Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-17 | Pelicans +14 v. Warriors | Top | 101-123 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Golden State. The Warriors have won 13 games in a row, and have clinched the #1 seed throughout the Playoffs, so there's not much on the line tonight. Thus, Steph Curry will sit tonight (though Kevin Durant will play). We'll take the points with the Pelicans, as the Warriors fall into a negative 50-87 ATS system of mine which fades teams off back to back wins who scored more than 116 in their previous game, and are now matched up against a foe off a loss. Take New Orleans + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-08-17 | Clippers +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 98-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the San Antonio Spurs. The Clippers are the only NBA team to own a winning record vs. San Antone this season, as they've won two of the first three meetings. And their only loss came in Chris Paul's first game back after missing five weeks with a torn ligament in his left thumb. Tonight, the Clippers will enjoy a significant advantage, as they had the two previous days off, while the Spurs had to play last night. And unrested teams off a win are a poor 32% ATS since 1991 in the season's final five games, if they're playing a revenge-minded foe which had the previous two days off. Take the Clippers. |
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04-08-17 | Celtics v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Boston Celtics. The Hornets are still alive for a playoff berth, but will need to win their remaining three games, and also receive a lot of help. Tonight, the Celtics will pay Charlotte a visit. And the Hornets will be playing their final home game of the season. We'll take Charlotte, as teams playing their final home game are 89-55 ATS since 1991 if their W/L percentage was .333 (or better) and their opponent's W/L percentage was at least .625. Take the Hornets. |
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04-08-17 | Capitals v. Bruins -130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Washington Capitals. With their victory on Wednesday night over the Maple Leafs, the Washington Capitals have wrapped up yet another President's Trophy - their second in a row and third in the last eight seasons. Now if only they can convert that best record in the NHL into something meaningful for a change. But for tonight what this latest accolade means is that the Caps likely won't take chances with any of their front-line players, so look for a lot of ice time from some of the "second string" as it were in this second-to-last game of the regular season. The Bruins, on the other hand, still have a lot to play for. Specifically, although Boston has locked up a playoff spot, the team no doubt desperately would like to improve its standing and finish in second place in the Atlantic division, thereby ensuring at least one home-ice advantage series. Caps #1 defenseman John Carlson could technically be recovered enough from his lower-body injury to play tonight, but don't bet on him logging much - if any - ice time in a game that is meaningless to his team. Coach Barry Trotz will be as cautious as possible without looking like he's throwing the game this afternoon. Take the Bruins. NHL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-08-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -173 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Cincinnati Reds. The years of the Cardinals dominating play in the NL Central division may be numbered as the Chicago Cubs are now obviously the team to beat. But that doesn't mean that St. Louis is just going to roll over and play dead. The Cards have too much history to just go away and certainly a Wild Card spot is a very real possibility for the team that includes players like Yadier Molina, Matt Carpenter and Dexter Fowler just to name a few. For the Reds, 40-year-old RH Bronson Arroyo, who has not pitched in the Majors since June of 2014, will get the start. When Arroyo came into the league in 2000 as a 23-year-old with the Pittsburgh Pirates, Cards RHP Michael Wacha was just becoming a teenager. Wacha made the most of his first season in the Majors back in 2013, going 4-1 with a 2.78 ERA in 15 games (nine starts), but he's had a bit of an up-and-down campaign since then. Wacha gets his first start of 2017 this afternoon, so he will look to put his unsuccessful 2016 season behind him as he faces the Reds and Arroyo at Busch Stadium. The great news for Wacha is that the Cards are 8-0 in his last eight starts vs. the Reds. Take St. Louis. MLB HIGH ROLLER. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-07-17 | Kings +3 v. Lakers | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Los Angeles has won just 23 games this season, but did win its last two games -- vs. Memphis and San Antonio. But off those two upset wins, we'll fade the Lakers tonight, as they're an awful 11-33 ATS off back to back SU/ATS Wins. And the Lakers also fall into a 68-147 ATS system of mine which goes against certain bad teams off wins. Take Sacramento. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-07-17 | Indians -150 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -150 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The second inter-league series of the season matches last year's AL Champion team - the Indians - against the under-achieving - but hopeful - Arizona Diamondbacks. The Tribe will send RH veteran Josh Tomlin to the mound. Not only was Tomlin healthy for an entire season in 2016 for the first time in his career, but he had a breakout campaign in which he won 13 games and was an important part of the Indians' success. Tomlin's strength is his ability to throw strikes (he featured the lowest walk rate in the league last season) and at the end of June, he actually had more victories (nine) than he had total walks (eight). Tomlin faded a bit in July and then completely fell apart in August with a disastrous month. But he got it together again in the final month and then posted victories in both of his starts in the AL playoff series. It's not surprising that he struggled a bit late in the season as Tomlin's 174 regular season innings was the most he'd ever logged, so look for him to be back to his early season form tonight after a well-deserved rest. The opposite of Tomlin's season belonged to the D-Backs RH Shelby Miller who was quite possibly the worst starter in baseball with at least 20 starts last year. Miller's also been especially dreadful in nighttime starts, as his team has lost 29 of his last 38 (in contrast, Cleveland has gone 21-9 in Tomlin's nighttime starts). Finally, Cleveland is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Take the Tribe. MLB Road Warrior. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-07-17 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | Top | 113-120 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota. This is a brutal scheduling spot for the T-Wolves, who will be playing their 3rd game in four nights; fourth game in five nights; and fifth game in seven nights. In contrast, the Jazz had the last two nights off, so will be well-rested. And, late in the season, bad teams, with win percentages less than .400, significantly under-perform (23% ATS) when playing their 4th game in 5 nights and 5th game in 7 nights vs. rested opponents. Take Utah. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-06-17 | Predators -129 v. Stars | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over Dallas. the Preds have clinched a Playoff spot, but still are incentivized to win, as they would dearly love to avoid the Blackhawks in the first round. Tonight, they'll take on the Stars, who defeated Arizona on Tuesday. But Dallas has been great off losses, and horrid off wins. This season, the Stars are have won just 7 of 32 games following a win, including 4 of 20 off a home win. Take Nashville. |
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04-06-17 | Predators v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Nashville/Dallas game. This will be the fourth meeting of the season between these two Central Division rivals. The first three meetings saw final scores of 5-2, 5-2 and 5-3, and I look for another high-scoring game tonight. Dallas has gone 'over' in 14 of 21 home games off an 'under,' while Nashville has gone 'over' in 22 of 32 off a home loss. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-06-17 | Blue Jays -117 v. Rays | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Tampa Bay Rays. Marcus Stroman has had quite a 2017 baseball season already, and he hasn't even thrown his first pitch in an MLB regular season game. Stroman led Team USA to its first World Baseball Classic title and he won the tournament MVP award in he process. Stroman aims to keep the good times going as he steps to the mound tonight for his 2017 Blue Jays debut in Tampa against the Rays. He also looks to put his 2016 season behind him. The Jays' RH had high hopes entering the 2015 season after a solid rookie campaign in 2014 in which he won 11 games. But his sophomore season was over before it began as Stroman tore the ACL in his knee that Spring and didn't pitch until September. Although optimism was high for a bounce-back last season, it didn't materialize as Stroman went just 9-10, with a pedestrian 4.37 ERA in 32 starts. He may see a little bit of himself from a couple of years ago when he watches his mound opponent tonight. Blake Snell will get the start for the Rays. He's a 24-year-old southpaw and, like Stroman, is highly-touted and had a pretty successful rookie campaign. But Snell also had 51 walks in just 89 innings last season and he can't do that against this Jays lineup or they will eat him alive. Stroman is 3-0 in five career starts in April. Take Toronto. Mound Mismatch. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-06-17 | Jets v. Blue Jackets -179 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -179 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Winnipeg Jets. The Jackets lost on Tuesday, while the Penguins and Capitals won, so a Division Title is now out of the question for Columbus. The Capitals wrapped up the Metropolitan Division title for the second straight season last night, and so the battle now will be for second place between the Penguins and Jackets. So these last three games are extremely important to those two teams because home ice in their first-round series is at stake. And for the team which loses that series, there would be massive disappointment, as it would mean that a top-4 NHL team was eliminated in the first round. The Pens just beat Columbus on Tuesday night in Pittsburgh to take a three-point lead with three games left to play. So you can imagine how badly the Jackets want to win their remaining games, beginning with tonight's contest against the Jets. The Jets have been eliminated from the NHL Playoffs, so all they can do now is play the role of spoiler, which is exactly what they did on Tuesday, upsetting the Blues, 5-2. But Columbus poses a much tougher task for them tonight as the Jackets are 17-10 against teams from the West. The Jets are also just 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. teams from the Metropolitan Division, and 0-8 after not giving up 3+ goals in either of their two previous games. Take Columbus. |
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04-05-17 | Cavs v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Cleveland Cavaliers. In this battle for Eastern Conference supremacy, we'll take the homestanding Celtics. Cleveland won its 3rd straight game last night, at home, vs. Orlando. But the Cavaliers are a miserable 0-14 SU/ATS since Feb. 6, 2015 off back to back wins, if they're on the road, and played the previous day. Take Boston. Perfect 10 Club. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-17 | Blazers v. Jazz -6.5 | Top | 87-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers had their 6-game win streak snapped last night at Minnesota, but they still managed to cover the point spread in their 1-point loss. That was Portland's seventh consecutive ATS win. But .665 (or worse) teams, playing without rest, have covered just 10.5% as road underdogs of +3 or more points since 1998 off 7+ ATS wins. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-17 | Coyotes v. Stars -213 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over Arizona. The Coyotes come into this game off back to back upset wins, at home vs. Washington (6-3) and on the road at Los Angeles (2-1). But they've lost both meetings to Dallas this season. And Arizona has not been good in a revenge role, as it's 13-52 its last 65 on the road when playing with revenge. Moreover, Dallas is 18-3 at home off a road defeat, while Arizona is 1-10 off a road win. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-17 | Mariners v. Astros -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Seattle Mariners. With the moves these teams made in the off-season, both the Mariners and Astros could improve on their records of 2016. And that's saying something since they both had winning records - but still fell way short of the Pennant-winning Rangers. The Mariners added SS Jean Segura and OF Jarrod Dyson as well as a quality starter in Drew Smyly, while the Astros added C Brian McCann, OF Josh Reddick, and DH Carlos Beltran. On the pitching side, Houston didn't really improve its rotation and that could be a problem in the long run. But tonight it sends perhaps its most talented starter to the mound in RH Lance McCullers, Jr. McCullers missed the final two months of the 2016 season with an elbow strain, but looked pretty good in Spring Training. For the Mariners, RHP Hisashi Iwakuma led the team with 16 wins last season, but his numbers regressed for the most part as his ERA rose to over four runs for the first time in his MLB career and his K:BB ratio dropped all the way from 5.29 to 3.20. His awful Spring indicates that Iwakuma - now 35 years old - may be on the downside of his career. Iwakuma is just 5-6 in 14 career starts. vs. Houston and is 3-3 in eight starts here at Minute Maid Park. Take the 'Stros. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-17 | Islanders v. Predators -180 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the New York Islanders. We're into the final week of the NHL regular season, and several teams are still vying for post-season spots. Those that haven't quite punched their ticket to the playoffs yet are trying to make a final push and those that already have a post-season spot locked up are perhaps trying to improve their standing. Such is the case with both of the teams playing in this game. The Isles are trying to keep their playoff hopes - as slim as they are - alive with a victory tonight while the Predators are trying to improve by moving up one spot in the Western Conference Wild Card standings. The Islanders have a much bigger hill to climb, as two of their four remaining games are against teams with winning records (beginning tonight with the Preds). And three of those remaining games are on the road, where they have a 16-22 record. Injuries have plagued New York all season, and no doubt the Isles will look back at that as one of the main reasons they were not successful in 2016-2017. Things look much better in Music City these days and a victory tonight would assure the Predators of at least a .500 record for the third straight season. The Isles are just 1-7 in the last eight trips to Nashville. Take the Predators. |
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04-04-17 | Red Wings v. Senators -170 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Senators over the Detroit Red Wings. These two teams played last night in the Motor City, and the Red Wings came away with a 5-4 win in a shootout. Notwithstanding last night's win, Detroit's still a poor 8-20 vs. division rivals, and 11-22 after allowing more than three goals in its previous game. Meanwhile, Ottawa is 18-7 after allowing 4+ goals in back-to-back games, and 16-7 off 3+ losses. Take Ottawa. |
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04-04-17 | Hornets v. Wizards -4 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points vs. Charlotte. The Wizards have dropped their last three games -- both SU and ATS -- while Charlotte is on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. Washington did lose at Charlotte 17 days ago, but Washington falls into a 75-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain .375 (or better) teams at home off back-to-back losses, if they're playing with revenge against an opponent off 3+ wins. Also, the Wizards are 37-16-1 ATS their last 54 when playing with revenge, including 9-1-1 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -10 points. Take Washington. |
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04-04-17 | Magic +9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 102-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. It's true that Cleveland has won 16 straight vs. Orlando, which is tied with OKC vs. Philly for the longest active win streak vs. an opponent. But we'll go against the Cavs tonight, as .365 (or worse) NBA teams are 27-4 ATS if they've lost the previous 16 meetings to their opponent. Take the Magic. |
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04-03-17 | Blazers v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 109-110 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers have won six in a row -- both SU and ATS -- including a 130-117 victory over Phoenix on Saturday. But we'll fade the Blazers on the road vs. the T-Wolves, as teams off back to back wins, that scored more than 116 points in their previous game, are a poor 47-85 ATS vs. foes off a loss. With the T-Wolves in off an upset loss to Sacramento, we'll lay the points with Minnesota on Monday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Orioles head into the 2017 season with almost the identical roster that they went into battle with last year, and that's not necessarily a bad thing. As usual, they didn't land any big fish in the off-season, but they didn't lose any either. Catcher Matt Wieters is the only notable player who is missing, but the O's have replaced the veteran backstop with Wellington Castillo and he actually may work out better for them. The big question mark - as always with this club - will be the starters. And even though last season's #1 - Chris Tillman - is currently on the DL with a shoulder issue, the O's are very excited about the prospects for both RHs Kevin Gausman and Dylan Bundy. Gausman gets the Opening Day call and this could be a breakout season for the 26-year-old who went 7-4 with an ERA under three runs in 12 starts after July. Gausman continued to look impressive this Spring, unlike Jays RH Marco Estrada, who gets the start for Toronto. The 33-year-old Mexican took a step backwards last season after a breakout 2015 campaign in which he won 13 games. The O's have take seven of the last 11 regular-season meetings with the Jays here at home. Take Baltimore. MLB High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Rockets -11 v. Suns | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. Houston lost at the Warriors on Friday, and also failed to cover the spread for the 3rd straight game, but Houston is 55-25 ATS on the road off 3 straight ATS losses, if it also lost its previous game, straight-up. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Flyers v. Rangers -153 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Rangers have locked up a post-season berth for the seventh straight season and 11th out of the last 12 going back to the canceled season of 2004-2005. And this year's version just might be the best Wild Card team the league has ever seen. A victory tonight over the Flyers would put the Rangers at 100 points making it three straight seasons that they've put up triple digits. And perhaps the Rangers' biggest strength as a Wild-Card club is the fact that they feature the best road record in the entire league at 27-12. The Rangers have lost five of their last six heading into tonight, but three of those losses were in overtime or shoot-out and the last three were against the Pens, Sharks, and Ducks - all Playoff teams. New York could definitely use a win tonight, because its remaining games are against the Caps, Senators, and Penguins to finish off the regular season. But the good news is that the Rangers have had the Flyers number recently as they are 5-1 in the last six meetings. The Flyers are 6-13 in their last 19 vs. teams from the Metropolitan Division and 7-19 in their last 26 road games. Take the Rangers. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Hawks -2 v. Nets | Top | 82-91 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets come into Sunday's game off a 121-111 win over Orlando, while Atlanta lost by two points at Chicago. I look for Atlanta to bounce back this evening, as it falls into 147-67, 214-123, 293-184 and 97-42 ATS systems of mine that fade certain bad teams (like Brooklyn) off a win. Also, Brooklyn is an awful 3-25 SU and 10-17-1 ATS off a win. Finally, in the 2nd half of the regular season, road teams that have won at least 25% more of its games than its opponent are 63% ATS off a loss vs. a foe off a win. Take Atlanta. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Hornets v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Charlotte. We played against OKC on Friday, and got the $$$ with San Antonio, which stormed back from a 20-point deficit to win 100-95. Charlotte, meanwhile, won its second straight game that night, with a 122-114 victory at Denver, as a 2.5-point favorite. This afternoon, we'll switch gears and play on the Thunder, as they're 17-1 ATS as a home favorite in the regular season, when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a win and an ATS win or tie. Also, teams (like Charlotte) off back to back wins are an awful 46-85 ATS if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and their foe is off a loss. Take the Thunder. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Islanders v. Sabres -135 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 10 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the New York Islanders. Another NHL Season, another losing campaign for the Buffalo Sabres. After finishing at .500 or better for three straight years between 2008 and 2011 (and making the playoffs in two of those three), the Sabres are guaranteed to have their sixth straight losing season when they finish up in one week. But despite a very disappointing six months, there is still one positive achievement that is within the grasp of Buffalo's NHL club. If they can win two of their final three home games, the Sabres will at least finish 2016-2017 with a winning record here at KeyBank Center. And their best chance of the three remaining home games is this afternoon against an Islanders team that quite frankly hasn't done much better this season. The Isles are 36-41, including just 15-22 on the road. New York is still alive for a Wild Card berth, but if they're going to make it, the Isles are going to have to get there without major pieces of their offense. Their best player, C John Tavares, has a hamstring injury and is probably done for the rest of the season, while #1 RW Ryan Strome has a broken wrist and D Travis Hamonic is out indefinitely with a broken hand. The Isles are 2-5 in their last seven games following a win. Take the Sabres. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -118 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Oregon. The Ducks pulled the upset of the Tournament when they defeated the 31-4 Kansas Jayhawks, 74-60, in Kansas City last weekend. Admittedly, the Ducks' defense was impressive, given that it held the Jayhawks to just 60 points, which was Kansas' lowest offensive output of the season. But I don't foresee Oregon having similar success tonight. Indeed, North Carolina is 8-3-1 ATS this season vs. foes that gave up 66.5 or less points on the season. Even worse for Oregon: Final Four teams are a dreary 0-25 ATS when priced from -2 to +7.5 points, if they're off a win vs. an .833 (or better) foe, and are now matched up against a very good offensive team which averages at least 78.5 ppg. Take North Carolina. NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-17 | Wild v. Predators -121 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Minnesota Wild. After a first half that was perhaps the best in team history, the mood around the Minnesota Wild Clubhouse has perhaps gone from elation to despair over the past several weeks. At the end of February, the Wild was in first place in the Central Division with a record of 41-20. But the month of March has seen a total collapse as Minny has gone 4-12 over the past 31 days and has all but surrendered any chance of a Division Crown to the Blackhawks. The Wild won its last game, beating the Senators by an easy 5-1 margin on Thursday. But that game was at home where the Wild has done most of its best work. This afternoon, Minny is back on the road, and that's not been a good situation as the Wild is just 1-7 in its last eight games away from Minneapolis. The Preds look like they have a Wild Card spot locked up, but they'd no doubt like to finish the season on a high note heading into the playoffs. That hasn't happened over the past two games as Nashville fell to the Bruins and Maple Leafs. But the Preds are a different team when they play teams from their own conference lately as they are 5-0 in their last five games against teams from the West. The Preds are also 7-1 in their last eight home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Nashville. NHL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-17 | St. Peter's -3.5 v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi | Top | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Peter's Peacocks minus the points over Texas A&M Corpus Christi, as St. Peter's falls into 126-57, 92-43 and 119-75 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, the Peacocks are 114-73 ATS on the road, including 11-1 ATS when laying 3+ points, and 14-0 ATS their last 14. Lay the points with St. Peters. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-17 | Spurs -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Spurs come into this game off an upset loss to the Golden State Warriors. And they were also upset by OKC in the last meeting between the two teams. But those two facts lead us to our play tonight, as favored NBA teams, off an upset loss, and playing with revenge from an upset loss, have cashed 94% since 1991 vs. .555 (or better) teams, provided our team's win percentage was at least 14.2 percent better. Take San Antonio. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-17 | Coastal Carolina +8.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on Coastal Carolina + the points over Wyoming, in Game 3 of the Best of 3 Championship series. Since 2002, teams playing with revenge from a tournament loss are 9-0-1 ATS on the road vs. non-conference foes. Also, Wyoming is 0-22 ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a loss, if Wyoming wasn't getting 6+ points, and the Cowboys didn't fail to cover the spread by 15+ points in their previous game. Take Coastal Carolina. NCAA Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-17 | Cavs -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 93-99 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. It's absolutely true that the Cavaliers have been playing horrid basketball since the All-Star Break, as they're 8-10 SU and 6-11-1 ATS. But I love them to bounce back off their embarrassing defeat at San Antonio on Monday. One reason is that Cleveland has major revenge tonight after losing all three meetings to Chicago this season. But LeBron James' teams, in his career, have gone 87-58-3 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge vs. a foe off a win, including 17-6 ATS if LeBron James' team was off back to back losses. Even better: when favored and playing with revenge from three losses suffered earlier in the season, LeBron James' teams have gone 10-1 ATS in his career. And another reason is that NBA teams are 405-322 ATS on the road in the regular season off a straight-up and against the spread loss, if their opponent is off a win, and our road team isn't getting more than 6 points. Take Cleveland. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-17 | Maple Leafs v. Predators -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Predators and Leafs are having parallel seasons right now. Both of these teams are trying to hang on to a slim third-place standing in their respective divisions (the Atlantic for Toronto and the Central for Nashville) with very little of chance of catching the top two clubs. And that's bad news for them as both the Leafs and Predators have struggled their way to almost identical poor losing road records this season. But for tonight at least, it's not a problem for the Preds, as they play their 39th game at Bridgestone arena where they are 23-8-7 on the season. The other problem for the Maple Leafs tonight is that they're pretty banged up right now, having to play tonight without five of their regular wingers. The Preds come in off of a tough loss in Boston, but they are 4-0 in their last four here at home while the Leafs are 0-4 in their last four vs. teams from the Western Conference. Take Nashville. NHL Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Wyoming -8 | Top | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Coastal Carolina. This best-of-3 Championship series opened in Carolina, on Monday, and the Chanticleers upset the Cowboys, 91-81, as a 1-point home underdog. The series now shifts to Wyoming for tonight's game (and Game 3, if necessary). We'll lay the points with Wyoming, as teams off an upset loss on the road, with an winning ATS percentage on the season, are 79% ATS in the post-season since 1991 if they're favored by 7+ points, and their opponent is off a win. Additionally, since 1995, the Cowboys are a super 88% ATS in the post-season off a loss, if their opponent is off a win! Take Wyoming. NCAA HIGH ROLLER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-17 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers minus the points over Texas A&M Corpus Christi. The Islanders earned the #2 seed in the Southland Conference Tournament, and made it to the Finals, but fell, 68-65, to New Orleans. They've won all three games in this College Insider Tourney thus far, but had the benefit of playing at home in each. That won't be the case tonight, as they have to travel to Baltimore to play the Retrievers. And road teams, off 3 home tourney wins, have covered just 33% of the time over the past eight years. We saw that situation just two nights ago when Wyoming was drilled on the road at Coastal Carolina after winning three home games to earn a berth in the CBI Tourney Championship series. For additional technical support, consider that Southland Conference teams have generally been poor in these post-season tourneys, as they're 23-34 ATS since 1991. Also, Corpus Christi's covered just 20% of its games since 2007 off back to back wins. Meanwhile, UMBC's cashed 78% since 2008 vs. foes off a win, and the Retrievers also fall into 126-57 and 92-43 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Lay the points with the Retrievers. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-28-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Blazers | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. Both the Nuggets and Trail Blazers come into this game with identical 35-38 records, as they battle for the last playoff spot out west. Portland owns a 2-1 series lead, and also owns a better conference record and a better division record, so it will win any tie-breaker vs. Denver. So, with just nine games remaining for each team, this game is, by far, the most important game left on the schedule for each. We'll take the points with Denver, as it falls into a 93-31 ATS NBA system of mine which plays on certain teams in division games off SU losses (Denver lost by 25 at home to the Pelicans on Sunday). But the Nuggets are 24-12 ATS off a loss this season, including 13-2 ATS since January 12, and 10-1 ATS in 'win situation' games where the line was 3 points or less. Portland, meanwhile, is 13-22 ATS this year vs. foes off a loss, including, 4-10 ATS in 'win situation' games. Take Denver. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-28-17 | TCU -2.5 v. UCF | Top | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 129 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Central Florida. Both of these teams earned a berth in the Semi-Finals with 2 home wins sandwiched around a road victory. Central Florida bested Colorado and Illinois at home, and upset Illinois State on the road. Meanwhile, TCU defeated Fresno and Richmond at home, and upset Iowa on the road. TCU's been installed as a favorite in this game, and falls into one of my favorite NIT Tourney systems, which is 29-10 ATS since 1991. Additionally, Central Florida falls into negative 13-26 and 13-28 ATS systems of mine. Finally, TCU is 15-4 ATS in the post-season when the point spread was single-digits, while Central Florida is a poor 10-27 ATS away from home off a win vs. foes off wins by 5+ points. Take TCU. NIT Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-28-17 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes -201 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Detroit Red Wings. Here is a game where you simply have to ignore recent trends between these two teams. Sure the road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings. And yes the Red Wings have won each of the last four times they've visited Raleigh. But most of those games we're talking about in those cases happened in 2015 and earlier. And as we all know by now - this is a different Red Wings team. Not only different from the one Detroit put on the ice last season, but you could argue it's different from any team that Detroit has had in almost 30 years. That's because - as almost everyone knows by now - the 2016-2017 version of the Red Wings will be the first one that doesn't head to the post-season since the 1990 squad. Because last night's game here - won by the Red Wings, 4-3 in overtime - was a make-up for a December 19 game that was postponed due to poor ice conditions, tonight we will see an extremely rare back-to-back non-playoff situation between two teams in the same arena. Eddie Lack was taken off the ice on a stretcher in the final play of Monday's game, so we will see Cam Ward in goal for the 'Canes tonight and look for them to play with a bit more purpose after the way last night ended. Even with their win last night, the Wings are just 6-13 in their last 19 road games. Take Carolina. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-26-17 | Blazers -6 v. Lakers | Top | 97-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. On Friday, the Lakers won a rare game when they upset the Minnesota Timberwolves, in overtime, 124-115. But that was just the 2nd win for Luke Walton's men in their last 16 games. So, we'll fade Los Angeles on Sunday night, as the Lakers haven't won back-to-back games since January 8 (a span of 31 games (12-18-1 ATS)). Indeed, one of my favorite systems, with a record of 212-123 ATS since 1990, goes against certain awful teams off straight-up wins. Portland, meanwhile, is 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS over its last 12 games, and is 3-0 vs. the Lakers this season, with wins by 9, 21, and 7 points. Even better: dating back to April 2014, the Blazers have won 11 straight games vs. Los Angeles, by an average of 14.07 ppg (9-2 ATS). Take the Trail Blazers minus the points. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-26-17 | Canucks v. Jets -160 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Vancouver Canucks. As the season winds down, no team is likely more happy to see it end than the Vancouver Canucks. It's been a painful second half for the team from British Columbia as currently the Canucks count no fewer than 10 players who are either questionable, out indefinitely, or on injured reserve due to some sort of ailment. And virtually no position is spared in the carnage either as one goalie, two centers, three right wings, three left wings, and one defenseman are nursing some sort of injury currently. As ugly as it right now for the Canucks, they somehow managed to beat the Wild on Saturday in a huge upset, 4-2. Notwithstanding that win, the Canucks have a putrid 13-25 road record this season. Additionally, the Canucks are 1-5 in the last six meetings and 1-4 in the last five here in Winnipeg. And the home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Take the Jets. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-26-17 | Kentucky v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Kentucky. The #2-seeded Wildcats upset UCLA in the Sweet 16 Round to advance to the Elite 8. Can Kentucky make it two upsets in a row? Well, not if past history is any indication, as #2-seeded teams off upset wins are an awful 1-13-1 ATS since 1991 vs. foes not off an upset win! Moreover, North Carolina plays with revenge from a loss suffered earlier this season vs. Kentucky and falls into several of my better Tourney revenge systems. Lay the points with the Tar Heels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oregon. We played on the Jayhawks in each of the first 3 rounds, and were rewarded with point spread wins by 15, 12.5 and 27 points. So, that's a combined ATS margin of victory of 54.5 points through the Sweet 16 round. Kansas' last game was perhaps its most impressive, as it won by 32 points, as a 5-point favorite vs. Purdue. And NCAA teams have cashed 63% in the post-season over the past 27 years after winning by 30+ points, provided they weren't favored by double-digits in that 30-point win, and their opponent was also off a win. Take Kansas. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Senators v. Canadiens -162 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Ottawa Senators. The races between the Caps and Penguins in the Metropolitan, and Blackhawks and Wild in the Central may have received more attention this season, but the battle for top honors in the Atlantic Division is as compelling as any in the NHL. In a league that many still associate with Canadian teams, these two are the only clubs north of the border that are vying against each other for a Division crown. On top of that, these two teams are within 150 miles of each other and within a single point in the standings. Ottawa comes in off of two huge wins over Eastern foes (the Penguins and Bruins) however before that the 'Nats had lost four in a row, including two straight to this Montreal club. The Habs have always been a very tough team in their home arena and this season is no different as Montreal has held its opponents to just 2.14 goals per game at the Bell Centre. The fact that Montreal lost its last game to the Hurricanes by a 4-1 margin may not be a bad thing tonight as the Canadiens are 7-0 in their last seven games following a home loss of three or more goals. The home team has done very well in this series lately as the host is 4-2 in the last six meetings between the Canadiens and Senators. Take the Habs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Xavier +8.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers + the points over Gonzaga. Xavier upset Arizona as a 7.5-point underdog. And that bodes well for them today against the #1-seeded Bulldogs. Since 1991, teams off an upset win in the Sweet 16 Round as an underdog of +4.5 (or more) points are a perfect 17-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round when matched up against a top-3 seeded team. Take Xavier. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Furman -6 v. Campbell | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 48 h 26 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Campbell. The Fighting Camels shocked their Big South Conference brethren when they won three games in their conference's tournament, as a #7 seed, to reach the finals. But they lost to top-seeded Winthrop, 76-59, so they didn't advance to the NCAA Tourney. Thus, they received a bid to the College Insider Tournament, and have won their first two games -- both at home -- vs. Houston Baptist and Tennessee-Martin, even though they weren't favored to win either game. The Tournament committee granted Campbell a 3rd straight home game, but this time it will be facing its toughest opponent yet in the Furman Paladins, out of the Southern Conference. Furman went 14-4 in league play this season, and earned the #2 seed in the Southern Conference tourney, but was upset by Samford in the quarterfinals. Still, Furman was a solid 16-8 ATS this season, including a 22-point blowout of South Carolina Upstate, on the road, in its sole Insider Tourney game so far (it was one of three teams to receive a "bye" into this quarterfinal round). Once again, Campbell isn't favored, and I look for its win streak to end this afternoon, as home dogs of +2 or more points have covered just 41% in the Tourneys off a win as a home dog (or PK) since 1991. Even worse for the Camels: Furman is a jaw-dropping 52-23 ATS its last 75 games as a favorite, including 8-2 ATS as a road favorite of -4 or more points. Take the Paladins. Insider Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-17 | Wolves -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Los Angeles. Minny has dropped four straight games, but gets a breather tonight vs. Los Angeles, which has lost six straight, and 14 of 15. And road favorites of -5+ points have cashed a super 62% over the last 27 years off 4+ losses. Take Minnesota. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3 | Top | 70-50 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks were on a 1-9 ATS run prior to breaking out with big wins vs. Marquette (93-73) and Duke (88-81). But those two big victories have actually triggered several negative Tourney systems of mine, with records of 58-99, 73-134, 26-72, 64-113, 97-160 and 48-116 that apply to South Carolina. One of the biggest doubts I have with South Carolina will be its ability to sustain the offensive production (90.5 ppg) it mustered in its first two tournament games. After all, this is a team that averaged just 73 ppg this season. And in its 29 lined games prior to the Tourney, it had scored 88+ points in just two of them! For technical support, consider that Tourney teams seeded #2 (or worse) that averaged 13+ points more per game (above their offensive average) in their two previous Tournament games combined have covered just 26.3% in the Tournament since 1991 -- and just 14% if their opponent gave up 65 or less points per game. Baylor, of course, gives up just 63.5 ppg, and I look for the Bears to shut down South Carolina on Friday night. Lay the points with Baylor. Sweet 16 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina -7 | Top | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 86 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Butler. UNC survived a tough game vs. Arkansas last Sunday. The Heels won by seven, but failed to cover the 11-point spread. I look for North Carolina to have an easier time of it on Friday vs. Butler, as UNC falls into 79-30, 195-96, 234-146 and 317-228 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, it's worth noting that #1 seeded teams have cashed 84% since 1991 off a game where they didn't cover the spread, if they're favored from -6 to -9 points against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, which is seeded #6 or better. And the Tar Heels are a perfect 10-0 ATS since 1991 when priced from -6.5 to -9 points in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Tar Heels. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-17 | Jets v. Kings -148 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Winnipeg Jets. If the Los Angeles Kings want to get to their seventh post-season in the last eight years, then they're going to have really pick it up over the final 10 games. The Kings are just 4-7 in their last 11 games, including 0-4 in their last four on the road. Perhaps the best news is that six of the final 10 are here at home where Los Angeles is 20-15 so far, beginning with tonight's affair against the Jets. And Winnipeg is almost the exact opposite on the road this season, going 15-21 in its games away from MTS Centre. The Jets, meanwhile, come into tonight on a rare 3-game winning streak, but four-in-a-row would seem like a pretty tall order considering they've yet to do that this season. The home team is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings between these two. Take the Kings. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-17 | Purdue v. Kansas -5 | Top | 66-98 | Win | 100 | 65 h 51 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Purdue. Kansas was my selection to win this Tournament. And the Jayhawks were also my favorite play of the 1st Round, as well as my favorite play of the 2nd round. As my mom used to teach me, "if it ain't broke, don't fix it." So, we'll once again play on the Jayhawks minus the points in this 3rd round game vs. Purdue (though the Jayhawks aren't my favorite play of this Sweet 16 round -- that game will go on Friday). But the Jayhawks fall into several of my favorite Tourney systems, with records of 110-51, 53-23, 81-46, 23-5, 114-66, 50-25, and 104-60 ATS since 1991. The Jayhawks have piled up 190 points in their two games, thus far (38-point and 20-point blowouts). And #1 seeds are an awesome 58-34 ATS in the Tourney after scoring 90+ points in their previous game. Furthermore, teams priced from +1.5 to -7.5 in the Sweet 16 round are 22-8 ATS since 1997 off back to back double-digit covers. Finally, Purdue's a wallet-busting 0-6-1 ATS in the post-season off back to back wins, if its foe is off a win by 15+ points. And it's 6-13 ATS in the 3rd round (or later stages) of a post-season tournament, including 0-5 ATS vs. .850 (or better) opposition. Take Kansas. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -185 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Carolina Panthers. The Canadiens lost, 2-1, at home to Detroit their last time out. But Al Montoya started in goal for the Habs, as Carey Price played back-to-back nights in their two previous games. Price will be back between the pipes in this one, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Montreal, as it's won seven straight home games (and 10 of the last 11 home games) vs. Carolina. Meanwhile, the 'Canes are a poor 9-28 off a road win, including 1-8 this season. And they're also 20-55 on the road when the over/under was not higher than 5 goals. Take Montreal. |
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03-23-17 | Coyotes v. Panthers -190 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Arizona Coyotes. After an unlikely victory in Tampa against a team - the Lightning - that is still in the hunt for a playoff spot, the Arizona Coyotes will try to complete their sweep of the Sunshine State by beating the Panthers tonight. Although the Panthers are not vying for a post-season berth (they haven't been officially eliminated yet, but are hanging on by a very thin thread), they probably pose more of a threat to the Coyotes than did the Lightning. For one thing, unlike the Bolts, who are completely decimated by injuries right now, the Panthers are very healthy. Secondly, although one of their few injuries is veteran goalie Roberto Luongo, back-up James Reimer finally can go into games the rest of the season knowing that he is definitely the Panthers #1 netminder at this point. That knowledge should give him the confidence he needs to finish the season strong. And finally, the hosts have dominated this series lately, as the home team has gone 6-0 in the last six meetings of the Coyotes and Panthers. Take Florida. |
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03-22-17 | CS Bakersfield v. Texas-Arlington -6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Cal Bakersfield. The Roadrunners upset California (as a 6.5-point road dog) and Colorado State (as a 4.5-point road dog) to advance to this quarterfinals match-up against Texas Arlington. Unfortunately, though, for Bakersfield, road underdogs of +5 or more points are a poor 36.7% ATS in the NIT Tourney off a road win, including 1-12 ATS their last 13. And the Mavericks are 19-5 ATS since Dec. 2014 vs. non-conference foes, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home. Take Texas Arlington. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-17 | 76ers v. Thunder -10.5 | Top | 97-122 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers have covered the point spread in seven straight games, and have the best ATS win percentage in the league (45-25, .642). But this is a horrid spot for the Sixers, as Oklahoma City was blown out by Golden State on Monday, and will be in an ornery mood tonight. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS at home off a loss by more than 15 points. And they're a sensational 18-0 ATS since Feb. 24, 2016 when priced from -4 to -13.5 points vs. foes with a winning ATS percentage on the season. Take the Thunder. NBA Non-Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-17 | Sharks v. Wild -157 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the San Jose Sharks. Bruce Boudreau must be wondering what he needs to do to keep a team from imploding in the Spring. The Minnesota Wild Coach began his NHL Coaching career with the Capitals and despite finishing first first in the division in four out of five seasons, his team never made it to a Stanley Cup Final. Then Boudreau went out west and claimed four division titles out of five seasons with the Ducks, but still never made it to the big dance. Now he's in Minneapolis and as Yogi Berra said, it's "Deja vu all over again" as the Wild looked on their way to a Division Crown before getting mired in a slump that has seen them go 4-9-2 in their last 15 games, including losing the last five and falling behind Chicago by seven points. But it's interesting to note that the Wild has played six of their last eight games on the road and the home games during that time were one-goal losses to the Rangers and Blues. Minny comes back home tonight to face a Sharks team that has to travel to Tampa after playing in Dallas last night, and the Wild should get an extra confidence boost knowing that the last time they played San Jose was just a little over two weeks ago right here at home and they took that one by a 3-1 margin. In fact, the Sharks are just 2-8 in their last 10 trips in Minneapolis. Take the Wild. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-17 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies come into tonight's game at the Smoothie King Center off back to back upset wins over Atlanta and San Antonio, and four straight victories overall. But those two upset wins have triggered one of my better NBA systems that goes against such teams. It's record is 173-92 ATS since 1990. Also, New Orleans is playing good basketball right now. It's won six of 10 (7-2-1 ATS), and has blown out both Houston (128-112) and Minnesota (123-109) on this 3-game home stand, which concludes tonight. And home teams off back to back wins, in which they scored 115+ points, have cashed 65% since 1990 vs. foes off an upset win, provided our home team was not off an upset win. Take New Orleans. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-17 | Boise State v. Illinois -7 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 60 h 56 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Boise St. The Broncos stunned Utah, 73-68, as a 12-point road underdog to win their opening round NIT game. But that was just Boise's 2nd ATS win it its last 10 games. And teams off wins as dogs of +7 or more points have cashed just 42% of Tourney games. Meanwhile, Illinois drilled Valpo, 82-57, on Tuesday to advance to this round. And single-digit favorites are 20-9 ATS in the NIT Tourney off a win by more than 20 points. Take Illinois. NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-17 | Warriors v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over Golden State. The Thunder have won and covered five straight games, and play with revenge from three losses earlier this season to the Warriors. Of course, Golden State had the services of Kevin Durant for those games, but not tonight. We'll take the Thunder, as we note that OKC is a super 41-19 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the Thunder. NBA HIGH ROLLER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA -3 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Cincinnati. The Bruins won on Friday, 97-80, vs. Kent State, but made no friends in Las Vegas, as they failed to cover by a bucket. That was the fourth straight ATS defeat by UCLA. Meanwhile, the Bearcats covered by double-digits in their blowout win over Kansas State, and have cashed five of their last six at the betting window. However, underdogs of more than 2 points, off a pointspread win, have covered just 28% away from home in the post season since 1991 against foes off 4+ ATS defeats! Take UCLA to blow out the Bearcats. NCAA High Roller Winner. As always, good luck, Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Oakland v. Richmond -4 | Top | 83-87 | Push | 0 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Oakland. The NIT committee didn't do the Golden Grizzlies any favors with the schedule, as they put team on the road at Clemson to start the tourney, and now have them traveling to Richmond for tonight's game. And teams playing back to back road games in the NIT Tourney have been awful of late, as they've gone 2-17 SU and 3-15-1 ATS. Take Richmond minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Flyers -140 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Carolina Hurricanes. The Flyers and Hurricanes are watching their playoff hopes fade quickly as both of these teams continue to tread water and simply can't find any consistency as far as stringing victories together. The 'Canes have won two in a row coming in tonight, however both of those victories have come at home where Carolina is amazingly 20-14. That's where the good news for the 'Canes seems to end. They are simply pathetic on the road this season, and at 9-25 away from Raleigh, the 'Canes are essentially tied for the worst road record in the entire league with the lowly Avalanche. And Philadelphia has not been a good place for them - even before this season - as Carolina is 0-3 in its last three trips here going back to November of 2015. Similarly, the Flyers have almost as lopsided a home-road ledger as the Hurricanes, but they get to play this one in front of their own fans and the Wells Fargo Center has not been an easy place for most teams this season - even ones that are much better than Carolina. The home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings and incredibly the 'Canes are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Philly. NHL Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Rhode Island v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Rhode Island. Yes, the Rams have won nine straight games, and have covered their last four. But I love to fade such teams in the NCAA Tourney, as teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a money-burning 17-39 ATS in Round 2 against opponents not off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Oregon. |
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03-19-17 | Arkansas v. North Carolina -10.5 | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 58 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Arkansas. The Tar Heels blew out Texas Southern by 39 on Friday. And I love taking top 2-seeded teams off big wins of 23+ points to open the tourney, provided they lost two games back. Such teams are 70.9% ATS since 1991 in the Tourney. Take North Carolina. |
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03-19-17 | Blazers v. Heat -6 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers are off back to back road upset wins over Atlanta (last night) and San Antonio (Wednesday). But both Atlanta and San Antonio are in funks right now. The Hawks are 0-3 ATS their last three, and 3-11 ATS their last 14, while San Antonio is 0-2 ATS its last two, and 2-8 ATS its last 10. Not so with the Miami Heat, which has covered its last seven game. More bad news for Portland: Unrested teams are 28% ATS off back to back wins as underdogs (or PK), if they're matched up against an opponent also off back to back wins. Take Miami. NBA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Pacers +3 v. Raptors | Top | 91-116 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers plus the points over Toronto. When these two teams last met, it was the 7th game of the Eastern Conference Playoffs' opening round. Toronto won that game, 89-84, and advanced, while Indiana was sent packing. In an odd scheduling quirk, these two team have not played yet this season, even though it's Game 69 for the Pacers and Game 70 for the Raptors! But they'll meet 3 times over the next 17 days. Generally speaking, underdogs playing with revenge from a playoff defeat have covered more often than not, and Indiana falls into a 72-38 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine. Of course, that won't be Indy's great motivating factor this evening. Instead, with just 14 games left on its schedule, it will need to win to remain among the Top 8 teams (Indy's just 2.5 games ahead of the 9th-place Pistons). Take the Pacers. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Michigan State v. Kansas -8 | Top | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Michigan State. We not only had Kansas as our top-rated play of the first round, but we also tabbed Kansas to win this entire Tournament. So, it was with great pleasure that we watched the Jayhawks blow out Cal Davis, 100-62. That big win has triggered several of my best 'momentum' systems, with records of 46-16, 23-3 and 49-19 ATS since 1991. That's one reason why I love Kansas on Sunday. Another is that I want to go against Michigan State following its 20-point upset win vs. Miami. Indeed, underdogs of +4 or more points, off 20-point (or better) wins in the NCAA Tournament, have cashed just 20% of the time since 2000. Finally, these two teams met last season, and the Spartans upset the Jayhawks, 79-73, as 4.5-point underdogs. But teams playing with revenge from an upset loss as a 4-point (or bigger) favorite, have cashed 77.2% in the NCAA Tourney since 1998, including 9-1 ATS if they were seeded #3 or better, and 6-0 if their opponent was off an upset win. Take Kansas. NCAA 2nd Round Game of the Year. |
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03-19-17 | TCU +2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
At 5 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Iowa. The Hawkeyes were bounced quickly out of the Big 10 Tournament, as they lost by 22 points to the Hoosiers. Iowa did win its initial NIT Tourney game, but the fact remains that it's been awful in the Tournaments, of late, as it's covered just two of its last 11, including 0-6 ATS off a win. Take TCU. |
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03-19-17 | Michigan v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Michigan. The Wolverines stunned the basketball world when they reeled off four victories to win the Big 10 Tournament as a #8 seed. Unfortunately, for the John Beilein's men, this 2nd round of the Tournament is usually when the Cinderella slipper is smashed. And that's because since 1991, teams that won their Conference Tourney as a #5 seed (or worse) are 0-8 SU and 0-7-1 ATS when not laying 2 or more points. With the Wolves installed as an underdog, we'll fade Michigan on Sunday. |
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03-18-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. The Spurs lost at home to the Portland Trail Blazers (as double-digit favorites) on Wednesday, and fell a game back of Golden State for the top spot in the Western Conference. Tonight, the Spurs will look to bounce back from that loss, and they'll also look to avenge a defeat to Memphis in the season's previous meeting. The good news for San Antonio is that NBA revenge-minded teams are 20-1 ATS in the regular season off an upset loss, if they're favored over a .555 (or better) opponent, and their win percentage is at least .142 better than their opponent's win percentage. Take the Spurs. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-17 | Virginia +2 v. Florida | Top | 39-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Florida. Virginia's off back to back ATS losses, but that's actually a good thing, as underdogs have gone 32-14 ATS in the Tourney at Round 2 forward, if they weren't favored by 4+ points. Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Butler -3.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Blue Raiders enter the weekend's action as the hottest ATS team (along with Xavier and Duke), as they've covered their last five games. And they also haven't lost straight-up in their last 11. Unfortunately, teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a wallet-busting 17-38 ATS in Round 2 against opponents not off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Butler minus the points. |
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03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -6 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Xavier. The 11th-seeded Musketeers upset Maryland on Thursday, 76-65. But teams seeded #11 or worse have been awful as underdogs in the Tourney off an upset win, as they've gone 48-69-1 ATS since 1991. Take Florida State. |
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03-17-17 | Kent State v. UCLA -18.5 | Top | 80-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Kent State. The Golden Flashes were the #6 seed in the MAC Conference Tourney, but bested top-seeded Akron last Saturday, 70-65, as a 3.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for Kent, teams that won their tourneys as a #4 (or higher) seed have gone 30.2% ATS in round 1 of the NCAA Tourney when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take UCLA. |
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03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina -1.5 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
At 9:50 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks over Marquette. Though not on their home court in Columbia, the Gamecocks must be happy to be playing within their own state, in Greenville (just 104 miles away from campus). I expect the significant home court advantage to be helpful. And I also like the fact that South Carolina comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses. Generally speaking, teams off back to back upset losses have delivered in the NCAA Tourney, and especially when not favored by 6+ points, as they've cashed 78% in that situation over the last 27 years. Take South Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -2 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Michigan St. The Hurricanes were annihilated by North Carolina eight days ago in the ACC Tourney, 78-53. But the good news for Miami is that good teams, with a win percentage of .625 or better, have rebounded to cover their initial NCAA Tourney game 10 straight times off blowout losses of 24+ points. Take Miami. |
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03-17-17 | Kansas State v. Cincinnati -3.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Kansas State. The Wildcats won their "play-in" game on Wednesday vs. Wake Forest, which was their fifth straight ATS win. But now the Wildcats fall into a negative 13-42 ATS Tourney system of mine which goes against certain teams off 5+ ATS wins. Even better for Cincy: it lost its conference final to SMU, and falls into a 57-29 ATS system of mine which takes certain teams off losses in their Conference final. Take the Bearcats. |
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03-17-17 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | Top | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Brooklyn Nets. Yesterday, the Nets upset the Knicks, 121-110, but they'll be hard-pressed to follow that up with another win on Friday. Indeed, one of the things I love to do is go against bad teams off wins. And the last time the Nets won back to back games was March 26 of LAST SEASON -- 78 games ago! That doesn't bode well for Brooklyn tonight. Here, the Nets fall into a negative 67-144 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain bad teams off wins. And Boston should be well-motivated as it's in a tight battle with Washington for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Take the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State v. Dayton +6.5 | Top | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers + the points over Wichita St. The Flyers were the #1 seed in their Conference tourney, but got stunned by the #8 seed, Davidson, in the quarterfinals. However, teams that were upset as the #1 seed in their conference tourney do very well in the NCAA's opening round, as they've cashed 61% over 27 years. Take Dayton + the points. |
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03-17-17 | Devils v. Penguins -255 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over New Jersey. Yesterday, we played on the Devils, and got the $$$ when they blew out Philly, 6-2, snapping their 10-game losing streak. But the fact remains that the Devils are a bad team, and playing out the string at this point in the season. Tonight, they have the tall task of going into Pittsburgh to face a Penguins team which should be in an ornery mood off back to back losses. Pittsburgh is 17-4 after allowing more than 3 goals in its previous game, and also 7-1 off back to back losses. The Pens have won all three meetings vs. the Devils this season and New Jersey is a poor 3-18 this season when playing with same-season revenge (and 26-57 the past 3 seasons (minus 25 games on the moneyline)). Take Pittsburgh. |
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03-17-17 | UC-Davis v. Kansas -23.5 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Cal Davis. The Jayhawks lost in the quarterfinals of their Big 12 Conference Tourney, 85-82, to TCU. And Kansas was seeded first in that tourney! But teams that lost in their conference's quarterfinal round -- as a #1 or #2 seed -- have been awesome in the NCAA Tourney over the years vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. We saw that yesterday with both Florida and Butler, and such teams have cashed 78.1% over the past 25 years. Take Kansas. NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton -102 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays over Rhode Island. The Blue Jays were blown out, 74-60, in their last game, while Rhode Island has won 8 straight, and covered its last three. Obviously, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Rams. But as faithful followers know, we generally don't go with such plays. Instead, we'll back the Blue Jays, as teams off blowout losses of 14+ points in their conference tourney have covered 73% of the time over the past 27 years vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take Creighton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Texas Southern +26.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 64-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over North Carolina. The Tigers won their conference Tournament, but were 0-3 ATS in winning those three games. However, teams that played at least 3 Conference Tourney games, and didn't cover the spread in any of them, have cashed 67% of the time in their initial NCAA Tourney game over the past 27 years. Take the Tigers + the points. |
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03-17-17 | Jacksonville State v. Louisville -19.5 | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Jacksonville State. After a 1-year ban from participating in the NCAA Tournament, the Cardinals will no doubt be excited to be back in the Tourney this season. And over the past two years, they've been a very profitable 15-5 ATS vs. non-conference foes. The Cards did get upset in their last game, 81-77, vs. Duke. But they've cashed 60% over the past 15 years as favorites of -9+ points off an upset loss. And, finally, NCAA Tourney teams (like the Gamecocks) off 4+ SU/ATS wins are a money-burning 38% ATS the past 27 years vs. foes off an upset loss. Take Louisville. |
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03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon -14.5 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Iona. Oregon was upset in its Pac-12 Conference Final, 83-80, by the Arizona Wildcats. And the Ducks were the Pac-12's number 1 seed. But teams that got upset in the Conference finals as the top-seeded team generally bounce back to cover their NCAA Tourney opener. Since 1991, they've won 61% of the time. Take Oregon. |
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03-17-17 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
At 12:15 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Michigan. The Wolverines won their conference Tournament as the Big 10's #8 seed, which doesn't bode well for them in this opening game of the NCAA Tourney. Indeed, since 1991, teams that won their tourneys as a #4 (or higher) seed have gone 13-30 ATS in round 1 of the NCAA Tourney when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Oklahoma State. |
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03-16-17 | Virginia Tech v. Wisconsin -5.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Virginia Tech. The Badgers' defense is much better than Virginia Tech's defense. Wisky allows just 61.4 ppg, while the Hokies give up 74.4. And that's key, as teams that don't give up more than 62.5 ppg have cashed 65% the past 27 years in the opening round of the Tourney vs. foes that give up 12.5 more points a game. Take Wisconsin. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Florida State -12 | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast. The Eagles were impressive in their Atlantic Sun Conference Tourney, as they went 3-0 SU/ATS, and won each game by double-digits. But it's surely worth noting that Florida Gulf Coast had a huge advantage in its Tourney, as each of its three games were played at home. The NCAA Tournament is a different story, of course, as no team gets to play on its home court. And teams off upset losses away from home have cashed 62.7% in the opening round of the NCAA Tourney vs. foes off a home game. Take Florida State. |
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03-16-17 | Jazz v. Cavs -7 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Utah. The Jazz defeated the Cavs by 8 points earlier this season in Salt Lake City. But we'll take Cleveland at home, as it falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 194-114, 232-145 and 129-70 ATS since 1990. Even worse for Utah: it's an awful 0-16 ATS as a road underdog when priced from +3 to +8 points. Take Cleveland. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Flyers v. Devils -104 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Devils are in the midst of a losing streak that has reached a historic - for them - level. Their current 10-game win-less streak is the longest such string of games since 2013 when New Jersey went 0-6-4 from March 25 to April 15. And the last time the Devils went win-less in 11 straight was the 1990-91 season, when they went 0-7-4 from Dec. 27 to Jan. 22. But take a closer look at their current run of futility and you will notice that the Devils' four home games during this streak were against the Blue Jackets, Canadiens, Rangers, and Senators - all teams with winning records. The last time the Devils faced a team with a losing record here at home was almost a month ago - February 18 against the Islanders - and they were victorious in that one. Not only do the Flyers have a losing record overall, but they're just 12-21 on the road this season, and their huge win at home last night over the Penguins means they could be in for a letdown this evening in New Jersey. The Flyers are 2-6 in the last eight meetings with the Devils and they are 5-16 in their last 21 road games. Finally, New Jersey's 69-33 at home off a road trip of 3 or more games. Take the Devils. NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Xavier v. Maryland -2 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins over Xavier. On the surface, you have two teams going in opposite directions. The Terrapins had a great season, as they went 24-8, but did get upset by Northwestern in the Big 10 Tourney. The Terps have now lost back to back games to the pointspread, and five of their last six, while Xavier has covered four straight. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Musketeers. But that's generally been the wrong move in the NCAA Tournament, as teams on 4-game (or better) ATS win streaks have covered just 31% vs. superior foes off upset losses. Take Maryland. |
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03-16-17 | Vanderbilt v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Vanderbilt. The Wildcats' Big 10 season came to an end last Saturday when the Wisconsin Badgers drilled them by 28 points. But good teams, with a win percentage of .625 or better) have bounced back off blowout losses (of 24+ points) very well in the NCAA Tournament. Since 2003, they're a perfect 9-0-1 ATS. Take Northwestern. |
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03-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Minnesota +1 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers over Middle Tennessee St. The Gophers have dropped 2 of their last 3 games (both SU and ATS), while Middle Tenn has won its last 10 games, and covered its last 10. But teams that have lost at least two of their three previous games to the pointspread have been profitable in the NCAA Tourney, and especially when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK) against foes off 3 SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 66% of the time since 1991. Take Minnesota. |
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03-16-17 | East Tennessee State v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over East Tennessee State. The Gators were upset by Vanderbilt in back-to-back games to end their SEC Conference season. But we'll lay the points with Florida on Thursday, as favorites of more than 9 points are 89% ATS in the post-season in the past 25 years off back to back upset losses, if our team has a winning ATS record on the season (Florida's covered 57% this year). Take the Gators. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Bucknell v. West Virginia -13.5 | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Bucknell. The Mountaineers have always performed well against the spread in post-season (non-conference) tournaments. And they've been especially good (11-1 straight-up and 12-0 ATS) vs. .770 (or worse) foes off an ATS win. Take West Virginia. |
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03-16-17 | Winthrop v. Butler -11 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Winthrop. Since 1990, Butler's a super 96-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes, provided Butler's not getting 13+ points, and its foe's scoring margin is greater than +5.5 ppg (Winthrop's margin is +9.53). Take Butler. |
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03-16-17 | North Carolina Wilmington v. Virginia -7.5 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on Virginia minus the points over NC Wilmington. The Cavs were upset by Notre Dame last week in the ACC Tourney, but favorites off a loss, priced from -6.5 to -19.5 points, are 60.9% ATS in the NCAA Tourney since 1991 vs. foes off an ATS win. Take Virginia. |
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03-15-17 | Cal-Irvine v. Illinois State -10.5 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 39 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cal Irvine. The Redbirds lost by 20 points in their Missouri Valley Conference championship game, but home teams off 20+ point losses have rebounded to cover 68.9% of the time in the NIT since 1991 provided they weren't favored to win their previous game. Also, Missouri Valley teams are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS vs. Big West Conference teams in the post-season since 1991. Take Illinois St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-17 | Akron v. Houston -8 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Akron. The Zips had a great year, as they were 26-8, but lost to Kent State in their conference championship game, 70-65. Now, they have to go on the road to face Houston, but I expect a letdown tonight, as .735 (or better) teams have covered just 20% of the time on the road in NIT Tourney games following an upset loss in their conference championship game. Take Houston. |
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03-15-17 | Belmont +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 37 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins + the points over Georgia. The Bruins lost to Georgia in this same tournament last season, and that game was also here, in Athens. I like the Bruins to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 26-9 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, the Bruins are 6-1 ATS their last seven road games, while Georgia is 2-8 ATS its last 10 as a favorite. Take Belmont. |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-08-17 | Pelicans +14 v. Warriors | Top | 101-123 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
04-08-17 | Clippers +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 98-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
04-08-17 | Celtics v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
04-08-17 | Capitals v. Bruins -130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
04-08-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -173 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
04-07-17 | Kings +3 v. Lakers | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
04-07-17 | Indians -150 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -150 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
04-07-17 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | Top | 113-120 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
04-06-17 | Predators -129 v. Stars | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
04-06-17 | Predators v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
04-06-17 | Blue Jays -117 v. Rays | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
04-06-17 | Jets v. Blue Jackets -179 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -179 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
04-05-17 | Cavs v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Blazers v. Jazz -6.5 | Top | 87-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Coyotes v. Stars -213 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Mariners v. Astros -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Islanders v. Predators -180 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Red Wings v. Senators -170 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Hornets v. Wizards -4 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
04-04-17 | Magic +9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 102-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
04-03-17 | Blazers v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 109-110 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
04-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
04-02-17 | Rockets -11 v. Suns | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
04-02-17 | Flyers v. Rangers -153 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
04-02-17 | Hawks -2 v. Nets | Top | 82-91 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
04-02-17 | Hornets v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
04-02-17 | Islanders v. Sabres -135 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 10 m | Show |
04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -118 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
04-01-17 | Wild v. Predators -121 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
03-31-17 | St. Peter's -3.5 v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi | Top | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
03-31-17 | Spurs -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
03-31-17 | Coastal Carolina +8.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
03-30-17 | Cavs -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 93-99 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
03-30-17 | Maple Leafs v. Predators -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
03-29-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Wyoming -8 | Top | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
03-29-17 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
03-28-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Blazers | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
03-28-17 | TCU -2.5 v. UCF | Top | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 129 h 39 m | Show |
03-28-17 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes -201 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
03-26-17 | Blazers -6 v. Lakers | Top | 97-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
03-26-17 | Canucks v. Jets -160 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
03-26-17 | Kentucky v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
03-25-17 | Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
03-25-17 | Senators v. Canadiens -162 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
03-25-17 | Xavier +8.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
03-25-17 | Furman -6 v. Campbell | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 48 h 26 m | Show |
03-24-17 | Wolves -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3 | Top | 70-50 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 30 m | Show |
03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina -7 | Top | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 86 h 19 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Jets v. Kings -148 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Purdue v. Kansas -5 | Top | 66-98 | Win | 100 | 65 h 51 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -185 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Coyotes v. Panthers -190 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
03-22-17 | CS Bakersfield v. Texas-Arlington -6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
03-22-17 | 76ers v. Thunder -10.5 | Top | 97-122 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
03-21-17 | Sharks v. Wild -157 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
03-21-17 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
03-20-17 | Boise State v. Illinois -7 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 60 h 56 m | Show |
03-20-17 | Warriors v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA -3 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Oakland v. Richmond -4 | Top | 83-87 | Push | 0 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Flyers -140 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Rhode Island v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Arkansas v. North Carolina -10.5 | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 58 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Blazers v. Heat -6 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Pacers +3 v. Raptors | Top | 91-116 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Michigan State v. Kansas -8 | Top | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
03-19-17 | TCU +2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Michigan v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
03-18-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
03-18-17 | Virginia +2 v. Florida | Top | 39-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
03-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Butler -3.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -6 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Kent State v. UCLA -18.5 | Top | 80-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina -1.5 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -2 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Kansas State v. Cincinnati -3.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | Top | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Wichita State v. Dayton +6.5 | Top | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Devils v. Penguins -255 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
03-17-17 | UC-Davis v. Kansas -23.5 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton -102 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Texas Southern +26.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 64-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Jacksonville State v. Louisville -19.5 | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon -14.5 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Virginia Tech v. Wisconsin -5.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Florida State -12 | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Jazz v. Cavs -7 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Flyers v. Devils -104 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Xavier v. Maryland -2 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Vanderbilt v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Minnesota +1 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
03-16-17 | East Tennessee State v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Bucknell v. West Virginia -13.5 | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Winthrop v. Butler -11 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
03-16-17 | North Carolina Wilmington v. Virginia -7.5 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
03-15-17 | Cal-Irvine v. Illinois State -10.5 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 39 h 8 m | Show |
03-15-17 | Akron v. Houston -8 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 9 m | Show |
03-15-17 | Belmont +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 37 h 41 m | Show |