  Finally, the clincher is that ACC teams are an awesome 53-17 ATS when favored by 8+ points vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets covered the point spread last week for the 3rd straight game, with a 41-16 win over Syracuse.  And they're now 8-0 on the season.  I'll fade Georgia Tech on Tobacco Road on Saturday, as ACC teams are a terrible 16-37-2 ATS when they were on a 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streak.  Grab the points with the Wolf Pack.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over USC.  The Trojans are a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS as road favorites since September 2022, and their only ATS wins came by a half-point and by 1 point!  Even worse:  when not getting 8+ points away from home (including neutral field games), USC is an awful 33-67 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Mississippi.  The Rebels pulled off an upset last Saturday in Norman, when they outlasted Oklahoma, 34-26, as a 5-point underdog.  We will fade Ole Miss off that upset win, as it's a miserable 1-9 ATS as a favorite of less than 16 points in SEC Conference games off an upset win.  Ole Miss also falls into a negative 36% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upsets.  Take South Carolina.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. On Thursday, Doc Rivers' crew was without superstar, Giannis Antetokounmpo, yet stunned Golden State, 120-110.  Meanwhile, the Kings lost at Chicago, 126-113, which was their 3rd straight defeat.  We'll fade Milwaukee, as it's 10-25-1 ATS off an upset win, including 1-11-1 ATS vs. foes off losses by more than 8 points.  And Sacramento is 35-24 ATS as road dogs off back-to-back losses.  The Kings also fall into a 49-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records.  Grab the points with Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Indiana.  I've played on the Hoosiers three times this season, and have won all three (vs. Kennesaw St., Illinois and UCLA).  This will be the first time I fade Curt Cignetti's powerhouse.  Indiana is a perfect 8-0 this season, and just walloped UCLA by 50 points.  That big win has triggered a letdown system of mine which has cashed 63.8% over the past 45 years.  The Terrapins' defense is allowing just 17.2 ppg this season, and I like their chances to stay within this big number at home.  Grab the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over Boise St.  Fresno was shut out, 23-0, last week by San Diego St.  We'll take Fresno to bounce back off that poor game, as NCAA road teams have gone 124-98-2 ATS off a home shutout loss.  Also, the Bulldogs are 21-7-1 ATS when catching 3+ points, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in this series.  Take Fresno.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arizona State Devils + the points over Iowa State.  Kenny Dillingham's men were upset last week, 24-16, by Houston.  Starting QB, Sam Leavitt, was knocked out during the game, and replaced by Jeff Sims (formerly at Georgia Tech).  Sims will once again be under center in this game, as Leavitt remains out.  Also out for ASU will be WR Jordyn Tyson.  Still, the Sun Devils are a solid 20-10-2 ATS since Dillingham was hired as head coach, including 8-1-1 ATS in conference games off a SU loss.  Take ASU + the points.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Vanderbilt.  We played on the Commodores in their last two games, and got the $$$ with home wins over LSU and Missouri.  But off those two huge games, we'll fade Clark Lea's men on the road in Austin.  Indeed, SEC underdogs of less 13 points are 0-14 SU/ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins, if matched up against an SEC foe with a conference win percentage of .500 (or better).  Texas also falls into a very strong 150-79-3 ATS system of mine which fades certain great teams as underdogs.  Lay the points with the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over Clemson.  The Tigers lost at home, 35-24, to SMU, as a 4-point favorite in their last game.  Unfortunately for Dabo Swinney's men, they've gone just 11-25-3 ATS as as favorite off an upset loss.  Duke is 10-3-1 ATS as an underdog in ACC Conference games.  Take the Blue Devils.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Ponies were upset last week, 13-12, in Winston-Salem by Wake Forest.  Off that upset loss, we'll play on SMU to rebound at home vs. Miami-Fla.  Indeed, SMU falls into an 88-43 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs to bounce back off upset losses.  Further, ACC Conference home dogs of less than 14 points are 200-128 ATS off a SU loss, if matched-up against a conference foe.  Take SMU.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Central Florida.  The Bears have hit the skids as they've lost their last five games ATS.  But teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered the spread more often than not over the last 46 years, and are currently riding a 9-0 ATS streak (and 14-1 ATS their last 15).  That bodes well for Baylor on Saturday.  Additionally, the Bears fall into 98-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses by more than 20 points.  With the Bears in off a 41-20 loss at Cincinnati, we'll lay the points with Baylor on Saturday.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Houston.  The Cougars come into this afternoon's game off back to back upsets of Arizona and Arizona State.  Unfortunately, Houston is a soft 21-35 ATS as a favorite off back to back ATS wins, including 4-14 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take WVU + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Chicago.  These two teams meet tonight in the Windy City, and then will play a rematch on Sunday in the Big Apple.  We'll take New York in Round 1, as the Knicks are a super 72-29 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were playing a .500 (or better) team in their current game.  With New York off a 121-111 road loss to the Bucks on Tuesday, we'll look for it to hand the Bulls their first defeat of the season.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over Sam Houston St.  This has been a nightmarish season for Phil Longo.  He was hired to replace K.C. Keeler following last year's 10-win season.  And all he has done is not win a single game.  Sam Houston is 0-7, and Longo is arguably the worst coach in NCAA Football.  In its last game, a 35-17 loss to UTEP, only 4,657 fans showed up to watch the game at Shell Energy Stadium (a drop of over 22,000 compared to last season).  Tonight, the Bearkats won't have to worry about the lack of fan support, since they'll be on the road in Ruston to take on the Bulldogs.  Louisiana Tech is having a winning season, at 4-3, but suffered disappointment last week when they were upset, 28-27, by Western Kentucky, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  That will keep the Bulldogs focused against the winless Bearkats.  As will the fact that La Tech is playing with revenge from a 9-3 loss to Sam Houston last season.  La Tech is 6-2 ATS as a favorite off an upset home loss.  And it's 27-13 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Cleveland.  Toronto kicked off its season with a nice win in Atlanta, 138-118, as a 5.5-point underdog.  But it's dropped its last four, including an 18-point setback at home, to the Rockets on Wednesday.  We'll look for Toronto to get back on track tonight, as it's 162-117 ATS off back-to-back losses.  And the Raptors also fall into a 412-290 ATS system of mine.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Boston blew out Cleveland, 125-105, as a 3.5-point home underdog in its last game, and will look to avenge an earlier loss to Philly tonight.  The Sixers are off to a 4-0 start this season, but undefeated teams with a 3-0 (or better) record have covered just 25% at home the past 36 seasons when they were not favored by 2+ points.  Boston is also 47-20 ATS on the road off a 20+ point home victory.  We'll lay the small number with the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Magic were blown out last night by the Detroit Pistons, 135-116, as a 1.5-point favorite.  Orlando is now 1-4 SU, with four straight upset defeats.  We'll lay the points with Orlando tonight, as road teams have cashed 65.2% since 1990 off four straight upset losses, including 78% if our team was off a double-digit loss.  Lay the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Utah.  Each of these two teams won two nights ago.  Utah held off the Phoenix Suns, 138-134, in overtime, while Portland blew out the L.A. Lakers, 122-108, on the road as a 3.5-point favorite.  Portland is back on the road this evening, and has been installed as a road favorite in Salt Lake City.  And the Blazers are a solid 54-37 ATS their last 91 as road faves, including 15-6 ATS vs. .500 (or better) opposition.  We'll lay the points with Portland, as it also falls into a system of mine which is 100-50 ATS since 1990.  Take the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Denver.  The Pelicans were blown out, 122-90, by the Boston Celtics on Monday.  We'll take New Orleans to bounce back tonight, as double-digit underdogs have gone 134-99-4 ATS following a blowout loss by 32+ points.  Additionally, Denver is a dismal 16-26 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins by more than 10 points.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings plus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls were just 39-43 last year, but have sprinted out to a 3-0 record on this young NBA season.  They're at home tonight, and favored against the 1-3 Kings.  We'll fade Chicago, as undefeated teams, with a 3-0 (or better) record, have covered just 37% at home since 1990 if they were not a winning team the previous season.  Meanwhile, Sacramento is a solid 38-23 ATS off back to back losses, including 16-5 ATS if they were getting 4+ points.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Detroit Pistons.  The Magic have dominated Detroit, as they've taken eight of the last nine meetings.  Admittedly, the Magic have lost their last three games, SU/ATS, but the Pistons are a putrid 36-68-2 ATS vs. foes off 3+ point spread defeats, while the Magic are 50-33-2 ATS off 3+ ATS losses.  Even better:  Orlando falls into 360-247, 411-289 and 85-48 ATS systems of mine.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt Conference play after a 63-27 win over Old Dominion.  They're favored on the road tonight against a Bobcats team coming off a 40-37 upset loss, in overtime, at Marshall.  We'll take the Bobcats to bounce back, as home underdogs off upset losses have cashed 59.2% of conference games over the last 46 seasons vs. foes with a 4-0 (or better) conference record.  And Texas State has cashed 58.6% as an underdog in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Grab the points with the Bobcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Memphis.  The Warriors were wiped out on Friday by Portland, 139-119, while the Grizzlies enter off a home win over Indiana.  Golden State is back in San Francisco for this game, and it is 157-105-4 ATS off a SU loss when matched-up against a foe off a SU win, including 37-16-1 ATS when favored by more than 7 points.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  Minnesota was dealt a big blow when Anthony Edwards went down with a hamstring injury, so it will be short-handed for the foreseeable future.  We'll lay the points with Denver, as the road team is 58-23-1 ATS the last 82 in this rivalry.  Additionally, the Nuggets fall into a very good 98-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Utah.  The Suns are 1-2 SU/ATS this season.  They covered as a favorite in their season opener vs. Sacramento, but were blown out in their two games this season as a double-digit underdog.  And this continues a trend for the Suns, as they are 7-2 ATS their last nine when not getting more than 2 points, and 2-12 ATS their last 14 as an underdog of more than 2 points.  The Suns have won 10 straight vs. Utah (and 17 of the last 19).  Lay the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas.  Each of these two teams enters off a double-digit win.  The Thunder smashed the Hawks, 117-100, while the Mavs upset Toronto, 139-129.  OKC is a fantastic 30-10 ATS its last 40 when both it and its opponent were off SU wins, including a perfect 10-0 ATS if its foe was off an upset win.  Even better:  OKC is 16-5 when playing with rest against an unrested foe.  We'll lay the points, as the Thunder are 10-2 ATS their last 12 regular season games as a road favorite, while the Mavs are 2-5 ATS their last 7 as a home dog.  Take Oklahoma City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls are 2-0 after upsetting the Pistons and Magic.  We'll fade Orlando, as winning teams have cashed just 44% since 1980 off back to back upset wins.  Take Atlanta.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  Houston was upset by the Detroit Pistons on Friday, 115-111, as a 6.5-point favorite.  We'll take the Rockets to bounce back, as they're 10-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss (with the only ATS loss by a mere half-point).  Take the Rockets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Philly will be without Paul George and Joel Embiid tonight, so it has been installed as a home underdog against the Magic.  Philly is 10-19-1 ATS its last 30 as a single-digit home dog, while Orlando is 41-26 ATS as a single-digit road favorite.  The Magic also fall into a 97-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites.  Lay the points.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Indianapolis.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Colts trounced Tennessee by 21 points.  We'll take the Titans to avenge that defeat, as road underdogs of more than 13 points have cashed 66.1% since 1980 if matched up against a division rival which won the season's previous meeting by double-digits.  Take Tennessee.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  We played on the Pistons two days ago, and got the $$$ when they upset Houston, 115-111, as a 6.5-point underdog.  We also played on Boston that same night (and lost), as the Celts fell to New York by double-digits.  Boston is off to an 0-2 SU/ATS start to the season, and we'll take Boston to bounce back on Sunday, as it's 35-5 ATS following back-to-back point spread defeats, if its foe covered the spread by more than 7 in its previous game.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Spurs have sprinted out to a 2-0 start after winning road games at Dallas and New Orleans.  They return home to the Alamo City to take on the 0-2 Brooklyn Nets this afternoon.  We'll grab the points with Brooklyn, as it is 79-43-4 ATS as an underdog of +3.5 to +12 points vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  rested, double-digit road underdogs have cashed 59% vs. rested foes with an .857 (or better) win percentage.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans minus the points over San Francisco.  We played against Houston last week, and got the $$$ with Seattle in a 27-19 game.  That loss snapped the Texans' 2-game win streak, and they are now 2-4 on the season.  We also played on San Francisco, and were rewarded with a 20-10 victory against Atlanta.  Unfortunately for the 49ers, they're a horrible 1-13 ATS off a straight-up win.  Take Houston.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Cincinnati.  This is the most amount of points the Bengals have been favored by this season.  And it's noteworthy because Cincinnati's largest margin of victory this season has been just four points.  Admittedly, the Flyboys have lost seven straight games.  But NFL teams on 7-game (or worse) losing streaks have done very well when playing on the road vs. foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've gone 39-24 ATS.  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Falcons were blown out last week, 31-6, by the Cleveland Browns.  Off that debacle, we'll step in and grab the points with Miami this weekend.  Since 1980, NFL road underdogs have cashed 57% in non-division games following a poor offensive performance where they scored less than 7 points.  Take Miami.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Chicago Bears.  The Bears come into this game off 4 SU/ATS wins.  But the Bears are a brutal 2-8 ATS off 4 (or more) ATS wins.  Baltimore's QB, Lamar Jackson, was upgraded to probable on Friday, which is all I need to pull the trigger on John Harbaugh's men.  Indeed, the Ravens have dominated winning teams outside Baltimore's division, as they've gone 87-52-6 ATS, including 45-15 ATS their last 60 if the Ravens were off a point spread loss.  With Baltimore off a 17-3 setback vs. the Rams in its previous game, we'll take Baltimore to bounce back on Sunday.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Houston.  We played on the Sun Devils last week, and got the $$$ in their upset win over then-undefeated Texas Tech.  We will come right back with Arizona State this weekend, and fade a Houston team also off an upset win (31-28 vs. Arizona).  The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS their last 10 (and 17-6 ATS their last 23) vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Arizona State minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies are historically a horrendous traveler.  And one of their worst situational spots is when they play away from College Station against good teams with a .636 (or better) win percentage.  Since 1980, Texas A&M is an ugly 27-70-1 ATS in these games, including 3-19 ATS when the Aggies were undefeated on the season.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Philly opened its season with an impressive upset win, 117-116, over its rival, Boston.  The Sixers will look to remain unbeaten tonight and take down a Charlotte team also off an impressive win in its opener.  The Hornets blew out Brooklyn, 136-117.  We'll fade Philly as a home favorite, as it is a wallet-breaking 59-88-8 ATS as a favorite of 9 (or less) points off an upset win, including 14-39-3 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up win.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal got a rare win last week, when they upset Florida State, 20-13.  But Stanford is 21-45-3 ATS its last 69, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 15+ points off a SU win.  Take Miami-Fla.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Mississippi St.  The Bulldogs lost a heartbreaker last Saturday at Florida, 23-21.  Miss State was in position to kick the game-winning field goal, as it was on Florida's 29-yard-line with 29 seconds left in the game.  But QB Blake Shapen tossed an interception to put a nail into Miss State's coffin.  Off that emotional defeat, I look for the Bulldogs to have a letdown vs. Texas.  The Longhorns are 22-12 ATS as road favorites of less than 11 points.  Take Texas.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over BYU.  We played on the Cougars last week in their rivalry game vs. Utah, and got the $$$ with a 24-21 upset win.  This week, we'll look for an emotional letdown, and fade BYU off its upset win.  Indeed, it has gone just 14-23-1 ATS following an upset win, while the Cyclones are 11-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes off an upset win, if Iowa State was not laying more than 7 points.  Additionally, Big 12 (and Big 8 teams before that) have cashed just 34.1% on the road since 1980 off upset wins, if matched up against a foe off back-to-back losses.  Finally, the Cyclones fall into several of my favorite systems, including ones with records of 185-111, 149-78 and 35-10 ATS.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Missouri.  We played on the Commodores last week vs. LSU, and will come right back with them vs. Missouri.  Vandy is averaging north of 40 ppg, and is outscoring its foes by more than 21 ppg.  That bodes well for them at home this Saturday, as NCAA home teams have cashed 56.1% over the last 46 seasons, at Game 4 forward, if they were outscoring their foes by at least 17.9 ppg, and were not favored by 5+ points.  And if our home team entered off a SU/ATS win, and was installed as a favorite, then our 56.1 percent angle zooms to 62.6%.  Last week, Vandy snapped a 10-game losing streak to LSU.  This week, it will look to snap a 5-game losing streak to Missouri.  Take Vanderbilt minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Ball St.  The Cardinals upset Akron last week, 42-28, as a 2-point underdog.  We'll fade Ball State in DeKalb on Saturday afternoon, as Northern Illinois has gone 16-10 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset wins.  Moreover, the Huskies are playing this game with major revenge after losing to the Cardinals, 25-23, as a 13.5-point favorite last year.  And Ball St. is a brutal 8-15 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe if the Cardinals were not getting 7+ points.  Finally, Northern Illinois falls into a very good 61-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over San Diego St.  The Bulldogs are 5-2 on the season, but were blown out, 49-21, as a 6-point favorite in their last game by Colorado State.  We'll take Fresno to rebound off that bad game, as winning teams have cashed 60.4% at home off a conference defeat on the road by more than 20 points, if they were matched up in their current game against a conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Fresno St.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Northwestern.  The 'Huskers laid an egg last week at Minnesota.  Nebraska was favored by 6.5 points, but lost to the Gophers, 24-6.  We'll take Nebraska to bounce back at home vs. the Wildcats on Saturday, as Nebraska is a solid 41-23-1 ATS when favored by more than 5 points off a SU loss.  Even better:  if the 'Huskers were off an upset loss, and their opponent was off a SU win, the the 'Huskers have gone 9-0-1 ATS when priced from -3 to -10 points.  Nebraska falls into 63-18 and 108-57 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over UCLA.  Curt Cignetti's Hoosiers are 17-0 SU and 12-5 ATS when installed as a favorite.  I won't step in front of this freight train, and especially not when it is favored off a bad game where it failed to cover the spread.  That's happened three times since Cignetti took over.  And his Hoosiers won those three games by scores of 77-3, 66-0, 56-9.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Ole Miss.  Brent Venables' Sooners are allowing just 9.4 ppg, and fall into a system of mine which is 70-30 ATS since 1980.  That angle plays on certain teams with defenses that allow less than 14 points per game.  Ole Miss has covered just 36% the last 46 seasons vs. SEC Conference foes with defenses that allow 10 ppg (or less).  Take Oklahoma.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Kansas St.  The Jayhawks will look to snap a 16-game losing streak in this series.  But Kansas has been an underdog in each of the last 15 games.  And the point spread in those 15 games averaged 15.9 points.  So, this is the first time since 2010 that Kansas's team has been equal (or better) than Kansas State.  The Jayhaws fall into a 98-47 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with the Jayhawks.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  Steve Ballmer's men were stunned by the lowly Utah Jazz, 129-108, on Wednesday.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Clippers to bounce back on Friday.  Indeed, Los Angeles is a solid 24-0 SU and 18-6 ATS when favored by 9+ points off an upset loss.  And the Suns are 7-30 ATS vs. foes off an upset defeat.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Houston Rockets.  Detroit was upset by division rival, Chicago, 115-111, on Wednesday.  We'll take the Pistons to bounce back off that loss, as Houston is a poor 15-28 ATS vs. foes off upset defeats, including 6-16 ATS at home.  Take Detroit.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Grizz downed the New Orleans Pelicans, 128-122, on Wednesday.  But Memphis has underwhelmed after a SU win, going 3-11-1 ATS their last 15, including 0-6 ATS at home.  Meanwhile, Miami was edged, 125-121, by Orlando to open the season.  But the Heat are 94-62-1 ATS on the road off a SU road loss.  And they also fall into 45-9 and 84-25 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our Atlantic Division Game of the Year is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the New York Knicks.  Last season, the Knicks upset the Celtics in the Playoffs, 4-games-to-2.  With revenge on its mind, we'll grab the points with Boston in this early season rematch.  Indeed, NBA road teams have cashed 61.2% when playing with revenge from a playoff defeat, if it was in the first 10 games of the new season.  That bodes well for Boston tonight.  As does the fact that Boston is 39-11 ATS following an upset loss at the hands of a division rival, if the Celtics were favored by 4+ points in that upset defeat.  With Boston in off a 117-116 home loss to the 76ers on Wednesday, as a 5.5-point favorite, we'll take Boston to bounce back on Friday night.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our Southeast Division Game of the Month is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Orlando Magic.  These two teams met in the Play-In tournament last April, and the Magic blew out the Hawks, 120-95.  We'll take Atlanta to avenge that defeat, as NBA teams have gone 10-2-1 ATS when installed as an underdog, if they were playing with revenge from a Play-In tourney defeat.  Additionally, Atlanta comes into this game off a 138-118 loss to Toronto.  But that 20-point setback has triggered two systems of mine that are 66-17 and 120-65 ATS.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 37 points in their 133-120 wipeout of the Washington Wizards.  Tonight, Milwaukee will travel north-of-the-border to take on Toronto.  We'll take the underdog Bucks, as they're 24-11 ATS as an underdog of 8 or less points at Toronto, including 15-3 ATS if Milwaukee was off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Raptors are a wallet-breaking 61-90-1 ATS in non-division home games vs. winning foes, if both teams entered off SU wins.  Take Milwaukee.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Golden State Warriors.  The Warriors will look to notch their second straight win after a victory in Los Angeles vs. the Lakers.  But the Nuggets will be a more formidable foe than the Lakers.  Denver has dominated Golden State, as it's 9-1 SU over the three previous seasons.  I look for Nikola Jokic & Co. to maintain their dominance, and will back them tonight in their season opener.  Indeed, Denver has gone 17-7 ATS since 2001 in its season openers, while Golden State is an ugly 1-9 ATS its last nine home openers.  And teams playing their first game against foes that have already played at least one game have gone 39-19-1 ATS as a single-digit underdog.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Chargers got their season off to a 3-0 start, including impressive wins over the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos.  But the wheels have come off Jim Harbaugh's team this month, and they've failed to cover the spread in four straight.  Last week, the Chargers were blasted, 38-24, at home by the Indianapolis Colts.  We'll take Los Angeles to bounce back off that upset defeat, as .500 (or better) teams off 3 (or more) ATS losses in a row, including a failure to cover the spread by more than 15 points in their previous game, have cashed 72.9% vs. foes also off a point spread defeat.  Additionally, home teams with a winning record have cashed 55% since 1980 off a SU home loss, if they were not favored by 9+ points in their current game.  Take the Chargers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Oklahoma City.  We played against OKC on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with the Houston Rockets.  And we will once again fade the Thunder tonight.  This is a revenge game for Indiana, which lost in the Finals last season to the Thunder.  And NBA underdogs have cashed 63% the past 46 seasons in their home openers, if they were playing with revenge from a Playoff defeat.  The Pacers are a super 28-9-2 ATS their last 39 as a home underdog (or PK) vs. a foe off a SU win.  Grab the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears over the New Mexico State Aggies.  The Bears come into this Conference USA game with an extra week of rest following their 22-20 win at Middle Tennessee 14 days ago.  Meanwhile, the Aggies lost a tough game last week at Liberty 30-27.  We'll back the well-rested Bears, as rested Conference USA teams have gone 86-54 ATS vs. unrested conference foes, if our rested team was not laying more than 2 points.  Even better:  the Aggies are a poor 26% ATS since 1980 off back to back ATS wins, if they didn't own a winning record, and were playing a foe off a SU win.  Finally, Missouri State falls into 167-87 and 42-11 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  Last year, the Thunder went 68-14 SU and was 54-26-3 ATS (including an ATS loss in the In-Season Tourney Championship game).  That was the best point spread record at least since 1990 (when my database starts), and possibly ever.  But that was then, and this is now.  Consider that the Orlando Magic had a 51-30-1 ATS record two seasons ago (a .629 ATS percentage), which was also one of the best ATS records in the last 35 years, but they went just 40-41-1 ATS last season.  So, one should not necessarily expect great things from the Thunder against the spread this year.  Indeed, in last year's Playoffs, OKC did win the title, but also went just 11-12 ATS.  We'll fade the Thunder as a home favorite, and take the Rockets, who are 17-8 ATS their last 25 as a road underdog.  And Houston also falls into a 35-8 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the Houston Texans.  We played on the Seahawks last week, and got the $$$ with a 20-12 win at Jacksonville.  Seattle is back home for this Monday night game vs. Houston, and we'll lay the points.  Indeed, home favorites with a .666 (or better) record have cashed 66.2 percent since 1980 in Monday Night non-division games, if they were off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Falcons pulled off a huge upset this past Monday night when they stunned the Buffalo Bills, 24-14, as a 3.5-point home underdog.  Off that big win, we'll fade Atlanta, as the Falcons are an ugly 0-9 ATS their last nine off an upset win as a 2.5-point (or greater) underdog.  The Falcons also fall into a negative 65-136 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Lay the points with San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the New York Giants.  Last week, the G-Men upset the defending champion Eagles, 34-17, as 7-point underdogs.  We'll fade New York off that emotional win, as underdogs of more than 3 points have cashed just 24% off an upset win over a defending champion where they covered the spread by more than 13 points.  Additionally, the Giants are a wallet-breaking 40% ATS over the last 46 seasons as road underdogs off home upset wins.  Lay the points with the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Chicago Bears.  Caleb Williams has authored three straight upset wins over the Dallas Cowboys, Las Vegas Raiders, and Washington Commanders.  Can he make it four straight ATS wins on this Sunday?  It's not likely, as favorites priced of -4 (or more) points have gone 1-10 ATS off three straight upset wins.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Eagles enter this weekend off back to back upset defeats to the Denver Broncos and the New York Giants.  We'll take Philly to bounce back as defending Super Bowl champs with a winning record, have cashed 89% of non-division games over the last 46 years off back to back upset losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the New England Patriots.  New England will be on the road for the 3rd successive week.  We'll fade New England, as teams playing their 3rd straight regular season game away from home have cashed just 44% over the last 46 seasons.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Kansas City.  Certainly, Andy Reid's Chiefs have been the most consistent NFL team over the last 6+ seasons, with 5 Super Bowl appearances and 3 Championships.  But they've also burned money when favored by more than 3 points.  And especially when they scored more than 28 points in their previous game, as they've gone 3-21 ATS their last 24.  The road underdog is 38-24 ATS in this rivalry.  Take the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Utah.  This is a great Top 25 match-up between Beehive State rivals.  Utah is 5-1, and ranked #23, while the Cougars are undefeated, at 6-0, and ranked #15.  We'll take the home underdog, as Big 12 home underdogs (or PK) -- and Big 8 before that -- have cashed 68.2% in conference games since 1980 off back to back wins, if their opponent wasn't off an ATS loss.  Even better:  the underdog in this heated rivalry has gone 26-11 ATS.  Grab the points with BYU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars almost knocked off #5-ranked Mississippi with the season's biggest upset, but lost, 24-21, as a 33-point road underdog.  I look for Washington State to suffer a letdown this week, and get blown out by Virginia, which had last week off, and will be well-rested.  The Cavaliers are riding a 4-game win streak, and have been installed as a big favorite vs. Wazzu this evening.  We'll lay the points, as UVA is 18-10-1 ATS when priced from -16 to -23, including 8-1 ATS off back-to-back wins, 3-0 when playing with rest, and 5-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Virginia.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Texas Tech.  Arizona State had a rare ATS loss its last time out, when it fell by a 42-10 score at Utah.  Still, ASU is 19-7-2 ATS its last 28 FBS games, including 8-1-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are a soft 3-11 ATS as an unrested road favorite, including 0-7 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes.  And they're 22-42-2 ATS off back to back FBS games where they did not fail to cover the point spread.  Take Arizona State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Temple.  The 49ers have pushed their previous two games, and were 0-3 ATS in their three FBS games prior to that.  But this poor ATS performance has set up Charlotte in a 72.4% ATS system of mine.  Temple is 1-7 ATS its last eight when priced from -10.5 to -25.5.  Take the 49ers.

At 3:00 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats defeated Penn State, 22-21, last Saturday.  We'll look for a letdown this afternoon, as Northwestern has covered just 22 of 64 FBS games when favored (or PK) off a SU win.  Take Purdue.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over Montreal.  The Redblacks will start 3rd string QB, Tyrie Adams, as 2nd-stringer, Dustin Crum, sustained a head injury.  The oddsmakers have adjusted the number, so Ottawa is now getting double-digits.  I don't mind the trade-off, as Adams has been with the Redblacks for 4 seasons, and knows the program.  And back in 2023, Adams started a game for Ottawa -- also as the 3rd string QB -- and led the Redblacks to a 26-7 win, as a 2.5-point home favorite.  The Redblacks went 4-14 that season, so Adams' start was one of their best games of the entire season.  The bottom line is that Adams will NOT be a deer caught in headlights this afternoon.  The Redblacks are on a 4-game losing streak, but this is is Ottawa's final home game of the season.  And since they will not be playing in the post-season, the players should be well-motivated to perform.  Moreover, double-digit underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have cashed 57% over the last 20 seasons.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated ACC Conference records.  And Georgia Tech is undefeated for the season, as well, with a 6-0 mark.  We'll fade the Yellow Jackets as undefeated NCAA teams, at Game 6 forward, have cashed just 135 of 317 on the road vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Duke.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over LSU.  Vandy has lost 10 straight vs. LSU, but it was a double-digit underdog in each of those 10 defeats.  Here, Vandy is favored.  The Commodores are 12-6 ATS their last 18 FBS games.  And they've cashed 58% since 1980 as a favorite when playing with revenge.  Vandy also falls into a 59-30 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay it.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Connecticut.  The Eagles are 1-5 on the season, and have been installed as a small favorite vs. the Huskies.  We'll lay the points, as .200 (or worse) teams have cashed 70% of home non-conference games, at Game 5 forward, if they were not getting more than 1 point.  Moreover, UConn is 7-18 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back losses, including 0-7 ATS if the Huskies were off a SU win.  Take Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Bowling Green.  Last week, the Falcons upset Toledo, 28-23, as an 11-point home dog.  The Falcons are back home this weekend, and have been installed as a favorite vs. the Chips.  We'll grab the points with Central Michigan and go against BGSU.  Indeed, Mid-American Conference teams have cashed just 21.7% in home conference games off a home upset win vs. a conference foe.  Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Cardinals had last week off following their 30-27 upset loss vs. the Virginia Cavaliers, while Miami also enters with rest following its 28-22 win at Florida State.  Over the last 46 seasons, Louisville has been a profitable 59% as road underdogs vs. .666 (or better) conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are a horrid 12-30 ATS at home in conference games off a SU/ATS win, including 0-7 ATS with rest.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Bengals have lost four straight.  We'll fade Pittsburgh, as it has covered just one of its last 10 road games when it was off back to back SU/ATS wins, and favored by more than 3 vs. a foe off back to back losses.  The Bengals covered as an underdog last week vs. the Packers, and they're now 17-6 ATS their last 23 when getting more than 2 points, including 7-0 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  the underdog is now 53-39 ATS in AFC North division games.  And home teams have gone 7-0 ATS their last 7 Thursday NFL games vs. division rivals (and 18-7 ATS their last 25) when they entered off 3+ losses.  Grab the points with the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm (please note the early start time), on Monday, our selection is on the Ottawa Redblacks + the points over the Montreal Alouettes.  This is the biggest point spread in the CFL in over two years.  Admittedly, the Redblacks are on an 0-3 SU/ATS losing streak.  But those three defeats were by 11, 8 and 7 points -- each south of the number they are getting this afternoon.  This season, Ottawa has only lost by more than 2 TDs twice:  39-18 to these Alouettes on June 13, and 30-15 to Hamilton on July 20.  Additionally, sub-.286 CFL teams off back to back losses have cashed 66% on the road vs. foes off back to back wins.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Chiefs lost a thriller on Monday Night Football in Jacksonville, while the Lions defeated the Cincinnati Bengals by two touchdowns last week.  Detroit's explosive offense is leading the league at 34.8 ppg, while KC is averaging 25.0 ppg.  Andy Reid's Chiefs, though, have been great vs. foes with much better offenses (at least 4.9 ppg better), as the Chiefs have gone 18-2-1 ATS in those games, including 8-0-1 ATS when favored by 2+ points.  Take KC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points over the San Francisco 49ers.  Last week, the 49ers upset their division rival, Los Angeles, in overtime, 26-23.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the 49ers in Tampa this week.  San Francisco has covered just 41% over the last 46 years on the road following a division upset win.  Lay the points with Baker Mayfield & Co.