Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -100 | 54 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. The Nets made it look easy in Game 2. The 125-86 beating they put on the Bucks was embarrassing. I'm not ready to just hand them the series though and I don't believe that the Bucks are either. Remember, the Nets were 21-17 on the road while the Bucks were 28-10 at home. The Nets outscored teams by 2.7 points on the road; the Bucks outscored visiting teams by 8.3 points. The home team won all three games in the regular season. The most recent one here saw the Bucks win by seven. Harden remains out. Jeff Green is also out. Note that the Nets were 0-2 ATS this season, after allowing less than 90 points. The last time it happed, they lost outright against the Bulls their next game. The Bucks are 22-8 SU and 18-11-1 ATS the past 30 times that they were off a double-digit loss. Even if they can't come back to win the series, this is their game. |
|||||||
06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 223 | Top | 98-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on Denver/Phoenix UNDER the total. While Game 1 snuck over the number, I'm expecting a lower-scoring Game 2. The Suns are playing great defense right now. They've allowed an average of just 95.5 their past four games, never giving up more than 105. They've allowed less than 110 in all seven of their playoff games, holding their opponents to a 42.2% field goal percentage. In other words, if Denver wants to compete, its going to have to elevate its own defense. Game 1 notwithstanding, Nugget road games are lower-scoring than Nugget home games. Look for the Suns to continue their hard work on defense, while the Nuggets improve defensively themselves, the UNDER improving to 9-4 the past 13 times that Denver had seen its previous three games fall below the total. |
|||||||
06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Trae Young and the Hawks have been great in these playoffs. Tonight, however, they're walking into a hornet's nest. The 76'ers have paid their dues the past few years and they feel that this is their time. They earned the #1 seed by playing hard all season. While the Clippers pulled it off against the Mavs, the 76ers absolutely do not want to have to come back from an 0-2 hole, after dropping the first two at home. They're 9-2-1 ATS when off an upset loss and they'll be bringing all they've got tonight. Note that the Hawks are just 6-9 SU/ATS their last 15 when coming off an upset. While Atlanta has shown that it won't be an easy series, I say Philly pulls away and wins this one by double-digits. |
|||||||
06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 233.5 | Top | 86-125 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on Milwaukee/Brooklyn OVER the total. With Harden out and with Game 1 having finished below the total, we're working with a lower O/U number for Game 2. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Even without Harden, the Nets are explosive. Even with the Game 1 result, the OVER is still a healthy 27-16 in Bucks' games where the O/U line was 230 or more. That includes a 13-5 OVER mark when the O/U line was 230 or more and the Bucks were on the road. As for the Nets, they've seen the OVER go 4-1 the past five times that they were leading in a playoff series. Even after Game 1, the Nets' last five games are still averaging more than 240 combined points. Meanwhile, Milwaukee road games average more than 233. I see both teams putting up a big number and the final combined score finishing above the total. |
|||||||
06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | Top | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. As you're likely aware, the road team has won all six games in this series. That's the first time that has ever happened. I say this will NOT be the first time that the road team wins all seven games. The Mavs had their chance to close the deal on Friday and they failed to do so. Kawhi elevated his game and the Clippers elevated their team defense. I believe that they've seized the momentum and I expect to see more of the same in Game 7. In Game 6, LA had its worst 3-point shooting percentage since Game 1. Yet, because of the extra intensity on defense, still found a way. While homecourt may not have meant anything so far, I'd still rather be playing Game 7 at home. So, would the Clippers, who have been tough here all year. Look for Kawhi and co. to dig deep and get it done, picking up the cover along the way. |
|||||||
06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. Sometimes you need to lose, before you can win. The Bucks have stumbled in the playoffs in recent years and were upset by the Heat last season. This year, they looked to again be in some trouble in Game 1 against the Heat. However, they weathered the storm and won that game. That seemed to take some of the pressure off, as they dominated the rest of the series. While the Nets are obviously loaded, the Bucks are a tough matchup for them. Milwaukee already won both meetings in May. Also, note that the Nets' last two wins against the Bucks were both by three points or less. The Bucks typically play well with a layoff in between games; they're 12-2 SU the past 14 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. Expect them to give the Nets all they can handle with a great shot at the outright win. |
|||||||
06-04-21 | Clippers -148 v. Mavs | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing LA on the moneyline. As you've probably seen or heard, homecourt hasn't meant much in this series. In fact, the road team has won all five games. Season on the line, I feel that the Clippers will continue that run of road success on Friday. Yes, I do absolutely expect them to cover the spread. However, keep in mind that the last game was decided by only five and that four of the five games were decided by 10 or less. In this case, in what could potentially be another close one, not having to worry about anything except winning is worth the relatively reasonable price. The Clippers are 35-15 SU the past 50 times that they were off an upset loss as a favorite. During the same span, the Mavs were only 14-27 SU when off an upset win as an underdog. I say LA digs deep and gets it done. |
|||||||
06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Phoenix OVER the total. At home, facing elimination, the Lakers aren't going to be as bad as they were in Game 5. They'll score a lot more than they did Tuesday. That said, slowing down the Suns is a different matter. Phoenix is moving the ball around extremely well right now. After scoring 115 last game - and it could have been more if the Lakers had pressed them - the Suns' offense is clicking and the shooters are full of confidence. Note that the OVER is 25-12 when the Suns had scored 115 or more in their previous game, 16-7 when they were off a double-digit win. Excluding a push, the Lakers have seen the OVER go a profitable 31-19 the past 50 times that they were trailing in a playoff series. |
|||||||
06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 225.5 | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis/Utah UNDER the total. While this series hasn't treated me well thus far, that won't stop me from grabbing value where I see it. The O/U lines keep getting higher and at some point, the defenses are finally going to show up. I expect tonight to be that night. The Grizzlies have still seen the UNDER go 47-31-1 the past few seasons, after allowing 115 or more points in their previous game. During that span, the UNDER is also 19-14 when they were off three or more consecutive losses. Remember, the Jazz only allow 105 ppg here. I say they flex their defensive muscles and that this turns out to be the lowest scoring game of the series yet. |
|||||||
06-01-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 207 | Top | 85-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Phoenix OVER the total. This has been a low-scoring series. That has helped in providing us with a low O/U number. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that the O/U line for the first game was 214 and they've been gradually getting lower. Also, remember that the Suns had seen nine of their previous 10 games, prior to this series, finish above the total. The last two times that the Lakers were off a loss, the next game finished above the total. Even with the injuries, these teams can still score. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER moving to 6-3 the past nine times that the Suns were off an upset win as an underdog. |
|||||||
06-01-21 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on Brooklyn/Boston UNDER the total. Obviously, the Nets are capable of putting up a huge number. They did so last game. That result has caused the O/U line to climb from what it was. That said, I feel this total will prove to be too high. The series is very likely over. Tatum didn't have the help to being with and further injuries have sealed the deal. While Boston will do everything it can on defense, I see the Nets eventually pulling ahead. Once they do so, they should be content to slow the pace. Keep in mind that the first two games in Brooklyn averaged 217.5 points. Going back further finds the UNDER at 9-3 the last 12 times that the Celtics were on the road in this series. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 210 | Top | 100-92 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on Phoenix/LA OVER the total. We're working with a lower O/U number than we were last game. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that Laker home games are still averaging 218.6 points on the season. That's considerably more than LA road games. Phoenix road games, meanwhile, are averaging 224.8 points. That's more than the Suns' home games. The Suns have seen the OVER go 6-1 when playing with two day's rest in between games. Going back further, the OVER is 21-11 the past 32 times that Phoenix played with two day's rest. During that span, the OVER is also 37-28 when the Suns were off a double-digit loss. The last game still got to 204, despite only 28 points being scored in the second quarter. I'm not anticipating any quarters with less than 30 in this one. That being said, look for the final combined score to finish above the relatively low number. |
|||||||
05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on Utah/Memphis UNDER the total. Off an extremely high-scoring Game 2, we're now working with the highest O/U line of the series, thus far. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. With the series shifting to Memphis, note that the Grizzlies have played considerably lower-scoring games at home, than they have on the road. In addition to the change in venues, note that the teams have had the past couple of days off. Therefore, its worth mentioning that the UNDER is 7-3 when Utah played with two day's rest in between games and 5-1 when Memphis did so. The UNDER is 3-0 the past three times that the Jazz played here, scores of 218, 197 and 213. Going back further, the UNDER is 12-1 Utah's last 13 trips here; the lone 'over' finishing with 218, less than tonight's number. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics +7 | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Admittedly, the Nets have looked very good. Beating them won't be easy. However, lets keep things in perspective. The Nets won both games at home, as they were supposed to. However, they're now on the road; they're road record isn't as good as Boston's home record. The Celtics, 6-2 ATS when playing with two day's rest, are very well-coached and battle tested. They're still 7-3 ATS (8-2 SU) their last 10 first round playoff games. I backed the Celtics in their last game here; they stepped up and hammered the Wizards by 18 points, a dominant defensive effort. I expect them to be at their very best again Friday and am grabbing all those generous points. |
|||||||
05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | Top | 129-141 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis/Utah UNDER the total. Game 1 started out very low-scoring; only 92 points were scored in the first half. Things got crazy in the second half though, particularly in the final few minutes. That sent the final combined score over the total. That result has helped us here, as we're now working with a higher number than we were for Game 1. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. Off the Game 1 loss, the Jazz will be doing their best to clamp down on defense tonight. The UNDER is 7-1 the past eight times that they attempted to avenge a home loss, 3-1-1 the past five times that they were trailing in a playoff series. Memphis showed how tough it can be on defense in the final game against the Warriors and the previous one against the Spurs. The Grizzlies haven't allowed more than 113 points in any of their last 10 games. The UNDER is 5-0 the past five times that the Grizzlies played with two day's rest in between games. Expect those stats to improve tonight. |
|||||||
05-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 216 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis/Utah UNDER the total. I was fortunate to win with the 'over' in the Grizzlies' last game. That game would have never come close to going 'over' without OT; the Grizzlies played outstanding defense. They did so against the Spurs in the previous game, too. I had the 'under' in that one and there was nothing lucky about the victory. The final score of 196 stayed below the number by more than 20. Tonight, take their new defensive intensity to face one of the top defenses in the league. Utah allows the third fewest points per game in the NBA while holding opposing teams to a 44.7% field goal percentage, second best in the NBA. Indeed, the Jazz are right near the top in nearly all defensive categories. The most recent meeting (3/31) stayed below the total, despite an extremely high-scoring (67 points) fourth quarter. Look for this one to do the same, the UNDER improving to 10-6 when the Grizzlies were off an upset victory. |
|||||||
05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on the LA CLIPPERS. The Clippers are the more complete team in this matchup and I expect them to remind everyone of that in Game 1. Doncic is a great offensive player. Kawhi Leonard, however, is a champion. The Clippers' biggest star plays defense while the Mavs' top guy often does not. To be fair, Doncic has actually gotten much better at defense. However, he's not in Leonard's class. The Clippers average more points per game than the Mavs and they allow less per game. The Clippers are 19-11 ATS their past 30 against winning teams and 6-3 ATS (7-2 SU) their last nine, when playing with three day's rest in between games. While I'll happily take Leonard and George on their home floor against Doncic and Porzingis, its the Clippers' depth which really gives them an edge. They've got the better role players and more options off the bench. The Clippers won and covered in Game 1 in last year's playoffs against the Mavs, a 118-110 win as a -6.5 point favorite. I expect them to pull away for an even bigger win Saturday night. |
|||||||
05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 221.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis/GSW OVER the total. I won with the 'under' when the Grizzlies played the Spurs. So, I'm well aware that they're off a low-scoring game. The Warriors are a different type of team though; they won't be able to shut down Curry. As for Curry and co, they're going to be happy not to be facing the large and stingy Lakers. Memphis has seen the OVER go 21-14 on the road. Those games averaged 230.5 points. Meanwhile, Warrior home games averaged 227.6 points. While the Laker game finished below the number, the Warriors have still seen the OVER go 13-9-1 their last 23 playoff/play-in games. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than many are expecting. |
|||||||
05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 238.5 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on Indiana/Washington OVER the total. Yesterday's games were both low-scoring. This, however, is an entirely different matchup. The Pacers put up a whopping 144 points last time out, a 144-117 beating of Charlotte. In their previous game, they scored 125. The offense is clicking. Up against playoff-tested Boston, the Wizards offense went cold last game. Considering that they had scored 115 or more points in ALL 20 of their previous 20 games, I expect a much better offensive effort tonight. Keep in mind that this season's meetings produced 256, 295 and 265 points. The OVER is 25-11 in Pacer road games and that included an 18-6 mark when they played on the road with an O/U line in the 230s. Expect a shootout. |
|||||||
05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 222.5 | Top | 96-100 | Win | 103 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on SA/Memphis UNDER the total. With so much on the line, I expect to see some added intensity on the defensive side of the ball in this one. The Grizzlies have quietly seen six of their past seven finish below the total, including each of their past three. They managed only 101 last time out. That game, also a big one, had an O/U line of 228 but finished with 214, a 113-101 loss to the Warriors. Note that the UNDER is 12-7-1 the past 20 times that Memphis was off a double-digit loss. I like that both teams last played Sunday. The UNDER is 4-2 when the Spurs played with two day's rest in between games and a perfect 4-0 when the Grizzlies played with two day's rest in between games. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Everyone is pretty down on the Celtics right now. I feel that sentiment is providing us with excellent value. Yes, Boston is banged-up. Yes, missing Brown is a big deal. That said, so is coaching and playoff experience. This is a battle-tested team, one which knows what the playoffs are all about. While the Celtics are 15-11 SU/ATS in the playoffs the last couple of seasons, the Wizards are 0-0. Yes, some of their players have been in the playoffs before. Not as a team though. In a situation like this one, that matters. So does homecourt. The Celtics have beaten the Wizards four straight times here at Boston. They're 13-2 the past 15 meetings here. While they've obviously been really hot of late, the Wizards are still a sub-500 team on the road. The recent 30+ point comeback against the Spurs shows that this Boston team won't quit. When the smoke clears, I expect the Celtics to be the team still standing. |
|||||||
05-16-21 | Bucks v. Bulls +2.5 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. True, the Bucks need to beat the Bulls in order to stay alive for the #2 seed. However, the reality is that even if they do beat the Bulls here, they still need the Nets to lose, at home, to the Cavs. Brooklyn is a double-digit favorite for that game. I see one shop currently listing the Nets at -1100 on the moneyline. In other words, the Bucks know that whatever they do this afternoon, its very likely not going to matter. That said, I expect the Bulls to actually be the hungrier team here. Its their last game and they'd like to close it out with a win. That's particularly true when up against a rival which has beaten them by double-digits in both meetings. The Bucks are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 against losing teams. Grab the points. |
|||||||
05-14-21 | Cavs +8.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-120 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on CLEVELAND. The Cavs played a great game in their home finale (102-94 win over Boston) and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Wizards have been playing a lot of close ones of late and they could easily be looking/thinking ahead to bigger games. Washington's last five games were decided by one, two, one, one and four points. Having been hammered by the Wizards, at Cleveland, a couple of weeks ago and now playing with "double-revenge," look for the Cavs to give their hosts all they can handle. |
|||||||
05-12-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -6 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Wizards kept things close when these teams met a couple of nights ago. They had a chance to win at the buzzer but ended up losing by a point. That opportunity squandered, I expect them to stumble this evening. The fact that the Bulls lost last night takes some pressure off Washington. Also, Westbrook now has the triple-double record and there could be a slight letdown after achieving that. Either way, the Wizards are still without Beal and the hungry Hawks will take advantage. The Wizards are 15-20 on the road and they give up 117.8 ppg on the road. (Over their last five games, they're allowing 132.4 ppg!) The Hawks, on the other hand, are 22-11 at home, allowing 109.8 ppg. The Hawks like these high-scoring up tempo games here as they're 13-6 ATS in games with an O/U line of 230 or more, including a 7-3 SU/ATS mark in home games with a total of 230 or more. Expect them to pull away for a double-digit win tonight. |
|||||||
05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 232 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on Brooklyn/Chicago OVER the total. The Bulls have played some relatively low-scoring games lately. That's had a lot to do with their opponents though. This evening, facing the fast paced Nets, I'm expecting a high-scoring affair. Brooklyn's last game produced 244 points. On the season, Brooklyn road games are averaging 236.6 points. When favored, the Nets have seen the OVER go a profitable 30-17. The Bulls have fought to stay alive and are battling for survival. They got LaVine back and he's got some games under his belt. Expect both teams to put up a big number, the final combined score finishing above the total. |
|||||||
05-11-21 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 225 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boston/Miami UNDER the total. These teams just met on Sunday afternoon. The Heat jumped all over the Celtics and that forced Boston to have to comeback. Ultimately, it led to a high-scoring Heat victory. That result has provided us with a higher O/U number line for tonight's game. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. The Celtics are fighting for survival; if they want any chance at the #6 seed, they need this win. The Heat will be fighting just as hard, looking to ensure that Boston has to be involved in the Play-In-Tournament. I expect it to all add up to playoff like intensity on the defensive side of the ball. The UNDER is 15-10 when the Heat played a game with an O/U line of 220 or more. The UNDER is also 18-12 the past 30 times that Boston played with revenge. Expect those stats to improve, on TNT. |
|||||||
05-10-21 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 110-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on MEMPHIS. Give the Pelicans credit. It would have been easy for them to quit yesterday. They were down double-digits at halftime, at Charlotte. Playing without their two best players and their playoff prospects flickering. They didn't quit though and rallied all the way back to win. Still, they're up against a tougher opponent tonight and I expect last night's hard-fought effort, along with the injuries, to take a toll tonight. The Grizzlies will show no mercy. They've lost to these Pelicans twice already this season and the most recent was a 144-113 blowout. The Grizzlies, 11-6 ATS when avenging a home loss, will be happy to return the favor. Expect them to improve on those stats with a blowout of their own. |
|||||||
05-09-21 | Pelicans v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. I won with the Hornets in their last game and I like how they rallied late to pull away for the cover. I believe that they're catching the Pelicans at the right time. Not only is New Orleans really short-handed - no Zion, no Ingram (others, too) - but the Pelicans have realized that they won't be making the playoffs. They've fought hard but its not happening. While they deserve credit for fighting as hard as they did, I believe that Friday's 2-point loss at Philadelphia will serve as a gut punch to the Pelicans. The Hornets handled the Pelicans at New Orleans and they're 13-8 ATS when listed as favorites. Expect them to take advantage of their depleted guests this evening, cover the small number along the way. |
|||||||
05-08-21 | Nets v. Nuggets OVER 229.5 | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on Brooklyn/Denver OVER the total. These teams had 124 by halftime and combined for 238, when they met earlier in the season. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair this evening. The Nuggets combined with the Jazz for 247 points last night. They couldn't contain Bogdanovic but they couldnt really be stopped, either. The last time that the Nuggets played the second of b2b games, the final score finished above the total by double-digits. Brooklyn road games average 236.3 points. The Nets have seen the OVER go 29-17 when listed as favorites and 9-5 when off an upset loss. They'll be looking to push the pace and I expect those stats to improve tonight. |
|||||||
05-07-21 | Magic v. Hornets -7 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. The Hornets got hammered by the Bulls last night. The fact that they're playing the second of b2b games works in our favor, by keeping the line lower than it easily could have been. This is a game that the Hornets need to have. The Magic are a bad team and they're severely banged up. In addition to needing the game and playing at home, the Hornets are more talented and have more depth. They're also 14-8 SU/ATS on the season, when off a double-digit loss. The Magic are off a 36-point loss of their own, as the depleted roster caught up with them. Look for the determined Hornets to pull away in this one, improving to 8-3 ATS their last 11 against teams from within their own division. |
|||||||
05-06-21 | Lakers v. Clippers -8 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on the LA CLIPPERS. There's a real possibility that this will prove to be a preview of a first round playoff series. Either way, its hardly a fair fight. The Lakers remain short-handed and the Clippers aren't going to allow them to gain any confidence. While the Lakers are still without some key players, the Clippers have slowly been getting healthier. Though he only played 15 minutes, I like that they got Beverly back last game. The Clippers are the deeper team and he adds to that depth. I also like that Leonard now has a couple games under his belt. I really like how the Clippers rallied to erase a halftime deficit and win last game. They didn't get the cover but it was the type of victory which I feel that they will build momentum from. Factoring in a 104-86 Clipper blowout the last time that these teams met, the Lakers are just 6-13 ATS (4-15 SU) as underdogs. I say the Clippers keep the pedal to the metal and pull away for another double-digit win. |
|||||||
05-06-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -1 | Top | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. While this is a big game for the Wizards, its a bigger game for the Raptors. In fact, its probably their biggest game of the entire season. A win doesn't guarantee them anything but a loss would be devastating. I believe that they're catching the Wizards at the right time. Yes, Washington has been extremely hot. However, the Wizards just left it all on the floor in a battle at Milwaukee, last night. They ended up losing by a single point. Not all b2b spots are equal and that's the type of loss which will often take a toll. The last time that they played the second of b2b games, they lost against the Spurs. Coach Nurse acknowledged how huge this game is for the Raptors: "I would say that’s probably our last chance saloon a little bit, right? I think them getting that one against us would be awful tough for us to recover from ... " The Wizards tend to bring out the best in the Raptors and I expect that to be the case tonight. |
|||||||
05-05-21 | Knicks v. Nuggets -3 | Top | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. The Knicks have been on quite the run but I expect a trip to Denver to bring them back down to earth. The Nuggets hammered the Knicks (114-89) when the teams met at MSG. That's bad news for the Knicks as they're generally much better at home. They're 22-11 at home but just 15-17 on the road. The Nuggets are also stronger at home, as this has long been a tough venue to play at. The Nuggets are 19-12 on the road but 24-10 here at home. That includes a perfect 6-0 mark their last six games here. In fact, since late March, the Nuggets are 12-1 here and they're 15-2 here since mid-March. As I said, its a tough venue to play at. Making matters worse for the Knicks is that they're banged up at center. Robinson is out and Noel is questionable. I'll assume that Noel plays but even if he was 100%, which is unlikely, there's no stopping the MVP favorite. Jokic had a double-double in the first meeting and he's topped the 30 mark in b2b games. Look for Jokic to do his thing, the Nuggets staying hot at home, while covering the small number along the way. |
|||||||
05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. As you likely saw, these teams just played last night. The Warriors won 123-108. I don't believe that they're going to be able to beat the Pelicans two nights in a row here though. The last two times that the Warriors played the second of b2b games, they were up against Cleveland and Houston. Though GSW won and covered those games, those teams are both terrible. The Rockets are 16-49, worst in the NBA. The Cavs are 21-43, in a battle for the second worst position in the East. The last time that the Warriors faced a half decent team (Toronto) when playing the second of b2b games, they got crushed by a score of 130-77. Prior to that, they lost 124-108. Going back further finds the Warriors at just 10-22-1 ATS the past 33 times that the played the second of b2b games. The Pelicans, who are 2-0 SU/ATS the past couple of times that they played the second of b2b games, are 12-7 ATS the past 19 times that they attempted to avenge a home loss. Expect them to make the necessary adjustments, up their intensity and improve on those stats tonight. |
|||||||
05-03-21 | Spurs v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH. I believe that this is going to prove to be a very tough spot for the Spurs. Not all b2b spots are equal and this is a difficult one for the Spurs. They're off a hard-fought OT loss last night. That was on the heels of another OT heart-breaker, a game where they blew a 30+ point lead. Prior to that, they lost a close one at Miami. I expect those close losses and extra OT minutes to take a toll on them tonight. While its true that the Spurs have played well in the revenge role, they'll get a chance for some revenge (again) on Wednesday, as these teams will face each other again, then. For tonight, I expect the Jazz to take advantage of the scheduling advantage. Utah is 27-4 and 20-11 ATS here this season. The Jazz are outscoring visiting teams by a dominating 117.5 to 103.8 margin here. Lay the points. |
|||||||
05-03-21 | 76ers v. Bulls +6 | Top | 106-94 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The 76ers have won four straight while the Bulls have dropped three in a row. No brainer on Philly, right? Not in my opinion. Rather, this one sets up very nicely for the Bulls, who play with double revenge from a pair of earlier losses. While Chicago had yesterday off, the 76ers are off an extremely hard fought OT win, at San Antonio. They're just 3-7-1 ATS their last 11, when playing the second of b2b games. As for the current streaks ... while the 76ers are 6-9 ATS after three or more consecutive wins, the Bulls are 7-4 ATS after three or more consecutive losses. Grab the points. |
|||||||
05-03-21 | Magic v. Pistons OVER 210 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on Orlando/Detroit OVER the total. This is the lowest total on the NBA board and I believe that it'll prove to be too low. I won with the 'over' in Orlando's last game and I believe there's value there once again. Magic games have been quietly flying over the number for weeks now and the OVER is a profitable 9-1 the last 10 times that Orlando played a team with a losing record. The Pistons combined with the Mavs for 220 in their last home game; I also successfully played on the 'over' in that one. With little reason for either team to play defense, look for this one to also finish above the low number, the OVER improving to 12-6 when Orlando played with 'revenge.' |
|||||||
05-02-21 | Blazers v. Celtics -2 | Top | 129-119 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. I lost with the Celtics in their last game, after having successfully played on them in their previous game. Despite the fact that Boston came up a bucket short of covering, I really liked what I saw. The Spurs were practically flawless offensively in the first half. They moved the ball very well and were hitting their shots at a very high level. They'd scored a remarkable 77 points by halftime. It would have been easy for the Celtics to fold; I was worried they'd pull their starters. Tatum wouldn't let that happen though. The Celtics calmly went to work and fought all the way back to force OT. They eventually won 143-140. (If not for a late Patty Mills 3-pointer, the Celtics would have covered.) I believe thats the type of win that they'll build positive momentum from. Even off the non-cover, the Celtics are still 7-4 ATS their last 11 against teams with a winning record. The Blazers, on the other hand, are 4-8 ATS their last 12 against teams with a winning record. After this game, the Celtics get a couple of days off. On the other hand, Portland will play at Atlanta tomorrow. The Blazers are playing their fourth straight on the road. Look for the Celtics to leave it all on the floor (again) en route to their third straight win, covering the small number along the way. |
|||||||
05-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Magic OVER 221 | Top | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on Memphis/Orlando OVER the total. These teams played a low-scoring game against each other yesterday but I'm expecting this evening's rematch to be considerably higher-scoring. Yesterday's game was at Memphis and the Magic couldn't score. Tonight's game is at Orlando though and the Magic score more points, while shooting at a higher percentage, here at home. Note that Orlando also allows more points at home, than it does on the road. The opposite is true for Memphis. The Grizzlies score more points - and allow more - on the road, than they do at home. Their road games are averaging a whopping 231.3 points on the season. With the OVER a combined 16-8 (7-5 and 9-3) when these teams play the second of b2b games, look for plenty of points in this one. |
|||||||
04-30-21 | Bucks v. Bulls +5 | Top | 108-98 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. I like how this one sets up for the home team. The Bucks stumbled at Houston last night while the Bulls rested. The Bucks are at the end of a road trip and they've got b2b games against Brooklyn on deck. They're also likely to be without their superstar. While he was questionable due to his right ankle last night, Giannis started. However, he quickly turned that ankle and had to leave last night's game. That said, it appears highly unlikely that'll he go tonight. The Bulls have only played two home games since 4/17. They won those games by scores of 106-96 and 108-91. I say they're catching the Bucks at the right time. |
|||||||
04-30-21 | Spurs v. Celtics -4 | Top | 140-143 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. I won with the Celtics in their last game and I believe that they turned a corner in that one. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. The Spurs are at the end of a 4-game road trip. They lost by five, at Miami, last game. The Celtics lost a close one earlier in the year, at San Antonio and the Spurs have given them problems here over the years. They're going to be motivated to change that tonight. They probably still won't have Walker back but are otherwise relatively healthy. The Celtics are 7-3 ATS their last 10 against teams with a winning record. Expect them to bring their best effort tonight, en route to picking us up the win and cover. |
|||||||
04-29-21 | Mavs v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/Detroit OVER the total. This is the lowest O/U number on the Thursday board and I believe that it'll prove to be too low. This season's previous meeting produced 244 points. That was at Dallas and the Mavs actualy average more points per game on the road, than they do at home. Yes, the Pistons have seen their last three games stay below the total. Those results have helped us, in keeping the total low. Note that the OVER is actually 4-1 the past five times that Detroit saw its previous three games fall beneath the number. The Mavs have a number of questionable players, including Doncic and Reddick. They were both questionable Tuesday and played though and the Mavs have no game tomorrow. Porzingis, meawnhile, has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable. So, there's a chance that he'll return, too. Remember, the Mavs just scored 133 last time out. Detroit games average more than 218 points while Dallas games average more than 221. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-28-21 | Hornets v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Hornets are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Both teams played and lost yesterday. Both will want to bounce back tonight. The Celtics figure to be hungrier though. Not only have they now lost three straight but one of those losses came against these same Hornets, at Charlotte. Walker remains out. Taytum had last night off and the hope is that he'll be able to return tonight. Obviously, he's a difference maker. However, even in the event he doesn't go, the Celtics have more than enough to take care of business on their homecourt. Keep in mind that Charlotte, 0-4 ATS its last four as a road underdog, continues to play without the likes of Ball and Hayward. When these teams met here a few weeks ago, laying -9.5 points, Boston won by 30. The previous game here saw the Celtics win by 26. In fact, the Celtics are 7-0-1 ATS (8-0 SU) the last eight meetings here. Playing with "recent revenge" and looking to snap their skid, expect the highly motivated Celtics to improve on those stats this evening. |
|||||||
04-27-21 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 232.5 | Top | 116-103 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on Toronto/Brooklyn OVER the total. These teams played a relatively low-scoring game against each other last week, when the Nets were really short-handed. I'm expecting tonight's rematch to be considerably higher-scoring. The Raptors, who knocked off the Cavs last night, have seen the OVER go 8-5 when playing the second of b2b games. The Nets put up 128 against the Suns last time out, that game producing 247 points. They always like to push the pace and catching the Raptors in a b2b spot, they'll absolutely be doing so tonight. Note that the OVER is 14-9 when Nash's Nets played with 'revenge.' The OVER is also 21-10 when the Nets were off a game where they allowed 115 or more. With Brooklyn averaging 119.6 ppg on the road, the Raptors know they're going to need to put up a big number in order to compete. Expect a shootout. |
|||||||
04-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 96-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on DENVER. The Grizzlies have been playing well and they beat me yesterday. This is a tough spot for them though and I'm willing to go against them, again. The Grizzlies had a shot to win here recently. Denver eked out a 2-OT win though. The Grizzlies weren't playing the second of b2b games for that one though. They're doing so here, while playing at elevation. Morant played 36 minutes while Valanciunus returned to played 30. They'll feel those minutes tonight, as this has been a brutal stretch. Its the end of a long 7-game road trip. It marks their 14th game since 4/4, a 22-day stretch, 11 of those coming on the road. This road trip started on 4/16. So, this marks their 7th road game in the past 11 days. This is still a tough place to play. Expect the Nuggets to be fresher as they get the "W" and cover the small number along the way. |
|||||||
04-26-21 | Jazz v. Wolves OVER 228 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on Minnesota/Utah OVER the total. I successfully played on the 'under' when these teams played at Utah. With that game staying well below the total, we're working with a considerably lower O/U number tonight. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. While they're always pretty good defensively, the Jazz typically aren't quite as stingy on the road, as they are at home. Saturday's game notwithstanding, Minnesota rarely plays defense, regardless of venue. Prior to Saturday, the Twolves' previous two games had produced 254 and 253 points. While both those were on the road, their last two at home have also both produced 230 or more combined points. I say this one does the same. |
|||||||
04-25-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on PORTLAND. These teams just met here a couple of nights ago. The Grizzlies eked out a 2-point win. They'll also meet again on Wednesday, at Memphis. Not only will the Blazers be on the road for that one, they'll also be playing their second game in two nights. (They play at Indiana, on Tuesday.) In other words, they better win today's game or they could easily risk dropping all three of these games to Memphis. Indeed, off four straight losses and with their next six games on the road, including the one at Memphis, this is "must win" territory. That doesn't always means that teams perform, but in this case I believe that it will. The Blazers are 5-3 ATS when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss and they're 7-3 ATS when off an "upset" loss in their previous game. Both teams had yesterday off but the Blazers also have tomorrow off, while the Grizzlies will be play a revenge game vs. Denver. Look for the Blazers to leave it all on the floor, en route to an important win and cover. |
|||||||
04-24-21 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 233 | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on Minnesota/Utah UNDER the total. I recently won with the T-Wolves 'over' in their first of two games against Sacramento. That game produced a whopping 254 points. At the time, I talked about how poor the Kings' defense was. Tonight, however, the T-Wolves face a team at the opposite end of the defensive spectrum. While the Kings have the very worst field goal percentage allowed in the entire NBA, the Jazz are the best in the west in that category, second only to the Knicks in the entire NBA. Yes, this O/U line is a little lower than it was for that first game against the Kings. Not that much lower though. Not a big enough difference, given the difference in the level of defense that the T-Wolves will face. The T-Wolves actually scored the upset when these teams met here way back in late December. (That game stayed below the total, which brought the UNDER to 4-0 Minnesota's last four visits here.) The Jazz allow just 104 ppg here and I expect Minnesota to have some trouble scoring. Look for the UNDER to improve to 6-1 the past seven times that Utah attempted to avenge a home loss. |
|||||||
04-23-21 | Cavs v. Hornets OVER 209.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on Clev/Charlotte OVER the total. This is the lowest O/U line on the Friday NBA board. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Don't look now but the Cavaliers are starting to score points. Last time out, they scored 121, the OVER moving to 7-3 their last 10 games. Note that the Cavs have seen the OVER go 6-3-1 off a double-digit win and 7-3-1 when off a game where they scored 115 or more points. Admittedly, Charlotte has had a tougher time scoring of late. Still, Hornet games are averaging 221.1 points on the season. The Hornets have allowed each of their past 10 opponents to score more than 100 and the Cavs figure to do the same. Playing at home and playing with revenge, the Hornets aren't just going to roll over though. They're slight favorites in this game and they're going to need to score if they want to compete. Look for the final combined score to prove higher than many will be expecting, more than enough to finish above the low number. |
|||||||
04-22-21 | Pistons v. Spurs -7.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN ANTONIO. Both teams played and lost last night. For the Pistons, it was just another loss. They've got 41 of them, most in the Eastern Conference. For the Spurs, they can't afford another home loss. April has presented the Spurs with a challenging schedule, as they only got to play five home games for the entire month. This is the last of those five and they lost the previous four. They play their next four on the road. Then, they get a single home game - and that's against a tough opponent in the 76'ers - before going back on the road again. In other words, they badly need to take care of business, at home, tonight. The Spurs are a profitable 9-5 ATS off a double-digit loss. Even off last night's loss, they're still 14-8 ATS against teams from the East. They beat the Pistons by 10, at Detroit, last month. When the teams last played here, the Spurs won by 27. I'm expecting another double-digit win tonight. |
|||||||
04-21-21 | Nets v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Raptors need to keep winning and they're catching the Nets at the right time. Not only are the Nets off a win last night and playing their sixth game in the past nine days but they're also extremely short-handed. They had only nine players available last night and will likely be in a similar situation tonight. While the Nets are in a tough scheduling spot, the Raptors have had the past two days off. The Nets brings out the best in Toronto; the Raptors have won the past five meetings. Schedule in their favor, look for the Raptors to win their fourth straight overall, covering the small number along the way. |
|||||||
04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings OVER 237.5 | Top | 134-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on Minnesota/Sacramento OVER the total. These are arguably the two worst defensive teams in the league. Sacramento allows the most points (118.6) per game. At 118.1 ppg allowed, the Wizards are second worst, tied with Washington. The two teams also rank last and second last, in terms of the opposing teams field goal percentage. Opposing teams hit 48.4% of their field goals and Minnesota and 49% of their fg's against Sacramento. Not only do the Kings score more points at home, they also allow more points here. Visiting teams average more than 120 points when they come here. With little reason for any defense, look for the OVER to improve to 21-10 when the Kings attempted to avenge an earlier loss. |
|||||||
04-19-21 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 212.5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on Clev/Detroit OVER the total. These are two bad teams, both dealing with injuries. Both have seen their recent games stay below the total, too. As a result, we're getting a low O/U line to work with, the lowest on the Monday board. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that neither team will be making the playoffs. When playing playoff teams, there's reason to play defense. But now that they're matched up against an opponent which is also playing out the string, there's little reason to do so. The last meeting had an O/U line of 222.5 and finished with 229 combined points. The last meeting here at Detroit had an O/U line of 214.5 and finished with 247 points. The last time that the Pistons were off three straight 'unders,' their next game finished with 228, comfortably above the total. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER improving to 12-6 the past 18 times that Detroit had seen its previous three games fall below the number. |
|||||||
04-18-21 | Kings v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Mavs could use a big win right now and the Kings are the perfect opponent to get it against. Off 9-straight losses, Sacramento is in freefall at the moment. Opportunities to snap the skid are on the horizon, just not yet. Not here. The Mavs won by 19 last time the teams met here, a 130-111 blowout. Having recently faced some top tier defensive teams, they're going to be happy to see Sacramento. Already, in April, Dallas has faced the Knicks twice. NY allows the fewest points in the league and also holds opposing teams to the lowest fg percentage. The Mavs have also faced the Jazz, Bucks and 76ers this month. Those three teams all rank in the top 5, in terms of opposing teams field goal percentage. The Kings, on the other hand, give up more points (118.8 ppg) than any team in the league. The Kings allow opposing teams to connect 49.1% of their field goals. That's also the worst mark in the NBA. This is the type of defense that Dallas can "get healthy" against. Expect the Mavs, 7-5 ATS (8-4 SU) when off an upset loss, to put up a big number and, ultimately, for the Kings to be unable to keep up. |
|||||||
04-17-21 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 225.5 | Top | 100-121 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/Washington OVER the total. These teams both saw their games yesterday stay below the total. However, I'm expecting a high-scoring affair this evening. While the Pistons have seen the OVER go 7-5 when playing the second of b2b games, the OVER is also 9-4 when the Wizards played the second of b2b games. Going back further finds the OVER at 25-13 the past 38 times that Washington was in a b2b situation. While the Wizards last two games have finished below the total, that's been because of extremely high O/U lines, much higher than this one. Those games still finished with 232 and 234 combined points, respectively. Prior to that, the Wizards' previous two games produced 240 and 246. The last time that Detroit played the second of b2b games, the final combined score was 255, finishing above the number by roughly 40 points. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-16-21 | Grizzlies v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Everyone is suddenly really down on the Bulls. They've dropped four in a row and now they're without LaVine. As a result, we're now able to get them as a home underdog. I feel that's providing us with excellent value. Keep in mind that the Bulls were only +2 at Memphis, a few days ago. Now, they're at home, more desperate and playing with revenge, yet we're getting even more points. With all due respect to LaVine, that's providing us with excellent value. That recent 3/12 game, at Memphis, was a tough spot for the Bulls. While both teams were playing the second of b2b games, the Bulls were also playing their fourth road game in five nights. The Grizzlies took advantage. The Bulls are back home now though and they had yesterday off. They've still got plenty without LaVine and I expect their very best effort. Look for the Bulls to bounce back and move to 7-3 ATS their past 10, after having lost their previous three or more games. |
|||||||
04-15-21 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 224.5 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on GSW/Clev OVER the total. When these teams met out West, the O/U line was 227.5 and they combined for 227. The Cavs only managed 98 though, as scoring on the road has been tough for them this season. Playing at home, when they average a lot more ppg (108.4) than they do on the road, the Cavs should more effectively contribute to tonight's combined total. Note that the Cavs also allow more ppg at home than they do on the road. Additionally, note that when these teams met here last season, the O/U line was 223.5 and they combined for 243. The Warriors put up 131 while the Cavs averaged 112. Off an impressive 147-point effort last night, the Warriors are again seemingly firing on all cylinders. They're averaging 123.4 ppg their last five. While the Cavs shut down offensiely challenged Charlotte last night, a game which stayed below the total, their previous five games had all finished above the number. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair, the OVER moving to 7-2-1 the past 10 times that the Cavs checked in off a double-digit win. |
|||||||
04-14-21 | Mavs v. Grizzlies OVER 225.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/Memphis OVER the total. The Mavs have played some stingy teams of late. Teams like Philadelphia, Milwaukee and Utah. Those three teams all rank in the top five in the NBA, in terms of opposing team's fg percentage and they've been three of the Mavs' past five opponents. Facing Memphis will allow them to get their offense rolling again. Not the stingy team they were in years past, the Grizzlies allow 116.8 ppg their last five games, while allowing opposing teams to connect on 47.8% of their field goals. Those five games are averaging a whopping 238 combined points. While Dallas division games average "only" 225 points, Memphis divisional games are averaging a healthy 229.9. I don't see much defense being played in this one. Look for the final combined score to prove higher than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-14-21 | Bucks v. Wolves +9.5 | Top | 130-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Time change due to the protests. Assuming that doesn't stop the game from being played, that means we get some afternoon basketball. Either way, I was going to like the setup for the T-Wolves. We're getting some extra value due to the fact that the played yesterday. However, yesterday's game was a blowout loss where Towns didn't play. Towns is the "straw that stirs the drink" for this team and he should be back and good to go tonight. (Yesterday was the 1-year anniversary of his mother's passing and he attended a memorial in her honor.) So, I'm not bothered by the fact that they played yesterday. It should also be noted that the last time that the Wolves played the second of b2b games, they went on the road, at Philly, and stayed within single digits, as 14 point underdogs. Also, it was exactly one month ago when they beat Portland outright here, when playing the second of b2b games. As for the Bucks, they play at Atlanta tomorrow. Wihile he did return to practice yesterday, with Giannis still a bit banged up, its not out of the question that they save him for that game. Either way, this is a tough spot. That game at Atlanta tomorrow will be the final game of a 3-game road trip. However, if you consider that the Bucks only played one home game, prior to that trip, and that was preceded by six road games out West, I feel that the Bucks could well be getting road weary. Yesterday notwithstanding, the Wolves have been far more competitive lately. Expect them to give the Bucks all they can handle this afternoon. |
|||||||
04-13-21 | Celtics v. Blazers OVER 227 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boston/Portland OVER the total. Both these teams have been involved in some 'unders' recently. Those results have worked in our favor, as they've helped to keep tonight's O/U line a little lower than it otherwise could have been. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. These teams combined for 252 points the last time they met, all in regulation. Tatum scored 34 points. Lillard, Brown and Nurkic all had 30. After that game, coach Brad Stevens noted: "That was a playoff-level energy that we had to play with at the end of the game." While that was "in the bubble," the OVER is also 4-1 in Boston's last five visits here. This one figures to also come down to the wire, with both teams scoring the entire way. The Blazers rank in the bottom five of the league in terms of points allowed and opponents' field goal percentage. They're top seven in points scored though. The Celtics find themselves as slight underdogs for this one; the OVER is 11-6 when Boston was getting points. Expect those stats to improve this evening. |
|||||||
04-12-21 | Lakers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/NY OVER the total. This is by far the lowest O/U number on the Monday board. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. The Knicks have indeed been a stingy team. The Raptors found that out last night, as NY held them to 96 points. That said, games here are still averaging 212.8 points in the season. Even off yesterday's low-scoring affair, NY's last five games are averaging 218.4 points. The last time that the Knicks played the second of b2b games, they scored 125 points. As for the Lakers, they've seen their last three games all finish above the total with scores of 211, 214 and 227. Their games are averaging 216 points on the season, 210.2 the past five. With the Knicks off a game last night, the Lakers will look to push the pace whenever possible. Look for that to lead to the final combined score being higher than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-11-21 | Bulls v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. I successfully played against the Bulls in their last game and I believe that this will prove to be another good spot to do so. The Bulls have a number of banged-up players, who have been playing through nagging minor injuries. Guys like LaVine and Markkanen. Of course, it didn't stop LaVine from scoring 50 last time out. Still, this has been a long road trip and I believe that the heavy minutes are starting to wear on them. I thought that was evident when they faded late in Friday's loss. Now, they're playing the fourth leg of a 5-game road trip, one which wraps up tomorrow night, at Memphis. While that may not seem like a "long road trip," consider that the Bulls only played one home game before the trip and that one was preceded by four road games. That being the case, the Bulls actually haven't played in the same city for b2b games for roughly three weeks, since they did so on 3/22 and 3/24. Meanwhile, Minnesota is quietly playing well right now. Last time out, the T-Wolves went on the road and took the Celtics to OT. They've won three of their last four home games, including each of their past two, wins against the Kings and Knicks. Overall, they're averaging 122 points their last five games, after topping the 135-mark on b2b occasions. I say they give the Bulls all they can handle, taking the game down to the wire with an excellent shot at the ouright win. |
|||||||
04-10-21 | Pistons v. Blazers OVER 224.5 | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on Det/Portland OVER the total. The Blazers can score points with the best of them. They're averaging 115 ppg on the season, 117 ppg their last five. Their problem is that they also allow a lot (115.3) of points. Yes, they're games are averaging more than 130 points. Now, the Blazers face a Detroit team which has quietly figured out how to score. The Pistons rang in the month by scoring 120 and that was a sign of things to come. In their first three games of this trip, the Pistons have scored 132, 113 and 119 points. When these teams met at the end of March, the Blazers put up 124. They'll post another big number tonight. This time, however, the Pistons will contribute more than the 101 which they scored on 3/31. The OVER is 26-9-1 the past few years, when Portland has faced a sub-500 team in the second half of the season. Expect those stats to improve tonight, as this one should produce plenty of offensive fireworks. |
|||||||
04-09-21 | Bulls v. Hawks -3 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Hawks had their win streak snapped on Wednesday. Prior to that, they'd won four straight, covering in each. Wednesday's game was their second game in two nights and it caught up to the Hawks. The shoe is on the other foot tonight though. While the Hawks had yesterday off to recover, the Bulls are off a win over the Raptors. Note that LaVine and others were banged up going into that game but still played fairly heavy minutes. The Bulls have won three of 10, when playing the second of b2b games. They're also 0-3 SU/ATS the past three times that they'd won their previous three games. The Hawks pounded the Bulls, at Chicago, earlier in the season. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to handle them once again. |
|||||||
04-08-21 | Blazers +7 v. Jazz | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on PORTLAND. Tough spot for the Jazz as they're off a hard fought OT loss, at Phoenix. Don't expect the Blazers, who had yesterday off, to show them any sympathy. They haven't forgotten that the Jazz embarrassed them, at Portland, in their very first game of the season. They're also anxious to bounce back from Tuesday's blowout loss to the Clippers. Note that the Blazers are 4-2 SU/ATS when attempting to avenge a home loss and 6-4 ATS (7-3 SU) when off a double-digit loss. The O/U line is 230 or higher, at most shops, as of this writing. That suits the Blazers fine as they're also 10-4 ATS when playing a road game with an O/U line of 230 or more. (The Jazz are 2-4 ATS in games with an O/U line of 230 or more.) While most might assume the Jazz play well off an upset loss, they're just 5-7 ATS in that situation. Portland's last two visits here were decided by three and six. Grab the points. |
|||||||
04-08-21 | Pistons v. Kings OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/Sacramento OVER the total. The Pistons score more points on the road than they do at home. The also allow more points on the road than they do at home. They've been playing really poor defensively of late, as evidenced by the fact that opposing teams have a 50.8% field goal percentage in the Pistons' last five games. The Kings can relate. Their the worst defensive team in the entire NBA, in terms of the opposing team's shooting percentage. Detroit is fourth worst in the league, worst in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have been scoring lately as they've put up 119 and 132 their last two games. Unlike the Pistons, the Kings score more and allow more in their home games. Games here are averaging 235.3 points, the OVER going 17-9. With the OVER also 6-1 when the Kings were off an upset loss, expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this one. |
|||||||
04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 225.5 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on Utah/Phoenix UNDER the total. The Suns have been involved in some high-scoring games of late. Those results have worked in our favor, as they've kept this O/U line relatively high. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. Keep in mind that the Suns' recent 'overs' have come against Atlanta, Chicago, OKC and Houston. The Hawks are relatively mediocre defensively and the other three teams all rank towards the bottom of the pack, in terms of both points allowed per game and field goal percentage allowed. Tonight, however, the Suns will face a Utah team which ranks in the top 3 in both those categories. The Jazz hold opposing teams to a lower field goal percentage than any other team in the West. The Suns are also stingier than some may realize. They rank #9 in terms of field goal percentage allowed, #4 in the West. In terms of points allowed, they're #5 in the NBA and #3 in the West. Indeed, these are two of this year's top defenses. The last time they met was on New Year's Eve, at Utah. The O/U line was 219 and they combined for just 201, a 106-95 'upset' for the Suns. With the UNDER at a perfect 5-0 the past five times that the Jazz attempted to avenge a home loss, look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-07-21 | Hornets v. Thunder OVER 213.5 | Top | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on Charlotte/OKC OVER the total. I won with the 'over' in OKC's last game. At the time, I stated the following: "The Thunder are a mess right now, as they're dealing with numerous injuries. That's played a big part in them giving up a whopping 273 (133 and 140) points in their last two games ..." Sure enough, OKC gave up another 132 points. That's 405 in three games. The 132-108 final score against Detroit finished comfortably above the number. Once again, the Thunder are facing an Eastern Conference team and once again they're working with a low O/U number. Once again, I believe it'll prove to be too low. Charlotte's road games average 225.9 points, much higher than its home games. Meanwhile, OKC's home games average 223.4 points, much higher than its road games. With OKC now allowing an average of 127 ppg its last five, this number is too low. |
|||||||
04-06-21 | Grizzlies v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 124-112 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on MIAMI. Both teams come in playing well. However, I expect it to be the Heat which continue to do so. The Heat are a profitable 18-6 ATS their last 24 against teams from the Southwest. One of those losses came at Memphis, a few weeks ago. Morant dribbled the length of the floor with seconds left to break a tie. That tough loss triggered a 6-game SU/ATS skid for the Heat. Needless to say, they haven't forgotten and they absolutely want to avoid a repeat performance. Since the slide, the Heat have responded by going 4-0 SU/ATS their last four. During that span, they're allowing a mere 96.5 ppg, holding two of those opponents below 90. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, have allowed opponents to hit triple-digits in 10 straight games. The Heat have had two days off and they also get tomorrow off. (The Grizzlies have had one day off and they play at Atlanta, tomorrow.) Expect them to leave it all on the floor tonight, avenging the earlier loss and covering the small number along the way. |
|||||||
04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on Gonzaga/Baylor UNDER the total. Obviously, both offenses are excellent. The same can be said of the defenses though and this is an extremely high number. Keep in mind that when these teams faced each other in March a couple of years ago, the O/U line was 147. (They combined for 154.) Yes, these are different and stronger teams but those ones could really score, too. Indeed, this is a generously high number tonight. Before giving up 90 in the OT win over UCLA, the Bulldogs had allowed 55, 71, 65 and 66 in their NCAA tournament games. Meanwhile, the Bears have held opponents to 55, 63, 51, 72 and 59 points. The only time that Gonzaga allowed 90 points, prior to the UCLA game, the Bulldogs allowed 67 (against Auburn) next time out, that game staying below the total. The last two times that the Bulldogs allowed more than 80, they responded by allowing 70 and 57 in their next game, both of those staying below the number. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-05-21 | Pistons v. Thunder OVER 212.5 | Top | 132-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/OKC OVER the total. The Thunder are a mess right now, as they're dealing with numerous injuries. That's played a big part in them giving up a whopping 273 (133 and 140) points in their last two games. The Thunder allow 115.5 ppg at home on the season. Still, they can't afford to squader a home game against one of the weaker teams in the Eastern Conference. In other words, they're going to really want to win this one; they're going to have to score to win. The Pistons gave up 125 points last time out and that was against a NY team that doesn't normally score that much, even less than OKC on the season. The last meeting between these teams had an O/U line of 209 and finished with 221. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER improving to 5-0 the past five times that Detroit played its previous three at home. |
|||||||
04-04-21 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | Top | 122-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. Laying this many points on the road is asking a lot of the Pelicans right now. They're banged-up. They've lost two in a row. Their last two wins both came by single-digits. They're only 7-14 SU on the road. Only once, in all of 2021, have they won a road game by more than six points. That was back in early February. While the Rockets have indeed been pretty bad, the Pelicans are just 6-14 ATS their last 20 against losing records. The teams have split a pair of games at New Orleans. Playing at home and catching them at the right time, look for the Rockets to give the Pelicans all they can handle here, picking up the cover with an excellent shot at the outright upset. |
|||||||
04-03-21 | Knicks v. Pistons OVER 201 | Top | 125-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY/Det OVER the total. I understand that these are low-scoring teams. However, this is still 2021 and this O/U number is too low. NY games are low-scoring but they still average 208.8 points on the season. Detroit games are also relatively low-scoring. However, they still average 217.9 on the season. When these teams met last month, the O/U line was 206.5. They combined for 218. Including that result, the OVER is 9-4 when the Pistons faced a team from the Atlantic. Look for this one to also prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting, the OVER moving to 4-0 when the Pistons had played their previous three at home. |
|||||||
04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135 | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/Baylor UNDER the total. While I won with the 'over' in Baylor's last game, the Cougars are an entirely different opponent than Arkansas was. Here's what I said about Houston's defense, prior to the Oregon State game: "The Beavers have been on a great run but, in my opinion, they haven't faced a defense, or a team, like this one. That might sound funny, given that they just beat Loyola-Illinois, the team which allows the fewest points in the league. The Cougars are #2 in that department though, allowing only 57.5 ppg, despite playing a tougher schedule. (Houston's strength of schedule was #77 compared to #97 for Loyola.) The big difference between the two defenses, however, is that Houston is #1 in the entire country in terms of opponents field goal percentage. At 41.3%, Loyola ranked towards the middle of the pack. Indeed, the Cougars are the best defensive team in the country ... " While Baylor will be tough to slow down, the Cougars have the team to do it. The Cougars' last three games have had combined scores of 128, 108 and 123. Baylor's 62-51 win over Villanova shows that the Bears are capable of playing at a slower pace, too. The UNDER is 7-3 the last 10 times that Houston was an underdog and 10-3 the last 13 times that Houston faced an opponent which scores 77 or more points per game. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-02-21 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 231 | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on Minnesota/Memphis OVER the total. I won with the 'over' the first time that these teams met and I'm expecting another high-scoring affair this evening. While the O/U line may seem high, note that the OVER is 10-5 when the T-Wolves played a game with an O/U line of 230 or greater, 6-2 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 230 or more. Going back further finds the OVER at 20-10 the past 30 times that Minnesota played a road game with a total of 230 or more. The Grizzlies are off a relatively low-scoring game against a top team (Utah) but before that, they'd seen five straight games finish above the total. The OVER is 10-4-1 when they faced a team with a losing record. Neither team has had any complete offensive duds of late; Minnesota has scored more than 100 in 13 straight while Memphis has scored more than 100 in eight straight. They're both going to keep scoring the entire way tonight. With Minnesota allowing more than 119 ppg on the road, expect a very high-scoring affair. |
|||||||
04-01-21 | 76ers v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 114-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on Philadelphia/Cleveland OVER the total. Both these teams are off sub-par offensive performances and both will be anxious to bounce back with a big game, on that side of the ball. The 76ers are at the end of a road trip. The last four came against Western Conf. teams. They'll be happy to return to their own time zone and face a Cleveland team which allows 111.7 ppg here. (That's slightly more than the Cavs allow on the road.) Also, visiting teams connect on 48.1% of their field goals here. Note that the 76ers, who average more than 114 ppg (47.9% fg's) themselves, have seen the OVER go 4-1 the past five times that they played their previous three on the road. The OVER is 14-8 when they're in that situation the past 2+ seasons. With the Cavs having dropped three straight, note that the OVER is 7-4 when they were off three or more consec. losses. Cleveland's last three were on the road but the Cavs' March home games had combined scores of 225, 227, 226, 221 and 224. Needless to say, all of those scores would finish above this low number. Tonight's score will, too. |
|||||||
03-31-21 | Kings v. Spurs -2 | Top | 106-120 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN ANTONIO. The Kings beat up on the Spurs here on Monday night. Don't expect it to happen again. Off that 132-115 victory, note that the Kings are just 2-7 ATS their last nine, after scoring 130 or more points in their previous game. Off that loss, note that the Spurs are 63-33-1 ATS the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Spurs are 7-4 ATS their last 11, off a double-digit loss. Needless to say, they're going to be highly motivated here. On Monday, the Kings hit 50% of their three point shots (8 of 19) compared to the Spurs' 10 of 27 (37%) mark. Also, the Kings got to the line 25 times compared to San Antonio getting to the line 14 times. I don't expect the Kings to have those edges in this one. Rather, look for the revenge-minded Spurs to make the necessary adjustments en route to bouncing back with an important win and cover. |
|||||||
03-31-21 | Blazers v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 124-101 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on Portland/Detroit UNDER the total. For a game at Detroit, I believe that this number is generously high. Sure, Portland can play some high-scoring games. However, keep in mind that games played here are averaging 215.1 ppg. Detroit scores 106.8 and allows 108.3. Those averages factor in plenty of games against other high-scoring teams, like Portland. Overall, the UNDER is 12-4 when the Pistons have faced a team from the Western Conference. Yes, the Blazers' last three games have finished above the total. However, one of those had an O/U line of 215 and finished with 217 - we're working with a higher number here. Also, its worth noting that the UNDER is 4-1 when Portland had seen its previous three games finish above the total. The last meeting between these teams had an O/U line of 220 but finished with 211. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting, the UNDER improving to 5-2 when Portland played with two day's rest in between games. |
|||||||
03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -7 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN. I believe that Michigan is peaking at the right time. I successfully played against the Wolverines in their loss to Ohio State. However, I came back and supported the Wolverines in their win over LSU. Winning that game was no small task. The Tigers were a explosive team with a trio of extremely dangerous offensive threats. Yet, the Wolverines took their best punch and prevailed. The Seminoles represent a different type of threat but I backed the Wolverines once again. Michigan won with ease, looking every bit like the team which dominated the Big Ten most of the way this year. The Bruins beat me last game after I'd won with them in their previous game. They deserve plenty of credit for beating Alabama. That said, the Tide partially handed the gmae to them by missing 14 free throws. (That was the worst free throw performance by any team, with a minimum of 25 attempts, in this tournament, since 2003.) Michigan won't be nearly so generous. While the Bruins are 3-7 ATS the past 10 times that they were neutral court underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 range, the Wolverines are 3-0 ATS their last three, as neutral court favorites in the 6.5 to 9 range. Expect them to improve on those stats on Tuesday. |
|||||||
03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor OVER 149 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on Arkansas/Baylor OVER the total. These teams both saw their last game finish below the total. However, that was due to the type of teams which they were playing. Both these teams can score with the best of them and now that they're up against each other, I expect to see plenty of fireworks. Arkansas averages 81.7 ppg. Baylor averages 83 ppg. Those numbers rank 6th and 11th in the country. Arkansas has seen the OVER go 4-2 when listed as an underdog. As for Baylor's shutting down of Villanova, the Bears have seen the OVER go 6-2 the past eight times that they had allowed 60 or fewer points in their previous game. Expect those stats to improve Monday night. |
|||||||
03-29-21 | Grizzlies v. Rockets OVER 221.5 | Top | 120-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/Memphis OVER the total. Both earlier meetings stayed below the number. However, we're working with a lower total this evening and I believe that it'll prove to be too low. In the last meeting, the Rockets managed a mere 84 points. That was back on 2/28 when they were really struggling though. They've scored more than that in every game since, including 129 in their last game. Memphis, which put up 133 in the last meeting, has scored 110 or more points in five straight games. Even with the previous meetings finishing below the total, the OVER is still a lucrative 9-4-1 when the Grizzlies have faced a team with a losing record. Its also worth noting that the Grizzlies score more points on the road than they do at home. Their road games average 226 combined points, the OVER going 11-7-1. With both teams scoring this time, expect a high-scoring affair. |
|||||||
03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston -7.5 | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. After I backed the Cougars big in their win over Syracuse, I'm coming right back with them again here. The Beavers have been on a great run but, in my opinion, they haven't faced a defense, or a team, like this one. That might sound funny, given that they just beat Loyola-Illinois, the team which allows the fewest points in the league. The Cougars are #2 in that department though, allowing only 57.5 ppg, despite playing a tougher schedule. (Houston's strength of schedule was #77 compared to #97 for Loyola.) The big difference between the two defenses, however, is that Houston is #1 in the entire country in terms of opponents field goal percentage. At 41.3%, Loyola ranked towards the middle of the pack. Indeed, the Cougars are the best defensive team in the country. Unlike Loyola, Houston can also score. The Ramblers were an offensively challenged team which scores 67.7 ppg while Houston is an explosive offensive team which averages 76.9 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bears average only 70.8 ppg and they allow 67.7. So, the Beavers score six points less than Houston and they allow 10 points more. The Cougars are an excellent rebounding team. The Beavers are not. With the Beavers struggling to score, it all adds up to a double-digit win. |
|||||||
03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC UNDER 139 | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on Oregon/USC UNDER the total. Since a 5-game 'under' streak in mid-late February, the Ducks have been seeing their games finish above the total. Matched up against conference rival USC, I expect that 'over' streal to come to an end Sunday. When these teams met this season, they combined for just 130 points. USC held Oregon to 58 points. The Trojans have been even stingier of late. After limiting Drake to just 56 points, the Trojans kept Kansas to a mere 51 points. The UNDER is 15-8-1 the last 24 times that they allowed 60 or fewer points in their previous game. Counting the Kansas game as a 'push,' the UNDER is 5-1-1 the past seven times that the Trojans were listed as favorites. I say the game gets played at a slower pace than many will be expecting, the final combined score again staying beneath the number. |
|||||||
03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on ALABAMA. I won with the Bruins in their last game. However, Alabama is an entirely different team, a vastly superior one, to Abilene Christian. Alabama can beat teams with their offense or its defense. The Tide took care of Maryland with ease last game, a 96-77 blowout. The previous game, they showed they could dominate defensively, holding their first round opponent (Iona) to just 55 points. While the Bruins have been playing well, they won't be ready for what's waiting for them here. The Tide haven't lost in more than a month and all their wins over that stretch, with the exception of a 1-point win over LSU, have been by five or more points. The Tide may not score 96 again but they'll score more than enough to pull away for another win and cover. |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Syracuse v. Houston -6 | Top | 46-62 | Win | 100 | 107 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. I love the matchup here. The Cougars were severely tested last round and I expect that to serve as a wake-up call. The Cougars have an outstanding backcourt; deep, talented and experienced. The well-coached Cougars can beat opponents from the outside and if teams try to sell out to guard the perimeter, then they dominate inside. However, its on the defensive side of the ball where they're really good. In fact, they allow a mere 57.9 ppg, opposing teams hitting just 37.3% of their field goals. (That's the best field goal percentage allowed in the entire country and second fewest points allowed in the country!) Syracuse, by comparison, allows more than 70 ppg, more than 76 ppg away from home. The Orange haven't fared too well in recent seasons against other top tier defenses - and they haven't faced one this good. Syracuse is just 7-13 ATS (6-14 SU) its last 20, against teams which allow 64 or fewer points per game. While they've put together a nice run without him, this is a matchup where the Orange could have really used Bourama Sidibe. Having not played since 3/21 and taking some practices off, Houston's Jarreau will be ready to play. While he may be less than 100%, he's a warrior and I expect him to be ready to go. Though they're the favorites, I feel that the pressure is a little less now on Houston. Not only is Syracuse a big name team from a top conference but down double-digits, late in the second half last game, the Cougars were already done. Look for them to carry the momentum from that comeback into Saturday's game, ultimately, their superior defense leading to the win and cover. |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Rockets v. Wolves OVER 228 | Top | 129-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/Minnesota OVER the total. These teams were scoring at a reasonable clip in last night's game until Houston stopped doing so in the fourth. I don't expect that to happen again. Note that the last time that the Rockets played the second of b2b games, they put up 117 against Toronto. Keep in mind that these are the two worst teams in the West. They're not going to the playoffs. Neither defense is good to begin with, a big reason for their bad records. Playing the second of b2b games, there's not going to be much defensive intensity. Even factoring in last ngiht's result, the OVER is still a healthy 47-36 the past 2+ seasons, when Minnesota faced a sub-500 opponent. Expect those stats to improve here. |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARKANSAS. Oral Roberts has been one of the best stories of the tournament. However, that story comes to an end here. In case you haven't noticed, the SEC turned out to be really good. Alabama is still looking strong. LSU very nearly knocked off Michigan. The Razorbacks have beaten both those teams, too. They're also off a win over a strong Texas Tech team. These teams actually met last season. While Arkansas won by "only" 11, its worth mentioning that the line for that game was -19.5. Yet, this Arkansas team is bigger and deeper. It wasn't that long ago that Oral Roberts lost by 15 to South Dakota State. So, this team can be blown out. I expect the Razorbacks, 16-6 ATS as favorites, to keep the pedal to the metal the whole way, pulling away for perhaps the biggest blowout of the weekend. |
|||||||
03-26-21 | Rockets v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on Houston/Minnesota OVER the total. There's little reason for either team to play much defense in this one. There are 15 teams in the Western Conference and these teams rank 14th and 15th. The T-Wolves give up an average of 117.3 ppg. Over their last five games, that number climbs to 121.8 ppg. The T-Wolves have given up more than 110 points in seven straight and 14 of their last 15. Yet, they're the favorite here, which means they're going to have to score a lot themselves. The Rockets allowed 122 last time out. That was at home but their defense has been much worse on the road all season. Whiile its been awhile since they played away from home, they've given up 112 or more points in nine straight road games, 118 or more in seven of those. While the majority of Houston's games overall have stayed below the total, the OVER is 9-6 when the Rockets played a road game with an O/U line of 220 or more. More? The OVER is a perfect 5-0 the past five times that Minnesota faced a team with a winning percentage below .400 AND a perfect 5-0 the past five times that the T-Wolves played with one day's rest in between games. Expect plenty of offensive fireworks. |
|||||||
03-26-21 | Suns v. Raptors +4.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Raptors didn't trade Kyle Lowry after all. I expect that to be a big relief and I look for them to make a determined push for the playoffs. While Powell (traded for Trent and Hood) was doing a lot, its Lowry who remains the heart and soul of the team. For now. He was +42 while on the floor last game. Siakim has admittedly been inconsistent. However, he's streaky and when he's on - as he is right now - he's very tough to stop. (Over his last two games, Siakim has 48 points and 18 rebounds.) The Suns beat the Raptors earlier in the season. However, Toronto was off to a terrible start at the time and that game was at Phoenix. Off a destruction of Denver last time out and now in their (temporary) "home," I expect the Raptors to get some payback. They're 8-5 ATS their last 13 in the 'revenge' role. Relieved from the deadline having passes, expect them to improve on those stats with a great shot at the outright win. |
|||||||
03-25-21 | Blazers v. Heat OVER 219 | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on Portland/Miami OVER the total. When the Blazers visited here last season, the final score finished above the total by double-digits. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair this evening. While the Blazers play higher-scoring games on the road than they do at home, the Heat play higher-scoring games at home, than they do on the road. The OVER is 10-5 the past 2+ seasons, when the Heat were off three or more consecutive losses. During that span, the OVER is also 26-18 when the Heat were off a double-digit loss. The Blazers' last couple of games have just barely stayed beneath the total. Their last game had an O/U line of 232 and it finished with 228. Their previous game had an O/U line of 227.5 and finished with 224. Their previous game had 244. Including last year's high-scoring game here, the OVER is 17-7 the past 24 times that Portland faced a team from the Southeast. Expect those stats to improve Thursday night. |
|||||||
03-24-21 | Mavs v. Wolves OVER 229.5 | Top | 128-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas/Minnesota OVER the total. In this season's earlier meeting, the Mavs had 71 points by halftime. The final score of 127-122 finished well above the total of 229. We're working with a similar O/U number tonight and I'm expecting another very high-scoring affair. While the opposite is true when they play winning teams, the 'over' has been profitable when the Mavs face sub-500 teams. In fact, nine of Dallas' 13 games (69%) against teams with losing records have finished above the number. The TWolves are off a rare upset loss - they're not favored often for there to be upsets - as they fell to OKC on Monday. Thats a situation (Minnesota off an upset loss) which has seen the OVER go 18-9 the past couple of seasons. With the Mavs having put up 132 last time out, expect another high-scoring affair. |
|||||||
03-23-21 | Nuggets v. Magic +7.5 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on ORLANDO. The Magic have quietly been playing pretty well this month, particularly here at home. I believe that they're providing us with excellent value here. Through eight March games, Orlando is 5-3 ATS. That includes a 3-1 ATS mark at home and a 2-2 ATS record on the road. A closer look at the four March home games shows that even the lone 'non-cover' was actually just a 3-point SU loss. Last game here, the Magic beat Brooklyn outright. They also played very close games here against Miami, Atlanta and Dallas. None of those teams beat them by more than seven. The Nuggets are off a loss last time out and before that, they only beat Chicago by four. These teams will meet again in less than two weeks, at Denver. That one will set up favorably for the Nuggets, as the Magic will be off a late game at Utah the night before and playing the final leg of a 5-game road trip. This one, however, sets up nicely for the home team. Look for the Magic to continue their solid homecourt play this month, giving the Nuggets all they can handle with a great shot at the upset. |
|||||||
03-22-21 | Thunder v. Wolves -2 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The T-Wolves aren't favored often. However, they're favored here for good reason and I expect a win and cover. OKC is off a game yesterday. This will be Thunder's fifth game in the past eight days and fourth straight on the road. They're banged up and I expect it to catch up with them tonight. With the star center back, the T-Wolves have quietly covered four of their past six. That includes outright wins over the Pelicans, Blazers and Suns. Well-rested and playing arguably their best basketball of the season, venue in their favor, expect the T-Wolves to take advantage of this favorable scheduling situation. |
|||||||
03-22-21 | LSU v. Michigan UNDER 148.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on LSU/Michigan UNDER the total. These offenses are both very capable. That's why we're working with such a high number. However, the same can be said for the defenses. The Wolverines are an excellent defensive team. They allow an average of jus 65.4 ppg, while holding opposing teams to less than a 40% field goal percentage. The Tigers aren't as stingy as that (not many teams are) but they flexed their defensive muscles in the first round. They held St. Bonaventure to a mere 61 points. While no team has scored more than 70 against the Wolverines in their last five games, no team has scored more than 80 against the Tigers in their last six. With the UNDER at 8-1 the past nine (3-0 L3) times that the Wolverines played with one day or less worth of rest in between games, I look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
03-21-21 | Oral Roberts v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Gators are flying under the radar a bit, in my opinion. They could easily be laying double-digits in this one; Ohio State was -15 against Oral Roberts in the first round. Of course, the Golden Eagles deserve plenty of credit for upsetting the Buckeyes. Doing it twice in a row, however, is an entirely different matter. The Gators rallied when it mattered to take care of Virginia Tech. Now, momentum on their side, they get a dream matchup that they're more than capable of taking advantage of. Oral Roberts is 1-13 (SU) its last 14 against SEC teams. The Gators are 12-7 ATS their last 19, as neutral court favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Oral Roberts will likely be a popular pick as the Gators aren't getting much respect and many love to back the Cinderella team. I'm not buying it though. Superior defense and athletes, the Gators pull away for a convincing win and cover. |
|||||||
03-20-21 | Kings v. 76ers OVER 234.5 | Top | 105-129 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on Sacramento/Philadelphia OVER the total. These teams combined for 230 points when they met six weeks ago. I expect more than that tonight. A look at the earlier game shows that they had 137 by halftime, before the scoring dried up (93 points) in the second. This one should see the scoring continue the entire way. The Kings played last night and they're at the end of a road trip; the 76ers are going to push the pace the entire way and look to run them right out of the building. The last time that Philly played a team from the West, they put up 134 points. Overall, the OVER is 8-5 in their games against teams from the West. Expect those stats to improve this evening, as this one turns into a track meet. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Winthrop v. Villanova OVER 140.5 | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winthrop/Villanova OVER the total. Over the years, I've often had success with 'unders' in the first round of the NCAA Tournament with a "big name team" playing a lesser known one. I look for situations where I expect a heavy favorite to get off to a big lead and then slow the pace. This game features a big name team against a lesser one. However, the big name team (Villanova) is not a heavy favorite and I'm not expecting a blowout. Indeed, Winthrop comes in with a 23-1 record and thinking upset. Indeed, you'll hear a lot of people saying the same thing. It could happen. That said, banged up or not, this is still Villanova, we're talking about. While I don't know about the side, I DO know that the Eagles can score. They average 79.5 ppg. They're hitting better than 47% of their field goals, the past five games and have scored 80 or more in three straight. Yes, they are dealing with injuries but the Wildcats aren't going to roll over. They still average more than 75 ppg themselves and know that they're not going to win this game without putting up fairly big number. As I write this, Villanova is a -6.5 point favorite, across the board. That's worth mentioning as the OVER is a perfect 4-0 the past four times that the Wildcats were neutral court favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Its possible the line comes down and falls out of that range. Either way, however, during the same span, the OVER is 11-6 in all Villanova's neutral site games. Winthrop hasn't been an underdog for a long time. The last two times, however, that the Eagles were underdogs (12/3 and 12/19) the final scores were 155 and 158, both finishing above the number. The OVER is also 5-1 the past six times that Winthrop played with seven or more day's rest in between games. Expect those stats to improve Friday night. |
|||||||
03-16-21 | Pelicans v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 124-125 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on PORTLAND. This is the first of two straight between these teams. They'll meet again Thursday. I believe that the Blazers are going to be the hungrier team for this one. I also feel that they're offering excellent value. Yes, the Pelicans have looked good their last couple of games. However, keep in mind that they're still only 5-12 on the road. The Blazers, on the other hand, are 11-7 at home. Thursday will mark the first of b2b games for the Blazers, as they play Dallas the next night. The Pelicans get a couple days off after Thursday. I mention that to emphasize the importance of winning tonight for the Blazers. Off a loss and having dropped two of three since the break, Portland needs to take care of business tonight. Note that Portland is 4-2 ATS off an upset loss. As for the Pelicans, they're 5-14 SU/ATS after scoring 115 or more points in their previous game and that includes an 0-4 SU/ATS mark after scoring 130 or more. Blazers roll. |
|||||||
03-16-21 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 216 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY/Philadelphia UNDER the total. Yesterday's game at Brooklyn snuck over the total. However, NY road games have typically been low-scoring. Even factoring in yesterday's result, the UNDER is still 14-8 when the Knicks play away from MSG. Entering last night's game, NY road games were averaging 206 points, NY scoring only 102 and allowing just 104. Tonight, they'll face a stingy Philadelphia defense which allows 105.4 ppg in its division games. Speaking of division games, prior to last night, NY division games were averaging a paltry 196.5 points. This season's earlier meeting saw NY manage a mere 89 points, Philly winning 109-89. Four of the past five meetings have produced less than 214 points, three of those finished with less than 200. The last time (2/28) that the Knicks played the second of b2b games, the final score stayed comfortably below the total. Expect this one to do the same. |
|||||||
03-15-21 | Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on Indiana/Denver OVER the total. The Nuggets have seen their past four games finish below the total. Thats worked in our favor by keeping this O/U line a little lower than it easily could have been. I believe it'll prove to be too low. The Nuggets had their winning streak snapped last time out, as they fell 116-103 to the Mavs. Thats noteworthy as the OVER is 5-1 this season, when they were off a double-digit loss. The Indiana offense got rolling last time out, as they put up 122 points at Phoenix. (Over is 6-3 when they were off a double-digit win and now 13-6 in their road games, overall.) Anxious to avenge an earlier loss at Indiana, note that the OVER is 7-2 when the Pacers played with 'revenge.' Last year's meeting here finished above the total. I expect this one to do the same. |
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Ben Burns Basketball Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -100 | 54 h 13 m | Show |
06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 223 | Top | 98-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 233.5 | Top | 86-125 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | Top | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
06-04-21 | Clippers -148 v. Mavs | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 225.5 | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
06-01-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 207 | Top | 85-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
06-01-21 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 210 | Top | 100-92 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics +7 | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | Top | 129-141 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
05-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 216 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 40 m | Show |
05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 221.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show |
05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 238.5 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 222.5 | Top | 96-100 | Win | 103 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
05-16-21 | Bucks v. Bulls +2.5 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
05-14-21 | Cavs +8.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-120 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
05-12-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -6 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 232 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
05-11-21 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 225 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
05-10-21 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 110-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
05-09-21 | Pelicans v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
05-08-21 | Nets v. Nuggets OVER 229.5 | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
05-07-21 | Magic v. Hornets -7 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
05-06-21 | Lakers v. Clippers -8 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
05-06-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -1 | Top | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
05-05-21 | Knicks v. Nuggets -3 | Top | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show |
05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
05-03-21 | Spurs v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
05-03-21 | 76ers v. Bulls +6 | Top | 106-94 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
05-03-21 | Magic v. Pistons OVER 210 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
05-02-21 | Blazers v. Celtics -2 | Top | 129-119 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
05-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Magic OVER 221 | Top | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
04-30-21 | Bucks v. Bulls +5 | Top | 108-98 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
04-30-21 | Spurs v. Celtics -4 | Top | 140-143 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
04-29-21 | Mavs v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
04-28-21 | Hornets v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
04-27-21 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 232.5 | Top | 116-103 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
04-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 96-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
04-26-21 | Jazz v. Wolves OVER 228 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
04-25-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
04-24-21 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 233 | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
04-23-21 | Cavs v. Hornets OVER 209.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
04-22-21 | Pistons v. Spurs -7.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
04-21-21 | Nets v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings OVER 237.5 | Top | 134-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
04-19-21 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 212.5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
04-18-21 | Kings v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
04-17-21 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 225.5 | Top | 100-121 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
04-16-21 | Grizzlies v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
04-15-21 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 224.5 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
04-14-21 | Mavs v. Grizzlies OVER 225.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
04-14-21 | Bucks v. Wolves +9.5 | Top | 130-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
04-13-21 | Celtics v. Blazers OVER 227 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
04-12-21 | Lakers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
04-11-21 | Bulls v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
04-10-21 | Pistons v. Blazers OVER 224.5 | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
04-09-21 | Bulls v. Hawks -3 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
04-08-21 | Blazers +7 v. Jazz | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
04-08-21 | Pistons v. Kings OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 225.5 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
04-07-21 | Hornets v. Thunder OVER 213.5 | Top | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
04-06-21 | Grizzlies v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 124-112 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
04-05-21 | Pistons v. Thunder OVER 212.5 | Top | 132-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
04-04-21 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | Top | 122-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
04-03-21 | Knicks v. Pistons OVER 201 | Top | 125-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135 | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 53 m | Show |
04-02-21 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 231 | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
04-01-21 | 76ers v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 114-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
03-31-21 | Kings v. Spurs -2 | Top | 106-120 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
03-31-21 | Blazers v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 124-101 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -7 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor OVER 149 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
03-29-21 | Grizzlies v. Rockets OVER 221.5 | Top | 120-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston -7.5 | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC UNDER 139 | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 45 m | Show |
03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 15 m | Show |
03-27-21 | Syracuse v. Houston -6 | Top | 46-62 | Win | 100 | 107 h 9 m | Show |
03-27-21 | Rockets v. Wolves OVER 228 | Top | 129-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
03-27-21 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
03-26-21 | Rockets v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
03-26-21 | Suns v. Raptors +4.5 | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
03-25-21 | Blazers v. Heat OVER 219 | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
03-24-21 | Mavs v. Wolves OVER 229.5 | Top | 128-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
03-23-21 | Nuggets v. Magic +7.5 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
03-22-21 | Thunder v. Wolves -2 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
03-22-21 | LSU v. Michigan UNDER 148.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
03-21-21 | Oral Roberts v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
03-20-21 | Kings v. 76ers OVER 234.5 | Top | 105-129 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
03-19-21 | Winthrop v. Villanova OVER 140.5 | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 2 m | Show |
03-16-21 | Pelicans v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 124-125 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
03-16-21 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 216 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
03-15-21 | Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |