Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 45 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs to go Over the total. The Kansas City Chiefs come into this game off 3 straight unders, while the Broncos have played their last 2 under the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with Denver scoring just 8 points in the season's first meeting. But I'll take the Over, as the Chiefs are 25-13 Over the total following 3 or more unders. And NFL games have gone Over the total 56% the past 20 seasons if a team scored 8 or less points in the season's prior meeting. Take the Over. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Houston. The Texans come into this game off four straight covers -- all as an underdog. But now, they're favored at Carolina. And the last time Houston was favored, it didn't cover. I don't like to play on teams as favorites following a string of covers as an underdog, as such teams generally don't do very well when they reverse roles from an underdog to a favorite. Indeed, favorites of more than 2 points, off 3 straight dog covers have gone just 14-37 ATS, including 5-23 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses. Take Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Saints -2 v. Colts | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints over Indianapolis. Last week, I played on the Colts vs. the Browns, as I loved the situational spot for Indianapolis, as it was off a 17-point blowout loss to division rival, Jacksonville, while the Browns came in off that shocking upset win over the previously-undefeated 49ers. But now the Colts are NOT off a SU/ATS loss, as they covered the spread in defeat vs. Cleveland. And Indy is a super 46-21 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 3-0 ATS this season. But when it's NOT off a SU/ATS loss, Indy has gone just 31-43-3 ATS. Meanwhile, New Orleans is 60-35 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss, including 15-4 ATS their last 19. Take the Saints. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers over Minnesota. The Vikings upset the 49ers on Monday Night Football, 22-17, as a 7-point underdog. But off that upset win, we'll fade Minnesota in this game. Since 1980, NFL favorites (or PK) off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 5 points, have covered just 38%. Even better: in this NFC North division rivalry, teams off a SU/ATS win have gone just 10-24 ATS when their opponent was not off a SU/ATS win. With Green Bay off a loss to Denver, we'll take the Packers to snap their losing streak. |
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10-29-23 | Jets v. Giants +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the New York Jets. The Jets come into this game off back-to-back upset wins over Denver and Philly and have covered 3 straight overall. But the Jets are now favored for the first time all season, and on the road no less. (I understand the two teams share the stadium, but it's still a Giants home game, and the Giants' season ticket holders will be in the stands.). I don't like playing on NFL road favorites following back to back upset wins, as they've cashed just 35.7% the past 42 years. And the Jets are also a poor 16-28 ATS off 3 ATS wins. Take the Giants + the points. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans and Carolina Panthers Under the total. First-year Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans is starting to mold the Texans in his image. The Texans have given up just 13.3 ppg their last three games, and all three went under the total. And, dating back to his stint as defensive coordinator of the 49ers, 20 of his last 33 games have gone Under. The Under is also 3-0-1 in the last four meetings between these clubs, including a 24-9 win by Carolina two seasons ago. Take the Under. |
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10-29-23 | San Jose State v. Hawaii UNDER 59.5 | Top | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 48 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Midnite, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbows and San Jose State Spartans Under the total. The last three meetings between these two foes have sailed UNDER the total. The three games have averaged 43.3 ppg, and have gone Under the total by an average of 17 ppg. I'll look for another low-scoring game on the Island, as nine of the last 12 Hawaii home games vs. Mountain West foes have gone Under. And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 89-59 and 48-25. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over UNLV. Both teams are 6-1 on the season, but Fresno is looking up at UNLV in the Mountain West standings, since Fresno's loss came in conference play, while UNLV lost at Michigan. We'll lay the points with the home team, as road underdogs of +6 (or more) points that are undefeated in conference play have cashed just 43% since 1980 vs. conference foes that had lost at least one conference game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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10-28-23 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Oklahoma State. The Bearcats are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak while Oklahoma State has won and covered its last three. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Cowboys at home, in Stillwater. But be careful, as teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have been solid on the road vs. conference foes off SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 57.2% since 1980. Even better: since 1980, the Bearcats have covered 71% off back to back losses when playing a conference foe off back to back wins. We'll grab the points with the Bearcats. |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. In its opening game, Philly took the Milwaukee Bucks down to the wire on Thursday, but narrowly lost, 118-117. Tonight, Nick Nurse's men will face the coach's former team, Toronto. The Raptors also narrowly lost, 104-103, in overtime, at Chicago, last night. And that lowered the Raptors' season record to 1-1. The Raptors are a soft 10-17 ATS as home underdogs, while Philly is 14-7 ATS as a road favorite (including 5-0-1 ATS its last 6). And rested road favorites have cashed 64% since 1990 vs. unrested division rivals, if our road favorite owned a worse record. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Ohio State. The Buckeyes had a big win last week in their showdown with Penn State. Both teams entered with 6-0 records, and the Buckeyes won, 20-12, as a 4-point favorite. But I expect a bit of a letdown in Madison, on Saturday, as undefeated teams have only covered 22% on the road the past 44 seasons (at Game 8 forward) following a win against another undefeated team, if our play-against team (here, Ohio State) wasn't favored by more than 4 points in its prior game. Wisconsin is an awesome 18-3 ATS when getting more than 6 points from an undefeated team, including 9-0 ATS at home, or on a neutral field. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Detroit Pistons. Detroit pulled off an upset win last night at Charlotte, 111-99. But off that blowout win, we'll fade Monty Williams' men tonight. For technical support, consider that Detroit is a disastrous 0-16 ATS at home off a win by 7+ points! Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 41 h 25 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Boise State/Wyoming game UNDER the total. These two teams generally play low-scoring contests, as the last four (and seven of the last eight) have gone UNDER the total. Indeed, the last four meetings have averaged 34 points, and have gone under by an average of 13 ppg. I look for another low-scoring game on Saturday evening. Take the Under. |
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10-28-23 | Arkansas State v. UL-Monroe -2 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 8 m | Show |
At 5 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks minus the points over Arkansas State. The Warhawks come into this game on a 5-game losing streak. But they've played well in defeat, lately, as they covered their last two games by 17.5 and 6.5 points. They'll now welcome a Red Wolves squad which defeated it, 45-28, last season, but is off back to back blowout SU/ATS losses. I look for Monroe to snap its long losing streak, as revenge-minded teams, on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks, have gone 59-34 ATS when they weren't getting more than 5 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Tulane -10 v. Rice | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Rice. The Green Wave have been road warriors of late, as they have now covered 10 straight away from New Orleans. I won't step in front of this freight train. And especially not with an Owls team which has covered just 7 of 24 as a double-digit home underdog. Rice also falls into a negative 111-208 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off upset wins. Lay the points with Tulane. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | BYU v. Texas -19 | Top | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 40 h 47 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over BYU. The last two times these teams met, the Cougars were underdogs, but hammered the Longhorns by scores of 41-7 and 40-21. I expect Texas to remember those upset losses, and exact a measure of revenge on Saturday afternoon, as NCAA favorites of 14 or more points have cashed 74% when they lost the two prior meetings (and weren't underdogs in those two losses). Even better: Texas has lost its last 2 games to the spread. But it's cashed 72.2% as favorites of -14 (or more) points off back to back ATS losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Oregon. The Utah Utes had an impressive win last week at USC, as they won, 34-32, as a 7-point road underdog. It was the first time a team had scored more than 21 points on the defensive-minded Utes, who are giving up just 15 ppg on the season. They now return home to take on the high-octane Ducks, who are averaging 47 ppg. In match-ups between offensive-minded teams and defensive juggernauts, I tend to side with the defense -- and especially if installed as an underdog. We'll play on the Utes as a home underdog, as NCAA home dogs of +4 (or more) points have covered 78% since 1980 (at Game 5 forward) if they gave up 15 ppg (or less) on defense, and their opponent averaged 45+ points on offense. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -18.5 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 32 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers come into this road game off back to back wins over William & Mary and North Carolina (as a 24-point underdog!). Unfortunately, Virginia is a woeful 9-25 ATS on the road off back to back wins. Take Miami. |
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10-28-23 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson. We played against the Tigers last Saturday at Miami, and will go against them on the road again, in Raleigh. The Wolfpack lost their previous game, 24-3, at Duke, and play this game with revenge from a 10-point loss at Clemson last season. The Tigers are a horrible 15-38-1 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded foe off a straight-up loss. Take NC State. |
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10-28-23 | West Virginia +7 v. Central Florida | Top | 41-28 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Central Florida. The Knights played well last week at Oklahoma, and covered the 17-point spread in defeat. But now UCF has been installed as a big favorite vs. West Virginia, and the Knights have mightily struggled as a conference favorite of more than 3 points, going 4-19 ATS, including 0-9 ATS if UCF was off a straight-up loss. Additionally, the Knights fall into a negative 62-125 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams off losses. Grab the points with WVU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-28-23 | Oklahoma v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 6 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Oklahoma. The Sooners are riding high with an undefeated, 7-0 record, but have to travel to Lawrence to take on the rested Jayhawks, who had last week off to prepare for this game. The Jayhawks are a solid 5-2 this season (including 2-2 in Big 12 play), and will be in a prime spot to pull the outright upset. We'll grab the points, as rested home dogs of more than 7 points, with a .500 (or better) conference win percentage, have cashed 67.7% vs. undefeated conference foes. Take Kansas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +3.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Utah was blown out, 130-114, by the Sacramento Kings, on Wednesday. We'll take the Jazz to bounce back, as they're 42-20 ATS as home underdogs, and 11-4 ATS at home vs. Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Clippers are a wallet-busting 1-9-1 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, if they were playing a sub-.400 opponent off a loss. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Mavs | Top | 120-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Dallas. This will be the first time these teams have faced off since Kyrie Irving was traded by the Nets to the Mavericks. And I expect a hotly-contested game which could go down to the wire. Indeed, the last five meetings between these clubs have been decided by 2, 4, 2, 3 and 4 points. I expect a similar game tonight, and love the underdog Nets. Dallas did open its season with a 126-119 win vs. the San Antonio Spurs. But it allowed a bad Spurs team to shoot 51.7% from the floor, and was only able to overtake San Antonio by ending the game with an 11-2 run. Dallas was horrible as a favorite last season, and is 15-36-2 ATS its last 53 in that point spread role, including 3-20 ATS off a straight-up win. Meanwhile, the Nets are 21-12-1 ATS as a road underdog. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Toronto. These two teams met in last season's play-in round, and the Bulls upset Toronto, 109-105. Unfortunately, the Bulls succumbed to Miami in the next game, and didn't qualify for the Playoffs. In Chicago's first game this season, it was blown out, 124-104, by Oklahoma City here, at home. The Bulls will try to redeem themselves tonight, and I expect a much better effort, as home teams off 20-point (or worse) losses in their home openers have covered 65% since 2000. Take Chicago minus the points. |
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10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Charlotte | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 87 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Charlotte. The 49ers pulled off a nice upset on the road last week, when they went into East Carolina, and shocked the Pirates, 10-7, as a 6-point road underdog. And that moved Charlotte's road ATS record to 4-0 this season (and 6-0-1 ATS their last seven, dating back to last season). Unfortunately, the 49ers have burned $$$ at home, as they've gone 0-3 ATS this year (and 1-9 ATS their last 10). Florida Atlantic, meanwhile, laid an egg last week, as they were blown out, 36-10, by Texas-San Antonio. But that blowout loss has triggered a very good 84-37 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off losses by 21+ points. Lay the points with Florida Atlantic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-27-23 | Pistons +4 v. Hornets | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets upset Atlanta, 116-110, as a home underdog on Tuesday, while Detroit lost a squeaker at Miami, 103-102, as a 9.5-point road underdog. Detroit will be an improved team this season, with newly-hired coach Monty Williams at the helm, and Cade Cunningham back from injury. Indeed, Cunningham poured in 30 points vs. the Heat. Charlotte is a poor 27-39 ATS at home off a home win. Take Detroit + the points. |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets opened their season with an impressive victory vs. the Lakers on Tuesday, and will look for a 2nd straight win tonight, on Beale Street. But I like Memphis to pull the upset, as the Grizzlies are 50-24 ATS at home vs. foes off a win, if Memphis wasn't favored by 2+ points. Even worse for Denver: it's 63-96 ATS on the road off a point spread win. And the Nuggets are a dismal 0-5 ATS their last 5, and 1-9 ATS their last 10 at Memphis. Take the Grizzlies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills -8.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -107 | 64 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Tampa Bay. We played against Buffalo each of the past two weeks, and got the $$$ with New England last Sunday, and the New York Giants the week before. We also played against Tampa Bay last week, and won our NFC South Game of the Year on Atlanta. In this Thursday game, we will side with the homestanding Bills, and look for Josh Allen & Co. to bounce back from their disappointing game at New England. Indeed, the Bills generally bounce back at home off losses, and especially in non-division games, where they've gone 55-31-4 ATS. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-26-23 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern -1.5 | Top | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles over the Georgia State Panthers. The Eagles come into this home game vs. Sun Belt rival, Georgia State, off back to back ATS losses, while the Panthers enter off back to back ATS wins. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Panthers. But be careful, as Sun Belt home teams have covered 70% off back to back ATS losses vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided our home team wasn't getting 3+ points. Additionally, the Eagles are 21-9 ATS at home, including 9-0 ATS their last nine when priced from +2.5 to -9.5. Take Georgia Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-25-23 | Jacksonville State v. Florida International +8 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Jacksonville State. The Gamecocks upset Western Kentucky, 20-17, as a 7.5-point home underdog last week. They're now installed as a road favorite. I'm not a big fan of playing on road favorites following an upset win as a home underdog, and especially not when they're matched up against a .500 (or better) foe, as they've cashed just 41.5% the past 44 years. Even worse for the Gamecocks: Conference USA favorites have cashed just 26% away from home the past 23 years following an upset win as an underdog of more than 7 points. Grab the points with the Panthers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. The D-Backs upset the Phillies at Citizens Bank Ballpark to force a seventh game of this NLCS tonight. The big home run hitting bats of the Phils were silenced for the most part by Merrill Kelly in a relatively easy 5-1 victory for Arizona. It's only the second time in this post-season that the Phillies have not scored at least three runs (12 games). Tonight should be a different story as Philadelphia's bats will almost certainly come alive against rookie RH Brandon Pfaadt. Notwithstanding his stellar effort in Arizona's Game 3 win, the 25-year-old from Louisville, KY was just 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 19 games (18 starts) for Arizona in the regular season. Don't be surprised to see the Phils hitters swinging early and often against Pfaadt to try to gain the advantage in this must-win game. This will be Pfaadt's first-ever start at Citizens Bank, a place that's known to be particularly unkind to rookies visiting for the first time. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky +5.5 | Top | 42-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Liberty. The Flames are 7-0 straight-up, including 3-0 in Conference USA play. But Western Kentucky will be difficult to defeat in Bowling Green. The Hilltoppers are 40-16 SU and 30-18 ATS at home over the past 10 seasons, including 7-4 ATS as a home underdog. Admittedly, Western Kentucky played poorly last Tuesday, and lost outright to Jacksonville State, 20-17, as a 7.5-point road favorite. But the Hilltoppers are an awesome 11-0 ATS as an underdog, priced from +3.5 to +9 points, off a straight-up loss. And they're 9-2 ATS at home following 2+ road games. Finally, Liberty falls into a negative 64-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain undefeated teams. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros 'under' the total. The Rangers and Astros go to a winner-take-all seventh game in this Lone Star State championship series. For the Astros, it will be business as usual if they win as they've been to four World Series in the past six years but for the Rangers it will be territory that's been uncharted since 2011. It's going to be a rematch of the Game 3 starters which means RHPs Cristian Javier and Max Scherzer. Both are looking for redemption tonight -- Javier for his less-than-stellar regular season and Scherzer for his awful performance in that Game 3 when he was chased after only four innings. Expect a much better outing from the three-time Cy Young tonight as the 39-year-old has thrived throughout his career in pressure-cooker situations such as this one. Javier, on the other hand, just needs to keep doing what he has been in the post-season for his team to have a chance. In two playoff starts covering 10 2/3 innings, Javier is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA with 12 strikeouts. Take Game 7 Under the total As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 runs over the Philadelphia Phillies. After their win in Game 5, the Phillies are one victory away from returning to the World Series for a second straight season. Arizona took the first two of its home NLCS games, but couldn't make it three in a row like the Astros did over in the American League. So it's not a must-win situation for the home team tonight but rest assured that the Phillies want to win it now so they can get an extra day off. For the Diamondbacks, they want to show up for starter Merrill Kelly tonight, something they didn't do in Game 2 here six days ago. Kelly didn't pitch that poorly -- only three hits allowed in 5 2/3 innings -- but the bats fell silent and the Phils cruised to a 10-0 victory in that one. But the veteran RH needs to avoid the long ball -- something he didn't do in Game 2 -- while Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, Christian Walker & Co. need to jump on Phils starter Aaron Nola early. Arizona is 9-1 this season behind Kelly when he's worked on an extra day or two of rest. And the Diamondbacks are a solid 46-49 (+11.3 net games) as an underdog this season. Meanwhile, Nola's teams have gone 14-20 (minus 9.7 net games) in his next start after not allowing an earned run in his previous start. I think this will be a tight game, and we'll take the 1.5 runs with the D-Backs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-22-23 | Rangers +110 v. Astros | Top | 9-2 | Win | 110 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Texas Rangers over the Houston Astros. After going undefeated in their first seven games of the 2023 post-season, the Rangers have now lost three straight -- at home no less -- to fall behind in this ALCS, 3-2. Game 5 was especially frustrating as Texas was three outs away from heading to Houston with a 3-2 series lead when the wheels fell off in the ninth inning after leading 4-2. But this series is far from over as the Rangers have been ultra-tough on the road all postseason and if they can win tonight they'll be just one more road victory away from getting to the World Series for the third time in Franchise history. They appear to have a strong edge in the pitching match-up in this Game 6 as RH Nathan Eovaldi will take his 3-0 playoff record with a 2.29 ERA to the mound opposite the Astros' southpaw Framber Valdez (0-2 and 11.57 in two starts). Not only have the Rangers won all three of the veteran RH's starts this post-season, but they also found themselves on the winning end in six of his last nine regular season starts. And Eovaldi's teams have gone 13-2 (87%) in his career playoff starts. Take Texas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Kansas City. The Chargers are a sensational 111-61 ATS as a road underdog of +2 or more points, including 29-9 ATS within the division when the Chargers have owned a losing record. Los Angeles has covered 5 of the last six in this series with its only point spread loss as a 3-point underdog in overtime, when it lost by 6. Take Los Angeles. |
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10-22-23 | Packers v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + over Green Bay. The Denver Broncos come into this game at Mile High Stadium with a 1-5 record (.167), while Green Bay is slightly better, at 2-3 (.400), for a win percentage differential of .233. We’ll take Denver as a home dog, as it is a jaw-dropping 50-14-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points, if its opponent didn’t have a win percentage differential of .333 (or better), including a perfect 13-0-2 ATS if the Broncos’ win percentage was .333 (or less). Additionally, home underdogs on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 62% since 1980 vs. non-division foes off a loss. Take the Broncos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 3-2 on the season, but it’s a phony 3-2, as they have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points per game, and they have failed to cover the point spread by an average of 4.5 points per game. And they’ve been outyarded in every single game — even their three wins. They defeated Cleveland by 4 points, but the Browns outgained them by 153 yards. They won by 5 over the Raiders, but Las Vegas outgained them by 29 yards. And then, in their last game, they defeated the Ravens by 7 but Baltimore outgained them by 46. In contrast, the Rams have outscored their opponents by 3.5 points per game, and have covered the point spread by 5.16 points per game. And they’ve outgained four of their 6 opponents, even the San Francisco 49ers, though they lost that game by 7. I’ll lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +8 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots have been installed as a big home underdog vs. their division rival. And New England will be looking to snap a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. We'll grab the points, as New England is 28-5 ATS as an underdog of 4+ points, when its W/L percentage was .400 (or less), and it was not off an ATS win, including 12-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Take New England. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts +3.5 | Top | 39-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Cleveland. The Browns stunned the previously unbeaten San Francisco 49ers last week, when they won, 19-17, as a 9.5-point underdog. But off that huge upset win, we’ll fade Cleveland as a road favorite. Indeed, since 1984, .500 (or better) road favorites have covered just 27.5 percent off an upset win as a 5-point (or greater) underdog. The Colts also come into this game off a blowout loss, and they’re 54-30 ATS off a straight-up defeat. Take the Colts + the points. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is the first meeting between these NFC South Division rivals, and underdogs have been great in games between NFC South Division rivals when it was the first meeting of the season, as they've gone 37-19-1 ATS. Tampa's 3-9-1 ATS its last 13 as a favorite, and also 7-25-3 ATS off a loss in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 5. Finally the Falcons are off an upset loss to Washington, and fall into a 163-105 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records off losses. Take the Falcons + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | UCLA -17 v. Stanford | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal came back from a 29-0 deficit to stun the Colorado Buffaloes, 46-43, as a 13.5-point underdog, in double-overtime last Saturday. But off that huge upset win, we'll fade Stanford on Saturday night vs. UCLA. The Cardinal are a wallet-breaking 1-8 ATS as a home underdog of more than 14 points, while UCLA is a reliable 14-6 ATS as a double-digit road favorite. Even worse: double-digit home underdogs have covered just 37.2 percent of conference games since 1980 off outright wins as a double-digit conference road underdog. Take UCLA minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Philadelphia Phillies. With their dramatic victory last night here in the desert, the hometown Diamondbacks leveled this series and in the process have guaranteed a return to Philadelphia for a Game 6. It was a huge comeback win and brings this series back to the #1 starters, tied at two games apiece. The Phillies will go with RH Zack Wheeler while RH Zac Gallen will get his second NLCS start for the D-Backs tonight -- his first at home. That second part is important as the 28-year-old dominated his opposition in the regular season here at Chase Field. In 16 starts here covering 102 innings, Gallen was 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Those numbers compare very favorably to his 5-6 record and 4.42 ERA in 18 starts (108 innings) on the road in the regular season. And although he lost Game 1 of this series, Gallen has a career 3-1 record with a 2.22 ERA in five regular season starts vs. the Phillies covering 24 1/3 innings. Take the Diamondbacks. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-21-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 34-32 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/Utah game. Something's gotta give tonight, as USC is scoring 47.1 ppg, while Utah is giving up just 12.1. Utah has played five of its six games Under the total this season. And I'll look for another low-scoring Utes game, as NCAA football games have gone under 60.3% in match-ups between a great defense which gave up 15.5 (or less) points and a great offense (which scored 47+ points). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Clemson v. Miami-FL +3 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Clemson. The 'Canes have had a tough couple of weeks. First, they lost to Georgia Tech when their head coach, Mario Cristobal inexplicably ran a rushing play rather than kneeling down to end the game. Miami fumbled. Then Georgia Tech won miraculously on the game's final play. Last week, the Hurricanes were competitive in defeat, and fell, 41-31, to the undefeated North Carolina Tar Heels. This week, Miami is back home, and is an underdog vs. Clemson. Miami is a super 18-4 ATS as an underdog of +10 (or less) points, if it was off a loss, and its opponent was off a win (and 6-0 ATS if Miami was off back to back losses). Take the Hurricanes + the points. |
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10-21-23 | Army v. LSU UNDER 60 | Top | 0-62 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on Army and LSU to go Under the total. The Black Knights are a rush-heavy team that has gone UNDER the total 64-47-1 their last 112 games. This season, they've averaged 16.1 passing plays, and 47.8 rushing plays. So, 74.7% of their plays have been on the ground, and that chews up the clock. Army has gone 20-2 UNDER the total when installed as an underdog of +9 (or more) points (and 11-0 UNDER when getting more than 14). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | TCU +6 v. Kansas State | Top | 3-41 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Kansas State. The Horned Frogs blew out BYU, 44-11, last week, as a 4.5-point favorite, for their best win of the season. Now, they'll take on Kansas State, and the Frogs have had this game circled on their calendar for months. When these two teams last met, Kansas State handed the Horned Frogs their first loss of the season when the Wildcats won, 31-28, in overtime, in the Big 12 Title game. When playing with revenge, TCU is a solid 31-20 ATS as a road underdog, as well as 13-4 ATS off a win by more than 30 points. Grab the points. |
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10-21-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -7 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Colorado State. The Rebels are on a roll, as they've covered the spread in every game this season. And outside of their road game against #2-ranked Michigan, they've scored 40+ points in every game this season. That bodes well for UNLV, as home teams have covered 56.2% since 1980, if they were off 3 blowout wins by 17+ points, in which they scored 40+, and covered by 10+ points. The Rebels should have no problem scoring on Colorado State, which ranks 127th of 130 teams in Total defense, giving up 462.7 yards per game. Colorado State has also given up 40+ points in three of its five FBS games this season, and are also a poor 3-8 ATS on the road off a win. Take UNLV. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Utah State v. San Jose State -4 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Spartans minus the points over Utah State. The Aggies had their 2-game win streak snapped by Fresno St last week, and are now 3-4 on the season. Today, they'll travel to San Jose, and face a Spartans team looking for its first win in the series since 2008. San Jose should, however, be confident, as it comes into this game off its first FBS win this season. And it was impressive, as it went into New Mexico, and blew out the Lobos, 52-24, as a 6-point road favorite. That bodes well for San Jose tonight, as single-digit home favorites have covered 58% of conference games off a road conference blowout by 28+ points, provided they covered the spread in that blowout by 21+ points. Even better: the Aggies are a soft 2-16 SU and 7-11 ATS when installed as a road underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe. Finally, the Spartans are 21-3 SU and 17-6 ATS as a favorite off a straight-up win, if they are playing an opponent off a loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Toledo -1.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Miami-Ohio. Both of these teams enter on 6-game win streaks, and this game could be a preview of the MAC Title game in December. We played (and won) on Miami-Ohio three times this season, including each of the past 2 weeks. But will switch gears this Saturday, and go against the RedHawks. Last week, Toledo escaped Muncie, Indiana with a 13-6 victory over Ball State. The good news for Toledo is that MAC Conference road favorites have gone 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS in conference games after scoring less than 14 points. Take Toledo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Wisconsin -3 v. Illinois | Top | 25-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Illinois. The Illini have been installed as a short home underdog. Unfortunately, they're 17-53-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points. And they're 20-52-1 ATS at home when playing an opponent off a straight-up loss. With Wisconsin in off a 15-6 defeat at the hands of Iowa, we'll lay the points with the Badgers. |
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10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Tennessee. The Volunteers upset Nick Saban's men last season in a thriller, 52-49, as a 9-point home underdog. But we'll lay the points with 'Bama on Saturday, as Nick Saban's teams have gone 27-11 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from a loss suffered when he was head coach. Additionally, Alabama is 45-25 ATS following a win, in which it lost against the spread. With Alabama in off a 24-21 victory as a 19-point favorite vs. Arkansas, we'll take the Crimson Tide on Saturday afternoon. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Air Force v. Navy +10 | Top | 17-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen + the points over Air Force. The Midshipmen shut out Charlotte, 14-0, on the road in their last game. And NCAA teams off road shutout wins the previous week have gone 177-120 ATS in the regular season, including 53-30-2 ATS as an underdog. Navy has also covered 16 of the last 21 times it was an underdog vs. Air Force. We'll go with the underdog Midshipmen. Take Navy + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Arkansas. The Razorbacks have lost their last five games, and now return home to take on Mississippi State, which won, 41-28, over Western Michigan in its last game (but failed to cover the 21.5-point spread). We'll go against Arkansas, as SEC Conference favorites of -20 points or less (or PK) are a dreary 188-270-3 ATS (41 percent) at home off a straight-up loss. Even worse: if their opponent failed to cover the spread by more than a touchdown in its previous game, then our 270-188 stat zooms to 94-51-1 ATS (65 percent). Take the Bulldogs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-21-23 | Boston College +5.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Georgia Tech. BC upset Army, 27-24, as a 2.5-point road underdog in its last game, while Georgia Tech shocked Miami, 23-20, as a 19-point dog. The Eagles are 25-14 ATS their last 39 as an underdog vs. ACC Conference foes. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech is now 9-2 its last 11 as an underdog, but 0-10 ATS its last 10 as a favorite vs. FBS (Division 1) schools. Take Boston College + the points. |
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10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers 'over' the total. The Astros got their bats out in Game 4 on Thursday night and they plated 10 runs to even this series which plays its final game in Arlington tonight (Game 5). Game 1 in Houston featured the same two starters as tonight (RH Justin Verlander vs. LH Jordan Montgomery) and that was a 2-0 Rangers victory, but that's not the way these games normally go. In fact in seven of the last 11 meetings between these two, one or both of the clubs have scored double-digit runs. So don't expect a repeat of Game 1 as both of these teams know the importance of jumping out to an early lead and whoever wins this game will be just one victory away from the World Series. Yes, LH Jordan Montgomery has been very good in this post-season but it's unlikely he would go more than six innings tonight and the Rangers used a ton of pitchers in Game 4 so their bullpen is stretched very thin right now. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings of these two. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Jacksonville Jaguars Over the total. The Saints have played all 6 games in the 30s this season, and this Over/Under has been priced accordingly. But the Jaguars have played four of their six games at 45+ points, with three topping 50 points, including last week's 37-20 victory vs. Indianapolis. Jacksonville's gone OVER 13 of 18 games when the O/U line was 43 points or less. And I look for a relatively high scoring game on Thursday. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -1 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Jacksonville. The Jaguars blew out Indianapolis last week for their 3rd straight win and cover, while the Saints were upset at Houston, 20-13. We'll play against Jacksonville on Thursday, as road teams off 3 SU/ATS wins are an awful 16-37 ATS vs. foes that were upset on the road the previous week. Additionally, the Saints are a super 67-34 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a win. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | James Madison v. Marshall +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over James Madison. The Dukes come into this game with an undefeated 6-0 record, but I like Marshall to hand them their first defeat of the season. Marshall will be looking to redeem itself after two road losses at NC State (48-41) and Georgia St (41-24). And the Herd are 12-3-1 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss when not favored by more than 3 points. Even better: Sun Belt conference underdogs (or PK) are a solid 87-59 ATS in conference games off back to back SU/ATS losses. And undefeated teams, off back to back ATS wins, with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 14% as home favorites of less than 25 points vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Marshall + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Rice +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane come into this American Athletic Conference game off a loss, 20-17, at Florida Atlantic. Unfortunately, they're a horrid 9-43-2 ATS at home off a loss, when matched up against a non-winning team, and not favored by 17+ points. That doesn't bode well for Tulsa. Nor does the fact that Rice is also off a SU/ATS loss, 38-31, vs. UConn. And the Owls are 62-45 ATS in conference games off a SU/ATS conference defeat. Take Rice + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 117 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Philadelphia Phillies. So much for NL "small ball." The Phillies have dominated their opposition in this post-season, not by getting on base and stealing second or bunting players over. They've done it by way of the long ball -- 19 in their eight post-season games so far. Many of those have been of the solo variety, but that hardly matters when you're sending balls over the fence as often as they are. That could change with a trip to the Desert. The Phillies won't be in their homer-friendly ballpark tonight but instead in a place where the long ball doesn't happen nearly as often. They'll also be facing a starting pitcher that they've never seen before in 25-year-old rookie RH Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt doesn't have numbers that jump off the page at you, but guess what else he doesn't do? He doesn't give up home runs when pitching at Chase Field (only one long ball in his last five starts here). And Pfaadt shut down the Dodgers in his only NLDS start against them (4 1/3 IP, 2 H, 0 ER). Take the D-Backs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | Top | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Texas Rangers. Tonight will represent a couple of long-awaited events in baseball. It will be the first Championship Series game to be played in Arlington, TX since 2011, so the crowd will surely be amped up, especially given that the home team already has a 2-0 lead in this series. But tonight's ALCS Game 3 will also be Max Scherzer's first start in over a month. The future Hall-of-Fame RH pitcher hasn't been on the mound since a September 12 start against the Blue Jays. Scherzer hit the bench with a shoulder issue after that appearance but has been deemed ready to come back tonight on the biggest of stages. But don't expect the three-time Cy Young winner to pitch more than four innings and there-in may lie the problem for the Rangers, who have been getting deep runs from their starters throughout their undefeated post-season. In 27 career post-season games (22 starts) Scherzer is just 7-7 and he has a career 4.56 ERA in five starts here at Globe Life Field. Take the Astros. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers 'under' the total. If there's one pitcher in these MLB Playoffs who wants to atone for a less than ideal, let-down of a regular season, it's the Astros Cristian Javier. The veteran RH had a breakout campaign in 2022, winning 11 of 25 starts with a 2.54 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Big things were expected from the 26-year-old entering 2023, but instead of building on those numbers, Javier struggled through much of the season, posting a 4.56 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 31 starts. Fortunately his teammates picked him up and Houston won its third straight AL West title (sixth of the last seven years) and now Javier looks to redeem himself in a big way. He's already shown how great he can be in his only ALDS start, tossing five shutout innings vs. the Twins, allowing just one hit while striking out nine and walking none. With 3-time Cy Young winner Max Scherzer on the other side tonight, runs could be very scarce at Globe Life Field. The under was 4-1-1 in Javier's last six regular season starts. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies 'under' the total. It didn't take long for the Phillies to show that they mean business in their second straight NLCS. Kyle Schwarber hit the first pitch he saw over the right field wall and Bryce Harper homered two batters later to set the tone in Game 1. The Phillies' hitters ambushed Zac Gallen's fastball last night and held on for a 5-3 win to take a 1-0 series lead on the D-Backs. Philadelphia's big bats will see a different type of pitcher tonight in the D-Backs Merrill Kelly. Gallen throws his fastball 50% of the time and the Phillies jumped all over it in Game 1. The 35-year-old Kelly throws a lot more off-speed pitches and that may cause problems for the free-swinging Philadelphia lineup. But the D-Backs hitters could have the same problems against Philly RH Aaron Nola, who has been stellar this post-season with a 2-0 record and 1.42 ERA. Kelly hasn't been getting love from his hitters lately as the D-Backs have plated more than three runs in just five of his last 14 starts. And the D-Backs are 19-12 Under behind Kelly this season, and 72-50 Under in his career starts. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-15-23 | Giants +14 v. Bills | Top | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 86 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Buffalo Bills. The Bills come into this game off a loss last Sunday in London. I will fade Buffalo, as NFL teams have gone 4-18 ATS in the United States following a game in London. Moreover, the Giants have lost all five games ATS this season. However, underdogs off 5 ATS losses have covered 64.8%, including 12-3 ATS when getting more than 11 points. Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 34 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over Detroit. The Lions come into this Sunday's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. But they will have to play a rested Tampa Bay team coming off its bye week. We'll grab the points with Tampa, as Detroit is an ugly 3-26 ATS off a home win, if it owned a win percentage of .692 (or better), including 0-13 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win. Take Tampa Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | Patriots +3 v. Raiders | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 19 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over the Las Vegas Raiders. New England was shut out, 34-0, last week by New Orleans. And that was the 4th time the Patriots have been shut out under coach Bill Belichick. How did New England do after those three previous shutout defeats? They went 3-0 SU/ATS, and scored 31, 40 and 33 points. This week, they'll play a Raiders team off a SU/ATS win last Monday vs. Green Bay. We'll grab the points with the Patriots, as they've gone 22-0-1 ATS on the road in the regular season off a loss when playing an opponent off a win. And Las Vegas is 29-68-1 ATS as a favorite vs. a foe off a loss. Take New England. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 41.5 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 82 h 14 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total. The Patriots were shut out, 34-0, last week by the Saints. And New England has scored just 18 points over its three previous games -- each of which went under the total. But off this string of low-scoring games, we'll look for a higher scoring game, here, as NFL games have gone Over the total 62.1% over the last 36 seasons, if a team scored 25 points or less over its three previous games, and each went under the total. Even better: the Patriots have gone Over 64% after not scoring 10 or more points in their previous game. Take the Over. |
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10-15-23 | Vikings -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 13 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over the Chicago Bears. The Bears blew out Washington by 20 points for their first win of the season, while Minnesota also has just 1 victory, which was an 8 point win at Carolina two weeks ago. The Vikings have been saddled with a difficult opening schedule, as their four losses have all been to teams that made the playoffs last season, including Philadelphia and Kansas City, the two Super Bowl participants. But now, the Vikings will play the Bears who, like Carolina, is one of the worst teams in the league. Minnesota is 15-9-1 its last 25 as road favorites, while Chicago is 1-13 SU and 3-10 ATS as home underdogs. And NFC North division teams off a loss are 68-43 ATS vs. division rivals off a win. Lay the points with the Vikings. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers +14 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -120 | 79 h 10 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Miami Dolphins. The Panthers are 0-5 straight-up, and 1-4-1 ATS, including 0-3 SU/ATS in their last 3 games. I look for Carolina to break through with its first ATS win this season, as underdogs of more than 5 points have gone 121-79 ATS in non-division games off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take the Panthers + the points. |
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10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Houston Texans Over the total. The Saints shut out the New England Patriots last week, 34-0. And that game went under the total. But off that shutout win, I'll look for a higher scoring game at Houston, as NFL teams off shutout wins have gone over the total 59% in games with O/U lines > 42. Additionally, the Texans are 26-12 Over at home following back to back Unders. This will be a high scoring game. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals -2.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 79 h 4 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Seattle. The Bengals got off the schneid last week when they blew out Arizona, 34-20, for their first point spread win of the season. They'll now host the Seahawks, who had last week off following a 24-3 annihilation of the New York Giants. The Bengals are still undervalued, in my estimation, and I'll lay the short number. Cincinnati is a powerful 17-0-1 ATS when not laying 7 or more points, if its foe had a Win Percentage between .400 and .823. And Seattle is 17-32 ATS off a win by more than 20 points. Take the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 79 h 2 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over San Francisco. It's unclear if Deshaun Watson will return from his rotator cuff injury this week. If he can't go, then PJ Walker will start for Cleveland. I'll take the points with the Browns, as I look for them to bounce back strong off their bye week. Indeed, home underdogs of more than 5 points off their Bye week have gone 33-12 ATS vs. unrested foes. And NFL home dogs (or PK) off blowout losses by more than 2 TDs have covered 61.8% vs. foes off blowout wins by more than 2 TDs. Grab the points with Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Boise State v. Colorado State UNDER 61.5 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
At 9:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Boise State/Colorado State game. The Broncos come into this road game off 4 straight Overs. I look for a lower-scoring game on Saturday night, as Mountain West conference teams off 4+ Overs have proceeded to go Under the total 61.1 percent of the time. Even better: the Rams have gone Under the total 12-1 at home when the game had a point spread of 6 or more points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | NC State +3.5 v. Duke | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils come into this game off a SU/ATS home loss to Notre Dame two weeks ago. That lowered Duke's record to 4-1 on the season. And it's also undefeated in ACC Conference play. We'll play against Duke on Saturday night, as ACC teams off a loss have not fared well as favorites vs. Conference foes that have a worse conference record, as well as a worse record, overall. Even worse: Duke has covered just 16 of 50 as a favorite off a straight-up loss. Take NC State + the points. |
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10-14-23 | UAB v. UTSA -9 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over UAB. The Blazers blew out South Florida, 56-35, as a 3.5-point home underdog last Saturday. Unfortunately, UAB is a miserable 0-7 ATS off a win, and 20-40 ATS after scoring 34+ points. Take Texas-San Antonio minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Missouri v. Kentucky UNDER 50.5 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Kentucky/Missouri game. The Wildcats return home after getting shellacked, 51-13, at Georgia last week. We had a huge play on the Bulldogs, so that result was not unexpected. But I expect the Wildcats to play much better on Saturday night at home, and especially on the defensive side of the ball. Going into that Georgia game, Kentucky was allowing just 15.2 ppg. The Wildcats have gone Under in 31 of their last 45 SEC Conference games, including 13-2 Under when the O/U line was between 48 and 56 points. Take the Under. |
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10-14-23 | Auburn v. LSU UNDER 61 | Top | 18-48 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Under in the LSU/Auburn game. The LSU Tigers have scored an average of 44.8 ppg this season. And all 6 games have gone Over the total. I expect a much lower-scoring game on Saturday, as Auburn owns the best defense the Tigers will have faced yet this season. Auburn is giving up just 322.8 yards per game, 5.19 yards per play, and 18.20 ppg. Indeed, the Tigers have held their five opponents to an average of 15.33 points below their scoring average. And they've gone 58-38 Under their last 96. Finally, this Auburn/LSU series has gone 17-6 under, including each of the five meetings over the previous five years. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -1 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Kansas State. We played on the Red Raiders last week, and they rewarded us with a blowout win, 39-14, at Baylor. That triumph moved Texas Tech's record to 3-3, and it was the Red Raiders' second straight win by more than 20 points. We'll take Texas Tech to continue its win streak on Saturday, as it's a powerful 38-11-2 ATS at home when it didn't own a winning record. Lay the opoints. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Wyoming v. Air Force -11 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons minus the points over Wyoming. This is a big revenge game for Air Force, which lost, 17-14, at Wyoming last season as a 16.5-point favorite. Last Saturday, the Cowboys pulled off a big upset last week when they defeated the then-unbeaten Fresno State Bulldogs, 24-19. Unfortunately, teams off upset wins over undefeated foes have burned money in their following game, and especially on the road against revenge-minded foes. We'll lay the points with Air Force. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Marshall +1.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd over Georgia State. The Panthers were upset, 28-7, here at home by Troy in their previous game. We'll grab the points with Marshall, as it's cashed 67% as an underdog (or PK) vs. foes off a loss, while the Panthers have covered just 13 of 32 at home off a SU loss. Take Marshall. |
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10-14-23 | Arizona v. Washington State -7.5 | Top | 44-6 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Arizona. The Wildcats lost in Overtime last week, 43-41, to #10-ranked Southern Cal. They now have to dust themselves off that difficult loss, and travel to Pullman to play the #19-ranked Cougars. I generally don't like playing on teams off such heartbreaking losses, and I won't make an exception here. And especially given how poorly the Wildcats have played off an ATS win away from home vs. winning foes when the Wildcats were an underdog of less than 20 points. Since 2009, they're 0-16 ATS. Finally, Washington State is a perfect 9-0 ATS at home off a loss when not getting more than 2 points. Take the Cougars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Louisville. We had a huge play on the Cardinals last week, and were rewarded with an upset victory over Notre Dame, as a 6.5-point home underdog. But off that big upset win, we'll fade the Cards as a favorite vs. Pitt. Since 1980, teams off upset wins over Notre Dame have gone 20-37-3 ATS, including 6-21-1 ATS when favored by less than 17 points (or PK). And the Cardinals are a wallet-busting 5-24-1 ATS away from home off back to back wins, if they were matched up against a foe not off a SU/ATS win. Take Pittsburgh + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Oregon v. Washington -3 | Top | 33-36 | Push | 0 | 43 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon. Both of these teams come into this huge Pac-12 Conference game with 5-0 records. And the Ducks are also 5-0 ATS, to boot. We'll go against Oregon, as Pac-12 road underdogs, with a 2-0 (or better) record inside the conference, have covered just 32.3% since 1980 vs. Pac-12 foes with a winning conference record. The Huskies are an awesome 25-10 ATS when priced from -2 to -8.5 points. And Washington also falls into 72-26 and 60-23 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home teams with win percentages > .750. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Miami-OH -8 v. Western Michigan | Top | 34-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Western Michigan. We played on the RedHawks last week at home vs. Bowling Green, and Miami shut out the Falcons, 27-0. That was Miami's 5th straight win and cover, and 2nd straight game where it kept its opponent out of the end zone. Today, Miami will travel to Kalamazoo to take on the Broncos. And Miami will be looking to snap an 8-game losing streak in the series. I like the RedHawks to blow out Western Michigan, as the Broncos are a brutal 6-22-3 ATS as a home underdog, including 0-5 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, and 0-12-1 ATS vs. foes off wins by 20+ points. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +3 | Top | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Kansas. The Jayhawks pulled off an upset last week, at home, vs. Central Florida. Kansas was a 2-point underdog vs. the Knights, and won, 51-22. The Jayhawks are favored here, in Stillwater, vs. the 3-2 Cowboys. And we'll fade Kansas, as it's a wallet-busting 32-65-2 ATS on the road vs. foes that don't have a losing record. Grab the points with Oklahoma St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -3 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Texas A&M. The Aggies have, for a long time, under-performed away from College Station. And especially when matched up against the better teams. Since 1980, the Aggies are an awful 27-67 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .636 (or better) foes. That doesn't bode well for Jimbo Fisher's men. Nor does the fact that the Volunteers had last week off to rest and prepare for this big SEC game, given that A&M is just 5-20 ATS on the road vs. rested foes, including 0-11 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit win. Lay the points with Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-14-23 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 55.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Under in the Vanderbilt/Georgia game. The Bulldogs have shut out the Commodores each of the past two seasons. Not surprisingly, both of those games went Under the total. And this series has seen 10 of the last 15 meetings go Under. I expect another low-scoring game on Saturday afternoon, as Georgia is 40-31 Under vs. SEC foes, while the Commodores are 48-30 Under in SEC Conference games (and 18-4 Under their last 22 when getting 20+ points). Take the Under. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State v. Utah State +5 | Top | 37-32 | Push | 0 | 38 h 17 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over Fresno State. The Bulldogs had won 14 straight games (dating back to last season) before last week's upset road loss at the hands of the Wyoming Cowboys. Fresno will try to avoid losing for the 2nd straight week, but I don't think it will succeed. The Bulldogs' starting QB, Mikey Keene, sustained an injury in last week's game, and will likely give way to backup Logan Fife for this game. Keene has been brilliant this season, as he's thrown for 1,692 yards and 15 TDs, with just four interceptions. Fife was 7-for-11 vs. Wyoming, but threw a costly interception late in the game. And he's had a high turnover rate, as last season, he was 84-for-120 with 2 TDs but 6 Interceptions. Take Utah State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-13-23 | Tulane v. Memphis +5 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -112 | 37 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Tulane. The Tigers and Green Wave are both 4-1 on the season. Each won its previous game two weeks ago, as Tulane downed UAB, 35-23, while Memphis bested Boise St., 35-32. Memphis has been installed as a home underdog, and the Tigers fall into 80-37 and 79-27 ATS systems of mine that play on certain rested teams at home. Additionally, Tulane has covered just 20% of its conference road games vs. rested foes over the past 44 seasons. Take Memphis + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-12-23 | Broncos +10.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs. The Broncos are off to a 1-4 SU/0-4-1 ATS start, after last week's upset loss against the Jets, while KC is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS following a 27-20 victory vs. Minnesota. We'll grab the points with the Broncos, as AFC West division teams with a losing record, have gone 144-84-7 ATS in division road games if they weren't favored by more than 3 points. Even better: Kansas City is 10-20-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite vs. losing teams. And NFL teams off upset losses have cashed 63.1 percent since 1980 in Thursday games vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-12-23 | Braves -140 v. Phillies | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies are trying to knock off the NL East Champion Braves in the Division Series as a Wild Card for the second straight season and they're one win away from doing it. Philly pounded the Braves' pitching last night with 11 hits -- six of them home runs in a 10-2 demolition. The only good news for Atlanta is that it had 10 hits of its own in the game. On paper at least, tonight's must win game for the Braves is a pitching mis-match as they're back to their ace, RH Spencer Strider while the Phils will go with LHP Ranger Suarez. Strider will be top 3 in the Cy Young balloting while Suarez went 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA in 22 starts this season. That doesn't mean the visitors can look past this game, but Strider did lead the league in strikeouts and he pitched a gem in Game 1 only to lose when his team failed to score a run. One thing about Suarez is that he struggled mightily at home this season, going 1-3 with a 5.45 ERA in 12 starts here at Citizens Bank Park (vs. 3-3 and 2.75 on the road). Take Atlanta. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. The Braves' Spencer Strider will be starting Game 4 of the NLDS tonight with the Phillies handing the ball to Ranger Suarez. I like the Over, as both of these clubs feature plenty of free-swingers and power hitters capable of clearing the wall in any of the 30 MLB venues, but it's even more likely to happen here in Philadelphia. Indeed, only three other parks in baseball—Coors Field, Great American Ballpark, and American Family Field (Miller Park)—have been as friendly to power hitters as the bandbox known as Citizens Bank Ballpark. And we saw that yesterday when 12 runs were scored in Philly's 10-2 victory. In Strider's last six regular season starts, a total of 70 runs were scored, with less than eight plated in only one of those. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-12-23 | West Virginia v. Houston +3 | Top | 39-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars + the points over West Virginia. The Mountaineers pulled off a major upset in their previous game, when they won outright, 24-21, as a 13-point road underdog at TCU. But off that huge win, we'll fade WVU tonight, as road favorites with a winning record have cashed just 31% over the last 44 seasons following an upset road win as a double-digit dog, if their current opponent was off a straight-up loss. With Houston in off a 49-28 loss at Texas Tech, we'll grab the points with the Cougars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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10-11-23 | Astros v. Twins -116 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Houston Astros. With a dominant win behind Cristian Javier on Tuesday, the Astros are just one win away from advancing to their seventh straight ALCS. It may seem like a forgone conclusion that they will get there however the 'Stros have a very formidable opponent standing in front of them on the road this afternoon. The Central Division Champion Twins will send RH Joe Ryan to the mound to make his MLB post-season debut. The 27-year-old has emerged from nowhere to be one of the most consistent starters in the AL over the past two seasons. Overall in 2023, Ryan went 11-10 with a 4.51 ERA in 29 starts but he was much more dominant at home. In 14 starts at Target Field, Ryan logged a 7-4 record with a 3.83 ERA and 1.08 WHIP (vs. 4-6 and 5.22/1.26 in 15 starts on the road). In his last six regular season starts -- all in September -- the Twins went 4-2. And in 13 daytime starts this season, Ryan logged a 3.65 ERA vs. 5.24 in 16 starts under the lights. Take Minny. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-11-23 | Braves +110 v. Phillies | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Philadelphia Phillies. With both Kyle Wright and Charlie Morton out for the NLDS, the Braves are left with some less-than-ideal choices to start Game 3 tonight. Those choices came down to Bryce Elder and top prospect AJ Smith Shawver, but Atlanta is very hesitant to throw a 20-year-old out there in front of an insane Phillies crowd for his first MLB playoff start. So it will be the 24-year-old RH from Texas with the weight of the Braves' post-season hopes on his broad shoulders. Elder broke out in his second MLB season, going 12-4 with a 3.81 ERA in 31 starts for Atlanta. More importantly, in his only start at Citizens Bank Park, Elder threw seven shutout innings, allowing just three hits with six strikeouts and two walks in a 5-1 Braves victory on June 22. The Phillies will go with RH Aaron Nola this evening. Nola faced the Braves three times in 2023 and although he had no record against them, he was on the losing side in two of those games, including that June 22 match-up with Elder on the other side. Take the Braves. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins -128 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Houston Astros. In what may be one of the riskiest moves in the MLB playoffs, the Astros will send RHP Cristian Javier to the mound to start this critical ALDS Game 3 today in Minneapolis (the series is tied 1-1). Back in the Spring, this wouldn't be considered risky at all as the 26-year-old was coming off of a career season in 2022, having gone 11-9 with a 2.54 ERA in his first campaign as a full-time starter. But Javier struggled mightily through most of 2023, having seen his ERA balloon by more than two runs (4.56) while his strikeout rate has dropped dramatically (11.7 to 8.8) and his walks have increased. On the other side, the Twins have to feel pretty good about having a veteran like Sonny Gray available for their first home ALDS game since getting swept by the Yankees in 2019. The 33-year-old RH has a ton of post-season pitching experience going all the way back to 2013 when he was a rookie with the Oakland As. In five playoff starts covering 26 1/3 innings, Gray has logged a 2.39 ERA. Take Minnesota. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -147 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Arizona Diamondbacks. In one of the biggest shockers of the MLB post-season, Dodger legend and future Hall-of-Fame pitcher Clayton Kershaw lasted just 1/3 of an inning in Game 1 of this series on Saturday night as the Diamondbacks rolled to an easy 11-2 victory. If Saturday night was Dodger pitching past and present then tonight will be the future as 24-year-old RH Bobby Miller takes the mound in what is pretty much a must-win situation for the NL West champs. Miller had a fantastic first season in the Majors, going 11-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 22 starts covering just over 124 innings. In two starts this season vs. Arizona covering 12 innings, Miller is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA. Since the beginning of August, the Dodgers have won eight of Miller's 11 starts, including two victories against this D-Backs team as well as wins against the Braves, Brewers, Mariners, and Giants. Prior to the loss in Game 1, the Dodgers won five straight vs. Arizona. Take Los Angeles. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-09-23 | Phillies v. Braves -146 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite having the most potent offense in the National League -- including the best player in OF Ronald Acuna -- the Braves were completely shut down by the Phillies in Atlanta in Game 1 of the NLDS on Saturday. Philadelphia's pitching and defense completely dominated Game 1 despite a solid outing from Braves ace Spencer Strider. Now the Phils will try to take a 2-0 series lead behind #1 starter Zack Wheeler who was dominant in his Wild Card series start last Tuesday. But that was against the Marlins and now he'll be going up against a lineup that is an order of magnitude more dangerous in the Braves. Atlanta will go with LH Max Fried. Since the 29-year-old southpaw returned from an early season injury he's been one of the best starters in the game. In nine starts since August 4, Fried went 6-0 with a 2.79 ERA with 55 strikeouts and 12 walks in just under 52 innings and the Braves are 8-1 in those starts and 11-3 in his 14 starts this season. Take Atlanta. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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10-08-23 | Twins +130 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 130 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Houston Astros. The visiting teams in the first game of the ALDS yesterday were at a disadvantage in that they couldn't go back to their #1 starters while the home teams -- off for a week -- had fresh pitching rotations. That didn't seem to matter to the Rangers or Phillies but the Astros took full advantage and chased Twins starter Bailey Ober after just three innings. But now Minny is back to #1 starter Pablo Lopez who was brilliant in the Twins' first Wild Card game last Tuesday. In that one, the 27-year-old RH -- who the Twins acquired from Miami in exchange for the now 2-time batting champion Luis Arraez -- threw 5 2/3 solid innings, allowing one run on five hits in a 3-1 victory over Toronto. Now with full rest, Lopez will go to the mound tonight in an effort to even this series. Lopez did his best work on the road in the 2023 regular season as his ERA away from Target Field was more than a run lower than it was at home (3.10 vs. 4.21). Also, since August 1, Minnesota has gone 9-3 in Lopez' last 12 starts. Take the Twins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 45 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Saints -2 v. Colts | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Jets v. Giants +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
10-29-23 | San Jose State v. Hawaii UNDER 59.5 | Top | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 48 h 3 m | Show |
10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
10-28-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 39 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 41 h 25 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Arkansas State v. UL-Monroe -2 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 8 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Tulane -10 v. Rice | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 2 m | Show |
10-28-23 | BYU v. Texas -19 | Top | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 40 h 47 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 43 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -18.5 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 32 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show |
10-28-23 | West Virginia +7 v. Central Florida | Top | 41-28 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
10-28-23 | Oklahoma v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 6 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +3.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Mavs | Top | 120-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Charlotte | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 87 h 18 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Pistons +4 v. Hornets | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills -8.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -107 | 64 h 5 m | Show |
10-26-23 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern -1.5 | Top | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 63 h 19 m | Show |
10-25-23 | Jacksonville State v. Florida International +8 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 50 m | Show |
10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
10-24-23 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky +5.5 | Top | 42-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
10-23-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Rangers +110 v. Astros | Top | 9-2 | Win | 110 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Packers v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams -3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 16 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots +8 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Browns v. Colts +3.5 | Top | 39-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10-21-23 | UCLA -17 v. Stanford | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Utah v. USC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 34-32 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Clemson v. Miami-FL +3 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Army v. LSU UNDER 60 | Top | 0-62 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10-21-23 | TCU +6 v. Kansas State | Top | 3-41 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -7 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Utah State v. San Jose State -4 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Toledo -1.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Wisconsin -3 v. Illinois | Top | 25-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Air Force v. Navy +10 | Top | 17-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
10-21-23 | Boston College +5.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
10-20-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints OVER 39 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 16 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -1 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 15 m | Show |
10-19-23 | James Madison v. Marshall +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Rice +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
10-19-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 117 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | Top | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Giants +14 v. Bills | Top | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 86 h 25 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 34 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Patriots +3 v. Raiders | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 19 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 41.5 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 82 h 14 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Vikings -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 13 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Panthers +14 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -120 | 79 h 10 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals -2.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 79 h 4 m | Show |
10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 79 h 2 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Boise State v. Colorado State UNDER 61.5 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
10-14-23 | NC State +3.5 v. Duke | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
10-14-23 | UAB v. UTSA -9 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Missouri v. Kentucky UNDER 50.5 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Auburn v. LSU UNDER 61 | Top | 18-48 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -1 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Wyoming v. Air Force -11 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Marshall +1.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Arizona v. Washington State -7.5 | Top | 44-6 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Oregon v. Washington -3 | Top | 33-36 | Push | 0 | 43 h 43 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Miami-OH -8 v. Western Michigan | Top | 34-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +3 | Top | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -3 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10-14-23 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 55.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10-13-23 | Fresno State v. Utah State +5 | Top | 37-32 | Push | 0 | 38 h 17 m | Show |
10-13-23 | Tulane v. Memphis +5 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -112 | 37 h 18 m | Show |
10-12-23 | Broncos +10.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
10-12-23 | Braves -140 v. Phillies | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
10-12-23 | West Virginia v. Houston +3 | Top | 39-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10-11-23 | Astros v. Twins -116 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10-11-23 | Braves +110 v. Phillies | Top | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins -128 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -147 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
10-09-23 | Phillies v. Braves -146 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10-08-23 | Twins +130 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 130 | 17 h 45 m | Show |