Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-10-16 | Senators v. Kings -179 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Ottawa Senators. It has not been a good season for the Senators' number one goalie Craig Anderson. Anderson's wife was diagnosed with throat Cancer and is undergoing treatment and he's had to take several leaves of absence from the team already this Fall. He came back last Monday, but obviously was not up to facing the powerful Penguins as he was blasted for seven goals in an 8-5 loss. Now Anderson is out again on personal leave which means that back-up Mike Condon will carry the load, including this start in Los Angeles. He's used to this role, as Condon filled-in for an injured Carey Price in Montreal in 2015-2016. But there are other problems with this team right now. Top D-man and Captain Erik Karlsson is healthy, but his blueline partner, Marc Methot has been out with a back injury and won't play this evening. Karlsson and Methot had formed quite a chemistry together, so Methot's absence has hurt and will continue to do so. The Kings have lost two straight and three of the last four, but they were on a five-game winning streak before that behind goalie Peter Budaj, who should get the start again today after getting a night off on Thursday. The Senators are 2-6 in the last eight meetings here in L.A. Take the Kings. NHL Roadkill. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-16 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado State -14.5 | Top | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Northern Colorado. Last year, the Bears upset CSU, 73-64, as a 13-point underdog. But we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Rams on this Saturday afternoon, as they fall into a 40-18 ATS system of mine. Moreover, the Rams are a dominant 29-12 ATS when priced as a favorite of more than 5 points, and playing with revenge (including 10-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Lay it. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-16 | Central Michigan v. Illinois -10 | Top | 73-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Central Michigan. Dating back 25 seasons, the Illini have been tremendous at home when priced from -5 to -16 points, as they're 84-56 ATS including 22-9 ATS vs. non-conference foes not off a SU loss. Also, Central Michigan has burned money when priced from +8.5 to +15 points vs foes off a SU win, as it's covered just 26 of 82 games since 1990, including 0-for-10 when the Chippewas had a winning record. Take Illinois minus the points. |
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12-09-16 | Sharks v. Ducks -103 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Anaheim Ducks. Just when the Ducks were hoping to step up and challenge in the Pacific Division, the injury bug may be making an unwanted appearance on the team. Former first-round pick Rickard Rakell looked like a breakout candidate this season with 14 points in his first 16 games and a positive plus-minus rating (+ 2). But the 23-year-old Swedish star has been nursing an upper body injury that was not thought to be serious at first, but which has forced him to miss two games and will likely keep him out again tonight. The Ducks won their last game against the Hurricanes on Wednesday, but were extremely lucky to do so, scoring two goals in the last four minutes of the third period to tie the game at five, then pulling it out in the fourth round of the shootout after falling behind 1-0. A similar effort against a superior San Jose team tonight will almost certainly yield a different result as the Sharks have the second-best defense and goaltending in the league with a 2.12 goals against average. The Sharks may have lost their last game, 4-2, but they're still 6-2 in their last eight and they go for some revenge tonight as one of those two losses was against this Ducks team right after Thanksgiving. The Sharks are 14-3 off a home loss by 2+ goals. Take San Jose. NHL Elite Info play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 64 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Chiefs and Raiders to go 'under' the total. NFL Division games go 'under' the total more often than not. And especially toward the end of the season, in games with relatively high over/under lines. Indeed, since 1980, at Game 10 forward, NFL division games, with lines greater than 46 points, have gone 'under' 62.1% of the time! These two teams met in Week 6, and KC held the Raiders to their lowest offensive output of the season, in a 26-10 victory. The Raiders managed to get less than 300 yards on offense, and were completely shut down by KC's defense. Of course, since then, the Raiders have won six straight, and have averaged over 32 ppg, with all six games going 'over' the total. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here. But only one of Oakland's last six opponents -- Denver -- has (like Kansas City) a top 10-ranked defense. Additionally, Oakland has gone 'under' in 20 of 25 road games following back to back games in which 50+ points were scored! Take the 'under' on Thursday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the KC Chiefs over the Oakland Raiders. Oakland's 10-2, on the heels of a 6-game win streak, but comes into this road game following a 3-game Home stand. Unfortunately for Jack Del Rio's crew, road teams off a win (and off 3 straight home games) are a soft 74-98 ATS since 1980, including 11-20 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off back to back wins. Additionally, home teams off an upset win on the road are 133-86 ATS vs. .750 (or better) foes since 1980. Take KC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-16 | Devils v. Canadiens -157 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the New Jersey Devils. Montreal's been dominant at home this season with 12 wins in 14 games (and just one loss in regulation), and I love them to get back into the win column tonight at the Bell Centre following a tough 3-2 loss at St Louis on Tuesday. We actually played on the Blues in that game, so we weren't surprised by St. Louis' victory. But we'll back Montreal tonight, as it's 20-6 at home after allowing more than 2 goals in back to back games. Of course, having top netminder Carey Price between the pipes is a big reason why. And Price has a 1.69 GAA in his 13 home starts this season. It's true that the Habs will be without Alex Galchenyuk and David Desharnais for the next 6+ weeks, but with Price in goal, they should be able to persevere. Meanwhile, the Devils have struggled away from home, including a 1-6 run over their last 7 roadies (outscored 26-17). And the poor play of Cory Schneider (1-6-3 with a 2.90 GAA on the road) has been a big factor. Take Montreal. NHL Roadkill Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-16 | Warriors v. Clippers +4.5 | Top | 115-98 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have lost just three games this season, and sit a half-game atop the NBA standings -- just ahead of the 18-4 San Antonio Spurs. But if one were to nitpick Golden State's 18-3 record, it would be that it's come against a very weak slate of competition. Indeed, the Warriors have played just five games against teams currently ranked among the Top 12 in terms of margin of victory. And the Warriors have covered just one of those five games. That was their 122-96 blowout of Oklahoma City. But the Thunder were in a poor position in that game, as they had to play on the road without rest. In stark contrast is this game tonight. The Clippers are at home, and will be playing with the last 2 days off. San Antonio showed on opening night what a team could do vs. the Warriors with a big lineup. Well, the Clippers' front line of Blake Griffin, Marreese Speights and DeAndre Jordan rivals the Spurs. We'll grab the points with Los Angeles. |
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12-07-16 | Hurricanes v. Ducks -169 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over the Carolina Hurricanes. Right before Thanksgiving, the Hurricanes began a very tough schedule where nine of their 11 games are on the road. They play the final three road games of that stretch on the West coast, beginning with this match-up in Anaheim. At least they won their single home game (sandwiched in between six on the road) on Sunday when they shut out the Lightning, 1-0. But of course, it's a Tampa team that's without star Steven Stamkos, and the Bolts have been paying a heavy price as a result, losing five of their last six. Unlike Tampa, the Ducks don't rely on any one star as they use a very balanced attack and feature a stingy defense that's yielded just 2.54 goals per game on average. And that number is much better here at the Honda Center as the Ducks have only allowed just 2.17 goals per game when playing on home ice. The Ducks got whacked in their last game by the Flames, 8-3, but that actually bodes well for tonight as they're 5-0 in their last five when allowing five or more goals in their previous game. The 'Canes are 1-5 in the last six meetings, and 0-9 their last 9 on the road when the over/under was less than 5.5 goals. Take Anaheim. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-16 | Heat v. Hawks -8 | Top | 95-103 | Push | 0 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Miami. The Hawks have dropped 7 in a row, yet find themselves installed as a big favorite vs. Miami. Neither of those two facts will dissuade me, as favorites of -5 to -11.5 points off 6+ losses have covered 60.7% since 1990. Also, Atlanta's 20-9 ATS at home off 6+ defeats. Take the Hawks. |
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12-07-16 | Pistons v. Hornets -5.5 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Detroit. The Pistons upset the Hornets here at The Hive less than 10 days ago, 112-89. We'll lay the points with Steve Clifford's troops in this re-match, as .633 (or worse) teams are 97-57 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from a 19-point (or worse) upset defeat. Moreover, Charlotte's 27-9 ATS when playing with revenge in the regular season from a loss earlier in the year by more than 10 points. Take the Hornets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-16 | Celtics -3.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Orlando Magic. Orlando's playing great basketball of late, as it comes into this game off four wins in five games, including 3 upsets (Spurs, Pistons, Wizards). Unfortunately, Orlando should suffer a letdown back home tonight, as it falls into a 41-87 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off back to back upset wins. Even worse: the Magic had to play last night, while Boston will be playing tonight's game with a day of rest. Finally, the Celtics are a jaw-dropping 71% ATS over the past 20 years on the road off a road defeat, if their foe is off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Boston. NBA Road Warrior. |
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12-06-16 | Canadiens v. Blues -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Montreal Canadiens. No team has enjoyed their home ice more this season than the Montreal Canadiens. The difference in the won-lost record is obvious - a 12-2 record at home vs. 5-6 on the road - but check out these goal differential numbers as well. In those 14 games at the Bell Centre, the Habs have averaged 3.36 goals per game and allowed just 1.57 per game, which equates to an NHL-best differential of 1.79. But on road ice, those numbers do a complete turnaround as Montreal has scored just 2.36 times per game while allowing an average of 3.00 (a -0.69 differential). That's one of the biggest home/road scoring biases in recent memory and explains the lopsided records. And Scottrade Center has been a very tough arena for most of its visitors this season as St. Louis has lost just once in regulation here. The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings. The Blues are 4-0 in their last four when playing on two days' rest while the Habs are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. teams from the Central Division. Take St. Louis. NHL Roadkill Play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-16 | Old Dominion v. Rhode Island -10 | Top | 39-51 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams minus the points over Old Dominion. The Rams are 5-3 on the season, following upset losses at Valpo and Providence. And they also enter tonight's game on a 4-game pointspread losing streak. On the surface, this 4-game ATS losing streak might look bad, but the Rams were in each game, and only failed to cover the pointspread, on average, by 5.12 ppg. Tonight, they're back home, where they're 4-0 SU, with an average margin of victory just shy of 20 ppg. I love Rhode Island to blow out Old Dominion tonight, as URI will be looking to avenge an upset loss at Old Dominion last season, as a 1.5-point favorite. And URI is terrific 16-3 ATS at home when priced between -4 and -13 points, including a perfect 6-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Moreover, Rhode Island falls into 71-30 and 75-32 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off back to back upset defeats, as well as 53-20 and 35-11 ATS angles that play on certain teams off 4+ pointspread losses in a row. Additionally, ODU is a poor 5-12 ATS on the road vs. winning clubs. Take Rhode Island. NCAA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-16 | Hornets -4 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs come into tonight's game off a rare win -- 107-82 vs. Chicago -- and have covered four straight. Meanwhile, the Hornets are off a home loss to Minnesota, and have dropped three in a row to the spread. But I like the Hornets in the road favorite role tonight, as Dallas falls into a 112-187 ATS letdown system of mine, based on its upset win on Saturday. Take Charlotte. |
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12-05-16 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelican minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. This will be the 2nd meeting of the season between these two Southwest Division rivals. Memphis won Round 1, 89-83. But the Grizz are a decimated group right now. Mike Conley, Brandan Wright, Chandler Parsons, Vince Carter and Zach Randolph are all sidelined for various reasons. It's true that they've won their last two games, but those were at home vs. Orlando and the Lakers. Beating a revenge-minded Pelicans squad will be another matter, entirely. Indeed, New Orleans falls into a terrific 90-42 ATS revenge system of mine that plays on certain teams off a loss. Additionally, the Pelicans are 140-99 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. With New Orleans in off back to back losses to the Clippers and Thunder, we'll look for a blowout win by the home team in the Crescent City tonight. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-16 | Thunder v. Hawks -2 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Hawks have won just once in 10 games (2-8 ATS), and have lost by an average of 15 ppg. And their last two defeats were stunning, as they fell 121-85, as a 1.5-point home favorite vs. Detroit, and 128-84, as an 8.5-point road underdog against Toronto. In this 10-game stretch (since November 18), Atlanta has the worst Offensive Efficiency (91.8) and ninth-worst defense in the league. Notwithstanding this poor spate of play, I'm jumping on Atlanta tonight. Since 1990, NBA teams off 40-point (or worse) defeats have covered 70.4% of the time when they weren't an underdog of +2 or more points. With OKC having had to play last night, and Atlanta rested, we'll take the Hawks on Monday. NBA Roadkill play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-16 | Wizards -5.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Wizards come into this game off back to back losses to the Spurs and Thunder, so the feeble Nets will be a welcome sight. Brooklyn's on a 1-9 SU and 2-7-1 ATS run, and has lost by 7+ points in all nine of those defeats. And the Wizards defeated the Nets by 9+ points in all three meetings last season (3-0 ATS). Washington also falls into 134-58 and 96-41 ATS systems of mine that play on certain road favorites off SU losses. Lay it. |
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12-05-16 | Stetson v. Iowa -20 | Top | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Stetson. To say that Iowa hit rock-bottom on Saturday, when it lost at home to Nebraska-Omaha, would be an understatement. Indeed, that was the Mavericks' first win in 12 games vs. a Big 10 member school. There's no doubt the Hawkeyes can score. They're averaging 85.6 ppg, on 45.1% FG shooting. But their defense and rebounding definitely need to improve. Luckily for Fran McCaffery tonight, his team will welcome a huge creampuff into Carver-Hawkeye Arena in the final tuneup before Iowa hosts rival Iowa State, on Thursday. Overall, the Hawkeyes have gone 0-5 ATS, but they fall into a great 23-1 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 4+ ATS losses. And the Hawks are 53-35 ATS at home under McCaffery. Take Iowa. Below the Radar Blowout. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Wild -108 v. Oilers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Edmonton Oilers. We played on the Wild in each of their last two games, and lost both by 1 goal, including via a shootout on Friday in Calgary. Perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm tonight, as Minnesota will look to snap its slide in Edmonton. The Oilers do come into this game off a 3-2 home win vs. Anaheim, but that's been uncommon of late, as the Oilers have only won twice in their last seven home games. The Wild have won 11 of the last 12 here in Edmonton, including the last six in a row by an average of 2.5 goals per game. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks -7 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Carolina. We played on the Panthers last week, and bettors either pushed or won on Carolina, as they lost 35-32 to the Raiders, as a +3 or +3.5-point underdog. Seattle wasn't as kind to its backers in Vegas last week, as they were upset, 14-5, by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as a 5-point road favorite. I love the Seahawks to bounce back at home this week, as they'll be out for revenge against the foe which knocked them out of last year's Playoffs. And Carolina didn't just defeat Seattle once last season -- they also upset them here, in Seattle, 27-23, as a 7-point favorite. But the Seahawks are 18-9 ATS their last 27 when playing with revenge, including 4-0 ATS off an upset loss and 10-3 ATS at home. And NFL teams, playing with revenge from a playoff defeat, are an awesome 14-0 ATS at home vs. losing teams that didn't fail to cover the spread by more than 7 points in their previous game. Take Seattle. Perfect 10 Club play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Flyers v. Predators -146 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Preds had won four of five heading into yesterday's game against the Devils here at home, and things were looking good as they held a 4-1 lead going in the third period. But they fell apart in the third and ended up losing 5-4 in overtime. Prior to that loss, the Predators had won their last five home games by a combined score of 21-6, so there is definitely plenty of recent precedence for success here at Bridgestone Arena tonight. The Flyers come here having beaten a very good Blackhawks team yesterday for their fourth straight victory. But the Flyers have tended to allow far too many goals on the road this season, as their 3.55 GAA away from home is the worst-such number in the Eastern Conference and the third-highest number in the entire league. And the Flyers score more at home than they do on the road as well (3.14 vs. 3.00). The home team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings which happens to be the same home record that the Preds have so far this season. Take Nashville. NHL Elite Info. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 37 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over the Washington Redskins. The Cardinals gave away their first game of the season, at home, to the New England Patriots (without Tom Brady + Rob Gronkowski), and that loss set the tone for the season. The Cardinals have yet to play up to their potential, have a 4-6-1 record, and own just one victory away from home this season. Indeed, they've lost their last five games against the spread, including a 38-19 loss at Atlanta last week. But even with all of these depressing stats, we'll lay the points with Arizona on Sunday. Actually, the fact that it's failed to cover its last five games has triggered a 95-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ pointspread defeats. And the fact that it lost in blowout fashion last week has put Arizona into terrific 72-23 and 81-33 ATS systems of mine. Finally, Arizona is a superb 49-25 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 22-4 ATS if the Cardinals didn't cover either of their two previous game, and the pointspread in the current game was 5 points or less. Take the Cardinals. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Bucs v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Chargers minus the points over Tampa Bay. The Bucs come into this game with a 6-5 record after winning their last 3 games -- all as underdogs -- vs. Seattle, KC and Chicago. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 5-6, but did win, 21-13, at Houston last Sunday. The Chargers still have a remote chance of making the Playoffs, but really will need to win their last 5 games to qualify. The good news is that they have three of their last five games at home, and one of their two road games is against the winless Cleveland Browns. So, there's definitely a chance. We'll lay the points with the Chargers as losing teams favored over winning teams by more than 3 points have covered 59% over the past 37 years (at Week 5 forward). Additionally, teams off 3 straight upset wins have covered just 27% on the road vs. non-division foes dating back to 1980. Finally, winning teams, off an upset win as a home underdog, have covered just 96 of 275 games since 1990. Take San Diego. NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Bills +3 v. Raiders | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Oakland. The Bills are 6-5, and currently sit in 9th position in the AFC. So, they surely have a shot at the playoffs, but need to win on the road in Oakland to improve their odds. Oakland, meanwhile, is 9-2 following its 3-point win over the Panthers last Sunday, and is a virtual lock to make the Playoffs for the first time since losing to the Bucs in the Super Bowl 14 seasons ago. We'll grab the points with Buffalo, as it falls into a 62-28 ATS System of mine. Even better: the Raiders are an awful 37-71 ATS their last 108 at home, including 14-38 ATS vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat (and 0-4 ATS this season)! And in "win situation games," where the line is 3 points or less, our 38-14 stat zooms to 17-3 ATS. Take the Bills. Dog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-16 | Chiefs v. Falcons -4.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 17 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Kansas City. Last week, we had a huge play on the KC Chiefs, and were rewarded with a 30-27 upset win over the defending Super Bowl champion Broncos. But "out of the frying pan, and into the fire," as they say, since KC now has to travel to Atlanta to take on the 7-4 Falcons. Last week, Atlanta blew out the Arizona Cardinals, 38-19, which bodes very well for it in this home game on Sunday. And that's because teams off upset wins over the defending Super Bowl champs have gone an awful 0-17 ATS on the road against foes off a SU/ATS win, if that foe's W/L percentage ranged from .400 to .700. Take the Falcons minus the points. Roadkill Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | Denver v. Weber State -9 | Top | 57-55 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber St. Wildcats minus the points over Denver. The Pioneers won last year's meeting by a single point, 69-68, at home, as a 2.5-point underdog. But I love Weber St. to avenge that defeat tonight. The Pioneers are surrendering over 79 ppg, while Weber is scoring over 76. And revenge-minded teams have covered 63% of non-conference games over the past 27 years, if they're favored by 10 or less points at home, and they score 75+ ppg, while their foe gives up 79+ ppg. Also, Weber St. comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Iona and Buffalo, but the Wildcats are a super 13-6 ATS off back to back ATS defeats, and they also fall into a 64-19 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 2 ATS losses in a row. Take Weber to blow out Denver. Elite Info play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | UNLV v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 73-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over UNLV. These two teams have met each of the past three years, and ASU has won all three of those games, and is also 3-0 ATS with the average pointspread win by 11 ppg. I think they'll make it 4 in a row with a blowout at home tonight. Yes, it's true that the Sun Devils were blown out by 46 points in their previous game, and have failed to cover each of their last five games. But ASU falls into a super 138-71 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 4+ pointspread losses in a row. Additionally, the Sun Devils are scoring 83.3 ppg, which doesn't bode well for UNLV, as it's covered just 35.2% since 1990 as a road underdog vs. foes that score 83+ points per game. Finally, ASU is an awesome 17-3 ATS at home when priced from -4 to -10.5 points off back to back pointspread defeats. Take the Sun Devils. NCAA Roadkill play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | Panthers v. Senators OVER 5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -119 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers and Ottawa Senators 'over' the total. The Ottawa Senators have to be thrilled about their standing in the Atlantic Division right now. After finishing with 38 wins and 85 points last season - missing the playoffs by quite a bit - the 'Nats are currently sitting in second place with a 14-10 record, just four points behind the Division-leading Canadiens. This despite the fact that Ottawa has a scoring differential of -2 goals, the only negative differential for any NHL Team with a winning record. The main reason for this is the fact that Ottawa has allowed far more goals at home this season than it has on the road. The Senator's GAA in their nine games away from home this season is the best in the West at 2.11. However in 15 games here at Canadian Tire Center, they have allowed more than 1/2 goal per game more (2.67). Meanwhile, the Panthers have allowed an average of 2.69 goals per game on the road this season, vs. just 2.18 at home, which is pretty much the opposite situation as Ottawa. The over is 19-9-8 in the Panthers last 36 games following a win. Take the 'over.' NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | Baylor +17.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 1 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over the West Virginia Mountaineers. Yes, it's true that Baylor has lost its last five games, both SU and ATS. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Jim Grobe's troops in their final game of the season, on the road, in Morgantown, against the 9-2 Mountaineers. But consider that, over the past 26 years, College Football teams have covered 67% of the time off 3 SU/ATS losses in their final game vs. .600 (or better) foes off a win. We saw an example of this just last weekend when Syracuse (+25), which had lost its previous 3 games by an average of 33.33 ppg, lost to Pitt by just 15 points to cover the spread. I like Baylor to cover this inflated pointspread as well, as it falls into 124-75, 65-29 and 62-29 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Take the Bears + the points. Dog Shocker! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | UL-Lafayette v. UL-Monroe +7.5 | Top | 30-3 | Loss | -135 | 39 h 25 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over Louisiana Lafayette. Both teams come into this game on 3-game ATS win streaks. Monroe did lose its last game, straight-up, 42-17, at Appalachian St, but covered the 26.5-point spread. Meanwhile, the Rajin' Cajuns pulled a big upset in their last game, as they won outright, 24-19, as a 6-point home underdog to Arkansas State. That upset win sets up the Cajuns in several negative 'letdown' systems of mine, with records of 123-194, 67-114 and 54-107 ATS. Those angles would be enough for me to pull the trigger on the Warhawks, but there are two other reason I love the home underdog on Saturday. One is that Louisiana Monroe last played two weeks ago, so it will be very well-rested for this rivalry game. And rested teams off a loss have covered 79% since 1980 as underdogs (or PK) vs. foes off an upset win that are playing their final game of the season. And the other reason I love Monroe is that the underdog in this rivalry has covered 15 of 18, including a perfect 6-0 ATS when getting 7+ points, and a perfect 8-0 ATS off a loss by more than two touchdowns. Take Louisiana Monroe + the points. Rivalry Underdog of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Iowa -9 | Top | 98-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha. Both the Hawkeyes and Mavericks come into this game at Carver-Hawkeye Arena with 3-4 records. But in Vegas, the Hawkeyes are winless with an 0-4 mark. I fully expect that to change this afternoon, as Iowa falls into several of my best systems, with records of 21-0, 43-8 and 52-18 ATS. Those all play on certain teams off ATS losses vs. foes not off an ATS defeat. Also, if one scrutinizes the Iowa schedule, one sees that all four of its SU and ATS losses were against teams from power conferences (Seton Hall, Virginia, Memphis, Notre Dame). Iowa is actually 3-0 SU (and 0-0 ATS) vs. foes not from power conferences with blowout wins over Kennesaw St. (91-74), Savannah St. (116-84) and Texas Rio Grande Valley (95-67). So, this will be the first pointspread posted this season on an Iowa game which involved a team not on the regular Vegas board. But Iowa's 0-4 ATS mark has given us decent pointspread value by my numbers. Finally, Iowa's cashed a whopping 67% over the past 27 years as a favorite of more than 2 points, if it's off 3+ pointspread defeats. Take the Hawkeyes. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -11 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 52 h 48 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Oklahoma State. This game will decide the Big 12 Championship, as both teams come into the game with 9-2 records, overall, and 8-0 (Oklahoma) and 7-1 (Oklahoma St.) conference records. We'll lay the points with the Sooners, as they fall into 'momentum' systems of mine, with records of 294-201, 168-104 and 145-75 ATS, following their 56-28 win at West Virginia in their last game. and their 45-24 win over Baylor two games back. Those three angles all play on certain teams off big, back to back SU/ATS wins. Even better: Oklahoma State is a dreadful 16-36 ATS since 1999 when priced from +6 to +19 points, including 3-8 ATS vs. the Sooners, while the Sooners are an awesome 28-11-1 ATS as a home favorite, in the same price range (-6 to -19), in the same period. Take the Sooners. Big 12 Conference Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | UCLA v. Kentucky -10.5 | Top | 97-92 | Loss | -113 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over UCLA. These two teams met at Pauley Pavilion last year, and the Bruins upset the Wildcats, 87-77, as 6.5-point underdogs. But I look for the Wildcats to avenge that defeat with a win in Lexington this afternoon, as Kentucky falls into a great 133-62 ATS system of mine. This projects to be a very high-scoring game, as both teams like to get up and down the court (Kentucky's averaging 95.6, while UCLA is averaging 97.0). Unfortunately for the Bruins, they're 9-24 ATS vs. foes that average 80+ ppg. Take the Wildcats. Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-16 | Temple v. Navy -3 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 60 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over Temple, as it's backed by 157-87, 135-54 and 37-9 ATS systems of mine. The Midshipmen have won 4 straight games, including two blowouts on the road in their last two (75-31 over SMU; 66-31 over ECU). I won't step in front of this freight train at home, as single-digit home favorites have covered 62% over the past 37 years after scoring 60+ points in their previous game (including 3-1 ATS this season). And, yes, it's true that Temple has won its last six games, and covered its last 11, on the heels of a defense which has given up just 23 points over its last four games (and 17.8 ppg on the season). But teams with a better defense (more than 12 ppg better than their foe) have actually been big-time money-burners in conference title games, as they're 0-7 ATS. Take Navy. High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-16 | Wild -125 v. Flames | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Calgary Flames. The Wild decided to give Devan Dubnyk the night off last Tuesday and go with their back-up, Darcy Kuemper, in goal instead, and they paid a heavy price. Kuemper allowed five goals on 35 shots (an .857 saves pct.) against one of the worst scoring teams in the league - the Vancouver Canucks - and the Wild lost in overtime as a result. The good news is that Dubnyk will be back in goal tonight - well rested as his last appearance was back on the 26th. Dubnyk has emerged as one of the top goaltenders in the game this season, and if he continues at his current level of play, he will be one of the favorites for the Vezina Trophy. The 30-year-old is second in the league with a 1.66 GAA and a .946 saves percentage, and he leads all net-minders with four shutouts. A Flames lineup without their leading scorer from last season, LW Johnny Gaudreau (out while recovering from finger surgery) will likely have a tough time generating much production against Dubnyk tonight. The Wild is 6-2 in the last eight meetings and 4-1 in the last five in Calgary. Take Minnesota. NHL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-16 | Ohio +19 v. Western Michigan | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 59 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Western Michigan. The Broncos have yet to lose straight-up on the field this season, as they're a perfect 12-0. They're also 9-3 ATS. Meanwhile, Ohio is 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS. But we'll take the double-digits with Ohio, as Western Michigan falls into negative 8-37 and 69-122 ATS systems of mine that fade certain unbeaten teams late in the season. Even worse for Western Michigan: Mid-American Conference teams with a win percentage greater than .800 have been awful in the Title game vs. foes that don't have a win percentage greater than .800, as they've covered just 1 of 10 games since 1998, including two outright upset losses as 15-point (Ball St, 2008) and 20-point (N. Illinois, 2010) favorites. Yikes! Take Ohio + the points. MAC Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings +3.5 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 37 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings + the points over Dallas. Minnesota's having a decent season, as it's 6-5 SU/ATS. The Cowboys, though, are having a great season, as they have not lost since Week 1. But it's my opinion that the tariff has gotten too high on the road for them, on Thursday, against this solid Vikings team. We'll grab the points, as we note that NFL teams with a win percentage greater than .900, have covered 0 of 12 games, at Week 12 forward, on the road against foes with a pointspread win percentage between .540 and 690. Take the Vikings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-16 | Islanders v. Capitals -230 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -230 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the New York Islanders. It's true that the Caps are a big favorite on Thursday, and I generally don't take favorites priced this high. But I will make an exception on Thursday. One reason is the very favorable schedule for Washington. The Islanders hosted the Penguins (and won 5-3), while the Capitals had last night off. But Washington will play this game with not just one day of rest, but four days of rest, as its last game was back on Saturday, when it fell to Toronto, 4-2. The good news for the Capitals is that they're 28-10 their last 38 games off a loss, and 9-1 when priced at -175 or higher this season. Meanwhile, the Isles are a poor 2-5 off a win this season, and 2-9 when installed as an underdog. Finally, goalie Braden Holtby has been solid vs. New York in his career, with an 11-1-3 record, and a .930 save percentage. And, should Holtby be matched against back-up Isles Goalie Jaroslav Halak, then Holtby will definitely have an advantage, as Halak has given up 2.73 goals per game in his career vs. Washington (.897 save pct.) Take the Capitals. NHL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-30-16 | Pacers v. Blazers -7.5 | Top | 109-131 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Indiana. Indiana's off back to back wins, with a 91-70 blowout of the Clippers, as a 12-point home underdog on Sunday, and a 118-97 thrashing of the Nets, as a 5.5-point favorite, on Friday. We'll fade Indiana tonight, as road teams are 9-29 ATS off a cover by more than 26 points in their previous game, if they also covered by 15+ points two games back. Take the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-30-16 | North Carolina v. Indiana +4 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over North Carolina. These teams met in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament last March, and the Tar Heels won, 105-86. We'll take the Hoosiers as a home dog tonight, as they fall into a 30-11 ATS Tourney revenge system of mine which plays on certain home dogs (or PK) playing with revenge from a post-season loss the previous year. Take Indiana. |
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11-30-16 | Hawks -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Phoenix. The Hawks are mired in a 3-game losing streak, but should rebound with a win vs. Phoenix on Wednesday. Since 1990, winning NBA teams are 88-59 ATS off 3+ losses, if they're favored on the road vs. non-division foes. Take Atlanta. |
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11-30-16 | SMU v. Boise State +6 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos + the points over SMU. Boise's won 35 of its last 40 home games, straight-up, yet finds itself installed as a sizable underdog at home, tonight. Let's take the points with the Broncos, as home dogs of more than 5 points, with wins in at least 35 of their previous 40 home games, have cashed 65% since 1990. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-30-16 | Spurs -9 v. Mavs | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Dallas. We played against San Antone at home last night, and got the $$$ with the Orlando Magic, who blew out the Spurs as a double-digit underdog. Now, for Wednesday, we'll switch gears and play on Gregg Popovich's crew, as San Antonio is 55-24 ATS as a road favorite of -4+ points off a loss, if its opponent's win percentage is .450 or less. Take San Antone. |
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11-30-16 | Washington +8.5 v. TCU | Top | 71-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over TCU. In a scheduling quirk, these two teams actually met in their most recent game, this past Saturday, in Las Vegas, in the Global Sports Classic. Jamie Dixon's troops downed Washington, 93-80, on the heels of a 19-4 run to start the game. So, now they'll have a rematch at TCU, and we'll grab the points with the Huskies, as single-digit college basketball underdogs have cashed 62 of 101 games, if they lost SU/ATS to their opponent in the previous game for each team. Take Washington. |
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11-29-16 | Wild -144 v. Canucks | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -144 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Vancouver Canucks. Two seasons ago, goalie Devan Dubnyk had a breakout campaign, going from a very good back-up net-minder to one of the best in the league, logging a 2.07 GAA and finishing third in the Vezina Trophy voting. Dubnyk was traded to the Wild during that season, and he finished up stronger with them than he began the prior Fall in Arizona. Last year however, Dubnyk took a step or two backwards in his first full season in Minneapolis, although it was by no means a throw-away campaign. And obviously whatever adjustments Dubnyk had to to make entering this Fall he made in the off-season because he's right back among the top two-or-three goalies in the NHL right now. The 30-year-old is third in the league with a 1.66 GAA, tied for second with a .946 saves percentage, and he leads all net-minders with four shutouts. Those are the kind of numbers that will land Dubnyk his first Vezina Trophy if he can keep it up. After losing nine straight games between October 22 and November 7, the Canucks have gone on a string of alternating wins and losses over their past nine games, with the most recent being a SO victory over the Avs last Saturday. The Wild is 4-1 in the last five trips to Vancouver, while the Canucks are 1-9 their last 10 when playing their 4th game in 7 nights. Take Minnesota. NHL Elite Info. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-16 | Magic +14 v. Spurs | Top | 95-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over San Antonio. The Spurs return home after finishing up a 3-game road trip which saw them defeat Charlotte, Boston and Washington. For the season, San Antone is now 10-0 on the road, and 7-2-1 ATS (with both of their ATS losses by a mere half-point). Unfortunately, the Spurs haven't enjoyed similar success at home this season. They're 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS, and they've failed to cover by an average of 10.37 ppg. And what makes this trend even more surprising is that the Spurs' record at home was 40-1 last season, which equaled the best home mark in NBA history. I've got a great system based on a team's travel schedule which favors taking the Magic tonight. It's 124-79 ATS since 1990. Take Orlando + the points. |
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11-29-16 | Lakers v. Pelicans -5 | Top | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the LA Lakers. This will be the 2nd meeting in New Orleans this season between these two clubs; the first went to the Lakers by a 126-99 score. That was the Lakers' biggest win, and New Orleans' biggest loss of this season. I look for the Pelicans to avenge that 27-point defeat, as home teams are 17-1 ATS in the regular season since 2001 with revenge from a 24-point (or worse) upset home loss earlier in the season. Additionally, this season, NBA teams have cashed 18 of 21 games off a straight-up loss by less than 20 points, if they were playing with same-season revenge. We'll back the Pelicans on Tuesday. |
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11-29-16 | Clippers -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 122-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Brooklyn. The Clippers are off back to back blowout losses, as they lost by 11 to Detroit, and by 21 to Indiana. And they failed to cover the spread by more than 17 points in each game. But I look for the Clips to bounce back tonight, as teams favored by 8+ points that are off back to back pointspread defeats by 17+ points, have covered 63% over the past 27 years vs. foes off a SU loss. With Brooklyn currently riding a 6-game losing streak, we'll take the Clippers on Tuesday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Phiadelphia. The Packers are certainly in a free fall right now as they've not only lost four in a row, but they've also failed to cover three straight -- and by 12.5, 25 and 15 points! That's keeping a lot of bettors away from Mike McCarthy's crew tonight, but we'll grab the points with the Pack, as underdogs of priced from +4 to +10.5 points, off three straight double-digit pointspread defeats, have covered 76.4% over the past 37 years, including 15-2 ATS the past 8 years. Take the Packers. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs + the points over the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs lost at home last week, 19-17, as a 7-point favorite to the Tampa Bay Bucs, while Denver upset New Orleans, 25-23, as a 3-point underdog. But I look for the Chiefs to bounce back on Sunday, as underdogs (or PK) off an upset loss the previous week, are 61% ATS since 1980 against .700 (or better) foes off an upset win. Additionally, defending Super Bowl Champs off a win, have covered just 8 of 28 division games against opponents off an upset loss. Finally, Kansas City falls into 65-24, 43-21, 53-27 and 112-52 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to rebound off upset defeats. Take KC. AFC West Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Flames v. Flyers -138 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Jaguars are 2-8 this season, including 5 straight losses, but they've mainly played competitive football games. Only thrice in their 10 games have they lost by more than a touchdown. We'll grab the points with Jacksonville, as it falls into a super 154-81 ATS system of mine. Additionally, teams off 5+ losses have covered 62% since 1980 as road underdogs through Week 12 of the season. Notwithstanding its record, the Jaguars still possess the league's #7-ranked defense. And it's outgained its opponents in yardage this season (337 to 323). Indeed, turnovers have been the Jags' problem, as they have a negative 15 turnover differential this season. But turnovers are often random events, and certainly can't be relied upon. This will be a close football game. Underdog Shocker. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Portland State v. Pepperdine -11 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves minus the points over the Portland State Vikings. The Waves come into this home game with a 4-2 record, including 2-0 at home. Meanwhile, Portland State's won just one of its four games. But that was against George Fox U., which isn't Division 1. Against teams in the Nevada rotation, Portland State's 0-3, and it's given up an average of 90.67 ppg, while allowing its foes to shoot over 50% (100-for-194). That doesn't bode well against a Pepperdine team which is shooting 47.7% (against foes that give up just 43.8% on defense). Even worse: the Vikings have covered just 2 of their last 12 games vs. teams in conferences on the regular Nevada board, and is an awful 2-10 SU/ATS its last 12 vs. foes from the West Coast Conference. Take Pepperdine. NCAA Hoops Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Panthers +3 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 81 h 55 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Oakland Raiders, as Carolina falls into 25-9, 62-28 and 144-65 ATS systems of mine. The Panthers got off to a 1-5 start, but have begun to right the ship with three wins in their last four games. Still, Carolina's been burning money in Vegas, as it's 2-7-1 ATS on the year, including a half-point loss last week in its 23-20 win vs. New Orleans. The Panthers know they must win to keep alive their Playoff hopes. The Raiders, on the other hand, are sitting pretty with an 8-2 record, and are in great shape to make the post-season for the first time since the 2002-03 season, when they lost to the Tampa Bay Bucs in the Super Bowl. Unfortunately for the Raiders, they're an awful 37-70 ATS at home, including 14-37 ATS vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat (including 0-3 ATS this season)! And in "win situation games," where the line is 3 points or less, our 37-14 stat zooms to 17-3 ATS. Finally, the Panthers are a solid 67% ATS on the road since 1995 off three games where they failed to cover the spread. Take the Panthers. NFL Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Patriots v. Jets +8.5 | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over New England. This will be the second of back-to-back road games for the Patriots, while New York had last week off following its home loss two weeks ago to the Los Angeles Rams. And that extra week of rest is a big factor, as the Patriots are an awful 2-10 ATS when playing without rest and favored against a rested opponent. Even better: rested division home underdogs are 14-1 ATS against unrested foes if our home dog is getting more than five points. Finally, the Jets are 25-9 ATS at home off a home loss, including 11-0 ATS as an underdog of +3 or more points. Take New York. Good luck, as always….Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Ball State v. Valparaiso -9.5 | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Crusaders minus the points over Ball State. These two teams met in Muncie, Indiana last year, and the Cardinals defeated Valpo by 3 points, 69-66. I look for the Crusaders to avenge that defeat on Sunday afternoon, as they fall into a 70.17 % revenge system of mine. Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Giants v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -140 | 76 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the New York Giants. The Browns may end up setting a new mark for futility. Not only are they winless, at 0-11, and stand a great chance to go 0-16. But they're also just 2-9 ATS on the season, and have (along with the San Francisco 49ers) the worst pointspread record in the league this year. Overall, the Browns have lost their last five games in a row to the pointspread. But I have no problem stepping in and taking the points with Cleveland this week. One reason is that home underdogs of less than 11 points are solid bets in the last five weeks of the season if they're off back to back pointspread defeats, as they've covered about 60% in this role since 1980. And another reason is that New York will be playing its first game on its opponents home field since October 9th when it lost to Green Bay, 23-16. Since then, New York has played four home games, and one game on a neutral field in London. And road teams off a win have covered just 73 of 171 games if they were at home their previous three games. Take the points with Cleveland. |
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11-27-16 | Giants v. Browns OVER 44 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 76 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Cleveland/New York Giants game, as it falls into a 106-68 ATS Totals system of mine. Additionally, the Giants come into this game off back to back 'unders,' but they've gone 'over' the total 23 of 31 games off 2 'unders,' including 15-2 'over' if the line was less than 46 points. Take the 'over.' |
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11-27-16 | 49ers +7.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers plus the points over Miami. The 49ers have lost 9 in a row (covering just once), and are 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS on the season. This afternoon, they'll match-up against a Dolphins team which has caught fire, with 5 straight wins (4-0-1 ATS). But even thought it may look 'hard' to play on San Francisco, I have no problem pulling the trigger on it, as it falls into several of my best NFL systems, with records of 289-194, 97-42 and 204-114 ATS since 1980. Additionally, Miami is a woeful 1-17 ATS at home since 2003 when they've been favored by 6+ points. And it's a poor 21-38-1 ATS at home off an upset win since 1980. Take San Francisco. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-16 | Jaguars +9 v. Bills | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Jaguars are 2-8 this season, including 5 straight losses, but they've mainly played competitive football games. Only thrice in their 10 games have they lost by more than a touchdown. We'll grab the points with Jacksonville, as it falls into a super 154-81 ATS system of mine. Additionally, teams off 5+ losses have covered 62% since 1980 as road underdogs through Week 12 of the season. Notwithstanding its record, the Jaguars still possess the league's #7-ranked defense. And it's outgained its opponents in yardage this season (337 to 323). Indeed, turnovers have been the Jags' problem, as they have a negative 15 turnover differential this season. But turnovers are often random events, and certainly can't be relied upon. This will be a close football game. Take the points. Dog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Wyoming. Last week, we cashed our Mountain West Game of the Year on Wyoming, which won outright as a double-digit underdog vs. San Diego St. But I look for a letdown tonight, on the road, vs. the Lobos, as Wyoming falls into a negative 54-105 ATS system of mine (same angle which I used yesterday on Memphis over Houston following Houston's upset win over Louisville). Even worse: the Cowboys have covered a paltry 33% on the road in conference games off an upset win since 1980, and are also 2-7 ATS their last 9 vs. New Mexico. Like Wyoming, the Lobos are also playing very good football, with five wins in their last six games (4-2 ATS). And New Mexico's an awesome 17-6 ATS vs. foes off an upset win since 1980, including a perfect 6-0 ATS since October 31, 2009. Take the points with the home dog Lobos. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-16 | Utah +10 v. Colorado | Top | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Colorado, as Utah falls into 59-7 and 143-63 ATS systems of mine following its upset loss as a double-digit home favorite, at the hands of Oregon. But Utah had covered its previous three games before that surprising defeat, and I expect it to rebound on Saturday vs. Colorado. Indeed, the Utes are a money-making 23-7-1 ATS as road underdogs off a loss since 1987, including 10-1 ATS if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game. And Utah's 16-3 ATS as double-digit underdogs off a pointspread loss the previous week. Take the points with the Utes. NCAA Underdog of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-16 | East Carolina +21 v. Temple | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Temple. These two teams come into this game with opposite records. ECU is 3-8, while Temple is 8-3. And in Vegas, ECU is 2-8 ATS, while Temple is 9-1 ATS. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Owls and against the 'cold' Pirates. But I wouldn't do that if I were you. Indeed, teams (like Temple) off 5 or more ATS wins in a row have covered just 28 of 84 games vs. foes off 3+ ATS losses in a row. Take East Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-16 | North Texas v. UTEP +3 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the UTEP Miners + the points over North Texas. The Miners are 3-8 on the season, so they won't be going to a Bowl game. Thus, this game, in front of their home fans, will be their final one of the season. And I fully expect a big effort this afternoon. They'll face a North Texas squad which upset Southern Miss, 29-23, as a 6-point underdog last week. Unfortunately, for the Mean Green, they're 0-13 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in conference games, off an upset win, since 2005 (including 0-8 ATS on the road). Yikes! And North Texas also falls into negative 54-104 ATS 'letdown' system of mine, based on its upset win last week. Take Texas El Paso + the points. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan State v. Penn State -12 | Top | 12-45 | Win | 100 | 33 h 56 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Michigan State. We've had good success in the Nittany Lions' games this season, as we went against them at Michigan, and got the $$$ when the Wolverines blew them out, 49-10. Then, later in the season, we played on the Nitts against Iowa in PSU's 27-point win. Here, we'll lay the points with the red-hot Lions, as they've won 7 in a row, and covered their last six. In stark contrast, the Spartans have lost eight of their last nine, with their only victory against league doormat, Rutgers (does that win even count?). It's true that MSU played its heart out last week in a narrow, 1-point loss, at home to Ohio State. But things will be MUCH different on the road, in Happy Valley. MSU is a poor 19-32 ATS on the road off a home loss. Lay the points with the Nittany Lions. |
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11-26-16 | South Alabama v. Idaho -5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals minus the points over South Alabama. The Jaguars defeated Presbyterian last week, 31-7, at home, while the Vandals had last week off to rest and prepare for this contest. And that extra week of rest has triggered a super 99-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested, revenge-minded teams vs. conference opponents. And Idaho does have revenge from a 52-45 loss to the Jaguars last season -- a game the Vandals actually led by 24-0 in the 2nd quarter. The Jaguars are an awful 0-6 ATS on the road off a home win the past 3 seasons, and are 3-8 ATS their last 11 games away from home, overall. Meanwhile, Idaho has cashed 7 of its last 8 games when playing with revenge, and is a strong 75% ATS since 1999 off a win, if it was playing with revenge. Take the Vandals minus the points. Below the Radar Blowout. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Ohio State. It's true that the Wolverines have lost the last 4 meetings to their rival, Ohio State. But none of those teams were as good as this club. And it's not often that one finds the best defensive team in the country installed as an underdog. But that's the case on Saturday, as Jim Harbaugh's crew will be getting points from the Buckeyes in Columbus. And the Wolverines are the only team in the country giving up less than 11 points per game. We'll grab the points with the Maize and Blue, as revenge-minded .666 (or better) underdogs of +6.5 or more points have covered 100% percent of the time (13-0 ATS) since 1981 off a win, if their defense doesn't give up more than 13.2 ppg (at Game 10 forward). Take Michigan + the points. Big 10 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-16 | Kentucky v. Louisville -26 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Kentucky. Last week, we played against Louisville, and had our biggest play of that week on Houston, which was a 17-point underdog at home vs. Louisville. The Cougars won outright, 36-10, so the result didn't really shock us. But I love the Cardinals to bounce back off that defeat, as College Football teams favored by more than 18 points, off an upset loss on the road where they were favored by 8+ points, have covered a whopping 63% of the time over the past 37 years. Even better: Kentucky is a poor 18-26 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss, while Louisville is a super 19-8 ATS its last 27 off an upset defeat, including a perfect 7-0 when priced from -11 to -31. Take the Cardinals. High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-16 | Arizona State v. Arizona +1 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State. The Sun Devils are giving up an atrocious 38.4 points per game, yet find themselves installed as a small road favorite at rival Arizona. We'll take the homestanding Wildcats, and go against ASU, as road favorites of 13 points or less (or PK) that give up 36.9+ ppg (at Game 5 forward) have covered just 55 of 143 games since 1980, including 1-6 ATS this season. The underdog is also 23-12 in this series. Take Arizona. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-16 | Bulls -8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Philadelphia. The Bulls' six-game ATS win streak was snapped by Denver, but I look for Fred Hoiberg's crew to start a new streak at Philly tonight, as they fall into 134-58 and 188-116 ATS systems of mine which play on certain road favorites off losses. The 76ers are an awful 25-52-2 ATS as home dogs of +5 to +10 points against opponents off a SU loss, and 3-6 ATS at home vs. Chicago when the Bulls were off a loss. And Chicago has won 10 straight meetings, overall, vs. the Sixers. Take the Bulls. NBA Road Warrior. |
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11-25-16 | Virginia -11 v. Iowa | Top | 74-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers (rotation #811) minus the points over Iowa in the semifinals of the Emerald Classic, in Niceville, Florida. Fran McCaffery's Hawkeyes returned just one starter this season, but has gotten off to a 3-1 start, and is averaging over 96 ppg (the 9th best offense in the country). But that offense will be severely tested by the country's best defense -- that of the Virginia Cavaliers. UVa held three straight opponent to under 40 points in their last three games, which was just the third time a team accomplished such a feat in the past 27 years! How good is its basketball defense? There are 8 college football programs that give up more points per game! Iowa lost its only game so far this season against a Power conference school (Seton Hall), and will get stifled by Virginia tonight. Lay the points. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-16 | Houston v. Memphis +5 | Top | 44-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Friday, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Houston. Last week, we had our #1 play of the entire week on the Houston Cougars over Louisville. Houston went off as a 17-point underdog vs. the then-No. 3 ranked Cardinals, but won outright by a 36-10 score! However, off that most impressive victory, we'll switch gears and actually go against the Cougars this week as a road favorite, as I look for a massive letdown by Tom Herman's men. Certainly, the rumors surrounding the departure of the popular Houston coach won't help. The latest has him headed to LSU as a replacement for Les Miles, who was fired earlier this season. So, in his possible "swan song" at Houston, the game could actually take a bit of a back seat to the coaching carousel. But regardless of all of that "noise," the fact remains that this is a major let-down situation for the Cougars, as they fall into negative 20-49, 54-104 and 14-52 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset home wins over top-level teams. There's also a bit of uncertainty on the Memphis side with respect to who will be starting under center. First-team QB Riley Ferguson is a game time decision, though I actually believe he will play, as he has been taking snaps in practice this week. But he's recovering from a concussion, so there's always the chance he won't be deemed to be fully recovered on game day, and backup Jason Stewart will get the call. Regardless, we'll grab the points with the home dog in this early game on Friday. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-16 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Carolina Hurricanes. With a five-game winning streak heading into this game tonight in Montreal, this is indeed rare territory for the Carolina Hurricanes. But despite the recent streak, this team was just 3-10 before that, so they're still struggling with a losing record and sitting in seventh place (out of eight teams) in the ultra-tough Metropolitan Division. That win streak featured victories over the Capitals, Sharks, and tonight's opponents back home in Raleigh. But winning down south is a much different scenario than trying to pull one off up in Montreal at the Bell Centre - one of the toughest places for opposing teams in the NHL. And especially this season as the Habs are 11-1-1 in 13 games here in front of the home faithful. The 'Canes were very fortunate in that home win over Montreal last Friday as they were woefully out-shot by almost a 2-1 margin (33-18) but somehow managed to win by a 3-2 score. The Bell Centre has not been kind to the 'Canes as they are 0-6 in their last six trips here. The home team is also 4-1 in the last five meetings. Take the Canadiens. NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over the Washington Redskins. The Cowboys are currently riding a nine-game SU/ATS win streak, which started against these Redskins on Sept. 18. Dallas upset Jay Gruden's men, 27-23, that afternoon, and has not looked back since. This afternoon, the Redskins will visit AT&T Stadium to try to avenge that defeat. Washington is also playing great football, as it's 6-1-1 its last 8 games, and 7-1 ATS. Last week, the 'Skins put up a season-high 42 points vs. Green Bay. But that's been par for the course for Green Bay of late, as it's allowed an average of 38.25 ppg over its last four games. The Redskins also defeated Minnesota two games back, 26-20. But that was Minnesota's fourth straight loss in a row at the time. The last time Washington played a team which was actually playing good football was four games back (Oct. 23) against Detroit. And that was the one game the Redskins lost in their 6-1-1 stretch. So, this will be a big step-up in class for Washington, and I don't think it will be up for the challenge. Even worse: NFL underdogs of +6 or more points, off back to back ATS wins at home, that scored 65+ points in those two previous games combined, have gone 0-12 ATS since 1980. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-16 | CS-Northridge v. Texas A&M -13.5 | Top | 73-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 2 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Cal State Northridge. This game is being played as part of the Wooden Classic, in Fullerton, California. We'll go against the Matadors, who have given up an average of 93.33 ppg in their three lined games this season. And that porous defense has triggered 117-54 and 124-66 ATS systems of mine. Texas A&M does come into this game off a narrow, 2-point loss to USC. But the Aggies are an awesome 22-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes since 1997, if the Aggies lost their previous game by less than 9 points, and weren't getting more than 9 points in the current game. Here, of course, Texas A&M has been installed as a favorite. And we'll lay the points with the Aggies. Perfect 10 Club play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-16 | Lakers v. Warriors -17 | Top | 106-149 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. To say that the Warriors will desperately want to defeat Los Angeles would be an understatement. That's because the Lakers handed the Warriors one of their only two losses of the season -- and a blowout (117-97), at that. Golden State is a terrific 23-10 ATS its last 33 when playing with revenge, and is 18-10 ATS vs. the Lakers in the last 28 meetings, including 10-3 ATS at home. Finally, the Warriors fall into a 189-110 NBA revenge system of mine. Lay the points. |
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11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder + the points over the Sacramento Kings. The Kings were gifted a win in their last game when the Toronto Raptors had their game-tying shot ruled to have occurred after the buzzer should have sounded, as the officials claimed there was a clock malfunction. In the officials' estimation, the shot was released one-tenth of a second after the buzzer should have sounded. The Raptors have appealed, and I wouldn't be surprised to actually see them win that appeal. Regardless, the Kings victory went into the books permanently for betting purposes, and that was the 3rd straight ATS win by Dave Joerger's crew. I'm going to go against the Kings tonight, as they're an awful 21-35 ATS off back to back pointspread wins, including 6-18 ATS as a favorite. Even worse: OKC comes into this game off back-to-back losses, and the Thunder are 136-94 ATS in the regular season off a loss, including 46-20 ATS on the road vs. an opponent off win. Take the points with Russell Westbrook & Co. NBA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-16 | Nuggets v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Denver Nuggets. Denver had a game last night, while Utah was rested. And that's key, as Denver is 33.9% ATS when priced from -5 to -15 points on the road against a rested division foe while the Nuggets are unrested. Even worse: the Jazz lost to the Nuggets 105-91 in Utah's last game. But NBA teams off a loss are 13-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier this season. Lay the points with Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-16 | Grizzlies -5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers come into this game off back to back wins. But they're still just 4-10 on the season. And faithful followers know I love to go against bad teams off wins, since they rarely string together a bunch of wins. The 76ers are not an exception to this general rule. Indeed, Philly is a dreadful 5-25 SU and 10-20 ATS off win. Take the Grizzlies. |
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11-23-16 | Blues v. Capitals -175 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the St. Louis Blues. If the Blues are going to break through and finally get to their first Stanley Cup Finals since their first three seasons (1967-1970), then they're going to have find a way to solve their road woes. The Blues are a very strong 8-3 at home, but they've only managed a 2-6 record in eight road games so far. At no time has this imbalance been any more obvious than in St. Louis' last dozen contests. Over that time, the Blues are 6-1 at home and 1-4 on the road, with that lone victory coming last night in Boston. The Caps looked like world-beaters in two straight home games last week, beating the Penguins and Red Wings by a combined score of 8-1. But they faltered here in their last game on Sunday as big favorites against the Blue Jackets. The time off since that upset loss should do them good as they look to begin a new streak tonight back at Verizon Center. Switching to a Western Conference team should also help them as the Caps are 5-1 in their last six vs. clubs from the West - not to mention 6-0 in their last six vs. the Central Division. The Blues are 0-4 in their last four road games while the Caps are 44-18 in their last 62 at home. Take Washington. Roadkill play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-16 | The Citadel v. Arizona State -26 | Top | 110-127 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over The Citadel. The Citadel has averaged the highest scoring games in College Basketball the last 2 seasons (last year, 179 ppg; this season, 201 ppg). In its last game, the Iowa State Cyclones scored 130, and won, 130-63 vs. the Bulldogs. I expect much of the same tonight, as The Citadel is 17-33 ATS off a loss by 20+ points, including 1-10 ATS vs. regular Nevada Rotation board teams (like Arizona State). Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-16 | BYU -6.5 v. Valparaiso | Top | 89-92 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
At midnight, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Valparaiso. These two teams met last year in the NIT Tournament semi-finals, and the Crusaders edged BYU, 72-20. We'll lay the points as BYU falls into a 30-9 ATS revenge system of mine. Moreover, BYU is 33-16 ATS since March 2000 when favored by more than 5 points, and playing with revenge. |
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11-23-16 | Tennessee -13 v. Chaminade | Top | 95-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Chaminade in the Maui Invitational Tournament, as Tennessee falls into a 123-65 ATS system of mine. Additionally, the Volunteers are a solid 97-68 ATS off a loss when matched up against an opponent with a .500 or better ATS win percentage. Take Tennessee. |
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11-22-16 | Pelicans v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over New Orleans. The Pelicans upset Charlotte, 121-116 , in their previous game. And that was the second straight win by the Pelicans, who also upset the Trail Blazers on Friday. But we will fade New Orleans at Atlanta, as the Pelicans fall into a 12-43 ATS system. What we want to do is play against a team which scored more than 116 points in its previous game, if it's off back to back wins, and its opponent is off a straight-up loss. With the Hawks in off a 10-point defeat at New York, we'll lay the points with Atlanta. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-16 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs -125 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Carolina Hurricanes. You have to go back almost three years (January 2014) to find the last time that the Hurricanes won five straight games, but that's what they're going for tonight if they can come away with a road victory in Toronto. And they'd stand a very good chance of doing it if they were playing last season's version of the Leafs. But Toronto has a better team this season and it will make Carolina's task that much more difficult although lately it's been a case of "feast or famine" for Toronto. In each of their last seven games, the Leafs have either lost while scoring one goal or less, or they've won by scoring six goals. They've accomplished the latter four times in those past seven games, and each time it has been here at the Air Canada Centre. How much better is this season's Maple Leaf club - specifically the offense - than last season's? Well, for starters, the 2015-2016 version put up six goals on only three occasions the entire regular season. Meanwhile, the 'Canes have been very strong at home this season, going 5-3 in eight games in Raleigh, but they're just 2-7 in nine road games. Take the Leafs. Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-16 | Akron +10.5 v. Ohio | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips + the points over Ohio. The Bobcats are 7-4, after losing, 27-20, at Central Michigan last week, while Akron is 5-6, on the heels of a 3-game losing streak. The Zips, therefore, need to win to gain eligibility for a bowl game. And teams with a 5-6 record, looking to become bowl-eligible, have covered 63% of the time in their final regular season game vs. foes with a win percentage of .600 (or better). And though it's true that the Zips are unsettled at the quarterback position, the pointspread, by my estimation, has been over-inflated relative to the issue at hand. Take Akron + the points. MAC Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-16 | Lightning v. Predators -120 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Tampa Bay Lightning. It's difficult when contending teams have to make tough decisions regarding surgery to star players. Such is the case with the Lightning and its star Steven Stamkos and his torn meniscus. In this case, it's Stamkos who has made the difficult decision - to have surgery to completely repair the meniscus which will result him being out four months, rather than to just have a "clean-up" procedure that would have him back in action much sooner. The Bolts have been here before as right around this time in 2013, Stamkos broke his leg and was out until March, roughly the same situation the team is faced with now. The Bolts come into tonight having won four straight road games by a combined score of 15-4, including a 3-0 win in their last game despite registering just 18 shots against the Flyers. But streaks like that (and wins in general) could be much harder to come by now with Stamkos on the shelf. Nashville has lost just once at home in regulation this season but has struggled on the road. The Preds are 4-1 in the last five meetings with the Bolts overall and 100%, 5-0, in the last five here at Bridgestone Arena. The home team is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. Take Nashville. Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-16 | Tennessee v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over the Tennessee Volunteers. The Badgers returned all five starters, and were ranked #9 in the AP Men's Basketball poll at the start of last week. But then Wisky went into Nebraska, and lost to Creighton, 79-67, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Badgers rebounded off that upset loss, at home vs. Chicago St., two days later, and now are in Hawaii for the Maui Invitational. We'll lay the points with Wisconsin, as .666 (or better) double-digit favorites, off a win, are 61% ATS the past 27 years away from home if they were upset on the road two games back. Additionally, Tennessee falls into a negative 38-90 ATS system of mine. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins UNDER 49 | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Green Bay/Washington game. The Redskins have played back to back high scoring games, while Green Bay's gone 'over' the total in its last three. But I look for a very low-scoring game on Sunday night, as road teams off 3+ overs have gone 'under' 67% vs. foes off back to back 'overs' if the line was greater than 46 points. Take the 'under.' High Roller Total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Panthers v. Rangers -179 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -179 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Florida Panthers. No sooner had the Rangers ascended to the top of the NHL Power Rankings after winning eight of nine between October 30th and November 15th did they throw in a clunker - losing in Columbus on Friday night. But that loss was at the end of a four game road trip that took them on a tour of Western Canada over four days (before heading to Ohio), so we'll chalk it up to fatigue. Now the Rangers are home for three of their next five, starting with this visit to the Big Apple from the Panthers. Florida beat the Senators in Ottawa last night despite being out-shot by a wide margin (40-23). Florida's offense should be seriously compromised tonight by the loss of LW Jonathan Huberdeau who is out until probably late January following surgery to repair an Achilles tendon injury. The Panthers have been solid at home this season (6-3) but have struggled mightily when on the road (3-6), despite their victory in Ottawa last night. The Panthers are just 1-8 in the last nine meetings and the home team is 4-1 in the last five. Take the Rangers. NHL Roadkill. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Detroit v. Florida State -24.5 | Top | 71-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Detroit, as Florida State falls into an 88-38 ATS System of mine, which plays on certain teams in games that project to be high-scoring (the over/under is 168). In its two lined games, the Titans have surrendered an average of 98 points per game. That doesn't bode well this afternoon vs. a Florida State team which has scored 99 in its lined game (and 94 ppg in its non-lined games). The Seminoles are also 33-21 ATS vs. losing teams, and 71-54 ATS vs. teams that average 77+ ppg. I look for Florida State to blow out Detroit today. NCAA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Patriots v. 49ers +12 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over New England. The Patriots have been installed as a double digit favorite, on the road at San Francisco. Last week, we grabbed the double-digits with San Francisco, and got the cash when it lost by just three at Arizona. And we also went against New England, and cashed when Seattle won outright over the Patriots. Now, New England’s on the road at San Francisco, and it’s always hard to turn down 10 or more points with a home underdog. Indeed, since 1980, double-digit home underdogs have gone 96-74 ATS. Also, teams off seven or more losses are a solid 149-108 ATS since 1980, including 47-27 ATS as a double-digit underdog. Take San Francisco + the points. Underdog Shocker. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Patriots v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the game between the 49ers and Patriots. We played on the 'under' in last week's 49ers/Cardinals game, and easily got the cash, as the game generated only 43 points. This game, as well, should be low-scoring, as San Francisco has gone 'under' in 20 of 28 home games dating back to Sept. 22, 2013, including a perfect 5-0 'under' when getting more than 5 points. Meanwhile, New England's gone 'under' 7-0 since 2008 when priced as a favorite of more than 8 points away from home. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Steelers v. Browns OVER 44 | Top | 24-9 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Steelers/Browns game. Both of these teams are in tailspins. The Browns are a horrid 0-10 and have lost their last four games to the spread. Pittsburgh also has lost its last four to the spread, and has lost its last four, straight-up, too. I look for a high-scoring game on Sunday, as the Steelers are 39-22 'over' the total following back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the 'over.' |
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11-20-16 | Titans v. Colts UNDER 53 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tennessee/Indianapolis game. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Colts won, 34-26, as a 4-point underdog. The over/under in that game was 48.5, so it went over the total. And both teams are off very high-scoring games their last time out (Titans won 47-25; Indianapolis won 31-26). I look for a relatively low-scoring game this afternoon, as games have gone 'under' the total 69% of the time over the past 37 years if the two teams combined for 50+ points in their previous meeting of the season; both teams also combined for 50+ points in their most recent game; and the over/under line was greater than 50 points. Take the 'under.' |
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11-20-16 | Bills v. Bengals UNDER 47.5 | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Bills/Bengals game. the Bills have played their last five games 'over' the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high scoring game, especially because the Bengals have gone 'over' in three of their last four games, themselves. But road teams off 5+ 'overs' have gone 'under' more than 62% of the time the past 37 years if the line was 47+ points. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-16 | Bears +7.5 v. Giants | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
t 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over New York. The Giants have won and covered four straight games, but they're now laying more than 7 points. And, in their first nine games, the most they've been favored by is 3.5. If the Giants were favored by 7.5 points in all their games this season, they would be 0-9 ATS (they haven't won a game by 8+ points yet). We'll grab the points with Chicago, as the Bears fall into several of my favorite systems, including one which is 145-94 and another which 203-112 ATS since 1980. Take Chicago + the points. |
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11-20-16 | Jaguars +6 v. Lions | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Detroit. The Lions upset division rival, Minnesota, in their last game. But I look for a letdown this afternoon, as Detroit falls into a negative 56-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins over division foes. The Lions are also a poor 33-53 ATS as favorites over .500 (or worse) non-division foes. Take Jacksonville. |
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11-20-16 | Yale v. Virginia -17.5 | Top | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Yale. The #8-ranked Cavaliers smothered St. Francis (NY) in their last game, as they held them to just 32 points in a 40-point blowout win. Now, UVa will take on the undefeated Yale Bulldogs, who check in with a 2-0 record following wins over Washington and Lehigh. But Yale allowed each of its first two opponents to shoot a combined 62 of 118 (52.5%) and has given up an average of 85.5 ppg. That doesn't bode well against a Cavaiiers squad shooting 57 of 102 (55.8%) on the season. The Cavs are a solid 8-1 ATS after allowing 60 or less points in back to back games, 9-1 at home off back to back 15-point wins, and 49-35 ATS as a home favorite. Lay it. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-16 | Bulls v. Clippers -7 | Top | 95-102 | Push | 0 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls have won and covered four straight, including back to back upset road wins over the Jazz and Trail Blazers. But I look for their streak to end tonight at Staples Center, as road dogs off back to back upset wins on the road, have covered just 40 of 111 games when playing an opponent off a win. Take Los Angeles. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-10-16 | Senators v. Kings -179 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
12-10-16 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado State -14.5 | Top | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
12-10-16 | Central Michigan v. Illinois -10 | Top | 73-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
12-09-16 | Sharks v. Ducks -103 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 64 h 3 m | Show |
12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
12-08-16 | Devils v. Canadiens -157 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
12-07-16 | Warriors v. Clippers +4.5 | Top | 115-98 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
12-07-16 | Hurricanes v. Ducks -169 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
12-07-16 | Heat v. Hawks -8 | Top | 95-103 | Push | 0 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
12-07-16 | Pistons v. Hornets -5.5 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
12-07-16 | Celtics -3.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
12-06-16 | Canadiens v. Blues -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
12-06-16 | Old Dominion v. Rhode Island -10 | Top | 39-51 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Hornets -4 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Thunder v. Hawks -2 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Wizards -5.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
12-05-16 | Stetson v. Iowa -20 | Top | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Wild -108 v. Oilers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks -7 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Flyers v. Predators -146 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 37 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Bucs v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Bills +3 v. Raiders | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
12-04-16 | Chiefs v. Falcons -4.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 17 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Denver v. Weber State -9 | Top | 57-55 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
12-03-16 | UNLV v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 73-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Panthers v. Senators OVER 5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -119 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Baylor +17.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 1 m | Show |
12-03-16 | UL-Lafayette v. UL-Monroe +7.5 | Top | 30-3 | Loss | -135 | 39 h 25 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Iowa -9 | Top | 98-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -11 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 52 h 48 m | Show |
12-03-16 | UCLA v. Kentucky -10.5 | Top | 97-92 | Loss | -113 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
12-03-16 | Temple v. Navy -3 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 60 m | Show |
12-02-16 | Wild -125 v. Flames | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
12-02-16 | Ohio +19 v. Western Michigan | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 59 h 48 m | Show |
12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings +3.5 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 37 h 31 m | Show |
12-01-16 | Islanders v. Capitals -230 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -230 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
11-30-16 | Pacers v. Blazers -7.5 | Top | 109-131 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
11-30-16 | North Carolina v. Indiana +4 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
11-30-16 | Hawks -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
11-30-16 | SMU v. Boise State +6 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
11-30-16 | Spurs -9 v. Mavs | Top | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
11-30-16 | Washington +8.5 v. TCU | Top | 71-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
11-29-16 | Wild -144 v. Canucks | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -144 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
11-29-16 | Magic +14 v. Spurs | Top | 95-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
11-29-16 | Lakers v. Pelicans -5 | Top | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
11-29-16 | Clippers -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 122-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
11-28-16 | Packers +4.5 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Flames v. Flyers -138 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Portland State v. Pepperdine -11 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Panthers +3 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 81 h 55 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Patriots v. Jets +8.5 | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Ball State v. Valparaiso -9.5 | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Giants v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -140 | 76 h 43 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Giants v. Browns OVER 44 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 76 h 43 m | Show |
11-27-16 | 49ers +7.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
11-27-16 | Jaguars +9 v. Bills | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Utah +10 v. Colorado | Top | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 40 m | Show |
11-26-16 | East Carolina +21 v. Temple | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 45 m | Show |
11-26-16 | North Texas v. UTEP +3 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Michigan State v. Penn State -12 | Top | 12-45 | Win | 100 | 33 h 56 m | Show |
11-26-16 | South Alabama v. Idaho -5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Michigan +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
11-26-16 | Kentucky v. Louisville -26 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
11-25-16 | Arizona State v. Arizona +1 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
11-25-16 | Bulls -8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
11-25-16 | Virginia -11 v. Iowa | Top | 74-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
11-25-16 | Houston v. Memphis +5 | Top | 44-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
11-24-16 | CS-Northridge v. Texas A&M -13.5 | Top | 73-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
11-23-16 | Lakers v. Warriors -17 | Top | 106-149 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
11-23-16 | Nuggets v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
11-23-16 | Grizzlies -5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
11-23-16 | Blues v. Capitals -175 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
11-23-16 | The Citadel v. Arizona State -26 | Top | 110-127 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
11-23-16 | BYU -6.5 v. Valparaiso | Top | 89-92 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
11-23-16 | Tennessee -13 v. Chaminade | Top | 95-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
11-22-16 | Pelicans v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
11-22-16 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs -125 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
11-22-16 | Akron +10.5 v. Ohio | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
11-21-16 | Lightning v. Predators -120 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
11-21-16 | Tennessee v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins UNDER 49 | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Panthers v. Rangers -179 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -179 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Detroit v. Florida State -24.5 | Top | 71-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Patriots v. 49ers +12 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Patriots v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Steelers v. Browns OVER 44 | Top | 24-9 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Titans v. Colts UNDER 53 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Bills v. Bengals UNDER 47.5 | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Bears +7.5 v. Giants | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Jaguars +6 v. Lions | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
11-20-16 | Yale v. Virginia -17.5 | Top | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
11-19-16 | Bulls v. Clippers -7 | Top | 95-102 | Push | 0 | 5 h 34 m | Show |