Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic OVER 215.5 | Top | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on GSW/Orlando OVER the total. Off b2b losses against teams fighting for the playoffs and/or improved playoff seeding and with b2b similar games on deck, the Warriors will be looking to run up the score against a defensively challenged non-playoff team from the Eastern Conference. The last time that the Warriors played here, the teams combined for 244 points. All of those points came in regulation. I'm expecting another offensive affair this evening. True, Curry had 29 in last year's visit here and he won't be playing tonight. That's brought the O/U line down considerably from what it could have been though. It was 225 for last year's game here. Even without Curry, the Warriors will still be able to score tonight. Prior to Sunday's low-scoring game against a banged-up OKC team, the Magic had allowed 134, 150 and 116 points in their previous three games. The 113 ppg which they allow here ranks second worst, in terms of points allowed per home game, in the Eastern Conference. (The Pacers allow 113.5, at Indiana.) The Magic should also score tonight. They put up 124 in last year's game against the Warriors. Prior to Sunday's game, they'd scored 108, 118, 114, 108 and 120 in their previous five. Look for this number to prove to be too low, the OVER improving to 11-4 the past 15 times that the Warriors faced a team with a losing record. |
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03-21-22 | Wolves v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The T-Wolves have certainly been playing well. Off their win over the defending champs, I see them stumbling this evening. These teams met twice back in December. The T-Wolves won by six at Minnesota. The Mavs won by 12, here at Dallas. I expect homecourt to prove significant again this evening. The Mavs closed out their road trip with b2b losses. They'll be in an angry mood, as a result. Note that they're still a healthy 8-3 ATS (9-2 SU) when coming off a double-digit loss. Towns is a bit banged up. His replacement (Reid) is, too. Both appear likely to play. However, if Towns wasn't at quite 100%, it would hurd the Wolves greatly. Even if he's playing well, this will be a tough matchup. The Mavs allow 102 ppg at home while the Wolves allow more than 117 ppg on the road. Lay the small number and expect the Mavs to bounce back with a big win. |
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03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTH ALABAMA. This is a mismatch. The Jaguars score 75.4 ppg at home, hitting 47.3% of their field goals here. The Spartans, on the other hand, average 69.8 ppg on the road, hitting 44.1% of their field goals. It's on the other side of the ball, however, where the Jags have an even bigger advantage. South Alabama allows only 58.1 ppg here. Visiting teams hit just 37.5% of their field goals. Meanwhile, the Spartans allow 75.4 ppg on the road, host teams hitting 43.4% of their field goals. The Jags were 8-4 ATS in lined games here. I like that they found a way to win a close one last game and I expect them to follow it up with a blowout tonight. |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue UNDER 134.5 | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Texas/Purdue UNDER the total. The Boilermakers were dominant defensively in the first round. They held Yale to only 56 points. The Texas game was higher-scoring, the Longhorns beat VTech 81-73. That game was only 31-30 with a few seconds left in the first half though. (They proceeded to hit two free throws, followed by a shot from beyond halfcourt.) Though things got a little crazy in the second half, with the Hokies trying to catch up, the Longhorns defense was arguably better than the score suggests. They forced nine turnovers in the second half and held the Hokies to four 3-point makes. Purdue has now seen six of its past seven games stay below the number. Prior to scoring 81 against the Hokies, Texas had only scored 61, 63 and 60 points its previous three games. Look for nothing to come easily and the UNDER to improve to 9-3 when the Longhorns played a game with an O/U line in the 130s. |
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03-20-22 | Thunder v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on ORLANDO. I like how this one sets up for the Magic. Obviously, neither team is very good. They're both dealing with some injury issues, too. That said, the Magic are playing at home and their current injury issues aren't nearly as bad as OKC's current injuries. Also, the Magic know that they'll face these same Thunder, at OKC, on Wednesday. Not only will they be playing on the road but the Magic will be playing the second of b2b games fo that one. That makes "holding serve" at home today, that much more important. The Magic began their current 6-game road trip with a win over Minnesota. However, they've lost each game since that time and they close the homestand with a far more difficult game against the Warriors on Tuesday. They get tomorrow off though; their full focus is on taking advantage of this winnable game. The Thunder host Boston tomorow and are probably already looking forward to getting home. The Magic have quietly gone 6-2 ATS (5-3 SU) against teams from the Northwest. Expect them to improve on those stats. |
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03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -3 | Top | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on WISCONSIN. Colgate was a tough first round opponent for the Badgers. As I quite respected the Raiders and wasn't 100% certain of Johnny Davis' ankle, I stayed away from the game, as a result. The Raiders, who had won 15 straight, did give the Badgers some early trouble. In the end, Wisconsin's defense came through and Davis caught fire. Iowa State used a similar formula. The Cyclones won with defense and a big game from their star; Tyrese Hunter. While Hunter happens to personally hail from the state of Wisconsin, the fact that this game will be played in Milwaukee benefits the Badgers. While the Cyclones played in a very tough Big 12 Conference, they were only 7-12 within their conference. Keep in mind that the Cyclones entered this tournament off a 71-42 blowout loss, their third straight defeat. The Cyclones do have a good defense and they were able to beat LSU by forcing turnovers. However, they'll have a difficult time doing so against the Badgers. Wisconsin only turns the ball over 8.5 times per game; that's one of the better marks in the country. Wisconsin is also 15-3 SU and 12-4-2 ATS its past 18 when facing a team which allows 64 or fewer points per game, 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS its past five. Facing an ISU team which is averaging only 55.6 ppg (37.7% field goals) its past five games, I believe that this is a favorable matchup for the Badgers. Look for them to punch their ticket to the next round, covering the small number along the way. |
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03-20-22 | Florida v. Xavier -2.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on XAVIER. There's a lot that I like about the Musketeers. I like the team itself and believe that they're more talented than many realize. I like how the Musketeers rallied from a deficit to beat a tough Clev. State team in the first round. I like that they're playing here at Cincinnati. (The Gators are 7-8 on the road, Xavier is 14-5 at home.) As for the fact that they're playing under an interim coach, Florida is in the same boat. (The Gators coach left for Georgia.) The Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU victory. They're also 2-8 ATS their last 10 road games vs. teams with a home winning % of greater than .600. Even after failing to cover vs. the Vikings, the Musketeers are still a healthy 9-3 ATS (11-1 SU) against non-conf. opponents. Expect them to improve on those stats Sunday afternoon. |
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03-19-22 | Lakers v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. I won with the Lakers when these teams faced each other on 3/11. That was at LA though. While both teams had the previous night off, the Wizards had a game (at Portland) the next night. Tonight's rematch sets up differently. Both teams played last night. The Wizards lost to the Knicks. The Lakers left it all on the floor at Toronto, beating the Raptors in OT. Both teams will be playing their third game in four days. However, the Lakers will also be playing their fifth game in the past seven days, which is not the case for Washington. (The Wizards will be playing their fourth, in the past seven days.) The Lakers are 0-5 SU/ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 230 or more. Expect the Wizards to bounce back and avenge the recent loss at LA. |
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03-19-22 | Michigan v. Tennessee OVER 135.5 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on Michigan/Tennessee OVER the total. Michigan had a higher O/U line for its game against Colorado State. Yet, the Rams were a low-scoring team which plays stingy defense. True, they're up against another good defense here. That said, this Tennesee team just scored 85 points in its opening game and averages 73.6 ppg. Tennessse is connecting on a whopping 48% of its field goals, the past five games. Like the Vols, the Wolverines also average just over 73 ppg. They hit 47% of their field goals, 47.8% their past five games. Their defense is nothing special though. They allow 69.7, opposing teams connecting on a fairly high 44.4% of their field goals. That number climbs to 45.3% over their past five games. The OVER is 4-0 the past four times that Michigan was an underdog. These teams combined for 144 in March 2014. I see this one also getting into the 140s, the OVER improving to 11-3-1 when the Wolverines played a game with an O/U line in the 130s. |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor UNDER 149.5 | Top | 93-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on UNC/Baylor UNDER the total. I'm playing on UNC/Baylor UNDER the total. In the first round, both these teams showed that they were capable of putting up a big number on offense. However, they're also both capable of playing stingy defense. That's particularly true of this year's Baylor team. The Tar Heels held Marquette to just 62 points. Meanwhile, the Bears limited Norfolk State to a mere 49 points. Note that the UNDER is 7-2 the past nine times that Baylor allowed 50 or fewer points in its previous game. While most will remember their 94 point effort against Duke and the 95 that they dropped on Marquette, keep in mind that the Heels scored 64 and 65 in the two games sandwiched between those ones. They've actually scored 70 or less in five of their past nine. Prior their 85 against Norfolk State, the Bears had scored 75 or less in three straight and 80 or less in 10 straight. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting, the UNDER improving to 13-7 the past 20 times that UNC played with one or less day's rest in between games. |
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03-18-22 | Grizzlies v. Hawks +6 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Hawks haven't covered for some time. That recent skid has helped in providing us with a generous line. As of this writing, Young is questionable (as is Morant). Of course, we want the Hawks' superstar guard to play. That likely won't be decided until closer to tipoff. However, he hasn't missed any time from it yet and has played 36 or more mins in each of the past three games. Also, the Hawks had yesterday off and they get tomorrow off. While they're saying Morant is likely to play, he did miss Tuesday's game. Regardless of who suits up, the Hawks are going to be bringing their best. Keep in mind that, though they may not have covered, they've still won their last three games here. They're 21-12 ATS the past 2+ seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 230 or more. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-18-22 | Virginia Tech v. Texas | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEXAS. The Hokies are a popular bracket pick. After all, they just knocked off both UNC and Duke to win the ACC Tournament. They certainly check in as the hotter team. Also, #11 seeds have been known to beat #6 seeds. It happened twice last year alone. In fact, it's happened 37.5% of the time, dating back to 1985. Plus. Texas hasn't won an NCAA Tournament game since 2014. Yet, the Longhorns are the higher seed and small favorite for a reason. While I respect the Hokies, I absolutely see Texas getting off the schneid this year. This is a very talented, athletic and well-coached team, tested against a really strong Big 12 Conference. Remember, the Longhorns have beaten Kansas, a #1 seed expected to go a long way. They also beat Tennessee, holding the Vols to 51 points. Speaking of dominant defensive performances, don't forget that Texas trounced Iowa State by a 63-41 score. They're a top 15 team in terms of defiency efficiency and they allow just 59.6 ppg. Chris Beard, who has enjoyed first round success before, was brought in to get the Longhorns over the hump with an NCAA Tournament win. Expect him to deliver. |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue OVER 143.5 | Top | 56-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on Yale/Purdue OVER the total. I won with the Bulldogs 'under' the total in the Ivy League title game, against Princeton. So, I'm aware that they've been on an 'under' streak. I already successfully came back with the 'over' in the Princeton's next game and I believe that Yale's game will also prove to be high-scoring. The Boilermakers can score anywhere. Despite facing some very tough defenses, Purdue averages 79.8 ppg, connecting on 49.3% of field goals. Note that the Boilermakers have seen the OVER go 4-0 their past four NCAA Tournament games. Like Princeton, Yale has played higher-scoring games against non-conf. opponents. The OVER is 8-5 in their games outside the Ivy League. Overall, the Bulldogs are averaging more than 72 ppg. Expect Purdue to put up a big number and Yale to contribute enough to send this one above the total, the OVER improving to 11-5 the last 16 times that the Boilermakers played on a neutral court. |
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03-17-22 | Akron v. UCLA -13.5 | Top | 53-57 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCLA. The Zips went on a great run to get here. Unfortunately, for Akron fans, they're up against a far superior opponent. The Bruins, 6-0 ATS their last six NCAA Tournament games, are loaded. They may have fallen short against Arizona in the Pac-12 Final but this is an very strong and well-coached UCLA team. Akron doesn't score that much and is here largely because of defense. The Zips allow 63.6 ppg with opposing teams hitting 42.8% of their field goals. The problem is that UCLA is even better defensively. Facing a far tougher schedule, the Bruins allowed 64.8 ppg, holding opponents to 41.6% of their field goals. Those defensive stats have led to an O/U line in the high 120s. That doesn't bode well for the Zips; they're 1-6 ATS the past seven times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 120s. During that span, UCLA is 2-0 SU/ATS when doing so. Despite playing in the tougher conference and also facing the likes of Gonzaga and Villanova from outside the Pac-12, the Bruins still put up those strong defensive numbers and they also had far superior offensive numbers than Akron. The very well-coached Bruins are 9-2-1 ATS (10-2 SU) the past dozen times that they were off a game where they allowed 80 or more points. (The lone 'push' was a 16-point win.) Expect them to start the tournament off with a blowout victory. |
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on ORLANDO. The home team is 3-0 SU/ATS in three meetings between these teams so far. The Pistons won the first two meetings, both at Detroit. The Magic hammered them in the game here at Orlando though. Playing at home, I expect them to have the edge again this evening. The Magic played Houston and Indiana (and beat both) at the end of February. However, their March schedule has been tough. Their last seven games have included road games at Toronto, Memphis and New Orleans (They actually won two of those.) and home games against the Suns, T-Wolves, 76'ers and Nets. Up until the game against the Nets, they'd been doing really well. They beat red hot Minnesota and they only lost by two against the 76'ers and by three to Phoenix. Off the blowout loss to the Nets, note that they're 4-1 ATS after allowing 130 or more points. Taking a big step down in class, look for the Magic to bounce back. |
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03-17-22 | Georgia State v. Gonzaga OVER 148.5 | Top | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on Georgia State / Gonzaga OVER the total. You know that the Bulldogs are going to put up a big number. After all, they've got the best scoring offense in the country. They average 87.8 ppg, 85.6 ppg on the road. They've gone over the 80 mark in five of their past six and 16 of their past 19. So, the question is: Will the Panthers contribute enough to combine with Gonzaga's "big number" to go over this total? I believe that answer is yes. The Bulldogs have been a profitable 'under' team on the season. However, they still averaged more than 70 ppg and they're coming off an 80 point effort last time out. They've scored at least 65 in five straight games, averaging 72.6 during that stretch. They've got a hot player (Cory Allen of b2b 29-pt games) and they aren't going to quit until the final buzzer. Recall that Georgia State went on a 13-0 run to close the game to beat Baylor in the 2015 Tournament. They won't beat Gonzaga but they won't quit trying. The OVER is 15-9 the past 24 times that the Bulldogs played on a neutral court and that includes a 7-5 OVER mark as neutral court favorites of greater than a dozen points. Expect those stats to improve this afternoon. |
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03-16-22 | Kent State v. Southern Utah +1.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTHERN UTAH. The Golden Flashes should be careful what they wish for. Coach Senderoff said he asked for a difficult game to open The Basketball Classic. He sure got one. The Thunderbirds are tough. Senderoff noted: "Are we disappointed that we lost Saturday? Absolutely ..." The Flashes didn't just lose. They got hammered 77-55. Now, they're up against an arguably tougher opponent. While the Thunderbirds also (obviously) lost their last game, it was the result of running into a very hot shooting Portland State team. The Golden Flashes, who average only 67 ppg on the road, don't have that type of offense. Southern Utah averages 82.4 ppg here at home. I like that the Thunderbirds last played on 3/10 compared to Kent State last having played on 3/12. I also really like the fact that the Flashes didn't fly out of Ohio until 3:30am Tuesday, flew to Vegas and then had to drive three hours to Southern Utah. Indeed, the situation favors the Thunderbirds. Southern Utah is 3-0 SU/ATS the past three times it was a home underdog of three or less and 13-7 SU/ATS its last 20 in that role. Frankly, I'm surprised that the Thunderbirds are underdogs at all. I see them bouncing back with a solid win. |
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03-16-22 | Suns v. Rockets +11 | Top | 129-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. I successfully played against the Rockets in their last game; they got blown out by the Pelicans. That was at New Orleans though. Now, the Rockets are back home and they've had a couple of days off in between games. Houston is a respectable 14-11 ATS its past 25, when playing with two day's rest in between games, a much better percentage than when playing with other amounts of rest, during the same span. On the other hand, the Suns are off a game at New Orleans last night. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, they'll be playing their third game in the past four days and their fifth in the past seven. Having logged all those minutes over the past week, the Suns could easily take the Rockets, a team which they've already defeated three times, lightly. The Rockets gave the Suns all that they could handle in the last meeting. They lost by only three, as 16.5 point road underdogs. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to again provide the Suns a much tougher test than many will be expecting. |
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03-15-22 | Pistons v. Heat -13 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI.The Pistons are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a loss to the T-Wolves on Saturday, the Heat are going to be in an angry mood this evening. They take care of business against teams like the Pistons, too. They're a perfect 6-0 ATS their past six vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400. Saturday's loss was Miami's second game in two days. The Heat have now had two days off in between games though, so they're well rested. Note that they're 21-9 ATS (23-7 SU) the past 30 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, 7-3 ATS (9-1 SU) their past 10. They get the next two days off, too. Their full focus is on the task at hand. The Heat are also 10-5 ATS when off an upset loss. Additionally, they're 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) the past five times that they were listed as home favorites of -12.5 or more. Lay the points and expect a blowout. |
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03-15-22 | Princeton v. VCU OVER 138 | Top | 79-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on Princeton/VCU OVER the total. I won with Princeton 'under' in the Ivy League Finals. Here's an excerpt of what I said before that "defensive battle" against Yale: "...Both teams saw yesterday's games finish below the total. For Yale, that's four straight games which have finished below the total. The UNDER is 5-2 when the Bulldogs played with one day or less worth of rest in between games. Holding Penn to only 61 points yesterday was an impressive defensive display, considering that the Quakers had scored at least 70 in nine straight games. The previous team to keep them below 70? Princeton, back on 1/17. While the Bulldogs are stingy, they don't always score much. They avg 68 ppg away from home and 69 ppg in Ivy League play overall. Expect nothing to come easily, the final combined score falling below the number..." While VCU is also a very capable defensive team, the Rams will provide a much different type of game. The Rams are averaging better than 70 ppg over their past five games and they've seen the OVER go 3-1 in their four tourney games. The Tigers can score anywhere as they average 77.5 ppg on the road, the OVER going 8-3. The OVER is 9-2 in their non-conf games. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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03-14-22 | Wizards v. Warriors UNDER 226 | Top | 112-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington/GSW UNDER the total. The Wizards have been on an 'over' streak but I expect it to end tonight. It's Curry's 34th birthday and the Warriors are expecting to have Draymond Green back in the lineup. While he could potentially have some offensive rust, Green immediately makes the defense better. While the Wizards allowed 127 last time out, the UNDER is 4-0 the past four times that they allowed more than 125 points in their previous game. Its also worth noting that Washington has seen the UNDER go 10-4 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 220 or more. Meanwhile, the UNDER is also 11-6 when the Warriors played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or more. The Warriors, who have seen each of their past three games fall below the total have also seen the UNDER go 18-9-1, when coming off a double-digit win. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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03-14-22 | Wolves v. Spurs +4 | Top | 149-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN ANTONIO. I successfully played against the Spurs last game. That was a tough spot for them though. Popovich had broken the record the previous night, so the Spurs were playing the second of b2b games. They were also laying points, to boot. Now, however, they're rested, after having yesterday off. They also have tomorrow off. Their full focus is on the task at hand. Note that Murry, previously questionable, has been upgraded to probable, as of this writing. Now, they're even getting points, instead of laying them. No question that the T-Wolves have been plahying well. This has long been a house of horrors for them though. The Spurs are 39-10 SU the past 49 meetings here. The Spurs are 12-7-1 ATS the past 20 times that they were off a double-digit loss. Going back further finds them at 30-19-3 ATS in that situation. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats tonight. |
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03-13-22 | Memphis +4 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on MEMPHIS. This should be a good game. These are two really solid and well-coached teams. Both these teams were really good last year, too. Houston achieved great success as it went all the way to the Final 4. Memphis felt that it deserved an NCAA Tournament berth. However, due to a slow start, the Tigers were snubbed. They ended up going to the NIT instead. Once there, they won that tournament. The Cougars arguably lost more from last year's team than did the Tigers. Yet, it was Memphis which got off to another slow start this season. That was largely due to injuries though. The Tigers are absolutely rolling now. Winners of six straight, they're on a mission. They alredy beat Houston in both this season's meetings. The Cougars have only lost twice since 2/12; both losses were against Memphis. The Cougars are 3-10 ATS their last 13 as neutral court favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. On the other hand, Memphis is 12-2-1 ATS its last 15, when listed as an underdog. Grab the points. |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE. I loved this matchup from the time which it was set. However, I waited on pulling the trigger, in the hope that the line might come down a little. It has, albeit not by too much; I'm jumping all in. The Vols were -11 point favorites for the lone regular season meeting. They won by 10. Here, they catch the Aggies having played an extra game. The Aggies played a very hard fought game against Florida on 3/10. The Vols had that day off. That hard-fought win served the Aggies well (provided momentum) over the next two days. However, those extra minutes will catch up with them in this one. Both teams average a nearly identical number of points. However, the Vols have a considerable edge on defense. They held Kentucky to 62 yesterday after allowing 59 the previous day. They'll crank up that defensive intensity again here en route to the title, snapping the Aggies' ATS streak along the way. |
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03-12-22 | Pacers +5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. While the Pacers come in well-rested, the Spurs are a off a hard-fought win over the Jazz. This will be the Spurs' third game in four days. The last time that they played the second of b2b games, they allowed 133 points in a loss at Miami. Now, they're being asked to lay a handful of points. The Pacers have struggled a bit lately but its not for lack of effort. They lost by three points last time out, falling 127-124. The Pacers won outright as 7-point underdogs here last season and they already beat the Spurs, at Indiana. Including that result, they're 15-8 ATS against teams from the Western Conference. They're also 10-2-1 ATS their last 13, after allowing 125 or more points in their previous game. Schedule in their favor, look for the Pacers to bounce back and give their hosts all that they can handle. |
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03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on PURDUE. Both teams won yesterday, obviously. The Spartans managed a cover vs. the Badgers after eking out one against the Terrapins on Thursday. The Boilermakers won by eight yesterday, narrowly missisng out on the cover. Unlike the Spartans, they had Thursday off. I expect that to work in their favor this afternoon. The Spartans are playing their third game in three days, Purdue is not. Remember, this is a loaded Purdue team which returned every starter from last year's team. I also like that the Spartans won the first meeting. Of course, that was at East Lansing. The Boilermakers will use that result to provide them with some extra fire and hunger this afternoon. Remember, Purdue was 4-0 SU/ATS the previous four meetings. The fact that the Boilermakers have failed to cover recently has helped in keeping the line a little lower than it easily could have been. (Purdue was laying -5 for the game at MSU.) The Boilermakers are 6-1 SU the past seven times that they attempted to avenge a road loss. Look for them to improve on those stats this afternoon, picking up the cover along the way. |
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03-12-22 | Cornell v. Princeton -6 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on PRINCETON. The Big Red did a great job in getting here. However, I believe that they're in over their heads this afternoon. At the beginning of the Ivy League season, I said this about the Tigers: "The Tigers have had a few down years. That will change in 2022. They're already 2-0 in conference play and their 12-3 overall record is best in the Ivy League. Two of those three losses were very close, too. They've beaten the likes of Oregon State and South Carolina. The young Princeton players have matured. They're the early frontrunners for the league title." Meanwhile, I had this to say about Cornell: "I don't expect the Big Red (1-2) to compete for the league title this season; I successfully played against them in their 14-point loss against Penn. However, I'm giving them an honorable mention due to their impressive 10-2 ATS overall record." I still feel the same way and Princeton's 93-70 blowout of Penn last time out, its seventh straight victory, reinforces those feelings. Off their win over Columbia, note that the Big Red are just 3-6 ATS when off an Ivy League victory. Cornell may have played them tough in the regular season but the Tigers will win big when it counts. Lay the points. |
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03-11-22 | Wizards v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. Off a loss to the lowly Houston Rockets, I expect the Lakers to bounce back with a huge effort tonight. A game against the Wizards figures to be just what the doctor ordered. Off a loss against the Clippers on Wednesday, Washington is 0-6 SU/ATS against teams from the Pacific, 9-16 ATS its past 25. Overall, the Wizards are a dismal 5-16 ATS against teams from the West. Washington figures to have trouble keeping up in this one. While the Wizards average 104.6 ppg on the road, the Lakers average 111.8 here at home. They're averaging 115.8 ppg their past five. The Wizards beat the Lakers here, in OT, last season. Beal had 33 points and Westbrook had 32 points, along with 14 rebounds and nine assists. No other Wizard scored more than 15. Beal is out and now Westbrook plays for the Lakers. Expect Westbrook to have a big game against his former team, the Lakers responding with a much needed win and cover. |
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03-11-22 | Connecticut v. Villanova -3 | Top | 60-63 | Push | 0 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on VILLANOVA. I love the grit that the Wildcats showed in winning yesterday's game. The Wildcats couldn't hit anything out of the gate. They made only three of their first 20 shots. The defense kept them in it though, as they still trailed by only six. Things got worse. By halftime, the Wildcats were down seven. The second half didn't start well either. In fact, with 15:33 left in the game, Villanova was down by 17 points. That's when the talent and experience kicked in. The Cats didn't blink and went on an 18-2 run. They'd ultimated win by a point. As Jay Wright noted: "We've got great seniors. We have great upperclassmen." No question, UConn is tough. However, I believe that yesterday's comeback win is exactly the type of victory that will build and provide positive momentum fo the Wildcats. Though the Huskies are really good, arguably the second best team in a very strong conference, I don't think they're quite as good as the Villanova team which they'll face today. The Huskies are 1-6 ATS their past seven, as neutral court underdogs. Expect them to stumble tonight, the favorite moving to 4-1-2 ATS the past seven times that these teams faced each other. |
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03-11-22 | Miami-FL v. Duke UNDER 150.5 | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on Miami/Duke UNDER the total. Obviously, Duke can put up a lot of points. The Miami offense is also capable. Both teams saw yesterday's games finish above the number. That said, this is a very high O/U line. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. Yes, Miami saw yesterday's game go 'over' the number. However, the final combined score was still only 140 and that was only after 10 points were scoring in OT. Duke ran into a hot shooting Syracuse team and found itself down at the break. That forced the Blue Devils to put up a really big number in the second half. This one figures to play out differently. This season's regular season game finished with 150. Yet, they only had 64 at the break and it required a very high-scoring 86-point second half to get to 150. I don't see them scoring nearly as many second half points in this one. This is just the second time that Miami played its second game in two days this season. The first (69-63 win on 11/26) finished with 132 points. Likewise, this is also only the second time that Duke has played the second of b2b games this season. The first (67-56 win on 11/13) finished with only 123 points. Needless to say, that game finished well below the number. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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03-10-22 | Washington v. USC UNDER 142.5 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington/USC UNDER the total. The Trojans are capable of being very stingy. I expect that to be on display this evening. Before getting started, note that this O/U line is higher than the regular season one, which was played at USC. Yet, as you'll see in a moment, the Trojans give up fewer points (while also scoring less) when playing away from home. USC allows only 66 ppg. Opposing teams hit just 38.9% of their field goals. On the road, the Trojans are even stingier. They allow just 64.5 ppg on the road, just 28.5 for the first half. That 64.5 ppg allowed on the road ranks in the top 20 in the country and is #1 in the Pac-12. Consider that the Trojans' recent game at Oregon State just finished at 94-91 and that it went to double-OT. Throw out those two OT periods and USC's defensive numbers, on the road, are even better. Note that the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in their past four neutral court games, 10-4-1 their past 15. The Huskies, who won 82-70 yesterday, can play reasonably decent defense themselves. They've now allowed 70 or less in three straight and none of their last eight opponents have reached 80. All four previous times that Huskies scored 80 or more this season, they failed to reach 70 their next game. Their scores were 62, 56, 69 and 68. Look for the Huskies to find the going much tougher on offense tonight, the final combined score staying beneath the generous number. |
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03-10-22 | Miami-OH +7 v. Kent State | Top | 75-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI OHIO. Kent State won the lone regular season meeting. At the time, the RedHawks were in the midst of a really bad skid. However, that was more than a month ago. I really like the way that Miami enters this tournament. This is an experienced Miami team, one which returned all five starters from last season. The RedHawks closed out the season off b2b double-digit victories. They won 75-61 at Central Michigan and then followed it up with a 76-63 blowout of Eastern Michigan. Of course, Kent State has been playing really well for some time now. That said, note that each of the Golden Flashes' last three wins have been by single digits; they came by an average of five points. It's also worth mentioning that the Flashes are 1-4-1 ATS (2-4 SU) the past six times that they played with five or six day's rest in between games. The Golden Flashes can have trouble scoring when not playing at home, too. They average 71.2 ppg overall but just 66.6 on the road. On the other hand, Miami averages 75.3 ppg overall and 73.2 ppg on the road. Remember, these teams were very evenly ranked, entering the season. Grab the points and expect the RedHawks, who just may be peaking at exactly the right time, to take this one down to the wire with a real shot at the upset. |
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03-09-22 | Prairie View A&M +1.5 v. Alcorn State | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on PRAIRIE VIEW. These teams split a pair of close games during the regular season. (Each team won on the other team's home floor.) The pointspread suggests this could be another close one. Though the pointspread isn't likely to be a factor, it's worth mentioning that AS is 2-6 its last eight as favorite while PV is 5-0 ATS its last five as an underdog. Alcorn State had the better regular season record. I believe Prairie View is the stronger of the two teams though and I expect that to play out on the court this evening. No question that it was a disappointing reg. season for the Panthers. However, the tournament offers a chance at a fresh start and this is a PV team with the tools to make the most of that chance. Keep in mind that the Panthers have arguably the most talented backcourt in the SWAC. They're "deep and versatile." This is a team which lost in the SWAC title game last season and which is hungry to to get back there. The Braves dropped 100 points on Arkansas Pine Bluff last time out. On the surface, that sounds pretty impressive. However, the Golden Lions aren't very good and don't play defense. Also, the Braves are only 5-10 ATS the past 15 times that they scored 80 or more in their previous game. The Panthers, on the other hand, are 8-3 ATS their last 11, when off a conference loss. Look for them to elevate their game and improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-09-22 | Celtics v. Hornets +7.5 | Top | 115-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. While the Celtics check in as the hotter team, I expect the Hornets to be the hungrier one. The Hornets fell behind early last night and couldn't recover. They kept battling though and I expect them to get off to a better start this evening. As coach Borrego commented: "We just have to get off to a better start ..." Note that the Hornets had the previous two days off, before playing last night. So, they're aren't playing their third game in four nights here. As for Boston coming in rested, note that the Celtics are only 2-5-2 ATS (4-5 SU), when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Celtics are also only 8-15-1 ATS (9-15 SU) the past 2+ seasons, after playing their previous three games at home. The Hornets have played the Celtics tough in all three meetings. They split the two meetings at Boston, winning one by nine and losing the other by six. They lost the game here at Charlotte. However, they took the Celtics to OT. (They won the previous game here by 20+.) Expect them to give their hosts all they can handle again tonight, improving to 10-3 ATS when facing teams from the Atlantic. |
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03-09-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State UNDER 139.5 | Top | 73-67 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on WVU/KSU UNDER the total. While both regular season meetings finished above the number, I'm expecting points to be hard to come by in this one. Neither team is strong offensively. The Mountaineers average 68.5 ppg, hitting 41.3% of their field goals. The Wildcats average 69.1 ppg, connecting on 42.1% of their field goals. When playing away from home home, however, that field goal percentage dips to just 39.1. The Wildcats average 67 ppg on the road, just 30.7 in the first half. With both teams a little below .500, note that the Mountaineers have seen the UNDER go 9-4 their last 13 against teams with losing records. Meanwhile, during that span, the Wildcats have seen the UNDER go 11-5 when facing a team with a sub-500 record. Prior to this season, these teams had seen six of their past eight meetings, including each of their past three, finish below the total. Those three games had scores of 65-43, 69-47 and 66-57. It should be noted that K-State's leading scorer was less than 100% last game (stomach flu) and that the Wildcats' second leading scorer missed the final two games. Though both may play, they may be at less than 100%. Look for a return to the low-scoring WVU/KSU battles of the past. |
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03-08-22 | Chicago State v. Utah Valley UNDER 132.5 | Top | 47-69 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chicago State/Utah Valley UNDER the total. These teams played a very high scoring game against each other in the regular season. This one will be much different. The Cougars had some success scoring on their homecourt in the first meeting. This is an inexperienced Chicago State team though; scoring will prove far more difficult, now that it counts. Since that 1.27 game at Chicago State, the Wolverines have cranked up the defensive intensity. They've never allowed that many points again. They've held each of their last four opponents below 70 points. Two of those teams scored less than 55. Note that Utah Valley scored only 42 last game, a 62-42 loss at New Mexico State. The Wolverines are averaging only 61.6 ppg (39.1% field goals) their past five. (Each of their past four games have gone under the total.) So, they aren't scoring much. Yet, they're still big favorites. That's in large part because the Cougars are scoring even less. Chicago State averages less than 60 ppg away from home, hitting only 38% of its field goals. The Cougars have scored 66 or less in five straight and 73 or less in 11 straight. They've seen the UNDER go a perfect 6-0 their past six neutral court games. Expect those stats to improve tonight. |
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03-08-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies UNDER 232 | Top | 111-132 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on NO/Memphis UNDER the total. This is a generously high O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. The Grizzlies have seen four of their past five games stay below the number. Games here average 221.7 points, on the season. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have seen their road games average just 214.9 points. Prior to getting involved in a high-scoring game with Denver last time out, they'd allowed 95 or fewer points in three straight games and 102 or less in four straight. (All four of those games, prior to Denver, stayed below the number.) As for that high-scoring Denver game, it should be mentioned that the UNDER is 4-0 the past four times that NO scored 125 or more in its previous game and 6-1 the past seven times that NO allowed 125 or more. Note that the UNDER is also 5-1 when the Pelicans played a game with an O/U line of 230 or greater. More? The UNDER is 5-0 the past five times that the Grizzlies were laying points and 14-3 the past 17 times that they hosted the Pelicans. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than some will be expecting. |
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03-08-22 | Marshall -3 v. Florida International | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on MARSHALL. The Panthers had the better regular season record. They even won both regular season meetings. Yet, Marshall is favored for good reason. Indeed, this is a tough matchup for the Panthers. The Herd are far more talented than their record suggests. The Panthers aren't playing as well now as they were when the teams played earlier in the season. They've lost their last four games. Those losses came by nine, 20, 20 and eight points, an average of more than 14. Though they covered last game, the Panthers are 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were off an ATS victory. They've allowed more than 80 points in two of their past three. I don't believe they'll able to keep up tonight. Look for Marshall to "win when it counts," covering the small number along the way. |
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03-07-22 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 136 | Top | 57-43 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on Northern Kentucky/Purdue Fort Wayne UNDER the total. With all due respect to the offenses, I believe that this number will prove to be too high. Both these teams are capable of being really stingy. Northern Kentucky allows just 65.6 points per game, fewest in the Horizon League, while holding opponents to 43.0% shooting. Though perhaps more known for their shooting, on their current winning streak, the Mastadons are allowing just 65.8 points per game, in regulation. (Number doesn't include OT against Clev. State.) According to KenPom, the Mastadons had a 98.6 defensive efficiency in Horizon League games. That was the best in the league. The quality defense was on display in the two reg. season meetings. They had final scores of 71-57 in December and just 59-49 in January. With the 'Dons having failed to cover their last game, note that the UNDER is 5-0 the past five times that they were off an ATS loss. Expect nothing to come easy and the final score to stay below the number. |
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03-07-22 | College of Charleston -1.5 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLESTON. The Seahawks took both regular season meetings. However, the Cougars are slight favorites for good reason, as this will prove to be one of those cases where it's really difficult to beat a team three times in the same season. The Seahawks beat the Cougars at UNC Wilmington last month. The previous month, they beat the Cougars at Charleston. The Cougars had just finished a tough non-conf. schedule though and they were still adjusting to new players and a first year coach. However, Kelsey is a quality coach and he's got a lot to work with. He's now had the time needed and his team is now benefitting from those tough early non-conf. games. Yesterday's double-digit blowout of Hofstra brought them to 6-0 ATS their past six games. Keep in mind that the Cougars also lost both reg. season games to Hofstra. Yet, they won big when it mattered. I believe that they're putting it all together at the right time and I fully expect another victory this evening. |
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03-07-22 | Bulls +7 v. 76ers | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Bulls are coming in extremely hungry. Not only are they desperate to snap their 4-game losing streak but they're also playing with "triple revenge," having lost all three of this season's meetings. The game here at Philadelphia was a close one, the 76'ers winning by five. With this game also being played at Philadelphia, we're getting a few extra points to work with. (Note that three of Chicago's four losses, on the current skid, were by fewer than seven points.) Yet, the 76'ers are a team which actually has a better road record. (They're 18-13 at home but 21-11 on the road.) The Bulls have had a tough stretch of games but they've finally had a chance to catch their breath. They had the weekend off. They also get tomorrow off. They should be refreshed and fully focused on the task at hand. The 76'ers are off a 17-point loss and they won their previous game by six. Grab the points and don't be surprised if the revenge-minded visitors score the outright upset. |
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03-06-22 | Georgia State v. Appalachian State OVER 128 | Top | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on Georgia State / App State OVER the total. This is a low O/U line. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Both regular season meetings had O/U lines in the 130s. This one is in the 120s. When these teams met in this tournament last March, the O/U line was 136.5. They had more than 70 by halftime and combined for 152. Georgia State has scored 65 or more in three straight games, averaging more than 70. After yesterday's 73-60 win, the Mountaineers have scored 60 or more in five straight, averaging 68.2. Note that the OVER is 7-1 the past eight (games with O/U lines and excluding pushes) times that the Mountaineers allowed 60 or fewer points in their previous game. The last time that they allowed 60 or less, the next game had a final score of 78-66. Expect both teams to keep scoring the entire way and for this one to finish above the low number. |
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03-06-22 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | Top | 122-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on Phoenix/Milwaukee UNDER the total. The O/U line was 234.5 when these teams met at Phoenix last month. This one is only a little lower. Consider that the Suns play lower-scoring games on the road than they do at Phoenix. Also, the Bucks play lower-scoring games at home, than they do on the road. Phoenix road games average 218.3 points. Milwaukee home games average 223.5. Also, consider that Chris Paul had 17 points and 19 assists in last month's game at Phoenix. Booker also had 17 points and seven assists. Neither of those players are available today. Needless to say, that will make things more difficult for the Suns. Yet, the O/U line is only a few points lower than the game last month. The UNDER is 7-2-1 the past 10 meetings between these teams in Milwaukee. The UNDER is also 8-2-1 the past 11 times that the Suns were home underdogs. Expect those stats to improve this afternoon. |
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03-05-22 | Denver v. North Dakota State -8.5 | Top | 62-82 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTH DAKOTA STATE. he Bison won both reg. season meetings. One win came by eight points. The other came by 18. Sometimes, you'll hear that it can be difficult to beat a team three times in the same season. That's certainly true if the weaker team somehow managed to win both regular season games. At times, it can also be true when the two teams are fairly evenly matched. However, there are cases where one team is just a lot better than the other team. In those situations, there's no reason to think that anything will change from what happened in the regular season. I believe that this is one of those cases. The Bison have a big edge in the backcourt and arguably an even bigger edge in the frontcourt. (The entered the season with the #1 ranked frontcourt in the conference and the #3 ranked backcourt.) The Bison score more points than the Pioneers and they allow less. With an opening O/U line in the high 130s, note that NDSU is 3-0 ATS the past three times it played a neutral court game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range. They're 8-3 ATS their last 11 in that situation. During that span, the Pioneers were 2-6 ATS when playing a neutral site game with an O/U line in that range. Expect a double-digit win for the superior team. |
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03-05-22 | Colorado v. Utah -1.5 | Top | 84-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH. Off a big home win against Arizona, the Buffaloes can now secure a #4 seed. That makes this a big game for them. Off back-to-back losses, playing with revenge from a close loss at Colorado and playing their home finale, the Utes are also going to be fired up. That Arizona win was just the second time in school history (and first since 1992) that Colorado had beaten a #2 seed. I believe that 'historic' win may have the Buffaloes, who lost a lot from last year's team and who are 3-10 ATS their last 13, when off an ATS victory, ripe for a "letdown." Over the past couple of months, they've seen a few players go down to injury, including guard Parquet and center Lovering. Those were significant losses. In his last game before injury, Parquet provided 31 minutes, nine points, five rebounds, two assists and three blocks. That was a low-scoring (60-58) game, too. So, stats were tough to come by. The 7-foot Lovering had also been expected to be a big part of the Buffaloes' plans. Keep in mind that the Buffaloes are only mediocre on the road, where they average just 67.1 ppg. The Utes are a profitable 39-19 ATS over the years, after failing to cover their previous three games, 8-3 ATS their last 11 in that situation. Expect the Utes' best effort as they bounce back and improve on those stats tonight. |
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03-05-22 | Kings v. Mavs OVER 224.5 | Top | 113-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on Sacramento/Dallas OVER the total. This season's first three meetings all fell below the total. Those were all back in 2021 though. I expect the first meeting of 2022 to prove to be much higher-scoring. After facing the Warriors last game and with Utah on deck, the Mavs will be happy to get into a fast paced game with their defensively challenged guests. Though I won with the Kings' under in their last game, this is not a good defensive team. They give up the second most points (115 ppg) in the NBA. Only Houston allows more. On the road, the number of points allowed climbs above 117. They've allowed a minimum of 109 points in each of their last 10 games and they allowed 125 or more in four or those. The Kings can score though. They've scored at least 110 points in five of their past six. Fighting for their playoff lives, they won't go away in this one. Look for the final combined score to finish above the low number. |
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03-04-22 | Wolves v. Thunder +8.5 | Top | 138-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKC. I believe that the value lies with the revenge-minded home underdog in this one. The Thunder have treated me well and I already won my Div. "GOY" on them. This is a team which has been at its best in divisional play. The Thunder beat Denver outright last game and are now 7-2 ATS against teams from within their division. One of the losses came in the last meeting against Minnesota. I won with the 'over' in that one; the T-Wolves came here and scored 135 points. (That game had a much lower O/U line than this one!) The Thunder haven't forgotten and they're coming in with a score to settle. Note that they're 30-15-1 ATS their past 46 in the 'revenge' role, 71-45-4 ATS their past 120. I like that the Thunder have tomorrow night off. On the other hand, the Wolves, who upset the Warriors last time out, have a game vs. Portland on deck tomorrow. With Minnesota just 11-25 ATS (10-26 SU) the past 36 times that it was off an upset win, I'm grabbing the points. |
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03-04-22 | Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 50-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on LOYOLA. You probably recall that the Ramblers made a deep run in the NCAA Tournament last year, eventually losing in the Sweet 16. This year's team brought back four of those five starters. They're still loaded and now they'll remind everyone of that. The Brave, 1-4 ATS the last five times that they played with five or six day's rest in between games, are in over their heads. It doesn't hurt that Bradley upset the Ramblers in the most recent meeting. That'll ensure they don't take anything for granted here. The Ramblers are 7-4 ATS (9-2 SU) the past 11 times that they attempted to avenge a road loss. They're also 10-1 SU the past 11 times thay they were off a conference loss. Look for an angry Loyola team to improve on those stats, picking up the cover along the way. |
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03-03-22 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on Sacramento/SA UNDER the total. This is a very high O/U number. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. Consider that this season's first two meetings had O/U lines of 223 and 227. The Kings, who managed only 95 points last night, have quietly seen the UNDER go 8-4 this season, when playing the second of b2b games. Due to the rodeo, the Spurs haven't played here in some time. They need this win and they're going to be hungry. Likewise, the Kings really need to win. Last night' loss was costly for them and makes this one that much more important. That said, I'm expecting to see some extra intensity on the defensive end of the floor. Look for the final combined score to stay beneath the generously high total, the UNDER improving to 13-6-1 the past 20 times that the Spurs played a home game with an O/U line of 230 or greater. |
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03-03-22 | Bulls v. Hawks +5 | Top | 124-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Hawks recently lost to the Bulls, at Chicago. Playing with "triple revenge," they're going to be extremely motivated. I believe that the Hawks are catching Chicago at the right time. Since beating the Hawks by four, the Bulls have dropped b2b games. Chicago coach Donavan acknowledged his team is a bit inexperienced and doesn't seem to mind bringing out the best in the other team: "The biggest thing for me is we have to get battle-tested in some of these games, and we just don't have a lot of guys who have gone into these kind of experiences. I think it's really good for us." Expect him to get his wish tonight as the Hawks are going to give them all that they can handle. The Hawks are 10-2 ATS their last 12 at home and 5-0 ATS their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Grab the points. |
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03-03-22 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State -5.5 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARKANSAS STATE. The Warhawks are 1-7 ATS the past eight times that they were listed as neutral court underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. This is another tough matchup for them. The Red Wolves are a much stronger team. They enter the tournament off a momentum-building victory over a solid Appalachian State team and they've got high hopes of making a run. On the other hand, the Warhawks are off five straight losses, the most recent coming a demoralizing OT setback. They'll be playing their fourth straight away from home and their morale may be at its lowest point of the season. They're 0-4 ATS their last four as neutral site underdogs. Having been upset by the Warhawks in the last meeting, the Red Wolves, 7-3 ATS the last 10 times that they attempted to avenge a home loss, will be "all business" right from the opening tip. Expect them to win this one by double-digits, improving to 7-2 ATS their last nine "tournament" games. |
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03-02-22 | Thunder v. Nuggets OVER 225.5 | Top | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKC/Denver OVER the total. This season's first two games, both at OKC, finished below the number. I'm expecting to see considerably more points here at Denver, this evening. In case you haven't noticed, the Thunder stopped playing defense some time ago. Over their last five games they've allowed 123, 114, 124, 125 and 131 points. That's an average of 123.4 points. Opposing teams have connected on 48.4% of their field goals, during that 5-game stretch. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are averaging 121 points, while connecting on 49.7% of their field goals, over their past five games. They scored 115 or more in all five of those games. The OVER is 15-10-2 here on the season, 9-2-1 the past 12. Look for the Nuggets to put up another big number and for the the Thunder to chip in enough to see the final score finish above the total. |
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03-02-22 | Kings v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 95-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. Both teams have covered the spread in b2b games. The Pelicans victories have arguably been more impressive though. They won outright, by 15 points, at Phoenix. That's no easy task. (Even with that result, the Suns have the best record in the NBA and are tied for the best home record.) Then, the Pelicans followed it up with a 28 point blowout win, at LA. They return home flying high and full of confidence. The Kings also won big in their last game. However, that was against the Thunder, the team with the second worst record in the West. Prior to that, they'd lost four straight. Having lost each of this season's first two meetings, the Pelicans have a score to settle. While the Kings are 1-5 ATS their last six on road games vs. teams with losing home records, the Pelicans are 5-1-1 ATS (or 6-1 ATS) their last seven games vs. teams with losing records, overall. Note that NO has had two days off and also gets tomorrow off. Sacraemento, on the other hand, has had one day off and has a game against San Antonio tomorrow night. With the Kings just 2-8 SU/ATS the past 10 times that they scored 130 or more in their previous game, lay the points with the revenge-minded Pelicans. |
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03-02-22 | Hampton +6 v. High Point | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
Analysis to follow |
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03-01-22 | Warriors +1 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on GSW. While the Warriors had last night off, the T-Wolves are off a hard-fought win at Minnesota. The Cavs battled back hard in the fourth quarter, forcing Minnesota to give extra effort. The last time that the Wolves played the second of b2b games was less than a week ago. They lost by 31 points. In fact, they're 0-3 ATS when playing the second of b2b games this month (all three losses were by double-digits) and they're now 0-5 ATS their last five in that situation. While they're still less than 100% healthy, having just lost to Dallas, the Warriors are going to be extremely hungry. They're 8-3 SU when off an upset loss. Last time that they were off a loss, they bounced back with a 37-point win. Schedule in their favor, I expect them to bounce back, once again. |
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03-01-22 | Miami-OH -2.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 75-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI OHIO. These teams met a week ago, at Miami. The RedHawks were double-digit favorites but lost outright. That will provide them with some added motivation for this one. They've got the superior talent and they don't want to be swept by an inferior opponent. The last time these teams met here was just over a year ago. The RedHawks were laying -6 and they won by 42 points, a 96-54 destruction. Including that result, the RedHawks have won 12 of their last 16 visits here. Even with last week's loss, the Red Hawks are still 19-9 their last 28 against teams with a losing record. With an O/U line in the high 140s, note that CMU is 0-2 SU/ATS when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 145 to 149.5 range. I say the revenge-minded RedHawks elevate their game, en route to a much needed win and cover. |
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02-28-22 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. Morgan State -3.5 | Top | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on MORGAN STATE. The Bears are strong in both the frontcourt and the backcourt. Off b2b wins, I believe that they're peaking at the right time. I believe that they're better than their record suggests and I expect them to be fairly tough to beat once the MEAC Conference Tourney begins. Last time out, they won by seven. Last game here, they won by double-digits. This evening's game represents the Bears' final regular season home game. Six seniors will be honored before the game. Needless to say, they want to win their final game here at Hill Field House. Additional motivation stems from the fact that the Hawks won this season's earlier meeting. The Bears have won 14 of the past 20 meetings here, most recently an 8-point win in February of 2020. While the Hawks average 64 ppg on the road, the Bears average 88 ppg here at home. They'll be able to dictate the tempo and the Hawks won't be able to keep up. Payback time. |
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02-28-22 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 225.5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chicago/Miami UNDER the total. Both teams are certainly capable of putting up big offensive numbers. However, they're both also capable of playing stingy defense. In a battle of the two top teams of the East, I expect to see plenty of defensive intensity tonight. Consider that this season's first two meetings had O/U lines of 209.5 and 209. Those games both finished above the total but they did so barely. The final combined scores were 210 and 211. Needless to say, we're working with a much higher O/U line this evening. In fact, a closer look shows that this is a higher O/U line than any of the past 20 meetings between these teams. Eighteen of the past 19 of those meetings finished with less than 225 combined points and ALL 20 of them finished with 230 or less. While the Heat played a high-scoring OT game last time out, they'd held their previous nine opponents to 111 or fewer points. Five of those nine scored 100 or less. As a result of their high O/U lines, the Bulls have quietly seen four of their past five games finish below the number. Off their loss to Memphis, they're going to be determined to deliver a better defensive effort. While the Heat still have plenty of weapons, they'll be without Lowry, their starting point guard. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting, the final combined score staying below the generously high number. |
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02-27-22 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 230.5 | Top | 124-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on Denver/Portland UNDER the total. These teams played a high-scoring game against each other in mid-January. That brought the 'over' to 3-0 in this season's three meetings. A closer look at those games shows that the O/U lines were all much lower than this one. In fact, the first two games would have both stayed well below this evening's much higher O/U number. I believe that big number is providing us with excellent value. The Nuggets played last night. Their game against the Kings stayed below the number by double-digits. The last time (2/12) that they played the second of b2b games, the final score stayed below the total, finishing with 219. With a couple of small exceptions, they've been consistently keeping teams to 110 or less all month. The Blazers got lit up by the Warriors last game but only managed 95 points themselves. They've now seen the UNDER go 3-0-1 the past four times that they were listed as home underdogs. On the season, the UNDER is 10-6-1 when they played a home game with an O/U line of 220 or more. Expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on MARYLAND. Playing at home and he Buckeyes won this season's first meeting. They also won a close one here last season, their third straight win in the series. Enough's enough. The Terps are stronger than their record suggests and they're healthier than they were early on. They won their last game here and they've had this one circled. Note that they'll honoring the 2002 Championship team today, which will help pack in the fans and which should make for a more raucous environment. Off Thursday's win at Illinois, the Buckeyes could be ripe for a letdown. Note that they're 4-7 ATS after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. That 3-point win at Illinois notwithstanding, the Buckeyes have been mostly mediocre on the road. Prior to last season's loss here, the Terps had beaten the Buckeyes four straight times here. The home team is still 4-1 ATS the past five in the series. I'm happy to grab the points but I see Maryland rising to the occasion and scoring the outright win. |
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02-26-22 | Eastern Washington v. CS Sacramento OVER 141 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Eastern Washington/Sac. State OVER the total. I successfully played on the Hornets in their last game. They rewarded me by 83 points. It was their second straight game where they've hit at least 80, the offense clicking at a better rate than it has all season. Yet, the Hornets are underdogs here. That's because they'll face an Eastern Washington team which has also scored 80 or more in each of its past three games. The Eagles have scored 72 or more in seven straight; they're averaging 77.7 ppg in conference play. They scored 75 in this season's first meeting but the Hornets were unable to keep up. Playing at home, their offense gaining confidence, the Hornets will be able to more effectively trade points with them. The OVER is 8-1 when Eastern Washington, which last played Thursday, played with one day's rest in between games. Look for a relatively high-scoring affair, the OVER moving to 7-1 the past eight times that the Eagles were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. |
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02-26-22 | Wizards v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on CLEVELAND. The Wizards are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off three straight losses, the Cavs are going to be an angry team. Note that all of those losses came on the road. Here at home, the Cavs are 18-9 SU and 17-9-1 ATS, holding visiting teams to only 99.7 points, per game. That's the best mark in the entire NBA. Note that the Cavs are 7-1-1 ATS after playing their previous three or more games on the road. Not only do the Cavs have the venue in their favor but they've also got the schedule working in their favor. They had last night off while the Wizards are off a 2-OT loss against the Spurs. Indeed, this isn't a "typical" b2b spot, as last night's game was extra taxing. Having lost two of this season's three h2h meetings, the Cavs have a score to settle. Expect a double-digit win. |
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02-26-22 | Nevada +7.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEVADA. I've been waiting for this one ever since Wyoming won, at Nevada, last month. The Wolf Pack, 2-1 SU/ATS when attempting to avenge a home loss, have been too. The Cowboys, who lost at CSU on Wednesday, are 0-2 ATS when off a Mountain West loss. In both cases, despite being favored, they've had their hands full the next game. Over the past few weeks, Nevada has quietly been playing very well on the road. Last road game, the Pack won by 30 points. In their previous road game, they won by double-digits, at Utah State. Before that, they lost by only two, at San Diego State. Last season's two games here were both decided by seven points or less. Going back further finds the the Pack have won four of their last seven visits here and that all three of the losses were by seven or less. Expect the revenge-minded Wolf Pack to again play their hosts tough, taking the game down to the wire with an excellent shot at the outright win. |
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02-25-22 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State -1.5 | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARKANSAS STATE. I like how this one sets up for the home team. After playing four straight on the road, the Red Wolves returned home and were upset by Coastal Carolina on Wednesday. They're 4-2 SU/ATS their last six off a conference loss though and a profitable 16-9 ATS their last 25 in that situation. They're 11-3 ATS their last 14 off all SU losses and 20-7-1 ATS their last 28, after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. The Red Wolves are also an outstanding 20-6 ATS the past 2+ seasons, excluding pushes, when playing with one day's rest in between games, 6-1 ATS (7-1 SU) their last eight in that situation. They're going to be fired up to avenge a road loss at App. State. While the Mountaineers are below .500 on the road where they average 65.1 ppg, the Wolves are 9-2 at home, where they avg 75.7 ppg. Lay the small number and expect a win and cover for the revenge-minded Red Wolves. |
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02-25-22 | Raptors v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 93-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. I believe that the break came at the right time for the Hornets. They'd been struggling and the time off will have provided a chance to get healthy, regroup, and recharge. The Raptors may not have appreciated the break so much, as they'd been playing well. Toronto is 3-5 SU/ATS the past eight times it played with three or more day's rest in between games. Note that the Hornets were off b2b OT losses, prior to the break. So, it wasn't like they weren't fighting. Tonight, they play with 'double-revenge,' as the Raptors have taken both this season's meetings. The most recent of those came earlier this month, when the Hornets were really struggling. They'll be looking for some payback here. Note that prior to this season's two games, the Hornets were a perfect 5-0 ATS their previous five against Toronto. The Hornets returned from their Christmas break and promptly won their next game by 24 points. I look for their best effort again this evening, as they move to 3-1 ATS their past four, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. |
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02-24-22 | Montana v. Southern Utah -6 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTHERN UTAH. The Grizzlies won by double-digits when these teams met at Montana. Tonight, playing at home, I expect the revenge-minded Thunderbirds to return the favor. Montana is just 4-9 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 74.7 to 66.5. On the other hand, Southern Utah is 10-3 at home, outscoring teams by a 82.5 to 69.8 average score. The Thunderbirds are 10-7 ATS the past 17 times that they attempted to avenge a road loss. The Grizzlies, who have instate rival Montana State on deck, will be playing their second straight on the road. The last time that they played the second of b2b road games, they lost by a score of 86-63. That was at Idaho State and this is a much tougher venue than that. With the Grizzlies 1-6 ATS their last seven as road underdogs, expect a double-digit win for the revenge-minded home team. |
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02-24-22 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 216 | Top | 129-106 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on Bos/Brooklyn UNDER the total. Both teams entered the break off b2b 'overs.' However, with both teams playing their first game back from the break, I'm expecting points to be hard to come by in this one. With the Nets' stars out, naturally, Boston is favored. That's noteworthy as the UNDER is 28-13 the past 2+ seasons, when the Celtics were listed as favorites. The Nets, who lost the most recent meeting in the series, have seen the UNDER go 11-6-1 their past 18, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. During that span, the UNDER is also 6-2 when they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The Celts have held nine of their past 12 opponents to double-digits in scoring, 10 of those 12 scored 102 or less. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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02-22-22 | Fresno State v. Air Force OVER 117 | Top | 65-40 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on Fresno/AF OVER the total. There are a lot of games being played today. Of them all, this is the lowest O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. It's true that Fresno State has been on an 'under' streak. In fact, off a low-scoring loss against SDSU, they've now seen six straight games stay below the number. Of course, those results are a big part of why we're working with such a low O/U number. Here, however, they'll face an Air Force team which has seen it's past three games all finish above the number. Both teams are on a losing streaks and both will see this game as a potential opportunity to "get healthy" on offense. The Bulldogs have seen the OVER go 14-8 the past 2+ seasons, after scoring 60 or less in their previous game. Meanwhile, during the same span, the Falcons have seen the OVER go 25-15 when off a conf. loss and 14-9 when off three or more consec. losses. Seven straight meetings between these teams have produced a minimum of 125 points. Look for this one to finish above the very low number, the OVER improving to 5-0 the past five times that AF hosted a team with a losing road record. |
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02-22-22 | College of Charleston v. Northeastern | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTHEASTERN. Off three straight road losses, the Huskies will be happy to return home. While they've really struggled to win on the road, they've been respectable here at home. They beat Towson their last time on this floor. The Cougars are off b2b losses of their own. Last time out, they lost a tough 80-77 decision. They give up more than 77 ppg on the road and they're 5-7 ATS their last 12, after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. Playing at home, the Cougars won big in this season's first meeting. The Huskies, 3-1 ATS the last four times that they attemped to avenge a road loss, haven't forgotten. Prior to that, the Huskies had beaten them five straight times. Look for them to bounce back and move to 5-1 ATS their last six in the series. |
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02-21-22 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State OVER 138.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Baylor/Ok. State OVER the total. When these teams met last month, the O/U line was in the 140s. In fact, the past four meetings all had O.U lines in the 140s. This one is in the high 130s. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. While last month's game was low-scoring, the previous five meetings between these teams all finished above the number. Baylor's last two visits here had combined scores of 147 and 143. The Cowboys are off an 82-79 win over Kansas. Admittedly, that score was a little misleading as it went to OT. I'm more focused on the fact that the Cowboys won but failed to cover the spread. That's worth mentioning as the OVER is a perfect 4-0 the past four times that they were off an ATS loss. Also, the OVER is 16-9 the past 25 times that they were off a (SU) conference win. Six of Baylor's nine true road games have finished above the total. The Bears have scored more than 70 points in each of their past four and seven of their past eight. On the season, Baylor averages 73.1 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, OK State averages 73.1 ppg at home. Factoring in the Kansas result, the OVER is 24-10 the last 34 times that the Cowboys faced a team with a winning record, after at least 15 games of the season have been played. |
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02-20-22 | Stony Brook v. Hartford UNDER 146 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on Stony Brook/Hartford UNDER the total. These teams just played a high-scoring game against each other yesterday. Playing each other for the second time in two days, I'm expecting a considerably lower-scoring affair today. Stony Brook scores fewer points per game on the road, than it does at home. Hartford scores (very slightly) less points at home, while also allowing less. The last two meetings between these teams, played at Harftord, finished with 131 and 133 points. In fact, before yesterday, these teams had played six straight 'unders' against each other. None of those six games finished with more than 133 and they averaged just 122. Look for things to return to "normal," as the teams make some defensive adjustments and the final combined score proves lower than many will be expecting. |
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02-19-22 | Long Beach State v. UC-Santa Barbara -4.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on UC SANTA BARBARA. Homecourt means a lot to both these teams. Playing at home, Long Beach State took this season's first meeting. This evening, I expect the revenge-minded Gauchos to return the favor. When playing on the road, the Beach are getting outscored by an average score of 76.7 to 71.2. On the other hand, the Gauchos outscore visiting teams by an average of 76.7 to 59.6. The Gauchos hit a dominant 50.8% of their field goals here while visiting teams only connect on 38% of theirs. Long Beach State has been on an extended ATS winning streak. This will mark a third straight true road game though, the first time LBSU has been in that scheduling situation this season. The first of those came at Hawaii and the most recent was only 48 hours ago. Playing at perhaps the toughest venue in the conference, expect it to catch up to the Beach tonight, the revenge-minded Gauchos pulling away for a double-digit win. |
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02-19-22 | LSU -4.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 75-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on LSU. The Gamecocks are off an exciting OT victory. They won't be able to keep it up against a powerful LSU team which is currently hitting on all cylinders. The Tigers dominated Georgia last time out, their third straight win. Darius Days, who had a double-double for the Tigers commented: "When we have all our pieces, we're very hard to beat." While the Gamecocks are fighting hard, they're still a work in progress and they're not going to be ready for the red hot team which they'll encounter this afternoon. Note that the favorite is 6-1-1 ATS the past eight in the series. Going back further finds that the road team is 12-5-1 ATS the past 18 meeting. This has not been a good role for the Gamecocks; they're 1-4 ATS (0-5 SU) the past five times that they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. The Tigers are 50-9 SU the past 59 times that they were listed as favorites. Expect them to improve on those stats, covering the relatively small number along the way. |
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02-18-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Green Bay OVER 131 | Top | 74-55 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on IPFW/Wisc. Green Bay OVER the total. This is a very low O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. When these teams played earlier this month, at Fort Wayne, they had a reasonable 66 points by halftime. However, scoring slowed in the second; playing on their homecourt, the favored Mastadons were able to slow things down and stifle the Phoenix. Green Bay is now playing at home though and should be able to keep scoring the whole way. The last two games, between these teams, here had combined scores of 173 and 159. The Mastadons have seen the OVER go a profitable 81-51 over the years, in games which had an O/U line, when they were listed as favorites. That includes a 9-3 OVER mark when listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. Note that IPFW has scored 70 or more in five straight including 102 last time out. The OVER is 73-44 (games which had a total) over the years, when the Mastadons had scored 80 or more in their previous game and 7-1 the past eight times that they reached triple-digits in their previous game. They'll put up another relatively big number. This time, however, playing at home, the Phoenix will do a better job of keeping up. Look for that to lead the final combined score proving higher than many will be expecting. |
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02-17-22 | San Diego v. Portland OVER 136 | Top | 60-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on SD/Portland OVER the total. This O/U line is a bit lower than it was when these teams faced each other at San Diego. I feel that's providing us with excellent line value. Consider that SD plays higher-scoring games on the road than it does at home. The Toreros have seen the OVER go 8-3 on the road. Also, Portland plays higher scoring games at home, than it does on the road. In fact, games here are averaging 149.2 points on the season. Happy to push the pace, the Pilots scored 84 last time out, after scoring 86 in their previous game. With SD having won the first meeting, note that the OVER is 12-7, excluding pushes, the past 2+ seasons, when the Pilots were in the revenge role. Games between these teams, played here at Portland, have been flying over the total in recent seasons. Last year's game here produced 148 points. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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02-17-22 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on Philadelphia/Milwaukee UNDER the total. This season's first meeting between these teams had an O/U line of 215. We're working with a much higher O/U number here. I believe that it will prove to be too high. With the Bucks having won the first meeting, note that the UNDER is 12-7 the past 19 times that the 76'ers attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. Even with their recent 'over' streak, the Bucks have still seen the UNDER go 15-7 against teams with a winning record. The 76'ers, meanwhile, have seen the UNDER go 16-6 as underdogs and 10-2 when the O/U line was 220 or greater. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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02-16-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -5 | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE. The Nuggets are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a loss last time out and having dropped three of four, the Warriors are going to be all business tonight. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Nuggets beat them here, just after Christmas. The Warriors have long had their number here though, winning 34 of the past 50 meetings here. Tonight, they'll return to their winning ways in the series. Note that the Warriors are an outstanding 59-39 ATS in the 'revenge' role the past 2+ seasons, 12-5 ATS (15-2 SU) their last 17. Also, note that GSW didn't have Klay Thompson for the first meeting. The Nuggets are off a 10-point win. However, that game was played at Denver and it came against lowly Orlando. Big difference from what they'll encounter here. Also, note that the Nuggets are 6-8-1 ATS their last 15, when off a double-digit win and 27-38-2 ATS in that situation the past 2+ seasons. While the Nuggets did manage the upset here earlier, they're only mediocre (16-15) on the road while the Warriors are dominant (26-5) at home. The Nuggets get outscored (slightly) on the road while the Warriors outscore visiting teams by an average of 113.5 to 101.3. Obviously, Jokic is a load. He'll put up big numbers, as per usual. Tonight, however, that won't be enough. Curry and co. resume their dominance in the series with a double-digit victory. |
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02-16-22 | Kennesaw State v. Florida Gulf Coast -3.5 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORDIA GULF GOAST. I like how this one sets up for the home team. The Eagles are off an OT win, the type of victory which can provide a team with positive momentum. That was their fourth straight victory. Last time that they were off an OT win, they won their next game by double-digits. On the other hand, the Owls are off a tough 2-point loss, the type of defeat which can be deflating to a team. The Owls won 77-53 in this season's earlier meeting. The Eagles don't get blown out like that often and they've had this game circled, as a result. With a current O/U line of 146 or 146.5, note that the Owls are just 4-7 ATS (0-11 SU!) the past 11 times that they played a road game with an O/U line in the 145 to 149.5 range. During the same span, the Eagles were 6-2 ATS (8-0 SU!) when playing a home game with an O/U line in the same range. Payback time. |
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02-15-22 | San Jose State v. Nevada -14.5 | Top | 72-81 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEVADA. Both teams have struggled lately. The Wolf Pack have considerably more talent though and they got back on track in a big way last game. They went on the road and beat Utah State by double-digits, avenging an earlier ugly home loss. That's the type of victory which can provide postitive momentum and I expect that to be the case here. The Spartans, on the other hand, are off yet another double-digit loss. The worst team in the conference has now dropped 12 straight, the vast majority of those losses were of the "blowout variety." These teams will play again, at San Jose State, on Thursday. Knowing this to be the case and with their own losing streak only recently finished, the Wolf Pack will keep the pedal to the metal the entire way in this one. Laying -15.5, the Wolfpack beat the Spartans by 18 in the last meeting. I see an even bigger margin of victory happening tonight. |
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02-15-22 | Hornets +6.5 v. Wolves | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. The Hornets won big in this season's earlier meeting, at Charlotte. I expect them to give their hosts all that they can handle again this evening. The Wolves were fortunate to eke out a cover at Indiana on Sunday. This will be their first game back home from a road trip. Note that they play tomorrow, too. The Hornets, who have tomorrow off, have had the past couple of days off. They last played on 2/12. That's noteworthy as they're 5-1 ATS the past six times that they played with two day's rest in between games, 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 in that situation. The Hornets, who hammered the Wolves here last season, won by 22 the last time that they played on the road. In fact, they're 3-0 ATS on the road since 1/26, two big wins and a cover at Boston. They score 115.4 ppg on the road compared to Minnesota's 109.2 at home. Grab the points. |
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02-15-22 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Clev/Atlanta UNDER the total. The Cavs give up fewer points per game (102.1) than any team in the NBA. I played on them to go 'under' in their last game. They held the 76'ers to just 103 points, while scoring only 93 themselves. Note that the UNDER is 44-24-3 the past 2+ seasons, when Cleveland had allowed 105 or fewer points in its previous game. With that game at Philadelphia occurring on Saturday, it's also worth mentioning that the UNDER is a perfect 6-0 this season, when the Cavs played with two day's rest in between games. The last time that the Cavs played with two day's rest in between games, they combined with the Spurs for just 197 points, a game which had an O/U line of 218. The time before that? They combined with the Thunder for only 181, a game which had an O/U line of 207.5. The Hawks scored only 95 points last game, a 105-95 loss at Boston. Including that result, the UNDER is 6-3 their past nine, when facing a team with a winning record. Cleveland's last two visits here both had O/U lines in the 220s. Yet, those games had final scores of 100-82 and 96-91. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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02-14-22 | Blazers v. Bucks UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on Portland/Milwaukee UNDER the total. This is a very high O/U number. With all due respect to the champs, I believe it'll prove to be too high. These teams recently played a high-scoring game, at Portland. Since then, however, the Blazers have seen each of their last three games finish below the total. All of those were at home. Now, the Blazers play on the road for the first time in nearly two weeks. Their last two road games had scores of 99-94 and 98-81. The Bucks, meanwhile, play their first home game since 2/1. Their last game on this floor produced only 210 points. Note that the UNDER is 6-1 the past seven times that they played their previous three or more games on the road. The UNDER is 17-11 in Milwaukee home games on the season. While the Bucks have played lower-scoring games at home than on the road, the opposite is true of the Blazers. They've played lower-scoring games on the road, than at Portland. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting, the UNDER improving to 16-6-1 the past 23 times that the Bucks were coming off three or more consec. games which finished over the total. |
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02-14-22 | South Carolina State v. Morgan State -2.5 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on MORGAN STATE. Admittedly, the Bears have underachieved so far this season. There's a long way to go though. Their sub-par results have kept this line very low, despite the fact that they're (arguably) a more talented team, playing at home. The Bears already won the first meeting, at South Carolina State. Remember, Morgan State was the preseason favorite to win the conference with the #1 ranked backcourt and #2 ranked frontcourt. While the Bulldogs are averaging a respectable 70.6 ppg on the road, the Bears are outscoring visiting teams by a 90.6 to 69 average score, here at Morgan State. The Bulldogs have come a long way from last year but they're still not ready to go on the road and beat the Bears. Lay the small number. |
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02-13-22 | Wolves v. Pacers +6.5 | Top | 129-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. The Pacers painfully blew the cover in Friday's loss to the Cavs. Despite the fact that they ultimately lost by seven, I liked what I saw from the new lineup. Now, they've got a game under their belt, I'm expecting their best effort this afternoon. The T-Wolves have been a bit of a streaky team. Currently, they're at the end of a road trip and off b2b double-digit losses. They allowed 132 and 134 points in those games. That's noteworthy as the Wolves are only 10-20-1 ATS (10-21 SU) the past 31 times that they allowed 130 or more points in their previous game. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 21-39-1 ATS in that situation. This season's earlier meeting, played at Minnesota, came down to the wire. The Wolves won by two. The previous meeting, which was the most recent here at Indiana, was also very close. The Pacers won by four. They're 4-1 SU/ATS the past five in the series. Though they've struggled against teams from the East, the Pacers are a profitable 15-6 ATS against Western Conference teams. Grab the points. |
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02-12-22 | Cavs v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While both clubs are playing their second game in two days, not all b2b spots are equal. The Cavs had to fight really hard to come back to win at Indiana last night. Stepping up in class to face the 76'ers, I expect last night's game to take a toll on them today. The 76'ers also played last night. However, they had an easier win than Cleveland. Also, they didn't have to travel at all, as their game was here. Additionally and importantly, the 76'ers had two nights off, prior to the b2b situation. That's not the case for the Cavs, as they played Wednesday. So, this makes it three games in four days for Cleveland but not for Philadelphia. The 76'ers won by 20 the last time that these teams met. Schedule in their favor, I see them also winning this one by double-digits. |
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02-11-22 | Cavs v. Pacers +6.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. The Pacers will look a lot different tonight. I expect the new additions to provide an immediate spark. These teams just met at Cleveland, on 2/6. Playing at home, the Cavs got the win and cover. The Cavs also beat the Pacers (by only four) when the teams played at Cleveland, on 1/2. The revenge-minded Pacers have finally have homecourt in their favor tonight though; they've had their way with the Cavs here over the years. They've had the past couple of days off and they also get tomorrow off. On the other hand, the Cavs played Wednesday and they've got a big showdown with the 76'ers on the deck tomorrow night. With the Pacers a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS after allowing 130 or more points in their previous game, I'm grabbing the points |
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02-11-22 | Monmouth v. Manhattan +5.5 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on MANHATTAN. The Hawks won big when these teams met at Monmouth. Playing on their home floor, I expect the revenge-minded Jaspers to give them all that they can handle. Note that two meetings here last season were both very close, decided by two and five points, respectively. The Hawks haven't been playing well lately. They're 1-4 ATS their last five games, hitting only 37.5% of their field goals, during that 5-game stretch. Last time out, the Hawks got destroyed 83-58 by Marist, a team which Manhattan recently defeated. (The Hawks were also hammered by Marist earlier in the season and followed up the loss by losing their next game.) On the season, the Hawks average 68 ppg on the road, while hitting 43% of their field goals. On the other hand, the Jaspers average 75.7 ppg at home while connecting on 49.4% of their field goals. The Hawks are 4-7-1 ATS their last 12 as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6.5 range. During that span, the Jaspers are 4-2 ATS after having failed to cover their previous three games. Grab the points with the revenge-minded home team. |
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02-10-22 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 232.5 | Top | 107-131 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Milwaukee/Phoenix UNDER the total. Needless to say, both teams are capable of putting up big points. This is a very high O/U number though and a finals rematch should bring some added playoff like intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Keep in mind that five of the six games in the Finals finished with 226 or fewer combined points. The most recent game finished with just 203. The champs are playing the final game of a 4-game road trip. While the first three games finished above the total, the UNDER is 15-5-1 the last 21 times that the Bucks had seen their previous three games finish above the total. Also, the UNDER is 6-0 the past six times that the Bucks played their previous three games on the road. The Suns' recent games have also came on the road; the UNDER is 6-2 when their previous three games were away from Phoenix. The Suns are one of the stingiest teams in the league, as they're near the top of the rankings in points allowed and defensive field goal (and 3-point) percentage. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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02-10-22 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State OVER 124 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on Georgia Southern / App State Over the total. This is a very low O/U line. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Note that the Mountaineers, who average more than 71 ppg at home, have seen the OVER go 23-10 the past 33 times that they played a game with an O/U line in the 120s. Georgia Southern conf. games average 129.5 points. App State's conf games average 131. This season's earlier meeting had an O/U line of 131 and finished with 132. Four of the past five meetings have finished with at least 129 points. This one will, too. |
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02-09-22 | Pittsburgh v. Florida State -10.5 | Top | 56-51 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on FSU. Both teams are on 4-game losing streaks. Playing at home, Florida State will be the team that snaps its skid. Due largely to injury issues, the Seminoles have under-achieved so far this season. This is still a really well-coached and talented team though. The same cannot be said of Pittsburgh. I expect a date with the Panthers, 0-5 ATS their last five as road underdogs, to prove to be just what the doctor ordered. Note that all five of those road losses came by a minimum of 13 points, most by a lot more than that. Yes, the Noles remain banged-up. They're a deep team though and that depth will serve them well here. Keep in mind that the Panthers scored only 47 points in getting blown out last time. As Pitt coach Jeff Capel acknowledged after that game: "... It's not going to get easier ... " While the Panthers average less than 60 ppg on the road, the Noles still average a respectable 76.6 ppg at home. The home team is 3-0-1 ATS the past four in the series. The Noles were laying -10.5 for the last meeting here and won by 15. Desperate for a victory, they won't let this opportunity slip by. Expect another blowout. |
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02-08-22 | Wolves v. Kings +4.5 | Top | 134-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on SACRAMENTO. The T-Wolves just faced the Pistons in b2b games. To their credit, they won and covered both. However, both games were a lot closer than the scores indicated; the Wolves were arguably fortunate to cover in both. Either way, games against the Pistons tend to make teams look a little better than they actually are. I feel that the Wolves are a little over-valued in this one and I expect the Kings to give them all that they can handle. The Kings are quietly playing well themselves. They're 3-0 ATS in February, 2-0 SU their last two home games. They've got more home wins than Minnesota has road wins. They're also 5-2 ATS when playing with two day's rest in between games. They beat the Wolves the last time that the teams met here and I see them scoring the upset again this evening. |
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02-08-22 | Air Force v. UNLV -10 | Top | 44-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on UNLV. The Falcons are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a blowout loss at Utah State, the Rebels will be looking to take out their anger on someone. They're 3-1 ATS/4-0 SU off a conference loss. The Utah State loss was the Rebels' third double-digit defeat since 12/4. After the first, they bounced back with a 20-point home win. After the second, they bounced back and beat a strong Colorado State team, on the road, by 14. Air Force, which is off b2b double-digit losses and which is averaging only 56 ppg on the road, is just 1-6 ATS the past seven times it was a road underdog in the 6.5 to 9 point range. The Rebels beat Nevada by 11 the last time that they were on this floor. They beat Air Force 80-52 the last time that the teams played here. Knowing that their next two are on the road, look for the Rebels to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way. |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -10 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTHERN COLORADO. These teams just met on Saturday, at Northern Arizona. The Lumberjacks had a great shot at holding serve at home, as they had a 5-point lead at halftime. Ultimately, however, the Bears won by three. Having come that close, only to fall short, stings and will take a toll on the Lumberjacks. They had their opportunity to salvage a split in this 2-game home-and-home series but they failed to capitalize. Now, that opportunity has passed them by. The Bears are the superior team and they're considerably stronger at home. They average 82.2 ppg (48.8% field goals) here. The Lumberjacks, on the other hand, average 62.7 ppg (38.6% field goals) on the road. With an O/U line currently in the high 140s, note that the Lumberjacks are 0-4-1 ATS (0-5 SU) the past five times that they played a road game with an O/U line ranging from 145 to 149.5. The Bears had their wake-up call Saturday. Tonight, they'll deliver a blowout. |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. These teams met on 1/25, at Toronto. Playing at home, the Raptors won and covered. With this evening's rematch being played at Charlotte, I expect the revenge-minded Hornets to return the favor. Yes, the Raptors have played well since the earlier meeting and they're off a big win. Those results have been factored in to the line though as we're now able to get Charlotte as an underdog, as a result. Also, note that Toronto is just 3-8 ATS when off a double-digit win. The Hornets were -2.5 point favorites the last time that they hosted the Raptors. They won by 10. On the season, the Hornets are 14-10 (15-9 ATS) at home, the Raptors are 12-11 on the road. A few recent losses notwithstanding, the Hornets are 17-7 ATS their last 24 against teams with a winning record. The Hornets are also 9-5 ATS off a double-digit loss and 8-4-1 ATS (9-4 SU) after having allowed 105 or fewer points, in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and cool off the Raptors. |
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02-07-22 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 123.5 | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on USF/Temple OVER the total. Recent low-scoring results have rewarded us with a very low O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. These teams met three times in 2021. All three meetings had O/U lines in the 130s. Those games averaged more than 138 points. While USF games have admittedly been low-scoring, they're still averaging more than 121 points. Add that to Temple's 132.5 average score and we get a combined average higher than the O/U line. Importantly, it should be noted that USF scores have been higher since the Bulls hit conference play. Their AAC games averaging more than 129 points. While the Owls allowed only 58 points in Saturday's home win, they've seen the OVER go 4-1 after allowing 60 or fewer points. In a game where both teams should be fighting (scoring) until the final buzzer, look for those 'over' stats to improve this evening. |
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02-06-22 | Bucks v. Clippers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 137-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on Milwaukee/LA UNDER the total. The Bucks are off a high-scoring game last night. That was against defensively-challenged Portland though. Tonight, however, the defending champs will be facing a far stingier opponent. The Clippers allow 106.9 ppg and the Bucks have seen the UNDER go 18-9 when facing an opponent which allows 108 or fewer points per game. I expect a relatively low-scoring affair. The Bucks have seen the UNDER go 7-2 when playing the second of b2b games; the UNDER is also 14-2 when they were coming off a 'non-conference' game. While the Bucks are playing their second game in two days, the Clippers had the past couple of days off. Therefore, its worth noting that the UNDER is 5-1 when LA played with two day's rest in between games. Last season's first meeting also came in February. It had an O/U line of 231 and finished with 205. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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02-06-22 | Pelicans v. Rockets +5 | Top | 120-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. Knowing that they'll face these same Pelicans again on Monday, at New Orleans, the Rockets are going to go all out to "hold serve" at home this evening. They already hammered the Pelicans in this season's earlier meeting here and they won their last game here (Cleveland) by double-digits. I backed them in that one and feel that this is another strong spot to do so. The Pelicans are at the end of a road trip. Even with a couple of recent wins, they're still 9-19 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 109.3 to 103. I noted the following before the win over the Cavs: "Admittedly, the Rockets have been inconsistent. However, they've had their moments. Recall the earlier 7-game winning streak. They've beaten teams like the Bulls, Nets and Jazz. When they're fully motivated and at their best, they can actually be pretty good. I expect that to be the case this evening ..." In the front end of a home-and-home set, I feel the same way here. The Pelicans are only 6-10 ATS against teams with a losing record and they're just 5-10 ATS (3-12 SU!) when playing a game with an O/U line above 220. Grab the points but expect the outright win. |
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02-06-22 | Washington v. Stanford -4.5 | Top | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on STANFORD. While they came up short vs. Washington State last time out, the Cardinal have won three of their last five. They nearly beat the Huskies up in Seattle. Washington ultimately won by three points. Catching them on their home floor, I expect the revenge-minded Cardinal to get some payback. The game in Seattle had an O/U line in the low 140s. With today's rematch being played at Stanford, where a stingy Cardinal team can more effectively dictate the pace, the O/U line is in the mid 130s. That's noteworthy as Washington is an ugly 11-27 ATS the past 2+ seasons, when playing a game with an O/U line in the 130s. Note that Washington allows 76.6 ppg on the road while Stanford allows 66.4 ppg at home. While the Huskies won at Cal last time out, they lost by 14, the last time that they were off a road win. The Cardinal, 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS its last three when attempting to avenge a road loss, have dominated the Huskies here for years. They're 4-1 SU/ATS the past five meetings overall and they won the most recent meeting here at Stanford by 16. I'm expecting them to pull away for another win and cover this afternoon. |
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02-05-22 | Thunder v. Kings -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on SACRAMENTO. The home team has taken both meetings so far this season. The Thunder won by two at OKC. That was followed by a 16-point win by the Kings, here at Sacramento. The previous two games in the series, here at Sacramento, also resulted in big wins for the Kings. Sacramento won by 16 and 28 points. Tonight, in addition to having the venue in their favor, the Kings also have the schedule working for them. They had last night off while the Thunder are off a win up in Portland. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Thunder will also be playing their third game in the past four days. It's this type of tough scheduling spot where the injury to Gilgeous-Alexander (and others) will catch up to them. Playing the second of b2b games, the Kings lost (but covered) at Golden State last time out. No shame in that. Prior to that, in their last home game, they beat Brooklyn by double-digits. Schedule in their favor, I'm expecting another double-digit win tonight. |
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02-05-22 | Navy v. Loyola Maryland OVER 125.5 | Top | 56-55 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on Navy/Loyola MD OVER the total. Admittedly, both these teams can be pretty stingy. That's factored into the low O/U line, of course. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that they both still average nearly 70 points per game. The Midshipmen have seen the OVER go 7-4 on the road and that includes a 4-2 OVER mark in road games when the O/U line was in the 120s. Off their fourth loss in the Patriot League play, its noteworthy that the OVER is a perfect 3-0 when the Midshipmen were off a conference loss. After those previous three times that they were off a conf. loss, their next game had scores of 72-64, 74-73, 81-63. Each of those finished comfortably above the total. These teams combined for 144 last March. The most recent meeting here at Loyola had a final score of 73-67. The previous meeting here before that had a score of 79-73. All those finished well above the number, too. More of the same today. |
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Ben Burns Basketball Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic OVER 215.5 | Top | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
03-21-22 | Wolves v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue UNDER 134.5 | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
03-20-22 | Thunder v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -3 | Top | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
03-20-22 | Florida v. Xavier -2.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
03-19-22 | Lakers v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
03-19-22 | Michigan v. Tennessee OVER 135.5 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor UNDER 149.5 | Top | 93-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
03-18-22 | Grizzlies v. Hawks +6 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
03-18-22 | Virginia Tech v. Texas | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue OVER 143.5 | Top | 56-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
03-17-22 | Akron v. UCLA -13.5 | Top | 53-57 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 35 m | Show |
03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
03-17-22 | Georgia State v. Gonzaga OVER 148.5 | Top | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
03-16-22 | Kent State v. Southern Utah +1.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
03-16-22 | Suns v. Rockets +11 | Top | 129-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
03-15-22 | Pistons v. Heat -13 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
03-15-22 | Princeton v. VCU OVER 138 | Top | 79-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show |
03-14-22 | Wizards v. Warriors UNDER 226 | Top | 112-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
03-14-22 | Wolves v. Spurs +4 | Top | 149-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
03-13-22 | Memphis +4 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
03-12-22 | Pacers +5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
03-12-22 | Cornell v. Princeton -6 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
03-11-22 | Wizards v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
03-11-22 | Connecticut v. Villanova -3 | Top | 60-63 | Push | 0 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
03-11-22 | Miami-FL v. Duke UNDER 150.5 | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
03-10-22 | Washington v. USC UNDER 142.5 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
03-10-22 | Miami-OH +7 v. Kent State | Top | 75-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
03-09-22 | Prairie View A&M +1.5 v. Alcorn State | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
03-09-22 | Celtics v. Hornets +7.5 | Top | 115-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
03-09-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State UNDER 139.5 | Top | 73-67 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
03-08-22 | Chicago State v. Utah Valley UNDER 132.5 | Top | 47-69 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
03-08-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies UNDER 232 | Top | 111-132 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
03-08-22 | Marshall -3 v. Florida International | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
03-07-22 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 136 | Top | 57-43 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
03-07-22 | College of Charleston -1.5 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
03-07-22 | Bulls +7 v. 76ers | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
03-06-22 | Georgia State v. Appalachian State OVER 128 | Top | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
03-06-22 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | Top | 122-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
03-05-22 | Denver v. North Dakota State -8.5 | Top | 62-82 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
03-05-22 | Colorado v. Utah -1.5 | Top | 84-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
03-05-22 | Kings v. Mavs OVER 224.5 | Top | 113-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
03-04-22 | Wolves v. Thunder +8.5 | Top | 138-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
03-04-22 | Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 50-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
03-03-22 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
03-03-22 | Bulls v. Hawks +5 | Top | 124-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
03-03-22 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State -5.5 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
03-02-22 | Thunder v. Nuggets OVER 225.5 | Top | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
03-02-22 | Kings v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 95-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
03-02-22 | Hampton +6 v. High Point | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
03-01-22 | Warriors +1 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
03-01-22 | Miami-OH -2.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 75-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
02-28-22 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. Morgan State -3.5 | Top | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
02-28-22 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 225.5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
02-27-22 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 230.5 | Top | 124-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
02-26-22 | Eastern Washington v. CS Sacramento OVER 141 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
02-26-22 | Wizards v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
02-26-22 | Nevada +7.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
02-25-22 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State -1.5 | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
02-25-22 | Raptors v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 93-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
02-24-22 | Montana v. Southern Utah -6 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
02-24-22 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 216 | Top | 129-106 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
02-22-22 | Fresno State v. Air Force OVER 117 | Top | 65-40 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
02-22-22 | College of Charleston v. Northeastern | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
02-21-22 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State OVER 138.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
02-20-22 | Stony Brook v. Hartford UNDER 146 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
02-19-22 | Long Beach State v. UC-Santa Barbara -4.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
02-19-22 | LSU -4.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 75-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
02-18-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Green Bay OVER 131 | Top | 74-55 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
02-17-22 | San Diego v. Portland OVER 136 | Top | 60-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
02-17-22 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
02-16-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -5 | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
02-16-22 | Kennesaw State v. Florida Gulf Coast -3.5 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
02-15-22 | San Jose State v. Nevada -14.5 | Top | 72-81 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
02-15-22 | Hornets +6.5 v. Wolves | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
02-15-22 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
02-14-22 | Blazers v. Bucks UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
02-14-22 | South Carolina State v. Morgan State -2.5 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
02-13-22 | Wolves v. Pacers +6.5 | Top | 129-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
02-12-22 | Cavs v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
02-11-22 | Cavs v. Pacers +6.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
02-11-22 | Monmouth v. Manhattan +5.5 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
02-10-22 | Bucks v. Suns UNDER 232.5 | Top | 107-131 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
02-10-22 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State OVER 124 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
02-09-22 | Pittsburgh v. Florida State -10.5 | Top | 56-51 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
02-08-22 | Wolves v. Kings +4.5 | Top | 134-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
02-08-22 | Air Force v. UNLV -10 | Top | 44-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -10 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
02-07-22 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 123.5 | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
02-06-22 | Bucks v. Clippers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 137-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
02-06-22 | Pelicans v. Rockets +5 | Top | 120-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
02-06-22 | Washington v. Stanford -4.5 | Top | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
02-05-22 | Thunder v. Kings -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
02-05-22 | Navy v. Loyola Maryland OVER 125.5 | Top | 56-55 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |