Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-12-23 | Rays v. Yankees -171 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over Tampa Bay. We played on the Rays last night, and got an easy 8-2 win behind Drew Rasmussen against Domingo German. Rasmussen outdueled German by tossing 7 scoreless innings. Tonight, though, the pitching advantage goes to New York. Gerrit Cole will take the mound for the Pinstripes, and he's pitching like he wants to win his first Cy Young Award. In eight starts, he's 5-0, with a 2.09 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. And New York is 7-1 in those eight games. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 227 | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 40 h 23 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver/Phoenix game. The Suns were blown out, 118-102, on Tuesday. And that Game 5 went Under the total by 7.5 points. We'll look for another low-scoring game in Phoenix, on Thursday, as Playoff games with O/U lines > 226 have gone UNDER 57.2%. Moreover, the Suns have gone 12-7-1 UNDER following a 15-point (or worse) blowout defeat. And they've also gone 12-6 UNDER in the Playoffs following a straight-up loss. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-11-23 | Celtics -1.5 v. 76ers | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Philadelphia. The Celtics were upset at home, 115-103, as an 8-point home favorite on Tuesday. We'll take Boston to bounce back, as it's 34-10 ATS following an upset loss to a division rival, if Boston was favored by 4+ points in that defeat. And the Celtics are also 19-3 ATS away from home in the Playoffs, if they didn't lead in the series, and were off a home game where they failed to cover the spread by more than 7 points. Take Boston. |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/Philadelphia game. The Celtics were a big favorite in this series vs. Philly. But unless they win the next two games, they'll be sent packing by James Harden & Co. Boston surrendered 116 & 115 in the last two games. I look for the Celts to play a much better defensive game tonight, and for this to go under the total. Indeed, Boston has gone under 7-1 following a loss in the Playoffs, if it was facing elimination. And it's 6-1 UNDER off back to back Playoff losses. Take the Under. |
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05-11-23 | Rays -116 v. Yankees | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the New York Yankees. Tonight's game is a rematch of the pitchers' duel 5 days ago, when the Yankees won, 3-2, at Tampa. Domingo German gave up 2 runs over 5 innings, while Drew Rasmussen actually held the Yankees scoreless over 5 2/3 innings (and gave up just 2 hits). But Tampa's bullpen gave up 3 runs in the 8th inning to blow a 2-0 lead. We'll take the Rays tonight, as Rasmussen has been sensational vs. the Yankees in his 2 career starts vs. them. In 11 2/3 innings, Rasmussen has given up 0 runs, 8 hits, 2 walks, and has struck out 16. In contrast, German has a 5.44 ERA in his 10 career starts vs. the Rays, with a 1.33 WHIP. And the Yankees are a poor 3-11 in his last 14 nighttime starts. Take Tampa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 43 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Vegas Golden Knights. After the Oilers took Game 2 in Vegas in dominant fashion last Saturday, the Knights returned the favor on Monday night in Western Canada. That sets up a Game 4 tonight at Rogers Place that is critically important for the Oilers. The days of Wayne Gretzky in Edmonton have given way to the days of Connor McDavid, who has yet to carry his team to a Stanley Cup like Gretzky did four times, despite being the best player on the planet. Both starting goaltenders on Monday were replaced, but while Edmonton's Stuart Skinner took a seat due to his sub-par play, Vegas starter Laurent Brossoit exited in the first period due to a lower body injury. Skinner should benefit tonight from getting the hook while Brossoit's availability is unknown. Regardless of who the Knights put out there, expect the Oilers to come out firing tonight in an effort to even this series. Despite the loss here on Monday, the Oilers are still 11-3 in their last 14 home games. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -6 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. The defending champs find themselves down 3-games-to-1 in this 'must-win' Game 5. We'll lay the points with the Warriors, as NBA defending champs have covered 61% since 1990 in Games 5, 6 or 7 of a playoff series when facing elimination. Even better: the Warriors have covered 72.7% in the NBA Playoffs since 1990 when playing with double-revenge, while the Lakers are 0-8 straight-up, and 1-6-1 ATS in the Playoffs since 1990 when installed as an underdog of +5 (or more) points vs. a double-revenge-minded foe. Lay the points with Golden State. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 5 between Golden State and Los Angeles. The Warriors mustered just 101 points in defeat on Monday night. That was the 2nd straight Under in this series, and we'll look for another relatively low-scoring game on Wednesday, as Golden State has now gone under 33-9 in the Playoffs following a loss in which it scored less than 110 points. And the Under also falls into 141-85 and 201-114 Totals systems of mine. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-10-23 | Padres v. Twins -122 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the San Diego Padres. The Twins lost, 6-1, last night to these Padres -- their 3rd straight loss -- and dropped to 10-7 at home on the season. We'll take Minnesota to bounce back tonight behind Pablo Lopez, who has a solid 54:10 K:BB ratio, and 1.09 WHIP on the season. Minnesota has been installed as a small favorite, which bodes well, given the Twins are a solid 49-21 (+13.9 net games) as a home favorite. Even better: the Twins are a super 15-6 (+10.7 net games) off 3+ losses. Meanwhile, the Padres are a dreadful 129-127 (but minus 44.2 net games) vs. righties, and 46-66 (minus 8.5 net games) as an underdog. |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 40 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Miami Heat. Erik Spoelstra's men covered the point spread for the 7th straight time on Monday, when they defeated New York, 109-101, as a 4.5-point favorite. But we'll go against Miami on Wednesday, as NBA Underdogs of +2 (or more) points, with a win percentage less than .666, have gone 37-73-3 ATS after covering the spread in 7+ games. Lay the points with New York. |
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05-10-23 | Maple Leafs -116 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 40 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Florida Panthers. The Leafs never thought they would be down 3-games-to-none in this quarterfinal series, but that's the situation. We'll take Toronto in this do-or-die Game 4, as they're 46-21 when playing with revenge; 25-13 (+11.6 net games) when trailing in a playoff series; and 26-9 (+12.0 net games) off a loss this season. And, notwithstanding the Panthers' current hot streak, they're still just 22-26 (minus 12.8 net games) off a win this season. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils -145 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Carolina Hurricanes. The Devils knew they needed to send a message at home on Sunday in Game 3 of this series. After all, they had pretty much been embarrassed and run out of Raleigh in Games 1 and 2 by being outscored by a total of 11-2. They won Game 3 alright but what they did at home on Sunday may have even surprised the Devils themselves. New Jersey jumped out to a 4-0 lead less than a minute into the second period and never looked back, taking a lopsided 8-4 decision. And the eight goals came from seven different players, something that has to delight the team and the coaches. The important thing for tonight's Game 4 in the Meadowlands is that the Devils keep it going and not have a letdown after that huge effort. They know they can't afford to go back to Carolina down 3-1 so look for the Devils to keep up the pressure. With the Game 3 win the Devils are now 8-2 in their last 10 home games. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Los Angeles won Game 3 here, at Crypto.com Arena, 127-97. We cashed the Under in that game, but will focus on the Side in this Game 4. We'll grab the points with the Warriors, and go against a Lakers team which is an awful 14-51 ATS as a home favorite off a win, when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated by more than 7 points in the previous meeting. Additionally, the Warriors are 58-39 ATS off a SU/ATS loss when playing with revenge. And, finally, NBA road teams have cashed 73 percent since 1990 after losing a playoff game in which they scored less than 99, and surrendered more than 121. Take the Warriors + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-08-23 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -200 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Miami Marlins. He may not be a household name because of the team he pitches for, but if Zac Gallen is not a top 10 Major League starter, he's awfully close. The 27-year-old RH broke out in a big way last season with a 12-4 record in 31 starts and a 2.54 ERA and 192 strikeouts in 184 IP. And he did all that on a team which was 14 games under .500. To few people's surprise, the D-Backs appear to be a much better team this season so the sky may be the limit for Gallen who already is 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA and a league-best 11.4 K:BB ratio in seven starts covering just under 43 innings. He'll go for victory number five tonight at home against the 17-18 Marlins. How much does Gallen love pitching here? In three starts at Chase Field covering just over 20 innings he is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 34 strikeouts with only one walk. That's about as close to perfection as you can get. The Marlins are 5-13 in the last 28 meetings with the Diamondbacks in Arizona. Take the D-Backs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Florida Panthers. People were wondering what the Panthers would do for an encore after one of the biggest first round upsets in NHL history. Well, the answer in this quarterfinal round against the heavily-favored Maple Leafs appears to be -- exactly the same thing they were doing against the Bruins. With only one day off after their historic Game 7 win over Boston, the Panthers went into Toronto and beat the Leafs in Game 1 and then did it again on Thursday. Now they come back to South Florida to try to take a near-insurmountable 3-0 lead. But the Leafs are a dangerous team which won't go quietly. Despite losing Game 2, 3-2, Toronto out-shot Florida by a 37-29 margin. And the Leafs went ahead 2-0 in the first five minutes on Thursday before giving up three unanswered goals. The road team is 5-0 in the last five meetings of these two and the Leafs are 26-8 (+13.5 net games) in their last 34 off a loss. Meanwhile, Florida is an ugly 6-13 (minus 8.6 net games) off 3 road wins. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Boston. The Celtics blew out Philly for the 2nd straight game on Friday, as they won 114-102, to take a 2-games-to-1 series lead. We'll fade the Celtics in Game 4, as they're 0-8 ATS on the road in the playoffs off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they won their previous game by more than 11 points. Even better: home teams off a loss have cashed 65.4% since 1990 in the 2nd of back to back games vs the same foe, if each game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less. Finally, Philly is 12-0 ATS its last 12 off back to back losses, if it wasn't favored by 8+ points. Take the 76ers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils -134 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Carolina Hurricanes. If the Devils need any extra motivation coming into their 1st quarterfinal home playoff game in over 10 years, all they need to do is put up a poster with the scores from the first two games with the Hurricanes in Raleigh on the locker room wall. It was all 'Canes on Wednesday and Friday as they treated themselves to some Carolina home cooking with 5-1 and 6-1 dominant victories in Games 1 and 2. But being a young team with really nothing to lose at this point, New Jersey is in an excellent position to put those behind and make the changes necessary to turn the tables in Game 3 and 4. It's what the Devils did to the Rangers in Games 5 and 7 when they needed to, winning both of those at home by lopsided 4-0 margins. Some more good news for the Devils this afternoon: the favorite is 8-1 in the last nine meetings of these two and the home team is 14-4 in the last 18. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-07-23 | Twins -130 v. Guardians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Cleveland Guardians. This will be Joe Ryan's 6th start vs. the Guardians. In his five previous starts, he's gone 3-0, and allowed just 5 earned runs over 31 2/3 innings (1.42 ERA), and 22 baserunners (0.69 WHIP). This season, Ryan is off to a sensational start. In six starts, he's 5-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. And his K:BB ratio is 43:6. Ryan's won eight straight decisions, dating back to last season, and I look for him to keep it going this afternoon, as the Twins are 12-2 behind Ryan when favored by -150 or less. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors. The Warriors blew out LA in Game 2, 127-100, and leveled the series at 1 game apiece. After giving up 127 points, we'll look for a much better defensive effort by the Lakers today, and for this game to go UNDER the total. Indeed, teams off playoff losses in which they gave up 120+ points have gone 21-8 UNDER in their next game when the O/U line was 218+ points. And the Lakers are 22-8 UNDER off a double-digit road playoff loss when the O/U line was 193+ points (and 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 208+ points). Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-06-23 | Oilers -118 v. Golden Knights | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Vegas Golden Knights. The Knights struck first in this series, taking Game 1 on Thursday, 6-4 (it was actually 5-4 before an empty net goal at the end). The Oilers may be looking for answers, but they sure can't blame their All Star Center Leon Draisaitl as the 27-year-old German scored all four of Edmonton's goals. Besides Draisaitl's incredible performance, the other good news is that the Oilers scored their four goals on just 27 shots so if they can get their other stars like Connor McDavid to pick up their game tonight while tightening up their defense a bit, then they should be able to send this series to Edmonton all tied up at 1-1. Prior to Thursday's disappointment, the Oilers had won not lost in regulation in any of their 21 previous games (18-0-3). And the Oilers had won six of eight meetings with the Knights. The Oilers are 9-1 on the road off a road loss, and 23-9 when playing with revenge. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets took care of business at home, as they won both games by double-digits, including a 97-87 win on Monday, in Game 2. We'll fade Denver tonight on the road, as it's 27-58-1 ATS on the road off a win by more than eight points. Additionally, home teams have gone 22-7 ATS when playing with at least 3 days' of rest off a road playoff loss. Finally, #1-seeded teams up 2-games-to-none have covered just nine of 28 games as an underdog vs. teams seeded #4 (or worse). Lay the points with Phoenix. |
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05-05-23 | Astros +118 v. Mariners | Top | 6-4 | Win | 118 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Seattle Mariners. Things have not quite gone according to plan for the Houston Astros. A 16-15 record is probably not what the Defending World Series Champs wanted or expected a little more than a month into the season. Of course their leader, Jose Altuve, has been out with a broken thumb (he is due back soon) and some other members of their roster have been dinged up as well. But still you would expect them to have done better at this point. Perhaps a weekend series against the Mariners will help as the 'Stros are an incredible 51-19 in the last 70 meetings, including 5-0 in the last five here at T-Mobile Park. And they have to feel good about RH Cristian Javier starting things off for them tonight. In seven career outings vs. Seattle, Javier is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.15 WHIP and in three of this four starts against them, Javier has held the M's scoreless. The 'Stros are 5-0 in Javier's last five starts vs. teams with a losing record. Take Houston. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-05-23 | Devils +110 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over Carolina. The Devils lost Game 1 to the Hurricanes, 5-1, but I expect them to bounce back tonight. The Devils are 29-15-1 on the road this season. And when they were playing back-to-back road games, and lost the first one, then they were a perfect 6-0 in the road game off a road loss. Meanwhile, the Devils are a soft 7-10 (minus 4.5 net games) when leading in a playoff series. And, finally, the Devils are 13-6 on the road when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 2 goals. Take New Jersey. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. LeBron James & Co. upset the Warriors on Tuesday. We'll take Golden State to avenge that defeat, as the Lakers are 22-49 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset in the previous meeting. And LeBron James' teams have gone 0-6 ATS in the Playoffs in his career off an upset win, if playing a sub-.640 foe. Finally, the Warriors are 61-38 ATS vs. division rivals, if the Warriors were off a SU loss. Lay the points with Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -182 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -182 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Florida Panthers. The Leafs were turned back at home in Game 1 of this series, 4-2, by the Panthers. We'll take the Leafs to bounce back tonight, as they're 25-11 when trailing in a Playoff series, and 14-1 their last 15 home games after losing their previous game by 2+ goals. Meanwhile, Florida is a wallet-busting 19-27 (minus 18.8 net games) after scoring more than 3 goals in their previous game. Take the Maple Leafs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-04-23 | Blue Jays -160 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-11 | Loss | -160 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Boston Red Sox. Toronto will hand the ball to RHP Kevin Gausman for his 7th start vs. Boston since coming over to the Blue Jays in 2022. And all Toronto has done with Gausman on the hill vs. Boston is go 6-0 -- outscoring Boston, 56-22, in those games. Meanwhile, Boston's Bryan Bello has never won vs. Toronto. He has a 7.62 ERA in three career starts, and the Red Sox have lost those games by an aggregate of 21-6. This season, Gausman has made 6 starts, and has given up 0 earned runs in four of those six games. His ERA is 2.33, with a WHIP of 1.00. His last two starts were the most impressive, as he allowed 0 runs over 14 innings vs. the Yankees and Mariners, and struck out 24, while walking just 1. Gausman's teams have won 16 of his last 19 division games. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers are on a 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS streak, including an upset win over Boston in Game 1 on Monday. We'll fade Philly tonight, as NBA underdogs of +8 (or more) points have gone 12-40 ATS vs. foes off a game where they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points. Even worse for the Sixers: they're 18-36 ATS as road underdogs of more than 4 points vs. .501 (or better) foes. And, finally, the Celtics are 60-29 ATS when playing with double revenge, if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in the prior meeting. Lay the points with Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers to go UNDER the total. Boston has played its last five games over the total. But we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as Boston has gone UNDER 19-10 in the Playoffs off a home loss. Meanwhile, Philly is 93-53 UNDER the total when playing a foe off 5+ overs. And the Sixers have also gone UNDER in 15 of their last 21 playoff games, including 6-0 UNDER when the O/U line has been 216+ points. Take the UNDER. As always, good luck, Al McMordie. |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the New Jersey Devils. These two teams split the season series, 2 games apiece, with each team going 1-1 in its two home games. New Jersey won the most recent two games, while Carolina won the season's first two meetings. We played on New Jersey in its last game -- a 4-0 win over New York -- but will switch gears and go against the Devils in Raleigh. New Jersey is a poor 8-17 (minus 13.3 net games) off a home win by 2+ goals, and 2-8 off a shutout win. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are 19-12 when playing with double revenge, and 105-51 off a win (including 26-6 off an overtime win). Take Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-03-23 | Cubs -182 v. Nationals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -182 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Washington Nationals. We played on the Cubs in Game 1 of this 3-game series, on Monday, and got the $$$ with Drew Smyly & Co. as the Cubs won 5-1. Chicago lost last night, 4-1, as the Nats scored 3 runs in the bottom of the 7th for the victory. We'll take the Cubs to win the rubber match of this series, as they'll go up against Cory Abbott tonight. And Abbott hasn't seen the win column in his career, as he's 0-5 with a 5.61 ERA in his career. Even worse: the Nationals have lost each of his last eight starts. Abbott will face RHP Marcus Stroman tonight. And Stroman has been terrific this season, as he's thrown 5 quality starts in 6 outings, and has a 2.29 ERA (including 1.46 on the road away from Wrigley Field). Take Chicago. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -165 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -165 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Seattle Kraken. Being the home team and having home ice advantage doesn't guarantee success in these playoffs -- not by a longshot. If you don't believe it, just ask the Boston Bruins who came in as the top seed in the entire league and were sent packing in seven games. So the Stars know that even though they will be home for the first two games of this series, they still have to perform. And the fact that they're playing an expansion team that's only been in the league two seasons probably won't make them rest any easier. After all Dallas is a team that is hungry for a championship with its last -- and only -- Stanley Cup coming almost 25 years ago. So you can bet they won't take the Kraken for granted. These two have met only six times and the Stars are 4-2 in those games so they do have some history on their side. Although they advanced by beating the defending champion Avs in seven games, the Kraken are just 7-19 in their last 26 vs. teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami. The Heat took Game 1, 108-101. We'll lay the points with the Knicks in Game 2, as they're 81-38 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if playing with revenge from a home loss vs. a .500 (or better) foe. Even better: teams (like Miami) have covered just 23 of 65 away from home in the post-season after covering the spread in each of their three previous games by more than 7 points. And #5-seeded teams (like New York) have gone 69-31-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Knicks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Florida Panthers. In the biggest of Round 1 upsets, the Panthers knocked off the record-setting (135 total regular season points) Bruins in Boston on Sunday night, 4-3 in overtime to advance to the second round. If ever there was a team that was ripe for a Game 1 let down, the Panthers are it. With just one day off since their historic David beats Goliath victory, no one would be surprised -- perhaps not even themselves -- if the Panthers didn't have a full tank tonight in Toronto. Even under normal circumstances, this would be a tough task for Florida as the home team is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings and the Panthers are 2-9 in the last 11 here in Toronto. The Leafs also had a tough series against a very game Lightning club, but they closed it out in six games in Tampa on Saturday and have had two days off to rest and prepare for Round 2. Take the Maple Leafs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-02-23 | Braves +114 v. Marlins | Top | 6-0 | Win | 114 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Miami Marlins. Sandy Alcantara is still trying to find his groove early in the season. He's made just one quality start in his 5 trips to the mound, and has been especially bad over his last 3 outings (8.62 ERA; 1.59 WHIP). Coincidentally, his last start was against Bryce Elder and the Braves, and Atlanta won that game, 6-4 (though Alcantara got a no-decision). The Marlins have dropped his last 3 starts, and four of his five this season. This will also be Elder's 6th start of the season, and he's compiled a super 2.17 ERA in those 5 prior starts. And the Braves are 4-1 in those games. We'll take Atlanta tonight, as it's 92-40 (+38.7 net games) at night, while Miami is 31-46 (minus 21.0 net games) at home vs. righties. Take the Braves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils -113 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the New York Rangers. The two rival teams from the biggest sports and TV market in North America meet tonight for a Game 7 in the Meadowlands. The Rangers have hung tough every step of the way so far, including a huge 5-2 victory at home in Game 6 on Saturday to force this final clash. The Devils made a name for themselves during much of the regular season by winning tough games on the road; now they must win the biggest of the season right at home in front of their loyal fans. They'll look for a Game 5 repeat as they completely dominated play here at Prudential Center and skated away with a huge 4-0 win. They have a way of bouncing back after a dull offensive effort, as they are 14-3 in their last 17 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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05-01-23 | Cubs -130 v. Nationals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Washington Nationals. The Nats come off of a weekend series against the surprising Pirates that featured a Saturday twin bill in which the Pirates outscored Washington, 22-4 over the two games. But Washington came back Sunday and got a rare victory. Certainly, the 2023 Nationals are a far cry from the 2018 team which won the World Series, and their re-building process will likely take several years. Tonight, they will welcome another surprising NL Central team in the Cubs. LHP Drew Smyly had been all but forgotten, but the 33-year-old has found new life in Chicago, and is pitching as well as he ever has. Over five starts, Smyly is 2-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 27 Ks and six BBs in 28 IP. LH MacKenzie Gore will get the start for the Nats. We'll take Chicago, as the Cubs are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. teams that start a southpaw pitcher. Take the Cubs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
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04-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -215 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -215 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Florida Panthers. In what was the wildest game of these playoffs so far, the Florida Panthers forced a final Game 7 this evening by beating the Bruins on Friday night, 7-5. Boston was seemingly in control after scoring twice in the first four minutes of the final period on Friday to take a 4-3 lead. But what ensued from there was a whirlwind 16 minutes in which neither goalie -- especially the Bruins' Linus Ullmark -- could keep the puck out of the net. Look for the 29-year-old Swede to rebound tonight with plenty of support from the home crowd. After all, it was largely Ullmark -- and his league-leading 1.89 GAA and .938 Saves Pct -- who was responsible for Boston's record-setting campaign. The Bruins are 18-4 off back to back losses, and 10-2 after allowing more than 5 goals. Meanwhile, the Panthers are an ugly 18-26 (minus 19.3 net games) this season off a win. Take Boston. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between Sacramento and Golden State. Game 6 went comfortably under the total, as only 217 points were scored in Sacramento's 118-99 triumph. We'll look for another low-scoring game at Golden 1 Center, as the Warriors have gone UNDER in 9 of their last 12 games when facing elimination, including 5-0 UNDER when not favored by more than 2 points. And Golden State has also gone UNDER 31-9-1 in their last 41 Playoff games after a loss in which they failed to score 110 points. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-30-23 | Yankees -118 v. Rangers | Top | 2-15 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Texas Rangers. The man they call "Nasty Nestor" in the Bronx burst on the scene last season. The LHP had been in the league since 2018, but 2022 was a breakout campaign for Nestor Cortes as the southpaw went 12-4 with a 2.44 ERA in 28 starts covering just over 158 innings and that included a complete game shutout -- albeit the seven inning variety -- in the first game of a double-header on June 2. He's just five starts into his 2023 campaign, but so far Cortes seems intent on proving that last season was no fluke as he is 3-1 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.06 WHIP and his 5.60 K:BB ratio is the best of his career so far. Start number six will come this afternoon against the Rangers and if there's one thing Cortes likes, it's pitching in the afternoon. In 35 daytime appearances -- 17 starts -- the 28 year old is 9-2 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Despite the loss yesterday the Yankees are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings with the Rangers. Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Miami Heat. The Knicks took 3 of the 4 games vs. the Heat this season, and covered the point spread in both home games. And here at Madison Square Garden, the Knicks are 11-4 ATS their last 15, including a perfect 9-0 ATS when not favored by 8 or more points. Meanwhile, the Heat are 7-14 ATS their last 21 road games. And underdogs of more than 3 points are 0-9 ATS their last nine away from home off 3 covers by 7+ points. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the New Jersey Devils. After winning the first two games of this series on the road, the Rangers have now dropped three straight, the latest being an embarrassing 4-0 shutout in New Jersey on Thursday night. With their backs against the proverbial wall tonight, expect the Rangers to come out fighting at Madison Square Garden in this must-win Game 6. Both Games 3 and 4 here in Manhattan were very close even though they didn't go the Rangers way and they managed to hold the Devils to just 28 and 23 shots respectively in those. The Rangers are very good in what are called "double-revenge" situations -- they are 12-4 in their last 16 games revenging two straight losses against an opponent. They are also 7-2 in their last nine games when revenging a road blowout loss of four or more goals vs. an opponent (3-0 in their last three in those blowout situations). Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros -120 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Philadelphia Phillies. Less than a month into the 2022 season, Astros' talented RHP Cristian Javier assumed a full-time starting job. Since that time, the 26-year-old Dominican has pitched like he has no desire whatsoever to return to a bullpen role. In his 25 starts last season, Javier was 11-8 with a sparkling 2.68 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 179 strikeouts in just over 149 innings. And so far in 2023, Javier has set out to show that last season was no fluke. In five starts covering 29 innings, Javier has posted a 2-0 record with a 3.21 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and a K:BB ratio of 4.83. But never was Javier better than in last year's World Series against this Phillies club. In Game 4 on the road, Javier threw six near-perfect innings on the way to an Astros no-hit 5-0 victory. He'll try to duplicate that effort this evening -- this time at home where Javier has a career record of 14-6 with a 2.55 ERA in 44 games (25 starts). Despite the loss yesterday, the 'Stros are 6-1 in their last seven games vs. the NL East. Take Houston. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Lakers game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone UNDER the total. And the only game which did not -- Game 4 -- only went Over because of an Overtime session (the game was tied at 104 at the end of regulation). Thus, the last four games produced 196, 212, 208, and 215 in regulation (an average of 207.75). We'll look for yet another relatively low-scoring game tonight. This Grizzlies/Lakers series has now seen 18 of the last 23 go Under the total, including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 224. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-23 | Bruins -169 v. Panthers | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -169 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Florida Panthers. Just about everyone assumed that the Bruins would wrap up this series at home on Wednesday night. Just about everyone that is except for the Florida Panthers. The visitors pulled off a stunner in Game 5 two nights ago, beating the heavily favored Bruins 4-3 on an overtime goal by Matthew Tkachuk. What do the Bruins need to do now? Most importantly is what they shouldn't do -- panic and make any unnecessary changes. The good news for Boston is that after its win at home in Game 1, the road team has now taken four straight in this series -- including the Bruins winning both Games 3 and 4 right here in South Florida. The Panthers will have the crowd behind them tonight but that's about it as you can expect Boston to throw everything and the kitchen sink at goalie Sergei Bobrovsky who, despite his heroics on Wednesday, is just 4-9-2 with a 3.72 GAA lifetime vs. the Bruins. Boston is 21-10 in the last 31 meetings with the Panthers here in Florida. Take the Bruins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-23 | Braves -136 v. Mets | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the New York Mets. For the Atlanta Braves, the 1-2 punch of starters Max Fried and Spencer Strider is quickly establishing itself as the top duo in the NL -- if not all of the Majors. And while it's Strider and his strikeouts that may be grabbing most of the headlines, it's the 29-year-old southpaw Fried who appears to be making a statement after finishing second in the Cy Young voting last season. Although Fried has only one victory on his ledger so far, he also sports a 0.60 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in three starts covering 15 IP coming into this first 2023 meeting between the Braves and Mets. Fried has more career victories against the Mets (7) than any other opponent and he also has a 2.78 ERA and 1.19 WHIP to go with it. The Braves have been deadly on the road this season with a 10-2 record away from Atlanta vs. just 7-7 at home. Atlanta is 4-0 in the last four meetings with the Mets while New York is 17-35 in its last 52 games vs. teams with a winning pct. above .600. Take the Braves. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Atlanta. The Hawks shocked the Celtics in Boston to win Game 5, and close the gap in this series to 3-2. Unfortunately for Atlanta, NBA home teams off a win in Game 5, but down 3-games-to-2, have gone 1-12 ATS in Game 6 when not favored by 2 or more points. And the Celtics are 18-7 ATS in the Playoffs off an upset defeat, while the Hawks are 1-13 ATS in the Playoffs off an upset win. Lay the points with Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-27-23 | Royals v. Twins -190 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Kansas City Royals. Not that long ago, Zack Greinke was among the best pitchers in the game. Those days are over now and with the 39-year-old RHP on a 1-year contract, it's quite likely that Greinke will finish his career with the same team he started it with. That's no doubt bittersweet for Greinke who would probably like to get one more crack at a title, but he won't get it with this version of the Royals. KC is terrible and it could be a while before Greinke gets a W as he is 0-4 with a 4.61 ERA in his first five starts covering 27 1/3 IP. He and the Royals will face a very good Twins club tonight with RH Tyler Mahle going to the mound. The 28-year-old is just 1-2 but has a very nice 3.32 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in his four starts covering just under 22 innings. In three career games vs. the Royals -- two starts -- Mahle is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. The Royals are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings with the Twins coming into this series and 15-37 in the last 52 here at Target Field. Take Minnesota. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami. The Bucks have fallen in a 3-1 hole after dropping both games in Miami. Still, the #1-seeded Bucks should have reason for optimism. They had the #1 record in the league this season, and are 33-10 SU at home, with a 24-17-2 ATS record, including 11-2 SU and 9-3-1 ATS off a straight-up loss. Even better, the Bucks are 53-22 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Finally, in match-ups between .528 (or better) teams, underdogs off back to back upset home wins have gone 2-30 SU and 5-27 ATS. Take Milwaukee to blow out the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat Under the total. The Bucks have their proverbial backs against the wall in this Game 5, as they will be eliminated with a loss. We'll look for this game to go Under the total, as Milwaukee has gone UNDER in 11 straight home games when facing elimination in the Playoffs. Additionally, NBA Playoff series have gone Under 60% since 1990 if the road team won the Series' previous two games, and scored more than 116 in each of those two wins. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 37 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Grizzlies fell, 117-111, in overtime on Monday. And they fell behind by 2 games in this 1st Round Playoff series. We'll lay the points with Memphis, as #2-seeded teams have gone 17-6 ATS at home when down at least two games in a Playoff series. And the Grizz are 9-2-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge. Take Memphis minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 59 h 22 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Under in the New York Knicks/Cleveland Cavaliers game. As my mother used to say, 'If it ain't broke, don't fix it.' And that maxim could apply to the Over/Unders in this series. We played on the Unders in Games 3 + 4, and easily won as those two games went under the total by 33 and 8 points, respectively. And Games 1 + 2 also went under the total -- each by 17.5 points. We'll ride the under once again, as the Cavaliers have now gone under in 6 straight games, and are 47-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 24-12 their last 36 meetings vs. New York, and in their last eight playoff games, overall. Additionally, the Knicks have gone Under 26-9 when leading in a playoff series. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 7 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Cavs did not have a good trip to the Big Apple, as they lost Games 3 + 4 to the Knicks to fall behind 3-games-to-1 in this series. We'll take the Cavaliers to rebound on Wednesday, as they're 12-0 SU/ATS at home when priced from -3 to -12 off a loss if matched up against an opponent off a win. Meanwhile, the Knicks are 1-9 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes off back to back losses. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -200 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Detroit Tigers. After getting swept by the Orioles in three games in Baltimore over the weekend, the Tigers now find themselves in the unlikely position of getting a sweep of their own with a victory today in Milwaukee. But it won't be easy as Freddy Peralta goes to the mound for the home team. The 26-year-old RHP looked like he might be the second-best pitcher in the Brewers rotation (after Corbin Burnes) when he moved into his full-time starting role in 2021 -- making the NL All Star team that season. But injuries set in and 2022 became a lost season as he managed just 17 starts and 78 IP. Now healthy once again, the Brewers need Peralta to step up, especially considering how thin their starting pitching is with the injuries to Brandon Woodruff and Adrian Houser. Peralta is answering the call so far with a 3.79 ERA and 23 Ks and 9 BBs in four starts covering 22 2/3 innings. In 44 daytime games (30 starts) Peralta is 14-8 with a 3.34 ERA (vs. 4.14 in 76 games under the lights). Take the Brewers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The Nuggets come into this game off a road loss in Game #4 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Still, they lead this series 3 games to 1, and will look to close out their division rival tonight. Denver is 36-7 SU and 27-15-1 ATS at home this season, and have covered the spread by an average of 3.62 ppg. Notably, against .500 (or better) teams, the Nuggets are riding a 19-2 SU and 18-3 ATS run at home! Meanwhile, the T-Wolves are a poor 0-18 ATS their last 18 on the road vs. .500 (or better) teams following a T-Wolves cover by more than 8 points. Lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-23 | Nationals v. Mets -200 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -200 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Washington Nationals. The Mets have announced Jose Butto will get the start in today's game. Butto was effective in his first start of the year, nine days ago. He allowed just 1 run over five innings to the Oakland A's, and the Mets won, 4-3. He'll match up against Josiah Gray, who has lost his last nine decisions dating back to last season's All-Star Break. And his teams have gone 6-15 in his last 21 starts. The Mets come into tonight's game off back-to-back losses to the Giants. But New York is 51-22 (+22.5 net games) off a loss, while Washington is a wallet-busting 18-61 (minus 27.3 net games) vs. division rivals. Take the Mets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers and Memphis Grizzlies to go UNDER the total. Game 3 totaled just 212 points, and went under the total of 221.5. And that's continued a playoff trend, as LeBron James & the Lakers have gone under 20-12 in the Playoffs since he donned the purple-and-gold. Likewise, Memphis is 9-5 under its last 14 playoff games. Additionally, these two teams tend to play relatively low-scoring games, as 17 of the last 21 meetings have gone UNDER the total (including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 225 points). We'll look for yet another low-scoring game between these two teams. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-24-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -153 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -153 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Detroit Tigers. It's not too surprising that the Brewers are in second place in the NL Central with a solid 15-7 record. What is extremely surprising is that the team they're looking up at is the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are a half-game ahead of Milwaukee in first place. In fact, if not for the most surprising team in the Majors, the Brewers would have the top record in the NL. They go from one inter-league series to another tonight as they welcome a team with which they're pretty familiar in the Tigers. Detroit comes in having just gotten swept by the Orioles in Baltimore. To say the Tigers have a weak lineup would be quite the under-statement. They come into this with the worst team batting average in the Majors -- one which is barely over the Mendoza Line at .209. And despite the exploits of Eduardo Rodriguez on Sunday -- a perfect game through 6 2/3 IP -- their pitching is horrific as well. Milwaukee is 7-0 in its last seven games following a loss while Detroit is 2-6 in the last eight meetings with the Crew here. Take the Brewers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-24-23 | Bucks -4 v. Heat | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat. The Bucks lost Game 3, 121-99, which puts their back against the wall in this Game 4. The last thing Milwaukee wants to do is fall behind 3-games-to-1 in this series. The good news for Mike Budenholzer's men is that they're 6-1 ATS their last seven when trailing in a playoff series. And they're 17-5 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a 15-point (or worse) defeat. Finally, since 1990, NBA teams have cashed 76.4% after scoring less than 100 points in an upset Playoff loss, if they surrendered 115+ points in that previous game. Take Milwaukee minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-24-23 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 218 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total. The Milwaukee Bucks are the #1 overall seed in the Playoffs, but find themselves down 2-games-to-1 entering this critical Game 4. Needless to say, a victory is of paramount importance to Milwaukee, as it surely doesn't want to fall behind by two games. After giving up 121 points in Game 3, I expect a MUCH BETTER defensive effort by the Bucks here, in Game 4. Indeed, road favorites off upset playoff losses have gone under 61% since 1990. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-24-23 | Devils v. Rangers -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the New Jersey Devils. The Devils made a name for themselves this season by winning games on the road. In fact their 28-9-4 road record was second in the NHL only to the record-setting Bruins. But towards the end of the season, that road magic faded quite a bit. And, in fact, in its last eight road games of the season, New Jersey was just 4-4. It's true that the road team has won all three games in this first round series so far. However, if there's one place that's been tough for the Devils recently, it's probably Madison Square Garden. In their last seven games at the Garden, the Devils are just 2-5 and it took overtime to win Game 3 here. The Rangers out-shot the Devils in that game on Saturday, 36-28 and they appear poised to wrest control of this series back with a win tonight. The Devils are just 1-4 in their last five Conference Quarterfinals games while the Rangers are 5-1 in their last six and 19-9 in their last 28 home games. Take New York. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 238.5 | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 14 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Sacramento game. After Game 1 went Over the total by 11.5 points, Games 2 + 3 have reversed course, and have gone significantly UNDER. Game 2 totaled 220 points, and fell under by 18.5, while Game 3 was even LOWER scoring, as only 211 points were scored, sending it Under by a staggering 30 points. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment for this Game 4, but not by nearly enough points. We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Sunday, as Playoff games have gone under 68.8% since 1992 when the O/U line was greater than 229 points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-23 | Blue Jays -124 v. Yankees | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the New York Yankees. The Jays and Yanks went scoreless for 7 1/2 innings before New York took a 2-0 lead and then Toronto tied it in the top of ninth yesterday. A rare clunker from Jays closer Jordan Romano resulted in a walk-off win for the Yanks. Speaking of clunkers, normally reliable Jays veteran RH starter Kevin Gausman threw one in his last start in Houston, Monday, allowing eight runs (seven earned) in 4 2/3 innings in an ugly loss. We'll look for Gausman to get back to his normal dominant self this afternoon against the Yanks and Clarke Schmidt. New York is giving the 27-year-old RH a chance at the rotation early on but so far, it hasn't worked out. In four starts covering 14 1/3 IP, Schmidt is 0-1 with an ugly 8.79 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Gausman, meanwhile, has a 3.75 ERA in 93 career day appearances. He also owns a very nice 3.54 ERA in 14 games -- 11 starts -- here at Yankee Stadium. And Toronto's 13-7 its last 20 meetings here, in the Bronx. Take the Blue Jays. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 206.5 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers to go UNDER the total. We played on the Under in Game 3, and it easily sailed under the total, in a 99-79 New York win. And that game was the lowest-scoring Playoff game so far this post-season. It went under the total of 211 by 33 points, and that followed the first two games of this series that each went under by 17.5 points. The oddsmakers have adjusted the number downward for this Game 4, but it's by not enough points, as the value still resides squarely on the Under. The Cavaliers have now gone under in 5 straight games, and are 46-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 23-12 their last 35 meetings vs. New York, and in their last seven playoff games, overall. Even better, Cleveland has gone 30-11 Under the total following a game which totaled less than 192 points, while the Knicks have gone Under 25-9 when leading in a playoff series. This will be a low-scoring game. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. We played against the Lakers in Game 2, and got the $$$ with the Grizzlies in a blowout win. We'll switch gears for this Game 3 and take the homestanding Lakers, who are 14-6 SU/ATS off a straight-up loss since December 27. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are 10-19 SU and 8-20-1 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes, including 0-12-1 ATS as an underdog! Lay the points with the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 220.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total. The first two games of this series were very high-scoring. Game 1, won by Miami, totaled 247 points, while Game 2 was taken easily by Milwaukee, 138-122. Still, the Bucks have tended to play Unders in the Playoffs, as they had gone 11-2 Under their 13 previous Playoff games entering this post-season. Likewise, Miami had gone Under 14-6 in its 20 previous Playoff games prior to this series. I look for Saturday's game to be relatively low-scoring, as the Under falls into 106-62-9 and 94-55 Totals systems of mine. Additionally, the Heat are 6-1 Under their last 7 as a home dog, while Milwaukee is 9-1-1 Under as a road favorite when the O/U line was 227 or less. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-23 | Nationals v. Twins -270 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -270 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Washington Nationals. Pablo Lopez was a hard-luck loser in his last start, as the Twins fell, 2-0, to Gerrit Cole (0.95 ERA) and the New York Yankees. Lopez did take a back seat to Cole in that match-up, but the reality is that few pitchers in baseball have been more effective thus far than Lopez. In four starts, the Twins' righty has a 1.73 ERA, with a 0.80 WHIP. And his K:BB ratio is 33:6. He'll face Chad Kuhl this afternoon, which is a highly-favorable match-up for Minnesota. Kuhl's teams (Rockies, Nats) have lost his last seven starts, and 12 of his last 13, dating back to last season's All-Star Break. And he's dropped his last 7 decisions. This year, in three starts, he's 0-1 (the Nats are 0-3), with an 8.59 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP. In Kuhl's career, his teams have gone 1-8 when he's been a road underdog of +200 (or more), and 8-30 in his road starts when the O/U line was less than 9 runs. Meanwhile, the Twins have dominated as a favorite of -200 (or more), as they're 12-2 (+7.9 net games) their last 14, and 120-37 (+33.7 net games) their last 157. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Denver Nuggets. The T-Wolves are down 2-games-to-none to Denver. But the Nuggets are now on the road, where they've NOT been an elite team over the years. Indeed, the Nuggets are a horrid 11-33 ATS on the road off back to back ATS losses, including 0-10 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. This season, Denver was under water away from home, with a 19-22 SU/ATS record, including 9-15 ATS as a road favorite. The T-Wolves are 11-3 ATS their last 14 as a home underdog. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 211.5 | Top | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 65 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cleveland Cavaliers/New York Knicks game. Games 1 + 2 have been extremely low-scoring. Game 1 went to the Knicks by the score of 101-97, while Game 2 was won by Cleveland, 107-90. The Over/Under lines were 215.5 and 214.5, so each game went under the total by a whopping 17.5 points. The Cavaliers have now gone under in 4 straight games, and are 45-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 22-12 their last 34 meetings vs. New York, and in their last six playoff games, overall. We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Friday. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-21-23 | Nationals v. Twins -205 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -205 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Nationals. The Twins come home after a tough road trip to the Bronx and Boston and they have to like the look of things on the horizon as seven out of the 10 games on this homestand are against the Nationals (5-13) and Royals (4-15). Minnesota held its own for the most part against the Yankees and Red Sox, going 3-4 over those seven road games. One of the better interleague teams in the AL, the Twins have to be licking their chops to get a piece of the Nats, who are a shell of the 2018 team which won DC's only World Series since the old Washington Senators. 28-year-old RHP Tyler Mahle gets the ball for the Twins. The former Reds starter drew a tough assignment in Yankee Stadium in his last start, but hung in there for 4 1/3 innings. He's familiar with the Nats from his days in the NL, posting a 3-1 record and 4.50 ERA in five career starts, covering 24 IP vs. them. Minny is 5-0 in its last five inter-league home games vs. teams with a losing record, and it's 43-17 (+16.7 net games) as a home favorite. Take the Twins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-20-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -158 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Winnipeg Jets. Instead of flowing out into the Vegas night in a big celebration, the stunned home crowd from Game 1 of this series was sent quietly out to the Strip by the visiting Winnipeg Jets. It was an embarrassing 5-1 loss for the heavily-favored Knights, who managed just 17 shots on goal the entire game (compared with 31 for the Jets). You can bet that the Knights will use the day off to plan for some line adjustments as another outcome like the one on Tuesday would be disastrous for the Western Conference's number one seed. After all, the last time this team won 51 regular season games was its inaugural season when it went all the way to the Stanley Cup Finals. The Knights should bounce back tonight and take this season to Winnipeg all tied up 1-1. They are 9-2 in their last 11 after allowing five goals or more in their previous game and 5-0 in their last five immediately after scoring two goals or less. Take Vegas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 66 h 25 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento. We played on the Kings in Game 1, and passed Game 2. But we will lay the points with the Warriors in this Game 3, as they're back in San Francisco. This season, the Warriors have been dominant at home, and dreadful on the road, so it's no surprise they're down 2-games-to-0 with the first two games played in Sacramento. But now, Golden State is back home, where it's 33-8 straight-up, and 27-13-1 ATS this season, including 10-2 ATS vs. .529 (or better) foes, and 15-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. And the Warriors are 45-23-1 ATS in the Playoffs when playing with revenge. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Philly 76ers. Jacque Vaughn's men were blown out of Games 1 + 2. But we'll grab the points with the home puppy in Game 3, as the 76ers are a woeful 12-27-1 ATS when favored by 10 or less points (or PK) on the road off back to back wins, when they've owned a win percentage of .625 (or greater). Meanwhile, the Nets are a solid 60-29 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, when facing a foe off a 9-point (or greater) win, if the Nets weren't favored by more than 2 points. Brooklyn also falls into 65-38, 92-55 and 161-106 ATS systems of mine that play on certain playoff teams off blowout losses. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -160 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Lightning did a number on the Maple Leafs in Game 1 of this first round series on Tuesday night, jumping out to a 3-0 first period lead and never looking back from there. If the Leafs are to avoid yet another early exit from the post season, they almost have to win this second game at home before the series moves south to Tampa. The Bolts are the definition of a Playoff team -- when you think they don't have the stuff to get it done because they limp into the post season, they all of a sudden turn into a late April Juggernaut. There are reasons to believe that Toronto can turn things around. First, the Leafs are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss by three or more goals (5-0 in their last five after a home loss by three or more). Second, the Leafs are 23-8 in their last 31 after allowing five goals or more in their previous game while the Bolts are 2-6 in their last eight road games and 5-11 in their last 16 vs. winning teams. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-19-23 | Kings v. Oilers -211 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Los Angeles Kings. If the first night of the NHL Playoffs is any indication, strap yourself in because it's going to be a wild ride. Two of the four games on Monday went into overtime, including the Kings and Oilers in Edmonton with Los Angeles prevailing 4-3. This was the first 50-win season for Edmonton since its glory days (1986-87 to be exact) but it won't mean much if the club goes out in the first round like it did two seasons ago. The Oilers feature the best player on the planet in C Connor McDavid (64G, 89A, 153P) but he can only carry the team on his back so far and the rest will have to contribute if they're going to get back to the Conference Finals. They'll look to even the series at home tonight as they hope to get back to the form they had at the end of the regular season (nine straight wins). Despite the victory on Monday, the favorite is 37-15 in the last 52 meetings of these two. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 60 h 6 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat. Milwaukee suffered a loss in Game 1, as Miami went into Fiserv Forum, and upset the Bucks, 130-117. Trailing in a playoff series isn't unfamiliar territory for Milwaukee, so I don't expect that it will be discouraged. Indeed, the Bucks are 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS in the Playoffs when they were trailing or tied in the series. Even better: off an upset playoff loss, the Bucks have gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS. Meanwhile, Miami is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS off an upset playoff win. Finally, the Bucks are a wallet-fattening 52-22-1 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 21-4 ATS when playing with rest off a home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -1 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers upset the Grizzlies on Sunday, 128-112, as a 5.5-point underdog, behind 29 points from Rui Hachimura, and 23 from Austin Reaves. We'll take the Grizzlies on Wednesday to level the series at 1 game apiece, as NBA teams off playoff losses by more than 15 points that also failed to cover the spread by more than 20 in that defeat, have gone 106-76-1 ATS since 1991. Even better: Memphis is 8-2-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge, while the Lakers are a poor 5-24-1 ATS on the road when playing a foe they upset in the season's previous meeting. Take the Grizzlies in Game #2. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 40 h 26 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Los Angeles. Kawhi Leonard led the Clips to victory in Game 1 with 38 points, as Los Angeles upset Phoenix, 115-110. We'll take the Suns to bounce back on Tuesday, as they're 62-30-1 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season. And if it's a playoff game, then our 62-30 stat zooms to 11-1 ATS. Lay the points with the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 62 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the New York Knicks. New York upset the Cavaliers in Game 1, 101-97. And that was Cleveland's 2nd straight upset defeat, overall. We'll take the Cavs to bounce back in Game 2, as they've cashed 61.7% since 1990 off back to back upset losses, including 79% when priced as a favorite of less than 8 points. Additionally, since 1990, favorites of less than 12 points have cashed 60% in the playoffs off back to back upset losses. Lay the points with Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-17-23 | Blue Jays -121 v. Astros | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -121 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Houston Astros. When Kevin Gausman came to the Blue Jays after stops in Baltimore, Atlanta, Cincinnati, and San Francisco, his expectations for a title were the highest since he came into the league 10 years ago. And although he had one of his best seasons ever in 2022 (12 wins, a 3.35 ERA, and a league-leading 7.32 K:BB ratio), the veteran RHP was still sent packing after the first round of the post-season. We're just three starts into 2023, but the 32-year-old may finally be having the Cy Young-caliber campaign of which so many thought he was capable. And with a little help from his teammates, it may also mean a trip to the World Series. Over 20 innings, Gausman has a 1.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 25 Ks and only three BBs. Start No. 4 will come against the champion Astros, who are not off to a great start, missing their leader Jose Altuve (thumb) and the dominant pitching they had last season. Gausman beat the 'Stros in his only start vs. them last season (7 IP, 2 ER, 10 K, 0 BB). Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami. In the pandemic-impacted 2020 season, the Bucks were the number 1 seed, but were bounced out of the playoffs by the then-No. 5 seeded Heat. However, since that series loss, Milwaukee has dominated the Heat here, at home, as the Bucks are 7-0 straight-up, and 5-2 ATS, with an average point spread differential of 10.3 ppg. The Bucks come into Sunday's Game 1 vs. Miami off back to back losses in what were (admittedly) meaningless games. This game, of course, is anything but meaningless. And we'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as it's 52-21-1 ATS at home off back to back losses. Take the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-16-23 | Twins +147 v. Yankees | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the New York Yankees. Yankees ace Gerrit Cole has never won a Cy Young award -- he's finished second in the voting twice -- and if he wanted to send a message early on that this is his year, he couldn't have done it any better than he has so far. But despite a 3-0 record and an ERA well under two runs, the starter who's opposing him this afternoon actually has a better ERA, and pitches for a team with a better record. The Twins are no doubt thrilled that they traded AL batting champ Luis Arraez, and in exchange got 27-year-old ace RH Pablo Lopez, along with a couple of solid minor league players. His early season success notwithstanding, today is Lopez's chance to shine on the big stage against one of the game's best. And there's every reason to believe he'll pull it off as he is 1-0 with a sparkling 1.35 ERA in three starts so far. In his only previous start vs. the Yanks, Lopez threw six strong innings, allowing just one run on seven hits. Minnesota is 6-2 in its last eight road games vs. teams with a RH starter. And the Yankees have gone 11-12 (minus 11.4 net games) in his last 23 daytime starts. Take the Twins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over the Golden State Warriors. This season, the Kings have covered 3 of 4 vs. Golden State. Coincidentally, these two teams met two games ago, and the Warriors won, 119-97, for their only point spread win of the season vs. Sacramento. Notwithstanding that loss, since 2017, Sacramento is a super 18-8 ATS vs. the Warriors, including 10-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. And Golden State is a horrid 32-72 ATS off a point spread win when playing a revenge-minded foe. Finally, I just can't get behind the Warriors on the road tonight. For the season, the Warriors are a woeful 11-30 straight-up, and 12-28-1 ATS away from San Francisco, including 2-14-1 ATS when the point spread was less than five points. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-15-23 | Angels -104 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Angels with Tyler Anderson over the Boston Red Sox and Nick Pivetta. 2022 was a breakout season for Anderson, as he made the All-Star team for the first time. The southpaw's ERA over 30 appearances (28 starts) for the Los Angeles Dodgers was 2.57. Still, the Dodgers allowed him to get away this past off-season, and sign with Angels. He's off to a decent start this season, as Anaheim has won both of his starts, including a 6-0 shutout of Oakland, and a 9-5 triumph over Toronto. Anderson comes into this day game with 2 extra days of rest following that game vs. the Blue Jays, while Pivetta is starting on regular rest. In his last 36 starts with an extra day or two of rest, Anderson's teams have gone 26-10. Even better, in his career starts vs. Boston, Anderson's ERA is 2.08, while Pivetta's ERA in his career starts vs. Anaheim is 4.91. Take the Angels. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Heat were upset here, at home, by Atlanta in its initial Play-in round game. We'll take Miami to bounce back, as it's 66-34-3 ATS as a winning team when rested, and favored by 4+ points off an upset loss. Additionally, in the Playoffs or Play-in round, the Heat are 14-0 ATS their last 14 off an upset loss when facing a sub-.700 foe which won its previous game. Lay the points with Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -120 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Carolina Hurricanes. The Panthers are officially IN the NHL Playoffs for the fourth straight season. But as they found out last season when they led the league with 122 points only to fall in the second round, getting in doesn't guarantee anything. That's especially true this season when the Eastern Conference's 2nd Wild Card team will have to play the historically dominant Bruins in the first round. So if Florida can hold on to its first Wild Card spot with a win or tie tonight, it will avoid the Bruins in the first round. And its opponent, instead, could very well be tonight's opponent, Carolina. The Hurricanes are also incentivized to win, as they want to hold on to first place in the Metropolitan so this is also an important game for them. The good news for the Panthers is that they've dominated this series lately, taking four of the last five meetings going back to April of 2021. This has also been a very host-friendly series as the home team has taken seven of the last nine. We'll take the Panthers tonight. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-23 | Canadiens v. Islanders -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders minus 1.5 goals over the Montreal Canadiens. The Isles had their playoff fate in their own hands as they went into DC as a heavy favorite to play a lackluster Caps team on Monday. But of course things don't always go as planned in the NHL and the Caps jumped out to a 3-0 first period lead from which New York could not recover. That upset was their fifth loss in a row. But, as luck would have it, the Pittsburgh Penguins suffered an even worse upset last night when they lost at home (as a -490 favorite) to the woeful Chicago Blackhawks. So, the Isles' fate is now back in their hands. If they earn a point tonight, they'll punch the final ticket to the post-season. The Isles, of course, are favored against a Canadiens team which has essentially stopped playing -- they've dropped five of their last six games by an aggregate score of 25-11. Not that they need any more motivation, but this is also a revenge situation for the Isles, as the Habs beat them in their last meeting, 4-3, in OT back in February. Montreal is a miserable 22-54 (minus 20.6 net games) off a road loss. Take New York minus 1.5 goals. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights -145 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Seattle Kraken. With a two-point lead atop their division, the Knights can take a step toward locking down their fourth Pacific title in their six years of existence tonight. A win coupled with an Edmonton loss or tie at Colorado would do the trick and cap off what would be their most satisfying title yet. And if the Knights can get at least three points in their final two games, they would set a new franchise season record with 110. They'll play another talented expansion franchise in the Kraken tonight on the Vegas Strip. Seattle's victory over Vegas in the last meeting this past November marked the first time that the Kraken had broken through as the Knights are 5-1 in the two teams' six lifetime clashes. Seattle's Saturday win over the Blackhawks may have been a costly one, though, as regular #1 goalie Martin Jones left after the second period with a hand injury. It is unknown whether the veteran net-minder will be able to play tonight. If Jones can't go, then it's likely Joey Daccord will be between the pipes for Seattle, as Philipp Grubauer was in net last night. Regardless, we'll take the Knights. |
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04-11-23 | Sabres v. Devils -195 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Buffalo Sabres. The Devils may have lost to Boston on Saturday but losing 2-1 to an historically great team on the road is nothing to be upset about. In fact, the Devils' loss to the Bruins by just one goal should serve as inspiration in the event they meet Boston in the semifinals. But first things first as New Jersey attempts to catch Carolina for the top spot in the Metropolitan. The Devils' remaining games are Buffalo (tonight) and Washington, so they stand a very good chance of going 2-0 and picking up four more points. The Devils have won six of the last nine meetings with the Sabres and are looking to get revenge for a 5-4 loss to Buffalo in their last meeting on March 24. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-23 | Hurricanes -180 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Ottawa Senators. The Hurricanes defeated these Senators six days ago, 3-2. But then they lost back to back games at Nashville (3-0) and Buffalo (4-3) to see their Metropolitan division-lead over the New Jersey Devils shrink to 1 point. With an ultra-talented New York Rangers team looming in 3rd place, it's imperative for Carolina to win the division to avoid playing the Rangers in the 1st round. I look for Carolina to bounce back tonight, as it's 24-10 off back to back losses (including 10-2 off back to back road losses), and 42-21 after allowing 3+ goals in back to back games. Take the Hurricanes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-23 | Pelicans v. Wolves -3.5 | Top | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over New Orleans. This is a huge game for both teams, as it will greatly impact their seeding in the Western conference. We'll side with the homestanding T-Wolves, as New Orleans is a wallet-breaking 8-24-1 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points, including 1-13 ATS off a straight-up win. Take the T-Wolves minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-23 | Jazz v. Lakers -16 | Top | 117-128 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Utah Jazz. The Lakers can finish anywhere from #6 to #8 in the Western conference, so they're incentivized to win this afternoon. We'll lay the points with the rested Lakers, and go against an unrested Jazz team playing its 3rd game in four days. The Jazz upset the Nuggets in Salt Lake City yesterday, as a 10-point home underdog. Unfortunately for Utah, unrested teams have covered just 38 of 98 following an upset win as a 7-point (or greater) home underdog. Take the Lakers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-23 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. Toronto comes into this game off back to back losses to the Boston Celtics. And it will also seek to avenge a 7-point loss to these Bucks, at Milwaukee last month. We'll lay the points with the Raptors, as they're 124-80-5 ATS off back to back losses, including 11-6-1 ATS this season, and 14-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a division rival. Take Toronto. |
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04-09-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 114-120 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks were upset at home by the Philadelphia 76ers in their previous game, and are now a road underdog at Boston on this final day of the regular season. We'll go against the Hawks, as road dogs have covered just 32.5% since 1990 in the final game of the season, if they were off an upset home loss. Take the Celtics. |
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04-09-23 | Magic +5.5 v. Heat | Top | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Miami Heat. The Magic may not be headed toward the post-season. But it's been a successful season by any measure. Orlando's 34-47 SU and 45-33-3 ATS, including 30-15-3 ATS as an underdog of +4 (or more) points. The Magic are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 meetings vs. Miami. Take the Magic + the points. |
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04-09-23 | 76ers v. Nets -3.5 | Top | 134-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers come into this game off an upset win over Atlanta as an 11.5-point underdog. We'll fade Philly today, as .625 (or better) road underdogs have covered just 36% of division games since 1990 off an upset win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog. Take Brooklyn. |
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04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls have qualified for the Play-in round, while Dallas is still fighting to do the same. The odds are against Dallas, of course, but hope does remain. But that hope will be extinguished if it loses to the Bulls tonight. Chicago will be playing its final road game of the season, and was blown out, 105-92, at Milwaukee, on Wednesday. We'll go against the Bulls, as .450 (or better) underdogs have covered just 31 of 85 off a straight-up loss, when playing their final road game vs. foes off a win. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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04-07-23 | Knicks v. Pelicans -7.5 | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Pelicans were blown out by 22 points when these teams last met. New Orleans is playing its final home game of the season tonight, and it's well-motivated given that it is in 8th place, but can still finish as high as 5th (or as low as 9th). The Knicks, on the other hand, are locked into the 5th seed in the Eastern conference. For technical support, consider that NBA teams favored by more than 4 points in their final home game have covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 22-point (or worse) defeat. Take New Orleans. |
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04-07-23 | Magic v. Nets -10.5 | Top | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Orlando Magic. The Nets reside in 6th place, and need to win to ensure they stay ahead of 7th-seeded Miami (and avoid the dreaded Play-in round). Orlando, of course, has long since been eliminated from the Playoff hunt. The Magic did, however, defeat Brooklyn, 119-106, less than two weeks ago. I look for the Nets to avenge that loss, as they're 74-33 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a 13-point (or worse) defeat. Take Brooklyn. |
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04-07-23 | 76ers v. Hawks -9 | Top | 136-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. This game means nothing to the Sixers, but a lot to the Hawks, who sit in 8th (but just 1 game ahead of 9th-seeded Toronto). Thus, Philly's Joel Embiid is not expected to suit up, and others may be in street clothes, as well. The Sixers are a poor 16-36 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning foes. Take Atlanta to blow out Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-06-23 | Blazers v. Spurs -3.5 | Top | 127-129 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland. This game will be played at the Spurs' "home away from home" -- Austin, Texas. The Spurs were blown out by the Phoenix Suns, 115-94, on Tuesday. But we'll take them to bounce back tonight in this revenge game vs. Portland, as the Blazers blew them out by 20 points in the previous meeting. San Antonio is 21-12 ATS as a home favorite when playing with revenge. And it's 36-10-2 ATS off a loss by 18+ points, if it was favored by less than 8 points in its current game (including 21-3-2 ATS at home). Take San Antonio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Top Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-12-23 | Rays v. Yankees -171 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 227 | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 40 h 23 m | Show |
05-11-23 | Celtics -1.5 v. 76ers | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show |
05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show |
05-11-23 | Rays -116 v. Yankees | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 43 h 50 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -6 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Padres v. Twins -122 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 40 h 8 m | Show |
05-10-23 | Maple Leafs -116 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 40 h 49 m | Show |
05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils -145 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
05-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
05-08-23 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -200 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils -134 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
05-07-23 | Twins -130 v. Guardians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
05-06-23 | Oilers -118 v. Golden Knights | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
05-05-23 | Astros +118 v. Mariners | Top | 6-4 | Win | 118 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
05-05-23 | Devils +110 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -182 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -182 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
05-04-23 | Blue Jays -160 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-11 | Loss | -160 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
05-03-23 | Cubs -182 v. Nationals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -182 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -165 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -165 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 55 m | Show |
05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
05-02-23 | Braves +114 v. Marlins | Top | 6-0 | Win | 114 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils -113 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
05-01-23 | Cubs -130 v. Nationals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
04-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -215 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -215 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
04-30-23 | Yankees -118 v. Rangers | Top | 2-15 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros -120 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
04-28-23 | Bruins -169 v. Panthers | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -169 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
04-28-23 | Braves -136 v. Mets | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
04-27-23 | Royals v. Twins -190 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 40 m | Show |
04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 38 m | Show |
04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 37 h 36 m | Show |
04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 59 h 22 m | Show |
04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 7 m | Show |
04-26-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -200 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
04-25-23 | Nationals v. Mets -200 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -200 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
04-24-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -153 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -153 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
04-24-23 | Bucks -4 v. Heat | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
04-24-23 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 218 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
04-24-23 | Devils v. Rangers -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
04-23-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 238.5 | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 14 m | Show |
04-23-23 | Blue Jays -124 v. Yankees | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 206.5 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 220.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
04-22-23 | Nationals v. Twins -270 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -270 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 211.5 | Top | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 65 h 57 m | Show |
04-21-23 | Nationals v. Twins -205 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -205 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
04-20-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -158 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 66 h 25 m | Show |
04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -160 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
04-19-23 | Kings v. Oilers -211 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 60 h 6 m | Show |
04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -1 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show |
04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 40 h 26 m | Show |
04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 62 h 13 m | Show |
04-17-23 | Blue Jays -121 v. Astros | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -121 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
04-16-23 | Twins +147 v. Yankees | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
04-15-23 | Angels -104 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show |
04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -120 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
04-12-23 | Canadiens v. Islanders -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
04-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights -145 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
04-11-23 | Sabres v. Devils -195 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
04-10-23 | Hurricanes -180 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
04-09-23 | Pelicans v. Wolves -3.5 | Top | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
04-09-23 | Jazz v. Lakers -16 | Top | 117-128 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
04-09-23 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
04-09-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 114-120 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
04-09-23 | Magic +5.5 v. Heat | Top | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
04-09-23 | 76ers v. Nets -3.5 | Top | 134-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
04-07-23 | Knicks v. Pelicans -7.5 | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
04-07-23 | Magic v. Nets -10.5 | Top | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
04-07-23 | 76ers v. Hawks -9 | Top | 136-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
04-06-23 | Blazers v. Spurs -3.5 | Top | 127-129 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |