Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -4 | Top | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
We will play on the Toronto Raptors at home minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Toronto Raptors have quietly put together a very good season and have the second best overall record in the East, 2.5 games behind division leading Cleveland. Toronto is 24-7 SU at home this season but more importantly for our wager tonight they have an average point differential of +6.6 PPG which is the 5th highest average in the NBA. The Raptors also seem to focus more when winning teams come to town as they are 10-3 ATS at home against teams with winning records. Atlanta is playing really well right now having won 3 of their last four which have all been played on the road but we expect that tough travel schedule to catch up to them here. The Hawks just played in Utah (29-35 SU) on Tuesday and were 2-point underdogs to the Jazz. Now the Raptors who arguably are the best team in the East at 42-20 is laying a basket more than Utah. A big edge in this game will be rebounding for the Raptors who are one of the best in the league while Atlanta is one of the worst. Toronto has covered 5 of the last six meetings and get a double digit win here. |
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03-10-16 | Utah State v. San Diego State -7 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* San Diego State -7 over Utah State, Thursday at 3:00 PM ET The Aztecs are easily the best team in the MWC however, they are most likely not in the Dance unless they win this tourney. Thus, we have the best team in the league with a lot to play for. SDSU looked like they were peaking late in the season as they destroyed their final 2 opponents beating New Mexico by 27 and UNLV by 36. Now the rested Aztecs face a Utah State team that played on Wednesday to get here. They Aggies looked very solid offensively in their 18 point win over Wyoming. However defensively they allowed the Cowboys to hit nearly 61% of their shots inside the arc. The problem for Wyoming was they couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn from deep. USU relies very heavily on their offense because their defense is not very good and hasn’t been all season. The problem here is they are facing the best defense in the MWC and one of the best in the nation. In their 2 meetings this year, both San Diego State wins, a normally reliable USU offense hit less than 40% of their shots including less than 30% of their 3 pointers. That’s a big problem for this team that struggles to stop teams defensively. Look for SDSU to also dominate the boards as they are the #1 offensive rebounding team in the MWC while Utah State is THE WORST defensive rebounding team in the conference. This motivated, physical San Diego State team is a bad match up for Utah State who could wear down in this one having played yesterday. |
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03-07-16 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Tonight we play on the LA Clippers minus the points over the host Dallas Mavericks. At first glance you might be asking why we would lay points on the road against the Mavs here but we feel the situation warrants it. First of all, just 2 weeks ago the Mavs hosted a similar Thunder team and was also a 5-point dog which makes this a comparable point spread. In fact, earlier this year the Clippers were favored by -6.5 points on this floor. The Mavs are also in a tough scheduling situation here as they just played an overtime game in the higher altitude in Denver last night. The starters, including aging Dirk Nowitzki saw extended minutes in that game which makes fatigue an issue tonight versus a rested Clippers team. The Clippers are a solid 19-10 SU away from home this season and know what it takes to win on the road. LA is coming off a disappointing home loss to the Hawks and will rebound here. What's significant is how the Clippers respond off of a loss as they have covered 7 in a row in that situation. Dallas is a bit of a mirage as they have just ONE win in their last 20 games over a team with an above .500 record and that was Memphis in OT. The Clippers have won 6 of their last seven on the road. Lay the points! |
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03-07-16 | North Dakota State +2.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* North Dakota State +2.5 over IPFW, Monday at 7:00 PM CT NDSU matches up very well with the higher seeded IPFW here. These two played twice this year with NDSU winning at home near the end of the season by 16 and IPFW winning at home by 5 in a game NDSU led for much of the 2nd half. In their win by 16 over IPFW near the end of the year, North Dakota State actually played without one of their top players, Paul Miller, who is back now. The Bison have the top defense in the Summit League ranking #1 in defensive efficiency and opponent FG% and they gave the Mastodons big problems in their 2 meetings. In their two games combined vs NDSU, the Mastodons hit just 44 of their 123 shots (35.7%) and just 14 of their 48 three point attempts (29.1%). IPFW looked great offensively on Saturday vs South Dakota, however that was facing one of the worst defensive teams in the league, not the best. We suspect they’ll struggle again tonight. We also feel we’re getting some line value here as we have these two teams rated very close to even. An inspection of the lines on their games this year would seem to agree with us. IPFW was favored by just 1.5 at home while NDSU was favored by 3.5 at home near the end of the season. That tells us this game should probably be even or possibly with NDSU as a slight favorite. IPFW is the higher seed, thus the favoritism here. We like North Dakota State to win this game outright so we’ll take the points. |
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03-06-16 | SMU v. Cincinnati -2 | Top | 54-61 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Cincinnati -2 over SMU, Sunday at 12 Noon ET We’ve spoken many times this year about SMU’s motivation throughout the season. The Mustangs are not eligible for any post-season play which means this is their final game of the season. They just played a great game in their home finale crushing UConn on Thursday night. That was their big game. We see them struggling to get back to an emotional peak here coming off their senior night win and knowing this game is it, win or lose. We catch the Bearcats in a different mindset. Cincy played a very poor game @ Houston on Thursday, a 69-56 loss. Two key seniors, Cobb & Thomas, missed the game with injuries but hope to be back here. The loss moved Cincy squarely onto the NCAA Bubble. A win here over a very good SMU team would most likely vault them back into the field of 68. Cincinnati had SMU on the ropes in their first meeting in Dallas. The Bearcats lost that game by 2 points but led for much of the game including holding a 7 point lead with just 3 minutes remaining. Here we get a very good and desperate home team vs a team simply playing out the string. Cincinnati is the play. |
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03-05-16 | North Carolina -1 v. Duke | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* North Carolina -1 over Duke, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Revenge, Revenge, Revenge. The Heels have been waiting for this rematch after literally blowing their game at home vs Duke in mid February. UNC led for 95% of that game but Duke rallied from 8 down late in the 2nd half to pick up a 74-73 win. UNC led for the majority of that game and really probably should have won despite shooting just 1 of 13 from three point land (7%). A win here gives the Tar Heels at least a share of the ACC crown while Duke sits a full 2 games back in 5th place. We look for Carolina to POUND the Devils on the boards again in this one after corralling 44% of their misses (18 offensive rebounds) in the first meeting and out boarding Duke overall by 12. UNC is the #1 offensive rebounding team in the ACC (5th nationally) while Duke is a terrible defensive rebounding team ranking 308th nationally. That will give Carolina extra chances on offense and they should be able to take advantage of that here as they are shooting much better as of late (47% or higher in 5 of their last 7 games). Duke is one of the thinnest teams in the nation with their bench minutes ranking 347th out of 351. They basically play a 6 man rotation which has them a bit worn out at the end of the season. Not a good recipe for taking on a big, physical, and deep North Carolina team. The Devils “invincibility” at home has been damaged this season as they have 2 ACC losses at Cameron Indoor. This is a team that used to destroy their opponents yet they have a grand total of ONE win by greater than 10 points since January 9th. With the line sitting where it is, we basically have to pick the winner and we think that’s going to be North Carolina. |
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03-05-16 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -5 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Texas Tech -5 over Kansas State, Saturday at 3:00 PM ET This game sets up perfectly in our opinion. Tech is off back to back road losses vs two of the top three teams in the Big 12 (Kansas & WVU). They are back home for the regular season finale and this is a huge game for the Red Raiders. They sit at 18-11 overall and 8-9 in the Big 12. This team is very close to sitting on the NCAA bubble and they need this win to get to .500 in the conference. A loss here would really hurt their NCAA at large chances and push them to the bubble. We expect them to play a very good game in this setting on Saturday. KSU, on the other hand, is nowhere near the bubble or an at large bid. They are 16-13 overall and just 5-12 in the conference. Their only chance to make the Big Dance would be to win the Big 12 tourney next week where they already know they’ll be playing Oklahoma State on Wednesday. This is a completely meaningless road game for this Wildcat team. KSU is off their Senior Night win on Wednesday as they whipped last place TCU. That was the game they wanted to win for the home crowd and the seniors while this one, as we’ve stated, really doesn’t matter. To top all of that, the Cats have been a terrible road team going just 1-7 on the road in conference play with their only win coming @ last place TCU. Tech head coach Tubby Smith stated last week that his team is “very close” to being “very good”. Before their most recent two game losing streak @ Kansas and @ WVU, the Raiders had won 5 straight. They are 13-3 at home with their only losses coming at the hands of Kansas, West Virginia by 4, and Baylor by 3. They have beaten some very good teams at home including the likes of Oklahoma, Iowa State, and Texas. On top of this being a huge home game for Tech, it’s also a revenge spot. They played at KSU early in the conference season (January 12th) and were whipped by 13 points. In that win, a poor shooting Wildcat team hit 56% of their shots overall including 52% from beyond the arc. They have hit the 50% mark overall just 3 times in 14 games since that win. On the flip side, Tech hit only 36% of their shots in that one. We look for the roles to reverse here as KSU in their 8 conference road games have been held under 40% five times and have not topped 42% in any of those games. Another huge positive here is if KSU gets behind, as we expect, and they need to foul late, Texas Tech is the #1 FT shooting team in the Big 12 and 26th nationally hitting 75% of their freebies as a team. We couldn’t ask for a better set up. Texas Tech rolls on Saturday. |
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03-03-16 | Georgia Southern v. Louisiana-Monroe -8.5 | Top | 76-83 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* UL Monroe -8.5 over Georgia Southern, Thursday at 8:00 PM ET There isn’t a hotter team in the Sun Belt than ULM. They have won 11 of their last 12 games with their only loss during that span coming in OT @ UL Lafayette. The Warhawks are coming off a 4 game road trip in which they won all 4 games. They are happy to be back at home where they haven’t played since Feb 13th. They are 11-0 at home this year (8-1 ATS) with 9 of those wins coming by double digits. ULM can lock up 2nd place in the Sun Belt with a win here. The Warhawks have been waiting for this one after playing one of their worst games of the season in mid January losing @ Ga Southern by 15 points. Monroe shot just 30% in that loss including hitting just 25% of their 3’s. Georgia Southern has been on a nice run as well but most of their damage has been done at home (6 of last 8 games played at home). We like UL Monroe, one of the most experienced teams in the nation with 4 senior starters, to take care of one of the youngest teams in the country (Ga Southern ranks 350th in experience out of 351 teams). Lay it. |
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03-03-16 | Bradley +10.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Bradley +10.5 over Loyola Chicago, Thursday at 7:00 PM ET These two this year with each team winning on the opponents court. Both games were low scoring with final scores of 54-53 and 54-43. This total is set at 114 so look for another game where points are tough to come by. That makes covering this larger type number very tough. Possessions will be limited and shot will be few and far between. These two combined to take just 202 shots in their 2 meetings making only 73 (36%). Loyola was +10 points in the 2 games combined but shot 25 more FT’s in those 2 games so keeping the margins close in that situation is pretty impressive for this young Bradley team. The Braves dominated the boards in the 2 games (+23) and we expect that to continue. Loyola’s offense was held to less than 60 points in over half of their MVC games (10 of 18) and this is not a team that often extends the margin. This has all the makings of another low scoring grind it out game and pushing a lead to double digits will be difficult for either. Take the points with Bradley here. |
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03-02-16 | Creighton +3.5 v. Providence | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Creighton +3.5 over Providence, Wednesday at 9:00 PM ET on CBS Sports Network The Blue Jays have been waiting for this one since losing at home to Providence on a last second shot. The fact is the Friars have been a better road team that home team for much of this season. They are just 4-4 at home in Big East play. After starting the Big East season very well, Providence has now won only 3 of their last 9 games. On top of that, they are not at full strength. Future NBA’er Kris Dunn has been sick for about 2 weeks now. Head coach Ed Cooley said they really don’t know what it is. ““He’s had chills. He’s been throwing up. He just can’t shake it. He’s playing at probably about 40 percent,” Cooley stated after their win vs DePaul over the weekend. Dunn didn’t start the game and played only 17 minutes. In his last two games Dunn has scored only 10 total points on 5 of 15 shots. Creighton is the more efficient team on both ends of the court ranking higher than Providence in each. The Jays have proven they can get it done on the road with a 4-3 record in Big East play. We won’t need the points here as Creighton wins this game outright. |
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03-02-16 | Kings +4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
We will play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Kings have lost three straight games and it would seem they are starting a late season swoon but that's not the case. Take a look at who the Kings have lost two recently. San Antonio, LA Clippers and Thunder who are 3 of the four best teams in the NBA. Looking at the Memphis Grizzlies schedule they have won 3 of their last four games but look at who they beat...Denver, and the Lakers twice. In between those wins was a loss to the Suns who are one of the worst teams in the league. Looking at the point spread on this game and we see the Grizzlies were just favored at home by about the same number against the 19-41 Minnesota Timberwolves. The Kings are coming off a game against the Thunder in which they scored 72 points in the paint which is a ridiculously high number so what do you think they'll do against a Memphis team without Marc Gasol. Sacramento is the 2nd highest scoring team in the paint in the league. Granted Memphis is first in the league in least amount of points scored in the lane but that was with Gasol for most of the season. The Grizzlies don't have much of a home court advantage as evidenced by their point differential +0.2PPG which is in the bottom third of the league. Grabbing the points with the Kings is the way to go here! |
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03-02-16 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +5 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Virginia Tech +5 over Pittsburgh, Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET Va Tech is definitely a team that is flying under the radar right now in the ACC. How many people know that his team is 8-8 and with two home wins to close out the season could finish with a winning record in the ACC for the first time since 2011? They have won 4 of their last 6 games with their only losses coming on the road against ACC heavyweights Virginia & Miami. The Hokies have some nice momentum coming into this one having won 3 straight games, 2 coming on the road. They have been solid at home beating the likes of Virginia & Clemson here with tight losses to UNC & Louisville. Pitt is not that caliber. The Panthers are also in a tough spot heading on the road after upsetting Duke at home on Sunday. Off that loss might make it tough for a full focus here. Add to that the fact that Pitt walloped Va Tech earlier this year and that makes it even tougher. VT will be more than ready after what the players and coaches consider their worst effort of the ACC season @ Pitt. “I don’t know that we can play a lot worse than we did that night relative to our effort and our energy and our attitude toward how things played out. Our guys were aware of how it happened, so, yeah, I would say they remember it as well,” said head coach Buzz Williams this week. We look for this to be a tight game throughout and we’re getting 2+ possessions worth of points with the host here. |
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03-01-16 | Dayton -1.5 v. Richmond | Top | 85-84 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Dayton -1.5 over Richmond, Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET The Flyers sit one game out of 1st place in the A10 and they are off a very bad home loss to Rhode Island. They shot just 41% in that loss but even more surprisingly allowed URI to hit 56% of their shot attempts. That was surprising because Dayton is the #1 defensive team in the conference and one of the best in the nation. They rank 1st in the conference in both defensive efficiency and eFG% defense. Only one other team has shot over 50% this season vs Dayton and that was Xavier. After a poor defensive effort, we expect Dayton to play very well on that end of the court tonight. They say good defense travels well and that has definitely been the case with Dayton as they are 7-2 in true road games this season. Richmond, on the other hand, is one of the worst defenses in the Atlantic 10. They also haven’t been great at home this year with just a 3-5 conference mark at Robins Center. Their most recent home game last week was a double digit loss to GW. The Spiders have beaten up on the lower tier teams in the conference but they have only one win this season over a team that is currently above .500 in the league. They are just 1-8 against A10 teams that sit higher than them in the standings. Everything points to Dayton here and we’ll lay the small number on the road. |
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03-01-16 | Miami (OH) v. Buffalo -10 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Buffalo -10 over Miami Oh, Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET Bulls 9-7 in MAC looking for first round bye in conference tourney. Top 4 teams get a bye and if Bulls win their last 2 games they guarantee themselves no worse than 4th seed. It’s Buffalo’s finel home game and Senior Night which always brings extra emotion. Miami Oh in 10th place in the conference and off 2 upset wins at home over Akron and Kent. Miami is buried near the bottom of the league and with a huge rivalry game with Ohio at home on deck this one may not be all that important to them. Redhawks are just 1-11 on the road this year with only win coming @ Western Michigan by 1 point. Miami is the worst offense in the conference ranking dead last in offensive efficiency, eFG%, 3-point FG%, and 2-point FG%. They’ve been held under 70 points in 12 of their 16 conference games and they’ll have trouble keeping up here vs a Buffalo team averaging 82 PPG at home. The Bulls won easily by 17 @ Miami and they will be focused here in their home finale and off an OT loss @ Ohio. Buffalo rolls to a big win tonight. |
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02-29-16 | 76ers +13 v. Wizards | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
We will play on the Philadelphia 76ers plus the points over the host Washington Wizards. A lot to do with this handicap is the scheduling as the Sixers catch the Wiz off a HUGE win over the Cleveland Cavaliers yesterday so it would be natural to let down here against a lowly 76ers team they just beat on the 26th. Washington had a make-up game right after the All-Star break so this will be their 8th game in just 12 days so fatigue becomes a factor. Philly also played yesterday and were blown out early by Orlando which is actually good news for us seeing the starters didn't log a lot of minutes for them. These same two teams just met in Philly with the Wizards winning by 9 points as a -7.5 point road favorite. That game was close throughout as the 76ers were only down 4-points entering the 4th quarter and the largest lead by Washington was 10-points. Washington has been a double-digit favorite just once all season and it's obvious they are over-priced here. I hate taking bad teams but will make the exception tonight. Grab the points! |
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02-28-16 | Arizona State v. Colorado -6.5 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Colorado -6.5 over Arizona St, Sunday at 4:30 PM ET To say the Devils are struggling would be an understatement. They have lost 3 straight by margins of 38, 35, and 13 points. They are just 1-7 on the road in Pac 12 play with their only win coming at last place Washington State. ASU sits dead last in the conference in offensive shooting percentage (40% in conference games) and defensive FG% (allowing 50% in league games). They are just 4-11 in league play with no wins over a team that currently sits above .500 in the league and half their Pac 12 wins (2) have come against last place Wash State. They come into a place where the Buffs have been nearly unbeatable. Their lone home loss was a 2-point setback to Utah, a game they led by double digits in the 2nd half. It’s CU’s final home game and they still have some work to do to make 100% sure they are invited to the Big Dance. They did beat Arizona here on Thursday night but a loss here would give that one back. Colorado has a tough game to close out the season next Saturday @ Utah so they want to make sure they get this one. A win here guarantees them a winning conference record and probably locks them into the Dance. |
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02-27-16 | Maryland v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Purdue -3.5 over Maryland, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET Purdue has been waiting for this one after blowing their game @ Maryland earlier this month. The Terps won by 9 but that was not indicative of how the game played out. Purdue actually led for much of the game including holding a 4-point lead with around 5:00 minutes remaining. The Boilers got “homered” by the officials in that game as Maryland was 24 of 27 from the line in that game while Purdue was 2 of 5. Maryland was playing at the top of their game at the time but have since fallen off big time losing at home to Wisconsin, losing @ 2-13 Minnesota, and then struggling to beat Michigan at home in their most recent game – the Wolverines led with just over 5:00 remaining. The Boilers should handle Maryland inside where they are the #1 offensive AND defensive rebounding team in the Big Ten and they block more shots than any team in the conference. That leaves the Terps to try and win this game from the perimeter where the #1 threat, Melo Trimble, has been really struggling making just 9 of his last 47 shot attempts in conference play (4 games). Purdue has had a full week off to get ready for this revenger and they have won 21 of their last 22 games here at Mackey Arena. This number should be higher in our opinion and we’ll take advantage by playing Purdue. |
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02-27-16 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State | Top | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Mississippi State even over South Carolina, Saturday 2:30 PM ET While MSU is just 5-10 in the SEC, they are vastly improved from earlier in the season. They started the conference season 0-5 and have gone 5-5 since. Their wins over the last month have included Ole Miss, Arkansas, Alabama, and Vandy. They are off a down to the wire loss @ Texas A&M earlier this week (lost by 2). South Carolina is off two huge home wins beating Florida in OT and then whipping Tennessee (Vols without their leading scorer) earlier this week. The Gamecocks have a big revenger on deck with UGA. SC is just 1-3 their last 4 road games with 2 double digit losses and a setback at conference door mat Mizzou. When these two met in South Carolina, the MSU was just 1-5 and not playing well. The Gamecocks won by 10 and they are +10 makes at the FT line which was obviously the difference in the game. We’ve got a feeling off 2 big wins, SC takes this one a little lightly. MSU is now back at full strength as super frosh Newman was back in the line up @ A&M after missing the Bulldogs game @ Bama, a game which State actually won on the road. This is a dangerous team right now and we feel South Carolina isn’t as good as their record might indicate. State wins this one. |
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02-27-16 | Illinois State +16 v. Wichita State | Top | 58-74 | Push | 0 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Illinois State +16 over Illinois State, Saturday at 2:00 PM ET It’s going to be really tough for the Shockers to extend the margin to this number in what we anticipate to be a slow paced, low scoring game. ISU beat Wichita 58-53 at home a few weeks ago and while we get the revenge factor, this number is too high. They can get their revenge without getting a cover here. ISU knows the best way for them to compete is to keep the game low scoring. They’ve done that vs the Shockers better than anyone else in the MVC. The last 4 meetings dating back to the beginning of last year, the Redbirds are 2-2 vs WSU with final scores 58-53 & 65-62 (ISU wins) and 68-62 & 70-62 (ISU losses). Really tough to win big in those type of games and we look for another one here (opening total is set in the low 130’s). ISU is playing great basketball right now. They have won 9 of their last 11 games to move into a tie for 2nd place with Evansville. Wichita already has the top seed and conference title locked up so no need for them to waste too much energy here. Any type of win would just be fine. This stays much closer than this number. Take the points with Illinois State. |
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02-25-16 | North Dakota State v. South Dakota State -9.5 | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* South Dakota State -9.5 over North Dakota State, Thursday at 8:00 PM ET SDSU is still fighting for the Summit League Title. The pre-season favorites sit one game behind current leader IPFW. The Jackrabbits need to win tonight and at home vs Oral Roberts on Saturday and hope IPFW either loses tonight @ Western Illinois or Saturday @ IUPUI. South Dakota State is basically unbeatable at home with a 10-0 mark this year and going back further they’ve won 27 straight here. They’ve handled the top teams in the Summit here with ease. Besides SDSU, there are 4 other teams with winning conference records – IPFW, Nebraska Omaha, IUPUI, and North Dakota State. The Jackrabbits are obviously playing one of those teams tonight but the others they whipped by margins of 22, 16, and 11 points. North Dakota State is just 1-5 on the road in league play and they will most likely be without their top scorer, Paul Miller (16 PPG), in this one. Miller has been out the last few games with a knee problem and it has gotten better. He’s practiced some this week but we’re told the coaching staff wants to be very careful with him and make sure he’s ready for the much more important league tourney coming up next week. If he plays it won’t be much (we doubt he plays at all). NDSU head coach Dave Richman admits “we’re not the most efficient offensive team without him.” South Dakota State is very efficient on offense (64th nationally). That’s what makes the first meeting between these two a head scratcher. NDSU won that game however, the SDSU offense was horrendous shooting 29% from the field, 18% from 3, and just 56% from the FT line. This teams remembers that poor showing and has been waiting for this one. That + the conference title still on the line and we like South Dakota State to roll up a big win here. |
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02-25-16 | South Dakota v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2.5 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* IUPUI -2.5 over South Dakota, Thursday at 7:00 PM ET A huge final 2 games for IUPUI as they are fighting for a top 4 finish in the Summit League. They currently sit at 8-6 in conference play which is good for 4th place – tied with North Dakota State. The Panthers have been terrific at home with an 8-1 mark including wins over Nebraska Omaha & South Dakota State, the 2nd and 3rd place teams in the Summit. The Panthers overall record is not overly impressive (12-17) but you have to look past that as this team played a brutal non-conference slate to get ready for league play. Their non-conference losses (all on the road) included Purdue, Butler, Marquette, Creighton, NC State, and Memphis. While IUPUI has been very good at home, it’s been a LONG time since South Dakota smelled victory on the road. After beating Oral Roberts on the road to open the conference season back on January 3rd, the Coyotes have since lost all 5 of their road games. They sit in 8th place in the league (9 teams in the conference) and they are a full 2 games behind the team in front of them. IUPUI already handled South Dakota on the road by 11 points and we see no reason they don’t do it again at home where they are a much better team. With a small number to work with, we like IUPUI. |
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02-25-16 | Nebraska v. Penn State -1 | Top | 55-56 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Penn State -1 over Nebraska, Thursday at 7:00 PM ET Quick revenger here for PSU who lost @ Nebraska just 12 days ago. It was a tight game at halftime (Nebraska led 32-31) but PSU went on one of the largest offensive dry spells you’ll see. In fact from 1:00 minute mark remaining in the first half until 6:50 remaining in the game, the Nits scored only 7 points. They shot just 38% for the game and made only 6 FT’s. PSU is 14-13 and fighting for their post season lives. They are back at home where they are much more comfortable and successful. They have lost only 2 Big Ten home games to Michigan State & Wisconsin. Their most recent 2 conference home tilts were wins over Big Ten higher ups Iowa & Indiana. The Huskers have lost 3 straight Big Ten roadies all by double digits. Savon Shields will return for the Huskers after missing 4 games with a concussion + neck strain however he’ll most likely have to ease his way back in. However, Nebraska leading scorer Andrew White (17 PPG) injured his shoulder last week in practice, played vs Ohio State over the weekend but made only 3 of 17 shots, and now has missed 2 practices this week due to the shoulder problem. With their 2 top players not at 100%, we see Nebraska struggling again on the road and Penn State pulling out this win. |
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02-24-16 | Indiana State v. Northern Iowa -9.5 | Top | 44-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Northern Iowa -9.5 over Indiana State, Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET These two have been headed in opposite directions for about a month now. UNI hit a rough patch in mid to late January but they have since hit their stride winning 7 of their last 8 games. The Panthers still have a shot at 2nd place in the MVC and this is their home finale. That means senior night and UNI has 3 seniors in their starting line up. Indiana State has simply fallen off the MVC map. At one point the Sycamores were 7-4 in league play but have since lost 5 straight games. That includes blowout losses in each of their last 2 games at the hands of Illinois State (lost by 28) and Wichita State (lost by 34). ISU also lost to Bradley (the worst team in the MVC) and Missouri State (ranked 240th nationally) during this stretch. As a whole this team has been atrocious on the road going 1-7 in league play. They are struggling on both ends of the court allowing 78 points or more in 4 straight games and scoring only 50 & 51 points in their last 2 contests. This is a revenge game for Northern Iowa who lost big at ISU early in January. UNI is one of the top offensive teams in the Missouri Valley (2nd in offensive efficiency & 1st in 3 point FG%) while ISU is one of the worst in the nation on that end of the court (312th nationally in eFG%). The Panthers will play with emotion here in their home finale while we suspect ISU is simply playing out the season and hoping they get hot in the MVC tourney. Lay it. |
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02-23-16 | UNLV v. Boise State -8 | Top | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Boise State -8 over UNLV, Tuesday at 11 PM ET on ESPNU The Rebels are depth shy right now with regulars Zimmerman (11 PPG, 9 RPG), Morgan (5.5 PPG, 5 RPG), and Carter (9 PPG, 6 RPG) all out tonight. To make it worse, UNLV is off an OT win on Saturday night over arch rival Nevada. The Rebs because of their lack of depth were forced to play 6 players for 220 of the 225 total minutes in that 102-91 OT win. They had 5 players play 31+ minutes with 2 of those 5 on the court for 45 minutes. It was a game they actually trailed at home by 7 with only a few minutes remaining in regulation. Now a few days later and a travel date to Boise will make this a tough spot for UNLV. Boise State will be seething here off a 2-point road loss @ New Mexico, a game they led by 15 with just 6:00 minutes remaining. This is also a revenger for the Broncos who blew an 8-point halftime lead @ UNLV and lost. In that game, the 3 players missing tonight combined for 30 point and 20 rebounds. This tired UNLV team won’t be able to make up for that vs a motivated Boise team battling for 2nd place in the MWC. |
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ASA ALL Sports Top Sides Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -4 | Top | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
03-10-16 | Utah State v. San Diego State -7 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
03-07-16 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
03-07-16 | North Dakota State +2.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
03-06-16 | SMU v. Cincinnati -2 | Top | 54-61 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
03-05-16 | North Carolina -1 v. Duke | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
03-05-16 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -5 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
03-03-16 | Georgia Southern v. Louisiana-Monroe -8.5 | Top | 76-83 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
03-03-16 | Bradley +10.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
03-02-16 | Creighton +3.5 v. Providence | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
03-02-16 | Kings +4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
03-02-16 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +5 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
03-01-16 | Dayton -1.5 v. Richmond | Top | 85-84 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
03-01-16 | Miami (OH) v. Buffalo -10 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
02-29-16 | 76ers +13 v. Wizards | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
02-28-16 | Arizona State v. Colorado -6.5 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
02-27-16 | Maryland v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
02-27-16 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State | Top | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
02-27-16 | Illinois State +16 v. Wichita State | Top | 58-74 | Push | 0 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
02-25-16 | North Dakota State v. South Dakota State -9.5 | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
02-25-16 | South Dakota v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2.5 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
02-25-16 | Nebraska v. Penn State -1 | Top | 55-56 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
02-24-16 | Indiana State v. Northern Iowa -9.5 | Top | 44-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
02-23-16 | UNLV v. Boise State -8 | Top | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |