Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-17 | Oregon +5 v. North Carolina | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 52 h 47 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Oregon +5 over UNC, Saturday at 8:35 PM ET The Ducks run to the Final 4 has been extremely impressive as they topped one of the hottest teams in the country (Michigan) in the Sweet 16 and then beat what many considered to be the favorite to win it all (Kansas) in the Elite 8. They Jayhawks were basically at home in Kansas City and they were rolling to say the least winning their first 3 NCAA tourney games all by at least 20 points. Even with that, Oregon handled the Jayhawks by 14 points in a game that was never really in doubt. KU’s only lead of the game was 3-2. The Ducks are 33-5 on the season and 3 of their 5 losses have come by 4 points or less. UNC is obviously very good but we feel they are a bit overrated right now. This team struggled to beat Arkansas in the round of 32 and had to come from 5 points down with 5:00 to go to beat Kentucky by 2 points on a shot at the buzzer. With PG Berry not at 100%, and maybe not even close to it, we think UNC is absolutely beatable here. These two teams are very close in a number of key statistical categories and actually Oregon is the better shooting team (48.4% to 46.9%) and better defensively allowing 65 PPG on 40.7% shooting to UNC’s 71 PPG allowed and 41.7%. The Ducks athletes are absolutely on par with UNC and may actually be better. They should be able to hold their own on the defensive boards which is key vs the Tar Heels. As far as NBA talent goes, the Heels do not have an advantage as they have 2 of the top 53 prospects according the Chad Ford (Jackson & Bradley) while Oregon actually has 3 (Brooks, Dorsey, and Bell). UNC was just a 1.5 point favorite on a neutral court vs Kentucky. Based on that alone, they should be 2.5 or 3 at the very most here. We’re getting value with a very good Oregon team. Don’t be at all surprised if they pull the upset here. |
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04-01-17 | Canadiens v. Lightning -102 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line (-) over Montreal Canadiens, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET |
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04-01-17 | South Carolina v. Gonzaga UNDER 138 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 42 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Under 138, Gonzaga vs South Carolina, Saturday at 6:09 PM ET In this game we have the two top defensive efficiency teams in the entire nation with Gonzaga ranking #1 and South Carolina #2. Both rank in the top 12 nationally in eFG% defense (Zags #1 & S Caro #12) and each lockdown the 3 point line as good as anyone in the nation (both allowing 30% or under). That should limit points from deep which is always a big advantage when you’re on the UNDER. They’ve continued that shut down mode throughout the tourney where South Carolina has allowed their 4 opponents to shoot just 39% and Gonzaga has done even better allowing 33%. They’ve also stopped their opponents from beyond the arc with South Carolina allowing 32% during the tourney (that includes facing two of the top 3-point shooting teams in the nation Marquette & Duke) while the Zags have allowed just 24% from deep. The fact is, it’s really tough to get solid looks against these two defenses. Let’s also not forget that while the Gamecocks have shot the ball decent during the tourney, that’s not their M.O. as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the nation (306th nationally out of 351 teams). On the other side, the Zags simply aren’t accustomed to facing the type of pressure defense they will see here. They did face one similar defense during the tourney in terms of aggressive pressure and that was WVU. In that game Gonzaga shot 40% and scored just 61 points. This one is going to be an absolutely slugfest with the defenses being in control. Let’s also keep in mind this game is being played in a football venue (Arizona Cards) so not conducive to shooting the ball. We don’t see either team reaching 70 points and this one stays well UNDER the total. |
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03-31-17 | Pacers v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
ASA play on: Toronto Raptors (-5.5) over Indiana Pacers. There really isn't a reason to expect the Pacers to suddenly turn around their road fortunes tonight in Toronto against a Raptors team that is really good on their home floor. Toronto is 25-13 SU on their home court this year with the 6th best average point differential in the NBA of +7.7PPG. By comparison, Indiana is just 11-26 SU away this season with a negative differential of minus -6.5PPG which is 8th worst in the league. The Pacers have lost 6 straight road games by an average of 13PPG, so as I said before, why would they do a 180 tonight and play well away from home? Both teams have plenty to play for as the Raptors are looking to move up in the East, while the Pacers are trying to hold on to a playoff spot. We do like the fact the Raptors are off a home loss here as they have covered 5 of their last six off a loss anyplace. They have back to back home losses just once this season and that came to a San Antonio Spurs team that is one of the best teams in the league. Toronto recently beat the Pacers 116-91 and dominated the boards 51-33. Expect much of the same tonight. |
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03-30-17 | Sharks +118 v. Oilers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* San Jose Sharks Money Line (+) over Edmonton Oilers, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET |
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03-30-17 | Georgia Tech +4.5 v. TCU | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Georgia Tech +4.5 over TCU, Thursday at 8:00 PM ET We faded this Tech team on Tuesday as they were facing a red hot CS Bakersfield squad that made it to the NIT Final 4 by winning 3 road games vs 3 very good opponents. Needless to say we were impressed with the Jackets and what they were able to do vs a very good opponent. We always look long and hard at “defensive dogs” in college basketball and that’s what we have here. Tech ranks 6th nationally in defensive efficiency a full 50 spots ahead of TCU. If we look strictly at defensive eFG% it’s even more drastic as GT ranks 17th in that category while the Frogs come in at 178th. Tech’s problem at times has been on the offensive end but they look like they might be peaking on that end of the court at the right time topping 70 points in all 4 of their NIT contests. They’ve done that against 4 defenses (Indiana, Belmont, Ole Miss, and CS Bakersfield) that rank better than TCU in eFG% defense. They’ve shot over 47% from the field so far in this tourney vs 4 solid defenses. If the Jackets do that, they are obviously very tough to beat because they are a shut down team defensively. We think that offensive trend will continue tonight vs TCU. The Frogs had just one win in the Big 12 regular season vs a team that finished in the top half of the conference (Iowa State at home). That’s it. Meanwhile GT beat North Carolina, Florida State, Notre Dame, and Syracuse. We expect this to be a tightly contested game throughout and the number is too high. Take the points and Georgia Tech. |
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03-28-17 | CS Bakersfield +2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON CS Baskersfield +2.5 over Georgia Tech, Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN - NIT GAME OF THE YEAR CS Bakersfield has been more than impressive during their 3 game NIT run thus far. They have won all 3 of those games on the road all vs top 90 teams. Their NIT road wins came against Cal (who was 15-3 at home with 3 losses coming to Arizona, Oregon, and Virginia), Colorado State (who was 15-4 at home), and UT Arlington (who came into the game 14-0 at home). Impressive to say the least. Those wins improved the Roadrunners road/neutral record to 13-8 on the season. They’ve proven all season long they can get it done on the road. Over the last two seasons this group is 23-16 on the road. A few of their road losses this year came vs top notch teams early in the season. They had competitive losses @ SMU, @ Arizona, and @ BYU. Their 6 point loss @ SMU, who was 18-0 at home, was their 2nd closest home win of the season. This is a HUGE deal to this team. They are rarely in the spotlight and a trip to NYC, playing on ESPN, and a chance to win the NIT is of massive importance to this veteran team (3 seniors & 2 juniors in the starting line up). This was the best team in the WAC all season winning the regular season title but getting tripped up by New Mexico State in the tourney final. These veterans are 25-9 this year and they were 24-9 last season. The Roadrunners are a great defensive team ranking 3rd nationally in defensive eFG%. The only two teams ranked higher in that category are Gonzaga (in the Final 4) and UCF (in the NIT Final 4). As far as defensive efficiency goes, they rank 15th nationally which is higher than two Final 4 teams (UNC & Oregon). Georgia Tech had the luxury of playing 2 home games in their 3 game journey to NYC. They have been a bad road team all season long with a 4-11 mark in road/neutral games. They struggle offensively and will again tonight vs a top notch defense. We think CSB will prove to be the tougher, more motivated team tonight and in our opinion, they are simply better than the Jackets. Take the points. |
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03-27-17 | Pelicans v. Jazz UNDER 199 | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
UNDER 199 in the New Orleans at Utah Jazz game tonight, 10:30PM ET. There are several questionable players in the rotations for both teams but either way we expect a lower scoring game tonight. These same two teams recently met on this court (3/6) and produced just 171 total points. The Vegas number on that game was 197. Looking at the Pelicans most recent games they've played against some of the leagues faster paced teams which has led to some higher scoring games, hence a higher line on this game. But when they've played similar teams to the Jazz like Memphis and Toronto they've scored just 177 and 181 total points. Utah is the slowest paced team in the NBA at just 91.6 possessions per game and they have the 3rd best defensive efficiency rating allowing just 1.051 points per possession. New Orleans typically plays faster but they also have the 5th best DEFF rating allowing just 1.064PPP. We doubt New Orleans wants to get into an up-and-down game tonight after a game last night in Denver which will clearly help out cause here. We bet UNDER the total! |
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03-27-17 | Coyotes v. Blues -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
PLAY ON 10* TOP St Louis Blues Puck Line -1.5 goals over Arizona Coyotes @ 8:05 ET: Not only have the Blues defeated the Coyotes 9 straight times, it has been complete domination. 7 wins in the 9-0 run have come by a multiple goal margin and, in fact, the average margin of victory in the 9 wins is 3 goals! With that being said, we like the value here of being able to lay 1.5 goals and get plus money on a Blues team that is off of a loss (rare) and will be ready to bounce back strong. The surge has been big for St Louis since Mike Yeo took over for Ken Hitchcock behind the bench and we've seen the Blues became a different team with Yeo leading the way. The loss that St Louis just had versus Calgary (3-2 in OT) saw all 3 Flames goals score off of deflections off of Blues skates! After that ridiculous result St Louis will take advantage of facing a Coyotes team that is struggling badly again. Arizona has lost 5 of its last 6 games and each of the Coyotes last 4 defeats have come by a multiple goal margin. In recent seasons, the Coyotes have lost a combined 82 of 109 games against teams with a winning record. Facing the hungry and motivated Blues in a spot like this is likely to continue Arizona's misery. St Louis has seen each of its last 5 wins come by a multiple goal margin. Off of a rare loss and considering their series dominance as well as the fact that the Coyotes are tanking, look for the Blues to respond with a huge effort tonight and win this one by a multiple goal margin. |
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03-26-17 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Florida | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* South Carolina +3.5 over Florida, Sunday at 2:20 PM ET We've broken down film on these two teams most recent games and feel the Gamecocks are simply the better team at this moment and that the oddsmakers have the wrong team favored. South Carolina had a fantastic start to the season and were considered one of the better teams in the country before a late game skid caused some doubts. Now they are playing lights out basketball with three really impressive wins in row over Marquette, Duke and Baylor. Florida is no slouch either but they beat East Tennessee State, a Virginia team that was really struggling late in the season and it took OT to beat a sound Wisconsin team. The Badgers had problems with the Gators athletic style of play which is not a concern for South Carolina who can match them physically. In the two meetings this season the Gators beat the Gamecocks by 15 at home as a -7.5-point favorite while the Cocks won at home by 4 as a 2-point chalk. If we break this game down according to season stats and efficiency ratings the Gators look like the better overall team. But when you analyze how each team is CURRENTLY playing, it's clear the Gamecocks are better. Grab whatever points are available for insurance, but don't be surprised with an upset. Elite 8 dogs (29-19 ATS since 2004) are the way to go. |
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03-25-17 | Raptors v. Mavs OVER 193.5 | Top | 94-86 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
ASA PLAY OVER 194 in the Toronto Raptors @ Dallas Mavericks game, 8:35PM ET. Our analytics or math model has put us on this total that has clearly been set to low by the oddsmakers. Our computers tell us the total points scored in this game should be 203 which is drastically different that the set number. Let's not forget the league average for points scored in an NBA game is 211. Both of these team are near the league average in pace of play so we know we'll get the tempo we need for points. They are slightly better than average in terms of defensive efficiency ratings and Toronto is far better in offensive efficiency than the Mavs. But again, we're talking averages here and what the projected total points that will be scored based on math. Part of the reason this number is so low is the fact these two teams recently playing in Toronto and that game ended with just 178 total points but the Mavs, who average 98PPG on the season, managed just 78. That won't happen at home today where they average 100.5PPG on the season. The value wager on this game is OVER the total! |
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03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* UNDER 145.5, Xavier vs Gonzaga, Saturday at 6:05 PM ET After making 46% of their shots on the season and 35% of their 3-point attempts, Xavier has played over their heads offensively during the first 3 games of the tourney. In their 3 NCAA tourney games they have made 53% of their shots and 46% of their 3-point attempts. Now they face a defense that ranks #1 nationally in defensive efficiency AND defensive eFG%. Gonzaga’s offense has been shaky at best during this tourney (shooting just 41%) but their defense has lived up to its lofty billing. They held a high scoring South Dakota State team to just 46 points in the opener. Then Northwestern put up only 20 points in the first half before breaking out in the 2nd half although we feel that had a lot to do with Gonzaga letting up with a huge lead. On Thursday they completely stifled WVU’s offense holding them to 58 points on 27% shooting. On the season the Zags have allowed only 8 teams to top 70 points in 36 games! We think they keep XU under 70 here. We also think Gonzaga’s offense is held short of 70 in this one. While we look for XU’s offense to cool down, we also look for their defense to continue to play very well. They’ve allowed 65, 66, and 71 points in the tourney, the final two tallies coming against very good offensive teams (Florida State & Arizona). The Musketeers held their first 3 opponents to 41% and we can’t envision a struggling Gonzaga offense doing much more than that. UNDER is the play in this one. |
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03-24-17 | Wisconsin v. Florida UNDER 132 | Top | 83-84 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 59 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Under 132, Florida vs Wisconsin, Friday at 9:55 PM ET We expect a slow paced game here and with 2 of the top 7 teams in the nation in defensive efficiency, a low scoring one as well. Florida ranks 3rd in the nation in defensive efficiency and they’ve allowed only 104 total points in their 2 NCAA games. They just held Virginia to 39 points last weekend to get here. While we don’t expect them to do that to Wisconsin, the game will be played at a similar pace and Florida-UVA put up just 104 points. The two teams combined for only 104 shot attempts as well and converted on only 17 FT’s. A low shot total and few FT’s here again as neither team fouls very much. The Gators have held 14 of their last 19 opponents to less than 70 points and we don’t think the Badgers get there. Wisconsin ranks 7th in defensive efficiency and just held a much better offense (Villanova ranked 4th in offensive efficiency) to only 62 points. Florida is not a great shooting team if they are forced to play a half court game and that’s what Wisconsin will make them do here. Only 7 teams all season have topped 70 points on Wisconsin. That’s it. Four of those seven opponents ranked in the top 10 nationally in offensive efficiency (Michigan, UNC, Marquette, and Creighton when Watson was healthy). Florida is not nearly as potent offensively as those teams. Both defenses push the opposing offenses into long possessions and this one stays UNDER the total. |
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03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky +1.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Kentucky +1.5 over UCLA, Friday at 9:35 PM ET We’ve said all along we don’t expect UCLA to get to the Final 4 because their defense is simply a tier below many of the other schools. If the Bruins did make it to Arizona, they would do so with the lowest rated defense (79th nationally in defensive efficiency) to make a Final 4 since 2002. Their offense is great. They were able to overwhelm Cincinnati midway through the 2nd half because their offense was so much better than the Bearcats. Remember Cincy led that game at half and for much of the first part of the 2nd half but just couldn’t keep up on offense losing 79-67. Now UCLA faces a team that is close to being on par with them offensively as Kentucky checks in with the 12th most efficient offense in the nation (UCLA is 2nd). However, one of the reasons we like the Cats here is they are MUCH better on the defensive end ranking 7th nationally. The gap between these two defenses is much wider than the offensive gap. On top of that, Kentucky is the better rebounding team. Throw in the fact that this is a revenge game as UCLA beat Kentucky 97-92 at Rupp Arena in early December snapping the Cats 42 game home winning streak and we have UK coming into with big time motivation. UCLA was able to hit 53% of their shots in that game while Kentucky made only 41% but it was still a tight game down the stretch. The Wildcats have improved immensely on defense since that outing holding 10 of their last 12 opponents to 70 points or less. While we don’t expect them to shut down UCLA here, we think they’ll play much better on that end of the court and exploit UCLA’s defense here for the win. Kentucky comes into this game as an underdog for just the 2nd time this season and the crowd in Memphis will be a big time edge for Kentucky. Take the Cats. |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor UNDER 135 | Top | 70-50 | Win | 100 | 46 h 5 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Under 135, Baylor vs South Carolina, Friday at 7:25 PM ET Two top notch defenses should control this game. The Gamecocks rank as the 4th most efficient defense in the nation while Baylor checks in with the 4th most efficient defense. Both stop units are far ahead of the offense. Especially South Carolina. We’re going to discount their first two offensive performances as outliers to the norm. They put up 93 on Marquette who came into the tourney with one of the least efficient defenses. The Gamecocks then had 23 points at halftime vs Duke, which is a normal-like SC performance, only to put up a ridiculous 65 points in the 2nd half. The most EVER in a half vs a Krzyzewski coached team. The fact is, this is a poor shooting team. The worst remaining in the tourney BY FAR. South Carolina ranks 306th nationally in eFG% (only 44 teams are worse). Of the teams remaining in the tourney Florida is the 2nd worst shooting team and they rank 116th nationally which gives you an idea of how poor this Gamecock team shoots. Now they face a Baylor team that plays zone and will make they shoot jump shots for the outside which usually doesn’t work for SC. The Bears shot nearly 49% in their first two NCAA games and both were high scoring. However, they were both vs lower tier defensive teams. So each offense has faced poor defenses thus far and now they run into a brick wall. The high scoring games these teams were involved in last week set this one up nicely for an UNDER play. |
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03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina UNDER 153 | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Under 153, Butler vs UNC, Friday at 7:05 PM ET Butler is a slow paced team and they know their best chance to win here is to keep this one a half-court game. While UNC wants to run, the slower paced usually gets the tempo they want as long as they aren’t getting blown out. That’s what we see happening here with Butler playing slow. Another key to beating UNC is keeping them off the offensive boards. Butler is a solid defensive rebounding team which will help (68th nationally) and our feel is they send everyone to the defensive boards to make sure UNC doesn’t dominate that aspect. Doing that will also take away chances for Butler pushing the ball after a rebound as everyone will be at the rim. Thus, they will most likely be walking the ball up after a defensive rebound. If the Heels are forced to play in a half court game, they are not a great shooting team. They rank 98th nationally in eFG% and that might be a bit skewed do to their offensive rebound put backs (basically many times turn into layups) and their points in transition – both should be limited here. The Bulldogs had 3 top 30 offenses (efficiency wise) in the Big East (Villanova, Marquette, & Xavier) and not one of those teams top 80 points (in 7 games). The Dogs held those opponents in their 7 match ups to an average of 69 PPG. UNC is a top offense but this line (with total factored in) is calling for UNC to reach 80+ points. We don’t think they will. On the flip side, it calls for Butler to reach 73 points (or so) and we don’t think that happens either. Butler is a solid shooting team but they are playing into the 19th most efficient defense in the nation. If this total stays where it is, it will be tied for the highest total all year for Butler. The other was vs Creighton early in the year with the Blue Jays were rolling and at full strength. The two totaled 139 in that game staying 14+ points below the number. In fact, Butler has topped 150 points (combined with opponent) just 6 times in 34 games this year. This one stays UNDER. |
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03-24-17 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 222 | Top | 108-129 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
ASA 3* PLAY UNDER 221 Brooklyn Nets @ Washington Wizards, 7PM ET. We successfully played under in the Nets game last night and our math model has put us on this under tonight. Quickly, comparing last night's Nets game with tonight's opponent, we see that Washington plays slower than Phoenix (Nets played last night) and are better defensively. But yet the line on tonight's game is nearly the same. These same two teams just met in mid-February and combined for 224 in overtime. At the end of regulation the Nets and Wizards had combined for just 200 points in that game. As we mentioned last night, the Nets are playing much slower of late and it's led to 3 unders in their last four games. Last night they did put up 126 points but that was against a Suns team that is horrible defensively and they are a team that has quit on the season. Washington has a huge game on deck against the Cavs and play a tough stretch of games coming up so the last thing they'll want to do tonight is run-n-gun. When playing in Washington the Wizards, combined with their opponent, have topped 224 total points just two times in their last 13. Brooklyn games average 224PPG on the road this year, Washington home games average 215. Do the math! Both teams scoring and points allowed are trending down right now and we bet UNDER here! |
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03-23-17 | Xavier v. Arizona UNDER 145 | Top | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
We play UNDER 145 in the Xavier vs. Arizona game. Our math on this game suggests less than 140 total points and we'll be UNDER here. Pace of play has the biggest impact on this wager as we get two slower paced teams here with Arizona ranking 288th (of of 351) while Xavier is 245th. On average, Arizona takes 18.6 seconds to get a shot off which is 295th slowest, Xavier takes 17.6 seconds to shoot which is 211th. Xavier put up some solid offensive numbers their last two games but it came against two defenses that were ranked 70th and 98th in defensive efficiency ratings. Arizona is 41st in DEFF and they play in the Big 12 which is 7th in efficiency ratings. The Musketeers put up 91 points against Florida State the other night by shooting 55.6% from the field overall, 64.7% from beyond the arc. Those numbers are not normal considering Xavier shoots 45.8% overall and 34.9% from 3 on the season. In other words, expect a return to normal season averages tonight, especially against a Wildcat 'D' that allows just 41.8% from the field and 30.9% from the 3-point line. Arizona had a high scoring game against North Dakota but NDU is the 34th fastest paced team in college hoops. In Zona's game against St Mary's, the total ended with 129 total points and St Mary's is 251st in pace which is similar to Xavier. We continue to monitor the number on this game which will trend up as the public bets over, then immediately bounce lower as the sharps bet under. Go with the smart money here! BET UNDER! |
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03-23-17 | West Virginia +3.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* West Virginia +3.5 over Gonzaga, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET The Zags did not look like a #1 seed over the first weekend. They struggled with a South Dakota State team that finished tied for 4th in the Summit League and then had Northwestern on the ropes and let the Cats come back and nearly pull the upset. We were on the Zags vs NW as we felt it was a perfect situation for them. Coming off a bad first outing for a top rated seed usually leads to a much better effort in game 2. They had a NW team that was simply happy to be in the Dance and off their first win ever in the NCAA tourney. They jumped out to a 22 point lead which is exactly as we felt the game would play out early. From that point on Gonzaga looked like an average team giving an OK, not great, Northwestern team a shot to win the game late. Now they get a very tough match up in the Sweet 16. WVU is a physical team that dominates the offensive boards (#6 nationally) and pressures offenses with waves of physically talented players. They are #1 in the nation at creating turnovers and while the Zags season long stats indicate they don’t turn the ball over a lot, however they don’t see anything like this defense during the season. In fact, 6 of their 9 opponents in the West Coast Conference rank 279th or lower in defensive turnover percentage. Only one ranks in the top 100. Now they face a team with better athletes than they are used to seeing that creates turnovers at the highest rate in the nation and plays in a much better conference (Big 12) while doing so. WVU runs a pressure defense that’s almost impossible to duplicate in practice. The Zags actually had more turnovers than assists in each of their first two NCAA games and those teams are nowhere near as good as West Virginia. They also don’t see great offensive rebounding teams with only 1 WCC team (St Marys) ranked in the top 100 in that category. Because of they often dominate the offensive glass and create turnovers, the Mountaineers often have more opportunities to score on the offensive end. Just over the last 10 games they have attempted 77 more shots than their opponents and that’s mainly vs very good Big 12 opponents. If they continue to shoot well (48% in first two NCAA games) they’ll be very tough to beat. As we stated, the Zags struggle with teams that are FAR inferior to WVU and if they play like that again Thursday, they have no chance to win. We like the dog here. |
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03-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators +124 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 124 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Ottawa Senators Money Line (+) over Pittsburgh Penguins, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET |
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03-23-17 | Suns v. Nets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 98-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
The value NBA Total bet tonight is UNDER in the Phoenix Suns @ Brooklyn Nets game. Our math model projects 218 total points in this game. The oddsmakers opened a number of 219.5 which has gone up dramatically to the current total. Obviously, there is tremendous value with the UNDER here. Phoenix is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA at 107.1PPG but in their last five games they are averaging just 99.4PPG which is the 6th lowest average in the NBA. While their offensive numbers have been on a slide down hill, their defensive statistics have improved. On the season the Suns allow 1.116 points per possession (5th worst) but in their last five games they are giving up an average of 1.068PPP which is 12th best in the league. Phoenix has scored 103 or less points in 6 straight games. The Nets have had a few slower paced games and it looks like the wear and tear of the season is catching up with them, much like the Suns. The Nets are the fastest paced team in the league on the year with 101.1 possessions per game but in their last five games that average has dipped to 97 possessions which is 18th slowest. On the year the Nets have one of the three worst offenses in terms of offensive efficiency ratings and they've averaged just 99PPG their last three games. When the Suns have played on the road this season those games have averaged 219PPG while the Nets home games have averaged 215PPG. This is an easy call with the UNDER! |
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03-22-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Coastal Carolina -3.5 | Top | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Coastal Carolina -3.5 over Illinois Chicago, Wednesday at 7:00PM ET We’re definitely getting some line value here with CC. The Chanticleers were just favored by 5.5 at home vs Loyola Maryland on Monday and now they are laying just 3.5 to UIC, two teams that are rated almost the same (Loyola 226th nationally & UIC 232nd). The situation here also heavily favors Coastal as they were at home on Monday and at home again tonight. UIC, on the other hand, has to travel for the first time in the CBI tourney. The Flames also played at home on Monday and now having to travel and play 2 days later gives them very little time to prepare for CC. On top of that, this post-season road situation is something nobody on UIC’s roster has ever been involved with. This is the youngest team in the nation with 4 freshmen in the starting line up & none of the other Flames have ever played in the post-season before this year. Coastal, on the other hand, is a veteran team (4 upperclassmen in the starting line-up) that has turned it on down the stretch winning 9 of their last 11 home games with their two losses each coming by 2 points. CC has better efficiency numbers both offensively and defensively. They also finished 10-8 in the tougher Sun Belt compared to UIC’s 7-11 record in the lower rated Horizon. This one sets up nicely and we’ll take Coastal Carolina to win and cover. |
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03-21-17 | Bucks v. Blazers OVER 207.5 | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
ASA PLAY OVER 207.5 in the Milwaukee Bucks @ Portland Trailblazers 10PM ET. We have patiently watched this line drop all day as it opened at 214.5 and is now 207.5 which offers tremendous value with an OVER bet. When these two teams met earlier this year the oddsmakers posted a number of 215 which is where our math model suggests this game will end up at. They combined for 222 in the earlier meeting and an easy over winner. Portland returns home tonight where they've combined with their opponents to scored more than tonight's total in 13 of their last 15. Milwaukee has gone under in several games of late but they also faced a few of the leagues better defensive efficiency teams in the NBA. Tonight they face a Blazers team that is 27th in the NBA in DEFF, allowing 1.117 points per possession. When playing on the road this season the Bucks games have averaged 207PPG this season while the Blazers home games have averaged 219 total points. The last 13 times these two teams have met in Portland the over has cashed 9 times. The bet here is OVER! |
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03-21-17 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Ole Miss -5 over Georgia Tech, Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2 While both are 2-0 in the NIT, the Ole Miss path has proven much more impressive. The Rebs won both games on the road @ Monmouth, who was easily the best team in the Metro Atlantic this year, and then a win @ Syracuse, who many felt should have been in the Big Dance. Now they are thrilled to finally get a home game and with a win they move to the NIT Final 4. If Mississippi was able to beat two very solid opponents on the road, we’re confident they can get a win at home in this one. Georgia Tech, on the other hand, has played both of their games at home getting wins over a disinterested Indiana team that has quit on the season and Belmont. Now Tech must travel for the first time in this tourney and they were terrible on the road all season long. The Jackets were 2-10 in road games this year losing by an average of 12 PPG. This team leans heavily on their defense and their numbers on that end of the court dropped significantly away from home. At home Tech allowed just 61 PPG and opponents shot under 40%. On the road they gave up 76 PPG and teams shot 46% from the field. A drastic difference to say the least. If they can’t rely on their defense, this team is in trouble because they are not good offensively ranking nearly the bottom of college hoops in offensive efficiency, eFG%, and FT%. Ole Miss was a potent offense at home averaging 80 PPG here. We don’t think Tech can keep up and we’ll lay the number with Mississippi. |
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03-20-17 | Jazz v. Pacers OVER 192.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
We will play OVER 192.5 in the Utah Jazz @ Indiana Pacers, 7PM ET - We are betting a number here as the value lies with an over wager on this game. Our math model suggests 201.5 points in this contest which is drastically higher than the Vegas line. Remember, scoring is up this year in the NBA and the league is per game is 211PPG. The Jazz are the slowest paced team in the league and yet they've had just 9 games in their last 51 with a posted total lower than tonight's number. Granted, the over is just 5-4 in those games but the point is Vegas doesn't typically post lines this low on games. As for the Pacers and Vegas Totals they have played 69 games this season and only TWO have had totals less than 200 points and both went over. These same two teams met in late January and the oddsmaker posted a number of 200.5 on that game and they combined for 209 points. Overall on the road this season the Jazz and their opponents are averaging 198PPG while the Pacers home games have averaged 208 total points per game. Utah is 15-10 to the over when the line is 194.5 or less. Over is 4-1 L5 Pacers games versus a team with a winning straight up record. |
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03-20-17 | UCF v. Illinois State -4.5 | Top | 63-62 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Illinois State -4.5 over UCF, Monday at 7:00 PM ET – ISU was easily the 2nd best team in the MVC all season long and not far behind Wichita State. The Redbirds beat the Shockers by 14 on this court this season. Speaking of this court, ISU is 16-0 this season at home and they have won 22 straight games at Redbird Arena. All but 3 of those 22 wins have come by at least 5 points (tonight’s number is -4.5). They whipped the top team in the Big West , Cal Irvine, here last week by 14 points. UCF won their opener at home vs Colorado by 5 points in what was a great draw for the Knights. Colorado was a veteran team that wasn’t thrilled to be in the NIT (their goal from day one was NCAA) and it was a long travel game for them – first time they’ve left the west coast this season. We were on UCF in that game and picked up a win. Now the Knights travel and they were less than impressive on the road this year. They did win 4 AAC road games but those came against the bottom 4 teams in the league and 3 of the 4 wins were by 3 points or less. They are not a great shooting team, especially on the road hitting only 40% of their shots, and they are facing a very good defense. ISU is 18th nationally in defensive efficiency and at home they allow opponents to hit just 37%. UCF is very solid defensively as well, but with ISU at home we think they’ll perform much better than UCF offensively. Lay the small number. |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati +4 v. UCLA | Top | 67-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Cincinnati +4 over UCLA, Sunday at 9:40 PM ET We like looking at NCAA underdogs that have a big advantage defensively and we definitely have that here. The Bearcats are the 11th most efficient defense in the nation and 8th best when it comes to eFG% defense. UCLA ranks 83rd and 82nd in those 2 categories. Is UCLA better offensively? Sure they are but Cincy is no slouch this year coming in at 33rd nationally in offensive efficiency. We like the fact the Bearcats are simply the tougher team here as well. They’ll most likely win the battle of the boards and make this a grinder, half court type game. We’re not sure this young UCLA team will thrive in a slower paced game and you can bet that’s what Cincy will do here. There really isn’t a team in the Pac 12 that is a tough, slow paced team like the Bearcats so UCLA won’t be acclimated to playing against this style This tough, experienced Cincinnati team (4 Juniors & Seniors in the starting line up) has lots of tourney game time under their belts. They easily handled a solid Kansas State team in round one and we think they give UCLA fits here. The line is also begging you to take UCLA in this game as Vegas set the number very low at -4 and it has dropped to -3.5 since. With 70% of the bets coming in on the Bruins and they line dropping, that tells us most of the casual basketball bettors in Vegas this time of year are on UCLA while the people that bet heavier money and are doing this day in and day out are on the Bearcats. Rumors of Alford heading to Indiana can’t help here either. We think UCLA gets bounced here. |
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03-19-17 | Rhode Island v. Oregon -5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Oregon -5 over Rhode Island, Sunday at 7:10 PM ET URI is a solid team that plays very well on defense, however they don’t have enough offense to hang here. The Rams picked up a great draw in their first game playing a Creighton team that in their current state, wasn’t even good enough to be in the tourney. In fact, since the Blue Jays lost point guard Watson mid-season, they were just 7-9. If it weren’t for their early season run with Watson in the line up, the Jays would not have been in the tourney. Much is made of URI’s defense which is very good, however let’s not discount the Ducks defense. They actually have better efficiency numbers than URI (Oregon 22nd nationally in defensive efficiency & URI 26th). While the defenses will be comparable here, the Ducks offense is far superior. Oregon is the 17th most efficient offense in the nation and their eFG% is 55.8% which is good for 15th. Rhode Island’s eFG% ranks 175th and they are a bad 3-point shooting team (239th). They also make just 66% of their free throws. Speaking of FT’s, the Rams also send teams to the foul line A LOT (19th most in the nation) while the Ducks foul very infrequently sending teams to the line 16th least in the country. The Rams have played just 7 teams this year that made the tourney and were just 3-4 in those games. They are also very new to this gig having not been in the Dance since 1999. Oregon, on the other hand, is a veteran team that was one win away from the Final 4 last year. They are experienced in this spot and on a mission. Lay the small number. |
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03-18-17 | Northwestern v. Gonzaga -11 | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Gonzaga -11 over Northwestern, Saturday at 5:15 PM ET The Zags played one of their worst games of the season on Thursday and still beat South Dakota State by 20 points. They shot just 39% (their season average is 51%), 26% from 3 (season average is 38%) and they made just 8 of 18 from the FT line. You can bet after this team has been questioned as a #1 seed, they will play MUCH better on Saturday. Northwestern, on the other hand, has probably already accomplished all they could have hoped for. After making the Dance for the first time ever, they were a bit fortunate on Thursday when Vandy held a 1-point lead late and intentionally fouled NW thinking they were down 1. The Cats now have an NCAA appearance and an NCAA win on a down to the wire game so this one could be tough. We feel this game is very similar to their Big Ten tourney game vs Wisconsin. They came into that game having beaten Maryland to pretty much lock in their first NCAA tourney invite only to turn around and get crushed by the Badgers the following day. NW scored just 48 points in that game. This team can struggle offensively as they are just the 203rd best shooting team in the nation and they’ve been held under 70 points in 12 of their last 14 games. That won’t change here facing Gonzaga who rates as the #1 defensive efficiency team in the nation. As bad as they were offensively on Thursday, the Zags still held South Dakota State, a team that was regularly scoring 80+ points per game, to just 48. They have held 15 of their last 21 opponents to 61 points or less. We wouldn’t be at all surprised to see them hold Northwestern under 60 here. Add that to a motivated offense that will play much better on Saturday and the makings of a blowout are in order. Lastly, this game also falls into a very strong NCAA round 2 system of ours that has covered 13 of the last 16 times it’s applied (81%) and we side with Gonzaga as a Top Game here. |
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03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina OVER 141 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
PLAY OVER in the Marquette vs South Carolina game. The opening number on this game was 148 but has since been bet down to the current total of 141.5 and now the price is right for an OVER wager. Marquette is the 7th most efficient offense in the entire nation averaging 1.210 points per possession. They are 6th in eFG% at 57.6% and the #1 3-point shooting team in all college hoops. The Golden Eagles average possession length is 16.3 seconds which ranks 73rd overall in the county. Now the reason this line is low and has been bet down is because of South Carolina's poor offense. They are a bad shooting team at 46.7 eFG5 which is 316th in the nation BUT they are around average in pace of play and above average in average possession length at 16.6 seconds offensively. Where the Gamecocks will get their points is on the offensive glass where a small Marquette lineup will have a hard time blocking out. SC is the 44th best offensive rebounding team in the nation and even bad shooting teams can make layups. Two teams in the SEC that are very similar in raw statistics to Marquette are Arkansas and Auburn and when South Carolina played those two teams they combined for 167 and 159 total points. The value bet here is OVER the total! |
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03-17-17 | Troy State +20 v. Duke | Top | 65-87 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Troy +20 over Duke, Friday at 7:20 PM T We look for Duke to play a “ho-hum” type game in the opening round vs Troy. The Devils expended a ton of energy last weekend winning the ACC tourney beating Clemson, Louisville, UNC, and Notre Dame in 4 days. They are bound to have an emotional letdown after that one especially against a no name opponent like Troy. The Trojans are a dangerous team that is very athletic. Duke will not “out athlete” Troy in this one. They are a solid offensive team (51% eFG%) with experienced guards that can shoot the 3. The Trojans have 3 players in their starting lineup that hit at least 38% from deep and 4 of their 5 starters are upperclassmen. Defensively they aren’t great but not terrible either. As we stated they will match up athletically with Duke on the defensive end. They played USC to the wire on the road this year and the one NCAA caliber team in the Sun Belt besides Troy was UT Arlington and they split with them this year. Duke is a bit banged up with Jefferson & Allen not at 100%. You can bet Krzyzewski wants to get through this game and move on. They don’t need a blowout here and we’re not sure they could pull that off even if they wanted to. Sun Belt entries have taken much higher seeds to the wire each of the last two NCAA tourneys and we think it may happen again. |
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03-17-17 | UC-Davis v. Kansas -22.5 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Kansas -22.5 over UC Davis, Friday at 6:50 PM ET UC Davis ranks as THE WORST team in the field coming in at #216 in the Ken Pom rankings. They played ONE, yes ONE, top 100 team all season long and that was a 25 point loss to California who didn’t even make the tourney. Even with the weak schedule (300th SOS), the Aggies were a terrible offensive team this season. For the season UCD ranks 291st in offensive efficiency, 240th in eFG%, and shoot just 66% from the FT line. They have gone 7 consecutive games without reaching 70 points on offense and those were all vs opponents ranked 137th or lower. On top of that, this is a terrible spot for them after playing a tough down to the wire game on Wednesday night in Dayton they now play #1 seed Kansas in Tulsa just 2 days later. KU will be motivated here. They were taken out in the first game of the Big 12 tourney by TCU so they come in wanting to right that wrong. It was really a blessing in disguise as that loss was last Thursday so the Jayhawks have now had more than a week off to rest up, prepare and get ready for the Dance. Soon to be top 10 draft pick and one of the best players in the nation, Josh Jackson, was suspended for KU’s loss to TCU but returns here. Unlike UC Davis, Kansas has played only 3 teams all season long ranked below 200. All three of those opponents were ranked in a similar range to Davis (219th, 224th, and 249th) and KU destroyed all 3 teams 31, 30, and 18 points. KU can name the score here and with them being extra motivated coming in off a loss, we think they don’t let up. |
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03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon OVER 152 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 152, Iona vs Oregon, Friday at 2:00 PM ET Iona is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation and they shoot the ball very well. They are the 16th best 3-point shooting team in the nation and they hit 77% of their FT’s. Defensively they won’t scare anyone. They rank 203rd nationally in defensive efficiency and in their 3 games vs NCAA tourney teams this year they allowed 99, 91, and 75 points. The Ducks should be able to take advantage of that as they rank 16th in the nation in offensive efficiency and hit 80 or more points 12 times in Pac 12 play. To put that in perspective, only 4 Pac 12 teams rank lower than 112th in defensive efficiency so they put up points facing much better defenses for the most part. Iona has scored at least 80 points in 17 of their last 27 games. Oregon can play any pace and with Iona wanting to push we think the Ducks will be fine with that. High scoring here. |
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03-17-17 | New Mexico State +12.5 v. Baylor | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* New Mexico State +12.5 over Baylor, Friday at 12:40 PM ET This total is set fairly at just 134 so a low scoring game is expected. Baylor leans heavily on their defense and they can struggle at times offensively. When they win, they don’t win big very often. In fact, of their last 12 wins, 11 have come by less than 12 points. One thing the Bears rely on is getting extra offensive opportunities by controlling the boards. That shouldn’t happen here as NMSU is a very solid rebounding team (18th nationally in offensive rebounding). The Aggies are a veteran team that is used to being in this environment. They have now been in the Big Dance 5 of the last 6 seasons. They have a solid backcourt (Taylor, Baker & Huggins) that have been logged a lot of minutes and won a lot of games over the last 2 to 3 seasons. This isn’t a flash in the pan type program at New Mexico State. This is the 6th straight year they’ve won at least 23 games. Their conference, the WAC, looks better than most may have anticipated based on early post-season results. Cal State Bakersfield, the team NMSU beat in the WAC final by 10, just went to Cal and won in the NIT. UMKC beat UW Green Bay in the NIT and Utah Valley won @ Georgia Southern in the CBI. Baylor is not a good 3-point shooting team and the NMSU defense ranks 8th nationally at defending the arc so we don’t expect much from deep from the Bears here. They’ll have to grind this one out inside the arc making it tough to pull away against a solid opponent. We think the Aggies match up very well here and we’ll take the points. |
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03-16-17 | Sabres v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 140 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* Los Angeles Kings Puck Line -1.5 goals: The Sabres have lost 9 of their last 11 games but they haven't faced the Kings since mid-December and that was a big 6-3 win for Buffalo. You know the Kings will be looking for payback here and what has intensified the situation is the fact that Los Angeles is off of back to back losses and playing their final home game for the next 7 days. After this game the Kings will be heading to Western Canada for a two-game road trip and they won't be on home ice again until next Thursday. This means there is no doubt that LA will have supreme focus for this game and the home team has won the last two games between these clubs by a combined score of 8 to 3. The Kings average margin of victory in their last 13 games is 2.2 goals. The Sabres average margin of defeat in their last 11 losses is 2 goals. With Buffalo in the middle of a tough road trip out west and Los Angeles looking to respond after an embarrassing home loss versus Arizona, this one should easily be decided by a multiple goal margin. LA finds itself in a fierce fight for the final playoff spot out west while the Sabres run of 9 losses in their last 11 games has dashed any glimmering hopes about making the playoffs for this season. Off of back to back losses and playing this game with revenge, look for the Kings to respond with a huge effort tonight and win this one by a multiple goal margin. |
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03-16-17 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON St Mary's -4 over VCU, Thursday at 7:20 PM ET Really like the situation for St Mary’s here. They’ve been off since March 7th after losing to Gonzaga in the WCC final. VCU, on the other hand, just finished 3 games in 3 days on Sunday losing to URI in the A10 Final and now must play out west (game is in Salt Lake City) just a few days later. The Gaels are under rated in our opinion. They are one of the most balanced teams in the nation ranking in the top 26 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They shoot the ball as well as any team in the nation ranking 14th nationally in 3 point FG% and 8th nationally in FG% inside the arc. They have just 4 losses on the season and 3 of them came at the hands of #1 seed Gonzaga. VCU is a team that likes to up tempo if possible so look for STM to frustrate them as they play with the 2nd slowest tempo in the nation. VCU is just an OK shooting team that really struggles from beyond the arc (241st nationally in 3 point %). They won’t get many 2nd chances here as the Gaels are the #1 defensive rebounding team in the nation. We’ll side with the MUCH better shooting team (and better numbers defensively as well for that matter) in a very good scheduling situation. St Marys rolls here. |
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03-16-17 | South Dakota State v. Gonzaga OVER 156 | Top | 46-66 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 156 - South Dakota State vs Gonzaga, Thursday at 2:00 PM ET Tonight we play OVER in the South Dakota St vs Gonzaga game. As you already know we've been dialed in on college totals this month and this is a great match up for an OVER wager. Both teams want to play fast and score points in a hurry. South Dakota St comes from the Summit League which is the fastest paced, has the highest offensive efficiency rating and the #1 ranked eFG% conference in all of college basketball. South Dakota St was the 7th fastest paced team in the league at 70.5 possession per game but was also the most efficient at 1.162 points per possession in conference play. They were also the 2nd most efficient shooting team in the league with an eFG% of 56.9% As good as the conference was offensively, it was just as bad defensively. Not one team allowed less than 1.000 points per possession in conference play this season and SDST gave up 1.121PPP which was 308th out of 351 schools. Again, the Jack Rabbits were solid offensively though, ranking 62nd nationally in OEFF at 1.108PPP. The second part of this equation is of course Gonzaga. The Zags have the 10th most efficient offensive in college hoops at 1.207 points per possession and are the 72nd fastest paced team. Their average length of a possession is just 15.7 seconds which is 33rd in the nation. They shoot it extremely well too by hitting 38.2% (45th) of their 3-point attempts and 58.4% (4th) of their 2’s. Gonzaga has the 2nd best eFG% percentage in college hoops at 58%. Earlier this season the Zags played South Dakota who is eerily similar to South Dakota State and that game ended 102-65 in Gonzaga’s favor. Gonzaga has scored 90+ points in 5 of their last 12 games and last year they put up 90+ in the opening round of the tourney so we know they won’t be shy here. Plenty of points here by both! OVER is the bet! |
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03-14-17 | Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON Georgia Tech +3 over Indiana, Tuesday at 9:00 PM on ESPN Can’t imagine IU is all that excited about being here. They had high hopes to start the season and actually topped the likes of UNC and Kansas in the first month of the season. Their high hopes came crashing down with a 7-11 Big Ten record and now a team that had big time NCAA aspirations, not just getting there but making a run, is stuck in the NIT. The Hoosiers were offered to host this game but declined due to renovations going on at Assembly Hall. You can bet Georgia Tech is thrilled to host a blue blood program like Indiana. The Jackets are no slouch as they played in the toughest conference in America and finished 7-2 at home in ACC beating the likes of North Carolina, Notre Dame, Florida State, and Syracuse. They face an IU team that is just 2-8 this year on the road with those wins coming by 4 @ Ohio State and by 3 @ Penn State. The Hoosiers offense can be potent but they are facing the 7th most efficient defense in the nation here. By comparison, the most comparable team in the Big Ten when it comes to defensive efficiency would be Wisconsin who ranks 8th nationally. The Badgers held Indiana to 60, 60, and 68 points in their 3 meetings. We think Tech does the same tonight and they pick up a home win. Not sure Indiana should even be favored in this one. |
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03-14-17 | Ole Miss v. Monmouth -3 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Monmouth -3 over Ole Miss, Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET Monmouth was the best team in the MEAC all season long but lost in the conference tourney to drop to the NIT. The Hawks finished the conference with a record of 18-2 which was a full 4 games ahead of 2nd place St Peters. They finished 27-6 and their only non-conference losses came at North Carolina, at Syracuse, and at South Carolina (in OT). They beat two top 100 teams in the non-conference slate topping Memphis on the road and beating NCAA bound Princeton. That win over Princeton on December 20th was actually the last time Princeton lost as the Tigers have won 19 straight since. Monmouth is a team that is very solid on both sides of the ball (89th in offensive efficiency and 85th in defensive efficiency), they don’t turn the ball over, they shoot it very well from 3, and they make FT’s. Ole Miss has to be a bit disappointed they have to travel to a game like this to open the NIT. They were hoping for a home game. Getting to Monmouth (in New Jersey) could pose all kinds of problems for the Rebs as well with the huge winter storm hitting the east coast. The Rebels are not a great shooting team and on the road they really bottomed out hitting just 39% of their shots. This is a HUGE home game for Monmouth as they rarely host a big conference opponent. The last “big name” opponent the Hawks were able to host was back in 2015 when they faced off against in-state big boy Rutgers and lost by 1 point. Monmouth has won 24 of their last 27 home games and they get the win and cover here against what could be a disinterested Ole Miss team. |
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03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs -7 | Top | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: #532 @Cleveland Cavaliers (-7) over Detroit Pistons, 7PM ET - At first glance it looks like the Pistons plus the points would be the bet here but closer inspection tells us differently. The Cavs (and LeBron) are clearly a 'play on' team given the circumstances and you have to pick and choose your spots carefully considering they're over-valued by the oddsmakers on most occasions. Tonight the Cavs are on NBA TV which normally brings out the best of ego driven LBJ. Plus, these two teams just met in Detroit with the Pistons winning 106-101 as a +4.5-point underdog. Clearly, based on the line on that game the Cavs should be a much bigger favorite here. Cleveland is returning home after a 3-game road trip which saw them go 1-2 and prior to that they lost at home to the Heat. All those factors will have the Cavs on top of their game tonight against a poor traveling Pistons team (11-21 SU on the road.) Cleveland is 26-7 SU at home and have the 4th best point differential of +8.9PPG at home in the NBA. The last time these two teams met here the Cavs won by 23. Expect another big win tonight given the circumstances. |
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03-11-17 | Marshall v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 159 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
We will play UNDER 159 in the Marshall versus Middle Tennessee State game at 8:30PM ET tonight. We love this spot as several dynamics clearly favor a lower scoring game in this Conference USA championship game. Everyone knows about Marshall's game yesterday where they 'went off' from beyond the arc making 19 of 35 3-pointers against LA Tech. At halftime in that game Marshall scored 49 points and 42 came from 3. With this being their 4th game in four days, and four starters logging over 35 minutes yesterday, (3 had 33+ minutes the day before) we don't expect jumpers to be falling for the Herd against Middle Tennessee State today. Not to mention they WON'T get any second chance baskets as MTSU will DOMINATE the glass as they did in the two regular season meetings (+34 rebounds ). The Blue Raiders are also the 53rd best 3-point field goal percentage defense in the entire nation so Marshall isn't going 'off' from beyond the arc. In the two regular season meetings they held Marshall to just 295 and 26% shooting from 3. Middle Tennessee State is 1st in C-USA in defensive efficiency defense allowing just. 937 points per possession this year and 2nd in eFG% D at 46.6%. MTSU also knows they need to dictate the tempo in this game and the dominate team normally gets their way. The Blue Raiders are the 13th slowest team in the conference and 325th in the nation. In the two meetings this season the oddsmakers posted totals of 158 and 164.5 so we are still getting value at the current price even though the line has dropped. Our math model suggests just 150 total points in this contest and we agree whole heartedly! |
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03-11-17 | Colorado State v. Nevada -4.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Nevada -4.5 over Colorado State, Saturday at 6 PM ET This is a tough situation for CSU. One of the thinnest teams in the nation playing only 7 players for the most part, the Rams are playing their 3rd game in 3 days. On top of that, they got the late game last night vs San Diego State. Their game didn’t start until 10 PM Pacific time and didn’t get over until after midnight. That means they probably didn’t get back to their hotel and settled down after a big win until 2 AM or later. Now they play today at 3 PM Pacific time making this a very rough spot for them. Nevada won the early game vs Fresno and had time to wind down and settle in much earlier. The Wolfpack have been the best team in the conference pretty much all year. They rank #1 in the MWC in offensive efficiency, #2 in defensive efficiency, #2 in offensive turnover %, #1 in defensive rebounding, #1 defending the 3, and #1 in steals. These two met a week ago in a game that decided the regular season title and Nevada won by 13. Now with CSU in a much more precarious spot today, we look for another easy win by Nevada. |
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03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina OVER 122.5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
PLAY OVER 123 in the Alabama vs. South Carolina game today. The SEC is the 7th fastest paced conference in the nation and games average 147.3PPG which is substantially higher than this number. Our computer projections on this game is drastically higher than the Vegas number and we feel these two teams will combine for 135 or more points in this contest. In the only other meeting this season these two team totaled 176 points BUT that was in overtime. At the end of regulation though they had combined for just 114 total points which clearly would be under today's number. But South Carolina, who is not a good shooting team, hit just 26% in that game which is drastically lower than their season average of 41%. Games involving the Gamecocks when they are on the road have averaged 138PPG while games with Bama as the visitor have totaled 135PPG. Both of those number clearly higher than today's total set by the oddsmakers. If you've been following our successful O/U wagers you know we are high on 'value' and it's interesting to note that in a combined 62 games for these two teams, this is the lowest number posted by Vegas in any game this season. Bet OVER! |
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03-10-17 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Texas State -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: Texas State (-4.5) over UL Monroe, 3PM ET - We love this spot for several reasons including: Texas State is rested while UL Monroe is coming off an OT win over Arkansas State on Wednesday as a sizeable underdog. In fact, ULM was +7 in that game and Texas State in our opinion is slightly better than Arkansas State, and they're laying just -4.5-points in this game. Plus, Texas State was just a -2.5-point favorite at ULM in the final regular season game which means they should be -7 or more here. Texas State beat ULM on March 4th in a meaningless game for them and played their entire roster extended minutes. When we look at TXST's most recent road contests we see they came against 4 of the best teams in the Sun Belt so their most recent road struggles aren't the best barometer considering they are playing the last place team in the conference today. When we look at both teams road records (this game is on a neutral court so essentially a road venue for both) we find ULM had an average negative differential of nearly 12PPG. Texas State was much better away from home with a negative differential of -5PPG. UL Monroe is just 3-16 SU their last 19 games overall and are off a huge upset. Looks like a return to Earth today against a solid Texas State team that has covered 5 straight as a chalk. Lay the points! |
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03-09-17 | Virginia v. Notre Dame OVER 125 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 125, Notre Dame vs Virginia, Thursday at 9:30 PM ET We took OVER in the UVA-Pitt game last night and it easily eclipsed 117 as the two combined for 138 points. Now we get a much better offense with Notre Dame (17th in the nation in offensive efficiency) as compared to yesterday’s opponent (Pitt) and the number still sits in the low 120’s. Our math model predicts 133 which gives us nearly 10 points of value here. These two met once this season and the total on that game was set at 129.5 with UVA winning 71-54 (125 total points). The normally fine shooting Irish made just 41% of their shots overall and worse yet, only 3 of 18 from beyond the arc (16%). It was their lowest offensive output of the season and in fact the only time this year ND was held under 60 points. On the other end of the court, the ND defense, which is middle of the pack in the ACC in efficiency, has not held one team under 60 points in ACC play this year. That would lead us to believe that both teams get to at least the 60’s here which would mean a very strong likelihood this one goes OVER. |
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03-09-17 | Rutgers v. Northwestern OVER 122.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 122.5, Rutgers vs Northwestern, Thursday at 9:00 PM ET Big value here on the OVER according to our numbers. Our math model as this one set at 131.5 which is an 8.5 point advantage. Looking at the two meetings this year, the oddsmakers set totals of 132 and 131 on those games and now we sit in the low 120’s. In one meeting the two teams combined for 134 points and 129 in the other. That obviously means both eclipsed this number, and fairly easily. The stats in those games were far from impressive as the two teams combined to shoot only 39% and just 22% from beyond the arc (both games combined). Yesterday Rutgers faced off against Ohio State and the two totaled 123 (right at this number) despite shooting terribly at 38% and missing 19 FT’s. The Scarlet Knights have combined with their opponent to score less than 123 points just 4 times in their 19 Big Ten games. NW combined with their Big Ten opponents to score less than 123 just 2 times in 18 games. This one has been adjusted too far and we grab the OVER. |
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03-09-17 | Senators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Arizona Coyotes vs Ottawa Senators, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET |
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03-09-17 | Montana v. Idaho OVER 139 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: OVER 139 Montana vs Idaho game. Let’s start with the facts that the Big Sky games this year have averaged 150 total points per game and every team averages more than 1.000 points per possession AND allow more than a point per possession. The Big Sky is also the 10th fastest paced conference in the nation which means more scoring opportunities. In their two meetings, this season both games finished UNDER the total but current trends tell us this will be a higher scoring game. When playing on the road this season (better indicator for tourney games), Montana and Idaho games have averaged 147 total points per game. In their most recent games, Montana is averaging 154 total points per game and Idaho is averaging 149. These two teams have favored the OVER all season long in conference play with a combined record of 20-15. Our math model projects 147.5 total points for this game and we couldn’t agree more! |
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03-09-17 | Texas-San Antonio v. Middle Tennessee OVER 128.5 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
ASA PLAY OVER 129 Texas San Antonio vs Middle Tennessee State, 12:30PM ET – This will be a tougher wager to make but the averages and computer math model projects a total on this game of 135 which is 6 full points higher than the Vegas number. Again, our math model continues to predict O/U’s at a ridiculous rate and we won’t buck the system here. In the lone meeting this season these two combined for 128 total points but Middle Tennessee State was coming off a HUGE conference win and simply played down to a bad UTSA teams level. This is playoff basketball and a rested MTSU team, which is the best in the conference, is going to motivated and focused here. Even though UTSA can struggle offensively at times, their games have finished with more total points than today’s number in 7 of their last 8. On the road this season UTSA games have averaged 139 total points while MTSU road games averaged that same 139PPG. In their last five games these two teams are averaging 132 (UTSA) and 146 (MTSU) total points per game. Middle Tennessee State is the most efficient offense in C-USA AT 1.113 points per possession which is also one of the better numbers in the entire country. Conference USA games average over 142PPG on the season and we feel these two teams get to the 139 range and an EASY OVER! |
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03-09-17 | Illinois +5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Illinois +5 over Michigan, Thursday at 12 PM ET Bad situation yesterday for the Wolverines. Their plane ran off the runway and takeoff yesterday afternoon and the team was not able to make it to DC until this morning. After that scare and showing up here a few hours before game time, we have to side with Illinois getting points in this one. The Illini played their best basketball at the end of the year winning 5 of 6 to put @ Rutgers now making this a must win. Illini head coach John Groce stated that his team played the best basketball since he’s been here over their final 6 or 7 games. The defense was key as they held 7 of their final 9 opponents under 70 points. That gives them an edge on that end of the court facing a Michigan team that ranks 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and dead last in eFG% defense. Michigan relies heavily on the 3-pointer with 38% of their points in conference play coming from deep (most in the Big Ten). We don’t like backing teams that rely that heavily on the outside shot at a neutral venue they’ve never played at. These two met twice this year with the home team winning each – Illinois with a 17 point win at home and Michigan with a 9 point win at home. We think this one will be nip and tuck the entire way so we take the points with Illinois here. |
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03-08-17 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia OVER 116 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 116, Pittsburgh vs Virginia, Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET These two just met in Virginia on Saturday and the total was set at 122. Thus, just based on that, we’re looking at a 6 point value here. Our math model sits at 130 for this one so a full 14 point advantage to the OVER. A heavy part of the reasoning for this total sitting so low is the result from last Saturday. UVA won that game 67-42 so 109 total points were scored. The Panthers made only 15 of their 45 shots (33%) including just 4 of 20 from beyond the arc (20%). UVA was nothing special at 42% for the game. On top of that, the two combined to attempt only 10 FT’s in the entire game. They made all 10 but 10 made FT’s in a game is extremely low. However, despite all of that these two still reached 109 points which isn’t all that far off this number. Pitt scored just 15 points in the first half of that game but seemed to get it together a bit in the 2nd half with 27 so expect a carryover here and a much better offensive performance. Let’s also not forget when these two met the first time this season, they put up 138 points in regulation (Pitt won in OT). UVA’s defense is well known, however they are MUCH better at home than they are on the road. At home they allow just 54 PPG on 39% shooting and on the road they give up 63 PPG on 43% shooting. If Pitt would have had this total (currently 116) set for every game this year, they would have gone under only twice with 29 overs. Even UVA would be sitting at 18 overs and 12 unders if all of their totals were set at 116. This total has been over adjusted too far and we grab the OVER. |
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03-07-17 | Idaho State v. CS Sacramento OVER 139 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
PLAY ON: #719/720 OVER 139 IDAHO STATE vs SACRAMENTO STATE, 8:30PM ET - This is clearly one of our computer plays and based on value and year long, in conference statistics. When these two teams met earlier this year the Vegas Total was set at 146 and this line opened 143 before dropping to 139. That's a full 7 points of value compared to the earlier meeting! Our math on this game suggests 148 total points and we couldn't agree more with it. The Big Sky league average is 150PPG. Both of these teams rank near the bottom of the entire country in defensive efficiency ratings as Idaho State allows 1.119PPP (339th) while Sacramento State allows 1.118PPP which is 338th out of 351 D1 schools. Easy OVER call here. |
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03-07-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky OVER 133 | Top | 53-59 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* OVER 133, UW Milwaukee vs Northern Kentucky, Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET This total opened 136.5 and has dropped to 133 and we’re jumping on the value here. Our math model has this one at 144 so now we’re getting double digit value to the OVER. We have two of the better shooting teams in the Horizon facing off in this one. N Kentucky is the #1 eFG% team in the conference and UWM is 3rd. Both also rank in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. For the season NKU is averaging 75 PPG but they’ve really turned it up as of late averaging 84 PPG over their last 5. The Norse have scored 84 & 82 points in their two Horizon League tourney games. Milwaukee has put up 70 PPG over their last 5 and that includes an offensive stinker in the 2nd game of this tourney when they beat Valpo 43-41. Throw that game out the window as Valpo played without their leading scorer and conference player of the year (Peters) which took a big portion of their offense out of the lineup. The two teams were also both had a horrendous shooting night combining to make only 31 shots the entire game (32% from the field). They also made just 9 of 39 combined from beyond the arc. Just one of those games. In their other two games in the tourney UWM put up 85 & 74 points. When these two met this year they had lower scoring games with the combined numbers at 132 & 126. That, however, sets this total up too low with how these offenses are playing now. Also with UWM playing their 4th game in 5 nights and NKU playing their 3rd straight night, the defenses could tire here. Finally, with an NCAA tourney bid on the line, there will be no “give up” in this one so their will most likely be some scrambling and fouling late depending on the score. We like the OVER here. |
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03-06-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 166.5 | Top | 106-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
We are going to play UNDER in the Central Michigan versus Kent State game. Our Math Model suggests a total output on this game of 160 which is well below the opening total set on this game of 170.5. Since the line came out this game has been bet down to 166.5 but there is still value in the number per our computers. CMU just played Western Michigan who is a more efficient offense compared to Kent and worse defensively and CMU/WMU scored 168 total points which is barely more than tonight’s number. Kent is the 4th most efficient defense in the MAC and they’ve held 5 straight opponents to less than 70 points. In that 5 games run the Zips held the MAC’s #1 offensive efficiency team, Akron, to 66 and 67 points in two games. Granted Central Michigan’s defense hasn’t been good this season and especially poor lately but in their last five game, four team have been better than Kent’s which is 9th in the MAC in OEFF and 10th in eFG% shooting just 48.3%. In the lone meeting, earlier this season between these two teams they combined for 203 total points by 35 game in OT. With the pressure of the tourney on both teams we don’t see them getting near that number today. BET UNDER! |
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03-06-17 | East Tennessee State v. NC-Greensboro OVER 137 | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 137, UNC Greensboro vs East Tennessee State, Monday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2 Our math model, which has been very successful on college totals down the stretch, has this one pegged at 147 so a double digit advantage for the OVER here. These two met twice this year with the totals set at 144 & 145 which is well above where this one is set. The two meetings ended with final scores of 83-79 (162 points) and 72-66 (138 points). In the game that reached 162 points, both teams shot well hitting right around 50% of their shots. However, in the game that made it to 138, which would go OVER the current number, that was not the case. In that game the two teams combined to make only 42% of their shots and 35% of their 3’s. Nothing fantastic there and the still nearly hit 140. UNCG and ETSU are two of the faster paced teams in the Southern Conference (2nd and 3rd in tempo) and they both shoot the ball well (2nd and 3rd in conference eFG%). In conference play, including the Southern Tourney thus far, ETSU has reached at least 70 points in 15 of their 20 games (75%). UNCG has gotten to at least 70 points in 16 of their 20 games (80%). If both get to 70, this one goes OVER. We think they do. Take the value with the OVER in this one. |
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03-06-17 | South Dakota State v. South Dakota OVER 152 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
The analytics on the South Dakota vs. South Dakota State says bet OVER 152 and we couldn't agree more. The Summit is one of the faster paced, higher scoring conferences in the country and not known for their defense. Summit league games this year have averaged 159.3PPG and today we have a total set that is less than 'average'. South Dakota has the best DEFF in the conference play, allowing 1.029 points per possession but their overall defensive efficiency rating is 156th in the nation or not very good. South Dakota State is 7th in the Summit in DEFF in conference play and 329th (out of 352) in the nation in DEFF allowing 1.096PPP. On the other side of the ball, South Dakota State has the 52nd best offensive efficiency rating in all of college basketball this season at 1.078PPP and in just conference play that number improves to 1.162PPP. South Dakota is 7th in the Summit in OEFF, which doesn't sound great, but they are 127th in the country overall at 1.035PPP which is good. These same two teams just met in late February and combined for 180 total points and Vegas has adjusted this number down on this game compared to the earlier meeting. In their last five games SDST and their opponents are averaging 164 total points. In that same 5 game span, SDAK, combined with their foe is averaging 168 total points. Combined these two are 19-5 OVER run in Summit league play. |
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03-05-17 | Denver v. South Dakota State OVER 150 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
TOP TOTAL - OVER Denver vs South Dakota State, 7pm ET - Based on our analytics the total points scored in this game will be 159 which is well above the posted total. In both teams last five games they've been shooting the ball exceptionally well as Denver, as a team, is hitting nearly 47% from the field while South Dakota State is shooting 50%. On the other end of the court neither team has played much defense lately either. Denver has allowed foes to make nearly 50% of their FG attempts while SDST has allowed opponents to make 47%. The last game these two teams played was against each other on this same court Feb 25th and that game had a total of 154.5 on the game and they combined for 152 total points. Denver has the 3rd best eFG% in the Summit at 55.5% and South Dakota State has the 3rd worst efficiency defense in the conference but yet Denver scored just 64 points (10 less than season average) on 41% shooting. Denver has played OVER the total in 17 of their last 22 Summit league games while SDST is on a 10-4 OVER run in conference games. Let's not forget the league average for Summit league games this year is 159.3PPG. Bet OVER! |
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03-05-17 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 49-66 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Minnesota +6.5 over Wisconsin, Sunday at 6:00 PM ET Wisky continues to get the respect of oddsmakers despite losing 5 of their last 6. This team is struggling right now. They led Iowa by 9 on Thursday with just over 3:00 remaining in the game and what would normally be an absolute win for Wisky in that spot turned into a 2 point loss. They are a bad FT shooting team (just 5 of 14 vs Iowa) and something is off with this team right now. Can they right the ship on Senior night? Possibly but even if they do get a win, we expect it to be a close game. The Gophs are the hottest team in the Big Ten right now winning 8 straight games including 4 straight on the road. Minny has lost 6 straight to Wisconsin and they have revenge here after losing at home in OT in January 78-76. The Badgers were playing very well at that time and still needed OT to win the game. That isn’t the case anymore. The Gophs have covered 7 of their last 8 while the Badgers have lost 7 of 8 to the number. Can Wisconsin keep up here? Minnesota’s offense is averaging 83 PPG over their last 5 while UW is putting up just 66 PPG. Wisconsin may win this, although we’re not so sure, but even if they do we expect it to go to the wire. Take the points. |
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03-05-17 | Celtics -6 v. Suns | Top | 106-109 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: #827 Boston Celtics (-6.5) @ Phoenix Suns, 5PM ET - We're going to lay the points with Boston on the road over Phoenix. The Suns have won two straight home games but in both cases (OKC and Charlotte) they caught their opponents in bad scheduling situation. Today they get a Boston team that is the second best team in the East and playing well and has the 5th best road differential in the NBA at +1.9PPG (only 5 teams have a positive road DIFF on the road). On the flip side the Suns are off a home win and have been horrible in this situation with a 4-16 SU record off a win, 1-9 SU at home. Phoenix also has the 4th worst home differential in the NBA at minus -2.3PPG. Boston has covered 14 of their last 20 on the road off a win and should get a double digit win here. |
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03-05-17 | Purdue v. Northwestern +3.5 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Northwestern +3.5 over Purdue, Sunday at 4:30 PM ET The Boilers have absolutely nothing to play for here. They clinched the outright Big Ten title on Thursday night when Wisconsin lost at home to Iowa. Most of the PU players were gathered together watching Iowa hit a 3 pointer with 9 seconds left to beat the Badgers by 2. Word is the room erupted as the Boilermakers accomplished their goal of winning the Big Ten. Now traveling to NW, a team they beat by 20+ earlier this year, might be a tough spot for this Purdue team to bring their best. Not to mention PU is a MUCH better team at home than they are on the road. They are just 5-4 this year in true road games with 4 of those wins coming by margins of 1, 1, 4 and 5 points. This is Northwestern’s final home game and while their win earlier this week vs Michigan may have pushed them into the Big Dance for the first time ever, it’s not a 100% lock quite yet. A win here over Purdue would guarantee an NCAA tourney bid. The Cats will also have some extra motivation here after playing one of their worst games of the year @ Purdue losing 80-59. NW shot just 35% in that game and made only 2 of their 14 three point attempts. The Boilers made 52% from beyond the arc in that win. NW also played that game without one of their top players Lindsay who has since returned. We like NW to win this game outright at home on Sunday. |
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03-04-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. North Dakota State OVER 147.5 | Top | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 147.5, North Dakota State vs IUPUI, Saturday at 9:30 PM ET Our computer math model, which has been extremely accurate with college totals over the last month or so, predicts 155 on this game so we’ll go OVER. These two met twice this season with the two teams totaling 182 & 167, albeit the 2nd one was in overtime. The Summit League is not known for their defensive prowess as league games average 159 PPG this year. Both are solid shooting teams and IUPUI puts up 78 PPG while NDSU averages 76 PPG. IUPUI’s defense allows the highest shooting % in the Summit at 47.3%. They allowed over 80 points in more than half of their conference games this year (9 of 17). While NDSU did play solid defense at times this year, when they faced the top scoring offenses in the league, they nearly all led to high scoring games. When facing IUPUI, IPFW, and Nebraska Omaha (6 games vs these opponents), the 3 top scoring teams in the conference, only once did a game end under 150 points. These teams have played to the OVER all season long combining for a 36-14 OVER record. This one is set too low and we like another high scoring affair. |
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03-04-17 | Notre Dame +8 v. Louisville | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Notre Dame +8 over Louisville, Saturday at 2:00 PM ET on CBS Louisville went through a stretch mid-season where they were throttling teams. That red hot stretch ended in early February and now this team simply isn’t playing all that well. They are 4-3 their last 7 games and 3 of their 4 wins have come by 5 points or fewer. This Cardinal team needs to create turnovers for their offense to flow as they are simply not a great shooting team ranking 138th in eFG%. The Irish are not a great match up for this team. That’s because they don’t turn the ball over. ND gives the ball away just 14% of the time which is the 3rd best mark in the nation. They are always a dangerous underdog because they shoot the ball so well (36th nationally in eFG%) and they make their FT’s (81% for #1 in the nation). Notre Dame hit a slow streak in late January but have since ripped off 6 consecutive wins. They beat Louisville 77-70 earlier this year and had only 12 turnovers in the game. Again, that’s the recipe for beating U of L and the Irish do it as well as anyone. The Irish have lost only 2 games this year by more than 8 points (where this spread currently stands) and even if they lose here, we expect a tight game throughout. They’ve also proven they can get it done on the road with a 5-2 SU record in true road games. With Louisville struggling a bit, we take ND to cover this spread and feel they have a solid shot at the upset. |
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03-03-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan UNDER 170.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
Today we play UNDER in the Central Michigan at Western Michigan game. The number on this game opened around 175 and has since been played down to the current number but we still feel there is plenty of value left with an UNDER wager. Our math suggests a total output on this game of 161.5 which is significantly less than the total set on this MAC clash. These same ‘Michigan’ teams recently met in Central and produced 168 total points. Western is the more dominate team here, at home, and they’ll instill their will on the flow of the game which means a slower tempo contest. WMU is 11th in the conference in pace of play and will do everything to keep CMU from playing fast (1st in MAC). The average total points scored in MAC games this year is 152. Western Michigan has been especially stingy defensively their last three games having allowed 56 or less points in each of those games, and one was an OT affair. CMU is shooting just 38.7% their last five games and will have some issues scoring here against the Broncos. Based on comparable opponents we predict a total right around 160. BET UNDER! |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 219 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
We are going to play OVER in the OKC Thunder @ Portland Trailblazers game. The current Total on this game is hovering around 219 total points which is 8-points higher than the league average but we still feel there is enough value for an OVER wager. These two teams are both in the top 10 of the league in terms of pace of play and both are in the top half of the NBA in offensive efficiency ratings. OKC may be 10th in defensive efficiency ratings but Portland is 4th worst. In their last four games the Thunder have scored 109 or more points in every game and they've given up 105 or more in three of the four. Portland is allowing an average of 111PPG their last five games with opponents hitting over 45% from the field against them. There will be some fantastic guard play tonight with Lillard, McCollum and Russell Westbrook on the court and we expect a fast paced high scoring affair. BET OVER! |
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03-02-17 | Rangers v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Boston Bruins vs New York Rangers, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET |
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03-01-17 | Michigan State v. Illinois -2 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Illinois -2 over Michigan State, Wednesday at 9:00 PM ET Tough spot here for a very young MSU team. They are off a huge home win on Sunday vs a struggling Wisconsin team and now take the road a few days later. While Sparty has been tough at home, they are just 2-6 on the road this season. MSU has a road scoring margin of -8 PPG and they are allowing opponents to shoot 47%. That happens with a young team. The defense has problems on the road. This will be the first road game MSU has had to play without starting senior guard Eron Harris who was lost for the season in a loss @ Purdue on February 18th.They are facing an Illini team that is absolutely peaking to close out the regular season. Illinois has won 4 of their last 5 games and their defense has been outstanding down the stretch. And speaking of defense, U of I has been lock down on that end of the court as of late. Over the last 5 games the Illini defense has allowed opponents just 0.93 points per possession. Illinois is a veteran team playing their final home game of the season. They still have hopes of an NCAA berth but must win this one and @ last place Rutgers this weekend to get to 9-9 in the Big Ten and 19-12 overall heading into the conference tourney. We’ll take Illinois here. |
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02-28-17 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 140 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON: OVER 140 in the Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois game. The MAC conference as a whole is very high scoring conference as their games average 152 total points on the season, and tonight we have value with this number that has simply been set to low. Based on our projections this game should finish with 149 total points and go OVER the number. These same two teams just met in mid-February and totaled 143 total points in Western Michigan. NIU hit just 39% from the field overall and made just 5 of 19 3-pointers. WMU didn't have a great shooting night either at just 43% and they missed 9 free throws as a team but combined they still scored 143 which would net a winner here. You can expect a much better shooting night from the Huskies tonight as they have shot over 44% as a team at home this season while Western Michigan has hit an average over 45% their last five games and scored nearly 80PPG. WMU recently played an Eastern Michigan team that is very similar in terms of pace, OEFF and DEFF to Northern Illinois and they combined for 168 total points. We can also make the comparison between Akron and WMU (tempo, OEFF and DEFF) and see that NIU recently played the Zips and they combined for 149 total points. |
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02-28-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 172 | Top | 109-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
UNDER EASTERN MICHIGAN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN - We nailed another easy Total winner last night in college as our late season predictive math model is honed in. Today our favorite O/U wager on the board is UNDER in the Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan game. Our projected number on this game is 158 which is substantially lower than the Vegas number. When looking at a few comparable opponents (Kent State and No. Illinois) to Eastern Michigan we find Central Michigan scored 170 and 155 versus NIU and 166 versus Kent State (*In regulation*). Those two teams have similar tempo and efficiency ratings to EMU which gives us a great baseline for tonight’s contest. On the flip side, there are some similar numbers for Ball State and Central Michigan and when Eastern played Ball State twice this season they totaled 166 and 151. These two Michigan teams have already squared off this season and that game ended with 148 total points. EMU is shooting just 42.9% on the road this year and CMU is struggling shooting at just 39.8% as a team their last five games. The UNDER is 8-1 the last nine meetings with the highest total points scored in the last 10 meetings being 179 which barely crawls over tonight’s number. In fact, the average total points scored in the last 10 clashes is just 130 total points per game. |
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02-27-17 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 164 | Top | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
We will play UNDER 164 in the UL Lafayette @ Appalachian State game. Vegas posted a number on this game of 166 and it was immediately bet down to 164 but it hasn’t moved enough per our predictive math model which suggests a total of 152 on this game. Let’s not forget the Sunbelt league average total points scored per game is 143.7PPG so you can see for yourself this number is over-inflated. Yes, these are two of the faster paced teams in the conference but based on comparable opponents this game won’t come close to the posted Total. Appalachian State shoots just 40.3% at home on the season which makes them one of the worst shooting teams at home in the Sun Belt, and they allow just 43.7% at home which is drastically better than their overall season % allowed. They average and allow less than 70PPG when playing at home on the season. ULL struggles to shoot on the road at just 42.6% and their road contests have averaged just 153 total points per game. App State has played UNDER in 8 of their last eleven at home. BET UNDER! |
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02-26-17 | Illinois v. Nebraska OVER 137.5 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
OVER 137.5 Illinois @ Nebraska, 7:30PM ET – We wish we could bet this game at the opening line of 133 but even though we can’t, we still feel there is enough value to play OVER on this number. In fact, our math model projects 142 total points on this game and we feel it will be even higher than that. In the first meeting of the season these two teams combined for 145 total points which pushed the Vegas number. These two teams are both in the bottom half of the Big 10 in terms of offensive efficiency ratings but they are also in the bottom of the conference in defensive efficiency ratings. Illinois allows 1.056 points per possession and Nebraska allows 1.063PPP. On the season the Illini are averaging 143 total points per game with their opponents when playing on the road while Nebraska home games have averaged that same number of 143. Granted, Illinois averages are down their past 5 games but they played Northwestern twice in that 5-game span and they are the 3rd slowest paced team in the Big Ten and one of the better defensive teams. The Cornhuskers are 5th in the Big Ten in pace of play and they’ll set the tempo at home today. The bet here is OVER the total! |
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02-26-17 | Jazz v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 102-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
PLAY ON: Washington Wizards (-1.5) over Utah Jazz, 5PM ET – Washington is in a great spot here as they are off an upset loss to Philly and should bounce back in a big way at home (10-2 SU this year off a loss and playing at home). Utah on the other hand is off a road win. Washington has been near unbeatable at home with wins in 19 of their last 20 and the lone L came against the East leading Cavaliers. The Wiz have an average home point differential of +6PPG which is one of the better numbers in the league. Utah has been solid on the road all season long with a +2PPG differential but they are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 away from home. Washington has covered 4 of their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record and have covered 7 of their last 9 off a loss. Play Washington today! |
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02-25-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Western Illinois OVER 154.5 | Top | 96-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
PLAY ON: #711/712 OVER 154.5 IPFW @ Western Illinois, 8:30PM ET – We just successfully played over in a Western Illinois game earlier this week and tonight they face one of the fastest paced teams in the Summit League in IPFW. The Summit League is known for faster paced, higher scoring teams and not known for their defense. Conference games this year have averaged 158.6PPG and today’s number offers some value. When these same two teams met earlier this season they combined for 184 total points and an OVER which tie into a trend for these two conference foes. IPFW has a 22-8 OVER record their last 30 conference games, while WIU has played OVER in 14 of their last 18 in Summit League play. In their most recent action, IPFW (+ foe) is averaging 174 total points per game while Western Illinois and their opponents are averaging 156PPG. Vegas has set this number a shade too low and we’ll step in with a play on the OVER! |
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02-24-17 | Nets +10 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-129 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
ASA #857 Brooklyn Nets (+10) @ Denver Nuggets, 9PM ET - The Nuggets are off a game last night in Sacramento which resulted in a 16-point road loss. They shot 44% for game which isn’t horrible but they didn’t play much defense, allowing the Kings to hit 52% from the field, 50% from the beyond the arc. Denver is just 2-10 SU (4-8 ATS) when playing without rest this season with an average loss margin of 9PPG. Because of the higher altitude in Denver the schedule makers typically don't schedule the Nuggets to play at home the second night of a back to backs. In fact, it's only happened 12 times since the start of the 2014 season and the Nuggets are a pathetic 1-11 SU & ATS in those games. Brooklyn is playing better even though it hasn’t translated to a ton of wins but they have covered 3 of their last five games and have a negative differential of -6PPG which is nearly 3-points better than their season differential. Of their last 9 losses, none have come by more than 9-points or tonight’s spread. We’re not sure how Denver is a favorite of this size when their defense is allowing over 51% shooting their last five games and even the All-Star break didn’t fix that. Brooklyn clearly isn’t a great defensive team but the Nuggets are last in the league in defensive efficiency ratings allowing 1.134 points per possession. In the lone meeting this season the Nets did win at home by 5-points which is 6th straight time they’ve beaten Denver. Grab the points with Brooklyn. |
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02-24-17 | Central Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 176.5 | Top | 66-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
Today we play UNDER 176.5 in the Central Michigan @ Toledo game. The league average total points scored per game in the MAC this year is 152 and today we have a Total that is set nearly 20 points higher. Our predictive model projects a total on this game that is full 12-points less than the number Vegas has posted which is HIGHLY unusual. Toledo is the dominate team here and will dictate tempo which is key. The Rockets are 12th in the conference when it comes to tempo or pace so they’ll want to play slow. Not to mention they are coming off a huge game against Western Michigan and have a bigger game on deck versus Ball State. Yes, the Chippewas want to play fast (1st in MAC pace) but again, Toledo won’t allow it. On their home floor, in conference games, the Rockets and their opponents have NOT totaled more than 167 points and those contests averaged 142 total points. In the first meeting of the season these two combined for 184 total points but that was at Central Michigan. CMU has had issues shooting the basketball of late as they are averaging less than 42% as a team from the field their last five games. The UNDER has cashed 7 of the last 9 meetings and should win again tonight with this inflated number! |
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02-23-17 | South Dakota v. Western Illinois OVER 146 | Top | 92-81 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
PLAY ON: OVER 146 SOUTH DAKOTA @ WESTERN ILLINOIS - We have a fantastic play for you tonight on the OVER in the South Dakota @ Western Illinois game. This Summit League game has all the makings of a very high scoring game and we expect plenty of points by both teams here. When we run the numbers through our predictive math model we come up with a Total that is 6.5 points higher than the posted number tonight. That’s a substantial difference by our algorithm and immediately gets our attention. Summit League games average 158 total points per game and this number set by Vegas is substantially lower than that. S Dakota is the 2nd fastest paced team in the conference and Western Illinois is the 4th fastest. Defensively these two teams are top four in terms of efficiency ratings but ‘defense’ is a loose term in this conference and both teams have been giving up a ton of points lately. South Dakota has given up an average of 80PPG their last five games on 46% shooting by opponents. In that same 5 games span Western Illinois has allowed 83PPG on 48% shooting by foes. There is one team in the conference that is very like both teams and that’s Nebraska-Omaha. South Dakota recently played at NEOM and they combined for 174 total points. Western Illinois hosted NEOM on Feb 1st and they combined for 146 total points. The Over has cashed in 5 straight SD road games. The Over is also 9-3 the last Western Illinois home games. See the trend…BET OVER! |
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02-23-17 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas UNDER 147.5 | Top | 85-67 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
ASA UNDER 147.5 in the Louisiana Tech @ North Texas game, 8PM ET - Based on our math model this game projects out to have under 143.5 total points and we agree with its prognosis. The league average for total points scored in this conference 142 and we feel these two teams will be much closer to that number than the one Vegas has posted. When these same two teams met in late January they combined for 138 total points which was the O/U the oddsmakers had suggested. Which also shows the value we are getting here as tonight's number is much higher than the 138 from the first meeting. North Texas is the 3rd worst efficiency offensive team in the conference at just .956 points per possession and the 309th (out of 351) overall eFG% team in the nation at just 47%. The Mean Green will have a hard time scoring here against a La Tech team that has the 3rd best efficiency defense in Conference USA, allowing just .954 points per possession. The Bulldogs average 80PPG at home on the season but that number dips to just 72PPG on the road. With La Tech being the superior team they'll dictate tempo in this one and should keep this from being a high scoring affair. In their 7 conference road games the Bulldogs and their opponents have average 138 combined total points. |
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02-22-17 | Bruins v. Ducks +100 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Anaheim Ducks Money Line over Boston Bruins, Wednesday at 10:35 PM ET |
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02-22-17 | Minnesota v. Maryland -4 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
PLAY ON: MARYLAND (-4) over Minnesota - We love the spot to play on the Maryland Terrapins over the visiting Minnesota Gophers. While Minnesota is coming off a hard fought, emotional home win over Michigan and in for a letdown, the Terps are off a disappointing loss on the road in Wisconsin. We expect a bounce back here for Maryland who is a solid 12-3 SU at home with a point differential of +8PPG. Minnesota is 4-4 SU on the road this year but they’ve struggled shooting it away from home by hitting just 40% from the field. In terms of defensive efficiency rating these two teams are relatively even allowing 1.005 points per possession (Maryland) and 1.004 PPP (Minnesota) but in terms of offense the Terps are MUCH better. Maryland has the 3rd most efficient offense in the Big Ten at 1.082PPP while the Gophers are 11th in the conference at 1.023PPP. MD has the 4th best eFG% shooting statistics in the B10 at 53.7% while the Gophers are 12th at 46.9%. Maryland has covered 12 of their last 16 Conference games while the Gophs are 7-9 ATS their last 16 conference roadies. We expect Maryland to get off to a good start at home and Minnesota just doesn’t have an offense capable of playing catchup. Lay the points! |
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02-22-17 | Furman v. East Tennessee State OVER 141 | Top | 81-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON: #765/766 OVER the 141 Total Furman @ East Tennessee State, 7PM ET- We are going to play OVER the Total in the East Tennessee State versus Furman tonight in the Southern Conference showdown. First place is on the line tonight as Furman currently leads the SoCon with a 13-3 record but ETSU is right behind them at 12-3. These are basically the top two teams in the SoCon in terms of offensive and defensive efficiency ratings and when we look at similar teams and home/road dichotomies we expect a high scoring game tonight. ETSU starts 4 seniors who will be playing their final home game in front of a sellout crowd (lead conference in attendance and the fans will be rabid tonight). The Bucs are also playing with same season revenge as they had a HORRIBLE shooting night at Furman (14% from 3-point line, 37% overall) and lost 62-75 for 137 Total points. That was uncharacteristic for ETSU who is the 7thth best shooting team in the nation at 49.3%. Furman can also light it up from the field as they rank 40th in the country in shooting at 47.4% as a team. As we touched on earlier, Furman is 2nd in the SoCon in offensive efficiency ratings at 1.111 points per possession and have the 2nd best eFG% at 56.9%. They typically take 17.9 seconds to get a shot off which is 6th in the conference. ETSU is 3rd in offensive efficiency ratings at 1.110PPP and 1st in eFG% at 57.7%. They play fast too, averaging just 16.1 seconds to take a shot which is 2nd fastest in the SoCon. East Tenn State has a goal of getting to 80 points as they are a perfect 12-0 SU this year when they top that mark. Our Math Model projects a Total of 146.5 on this game and the league average is nearly 148PPG so you can see for yourself the value we are getting at 141. |
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02-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 113 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON: OVER 5.5 goals: Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET |
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02-21-17 | Purdue v. Penn State UNDER 146 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
We are going to play UNDER 146 in the Purdue @ Penn State game tonight. We love several different dynamics to this wager including a line that is 6-points higher than Big Ten games average, plus the fact a high percentage of public money has been bet on the OVER already but the line isn't moving. That tells me they'll take all the action they can on OVER because they like UNDER. Purdue is in a tough scheduling spot here and could be flat for this contest. They are off a big win over Michigan State and have a road date at Michigan on deck. Plus, they beat this PSU team 77-52 earlier this season. The Boilermakers have the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating in the Big Ten allowing just .97 points per possession. In their last five contests they have held foes to an average of just 38.3% shooting which is ridiculously low. Penn State is 'average' or 7th in the Big Ten in DEFF allowing 1.016PPP and they've been solid at home defensively allowing just 68.7PPG on their home floor and 40.4% shooting by opponents. Both teams struggle shooting when on the road (Purdue 42.1%) and at home (PSU 41.5%). The Nittany Lions just hosted a very similar team to Purdue (OEFF, DEFF and pace) in Maryland a few weeks back and they combined for 134 total points. Purdue hosted Rutgers just last week who has very similar stats to Penn State and they combined for 129 total points. The Under is on a 19-6 run the last 25 meetings, 4-1 Under last 5 games for Purdue and 9-4 L13 home games for PSU. |
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02-19-17 | Flyers -125 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line over Vancouver Canucks, Sunday at 10:05 PM ET |
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02-19-17 | Michigan v. Minnesota | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
ASA 10STAR PLAY ON: #862 @MINNESOTA (-1) over Michigan, 7PM ET We like the situation to play on the Minnesota Gophers minus the short number at home over the Michigan Wolverines. Minnesota has the 3rd highest RPI ratings among Big Ten teams and has played a stronger schedule to date than Michigan. The Gophs also have the interior defenders (3rd in nation in blocked shots) to hold the Wolves front court at bay. Michigan is due for a letdown after their 3 straight emotional wins over instate rival Michigan State, at Indiana and a home win over Wisconsin. Minnesota is off 3 straight wins too but they were favored in all three and expected to win. The defensive advantages for the Gophers is dramatic as they have one of the best eFG% defenses in the Big Ten while the Wolverines have the second worst. When playing on the road the Wolverines shoot just 42% but allow foes to hit nearly 53%. Minnesota on the other hand shoots near 45% at home but hold foes to just 39% on their home court. Michigan has a negative road differential of -7PPG on the road this season while the Gophers have a home differential of nearly +11PPG. We like the number in this game as the Gophers were just a -4.5 point favorite at home over Maryland (2nd in Big 10) and is laying less in this situation. Minnesota is 14-3 SU at home this season while the Wolves are just 1-6 SU away. We will lay the short number with the Gophers here. |
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02-19-17 | Connecticut v. Temple -2 | Top | 64-63 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
ASA 10STAR PLAY ON: #868 @TEMPLE (-2) over Connecticut, 4PM ET - We are playing on Temple at home over UConn on Sunday afternoon. When these two teams last met in mid-January the Huskies were a -1.5 point favorite and won handily after Temple shot horrendously from the field (35.9%) compared to UConn hitting over 52% from the field. Look at the tremendous line value we are getting here as Temple should be at least 6 or 7 in this contest. We also like the scheduling dynamics here with UConn coming off a win over Memphis, in which they were down 17, and had to expend a ton of energy in that comeback win. Temple has been up and down but have some impressive wins on their resume over Florida State, West Virginia and two wins over 18-9 Memphis. The Owls have beaten the Huskies two straight years on this floor in regular season play. Temple gets it done offensively by making 3-pointers (25th in 3-point attempts per game) and they shot it below their season average (36%) in the first meeting (29%) but that should change back at home. In fact, Owls Obi Enechionyia was 1-for-10 on threes, a key to the game. Enechionyia is 6 feet 10, and UConn's big men are not used to getting out and guarding the perimeter. The Huskies are just 2-8 SU against top 100 RPI teams this season and Temple is 94th. Lastly, Temple's strength of schedule is much better than UConn's and we feel they get a comfortable home win today! |
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02-18-17 | East Tennessee State v. Chattanooga -140 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
#680 @TENNESSEE CHATTANOOGA (ML) over East Tennessee State, 5PM ET - Scroll down to the added games for this wager as we will invest in Tennessee Chattanooga minus the points at home over East Tennessee State. We've followed this conference very closely this season and have had this date circled for the past few weeks. Chattanooga is 3rd in the conference looking up at ETSU and playing with revenge from an earlier loss this year on the road. A win here by Matt McCall (48-13 SU in his second year as a college coach) and the Mocs will ensure a bye into the quarterfinals of the conference tourney and bolster their odds at wining the Southern Conference. Tenn-Chatt is very good at home with a 11-1 record overall and a 31-2 mark their last 33 on their home court. This season the Mocs have won their home games by an average of 12PPG and shoot 49% at home which is 41st in the nation. Chattanooga swept ETSU last year but lost their only meeting this season 76-71 at ETSU. ETSU was +7 in free throws and made a few more 3's which was the ultimate difference in the game. The Buccaneers are a solid team but they have lost 4 road games already this year, 2 in conference play. Based on comparable opponents, lines on those games it's clear to us Tennessee Chattanooga should be a much bigger favorite than they are today in this game. In fact, the Mocs were -10.5 points at home earlier this season over Furman (who leads the conference for now) and won that game by 16 points. Both teams shoot it well but Tenn-Chat has played the tougher schedule and is one of the best teams in the league in turning over their opponents. ETSU on the other hand doesn't value the basketball is and is last in the SoCon when it comes to turning it over offensively. Tenn-Chat is 22-3 SU at home their last 25 conference home contests and get a big win today over East Tennessee State. Not close!!! |
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02-17-17 | Panthers +120 v. Ducks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 120 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* Florida Panthers Money Line over Anaheim Ducks, Friday at 10:05 PM ET |
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02-17-17 | VCU v. Richmond +2.5 | Top | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Richmond +2.5 over VCU, Friday at 9:00 PM ET This is a huge rivalry game with both schools located in Richmond and just 6 miles apart. VCU shot 52% from the field in the first meeting this year and won a competitive game 81-74. The Rams were also +12 in FT’s made in that game so for Richmond to stay tight throughout with VCU shooting very well and having a big edge at the line was impressive. Now the Spiders get their chance at redemption, this time at home. VCU has had some big home wins in A10 play but the road has been a different story. The Rams are 2-2 their last 4 conference road games but they could easily be 0-4 in those games. In their two road wins during that stretch @ GW and @ St Bonnies, they had some very lucky end of game situations take place. Versus GW the Rams trailed by 1 with 0.4 seconds remaining and drew a charging foul on an inbounds play then made both FT’s to win. Versus St Bonnies they led by 2 when the Bonnies made a 3-pointer to “win” the game with 0.4 seconds remaining. Problem was, the fans stormed the court and were assessed the technical because the game wasn’t officially over. VCU sent the game to OT where they eventually won. This team is ready to get nipped on the road and we think that happens here. Richmond is the #1 shooting team in the league (54.6 eFG%) and they don’t turn the ball over very often which is key vs VCU. The host has covered 70% of the last 21 meetings in this cross town rivalry (14-6-1 ATS) and we like the Spiders to pull the “upset” here. |
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02-16-17 | Memphis v. Connecticut -4.5 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* UConn -4.5 over Memphis, Thursday at 9:00 PM ET The Huskies are playing easily their best basketball of the season. After starting the AAC with just a 2-4 record their first 6 conference games, UConn has since won 6 of their last 7. That puts them at 7-5 in league play which is a half game behind tonight’s opponent, Memphis, for 4th place in the conference. These two met in January in Memphis the Tigers came away with a 70-61 win. UConn made a paltry 37% of their shots and were terrible from deep hitting just 4 of their 20 three points attempts. Since that game the Huskies have shot the ball light year’s better as they now lead the AAC in 3-point shooting percentage (conference games only) making over 41%. They also hit 76% of their FT’s which is 2nd in the conference as well. Memphis ranks near the bottom of the conference in offensive efficiency and shooting percentage and they’ve made it to 70 points only once in their last six games. After shooting much better than normal in their first game vs UConn (47%) we expect the Tigers to struggle offensively here vs one of the top defenses in the nation (UConn ranks 16th nationally in defensive eFG%). Connecticut should destroy Memphis on the boards here as they did in the first game (+20 margin) and if that happens, they will cruise here. Since losing their home opener in AAC play back on Dec 28th, the Huskies have won 5 straight at home with 4 of those wins coming by at least 10 points. We’ll side with the red hot Huskies at home laying a marginal number. |
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02-16-17 | Celtics v. Bulls OVER 212.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
PLAY OVER 212.5 CELTICS @ BULLS - We will play OVER in the Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls game tonight. The Celtics played last night and clearly when they play games without rest their defense suffers. When playing the second night of a back to back the Celtics have an 8-4 OVER record and they allow an average of 120PPG. In their last eight games in this scheduling situation they are 8-0 OVER with the average total points in those games being 225PPG. Even the Bulls offense, that averages just 1.071 points per possession, should score points against a fatigued Boston defense that ranks in the bottom half of the NBA in defensive efficiency rankings. Boston is going to score here too as they have one of the better offenses in the league averaging 108.5PPG with the 7th most efficient offense in the NBA. The Bulls defense (or lack of) has allowed 107 or more points in 9 of their last ten games, and most recently allowed 117, 115 and 123 against three similar teams to Boston. C's over streak of 10-2 their last 12 on the road while Bulls over in 7 of their last ten at home against a team with a +.500 record. |
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02-15-17 | Knicks v. Thunder -7 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
PLAY ON: OKC THUNDER (-7) over NY Knicks, 9:30PM ET - Tonight we love the opportunity to play against a bad team (NY Knicks) off a big upset win, playing on the road, against a superior team (OKC) which is off a loss. New York beat the San Antonio Spurs at home on Sunday which makes them just 7-20 SU their last 27 games and puts them in a bet against situation, as they are 1-6 ATS their last seven when off a win. New York is just 9-18 SU on the road this season and they have an average point differential of minus -5.1PPG which ranks in the bottom 12 teams in the league. On the flip side the Thunder are off a blowout loss (7-3-1 ATS at home off a loss) in Washington where the team missed 24 consecutive shots, a NBA record. Russell Westbrook struggled with just 17 points but a lot of the Thunders poor play was the fact they were coming off a huge game versus Golden State. The Thunder are 19-8 SU at home this year, 13-4 their last seventeen. OKC has also covered 11 of fourteen at home against sub .500 teams which tells us they win by larger margins. Easy call with OKC at home tonight over the NY Knicks. |
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02-14-17 | Kings v. Lakers OVER 217 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
PLAY OVER 217 Sacramento Kings @ LA Lakers, Tuesday 10:35PM ET - Our play tonight is OVER in the Sacramento Kings @ L.A. Lakers game. Pace is clearly one of the first things to look at when betting Over/Unders in the NBA and the current numbers for each team support a faster paced game tonight. The Kings on the season are one of the slowest paced teams in the NBA (4th slowest) but in their last five games they are averaging more possessions per game and rank 14th fastest. The Lakers have been one of the faster paced teams all season (6th) but in their last five games they are 2nd at 103.1 possessions per game. Over the course of their last five games the Kings are averaging 107PPG while the Lakers check in at 112PPG. While the Kings have been better defensively than the Lakers over their recent stretch, L.A. has allowed 114PPG. OK, so we have pace what about scoring? Well both of these teams rank in the bottom 7 of the league in field goal percentage defense against so both should make plenty of shots. Both teams have 5-1 OVER streaks as the Kings have gone OVER the number in 5 of their last six on the road while the Lakers have gone OVER in 5 of their last six anywhere. The play here is OVER the Total! |
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02-14-17 | Colorado State +1 v. Wyoming | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Colorado State +1 over Wyoming, Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET CSU is playing the best basketball in the Mountain West right now. They have won 6 of their last 7 games with their only setback coming by 3 points at the hands of 1st place Boise State. They have shown they can get it done on the road winning 4 of their 6 away games in MWC play and outscoring their opponents on the road. The Rams have also covered 8 of their last 9 road games. This is a team that is very tough to contain offensively. They rank #1 in the Mountain West in offensive efficiency, 3-point shooting percentage, and offensive rebounding. On top of that, they make 75% of their FT’s. Wyoming can’t match offensively or on the boards here as they rank near the bottom of the conference in both. They face a Ram defense that allows opponents to shoot only 38% on the road so the struggles should continue here. The Cowboys have only played 2 of the top 5 teams in the MWC at home this year and they’ve lost to both (Boise & Nevada). The Cowboys have played just 4 overall this year against the top 5 in this conference (CSU, San Diego St, Nevada, New Mexico, and Boise) and they are 0-4 in those games. They are just 2-2 at home since mid-January with their only wins coming by 1 point over UNLV and by 2 points in 4 overtimes vs Fresno. This is a double revenger for Colorado State as they lost both to Wyoming last year – this is first meeting this year. We’ll gladly take the better team getting points here. |
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02-13-17 | Thunder v. Wizards -5 | Top | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
PLAY ON: WASHINGTON WIZARDS (-5) over Oklahoma City Thunder, 7PM ET - We're going to fade OKC here and play on a hot Washington team at home. The Thunder are very good at home but not nearly as good when on the road with a 12-16 SU record. In fact, the Thunder have a -5.5 average point differential away from home with is in the bottom third of the NBA. Washington on the other hand is in the top 10 in home point differential at +5.5PPGand they stand 23-7 SU on their home court. The Wiz are 18-1 SU their last 19 at home and the lone loss was in OT to the Cavaliers and only 2 of those home wins were by less than 5-points. Shooting will play a major role tonight as OKC shoots just 43.6% on the road this season compared to Washington who hits nearly 49% at home. The Thunder are coming off a couple huge emotional games after beating Cleveland at home then losing to the Warriors on Saturday so they should be a little flat on the road in Washington. OKC is just 5-7 ATS on the road this year off a loss so that's not a concern for us here. Wizard come into tonight on 2 days rest and have covered 4 of their last five in that scheduling situation, plus they are 16-5 ATS their last 21 at home. Lay it! |
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02-12-17 | Pelicans v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
PLAY ON: SACRAMENTO KINGS (-3.5) over New Orleans Pelicans - We like the Sacramento Kings at home over the visiting New Orleans Pelicans and expect a double digit win by the host. New Orleans is 7-18 SU on the road this season with a negative point differential of -5.3PPG which is in the bottom half of the league. So much of what the Pelicans do is reliant on center Anthony Davis who is coming off a 42 point, 13 rebound and 7 assist game against Minnesota the other night but he’ll have his hands full tonight with fellow Kentuckian DeMarcus Cousins. Prior to their road win the other night in Minnesota the Pelicans had lost 5 straight away from home and three of those losses were by 7+ points. New Orleans is also just 7-13 SU when coming off a win this season and have failed to cover 5 straight games in that role. Sacramento is 11-15 SU at home which isn’t great but they’ve won 3 of their last four at home and all 3 wins came against quality teams (Atlanta, Boston and Golden State). Cousins is good when he’s motivated as he will be today facing Davis. Earlier this season the Kings beat the Pelicans on this floor by 8 as a 6-point chalk. Lay it again! |
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02-12-17 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Northwestern +10.5 over Wisconsin, Sunday at 6:30 PM ET Too many points here. Wisconsin continues to win but not easily and not by wide margins. Their defense has been great but their offense has left a lot to be desired. 5 of their last 7 wins were down to the wire games that weren’t decided until very late. Over their last 4 games the Badgers are averaging just 63 PPG and shooting only 37% from the field. A few of Wisconsin’s key players are banged up right now including point guard Koenig who is nursing a leg injury and not nearly 100%. Northwestern comes in with an 18-6 record and only one of those losses have come by double digits. The Cats have also struggled a bit offensively with leading scorer Lindsey out with mono, however this team plays very good defense. They are ranked 2nd in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and should give a struggling Wisconsin offense all kinds of trouble. This should be a lower scoring game with the total set at 125 making the points very valuable here. NW has had extra time to prepare after playing on Tuesday while Wisconsin was in Nebraska playing an overtime game on Thursday. This is a huge game for Northwestern’s NCAA resume and we think we’ll get another nailbiter in Madison. Take the points. |
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02-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* SMU -5 over Cincinnati, Sunday at 4:00 PM ET The Mustangs have been waiting for this one. They come into this game with an 11-1 conference record and their only loss was @ Cincy by a final score of 66-64. The Bearcats are 11-0 in league play so this one could be for all the marbles. SMU had their chances in that 2-point los missing a 3 pointer with 7 seconds remaining and a layup with 3 seconds left that would have pushed the game to OT. This time they get the Bearcats at home where SMU has simply been dominant. They are 14-0 at home with their wins coming by an average margin of 22 points. Their AAC home games have resulted in wins of 40, 21, 20, 19, and 14 points. All but 1 of their 14 home wins have come by more than 10 points. They are 8-1 ATS at home covering those by a combined 90 points or a full 10 PPG above the spread. Cincy is obviously very good with a perfect AAC record. However they’ve played 4 of their last 5 games at home and their one road tilt @ Tulsa the Bearcats had to come from 9 down with 6:00 minutes to win by 2. In their 7 road games, Cincinnati is 6-1, however they are averaging only 62 PPG in those games and shooting just 38% from the field and 28% from beyond the arc. They are facing a Mustang team that hits almost 50% of their shots at home while allowing opponents to shoot just 35%. SMU has won 33 of their last 34 games at home and this is one of their biggest home games ever. We think they rise to the occasion and roll in this one. |
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02-11-17 | Magic v. Mavs -6 | Top | 80-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
514 Dallas Mavericks (-6) over Orlando Magic, 9PM ET - We like the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the visiting Orlando Magic. These two teams are trending in opposite directions as the Mavericks got off to a slow start to the season but have now won 10 of their last 15 games. Included in that streak is a 5-1 run their last six home games with all of those victories coming by more than today's spread. Orlando on the other hand is in a funk to say the least with a 4-15 SU record their last 19 games. Included in that run is a 2-9 SU road record and the majority of those road defeats were in blowout fashion. Looking at differentials we find the Mavs have an average point differential of +1PPG their last five games while the Magic are a negative -10.8PPG their last five. Orlando has the 4th worst road point differential at -7PPG and rank near the bottom of the league in road offensive efficiency and DEFF. The Mavs have covered 8 straight at home and get a double digit win again today! |
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02-11-17 | Green Bay +3 v. Wright State | Top | 79-88 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* UW Green Bay +3 over Wright State, Saturday at 7:00 PM ET - Horizon League Game of the Month UWGB is off a 69-67 loss @ Northern Kentucky on Thursday. Despite the tight loss the Phoenix remain in 2nd place in the Horizon but have dropped 2 games behind Valpo making this a huge game. With just 5 games remaining, Green Bay needs this win to keep their shot at the conference title alive. We faded UWGB on Thursday as we felt it was a great spot with Northern Kentucky playing very well and the Phoenix coming off a huge win over conference leader Valpo. Even with that, GB played well and had a shot to win. Now off a loss in a must win spot, we think they get it. GB has been a solid road team in Horizon play with a 3-3 record and two of their three losses coming by 2 points or fewer. The Phoenix whipped WSU at home by 17 this year and they were far from efficient offensively shooting only 42% in the win. Wright State is off a home win Thursday vs 2nd to last place UWM but the Raiders have already lost 2 home games despite not hosting any of the Horizon’s top 3 yet this season (Valpo, UWGB, and Oakland). GB has covered covered 5 of their last 6 this year as a dog and we think they win this one outright. |
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02-10-17 | Spurs v. Pistons UNDER 209.5 | Top | 103-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Tonight we like UNDER in the San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons game. Pace or tempo are critical aspects when handicapping Totals and tonight we have 6th (Spurs) and 7th (Pistons) slowest paced teams in the NBA squaring off. The average total points scored per game is 210 and the number on tonight's game is hovering around that total even though we have two of the slowest paced teams in the league. While San Antonio is one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA at 1.128 points per possession the Pistons are 20th in that same category at 1.067PPP. Defense is another story though as both rank in the top 7 in points allowed per possession. Two teams that play slow and great defense and only one that is better than average in scoring means a very low scoring game tonight. A similar team to Detroit is Memphis and the Spurs just played the Grizzlies and totaled 163 points. The last time these two opponents squared off was back in November and that game ended with 182 total points. Tremendous value with an UNDER bet here. |
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02-09-17 | Jazz v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
PLAY ON: Dallas Mavericks +4.5 over Utah Jazz, 8:35PM ET - Tonight we play on the Dallas Mavericks at home plus the points over the Utah Jazz. Utah is off a blowout win last night in New Orleans and are facing a rested Mavs team off a pair of losses including a home loss to the Blazers most recently. When playing without rest the Jazz are 7-5 SU on the year but they are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight in that scheduling situation. Prior to their two game losing streak the Mavericks had won 6 of eight games and one of those losses was at home against the Jazz by 5-points in OT. Dallas is 8-9 SU at home off a loss this year but they've covered 7 o their last nine in that situation and 7 straight home covers overall in any role. The dog is also 4-1 last five meetings and Dallas has dominated the Jazz on this court for years. Dallas is playing much better of late and we expect a home win here by the Mavs. |
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ASA ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-17 | Oregon +5 v. North Carolina | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 52 h 47 m | Show |
04-01-17 | Canadiens v. Lightning -102 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
04-01-17 | South Carolina v. Gonzaga UNDER 138 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 42 m | Show |
03-31-17 | Pacers v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 100-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
03-30-17 | Sharks +118 v. Oilers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
03-30-17 | Georgia Tech +4.5 v. TCU | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
03-28-17 | CS Bakersfield +2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
03-27-17 | Pelicans v. Jazz UNDER 199 | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
03-27-17 | Coyotes v. Blues -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
03-26-17 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Florida | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
03-25-17 | Raptors v. Mavs OVER 193.5 | Top | 94-86 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
03-24-17 | Wisconsin v. Florida UNDER 132 | Top | 83-84 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 59 m | Show |
03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky +1.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor UNDER 135 | Top | 70-50 | Win | 100 | 46 h 5 m | Show |
03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina UNDER 153 | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
03-24-17 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 222 | Top | 108-129 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Xavier v. Arizona UNDER 145 | Top | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
03-23-17 | West Virginia +3.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators +124 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 124 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
03-23-17 | Suns v. Nets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 98-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
03-22-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Coastal Carolina -3.5 | Top | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
03-21-17 | Bucks v. Blazers OVER 207.5 | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
03-21-17 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
03-20-17 | Jazz v. Pacers OVER 192.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
03-20-17 | UCF v. Illinois State -4.5 | Top | 63-62 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Cincinnati +4 v. UCLA | Top | 67-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
03-19-17 | Rhode Island v. Oregon -5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
03-18-17 | Northwestern v. Gonzaga -11 | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 27 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina OVER 141 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Troy State +20 v. Duke | Top | 65-87 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
03-17-17 | UC-Davis v. Kansas -22.5 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon OVER 152 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
03-17-17 | New Mexico State +12.5 v. Baylor | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
03-16-17 | Sabres v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 140 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
03-16-17 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
03-16-17 | South Dakota State v. Gonzaga OVER 156 | Top | 46-66 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
03-14-17 | Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
03-14-17 | Ole Miss v. Monmouth -3 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs -7 | Top | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Marshall v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 159 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
03-11-17 | Colorado State v. Nevada -4.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina OVER 122.5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
03-10-17 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Texas State -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Virginia v. Notre Dame OVER 125 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Rutgers v. Northwestern OVER 122.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Senators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Montana v. Idaho OVER 139 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Texas-San Antonio v. Middle Tennessee OVER 128.5 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
03-09-17 | Illinois +5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
03-08-17 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia OVER 116 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
03-07-17 | Idaho State v. CS Sacramento OVER 139 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
03-07-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky OVER 133 | Top | 53-59 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
03-06-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 166.5 | Top | 106-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
03-06-17 | East Tennessee State v. NC-Greensboro OVER 137 | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
03-06-17 | South Dakota State v. South Dakota OVER 152 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Denver v. South Dakota State OVER 150 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 49-66 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Celtics -6 v. Suns | Top | 106-109 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
03-05-17 | Purdue v. Northwestern +3.5 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
03-04-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. North Dakota State OVER 147.5 | Top | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
03-04-17 | Notre Dame +8 v. Louisville | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
03-03-17 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan UNDER 170.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 219 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
03-02-17 | Rangers v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
03-01-17 | Michigan State v. Illinois -2 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
02-28-17 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 140 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
02-28-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 172 | Top | 109-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
02-27-17 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 164 | Top | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
02-26-17 | Illinois v. Nebraska OVER 137.5 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
02-26-17 | Jazz v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 102-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
02-25-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Western Illinois OVER 154.5 | Top | 96-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
02-24-17 | Nets +10 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-129 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
02-24-17 | Central Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 176.5 | Top | 66-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
02-23-17 | South Dakota v. Western Illinois OVER 146 | Top | 92-81 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
02-23-17 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas UNDER 147.5 | Top | 85-67 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
02-22-17 | Bruins v. Ducks +100 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
02-22-17 | Minnesota v. Maryland -4 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
02-22-17 | Furman v. East Tennessee State OVER 141 | Top | 81-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
02-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 113 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
02-21-17 | Purdue v. Penn State UNDER 146 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
02-19-17 | Flyers -125 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
02-19-17 | Michigan v. Minnesota | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
02-19-17 | Connecticut v. Temple -2 | Top | 64-63 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
02-18-17 | East Tennessee State v. Chattanooga -140 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
02-17-17 | Panthers +120 v. Ducks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 120 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
02-17-17 | VCU v. Richmond +2.5 | Top | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
02-16-17 | Memphis v. Connecticut -4.5 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
02-16-17 | Celtics v. Bulls OVER 212.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
02-15-17 | Knicks v. Thunder -7 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
02-14-17 | Kings v. Lakers OVER 217 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
02-14-17 | Colorado State +1 v. Wyoming | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
02-13-17 | Thunder v. Wizards -5 | Top | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
02-12-17 | Pelicans v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
02-12-17 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
02-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
02-11-17 | Magic v. Mavs -6 | Top | 80-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
02-11-17 | Green Bay +3 v. Wright State | Top | 79-88 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
02-10-17 | Spurs v. Pistons UNDER 209.5 | Top | 103-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
02-09-17 | Jazz v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |