Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-19-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +10 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Diego State. The Aztecs come into this game with a 9-1 record, and are ranked #24 in the country. They also snuck into the rankings earlier this season (their first time since 1995), but then promptly played their worst game of the season when they lost at South Alabama, 42-24, as 19.5-point favorites. But they're on a six-game win streak, and have covered four straight games. But this will be a very difficult game for San Diego State to win. Wyoming is 7-3, with wins (and covers) in five of its last six games. And Wyoming also falls into 137-63 and 72-26 ATS systems of mine that play against certain winning teams off big ATS wins. This will be Wyoming's final home game of the season, and San Diego State is a poor 7-14 ATS vs. foes playing their final home game. The Cowboys are 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS at home since last Thanksgiving, and need to win to keep pace with Boise State and New Mexico at the top of the conference's Mountain Division (all three teams are tied at 5-1). Take the points with Wyoming. Mountain West Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-16 | Indiana +25.5 v. Michigan | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Michigan. Last week, Jim Harbaugh's men suffered their first loss of the season, as they fell at the gun by a single point, 14-13, to the Iowa Hawkeyes. Even worse for the Maize and Blue: they may have also lost their starting QB, Wilton Speight, who broke his collarbone. Regardless of who starts at QB for U-M, we're going to fade it on this Saturday. And that's because teams off a loss as an 18-point (or bigger) favorite the previous week are an awful 29.7% ATS since 1980, including 2-14 ATS when priced from -17 to -24 points. Take Indiana. Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-16 | Buffalo v. Western Michigan -35 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Buffalo. The 14th-ranked Broncos are a spotless 10-0 this season, and are one of two remaining unbeaten teams (along with Alabama). And their schedule conferred an advantage on them this week, as they haven't played for 11 days, while Buffalo will have had just seven days between its games. And undefeated teams, with a record of 8-0 or better) have covered 75% at home in the regular season since 1988 when playing with extra rest. With Western Michigan covering 13 of 15 against foes not off a SU/ATS win, we'll lay the points with the Broncos. NCAA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh -7 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Duke. We played on the Panthers last week as our "Underdog Shocker," and were rewarded not just with a cover, but an outright win as a 21.5-point underdog vs. #2 ranked Clemson. A lot of folks might look for a letdown on Saturday, but not me. First, the Panthers will be at home, and when teams suffer letdowns, they tend to happen on the road. And, second, Duke comes into this game off, arguably, a bigger win, as it defeated its absolute biggest rival -- 13th ranked North Carolina -- as a 10.5-point home underdog. Like Pitt, Duke won that game by a single point (28-27), and road underdogs are an awful 38.5% since 1980 off wins as a double-digit dog, if they're matched up against a foe also off a win. Take Pitt. |
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11-19-16 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -5 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -121 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Oklahoma State. This is a critical game for both of these teams. The 13th ranked Cowboys are 6-1 in Conference play, and are trying to stay in position to win the Big 12 Championship, while TCU still needs to win at least one more game to become eligible for a bowl game. The big factor for me is that TCU had last week off to rest and prepare, while Okie State was involved in a tough, 45-44 win vs. Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs fall into several of my best systems that involve playing on rested teams against unrested foes (with records of 43-11, 73-21, 185-119 and 111-54 ATS). Also, the Horned Frogs are a super 19-5 ATS when playing with rest in the regular season, including a perfect 8-0 ATS at home since 2007. Take TCU. High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-16 | Iowa v. Illinois +10 | Top | 28-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Iowa. The Hawkeyes pulled a big upset last week, when they stunned #3 ranked Michigan at the gun with a game-winning field goal. Of course, we weren't stunned, as we had a huge Elite Info play on the Hawkeyes. But we'll switch gears and take Illinois in a home underdog role on Saturday. Indeed, home dogs are a strong 62.2% ATS over the past 37 years vs. foes off upsets as dogs of +15 or more points (and 75% when getting more than 8 points). Take Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-16 | Clippers -7 v. Kings | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -116 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Sacramento Kings. The Clippers are playing like a very hungry, determined team this season. They've got, by far, the best margin of victory in the league (14.92), and they're way ahead of the next best team (Atlanta) in Net Rating, which measures efficiency (15.66 compared to Atlanta's 9.68). Sacramento, meanwhile, ranks 21st in margin of victory (-3.92), and 25th in Net Rating (-4.26). This is a great time to step in and take the Clippers, as they're off a rare loss in their last game. And at home, no less, as Memphis' Marc Gasol hit a go-ahead 3 pointer in the final seconds to lead Memphis to a 111-107 victory. But that loss has placed the Clippers in several of my best bounce-back systems, with records of 124-68, 95-40 and 91-32 ATS since 1990. Even worse for the Kings: they've covered their last two games, and four of their last five. But teams off back to back ATS wins are a money-burning 15-37 ATS this season. Take the Clippers. NBA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-16 | Blackhawks -150 v. Flames | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Calgary Flames. There are only two teams in the entire league with a negative differential of -1 or more per game and one of those is the home team in this contest tonight. The Flames have a -18 differential in their 18 games so far and only the lowly Canucks (at -20 in 17 games) are worse at this point. If the Blackhawks played every game like their last one on Tuesday, they would blow past that negative differential in a hurry as they lost in Winnipeg, 4-0. That doesn't happen very often as you have to go all the way back to last March 14 to find the last time Chicago was shut out in the regular season, and the fact that it was at the hands of the Jets makes it even stranger. So we'll give the 'Hawks a mulligan on that one and expect them to come back strong tonight on the road against a team that's won just three of their last nine. And in those six losses, the Flames have managed to tally a total of just six goals. That's not all that surprising considering their top returning scorer from last season, LW Johnny Gaudreau, recently suffered a broken finger and will be lost for the next six weeks. That's a huge blow to a team that is ranked 26th in the league in scoring. Chicago is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Take the 'Hawks. NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-16 | UNLV v. Boise State -28 | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over UNLV. We played on the Broncos last week vs. Hawaii, and easily got the $$$ when they blew out the Rainbow Warriors, 52-16, as 23-point favorites. They've favored again by a large margin tonight, and we will once again lay it. Boise State is 62-39 ATS off a double-digit conference win, and it's also playing its final home game of the season. That bodes well for the Broncos, as they fall into 53-17, 90-59 and 49-13 ATS "last home game" systems of mine. Meanwhile, UNLV checks in off a 69-66 upset win over Wyoming, which has triggered two negative systems of mine, with records of 45-102 and 56-100 ATS. Even worse: the Rebels are a horrid 1-15 straight-up and 2-14 ATS since 2004 when playing against an opponent in its final home game of the season, including 0-8 ATS if the Rebels are playing with revenge from a loss the previous season! Last year, Boise blew out UNLV by 28 points, as a 21-point favorite. They'll get the win and cover again on Friday. Take Boise State. Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-16 | Detroit v. Illinois -18.5 | Top | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Detroit. The Titans were blown out by 29 points by the East Tennessee State Buccaneers this past Monday, and come into this game with a 1-1 record. Illinois, meanwhile, is 3-0 following wins over SE Missouri St (81-62), Northern Kentucky (79-64) and McKendree (112-65). And the Illini are 29-6 SU and 22-9-4 ATS off back to back games where they scored more than 75 points, including 100% perfect over their last 11 games in this situation. Detroit's lost 13 straight games to Big 10 competition (covering just four of those games), and we'll go against the Titans tonight. Take Illinois. |
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11-18-16 | Pistons +9 v. Cavs | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. These two teams met in the first round of the Playoffs last season. And, even though they lost to the eventual NBA Champs 4 games to none, Detroit was very competitive in the series, with 2 of the defeats by just 2 and 5 points. Moreover, in the regular season last year, Detroit won three of the four games, including both games played here in Cleveland. We'll grab the points with Stan Van Gundy's men, as Detroit falls into 68-26 and 48-23 ATS revenge systems of mine. And the Cavs are also a terrible 28-56-1 ATS vs. division foes, including 10-29 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take the Pistons. NBA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-16 | Idaho v. Arkansas-Little Rock -10 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans minus the points over Idaho. We went against Idaho on Wednesday in its game at Northern Illinois. The Vandals shot just 31.6% and lost 63-49. And when these two teams met in Idaho last season, the Vandals also struggled offensively, as they converted just 32.2% of their shots in a 10-point loss (as a 5-point underdog). The Trojans are having no issues on the offensive end, as they're averaging 98.5 ppg on 57.8% shooting. Little Rock falls into 121-63 and 176-100 ATS systems of mine, and we'll lay the points with the Trojans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-18-16 | Jacksonville State v. TCU -16.5 | Top | 60-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Jacksonville St. The Gamecocks stunned Tulsa in their season-opening game, as they went into the Reynolds Center, and won 84-73, as a 12.5-point underdog. But Jacksonville State has come down to earth, somewhat, after that victory, as it then lost road games to Missouri State (91-65) and Western Kentucky (74-67). This will be the Gamecocks 4th straight road game, and the Horned Frogs are 30-0 SU and 67% ATS at home since 1994 vs. foes playing their fourth straight road game! And TCU is a solid 65% ATS since 1997 vs. foes that give up at least 76.5 ppg. Take the Horned Frogs. |
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11-17-16 | San Diego v. UCLA -26 | Top | 68-88 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over San Diego. UCLA ranks #3 in points per game, as it's averaging 110.5 ppg early on. And it's #8 in the country in percentage of 3-point field goals made, with a 50% ratio and 13th in overall field goal% with a conversion rate of .551. I look for the Bruins to annihilate the Toreros on Thursday, as UCLA falls into a super 95-41 ATS system of mine. Also, San Diego's covered just 31% over the past 17 seasons when matched up against an opponent which averaged 83.5 or more points per game. Take UCLA. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-16 | Seton Hall v. Iowa -1.5 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes over Seton Hall. The Hawkeyes come into this game with a 2-0 record, and have outscored their opponents by an average of 24.5 ppg. Those two wins have triggered several 'momentum' systems of mine, including one with a 145-92 ATS record, and another with a 104-51 ATS mark. Carver-Hawkeye Arena is a very difficult environment for opposing teams, and Iowa has a 58-34-1 ATS record at home in its last 93 lined games, including 20-8 ATS their last 28 non-conference games. Take the Hawkeyes. |
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11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers -3 | Top | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers minus the points over New Orleans. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Panthers were upset by Drew Brees & Co., 41-38, as a 3-point road favorite. We'll lay the points with Carolina, as the revenger has covered 7 straight in this series. Additionally, the Panthers fall into a super 64% ATS system of mine. What we want to do is play on any team which was upset by its opponent earlier in the season, if it's also off an upset loss in its most recent game. Last week, Carolina fell at home to the KC Chiefs, 20-17, as a 3-points favorite. I look for the Panthers to rebound on Thursday night. Lay the points. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 52.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Carolina/New Orleans game. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Saints won, 41-38, as a 3-point home underdog. But NFL games have gone 'under' the total a solid 69.6% of the time since 1980 if the season's previous meeting had 55+ points scored, and the over/under line in the current game was 51+ points. Take the 'under.' NFL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-16 | 76ers v. Wolves -11 | Top | 86-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Philadelphia. We played on Minny on Sunday in its blowout win over the Lakers. And i look for another rout by Tom Thibodeau's team tonight. The 76ers notched a rare win last night when they defeated the Washington Wizards. But faithful followers know I love to go against bad teams off wins, since they rarely win two in a row. The 76ers are not an exception to this general rule. Indeed, Philly is a dreadful 4-24 SU and 9-19 ATS off win, including 0-9 SU/ATS when priced from +10 to +15 points! Take Minnesota. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-16 | Louisville v. Houston +14.5 | Top | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over Louisville, as Houston falls into 28-0, 41-4 and 56-20 ATS systems of mine. This will be a very tough test for the Cardinals, who are stepping up greatly in class (from what they've experienced much of the season). The Cardinals were favored by 35, 19, 32, 25 and 34 points in their five most recent games. And none of those five foes currently have a winning record in ACC Conference play (they're a combined 8-23). Now, they're going to be playing an out-of-conference foe in Houston, which is 8-2 on the season. And one of the things I like to do is go against certain teams after playing three straight games where they were favored by 20+ points, if they're now stepping up in class against a much more competitive opponent. Indeed, I have a 53-21 ATS system on Houston as a big underdog vs. Louisville tonight which encapsulates that theory. Finally, the Cougars are 11-0-1 ATS as underdogs of +2 or more points since November 17, 2012. Take the points with Houston. NCAA Football Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-16 | Jets v. Flyers -128 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Winnipeg Jets. It's still early in the season, but so far there has been a huge difference in the success of teams from the Eastern Conference vs. the Western Conference. For example, heading into tonight, there are a total of seven teams in the East with double-digit wins, but only one team from the West that can claim that (Chicago). There are also only four teams in the West with winning records at this point (there are nine in the East). One of the teams that has benefited from the incredibly mediocre level of play in their division and conference is the Winnipeg Jets. The very luke-warm Jets (and that's being kind) are 9-9 on the season and sitting in second place in the Central, just four points behind the first-place Blackhawks. Despite a winning record vs teams from their own conference, the Jets are just 3-5 vs. Eastern teams and tonight they will play another one as they visit Philadelphia for the first time since last March. The Jets come into this game pretty banged up as no fewer than seven regulars - including six on offense - are either on the I-R, out of action, or questionable for tonight. The Jets are 0-4 in the last four meetings in Philadelphia and the home team is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. Finally, Winnipeg's an awful 1-15 after not giving up 3+ goals in either of its two previous games. Take the Flyers. NHL ELITE INFO. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-17-16 | East Carolina v. Charlotte -4.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers minus the points over East Carolina. Charlotte plays with revenge from losses to the Pirates each of the past two seasons. But those two games were at East Carolina; tonight's game is in Charlotte. The 49ers are 8-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS at home vs. ECU since 1993. And Charlotte also falls into 115-70 and 84-59 revenge angles of mine. Lay the points. |
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11-16-16 | Idaho v. Northern Illinois -7 | Top | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Idaho. The Huskies are 2-0 after edging Indiana State on Friday, and then blowing out Roosevelt, 99-55, on Monday. This will be Northern Illinois' 3rd straight home game, and it's 9-0 ATS at home off a straight-up win. And also 9-0 ATS after scoring 87 points in its previous game. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-16-16 | Penguins v. Capitals -109 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Pittsburgh Penguins. It's been an uneven start to the season for the defending Presidents Trophy Champions. Despite a 9-6 record, the Caps seem to have letdowns every week or so where their offense goes to sleep and they lose - sometimes to teams that they know they should beat. Such was the case in the Caps' last two games in Raleigh on Saturday and last night in Columbus. But they're back home tonight against their arch-rivals and defending Stanley Cup Champions, the Penguins. And the Caps #1 goalie, Braden Holtby should be rested and ready to go. After playing in 139 games in the last two seasons combined, the Caps seem intent on not starting their Vezina Trophy winning net-minder with no rest between games this Fall. Hence it was Philipp Grubauer who was in net for each of those last two losses. Pittsburgh is just 3-3 on the road so far this season, while the home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings of these two. Take DC. NHL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-16-16 | UMass Lowell v. Indiana -28 | Top | 78-100 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Massachusetts Lowell. Number 6-ranked Indiana upset Kansas in overtime, 103-99, at the Armed Forces Classic in Honolulu on Friday. Now, they're back in their home state for four games, as part of the Indiana Classic, which will be played over the next week-and-a-half. The Hoosiers have been dominant at home vs. non-conference foes, as they're 83-53 ATS since 1990, including 8-2 their last 10, and 29-11 their last 40. Indiana's also 31-16 ATS at home when laying 11+ points. Take the Hoosiers. |
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11-16-16 | Brown v. Rhode Island -24.5 | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams minus the points over Brown. These two Ocean State schools are located less than 30 miles from each other. And this will be the 158th meeting between these schools since 1909. Since 1990, the home team has dominated, with a 16-8 ATS record, including 9-3 ATS when the Rams have hosted. And the home team is 4-0 ATS when laying more than 15 points. The #21-ranked Rams come into this game off a 42-point win over Marist, and fall into a 104-50 ATS 'momentum' system of mine. They're also a perfect 8-0 ATS in the regular season off a win in which they scored 80+ points. Lay the points with the Rams. |
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11-15-16 | Portland v. San Jose State -2.5 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans minus the points over Portland. San Jose blasted West Coast Baptist by 39 points on Saturday, and that blowout win has placed the Spartans in several of my favorite systems, including one which is 103-48 ATS, and another which is 105-55 ATS since 1990. Portland also won its home opener this past Friday, as it downed Cal Riverside, 71-55, as a 7-point favorite. But the Pilots are a poor 1-10 ATS off a home win, including 0-7 ATS away from home! Take San Jose State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-15-16 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee -8.5 | Top | 81-87 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Murray St. Middle Tennessee plays this game with revenge from an 11-point loss At Murray State last season. And the Blue Raiders fall into 82-55 and 113-66 ATS revenge systems of mine. Middle Tenn is also 63.1% ATS at home when playing with revenge, including 80% ATS vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points. |
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11-15-16 | Ohio v. Central Michigan +1 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas over Ohio. The Bobcats have won and covered their last 3 games, while Central Michigan comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses. But Central Michigan will be playing its final home game of the season tonight. And I love betting on teams off a loss, if they're playing their final home game of the season, and they're off 3 ATS losses, overall, while their opponent is off 3 ATS wins. Those home teams have covered 76.1% since 1980 when not laying more than 3 points. The Chippewas also fall into 121-76, 66-41 and 55-15 ATS systems of mine. Take Central Michigan. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-15-16 | Kent State -3 v. Bowling Green | Top | 7-42 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Bowling Green. The Falcons snapped a 7-game losing streak with a road win at Akron last Wednesday. But that upset win has triggered several negative systems of mine, with records of 147-62, 159-69 and 162-75 ATS since 1980. The key last week was that Akron coughed up the football six times. But I wouldn't expect such good fortune to occur two weeks in a row. And especially since Bowling Green has only won the turnover battle twice in its 10 games this season, while Kent State has only lost the turnover battle three times in its 10 games. The Falcons are also a dismal 2-11 ATS following a game where they forced 5 or more turnovers. Take Kent State. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-15-16 | Maryland v. Georgetown -5.5 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas minus the points over Maryland. The Hoyas come into this game off a 105-60 win over South Carolina Upstate, and that 45-point win has triggered 119-56 and 95-39 ATS systems of mine. This is also a big revenge game for Georgetown, as it lost to its Washington DC-area rival by four points last season, 75-71. And the Hoyas have covered 86% over the past 10 years when playing with revenge against a non-conference foe. Take the Hoyas. |
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11-14-16 | Charlotte v. Elon -4 | Top | 100-95 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix minus the points over Charlotte. Elon blew out William Peace, 101-68, on Friday, and we'll back the Phoenix at home, tonight, vs. Charlotte. Elon falls into 104-46, 104-52 and 95-37 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine following its big win against William Peace. Moreover, Elon's a super 67% off a win by 9+ points, if its opponent is also off a win. Take Elon tonight. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-14-16 | Villanova v. Purdue +2 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Villanova. The Wildcats won the National Championship last season, but it's a new year. And this road game in West Lafayette against Purdue will be extremely difficult for the Wildcats to exit with a win. Purdue falls into a 102-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, early in the year off blowout wins (Purdue won 109-65 in its home opener vs. McNeese St). And the Boilermakers are a super 37-19-2 ATS their last 58, including a perfect 9-0 ATS at home off a home game. Take Purdue. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | CS-Northridge v. UCLA -19 | Top | 87-102 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on the Pac-12 Network, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Northridge State. Reggie Theus' Matadors got off on a winning note when they defeated Pomona Pitzer, 96-72, on Friday. But that game was at home, and they now have to play UCLA at Pauley Pavilion. These two teams met at this venue last November, and the Bruins crushed the Matadors, 77-45, as an 18.5-point favorite. That was the 3rd straight SU/ATS win by UCLA in this series, as it also won by 26 and 33 points (as 14 and 17.5-point favorites) in the two meetings prior to last season. UCLA also won its opener, 119-80, against Pacific, as a 17-point favorite. And the Bruins converted a school-record 18 field goals from long distance, and 29 assists. UCLA falls into a terrific 95-36-3 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins, while Northridge is a horrid 8-24-1 ATS vs. non conference foes since 2012. Take the Bruins. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks + the points over New England. The Seahawks fall into several of my best systems, with records of 95-42, 174-96 and 146-67 ATS since 1980. Additionally, the Patriots, with a record of 7-1 (.875) fall into several negative systems of mine, including one which is 38% ATS since 1999, and another which is 52-113 ATS since 1980. That 38% ATS angle plays against favorites of more than 7 points in the 2nd half of the regular season, with an .875 (or better) record. Take Seattle. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | Lakers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 99-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the LA Lakers. This is a great spot to fade the Lakers, who won their last two games outright as an underdog. But road underdogs off back to back upset wins on the road are generally bad bets. And it also won't help the Lakers tonight that they had to play last night in New Orleans, and must travel north to Minnesota for this game (The T-Wolves played last night, but that game was here, at home, so no travel was needed). Indeed, unrested road dogs have covered just 34% over the past 27 years off back to back upsets on the road. Take the T-Wolves. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | Canadiens v. Blackhawks -160 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Montreal Canadiens. Except for a completely inexplicable 10-0 loss at the hands of the Blue Jackets a little over a month ago, the Canadiens have been about as close to perfect in the first month of an NHL Season as a team can be. But despite a 12-1-1 record and an Eastern Conference-best 2.14 Goals-against, there is more than one reason to like the Blackhawks at home tonight. First, there is the very obvious fact that the Habs haven't beaten the 'Hawks in almost three years (January 11, 2014), losing each of the last five meetings. Second, Montreal's drought in Chicago is much, much longer and in fact you have to go all the way back to February 2002 to find the last time that the Canadiens have won in the Windy City. Third, despite their prefect home record this season (10-0), the Canadiens have lost two of their five road games - in Ottawa and the afore-mentioned blowout in Columbus - and neither of those teams is quite on the level of the Blackhawks. Finally, the home team is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings. Take the Blackhawks. Hockey Roadkill Play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | Cowboys v. Steelers -3 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the Dallas Cowboys. Yes, the Steelers have lost their last three games, both straight-up and against the spread. And, yes, the Cowboys have won and covered their last seven games, never failing to score at least 24 points in any of those wins. But I look for Dallas' win streak to come to an end in the Steel City. One of the things I love to do is go against NFL teams off 4 straight wins and covers, if they're on the road against a .500 or better team, and they scored 24 or more points in each of their previous four victories. Our red-hot road teams in this situation have only covered 12 of 40 games since 1980, including 6-21 ATS when not favored by more than 3 points. Even better for Pittsburgh: it's 50-30 ATS vs. opponents with a win percentage greater than .730, including 39-20 ATS vs. non-division foes. Take the Steelers. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | 49ers +14 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the SF 49ers + the points over Arizona. The Niners have lost 7 straight against the spread. Even worse: they've failed to cover their last three games by 21.5, 18 and 13 points. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against San Francisco, but teams that failed to cover their last three games by 10+ points are a super 69% as dogs of +4 or more points since 1980. Take the points with San Francisco. |
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11-13-16 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 48 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Niners/Cardinals game, as it falls into a 108-58 Totals system of mine. Additionally, teams (like San Francisco) that have gone 'over' the total by 5+ points in each of their previous four games have gone 'under' in their next game 60% of the time since 1980 if the line was 44+ points. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | Dolphins v. Chargers UNDER 48.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami/San Diego game 'under' the total, as it falls into a 68% ATS systems of mine. What we want to do is play on the under if one of the team's last game totaled more than 77 points, and its opponent's previous game totaled more than 49 points. With the Chargers in off a 43-35 win over Tennessee, and the Dolphins in off a 27-23 victory over the Jets, we'll take the 'under' this afternoon. |
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11-13-16 | Falcons v. Eagles | Top | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles over the Atlanta Falcons. The Eagles are 4-4 on the season, but will have an opportunity to get back on the winning track at home following two losses on the road. And home teams, with a .500 or better record, have been terrific over the past 37 years off back to back road defeats. They’ve covered 88 of 150 games, 59 percent, including 32-8 ATS when matched up against an opponent which won, and covered the spread in its last game by 7 or more points. Take Philadelphia. NFL Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-13-16 | Bears v. Bucs +2.5 | Top | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over the Chicago Bears. Last week, Tampa Bay lost 43-28 to the Falcons. But we'll grab the points with the Bucs, as home dogs have cashed 66% in non-division games the past 37 seasons after giving up more than 40 points in their previous game. Take Tampa Bay. NFL Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | California v. Washington State -14.5 | Top | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over California. Mike Leach's Cougars have been dominant since stumbling out of the gate with an 0-2 record. Since the, Wazzu has ripped off seven straight wins. They've also covered five of their last eight games. Their very best win was last week when they destroyed Arizona 69-7, as a 14-point favorite. They'll now take on the defensively-challenged Bears, who gave up 66 points to Washington last week (and who have given up 47, 49, 45 and 66 points in their last four games). I look for Washington State to blow the doors off of Cal, as Wazzu falls into 179-79, 116-40 and 15-1 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine. And California is a dreadful 9-18 ATS when the O/U line is greater than 65 points. Take Washington State. Pac-12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | Michigan v. Iowa +21.5 | Top | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan, as the Hawkeyes fall into 86-47, 130-69 and 135-63 ATS systems. At the start of the season, I predicted that the University of Michigan would win the National Championship (at 12-1 odds). Certainly, it is in great shape after starting the season 9-0. But this will be its toughest road game of the season-to-date. And Iowa comes into this game at Kinnick Stadium off back to back losses. The Hawkeyes are a solid 11-2 ATS as home dogs of +3.5 or more points off back to back losses, and 30-17-1 ATS since 1980 off back to back ATS losses when not laying 5+ points. Even better: they're 32-10 ATS in Conference games off a road loss by more than 8 points (including 13-1 ATS since 2001). Meanwhile, Michigan is a poor 10-25-1 ATS on the road off a Big 10 Conference win. Take Iowa. Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | LSU -7 v. Arkansas | Top | 38-10 | Win | 103 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Arkansas. Last week, Arkansas blew out Florida, 31-10, while the Tigers lost a very hard-fought game to Alabama. The score in the LSU/Alabama game was 0-0 through three quarters, but Alabama scored 10 points in the fourth quarter to win 10-0. I look for Louisiana State to bounce back off that shutout defeat, as road favorites of -3 or more points have covered 68% off a shutout loss over the past 37 years. And, even though there’s nothing wrong with 68%, we can improve our stat to a perfect 100%, 11-0 ATS if our opponent won its last game by 4 or more points, which Arkansas did. Take LSU minus the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | Boise State -17.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 52-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors were shut out last year by Boise, 55-0. And they also lost last week, 55-0, to San Diego State! Hawaii has not been bouncing back off losses, lately, as it's 3-11 ATS its last 14 off a defeat. Meanwhile, Boise's 71-44 ATS off a conference win, and it falls into a system of mine which is 14-0 ATS its last 14. That angle plays on certain .801 (or better) teams off an ATS loss. Lay the points with Boise. |
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11-12-16 | South Florida v. Memphis +3 | Top | 49-42 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over South Florida, as Memphis falls into 99-55 and 102-44 ATS systems of mine. The Tigers got off the schneid last week when they smashed SMU 51-7, as a 3-point favorite, to move to 6-3 on the season. And that big, 44-point blowout win is a 'buy signal' for me. Especially when one looks at the South Florida defense, which has given up 46 and 45 points in its last two games, and over 30 ppg for the season. Unfortunately for the Bulls, road favorites have only covered 34 of 100 games if their defense gives up 28+ points per game, and their opponent has a win percentage greater than .560. Take Memphis. Below the Radar Blowout. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. Louisiana Tech -21.5 | Top | 35-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over Texas San Antonio. The Bulldogs have won six in a row, and covered their last five. And I certainly won't step in front of this freight train, here, at home. In its last five games, the Bulldogs have scored 55, 56, 44, 61 and 45 points! That bodes well for La Tech today, as home teams have covered 61% of regular season conference games over the past 37 years if they're off 3 SU/ATS Wins, and scored 150+ points in those 3 victories. Additionally, the Bulldogs are 25-12 ATS as a home favorite of -6+ points. Take La Tech. Conference USA Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -3.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 102 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Tigers have lost their last 5 games (both SU and ATS), yet find themselves installed as a favorite vs. Vandy, which covered last week at Auburn (losing 23-16, as a 25-point dog). It may look tough to take the Tigers, given how they've burned money in Vegas, but home favorites off ATS losses in each of their previous five games have covered a sensational 61% over the past 37 years vs. foes off an ATS win. And Missouri's an awesome 25-8 ATS when favored at home off a loss. Take the Tigers. NCAA Football Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | Pittsburgh +21 v. Clemson | Top | 43-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Clemson, as the Tigers fall into a negative 69-130 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain .900 (or better) teams off big wins. Last week, the Tigers shut out Syracuse 54-0, but undefeated favorites of more than 18 points, off shutout wins, have only covered 36 of 100 at home since 1980. And while Pittsburgh was blown out last week, 51-28, by Miami, I look for it to bounce back, as winning teams are 51-24 ATS double-digit road dogs vs. conference foes if they're off a conference road loss by more than 20 points. Take Pittsburgh + the points. Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-12-16 | Rice v. Charlotte -10.5 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers minus the points over Rice. The 49ers are on a roll, as they've covered their last four games, including a stunning 38-27 win at Southern Miss last week, as a 17-point underdog. Some might look for a letdown, but not me. Since 1980, double-digit favorites are a super 60-37 ATS at home in Conference games following an upset win on the road as a dog of more than 6 points, if they're playing an opponent off a loss. Rice comes into this game off back to back losses, and 3 straight ATS losses. Lay the points with Charlotte. |
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11-12-16 | South Carolina v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over South Carolina. It's true that the Gators are banged-up, including at the quarterback position, where Austin Appleby will get the start for an injured Luke Del Rio. Regardless, we'll lay the points with Florida, as it falls into an 85-43 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to bounce back off a pointspread loss when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Additionally, the Gators' defense has been sensational at home this season. In its 4 home games, it's allowed 7, 7, 0 and 14 points (7 ppg) compared to 25 ppg in its 3 games on its opponent's home field. Meanwhile, in South Carolina's three road games, it has scored 13, 14 and 10 points (compared to 22.67 ppg in its home games). Take Florida. HIGH NOON HANGING! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-11-16 | San Diego v. San Diego State -19 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
At 11 pm, on ESPN-U Television, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over San Diego. These two cross-town rivals met last season, and the Toreros stunned the Aztecs in the inaugural Bill Walton Festival at Petco Park with a 53-48 upset win (as a 17-point underdog). But that upset will be fresh in the minds of the Aztecs in this season-opener tonight. And SDSU falls into a 94.1% ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams. Before defeating SDSU last season, the Toreros had lost nine straight to the Aztecs, and they're 2-5-1 ATS on the road vs. San Diego State the past 17 years. Take the Aztecs. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-11-16 | Pistons v. Spurs -9 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Detroit Pistons. The Spurs surely are in a funk, as they've lost their last three home games. Tony Parker missed the last few games, but will return tonight (though Danny Green will be rested after returning to action vs. Houston). We'll play on the Spurs to bounce back vs. Detroit, as San Antonio falls into 191-112 and 89-39 ATS "bounce-back" situations. Additionally, San Antone has covered 75.8% at home since 1990 off a home loss when matched up against foes off back to back losses (which Detroit is). Take the Spurs. |
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11-11-16 | Clippers -4.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the OKC Thunder. The Thunder have been the only team to defeat the Clippers this season. So, in a revenge spot, we'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as NBA teams have cashed 64.2% since 1990 early in the season (Game 10 or earlier) when playing with revenge from an upset loss. |
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11-11-16 | Cavs -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington. We played against the Cavs earlier this week, and got the cash with the Atlanta Hawks, who upset Cleveland, 110-106. But off that upset loss, the Cavs fall into several strong ATS systems of mine, with records of 119-56 and 83-37 ATS. Moreover, road favorites are a solid 131-91 ATS their last 222 off a SU/ATS loss when matched up against a foe off a win. Washington's Bradley Beal is questionable to play tonight after leaving the last game with tightness in his hamstring. He had an MRI yesterday, and he does hope to play tonight, but he may not be fully healthy. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-10-16 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -137 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Baltimore Ravens. Yes, the Browns have yet to win a ballgame. But I love them as a huge underdog tonight at Baltimore. Indeed, since November 18, 1984, road underdogs of more than 7 points are 19-0 ATS against foes with a win percentage between .450 and .850, if our road dog has an 0-7 (or worse) record. And our winless teams have covered, on average, by 10.55 ppg. Take the points with the Browns. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-10-16 | Islanders v. Lightning -165 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the New York Islanders. Expectations were high for the Isles coming into this season after they won 45 games and tallied 100 points in 2015-2016. But so far we're still waiting to see a positive encore for the team that features one of the game's brightest stars in Center John Tavares. Despite putting up close to a point per game (11 points in 13 games), Tavares hasn't been able to be the difference-maker he's been for this team in the past five years as the Isles are floundering with a 5-8 record with only the Carolina Hurricanes keeping them out of the cellar of the Metropolitan Division. New York's biggest problem so far has been its inability to do much of anything when playing on the road. The Isles are 0-3 away from Brooklyn so far and they've managed to average just 2.0 goals per game on visiting ice. That doesn't bode well for them as five of their next seven games are away from New York, starting with a very tough visit to central Florida tonight. The Isles are 0-5 in the last five meetings with the Bolts, including two in Tampa. The Islanders are also 0-4 in their last four games vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Bolts. NHL ROADKILL WINNER. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-10-16 | UL-Lafayette +8 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns + the points over Georgia Southern. Last week, the Cajuns were upset at home by Idaho, 23-13, as a 4-point favorite. Elijah McGuire (727 yards, 5 TDs) was a bit banged-up in that game, and mustered only 55 yards rushing. But he's been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's game, and that bodes well for the Cajuns, as he's the school's 2nd leading rusher in its history. Additionally, the Cajuns fall into a 97-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road underdogs to bounce back off upset home losses. Take the points with La-Lafayette. NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-16 | Bowling Green v. Akron -9 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Akron minus the points over Bowling Green. Bowling Green has won just one game this season -- and by a single point, 27-26. That game was against Division II foe, North Dakota. So, the Falcons are 0-8 this year against Division 1 foes. They're also an awful 2-7 ATS. This will be Akron's final home game of the season. And it's won (and covered) its Final Home Game the past 3 seasons. The Zips are 5-5 on the season, and need at least one more win to become bowl eligible. Akron falls into a 38-15 ATS 'revenge' system of mine. Take the Zips minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-16 | Toledo -6.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over the Northern Illinois Huskies. Toledo hasn't beaten the Huskies since 2009, but they fall into a 67-38 ATS Revenge system of mine. The Rockets are 7-2 on the season, and come into this game off a 48-17 win last Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Huskies are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS. Toledo's a super 46-19 ATS when priced from -3 to -30.5 points against foes that didn't own a winning SU or ATS record, including 6-0-1 ATS over the past 2 years. Take Toledo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Hawks | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Atlanta. Yesterday, we had our big 'revenge' play on the Atlanta Hawks, who paid back the Cleveland Cavaliers for losing to the Cavs in last year's Playoffs. But off that huge, emotional win, we'll fade Atlanta tonight, at home, vs. Chicago. Atlanta falls into a negative 12% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off revenge wins. And Atlanta is also a horrid 30.7% ATS when priced from -3 to -10 points off an upset win the night before. Take the Bulls. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-16 | Rockets v. Spurs -7.5 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston. The Spurs come into this game off a horrible game, at home, last Saturday vs. the Clippers. They lost 116-92. But San Antone generally bounces back off bad games. To wit: it's 37-8 ATS off a loss by more than 14 points, if it's at home against an opponent not off a SU/ATS loss. The Rockets won at Washington, 114-106, their last time out. But this will be Houston's 5th straight road game. Take the Spurs minus the points. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-09-16 | Senators v. Sabres OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa/Buffalo game 'over' the total. On the surface, this might look like it will be a low-scoring game. After all, these two teams met just last Saturday, and Buffalo won, 2-1. Since that game, the Sabres gave up 4 goals in a 4-0 loss at Boston, while Ottawa gave up three goals at Nashville, in a 3-1 defeat. I love the 'over' tonight, as there's great line value. In fact, 11 of Ottawa's 12 games this season have had a line of 5.5 goals. The Senators have gone 'over' in 10 of 15 games off back to back 'unders,' while the Sabres have gone 'over' in 23 of 35 games off a loss by more than 2 goals. Take the 'over.' NHL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-08-16 | Hawks +9 v. Cavs | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Last year, the Hawks were swept out of the Playoffs by Cleveland (for the 2nd straight season). Tonight, Atlanta will look to get a measure of revenge, and they've been installed as a big underdog. We'll grab the points with Mike Budenholzer's men, as underdogs of +8 or more points have cashed 66% over the past 26 years if they're playing with revenge from a playoff series defeat to their opponent the previous season. Take Atlanta. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-07-16 | Bills v. Seahawks -6 | Top | 25-31 | Push | 0 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Seahawks lost last week, at New Orleans, 25-20, as a 1-point favorite. And that continued an overall poor spate of play on the road. Seattle's just 1-3 SU away from home this season. But the Seahawks have yet to lose at home (3-0), and they're back home tonight following two road tilts at Arizona and New Orleans. We'll lay the points with the Seahawks as home teams are 22-1 ATS vs. opponents with a win percentage between .410 and .710, if our home team has a better record than its opponent and is off back to back road games. Seattle's also 14-5-2 ATS on Mondays (including 8-1-1 ATS off a loss). Take the Seahawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-07-16 | Sabres v. Bruins -160 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Buffalo Sabres. It's another new NHL Season and when you look at the standings you will see something that you're not always used to seeing. The Buffalo Sabres are not in last place in their division and in fact their 12 points in 11 games not only puts them in a tie with tonight's opponent, it also puts them just three points behind the Lightning for second place in the Atlantic. The Bruins had their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with a 5-2 loss to the red-hot Rangers while the Sabres have won four of their last five - three of those on the road. But those victories have come against some pretty bad teams and although the Bruins have logged the same point total as the Sabres, Boston is a better team than its 6-5 record would indicate. Buffalo could stand to receive some scoring from its blue line, as the team's defensemen have yet to register a goal through 11 games. And Buffalo's offense has been bitten by the injury bug as well with five front-line regulars either out or questionable for this game tonight. The Bruins are 8-3 in their last 11 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game and the Sabres are 2-7 in the last nine meetings. Take Boston. NHL Elite Info. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-06-16 | Oilers v. Red Wings -144 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Red Wings over the Edmonton Oilers. The Oilers started out the season like a house on fire, winning eight of their first nine games while outscoring their opponents by 27-11 in those victories. But it's a long season, and now the injuries are starting to creep in to the Edmonton lineup, with no fewer than nine of their rostered players either day-to-day, out indefinitely, or on the I-R for various maladies. The Red Wings started the season pretty much the same way as the Oilers did, winning six of their first eight games, but they've really fallen on some hard times lately, losing their last four contests - three of which have been here at home. The Wings somewhat inexplicably decided to make Petr Mrazek the starting goalie earlier this season and longtime #1 net-minder Jimmy Howard had no problem with it, despite the fact that he had been pretty stellar in the games he'd played. Now, with Mrazek struggling mightily, Detroit will look once again to its veteran goalie to help them out. Chances are that Howard is up to the task. The Oilers are 6-20 in the last 26 meetings as well as 7-22 in the last 29 meetings in Detroit. The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Take the Red Wings. ROADKILL Play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-06-16 | Titans v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-43 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tennessee/San Diego game, as it falls into 115-61 and 108-57 Totals Systems of mine. Additionally, the Titans have gone 'over' the total in their last 5 games. But teams off 4+ 'overs' have gone 'under' the total 57.86% since 1980 if the Line was 44+ points. Meanwhile, the Chargers have gone 'under' 115-64 vs. AFC Conference foes since Dec. 1987. Take the 'under.' High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-06-16 | Saints v. 49ers +5 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over New Orleans. This is a great spot to take the home underdog 49ers, as they had last week off to rest and re-group from their upset loss to Tampa Bay 2 weeks ago, while the Saints played a tough game last Sunday against Seattle. It's true the 49ers are just 1-6 SU/ATS on the season (while New Orleans is 3-4 SU and 4-2-1 ATS). But bad teams have been sensational as RESTED home underdogs. Since the bye week was established in 1990, rested home dogs of more than 4 points that don't have a .400 (or better) record, have gone 30-9 ATS when matched up against an unrested foe. Even better: if they're playing a team with a winning ATS record, then our 30-9 mark zooms to 25-3 ATS! Finally, the Niners are 64-31-2 ATS off an upset loss, including 14-2 when priced as an underdog of +7 or less points (or PK). Take San Francisco. NFC Conference Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-06-16 | Cowboys v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 35-10 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Dallas Cowboys. After dropping its season opener to the New York Giants, the Cowboys have ripped off six straight wins and covers, including an overtime victory at home last week vs. Philadelphia. But teams off 6 straight wins and covers have historically been poor against the spread vs. foes off a straight-up loss, as they've covered just 39.3% since 1980. Even worse for the Cowboys: Cleveland's yet to win a game, but teams with an 0-7 (or worse) record are an awesome 27-10 ATS when getting more than 6 points. Take Cleveland + the points. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Alabama v. LSU +8 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide have done little wrong this season, and are clearly the nation's best team. They're not only 8-0 SU, but they're 6-2 ATS, and have covered the spread by an average of 7 ppg. But don't be surprised if they lose outright on Saturday night to the 5-2 Tigers. There are many reasons to think Ed Orgeron's squad will be able to get the win in Baton Rouge. First, they had last week off, and fall into several of my best systems that play on certain rested home teams. Second, even though they've lost twice, both were by less than a touchdown, away from home, against teams currently ranked among the Top 10 (Wisconsin, Auburn). But LSU currently rides a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, including a 38-21 blowout of Ole Miss, as a 9-point favorite, in their last game. And, LSU also falls into a jaw-dropping 28-0 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back wins against opponent that have covered the spread, on average, by more than 3 ppg. Finally, the Tigers are 8-0 ATS in Baton Rouge after scoring more than 34 points in their previous game. Take LSU. SEC Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | East Carolina v. Tulsa -9.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane minus the points over East Carolina. The Golden Hurricane are on a roll, with wins in five of their last six games (and ATS wins in their last three). Last week, Tulsa went into Memphis, and smoked the Tigers, 59-30, as a 6-point road dog. And that followed a 50-27 blowout of Tulane two weeks ago, as a 10.5-point favorite. This week, Tulsa will look to get a big monkey off its back, as it's lost the previous six meetings to the Pirates. But Tulsa falls into 51-20 and 66-38 ATS revenge systems of mine. Even better: since 1980, home teams have cashed 70.9 percent of the time off back to back double-digit wins and covers, if they scored more than 100 points over those two victories, and the line in the current game was less than 18 points. Finally, the Pirates are a wallet-busting 0-10 ATS since Nov. 29, 2013 in conference games when not favored by 6+ points. Take Tulsa. AAC Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Iowa v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Iowa. Penn State's played just one game the entire season. And that was at Michigan (a game I attended in person), when it lost 49-10, as a 16-point underdog. We actually had a big play on the Wolverines that day, so PSU's poor performance didn't surprise me. But look at the Nitts' other seven games. They won by 20 over Kent St. in their opener (as a 24-point fave), and then pushed the 3-point spread at Pitt in their next game. Then, in their two games sandwiched around the Michigan loss, they won 34-27, as an 8.5 point favorite vs. Temple, and 29-26, as a 3.5-point favorite vs. Minnesota. So, yes, they were 0-4-1 ATS to start the season -- but three of their four ATS losses were by a combined 6 points. Since then, they've rolled. They blew out Maryland, 38-14, as a 2-point underdog, before upsetting Ohio State, 24-21, as a 17.5-point dog. Many thought they would suffer a letdown last week. But they had their best game of the season when they went into West Lafayette, and walloped Purdue, 62-24, as a 14.5-point favorite. That was PSU's 3rd straight cover (by an average of 23.33 ppg), and I won't step in front of this freight train, and especially not at home when laying a reasonable number. Indeed, single-digit home favorites are a reliable 73% ATS over the past 37 years following a SU/ATS win the previous week, in which they scored 60+ points. Take Penn State. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Florida State v. NC State +6 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Florida State, as it falls into a 50-14 ATS system of mine. The Seminoles lost a huge emotional game vs. the #2-ranked Clemson Tigers last week. Florida State had an 8-point lead in the 4th quarter, but collapsed, and lost 37-34. I think it will be extremely difficult for the Seminoles to pick themselves off the mat for this road game, as that loss all but eliminated them from the Atlantic Division title race. Indeed, the Seminoles fall into a negative 1-15 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off close losses to undefeated teams. Even worse: NC State has lost three straight in this series, but falls into a 70-31 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain .428 (or better) revenge-minded home teams off a loss. Finally, the Wolfpack are a solid 25-12 ATS when playing with revenge from a conference loss, while Florida State is 1-10 ATS as a favorite off an ATS win. Take NC State + the points. NCAA Roadkill play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Oregon v. USC -17 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Oregon. Oregon brought in ex-Michigan head man Brady Hoke to coordinate its defense. And the results have not been good. Oregon is allowing an eye-opening 46 ppg, which is the primary reason it has only covered the spread in one of its eight games this season. We've gone against the Ducks a few times this season (because of its swiss cheese defense), and will do so once again tonight. Southern Cal, no doubt, will be seeking a measure of revenge after being blown out by Oregon the past 2 meetings. Last year, the Ducks won 48-28, in Eugene. And they also won here in Los Angeles, 62-51, in the meeting before that. But Oregon was the better team those seasons, and were favored in each game. Indeed, USC hasn't been favored to win vs. Oregon since 2009. And the last 3 games the Trojans were favored by double-digits vs. Oregon, they won by 34, 25 and 32 points, easily covering all 3 by an average of 15.17 ppg. Oregon falls into negative 44-101 and 55-98 ATS systems of mine that play against certain teams with bad defenses playing away from home. The Trojans have cashed 71% at home over the past 23 seasons off back to back ATS wins. Lay the points with USC. Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Charlotte v. Southern Miss -19.5 | Top | 38-27 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi minus the points over Charlotte. The Golden Eagles failed to cover the spread for the 4th straight game last week, when they bested Marshall, 24-14, but lost ATS as a 17-point favorite. We'll lay the points with the Golden Eagles, as they fall into 66-30 and 73-24 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off 4+ ATS losses. Additionally, Charlotte comes into this game off an upset win, two weeks ago, at Marshall, 27-24, as an 8-point underdog. But that upset win has triggered several "letdown" systems of mine, including one with a 30-83 ATS record since 1980. Take Southern Miss. |
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11-05-16 | TCU +8.5 v. Baylor | Top | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Baylor. The Bears were upset by the Texas Longhorns last week on a field goal with less than a minute remaining. One of the things I like to do is go against certain teams off their first loss of the season following 5+ wins to start the year, as these teams suffer emotional letdowns more often than not following their initial defeat. Indeed, Baylor falls into negative 46-83, 25-56, and 47-94 ATS "Bubble Burst" systems of mine. Moreover, TCU was upset by Texas Tech last Saturday, 27-24, as a double-digit favorite. But that upset loss has set up the Frogs in a super 141-62 ATS "Bounce Back" angle of mine. Take TCU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Oklahoma State. Last week, Oklahoma State upset previously-undefeated West Virginia, 37-20, as a 5-point underdog. But that upset win has triggered a negative 29-79 ATS system, which fades Okie State. Even worse for the Cowboys, the Wildcats under coach Bill Snyder have gone a jaw-dropping 85-46 ATS at home. Take Kansas State. |
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11-05-16 | Louisville -24.5 v. Boston College | Top | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Boston College, as Louisville falls into 55-6, 67-20, 144-62, 14-0 and 46-11 ATS Systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 46-11 ATS angle. That system plays against certain home teams, not favored by 7+ points, off an upset win as a two touchdown road underdog. Last week, Boston College went into Raleigh, and shocked the Wolfpack, 21-14, as 14-point underdogs. But off that upset win, I look for BC to get annihilated by Lamar Jackson & Co. on Saturday. The Eagles are a dismal 0-6 SU/ATS at home the past two seasons in ACC Conference games, while the Cardinals are a stellar 23-8 ATS when priced from -17 to -27 points. Lay the points with Louisville. ACC Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-05-16 | Air Force +2 v. Army | Top | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons over Army. Last week, Air Force moved to 5-3 on the season with a 31-21 win at Fresno State. But Army failed to cover the 16.5-point spot. Meanwhile, the Black Knights pulled a huge upset last Saturday when they went into Winston-Salem, and stunned Wake Forest, 21-13, as a touchdown underdog. Can Army make it two in a row? If history is any indication, it's not likely. Air Force has dominated this series over the past 27 years, with a 24-3 record and 19-8 ATS mark, including two double-digit wins in the games it was installed as an underdog. It's true the Falcons are on a 4-game ATS losing skein, but teams that are on 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 77% as underdogs in non-conference games since 1980 vs. foes off an upset win over a non-conference foe. Likewise, winning teams off a pointspread defeat as a road favorite, and 4+ ATS losses in a row, are an awesome 67.6% ATS since 1980 on the road when not catching double-digits. Take Air Force to smash Army. Rivalry Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-16 | San Jose State v. Boise State -30 | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over San Jose State. Last week, Boise was favored by 14.5 points at Wyoming, and was upset by the Cowboys, 30-28. That was Boise State's 1st loss of the season, but I love the Broncos to bounce back on Friday. And that's because, since 1980, home teams favored by more than 15 points have cashed 62% following an upset loss on the road as an 8-point (or greater) favorite. Additionally, Boise falls into 82-34 and 57-29 ATS Systems of mine based on its loss to Wyoming last week. Take Boise State. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-16 | Coyotes v. Ducks -206 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over the Arizona Coyotes. At 3-6 and 4-7 respectively, the Coyotes and Ducks are two of the big under-performers so far this season. That's not surprising for the team from the desert, as the Coyotes will be hard-pressed to even get to the 78 points they had last season when all is done. But it is a bit of a stunner for the Ducks, who some pre-season experts picked to be the West's representative in the Stanley Cup Finals next June. Tired of putting up big numbers in the regular season only to flame out -- sometimes quickly -- in the playoffs, the Ducks moved on from skipper Bruce Boudreau and went back to Randy Carlyle, who had the head coaching duties for six-plus seasons before Boudreau took over. The results for Carlyle so far are mixed to say the least, but injuries have played at least some role in Anaheim's early problems. The Ducks have struggled mightily vs. Eastern opponents, but have done very well against teams from their own conference, with their only losses to Western teams coming in their season opener in Dallas and a 2-1 OT loss in San Jose. They're back home and both of the teams they lost to are considerably better than Arizona. The Coyotes, on the other hand, are 1-7 in their last eight vs. Western Conference foes. Take the Ducks. High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-16 | Spurs -4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 100-86 | Win | 102 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Utah. These two teams met in the Alamo City two nights ago, and the Jazz handed the Spurs their first loss of the season, 106-91. Interestingly, that defeat also kept the great Gregg Popovich from ever starting a season 5-0 in his 20 years on the bench. I look for San Antonio to bounce back tonight, as it falls into a 123-69 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses. Additionally, the Spurs are 44-28 ATS as road favorites when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Lay the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-16 | Knicks +7.5 v. Bulls | Top | 117-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Knicks fall into a 64-24 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain teams that were blown out in their previous game (the Knicks lost 118-99 to Houston). And Chicago's an awful 40-66 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage of .420 or worse, including 5-18 ATS if the Bulls' W/L percentage was greater than .625. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-04-16 | Clippers -5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies are 3-2 on the season, but obscured by their record is the fact they needed two overtime wins against two teams (Wizards/Pelicans) that are a combined 0-8 on the season. Besides those two games, Memphis has lost to the 1-3 Knicks, and split out 2 games with Minnesota. So, this is a big step-up in class for the Grizzlies. I think they'll get blown out by a Clippers squad looking to bounce back from a home upset loss to OKC. And the Clippers are 13-3 ATS as road favorites, priced from -3.5 to -6 points. Take Los Angeles. |
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11-04-16 | Heat +8 v. Raptors | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Toronto Raptors. This is a revenge match for the Heat, who were bounced out of last year's Playoffs by Toronto. And Miami falls into a 67-25 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Miami. |
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11-04-16 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Blue Jackets and Canadiens to go 'over' the Total. Both teams come into this game relatively well-rested (Montreal last played 2 days ago; Columbus 3 days ago). The line on this game has been installed at 5 goals, and Montreal has gone 'over' in 16 of 21 road games with a total of 5 goals or less, and 13-3 'over' when playing just their 2nd game in a 5-day period. Meanwhile, Columbus has gone 'over' in 13 of 18 home games after scoring 3+ goals in back to back games. Take the 'over.' NHL Total of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-16 | UCLA v. Colorado -12.5 | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over the UCLA Bruins. Colorado had last week off, and is in 1st place in the Pac-12 South division, with a 4-1 record (and a 6-2 overall record). This is a big revenge game for the Buffaloes, as they've lost all five meetings with UCLA since joining the Pac-12 conference. Colorado falls into a great "revenge" system of mine, which is 83-44 ATS since 1985, and it's a perfect 8-0 ATS this season. Meanwhile, UCLA 2-8 ATS its last 10 games after getting upset, 52-45, by Utah in its last game. And it's covered just 8 of 28 road games following a game in which they scored 40+ points. Take Colorado. NCAA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-16 | Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 51 | Top | 43-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the game between the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons. It's true that the Falcons have gone 'over' the total in seven of eight games this season, including their last three. And also that Tampa Bay has gone 'over' in four of seven, including its last two. But I love the 'under' tonight, as division games go 'under' the total more often than not (e.g., all NFC South division games have gone 'under' 55.2% since 2002), and especially when both teams have gone 'over' in each of their past two games, and the O/U line is 44+ points. Those games have gone 'under' 61.7% of the time since 1980. Take the 'under.' NFL Thursday Night Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-16 | Devils v. Panthers -145 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the New Jersey Devils. The Panthers are hoping that a new logo (gone is the menacing "coming at you" cat, in exchange for something that looks like a hood ornament) will help get them past the first round of the post-season for the first time since 1996. Things looked good at first as Florida won its first two games by a combined score of 6-2 (including the season opener against these Devils). They haven't done very well since those first two games, but four of the Panthers six losses have been by just one goal, including Tuesday's heart-breaker here against the Bruins. The Panthers, though, played well and out-shot the Bruins by a healthy margin of 34-26. Veteran goaltender Roberto Luongo is back this season at age 37 and he should be in goal tonight although don't be surprised if later in the season, Florida goes to more of a split with Luongo sharing the net-minding duties with James Reimer, who has been solid as well. The Panthers are in good hands with either goalie out there. Florida has won the last three meetings and the home team is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. Take the Panthers. NHL Game of the Week! As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-16 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Islanders/Flyers game. The Flyers have played just one 'under' in their 12 games this season, but this game has all the earmarks of a relatively low-scoring game. The Flyers have scored 4 goals in each of their past five games. But, tonight, they'll be playing without rest, and also their 7th game in the past 11 days. I expect the schedule to finally catch up with them tonight, and look for a lower offensive output by Philly in this game. Philly has gone 'under' in 17 of 25 road games when playing its 3rd game in 5 nights, while the Islanders are 40-25 'under' vs. teams that score 2.85+ goals per game. Also, the 'under' is 57-42-6 in this series. Take the 'under.' NHL Elite Info Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-03-16 | Buffalo v. Ohio -19.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over the Buffalo Bulls. Last week, the Bobcats shocked Toledo, 31-26, as a 15-point road underdog. That was Ohio's 2nd straight win (and cover), and fifth win in its last six games. I look for Ohio to blow out Buffalo on Thursday evening, as home favorites of -6.5 or more points are an awesome 66.2% ATS vs. conference foes over the past 37 years, if our home team is off a win in its previous game, as an underdog of more than 8 points. And Ohio is also 7-0 ATS at home or on a neutral field off an upset win. Take Ohio. NCAA Football High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-16 | Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 85-83 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Russell Westbrook is off to an incredible start, as he's AVERAGING a triple double: 38.7 ppg, 12.3 rpg and 11.7 apg. And the Thunder are 3-0, to boot. Obviously, those numbers would be good enough to earn Westbrook the NBA MVP Award at season's end, should they continue. But before we get too excited, let's remember that his games were against three of the league's four-worst teams (Suns, 76ers, Lakers). Tonight, the Thunder will have a big step-up in class, as they must travel to Los Angeles to face the Clippers (also undefeated). And Los Angeles has already faced two playoff-caliber teams, in the Trail Blazers and Jazz. Los Angeles has won all three games by 8+ points, and fall into an 83-34 ATS "momentum" system of mine which plays on certain home teams off back to back big wins. Take Los Angeles. NBA Roadkill Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-16 | Mavs +5 v. Jazz | Top | 81-97 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Utah Jazz. It's easy to forget how good the Dallas Mavericks have been, as they've always been in the shadow of their Lone Star State rival, San Antonio. Yes, the Spurs are working toward their 20th straight season of a .600 or better record. But the Mavs also have a nice streak going, as they've not had a losing record since 1999-2000 -- 16 consecutive years at .500 or better. So, the fact that the Mavericks are off to an 0-3 start this season shouldn't be cause for too much worry. After all, Dirk Nowitzki missed the last two games with a stomach virus, but should be able to play tonight. And the Mavs are an awesome 38-12 ATS their last 50 with a losing record, off a loss. Even better: they're 12-0 ATS their last 12 in that role when dressed up as an underdog of more than 2 points! Admittedly, the Jazz had a great win last night, as they handed the Spurs a rare home loss. But I look for a letdown on Wednesday. Take Dallas tonight against Utah. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-02-16 | Cubs v. Indians UNDER 7 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians 'under' the total. Game seven of the World Series is upon us after pitching and defense took a bit of a night off in game six - at least as far as the Indians were concerned. But the good news for the Tribe is that the pitching should be back tonight as Cleveland's "big three" relievers, Bryan Shaw, Andrew Miller, and Cody Allen did not go to the mound on Tuesday and therefore will be fresh for this one. That means if the home team can get six innings out its ace - RH Corey Kluber - along with a lead (even 1-0), then they should be hoisting the trophy for the first time in 68 years and the Cubs will be thinking about what could have been. But it won't be easy for the Tribe hitters with the MLB ERA Champ going to the mound in Chicago's RH Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks suffered a bad beat in game three when he threw 4 1/3 shutout innings but took a 1-0 loss. The Cubs turned to Hendricks to close out the NLCS against the opposing ace (L.A.'s Clayton Kershaw) and he came through, shutting down the Dodgers over 7 1/3 innings. Now they're asking him to do the same on an even bigger stage. The under is 19-7-2 in the Cubs last 28 inter-league games. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Golden State Warriors. When these two team last met, the Warriors bounced the Blazers out of the playoffs. But you know what they say about "paybacks!" And Portland falls into several of my revenge systems, with records of 84-50, 27-8, and 70-35 ATS. Also, the Warriors have not covered any of their last 8 games (dating back to the preseason). Finally, Portland is a super 92-58-1 ATS as home underdogs of less than 6 points. Take the Trail Blazers. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-16 | Cubs -148 v. Indians | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Cleveland Indians. If there was any doubt about which Pro Sports' All-Star Game is the most important, that doubt has been erased now. How different would this series be if the NL - and not the AL - had won the Mid-Summer Classic back in July? Maybe the new curse for the Cubs if they lose either of the next two games will be the "Cueto Curse" (the pitcher who was inexplicably chosen to start for the NL)? Now instead of having these next two games in front of a raucous Wrigley crowd, the Cubs have to try to win back-to-back games in Cleveland, and that's not going to be easy. For tonight at least, Chicago is the decided favorite with RH ace Jake Arrieta headed to the mound. Arrieta was very good in his game two start even though the Cubs lost due to a lack of offense. In game five, the Cubs gave the Indians a taste of their own medicine, by playing the same brand of small-ball that has been so effective for Cleveland (and for KC last year) instead of swinging for the fences on everything they saw from the very good Indians staff. Look for more of the same tonight as the Cubs try to tie this up and head to a game seven. Also, with the DH back for this game, the Cubs should get regular at-bats from powerful Kyle Schwarber. Finally, the Cubbies are a powerful 26-5 as a road favorite with Arrieta on the hill. Take Chicago. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-01-16 | Magic -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 103-101 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Philly. The team which wins tonight will notch its first win on the season, and we'll back the Magic to be the squad which gets into the win column, as they fall into 96-56, 101-47 and 116-66 ATS systems of mine that play on certain road teams off losses. The 76ers were annihilated by Atlanta, 104-72, in their last game, which doesn't bode well for them tonight. And that's because home teams off a blowout loss at home by 30+ points, have covered a paltry 38.4% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU loss. Take the Magic to rout the Sixers. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-31-16 | Vikings v. Bears +4.5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings, as they fall into a super 202-110 ATS system of mine, as well as a 145-65 ATS angle. The Vikings were upset, 21-10, at Philadelphia last week, and that was Minny's first loss (both SU and ATS) on the season. Now, on Monday, it will play its second straight road game, at division rival Chicago. We'll grab the points with the Bears, who will be well-rested following their loss to Green Bay 11 days ago. That was Chicago's 3rd straight loss, but it's been terrific at home off back-to-back losses when not favored by 2+ points. Since 1980, Chicago's gone 32-11 ATS in this situation, including a perfect 18-0 ATS when matched up against an opponent whose ATS win percentage is .571 or better. And the Bears are also 8-0 ATS their last 8 games off 3+ losses. More bad news for Minnesota: teams off upset losses have covered just 70 of 178 Monday Night Football games since 1980 (39.3%). Finally, Monday Night road favorites of -5 points or less, without a losing record, that are not off a win, are an awful 9-32 ATS since 1980, including 0-7 ATS with a win percentage of .720 or better. Take Chicago. NFL Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-19-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +10 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
11-19-16 | Indiana +25.5 v. Michigan | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
11-19-16 | Buffalo v. Western Michigan -35 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
11-19-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh -7 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
11-19-16 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -5 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -121 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
11-19-16 | Iowa v. Illinois +10 | Top | 28-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
11-18-16 | Clippers -7 v. Kings | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -116 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
11-18-16 | Blackhawks -150 v. Flames | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
11-18-16 | UNLV v. Boise State -28 | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
11-18-16 | Detroit v. Illinois -18.5 | Top | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
11-18-16 | Pistons +9 v. Cavs | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
11-18-16 | Idaho v. Arkansas-Little Rock -10 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
11-18-16 | Jacksonville State v. TCU -16.5 | Top | 60-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
11-17-16 | San Diego v. UCLA -26 | Top | 68-88 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
11-17-16 | Seton Hall v. Iowa -1.5 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers -3 | Top | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 52.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
11-17-16 | 76ers v. Wolves -11 | Top | 86-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
11-17-16 | Louisville v. Houston +14.5 | Top | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
11-17-16 | Jets v. Flyers -128 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
11-17-16 | East Carolina v. Charlotte -4.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
11-16-16 | Idaho v. Northern Illinois -7 | Top | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
11-16-16 | Penguins v. Capitals -109 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
11-16-16 | UMass Lowell v. Indiana -28 | Top | 78-100 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
11-16-16 | Brown v. Rhode Island -24.5 | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
11-15-16 | Portland v. San Jose State -2.5 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
11-15-16 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee -8.5 | Top | 81-87 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
11-15-16 | Ohio v. Central Michigan +1 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
11-15-16 | Kent State -3 v. Bowling Green | Top | 7-42 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
11-15-16 | Maryland v. Georgetown -5.5 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
11-14-16 | Charlotte v. Elon -4 | Top | 100-95 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
11-14-16 | Villanova v. Purdue +2 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
11-13-16 | CS-Northridge v. UCLA -19 | Top | 87-102 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Seahawks +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Lakers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 99-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Canadiens v. Blackhawks -160 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Cowboys v. Steelers -3 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
11-13-16 | 49ers +14 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
11-13-16 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 48 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Dolphins v. Chargers UNDER 48.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Falcons v. Eagles | Top | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
11-13-16 | Bears v. Bucs +2.5 | Top | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
11-12-16 | California v. Washington State -14.5 | Top | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
11-12-16 | Michigan v. Iowa +21.5 | Top | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
11-12-16 | LSU -7 v. Arkansas | Top | 38-10 | Win | 103 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
11-12-16 | Boise State -17.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 52-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
11-12-16 | South Florida v. Memphis +3 | Top | 49-42 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
11-12-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. Louisiana Tech -21.5 | Top | 35-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
11-12-16 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -3.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 102 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
11-12-16 | Pittsburgh +21 v. Clemson | Top | 43-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
11-12-16 | Rice v. Charlotte -10.5 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
11-12-16 | South Carolina v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
11-11-16 | San Diego v. San Diego State -19 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
11-11-16 | Pistons v. Spurs -9 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
11-11-16 | Clippers -4.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
11-11-16 | Cavs -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
11-10-16 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -137 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
11-10-16 | Islanders v. Lightning -165 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
11-10-16 | UL-Lafayette +8 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
11-09-16 | Bowling Green v. Akron -9 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
11-09-16 | Toledo -6.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
11-09-16 | Bulls +3.5 v. Hawks | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
11-09-16 | Rockets v. Spurs -7.5 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
11-09-16 | Senators v. Sabres OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
11-08-16 | Hawks +9 v. Cavs | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
11-07-16 | Bills v. Seahawks -6 | Top | 25-31 | Push | 0 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
11-07-16 | Sabres v. Bruins -160 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
11-06-16 | Oilers v. Red Wings -144 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
11-06-16 | Titans v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-43 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
11-06-16 | Saints v. 49ers +5 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
11-06-16 | Cowboys v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 35-10 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Alabama v. LSU +8 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
11-05-16 | East Carolina v. Tulsa -9.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Iowa v. Penn State -6.5 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Florida State v. NC State +6 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Oregon v. USC -17 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Charlotte v. Southern Miss -19.5 | Top | 38-27 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
11-05-16 | TCU +8.5 v. Baylor | Top | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Louisville -24.5 v. Boston College | Top | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
11-05-16 | Air Force +2 v. Army | Top | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
11-04-16 | San Jose State v. Boise State -30 | Top | 31-45 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
11-04-16 | Coyotes v. Ducks -206 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
11-04-16 | Spurs -4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 100-86 | Win | 102 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
11-04-16 | Knicks +7.5 v. Bulls | Top | 117-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
11-04-16 | Clippers -5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
11-04-16 | Heat +8 v. Raptors | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
11-04-16 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
11-03-16 | UCLA v. Colorado -12.5 | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
11-03-16 | Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 51 | Top | 43-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
11-03-16 | Devils v. Panthers -145 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
11-03-16 | Flyers v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
11-03-16 | Buffalo v. Ohio -19.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
11-02-16 | Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 85-83 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
11-02-16 | Mavs +5 v. Jazz | Top | 81-97 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
11-02-16 | Cubs v. Indians UNDER 7 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
11-01-16 | Cubs -148 v. Indians | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
11-01-16 | Magic -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 103-101 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10-31-16 | Vikings v. Bears +4.5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 31 m | Show |