Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-21 | Bucks -125 v. Nets | Top | 123-125 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing MILWAUKEE on the moneyline. Needless to say, this is a huge showdown in the East. I believe that the timing of it favors the Bucks. The Nets clearly have some weapons. They're still learning how to work together though while the Bucks are more familiar with each other. Many are already anointing the Nets as the Conference Champs. However, the Bucks opened as (slight) favorites on the road for a reason and they're going to come in with a chip on their shoulder, ready to remind everyone that the path to the Eastern title goes through Milwaukee. With all the offensive firepower on the floor, this is expected to be a high-scoring game. That suits Milwaukee just fine. The Bucks are 21-6 SU their last 27 on the road, when the O/U line was 230 or more. They're also 21-7 SU the past 28 times that they played with two day's rest in between games. Not only did the Bucks have the last two days off, they get the next two off, too. Rested and focused, expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-17-21 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. A lot of people seem to be down on Denver these days. I like what I've seen from the Nuggets recently though and feel that they're offering excellent value tonight. Sure, the Jazz are going to be motivated for some revenge from the playoffs. The Nuggets are going to be every bit as hungry though; as they're currently looking up at the Jazz in the division standings. I played on the Nuggets in their last game, noting the following: "...I believe that the Warriors are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Denver lost at Brooklyn on Tuesday. However, that loss notwithstanding, the Nuggets have been playing well of late. Jokic is the "straw that stirs the drink" for this team and he's found his groove. He was two rebounds and three steals short of achieving a "quadruple double" last time out. He entered that game as just the second player in NBA history to average 20/10/10 in his team's first 10 games. He's going be an unstoppable force again, tonight. Denver has still won four if its past six games and responded to each of its last two losses with a double-digit win next time out. While both teams had yesterday off, note that the Nuggets also have tomorrow off while the Warriors play at Phoenix. In fact, the Nuggets have the next two nights off. In other words, there's no holding back in this one. The Nuggets are 66-22 when listed as the home team the past 2+ seasons..." Sure enough, the Nuggets came through with a double-digit win. Sure enough, Jokic delivered a triple-double. (He'd finish with a 23/14/10 line while adding three steals.) As I pointed out in the previous writeup, the Nuggets had two nights off, after the GSW game. So, they're coming in well-rested. The Jazz also had yesterday off. However, they played the previous day and this will mark the ninth time in a row that they played in a different city than their previous game was played in. A home game to start the year on 1/1. Then six straight on the road. Then, another home game. Now, back on the road. After this, the Jazz will finally get a "homestand," as they'll play six straight at Utah. For tonight, however, I expect them to potentially be a bit road weary. The Nuggets are 20-8 the past 28 times that they played with two day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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01-16-21 | Hawks v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on PORTLAND. Playing their second game in two nights, the Blazers stumbled against the Pacers on Thursday. Prior to that, however, they'd won four straight, covering three of those. Tonight, its the Blazers' opponent which is playing its second game in two days. While Portland had Friday off, Atlanta played at Utah. The Hawks lost by five, at home against Cleveland, the only previous time that they played the second of b2b games this season. As for the Blazers, they know they need to take advantage of games against teams from the East, particularly when catching them at home. While they're only 1-2 in three against Eastern Conf. opponents so far this season, the Blazers are 40-20 (SU) against them the past 2+ seasons. The home team won and covered both meetings in this series last season. The Hawks won by 12 at Atlanta while the Blazers won by 11, here at Portland. Venue and schedule in their favor, expect another win and cover for the Blazers here. |
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01-16-21 | Army v. Boston University -1 | Top | 79-59 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON U. These teams have both played Colgate twice and they've both played Holy Cross twice. They both split against Holy Cross. Army also split against Colgate. Boston, meanwhile, was swept by Colgate. Those results have helped to provide us with outstanding value with the Terriers. The logic or theory of many bettors will be, if the Black Knights can split against Colgate, a team which swept the Terriers, then they should have the edge in this one. While Army does deserve credit for its win against Colgate, that theory doesn't hold water here. The Terriers brought back most of last year's team and last year's team beat the Knights by a score of 80-66, at Army, and by a score of 81-59, here at Case Gym. The Terriers are coming in extremely hungry. They're 11-5 the last 16 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 130s and that includes a perfect 4-0 record when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range. Expect Boston to bring its very best effort in this one, en route to a badly needed victory. |
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01-15-21 | UTEP v. North Texas -5.5 | Top | 33-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTH TEXAS. The Mean Green were favored by 10 points for last year's lone meeting. That game, which was last January, saw North Texas win by exactly 10. The previous season's lone game was played at UTEP. Yet, North Texas was still favored by 5.5 points and still won by seven. This year's North Texas team returned four of its top six scorers and is arguably even better than the recent versions. Yet, we're getting the Mean Green at a much lower line than we were last season. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. To be fair, UTEP is probably better this year than it was. That said, I don't think the Miners, who will miss the size, depth and rebounding of senior forward Vila, are going to be ready for what's in store for them here. The Miners lost last time out and they're just 7-17-1 ATS their last 25, off a conference loss. During that span, they were also 7-15 ATS (6-16 SU) when playing a game with an O/U line in the 130s. North Texas, the top rated shooting team in the conference, is undefeated at home, outscoring visiting teams by a 98 to 62.7 average margin. Expect another win and cover. |
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01-15-21 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. Despite dealing with some Covid issues, the Mavs have been rolling of late. Tonight, however, I expect their run to come to an abrupt start. As of this writing, the Mavs still have a number of players questionable, due to quarantine protocol etc. However, even at full strength, they'll be no match for what they're about to run into. When you don't lose that many games, you tend to remember the losses. The Bucks haven't forgotten that the Mavs upset them here last season. Milwaukee was laying -10 for that 12/16 game. The Mavs came in hot while the Bucks had an off night. That 120-116 upset snapped an 18-game winning streak for the Bucks. So, yes, they remember it. The fact that the Mavs also beat them "in the bubble" will further add to their anger tonight. The Mavs have been playing the majority of their games on the road so far this season and it figures to catch up with them here. The Bucks are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS at home this season. Even with last year's loss to the Mavs, they're 72-14 SU and 52-33-1 ATS here the past 2+ seasons. The Mavs average 109 ppg while the Bucks average more than 120. Payback time. |
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01-14-21 | Arizona -7.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 98-64 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Wildcats already know that they won't face Oregon, as originally scheduled, on Saturday. That's because of Covid issues with Oregon. They will still get a chance to face Oregon State though and I expect them to make the most of it. The Beavers have been dealing with their own Covid issues and have been out of action since Jan. 4th. That won't help them here. Not against a superior opponent which almost always gives them trouble. Arizona has won eight of the last nine meetings. The most recent meeting saw the Cats crush the Beavers by 26 points. With the Beavers rusty from their layoff, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cats jump all over them and never look back. Even if OSU does survive the initial onslaught, Arizona's superior talent will ultimately lead to another double-digit win. |
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01-14-21 | Warriors v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. I believe that the Warriors are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Denver lost at Brooklyn on Tuesday. However, that loss notwithstanding, the Nuggets have been playing well of late. Jokic is the "straw that stirs the drink" for this team and he's found his groove. He was two rebounds and three steals short of achieving a "quadruple double" last time out. He entered that game as just the second player in NBA history to average 20/10/10 in his team's first 10 games. He's going be an unstoppable force again, tonight. Denver has still won four if its past six games and responded to each of its last two losses with a double-digit win next time out. While both teams had yesterday off, note that the Nuggets also have tomorrow off while the Warriors play at Phoenix. In fact, the Nuggets have the next two nights off. In other words, there's no holding back in this one. The Nuggets are 66-22 when listed as the home team the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. |
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01-13-21 | Central Arkansas v. Stephen F Austin -7.5 | Top | 69-95 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on STEPHEN F. AUSTIN. Sometimes these smaller conferences can provide the biggest value. In this case, I believe the superior team is undervalued. The Lumberjacks are the class of this conference. Both their two losses came on the road, one of them at Baylor. At home, they're undefeated and outscoring teams by a 90-70 margin. Last year, the Jacks were laying nine points at Central Arkansas and 12.5 points for the game here. They won a close one on the road but won by 15 in the game here. Central Arkansas is 1-7 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 83.5 to 68.4. Seven of the Bears' losses this season have come by double-digits, including each of the last six. Its been more than a year since Stepeh F. Austin lost a game in this conference. The last time it happened was Jan. 8th, 2020. Since that time, the Jacks have reeled off 17 straight Southland wins. This year's Stephen Austin team, led by their seniors, quietly ranks fourth in the entire country, in terms of forcing opponents into turning the ball over on 28% of all their possessions. Expect another double-digit win. |
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01-12-21 | Pacers v. Warriors OVER 228 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on Indiana/GSW OVER the total. Last season's lone meeting produced 247 points, finishing well above the number. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair this evening. The Pacers have scored 117, 114 and 118 points their last three games. They've hit triple-digits in every single game this season and are averaging 115 ppg. On the road, that number climbs to a whopping 121.5 ppg. The Warriors average 113.7 ppg and allow 116.6. At home, they average 115.7 ppg. Curry was terrible last game (2 of 16 shooting) and GSW still got 106 points. Expect him to be MUCH better tonight, as this one gets played at a very fast tempo, the final combined score finishing above the number. |
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01-12-21 | Wisconsin +4 v. Michigan | Top | 54-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN. While I'm happy to grab the points, I like the Badgers to win this one outright. The Wolverines were favored by three in last year's game. Wisconsin won by seven. The Badgers last road game saw them win by nine, at Michigan State. This is a team which knows how to win, at any venue. The Badgers' lone road loss came by just two points. With an undefeated record, Michigan has obviously played well and is worthy of respect. That said, the Badgers have played the tougher schedule thus far and are more "battle-tested," as a result. Including last season's win here and this season's win at Michigan State, the Badgers are 12-8-2 ATS their last 22 as underdogs, 11-11 SU in those games. Expect them to give the Wolverines all they can handle with a great shot at another upset. |
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01-11-21 | Boise State v. Wyoming UNDER 148 | Top | 83-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boise/Wyoming UNDER the total. The last four meetings between these teams had O/U lines of 134, 133.5, 130.5 and 136. All four games finished below the total with combined scores of 129, 119, 129 and 124. Tonight, however, thanks to these teams being involved in a number of 'overs' lately, we're working with a considerably higher O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. Wyoming managed a mere 61 points last time out while Boise allowed just 69. In their previous game, the Broncos allowed only 59. While the Cowboys did allow 81 last time out, the UNDER is 10-7 the past 2+ seasons, after they'd allowed 80 or more in their previous game. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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01-11-21 | Grizzlies v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis/Cleveland OVER the total. These teams played a low-scoring game against each other, at Memphis, recently. I expect this evening's rematch to be considerably higher-scoring. Note that this is the lowest O/U line on the Monday board. The Grizzlies scored 115 in their game since facing the Cavs, that game finishing above the total. The Grizzlies average 110.3 ppg on the road, while allowing 110. That 220.3 point average score of their road games is a lot higher than their average score at home. The Cavs are the opposite as they score a lot more points per game at home, than they do on the road. They have failed to reach triple-digits in any of their last six road games but average 108+ at home. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER improving to 10-5 the past 15 times that the Cavs were listed as favorites. |
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01-10-21 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on MARYLAND. While I respect Illinois, I believe that this will prove to be too many points. The Terps are coming in hungry. They got embarrassed last time out and they've now dropped three straight. Note that if we go back over the years, they're 12-2 ATS their last 14, after having dropped their previous three. Maryland has also had plenty of success against the Illini over the years. The Terps have won six of the past seven meetings and are 11-5 in 16 meetings since the late 1990s. All five Illinois victories came by 11 or fewer points. Maryland's three conference road games have resulted in two single digit losses (at Purdue and Indiana) and an outright win at Wisconsin. Expect them to give their hosts all that they can handle. |
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01-10-21 | Bulls v. Clippers -10.5 | Top | 127-130 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Bulls are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Chicago is at the end of a road trip. Off b2b really close losses, the banged-up Bulls are thinking about getting home. The Clippers also lost last time out. They're already 3-0 SU/ATS off a loss though. They won those three games by an average of 12 points, too. While they did manage to upset the Clippers last season, something LA hasn't forgotten, the Bulls are now 15-42 SU in games against Western Conf. teams, the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Clippers are 37-17 SU against teams from the East. Expect LA to improve on those stats this afternoon, picking up the cover along the way. |
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01-09-21 | Gonzaga v. Portland UNDER 163 | Top | 116-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on Gonzaga/Portland UNDER the total. When these teams last met, the O/U line was 147.5. The previous meeting, the line was 148.5. We're working with a much higher number this evening. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. Since hitting conference play, Gonzaga has seen both its games stay below the total. The Bulldogs have still scored 85 and 86 points. However, they held their two opponents (BYU and San Francisco) to 62 and 69. Due to the high O/U lines, the games stayed below the total. The Bulldogs will surely put up a big number again tonight. However, Portland isn't as good offensively as the previous two conf. opponents. The Pilots have managed 41, 61, 68 and 64 points over their past four games. While their defense isn't great, no team has hit the 90 mark against them. They allow 72 ppg. Even if Gonzaga gets 100, which I don't think it will, Portland likely wouldn't be able to contribute enough to make up the difference. Even if one pencils in Gonzaga for 95, consider that none of the Bulldogs last four opponents have reached 70 points and that Portland hasn't reached the 70 mark in its past four. The last two meetings that I spoke of earlier? They both finished in the 150s. Look for the final combined score to stay beneath the generously high number, the UNDER improving to 20-12 in Portland's last 32 home games. |
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01-08-21 | Dayton +7 v. Davidson | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on DAYTON. While I respect Davidson, this line climbed higher overnight and its a lot of points to be laying against a determined Dayton tean. The Flyers, who have beaten Davidson three straight times, have lost just three times this season. All three losses came by two points or less. One of those setbacks came last time out. That's noteworthy as Dayton is 6-1 SU (5-1-1 ATS) its last seven, off a conf. loss. Speaking of close games, last year's meeting here was decided by a single point, a 74-73 win for the Flyers. Davidson was laying four points for that one, which is roughly what I feel the Wildcats should be laying here, if one was setting a true line, not based on trying to balance action. Getting an extra few points, above and beyond that, in what could well be another close one, is offering excellent value. Remember, Dayton has defeated the likes of Ole Miss and Miss. State. Off each of this season's previous two losses, the Flyers bounced back with a win. Look for them to give their hosts all they can handle. |
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01-08-21 | Magic v. Rockets OVER 226 | Top | 90-132 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on Orlando/Houston OVER the total. Both these teams are off some recent 'unders,' which has kept tonight's O/U line lower than it easily could have been. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Last season's meetings between these teams had final combined scores of 232 and 237 points, respectively. Both games finished above the number. Including those results, the Magic have seen the OVER go 14-6 their last 20 against Southwest opponents. The Magic scored 126 points in the game here last season. This year, they're averaging 122.7 ppg on the road, far more than they are at home. In fact, all three of their road games have finished above the number, those games averaging a whopping 236 points. I'm expecting a high-scoring affair. |
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01-07-21 | Tenn-Martin v. Tennessee State -5.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE STATE. There's a reason why the team with the inferior record is the favorite. Homecourt is only part of it. The Tigers are more talented, in my opinion. Additionally, they're currently playing better, arguably. They're also going to be desperate for a win, having dropped three straight. Of course, off four straight losses of their own, the Skyhawks are also going to really want a "W" here. However, a look at the four losses shows that they haven't even been competitive. All four losses were by double-digits. The average margin of defeat was 24 points. The Tigers' losses, on the other hand, were all close, each coming by single digits. Note that the Tigers are 6-3 ATS the past couple of seasons, after having dropped their previous three games. I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-06-21 | Auburn v. Ole Miss OVER 137.5 | Top | 61-72 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on Auburn/Mississippi OVER the total. I believe that this number will prove to be too low. Consider that recent meetings between these teams had O/U lines in the 140s and 150s but that we're working with a number in the 130s here. Auburn is off a tight (68-66) game against Texas A&M. However, in their previous game, the Tigers scored 85. The problem was that they allowed 97! Here, they'll face an Ole Miss team which has allowed 82 and 83 points, respectively, since hitting conference play. Overall, Mississippi SEC games are averaging 146 points. Auburn's SEC games are averaging 158. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER improving to 9-5-1 the past 15 times that Auburn was off a conference loss. |
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01-06-21 | Boston College v. Duke -12 | Top | 82-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on DUKE. The Blue Devils come into this game very well-rested and chomping at the bit to get going. Admittedly, things aren't exactly "normal." The Blue Devils have been on an extended layoff and they're going to be without Coach K on the sidelines. Yes, his absence is significant. However, he hasn't been completely out of contact: Krzyzewski had this to say: "I've had Zooms yesterday with my staff to go over Boston College, wrote out our practice plan, had a meeting with my staff this morning. I'll be able to follow practice on Zoom....and then I'll have another meeting with my staff and I'll FaceTime with each of the players individually tonight, and do the best we can ... " While the Eagles may be thinking that a young Duke team is vulnerable, one fact remains unchanged. Duke is more talented. The Eagles, who lost quite a lot from last year, have played some good teams, so they know what they're up against. However, they've also already lost seven times, three of those losses by 12 or more. Syracuse beat this team by 38 points. Speaking of "blowouts," the last two meetings here at Duke saw the Blue Devils win by scores of 88-49 and 80-50. Not many will likely be ready to back Duke in this spot, but I'm projecting another blowout. |
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01-06-21 | Hornets v. Hawks OVER 232 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on Charlotte/Atlanta OVER the total. As recently as a few years ago, O/U lines this high were rare. Times have changed though. In this case, in my opinion, they can't set this total high enough. Keep in mind that the main goal of the oddsmaker is to achieve balanced action. If he sets a line too high or too low, he won't realize that goal. The reality of this game is that it is very likely to turn into a track meet. The last time that these teams faced each other, they combined for 281 points. OK, that was a double-OT game. However, they still had 129 by halftime and 244 by the end of regulation. After losing against some stingier teams, both teams are going to prefer another high-scoring fast-paced game tonight. Look for the OVER to improve to 42-22-1 the past 65 times that the Hawks faced a sub-500 team. |
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01-05-21 | Rutgers v. Michigan State | Top | 45-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN STATE. While the Knights have the higher ranking, playing at home, I expect the Spartans to have the edge. The Spartans dropped their first three conference games. However, two of those were on the road and the third was against Wisconsin. Last time out, also on the road, they bounced back and picked up this season's first Big Ten win. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Spartans haven't fared well at the betting window. Their ATS struggles work in our favor here though as we don't need to lay any points. Keep in mind that the Spartans were favored by 14, 15.5, 21.5, 13 and 28 points the past five times that they hosted the Knights. Yes, Rutgers is improved this season. However, the point remains that the Spartans are offering excellent value. Remember, they're 32-5 the past 2+ seasons at home and that includes a perfect 6-0 record when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 150 to 154.5 range. The Knights, still without Omoruyi, have still won just seven of their past 25 on the road. A 2-point loss against Iowa last time out figures to be deflating. I say that as they left it all on the floor and played great, only to have poor free throw shooting cost them. The Spartans, who have beaten Rutgers every single Big Ten meeting, won't have any sympathy. They need another win and I expect them to get it. |
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01-05-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +9 | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on MEMPHIS. These teams met here Sunday. The Lakers won by 14. The champs haven't been home since last year though and this is the final leg of their road trip. I believe that they could easily overlook Memphis tonight. Note that LA is 9-12 ATS the past couple of seasons, after playing its previous three on the road. On the other hand, the Grizzlies play with recent revenge and absolutely don't want to be "swept" in this 2-game series. Still seeking their first home win, they're going to be hungry and determined tonight. While the Lakers are 1-2 ATS off a double-digit win, the Grizzlies are 2-1 ATS off a double-digit loss. I expect the Grizzlies' best effort and am grabbing the points. |
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01-04-21 | Winthrop v. Charleston Southern +14 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLESTON SOUTHERN. I believe that this line is too high. Winthrop may be the class of the conference but the Buccaneers are an experienced team which, in my opinion, is better than many realize. Note that Charleston Southern's only loss of greater than 12 points was on the road, at NC State. The Bucanneers, still 21-12 SU their last 33 home lined games, believe that they can win this game and they've had it circled. Winthrop can score but it also gives up 75 ppg. The Eagles won the most recent meeting by 17. However, the Bucs won the previous meeting and the three before that were all decided by four or less. Look for the Buccaneers to bring their "A game," and for this one to prove closer than many will be expecting. |
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01-03-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 218 | Top | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Phoenix OVER the total. Yesterday, I won with the 'over' in the Raptors' game. I noted that the O/U line was low based on the early season results. I also mentioned that in 2020/21 teams/games are generally higher-scoring than they once were. This is another case where we're working with a relatively low O/U line, based on the fact that the Suns have been involved in some early low-scoring games. Keep in mind that the last meeting between these teams had an O/U line of 228.5 and finished with 232 points. Booker got going down the stretch last time out for the Suns and he should carry it over into this game. Every opponent has scored triple-digits against the Clippers and LA games are averaging 225 points overall. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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01-02-21 | Raptors v. Pelicans OVER 213 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/NO OVER the total. These teams began their seasons against each other, for the second straight year. That 12/23 meeting had an O/U line of 229. Now, less than two weeks later, we're working with a significantly lower O/U number. I believe that's providing excellent value and that it'll prove to be too low. Its true that neither offense has really started clicking yet. That's the reason for the really low O/U line. However, these are still very capable offenses and its only a matter of time. Even with a renewed emphasis by the Pelicans on defense under Van Gundy, this is 2021 and games in general are a lot higher-scoring than they once were. Both last season's meetings produced more than 225 points. They averaged a whopping 239. The Raptors benched Siakam last game and that should light a fire under him here. You may recall that he had lines of 34/18 and 44/10 in the two games against the Pelicans last year. That's 78 points and 28 boards in two games. I say this one proves higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER improving to 12-7-1 the past 20 times that New Orleans faced a team from the Atlantic. |
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01-01-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. I successfully backed the Nuggets in their last game here, as they got on track with a big win over Houston. They'd follow it up with a loss in a b2b spot, on the road, the following night. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect another win and cover to ring in the year. While the Nuggets had last night off, the Suns are off a hard-fought win at Utah. The only previous time that the Suns played b2b games this season, their opponent was in the same situation. That's not the case here. Not only will the Suns be playing b2b games, they'll also be playing three games in four nights and five in the past seven. Facing a motivated and rested Denver team, expect it to all catch up to the Suns tonight. Nuggets roll. |
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01-01-21 | Liberty v. Lipscomb +6.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on LIPSCOMB. Liberty is off a huge season and has dominated the Atlantic Sun Conference in recent years. The Flames lost a lot from last year though and I believe that they're ripe to get upset here. Note that the Bisons did beat Liberty here last season. Getting nine points, they won 77-71. While Liberty's team has arguably taken a step back, on paper, Lipscomb is arguably stronger than last year. Its also worth noting that four of the past five meetings were decided by seven or less. I like the fact that Liberty hasn't played since 12/22 as there may be some rust. I also like the Lipscomb has built up confidence with three straight wins. Including last year's upset win over Liberty here, the Bistons are 34-18 ATS their past 50+ as underdogs. Expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon with AT LEAST another cover. |
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12-31-20 | San Diego v. San Francisco -12.5 | Top | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN FRANCISCO. These teams are at opposite ends of the conference. No West Coast Conference team can compete with Gonzaga, as the Bulldogs are in a class of their own this season. However, the Dons are capable of competing with any other team in the conference. Remember, this is a team which beat Virginia earlier. The same cannot be said for San Diego. The Toreros, who are likely destined to finish near the bottom of the conference. San Diego, hit by Covid-19 mitigation measures, didn't get to work together until late in the season. Now, the Toreros have still only had a chance to play four games (SF has played 10) so they still aren't really firing on all cylinders. They're 1-3 and their three losses came by an average of 22 points. Last time out, they lost by 32, at UC-Irvine. While they didn't cover, I like how the Dons eked out a close win against a Grand Canyon team which had been playing very well. The Dons won last season's meeting by 25 points. Knowing they've got Gonzaga on deck, they're going to want to build confidence. Expect them to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way, en route to an other lopsided win. |
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12-30-20 | SE Missouri State v. Tennessee Tech -1.5 | Top | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE TECH. While the Golden Eagles are winless, I believe that they're favored for a reason and I expect them to earn their first victory here. The Golden Eagles, who have beaten the Redhawks three straight times here at Hooper Eblen Arena, are winless due to the schedule that they've played. Tennessee Tech has played seven of its nine games on the road. Underdogs in every game, until this one, the Golden Eagles have taken on the likes of Indiana, Xavier and Tennessee, to name just a few. Indeed, they're battle-tested and won't be intimidated by a Redhawk team who's toughest opponent was Indiana State. Over the past couple of seasons, SE. Missouri State was 0-2 ATS as a road underdog of three or fewer points. The Golden Eagles won by nine against the Redhawks here last season and I believe that they're an improved team this season. I can't say the same for the Redhawks. Tenn. Tech rolls. |
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12-29-20 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 229.5 | Top | 101-124 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on Minnesota/LA OVER the total. Both teams are off ugly losses. I expect that to lead to a high-scoring affair this evening. The last time that these team met, they combined for a whopping 257 points, all of them coming in regulation. Yes, Towns remains out for the T-Wolves. Yes, he normally contributes a lot of offense. However, Russell and co can still pick up the scoring and with the Wolves likely going smaller, out of necessity, it should only lead to a quicker tempo. There was talk about them being better defensively without Towns - however, the Wolves just allowed 129 points without him last time out. Perhaps still with a 2-day Christmas hangover, the Clippers didn't show up for their early game against Dallas on 12/27. They'd scored 116 and 121 in their first two games though and I expect them to bounce back with a much better offensive effort. Note that the OVER is 17-12-1 the past two seasons, when they were off a double-digit loss. During that span, the OVER was also 40-27 when the Clippers played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or greater. Expect a high-scoring affair. |
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12-28-20 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. The Rockets are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Nuggets are already 0-2 on the season, both those losses here at home. They know that their next game is on the road and that they won't play another home game until "next year." That will provide them with a sense of urgency and I expect them to take it out on the Rockets. As you likely know, Harden wants out. That's made things difficult, to say the least. Of course, even when the Rockets were fully functional, they had trouble winning here. While the Rockets have beaten the Nuggets eight straight times at Houston, they've lost their last three games here at Denver, losing by an average of more than 10 points. The Nuggets were 22-10 SU and 17-13-2 ATS when off a double-digit loss, the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats with a double-digit win of their own. |
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12-28-20 | Fresno State v. Colorado State -6.5 | Top | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on CSU. The Bulldogs are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Fresno has almost an entirely new starting lineup and has yet to play a game against a quality team. The Bulldogs' two games have come against William Jessup and Fresno Pacific; neither game had a line. The Rams, a far more experienced team to begin with, have played twice as many games overall and they've actually taken on real opponents, like St. Mary's. The Rams have already beaten the Bulldogs by double-digits twice in 2020. They won 80-70 at Fresno in February and they hammered the Bulldogs 86-68 in a game here in January. Prior to the season, Fresno coach Justin Hutson noted: "...It's just a lot of new guys, so the theme is to get them to gel as a team." They haven't had a chance to do that yet. Look for the Rams to take advantage of their inexperience, improving to 3-1 ATS the past couple of seasons, when listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. |
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12-27-20 | Warriors v. Bulls OVER 226 | Top | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on GS/Chicago OVER the total. These teams are both 0-2 out of the gate. Each of their four combined losses has come by double-digits, as they've both been over-matched by superior opposition. This evening, however, both teams are (arguably) stepping down in class and both are going to be coming in looking for a "W." I believe that will lead to a high-scoring game. Both defenses have really struggled so far. The Warriors have given up 125 and 138 points. The Bulls have given up 124 and 125. With the Bulls off a Saturday loss against the Pacers, note that the OVER is 3-0 the past three times that Chicago played the second of b2b games. All three of those games finished above the number by double-digits, too. Expect another relatively high-scoring affair, the OVER improving to 11-7 the past 18 times that GS faced a team from the Central. |
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12-27-20 | Nets v. Hornets OVER 226.5 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on Brooklyn/Charlotte OVER the total. The Nets have seen both their games slip under the total. They've still scored 125 and 123 points though. With Nash coaching, they're still going to be a team which looks to push the pace, whenever it can. Nash had this to say prior to the season: "... We want to play an uptempo style. We want to push the ball in transition and play in the open court, and in the half-court we want to make quick decisions, space the floor, take advantage of our playmaking and shooting. We have some centers that are vertical threats, so we can really put pressure on people above the rim, but also stretch them and make the court big and difficult to cover ..." Catching Charlotte off a hard-fought loss yesterday, Nash will absolutely be looking for his team to play at a fast tempo in this one. Yet, the Hornets aren't likely to just go away. They're now 0-2 and they're going to be hungry to avoid going 0-3. In order to get that first "W," or at least in order to compete for it, they're going to need to put up a big number. Charlotte has seen the OVER go 20-11-1 against teams from the Atlantic the past couple of seasons. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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12-27-20 | DePaul v. Providence -6 | Top | 90-95 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on PROVIDENCE. The last time that these teams faced each other was on 3/7/2020. The Friars hammered them by a score of 93-55. The Friars were up 55-25 by halftime. While this one is unlikely to get that ugly, I am absolutely expecting another double-digit win for the Friars. In this season, when teams didn't get to practice in the offseason the way they normally do, actually playing games is very important. In this case, Providence is "battle-tested" with eight games under its belt. I expect this season's experience to prove the difference. The Friars have taken on the likes of Indiana, Davidson, Alabama, TCU, Seton Hall and Butler. By comparison, Depaul has played just one game and that was against Western Illinois. Sure, the Blue Demons won 91-72. However, thats not saying much as the "Leathernecks" were 5-21 last season and didn't bring back a single starter this year. With Depaul just 6-12 ATS its past 18, after scoring 80 or more in its previous game, expect the Friars to pull away for a comfortable win and cover. |
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12-25-20 | Mavs v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 115-138 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/LA OVER the total. While I successfully played on the Mavs "under" in their first game, I'm expecting a considerably higher-scoring affair on Christmas. The Mavs now have a game under their belts, as do the Lakers. Both teams are off losses and both are going to be highly motivated to bounce back with a win. The last meeting between these teams had an O/U line in the 220s, yet finished with 243 points, all of them in regulation. They had 72 points by the end of the first quarter and just kept on scoring. By halftime, it was 79-58. Really, it could have probably been even higher-scoring but the Lakers took their foot off the gas a little in the second half, due to the game being a blowout. I'm not anticipating a blowout in this one. Rather, I'm expecting both teams to keep scoring the entire way, the final combined score finishing above the reasonably low number. |
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12-25-20 | Warriors v. Bucks -9.5 | Top | 99-138 | Win | 101 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. While its important not to over-react to one game, its also important not to ignore what just happened. In this case, the Warriors looked terrible in Tuesday's opener, at Brooklyn. Thompson is out. Green missed the opener and may well miss this one. If he does play, he's not likely to be 100%. Without Green in there to take some pressure off him, Wiggins really struggled in the opener. Curry can't do it alone. The Bucks are thinking nothing less than a championship this season. Still stinging from last season's playoff disappointment, this is their chance to remind the world how good that they can be. They should be improved, too, having added Jrue Holliday to their already stacked lineup. Bucks make a statement and win by double-digits. |
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12-23-20 | Providence v. Butler UNDER 139.5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on Providence/Butler UNDER the total. This O/U line is higher than any of the five O/U lines for games between these teams in 2019 and 2020. All those games had O/U lines ranging from 127.5 to 136. The most recent meeting had an O/U line of 129.5 and saw the teams combine for 126. The previous meeting had an O/U line of 127.5 and they combined for 128. Again, we're working with a higher number for this one and I feel thats providing us with very fair value. Note that Providence is off an OT game against Seton Hall, which makes the game appear as if it was higher-scoring than it was. The Bulldogs haven't gotten off to the start they were hoping for and know they need to elevate their defensive intensity if they want to knock off their surging guests. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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12-22-20 | East Tennessee State v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on ALABAMA. This is a mismatch in terms of both talent and experience. The Bucaneers won 30 games last season. However, this year's team has an entirely new starting lineup, as well as a new coach. They're still going to be good, within their conference, but they're not yet ready to challenge the likes of Alabama. Not when the Tide are going to be motivated, as I expect them to be here. The Tide are 2-0 SU this season, when coming off a loss. Off a loss and playing their final game before Christmas, with conference play to follow after that, they're going to be anxious to bounce back with a big win. The Tide are better than their record suggests. In an angry mood, expect them to close out the non-conf. slate with a statement blowout. |
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12-21-20 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 56-49 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on MEMPHIS. This isn't just a regular game for the Tigers. They have a score to settle with this team and have had this game circled. The last time that they met, Tulsa beat them by a score of 80-40. Forward D.J. Jeffries noted: "They pretty much humiliated us last year. We're coming back tomorrow with redemption. We're trying to go out there and prove that we're the tougher team and better team, you know, go out there and hit them in the mouth first, because last year I felt like they hit us in the mouth first." Coach Penny Hardaway added: "A lot of players quit in that game and it was very disappointing. So we’re a totally different team now. We have the utmost respect for everybody. ... So now they know what to expect. And it's been an opportunity for us to get another home win, but also get back at Tulsa for how they beat up on us last year." I say its payback time. Memphis rolls. |
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12-20-20 | St. Louis v. Minnesota +3 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Billikens have a veteran team this year and they've been playing well. However, I expect a highly motivated Minnesota team to hand them their first loss. A closer look at the Billikens' games show that none have come on the road and that none have been against real top quality opponents. They did eke out a win against LSU while beating NC. State. So, those wins were fairly impressive. Again, however, they weren't on the road. The rest of the Billiken's wins all came against weak competition, as they were favored by double-digits in every other game. The Gophers have also taken care of business when playing at home. Their only loss came last time out, at Illinois. The Illini are one of the top teams in the country though, so there's no shame in losing on the road to them. The fact that the Gophers got hammered will have them working extra hard to bounce right back. Indeed, Pitino will use that blowout loss as motivation and have his team ready to go. Look for a huge effort from the Gophers, as they improve to 16-9 ATS the past 25 times that they were off a conference loss. |
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12-19-20 | Colorado State v. St. Mary's -5 | Top | 33-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. MARY'S. The Gaels have played a lot more games than the Rams and I expect that to work to their advantage this evening. Since dropping its opener against Memphis, St. Mary's has won seven straight games. The Rams, on the other hand, have only played two games. Both were against weak competition and neither were on the road. The Rams are just 17-30-1 ATS over the years as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. The Gaels, during the same span, were 24-15 ATS as home favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range. The Gaels are 20-11 SU/ATS their last 31 against MWC opponents, 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS their last seven. The Gaels have won five straight at home, averaging more than 80 ppg while giving up just 63. Expect homecourt to prove significant as the Gaels win their eighth straight overall while covering the relatively small number along the way. |
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12-18-20 | Loyola-Chicago v. Richmond -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on RICHMOND. Big game between two good teams. It was a recent addition to the schedule and the teams will meet at Indianapolis. Richmond has positive momentum in its corner, while Loyola-Chicago is off its first loss. I expect that to work in favor of the Spiders. I also like the fact that the Spiders have played a couple more games overall than have the Ramblers. With teams not being able to do as much offseason work together as normal, those extra games help more than they hurt. With their loss against the Badgers, ther Ramblers are just 4-10 ATS as underdogs the past 2+ seasons. I really liked how the Spiders responded to their first loss of the season, as they were flawless in the first half against Vanderbilt. Even better was the fact that they allowed the Commodores to come back and cover in the second half, as it kept today's line more reasonable than it easily could have been. I say the Spiders keep rolling, covering the small nubmer along the way. |
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12-17-20 | St. Joe's v. Drexel UNDER 146 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on St. Joseph's/Drexel UNDER the total. Given Drexel's scoring trouble, this number is generously high. Last time out, the Dragons managed a mere 48 points. That came against La Salle, a team which just gave up 85 against UMass. In its three previous games, Drexel was held to 70 or less every time. Yet, the Dragons still find themselves favored. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 17-6 the past few years when they were favorites, already a perfect 4-0 this season. After facing Auburn and Kansas in its first two games, St. Joseph's will certainly welcome a game against a lower-scoring opponent. With Drexel home games averaging only 114.5 points, look for another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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12-16-20 | UTEP v. Arizona State -14.5 | Top | 76-63 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on ASU. The Miners are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. While they may have played Arizona tough, the Sun Devils are a different beast. Having survived, while receiving a wake-up-call, at Grand Canyon, I expect Arizona State, 6-2 ATS its last eight against CUSA teams, to be all business in this one. The Miners will have an opportunity for a win before Christmas. However, tonight, they're at the end of a road trip and thinking about what might have been at Arizona and also about getting home. Keep in mind that UTEP hasn't won a road game against a team with a winning record, since the 2016/17 season. Once Remy Martin and the Sun Devils get up, as I fully expect them to do, its going to be tough for the Miners to fight back. Look for the Sun Devils to build some positive momentum from their close call at Grand Canyon, keeping the pedal to the metal the entire way and delivering a one-sided blowout. |
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12-15-20 | Texas Southern v. Auburn -13 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on AUBURN. I'm expecting this one to get ugly. All five of Auburn's opponents have been better than this one. The Tigers have taken on the likes of Gonzaga and Memphis. Even their lesser opponents (UCF, St. Joseph's etc) were considerably better than Texas Southern. To their credit, the Tigers (Texas Southern) have also taken on some fairly tough teams. They've been mostly competitive, too. That said, they're going to be getting a little road weary for this one. This is their sixth game and its the sixth different arena that they will have played in. That stretch started way out on the West Coast, too. Bruce Pearl will make sure his team doesn't take their opponent for granted. He knows that games will soon get a lot harder and that his team will benefit from a big win in this one. Auburn is off its most impressive win of the season and will now look to build on it with a blowout. Not only is Auburn 30-0 SU its last 30 non-conf game but the Tigers are also 23-0 all-time against teams from the Southwestern Athletic Conference. Texas Southern is just 1-4 ATS its last five as a road underdog in the 12.5 to 15 point range. I see Auburn pulling away and winning by 20+. |
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12-12-20 | Belmont v. Lipscomb +6 | Top | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on LIPSCOMB. In case you weren't aware, these schools don't like each other and this is a major rivalry. With the two private schools separated by only a couple of miles, this series is known as "The Battle of the Boulevard." For schools of its size, the rivalry is considered the fiercest around. The two schools have met 140 times over the past 64 years. While they may not be well known, the Bisons are well-coached and hungry. They've quietly gone 34-17-1 ATS their last 55 as underdogs. Of course, the Bruins know how dangerous the Bisons are. Lipscomb beat Belmont outright in both 2017 meetings. Since then, they've had four meetings and ALL FOUR were decided by six or fewer points. In the most recent meeting, last December at Belmont, the Bears were laying 13 points but won by only five. Now, the Bruins are on the road against what I believe is an improved Lipscomb team from last year. Note that this is Belmont's first true road game of the season. Also, note that the Bruins were 0-2 ATS the past couple of seasons, when listed as road favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range. While the Bruins have been playing weak teams, the Bisons have been getting battle-tested against the likes of Arkansas and Cincinnati. They finally played a home game last time out and defeated S.E. Missouri State by six. I like their chances of winning this one outright but in a game which could well come down to the wire, like recent games in this rivalry have been doing, I'm happy to grab the points. |
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12-11-20 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon OVER 139 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on Nevada/Grand Canyon OVER the total. When these teams last met, almost exactly two years ago, the O/U line was 150.5. We're working with a much lower number tonight. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. While the competition has admittedly been weak, first year coach Bryce Drew, who has had success with offenses in the past, has the Antelopes' offense clicking. Over its last two games, led by its talented front court, Grand Canyon has scored 94 and 88 points. Nevada, which has faced considerably tougher competition, allowed 85 points last time out. The Wolfpack offense should have a chance to "get healthy" in this one. While its a new era for the Antelopes, its still worth noting that the OVER is 14-9 the past couple of seasons when they were listed as underdogs. During that span, Nevada saw the OVER go 2-0 when listed as a road favorite of three or less. With both teams scoring right to the final buzzer, expect those stats to improve. |
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12-10-20 | Long Beach State v. San Francisco UNDER 150.5 | Top | 62-107 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on LBSU/SF UNDER the total. As of this writing, these teams are slated to play at Kaiser Permanente Arena, home of the Warriors G-League team. Thats 70+ miles away from the SF campus, so isn't ideal for the Dons' shooters. It shouldn't affect their defense though. The Dons have held three of their last four opponents to 60 or less, the first of those being Virginia. Long Beach State managed just 61 points in its lone road game, at Loyola Marymount. I expect the Beach to have some trouble scoring tonight. SF has yet to reach the 90 mark in any of its six games, averaging 75.3. All things considered, this number is generous and I look for the final combined score to prove lower than many will be expecting. |
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12-09-20 | Denver v. Wyoming -13.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on WYOMING. The Cowboys are off a momentum-building comeback win at Oregon State and come in full of confidence. Facing a very young Denver team, which will struggle this season, offers an opportunity for them to build momentum with a blowout win. I expect them to make the most of it. This is a rivalary that goes back a lot of years and the Cowboys have historically dominated the Pioneers here. The fact that Denver actually scored the upset last time here (2018) won't be forgotten and will help to ensure the Cowboys keep their foot on the gas the entire way. The Pioneers lost by 20 against UC Riverside last time out, which doesnt bode well for them here. Now, they hit to the road where they're 1-28 SU their last 29. Expect a one-sided blowout. |
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12-08-20 | Syracuse v. Rutgers -3.5 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on RUTGERS. These are both good teams and both brought back a lot of starters from last year. The problem for Syracuse is that its missing a couple of theirs. Buddy Boeheim and Bourama Sidibe, each important pieces, are both out. Boeheim got a positive Covid test while Sidibe is recovering from a knee injury. Of course, the one starter that the Orange did lose from last year's team was a big one and will be tough to replace. Elijah Hughes led the entire ACC in scoring last season. Syracuse 8-11 ATS its last 19 against teams which score 77 or more. During the same span, the Knights are 12-5 ATS against opponents that score 77 or more and 9-4 ATS against teams which allow 64 or fewer points per game. I say Rutgers is catching 'Cuse at the right time. Look for the Knights to move to 4-1 ATS the past five times that they were listed as home favorites in the 3.5 to six range. |
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12-07-20 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona -22 | Top | 53-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. You can't really call this one an instate "rivalry," as the Wildcats crush this team every time that they meet. The last five meetings have had scores of 91-52, 101-67, 92-37, 77-44 and 93-50. Every win by more than 30. This season's Wildcats are young and they're currently missing a few key players. However, unlike their guests, they're talented. Also, unlike their guests, they've got a couple of games under their belts. While the Widcats have had a few games cancelled, they've at least gotten to play. The Lumberjacks have had each of their games cancelled. I like how the Wildcats were tested last time out and prevailed, a 70-67 win over Eastern Washington. Thats the type of win that a young team can build positive momentum from. The Cats still have enough to lay a beating on their overmatched guests. I expect them to pull away for another 30+ point win. |
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12-04-20 | Texas-Arlington v. Tulsa -6.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on TULSA. The home team has won by exactly 14 points each of the past two seasons, with nearly identical scores. Playing at home, the Mavericks took last year's game, 73-59. However, in the most recent game here at Tulsa, the Golden Hurricane won by a score of 72-58. At home, I expect another double-digit win for Tulsa this evening. To their credit, the Mavericks have fought pretty hard, eking out a pair of covers in their two true road games. They still lost both though, most recently falling by 12 on Wednesday. They've got some winnable games coming up after this one, but I expect them to be in over their heads here. As of this writing, the O/U line is 135, at most shops. Thats noteworthy as Tulsa has long thrived when playing at home, with games projected to play at this tempo. The Hurricane are 39-16 SU and 32-22-1 ATS over the years, when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range, 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Mavericks were just 2-4 ATS (1-5 SU) when playing a road game with a total in the same range. Lay the points. |
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12-03-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Louisiana Tech -13.5 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA TECH. These schools were disappointed to have their football game cancelled a few weeks ago. However, they'll get a chance to settle things on the hardwood and I really like how things set up for the Bulldogs. This is a quality LA Tech team, one which now has a couple of games under its belt. Both resulted in SU wins but narrow ATS losses. (Last time out, LA Tech won by 14, laying 16.5.) Now the Bulldogs face a run of instate opponents. After Louisiana-Monroe, they'll face Louisiana State (LSU) SE Louisiana and Louisiana-Lafayette. Needless to say, LSU will be a tougher challenge. So, the Bulldogs will look to build momentum with a blowout win. Note that with that LSU game not until Sunday, there's no reason to rest stars. ULM, with a revamped roster, was going to be outmatched regardless but what makes matters worse is that the Warhawks have yet to even play a game. All those new faces are going to take time to come together and it won't be happening tonight. Look for the Bulldogs to keep the pedal to the metal, pulling away for a decisive win and improving to 18-7 ATS the past 25 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 130s. |
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12-02-20 | Ball State v. Michigan -14.5 | Top | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN. I successfully played against the Wolverines in their last game. However, I like how they were tested and that they won the game in OT. I believe that will serve as a wake up call while also providing positive momentum. Ball State, on the other hand, has had some time off since a deflating 1-point loss in their first game. Not ideal. (Ball State just 1-4 ATS its past five, with five or six day's rest in between games.) This is a team which needs to practice and to play. Its also far from ideal that the Cardinals have been without Coleman and Jones, a pair of important players. It doesn't appear that either will be available but even if one or both were, they wouldn't be at 100%. Either way, Michigan has too much talent and size and will ultimately pull away for a decisive win. Lay the points and look for the Wolverines to move to 11-7-2 ATS (19-1 SU) their last 20, as home faovrites in the 12.5 to 15 range. |
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12-01-20 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -4.5 | Top | 54-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on LOUISVILLE. The Hilltoppers are indeed a very capable team, one which has performed well in the underdog role in recent seasons. However, the Cardinals handled them last year, a 71-54. While they aren't at the level that last year's team was, I believe that the Cardinals' superior defense will again be the difference. Note that WKU entered last year's game shooting 41.1% from beyond the arc but went just 1-for-17 against the stifling Cardinal defense. This year, through three games, Louisville is allowing 59.3 ppg while WKU is allowing 75.3. With an O/U line in the low 140s, note that the Hilltoppers are 0-3 SU/ATS the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 140 to 144.5 range. During that span, the Cards are 6-1 SU at home, with a line in the same range. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the relatively small number along the way. |
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11-29-20 | Oakland +29 v. Michigan | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on OAKLAND. Admittedly, the Golden Grizzlies really stunk in their three games at the Xavier Invitational. Those poor performances have helped provide us with a very generous pointspread. I believe that the Grizzlies are better than they showed and I believe that the big line is offering excellent value. Note that Michigan is just 1-3 ATS its past four, as a home favorite in the -24.5 to -30 range. The Grizzlies did improve each time out in the tournament, covering in the final game. Each time out, they scored more points and allowed less, than they did in their previous game. Look for them to provide a tougher test than many will be expecting, improving to 9-3 ATS the past 12 times that they scored 60 or fewer points in their previous game. |
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11-28-20 | William & Mary v. Old Dominion -12.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on ODU. The Monarchs bring back a lot from last year and are poised for a big bounce back season. The same cannot be said for the Tribe. William & Mary lost a lot from last season, promptiing coach to Fischer to comment: "Our team is going to look completely different from what it did last year ... " He'd go on to describe having so many new faces as "daunting." Speaking of last season, the Monarchs haven't forgotten that they were thumped at William & Mary, losing by 17 on the road. Note that ODU won by 18, at home, when the teams met the previous season. This is a chance at some payback and a chance to show how far this team has come. The Monarchs have had this one circled and I expect them to deliver a blowout. |
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11-28-20 | Texas-San Antonio v. UT-Rio Grande Valley UNDER 154.5 | Top | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on Texas San Antonio / Texas Rio Grande UNDER the total. UTRGV managed only 55 points in its opener. The Roadrunners managed considerably more. However, they were facing a very weak opponent. Note that UTSA has seen the UNDER go 9-5 over the years when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 150 to 154.5 range, a 2-1 Under mark the past couple of seasons. During that span, in games with a total, UTRGV saw the UNDER go 15-9 in non-conference games. The Vaqueros aren't well known but they're going to be respectable this season and an improvement on defense should be a big part of that. Likewise, the Roadrunners are committing to improved defense to improve on last year, when they arguably underachieved. In a game where both teams believe they can win, I expect plenty of defensive intensity and the final combined score to stay beneath the generously high number. |
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11-27-20 | Richmond v. Morehead State +21 | Top | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on MOREHEAD STATE. While the Spiders are obviously the stronger team, I really like how this one sets up for the Eagles. Most know that Richmond brought back all its starters. However, it should be noted that one of them, Nick Sherod, was lost to injury. That's a big blow. This will be the Spiders first game, as their game against Detroit was cancelled. The Eagles, on the other hand, have already taken on Kentucky. So, they've had a chance to work off some of the offseason rust. Speaking of Kentucky, the Spiders have a big showdown against the Wildcats up next. If they do get up big in this one, they could easily take their foot off the gas a bit and give their starters a little extra rest for that one. Also, note that this game is being played in the state of Kentucky; Lexington is only an hour or so away from Morhead State's campus. Last year, Richmond also had a big game (Vanderbilt) on deck for its second game and it ended up getting taken to OT (100-98 win) in its first game, despite being listed as a double-digit favorite. Look for this one to also prove closer than many will be expecting. |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga v. Kansas UNDER 150.5 | Top | 102-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on Kansas/Gonzaga UNDER the total. Kansas could have potentially won it all last season. The Jayhawks were loaded and playing great. They're still ultra-talented, as per usual. However, they did lose a lot from last year's team. Gonzaga, like Kansas, is always loaded. The Bulldogs had an outside shot last season and look even stronger this season. That said, they lost some scoring, too. I believe that points are going to be fairly hard to come by and feel that this O/U line is generously high. Kansas isn't in the underdog role all that often. However, when it is, the UNDER has gone a profitable 51-25-2 over the years. Expect those stats to improve this afternoon. |
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11-25-20 | Jacksonville State v. Alabama -20 | Top | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on ALABAMA. This is a major mismatch and the Tide could easily win by 30+. Alabama, in year two of the "Ball and Oats" era, is poised to have a big year and is expecting to make a return to the NCAA tournament. The Tide, who bring back the SEC's two top returning scorers from last year, will be looking to get things started with a statement win. In addition to being more talented than the Gamecocks, the Tide are far more experienced. The Gamecocks are just 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were road underdogs of 12.5 or more points. They won't be able to keep up and are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Expect a blowout. |
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat UNDER 216 | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 36 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Miami UNDER the total. I don't expect to see many "easy baskets" in this one. The Heat struggled defensively in the first two games. However, since that time, they've held the Lakers to 104, 102 and 108 points. Note that even with the last game sneaking over the number, the UNDER remains a profitably 5-2 the past seven times that Miami was trailing in a playoff series. Meanwhile, the Lakers are an outstanding defensive team and we tend to see that when they're coming off a loss. When they dropped Game 3 of this series, they responded with a 102-96 victory in Game 4. I successfully played on the 'under' in that one and I believe that'll prove to be the way to go once again. |
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10-09-20 | Heat v. Lakers -7 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. This series is over. The Lakers know it and deep down, though they would never admit it, I believe that the Heat know it, too. The Heat played a great Game 4 and it still wasn't enough. As I expected, the Lakers elevated their defensive intensity, holding the Heat to a mere 96 points. Specifically, Davis slowed down Butler, a huge factor not seen in the boxscore. Unfortunately, the Lakers only managed 102 themselves, which meant that a "meaningless" Miami 3-pointer in the final second of the game, cost them the cover. That shot aside, I like that I saw from the Lakers. Now, they smell the blood in the water. Its been a long time in the bubble and they're anxious not to extend that time any longer. The Lakers got "only" 50 combined points from James and Davis in Game 4. Those two superstars are both capable of getting that many themselves. I expect the two stars to combine for more than 50 in this one, the Lakers continuing their dominant defense, en route to a win, cover and title. |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7.5 v. Heat | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -101 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. I really didn't think that the Heat would go down without a fight. Jimmy Butler made sure that they didn't. All Butler did, in willing his team to victory, was put up the third 40-point-triple-double in NBA Finals history. Butler would finish with 40 points, 11 rebounds and 13 assists. As you know, the series now sits at 2-1. It wasn't just Butler, the entire Miami team outworked the Lakers. That said, the Heat can't expect a super-human effort from Butler every night. The Lakers have received their wake-up call and they're not going to get outworked again. The last thing that they want to do is give this young Miami team more hope than it has. I expect Lebron, Davis and co. to be entirely focused from the opening tip and I look for them keep the pedal to the metal, in terms of intensity, the entire way. Butler will get points but the Lakers will make sure he doesn't have a repeat performance from Game 3. This year's Heat are just 4-11-1 ATS when off an upset win. Going back further finds Miami at only 20-38-3 ATS when off a double-digit win. Lay the points and expect James and Davis to deliver a statement. |
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10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 34 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI. This is it for the Heat. They obviously can't afford to go down 0-3. (No team has come back from down 3-0.) They need to leave everything on the floor in this game and thats exactly what I expect them to do. Clearly, the Lakers are an excellent team. Still, they played a near-flawless game and couldn't pull away from the Heat. The Heat actually outscored the Lakers by four points in the second half and finally started playing the type of defense (held LA to 21 in the 4th) that they need to, in order to compete. They obviously aren't going to be able to shut down Davis entirely. Still, the expected return of Bam Adebayo, their best defender, will at least help slow him down. Still 12-4-1 ATS in these playoffs, look for the Heat to build off their strong second half in Game 2, playing their best game of the series and earning AT LEAST the cover. |
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10-02-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 216.5 | Top | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playng on Miami/LA OVER the total. The Heat got hammered in Game 1. They had no answer for Davis, or the rest of the Lakers, for that matter. If they had needed, the Lakers easily could have scored a lot more than they did. On the other side, the Heat had real trouble scoring. Now, they're expected to be without Dragic and Adebayo. Both are currently doubtful. Losing those players certainly hurt the Heat's overall chances. However, it doesn't need to hurt their ability to score. Dragic was out since the second quarter and they've got other players like Herro and Robinson who can help fill the void. Meanwhile, Adebayo's shooting was terrible in the opener. Over bettors would have better off if he wasn't in the lineup. That said, the Heat would miss Adebayo's defense, as he's arguably their best defender. More Kelly Olynck has James and Davis salivating. The OVER is 9-4 when the Heat are off a double-digit loss. Expect a high-scoring affair. |
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09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | Top | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 61 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Heat have been on a great run and have taken down some good teams. They haven't faced a team with the size, talent and playoff experience like the Lakers though. Indeed, the Lakers are a far more complete team than the ones which Miami has faced and they come in on a mission. Both teams won big in closing out the Conf. Finals. LA beat Denver by 10 while Miami defeated Boston by a dozen. However, the Heat are just 11-16 ATS off a double-digit win, an ugly 20-37-3 ATS (24-36 SU) their past 60 in that situation. During that span, the Lakers were a much better 35-26-3 ATS (45-19 SU) off a double-digit win. The Lakers took both regular season meetings, the wins coming by an average of 7.5 points. Expect Lebron, Davis and co. to start things with a statement win. |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boston/Miami UNDER the total. These O/U lines keep climbing. I believe that this one, the highest of the series thus far, will prove to be too high. Lets not forget, these are still very stingy teams. Prior to this series, the Heat had allowed 104 or fewer points in four of their previous six games. This, despite playing Milwaukee in their previous series. Meanwhile, Boston had 104 or less in five of six, prior to this series, and 106 or less in seven of eight, prior to this series. The Celtics have still seen the UNDER go 9-6-1 in the playoffs; I expect those stats to improve Sunday, the defense/s finally taking center stage and stealing the show. |
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09-25-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 214 | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on Miami/Boston UNDER the total. With games in this series continuing to go over the total, we're now working with the highest O/U number that we've seen yet. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. Yes, Tyler Herro seemingly hit everything last game and yes, there are some other very capable offensive players. However, make no mistake, these are also still very stingy teams. Prior to this series, the Heat had allowed 104 or fewer points in four of their previous six games. This, despite playing Milwaukee in their previous series. Meanwhile, Boston had 104 or less in five of six, prior to this series, and 106 or less in seven of eight, prior to this series. The Celtics have still seen the UNDER go 9-5-1 in the playoffs; I expect those stats to improve Friday night. |
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09-24-20 | Lakers -6 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on the LA LAKERS. The Nuggets continue to hang around and they deserve credit for their Game 3 win. Still, this is not the Clippers that they're playing. These Lakers are an extremely talented and determined team, on a mission to get to and win the Finals. The Nuggets got a huge Game 3 from Grant but they can't count on a repeat performance from him and lack a reliable third scoring option. The last time that the Lakers lost, they responded by winning six straight games, the first five of those victories all coming by a minimum of eight points. Off their prior loss before that, the Lakers responded with four straight wins. All victories came by a minimum of eight points. Expect the Lakers to respond once again, delivering a statement double-digit victory. |
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09-23-20 | Celtics -141 v. Heat | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -141 | 83 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. (ML) The Celtics were excellent in Game 3, showing the Heat that this series is far from over. The return of Hayward was huge. The first two games were very close but the Celtics were missing that extra piece needed to put them over the top. While Hayward was naturally a bit rusty and admitted to being sore after the game, he gave them 31 minutes and I really like that he now has a game under his belt. I also feel that Hayward and the Celtics will benefit more from the extra break in between games. After all, the Celtics' previous series was more difficult. Also, the more time Hayward has to rest and heal, the better. Of course, I also like that Boston is 15-5 SU (15-4-1 ATS) the past 20 times that it played with three or more day's rest in between games, 6-1 SU their last seven in that situation. Four Celtics scored 20 or more in the Game 3 victory, a truly balanced effort. They held the Heat to 39% shooting and never trailed the entire way. I believe they've found their way and I look for them to even up the series. |
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09-19-20 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing BOSTON on the moneyline. Needless to say, this is must win territory for the Celtics. Backs to the wall, I expect them to respond with their very best effort today. The Heat are still 14-17 SU as underdogs, 49-70 the past 2+ seasons. The Celtics, meanwhile, are 140-59 SU as favorites, 45-17 on the season. While Miami has admittedly been impressive, I say Boston digs deep and improves on those stats here. |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -6.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Nuggets have surprised a lot of people, myself included. This is an entirely different matchup though. I expect their exhausting comeback against the Clippers to catch up with them against a rested and determined Laker team. Lebron and co. watched what Denver did to the Clippers and will not be taken by surprise or come in thinking this will be easy. Expect the Lakers to be fully focused, determined to seize control of this series right out of the gate. Since these teams played a close one on 8/10, the Lakers have won eight games. All eight of those victories came by a minimum of eight points. I expect a double-digit statement win in this one. |
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09-15-20 | Heat v. Celtics -118 | Top | 117-114 | Loss | -118 | 50 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. After a hard-fought series against the Raptors, one might assume that the Celtics would be tired. However, the schedule-maker gave them a favor and they got a few days off before the series vs. the Heat. Note that Boston is 5-0-1 ATS (6-0 SU!) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. Going back further finds the Celtics at a profitable 15-3-1 ATS in that situation. While those extra days off probably helped the Celtics, the opposite is likely true of the Heat. Miami already had a lengthy layoff and now will have been off since 9/8. A full week off is less than ideal, particularly when the Heat had been playing so well. Look for the Celtics to draw first blood. |
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09-13-20 | Clippers -8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. Give the Nuggets a lot of credit for hanging around. However, I believe that the Clippers will prove to be too much for them today. LA is a ridiculous 17-1 SU and 14-4 ATS when off an upset loss. Friday's loss was just the sixth for LA since returning to play. The Clippers followed up all five previous losses with a victory and they won those five games by an average of 17 points, three of those coming by 13 or more. They're the more complete and talented team and I see them pulling away for another double-digit win this afternoon. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 215 | Top | 96-119 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/LA OVER the total. With the past couple of games staying below the total, we're now working with the lowest O/U line of the series. I believe that it'll prove to be too low Both defenses are certainly capable. However, there are still a lot of talented offensive players on the floor, at all times. Houston games are still averaging more than 230 points. LA games are still averaging more than 220. The Rockets have seen the OVER go 5-2 the last seven times that they were trailing in a playoff series. They won't go down without firing. Expect plenty of points. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics -130 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing BOSTON on the money-line. The Raptors certainly have heart. They've shown that, time and time again. However, in a "winner take all" game, I don't believe that they're playing well enough to beat Boston. I believe its a testament to how good a player Lowry is that the Raptors are even in the series at all. The other Raptors have had their moments but he's really been the only one who has consistently delivered. Siakam has been a disappointement overall, as has Gasol. OG made the big shot and plays defense but can't be relied on as a regular scorer. Ibaka, Van Fleet and Powell just aren't enough. Not enough to compete with Walker, Tatum, Brown, Smart and co. If Lowry were to ever have a bad game, there's no other star to pick him up the way that the Celtics have. As good as Lowry is, he also doesn't demand the ball in critical situations. That often leaves others taking the important shots. Give them credit for a great year but this will prove to be the game where Kahwi Leonard is finally missed. Celtics win. |
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09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets OVER 219 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing LA/Houston OVER the total. With two of the first three games staying below the number, we're now working with the lowest O/U line of the series, thus far. With all due respect to the defenses, I feel that the number will prove to be too low. After dropping Game 1, LA took the next two and now has a 2-1 series lead. Thats noteworthy as the Lakers have seen the OVER go 2-0 when leading in a playoff series. Meanwhile, the Rockets have seen the OVER go 5-1 the past six times that they were trailing in a series. LA games still average 221.1 points, Laker playoff games averaging 221. Meanwhile, Houston games are still averaging a healthy 230.5 points. Look for the stars to shine, as this one turns into a shootout, the final combined score eclipsing the reasonably low number. |
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09-09-20 | Clippers -8 v. Nuggets | Top | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Nuggets hung around for the cover last game. However, I believe that the Clippers are the more complete team and I expect them to pull away in this one. Both teams have allowed a nearly identical number of points, per playoff game. The Nuggets have allowed an average of 112.8 ppg in the playoffs while the Clippers have allowed 112.9. However, on the other side of the ball, Denver is averaging just 108.6 while LA is averaging a whopping 121.6. Even with the non-cover last time out, the Clippers are still 38-29-1 ATS (50-18 SU) when laying points. The Clippers won by 23 in the first one. I'm expecting another double-digit win tonight. |
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09-08-20 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 217.5 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on Miami/Milwaukee OVER the total. As of this writing, its still unclear as to whether or not Giannis will be available for the Bucks. With or without him, I feel that this O/U line will prove to be too low. Its hard to say that the Bucks are better without the MVP but they sure didn't have any trouble scoring and moving the ball without him. This team has plenty of other scoring options and when their top guy went down, Middelton and co. stepped up. The Bucks haven't been able to stop the Heat from scoring though; as Miami has scored at least 115 in every game in the series. The Heat have shown an ability to score both inside and from outside. The OVER is now 47-33-1 in Miami games and that includes a 6-2 ,mark when the the Heat were in the revenge role. Look for a high-scoring affair. |
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09-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 212 | Top | 111-89 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boston/Toronto OVER the total. These O/U lines keep getting lower. I believe this one will prove to be too low. The Celtics lost, as slight favorites, in Game 4. Note that the OVER is 8-5 when they're off an 'upset' loss. Boston shot terribly last game and it wasn't all just because of the Toronto defense. Indeed, they made just five of 22 "open" three-point attempts, hitting only 20% from beyond the arc overall. I fully expect a much better shooting performance in Game 5. Kemba Walker had this to say: "That’s unacceptable on my behalf, to be honest. There’s no way I can just be taking nine shots. That’s unacceptable." Expect Kemba and co. to be far more aggressive in this one, attacking the rim early and often. The champs, in turn, will need to respond accordingly. That'll lead to the highest scoring game of the series, thus far. |
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09-06-20 | Bucks v. Heat OVER 219 | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on Milwaukee/Miami OVER the total. With the series at 3-0, some of the pressure is off. After all, everyone has written the series off already. I expect that to lead to a high-scoring game this afternoon. Yet, we're working with the lowest O/U line yet. That's due, in part, to the fact that Antetokounmpo has been seen limping and is listed as questionable. One has to believe that the MVP will be out there. Even without him, however, the Bucks are very capable of putting up a big number. Slowing down the Heat is another matter. Miami has scored 115 or more in all three games. Expect plenty of points in this one, the final combined score making its way above the low number. |
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09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 213.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/Boston OVER the total. With the first three games staying below the total, we're working with the lowest number of the series to date. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. I believe that the Raptors will be feeling a little less pressure than they previously had. After all, the series was essentially done, if not for their miracle 3-pointer, off Lowry's unlikely inbound pass. Playing with 'new life,' I expect to see the Raptors shoot well today. Of course, stopping the likes of Walker, Tatum and co. is an entirely different matter. Boston games still average 220 points while Toronto games still average 219.3. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 224 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/LA OVER the total. Harden will definitely be happy to have the pesky OKC defense off of him. However, he's going to need to score a lot more in order to keep up with the Lakers. Westbrook got going last game and they'll need him, too. The Lakers haven't played in awhile. One might think that could potentially lead to early rust; however, the OVER is 6-4 when they played with three or more day's rest, a lucrative 96-69-1 in that situation over the years. While Houston averages 117.2 overall, LA has averaged 117.2 ppg during the playoffs. Two of three 2020 meetings have finished above the 230 mark. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair tonight. |
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09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 224 | Top | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on Denver/LA UNDER the total. With all due respect to these offenses, I believe this O/U number is too high. Note that the number has risen a bit from its opener, providing additional line value. True, prior to its last game, Denver has been an 'over' team here in the bubble. The playoffs are different though and this number is even (slightly) higher than when these teams met a few weeks ago. The Clippers have been off for a few days, since limiting Dallas to 97 points in the last game of that series. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 4-1 when they played with three or more day's rest in between games. As for the Nuggets, their last game finished with a score of 80-78. This one will obviously see more scoring than that, but not enough to reach the generously high O/U number. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. I've had a pretty good read on this series. Through the course of the six games, I've successfully backed both the Thunder AND the Rockets. I've also won with both the 'under' AND the 'over.' Last game, we saw a scrappy OKC team which refused to quit, when facing elimination. OKC was the more desperate team and played like it. However, in Game 7, both teams will be "equally hungry." Throw out that motivational edge which they enjoyed in Game 6 and I believe that the Thunder are overmatched. Paul had a fantastic Game 6, turning back the clock. He's still very capable. However, he's not Harden and his supporting cast is prone to struggling. While the Thunder have to work hard for many of their buckets, the Rockets can often score with relative ease. While the Thunder are 0-2 ATS the past couple of times that they were tied in a playoff series, the Rockets are 4-2 ATS when tied in a series, during the same span. When this series was tied at 2-2, Houston won by 34. I say the cream rises to the top once again, the superior team (Rockets) digging deep and advancing while covering the small number along the way. |
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09-01-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -115 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Raptors have been disrespected by many all season. Despite being the defending champs, with Leonard departing for LA, not much was expected from them. Yet, this very well coached team just kept winning. Now, off a bad Game 1, the champs are getting very little respect. I've learned not to underestimate this team though and I expect them to bounce back with a far better effort in Game 2. The Raptors are 35-16 SU the past 2+ seasons, when off a SU loss a favorite. During that stretch, they were also 22-7 SU off a double-digit loss. Expect them to dig deep and even the series. |
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08-31-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +6 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 37 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKC. After Saturday's blowout win by Houston, most are writing off the Thunder. That sentiment, in turn, has led to a generous pointspread. I feel that's providing excellent value with what I believe will be an extremely determined OKC team. Keep in mind that the Thunder tend to thrive as underdogs. Even factoring in Saturday, they're 50-30 ATS their last 80, when getting points, 27-14 ATS on the season. Prior to Saturday, the Thunder had beaten the Rockets twice in a row. They still believe that they can do it. The OKC offense will be much better in this one, as the Thunder shot terribly Saturday and can only improve. Backs to the wall, expect the Thunder to give the Rockets all they can handle, taking this game down to the wire with an excellent shot at the outright upset. |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 238.5 | Top | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Dallas UNDER the total. The O/U lines in this series keep getting higher. Finally, a gap between games to cool the offenses a bit, I expect this one to prove to be too high. The UNDER is 3-1 when the Clippers played with three or more day's in between games. Dallas saw three of five stay below the number, when playing with three or moe day's off in between games. While those are small sample sizes, they're still 75% and 60%. When working with a number this high, even a small amount of offensive rust, from a couple of players, can prove significant. The Clippers have seen the UNDER go 11-4 after scoring 130 or more points in their previous game. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 236.5 | Top | 111-154 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/LA UNDER the total. The O/U lines in this series continue to climb. With all due respect to these potent offenses, I believe that this one will prove to be too high. Note that the UNDER is 11-3 when the the Clippers had scored 130 or more points in their previous game. Also, the UNDER is 6-2 when the Clippers had allowed 130 or more points in their previous game. Even after factoring in the high-scoring results of this series, both teams still see their games average 230 or fewer points. Dallas games are averaging 230 while LA games are averaging 227.3. Series tied, don't be surprised when this one proves to be the lowest-scoring of the series to date. |
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08-24-20 | Rockets v. Thunder OVER 222 | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/OKC OVER the total. Last game needed OT to finish above the total. I don't expect to need the extra session this afternoon though. Harden can't be stopped and will be on a mission. Paul, Schroeder and co. will get theirs too though, as Houston is still allowing 116.4 ppg on the road, scoring 116.6 themselves. While I did win with the 'under' in Game 2, we're working with a considerably lower O/U number here. Expect it to prove to be too low, the OVER improving to 6-2 in OKC's last eight overall. |
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08-23-20 | Raptors v. Nets OVER 217 | Top | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/Brooklyn OVER the total. With the champs up 3-0, this series is over. The Raptors know it and the Nets know it. I expect that to lead to a little less defensive intensity and a high-scoring Game 4. The Raptors have scored 114 or more in five of their last six and are going to put up a big number once again. Look for the Nets, who have seen the OVER go 9-3 when off three or more consecutive losses, to also help contribute enough to send the final combined score above the relatively low number. |
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08-22-20 | Lakers v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Portland OVER the total. With the first two games finishing below the total, we're working with a lower O/U number here. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Yes, you'll hear a lot of talk about Lillard's finger. He's expected to play though and I expect him to contribute plenty. He's not the only offensive weapon on the floor though, far from it. Keep in mind that before this series, the Blazers had seen six straight games finish above the number, while LA had seen three straight go 'over' the total. Also, keep in mind that before this series, the previous three meetings between these teams had combined scores of 246, 248 and 249. While the LA defense was stout last game, the OVER is 4-1 the past five times that the Lakers had allowed 90 or fewer points in their preivous game. With the OVER also at 23-9 when the Blazers faced a team which defeated them in the previous meeting, look for this one to prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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08-21-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 218.5 | Top | 87-124 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on Denver/Utah UNDER the total. While we haven't seen it in the first two games of this series yet, we've started to see the defenses elevating in the other matchups. Yesterday's games were considerably lower-scoring than we've started to grow accustomed to. Though those games obviously have nothing to do with this series, with things tied up 1-1, I expect to see some adjustments and the lowest-scoring game of this series to date. With the first two games having finished above the number, the O/U line is the highest we've seen in this series yet. Remember, that prior to meeting here in the bubble, two previous 2020 meetings between these teams finished with combined scores of 206 and 193. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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08-20-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -6 | Top | 88-111 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Blazers pulled off the upset in Game 1 and are clearly as dangerous a #8 seed as we've seen in a long time. Probably ever. Lebron and co. aren't about to just roll over though. The Blazers were still 37-39 on the season as compared to LA's 52-20. Their Game 1 win/cover notwithstanding, the Blazers are still just 14-20-2 ATS as underdogs. Lebron didn't get the help from his supporting cast that Lillard did in the opener. I expect that to change in Game 2. And, if it doesn't, I expect James to take matters into his own hands, willing his way back in the series, picking up the cover along the way. |
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08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on Utah/Denver UNDER the total. The 135-125 score in the opener is a bit deceiving. It makes it seem like Denver won comfortably and the game was extremely high-scoring. It was high-scoring but 30 of those points came in OT. (Also, the Jazz were right there with a chance for the win, so it wasn't exactly an easy win for the Nuggets.) While Mitchell and Murray went off in Game 1, I'm expecting a considerably lower-scoring Game 2. Over the years, the UNDER is 34-21-1 when the Jazz were trailing in a playoff series, a 5-2-1 UNDER mark when they were in that position the past few seasons. Both teams shot very well in Game 1 and the Nuggets hit 53.7% of their 3-point shots. I still saw hard defense though and feel that was more a case of really good shooting rather than poor defense. Adjustments will be made, however, and those shooting percentages will come back to earth. As long as we can avoid another OT game, look for that to be what happens here, the UNDER improving to 11-6 when Denver was off a 'double-digit' win. |
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08-18-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/OKC UNDER the total. With all due respect to Harden and co, I feel that this number is a little high. With such a big number, note that OKC has seen the UNDER go 20-8-1 the past 29 times it played a game with an O/U line of 220 or more. Also, the UNDER is 4-0 when the Thunder played with three or more day's rest in between games. Going back further finds that the UNDER is 38-20 the past 58 times that OKC was in that situation. Some might be surprised that Houston is the underdog but with Westbrook out, that is indeed the case. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 33-16 the past couple of seasons when Houston was getting points. The last meeting had an O/U line of 230, but finished with 219, OKC winning 112-107, at Houston. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting, the UNDER improving to 26-8 the past 34 times tha the Rockets attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. |
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Ben Burns Basketball Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-18-21 | Bucks -125 v. Nets | Top | 123-125 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
01-17-21 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Hawks v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
01-16-21 | Army v. Boston University -1 | Top | 79-59 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
01-15-21 | UTEP v. North Texas -5.5 | Top | 33-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
01-15-21 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
01-14-21 | Arizona -7.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 98-64 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
01-14-21 | Warriors v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
01-13-21 | Central Arkansas v. Stephen F Austin -7.5 | Top | 69-95 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
01-12-21 | Pacers v. Warriors OVER 228 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
01-12-21 | Wisconsin +4 v. Michigan | Top | 54-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
01-11-21 | Boise State v. Wyoming UNDER 148 | Top | 83-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
01-11-21 | Grizzlies v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
01-10-21 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
01-10-21 | Bulls v. Clippers -10.5 | Top | 127-130 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
01-09-21 | Gonzaga v. Portland UNDER 163 | Top | 116-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Dayton +7 v. Davidson | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
01-08-21 | Magic v. Rockets OVER 226 | Top | 90-132 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
01-07-21 | Tenn-Martin v. Tennessee State -5.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Auburn v. Ole Miss OVER 137.5 | Top | 61-72 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Boston College v. Duke -12 | Top | 82-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
01-06-21 | Hornets v. Hawks OVER 232 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Rutgers v. Michigan State | Top | 45-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
01-05-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +9 | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
01-04-21 | Winthrop v. Charleston Southern +14 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
01-03-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 218 | Top | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
01-02-21 | Raptors v. Pelicans OVER 213 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
01-01-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
01-01-21 | Liberty v. Lipscomb +6.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
12-31-20 | San Diego v. San Francisco -12.5 | Top | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
12-30-20 | SE Missouri State v. Tennessee Tech -1.5 | Top | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
12-29-20 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 229.5 | Top | 101-124 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
12-28-20 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
12-28-20 | Fresno State v. Colorado State -6.5 | Top | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
12-27-20 | Warriors v. Bulls OVER 226 | Top | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
12-27-20 | Nets v. Hornets OVER 226.5 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
12-27-20 | DePaul v. Providence -6 | Top | 90-95 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
12-25-20 | Mavs v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 115-138 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
12-25-20 | Warriors v. Bucks -9.5 | Top | 99-138 | Win | 101 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
12-23-20 | Providence v. Butler UNDER 139.5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
12-22-20 | East Tennessee State v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
12-21-20 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 56-49 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
12-20-20 | St. Louis v. Minnesota +3 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
12-19-20 | Colorado State v. St. Mary's -5 | Top | 33-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
12-18-20 | Loyola-Chicago v. Richmond -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
12-17-20 | St. Joe's v. Drexel UNDER 146 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
12-16-20 | UTEP v. Arizona State -14.5 | Top | 76-63 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
12-15-20 | Texas Southern v. Auburn -13 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
12-12-20 | Belmont v. Lipscomb +6 | Top | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
12-11-20 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon OVER 139 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
12-10-20 | Long Beach State v. San Francisco UNDER 150.5 | Top | 62-107 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
12-09-20 | Denver v. Wyoming -13.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
12-08-20 | Syracuse v. Rutgers -3.5 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
12-07-20 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona -22 | Top | 53-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
12-04-20 | Texas-Arlington v. Tulsa -6.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
12-03-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Louisiana Tech -13.5 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
12-02-20 | Ball State v. Michigan -14.5 | Top | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
12-01-20 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -4.5 | Top | 54-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
11-29-20 | Oakland +29 v. Michigan | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
11-28-20 | William & Mary v. Old Dominion -12.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
11-28-20 | Texas-San Antonio v. UT-Rio Grande Valley UNDER 154.5 | Top | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
11-27-20 | Richmond v. Morehead State +21 | Top | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
11-26-20 | Gonzaga v. Kansas UNDER 150.5 | Top | 102-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
11-25-20 | Jacksonville State v. Alabama -20 | Top | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat UNDER 216 | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 36 h 18 m | Show |
10-09-20 | Heat v. Lakers -7 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
10-06-20 | Lakers -7.5 v. Heat | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -101 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 34 h 7 m | Show |
10-02-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 216.5 | Top | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 35 h 0 m | Show |
09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | Top | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 61 h 7 m | Show |
09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
09-25-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 214 | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
09-24-20 | Lakers -6 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
09-23-20 | Celtics -141 v. Heat | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -141 | 83 h 38 m | Show |
09-19-20 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -6.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
09-15-20 | Heat v. Celtics -118 | Top | 117-114 | Loss | -118 | 50 h 32 m | Show |
09-13-20 | Clippers -8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 215 | Top | 96-119 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
09-11-20 | Celtics -130 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets OVER 219 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
09-09-20 | Clippers -8 v. Nuggets | Top | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
09-08-20 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 217.5 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
09-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 212 | Top | 111-89 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
09-06-20 | Bucks v. Heat OVER 219 | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 213.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 224 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 224 | Top | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 5 m | Show |
09-01-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -115 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
08-31-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +6 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 37 h 27 m | Show |
08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 238.5 | Top | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 236.5 | Top | 111-154 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
08-24-20 | Rockets v. Thunder OVER 222 | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
08-23-20 | Raptors v. Nets OVER 217 | Top | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 49 h 23 m | Show |
08-22-20 | Lakers v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
08-21-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 218.5 | Top | 87-124 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
08-20-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -6 | Top | 88-111 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
08-18-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 20 m | Show |