01-13-24 |
Georgia Tech +17.5 v. Duke |
Top |
79-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Duke. The Yellow Jackets already defeated Duke earlier this season, as they upset the Blue Devils, 72-68, back on December 2. We'll take the Yellow Jackets as a big underdog as Duke is a soft 7-18 ATS when playing with revenge vs. conference foes, and favored by more than 13 points. Take Georgia Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-13-24 |
Browns v. Texans +3 |
Top |
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Cleveland. The Texans punched a spot into the Playoffs with a road win at Indianapolis, while Cleveland rested many of its players, and mailed in its game at Cincy last week, with a 31-14 loss. These two teams met here, in Houston, three weeks ago, and the Browns were victorious, 36-22. We'll take Houston to avenge that loss, as revenge-minded NFL home teams have cashed 69% in the Playoffs if the two teams recently met within the three previous games. Even better: the Browns are a wallet-breaking 0-12 ATS off a SU/ATS loss if it defeated its opponent earlier in the season. Grab the points with Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-13-24 |
Appalachian State +6 v. James Madison |
Top |
59-55 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over James Madison. The Dukes are a wallet-busting 64-95-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including 44-83-1 ATS if they weren't favored by 7+ points. Take the Mountaineers.
|
01-13-24 |
CS-Fullerton +4.5 v. CS-Northridge |
Top |
71-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Fullerton Titans + the points over Cal State Northridge. We played against the Matadors on Thursday and got the $$$ with Cal Davis, as the Aggies ended Northridge's 7-game win streak. We'll go against the Matadors again this afternoon, as they're 23-42 ATS at home off a double-digit loss. Take Fullerton.
|
01-13-24 |
Kentucky v. Texas A&M -2.5 |
Top |
92-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Kentucky. The Aggies have dropped their last two games SU, and have failed to cover the spread in four straight. We'll take the Aggies to bounce back tonight, as SEC Conference teams off back to back losses have gone 100-61-5 ATS when favored over a conference foe with a winning conference record. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-13-24 |
Oakland v. IUPU-Indianapolis +13.5 |
Top |
88-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland. The Jaguars are currently riding a 4-game losing streak following their 10-point home loss to Green Bay. We'll take IUPUI + the points, as they're 16-6-1 ATS as a double-digit conference underdog, while Oakland is a horrid 6-14 ATS as a double-digit conference favorite. Take IUPUI.
|
01-13-24 |
Bradley v. Illinois-Chicago +4 |
Top |
77-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Illinois-Chicago Flames + the points over Bradley. The Flames have lost their last 5 games to the spread, while Bradley is 4-0-1 ATS its last five, and has won its last 5 straight-up. We'll take Illinois-Chicago to snap its ATS losing streak, as .316 (or better) Missouri Valley Conference teams have cashed 60.1% when they were on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win. Take Illinois-Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-13-24 |
Vanderbilt +10.5 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
56-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Mississippi. The Commodores have been installed as a big underdog this afternoon vs. the Rebels. We'll grab the points, as Vandy is an awesome 34-12-1 ATS away from home when not favored by 8+ points (and 16-3-1 ATS if it was getting 8+ points). Even better: Ole Miss is a miserable 4-14 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including 1-8 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss. Take Vanderbilt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-13-24 |
Morehead State v. SIU-Edwardsville +5.5 |
Top |
48-61 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars + the points over Morehead State. The Eagles have covered nine straight games. We'll fade Morehead at Edwardsville, as NCAA teams have covered just 43.1% away from home, when they were on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, and their opponent wasn't off an ATS win. Take SIU-Edwardsville.
|
01-12-24 |
Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 |
Top |
113-125 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over New Orleans. The Nuggets will look to rebound off a miserable game two nights ago in Salt Lake City. Denver was a 7-point road favorite, but was wiped out, 124-111, by the Jazz. Denver is 35-22 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss. And it's 14-3-1 ATS at home vs. foes off back-to-back wins. Take Denver minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-12-24 |
Raptors +2.5 v. Jazz |
Top |
113-145 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Utah Jazz. Utah's certainly been playing well, as it's 12-4 SU/ATS its last 16, including upset wins over Philly, Milwaukee and Denver in its last 3 games. Unfortunately for the Jazz, they're favored in this game. And Utah's burned money when installed as a favorite of 6 or less points, going 17-36-1 ATS. Toronto enters off back to back losses, and has been solid off 2+ losses, with a 131-84-5 ATS mark (including 13-6-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins). Grab the points with the Raptors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-12-24 |
Pacers v. Hawks -5.5 |
Top |
126-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Indiana. The Hawks will have revenge on their mind when Indiana pays them a visit tonight. When these two teams last met 7 days ago, the Hawks were blown out, 150-116. We'll take Atlanta to avenge that loss, as NBA teams have cashed 74% since 1991 when playing with revenge from a game they surrendered 150+ points (including 88% as a favorite). Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-12-24 |
Buffalo +17.5 v. Akron |
Top |
59-76 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Akron. Buffalo was blown out, 86-65, on Tuesday by Miami-Ohio. But off that loss, we'll take the Bulls to bounce back, as they're 15-1-1 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. That bodes well for Buffalo tonight. As does the fact that the Zips are 6-10 ATS vs. foes off a loss by 20+ points. Finally, Mid-American Conference underdogs of more than 14 points, not off an ATS win, have cashed 33 of 49 conference games. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-12-24 |
Dayton v. Duquesne -1.5 |
Top |
72-62 |
Loss |
-109 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Dayton. The Flyers have won 9 straight games, while the Dukes are on a 2-game SU/ATS losing streak. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Flyers as an underdog. But Dayton is a dreadful 6-23-1 ATS off a win, if it was not favored by 3+ points, and its opponent was off an ATS loss. Take Duquesne to snap Dayton's win streak tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-12-24 |
Minnesota v. Indiana -4 |
Top |
62-74 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Minnesota has won 7 straight games. But all but one of those games was on the road. And that spells trouble for Minnesota in Bloomington this evening, as Indiana is 34-7 SU and 26-15 ATS at home its last 41, including 11-3 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back wins. And the Gophers are a ghastly 22-70 ATS on the road, when priced from +11 to -1 vs. Big 10 foes. Take the Hoosiers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-11-24 |
Louisiana Tech v. Middle Tennessee +6.5 |
Top |
60-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders plus the points over Louisiana Tech. The Blue Raiders have been dominant at home, with a 34-6 SU record, and a point spread mark of 24-8-2 ATS. We'll grab the points, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points, have gone 99-62-4 ATS if they had a strong home court, and won at least 34 of their previous 40 games. Take the Blue Raiders.
|
01-11-24 |
Weber State v. CS Sacramento +9 |
Top |
69-71 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento St. Hornets + the points over Weber St. The Wildcats went into Tulsa and defeated Oral Roberts, 83-78, as a 2.5-point road favorite. Weber St. is once again favored on the road. But it's covered just 36% as a road favorite off a SU/ATS win as a road favorite in its previous game. Take the Hornets + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-11-24 |
CS-Northridge v. UC-Davis -4.5 |
Top |
75-95 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal-Davis Aggies minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Matadors upset Hawaii, 76-66, as a 1-point home underdog last Saturday. We'll take Cal Davis tonight, as it's cashed 71% since 2005 if it was off a loss, and its opponent was off an upset win. Even better: the Aggies have dominated the Matadors, with a 23-6 record since 2010, and a 20-9 ATS record. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-11-24 |
Celtics v. Bucks -6.5 |
Top |
102-135 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston. The Celtics needed overtime last night to defeat Minnesota, 127-120, while Milwaukee had Wednesday off following its blowout loss at the hands of the Utah Jazz. That was Milwaukee's 2nd straight loss, overall, and its 5th straight ATS loss. We'll take the Bucks here, at home, as they're an awesome 50-19-1 ATS at home in the regular season off back to back losses, including 9-0 ATS vs. .640 (or better) foes off a win. Additionally, .718 (or better) underdogs of +6 (or more) points have gone just 38-65-3 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up loss. Take Milwaukee minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-11-24 |
South Alabama v. James Madison -12.5 |
Top |
55-89 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over South Alabama. The Dukes were 14-0 going into their game last Saturday as Southern Miss. We played on the Golden Eagles +7.5 in that game and were rewarded with an 81-71 upset win. We'll switch gears and take the Dukes to bounce back off that upset loss. Last season, the Golden Eagles upset James Madison, 75-66, in the Sun Belt Tourney semifinals. We'll take the revenge-minded Dukes tonight, as they've cashed 82% since 1990 as a double-digit favorite off an upset loss. Lay the points.
|
01-10-24 |
Oklahoma v. TCU -3.5 |
Top |
71-80 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Oklahoma. The Horned Frogs suffered a narrow, 2-point loss (83-81) at #3-ranked Kansas, on Saturday to fall to 11-3 on the season. We'll take the Frogs to bounce back tonight, as they're 10-0 ATS off a straight-up loss when they owned a .750 (or better) win percentage. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-10-24 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -1.5 |
Top |
71-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin. The Badgers have been installed as a road underdog tonight, in Columbus. We'll fade Wisconsin, as it's a woeful 29-47-2 ATS as a road underdog of +8 points or less (or PK) in conference games, if the Badgers were off a win. Lay the points with Ohio State.
|
01-10-24 |
Indiana State v. Drake -1.5 |
Top |
78-89 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Indiana St. The Bulldogs were upset by Belmont, 87-65, on Sunday, and are now 3-1 in Missouri Valley Conference play. The Sycamores are 4-0 inside the conference, and are an underdog tonight in Des Moines. We'll fade the Sycamores, as Missouri Valley teams, with an .833 (or better) conference record (at Game 5 forward), have gone 31-57-4 ATS when not laying 5+ points vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win. Take the Bulldogs to blow out Indiana St.
|
01-10-24 |
76ers v. Hawks -2.5 |
Top |
132-139 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Philadelphia. Both teams come into tonight's game on a 2-game losing streak. The Sixers suffered upset home losses at the hands of the Knicks and Jazz, while the Hawks lost road games at Indiana and Orlando. We'll fade Philadelphia, as NBA teams with W/L percentages greater than .650 have covered just 37 of 95 games off back to back home upset losses, if they were favored by 3+ points in those 2 defeats. And the Hawks are 114-80-1 ATS at home in non-division games when they were off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Atlanta minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-10-24 |
Wolves v. Celtics -7 |
Top |
120-127 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Celtics lost, 133-131, at Indiana, on Monday. We'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off a loss this season, and 36-22 ATS its last 58 off a SU loss. Even better: the T-Wolves had to play last night, while Boston was resting. And the Celts are a super 55-32-3 ATS when playing with more rest than their opponent, including 21-5 ATS their last 26 off a SU/ATS loss. Lay the points with Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-10-24 |
St. Joe's v. St. Louis +4.5 |
Top |
85-88 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens plus the points over St. Joseph's. The Billikens lost at George Mason, 79-67, on Saturday. We'll take them to bounce back tonight, at home, as the Billikens are 36-9 ATS off a road loss, including 15-0 ATS if their win percentage was < .533. Take St. Louis.
|
01-10-24 |
Louisville +16.5 v. Miami-FL |
Top |
80-71 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Miami-Fla. Last season, Miami won both of the regular season meetings, so the Cards will have revenge on their minds tonight. Louisville is a solid 118-91 ATS when playing with revenge against conference opponents. And the Cards are also a super 19-6-1 ATS as road underdogs of +11 (or more) points. Take Louisville.
|
01-10-24 |
Green Bay v. IUPU-Indianapolis +8 |
Top |
68-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay. The Jaguars dropped their 3rd straight Horizon League game on Saturday, with a 75-65 loss at Youngstown St. We'll take IUPUI to snap its 3-game losing streak this afternoon, as it's 12-1 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points in conference games off 3+ losses. Take the Jaguars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-09-24 |
Air Force +15.5 v. Nevada |
Top |
54-67 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons + the points over Nevada. The Falcons are a double-digit dog tonight in Reno. We'll grab the points, as Air Force is a solid 69-34 ATS away from home when catching more than 11 points, while Nevada is a soft 41-54 ATS as a home favorite of more than 11. Take the Falcons.
|
01-09-24 |
Canucks v. Islanders -115 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Vancouver Canucks. The Canucks are one of the top teams in the League this season, leading the Pacific Division with 53 points. But lately, Vancouver has looked more like a .500 team, alternating wins and losses over its last seven games. The Islanders come into tonight off of a rough road trip that saw them win just once in four games as they come back to NY for two games before heading back out for four more away from home. They've done their best work here this season where they've only lost four times in regulation (although they have six OT losses). New York's offense is led by former Calder Trophy Winner Mathew Barzal who has 40 points in 39 games and was just selected to the All Star Game. The Isles were steamrolled in Vegas by the Golden Knights in their last game, 5-2 but they've had three days to rest and recover from that and they're 6-3 in their last nine immediately after allowing five or more goals in their previous game. Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
01-09-24 |
South Carolina v. Alabama -11.5 |
Top |
47-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks are 13-1 and 11-3 ATS, yet have been installed as a double-digit underdog tonight in Tuscaloosa. At Game 15 forward, .920 (or better) teams have covered just 34.8% vs. conference foes off a win. We'll lay the points with Alabama tonight.
|
01-09-24 |
Houston v. Iowa State +2.5 |
Top |
53-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St Cyclones + the points over Houston. The Cougars are undefeated, at 14-0, but have only played one true road game among their first 14. That was in Cincinnati vs. Xavier, and the Cougars failed to cover the 8.5-point spread. We'll grab the points with Iowa State, as it's a super 59-31 ATS at home in 'win situation' games with point spreads of 3 or less. Take the Cyclones. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-08-24 |
Penguins -123 v. Flyers |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Penguins missed the NHL playoffs last Spring for the first time since 2006 and if they're going to avoid another absence, they need to get busy. Pittsburgh is currently in 7th place in the Division and out of the post-season picture but the good news is that it still has a healthy Crosby, Letang, and Malkin on the team -- three players that were key to the Pens' back-to-back Stanley Cups in 2016 and 2017. And Crosby is having an outstanding campaign with 41 points in 38 games and a +14 rating while being named to his 6th All Star roster this past week. The Flyers took both meetings with the Pens so far this season when the two played a home-and-home series in early December. But Pittsburgh has been pretty dominant in this series otherwise, taking seven of the previous eight meetings before those, going back to May of 2021. Take the Pens. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Bills v. Dolphins UNDER 50 |
Top |
21-14 |
Win
|
100 |
106 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Buffalo/Miami game. Buffalo has been installed as a road favorite. And it's 8-0 Under its last eight as a road favorite of less than 6 points, while Miami is 42-21 Under at home when playing with revenge. Take the Under.
|
01-07-24 |
Bills v. Dolphins +3.5 |
Top |
21-14 |
Loss |
-120 |
76 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins were blown out last week by Baltimore, 56-19. But winning teams, off a loss by more than 7 points, have covered 86% as home underdogs since 1980, if they were playing with revenge. And the Dolphins do, indeed, have revenge, since Buffalo blasted them by 28 points earlier this season. I'll take the points with the home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Hawks -2 v. Magic |
Top |
110-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando. The Magic stunned the Denver Nuggets, 122-120, on Friday, as a 9.5-point road underdog. Of that huge upset win, we'll fade Orlando today, as it falls into a negative 4-21 and 14-36 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off big upsets. Additionally, the Magic are a poor 2-11 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss. And Orlando is also 5-17 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes with worse W/L records. Take Atlanta minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 35 |
Top |
13-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
82 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers to go Over the total. The Chiefs are not incentivized to win, so they will turn to QB Blaine Gabbert to line up under center for this game, while Patrick Mahomes will be on the sidelines. The line has been adjusted, of course, to compensate for the players who won't be available, but I think there's significant value now on the Over, as it falls into a 24-4 Totals system of mine. Additionally, the Chargers have gone Over the total 14 of the last 17 years in their final game, while KC has gone 6-2 Over in their final road game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Blazers +8.5 v. Nets |
Top |
134-127 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Brooklyn. The Blazers come into today's game off a 139-103 blowout loss at Dallas. And that followed a 126-97 defeat -- also to the Mavericks -- in the game previous to that. We'll take Portland to bounce back off those two blowout losses, as NBA underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 64.1% since 2000 off back to back losses by 24+ points. Take the Trail Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Falcons v. Saints OVER 42 |
Top |
17-48 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Atlanta/New Orleans game. The Over falls into a 67-36 Totals system of mine, and I look for a relatively high scoring game on Sunday afternoon. Take the Over.
|
01-07-24 |
Bucs v. Panthers OVER 37.5 |
Top |
9-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game. The Panthers and Buccaneers both played poorly on offense last week. Carolina was shutout, 26-0, by Jacksonville, while Tampa mustered just 13 points in a 10-point home loss to New Orleans. I expect a higher scoring game this week, as NFL games tend to go over the total more often than not when both teams scored less than 14 points in their previous game. And the Over also falls into a 109-58 Totals system of mine. Take Carolina/Tampa Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Vikings +3 v. Lions |
Top |
20-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings + the points over Detroit. These two teams met two game ago in Minneapolis, and the Lions came away with a 30-24 victory. The story of that game was 4 interceptions thrown by Vikings QB Nick Mullens. That led to Mullens being benched for last week's game vs. Green Bay. But after the Vikes trailed 23-3 at halftime, coach Kevin O'Connell had second thoughts and inserted Mullens into the game to replace the ineffective Jaren Hall. Mullens played better vs. Green Bay, as he was 13-of-22 for 113 yards and a TD. But it was not enough as the Vikes fell, 33-10. It's unclear who will start at QB for Minnesota in this game, which it must win if it is to have any shot at the Playoffs. But regardless of who is under center, we'll take the road underdog, as Minnesota falls into a 152-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. Grab the points with the Vikings.
|
01-07-24 |
Browns v. Bengals -6 |
Top |
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Cleveland Browns. Cincy lost at Cleveland, 24-3, to open the season. We'll take the Bengals to close out the season with some payback, as Cleveland is a poor 5-21 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that Cleveland defeated earlier in the season. Additionally, the Bengals are 25-9 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't laying more than 7 points. Take Cincinnati.
|
01-07-24 |
Jaguars v. Titans +5.5 |
Top |
20-28 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Jacksonville. Last week, the Titans were blown out, 26-3, by Houston, while the Jaguars shut out Carolina, 26-0. We'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as NFL home dogs (or PK) have cashed 64% since 1980 off a loss by 23+ points, if their opponent was off a win by 23+ points. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-07-24 |
Bucs v. Panthers +4.5 |
Top |
9-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
92 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Panthers were shut out, 26-0, by Jacksonville. I look for Carolina to bounce back as teams off shutout losses have gone 66-40 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points. Even better, over the last 44 years, home underdogs have cashed 58.0 ATS in the last 3 weeks of the season, if they were off an SU/ATS loss. Finally, the Panthers fall into 145-67, 84-25 and 157-72 ATS systems of mine. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
South Dakota +12.5 v. Montana |
Top |
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes + the points over Montana. The Grizzlies come into this game off a 96-86 win over North Dakota St. Unfortunately, Montana is a soft 1-11 ATS as a favorite after scoring more than 92 points. Take South Dakota. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
23-19 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans Under the total. These two teams met earlier this season. The Over/Under for that game was just 40 points. And it went over the total, as the two teams combined to score 51. This O/U line is significantly higher than the first meeting. I think it's too high. The Indianapolis Colts have not played a game with an Over/Under line this high in any of their last 30 games. And the Texans have only played two games this season with an over/under line north of 47 points. Both of those were 48, and Houston went under the total in each game. The Texans are 10-6 Under this season, and are 46-35 Under when the line was greater than 47 points. And the Colts are 86-59 under at home vs. division rivals, including 26-15 Under if the season's first meeting went Over the total. Take the Under. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
CS Sacramento +9.5 v. St. Thomas |
Top |
50-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over St. Thomas. This is the 2nd day of the Big Sky/Summit League Challenge (The Big Sky won 5 of the 9 match-ups on Wednesday). The Tommies are on a 5-game win streak, and are also on a 5-game ATS win streak. Notwithstanding their hot play, we'll fade St. Thomas tonight, as Summit League teams off 3 SU/ATS wins have cashed just 40% of non-conference games. And Big Sky Conference teams have cashed 63% as underdogs vs. Summit League opposition. Grab the points with Sacramento St.
|
01-06-24 |
Hawaii -1.5 v. CS-Northridge |
Top |
66-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Matadors have won their first two Big West Conference games, but haven't won 3 straight Big West games at any time in their last 56 conference match-ups. We'll take Hawaii, as Northridge is 3-13 ATS its last 16 as home underdogs vs. conference foes. Lay the points.
|
01-06-24 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. Idaho State -1.5 |
Top |
62-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha. The Bengals are on a 6-game SU losing streak, and have also failed to cover in eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Mavericks come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Mavericks against the ice-cold Bengals. But Omaha has covered just 20% the past 12 seasons off back to back SU/ATS wins against foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. And Idaho State also falls into an 80-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on a losing streak. Take the Bengals minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
Celtics -6.5 v. Pacers |
Top |
118-101 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana. The Celtics blew out Utah, 126-97, in Boston last night, and have been installed as a road favorite tonight, at Indiana. This will be the first of two games here at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, as the two teams will also play on Monday night. We'll lay the points as the Celtics are 43-14-2 ATS on the road off a 20-point home win. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
Nevada v. Fresno State +6.5 |
Top |
72-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over Nevada. The Wolf Pack are 13-1, and have been installed as a big road favorite at Fresno. We'll fade Nevada, as it's a poor 16-27-4 ATS as a conference road favorite of more than 4 points. Take the Bulldogs + the points.
|
01-06-24 |
Ole Miss v. Tennessee -11.5 |
Top |
64-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Ole Miss. The Vols are 10-3 SU and 5-7-1 ATS, while the Rebels are 13-0 SU and 7-6 ATS. Mississippi should lose its first game of the season tonight, in Knoxville, as Ole Miss is a poor 1-17 SU and 5-13 ATS their last 18 as an underdog. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 42-13 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, against foes with a win percentage greater than .800, if Tennessee's ATS win percentage was less than .600. Take Tennessee.
|
01-06-24 |
Steelers -3.5 v. Ravens |
Top |
17-10 |
Win
|
100 |
136 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS, and will be the #1 seed in the AFC following their 56-19 blowout of the Miami Dolphins. The Steelers are still in the running for the Playoffs. And though they can still get in with a loss (if the Broncos win and the Jaguars lose), their chances will be greatly improved with a win. We'll lay the points with Pittsburgh, as it's 81-34 ATS vs. foes that scored 23+ points in their previous game, if that foe owned an ATS win pct. of .400 (or better). Additionally, Baltimore is 2-10 ATS at home vs. the rival Steelers, if Baltimore had a winning record ATS. Lay the points with Pittsburgh. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
Alabama v. Vanderbilt +14 |
Top |
78-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Alabama. Alabama comes into this SEC Conference game off back to back blowout wins over Eastern Kentucky (111-67) and Liberty (101-56). We'll fade Alabama in this game, as it's an awful 6-30 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a win, in which it scored 85+ points. Take Vandy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
James Madison v. Southern Miss +8 |
Top |
71-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over James Madison. The Dukes are undefeated, at 14-0, and ranked #19 in the country. JMU covered the spread in its two previous games, and is 10-3 ATS on the season. Still, we'll take the points with Southern Miss, as it's cashed 62% over the last 34 seasons at home vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Take the Golden Eagles.
|
01-06-24 |
Tennessee State +9.5 v. Morehead State |
Top |
68-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee State Tigers + the points over Morehead St. The Eagles have won their last three, and have covered their last six. We will fade Morehead St., as the Tigers are a solid 47-29-3 ATS away from home as underdogs of more than 5 points vs. foes off back to back wins. And the Eagles are a soft 56-75-2 ATS when favored by 6+ points. Take Tennessee St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
Miami-FL v. Wake Forest -3.5 |
Top |
82-86 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Miami-Fla. This is the Hurricanes' 2nd game this season played at an opponent's home court. Their first road game didn't go so well, as Kentucky blew out Miami by 22 points. We'll take Wake Forest, as the Demon Deacons are 37-5 SU and 27-14-1 ATS at home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-06-24 |
Wright State +2 v. IUPU Ft Wayne |
Top |
106-98 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders + the points over Fort Wayne. The Mastodons are 13-2 on the season and outscoring their opposition by 17.8 ppg. But the Raiders are 16-5 ATS vs. conference foes with a scoring margin greater than 7.6 ppg. Grab the points with Wright St.
|
01-05-24 |
Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets |
Top |
122-95 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Houston Rockets. The T-Wolves come into tonight's game off back to back losses (against the Knicks and Pelicans). It's Minnesota's first 2-game losing streak of the season, as it was 7-0 SU after its first seven defeats. The T-Wolves are a super 11-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they also failed to cover the spread 3 games back. And Houston is a poor 6-26 ATS vs. as an underdog of less than 8 points vs. foes off back to back ATS losses. Lay the points with the T-Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-05-24 |
Hawks +3.5 v. Pacers |
Top |
116-150 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Indiana Pacers. We played on the Atlanta Hawks two nights ago vs. Oklahoma City, which was on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Hawks. Tonight, it's the Pacers who are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, following upset wins over division rival, Milwaukee, in their two previous games. We'll fade the Pacers tonight, as NBA teams off back to back upset wins, including a division upset win in their previous game, have gone 140-186 ATS vs. rested foes. Take Atlanta + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-05-24 |
Fairfield v. Siena +4.5 |
Top |
93-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints + the points over Fairfield. These two teams are going in opposite directions. Siena has lost six straight, while the Stags have won six in a row. But these two streaks have worked to create value on the side of the home underdog, and we'll grab the points with Siena, which falls into a system of mine which has cashed 73.3% since 2011. Even though the Stags won their previous game, 78-72, they failed to cover the 9.5-point number. Meanwhile, the Saints did cover the 17.5-point number in their 13-point loss at UMass on Saturday. All of this bodes well for the home dog tonight, as Saints are 17-9-1 ATS as an underdog off an ATS win, including 6-1 ATS at home. And the Stags have cashed just 42 of 116 as a favorite off an ATS loss, including 18-40-1 ATS vs. foes off an ATS win. Grab the points with Siena. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-04-24 |
San Francisco v. Pacific +19.5 |
Top |
92-88 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over San Francisco. The Dons are 11-4 this season, and have outscored their foes by an average of 17.93 ppg. We'll fade San Francisco, and take the home underdog Tigers, as Pacific is a solid 16-5 ATS at home vs. foes with a scoring margin greater than 15 ppg. Take Pacific.
|
01-04-24 |
UC San Diego v. UC-Santa Barbara -4.5 |
Top |
79-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the UCSB Gauchos + the points over UC San Diego. The Tritons come into tonight's game off 3 straight ATS wins. Unfortunately, they're also 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS when on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. And they're 1-5 SU/ATS in the last 6 meetings vs. the Gauchos. Take UCSB minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-04-24 |
Minnesota v. Michigan -6.5 |
Top |
73-71 |
Loss |
-106 |
15 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Minnesota. The Golden Gophers have been installed as a road underdog at Michigan, which comes into this game off back to back losses. Michigan, though, is a solid 89-54-2 ATS off a loss. And the Gophers are an ugly 31-82 ATS away from home vs. Big 10 foes, if they were priced from -1 to +11 points, including 10-45 ATS vs. a foe off a loss. Take Michigan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-04-24 |
Oregon v. Washington -3.5 |
Top |
76-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon. The Huskies will look to get into the Pac-12 win column tonight, as they lost their first two Pac-12 games, which were both on the road. Washington did cover the spread in its 5-point loss at Utah on Sunday, and that moved its record to 27-6 ATS following a Pac-12 Conference loss. Take Washington minus the points tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-04-24 |
SE Missouri State +7.5 v. Western Illinois |
Top |
61-68 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri St. Redhawks + the points over Western Illinois. The Leathernecks enter tonight's home game on a 5-game win streak. And they're also on a 3-game ATS win streak. We will fade Western Illinois, as it's a poor 42% ATS when it was on a 3-game ATS win streak, and it's also covered just 44% at home off 5+ wins. Meanwhile, SE Missouri is 30-16-3 ATS vs. conference foes, including 9-1 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +15.5 points. Take SE Missouri + the points.
|
01-04-24 |
Bucks -10.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
125-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. Milwaukee comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses at the hands of the Indiana Pacers. We'll take the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they are 17-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back upset losses, including 6-0 ATS when favored by more than 8 points. The Spurs will be without Zach Collins tonight, as he sustained an ankle injury last week vs. Portland. But when the Spurs and Bucks met 16 days ago, Collins was the Spurs' 2nd leading scorer with 22 points, and he had 8 rebounds, as well, so his absence will be felt. Lay the points with the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-04-24 |
Green Bay v. Detroit +3.5 |
Top |
69-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay. The Titans are 0-15 on the season, but I expect them to break through with a win vs. the Phoenix tonight. Green Bay is on a 3-game win streak, but is a wallet-breaking 0-9 ATS off 3+ wins, and 14-26-2 ATS on the road. Grab the points with Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-04-24 |
Old Dominion +4.5 v. Troy State |
Top |
73-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Troy. The Trojans come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have been installed as a home favorite tonight vs. ODU, which enters off back to back SU/ATS losses. We'll take the Underdog Monarchs, as Troy is a woeful 12-30 ATS as a favorite, if it was off a win, and its opponent was off a loss. And Old Dominion has cashed 69% over the last 33 years as an underdog off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. opponents off back to back wins. Grab the points with the Monarchs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-03-24 |
Magic v. Kings -4.5 |
Top |
135-138 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando. The Kings lost at home last night, as a 15.5-point favorite to the woeful Charlotte Hornets. Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Kings to redeem themselves tonight, as they're back in front of their home faithful. And the Kings are 30-13 ATS off a home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-03-24 |
South Dakota State +5.5 v. Weber State |
Top |
73-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the S. Dakota St. Jackrabbits + the points over Weber St. The Wildcats come into tonight's game off an 86-64 win over Montana St., while the Jackrabbits enter off a 19-point blowout win over N.Dakota. We'll take the underdog Jackrabbits, as they're 108-71-1 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win, including 61-32 vs. foes off a double-digit win. Take S. Dakota St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-03-24 |
Pelicans v. Wolves -6.5 |
Top |
117-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans. These teams met last month in New Orleans, and the Pelicans came away with a 121-107 victory. We'll take the revenge-minded T-Wolves, as they're 19-9 ATS when playing a foe it lost to in the season's prior meeting, including 5-1 ATS if its foe was unrested. Take Minnesota.
|
01-03-24 |
Montana -1.5 v. North Dakota State |
Top |
96-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over N. Dakota St. This is a revenge game for the Grizz, who lost at home to the Bison, 78-69, in the first month of the season. Montana is a solid 22-12 ATS on the road when playing with revenge. Lay the points.
|
01-03-24 |
Thunder v. Hawks +1.5 |
Top |
138-141 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder won their 5th straight game last night, 127-123, at home, vs. the Boston Celtics. Now, they have to play without rest against the rested Hawks, in Atlanta. We'll take the Home Underdog, as the Hawks are 32-9-1 ATS at home vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins. Grab the points.
|
01-03-24 |
St. Joe's v. Rhode Island +5.5 |
Top |
74-78 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams + the points over St. Joseph's. The Hawks have been installed as a road favorite tonight vs. the Rams. Unfortunately, St. Joe's is a poor 3-8 ATS its last 11 as a road favorite. We'll grab the points with the Rams.
|
01-03-24 |
Chicago State v. Oklahoma State -18.5 |
Top |
53-72 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys minus the points over Chicago St. The Cowboys won, 86-70, as a 25-point favorite vs. S. Carolina St. in their previous game, so they failed to cover by 9 points. We'll lay the wood with Okie St tonight, as Big 12 teams are 76-50 ATS at home when laying more than 9 points vs. non-conference foes, if our Big 12 team failed to cover by 9+ points in their prior game. Additionally, the Cowboys are 32-16 ATS as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes off a SU loss. Take the Cowboys. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-02-24 |
Chicago State +22.5 v. Kansas State |
Top |
55-62 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago St. Cougars + the points over Kansas St. The Cougars have gone 14-1 ATS when priced from +14 to +23.5 points, and today's point spread falls into that range. Meanwhile, Kansas State is 0-5 ATS as a favorite of -14 to -23.5 points. Additionally, the Cougars are 23-12 ATS off back to back losses. Take the Cougars + the points. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-02-24 |
Bulls v. 76ers -10.5 |
Top |
97-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Chicago. This is the 2nd of back to back games against Chicago for Philadelphia. We played on the Bulls as our Non-Division Game of the Month in Round 1, on Saturday, but we will switch gears and take the revenge-minded Sixers tonight (who are playing with double-revenge from 2 losses to the Bulls this season). Philadelphia is an awesome 40-20 ATS when playing with revenge (and 11-3 when playing with double-revenge), while Chicago is 6-13 ATS when going into double-revenge. Take the Sixers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-01-24 |
Hornets v. Nuggets -14.5 |
Top |
93-111 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. Denver was upset at home, 119-93, by Oklahoma City, on Friday. We'll lay the points with Denver tonight, as it's an awesome 50-6 straight-up, and 40-13-1 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, provided Denver wasn't an underdog of more than 2 points in its current game. Charlotte has lost 10 straight games heading into this affair, and is also an awful 0-17 SU and 1-16 ATS as a road underdog of 11+ points vs. Northwest division foes. Take Denver minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-01-24 |
Texas -3.5 v. Washington |
Top |
31-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Washington. The Longhorns have the better ground game, as they're averaging 189 yards per game (compared to 125.2 by Washington). And Texas' yards per rush is also favorable (4.9 vs 4.5). All things being equal, I prefer to play on the team with the better ground game in the semifinals or championship games. Indeed, the team with the better offensive YPR has gone 27-8 ATS their last 35. That bodes well for Texas on Monday night. As does the fact that Washington is a soft 6-12 ATS its last 18 as an underdog of 7 or less points. Take the Longhorns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-01-24 |
Texas v. Washington UNDER 63.5 |
Top |
31-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Texas game. This game falls into my two best College Football Totals systems, which are 124-54 and 84-30. Additionally, the Longhorns are surrendering just 17.54 ppg, and rank #11 in the country in defense. This is the highest total they've had this season (and, in my estimation, too high). Texas is 44-22 Under when the O/U line was greater than 58 points, while Washington is 26-18-3 Under with a line of 58+ points. And, in the post-season, teams with defenses that give up less than 19 ppg are on a 60.5% under run when the O/U line was 53+ points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-01-24 |
Alabama v. Michigan -1.5 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Alabama. This is the 3rd straight season Michigan has made the College Football playoff, but the first that it entered as the #1 team in the country. And its #1 ranking is warranted. In 2021, Michigan was overmatched by a dominant Georgia team, which had a defense giving up just 9.5 ppg. Then, last season, Michigan was really good, and led by its defense which was allowing just 13.3 ppg. Unfortunately, they couldn't contain TCU's Quentin Johnson, and were burned for 51 points. But this season, Michigan's defense has been the country's best (and the only defense to allow less than 10.0 ppg). Texas' defense ranks 11th (17.54 ppg), Alabama's defense ranks 15th (18.38) and Washington's defense ranks 49th (23.62). This is the 4th time a team was in the NCAA semifinals or championship game with a defense that gave up less than 10 ppg. All three of the other teams won 15+ point blowouts, and covered by an average of 15.3 ppg. The Wolverines are 26-13-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, including 14-3 ATS when not favored by 17+ points. After knocking on the door the past 2 seasons, I expect Jim Harbaugh's men to bang it down this season. Take Michigan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-01-24 |
Iowa +6 v. Tennessee |
Top |
0-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Tennessee. The Volunteers ended their regular season with 3 straight point spread defeats. And now they've been installed as a sizable favorite vs. Iowa. I don't want any part of Tennessee as a favorite, as NCAA teams have covered just 86 of 207 in the post season when favored by more than 1 points, if they were off back to back ATS losses to end the regular season. Additionally, Iowa is 78-55-4 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 Bowl games. Take the Hawkeyes + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-01-24 |
Wisconsin +9 v. LSU |
Top |
31-35 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, on Monday, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over LSU. The Badgers have been installed as a huge underdog vs. LSU. We'll happily grab the points with Luke Fickell's men, as Wisconsin is 38-15-2 ATS its last 55 games when getting more than 6 points. Even better: its defense gives up 8.83 ppg less than LSU's defense. And NCAA teams that give up 8.83 points less than their foes are on a 61.4% run in the post-season. Take Wisconsin + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
12-31-23 |
Magic v. Suns -5.5 |
Top |
107-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Orlando. The Magic upset the Knicks, 117-108, on Friday, while Phoenix won (but failed to cover) vs. Charlotte. We'll fade Orlando, as it's 20-34-2 ATS as a single-digit underdog off an upset win when playing a winning opponent off an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Phoenix is a solid 31-19 ATS vs. foes off an upset win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
12-31-23 |
Oral Roberts +3.5 v. Denver |
Top |
89-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles + the points over Denver. The Pioneers enter today's Summit League game off 3 straight wins, including in 95-80 win over Nebraska-Omaha in its conference opener. We'll fade Denver today, and grab the points with Oral Roberts, as the Golden Eagles are a solid 25-10 ATS vs. foes off a win, if ORU was off a loss. Take Oral Roberts. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
|
12-31-23 |
Bengals +7 v. Chiefs |
Top |
17-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 51 m |
Show
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At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Kansas City. The Bengals lost in the Playoffs to the Chiefs last season, so that will be added incentive for Zac Taylor's men on Sunday. Both of these teams come into this game off losses. Cincy was blown out by Pittsburgh on Saturday, while the Chiefs lost to the Raiders on Monday. I like the underdog Bengals here, as they're 14-1 ATS when installed as an underdog of more than 2 points. Take Cincy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-31-23 |
Morehead State v. SE Missouri State +9.5 |
Top |
83-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 17 m |
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At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. Redhawks plus the points over Morehead St. Southeast Missouri has been installed as a big home dog vs. the Eagles, and we'll take SEMO, as it's 15-5 ATS at home vs. conference foes (including 5-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points). And it's also 10-0 ATS vs. foes off a win, when priced from +4.5 to +14.5 points. Take the Redhawks.
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12-31-23 |
Steelers v. Seahawks -3 |
Top |
30-23 |
Loss |
-120 |
103 h 25 m |
Show
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At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Pittsburgh. Both the Seahawks and Steelers enter the last 2 weeks of the regular season with identical 8-7 records. We'll take the homestanding Seahawks, as home teams have cashed 69.5% in the final 6 weeks of the season if both teams were exactly 1 game over .500. Lay the points with Pete Carroll's men. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
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12-31-23 |
Arizona v. Stanford +13 |
Top |
82-100 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
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At 4 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona. Stanford was upset, 76-73, in its Pac-12 opener on Friday by Arizona St. And that was Stanford's second straight defeat, overall. We'll take the Cardinal to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 41-18-2 ATS at home off back to back losses. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-31-23 |
Hawks -6.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
130-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 15 m |
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At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington. The Hawks are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but should get back into the win column this afternoon vs. the Wizards. These two teams met last month, and the Hawks blew out Washington, 136-108. That was the 5th straight win by the Hawks in this series, and they've won by an average of 12 ppg. The Wizards upset Brooklyn, 110-104, here, at home, on Friday. Unfortunately, Washington is 34-62 ATS at home off an upset win, if it was playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Hawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-31-23 |
North Dakota v. South Dakota State -10.5 |
Top |
61-80 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 2 m |
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At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits minus the points over North Dakota. Both teams come into this game off back to back losses. The Jackrabbits lost neutral court games to Wyoming and Norfolk St., while the Fighting Hawks fell at Nebraska, and at home to St. Thomas. South Dakota St. has been one of the most reliable home teams in NCAA basketball, as it's 79-43-1 ATS. We'll fade the Fighting Hawks, as they're a poor 5-19 ATS on the road off back to back losses. Lay the points.
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12-31-23 |
Detroit +14.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne |
Top |
56-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
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At 2 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Fort Wayne. The Mastodons are 12-2 after downing Northern Kentucky, 73-60, on Friday, while Detroit has yet to taste victory, as it lost its 14 straight game, 67-55, at IUPUI two nights ago. We'll grab the points with winless Detroit, as Horizon League road teams off a loss have gone 97-64 ATS vs. conference foes off a win, if our road team was getting more than 10 points. That bodes well for Detroit today. As does the fact that Fort Wayne is 0-9 ATS at home vs. conference foes when laying 5+ points. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-31-23 |
49ers v. Commanders UNDER 49 |
Top |
27-10 |
Win
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100 |
100 h 19 m |
Show
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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/San Francisco game. The Washington Commanders have been installed as a 2-touchdown home underdog. And they’ve gone under 67% as home dogs of more than 1 point when the O/U line was greater than 45. That bodes well for the Under in this game. As does the fact that home dogs of +7 or more points have gone 66-35 Under in the 2nd half of the season when the line was 47 or more points. Take the Under.
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12-31-23 |
Cardinals v. Eagles -10.5 |
Top |
35-31 |
Loss |
-107 |
100 h 19 m |
Show
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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Arizona. The Cardinals have won just three games this season, and were blown out by 11 points last Sunday by Chicago. This will be Arizona's final road game of the season. And NFL double-digit dogs, off a double-digit loss, have gone just 18-40 ATS in their final road game of the season. Take Philadelphia.
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12-31-23 |
CS-Fullerton v. Hawaii -9.5 |
Top |
63-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 16 m |
Show
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At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Fullerton. The Rainbows come into this Big West Conference game off back to back home losses to Georgia Tech and TCU. We'll take Hawaii to bounce back, as it's cashed 83% as a home favorite off back to back home defeats. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-30-23 |
Oilers v. Kings -110 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 27 m |
Show
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At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Edmonton Oilers. We played against the Kings on Thursday and got the $$$ with Vegas, in a 3-2 home win. Los Angeles was playing that game without rest, and it's now 1-5 this season when doing so. Of course, that also means that Los Angeles is 19-7 this season when playing with rest. Edmonton is allowing 3.31 goals per game, and the Kings are 47-20 (+19.9 net games on the moneyline) when playing an opponent which is giving up at least 3+ goals per game. Additionally, the Kings will no doubt be emotionally charged for this game, given it was Edmonton which knocked it out of last year's playoffs in 6 games. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-30-23 |
Lions v. Cowboys -5.5 |
Top |
19-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
84 h 36 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Detroit. After losing to the Miami Dolphins last week, the Cowboys are now 1-12 ATS their last 13 on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. The good news for Dallas, then, in this game is that it is not on the road, and Detroit wasn't in the Playoffs last season. Dallas has played 5 games the past two seasons at home vs. winning clubs, and the Cowboys have won all 5, and have gone 3-2 straight-up. Even better: winning NFL teams have gone 41-20 ATS as a single-digit home favorite (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS road losses. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-30-23 |
Lions v. Cowboys UNDER 53.5 |
Top |
19-20 |
Win
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100 |
84 h 35 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Dallas game. The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs, as they blew out Denver, 42-17, and won at Minnesota, 30-24. But off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the Under on Saturday night, as Detroit has gone 62-42 Under off back to back Overs, including 8-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 52+ points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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12-30-23 |
76ers v. Bulls -1.5 |
Top |
92-105 |
Win
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100 |
15 h 29 m |
Show
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At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers defeated Houston, 131-127, last night, while the Chicago Bulls had Friday off after their Thursday home loss to Indiana. We'll play on the rested Bulls, and go against a Philly team which will be playing back to back road games without rest. Indeed, the 76ers are 0-16 ATS off back to back wins, when playing their 3rd game in four nights on the road without rest, if their opponent was rested and playing back to back home games, and the Sixers weren't favored by more than 4 points. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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