Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-22-22 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 9:45 pm et on Wednesday. The Royals have taken the first two games of this series but I look for the Angels to finally answer back with Shohei Ohtani on the mound on Wednesday. Ohtani barely broke a sweat in his most recent outing, allowing just three hits over six innings of shutout ball in Seattle. The Angels have now won each of Ohtani's last two starts and all five of their victories with him on the hill this season have come by at least three runs. Shohei enters Wednesday's start sporting a terrific 3.09 FIP and 1.09 WHIP. His counterpart on Wednesday will be left hander Daniel Lynch. He was terrific in his most recent start but that came against the light-hitting A's in Oakland. Note that he will be pitching on just four days' rest here after notching a season-high 10 strikeouts in that five-inning effort in Oakland. Lynch checks in with a 4.50 FIP and 1.53 WHIP this season. Despite shining in his most recent start, Lynch has allowed north of 5.3 runs per nine innings this season. While last night's game was a wild, high-scoring affair, the Angels bullpen continues to hold up better than expected - at least recently - posting a collective 3.37 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over their last seven contests. The Royals 'pen has been terrific lately as well, but is nothing to write home about on the road, where it has recorded a 4.22 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (6*). |
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06-22-22 | Guardians v. Twins -145 | 11-10 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Cleveland at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. We missed with the Twins last night as they rallied late but they coughed up a two-run lead before falling in 11 innings. I won't hesitate to go right back to the well with them on Wednesday, however. We have a fine starting pitching matchup in this one as the Guardians send Triston McKenzie to the hill against Sonny Gray of the Twins. McKenzie has generally pitched well this season but continues to have a tough time keeping the ball in the park, allowing 1.4 home runs per nine innings including 10 over his last six outings. The Twins have hit 48 home runs in 35 games at home this season compared to just 30 in 34 road contests. Note also that McKenzie has posted a 1-3 team record in four career starts against Minnesota. Twins starter Sonny Gray has 'turned back the clock' this season, posting a terrific 2.74 FIP and 0.93 WHIP in 38 2/3 innings of work. Opponents are averaging just under 2.1 runs per nine innings against the veteran right hander. You would have to go back five starts to find the last time Cleveland defeated Gray. The Guardians may have a slight edge in terms of the two bullpens although it's been virtually a wash as far as the numbers go over the last seven games with Cleveland's 'pen posting a 1.12 WHIP and Minnesota countering with a 1.08 WHIP. Take Minnesota (8*). |
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06-22-22 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams were involved in a relatively high-scoring extra innings affair last night as the two bullpens took turns coughing up leads late. Generally speaking, both relief corps' have been solid this season, however, and I look for a lower-scoring contest on Wednesday. Triston McKenzie gets the call for the visiting Guardians. He checks in with a 4.37 FIP, largely due to his struggles with keeping the ball in the park. Outside of his 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings, his numbers are terrific, most notably a 0.93 WHIP and just 2.96 runs allowed per nine innings. Sonny Gray will counter for the Twins. He's having an even better season than McKenzie, albeit with a smaller sample size (he's missed some time due to injury). Gray checks in with a terrific 2.74 FIP and 0.93 WHIP. Opponents have averaged just 2.09 runs per nine innings off of him this season. As I mentioned, last night's contest notwithstanding, the two bullpens have been solid this season. Cleveland's 'pen has posted a 2.02 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over its last seven games while Minnesota's relief corps' sports a 3.12 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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06-22-22 | Yankees -134 v. Rays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Rays evened this series at a game apiece with a narrow victory last night. I look for the Yankees to answer back on Wednesday. Jordan Montgomery is sometimes the forgotten arm in the Yankees outstanding starting rotation. He's coming off another fine outing against a tough Blue Jays lineup in Toronto and checks in sporting a 3.54 FIP and 0.95 WHIP in 72 2/3 innings of work this season. Opponents are averaging a paltry 2.7 runs per nine innings off the left-hander. Tampa Bay will give Shane Baz another turn in the rotation on Wednesday. The Yankees did see him once last season, chasing him after only 2 2/3 innings. Baz has worked only 8 1/3 innings this season so you can take his 3.97 FIP and 0.96 WHIP with a grain of salt as far as I'm concerned. Note that his walks have already crept up, averaging 3.2 per nine innings while opponents have averaged 5.4 runs per nine innings off of him. The bullpens have virtually been a wash lately but I believe the Yankees starting pitching and hitting edges should be enough here. Take New York (8*). |
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06-22-22 | Nationals v. Orioles -140 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Interleague Game of the Week. My selection is on Baltimore over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Nationals shut out the Orioles in the opener of this series last night but I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday as Baltimore holds a substantial starting pitching edge. You have to wonder how many more opportunities we'll get to fade Nationals starter Patrick Corbin. He checks in sporting a 4.83 FIP and 1.78 WHIP this season, allowing just shy of 7.9 runs per nine innings. The Orioles aren't exactly tearing the cover off the baseball right now but they do average 4.4 runs per game against left-handed starters this season, going 13-13 compared to 17-26 against right-handers. Tyler Wells will counter for Baltimore. He has posted a 4.31 FIP and 1.07 WHIP, allowing 4.7 fewer hits and 1.7 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Corbin. The O's should have the edge in the later innings as well as their bullpen has been terrific lately, recording a collective 1.63 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over their last seven games. The Washington 'pen sports a 6.10 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the road this season. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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06-22-22 | Phillies -130 v. Rangers | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia first five innings over Texas at 4:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rangers crushed the Phillies by a 7-0 score last night, handing Philadelphia its second straight loss. I look for the Phillies to bounce back on Wednesday afternoon, at least early on. Philadelphia has a substantial edge in terms of the starting pitching matchup with Zack Wheeler taking the ball against Jon Gray of the Rangers. Wheeler has been his usual dominant self this season, posting a 2.31 FIP and 1.04 WHIP. Opponents are reaching him for just north of 2.9 runs per nine innings. While Jon Gray comes off consecutive solid outings, that's about as much as we can expect from the veteran right-hander. Note that he has recorded a 3.36 FIP and 1.20 WHIP, allowing just shy of 4.3 runs per nine innings. Gray checks in allowing 1.5 additional walks per nine innings compared to Wheeler. By playing the first five innings only we'll avoid tempting fate with a Phillies bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a 4.39 ERA and 1.60 WHIP with six blown saves (compared to eight converted) on the road this season. Take Philadelphia first five innings (10*). |
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06-22-22 | Blue Jays -108 v. White Sox | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Blue Jays have dropped the first two games in this series and while Ross Stripling might not appear to be the right starter to turn things around on Wednesday, I actually like the matchup here. Stripling has held up well as a back-of-the-rotation option this season, recording a 2.98 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while allowing just under 3.5 runs per nine innings. He ran into trouble in his most recent outing but that came against the hot-hitting Yankees. Here, he'll have the benefit of starting against the White Sox for the first time in his career. Lucas Giolito will get the start for Chicago. His FIP has climbed all the way to 4.86 while his WHIP sits at 1.49. Giolito probably carries a more favorable reputation than Stripling but the numbers don't bear out such a stance this season, noting that he's allowed 1.9 more hits, 1.4 more home runs and 2.0 more walks per nine innings compared to Stripling this season. Behind Stripling is a Blue Jays bullpen that coughed up a ninth-inning lead last night and has generally struggled lately. However, it's worth noting that the White Sox 'pen hasn't exactly been lights out at home this season, posting a collective 5.51 ERA and 1.61 WHIP with nine saves converted and eight blown. Take Toronto (8*). |
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06-21-22 | Mariners -137 v. A's | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
MLB Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Seattle over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Mariners may be struggling but a trip to Oakland to face the lowly A’s should help them bust out of their slump. Marco Gonzales will take the ball for Seattle on Tuesday. His numbers aren’t great this season by any means but they’re without question superior to those of Tuesday's opposing starter, James Kaprielian. Gonzales has recorded a 5.42 FIP and 1.31 WHIP while Kaprielian checks in with a 6.49 FIP and 1.50 WHIP. The Mariners left-hander should be happy to see the A's, noting that he owns a career 1.17 WHIP in 15 starts against them with Seattle winning 10 of those games. Kaprielian had a nice rookie campaign last season but hasn't been able to get on track in 2022, particularly at home where he owns a 7.42 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in four starts, spanning only 17 innings of work. While the team has had a tough time, Seattle’s bullpen has held up well recently, entering this series with a 1.00 WHIP over its last seven games. The Mariners bats have been quiet but their 3.8 per game scoring average away from home this season is still far better than Oakland’s 2.4 runs per contest at home. Noting that Seattle is 9-3 in its last 12 games played here in Oakland, I look for it to take advantage of this opportunity to right the ship, even just for one night, on Tuesday. Take Seattle (10*). |
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06-21-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. While he’s been up-and-down lately, Jays starter Kevin Gausman owns an excellent track record this season, posting an incredible 1.75 FIP through his first 13 starts. He allows too many hits (10.0 per nine innings) but makes up for it by limiting his walks (1.4 per nine innings) and putting up nice strikeout totals (just shy of 10.0 per nine innings). His counterpart on Tuesday will be Dylan Cease. He’s had the opposite problem, issuing more than four walks but limiting opponents to only 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has posted a solid 2.78 FIP this season. Cease enters this outing in terrific form, having not allowed an earned run over his last four starts, covering a span of 21 1/3 innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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06-21-22 | Cardinals -125 v. Brewers | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
My selection is on St. Louis first five innings over Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the Cardinals in the first five innings only in this game as the Brewers do hold advantages in the later innings in this one with a bullpen that has posted a collective 0.00 ERA and 0.76 WHIP over their last seven contests. In the early innings, I expect it to be all Cards as they give Jack Flaherty his second start since returning from the I.L. on Tuesday. Flaherty wasn't particularly effective in his first outing against the Pirates last week but did get loose with a three-inning outing, allowing three hits, two walks, two earned runs while striking out three. I expect him to work a little deeper into this contest and I'm confident he can handle the Brewers lineup, noting that he faced them twice last season, allowing just two earned runs in 12 innings. Milwaukee will trot out waiver-wire pick-up Chi Chi Gonzalez. He'll be pitching for his third club since last season after getting cut loose by the Rockies and Twins. Neither of those teams have particularly strong pitching staffs to begin with so the fact that he was unable to stick should raise red flags. He's only in Milwaukee out of necessity as the Brewers have Freddy Peralta on the I.L. Gonzalez owns a career 5.37 FIP and 1.50 WHIP. In two starts with the Twins this season he was tagged for 12 hits and six earned runs over seven innings of work. The Cards bats were quiet against Corbin Burnes last night but I look for them to come alive early in this one. Take St. Louis first five innings (10*). |
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06-21-22 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Texas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This game features a pair of ‘bet-on’ veteran starting pitchers - at least this season - in Kyle Gibson and Martin Perez and I’m anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair. First, let’s talk about the bullpens. The Phillies got a much-needed day off on Monday - their first since June 6th. Their ‘pen has admittedly struggled but that day off should serve them well entering this series against the Rangers. Texas’ relief corps’ has been fairly reliable, recording a collective 1.09 WHIP over its last seven games and a 3.88 ERA and 1.20 WHIP at home this season. Back to the starters, Gibson owns a 3.59 FIP and 1.22 WHIP this season, allowing just north of four runs per nine innings. He’s coming off a quality outing against Miami in which he gave up just one earned run over eight innings. Martin Perez is having a career year, recording a 2.10 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through his first 13 starts this season. That’s not to mention a 2.62 FIP, yielding less than 2.7 runs per nine innings. Take the under (8*). |
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06-21-22 | Guardians v. Twins -160 | 6-5 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota over Cleveland at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday. Aaron Civale is expected to make his return from a thigh injury as the Guardians open a series in Minnesota on Tuesday. Civale wasn’t pitching particularly well prior to going down to injury, recording a 4.97 FIP and 1.52 WHIP in seven starts. Opponents have run up the score against him, averaging a ridiculous 9.0 runs per nine innings. Twins starter Joe Ryan knows a thing or two about returning from injury as he did so in his last start against the Mariners last week. Ryan checks in with a respectable 3.73 FIP and 1.02 WHIP, allowing a whopping 4.6 hits fewer per nine innings compared to Civale this season. We’re not talking about all that different of a sample size as Ryan has made just two more starts than Civale. Also worth noting, opponents are averaging fewer than 3.0 runs per nine innings off of Ryan this season. The Guardians are playing well for sure, but I’m willing to bet the Twins cool them off at Target Field on Tuesday. Take Minnesota (8*). |
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06-21-22 | Cubs v. Pirates -150 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Chicago at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll fade Matt Swarmer again here, just as we did in his last outing, as he makes is fifth start of the season. The rookie right-hander has posted an ugly 8.74 FIP through his first 20+ innings of work this season, allowing north of four home runs and 6.5 runs per nine innings. It’s been a much different story for Pirates starter Roansy Contreras as he’s been making the most of his opportunities, recording a 3.87 FIP while allowing only 3.9 runs per nine innings through eight appearances including five starts. While far from dominant, the right-hander has done a nice job of keeping his team in the game in all five of his starts this season. The Buccos should also have the advantage in the later innings in this one as Chicago’s bullpen entered this series sporting a collective 9.64 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over its last seven games, covering a span of 28 innings. The Cubs are a losing team on the road this season and I expect them to fall short again here. Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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06-20-22 | Royals v. Angels -180 | 6-2 | Loss | -180 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Kansas City at 9:35 pm et on Monday. The Angels have quietly gotten back on track following a miserable stretch, winning four of their last five games entering Monday's series opener against the Royals. They'll have a considerable edge in terms of the starting pitchers in this one as they send Noah Syndergaard to the mound against Kris Bubic of the Royals. Syndergaard has turned in a couple of shaky outings but for the most part, has delivered for his new club, posting a 3.72 FIP and 1.18 WHIP. He's been at his best here at home, where he checks in sporting a 1.48 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in five starts spanning 30 1/3 innings. His counterpart on Monday hasn't been nearly as effective. Bubic owns an ugly 5.66 FIP and 1.89 WHIP. Opponents are lighting him up to the tune of 8.4 runs per nine innings. While the Angels bats have been relatively quiet aside from Mike Trout, I look for a breakout performance against the Royals pitching staff here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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06-20-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Cardinals enter Monday's series-opener in Milwaukee on the heels of five consecutive 'over' results. I expect a different story to unfold here, however, as we have a terrific starting pitching matchup featuring Miles Mikolas - who fell just short of delivering a no-hitter in his last start - and Corbin Burnes, fresh off a masterful performance against a tough Mets lineup last time out. Mikolas owns a 3.36 FIP and 0.97 WHIP this season and will be starting on a full five days' rest on Monday. Opponents are averaging just 2.8 runs per nine innings against him this season. While the Cards have lost three of their last four games, their bullpen hasn't been to blame. They entered yesterday's action sporting a 2.45 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over their last seven games. Corbin Burnes hasn't dominated the way he did last season but has still posted a terrific 3.08 FIP and 0.95 WHIP this season. I mentioned his last start against the Mets, it's worth noting that he didn't issue a walk for the first time in five starts in that outing. Burnes has been at his best against division opponents this season, recording a 2.42 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in four starts against the N.L. Central. Incredibly, the Brewers bullpen hasn't allowed a single earned run over its last eight games. Take the under (10*). |
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06-20-22 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Monday. This is the best starting pitching matchup on Monday's board as the Giants send Logan Webb to the hill against Max Fried of the Braves. Webb has posted a 3.08 FIP and 1.18 WHIP this season. Better still, he has recorded a 1.08 WHIP on the road this season. He's also coming off his best start of the campaign as he tossed seven shutout innings against the Royals last week. Fried has been even better, posting a 2.80 FIP and 1.05 WHIP this season. He wasn't at his best in his most recent start but now he gets to pitch on a full five days' rest again and I expect him to hold the Giants bats in check. Note that opponents are averaging just a shade over 3.0 runs per nine innings against Fried this season. Beyond Webb and Fried, both bullpens have excelled lately, posting sub-2.00 ERA's over the last week. Take the under (10*). |
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06-20-22 | Tigers v. Red Sox -173 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Monday. While the Tigers are coming off consecutive wins, those came at the expense of one of the league's most disappointing teams in the Texas Rangers. Detroit still checks in just 2-6 over its last eight games and 9-18 on the road this season, where it averages just 2.3 runs per game. Boston has been arguably the best team in baseball since mid-May and is fresh off another series victory over the Cardinals. While the Red Sox wouldn't appear to have any sort of substantial edge in terms of tonight's starting pitching matchup, I'm comfortable supporting rookie Josh Winckowski in his third start of the season. I like the fact that his two previous starts have also come at Fenway Park. He certainly looked comfortable pitching here last time out as he tossed five shutout innings against the A's and will face a similar challenge against the light-hitting Tigers here. Alex Faedo counters for Detroit. He owns a 4.40 FIP and 1.40 WHIP this season. This will be arguably his toughest test to date and he'll be starting on just four days' rest after getting lit up to the tune of seven earned runs on nine hits over three innings against the White Sox last time out. While the Tigers bullpen was one of their only redeeming qualities earlier in the season, it has struggled lately, posting a 6.90 ERA and 1.90 WHIP over the last seven games entering yesterday's contest. Take Boston (8*). |
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06-20-22 | Marlins v. Mets -151 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Miami at 1:10 pm et on Monday. The Mets ran into the Marlins best starting pitcher yesterday in Sandy Alcantara and fell by a 6-2 score. I look for them to answer back in Monday's series-finale. While New York doesn't have a considerable starting pitcher advantage in this matchup, I do rate David Peterson slightly better than Trevor Rogers this season. Peterson checks in with a 1.33 WHIP compared to Rogers' 1.64. It's also worth noting that Peterson has allowed 2.7 fewer hits and 0.8 fewer home runs per nine innings this season. Neither starter has proven capable of working deep into ball games which could lead to a battle of the bullpens here. In that department, I do give New York the advantage as its 'pen has posted a 3.67 ERA and 1.22 WHIP here at home this season. By contrast, the Marlins relief corps has posted a 5.09 ERA and 1.35 WHIP with eight blown saves compared to nine converted on the road this season. Take New York (8*). |
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06-18-22 | Phillies -208 v. Nationals | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. The Phillies will hand the ball to Aaron Nola on Saturday afternoon as the Nationals counter with Josiah Gray. Nola has quietly put together a fine campaign so far, recording a 3.09 FIP and 0.89 WHIP in 13 starts. Gray has been a train wreck for the Nats and is fortunate to get another turn in the rotation. He has posted a 5.43 FIP and 1.32 WHIP, allowing a whopping 4.2 walks per nine innings while giving up just shy of 4.5 runs per nine innings. Philadelphia entered yesterday's double-header averaging 5.5 runs per game on the road this season while the Nats averaged just 3.6 runs per contest at home. Take Philadelphia (6*). |
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06-18-22 | Rays -159 v. Orioles | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
A.L. East Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Baltimore at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. The Orioles have been a 'tough out' all season and proved to be so again last night as they outlasted the Rays by a 1-0 score. I look for the Rays to answer back on Saturday against perhaps the Orioles weakest starting pitcher in Kyle Bradish. Bradish owns a 5.61 FIP and 1.67 WHIP this season. His counterpart on Saturday will be Jeffrey Springs, who has recorded a 3.16 FIP and 0.91 WHIP. Springs has given up 5.4 fewer hits and 1.4 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Bradish this season. Note that Bradish is allowing a whopping 7.1 runs per nine innings. Tampa Bay has now lost four games in a row but if they're to break that skid in Baltimore, this looks like the best matchup to do so. Note that despite the 1-0 loss last night, the Rays are still 28-8 in their last 36 matchups with Baltimore. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 3:05 pm et on Saturday. The Yankees bats came alive against back-of-the-rotation starter Ross Stripling and the Blue Jays bullpen last night. I do look for Alek Manoah to do a better job of keeping them in check on Saturday. Note that Manoah has posted a 2.95 FIP and 0.91 WHIP this season. His counterpart on Saturday has been almost as good in Jameson Taillon of the Yankees. He has recorded a 3.15 FIP and 1.05 WHIP. Better still, Taillon owns a 1.01 WHIP in 27 2/3 innings of work on the road this season while Manoah has posted a ridiculous 0.74 WHIP in 40 1/3 innings pitched at home. All due respect to both offenses in this matchup but I think we're in for a pitcher's duel. Take the under (8*). |
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06-17-22 | Twins -128 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Twins continue to quietly rack up victories, now nine games over .500 on the season. They'll hand the ball to left-hander Devin Smeltzer on Friday as he looks to continue what has been a terrific 2022 campaign to this point. While Smeltzer isn't flashy by any means - he isn't going to set opposing lineups on fire with strikeouts - he has been consistently delivering, posting a 2.81 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over his last three starts. His 4.91 FIP leaves a lot to be desired but his 0.97 WHIP tells a different story. The fact is, opponents have averaged just 2.38 runs per nine innings off of the southpaw this season. D'Backs veteran starter Madison Bumgarner got off to a nice start this season but has been unsteady lately, recording a 3.94 ERA and 1.69 WHIP over his last three trips to the hill. His FIP has ballooned north of 5.0 and opponents are averaging 4.2 runs per nine innings against him. He checks in allowing 2.1 more hits and 0.7 more walks per nine innings compared to Smeltzer. Both bullpens have held up well lately but I give the Twins offense a considerable edge in this matchup, noting that they average 4.5 runs per game on the road this season while the Snakes check in averaging just 3.7 runs per contest at home. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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06-17-22 | White Sox v. Astros -166 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston over Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The White Sox absolutely laid waste to a reeling Tigers club in a three-game series earlier this week. I expect them to find the going a little tougher in Houston, however. Lucas Giolito has had a tough time regaining past form here in 2022, posting a 4.44 FIP and 1.44 WHIP, giving up well north of 4.0 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, Astros starter Framber Valdez has been the picture of consistency, checking in with a 2.14 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over his last three outings. For the season, Valdez has recorded a 3.36 FIP and 1.13 WHIP. He's giving up 2.5 fewer hits and 1.5 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Giolito. We'll give the Astros bullpen the edge here as well as they've posted a collective 2.66 ERA and 1.13 WHIP with 17 saves converted and only four blown this season. Take Houston (8*). |
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06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Friday. Adam Wainwright has turned back the clock for the Cardinals this season, entering Friday's start on the heels of three straight outings lasting exactly seven innings, allowing just five earned runs over that stretch. He's posted a 3.51 FIP this season with opponents averaging just under 3.0 runs per nine innings against him. It's been a similar story for Red Sox starter Michael Wacha. The former Cardinal has recorded a 3.96 FIP and a 1.00 WHIP, giving up only 2.7 runs per nine innings. Wacha did labor through his most recent start but that came on the road. Here at Fenway Park he has posted a 0.86 ERA to go along with an identical 0.86 WHIP in four starts spanning 21 innings of work this season. Take the under (8*). |
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06-17-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 12-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Yankees are coming off a string of low-scoring games this week and I expect to chalk up another on Friday as they head north to face the Blue Jays. Jordan Montgomery will take the ball for New York. He has been quietly effective this season, posting a 3.46 FIP and 0.98 WHIP. Opponents are scoring just 2.7 runs per nine innings against the left-hander. In eight career starts against the Jays he has posted a 3.51 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Ross Stripling gets another turn in the rotation for the Blue Jays. To say that he's pitched well this season would be an understatement. He's exceeded expectations in what was supposed to only be a spot starting role, recording a 2.98 FIP and 1.00 WHIP. Like Montgomery he's done a tremendous job of keeping runs off the board, allowing only 3.35 runs per nine innings. With both bullpens capable of pitching effectively in the late innings, we'll confidently back the 'under' at a very generous number here. Take the under (8*). |
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06-17-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
N.L. East Game of the Month. My selection is on Philadelphia -1.5 runs over Washington at 1:05 pm et on Friday. We won with the Phillies last night as they trounced the Nationals in the opener of this series. I won't hesitate to go right back to the well with them on Friday afternoon in Game 1 of the day-night double-header. Ranger Suarez will take the ball for Philadelphia. His numbers certainly don't jump off the page this season, but they're far superior to those of Nationals starter Joan Adon, who inexplicably remains in the rotation despite a 6.95 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. Suarez checks in with a sub-4.00 career FIP with that number sitting at 4.17 this season. Again, his numbers don't really pop but Adon has allowed north of 10 hits and just shy of six walks, not to mention 7.3 runs per nine innings. Of course, starting pitching is only part of the equation and right now the Phillies are locked in at the plate, entering last night's game hitting .285 as a team over the last week. They also entered last night's action averaging 5.4 runs per game on the road while the Nats average just 3.7 runs per contest at home. While the Phillies bullpen is always a concern, I expect them to do enough offensively that it won't matter on Friday afternoon. Take Philadelphia -1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-16-22 | Brewers v. Mets -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Milwaukee at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. The Brewers smashed the Mets by a 10-2 score last night, taking full advantage of a pitching mismatch that featured Corbin Burnes against David Peterson. Here, the starting pitching matchup is virtually a wash, but I prefer backing the Mets bats, at home no less, where they've generally been dominant this season and have certainly thrived in a bounce-back role. I like the improvement we've seen from Mets starter Tylor Megill following his rookie campaign. He's posted a 3.56 FIP and 1.18 WHIP, going 4-2 in eight outings. Aaron Ashby has posted similar numbers in his sophomore campaign for the Brewers but his 4.1 walks per nine innings, not to mention his reliance on strikeouts (11 per nine innings) concern me. Take New York (8*). |
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06-16-22 | Rangers -134 v. Tigers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. The Rangers are coming off a tough series against the Astros, including a beatdown on Wednesday. I look for them to bounce back with a rejuvenated Martin Perez taking the hill in Detroit on Thursday. Perez has done more than just turn back the clock this season as he's never looked as good as he has in 2022. He checks into Thursday's start sporting a 2.72 FIP and 1.10 WHIP. He's allowed just 0.2 home runs per nine innings and should relish the opportunity to face the light-hitting Tigers here. Beau Brieske will counter for Detroit. He won his first career game against Toronto last time out but I suspect he'll have difficult stringing together another quality outing here. Note that Brieske has recorded a poor 6.06 FIP in nine starts spanning 47 2/3 innings of work this season and faces a Rangers lineup that has performed better on the road than at home this season. Take Texas (10*). |
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06-16-22 | Phillies -200 v. Nationals | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Phillies just keep finding ways to win while the Nationals are about as down-trodden as it gets following a series sweep at the hands of another N.L. East opponent, the red hot Atlanta Braves. I like the starting pitching edge the Phils hold in the opener of this series on Thursday as they send Zack Wheeler to the hill against Pat Corbin. Wheeler finished second in N.L. Cy Young Award voting last season and he's picked up right where he left off this season, recording a 2.13 FIP and 1.09 WHIP. Contrast that with Corbin, who owns a 4.56 FIP and 1.73 WHIP, allowing north of 12 hits while walking 3.5 batters per nine innings. While backing the Phillies bullpen is rarely fun, I'm not sure their relief corps will be asked to do too much on Thursday. Take Philadelphia (6*). |
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06-16-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 10-2 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto -1.5 runs over Baltimore at 3:05 pm et on Thursday. The Blue Jays have taken two of the first three games in this series after an extra innings victory last night. While Kevin Gausman dealt with possible pitch-tipping against the Twins a couple of starts back, he settled right back in against the Tigers last time out. He has posted a ridiculous 1.76 FIP this season, indicating his 5-5 win-loss record doesn't tell the whole story. While Gausman has yielded north of nine hits per nine innings, he's made up for it by limiting opponents to 1.3 walks and striking out just shy of 10 batters per nine frames. Tyler Wells has held his own for the Orioles but his numbers pale in comparison to those of the veteran Gausman. While the O's have managed to take one game already in this series and generally prove to be a 'tough out', I expect the Blue Jays to build off last night's walk-off win with a convincing series-clinching victory on Thursday. Take Toronto -1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-16-22 | Padres -192 v. Cubs | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Chicago at 2:20 pm et on Thursday. The Padres have been beating up on the Cubs all week long at Wrigley Field and I expect nothing different on Thursday. San Diego once again has a considerable starting pitching edge here with early N.L. Cy Young candidate Joe Musgrove taking the hill. He's enjoying a career year, having posted a 2.66 FIP and 0.93 WHIP. It quite simply doesn't get much better. While Cubs starter Matt Swarmer has made only three starts spanning 17 innings of work, his 8.79 FIP is alarming. He's been getting crushed by the long ball, allowing just shy of five home runs per nine innings. While those numbers are sure to come down as he gets more work in, I'm still not convinced he can outduel Musgrove or quiet the Padres hot bats on Thursday. Take San Diego (6*). |
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06-15-22 | Braves -170 v. Nationals | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Another tough matchup for the Nationals on Wednesday as they send Erick Fedde to the mound against Braves impressive rookie starter Spencer Strider. Fedder is having another difficult campaign having posted a 4.56 FIP and 1.54 WHIP. That FIP actually represents an improvement over his career mark of 5.09. Fedde is allowing north of nine hits and four walks per nine innings which obviously spells trouble against a loaded Braves lineup, even with Ozzie Albies now on the shelf. Spencer Strider will be making his fourth start of the season and while we're talking about a relatively small sample size, his numbers are still impressive. He has recorded a 2.00 FIP to go along with a 1.12 WHIP. While his 4.5 walks per nine innings are a concern, they've been negated by his ability to strike out opposing hitters (13.4 per nine innings) and give up few hits (5.6 per nine innings). Take Atlanta (8*). |
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06-15-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. You won't find a better pitching matchup on Wednesday's MLB board as the Rays hand the ball to Shane McClanahan against Nestor Cortes of the Yankees. Cortes has really come into his own this season, posting a 2.85 FIP and 0.92 WHIP. His 5-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio is impressive but pales in comparison to that of McClanahan, who has recorded a 7.5-1 K:BB ratio. McClanahan also owns a 2.45 FIP and 0.86 WHIP. The deeper you go with both starters, the more impressive the numbers get. While we are dealing with a relatively low posted total, I believe it's warranted. Take the under (8*). |
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06-15-22 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 4-7 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cincinnati and Arizona at 3:40 pm et on Wednesday. Terrific pitching matchup here as a rejuvenated Luis Castillo takes the hill for the Reds against Zac Gallen for the D'Backs. Gallen has struggled through his last few outings but what better spot to bounce back than at home against the light-hitting Reds. Cincinnati entered Tuesday's game averaging 3.0 runs per game on .211 hitting on the road this season. Gallen, despite his recent issues, still checks in with a 3.68 FIP and 1.07 WHIP this season. Castillo owns a 3.32 FIP and 1.13 WHIP. Both starters allow lees than 1.0 home run per nine innings. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. We settled for a 'push' with the 'over' in the opener of this series last night. We were probably fortunate to get the 'push' given the game saw just 11 total hits. Here, I expect more runs on the board as the Royals send Kris Bubic to the hill. Bubic has posted a 6.54 FIP and 2.03 WHIP in 22 2/3 innings of work this season. He's been tagged for just shy of 12 hits per nine innings. Opponents are averaging north of nine runs per nine innings against the left-hander this season. After struggling to make good contact against right-hander Brady Singer last night, the Giants will be pleased to face the southpaw Bubic here, noting that they've been at their best against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Logan Webb is the Giants ace but I will point out that he'll be pitching on short rest (four days) for a third consecutive start on Tuesday. He has allowed at least three runs in eight of his last 10 starts with opponents averaging just under four runs per nine innings against him this season. The Royals bats were quiet last night but had delivered at least 10 hits in five consecutive games prior to that. Take the over (8*). |
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06-14-22 | A's v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'over' went 2-0-1 when these two clubs met in a three-game series in Oakland earlier this month but it's not as if that series was particularly high-scoring as all three games totalled eight runs or less. Here, we're dealing with a higher total with the scene shifting to Boston and I believe it will prove too high. Jared Koenig gets the nod for the A's, making his second big league start. His first didn't go particularly well but it could have been worse. He lasted four innings, allowing four earned runs on five hits against a red hot Braves lineup, on the road no less. Koenig got the call-up after pitching exceptionally well at AAA this season, recording a 2.21 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 53 innings of work. After a shaky start to the season, Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta has really turned it around, lowering his FIP to 3.56 and his WHIP to 1.14. He's giving up just north of seven hits and right around 3.8 hits per nine innings. He's faced the A's twice since last season and on both occasions tossed seven shutout innings. With both teams checking in following an off-day on Monday, it should be all hands on deck as far as the bullpens go. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Boston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The 'over' went 2-0-1 when these two clubs met in a three-game series in Oakland earlier this month but it's not as if that series was particularly high-scoring as all three games totalled eight runs or less. Here, we're dealing with a higher total with the scene shifting to Boston and I believe it will prove too high. Jared Koenig gets the nod for the A's, making his second big league start. His first didn't go particularly well but it could have been worse. He lasted four innings, allowing four earned runs on five hits against a red hot Braves lineup, on the road no less. Koenig got the call-up after pitching exceptionally well at AAA this season, recording a 2.21 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 53 innings of work. After a shaky start to the season, Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta has really turned it around, lowering his FIP to 3.56 and his WHIP to 1.14. He's giving up just north of seven hits and right around 3.8 hits per nine innings. He's faced the A's twice since last season and on both occasions tossed seven shutout innings. With both teams checking in following an off-day on Monday, it should be all hands on deck as far as the bullpens go. Take the under (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm not sure Max Fried gets nearly enough credit as he's clearly one of the best starting pitchers in baseball and has been for a number of years. We've seen more of the same from Fried this season as he has recorded an impressive 2.90 FIP and 1.04 WHIP, not to mention a near 6-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Meanwhile, the Nationals are forced to turn to Jackson Tetreault on short notice after Stephen Strasburg landed back in the I.L. Tetreault has posted a 4.19 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 58 innings of work at the AAA level this season. His strikeout-to-walk ratio sits just north of 2-1 and that's against AAA hitters. While the Braves bullpen owns an edge over the Nationals relief corps at the best of times, here we find Washington's 'pen overworked, having logged north of 30 innings over their last seven games. Even if Atlanta can't break it open early, I'm confident they will late. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs (8*). |
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06-14-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
A.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees beat up on Cubs pitching all weekend long but after an off-day on Monday, I suspect they'll find the going much tougher against the Rays pitching staff on Tuesday. Corey Kluber will get the start for Tampa Bay. He's pitched well this season, including in a previous start against New York in which he gave up just one earned run over six innings back on May 28th. Kluber owns a 3.65 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, highlighted by just 1.5 walks per nine innings. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Yankees starter Gerrit Cole, who looks to bounce back from an ugly outing in Minnesota last week. In that start, Cole was rocked for seven earned runs including five home runs in just 2 1/3 innings. It happens. New York actually went on to win that game by a 10-7 score so no harm, no foul I suppose. In spite of that poor performance, Cole has still posted a solid 3.58 FIP and 1.08 WHIP this season. He's allowed just north of seven hits and 3.6 runs per nine innings. Note that Cole was on the mound for that game against Kluber on May 28th and he also gave up just one earned run over six innings. I like the fact that both teams follow an off-day here, giving their bullpens some much-needed rest. Both 'pens have performed well lately with the Rays relief corps recording a 1.23 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over their last seven games and the Yanks 'pen checking in with a 1.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and St. Louis at 1:15 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a high-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Cardinals won by a 7-5 score. The 'over' has now cashed in three straight games involving the Cards and I expect that streak to continue in Game 1 of Tuesday's double-header in St. Louis. Pirates starter JT Brubaker hasn't pitched well this season, posting a 4.35 FIP and 1.42 WHIP. Interestingly, that FIP is actually lower than his career number of 4.71. Cards rookie Matthew Liberatore has been far worse, even though we are talking about a small sample size of just three starts. He has recorded a 7.45 FIP and 1.85 WHIP. He checks in allowing over 11 hits and five walks per nine innings. Add in two struggling bullpens and I'm counting on plenty of offense on Tuesday. Take the over (8*). |
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06-13-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
Interleague Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. Scoring runs hasn't been a problem for the Royals lately. Keeping their opponents' bats at bay has been. Kansas City checks in having scored 8, 7, 8 , 4 and 7 runs over its last five games, recording double-digit hit totals in each of those contests. On the flip side, they've been lit up for 10+ hits in seven of their last eight games, allowing 5+ runs on six occasions over that stretch. I expect more of the same on Monday, even as they travel to San Francisco to face a Giants club that has seen the 'under' go 5-0-2 over its last seven contests. After facing Clayton Kershaw and Julio Urias over the last two games, Royals starter Brady Singer will offer a welcome change of pace for the Giants on Monday. Singer is allowing well north of nine hits and just shy of two home runs per nine innings this season with a disappointing 4.16 FIP. He hasn't issued a single walk over his last three starts yet still gave up 13 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings, which is telling. Giants starter Alex Wood is coming off a dominant seven-inning performance against the Rockies last time out but those type of performances have been few and far between. He sports a 4.74 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in five home starts this season. Like Singer, he is also giving up north of nine hits per nine innings and while he's done a good job of keeping the ball in the park, he does yield 2.4 walks per nine innings. Here, we'll note that the 'over' is a long-term 36-17 when the Royals play on the road against N.L. West opponents with those games averaging 10.0 total runs. The 'over' is also 16-6 with the Giants coming off an underdog win over a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 8.3 runs. Take the over (10*). |
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06-13-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While it may not garner much attention, Monday's series-opener between the Marlins and Phillies features a tremendous starting pitching matchup between Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola. Alcantara is an early N.L. Cy Young candidate - or should be at least. He probably doesn't get enough press since he pitches in Miami where the Marlins haven't been relevant for years. All Alcantara has done is post a 1.61 ERA and 0.94 WHIP not to mention a sub-2.00 FIP (1.96). While his 2.6 walks per nine innings are somewhat concerning, he's negated those by allowing just 5.9 hits and striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. Aaron Nola is coming off one of his best outings of the young season for the Phillies. He has seen his ERA drop to 3.50 and WHIP to 0.88. He's right there with Alcantara with a 3.24 FIP. Nola does allow right around a hit more per nine innings than Alcantara but also issues just 1.2 walk on average. While both bullpens have had their issues at times this season, I don't rate either offense all that high and feel we're in for a pitcher's duel on Monday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-12-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Miami at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. Marlins starter Edward Cabrera is off to a terrific start this season, allowing just one earned run in 12 innings of work. Of course, he's been able to pitch comfortably in both of those outings as his team's bats absolutely exploded, putting up 14 runs against Colorado and 12 runs against Washington. I expect a much different story to unfold today as the Marlins go up against Astros ace Justin Verlander. Verlander hardly pitched over the last two seasons but has come back strong here in 2022, posting a 2.13 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 71 2/3 innings of work. The Astros check in 7-1 over his last eight outings, winning four of those games by at least two runs, including a 4-1 victory over Seattle earlier this week - a game in which Verlander allowed only one earned run while striking out a season-high 12 in seven innings. Here, we'll note that the Marlins are a woeful 1-10 when coming off five consecutive games in which they allowed four runs or less over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by 2.5 runs on average in that situation. After dropping the first two games in this series we'll look for the Astros to bounce back big on Sunday. Take Houston -1.5 (10*). |
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06-11-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Miami at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Astros have had a miserable week so far but I look for them to bounce back from Friday's loss on Saturday afternoon against Miami. Framber Valdez has arguably been the Astros most reliable starter this season, going 6-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Braxton Garrett has made just one start for the Marlins this season but his career numbers aren't all that encouraging. In 45 career big league innings he has posted a 5.19 FIP, allowing 11 hits and 5.2 walks per nine innings. While his strikeout numbers are there, he's not likely going to get a loaded Astros lineup chasing too often on Saturday. We'll lay the extra run with Houston here, noting that it has won each of Valdez's last five starts by multiple runs. Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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06-11-22 | Brewers -159 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -159 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Washington at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. The Brewers finally have a true pitching mismatch in their favor on Saturday as they look to end their ugly seven-game losing streak. The Nats are just 8-12 against left-handed starters this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.1 runs in those games. They'll face a southpaw in Eric Lauer on Saturday. Lauer has posted a 3.68 FIP this season, compared to Patrick Corbin's 4.23 ledger. Lauer has also recorded a solid 1.11 WHIP. For his part, Corbin has posted a poor 1.76 WHIP. Layer also checks in allowing nearly five fewer hits while recording almost three more strikeouts per nine innings this season. Go up and down the list of categories and Lauer has been vastly superior to Corbin and I expect him to help the Brew Crew right the ship on Saturday afternoon. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego -1.5 runs over Colorado at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Rockies barely broke a sweat in taking two of three games from the slumping Giants in San Francisco. I suspect they'll find the going much tougher as they head to San Diego on Friday. Credit Chad Kuhl for holding up well for the Rockies after coming over from the Pirates in the offseason. It's not easy to go from making the majority of your starts at pitcher-friendly PNC Park in Pittsburgh to hitter's paradise Coors Field in Denver. He's not at the same level as Padres starter Joe Musgrove though, who belongs firmly in the N.L. Cy Young conversation based on early returns this season. While Kuhl has posted a 3.94 FIP, Musgrove checks in with a 2.76. Musgrove averages 1.4 fewer walks per nine innings while striking out 1.9 strikeouts more. That's not to mention the fact that Musgrove is giving up just 0.5 home runs per nine innings. Of course, starting pitching is only part of the equation and right now hitting appears to be a mismatch as well as the Padres have been absolutely raking lately, plating 42 runs in their last six games including 25 in taking two of three from the Mets here at Petco Park earlier this week. As I mentioned, the Rockies bats weren't exactly tearing the cover off the ball in San Francisco, they simply outlasted a Giants offense that simply isn't producing right now. Take San Diego -1.5 runs (9*). |
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06-10-22 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. This game doesn't exactly feature a matchup of household names when it comes to the two starting pitchers. Not yet at least. Both young starters have impressed in the early going this season, however, and I'm counting on them both to hold up on Friday night also. Roansy Contreras got a very big taste of the big leagues last year, logging only three innings for the Pirates after a late season call-up. In those three innings he struck out four and walked only one without allowing a single earned run. He's picked up where he left off this season, giving up just five earned runs in 23 1/3 innings of work. He enters Friday's start with an impressive 3.18 FIP and 1.03 WHIP. He's allowing just over six hits per nine innings while striking out an average of 10 per nine innings. If you can believe it, Braves starter Spencer Strider has been even better. Like Contreras, he had a cup of coffee at the big league level last season, pitching just 2 1/3 innings. Here in 2022 he has recorded a terrific 2.19 FIP and 1.16 WHIP in 32 2/3 innings of work. He's striking out an incredible 13.5 hitters per nine innings while allowing just 5.5 hits. Command has been a bit of an issue as he walks five per nine innings but I'm not convinced the Pirates have the offense capable of making him pay. We're working with a fairly high total in this game by today's MLB standards. I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (8*). |
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06-10-22 | Brewers -157 v. Nationals | 5-11 | Loss | -157 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the pitching mismatch we have here with Aaron Ashby going for the reeling Brewers against Erick Fedde of the lowly Nationals. Both pitchers have logged a similar number of innings this season with Ashby working 46 and Fedde going 51 2/3. While Ashby has recorded a 3.16 FIP, Fedde checks in sporting a 4.44 FIP. Ashby allows 2.6 fewer hits per nine innings, slightly fewer home runs and walks per nine innings as well. He also averages 4.2 more strikeouts per nine innings than Fedde. While the Brewers have certainly been slumping, they are getting healthier with Willy Adames the most notable hitter to return to the lineup this week (he homered in yesterday's loss). They'll probably be happy to get on the road at this point after a miserable homestand that saw them drop six consecutive games after opening a series against the Padres with a win over a week ago. Milwaukee was able to get a head start to Washington following a matinee affair on Thursday while the Nationals travel north following a night game to wrap up their series in Miami. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I like the pitching matchup here as the D'Backs and Phillies open their series in the City of Brotherly Love on Friday evening. The D'Backs have to be a little road-weary at this point as they continue on their 10-game road trip on the opposite side of the country. Zac Gallen is certainly capable of giving them a lift on Friday though, noting that he has posted a terrific 3.25 FIP and 0.96 WHIP in 56 1/3 innings of work this season. Kyle Gibson hasn't been quite as impressive for the Phillies but that doesn't mean he hasn't pitched well. He enters Friday's start sporting a 3.46 WHIP and is right here with Gallen in terms of home runs and walks allowed per nine innings, not to mention strikeouts per nine innings. Where we do see a gap is in hits allowed per nine innings, as Gallen has given up 2.6 fewer. However, that should be somewhat negated by the fact that the Snakes aren't exactly an elite offensive club and I do feel Gibson is more than capable of taming their lineup here. The Phillies bats came alive against the reeling Brewers in Milwaukee but I believe they're in for a bit of a reality check against Gallen. It was enough of a struggle for the D'Backs to put together big innings against the lowly Reds and things certainly won't get any easier for them here. Expect runs to come at a premium on Friday. Take the under (8*). |
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06-09-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -157 | 8-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee over Philadelphia at 2:10 pm et on Thursday. The Brewers welcomed Willy Adames back to the lineup last night, but it wasn't close to enough as Milwaukee dropped its fifth consecutive game, falling 10-0 against the Phillies. Not only will the team be looking to bounce back on Thursday, but starting pitcher Corbin Burnes in particular. He was shelled over 3 2/3 innings against the Padres last time out, allowing five earned runs on eight hits. Chalk that up as an anomaly as Burnes still owns a 0.99 WHIP in five home starts this season. Better still, he has posted a 2.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 11 outings overall. That WHIP drops to 0.88 in four afternoon starts. Phillies starter Zach Eflin will look to make it four out of his last five quality outings, however, his only success this season has come at home. In four road outings he has posted a ridiculous 9.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Here, we'll note that the Phillies are just 9-20 when playing on the road after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-08-22 | Phillies v. Brewers +1.5 | 10-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee +1.5 runs over Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. I'm surprised we're seeing the Brewers in an underdog role here but perhaps shouldn't be as the Phillies have reeled off five consecutive victories while Milwaukee checks in riding a four-game skid. I'll take advantage of the opportunity to grab an insurance run at what I consider to be a reasonable price with the home side on Wednesday. Note that Philadelphia is a miserable 8-20 when playing on the road after winning five or six of its last seven games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscored by 1.0 run on average in that situation. They're also just 20-37 after giving up two runs or less in their previous game over the same stretch, outscored by 1.2 runs on average in that spot. The Brewers seemingly have the right pitcher on the mound to stop their skid, noting they've gone 9-1 in Adrian Houser's last 10 starts in an underdog role. Meanwhile, the Phillies are just 7-15 the last 22 times Aaron Nola takes the ball following a victory in their previous game. Take Milwaukee +1.5 runs (8*). |
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06-07-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -108 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
N.L. Game of the Week. My selection is on Milwaukee over Philadelphia at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. This is a tough matchup for Phillies starter Ranger Suarez. The Brewers will be getting their second look at him this season. While they didn't have a ton of success against him last time around (they lost that game 4-2 in Philadelphia on April 22nd), it's not as if Suarez was dominant. He allowed four hits and issued three walks while striking out four over 4 2/3 innings of one-run ball in that game. I say it's a difficult matchup because Suarez has dealt with some command issues, particularly of late, as he's handed out seven walks in 8 2/3 innings over his last two starts and now faces a Brewers squad that ranks second in baseball in most pitches seen this season. In that vein, no team takes more first pitches than Milwaukee. They should be able to get Suarez's pitch count up early in this one and ultimately get into the Phillies weak bullpen fairly early. Note that Philadelphia's relief corps has posted a collective 4.71 ERA and 1.63 WHIP with just five saves converted and four blown on the road this season. Contrast that with the Brewers bullpen, which has recorded a 2.99 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, converting six saves while blowing just one here at home. Milwaukee will hand the ball to rookie Jason Alexander as he makes his second big league start. His first went well as he gave up just two earned runs over seven innings in a tough environment at Wrigley Field in Chicago. He should benefit from facing a Phillies club that ranks eight-worst in the majors in terms of chase percentage (that's the percentage of pitches outside of the zone that Phillies hitters swing at). Also note that Philadelphia ranks seventh-worst in the league in whiff percentage (percentage of pitches they swing-and-miss on without contact). Milwaukee is desperate for a win here off three straight losses to the Padres while Philadelphia is in a pretty obvious letdown spot off Sunday's stunning rally that helped complete a sweep of the reeling Angels and lead to a fourth straight win. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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06-07-22 | Diamondbacks +129 v. Reds | 8-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Reds routed the D'Backs in a rain-shortened seven-inning affair last night. I look for the Snakes to answer back on Tuesday. The only real difference between tonight's two young starting pitchers is the fact that Arizona left-hander Tyler Gilbert has a little more experience as he'll be making his ninth career big league start compared to Graham Ashcraft for the Reds who will toe the rubber for his fourth career start. Note that the Reds are just 6-11 against left-handed starters this season, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 runs in those contests. Ashcraft has pitched well in his first three outings but as time goes on opposing hitters will have a better idea of what to expect at the dish. Note that while he has given up just three earned runs in 17 2/3 innings as a starter this season he's only struck out nine while walking five. This will be his second time in the last three turns in the rotation starting on just four days' rest. Take Arizona (8*). |
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06-07-22 | Rangers +104 v. Guardians | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over Cleveland at 3:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Rangers suffered an excruciating loss against the Mariners on Sunday so perhaps last night's rain-out in Cleveland was a blessing in disguise as it gets them a little farther removed from that bad taste in their mouths. I don't really see any particular reason for the Guardians to be favored here in Game 1 of Tuesday's day-night double-header, noting that they're just 3-6 with Cal Quantrill on the mound this season, a stunning ledger when you consider how solid he's been all things considered. It has everything to do with the Guardians inability to consistently score runs and I suspect that could be a problem again this afternoon. Jon Gray has seemingly gotten stronger as the season goes on for the Rangers, working at least into the sixth inning in each of his last four starts. Interestingly, Texas has fared better on the road than at Globe Life Field, going an even 12-12 away from home while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.8 runs per game. We'll take a flyer on the Rangers in an underdog role here. Take Texas (8*). |
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06-06-22 | Mariners v. Astros -154 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston over Seattle at 8:10 pm et on Monday. The Mariners are 4-2 on their current road trip, delivering consecutive series victories over the Orioles and Rangers. Texas essentially handed Seattle the win yesterday, with a wild pitch resulting in the winning run in extra innings. I don't expect Houston to be in as giving of a mood on Monday. Note that the Astros have owned this series at home in recent years, taking 16 of 20 meetings at Minute Maid Park over the last three seasons. They swept the Mariners in a three-game series here at home earlier this season. With that being said, Seattle took two of three games from Houston in the Pacific Northwest last weekend so the Astros will be revenge-minded here. Robbie Ray won the American League Cy Young Award last year so the Mariners obviously expected big things from their offseason acquisition. However, to this point, the marriage hasn't gone well as Ray has posted a 4.93 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 11 starts. Worse still, on the road he's recorded a 5.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. The Astros check in 14-4 against left-handed starters this season. Cristian Javier will take teh ball for Houston. He loves facing the Mariners having yet to allow a single earned run in three previous starts against them, covering a span of 18 1/3 innings. Javier has made three home starts this season, posting a sparkling 0.53 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. Behind Javier is an Astros bullpen that has been lights out at home this season, recording a collective 1.35 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 66 2/3 innings of work, converting six saves while blowing just one. Take Houston (10*). |
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06-05-22 | Astros -220 v. Royals | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Run-Line Game of the Week. My selection is on Houston over Kansas City at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The Astros got pummelled by the Royals yesterday, suffering a 6-0 defeat. I expect them to bounce right back on Sunday as they send Framber Valdez to the hill. Valdez is coming off a complete game victory in Oakland last time out. Incredibly by today's pitching standards, Valdez has worked at least seven innings in four straight starts. The Astros have won each of his last five trips to the hill. He'll be pitching on a full five days' rest here and noting that he owns a 1.40 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in six road starts this season, I expect him to fare well in this one. On the other side, Jon Heasley has lasted six innings just once in seven career big league starts. He hasn't been able to keep runners off the bases this season, issuing 16 walks and giving up 18 hits in just 19 1/3 innings. He's not a strikeout pitcher either, having topped out at five in his four outings this season. Add in the fact that the Royals bullpen owns a 5.36 ERA and 1.51 WHIP at home this season and this has all the makings of a rout. Take Houston -1.5 (10*). |
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06-05-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Toronto at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a pair of wild, high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold on Sunday afternoon. We have a sneaky-good starting pitching matchup with Devin Smeltzer going for the Twins against Kevin Gausman of the Jays. Smeltzer has done nothing but impress in four big league starts this season, recording a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Since getting tagged for four home runs in a start against Cleveland back in June 2019, he hasn't allowed another home run in his last nine MLB starts. He has also issued only four walks in 24 innings of work this season. Kevin Gausman has worked 26 1/3 innings in day games this season and has yet to allow a single home run across those four starts. While he's struggled in the past against the Twins, he hasn't faced them since 2018 when I think we can all agree he was a much different pitcher just getting his career started with the Orioles. While the Jays bullpen hasn't been great lately, I'm not as concerned about that relief corps against a depleted Twins lineup. On the flip side, the Twins 'pen has posted a collective 3.24 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the under (8*). |
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06-04-22 | White Sox v. Rays -117 | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Chicago at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Rays added to the White Sox woes with a 6-3 drubbing last night. Chicago has now dropped four games in a row while Tampa Bay checks in on a three-game winning streak. While the pitching matchup looks like a wash on paper, I'll give Drew Rasmussen the edge at home on Saturday. The Rays have quietly gone 8-2 in his 10 starts this season and he has posted a stellar 2.10 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in five home outings. While the White Sox will be getting their second look at Rasmussen this season, the Rays will also be seeing Chicago starter Dylan Cease for the second time. They'll be out for revenge after dropping a 3-2 decision against Cease and the White Sox in Chicago back in mid-April. Note that Cease's lone previous start here in St. Petersburg didn't go so well as he allowed four earned runs and lasted just five innings in a 4-2 defeat back in 2019. As far as the bullpens go, it's no contest in terms of recent form. The Rays 'pen has recorded five saves while blowing just one over their last seven games. Here at home Tampa's relief corps has posted a 2.81 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with 11 saves converted and three blown. Meanwhile, the White Sox 'pen has posted a 5.27 ERA and 1.72 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
American League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. Boston cruised to a 7-2 victory in the opener of this series last night, adding to the A's misery here in Oakland. I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon as the Red Sox send Nick Pivetta to the hill against Paul Blackburn for the A's. After a rocky start to the season, Pivetta has gotten himself on a serious roll, allowing just six earned runs over 34 innings in his last five outings. He pitched here in Oakland last July 4th, striking out 10 over seven shutout innings of two-hit ball in a 1-0 Boston victory. Blackburn didn't make many mistakes last time out against Houston but he paid for the few he did, including a pair of home runs, allowing four earned runs on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss. In five daytime starts this season Blackburn has posted a 2.51 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, covering a span of 28 2/3 innings. He'll be facing the Red Sox for the first time in his career today. While both bullpens have struggled lately I do believe both relief corps' are better than their recent numbers indicate. We can also take solace in the fact that the A's average a woeful 2.6 runs per game at home while it's generally been a case of feast-or-famine for the Red Sox offense and after scoring exactly seven runs in consecutive games, I expect them to cool off against a solid pitcher in Blackburn on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. We saw a wild, high-scoring slugfest between these two teams last night. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday. Max Fried continues to lead the Braves rotation, posting incredibly consistent numbers over the last few seasons. He checks in with a 2.37 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three road starts this season. While pitching at Coors Field is a challenge, I'm confident he'll be up for it, noting that he's lasted at least into the sixth inning in all 10 of his starts this season. Rockies starter Chad Kuhl is underrated to be sure. He has held up well at hitter-friendly Coors Field this season, recording a 1.04 WHIP in 16 1/3 innings of work. Eight of his nine starts this season have totalled eight runs or less. Note that Kuhl faced the Braves once last season as a member of the Pirates and the result was a 2-1 victory as he gave up just one earned run over six innings. The Rockies bullpen will always be a concern when it comes to playing 'unders' but I believe we're working with a high enough total that dealing with their relief corps is worth the risk. Take the under (10*). |
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06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Most are looking to play the 'under' in this matchup between two lowly National League squads, pushing the total down from 8.0 to 7.5. I believe it will prove too low. We have a middle-of-the-road starting pitching matchup between Merrill Kelly and J.T. Brubaker. Kelly owns a 4.55 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in six nighttime starts this season and has really struggled lately, recording a ridiculous 10.50 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over his last three outings. J.T. Brubaker hasn't allowed a single earned run over his last two starts but let's not get too excited. In those two starts he worked 11 2/3 innings allowing 11 hits while issuing four walks and striking out only seven. They were favorable matchups to be sure, at home against the Rockies (who struggle mightily on the road) and at pitcher-friendly Petco Park in San Diego. Even if the starters don't struggle in this one, the bullpens are capable of blowing up in an instant. The D'Backs 'pen has posted a 5.31 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road this season. The Buccos relief corps owns a collective 4.15 ERA and 1.36 WHIP at home, converting only five saves while blowing four. Take the over (8*). |
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06-03-22 | Cardinals +105 v. Cubs | Top | 14-5 | Win | 105 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
N.L. Central Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Chicago at 2:20 pm et on Friday. The Cubs got the better of the Cardinals in the opener of this series last night but I think they'll be in tough trying to make it two in a row against their division rivals on Friday. Marcus Stroman will make his third consecutive start on four days' rest after matching a season-high going seven innings in his last outing. He's struggled mightily in three home starts this season, posting a 6.28 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Cardinals saw him twice last season and had some success, scoring six runs, four of them earned, in 11 innings - both victories. Miles Mikolas struggled in his most recent start for St. Louis but his overall numbers are terrific this season. He's allowed a single earned run or less in five of his last six starts against Chicago and the Cards have won six of his nine career outings in this matchup. The bullpen matchup is virtually a wash overall this season but not recently as the Cubs relief corps has been awful over the last week or so, entering last night's contest sporting a 6.96 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over their last seven games. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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06-02-22 | Mets v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over New York at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. Sometimes a series just doesn't go the way you planned and that was certainly the case for the Dodgers against the Pirates as they were inexplicably swept, culminating with an 8-4 loss last night. Look for the Boys in Blue to bounce right back on Thursday as they welcome the red hot Mets to Chavez Ravine. New York has won six straight games entering this series, with all six victories coming at home - consecutive sweeps of the Phillies and Nationals. Taijuan Walker will start for New York on Thursday. He's shown a tremendous day-night dichotomy this season. In two daytime outings, spanning 14 innings, he hasn't allowed a single earned run. Nighttime outings have been a different story, however, as he's been tagged for 11 earned runs on 24 hits in just 21 innings of work. Tony Gonsolin will counter for Los Angeles. Forget the likes of Julio Urias, Walker Buehler and Clayton Kershaw (who has been on the shelf for a while now), Gonsolin has arguably been the Dodgers best starter this season. He's been particularly sharp here at home, posting a 1.29 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in four starts, covering 21 innings of work. Look for him to help Los Angeles snap its losing skid here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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05-31-22 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota first five innings over Detroit at 1:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Tigers got past the Twins by a 7-5 score yesterday afternoon - a rare offensive outburst from Detroit, which averages just a shade over 3.0 runs per game at home this season. I look for Minnesota to answer back in Game 1 of Tuesday's day-night double-header. Devin Smeltzer will get another turn in the rotation for the Twins. He's coming off arguably the best start of his big league career as he tossed seven shutout innings of two-hit ball against the Royals last week. In three starts this season, Smeltzer has allowed just two earned runs in 17 1/3 innings of work. Rony Garcia gets his second start of the season for the Tigers out of necessity only as Detroit has six pitchers on the I.L. Garcia is in tough here as he faces the Twins for a second consecutive outing. While Detroit did prevail in his start against Minnesota last week, it had little to do with Garcia as he lasted only four innings, allowing three hits, two walks and two earned runs. Note that Garcia has allowed a home run in each of his last three appearances, including that outing against the Twins last week. Rather than mess with the Twins struggling bullpen here, we'll back them in the first five innings only on Tuesday afternoon. Take Minnesota first five innings (9*). |
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05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -106 | 6-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Toronto at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. The Angels coughed up a late lead in a 4-3 loss last night, their second defeat in a row at the hands of the Blue Jays and third straight overall. I look for them to finally snap out of it and get back in the win column on Saturday as they face a familiar foe on the mound in Yusei Kikuchi. The Halos are of course quite familiar with Kikuchi from his days with the division-rival Mariners. No team has give Kikuchi more trouble than Los Angeles. He owns a ridiculous 10.62 ERA and 2.26 WHIP against the Angels and we're not talking about numbers skewed by a small sample size. No, Kikuchi has faced L.A. seven times in his career, working 29 2/3 innings. While Kikuchi's overall numbers this season are fine, he has had a tough time finding any sort of rhythm, seemingly alternating good and bad outings. One thing we do know is that he hasn't pitched as well on the road with Toronto losing all four of his starts as he's posted a 3.64 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 17 1/3 innings pitched. Enough about Kikuchi, let's talk about Angels starter Michael Lorenzen. I've seen enough from Lorenzen this season to consider him underrated. He's worked at least six innings in five of his seven starts, recording a 3.05 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. In four home starts, those numbers drop to 2.38 and 0.93. Here, we'll note that Lorenzen has posted a terrific 14-5 team record in 19 career starts with his team coming off a loss while the Angels are a solid 29-21 after losing three of their last four games over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Los Angeles (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Giants -170 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Cincinnati at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Giants dropped the opener of this series last night as they couldn't get anything off Reds rookie starter Graham Ashcraft. I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday as they go up against Reds starter Vlad Gutierrez who may not be long for the Cincinnati rotation given his results in the early stages of this season. Gutierrez has yet to last five innings in any of his seven starts this season. The one start the Reds managed to win they needed 14 runs to outlast the Brewers in a slugfest. Here at home, Gutierrez has made three starts this season, posting a 9.94 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 12 2/3 innings of work. While that is a small sample size, going back farther shows Gutierrez allowed 12 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings across his final three home starts last season. Alex Wood will take the ball for the Giants. You can be sure he's been itching to get back on the mound to make amends for his most recent outing, an ugly start in which he gave up five earned runs in three innings of work against the Padres. That start came at home. Wood has actually been better on the road this season, posting a 3-1 team record in four starts, recording a 3.66 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Here, we'll note that the Reds are a long-term loser when coming off a game in which they allowed one run or less, as is the case here, posting a 241-334 record while being outscored by 0.6 runs on average. Meanwhile, the Giants are 409-331 after losing five or six of their last seven games, which is also the situation here. Take San Francisco (8*). |
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05-28-22 | Brewers -112 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
MLB Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee over St. Louis at 2:15 pm et on Saturday. The Cardinals evened this series at a game apiece with a 4-2 victory last night. I look for the Brewers to answer back on Saturday. Adrian Houser didn't earn a win in his most recent start but he certainly did everything that was asked of him, allowing only one earned run over six frames in an eventual extra innings loss in San Diego. Since then, the Brewers have won three of their last four games. Houser certainly enjoys pitching against the Cardinals. He has allowed just two earned urns in 30 2/3 innings of work against them going back to the start of last season. The Brewers have won three of his five career starts here in St. Louis. Matthew Liberatore will get his second big league start for the Cardinals out of necessity only. He drew a favorable matchup against the light-hitting Pirates in his first career start last week but didn't fare well, allowing four earned runs on seven hits over just 4 2/3 innings. He wasn't exactly thriving at the AAA level prior to the call-up, posting a 3.83 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 40 innings of work. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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05-27-22 | Pirates v. Padres -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Pittsburgh at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Pirates just took two of three games from the Rockies prior to yesterday's off-day. That series came at home, however, where Pittsburgh has recorded 11 of its 18 victories this season. The Buccos are just 7-11 on the road, averaging a miserable 2.9 runs per game. Worse still, in their first road game following a homestand this season they've lost 6-1 in Milwaukee, 3-2 in Detroit and 9-0 in Chicago (against the Cubs) - an awful 0-3 while being outscored by a 18-3 margin. The Padres aren't likely to take it easy on them here, not after dropping consecutive low-scoring games against the Brewers earlier this week. Prior to that they had won five games in a row. Here, we'll note that San Diego is an exceptional 12-3 after scoring two runs or less in its previous game this season, outscoring opponents by 2.1 runs on average in that situation. Better still, the Pads' are 18-5 after being held to three runs or less in three straight games over the last two seasons, averaging 5.0 runs per game while outscoring the opposition by 1.4 runs on average in that situation. Pirates starter Jose Quintana is coming off his worst start of the season and his lone previous start here at Petco Park was not a good one as he was tagged for six runs, four of them earned, on seven hits over just three innings back in 2019. Padres starter Sean Manaea has shown the ability to work deep into games, lasting at least six innings in seven of his eight starts this season. He's shown a strong day-night dichotomy in his starts this season, faring much better under the lights with a 3.13 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 31 2/3 innings of work. Add in the Padres bullpen edge (they've posted a 3.15 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with five saves converted and only one blown at home this season) and I believe they might just be undervalued, even at a fairly steep price on paper on Friday night. Take San Diego (7*). |
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05-25-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings under between Boston and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. Given last night's offensive fireworks most are probably expecting more of the same on Wednesday. I'll go the contrarian route, however, and call for this one to get off to a relatively quiet start. The Red Sox will hand the ball to crafty veteran left-hander Rich Hill. He's had plenty of time to get over an ugly (and short) outing against the Mariners last week. That start came at home. He's been much sharper on the road where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 1/3 innings of work this season. White Sox starter Lucas Giolito didn't have his best stuff last week in Kansas City but he still managed to get through five innings allowing only two earned runs. Keep in mind, that was Giolito's first start back after a brief stint on the Covid list. We've seen Giolito pitch well in a pair of previous home starts this season, recording a 2.77 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 13 innings. Rather than mess with the two bullpens, which have both been inconsistent this season, we'll call for the starters to keep things in check early on in this one. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Astros | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland +1.5 runs over Houston at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. We missed with the Guardians in Cal Quantrill's most recent start but probably deserved better as they led early and Quantrill did his part, pitching seven solid innings in an eventual 4-2 loss to the Reds. Quantrill has now worked at least six innings in five straight starts and owns a sub-1.20 WHIP on the season. He pitched reasonably well in his lone outing against the Astros last season, also working into the sixth inning and giving up only three earned runs in a tight 4-3 loss. Cristian Javier will counter for Houston. The Astros are just 5-7 against the -1.5 run-line in his 12 career home starts. He had his best stuff working in his most recent start but it still wasn't enough to secure a victory as the 'Stros fell by a 3-0 score at home against the Rangers. For the season, Javier owns a rather pedestrian 4.50 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The bullpens are a virtual wash between these two teams on the season. I do like the fact that the Guardians had an off day last Saturday (due to a rain-out) while the Astros haven't been idle since May 9th. They'll certainly have one eye on tomorrow's off-day. Note that Houston hasn't managed to win consecutive games against the Guardians by 2+ runs over the course of the last seven meetings with Cleveland going 5-2 when factoring in the +1.5 run-line over that stretch. Take Cleveland +1.5 runs (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
N.L. East First Five Innings Total of the Month. My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Philadelphia and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Wednesday. Credit the Braves for putting up six runs including two in the ninth inning in last night's wild walk-off win over the Phillies. I'm not counting on another offensive outburst here, however. Note that Atlanta hasn't scored more than six runs in a game since May 8th. It has been held to four runs or less in six of its last nine contests. Tonight, the Braves will face Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez who will be happy to face a team other than the Dodgers after running into Los Angeles in each of his last two outings. Suarez checks in sporting a 2.50 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the road this season. Charlie Morton counters for Atlanta. He's settled down after a shaky start to the campaign, allowing just four earned runs in 16 1/3 innings over his last three trips to the hill. Morton owns a terrific 2.89 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home this season. He last faced the Phillies right here in Atlanta last September, delivering seven innings of shutout ball. Note that Morton has yielded just one home run in his last seven outings against Philadelphia. Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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05-25-22 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
A.L. East First Five Innings Total of the Month. My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Baltimore and New York at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. This spot sets up well to play the 'over' in the first five innings only as we get the pitching matchup of Tyler Wells for the Orioles against J.P. Sears - making his first big league start - for the Yankees. Wells is going to be in tough here as he makes his second straight start on just four days' rest. He's had an up and down start to the season but it's been mostly down lately as he has allowed six earned runs in just 8 2/3 innings over his last two outings. Wells has topped out at four strikeouts in his eight starts so far this season so it's not as if he's fooling many hitters. I certainly don't expect him to fool many Yankees batters on Wednesday as they get their third look at him already this season. While they haven't had a great deal of success against him so far, that will likely change here as this will be the first time they catch Wells pitching on short rest. We don't know much about J.P. Sears - certainly not what he's capable of at the big league level. What we do know is that the Orioles bats have been heating up, rattling off 11, 11, 6, 10, 9 and 7 hits over their last six games, plating 9, 8, 1, 7, 6 and 6 runs over that stretch. We're not interested in dealing with the two bullpens here as both have a fairly solid track record so far this season. Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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05-25-22 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Milwaukee and San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Wednesday. It seems as if the Padres may have left their bats in San Francisco where they enjoyed plenty of success last weekend. In the first two games of this series it's been a struggle at the plate as they've managed just four runs, splitting those two contests. Having not had a day off since May 16th you can be sure they have one eye on tomorrow's off-day before welcoming Pittsburgh to Petco Park for a three-game series. While there's nothing special about Brewers starter Aaron Ashby's stuff, he generally does what it asked of him, having allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six outings. San Diego will counter with Yu Darvish. He'll be making his sixth straight start on at least five days' rest and comes off a solid outing in which he tossed seven shutout innings in Philadelphia. Darvish has been terrific at home this season, allowing one earned run in 6 2/3 innings against Atlanta, no earned runs over six frames against Los Angeles (Dodgers) and two earned runs over seven innings against Miami. He has posted a stellar 2.13 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in seven career starts against Milwaukee. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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05-25-22 | Rockies v. Pirates -126 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh first five innings over Colorado at 12:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pirates coughed up a late 1-0 lead in an eventual 2-1 loss to the Rockies last night as their bullpen continued to struggle, particularly here at home where they've posted a collective 4.29 ERA and 1.35 WHIP with five saves converted and four blown. Rather than mess with that 'pen here, we'll back the Buccos in the first five innings only as today's starter Zach Thompson brings excellent form to the table. Thompson has allowed just one earned run over his last three starts, covering a span of 16 innings. It's a much different story for Rockies starter Ryan Feltner. He has made just one start this season and it wasn't a good one as he allowed four earned runs over five innings against the Phillies. Feltner has now made three big league starts going back to last season, yielding 12 earned runs in only 11 1/3 innings. He's yet to last more than five innings in a start. Take Pittsburgh first five innings (10*). |
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05-24-22 | Royals +185 v. Diamondbacks | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Kansas City over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The D'Backs shook off the jet-lag following an eight-game road trip to deliver a 9-6 win over the Royals last night. I look for Kansas City to answer back on Tuesday. Yes, the Snakes have their best starter on the hill in Zac Gallen on Tuesday. He'll be making his second consecutive start on just four days' rest, however, and it might be tough to be completely focused here against a lowly interleague opponent in the Royals. Note that Arizona continues to give up a lot of runs. It has allowed 5+ runs in eight of its last nine games. The D'Backs are still just 11-11 at home this season, averaging only 3.5 runs per game while being outscored by 0.3 runs on average. The Royals check in off five straight losses and certainly want to salvage something from this two-game stop in Arizona before an off day followed by a four-game set in Minnesota. Rookie starter Jon Heasley has run into a couple of tough lineups in his first two starts this season, the Rangers and White Sox. In two career road starts he has given up just one earned run in 8 2/3 innings of work. Finally, we'll note that even after last night's win, the D'Backs are still just 2-11 in their last 13 interleague home games. Take Kansas City (8*). |
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05-24-22 | Dodgers v. Nationals +191 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Dodgers blew the doors off the Nationals last night which likely provides their backers on Tuesday with a false sense of security as they check in as a big favorite again here. The Nationals are catching Walker Buehler at the right time though, as he's been tagged for seven earned runs on 15 hits over his last two starts, spanning just 10 innings of work. He's failed to last beyond the fifth inning in three of his last four trips to the hill. The Dodgers are just 2-3 in Buehler's five career starts against Washington. He's pitched just once here in Washington, allowing seven runs, four of them earned, in 5 1/3 innings in an 11-4 loss back in 2019. The Nationals will counter with Josiah Gray. His numbers aren't great - in fact, at first glance they're pretty awful. However, he has worked at least into the sixth inning in six consecutive starts and the Nats have come away victorious in five of his eight outings this season. Here, we'll note that the Dodgers are just 1-2 after scoring 10+ runs in their previous game this season while the Nationals are 3-1 this season when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they allowed 10+ runs. Both situations are of course in play here after the Dodgers prevailed by a 10-1 score in last night's series-opener. Take Washington (9*). |
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05-23-22 | Brewers +100 v. Padres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
N.L. Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee over San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Monday. I think the case can be made for the Brewers being the better team in this matchup, with the better starting pitcher on the mound, yet we're getting an underdog price as the Padres roll in off four consecutive victories capped off by a three-game sweep against the division rival Giants in San Francisco. We actually cashed a free play on the underdog Nationals in their win over the Brewers yesterday as Milwaukee looked like it had one foot already on the plane having easily won the first two games in that series against Washington. Here, we'll note that the Brewers are 12-9 on the road this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game. By contrast, the Padres are 10-7 at home, but have managed to score only 3.4 runs per contest. Brewers starter Adrian Houser has inexplicably struggled in two starts against the lowly Reds this season but has excelled against everyone else. He was a hard-luck loser against the Braves last time out, allowing just one unearned run over six innings in a 3-0 Brewers loss. Houser faced the Padres twice last season, allowing only two earned runs in 9 2/3 innings including a 4-2 Brewers victory here in San Diego. Nick Martinez gets another turn in the rotation for the Padres, out of necessity only. He's struggled to the tune of a 4.40 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season with those numbers rising to 5.22 and 1.50 in four home outings. The Brewers will be getting their first look at him here but so were the Cubs in his most recent start and they reached him for five earned runs in just four innings. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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05-23-22 | Blue Jays +108 v. Cardinals | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Monday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Blue Jays here after dropping a 3-2 decision against the Reds yesterday. It was still a positive homestand for Toronto as it won consecutive series' against Seattle and Cincinnati. You can be sure the Jays are acutely aware just how bad their most recent road trip went and they'll be looking to make amends for that as they head to St. Louis and Anaheim this week. We'll back Toronto with Jose Berrios starting on Monday. He comes off his best outing of the young season, tossing seven shutout innings against Seattle last week. Berrios' overall numbers aren't great this season but we certainly know what he's capable of and look for him to turn things around sooner rather than later. The Cardinals just finished beating up on the Pirates over a three-game series but aren't likely to find the same level of success in this much tougher matchup. Miles Mikolas has posted terrific numbers this season but has still only managed to post one team victory in three home starts. While he hasn't allowed many runs, he's also not fooling a lot of hitters, topping out at five strikeouts over his last three outings. Here, we'll note that the Blue Jays are 37-16 after scoring two runs or less in their previous game over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.9 runs on average in that situation. Take Toronto (8*). |
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05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -126 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco over San Diego at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Padres are already 'fat and happy' having won six of eight games on their current road trip. They've already defeated Giants starter Alex Wood right here in San Francisco once this season but I don't expect them to turn the trick for a second time here. Note that Wood is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in a pair of previous afternoon outings this season. Meanwhile, Padres starter MacKenzie Gore was used out of the bullpen earlier this week in Philadelphia, missing his turn in the starting rotation. Given how well Gore has pitched as a starter this season it was a bit of a head-scratching move, although I suppose San Diego is looking to limit his workload somewhat. I think there's a good chance we see Gore a little off having not started in nearly two weeks and the Giants are fully capable of taking advantage, noting that they're putting up 5.5 runs per game, going 5-3 against left-handed starting pitching this season. San Diego has won the first two games in this series but only owns a slight 3-2 edge here in San Francisco this season and an 11-10 advantage in games played in this park over the last three seasons. Look for the Giants to answer back here. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Arizona at 2:20 pm et on Sunday. It's a true 'getaway day' for the D'Backs on Sunday as they'll hop on a plane immediately following today's game to head back home and open a two-game set with the Royals tomorrow night. They'll be playing their eighth game in seven days and haven't had a day off since May 12th so credit them for taking the first three games in this series, including yesterday's in come-from-behind fashion in extra innings. With all of that being said, I'm confident we'll see the Cubs, who had been playing well entering this series, salvaging the series-finale on Sunday afternoon at Wrigley Field. Wade Miley will get his third start of the season for Chicago after starting the campaign on the injured list. Remember, he went 12-7 with a 3.38 ERA in 28 starts with the Reds last season and showed signs of returning to form last time out, allowing just one hit while striking out six and not walking a single batter over seven shutout innings in a 9-0 victory over the Pirates right here in Chicago. D'Backs starter Merrill Kelly had the polar opposite experience in his most recent outing, torched for eight earned runs in just two innings of work against the Dodgers. Arizona has now lost his last two starts by a ridiculous 23-6 margin. While Kelly was on the mound for a pair of D'Backs victories over the Cubs last season, it's not as if he pitched particularly well, allowing six earned runs in 14 innings. Take Chicago (8*). |
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05-22-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -167 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Boston at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the Mariners yesterday but certainly deserved a better fate as they built an early 5-0 lead but couldn't make it stand up in a 6-5 defeat. Yesterday's starter Chris Flexen disappointed once again but I don't expect the same from Logan Gilbert on Sunday. Gilbert has been brilliant for the Mariners so far this season, recording a 2.60 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in eight starts. Better still, he's posted a 1.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in five road outings. It's a much different story for Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi. He has seemingly come down with a case of the 'yips', allowing a whopping 14 home runs in 41 2/3 innings of work this season, including five in his most recent start against Houston. While the Mariners have lost three straight games here in Boston they have managed to plate 14 runs and they have to be salivating at the prospect of facing the struggling Eovaldi here, especially considering they reached him for four earned runs over five innings in an 8-2 victory here at Fenway Park last season. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (6*). |
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05-21-22 | Mariners +148 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Game of the Week. My selection is on Seattle over Boston at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Mariners have dropped the first two games in this series but I look for them to answer back on Saturday afternoon at Fenway Park. Chris Flexen has received a ridiculous seven runs of support across his seven starts this season. Flexen has done his part, especially on the road where he has posted a 3.80 ERA, allowing three earned runs or less in all four of his outings. I expect the Mariners bats to finally step up for him on Saturday as they face Red Sox rookie Garrett Whitlock. He got off to a solid start this season, holding his first two opponents to just five hits and no earned runs over seven innings of work. Since then he's struggled, however, yielding seven earned runs including three home runs in 13 innings, covering a span of three starts. He'll be making just his second career start on four days' rest. The only previous time we saw him pitch on short rest he gave up a run on four hits and two walks and lasted just three innings in his lone loss of the season in Toronto. Note that the Red Sox bullpen hasn't fared particularly well in day games this season, recording a 5.53 ERA and 1.31 WHIP with just one save converted and three blown. In stark contrast, the Mariners 'pen has posted a 2.94 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in afternoon affairs. Take Seattle (10*). |
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05-19-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Arizona at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. While Arizona actually owns the better overall record this season, the Cubs just took two of three in the desert last week and are certainly playing the better baseball of the two teams right now, even though they're coming off a loss to the Pirates last night. Chicago will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman as he returns from a quad injury on Thursday. He had been pitching well prior to getting injured, allowing just two earned runs over his last two starts, covering a span of 13 innings. Missing the D'Backs series last week probably benefits him here as he faces the Snakes for the first time this season (he allowed three earned runs over six innings in a start in Arizona last year). It's a different story for D'Backs starter Zac Gallen. He faced the Cubs last week and pitched well, but still came up empty in a 4-2 loss. Chicago will be getting its third look at Gallen since the start of last season. His lone start here at Wrigley Field wasn't a good one as he was lit up for seven earned runs over just four innings last July. Interestingly enough, the Cubs were getting their second look at Gallen in less than a week on that occasion as well. As far as the bullpens go in this one it's really no contest as the Cubs relief corps has posted a 1.12 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over its last seven games while the D'Backs 'pen checks in sporting a 5.58 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Chicago (5*). |
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05-19-22 | Reds v. Guardians -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland over Cincinnati at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. I think the extra day off (last night's game was postponed) benefits the Guardians here as they look to right the ship off consecutive losses. The Reds could have enjoyed an off day today before heading opening a series in Toronto tomorrow night. Instead they're playing on 'getaway day' and in a tough spot at that with Tyler Mahle - who is winless with a 4.96 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in four career starts against Cleveland - taking the ball against Cal Quantrill. Quantrill has posted a perfect 8-0 team record over the last three seasons and 10-1 in his career when priced as a home favorite between -125 and -175, as is the case here at the time of writing. After working at least six innings in four consecutive starts, the extra off day probably wasn't the worst thing for the right-hander. Speaking of being priced between -125 and -175, the Guardians are an incredible 48-18 in that situation over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.7 runs on average. Finally, I'll note that the day off should serve the Cleveland bullpen well, noting that it had worked a collective 24 innings over its last seven games. By contrast, the Reds 'pen had worked just 19 2/3 innings over the same stretch, recording a poor 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Take Cleveland (7*). |
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05-18-22 | White Sox -150 v. Royals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
A.L. First Five Innings Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago first five innings over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday. The Royals got the better of the White Sox in the second half of yesterday's day-night double-header but I look for Chicago to answer back, at least early on, in Wednesday's contest. We'll play the first five innings only in this one as we're not all that interested in involving a White Sox bullpen that entered yesterday's action sporting an ERA north of eight and a WHIP approaching 1.80 over the last seven games. Lucas Giolito will get the start for Chicago on Wednesday. Covid quarantine gave him a couple of extra days off since his last outing, perhaps a good thing after he worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last three starts. He was sharp last time out, allowing just one earned run over seven innings in a 4-1 victory over the Guardians. Zack Greinke will counter for Kansas City. He'll be making his second consecutive start on four days' rest and struggled in his most recent outing, allowing five earned runs over 4 2/3 innings in Colorado. He's been tagged for 18 hits and seven earned runs over his last two starts, covering a span of just 10 1/3 innings. This will be Chicago's second look at Greinke in less than a month after reaching him for three earned runs over six innings in a 7-3 victory on April 27th. Look for the Sox to improve on those numbers early in this game. Take Chicago first five innings (10*). |
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05-18-22 | Cardinals v. Mets -186 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over St. Louis at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. Max Scherzer failed to find the win column against Seattle last time out. It was no fault of his as he allowed just one earned run in seven innings, lowering his ERA to 2.66 in the process. Unfortunately the Mets bats were silent on that night, falling by a 2-1 score. Jordan Hicks, meanwhile, is just hanging on in the Cardinals starting rotation, out of necessity only. He’s yet to last more than five innings in any of his five starts this season. He has allowed multiple runs and walks in four consecutive outings. Yesterday’s double-header between these two teams went according to plan with the favored side winning both games. More of the same here. Take New York (6*). |
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05-17-22 | Twins v. A's +124 | 2-5 | Win | 124 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland over Minnesota at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Twins got the better of the A's for the fourth consecutive time this season last night. All four games have been close, and I look for Oakland to finally answer back on Tuesday night. While the Twins check in winners of two games in a row, they've now scored three runs or less in six of their last seven contests. They'll likely need all the runs they can get tonight as starter Dylan Bundy checks in having allowed 15 earned runs over just 9 2/3 innings of work in his last two outings. He's had a tough time against the A's lately as well, allowing 14 earned runs in just nine innings against them across three starts last season. Here, we'll play against the Twins noting that road teams that start a pitcher that averages less than five innings per start and allowed five or more runs in each of his last two starts have gone a miserable 13-52 over the last five seasons. A's starter James Kaprielian has strung together consecutive quality outings, allowing just three earned runs in 10 2/3 innings. He deserved a better fate in a 1-0 loss against the Twins earlier this season, allowing just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings in Minnesota. We'll confidently back the A's noting that home teams coming off a game in which they recorded four or less hits but have a bullpen with a collective ERA of 2.50 or lower over their last 10 games have gone 94-42 over the last five season including a 7-2 mark already this year. Take Oakland (8*). |
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05-17-22 | Giants v. Rockies +147 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado over San Francisco at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday. The Rockies have now dropped back-to-back and seven of their last eight games overall. That includes four losses against the Giants after dropping last night's series-opener by a 7-6 score. They're still 12-8 at home this season and I like the way they match up in a quick rematch between Alex Cobb and Chad Kuhl on Tuesday. Cobb got the better of the Rockies last week but that was in San Francisco. He's made just one road start this season, allowing three earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings in an eventual 5-4 loss to the Mets. Rockies starter Chad Kuhl had been pitching well prior to getting lit up by the Giants last week. He's made two home starts here at Coors Field, posting a 2.03 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in 13 1/3 innings of work. The Rockies have now lost Kuhl's last two starts. It's worth noting that Kuhl hasn't failed to guide his team to a victory in more than two straight starts since May 31st to June 12th last year. Since that three-start winless stretch he's made 13 more starts. The Rockies have now dropped 11 straight meetings with the Giants. Enough is enough. Look for them to get back in the win column here. Take Colorado (8*). |
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05-17-22 | Angels -121 v. Rangers | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles over Texas at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Rangers got the better of the Angeles in the opener of this series last night but I look for Los Angeles to answer back on Tuesday. Reid Detmers makes his return to the mound after tossing a no-hitter for the Angels in his last start. While he struggled in his first outing against the Rangers this season, allowing five earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings, he's looked like a different pitcher since, allowing only six earned runs in four starts, covering a span of 23 2/3 innings with the Angels winning three of those four games. While most will be expecting Detmers to suffer a letdown of sorts here, I believe that is more likely to happen to Rangers starter Taylor Hearn, who tossed five shutout innings last time out but will now pitch on just four days' rest. He has already made five home appearances this season and hasn't fared particularly well, recording a 3.97 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. This will be Los Angeles' fourth time facing Hearn since last September, having scored 10 runs off of him in 16 previous innings. As far as the bullpens go, the Angels relief corps has been lights out on the road this season, posting a 2.30 ERA and 0.92 WHIP with five saves converted and only one blown. The Rangers 'pen has recorded a 4.04 ERA and 1.27 WHIP here at home. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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05-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 128 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baltimore +1.5 runs over New York at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees rolled to another lopsided victory last night - not unexpected as they opened this series against the reeling Orioles. Here, I do like the spot for the O's, however, as they get their third look at Jameson Taillon this season and noting that they've held their own and then some at home this season, going 9-8 while outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 0.4 runs per game. Interestingly, the Yankees check in just 21-28 when playing on the road after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Also note that the O's fall into a situation where we back a team coming off three consecutive games with five or less hits but with a bullpen that has recorded a collective WHIP of less than 1.00 over their last five games. That situation has cashed at an impressive 37-14 clip over the last five seasons and is already 3-0 this year. While tonight's starter for Baltimore, Spenser Watkins, doesn't exactly instill a great deal of confidence, the O's have managed to win two of his three home starts this season with the lone loss coming by a single run. Take Baltimore +1.5 runs (8*). |
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05-16-22 | Twins v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
A.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off low-scoring series finales on getaway day yesterday but I look for a different story to unfold at the Coliseum on Monday night. Note that the 'over' has gone 13-3 with the Twins coming off consecutive games in which they scored three runs or less over the last two seasons, with that situation resulting in an average total of 12.1 runs. In that situation this season, we've seen the Twins average 6.1 runs per game with an average total of 8.9 runs (nine-game sample size). The A's bats have been quiet but they should have ample opportunity to bust out here as they face Twins starter Chris Archer pitching on four days' rest. Archer has seen five of his six starts this season total at least eight runs. He's been tagged for at least one home run in five straight starts and checks in having allowed six earned runs on 10 hits over just seven innings of work in his last two outings. The A's will counter with rookie Zach Logue. He'll also be pitching on just four days' rest. He was terrific in his most recent start, tossing seven shutout innings but that came against the light-hitting Tigers. This will actually be his second start against Minnesota this season which I believe gives the Twins hitters an advantage. They reached him for a pair of home runs over five innings back on May 6th. Take the over (10*). |
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05-16-22 | Braves +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on Atlanta +1.5 runs over Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Monday. The Braves let one get away against the Padres yesterday, eventually falling by a 7-3 score in extra innings. Atlanta's last winning series came last weekend against the Brewers and I look for it to get this return match in Milwaukee off to a positive start as well. Note that Atlanta checks in 31-13 when coming off a loss by 4+ runs over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by 2.8 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Brewers are just 29-32, outscored by 0.6 runs on average, when playing at home after winning two of their last three games, which is the case here following a series win in Miami. Additionally, Atlanta has bounced back nicely following gut-wrenching losses, noting that it has allowed just 2.9 runs per game and outscored opponents by an average margin of 1.0 run when playing on the road after a game in which it blew a save over the last three seasons (18-game sample size), which is the situation here. Ian Anderson owns a 2-0 team record in two career outings against the Brewers while Freddy Peralta has recorded an even 2-2 team record in four career starts against Atlanta (both wins came by a single run so 0-4 when factoring in the +1.5 run-line). Take Atlanta +1.5 runs (10*). |
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05-16-22 | Astros +1.5 v. Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston +1.5 runs over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I'm anticipating a tight contest between the Astros and Red Sox on Monday as they renew acquaintances following last October's playoff series (which went Houston's way in six games). Here, we'll note that the Red Sox are just 8-14 when coming off a game in which they scored two runs or less over the last two seasons, outscored by 0.8 runs on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Astros have actually managed to outscore opponents by an average margin of 0.1 runs when priced as a road underdog between +100 and +150 over the same stretch (24-game sample size). While Boston has turned things around to a certain extent having won three of its last five games, Houston is in another stratosphere right now, having gone 11-2 while outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game so far in May. Astros starter Jake Odorizzi brings excellent form into this one having allowed just one earned run on six hits in 17 2/3 innings of work over his last three outings. Red Sox starter Garrett Whitlock got off to a solid start this season but has since faded, allowing five earned runs in just eight innings over his last two outings. Take Houston +1.5 runs (4*). |
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05-15-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Philadelphia at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. The Dodgers have inexplicably dropped each of the first three games in this series but I do look for them to bounce back and salvage the finale on Sunday. Note that Los Angeles has averaged 6.1 runs per game and outscored the opposition by 2.0 runs on average when coming off four or five losses in their last six games over the last two seasons (29-game sample size), as is the case here. After giving up 8+ runs in their previous game they've averaged 6.2 runs per contest and outscored opponents by 1.1 runs on average over the same stretch (13-game sample size). On the flip side, the Phillies have allowed a whopping 6.8 runs per game and been outscored by 1.2 runs on average when coming off an 8+ run performance over the last two seasons (18-game sample size). Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola has posted a 7-14 team record when starting with his team coming off a victory, which is the situation here. Take Los Angeles (3*). |
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05-15-22 | Red Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Texas at 2:35 pm et on Sunday. You would have to go back five games to find the Red Sox last 'under' result (with a couple of 'pushes' in the mix since). Last night we saw the Sox explode for 11 runs in a lopsided victory and now they'll look to complete the sweep on Sunday. I'm anticipating a much lower-scoring affair. Note that the 'under' is 10-1 with the Rangers having allowed 7+ runs in consecutive games over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of just 6.7 runs in that situation. Rangers starter Martin Perez has turned back the clock this season, posting a 2.10 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over the course of six starts this season. Austin Davis will get a spot start for the Red Sox. He isn't likely to work deep into the game but that's fine for our purposes as the Boston bullpen has posted a collective 1.98 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the under (7*). |
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05-15-22 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Detroit at 1:40 pm et on Sunday. Detroit is on an incredible run of 'under' results right now but I'll go the contrarian route and call for a higher-scoring affair than most are expecting on Sunday. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 9-0 with the Orioles having scored three runs or less in four consecutive games over the last three seasons, resulting in an average total of 12.0 runs in that spot. Sunday's starter for the O's, Tyler Wells, has been awful in three road starts this season, posting an 8.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal has been terrific this season but after going seven innings last time out and now starting on just four days' rest, I'm not anticipating a peak performance from him here. Note that the Tigers have seen an average total of 9.6 runs scored after a game in which their bullpen worked 6+ innings over the last three seasons (44-game sample size), as is the case here. Take the over (4*). |
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05-14-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -173 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -173 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
N.L. Game of the Week. My selection is on Los Angeles over Philadelphia at 10:10 pm et on Saturday. The Dodgers desperately need Julio Urias to give them a lift as he starts after Walker Buehler had his outing moved up and struggled in last night's eventual 12-10 loss - the Dodgers third defeat in a row and fourth out of their last five. More than anything else, I'm eager to fade Phillies starter Ranger Suarez here. He'll be starting on just four days' rest for the third time this season. In his two previous outings on short rest this season he allowed 13 hits, five earned runs and two home runs while striking out seven and walking four in 11 innings. It's not as if Los Angeles isn't hitting right now - quite the opposite, in fact. The Dodgers have racked up 31 runs over their last four games. While the Phillies are hot right now, winners of three games in a row, they're still just 7-8 on the road this season. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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05-12-22 | Yankees v. White Sox -140 | 15-7 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over New York at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Yankees are riding another winning streak (three wins in a row so far) but I don't get the feeling this one will last nearly as long as their most recent (11 straight wins). First of all, the Yanks aren't hitting as well as they were during their last streak. They've scored a grand total of 12 runs over their last three games and just 17 runs over their last six contests. Here, we'll note that the Bronx Bombers are just 17-27 when playing on the road after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 0.5 runs in that situation. The White Sox check in 25-9 as a home favorite priced at -150 or less over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 2.1 runs on average in that situation. Better still, they're 45-17 when playing at home after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons, which is the situation here, averaging 5.1 runs per game and outscoring the opposition by 1.7 runs on average in that spot. With a red hot Dylan Cease on the mound (one earned run on five hits while striking out 19 in 12 innings last two starts) and facing Luis Gil making his first start of the season for a Yankees, this might be Chicago's best chance to take a game over the course of this four-game series. Take Chicago (4*). |
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05-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Tigers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland +1.5 runs over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. The A's have taken two of the first three games in this unique five-game series and I look for them to give the slumping Tigers all they can handle again on Wednesday. Note that Oakland is 26-11 when playing on the road against left-handed starting pitching over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.4 runs on average in that spot. They're also 13-3 when playing on the road after being held to four runs or less in four consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring the opposition by 2.0 runs on average. While the Oakland offense has been struggling, the Tigers have been even worse in that regard, scoring two runs or less in seven of their last eight games. Take Oakland +1.5 runs (3*). |
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05-10-22 | Phillies v. Mariners +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Philadelphia at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. We missed badly with Seattle last night but did win with the 'over' in its 9-0 drubbing at the hands of the Phillies. I won't hesitate to come back with the Mariners again here, however, this time grabbing the insurance run as well. Note that Philadelphia is still a money-burning 18-28 in its last 46 Interleague games. It also checks in a woeful 7-18 when coming off a game in which it allowed one run or less over the last two seasons, outscored by 2.0 runs on average in that situation. For his part, tonight's starter Aaron Nola has posted a 7-17 team record in his last 24 nighttime outings. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 51-36 when priced between +125 and -125, as is the case here at the time of writing, outscoring opponents by 0.3 runs on average in that spot. They're also a profitable 29-23 after plating four runs or less in three consecutive games over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.2 runs in that situation. Tonight's starter, Robbie Ray has averaged over six innings per start this season and has posted a terrific 1.02 WHIP in three home outings. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (5*). |
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Sean Murphy MLB Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-22-22 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
06-22-22 | Guardians v. Twins -145 | 11-10 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
06-22-22 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
06-22-22 | Yankees -134 v. Rays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
06-22-22 | Nationals v. Orioles -140 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
06-22-22 | Phillies -130 v. Rangers | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
06-22-22 | Blue Jays -108 v. White Sox | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
06-21-22 | Mariners -137 v. A's | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
06-21-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
06-21-22 | Cardinals -125 v. Brewers | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
06-21-22 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
06-21-22 | Guardians v. Twins -160 | 6-5 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
06-21-22 | Cubs v. Pirates -150 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
06-20-22 | Royals v. Angels -180 | 6-2 | Loss | -180 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
06-20-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
06-20-22 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
06-20-22 | Tigers v. Red Sox -173 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
06-20-22 | Marlins v. Mets -151 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
06-18-22 | Phillies -208 v. Nationals | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
06-18-22 | Rays -159 v. Orioles | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
06-17-22 | Twins -128 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
06-17-22 | White Sox v. Astros -166 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
06-17-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 12-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
06-17-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
06-16-22 | Brewers v. Mets -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
06-16-22 | Rangers -134 v. Tigers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
06-16-22 | Phillies -200 v. Nationals | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
06-16-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 10-2 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
06-16-22 | Padres -192 v. Cubs | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
06-15-22 | Braves -170 v. Nationals | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
06-15-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
06-15-22 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 4-7 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | A's v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
06-14-22 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
06-13-22 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
06-13-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
06-12-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
06-11-22 | Marlins v. Astros -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
06-11-22 | Brewers -159 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -159 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Brewers -157 v. Nationals | 5-11 | Loss | -157 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
06-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
06-09-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -157 | 8-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
06-08-22 | Phillies v. Brewers +1.5 | 10-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
06-07-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -108 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
06-07-22 | Diamondbacks +129 v. Reds | 8-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
06-07-22 | Rangers +104 v. Guardians | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
06-06-22 | Mariners v. Astros -154 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
06-05-22 | Astros -220 v. Royals | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
06-05-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
06-04-22 | White Sox v. Rays -117 | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
06-04-22 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
06-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
06-03-22 | Cardinals +105 v. Cubs | Top | 14-5 | Win | 105 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
06-02-22 | Mets v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
05-31-22 | Twins -145 v. Tigers | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Blue Jays v. Angels -106 | 6-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Giants -170 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
05-28-22 | Brewers -112 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
05-27-22 | Pirates v. Padres -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Astros | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
05-25-22 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
05-25-22 | Rockies v. Pirates -126 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
05-24-22 | Royals +185 v. Diamondbacks | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
05-24-22 | Dodgers v. Nationals +191 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
05-23-22 | Brewers +100 v. Padres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
05-23-22 | Blue Jays +108 v. Cardinals | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -126 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
05-22-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
05-22-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -167 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
05-21-22 | Mariners +148 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
05-19-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -120 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
05-19-22 | Reds v. Guardians -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
05-18-22 | White Sox -150 v. Royals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
05-18-22 | Cardinals v. Mets -186 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Twins v. A's +124 | 2-5 | Win | 124 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Giants v. Rockies +147 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
05-17-22 | Angels -121 v. Rangers | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
05-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 128 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
05-16-22 | Twins v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Braves +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
05-16-22 | Astros +1.5 v. Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Red Sox v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
05-15-22 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
05-14-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -173 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -173 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
05-12-22 | Yankees v. White Sox -140 | 15-7 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
05-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Tigers | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
05-10-22 | Phillies v. Mariners +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |