Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-06-22 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Milwaukee at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. We’ll take advantage of a subpar starting pitching matchup not to mention two fading bullpens as we back the ‘over’ in Saturday’s showdown between the Reds and Brewers in Milwaukee. Nick Lodolo will take the ball for Cincinnati. He owns a respectable 3.79 FIP but a disappointing 1.57 WHIP in 38 1/3 innings of work in his rookie season. Opponents have reached the left-hander for 4.7 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Aaron Ashby has posted a 3.75 FIP and 1.45 WHIP while giving up north of 5.1 runs per nine innings. As I mentioned, both bullpens have been anything but airtight lately with the Reds relief corps entering last night’s action sporting a collective 4.42 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over the last seven games and a 5.22 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the road this season. Milwaukee’s ‘pen entered the series with a 5.09 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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08-06-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and New York at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. We've seen a pair of high-scoring games to open this series but I look for a different story to unfold in Game 2 of Saturday's double-header in Queens. Max Fried will take the ball for Atlanta. He's having a Cy Young Award-caliber season having recorded a 2.47 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while giving up only 2.65 runs per nine innings. He issued a season-high five walks, giving up two earned runs over five innings in a 4-1 loss to the Mets the last time he faced them so he'll be looking for a little revenge here. Max Scherzer will counter for the Mets. He didn't have his best stuff against the Nationals last time out but still hung in there, working into the seventh innings in a lopsided victory. Scherzer owns a terrific 2.64 FIP and 0.93 WHIP this season while allowing only 2.33 runs per nine innings. Both bullpens are serviceable in this matchup. The Braves 'pen has posted a collective 3.08 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the road this season while the Mets relief corps owns a 3.57 ERA and 1.21 WHIP at home. Take the under (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Giants -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco -0.5 runs over Oakland at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. While Giants starter Carlos Rodon has struggled since the All-Star break, I’m anticipating a return to form against the A’s on Saturday. Rodon still owns a terrific 2.28 FIP and 1.07 WHIP on the season, giving up just 3.07 runs per nine innings. Here, he’ll face an A’s offense that averages only 3.2 runs per game against left-handed starting pitching this season. Adam Oller will take the ball for Oakland. He’s generally been awful this season, recording a 7.15 FIP and 1.73 WHIP while giving up a whopping 8.38 runs per nine innings. With the Giants bullpen struggling over an extended period (not to mention just 11 saves converted and eight blown on the road this season - entering last night’s action), we’ll look to back them in the first five innings only on Saturday. Take San Francisco -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Tigers | 1-9 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings over Detroit at 6:10 pm et on Saturday. The Rays own a considerable starting pitching advantage in this matchup as they hand the ball to their ace Shane McClanahan against Tigers rookie Garrett Hill. With the bullpens virtually a wash, we’ll lay the half-run with Tampa Bay in the first five innings only here. McClanahan is actually coming off one of his worst outings of the season, allowing five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work against Cleveland. I’m confident he’ll bounce back against the light-hitting Tigers on Saturday, noting that the left-hander owns a terrific 2.63 FIP and 0.83 WHIP while allowing only 2.43 runs per nine innings this season. Hill on the other hand has faded after a solid start, with his FIP rising to 5.65 and his WHIP to 1.35 while giving up an average of 5.88 runs per nine innings. Take Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia -0.5 runs first five innings over Washington at 6:05 pm et on Saturday. It’s not often we give the Phillies a decisive starting pitching advantage with Ranger Suarez on the mound but we will do so tonight as the left-hander takes the ball against fellow southpaw Patrick Corbin of the Nationals. Suarez checks in with a 3.83 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while allowing 4.26 runs per nine innings this season. Not great numbers by any means but certainly superior to those of Corbin who sports an ugly 4.66 FIP and 1.77 WHIP while yielding just shy of 7.5 runs per nine innings. Note that the Nationals have gone a woeful 11-24 against left-handed starting pitching this season. Given the fact that the Phillies bullpen has been struggling, posting a collective 7.71 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action), we’ll back them in the first five innings only on Saturday. Take Philadelphia -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-06-22 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Pittsburgh and Baltimore at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I’m anticipating a high-scoring start to this interleague contest as the Pirates send JT Brubaker to the hill against Austin Voth of the Orioles. Brubaker checks in with a 3.85 FIP and 1.49 WHIP on the season, allowing an average of 5.18 runs per nine innings. Voth has posted similar numbers with a 3.93 FIP and 1.59 WHIP while giving up just shy of 6.1 runs per nine innings. With the two bullpens thriving lately (the Buccos ‘pen entered last night’s action with a 2.16 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over the last seven games while the O’s relief corps posted a 3.42 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over the same stretch) we’ll look to play the ‘over’ in the first five innings only in this one. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Yankees -142 v. Cardinals | 3-4 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Friday. We’ll give the Yankees the considerable advantage in terms of both the starting pitching and the bullpen matchup in this one and the price is reasonable to back them. Nestor Cortes Jr. will take the ball for New York. He’s obviously enjoying a breakout season having posted a 3.35 FIP and 1.02 WHIP while giving up only 2.62 runs per nine innings. In comparison with his counterpart on Friday, Dakota Hudson, Cortes has given up 1.1 fewer hits and 1.9 fewer walks per nine innings this season. The Yankees bullpen has been outstanding all season and that has certainly been the case lately as they’ve recorded a collective 2.39 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last seven games. Hudson checks in with a 4.62 FIP and 1.36 WHIP this season, yielding just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings. Behind Hudson is a Cardinals bullpen that entered yesterday’s double-header against the Cubs having posted a collective 6.11 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take New York (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. For many of the same reasons we backed the ‘over’ in the opener of this series last night, we’ll go right back to the well with the same play on Friday. Rookie Josh Winckowski got off to a reasonably solid start for the Red Sox this season but the wheels have since come off. He checks in sporting a 5.09 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while allowing 5.2 runs per nine innings. Veteran Zack Greinke hasn’t been much better for the Royals. He owns a 4.47 FIP and 1.30 WHIP while giving up an average of 4.72 runs per nine innings. While the Red Sox bullpen has been serviceable lately, it’s by no means unbeatable having logged a 3.86 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with just 13 saves converted and 12 blown on the road this season (entering last night’s action). Meanwhile, the Royals bullpen owns a 4.59 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at home (also entering last night’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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08-05-22 | White Sox -173 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Texas at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Rangers narrowly took the opener of this series last night but I look for the White Sox to rebound on Friday. White Sox starter Dylan Cease continues to stake his claim as an A.L. Cy Young Award contender having posted a 2.70 FIP and 1.17 WHIP this season, allowing only 2.78 runs per nine innings. You would have to go back 13 starts, all the way to late-May, to find the last time Cease gave up more than a single earned run in an outing. His counterpart on Friday will be Glenn Otto of the Rangers. He’s mired in an awful rookie campaign, sporting a 5.30 FIP and 1.46 WHIP while giving up 5.75 runs per nine frames. Chicago should own the later innings in this game as well as its bullpen has been terrific lately, recording a collective 2.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take Chicago (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Braves v. Mets -135 | 9-6 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York first five innings over Atlanta at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We’ve had some success backing the Mets in the first five innings in recent games and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well again on Friday as they hand the ball to Taijuan Walker against Ian Anderson of the Braves. Anderson has arguably been the weak link in the Braves otherwise terrific rotation this season. He checks in with a 4.24 FIP and 1.51 WHIP on the campaign, yielding an average of 5.08 runs per nine innings. Mets starter Taijuan Walker is having an outstanding season, entering Friday’s game with a 3.35 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing less than 2.9 runs per nine innings. The issue with backing the Mets for the full game is their bullpen. They’ve struggled in that department lately with their ‘pen posting a collective 5.83 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take New York first five innings (8*). |
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08-05-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I’m expecting plenty of offense in this game on Friday as the Nationals send Josiah Gray to the mound against Kyle Gibson of the Phillies. Gray enters with an ugly 5.30 FIP and 1.28 WHIP while allowing 4.68 runs per nine innings. As he doesn’t have a tendency to last deep into ball games, we should see plenty of the Nationals bullpen, which checks in with a 5.46 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night’s action). Interestingly, Gibson allows an identical 4.68 runs per nine innings to that of Gray. He has posted a 4.43 FIP and 1.23 WHIP on the campaign. Behind Gibson is fading Phillies bullpen that entered last night’s action having recorded a collective 6.75 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 102 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The Red Sox are coming off a low-scoring series against the Astros and have now seen each of their last four games stay 'under' the total. I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday, however. Nick Pivetta will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. After a strong stretch earlier this season, the wheels came off and he's never really been able to regain his footing. Pivetta has seen his FIP rise to 4.16 and his WHIP to 1.32 while allowing just under 4.5 runs per nine innings on the campaign. While the Red Sox bullpen has been serviceable, it has by no means been 'lights out', posting a collective 4.05 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Kris Bubic has seen his season unfold differently than Pivetta's as he got off to a difficult start but has settled down somewhat since. With that being said, his overall numbers are not good as he owns a 5.19 FIP and 1.60 WHIP while yielding north of 6.0 runs per nine frames. The Royals bullpen didn't give up a run yesterday in Chicago but prior to that had recorded a collective 5.14 ERA and 1.67 WHIP over the last seven contests. It has posted a 4.59 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. The Blue Jays have now seen each of their last seven games stay 'under' the total while you would have to go back five contests to find the last time Minnesota posted an 'over' result. I look for those trends to continue in the opener of a four-game series between the two teams tonight in Minnesota. Alek Manoah will get the start for Toronto. He's having a fine sophomore campaign having posted a 3.40 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while holding opponents to only 2.79 runs per nine innings. Behind Manoah is a Jays bullpen that has been locked in lately, recording a collective 1.57 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday's action). Sonny Gray has 'turned back the clock' in a sense for the Twins this season, posting a 3.41 FIP and 1.11 WHIP while giving up just over 3.5 runs per nine innings. Meanwhile, the Twins bullpen has been fairly steady of late, logging a collective 3.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over the last seven games (also entering yesterday's action). Take the under (8*). |
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08-04-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Guardians | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -0.5 runs first five innings over Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. We'll back the Astros in the first five innings only on Thursday as their edge lies in the starting pitching matchup rather than in the later innings as the Guardians bullpen has been outstanding lately. Justin Verlander will get the start for Houston. He owns a 3.04 FIP and an even more impressive 0.87 WHIP while holding opponents to just 2.4 runs per nine innings this season. Zach Plesac, meanwhile, checks in with a 4.30 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the campaign while giving up just north of 5.0 runs per nine frames. Take Houston -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-04-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Diego -1.5 runs over Colorado at 4:10 pm et on Thursday. I'm comfortable laying the extra run with the Padres as they host the Rockies on Thursday afternoon in San Diego. Kyle Freeland will get the start for the Rockies. Interestingly, this will be his fourth start against the Padres this season and the Rockies have won each of the first three. I look for that streak to end here. Note that Freeland has posted a less than impressive 4.28 FIP and 1.34 WHIP this season while allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Behind Freeland is a Rockies bullpen that has hit the skids again, recording a collective 5.47 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over the last seven games, entering yesterday's action. Newly-signed Joe Musgrove will be looking to prove he's worth the monster contract the Padres just gave him. He's well-positioned to do just that having posted a 3.26 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while holding opponents to only 2.97 runs per nine innings this season. The Padres bullpen went through a recent rough stretch but has since turned it around again, recording a collective 3.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over the last seven games. Here at home this season, the Padres have converted 14 saves while blowing only five (entering yesterday's action). Take San Diego -1.5 runs (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings over Pittsburgh at 12:35 pm et on Thursday. |
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08-03-22 | Reds v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 117 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami -0.5 runs first five innings over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Reds have taken the first two games of this series but I look for the Marlins to bounce back with their ace on the hill on Wednesday. Veteran left-hander Mike Minor gets another turn in the Reds rotation out of necessity only. He owns a 6.74 FIP and 1.58 WHIP while giving up north of 7.0 runs per nine innings this season. While the Marlins have struggled to put runs on the board against left-handed starting pitching, I'm confident they can get to Minor in this one. Sandy Alcantara hasn't necessarily had his best stuff in his last couple of outings but his overall numbers tell the story as he has recorded a 2.87 FIP and 0.94 WHIP while holding opponents to just 2.41 runs per nine innings. After dealing a pair of key bullpen arms to Toronto, I'm only interested in backing the Marlins in the first five innings in this one. We have a decisive enough edge in terms of the starting pitching matchup to lay the half-run with Miami in the first half here. Take Miami -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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08-03-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Washington at 4:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Mets have a considerable starting pitching advantage in Wednesday's series finale in Washington as they hand the ball to Chris Bassitt against journeyman right-hander Anibal Sanchez of the Nationals. Bassitt is having another fine campaign having posted a 3.79 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while giving up only 3.91 runs per nine innings. He faced the Nats once back in April and tossed six shutout innings. Sanchez owns a 6.75 FIP and 1.40 WHIP while yielding a whopping 7.47 runs per nine innings. Here, he'll be starting on just four days' rest after getting tagged for six earned runs over 5 2/3 innings against the Cardinals last time out. There's no real edge in terms of the bullpens in this matchup, surprisingly enough. With that in mind, we'll lay the half-run with the Mets in the first five innings only. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-03-22 | Orioles v. Rangers -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas over Baltimore at 2:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the Rangers on Wednesday afternoon as they send a rejuvenated Martin Perez to the hill against Kyle Bradish of the Orioles. Bradish is having a tough campaign having posted a 5.32 FIP and 1.70 WHIP while giving up just shy of 7.2 runs per nine innings. He actually had some of his best stuff in his most recent start against the Reds but I'm not convinced he can string together a second straight quality outing here. Perez is of course enjoying a 'turn back the clock' type of season, recording a 3.07 FIP and 1.15 WHIP while holding the opposition to just 2.88 runs per nine innings. The Orioles saw the veteran left-hander once last season and managed to scratch out just one earned run in five innings. With the two bullpens comparable in terms of recent form and with the O's on the road and the Rangers at home, we'll confidently back the Rangers at home in this matinee affair. Take Texas (8*). |
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08-03-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia +1.5 runs over Atlanta at 12:20 pm et on Wednesday. I'll gladly grab the insurance run with the Phillies in the finale of this brief two-game series in Atlanta on Wednesday. Zack Wheeler will get the start for Philadelphia. He checks in sporting a 2.84 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while giving up only 3.09 runs per nine innings this season. In 23 career outings against Atlanta, Wheeler owns a solid 3.19 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Behind Wheeler is a Phillies bullpen that entered last night's action with a 3.52 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over its last seven games. On the road this season, the Phillies have converted 16 saves while blowing eight. Charlie Morton will counter for Atlanta. He has recorded a 4.07 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while giving up 4.5 runs per nine innings. The Phillies have already seen Morton three times previously this season, reaching him for 10 earned runs in 15 innings. The Atlanta bullpen has posted a collective 4.22 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven contests and has blown 10 saves (while making good on 18) at home this season, again entering last night's action. Take Philadelphia +1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Boston at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Astros should have the decided advantage both early and late in Tuesday’s game and we’ll confidently back them at a reasonable price. Rookie Kutter Crawford will take the ball for the visiting Red Sox. He checks in with a 3.72 FIP and 1.22 WHIP this season, giving up just north of 4.3 runs per nine innings. My concern here is that he’ll be starting on just four days’ rest for a second straight turn in the rotation. He turned in one of his best efforts of the season last time out against Cleveland. That was at home against a weaker opponent than he’ll face tonight, however. His counterpart on Tuesday will be Cristian Javier of the Astros. While his numbers have risen recently, he still owns a solid 3.39 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while yielding just 3.26 runs per nine innings this season. Meanwhile, the Astros bullpen behind Javier has been terrific, particularly at home. Entering this series, Houston’s relief corps had posted a collective 1.91 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 14 saves converted and only five blown here at Minute Maid Park. The Red Sox ‘pen entered the series with just 11 saves converted and 12 blown away from home this season. Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The White Sox posted their third straight ‘under’ result last night as they dropped a 2-1 decision to the Royals here at home. I’m anticipating a higher-scoring affair on Tuesday as Chicago sends a struggling Lucas Giolito to the hill against Brad Keller of Kansas City. Giolito is having a trying season to say the least. He has recorded a 4.45 FIP and 1.48 WHIP while giving up north of 5.5 runs per nine innings. Over his last two outings he has been tagged for nine earned runs on 15 hits over just eight innings of work. Royals starter Brad Keller checks in with a 4.26 FIP and 1.32 WHIP while yielding 4.68 runs per nine innings on the campaign. The White Sox haven’t had a great deal of success against him this season but will be seeing him for a third time on Tuesday and it’s not as if he’s really been fooling them as he has just six strikeouts in 14 innings against them. The two bullpens have struggled. Kansas City’s relief corps entered this series sporting a collective 5.25 ERA and 1.67 WHIP with no saves converted and two blown over its last seven games. Meanwhile, the White Sox ‘pen had recorded a 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP over the same stretch and has just 13 saves converted and nine blown at home this season. Take the over (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
N.L. Central Game of the Year. My selection is on Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll back the Brewers in this one, but rather than support them over the full nine innings we’ll lay the half-run with them in the first five frames only as I like the starting pitching edge but there’s little advantage in terms of the two bullpens. Burnes owns a 2.93 ERA and 0.92 WHIP while giving up only 2.6 runs per nine innings this season. He’s faced the Pirates six times over the course of his career, recording a 2.27 ERA and 1.01 WHIP with the Brewers winning five of those games. The concern is, the Brewers bullpen has posted a 5.04 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over the last seven games. The Pirates ‘pen on the other hand has quietly turned it around after a rough stretch, recording a 2.96 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over its last seven contests. Bryse Wilson gets the start for Pittsburgh. He has endured a tough big league season having posted a 4.68 FIP and 1.60 WHIP while giving up a whopping 7.44 runs per nine innings. The Brewers will be seeing him for the second time and I expect them to have greater success after reaching him for just two earned runs over six innings in a 7-4 loss back on July 2nd. Note that despite that recent solid outing, in four career starts against Milwaukee, Wilson owns a 5.21 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Take Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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08-02-22 | Reds v. Marlins -128 | 2-1 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. I realize the fact that Marlins starter Braxton Garrett just struggled against these same Reds in his most recent outing but I'm willing to give him a mulligan for that poor start and expect him to bounce back and help his team snap its four-game slide on Tuesday. Garrett has actually posted solid numbers this season. He owns a 3.23 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while giving up 4.3 runs per nine innings. Behind Garrett is a Miami bullpen that has recorded a 3.70 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over the last seven contests. Graham Ashcraft will counter for Cincinnati. He has posted a 4.05 FIP and 1.42 WHIP while yielding just shy of 4.8 runs per nine innings in his rookie campaign. A concern for the Reds is a bullpen that has posted a collective 5.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road this season. Take Miami (8*). |
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08-02-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 5-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego -0.5 runs first five innings over Colorado at 4:10 pm et on Tuesday. We’ll back the Padres in the first five innings in Game 1 of this double-header on Tuesday in San Diego. The Padres have a significant starting pitching advantage in this one as they send Yu Darvish to the mound against Ryan Feltner. Darvish checks in with a 3.14 FIP and 0.97 WHIP this season, yielding just 3.24 runs per nine innings. The problem is the Padres bullpen has been struggling, recording a collective 4.87 ERA and 1.28 WHIP over the last seven games. We’ll look to avoid that unit by playing the first five innings only. Ryan Feltner will get the start for the Rockies. He has posted a 4.39 FIP and 1.35 WHIP while giving up north of 5.8 runs per nine innings this season. Note that Feltner has allowed 2.7 more hits, 0.7 more home runs and 0.6 more walks per nine innings compared to Darvish. Take San Diego -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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08-01-22 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday. The Dodgers saw each of their last three games at hitter-friendly Coors Field stay 'under' the total while the Giants have posted just one 'over' result in their last five games overall. I look for those trends to continue in Monday's series-opener between these N.L. West rivals on Monday. Andrew Heaney will get his second start back from injury for the Dodgers. He had a nice return last week, tossing four shutout innings of one-hit ball against the Nationals. Here, we'll likely see the left-hander get stretched out a little more. In 19 1/3 innings of work this season, Heaney owns a terrific 2.40 FIP and 0.88 WHIP while giving up only 1.4 runs per nine innings (small sample size, I know). Behind Heaney is a Dodgers bullpen that owns a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP with 10 saves converted and only two blown on the road this season. Logan Webb will take the ball for the Giants. He didn't have his best stuff last time out in Arizona but still hung around for 6 1/3 innings, ultimately keeping his team in the game in an eventual 5-3 loss to the D'Backs. Webb has now lasted at least six innings in nine consecutive starts. On the season, Webb has recorded a 3.21 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. It's also worth noting that Webb owns a career 2.50 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in nine starts against the Dodgers. The only time he gave up more than two earned runs against them, we still saw that contest total only seven runs (in a 7-0 Dodgers win back in August 2020). You would have to go back six Webb starts against the Dodgers to find the last time a game went 'over' seven runs. I'll admit the Giants bullpen is a concern as it owns a collective 6.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over the last seven games. I do like the fact that it has logged just 19 2/3 innings over the last seven games, however, and it posted two shutout innings in last night's 4-0 blanking of the Cubs. The San Francisco relief corps has converted 10 saves while blowing only four at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on New York -0.5 runs first five innings over Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday. I like the way this one sets up for the Mets, at least early on, as they head to Washington to open a series against the Nationals on Monday. Max Scherzer will take the ball for New York. He's been terrific since returning from injury, lowering his FIP to 2.50 and WHIP to 0.90 on the season. The Mets ace has allowed just 2.2 runs per nine innings this season. With that being said, there's no real advantage for the Mets in the later innings of this one as their bullpen has been good, but not on the same level as the Nats' relief corps lately. Washington's 'pen has posted a sparkling 1.11 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over the last seven games. At home this season, it has recorded a 3.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Patrick Corbin gets the start for Washington on Monday. To say his season has been a disaster might be an understatement. The left-hander owns a 4.62 FIP and 1.77 WHIP while yielding a whopping 7.43 runs per nine innings. The Mets last saw him back on May 31st and tagged him for seven earned runs on 12 hits over just 4 1/3 innings in a 10-0 rout. Take New York -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago -0.5 runs first five innings over Oakland at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. We have a starting pitching mismatch in this game as the White Sox send their ace Dylan Cease to the hill against Adam Oller of the A's. Oller has been having a miserable rookie campaign having posted a 7.51 FIP and 1.86 WHIP while giving up a whopping 8.91 runs per nine innings. The A's bullpen behind him has actually been solid, however, with a 2.88 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the last seven games so we're not interested in the bullpen matchup here and will elect to fade the A's in 'first five innings' only. Dylan Cease is having a career year, recording a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.66 FIP and 1.19 WHIP. He's limited the opposition to only 2.85 runs per nine innings. Look for the White Sox to get the jump on the A's early in this contest. Take Chicago -0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Arizona and Atlanta at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. This has been a relatively low-scoring series to this point and I expect more of the same on Sunday. Merrill Kelly gets the start for the D'Backs. He has quietly put together a solid 2022 campaign, recording a 3.21 FIP and 1.15 WHIP while allowing only 3.19 runs per nine innings. Behind Kelly is a suddenly hot D'Backs bullpen that owns a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over the last seven games. Braves ace Max Fried has put up Cy Young Award-caliber numbers this season, posting a 2.48 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while yielding only 2.8 runs per nine frames. The Braves bullpen has recorded a 1.12 WHIP over the last seven games and a 3.40 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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07-30-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Los Angeles at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating plenty of offense as the Rangers and Angels continue their series in Anaheim on Saturday. Glenn Otto gets the start for the visiting Rangers. He owns a 5.19 FIP and 1.46 WHIP this season, yielding 5.64 runs per nine innings. Command has been a major issue has he has handed out 4.7 walks per nine innings. Chase Silseth hasn't been much better for the Angels. He has recorded a 5.84 FIP and 1.46 WHIP, knocked around for a whopping 10.2 hits per nine innings. Opponents have reached Silseth for 5.84 runs per nine frames. Both bullpens are hittable. The Rangers relief corps has posted a colelctive 4.69 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over the last seven games while the Halos 'pen owns a 4.27 ERA and 1.30 WHIP at home. The two teams have combined to blow 15 saves away and home, respectively. Take the over (10*). |
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07-30-22 | Cubs v. Giants -130 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco first five innings over Chicago at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. We'll back the Giants in the first five innings only in this one as we look to avoid their bullpen, which continues to struggle. I do like the advantage San Francisco has in terms of the starting pitching matchup. The Giants have been terrific against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game (compared to their season scoring average of 4.6 runs per game). They'll face Drew Smyly on Saturday. He owns a 4.45 FIP and 1.27 WHIP this season, giving up just north of 4.4 runs per nine innings. Jakob Junis will take the ball for San Francisco. He has recorded a 3.89 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while holding the opposition to just under 3.0 runs per nine innings. The problem for the Giants is their bullpen as it has posted a collective 7.58 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over the last seven games. As I said, we'll look to avoid that relief corps by backing the Giants in the first five innings only. Take San Francisco first five innings (8*). |
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07-30-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. We missed with the Dodgers on the run-line last night as a two-out, two-run single from Randal Grichuk ultimately cost us the win. With that being said, I won't hesitate to come right back with the same play on Saturday. Los Angeles will send Clayton Kershaw to the hill after he struggled against the Giants last time out (the Dodgers still won that game 7-4). Note that he has posted a 2.61 FIP and 0.95 WHIP this season, yielding just 2.61 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Kyle Freeland. He checks in sporting a 4.32 FIP and 1.36 WHIP, allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Freeland gives up 2.6 more hits and 1.0 more walks per nine innings compared to Kershaw this season. The Dodgers should have the advantage in the later innings of this one as well as their bullpen owns a collective 2.95 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the road this season while the Rockies 'pen has posted a 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP at home. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-30-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
A.L. Game of the Month. My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 2:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Yankees on the run-line last night as they exploded in the eighth inning in an eventual lopsided victory, and I won’t hesitate to come right back with the same play on Saturday afternoon. Jon Heasley will take the ball for the Royals. His rookie campaign has been a disaster in many regards. He has posted a 5.49 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while giving up a whopping 5.85 runs per nine innings. Heasley isn’t likely to get much help from a Royals bullpen that owns a 4.84 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night’s action). Nestor Cortes Jr. will counter for New York. The All-Star has recorded a 3.41 FIP and 1.00 WHIP while yielding only 2.57 runs per nine innings this season. Unlike the Royals, the Yankees have a tremendous bullpen that owns a 2.78 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with 17 saves converted and only five blown at home this season. Take New York -1.5 runs (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. We’ll confidently back the Dodgers on Friday as they hand the ball to Julio Urias against Chad Kuhl of the Rockies. Urias enters with a 3.91 FIP and 1.00 WHIP this season, giving up just north of 3.3 runs per nine innings. He checks in allowing 2.4 fewer hits and 1.6 fewer walks per nine innings compared to his counterpart on Friday, Kuhl. Kuhl sports a 4.59 FIP and 1.44 WHIP this season. He got off to a fine start to his first campaign with the Rockies but things have gone downhill since. Note that he is allowing just shy of 4.7 runs per nine innings and faces a tall task in the Dodgers loaded lineup here. The bullpens are a mismatch as well as the Dodgers ‘pen has been terrific on the road this season, posting a collective 2.91 ERA and 1.10 WHIP (entering last night’s action), converting nine saves while blowing only two. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-29-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Oakland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. I’m expecting plenty of offense between the A’s and White Sox on Friday as they open a three-game series in Chicago. James Kaprielian has been the weak link in the A’s rotation this season, posting a 5.62 FIP and 1.32 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.9 runs per nine innings. Behind Kaprielian is an A’s bullpen that I expect to suffer some regression on this road trip following an extended stretch at home. The A’s ‘pen has just 14 saves converted compared to nine blown on the road this season. Veteran Lance Lynn has had an up-and-down return from injury to the White Sox starting rotation. He did pitch well over six innings against the Guardians last time out but I question whether he can follow it up with another quality outing here. Note that Lynn has posted a 4.34 FIP and 1.41 WHIP this season, allowing an ugly average of 7.07 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has been a mess lately, most recently coughing up Wednesday’s game in the ninth inning in Colorado. The Sox relief corps has posted a collective 6.35 ERA and 1.76 WHIP over the last seven games and hasn’t been much better as a whole at home this season, logging a 5.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta -1.5 runs over Arizona at 7:20 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Braves following a disappointing series in Philadelphia. It’s been a much different story for his counterpart on Friday, Kyle Wright of the Braves. He checks in with a 3.32 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while holding the opposition to only 3.18 runs per nine innings. While Arizona does bring solid bullpen form into this series-opener, much of the recent success that it has enjoyed has come at home. On the road, the D’Backs have recorded a collective 5.18 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Braves ‘pen owns a 3.40 ERA and 1.17 WHIP at home this season. Take Atlanta -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Guardians v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Friday. I’m anticipating a well-pitched game from both sides in St. Petersburg on Friday night as the Guardians send Shane Bieber to the mound against Jeffrey Springs of the Rays. Bieber got roughed up early against the White Sox in his most recent start. I’m confident he’ll bounce back here, noting that he has posted a 3.07 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, allowing just shy of 3.8 runs per nine innings. Bieber has had moderate success against the Rays in his career, posting a 3.09 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in four career starts against them. Springs is having a fine campaign as well, recording a 3.58 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while holding the opposition to only 2.63 runs per nine frames. He’ll have the advantage of facing the Guardians for the first time in his career on Friday. This matchup features two capable bullpens with Cleveland’s relief corps having posted a collective 2.45 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action) and the Rays ‘pen having recorded a 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Kansas City at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Even though he’s pitched well lately, we’ll continue to go against Royals starter Kris Bubic as we continue to anticipate some regression from recent form. On the season, Bubic has recorded a 5.08 FIP and 1.65 WHIP while giving up a whopping 6.19 runs per nine innings. He faced the Yankees once previously back in April and that start didn’t go particularly well as he was tagged for three earned runs on four hits, including two home runs, over five innings in a 12-2 loss. Gerrit Cole will counter for the Yankees on Friday. The All-Star is having another fine season having posted a 3.24 FIP and 1.02 WHIP while giving up only 3.17 runs per nine innings. He should be pleased to see the Royals, noting that he owns a 2.04 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in six career starts against them. The Yankees bullpen went through a bit of a rough patch recently but has since turned it around, posting a collective 3.54 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over the last seven games. For the season, the Yanks ‘pen has recorded a 2.88 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at home, converting 17 saves and blowing only five. Meanwhile, the Royals relief corps has posted a 4.66 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road, converting 12 saves and blowing nine. Take New York -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-29-22 | Phillies v. Pirates +110 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
N.L. Game of the Week. My selection is on Pittsburgh over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Friday. While we gave the Phillies the edge in terms of starting pitchers in the opener of this series last night, it’s a different story on Friday as Philadelphia sends Bailey Falter to the hill against Jose Quintana of the Pirates. Falter continues to struggle having posted an ugly 6.18 FIP and 1.46 WHIP this season, allowing 6.0 runs per nine innings. We’ve yet to see Falter work beyond the fifth inning in any of his seven career big league starts, which opens the door for a Phillies bullpen that has posted a collective 5.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over the last seven games. Jose Quintana has ‘turned back the clock’ for the Pirates this season, putting himself into the conversation as a potential trade option for a contending team. He enters this start sporting a 3.27 FIP and 1.28 WHIP while giving up just shy of 4.0 runs per nine innings. The Pirates bullpen has been solid lately, recording a collective 2.53 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Miami at 6:40 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams have been involved in their share of low-scoring games lately and I expect more of the same on Friday as New York sends Chris Bassitt to the hill against Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara. Bassitt has been quietly rolling along lately, working at least six innings while allowing three earned runs or less in six consecutive outings. For the season, Bassitt has posted a 3.74 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while giving up 3.8 runs per nine innings. Alcantara is one of the leading contenders for the N.L. Cy Young Award as he has recorded a 2.78 FIP and 0.90 WHIP, yielding only 2.24 runs per nine innings. He didn’t have his best stuff in his most recent start but still hung in there, allowing only two earned runs while striking out 10 over six innings in Pittsburgh. Both bullpens have been solid lately with the Mets relief corps posting a 3.58 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven games and the Marlins ‘pen recording a 3.25 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Rangers v. Angels -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Texas at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. The Rangers have been a major disappointment this season and that narrative has held true this week as they just got swept (again) by the Mariners. I don't see them picking themselves up off the mat for Thursday's series-opener against Shohei Ohtani and the Angels. While Ohtani's bat hasn't been quite as explosive as it was last season, his arm has been just as effective as he checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.41 FIP and 1.00 WHIP while allowing just under 2.9 runs per nine innings. He didn't have his best stuff in his most recent start in Atlanta but actually kept his team in the game for five solid innings before imploding (we cashed with the Angels +0.5 first five innings in that game). I expect him to bounce back here at home on Thursday. Ohtani's counterpart on Thursday will be Spencer Howard of the Rangers. He's been the polar opposite of Ohtani, recording an 8.01 FIP and 1.78 WHIP while giving up just under 7.5 runs per nine frames. Behind Howard is a Rangers bullpen that has posted a collective 5.84 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over the last seven games (entering yesterday's action). Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit +1.5 runs first five innings over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I can't help but feel the Blue Jays are overvalued here, especially when you consider we can grab an insurance run with the Tigers in the first five innings at such a reasonable price. Tyler Alexander will get his first start for the Tigers since April. He suffered an injury and then when he returned to the bigs he was relegated to bullpen duty, and pitched reasonably well in that role. Alexander has posted a 4.32 FIP and 1.29 WHIP this season. While those numbers aren't all that impressive, they're certainly better than those of his counterpart on Thursday, Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi returns from the I.L. on Thursday and prior to that, things weren't going well as he had recorded a 5.82 FIP and 1.57 WHIP while giving up 5.95 runs per nine innings. Note that the Tigers average 4.0 runs per game against left-handed starting pitching this season compared to their season scoring average of just 3.2 rpg. The bullpens are essentially a wash with the Blue Jays holding a slight advantage in terms of recent form. With that in mind, we'll grab the +1.5 cushion with the Tigers in the first five innings. Take Detroit +1.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-28-22 | Phillies -190 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia first five innings over Pittsburgh at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Phillies are fresh off securing a series win over the Braves and I look for them to get off to a positive start against the Pirates on Thursday as well. With no real bullpen advantage in the later innings of this one, I'll back Philadelphia in the first five innings only here. Phillies ace Zack Wheeler has lived up to his billing this season, and then some. He's posted a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.77 FIP and 1.04 WHIP while allowing just 3.12 runs per nine innings. Wheeler has worked at least into the seventh inning in three of his last four starts overall. The Pirates will counter with Zach Thompson. Based on his performance this season, he may not be long for a big league rotation. Thompson has recorded a 5.31 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while yielding north of 5.2 runs per nine innings. Things don't figure to get any easier against a Phillies lineup that seemed to regain its form against a tougher Braves pitching staff than it will face in this matchup. Take Philadelphia first five innings (8*). |
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07-27-22 | Rangers -115 v. Mariners | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Week. My selection is on Texas first five innings over Seattle at 3:40 pm et on Wednesday. I’m not interested in the bullpen battle in this game as I give the Mariners a considerable edge in that department based on recent form. With that being said, I will back the Rangers in the first five innings as starter Jon Gray has been quietly effective lately and by all accounts catches the Mariners bats at the right time. Gray has lowered his FIP to 3.29 and his WHIP to 1.12 and gives up just under 3.8 runs per nine innings this season. He hasn't allowed an earned run over his last two outings, covering a span of 13 innings. It’s a much different story for Marco Gonzales of the Mariners. He has recorded a 5.28 FIP and 1.39 WHIP while allowing 4.58 runs per nine innings. Note that the Rangers have scored considerably more against left-handed starting pitching compared to righties over the course of the season. Look for Texas to control proceedings through five innings at the very least. Take Texas first five innings (10*). |
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07-27-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Washington at 3:10 pm et on Wednesday. We’ll confidently back the Dodgers minus the extra run as they give Andrew Heaney his first start in a long time after dealing with a shoulder injury. Heaney draws a favorable opponent in his return to the rotation in the Nationals and also has the edge against Washington starter Patrick Corbin, who continues to struggle through the 2022 campaign. Heaney has been working his way back in the minor league ranks and most recently fared well at the AAA level, posting a 1.23 ERA and 0.55 WHIP in two starts covering 7 1/3 innings at Oklahoma City. He’s logged 15 1/3 innings at the big league level this season, recording a 2.15 FIP and 0.85 WHIP while giving up only 1.76 runs per nine innings (small sample size, I know). Corbin has been discussed as a trade deadline target but I’m not sure why any teams would be interested considering his 4.61 FIP and 1.70 WHIP this season. He has allowed a whopping 6.96 runs per nine innings. As I’ve noted on multiple previous occasions, the Nats bullpen has been awful on the road this season, entering last night’s action sporting a 5.77 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Look for the Dodgers to wear out the Nats pitching staff in this one. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Giants -160 v. Diamondbacks | 3-7 | Loss | -160 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco first five innings over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. Monday’s pitching change for Arizona pushed starter Tyler Gilbert back to Tuesday’s game and that sets us up well with a play on the visiting Giants here. We’ll only trust them in the first five innings though, as their bullpen continues to struggle, entering this series with a 6.20 ERA and 1.67 WHIP over the last seven games. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for San Francisco. He’s put up Cy Young Award-caliber numbers this season with a 2.25 FIP and 1.14 WHIP, yielding just north of 3.0 runs per nine innings. What you really have to like about Rodon is his ability to keep the ball in the park, giving up just 0.4 home runs per nine innings. While his first career start against the D’Backs didn’t go well earlier this month, I’m willing to give him a pass for that poor outing as his full body of work this season tells a much different story. Tyler Gilbert has had a miserable campaign, posting a 5.93 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while allowing 5.64 runs per nine innings. Note that he’s even struggled at the AAA level this season, recording a 7.57 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 44 innings of work. Gilbert hasn’t been able to keep the ball in the park, allowing 2.3 home runs per nine innings in the minors and 2.1 HR/9 in the majors this year. The Giants will be seeing him for the second time this season and I’m confident they can get to him early. Take San Francisco first five innings (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. The totals have been steadily coming down over the D'Backs last few games from 9.5 on Sunday to 9.0 on Monday and now 8.5 on Tuesday. Obviously that has a lot to do with the starting pitchers slated to take the mound, but in this case, I believe the total will prove too low. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for the visiting Giants. There's not a lot negative I can say about Rodon but I'm confident the D'Backs can scratch out enough offense against him (and the rest of the Giants pitching staff) to help this total along. Note that Rodon will be starting on just four days' rest here. The last time he did he gave up eight hits and three walks but limited the damage allowing just one earned run over five innings against Milwaukee. The D'Backs did get to him for four earned runs over five innings in their lone previous matchup this season. No bullpen has struggled worse than the Giants' lately as they check in sporting an ugly 8.24 ERA and 1.98 WHIP over their last seven games so the opportunity should be there for the D'Backs to score late even if they're silenced by Rodon early. I'm down on D'Backs starter Tyler Gilbert as he has posted a 5.93 FIP and 1.25 WHIP while allowing 5.64 runs per nine innings this season. San Francisco will get its second look at Gilbert this season after failing to deliver the knockout blow but having little trouble chasing him from the game after 3 2/3 innings earlier this month (Gilbert allowed four hits, one walk and one earned run while striking out only two in that outing. The D'Backs bullpen has posted excellent numbers lately but I will point out that they've had little pressure on them playing with big leads in the majority of those games. When pressed in a tight contest against the Nationals on Sunday they ultimately coughed up the game. Take the over (8*). |
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07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Atlanta and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is one of the best starting pitching matchups on Tuesday’s board as the Braves hand the ball to standout rookie Spencer Strider against Aaron Nola of the Phillies. We’ll use the ‘first five innings’ to play the ‘under’ in this one. Strider has burst onto the scene with a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.05 FIP and 1.05 WHIP, holding opponents to just under 3.3 runs per nine innings. Here, he’ll have the advantage of facing the Phillies for the first time in his career. Nola is often found in Zack Wheeler’s shadow in the Phillies rotation but he’s been every bit as good as the Philadelphia ace this season. Nola owns a 2.82 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding just 3.2 runs per nine innings. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid a struggling Phillies bullpen that has recorded a collective 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). Take the first five innings under (10*). |
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07-26-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
A.L. East Game of the Year. My selection is on Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings over Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I’ll back the Rays in the first five innings in Baltimore on Tuesday as they hand the ball to their ace and American League All-Star Game starter Shane McClanahan. The left-hander didn’t exactly have a banner performance in his lone inning of work in the All-Star Game but that doesn’t change the fact that he’s having a fantastic season, having posted a 2.42 FIP and 0.80 WHIP while giving up only 2.11 runs per nine innings. He should be happy to be facing the Orioles here, noting that he owns a 2.31 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in five career outings against them. Orioles starter Spenser Watkins hasn’t been nearly as successful against the Rays. In five career starts against them he owns an ugly 7.71 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Watkins has struggled as a whole this season, posting a 4.50 FIP and 1.37 WHIP, yielding just north of 4.6 runs per nine innings. This will be Tampa Bay’s sixth time seeing the right-hander since the start of last season and it’s worth noting that the Rays have been better against righties than lefties this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game against RH starting pitching compared to their 4.2 rpg overall. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid the bullpen matchup as the O’s have one of the best relief corps’ in baseball and bring terrific form into this series having recorded a 2.08 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night’s contest). The Rays on the other hand have blown exactly as many saves as they’ve converted on the road this season (nine). Take Tampa Bay -0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-26-22 | Marlins -107 v. Reds | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday. With the Marlins bullpen holding an edge in this matchup and Pablo Lopez enjoying a much better campaign than Reds rookie Hunter Greene, I’ll back the visiting Fish on Tuesday in Cincinnati. Lopez owns a 3.75 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while yielding just shy of 3.4 runs per nine innings this season. His success certainly hasn’t come out of nowhere as Lopez has posted a career 3.79 FIP and 1.17 WHIP across five big league seasons. Greene may have a bright future for the Reds but right now big league hitters seem to have him figured out. After showing flashes of brilliance early in the season, he’s seen his FIP rise to 5.43 and his WHIP to 1.35 while giving up just under 5.9 runs per nine innings. Entering this series, the Reds bullpen had recorded a collective 5.34 ERA and 1.47 WHIP while converting just five saves and blowing six at home this season. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-25-22 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 5-7 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Monday. The Astros had no trouble sweeping aside the previously red hot Mariners in Seattle over the weekend and I look for them to keep it rolling as they head to Oakland to face the lowly A’s on Monday. Jake Odorizzi will get the start for Houston. He’s been quietly effective this season, posting a 3.44 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while giving up 4.31 runs per nine innings. That last number is somewhat concerning but negated by the fact he’ll be facing the light-hitting A’s on Monday. Oakland did find some success at the dish against the Rangers over the weekend but I do think it will find the going a little tougher against one of the best pitching staffs in baseball in the Astros. Adam Oller will get another spot start for the A’s on Monday. To say that he’s off to an awful start to his big league career would be an understatement. Oller has recorded a 7.92 FIP and 1.98 WHIP while yielding a whopping 9.22 runs per nine innings in 27 1/3 innings of work this season. He’s allowing 11.5 hits, 2.6 home runs and a ridiculous 6.3 walks per nine innings. While I do realize we’re talking about a small sample size, those are still alarming numbers. The A’s bullpen will likely be put to work early in this one and while it has held up well recently, it still entered yesterday’s action sporting a 4.83 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with only eight saves converted and six blown at home this season. In contrast, the Astros ‘pen converted its 17th road save yesterday (it has blown just six). Houston entered yesterday’s contest with a 3.65 ERA and 1.36 WHIP away from home. Take Houston -1.5 runs (9*). |
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07-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
N.L. Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. |
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07-25-22 | Pirates v. Cubs -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Pittsburgh at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Cubs are quietly rolling right now, winners of four straight games including a three-game sweep of the Phillies in Philadelphia over the weekend. Everything is clicking right now and I like their chances of keeping the good vibes going at home against the Pirates on Monday. Pittsburgh is coming off a tough 6-5 extra innings loss against the Marlins yesterday (we won with Miami in that game). Credit the Buccos for hanging tough against one of the best starting pitchers in baseball in Sandy Alcantara in that one but they simply weren't able to outlast the Marlins offense. JT Brubaker will get the start for the Pirates on Monday. He's been good but certainly not great for Pittsburgh this season, posting a 3.75 FIP and 1.42 WHIP while yielding 4.88 runs per nine innings. He puts far too many runners on base, noting that he's handed out 3.8 walks per nine innings. You would have to go back six road starts to find the last time the Pirates won with Brubaker on the hill. He's never helped the Buccos to wins in consecutive starts against the Cubs (he's faced them seven times) and that's worth noting as the Pirates won his most recent outing against Chicago by a 12-1 score back in June. The Cubs will be seeing Brubaker for the fourth time this season and the sixth time since the start of last year. Of bigger concern for the Pirates is their struggling bullpen. It couldn't keep the Marlins bats at bay late in yesterday's game and checks into Monday's contest having recorded a 4.94 ERA and 1.82 WHIP over the last seven games. That's in stark contrast to the Cubs bullpen, which owns a 1.42 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over the same stretch. Adrian Sampson gets the call to start for the Cubs on Monday. He's done everything that's been asked of him with the big club this year, recording a 3.65 FIP and 1.21 WHIP while allowing just shy of 4.2 runs per nine innings. The Cubs have won three of his five starts despite a tough slate of opponents including the Cardinals and Brewers on the road and the Red Sox, Orioles and Mets at home. Take Chicago (8*). |
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07-25-22 | Rays -120 v. Orioles | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay first five innings over Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Monday. While I do like the Rays to bounce back from consecutive losses against the Royals as they head to Baltimore to open a series against the Orioles on Monday, I think the ‘first five innings’ is the way to play this one as I’ll concede a significant edge to the Baltimore bullpen in the later innings. Tampa Bay will start veteran right-hander Corey Kluber. He’s quietly putting together a fine campaign having recorded a 3.43 FIP and 1.12 WHIP while allowing just over 3.9 runs per nine innings this season. It’s been a much different story for his counterpart on Monday, Austin Voth. The Orioles right-hander remains in the rotation out of necessity only at this point. He’s posted a respectable 3.94 FIP but a 1.63 WHIP and gives up 3.3 more hits, 0.3 more home runs and 1.4 more walks per nine innings compared to Kluber this season. Opponents have reached Voth for an ugly 7.02 runs per nine innings. Take Tampa Bay first five innings (8*). |
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07-25-22 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Monday. This game has all the makings of a slugfest, even though it features two teams that aren’t exactly offensive juggernauts in the Marlins and Reds. Trevor Rogers will get the start for Miami. To say that he’s labored through his 18 starts this season would be an understatement. He has posted a 4.53 FIP and 1.55 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.9 runs per nine innings. He’ll be facing a Reds club that has fared much better offensively at home this season, entering yesterday’s action averaging 5.1 runs per game (compared to their 4.3 rpg overall). The Marlins bullpen coughed up a two-run ninth inning lead and almost let a 6-4 extra innings lead slip away yesterday in Pittsburgh. Miami’s ‘pen entered that contest having already blown 10 saves away from home this season, where it had recorded a collective 4.38 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Rookie Nick Lodolo will take the ball for Cincinnati. He remains in the Reds rotation out of necessity only. Note that he has posted a 4.86 FIP and 1.79 WHIP while allowing just north of 5.8 runs per nine innings in six starts this season. Behind Lodolo is a Reds bullpen that has posted a collective 5.43 ERA and 1.48 WHIP with only four saves converted and six blown at home this season (entering yesterday’s action). Take the over (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Mets | 5-8 | Loss | -190 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego +0.5 runs first five innings over New York at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the Mets in last night's disappointing 2-1 loss - the Padres second consecutive victory to open this series. Here, I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Padres with a half-run of insurance in the first five innings (or straight-up on the first five innings moneyline if that's the only line available at your book), as I can certainly make the case for the wrong team being favored - in the first five frames at least. While it's not a complete mismatch, there's no question Joe Musgrove of the Padres holds the edge in tonight's starting pitching matchup against Carlos Carrasco of the Mets. Musgrove has seen his FIP climb just north of 3.00 to 3.09 but he still owns a terrific 0.97 WHIP and yields just under 2.8 runs per nine innings. In comparison to Carrasco, Musgrove gives up 2.8 fewer hits, 0.2 fewer home runs and 0.4 fewer walks per nine innings. Carrasco checks in with a 3.51 FIP and 1.33 WHIP, giving up just shy of 4.3 runs per nine innings this season. The Padres have been slightly better in terms of offensive production against right-handed starting pitching and entered last night's action averaging 5.0 runs per game on the road this season (compared to 4.3 rpg overall). I don't want any part of the bullpen matchup in this one as the Padres relief corps entered last night's action sporting a collective 4.64 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over the last seven games while the Mets 'pen posted a 1.99 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over the same stretch. Take San Diego +0.5 runs first five innings (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. We've seen a pair of well-pitched, low-scoring games between these two N.L. West rivals over the last two nights. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday, however. Alex Cobb will get the start for the visiting Giants. His number are a bit perplexing as he has posted a solid 3.00 FIP to go along with a 1.29 WHIP yet has allowed an ugly 5.37 runs per nine innings. That has a lot to do with the fact that he's kept the ball in the park, yielding just 0.6 runs per nine innings. The Dodgers red hot bats will obviously pose a challenge on Sunday, noting that they entered last night's contest averaging 6.7 runs over their last seven games. Interestingly, Cobb has never faced the Dodgers before in his career. All-Star Game starter Clayton Kershaw will take the ball for Los Angeles. His overall numbers this season are terrific as he owns a 2.48 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while allowing just shy of 2.3 runs per nine innings. If there's an opponent that could put a dent in his armor, it's the Giants. They entered last night's game averaging 5.4 runs per contest against left-handed starting pitching this season (compared to their season average of 4.8 rpg). They saw Kershaw in the second week of June, cashing him after four innings, scoring two runs on three hits and two walks. You would have to go back five Kershaw starts against San Francisco here at Dodger Stadium to find the last time a game totalled less than nine runs. The Giants bullpen hasn't fared any better post-All-Star break than it did before, entering last night's action sporting a 4.33 ERA and 1.56 WHIP over the last seven contests. Meanwhile, the Dodgers 'pen has been terrific this season but has been anything but perfect lately, recording a collective 4.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the last seven games (also entering last night's action). Take the over (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Houston at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. The Mariners went into the All-Star break as the hottest team in baseball and then their young star Julio Rodriguez put on a show in the Home Run Derby. All was well in Seattle, that is until the Astros rolled into town on Friday. Houston has taken the first two games in this series but I do look for Seattle to give it everything it can handle in Sunday's finale. Framber Valdez will take the ball for the visiting Astros. There's really not a lot negative I can point out when it comes to the All-Star pitcher. It is worth noting that he allows 0.5 more walks and 2.4 fewer strikeouts per nine innings this season compared to his counterpart on Sunday, Mariners left-hander Robbie Ray. You would have to go back three starts to find the last time the Astros won a game by 2+ runs with Valdez on the mound. Robbie Ray checks in with a 3.91 FIP and 1.09 WHIP while allowing just north of 3.6 runs per nine innings this season. His 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings is a big reason for that FIP sitting near 4.00. Note that you would have to go back seven starts to find the last time the Mariners lost a game started by Ray. They're 8-2 in his 10 home starts when factoring in the +1.5 run-line this season. You have to go back four starts, all the way to 2016, to find the last time Ray didn't guide his team to victory when starting against the Astros. The later innings could belong to the Mariners in this one, noting that Seattle's bullpen entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 1.97 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last seven games and a 3.04 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home this season. The Astros 'pen has been outstanding in its own right, but did enter yesterday's game with an elevated 3.65 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (7*). |
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07-24-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Non-Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Arizona at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. Our play on the first five innings 'over' in this matchup last night didn't go our way but I won't hesitate to come back with a similar play on Sunday - this time backing the 'over' for the full game as Washington sends Erick Fedde to the hill against Corbin Martin of the D'Backs. Fedde is in the midst of another trying campaign having posted a 4.98 FIP and 1.50 WHIP while allowing north of 5.0 runs per nine innings. Perhaps Nationals starters are trying to be a little too perfect on the road, noting that their bullpen entered last night's action sporting an ugly 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP away from home this season. The D'Backs have certainly feasted in Washington pitching in this series, plating 17 runs in two games. Corbin Martin will get another spot start for Arizona. In 14 1/3 innings of work this season, Martin has recorded a 2.42 FIP and 1.47 WHIP but has yielded a whopping 5.65 runs per nine innings. That low FIP has everything to do with the fact that he hasn't allowed a home run at the big league level this season. However, a quick look at his minor league stats shows he posted an ERA north of 5.00 and a 1.33 WHIP while allowing 1.4 home runs per nine innings at the AAA level this season. I'm confident the Nats' slumbering bats will wake up against Martin on Sunday. The D'Backs bullpen has managed to convert only seven saves while blowing six at home this season where it has recorded a pedestrian 3.65 ERA and 1.29 WHIP (entering last night's action). Take the over (10*). |
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07-24-22 | Rays -140 v. Royals | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Kansas City at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. The Royals evened this series at a game apiece with last night's bounce-back victory. I look for the Rays to answer back on Sunday. Jeffrey Springs will take the ball for Tampa Bay. The Rays may have found something in the left-hander as he's held up exceptionally well over 60+ innings this season, posting a 3.66 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while allowing just 2.53 runs per nine innings. Springs can pitch confidently here knowing that the bullpen behind him has recorded a collective 3.00 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with five saves converted and only one blown over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Kris Bubic will counter for Kansas City. He pitched about as well as could have been expected in his most recent start but the Royals still lost that game in Toronto. Bubic has recorded a 5.07 FIP and 1.73 WHIP this season, yielding an ugly 6.60 runs per nine innings. The Royals bullpen entered last night's game with a 4.76 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home this season. Take Tampa Bay (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. This has been a reasonably high-scoring series to this point but I'm anticipating a well-pitched finale on Sunday afternoon. Shane Bieber will get the start for the visiting Guardians. He checks in sporting a 2.74 FIP and 1.13 WHIP while allowing just shy of 3.5 runs per nine innings this season. After a bit of a rocky stretch, Bieber faced these same White Sox just before the All-Star break and tossed a complete game, allowing just one run. He owns a 3.14 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road this season. Dylan Cease will counter for Chicago. He's been the most consistent starter in the White Sox rotation, entering this outing with a 2.68 FIP and 1.19 WHIP while yielding just a shade above 3.0 runs per nine innings on the campaign. As I noted in yesterday's analysis, both bullpens entered Saturday's action in tremendous form. Unfortunately the two relief corps suffered some regression in yesterday's double-header but I do think they can rebound should they be called upon here. Take the under (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Marlins -168 v. Pirates | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Pittsburgh at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. The fact that we're able to back Sandy Alcantara and the Marlins at a price better than -200 on Sunday afternoon in Pittsburgh tells me that the ace right-hander is still being undervalued. Alcantara has put together an impressive Cy Young Award-caliber campaign this season but he's done it out of the spotlight in Miami. He checks in with a 2.72 FIP and 0.90 WHIP while allowing just north of 2.2 runs per nine innings. Pirates starter Mitch Keller has done about as well as the team could have expected but that's not saying much. He owns a 3.87 FIP and 1.46 WHIP while yielding 4.75 runs per nine innings. Keller isn't likely to get a lot of help from a bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a 5.66 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over the last seven games and has converted just nine saves while blowing seven at home this season. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-24-22 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 1:35 pm et on Sunday. The Angels offense has been lifeless lately with last night's loss extending its streak of scoring two runs or less to five games. They will face arguably the weakest link in the Braves starting rotation on Sunday though and I believe they can do their part to help this one 'over' the total. The Braves will get the opportunity to tee off on another left-hander, noting that they entered last night's action having gone 23-9 while averaging 5.7 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Reid Detmers will take the ball for the Angels on Saturday. He hasn't come close to regaining the form that saw him post a no-hitter earlier in the season. Overall, he owns a 4.82 FIP and 1.07 WHIP while yielding 4.11 runs per nine innings. Atlanta will start Ian Anderson. He's labored through the campaign, recording a 4.31 FIP and 1.51 WHIP while giving up a disappointing 4.89 runs per nine innings. After getting handcuffed by Charlie Morton and Kyle Wright over the last two nights, I think the Angels will be happy to see Anderson on the mound on Sunday. He owns a 5.31 ERA and 1.67 WHIP at home this season. Neither bullpen brings overwhelming form to the table on Sunday. The Angels have just eight converted saves while blowing six on the road this season while it may surprise you to find out that Atlanta has blown 10 saves (while converting 17) at home. Take the over (10*). |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Texas and Oakland at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. Break up the A’s! They’ve scored 10 runs over their last two games - both victories - and will look to keep the good vibes at the dish going on Saturday. I like their chances of doing so, at least early on, but I’m also confident the Rangers bats will come alive and do their part to help this one ‘over’ the first five innings total. Taylor Hearn will get the start for the Rangers. He checks in with a 4.57 FIP and 1.67 WHIP, allowing north of 10 hits and four walks per nine innings. Opponents have reached the left-hander for just shy of 6.2 runs per nine innings. James Kaprielian will counter for the A’s. After turning in a fine rookie campaign last year, he’s struggled in his sophomore big league season. Kaprielian has posted a 5.78 FIP and 1.36 WHIP and like Hearn, has struggled with his command, issuing north of four walks per nine innings. He’s also giving up just under 2.0 home runs and 5.22 runs per nine frames. The two bullpens entered this series sporting opposite recent results with the Rangers relief corps struggling and the A’s’ thriving. However, the Rangers ‘pen actually went into last night’s game with a collective 3.04 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road this season while the A’s ‘pen had posted a 4.84 ERA and WHIP at home. I don’t think we have enough of an edge either way to support a full game ‘over’ play, so we’ll go with the first five innings only here. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Washington and Arizona at 8:10 pm et on Saturday. These two teams boast bullpens that entered this series in excellent recent form so rather than play the full game ‘over’ the total, we’ll go with the first five innings only as the hitters draw a favorable starting pitching matchup. Journeyman starter Anibal Sanchez will get his second start for Washington. He labored through his first outing, allowing four earned runs on four hits, including two home runs. When we previously saw Sanchez he posted a 5.46 FIP and 1.66 WHIP while allowing just shy of 6.8 runs per nine innings in 53 innings of work for the Nats during the Covid-shortened 2020 campaign. His counterpart on Saturday will be Madison Bumgarner. The veteran left-hander isn’t exactly enjoying a banner campaign having recorded a 4.59 FIP and 1.40 WHIP. That’s about as much as the D’Backs probably expected from him as he nears the end of his storied big league career. Bumgarner checks in allowing just shy of 4.6 runs per nine innings this season. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Cleveland and Chicago at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. This play sets up similarly to last night’s play on the first five innings ‘over’ between these two teams as we have another favorable starting pitching matchup but will look to avoid the two bullpens, which have been performing exceptionally well lately, as I outlined in last night’s analysis. Konnor Pilkington will get another turn in the rotation for the Guardians. He has struggled in his rookie campaign, posting a 4.28 FIP and 1.64 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.4 runs per nine innings. The White Sox have once again been terrific against left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (they average 4.4 rpg overall this season). Veteran Lance Lynn hasn’t come close to regaining the form that saw him contend for the A.L. Cy Young Award last season. He checks in with a 4.78 FIP and 1.50 WHIP in 36 innings of work, yielding a whopping 8.25 runs per nine innings. The last time the Guardians saw Lynn they torched him for eight earned runs on nine hits in just four innings back on July 11th. That was after seeing him four times last season, plating 14 runs in 22 innings. Take the first five innings over (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Padres v. Mets -143 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
MLB Game of the Week. My selection is on New York over San Diego at 7:10 pm et on Saturday. The Mets have proven to be a resilient team all season and I look for them to bounce back off consecutive losses, including a 4-1 setback against the Padres last night, on Saturday night in Queens. Blake Snell will get the nod for the visiting Padres. He's struggled with command issues once again this season, checking in with a respectable 3.70 FIP but a disappointing 1.48 WHIP, allowing jsut shy of 5.6 runs per nine innings along the way. Behind Snell is a Padres bullpen that held up alright last night but has still posted awful numbers over the last seven games - a 4.50 ERA and 5.50 WHIP. San Diego's relief corps has been vulnerable on the road this season, recording a 4.37 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Chris Bassitt will counter for New York. He owns a 3.83 FIP and 1.14 WHIP this season, yielding just shy of 3.9 runs per nine innings. One of his worst outings of the season came against these same Padres, but that was on the road. Here at home, he's posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. The Mets bullpen has been terrific lately, recording a collective 2.70 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over the last seven contests. Here at home this season, Mets relievers have combined to post a 3.56 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Take New York (10*). |
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07-23-22 | Cubs v. Phillies -162 | 6-2 | Loss | -162 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia first five innings over Chicago at 6:05 pm et on Saturday. We'll back the Phillies in the first five innings only on Saturday as they send Zack Wheeler to the hill against Marcus Stroman. Wheeler is coming off one of his worst starts of the season in Toronto before the All-Star break. I expect him to rebound here. Note that Wheeler has posted a 2.70 FIP and 1.08 WHIP this season, allowing just 3.25 runs per nine innings. Marcus Stroman will counter for the Cubs. He has posted a 3.85 FIP and 1.15 WHIP and gives up just shy of 5.2 runs per nine innings, with some bad luck in the mix without question. The Cubs bullpen actually holds a considerable edge here in terms of recent form, so we'll stick with the first five innings only. I apologize for the brief analysis as this is a late add to the card. Take Philadelphia first five innings (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Blue Jays -135 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto over Boston at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. As much as I dislike backing a team off a blowout win over the same opponent the night previous (the Blue Jays hung 28 runs on the Red Sox last night), I can't ignore the edges Toronto holds in Saturday's matinee affair. All-Star Alek Manoah will take the ball for the Jays. He has recorded a 3.34 FIP and 0.96 WHIP this season while allowing only 2.67 runs per nine innings. In four career starts against Boston, Manoah has posted a 1.80 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Rookie Kutter Crawford gets the call for the Red Sox. He's pitched to mixed results so far this season, recording a 3.72 FIP and 1.36 WHIP while yielding 4.75 runs per nine innings. Toronto's bullpen entered this series having posted a collective 1.54 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over the last seven games while the Red Sox relief corps' logged a 7.22 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over the same stretch and obviously didn't improve on those numbers with last night's horrendous performance. Take Toronto (8*). |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Chicago at 1:10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the first five innings 'over' in the opener of this divisional series last night but could have also cashed the full game 'over' as the Guardians prevailed by an 8-2 score. I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'under' on Saturday, however, as we have a better starting pitching matchup to go along with the two red hot bullpens. Triston McKenzie will get the start for Cleveland. He actually owns a WHIP below 1.00 (at 0.98) but his FIP does sit north of 4.00 (at 4.22). McKenzie has managed to limit the damage by keeping his hits allowed down and strikeouts up, ultimately allowing just 3.2 runs per nine innings. Entering last night's action, the Guardians bullpen had posted a 1.85 ERA and 0.70 WHIP over the last seven games. They've converted 13 saves while blowing just six on the road this season. Veteran right-hander Johnny Cueto takes the ball for the White Sox. He's 'turned back the clock' this season, recording a 3.98 FIP and 1.18 WHIP while yielding just north of 2.9 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has performed exceptionally well lately, posting a sparkling 0.45 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over the last seven games (entering last night's action). Take the under (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday. I expect a well-pitched game between these N.L. West rivals on Friday. Logan Webb will take the ball for San Francisco. He’s quietly having another fine season, having recorded a 3.10 FIP and 1.10 WHIP while giving up only 3.14 runs per nine innings. The Giants bullpen had run into some tough times earlier this month but has since shown signs of turning it around, posting a collective 3.21 ERA over the last seven games (entering last night’s action). The Dodgers will give left-hander Tyler Anderson the start. While the Giants have hit left-handed starters well this season, Anderson is a ‘bet-on talent’ pitcher with a 3.33 FIP and 1.02 WHIP, yielding only 3.05 runs per nine innings. Los Angeles’ bullpen has been terrific all season and opened this series sporting a collective 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over the last seven contests. UPDATE: Both bullpens got hit hard in the Dodgers wild 9-6 victory last night. I’m confident we’ll see both relief corps’ bounce back on Friday. Take the under (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -151 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arizona over Washington at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Nationals continue to inexplicably trot out struggling left-hander Patrick Corbin every five turns in the rotation, despite his 4.65 FIP and 1.70 WHIP. They're 1-7 in his eight road outings to date this season, where he has posted a 7.19 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. I don't expect things to get any easier tonight as he faces a D'Backs club that has actually posted a winning record (14-13) against southpaw starters this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game along the way (compared to their 4.2 rpg overall scoring average). Behind Corbin is a Nationals bullpen that has been miserable on the road this season, recording a collective 5.94 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, converting just nine saves while blowing five. For a unit that was actually rolling along nicely prior to the All-Star break (2.78 ERA and 0.90 WHIP last seven games), I'm not convinced the time off will have served them well. Zac Gallen gets the call for the D'Backs. He checks in with a reasonable 3.99 FIP and 1.08 WHIP while yielding 3.84 runs per nine innings. Gallen allows 5.1 fewer hits and 0.5 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Corbin. Arizona's bullpen comes off a seven-game stretch in which it posted a respectable 3.74 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Here at home this season, the Snakes relief corps owns a 3.64 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Take Arizona (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
Interleague first five innings Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles +0.5 runs first five innings over Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. The Angels own a considerable starting pitching advantage in the opener of this interleague series in Atlanta on Friday. I don’t believe it’s being properly reflected in the ‘first five innings’ line and will take advantage by grabbing the insurance half-run with the visiting Halos. Shohei Ohtani appeared in the All-Star Game as a batter only, allowing him to start this series-opener on Friday. He’s done nothing but impress on the mound again this season, recording a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.27 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing just under 2.5 runs per nine innings. By playing the first five innings only we’ll look to avoid an Angels bullpen that has posted a 3.90 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over the last seven games and has converted just eight saves while blowing six on the road this season. The Braves are in slightly better current form in that department with their relief corps having recorded a 0.88 WHIP over the last seven contests. Charlie Morton will get the start for Atlanta on Friday. He’s logged a pedestrian 4.20 FIP and 1.25 WHIP this season, yielding 4.55 runs per nine innings along the way. Take Los Angeles +0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Cleveland and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. These teams boast two of the hottest bullpens in baseball in terms of current form - or at least the form they showed entering the All-Star break. So rather than involve those two ‘pens, we’ll look to play the ‘over’ in the first five innings only as the hitters should feast on the starting pitchers working this one. Cal Quantrill has posted a very pedestrian 4.45 FIP and 1.29 WHIP on the campaign, yielding 4.2 runs per nine innings. He’s giving up 2.7 walks per nine innings and doing little to make up for it in terms of strikeouts with just 5.6 per nine frames. Lucas Giolito has been even worse for the White Sox, despite the fact that he shut the Guardians down just last week. On the season, Giolito has recorded a 4.28 FIP and 1.40 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.10 runs per nine innings. He’s handing out 3.3 walks per nine innings on the season and I expect the Guardians to gain an ounce of revenge against the right-hander here. Take the first five innings over (9*). |
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07-22-22 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings over Colorado at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We have a considerable starting pitching advantage in this game as the Brewers send their ace, Corbin Burnes, to the hill against Antonio Senzatela of the Rockies. We’ll play the first five innings only as the Brewers bullpen has admittedly struggled lately, posting an inflated 7.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over the last seven games. While he did get off to a bit of a rocky start, Burnes has once again rounded into form this season, recording a 2.90 FIP and 0.90 WHIP on the campaign, giving up just 2.45 runs per nine innings. Antonio Senzatela is in the midst of another trying campaign having posted a respectable 3.86 FIP but an ugly 1.80 WHIP while allowing a whopping 5.55 runs per nine innings. He’s giving up a ridiculous 14.0 hits per nine frames this season and I expect the Brew Crew to take full advantage. Take Milwaukee -0.5 runs first five innings. |
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07-22-22 | Rays -120 v. Royals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. We'll back the Rays on Friday night as they head to Kansas City to face the Royals. Drew Rasmussen will get the start for the visiting Rays. He's quietly putting together another fine season having posted a 3.74 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while yielding just north of 3.7 runs per nine innings. Behind Rasmussen is a Rays bullpen that likely benefited from the All-Star break having already logged 399 2/3 innings this season, including 31 innings over its last seven games. Despite the heavy workload, the Rays 'pen has held up well. It entered the break sporting a collective 3.48 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the last seven games and a 3.64 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the road this season. In stark contrast, the Royals relief corps' owns a 4.80 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home this season. Brad Keller gets the ball for the Royals on Friday. He's having another very Brad Keller-like campaign, recording a 4.22 FIP and 1.27 WHIP while allowing just north of 4.4 runs per nine innings. Take Tampa Bay (8*). |
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07-22-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Diego and New York at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We have a tremendous starting pitching matchup between these N.L. non-division foes on Friday night in Queens. Rather than sweat the bullpens, I’ll back the first five innings ‘under’ only in this one. Yu Darvish gets the call for the visiting Padres. He owns a 3.45 FIP and 0.99 WHIP and yields just over 3.4 runs per nine innings this season. He most recently faced the Mets in June and allowed just two hits over seven shutout innings and owns a career 2.76 ERA and 0.75 WHIP against them in seven starts. My big concern with the Padres is their bullpen, which has recorded a 5.66 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over the last seven games and a 4.43 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season. Max Scherzer has been dominant since returning from injury. He owns a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.37 FIP and 0.88 WHIP this season while giving up only 2.35 runs per nine frames. The veteran right-hander struggled in his most recent outing against San Diego late last September but still owns a 2.87 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Padres. Note that prior to that September start last year, he had The Mets bullpen has been solid lately but has been somewhat vulnerable here at home where it has posted a collective 3.57 ERA and blown six saves while converting 11. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-21-22 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco +0.5 runs first five innings over Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I certainly won't make a habit of fading the Dodgers but in this case I'm making an exception as I like the way this one sets up for the streaking Giants - at least early on. San Francisco will have a considerable edge in terms of the starting pitching matchup as it sends left-hander Carlos Rodon to the hill against Mitch White of the Dodgers. Rodon was named to the N.L. All-Star team but didn't pitch after taking the mound last weekend against the Brewers. He took a hard-luck no decision in that contest, allowing only one earned run over five innings in an eventual 3-2 loss. Rodon checks in sporting a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.14 FIP and 1.11 WHIP this season, yielding just 2.74 runs per nine innings. The reason I'm playing the first five innings only here is that the Giants bullpen has struggled, posting a collective 1.50 WHIP over the last seven games and a 4.04 ERA and 1.35 WHIP with just 11 saves converted and seven blown on the road this season. Mitch White has posted a 4.25 FIP and 1.29 WHIP this season, giving up 4.6 runs per nine innings. We have seen White stretched out a little more in terms of pitch count in recent starts and that actually works in our favor here as it likely keeps the terrific Dodgers bullpen out of the picture until after the fifth inning. Note that Los Angeles' relief corps owns a 2.95 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with three saves converted and none blown over the last seven games. I'll grab the half-run as insurance at a reasonable price with the Giants, taking advantage of the fact that line is being offered given I can make a strong case for the Giants being favored in this spot. Take San Francisco +0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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07-21-22 | Tigers -138 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit over Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Thursday. It's not often you see the Tigers as a road favorite but I believe the price is warranted on Thursday. Detroit will hand the ball to Tarik Skubal. He went through a rough stretch but has steadied himself over his last couple of outings and I expect him to pitch well again on Thursday. Note that he was in desperate need of a breather having made six of his last seven starts on just four days' rest. Skubal checks in sporting a 3.02 FIP and 1.20 WHIP this season. Behind Skubal is a Detroit bullpen that has posted a collective 3.02 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 12 saves converted and only five blown on the road this season. Zach Logue will counter for Oakland. He was on the mound for a 3-2 win over Houston in his return to the bigs last week. Keep in mind, he has posted an ERA north of five and a WHIP above 1.70 at the AAA level this season. In 29 2/3 innings of work at the major league level, Logue has recorded a 5.84 FIP and a 1.45 WHIP while yielding 5.16 runs per nine innings. Oakland's bullpen owns a 4.89 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with only six saves converted and six blown at home. Take Detroit (8*). |
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07-19-22 | American League +101 v. National League | 3-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the American League over the National League at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday. |
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07-17-22 | Brewers v. Giants -164 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Milwaukee at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Giants have a significant pitching edge on Sunday as they hand the ball to Logan Webb against Aaron Ashby of the Brewers. Webb owns a 3.01 FIP and 1.11 WHIP this season, yielding only 3.14 runs per nine innings. Ashby on the other hand has posted a 3.99 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while allowing 4.9 runs per nine innings. With the Brewers bullpen struggling, having entered last night's contest sporting a 6.12 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over their last seven games, we'll fade them here. Take San Francisco (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
N.L. Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and San Diego at 8:40 pm et on Saturday. I like the way this one sets up as a relatively high-scoring affair on Saturday night in San Diego. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Tyler Gilbert. While he's pitched well in his last couple of outings, his overall numbers this season still aren't good as he's recorded a 6.43 FIP and 1.26 WHIP while yielding just shy of 5.7 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Saturday will be Sean Manaea. Oddly enough, the D'Backs will be seeing him for the fourth time already this season. Manaea checks in sporting a 3.99 FIP and 1.22 WHIP while giving up 4.28 runs per nine innings. A bigger concern than Manaea is the Padres bullpen, which entered last night's game with a 7.33 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over its last seven contests. For its part, the D'Backs 'pen has posted a 4.97 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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07-16-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston -1.5 runs over Oakland at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Astros dropped the opener of this series last night but I expect them to have little trouble bouncing back on Saturday. Justin Verlander gets the start for Houston. He's been terrific this season, posting a 3.27 FIP and 0.87 WHIP while allowing only 2.7 runs per nine innings. He obviously holds an advantage over A's left-handed rookie Jared Koenig, who has struggled in limited action, recording a 6.44 FIP and 1.75 WHIP while giving up just shy of 6.4 runs per nine innings. The Astros bullpen entered last night's game sporting a 2.60 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over its last seven games while the A's relief corps had recorded a 4.23 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Houston -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Mariners -138 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle over Texas at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. The Mariners have had the Rangers number in this series, rallying for a win on Thursday before delivering an 8-3 victory last night. I look for them to continue their winning ways on Saturday as they own a considerable edge on the mound. Logan Gilbert gets the start for Seattle. He owns a 3.60 FIP and 1.17 WHIP this season while allowing only 3.14 runs per nine innings. It's been a much different story for Rangers starter Spencer Howard, albeit with a smaller sample size. He has posted a 7.77 FIP and 1.66 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings, allowing north of 8.6 runs per nine innings. The bullpen matchup has been even more lopsided lately with the Mariners relief corps having recorded a 1.61 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over its last seven games while Texas' 'pen checks in with a 6.68 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over the same stretch (entering last night's action). Take Seattle (8*). |
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07-16-22 | Reds v. Cardinals -156 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis first five innings over Cincinnati at 2:15 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Cardinals in the first five innings on Saturday afternoon as they send Miles Mikolas to the hill against rookie Nick Lodolo of the Reds. Mikolas is having another fine campaign having posted a 3.65 FIP and 0.98 WHIP while allowing just over 2.9 runs per nine innings. Lodolo has recorded a 4.14 FIP and 1.60 WHIP while yielding 4.44 runs per nine frames. I'll stick with the first five innings only, however, as the Cardinals bullpen has admittedly struggled lately while the Reds 'pen entered last night's action sporting a 2.70 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take St. Louis first five innings (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -179 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego first five innings over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Friday. The Padres had a rocky trip to Colorado (no pun intended) but I look for them to bounce back on Friday against Arizona, at least early on. Yu Darvish will get the start for San Diego. He owns a 3.32 FIP and 0.99 WHIP this season, giving up only 3.38 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Friday, Madison Bumgarner, hasn't been nearly as effective, recording a 4.60 FIP and 1.35 WHIP, yielding 4.34 runs per nine innings. The reason I'm backing the Padres in the first five innings only is their struggling bullpen, which has posted an ugly 7.33 ERA and 1.97 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take San Diego first five innings (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Dodgers -180 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the Dodgers over the Angels at 9:35 pm et on Friday. We'll back the Dodgers with Clayton Kershaw on the hill against Patrick Sandoval of the Angels on Friday night. Kershaw is having a fine campaign, albeit limited by injury. He has recorded a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.57 FIP and 1.01 WHIP while holding opponents to just 2.54 runs per nine innings. Sandoval has had a solid season in his own right, posting a 3.00 FIP and 1.39 WHIP and giving up just 3.3 runs per nine frames. As far as the bullpens go, the edge belongs to the Dodgers as well as they've posted a collective 2.70 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention a 2.91 ERA and 1.10 WHIP on the road this season with nine converted saves and only two blown. The Angels 'pen has recorded a 4.01 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over its last seven contests and has converted 13 saves while blowing eight at home this season. Take the Dodgers (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Pirates +134 v. Rockies | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Friday. The Pirates have been the very definition of a 'tough out' this season and I look for them to give the Rockies all they can handle on Friday. Jose Quintana will get the start for Pittsburgh. He has 'turned back the clock' this season, posting a 3.33 ERA and 1.31 WHIP while yielding just 3.9 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Friday, German Marquez, owns a 5.06 FIP and 1.47 WHIP while giving up north of 6.2 runs per nine innings. The later innings should belong to the Pirates as well, noting their bullpen has recorded a collective 3.37 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over the last seven games while the Rockies 'pen has posted a 4.70 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Pittsburgh (8*). |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Atlanta and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This one sets up well for a high-scoring start as the Braves send Ian Anderson to the hill against Patrick Corbin of the Nationals. Anderson sports a 4.39 FIP and 1.51 WHIP on the season, yielding just shy of 5.1 runs per nine innings. Corbin has been even worse. He owns a 4.55 FIP and 1.67 WHIP on the campaign, giving up a whopping 6.65 runs per nine innings. We'll play the first five innings only as the two bullpens have admittedly been solid lately with both entering last night's action sporting sub-3.00 ERA's over the last seven contests. Look for the bats to come alive early on Friday. Take the first five innings over (9*). |
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07-15-22 | Phillies v. Marlins -157 | 2-1 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Friday. I think we have more of a starting pitching mismatch than most may realize in this game as the still-underrated Sandy Alcantara takes the ball for the Marlins against Kyle Gibson of the Phillies. The Marlins have been winning fairly consistently for weeks now while the Phillies enter this contest off four consecutive defeats. Gibson checks in sporting a 4.33 FIP and 1.23 WHIP while allowing north of 4.6 runs per nine innings. Alcantara on the other hand owns a sparkling 2.83 FIP and 0.91 WHIP while yielding only 2.21 runs per nine frames. In direct comparison, Alcantara gives up 2.5 fewer hits and 0.9 fewer home runs per nine innings. While both bullpens have been effective, the Marlins do hold a slight edge in terms of recent form, posting a 1.57 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over the last seven games. Take Miami (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between Milwaukee and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Thursday. You won't find a much better starting pitching matchup than this one as the Brewers send Corbin Burnes to the hill against Carlos Rodon of the Giants. Burnes got off to a bit of a shaky start this season but has since recovered, lowering his FIP to 2.99 and his WHIP to 0.89. He's allowing only 2.45 runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon has arguably been even better for the Giants. He checks in sporting a 2.14 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while yielding just shy of 2.8 runs per nine innings. I'll play the first five innings only here as I do have my reservations when it comes to the two bullpens. The Brewers 'pen has posted a collective 4.97 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over its last seven games while the Giants relief corps checks in with a solid 2.78 ERA but an alarming 1.81 WHIP over the same stretch. Interestingly, the Giants have converted just seven saves while blowing three at home this season. Take the first five innings under (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Mariners v. Rangers -111 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Texas first five innings over Seattle at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Mariners are red hot right now, winners of 10 games in a row. While I'm not interested in fading them for the full game on Thursday due to their bullpen advantage, I will go against them in the first five innings. Marco Gonzales will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. It's worth noting that the Rangers have feasted on left-handed starting pitching this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game while posting a 17-11 record. Gonzales owns an ugly 5.15 FIP and 1.31 WHIP while yielding 4.2 runs per nine innings. His counterpart on Thursday, Rangers lefty Martin Perez, is headed for the All-Star Game as he's having a career year. He checks in with a 3.07 FIP and 1.18 WHIP, allowing only 3.14 runs per nine innings. As I mentioned, the Mariners do have an edge in the later innings as their bullpen has been lights out, posting a collective 1.57 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over the last seven games, not to mention the fact that they enjoyed a couple of days off earlier this week due to rain in Washington. The Rangers 'pen owns a 5.40 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take Texas first five innings (10*). |
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07-14-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 12-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Thursday. We have a terrific starting pitching matchup on tap between the White Sox and Twins on Thursday as Chicago sends Johnny Cueto to the hill against Sonny Gray of the Twins. Cueto tossed eight shutout innings in his most recent outing and now owns a 4.11 FIP and 1.15 WHIP this season, yielding just north of 3.0 runs per nine innings. Behind Cueto is a White Sox bullpen that has been lights out lately, posting a collective 0.47 ERA and 0.68 WHIP over the last seven games. Sonny Gray didn't have his best stuff for the Twins in his most recent start but I'm confident he'll bounce back here. He's had a nice comeback campaign, recording a 3.30 FIP and 1.06 WHIP while giving up just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Like the White Sox 'pen, the Twins relief corps has been effective lately, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last seven contests. Take the under (8*). |
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07-14-22 | Dodgers -148 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
My selection is on Los Angeles over St. Louis at 7:15 pm et on Thursday. The Cardinals blew a prime opportunity to clinch a series win over the Dodgers last night, blowing a 6-0 lead in an eventual 7-6 loss. Now they face a tough pitching matchup on Thursday as Los Angeles sends Tyler Anderson to the hill against Dakota Hudson. Anderson checks in sporting a 3.36 FIP and 1.03 WHIP this season, allowing 3.25 runs per nine innings. Note that the Cards are just 9-8 against left-handed starting pitchers, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are 40-19 against righties, averaging an impressive 5.3 runs per contest. They'll face Dakota Hudson on Thursday. He has recorded a 4.37 FIP and 1.38 WHIP while yielding 4.1 runs per nine frames. While the Cards 'pen has struggled lately to the tune of a 4.85 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over the last seven games, the Dodgers relief corps has posted a 2.66 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. Astros starter Cristian Javier certainly didn't have his best stuff in his most recent outing against the Royals. That doesn't change the fact that he's enjoying a terrific campaign, having posted a 3.06 FIP and 0.99 WHIP while allowing only 3.01 runs per nine innings. He just faced the Angels two starts back and gave up only one earned run over seven innings and owns an incredible 2.04 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in three career starts against them. His counterpart on Wednesday will be Angels ace Shohei Ohtani. We successfully backed him in his most recent start against the Marlins but we'll take a different route and back the 'under' in this one. Ohtani owns a 2.43 FIP and 0.99 WHIP on the campaign, allowing only 2.56 runs per nine innings. The Astros bullpen has been terrific lately, posting a collective 2.55 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over its last seven games (entering last night's contest). While the Angels 'pen has struggled, I'm not overly concerned as Ohtani has the ability to work deep into the game, noting that he has lasted at least into the sixth inning in nine of his last 10 starts and 7+ innings in three of his last five outings. Take the under (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Padres -159 v. Rockies | 6-10 | Loss | -159 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego 'first five innings' over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockies evened this series at a game apiece with a 5-3 victory last night. I expect the Padres to get the better of them on Wednesday, however, at least early on. We'll play San Diego in the first five innings only in this one as the Padres bullpen continues to struggle, entering last night's action sporting a 5.76 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over its last seven contests. I prefer to back the Padres bats against Rockies starter Chad Kuhl and with one of their best starters on the hill in Joe Musgrove over the first five frames. Musgrove checks in with a 3.13 FIP and 0.93 WHIP this season, yielding just 2.45 runs per nine innings. While Kuhl got off to a fine start, he's struggled lately, elevating his FIP to 4.29 and his WHIP to 1.35 in the process. Kuhl is giving up 4.23 runs per nine frames. He allows 2.5 more hits and 1.3 more walks per nine innings compared to Musgrove. Padres hitters have had plenty of success against Kuhl - the last two times they've faced him, once last year and once here in 2022, they've plated nine runs on 12 hits and 12 walks, not to mention a pair of home runs, in only eight innings. Take San Diego first five innings (8*). |
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07-13-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a couple of relatively low-scoring games between these two division rivals in yesterday's day-night double-header. I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Lucas Giolito will take the ball for Chicago. He's had a tough season so far, posting a 4.45 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while allowing just shy of 5.4 runs per nine innings. Last time out he yielded five earned runs over 6 2/3 innings against the light-hitting Tigers. Note that he'll be making his second consecutive start on short (four days) rest on Wednesday. It's a similar story for Guardians starter Aaron Civale. He actually pitched well against the lowly Royals in his most recent outing but his overall numbers remain poor this season. Civale checks in sporting a 4.28 FIP and 1.44 WHIP while giving up almost 7.0 runs per nine innings. The White Sox bullpen has held up well lately but is getting into 'overworked' territory, noting that Chicago hasn't had a day off since June 30th and comes off the double-header yesterday. The Guardians 'pen coughed up three runs in last night's game and entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 6.35 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over its last seven contests. Take the over (10*). |
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07-13-22 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has firmly entrenched himself in the N.L. Cy Young Award conversation again this season, posting a 2.46 FIP and 1.05 WHIP while allowing only 2.84 runs per nine innings. He'll face a difficult challenge against the Blue Jays at hitter-friendly Rogers Centre on Wednesday, but I'm confident he'll be up for it. His counterpart will be Ross Stripling. Few expected Stripling to last this long in the Jays starting rotation this season and make no mistake, he's not only filling a role due to injuries (although that has factored in) - he's actually pitched well, sporting a 3.07 FIP and 1.16 WHIP while yielding just north of 3.6 runs per nine innings. We've finally seen the Blue Jays bullpen round back into form, checking into last night's contest with a 3.53 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over its last seven games. Meanwhile, the Phillies relief corps has been lights out, posting a 2.11 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Reds v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York -1.5 runs over Cincinnati at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. After the Reds staged a stunning ninth inning rally to go from 3-0 down to 4-3 up in an eventual victory last night, it's payback time on Wednesday. The Yankees have now lost three games in a row, suffering through a bit of a pre-All-Star lull. I expect them to bounce back here against Reds journeyman starter Mike Minor. Things haven't gone well for the veteran left-hander in Cincinnati as he has posted a 6.79 FIP and 1.42 WHIP, allowing just shy of 3.0 home runs per nine innings this season. Opponents have reached him for north of 6.6 runs per nine frames. His counterpart on Wednesday will be Luis Severino. It hasn't been a clean road back from injury for the right-hander this season but there have been more ups than downs as he checks in sporting a 3.54 FIP and 1.02 WHIP, limiting opponents to just over 3.2 runs per nine innings while logging 84 innings so far in 2022. While the Yankees bullpen coughed one up last night, they entered that contest with a collective 2.60 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with 16 saves converted and only four blown here at home this season. In stark contrast, the Reds 'pen entered this series sporting a 5.36 ERA and 1.45 WHIP away from home. Take New York -1.5 runs (8*). |
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07-13-22 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami over Pittsburgh at 6:40 pm et on Wednesday. This will be a popular play on Wednesday but that doesn’t mean it’s the wrong one. The Pirates are suddenly hot, winners of four games in a row. They’ll be in tough on Wednesday though as they send JT Brubaker to the mound against Pablo Lopez of the Marlins. Brubaker’s 3.91 FIP isn’t awful but his 1.47 WHIP does leave a lot to be desired. Opponents have lit up the right-hander for 5.28 runs per nine innings this season. Lopez is having a fine campaign, having recorded a 3.60 FIP and 1.07 WHIP. He allows 2.2 fewer hits and 1.4 fewer walks per nine innings compared to Brubaker. Lopez has limited opponents to just shy of 3.2 runs per nine innings. Note also that the Marlins should have the edge in the later innings, with their bullpen having posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.35 WHIP at home this season (entering last night’s action). The Pirates ‘pen has held up alright in this series, it did enter last night’s contest having posted a 7.17 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over the last seven games. Take Miami (10*). |
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Sean Murphy MLB Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-06-22 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
08-06-22 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 7 | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Giants -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Tigers | 1-9 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
08-06-22 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Yankees -142 v. Cardinals | 3-4 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | White Sox -173 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Braves v. Mets -135 | 9-6 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
08-05-22 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
08-04-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 102 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
08-04-22 | Astros -1.5 v. Guardians | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
08-04-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
08-04-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Reds v. Marlins -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 117 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
08-03-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Orioles v. Rangers -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
08-03-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
08-02-22 | Reds v. Marlins -128 | 2-1 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
08-02-22 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 5-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
08-01-22 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
07-31-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
07-30-22 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-30-22 | Cubs v. Giants -130 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
07-30-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
07-30-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Guardians v. Rays UNDER 7 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Royals v. Yankees -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
07-29-22 | Phillies v. Pirates +110 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
07-29-22 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Rangers v. Angels -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
07-28-22 | Phillies -190 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
07-27-22 | Rangers -115 v. Mariners | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
07-27-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Giants -160 v. Diamondbacks | 3-7 | Loss | -160 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
07-26-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
07-26-22 | Marlins -107 v. Reds | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 5-7 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
07-25-22 | Pirates v. Cubs -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Rays -120 v. Orioles | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
07-25-22 | Marlins v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Mets | 5-8 | Loss | -190 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
07-24-22 | Rays -140 v. Royals | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Marlins -168 v. Pirates | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
07-24-22 | Angels v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Padres v. Mets -143 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
07-23-22 | Cubs v. Phillies -162 | 6-2 | Loss | -162 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Blue Jays -135 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -151 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
07-22-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Rays -120 v. Royals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
07-22-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
07-21-22 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
07-21-22 | Tigers -138 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
07-19-22 | American League +101 v. National League | 3-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
07-17-22 | Brewers v. Giants -164 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
07-16-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Mariners -138 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Reds v. Cardinals -156 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -179 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Dodgers -180 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Pirates +134 v. Rockies | 2-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
07-15-22 | Phillies v. Marlins -157 | 2-1 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Mariners v. Rangers -111 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
07-14-22 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 12-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
07-14-22 | Dodgers -148 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
07-13-22 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Padres -159 v. Rockies | 6-10 | Loss | -159 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
07-13-22 | Phillies v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Reds v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
07-13-22 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |