Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-04-21 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Francisco and Arizona at 9:10 pm et on Sunday. |
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07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
National League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between St. Louis and Colorado at 3:10 pm et on Sunday. We saw a low-scoring affair between these two teams last night as the Rockies prevailed by a 3-2 score. Here, I look for a different story to unfold. Carlos Martinez will take the ball for the Cardinals. He has of course struggled at the best of times this season and here will be making his third straight start on just four days' rest. Martinez owns a 7.08 ERA and 1.38 WHIP on the road this season. The Rockies have certainly had his number over the years, most recently scoring seven earned runs in 9 2/3 innings against him in two starts going back to the 2018 season. With Martinez averaging just 5.1 innings per start on the road this season we should see plenty of the Cardinals bullpen here. While St. Louis' relief corps hasn't been awful, it has posted a less than impressive 4.33 ERA and 1.44 WHIP with eight saves converted and five blown on the road this season. My concern is that St. Louis hasn't had an off day since June 21st so we're talking about an overworked 'pen. German Marquez will start on four days' rest for the Rockies after tossing a complete game shutout against the Pirates last time out. He's actually pitched well overall this season but hasn't been at his best in daytime starts, posting a 5.22 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in eight outings. In those eight starts he has lasted just 5.2 innings on average. That opens the door for an awful Rockies bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 5.43 ERA and 1.49 WHIP with just nine saves converted compared to 10 blown here at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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07-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Kansas City at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. This is an absolute smash spot for the Twins offense but I also expect the Royals to do their part to help this one 'over' the total. Kenta Maeda will take the ball for Minnesota. He just can't seem to get it right this season having posted a 6.49 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in nine road starts with the 'over' cashing in six of those games. Here, he'll be starting on four days' rest for just the second time this season. The last time he did, he allowed five runs, three of them earned, and lasted just four innings in a 7-6 loss to the A's on May 16th. Maeda averages less than five innings per start so we'll likely see plenty of the Twins bullpen which owns a 4.94 ERA and 1.38 WHIP on the road this season. Brad Keller will counter for Kansas City. We won with the first five innings 'over' in his most recent start in Boston. He'll be pitching on just four days' rest, inexplicably for the eight consecutive outing on Sunday afternoon. Things haven't been going well for Keller as he has posted a 7.97 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in eight home starts with the 'over' cashing in five of those games. In nine daytime starts that WHIP rises to 1.97. The Twins will be getting their fourth look at Keller this season having already scored seven earned runs off of him in 14 1/3 innings. Keller averages just 4.4 innings per start here at home so an overworked Royals bullpen is likely to see plenty of action again today. Note that Kansas City hasn't had an off day since June 21st. The Royals 'pen owns a collective 4.16 ERA and 1.37 WHIP with just seven saves converted compared to eight blown against division opponents this season (entering yesterday's action). Take the over (10*). |
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07-04-21 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Pittsburgh at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. The Brewers are absolutely rolling right now, riding an 11-game winning streak after yesterday's 11-2 victory. This isn't an ideal spot on getaway day against a left-handed starter, noting that they average just 3.6 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair. Freddy Peralta will take the ball for Milwaukee. He has posted a 2.86 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in seven road starts this season. Better still, he owns a 2.63 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in seven daytime starts. Behind Peralta is a solid Brewers bullpen that has posted a collective 3.42 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road this season. Tyler Anderson will counter for Pittsburgh. He certainly hasn't been great this season but has pitched better at home, where he has recorded a 3.83 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, averaging around 5 2/3 innings per start here at PNC Park. Behind Anderson is a Pirates bullpen that has posted a 3.40 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with five saves converted and only two blown at home this season. Take the under (9*). |
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07-03-21 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
MLB on FOX Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Washington at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. We saw a high-scoring affair between these two teams last night as the Dodgers prevailed by a 10-5 score. I'm expecting a different story to unfold on Saturday, however. Clayton Kershaw gets the nod for Los Angeles. He's off to a terrific start this season having posted a 3.86 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in eight road starts. Better still, he owns a 2.88 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 11 nighttime outings. The Nationals have never really been able to figure the veteran left-hander out. He already tossed six shutout innings against them earlier this season. Behind Kershaw is a Dodgers bullpen that has recorded a collective 3.13 ERA and 1.19 WHIP at night this season. Paolo Espino will counter for Washington. He's been sharp in his last two spot starts and will be facing the Dodgers for the first time in his career on Saturday. With Espino averaging less than five innings per start we're likely to see plenty from the Nats' bullpen and that's not a bad thing. They've posted a collective 3.06 ERA and 1.09 WHIP with 12 saves converted and only three blown at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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07-02-21 | Orioles v. Angels -170 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles first five innings over Baltimore at 9:35 pm et on Friday. The Orioles are coming off a surprising sweep of the Astros in Houston but prior to that they had only won once in their last nine games so it's not as if continued success is expected here in Anaheim. We'll fade the O's but in the first five innings only on Friday night. Left-hander Keegan Akin gets another turn in the rotation for the O's. He's been hit hard, recording an 8.68 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in four road starts. There's little reason to anticipate a turnaround here with the Angels a much better offensive club at home, and also against southpaw pitching (they average 5.7 runs per game against LH pitching). Griffin Canning will counter for Los Angeles. While his overall numbers aren't great, he has been respectable at night, posting a 3.38 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in seven starts with the Angels winning four of those games. Note that Canning enters this start on six days' rest. The last time he did that he gave up just two earned runs over five innings in Oakland on June 16th. By playing the first five innings only we'll avoid an Angels bullpen that has recorded a collective 4.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP with only eight saves converted compared to six blown here at home this season. With Canning averaging less than five innings per start my concern is that we would likely see plenty of that poor Halos bullpen. Take Los Angeles first five innings (10*). |
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07-02-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Twins have seen the 'over' cash in five straight and seven of their last eight games overall and I expect that streak to continue on Friday night. J.A. Happ will take the ball for Minnesota. He'll be starting on just four days' rest and has struggled at the best of times on the road this season, posting a 7.98 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in six road starts with the 'over' cashing in five of those games. The Royals will be getting their third look at the left-hander this season having already scored seven earned runs in just 10 innings against him. Behind Happ is a Twins bullpen that owns a 5.64 ERA and 1.44 WHIP with just seven saves converted and five blown in night games this season. Brady Singer will counter for Kansas City. He'll be making his third straight start on four days' rest and owns a 5.02 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in eight nighttime starts this season. The Twins have only scored three earned runs in 7 2/3 innings against him this season but in five career starts against Minnesota, Singer owns a 4.83 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. With Singer averaging less than five innings per start we're likely to see plenty of a Royals bullpen that hasn't had a day off since June 21st and has struggled to the tune of a 4.49 ERA and 1.41 WHIP with nine saves converted and seven blown at night this season. Take the over (10*). |
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07-02-21 | Astros v. Indians OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Houston and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We'll back the 'over' in the first five innings only in this one as I look for both offenses to get going early in this contest. There's not a lot bad I can say about Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. right now. However, I will point out that he has been laboring a bit in recent starts, only able to last through the sixth inning once in his last four starts. He'll be facing an Indians lineup that has hit better at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game and not all that different of an order than the one he struggled against in a pair of starts here at Progressive Field back in 2017-18 when he was tagged for 12 earned runs in just 9 1/3 innings. Sam Hentges will counter for Cleveland. He'll be starting on just four days' rest which spells trouble considering the last time he did that he gave up six earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings against the Angels. Hentges owns a 5.14 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in a pair of home starts this season. In fact, overall he has recorded a 7.77 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in six starts. You have to wonder how many turns he'll get in the rotation but for now, we'll fade him by playing the 'over' in the first five frames on Friday. Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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07-01-21 | Giants -143 v. Diamondbacks | 3-5 | Loss | -143 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Francisco over Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Thursday. The Giants could certainly be in for a letdown after a two-game series against the rival Dodgers in Los Angeles but that sort of situation isn't nearly as prevalent in MLB action. Mired in a rare three-game losing streak, I look for San Francisco to break out of its slump on Thursday. Johnny Cueto will take the ball for the Giants. He brings reasonably solid form to the table having posted a 3.44 ERA and 1.31 WHIP over his last three starts. He has struggled on the road this season but has pitched better at night, recording a 3.86 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in five starts with the Giants winning four of those. Cueto has certainly held his own against the D'Backs over the course of his career. In fact, his teams have won six of his last seven starts against them with the lone loss coming in a game where Cueto tossed seven shutout innings. Behind Cueto is a Giants bullpen that has posted a 3.62 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the road this season. Merrill Kelly will counter for Arizona. He'll be making his fourth straight start on four days' rest. While he has pitched well lately, it's worth noting that he has recorded a 4.40 ERA and 1.26 WHIP at night this season with Arizona winning just five of his 13 starts. With Kelly averaging just 5 2/3 innings per start we'll likely see plenty from a D'Backs bullpen that owns a 5.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP with only three converted saves and four blown at home this season. Kelly will be making his third start against the Giants this season. In their last look at him, the Giants scored four earned runs and chased Kelly after just three innings on June 16th. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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07-01-21 | Padres v. Reds UNDER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the first five innings 'under' between San Diego and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. |
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07-01-21 | Rangers v. A's -174 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -174 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland over Texas at 3:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the A's last night and I won't hesitate to come right back with them again in Thursday's series finale against the Rangers. Dane Dunning gets the nod for Texas. He's been a completely different pitcher on the road compared to at home this season, posting a 7.45 ERA and 1.86 WHIP with the Rangers losing all seven of his starts to date. He hasn't been much better in day games, recording a 5.14 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in five outings. With Dunning averaging less than five innings per start this season we're likely to see plenty of the Rangers bullpen which has struggled on the road, entering last night's action sporting a 5.66 ERA and 1.55 WHIP with just six saves converted and four blown. Sean Manaea will counter for Oakland. He owns a 2.82 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in nine home starts this season with the A's winning eight of those. He brings excellent form into this start having recorded a 2.12 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over his last three outings. The Rangers have never really been able to figure Manaea out as he has allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts against them going back to August of 2017. While the A's bullpen's overall numbers haven't been all that great this season they have been slightly better in day games and do check in having converted 12 saves while blowing only two here at home (entering last night's action). Take Oakland (10*). |
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07-01-21 | Mariners v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Toronto at 1:05 pm et on Thursday. The totals are beginning to be shaded much higher for games played in Buffalo and I believe the number will prove too high on Thursday afternoon. Yusei Kikuchi will take the ball for Seattle. He's been terrific on the road this season, posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in eight starts. Better still, he owns a 1.87 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in five daytime starts. Also note that the Jays have faced him just once, that coming back in 2019 when he tossed a complete game shutout. Behind Kikuchi is a Mariners bullpen that has been better in day games this season, recording a collective 4.06 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with 10 converted saves and only five blown. Hyun-Jin Ryu hasn't been his Cy Young-contending self for much of the season but that doesn't mean he hasn't pitched well. Ryu checks in with a 3.49 ERA and 1.19 WHIP at home (games split between Dunedin and Buffalo). Like Kikuchi, he's been better in day games, recording a 3.27 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He'll have the advantage of having never faced the Mariners. The Blue Jays bullpen owns a collective 3.42 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in day games this season, recording eight saves while blowing three. Take the under (10*). |
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06-30-21 | Rangers v. A's -191 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland over Texas at 9:40 pm et on Wednesday. While we're being asked to lay a fairly steep price with the A's here, I believe it could be even higher. This one sets up well for Oakland as it looks to take the middle game of this three-game set. Kolby Allard will take the ball for Texas. He's pitched well in five starts this season but there's no question the A's have him figured out. Oakland has faced Allard three times since last August, scoring 11 earned runs on 14 hits while walking six times and striking out only eight in 12 1/3 innings. The A's just faced Allard on June 24th and he didn't miss many bats in that one, allowing eight hits and striking out only one over six innings. Behind Allard is a Texas bullpen that just hasn't been the same on the road this season, posting a collective 5.62 ERA and 1.54 WHIP (entering last night's action) with just five saves converted and four blown. Chris Bassitt will counter for Oakland. He was a Cy Young contender during last year's Covid-shortened season and while he's not going to find himself in that category again this year, he has certainly pitched well, recording a 2.93 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in seven home starts. He brings excellent form into this outing having given up two earned runs or less in four straight starts and will be pitching on five days' rest on Wednesday. Unlike Allard against the A's, Bassitt has held his own against the Rangers, giving up just two earned runs in 13 innings against them going back to last September. While the A's bullpen doesn't own terrific numbers across the board, they do know how to close out a game, having converted 12 saves compared to just two blown here at home this season (entering last night's action). Take Oakland (9*). |
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06-30-21 | Rangers v. A's OVER 8 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Wednesday. I think we're in for a high-scoring affair between these two A.L. West rivals on Wednesday night in Oakland. Kolby Allard will get the start for the Rangers. He has struggled mightily in three career starts against the A's going back to last August, allowing 11 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings of work. In his last two outings against Oakland, Allard managed to record just two strikeouts while giving up 13 hits in only seven innings. With Allard averaging just a shade over five innings per start this season we should see plenty of the Rangers bullpen which has had a tough time on the road, posting a collective 5.62 ERA and 1.54 WHIP with just five saves converted and four blown. Chris Bassitt will counter for the A's. While he has pitched well we could see some regression from the right-hander here, noting that the Rangers have managed just two earned runs in 13 innings in their last two looks at him but have collected 13 hits and five walks. Bassitt will be making his fifth start since June 8th so he's had a pretty heavy workload this month. The A's bullpen has been effective in converting saves here at home but have only managed to record a collective 4.43 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Against division foes this season they've posted a 5.28 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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06-30-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -205 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Arizona at 1:15 pm et on Wednesday. The Cardinals have taken the first two games in this series and I look for them to complete the sweep on Wednesday afternoon. Riley Smith will take the ball for the D'Backs. He'll be making his first start since the middle of May after laboring through his first five outings this season. Smith owns a 7.36 ERA and 1.68 WHIP and averages just 4.4 innings per start. That spells trouble here as the D'Backs bullpen has been awful, sporting a collective 5.63 ERA and 1.55 WHIP with just three saves converted and eight blown on the road this season (entering last night's action). Kwang-Hyun Kim will counter for St. Louis. While I'm not particularly high on him right now he has held his own here at home this season, recording a 3.54 ERA and 1.25 WHIP with the Cards coming away victorious in four of his six starts. The St. Louis bullpen entered last night's game having converted 14 saves with just one blown at home this season, posting a collective 3.90 ERA and 1.33 WHIP along the way. Take St. Louis (9*). |
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06-30-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and St. Louis at 1:15 pm et on Wednesday. The first two games in this series have stayed 'under' the total but I'm expecting a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Riley Smith gets his first start since mid-May for the D'Backs. He's been awful this season, recording a 7.36 ERA and 1.68 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in four of his five starts. The fact that he averages just 4.4 innings per start is concerning given the Snakes bullpen has been awful, entering last night's action sporting a 5.63 ERA and 1.55 WHIP with only three saves converted and eight blown on the road this season. Kwang-Hyun Kim will be making his third consecutive start on four days' rest and checks in sporting a 4.43 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in day games this season (the 'over' has cashed in four of his five daytime starts). Like Smith, Kim doesn't work deep into games, averaging just 4.5 innings per start and it's worth noting that the Cards haven't had a day off since June 21st so their 'pen has been extended. Take the over (9*). |
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06-29-21 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -164 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
MLB N.L. First Five Innings Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco +0.5 runs first five innings over Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Dodgers got past the Giants by a 3-2 score last night. I like San Francisco to get off to a positive start on Tuesday, however, as I fully expect it to at the very least stay level with the Dodgers through the first five innings. Kevin Gausman remains one of the most underrated and underappreciated starters in baseball this season. He checks in sporting an incredible 1.02 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 10 road starts. Here, he'll be pitching on five days' rest for the third consecutive start. While he will be facing the Dodgers for the second time this season, it's worth noting that he has allowed a grand total of just four earned runs in 26 innings of work when facing a team for a second (or third) time this season. By playing the first five innings only we'll avoid a Giants bullpen that while solid, has managed to blow 11 saves on the road this season. Walker Buehler will counter for Los Angeles. There's really not a lot negative that can be said of the Dodgers ace (that title is of course debatable given how well Clayton Kershaw has pitched). However, he did labor through his most recent start, allowing three earned runs on five hits, including two home runs, while also issuing a pair of walks over six innings in his most recent start against the Cubs - a 4-0 Dodgers loss. Here, he'll be pitching on just four days' rest. The Giants will be facing Buehler for the third time this season. Take San Francisco +0.5 runs first five innings (10*). |
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06-29-21 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
American League First Five Innings Total of the Year. My selection is on the first five innings 'over' between Kansas City and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a relatively high-scoring affair to open this series in the Boston heat last night and I expect for another high-scoring start at least to Tuesday's contest. Brad Keller will take the ball for Kansas City. He'll inexplicably be making his seventh straight start on just four days' rest. The signs of wear are showing as he's been tagged for a whopping 20 earned runs over his last four starts, spanning just 20 1/3 innings of work. Note that he checks in sporting an ugly 6.91 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 15 nighttime starts this season. Things don't figure to improve against a Red Sox lineup that just saw him on June 18th, scoring five earned runs over five innings against him. Nick Pivetta will counter for Boston. He'll also be pitching on four days' rest after a lights out 6 2/3 innings performance against the Rays last time out. Keep in mind, he owns a 4.57 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in eight home starts this season. The Royals will be getting their second look at Pivetta in as many weeks as well, having scored three earned runs on six hits and three walks over five innings against him back on June 18th. By playing the first five innings only we should avoid factoring in two bullpens that have held up reasonably well. Much like we saw last night, I expect the starters to get roughed up early in this one. Take the first five innings over (10*). |
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06-28-21 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-14 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
MLB Division Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Milwaukee at 8:10 pm et on Monday. I'm expecting a low-scoring affair as the Cubs and Brewers renew their N.L. Central rivalry on Monday night in Milwaukee. Kyle Hendricks will take the ball for the Cubs. He has turned his season around after a rocky start, working at least six innings in eight straight outings and posting a sparkling 1.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP over his last three starts. He's been at his best against divisional opponents this season, recording a 3.40 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. While the Brewers have had plenty of looks at Hendricks in recent years, they've never really been able to figure him out. He has allowed just four earned runs in his last five outings against Milwaukee, covering a span of 33 2/3 innings. Behind Hendricks is one of the best bullpens in baseball as the Cubs relief corps has posted a collective 2.88 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road this season, blowing only two saves while converting 10. Freddy Peralta will counter for Milwaukee. He's been lights out in seven home starts this season, posting a 1.62 ERA and 0.59 WHIP. In seven nighttime starts he owns a 1.74 ERA and 0.70 WHIP with the 'under' cashing at a 4-2-1 clip. The Cubs have already seen Peralta three times this season but haven't had much success, scoring just three earned runs in 15 innings. The 'under' is 3-1 in his four previous career starts against Chicago. Like the Cubs, the Brewers have a solid bullpen that has been at its best in night games this season, recording a collective 3.47 ERA and 1.21 WHIP with a 10:4 converted save rate. Take the under (10*). |
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06-27-21 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Miami at 1:10 pm et on Sunday. I'm anticipating another low-scoring game between these two teams on Sunday afternoon as we have a terrific pitching matchup between Max Scherzer and Sandy Alcantara. Scherzer checks in sporting a 2.41 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in seven road starts this season. Better still, he owns a 2.01 ERA and 0.62 WHIP in six daytime starts. He's seemingly gotten stronger with each passing start against the Marlins, most recently holding them to one earned run in a complete game victory back on May 2nd. Behind Scherzer is a Nationals bullpen that has been at its best in day games this season, recording a collective 3.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with eight saves converted and only three blown. Sandy Alcantara is quietly having a fine season for the Marlins. He has posted a 2.19 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in eight home starts and a sparkling 0.74 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in five daytime outings. Like Scherzer, he has gotten stronger with each passing start against today's opponent, most recently allowing just one earned run over six innings against Miami last September. The Marlins bullpen has been terrific here at home this season, posting a collective 2.96 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Take the under (10*). |
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06-26-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -143 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Pittsburgh at 2:15 pm et on Saturday. We missed a big play on the Cardinals last night as they fell just short in a 5-4 setback against the Pirates - their second straight loss to open this series. I will go back to the well here, however, as the Cards are set up well to bounce back and bring an end to their five-game losing skid. J.T. Brubaker will take the ball for Pittsburgh. He's been a different pitcher on the road compared to at home this season, posting a 4.74 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with the Pirates losing six of his seven starts. He's averaging right around 5.5 innings per start on the season which means we should see plenty of the Pittsburgh bullpen, which has posted a collective 5.02 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night's action). The Pirates 'pen has just three converted saves and four blown in day games this season. Note that the Cards will be seeing Brubaker for the third time this season and they've had previous success against him, scoring eight earned runs in 10 2/3 innings. Adam Wainwright has 'turned back the clock' for the Cardinals this season and has been particularly sharp at home where he has posted a 2.66 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with the Cards going 5-4 in his nine outings. He brings excellent form having recorded a 2.25 ERA and 0.80 WHIP over his last three trips to the hill. Behind Wainwright is a Cards bullpen that owns a 13:1 converted save rate here at home this season and has posted a collective 3.67 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in day games. The Pirates haven't been able to figure out Wainwright lately, facing him three times since August of 2019 and scoring just three earned runs in 19 innings. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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06-25-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -160 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -160 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
MLB Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Louis over Pittsburgh at 8:15 pm et on Friday. This is an excellent bounce-back spot for the Cardinals coming off last night's lopsided loss in the series-opener. William Crowe will take the ball for the Pirates. He's been awful on the road this season, posting a 6.37 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in five starts with the Buccos losing three of those games. Worse still, he owns a 10.57 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in four nighttime starts, with Pittsburgh going 1-3 in those contests. The only two times during his young career where an opponent has seen him twice, he's allowed a whopping nine earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings in the second start. The Cardinals get that opportunity here after scoring three earned runs in five innings in a 3-0 victory against Crowe and the Pirates back on May 2nd. Behind Crowe is a Pirates bullpen that has struggled on the road this season, posting a collective 5.07 ERA and 1.27 WHIP (entering last night's action). They haven't been any better at night either, recording a 4.83 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. While the Pirates relief corps has done a nice job of converting save opportunities I don't expect them to be in position to do so tonight. Kwang-Hyun Kim will counter for the Cardinals. He doesn't tend to work deep into games but does own a 2.66 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in five home starts this season with the Cards winning four of those games. At night he has recorded a 3.03 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in six outings. This will be Kim's first start against Pittsburgh this season after allowing four earned runs in 11 1/3 innings against the Pirates last year. Note that the Pirates are just 4-12 against left-handed starters this season, averaging only 3.1 runs per game. The Cardinals bullpen has posted a collective 4.15 ERA and 1.36 WHIP at home this season (entering last night's action) but those pedestrian numbers are ok as they've converted an incredible 13 of 14 save opportunities here in St. Louis. Against division opponents they're 9-for-10 on save opportunities. Take St. Louis (10*). |
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06-25-21 | Mariners v. White Sox -188 | 9-3 | Loss | -188 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Seattle at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The White Sox salvaged the finale of a three-game series in Pittsburgh and now return home to open a series with the Mariners on Friday. I like their chances of starting this series on a winning note. Yusei Kikuchi will take the ball for Seattle. As well as he has pitched this season, the Mariners are still just 6-7 in his 13 starts. While he's pitched seven innings in each of his last two outings, he actually averages just a shade under six innings per start on the road this season. That leaves the door open for a Mariners bullpen that has posted a collective 4.92 ERA and 1.40 WHIP on the road this season. Of course, it's worth noting that the White Sox have an incredible track record against left-handed starting pitching, having already gone 18-6 against southpaw starters this season. Carlos Rodon is high on the list of A.L. Cy Young contenders, checking in with a 1.99 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in five home starts with the White Sox winning three of those games. He brings excellent form into this start having allowed just three earned runs in 19 innings of work over his last three outings. Mariners hitters have never really been able to figure him out, managing just four earned runs in 24 innings in his four career starts against them, with the Sox winning all four of those games. The White Sox bullpen has been solid here at home this season, posting a collective 3.47 ERA and 1.12 WHIP and after struggling a bit in the last week, comes in off a much needed off day yesterday. Take Chicago (9*). |
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06-25-21 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. With both of these offenses struggling a bit right now and two in-form starting pitchers on the mound, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair on Friday night. Yusei Kikuchi will start for the Mariners. He has posted a 2.85 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven road starts this season but due in large part to the Mariners unreliable offense, has only managed to post a 3-4 team record in those seven outings. Kikuchi checks in having allowed just one earned run in 14 innings in his last two starts. While he has struggled in two previous starts against the White Sox, both of those came during his rookie MLB season as he struggled to transition from Japan, posting an ERA north of five and a 1.50 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen hasn't been great on the road this season but has pitched well lately and comes off an off day yesterday. Carlos Rodon has quite simply been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season for the White Sox, checking in with a sparkling 1.99 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in five home starts, including a no-hitter. He's given up just three earned runs in 19 innings of work over his last three starts. Rodon has already shut the Mariners down once this season and has performed well in all four career outings against them with the 'under' cashing in each of the last three. Chicago's bullpen also comes off an off day and has recorded a collective 3.47 ERA and 1.12 WHIP here at home this season. Take the under (9*). |
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06-25-21 | Nationals v. Marlins -144 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Washington at 7:10 pm et on Friday. The Nationals got the better of the Marlins in the opener of this series last night. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday, however. Jon Lester will take the ball for the visiting Nationals. He owns a 4.29 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in three road starts this season. The bigger issue is the fact that he averages just five innings per start on the season. That opens the door for an extended night for a Nationals bullpen that hasn't been good on the road this season, posting a collective 4.95 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Pablo Lopez will counter for Miami. He's been lights out here at home this season, recording a 1.89 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, averaging six innings per start. Still, the Fish are just 3-5 in his eight home outings. That's interesting as their bullpen has actually been solid here in Miami, recording a collective 3.10 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. All of that being said, I expect that team record in Lopez starts here at home to even out as long as he continues to pitch well. Take Miami (9*). |
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06-24-21 | Royals v. Yankees UNDER 10 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and New York at 1:05 pm et on Thursday. This has been a high-scoring series so far with each of the first two games cruising 'over' the total. I look for a different story to unfold on Thursday afternoon, however. With a starting pitching matchup of Brad Keller and Jameson Taillon, neither of which having been able to work deep into ball games with any consistency, we should see plenty of the two bullpens in this game. That's not a bad thing for 'under' backers, giving both relief corps' have been solid this season. Keller hasn't been good this season but he has been marginally better on the road than he has at home, recording a 4.75 ERA - I realize that's not saying much. The 'under' has gone 4-2-1 in his seven road outings compared to his 5-3 o/u mark at home. Behind Keller is a Royals bullpen that has posted a 3.58 ERA and 1.26 WHIP with seven converted saves and only four blown on the road this season. Taillon has actually been solid at home this season, recording a 3.29 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in eight starts with the 'under' cashing in five of those. He faced the Royals once back in 2018 and tossed seven shutout innings. Interestingly, we have seen some continuity with the Royals lineup in recent years so that start is still worth mentioning in my opinion. The Yankees bullpen has been among the best in baseball this season, posting a 3.40 ERA and 1.18 WHIP here at home. They've posted six saves with only two blown in day games this season, recording a collective 3.24 ERA and 1.05 WHIP along the way. Take the under (9*). |
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06-24-21 | Royals v. Yankees -179 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Kansas City at 1:05 pm et on Thursday. While we're being asked to pay a heavy tariff to back the Yankees in Thursday's series-finale against the Royals, I believe the price is warranted. Brad Keller will get the nod for the Royals. Kansas City has lost each of his last three starts by a combined 23-5 score. He checks in sporting a 6.31 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in eight daytime starts this season. The Yankees have faced him once previously, back in the 2018 season, recording a 10-5 victory and chasing him after scoring four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings. Jameson Taillon will counter for New York. He owns a 3.29 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in eight home starts this season and tossed seven shutout innings in his lone previous career start against the Royals back in 2018. I like the fact that he'll be pitching on five days' rest for the third straight start here. This game could very well come down to the bullpens and in that department I'll give the Yankees the edge as they've recorded a collective 3.24 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with six converted saves and only two blown in day games this season. Take New York (9*). |
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06-23-21 | Blue Jays v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Miami at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a low-scoring affair between these two teams last night and I expect more of the same on Wednesday. Robbie Ray will take the ball for the Blue Jays. The Marlins have faced him seven times over the course of his career and they've never really figured him out. In four looks at him since the start of the 2018 season they've managed to score just four earned runs in 24 innings. In 10 nighttime starts this season, Ray has posted a 3.41 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with the 'under' cashing at a 7-3 clip. The Blue Jays bullpen gets a bad rap, and perhaps rightfully so of late. However, they've performed reasonably well as a whole on the road this season, recording a collective 3.29 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with 11 converted saves and only three blown. The Marlins will hand the ball to their ace Trevor Rogers. He has been terrific at home this season, posting a 1.93 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts here in Miami. You would have to go back to May 2nd to find the last time Rogers allowed more than two earned runs in a start. He also averages just shy of six innings per start this season. Note that he has the advantage of facing the Blue Jays for the first time in his career. Behind Rogers is a Marlins bullpen that has recorded a collective 3.29 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with only four blown saves at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-22-21 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
N.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and San Diego at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday. We missed our free play on the 'under' in the opener of this series last night as a hot start at the plate by the Padres proved to be our downfall. Here, I won't hesitate to go back to the well, however, as we have a fine pitching matchup between Clayton Kershaw and Blake Snell. Kershaw enters this start having lasted at least six innings in seven consecutive outings. He owns an outstanding 2.73 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 10 nighttime starts this season. He'll be pitching on five days' rest here. The Padres have never really been able to figure Kershaw out, somewhat incredibly scoring three earned runs or less in each of their last 23 games against him. The Dodgers bullpen has been terrific lately, posting a sub-3.00 ERA over their last seven games and check in sporting a collective 3.27 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with 18 converted saves and only eight blown at night this season. Blake Snell has been a completely different pitcher at home compared to on the road this season. Here at Petco Park he owns a 1.65 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in six starts. He got lit up in his most recent outing but that was a less than ideal situation as he was pitching on four days' rest at hitter-friendly Coors Field in Colorado no less. The Dodgers have had four looks at Snell going back to last year's playoffs. They've managed to score only seven earned runs on just 13 hits in 20 1/3 innings against him in those four games. The Padres have one of the best bullpens in baseball, checking in with a 2.72 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with 16 saves and only four blown saves at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-22-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday. We missed with the 'over' in the opener of this series last night but I do think we're set up well to go back to the well with the same play on Tuesday. Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers. While he has been terrific this season you do have to wonder whether some regression is on the way. Here, the D'Backs will be getting their second look at him this season and I expect them to fare better than they did on June 4th when they managed just one earned run over 7 1/3 innings. That was in Milwaukee. Here at home, the D'Backs actually average a respectable 4.9 runs per game. Note that Peralta averages just 4 2/3 innings per start on the road this season. That could spell trouble for an overworked Brewers bullpen that hasn't had a day off in over two weeks and has converted nine saves compared to seven blown on the road this season. Zac Gallen will make his second start since returning form the I.L. for the D'Backs and he'll do so on just four days' rest. He hasn't been good at the best of times here at home this season, posting a 5.62 ERA and 1.63 WHIP, averaging just four innings per start. That opens the door for a D'Backs bullpen that has struggled to the tune of a 5.21 ERA and 1.51 WHIP with only three converted saves and four blown here at home. Like the Brewers, the D'Backs have an overworked bullpen that hasn't had an off day in over two weeks. Take the over (10*). |
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06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -124 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Diego over Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Monday. |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
National League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Arizona at 9:40 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'over' in the Brewers 7-6 win over the Rockies yesterday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as they continue their road trip against the reeling D'Backs in Arizona. Brett Anderson will take the ball for the Brewers. He's coming off a surprisingly strong start against the Reds, tossing seven shutout innings. That was at home, however. He's been awful on the road this season, posting a 5.47 ERA and 1.46 WHIP while averaging just 3.5 innings per start. The fact that he hasn't been able to work deep into ball games doesn't bode well given the Brewers overworked bullpen hasn't had a day off in two weeks and checks in sporting a collective 4.76 ERA and 1.59 WHIP with two converted saves to go along with two blown over their last seven games. The D'Backs have already faced Anderson once this season, chasing him after just 4 1/3 innings, scoring three earned runs on eight hits and striking out only once. Merrill Kelly will counter for Arizona. The Brewers have seen him three times since the start of the 2019 season, including once this year. In their last two games against Kelly they've hit him hard, scoring 10 earned runs on 14 hits, including three home runs, in just 10 1/3 innings. Kelly owns a 5.19 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 11 nighttime starts this season. Working behind Kelly is an awful D'Backs bullpen that has posted a collective 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with only three converted saves and four blown here at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-21-21 | Indians v. Cubs -135 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Chicago over Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Monday. While both of these teams 'avoided the sweep' with narrow victories on Sunday, it's the Cubs that are better-positioned to keep the positive momentum building here at home on Monday night. Cleveland was red hot before dropping two of three games against the lowly Pirates in Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, the Indians have been a weaker team on the road compared to at home, checking in just two games above .500 in the visitors' role this season. Similarly, the Cubs have been much better here at Wrigley Field, where they're an impressive 25-12 on the season. With all of that being said, perhaps it's not surprising that the Indians swept a short two-game series with the Cubs in Cleveland back in May. Aaron Civale will take the ball for the Indians on Monday. He's pitched poorly in three of his last four starts and now finds himself in a difficult situation, starting on just four days' rest for the second straight outing. We're bound to see some regression when it comes to Civale's incredible 10-2 team record in 12 starts this season. And it should come sooner rather than later given the fact that he's been tagged for 13 earned runs in 25 innings of work over his last four starts. Behind Civale is a good Indians bullpen, but one that has been better at home than on the road. The Cleveland 'pen entered yesterday's action sporting a 3.99 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season. Adbert Alzolay will counter for Chicago. Unlike Civale, he won't be dealing with a potentially 'tired arm' here as he hasn't started a game since June 7th due to a blister issue. Alzolay was in a similarly poor situation to Civale in his most recent outing, pitching on four days' rest for the second straight start. Perhaps it should come as no surprise that he struggled in that start against the Padres (who were seeing him for the second time in five days), allowing four earned runs in just three innings. Alzolay has been sharp here at home this season, guiding the Cubs to a 4-2 record in six previous starts while posting a 3.56 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has been as good as it gets here at home this season, recording a 2.57 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 12 saves converted and only three blown (entering yesterday's action). Expect them to shut the door on any potential comeback attempts by the Indians here tonight. Take Chicago (10*). |
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06-20-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Houston at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. We've won with the Astros in each of the last two games but I'll switch gears and back the 'under' as they close out their series with the White Sox on Sunday. Dallas Keuchel will get the nod for Chicago. He's rounded into form over his last three starts, posting a stellar 1.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 19 innings of work. Keuchel has been solid in six road starts this season, recording a 3.37 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Interestingly, he's never faced his former team, the Astros, perhaps giving him a bit of an advantage here. Behind Keuchel is a White Sox bullpen that has held its own in day games this season, posting a collective 4.04 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with 10 converted saves compared to only four blown. Lance McCullers Jr. will counter for Houston. We missed with the 'under' in his last start, only thanks to extra innings (that game was 2-1 in the ninth inning but ended 6-3 to go 'over' by half a run). That was his first start back off the I.L. and while he wasn't overly effective, he pitched well enough to keep the Rangers bats at bay into the fifth inning. I expect him to get stretched out a little more here. Note that he has recorded a 3.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in six home starts this season. The White Sox faced him twice during the 2018 season and weren't able to figure him out, scoring just two earned runs in 13 innings. Of course that can be taken with a grain of salt as we're talking about a largely different White Sox lineup today. Behind McCullers is an Astros bullpen that has been lights out lately, and entered last night's game sporting a collective 3.68 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home this season with seven converted saves compared to just three blown. Take the under (10*). |
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06-19-21 | Rays -134 v. Mariners | 5-6 | Loss | -134 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Saturday. After a wild 6-5 contest in favor of the Mariners on Thursday (we lost with the Rays in that walk-off defeat) we saw the M's prevail again by a 5-1 score last night. Here, I look for a well-pitched game from the Rays as they try to get one back in Seattle. Left-hander Josh Fleming returns to the Rays rotation to make the start on Saturday - his first since getting roughed up in Texas back on June 4th. In five starts this season, Fleming has been solid, having posted a 2.86 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with the 'under' cashing in three of those five contests. He has averaged just shy of six innings per start in three nighttime outings, recording a 3.12 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Also note that his hard-hit ball percentage hovers right around 35% this season, considerably better than the MLB average. Behind Fleming is a Rays bullpen that did blow Thursday's game but has generally been sharp this season, posting a collective 3.39 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 13 converted save opportunities compared to only five blown on the road. Over their last seven games, Rays relievers have combined to record a minuscule 0.60 ERA and 0.57 WHIP. Logan Gilbert will get the nod for the Mariners. He's admittedly been much better over his last three starts after a shaky beginning to his big league career. Interestingly, he's pitched much better in his second start against an opponent than he has in his first. Here, he'll be facing the Rays for the first time. Note that Gilbert will be facing a Rays lineup that has been much better against right-handers this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game against RH starting pitching. Perhaps most concerning is Gilbert's 48.8% hard-hit ball percentage, not to mention his line drive and fly ball percentages which both sit at 30% or higher. All three numbers are considerably worse than the MLB averages. The Mariners bullpen working behind Gilbert has been fairly solid this season but has struggled a bit in night games, recording a collective 4.30 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with eight blown saves compared to nine converted. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros -121 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston over Chicago at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Astros last night and I won't hesitate to come back with them again on Saturday. Lance Lynn gets the nod for the visiting White Sox. I'm not going to knock Lynn for anything he's done this season - he's off to a phenomenal start. However, if there's one team that has his number, it's the Astros. They'll be getting their third look at him since last season, having scored a whopping 15 earned runs in just 11 2/3 innings in their last two games against him. Working behind Lynn is a good White Sox bullpen, but one that has been overworked lately, especially when you consider Chicago hasn't had an off day since June 7th. Note that the White Sox 'pen has converted 10 saves but has blown nine in night games this season. Framber Valdez will counter for Houston. Much has been made of the White Sox success against left-handed pitching. However, they're averaging a fairly pedestrian 4.5 runs per game in their last eight contests against southpaw starters and they're facing a good one in Framber Valdez on Saturday. Valdez has been terrific since coming off the I.L., recording a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in four starts, with the Astros winning three of those games. He'll have the advantage of having never faced the White Sox here. The Astros bullpen entered last night's game sporting a solid 3.74 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with seven converted saves and only three blown here at home this season. Take Houston (9*). |
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06-19-21 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
American League Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland +1.5 runs over New York at 1:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the A's on the run-line (free play) last night even though we didn't even need the insurance run in a 5-3 victory. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as they continue their series with the Yankees in the Bronx. Chris Bassitt gets the start for Oakland. He was quietly an A.L. Cy Young contender last season and after a slow start this year, he has been excellent for the A's once again. Bassitt checks in sporting a 3.98 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in seven road starts this season with the A's winning all seven of those games. While he was shaky in his most recent road start in Seattle back on June 1st, it's worth noting that he was pitching on four days' rest for the second straight start in that one. Here, he pitches on five days' rest for a second consecutive outing. Bassitt will also have the advantage of the Yankees having never faced him. Behind Bassitt is a solid A's bullpen that entered last night's game having worked just 20 2/3 innings over their last seven contests, with an off day in the mix as well. They've posted a 3.21 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road this season. Domingo German will counter for New York. He's generally been awful over his last four starts. In six daytime starts this season he owns an ugly 5.34 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. He averages just 5 1/3 innings per start here at home and while that's generally not a problem as the Yankees bullpen is terrific, we're talking about a group that has been somewhat overworked lately and has struggled a bit as a result. Entering last night's game, the Yankees relief corps had worked 29 1/3 innings over their last seven contests, recording a collective 3.99 ERA and 1.43 WHIP along the way. Finally, I'll point out that the A's have faced German three times since the 2018 season, knocking him around for 13 earned runs in just 15 1/3 innings. With the A's roster mostly intact from recent years, look for them to find continued success here today. Take Oakland +1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-18-21 | White Sox v. Astros +103 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
MLB American League Game of the Week. My selection is on Houston over Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Friday. The Astros cruised to a 10-2 win in the opener of this four-game series last night and have now won four games in a row and 12 of their last 16 overall. I look for them to keep rolling on Friday. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for the White Sox. He's been terrific this season, there's no denying that. However, here he'll be pitching on four days' rest for the second straight start after going seven innings in his last outing against the Tigers. He'll also be facing an Astros lineup that has feasted on left-handed pitching this season, hitting .270 as a team and averaging 5.6 runs per game against southpaw starters. Behind Rodon is a somewhat overworked White Sox bullpen given the team hasn't had a day off since back on June 7th. Luis Garcia will counter for Houston. He has quietly been one of the Astros most effective starters this season and has been outstanding here at home where he owns a 1.91 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in five starts, with the Astros winning three of those games. Houston's bullpen has been solid here at home this season, recording a collective 3.79 ERA and 1.18 WHIP with just three blown saves compared to seven converted. Unlike the White Sox, who have been playing every day for nearly two weeks straight, the Astros were just off on Monday. Take Houston (10*). |
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06-18-21 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This is being pegged as a potential slugfest between two hot-hitting teams in the Bronx on Friday night. I expect a different story to unfold, however. Rookie James Kaprielian will get the start for Oakland. Making your first career start at Yankee Stadium is always a big deal and I think Kaprielian will be up to the challenge. Keep in mind, his first big league start came at Fenway Park back in May and he gave up just one earned run over five innings in a 4-1 A's victory. Kaprielian has really had just one bad start in six turns in the rotation this season, that coming in Seattle back on May 31st. Consider he was making his second straight start on four days' rest in that situation. Here, he pitches on five days' rest for the third consecutive time. While Kaprielian averages just 5.4 innings per start this season that's not a major concern as the A's bullpen comes off an off day yesterday and has been terrific on the road this season, recording a collective 3.21 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Jameson Taillon looks to bounce back from one of the worst (and shortest) outings of his career. He's actually well-positioned to do so here at home, where he has been at his best this season recording a 3.22 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in seven starts. He averages just over five innings per start at home but again, that's not a big concern as the Yankees bullpen has been effective here at home, posting a collective 3.23 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Take the under (10*). |
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06-18-21 | Mets v. Nationals -113 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
N.L. East Game of the Year. My selection is on Washington over New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday. The Mets had their three-game winning streak snapped at the hands of the Cubs last night while the Nationals enter this series off of four straight victories. I look for Washington to keep its winning streak intact for at least one more night. Joey Lucchesi will take the ball for New York. He's been awful in five road starts this season, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Worse still, he has recorded an 8.77 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four nighttime starts. Averaging just 3 2/3 innings per start we're likely to see plenty of the Mets bullpen in this one. While New York's relief corps has posted fine overall numbers this season, it has struggled on the road having recorded a collective 4.43 ERA and 1.37 WHIP with eight blown saves to go along with nine converted. Speaking of bullpens, it's certainly worth noting that the Mets haven't had an off day in over a week while the Nats' were idle yesterday. Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals. His numbers aren't great by any means, far from it in fact. However, he has pitched well over his last few starts, recording a 1.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP while working at least five innings in all three of those outings. Behind him is a terrific Nats' bullpen that has posted a collective 3.09 ERA and 1.14 WHIP at home this season, converting eight save opportunities while blowing only three. Take Washington (10*). |
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06-17-21 | Rays -165 v. Mariners | 5-6 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay over Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Thursday. The Rays just dropped consecutive games in Chicago, losing the series in the process against the White Sox. I look for them to bounce back here on Thursday as they head to the Pacific Northwest to take on the Mariners. Left-hander Rich Hill will take the ball for Tampa Bay. He checks in sporting a 2.89 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in six road starts this season with the Rays winning four of those games. Note that the Mariners average just 3.7 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Hill isn't likely to work deep into this contest, noting he averages just 4 2/3 innings per start on the road this season. That's just fine as the Rays bullpen, while somewhat overworked lately, has been terrific this season posting a collective 3.44 ERA and 1.25 WHIP with 13 saves converted and only four blown on the road. They haven't blown a single save over their last seven contests, recording a sparkling 1.08 ERA and 0.57 WHIP along the way. Justin Dunn will counter for Seattle. He's been solid here at home this season, albeit with a rather small sample size of just 21 1/3 innings. Note that Dunn has recorded a 4.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in seven nighttime starts. Like Hill, Dunn is unlikely to work deep into this game. That leaves a Mariners bullpen that has posted a collective 4.03 ERA and 1.39 WHIP with just one converted save (and another blown) over the last seven games. At night this season, the M's 'pen has blown eight saves compared to nine converted. Note that the Rays have been a much better offensive team on the road this season, where they average an impressive 5.8 runs per contest. Take Tampa Bay (9*). |
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06-17-21 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Thursday. With the Rockies coming off consecutive high-scoring wins over the Padres to complete an improbable series sweep here at Coors Field, I look for a much different story to unfold on Thursday. The Brewers will send Brandon Woodruff to the hill for the opener of this series. He's been phenomenal on the road this season, posting a minuscule 0.67 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in six starts this season. We shouldn't need much help from the Brewers bullpen given Woodruff averages just shy of seven innings per start on the road, but it's worth noting that it has been reliable away from home, posting a collective 3.51 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. In night games this season, the Brewers 'pen has recorded a 3.71 ERA and 1.18 WHIP with nine converted saves compared to only three blown. German Marquez will counter for Colorado. He's posted a strong home-road dichotomy as usual, recording a 3.99 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in nine home starts with the Rockies winning seven of those games. Note that Marquez has worked at least six innings in six of his last seven starts. The Colorado bullpen is certainly a concern here although the Brewers aren't exactly an explosive offensive club, averaging just 3.5 runs per game on .203 hitting at night this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-17-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -191 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco over Arizona at 3:45 pm et on Thursday. We're being asked to lay a fairly steep price to back the home side here, but I believe it could be even higher. We cashed our free play on the Giants last night as they rallied from an early deficit to win a wild, high-scoring affair. I'm not expecting that same type of game to play out on Thursday but I'm confident the end result will be the same. Zac Gallen is expected to get the nod for the D'Backs as he makes his return from the I.L. His early season results were mixed, much like the early stages of his big league career. Note that he faced the Giants three times last season and in the third game we saw San Francisco finally figure him out, scoring four earned runs over just five innings. Gallen wasn't able to work deep into ball games with any consistency when he was healthy earlier this season and that spells trouble here as he'll likely not be extended too much, meaning we'll see plenty of an awful D'Backs bullpen that entered last night's action sporting a collective 4.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the road this season, recording just three saves compared to eight blown. Kevin Gausman will start for the Giants. He remains one of the most underrated starters in all of baseball this season. There's a reason the Giants rewarded him with a substantial contract prior to this season. He's been lights out here at home this season, posting a 2.33 ERA and 0.56 WHIP in four starts. Better still, he has recorded a 1.25 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in six daytime starts with the Giants winning five of those games. The D'Backs have faced Gausman four times since the start of the 2019 season and have yet to figure him out, managing just four earned runs in 24 innings. With Gausman averaging 6 2/3 innings per start at home this season we may not need much help from the San Francisco defense. However, I will point out that the Giants 'pen has been outstanding this season, recording a collective 2.53 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 13 converted saves compared to just two blown here at home (entering last night's action). Take San Francisco (10*). |
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06-16-21 | Angels v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
MLB Daytime Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Oakland at 3:35 pm et on Wednesday. We've seen consecutive relatively high-scoring games between these two teams to open this series and I expect more of the same on Wednesday afternoon. Griffin Canning will take the ball for the Angels. He has struggled on the road this season, posting a 5.25 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in five starts with three of those games finding their way 'over' the total. Worse still, he has recorded an 8.81 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in four daytime starts. After struggling against Canning in the 2019 season, the A's had a lot more success against him last year, facing him three times and scoring 10 earned runs in just 13 1/3 innings. With Canning averaging less than five innings per start this season we should see plenty of the Angels below-average and overworked bullpen, which allowed another three earned runs in last night's loss. L.A.'s 'pen has recorded a collective 5.15 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in day games this season. Left-hander Cole Irvin will counter for Oakland. The Angels will be getting their second look at him this season after scoring four earned runs off of him over six innings in a game back on May 30th. Of course, the Angels have been a far better hitting team against southpaw starters this season, hitting .275 and averaging 5.9 runs per game. Irvin has been good but certainly not great at home this season, posting a 4.30 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. He's averaging right around 5 2/3 innings per start here in 2021. While the A's bullpen has been terrific in terms of converted save percentage here at home (12 saves converted compared to two blown), they will give up some runs. They allowed two earned runs in two frames in last night's 6-4 victory and now own a 4.54 ERA and 1.31 WHIP at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-15-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
N.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'over' in Marlins ace Trevor Rogers' most recent start last week against the Rockies as that game totaled 15 runs. In fact, that was the third time in Rogers' last four outings that the game reached exactly 15 total runs. While I'm not bold enough to call for that level of offensive production here, I do expect this one to find its way 'over' the very reasonable total. Rogers has been terrific this season. There's really no reason to knock him here. However, I will point out that the Cardinals did get a look at Rogers back in April and managed to chase him after just four innings, scoring three runs, two of them earned, on two hits and four walks. Note that St. Louis is 9-4 against left-handed starters this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game - well north of their season average. I'll also point out that Rogers will be starting on just four days' rest for a second straight time on Tuesday. Behind Rogers is an overworked Marlins bullpen that has blown eight saves compared to only six converted on the road this season. I say overworked because the Marlins haven't had a single day off here in June. Kwang-Hyun Kim will take the ball for the Cardinals. He was just activated off the I.L. after dealing with a back injury. While Kim got off to a solid start this season, it seems that as more teams get a look at him, he has started to struggle, posting a 6.58 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over his last three starts. His last two trips to the hill have resulted in 11 and 10 total runs. In fact, the 'over' is 6-2-1 in his nine starts overall this season. With Kim averaging just a shade over 4 2/3 innings per start this season and given the fact he's returning from the I.L., we should see plenty of the Cards bullpen on Tuesday. While they've posted a tremendous save conversion rate here at home (13 saves converted with only one blown), the rest of their numbers have been pretty pedestrian, posting a collective 4.34 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. In night games this season, the Cards 'pen has recorded a 4.89 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Take the over (10*). |
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06-15-21 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Texas and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. This series opens with a sneaky-good pitching matchup on Tuesday night as the Rangers send Kyle Gibson to the hill against Lance McCullers Jr. Gibson got lit up in his first start of the season but he's been terrific ever since. He checks in sporting a 3.41 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in six road starts this season. The Astros have had four previous looks at Gibson since the start of last season but they've yet to figure him out, managing to score just three earned runs off of him over 28 innings. While the Rangers awful bullpen is a concern, that concern is somewhat muted by the fact that Gibson averages a solid six innings per start and with the Astros likely to be out in front in the latter stages of this game, we may only have to deal with a couple of innings from the Texas 'pen. Lance McCullers Jr. will counter for Houston. He has posted a 3.14 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five home starts this season and brings excellent current form into this start having recorded a 1.89 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over his last three outings. In three games against McCullers since the start of last season, the Rangers have managed to score just three earned runs in 15 innings. Working behind McCullers is an Astros bullpen that has has been solid at home, posting a collective 3.99 ERA and 1.20 WHIP with seven saves converted and only three blown. Take the under (10*). |
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06-14-21 | Angels v. A's -159 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland over Los Angeles at 9:40 pm et on Monday. The Angels are red hot on the heels of consecutive three-game sweeps of the D'Backs and Royals, winners of eight of their last nine games overall. However, the A's are rolling as well, fresh off three straight wins over the Royals and riding a 9-2 run over their last 11 games. I like the home side to keep it going on Monday night. Dylan Bundy will take the ball for the Angels. The wheels have come off for him a little bit lately as he's failed to last at least six innings in five straight starts and checks in sporting a 6.00 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in five nighttime starts this season. The A's have seemingly figured him out over their last couple of games against him, scoring six earned runs on 12 hits in only eight innings. With Bundy averaging just a shade over five innings per start this season we should see plenty of the Angels below-average bullpen in this one as well. Los Angeles' 'pen has posted a collective 4.53 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with nine saves and seven blown in night games this season. Sean Manaea will counter for Oakland. After a tough start to the season he's rounded into form, posting a 2.96 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in eight starts here at home with the A's winning seven of those. Going back over his last four starts, Manaea has allowed just two earned runs in 26 2/3 innings of work. With Manaea averaging north of six innings per start here at home this season, the A's bullpen isn't a major concern, but they have been solid, particularly at home where they've recorded a somewhat lofty 4.31 ERA but a respectable 1.29 WHIP with 10 converted saves compared to only two blown. While the Angels have hit left-handed starting pitching well this season, they haven't done much against Manaea, managing just two earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in two games against him this season. The A's bats have finally woken up lately, scoring 31 runs in their last six games, with Matt Chapman in particular getting on a bit of a heater at the dish over the last few games. Take Oakland (10*). |
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06-14-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals -180 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Louis over Miami at 8:15 pm et on Monday. The Cardinals return home licking their wounds following a series sweep at the hands of the rival Cubs. I like their chances of getting back on track here as they open a series with the Marlins, who check in 13-22 while averaging just 3.7 runs per game on the road this season. Braxton Garrett will get his second start of the season for Miami. He wasn't great in his season debut, lasting just four innings while allowing two earned runs on five hits while striking out only three and walking three. Garrett has now made three big league starts and has yet to last more than five innings in any of them. That opens the door for a Marlins bullpen that has posted a 4.29 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the road this season, blowing eight save opportunities while converting only six. Adam Wainwright will counter for the Cardinals. He's enjoyed a renaissance of sorts so far this season, particularly at home where he has recorded a stellar 2.62 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in eight starts. He's averaging just under seven innings per start here at home. Behind him is a Cards bullpen that has posted a collective 4.46 ERA and 1.43 WHIP at home this season - not all that impressive by any means, however, that same 'pen has converted 12 saves compared to just one blown here in St. Louis. Take St. Louis (9*). |
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06-13-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Los Angeles at 4:10 pm et on Sunday. We keep seeing low posted totals in games starter by Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler and the 'over' has now gone 6-2 over his last eight outings. I look for that trend to continue on Sunday after these two teams took turns beating each other up over the last two nights. Dane Dunning will take the ball for the Rangers. To say he's been terrible on the road would be an understatement. He has posted a 7.20 ERA and 1.80 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in four of his six outings away from home. With Dunning averaging just over four innings per start on the road, we should see plenty of a Texas bullpen that has had a tough time getting outs on the road this season, posting a collective 5.63 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. In 86 1/3 innings worked in day games, the Rangers have managed to record just three saves while blowing three other opportunities. Walker Buehler is an outstanding pitcher, there's no reason to really knock him here. However, his 12 previous starts this season have resulted in 11, 1, 17, 5, 11, 11, 10, 4, 9, 13, 17 and 8 total runs, good for an average of 9.75 runs per contest. Buehler averages between six and seven innings per start here at home. While the Dodgers bullpen has been terrific for the most part this season, they have struggled a bit in day games, recording a collective 4.38 ERA and 1.48 WHIP with four blown saves compared to six converted. Take the over (10*). |
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06-13-21 | Yankees v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. We saw a wild, high-scoring game between these two teams yesterday as the Phillies posted their third straight walk-off win by an 8-7 score in extra innings. I expect a different story to unfold on Sunday. Domingo German will take the ball for the Yankees. He owns a 2.10 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in five road starts this season, where he's averaged six innings per start. He'll have the advantage of never facing the Phillies. Behind German is a Yankees bullpen that entered yesterday's action sporting a collective 3.20 ERA and 1.02 WHIP on the road this season, making good on nine save opportunities while blowing only two. Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He's been terrific at home this season, recording a 3.02 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in six starts. He's been at his best in daytime starts, posting a 2.10 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has been in excellent form lately and has recorded a collective 3.93 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in day games this season. With Nola giving the Phillies over 6 1/3 innings per start in daytime outings this season, we may not need too much help from the Philadelphia 'pen here. Also note that in his lone previous start against the Yankees, Nola allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. Take the under (10*). |
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06-12-21 | Padres v. Mets +1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
N.L. Run-Line Game of the Month. My selection is on New York +1.5 runs over San Diego at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Mets got the better of the Padres in last night's pitcher's duel (we won with the 'under') and I expect a similar story to unfold on Saturday. Joe Musgrove will take the ball for San Diego. He's off to an incredible start this season and of course already has a no-hitter to his credit. However, he has struggled in four daytime starts, posting a 4.50 ERA and he averages just north of five innings per start on the road. Musgrove has already faced the Mets once this season and it was one of his worst starts of the season as he allowed three earned runs on eight hits over just five innings (he did strike out 10 along the way). While the Padres bullpen working behind him has posted excellent overall numbers this season, I still feel it's an overworked group, having already pitched 271 innings (prior to last night's game). We've seen some regression from the Padres relief corps in recent weeks and could certainly see more of that should they get extended today. Marcus Stroman will counter for the Mets. He didn't allow a single earned run over 6 2/3 innings when he faced San Diego on June 6th. Stroman checks in sporting an impressive 2.02 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in four home starts this season. He's lasted at least six innings in six straight starts and behind him is one of the best bullpens in baseball, particularly here at home where the Mets relief corps has posted a collective 1.69 ERA and 1.11 WHIP (entering last night's action). We'll grab the insurance run here but hopefully won't need it. Take New York +1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-12-21 | White Sox -162 v. Tigers | Top | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
A.L. Central Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over Detroit at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The White Sox got past the Tigers in extra innings last night and I look for them to add to Detroit's misery on Saturday afternoon at Comerica Park. Dylan Cease will take the ball for Chicago. While he has struggled on the road this season, he's had no such issues against the Tigers over the course of his career. In fact, the White Sox are a perfect 7-0 in his seven previous starts against them. Detroit has already had two looks at Cease this season and four since the start of last year. However, if the Tigers haven't figured him out by now, they're likely not going to do so. Behind Cease is an average White Sox bullpen, but one that has excelled against A.L. Central opponents, posting a collective 3.07 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 91 innings this season (entering last night's action). Jose Urena will counter for Detroit. This will be Chicago's third look at Urena this season. After struggling against him in their first go-round, we saw the White Sox bust out last Sunday, scoring three earned runs on six hits over five innings. With Urena averaging between four and five innings per start at home this season we're likely to see plenty of the Tigers bullpen, which has struggled here, posting a collective 4.31 ERA and 1.39 WHIP (entering last night's game). Interestingly, the Tigers 'pen has blown six saves while converting only five in day games this season. Take Chicago (10*). |
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06-11-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Run-Line Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Texas at 10:10 pm et on Friday. The Dodgers are showing signs of getting rolling again, coming off a three-game sweep of the Pirates in Pittsburgh. I look for them to win in convincing fashion with Clayton Kershaw on the hill against Mike Foltynewicz on Friday night. Foltynewicz is a somewhat familiar face to the Dodgers from his days in the National League. In six career starts against them, he's posted a 6.11 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Of course, that's pretty much par for the course for Folty as so far this season he owns a 5.40 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in four road starts, with the Rangers winning just one of those games. While he has worked seven innings in two of his last three starts, he's still averaging just 5.5 innings per start this season which is concerning as the Rangers bullpen has been awful on the road, posting a collective 5.58 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Clayton Kershaw is coming off back-to-back rough outings but should get back on track here. He has posted a 3.55 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in six home starts, with the Dodgers winning four of those games. Note that he's absolutely owned the opposition in three previous interleague starts, recording a sparkling 0.92 ERA and 0.56 WHIP in 19 2/3 innings of work. While the Rangers have hit better against left-handers this season, better is a relative term in this case as they're still averaging just 4.1 runs per game and hitting .241 against southpaws. With Kershaw averaging around 6 1/3 innings per start here at home, the Dodgers bullpen may not have to factor in too much, but it's worth noting that they've recorded a collective 2.75 ERA and 1.02 WHIP at home this season. Over their last seven games (entering yesterday's action) they've posted a 2.60 ERA and 0.90 WHIP with no blown saves. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-11-21 | Royals v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Friday. We saw a relatively low-scoring game between these two teams last night with just seven total runs scored. I'm expecting a similar story to unfold on Friday night. Brady Singer will take the ball for the Royals. His numbers certainly aren't great but he's been saddled with some bad luck as well. Note that Singer has posted a 34.3% hard-hit ball percentage this season - nearly 5% below the MLB average. He's also recorded a ground ball rate north of 50%. However, his BAbip is .345, contributing to his ugly ERA which is approaching five. Note that he will have the advantage of facing the A's for the first time on Friday. Also note that the A's average less than four runs per game here at home. With Singer averaging less than five innings per start, we should see plenty of the Royals bullpen and that's not a bad thing as they've collectively posted a 3.51 ERA and 1.33 WHIP with just three blown saves compared to seven converted on the road this season. Cole Irvin will counter for Oakland. While his 4.72 ERA at home leaves a lot to be desired he has posted a terrific 1.20 WHIP in his seven home starts. Note that he's been at his best at night, recording a 3.31 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. In fact, the 'under' has gone a perfect 6-0 in his six nighttime starts this season. Behind Irvin is an A's bullpen that has under-achieved a bit but has still managed to post a respectable 3.83 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 112 2/3 innings logged at night. The A's relief corps has racked up nine converted saves with only one blown here at home this season. Take the under (10*). |
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06-11-21 | Astros v. Twins OVER 11 | 6-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Friday. This may look like an exorbitantly high total for a game not played at Coors Field but a deeper look indicates why and I'm confident we'll see these two teams find a way 'over' the lofty number. Jose Urquidy will take the ball for Houston. The Twins will be getting their second look at him since last September after he held them to just one earned run over 4 1/3 ok innings last fall. Urquidy has had an up and down start to the season but has generally been subpar on the road, where he owns a 4.79 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 26 1/3 innings of work. He averages just 5 1/3 innings per start away from home which means we should see plenty of an Astros bullpen that got extended in Boston last night and owns a collective 4.75 ERA and 1.54 WHIP with eight blown saves (compared to only six converted) on the road this season. Matt Shoemaker will inexplicably get another turn in the rotation for the Twins. He's been awful this season. In seven home starts he has posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. For the season he's averaging just 4 2/3 innings per start which spells trouble as the Twins bullpen has been overworked over the last week or so, pitching a collective 31 2/3 innings over their last seven games. Note that the Minnesota 'pen has struggled at night this season, posting a collective 5.67 ERA and 1.52 WHIP with only four converted saves. Take the over (10*). |
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06-11-21 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'over' in Colorado's blowout loss in Miami last night and I'll come right back with the same play here as the Rockies continue their road trip in Cincinnati. Kyle Freeland will make his fourth start of the season for the Rockies. He's struggled so far, recording a 6.23 ERA and 2.08 WHIP in 13 innings of work. Perhaps most concerning is the fact that he's yet to last more than five innings in a start, which opens the door for an extended night from the Rockies awful bullpen. Colorado's relief corps entered last night's game sporting a collective 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the road this season. Tyler Mahle will counter for the Reds. He pitched relatively well against the Rockies earlier this season but I expect them to do a little more damage here as they get their second look at the right-hander in less than a month. Mahle owns an ugly 7.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four home starts this season, where he averages only 4 2/3 innings per start. That spells trouble given the Cincinnati bullpen has recorded a collective 7.17 ERA and 1.53 WHIP (prior to another poor performance yesterday) at home this season, with only two-of-five converted save opportunities. Take the over (10*). |
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06-11-21 | Giants v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. NOTE: Our play on the 'under' 3.5 runs first five innings in this same matchup was rained-out last night. Now with both teams playing just their second game in the last four days we have two rested bullpens and I'm comfortable playing the full-game 'under' rather than the first five innings only. I like the way this one sets up as a low-scoring affair with the Giants sending pleasant surprise Anthony DeSclafani to the hill against Nationals ace Max Scherzer. DeSclafani has come out of nowhere (Cincinnati actually) to go 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.11 WHIP out of the gates this season. He's been at his best on the road, where he has posted a 2.63 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in seven starts, with four of those staying 'under' the total. Best of all, he has recorded a sparkling 2.17 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in nine nighttime starts. While he has had mixed results in his career against the Nats', there's no decisive edge here as he hasn't faced them since 2019. The Giants bullpen has been outstanding lately, recording a collective 1.27 ERA and 0.74 WHIP over their last seven games and as noted above, while previous extended having worked 35 1/3 innings over that seven-game stretch, as a result of last night's postponement they've now had two out of the last four days off. Max Scherzer has been doing 'Max Scherzer things' for the Nats' so far this season, posting a 2.22 ERA and 0.82 WHIP through his first 12 outings, with the 'under' cashing in nine of those. Scherzer has not surprisingly been at his best at home where he has recorded a 1.98 ERA and 0.68 WHIP in 41 innings of work. Washington's bullpen has been at its best here at home where it has posted a collective 3.59 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with only two blown save opportunities. Take the under (9*). |
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06-10-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -110 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Houston at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the Red Sox to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Astros on Thursday night at Fenway Park. While this pitching matchup certainly doesn't appear to favor Boston as Houston sends Zach Greinke to the hill against Eduardo Rodriguez. Greinke has been terrific this season but he's also been spotted plenty of run support. While he's coming off a complete game victory over the Blue Jays in Buffalo last week, he's still averaging just over 6 1/3 innings per start this season which does leave the door open for an Astros bullpen that while solid lately, still owns a 4.39 ERA and 1.51 WHIP with only six converted saves compared to seven blown on the road this season. As mentioned, Eduardo Rodriguez will counter for Boston. He wasn't good against the Astros last week but did bounce back with a solid outing in a 7-3 road victory over the Yankees on Saturday. Note that Rodriguez has pitched considerably better at home than on the road this season and that most recent start against the Astros came in Houston. Here at Fenway Park, he owns a 4.26 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP with the Sox winning two of his three starts. Behind Rodriguez is a terrific Boston bullpen that has posted a collective 3.32 ERA and 1.34 WHIP with nine converted saves compared to only four blown here at home this season. Take Boston (10*). |
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06-10-21 | Rockies v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | 4-11 | Win | 104 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Colorado and Miami at 7:10 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams have been involved in a number of relatively low-scoring games recently. I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday, however. The Rockies will hand the ball to Chi Chi Gonzalez. He's been awful on the road this season, posting a 6.20 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in five starts, spanning 24 2/3 innings of work. Noting that he averages less than five innings per start away from home, we should see plenty of a Rockies bullpen that has posted a collective 4.66 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the road this season. Colorado's 'pen has converted just 10 saves this season while blowing nine. Marlins ace Trevor Rogers will counter. He's been excellent this season, however, it's worth noting that two of his last three starts have totaled a whopping 15 runs. Note that Rogers actually only averages 5 2/3 innings per start, and slightly less than that here at home. He'll be facing a Rockies lineup that has been better against southpaw starters, hitting .270 as a team. Miami's bullpen has eight blown saves compared to only seven converted in night games this season and has posted a collective 5.26 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over its last seven contests. While I do like the Marlins to prevail in this one, I think it could be higher-scoring than most expect. Take the over (10*). |
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06-09-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -134 | 8-3 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston over Houston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. This one sets up well for the Red Sox as they look to bounce back following last night's 7-1 loss in the series-opener. They'll be facing Astros starter Jake Odorizzi for the second time this season after they defeated him by a 5-1 score last week (we won with the Red Sox first five innings in that contest). Odorizzi hasn't fared well since joining the Astros rotation, posting a 7.17 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in five starts. He's averaging only 3 1/3 innings per start which spells trouble as the Astros bullpen has posted a collective 4.61 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road this season where they've converted just five of 12 save opportunities. Nathan Eovaldi will counter for Boston. He's been good but not great overall this season but has been particularly sharp in nighttime starts, recording a 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in four outings. It's encouraging that he has worked just shy of six innings per start and we're fine supporting the Red Sox bullpen here, noting that they've posted a collective 3.19 ERA and 1.32 WHIP here at Fenway Park, making good on nine of 13 save opportunities. Note that over the last seven games, the Boston 'pen has recorded a sparkling 1.37 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Take Boston (10*). |
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06-09-21 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
MLB National League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a somewhat surprising low-scoring contest between these two teams last night but I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday. Veteran left-hander Brett Anderson will take the ball for the Brewers. He owns a 4.63 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in five nighttime starts this season and the Reds will be getting their fifth look at him since the start of last season. Note that he's allowed six home runs against them in those previous four starts. Anderson averages less than four innings per start on the road this season so we'll likely see plenty of a Brewers bullpen that while solid overall this season has really struggled against division opponents, posting a collective 5.01 ERA and 1.41 WHIP entering last night's contest. They got stretched out last night as Adrian Houser could give the Brew Crew just 5 1/3 innings in that 5-1 victory. Vladimir Gutierrez will get his third start of the season for the Reds. He's been fine through two starts but don't count on him to work deep into this ball game. Note that he's lasted just five innings in each of his previous two outings. That opens the door for a dreadful Reds bullpen that has recorded a collective 7.21 ERA and 1.48 WHIP here at home this season (entering last night's game), with just two converted save opportunities. The Brewers offense while subpar for much of the season, has come around a bit lately, averaging right around five runs per game over the last week. Take the over (10*). |
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06-09-21 | Nationals v. Rays -156 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay over Washington at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. This price seems awfully short given the way the pitching matchup sets up on Wednesday night in St. Petersburg. Pat Corbin will take the ball for the Nationals. The wheels have fallen off for him a bit this season, particularly on the road, where he has posted a 7.30 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in five starts, with the Nationals winning only one of those games. He averages just a shade over five innings per start this season and you would have to go back five outings to find the last time he made it through the sixth inning. That spells trouble as the Nats' bullpen hasn't been good, recording a 4.53 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the road. Entering last night's game, Washington's relief corps had posted a 6.26 ERA and 1.39 WHIP with a pair of blown save opportunities over their last seven games. Rookie Shane McClanahan will counter for Tampa Bay. He's made three home starts, recording a 3.77 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. While he averages less than five innings per start that's not a big concern as the Rays bullpen has been outstanding. Tampa relievers have posted a collective 2.85 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at home this season, making good on seven of nine save opportunities. The Rays have been one of the best teams in baseball in recent weeks and I look for them to post another victory on Wednesday. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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06-09-21 | Diamondbacks v. A's -210 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland over Arizona at 3:35 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the A's in the opener of this series last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Wednesday afternoon. Matt Peacock will take the ball for the D'Backs. He's been good but certainly not great in four previous starts this season and now pitches on just four days' rest for the second straight start. Note that with Peacock averaging only five innings per start on the road we'll likely see plenty of an Arizona bullpen that has recorded a 4.55 ERA and 1.42 WHIP on the road this season, converting just three of 10 save opportunities along the way. Sean Manaea will counter for Oakland. The A's have gone 6-1 in his seven home starts this season where he owns a 3.37 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Note that Manaea checks in sporting a sparkling 0.87 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his last three outings and starts on six days' rest today. Behind Manaea is an A's 'pen that has posted a collective 4.33 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with nine converted saves and just one blown save opportunity here at home this season. Take Oakland (9*). |
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06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. Both of these teams are better known for their offense but it's been their pitching that has really shone so far this season. Robbie Ray will take the ball for Toronto on Tuesday. He checks in sporting a 3.06 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over his last three starts. While he does own an ERA north of four on the road, the 'under' has still cashed in three of his five outings away from home. The White Sox have of course dominated left-handed starting pitching in recent years, however it's worth noting that they've scored a grand total of just nine runs in their last three games against southpaw starters. The 'under' is actually 10-7 when they face left-handed starters this season. Behind Ray is a Jays bullpen that has been terrific on the road this season, posting a collective 2.52 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, converting nine saves while blowing only two. Carlos Rodon will counter for Chicago. The left-hander has been outstanding this season, particularly here at home where he owns a 2.02 ERA and a minuscule 0.56 WHIP in four starts, spanning 26 2/3 innings. The 'under' has gone 4-2 in Rodon's six nighttime starts, when he has recorded a 1.23 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Note that the Blue Jays haven't seen Rodon since the 2018 season and in two previous games against him scored just four earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. Behind Rodon is a White Sox bullpen that has posted a collective 3.46 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home this season. Take the under (9*). |
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06-08-21 | Yankees -111 v. Twins | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Yankees are reeling off a series sweep at the hands of the rival Red Sox over the weekend but I expect them to get back on track on Tuesday night in Minnesota. Jordan Montgomery will take the ball for New York. He's struggled on the road this season, posting an ERA approaching six, yet the Yanks have still managed to win three of his five road outings. Perhaps that has something to do with their tremendous bullpen. With Montgomery averaging just 4 2/3 innings per start on the road we should see plenty of a Yankees bullpen that has recorded a collective 2.60 ERA and 0.96 WHIP on the road this season, converting nine saves while blowing only one. On a positive note regarding Montgomery he has posted a 2.43 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in seven nighttime starts this season. He'll be facing a Twins club that has gone just 7-13 and averaged 4.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Michael Pineda gets the call for Minnesota. He kept the ball in the park for the first time in six starts last time out but still allowed five earned runs and was chased after just three innings, recording only one strikeout along the way. Much of his success has come in the daytime this season as he has recorded an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, albeit with a small sample size of just two nighttime starts. My biggest concern is that Pineda averages just 5 1/3 innings and the Twins bullpen has struggled, posting a collective 5.79 ERA and 1.53 WHIP at night this season. The Minnesota 'pen has converted only six saves while blowing five here at home. Take New York (9*). |
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06-08-21 | Mariners +107 v. Tigers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
MLB A.L. Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle over Detroit at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. The Mariners have quietly started hitting lately, scoring five runs or more in five of their last seven games entering Tuesday's series-opener against the Tigers. They'll have a good opportunity to keep it rolling at the plate as they faced Tigers struggling starter Matt Boyd on Tuesday. Boyd has posted an 8.59 ERA and 1.84 WHIP over his last three starts. While he does still own solid numbers here at home, the Tigers have actually only managed to win two of his six starts at Comerica Park. With Boyd averaging less than five innings per start over his last three outings that means we'll likely see plenty of the Tigers bullpen that has posted a collective 5.63 ERA and 1.60 WHIP at night this season. Marco Gonzales gets the start for the Mariners - his second since returning from the injured list. He didn't really get stretched too far in his first start back, allowing just one earned run in four innings against the A's last week. Now he's had six days off since that outing and should be able to work a little deeper into this contest. Gonzales' overall numbers are skewed by a couple of bad starts to open the campaign. He checks in having allowed just six earned runs over his last four starts, spanning 22 innings of work. While the Mariners bullpen hasn't been great this season, I'm not convinced the light-hitting Tigers can take advantage. Seattle relievers have posted a collective 4.65 ERA at night this season but a positive correction should be in order as they've actually recorded a solid 1.28 WHIP under the lights. Take Seattle (10*). |
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06-08-21 | Rockies v. Marlins -175 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Colorado at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday. These two teams appear headed in opposite directions right now with the Rockies having won four of their last six games while the Marlins have dropped nine of their last 10 overall. I'll take a flyer on the Fish here, however, as they're set up well against a Colorado club that has gone a miserable 4-22 on the road this season. Antonio Senzatela will take the ball for the Rockies. He has struggled in three road starts this season, posting a 7.14 ERA and 2.03 WHIP with the Rockies losing all three of those outings. With Senzatela averaging less than four innings per start on the road we should see plenty of the Rockies bullpen, which has recorded a 4.56 ERA and 1.49 WHIP while blowing three saves and converting only two this season. We played the 'over' in Pablo Lopez's last start, cashing that ticket with relative ease as he struggled on the road against the Blue Jays. Lopez has shown a strong home-road dichotomy this season. Here at home he has posted an incredible 0.98 ERA and 0.87 WHIP and we're not talking about a very small sample size as he's made six starts here, spanning 36 2/3 innings. With Lopez averaging over six innings per start at home we might not need a whole lot of help from the Marlins bullpen but it's worth noting that they've posted a collective 3.20 ERA and 1.07 WHIP here at home this season. Take Miami (10*). |
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06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
N.L. East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'm anticipating a relatively high-scoring affair as the Braves and Phillies renew their rivalry in Philadelphia on Tuesday night. Drew Smyly will take the ball for Atlanta. To say he's been awful lately would be an understatement as he has posted a 7.47 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his last three outings. Of course, that's about par for the course for Smyly in nighttime starts this season, when he has recorded a 7.05 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, with the 'over' cashing at a 5-1 clip in his six outings. Now he faces a Phillies lineup that will be getting a second look at him this season after they tagged him for five earned runs in five innings in a wild 7-6 Sunday night victory earlier this season. Behind Smyly is a Braves bullpen that has posted a collective 5.19 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season. Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He's been terrific at home this season but much of his success has been in the daytime. In eight night starts this season he has recorded a 4.84 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. The biggest issue here is that the Braves will be seeing Nola for the third time this season. In their second look at him they chased him after he allowed five earned runs in four innings. Nola has failed to last more than five innings in three of his last five outings and that means we should see plenty of a Phillies bullpen that has recorded a 4.81 ERA and 1.35 WHIP at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-07-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Monday. We saw a low-scoring game involving the Royals yesterday as they fell by a 2-1 score in the finale of a four-game set against the Twins. Prior to that the 'over' had gone 7-0-2 over their last nine contests. I expect a return to form here as they head to Anaheim to take on the Angeles. Jackson Kowar will make his highly-anticipated debut for Kansas City on Monday. Of course, in today's MLB it's unlikely we'll see the Royals stretch out one of their top prospects too much in his first big league start. That likely leaves plenty of work for a Kansas City bullpen that owns a collective 4.64 ERA and 1.49 WHIP at night this season. Keep in mind, the Angels have been a much better offensive team here at home, where they average nearly 5.5 runs per game this season. Dylan Bundy will counter for Los Angeles. The wheels have fallen off for Bundy following a strong start to the season and he's likely to struggle again here as the Royals get their second look at him this season. Bundy has posted an awful 7.94 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home this season. He's been hit hard in four nighttime starts as well, recording a 6.75 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. With Bundy averaging just 4.5 innings per start here at home we should see plenty of the Angels bullpen that got lit up yesterday after entering the game sporting a collective 4.82 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with six blown saves compared to seven converted here at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-06-21 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
A.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Chicago at 2:10 pm et on Sunday. I'll call for a high-scoring game at Guaranteed Rate Field on Sunday afternoon. The White Sox will be getting their second look at Tigers right-hander Jose Urena this season. He did last seven innings in a 5-2 victory against them back in late April but it's not as if he was dominant. Urena gave up seven hits, walked three and struck out only two over those seven frames. Note that he owns a 5.34 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six daytime starts this season. Likewise, the Tigers 'pen has struggled in daytime appearances, recording a collective 4.90 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Worse still, the Detroit bullpen entered yesterday's action sporting a 6.46 ERA and 1.66 WHIP on the road this season. Dylan Cease will counter for Chicago. The Tigers will be seeing him for the fourth time since last August. Cease has posted an ERA near eight to go along with a 1.76 WHIP over his last three outings. He also owns a less than impressive 1.60 WHIP in four daytime starts this season. The White Sox bullpen has posted a collective 4.59 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in day games this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-05-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees -120 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
MLB on FOX Game of the Month. My selection is on New York over Boston at 7:15 pm et on Saturday. The Red Sox took the opener of this series last night but I like the Yankees to answer back on Saturday in the Bronx. Eduardo Rodriguez will get the call for Boston. He's been downright awful on the road this season, posting a 6.42 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. Over his last three outings he has recorded a dreadful 9.88 ERA and 2.12 WHIP. Behind Rodriguez is a Red Sox bullpen that has recorded a collective 4.32 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road this season, with that WHIP climbing to 2.02 over their last seven games entering last night's action. Jameson Taillon will counter for New York. He hasn't been particularly sharp this season but has been at his best here at home where he owns a 2.90 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The Yankees bullpen has been terrific this season, posting a collective 2.84 ERA and 1.14 WHIP at home (entering last night's contest). In night games, Yankees relievers have been even better, with a 1.98 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Take New York (10*). |
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06-05-21 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Baltimore at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. This one sets up well as a low-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon at Camden Yards. Aaron Civale will take the ball for the Indians. He's been solid in six road starts this season, posting a 3.35 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Note that he'll have the advantage of facing the Orioles for the first time in his career on Saturday. Behind Civale is a bullpen that has recorded a collective 2.52 ERA and 1.22 WHIP on the road this season converting 11 saves compared to just one blown save. IN day games, they've been even better, posting a 1.89 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. John Means will counter for Baltimore. Means of course threw a no-hitter in Seattle earlier this season. He owns a sparkling 1.60 ERA and 0.64 WHIP in six daytime starts this season. He has faced the Indians twice in his career, allowing just three earned runs in 10 innings, however they haven't got a look at him since the 2019 season. Behind Means is an Orioles bullpen that has been at its best in the daytime, recording a collective 3.69 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Take the under (10*). |
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06-05-21 | Nationals +1.5 v. Phillies | 2-5 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington +1.5 runs over Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. The Nats' are a small underdog (at the time of writing) on Saturday, allowing us to grab the insurance run in a spot where I believe they have an edge. Joe Ross will get the start for Washington. While he's struggled for the most part this season, day games haven't been an issue as he's posted a 1.75 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in five afternoon outings. Ross averages less than five innings per start but behind him is a Nationals bullpen that has also fared very well in day games, recording a collective 2.49 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with four converted saves compared to just one blown. Spencer Howard will counter for Philadelphia. He has made just two starts this season and has yet to work beyond the fourth inning. Note that the Nationals will be getting their second look at Howard since last August. We're likely to see plenty of the Phillies 'pen on this day, and that relief corps has struggled here at home this season, posting a 5.14 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Take Washington +1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-04-21 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
N.L. Central Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and St. Louis at 8:15 pm et on Friday. This one sets up nicely as a high-scoring affair after last night's low-scoring 4-2 Reds victory in the series-opener. Luis Castillo will somewhat inexplicably get another turn in the Reds rotation despite his massive struggles this season. Castillo has posted an 8.73 ERA and 1.81 WHIP on the road this season lasting less than five innings per start. The Cards have already seen him twice this season, lighting him up to the tune of 12 earned runs on 14 hits in just 8 1/3 innings. Behind Castillo is a dreadful Reds bullpen that entered last night's game sporting a collective 8.28 ERA and 1.88 WHIP on the road this season. Kwang-Hyun Kim will counter for St. Louis. He's labored through his last three starts, posting a 5.14 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. He has actually pitched quite well at home, however, and those last three outings came on the road. But here's my concern; Kim averages just under 4 2/3 innings per start this season. The Cardinals bullpen has not been good, entering last night's game with a 6.21 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over their last seven contests. They own a 5.11 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at night this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Friday. This is one of the highest totals on Friday's MLB board but it's high for a reason (a number of reasons actually). Last night's series opener was of the high-scoring variety as the Royals prevailed by a 6-5 score. I'm anticipating more of the same here. Matt Shoemaker will get the nod for the visiting Twins. He's not set up well here as he faces the Royals for the third time this season, having had very little success against them, allowing 13 earned runs on 14 hits over just 7 2/3 innings. Shoemaker has pitched better on the road than he has at home this season but that's not really saying much. The 'over' has still gone a perfect 3-0 in his three road outings. Behind Shoemaker is a Twins bullpen that has posted a collective 5.79 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at night this season. On the road, Twins relievers have recorded a 5.16 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, converting just six of 10 save opportunities. Brad Keller will counter for Kansas City. He'll be facing the Twins for the third time this season as well. He hasn't struggled quite as badly as Shoemaker but has still been hit hard, allowing five earned runs on 11 hits over 9 1/3 innings. He's been dreadful in five home starts this season, recording an 8.10 ERA and 1.85 WHIP, with the 'over' cashing in three of those five outings. The Royals bullpen has pitched well lately but still owns a less than impressive 4.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP while converting only seven of 12 save opportunities here at home this season. Take the over (9*). |
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06-04-21 | Dodgers v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday. This matchup obviously features plenty of big bats and I expect Friday's series-opener to play out accordingly in spite of the solid starting pitching matchup. Julio Urias will take the ball for the Dodgers. It's worth noting that while his overall numbers are terrific, he has posted a less than impressive 4.58 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over his last three starts. He has also recorded a 4.33 ERA in six nighttime starts. His road numbers are admittedly terrific, however, much of his success away from home came early in the season when he faced the Rockies, Mariners and Brewers - three light-hitting teams - in his first three road starts. It is worth pointing out that his last three road starts have totaled 20, 11 and 16 runs. The Braves did get a chance to see Urias for the first time last October in a start where he lasted just five innings. Behind Urias is a Dodgers bullpen that has posted a collective 4.80 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road this season, with an equal number of saves and blown saves (7). Meanwhile, Ian Anderson will start for Atlanta. Like Urias, his overall numbers are terrific. However, I am a a little concerned that he's facing the Dodgers for the third time since last October (he started twice in their playoff series last year). Note that Los Angeles gave him some trouble, collecting six hits and two earned runs to go along with seven walks, with Anderson working only seven innings total in those two starts. With Anderson averaging less than six innings per start this season we should see plenty of an Atlanta bullpen that entered yesterday's action having posted a collective 4.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP with six blown saves compared to only four successfully converted at home this season. Note that Braves relievers have recorded a 4.68 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 132 2/3 innings logged at night this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-04-21 | Astros v. Blue Jays -120 | Top | 13-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto over Houston at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the Blue Jays at a short price with their ace on the hill on Friday night as they look to take the first step in avenging a series loss in Houston suffered earlier this season. Toronto is of course seeing the ball exceptionally well right now, hitting .302 as a team over its last seven games. Here it will face veteran right-hander Zack Greinke, who has admittedly been at his best on the road this season where he owns a 1.64 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in five starts this season. However, the Jays will be getting their second look at him in less than a month and did have plenty of success the last time they faced him on May 9th, knocking him out of the game after four innings after he gave up four earned runs on nine hits. Greinke will also be making his second straight start on just four days of rest. Note that working behind Greinke is an Astros bullpen that has posted a 4.89 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season, blowing seven saves compared to only four converted. Hyun-Jin ryu gets the start for the Jays. He's struggled a bit in his last two starts but should bounce back nicely here. He owns a 2.05 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in five night starts this season. While I say he's struggled in his last couple of outings, that's relatively speaking. He's actually still posted a 1.93 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his last three starts, giving up four earned runs in 11 2/3 innings over his last two trips to the hill. Oddly enough, Ryu will be making his first career start against the Astros. The Toronto bullpen has been phenomenal of late, posting a collective 1.72 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings of work over their last seven games. While their home numbers leave a lot to be desired, it's worth noting that the Jays shifted to Sahlen Field in Buffalo for their home games earlier this week. In two games here, they've allowed just one earned run in 8 2/3 innings. I mentioned the Astros won a series against Toronto at home earlier this season. Note that Houston checks in just 11-12 on the road this season. Take Toronto (10*). |
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06-03-21 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 6-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles over Seattle at 9:35 pm et on Thursday. The Angels return home after finishing their road trip on a positive note with three wins in their final four games, including an 8-1 rout of the Giants two nights ago. Meanwhile, the Mariners hit the road after a disappointing series loss at home against the A's, dropping their last two contests. Note that Seattle is 11-15 on the road this season where it averages only 3.8 runs per game. At first glance this may look like an opportunity to bust out offensively as Angels starter Griffin Canning owns poor overall numbers this season. However, a closer look shows that he has pitched well in four of his last five starts and has been terrific in four nighttime outings this season, recording a 2.82 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with the Angels winning three of those games. The less said about the Angels bullpen the better as they've struggled for the most part this season but I do think Canning can work fairly deep into this game as he has gone at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts. Justus Sheffield will counter for Seattle. He's been terrible in four road starts this season, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP with the Mariners winning just one of those games. At night he owns a 5.62 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. Note that the Angels are averaging an impressive 5.5 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Like the Angels 'pen, the Mariners relief corps has also struggled, posting a collective 5.33 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over their last seven games entering yesterday's contest. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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06-03-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -199 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
MLB Big Chalk Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago over Detroit at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. The White Sox had their series finale in Cleveland rained out yesterday, preventing them the opportunity to go for a 2-2 series split. I do look for them to bounce back from consecutive losses here as they open a series with the suddenly surging Tigers. Detroit has won five of its last seven games overall. Despite a 10-run explosion against the Brewers last time out, the Tigers are still averaging just 4.6 runs per game over their last seven contests, however. Casey Mize will get the start for Detroit on Thursday. While he's been solid this season, it's interesting to note that he owns a 4.33 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in five starts against division opponents with the Tigers winning just two of those games. That includes a 3-1 loss to the White Sox. Note that Chicago will be getting its fourth look at Mize since last August and it has had some success against him, scoring eight earned runs in 15 2/3 innings, going a perfect 3-0 along the way. While the Tigers bullpen has been terrific lately, it still owns a 6.22 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season where it has recorded just five saves compared to four blown saves. Veteran Lance Lynn will counter for Chicago. He's off to a tremendous start this season having gone 6-1 with a 1.37 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. He's certainly comfortable pitching here in Chicago where he has gone 5-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Behind Lynn is a White Sox bullpen that has posted a collective 0.50 ERA and 0.39 WHIP over the last seven games and owns a solid 3.22 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season. Take Chicago (10*). |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday. Even extra innings couldn't get the final score even close to the total in last night's series-opener between these two teams at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Here, I don't expect the same problem. Jordan Lyles will take the ball for Texas. He has been downright awful in nighttime starts this season, posting a 6.55 ERA and 1.57 WHIP with the 'over' cashing at a 4-3 clip. Given he's averaging just a shade over five innings per start this season that spells trouble as the Rangers bullpen has been terrible on the road this season, entering last night's action sporting a collective 5.50 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Antonio Senzatela will counter for Colorado. He owns a 4.35 ERA and 1.30 WHIP at home this season and a 6.91 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in nighttime starts. Like Lyles, he has struggled to work deep into games meaning we should see plenty from a Rockies bullpen that has posted a 6.07 ERA and 1.61 WHIP with five blown saves at home this season (entering last night's contest). Take the over (10*). |
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06-02-21 | Marlins v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a low-scoring game as the Blue Jays returned to Sahlen Field in Buffalo and delivered a 5-1 victory over the Marlins last night. Here, I look for a different story to unfold. The Marlins will hand the ball to Pablo Lopez. While he's been terrific at home this season, he's been awful on the road, posting a 5.13 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 26 1/3 innings of work. Of course, the Blue Jays are fully capable of teeing off on him here on Wednesday. Alek Manoah will counter for Toronto. He tossed six quality innings of shutout ball at Yankee Stadium in his big league debut last week. Perhaps we see a bit of a letdown off that adrenaline-fueled performance here, however. Note that behind Manoah is a Jays bullpen that entered last night's game having posted a collective 4.19 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over their last seven games. With the Marlins once again getting healthier I do think they're a strong candidate for a breakout offensive performance following a down stretch. Take the over (10*). |
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06-02-21 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Arizona at 3:40 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a relatively high-scoring affair between these two teams last night, albeit aided by extra innings, as the D'Backs prevailed by a 6-5 score. I'm anticipating more of the same on Wednesday as the Mets send David Peterson to the hill against D'Backs veteran Madison Bumgarner. Peterson has struggled on the road this season, posting a 5.55 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. To make matters worse, the D'Backs will be getting their second look at the left-hander after chasing him after just 1 2/3 innings in an eventual 5-4 win back on May 7th. With Peterson averaging less than five innings per start this season we're likely to see plenty of a Mets bullpen that just hasn't been the same on the road this season, posting a collective 4.78 ERA and 1.44 WHIP before giving up another two earned runs in 3 1/3 innings last night. Bumgarner got off to a fine start for the D'Backs this season but the wheels have come off lately as he has posted an 8.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over his last three outings. He owns a 5.66 ERA and 1.36 WHIP here at home this season and like Peterson, hasn't shown the ability to work deep into games, averaging just over five innings per start. The Arizona 'pen has recorded a collective 5.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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06-01-21 | Angels v. Giants OVER 6.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a relatively low-scoring game between these two teams yesterday as the Giants pulled away late for a 6-1 victory. Of course that result would actually be enough to get Tuesday's game 'over' the very low posted total. I believe it will prove to be too low. Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Angels. We won with the 'over' in his most recent outing against the Rangers. He has posted an inflated 7.71 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over his last three starts and has seen the 'over' cash at an 8-1 clip in his nine starts to date this season. Given the fact that he averages just five innings per start we're likely to see plenty from the Angels bullpen in this one. They have posted a collective 4.72 ERA and 1.39 WHIP on the road this season (entering yesterday's action). They gave up another two earned runs in 2 1/3 innings in yesterday's loss. Left-hander Alex Wood will take the ball for the Giants. While he has been solid overall this season I will point out that the Angels are averaging 5.3 runs per game against southpaw starters this season with those games totaling an average of 11.2 runs. Wood's home numbers do jump off the page but just one reason for caution (and why my play on the Giants is of the 8* variety), three of his four home outings have come against the Marlins, Rockies and Rangers - three subpar offensive clubs, particularly on the road. We likely won't need much from the Angels offense to help this one 'over' the low total. Take the over (10*). |
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06-01-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the 'over' in this matchup last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here on Tuesday. William Crowe will get another turn in the rotation for the Buccos. He's been generally awful this season but particularly bad in three nighttime starts in which he has posted a 7.94 ERA and 2.12 WHIP. Crowe is averaging just over four innings per start which means we'll likely see plenty from a Pirates bullpen that has posted a collective 4.59 ERA and 1.40 WHIP on the road this season (entering last night's action). Brady Singer gets the start for the Royals and he hasn't been much better than Crowe. Singer has posted a 6.46 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over his last three starts and checks in sporting a 4.84 ERA and 1.57 WHIP at night. Like Crowe, he generally doesn't work deep into ball games, averaging fewer than five innings per start. The Royals bullpen has been fairly solid lately but still entered last night's action sporting a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP here at home this season and a 4.88 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at night. Take the over (10*). |
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06-01-21 | Rays v. Yankees +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York +1.5 runs over Tampa Bay at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is a classic case of two teams heading in opposite directions but I look for the Yankees to potentially turn the tide on Tuesday night in the Bronx. Tyler Glasnow gets the start for New York. The Yanks will be getting their second look at him this season after chasing him from a start here in New York after only five innings back in mid-April. In fact, Glasnow has failed to work beyond the fifth inning in any of his last three starts against the Yankees and has only managed to last six innings against them once in eight career starts. That could be key here tonight as the Rays bullpen has been average at best on the road this season, posting a collective 4.31 ERA and 1.32 WHIP (entering yesterday's action). Domingo German will counter for New York. He has also struggled to work deep into ball games against the Rays although he did go six solid innings in a 6-2 win in his most recent start against them here at home. Note that German has been pitching well, having recorded a 1.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over his last three starts. He also owns a 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP not to mention a perfect 4-0 team record in four nighttime starts this season. Behind German is a terrific Yankees bullpen that has posted a collective 2.96 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home this season (entering yesterday's game). Take New York +1.5 runs (10*). |
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06-01-21 | Twins v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
A.L. Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. We saw a low-scoring game between these two teams yesterday as the Twins prevailed 3-2 in extra innings. I'm expecting a different story to unfold on Tuesday, however. Michael Pineda will get the call for the Twins. He was sharp against the Orioles in his most recent start last week and his overall numbers are solid this season. With that being said, he's certainly prone to giving up the long ball, having been tagged for nine home runs in eight starts this season, including seven in his last five starts. Now he pitches at hitter-friendly Camden Yards. His recent numbers against the O's are positive but he hasn't faced them here in Baltimore since 2016. In six career starts at Camden Yards he has been tagged for 20 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings. Working behind Pineda is a Twins bullpen that owns a collective 5.40 ERA and 1.53 WHIP (entering yesterday's action) on the road this season. Bruce Zimmermann remains in the Orioles rotation only because they have no better options right now. To say that he's struggled would be an understatement. He owns a 5.52 ERA and 1.84 WHIP here at home and like Pineda, has had a tough time keeping the ball in the park, allowing home runs in four straight and eight of nine career big league starts. Note that he'll be facing a Twins club that actually produces better on the road, where it averages north of five runs per game this season. With Zimmermann unlikely to work deep into this game that means we should see plenty from the O's down-trodden bullpen, which entered yesterday's game having posted an 8.31 ERA and 1.90 WHIP over its last seven games. Take the over (10*). |
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05-31-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Pittsburgh and Kansas City at 8:10 pm et on Monday. Chad Kuhl - one of the most hittable starters in all of baseball in early April - returns to the Pirates rotation following a stint on the I.L. and I look for him to struggle against a Royals club that lit him up last September. In that start in the latter stages of last season, Kuhl allowed a whopping nine earned runs in just 2 1/3 innings of work. Before hitting the injured list this season, Kuhl had posted a 6.32 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in four starts spanning 15 2/3 innings of work. While the Pirates bullpen has pitched well lately, most of that success came during a six-game homestand. The Buccos 'pen has posted a less than impressive 4.63 ERA on the road this season, not to mention a 4.59 ERA and 1.40 WHIP under the lights. Mike Minor will counter for Kansas City. The Pirates will be getting their second look at the left-hander this season after knocking him around for four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in a wild 9-6 Royals victory back on April 28th. Note that Minor has been at his worst at home this season where he has recorded a 6.43 ERA and 1.25 WHIP with the 'over' cashing at a 4-1 clip in his five starts. Likewise, the Royals 'pen has struggled at home this season to the tune of a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP with four blown saves along the way. Take the over (10*). |
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05-31-21 | Angels v. Giants -130 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Interleague Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco over Los Angeles at 4:05 pm et on Monday. The Giants are rolling right now and remain one of the most undervalued teams in baseball. While a letdown looks like it could be in order off a huge series sweep of the rival Dodgers in Los Angeles, I don't see it in this spot. The Angels are coming off consecutive wins of their own over a division rival in Oakland. That only salvaged a four-game series split with the A's - a series in which they scored a grand total of only nine runs. L.A. checks in just 11-15 on the road this season where it averages less than four runs per game. Meanwhile, San Francisco has posted a solid 14-7 home record, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. The starting pitching matchup is virtually a wash here with Dylan Bundy facing Johnny Cueto. I will point out, however, that Cueto has been at his best at home and in daytime starts this season, recording a 3.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP here in San Fran while posting a 2.82 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in daytime outings. After a strong start to the season, the wheels have come off for Bundy as he has been tagged for 17 earned runs in just 9 2/3 innings of work over his last three starts. The Angels have lost six of his last eight starts overall. Where the Giants own a big advantage here is in the bullpen and that's notable as both Bundy and Cueto average just a shade over five innings per start this season. Note that the Giants 'pen has posted a collective 2.96 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at home this season. Take San Francisco (10*). |
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05-31-21 | Rays v. Yankees -102 | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York over Tampa Bay at 1:05 pm et on Monday. I realize that the Yankees don't inspire a lot of confidence right now but I'm willing to back them at a discounted price as they look to bounce back from a surprising series sweep in Detroit. Jameson Taillon will take the ball for New York. While his overall numbers are poor, he's actually been pretty sharp here at home where he has posted a 2.42 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 26 innings of work this season. He also owns a solid 3.21 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in daytime starts. The Rays hit him hard in a start earlier this month but that came in St. Petersburg (we won with the Rays in that game). Rich Hill will counter for Tampa Bay. Here, the Yanks will be getting their third look at the veteran left-hander this season. He struck out a season-high 13 and worked eight innings last time out but the Rays still came up short in a 2-1 loss to the Royals. Note that Hill owns a 4.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP on the road this season. While he did work deep into the game in his last start, he actually averages just north of five innings per start this season. Behind Hill is a Rays bullpen that owns a collective 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP on the road this season. In contrast, the Yankees 'pen has posted a 2.96 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home. Take New York (9*). |
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05-30-21 | Angels v. A's -145 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
MLB A.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland over Los Angeles at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Angels got the better of the A's in yesterday's ball game, securing a 4-0 victory to avoid a potential four-game sweep in this series. I look for Oakland to answer back with a win of its own on Sunday afternoon. Down-trodden Jose Quintana will take the ball for Los Angeles. To say that he has struggled this season would be an understatement. With a 7.93 ERA and 1.92 WHIP you have to wonder how many more starts the Angels can afford to give the veteran right-hander. Things have been even worse for Quintana on the road, where he owns a gaudy 12.54 ERA and 2.36 WHIP, albeit with a relatively small sample size of three starts spanning just 9 1/3 innings. But that's part of the concern here; Quintana is averaging less than four innings per start this season. That opens the door for an Angels bullpen that entered yesterday's action sporting a 5.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the road this season. Cole Irvin will counter for Oakland. The A's have dropped each of his last four starts although it's worth noting that three of those losses came by a single run. Irvin's overall numbers aren't great this season but most of his struggles have come against the Astros (in three starts against them he's been tagged for 13 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. Note that Irvin has held his own in five daytime starts, recording a solid 1.21 WHIP. The A's bullpen hasn't been great lately, entering yesterday's action sporting a 4.50 ERA over their last seven games but that doesn't tell the whole story as they actually recorded a terrific 1.06 WHIP over that stretch. Oakland's 'pen was sharp yesterday, tossing 3 1/3 innings of three-hit, shutout ball. Take Oakland (10*). |
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05-29-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Saturday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in this matchup last night as Jordan Lyles and Justus Sheffield surprisingly pitched well and the bullpens took care of the rest in a 3-2 Mariners victory. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, however. Mike Foltynewicz will take the ball for Texas on Saturday. The Mariners will be getting their second look at the veteran right-hander this season after collecting six hits and four earned runs against him in 6 2/3 innings in a 5-4 loss back on May 7th. He has struggled to the tune of a 6.31 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in five nighttime starts this season, averaging just a shade over five innings per start. That spells trouble with a Rangers bullpen that entered last night's game having posted a collective 5.76 ERA and 1.61 WHIP on the road this season likely to get extended work here. Justin Dunn counters for Seattle. He has been pitching reasonably well lately after an inconsistent start to the season. However, the Rangers did see him three times last season and should improve on their numbers against him here, noting that Dunn is in line for some regression here at home where he's managed to record a solid 3.45 ERA but a less than impressive 1.47 WHIP. Dunn is averaging only five innings per start this season so like the Rangers, the Mariners will likely be forced to employ their bullpen for a number of innings here, and that 'pen entered last night's game having posted a collective 6.00 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over their last seven games. Take the over (10*). |
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05-29-21 | Yankees -133 v. Tigers | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -133 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
American League Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on New York over Detroit at 4:10 pm et on Saturday. The Tigers got past the Yankees in extra innings last night but I look for the Bronx Bombers to answer back with a victory of their own on Saturday afternoon. Deivi Garcia will take the ball for the Yanks. He's made just one spot start this season and allowed two earned runs over four innings in a 4-2 loss to the Orioles (back on April 26th). So you can understand why the Yankees are such a short favorite against the lowly Tigers here. However, I believe Garcia will have a short leash again in this one and behind him is a terrific Yankees bullpen that entered last night's action having posted a 2.69 ERA and 0.95 WHIP on the road this season. Note that the Tigers check in 14-22 against right-handed starting pitching this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Spencer Turnbull gets the start for the Tigers. He's obviously been terrific on the whole this season, including a no-hitter in Seattle two starts back. With that being said, the Yanks will be getting their second look at Turnbull this month after knocking him around for four earned runs over five innings back on May 1st. Turnbull managed only one strikeout in that start so he wasn't really fooling anyone. Behind Turnbull is a Tigers 'pen that has held up well lately but owns a 5.35 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 79 innings pitched in the daytime this season. Take New York (10*). |
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05-29-21 | Angels v. A's OVER 8 | 4-0 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. We've already cashed a couple of daytime 'overs' here in Oakland this season and we'll go back to the well for another similar setup here. Alex Cobb will take the ball for the Angels. He's pitched well over his last two starts but both of those came at home. It's been a different story on the road where he has posted an 8.70 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in three starts this season. Of course, working behind Cobb is a horrible Angels bullpen that entered last night's game sporting a 6.66 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over their last seven contests. Frankie Montas will get the start for the A's. He's had an up and down start to the season. Here at home, though, it's been mostly down as Montas has recorded a 6.17 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 35 innings of work. The Angels will be getting their third look at Montas since the start of last season, chasing him before the end of the fifth inning in the two previous games. The A's bullpen has held up well so far in this series, but entered last night's action with a collective 4.67 ERA and 1.34 WHIP here at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-28-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Texas and Seattle at 10:10 pm et on Friday. We saw a relatively low-scoring affair in the opener of this series last night as the Mariners cruised to a 5-0 victory. I expect a different story to unfold on Friday, however. Jordan Lyles will take the ball for Texas. The Mariners will be getting their fourth look at the veteran right-hander since last August and they've teed off on him so far, to the tune of 16 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. While Lyles has pitched reasonably well over his last few starts he still checks in sporting an inflated 6.99 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in night starts this season, averaging less than five innings per start. That spells trouble considering the Rangers bullpen has been a mess, entering last night's action with a collective 5.72 ERA and 1.59 WHIP on the road this season. They proceeded to allow three earned runs on five hits over four innings in last night's game. Justus Sheffield will counter for Seattle. Like the Mariners with Lyles, the Rangers will be seeing Sheffield for the fourth time since last August. They've already faced him once this season, scoring five earned runs on 10 hits over five innings in a 10-2 victory on May 9th. Sheffield has really struggled lately, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over his last three starts with the 'over' cashing in all three of those. Like Lyles, he has also struggled at night, recording a 6.00 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 27 innings. Prior to last night's contest, the Mariners bullpen had posted a collective 6.03 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over their last seven games. Expect plenty of offense on the board tonight. Take the over (10*). |
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05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Chicago at 8:10 pm et on Thursday. I'm expecting plenty of offense as the Orioles and White Sox open their four-game series in Chicago on Thursday night. Bruce Zimmermann will inexplicably get another turn in the rotation for the O's. He's been awful this season and at his absolute worst on the road where he has posted a 6.87 ERA and 1.64 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in three of his four starts. The White Sox success at the plate against left-handed starting pitching has been well-documented. They're 10-3 against lefties this season, averaging a whopping 7.8 runs per game and hitting .292 as a team. With Zimmermann unlikely to work deep into this game (he averages less than five innings per start), that opens the door for a struggling Orioles bullpen that entered yesterday's action having posted a collective 9.52 ERA and 2.38 WHIP over their last seven games. Dylan Cease will counter for Chicago. He's coming off a rocky outing - albeit a tough one - on the road against the Yankees last Sunday. Cease has now failed to last six innings in any of his last three starts. He's averaging five innings per start this season. Behind him is a White Sox 'pen that has also struggled, posting a collective 4.34 ERA and 1.82 WHIP over their last seven games before giving up three more late runs in a 4-0 loss to the Cardinals yesterday. Chicago has five blown saves at home this season. Take the over (10*). |
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05-27-21 | Padres -120 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
MLB National League Game of the Month. My selection is on San Diego over Milwaukee at 1:10 pm et on Thursday. The Padres have bounced back with consecutive wins in this series after dropping Monday's opener and I look for them to wrap up the four-game set with another victory on Thursday afternoon. Ryan Weathers takes the ball for San Diego. He's not going to work deep into the game but that's just fine as the Padres bullpen has been lights out. They entered last night's contest having posted a collective 0.73 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to toss four shutout innings in a 2-1 extra innings victory. For Weathers' part, he has made two road starts, not allowing a single earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. The Brewers don't hit left-handers well, having gone 3-6 while averaging just 2.8 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. The Padres will be getting their second look at Brewers starter Adrian Houser this season. He owns an inflated 5.00 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in four home starts this season with the Brewers winning just one of those. Also note that he averages less than five innings per start here at home which spells trouble as the Brewers bullpen entered last night's action having posted a collective 7.32 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over their last seven contests. Take San Diego (10*). |
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05-27-21 | Cubs -134 v. Pirates | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago over Pittsburgh at 12:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the Cubs to complete the sweep of the Pirates in Pittsburgh on Thursday afternoon. Kyle Hendricks will take the ball for Chicago. After a tough start to the season he's seemingly righted the ship over his last several outings, allowing exactly one earned run in three of his last four starts. His last two starts have come on the road where he gave up just two earned runs in 14 2/3 innings of work, lowering his road ERA to 4.42 and his WHIP to 1.47 this season. Working behind Hendricks is a Cubs bullpen that has been lights out lately. They entered last night's game having posted a 0.00 ERA (yes, you read that right) and 0.81 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to shut the Pirates out over three scoreless frames in last night's 4-1 victory. In a bit of an odd scheduling quirk, the Cubs will be getting their fourth look at Pirates left-handed starter Tyler Anderson on Thursday afternoon. Note that they've gone 11-3, hitting .288 as a team and averaging over six runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Anderson owns an ugly 7.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over his last three outings. He's averaging 5 2/3 innings per start this season, which opens the door for a Pirates bullpen that has been dreadful lately, posting a collective 5.33 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over their last seven games entering last night's contest. They were extended last night thanks to a very brief outing from starter Will Crowe, allowing one earned run over 7 2/3 innings. Take Chicago (9*). |
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05-27-21 | Phillies v. Marlins -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami over Philadelphia at 12:10 pm et on Thursday. The Marlins rallied to defeat the Phillies by a 4-2 score last night, continuing a terrific run that has seen them win six of their last eight games overall. I believe they have a bigger advantage than the books are giving them credit for in Thursday's series-finale. Spencer Howard will get his second start of the season for Philadelphia. He struggled as expected in his first, lasting just three innings in an eventual 4-3 loss to the Red Sox last weekend. Howard has now made seven big league starts and has yet to work beyond the fifth inning in any of them. That spells trouble here as the Phillies bullpen entered last night's action having posted a collective 5.96 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over their last seven games and proceeded to blow last night's game allowing three earned runs with a 2-1 lead in the eighth inning. Note that the Marlins will be getting their second look at Howard after knocking him around for three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings in a game played last September. Pablo Lopez will counter for Miami. He's been lights out here at home this season, posting a 0.61 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in five starts. The Marlins have only managed to win two of those five games, but those two victories came in his last two home outings. Behind Lopez is a solid Marlins bullpen that entered last night's game having posted a 3.33 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over their last seven contests and would toss five shutout innings in last night's victory. Take Miami (10*). |
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05-26-21 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Tampa Bay at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday. We saw a very low-scoring contest between these two teams last night and I expect more of the same on Wednesday. Left-hander Mike Minor will get the start for Kansas City. He's been a different pitcher on the road compared to at home this season, posting a 3.43 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with the Royals winning all four of his road outings. Note that Minor will have the advantage of facing the Rays for the first time. They check in hitting just .200 as a team against southpaw starters this season. Behind Minor is a Royals bullpen that has really settled down lately, entering last night's action having posted a 3.05 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over their last seven games before tossing two scoreless frames in Monday's victory. Tyler Glasnow will counter for Tampa Bay. He's faced the Royals just once in his career, that start coming back in 2018. Glasnow has been lights out here at Tropicana Field this season, posting a 2.20 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 28 2/3 innings of work. He averages more than six innings per start so the Rays bullpen isn't as big of a concern but on that note, Tampa Bay relievers have been among the best in baseball this season, recording a collective 2.94 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at home this season, blowing just one save. Take the under (10*). |
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05-26-21 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
MLB Revenge Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Boston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday The Braves got the better of the Red Sox in the opener of this series last night, notching their fourth straight victory and handing Boston its second loss in a row following a four-game winning streak. That was a low-scoring contest with just four total runs scored. I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however. Drew Smyly will get the start for Atlanta. He has pitched reasonably well on the road this season, posting a 3.27 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, but his three quality road outings have come against the Nationals (twice) and Brewers - two subpar offensive clubs. In his other road start he was lit up by the Blue Jays, allowing five earned runs in just four innings in a 13-5 loss. Note that Boston checks in 10-5 against left-handed starters this season. Behind Smyly is a Braves bullpen that entered last night's action having posted a collective 4.92 ERA and 1.61 WHIP on the road this season. Nick Pivetta will counter for Boston. He's been a pleasant surprise for the Red Sox, going 5-0 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. He's been at his best here at Fenway Park where he owns a 3.17 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with the Sox winning four of his five starts. However, here he'll face a Braves team that should be quite familiar with him from his days with the N.L. East rival Phillies. Pivetta's last three starts against the Braves have resulted in 17, 11 and 10 total runs. Pivetta generally only works around five innings per start and while the Red Sox bullpen has been solid, it will face a tough challenge against a deep Braves lineup that is seeing the ball well right now. Take the over (10*). |
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Sean Murphy MLB Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-04-21 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
07-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
07-04-21 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
07-03-21 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
07-02-21 | Orioles v. Angels -170 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
07-02-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
07-02-21 | Astros v. Indians OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
07-01-21 | Giants -143 v. Diamondbacks | 3-5 | Loss | -143 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
07-01-21 | Padres v. Reds UNDER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
07-01-21 | Rangers v. A's -174 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -174 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
07-01-21 | Mariners v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
06-30-21 | Rangers v. A's -191 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
06-30-21 | Rangers v. A's OVER 8 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
06-30-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -205 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
06-30-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
06-29-21 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -164 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
06-29-21 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
06-28-21 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-14 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
06-27-21 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
06-26-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -143 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
06-25-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -160 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -160 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
06-25-21 | Mariners v. White Sox -188 | 9-3 | Loss | -188 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
06-25-21 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
06-25-21 | Nationals v. Marlins -144 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
06-24-21 | Royals v. Yankees UNDER 10 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
06-24-21 | Royals v. Yankees -179 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
06-23-21 | Blue Jays v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
06-22-21 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
06-22-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -124 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
06-21-21 | Indians v. Cubs -135 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
06-20-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
06-19-21 | Rays -134 v. Mariners | 5-6 | Loss | -134 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros -121 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
06-19-21 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
06-18-21 | White Sox v. Astros +103 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
06-18-21 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
06-18-21 | Mets v. Nationals -113 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
06-17-21 | Rays -165 v. Mariners | 5-6 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
06-17-21 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
06-17-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -191 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
06-16-21 | Angels v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
06-15-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
06-15-21 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
06-14-21 | Angels v. A's -159 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
06-14-21 | Marlins v. Cardinals -180 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
06-13-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
06-13-21 | Yankees v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
06-12-21 | Padres v. Mets +1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
06-12-21 | White Sox -162 v. Tigers | Top | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
06-11-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
06-11-21 | Royals v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
06-11-21 | Astros v. Twins OVER 11 | 6-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
06-11-21 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
06-11-21 | Giants v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
06-10-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -110 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
06-10-21 | Rockies v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | 4-11 | Win | 104 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
06-09-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -134 | 8-3 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
06-09-21 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
06-09-21 | Nationals v. Rays -156 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
06-09-21 | Diamondbacks v. A's -210 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
06-08-21 | Yankees -111 v. Twins | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
06-08-21 | Mariners +107 v. Tigers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
06-08-21 | Rockies v. Marlins -175 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
06-07-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
06-06-21 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
06-05-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees -120 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
06-05-21 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
06-05-21 | Nationals +1.5 v. Phillies | 2-5 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
06-04-21 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
06-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
06-04-21 | Dodgers v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
06-04-21 | Astros v. Blue Jays -120 | Top | 13-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
06-03-21 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 6-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
06-03-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -199 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
06-02-21 | Marlins v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
06-02-21 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
06-01-21 | Angels v. Giants OVER 6.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
06-01-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
06-01-21 | Rays v. Yankees +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
06-01-21 | Twins v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
05-31-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
05-31-21 | Angels v. Giants -130 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
05-31-21 | Rays v. Yankees -102 | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
05-30-21 | Angels v. A's -145 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
05-29-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
05-29-21 | Yankees -133 v. Tigers | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -133 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
05-29-21 | Angels v. A's OVER 8 | 4-0 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
05-28-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
05-27-21 | Padres -120 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
05-27-21 | Cubs -134 v. Pirates | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
05-27-21 | Phillies v. Marlins -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
05-26-21 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
05-26-21 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |