Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-30-16 | Capitals v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals and Calgary Flames 'under' the total. The Caps are in the midst of an early-season 4-game western road swing, and have won four of their past six games, overall. Last night, back-up goalie Philipp Grubauer was solid in goal, in a 5-2 Washington victory. And it's a luxury to have Grubauer as a backup, as he had a 2.32 GAA and .918 save pct. last season. Of course, Washington's #1 goalie is Braden Holtby, who won the Vezina Trophy last season as the best goaltender in the NHL, and Holtby will be between the pipes tonight. Last season, Holtby led the league with 48 victories in 66 games started. And Holtby, along with the Caps' defense (ranked 2nd in the NHL last season), should be a strength for the Caps again in 2016-2017. After dropping five of their first six games, the Flames have won three straight, including a 5-2 home victory vs. the Senators on Friday. Calgary has scored 16 goals in their past four games, but will find it much more difficult to get the puck past Holtby. Also, the Flames have gone 'under' the total in 63 of 100 home games following a win by 3+ goals, and have also gone 'under' in 90 of 152 games after scoring 3+ goals in their previous 3 games. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-16 | Mavs +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 92-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Houston Rockets. We played on the Houston Rockets against Dallas on Friday, and got the cash when the Rockets won, 106-98. But in this re-match, we'll grab the points with Dallas, as teams playing with revenge against a division opponent in the 2nd meeting of back-to-back games between the teams have covered 92 of 155 since February, 1996. Take Dallas. |
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10-30-16 | Wizards -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Memphis Grizzlies. We played against Memphis last night, and got the cash with the NY Knicks, who won, 111-104, as a 3-point favorite. And, now, Memphis must return home to take on Washingto, which has had the last two days off. Thus, this is a very tough scheduling spot for the Grizzlies, early in the year, as they're playing without rest against a rested opponent. And, since 2005, rested NBA teams are 15-0 ATS on the road early in the season (Game 2 or 3) against unrested foes, provided the game's pointspread is 8 points or less. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-16 | Indians v. Cubs -220 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Cleveland Indians. That lack of excitement you hear coming from the Midwestern US is the fans on the North Side of Chicago sitting in stunned silence as their Cubs - who could do little wrong over course of 162 regular season games - are one game away from World Series elimination. The frenzy that was built up over prospect of the first WS games to be played here in over seventy years has been replaced by severe angst as not only have the Cubs still not won a Series game at Wrigley since 1945, but they've barely scored a run here as well. Given the circumstances of being down 3-1 in the last home game of the series, then who better to try to put the team on his back than LH ace Jon Lester? Lester will get his fifth start of the 2016 post-season and this is also a rare chance for him to get some redemption for a sub-par outing his last time against the same team. Lester was the starter in Game 1, and he definitely didn't have his best stuff as he allowed three runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings and took the loss in the 6-0 shutout. But that game was in Cleveland, not Wrigley Field. And all Lester has done this season is lead the Cubs to 15 wins in his 17 home starts, including the last 12 in a row. His two losses: 2-1 to Pittsburgh on May 15, and 2-0 to Colorado on April 17. Of course, neither of those two losses were Lester's fault, as he gave up just 2 earned runs in 14 innings, with 19 strikeouts (against 10 hitters placed on base). For the regular season, Lester's ERA was 1.74 at home, with a 0.88 WHIP. In his 2 Playoff home starts, he's given up 1 earned run and 10 baserunners in 14 innings (0.64 ERA; 0.71 WHIP). So, I look for a Cubs win tonight against Indians RHP Trevor Bauer. Take Chicago. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-16 | Indians v. Cubs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Indians and Chicago Cubs 'over' the total. The Indians won game four last night behind ace Corey Kluber, but perhaps more surprising than the Tribe taking a 3-1 series lead over the best team in the Majors over the regular season is the fact that more than six runs came across the plate. Last night's game was the first in this series to go over the total, and it did so quite comfortably. Heading into game five with a pitching match-up that features LH Jon Lester against RH Trevor Bauer, there are several reasons to think that tonight's game might cruise over the total as well. First, there is the obvious fact that Bauer has not looked good at all this post-season. He allowed three runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings in his ALDS start, then was pulled from his only ALCS start due to his bleeding pinkie, and then had another sub-par effort in game two of this series. Second, the Indians somewhat inexplicably used their best reliever, LHP Andrew Miller in a mop-up situation last night, and he gave up his first run in the process. So there is a greater chance that men from Mars will land on the mound at Wrigley than there is of the Indians using Miller for the third straight game tonight, especially if the Cubs have a comfortable lead, which is quite possible. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-16 | Jazz +8 v. Clippers | Top | 75-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clips had a big emotional game to open the season when they faced off with the team which ousted them in last year's playoffs -- the Trail Blazers. Los Angeles avenged that playoff defeat with an 8-point win at Portland on Thursday. But off that emotional victory, I look for a letdown this afternoon. Indeed, single-digit home favorites that avenged a playoff loss in their previous game have only cashed 38 of 96 since 1990. Take the Jazz + the points. |
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10-30-16 | Jets v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the New York Jets. Cleveland's yet to break into the win column this season, as they're 0-7, but we'll grab the points with the Browns as a home underdog on Sunday. One of the things I love to do is play on teams with an 0-7 (or worse) record, as they've covered 68% since 1985 (58-27-1 ATS) as underdogs (or PK). Additionally, Cleveland falls into a 287-190 ATS system of mine which takes certain teams off a loss, that have a losing ATS percentage, in non-division games. Take Cleveland. NFL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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10-30-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Carolina Panthers. These two teams met in last year's playoffs, and the Panthers absolutely annihilated Arizona, 49-15. But this year's Carolina team is a shell of its former self. Last year's edition lost just one regular season game, but the 2016 squad is a horrid 1-5 on the season, including four straight losses in games they were FAVORED to win. I don't believe Carolina will get off the schneid this afternoon, as teams off 3 straight upset losses have covered just 40% (27 of 66) since 1980, including just 10 of 31 against opponents not off a win. Moreover, teams that won a Playoff game by 27+ points the previous year against their current revenge-minded opponent are an awful 2-15 ATS since 1985, if not favored by 4+ points. Take the Cardinals. NFL Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-30-16 | New Mexico +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
At Midnight, on Saturday night, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Hawaii. Both of these teams come into this game with 4 wins, and each had a great win last week. New Mexico blew out Louisiana Monroe, 59-17, as a 15.5-point favorite, while Hawaii upset Air Force on the road, 34-27, as a 16.5-point underdog. The Warriors have returned home for this game, and one might expect Hawaii to have a big home field advantage due to the travel distance from the mainland. But Hawaii's now 0-9 ATS its last 9 home games when it has played without rest. Even worse: the Rainbow Warriors fall into a negative 89-164 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins. Take New Mexico + the points. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | Old Dominion -5 v. UTEP | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Texas El Paso. Last week, the Monarchs were annihilated by Western Kentucky, 59-24. That loss lowered ODU's record to 4-3 (2-1 in Conference USA). In contrast, UTEP won last week, 52-49, as a double-digit underdog at Texas-San Antonio. But the Miners are just 2-5 on the season, and have only won once in the four Conference games they've played. I expect a "return to form" on this Saturday night, as UTEP falls into negative 69-155 and 74-158 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off big upset wins. Additionally, winning teams (like ODU) off a blowout conference loss by more than 20 points, have covered 59.3% of the time over the past 37 seasons vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win. Take Old Dominion. C-USA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | Kings v. Blues -135 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Los Angeles Kings. The Blues come into this game on a two-game home losing streak including a tough 2-1 shootout loss here against their rivals, the Red Wings. They lost that game despite out-shooting Detroit by a 32-27 margin. A loss tonight to Los Angeles would mean three straight defeats at the Scottrade Center, something that didn't happen even once last season. The Kings are red-hot, having won four straight games coming into a tough four-game stretch that includes the Blues (tonight), Blackhawks, Penguins, and Ducks. It's interesting to note, however, that all four of those victories were either in overtime or shootout, and prior to that, the Kings began the season by dropping their first three games by a combined score of 12-6. The Kings signed former L.A. goalie Jeff Zatkoff in the off-season as some insurance in case Jonathan Quick - now 30 years old - were to get injured again. That's exactly what happened as Quick is out with a groin injury. The only problem is that now Zatkoff also has a bad groin, and that has left the Kings scrambling to find a reliable option between the pipes. As if that weren't enough, RW Marian Gaborik broke his foot in the World Cup and is out for up to eight weeks. Take the Blues. NHL Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | Magic +12 v. Cavs | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. We played on the Magic last night in Detroit, but lost, as Orlando fell to 0-2 SU/ATS on the season. They'll try to get off the schneid tonight in Cleveland where they'll face a Cavaliers squad which is 2-0 SU/ATS after defeating Toronto last night, 94-91. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Cavaliers and against the "cold" Magic, but consider that, over the past 27 years, NBA road teams off to an 0-2 SU/ATS start have covered 75% vs. foes off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start! Take the Magic + the points. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies pulled a mild upset in their first game when they came back from an early 17-point deficit to defeat Minnesota, 102-98. The Knicks, on the other hand, had a more difficult foe for their first game, as they were routed by Cleveland, 117-88. But I love New York to bounce back this evening, as favorites have covered a whopping 67% of the time over the past 27 years off a loss by more than 15 points in their season opener! Take New York. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -8 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Nebraska. The Cornhuskers come into Madison ranked #7 in the country, on the heels of a 7-0 record. But they've been installed as a huge underdog vs. the Badgers, who are 5-2 this season. But Wisconsin's schedule has been much tougher than Nebraska's, as Wisky has lost to Ohio State (in overtime) and Michigan (by just 7), while Nebraska's toughest opponent thus far has been a 2-5 Oregon squad (which it only defeated by 3 points, at home). Indeed, last week, Nebraska barely got by an awful Purdue team, 27-14, as a 24-point favorite. And that doesn't bode well for Nebraska, as unrested undefeated teams, with a 7-0 (or better) record, are a dismal 0-20-2 ATS the past 37 years off a conference win by less than 37 points, if they're installed as underdogs of 3+ points vs. conference foes with a worse win percentage. Take Wisconsin. NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | Marshall v. Southern Miss -15.5 | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles minus the points over Marshall. Southern Miss had last week off following its 45-10 defeat at LSU on October 15. But the Golden Eagles still have a winning record on the season, and winning teams, off a SU/ATS 21-point (or worse) defeat, are 310-231 (57.3%) ATS in Conference games since 1980 (at Game 8 forward). Meanwhile, Marshall's an awful 37-60-1 ATS on the road since 2000. Take Southern Miss. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-16 | SMU v. Tulane -2.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over SMU. Both of these teams are 3-4 on the season, but they couldn't have had much more different results than they experienced last week. Tulane was crushed, 50-27, by Tulsa, while SMU blew out Houston, 38-16, as a 23-point underdog! But SMU falls into a negative 13-43 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams in conference games off a conference win by 20+ points, if their foe is off a conference loss by 20+ points. Also, Tulane is a perfect 7-0 ATS off back to back losses vs. foes off a win. Take the Green Wave. |
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10-29-16 | Miami (OH) v. Eastern Michigan -7 | Top | 28-15 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Miami-Ohio. The Red Hawks have won the last eight games in this series, but that streak should be halted by the Eagles this afternoon. EMU comes into this game off a 45-31 loss at Western Michigan, but has covered its last six games. And College teams off a loss (but 5+ ATS wins) have covered 79% over the past 5 seasons. Additionally, EMU falls into a 66-37 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points with the Eagles. |
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10-28-16 | Jets v. Avalanche -144 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -144 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Winnipeg Jets. Since they put up 112 points in 2014 - also their only playoff appearance since 2010 - the Colorado Avalanche have regressed in each of the last two campaigns, posting 39 wins and only 82 points last season. Despite their struggles, bench boss Patrick Roy's job is probably very safe (he's also VP of Hockey Operations) given his history with the organization. The Avs should be able to improve on those 82 points as they have a core of young, talented players, led by 21-year-old former number one overall pick, Center Nathan MaKinnon. One team that took a bigger step backwards than Colorado last season was the Winnipeg Jets. After posting 99 points in their 2014-2015 campaign, the Jets dropped more than 20, finishing last season with just 78 points, which put them in the bottom of the Central Division. If they're going to improve on their 2015-16 numbers, the Jets will need to find more consistency in their goaltending. They've been alternating starts in net between Michael Hutchinson and Connor Hellebuyck, with neither one of them proving effective as of yet. The Jets are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Colorado and the home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Take the Avalanche. NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-16 | Rockets +2 v. Mavs | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Dallas. The Rockets were upset by the Los Angeles Lakers to open the season, 120-114, as a 6-point favorite. But I love Houston to rebound tonight, at Dallas, as it is 71-37-4 ATS on the road as an underdog following an upset loss, including 28-12-3 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Additionally, Houston falls into 20-4 and 54-21 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset losses. Take Houston. |
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10-28-16 | Indians v. Cubs -200 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -200 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Cleveland Indians. Game two of the World Series should be known as the "it was fun while it lasted" game. After dominating the Cubs in game one behind Corey Kluber, running their 2016 post-season record to 8-1, the Indians came back to earth on Wednesday and revealed why they're underdogs to win the Series despite the won-lost record. The problem in game two for Cleveland of course was the starting pitching match-up, and it's the same problem they're going to face in every game that Corey Kluber isn't starting. And that certainly includes tonight. RHP Josh Tomlin has proven that he can be an effective starter this season, but he's going up against yet another Chicago Ace in RH Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks may have looked more dominating in his game six, NLCS-clinching start than any of the other aces on his team - and that's bad news for the Tribe. He'll get his first career World Series start tonight, and it promises to be a crazy scene at Wrigley in the first Series game there in 71 years. It's also his first-ever start against the Indians. Some pitchers might be intimidated by this situation, but Hendricks has been cool as a cucumber, which is why they call him "the Professor". Expect a lesson from him again tonight. Take the Cubs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-16 | Indians v. Cubs OVER 8 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in Game 3 between the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians. Josh Tomlin will get the start for Terry Francona's club on Friday. Unfortunately, he has a dismal 5.40 ERA in his interleague starts this season, and 6 of his last 7 interleague starts have gone 'over' the total. Even worse: his ERA in his 20 nighttime starts was 4.62 this year. And the Indians have gone 'over' the total in 5 of his last 7 road starts when installed as an underdog, and 25 of his last 39 starts when the line was less than 9 runs. They're also 15-5 'over' vs. teams with a win percentage greater than .620. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-16 | Hornets +2 v. Heat | Top | 97-91 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Miami Heat. These two teams met in last year's Playoffs, and the Heat ousted the Hornets in a tough 7-game series. But I look for Charlotte to avenge that defeat as it falls into 47-23, 67-24, 94-65 and 70-34 revenge systems of mine. Additionally, Miami upset Orlando, 108-96, in its season opener. But home favorites have covered just 31% of the time since 1990 off an upset road win to open the season. Take Charlotte. |
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10-28-16 | Suns +9.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder won their opener, 103-97, but failed to cover the large pointspread vs. Philly. Now, in Game 2, the Thunder will once again be favored by a hefty amount. And, once again, they will be hard-pressed to cover the number. The Suns lost their home opener, 113-94, to Sacramento. But NBA teams off an upset double-digit loss in their home opener have covered 73% on the road since 1990 vs. foes off an ATS loss. Take Phoenix. |
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10-28-16 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes and NY Rangers 'under' the total. After starting the season with six straight road games, the Hurricanes return home tonight for their home opener. And I expect a great effort in front of their home faithful. Carolina has generally gone 'under' at home, including 19-5 their last 24 when the line was 5.5 goals, and 8-0 'under' at home following 3+ road games. The Rangers have also gone 'under' in 184 of 312 road games when the line was 5.5 goals, and have gone 'under' 58.33% of the time after scoring 3+ goals in their 3 previous games. It's true that the Hurricanes gave up 6 and 4 goals in their last 2 games (at Philly and at Detroit), but they've gone 'under' 69% of the time the last 3 seasons after giving up 4+ goals in back to back games. Take the 'under.' NHL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-16 | Magic +4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 82-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Detroit, as Orlando falls into 16-0, 98-44 and 66-24 ATS systems of mine. The Magic fell in their season opener, 108-96 to Miami. The biggest problem for the Magic on Wednesday was in the middle, as they were without their center Bismack Biyombo, who was serving a one-game suspension after exceeding the league's flagrant foul limit in last year's playoffs. Not surprisingly, Orlando was outscored 74-36 in the paint, and outrebounded 52-44. But Biyombo will be back on the court tonight, and his presence will be a big difference tonight. Meanwhile, Detroit also lost its opener, 109-91, to Toronto, and shot just 41% from the floor. But Detroit's offensive problems will likely continue tonight, as it will once again be without its floor general, Reggie Jackson, who will miss approximately 20 games with a knee injury. The Pistons will have to rely on Ish Smith and Beno Udrih at the point, and that combination won't get the job done. Orlando cashed 72% last season off a home loss, and I look for it to blow out Detroit. Take the points with the Magic. NBA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-16 | Cavs v. Raptors +3 | Top | 94-91 | Push | 0 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers defeated Toronto in last year's Playoffs en route to winning the NBA Championship, so the Raptors will no doubt have revenge on their minds tonight. And Toronto falls into 72-43 and 24-4 ATS Revenge systems of mine. Even better: Toronto has been installed as a home dog in this game, and home underdogs (or PK) are 73.9% ATS since 1990 off a win in their season opener when matched up against an opponent with a winning record. Finally, NBA Champs have covered just 28% as road favorites off a win by 5+ points in their season opener since 1990. And Cleveland's an awful 13-30-1 ATS on the road after scoring 114+ points in a home victory, including 3-15-1 ATS vs. a foe off a win. Take Toronto. NBA Roadkill play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-16 | Navy +6.5 v. South Florida | Top | 45-52 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over South Florida. The Bulls were upset by Temple last week, 46-30, as a 5.5-point favorite. Unfortunately for South Florida, that upset loss has triggered several negative systems of mine, with records of 61-125 and 128-200 ATS since 1980. And, perhaps, the worst team (at least, from a betting standpoint) that a College Football team would want to host would be Navy. And that's because Navy has historically been the best traveler in College Football against the spread. Since 1991, Navy is an awesome 103-54-2 ATS away from home, including 39-14 ATS vs. an opponent off a loss (and a perfect 8-0 when priced from +2 to +8 points vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss)! Finally, both of these teams are strong at running the football. And in conference games between teams that average 4.75+ yards per rush, road underdogs of more than 6 points have covered 195 of 338 since 1980, including 138 of 227 (61%) off a straight-up win. Take Navy. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-16 | Spurs v. Kings +9 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over San Antonio. The Spurs looked great against Golden State, as they won 129-100. But I look for a letdown on Thursday night at Sacramento. Unlike Golden State, which is bereft of interior size and rebounding (the Spurs outrebounded the Warriors by 20 (55-35)), the Kings have the league's best center in DeMarcus Cousins, as well as Kosta Koufos. And both big men can score and defend. Yesterday, Cousins led the Kings with 24 points in their upset win over Phoenix. And underdogs off an upset win in their season opener are an awesome 69% over the past 26 years vs. foes off a win! That bodes well for the Kings tonight, who will play their very first game at their new Golden 1 Center tonight. Look for a raucous crowd to "spur" the Sacramento Kings to victory. Take the points with Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-16 | California v. USC -16.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over California. Last week, the Cal Golden Bears upset Oregon, 52-49, in overtime, while USC blew out Arizona, 48-14. USC's now won 3 in a row, including a 21-17 win over a very good Colorado squad. The Trojans are 4-3, but have really just played two bad games all season, both away from home (52-6 loss to #1 Alabama; 27-10 loss at Stanford). At home, however, the Trojans are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, with their only ATS loss by a single point. I look for a blowout tonight vs. California, which has not won a road game all season (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS), and has given up 47.66 ppg away from home. USC falls into a 100-44 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites vs. foes off upset wins. Take the Trojans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-16 | Red Wings v. Blues -150 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Detroit Red Wings. The Blues come into this season with a huge monkey off their backs last Spring, having beaten their biggest rivals - the Blackhawks - in the first round and making to the Conference Finals for the first time since the turn of the century. The fact that they didn't win the West was surely disappointing, but they have to consider 2015-2016 a success that they can hopefully build on this Fall. They just returned home from a three game road trip which featured a 6-4 thumping of the Flames in Calgary, only to lose to that same team in a lackluster performance here at Scottrade Center on Tuesday. After losing their first two games to start the season, the Red Wings have now won five straight coming into tonight as they easily handled an over-matched Hurricanes team at home on Tuesday. Tonight will offer a much bigger challenge as the Wings visit St. Louis for the first time in almost a year (November 21). The Blues are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. teams from the Eastern Conference and 45-20 in their last 65 vs. teams from the Atlantic Division. Take St. Louis. NHL ELITE INFO. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-16 | Ohio v. Toledo -16 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Ohio. We played on the Rockets last week vs. Central Michigan and were rewarded with a 31-17 win, as a 10-point favorite. Toledo's now 75-50 ATS as a favorite, including 50-28 ATS at home. Even better: the Rockets are now 7-0 ATS off a home win their last 7. Toledo's lost just one game on the season, and falls into a 112-50 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on great teams off a big win. Take the Rockets. |
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10-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | Top | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers + the points over Virginia Tech. Pitt has a big scheduling edge for this Thursday contest, as Pitt hasn't played in 12 days, while the Hokies were at home vs. Miami last Saturday. Pitt falls into a 52-13 ATS system of mine which involves teams playing with rest, off a SU win. Additionally, the Panthers are a super 15-4 ATS at home off a double-digit conference win. Take the Panthers. |
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10-26-16 | Capitals -135 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -135 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Edmonton Oilers. It seems that hockey fans - especially Canadian ones - can't wait to jump on the Edmonton Oilers' Bandwagon right now. The team that seems to be everyone's darling - featuring the player, Connor McDavid, that is the hottest commodity in the NHL right now - is off to a blazing start. But before we fill Lord Stanley's Cup with Champagne and pour it over the team that hasn't won it in more than a quarter century, let's consider a couple of things. First, the Oilers' five victories have come against the Jets, Hurricanes, Flames (twice) and a Blues team that figures to be down-graded from last season's Conference Finalists. Second, their lone loss came against the hapless Sabres (Buffalo's lone victory so far). So tonight's home game against the defending President's Trophy Winners represents their biggest test of the new season by far, and the Caps are no doubt hungry - and a bit angry - after yet another early playoff exit. Let's see how Edmonton's defense - known more for being able to put pucks in the opponents net than keeping them out of their own - does against the likes of Kuznetsov, Backstrom, Ovechkin, and Oshie. The Caps have won six of the last nine meetings going back to 2009. Take DC. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-26-16 | Cubs -149 v. Indians | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Cleveland Indians. The Cubs got a heavy dose of Corey Kluber in game one last night and based on the results, they can't be feeling too good about the fact that they will have to see the "Klubot" two more times if this series goes seven games. Kluber was magnificent and the Indians got to Jon Lester just enough to give the home team a critical victory in game one. It likely won't be a similar scenario tonight as, while the Cubs have another ace in RH Jake Arrieta ready to go, the Tribe will have to turn to RHP Trevor Bauer. When last we saw Bauer, his pinkie finger - the victim of a drone propeller attack a few days earlier - was bleeding profusely in the first inning of game three of the ALCS and Bauer had to exit as a result. Even if his team's training staff has done enough to stitch him up this time out, Bauer has seen just 5 1/3 innings of action since his last regular season start on October 1, so he can hardly be considered "Game-ready". Arrieta was victorious in his only previous start at Progressive Field, and he is 12-8 in 27 career inter-league starts. Despite the loss last night, the Cubs are still 8-2 in their last 10 inter-league games vs. teams with a RH starter. Take Chicago. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-26-16 | Cubs v. Indians OVER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians 'over' the total. The start time of this game was moved up by one hour due to a threat of rain, and with RHs Jake Arrieta and Trevor Bauer headed to the mound tonight, there is more than one reason to think that the runs - as well as raindrops -could be plentiful in game two. First, there is the obvious fact that Bauer has only seen 5 1/3 innings of live pitching in 25 days due to his finger injury. Second, although just about everyone knows how dominant a pitcher Arrieta is, he hasn't been nearly so this post-season, allowing six runs on 12 hits in his two starts covering 11 innings. And despite his 12-8 overall career record in inter-league games, Arrieta also has a 4.12 ERA in those 27 starts covering 164 innings. And then there's the fact that in his career vs. the Indians, Arrieta's numbers look down-right pedestrian. In four previous starts vs. the Tribe, he is 1-1 with an ugly 8.69 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in just under 20 innings. The over is 12-2-3 in Arrieta's last 17 road starts and 7-1-1 in his last nine road starts vs. teams with a winning record. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-16 | Spurs v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 129-100 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. This will be a tough game for the Silver and Black, as it will be without shooting guard Danny Green. Last season, Green ranked #1 among shooting guards in ESPN's Real Plus-Minus defensive rating, and many feel that Green's the best transition defender in the league. That will be a huge loss against the team with the best transition offense in basketball. Even worse for the Spurs: they'll be without their anchor for the past 19 years, Tim Duncan (not to mention other departed front-line players like Boris Diaw, Boban Marjanovic and David West). The additions of Pau Gasol and David Lee -- though welcome on the offensive end -- won't make up for the negatives on defense. Last season, Golden State lost the Finals when it blew a 3-1 series lead. But the good news -- at least for tonight -- is that the loser of the NBA Finals is 8-0 ATS at home in its season-opener the past 25 seasons when priced from -3 to -13 points. Take Golden State. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-16 | Ducks v. Sharks -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Anaheim Ducks. It seems like just yesterday that the Sharks were battling the Penguins in this building for the NHL Championship. In fact it was last June and although the Sharks ultimately lost that fight and had to watch the Pens hoist the Stanley Cup right here on their home ice, the Defending Western Conference Champs come into this season with essentially the same pieces in place that got them to the cusp just five months ago. One thing they need to work on this season is their record here at home, where they went just 18-23 while doing by far their best work on the road. So far, so good, as the Sharks won their season debut here over the Kings, 2-1, before embarking on a five-game road trip that included a rematch in Pittsburgh (they lost, 3-2). The addition of LW Mikkel Boedker who posted 51 points in 80 games with the Avalanche and Coyotes last season should help an offense that at times was a little lack-luster the past few seasons. Norris Trophy finalist D Brent Burns is off to a sizzling start after posting 75 points in a full season (82 games). The home team is 25-10 in the last 35 meetings and the Ducks are 1-8 in the last nine meetings in San Jose. Take the Sharks. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians +107 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 107 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Chicago Cubs. Besides the obvious intrigue of this Fall Classic featuring the two teams with the longest World Series Championship droughts (107 seasons for the Cubs and 67 for the Indians), there are some other fascinating stories heading into game one tonight in Cleveland. Like the fact that arguably the two most valuable players that were added at the trade deadline this season were relief pitchers that came from the same team (the Yankees) and who are featured - one each - on both of these teams. And while closer Aroldis Chapman had to take a slight back seat to the Cubs starters in the NLCS, Cleveland set-up man Andrew Miller was the runaway choice for ALCS MVP. The clear advantage in starting pitching might go to the Cubs over seven games, but tonight it's a virtual toss-up with LH Jon Lester going on the road against RH Corey "Klubot" Kluber. On the surface, Kluber may seem like he should be quite an underdog considering how Lester has pitched lately, but where Kluber really excels - and the reason the Tribe should be confident - is his incredible record against NL teams. In 15 inter-league starts, Kluber is a stellar 11-2 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in just under 106 innings. Take Cleveland. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians 'under' the total. The O/U line for the entire NLCS was between six and seven runs and that's exactly where it is for game one of the World Series tonight. And, with LH Jon Lester and RH Corey Kluber going to the mound, it would seem that scoring seven runs will be a bit of a challenge. Lester has had much success against Cleveland in his career, as he is 7-1 in his 15 starts (including a 4-0 record at Cleveland), with a 3.03 ERA in 108 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Kluber faced the Cubs (and Lester) last season and held Chicago to 1 run on 4 hits in 7 2-3 innings (1.17 ERA). Kluber's 3 playoff starts have all gone 'under,' as have Cleveland's last 7 games, overall. And, tonight, he will be working on 2 extra days of rest. That also bodes well, as he's gone 'under' in 22 of 30 starts when working on an extra day or two of rest. Finally, Chicago's gone 'under' in 36 of 55 interleague games the past 3 seasons. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-24-16 | Flames v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago/Calgary game 'under' the total. After giving their #1 goaltenders the night off on Saturday, both teams will turn back to their top netminders (Brian Elliott, Corey Crawford) tonight. And these two teams have generally played lower-scoring contests, as the last six meetings in Chicago have all gone 'under' the total. Moreover, dating back to 2012, 10 of the last 12 meetings overall in this series have gone 'under.' It's true that Calgary has given up 10 goals over its last two games, but it's gone 'under' the total in 18 of 25 road games after allowing 3+ goals in back-to-back games. Additionally, this will be the Blackhawks' 3rd game in 4 nights, and they've gone 'under' the total 22 of 29 games in that situation. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-16 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 6-6 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals over the Seattle Seahawks. Last year, Seattle went into Arizona at the end of the season, and throttled the Cardinals, 36-6. With payback on their mind, we'll look for the Cardinals to avenge that defeat with a resounding win on Sunday night. Indeed, teams like Seattle, that beat a winning team the previous season by 25 or more points, have been dreadful the following season when playing the revenge-minded team away from home, as they've covered just 34.6% of the time the past 37 seasons. We saw this happen earlier this year, in Week 2, when Houston avenged a 30-0 loss to the Chiefs in last year's playoffs with a 19-12 upset win. We played on Houston in that game, and will similarly take the revenge-minded Cardinals in this Sunday night game. Take Arizona. NFL Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-16 | Patriots v. Steelers +7.5 | Top | 27-16 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over New England. The Steelers will turn to Landry Jones at Quarterback this afternoon, as Ben Roethlisberger is on the shelf with a knee injury. But that won't dissuade us from grabbing the points with the home dog Steelers, and going against the red-hot Patriots. New England comes into this game off back to back blowout wins (and covers). Last week, New England demolished Cincy, 35-17, as a 7-point favorite. And its blew out the Browns, 33-13, as a 10-point favorite two weeks ago. Unfortunately for Tom Brady & Co., winning road favorites (or PK), off back to back wins and double-digit covers, are an awful 27-61 ATS vs. foes off a loss. Even worse: the Steelers are a money-making 82-45-3 ATS at home in the regular season since 1981 off a pointspread defeat, including 28-11-2 ATS when playing with revenge. Last year, the Pats bested the Steelers, 28-21, so Pittsburgh is indeed playing with revenge. Take the Steelers + the points. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-16 | Bucs v. 49ers -1 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Last week, the Niners gave up 45 points to the red-hot Buffalo Bills, and lost 45-16. That was San Francisco's 5th straight loss and pointspread defeat. This afternoon, the 49ers will host the Tampa Bay Bucs, who had last week off following their upset win over Carolina, 17-14. We'll fade Tampa Bay, as road teams, off an upset win over a division rival as a 2.5-point dog, are an awful 109-159 ATS in non-division games. Moreover, teams off 5 straight ATS defeats have covered 98 of 151 (64.9%) vs. non-division foes since 1980 when not favored by more than 2 points. Take the 49ers. NFL Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-16 | Vikings v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Minnesota. This is a great spot to step in and fade the undefeated Vikings. Philadelphia comes into this game off back to back upset losses on the road, after starting the season 3-0. But winning teams are an awesome 70.67% ATS at home since December 20, 1981, off back to back road losses, if the pointspread is less than 10 points. And undefeated teams, with a 5-0 or better record, have covered just 38% since 1980 vs. foes off upset losses, including just 19% ATS if our undefeated team is off a win by 2 TDs or more. With Minny indeed off a 31-13 win over Houston, our 81% tightener is satisfied. Take Philly + the points. |
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10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chiefs/Saints game. The Saints come into this afternoon's game giving up a whopping 33.6 ppg. Not surprisingly, four of the Saints' first five games have sailed over the total. But I look for a lower-scoring game today, as the 'under' falls into a Totals system of mine that is 114-61 since 1980. Moreover, Kansas City has gone under in 12 straight games as a home favorite vs. foes that give up 28.6 or more points per game. Take the 'under.' |
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10-23-16 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 48 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Titans/Colts game. Both of these division rivals have gone over the total in their last 3 games. But we'll play on the 'under' today, as division games have gone 'under' the total a whopping 69% of the time over the past 22 seasons if both of the teams have gone over in each of their last 3 games. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs -5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over New Orleans. After starting the season 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, Sean Payton's Saints have pulled back to back upsets in their last two games to move to 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. Two games ago, they benefited from Chargers turnovers to upend San Diego, 35-34. And, then, last week, they upset the Panthers, 41-38, as a 3-point home dog. But the Saints' defense gave up way too many points in those wins, and it's given up 34+ points in four of five games this season. That doesn't bode well for New Orleans at KC, as losing teams with a winning pointspread ledger, getting 5+ points on the road, off back to back ATS wins, are a dreadful 0-20 ATS since 1980 if they gave up 48+ points in those two pointspread victories. Additionally, the Chiefs are 35-16-1 ATS at home vs. NFC Conference teams since 1990. Take Kansas City. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Wyoming v. Nevada +6 | Top | 42-34 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 28 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over Wyoming. The Cowboys come into this game off back to back upset wins -- over then-undefeated Air Force, as a 13-point underdog, and at Colorado State before that, as a 5.5-point underdog. Now, the Cowboys are a road favorite. And we'll go against them, as they fall into a negative 59-83 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off back to back upset wins. Even worse: that upset win over Air Force sets up Wyoming in another negative situation, as teams off upset wins as home dogs over teams with a 1.000 win percentage are awful as road favorites of -17 or less points. Since 1980, these teams have cashed just 31.1% of the time. Take Nevada + the points. Mountain West Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Dodgers -130 v. Cubs | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs may be one home win away from a World Series that just about everyone thought they would get to, but they have a surprisingly tough road ahead of them in games six and seven of the NLCS. If tonight's pitching match-up were to be played on opening day this season, the Dodgers would be close to a -200 favorite, but instead the Dodgers are only a slight favorite tonight. It's testimony to how great a season RHP Kyle Hendricks has had. But that doesn't change the fact that the best pitcher on the planet is going to the mound for the visiting team tonight, a pitcher who completely shut the Cubs down here at Wrigley in game two. And it's also interesting to note that in games four and five, while the Cubs were wracking up runs in the latter innings, the Dodgers did not use their top reliever, Kenley Jansen (at all) and they only used their top setup man, Grant Drayton, for 2/3 inning (scoreless). So the Dodgers, led of course by LH Clayton Kershaw, are in a good position to get this series to a seventh and deciding game. The Dodgers are 18-6 in Kershaw's last 24 road starts vs. teams with a winning record, and 11-0 after back to back losses by 4+ runs. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 1-5 in their last six LCS home games, and 6-11 off back to back wins by 4+ runs. Take L.A. MLB High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs 'over' the total. This is a classic potential "good news/bad news" scenario for the Cubs. On the bad news front, they have to face two southpaw aces that completely shut them down in games two and three as the Dodgers took those by a combined score of 7-0 behind Rich Hill and, of course, tonight's starter, Clayton Kershaw. On the good news front, they are exactly where they want to be heading back home for games six and seven - up three games to two - just one win away from the World Series. And more good news comes in the form of their offense, as the Cubs finally broke out in games four and five, and scored 18 runs combined in those contests. Overall, in these playoffs, the Cubs have gone 'over' 5-3-1, while Los Angeles has gone over 6-3-1. And, notwithstanding the success that Kershaw and Hendricks had last Sunday, each has a relatively high ERA over his last 3 outings (Kershaw 3.86; Hendricks 4.50). I look for a relatively high-scoring contest on Saturday, as the last 14 games between these two clubs at Wrigley Field have averaged 8.5 runs per game As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Oregon State v. Washington -36.5 | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 53 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon State. Currently, Washington is ranked #5 in the country, but it's in a very good position to make the College Football Playoffs, as #2 Ohio State and #3 Michigan will play each other next month in Columbus. Thus, if the Huskies can remain undefeated, they will likely leapfrog the Big 10 team which loses that game. This week, Washington will host Oregon State, and the Beavers' defense has given up more than 30 points per game this season. That bodes well for Washington, which scored 70 points in its last game -- a 49-point blowout of Oregon. For the season, Washington is averaging 49.5 ppg. And, since 1980, high-scoring teams have covered 65.8% at home, at Game 3 forward, if they average at least 48.34 points per game on offense, and are playing an opponent with a defense that surrenders more than 25.5 ppg. Moreover, Oregon State has covered just 10 of its last 33 away from home as underdogs of more than 18 points vs. an opponent off a win. Take Washington to blow out the Beavers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Arkansas v. Auburn -9.5 | Top | 3-56 | Win | 100 | 65 h 1 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Arkansas. This is a brutal scheduling spot for Arkansas, which upset Mississippi as a 10-point underdog last Saturday, 34-30. And that's because it has to travel to Auburn to play the Tigers, who had last week off following their 24-point blowout of Miss State in Starkville, two weeks ago. Since 1980, rested home favorites, off a win, have covered 82.3% of the time against unrested foes off an upset win as a dog of more than 7 points. Moreover, since 1983, Arkansas is an awful 16-31 ATS when playing away from home vs. a rested opponent, including 1-7 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +12.5 points. Take Auburn. SEC Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan -23.5 | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 53 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles upset Ohio last week, 27-20, as a 7-point underdog, and are now 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS this season. Meanwhile, the Broncos are 7-0 this season, and are ranked #20 in the AP poll. Even better (for our purposes), they're 6-1 ATS with their only pointspread defeat coming by a mere 3 points. The Broncos have topped 40 points in each of their 3 Mid-American Conference games this season, and I expect another strong offensive showing on Saturday vs. the Eagles, who are giving up 28.3 ppg. For technical support, consider that favored teams, off three straight wins in which they scored 35+ points, are 203-132 ATS against foes with a .600 (or better) ATS win percentage. And the Broncos are 17-4 ATS off a straight-up win, while the Eagles are 16-33 ATS off a win. Take Western Michigan. |
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10-22-16 | Illinois v. Michigan -36.5 | Top | 8-41 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 52 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Illinois. The Wolverines were idle last week, but moved up to #3 in the AP poll, bypassing Clemson, which needed overtime to defeat North Carolina State last Saturday. When we last saw Jim Harbaugh's men, they were dismantling Rutgers in New Jersey, 78-0. And that was the 3rd largest margin of victory for Michigan in its 137-year history, and the worst loss by Rutgers since 1888. Coincidentally, Illinois also comes into this game off a road win over Rutgers, as Illinois defeated the Scarlet Knights, 24-7, last week. Unfortunately for the Illini, it has covered just five of its last 22 games off a pointspread win. Even worse: Michigan will be well-rested following its bye week. And underdogs of more than 21 points -- like Illinois -- playing away from home, are an awful 41% ATS vs. rested foes. Take Michigan minus the points. |
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10-22-16 | Syracuse v. Boston College -4.5 | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 54 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Syracuse. Boston College had last week off following its 56-10 blowout loss at the hands of #4-ranked Clemson. But I love BC to bounce back on Saturday afternoon vs. Syracuse. The primary reason is that the Orange pulled a massive upset last week when they upset Virginia Tech, 31-17, as a 22.5-point underdog. That moved Syracuse to 3-4 on the season. But off that upset win, I expect a big letdown on the road against Boston College, on Saturday. Indeed, since 1987, teams off an upset win over a conference foe, as an underdog of more than 19 points, have covered just 18.9% of the time vs. foes off a pointspread loss, including 0-16 ATS if our 'play-against' team (here, Syracuse) has a win percentage between .290 and .560. Take Boston College. ACC Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -10 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Central Michigan. Toledo (along with Western Michigan) are the only undefeated team in Mid-American Conference play this season. And, with a date looming with the Broncos at season's end, the Rockets will have an opportunity to defeat the Broncos, and play in the MAC Conference Championship Game. But, first things first, and the Rockets need to take care of business at home this weekend vs. Central Michigan. Last week, the Chips upset Northern Illinois, 34-28. But off that upset win, we'll fade the Chippewas, as they fall into negative 47-96 and 27-82 ATS systems of mine. Even worse for Central Michigan: Toledo's been dominant at home, and especially when priced between +5.5 and -27 points, as they're 46-24-2 ATS since 1999. Finally, the Rockets are 5-0 ATS since 1999 at home when matched up against an opponent off an upset win, while Central Michigan is a horrid 0-7 ATS off an upset win since 1999 as a dog of +6 or more points. Take Toledo. NCAA HIGH NOON HANGING. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-16 | Texas v. Kansas State -2 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 49 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Texas. The Wildcats are 3-3 on the season, but have won all 3 home games, while they're 0-3 on the road. Likewise, Texas has won all 3 of its home games, but has lost all 3 of its games away from Austin, Texas. This game will be played in Manhattan, Kansas, and the home team has won and covered the last four in this series. Kansas State lost by 21 points last week to Oklahoma, while Texas won by 21 vs. Iowa State. That bodes well for the Wildcats, as teams favored by 7 or less points (or PK) off a conference loss by 20+ points have cashed 80.9% vs. conference foes off a conference win by 20+ points since 1987. Additionally, the Wildcats are an awesome 25-6 ATS off a conference loss by 20+ points since 1988, including a perfect 12-0 ATS if the pointspread is 7 points or less. Take Kansas State. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-16 | Oregon v. California -3 | Top | 49-52 | Push | 0 | 69 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Oregon. The Ducks, under new defensive coordinator Brady Hoke, have been awful on defense this season. Oregon's allowing opponents to score 41.8 ppg, and it has failed to win or cover any of its last four games. Even worse for the Ducks: California's offense is averaging 42.3 ppg. That doesn't bode well for Oregon, as road teams that give up 38+ points (at Game 3 forward) have covered just 36 of 104 games since 1980 against opponents that score 38+ points a game. Additionally, California has lost 7 in a row to Oregon in this series, but falls into a super 38-13 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points with California. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-20-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers 'under' the total. Like a junkyard dog that had been tranquilized, the Chicago Cubs woke up from their slumber on Wednesday and proceeded to go crazy. They only needed three runs to win a critical game four, but they put up a double-digit ten-spot on the scoreboard. The number is perhaps a little misleading however, as once the score got away from them, the Dodgers clearly were in "bullpen save" mode, not using their top relievers thus saving them for tonight and beyond. Which brings us to the over/under in game five. To assume that the 10 runs and 13 hits that Chicago put up last night indicates it will be the pattern from here out would be a mistake. With LH Jon Lester and RH Kenta Maeda going to the mound tonight, we could very easily see a return to the type of pitching duel we saw in game two. Lester may have been best known for his dominant home statistics this season, but he was also pretty darn good on the road, going 9-3 with a 3.17 ERA in 17 starts away from Chicago. And his teams have gone 27-12 'under' when priced from -125 to -175. Despite the runs scored on Wednesday, the under is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings. Also, the Dodgers are 48-25 'under' following a game that went 'over' the total. Take the 'under.' MLB Total of the Year! As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers 'over' the total. The Cubs may be the best team in Major League Baseball based on their overall record during the regular season, but somebody forgot to tell the Dodgers. After dispatching of the NL East Champion Nationals as a road underdog in the DS, the Dodgers are doing it again versus an even bigger opponent in the Cubs. Granted, they have to win four games in this series instead of the three games it took to beat Washington, but so far anyway, you have to give a huge edge to the Boys in Blue. And it's been the Dodger pitching that has been the story. The mighty Chicago bats that scored 808 runs in 162 regular season games (second only to the altitude-enhanced Rockies) have managed to plate just 25 runs in their first seven playoff games (an average of less than four per game). The idea of Chicago falling behind anyone 3-1 in a best-of-seven series seemed unthinkable at the start of the post-season, but that could happen after tonight, so they will send their most veteran starter, RH John Lackey to the mound to try to even things up. I look for a high-scoring game tonight, as the Cubs have gone 'over' the total in Lackey's last 3 starts. Also, Chicago's gone 'over' the total 46-33 on the road this season, including 7-0 after not hitting a home run in its previous two games. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -175 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -175 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Cleveland Indians. The Indians did something on Tuesday that they haven't done in a long time: they lost a playoff game. Terry Francona has been brilliantly unconventional with several things he's done this post-season, and he's at it again, moving to a four-man rotation - if you count the very abbreviated start of RH Trevor Bauer on Monday. And the fourth man Francona has decided to hand the ball to has as little experience as any post-season starter could have as Rookie LH Ryan Merritt has a total of 11 MLB Innings under his belt coming into today. After Aaron Sanchez's performance on Tuesday, you have to wonder if the Jays aren't kicking themselves a bit for not going with the AL ERA Champ in the first game of this series, as they would then have the chance to start him in three of the seven games if they wanted to. But it's too late to worry about that, and now they will turn to the veteran that they sent out for game one - RHP Marco Estrada - to try to keep this series alive and send it back to Cleveland. Estrada has been brilliant and to say he has the experience edge over his opposing starter tonight would obviously be a huge understatement. The Jays are 5-1 in their last six home games vs. teams with a southpaw starter, while Cleveland is 3-10 its last 13 as road underdogs. Take Toronto. MLB High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers 'over' the total. The Cubs will hand the ball to RHP Jake Arrieta tonight and while he is the reigning NL Cy Young winner and arguably the most talented pitcher on the staff, you certainly could say that for this season at least, Arrieta is no better than the third-best Cubs starter (behind Lester and Hendricks). It was a good news/bad news type of season for Arrieta who led the league with the lowest hits per nine innings (6.3) but also led the league with 16 wild pitches, something he's not known for. That wildness may have been at least somewhat responsible for his problems in the last month of the regular season when he allowed 23 runs (21 earned) in just 35 2/3 innings in his final six starts. Arrieta got it together for his only start of the NLDS against the Giants but the fact remains that when he's been on the mound lately, runs have been plentiful. In his last nine starts of the regular season, a total of 103 runs have been scored, or better than 11 runs per game on average. The over is 12-1-3 in Arrieta's last 16 road starts and 7-0-1 in his last eight road starts against teams with a winning record. Also, the Dodgers are 21-9 'over' as an underdog this season. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers -101 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Chicago Cubs. As if there was any doubt before Saturday night, it's official now: Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball. The only thing giving Madison Bumgarner, Max Scherzer, and the Cubs' Jon Lester and Kyle Hendricks a shot at the NL Cy Young this season is the fact that LA's ace was on the shelf for more than two months with an injury. Healthy now, Kershaw showed why he is the best hurler on the planet on Saturday, blanking the best team in baseball over seven innings, allowing the Dodgers to even this series coming back to southern California tonight. There's only one problem. The drop off in the Dodgers' rotation after Kershaw is quite steep, and for the three home games ahead of them the home team must now rely on Rich Hill, Julio Urias and (possibly) Kenta Maeda for Game 5. Tonight it will be the LHP Hill, who was pretty spectacular in September after LA acquired him from the A's. He'll match up against RHP Jake Arrieta, and that bodes well for the Dodgers, as they're 73-48 vs. righties this season, but have been lousy (22-26) vs. lefties in 2016. Similarly, the Cubs have underhit vs. lefties (4.7 rpg) compared to righties (5.13 rpg). Take the Dodgers behind the southpaw Hill on Tuesday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -114 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Cleveland Indians. The Jays will not be advancing to the World Series - that much seems almost certain at this point. But that doesn't mean they won't win the game this afternoon - and possibly the next one here at home as well. When you have virtually no room for error - as Toronto does coming into this game four - then you might as well send the AL ERA champion to the mound in an attempt to save your season, and that's exactly what the Jays will do this afternoon. A 3.00 ERA may not seem like it should have won the title, but that's the kind of season it was in the AL, and it's likely that Sanchez will be much more remembered for his 15-2 record than that three-run ERA - and rightfully so. Losing just two games when you start 30 in six months is quite an accomplishment and it's perhaps as much of a tribute to his team as it is to Sanchez's pitching. Sanchez might not consider himself an "artificial turf specialist" (he had more wins on the road this season than he did at home) but that doesn't change the fact that Toronto is 10-3 in his last 13 games on Astroturf. Meanwhile, in his only start here at Rogers Centre, Corey Kluber was on the losing end of a 17-1 thrashing. In last year's playoffs, in elimination games, the Blue Jays went 4-1, and I expect this veteran-laden team to put up another fight this afternoon with its back against the wall. Take the Jays. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-17-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -184 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -184 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3. If you want to know the definition of "backs against the wall", just take a look at the Toronto Blue Jays heading into this game tonight. The Jays pretty much have to win this game of their season is almost certainly over (especially with Kluber getting another start for the Tribe). But the good news is that the pitching match-up tonight favors Toronto, with RHP Marcus Stroman starting opposite RHP Trevor Bauer. The last time we saw Stroman was in a dominant performance against a very good Orioles lineup in the AL Wild Card elimination game as he went six innings, allowing two runs on four hits with six strikeouts and no walks. Stroman was not needed in the quick demolition of the Rangers in the ALDS. The Indians may have wanted to use Bauer in game two at home. but he had an unfortunate accident with a drone (seriously) and cut his pinkie finger, requiring stitches and healing time that removed him from consideration for Saturday. He has proclaimed himself ready to go, but healthy or not, Bauer still has to deal with the fact that in four appearances vs. the Jays (three starts), he is 1-1 with a 6.27 ERA in just under 19 innings. The Blue Jays are 21-7 off back to back games where they failed to score 4+ runs. Take Toronto. MLB Elite Info. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-16 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 48.5 | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the game between Houston and Indianapolis, as it falls into a 114-60 Totals system of mine. Additionally, both Houston and Indianapolis have gone 'over' the total in each of their previous two games. The Colts defeated Chicago last week, 29-23 (going 'over' 47.5 points), and lost to Jacksonville in London, 30-27 (going 'over' 48). Meanwhile, the Texans lost, 31-13, at Minnesota last week (going 'over' 39), and defeated Tennessee two weeks ago, 27-20 (going 'over' 40). The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game on Sunday. But, since 1980, NFL division games have gone 'UNDER' the total a whopping 63% of the time if each of the teams went 'over' in its two previous games, and the O/U line in the current game was 44 points or more. That bodes well for a relatively low-scoring game on Sunday. Take the 'under.' NFL Sunday Night Total of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-16 | Falcons v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 12 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta upset Denver on the road last week, and goes for its fifth straight win (both SU and ATS) vs. the Seahawks on Sunday. But I don't think Atlanta will be successful. The primary problem for the Falcons will surely be on the defensive end of things, as they give up 28 ppg (compared to Seattle's 13.5 defensive ppg mark). It's true that the Falcons held Denver to just 16 points last week, but that was against a team which started a backup QB (Paxton Lynch) last week. Prior to that, Atlanta had given up an average of 31 ppg. And one of the things I've done for years is go against teams on the road following an upset of the defending Super Bowl champions. And if our 'go-against' team (here, Atlanta) is getting more than 3 points, and it has a defense which surrenders 21+ points, then our system is a perfect 14-0 ATS since 1981. Take Seattle to blow out Atlanta. NFL Favorite of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-16 | Ravens v. Giants -3 | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants minus the points over Baltimore. The Ravens are 3-2 SU/ATS, but come into this game off back to back upset losses at home to the Raiders and Redskins. They'll now take to the road to face a Giants squad on a 3-game losing streak. I like New York to snap its losing streak on Sunday, as road teams (like Baltimore) off back to back upsets losses are a dreadful 1-14 ATS since 1980 if they own a winning SU/ATS record, and their opponent is off a SU loss. Take New York. |
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10-16-16 | 49ers +9 v. Bills | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over Buffalo. The Bills have righted themselves after an 0-2 start to the season by winning 3 straight against Arizona, New England and Los Angeles. On Sunday, they've been installed as large favorites vs. San Francisco, which has dropped four straight following its season-opening shutout win over the Rams. We'll grab the points with the Niners, as they fall into 143-67, 142-61, and 285-188 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, the Bills fall into a negative 29.3% ATS angle, which plays against certain favorites in non-division games off back-to-back SU/ATS wins against opponents off a SU loss. And they've covered just four of 22 games since Nov. 18, 2007 off 2 ATS wins (including 0-for-6 vs. a foe off a SU loss). Take San Francisco. |
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10-16-16 | Panthers -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers minus the points over New Orleans. The Panthers had a dream season last year (at least going into the Super Bowl), as they lost just one regular season game. This year, through Week 5, they've won just one game! Thus, this game vs. New Orleans is as close to a "must win" in the first half of the season for a playoff hopeful like Carolina. I think they'll get it. Indeed, since 1985, road favorites off 3 straight losses have covered 83% of the time against opponents off a SU win! Meanwhile, the Saints have covered just 14 of 43 division games off a win, if their foe is off a loss. Take Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-16 | Steelers v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers. This will be a very tough game for Mike Tomlin's crew, as it's a classic "Sandwich" spot. The Steelers are 4-1 on the season, and come into this game off back to back home SU/ATS wins against KC and the New York Jets (both of whom won 10+ games last year), and have a home game against New England (which won 12 games last year) on deck. But nestled in between these games is this road game vs. Miami, which was 6-10 last season, and is 1-4 this year. Besides being an obvious flat spot for Pittsburgh, Miami falls into several of my best systems, with records of 172-93, 112-49 and 100-41 ATS. Finally, the Steelers fall into a negative 64-113 ATS angle which goes against certain winning teams, favored on the road, off back to back covers by 5+ points. Take the Dolphins. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-16-16 | Bengals +9 v. Patriots | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 42 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over the New England Patriots. Last year, the Bengals were a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road. This season has been somewhat of a struggle for Cincy, as it's 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS, including 0-2-1 ATS on the road. Andy Dalton & Co. will try to get back on the winning track at New England (following an upset loss at Dallas last Sunday), and I love them as an underdog in this game, as they fall into a 154-80 ATS system of mine. Even better: the Patriots have covered just 19 of 52 games when laying 8+ points, while Cincy is 8-2 ATS its last 10 off an upset loss. Finally, teams off road upset losses are 63.2% ATS the past 37 years vs. foes off SU/ATS road favorite wins, including 32-12 ATS if they failed to cover by 9+ points in their previous game. Take Cincy. NFL Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs -183 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Game five of the NLDS between the Dodgers and Nats had a little bit of everything, including a couple of things we haven't seen before: Kenley Jansen throwing 50 pitches to keep L.A. in the game, and then Clayton Kershaw coming in in the ninth to get his first-ever save. But the celebration - as raucous as it was - may be very short-lived, as L.A. comes into this series with a big mountain to climb. Where the Dodgers' rotation order is anyone's guess at this point, the Cubs have four front-line starters rested and ready to go in this series. And it starts with perhaps the best home-field pitcher in the game right now in LH Jon Lester. Lester is 11-2 with an amazing 1.62 ERA in 16 starts at Wrigley and those only two losses were 2-0 to the Rockies and 2-1 to the Pirates, the latter being on May 15. Since then, Lester has been about as perfect as you can be here at home (the Cubs have won his last 11 home starts), including his lone start in the NLDS (game one) when he completely shut down the Giants on eight near-perfect innings. And, given that Lester's teams have gone 29-6 his last 35 home starts when priced at -150 or more, perhaps the Cubs can exploit Lester's home dominance with starts tonight and in game six - should this series go that far. Take the Cubs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | Arizona State v. Colorado -12 | Top | 16-40 | Win | 100 | 41 h 13 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Arizona State. We played on the Buffaloes two weeks ago, as a 20-point favorite against Oregon State, and were rewarded with a 47-6 blowout win. I had several reasons for playing on Colorado in that game, including the fact they were 4-0 ATS (they're now 6-0 ATS), as well as the fact that they played #4-ranked Michigan extremely tough in defeat. Indeed, but for the 3rd quarter injury to QB Sefo Liufau, the Buffs very well could have won that game. Colorado did lose a close game last week at USC (but covered the 5-point spread), and should rebound at home vs. an Arizona State team giving up 33 ppg. It's true that the Sun Devils have won all 7 meetings since 2006, but their long win streak in the series has set them up in several negative situations, with records of 29-60, 19-50, 13-36 and 43-82 ATS. Finally, the Buffaloes are 18-0 straight-up and 14-4 ATS since 1995 when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe, if the Buffs are not getting 3+ points. Take Colorado. NCAA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | South Alabama v. Arkansas State -5 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over South Alabama. In its last game, South Alabama pulled one of the biggest upsets of the season-to-date, with a 42-24 win, as a 19-point underdog, over then-Top 25-ranked San Diego State. But off that monumental upset victory, we'll fade the Jaguars on the road, on Saturday, as they fall into a negative 35-108 ATS system of mine. Additionally, teams off wins by 14+ points, as 14-point (or greater) underdogs, have covered just 32.1% over the past 11 seasons. Finally, the Jags are a poor 0-6 ATS off an ATS win in their previous game, while the Red Wolves are 11-0 ATS since 2005 when priced from -3.5 to -10.5 points vs. a foe off a straight-up win. Take Arkansas State. Below the Radar Rout! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | New Mexico State v. Idaho -4 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 38 h 11 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals minus the points over New Mexico State. We've gone against the Aggies a couple of times this season, with the last being their road game at Troy State, back on Sept. 24. That game was a blowout from the get-go, as Troy State walloped New Mexico State, 52-6. The Aggies did bounce back to win their next game, 37-31, as a 5.5-point home underdog vs. Louisiana Lafayette. Unfortunately, that upset win has triggered several of my best systems that all go against the Aggies as a road underdog on Saturday. Those angles have records of 103-38, 23-5 and 99-55 ATS. Last year, the Aggies survived to defeat the Vandals, 55-48, at home. But New Mexico State's an awful 0-8 ATS off a home game, if they're matched up against a revenge-minded foe, and the Aggies are not getting 7+ points. The revenger is also 9-3 ATS in this series since 2002. Take Idaho. Conference Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | Blue Jays -130 v. Indians | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Cleveland Indians. In one season, LHP JA Happ went from a 32-year-old journeyman pitcher to a 20-game winner who will most likely finish in the top three in the AL Cy Young balloting. Those who were criticizing the Jays for signing Happ to a 3-year, $36 Million contract last November - and there were plenty of them out there - are having a big helping of crow right about now as Happ leads his team into the ALCS as arguably their #1 hurler. He'll need to be at his best as the Tribe hit lefties very well this season, their 777 runs being the second most scored vs. southpaws in the AL during the regular season (Boston - 878). And Happ was at his best in his only regular season start vs. Cleveland as he threw seven strong innings and his offense supported him very nicely en route to an easy 17-1 victory back on July 3. If Happ can leave the game with any sort of lead (it doesn't have to be 16 runs), then the Toronto bullpen will likely finish things off for him. The Jays relievers have been second-to-none in the post-season, with a 1.29 ERA in five games, with opponents batting just .106 against them so far. Finally, Cleveland's won just 3 of its last 14 as an underdog. Take Toronto. MLB High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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10-15-16 | Nebraska v. Indiana +3 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 54 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Nebraska. Nebraska comes into this game with a perfect 5-0 record following its 31-16 home win vs. Illinois. We played against Nebraska in that game, and got the $$$ with the Illini, who were catching 20.5 points in that game. One reason is that I'm of the mindset that the 'Huskers are overrated by being ranked among the nation's Top 10. Indeed, its best win this season was at home, 35-32, vs. Oregon, as a 3-point favorite. At the time, it was impressive (even if Nebraska only "pushed" against the spread), but Oregon has since lost all 3 of its games (both SU and ATS), and failed to cover those games by 16, 21, and 39 points! Nebraska did have last week off, but a week of rest has actually not served undefeated teams (with records of 5-0 or better) well, as they've cashed just 23% on the road in the regular season when not getting 3+ points. Nebraska's also a poor 8-25-1 ATS away from home off a double-digit conference home win. Take the points with the Hoosiers. Underdog Shocker! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | Wake Forest +21.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Florida State. The Seminoles bounced back from their last-second loss to North Carolina with an upset win at Miami. But off that upset win, I expect a letdown vs. a good Wake Forest team. The Demon Deacons are 5-1 this season (their best start since 2006), yet are catching more than 20 points in this game. And .714 (or better) teams are 18-1 ATS as double-digit dogs since 1995 against conference foes off an upset win over another conference foe (with the only ATS loss by a mere half-point). Florida State was already significantly banged-up going into last week's game, but suffered more casualties vs. the Hurricanes, with QB Deondre Francois (shoulder) and star DB Nate Andrews (pectoral) among the wounded. Francois is listed as probable, but Andrews was lost for the season. Admittedly, the Deacs also suffered a key injury last week (QB Kendall Hinton), but the drop-off between Hinton and back-up John Wolford is not significant. And, outside of that injury, the Deacs are relatively healthy. Wake's defense against the run has been strong this season (3.4 ypr against foes that average 4.0 ypr), and it will make things difficult for FSU's Dalvin Cook. Take Wake Forest. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-16 | Iowa -11 v. Purdue | Top | 49-35 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over the Purdue Boilermakers. The Boilers upset Illinois as a 9-point underdog last week, 34-31. But they were blown out by Maryland, 50-7, in their only other Big 10 tilt this season. And, notwithstanding Purdue's big win last week, it's hard to find much to love about the Boilers' defense. After all, it allowed Maryland to run for 400 yards on 46 carries (8.69 ypr). And then it allowed Illinois to run for 315 yards on 46 carries (6.84 ypr). To put these numbers in perspective, Maryland has rushed for 5.41 ypr in its other games this season, while Illinois has rushed for 5.21 ypr in its other games. Thus, Purdue allowed its two Big 10 foes to get 3.28 and 1.63 ypr more than they have otherwise gained this season. Iowa prefers to run the football, and I expect its backs to have a field day against Purdue's soft run defense. Purdue's an awful 1-15 SU and 3-13 ATS its last 16 as home underdogs! And it also falls into negative 69-154, 89-162, 6-54 and 62-142 ATS systems of mine. Take Iowa. High Noon Hanging! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-13-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Washington Nationals 'under' the total. Big games need big game pitchers, and there's possibly none better than Max Scherzer who will get the start tonight as the Nats try to advance to their first League Championship Series. The veteran RH hasn't had his best stuff in recent starts, but he has a way of stepping up when there's a lot on the line, and you can't have more on the line than the Nats do tonight at home. Opposite Scherzer will be LHP Rich Hill, who will go on just three days' rest. Run support has been an issue for Hill since he joined the team at the end of July and that issue continued in his start in game #2 of the NLDS last Sunday when the Dodgers plated just two runs. Don't expect that to change much back here at Nationals Park, so if Hill is to be victorious, he will likely have to hold the Nats to no more than one run while he's in the game. Whichever starter leaves with the lead tonight is the likely winner because both the Nats and Dodgers bullpens have been very, very good. In fact they are the top two bullpens in the NL post-season as the Nats' relievers sport a 1.02 ERA and the Dodgers' come in at 2.81. The under is 9-3 in Scherzer's last 12 home starts. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-11-16 | Cubs v. Giants +116 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Chicago Cubs. The Giants were able to stave off elimination last night thanks to yet another great performance from their ace, Madison Bumgarner. Tonight, they'll try to do it again and send this series back to Chicago for game five. And they'll go with the other southpaw in their playoff rotation as Matt Moore makes his first post-season start since three years ago as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays. Moore came to San Francisco at the trade deadline and although his overall results since heading west have been mixed, Moore has really enjoyed pitching at his new home ballpark recently. in his last four starts here at AT&T Park, Moore is 4-0 while allowing five runs in 26 innings for a 1.73 ERA. The Cubs will go with a veteran starter who certainly is no stranger to the post-season. RHP John Lackey will attempt to pull off the rare feat of winning World Series rings with three different teams as he previously reached the pinnacle with the Angels in 2002 and the Red Sox in 2013. But Lackey has struggled on the road all year, winning just four of 13 starts away from Wrigley with a 4.37 ERA (vs. 2.62 at home). Take the Giants. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-11-16 | Nationals v. Dodgers -235 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Washington Nationals. The Dodgers will take a calculated risk today, down two games to one in this series and facing elimination with one more loss. The risk is sending out Clayton Kershaw on short rest with the season on the line. And it's a risk that is probably worth taking because Kershaw has done well starting on three days' rest in his postseason career. He's done it three times, lasted at least six innings each start, and has compiled a 1.89 ERA in those outings. The goal, of course, is to force a fifth and deciding game back in DC, and Kershaw gives Los Angeles the best opportunity to do so. The other option would have been to start rookie Julio Urias, but then the Dodgers would be second-guessed, much like Buck Showalter was in the Orioles' Wild Card loss for not using Zach Britton. Despite the loss on Monday, the Dodgers are still 44-17 in their last 61 home games while the Nats are just 3-8 in the last 11 meetings. Take the Dodgers. MLB High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-10-16 | Cubs v. Giants -128 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants over the Chicago Cubs. Not too surprisingly, the Cubs took a 2-0 lead in this series at home after Saturday night's victory and now it shifts to the west coast. The historical contrast between these two teams couldn't be more dramatic. The Cubs haven't won the World Series since 1908 while the Giants have won three of the last six. If you're down to your last hope as the Giants are tonight, then there isn't anyone you would rather have going to the mound than tonight's starter LH Madison Bumgarner. Simply put, Mad-Bum is without question the most dominant post-season performer of the decade, and he showed why in yet another complete-game playoff outing in the NL Wild Card game against the Mets last Wednesday. That road victory improved Mad-Bum's already gaudy playoff numbers to 8-3 with a 1.94 ERA in 15 games including 13 starts (with three complete-game shutouts). After beginning his post-season career in similar fashion with a shutout of the Pirates last October, Cubs RH ace Jake Arrieta had two poor outings (one each in the NLDS and NLCS) to finish up his 2015 campaign. Could Arrieta be another David Price/Clayton Kershaw (great in the regular season; not so good otherwise)? We will find out. Take the Giants. MLB High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-10-16 | Indians v. Red Sox -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Red Sox over the Cleveland Indians. The Red Sox forgot to pack something when they traveled to Cleveland for games one and two of the ALDS: Their MLB-best offense. In the two games on Thursday and Friday, Boston's potent line-up that averaged a league-best 5.4 runs per game over the course of the season only managed a total of four runs (including a big, fat goose-egg in game two). So like a caged animal with nowhere to go, the Bosox are awfully dangerous this evening as they try to get back into this series. It isn't the prettiest of pitching match-ups, that's for sure, as RHPs Josh Tomlin and Clay Buchholz go to the hill. Tomlin is a soft-tosser and his off-speed stuff has gotten him in plenty of trouble at Fenway Park in the past as he is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA in three starts covering just under 19 innings here prior to today. Tomlin had a disastrous month of August in which he went 0-5 with a 11.86 ERA in his six starts. It's important to note that although he turned things around on paper in September (2-1 with a 1.69 ERA), his four starts last month were two each against the Royals and White Sox. So it's safe to say that today will be his toughest test by far since that unsightly month of August. And the fact that Cleveland's 1-9 its last 10 games as a road underdog certainly doesn't help matters. Take the Sox. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-16 | Bills v. Rams +1 | Top | 30-19 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams over the Buffalo Bills. The Rams are 3-1 on the season (1 game better than the 2-2 Bills), yet find themselves in an underdog (or PK'em) role this afternoon. However, since 1980, home teams off back to back wins, are 84.3% in non-division games, if they are priced as an underdog (or PK), and also own a better W/L percentage than their foe. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-16 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 51 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the San Diego/Oakland game. This play falls into one of my best Totals systems, with a record of 44-11 since 1980. Additionally, the Chargers scored 34 points in a 1-point loss to New Orleans last week. And San Diego's gone 'under' the total in 15 straight games since December 16, 2012 if it scored at least 30 points, and gave up at least 14 points in its previous game. Take the 'under.' |
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10-09-16 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Chargers + the points over Oakland. The Chargers are 1-3 on the season, while Oakland is 3-1 following its upset win at Baltimore. However, 1-3 teams are 90.3% ATS in Game 5 vs. division rivals off a win, if priced from +9 to -4 points. Take San Diego. |
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10-09-16 | Falcons v. Broncos -4 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over the Atlanta Falcons. Last week, Atlanta won its 3rd straight game as an underdog, with a blowout win over the Carolina Panthers. And that followed upset wins over the Saints and Raiders. Meanwhile, Denver is 4-0 on the season, and comes into this game off a 20-point win at Tampa Bay. I look for Atlanta's streak to come to an end at Mile High Stadium, in Denver, as the Broncos -- at least from my perspective -- are the league's best team. Denver's outscoring its opposition by 11 points per game, and is giving up just 16 ppg. Additionally, NFL teams with a 3-0 or 4-0 record have been sensational at home in non-division games, including 28-4 ATS when not laying 7 or more points. But the clincher for me is that teams off 3 straight upset wins have covered just 31% of their non-division games over the past 37 years. Take Denver minus the points. NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Washington Nationals 'under' the total. The pitching match-up in game one of this series got all of the attention - and deservedly so, with a total of four Cy Young awards and one MVP between Kershaw and Scherzer. But don't sell tonight's billing short either as LHP Rich Hill of the Dodgers goes opposite RH Tanner Roark. Roark earned this game two start with a second half in which posted a 2.60 ERA in 15 starts to catch Scherzer and win the ERA title on the team. But if there was a problem for the 30-year-old down the stretch it was run support (or lack thereof). In the month of August, the Nats scored 39 runs in Roark's six starts, or an average of better than six runs per start. But in September, the bats went cold when Roark was out on the mound, resulting in a total of just 13 runs being scored in his six starts. Not surprisingly, Roark went just 2-3 for the month despite an ERA under three runs. Rich Hill can certainly appreciate Roark's dilemma. In his six starts since coming to Los Angeles from Oakland, the Dodgers have plated a total of just 17 runs. And Hill's ERA over that time of 1.83 makes Roark's look inflated. The under is 9-3-1 in Roark's last 13 starts against teams with a winning record. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-16 | Eagles v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 60 h 58 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. The Lions were upset by the Chicago Bears, on the road last week, to fall to 1-3 on the season. But all three of Detroit's losses have been close (1, 7, and 3-point defeats). Meanwhile, Philly comes into this game with a 3-0 record, including back to back upset wins its last two games over Chicago & Pittsburgh. And all 3 of Philly's wins have been by double-digits (by an average of 21.67 ppg). But off those two upset wins, we'll fade the Eagles as a road favorite in Detroit. Indeed, since 1980, home teams off a road loss are an awesome 37-14 ATS against non-division foes off back to back upset wins. That's one reason I favor Detroit. Another is that undefeated teams, with a 3-0 record, and a scoring margin better than 14 ppg, are a dismal 8-22 ATS since 1981. Take Detroit. NFL Underdog Shocker! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-16 | Jets +9 v. Steelers | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers rebounded off their 31-point loss at Philly to soundly defeat Kansas City, 43-14, at home last week. For the season, Pitt is 3-1 straight-up and ATS. The Jets are the mirror opposite, as they're 1-3 SU and ATS, after falling by 10 points to Seattle at home last Sunday. We'll take the points with the Flyboys, as they fall into a super bounce-back system of mine. What we want to do is play on any road underdog of +3 or more points, off a home loss, if they're matched up against a foe off a home win, provided their opponent didn't fail to cover the spread in its previous game, and has a winning ATS record on the season. Since 1980, our road dogs have covered 62% of the time in this situation. Even better: New York is a super 67-49 ATS as a road underdog (or PK) against opponents off a win. Take New York. NFL Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-08-16 | Notre Dame v. NC State -2.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 62 h 49 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on North Carolina State minus the points over Notre Dame, as North Carolina State falls into a super 96-44 ATS system of mine. That system is based, in large part, on the Fighting Irish's sieve-like defense. This is Greg Hudson's first year as Notre Dame defensive coordinator (following a 3-year stint at Purdue). To say that the season has not gone as planned would be a massive understatement. Indeed, if you toss out Notre Dame's game against Nevada (the weakest foe among the Irish's five opponents), then Notre Dame has given up an average of 39.25 points per game! And, for the season, the Irish defense is giving up more than 12 ppg than NC State's defense. That doesn't bode well for the Irish on Saturday, given that the Wolfpack has covered 80% as home favorites the past 37 years vs. foes with defensive averages greater than 31.5 ppg, and 69% vs. foes with defenses that gave up more than 12 ppg than NC State's defense. Take the Wolfpack minus the points. NCAA Football High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-07-16 | Clemson v. Boston College +17 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Clemson. Last week, Clemson won the biggest game of the college season-to-date, when it upset Louisville 42-36, at home, in a match-up of Top 5 teams. Off that win, I look for a letdown on the road on this Friday. Boston College falls into 120-64, 98-39 and 154-84 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine following its back-to-back 30-point wins. Additionally, unbeaten teams, like Clemson, with a 4-0 (or better) record, are an awful 35.4% ATS since 1980 as road favorites of -3 (or more) points, if they're off an upset win. Finally, double-digit favorites are a poor 27.9% ATS off an upset conference win, if they're matched up against a .600 (or better) conference foe since 1980. Take Boston College. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-07-16 | Blue Jays v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers and Toronto Blue Jays 'under' the total. After barely being able to put anyone across the plate in the Wild Card game on Tuesday night, the Blue Jays didn't waste much time in game one of the ALDS. Toronto came into Arlington last night and proceeded to put up seven runs in the first four innings on its way to smoking the Rangers in a 10-1 blow-out. So Texas' backs are against the proverbial wall this afternoon as the Rangers turn to RH Yu Darvish in game two. The good news is that in seven starts against Toronto, Darvish is 3-2 with a 2.45 ERA in just under 48 innings. And Darvish has been dominant in his career in day games, going 13-6 with a 2.74 ERA in 28 day-time starts. The Jays will turn to LHP JA Happ who has had a great season, going 20-4 with a 3.18 ERA. He also has a career ERA of 3.07 vs. Texas. The Blue Jays have gone 'under' in 46 of 70 games this year on grass, and 18 of 24 as a road underdog. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-06-16 | Blue Jays v. Rangers -138 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers over the Toronto Blue Jays. The only thing worse than losing a one-game playoff, is needing extra innings, having to use multiple starters (and relievers), and suffering an injury to a key player in victory. This is exactly what happened to the Blue Jays when they beat the Orioles on Tuesday night on a walk-off, three-run homer by Edwin Encarnacion. The injured player is their closer, young Roberto Osuna, who says he was removed from the tie game only because of fatigue, but it sure didn't seem like that when he came out and he likely won't be available tonight in ALDS Game one. The Rangers will go with LHP Cole Hamels who not only is their ace this season, but also has a ton of post-season experience. And he's a winner in October-November as well, with a 7-5 record and 3.03 ERA over 15 playoff starts, including a 2.70 ERA in his only two starts as a member of Rangers' post-season team last year. The Jays have chosen Marco Estrada for the start in Game 1 today. And although he's been very solid lately, the Jays are 1-4 in his last five starts on five days of rest. Meanwhile, the Rangers have won 24 of Hamels' 32 starts this season. Take Texas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-04-16 | Orioles +140 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Orioles have made it into the post-season for the third time in five years, and there's no doubt they're a dangerous team led by a powerful lineup of big bats and the best ninth-inning stopper in the game (Zach Britton). They will now take that offensive power and relief talent into Canada for one game that will determine their entire season. And if they win and advance to the ALDS, a lot of people will be second-guessing Toronto's choice of starters. The Jays are going with RHP Marcus Stroman tonight instead of LHP Francisco Liriano. Those are the two choices they're facing with JA Happ, Aaron Sanchez, and Marco Estrada unavailable (and RA Dickey seemingly out of the rotation). Why will there be a lot of Monday morning quarterbacking if Toronto is sent packing? Well, for one, Stroman is a losing pitcher (9-10) with a 4.37 ERA and who had gone 0-5 in the month of September. Second, if that vaunted O's lineup has one weakness, it's southpaw pitching as Baltimore batted a league-low .234 vs. lefties this season. The Jays lost three of Stroman's four starts vs. the Birds in 2016 and the O's just took two of three here at the end of September. Take Baltimore. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-02-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Chargers | Top | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the San Diego Chargers. New Orleans fell to 0-3 on the young season with a home loss on Monday night to Atlanta. But San Diego’s not exactly doing much better, as its only win came against the 0-3 Jacksonville Jaguars. We’ll grab the points with New Orleans on Sunday, as it falls into a system of mine which is 15-0-1 ATS since 1986. What we want to do is play on road underdogs of more than 3 points, if they’re 0-3 on the season, and matched up against an opponent with a losing record. Moreover, San Diego is a dreadful 53-72 ATS at home off a pointspread defeat, including 0-7 ATS since 2014. Take New Orleans. NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always….Al McMordie. |
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10-02-16 | Orioles -133 v. Yankees | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the New York Yankees. It seems like it's never easy for the Baltimore Orioles. If they had won their game yesterday here in the Bronx, the O's would already be with a Wild Card slot and could be going for home field in the one-game playoff today. But they blew a seventh-inning lead and so instead they're in a win-or-go golfing situation where they also have to hope for some help from other games. The good news is that the Yanks will send rookie RH Luis Cessa to the mound for this ninth start today (17th appearance). Cessa's ERA here at Yankee Stadium is almost two runs higher than it is on the road (5.12 vs. 3.27) in the same number of starts (four). Of course, O's RHP Kevin Gausman's road numbers are considerably worse than those back in Baltimore, but he's making the most important start of his career and we think he'll be up to the task. And he's 2-0 with a 2.64 ERA in five daytime games this season (vs. 6-12 and 2.88 in 24 under the lights). The Yankees are 2-6 in their last eight games vs. a right-handed starter. Take Baltimore. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-02-16 | Mets v. Phillies -145 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the New York Mets. The Mets locked up a Wild Card spot - their second consecutive post-season appearance - and as a result, they will rest Noah Syndergaard today so that the ace is available for the one-game playoff at home. That means rookie RH Gabriel Ynoa will get just his third start of the season today (he also has seven relief appearances) and when you look at the youngster's numbers you notice that he's allowed 21 hits in less than 14 innings with six walks. That's an indication that the 23-year-old Dominican hasn't learned how to mix his pitches yet as he's obviously been grooving too many fastballs - something you can't do at this level. If the Mets are successful in their one-game playoff, don't expect to see Ynoa get any starts from here out. The Phillies will send out RHP Jerad Eickhoff for their finale and no doubt the second-year starter would love to add a 12th victory to his 2016 ledger. That's no small task on this team and it sets Eickhoff up nicely for perhaps a breakout campaign with the team next year. In six career starts vs. the Mets, Eickhoff has never allowed more than three runs and he owns five quality starts against them. Take the Phillies. MLB Roadkill. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-30-16 | Capitals v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Mavs +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 92-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Wizards -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Indians v. Cubs -220 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Indians v. Cubs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Jazz +8 v. Clippers | Top | 75-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Jets v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10-30-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
10-30-16 | New Mexico +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Old Dominion -5 v. UTEP | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Kings v. Blues -135 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Magic +12 v. Cavs | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -8 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Marshall v. Southern Miss -15.5 | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
10-29-16 | SMU v. Tulane -2.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10-29-16 | Miami (OH) v. Eastern Michigan -7 | Top | 28-15 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Jets v. Avalanche -144 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -144 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Rockets +2 v. Mavs | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Indians v. Cubs -200 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -200 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Indians v. Cubs OVER 8 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Hornets +2 v. Heat | Top | 97-91 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Suns +9.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Magic +4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 82-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Cavs v. Raptors +3 | Top | 94-91 | Push | 0 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10-28-16 | Navy +6.5 v. South Florida | Top | 45-52 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10-27-16 | Spurs v. Kings +9 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10-27-16 | California v. USC -16.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
10-27-16 | Red Wings v. Blues -150 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
10-27-16 | Ohio v. Toledo -16 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
10-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | Top | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
10-26-16 | Capitals -135 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -135 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
10-26-16 | Cubs -149 v. Indians | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
10-26-16 | Cubs v. Indians OVER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
10-25-16 | Spurs v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 129-100 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
10-25-16 | Ducks v. Sharks -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians +107 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 107 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
10-24-16 | Flames v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 6-6 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Patriots v. Steelers +7.5 | Top | 27-16 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Bucs v. 49ers -1 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Vikings v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Colts v. Titans UNDER 48 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs -5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Wyoming v. Nevada +6 | Top | 42-34 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 28 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Dodgers -130 v. Cubs | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Oregon State v. Washington -36.5 | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 53 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Arkansas v. Auburn -9.5 | Top | 3-56 | Win | 100 | 65 h 1 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan -23.5 | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 53 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Illinois v. Michigan -36.5 | Top | 8-41 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 52 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Syracuse v. Boston College -4.5 | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 54 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -10 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
10-22-16 | Texas v. Kansas State -2 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 49 m | Show |
10-21-16 | Oregon v. California -3 | Top | 49-52 | Push | 0 | 69 h 46 m | Show |
10-20-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
10-19-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show |
10-19-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -175 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -175 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers -101 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
10-18-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -114 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
10-17-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays -184 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -184 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 48.5 | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 19 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Falcons v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 12 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Ravens v. Giants -3 | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show |
10-16-16 | 49ers +9 v. Bills | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Panthers -2.5 v. Saints | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 44 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Steelers v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
10-16-16 | Bengals +9 v. Patriots | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 42 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs -183 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Arizona State v. Colorado -12 | Top | 16-40 | Win | 100 | 41 h 13 m | Show |
10-15-16 | South Alabama v. Arkansas State -5 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 10 m | Show |
10-15-16 | New Mexico State v. Idaho -4 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 38 h 11 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Blue Jays -130 v. Indians | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Nebraska v. Indiana +3 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 54 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Wake Forest +21.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show |
10-15-16 | Iowa -11 v. Purdue | Top | 49-35 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
10-13-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
10-11-16 | Cubs v. Giants +116 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
10-11-16 | Nationals v. Dodgers -235 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
10-10-16 | Cubs v. Giants -128 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10-10-16 | Indians v. Red Sox -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Bills v. Rams +1 | Top | 30-19 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 51 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Falcons v. Broncos -4 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Eagles v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 60 h 58 m | Show |
10-09-16 | Jets +9 v. Steelers | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
10-08-16 | Notre Dame v. NC State -2.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 62 h 49 m | Show |
10-07-16 | Clemson v. Boston College +17 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 60 m | Show |
10-07-16 | Blue Jays v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
10-06-16 | Blue Jays v. Rangers -138 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10-04-16 | Orioles +140 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
10-02-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Chargers | Top | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10-02-16 | Orioles -133 v. Yankees | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
10-02-16 | Mets v. Phillies -145 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show |