Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-30-16 | Nebraska +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Tennessee. The line has reached double-digits (due to Nebraska's QB issues), but we'll still pull the trigger on the underdog Huskers, as it's tough to turn down this amount of points in a bowl game. And especially when our team has the vastly superior defense (Nebraska gives up 22.7 ppg against opponents that averaged 28.2; Tennessee 29.2 ppg against opponents that averaged 26.6). Indeed, Nebraska falls into 28-5 and 34-8 ATS systems of mine that play on certain underdogs with good defenses. Take the Cornhuskers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-30-16 | North Carolina +3 v. Stanford | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Stanford. (Analysis to follow.) |
|||||||
12-29-16 | Mavs v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. To say that the Lakers will desperately want to win tonight's game is an understatement. After all, the Mavericks have won 11 straight in this series, including an upset win over Los Angeles last month, when the Lakers lost 109-97, as a 4-point favorite. But you know what they say about 'paybacks,' and the Lakers fall into a fantastic revenge system of mine which is 82-33 ATS since 1990. Even better: NBA revenge-minded teams are a solid 56-30 ATS this season off a loss, including 17-5 ATS if they were upset in the season's previous meeting. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-29-16 | Bruins -142 v. Sabres | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Buffalo Sabres. How do you know that the balance of power has somewhat shifted in the East? How about when the Buffalo Sabres start winning games in Detroit? They just did exactly that in their last game on Tuesday - their second win in the Motor City in their last three games there (and they hadn't won in the previous eight trips prior to that). Of course, Detroit is a shell of its former self and has actually fallen to last place in the division, so it's not clear how significant that victory was at this point. The Sabres come home tonight before heading back on the road for three more games after that, and they'll likely have a tougher time than they did against the Wings, facing a Bruins team that is 5-1 in its last six games vs. teams from its own division (the Atlantic). The Bruins have been treading water - right around .500 - most of the season, so they have to feel pretty good about their current third place standing in the Atlantic (and glad that they're not in the much tougher Metropolitan). The Sabres are pretty banged up right now, including #1 C Ryan O'Reilly who is expected to miss two-to-three weeks as the result of an appendectomy. Boston is 5-0 in the last five trips to Buffalo. Take the Bruins. NHL Road Warrior. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-29-16 | Arkansas +7 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Virginia Tech. Both teams lost their last game of the season. The Hokies lost by 7, as a double-digit underdog vs. Clemson, while Arkansas fell, 28-24, at Missouri, as a 7.5-point road favorite. I look for the Razorbacks to get the $$$ on Thursday, as College teams off an upset road loss have covered 71% since 1981 as underdogs in the post-season against foes not off a pointspread defeat. Additionally, the Razorbacks are 9-0 ATS their last nine games off an upset loss, if they're matched up against a foe off a loss. Take Arkansas. NCAA High Roller! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-29-16 | South Florida v. South Carolina +10.5 | Top | 46-39 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over South Florida. The Bulls lost their head coach, Willie Taggart, to the University of Oregon, so co-offensive coordinator T.J. Wiest will serve as the head coach for this ballgame. Other Bowl schools that saw their coaches depart this month include Houston (Tom Herman) and Temple (Matt Rhule), and both Houston and Temple lost outright as favorites in their bowl game. Don't be surprised if South Florida does, as well. Meanwhile, South Carolina was able to win four of its final six games to reach the .500 mark, at 6-6. And, as I mentioned yesterday in our discussion of the Indiana/Utah game, College Football teams have done terrific in the Bowls if they didn't own a winning record. Dating back to 2002, our non-winning bowl teams have cashed 67.2% vs. winning opposition, including 7-1 ATS this season, and 34-13 ATS as an underdog of +10 or less points. Take the Gamecocks + the points. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -2.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 56 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies minus the points over Kansas State. The Wildcats upset TCU, 30-6, as a 4-point road underdog to end their season, while Texas A&M lost its last game, 54-39, at home vs. LSU. Unfortunately for the Wildcats, underdogs off an upset win away from home have burned money in the post-season against foes off a loss by 6+ points. Since 1980, our dogs have cashed just 28% of the time. Additionally, the Aggies will have the benefit of the home crowd on Wednesday night, as NRG Stadium is a mere 90 minutes distance from College Station. Take Texas A&M. NCAA Favorite of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Fresno State v. New Mexico -6.5 | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Fresno State. This is the Mountain West Conference opener for both teams. And each comes into this game off a loss, as Fresno fell, 75-63, at Oregon, while New Mexico was blown out by Arizona, 76-47. But the Lobos have always been terrific in conference games when going into it off a loss by more than 5 points. Over the past 27 years, they're 31-16 ATS in this role. Moreover, New Mexico falls into terrific 88-39 and 151-88 ATS systems of mine. Take New Mexico. NCAA Hoops Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Indiana +6 v. Utah | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Utah. The Hoosiers enter today's game with a 6-6 record, while Utah is 8-4. And with the proliferation of Bowl games, we're increasingly seeing teams without winning records get invitations to play in these games. At first, I thought it was sort of ridiculous to have non-winning teams get awarded a Bowl bid. But then I decided to just make $$$ off of it, and it wasn't too surprising to see these bad teams do extremely well at the betting window. Of course there could be several reasons why this happens, but perhaps the most simple is also the most accurate: these teams just want to prove they're deserving of being in the game. Dating back to 2002, our non-winning bowl teams have cashed 66% vs. winning opposition, including 5-1 ATS this season, and 32-13 ATS as an underdog of +10 or less points. Even worse for Utah: it's an awful 21-48 ATS since 1994 when priced from -3 to -9.5 points, including 8-24 ATS away from home. Take Indiana. NCAA Football High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -126 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs just can't seem to catch a break no matter what they do. No sooner do they play two of their best road games in recent memory, out-scoring their opponents by a total of 10-1, does the season hit the holiday break and Toronto gets a five-day break with no action. Then again, the two teams that they beat in those back-to-back routs were the Avalanche and the Coyotes - probably the two worst teams in the league right now. So perhaps the Leafs shouldn't write their comeback story quite yet. With the season almost halfway over, there have been plenty of disappointments, perhaps none more-so than the Florida Panthers. The team that surprisingly won the division last season and which many predicted would build on that success in 2016-2017, has struggled its way to a 15-20 record and fifth place standing in the Atlantic. No doubt, this is a club for which the Christmas break couldn't come soon enough. The Panthers have already fired their coach (it hasn't helped) so look for some lineup changes as they begin the unofficial second half tonight against a team they've had a lot of recent success against. The Maple Leafs are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in South Florida. Take the Panthers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Hornets -2.5 v. Magic | Top | 120-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Orlando Magic. Charlotte was upset, 120-118, by the woeful Brooklyn Nets in its last game. Now, it travels to Orlando to take on its division rival, which it beat earlier this month, 109-88, as a 6.5 point favorite. The Magic, meanwhile, come into this game off an upset win vs. Memphis. Orlando won that game, 112-102, as a 3-point home dog. We'll lay the points with Charlotte this evening, as it falls into a fantastic 93-30 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to bounce back in division games off upset losses. The Hornets are also 36-18 ATS off an upset loss when not laying more than 5 points. Take Charlotte. NBA ROAD WARRIOR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | Columbia v. Miami (Fla) -23.5 | Top | 67-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over the Columbia Lions. The Hurricanes have won 5 straight games to move to 9-2 on the season. But they're not having much success in Vegas, as they're a meager 2-7 ATS. But their last four pointspread defeats have all been close, and they only failed to cover by 2.5, 2, 0.5 and 6 points (an average of 2.75 ppg). We'll lay the wood with Miami on Wednesday, as the Hurricanes are a super 28-14 ATS on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. And Miami also falls into a 74-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain .601 (or better) teams off consecutive pointspread losses. Take Miami. NCAA Hoops Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-28-16 | West Virginia +3 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Miami. We played against WVU in its last regular season game. The Mountaineers were favored by 17 vs. Baylor, but won by just three points, and failed to cover by 14 points. Meanwhile, Miami cashed its last regular season game with a 40-21 blowout of Duke, as a 16-point favorite. But teams off ATS wins in their most recent game have covered just 41% in the Bowls over the past 36 years, if they're matched up against an opponent which failed to cover by 14+ points in its previous game. These two schools actually have a long history vs. one another -- mainly when both were members of the Big East Conference. They've met 13 times over the previous 25 seasons, and the underdog has covered 10 of 13. Finally, Miami falls into negative 79-130 and 20-51 ATS systems of mine that play against certain Bowl teams off a double-digit win. Take the Mountaineers. NCAA Football Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Jazz -4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Yesterday, we played against Cleveland following its upset win on Christmas Day. And we'll do the same thing, here, with the Lakers, as teams off wins on Christmas tend to have a letdown in their next game -- and especially off an upset win, if they're playing a foe off a SU loss, as they've covered just 28% over the past 27 years. Moreover, Los Angeles falls into negative 18-57, 71-127 and 47-88 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off upset wins when matched up against non-division foes off a SU loss. With the Jazz in off back to back upset losses to Sacramento and Toronto (and 3 losses overall), I look for Quin Snyder's men to take out their frustrations on the Lakers with a blowout win. Lay the points. NBA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Jets v. Blackhawks -173 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -173 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over Winnipeg. Chicago has 49 points (the most in the league), but comes into this game on a rare two-game losing streak. Interestingly, the Blackhawks have also lost both meetings to the Jets this season, notwithstanding the fact that they've outshot them in both games. I look for the 3rd time, though, to be the charm, as the Blackhawks are a perfect 7-0 their last seven when playing with double revenge. And they're also 25-8 off back to back losses. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Wild v. Predators -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Minnesota Wild. Minny has won 10 straight games, including a 5-2 win here at Bridgestone Arena back on Dec. 15. But if the Predators want to draw any optimism from that game, they can easily do so by noting that they outshot the Wild, 36-19. And even though the Wild have won their last 10 games, the NHL just took a 3-day break, and I've always believed that extended "rest makes rust." Minnesota's a poor 3-10 its last 13 games when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Take Nashville. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Senators v. Rangers -166 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the NY Rangers over the Ottawa Senators. These two teams met earlier this season, here, at Madison Square Garden. New York lost 2-0, but actually outshot the Sens, 33-20. But #1 goalie, Henrik Lundqvist wasn't in goal that evening, which was a big reason why the Rangers lost. So, New York will seek to avenge that defeat tonight, and it comes into tonight's game off a home loss to the Wild (and two straight defeats, overall). The Rangers are a perfect 6-0 this season off a home loss. Take New York. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Washington State v. Minnesota +10.5 | Top | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Washington State. The dominant storyline, of course, for this game is the suspension of the Minnesota players. This happens to at least one team every Bowl season, and it's been my perception that the teams with the suspended player(s) rally together, and cover the pointspread more often than not. For example, in the Alamo Bowl last year, TCU played without QB Trevone Boykin, who was suspended for punching a policeman. The pointspread was severely adjusted due to his absence, but TCU didn't end up even needing the points, as back-up QB Bram Kohlhausen was spectacular (351 yds, 4 TDs) in leading the Frogs to an upset win. Similarly, the pointspread on this game was adjusted following the suspensions, and I'm more than happy to take the points with the Gophers. Washington State dropped its final two games of the season (at Colorado, and at home to Washington). But since 1984, favorites with a .600 (or better) record are a woeful 6-24 ATS off back to back losses to end their regular season, including 0-7 ATS when favored by more than 7 points. Take Minnesota. NCAA Football Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Temple. It's true that Temple has a stellar season. The Owls were 10-3 straight-up, compared to Wake Forest's 6-6 record. But Temple head coach Matt Rhule left to take the same position at Baylor. That distraction will hurt the Owls in today's game. Additionally, the Demon Deacons lost their last three games of the season. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Wake Forest today. But NCAA Football teams on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak have gone 65.2% ATS in the post-season since 1980 when getting more than 3 points. Take Wake Forest. College Football Underdog of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-27-16 | Army v. North Texas +11 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Army. These two teams met earlier this season, and North Texas won handily, 35-18, as 17.5-point underdogs. And that game was played at Army. This afternoon's game will be played in Dallas, just a stone's throw away from North Texas' campus in Denton. We'll grab the double-digits with North Texas, as College Football teams (like Army) with a .900 (or worse) record are an awful 36-57 ATS when favored by 10+ points in the post-season. Take North Texas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Detroit, as the Lions fall into negative 13-58 and 56-109 ATS systems of mine. Even worse for Detroit: last week, the Lions lost 17-6 to the New York Giants, while Dallas defeated Tampa Bay, 26-20. And winning teams (like Dallas), priced from -3 to -12 points, have cashed 17 straight games at home on Monday Night Football vs. non-division foes, if such foe lost its previous game by 7+ points. Take the Cowboys. NFL Elite Info Winner. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-26-16 | Cavs v. Pistons -4 | Top | 90-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons over the Cleveland Cavaliers. We played against the Cavs yesterday and suffered a tough loss (though we're still 24-6 our last 30 Basketball releases). We'll fade Cleveland once again on Monday, as I look for it to suffer a letdown off that emotional Christmas Day win. Indeed, road teams tend to do poorly following a Christmas Day win. Detroit falls into a super 82-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home losses, as well as a 62-28 ATS revenge system of mine, so we'll take the Pistons on Monday. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-26-16 | Miami (OH) +14.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
At 11 am, on Monday, our selection is on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks + the points over Mississippi State. Miss State comes into this game off a 35-point upset win over their rival, Ole Miss. But that shocking win only raised Miss State's record to a woeful 5-7 on the season. So, the Bulldogs, along with Hawaii, were one of the two teams to make a Bowl game with a losing record. But, unlike Hawaii (on which we played on Saturday), Mississippi State has been installed as a big favorite. But teams favored by 7+ points in a Bowl game have covered a paltry 40.0% over the past 37 years when matched up against an opponent with a superior record, including 0-2 already this season (Colo State, Louisiana Tech). That doesn't bode well for the Bulldogs on Monday morning. And neither does the fact that College Football teams, off a cover by 10+ points, are 37% ATS as Double-Digit Bowl Favorites since 1999. Take Miami-Ohio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-25-16 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 37 | Top | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the KC/Denver game. Neither one of these two teams has been playing high-scoring games, of late. The Broncos have gone 'under' in three straight, including 13-10 and 16-3 losses the past two weeks to Tennessee and New England, respectively. And KC checks in off 'unders' in eight of 10 games, including their last two, a 21-13 win over Oakland, and a 19-17 upset loss to Tennessee. But I look for a much higher scoring game tonight, as NFL games with O/U lines less than 40 points have gone 'over' the total 60.4% of the time if both teams come in off back to back games that didn't generate 37+ points. Take the 'over.' AFC Total of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-25-16 | Warriors -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Last year, the Cavaliers upset the Warriors in the NBA Finals by winning Games 5, 6 and 7. To say that the Warriors will be looking to avenge that stunning upset is a monumental understatement. And teams playing with revenge from a Playoff loss have cashed 77% in Christmas Day games since 1991 if they're playing an opponent off a win. Even better: the Warriors are a spectacular 58-29 ATS vs. .678 (or better) foes over the past 5 seasons. Take the Warriors. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Middle Tennessee State v. Hawaii +7.5 | Top | 35-52 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Middle Tennessee State. This game will be played in Honolulu, at Aloha Field, so the Warriors will enjoy the home field advantage. And it's tough to go against a team playing at home in a bowl game, and especially if wasn't an awful team against the spread during the season (and Hawaii was not). Indeed, teams playing at home, with a .400 (or better) ATS season win percentage, have gone 8-0 ATS in the Bowls when getting more than 3 points, and have covered by an average of 13.44 ppg. Take Hawaii. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 52.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 37 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/New Orleans game, as it falls into a 160-101 Totals system of mine. These two teams met just 13 days ago, and the Bucs won, 16-11, at home. That game sailed 'under' the total by 25 points, and I look for another low-scoring game on Saturday, notwithstanding the fact that each was just involved in high-scoring games last week. The Bucs come into this game off a 26-20 loss at Dallas, while New Orleans defeated Arizona, 48-41. But teams (like New Orleans) that were involved in a game which produced more than 85 points have gone 'under' the total 64% since 1980 if their opponent's previous game generated more than 45 points. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Cardinals +8 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Seattle Seahawks. Last week, the Seahawks demolished Los Angeles, 24-3, as a 15.5-point favorite, while Arizona lost, 48-41, at home to New Orleans. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Arizona on the road, given that it's off back to back SU/ATS losses, and Seattle's off a 21-point win. But consider that the Seahawks are a miserable 15-42 ATS off a win by 21+ points if they weren't favored by more than 10 points in their current game. Moreover, teams (like Arizona) that lost a game in which they scored 37+ points, have rebounded to go 31-10 ATS in their next game, including 8-0 ATS when priced from +6 to +10 points. Take the Cardinals. NFL Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 52 | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Atlanta/Carolina game. These two teams met earlier this season. Atlanta led 17-10 at the half, but the two teams combined for 54 second-half points to send it 'over' the total. But prior to that game, these two teams had played six straight 'unders' against each other, and I look for a return to form on this Sunday. it's true that the Falcons have played all but 2 of their games 'over' the total this season (including their last four in a row). But this history sets up our play, as teams off 4+ 'overs' have gone 'under' in 18 straight games vs. division rivals, if they weren't favored by more than 7 points, and the O/U line was > 50.5 points. Additionally, the 'under' falls into 65-31, 186-131, 93-53 and 29-6 Totals systems of mine. Finally, Carolina has gone 'under' 44-25-2 at home vs. division rivals. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Chargers v. Browns +6 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the San Diego Chargers. Admittedly, the Browns are a very bad football team. But this is still a great situation to take the points with Cleveland as a home underdog. It's Cleveland's final home game, after all. And bad NFL teams -- with win percentages less than .400 — are actually very good bets in their final home game. Since 1998, they've gone 98-74 ATS, including 40-17 ATS vs. other bad teams with win percentages less than .430 (and then 10-0-1 ATS in that subset since 2012). Additionally, this is the first time in more than two years that the Chargers have been favored by more than 5 points, whether at home, or on the road! And on the road, when favored by 4 or more points, the Chargers have covered just once in nine games dating back to 2009. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Titans v. Jaguars +5 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee comes into this game off an upset win over Kansas City, and has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Jaguars. Unfortunately for the Titans, they're a poor 5-17 ATS off an upset win, including 1-8 ATS when laying more than 3 points. Jacksonville also falls into an 86-29 ATS late season system of mine. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Jets v. Patriots -17 | Top | 3-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Jets. New York is 4-10 on the season following its 21-point home loss to the Dolphins a week ago, while New England is 12-2. This will be the Jets final road game of the year, and teams off a loss by more than 17 points, have gone 0-12 ATS in their final road games, when matched up against an opponent whose win percentage is at least .400 percentage points better. That doesn't bode well for the Flyboys on Saturday. And neither does the fact that New England is 26-10 ATS since 1980 in its final home game of the season, including 8-1 ATS if the Patriots' win percentage was at least .333 better than their opponent's. Finally, the Patriots fall into 34-5, 97-50 and 45-13 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off losses. Take New England. NFL Conference Favorite of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Redskins v. Bears +3 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Washington Redskins. The Bears are 3-11, and won't be going to the Playoffs, but they're still competing at a high level. Over their last five games, Chicago's 1-4 straight-up, but a perfect 5-0 ATS. This is its final home game of the season, and I fully expect a great effort in front of its home faithful. Also, the Bears are 42-14 ATS at home off back to back losses, when not favored by more than three points. Take Chicago. NFL Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-24-16 | Dolphins v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Miami Dolphins as Buffalo falls into 56-20 and 33-11 ATS systems of mine. Also, this is Miami's final road game of the season, and NFL underdogs of more than 3 points, with a better season record than their opponent, are a dismal 37% ATS in their final road games, if their opponent is playing with revenge. With the Bills, indeed, playing with revenge from a 3-point loss at Miami earlier this season, we'll lay the points with Rex Ryan's club. Take Buffalo. NFL Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Ohio v. Troy -4 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over Ohio. Both of these teams lost their most recent game. The Bobcats fell, 29-23, to Western Michigan, while Troy State lost, 28-24, as a 7-point favorite at Georgia Southern. But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Trojans, as they're 8-0 ATS their last 8 off an upset loss. And they also fall into a 94-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses immediately before a bowl game. Take Troy State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Wild v. Rangers -144 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -144 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Minnesota Wild. There have been a lot of unexpected win streaks in this NHL season, and perhaps none more-so than the current nine-game version being executed by the Wild. It's interesting to note, however that all except three of those nine victories have come against Western Conference teams, and two of the three Eastern teams they beat were the Maple Leafs and Panthers, with a combined record of 27-37. But let's also be honest and acknowledge that goalie Devan Dubnyk has been nothing short of amazing in carrying this Minnesota squad on his shoulders pretty much all season. The 30-year-old from Regina is having a season to remember, leading the league in almost every significant goaltending category through almost the half-way point. But eventually, the Wild will be faced with having to manage Dubnyk's workload if they want him to be as effective in the post-season as he has been thus far in the first 30-plus games (see Braden Holtby from last season). The Rangers were totally embarrassed last time out in Pittsburgh, and you don't want to face them at MSG coming off of a 7-2 drubbing. Indeed, New York's 10-1 off a loss this season. And the Wild is 1-5 in the last six trips to Manhattan. Take New York. NHL Roadkill. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall -10.5 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Rutgers, as the Pirates fall into 76-18, 128-50, and 281-172 ATS systems. Rutgers has lost just once this season (in 12 games), and comes into tonight's game off a 68-53 SU/ATS win against Fordham. Even worse for the Knights: they're 1-38 straight-up and 12-27 ATS in their last 39 games dressed up as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 9-2 on the season following a 13-point win over Delaware on Saturday. And the Pirates are a terrific 48-28-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes, including 21-7 ATS off a double-digit win. Take Seton Hall minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Louisiana Tech v. Navy +7 | Top | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on Navy + the points over Louisiana Tech. The Midshipmen got bit by the injury bug, which was the primary reason they lost their last two games -- vs. Temple in the American Athletic Conf. Title Game and, then, vs. Army a week later. Of course, the pointspread has been adjusted upward to account for the injuries, and I'm more than happy to grab the points with the underdog in this Armed Forces Bowl. Navy falls into a 48-22 ATS Bowl system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Moreover, the Middies have been the best team in college football ATS when playing away from home over the past 25 years. Since 1991, Navy is 106-55 ATS away from home, including 26-12 ATS off back to back losses, and 74-33 ATS as an underdog. Take Navy + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Tulsa v. San Diego State -3.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Tulsa, as SDSU falls into 137-71 and 100-43 ATS systems of mine. These two teams played last night, and Steve Fisher's crew won, 66-51, over Southern Mississippi. That was the 2nd straight game where the defensive-minded Aztecs held their opponent to 33% < field goal shooting. San Diego State has been terrific under coach Fisher when playing in the regular season without rest, as it's 17-3 SU its last 20 (and 12-4 ATS in those games). And they're a super 67-25 ATS off a win by 14+ points dating back to 2001, when not laying double-digits. Take SDSU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-16 | Eastern Michigan +6 v. Old Dominion | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Old Dominion. Eastern Michigan falls into several of my favorite Bowl Systems, with records of 107-50, 121-67 and 136-89 ATS. Additionally, Eastern Michigan plays with revenge from a 38-34 home loss suffered to Old Dominion last season, and a 17-3 loss to the Monarchs the year before. But underdogs of more than 3 points are an awesome 64.2% ATS in the post-season since 1994 when playing with revenge! Take Eastern Michigan + the points. NCAA Football Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Jets -118 v. Canucks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over Vancouver. This game will be the second straight game these two teams will play against each other -- and it's also in the same arena, as these teams played here, in Vancouver, on Tuesday! The Canucks won that game, 4-1, but I look for the Jets to flip the script in this re-match, as the Canucks are a poor 18-31 off a home win. Take Winnipeg. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Pepperdine +9.5 v. Montana | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Montana. These two teams met last year in Malibu, and the Waves were a 9-point home favorite. They got out to a 37-29 lead at halftime, before winning, 69-63. This year, though, we find Montana installed as the big favorite due, in large part, to the Grizzlies' 4 straight ATS wins and Pepperdine's six straight ATS losses. But my math indicates this line is inflated, and that's corroborated by the fact that Pepperdine falls into 94-35, 136-60 and 113-54 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off back to back ATS defeats. Take the points with Pepperdine. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 102 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the NY Giants. Philly's dropped 5 in a row (though it covered the spread in last week's loss), while New York's won back to back games (both SU and ATS) vs. Dallas (10-7) and Detroit (17-6). But we'll fade the G-Men on this Thursday, as the Giants fall into several negative systems of mine. One is 118-65 ATS and fades certain teams that didn't give up 10 or more points in either of their two previous games. And another is 86-48 ATS, and that system plays on certain teams off 3+ losses vs. foes off back to back wins. The Eagles are 13-4 ATS the last 17 meetings with New York, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if the Eagles are off an ATS win. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Ducks v. Senators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Anaheim/Ottawa game. The Ducks were blown out, 5-1, in their last game by the Montreal Canadiens. But I look for the Ducks to bounce back tonight -- at least on the defensive end -- as they've gone 'under' the total 62% of the time off a loss by 3+ goals on the road. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Ducks -118 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks against Ottawa. The Senators come into tonight's game on a 3-game win streak, including 6-2 and 4-3 upset road wins over the Isles and Blackhawks their last two times on the ice. Unfortunately for Ottawa, it's 2-9 at home off back to back games where it scored 3+ goals. Take Anaheim. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho +15.5 | Top | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over the Colorado State Rams, as Idaho falls into 28-7, 38-16 and 16-0 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins (Colorado State stunned San Diego State, 63-31, as an 11.5-point underdog in its last game). Let's take a look at our 28-7 ATS angle. That goes against teams that won outright as underdogs of more than 10 points, if they scored 48+ in that victory. And if our 'play-against' team (here, Colorado State) has a W/L percentage of .583 (or better) than our 28-7 angle zooms to 12-1 ATS. The Vandals certainly will be the team most in the stands will be cheering for this evening, as the game will be played less than 300 miles from Idaho's main campus in Moscow. And we'll grab the points with Idaho. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Hurricanes v. Sabres -115 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Carolina Hurricanes. Neither the Sabres nor the Hurricanes can be confused for the Penguins or Blackhawks these days as both teams have almost identical records after 30 and 31 games respectively - and that's not a good thing. Buffalo comes into this game having lost two straight, but both of those were on the road. However, the Sabres have won three of their last four home games, including victories over the Kings and Oilers. The 'Canes are even better this season when playing at home as they sport a winning record in Carolina at 9-4. But unfortunately, tonight's game is up north. With just four wins against 14 losses, the 'Canes have one of the worst road records in the Eastern Conference. Although not a top-tier net-minder, Carolina goaltender Cam Ward is a capable starter, but the problem is that if he falters, the 'Canes don't have many options right now. Regular back-up Eddie Lack is on I-R recovering from a concussion and #3 Michael Leighton has been battling an illness and is likely not 100% if called into action. The Hurricanes are 1-7 in their last eight games away from Carolina and 0-4 in their last four trips to Buffalo. Take the Sabres. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Flyers v. Devils -120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers have won 11 of 13 games, including an upset of the Capitals last night, while the Devils have lost their last seven (though just two of those were at home). The Devils are 80-48 off 3+ losses, and 8-4 at home this season. Take New Jersey. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | UC-Santa Barbara +11.5 v. Nevada | Top | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos + the points over Nevada. The Gauchos are off to a 1-8 start this season. Even worse: they've yet to cash at the betting window, with 7 straight ATS defeats. But that pointspread failure has created an overlay in today's line, and we'll grab the betting value. UCSB falls into two really good systems of mine that play on certain teams off ATS losses. One is 96-44 ATS since 1990, while the other is 76-42 ATS. Take the Gauchos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-22-16 | Alabama Aandamp;M +21 v. Bowling Green | Top | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 41 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on Alabama A/M + the points over Bowling Green. In non-conference games, Mid American Conference teams are a dreadful 18-52 ATS as double digit favorites if they aren't a winning team. Take Alabama A&M. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-21-16 | Virginia v. California +2 | Top | 56-52 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Virginia. These two teams met last season in Charlottesville, and the Cavaliers eked out a 1-point win, as a double-digit favorite. This year's game is on the West Coast, and we'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bears, as they fall into a 101-57 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain home dogs, with strong records, that lost to their opponent in the previous meeting. California's 9-2 on the season, including a perfect 8-0 at home, and outscoring its foes by over 18 points per game at Haas Pavilion. Finally, the Bears have cashed 75% over the past 27 seasons at home when they've had an .800 (or better) record and played with revenge, including 86% vs. non-conference foes. Meanwhile, Virginia's an awful 67-91 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded team over the past 27 years. Take the points with California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-21-16 | BYU v. Wyoming +11 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, in the Poinsettia Bowl, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over BYU. The Cougars have won four straight games, while Wyoming's dropped its last two. But none of the Cougars' last four opponents (Cincinnati, Southern Utah, Massachusetts, Utah State) qualified for a Bowl game. In contrast, Wyoming's two losses to end the season were against New Mexico and San Diego State. And both of those teams played in a Bowl game. One of the things I like to do in the post-season is wager on teams off back to back losses, if they're playing a favored opponent off 3+ wins. Since 1980, our underdogs in this situation have cashed 72% of the time! Take Wyoming + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Fresno State v. Oregon -14 | Top | 63-75 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Fresno State, as Oregon falls into a 128-49 ATS system of mine (which is also 14-0-1 its last 15). That angle plays against certain winning teams off back to back ATS wins. Overall, the Bulldogs have covered five straight entering this game. And, of course, that recent pointspread success will serve to keep our line reasonable, but the Bulldogs should get blown out tonight. Fresno's an awful 1-11 ATS since 2014 when playing a foe with an .800 (or better) win percentage. Meanwhile, Oregon's 26-8 ATS when matched up against foes with a win percentage between .395 and .795; 9-0 ATS when favored by double-digits against a foe off a SU/ATS win; and 20-6 ATS at home in non-conference games off back to back double-digit wins. Take Oregon. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Flames v. Sharks -200 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Calgary Flames. Last night, the Flames went into Arizona and bested the Coyotes, 4-2, while San Jose had the night off to recover from a 4-game road trek. We'll take the homestanding Sharks on Tuesday night to bounce back from their 4-1 loss at Chicago, as they're 123-96 (+21 games on the moneyline) off a loss by 3+ goals, including a perfect 3-0 this season. Take San Jose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Predators v. Devils -105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Nashville Predators. We'll continue to look to play on Nashville at home, and against it on the road, as it sports a severe difference in its home/road success this season. At home, the Preds are 10-3-3, while it's 4-9-2 away from Bridgestone Arena. In contrast, New Jersey is 8-1-2 at home, but an awful 4-11-5 on the road. One can see from those numbers, also, that the Devils have been handicapped by a very difficult road-heavy schedule, with 20 of their first 31 games on the road. That, more than anything, is the culprit for New Jersey's 6-game losing streak (five of the six were on the road), but it's back home today, and we'll back New Jersey. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Rangers v. Penguins -157 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the New York Rangers. The Penguins are on a rare two-game losing streak, having fallen to the Kings and Maple Leafs in one-goal, overtime defeats. Perhaps most surprising about those back-to-back losses was the fact that the offense that had scored 39 goals in its seven previous games managed just one in those two. Look for Sidney Crosby and Company to bounce back tonight in a critical home game against the division-rival Rangers. The Rangers are working on their own streak as they have won their last three in a row and six of their last seven. But it should be noted that five of those six victories came against teams with losing records (Nashville, Dallas, Winnipeg, and New Jersey - twice), and that certainly is not the case tonight with Pittsburgh. And the Rangers required shoot-outs for their last two wins - over the Preds (2-1) and Devils (3-2). These two teams last faced each other about a month ago in New York and the Rangers will have to do better than the 17 total shots they put on net in that one - an easy 6-1 win for Pittsburgh. The Pens are also 4-1 in the last five meetings. Take Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
12-20-16 | Memphis +7 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 31-51 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers finished the season with a better record (both SU and ATS) than Memphis, but that largely was due to a much easier schedule. Western Kentucky benefited from playing in a weaker conference (Conference USA) than did Memphis (American Athletic). Indeed, the 2nd best team (Louisiana Tech) this season in Conference USA would have rated 6th or 7th this year in the American Athletic Conference. When the Hilltoppers stepped outside of their conference this season, they fared very poorly, with just one ATS win in five games. Even worse: in the regular season, they also failed to cover the spread against the teams rated #2 and #3 in power rating in Conference USA (LA Tech and Middle Tennessee St), though they did avenge their regular season defeat with a home win in the Conference USA Title game vs. LA Tech. Regardless, much of Western Kentucky's success this season was against very soft competition; they didn't cover the spread in any of their four games when they weren't favored by more than 11 points. Take Memphis + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-19-16 | Mavs v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. Last night, Dallas avenged a 31-point loss to the Sacramento Kings, suffered 11 days before, with a 20-point win, 99-79, as 1-point underdog. But now the Mavericks have to travel to the thin air of Denver to take on a revenge-minded Nuggets squad which lost to the Mavericks by 20 points just seven days ago. Unfortunately for the Mavericks, teams that avenge a 20-point or worse defeat have covered just 22% since 1990 in their next game, if the shoe is on the other foot, and it's their opponent which is playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) defeat. And, since losing last week to Dallas, the Nuggets have responded to win back to back games, with an offensive ppg of 129.5. A key factor has been a change in the starting lineup by coach Mike Malone, who inserted Wilson Chandler, and moved Jusuf Nurkic to the bench. The Nuggets also fall into an 83-34 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back double-digit wins. Take Denver. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -7 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Carolina. After a 3-game road trek at Dallas, Arizona and Philly, the Redskins return home for this game vs. Carolina. Washington's won its last four games at home (going 4-0 ATS), and falls into a super 38-11 ATS system of mine. What we want to do is play on any home team on Monday Night Football, if it's off back to back road games, and is playing a team with a worse record. Even better: if our team is playing with revenge, then our 38-11 angle zooms to 13-1 ATS. Last year, the Redskins were blown out, 44-16, at Carolina by the Panthers, so they'll definitely be looking to avenge that defeat on Monday. And Washington also falls into a 36-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that lost by 25+ points the previous year. Take Washington. Monday Night Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-19-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Syracuse -12 | Top | 57-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Both teams come into this game with identical 6-4 records. But EMU's been horrid on the road this season, as it's 1-4, with its only victory at Detroit, where it was favored by 9 points. Here, it's been installed as a double-digit underdog, and EMU is a dreadful 3-17-1 ATS as double-digit underdogs away from home vs. foes that outscore their opponents by 10+ points per game. The Orange suffered a rare home loss, but they're 69% ATS over the past 11 years at home off a SU home loss. Take Syracuse. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-19-16 | Central Michigan +13.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 10-55 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane laid an egg (at least in Las Vegas) in its last game, as it was favored by 22.5, yet only won by three points vs. Cincinnati, 40-37. Now, Tulsa is laying double digits to Central Michigan, notwithstanding the fact that the Golden Hurricane's defense leaves much to be desired. Indeed, Tulsa's giving up 31.5 ppg (against opponents that score two points less, on average), and that number soars to 36.5 ppg away from home. Generally speaking, it's a real bad idea to lay points with bad defensive clubs in bowl games. For example, teams that give up 23+ ppg have covered just 25% of Bowl games if laying more than a TD to a team that scores at least 25 ppg. Grab the points with Central Michigan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -100 | 64 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers won (and covered) their fifth straight game, last week, when they bested Drew Brees & the Saints, 16-11, as a 2.5-point favorite. Tampa's now 8-5, and has an excellent shot to make the Playoffs. But they'll face their stiffest test of the season this week when they have to take on the 11-2 Cowboys, in Texas. And Dallas should be in an ornery mood following its upset loss last week at New York. We'll take Dallas, as home teams off an upset loss on the road have covered 73.4% over the past 37 years vs. winning teams off 3+ ATS wins, including 13-1 ATS if our home team is playing with revenge. With Dallas, indeed, playing with revenge from a 10-6 loss at Tampa Bay last season, we'll lay the points with the Cowboys. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Western Michigan v. Washington -12 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan, as Washington falls into a 57-21 ATS system of mine. That angle plays on certain teams off ATS losses when matched up against foes off ATS wins. Western Michigan checks in off a SU/ATS home win vs. James Madison, while Washington was upset at home in its last game, 87-85, by Nevada. That loss was the Huskies' 4th straight overall (both SU and ATS). But I love U-Dub to bounce back on Sunday, as it's 17-6-1 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Broncos are an awful 5-19 ATS off a pointspread win! Take Washington minus the points. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the New England Patriots. These two teams met twice last season -- both times, here, in Denver. And the Broncos got the better of Tom Brady in each instance. In the regular season, the Broncos won 30-24, as a 3-point underdog. Then, in last year's playoffs, Denver upset the Patriots once again, 20-18, also as a 3-point home underdog. Fast forward to this Sunday, and New England is once again favored on the road. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the revenge-minded Patriots. But consider that, since 1981, road teams playing with revenge from an upset loss in the previous year's Playoffs have gone an awful 18-37 ATS. Even worse for New England: it falls into negative 29-63 and 57-113 ATS systems of mine based on its statistics through the first 13 games. Finally, Denver's a super 45-24 ATS at home vs. foes that have a scoring margin of +5.5 ppg (or better). Take Denver. NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Raiders v. Chargers +2.5 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Chargers + the points over Oakland. These two division rivals met in Oakland earlier this season, and the Raiders won that game, 34-31, as a 3.5-point favorite. We'll take the points with the Chargers this afternoon, as they fall into a super 57-25 ATS revenge system of mine, which plays on certain teams that lost earlier in the season to their opponent, provided they're not getting more than 3 points. Moreover, the Raiders are a woeful 31-61-1 ATS when not getting more than 3 points, including 15-52-1 ATS vs. foes not off a straight-up win! Finally, AFC West division home underdogs have been a very profitable 38-24-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take San Diego. NFL Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Packers v. Bears +5.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 61 h 12 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay played its best game of the season last week when it blew out Seattle, 38-10, as a 3-point home underdog, while the Bears lost a 3-point heartbreaker at Detroit. Now, to earn a playoff spot, the Packers will likely have to win their final three games — all against division opponents — and hope that Detroit also loses to either the Cowboys or Giants. Of course, if the Packers lose to their Windy City rivals this weekend, they’ll be all but eliminated from the Playoff chase. I’m going to take the points with the Bears, who will be playing this game with revenge from a loss at Green Bay earlier in the season. And underdogs of more than 6 points, from Chicago’s division, playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season have gone 29-6 ATS since 1993. Even better: NFC North division teams off a straight-up loss have gone 56-28 ATS vs. division rivals off a win. Finally, Green Bay falls into a negative 32% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Take Chicago. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Browns +10 v. Bills | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 11 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Buffalo. I'm well aware of Cleveland's miserable record this season. But it's hard to pass up double-digits this late in the season against a losing team like Buffalo. Indeed, non-winning teams (at Game 5 forward) have been dreadful when favored by 9+ points, if they lost their previous game straight-up. Since 1980, they've covered just 45 of 126 games. Take the points with the Browns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Eagles v. Ravens -5.5 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 11 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. Last week, the Eagles dropped their fourth straight game (both SU and ATS) when they lost at home, 27-22, to division rival Washington. The Eagles will finish up with 2 home games vs. their other two division rivals, so this non-division game is their lone road game of the final four weeks. And when a team closes its schedule with 3 of its final four games at home, it generally gets beat pretty bad in its final road game of the season, as NFL teams in this situation have covered just 56 of 149 since 1980, including just 9 of 49 as underdogs (or PK) off an ATS loss. Take Baltimore. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 57 h 42 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over the Minnesota Vikings. The Colts were upset by their division rival, Houston, last Sunday. Indy was favored by 6.5, but lost at home, 22-17. I love Andrew Luck & Co. to bounce back on the road this Sunday, as they're 25-7 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 12-1, 92% ATS when getting more than 2 points! And Minny's covered just 12 of 33 vs. foes off an upset loss. Finally, .620 (or worse) NFL teams are 158-105 ATS since 1980 off an upset loss as a 6-point (or greater) favorite, if they're playing an opponent off a win. Take the Indianapolis Colts + the points. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-16 | Jaguars +5 v. Texans | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over the Houston Texans. Houston went into Jacksonville, and upset the Jaguars, 24-21, last month. And Houston also upset another division rival -- Indianapolis -- last weekend. But I look for Jacksonville to turn the tables on the Texans on Sunday, as the Texans fall into a negative 16-55 ATS system of mine which goes against home favorites in divisional games off an upset over another division rival the previous week on the road. Even better: the Jaguars have lost their last seven games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against them on the road. But road underdogs on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak have actually been terrific wagers over the past 27 years, as they've cashed 54 of 79 (68.3%). Take the points with the Jaguars. AFC South Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Miami Dolphins. Miami will start Matt Moore under center, as QB Ryan Tannehill is out with a knee injury. Ironically, the last time Moore started a game was almost five years ago, in 2012, in a New Year's Day win over these same Jets. Last week, Moore completed three of five passes for 47 yards, in relief of Tannehill. And Miami upset the Arizona Cardinals, 26-23, as a home underdog. Unfortunately, that upset win has triggered a negative 68-140 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams off home upset wins. Meanwhile, the Jets went into San Francisco, and upset the 49ers last week, as a 3-point road dog. And one of the things I love to do is play on home underdogs (or PK) off upset wins on the road, when matched up against an opponent also off a win. Our home pups in this situation have gone 147-105 ATS since 1980. Take New York. AFC East Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Rangers v. Predators -116 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the New York Rangers. The Predators have been MUCH better at home this season than away from home, as they're 10-5 in front of their home faithful (including 3-1 if they lost their previous home game), but 3-11 on the road. With Nashville off a 5-2 home loss to Minnesota on Thursday, we'll take the Predators to rebound with a strong performance tonight. Take Nashville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Rockets v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves + the points over Houston. The Rockets have won 9 straight, but this extended success has triggered an 0-16 ATS system of mine tonight when they'll travel to Minnesota. And we'll gladly take the points with the T-Wolves, as Houston is a poor 42% ATS the past 27 years off back to back double digit wins when on the road vs. a foe off a SU win. The Rockets are also an awful 16-30 ATS vs. Minnesota if Houston's off a SU/ATS win. Take the T-Wolves. NBA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Marshall v. Akron -7.5 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Marshall. The Zips are a solid 7-3 on the season, and their only three losses came in their 3 games on an opponent's home court. Here, of course, Akron is playing at home, and we'll lay the points with the Zips, as they fall into a 280-170 ATS system of mine when plays on certain favorites with a winning record. Moreover, Marshall's been an terrible traveler over the years, and especially when installed as a road underdog priced from +1.5 to +12 points, as it's 40-85-2 ATS since 2001! But that's not the worst part. If Marshall's also off a pointspread win, then its 40-85-2 ATS record drops to 10-40-1 ATS. With the Thundering Herd, indeed, off a SU/ATS win over Toledo, we'll lay the points with Akron. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Sabres v. Hurricanes -106 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Buffalo Sabres. The Hurricanes have a stark home/road dichotomy this season, as they're 8-4 at home, but 4-14 on the road. Tonight, they'll host the Buffalo Sabres, and we'll back the homestanding Hurricanes. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Rice v. Pittsburgh -9 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Rice. Both the Panthers and Owls come into tonight's game off back-to-back wins, and identical 8-2 records. In Vegas, Rice has gone 3-1 ATS, while Pitt is a game under .500, at 4-5 ATS. We'll take the home team Panthers tonight, as Rice is a woeful 16-44 ATS off back to back wins when playing an opponent with a .570 (or worse) pointspread win percentage, including 0-13 ATS its last 13. Take Pitt. NCAA Hoops Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Chicago State v. DePaul -12.5 | Top | 61-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Chicago St. The Cougars threw a scare into Northwestern on Wednesday, as they lost 68-64, but covered as a 28-point underdog. But that was a rare ATS win as a big underdog for the Cougars, given that they've only covered 26% over the past 11 years when priced from +10 to +30 points. Meanwhile, DePaul's a stellar 13-0 SU and 10-3 ATS as double-digit favorites off a loss vs. non-conference foes. Take the Blue Demons. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Texas-San Antonio +10.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners over New Mexico. These two teams know each other well. They've played twice in the past four seasons, with each winning outright as an underdog on the other's home field. So that bodes well for Texas San Antonio this afternoon, as this game will be played at New Mexico's stadium, in Albuquerque. And I won't pass up the points with the Roadrunners, as they're a much better defensive club than New Mexico. The Lobos are giving up a whopping 32.4 ppg (more than 5 points more than their opponents would otherwise average). In contrast, Texas San Antonio has held its opponents to 2.5 ppg BELOW their offensive averages. It's true that Texas San Antonio comes into this game with just a 6-6 record (compared to 8-4 for New Mexico). But underdogs that didn't have a winning regular season have gone 37-20 ATS in the post-season vs. foes that did have a winning year. Take Texas San Antonio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Cleveland State v. Ohio -12.5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Cleveland St. The Vikings have been awful in this price range, as they're 2-14-1 ATS when getting between 9 and 16 points, including 0-9-1 ATS their last 10. Additionally, Ohio has dominated non-conference foes, here in Athens, as it's 45-22 ATS in the regular season since 1990. Take the Bobcats. |
|||||||
12-17-16 | Flyers v. Stars -116 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Philadelphia Flyers. Dallas suffered a rare shutout loss in their last game, when they fell 2-0 to the NY Rangers. But I love Dallas to rebound off that defeat, as it's 9-0 at home after not scoring 2+ goals in its previous game, and 24-10 off a shutout home loss. Meanwhile, Philly has won just 12 of 52 when playing on the road in back to back games. Take Dallas. |
|||||||
12-16-16 | Clippers -7 v. Heat | Top | 102-98 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Miami Heat. Erik Spoelstra's men come into this home game off back to back upset wins to start this six-game home stand. Miami upset the Wizards on Monday, and then did the same to the Pacers on Wednesday. But the Clippers are a much better team than either Washington or Indiana, and should blow out the Heat tonight. Los Angeles is 19-7 on the season, and .700 (or better) teams are 108-60 ATS since 1990 off a win, if they're playing a team off back to back upset wins. Even worse: Miami's covered just two of its last 11 off back to back wins. Take the Clippers. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-16-16 | Sharks v. Canadiens -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over San Jose. The Sharks come into tonight's game on a 3-game win streak. But this will be a much tougher test for them than their last three foes, as Montreal's lost just three games at home all season (14-3). Moreover, San Jose will be playing its 3rd road game in four nights, while Montreal is well-rested, with the last three days off. And the Sharks are a woeful 3-11 on the road if they're playing their 3rd road game in four nights. And they're also 0-4 this season following a 3-game win streak. Take Montreal. NHL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-16-16 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami (Fla) -19 | Top | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Florida Hurricanes minus the points over Florida Atlantic. The Hurricanes have lost four in a row to the pointspread, but we'll lay the points tonight when they take on the Florida Atlantic Owls. Miami has covered 70% over the past 20 seasons off 3+ pointspread defeats in a row, including, 88% ATS vs. losing teams. Meanwhile, the Owls are a dreadful 30.7% ATS the past 11 seasons vs. foes off 4+ ATS losses. Finally, the 'Canes fall into a 45-9 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off back to back ATS defeats. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-15-16 | Blazers v. Nuggets -1 | Top | 120-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland comes into tonight's game off a 19-point win over OKC, while Denver's in off an upset loss to Dallas. This will be the 3rd meeting between these two Northwest division rivals this season, and the Nuggets lost meetings #1 and #2. But I love them to avenge those defeats tonight, as this will be Portland's 3rd game in four nights. And teams playing their 3rd game in four nights are an awful 6-23 ATS this season against revenge-minded foes, including 1-10 ATS off a win by 5+ points. Take Denver. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-15-16 | Coyotes v. Maple Leafs -225 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -225 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Arizona Coyotes. The Leafs lost a tough one on Tuesday, surrendering a 2-0 lead late in the game and then losing on a shootout to the Sharks. That's the second straight bad beat at home for Toronto, who also lost here at the Air Canada Centre on Sunday to the Avalanche, 3-1, despite out-shooting them by a 52-29 margin. We're going to bet that they don't lose three in a row here, especially given that tonight's opponent is arguably the worst team in the league. Not only do the Coyotes share the worst point total in the NHL (with the aforementioned Avs), but they also have the second-worst offense in the league - and worst in the West - with a goal scoring average of just 2.21 per game. But that's not the only number that stands out for the Coyotes (in a bad way). Arizona also has the worst goal differential on the road this season at -1.50. It certainly doesn't help their cause that one of the most productive players on the Coyotes' roster (and their top draft pick in 2013), LW Max Domi, is out indefinitely after injuring his hand and requiring surgery last week. The Coyotes are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. teams with a losing record. Take the Maple Leafs. NHL Roadkill. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-14-16 | Pistons -4 v. Mavs | Top | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. Detroit suffered a shocking loss, as a 12-point home favorite, to the Philly 76ers on Sunday. But I look for the Pistons to rebound tonight, as rested .500 (or better) teams off a home loss, in which they were favored by 9+ points, have covered 61% since 1990 on the road vs. foes off a win. Additionally, the Pistons 22-5 ATS since Dec. 2014 off an upset loss, including a perfect 5-0 ATS when favored by more than 3 points. Lay the points with Detroit. NBA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-14-16 | Raptors -9 v. 76ers | Top | 123-114 | Push | 0 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Philadelphia. The Raptors are playing extremely well this season. Indeed, if you throw out the three losses to Cleveland (a team which certainly has Toronto's number), then the Raptors are 17-4 SU and 16-4-1 ATS, with 10 straight pointspread wins going into tonight, covering the spread by an average of 5.47 ppg. The Raptors are a perfect 7-0 ATS when favored by more than 7 points this season, and they're also 5-0-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. The 76ers come into tonight's game off two straight upset wins, but .300 (or worse) teams off back to back wins have covered just 43 of 110 games as home dogs (or PK) since 1990. Take Toronto. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-13-16 | Central Arkansas v. Michigan -25.5 | Top | 53-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Central Arkansas. Michigan lost its last game to the #2-ranked UCLA Bruins, but there's no great shame in that. I look for John Beilein's crew to bounce back today, as it falls into a 37-11 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off an upset loss. Even better: Michigan is a super 47-26-1 ATS off a loss the past 8 seasons. Take the Wolverines. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-13-16 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs -105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the San Jose Sharks. The Maple Leafs win the NHL Tough-luck award for their performance in their last game. Toronto fired a season-high 52 shots on Semyon Varlamov on Sunday, but somehow the Colorado goalie stopped all but one of them and the Avalanche came away with an improbable 3-1 victory here at the Air Canada Centre. An NHL team with a 52-29 shots advantage will win the game almost every time, but this one got away from Toronto and lowered their record at home to 8-5 on the season. That's still pretty good for a team that's won just 11 times in its 27 games. Also, in that last game, the Leafs gave 22-year-old rookie goalie Antoine Bibeau his first-ever NHL start and despite the loss, Bibeau played very well. But don't look for the rookie between the pipes tonight as Toronto will go with Danish veteran Frederik Andersen who has been solid when needed for his team this season. The Sharks are 1-4 in their last five road games. Take the Leafs. NHL Roadkill play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-12-16 | Blazers +9.5 v. Clippers | Top | 120-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Los Angeles. Portland plays this game with revenge from a 31-point loss in November at Los Angeles, as well as an 8-point loss in its 2nd game of the season. And it's also off 3 SU/ATS losses, overall, coming into tonight. But Portland falls into a 65% ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from 30-point (or worse) defeats. Also, the Blazers have covered 80% ATS since 1980 as road underdogs of more than 8 points off back to back road losses. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-12-16 | Lakers v. Kings -7 | Top | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Sacramento lost at home earlier this year to the Lakers, but I love them to avenge that defeat tonight. The Lakers have lost six straight games (both SU and ATS) -- giving up over 115 ppg in this stretch -- and also had to play last night (while Sacramento is rested). The Kings fall into a 146-97 ATS revenge system of mine, and I look for a blowout tonight at home. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-12-16 | Ravens v. Patriots -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens. At its core essence, sports gambling is a numbers game. So, one of the primary goals is to get the best number. This game opened at -8, and the line has come down to -6, so it's crossed the key NFL number of -7, and rests on a lesser key number (-6). We'll pull the trigger on the Patriots right here, as New England is 82-37-4 ATS in the regular season since Sept. 14, 2003 when not laying 7+ points, including 18-5 ATS in the last four weeks of the season. Take the Patriots. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-12-16 | Hornets -1 v. Pacers | Top | 94-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Indiana Pacers. Indiana upset the Blazers, 118-111, on Saturday, but fall into a negative 112-189 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins when matched up against opponents off a SU loss. Charlotte has won and covered all four meetings in 2016 vs. the Pacers, and has only failed to cover one of the last 10 meetings. Take the Hornets. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Flyers v. Red Wings -125 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Red Wings over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers won again on Saturday (4-2 against the Dallas Stars) to close out a three-game homestand and have now run their winning streak to eight games. You have to go back 14 years to find the last time the team from Broad Street won eight straight. The Red Wings on the other hand, lost their last game 4-1 to the Blue Jackets, however most of their recent games have been much closer than that. They've gone 5-4 in their last nine contests, and six of those have been decided either in overtime or shoot-out. While the Flyers are obviously enjoying their recent success, one has to wonder if the load that goalie Steve Mason has been carrying is going to take a toll on him at some point. With Michal Neuvirth still out nursing a groin injury (he's due back at the end of this month), Mason has been very busy, playing in 16 of the Flyers' last 17 games, and he'll likely get the call again today which would be his third in the last four days. It's interesting to note that he has a losing record for his career against the Wings at 12-12-3. The Flyers are 3-9 in the last 12 trips to the Motor City and the home team is 19-4 in the last 23 meetings. Take the Red Wings. NHL Elite Info. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Saints +2 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints against Tampa Bay. The Bucs won and covered their fourth straight game last week -- with their fourth straight upset win, no less -- in a 28-21 win at San Diego (as a 3-point dog). Meanwhile, New Orleans was upset as a 6.5-point favorite, at home, vs. Detroit. We'll take New Orleans this afternoon, as division underdogs of less than 6 points, off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 6 points, have cashed 76.4% over the past 37 years vs. foes off an upset win. Additionally, the Saints fall into 102-40, 146-94 and 149-65 ATS Systems of mine. Take New Orleans. NFC South Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Steelers v. Bills +3 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Last week, the Bills lost by two touchdowns to the 10-2 Oakland Raiders, as a 3-point underdog, but played better than the final score would indicate. The Bills amassed 382 yards on offense, while Oakland got just 17 more yards. But 2 turnovers by Buffalo were the difference in the ball game. The Bills are still in the Playoff hunt, with a 6-6 record, and three of their remaining four games at home. I love Buffalo as a home underdog, as home dogs off a double-digit loss and double-digit pointspread defeat, that gave up 37 or more points in their previous game, have gone 59-24 ATS vs. an opponent off a double-digit win. Even better: the Bills are a super 39-13 ATS at home off a straight-up and against-the-spread loss, if their opponent is off a win, including 28-5 ATS vs. non-division foes. Finally, the Steelers have lost their last eight road games, straight-up, off back to back wins, including 0-7 ATS their last seven. Take Buffalo + the points. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Bengals v. Browns +5.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Cincinnati. There's no denying that the Browns are an awful football club, with 12 losses to open this season, and six straight pointspread defeats since October 23, when these two teams last met. That being said, I'm going to step in and grab the points with the home underdog Browns. The key factor for me is that Cleveland had its Bye week last week, so it's very well rested. And Home Dogs off a Bye have been money in the bank when getting 5.5 points, as they're 36-13 ATS. Take the Browns. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Bears v. Lions -7 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Chicago. The Bears have covered three straight games, including a 26-6 upset win, at home, vs. the San Francisco 49ers last week. But I expect the Bears to come back down to earth this afternoon. After all, they're starting a rookie QB in Matt Barkley, who won't have very many weapons on hand. Chicago will be without WR Alshon Jeffery once again as he finishes up his 4-game suspension, as well as WR Eddie Royal, who has a toe injury. And WR Marquess Wilson (groin) is also questionable to play. The Lions lost to the Bears earlier this season on the road, but Detroit's a terrific 25-11 ATS at home when playing with same-season revenge. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-11-16 | Chargers v. Panthers +1 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 102 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over San Diego. The Panthers had their worst game of the season last week, when they were blown out, 40-7, at Seattle. Of course, that came as no surprise to us, as we had a huge play on the Seahawks as a touchdown favorite in that game. But we'll switch gears, and take Carolina back at home this afternoon. Indeed, NFL home teams not favored by 2+ points, off a road loss in which they gave up 40+ points, are 83-49-4 ATS their last 136. Moreover, the Panthers are 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 at home off an ATS defeat on the road. Take Carolina. NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-10-16 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State -2 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies over New Mexico. These two teams met 22 days ago in Albuquerque, and the Lobos won, 72-59. We'll take the Aggies in the re-match, as New Mexico State falls into a 37-10 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, the Aggies are on a 5-game win streak, and home teams in this rivalry off back to back wins have covered 14 of 20, including 6-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Take New Mexico State. |
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-30-16 | Nebraska +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
12-30-16 | North Carolina +3 v. Stanford | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
12-29-16 | Mavs v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
12-29-16 | Bruins -142 v. Sabres | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
12-29-16 | Arkansas +7 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
12-29-16 | South Florida v. South Carolina +10.5 | Top | 46-39 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -2.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 56 m | Show |
12-28-16 | Fresno State v. New Mexico -6.5 | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
12-28-16 | Indiana +6 v. Utah | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
12-28-16 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -126 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
12-28-16 | Hornets -2.5 v. Magic | Top | 120-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
12-28-16 | Columbia v. Miami (Fla) -23.5 | Top | 67-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
12-28-16 | West Virginia +3 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Jazz -4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Jets v. Blackhawks -173 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -173 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Wild v. Predators -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Senators v. Rangers -166 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Washington State v. Minnesota +10.5 | Top | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
12-27-16 | Army v. North Texas +11 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
12-26-16 | Cavs v. Pistons -4 | Top | 90-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
12-26-16 | Miami (OH) +14.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
12-25-16 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 37 | Top | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
12-25-16 | Warriors -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Middle Tennessee State v. Hawaii +7.5 | Top | 35-52 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 52.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 37 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Cardinals +8 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 52 | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Chargers v. Browns +6 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Titans v. Jaguars +5 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Jets v. Patriots -17 | Top | 3-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Redskins v. Bears +3 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
12-24-16 | Dolphins v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Ohio v. Troy -4 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Wild v. Rangers -144 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -144 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall -10.5 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Louisiana Tech v. Navy +7 | Top | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Tulsa v. San Diego State -3.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
12-23-16 | Eastern Michigan +6 v. Old Dominion | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Jets -118 v. Canucks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Pepperdine +9.5 v. Montana | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 102 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Ducks v. Senators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Ducks -118 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho +15.5 | Top | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Hurricanes v. Sabres -115 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Flyers v. Devils -120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
12-22-16 | UC-Santa Barbara +11.5 v. Nevada | Top | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
12-22-16 | Alabama Aandamp;M +21 v. Bowling Green | Top | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 41 m | Show |
12-21-16 | Virginia v. California +2 | Top | 56-52 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
12-21-16 | BYU v. Wyoming +11 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Fresno State v. Oregon -14 | Top | 63-75 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Flames v. Sharks -200 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Predators v. Devils -105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Rangers v. Penguins -157 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
12-20-16 | Memphis +7 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 31-51 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
12-19-16 | Mavs v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -7 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 30 m | Show |
12-19-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Syracuse -12 | Top | 57-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
12-19-16 | Central Michigan +13.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 10-55 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -100 | 64 h 9 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Western Michigan v. Washington -12 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Raiders v. Chargers +2.5 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Packers v. Bears +5.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 61 h 12 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Browns +10 v. Bills | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 11 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Eagles v. Ravens -5.5 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 11 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 57 h 42 m | Show |
12-18-16 | Jaguars +5 v. Texans | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 20 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Rangers v. Predators -116 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Rockets v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Marshall v. Akron -7.5 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Sabres v. Hurricanes -106 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Rice v. Pittsburgh -9 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Chicago State v. DePaul -12.5 | Top | 61-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Texas-San Antonio +10.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Cleveland State v. Ohio -12.5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
12-17-16 | Flyers v. Stars -116 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
12-16-16 | Clippers -7 v. Heat | Top | 102-98 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
12-16-16 | Sharks v. Canadiens -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
12-16-16 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami (Fla) -19 | Top | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
12-15-16 | Blazers v. Nuggets -1 | Top | 120-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
12-15-16 | Coyotes v. Maple Leafs -225 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -225 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
12-14-16 | Pistons -4 v. Mavs | Top | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
12-14-16 | Raptors -9 v. 76ers | Top | 123-114 | Push | 0 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
12-13-16 | Central Arkansas v. Michigan -25.5 | Top | 53-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
12-13-16 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs -105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
12-12-16 | Blazers +9.5 v. Clippers | Top | 120-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
12-12-16 | Lakers v. Kings -7 | Top | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
12-12-16 | Ravens v. Patriots -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
12-12-16 | Hornets -1 v. Pacers | Top | 94-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Flyers v. Red Wings -125 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Saints +2 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Steelers v. Bills +3 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Bengals v. Browns +5.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Bears v. Lions -7 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
12-11-16 | Chargers v. Panthers +1 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 102 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
12-10-16 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State -2 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |